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Speaker 1: This is Straight Fire with Jason McIntire.

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Speaker 2: What is up Fire, paym It's me Jason McIntire, Straight

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Speaker 2: Boyer for Friday, January the twenty third. It is really

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Speaker 2: incredible that the football season is winding down. There are

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Speaker 2: three games left. Conference Championship weekend it's on Sunday, followed

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Speaker 2: by the Super Bowl. Folks, we made it to the

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Speaker 2: finish line. I wish we hadn't been stumbling so badly

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Speaker 2: here to out the stretch. But oh, it's so glorious.

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Speaker 2: I know that we're like, oh, I'm gonna miss football

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Speaker 2: so much. Guys, come on, you get your weekends back.

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Speaker 2: Come on, you know you're pumped about that now, listen.

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Speaker 2: I gotta be honest. I talk to some people who

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Speaker 2: are like Jay mcow So I can't get worked up

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Speaker 2: about Stidham versus May Broncos backup quarterback who hasn't thrown

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Speaker 2: a pass all season against the Patriots. Real, I'm supposed

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Speaker 2: to be geeked about that Sunday, so I'll obviously be

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Speaker 2: tuning in, but you know it's I've got other stuff

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Speaker 2: going on. Let's just say that. So obviously we're talking

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Speaker 2: about the games plenty. Just a quick window. So you

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Speaker 2: guys know I'm misdirect league basketball. I know. I know

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Speaker 2: some people are just gonna instantly fast forward, but I

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Speaker 2: think you'll like this. So in November, I played in

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Speaker 2: a championship game on a Tuesday and we were underdogs

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Speaker 2: and we lost that one. It's fine. We won the

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Speaker 2: title the year before. And then we played it on

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Speaker 2: the Thursday and we were favorites and we led by

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Speaker 2: I don't know three or four with like a minute left,

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Speaker 2: and somehow blew it. And it's a second time we

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Speaker 2: blew a late lead against the same team in like

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Speaker 2: four seasons, and it was devastating. I'm not gonna lie no, no,

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Speaker 2: no cap. And so from like mid November to last

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Speaker 2: week I played basketball once. I was like, I need

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Speaker 2: to just step away, like I think I talked about

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Speaker 2: on the pod. I don't know. I've definitely told people,

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Speaker 2: but I don't know how these guys do it. Like

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Speaker 2: a Lebron losing in the finals a bunch, it's tough.

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Speaker 2: It is really tough to like get motivated to come

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Speaker 2: back and join the league. And honestly, I was close

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Speaker 2: to shutting it down and being like, you know, let

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Speaker 2: me go back to tennis. Nobody's a pick a ball.

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Speaker 2: It's basketball. You know, being a GM is tough. Man.

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Speaker 2: You guys can laugh, You're like, oh, j Mac, what's

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Speaker 2: wrong with you? You gotta wrangle dudes. You gotta make

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Speaker 2: sure you get guys who are gonna come to games. Obviously,

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Speaker 2: you got to get a good team, you know, and

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Speaker 2: to do that you got to like be in the

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Speaker 2: gym and see who's playing at the club. You know,

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Speaker 2: you can bring in two outsiders or whatever. But it's

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Speaker 2: not easy be in the GM. And I've been doing

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Speaker 2: this for like, you know, it started in COVID. We

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Speaker 2: met a bunch of dudes, and then we've got in

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Speaker 2: some leagues and it's just exhausting. So I ultimately, you know,

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Speaker 2: enough people were like, come on, we gotta do it.

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Speaker 2: Come on, So I signed up. We joined back, and

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Speaker 2: I'm one of the few doing the Tuesday and Thursday. Okay,

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Speaker 2: it's tough, not listen, I'm old. There's a lot of

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Speaker 2: younger dudes. And so the season started this week and

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Speaker 2: both games. You know, listen, guy's got jobs. A lot

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Speaker 2: of here's the other kicker. A lot of guys have

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Speaker 2: played previously at high high level high school, college, some pro,

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Speaker 2: some international. So a reck league game to these guys

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Speaker 2: is like, oh yeah, you know what, I can't make it.

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Speaker 2: My girl wants me to go to movies, you know,

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Speaker 2: like that kind of thing for me. Someone who you know,

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Speaker 2: shocker did not play anywhere anytime. I'm like, guys, can

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Speaker 2: we prioritize the league? So anyways, we're missing guys. We

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Speaker 2: played Tuesday shockingly. You know, it was super close, even

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Speaker 2: though we're missing our best player, who actually was amazing

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Speaker 2: and played at Oregon and he's a monster and so

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Speaker 2: he wasn't there. We were missing our shooter, but whatever,

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Speaker 2: it was fun. We were excited with how well we

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Speaker 2: played against the defending champs. And then Thursday we had

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Speaker 2: another game. And in this league we've got a we've

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Speaker 2: got a good but two guys again couldn't show. One

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Speaker 2: guy who is a late scratch played D three and

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Speaker 2: then a guy who's just an unstoppable score plays like

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Speaker 2: semi pro. He couldn't make it. So again we lose.

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Speaker 2: But these games are draining. And if you don't play

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Speaker 2: hoops for two months and then all of a sudden,

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Speaker 2: you jump right back into it and you're going full

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Speaker 2: tilt you're gassed. I mean after the game, I come home,

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Speaker 2: I take a shower, and I know you guys have

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Speaker 2: seen that meme where it's like that burger king worker

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Speaker 2: after a shift, sitting outside on the bench, just head

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Speaker 2: in hands, and it's like, honestly, I know this is Jay.

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Speaker 2: You sound like a moron. I don't really care, guys,

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Speaker 2: Come on, this is you know. I keep it real always.

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Speaker 2: And I was just draining and I'm like, oh man,

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Speaker 2: but and this to put a kapra on it. I'm

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Speaker 2: mentioning this because I follow this guy, Paul Graham on

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Speaker 2: social media. He's one of the smartest guys out there.

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Speaker 2: He's made tons of money investing, and he puts something

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Speaker 2: out there that was pretty good. Someone put out some

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Speaker 2: chart about physical activity, you know, hours per week, and

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Speaker 2: he wrote, walking is really good for you compared to

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Speaker 2: other forms of exercise, jogging, running, bicycling, Like, just simply

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Speaker 2: walking is real good and you don't have to do

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Speaker 2: all that much to get the most of the benefit.

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Speaker 1: Just walk.

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Speaker 2: I walk my dog. You know, we don't walk that far,

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Speaker 2: but simply walk getting up and doing stuff is huge.

