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Speaker 1: The Big Vets on Campus podcast podcast POPA All Right,

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Speaker 1: here we go fifteen, twenty twenty five, starting thirty five

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Speaker 1: forty forty five fifty.

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Speaker 2: And the Kicks Bluck Comic Football were stunned. Oh my goodness,

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Speaker 2: please stumble and bumble the latter.

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Speaker 3: Turn a tatter on the exode g the lad.

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Speaker 1: A table off, the fail the night. My god, it's

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Speaker 1: not the size of the dog in the fight, it's

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Speaker 1: the size of the fight in the all Welcome to

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Speaker 1: the Big Bets on Campus Podcast presented by DraftKings Sportsbook.

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Speaker 1: This is the five deep dive we are hitting up

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Speaker 1: week seven here in college football on Mike Caliberty's joined

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Speaker 1: by my Action Network co host Duck. Last week basically

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Speaker 1: treaded water Duck, which is appropriate for your animal of choice.

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Speaker 1: But we'd like to be more in the black and

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Speaker 1: you know, get all the way home. We split on

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Speaker 1: the underdog barlay, we split on our best bets. There

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Speaker 1: was some heartbreak that I'll let you get into in

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Speaker 1: a moment in terms of our two minute drill. But

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Speaker 1: we're close. I feel like we're trending in the right direction.

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Speaker 1: But we got to get over the hump. We got

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Speaker 1: to get a few more sweat free winners on the board.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna do everything we can this week. A beautiful

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Speaker 1: collection of games to run through that last week I

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Speaker 1: felt like I had to go through two or three times,

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Speaker 1: rinse and repeat. Finally finally found some angles that I liked.

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Speaker 1: This week it was a little bit easier. I don't

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Speaker 1: know if you're feeling the same way, but let's start

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Speaker 1: by first wiping the slate clean with your sounding off segment.

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Speaker 1: Take me through what really was memorable for you in

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Speaker 1: week six?

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Speaker 4: What you gotta say, Well, I mean, we just see

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Speaker 4: example after example of coaches not knowing how to handle

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Speaker 4: situational football at the end of games. We saw it

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Speaker 4: again last weekend with play that I gave out on

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Speaker 4: the BBOC Saturday Morning Live show, which was actually featured

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Speaker 4: on Sports Center with SVP and Bad Beats.

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Speaker 1: Someone had this and step on it up. Notts in Prayers.

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Speaker 4: Morgan State football. If you haven't seen it, go watch

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Speaker 4: the Week six Bad Beats as it gets referenced part

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Speaker 4: two of that show. But you look at Morgan State.

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Speaker 4: They were up twenty four to twenty one with about

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Speaker 4: eighty seconds left in the game against Georgetown. They secure

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Speaker 4: a fourth downstop, they get a sack. All they have

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Speaker 4: to do is run the clock out. They're running the

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Speaker 4: clock out. Georgetown is using their timeouts. Clock is winding.

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Speaker 4: It's fourth down in about three Morgan State appears to

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Speaker 4: be confused about what they're going to try to run

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Speaker 4: on the sidelines. They don't know what play to call.

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Speaker 4: They have a timeout and they elect not to use

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Speaker 4: it to discuss what they could do. Instead, they run

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Speaker 4: a play on fourth down and they snap the ball

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Speaker 4: with ten seconds left on the play clock. They don't

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Speaker 4: run the ball, they don't run a play to pick

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Speaker 4: up the first down. They throw a thirty yard fade pass,

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Speaker 4: which is a low percentage throw. Of course, they don't convert.

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Speaker 4: And then Georgetown runs one play and they're at the

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Speaker 4: fifty yard line, and yeah, then they get moss on

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Speaker 4: the other side by Georgetown receiver who just makes a

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Speaker 4: hell of a catch. And that burned anyone who bet

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Speaker 4: Morgan State we had the under. It lost. It was

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Speaker 4: a crazy beat. It was just an insane happening. You know,

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Speaker 4: I can handle that. I can handle a bad beat.

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Speaker 4: I can handle a losing weekend. But situationally, these coaches

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Speaker 4: are paid so much money to be able to have

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Speaker 4: their team prepared, and it was just inexcusable. I think

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Speaker 4: how it unfolded and situationally, how there was just no

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Speaker 4: plan to attack that end of game situation. And we've

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Speaker 4: seen it all over college football all season. So it's

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Speaker 4: my sounding off.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I wanted to wear this in solidarity with you.

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Speaker 1: Duck around and find out because it's great to see

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Speaker 1: you getting the shout out multiple times from Stanford Steve

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Speaker 1: there on the program. So even in a loss, I

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Speaker 1: think that's kind of a win here for the group

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Speaker 1: of five deep dive from one tribute to another. As

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Speaker 1: some of you know, two years ago to the day,

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Speaker 1: my father lost his battle with cancer, and when I

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Speaker 1: look back on it, I don't have any regret, any

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Speaker 1: longing for more time with them. We were so close,

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Speaker 1: We bonded over sports to such a degree that we

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Speaker 1: made a priority long before his diagnosis to basically go

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Speaker 1: to these events in person. I watched games with him

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Speaker 1: at the Big House at the Shoe Death Valley Dope

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Speaker 1: Campbell in Tallahassee, drank with him at the Grove before

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Speaker 1: seeing a great game with Johnny Football winning a fourth

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Speaker 1: quarter classic against the rebels all these great experiences, and

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Speaker 1: I think the reminder for me is that if you

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Speaker 1: have an opportunity, a best friend, a father, your buddies,

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Speaker 1: and they're like, let's get together, Let's go to this place,

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Speaker 1: let's experience the atmosphere, let's tailgate, let's even just get

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Speaker 1: together on Saturday. I have two good buddies, these brothers,

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Speaker 1: who they both have kids. Now we are clearing the schedule,

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Speaker 1: we're getting babysitters, We're calling in some favors with the wives.

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Speaker 1: I want to watch from three point thirty all the

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Speaker 1: way to the end of the Hawaii game with them.

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Speaker 1: I want to do it in person. And I think

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Speaker 1: it's something that is phenomenal about sports, and I think

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Speaker 1: sometimes we can take it for granted that you get

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Speaker 1: to have these bonding moments and that's what you look

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Speaker 1: back on. That's certainly what I look back on with

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Speaker 1: my father. In addition to even when we weren't together,

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Speaker 1: I'd always get that text, who we got tonight? Who

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Speaker 1: we sweating? And it's something that I miss, but when

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Speaker 1: I look back on it, it's something that really warms

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Speaker 1: my heart because like we were in it together, we

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Speaker 1: were just like enjoying sports at as purists through the

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Speaker 1: gambling lens granted. And I basically I brought this up

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Speaker 1: last year on the anniversary of his passing as well,

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Speaker 1: and it dawned on me that most people didn't obviously

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Speaker 1: don't know my father cal So I just want to

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Speaker 1: share one quick story about him and how much he

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Speaker 1: loved gambling. It was nineteen eighty five and he was

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Speaker 1: in Philly and it was the Nova Georgetown championship game,

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Speaker 1: you know, the classic, you know, David vs. Goliath. The

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Speaker 1: Hoyas I believe closed as an eight and a half

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Speaker 1: or nine point favorite. And he was in downtown Philly

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Speaker 1: with my mother and he was at a bar and

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Speaker 1: there was like six or seven Hoya grads there and

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Speaker 1: they were puffing out their chests. They're like, there is

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Speaker 1: no way we were going to lose this game. They

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Speaker 1: had some beer muscles, they're running their mouth. But in

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Speaker 1: seven altercation, my father did what he always did, which

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Speaker 1: is he would basically smell and go mint, mint, government,

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Speaker 1: Let's get that money up, let's see what we can

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Speaker 1: do about this, And all of a sudden, they're thrown around.

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Speaker 1: You want twelve points, you want thirteen points? One guy

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Speaker 1: gave him fifteen points with Villanova in that game, so

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Speaker 1: he emptied his wallet. He told my mother At the time,

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Speaker 1: there was this brand new invention called a macmachine, which

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Speaker 1: was like the precursors to the ATM. Go to the macmachine,

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Speaker 1: get the max amount of money you can get, bring

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Speaker 1: it back. They give it all to the bartender. He's

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Speaker 1: holding it behind the bar for the winner after the

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Speaker 1: game and obviously one of the best no sweat covers

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Speaker 1: of all time. Nova wins the game out right. They

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Speaker 1: shoot a crazy percentage from the floor. He's buying the

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Speaker 1: whole bar drinks, having a great time. And one other

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Speaker 1: thing you need to know about my father is that

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Speaker 1: he kind of had this Forest Gump like relationship with

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Speaker 1: sporting moments. He was at Don Lawson's perfect game in

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Speaker 1: nineteen fifty six as a seven year old. He was

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Speaker 1: at Derek Jeter's three thousand hit. He was three rows

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Speaker 1: behind Grant Hill when he threw the pass to Christian

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Speaker 1: Latner and Duke hits that shot and they win in

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Speaker 1: one of the greatest college basketball games all the time.

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Speaker 1: That was just kind of him. Whenever you went to

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Speaker 1: a game with him, there was a chance of something

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Speaker 1: special happening. Well after his passing, we lay him to rest.

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Speaker 1: About two months later, his headstone finally comes in and

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Speaker 1: I'm there paying my respects again and I'm just walking

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Speaker 1: through the graveyard and who is buried? I shit you,

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Speaker 1: not twenty five feet from where he's buried. Raleigh Massamino,

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Speaker 1: the head coach of Villanova. And I'll say this, if

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Speaker 1: you have a great gambling victory and that person is

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Speaker 1: connected to you somehow, and you're in the afterlife, still

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Speaker 1: cut it up, having drinks, laughing about a great win.

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Speaker 1: What's better than that in terms of like what more

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Speaker 1: you could ask for as a life as a gambler.

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Speaker 1: So I just want to share that. I think it's

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Speaker 1: a good reminder of how positive sports gambling can be.

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Speaker 1: I know that this at times can be a toxic community,

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Speaker 1: but certainly with all the love that we've been getting

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Speaker 1: in this season, all the enthusiasm that Duck and I

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Speaker 1: have for what we're doing on a weekly basis. Speaking

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Speaker 1: of on Friday, we're gonna launch the weekend warm up

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Speaker 1: on YouTube, so you can go over there and follow us.

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Speaker 1: I think it's gonna be about two pm. Hasn't been

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Speaker 1: totally finalized. I'm going to be spamming out the links.

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Speaker 1: Just look on our Twitter pages. I'm hoping that we

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Speaker 1: can get as many of you guys there as we can.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna talk whether, we're gonna talk injury updates, We're

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Speaker 1: gonna talk market movement, steam reports, all these things to

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Speaker 1: help you get in a better position and have the

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Speaker 1: most up to date information live. You can also ask

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Speaker 1: us questions. We're happy to cut it up with the community.

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Speaker 1: The only reason that we have a job is because

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Speaker 1: you guys listen and you're engaged, so we really appreciate you.

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Speaker 1: And with that, I am going to now turn to

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Speaker 1: our good friends Stucky for a quick word from our

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Speaker 1: sponsor before where we get into our best bets.

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Speaker 3: The Big Bets on Campus podcast is sponsored by DraftKings

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Speaker 1: It is time to get to our Week seven card.

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Speaker 1: We are going to start, as always with our best

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Speaker 1: bets two each. You're going to start with it was

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Speaker 1: really a G five darling. At least two months ago,

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Speaker 1: we knew that UTSA was going to take some lumps.

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Speaker 1: They had that opener against the Aggies. We figured they

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Speaker 1: weren't going to win that game in College Station, but

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Speaker 1: then they were going to get off the mat and

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Speaker 1: that hasn't necessarily materialized. But you like them laying double

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Speaker 1: digits on Saturday. Walk me through why?

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Speaker 3: Yeah?

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Speaker 4: You know, we've seen Utsa's offense sputter the last couple

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Speaker 4: of weeks away from home, as the Roadrunners have just

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Speaker 4: thrown up back to back offensive stinkers. They're not running tempo.

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Speaker 4: Owen McCown has looked very average, completing just sixty percent

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Speaker 4: of his passes with two hundred yards per game and

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Speaker 4: a three to two touchdown to interception ratio over the

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Speaker 4: last two weeks. But really, the Roadrunners need to get

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Speaker 4: off the mat here if they want to save their

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Speaker 4: season and kind of get back into the thick of

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Speaker 4: the race in the American Conference. I personally don't think

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Speaker 4: that they're going to win it, But don't tell them

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Speaker 4: that they still host North Texas. Actually, they play games

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Speaker 4: against North Texas, South Florida, and Tulane that are all

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Speaker 4: coming down the pipe here for meet Me, and they

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Speaker 4: have a chance to kind of control their own destiny

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Speaker 4: in the league with wins against those teams. So their

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Speaker 4: mindset has to be that they can get off the mat,

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Speaker 4: that they can get their season back on track and

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Speaker 4: really accomplish all of their preseason goals. Now it starts

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Speaker 4: this week against a Rice team that's one hundred and

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Speaker 4: thirtieth in overall defensive explosiveness surrendered and ninety seventh in

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Speaker 4: defensive havoc earned. They have zero sacks the last two weeks.

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Speaker 4: UTSA should shred this defense behind an offensive line that's

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Speaker 4: generating the first ranked rush play explosiveness in the country

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Speaker 4: in seventeenth ranked rush EPA, look no further than Robert

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Speaker 4: Henry eight point three yards per carry with seven touchdowns

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Speaker 4: on the ground. Rice gives up a ton of rush explosivity,

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Speaker 4: and the defensive line is starting to wear down after

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Speaker 4: seeing eighty seven rush attempts against them the last two weeks. Offensively,

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Speaker 4: Rice just has such little punch as This team is

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Speaker 4: absolutely dead last in FBS in offensive explosiveness and one

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Speaker 4: hundred and thirty third in EPA per play. They had

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Speaker 4: one scoring drive in seven points with five minutes left

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Speaker 4: in the third corner against Fau's defense at home. Now

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Speaker 4: they're going on the road in the Alamodome, where the

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Speaker 4: road Runners play really well during the Jeff Trailer tenure.

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Speaker 4: This is just a desperate team that is still loaded

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Speaker 4: with dynamite offensively. I think they get the ship pointed

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Speaker 4: in the right direction here. I'm laying the twelve and

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Speaker 4: a half with utsa me.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. Looking at last week Robert Henry aka Bobby Hank,

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Speaker 1: he finally got bottled up for the first time. I'm

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Speaker 1: not putting my money on that happened in two weeks

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Speaker 1: in a row, because when he gets rolling downhill, this

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Speaker 1: offense is basically unstoppable. It's a pick your poison situation.

