WEBVTT - The Megacity Era

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<v Speaker 1>Brought to you by Toyota. Let's go places. Welcome to

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<v Speaker 1>Forward Thinking. Hey then, everyone, and welcome to Forward Thinking,

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<v Speaker 1>the podcast that looks at the future and says, when

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<v Speaker 1>you're alone in life is making you lonely, you can

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<v Speaker 1>always go downtown. I'm Jonathan Strickland, I'm Lauren, and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Joe McCormick. And I've got a question for you guys.

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<v Speaker 1>You do what's the biggest city you've ever been to? Uh?

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<v Speaker 1>New York City? Yeah? New York? Are you sure you actually?

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<v Speaker 1>I haven't. London might be bigger as London, bigger significantly,

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<v Speaker 1>So yeah, yeah, that was kind of a surprise to me.

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<v Speaker 1>When we were doing research for this episode. I assumed

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<v Speaker 1>London was bigger than it actually is. Well, part of

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<v Speaker 1>the problem is defining what a city is, right, because

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<v Speaker 1>the perception of what a city is versus what it

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<v Speaker 1>legally is are two different things. Just as a quick

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<v Speaker 1>aside before we even get to the topic, So Atlanta,

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<v Speaker 1>for example, not that big of a city. I live.

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<v Speaker 1>I live actually in the city limits of Atlanta, all right,

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<v Speaker 1>So we're all three in the city limits of Atlanta,

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<v Speaker 1>But about five years ago I lived just outside the

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<v Speaker 1>city limits. And the thing about it is that I

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<v Speaker 1>would still tell people I live in Atlanta. I still

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<v Speaker 1>thought of it as Atlanta. And in fact, I noticed

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<v Speaker 1>something interesting that the further away from Atlanta a person lived,

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<v Speaker 1>the bigger the city seemed to be. So, for example,

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<v Speaker 1>you might you might live inside what we call the perimeter,

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<v Speaker 1>that's to eighty five. It's a highway that circles not

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<v Speaker 1>just the city of Atlanta, but some of the metropolitan

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<v Speaker 1>area immediately around it, and uh, someone outside of that

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<v Speaker 1>would refer to anything inside two eighty five is Atlanta.

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<v Speaker 1>So when living in say, part of Decatur, might say, oh, well,

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<v Speaker 1>I live in Decatur. Uh, Atlanta. The city of Atlanta

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<v Speaker 1>is down the street. But you know, when I lived

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<v Speaker 1>in Decatur, if I was talking to somebody who didn't

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<v Speaker 1>live in town, I would just tell them I lived

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<v Speaker 1>in Atlanta, so that the answer made sense exactly. And again,

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<v Speaker 1>the further out you would go, the bigger the city

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<v Speaker 1>would be. So I know people who live uh, pretty

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<v Speaker 1>far up in northern Georgia who would think of Gwynette,

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<v Speaker 1>which is a suburb of Atlanta, as being Atlanta. That

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<v Speaker 1>is also Atlanta, and it's not people who live in

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<v Speaker 1>Atlanta and Gwynette is where you like get lost looking

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<v Speaker 1>for a flea market you heard about, or a Chinese

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<v Speaker 1>restaurant or etcetera. Yeah, it's it's where you go and

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<v Speaker 1>you drive to eight different chain restaurants, all of which

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<v Speaker 1>have a forty five minute wait, and you think, what

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<v Speaker 1>where am I? I apologize, I didn't mean to slam Gwynette.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm sure it's it's just full of absolutely lovely people,

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<v Speaker 1>but it is. Yes, it's way out there. Yeah, and

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<v Speaker 1>our point being that even all of us who live

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<v Speaker 1>within the city limits, I think there's at least seven miles.

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<v Speaker 1>Is the crow flies between each of our houses. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>And so it's it's one of those things where defining

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<v Speaker 1>what is the actual city is a is a bit

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<v Speaker 1>of a tricky situation. And the reason why we're even

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<v Speaker 1>talking about it, why this the seemingly weird tangent is happening,

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<v Speaker 1>is because we're going to talk about mega cities today.

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<v Speaker 1>Now these are giganto enormous cities, and the same problem

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<v Speaker 1>of defining what is a mega city exists on that

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<v Speaker 1>scale as it does with something like Atlanta, which does

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<v Speaker 1>not merit it is not a mega city. Sure, because technically,

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<v Speaker 1>a mega city has to have a population of over

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<v Speaker 1>ten million people to be considered a mega city. But

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<v Speaker 1>but right, But where do you draw those lines? Because

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<v Speaker 1>as as it turns out, when we call it something

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<v Speaker 1>a mega city, it's not necessarily the political or or

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<v Speaker 1>you know, the boundary of a city. It's it's the

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<v Speaker 1>urban development around it. Where from an outsider's perspective, you

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<v Speaker 1>you know, you come into the outside areas of that sprawl,

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<v Speaker 1>that's where you start saying, this is the city of whatever.

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<v Speaker 1>And a mega city can also be not just a

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<v Speaker 1>single entity, but it could be two cities that have

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<v Speaker 1>grown outward so that their edges now meet. A lot

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<v Speaker 1>of what you're talking about actually points to a larger

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<v Speaker 1>principle that might be something that's good to start with here,

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<v Speaker 1>which is that in many ways, the cities we live

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<v Speaker 1>in today's are largely accidental. Yea. You know, they grew

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<v Speaker 1>out of settlements that arose for some reason. They might

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<v Speaker 1>have been on a river where there was a good

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<v Speaker 1>place to load and unload cargo, or they might have

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<v Speaker 1>been at the center of where some railroad lines met,

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<v Speaker 1>or at the end like Terminus, which is the old

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<v Speaker 1>name for Atlanta, sure where they might have been at

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<v Speaker 1>a good port where there was a place to again

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<v Speaker 1>load and unload cargo. It seems to be mostly based

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<v Speaker 1>around economic transportation. But right, so there are these kind

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<v Speaker 1>of strange ways in which many of the cities we

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<v Speaker 1>live in today are the result of this strange growth

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<v Speaker 1>process that we don't even fully plan or under stand

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<v Speaker 1>all the time. Like we we live in an urbanization age.

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<v Speaker 1>This is the age of moving to the big city.

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<v Speaker 1>And it's not just where we live. This is a

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<v Speaker 1>trend that's happening all over the world. Yeah, more all

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<v Speaker 1>over the world than right, Like, if you go back

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<v Speaker 1>a couple hundred years to like eighteen hundred, what percentage

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<v Speaker 1>of the people on earth were living in urban areas,

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<v Speaker 1>like in cities three percent of the hum of the humans.

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<v Speaker 1>We're living in places that you would not describe as

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<v Speaker 1>an urban area. So not a city or a large town.

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<v Speaker 1>We're talking people who are living out in small villages

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<v Speaker 1>or even on you know, individual farmland, real one Starbucks

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<v Speaker 1>town kind of places. Yeah, right where where if you're

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<v Speaker 1>equivalent of Starbucks, it was a horse. I think if

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<v Speaker 1>your town had a horse in it, that was a

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<v Speaker 1>big deal about those one horse town. Yeah. So if

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<v Speaker 1>you go a hundred years after that and go to

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<v Speaker 1>nineteen hundreds, so now the industrial revolution is underway right

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<v Speaker 1>where we're seeing people who are meeting each other on

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<v Speaker 1>the road like do you have small yet? We have small?

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<v Speaker 1>Let me show you. So by then a hundred years

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<v Speaker 1>going by, it went from three percent to fourteen percent

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<v Speaker 1>of the world's population. And at that time about a

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<v Speaker 1>dozen cities had populations of a million or more people

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<v Speaker 1>in it. So now we're talking about an era where

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<v Speaker 1>we've got some some pretty large cities for the time

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<v Speaker 1>and just we're starting to see this trend of people

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<v Speaker 1>seeing an opportunity to make a living doing something uh

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<v Speaker 1>in a city. Also, mechanization is starting to take some

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<v Speaker 1>of the load off of agriculture, meaning that there are

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<v Speaker 1>fewer jobs out in the more remote areas. So you've

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<v Speaker 1>got a double incentive to try and find your way

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<v Speaker 1>possibly moving to the big city. Right. But new to

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<v Speaker 1>types of jobs are coming into being, and a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of these would be urban based jobs, like some manufacturing

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<v Speaker 1>type jobs or new knowledge based jobs. So if we

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<v Speaker 1>move up to nineteen fifties and now now we're just

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<v Speaker 1>going fifty more years, uh, it had more than doubled.