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Speaker 2: And I know it's the dog days of winter and

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Speaker 2: Cowherd keeps complaining, Oh my gosh, it's gonna be got

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Speaker 2: a negative thirty five Winshill this weekend. What the hell, bro,

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Speaker 2: you know what you were getting into in Chicago. Enjoy

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Speaker 2: the next couple of months. But like for me, I

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Speaker 2: think I'm like one of these high energy guys and

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Speaker 2: I walking is tough for me. To just walk out

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Speaker 2: of the house and then just go walk like a mile,

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Speaker 2: it does really nothing for me. Running on the treadmill

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Speaker 2: is just brutal. So what I do is I do

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Speaker 2: this thing where I'll sprint for a minute, jog slowly

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Speaker 2: for a minute for a minute, jog slowly from I'll

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Speaker 2: do that for like ten minutes or whatever, and at

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Speaker 2: that point I'm gassed. And I got this from a

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Speaker 2: guy who played football at Penn State, and he's like,

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Speaker 2: that's a great way to like kind of max out

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Speaker 2: top speed you know you get And by sprint, I

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Speaker 2: mean like you're jogging at like four or sorry, like

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Speaker 2: five point zero on the treadmill and then you boom,

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Speaker 2: put it up to nine point five and then you

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Speaker 2: jog for five and then you put up to ten

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Speaker 2: and you're just sprinting and you know, I've seen some

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Speaker 2: data that's like, listen, this is how people used to

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Speaker 2: live right way way, way way back. Is that they

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Speaker 2: would hunt hard, right capture their prey, and then chill

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Speaker 2: and relax and eat it and then do it again.

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Speaker 2: You know, we're not built to just sit around all

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Speaker 2: the time. And I don't know really where I'm going

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Speaker 2: with this as it relates, but like the dread of

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Speaker 2: oh my gosh, I'm exhausted, but then the next day

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Speaker 2: you feel so good, and also it kind of clears

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Speaker 2: my head plane hoops. You know, it's competitive teamwork toward

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Speaker 2: a goal. And now I did play terrible Thursday, two

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Speaker 2: air balls and another couple of mysteries had a turnover.

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Speaker 2: Tuesday I played great, but again that's the older league

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Speaker 2: thirty five and up versus the Open League, where it's

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Speaker 2: like I'm guarding like a twenty seven year old, you know,

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Speaker 2: like that's not fun. And I know why I brought

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Speaker 2: this up because I had a birthday recently. I don't

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Speaker 2: need to talk about my age, but like the birthday

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Speaker 2: is really humble. You get all that love on Facebook,

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Speaker 2: but then you people start saying your age out loud,

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Speaker 2: and you're like, shit, man, Where are my twenties and

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Speaker 2: thirties going? You know, pretty crazy? I will say this.

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Speaker 2: I also saw a video somebody popped it on social

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Speaker 2: media of Joe Montana's game winning Super Bowl drive against

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Speaker 2: the Bengals, and it was one of those turnback to

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Speaker 2: clock moments. Because you know, you're a young kid, you

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Speaker 2: kind of sort of remember some sports highlights, like I

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Speaker 2: vaguely remember the Georgetown Hoyas, like very vaguely, and I

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Speaker 2: vaguely remember that Super Bowl is one of the first.

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Speaker 2: I was against the Bengals and it was just clutch city.

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Speaker 2: But I didn't really know what I was watching. And

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Speaker 2: now the way you consume football is totally different, and

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Speaker 2: it's incredible where we are. I mean, the news of

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Speaker 2: Jesse Minter going to the Baltimore Ravens was like enormous.

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Speaker 2: It was like, oh wow, Jesse minto huge. Now I

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Speaker 2: personally love that higher. I think it's phenomenal. I mean,

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Speaker 2: it was not a surprise at all. Everybody kind of

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Speaker 2: sort of knew that was coming simply because it's like, oh,

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Speaker 2: he was previously a coach there. He's incredibly highly regarded.

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Speaker 2: He did a lot with a little in Los Angeles defensively,

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Speaker 2: they didn't have a ton of talent, and he cooked

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Speaker 2: up schemes and was pretty damn good, always effective against Mahomes,

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Speaker 2: and you have to love that. Higher in Baltimore, there's

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Speaker 2: chatter that Cliff Kingsbury will be the OC. I just

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Speaker 2: I'm surprised he's not a head coach. We'll see. There's

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Speaker 2: still I think five jobs available Steelers job which I

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Speaker 2: told people nobody's gonna want that job. It's not a

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Speaker 2: good job. And the media is all hot and heavy

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Speaker 2: for Mike McCarthy. Mike McCarthy, I'm like, why the hell

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Speaker 2: would McCarthy take that job? You ain't got no quarterback.

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Speaker 2: There's no path two way quarterback you could. I mean

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Speaker 2: you have to give up a lot of draft get

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Speaker 2: well that a lot, but you'd have to give up

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Speaker 2: something impressive to get Mac Jones from the Niners. Assuming

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Speaker 2: you think Mac Jones, who was nothing special in Jacksonville

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Speaker 2: after his rookie year, not good in New England, but

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Speaker 2: awesome with Kyle Shanahan. Hello, are you gonna find an

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Speaker 2: OC to make Mac Jones a great quarterback? I don't know.

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Speaker 2: Do you throw the bag at Malik Willis, who was

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Speaker 2: unplayable as a young guy in Tennessee, asked Mike Frable.

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Speaker 2: And then lands in Green Bay and he's with Shocker

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Speaker 2: Lafleur and when he's got to go in for Jordan Love,

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Speaker 2: he's good, really good. I mean, are those the two options?

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Speaker 2: You do not want Kyler Murray in Pittsburgh. That's laughable.

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Speaker 2: And if Cliff Kingsbury is the guy, there's no way

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Speaker 2: they're re no shot. So there's just not a lot

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Speaker 2: of good quarterbacks out there. I just don't see, like,

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Speaker 2: am I missing a backup? Is there a world where

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Speaker 2: Jarrett Stidham goes off this weekend and we'll talk about

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Speaker 2: the games in a little bit, and then cooks in

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Speaker 2: the Super Bowl and as the MVP of the Super Bowl,

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Speaker 2: and all of a sudden, somebody's paying Jarrett Fole. Jared's Didham?