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Speaker 1: If you want to load the box, you still have

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Speaker 1: a veteran quarterback who can pick you apart. So the

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Speaker 1: fundamentals of that play, I like it. I'm just a

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Speaker 1: little bit worried in terms of what's going on inside

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Speaker 1: their locker room. When you have a team with such

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Speaker 1: high expectations in the preseason. That's why I default to

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Speaker 1: do they have a veteran coach who's been through the

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Speaker 1: wars before? If they do so, in terms of tailing one,

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Speaker 1: I'm right on the fence. I probably will lock it

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Speaker 1: in with you as well. All right, let's turn to

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Speaker 1: my first best bet here in Week seven, Old Dominion

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Speaker 1: a team total over thirty four and a half last week.

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Speaker 1: I like that air Force team total, and I mentioned

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Speaker 1: that the public was slow to adapt to just how

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Speaker 1: explosive the air Force attack wasn't how well balanced they were,

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Speaker 1: you know, a Sarka with somebody who from a national perspective,

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Speaker 1: I don't think people were aware that he had the

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Speaker 1: upside of throwing for two hundred yards in the game.

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Speaker 1: The secrets out there. But for some reason, the same

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Speaker 1: is true that was air Force last week. For Old

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Speaker 1: Dominion here, Ricky Ronnie has never had a winning season,

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Speaker 1: and maybe that stink is on this brands and people

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Speaker 1: assume that the bottom is going to fall out with

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Speaker 1: a team. But just when you think like they've turned

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Speaker 1: a corner in years pass usually they let you down.

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Speaker 1: I don't think that that's the case this year. This

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Speaker 1: year feels different after a respectable cover against Indiana thirteen

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Speaker 1: point loss. By the way, that's looking better by the minute.

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Speaker 1: They've averaged forty two points per game, and they've ruled

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Speaker 1: off four wins in a row, including beating down Virginia

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Speaker 1: Tech so badly they fired Brent Prye afterwards. Last week

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Speaker 1: against Coastal, they won by forty, their biggest blowout win

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Speaker 1: as an FBS member, and Colton Joseph has taken the leap.

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Speaker 1: You know, there's no longer even a discussion. He is

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Speaker 1: the G five superstar quarterback. He's on pace for three

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Speaker 1: thousand through the air, a thousand on the ground with

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Speaker 1: forty total touchdowns. That's rare fight air. That's Colin Kaepernick

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Speaker 1: at Nevada Dual threadery. I don't know if threadery is

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Speaker 1: the word, but that's the kind of conversation and company

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Speaker 1: that he's keeping. I'll ask this view real quick before

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Speaker 1: finishing my points on old Dominion. Can you name another

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Speaker 1: G five quarterback to hit three thousand through the air,

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Speaker 1: a thousand on the ground and forty touchdowns in a

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Speaker 1: single season. No, Dan Lefever fire up chips in a minute. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: it's it's been a very long time since we've had

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Speaker 1: this kind of dominance, and he's made it through the

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Speaker 1: tricky part of his schedule. These Sun Belt teams and

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Speaker 1: these defenses look petrified of what Kojo is going to

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Speaker 1: be able to do down the stretch because it's not

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Speaker 1: just him. Old Dominion is second in explosiveness, third in

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Speaker 1: points per opportunity. This offense is just elite across the board,

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Speaker 1: and the question here against Marshall, can the Thundering Herd

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Speaker 1: slow them down? I mean, their defense just gave up

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Speaker 1: fifty four points to Louisiana and dual threat lunch Winfield,

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Speaker 1: so I don't see any reason to believe that they can.

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Speaker 1: I mean, he ran for one hundred and twenty nine

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Speaker 1: yards and three scores. So Cojo's going to destroy this defense.

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Speaker 1: Marsha's one hundred and sixth and tackling, one hundred and

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Speaker 1: third in big play avoidance and one hundred and sixteenth

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Speaker 1: in coverage grade. This defense has nowhere to hide. Give

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Speaker 1: me over on Old Dominion. Even with a look ahead

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Speaker 1: with James Madison right around the corner, maybe the defense

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Speaker 1: takes their eye off the ball, but this offense is

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Speaker 1: just too good across the board to be held down

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Speaker 1: for four quarters, So I'll say that they hit five touchdowns.

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Speaker 1: What are your thoughts on the elevated ceiling on the

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Speaker 1: Monarchs this fall?

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Speaker 4: I love it in a team that's completely laser focused,

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Speaker 4: locked in, ready to go every week. They overcame some

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Speaker 4: of the red zone woes of their game against Liberty

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Speaker 4: and just absolutely destroyed Coastal Carolina. Left absolutely no doubt

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Speaker 4: in that one, which we talked about at the VBOC

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Speaker 4: Live show. If Old Dominion against the number here is

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Speaker 4: a bad I have in pocket. I love Old Dominion

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Speaker 4: this week. Marshall does not have the goods defensively to

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Speaker 4: pin down this Old Dominion offense. I mean, they're just

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Speaker 4: so electric and they can score from anywhere on the field.

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Speaker 4: I want to see Old Dominion clean up the red zone.

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Speaker 4: It was a little better last week. Seven attempts three

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Speaker 4: touchdowns had to settle for four field goals. But if

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Speaker 4: this team scores touchdowns in the red zone, I don't

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Speaker 4: know that there's a team that can beat them. And

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Speaker 4: Vegas is starting to catch on. They are now leapfrogged

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Speaker 4: James Madison as the favorite to win the Sun Belt.

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Speaker 4: So man, it's going to be quite a game next weekend.

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Speaker 4: But I do not think there's any sort of overlook here.

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Speaker 4: This is a league game, this is a game Old

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Speaker 4: Dominion is going to want to win. They're gonna lay

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Speaker 4: the hammer here. I think they cover the number and

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Speaker 4: they're gonna put up a massive point total.

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Speaker 1: I try to pride myself on getting onto these bandwagons

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Speaker 1: at least a couple weeks early in terms of a

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Speaker 1: team being against the spread Darling or an offensive Juggernauts,

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Speaker 1: or a team that's perfectly suited to muck it up.

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Speaker 1: But I have to admit with Louisiana Tech last year,

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Speaker 1: I was waiting for the bottom to fall out, for

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Speaker 1: them to fire sunny Comby this offseason, I thought maybe

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Speaker 1: they have a little something defensively, but I don't like

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Speaker 1: their quarterback room, like this won't work. It's not just

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Speaker 1: that I was wrong. It's that they've risen to the

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Speaker 1: very top of a water down Conference USA. But I

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Speaker 1: don't think it's purely that CUSA is super water down.

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Speaker 1: I think this Lotzec team has an identity defensively, they

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Speaker 1: have an edge. They make it very difficult for you

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Speaker 1: to finish off drives. Talk me through a little bit

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Speaker 1: more why you love them here in a weekday conference

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Speaker 1: essay matchup.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, Thursday night going to Kanasas State lay in the

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Speaker 4: six and a half with Louisiana Tech. I'm also a

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Speaker 4: tad bit slow to the party here with the Texters,

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Speaker 4: but they have completely improved their level of play on

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Speaker 4: both sides of the ball, and they are very quietly

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Speaker 4: they've become the cuse of favorite here. This defensive bunch

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Speaker 4: held LSU to twenty three points and Southern Miss to

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Speaker 4: twenty points, and then in conference play, the Bulldogs have

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Speaker 4: blasted Mexico State and UTAP in league play and they've

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Speaker 4: now had extra time to prepare for this one. Really,

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Speaker 4: a lot of the what's provoked the offensive outburst is

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Speaker 4: they've made the change at quarterback with Blake Baker, and

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Speaker 4: we've seen a more efficient passing game. We've seen the

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Speaker 4: run game spark. But really this game is going to

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Speaker 4: be won or loss with Louisiana tacks defense. If you're

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Speaker 4: Kanisas State, I got a little warning for you. This

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Speaker 4: is not Arkansas State or Middle Tennessee that you're lining

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Speaker 4: up against this week. These boys from ust And can

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Speaker 4: play some football on defense, and they are going to

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Speaker 4: shut this. Kanasas State offensive attack down seventh nationally and

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Speaker 4: defensive havoc achieved. Kansas State is one thirtieth in offensive

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Speaker 4: havoc against them this year. Louisiana Tech is sixth in

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Speaker 4: defensive finishing drives. Kanessaw State is just one hundred and

396
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Speaker 4: twentieth in offensive finishing drives. That's going to be a

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Speaker 4: struggle to protect the quarterback. It's going to be a

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Speaker 4: struggle for them to stack successful plays consistently on top

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Speaker 4: of each other. If Kanisaw does make it into the

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Speaker 4: red zone. We've got Louisiana Techs red zone numbers which

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Speaker 4: are exquisite. This year, seven of eleven trips have resulted

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Speaker 4: in scores, but just two of those have been touchdowns

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Speaker 4: all season, including the LSU game. Kanasas State's offensive numbers

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Speaker 4: in the red zone just eight touchdowns in sixteen attempts,

405
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Speaker 4: could be really tricky if they do get into the

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Speaker 4: scoring territory to try to punch it in. What this

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Speaker 4: really equates to, on average is you're gonna look at

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Speaker 4: Kanasas State. They might get two or three red zone trips,

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Speaker 4: you're gonna have one touchdown you're gonna have a field goal,

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Speaker 4: You're gonna have a stoped on downs end there, and

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Speaker 4: the Kanasas State offensive attack is not explosive enough to

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Speaker 4: overcome the lack of consistency. They did shred Arkansas State

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Speaker 4: early in that one, but they went long stretches even

414
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Speaker 4: against the Red Wolves, or they could not move the football.

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Speaker 4: Almost gave that big lead up here. I look at

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Speaker 4: Kanasas State's defense. They have the third worst coverage grades,

417
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Speaker 4: the worst pass rush, and the seventh worst special teams

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Speaker 4: unit in the entire country. In a tech should control

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Speaker 4: the second half here, They're gonna limit explosives. I think

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Speaker 4: they completely grind out a low scoring, slow burning game here,

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Speaker 4: but I think they win this game by a couple

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Speaker 4: of touchdowns. Anything under a touchdown is a substantial play here.

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Speaker 4: Lay it with luisianattack.

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Speaker 1: McKai mason, the linebacker for La tech Ooh baby, he

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Speaker 1: is a game wrecker. Eight tackles for loss already on

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Speaker 1: the season. He's somebody that if you don't account for

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Speaker 1: him on every single play, he can hit your quarterback,

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Speaker 1: take the ball away, blow up a running play. All

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Speaker 1: of a sudden, you're behind the sticks Kinnesaw certainly cannot

430
00:21:32,640 --> 00:21:35,280
Speaker 1: afford to be in situations second and third and long,

431
00:21:35,440 --> 00:21:37,040
Speaker 1: because I think that's just when the Bulldogs are going

432
00:21:37,080 --> 00:21:38,560
Speaker 1: to make them pay when the ball goes up in

433
00:21:38,600 --> 00:21:41,400
Speaker 1: the air like that one a lot. And like I said,

434
00:21:41,560 --> 00:21:43,359
Speaker 1: we're late to the party. The party is still going on.

435
00:21:43,480 --> 00:21:45,320
Speaker 1: We can show up late with you know, a dip,

436
00:21:45,960 --> 00:21:49,240
Speaker 1: you know, bottle of champagne something to kind of make

437
00:21:49,320 --> 00:21:51,160
Speaker 1: up for the fact that we should have been singing

438
00:21:51,160 --> 00:21:53,080
Speaker 1: their praises in August. But better late than ever. It's

439
00:21:53,119 --> 00:21:55,960
Speaker 1: October and they're now the co favorite to win CUSA

440
00:21:56,080 --> 00:22:01,000
Speaker 1: with Western Kentucky. But I mean, I agree with Stucky here,

441
00:22:01,480 --> 00:22:03,159
Speaker 1: talk about one of the luckiest teams in the country.

442
00:22:03,240 --> 00:22:08,040
Speaker 1: Western Kentucky has overachieved vis a vis their yardage in games.

443
00:22:08,080 --> 00:22:09,720
Speaker 1: When you look at their box scores, they should have

444
00:22:09,840 --> 00:22:12,639
Speaker 1: some losses. They probably should have lost to Delaware on Friday.

445
00:22:12,680 --> 00:22:14,480
Speaker 1: It was nice that they were able to cash that

446
00:22:14,560 --> 00:22:17,399
Speaker 1: money line for me, but there was every opportunity a

447
00:22:17,440 --> 00:22:20,280
Speaker 1: fumble at the goal line by Minnikuchi. Just keep that

448
00:22:20,440 --> 00:22:23,280
Speaker 1: in minds. I don't know necessarily if you know the

449
00:22:23,359 --> 00:22:25,520
Speaker 1: next couple weeks. I know they're off this week but

450
00:22:25,760 --> 00:22:28,600
Speaker 1: there's going to be some opportunities to fade Western. I

451
00:22:28,640 --> 00:22:30,920
Speaker 1: think that's coming up around the bend. All right, for

452
00:22:31,000 --> 00:22:33,240
Speaker 1: my second best bet here on the card in Week seven,

453
00:22:33,720 --> 00:22:37,720
Speaker 1: Louisiana catching a ton of points against James Madison in

454
00:22:37,880 --> 00:22:41,560
Speaker 1: Harrisonburg eighteen and a half to be precise. All right,

455
00:22:41,640 --> 00:22:44,080
Speaker 1: let's let's start with this. Let's start on a lighter note.

456
00:22:44,119 --> 00:22:46,719
Speaker 1: There's two elite nicknames, in my opinion, in GFI football

457
00:22:46,800 --> 00:22:50,840
Speaker 1: right now. There's Kanzie Matt Zuzawa, also known as the

458
00:22:50,920 --> 00:22:53,520
Speaker 1: Tokyo to the place kicker for Hawaii, who has been

459
00:22:53,640 --> 00:22:56,800
Speaker 1: integral to their success this year. He has been absolutely

460
00:22:57,080 --> 00:22:59,560
Speaker 1: clutch every time that they get into field goal range.