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<v Speaker 1>We're talking about thirty of the world's population exactly. Yeah, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>And in ninety to the world's population was about seven

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<v Speaker 1>forty six million people. And that also happens to be

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<v Speaker 1>when the growth of rural population started to officially slow. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>it hadn't quite peaked yet, but the UN expects it

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<v Speaker 1>to begin reversing. Today there are fifty four percent of

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<v Speaker 1>the world's population living in urban areas. So how many

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<v Speaker 1>is that? Some three point nine billion three point nine

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<v Speaker 1>billion people living in urban areas. Now, whether you define

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<v Speaker 1>that as a city or the suburb of the city

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<v Speaker 1>or a large town, that sort of stuff. So World

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<v Speaker 1>Health Organization actually predicts that between twenty and twenty will

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<v Speaker 1>have a growth rate of urban population of one point

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<v Speaker 1>eight four percent. Uh, that's global. Like if you were

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<v Speaker 1>to average everything out, and then that would actually slow

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<v Speaker 1>down and continue to slow down over the next few years.

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<v Speaker 1>So between twenty five the growth rate would be one

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<v Speaker 1>point six and twenty five to thirty would be one

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<v Speaker 1>point for four percent. And if you look at the

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<v Speaker 1>globe that these different regions have um very different percentages,

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<v Speaker 1>like the overall percentage of the globe, like Lawrence said,

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<v Speaker 1>has of the population living in urban areas in North America,

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<v Speaker 1>it's excuse way more to the urban areas. It's two

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<v Speaker 1>of the population of North America lives in an urban area.

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<v Speaker 1>But if you look in areas like Asia and Africa,

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<v Speaker 1>it's closer to So it all depends on where you

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<v Speaker 1>are looking. Um So, yeah, it's it's it's a trend

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<v Speaker 1>that is going to continue, and it's going faster in

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<v Speaker 1>some places, some some places significantly faster than yeah, absolutely so.

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<v Speaker 1>So in we said that there were twelve cities that

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<v Speaker 1>had populations of a million or more. How many is

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<v Speaker 1>it today? More than four d more than four hundred

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<v Speaker 1>cities with a population of a million or more people.

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<v Speaker 1>And uh, there are the mega cities like you mentioned, Lauren,

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<v Speaker 1>those are the ones that have ten million people in them.

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<v Speaker 1>We now have about twenty eight of those. By we

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<v Speaker 1>may have as many as forty estimations, very because it's

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<v Speaker 1>very difficult to predict exactly how sustainable some of these

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<v Speaker 1>growth trends are. UH. And there's some who think that,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, Chicago, which has been hovering just beneath mega

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<v Speaker 1>city levels, like they have around nine million something uh

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<v Speaker 1>in their population may top that by twenty twenty. But

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<v Speaker 1>other cities like London, which has also been hovering just

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<v Speaker 1>under mega city for for the actual city, well not

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<v Speaker 1>the actual city of London, for greater London, um, they

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<v Speaker 1>might also hit that level. Yeah, there was another estimate

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<v Speaker 1>I found that was according to the u N again,

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<v Speaker 1>there are going to be a predicted forty one mega

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<v Speaker 1>cities on Earth with populations exceeding ten million by right. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>So again the estimations obviously their estimations, so they vary

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<v Speaker 1>depending upon what data people are looking at and how

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<v Speaker 1>they are are breaking that down, and they change from

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<v Speaker 1>year to year. So that's exciting, Yeah, because I mean

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<v Speaker 1>all sorts of stuff. Factors can things like you know,

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<v Speaker 1>natural disasters, weather patterns, wars, I mean, all these very

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<v Speaker 1>complex issues will clearly make a huge impact on these

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<v Speaker 1>growth rates. Also, what's interesting to me is that while

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<v Speaker 1>fifty four percent of the world's population live in cities,

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<v Speaker 1>if you look at just mega cities and say, all right,

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<v Speaker 1>well what percentage of the population lives in mega cities,

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<v Speaker 1>it's six point seven percent. So mega cities, while they

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<v Speaker 1>are huge, and you know, you look at this and

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<v Speaker 1>you're like, wow, ten million people or more are living

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<v Speaker 1>in this mega city. It still represents um six point

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<v Speaker 1>seven percent population, but that number is growing, Yes, it is,

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<v Speaker 1>and we will expect that to continue to grow, both

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<v Speaker 1>as existing mega cities grow larger and new mega cities

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<v Speaker 1>come into being as the smaller I hate to use

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<v Speaker 1>the word smaller. That doesn't even make sense. These these

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<v Speaker 1>already large cities boom into mega cities. Uh so, it's

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<v Speaker 1>there's other some other predictions that are really interesting to me.

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<v Speaker 1>The United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs says

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<v Speaker 1>that by nearly seventy percent of the world's population will

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<v Speaker 1>be living in urban areas, so we'll continue to see

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<v Speaker 1>that increase from up to seventy percent, and that at

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<v Speaker 1>that time, the population is expected to be somewhere in

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<v Speaker 1>the neighborhood of ten billion people. So that means the

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<v Speaker 1>number of people who are living in cities by the

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<v Speaker 1>year will be the same as the number of people

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<v Speaker 1>who are alive on the planet right now. So if

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<v Speaker 1>we took everyone who's alive right now and put them

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<v Speaker 1>in a city, that's essentially the number of people who

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<v Speaker 1>will be living in cities by according to the United Nations,

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<v Speaker 1>well let's start busting people in and see you feel fit. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>we could fit another twenty or thirty people in this

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<v Speaker 1>room alone. Yeah, I mean as long as they don't mind,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, not touching the floor, and then we just

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<v Speaker 1>be stacked on top of one another. But but no,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, I mean that's that's a joke, but also

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<v Speaker 1>a kind of horrifying actual question of how are we

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<v Speaker 1>going to fit all of these people into these areas

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<v Speaker 1>and what on earth are we going to do with them? Right?

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<v Speaker 1>And I would say it's not so much a question

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<v Speaker 1>of physically fitting, like you're packing a trunk in some

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<v Speaker 1>In some areas, it kind of is, but we're we're

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<v Speaker 1>lucky enough to not really have that problem in middle

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<v Speaker 1>class Atlanta. But yeah, I think that the issue is

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<v Speaker 1>more thinking about what a city is. I mean, a

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<v Speaker 1>city is not your resource production landscape. It is your

0:13:06.679 --> 0:13:11.200
<v Speaker 1>resource consumption landscape. And it makes lots of things. It uh,

0:13:11.520 --> 0:13:14.800
<v Speaker 1>you know, it makes knowledge, It creates economic value in

0:13:14.840 --> 0:13:19.360
<v Speaker 1>plenty of ways. But the raw resources that your population

0:13:19.520 --> 0:13:22.600
<v Speaker 1>uses don't typically come from cities, and how could they.

0:13:22.640 --> 0:13:26.319
<v Speaker 1>You You need farmlands to create food, your quarries to

0:13:26.320 --> 0:13:28.840
<v Speaker 1>to mind stuff exactly. Yeah, and that's going to come

0:13:28.920 --> 0:13:32.480
<v Speaker 1>from the wider landscape. So as you think about cities,

0:13:32.600 --> 0:13:35.680
<v Speaker 1>it's kind of interesting to think about. Basically, you're moving

0:13:35.840 --> 0:13:41.079
<v Speaker 1>more and more consumption into tiny areas farther and farther

0:13:41.200 --> 0:13:45.560
<v Speaker 1>away from where resources are produced, and beyond that, you're

0:13:45.640 --> 0:13:51.280
<v Speaker 1>also expanding outward the borders of the urban That's that's

0:13:51.320 --> 0:13:53.720
<v Speaker 1>why a lot of these these studies talk about urban

0:13:53.880 --> 0:13:57.240
<v Speaker 1>environments as opposed to cities, because the term city has

0:13:57.280 --> 0:14:00.320
<v Speaker 1>a very specific meaning. If you are being really you know,

0:14:00.440 --> 0:14:04.440
<v Speaker 1>strict about it, you're talking about the borders of a municipality.

0:14:05.000 --> 0:14:07.199
<v Speaker 1>And when we say the city of you know, when

0:14:07.200 --> 0:14:09.320
<v Speaker 1>we say New York City, we're really not just meaning

0:14:09.480 --> 0:14:12.120
<v Speaker 1>the New York City like where the borders would stop.

