1 00:00:04,000 --> 00:00:08,320 Speaker 1: Broadcasting live to New York, Bloomberg eleventh, bo to Washington, 2 00:00:08,400 --> 00:00:12,520 Speaker 1: d C, Bloomberg to Boston, Bloomberg twelve, under It to 3 00:00:12,600 --> 00:00:17,040 Speaker 1: San Francisco, Bloomberg nine, to the Country series Exam General 4 00:00:17,120 --> 00:00:20,560 Speaker 1: one nine and around the globe the Bloomberg Radio Plus 5 00:00:20,600 --> 00:00:24,680 Speaker 1: Athen Bloomberg got gone. This is taking Stock. I'm Kathleen 6 00:00:24,720 --> 00:00:28,240 Speaker 1: Hayes on him, Fox PIM out of the office this afternoon. 7 00:00:28,360 --> 00:00:32,400 Speaker 1: FED in focus in this hour on taking Stock. Well, 8 00:00:32,479 --> 00:00:37,400 Speaker 1: uncertainty over the Brexit, the UK deciding to leave the 9 00:00:37,440 --> 00:00:41,360 Speaker 1: European Union. Could that slow the Fed's rate hiking hand 10 00:00:41,400 --> 00:00:44,080 Speaker 1: this month. We've got a guest coming up who says 11 00:00:44,200 --> 00:00:47,040 Speaker 1: it's short. Certainly should not and the Bank of England 12 00:00:47,040 --> 00:00:50,120 Speaker 1: has no business predicting that it breaks. It will cause 13 00:00:50,200 --> 00:00:53,600 Speaker 1: great harm to the UK economy. Now let's get to 14 00:00:53,640 --> 00:00:56,160 Speaker 1: Charlie Felton issue with a Bloomberg business flash, and I 15 00:00:56,200 --> 00:00:58,560 Speaker 1: thank you Kathleen. Right now, we've got the SMP highn 16 00:00:58,680 --> 00:01:02,120 Speaker 1: Nestak as well, dal Jones Industrial Average, Laurel by two 17 00:01:02,120 --> 00:01:05,319 Speaker 1: points little change, their SMP up a point, a gain 18 00:01:05,360 --> 00:01:08,120 Speaker 1: to point one percent, and Astack Higer by eight a 19 00:01:08,160 --> 00:01:10,720 Speaker 1: gain of two tenths of one percent. The U S 20 00:01:10,760 --> 00:01:14,560 Speaker 1: economy expanded at a modest pace across most of the 21 00:01:14,600 --> 00:01:18,080 Speaker 1: countries since mid April, causing the labor market to tighten. 22 00:01:18,120 --> 00:01:21,880 Speaker 1: Those employers continue adding jobs and nudging wages higher. We 23 00:01:21,920 --> 00:01:25,319 Speaker 1: will have more on the Beige Book coming right up here. 24 00:01:25,400 --> 00:01:28,760 Speaker 1: On taking Stock. Matt Bosler covers the Federal Reserve for 25 00:01:28,760 --> 00:01:31,560 Speaker 1: Bloomberg News. He was our guest minutes ago here on 26 00:01:31,720 --> 00:01:34,680 Speaker 1: taking Stock. One of the good things here is that, um, 27 00:01:34,720 --> 00:01:37,880 Speaker 1: you know, throughout this report there's a language about how 28 00:01:38,400 --> 00:01:41,760 Speaker 1: businesses are feeling generally optimistic about the outlook, which is 29 00:01:41,800 --> 00:01:44,880 Speaker 1: good because, um, you know, in the minutes of the 30 00:01:44,920 --> 00:01:47,720 Speaker 1: April f MC meeting that we're just released a few 31 00:01:47,760 --> 00:01:50,000 Speaker 1: weeks ago, there was a line in there about how 32 00:01:50,760 --> 00:01:55,160 Speaker 1: most of policymakers business contacts, Um, we're you know, delaying 33 00:01:55,320 --> 00:01:58,480 Speaker 1: expenditures and sort of waiting for uncertainty around the outlook 34 00:01:58,520 --> 00:02:00,880 Speaker 1: to to resolve. And right now we do have the 35 00:02:00,920 --> 00:02:03,160 Speaker 1: tenure up to thirty seconds with the yield of one 36 00:02:03,240 --> 00:02:06,600 Speaker 1: point eight three percent. Auto sales, Hey, it is the 37 00:02:06,640 --> 00:02:09,280 Speaker 1: first the day of the new month. Auto sales softer 38 00:02:09,360 --> 00:02:12,280 Speaker 1: than predicted and May a bell weather month that may 39 00:02:12,320 --> 00:02:16,080 Speaker 1: help the Federal Reserve decision decision makers determine whether the 40 00:02:16,120 --> 00:02:20,200 Speaker 1: economy can handle it. Interest rate increase this summer, GM, Ford, 41 00:02:20,240 --> 00:02:24,160 Speaker 1: Toyota all reporting sales that fell more than analysts had estimated. 