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Speaker 2: I was almost said Jera Foles. And I say that

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Speaker 2: because remember Nick Foles did it with the Eagles. People thought, oh, hey,

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Speaker 2: Nick Foles, he can be the guy. Oh my gosh,

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Speaker 2: he was so good? Like are we forgetting like you know,

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Speaker 2: I know he had a good season where he was

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Speaker 2: the I believe super Bowl MVP. Yeah he was. He

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Speaker 2: goes to let's se where do you go after that?

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Speaker 2: After the Eagles, he went to Jacksonville and he did nothing.

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Speaker 2: Then he went to Chicago and did nothing, and then

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Speaker 2: he went to the Colts and basically his career ended.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, twenty seventeen with the Eagles three and zero,

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Speaker 2: amazing playoff run six TVs. The next year he was

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Speaker 2: one to one in the playoffs, four and one in

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Speaker 2: the regular season, and it's like, Okay, he's fine, he's

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Speaker 2: a backup, and then again he flames out Nick Foles.

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Speaker 2: Fun fact, career record for Nick Foles twenty nine and

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Speaker 2: twenty nine. But in year two with Philly, his second

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Speaker 2: year in the league, he had twenty seven touchdowns and

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Speaker 2: two picks. So nick Foles is a backup. Awesome Nick Foles.

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Speaker 2: If he's your starter, you ain't going nowhere. I don't

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Speaker 2: know that Jared Stidham can pull in Nick Foles. That

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Speaker 2: would be shocking if you will. But there's a world

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Speaker 2: where he does enough to win this game. I just again,

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Speaker 2: I don't see a world where there's a bunch of

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Speaker 2: quarterbacks on the market and somebody's gonna be going to Pittsburgh. Now,

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Speaker 2: I did hear I forget was it Daniel Jeremiah on

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Speaker 2: this podcast who said that the Steelers like Will Howard

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Speaker 2: and that they they you know, they're gonna give him

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Speaker 2: a shot. I think that's listen. I know Steelers fans

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Speaker 2: are gonna be disappointed. If you've got no quarterback, a

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Speaker 2: gap year where you're terrible, and you win three games

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Speaker 2: and have a top five pick, that's what you need.

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Speaker 2: You go grab Ben Roethlisberger and it's game on. So

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Speaker 2: Steeler's job not a good one. It's still not filled.

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Speaker 2: Arizona's not filled, Cleveland not filled. It's funny Jesse Minter

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Speaker 2: is interviewing for head coaching jobs. Cleveland says, can you

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Speaker 2: come talk to us about being defensive coordinator? He's like, yeah,

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna stay in Baltimore and take the head coaching job.

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Speaker 2: Cleveland just doesn't get it. That's freaking embarrassing. So Jesse

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Speaker 2: Minterer big big hire for the Ravens. Obviously, the big

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Speaker 2: question is what are they gonna do offensively to work

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Speaker 2: with Lamar Jackson. I personally think that the AFC is

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Speaker 2: really loaded, and I don't think Baltimore is a lock

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Speaker 2: to get back to the playoffs next year. I said

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Speaker 2: that about the Chiefs. I know all these people are

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Speaker 2: geeked because Travis Kelsey went on his podcast and was like, Oh, Eric,

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Speaker 2: the enemy's coming back. I'm so jacked. I can't wait

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Speaker 2: to see him in the building and he's like saying

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Speaker 2: all the right things. I just remind you, guys, Drake

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Speaker 2: May and the Patriots are here to stay. Josh Allen

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Speaker 2: is going to be a playoff team. I don't think

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Speaker 2: they are going to be winning a super Bowl unless

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Speaker 2: they make big moves in the offseason. We'll see what

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Speaker 2: their head coaching situation is. Miami, I don't think they're

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Speaker 2: going anywhere. We know the Jets are not Steelers Regress

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Speaker 2: Ravens could win the division. I think the Bengals, you know,

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Speaker 2: we talk continuity. I don't love their coach, but they're

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Speaker 2: keeping them. When Burrow's healthy, They're gonna win games. They

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Speaker 2: probably win the division. Browns are gonna stink. Jacksonville I

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Speaker 2: think is here to stay with Cohen Cohen and Trevor Lawrence.

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Speaker 2: Houston Texans. I know people just are done with CJ. Stroud.

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Speaker 2: He had an awful postseason. They're keeping everything. Trust me,

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Speaker 2: They're not going anywhere Colts. I think it's gonna be

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Speaker 2: a tough up pill climb with Daniel Jones coming off

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Speaker 2: the injury. Tennessee Titans are definitely a team to watch

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Speaker 2: with Robert Salah, Let's see who they're OC is. But

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Speaker 2: I like the Robert Sala higher Denver. I mean, I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna go ahead and assume they're gonna be still one

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Speaker 2: of the better teams in the AFC. West Chargers are

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Speaker 2: gonna get better even though they lost Minter. They add

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Speaker 2: Mike McDaniel, Chiefs will probably win a couple more games.

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Speaker 2: I don't think Darris slam Dunk can get back to

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Speaker 2: the playoffs. And let's see what happens with Mendoza and

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Speaker 2: the Raiders. They also don't have a head coaching job.

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Speaker 2: The only name I keep hearing is Clint Kubiak. That's

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Speaker 2: why they're just like puttering around. Apparently the Raiders really

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Speaker 2: really want to pair their young quarterback Mendoza with Kubiak,

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Speaker 2: who's the OC for Seattle. Seattle is still playing, So

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Speaker 2: if you're a Raiders fan, I'm gonna go ahead and

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Speaker 2: say you're rooting for the Rams this weekend. So Seattle's

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Speaker 2: out and then you can grab kubiak. All right, that's

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Speaker 2: a mini breakdown of the AFC. Now let's get into

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Speaker 2: the games.

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Speaker 1: Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk lineup in

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Speaker 1: the nation. Catch all of our shows at Foxsports Radio

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Speaker 1: dot com and within the iHeartRadio app. Search FSR to

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Speaker 1: listen live.

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Speaker 2: All right, so, as we record this, the Patriots are

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Speaker 2: five point favorites against the Denver Broncos, although it looks

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Speaker 2: like it's going to be headed back to four and

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Speaker 2: a half. I gotta be honest, anybody who tells you

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Speaker 2: they know what Jared Sidham is gonna do or what's

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Speaker 2: coming is just lying to you. Nobody has any clue.

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Speaker 2: The guy hasn't thrown a pass in the NFL in

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Speaker 2: two seasons. Okay, December twenty twenty three is the last

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Speaker 2: time he threw a pass in the NFL. So I

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Speaker 2: don't want to hear this. Oh yeah, Jered Sillim's an

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Speaker 2: awesome backup this idea that Sean Payton is telling him. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: he's one of the top thirty two guys in the league.