0:14:12.320 --> 0:14:15.480
<v Speaker 1>We mean the entire metropolitan area around New York City.

0:14:15.520 --> 0:14:18.200
<v Speaker 1>In fact, if we were to limit ourselves to just

0:14:18.720 --> 0:14:23.080
<v Speaker 1>the definitive this you know, city, then the numbers would

0:14:23.120 --> 0:14:26.200
<v Speaker 1>be totally different when you start looking at the you know,

0:14:26.360 --> 0:14:30.480
<v Speaker 1>the the top mega cities that are out there. Um So,

0:14:31.320 --> 0:14:36.000
<v Speaker 1>whether it's an a a concentrated urban environment around a

0:14:36.360 --> 0:14:40.040
<v Speaker 1>large city like New York City is, or it's um

0:14:40.520 --> 0:14:43.800
<v Speaker 1>more of a kind of a convergence of two different cities.

0:14:43.800 --> 0:14:46.280
<v Speaker 1>We've got different terms for that as well to kind

0:14:46.320 --> 0:14:51.040
<v Speaker 1>of explain those. Okay, what's Dallas fort Worth? Is that

0:14:51.120 --> 0:14:55.440
<v Speaker 1>just one city? Now that would be I would argue

0:14:55.600 --> 0:14:59.240
<v Speaker 1>that Dallas. I guess it all depends on your your perspective, right,

0:14:59.600 --> 0:15:04.160
<v Speaker 1>You've got like the metroplex. A metroplex would be a

0:15:04.160 --> 0:15:08.480
<v Speaker 1>an urban environment made up of two different cities that

0:15:08.720 --> 0:15:11.400
<v Speaker 1>are more or less or two or more cities that

0:15:11.440 --> 0:15:14.120
<v Speaker 1>are more or less on the same level already. So

0:15:14.200 --> 0:15:17.840
<v Speaker 1>you wouldn't say that one city is predominantly you know,

0:15:18.080 --> 0:15:20.040
<v Speaker 1>this was the big anchor city and these other ones

0:15:20.080 --> 0:15:22.760
<v Speaker 1>just got swallowed up by the sprawl. Yeah, it's like

0:15:22.800 --> 0:15:26.200
<v Speaker 1>a binary star system. Yeah, exactly. And it's just that

0:15:26.280 --> 0:15:30.360
<v Speaker 1>the spheres of influence have now overlapped one another. So

0:15:30.440 --> 0:15:34.480
<v Speaker 1>Baltimore and Washington, d C. This is absolutely the case, Lauren.

0:15:34.520 --> 0:15:37.080
<v Speaker 1>I remember we went up to when we went up

0:15:37.120 --> 0:15:39.600
<v Speaker 1>to visit the Discovery headquarters back when How Stuff Works

0:15:39.600 --> 0:15:43.640
<v Speaker 1>was part of Discovery Communications. We took a bus from

0:15:43.760 --> 0:15:46.640
<v Speaker 1>or I guess it was a cab from the DC

0:15:47.160 --> 0:15:51.240
<v Speaker 1>area all the way into Baltimore to where or actually

0:15:51.320 --> 0:15:54.720
<v Speaker 1>beyond Baltimore to too um, silver Spring. I think it

0:15:54.760 --> 0:15:58.960
<v Speaker 1>was left town the whole time. You're just like, Okay,

0:15:59.000 --> 0:16:02.000
<v Speaker 1>I see now there's more city, and now there's more city,

0:16:02.200 --> 0:16:05.120
<v Speaker 1>and now there are different monuments and more city. There's

0:16:05.120 --> 0:16:07.720
<v Speaker 1>no differentiation. Really, you know, you didn't You never felt

0:16:07.760 --> 0:16:10.080
<v Speaker 1>like you had left one city and now you're entering another.

0:16:10.160 --> 0:16:14.680
<v Speaker 1>You just free landscape. Yeah, so that would be a metroplex.

0:16:14.880 --> 0:16:17.480
<v Speaker 1>Raleigh Durham Chapel Hill is another great example. You know,

0:16:17.520 --> 0:16:21.040
<v Speaker 1>that's a that's sometimes called the triangle, and but it's

0:16:21.080 --> 0:16:25.000
<v Speaker 1>the same sort of thing. Then you've also got a conturbation,

0:16:25.680 --> 0:16:28.440
<v Speaker 1>which is where that's the best word. I've got to say,

0:16:28.640 --> 0:16:33.440
<v Speaker 1>it's the least awkward best word ever, conturbation, conbation. Yeah, yeah,

0:16:33.440 --> 0:16:35.680
<v Speaker 1>it doesn't. It doesn't make me think that. I'm like,

0:16:35.720 --> 0:16:37.720
<v Speaker 1>there's gotta be a different way to pronounce that, right.

0:16:38.320 --> 0:16:40.960
<v Speaker 1>Um No, I can see that. It's it's con so

0:16:41.240 --> 0:16:45.960
<v Speaker 1>with and then urbation. Yeah. And so it's it's more

0:16:46.040 --> 0:16:52.920
<v Speaker 1>or less continuous urban environment. Yes, so we're talking about city, suburbs, towns,

0:16:52.960 --> 0:16:56.000
<v Speaker 1>everything getting swallowed up that I would argue metro Atlanta

0:16:56.640 --> 0:17:00.560
<v Speaker 1>falls into that category. Um, it's it's obviously it's not a.

0:17:01.200 --> 0:17:03.320
<v Speaker 1>It's it's not a mega city. We don't have a

0:17:03.400 --> 0:17:06.480
<v Speaker 1>population that would put us into that category. But if

0:17:06.480 --> 0:17:09.679
<v Speaker 1>you look at a map of the metropolitan Atlanta area,

0:17:10.080 --> 0:17:12.400
<v Speaker 1>there are a lot of little towns that are essentially

0:17:12.440 --> 0:17:14.960
<v Speaker 1>swallowed up by the city. Oh yeah, absolutely, the same

0:17:14.960 --> 0:17:18.720
<v Speaker 1>thing with with Boston or San Francisco. So let's take

0:17:18.760 --> 0:17:21.480
<v Speaker 1>a look really quickly about the two at the top

0:17:21.520 --> 0:17:23.639
<v Speaker 1>five cities by population. Now, this is according to the

0:17:23.680 --> 0:17:27.960
<v Speaker 1>World Atlas. Again, look, depending upon what resource you use,

0:17:28.200 --> 0:17:31.680
<v Speaker 1>you may see different a different ranking. And it's also

0:17:31.800 --> 0:17:36.119
<v Speaker 1>because it's all on how you define the city. So

0:17:36.160 --> 0:17:39.199
<v Speaker 1>if you're defining it as the metropolitan area around a

0:17:39.280 --> 0:17:42.880
<v Speaker 1>particular core, that's going to give you a different number

0:17:42.880 --> 0:17:45.119
<v Speaker 1>than if you limit yourself to a specific city. So

0:17:45.280 --> 0:17:49.320
<v Speaker 1>number one on the list is Tokyo, Japan. It is

0:17:49.359 --> 0:17:54.280
<v Speaker 1>the largest mega city with thirty seven million, one d

0:17:54.440 --> 0:17:58.119
<v Speaker 1>twenty six thousand people in it. I do not even

0:17:58.240 --> 0:18:01.840
<v Speaker 1>understand that number. Yeah. Now, to be fair, this again

0:18:01.920 --> 0:18:06.280
<v Speaker 1>doesn't just mean the the established historical borders of Tokyo.

0:18:06.840 --> 0:18:09.840
<v Speaker 1>It it also is the metropolitan area around it. Now,

0:18:09.840 --> 0:18:13.920
<v Speaker 1>the population density is six thousand, thirty eight people per

0:18:14.000 --> 0:18:18.280
<v Speaker 1>square kilometer, or fifteen thousand, six hundred people per square mile.