461
00:22:59,600 --> 00:23:02,200
Speaker 1: He's back him home. And then there's Lunch Winfield, who

462
00:23:02,200 --> 00:23:05,040
Speaker 1: I mentioned before. As a child, his grandfather was eaten

463
00:23:05,119 --> 00:23:07,400
Speaker 1: with him and he turned his back. He looks back,

464
00:23:07,520 --> 00:23:10,639
Speaker 1: all the wings are gone forever. The lunch Moniker sticks

465
00:23:10,680 --> 00:23:13,280
Speaker 1: with him. This little kid just had a voracious appetite.

466
00:23:13,560 --> 00:23:15,840
Speaker 1: But he's more than a name. He was a baller

467
00:23:16,000 --> 00:23:18,080
Speaker 1: in the high school scene down in Louisiana. He had

468
00:23:18,160 --> 00:23:21,320
Speaker 1: three P four offers from UCF Louisville and Virginia, but

469
00:23:21,400 --> 00:23:23,959
Speaker 1: he opted to stay close to home with a program

470
00:23:24,040 --> 00:23:26,040
Speaker 1: that he could start earlier in his career, and here

471
00:23:26,080 --> 00:23:29,199
Speaker 1: he is as a sophomore, seizing this opportunity. He has

472
00:23:29,280 --> 00:23:33,040
Speaker 1: skills as a runner. He also when you look forward

473
00:23:33,160 --> 00:23:36,000
Speaker 1: to what you're going to see on Saturday, this Louisiana

474
00:23:36,119 --> 00:23:39,600
Speaker 1: team identifies with that power run game. So putting him

475
00:23:39,640 --> 00:23:42,680
Speaker 1: in there to already a deep backfield, I think that

476
00:23:42,960 --> 00:23:46,000
Speaker 1: is a recipe for continued success, not just as a dog,

477
00:23:46,240 --> 00:23:48,760
Speaker 1: but to win some games as an underdog. Outright this season,

478
00:23:48,800 --> 00:23:51,680
Speaker 1: the Aguns still really can block up front. Their forty

479
00:23:51,760 --> 00:23:55,280
Speaker 1: second in line yards, they're ninth in rush. EPA, Zilon

480
00:23:55,359 --> 00:23:58,199
Speaker 1: Perry and Bill Davis are powerful G five runners. They

481
00:23:58,320 --> 00:24:00,320
Speaker 1: have a lot of weight to them. They're not very tall,

482
00:24:00,560 --> 00:24:03,520
Speaker 1: but they're certainly bowling balls rolling downhill. They've racked up

483
00:24:03,560 --> 00:24:06,240
Speaker 1: nearly twenty seven hundred career yards on the ground and

484
00:24:06,480 --> 00:24:09,080
Speaker 1: they've broken as a duo of thirty three tackles this year.

485
00:24:09,359 --> 00:24:11,240
Speaker 1: So the line's blocking well and when they get to

486
00:24:11,320 --> 00:24:14,000
Speaker 1: this second level, they're breaking tackles. You're adding in lunch

487
00:24:14,119 --> 00:24:16,840
Speaker 1: to this mix, somebody who can do the zone read, hit,

488
00:24:16,880 --> 00:24:19,720
Speaker 1: the play action game. I think that's really in short

489
00:24:19,880 --> 00:24:23,480
Speaker 1: order risen the ceiling of this Cajun offense, which was

490
00:24:23,680 --> 00:24:26,200
Speaker 1: looking like it was a lost season when Walker Howard

491
00:24:26,280 --> 00:24:29,600
Speaker 1: got injured in the opener. A lot of jmu's run metrics,

492
00:24:29,640 --> 00:24:32,119
Speaker 1: by the way, are strong, but their schedule has been

493
00:24:32,160 --> 00:24:35,000
Speaker 1: a joke. Liberty found some success in the ground against them,

494
00:24:35,240 --> 00:24:36,840
Speaker 1: but they had to abandon the run. They went to

495
00:24:36,920 --> 00:24:39,600
Speaker 1: three different quarterbacks in that game. So in my estimation,

496
00:24:39,840 --> 00:24:42,120
Speaker 1: UL they're going to be able to run the ball,

497
00:24:42,240 --> 00:24:43,600
Speaker 1: They're going to have some big plays in the play

498
00:24:43,640 --> 00:24:47,280
Speaker 1: action game, and there's little tape, if any, to prepare

499
00:24:47,359 --> 00:24:49,600
Speaker 1: for exactly what Lunch is going to bring to the table.

500
00:24:50,000 --> 00:24:52,359
Speaker 1: On the other side of things, you mentioned it where

501
00:24:52,600 --> 00:24:55,320
Speaker 1: Old Dominion has leaked thro out of James Madison in

502
00:24:55,440 --> 00:24:58,440
Speaker 1: the hierarchy to win the Sun Belt. It's because of

503
00:24:58,480 --> 00:25:01,960
Speaker 1: this JMU passing attack. There's no rhythm. They've really struggled

504
00:25:02,000 --> 00:25:05,200
Speaker 1: to protect Barnett, who, yes, his knee is good enough

505
00:25:05,200 --> 00:25:07,760
Speaker 1: for him to play, but he doesn't have that decisiveness

506
00:25:07,800 --> 00:25:09,960
Speaker 1: and that explosive first step that got him out of

507
00:25:10,000 --> 00:25:12,639
Speaker 1: a lot of trouble last year. And I think the

508
00:25:12,920 --> 00:25:15,240
Speaker 1: other element of it is two things have tanked for

509
00:25:15,320 --> 00:25:17,920
Speaker 1: them year over year, their quality drives and their big plays.

510
00:25:17,960 --> 00:25:20,720
Speaker 1: They're hovering around one hundredth in both. That's not what

511
00:25:20,840 --> 00:25:23,719
Speaker 1: I expected out of Bob Chesney and Dean Kennedy's offense.

512
00:25:24,040 --> 00:25:26,720
Speaker 1: So you want to be on the side getting over

513
00:25:26,800 --> 00:25:30,400
Speaker 1: three scores in this game because the explosiveness not being there,

514
00:25:30,840 --> 00:25:32,760
Speaker 1: It would just make me very uncomfortable to lay such

515
00:25:32,760 --> 00:25:35,879
Speaker 1: a big number, needing so many methodical long drives to

516
00:25:35,960 --> 00:25:39,040
Speaker 1: punch in points. Here their struggles, the look ahead game

517
00:25:39,080 --> 00:25:42,280
Speaker 1: that we mentioned earlier against Odu and Ul's ability to

518
00:25:42,280 --> 00:25:44,560
Speaker 1: shrink this game down with the run. I'll take the points.

519
00:25:44,800 --> 00:25:46,840
Speaker 1: Do you think this is the right side in the

520
00:25:46,920 --> 00:25:48,159
Speaker 1: Sun Belt? I do you know?

521
00:25:48,240 --> 00:25:49,919
Speaker 4: You look at the preseason and this would have been

522
00:25:50,000 --> 00:25:53,000
Speaker 4: one of the premier games with Louisiana Lafayette projected to

523
00:25:53,200 --> 00:25:56,160
Speaker 4: be a top player in the Sun Belt. West didn't

524
00:25:56,160 --> 00:25:58,800
Speaker 4: play out that way, and they were really in scramble

525
00:25:58,880 --> 00:26:01,920
Speaker 4: mode because they just did didn't have somebody in the

526
00:26:02,000 --> 00:26:04,880
Speaker 4: backup role that was competent enough to run the offense

527
00:26:04,920 --> 00:26:08,320
Speaker 4: and throw them out of situations. While they've now discovered

528
00:26:08,440 --> 00:26:12,359
Speaker 4: upon launch Winfield and his talent in the dual threat

529
00:26:12,520 --> 00:26:14,520
Speaker 4: nature of what he's able to do on the ground,

530
00:26:14,600 --> 00:26:17,480
Speaker 4: averaging eight yards of carry and already has three rushing touchdowns,

531
00:26:17,520 --> 00:26:21,800
Speaker 4: and limited action really just unlocks enough of this offense

532
00:26:21,880 --> 00:26:25,360
Speaker 4: to be dangerous, very similar in nature to what JMU

533
00:26:25,520 --> 00:26:27,240
Speaker 4: wants to do on the ground when they get that

534
00:26:27,359 --> 00:26:31,080
Speaker 4: ground game. Humming JMU. The issue at hand is they've

535
00:26:31,160 --> 00:26:34,560
Speaker 4: been so unsuccessful the last couple of weeks in early downs.

536
00:26:34,600 --> 00:26:37,400
Speaker 4: They spend half the afternoon in third down, and they're

537
00:26:37,440 --> 00:26:41,399
Speaker 4: not converting third down even against poor defensive foes like

538
00:26:41,480 --> 00:26:44,399
Speaker 4: Georgia Southern and Georgia State back to back, and so

539
00:26:44,640 --> 00:26:49,400
Speaker 4: your empty possessions, you're punting back, you're playing in these

540
00:26:49,440 --> 00:26:53,080
Speaker 4: closer games that are low scoring. The offense isn't getting it. Humming.

541
00:26:53,359 --> 00:26:55,840
Speaker 4: The running backs have been heard. This is just a

542
00:26:55,960 --> 00:26:59,280
Speaker 4: major spot where I think JMU really has to be

543
00:26:59,400 --> 00:27:02,480
Speaker 4: careful here. I'm not going to call for the Dukes

544
00:27:02,520 --> 00:27:04,600
Speaker 4: to lose this game outright on the field, but this

545
00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:06,520
Speaker 4: is a tough ask for them to win by three

546
00:27:06,600 --> 00:27:11,200
Speaker 4: touchdowns when you have a massive fox looming. The one

547
00:27:11,280 --> 00:27:13,359
Speaker 4: they really want to get is next week. It's a

548
00:27:13,440 --> 00:27:16,280
Speaker 4: must win next week against Old Dominion. I think the

549
00:27:16,400 --> 00:27:19,119
Speaker 4: idea here is get this game into the double digits,

550
00:27:19,160 --> 00:27:21,359
Speaker 4: get up by ten in the second half, truncate this

551
00:27:21,480 --> 00:27:24,440
Speaker 4: game down, grind the clock down, and get the hell

552
00:27:24,480 --> 00:27:26,240
Speaker 4: out of there with a win. And so to lay

553
00:27:26,280 --> 00:27:28,480
Speaker 4: eighteen and a half I could not do here. In fact,

554
00:27:28,880 --> 00:27:31,800
Speaker 4: I have a play in pocket on Louisiana plus eighteen

555
00:27:31,800 --> 00:27:33,320
Speaker 4: and a half. It's a bet I really like. I

556
00:27:33,359 --> 00:27:36,399
Speaker 4: think they can do just enough defensively to provide some

557
00:27:36,520 --> 00:27:38,960
Speaker 4: resistance to an offense that's been a little out of sync.

558
00:27:39,440 --> 00:27:41,399
Speaker 4: And I think Lunch in the running game can do

559
00:27:41,640 --> 00:27:44,160
Speaker 4: enough to possess the ball, stay on the field, keep

560
00:27:44,240 --> 00:27:46,560
Speaker 4: this one a lower scoring game. I see this being

561
00:27:46,600 --> 00:27:49,600
Speaker 4: about a eleven to fourteen point win for JMU.

562
00:27:52,800 --> 00:28:06,200
Speaker 1: I got. We created this next segment, the four Minute Drill,

563
00:28:06,440 --> 00:28:10,200
Speaker 1: with games and moments like this in mind. North Texas

564
00:28:10,640 --> 00:28:15,560
Speaker 1: in Denton on their home field hosting USF nationally ranked

565
00:28:15,560 --> 00:28:19,560
Speaker 1: team North Texas is undefeated. They're wearing the blackout jerseys.

566
00:28:19,800 --> 00:28:22,600
Speaker 1: They got to sellout crowd. It is going to be

567
00:28:22,840 --> 00:28:26,159
Speaker 1: a zoo and I, for one, just can't wait to

568
00:28:26,240 --> 00:28:28,320
Speaker 1: hear you break it down every angle. I have a

569
00:28:28,359 --> 00:28:31,560
Speaker 1: play on it coming in the moneyline portion of our program.

570
00:28:31,840 --> 00:28:33,840
Speaker 1: But I just want to hear you wax poetic. Go

571
00:28:33,960 --> 00:28:37,000
Speaker 1: through the stats, go through the situational angles, go through

572
00:28:37,040 --> 00:28:39,480
Speaker 1: the coaching staffs, because this game is one that we

573
00:28:39,520 --> 00:28:42,800
Speaker 1: should cherish. We don't always get great opportunities like this

574
00:28:43,120 --> 00:28:46,120
Speaker 1: to see best versus best in some of these larger conferences.

575
00:28:46,240 --> 00:28:48,800
Speaker 1: You know, I feel like there's always these revolving you know,

576
00:28:48,960 --> 00:28:51,920
Speaker 1: musical chairs with who's in which conference, who's moving up,

577
00:28:51,920 --> 00:28:54,880
Speaker 1: who's moving down. This one was circled, This was we

578
00:28:54,960 --> 00:28:58,200
Speaker 1: were hopeful that both of these teams would overachieve. USF

579
00:28:58,280 --> 00:29:01,080
Speaker 1: has certainly done their part and off Florida and Boise

580
00:29:01,280 --> 00:29:04,280
Speaker 1: early in the season to justify being a nationally ranked team.

581
00:29:04,520 --> 00:29:06,920
Speaker 1: But if UNC wins this one, all of a sudden,

582
00:29:06,960 --> 00:29:09,840
Speaker 1: they're in the driver's seat in the American and beyond that,

583
00:29:10,120 --> 00:29:12,520
Speaker 1: to win the G five bid to the twelve team

584
00:29:12,560 --> 00:29:15,160
Speaker 1: College Football Playoff. The stakes couldn't be higher. Take me

585
00:29:15,200 --> 00:29:15,840
Speaker 1: through a doc.