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Speaker 2: I mean maybe on potential or talent, but what the

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Speaker 2: hell does that mean? How could you say, oh, yeah,

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Speaker 2: this is what's good. Like even lining numbers for Jared

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Speaker 2: Sidam is difficult. The range of outcomes for this game

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Speaker 2: is massive. If if Jared Sidham was nails and he

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Speaker 2: was sixteen of nineteen, he had every short pass, Patriots

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Speaker 2: missed a million tackles, Makey's fumbling, no turnovers from the Broncos,

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Speaker 2: and Denver wins twenty six to ten, would not be surprised.

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Speaker 2: Jared Steadu comes out, vomits all over himself, can't move

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Speaker 2: the football descripted drive is a disaster. Patriots win twenty

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Speaker 2: three to six. Yeah, that could have happened to this

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Speaker 2: turns it to a shootout and it's a thirty three

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Speaker 2: to thirty barnboard. Yeah, I don't. I just have no idea.

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Speaker 2: Nobody can say comfortably what Jared Saidam is gonna give you.

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Speaker 2: We just don't know. I mean, I will say this though.

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Speaker 2: The new Egle Patriots run defense is different these last

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Speaker 2: two weeks with Milton Williams, the big guy they signed.

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Speaker 2: He was with the Eagles last year and the Patriots

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Speaker 2: were in a tug of war with the Panthers for

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Speaker 2: him in the offseason. It looked like he was going

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Speaker 2: to the Panthers Patriots come in and steal him, and

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Speaker 2: it was a huge steal for them. So he missed

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Speaker 2: I believe, six or seven games late in the season

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Speaker 2: and their run defense was leaky. He comes back last

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Speaker 2: week Texans running backs thirty one rushing yards Wild Card Round,

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Speaker 2: thirty rushing yards for receivers on the Chargers, and it's like, wow,

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Speaker 2: that's it. Running backs combined for sixty one yards in

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Speaker 2: two weeks. Well shucks. If the Patriots take away the

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Speaker 2: Denver run game, now this is a little different because

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Speaker 2: those two offensive lines stink right. Chargers' offensive line missing

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Speaker 2: the tackles not good. Houston offensive line putrid, and oh,

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Speaker 2: by the way, the left tackle without hurt in the

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Speaker 2: middle of the game. Broncos have a top five, top

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Speaker 2: six offensive line in the league. If they're unable to

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Speaker 2: run on this Patriots run defense, all of a sudden,

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Speaker 2: you've got, oh damn well, Jared Stidham's gotta go get

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Speaker 2: us points. And I'll just say that I do like

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Speaker 2: Christian Gazales a lot at corner, and maybe he just

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Speaker 2: follows around Courtland Sutton or he takes away one side

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Speaker 2: of the field. I have some concerns about Sidham that

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Speaker 2: being said, Sean Payton and this is a killer. Love

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Speaker 2: to bade. Backup quarterbacks historically has done pretty well for me.

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Speaker 2: And again it's not always you don't automatically fade them,

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Speaker 2: but against good defensive coaches, I love to fade them.

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Speaker 2: And Sean Payton has been awesome with backup quarterbacks historically.

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Speaker 2: Going back to New Orleans, Teddy Bridgewater was a killer

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Speaker 2: for him. Backing up Drew Brees just awesome. Peyton can

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Speaker 2: scheme it up with the best of them. And there's

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Speaker 2: a world here where Jarrett Sidham is able to hit

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Speaker 2: a bunch of dump offs. And that's why I'm looking

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Speaker 2: at props. I haven't fired on any props yet, but

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Speaker 2: I am looking at props for touchdowns, for like running

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Speaker 2: back receptions, tight end touchdowns. I mean, you could get

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Speaker 2: let's see here, anytime scorer on the biggest think about it.

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Speaker 2: Backup quarterback. He's not gonna want to throw it down

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Speaker 2: the ball, deep down the field right out of the game.

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Speaker 2: He's not going to be chucking bombs because the confidence

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Speaker 2: isn't there. He's not used to the speed of the

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Speaker 2: of the defense early in the game. I mean, he

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Speaker 2: has to throw a pass in two years he comes

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Speaker 2: in and does kneel downs guys. So I'm looking at guy,

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Speaker 2: a guy like so Adam Trautman is plus nine oh

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Speaker 2: nine to score. To me, that's like an appealing prop bet.

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Speaker 2: You know, even the backup Nate Adkins plus thirteen hundred.

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Speaker 2: What do backup quarterbacks feel comfortable doing dump offs? Who

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Speaker 2: do you dump it off to? Tight End's in the

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Speaker 2: flat tight end screen running backs in the flat. So

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Speaker 2: I think that is probably where Peyton does a lot

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Speaker 2: of his damage. And I mean it's probably gonna take

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Speaker 2: a minute for Vrabel And there is a world where

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Speaker 2: you know, Sean Payton company come out and instantly, oh

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Speaker 2: they're doing three tight end. We didn't anticipate that they're

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Speaker 2: going four wide, five wide. That's a shocker. So I

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Speaker 2: think there is a chance you could bet in the

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Speaker 2: first quarter, first half, maybe that Denver covers or is

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Speaker 2: leading as the Patriots are slow to adjust. We know

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Speaker 2: what Drake May wants to do, and we'll get to that.

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Speaker 2: But for me, the Denver offense is just a total

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Speaker 2: black box. Anything could happen. I don't know what's gonna

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Speaker 2: what's in there. No, I don't think anybody does. And

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Speaker 2: what gets interesting is this Denver defense, I feel is

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Speaker 2: criminally overrated. Everybody keeps saying, Oh, they're amazing because they

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Speaker 2: got Patrick Sartan. Oh they are incredible because of the

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Speaker 2: pass rushers coming off the edge. Benito and guys. They

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Speaker 2: got cooked a million times, including at home by some

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Speaker 2: mediocre I mean for keeping a real go look at

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Speaker 2: the numbers Jackson dart put up in Denver. I mean,

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Speaker 2: go look on the road what Daniel Jones and the

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Speaker 2: Colts did to Denver. And I remember vividly because I

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Speaker 2: tweeted it about at the time. Daniel Jones was not

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Speaker 2: afraid of going at Patrick Shartan. You're going right at

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Speaker 2: him with throwing a Pittman. I mean, they gave up

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Speaker 2: twenty nine to the Colts. The Chargers kind of had

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Speaker 2: their way with them. Chargers one, they gave up thirty

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Speaker 2: two to the Giants that took a miracle bon Knicks

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Speaker 2: come back in that one. Who was the Washington This

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Speaker 2: was this Jaden Daniels, No, it was Marcus Mariota. Remember

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Speaker 2: that Sunday night game. Now that was in Washington. Denver

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Speaker 2: got lucky, pulled out a one point winning overtime, but

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Speaker 2: Marcus Mariota had a pretty good game. Green Bay was

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Speaker 2: absolutely trucking these guys before the injuries mounted. And Josh

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Speaker 2: Allen last week, if he doesn't vomit all over him.