0:18:19.040 --> 0:18:24.960
<v Speaker 1>Every square mile is a lot. Yes, as someone who

0:18:24.960 --> 0:18:28.960
<v Speaker 1>walks a few miles each day, the thought of, uh,

0:18:29.000 --> 0:18:30.800
<v Speaker 1>you know, if I were to walk a square mile

0:18:30.840 --> 0:18:33.359
<v Speaker 1>and think fifteen thousand people are inside of that, that

0:18:33.359 --> 0:18:36.240
<v Speaker 1>would be pretty incredible. However, that's not as incredible as

0:18:36.280 --> 0:18:39.400
<v Speaker 1>it gets, it gets more so. So again, the city

0:18:39.480 --> 0:18:40.959
<v Speaker 1>is number one. If you look at Tokyo and its

0:18:41.000 --> 0:18:44.040
<v Speaker 1>surrounding areas, the actual population within the established borders of

0:18:44.080 --> 0:18:46.439
<v Speaker 1>what is Tokyo is closer to nine millions. So if

0:18:46.440 --> 0:18:48.800
<v Speaker 1>you were being really super strict and saying no, I'm

0:18:48.840 --> 0:18:51.520
<v Speaker 1>just talking about traditional Tokyo, it would not even be

0:18:51.560 --> 0:18:53.960
<v Speaker 1>a megacity. It would be nine million people. It wouldn't

0:18:54.040 --> 0:18:57.720
<v Speaker 1>quite uh, it wouldn't quite count. But no one reasonable

0:18:57.720 --> 0:18:59.679
<v Speaker 1>would ever say that, because again, it's not like as

0:18:59.760 --> 0:19:02.480
<v Speaker 1>soon you cross the border you go into like, oh

0:19:02.640 --> 0:19:06.280
<v Speaker 1>now it's pastoral Japan. That's not the way that works.

0:19:06.760 --> 0:19:10.439
<v Speaker 1>So Tokyo itself is a collection of twenty three smaller cities.

0:19:10.480 --> 0:19:12.800
<v Speaker 1>They are called wards, and each of those has its

0:19:12.800 --> 0:19:16.800
<v Speaker 1>own independent administration. This also makes it complex when you

0:19:16.840 --> 0:19:19.720
<v Speaker 1>start talking about mega cities, because you're off often talking

0:19:19.760 --> 0:19:26.240
<v Speaker 1>about lots of different political entities, all working within uh

0:19:26.640 --> 0:19:29.520
<v Speaker 1>kind of vaguely defined areas. Like you know, there are

0:19:29.560 --> 0:19:31.960
<v Speaker 1>actual borders that if you look on a map you

0:19:31.960 --> 0:19:34.199
<v Speaker 1>can see them, but when you are a person just

0:19:34.280 --> 0:19:37.720
<v Speaker 1>moving through that environment, you may not see that distinction. Also,

0:19:37.840 --> 0:19:42.040
<v Speaker 1>the like material necessities of life don't necessarily obey the

0:19:42.119 --> 0:19:46.560
<v Speaker 1>administrative borders that you've put up. Because so you've created

0:19:46.600 --> 0:19:48.199
<v Speaker 1>a mega city and you just say, oh, we'll just

0:19:48.280 --> 0:19:50.119
<v Speaker 1>divide it up like a pie into a bunch of

0:19:50.119 --> 0:19:52.879
<v Speaker 1>smaller things that are easier to manage, you still have

0:19:53.000 --> 0:19:56.600
<v Speaker 1>to get all the resources that a city this size

0:19:56.640 --> 0:19:59.440
<v Speaker 1>needs to the area, and you still have to find

0:19:59.440 --> 0:20:02.359
<v Speaker 1>a way to provide all of the overlapping services a

0:20:02.440 --> 0:20:05.240
<v Speaker 1>city of this size needs within the area, right, And

0:20:05.600 --> 0:20:08.760
<v Speaker 1>you can't just put water pipes for for one ward

0:20:08.840 --> 0:20:11.320
<v Speaker 1>of a city in that ward and have them not

0:20:11.400 --> 0:20:13.800
<v Speaker 1>connect to any of the other water pipes in the area,

0:20:13.880 --> 0:20:18.919
<v Speaker 1>for example, does the perfect example, because anyone who has

0:20:18.920 --> 0:20:23.000
<v Speaker 1>ever seen anything about water rights knows this is incredibly complicated,

0:20:23.000 --> 0:20:27.960
<v Speaker 1>and even neighboring towns that are technically within the same

0:20:28.040 --> 0:20:32.800
<v Speaker 1>urban environment can have vicious fights over this sort of stuff. Understandably,

0:20:32.840 --> 0:20:35.440
<v Speaker 1>because this is a necessity, right Oh yeah, yeah, Well

0:20:35.680 --> 0:20:39.360
<v Speaker 1>neighboring states have that argument sometimes, so yeah. And as

0:20:39.400 --> 0:20:42.560
<v Speaker 1>these mega cities grow, we're likely going to see more

0:20:42.560 --> 0:20:47.040
<v Speaker 1>and more examples of mega cities across state lines start

0:20:47.119 --> 0:20:49.520
<v Speaker 1>to merge where you can't see the difference between one

0:20:49.840 --> 0:20:52.280
<v Speaker 1>city and the next even as you're going from one

0:20:52.320 --> 0:20:54.520
<v Speaker 1>state to the next, And that gets complicated. Man, I

0:20:54.560 --> 0:20:56.840
<v Speaker 1>bet it's no fun to be a mega city that's

0:20:56.920 --> 0:21:02.040
<v Speaker 1>literally down river of another mega city. Probably not great.

0:21:02.480 --> 0:21:06.240
<v Speaker 1>So uh to to kind of sum up with Tokyo,

0:21:06.280 --> 0:21:07.639
<v Speaker 1>one of the things I wanted to point out is

0:21:07.680 --> 0:21:09.640
<v Speaker 1>that some of the wards, you know, keeping in mind

0:21:09.640 --> 0:21:12.280
<v Speaker 1>that that number, that population density number I gave earlier,

0:21:12.320 --> 0:21:14.960
<v Speaker 1>the six thousand, thirty eight people per square kilometer that

0:21:15.040 --> 0:21:18.240
<v Speaker 1>was an average across Tokyo. Obviously there's some words that

0:21:18.320 --> 0:21:21.440
<v Speaker 1>have a much higher density and some that have lower.

0:21:21.880 --> 0:21:26.520
<v Speaker 1>One of the highest is uh Setagaya, which in two

0:21:26.560 --> 0:21:29.879
<v Speaker 1>thousand seven, uh there was a census that listed at

0:21:29.920 --> 0:21:32.440
<v Speaker 1>having a density of fourteen thousand, seven or twenty eight

0:21:32.440 --> 0:21:34.960
<v Speaker 1>people per square kilometer. So if we convert that to

0:21:35.000 --> 0:21:38.280
<v Speaker 1>square miles, that's thirty eight thousand people in a square mile.

0:21:38.640 --> 0:21:41.520
<v Speaker 1>So twice more than twice what it is throughout the

0:21:41.560 --> 0:21:43.679
<v Speaker 1>rest of Tokyo. Yeah, if you were to you know

0:21:43.800 --> 0:21:46.920
<v Speaker 1>the average, it's more than twice what the average is. Now.

0:21:46.920 --> 0:21:49.040
<v Speaker 1>The other four cities that are in that top five,

0:21:49.080 --> 0:21:50.920
<v Speaker 1>I don't I'm not going to break them all down,

0:21:50.920 --> 0:21:52.919
<v Speaker 1>but I'll tell you know what they are and what

0:21:52.960 --> 0:21:56.040
<v Speaker 1>their populations are. You have Jakarta, Indonesia, which has twenty

0:21:56.080 --> 0:21:59.960
<v Speaker 1>six million people, Seul, South Korea two million, five d

0:22:00.119 --> 0:22:03.920
<v Speaker 1>forty seven thousand, Delhi, India, which is two million, two

0:22:04.280 --> 0:22:07.919
<v Speaker 1>forty two thousand, and Shanghai, China twenty million, eight hundred

0:22:08.000 --> 0:22:12.080
<v Speaker 1>sixty thousand. New York City, which is in fact the

0:22:12.160 --> 0:22:14.880
<v Speaker 1>largest city I have ever visited, ranks at number eight,

0:22:15.520 --> 0:22:17.159
<v Speaker 1>So it is is a little bit further down on

0:22:17.200 --> 0:22:20.480
<v Speaker 1>the list. It has twenty million, uh four hundred sixty

0:22:20.480 --> 0:22:23.440
<v Speaker 1>four thousand people living in the city and surrounding metropolitan

0:22:23.520 --> 0:22:28.600
<v Speaker 1>area Los Angeles, which I've also been to, number seventeen. UM.