586
00:29:16,640 --> 00:29:19,680
Speaker 4: Major, major game, possibly the game of the year up

587
00:29:19,720 --> 00:29:21,720
Speaker 4: to this point in the group. In the entire group

588
00:29:21,800 --> 00:29:24,400
Speaker 4: of five, with two very very strong American teams, you

589
00:29:24,480 --> 00:29:27,120
Speaker 4: look at South Florida, they do have the major strength

590
00:29:27,160 --> 00:29:30,480
Speaker 4: of schedule advantage having played in the Swamp and also

591
00:29:30,600 --> 00:29:34,760
Speaker 4: at Miami. North Texas has not played that level of competition,

592
00:29:34,920 --> 00:29:37,240
Speaker 4: but they've dispatched all of the teams that have been

593
00:29:37,320 --> 00:29:39,239
Speaker 4: on their schedule up to this point. Many of these

594
00:29:39,280 --> 00:29:43,880
Speaker 4: games have been convincing wins. North Texas has an immaculately

595
00:29:44,000 --> 00:29:47,520
Speaker 4: improved defense Kyler Cassidy. The DC has completely turned around

596
00:29:47,600 --> 00:29:51,280
Speaker 4: this defense, which is the mean Green thirteenth in defensive

597
00:29:51,320 --> 00:29:55,960
Speaker 4: EPA per play this season, twenty third in defensive explosiveness surrendered,

598
00:29:56,400 --> 00:30:00,760
Speaker 4: fifteenth in defensive finishing drives. The secondary is first in

599
00:30:00,920 --> 00:30:04,760
Speaker 4: pass play EPA allowed, tops in FBS. This secondary is

600
00:30:05,000 --> 00:30:09,040
Speaker 4: just they're on you like peanut butter on bread. It

601
00:30:09,200 --> 00:30:12,040
Speaker 4: is incredible to see how this pass defense has just

602
00:30:12,160 --> 00:30:16,320
Speaker 4: been shutting teams down. Twelfth and pass play success rate

603
00:30:16,480 --> 00:30:20,880
Speaker 4: fifth in defensive pass explosiveness per PFF. North Texas has

604
00:30:20,920 --> 00:30:24,720
Speaker 4: the second best overall defensive unit and is ranked number

605
00:30:24,800 --> 00:30:27,920
Speaker 4: one in the conference in total tackling. South Florida is

606
00:30:28,320 --> 00:30:31,600
Speaker 4: second from the bottom in tackling grades and they're down

607
00:30:31,640 --> 00:30:33,640
Speaker 4: towards the bottom as far as coverage as well. When

608
00:30:33,680 --> 00:30:36,560
Speaker 4: you look at the pass coverage grades again, North Texas

609
00:30:36,640 --> 00:30:39,719
Speaker 4: first in conference. South Florida is fifth from the bottom.

610
00:30:40,600 --> 00:30:42,600
Speaker 4: Then you talk about the quarterback. There was a battle

611
00:30:42,640 --> 00:30:45,280
Speaker 4: for North Texas with quarterback. It was going to be

612
00:30:45,400 --> 00:30:48,280
Speaker 4: Poffenbarger or Mess to Maker, and so that had to

613
00:30:48,360 --> 00:30:51,040
Speaker 4: sort itself out, and they went with Mess to Maker,

614
00:30:51,120 --> 00:30:53,520
Speaker 4: and people weren't sure if that was necessarily the right call.

615
00:30:53,600 --> 00:30:56,520
Speaker 4: But he has been absolutely lights out this year, eleven

616
00:30:56,640 --> 00:30:59,480
Speaker 4: zero touchdown to interception ratio. He's thrown for twelve hundred

617
00:30:59,480 --> 00:31:03,040
Speaker 4: and forty seven yards, completing sixty eight percent, and he

618
00:31:03,400 --> 00:31:07,120
Speaker 4: just does not make mistakes Situationally, you look at North

619
00:31:07,160 --> 00:31:10,880
Speaker 4: Texas relying on throwing the ball on third down and

620
00:31:11,000 --> 00:31:13,520
Speaker 4: even when you're squeezed down in the red zone. They've

621
00:31:13,560 --> 00:31:16,280
Speaker 4: been excellent all season. Thirty out of thirty one red

622
00:31:16,360 --> 00:31:20,840
Speaker 4: zone trips have resulted in scores, with twenty five touchdowns. Now,

623
00:31:20,960 --> 00:31:24,160
Speaker 4: the concern for North Texas is can they get pressure

624
00:31:24,280 --> 00:31:28,280
Speaker 4: on Byron Brown and create some negative plays. We've seen

625
00:31:28,360 --> 00:31:31,920
Speaker 4: this South Florida offense against two lesser foes in South

626
00:31:32,000 --> 00:31:35,840
Speaker 4: Carolina State and Charlotte teams that could get absolutely zero

627
00:31:35,960 --> 00:31:39,520
Speaker 4: pressure on South Florida's quarterback and they were just completely

628
00:31:39,640 --> 00:31:42,640
Speaker 4: picked apart. Now, South Florida, you can be sure has

629
00:31:42,720 --> 00:31:45,160
Speaker 4: put their receivers on the jugs machine this week after

630
00:31:45,320 --> 00:31:48,600
Speaker 4: twelve dropped passes against Charlotte last week, and if they

631
00:31:48,640 --> 00:31:51,600
Speaker 4: don't drop those passes, that's forty nine to nothing at half,

632
00:31:52,160 --> 00:31:55,080
Speaker 4: and those receivers were running free, they were wide open.

633
00:31:55,120 --> 00:31:57,960
Speaker 4: They do have explosive talent in the skill room, so

634
00:31:59,280 --> 00:32:01,560
Speaker 4: that will be of concerned. North Texas is going to

635
00:32:01,680 --> 00:32:03,760
Speaker 4: have to send a little pressure, get creative with their

636
00:32:03,800 --> 00:32:06,840
Speaker 4: blitz packages to just force Byrom to move off the

637
00:32:06,920 --> 00:32:09,040
Speaker 4: first and second read and move out of the pocket.

638
00:32:09,440 --> 00:32:11,960
Speaker 4: Do you have a major, major special teams advantage for

639
00:32:12,120 --> 00:32:15,080
Speaker 4: North Texas both in the return game and the kicking game.

640
00:32:15,480 --> 00:32:18,960
Speaker 4: North Texas's rock solid on special teams, and there's a

641
00:32:19,000 --> 00:32:22,160
Speaker 4: scheduling advantage. North Texas has had thirteen days to prepare

642
00:32:22,200 --> 00:32:24,600
Speaker 4: for this one. South Florida comes in off the Friday

643
00:32:24,640 --> 00:32:26,640
Speaker 4: game at home against Charlotte. Had to be focused for

644
00:32:26,760 --> 00:32:29,440
Speaker 4: that and now they're on the road. I look at

645
00:32:29,480 --> 00:32:32,080
Speaker 4: South Florida the last couple of weeks. They have absolutely

646
00:32:32,160 --> 00:32:35,200
Speaker 4: feasted on two terrible defenses, which has made their offense

647
00:32:35,240 --> 00:32:38,400
Speaker 4: look very good, very explosive. But they had gone through

648
00:32:38,440 --> 00:32:42,400
Speaker 4: some times in the first three where there was long

649
00:32:42,480 --> 00:32:44,800
Speaker 4: stretches of each of those games where their offense couldn't

650
00:32:44,800 --> 00:32:47,080
Speaker 4: move the ball, couldn't get a first down, and while

651
00:32:47,080 --> 00:32:49,120
Speaker 4: they played pretty quick in the tempo, a lot of

652
00:32:49,160 --> 00:32:53,280
Speaker 4: those possessions ended up in punts. South Florida this, I mean,

653
00:32:53,360 --> 00:32:55,280
Speaker 4: this is going to be just one of those games

654
00:32:55,320 --> 00:32:57,880
Speaker 4: where you're on the road in league play. The total

655
00:32:57,960 --> 00:33:00,640
Speaker 4: has actually gone up as well as came out about

656
00:33:00,640 --> 00:33:03,080
Speaker 4: fifty five, fifty six now or excuse me, sixty five

657
00:33:03,200 --> 00:33:05,240
Speaker 4: or sixty six. Now we're at sixty eight and a half.

658
00:33:06,680 --> 00:33:10,360
Speaker 4: Something tells me this is more of a defensive game

659
00:33:10,480 --> 00:33:13,400
Speaker 4: than what people might think. South Florida's defense can bring

660
00:33:13,440 --> 00:33:16,320
Speaker 4: it and put a little resistance on North Texas's passing attack.

661
00:33:16,440 --> 00:33:19,520
Speaker 4: North Texas's defense will do the same. You get this

662
00:33:19,720 --> 00:33:23,040
Speaker 4: environment on Friday night in Denton, one of the biggest

663
00:33:23,120 --> 00:33:27,120
Speaker 4: games in program history for North Texas. They're showing up

664
00:33:27,160 --> 00:33:29,000
Speaker 4: for this one. If there's any game on the calendar

665
00:33:29,080 --> 00:33:31,760
Speaker 4: they show up for all season, it's this one to

666
00:33:31,880 --> 00:33:34,160
Speaker 4: set the tone for the rest of the way and

667
00:33:34,360 --> 00:33:36,880
Speaker 4: prove that they belong in the American So I think

668
00:33:36,920 --> 00:33:39,560
Speaker 4: North Texas can get the job done. Let's hear your

669
00:33:39,600 --> 00:33:41,000
Speaker 4: take for my sake.

670
00:33:41,160 --> 00:33:44,680
Speaker 1: This will go right into our G five Underdog money

671
00:33:44,720 --> 00:33:48,720
Speaker 1: line parlay presented by DraftKings North Texas money Line. It's

672
00:33:48,800 --> 00:33:51,120
Speaker 1: plus one hundred plus one oh five. Make sure to

673
00:33:51,200 --> 00:33:53,160
Speaker 1: head over to DraftKings to get the best price as

674
00:33:53,160 --> 00:33:55,840
Speaker 1: soon as you can, because I have a feeling they

675
00:33:55,920 --> 00:33:59,040
Speaker 1: may not be closing as the underdog here. I like

676
00:33:59,120 --> 00:34:01,960
Speaker 1: Alex Golish. I think he's pumped pro you know, a

677
00:34:02,040 --> 00:34:04,800
Speaker 1: lot of energy into this program, his system. When it's

678
00:34:04,800 --> 00:34:07,520
Speaker 1: all clicking elite by G five standards, no one's arguing

679
00:34:07,600 --> 00:34:11,080
Speaker 1: with that, but I still have my concerns sometimes on

680
00:34:11,200 --> 00:34:13,200
Speaker 1: the road with Byron Brown, this kid can be a

681
00:34:13,320 --> 00:34:15,760
Speaker 1: tiny bit high variance. I'm gonna throw out the florid

682
00:34:15,800 --> 00:34:18,280
Speaker 1: in Miami games. He played well enough at the Swamp

683
00:34:18,400 --> 00:34:21,560
Speaker 1: to win and then Miami totally neutralized him. But Mimi's

684
00:34:21,560 --> 00:34:23,879
Speaker 1: the top five team. I don't think that has any

685
00:34:23,960 --> 00:34:26,640
Speaker 1: real bearing on this performance. But when you look at

686
00:34:27,360 --> 00:34:31,000
Speaker 1: his career on the road, he's had multiple games where

687
00:34:31,000 --> 00:34:33,880
Speaker 1: he's taken too many sacks, held onto the ball far

688
00:34:34,000 --> 00:34:36,479
Speaker 1: too long, and in twenty twenty three he had four

689
00:34:36,960 --> 00:34:41,600
Speaker 1: count four multiple turnover performances all on the road. I

690
00:34:41,680 --> 00:34:44,279
Speaker 1: bring this up because when you were listing off all

691
00:34:44,320 --> 00:34:49,719
Speaker 1: those defensive metrics for UNT, Skylar Cassidy has exceeded every expectation.

692
00:34:50,160 --> 00:34:53,600
Speaker 1: This kid had a Wonderkin reputation. He was gonna, you know,

693
00:34:54,120 --> 00:34:57,720
Speaker 1: essentially have this wild turnarounds with his four two five system.

694
00:34:58,440 --> 00:35:02,480
Speaker 1: Even with like the Rose glasses looking through, you figured, oh,

695
00:35:02,600 --> 00:35:05,360
Speaker 1: maybe they could be a team that could be middle

696
00:35:05,400 --> 00:35:07,920
Speaker 1: class by American standards defensively, and if you paired it

697
00:35:07,960 --> 00:35:09,560
Speaker 1: with a good offense, you know this would be a

698
00:35:09,600 --> 00:35:12,000
Speaker 1: team that'll go bowling seven or eight wins. But it

699
00:35:12,080 --> 00:35:14,200
Speaker 1: has been incredible. I mean, no team has a better

700
00:35:14,280 --> 00:35:18,520
Speaker 1: PFF tackling grade than in the UNT and their EIGHTHN coverage.

701
00:35:18,520 --> 00:35:22,719
Speaker 1: You went through a lot of their back end continuity

702
00:35:22,760 --> 00:35:24,160
Speaker 1: and what that's meant. And when you look at it

703
00:35:24,600 --> 00:35:27,560
Speaker 1: the offseason upgrades, it wasn't just let me grab the

704
00:35:27,680 --> 00:35:30,200
Speaker 1: best player available and pay him some money to be

705
00:35:30,280 --> 00:35:33,080
Speaker 1: a stopgap. He went ahead and brought Trey Fields to

706
00:35:33,160 --> 00:35:36,840
Speaker 1: linebacker David Fisher at corner from Sam Houston. And what

707
00:35:37,000 --> 00:35:40,040
Speaker 1: that has done has allowed him to have sophistication in

708
00:35:40,160 --> 00:35:44,080
Speaker 1: his defense with guys who are not suffering from you know,

709
00:35:44,400 --> 00:35:47,880
Speaker 1: paralysis through analysis, they know what they're seeing, they know

710
00:35:48,160 --> 00:35:51,239
Speaker 1: what to expect, and they're playing fast. You've heard Nick

711
00:35:51,280 --> 00:35:53,520
Speaker 1: Saban talk about this a ton over the years. The

712
00:35:53,680 --> 00:35:56,800
Speaker 1: reps are invaluable within the system because all of a sudden,

713
00:35:57,160 --> 00:36:00,560
Speaker 1: kids are just flying to the football. They're not worried

714
00:36:00,560 --> 00:36:02,560
Speaker 1: about making a mistake or being out a position or

715
00:36:02,920 --> 00:36:05,760
Speaker 1: out leverage. They just know where to go. And because

716
00:36:05,800 --> 00:36:08,640
Speaker 1: he has the sophistication with a veteran defense that on

717
00:36:08,760 --> 00:36:11,560
Speaker 1: paper has so many transfers, you would think that doesn't

718
00:36:11,680 --> 00:36:14,279
Speaker 1: lend itself to a veteran defense. Well, having so many

719
00:36:14,480 --> 00:36:16,880
Speaker 1: who played for him, it does. And I agree. I

720
00:36:16,960 --> 00:36:20,320
Speaker 1: trust Mess Tomaker to continue to protect the football this season.

721
00:36:20,719 --> 00:36:23,120
Speaker 1: I think you know, when you look at what Morris

722
00:36:23,200 --> 00:36:25,120
Speaker 1: is done, I know he comes from the air rad tree.