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Speaker 2: So with turnovers, and we're being real, guys, it was

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Speaker 2: Josh Allen with the turnovers. It was not anything that

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Speaker 2: you know, the Denver defense was doing. So I'm of

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Speaker 2: the belief that Pat Drake Ma can have some success here.

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Speaker 2: And I did do a little bit of a deep dive. Okay,

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Speaker 2: this is I'm gonna nerd out, and I wrote about

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Speaker 2: this on the site. So expected points added EPA per

404
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Speaker 2: play is like the number one stat right now for gambling, Okay,

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Speaker 2: especially for quarterbacks, and it essentially takes a lot of

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Speaker 2: stuff into account, but you're heavily penalized if you take sacks.

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Speaker 2: And I noticed Drake may took the second most sacks

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Speaker 2: in the NFL this season, behind Justin Herbert, who had

409
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Speaker 2: no offensive line. And I'm like, well, wait a second,

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Speaker 2: how is he number one in EPA per play better

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Speaker 2: than every quarterback when he's taken a million sacks. So

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Speaker 2: you look into it, and a couple aspects really helped

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Speaker 2: Drake May. Now, obviously scrambling is huge. You know, third

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Speaker 2: and five, nothing there, We're scrambling and we're getting it.

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Speaker 2: So that's very very positive. And make May wins with

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Speaker 2: his legs. I think he had the third or fourth

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Speaker 2: most rushing yards among all quarterbacks. So that's one second

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Speaker 2: is I don't mind taking a sack here and there

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Speaker 2: because a my completion percentage is high. He led the

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Speaker 2: league at seventy two percent. Not a lot of incompletions

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Speaker 2: down a lot of drops and then the kicker. He's

422
00:22:59,640 --> 00:23:04,400
Speaker 2: winning with big plays. No quarterback hit more big plays

423
00:23:05,000 --> 00:23:09,679
Speaker 2: than Drake May led the NFL in explosive pass rate

424
00:23:11,000 --> 00:23:14,400
Speaker 2: twenty percent of his explosive twenty percent of his pass

425
00:23:14,440 --> 00:23:17,800
Speaker 2: plays were explosive plays of over twenty yards. So essentially,

426
00:23:17,880 --> 00:23:22,520
Speaker 2: what he's doing is he's taking some small losses, these sacks,

427
00:23:23,359 --> 00:23:28,359
Speaker 2: but winning with these huge plays that override all the sacks. Like,

428
00:23:28,400 --> 00:23:30,520
Speaker 2: who cares if you're getting sacked, if you're completing sixty

429
00:23:30,600 --> 00:23:33,040
Speaker 2: yard touchdowns that Tampa game, if you guys remember it,

430
00:23:33,640 --> 00:23:35,520
Speaker 2: like they were struggling in that game, and then boom,

431
00:23:35,880 --> 00:23:39,320
Speaker 2: Trevon Henderson, huge play, boom. One of the little receivers,

432
00:23:39,440 --> 00:23:43,200
Speaker 2: humongous play and they have three long touchdowns and it's

433
00:23:43,200 --> 00:23:46,439
Speaker 2: almost like, oh, the sacks didn't matter. Now here's what's interesting.

434
00:23:46,520 --> 00:23:49,200
Speaker 2: He could not break off the long plays against the Chargers,

435
00:23:49,240 --> 00:23:51,240
Speaker 2: but he had that huge run with his legs. He

436
00:23:51,359 --> 00:23:54,000
Speaker 2: couldn't do much. It could not get separation from the Texans.

437
00:23:54,200 --> 00:23:57,439
Speaker 2: But he hits that bomb to Booty down the sideline,

438
00:23:57,480 --> 00:24:02,440
Speaker 2: the one handed catch. I mean essentially, this is his hack.

439
00:24:02,880 --> 00:24:04,960
Speaker 2: I hit big plays. Well, what if the Broncos were

440
00:24:04,960 --> 00:24:07,919
Speaker 2: able to take away the big play. Now they did

441
00:24:08,040 --> 00:24:11,400
Speaker 2: lead the NFL in sacks, and so that's one way

442
00:24:11,440 --> 00:24:13,159
Speaker 2: to erase the big play. We're just gonna get to

443
00:24:13,160 --> 00:24:17,160
Speaker 2: your quarterback and not let him beat you. So does

444
00:24:17,240 --> 00:24:18,639
Speaker 2: Drake May hit a bunch of big plays in this

445
00:24:18,720 --> 00:24:21,000
Speaker 2: against a Denver defense that has been prone to give

446
00:24:21,119 --> 00:24:25,000
Speaker 2: up some points to quarterbacks. With this crazy rush, are

447
00:24:25,040 --> 00:24:27,360
Speaker 2: we going to see Drake May like some dump offs

448
00:24:27,400 --> 00:24:30,320
Speaker 2: to Henderson and boom, he's gone for fifty yards. I

449
00:24:30,400 --> 00:24:33,880
Speaker 2: mean again, we saw Josh Allen hit some stuff down

450
00:24:33,920 --> 00:24:35,919
Speaker 2: the field, not a ton. James Cook was peeling off

451
00:24:35,960 --> 00:24:40,040
Speaker 2: a bunch of ten fifteen yard carries. So this game

452
00:24:40,160 --> 00:24:42,000
Speaker 2: is crazy to handicap for me. I took a flyer

453
00:24:42,080 --> 00:24:44,520
Speaker 2: on the over over forty two, forty two and a

454
00:24:44,520 --> 00:24:46,960
Speaker 2: half over that, and I did take the points with Denver.