0:22:28.640 --> 0:22:31.520
<v Speaker 1>But yeah, you know, London doesn't even count in mega

0:22:31.560 --> 0:22:38.639
<v Speaker 1>cities because of defining what is an actual city. UM, London,

0:22:38.680 --> 0:22:41.040
<v Speaker 1>in fact is is a particularly interesting one. If you

0:22:41.080 --> 0:22:42.960
<v Speaker 1>look at the city of London, you want to be

0:22:43.040 --> 0:22:45.800
<v Speaker 1>super official and really pedantic and say just the city

0:22:45.800 --> 0:22:49.040
<v Speaker 1>of London. The city of London is tiny. It is

0:22:49.080 --> 0:22:53.400
<v Speaker 1>about one point one two square miles in area. It's

0:22:53.440 --> 0:22:58.040
<v Speaker 1>basically inside big ben kind of uh, kind of. I

0:22:58.080 --> 0:23:01.960
<v Speaker 1>have walked through like from one edge side to the other,

0:23:02.119 --> 0:23:04.240
<v Speaker 1>the city of London. It is not a big deal,

0:23:05.200 --> 0:23:07.120
<v Speaker 1>but it's it is the core of the city. This

0:23:07.160 --> 0:23:10.119
<v Speaker 1>is what what had been establishes the historical city of London,

0:23:10.119 --> 0:23:13.240
<v Speaker 1>and then everything else grew up around it, but it didn't.

0:23:13.440 --> 0:23:17.080
<v Speaker 1>That was what had been established as the city. So

0:23:17.240 --> 0:23:21.320
<v Speaker 1>within that that very strict city limit, how many people

0:23:21.520 --> 0:23:24.520
<v Speaker 1>fewer than twelve thousand, eleven thousand, seven hundred. So definitely

0:23:24.560 --> 0:23:26.600
<v Speaker 1>not a mega city, right, I mean you didn't. They

0:23:26.640 --> 0:23:28.480
<v Speaker 1>just really dropped the ball on that. But when we're

0:23:28.520 --> 0:23:31.600
<v Speaker 1>talking about Greater London, yeah, you're looking at Greater London.

0:23:31.800 --> 0:23:36.120
<v Speaker 1>That is around seven million, two thousand and thirty six

0:23:36.160 --> 0:23:38.680
<v Speaker 1>people from a two thousand one census. So obviously that

0:23:38.720 --> 0:23:40.679
<v Speaker 1>has changed since then. And if you look at the

0:23:40.720 --> 0:23:45.520
<v Speaker 1>London metropolitan area again, depending on where you draw the line,

0:23:45.520 --> 0:23:47.160
<v Speaker 1>where do you say, all right, well this is now

0:23:47.160 --> 0:23:51.560
<v Speaker 1>outside the metropolitan area. It's between twelve and eighteen million.

0:23:51.880 --> 0:23:54.560
<v Speaker 1>That's a big gap, right, that's a big difference on

0:23:54.600 --> 0:23:57.440
<v Speaker 1>the low end in the high end. So clearly it

0:23:57.480 --> 0:24:01.080
<v Speaker 1>gets complicated saying all right, this still counts as part

0:24:01.080 --> 0:24:04.200
<v Speaker 1>of the mega city versus this is now not part

0:24:04.240 --> 0:24:06.520
<v Speaker 1>of the mega city. This is this is either too

0:24:06.520 --> 0:24:09.840
<v Speaker 1>far out or separated by too many you know, miles

0:24:10.119 --> 0:24:14.720
<v Speaker 1>of uh only partially developed area or whatever however you

0:24:14.760 --> 0:24:18.679
<v Speaker 1>want to you know designated. Um. So, yeah, if you

0:24:18.720 --> 0:24:20.480
<v Speaker 1>were to, if you were to look at the London

0:24:20.480 --> 0:24:23.600
<v Speaker 1>Metropolitan Area and consider that as a whole, it would

0:24:23.600 --> 0:24:26.679
<v Speaker 1>fit under mega city. But no one on any of

0:24:26.680 --> 0:24:29.600
<v Speaker 1>the lists I looked at does that. They all look

0:24:29.640 --> 0:24:34.119
<v Speaker 1>at more of the greater London area. Uh and uh. Yeah,

0:24:34.200 --> 0:24:37.879
<v Speaker 1>this this is a big deal because, like we were saying,

0:24:37.960 --> 0:24:40.720
<v Speaker 1>you know, when you have different areas of the same

0:24:40.840 --> 0:24:46.760
<v Speaker 1>urban environment under the direction of different political entities, whether

0:24:46.800 --> 0:24:49.639
<v Speaker 1>it's a city government, of town council, whatever it may be,

0:24:50.600 --> 0:24:55.879
<v Speaker 1>it makes the whole integration really complicated, especially when it

0:24:55.880 --> 0:24:58.760
<v Speaker 1>comes to things like infrastructure and and this is affecting

0:24:58.960 --> 0:25:01.439
<v Speaker 1>more and more people. It's officially over half of the

0:25:01.480 --> 0:25:04.880
<v Speaker 1>world's population is affected by this kind of urbanization. Yeah,

0:25:04.880 --> 0:25:07.200
<v Speaker 1>you can really think about this is that we're living

0:25:07.240 --> 0:25:11.639
<v Speaker 1>in a period of transition, that we're actually fundamentally changing

0:25:11.680 --> 0:25:16.800
<v Speaker 1>the way humanity occupies space, and it's happening very quickly

0:25:17.080 --> 0:25:20.320
<v Speaker 1>from a historical time scale. Sure. Yeah, And in fact,

0:25:20.359 --> 0:25:25.120
<v Speaker 1>it's happening faster than what policy can keep up with.

0:25:25.400 --> 0:25:28.439
<v Speaker 1>And uh, you know, not that that's surprising. That happens

0:25:28.440 --> 0:25:30.120
<v Speaker 1>all the time. We talk about that all the time

0:25:30.160 --> 0:25:33.320
<v Speaker 1>on this show, where technology or other advances science, that

0:25:33.359 --> 0:25:39.480
<v Speaker 1>kind of stuff can can quickly outpace legislation for example.

0:25:39.600 --> 0:25:44.240
<v Speaker 1>So I would imagine that this mega city trend is

0:25:44.280 --> 0:25:46.720
<v Speaker 1>going to not only continue, but it's going to continue

0:25:46.760 --> 0:25:50.159
<v Speaker 1>to be problematic. Oh absolutely, because you know, some of

0:25:50.200 --> 0:25:52.600
<v Speaker 1>the cities that we've been talking about, like like New York,

0:25:52.720 --> 0:25:56.639
<v Speaker 1>have had really in the scheme of the universe, I

0:25:56.680 --> 0:25:58.720
<v Speaker 1>suppose a short time, but but in the scheme of

0:25:58.720 --> 0:26:03.119
<v Speaker 1>a city along time to kind of develop infrastructure and grow.

0:26:03.440 --> 0:26:07.320
<v Speaker 1>But but some of those established cities are are absolutely

0:26:07.400 --> 0:26:10.000
<v Speaker 1>not the fastest growers right now. Sure. Didn't you say

0:26:10.000 --> 0:26:12.760
<v Speaker 1>in nineteen fifty New York was the biggest metropolis on

0:26:12.800 --> 0:26:15.200
<v Speaker 1>the planet. Yeah, I mean it was. It went from

0:26:15.240 --> 0:26:18.040
<v Speaker 1>number one to today it's like number eight. So yeah,

0:26:18.040 --> 0:26:21.480
<v Speaker 1>it's and the ones that have UM surpassed it, they're

0:26:21.520 --> 0:26:25.919
<v Speaker 1>all in uh In essentially in Asia. That's where the

0:26:25.920 --> 0:26:31.080
<v Speaker 1>top seven are uh In fact, number seven UM is Karachi, Pakistan.

