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Speaker 1: Kind of walking in the link. Kick is live.

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Speaker 2: It is Tuesday night, November eight year of our lower

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Speaker 2: twenty twenty two.

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Speaker 1: Put the women and children to bed. It's that time

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Speaker 1: of millennium.

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Speaker 2: I've got some thoughts on the college football playoff rankings tonight,

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Speaker 2: mere moments from now, and also on a much more

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Speaker 2: important and I would argue serious note, I've got some

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Speaker 2: things you need to know about these conference championship races,

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Speaker 2: because I don't think it's getting nearly enough love.

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Speaker 1: Everyone's talking playoff.

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Speaker 2: No one wants to talk about the here and now

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Speaker 2: we've got some really really muddled you know how rarely

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Speaker 2: I use that word conference championship pictures.

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Speaker 1: Not much longer. We're gonna let you know everything.

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Speaker 2: And by we I mean producer Jesse just ran in

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Speaker 2: here with a one sheet for me about five minutes ago.

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Speaker 2: I've got week eleven predictions. That's what we do around here,

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Speaker 2: even on election night. We do not waste time.

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Speaker 1: We get to predictions for the upcoming week.

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Speaker 2: I've got some coaching rumors that we need to just

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Speaker 2: take a machete and have our way through, because there

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Speaker 2: are some things being said that are false and there

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Speaker 2: are some things not being said that if they were said,

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Speaker 2: would be true.

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Speaker 1: I hope I haven't been unclear all that. Plus I've

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Speaker 1: got like four.

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Speaker 2: Added best bets tonight, it's going to be a loaded

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Speaker 2: Tuesday show. They're watching us in a race scene Wisconsin,

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Speaker 2: South Bend, Indiana. Just basically the entire women's baseball league

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Speaker 2: up there is tuned in tonight. I guess Shreveport, Louisiana, Modesto, California.

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Speaker 1: Every night I talk to you guys. Every night. We

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Speaker 1: get closer and closer.

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Speaker 2: We're over one hundred and forty six thousand subs on

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Speaker 2: the channel. Now forget about Thanksgiving.

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Speaker 1: We may just be there by this time next week.

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Speaker 2: And producer Jesse and direct Colin and myself, we're very

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Speaker 2: excited about this because we're starting to get some ideas

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Speaker 2: from you on what we should do for a prize

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Speaker 2: for you all when we get to one hundred and

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Speaker 2: fifty k subs. First things first, let's get there. We're

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Speaker 2: very excited about that. We added over thirteen hundred just yesterday.

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Speaker 2: We had one of the highest traffic days in channel

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Speaker 2: history yesterday, just remark numbers. So we appreciate you guys

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Speaker 2: so so much. Okay, my nose itches and there's nothing

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Speaker 2: I can do other than scratch it. So hold on

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Speaker 2: just a second. That should be good. Okay, let's dive

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Speaker 2: into tonight's show. The college football playoff rankings were just released.

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Speaker 2: As a general rule of thumb, we could not care

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Speaker 2: less about this stuff. However, I did have one thing

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Speaker 2: that just dawned on me as I was walking down

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Speaker 2: the hallway. It has not been the best of weeks

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Speaker 2: for Director Colin because you cut him open. Whereas you

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Speaker 2: and I just bleed normal old blood, he bleeds orange.

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Speaker 2: Maybe this kind of orange here in the chalice of

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Speaker 2: choice liquids, a term not patented by me. And so

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Speaker 2: Colin was down bad after Saturday. But you know what

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Speaker 2: he's really not because Director Colin and the Tennessee Volunteers

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Speaker 2: are favored to make the playoffs.

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Speaker 1: Still. They were the number five ranked team in the

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Speaker 1: playoff rankings released a little while ago. If you're watching

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Speaker 1: live and.

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Speaker 2: They're favored, they're like minus one sixty if you bet

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Speaker 2: a straight up yes or no, prop does Tennessee make it?

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Speaker 2: Tennessee is favored, like significantly favored to make the playoff

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Speaker 2: right now. And if you look at the remainder of

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Speaker 2: their schedule. The only hurdle is themselves. Their biggest hurdle

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Speaker 2: is in the mirror. There are the odds to win

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Speaker 2: the National Championship on the screen right now. They're gone

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Speaker 2: because keep this up. Keep the Tennessee schedule up. So

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Speaker 2: they've got Missouri at South Carolina at Vanderbilt. Let me

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Speaker 2: tell you something. If Tennessee drops one of those games,

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Speaker 2: it just wasn't meant to be. So they should run

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Speaker 2: through the rest of this November. They should still be

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Speaker 2: a team on a mission. They dust themselves off after

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Speaker 2: last week, just like LSU. Did you know LSU got

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Speaker 2: got bounced by Tennessee.

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Speaker 1: What did they do?

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Speaker 2: They just proceeded to going the best run of their season. Well,

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Speaker 2: Tennessee needs to do the same thing. Post to Georgia. Now,

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Speaker 2: let me see those odds to win the National Championship again,

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Speaker 2: because this is what I want you to pay close

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Speaker 2: attention to. Georgia favored to win the title. Ohio State two,

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Speaker 2: Michigan three. Essentially one of those will win come what

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Speaker 2: is it, November twenty whatever, and so the other will

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Speaker 2: be out of there. And then you got Tennessee there

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Speaker 2: at fourth Tennessee's got better odds to win the title

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Speaker 2: than TCU does, which is basically odds makers telling you

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Speaker 2: once they get there, we would favor Tennessee by double

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Speaker 2: digits on a neutral field against TCU.

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Speaker 1: That's a fact, by the way.

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Speaker 2: So that's what the first thing I thought about was

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Speaker 2: the second thing I'm thinking, and I was just doing

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Speaker 2: an HQ here right before we came on air.

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Speaker 1: We've never done that before, but I did that tonight.

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Speaker 2: They're asking a lot about these head to head matchups.

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Speaker 2: A lot of folks want to know what happens when

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Speaker 2: we get to the end of the year and we

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Speaker 2: may have a Pac twelve champion, whether it's USC or Oregon.

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Speaker 2: I'm just over here saying, excuse me, UCLA is still

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Speaker 2: in this. I'm not favoring them to win it. I'm

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Speaker 2: just saying they're twelfth right now, I think twelfth or thirteenth,

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Speaker 2: and they still got USC to play if they played

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Speaker 2: Oregon in the Pac twelve championship game, and they would

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Speaker 2: have a chance to avenge their only loss. Just something

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Speaker 2: to keep in mind. Anyway, you got the Big twelve,

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Speaker 2: they will produce a chance. Maybe it's an undefeated TCU.

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Speaker 2: Who knows, you've got the PAC twelve, they will produce

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Speaker 2: a champion. Maybe it's a one loss USC or a

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Speaker 2: one loss Oregon. Who knows.

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Speaker 1: Here's my question.

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Speaker 2: If we get into one of these hypothetical scenarios where

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Speaker 2: we have to compare a Tennessee against one of those teams,

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Speaker 2: what happens.

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Speaker 1: Well, if it's an undefeated TCU, DCU is.

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Speaker 2: Getting a nod. But outside of that, anything's on the table.

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Speaker 2: And I'm thinking to myself, if USC were to win

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Speaker 2: that Pac twel championship, you are adding wins against UCLA,

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Speaker 2: against Notre Dame all of a sudden ranked tonight, and

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Speaker 2: presumably a PAC twelve championship game against an Oregon. Let's

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Speaker 2: just assume for a second their only loss, as you see,

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Speaker 2: is a one point loss.

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Speaker 1: On the road at a ranked Utah team.

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Speaker 2: I think USC, as a pactwelve champ, would probably get

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Speaker 2: a NOD over Tennessee.

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Speaker 1: If it were a head to head, it may not

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Speaker 1: come down to that. Oregon.

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Speaker 2: It's a little bit different, maybe because with Oregon, a

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Speaker 2: lot of folks are saying, yeah, you got that blowout

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Speaker 2: loss against Georgia, So in a head to head you

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Speaker 2: can't overcome that. Well, let me remind you they got

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Speaker 2: a game versus a ranked team this weekend, they got

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Speaker 2: another game versus another ranked team next weekend. And Oregon

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Speaker 2: State not being ranked is a travesty because they're one

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Speaker 2: of the twenty five best teams in America. So they've

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Speaker 2: got three games left on their schedule that are three

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Speaker 2: of the toughest games they will have played all year.

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Speaker 1: And if they go to the.

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Speaker 2: Pactweld Championship game and play UCLA or USC, they'll add

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Speaker 2: a fourth one there. That's going to be a heck

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Speaker 2: of a resume for Oregon if and when it comes

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Speaker 2: that time. So that's really the only thing on my mind.

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Speaker 2: And the other is how the Big Ten gets handled,

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Speaker 2: Like if Michigan goes into Ohio State and wins, like

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Speaker 2: I think Michigan's in obviously, I don't know how they

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Speaker 2: handle Ohio State. If Ohio State wins that game, Michigan's

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Speaker 2: resume is not going to be strong enough.

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Speaker 1: I think they fall out.

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Speaker 2: So the only other thing to just just remember here

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Speaker 2: is LSU controls their destiny.

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Speaker 1: Colin, I know I'm hopping around, so just try your

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Speaker 1: us to keep up.

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Speaker 2: I think you need to realize how important this weekend is.

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Speaker 2: This weekend, LSU goes to Arkansas. We're gonna break the

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Speaker 2: game down later, and they are a three point favorite,

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Speaker 2: not thirteen, not thirty. They're a three point favorite. If

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Speaker 2: they win the game, they got UAB. The following week

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Speaker 2: they go to Texas A and M. I mean, they're

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Speaker 2: sitting there to where they control their playoff destiny. I

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Speaker 2: believe an SEC champs getting in, But if they were

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Speaker 2: to lose this weekend, let me paint you the wildest

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Speaker 2: scenario I think that could happen. If LSU loses this

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Speaker 2: weekend and BAMA beats Old Miss, neither of which are

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Speaker 2: a given, there would be so much pressure on LSU

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Speaker 2: in that final game at Texas A and M. Because

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Speaker 2: all BAMA would have to do at that point is

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Speaker 2: beat Auburn.

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Speaker 1: LSU would need to beat Texas A and M.

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Speaker 2: In other words, you could have a de facto SEC

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Speaker 2: West title game for one party at least, and the

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Speaker 2: SEC West could be on the line if they don't.

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Speaker 1: Take care of business against Arkansas Saturday.

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Speaker 2: The SEC West could be on the line that final

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Speaker 2: weekend of the season, and at that point, maybe you

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Speaker 2: got to help the Connor Wigman and you got A

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Speaker 2: and M welcoming LSUN And that's a true Super Bowl

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Speaker 2: spot for the Aggies. They got nothing else to play for,

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Speaker 2: maybe Bowl eligibility. I would highly advise LSU just go

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Speaker 2: ahead and take care of business this week. Okay, here's

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Speaker 2: what you need to know. I want to I want

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Speaker 2: you to bookmark this. You can send it to your friends,

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Speaker 2: your mom, your dad, anybody who's wondering what happens if, well,

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Speaker 2: what happens if who's gonna win that conference, who's favored

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Speaker 2: to win this, who's still alive there?

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Speaker 1: This is all you need to know.

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Speaker 2: In the SEC, it's gonna be Georgia's in the East,

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Speaker 2: that's already locked down in the West. I just told

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Speaker 2: you LSU is in the driver's seat. Bama's still faintly

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Speaker 2: alive there. Old Miss is still alive. But LSU controls

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Speaker 2: it because they got the head to head win over

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Speaker 2: Ole Miss. They got the head to head win over Bama.

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Speaker 2: And so before you even start to breathe life into

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Speaker 2: a race over there, you're gonna have to have LSU

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Speaker 2: is a game. And that's where the SEC stands right now.

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Speaker 2: The odds to win the SEC. Georgia a minus five

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Speaker 2: hundred favorite, mainly because we know they're already going to

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Speaker 2: be in Atlanta and they're the best team over there.

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Speaker 2: LSU's plus three to fifty, Bamas plus fourteen hundred, and

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Speaker 2: Tennessee is plus seventy five hundred. Look, the SEC is

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Speaker 2: a pretty understood conference at this point.

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Speaker 1: What about the ACC? Though?

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Speaker 2: The ACC is thought to be out of this, and

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Speaker 2: that is not a controversial take at all, because as

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Speaker 2: far as the playoff goes, yeah, it's pretty much true

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Speaker 2: the ACC is out of this. But what about the

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Speaker 2: conference championship? Well, right now, Clemson has the Atlantic locked up.

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Speaker 2: I mean they would need to lose two games coming

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Speaker 2: up Louisville and Miami.

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Speaker 1: So they're there.

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Speaker 2: North Carolina has essentially locked up the Coastal I mean

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Speaker 2: North Carolina's still undefeated in conference play and the next

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Speaker 2: closest team has two losses over there. So we are

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Speaker 2: probably training headlong towards Clemson versus North Carolina in the

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Speaker 2: ACC championship game. That is North Carolina schedule.

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Speaker 1: A lot of people are texting me and dming me saying,

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Speaker 1: why aren't you talking about North Carolina more? When it

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Speaker 1: comes to the playoff picture, and I direct them to

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Speaker 1: this graphic.

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Speaker 2: Where is the resume? Where is the meat on the bone.

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Speaker 2: They've got a loss against Notre Dame. That was the

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Speaker 2: game they needed. Now that would bolster them a little

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Speaker 2: bit more. If they're undefeated and they're in the conference

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Speaker 2: championship picture and they got to win over Notre Dame,

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Speaker 2: that would be great. But the Notre Dame game was

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Speaker 2: their shot and they didn't win it. And elsewhere it's

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Speaker 2: just a lot of average to below average ACC teams.

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Speaker 2: I mean, they've got a game against wake Forest coming out,

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Speaker 2: they got the NC State, they could win against clums

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Speaker 2: and it.

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Speaker 1: Just I don't think it would be enough. Guys, I

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Speaker 1: don't think that.