723
00:36:25,440 --> 00:36:27,920
Speaker 1: I know we look up to Mike Leach. This is

724
00:36:28,000 --> 00:36:30,440
Speaker 1: a Mike Leach offense in name only, because he is

725
00:36:30,560 --> 00:36:32,600
Speaker 1: more than happy to run the ball a lot. They

726
00:36:32,640 --> 00:36:36,239
Speaker 1: have been surprisingly efficient on the grounds and Mess to Maker,

727
00:36:36,320 --> 00:36:39,080
Speaker 1: that's the thing. He hasn't gone berserk with passing yardage

728
00:36:39,160 --> 00:36:42,640
Speaker 1: or passing touchdowns. He's just been incredibly efficient and they

729
00:36:42,719 --> 00:36:46,040
Speaker 1: get themselves into third and manageables and the defense just

730
00:36:46,120 --> 00:36:48,800
Speaker 1: doesn't know exactly what to expect. They're forcing them in

731
00:36:48,920 --> 00:36:52,000
Speaker 1: a classic air raid attack to cover all fifty plus

732
00:36:52,120 --> 00:36:54,520
Speaker 1: yards across the field. And then when you add in

733
00:36:54,560 --> 00:36:56,359
Speaker 1: the running game, all of a sudden, there's some big

734
00:36:56,520 --> 00:37:00,000
Speaker 1: lanes for these small running backs to pop runs. So yeah,

735
00:37:00,440 --> 00:37:02,279
Speaker 1: I think is the side here. It's a sellout. As

736
00:37:02,320 --> 00:37:04,879
Speaker 1: I mentioned, it's a blackout, it's a national TV game.

737
00:37:05,280 --> 00:37:07,680
Speaker 1: I think if they can get some early success, this

738
00:37:07,840 --> 00:37:10,080
Speaker 1: is going to be a hornet's nest for USF. And

739
00:37:10,440 --> 00:37:12,960
Speaker 1: I'm going to bank on Byron Brown regressing to what

740
00:37:13,040 --> 00:37:15,120
Speaker 1: he's done in the past, which is take too many

741
00:37:15,200 --> 00:37:17,560
Speaker 1: negative plays on the road. So I'll take them at

742
00:37:17,640 --> 00:37:21,240
Speaker 1: plus one hundred. What's nice about this money line underdog

743
00:37:21,360 --> 00:37:24,239
Speaker 1: parlay is that you're going with a big swing for

744
00:37:24,320 --> 00:37:26,440
Speaker 1: the fences. When you put together yours in mind, it's

745
00:37:26,480 --> 00:37:28,560
Speaker 1: going to pay close to six to one. Reminder, head

746
00:37:28,560 --> 00:37:30,880
Speaker 1: over to DraftKings to get the best possible number and

747
00:37:30,920 --> 00:37:33,239
Speaker 1: the highest payout. Talk me through the MAC game that

748
00:37:33,280 --> 00:37:33,880
Speaker 1: you have circled.

749
00:37:34,320 --> 00:37:36,279
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm looking at ball State on the money line

750
00:37:36,560 --> 00:37:38,920
Speaker 4: plus two forty five on the road at Western Michigan.

751
00:37:39,080 --> 00:37:41,120
Speaker 4: We just saw it take a little bit of time

752
00:37:41,239 --> 00:37:44,239
Speaker 4: with the offensive scheme change with Mikey Ramovich, who comes

753
00:37:44,280 --> 00:37:48,440
Speaker 4: over from Butler. It was a major offensive overhaul, but

754
00:37:48,560 --> 00:37:51,520
Speaker 4: the drives have been more productive for ball State, and

755
00:37:51,760 --> 00:37:55,560
Speaker 4: with the emergence of a competent passing attack from KYLEE.

756
00:37:55,640 --> 00:37:59,400
Speaker 4: Kelly and this ball State receiver group, it's really unlocked

757
00:37:59,760 --> 00:38:04,279
Speaker 4: some more pop for ball State's total offensive attack. We've

758
00:38:04,320 --> 00:38:07,400
Speaker 4: seen the quarterback emergence with a much improved offensive output

759
00:38:07,480 --> 00:38:10,680
Speaker 4: the last three weeks, with three straight against the spread covers,

760
00:38:11,640 --> 00:38:14,640
Speaker 4: and we've got the outright win last week against Ohio

761
00:38:14,800 --> 00:38:17,279
Speaker 4: where ball State was down fourteen to zero at half.

762
00:38:17,360 --> 00:38:18,920
Speaker 4: It was a lot more competitive than that in the

763
00:38:18,960 --> 00:38:20,800
Speaker 4: first half. They had a couple of red zone turnovers,

764
00:38:20,840 --> 00:38:24,080
Speaker 4: but ball State completely shut the Bobs down in the

765
00:38:24,160 --> 00:38:28,360
Speaker 4: second half defensively. And I am a complete firm believer

766
00:38:28,520 --> 00:38:30,719
Speaker 4: that ball State's going to keep this game air tight

767
00:38:30,840 --> 00:38:33,080
Speaker 4: and very close. I already have a ball State ticket

768
00:38:33,080 --> 00:38:35,080
Speaker 4: against the number plus eight and a half in hand.

769
00:38:35,640 --> 00:38:38,040
Speaker 4: Here's why I think ball State can win this game.

770
00:38:38,800 --> 00:38:42,959
Speaker 4: Western Michigan offensively is really struggling. Yeah, they were able

771
00:38:43,000 --> 00:38:45,759
Speaker 4: to upset Toledo, but before that everyone was ready to

772
00:38:45,800 --> 00:38:47,719
Speaker 4: put this team right in the toilet. They had scored

773
00:38:47,760 --> 00:38:50,480
Speaker 4: hardly any points. They couldn't move the ball, and everyone

774
00:38:50,680 --> 00:38:52,880
Speaker 4: just thought that the Lance Taylor experiment was kind of

775
00:38:52,920 --> 00:38:55,839
Speaker 4: going south. It's not as bad as it may seem,

776
00:38:55,960 --> 00:38:58,640
Speaker 4: but Western Michigan they were in a seven to three

777
00:38:58,840 --> 00:39:02,480
Speaker 4: game with U Mass deep into the third quarter. Their

778
00:39:02,600 --> 00:39:08,080
Speaker 4: first six possessions against the Minutemen fumble, punt, touchdown, misstfield goal, punt, punt,

779
00:39:08,400 --> 00:39:11,840
Speaker 4: and they just had nothing going Offensively. The Broncos are

780
00:39:11,840 --> 00:39:14,759
Speaker 4: one hundred and thirty first in offensive success rate and

781
00:39:14,920 --> 00:39:18,200
Speaker 4: one hundred and thirty first in finishing drives offensively, one

782
00:39:18,360 --> 00:39:22,200
Speaker 4: thirteenth in preventing havoc against them on offense. Well, ball

783
00:39:22,280 --> 00:39:25,200
Speaker 4: State has fifteen sacks and thirty three tackles for loss

784
00:39:25,280 --> 00:39:27,680
Speaker 4: this season. They were able to get to Parker Navarro

785
00:39:27,800 --> 00:39:31,720
Speaker 4: last week four times, and they're going to disrupt Brock

786
00:39:31,840 --> 00:39:35,000
Speaker 4: Lowry in the Western Michigan offensive attack. Here. They have

787
00:39:35,120 --> 00:39:38,239
Speaker 4: a superior D line when lining up against Western Michigan's

788
00:39:38,320 --> 00:39:42,120
Speaker 4: offensive line and ball State's run defense. They gave it

789
00:39:42,239 --> 00:39:44,840
Speaker 4: up a little bit against Yukon and Ohio, but it

790
00:39:45,000 --> 00:39:48,759
Speaker 4: wasn't atrocious. This run defensive unit has improved week to

791
00:39:48,880 --> 00:39:53,280
Speaker 4: week since facing Purdue and Auburn. They allowed five yards

792
00:39:53,280 --> 00:39:56,440
Speaker 4: per carry against those two formidable offenses in Yukon and Ohio.

793
00:39:56,560 --> 00:40:00,319
Speaker 4: But the explosives weren't there, The backbreaking twenty five thirty

794
00:40:00,320 --> 00:40:03,480
Speaker 4: five yard run plays were not there. And Western Michigan

795
00:40:03,760 --> 00:40:05,720
Speaker 4: just doesn't have a lot of pop in the running

796
00:40:05,760 --> 00:40:09,200
Speaker 4: back room. They're leading leading rushers, the quarterback, and even

797
00:40:09,280 --> 00:40:11,839
Speaker 4: Jalen Buckley is only averaging three point three yards per

798
00:40:11,920 --> 00:40:13,959
Speaker 4: carry on the ground. It doesn't have a rushing score

799
00:40:14,080 --> 00:40:16,640
Speaker 4: this season. You look at Western Michigan, the great is

800
00:40:16,680 --> 00:40:19,560
Speaker 4: the second worst run defense in the conference per PFF,

801
00:40:20,000 --> 00:40:23,200
Speaker 4: and the rush offense is equally rated with ball State.

802
00:40:23,280 --> 00:40:25,720
Speaker 4: I think ball State can create some plays with Kelly

803
00:40:25,840 --> 00:40:29,399
Speaker 4: using his legs and get the running backs, get Quay

804
00:40:29,480 --> 00:40:32,480
Speaker 4: Ashley involved in the running game. This game is going

805
00:40:32,560 --> 00:40:35,200
Speaker 4: to be super tight. There's not this nearly this much

806
00:40:35,280 --> 00:40:37,560
Speaker 4: separation between these two. I think it comes down to

807
00:40:37,600 --> 00:40:39,879
Speaker 4: a field goal either way. And I like how ball

808
00:40:39,960 --> 00:40:42,920
Speaker 4: State's been playing the last three weeks. I think ball

809
00:40:43,000 --> 00:40:45,120
Speaker 4: State's going to go in there and upset Western Michigan.

810
00:40:45,680 --> 00:40:47,359
Speaker 1: I'm not going to wait for my two minutes drill

811
00:40:47,400 --> 00:40:49,120
Speaker 1: because I want to tack this play on I just

812
00:40:49,200 --> 00:40:52,040
Speaker 1: pulled it up on DraftKings. If you tag on ball

813
00:40:52,120 --> 00:40:55,279
Speaker 1: State money line with the under, it pays out five

814
00:40:55,320 --> 00:40:58,000
Speaker 1: to one over on DraftKings. And that's the way that

815
00:40:58,040 --> 00:41:01,280
Speaker 1: I'm going to play it because I like your rationale

816
00:41:01,320 --> 00:41:03,480
Speaker 1: for why ball State is a live dog here, but

817
00:41:03,600 --> 00:41:07,279
Speaker 1: also I have my doubts about this Western offense. But

818
00:41:07,400 --> 00:41:09,759
Speaker 1: the Western defense, I think has an argument that they're

819
00:41:09,840 --> 00:41:12,080
Speaker 1: the class of the MAC. They've allowed thirty points in

820
00:41:12,160 --> 00:41:14,640
Speaker 1: their last three games. They are top thirty five both

821
00:41:14,800 --> 00:41:17,640
Speaker 1: in pass rush and havoc generated, and they are elite

822
00:41:17,760 --> 00:41:19,880
Speaker 1: in the red zone, which obviously is what you need

823
00:41:20,160 --> 00:41:21,759
Speaker 1: to be able to cash it under. They've been been

824
00:41:21,880 --> 00:41:24,839
Speaker 1: but not break sixteenth in red zone scoring, twenty eighth

825
00:41:24,880 --> 00:41:28,200
Speaker 1: in red zone touchdown percentage allowed, sawston nine takeaways on

826
00:41:28,280 --> 00:41:30,040
Speaker 1: the season. I think this is going to be at

827
00:41:30,120 --> 00:41:32,560
Speaker 1: rock fight, and I would love to get paid out huge.

828
00:41:32,560 --> 00:41:35,000
Speaker 1: A five to one play can swing an entire weekend

829
00:41:35,120 --> 00:41:38,520
Speaker 1: from heartache to know being deep in the black. So

830
00:41:38,880 --> 00:41:40,759
Speaker 1: I think on top of the last piece of it

831
00:41:41,040 --> 00:41:44,120
Speaker 1: is tempo. Tempo tempo for an under, ball State is

832
00:41:44,120 --> 00:41:46,640
Speaker 1: the second slowest team in the MAC and Western runs

833
00:41:46,719 --> 00:41:49,400
Speaker 1: just sixty seven plays per game, which is eighty second

834
00:41:49,480 --> 00:41:52,040
Speaker 1: in the entire country. So if you're interested in the

835
00:41:52,120 --> 00:41:54,320
Speaker 1: Cardinals to pull an upset, I think they do so

836
00:41:54,480 --> 00:41:56,800
Speaker 1: in a low scoring game. It's sitting there in the

837
00:41:57,000 --> 00:41:59,200
Speaker 1: lower forties. I believe the last time I looked at

838
00:41:59,239 --> 00:42:00,719
Speaker 1: it was forty three and a half. I play that

839
00:42:00,800 --> 00:42:02,759
Speaker 1: down to forty two. I think this is one of

840
00:42:02,800 --> 00:42:05,400
Speaker 1: those like twenty to seventeen games. Hopefully you get the

841
00:42:05,520 --> 00:42:08,319
Speaker 1: best of the ball State special team so you don't

842
00:42:08,360 --> 00:42:11,640
Speaker 1: have any issues there in terms of missed opportunities when

843
00:42:11,640 --> 00:42:14,640
Speaker 1: they are forced to kick, but if they execute there,

844
00:42:14,800 --> 00:42:18,440
Speaker 1: I think they're absolutely a solid play from an underdog perspective.

845
00:42:18,880 --> 00:42:21,360
Speaker 1: Speaking of the two minute drill, it is time for

846
00:42:21,440 --> 00:42:26,320
Speaker 1: your FCS leans and plays. If you're listening, this is

847
00:42:26,400 --> 00:42:29,280
Speaker 1: your time, get your phone out, lock it in because

848
00:42:29,360 --> 00:42:32,520
Speaker 1: as soon as this podcast goes out to the feed,

849
00:42:33,120 --> 00:42:36,000
Speaker 1: books are listening. Mark, you know there's going to be

850
00:42:36,400 --> 00:42:38,680
Speaker 1: market movements. It's the reason why we're going to be

851
00:42:38,760 --> 00:42:41,560
Speaker 1: talking every Friday moving forward on the weekend warm up

852
00:42:41,880 --> 00:42:44,200
Speaker 1: to be able to get you the best numbers because

853
00:42:44,400 --> 00:42:46,960
Speaker 1: Duck has a tendency to move these things. Two to

854
00:42:47,040 --> 00:42:51,279
Speaker 1: three points, total sides, money lines, what you got for us? Yeah?