0:26:31.640 --> 0:26:36.400
<v Speaker 1>And it grew by eighty percent over a decade, I mean,

0:26:36.920 --> 0:26:40.720
<v Speaker 1>an eight percent growth in ten years. Can you imagine

0:26:41.320 --> 0:26:44.680
<v Speaker 1>imagine that you moved to Atlanta and within ten years

0:26:45.320 --> 0:26:48.080
<v Speaker 1>I moved to Atlanta about ten years ago, imagined the

0:26:48.119 --> 0:26:52.480
<v Speaker 1>population that grown by you'd be moving away from Atlanta. Well,

0:26:52.520 --> 0:26:55.040
<v Speaker 1>I mean when you think about that, that's not even

0:26:55.240 --> 0:26:58.840
<v Speaker 1>that seems more than just a city growing. That's essentially

0:26:58.880 --> 0:27:02.480
<v Speaker 1>like a new city has been creative. In fact, it's

0:27:02.520 --> 0:27:05.119
<v Speaker 1>great that you say that, because there's another example. The

0:27:05.200 --> 0:27:09.800
<v Speaker 1>Chinese mega city of Shenzhen has twelve million people in

0:27:09.800 --> 0:27:12.400
<v Speaker 1>it now. In nineteen seventy nine, it had thirty thousand

0:27:12.480 --> 0:27:19.520
<v Speaker 1>people thirty nine today. Yeah, so even more than than Karachi. Yeah,

0:27:19.560 --> 0:27:22.880
<v Speaker 1>and it grew so fast and changed so much that

0:27:22.920 --> 0:27:26.640
<v Speaker 1>it is often referred to as a city without history

0:27:26.840 --> 0:27:30.119
<v Speaker 1>because it didn't have a chance to establish any It

0:27:30.200 --> 0:27:31.960
<v Speaker 1>was just when you think of you know, we talked

0:27:32.000 --> 0:27:34.440
<v Speaker 1>about the singularity, how that's going to be an era

0:27:34.560 --> 0:27:37.679
<v Speaker 1>of constant change where it is difficult to have a

0:27:37.720 --> 0:27:42.520
<v Speaker 1>meaningful conversation about the now this is it, this is

0:27:42.640 --> 0:27:45.280
<v Speaker 1>this is the it in city form. Yeah, and and

0:27:45.320 --> 0:27:49.120
<v Speaker 1>it's uh, it's problematic because a lot of these very

0:27:49.160 --> 0:27:52.040
<v Speaker 1>fast growing areas are also some of the poorest, yes,

0:27:52.480 --> 0:27:55.960
<v Speaker 1>in the in the you know, most struggling developing parts

0:27:55.960 --> 0:27:58.120
<v Speaker 1>of the world. Yes, and and we'll we'll talk more

0:27:58.160 --> 0:28:00.800
<v Speaker 1>about that in a little bit and the host of

0:28:00.920 --> 0:28:03.480
<v Speaker 1>issues that come with that, and also some of the

0:28:03.520 --> 0:28:07.080
<v Speaker 1>reasons why that is happening and their understandable reasons. But

0:28:07.200 --> 0:28:11.520
<v Speaker 1>that doesn't make it any less problematic. So uh, some

0:28:11.600 --> 0:28:13.600
<v Speaker 1>of the mega cities that you know, like like New

0:28:13.680 --> 0:28:17.119
<v Speaker 1>York City, Tokyo, some of them, their growth rates have

0:28:17.280 --> 0:28:19.800
<v Speaker 1>slowed over time, Like they're still growing. It's not like

0:28:19.800 --> 0:28:24.320
<v Speaker 1>they're getting smaller or or maintaining, but that percent that

0:28:24.400 --> 0:28:28.240
<v Speaker 1>growth rates started to drop, whereas they're ones in other

0:28:28.280 --> 0:28:30.080
<v Speaker 1>parts of the country. Are parts of the world that

0:28:30.080 --> 0:28:35.240
<v Speaker 1>country that are increasing, like Asia and Africa in particular,

0:28:36.280 --> 0:28:41.480
<v Speaker 1>So uh, we will likely see that those those impoverished

0:28:41.480 --> 0:28:45.440
<v Speaker 1>places are going to continue to have growth as people

0:28:45.600 --> 0:28:49.600
<v Speaker 1>try to move to cities in an effort to chase opportunity. Yeah,

0:28:49.600 --> 0:28:52.280
<v Speaker 1>this is a thing that I think can be easily misunderstood.

0:28:52.760 --> 0:28:56.080
<v Speaker 1>One of the things that I've read about mega cities

0:28:56.160 --> 0:28:59.720
<v Speaker 1>is that people often look at large urban areas and say, oh,

0:29:00.000 --> 0:29:01.760
<v Speaker 1>we see a lot of poverty here, and then they

0:29:01.760 --> 0:29:05.000
<v Speaker 1>interpret that as being that the large urban area is

0:29:05.080 --> 0:29:07.880
<v Speaker 1>the cause of a lot of poverty. But that might

0:29:07.880 --> 0:29:10.920
<v Speaker 1>not necessarily be the case. Another way of looking at

0:29:10.960 --> 0:29:15.080
<v Speaker 1>it would be that the large urban areas where people

0:29:15.200 --> 0:29:19.480
<v Speaker 1>come seeking economic opportunity, right, And so it could be

0:29:19.560 --> 0:29:23.320
<v Speaker 1>seen as drawing people from poverty who are trying to

0:29:23.360 --> 0:29:26.240
<v Speaker 1>find a way to escape it, right. And And in fact,

0:29:26.880 --> 0:29:31.000
<v Speaker 1>the two main contributors to mega city growth in these

0:29:31.040 --> 0:29:35.560
<v Speaker 1>developing nations tend to be migration from rural areas or

0:29:35.600 --> 0:29:39.280
<v Speaker 1>smaller cities into larger ones with the hope that those

0:29:39.320 --> 0:29:42.800
<v Speaker 1>larger cities do have this opportunity. And also high birth rates.

0:29:42.880 --> 0:29:45.760
<v Speaker 1>Those would be the two things together we're seeing in

0:29:45.800 --> 0:29:50.440
<v Speaker 1>more developed nations, especially places like Japan, we're seeing not

0:29:50.600 --> 0:29:53.080
<v Speaker 1>just a decrease in birthrates, but to a point where

0:29:53.120 --> 0:29:57.560
<v Speaker 1>we're seeing negative growth a decrease in population. Right, So, uh,

0:29:57.640 --> 0:30:01.400
<v Speaker 1>that those are both factors. But like you were saying,

0:30:01.640 --> 0:30:05.360
<v Speaker 1>It's exactly that case where one of the stories I

0:30:05.400 --> 0:30:08.680
<v Speaker 1>was reading was about how in Nigeria you would have

0:30:09.400 --> 0:30:12.960
<v Speaker 1>people who would live in uh in a city go

0:30:13.760 --> 0:30:17.000
<v Speaker 1>once a year to go back to where they came from,

0:30:17.040 --> 0:30:20.000
<v Speaker 1>and everyone had a story to tell to make it

0:30:20.120 --> 0:30:24.400
<v Speaker 1>sound like they're doing well, which would perpetuate this idea

0:30:24.640 --> 0:30:27.000
<v Speaker 1>that the city was a place of opportunity. Even if

0:30:27.040 --> 0:30:29.760
<v Speaker 1>the person wasn't doing well in the city, they didn't

0:30:29.800 --> 0:30:31.479
<v Speaker 1>want to come back to their home and say they

0:30:31.520 --> 0:30:35.400
<v Speaker 1>weren't doing well, and that perpetuated this idea of I

0:30:35.440 --> 0:30:39.000
<v Speaker 1>can escape poverty, I can make something of myself, I

0:30:39.000 --> 0:30:43.280
<v Speaker 1>can be a success by moving to the city. And honestly,

0:30:43.680 --> 0:30:45.680
<v Speaker 1>in a lot of cases, we're talking about cities that

0:30:45.720 --> 0:30:50.160
<v Speaker 1>just get so flooded by people there's just no way

0:30:50.320 --> 0:30:54.400
<v Speaker 1>to to to deal with that. There's not enough opportunity

0:30:54.520 --> 0:30:57.720
<v Speaker 1>in that time span. Like perhaps if it were over

0:30:57.920 --> 0:31:02.400
<v Speaker 1>a longer time frame, it would be more manageable, but

0:31:02.600 --> 0:31:05.040
<v Speaker 1>in a compressed time frame and in a manner of

0:31:05.080 --> 0:31:08.120
<v Speaker 1>a couple of decades, that's just not realistic, right, So

0:31:08.160 --> 0:31:09.920
<v Speaker 1>you can think of this as a lot of people

0:31:09.960 --> 0:31:14.600
<v Speaker 1>who travel to cities seeking economic opportunity. Really the reality

0:31:14.680 --> 0:31:17.160
<v Speaker 1>is they end up sort of waiting in line for

0:31:17.200 --> 0:31:21.320
<v Speaker 1>economic opportunity in cities. All of these, all these musings

0:31:21.320 --> 0:31:25.280
<v Speaker 1>and predictions that we're making about the ways that these