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Speaker 2: And I haven't heard a single word out of anybody

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Speaker 2: on that committee's mouths to suggest otherwise. So that's where

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Speaker 2: the ACC is right now. The Big ten's messy, but

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Speaker 2: it's really not. It's messy in a sense that we

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Speaker 2: have no clue who's gonna come out of the West.

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Speaker 2: But whoever comes out of the West is gonna get

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Speaker 2: body bagged in the Big Ten championship game. And Illinoi's

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Speaker 2: got to lose somewhere If they don't, it's going to

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Speaker 2: be them. But if they do lose, please look at

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Speaker 2: your screen right now. Illinois's got two losses over there

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Speaker 2: in conference play, and then Minnesota's got three, Wisconsin's got three,

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Speaker 2: Perdue's got three, Iowa's got three, Nebraska's got four. So

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Speaker 2: there's just it's like Illinois and a cast of thousands

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Speaker 2: over there. It's like a bucket of crabs, and the

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Speaker 2: Illinois crab is just it's almost at the top of

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Speaker 2: the bucket, and all the other little Western Division crabs

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Speaker 2: are just trying to grab on. I really hope nobody

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Speaker 2: tuned in right that second, because they probably tuned right

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Speaker 2: back out. The point is, yeah, it looks muddy, it's

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Speaker 2: really not. The Big Ten championship game is two days

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Speaker 2: after Thanksgiving in Columbus, Ohio.

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Speaker 1: We will probably be there.

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Speaker 2: I don't know that there's going to be a bigger

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Speaker 2: game that day for the ever given Saturday Tour Michigan

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Speaker 2: at Ohio State. I think if you were to have

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Speaker 2: looked at odds, you know, earlier in the year two

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Speaker 2: touchdown spread, I think it's going to be a single

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Speaker 2: digit spread by the time that game kicks off. And

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Speaker 2: as we have learned recently painfully in some cases, no

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Speaker 2: one really cares about points spreads in these games anymore.

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Speaker 1: Anyway, what about the Big Twelve.

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Speaker 2: I'm rubbed the wrong way by how the Big Twelve

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Speaker 2: is being treated right now, I care about the Big Twelve.

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Speaker 2: I think it's been an ultra competitive conference this year.

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Speaker 2: I think it's been the most entertaining conference in college football.

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Speaker 2: I heard someone say earlier today, Well, TCU's resume doesn't

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Speaker 2: look as good as it had looked. Why, you may ask,

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Speaker 2: because a lot of these teams they've beaten have lost

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Speaker 2: other games. Allow me to suggest to you it's impossible

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Speaker 2: for that not to happen when you play a full

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Speaker 2: round robin schedule in conference. So TCU beats these teams

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Speaker 2: early in the year, the conference is packed like Vienna

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Speaker 2: sausages inside the can that is the Big Twelve.

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Speaker 1: And they all play each other and we're shocked.

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Speaker 2: Twhen uh, you know, you beat Kansas earlier, but they've

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Speaker 2: lost game since then. You beat Oklahoma State, they've lost

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Speaker 2: some games since then.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, they all play each other. How was that?

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Speaker 2: How is that gonna happen any other way? So, anyway,

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Speaker 2: TCU's got a really good resume to me. They've still

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Speaker 2: got check this out. At Texas this week, They're a

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Speaker 2: seven point dog. They'll go to Baylor after that back

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Speaker 2: to back road stretch. They'll be a dog in that

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Speaker 2: game too.

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Speaker 1: That didn't matter when they played Oklahoma, minds you, but

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Speaker 1: they will be a dog. So TCU sitting there, they.

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Speaker 2: Obviously control their own destiny, or at least I think

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Speaker 2: they do. But they would have to lose to both

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Speaker 2: Texas and Baylor and have Texas and Baylor went out

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Speaker 2: the rest of the way for them not to go

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Speaker 2: to the conference championship game. So it is likely that

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Speaker 2: TCU is in the Big Twelve championship game. But who

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Speaker 2: do they face if they're there? Could be a rematch

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Speaker 2: of who they see this weekend for example. Now, I

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Speaker 2: think a lot of folks in the Big Twelve ironically

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Speaker 2: are kind of pulling for TCU this Saturday because that

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Speaker 2: gets Texas out of the way, and everyone hates Texas

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Speaker 2: out there with a white hot passion of ten thousand

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Speaker 2: suns anyway, But also it gets Texas out of the

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Speaker 2: way in a sense that then Baylor and you know,

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Speaker 2: TCU is already there. But Baylor's sitting there saying, okay,

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Speaker 2: that clears the path a little bit more for US, Baylor,

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Speaker 2: Kansas State, Texas, They're all sitting there. Baylor's the most

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Speaker 2: interesting team. You're looking at their schedule right now. They

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Speaker 2: play Kansas State this week, they play TCU the next week,

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Speaker 2: and they go to Texas.

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Speaker 1: In the final week.

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Speaker 2: So all of these teams that are lined up, there's

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Speaker 2: one squad that gets to play them all, and that's Baylor.

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Speaker 2: So I wouldn't say Dave Randa is sitting right where

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Speaker 2: he wants to be sitting because they've already got two losses,

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Speaker 2: but they're kind of where they need to be sitting

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Speaker 2: because they're the team that in the conference race still controls.

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Speaker 1: Their own destiny.

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Speaker 2: I think for the college football playoff. Yes, barring some

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Speaker 2: abject chaos, it is TCUs your hope in the Pac twelve.

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Speaker 2: And this is where you need to listen to me.

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Speaker 2: Pac twelfth paid and all USC, UCLA, Oregon they all

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Speaker 2: have one loss. Organ's loss, though, is not in Pac

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Speaker 2: twelve play, so Oregon is the undefeated team out there

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Speaker 2: in conference play.

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Speaker 1: You've still got USC versus UCLA. I think next.

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Speaker 2: Week actually Jesse. Isn't it next week or either the

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Speaker 2: week after. It's not the final week of the season,

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Speaker 2: so we know we have that. We know Oregon still

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Speaker 2: has to play Utah, so there's still a lot to

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Speaker 2: be decided. I would argue the Pac twelve championship race

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Speaker 2: is only just now starting to come into focus. But

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Speaker 2: remember there was a shift out there this year, and

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Speaker 2: I don't think a lot of people still have grasped this.

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Speaker 1: They play in divisions. I'm gonna lose you, I know,

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Speaker 1: because it's because this makes no sense. They play in divisions.

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Speaker 1: They got a North, they got a South.

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Speaker 2: However, they're irrelevant because at the end of the year,

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Speaker 2: they're not taking the Northern Division champ in the Southern

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Speaker 2: Division champ and putting them in the conference title game.

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Speaker 1: Taking the best two teams. Well, Josh, why do they

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Speaker 1: have divisions? Then?

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Speaker 2: I have no idea what they do, and so we're

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Speaker 2: just taking the top two teams here.

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Speaker 1: Now, there's a.

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Speaker 2: Lot of speculation out there that the PAC twelve wants

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Speaker 2: USC to win the conference, and that is because the

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Speaker 2: PAC twelve absolutely wants USC to win the conference, as

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Speaker 2: do television networks. We don't really get into that because

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Speaker 2: we don't care, because we don't make money off of that.

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Speaker 2: So I just want to see the best team win.

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Speaker 2: Oregon's the most interesting team. I told you they went

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Speaker 2: out that resume gets massively boosted relative to what it

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Speaker 2: already is, and they've still got several opportunities to impress,

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Speaker 2: and we're gonna break their game down a little bit later.

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Speaker 2: So I'm just fascinated if the head to heads come

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Speaker 2: into play. I'm also fascinated. You know what I would

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Speaker 2: love to know. I'd love to know if if LSU

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Speaker 2: were to lose. This is unlikely, but if LSU were

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Speaker 2: to lose against Arkansas and A and m Bama wins out,

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Speaker 2: Bama wins the SEC West in that case, and they

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Speaker 2: pull some miracle against Georgia like they did last year,

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Speaker 2: what would the Committee do with them?

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Speaker 1: Everybody thinks Bama's out of it. I do too.

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Speaker 2: I think They're probably out of it, like ninety five

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Speaker 2: percent out of it, But there're statistically and there's logically

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Speaker 2: a shot still for them, and they would come out

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Speaker 2: of nowhere, like they would not even come off the

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Speaker 2: top rope. They would sting style. They would lower themselves

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Speaker 2: from the rafters and say here we are. You know,

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Speaker 2: you open the shirt, you take the mask off, and

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Speaker 2: there's that script A and they're an SEC champ of

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Speaker 2: two losses that would be wild, unlikely but wild. So

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Speaker 2: long way, Togo, still a lot to be sorted out.

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Speaker 2: I just wanted to give you some thoughts there, and

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Speaker 2: that's that. Academy Sports and Outdoors hit me up earlier today.

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Speaker 1: I got some good.

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Speaker 2: News, and I think we need to take time and

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Speaker 2: clap for each other around here. We assisted them in

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Speaker 2: opening a new store in Houston this past weekend.

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Speaker 1: That much, you know, I now am liberty to.

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Speaker 2: Tell you it was the most successful grand opening weekend

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Speaker 2: for any Academy in history. And that beats the record

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Speaker 2: that we help them set in Panama City a few

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Speaker 2: months ago. Now, I know what you're thinking, Don't the

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Speaker 2: Astros winning the World Series have a little bit to

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Speaker 2: do with that?

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Speaker 1: Maybe?

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Speaker 2: Okay, So what I'm willing to do here tonight, and

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Speaker 2: don't say don't say that I'm not humble, and don't

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Speaker 2: say that I don't share credit, because watch this, I

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Speaker 2: am willing to split fifty to fifty the credit for

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Speaker 2: the success of this new Academy opening with the Houston Astros.

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Speaker 1: Exactly. Thank you guys.

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Speaker 2: So from the Houston Astros and myself to Academy, you're welcome.

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Speaker 2: And from Academy to all of you, thank you, and

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Speaker 2: from me to all of you, thank you. So, now

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Speaker 2: that we're done with that, I just want to remind

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Speaker 2: you one more time, this partnership means everything to us,

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Speaker 2: and if you enjoy this show being free, it means

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Speaker 2: everything to you.

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Speaker 1: And so if you care.

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Speaker 2: About such things, I would encourage you drop my Academy

401
00:18:58,560 --> 00:19:01,239
Speaker 2: sometime in the next week. Shirt, pick up a new

402
00:19:01,240 --> 00:19:03,480
Speaker 2: basketball hoop for all I care, pick up a grill,

403
00:19:04,200 --> 00:19:05,840
Speaker 2: pick up a tent, and if you can't get there

404
00:19:05,840 --> 00:19:08,800
Speaker 2: in person, Academy dot com is your hookup. Got a

405
00:19:08,800 --> 00:19:11,520
Speaker 2: meeting with those guys next week. Always excited because look,

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Speaker 2: the Academy folks are the kind of folks that you

407
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Speaker 2: would talk to even if we weren't in business with them,

408
00:19:16,200 --> 00:19:19,959
Speaker 2: because they are not casuals. They're one of us, plural,

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Speaker 2: but they're one of us. We got big games to

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Speaker 2: break down. That's what we do around here on Tuesday,

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Speaker 2: so let's dive into it. Appreciate you guys being tuned

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Speaker 2: in live. If you would this little button here, the

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Speaker 2: thumbs up button. Go ahead and click that thumb up

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Speaker 2: button for me. I have never been more confused about

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Speaker 2: a prediction than this game. Let me take a sip

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Speaker 2: out of the chalice. I had a guy hit me

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Speaker 2: in the comments. By the way, Colin today, I didn't

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Speaker 2: tell you this. I had a guy hit me in

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Speaker 2: the comments. We did obviously a reaction to the LSU

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Speaker 2: Alabama game the other day, pretty big news. I thought,

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Speaker 2: Alabama goes down again, and he said, stop talking about Alabama.

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Speaker 1: Nobody cares about Alabama. As of this.

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Speaker 2: Moment, that video alone has one hundred and fifteen thousand views. Oh,

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Speaker 2: by the way, that guy had to watch the video

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Speaker 2: to comment on it, So it seems people care. And

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Speaker 2: in reality, there is not a more polarizing brand in

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Speaker 2: the sport than Alabama Crimson Tide football. No one is

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Speaker 2: indifferent on them. They love them or they hate him anyway.

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Speaker 2: I think a lot of you love to watch them

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Speaker 2: get upset.

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Speaker 1: The other day. I watched it in amazement.

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Speaker 2: And now I look at the fact that they're playing

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Speaker 2: Ole Miss this weekend, and I say they're favored by

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Speaker 2: eleven twelve. They're favored by twelve, So let's dive into it. Helen,

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Speaker 2: I don't even care if you put that in the video.

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Speaker 1: Let's go though.

437
00:20:38,840 --> 00:20:42,359
Speaker 2: Saban versus Kiffin is not what this is about this week,

438
00:20:42,640 --> 00:20:46,040
Speaker 2: which is surprising because anyone who's looking at that schedule

439
00:20:46,080 --> 00:20:48,960
Speaker 2: in the summer says, ooh, there we go Saban versus Kiffin.

440
00:20:49,440 --> 00:20:51,960
Speaker 2: Second wee can no Vember late there gonna have that

441
00:20:52,000 --> 00:20:54,600
Speaker 2: coaching matchup. I don't even think people are talking about that.

442
00:20:54,680 --> 00:20:56,800
Speaker 2: I didn't think about that at all when I looked

443
00:20:56,800 --> 00:20:57,480
Speaker 2: at this matchup.

444
00:20:57,640 --> 00:21:01,439
Speaker 1: What I did think about is Ole.

445
00:21:01,320 --> 00:21:03,640
Speaker 2: Miss has had two weeks to set the landmine there,

446
00:21:03,960 --> 00:21:05,800
Speaker 2: whether the Obama won last week or not. But since

447
00:21:05,840 --> 00:21:07,919
Speaker 2: they lost last week and this has not been the

448
00:21:07,920 --> 00:21:10,040
Speaker 2: most mentally tough team on the face of the earth

449
00:21:10,040 --> 00:21:12,720
Speaker 2: to begin with, how shook is Alabama about to be?

