1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:18,840 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:12,760 --> 00:00:15,680 Speaker 2: Single best idea and thank you for listening what we're 3 00:00:15,680 --> 00:00:18,840 Speaker 2: trying to do here as a short podcast to fold 4 00:00:18,840 --> 00:00:22,280 Speaker 2: into your other longer listens, including The Big Take, and 5 00:00:22,360 --> 00:00:25,280 Speaker 2: you know many others that are out there just quietly 6 00:00:25,320 --> 00:00:28,600 Speaker 2: building here with two ideas each day from the many 7 00:00:28,680 --> 00:00:32,560 Speaker 2: conversations we have. Thank you to Henrietta Trees, who's really 8 00:00:32,600 --> 00:00:34,680 Speaker 2: been with us it seems now every third day or 9 00:00:34,760 --> 00:00:38,839 Speaker 2: so with ADA partners, explaining so nicely what's going on 10 00:00:38,960 --> 00:00:42,839 Speaker 2: in Washington and particularly on Capitol Hill. She's just been 11 00:00:42,880 --> 00:00:45,800 Speaker 2: a real value add. We did three interviews today in 12 00:00:45,800 --> 00:00:48,000 Speaker 2: a German election. Paul and I tried to take it 13 00:00:48,080 --> 00:00:52,560 Speaker 2: broader than just here are the results. A particular thanks 14 00:00:52,560 --> 00:00:56,320 Speaker 2: to Holger sch meeting a Barrenberg Bank who was really 15 00:00:56,400 --> 00:01:00,680 Speaker 2: patient about explaining the path from Conrad Adenauer out to 16 00:01:00,760 --> 00:01:05,320 Speaker 2: this immense turmoil in Germany and what it means for America. 17 00:01:05,360 --> 00:01:08,160 Speaker 2: So we thank him for that. Did a lot of 18 00:01:08,200 --> 00:01:11,560 Speaker 2: equity today. Bob Doles showed up with cross Mark some 19 00:01:11,680 --> 00:01:15,399 Speaker 2: caution on the market he wants to participate. Riveting was 20 00:01:15,520 --> 00:01:19,039 Speaker 2: Mike Wilson of Morgan Stanley, and of course he was 21 00:01:19,080 --> 00:01:23,199 Speaker 2: looking at Washington distractions, but any other. 22 00:01:23,080 --> 00:01:25,720 Speaker 3: Things that have been we've been focused on really in 23 00:01:25,720 --> 00:01:28,400 Speaker 3: no particular order. Terrorists, as you already mentioned. Number two, 24 00:01:28,880 --> 00:01:32,039 Speaker 3: we have immigration enforcement, which has been a huge fiscal 25 00:01:32,080 --> 00:01:35,080 Speaker 3: boost and also a labor supply boost. And then we 26 00:01:35,120 --> 00:01:37,960 Speaker 3: have dose right the Department government efficiency. They are off 27 00:01:38,000 --> 00:01:41,880 Speaker 3: to an aggressive start. I'm optimistic that probably more optimistic 28 00:01:41,880 --> 00:01:43,720 Speaker 3: than most, that they can make some headway there. But 29 00:01:43,840 --> 00:01:46,440 Speaker 3: remember the more successful they are in the short term, 30 00:01:46,640 --> 00:01:49,360 Speaker 3: the more growth negative that is in the near term 31 00:01:49,400 --> 00:01:50,800 Speaker 3: before you get to the good stuff. And then of 32 00:01:50,840 --> 00:01:56,240 Speaker 3: course the positive effects of policy like deregulation, maybe extending 33 00:01:56,320 --> 00:01:58,720 Speaker 3: the tax cuts on those come later in the year. 34 00:01:58,800 --> 00:02:03,360 Speaker 3: Those those require congressional approval, and so that's just not 35 00:02:03,520 --> 00:02:05,080 Speaker 3: you know, that's going to take six and twelve months, 36 00:02:05,080 --> 00:02:07,240 Speaker 3: and so the bad stuff first, a good stuff comes later. 37 00:02:08,120 --> 00:02:11,480 Speaker 2: Mike Wilson with Morgan Stanley done a lot on gold recently. 