42 00:02:24,200 --> 00:02:27,359 Speaker 1: GM shares they are down now by three point three percent. 43 00:02:27,720 --> 00:02:31,720 Speaker 1: Ford shares down by two point nine percent. Mixed picture 44 00:02:31,760 --> 00:02:34,400 Speaker 1: for US equities smp hier now by a point. The 45 00:02:34,440 --> 00:02:37,640 Speaker 1: Dow is down six points, Gold down three forty ounce 46 00:02:37,800 --> 00:02:41,000 Speaker 1: dropped there of three tenths of one percent to thirty 47 00:02:41,000 --> 00:02:42,880 Speaker 1: two on Wall Street. Now, let's take a look at 48 00:02:42,880 --> 00:02:45,600 Speaker 1: some of the other stories making us. Thank you Charlie 49 00:02:45,639 --> 00:02:48,800 Speaker 1: from the Bloomberg news room. I'm Ramie. In Essensio. Searchers 50 00:02:48,800 --> 00:02:50,520 Speaker 1: may have found a new clue in the hunt for 51 00:02:50,560 --> 00:02:52,360 Speaker 1: egypt Air Flight eight oh four that went down in 52 00:02:52,360 --> 00:02:55,400 Speaker 1: the Mediterranean Sea last month. Here's Bloomberg's Michael Barr. A 53 00:02:55,480 --> 00:02:58,840 Speaker 1: French Navy ship has picked up a ping that is 54 00:02:58,919 --> 00:03:02,400 Speaker 1: likely coming from the all important black boxes from an 55 00:03:02,440 --> 00:03:06,440 Speaker 1: egypt airplane that crashed May nine. If it is indeed 56 00:03:06,440 --> 00:03:08,600 Speaker 1: the flight recorders, you could be a major piece of 57 00:03:08,600 --> 00:03:11,240 Speaker 1: the puzzle as to what happened to Egypt Air Flight 58 00:03:11,360 --> 00:03:15,000 Speaker 1: eight oh four. Egypt's Ministry of Civil Aviations as once 59 00:03:15,040 --> 00:03:18,680 Speaker 1: the black boxes are located, a ship from deep ocean 60 00:03:18,760 --> 00:03:21,480 Speaker 1: Search we joined the effort in the Mediterranean to retrieve 61 00:03:21,520 --> 00:03:26,160 Speaker 1: the DEATHA recorders. The Arabs crashed while heading from Paris 62 00:03:26,160 --> 00:03:29,960 Speaker 1: to Cairo, killing all sixty six passengers and crew on board. 63 00:03:30,360 --> 00:03:34,640 Speaker 1: Michael Barr Bloomberg Radio for Your Health. Restaurants and food 64 00:03:34,680 --> 00:03:38,160 Speaker 1: manufacturers are being asked to hold the salt. Health and 65 00:03:38,280 --> 00:03:41,200 Speaker 1: Human Services Secretary at Sylvia Matthews Burwell on the new 66 00:03:41,240 --> 00:03:43,360 Speaker 1: guidelines in terms of what we're doing is creating a 67 00:03:43,400 --> 00:03:46,320 Speaker 1: situation where the consumers can control. If that consumer wants 68 00:03:46,360 --> 00:03:48,240 Speaker 1: to add more sodium, they're going to be able to 69 00:03:48,280 --> 00:03:50,920 Speaker 1: do it. What the consumer can't do now is take 70 00:03:51,000 --> 00:03:53,400 Speaker 1: it half of the product and have real knowledge about it. 71 00:03:53,600 --> 00:03:57,080 Speaker 1: Burwell also says seventy of the sodium that most people 72 00:03:57,120 --> 00:04:00,760 Speaker 1: consume comes from either prepared or processed food. And the 73 00:04:00,760 --> 00:04:03,640 Speaker 1: baby born in New Jersey has birth defects caused by 74 00:04:03,680 --> 00:04:06,040 Speaker 1: the zeke of virus. It's a first in the Tri 75 00:04:06,200 --> 00:04:08,760 Speaker 1: state region and