450
00:21:12,960 --> 00:21:15,720
Speaker 2: What version of them am I gonna see roll into

451
00:21:15,720 --> 00:21:18,960
Speaker 2: Oxford Mississippi? Because you see, in the past, we would

452
00:21:19,000 --> 00:21:22,280
Speaker 2: look at a Nick Saban coach team and we would say,

453
00:21:22,680 --> 00:21:25,880
Speaker 2: after things go poorly for them, we're going to get

454
00:21:25,920 --> 00:21:29,000
Speaker 2: the absolute hardest version of them we could possibly get.

455
00:21:29,359 --> 00:21:33,520
Speaker 1: Not this team. They talk about competitive anxiety, they talking.

456
00:21:33,280 --> 00:21:35,720
Speaker 2: About not being focused I have no clue what I'm

457
00:21:35,720 --> 00:21:39,120
Speaker 2: gonna get from them. This week, three of their four

458
00:21:39,240 --> 00:21:43,280
Speaker 2: road games have been decided by five points. I'm gonna

459
00:21:43,280 --> 00:21:46,160
Speaker 2: repeat myself. Take out the Arkansas game for a second.

460
00:21:46,720 --> 00:21:49,240
Speaker 2: Those other four road games, those other three road games,

461
00:21:49,520 --> 00:21:51,720
Speaker 2: they got a group of three road games decided by

462
00:21:51,760 --> 00:21:54,120
Speaker 2: a total of five. The Texas game was a one

463
00:21:54,119 --> 00:21:56,520
Speaker 2: point game, the Tennessee game was a three point game,

464
00:21:56,760 --> 00:21:59,960
Speaker 2: and the LSU game, you just saw it. One point game. Mathematics,

465
00:22:00,240 --> 00:22:02,880
Speaker 2: that is almost impossible, but not quite because they figured

466
00:22:02,920 --> 00:22:06,280
Speaker 2: out a way to do it. I'm told matchups determine

467
00:22:06,320 --> 00:22:08,840
Speaker 2: these games, and I don't think they're lying to me

468
00:22:08,920 --> 00:22:11,960
Speaker 2: when they say that, which makes this prediction very simple

469
00:22:12,040 --> 00:22:16,680
Speaker 2: for me. When you're demoralized like Alabama is, they tell

470
00:22:16,680 --> 00:22:19,520
Speaker 2: you different, they're lying to you. What is the one

471
00:22:19,840 --> 00:22:23,600
Speaker 2: facet of your team that gets exposed more quickly than

472
00:22:23,760 --> 00:22:27,320
Speaker 2: any other facet. I would say it's run defense because

473
00:22:27,359 --> 00:22:29,800
Speaker 2: it takes a little something extra, takes a little edge

474
00:22:29,800 --> 00:22:31,320
Speaker 2: about yourself to stop the run.

475
00:22:31,680 --> 00:22:34,440
Speaker 1: Your heart really has to be in it to stop

476
00:22:34,480 --> 00:22:34,840
Speaker 1: the run.

477
00:22:36,160 --> 00:22:38,040
Speaker 2: Some teams have their heart in it and they can't

478
00:22:38,080 --> 00:22:40,159
Speaker 2: stop the run. So no one stops it without their

479
00:22:40,200 --> 00:22:43,199
Speaker 2: heart in it, and if Alabama's heart's not in it,

480
00:22:43,240 --> 00:22:47,200
Speaker 2: this week, you're facing the number three rushing attack in FBS,

481
00:22:47,280 --> 00:22:50,760
Speaker 2: the best in all of the SEC and really college

482
00:22:50,800 --> 00:22:52,840
Speaker 2: football because the other two above them are Army and

483
00:22:52,920 --> 00:22:56,240
Speaker 2: Air Force and at Service Academy triple option ball. So

484
00:22:56,359 --> 00:22:58,960
Speaker 2: we're talking about Ole miss here running all over folks.

485
00:22:59,240 --> 00:23:02,600
Speaker 2: In Bama's two losses most recently, we've seen the LSU

486
00:23:02,640 --> 00:23:05,160
Speaker 2: game in the Tennessee game. They gave up over five

487
00:23:05,240 --> 00:23:07,679
Speaker 2: yards per carry in both those games, and that was

488
00:23:07,720 --> 00:23:08,760
Speaker 2: with a lot to play for.

489
00:23:08,840 --> 00:23:11,239
Speaker 1: That was with everything still on the line. And so

490
00:23:11,600 --> 00:23:14,120
Speaker 1: we see him this week in maybe a different state

491
00:23:14,160 --> 00:23:14,560
Speaker 1: of mind.

492
00:23:15,040 --> 00:23:18,680
Speaker 2: Will know early. It's not like they'll stone the run

493
00:23:18,720 --> 00:23:20,480
Speaker 2: early and then give way late.

494
00:23:20,359 --> 00:23:20,840
Speaker 1: So we'll know.

495
00:23:21,240 --> 00:23:25,800
Speaker 2: I'm curious how much Ole Missus defense can offset Bryce Young.

496
00:23:26,200 --> 00:23:28,480
Speaker 2: Bryce Young did not look good last week at all,

497
00:23:28,560 --> 00:23:31,000
Speaker 2: and I went back and watched it again. I don't

498
00:23:31,000 --> 00:23:32,720
Speaker 2: even think he's healthy. I don't think he's fully healthy.

499
00:23:32,720 --> 00:23:34,200
Speaker 2: I don't think he has zip on his ball. And

500
00:23:34,240 --> 00:23:37,040
Speaker 2: as a result, I mean, if we see that, obviously

501
00:23:37,240 --> 00:23:38,639
Speaker 2: old Missus coaching staff sees that.

502
00:23:39,680 --> 00:23:41,680
Speaker 1: I do not think.

503
00:23:41,480 --> 00:23:44,480
Speaker 2: Anyone respects the deep ball from Alabama right now, which

504
00:23:44,520 --> 00:23:47,399
Speaker 2: is shocking to say because you've got the Heisman Trophy

505
00:23:47,440 --> 00:23:50,320
Speaker 2: winner there, and it's been a high octane passing attack

506
00:23:50,359 --> 00:23:51,200
Speaker 2: in recent years.

507
00:23:51,359 --> 00:23:54,639
Speaker 1: It's just not this year. They're best receivers, they're running

508
00:23:54,680 --> 00:23:55,320
Speaker 1: back right now.

509
00:23:55,560 --> 00:23:59,760
Speaker 2: And so I think when you compound that with the

510
00:23:59,760 --> 00:24:02,760
Speaker 2: fact that Bryce Young's arm may not be one hundred percent,

511
00:24:03,240 --> 00:24:05,480
Speaker 2: I wouldn't respect their ability to push it deep on

512
00:24:05,520 --> 00:24:08,480
Speaker 2: me until they showed otherwise. And especially when I look

513
00:24:08,520 --> 00:24:11,680
Speaker 2: at how shaky Bama's offensive line can be on the road,

514
00:24:12,520 --> 00:24:14,600
Speaker 2: and I think about how much I may be able

515
00:24:14,680 --> 00:24:16,920
Speaker 2: to pressure them because I don't have to respect part

516
00:24:16,920 --> 00:24:19,800
Speaker 2: of that game I used to have to respect with Bama. Man,

517
00:24:20,720 --> 00:24:23,320
Speaker 2: it could really stall out, like Bama's offense could stall

518
00:24:23,359 --> 00:24:25,919
Speaker 2: out this weekend. They did in the first half this

519
00:24:26,000 --> 00:24:27,480
Speaker 2: last weekend against LSU.

520
00:24:27,920 --> 00:24:29,000
Speaker 1: Two weeks to prepare.

521
00:24:29,359 --> 00:24:31,520
Speaker 2: That gives old miss time to dial up all kinds

522
00:24:31,520 --> 00:24:34,640
Speaker 2: of different looks and pressures and shifts.

523
00:24:34,720 --> 00:24:36,920
Speaker 1: Late shifting confuses the heck.

524
00:24:36,760 --> 00:24:39,399
Speaker 2: Out of that Alabama offensive line. So all that plus

525
00:24:39,400 --> 00:24:42,440
Speaker 2: Bryce Young's arm, I just I'm very curious how big

526
00:24:42,440 --> 00:24:44,680
Speaker 2: a factor that is early on. I'll tell you where

527
00:24:44,720 --> 00:24:49,719
Speaker 2: this could randomly flip though Bama's got bad turnover luck. Now,

528
00:24:49,720 --> 00:24:51,360
Speaker 2: they're not good at turning the ball over, but there's

529
00:24:51,400 --> 00:24:54,479
Speaker 2: a lot of randomization and luck in turnovers too, and

530
00:24:54,520 --> 00:24:57,399
Speaker 2: they are second worst in FBS right now. But as

531
00:24:57,440 --> 00:24:59,639
Speaker 2: we've talked about on the show many times over the

532
00:24:59,680 --> 00:25:02,480
Speaker 2: span of one Saturday, that could just totally flip on

533
00:25:02,560 --> 00:25:05,480
Speaker 2: it's ear. There is there is no explaining the turnover

534
00:25:05,520 --> 00:25:08,280
Speaker 2: margin in some of these games. So I know it

535
00:25:08,320 --> 00:25:10,560
Speaker 2: sounds like I'm picking Old mist and win by three touchdowns.

536
00:25:10,800 --> 00:25:13,720
Speaker 2: Actually not, because we know the tradition around here is

537
00:25:13,720 --> 00:25:15,320
Speaker 2: we don't pick Old mist to win games apparently.

538
00:25:15,320 --> 00:25:16,520
Speaker 1: So let's take a look at the model.

539
00:25:16,880 --> 00:25:18,920
Speaker 2: And I've got a hiccup that is trying to come

540
00:25:18,960 --> 00:25:20,720
Speaker 2: up as I'm talking, And let's take a look at

541
00:25:20,760 --> 00:25:24,600
Speaker 2: what we think the Vegas number is Alabama minus twelve.

542
00:25:25,280 --> 00:25:28,440
Speaker 2: The model disagrees it's got Bama minus ten.

543
00:25:29,040 --> 00:25:31,399
Speaker 1: And I have no feel on the game whatsoever.

544
00:25:31,960 --> 00:25:35,000
Speaker 2: You could I'm telling you this now, you could turn

545
00:25:35,040 --> 00:25:37,640
Speaker 2: this game on Saturday and Old Misky get up seventeen

546
00:25:37,680 --> 00:25:40,240
Speaker 2: to nothing, because there's nothing that would shock me about

547
00:25:40,320 --> 00:25:43,000
Speaker 2: Alabama this Saturday, because we haven't seen them in this situation,

548
00:25:43,119 --> 00:25:44,600
Speaker 2: So we don't have reference points.

549
00:25:44,840 --> 00:25:46,440
Speaker 1: What are you gonna do? Go back to twenty ten?

550
00:25:47,040 --> 00:25:49,240
Speaker 1: So no, no, you remember that.

551
00:25:49,880 --> 00:25:52,280
Speaker 2: I faintly do, but I can't go back that far,

552
00:25:52,400 --> 00:25:55,600
Speaker 2: and so anything and everything could be in play here.

553
00:25:56,560 --> 00:25:58,200
Speaker 1: I am going to ride with the model.

554
00:25:58,240 --> 00:25:59,840
Speaker 2: I'll just take Bama to win, and I'll take Old

555
00:25:59,840 --> 00:26:02,120
Speaker 2: Mine to cover, and I'll sit back and not.

556
00:26:02,040 --> 00:26:04,840
Speaker 1: Bet a dime on the game, and I'll I'll just

557
00:26:04,880 --> 00:26:06,440
Speaker 1: watch it. There you go.

558
00:26:06,680 --> 00:26:09,639
Speaker 2: Bama still plus fourteen hundred odds to win the SEC

559
00:26:09,760 --> 00:26:12,879
Speaker 2: championship and Ole Miss plus ten thousand. I think that

560
00:26:12,880 --> 00:26:15,360
Speaker 2: would shift fairly dramatically this Saturday.

561
00:26:15,400 --> 00:26:18,760
Speaker 1: Now imagine this. Imagine if Old Miss.

562
00:26:18,520 --> 00:26:22,240
Speaker 2: Wins Saturday and LSU loses, and then all of a sudden,

563
00:26:22,240 --> 00:26:25,439
Speaker 2: we got the same situation. But it's Old Miss watching

564
00:26:25,480 --> 00:26:27,639
Speaker 2: that final game of the year with LSU against A

565
00:26:27,720 --> 00:26:28,960
Speaker 2: and M to see what happens.

566
00:26:28,960 --> 00:26:31,440
Speaker 1: So still a lot to be decided in the SEC

567
00:26:34,800 --> 00:26:35,360
Speaker 1: next up.

568
00:26:36,280 --> 00:26:38,760
Speaker 2: Some would argue this next game is the game of

569
00:26:38,800 --> 00:26:41,080
Speaker 2: the week, and I cannot disagree with you.

570
00:26:41,119 --> 00:26:41,399
Speaker 1: Guys.

571
00:26:41,440 --> 00:26:43,480
Speaker 2: Now, we're not going to be there because the every

572
00:26:43,480 --> 00:26:45,800
Speaker 2: given Saturday tour is going to be in New Orleans

573
00:26:46,800 --> 00:26:49,760
Speaker 2: for you CF and Tulane G five.

574
00:26:49,720 --> 00:26:52,359
Speaker 1: Josh TCU at Texas.

575
00:26:52,359 --> 00:26:55,040
Speaker 2: Though it's the biggest game in the Big Twelve this week,

576
00:26:55,080 --> 00:26:57,960
Speaker 2: it's one of the biggest games of November because of

577
00:26:58,000 --> 00:26:59,360
Speaker 2: the stakes that are riding on this thing.

578
00:27:00,000 --> 00:27:02,520
Speaker 1: It's a home edge. Got to give it to Texas.

579
00:27:03,119 --> 00:27:06,000
Speaker 1: Desperation edge, got to give it to Texas.