455
00:24:47,520 --> 00:24:50,040
Speaker 2: I trust Sean Payton here to cook something up. I

456
00:24:50,119 --> 00:24:52,359
Speaker 2: think this is a big step up for the Patriots

457
00:24:52,440 --> 00:24:55,879
Speaker 2: going on the road, right. I know they're facing a

458
00:24:55,920 --> 00:24:58,280
Speaker 2: backup quarterback, but I do think going on the road

459
00:24:58,359 --> 00:25:01,040
Speaker 2: here against what's going to be a you stup Denver crowd,

460
00:25:01,080 --> 00:25:03,720
Speaker 2: weather's not going to be a factor, and I think

461
00:25:03,760 --> 00:25:07,480
Speaker 2: this is close. I'll go something like twenty four, twenty

462
00:25:07,560 --> 00:25:10,560
Speaker 2: seven to twenty three Patriots win. I do like the

463
00:25:10,600 --> 00:25:14,600
Speaker 2: Patriots to win. I do the dead recovers, and ultimately

464
00:25:14,800 --> 00:25:17,720
Speaker 2: I got the over. You heard where I'm looking for props,

465
00:25:17,760 --> 00:25:21,800
Speaker 2: so I'll put them on on ig stories once we

466
00:25:21,880 --> 00:25:26,160
Speaker 2: get closer. All right, let's go to the real game,

467
00:25:26,240 --> 00:25:29,320
Speaker 2: the varsity matchup, and that is rams Seahawks.

468
00:25:30,640 --> 00:25:33,520
Speaker 1: Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk lineup in

469
00:25:33,560 --> 00:25:36,920
Speaker 1: the nation. Catch all of our shows at Foxsports Radio

470
00:25:37,080 --> 00:25:41,159
Speaker 1: dot com and within the iHeartRadio app search FSR to

471
00:25:41,280 --> 00:25:41,920
Speaker 1: listen live.

472
00:25:43,200 --> 00:25:44,880
Speaker 2: All right, I'm trying not to do that thing where

473
00:25:44,920 --> 00:25:49,280
Speaker 2: I go heart overhead, but I did bet the Rams

474
00:25:49,400 --> 00:25:52,960
Speaker 2: plus three with some juice minus one thirty three, So

475
00:25:53,080 --> 00:25:55,639
Speaker 2: they do not want to give you the three. And frankly,

476
00:25:55,720 --> 00:25:57,680
Speaker 2: you know these two teams have played super close games.

477
00:25:57,840 --> 00:25:59,960
Speaker 2: Rams won the first one by two, Seattle on this

478
00:26:00,160 --> 00:26:02,440
Speaker 2: going by one, so two and a half is not

479
00:26:02,520 --> 00:26:04,639
Speaker 2: a terrible number. I just know that three is the

480
00:26:04,720 --> 00:26:06,960
Speaker 2: key number. I don't mind paying a little bit extra

481
00:26:07,520 --> 00:26:10,520
Speaker 2: for the three. Now I'll give you the negative first.

482
00:26:10,680 --> 00:26:13,639
Speaker 2: Remember you're talking to somebody or you're listening to somebody

483
00:26:13,680 --> 00:26:15,919
Speaker 2: who wanted to be a lawyer when he was a kid.

484
00:26:15,960 --> 00:26:18,680
Speaker 2: So I do like to balance both sides. I think

485
00:26:18,720 --> 00:26:20,359
Speaker 2: that's the smart way to gamble, as opposed to just

486
00:26:20,400 --> 00:26:22,399
Speaker 2: be like I think this, I think this, I'm pot committed.

487
00:26:24,640 --> 00:26:27,960
Speaker 2: The negatives for the Rams that jump out number one,

488
00:26:28,320 --> 00:26:32,560
Speaker 2: third straight road game. So they were at Carolina, then

489
00:26:32,560 --> 00:26:36,080
Speaker 2: they're at Chicago, now you're at Seattle. The history of

490
00:26:36,359 --> 00:26:40,080
Speaker 2: teams going on their third straight road game in the

491
00:26:40,119 --> 00:26:45,840
Speaker 2: playoffs straight up twelve and thirty. That's not great. Okay,

492
00:26:48,240 --> 00:26:56,720
Speaker 2: here it gets worse. The Rams are oft an overtime

493
00:26:56,800 --> 00:27:01,439
Speaker 2: game where their defense was on the field for one place.

494
00:27:02,800 --> 00:27:07,600
Speaker 2: They've got to be exhausted. Remember, Rams did not get

495
00:27:08,320 --> 00:27:13,800
Speaker 2: a late bye. They didn't get Week eighteen to rest. Essentially,

496
00:27:14,280 --> 00:27:17,720
Speaker 2: the Rams have been playing. Their bye week was October

497
00:27:17,920 --> 00:27:22,320
Speaker 2: twenty sixth they and you can see the defense starting

498
00:27:22,400 --> 00:27:26,040
Speaker 2: to leak oil down the stretch, right you had even

499
00:27:26,080 --> 00:27:30,120
Speaker 2: against Arizona, they give up twenty In Week eighteen against Atlanta,

500
00:27:30,640 --> 00:27:33,359
Speaker 2: defense kind of got carved up by frickin' Kirk Cousins

501
00:27:34,720 --> 00:27:36,840
Speaker 2: the barn burner in Seattle, and that game was wacky.

502
00:27:37,240 --> 00:27:41,800
Speaker 2: We'll get into it, but Seahawks scored thirty seven. The Lions,

503
00:27:41,840 --> 00:27:45,040
Speaker 2: they scored thirty four on them, I mean, hell Carolina

504
00:27:45,040 --> 00:27:46,879
Speaker 2: and the playoffs scored thirty one and they prend and

505
00:27:46,880 --> 00:27:48,720
Speaker 2: the Rams probably should have lost to the Bears. It's

506
00:27:49,000 --> 00:27:52,840
Speaker 2: very clear that the defense is playing tired. I mean,

507
00:27:52,920 --> 00:27:56,040
Speaker 2: Caleb had a three turnover game. That's the first one

508
00:27:56,119 --> 00:27:57,760
Speaker 2: he's ever had. And a lot of credit if you

509
00:27:57,840 --> 00:27:59,719
Speaker 2: listened to the podcast earlier this week to Chris Shula

510
00:28:00,080 --> 00:28:02,280
Speaker 2: Defensive Mastermind, it sounds like he's going to be getting

511
00:28:02,320 --> 00:28:06,320
Speaker 2: the Pittsburgh Steelers job. Chris Shula doing a great job.

