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It's a fan favorite for deep restorative sleep. 20 00:01:00,120 --> 00:01:02,280 Speaker 1: So bring on the good vibes and treat yourself to 21 00:01:02,360 --> 00:01:06,120 Speaker 1: Soul today. Right now, Soul is offering my audience thirty 22 00:01:06,160 --> 00:01:09,240 Speaker 1: percent off your entire order. So go to gitsold dot 23 00:01:09,240 --> 00:01:13,319 Speaker 1: com use the promo code toodcast. Don't forget that code. 24 00:01:13,440 --> 00:01:18,160 Speaker 1: That's getsold dot Com promo code toodcast for thirty percent off. 25 00:01:21,720 --> 00:01:24,160 Speaker 1: Hello there, Happy Monday, and welcome to another episode of 26 00:01:24,200 --> 00:01:26,280 Speaker 1: The Chuck Podcast. As you can see, I am not 27 00:01:26,400 --> 00:01:29,600 Speaker 1: in studio. I am traveling. I am in Miami. I'm 28 00:01:29,760 --> 00:01:32,080 Speaker 1: on a sort of a three city excursion here. I'll 29 00:01:32,120 --> 00:01:34,480 Speaker 1: be in Miami, I'll be in Charlotte. I got a 30 00:01:34,480 --> 00:01:36,520 Speaker 1: trip to New York all this week. I just came 31 00:01:36,560 --> 00:01:38,959 Speaker 1: from Austin. I want to actually give a report on that. 32 00:01:39,000 --> 00:01:41,959 Speaker 1: It was a participant at the Texas Tribune Festival where 33 00:01:42,000 --> 00:01:46,080 Speaker 1: I interviewed Wes Moore. Actually, a part of that conversation 34 00:01:46,120 --> 00:01:48,960 Speaker 1: I'm going to have in the feed later this week, 35 00:01:49,040 --> 00:01:54,800 Speaker 1: so you will get a full opportunity to hear that conversation. 36 00:01:56,000 --> 00:01:57,920 Speaker 1: Let me just give a quick rundown of what to 37 00:01:57,960 --> 00:02:01,280 Speaker 1: expect on this episode. Long interviews with a gentleman by 38 00:02:01,320 --> 00:02:03,160 Speaker 1: the name of David Lesh. He is the subject of 39 00:02:03,160 --> 00:02:07,520 Speaker 1: an interesting book that those of you that know me 40 00:02:07,600 --> 00:02:09,560 Speaker 1: know I'd be a sucker for. It's called From Dodgers 41 00:02:09,560 --> 00:02:15,480 Speaker 1: to Damascus. It's about a one time major league pitching 42 00:02:15,560 --> 00:02:20,000 Speaker 1: prospect who got injured in the minors, ended up. I 43 00:02:20,000 --> 00:02:22,079 Speaker 1: think I think may have had a cup of coffee 44 00:02:22,080 --> 00:02:23,600 Speaker 1: and the majors. We'll talk about it. We have that 45 00:02:23,639 --> 00:02:27,040 Speaker 1: conversation and instead became an expert on the Middle East. 46 00:02:27,720 --> 00:02:33,200 Speaker 1: Hence Dodgers to Damascus. Actually found himself to be in 47 00:02:33,280 --> 00:02:36,760 Speaker 1: the room with Asad at times and really is an 48 00:02:36,760 --> 00:02:40,800 Speaker 1: expert in particular on Syria. So really that's a big 49 00:02:40,840 --> 00:02:43,120 Speaker 1: part of our conversation is sort of where's the Middle 50 00:02:43,120 --> 00:02:47,240 Speaker 1: East headed? What could the next three to five years 51 00:02:47,240 --> 00:02:49,520 Speaker 1: look like, and what could the next ten to twenty 52 00:02:49,639 --> 00:02:53,800 Speaker 1: years look like. It's a terrific conversation, and David Lesh 53 00:02:53,880 --> 00:02:59,480 Speaker 1: is a wonderful It was a wonderful interview to have, 54 00:03:00,520 --> 00:03:02,720 Speaker 1: and I do think you'll learn quite a bit. But yes, 55 00:03:04,000 --> 00:03:06,720 Speaker 1: the hook was the Dodgers in baseball. Right, you go 56 00:03:06,760 --> 00:03:08,200 Speaker 1: from there to the Middle East? Right? 57 00:03:08,240 --> 00:03:10,120 Speaker 2: What is there any better home. 58 00:03:09,960 --> 00:03:13,760 Speaker 1: Than the check podcast for something like that it's also Monday, 59 00:03:13,800 --> 00:03:15,720 Speaker 1: which means it's time Machine day, and boy, do I 60 00:03:15,720 --> 00:03:19,600 Speaker 1: have a doozy for you in the Toddcast time machine 61 00:03:20,320 --> 00:03:23,440 Speaker 1: or we'll go back. This is a fascinating week. Here's 62 00:03:23,440 --> 00:03:28,400 Speaker 1: what I'll just tell you. This week in history is 63 00:03:28,480 --> 00:03:32,440 Speaker 1: basically the greatest week. If you're a conspiracy theorist, this 64 00:03:32,520 --> 00:03:35,040 Speaker 1: is your going to be your favorite week in history. 65 00:03:36,040 --> 00:03:41,000 Speaker 1: I will just simply leave you with that tease. Of course, 66 00:03:41,000 --> 00:03:42,720 Speaker 1: I'll take some questions, and let's just say I have 67 00:03:42,760 --> 00:03:47,240 Speaker 1: a lot to say about college football the playoff, and 68 00:03:47,280 --> 00:03:49,400 Speaker 1: I've got a whole bunch of advice for the college 69 00:03:49,440 --> 00:03:52,520 Speaker 1: Football Playoff Committee in the ESPN executives who are going 70 00:03:52,560 --> 00:03:56,120 Speaker 1: to be making these decisions. Hopefully they will actually care 71 00:03:56,160 --> 00:03:59,800 Speaker 1: about what happened on the field rather than the machination 72 00:04:00,080 --> 00:04:03,400 Speaker 1: that they usually care about off the field. But there's 73 00:04:03,400 --> 00:04:05,000 Speaker 1: a few issues that I think that they have to 74 00:04:05,000 --> 00:04:07,360 Speaker 1: take up, and we'll see how serious they are about 75 00:04:07,400 --> 00:04:11,720 Speaker 1: trying to actually find the most worthy teams versus those 76 00:04:11,760 --> 00:04:15,280 Speaker 1: that they want to just feature in a television show. 77 00:04:16,120 --> 00:04:17,880 Speaker 2: But with that, let me get started with. 78 00:04:19,320 --> 00:04:21,320 Speaker 1: A quick little take on where we're at at the 79 00:04:21,400 --> 00:04:26,080 Speaker 1: moment in our current politics, and where we're at is 80 00:04:26,120 --> 00:04:28,200 Speaker 1: we have a president who is in the midst of 81 00:04:28,200 --> 00:04:31,440 Speaker 1: a feeding frenzy, and it is a feeding frenzy that 82 00:04:31,480 --> 00:04:37,960 Speaker 1: he can't control, and he is flailing. We've been in 83 00:04:38,040 --> 00:04:41,200 Speaker 1: these positions with him before and he always navigates his 84 00:04:41,240 --> 00:04:41,760 Speaker 1: way out of it. 85 00:04:42,440 --> 00:04:43,480 Speaker 2: But this time is different. 86 00:04:43,480 --> 00:04:45,400 Speaker 1: As I said in our previous episode, we've got a 87 00:04:45,440 --> 00:04:49,839 Speaker 1: struggling economy, something that he's actually reacting to that's fascinating 88 00:04:49,839 --> 00:04:52,280 Speaker 1: and I want to get to that also in this episode. 89 00:04:52,920 --> 00:04:54,800 Speaker 2: But at the end of the day, his. 90 00:04:57,360 --> 00:05:00,800 Speaker 1: What he's doing and how he's react acting to this 91 00:05:00,839 --> 00:05:06,679 Speaker 1: Epstein situation is not exactly the way somebody who's innocent 92 00:05:06,720 --> 00:05:10,599 Speaker 1: would be reacting it is. There's so many aspects of 93 00:05:10,640 --> 00:05:13,760 Speaker 1: this that are strange when it comes to the way 94 00:05:13,880 --> 00:05:17,280 Speaker 1: he's treated this story. I mean, I'll go back to 95 00:05:17,320 --> 00:05:20,479 Speaker 1: something and I know, just set aside everything you know 96 00:05:20,560 --> 00:05:23,800 Speaker 1: about the story, but think about it in this way. 97 00:05:24,720 --> 00:05:28,240 Speaker 1: Donald Trump has the ability to be as his way 98 00:05:28,240 --> 00:05:31,680 Speaker 1: out of you know, he lies, you know, sort of 99 00:05:31,680 --> 00:05:34,039 Speaker 1: the way water flows out of a faucet, right, He's 100 00:05:34,200 --> 00:05:37,240 Speaker 1: very comfortable doing that, and he'll say whatever it takes 101 00:05:37,279 --> 00:05:41,560 Speaker 1: today to put off something that may be coming tomorrow, 102 00:05:41,880 --> 00:05:43,640 Speaker 1: and if he's got to say something else tomorrow, I'll 103 00:05:43,640 --> 00:05:47,360 Speaker 1: say something else tomorrow. The big head scratcher here on 104 00:05:47,400 --> 00:05:51,080 Speaker 1: this one is why he has chosen to be so 105 00:05:51,279 --> 00:05:54,760 Speaker 1: lenient on Glene Maxwell. And to me, this is the 106 00:05:54,800 --> 00:05:57,240 Speaker 1: part I want to focus on first. And then I'm 107 00:05:57,240 --> 00:06:00,359 Speaker 1: going to get to what is clearly an over action 108 00:06:01,839 --> 00:06:05,680 Speaker 1: to Marjorie Taylor Green and Thomas Massey, and I'll get 109 00:06:05,680 --> 00:06:07,880 Speaker 1: to that in a second, but I keep coming back 110 00:06:07,920 --> 00:06:11,240 Speaker 1: to this Gallaine Maxwell. And again when you get when 111 00:06:11,240 --> 00:06:14,480 Speaker 1: we get to my time the time Machine segment today, 112 00:06:14,800 --> 00:06:19,800 Speaker 1: you'll see where I'm going. But the reason there's an 113 00:06:19,839 --> 00:06:22,480 Speaker 1: assumption he's lying about something is because there's so many 114 00:06:22,480 --> 00:06:24,880 Speaker 1: politicians that have preceded him over the last fifty years 115 00:06:25,360 --> 00:06:30,240 Speaker 1: that have always lied to protect themselves first, and eventually 116 00:06:30,320 --> 00:06:32,480 Speaker 1: the truth would come out. It just sometimes would take 117 00:06:32,560 --> 00:06:36,919 Speaker 1: years and in some cases decades. What's a head scratcher 118 00:06:36,960 --> 00:06:41,159 Speaker 1: about the way he has treated Gallaine Maxwell is he 119 00:06:41,240 --> 00:06:44,560 Speaker 1: seems to fear her. And the question is why does 120 00:06:44,600 --> 00:06:48,279 Speaker 1: he fear her? She's in jail number one, number two. 121 00:06:48,279 --> 00:06:55,679 Speaker 1: She was convicted of essentially helping Epstein traffic underage women. 