580
00:27:06,040 --> 00:27:08,879
Speaker 2: TCU technically doesn't have to have this at least for

581
00:27:08,920 --> 00:27:11,679
Speaker 2: the Big Twelve, Texas does. Texas would be out of

582
00:27:11,720 --> 00:27:14,520
Speaker 2: this thing if they lost this Saturday, But the Big

583
00:27:14,560 --> 00:27:17,800
Speaker 2: Twelve rooting interest, I got a big question mark there

584
00:27:18,520 --> 00:27:21,480
Speaker 2: because I think there are some teams like Baylor, like

585
00:27:21,560 --> 00:27:24,480
Speaker 2: Kansas State, they would just as soon see TCU win

586
00:27:25,119 --> 00:27:27,680
Speaker 2: and bump Texas out of there. It thins the herd

587
00:27:27,720 --> 00:27:29,600
Speaker 2: a little bit, and they're still in it and Texas

588
00:27:29,720 --> 00:27:29,879
Speaker 2: is not.

589
00:27:30,760 --> 00:27:31,760
Speaker 1: But the conference.

590
00:27:32,600 --> 00:27:34,919
Speaker 2: Although I know you guys pretend to hate Texas, you

591
00:27:34,920 --> 00:27:36,800
Speaker 2: also understand what kind of money they bring when they're

592
00:27:36,800 --> 00:27:38,359
Speaker 2: in that conference title game, and you're gonna get rid

593
00:27:38,359 --> 00:27:40,520
Speaker 2: of them soon anyway. But I think there may be

594
00:27:40,560 --> 00:27:43,199
Speaker 2: some quote unquote powers that be that may still be

595
00:27:43,200 --> 00:27:46,080
Speaker 2: pulling for Texas. Not like any of that matters necessarily,

596
00:27:46,400 --> 00:27:49,040
Speaker 2: but I do want to point out one interesting thing

597
00:27:49,359 --> 00:27:52,919
Speaker 2: about this game, and that is when I was in

598
00:27:52,960 --> 00:27:56,119
Speaker 2: Austin earlier last month. I guess I was there on

599
00:27:56,160 --> 00:27:59,200
Speaker 2: a Friday. I was walking through the football offices. Who

600
00:27:59,200 --> 00:28:01,320
Speaker 2: were they about to play there? Who in the world

601
00:28:01,359 --> 00:28:04,320
Speaker 2: in Texas at Obama? Sobama was in town, big game.

602
00:28:04,720 --> 00:28:06,880
Speaker 2: So the staff and the team they left the facility

603
00:28:06,920 --> 00:28:08,760
Speaker 2: a little bit earlier that Friday. I'm walking through the

604
00:28:08,800 --> 00:28:11,880
Speaker 2: hallway and all the coaches were already gone except one

605
00:28:11,920 --> 00:28:12,240
Speaker 2: of them.

606
00:28:12,560 --> 00:28:14,320
Speaker 1: I don't know that I told this story. It's not

607
00:28:14,359 --> 00:28:16,840
Speaker 1: a great story. Gary Patterson.

608
00:28:17,720 --> 00:28:21,520
Speaker 2: Gary Patterson still grinding away, lights off, lights off in

609
00:28:21,560 --> 00:28:25,400
Speaker 2: his office, just grinding away. And I think about him

610
00:28:25,440 --> 00:28:27,840
Speaker 2: this week, just like I thought about him that week,

611
00:28:28,000 --> 00:28:29,960
Speaker 2: because I think he just got tasked.

612
00:28:29,600 --> 00:28:31,639
Speaker 1: With the Alabama game plan for the whole summer.

613
00:28:32,800 --> 00:28:36,320
Speaker 2: There's Gary Patterson, former TCU head coach, just hanging out

614
00:28:36,359 --> 00:28:39,120
Speaker 2: in his office down in Austin, Texas, just waiting on

615
00:28:39,160 --> 00:28:41,320
Speaker 2: all those kids he recruited come down there.

616
00:28:41,760 --> 00:28:43,800
Speaker 1: I think he may know a thing or ten about

617
00:28:43,800 --> 00:28:46,040
Speaker 1: that team. It could matter, it could not. I think

618
00:28:46,080 --> 00:28:46,800
Speaker 1: it's noteworthy.

619
00:28:47,200 --> 00:28:52,000
Speaker 2: The half versus half disparity here is shocking. I don't

620
00:28:52,000 --> 00:28:54,680
Speaker 2: think we've ever gone to the links to present this.

621
00:28:56,400 --> 00:29:00,760
Speaker 2: We are so enthralled with the versus half in TCU

622
00:29:00,840 --> 00:29:03,400
Speaker 2: versus Texas, one of our best bets, one of our

623
00:29:03,480 --> 00:29:06,000
Speaker 2: Rama Noodle Express picks is going to be a derivative.

624
00:29:06,000 --> 00:29:07,240
Speaker 1: It's going to be a first half bet.

625
00:29:07,920 --> 00:29:10,600
Speaker 2: I mean, Bud Elliott does fifteen of these things every hour.

626
00:29:10,720 --> 00:29:12,200
Speaker 1: We don't do all that many of them, but we're

627
00:29:12,200 --> 00:29:13,000
Speaker 1: going to do one tonight.

628
00:29:13,560 --> 00:29:17,440
Speaker 2: Texas leads the Big Twelve in first half, points per

629
00:29:17,480 --> 00:29:22,880
Speaker 2: game and points margin in the first half. TCU leads

630
00:29:22,920 --> 00:29:25,560
Speaker 2: the conference in every one of those categories in the

631
00:29:25,600 --> 00:29:29,239
Speaker 2: second half. Texas gets a lead, like every week in

632
00:29:29,280 --> 00:29:31,920
Speaker 2: the first half, and then they either squander it or

633
00:29:31,920 --> 00:29:33,160
Speaker 2: they hold onto it by the.

634
00:29:33,160 --> 00:29:34,400
Speaker 1: Skin of their teeth. In the second half.

635
00:29:35,040 --> 00:29:38,680
Speaker 2: TCU has no interest in leading at halftime. It's almost

636
00:29:38,720 --> 00:29:41,280
Speaker 2: like they would rather trail because they see how much

637
00:29:41,280 --> 00:29:43,240
Speaker 2: slacks in the rope, and they come out of the

638
00:29:43,320 --> 00:29:45,760
Speaker 2: locker room and then they start pulling, and they pull

639
00:29:45,840 --> 00:29:47,800
Speaker 2: enough of that rope to pull by you and wave

640
00:29:47,880 --> 00:29:50,040
Speaker 2: and grin the process, and everyone who thought they were

641
00:29:50,040 --> 00:29:52,160
Speaker 2: about to go down looks like an idiot.

642
00:29:52,480 --> 00:29:56,000
Speaker 1: Happened again last week and so TCU is getting.

643
00:29:55,800 --> 00:29:58,960
Speaker 2: Quintin Johnson back. We think the big time receiver for

644
00:29:59,000 --> 00:30:00,840
Speaker 2: the horn Frogs. They're getting them back. Now, what we

645
00:30:00,920 --> 00:30:04,240
Speaker 2: don't know because of an ankle issue, is what version

646
00:30:04,280 --> 00:30:06,000
Speaker 2: of him we're going to get this week. But we

647
00:30:06,040 --> 00:30:08,680
Speaker 2: think we're going to get him. That makes a big difference.

648
00:30:08,720 --> 00:30:11,280
Speaker 2: At what level I don't know, but it's important that

649
00:30:11,320 --> 00:30:13,920
Speaker 2: he's at least out there and Texas at least thinks

650
00:30:14,120 --> 00:30:15,760
Speaker 2: that he can go to a high level because the

651
00:30:15,840 --> 00:30:20,520
Speaker 2: Texas defense can otherwise probably limit this run. But as

652
00:30:20,560 --> 00:30:24,000
Speaker 2: I say that, I know TCU staff has supreme confidence

653
00:30:24,040 --> 00:30:26,880
Speaker 2: in that offensive line and that run game. They're proud

654
00:30:26,920 --> 00:30:29,680
Speaker 2: of the physical nature that those guys have played with.

655
00:30:30,120 --> 00:30:35,240
Speaker 2: So the potential padlocked stat this Saturday is TCU is

656
00:30:35,480 --> 00:30:38,040
Speaker 2: blank in run defense. Because as much as I'm talking

657
00:30:38,080 --> 00:30:40,880
Speaker 2: about what TCU can do on the ground, I'm even

658
00:30:40,920 --> 00:30:44,160
Speaker 2: more interested in what they can do against the Texas run.

659
00:30:44,720 --> 00:30:46,600
Speaker 1: They faced Oklahoma and.

660
00:30:46,560 --> 00:30:49,920
Speaker 2: They didn't get Gabriel for all of that, and Oklahoma

661
00:30:49,920 --> 00:30:52,040
Speaker 2: still ran the ball kind of welled on them, but

662
00:30:52,080 --> 00:30:53,320
Speaker 2: that was such a lopsided game.

663
00:30:53,400 --> 00:30:53,880
Speaker 1: Who knows.

664
00:30:54,240 --> 00:30:57,320
Speaker 2: Then they face Kansas State and Adrian Martinez was out

665
00:30:57,320 --> 00:30:59,520
Speaker 2: a lot of the game. Kansas State's got a pretty

666
00:30:59,520 --> 00:31:02,080
Speaker 2: good run game. They put up some good numbers on TCU.

667
00:31:03,200 --> 00:31:07,920
Speaker 2: But this week you've got potentially a quarterback in Quinn

668
00:31:08,000 --> 00:31:10,160
Speaker 2: Viewers that can change a game if you're not careful,

669
00:31:10,960 --> 00:31:13,440
Speaker 2: and you're in the mid sixties in run defense as

670
00:31:13,440 --> 00:31:16,800
Speaker 2: it is, And you've got Bjon Robinson to face this week,

671
00:31:17,000 --> 00:31:18,920
Speaker 2: and what's he done lately? Will He's the only player

672
00:31:18,920 --> 00:31:21,720
Speaker 2: in FBS with eight hundred rushing yards and two hundred

673
00:31:21,720 --> 00:31:26,320
Speaker 2: and fifty receiving yards. He also has seven games consecutive

674
00:31:26,360 --> 00:31:29,480
Speaker 2: now six point two yards per carrey. That's the average

675
00:31:29,520 --> 00:31:30,120
Speaker 2: as of late.

676
00:31:31,240 --> 00:31:31,600
Speaker 1: And so.

677
00:31:33,320 --> 00:31:35,920
Speaker 2: I'm interested because I guarantee you both these teams think

678
00:31:35,960 --> 00:31:37,560
Speaker 2: they can take the game over on the ground. I

679
00:31:37,560 --> 00:31:40,640
Speaker 2: think one of them will, and almost certainly that will

680
00:31:40,640 --> 00:31:41,880
Speaker 2: be the team that ends up winning.

681
00:31:42,120 --> 00:31:43,440
Speaker 1: Let's take a look at the model.

682
00:31:43,760 --> 00:31:46,680
Speaker 2: The Vegas number right now is Texas minus seven, and

683
00:31:46,720 --> 00:31:49,120
Speaker 2: I've got to tell you the model does not think

684
00:31:49,160 --> 00:31:53,080
Speaker 2: that is enough. The model looks and says hookm horns

685
00:31:53,440 --> 00:31:55,040
Speaker 2: Texas minus ten and a half.

686
00:31:56,280 --> 00:31:57,520
Speaker 1: I think the model's right.

687
00:31:58,760 --> 00:32:01,760
Speaker 2: I know you're not used to seeing Texas own a

688
00:32:01,760 --> 00:32:04,840
Speaker 2: big game, and it may feel weird, but I think

689
00:32:04,840 --> 00:32:06,200
Speaker 2: they're gonna win the game Saturday.

690
00:32:06,240 --> 00:32:08,520
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna cover seven. But that's not our

691
00:32:08,560 --> 00:32:09,080
Speaker 1: best bet.

692
00:32:09,360 --> 00:32:11,560
Speaker 2: Our best bet is Texas minus four in the first

693
00:32:11,560 --> 00:32:16,400
Speaker 2: half because I cannot ignore those first half derivative discrepancies.

694
00:32:16,720 --> 00:32:18,720
Speaker 2: Those are a lot of syllables for just two words.

695
00:32:18,720 --> 00:32:21,480
Speaker 2: But Texas minus four in the first half is a

696
00:32:21,560 --> 00:32:24,440
Speaker 2: rominudle express best bet. We're adding that one to the

697
00:32:24,480 --> 00:32:26,400
Speaker 2: pack there. It's gonna be a really fun one. That's

698
00:32:26,400 --> 00:32:30,880
Speaker 2: seven thirty Eastern time on ABC. You know, lost in

699
00:32:30,960 --> 00:32:34,080
Speaker 2: all the election hooplaw and a college football playoff hoopline

700
00:32:34,600 --> 00:32:38,280
Speaker 2: and predictions, we got a JP pole to drop tonight too,

701
00:32:38,560 --> 00:32:40,680
Speaker 2: and that's really what the people tune in for. I

702
00:32:40,760 --> 00:32:43,440
Speaker 2: appreciate you guys, if you are tuned in, thank you

703
00:32:43,560 --> 00:32:45,400
Speaker 2: so much for that. Let's go ahead and get our

704
00:32:45,560 --> 00:32:47,720
Speaker 2: like over one thousand. We're at six forty four right now,

705
00:32:48,600 --> 00:32:50,600
Speaker 2: a little like drive, which is better than a canned

706
00:32:50,600 --> 00:32:52,640
Speaker 2: food drive because you don't actually have to give me anything.

707
00:32:53,080 --> 00:32:56,880
Speaker 2: In the meantime, JP Pole Week eleven. Addition, we got

708
00:32:56,880 --> 00:32:59,360
Speaker 2: a lot of big movement. Reminder, all that matters here

709
00:32:59,440 --> 00:33:01,360
Speaker 2: is who'd be fair against who on a neutral field.

710
00:33:01,600 --> 00:33:03,680
Speaker 2: This has nothing to do with rankings. This has nothing

711
00:33:03,680 --> 00:33:05,600
Speaker 2: to do with the college football payoff. That has nothing

712
00:33:05,600 --> 00:33:07,360
Speaker 2: to do with your record, It has nothing to.

713
00:33:07,320 --> 00:33:07,959
Speaker 1: Do with merit.