855
00:42:51,320 --> 00:42:53,399
Speaker 4: Before I get into the two minute drill, just real quick,

856
00:42:53,440 --> 00:42:55,240
Speaker 4: I am proud to say that we have had success

857
00:42:55,400 --> 00:42:58,320
Speaker 4: on these FCS plays this season. There is no bigger

858
00:42:58,440 --> 00:43:01,600
Speaker 4: influencer in the FCS mark in America than Action Network.

859
00:43:01,680 --> 00:43:03,600
Speaker 4: So you're going to want to get the Action Network AAP.

860
00:43:03,680 --> 00:43:05,880
Speaker 4: You're going to want to have all of us at

861
00:43:05,960 --> 00:43:08,759
Speaker 4: VBOC followed. We're going to get these plays put in

862
00:43:09,800 --> 00:43:12,200
Speaker 4: later on in the week when they become widely available.

863
00:43:12,280 --> 00:43:14,200
Speaker 4: That's a little feedback I've gotten from some of the

864
00:43:14,280 --> 00:43:17,000
Speaker 4: loyal followers as they want the widely available lines. So

865
00:43:17,520 --> 00:43:19,000
Speaker 4: we're going to get the best of the number here.

866
00:43:19,040 --> 00:43:20,759
Speaker 4: We're going to really deep dive these plays and this

867
00:43:20,920 --> 00:43:22,080
Speaker 4: is going to be a lot of fun. But I've

868
00:43:22,120 --> 00:43:24,600
Speaker 4: got three here for the two minute drill. There's no

869
00:43:24,760 --> 00:43:27,920
Speaker 4: lines available yet, so these are just based on projections.

870
00:43:28,320 --> 00:43:31,160
Speaker 4: First one, we're looking in the Ohio Valley Conference. Tennessee

871
00:43:31,239 --> 00:43:33,840
Speaker 4: Tech is projected at minus nineteen and a half against

872
00:43:33,880 --> 00:43:36,719
Speaker 4: Charleston Southern. I would lay up to twenty six and

873
00:43:36,800 --> 00:43:39,479
Speaker 4: a half with the Golden Eagles. This is the best

874
00:43:39,520 --> 00:43:41,880
Speaker 4: team in the Ohio Valley facing the worst team in

875
00:43:41,920 --> 00:43:45,320
Speaker 4: the Ohio Valley in this league, that disparity is closer

876
00:43:45,360 --> 00:43:49,600
Speaker 4: to seven touchdowns, not three. Tennessee Tech averaging fifty six

877
00:43:49,719 --> 00:43:52,240
Speaker 4: points per game and five hundred and thirty three yards

878
00:43:52,280 --> 00:43:56,120
Speaker 4: per game. Cacoa Visparis is an electric playmaker at quarterback

879
00:43:56,239 --> 00:43:59,880
Speaker 4: thirteen to one touchdown to interception ratio, twelve hundred passing

880
00:44:00,080 --> 00:44:03,160
Speaker 4: yards on the season. Tennessee Tech has two running backs

881
00:44:03,200 --> 00:44:06,279
Speaker 4: that are each separately averaging eight yards per carry on

882
00:44:06,320 --> 00:44:09,120
Speaker 4: the ground, and each of them have five rushing scores.

883
00:44:09,560 --> 00:44:12,120
Speaker 4: This is a superior offensive line going up against a

884
00:44:12,200 --> 00:44:15,719
Speaker 4: Charleston Southern defensive line that has just nine sacks and

885
00:44:15,840 --> 00:44:18,759
Speaker 4: twenty four tackles for loss in six games played this year.

886
00:44:19,320 --> 00:44:23,000
Speaker 4: Tennessee Tech converting fifty three percent on third down. Charleston

887
00:44:23,040 --> 00:44:26,239
Speaker 4: Southern allows fifty five percent on third down defensively, so

888
00:44:26,320 --> 00:44:28,279
Speaker 4: we're gonna have a lot of extended drives here. For

889
00:44:28,360 --> 00:44:31,800
Speaker 4: the Golden Eagles, Charleston Southern only converts thirty two percent

890
00:44:31,880 --> 00:44:35,439
Speaker 4: on third down and their quarterback Zulton Osbourne is only

891
00:44:35,520 --> 00:44:38,719
Speaker 4: completing fifty five percent, with two passing touchdowns over the

892
00:44:38,760 --> 00:44:42,640
Speaker 4: course of the entire season and four interceptions. There's a massive,

893
00:44:42,760 --> 00:44:45,839
Speaker 4: massive special team's edge here for Tennessee Tech. I fully

894
00:44:45,920 --> 00:44:48,560
Speaker 4: expect multiple times the punt return game will set up

895
00:44:48,600 --> 00:44:51,480
Speaker 4: short fields for the Golden Eagles. Charleston Southern is a

896
00:44:51,600 --> 00:44:56,160
Speaker 4: heavily penalized bunch as well, ten penalties per game on average.

897
00:44:56,440 --> 00:44:59,160
Speaker 4: They are in major, major trouble here. Next one, we're

898
00:44:59,200 --> 00:45:02,160
Speaker 4: going PRESBYTERI in the Pioneer Football League. Projected to be

899
00:45:02,239 --> 00:45:04,240
Speaker 4: laying just six and a half on the road at Butler,

900
00:45:04,320 --> 00:45:06,480
Speaker 4: I'd lay up to thirteen and a half here. The

901
00:45:06,560 --> 00:45:09,600
Speaker 4: Blue Hose are absolutely and unequivocally the best team in

902
00:45:09,640 --> 00:45:12,799
Speaker 4: the Pioneer Football League by a wide margin. This team

903
00:45:12,880 --> 00:45:16,960
Speaker 4: has two wins over the Scholarship League SoCon teams Mercer

904
00:45:17,239 --> 00:45:21,239
Speaker 4: and Wafford this year, and they just destroyed Morehead State

905
00:45:21,400 --> 00:45:25,120
Speaker 4: forty one dozing last week. The Offerense is averaging seven

906
00:45:25,200 --> 00:45:28,000
Speaker 4: point three yards per play for the Blue Hose, nine

907
00:45:28,040 --> 00:45:30,680
Speaker 4: point three yards per pass and almost six yards per

908
00:45:30,719 --> 00:45:33,640
Speaker 4: carry on the ground. Zach Switzer at running back is

909
00:45:33,719 --> 00:45:37,400
Speaker 4: electric eight yards per carry and six rushing touchdowns, and

910
00:45:37,480 --> 00:45:41,040
Speaker 4: their quarterback Colin Hurst has a fifteen to four touchdown

911
00:45:41,040 --> 00:45:44,319
Speaker 4: to interception ratio. Nine different receivers for the Blue Hose

912
00:45:44,400 --> 00:45:46,680
Speaker 4: have cut a touchdown pass this season. They have so

913
00:45:46,840 --> 00:45:49,800
Speaker 4: many weapons offensively, Butler's not going to be able to

914
00:45:49,880 --> 00:45:51,880
Speaker 4: keep up. They have a pretty salty defense for this

915
00:45:52,040 --> 00:45:54,560
Speaker 4: level of football and it'll be a test for a while,

916
00:45:54,680 --> 00:45:57,839
Speaker 4: but Presbyterians going to pass this test. Last one, we're

917
00:45:57,840 --> 00:46:02,480
Speaker 4: going to the swack. Alabama is hosting Mississippi Valley State.

918
00:46:02,560 --> 00:46:04,719
Speaker 4: The total is projected at fifty seven and a half.

919
00:46:05,080 --> 00:46:06,839
Speaker 4: I bet this up to sixty one and a half.

920
00:46:07,239 --> 00:46:09,719
Speaker 4: Mississippi Valley State on the road, has lost their two

921
00:46:09,840 --> 00:46:12,640
Speaker 4: road games this year, fifty six to three and fifty

922
00:46:12,760 --> 00:46:15,440
Speaker 4: nine to three. And this defense is the worst in

923
00:46:15,600 --> 00:46:18,319
Speaker 4: FCS football, allowing over four hundred and forty two yards

924
00:46:18,320 --> 00:46:21,240
Speaker 4: per game and six point two yards per play. This season,

925
00:46:22,280 --> 00:46:24,920
Speaker 4: the Delta Devils are giving up sixty eight percent completion

926
00:46:25,080 --> 00:46:29,400
Speaker 4: percentage and nine point six yards per pass the defense.

927
00:46:29,600 --> 00:46:32,320
Speaker 4: Fifteen out of eighteen red zone trips have resulted in scores,

928
00:46:32,360 --> 00:46:35,160
Speaker 4: with thirteen of those being touchdowns, and this team has

929
00:46:35,320 --> 00:46:38,360
Speaker 4: one sack on the season. Alabama A and M is

930
00:46:38,400 --> 00:46:40,480
Speaker 4: going to shred this team. They're averaging eight yards per

931
00:46:40,520 --> 00:46:43,080
Speaker 4: pass attempt, but they're giving up eight yards per pass

932
00:46:43,080 --> 00:46:46,960
Speaker 4: attempt themselves. This team is yielding fifty one percent on

933
00:46:47,080 --> 00:46:50,400
Speaker 4: third downs, and seventeen of nineteen red zone trips against

934
00:46:50,440 --> 00:46:53,359
Speaker 4: Alabama A and M have resulted in touchdowns. In three

935
00:46:53,480 --> 00:46:56,640
Speaker 4: Swack games this year, Alabama A and M has played

936
00:46:56,640 --> 00:46:59,279
Speaker 4: to totals of seventy two, seventy five, and eighty one

937
00:46:59,680 --> 00:47:03,279
Speaker 4: total points. Listen, guys, the swack is bad football, but

938
00:47:03,360 --> 00:47:06,279
Speaker 4: it can be entertaining and high scoring. This one will

939
00:47:06,400 --> 00:47:08,920
Speaker 4: be take the high side year between Alabama A and

940
00:47:09,040 --> 00:47:10,239
Speaker 4: M and Mississippi Valley State.

941
00:47:10,840 --> 00:47:14,160
Speaker 1: Missisippi Valley State. It's given me the jones to start

942
00:47:14,160 --> 00:47:17,640
Speaker 1: talking some college hoops. It's my favorite garbage segment at

943
00:47:17,760 --> 00:47:19,640
Speaker 1: least once a year to talk at a little swack

944
00:47:19,719 --> 00:47:23,320
Speaker 1: basketball where the teams will shoot like six for fifty

945
00:47:23,360 --> 00:47:26,279
Speaker 1: five from three point range. Quick TRIVI your question for you.

946
00:47:26,600 --> 00:47:28,560
Speaker 1: You didn't get the one earlier on Danil Fever, so

947
00:47:28,560 --> 00:47:30,440
Speaker 1: I'll give you another one. Jerry Rice, the most famous

948
00:47:30,480 --> 00:47:34,279
Speaker 1: Misissippi Valley State grad. How did he learn how to

949
00:47:34,400 --> 00:47:36,840
Speaker 1: catch football so well at a young age? You know

950
00:47:36,960 --> 00:47:37,279
Speaker 1: this one.

951
00:47:38,600 --> 00:47:40,759
Speaker 4: I know the story about how he was recruited to

952
00:47:40,840 --> 00:47:45,400
Speaker 4: Mississippi Valley State, but I don't know where you're going here. No,

953
00:47:45,480 --> 00:47:46,600
Speaker 4: I don't know the answer to this one.

954
00:47:47,640 --> 00:47:50,120
Speaker 1: His father was a bricklayer and he used to throw

955
00:47:50,239 --> 00:47:53,120
Speaker 1: the bricks like footballs. To Jerry, there was no lemon

956
00:47:53,239 --> 00:47:55,880
Speaker 1: hit your body bouncing off situation. You got to snag

957
00:47:56,000 --> 00:47:59,080
Speaker 1: those bricks with your hands, and he always attributed that

958
00:47:59,280 --> 00:48:02,440
Speaker 1: to his sure handedness throughout his career. All right, it

959
00:48:02,560 --> 00:48:05,040
Speaker 1: is now time for my two minute offense. I'm going

960
00:48:05,080 --> 00:48:07,600
Speaker 1: to start Southern Miss, a short favorite plant two and

961
00:48:07,640 --> 00:48:12,040
Speaker 1: a half in Statesborough taking on Georgia. Southern cover your ears,

962
00:48:12,120 --> 00:48:15,520
Speaker 1: gad a nation. I am going with the Golden Eagles here.

963
00:48:15,560 --> 00:48:18,040
Speaker 1: And hey Stuckey, if you're listening, Southern miss is good.

964
00:48:18,200 --> 00:48:21,000
Speaker 1: I don't know what the vendetta is with them with

965
00:48:21,200 --> 00:48:23,920
Speaker 1: you what beef it is, you should squash it because

966
00:48:24,120 --> 00:48:26,359
Speaker 1: they lost to Mississippi State. They lost the La Tech.

967
00:48:26,640 --> 00:48:29,440
Speaker 1: Mississippi State is an upset down the stretch away from

968
00:48:29,480 --> 00:48:32,560
Speaker 1: being a ball team in the SEC. They've exceeded expectations.

969
00:48:32,880 --> 00:48:35,160
Speaker 1: They're a decent football team in a Power four league.

970
00:48:35,480 --> 00:48:37,400
Speaker 1: Then you got LA Tech. We just talked about him.

971
00:48:37,520 --> 00:48:40,040
Speaker 1: They're now the favorite to win Conference USA. So losing

972
00:48:40,080 --> 00:48:43,560
Speaker 1: by ten there squandered some opportunities. Those are their losses.

973
00:48:44,040 --> 00:48:47,600
Speaker 1: Outside of that, USM thumped Jackson State and app State

974
00:48:47,719 --> 00:48:51,440
Speaker 1: and Jacksonville State. Braylan Braxton is the quarterback that I

975
00:48:51,480 --> 00:48:54,040
Speaker 1: thought he would be. He's got twelve total touchdowns against

976
00:48:54,120 --> 00:48:57,520
Speaker 1: just four turnovers, sixty five percent completions, a healthy a dot.