only the second time it's happened in 76 00:04:08,800 --> 00:04:11,720 Speaker 1: the US. Hospital officials say the infants thirty one year 77 00:04:11,760 --> 00:04:15,480 Speaker 1: old mother is asking for privacy at Hackensack University Medical 78 00:04:15,520 --> 00:04:19,000 Speaker 1: Center as the newborn receives care. The mother is from Honduras, 79 00:04:19,040 --> 00:04:22,120 Speaker 1: where she may have contracted the virus. Global News twenty 80 00:04:22,120 --> 00:04:24,840 Speaker 1: four hours a day, powered by our journalists in more 81 00:04:24,839 --> 00:04:27,240 Speaker 1: than one fifty news bureaus around the world. From the 82 00:04:27,279 --> 00:04:31,440 Speaker 1: Bloomberg News Room. I'm Rami Innocentio Charlie, and we thank you, 83 00:04:31,480 --> 00:04:34,719 Speaker 1: and again recapping a mixed picture for US equities SMP 84 00:04:34,880 --> 00:04:38,080 Speaker 1: five hundred index higher by a lesser than half a point. 85 00:04:38,080 --> 00:04:41,440 Speaker 1: Now little change down, Industrials down twelve, a drop of 86 00:04:41,480 --> 00:04:46,320 Speaker 1: point one percent. I'm Charlie Pelt. That's a Bloombird business flash. 87 00:04:46,800 --> 00:04:51,000 Speaker 1: This is taking stock the FED in focus on Bloombird Radio. 88 00:04:52,240 --> 00:04:54,440 Speaker 1: I'm Kathleen Hayes, my co host Pim Fox. Out of 89 00:04:54,480 --> 00:04:56,840 Speaker 1: the office this afternoon, we're gonna take a look at 90 00:04:56,839 --> 00:05:01,200 Speaker 1: Brexit now, in particular warnings last month stark warnings from 91 00:05:01,240 --> 00:05:03,960 Speaker 1: the Bank of England that a vote to leave the 92 00:05:04,000 --> 00:05:07,279 Speaker 1: European Union by the UK, the so called Brexit, could 93 00:05:07,360 --> 00:05:11,360 Speaker 1: slam the brakes on growth in that area, push up unemployment, 94 00:05:11,480 --> 00:05:15,640 Speaker 1: stoke inflation, and spook forward investors. And the feder Reserve, 95 00:05:15,680 --> 00:05:18,840 Speaker 1: of course, has expressed some concern about not knowing the 96 00:05:18,880 --> 00:05:23,400 Speaker 1: result of the June Brexit before it votes on US 97 00:05:23,480 --> 00:05:26,159 Speaker 1: monetary policy on June fifteenth. Joining us now as a 98 00:05:26,200 --> 00:05:30,240 Speaker 1: guest who has slammed the Bank of England for making 99 00:05:30,320 --> 00:05:34,040 Speaker 1: such statements, saying that it is cynically exploiting its authority. 100 00:05:34,080 --> 00:05:37,880 Speaker 1: Ashoka Modi joins this now. He's a Bloom Review contributor. 101 00:05:38,279 --> 00:05:42,800 Speaker 1: He is also a visiting professor in International Economic Policy 102 00:05:42,839 --> 00:05:45,760 Speaker 1: at the Woodrow Wilson School at Princeton University, and previously 103 00:05:45,880 --> 00:05:48,400 Speaker 1: was Deputy director in the I m f S Research 104 00:05:48,440 --> 00:05:51,919 Speaker 1: and European Departments, and so much more. Professional Moody, welcome 105 00:05:51,920 --> 00:05:55,000 Speaker 1: to the show. Thank you, thank you very much. So 106 00:05:55,080 --> 00:05:57,040 Speaker 1: what do you think would happen? Let's start there. Do 107 00:05:57,080 --> 00:05:59,320 Speaker 1: you think the brigsit won't have much impact on the 108 00:05:59,400 --> 00:06:04,039 Speaker 1: UK economy if that occurs. I think Brexit will have 109 00:06:04,200 --> 00:06:09,479 Speaker 1: some impact, but how much impact it has will depend 110 00:06:09,600 --> 00:06:13,800 Speaker 1: also a lot on how how the policymakers and the 111 00:06:13,920 --> 00:06:19,320 Speaker 1: UK authorities behave Uh. If they if they create a 112 00:06:19,360 --> 00:06:23,960 Speaker 1: sense of panic, uh, then there will be panic. But 113 00:06:24,200 --> 00:06:27,719 Speaker 1: if they calmly and they take it as a matter 114 00:06:27,760 --> 00:06:32,120 Speaker 1: of course, Uh, then I think it's a very manageable process. 