714
00:33:08,760 --> 00:33:13,680
Speaker 2: Having said that, let's dive into this week's ratings, not rankings, ratings.

715
00:33:14,120 --> 00:33:15,000
Speaker 1: Starting at twenty five.

716
00:33:15,120 --> 00:33:16,840
Speaker 2: We like to go twenty five to one, but I

717
00:33:16,880 --> 00:33:19,160
Speaker 2: don't make you wait nearly as long as some other

718
00:33:19,200 --> 00:33:24,400
Speaker 2: networks do. Wisconsin is back. Welcome back Badgers, Central Florida.

719
00:33:24,760 --> 00:33:28,440
Speaker 2: They are power rated twenty four. Arkansas has plummeted. Look,

720
00:33:28,480 --> 00:33:30,560
Speaker 2: we're having a hard time with Arkansas number one because

721
00:33:30,600 --> 00:33:32,320
Speaker 2: I love them. So there's a ton of bias.

722
00:33:32,560 --> 00:33:33,720
Speaker 1: Just kidding. This is a computer.

723
00:33:33,800 --> 00:33:38,600
Speaker 2: This is not me, but number two kJ Jefferson. Without him,

724
00:33:38,640 --> 00:33:40,719
Speaker 2: they are not a top twenty five team. With a

725
00:33:40,720 --> 00:33:42,080
Speaker 2: healthy version of him, they are a.

726
00:33:42,040 --> 00:33:42,960
Speaker 1: Top twenty five team.

727
00:33:43,160 --> 00:33:44,600
Speaker 2: So it's like a week to week thing. We have

728
00:33:44,640 --> 00:33:46,240
Speaker 2: to guess or maybe split the difference as to what

729
00:33:46,240 --> 00:33:48,640
Speaker 2: we're going to get. Kentucky's sitting there at twenty two,

730
00:33:48,840 --> 00:33:51,040
Speaker 2: which is kind of where the College Football Playoff Committee

731
00:33:51,040 --> 00:33:53,800
Speaker 2: has in my thing. Mississippi State so in the top

732
00:33:53,840 --> 00:33:58,560
Speaker 2: twenty five, they're at twenty one, next five. Please, Oregon

733
00:33:58,600 --> 00:34:00,920
Speaker 2: State's still there. We think they're a top twenty team.

734
00:34:00,920 --> 00:34:03,080
Speaker 2: We've been high on them for a while. Notre Dame

735
00:34:03,560 --> 00:34:06,000
Speaker 2: is up to nineteen, shockingly similar to what the College

736
00:34:06,000 --> 00:34:07,240
Speaker 2: Football Playoff Committee had.

737
00:34:07,600 --> 00:34:09,400
Speaker 1: Florida State, we never bailed.

738
00:34:09,560 --> 00:34:12,480
Speaker 2: Please, let it be noted as Florida State goes on

739
00:34:12,520 --> 00:34:14,800
Speaker 2: a late season run, they got Syracusis Saturday.

740
00:34:14,800 --> 00:34:18,560
Speaker 1: They'll probably win that one. Let it be noted some

741
00:34:18,600 --> 00:34:20,239
Speaker 1: people gave up. We did not.

742
00:34:21,040 --> 00:34:24,800
Speaker 2: The model was very steadfast and faithful in the knowles,

743
00:34:25,080 --> 00:34:29,440
Speaker 2: and we got them at eighteen. Baylor has vaulted up

744
00:34:29,480 --> 00:34:32,280
Speaker 2: to number seventeen. We have not punted on Baylor either.

745
00:34:32,480 --> 00:34:35,560
Speaker 2: And there's UCLA just kind of sneakily hanging out there

746
00:34:35,560 --> 00:34:38,680
Speaker 2: in the mid teens. At number sixteen. They've got I believe,

747
00:34:38,719 --> 00:34:42,200
Speaker 2: Arizona Saturday, and then they've got some big games coming

748
00:34:42,280 --> 00:34:43,120
Speaker 2: up later in the month.

749
00:34:43,560 --> 00:34:49,840
Speaker 1: Top fifteen. What about Kansas State? Kansas State, what do

750
00:34:49,880 --> 00:34:50,520
Speaker 1: you do with them?

751
00:34:50,960 --> 00:34:54,319
Speaker 2: Well, there's this tendency this late in the year when

752
00:34:54,320 --> 00:34:56,120
Speaker 2: a team loses a game to just want to throw

753
00:34:56,160 --> 00:34:58,360
Speaker 2: them out. Well, you don't do that. You do the

754
00:34:58,360 --> 00:35:00,759
Speaker 2: same thing after they lose. You did BEFO four. You

755
00:35:00,880 --> 00:35:04,359
Speaker 2: measure their data profile relative to all the other data

756
00:35:04,400 --> 00:35:07,200
Speaker 2: profiles and they lose a game.

757
00:35:07,280 --> 00:35:10,080
Speaker 1: Okay, well they drop They won a game the week before.

758
00:35:10,440 --> 00:35:12,239
Speaker 1: We did involved them like a bunch of people did.

759
00:35:12,400 --> 00:35:16,600
Speaker 2: We got Kansas State at fifteen, Ole Miss fourteen, Utah thirteen.

760
00:35:17,200 --> 00:35:20,839
Speaker 2: TCU is twelve down a couple of spots. That has

761
00:35:20,880 --> 00:35:24,080
Speaker 2: more to do with other teams rising. Clemson drop five spots.

762
00:35:24,120 --> 00:35:26,439
Speaker 2: Now they're eleven. And remember this is about who would

763
00:35:26,440 --> 00:35:28,680
Speaker 2: be favored, who would be favored.

764
00:35:29,520 --> 00:35:30,960
Speaker 1: Now here's the disagreement.

765
00:35:32,040 --> 00:35:35,360
Speaker 2: The model thinks that Clemson would be favored tomorrow against

766
00:35:35,400 --> 00:35:37,920
Speaker 2: TCU on a neutral field. And I know a lot

767
00:35:38,000 --> 00:35:40,799
Speaker 2: of you disagree with that, but I've been telling you

768
00:35:40,840 --> 00:35:43,200
Speaker 2: for a while. TCU would be a dog against several teams.

769
00:35:43,200 --> 00:35:46,600
Speaker 2: They're a touchdown underdog against Texas. Texas has three losses,

770
00:35:47,080 --> 00:35:50,759
Speaker 2: they're a touchdown dog to them. So that record is

771
00:35:50,760 --> 00:35:52,759
Speaker 2: not the end all be all. Odds makers tell you

772
00:35:52,800 --> 00:35:54,480
Speaker 2: that every week, and that's all this poll is based on.

773
00:35:54,600 --> 00:35:58,000
Speaker 2: Let's go top ten, right quick, Penn States at ten

774
00:36:00,360 --> 00:36:02,480
Speaker 2: is they are not as good as Michigan or Penn

775
00:36:02,520 --> 00:36:06,480
Speaker 2: State or Ohio State. Well, that only means you should

776
00:36:06,480 --> 00:36:09,239
Speaker 2: be out of the top twenty five if you lose

777
00:36:09,280 --> 00:36:11,399
Speaker 2: several more games, because we've got them in the top five.

778
00:36:11,440 --> 00:36:14,080
Speaker 2: Both those teams are top five teams, So just because

779
00:36:14,120 --> 00:36:16,600
Speaker 2: you're not able to beat them.

780
00:36:16,239 --> 00:36:18,160
Speaker 1: That mean you couldn't beat TCU if we put them

781
00:36:18,200 --> 00:36:20,400
Speaker 1: on a neutral field. LSU is at nine.

782
00:36:20,760 --> 00:36:24,280
Speaker 2: I cannot believe that they have put together this string

783
00:36:24,320 --> 00:36:25,040
Speaker 2: of play, but they have.

784
00:36:25,600 --> 00:36:28,719
Speaker 1: USC is unchanged at eight. There's Texas. Again.

785
00:36:29,360 --> 00:36:31,120
Speaker 2: I'm always going to get pushed back on this because

786
00:36:31,120 --> 00:36:32,600
Speaker 2: that's a three lost team in our top ten, and

787
00:36:32,640 --> 00:36:34,040
Speaker 2: no matter how many times I tell you it's not

788
00:36:34,040 --> 00:36:36,120
Speaker 2: about merit, you'll continue to say, how do you have

789
00:36:36,200 --> 00:36:38,560
Speaker 2: them up there? Because they'd be favored against all these

790
00:36:38,600 --> 00:36:43,560
Speaker 2: other teams. This would and if they wouldn't, the model

791
00:36:43,600 --> 00:36:46,120
Speaker 2: says it would favor them, and Vegas would be very

792
00:36:46,200 --> 00:36:49,000
Speaker 2: very close to that. So if you don't think Texas

793
00:36:49,000 --> 00:36:51,960
Speaker 2: would be favored against LSU on a neutral field, I'd

794
00:36:51,960 --> 00:36:54,440
Speaker 2: first off remind you LSU's only favored by three against

795
00:36:54,480 --> 00:36:57,520
Speaker 2: Arkansas this weekend Andeville. And the second thing is it

796
00:36:57,560 --> 00:37:01,200
Speaker 2: would be close either way because we have like a

797
00:37:01,239 --> 00:37:03,839
Speaker 2: three quarter point separation. So even we don't think it's

798
00:37:03,840 --> 00:37:06,439
Speaker 2: a big edge. Oregon is at six, love the Dutch

799
00:37:06,520 --> 00:37:12,120
Speaker 2: right now, Top five Alabama is Alabama's not gonna drop

800
00:37:12,200 --> 00:37:14,439
Speaker 2: very far, guys, just because they'd still be favored over

801
00:37:14,480 --> 00:37:16,920
Speaker 2: a lot of teams. We just now dropped them below Tennessee,

802
00:37:17,680 --> 00:37:20,320
Speaker 2: and I don't necessarily know that there'd be a dog.

803
00:37:20,160 --> 00:37:21,320
Speaker 1: Against Tennessee tomorrow.

804
00:37:21,880 --> 00:37:24,600
Speaker 2: You saw what happened this past weekend, right, You saw

805
00:37:24,640 --> 00:37:27,480
Speaker 2: them lose to LSU, right, and all Vegas did was

806
00:37:27,560 --> 00:37:29,840
Speaker 2: open them as a double digit favorite on the road

807
00:37:29,960 --> 00:37:36,200
Speaker 2: again this week against ole Miss. So my encouragement to

808
00:37:36,239 --> 00:37:39,280
Speaker 2: you is if you think it's BS bet ole Miss

809
00:37:39,800 --> 00:37:42,120
Speaker 2: bet LSU, bet all these teams make a bunch of money,

810
00:37:42,480 --> 00:37:44,920
Speaker 2: but that's not what we're basing our numbers on.

811
00:37:45,320 --> 00:37:47,400
Speaker 1: They're favored, that means we're right about that.

812
00:37:47,840 --> 00:37:52,239
Speaker 2: Kennessee number four, Michigan three, Ohio State two, Georgia one.

813
00:37:52,760 --> 00:37:55,879
Speaker 2: There is change, and that is there's now a little

814
00:37:55,920 --> 00:37:58,440
Speaker 2: bit of a gap between one and two. There's a

815
00:37:58,520 --> 00:38:01,640
Speaker 2: four point gap right now for US between Georgia and

816
00:38:01,680 --> 00:38:05,280
Speaker 2: Ohio State, and there is not much room between Ohio

817
00:38:05,280 --> 00:38:08,640
Speaker 2: State and Michigan. That gap is evaporated and there's not

818
00:38:08,760 --> 00:38:10,880
Speaker 2: much gap for that matter, between Ohio State and Michigan

819
00:38:10,880 --> 00:38:15,320
Speaker 2: and Tennessee. So there is a number one Georgia about

820
00:38:15,320 --> 00:38:17,719
Speaker 2: a four point gap, and then there's like a one

821
00:38:17,719 --> 00:38:19,520
Speaker 2: and a half or two point gap between two, three

822
00:38:19,520 --> 00:38:20,640
Speaker 2: and four and five.

823
00:38:20,920 --> 00:38:24,880
Speaker 1: Bama's not far behind them either. Again, just odds making.

824
00:38:25,000 --> 00:38:25,359
Speaker 1: That's it.

825
00:38:25,800 --> 00:38:28,800
Speaker 2: Let's dive right back into the predictions for this week.

826
00:38:31,640 --> 00:38:35,760
Speaker 2: This one was completed, oh, I would say about fifteen

827
00:38:35,800 --> 00:38:39,440
Speaker 2: minutes before airtime. And I'm not all that confident in

828
00:38:39,480 --> 00:38:39,960
Speaker 2: my prediction.

829
00:38:40,040 --> 00:38:44,360
Speaker 1: Here. Let me hydrate and let's dive in.

830
00:38:46,480 --> 00:38:51,320
Speaker 2: LSU plays Arkansas eleven am Local time, noon Eastern Saturday,

831
00:38:51,320 --> 00:38:54,840
Speaker 2: on ESPN. This is what we call a caution tape

832
00:38:54,880 --> 00:38:59,000
Speaker 2: special because all you remember is what you.

833
00:38:59,080 --> 00:39:02,319
Speaker 1: Last saw, and what you last saw is.

834
00:39:02,320 --> 00:39:04,520
Speaker 2: Hugh Freeze going in there and taking the whack a

835
00:39:04,560 --> 00:39:08,040
Speaker 2: mole hammer, the Sam Pittman and the Hogs. And as

836
00:39:08,080 --> 00:39:12,080
Speaker 2: that was happening, you saw Brian Kelly take down Nick

837
00:39:12,160 --> 00:39:15,799
Speaker 2: Saban and Baton Rouge in year one. And then I

838
00:39:15,880 --> 00:39:17,799
Speaker 2: throw these two teams on a field and they put

839
00:39:17,840 --> 00:39:20,799
Speaker 2: a line of three on it. And you say this

840
00:39:20,840 --> 00:39:24,320
Speaker 2: is free money, right, No, No, it's not free money,

841
00:39:24,760 --> 00:39:28,320
Speaker 2: because we have this thing in mathematics and in college

842
00:39:28,320 --> 00:39:32,120
Speaker 2: football called a progression and a regression to the mean.