977
00:48:57,920 --> 00:49:00,440
Speaker 1: The letdown has been simple and in in terms of

978
00:49:00,680 --> 00:49:03,280
Speaker 1: them being just a good, you know, sun belt offense

979
00:49:03,400 --> 00:49:05,520
Speaker 1: or one of the best ones. It's been the run game,

980
00:49:05,600 --> 00:49:08,759
Speaker 1: even with him chipping in. Luckily, Georgia Southern has the

981
00:49:08,800 --> 00:49:10,759
Speaker 1: worst run defense in America one hundred and thirty six

982
00:49:10,800 --> 00:49:13,400
Speaker 1: in defensive lineyards, one hundred and thirty fifth in success

983
00:49:13,520 --> 00:49:16,200
Speaker 1: rate on rushing plays, and one hundred and sixteenth in tackling.

984
00:49:16,600 --> 00:49:19,320
Speaker 1: Nothing is standing in the way of a big USM

985
00:49:19,400 --> 00:49:22,480
Speaker 1: offensive performance here. They're gonna win going away and cover

986
00:49:22,640 --> 00:49:25,440
Speaker 1: this one now, the one matchup that I had here

987
00:49:25,520 --> 00:49:27,480
Speaker 1: with a big caveat. I won't get too deep into it.

988
00:49:27,800 --> 00:49:30,640
Speaker 1: Utah State as a short favorite on the Islands against

989
00:49:30,680 --> 00:49:33,640
Speaker 1: why if Bryson Barnes is a go play the Aggies.

990
00:49:33,920 --> 00:49:36,040
Speaker 1: If not, it's a stay away for me. Barnes is

991
00:49:36,120 --> 00:49:38,120
Speaker 1: going to overpower them. In short yards and gold to

992
00:49:38,120 --> 00:49:40,640
Speaker 1: go scenarios. You know, when you look at Hawaii, you

993
00:49:40,680 --> 00:49:42,320
Speaker 1: can beat them up in the front seven if you

994
00:49:42,480 --> 00:49:45,640
Speaker 1: have some rugged running backs or in this case, quarterbacks.

995
00:49:45,880 --> 00:49:48,000
Speaker 1: I think they're the right side in this one. All right,

996
00:49:48,040 --> 00:49:51,279
Speaker 1: hop into another Mound West game. San Jose State lay

997
00:49:51,320 --> 00:49:54,360
Speaker 1: in two and a half in Laradie against the Wyoming Cowboys.

998
00:49:54,520 --> 00:49:56,800
Speaker 1: I told you a last week. San Jose State was

999
00:49:56,840 --> 00:49:58,560
Speaker 1: one of the most slept on teams in America. One

1000
00:49:58,600 --> 00:50:00,680
Speaker 1: and three start could have been in one start if

1001
00:50:00,719 --> 00:50:02,560
Speaker 1: they had a few bounces go their way. Well, they

1002
00:50:02,640 --> 00:50:04,839
Speaker 1: dropped nearly five hundred total yards of offense on New

1003
00:50:04,880 --> 00:50:07,239
Speaker 1: Mexico and the game that was not as close as

1004
00:50:07,280 --> 00:50:10,120
Speaker 1: the final score indicated. There's thirty five to twenty eight there,

1005
00:50:10,400 --> 00:50:12,319
Speaker 1: and I think we're the beneficiaries of it. I think

1006
00:50:12,360 --> 00:50:15,680
Speaker 1: if they had won rightfully so by double digits, this

1007
00:50:15,760 --> 00:50:18,160
Speaker 1: would be closer to seven than it is to the

1008
00:50:18,320 --> 00:50:20,360
Speaker 1: current number of two and a half. So I'm happy

1009
00:50:20,400 --> 00:50:22,799
Speaker 1: to take advantage of that. Walker Egitt, by the way,

1010
00:50:22,880 --> 00:50:26,000
Speaker 1: has improved his QBR every single week this season. Topped

1011
00:50:26,040 --> 00:50:28,040
Speaker 1: out at ninety two point seven out of one hundred

1012
00:50:28,280 --> 00:50:31,200
Speaker 1: on Saturday, Wyoming is one hundred and fourteenth in SP

1013
00:50:31,480 --> 00:50:34,759
Speaker 1: plus offensive ranking. They can't generate big plays through the

1014
00:50:34,840 --> 00:50:36,759
Speaker 1: air or on the ground. Their best weapon, by the way,

1015
00:50:37,239 --> 00:50:39,799
Speaker 1: is an undersized true freshman at Tode Harris who has

1016
00:50:39,840 --> 00:50:42,279
Speaker 1: a bright future if they can start blocking it up

1017
00:50:42,320 --> 00:50:43,640
Speaker 1: in front of them. But he's only one hundred and

1018
00:50:43,680 --> 00:50:46,480
Speaker 1: seventy pounds and they had the ninety fifth rated run

1019
00:50:46,760 --> 00:50:49,399
Speaker 1: blocking unit in front of them. No weather to save

1020
00:50:49,480 --> 00:50:51,440
Speaker 1: the pokes here either. We had that crazy you know

1021
00:50:51,560 --> 00:50:54,400
Speaker 1: weather with hail and snow. Last time. It's gonna be sunny,

1022
00:50:54,800 --> 00:50:57,480
Speaker 1: low sixties. The wind's going to be blowing as always

1023
00:50:57,719 --> 00:51:00,600
Speaker 1: in Laramie, but it's going to below that fifteen mile

1024
00:51:00,600 --> 00:51:03,040
Speaker 1: an hour threshold. That's when it becomes too difficult to

1025
00:51:03,040 --> 00:51:05,719
Speaker 1: pass the football with regularity. And finally going to close

1026
00:51:05,800 --> 00:51:07,840
Speaker 1: that out as I mentioned the under forty three and

1027
00:51:07,880 --> 00:51:10,839
Speaker 1: a half between Western End ball State putting a bow

1028
00:51:11,200 --> 00:51:14,399
Speaker 1: on this episode. Oh wait, we have a season tug

1029
00:51:14,480 --> 00:51:17,920
Speaker 1: of war, that shit boy tug hard Harder. That is

1030
00:51:18,000 --> 00:51:20,759
Speaker 1: back to midfield Duck. I feel like just when one

1031
00:51:20,800 --> 00:51:22,680
Speaker 1: of us is pulling away a little bit, the other

1032
00:51:22,760 --> 00:51:25,120
Speaker 1: one comes back. Air Force almost pulls out the outright

1033
00:51:25,200 --> 00:51:29,160
Speaker 1: win over the Naval Academy roll goats, but they're playing

1034
00:51:29,239 --> 00:51:31,600
Speaker 1: with fire there. We're going to go outside the G five.

1035
00:51:31,640 --> 00:51:34,440
Speaker 1: We went through with a fine tooth comb this card

1036
00:51:34,880 --> 00:51:36,960
Speaker 1: over and over again. What's your thought on this game?

1037
00:51:37,080 --> 00:51:39,120
Speaker 1: I'll take that side. Now I'm also on that side.

1038
00:51:39,480 --> 00:51:42,239
Speaker 1: Let's just, you know, relax the rules here a little bit.

1039
00:51:42,360 --> 00:51:45,080
Speaker 1: Let's have fun with a former G five hero, Kirk

1040
00:51:45,160 --> 00:51:49,320
Speaker 1: Signetti traveling to Outson. I like Indiana to pull the upset.

1041
00:51:49,400 --> 00:51:51,520
Speaker 1: So what you're gonna do for me is, if IU

1042
00:51:51,640 --> 00:51:54,319
Speaker 1: wins outright, I'm gonna get twenty five yards go from

1043
00:51:54,360 --> 00:51:56,719
Speaker 1: midfield to your twenty five. If you win, you're just

1044
00:51:56,760 --> 00:51:59,480
Speaker 1: gonna get ten yards to my forty. I'll give you

1045
00:51:59,600 --> 00:52:01,759
Speaker 1: the floor first. On the Oregon Ducks, why do you

1046
00:52:01,800 --> 00:52:04,439
Speaker 1: think this is the right side With a Dan Lanning team,

1047
00:52:05,040 --> 00:52:07,920
Speaker 1: He's added a whole different dimension to chomping at the bit.

1048
00:52:08,040 --> 00:52:10,440
Speaker 1: He looks like a maniac. Maybe he's on some kind

1049
00:52:10,480 --> 00:52:12,719
Speaker 1: of performance and hncers, but he looks like he could

1050
00:52:12,760 --> 00:52:15,200
Speaker 1: have physically run through a brick wall after that Penn

1051
00:52:15,239 --> 00:52:18,120
Speaker 1: State upset. Talk me through why he's the right side here?

1052
00:52:18,520 --> 00:52:20,200
Speaker 4: Well, this will be a fun game. It's a big

1053
00:52:20,280 --> 00:52:22,919
Speaker 4: prove it game for Indiana. Something they haven't done under

1054
00:52:22,960 --> 00:52:26,280
Speaker 4: Signetti during his tenure is prove it against these premier,

1055
00:52:26,400 --> 00:52:30,520
Speaker 4: upper echelon teams. They were a tad sluggish last week

1056
00:52:30,560 --> 00:52:32,800
Speaker 4: in their first road game of the season at Iowa.

1057
00:52:33,360 --> 00:52:37,040
Speaker 4: You know, overall, I think Indiana's pretty buttoned up defensively,

1058
00:52:37,160 --> 00:52:39,480
Speaker 4: but they can give up some explosivity. And you look

1059
00:52:39,480 --> 00:52:43,680
Speaker 4: at Oregon's offensive line. Their play has been superior all season,

1060
00:52:44,239 --> 00:52:46,719
Speaker 4: maybe tops in the country. They don't allow havoc or

1061
00:52:46,800 --> 00:52:49,960
Speaker 4: negative plays against them, They're excellent in early downs, and

1062
00:52:50,120 --> 00:52:51,880
Speaker 4: Indiana can give it up in the run game. So

1063
00:52:51,920 --> 00:52:53,560
Speaker 4: if you can't stop the run or get off the

1064
00:52:53,600 --> 00:52:56,600
Speaker 4: field on these guys, could be some major, major trouble.

1065
00:52:56,680 --> 00:52:59,279
Speaker 4: Mendoza is playing well at quarterback for Indiana, but you

1066
00:52:59,320 --> 00:53:02,759
Speaker 4: know what, so is more really really elevated his game

1067
00:53:02,840 --> 00:53:07,040
Speaker 4: since coming to Oregon. I just feel like this is

1068
00:53:07,120 --> 00:53:10,319
Speaker 4: a a it's the travel spot, it's that you're playing up.

1069
00:53:10,440 --> 00:53:12,960
Speaker 4: I know that Signetti has pulled all the right levers

1070
00:53:13,000 --> 00:53:15,560
Speaker 4: for the most part during his time here, but for

1071
00:53:15,719 --> 00:53:18,480
Speaker 4: me to want to get involved with Indiana, I really

1072
00:53:18,719 --> 00:53:20,480
Speaker 4: just kind of need to see it first. So this

1073
00:53:20,640 --> 00:53:24,400
Speaker 4: is a major proven spot. It's a major road test.

1074
00:53:26,040 --> 00:53:28,120
Speaker 4: If they win, then I'll tip my cap. But I

1075
00:53:28,400 --> 00:53:29,359
Speaker 4: just got to see it first.

1076
00:53:30,080 --> 00:53:34,480
Speaker 1: Has there been a top five impressive road win that

1077
00:53:34,760 --> 00:53:38,719
Speaker 1: has fallen apart from a resume bullet point faster than

1078
00:53:38,800 --> 00:53:42,040
Speaker 1: Oregon breathing Penn State. No, in recent memory, there isn't

1079
00:53:42,120 --> 00:53:46,640
Speaker 1: for me, because your glass. They score seventeen points in

1080
00:53:46,719 --> 00:53:49,719
Speaker 1: Happy Valley against that Penn State defense. In regulation, they

1081
00:53:49,760 --> 00:53:53,000
Speaker 1: have three hundred and seventy four total yards. UCLA turns

1082
00:53:53,120 --> 00:53:55,319
Speaker 1: rounds and they have four hundred and forty six total

1083
00:53:55,400 --> 00:53:57,799
Speaker 1: yards and forty two points. And we learned that they

1084
00:53:57,920 --> 00:54:00,640
Speaker 1: basically put together their offensive game play on the back

1085
00:54:00,680 --> 00:54:02,839
Speaker 1: of a cocktail napkin and they had like one walk

1086
00:54:02,880 --> 00:54:06,040
Speaker 1: through to get it together. So I still think Oregon

1087
00:54:06,400 --> 00:54:09,040
Speaker 1: is the better team. They're at home, they have the

1088
00:54:09,080 --> 00:54:11,240
Speaker 1: better personnel quarterback wise.

1089
00:54:11,320 --> 00:54:11,520
Speaker 4: Though.

1090
00:54:11,880 --> 00:54:13,640
Speaker 1: This is where I'm going to hitch my wagon and

1091
00:54:13,800 --> 00:54:16,680
Speaker 1: take a shot for a big money line upset because

1092
00:54:16,760 --> 00:54:20,480
Speaker 1: I think Mendoza in the system has a higher ceiling

1093
00:54:20,800 --> 00:54:23,880
Speaker 1: than Dante Moore. I'm not calling Dante Moore the dreaded

1094
00:54:23,960 --> 00:54:27,200
Speaker 1: game manager by any stretch. This kid has absolutely beat

1095
00:54:27,239 --> 00:54:30,000
Speaker 1: the breaks off a teams given when he's given the opportunity,

1096
00:54:30,360 --> 00:54:32,480
Speaker 1: and he was able to create enough positive plays and

1097
00:54:32,520 --> 00:54:34,759
Speaker 1: move the chains against Penn State. You can't say anything

1098
00:54:34,840 --> 00:54:36,839
Speaker 1: but good things about him. But when you look at

1099
00:54:36,880 --> 00:54:39,759
Speaker 1: what Mendoza is doing, he's on pace for just an

1100
00:54:39,800 --> 00:54:43,040
Speaker 1: insane season. I think if you factor in the likelihood

1101
00:54:43,280 --> 00:54:44,920
Speaker 1: or at least the chance that they could play in

1102
00:54:44,960 --> 00:54:46,640
Speaker 1: the Big Ten title game, if they win this game,

1103
00:54:46,840 --> 00:54:48,960
Speaker 1: they'd had the inside track there, he would end with

1104
00:54:49,040 --> 00:54:52,160
Speaker 1: like mid forties for total touchdowns. Like he's gone nuts.