512
00:28:07,600 --> 00:28:10,560
Speaker 2: So those are just a couple of the negatives, right

513
00:28:10,680 --> 00:28:14,000
Speaker 2: these trends, I'm not a trend better I think that

514
00:28:14,080 --> 00:28:16,719
Speaker 2: stuff matters. There's something there. Thurstraight road game, they did

515
00:28:16,760 --> 00:28:19,840
Speaker 2: look tired. And oh, by the way, the other aspect,

516
00:28:20,280 --> 00:28:27,200
Speaker 2: they played an overtime game Sunday, Seattle played Saturday Extra Day. Yes,

517
00:28:27,280 --> 00:28:29,600
Speaker 2: I'm sure the Rams defense is tired. That being said,

518
00:28:29,760 --> 00:28:32,440
Speaker 2: here's some of the good stuff. So in that Week

519
00:28:32,560 --> 00:28:37,359
Speaker 2: sixteen game, which is not long ago December eighteenth, the

520
00:28:37,520 --> 00:28:41,920
Speaker 2: Rams were a machine offensively twenty six first downs, five

521
00:28:42,080 --> 00:28:45,520
Speaker 2: hundred and eighty one yards of total offense, five hundred

522
00:28:45,560 --> 00:28:51,120
Speaker 2: eighty one, no turnovers, got to the red zone six times.

523
00:28:51,960 --> 00:28:54,880
Speaker 2: And it should be noted they played without their best

524
00:28:55,000 --> 00:29:00,680
Speaker 2: offensive lineman Dotson, who's back, and they played without DeVante Adams. Repeat,

525
00:29:00,760 --> 00:29:03,520
Speaker 2: they scored thirty seven points, had five hundred and eighty

526
00:29:03,520 --> 00:29:05,800
Speaker 2: one yards, and they did not have DeVante Adams. Puka

527
00:29:05,880 --> 00:29:11,320
Speaker 2: Nakua went twelve for two twenty five. They rushed for

528
00:29:11,360 --> 00:29:15,480
Speaker 2: a buck twenty four. So the Rams rolled this amazing

529
00:29:15,560 --> 00:29:19,120
Speaker 2: Seattle defense minus DeVante and their best offensive lineman both

530
00:29:19,160 --> 00:29:22,760
Speaker 2: are back. By the way, that's one aspect that I like.

531
00:29:23,240 --> 00:29:27,080
Speaker 2: I do believe that this Zach Charboney loss is massive.

532
00:29:28,640 --> 00:29:31,440
Speaker 2: I dug into it. Charboney was integral to this team

533
00:29:31,640 --> 00:29:35,840
Speaker 2: in multiple facets. In both of the matchups against the Rams,

534
00:29:35,880 --> 00:29:38,840
Speaker 2: he had thirteen touches, not just rushing but also catching

535
00:29:38,880 --> 00:29:42,880
Speaker 2: the football. And this is where it gets big. Charbona

536
00:29:44,560 --> 00:29:48,560
Speaker 2: is their better blocking back. Kenneth Walker is their more

537
00:29:48,600 --> 00:29:53,480
Speaker 2: explosive back. He does not block historically. Charboney is held

538
00:29:53,560 --> 00:29:56,080
Speaker 2: in on known passing downs where they need a better

539
00:29:56,120 --> 00:30:00,920
Speaker 2: blocker play action, Charbone is your guy. Why that amplified

540
00:30:01,680 --> 00:30:04,240
Speaker 2: is that they have a cluster injury at left tackle.

541
00:30:04,320 --> 00:30:08,720
Speaker 2: The starter Charles Cross is hurt, unlikely that he's gonna play.

542
00:30:09,560 --> 00:30:14,440
Speaker 2: Josh Jones is the backup. He's also hurt. The third

543
00:30:14,600 --> 00:30:18,960
Speaker 2: string left tackle is Amari Knight. He has missed practice.

544
00:30:19,720 --> 00:30:23,600
Speaker 2: All of this adds up to what the hell are

545
00:30:23,640 --> 00:30:26,080
Speaker 2: the Seahawks going to do to backfill the left tackle position.

546
00:30:27,720 --> 00:30:30,440
Speaker 2: So Cross hasn't practiced this week, nor has Jones, nor

547
00:30:30,520 --> 00:30:33,800
Speaker 2: has Knight. This is what the Bears did when they

548
00:30:34,040 --> 00:30:37,360
Speaker 2: lost their left tackle. They moved their best lineman, Joe

549
00:30:37,400 --> 00:30:40,520
Speaker 2: Toney to left tackle. He's a guard. They kicked him

550
00:30:40,520 --> 00:30:44,680
Speaker 2: to left tackle. So the bet is Seattle is probably

551
00:30:44,760 --> 00:30:49,080
Speaker 2: gonna do the same with Zabel, their very good guard

552
00:30:49,400 --> 00:30:52,440
Speaker 2: who's a rookie out of North Dakota State. He has

553
00:30:52,480 --> 00:30:56,280
Speaker 2: had a great, really good season, and they would move

554
00:30:56,400 --> 00:31:00,560
Speaker 2: him outside to match up with Jared Verse, who you

555
00:31:00,720 --> 00:31:03,320
Speaker 2: don't want wrecking your game off the edge. But you

556
00:31:03,440 --> 00:31:05,680
Speaker 2: can see why. I believe that is huge. So you're

557
00:31:05,840 --> 00:31:10,240
Speaker 2: down potentially three left tackles and your best blocking running back.

558
00:31:11,360 --> 00:31:16,200
Speaker 2: That's horrible, really really bad. So you're saying, okay, well

559
00:31:16,240 --> 00:31:19,520
Speaker 2: they got Kenneth Walker. What's the running back depth chart like?

560
00:31:20,040 --> 00:31:23,080
Speaker 2: And folks, I don't know about you unless I'm missing something.

561
00:31:23,800 --> 00:31:26,240
Speaker 2: This running back depth chart features a former RAM named

562
00:31:26,360 --> 00:31:29,000
Speaker 2: Cam Akers. Now we know he don't practice. I mean,

563
00:31:29,040 --> 00:31:31,520
Speaker 2: he's sorry, he doesn't block, has had some big fumbles.

564
00:31:32,400 --> 00:31:34,960
Speaker 2: They got a guy named George Holani, who I don't

565
00:31:34,960 --> 00:31:38,120
Speaker 2: Oh no, I'm sorry, he's on IR. So Charbonay's on

566
00:31:38,200 --> 00:31:42,840
Speaker 2: IR or he's injured and out Holdani's on IR per

567
00:31:42,960 --> 00:31:51,480
Speaker 2: Pro Football Focus and the backups are Cam Akers. Oh

568
00:31:51,520 --> 00:31:53,320
Speaker 2: my gosh, this guy's hurt too, Holy cow. And I

569
00:31:53,320 --> 00:31:58,160
Speaker 2: guess it's gonna be Velus Jones, the former Chicago Bear.