843
00:39:32,600 --> 00:39:36,440
Speaker 2: And the bottom line is Arkansas lost as about a

844
00:39:36,480 --> 00:39:40,799
Speaker 2: two touchdown favorite last week and LSU one as about

845
00:39:40,800 --> 00:39:44,239
Speaker 2: a two touchdown dog last week. These two things do

846
00:39:44,320 --> 00:39:47,520
Speaker 2: not just continue to happen. And so oddsmakers are saying,

847
00:39:48,360 --> 00:39:51,640
Speaker 2: we think LSU is better than Arkansas, probably by about.

848
00:39:51,560 --> 00:39:52,480
Speaker 1: Six or seven points.

849
00:39:52,520 --> 00:39:54,760
Speaker 2: We're gonna shave it down to three for home field,

850
00:39:55,160 --> 00:39:58,040
Speaker 2: and you guys have at it, and people are gonna

851
00:39:58,080 --> 00:39:59,399
Speaker 2: dump money on LSU this week.

852
00:39:59,480 --> 00:40:00,640
Speaker 1: We'll see what we think about it.

853
00:40:01,160 --> 00:40:04,400
Speaker 2: But it's a letdown spot versus a wounded animal spot,

854
00:40:04,719 --> 00:40:06,879
Speaker 2: and it's gonna be really, really juicy because you don't

855
00:40:06,880 --> 00:40:08,040
Speaker 2: have to wait for it. It's one of the first

856
00:40:08,080 --> 00:40:12,600
Speaker 2: games you see on Saturday. kJ Jefferson is really what

857
00:40:12,640 --> 00:40:13,760
Speaker 2: the outcome of this game.

858
00:40:13,640 --> 00:40:14,040
Speaker 1: Is all about.

859
00:40:14,120 --> 00:40:17,360
Speaker 2: That's not disrespecting LSU. I'm saying, if I don't have

860
00:40:17,400 --> 00:40:20,600
Speaker 2: a healthy Jefferson, LSU is gonna run away with the game.

861
00:40:21,080 --> 00:40:24,000
Speaker 2: Whereas if I have a healthy kJ Jefferson, and by healthy,

862
00:40:24,040 --> 00:40:26,480
Speaker 2: I don't mean one hundred percent, I just mean a

863
00:40:26,600 --> 00:40:31,640
Speaker 2: quarterback that can beat me multiple ways. A quarterback whose

864
00:40:31,800 --> 00:40:34,720
Speaker 2: entire toolbox I have to account for if I have him.

865
00:40:34,960 --> 00:40:39,120
Speaker 2: That's how Arkansas could be competitive here. But Jaden Daniels

866
00:40:39,239 --> 00:40:41,400
Speaker 2: the reason why you got to have your horse ready

867
00:40:41,400 --> 00:40:44,200
Speaker 2: to go, cause Jaden Daniels is not giving you anything.

868
00:40:44,640 --> 00:40:47,560
Speaker 2: He is right now third best among quarterbacks in all

869
00:40:47,600 --> 00:40:50,960
Speaker 2: of FBS when it comes to touchdown to interception ratio.

870
00:40:51,560 --> 00:40:55,759
Speaker 2: So you watch his style of play and if you

871
00:40:55,800 --> 00:40:57,640
Speaker 2: didn't know better, you would say, oh, he's gonna be

872
00:40:57,680 --> 00:41:00,359
Speaker 2: mistake prone playing like that. He's really not, at least

873
00:41:00,360 --> 00:41:02,319
Speaker 2: it really hasn't been. Now if he is Saturday, then

874
00:41:03,440 --> 00:41:05,880
Speaker 2: that would that would just be a one off in

875
00:41:06,280 --> 00:41:09,560
Speaker 2: the most and the most unlikely of spots. But it

876
00:41:09,600 --> 00:41:12,279
Speaker 2: was gut check time last week for LSU. It's gut

877
00:41:12,360 --> 00:41:15,440
Speaker 2: check time this week for Arkansas. They're fighting to make

878
00:41:15,480 --> 00:41:16,239
Speaker 2: a bowl up there.

879
00:41:16,600 --> 00:41:19,600
Speaker 1: Now. They still got to make a bowl, and right now.

880
00:41:20,160 --> 00:41:23,640
Speaker 2: It doesn't feel good around the program because you lost

881
00:41:23,800 --> 00:41:27,040
Speaker 2: against A and M, and that one really sets you

882
00:41:27,120 --> 00:41:29,799
Speaker 2: up the next week for losing to Alabama and then

883
00:41:29,840 --> 00:41:32,759
Speaker 2: you've got injuries at quarterback and you lose to Mississippi State.

884
00:41:33,120 --> 00:41:35,680
Speaker 2: But when they went to Brigham Young and then went

885
00:41:35,719 --> 00:41:38,360
Speaker 2: to Auburn, and they won both those games by double digits.

886
00:41:38,400 --> 00:41:42,319
Speaker 2: It felt like something had turned. And then last week

887
00:41:42,400 --> 00:41:46,080
Speaker 2: happens and they're down three scores and they bench Jefferson

888
00:41:46,880 --> 00:41:48,879
Speaker 2: because he was he was hurt. He's just playing hurt

889
00:41:49,040 --> 00:41:51,960
Speaker 2: at anybody watching with common sense understood what they were seeing.

890
00:41:52,280 --> 00:41:55,799
Speaker 2: And they almost came back. But that doesn't count. And

891
00:41:55,840 --> 00:41:56,600
Speaker 2: now what do you do.

892
00:41:56,960 --> 00:41:59,759
Speaker 1: You're a four loss team, you're five and four. They

893
00:41:59,760 --> 00:42:00,279
Speaker 1: need to.

894
00:42:00,239 --> 00:42:03,520
Speaker 2: Beat either LSU, Ole miss or Missouri to make a bowl.

895
00:42:03,880 --> 00:42:05,879
Speaker 2: They would love to do much more than just make

896
00:42:05,920 --> 00:42:10,880
Speaker 2: a bowl. But see this game here. There are going

897
00:42:10,960 --> 00:42:15,560
Speaker 2: to be so many folks who look at it and say, Arkansas, Oh,

898
00:42:15,640 --> 00:42:18,560
Speaker 2: you mean that team that just lost to Liberty or LSU,

899
00:42:18,680 --> 00:42:20,719
Speaker 2: Oh you mean that team that just beat Alabama.

900
00:42:21,080 --> 00:42:23,399
Speaker 1: I don't mean either of those things.

901
00:42:24,080 --> 00:42:26,319
Speaker 2: You could get LSU win by thirty. You could get

902
00:42:26,400 --> 00:42:30,040
Speaker 2: them losing by twenty Saturday. You don't get the same

903
00:42:30,160 --> 00:42:32,839
Speaker 2: versions of teams week to week. Now, some of them,

904
00:42:32,920 --> 00:42:36,759
Speaker 2: like Georgia, becomes so good that you consistently get a

905
00:42:36,760 --> 00:42:39,759
Speaker 2: great version of them. But even Georgia, you will not

906
00:42:39,880 --> 00:42:43,120
Speaker 2: get the exact version of Georgia against Mississippi State. This

907
00:42:43,160 --> 00:42:45,920
Speaker 2: week that you just saw Pound on Tennessee. That's not

908
00:42:46,080 --> 00:42:49,319
Speaker 2: the way that college athletics work. So what you hope

909
00:42:49,320 --> 00:42:52,560
Speaker 2: to build is consistency. But it's a crapshoot any given week,

910
00:42:53,000 --> 00:42:56,440
Speaker 2: and there is there is a basically a gap of

911
00:42:56,560 --> 00:43:00,200
Speaker 2: a variance and for the you know, the undisciplined teams

912
00:43:00,239 --> 00:43:02,840
Speaker 2: is a little wider, but you just kind of close

913
00:43:02,880 --> 00:43:05,399
Speaker 2: your eyes and you draw a version of yourself out

914
00:43:05,400 --> 00:43:07,960
Speaker 2: of that barrel. And that's what I get any given week.

915
00:43:08,440 --> 00:43:10,520
Speaker 2: If I get a better version of Arkansas on a

916
00:43:10,520 --> 00:43:12,920
Speaker 2: worse version of LSU, you could easily see an upset

917
00:43:13,080 --> 00:43:13,760
Speaker 2: this Saturday.

918
00:43:14,080 --> 00:43:16,960
Speaker 1: But you need the best game you've had in a.

919
00:43:16,960 --> 00:43:20,200
Speaker 2: While from Arkansas on the line of scrimmage, because if

920
00:43:20,200 --> 00:43:23,960
Speaker 2: you don't get it, LSU could tilt this thinges LSU's

921
00:43:24,000 --> 00:43:27,640
Speaker 2: offensive line based on what we thought they were going

922
00:43:27,680 --> 00:43:29,000
Speaker 2: to be earlier in the year as playing out of

923
00:43:29,040 --> 00:43:29,439
Speaker 2: their mind.

924
00:43:29,480 --> 00:43:30,880
Speaker 1: They've settled in on a rotation.

925
00:43:31,440 --> 00:43:34,439
Speaker 2: They ran it for way more than they had any

926
00:43:34,440 --> 00:43:37,200
Speaker 2: business running it against Alabama. They could do the exact

927
00:43:37,239 --> 00:43:40,400
Speaker 2: same thing this week. And if you're having even moderate

928
00:43:40,440 --> 00:43:43,759
Speaker 2: success on the ground, Arkansas is I think, what are they?

929
00:43:43,800 --> 00:43:47,480
Speaker 2: They are third worst in FBS in passing yards allowed

930
00:43:47,800 --> 00:43:51,160
Speaker 2: over three hundred a game, So you could have an

931
00:43:51,320 --> 00:43:55,080
Speaker 2: entire complement of the LSU offensive playbook available if you're

932
00:43:55,080 --> 00:43:58,360
Speaker 2: not standing up with the line of scrimmage and consider

933
00:43:58,400 --> 00:44:01,319
Speaker 2: the stakes man consider the state for both teams different goals,

934
00:44:01,400 --> 00:44:02,839
Speaker 2: but both teams have high stakes here.

935
00:44:03,120 --> 00:44:05,040
Speaker 1: I want you to look at what the model thinks.

936
00:44:05,280 --> 00:44:06,480
Speaker 1: I think you'll be surprised.

937
00:44:06,840 --> 00:44:11,320
Speaker 2: I was model has Arkansas winning the game outright, Arkansas

938
00:44:11,360 --> 00:44:14,360
Speaker 2: minus won so almost to pick them, but for the record,

939
00:44:14,400 --> 00:44:17,840
Speaker 2: it does lean Arkansas. The Caesars line right now is

940
00:44:17,960 --> 00:44:22,760
Speaker 2: LSU minus three. I was texting a number of people

941
00:44:22,760 --> 00:44:25,319
Speaker 2: before the show because, look, if you give me a

942
00:44:25,600 --> 00:44:28,240
Speaker 2: one hundred percent healthy kJ Jefferson, I got no problem

943
00:44:28,239 --> 00:44:29,000
Speaker 2: picking the upset.

944
00:44:29,280 --> 00:44:31,080
Speaker 1: I've seen this stuff happen before.

945
00:44:32,480 --> 00:44:34,239
Speaker 2: But I'm not going to pick it because I don't

946
00:44:34,239 --> 00:44:35,879
Speaker 2: know what the status of Jefferson is. And I think

947
00:44:36,000 --> 00:44:38,120
Speaker 2: LSU is playing really good ball right now. And I

948
00:44:38,200 --> 00:44:40,520
Speaker 2: know crazier things have happened, and crazy things happen in

949
00:44:40,520 --> 00:44:43,080
Speaker 2: the sport every week, But Arkansas is going to have

950
00:44:43,080 --> 00:44:46,719
Speaker 2: to show me Saturday, because until further notice, I'm going

951
00:44:46,760 --> 00:44:49,400
Speaker 2: to slightly lean towards LSU to win, and if I'm

952
00:44:49,400 --> 00:44:51,600
Speaker 2: going to lean that way to win, I'm going to

953
00:44:51,640 --> 00:44:52,040
Speaker 2: take them.

954
00:44:51,920 --> 00:44:52,680
Speaker 1: To cover as well.

955
00:44:53,400 --> 00:44:56,719
Speaker 2: No money will be wagered on that game. We had

956
00:44:56,719 --> 00:44:58,640
Speaker 2: a Twitter question and I want to get to it

957
00:44:58,680 --> 00:45:00,560
Speaker 2: before we go back into game break. Now, we got

958
00:45:00,560 --> 00:45:03,360
Speaker 2: a big one on the West Coast, so don't go anywhere. Actually,

959
00:45:03,840 --> 00:45:07,120
Speaker 2: this question, it kind of has some West Coast flavor,

960
00:45:07,160 --> 00:45:09,839
Speaker 2: but it has some Southern flavor too. So let's take

961
00:45:09,840 --> 00:45:14,040
Speaker 2: a look at what they sent us earlier. Bob hits

962
00:45:14,080 --> 00:45:18,000
Speaker 2: us up. He said, Hey, Pac twelve paate, thank you, Bob.

963
00:45:18,280 --> 00:45:19,800
Speaker 2: He said, do you have thoughts.

964
00:45:19,560 --> 00:45:23,759
Speaker 1: On the Dan landing to Auburn rumors? Yes, I do.

965
00:45:24,000 --> 00:45:27,319
Speaker 2: These, unbeknownst to me, has started to circulate the last

966
00:45:27,320 --> 00:45:31,239
Speaker 2: few days. Now, I say unbeknownst to me because I

967
00:45:31,280 --> 00:45:35,080
Speaker 2: have just kind of resigned myself that no moves are

968
00:45:35,120 --> 00:45:39,600
Speaker 2: about to be made in these coaching searches until after

969
00:45:40,280 --> 00:45:44,279
Speaker 2: rivalry Saturday. And I'm talking about Nebraska, like there was

970
00:45:44,719 --> 00:45:46,959
Speaker 2: a lot of smoke out in Nebraska the past forty

971
00:45:47,000 --> 00:45:49,080
Speaker 2: eight hours. They're not making a higher yet unless it's

972
00:45:49,120 --> 00:45:51,720
Speaker 2: Matt rule, you know, because you're not waiting on Matt rule,

973
00:45:52,280 --> 00:45:54,520
Speaker 2: and you know, I think that name has traction up there.