122 00:06:56,920 --> 00:07:00,000 Speaker 1: He could easily be wanting to throw the book at her, 123 00:07:00,839 --> 00:07:03,880 Speaker 1: and instead of putting her in a club fed, he 124 00:07:03,920 --> 00:07:07,360 Speaker 1: could have been putting her in solitary or making her 125 00:07:07,400 --> 00:07:12,640 Speaker 1: life even more miserable, rather than trying to be lenient. 126 00:07:13,840 --> 00:07:18,720 Speaker 1: And for whatever reason, he really wants her not to 127 00:07:18,760 --> 00:07:22,280 Speaker 1: say anything bad about him, even though if she did, 128 00:07:24,320 --> 00:07:27,600 Speaker 1: he could just simply say she's lying. She you know 129 00:07:27,640 --> 00:07:32,040 Speaker 1: that he had a story that was plausible enough that 130 00:07:32,120 --> 00:07:35,760 Speaker 1: would likely have kept everybody on his side. Right. The 131 00:07:35,800 --> 00:07:39,360 Speaker 1: story was Epstein was being a creep, He was recruiting. 132 00:07:39,400 --> 00:07:41,680 Speaker 1: He and Glaine were recruiting women from mar Alago. He 133 00:07:41,720 --> 00:07:44,840 Speaker 1: had had enough, he kicked him out. And of the relationship, 134 00:07:47,520 --> 00:07:50,320 Speaker 1: why is he keep pulling Glaine Maxwell back into his orbit? 135 00:07:52,560 --> 00:07:54,760 Speaker 1: And I'll just say this, there is something else in 136 00:07:54,800 --> 00:08:00,000 Speaker 1: his life. There is something that she knows about, perhaps 137 00:08:00,000 --> 00:08:03,920 Speaker 1: as there's something she assisted him with. Maybe it's a 138 00:08:04,000 --> 00:08:09,400 Speaker 1: relationship he has or had with somebody. But there is 139 00:08:09,440 --> 00:08:13,600 Speaker 1: something that he has that hasn't come out that he 140 00:08:13,680 --> 00:08:17,640 Speaker 1: apparently is petrified of that she knows, because there really 141 00:08:17,680 --> 00:08:19,960 Speaker 1: seems to be no other explanation, because he could be 142 00:08:19,960 --> 00:08:23,040 Speaker 1: behaving the exact opposite way, and the fact that he 143 00:08:23,160 --> 00:08:29,760 Speaker 1: isn't is a head scratcher, and someday, maybe sooner, maybe 144 00:08:29,800 --> 00:08:33,040 Speaker 1: it'll take a while, we'll find out for sure. Maybe 145 00:08:33,080 --> 00:08:36,480 Speaker 1: she knows the origin story of his personal life, Maybe 146 00:08:36,520 --> 00:08:40,320 Speaker 1: she knows things that we don't know about the origin 147 00:08:40,400 --> 00:08:43,600 Speaker 1: story of his marriage. None of us know for sure. 148 00:08:45,360 --> 00:08:50,840 Speaker 1: His behavior is making it easier to go down conspiratorial lanes, 149 00:08:51,720 --> 00:08:55,320 Speaker 1: and it's almost like he is he is either purposely 150 00:08:55,360 --> 00:08:57,840 Speaker 1: doing this just to try to create more fog, which 151 00:08:57,880 --> 00:09:03,480 Speaker 1: is not totally out of character for him, or there's 152 00:09:03,520 --> 00:09:06,880 Speaker 1: something that Maxwell has that he just can't he just 153 00:09:06,960 --> 00:09:10,000 Speaker 1: can't risk, and so he's got to figure out. So 154 00:09:10,480 --> 00:09:13,120 Speaker 1: we'll see. Look, if he commutes her sentence and releases her, 155 00:09:14,040 --> 00:09:16,839 Speaker 1: that will be you know, not just one red flag, right, 156 00:09:16,840 --> 00:09:19,680 Speaker 1: that would be a thousand red flags. But let's go 157 00:09:20,440 --> 00:09:24,679 Speaker 1: to the other part of this story, which is his 158 00:09:24,800 --> 00:09:29,800 Speaker 1: decision to punish Marjorie Taylor Green unindorse her. We already 159 00:09:29,800 --> 00:09:33,520 Speaker 1: know he's sicked his political machine on Thomas Massey trying 160 00:09:33,520 --> 00:09:39,880 Speaker 1: to primary him. There's an interesting pattern here Trump. I'm 161 00:09:39,920 --> 00:09:44,400 Speaker 1: trying to figure out who is Trump dumped or pulled 162 00:09:44,440 --> 00:09:47,560 Speaker 1: his endorsement from, or tried to defeat in his side 163 00:09:47,559 --> 00:09:51,959 Speaker 1: of the aisle who disagreed with him on an issue 164 00:09:51,960 --> 00:09:55,760 Speaker 1: of substance. Right, he went after those that voted to 165 00:09:55,800 --> 00:09:59,800 Speaker 1: impeach him after January sixth, right, the ten, and he 166 00:09:59,880 --> 00:10:02,880 Speaker 1: is he doesn't want to forget those. He's still got 167 00:10:02,920 --> 00:10:07,960 Speaker 1: vendettas against anybody that voted to convict him in the Senate. 168 00:10:08,160 --> 00:10:11,320 Speaker 1: Hence why I think there's still no endorsement for Bilcassidy, 169 00:10:11,320 --> 00:10:13,080 Speaker 1: and I don't think there will ever be an endorsement 170 00:10:13,920 --> 00:10:20,000 Speaker 1: for bil Cassidy in his Senate see but none of these. 171 00:10:20,120 --> 00:10:24,880 Speaker 1: He is angrier at Massy and Green for simply voting 172 00:10:24,960 --> 00:10:30,360 Speaker 1: for transparency on the Epstein files. Then he's as angry 173 00:10:30,400 --> 00:10:33,480 Speaker 1: at them as he was against the ten House Republicans 174 00:10:33,480 --> 00:10:39,640 Speaker 1: that voted to impeach him after January six It is, 175 00:10:40,240 --> 00:10:44,080 Speaker 1: it is if this is this, and the irony is, 176 00:10:44,120 --> 00:10:46,719 Speaker 1: he's got plenty of ways that they're likely going to 177 00:10:46,840 --> 00:10:51,320 Speaker 1: kill this. Right, he's got the Senate, we'll see. Look, 178 00:10:51,360 --> 00:10:54,360 Speaker 1: I think if there's a hundred or more House Republicans 179 00:10:54,360 --> 00:10:56,480 Speaker 1: that vote with the Democrats on this, and I think 180 00:10:56,480 --> 00:10:59,679 Speaker 1: there will be that many. I do think that once 181 00:10:59,720 --> 00:11:02,320 Speaker 1: this vote goes on the record, there's a reason Mike 182 00:11:02,400 --> 00:11:05,480 Speaker 1: Johnson wanted to try to just release the files as 183 00:11:05,520 --> 00:11:08,920 Speaker 1: a unanimous consent because he doesn't want a recorded vote. 184 00:11:10,400 --> 00:11:12,959 Speaker 1: There's a whole bunch of House Republicans that don't want 185 00:11:13,000 --> 00:11:15,720 Speaker 1: to have to vote against the president on this, but 186 00:11:15,760 --> 00:11:19,560 Speaker 1: they're more petrified of not voting to release files having 187 00:11:19,600 --> 00:11:23,600 Speaker 1: to do with a pedophile. So that's one. The second 188 00:11:23,600 --> 00:11:25,360 Speaker 1: way they could kill it is maybe in the Senate, 189 00:11:25,360 --> 00:11:27,520 Speaker 1: but if it gets one hundred or more House votes, 190 00:11:29,400 --> 00:11:31,800 Speaker 1: I think there are thirteen Senate votes. Now maybe leader's 191 00:11:31,800 --> 00:11:34,360 Speaker 1: Senate leadership just finds different ways never to bring it 192 00:11:34,400 --> 00:11:37,040 Speaker 1: to the floor. But somebody's going to bring this to 193 00:11:37,080 --> 00:11:39,520 Speaker 1: the floor. Somebody's going to be able to introduce it, 194 00:11:39,520 --> 00:11:43,720 Speaker 1: and then it's possible Trump could be to it. But 195 00:11:43,880 --> 00:11:48,160 Speaker 1: don't underestimate what the Justice Department just did with this 196 00:11:48,800 --> 00:11:52,280 Speaker 1: when Donald Trump railed ranted on social media demanding that 197 00:11:52,280 --> 00:11:55,240 Speaker 1: Pam Bondi started an investigation into Democrats in their relationship 198 00:11:55,280 --> 00:11:59,160 Speaker 1: with Epstein. Because here's what's likely to happen. If there's 199 00:11:59,200 --> 00:12:03,880 Speaker 1: an open and vestigation that the Justice Department is conducting 200 00:12:04,360 --> 00:12:06,960 Speaker 1: having to do with people in their associations with Epstein, 201 00:12:08,080 --> 00:12:10,200 Speaker 1: then it's likely they go to a court and say hey, 202 00:12:10,880 --> 00:12:14,240 Speaker 1: we can't have these files released because it's currently a 203 00:12:14,240 --> 00:12:16,960 Speaker 1: part of an investigation. Right there's been a lot of conversation. 204 00:12:17,120 --> 00:12:20,160 Speaker 1: One of the knee jerk right wing talking points is, well, 205 00:12:20,440 --> 00:12:22,640 Speaker 1: the Biden folks could have released this, Well, they were 206 00:12:22,679 --> 00:12:25,560 Speaker 1: in the middle of an investigation, so they couldn't release 207 00:12:25,600 --> 00:12:29,680 Speaker 1: any files at the time. Now the investigation, in theory 208 00:12:29,760 --> 00:12:34,320 Speaker 1: is over. But if they're reopening an investigation, then suddenly 209 00:12:34,360 --> 00:12:41,080 Speaker 1: that likely will mean that will be used. This quote 210 00:12:41,080 --> 00:12:43,560 Speaker 1: open investigation will be used as saying, hey, we can't 211 00:12:43,600 --> 00:12:47,560 Speaker 1: release any of this material. It may matter in an 212 00:12:47,640 --> 00:12:50,679 Speaker 1: investigation and we don't want to have to put all 213 00:12:50,720 --> 00:12:56,160 Speaker 1: that out earlier. So it's there's a lot of paths 214 00:12:56,200 --> 00:13:02,480 Speaker 1: I think for this to have these files prevented from 215 00:13:02,520 --> 00:13:05,439 Speaker 1: being released to the public. There's a handful of ways. 216 00:13:05,480 --> 00:13:08,200 Speaker 1: You can see how it could be Senate leadership that 217 00:13:08,240 --> 00:13:11,440 Speaker 1: does it. It could be that President Trump vetos it, 218 00:13:11,960 --> 00:13:14,320 Speaker 1: or it could simply be the Justice Department goes to 219 00:13:14,840 --> 00:13:17,600 Speaker 1: court to say they can't because there's an open investigation. 