38 00:02:11,520 --> 00:02:14,440 Speaker 2: We'll get Dennis Gartman on who's got arguably the trade 39 00:02:14,480 --> 00:02:17,840 Speaker 2: of the decade. Gold is measured in Japanese. Yeah, and 40 00:02:17,880 --> 00:02:20,320 Speaker 2: of course with recent yen strength, maybe that's not as 41 00:02:20,760 --> 00:02:23,000 Speaker 2: successful as it was. Off to look at the chart 42 00:02:23,360 --> 00:02:26,639 Speaker 2: to check on that James Steele at HSBC has been 43 00:02:26,800 --> 00:02:32,480 Speaker 2: absolutely fabulous to come in for lengthy conversations on gold. 44 00:02:32,880 --> 00:02:36,079 Speaker 2: He and I looked back to the boom from Nixon 45 00:02:36,200 --> 00:02:39,720 Speaker 2: in thirty five dollars an ounce, through the seventies and 46 00:02:39,800 --> 00:02:41,079 Speaker 2: on to the eighties. 47 00:02:41,520 --> 00:02:44,359 Speaker 4: There's a lot of discussion now about that gold is 48 00:02:44,400 --> 00:02:47,639 Speaker 4: at new highest, and it is says at new Heinz 49 00:02:47,639 --> 00:02:51,120 Speaker 4: and nominal TEMs. The all time high is eight hundred 50 00:02:51,120 --> 00:02:54,200 Speaker 4: and fifty dollars in January of nineteen eighty with you 51 00:02:54,240 --> 00:02:56,400 Speaker 4: and I may all remember it right here. That's how 52 00:02:56,480 --> 00:03:00,360 Speaker 4: i'm standard deviations and not roughly as thirty four hundred 53 00:03:00,360 --> 00:03:04,880 Speaker 4: dollars in today's money. So there is on that basis alone, 54 00:03:04,880 --> 00:03:07,120 Speaker 4: and I'm not saying it would go there. There is 55 00:03:07,160 --> 00:03:09,760 Speaker 4: on that basis a historical precedent for the market to 56 00:03:09,760 --> 00:03:14,840 Speaker 4: go higher. But it did drop afterwards for ten or 57 00:03:14,919 --> 00:03:18,000 Speaker 4: fifteen years pretty so I dropped very quickly for the 58 00:03:18,000 --> 00:03:19,000 Speaker 4: next ten years. 59 00:03:19,400 --> 00:03:21,720 Speaker 2: Oh and I measured that we didn't have time to 60 00:03:21,760 --> 00:03:25,040 Speaker 2: get it on air, are you ready, folks from the 61 00:03:25,080 --> 00:03:27,880 Speaker 2: peak in the eighties, the gold bugs and all that 62 00:03:28,520 --> 00:03:32,240 Speaker 2: the price was down over fifty five percent in the 63 00:03:32,320 --> 00:03:36,360 Speaker 2: length of time of that agony was substantial. I don't 64 00:03:36,360 --> 00:03:38,480 Speaker 2: have an opinion on that. You will never get me 65 00:03:38,600 --> 00:03:41,640 Speaker 2: to say buy, hold, sell on gold. What I'll say 66 00:03:41,760 --> 00:03:44,720 Speaker 2: is we'd love for James Steel of HSBC to return. 67 00:03:45,320 --> 00:03:48,400 Speaker 2: Really just wonderful perspective. At the end of it, we 68 00:03:48,480 --> 00:03:53,400 Speaker 2: touched palladium. What does palladium do now with ev and 69 00:03:53,440 --> 00:03:56,120 Speaker 2: all that. I mean, you know, platinum and palladium, but 70 00:03:56,160 --> 00:03:58,800 Speaker 2: particularly palladium. I have no idea. I mean, we used 71 00:03:58,800 --> 00:04:00,800 Speaker 2: to talk about this stuff all the time time. Now 72 00:04:00,840 --> 00:04:04,360 Speaker 2: we talk about Apple and mag seven and you know 73 00:04:04,720 --> 00:04:07,680 Speaker 2: the rest of it. It is single best idea on 74 00:04:07,720 --> 00:04:10,920 Speaker 2: your commute across the nation. Thank you for listening, particularly 75 00:04:10,960 --> 00:04:15,240 Speaker 2: on Serious Exempt Channel one twenty one. On YouTube. 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