974
00:45:54,560 --> 00:45:56,240
Speaker 2: But this is not about Nebraska. This is about Oregon

975
00:45:56,280 --> 00:45:59,600
Speaker 2: and Auburn. Dan Landing's not going to Auburn. So let

976
00:45:59,640 --> 00:46:02,000
Speaker 2: me repeat that for you one more time. Dan Lanning's

977
00:46:02,040 --> 00:46:04,120
Speaker 2: not going to Auburn. And I could have told you

978
00:46:04,160 --> 00:46:06,400
Speaker 2: that before yesterday, But then he had a press conference

979
00:46:06,480 --> 00:46:08,560
Speaker 2: last night and he told you that pretty emphatically.

980
00:46:08,560 --> 00:46:09,480
Speaker 1: He had some good quotes.

981
00:46:10,120 --> 00:46:11,960
Speaker 2: I think what he said about the grass and how

982
00:46:11,960 --> 00:46:14,520
Speaker 2: green it can be in Eugene. If that's not already

983
00:46:14,520 --> 00:46:16,440
Speaker 2: on a bunch of T shirts up there, if someone

984
00:46:16,520 --> 00:46:20,480
Speaker 2: is not already shamelessly profiting, Kenny, I'm looking at you

985
00:46:20,480 --> 00:46:23,560
Speaker 2: in the equipment room there. If someone's not already shamelessly

986
00:46:23,600 --> 00:46:26,400
Speaker 2: profiting off that, they have missed the boat because I

987
00:46:26,440 --> 00:46:28,160
Speaker 2: was a money quote, and I don't know if he

988
00:46:28,200 --> 00:46:30,680
Speaker 2: rehearsed it or not. I don't blame him if he did,

989
00:46:30,760 --> 00:46:33,480
Speaker 2: but that was a good quote. Look, I told a

990
00:46:33,520 --> 00:46:37,160
Speaker 2: buddy this earlier today. They asked me, or he asked me, Hey,

991
00:46:37,160 --> 00:46:39,440
Speaker 2: what about these Landing rumors? And I said, you're not

992
00:46:39,480 --> 00:46:41,879
Speaker 2: getting Dan Lanning. Dan Lanne is the head.

993
00:46:41,760 --> 00:46:42,239
Speaker 1: Coach of Gorgan.

994
00:46:42,280 --> 00:46:45,120
Speaker 2: For those unfamiliar, Oh, you're not getting Dan Lanning. He said, well,

995
00:46:45,120 --> 00:46:47,960
Speaker 2: why the message boards say this, and blah blah blah,

996
00:46:48,160 --> 00:46:50,120
Speaker 2: And I said, well, I'm just telling you I don't

997
00:46:50,120 --> 00:46:52,560
Speaker 2: think that's going to happen. And Dan Lanning said it

998
00:46:52,600 --> 00:46:54,799
Speaker 2: last night. He said, oh, that's not a denial. I said,

999
00:46:54,800 --> 00:46:57,760
Speaker 2: it's a denial. He's not going. He's not coming to Auburn.

1000
00:46:58,280 --> 00:47:01,840
Speaker 1: So move on from that is my advice. But for

1001
00:47:02,000 --> 00:47:05,120
Speaker 1: my buddy, we'll call him Tom because that's his name. Tom.

1002
00:47:05,200 --> 00:47:09,200
Speaker 2: Earlier today he said to me, that's what you said

1003
00:47:09,200 --> 00:47:12,000
Speaker 2: about Mario too, And that's when I dropped the pen

1004
00:47:12,080 --> 00:47:14,359
Speaker 2: se because I try and be nice in these exchanges,

1005
00:47:14,840 --> 00:47:18,720
Speaker 2: but then when someone plays the Mario card not card,

1006
00:47:19,120 --> 00:47:20,879
Speaker 2: then I have to get a little testy with him.

1007
00:47:21,120 --> 00:47:23,120
Speaker 2: And a refresher course, for those of you who have

1008
00:47:23,200 --> 00:47:25,840
Speaker 2: not been around here all that long, I was fairly

1009
00:47:25,840 --> 00:47:28,359
Speaker 2: emphatic that I did not think Mario Christaball was gonna

1010
00:47:28,440 --> 00:47:32,480
Speaker 2: leave Oregon for Miami. Then Mario Cristaball left Oregon for Miami,

1011
00:47:32,800 --> 00:47:34,560
Speaker 2: then came on the show and explained why he did it,

1012
00:47:34,600 --> 00:47:38,040
Speaker 2: by the way, and so I swift on that one.

1013
00:47:38,040 --> 00:47:38,640
Speaker 1: I got it wrong.

1014
00:47:39,080 --> 00:47:43,960
Speaker 2: I measured the situations and even having assessed it, I

1015
00:47:44,040 --> 00:47:47,040
Speaker 2: thought that the quality of the job at Oregon and

1016
00:47:47,080 --> 00:47:49,280
Speaker 2: what they were building up there, I thought was gonna

1017
00:47:49,280 --> 00:47:51,759
Speaker 2: make him want to stick around. I just undervalued his

1018
00:47:51,800 --> 00:47:53,960
Speaker 2: attachment to home. That's the long and short of it.

1019
00:47:54,000 --> 00:47:56,319
Speaker 2: There was no the hidden agenda or anything like that.

1020
00:47:57,520 --> 00:47:59,400
Speaker 1: But that's my point to Tom.

1021
00:47:59,280 --> 00:48:02,000
Speaker 2: And anyone else when you're talking about the fact.

1022
00:48:01,800 --> 00:48:03,440
Speaker 1: That Mario christ left Oregon.

1023
00:48:03,560 --> 00:48:08,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, Mario left Oregon for what For Miami, it was

1024
00:48:08,760 --> 00:48:13,080
Speaker 2: the most special circumstance imaginable. Dan Landing didn't play at Auburn.

1025
00:48:13,160 --> 00:48:15,560
Speaker 2: You didn't grow up in Auburn, so there is no

1026
00:48:15,680 --> 00:48:19,640
Speaker 2: special attachment there. And I know both of these programs

1027
00:48:19,680 --> 00:48:24,399
Speaker 2: fairly well. Within this season, I have been inside both

1028
00:48:24,440 --> 00:48:28,799
Speaker 2: of these programs. Auburn, I think, is a job that

1029
00:48:28,920 --> 00:48:31,279
Speaker 2: is rapidly elevating, and I'm about to talk about that

1030
00:48:31,320 --> 00:48:31,760
Speaker 2: in a second.

1031
00:48:31,840 --> 00:48:32,960
Speaker 1: I talked about it the other night.

1032
00:48:33,480 --> 00:48:36,680
Speaker 2: Oregon's there, though, and I was out there a few

1033
00:48:36,719 --> 00:48:39,440
Speaker 2: weeks ago and talked to a lot of those guys

1034
00:48:39,480 --> 00:48:40,560
Speaker 2: and toured the facilities.

1035
00:48:40,600 --> 00:48:42,959
Speaker 1: But I got a feel of the investment out there.

1036
00:48:43,480 --> 00:48:47,000
Speaker 2: It's very secsqu I know a lot of my Southern

1037
00:48:47,040 --> 00:48:50,719
Speaker 2: brethren scoff at that, but I'm serious about it. I'm

1038
00:48:50,719 --> 00:48:52,920
Speaker 2: not saying that permeates up and down the West coast,

1039
00:48:52,920 --> 00:48:55,040
Speaker 2: but I'm saying they're in Eugene, Oregon. They've got that,

1040
00:48:55,680 --> 00:48:58,600
Speaker 2: and you have a special circumstance.

1041
00:48:57,960 --> 00:48:58,479
Speaker 1: Of your own.

1042
00:48:59,280 --> 00:49:04,360
Speaker 2: His name is Imagine the blessing of having a multi

1043
00:49:04,520 --> 00:49:10,560
Speaker 2: billionaire associated with your program whose sole purpose recreationally at

1044
00:49:10,560 --> 00:49:12,799
Speaker 2: this point in his life is seeing Oregon win a

1045
00:49:12,840 --> 00:49:16,000
Speaker 2: national championship. And when I was up there, I asked

1046
00:49:16,040 --> 00:49:19,040
Speaker 2: everyone in that building, what's it like interacting with Phil Knight.

1047
00:49:19,440 --> 00:49:22,680
Speaker 2: Everyone spoke glowingly, as they tend to do when you

1048
00:49:22,760 --> 00:49:25,600
Speaker 2: have a billionaire around with an open checkbook, but they said, no, no, no,

1049
00:49:25,640 --> 00:49:26,000
Speaker 2: for real.

1050
00:49:26,560 --> 00:49:28,359
Speaker 1: Bill's great because.

1051
00:49:28,080 --> 00:49:32,080
Speaker 2: He does whatever is needed financially, but he's hands off.

1052
00:49:32,160 --> 00:49:35,760
Speaker 2: He doesn't meddle in the program. So that's the best

1053
00:49:35,760 --> 00:49:39,480
Speaker 2: of both worlds. They invest and invest and invest. They

1054
00:49:39,520 --> 00:49:42,480
Speaker 2: have great attention to detail up there. It's it's like

1055
00:49:42,560 --> 00:49:45,160
Speaker 2: a culture that was plucked out of another part of

1056
00:49:45,160 --> 00:49:48,040
Speaker 2: the country and it just so happens to have been

1057
00:49:48,120 --> 00:49:52,080
Speaker 2: dropped in Oregon. Normally that would screw you in recruiting,

1058
00:49:52,400 --> 00:49:55,920
Speaker 2: but because they have the Nike attachment and the brand visibility.

1059
00:49:56,120 --> 00:49:59,279
Speaker 2: It doesn't They are equipped more so maybe outside of

1060
00:49:59,280 --> 00:50:02,200
Speaker 2: the USC brand and than anyone west of the Mississippi

1061
00:50:02,280 --> 00:50:04,800
Speaker 2: River of the Rockies to recruit nationally.

1062
00:50:05,200 --> 00:50:06,239
Speaker 1: I tell the story all the time.

1063
00:50:06,239 --> 00:50:08,000
Speaker 2: They got a kid out there named Trek west Bridges

1064
00:50:08,120 --> 00:50:14,000
Speaker 2: right now from Lynette, Alabama. Trek west Bridges knew about Auburn, Georgia, Alabama, Florida,

1065
00:50:14,040 --> 00:50:16,440
Speaker 2: and he knew about Oregon. That kid growing up in

1066
00:50:16,560 --> 00:50:20,080
Speaker 2: rural East Alabama. Why does he know about Oregon Because

1067
00:50:20,120 --> 00:50:22,960
Speaker 2: the branding is unique and it permeates nationally. So anyway,

1068
00:50:23,040 --> 00:50:25,080
Speaker 2: Landy's got all that going for him up there. Oregon's

1069
00:50:25,120 --> 00:50:29,839
Speaker 2: a really good job. It's superb job. Having said that,

1070
00:50:30,120 --> 00:50:33,080
Speaker 2: Oregon's gonna get them or Auburn, rather, Auburn's gonna get.

1071
00:50:33,000 --> 00:50:34,120
Speaker 1: Themselves a quality candidate.

1072
00:50:34,160 --> 00:50:36,200
Speaker 2: It ain't gonna be Dan Lanning, but Auburn's gonna get

1073
00:50:36,200 --> 00:50:41,480
Speaker 2: themselves a quality candidate. Someone is gonna get sold on

1074
00:50:41,520 --> 00:50:44,640
Speaker 2: what that job's becoming. If you want to question it

1075
00:50:44,760 --> 00:50:47,560
Speaker 2: right now, you can, because it's been a mess behind

1076
00:50:47,560 --> 00:50:48,720
Speaker 2: the scenes and out front.

1077
00:50:48,719 --> 00:50:49,480
Speaker 1: It's been a mess.

1078
00:50:50,040 --> 00:50:53,480
Speaker 2: What I am humbly suggesting about the Auburn job is

1079
00:50:53,600 --> 00:50:55,759
Speaker 2: five years from now, and that's what you should be

1080
00:50:55,800 --> 00:50:59,480
Speaker 2: investing in if you're taking the job two years from now,

1081
00:50:59,520 --> 00:51:01,200
Speaker 2: not five, two or three years from now.

1082
00:51:02,040 --> 00:51:03,720
Speaker 1: They've got a huge.

1083
00:51:03,520 --> 00:51:07,759
Speaker 2: Nil reservoir built up that will be contributed to more

1084
00:51:07,800 --> 00:51:10,160
Speaker 2: and more if the folks with the deep pockets get

1085
00:51:10,200 --> 00:51:13,480
Speaker 2: the coach they want. They've got new facilities about to

1086
00:51:13,520 --> 00:51:16,480
Speaker 2: open up, which have been badly needed. I don't care

1087
00:51:16,520 --> 00:51:19,120
Speaker 2: how big your scoreboard is. I care about how comparable

1088
00:51:19,120 --> 00:51:22,359
Speaker 2: your facilities are. There's no functionality in a scoreboard. There's

1089
00:51:22,400 --> 00:51:24,200
Speaker 2: a lot of functionality in how many.

1090
00:51:24,080 --> 00:51:24,960
Speaker 1: Hot cold tubs you have.

1091
00:51:25,719 --> 00:51:29,160
Speaker 2: They are going to eventually rid themselves of Nick Saban.

1092
00:51:29,520 --> 00:51:31,800
Speaker 2: They are eventually going to get a more favorable schedule

1093
00:51:31,840 --> 00:51:35,319
Speaker 2: down there, and I think that they could be a

1094
00:51:35,440 --> 00:51:38,960
Speaker 2: very attractive destination in a transfer portal if you've got

1095
00:51:38,960 --> 00:51:41,000
Speaker 2: a coach kids want to play for because they're going

1096
00:51:41,080 --> 00:51:42,560
Speaker 2: to be able to play the nil game.