220 00:13:17,720 --> 00:13:23,679 Speaker 1: Because Pam Bondi agreed to open investigation just to investigate 221 00:13:23,720 --> 00:13:26,000 Speaker 1: Democrats in their relationship with Epstein. 222 00:13:25,640 --> 00:13:28,440 Speaker 2: So the point is it's how much, it's. 223 00:13:28,280 --> 00:13:31,800 Speaker 1: How rattled he is on this. And when he's rattled, 224 00:13:32,320 --> 00:13:35,640 Speaker 1: this is when mistakes get made, and he's rattled at 225 00:13:35,640 --> 00:13:38,880 Speaker 1: a time when the other parts of his job aren't 226 00:13:38,920 --> 00:13:43,040 Speaker 1: going very well. Right, you have, it's pretty clear that 227 00:13:43,920 --> 00:13:48,240 Speaker 1: this economy is not working for people that don't have money. 228 00:13:48,320 --> 00:13:52,480 Speaker 1: He is realizing how badly the inflation issue is impacting, 229 00:13:52,520 --> 00:13:55,520 Speaker 1: particularly his voters, because he's doing something he said he'd 230 00:13:55,520 --> 00:14:01,360 Speaker 1: never do. He's getting rid of tariffs on food and coffee. Now, 231 00:14:02,200 --> 00:14:05,439 Speaker 1: what's interesting is how all of his surrogates went out 232 00:14:05,480 --> 00:14:07,520 Speaker 1: on the Sunday shows and they won't say that they're 233 00:14:07,720 --> 00:14:10,480 Speaker 1: getting rid of the tariffs, like they keep not trying 234 00:14:10,520 --> 00:14:13,520 Speaker 1: to use the word, or they keep saying, no, we're 235 00:14:13,559 --> 00:14:15,880 Speaker 1: lowering costs. Oh, you're getting rid of the tariffs. So 236 00:14:15,880 --> 00:14:18,440 Speaker 1: the terroifts raised costs. No, the teriffs didn't raise any costs. 237 00:14:18,520 --> 00:14:21,120 Speaker 1: But we're going to lower costs on food. There's this 238 00:14:21,360 --> 00:14:24,240 Speaker 1: weird they don't you know. Donald Trump can't ever admit 239 00:14:24,280 --> 00:14:27,680 Speaker 1: he's wrong. And the fact of the matter is these tariffs. 240 00:14:28,400 --> 00:14:32,520 Speaker 1: Foreigners didn't pay these fees. You and I did. We've 241 00:14:32,560 --> 00:14:35,360 Speaker 1: been paying this if you've bought up banana recently, you 242 00:14:35,480 --> 00:14:38,280 Speaker 1: paid tariffs. So if he's going to sit here and 243 00:14:38,320 --> 00:14:41,800 Speaker 1: refund this to some people, and we'll see if they're 244 00:14:41,840 --> 00:14:43,880 Speaker 1: even able to do that, we're going to find out 245 00:14:43,880 --> 00:14:47,440 Speaker 1: soon enough. He's likely to lose at least some of 246 00:14:47,480 --> 00:14:51,000 Speaker 1: this tariff authority in court. He probably will try to 247 00:14:51,000 --> 00:14:53,920 Speaker 1: find another way in the law to try to to 248 00:14:54,000 --> 00:14:56,440 Speaker 1: try to implement some of these tariffs, and I think 249 00:14:56,840 --> 00:14:58,680 Speaker 1: there are a few other levers he can pull that 250 00:14:58,720 --> 00:15:02,040 Speaker 1: he'll be able to do this. But the reality is 251 00:15:02,040 --> 00:15:05,560 Speaker 1: is that, you know, despite everything he claimed that somehow 252 00:15:05,600 --> 00:15:09,040 Speaker 1: Americans weren't going to be paying this tax, Americans have 253 00:15:09,120 --> 00:15:12,840 Speaker 1: paid this tax. We have been getting more tax on food, 254 00:15:12,960 --> 00:15:17,480 Speaker 1: particularly fruits, vegetables, stuff that comes from overseas, plus coffee. 255 00:15:17,920 --> 00:15:20,080 Speaker 1: So the fact that they're dropping them shows you that 256 00:15:20,120 --> 00:15:23,640 Speaker 1: there's a bit of an acknowledgment that number one, prices 257 00:15:23,680 --> 00:15:27,480 Speaker 1: haven't calmed down, they've gone up, and number two, he's 258 00:15:27,520 --> 00:15:29,400 Speaker 1: been the reason why prices have gone up. 259 00:15:31,880 --> 00:15:34,120 Speaker 2: And then finally he's got to deal with this healthcare. 260 00:15:33,800 --> 00:15:40,440 Speaker 1: Issue and the fact that premiums are everybody now that 261 00:15:40,680 --> 00:15:45,760 Speaker 1: is on the Obamacare exchanges is seeing that the premiums 262 00:15:45,760 --> 00:15:48,120 Speaker 1: are about to go up if they were getting some 263 00:15:48,160 --> 00:15:51,880 Speaker 1: of these subsidies. It looks to me like there's going 264 00:15:52,000 --> 00:15:54,600 Speaker 1: to be an extension of these subsidies. Is it a year, 265 00:15:55,360 --> 00:15:59,280 Speaker 1: is it a year with a few extra strings attached. 266 00:16:00,160 --> 00:16:02,880 Speaker 1: I think all of those things are possible, But I 267 00:16:02,920 --> 00:16:05,400 Speaker 1: do want to highlight something Rick Scott said. Rick Scott 268 00:16:05,520 --> 00:16:08,440 Speaker 1: made it crystal clear in a Sunday Show interview earlier 269 00:16:09,080 --> 00:16:13,920 Speaker 1: that they were not going to repeal Obamacare and that 270 00:16:14,400 --> 00:16:16,280 Speaker 1: you know, there was not going They were not that 271 00:16:16,440 --> 00:16:19,760 Speaker 1: they that all insurance was going you know, they weren't 272 00:16:19,800 --> 00:16:23,360 Speaker 1: going to repeal the pre existing condition issue. Because the 273 00:16:23,400 --> 00:16:27,840 Speaker 1: only way to save money on this on on these 274 00:16:27,880 --> 00:16:31,160 Speaker 1: insurance exchanges in Obamacare is if you let insurance companies 275 00:16:31,760 --> 00:16:36,840 Speaker 1: essentially cherry pick who they get to cover and if 276 00:16:36,840 --> 00:16:39,000 Speaker 1: you don't have a pre existing condition, and they can 277 00:16:39,200 --> 00:16:41,800 Speaker 1: shift people with pre existing conditions and make them pay 278 00:16:41,880 --> 00:16:45,920 Speaker 1: higher rates but have healthy people pay super low rates. 279 00:16:47,760 --> 00:16:50,880 Speaker 1: That's you know that that's the system we had before, 280 00:16:50,920 --> 00:16:55,560 Speaker 1: which didn't work for anybody. So the fact that Rick 281 00:16:55,560 --> 00:16:57,360 Speaker 1: Scott is saying we are not going to do that 282 00:16:57,400 --> 00:17:00,880 Speaker 1: because you cannot have insurance companies be able to to 283 00:17:00,920 --> 00:17:04,720 Speaker 1: not accept clients because of a pre existing condition. This 284 00:17:04,880 --> 00:17:08,280 Speaker 1: is why the system didn't work before. But the talking 285 00:17:08,320 --> 00:17:10,320 Speaker 1: point that is really bizarre to me, as they're saying, well, 286 00:17:10,320 --> 00:17:12,760 Speaker 1: they don't want to give this money to the insurance companies, 287 00:17:12,800 --> 00:17:14,240 Speaker 1: are going to give it to the American people. Well, 288 00:17:14,240 --> 00:17:16,159 Speaker 1: where do they think the American people is going to 289 00:17:16,160 --> 00:17:20,520 Speaker 1: spend this money? Can you get health insurance coverage without 290 00:17:20,520 --> 00:17:25,800 Speaker 1: paying an insurance company? I mean, I guess unless we're 291 00:17:25,840 --> 00:17:28,720 Speaker 1: going to be doing Medicare. 292 00:17:28,280 --> 00:17:30,480 Speaker 2: For all, is that the plan. 293 00:17:31,000 --> 00:17:33,000 Speaker 1: I don't think that's going to be the plan that 294 00:17:33,040 --> 00:17:35,840 Speaker 1: comes from the Republican side of the aisle. But if 295 00:17:35,880 --> 00:17:40,680 Speaker 1: you don't want to pay insurance companies, who else do 296 00:17:40,720 --> 00:17:42,879 Speaker 1: you pay? And if you would like to get rid 297 00:17:42,920 --> 00:17:46,240 Speaker 1: of the insurance companies, if you hate insurance companies, Bernie 298 00:17:46,280 --> 00:17:50,600 Speaker 1: Sanders would love to talk with you. He's got a plan, Republicans. 299 00:17:50,640 --> 00:17:53,119 Speaker 1: If you don't like insurance companies and you don't want 300 00:17:53,119 --> 00:17:56,840 Speaker 1: to pay insurance companies, He's got a terrific idea, just 301 00:17:56,960 --> 00:18:01,440 Speaker 1: do it straight with the government. So it's a strange 302 00:18:01,480 --> 00:18:04,360 Speaker 1: talking point that they're using. But the point is they 303 00:18:04,400 --> 00:18:06,760 Speaker 1: know this is not good politics for them. They know 304 00:18:06,880 --> 00:18:09,200 Speaker 1: that they have to deal with this, and I think 305 00:18:09,200 --> 00:18:11,680 Speaker 1: they're going to deal with this soon. But this Epstein thing, 306 00:18:12,560 --> 00:18:16,080 Speaker 1: I it's a When I was growing up, there was 307 00:18:16,119 --> 00:18:21,040 Speaker 1: a deodorant commercial for a deodorant called Sure. And this 308 00:18:21,160 --> 00:18:24,920 Speaker 1: is back when we had aerosol deodorance, and you know 309 00:18:25,080 --> 00:18:28,840 Speaker 1: that the aerosol deodorance was gross, you know, thankfully, you know, 310 00:18:28,880 --> 00:18:30,480 Speaker 1: we had such a we were so worried about the 311 00:18:30,480 --> 00:18:32,680 Speaker 1: ozone layer back then. They finally got rid of those things, 312 00:18:32,720 --> 00:18:34,679 Speaker 1: which is there's a whole bunch of us that are 313 00:18:34,720 --> 00:18:36,920 Speaker 1: thankful for that. That was just gross. You walk into 314 00:18:36,960 --> 00:18:41,120 Speaker 1: a gem and you'd always smell that sort of aerosol deodorant. 