570
00:31:58,800 --> 00:32:02,600
Speaker 2: Holy hell. So he had one snap in week four one,

571
00:32:02,680 --> 00:32:05,600
Speaker 2: in week five six, in Week fourteen, one in Week

572
00:32:05,640 --> 00:32:08,560
Speaker 2: fifteen and eleven, so he had more snaps last week

573
00:32:09,280 --> 00:32:14,840
Speaker 2: than he did all season. Vilas Jones should something happened

574
00:32:14,840 --> 00:32:18,880
Speaker 2: to Kenneth Walker. That's really, really, really bad news. So

575
00:32:19,160 --> 00:32:21,520
Speaker 2: I think these injuries are being underplayed in the media.

576
00:32:21,600 --> 00:32:23,920
Speaker 2: It's all being like, oh, Seattle defense against the Rams,

577
00:32:24,200 --> 00:32:28,160
Speaker 2: that's all you're hearing. But these injuries are huge, so

578
00:32:28,920 --> 00:32:32,800
Speaker 2: obviously pass protection could be an issue. And then it

579
00:32:32,880 --> 00:32:36,240
Speaker 2: comes down to, you know, Okay, Jay, who's a better coach? Well, obviously,

580
00:32:36,480 --> 00:32:38,480
Speaker 2: you know you gotta go with mcvayh Now, I like

581
00:32:38,560 --> 00:32:41,000
Speaker 2: McDonald a lot, he's excellent, but gotta go with McVeagh.

582
00:32:41,720 --> 00:32:44,320
Speaker 2: And oh, by the way, mcveay's offense in that meeting

583
00:32:44,400 --> 00:32:46,920
Speaker 2: in Seattle, they did whatever they wanted. They kind of

584
00:32:46,920 --> 00:32:49,320
Speaker 2: stopped playing in the fourth, which was dumb, but return

585
00:32:49,360 --> 00:32:52,760
Speaker 2: flip the game wackiness, blah blah blah loose. Mcvay's coming

586
00:32:52,800 --> 00:32:54,560
Speaker 2: off a bad game where I think he admitted that

587
00:32:54,640 --> 00:32:58,200
Speaker 2: he had a bad game plan, way too many passes

588
00:32:58,240 --> 00:33:01,120
Speaker 2: in inclement weather with a quarterback who didn't seem one

589
00:33:01,160 --> 00:33:05,360
Speaker 2: hundred percent given the hand thing against the Panthers, who's

590
00:33:05,400 --> 00:33:09,600
Speaker 2: a better offensive line undeniably Rams, who's a better quarterback

591
00:33:09,800 --> 00:33:14,000
Speaker 2: undeniably Stafford. Sam Donald has one playoff win, hasn't thrown

592
00:33:14,120 --> 00:33:18,160
Speaker 2: an impact fourth quarter pass in his playoff history because

593
00:33:18,200 --> 00:33:22,200
Speaker 2: the games have been blowouts. I get the trend lines.

594
00:33:22,880 --> 00:33:26,120
Speaker 2: The trend line say Seattle. All the defensive numbers say Seattle.

595
00:33:26,160 --> 00:33:29,960
Speaker 2: I was reading this guy puts out a substack and

596
00:33:30,040 --> 00:33:34,480
Speaker 2: he had this ridiculous number. On the last seventy one drives,

597
00:33:35,640 --> 00:33:39,040
Speaker 2: the Seattle defense has given up five touchdowns. Now it

598
00:33:39,120 --> 00:33:44,320
Speaker 2: gets crazier outside of that Week sixteen game against the Rams,

599
00:33:44,400 --> 00:33:47,120
Speaker 2: Seattle's defense in the last fifty nine drives, they remove

600
00:33:47,200 --> 00:33:50,280
Speaker 2: Neil down drives fifty nine drives, they've given up two touchdowns.

601
00:33:50,520 --> 00:33:50,840
Speaker 2: That's it.

602
00:33:51,960 --> 00:33:52,080
Speaker 1: Now.

603
00:33:52,360 --> 00:33:53,880
Speaker 2: Part of that is, well, the forty nine ers wore

604
00:33:53,880 --> 00:33:57,320
Speaker 2: beat to hell, what are they gonna do? And then

605
00:33:57,360 --> 00:34:01,560
Speaker 2: who are you facing? And it's like, okay, Minnesota, Atlanta,

606
00:34:02,360 --> 00:34:09,080
Speaker 2: Philip Rivers in Indy, Carolina, in Carolina, and you know

607
00:34:10,400 --> 00:34:13,680
Speaker 2: a lot of junk in there. I'm rocket with the Rams.

608
00:34:13,920 --> 00:34:15,920
Speaker 2: So yeah, if you're wondering, I got money on the

609
00:34:16,000 --> 00:34:19,440
Speaker 2: dog in Denver, I got money on the over, I

610
00:34:19,560 --> 00:34:22,279
Speaker 2: got money on the Rams. I'll probably end up doing

611
00:34:22,920 --> 00:34:27,000
Speaker 2: some props. I think Kyrie Williams probably has a good game.

612
00:34:27,080 --> 00:34:29,440
Speaker 2: I think Kenneth Walker overs. They're gonna need him a lot,

613
00:34:29,480 --> 00:34:31,440
Speaker 2: and he does have some juice out of the backfield.

614
00:34:32,040 --> 00:34:34,080
Speaker 2: He's quick, explosive. He's had a couple of good games

615
00:34:34,080 --> 00:34:38,040
Speaker 2: in a row here in no charbonnay, and I'm very

616
00:34:38,080 --> 00:34:41,200
Speaker 2: excited for this game. I'm not gonna lie rooting Rams.

617
00:34:42,200 --> 00:34:44,120
Speaker 2: I don't like the Patriots, but if you want a

618
00:34:44,160 --> 00:34:46,360
Speaker 2: good Super Bowl, you kind of want the Patriots in there, right, Like,

619
00:34:46,880 --> 00:34:49,880
Speaker 2: I mean, honestly, Jared Sidham two weeks. I can't deal

620
00:34:49,920 --> 00:34:55,839
Speaker 2: with that. So long Friday Podcast. Enjoy the weekend, enjoy

621
00:34:55,920 --> 00:34:57,560
Speaker 2: the games. Talk to you Monday,