115 00:06:32,920 --> 00:06:36,919 Speaker 1: Is uh, Governor Karney Mark Arney, the head of the 116 00:06:36,920 --> 00:06:39,400 Speaker 1: Bank of England, Is he waiting into political waters? Is 117 00:06:39,400 --> 00:06:42,719 Speaker 1: that implicitly what you're saying that he's trying to help 118 00:06:42,760 --> 00:06:45,039 Speaker 1: the government in his position that Brexit should not occur. 119 00:06:46,240 --> 00:06:50,080 Speaker 1: But what what Mr Kearney and the Bank of England 120 00:06:50,160 --> 00:06:55,600 Speaker 1: have done are two things. Does they say that not 121 00:06:55,760 --> 00:07:01,640 Speaker 1: only will Brexit cause problems, but it is already causing problems, 122 00:07:01,680 --> 00:07:05,800 Speaker 1: That growth has slowed down, that investment has slowed down 123 00:07:06,200 --> 00:07:09,560 Speaker 1: because of the fear of Brexit. The problem with that 124 00:07:09,680 --> 00:07:12,400 Speaker 1: statement is that there is simply no evidence for that 125 00:07:13,440 --> 00:07:19,040 Speaker 1: the UK economy has slowed down. But we completely understand 126 00:07:19,040 --> 00:07:22,280 Speaker 1: why it has slowed down. Has slowed down because once 127 00:07:22,320 --> 00:07:25,960 Speaker 1: again austerity has been stepped up and the world economy 128 00:07:26,120 --> 00:07:30,600 Speaker 1: is slow, world trade is barely growing, and that pretty 129 00:07:30,680 --> 00:07:34,840 Speaker 1: much explains the slowdown of the of the UK economy. 130 00:07:35,000 --> 00:07:38,200 Speaker 1: So for him to add that there is a Brexit 131 00:07:38,280 --> 00:07:43,400 Speaker 1: related uncertainty said is just a completely ad hoc. But 132 00:07:43,480 --> 00:07:47,600 Speaker 1: the more most serious problem that the Bank of England 133 00:07:47,920 --> 00:07:51,520 Speaker 1: has created is by saying that if there is Brexit, 134 00:07:52,280 --> 00:07:55,800 Speaker 1: there will be panic and in effect civilization. As we 135 00:07:55,920 --> 00:07:58,560 Speaker 1: know it will come to an end. And I think 136 00:07:58,560 --> 00:08:02,600 Speaker 1: that it's completely a response because they're creating a narrative 137 00:08:03,360 --> 00:08:07,000 Speaker 1: which is likely to become full self fulfilling if they 138 00:08:07,040 --> 00:08:11,600 Speaker 1: continue this way. A central bank's role, a central bank's 139 00:08:11,760 --> 00:08:15,920 Speaker 1: role has to be to stop the planet, to state 140 00:08:16,040 --> 00:08:19,440 Speaker 1: calm and stop the pandits. I think whether it was 141 00:08:19,480 --> 00:08:24,120 Speaker 1: a political gesture or not, it was clearly unnecessary and 142 00:08:24,400 --> 00:08:30,280 Speaker 1: ill advised. I have kept quiet, waited till bregsit decision 143 00:08:30,360 --> 00:08:34,240 Speaker 1: was taken, and then acted as a centralman. Should I 144 00:08:34,280 --> 00:08:35,680 Speaker 1: want to ask, do you want to switch? Here's just 145 00:08:35,720 --> 00:08:39,280 Speaker 1: a bit, but look at India where they had of 146 00:08:39,360 --> 00:08:43,880 Speaker 1: India's Central Bank or gam Rajan, who uh is Indian 147 00:08:43,960 --> 00:08:46,679 Speaker 1: by birth, has lived in work in the the United States 148 00:08:46,679 --> 00:08:51,599 Speaker 1: for many years. Professor, very well respected at the University 149 00:08:51,640 --> 00:08:55,120 Speaker 1: of Chicago. He's been almost three years running