0:31:25.280 --> 0:31:28.880
<v Speaker 1>populations might change and how people's lives might change because

0:31:28.920 --> 0:31:34.000
<v Speaker 1>of them, raise a few questions about about what is

0:31:34.040 --> 0:31:36.959
<v Speaker 1>going to happen in the cities. Cities and how they

0:31:36.960 --> 0:31:39.560
<v Speaker 1>are going to adapt this kind of stuff. There's another

0:31:39.640 --> 0:31:42.120
<v Speaker 1>question that comes up when we're considering the role of

0:31:42.360 --> 0:31:46.680
<v Speaker 1>huge cities in the future, and and this question is

0:31:47.320 --> 0:31:51.560
<v Speaker 1>sort of related to Atlanta. So when I think about

0:31:52.120 --> 0:31:56.720
<v Speaker 1>the state of Georgia that Atlanta is in, yes, it's

0:31:56.800 --> 0:32:00.360
<v Speaker 1>kind of like you have Atlanta and and you've got

0:32:00.400 --> 0:32:01.960
<v Speaker 1>the rest of the states. So it's like a little

0:32:02.000 --> 0:32:05.440
<v Speaker 1>island inside of a larger like ocean. Yeah, and if

0:32:05.480 --> 0:32:10.840
<v Speaker 1>Atlanta keeps growing, it's going to be kind of strange

0:32:10.960 --> 0:32:14.640
<v Speaker 1>to think about it. So imagine a scenario where I

0:32:14.640 --> 0:32:18.320
<v Speaker 1>don't know, in the future, the population of the Atlanta

0:32:18.360 --> 0:32:22.960
<v Speaker 1>metro area is three times the population of the rest

0:32:23.040 --> 0:32:29.160
<v Speaker 1>of Georgia. Okay, in that case, what happens to the

0:32:29.200 --> 0:32:33.000
<v Speaker 1>balance of power between the city of Atlanta and the

0:32:33.080 --> 0:32:36.440
<v Speaker 1>state of Georgia. That is technically a part of and

0:32:36.720 --> 0:32:42.240
<v Speaker 1>subject to. And you can extend that question basically to

0:32:42.240 --> 0:32:45.760
<v Speaker 1>to any kind of like power dynamic between cities and

0:32:45.840 --> 0:32:49.640
<v Speaker 1>states or cities and countries. What happens when a city

0:32:49.760 --> 0:32:54.120
<v Speaker 1>becomes so big and so powerful, and it's economic negotiating

0:32:54.160 --> 0:32:58.560
<v Speaker 1>power is so large, and its population is so large

0:32:58.600 --> 0:33:01.920
<v Speaker 1>that it might be seeved as a threat to the

0:33:02.000 --> 0:33:06.200
<v Speaker 1>authority of the jurisdiction in which it technically resides. Sure,

0:33:06.280 --> 0:33:09.239
<v Speaker 1>and this isn't a new question. Even one analogy might

0:33:09.280 --> 0:33:12.680
<v Speaker 1>be like city states in ancient Greece, where so you

0:33:12.720 --> 0:33:15.479
<v Speaker 1>could have Athens or something, and that's not really like

0:33:15.640 --> 0:33:18.360
<v Speaker 1>there is a country of Athens. It's a city state.

0:33:18.440 --> 0:33:21.680
<v Speaker 1>It's a city, yet it has enough power to exert

0:33:21.720 --> 0:33:24.960
<v Speaker 1>a sphere of influence and project its power to the

0:33:25.040 --> 0:33:30.880
<v Speaker 1>area around it. That's madness, No way, that's sparta. Well

0:33:30.920 --> 0:33:32.760
<v Speaker 1>I do wonder, I mean, could we see a return

0:33:32.840 --> 0:33:35.440
<v Speaker 1>to this kind of model? Well, modernly, I mean we

0:33:35.560 --> 0:33:37.960
<v Speaker 1>kind of already are in some cities if you take

0:33:38.040 --> 0:33:41.440
<v Speaker 1>New York City as an example, as Swedish PhD candidate

0:33:41.520 --> 0:33:46.760
<v Speaker 1>Kristan young Fist did in her doctoral thesis for Uppsala

0:33:46.880 --> 0:33:50.120
<v Speaker 1>University in teen and I really hope I pronounced those

0:33:50.160 --> 0:33:54.080
<v Speaker 1>things correctly. Nice Swedish listeners. I tell me, if I

0:33:54.160 --> 0:33:56.520
<v Speaker 1>was wrong, you're way better at it than I would

0:33:56.560 --> 0:33:58.640
<v Speaker 1>have been. I would have probably end up saying something

0:33:58.680 --> 0:34:01.360
<v Speaker 1>like Kirsten Lungfish and that we've just been terrible. You know,

0:34:01.520 --> 0:34:08.080
<v Speaker 1>I do love that name. Young. It's okay, it's all

0:34:08.080 --> 0:34:11.040
<v Speaker 1>great that I said it wrong, like nineteen times before

0:34:11.040 --> 0:34:14.640
<v Speaker 1>I got that one right at any rates. The thesis

0:34:14.760 --> 0:34:18.120
<v Speaker 1>is called the Global City two point oh an international

0:34:18.280 --> 0:34:26.640
<v Speaker 1>political actor beyond gnomism, economism, question mark well but but

0:34:26.760 --> 0:34:30.600
<v Speaker 1>in it she she argued that the powers wielded by

0:34:30.800 --> 0:34:35.919
<v Speaker 1>such densely populated, strong economy cities like New York have

0:34:35.920 --> 0:34:39.320
<v Speaker 1>have gone global. Their powers have gone global, that they

0:34:39.360 --> 0:34:43.880
<v Speaker 1>make policies that affect climate change and pandemics and transnational

0:34:43.960 --> 0:34:48.520
<v Speaker 1>crime and global poverty and terrorism. And she was saying

0:34:48.520 --> 0:34:51.160
<v Speaker 1>that in New York City in particular, following nine eleven,

0:34:51.480 --> 0:34:54.000
<v Speaker 1>that the local government there has developed a security force

0:34:54.080 --> 0:34:58.200
<v Speaker 1>that's larger than that of many countries, complete with ground

0:34:58.239 --> 0:35:02.520
<v Speaker 1>to air defense systems and intelligence force with permanent staff

0:35:02.560 --> 0:35:06.160
<v Speaker 1>in Asia and the Middle East, in Europe, And okay,

0:35:06.200 --> 0:35:09.120
<v Speaker 1>if that just plain old freaksy out. Then here's a

0:35:09.160 --> 0:35:14.120
<v Speaker 1>gentler example, um cities adoption of the Kyoto Protocol, which

0:35:14.239 --> 0:35:16.680
<v Speaker 1>is a U N emission reduction plan that was written

0:35:16.719 --> 0:35:20.840
<v Speaker 1>up way back in young Vist says Toronto was the

0:35:20.840 --> 0:35:24.080
<v Speaker 1>first place in the world to adopt these emission reduction

0:35:24.120 --> 0:35:27.720
<v Speaker 1>targets while lots of national governments were still trapped in debate.

0:35:28.239 --> 0:35:31.319
<v Speaker 1>So she she says that lots of cities have been

0:35:31.360 --> 0:35:35.880
<v Speaker 1>able to pass better laws of this sort. It implies

0:35:35.960 --> 0:35:41.440
<v Speaker 1>that modern cities, being more nimble and having more specialized interests,

0:35:41.520 --> 0:35:45.480
<v Speaker 1>are capable of making and implementing far reaching decisions a

0:35:45.560 --> 0:35:49.560
<v Speaker 1>lot faster than larger governmental bodies. And this is interesting

0:35:49.600 --> 0:35:53.440
<v Speaker 1>to me specifically because we've been pointing out the complications

0:35:53.800 --> 0:35:56.600
<v Speaker 1>that come into the fact that you know, when we

0:35:56.640 --> 0:35:59.120
<v Speaker 1>say city, we may be talking about a collection of

0:35:59.200 --> 0:36:02.040
<v Speaker 1>different governments. And in some cases it may just be

0:36:02.080 --> 0:36:04.960
<v Speaker 1>that the one that is at the core of the

0:36:05.000 --> 0:36:08.360
<v Speaker 1>city makes a decision and that's going to cascade outward

0:36:08.600 --> 0:36:12.280
<v Speaker 1>from there. In other cases, it may be a collaboration

0:36:12.400 --> 0:36:17.680
<v Speaker 1>between the various kinds of bodies of political officials to

0:36:17.800 --> 0:36:21.920
<v Speaker 1>bring something like this to fruition. Yeah, another thing that

0:36:22.400 --> 0:36:25.080
<v Speaker 1>seems interesting is a possibility to me, is what about

0:36:25.560 --> 0:36:31.080
<v Speaker 1>the idea of merging mega cities that transcend larger borders,

0:36:31.080 --> 0:36:33.879
<v Speaker 1>like like between two different states in the United States

0:36:33.920 --> 0:36:37.919
<v Speaker 1>or two countries. And yeah, so imagine one example might

0:36:38.040 --> 0:36:43.160
<v Speaker 1>be the I eighty five corridor. You know what if

0:36:43.239 --> 0:36:47.640
<v Speaker 1>Atlanta eventually merges with the major cities of North Carolina

0:36:47.840 --> 0:36:51.480
<v Speaker 1>and it really just kind of becomes continuous between them.