315 00:18:41,160 --> 00:18:44,080 Speaker 1: It was disgusting. But the Sure, I always said, never 316 00:18:44,160 --> 00:18:48,520 Speaker 1: let them see a sweat was sort of the tagline 317 00:18:48,520 --> 00:18:51,600 Speaker 1: for Sure deodorant. 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Always 345 00:20:25,440 --> 00:20:29,760 Speaker 1: use the code, get the discount. I'm telling you it's excellent, excellent, bright. 346 00:20:33,000 --> 00:20:36,959 Speaker 1: He is clearly nervous about all things ups. It is 347 00:20:37,840 --> 00:20:41,800 Speaker 1: his personal obsession. He is trying to enact political and 348 00:20:41,880 --> 00:20:44,720 Speaker 1: vendettas having to do with it. He is making Marchie 349 00:20:44,760 --> 00:20:48,879 Speaker 1: Taylor Green a martyr. He is giving, he is helping 350 00:20:48,960 --> 00:20:53,680 Speaker 1: get her mainstreamed with independency. She is proudly calling herself, 351 00:20:53,760 --> 00:20:56,880 Speaker 1: you know, Mago without him, And that's. 352 00:20:56,680 --> 00:20:59,040 Speaker 2: The thing, like he is not. You know. 353 00:20:59,080 --> 00:21:03,119 Speaker 1: I do think Thomas Massey, who was a sort of 354 00:21:03,480 --> 00:21:08,080 Speaker 1: America first Conservative before Donald Trump ever showed up. Margie 355 00:21:08,119 --> 00:21:15,399 Speaker 1: Taylor Green's beliefs clearly aligned closer with with a conservative 356 00:21:15,400 --> 00:21:17,639 Speaker 1: that's more in line with Massy than she is with Trump. 357 00:21:18,800 --> 00:21:22,760 Speaker 1: Trump is always as many a Trump advisor will quietly 358 00:21:22,840 --> 00:21:26,119 Speaker 1: let me know, he's always the least Mega person in 359 00:21:26,160 --> 00:21:29,320 Speaker 1: any room you walk into, wherever you go with Maga, 360 00:21:29,760 --> 00:21:33,720 Speaker 1: Trump's the least Maga. And he's become obsessed with the 361 00:21:33,760 --> 00:21:37,119 Speaker 1: deal making overseas he's become obsessed with all the money 362 00:21:37,119 --> 00:21:40,600 Speaker 1: he's making off of his off of his influence in government. 363 00:21:41,440 --> 00:21:45,000 Speaker 1: It's pretty much the opposite of what the true believers 364 00:21:45,040 --> 00:21:49,480 Speaker 1: in MAGA, those that did want to go after the elites, 365 00:21:49,480 --> 00:21:52,600 Speaker 1: who thought the elites were using government to enrich themselves, 366 00:21:54,200 --> 00:21:57,760 Speaker 1: And what's Donald Trump doing using government to enrich himself. 367 00:21:58,600 --> 00:22:01,440 Speaker 1: So look, I wrote it my substeck last week, and 368 00:22:01,480 --> 00:22:04,440 Speaker 1: I think that so far everything is playing out sort 369 00:22:04,480 --> 00:22:08,080 Speaker 1: of exactly out I sort of was laying it out, 370 00:22:08,080 --> 00:22:11,600 Speaker 1: and I think we're going to continue to see it. 371 00:22:11,760 --> 00:22:16,280 Speaker 1: His influence is waning. More Republicans discover every day that 372 00:22:16,359 --> 00:22:20,720 Speaker 1: he will never be on a ballot again, and just 373 00:22:20,800 --> 00:22:22,720 Speaker 1: keep an eye on. So he's already gone after Massi 374 00:22:22,880 --> 00:22:26,600 Speaker 1: and it's not really going that well. Thomas Massey's primary 375 00:22:26,960 --> 00:22:30,520 Speaker 1: is going is May nineteenth, and that's fairly early in 376 00:22:30,560 --> 00:22:32,800 Speaker 1: the primary season. There's a lot more though, you know, 377 00:22:32,840 --> 00:22:34,560 Speaker 1: we have a few states in March, a couple of 378 00:22:34,600 --> 00:22:38,320 Speaker 1: states in April, but most of the primaries are in June, 379 00:22:38,800 --> 00:22:41,560 Speaker 1: than a big chunk in August, and are remaining a 380 00:22:41,560 --> 00:22:47,400 Speaker 1: few in September. If Massi wins, And right now, I'd 381 00:22:47,480 --> 00:22:49,879 Speaker 1: rather be Massy than anybody else in that Republican primary. 382 00:22:49,880 --> 00:22:54,160 Speaker 1: He's had a hard time finding anybody. It's yet going 383 00:22:54,200 --> 00:22:58,399 Speaker 1: to be another reminder that the Emperor is losing his clothes. 384 00:22:58,440 --> 00:23:00,000 Speaker 1: I'm not going to say the Emperor has no clue 385 00:23:00,240 --> 00:23:02,479 Speaker 1: at the moment, but I think the Emperor is starting 386 00:23:02,520 --> 00:23:07,320 Speaker 1: to shed some clothes at the moment. And if he 387 00:23:07,800 --> 00:23:10,120 Speaker 1: is trying to punish somebody and he can't do it right, 388 00:23:10,359 --> 00:23:13,119 Speaker 1: he already lost one big one with Brian Kemp. And 389 00:23:13,200 --> 00:23:15,840 Speaker 1: remember why he turned on Brian Kemp. He turned on 390 00:23:15,880 --> 00:23:20,760 Speaker 1: Brian Camp over January sixth. In the election. He turned 391 00:23:20,800 --> 00:23:24,080 Speaker 1: on Brian Camp because Brian Kemp wouldn't do an illegal 392 00:23:24,200 --> 00:23:31,080 Speaker 1: act right, Brian Kemp wouldn't abide by his by Donald 393 00:23:31,119 --> 00:23:34,520 Speaker 1: Trump's wishes. So again this pattern. The only time Donald 394 00:23:34,520 --> 00:23:37,760 Speaker 1: Trump wants to punish a fellow Republican is when they 395 00:23:37,800 --> 00:23:41,120 Speaker 1: won't go along with something that just is bullshit. Right. 396 00:23:41,280 --> 00:23:43,400 Speaker 1: They won't go along on the Epstein files, they won't 397 00:23:43,400 --> 00:23:45,800 Speaker 1: go along on January sixth, they won't go along on 398 00:23:46,280 --> 00:23:49,199 Speaker 1: the election. And whether they're it's the only time he 399 00:23:49,240 --> 00:23:52,600 Speaker 1: turns on folks. He doesn't ever really turn on him 400 00:23:52,600 --> 00:23:56,600 Speaker 1: over policy. Disagreements. He only turns on him if he 401 00:23:56,800 --> 00:24:00,000 Speaker 1: thinks other people are going to embarrass them him because 402 00:24:00,000 --> 00:24:06,280 Speaker 1: because they won't keep his lie up. And when Massey 403 00:24:06,320 --> 00:24:09,000 Speaker 1: wins that primary in May, it's yet going to be 404 00:24:09,040 --> 00:24:12,640 Speaker 1: another chink in the armor, and it's going to continue 405 00:24:12,640 --> 00:24:16,240 Speaker 1: to open the store and everybody is it's just getting 406 00:24:16,320 --> 00:24:21,280 Speaker 1: easier and easier to separate yourself from Donald Trump, and 407 00:24:21,320 --> 00:24:23,720 Speaker 1: there's going to be these different lease a little small. 408 00:24:24,400 --> 00:24:26,159 Speaker 1: The Epstein vote is going to be a step in 409 00:24:26,200 --> 00:24:28,719 Speaker 1: that direction, and you're going to see one hundred or 410 00:24:28,720 --> 00:24:32,040 Speaker 1: more House members do it. When the Supreme Court rules 411 00:24:32,040 --> 00:24:33,760 Speaker 1: against his tariffs, you're going to see a whole bunch 412 00:24:33,760 --> 00:24:39,879 Speaker 1: of Republicans suddenly find their free trade spines again, and 413 00:24:39,920 --> 00:24:45,960 Speaker 1: they'll put out releases talking about following the Constitution. So 414 00:24:47,400 --> 00:24:49,480 Speaker 1: these little and then you're going to see, you know, 415 00:24:49,560 --> 00:24:54,160 Speaker 1: as people are upset about the costs rising costs, you're 416 00:24:54,200 --> 00:24:58,120 Speaker 1: going to see more in Republicans look for ways to 417 00:24:58,160 --> 00:25:02,840 Speaker 1: potentially separate themselves from the way House, but certainly to 418 00:25:03,040 --> 00:25:06,879 Speaker 1: more directly appeal to voters, either in different ways to 419 00:25:06,920 --> 00:25:09,880 Speaker 1: try to get rid of terrorists the lower costs, or 420 00:25:10,080 --> 00:25:13,000 Speaker 1: to question big tech and what they're doing to raise 421 00:25:13,040 --> 00:25:15,239 Speaker 1: our electric bills with all these data centers that are 422 00:25:15,240 --> 00:25:20,080 Speaker 1: going up all over the place. So I do think 423 00:25:20,119 --> 00:25:25,520 Speaker 1: we are witnessing, like I said before the beginning of 424 00:25:25,680 --> 00:25:31,040 Speaker 1: the lame ducification of Donald Trump. One other thing before 425 00:25:31,040 --> 00:25:32,399 Speaker 1: we get to the interview that I want to get to. 426 00:25:32,440 --> 00:25:36,040 Speaker 1: So I spent Thursday and Friday in Austin, Texas the 427 00:25:36,080 --> 00:25:37,360 Speaker 1: Texas Tribune Festival. 428 00:25:38,119 --> 00:25:39,760 Speaker 2: They have it every year. I've been to it a 429 00:25:39,760 --> 00:25:40,320 Speaker 2: few times. 430 00:25:40,320 --> 00:25:43,639 Speaker 1: They asked me to moderate a conversation with Maryland Governor 431 00:25:43,640 --> 00:25:45,280 Speaker 1: Wes Moore. I think I told you I was doing 432 00:25:45,320 --> 00:25:49,040 Speaker 1: that while I was there. I also it kind of 433 00:25:49,119 --> 00:25:53,480 Speaker 1: unofficially became a bit of a cattle call for twenty 434 00:25:53,560 --> 00:25:56,480 Speaker 1: twenty eight presidential candidates on the Democratic side of the aisle. 435 00:25:57,000 --> 00:26:02,040 Speaker 1: Wes Moore was there, Pete Bootagige there, Tim Walls was there, 436 00:26:02,240 --> 00:26:07,639 Speaker 1: Chris Murphy was there. So, you know, while I'm not 437 00:26:07,680 --> 00:26:09,359 Speaker 1: going to sit here and say it was, you had 438 00:26:09,400 --> 00:26:14,400 Speaker 1: a whole bunch of people looking for twenty twenty eight candidates. 