1105
00:54:52,200 --> 00:54:53,960
Speaker 1: And I understand that a lot of us in the

1106
00:54:54,000 --> 00:54:56,319
Speaker 1: gambling community were down on Illinois. We thought that they

1107
00:54:56,320 --> 00:54:58,840
Speaker 1: were overrated, flirting with being a top ten team in

1108
00:54:58,880 --> 00:55:02,359
Speaker 1: the preseason. People got ahead of themselves there. But they

1109
00:55:02,400 --> 00:55:06,400
Speaker 1: didn't just beat that team, they murdered that team. And

1110
00:55:06,640 --> 00:55:08,359
Speaker 1: I think what we're doing a little bit is moving

1111
00:55:08,400 --> 00:55:10,640
Speaker 1: the goalposts and saying the only two data points that

1112
00:55:10,719 --> 00:55:12,520
Speaker 1: matter or how they played Ohio State and how they

1113
00:55:12,520 --> 00:55:14,600
Speaker 1: played Notre Dame last year. I think there's been a

1114
00:55:14,640 --> 00:55:18,040
Speaker 1: significant upgraded quarterback. You know, Curtis Rourke was a great kid.

1115
00:55:18,320 --> 00:55:20,440
Speaker 1: He ran the system, but I don't think that he

1116
00:55:20,600 --> 00:55:24,399
Speaker 1: had the absolute peak and the height that Mendoza has

1117
00:55:24,520 --> 00:55:27,359
Speaker 1: in terms of performance, and with that, I also look

1118
00:55:27,440 --> 00:55:29,759
Speaker 1: at what they bring to the table offensively. They are

1119
00:55:29,920 --> 00:55:32,560
Speaker 1: really well balanced, They have a deep backfield, they block

1120
00:55:32,600 --> 00:55:34,719
Speaker 1: it up well in the pass game and the run game,

1121
00:55:34,880 --> 00:55:38,040
Speaker 1: and this receiving corps I think potentially could get the

1122
00:55:38,160 --> 00:55:41,600
Speaker 1: best of some of the slot nickelback corners for Oregon.

1123
00:55:42,000 --> 00:55:43,799
Speaker 1: If they were able to protect him and give them time.

1124
00:55:43,840 --> 00:55:45,440
Speaker 1: I think they're going to be able to move the football.

1125
00:55:45,800 --> 00:55:48,000
Speaker 1: And then the pressure moves a little bit back to

1126
00:55:48,120 --> 00:55:50,759
Speaker 1: Dante Moore. Who can he do it? Again? This is

1127
00:55:50,800 --> 00:55:53,200
Speaker 1: a big boy conference, it's the SEC, it's the Big Ten.

1128
00:55:53,480 --> 00:55:55,719
Speaker 1: Those are the ones that stand above the rest in

1129
00:55:55,800 --> 00:55:58,120
Speaker 1: college football. It's not just hey, you had that one

1130
00:55:58,160 --> 00:56:00,520
Speaker 1: good game against Penn State on the road to prove it,

1131
00:56:00,640 --> 00:56:01,960
Speaker 1: and this is a spot for him to do it,

1132
00:56:02,600 --> 00:56:05,640
Speaker 1: and not in the same way where everyone's saying, Indiana,

1133
00:56:05,719 --> 00:56:07,279
Speaker 1: you have to prove that you can beat a top

1134
00:56:07,360 --> 00:56:09,879
Speaker 1: ten team and you're not just beating up the mid

1135
00:56:09,920 --> 00:56:12,600
Speaker 1: tier bowl teams and worse. On the other side, I

1136
00:56:12,640 --> 00:56:15,160
Speaker 1: need to see more from Dante Moore. I mean, he's

1137
00:56:15,200 --> 00:56:18,080
Speaker 1: someone who certainly didn't do it at UCLA and the

1138
00:56:18,200 --> 00:56:21,600
Speaker 1: narrative just two weeks ago was he potentially could be

1139
00:56:21,719 --> 00:56:25,200
Speaker 1: one of the things holding their offense back. So as

1140
00:56:25,280 --> 00:56:27,400
Speaker 1: I mentioned that Penn State data point, all of a sudden,

1141
00:56:27,800 --> 00:56:30,640
Speaker 1: it's not irrelevant. But I think you look at it

1142
00:56:30,680 --> 00:56:32,680
Speaker 1: in a completely different way. I think it's the reason

1143
00:56:32,719 --> 00:56:34,480
Speaker 1: why this number has been bet down from an open

1144
00:56:34,560 --> 00:56:36,759
Speaker 1: of ten closer to seven and a half. I think

1145
00:56:36,800 --> 00:56:39,279
Speaker 1: that's where the sharp money is going. I'm going to

1146
00:56:39,320 --> 00:56:41,960
Speaker 1: go a little bit extra aggressive here. If I'm going

1147
00:56:42,040 --> 00:56:43,920
Speaker 1: to get to your end zone at any point this season,

1148
00:56:44,000 --> 00:56:45,680
Speaker 1: if it's not going to be a stalemate, it's got

1149
00:56:45,760 --> 00:56:47,279
Speaker 1: to come from a big swing like this, and I

1150
00:56:47,400 --> 00:56:49,799
Speaker 1: promise to give you the opportunity to hit a big

1151
00:56:49,880 --> 00:56:52,040
Speaker 1: money line play the other way. But that's where we're

1152
00:56:52,040 --> 00:56:54,319
Speaker 1: going to go this week. Any closing thoughts on the card,

1153
00:56:54,640 --> 00:56:56,439
Speaker 1: yours are mine for all Week seven.

1154
00:56:57,360 --> 00:56:59,880
Speaker 4: I really love the card, and I think you're two minutes.

1155
00:57:00,280 --> 00:57:02,319
Speaker 4: You've got a bunch of plays that are gonna get

1156
00:57:02,320 --> 00:57:04,680
Speaker 4: you to the window. I've made three of those bets myself.

1157
00:57:05,160 --> 00:57:07,000
Speaker 4: I'm really in love with the card this week. It's

1158
00:57:07,000 --> 00:57:10,520
Speaker 4: gonna be a fun card that we get games on Wednesday, Thursday, Friday,

1159
00:57:10,600 --> 00:57:15,120
Speaker 4: and Saturday, and for everyone listening in, check Twitter, check

1160
00:57:15,200 --> 00:57:17,720
Speaker 4: the Action Network feeds. We're gonna pump out some information

1161
00:57:17,800 --> 00:57:20,000
Speaker 4: about the live show. It's gonna be Friday afternoon. We

1162
00:57:20,040 --> 00:57:22,520
Speaker 4: think it's gonna be two pm Eastern time. I can't

1163
00:57:22,560 --> 00:57:24,600
Speaker 4: wait to talk. We're gonna talk weather, We're gonna talk

1164
00:57:24,720 --> 00:57:27,320
Speaker 4: line movements. At some point in time, we might be

1165
00:57:27,360 --> 00:57:29,800
Speaker 4: able to update our futures portfolio and talk about that

1166
00:57:29,880 --> 00:57:31,480
Speaker 4: a little bit. It's gonna be a lot of fun

1167
00:57:31,560 --> 00:57:33,360
Speaker 4: on the live show, and so really looking forward to

1168
00:57:33,360 --> 00:57:36,400
Speaker 4: everyone tuning in. It'll be interactive with the viewers. People

1169
00:57:36,400 --> 00:57:38,440
Speaker 4: will be able to ask questions, and we'll be able

1170
00:57:38,480 --> 00:57:40,720
Speaker 4: to talk live about some of those things. So just

1171
00:57:40,880 --> 00:57:44,040
Speaker 4: really excited about the card, really excited about our second show.

1172
00:57:44,800 --> 00:57:46,560
Speaker 4: And let's have a weekend.

1173
00:57:47,040 --> 00:57:49,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, we'll see if my Weather channel dot com swag

1174
00:57:50,040 --> 00:57:51,760
Speaker 1: bag gets here in time. I man to save that

1175
00:57:51,880 --> 00:57:54,840
Speaker 1: for the second episode. But we're gonna get into that laramieweather.

1176
00:57:54,960 --> 00:57:56,920
Speaker 1: You know, all of a sudden, if the prediction is

1177
00:57:57,000 --> 00:57:59,320
Speaker 1: twenty mile an hour winds, that changes the play for me.

1178
00:57:59,400 --> 00:58:01,760
Speaker 1: Maybe I have to work back from that. Bryson, you know,

1179
00:58:02,760 --> 00:58:05,600
Speaker 1: for Bryson Barnes, for Utah State. If he's cleared, I

1180
00:58:05,680 --> 00:58:07,640
Speaker 1: know that Bronco is waiting on a medical clearance.

1181
00:58:07,640 --> 00:58:07,800
Speaker 4: There.

1182
00:58:07,920 --> 00:58:09,280
Speaker 1: That's the kind of stuff we're gonna be able to

1183
00:58:09,320 --> 00:58:12,280
Speaker 1: give you so that there's more clarity into terms of

1184
00:58:12,800 --> 00:58:14,760
Speaker 1: all the fundamentals of the bests that we like or

1185
00:58:14,840 --> 00:58:18,440
Speaker 1: potentially things that we find to be, you know, elements

1186
00:58:18,480 --> 00:58:20,680
Speaker 1: that should take a play and move it to the sideline.

1187
00:58:20,720 --> 00:58:22,680
Speaker 1: So all those things we're going to get to on Friday.

1188
00:58:23,360 --> 00:58:24,840
Speaker 1: That'll do it for today's episode of The Group of

1189
00:58:24,880 --> 00:58:27,280
Speaker 1: Five Deep Dive under the Big Bets on Campus banner

1190
00:58:27,360 --> 00:58:30,160
Speaker 1: presented by DraftKings. Thanks as always for tuning in. Don't

1191
00:58:30,200 --> 00:58:32,640
Speaker 1: forget to download the free award winning Action network appen.

1192
00:58:32,720 --> 00:58:35,000
Speaker 1: Leave us that five star reading and review wherever you

1193
00:58:35,120 --> 00:58:38,520
Speaker 1: listen to the podcast. I've said it many times, I

1194
00:58:38,680 --> 00:58:40,840
Speaker 1: was going to go ahead and pick out a review

1195
00:58:41,960 --> 00:58:45,480
Speaker 1: and bear with me for just a moment here. This

1196
00:58:45,640 --> 00:58:48,240
Speaker 1: one is going to go to coach is it? Gugs?

1197
00:58:48,440 --> 00:58:52,040
Speaker 1: Am I pronouncing that right? Gugs? We're gonna go coach

1198
00:58:52,160 --> 00:58:55,439
Speaker 1: Gugs sixty six over there on Twitter. I've been listening

1199
00:58:55,480 --> 00:58:57,640
Speaker 1: to you guys for god knows how many years. I

1200
00:58:57,680 --> 00:59:00,720
Speaker 1: absolutely love your insights on games me to find the

1201
00:59:00,840 --> 00:59:04,160
Speaker 1: edges I'm looking for. Well, Coach Me and Duck are

1202
00:59:04,200 --> 00:59:07,720
Speaker 1: going to give you a nice horror or that doesn't

1203
00:59:07,760 --> 00:59:08,880
Speaker 1: have to be a partlay. It can just be a

1204
00:59:08,960 --> 00:59:11,320
Speaker 1: future for college football. It can be an award, it

1205
00:59:11,360 --> 00:59:13,160
Speaker 1: can be a conference future, it can be college football

1206
00:59:13,200 --> 00:59:15,560
Speaker 1: playoff related, whatever you want it to be. What did

1207
00:59:15,600 --> 00:59:17,120
Speaker 1: we settle on, Duck. We're going to twenty five five

1208
00:59:17,200 --> 00:59:20,160
Speaker 1: bucks twenty five bucks for this one, So coach, come

1209
00:59:20,240 --> 00:59:24,680
Speaker 1: on down and hit associate you. This is a great

1210
00:59:24,680 --> 00:59:28,000
Speaker 1: opportunity to interact with our audience. I mean anything short

1211
00:59:28,040 --> 00:59:30,880
Speaker 1: of doing an Oklahoma drill with you, Coach, we are

1212
00:59:31,040 --> 00:59:33,520
Speaker 1: up for it this season. Now. Remember, if you want

1213
00:59:33,560 --> 00:59:34,840
Speaker 1: to tail some of the best that we talked about

1214
00:59:34,880 --> 00:59:37,160
Speaker 1: in today's episode, look for the quick slip link in

1215
00:59:37,160 --> 00:59:39,600
Speaker 1: the episode description. You can also go to actionnetwork dot

1216
00:59:39,640 --> 00:59:43,640
Speaker 1: com slash that now. If you haven't already, please subscribe

1217
00:59:43,760 --> 00:59:46,240
Speaker 1: to our YouTube channel search for BBOC and you'll be

1218
00:59:46,280 --> 00:59:48,480
Speaker 1: able to get all of our college football content there.

1219
00:59:48,920 --> 00:59:52,960
Speaker 1: You can also utilize the playbook functionality on x so

1220
00:59:53,040 --> 00:59:56,040
Speaker 1: you're going to at playbook. You can take screenshots right

1221
00:59:56,200 --> 00:59:58,440
Speaker 1: out of the Action app and put it in there

1222
00:59:58,440 --> 01:00:01,280
Speaker 1: and say hey, playbook, build me a parlay. It's going

1223
01:00:01,360 --> 01:00:04,840
Speaker 1: to punch out those parlay options and comparison shop for you.

1224
01:00:05,280 --> 01:00:08,040
Speaker 1: It's amazing. Please go and try it out. And as always,

1225
01:00:08,120 --> 01:00:10,360
Speaker 1: check out our guys. Stucky on the Favorites every Tuesday,

1226
01:00:10,560 --> 01:00:13,840
Speaker 1: Thursday and Sunday. He's doing Yeoman's work double duty. Not

1227
01:00:14,000 --> 01:00:16,080
Speaker 1: just college Schooble, but they're on the favorites. He's doing

1228
01:00:16,120 --> 01:00:18,120
Speaker 1: the NFL every single week if you don't want to

1229
01:00:18,120 --> 01:00:20,200
Speaker 1: miss that. Thanks for listening to the Big Bets on

1230
01:00:20,360 --> 01:00:24,200
Speaker 1: Campus podcast and as always, best to block all your bets.

1231
01:00:41,160 --> 01:00:44,560
Speaker 4: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1232
01:00:45,040 --> 01:00:47,800
Speaker 1: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1233
01:00:48,160 --> 01:00:50,760
Speaker 1: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1234
01:00:50,840 --> 01:00:51,600
Speaker 1: hundred gambler