0:36:51.520 --> 0:36:53.360
<v Speaker 1>I mean, it's a long time until something like that

0:36:53.400 --> 0:36:55.520
<v Speaker 1>could happen, but I just needed to imagine in like

0:36:55.600 --> 0:36:59.880
<v Speaker 1>science fiction, and yeah, that or or you could imagine

0:36:59.880 --> 0:37:03.320
<v Speaker 1>the bridging of say Atlanta and Chattanooga across the border

0:37:03.360 --> 0:37:07.080
<v Speaker 1>from Georgia and Tennessee what happens then? Yeah, And then

0:37:07.360 --> 0:37:09.920
<v Speaker 1>I mean we already have examples of that, like Baltimore

0:37:09.920 --> 0:37:14.200
<v Speaker 1>and d C. You know, we already have these examples where, uh,

0:37:14.600 --> 0:37:18.080
<v Speaker 1>you have this this imaginary dotted line that only exists

0:37:18.080 --> 0:37:21.160
<v Speaker 1>on paper and uh, but not in reality. And then

0:37:21.800 --> 0:37:23.879
<v Speaker 1>you know, how do you resolve those things things that

0:37:23.960 --> 0:37:27.400
<v Speaker 1>where if one municipality were to make a decision, it

0:37:27.440 --> 0:37:31.640
<v Speaker 1>would it would obviously affect the other one. So at

0:37:31.719 --> 0:37:33.560
<v Speaker 1>what point do you say, listen, we have to come

0:37:33.600 --> 0:37:36.640
<v Speaker 1>together and have this discussion, because now we're no longer

0:37:36.719 --> 0:37:40.000
<v Speaker 1>talking about something that's just going to affect us, It's

0:37:40.000 --> 0:37:43.400
<v Speaker 1>going to affect you as well, So you should have

0:37:43.440 --> 0:37:46.719
<v Speaker 1>a stake in this decision. Yeah, yeah, or even even

0:37:46.719 --> 0:37:49.560
<v Speaker 1>across country borders. You know what if Toronto and Detroit

0:37:49.719 --> 0:37:52.799
<v Speaker 1>like just filled in that little gap. These are really

0:37:52.840 --> 0:37:55.839
<v Speaker 1>interesting questions and it and it is not just you know,

0:37:56.200 --> 0:37:58.600
<v Speaker 1>a hypothetical or thought experiment, nothing like that. I mean,

0:37:58.640 --> 0:38:02.879
<v Speaker 1>it's it's becoming reality and the idea of these really

0:38:02.920 --> 0:38:06.520
<v Speaker 1>powerful cities kind of not necessarily throwing their weight around.

0:38:06.600 --> 0:38:09.480
<v Speaker 1>I mean, the example you gave about Atlanta and Georgia

0:38:09.560 --> 0:38:11.520
<v Speaker 1>is a great one. The if you look at the

0:38:11.560 --> 0:38:15.640
<v Speaker 1>political leanings of the state of Georgia, you'll see that

0:38:15.680 --> 0:38:17.799
<v Speaker 1>Atlanta tends to go one way, in the State of

0:38:17.800 --> 0:38:21.960
<v Speaker 1>Georgia tends to go another way. So right now, the

0:38:21.960 --> 0:38:25.840
<v Speaker 1>the rural population of Georgia is larger than the city

0:38:25.880 --> 0:38:30.239
<v Speaker 1>of Atlanta. So ultimately, the people who live in Atlanta

0:38:30.360 --> 0:38:34.480
<v Speaker 1>can sometimes feel in state or national elections like they

0:38:34.520 --> 0:38:38.120
<v Speaker 1>aren't truly being represented. If that were to change, if

0:38:38.160 --> 0:38:42.120
<v Speaker 1>the city of Atlanta's population were to exceed that of Georgia,

0:38:43.120 --> 0:38:46.040
<v Speaker 1>of the rural parts of the state, we might see

0:38:46.080 --> 0:38:48.239
<v Speaker 1>that flip, and then we would have a situation where

0:38:48.239 --> 0:38:50.120
<v Speaker 1>people in the rural parts of the state would feel

0:38:50.120 --> 0:38:54.040
<v Speaker 1>like the big city folks are the ones making all

0:38:54.080 --> 0:38:56.600
<v Speaker 1>the decisions. Yeah, and I'm sure it's already like that

0:38:56.640 --> 0:38:58.480
<v Speaker 1>in a lot of states, right where you've got big

0:38:58.600 --> 0:39:01.400
<v Speaker 1>enough cities where you know, there are lots of rural

0:39:01.440 --> 0:39:04.120
<v Speaker 1>parts of the state of New York, right, but New

0:39:04.160 --> 0:39:07.560
<v Speaker 1>York cities, New York City, and it's gonna outweigh almost

0:39:07.640 --> 0:39:11.960
<v Speaker 1>any kind of concern that rural New York has, at least. Yeah.

0:39:12.080 --> 0:39:15.000
<v Speaker 1>I mean when people say New York, I think almost

0:39:14.840 --> 0:39:18.160
<v Speaker 1>nine times out of a hundred in casual conversation, if

0:39:18.200 --> 0:39:19.719
<v Speaker 1>you're not in the state of New York, can you

0:39:19.760 --> 0:39:23.400
<v Speaker 1>say the words new York you you, Yeah, you're referring

0:39:23.440 --> 0:39:26.720
<v Speaker 1>to New York City, which ironically might beat New Jersey.

0:39:27.040 --> 0:39:30.160
<v Speaker 1>So uh. At any rate, this was really kind of

0:39:30.200 --> 0:39:33.280
<v Speaker 1>an interesting conversation. We've got so much more to say,

0:39:33.320 --> 0:39:35.680
<v Speaker 1>and we knew going into this that we were going

0:39:35.760 --> 0:39:38.879
<v Speaker 1>to divide this up into two episodes, and in our

0:39:38.880 --> 0:39:42.719
<v Speaker 1>second episode we're going to explore more of the issues

0:39:42.760 --> 0:39:45.279
<v Speaker 1>that mega cities have. Also, we're gonna look at some

0:39:45.320 --> 0:39:49.839
<v Speaker 1>science fiction scenarios, one in particular, and discuss what would

0:39:49.840 --> 0:39:52.640
<v Speaker 1>it take for it to become possible or is it

0:39:52.760 --> 0:39:56.400
<v Speaker 1>even possible? So you can tune into our next episode

0:39:56.400 --> 0:39:59.360
<v Speaker 1>for that. If you guys have suggestions for future episodes

0:39:59.360 --> 0:40:01.640
<v Speaker 1>of Forward Thing, maybe there's a topic that you've just

0:40:01.719 --> 0:40:04.920
<v Speaker 1>been dying to have us tackle. You gotta let us

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<v Speaker 1>know about it. Send us an email the addresses FW

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<v Speaker 1>thinking at how Stuff Works dot com, or drop us

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<v Speaker 1>a line on Twitter, Facebook or Google Plus. And Twitter

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<v Speaker 1>and Google Plus we are f w Thinking. Just search

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<v Speaker 1>You can leave us a message there and we will

0:40:20.320 --> 0:40:28.759
<v Speaker 1>talk to you again about negatidies really soon. For more

0:40:28.760 --> 0:40:31.359
<v Speaker 1>on this topic in the future of technology, I'll visit

0:40:31.400 --> 0:40:43.880
<v Speaker 1>forward Thinking dot com. H brought to you by Toyota.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's go Places,