439 00:26:14,440 --> 00:26:16,200 Speaker 1: I think they were there looking for people to fight 440 00:26:16,240 --> 00:26:21,320 Speaker 1: Donald Trump more than anything else. It was interesting the 441 00:26:21,400 --> 00:26:24,600 Speaker 1: various conversations that were had looked. I would say, the 442 00:26:24,640 --> 00:26:27,679 Speaker 1: attendees at the Texas Tribune Festival were folks looking to 443 00:26:27,680 --> 00:26:31,480 Speaker 1: fight Trump. These were folks that are you know, fall 444 00:26:31,600 --> 00:26:33,919 Speaker 1: on the left side of the aisle. They were there 445 00:26:34,000 --> 00:26:38,879 Speaker 1: looking for They're looking for hope, you know, looking for 446 00:26:38,920 --> 00:26:42,520 Speaker 1: a stronger vision in the Democratic Party looking in some cases, 447 00:26:42,560 --> 00:26:44,919 Speaker 1: I think many of them probably were a little further 448 00:26:44,960 --> 00:26:48,639 Speaker 1: to the left than probably the average rank and file 449 00:26:49,520 --> 00:26:54,240 Speaker 1: member of the Democratic Party. And like I said the 450 00:26:54,240 --> 00:26:59,399 Speaker 1: wes More conversation, you know, I was intrigued by the 451 00:26:59,440 --> 00:27:04,360 Speaker 1: sort of the tone he took. He knew this audience 452 00:27:04,440 --> 00:27:07,600 Speaker 1: was very liberal, and yet he didn't try to play 453 00:27:07,600 --> 00:27:11,240 Speaker 1: to the audience. He really hugged the center lane in 454 00:27:11,320 --> 00:27:13,560 Speaker 1: ways that I didn't fully expect him to hug it. 455 00:27:16,000 --> 00:27:19,640 Speaker 1: He made it clear that, you know, he didn't view 456 00:27:19,840 --> 00:27:23,080 Speaker 1: himself as tied to the Democratic Party. He was a Democrat, 457 00:27:23,119 --> 00:27:25,119 Speaker 1: but that didn't mean he would abide by everything the 458 00:27:25,119 --> 00:27:28,440 Speaker 1: Democratic Party was for. I thought that was an interesting distinction. 459 00:27:28,520 --> 00:27:30,520 Speaker 1: Always a little bit easier for governors to say that 460 00:27:30,840 --> 00:27:33,399 Speaker 1: than any other officeholder, but he went out of his 461 00:27:33,440 --> 00:27:37,600 Speaker 1: way to say that. I thought that was intriguing, and 462 00:27:37,640 --> 00:27:39,560 Speaker 1: I do think it's you know, when he goes through. 463 00:27:39,560 --> 00:27:45,400 Speaker 1: I mean, his military experience is you know, I think 464 00:27:45,400 --> 00:27:48,840 Speaker 1: there's some you know, John Kerrey used to get criticized 465 00:27:48,880 --> 00:27:51,399 Speaker 1: by some who thought that he used his military he 466 00:27:51,440 --> 00:27:55,800 Speaker 1: went into the military for political purposes. I don't care 467 00:27:55,840 --> 00:27:58,280 Speaker 1: if somebody went into the military for political purposes. That 468 00:27:58,320 --> 00:28:01,000 Speaker 1: doesn't bother me. But some people think, oh, you're doing 469 00:28:01,040 --> 00:28:03,920 Speaker 1: it to check a box. That isn't why Wes Moore 470 00:28:04,000 --> 00:28:06,359 Speaker 1: joined the military, and that's what he got in. 471 00:28:07,640 --> 00:28:07,880 Speaker 2: You know. 472 00:28:08,000 --> 00:28:13,320 Speaker 1: I I'm not going to sit here and question the 473 00:28:13,359 --> 00:28:17,240 Speaker 1: motive of somebody that chooses to put themselves in a 474 00:28:17,240 --> 00:28:20,800 Speaker 1: position where they could put themselves in harms way because 475 00:28:20,800 --> 00:28:23,200 Speaker 1: they think it'll look good on a political resume. I'm 476 00:28:23,200 --> 00:28:26,000 Speaker 1: not saying some haven't thought about it that in those terms. 477 00:28:26,440 --> 00:28:28,800 Speaker 1: But if you're willing to do that, then I've got 478 00:28:28,800 --> 00:28:34,239 Speaker 1: no problem with that. I appreciate that you're trying to 479 00:28:34,440 --> 00:28:42,440 Speaker 1: have a variety of experiences in order to in order 480 00:28:42,480 --> 00:28:44,320 Speaker 1: to be a better leader if you do get a 481 00:28:44,360 --> 00:28:48,320 Speaker 1: shot at being a small, de democratic leader of this country. 482 00:28:48,760 --> 00:28:51,440 Speaker 1: So I don't think it's a huge deal, but I 483 00:28:51,520 --> 00:28:53,720 Speaker 1: do think his military experience a little bit different. Right 484 00:28:53,760 --> 00:28:58,040 Speaker 1: when you join at seventeen and he was already had 485 00:28:58,080 --> 00:29:01,239 Speaker 1: gone to military school. So I just think he I 486 00:29:01,320 --> 00:29:04,840 Speaker 1: don't think he's a conventional liberal Democrat, is my point. 487 00:29:05,520 --> 00:29:09,280 Speaker 1: And I didn't fully appreciate that until you had, until 488 00:29:09,320 --> 00:29:13,000 Speaker 1: you have this longer conversation, I was intrigued by him. 489 00:29:13,200 --> 00:29:15,560 Speaker 1: I thought it was I thought some of his answers, 490 00:29:16,400 --> 00:29:22,080 Speaker 1: his defensive capitalism was quite interesting. Again, later this week, 491 00:29:22,080 --> 00:29:24,040 Speaker 1: we're going to drop this into the feed, So if 492 00:29:24,080 --> 00:29:26,000 Speaker 1: you want to listen to this conversation, you can listen 493 00:29:26,000 --> 00:29:28,400 Speaker 1: to the whole conversation. I actually used it also this 494 00:29:28,440 --> 00:29:30,440 Speaker 1: week in my new sphere, so those of you that 495 00:29:31,520 --> 00:29:34,520 Speaker 1: are a member of Newsphere, you can check out Sunday 496 00:29:34,600 --> 00:29:37,560 Speaker 1: Night with Chuck Codd. That was a big chunk of 497 00:29:37,600 --> 00:29:41,320 Speaker 1: that interview appeared there as well. But there was one 498 00:29:41,320 --> 00:29:43,040 Speaker 1: other thing I wanted to bring up because both he 499 00:29:43,120 --> 00:29:47,120 Speaker 1: and Tim Walls. I saw Tim Wall's conversation. He was 500 00:29:47,120 --> 00:29:50,760 Speaker 1: in conversation with Jennifer Paul Mary, a longtime Democratic operative, 501 00:29:51,480 --> 00:29:58,040 Speaker 1: and I asked both. Jen asked Tim Walls a question 502 00:29:58,080 --> 00:30:00,719 Speaker 1: about sort of what does Trump do well? And I 503 00:30:00,760 --> 00:30:02,880 Speaker 1: asked a question, what does Trump get right? You know? 504 00:30:04,360 --> 00:30:07,240 Speaker 1: To Wes Moore, some version of it and they both 505 00:30:07,960 --> 00:30:11,600 Speaker 1: said the same thing. You know, he acts, it's moved, 506 00:30:11,600 --> 00:30:14,080 Speaker 1: he moves quickly. I think Tim Wall said, he moves 507 00:30:14,160 --> 00:30:17,760 Speaker 1: quickly and he goes. You know one thing Trump does well, 508 00:30:17,800 --> 00:30:22,160 Speaker 1: what Wes Moore said, is that there's always action. Right. 509 00:30:22,160 --> 00:30:24,600 Speaker 1: He doesn't wait around for a commission. He doesn't have 510 00:30:24,640 --> 00:30:29,600 Speaker 1: a committee to study something before trying to implement it. 511 00:30:29,880 --> 00:30:31,680 Speaker 1: A lot of times he tries to implement things even 512 00:30:31,720 --> 00:30:34,360 Speaker 1: when he doesn't have the authority to do it. But 513 00:30:34,480 --> 00:30:40,360 Speaker 1: he's always but the voter sees him trying to do something, 514 00:30:41,880 --> 00:30:45,680 Speaker 1: sees him trying to fulfill a promise that he made, 515 00:30:45,760 --> 00:30:49,000 Speaker 1: even if it's ends up being kind of an empty fulfillment, 516 00:30:49,440 --> 00:30:53,160 Speaker 1: he still attempts to do it. It tells me that 517 00:30:53,240 --> 00:30:56,440 Speaker 1: the next Democratic president is if there's one thing they're 518 00:30:56,480 --> 00:30:59,920 Speaker 1: going to attempt to emulate from Trump, You're going to 519 00:31:00,000 --> 00:31:02,360 Speaker 1: see a lot more signing ceremonies, a lot more public 520 00:31:02,360 --> 00:31:06,880 Speaker 1: signing ceremonies, a lot more executive orders, a lot more 521 00:31:06,960 --> 00:31:14,200 Speaker 1: attempts at doing rather than studying, and maybe even trying 522 00:31:14,200 --> 00:31:18,920 Speaker 1: to do too much rather than looking back like I 523 00:31:18,960 --> 00:31:22,320 Speaker 1: think many in the Obama years do. And wonder was 524 00:31:22,320 --> 00:31:27,040 Speaker 1: that was the two years that he had full where 525 00:31:27,040 --> 00:31:29,160 Speaker 1: he had fifty nine to sixty Senate seats. He had 526 00:31:29,200 --> 00:31:31,040 Speaker 1: sixty for a while, then it was back to fifty nine. 527 00:31:31,640 --> 00:31:35,600 Speaker 1: A fairly large House majority was that did he was 528 00:31:36,240 --> 00:31:39,480 Speaker 1: getting healthcare? Was great? Should he have just kept pushing 529 00:31:39,520 --> 00:31:43,040 Speaker 1: the envelope, tried to get cap and trade, just pushed, pushed, pushed, 530 00:31:43,600 --> 00:31:46,440 Speaker 1: and because no matter what there was going to be, 531 00:31:46,840 --> 00:31:48,640 Speaker 1: they were going to lose the mid terms, no matter what. 532 00:31:48,720 --> 00:31:51,000 Speaker 1: So you might as well have done as much as 533 00:31:51,000 --> 00:31:54,440 Speaker 1: you can. Because what's the lesson Donald Trump has taken? 534 00:31:55,480 --> 00:31:59,400 Speaker 1: Do as much as you can while you can, because 535 00:31:59,400 --> 00:32:01,080 Speaker 1: you're really there or know how long you're going to 536 00:32:01,080 --> 00:32:04,520 Speaker 1: be there. And I think the fact that both Wesmore 537 00:32:04,520 --> 00:32:07,480 Speaker 1: and Tim Walls that that's one of the lessons those 538 00:32:07,480 --> 00:32:10,360 Speaker 1: that's the initial and when they're asked what does Trump 539 00:32:10,400 --> 00:32:13,640 Speaker 1: do well or what does Trump get right? That both 540 00:32:13,720 --> 00:32:15,520 Speaker 1: of them and I don't think they talk to each 541 00:32:15,520 --> 00:32:18,480 Speaker 1: other about this. I don't think either. I don't think 542 00:32:18,600 --> 00:32:20,960 Speaker 1: More the Wall said at first. I don't think More 543 00:32:21,160 --> 00:32:23,760 Speaker 1: heard Tim Walls say this. It didn't really go viral 544 00:32:23,800 --> 00:32:27,560 Speaker 1: or anything like that. So I don't think he's alone. 