the central 150 00:08:55,120 --> 00:08:58,360 Speaker 1: bank in India. Many politicians now or some anyways saying 151 00:08:58,360 --> 00:09:01,959 Speaker 1: he should leave. He hasn't cut rates enough. Today he said, 152 00:09:02,120 --> 00:09:04,760 Speaker 1: just what, I don't want another term. When my three 153 00:09:04,920 --> 00:09:07,000 Speaker 1: three years are up, I'm leaving. Do you think India's 154 00:09:07,040 --> 00:09:10,520 Speaker 1: heading in the right direction without ragu Rajan? Well, look, 155 00:09:10,760 --> 00:09:15,160 Speaker 1: they let there are two different things one how the 156 00:09:15,480 --> 00:09:22,520 Speaker 1: political system has treated Ragu and that's that's completely abominabous. Uh. 157 00:09:22,559 --> 00:09:25,360 Speaker 1: There is I think a small group, in fact, maybe 158 00:09:25,440 --> 00:09:30,120 Speaker 1: one politician who has been hounding him. And I think 159 00:09:30,720 --> 00:09:33,600 Speaker 1: I think if India wanted to keep Ragu, the Prime 160 00:09:33,640 --> 00:09:36,960 Speaker 1: Minister should have been out there on the stump, Uh 161 00:09:37,840 --> 00:09:41,120 Speaker 1: telling his party folks to to keep quiet and to 162 00:09:41,200 --> 00:09:45,120 Speaker 1: go away. And and because this is completely uncalled. But 163 00:09:45,240 --> 00:09:48,320 Speaker 1: Ragu is, as you said, quite rightly, one of the 164 00:09:48,360 --> 00:09:54,080 Speaker 1: most distinguished economists of his generation. And India is fortunate 165 00:09:54,160 --> 00:09:56,880 Speaker 1: that you know, he he feels it is part of 166 00:09:56,920 --> 00:10:00,240 Speaker 1: his obligation to to be a senior policy in get 167 00:10:00,280 --> 00:10:06,000 Speaker 1: in in India. Now it's luck we leaves. You know, 168 00:10:06,240 --> 00:10:11,559 Speaker 1: I don't believe that an individual mix or breaks and institution. 169 00:10:12,440 --> 00:10:15,600 Speaker 1: And you know there will be other people who will 170 00:10:15,640 --> 00:10:18,560 Speaker 1: come and who will do a very fine job. But 171 00:10:18,720 --> 00:10:21,480 Speaker 1: I hope very much, but in the estate that he continues. 172 00:10:22,000 --> 00:10:24,680 Speaker 1: You know, he has himself said that the dusk is 173 00:10:24,760 --> 00:10:27,960 Speaker 1: not yet done, and I think he should stay and 174 00:10:27,960 --> 00:10:31,480 Speaker 1: and did the dusk alright, A Shokmote, thank you so 175 00:10:31,640 --> 00:10:34,480 Speaker 1: very much for joining us. Uh looking at the Bank 176 00:10:34,520 --> 00:10:37,640 Speaker 1: of England saying there is no evidence that Brexit fears 177 00:10:37,679 --> 00:10:39,920 Speaker 1: are slowing the economy. There's a lot of factors doing that. 178 00:10:40,080 --> 00:10:42,719 Speaker 1: And as for India, very fast growing, important economy in 179 00:10:42,760 --> 00:10:45,960 Speaker 1: the world. Now, maybe they should try to keep their 180 00:10:46,000 --> 00:10:50,600 Speaker 1: current central bank chief, A Shokomoti. Joining us from Princeton University. 181 00:10:51,000 --> 00:10:54,680 Speaker 1: I'm Kathleen Hayes. This is taking stock on Bloomberg Radio, 182 00:11:00,600 --> 00:11:03,200 Speaker 1: but in Focus. Brought to you by Willoughby's since eighteen 183 00:11:03,240 --> 00:11:05,720 Speaker 1: ninety eight, New York City's boutique camera store for precision 184 00:11:05,720 --> 00:11:07,760 Speaker 1: craft at hostile blood and like a Camera's, plus a 185 00:11:07,800 --> 00:11:11,199 Speaker 1: full selection of grow, pro, action and adventure cameras. Willoughby's 186 00:11:11,200 --> 00:11:13,679 Speaker 1: at the corner of Fifth Avenue and thirty first Street