1097
00:51:42,680 --> 00:51:42,919
Speaker 1: Now.

1098
00:51:43,239 --> 00:51:46,080
Speaker 2: The right head coach is going to see that and say,

1099
00:51:46,640 --> 00:51:49,200
Speaker 2: I can do something there that no one's been able

1100
00:51:49,200 --> 00:51:50,920
Speaker 2: to do because no one's had access to all of

1101
00:51:50,960 --> 00:51:53,319
Speaker 2: what I could have access to. So they're gonna be

1102
00:51:53,320 --> 00:51:57,520
Speaker 2: fine if they don't screw it. Up, which has happened before.

1103
00:51:58,120 --> 00:51:59,600
Speaker 2: I don't know if anyone's been paying attention, but if

1104
00:51:59,600 --> 00:52:01,400
Speaker 2: they don't screw it up, they can get themselves a

1105
00:52:01,400 --> 00:52:02,200
Speaker 2: really good candidate.

1106
00:52:02,600 --> 00:52:04,160
Speaker 1: I just don't think it's going to be Dan Lanning.

1107
00:52:04,960 --> 00:52:07,320
Speaker 2: Moving on, speaking of Daniel Lanning out there on the

1108
00:52:07,320 --> 00:52:10,400
Speaker 2: West coast, Washington versus Oregon is going to be a

1109
00:52:10,400 --> 00:52:12,880
Speaker 2: good game this Saturday. I highly advise you guys at

1110
00:52:12,920 --> 00:52:15,200
Speaker 2: seven o'clock to at least have the split screen. I

1111
00:52:15,200 --> 00:52:16,440
Speaker 2: know you got other games on, but this is a

1112
00:52:16,480 --> 00:52:19,120
Speaker 2: seven o'clock Eastern timekick on Fox. They've been waiting on

1113
00:52:19,160 --> 00:52:23,839
Speaker 2: this one out there Washington and Oregon. But Oregon they're

1114
00:52:23,920 --> 00:52:27,400
Speaker 2: back half of the schedule here Washington this weekend, Utah

1115
00:52:27,600 --> 00:52:30,000
Speaker 2: at Oregon State. They're on an eight game win streak.

1116
00:52:30,280 --> 00:52:33,560
Speaker 2: Washington's two losses have come on the road. One of

1117
00:52:33,600 --> 00:52:36,359
Speaker 2: them was at UCLA, one of them was at Arizona State.

1118
00:52:36,440 --> 00:52:39,040
Speaker 2: So there's a reason the Dutch are sitting here as

1119
00:52:39,080 --> 00:52:41,440
Speaker 2: about a thirteen and a half point favorite. There's a

1120
00:52:41,520 --> 00:52:44,680
Speaker 2: quarterback in this game that I want to tell you about,

1121
00:52:45,200 --> 00:52:47,040
Speaker 2: and I don't think you're going to guess the right one.

1122
00:52:47,320 --> 00:52:49,359
Speaker 2: If I know you like I think I do. There's

1123
00:52:49,400 --> 00:52:53,960
Speaker 2: a quarterback in this matchup that leads FBS in passing

1124
00:52:54,040 --> 00:52:58,040
Speaker 2: yards per game. You said Bo Nixt, didn't you. It's

1125
00:52:58,080 --> 00:53:01,360
Speaker 2: not him, it's Michael Pennix. It's the Washington quarterback.

1126
00:53:01,680 --> 00:53:04,840
Speaker 1: Now there is good news for bo Nicks. He leads

1127
00:53:04,840 --> 00:53:05,720
Speaker 1: in a lot of other things.

1128
00:53:06,280 --> 00:53:10,279
Speaker 2: Thirty six total touchdowns that is first amongst FBS quarterbacks.

1129
00:53:10,680 --> 00:53:14,279
Speaker 2: He is first in rushing touchdowns amongst FBS quarterbacks. He's

1130
00:53:14,320 --> 00:53:18,000
Speaker 2: been sacked one time all year, by the way, once

1131
00:53:18,200 --> 00:53:22,200
Speaker 2: all year, and his completion percentage number two nationally amongst

1132
00:53:22,280 --> 00:53:23,239
Speaker 2: FBS quarterbacks.

1133
00:53:23,520 --> 00:53:24,920
Speaker 1: Really good quarterback matchup.

1134
00:53:25,160 --> 00:53:26,800
Speaker 2: The over under in this thing is seventy two and

1135
00:53:26,840 --> 00:53:29,239
Speaker 2: a half for a reason, probably going to be some

1136
00:53:29,239 --> 00:53:33,800
Speaker 2: point scoring. Washington has two victimize Oregon at the linebacker position,

1137
00:53:34,040 --> 00:53:37,440
Speaker 2: and they got to victimize them at dB because Oregon

1138
00:53:37,480 --> 00:53:39,799
Speaker 2: will give up some yards through the air. They are

1139
00:53:39,880 --> 00:53:42,560
Speaker 2: what they are this year. I'm sure in future recruiting

1140
00:53:42,560 --> 00:53:44,600
Speaker 2: classes they'll rectify this, but they're dealing with what they're

1141
00:53:44,640 --> 00:53:48,560
Speaker 2: dealing with right now. Washington has only one one hundred

1142
00:53:48,600 --> 00:53:51,279
Speaker 2: yard rusher all year, so they throw the ball to win.

1143
00:53:51,440 --> 00:53:53,520
Speaker 2: There are no two ways about how they go about things.

1144
00:53:53,719 --> 00:53:57,600
Speaker 2: Oregon seventy six total defense, ninety first total pass defense.

1145
00:53:58,200 --> 00:53:59,800
Speaker 2: Players are there to be made. You just got to

1146
00:53:59,800 --> 00:54:01,799
Speaker 2: make and you don't. You got to do it without

1147
00:54:01,800 --> 00:54:05,240
Speaker 2: turning the ball over four times. The most comparable game

1148
00:54:05,360 --> 00:54:08,280
Speaker 2: we were looking through Oregon schedule this year, the most

1149
00:54:08,280 --> 00:54:13,719
Speaker 2: comparable offensive team profile to Washington is Washington State, at

1150
00:54:13,800 --> 00:54:16,359
Speaker 2: least that Oregon's played, and they gave up forty one

1151
00:54:16,400 --> 00:54:20,480
Speaker 2: that game. So you know it could happen. Flap those

1152
00:54:20,480 --> 00:54:23,640
Speaker 2: wings not duck wings. Obviously it could happen where this

1153
00:54:23,680 --> 00:54:27,200
Speaker 2: game will be one though, in my opinion, is Oregon

1154
00:54:27,280 --> 00:54:31,239
Speaker 2: testing Washington's run defense, because see when UCLA came in

1155
00:54:31,239 --> 00:54:36,120
Speaker 2: there a few weeks back. Statistically, Ucla was a good

1156
00:54:36,160 --> 00:54:40,920
Speaker 2: team defensively, and Oregon splattered them. This shredded them. They

1157
00:54:40,920 --> 00:54:43,120
Speaker 2: could do whatever they wanted to. They threw the ball

1158
00:54:43,160 --> 00:54:45,960
Speaker 2: on them early, and then they went on this really

1159
00:54:46,040 --> 00:54:50,680
Speaker 2: ridiculous nineteen seventies esque time consuming ground and pound drive

1160
00:54:50,760 --> 00:54:53,600
Speaker 2: to start the third quarter and they just flexed their

1161
00:54:53,920 --> 00:54:58,799
Speaker 2: entire arsenal. And I think, having not been in those

1162
00:54:58,840 --> 00:55:02,840
Speaker 2: meetings this week, but knowing how they roll, I suspect

1163
00:55:02,840 --> 00:55:07,040
Speaker 2: they look at this Washington defense top twenty five run

1164
00:55:07,080 --> 00:55:10,520
Speaker 2: defense and they say, we don't care, We're gonna run

1165
00:55:10,520 --> 00:55:12,920
Speaker 2: it on them. And I think that's what's gonna happen.

1166
00:55:13,040 --> 00:55:15,160
Speaker 2: I think Oregon's gonna have over two hundred on the

1167
00:55:15,160 --> 00:55:17,600
Speaker 2: ground Saturday. And if we look at what the model

1168
00:55:17,640 --> 00:55:20,279
Speaker 2: thinks and what the odds makers think, you know, the

1169
00:55:20,320 --> 00:55:23,600
Speaker 2: model is sitting here under what Vegas thinks. Vegas is

1170
00:55:23,680 --> 00:55:27,319
Speaker 2: Oregon minus thirteen and a half. We've got Oregon minus ten.

1171
00:55:28,320 --> 00:55:33,480
Speaker 2: So here's what's interesting. We think the game's gonna be competitive. However,

1172
00:55:33,719 --> 00:55:37,520
Speaker 2: even though I'm gonna take Washington to cover, I actually

1173
00:55:37,600 --> 00:55:40,000
Speaker 2: have a little more confidence in Oregon.

1174
00:55:39,680 --> 00:55:41,680
Speaker 1: Winning because I think the style of.

1175
00:55:41,680 --> 00:55:46,840
Speaker 2: Play they're going to incorporate lends to less volatility and outcome.

1176
00:55:47,480 --> 00:55:50,560
Speaker 2: So for the sake of maybe not covering their style

1177
00:55:50,600 --> 00:55:52,439
Speaker 2: of play and how I think they're gonna run the ball,

1178
00:55:53,200 --> 00:55:55,759
Speaker 2: it may allow Washington to stay in the back door,

1179
00:55:55,800 --> 00:55:58,440
Speaker 2: I think they're gonna win the game. So we will

1180
00:55:58,480 --> 00:56:02,520
Speaker 2: take Oregon to win, maybe lean Washington to cover Oregon.

1181
00:56:02,600 --> 00:56:05,160
Speaker 2: Right now, the odds on favorite to win the PAC

1182
00:56:05,200 --> 00:56:09,839
Speaker 2: twelve Championship. Okay, let's do one more thing here right quick.

1183
00:56:09,880 --> 00:56:11,279
Speaker 1: Thank you guys so much. For being tuned in.

1184
00:56:11,320 --> 00:56:13,080
Speaker 2: Hey, go ahead and get us to a thousand likes

1185
00:56:13,120 --> 00:56:15,279
Speaker 2: before we wrap the show up, because we're at nine

1186
00:56:15,320 --> 00:56:17,920
Speaker 2: to twenty seven already and several thousand of you were

1187
00:56:17,920 --> 00:56:23,359
Speaker 2: tuned in. Okay, Ramannudele Express, I have two of yeah, two,

1188
00:56:23,440 --> 00:56:25,359
Speaker 2: I've got two games already public, so I'm gonna give

1189
00:56:25,360 --> 00:56:28,160
Speaker 2: you three more here. So we got Penn State minus twelve,

1190
00:56:28,160 --> 00:56:30,680
Speaker 2: Pit minus four, you know about those two. We just

1191
00:56:30,760 --> 00:56:36,080
Speaker 2: put Texas minus four first half out earlier today for

1192
00:56:36,239 --> 00:56:38,239
Speaker 2: director Colin had to put a derivative bed in there.

1193
00:56:38,960 --> 00:56:40,839
Speaker 2: Here's another one I want you to jump on. This

1194
00:56:40,880 --> 00:56:46,080
Speaker 2: line's available at Caesar's as we speak. Virginia Tech plus ten. Yes,

1195
00:56:46,440 --> 00:56:49,880
Speaker 2: we're taking the Hokies after they completely melted down against

1196
00:56:49,880 --> 00:56:52,440
Speaker 2: Georgia Tech and cost us money. We're gonna take them

1197
00:56:52,440 --> 00:56:55,520
Speaker 2: again because we don't take things personal around here. Well,

1198
00:56:55,560 --> 00:56:58,560
Speaker 2: we're not taking that personal. And FSU minus six and

1199
00:56:58,600 --> 00:57:00,640
Speaker 2: a half sucker line, I think, but we're going to

1200
00:57:00,680 --> 00:57:02,920
Speaker 2: jump on it because we think the odds are right

1201
00:57:02,960 --> 00:57:06,359
Speaker 2: for us. They're playing Syracuse, so we're taking FSU minus

1202
00:57:06,400 --> 00:57:08,560
Speaker 2: six and a half in votech plus ten and Texas

1203
00:57:08,560 --> 00:57:10,120
Speaker 2: minus four first half.

1204
00:57:10,200 --> 00:57:11,560
Speaker 1: Those are the games that we are adding.

1205
00:57:13,040 --> 00:57:14,799
Speaker 2: I asked you to help us out the other night

1206
00:57:15,760 --> 00:57:18,360
Speaker 2: with the funeral expenses for a friend of the program.

1207
00:57:18,560 --> 00:57:21,080
Speaker 2: I want you guys to know you raised about twelve

1208
00:57:21,160 --> 00:57:25,880
Speaker 2: or thirteen thousand dollars. So from that family, through me,

1209
00:57:26,320 --> 00:57:30,080
Speaker 2: including me, to you, I wanted to say, sincerely, really

1210
00:57:30,160 --> 00:57:31,160
Speaker 2: appreciate that.

1211
00:57:31,320 --> 00:57:33,400
Speaker 1: Because we didn't build it up. We didn't we didn't

1212
00:57:33,400 --> 00:57:35,480
Speaker 1: market it or anything. I just told you on the show.

1213
00:57:35,760 --> 00:57:38,600
Speaker 2: I put out one tweet and one Instagram post and

1214
00:57:39,320 --> 00:57:42,400
Speaker 2: you guys raised like cover thirteen thousand dollars. So you

1215
00:57:42,480 --> 00:57:45,080
Speaker 2: took care of funeral expenses for one of our own,

1216
00:57:45,160 --> 00:57:48,400
Speaker 2: and trust me, they needed So I appreciate you guys,

1217
00:57:48,760 --> 00:57:51,720
Speaker 2: all right. For director Colin, for producer Jesse, I'm Josh Bake.

1218
00:57:51,800 --> 00:57:53,919
Speaker 2: Take care, have a great rest of your evening. Don't

1219
00:57:53,920 --> 00:58:08,280
Speaker 2: tweet about politics, and God bless