545 00:32:27,560 --> 00:32:29,320 Speaker 1: And I've heard this from quite a few other Democrats 546 00:32:29,320 --> 00:32:32,880 Speaker 1: that that they get frustrated. They think when you know, well, 547 00:32:32,880 --> 00:32:36,120 Speaker 1: he's he's signing these executors, they're kind of meaningless. Yeah, 548 00:32:36,240 --> 00:32:38,720 Speaker 1: ninety percent of them are meaningless. But the message to 549 00:32:38,760 --> 00:32:41,920 Speaker 1: the voters is he's trying that he's making an effort, 550 00:32:42,080 --> 00:32:46,440 Speaker 1: that he's doing something. Nobody ever wonders whether you know. 551 00:32:47,960 --> 00:32:53,000 Speaker 1: I think it's why Trump's erratic health isn't hurting him 552 00:32:53,120 --> 00:32:55,520 Speaker 1: quite yet as much as it hurt Biden, because Biden 553 00:32:55,560 --> 00:32:58,040 Speaker 1: didn't look like he was doing as much. So then 554 00:32:58,120 --> 00:33:01,000 Speaker 1: you wondered, why is an age doing as much? So 555 00:33:02,640 --> 00:33:05,240 Speaker 1: it is it is. It was just intriguing that that 556 00:33:06,080 --> 00:33:06,760 Speaker 1: was singled out. 557 00:33:07,080 --> 00:33:08,320 Speaker 2: But again I go back. 558 00:33:08,680 --> 00:33:10,880 Speaker 1: My big takeaway from Wes Moore is that he is 559 00:33:11,920 --> 00:33:15,280 Speaker 1: he is definitely not going to be running as a 560 00:33:15,440 --> 00:33:18,880 Speaker 1: mainstream liberal Democrat. I think he is going to be 561 00:33:19,000 --> 00:33:22,080 Speaker 1: running as something a bit different. And those that are 562 00:33:22,120 --> 00:33:24,920 Speaker 1: thinking this is the second coming of Obama, I would say, 563 00:33:24,920 --> 00:33:26,800 Speaker 1: I think it's more likely the second coming of Bill 564 00:33:26,800 --> 00:33:31,120 Speaker 1: Clinton than it is Barack Obama. For what it's worth. 565 00:33:31,600 --> 00:33:33,200 Speaker 1: All right with that, let me sneak in a break 566 00:33:33,240 --> 00:33:36,960 Speaker 1: and when we come back, my conversation with former Major 567 00:33:37,040 --> 00:33:41,080 Speaker 1: League prospect for the Los Angeles Dodgers. David Lesh, who 568 00:33:41,160 --> 00:33:44,160 Speaker 1: ended up a life as an expert on the Middle East, 569 00:33:44,960 --> 00:33:47,360 Speaker 1: hanging out with the assads every once in a while 570 00:33:47,400 --> 00:33:50,760 Speaker 1: in Syria. So with that, let's sneak in the break 571 00:33:50,760 --> 00:33:56,320 Speaker 1: and when we come back, David Lesh, there's a reason 572 00:33:56,400 --> 00:33:59,360 Speaker 1: results matter more than promises, just like there's a reason. 573 00:33:59,400 --> 00:34:02,920 Speaker 1: Morgan and Morgan is America's largest injury law firm. For 574 00:34:02,960 --> 00:34:06,040 Speaker 1: the last thirty five years, they've recovered twenty five billion 575 00:34:06,080 --> 00:34:09,160 Speaker 1: dollars for more than half a million clients. It includes 576 00:34:09,200 --> 00:34:13,000 Speaker 1: cases where insurance companies offered next to nothing, just hoping 577 00:34:13,040 --> 00:34:15,600 Speaker 1: to get away with paying as little as possible. Morgan 578 00:34:15,640 --> 00:34:18,400 Speaker 1: and Morgan fought back ended up winning millions. In fact, 579 00:34:18,480 --> 00:34:21,600 Speaker 1: in Pennsylvania, one client was awarded twenty six million dollars, 580 00:34:22,080 --> 00:34:25,120 Speaker 1: which was a staggering forty times the amount that the 581 00:34:25,160 --> 00:34:28,440 Speaker 1: insurance company originally offered. That original offer six hundred and 582 00:34:28,440 --> 00:34:31,479 Speaker 1: fifty thousand dollars twenty six million, six hundred and fifty 583 00:34:31,480 --> 00:34:33,680 Speaker 1: thousand dollars. So with more than one thousand lawyers across 584 00:34:33,719 --> 00:34:36,160 Speaker 1: the country, they know how to deliver for everyday people. 585 00:34:36,239 --> 00:34:38,960 Speaker 1: If you're injured, you need a lawyer, You need somebody 586 00:34:38,960 --> 00:34:41,520 Speaker 1: to get your back. Check out for the People dot Com, 587 00:34:41,560 --> 00:34:46,720 Speaker 1: Slash podcast or Dow Pound Law Pound five to nine 588 00:34:46,920 --> 00:34:50,440 Speaker 1: Law on your cell phone. And remember all law firms 589 00:34:50,440 --> 00:34:52,320 Speaker 1: are not the same, So check out Morgan and Morgan. 590 00:34:52,400 --> 00:34:59,319 Speaker 1: Their fee is free unless they win. Well here at 591 00:34:59,320 --> 00:35:03,080 Speaker 1: the check podcast. When you get a book proposal to 592 00:35:03,560 --> 00:35:07,000 Speaker 1: interview somebody, and the book is called Dodgers to Damascus, 593 00:35:08,160 --> 00:35:12,160 Speaker 1: it's almost as if the publication was trying to identify 594 00:35:12,560 --> 00:35:16,759 Speaker 1: me as the target's interview e as a Dodger fan, 595 00:35:16,840 --> 00:35:23,920 Speaker 1: growing up as a political junkie. Now policy junkie a story, 596 00:35:23,960 --> 00:35:25,719 Speaker 1: and this is a biography. The book itself as a 597 00:35:25,719 --> 00:35:29,759 Speaker 1: biography of my guest today, David Lesh, who is who 598 00:35:29,880 --> 00:35:33,480 Speaker 1: began his studies of the Middle East by being a 599 00:35:33,520 --> 00:35:37,200 Speaker 1: prospect for the Los Angeles Dodgers. Well let him in 600 00:35:37,280 --> 00:35:40,960 Speaker 1: some ways, that's exactly what it was, the dream of baseball. 601 00:35:41,480 --> 00:35:46,360 Speaker 1: Like a lot of aspiring baseball players, injuries can sometimes 602 00:35:46,360 --> 00:35:50,160 Speaker 1: get in the way of a career, and you use 603 00:35:50,200 --> 00:35:53,880 Speaker 1: another part of your body, your brain, to pursue another passion, 604 00:35:53,920 --> 00:35:58,480 Speaker 1: which is what David Lesh did. And it's a fascinating 605 00:35:59,360 --> 00:36:02,280 Speaker 1: story and the book is fascinating but sort of lessons 606 00:36:02,280 --> 00:36:05,160 Speaker 1: from baseball to help resolve the Middle East crisis or 607 00:36:05,239 --> 00:36:09,320 Speaker 1: crises plural. So David Lesh joins me now the subject 608 00:36:09,360 --> 00:36:12,080 Speaker 1: of the book. David, welcome to the podcast. It's nice 609 00:36:12,080 --> 00:36:12,480 Speaker 1: to meet you. 610 00:36:12,840 --> 00:36:14,600 Speaker 3: Nice to meet you, too supposed to be. I'm glad 611 00:36:14,600 --> 00:36:16,920 Speaker 3: the book found its way across your desk. That's great. 612 00:36:16,920 --> 00:36:20,560 Speaker 3: So let me ask this. What's it like? 613 00:36:20,600 --> 00:36:23,800 Speaker 1: I mean, it is this. You didn't write the book, 614 00:36:23,880 --> 00:36:30,280 Speaker 1: you participated. It is an authorized biography. That's it's almost. 615 00:36:29,960 --> 00:36:31,520 Speaker 2: Like you're you you you. 616 00:36:31,840 --> 00:36:33,840 Speaker 1: I always say it's sort of it's going to be awkward, 617 00:36:33,840 --> 00:36:36,480 Speaker 1: but it's like you are willing to expose yourself to 618 00:36:36,520 --> 00:36:39,759 Speaker 1: the to the world. And I think when you're when 619 00:36:39,800 --> 00:36:43,000 Speaker 1: somebody writes a biography of somebody that's still alive, right, 620 00:36:43,040 --> 00:36:46,359 Speaker 1: You're You're, that's a lot of you got to You're 621 00:36:46,400 --> 00:36:49,600 Speaker 1: You're always being asked to give more and more. What 622 00:36:49,640 --> 00:36:52,480 Speaker 1: did it feel like to read about yourself through a 623 00:36:52,520 --> 00:36:53,160 Speaker 1: third person? 624 00:36:53,880 --> 00:36:58,000 Speaker 3: It was weird. You definitely are identifying the awkwardness of 625 00:36:58,040 --> 00:37:01,000 Speaker 3: it for me. If I Catherine Cook, who did such 626 00:37:01,000 --> 00:37:04,080 Speaker 3: a wonderful job as an accomplished author, who wrote this 627 00:37:04,120 --> 00:37:06,880 Speaker 3: book and She called me one time. She said, David, 628 00:37:07,160 --> 00:37:09,919 Speaker 3: I'm having trouble writing the last chapter. And I said 629 00:37:09,960 --> 00:37:12,640 Speaker 3: why and she said, because you're still alive. 630 00:37:13,040 --> 00:37:16,959 Speaker 1: You know, that's would be my challenge as a writer 631 00:37:17,000 --> 00:37:19,719 Speaker 1: if I had this assignment. You know, you're you. 632 00:37:21,000 --> 00:37:21,799 Speaker 2: You want to make a. 633 00:37:21,760 --> 00:37:25,920 Speaker 1: Conclusion about somebody's life or legacy, and if they're still alive, 634 00:37:27,160 --> 00:37:29,160 Speaker 1: how do you word it in a way that doesn't 635 00:37:29,160 --> 00:37:32,319 Speaker 1: make them either feel like you're doing their obituary or 636 00:37:32,360 --> 00:37:33,640 Speaker 1: you're taking a shot at them. 637 00:37:33,920 --> 00:37:35,680 Speaker 3: Well, that my wife is over now, you know, I 638 00:37:35,719 --> 00:37:38,880 Speaker 3: can't do anything else. But I'm still active and I 639 00:37:38,880 --> 00:37:40,520 Speaker 3: have a lot to look forward to, I hope. But 640 00:37:40,840 --> 00:37:43,040 Speaker 3: she did a good job. In fact, the last chapter 641 00:37:43,320 --> 00:37:47,759 Speaker 3: is entitled Stay Tuned, which hopefully is a metaphor for 642 00:37:48,520 --> 00:37:50,880 Speaker 3: better and bigger things that I can accomplish in my 643 00:37:50,960 --> 00:37:52,880 Speaker 3: life as we go forward. In all in all ways, 644 00:37:52,880 --> 00:37:56,360 Speaker 3: but it was a very weird experience, and I was 645 00:37:56,400 --> 00:38:00,600 Speaker 3: compelled to be introspective in a way that you know, 646 00:38:00,640 --> 00:38:02,680 Speaker 3: at this age of my life, I didn't, you know, 647 00:38:02,920 --> 00:38:06,640 Speaker 3: figure i'd be doing. And it forced me to look 648 00:38:06,680 --> 00:38:08,759 Speaker 3: at a lot of situations throughout my life. It was 649 00:38:08,800 --> 00:38:12,520 Speaker 3: interesting to see because she interviewed like fifty sixty you know, 650 00:38:12,640 --> 00:38:17,520 Speaker 3: colleagues and friends, family acquaintances, and it was interesting to 651 00:38:17,560 --> 00:38:20,040 Speaker 3: see what they thought of me, and which was much 652 00:38:20,080 --> 00:38:23,400 Speaker 3: better than that I had anticipated, by the way. But 653 00:38:24,320 --> 00:38:27,919 Speaker 3: so it was in a writing experience. It was emotional 654 00:38:28,000 --> 00:38:30,640 Speaker 3: at times because I had to revisit some periods and 655 00:38:30,800 --> 00:38:33,520 Speaker 3: events in my life that you know, had a great 656 00:38:33,560 --> 00:38:37,520 Speaker 3: deal of impact in positive and negative ways. But it 657 00:38:37,560 --> 00:38:40,759 Speaker 3: was really I thought, you know, well done by Catherine. 658 00:38:40,760 --> 00:38:44,080 Speaker 3: A very positive experience overall. 659 00:38:44,760 --> 00:38:49,280 Speaker 1: So let's talk about what what what's drawn you to become, 660 00:38:49,719 --> 00:38:53,279 Speaker 1: you know, the essentially to do all the scholarship that 661 00:38:53,320 --> 00:38:56,160 Speaker 1: it takes to become a Middle East expert. And I 662 00:38:56,239 --> 00:38:59,400 Speaker 1: always I put experts in quotes because an expert of 663 00:38:59,400 --> 00:39:02,880 Speaker 1: what these days it's almost in some ways you're an anthropologist, right, 664 00:39:02,960 --> 00:39:07,239 Speaker 1: You're a civilization you're trying to understand and what it 665 00:39:07,280 --> 00:39:09,719 Speaker 1: really is is, you know, I have my own opinions 666 00:39:09,719 --> 00:39:14,280 Speaker 1: about how we just don't people don't understand the history 667 00:39:14,280 --> 00:39:17,120 Speaker 1: of the Middle East before nineteen forty eight, Right, that's 668 00:39:17,160 --> 00:39:20,920 Speaker 1: my largest frustration in sort of the coverage of stuff. 669 00:39:20,920 --> 00:39:24,200 Speaker 1: But what drew you to it? Why did you want 670 00:39:24,239 --> 00:39:25,759 Speaker 1: to make this your area of expertise. 671 00:39:26,040 --> 00:39:27,839 Speaker 3: Well, I struck out of everything else, chuck. 672 00:39:27,920 --> 00:39:30,960 Speaker 2: So, yeah, there you go. There's the dad pun striking 673 00:39:31,000 --> 00:39:31,400 Speaker 2: out there. 674 00:39:31,440 --> 00:39:35,960 Speaker 3: It is no I think as in most cases, and 675 00:39:36,080 --> 00:39:38,360 Speaker 3: what I hope I'm doing to some of my students 676 00:39:38,360 --> 00:39:40,759 Speaker 3: as a professor now is I had a couple of 677 00:39:40,760 --> 00:39:44,120 Speaker 3: wonderful professors after I, you know, flamed out at baseball 678 00:39:44,160 --> 00:39:46,960 Speaker 3: with the injury, and I went back to undergrad school 679 00:39:47,040 --> 00:39:49,960 Speaker 3: and I had two wonderful, wonderful professors. It was just 680 00:39:50,000 --> 00:39:53,600 Speaker 3: pure luck. I was always extendent International relations. Lou Cantori 681 00:39:53,680 --> 00:39:55,600 Speaker 3: and Robert Freeman were the two. They were well known 682 00:39:55,600 --> 00:39:57,520 Speaker 3: in the field, and they just turned me on to 683 00:39:57,640 --> 00:40:00,560 Speaker 3: a subject that at that time, you know, the seventies 684 00:40:00,560 --> 00:40:04,880 Speaker 3: early eighties, as you well know, it was not covered 685 00:40:05,239 --> 00:40:09,680 Speaker 3: very well or objectively. And so I did the more 686 00:40:09,719 --> 00:40:12,360 Speaker 3: I started studying it, and more importantly, when I started 687 00:40:12,360 --> 00:40:15,719 Speaker 3: traveling there, I just became enamored with that history, with 688 00:40:15,840 --> 00:40:21,560 Speaker 3: the people and why things you know, went off the track, 689 00:40:21,680 --> 00:40:23,880 Speaker 3: so to speak, so much in so many areas in 690 00:40:23,920 --> 00:40:26,520 Speaker 3: the Middle East. I wanted to understand that and hopefully 691 00:40:26,680 --> 00:40:29,200 Speaker 3: later on, as I hope I've done in my books 692 00:40:29,239 --> 00:40:31,760 Speaker 3: to help explain it to an audience. 693 00:40:32,880 --> 00:40:35,600 Speaker 1: So I have a bit of a snarky sort of 694 00:40:36,400 --> 00:40:38,359 Speaker 1: take on when it comes to sort of our what 695 00:40:38,440 --> 00:40:40,680 Speaker 1: I think is our ignorance about the Middle East, which 696 00:40:40,719 --> 00:40:44,319 Speaker 1: is and it comes from being a Jewish American, and 697 00:40:44,360 --> 00:40:48,160 Speaker 1: I'm not a very religious person, but I get I've 698 00:40:48,160 --> 00:40:50,560 Speaker 1: always felt I've never felt as if that part of 699 00:40:50,600 --> 00:40:53,720 Speaker 1: my identity mattered until a whole bunch of other people 700 00:40:53,800 --> 00:40:56,239 Speaker 1: want to tell me it's supposed to matter, and I 701 00:40:56,239 --> 00:40:57,920 Speaker 1: get sort of if I get my back up, I 702 00:40:58,000 --> 00:41:00,759 Speaker 1: joke anytime I hear the word populace, whether it's left 703 00:41:00,760 --> 00:41:02,920 Speaker 1: wing populism or right wing populism, I know the first 704 00:41:02,960 --> 00:41:08,080 Speaker 1: thing they're doing is coming for the Jews. But you know, 705 00:41:08,200 --> 00:41:13,840 Speaker 1: I realized in sort of the in the this was 706 00:41:14,040 --> 00:41:18,080 Speaker 1: began before October seventh, but certainly post October seventh, the 707 00:41:18,160 --> 00:41:22,880 Speaker 1: amount of people that didn't understand the Middle East pre 708 00:41:23,000 --> 00:41:27,640 Speaker 1: nineteen forty eight, and that really the biggest problem we 709 00:41:27,760 --> 00:41:32,160 Speaker 1: had generationally was And then it realized, well. 710 00:41:32,080 --> 00:41:35,239 Speaker 2: How are we taught World War One and World War Two? 711 00:41:36,000 --> 00:41:39,200 Speaker 1: And I think about World War One and we're I'm 712 00:41:39,239 --> 00:41:41,440 Speaker 1: guessing you had a similar grade school experience that I did. 713 00:41:41,640 --> 00:41:43,400 Speaker 1: You're a little bit older than me. But we basically 714 00:41:43,440 --> 00:41:47,759 Speaker 1: I think, you know, probably that fairly consistent education there, 715 00:41:48,520 --> 00:41:50,959 Speaker 1: which was we're taught World War One through the prism 716 00:41:51,040 --> 00:41:54,080 Speaker 1: of World War Two. You know, we screwed Germany too much, 717 00:41:54,200 --> 00:41:56,719 Speaker 1: made him angry and it started the Second War. We 718 00:41:56,800 --> 00:41:59,120 Speaker 1: never talked about the other part of World War One, 719 00:41:59,200 --> 00:42:01,920 Speaker 1: which was the fall of the Ottoman Empire and the 720 00:42:01,960 --> 00:42:04,439 Speaker 1: fact that in some ways, and a couple as I joke, 721 00:42:04,520 --> 00:42:07,080 Speaker 1: a couple of drunk Frenchmen and Brits decided to draw 722 00:42:07,120 --> 00:42:09,919 Speaker 1: straight lines and say you get a country you don't 723 00:42:10,320 --> 00:42:10,759 Speaker 1: you do? 724 00:42:11,000 --> 00:42:11,200 Speaker 3: You know? 725 00:42:11,760 --> 00:42:15,279 Speaker 1: And all of a sudden it's the United States. It's 726 00:42:15,360 --> 00:42:19,080 Speaker 1: left to deal with this mess. Again I'm being it's 727 00:42:19,120 --> 00:42:21,839 Speaker 1: a bit of a snark, but it's it does get 728 00:42:21,840 --> 00:42:24,040 Speaker 1: at what I think is the root issue of our 729 00:42:24,080 --> 00:42:27,359 Speaker 1: misunderstanding of a lot of the Middle East issues, which 730 00:42:27,360 --> 00:42:30,080 Speaker 1: is not understanding how it all broke apart after the 731 00:42:30,080 --> 00:42:30,920 Speaker 1: Ottoman Empire. 732 00:42:31,160 --> 00:42:35,960 Speaker 3: Yeah, exactly. My pet peeve is that Americans in general, Westerners, 733 00:42:36,440 --> 00:42:39,600 Speaker 3: especially Americans, have had this telescopic view toward the Middle East, 734 00:42:39,840 --> 00:42:42,919 Speaker 3: and we need a microscopic view. And the telescopic view 735 00:42:43,160 --> 00:42:46,320 Speaker 3: is quite prejudiced and biased in many different directions. 736 00:42:46,320 --> 00:42:49,960 Speaker 1: Incomplete, absolutely and complete is the best description I think. 737 00:42:50,040 --> 00:42:53,560 Speaker 3: Yeah, and you need that microscopic view. But in today's 738 00:42:53,840 --> 00:42:56,279 Speaker 3: especially as time has gone on, in today's media, as 739 00:42:56,320 --> 00:42:58,880 Speaker 3: you will know, and sound bites and social media and 740 00:42:58,920 --> 00:43:02,760 Speaker 3: so forth pull on information in small bites and small packets, 741 00:43:02,840 --> 00:43:05,640 Speaker 3: and even foreign leaders, you know, they want that one 742 00:43:05,680 --> 00:43:08,480 Speaker 3: page brief less than one page brief instead of reading 743 00:43:08,680 --> 00:43:12,520 Speaker 3: a whole executive summary, even of a particular problem, especially 744 00:43:12,520 --> 00:43:14,720 Speaker 3: a country like the United States, which has so many 745 00:43:14,840 --> 00:43:20,080 Speaker 3: issues all over the world and responsibilities and objectives. For 746 00:43:20,160 --> 00:43:22,960 Speaker 3: a president to focus on one single thing and really 747 00:43:23,040 --> 00:43:25,560 Speaker 3: understand it is very, very unusual unless they have a 748 00:43:25,560 --> 00:43:28,400 Speaker 3: background in it. But yeah, I mean the Ottoman Empire 749 00:43:28,400 --> 00:43:32,080 Speaker 3: and you talk about the two drunk frenchmen that Jordan 750 00:43:32,280 --> 00:43:35,440 Speaker 3: was always said a joke was that Winston Churchill had 751 00:43:35,480 --> 00:43:38,399 Speaker 3: a hiccup and drew that part of Jordan that sticks out. 752 00:43:38,440 --> 00:43:41,200 Speaker 3: But the reality is it was to connect pipelines from 753 00:43:41,200 --> 00:43:44,200 Speaker 3: the Version Gulf to the Mediterranean Sea. So there was 754 00:43:44,239 --> 00:43:48,360 Speaker 3: all strategic reasons behind all of this. And one of 755 00:43:48,360 --> 00:43:50,480 Speaker 3: the things people understand, I think the British and the 756 00:43:50,480 --> 00:43:53,279 Speaker 3: French obviously allied on the Tient powers in World War One, 757 00:43:53,320 --> 00:43:55,520 Speaker 3: but they always saw each other as potential enemies. 758 00:43:55,719 --> 00:43:58,279 Speaker 1: After the war, they were competing for reasons in the 759 00:43:58,280 --> 00:43:59,560 Speaker 1: Middle least, right exactly. 760 00:43:59,640 --> 00:44:02,680 Speaker 3: And so you know, Syke's Pico and all these infamous 761 00:44:02,920 --> 00:44:06,160 Speaker 3: secret wartime agreements were always you know, from each side 762 00:44:06,280 --> 00:44:08,759 Speaker 3: aimed at the other for what they hope would be 763 00:44:08,840 --> 00:44:12,400 Speaker 3: victory and defeating the central Powers, including the Ottoman Empire. 764 00:44:12,440 --> 00:44:14,480 Speaker 3: But you're right, I mean, the fall of the Ottoman 765 00:44:14,520 --> 00:44:18,000 Speaker 3: Empire is sort of glossed over, and it's the Eurocentric 766 00:44:18,040 --> 00:44:22,480 Speaker 3: orientalist view of World War One and what happened with 767 00:44:22,600 --> 00:44:24,960 Speaker 3: the artificial divisions in the Middle East. 768 00:44:25,200 --> 00:44:26,360 Speaker 2: Well, you know, it's interesting. 769 00:44:26,400 --> 00:44:29,759 Speaker 1: This is also this week is the anniversary of Panamanian independence, 770 00:44:30,560 --> 00:44:33,880 Speaker 1: and essentially Panamanian independence came because Teddy Roosevelt cut a 771 00:44:33,920 --> 00:44:37,080 Speaker 1: deal because he wanted to a strip of land to 772 00:44:37,080 --> 00:44:41,359 Speaker 1: build the Panama Canal. So they basically created Panamanian independence, right, 773 00:44:41,800 --> 00:44:44,480 Speaker 1: And it reminds me of sort of how the Europeans 774 00:44:44,640 --> 00:44:46,719 Speaker 1: dealt with the Middle East. It's the same way the 775 00:44:46,840 --> 00:44:48,920 Speaker 1: United States has dealt with Latin America essentially for the 776 00:44:49,000 --> 00:44:52,160 Speaker 1: last hundred years, which is what can you do in 777 00:44:52,160 --> 00:44:54,960 Speaker 1: the region for us? Not what can we do for 778 00:44:55,040 --> 00:44:56,560 Speaker 1: you in the region? Is that. 779 00:44:58,080 --> 00:44:58,920 Speaker 2: Simplistic view? 780 00:44:58,960 --> 00:45:01,360 Speaker 1: But is that how you you would sort of describe 781 00:45:01,480 --> 00:45:05,200 Speaker 1: sort of the Eurocentric relationship with the Middle East over 782 00:45:05,200 --> 00:45:06,080 Speaker 1: the last hundred years. 783 00:45:06,160 --> 00:45:07,520 Speaker 3: Yeah, I thought you were going to say, not the 784 00:45:07,520 --> 00:45:10,320 Speaker 3: one hundredth year, but the anniversary of the Balfour Declaration. 785 00:45:10,320 --> 00:45:12,960 Speaker 1: As we were to that company too agreements. 786 00:45:13,080 --> 00:45:16,719 Speaker 3: But yeah, absolutely, I mean, all countries act in their 787 00:45:16,760 --> 00:45:21,280 Speaker 3: own national interests and if they have leverage in terms 788 00:45:21,280 --> 00:45:24,120 Speaker 3: of those interests, they're going to exercise that leverage. And 789 00:45:24,160 --> 00:45:27,520 Speaker 3: what Israel has done, you know, ever since it came 790 00:45:27,520 --> 00:45:30,080 Speaker 3: into being in nineteen forty eight, And what all countries do, 791 00:45:30,160 --> 00:45:34,280 Speaker 3: the British, the French, the Americans, the Russians, and without 792 00:45:34,280 --> 00:45:37,759 Speaker 3: taking into consideration or very much consideration, the wants and 793 00:45:37,840 --> 00:45:41,319 Speaker 3: needs of the local populations other than that which will 794 00:45:41,320 --> 00:45:45,040 Speaker 3: feed their own strategic interests. And so's that's very, very true. 795 00:45:45,120 --> 00:45:49,319 Speaker 3: And it's you know, the countries in the Middle East 796 00:45:49,360 --> 00:45:52,479 Speaker 3: they lack in many ways of national identity, They lack 797 00:45:52,600 --> 00:45:55,480 Speaker 3: the rulers, lack legitimacy. A lot of that goes all 798 00:45:55,480 --> 00:45:58,719 Speaker 3: the way back to the artificiality of the heartland of 799 00:45:58,719 --> 00:45:59,239 Speaker 3: the Middle East. 800 00:45:59,280 --> 00:46:02,040 Speaker 1: We just created archies right out of these tribal leaders. 801 00:46:01,800 --> 00:46:06,520 Speaker 3: Right monarchies and so called Arab republican regimes that act 802 00:46:06,560 --> 00:46:08,600 Speaker 3: like monarchies because they want to be. You know, the 803 00:46:08,840 --> 00:46:12,600 Speaker 3: Mcadafi and Nassir and Lbark and Osad, they all wanted 804 00:46:12,600 --> 00:46:15,040 Speaker 3: to be. They all wanted to be and were in 805 00:46:15,080 --> 00:46:17,839 Speaker 3: some cases succeeded by their sons, so they turned out 806 00:46:17,840 --> 00:46:22,000 Speaker 3: to be monarchies in effect. 807 00:46:22,920 --> 00:46:27,440 Speaker 1: So who did you have? Which aside did you have 808 00:46:27,719 --> 00:46:30,239 Speaker 1: did you start to strike up her I don't want 809 00:46:30,239 --> 00:46:33,040 Speaker 1: to say relationship, but sort of a conversation with. 810 00:46:33,480 --> 00:46:36,120 Speaker 3: Yeah, that was Bisharl Ossad, who came to power in 811 00:46:36,160 --> 00:46:40,600 Speaker 3: two thousand after his father died. And you know, I'd 812 00:46:40,600 --> 00:46:43,160 Speaker 3: been going to Syria quite some time, and you know, 813 00:46:43,320 --> 00:46:45,759 Speaker 3: I like to consider myself a Middle Eat specialists in 814 00:46:45,760 --> 00:46:49,920 Speaker 3: mediaprent areas, but Syria's is definitely my number one specialty. 815 00:46:49,920 --> 00:46:52,120 Speaker 3: And I traveled the over thirty thirty five times over 816 00:46:52,160 --> 00:46:55,280 Speaker 3: the years, and so I knew I had a pretty 817 00:46:55,280 --> 00:46:57,920 Speaker 3: good network in Syria, particularly in mine academics. And when 818 00:46:57,920 --> 00:47:01,640 Speaker 3: Osade came to power in two thousand, he brought academics 819 00:47:01,680 --> 00:47:04,399 Speaker 3: into the government, which some thought, as you know, hope 820 00:47:04,440 --> 00:47:05,319 Speaker 3: for the future, other things. 821 00:47:05,360 --> 00:47:06,760 Speaker 1: I was just gonna say, there was a brief period 822 00:47:06,800 --> 00:47:09,320 Speaker 1: where they thought maybe he'll be a modernizer, maybe he'll 823 00:47:09,320 --> 00:47:12,200 Speaker 1: be king using right, yeah. 824 00:47:11,960 --> 00:47:15,480 Speaker 3: Exactly, yeah, and or a faisal in Saudi Arabi even 825 00:47:15,520 --> 00:47:18,040 Speaker 3: you know, back in the seventies and and you know 826 00:47:18,080 --> 00:47:20,680 Speaker 3: he was young. He liked Western music, he liked Western 827 00:47:20,800 --> 00:47:23,799 Speaker 3: you know, technological toys. Uh, you know, he was a 828 00:47:23,800 --> 00:47:24,600 Speaker 3: computer nerd. 829 00:47:25,120 --> 00:47:27,960 Speaker 1: And everyone was educated in London, right educated. 830 00:47:27,960 --> 00:47:30,960 Speaker 3: He received uh you know, he was trying to get 831 00:47:30,960 --> 00:47:34,120 Speaker 3: his what is essentially his boor certification ophthalmology in London. 832 00:47:34,160 --> 00:47:36,279 Speaker 3: But people have to remember he only spent you know, 833 00:47:36,320 --> 00:47:39,120 Speaker 3: two years in London. And even though he liked the 834 00:47:39,120 --> 00:47:42,560 Speaker 3: Electric Light Orchestra and Phil Collins and the Beatles, you know, 835 00:47:42,680 --> 00:47:46,400 Speaker 3: his upbringing was molded by, you know, being a child 836 00:47:46,400 --> 00:47:48,960 Speaker 3: of the Arab Israeli conflict, a child of the super 837 00:47:49,040 --> 00:47:51,000 Speaker 3: power conflict when Syria was on the side of the 838 00:47:51,000 --> 00:47:54,160 Speaker 3: Soviet Union in Russia. And mostly most importantly a child 839 00:47:54,160 --> 00:47:57,320 Speaker 3: of Havazalasat, his father, who had a very particular brand 840 00:47:57,320 --> 00:48:00,400 Speaker 3: of authoritarianism in Syria. So those are the things that 841 00:48:00,520 --> 00:48:04,600 Speaker 3: shaped his worldview, and I was very interested in, you know, 842 00:48:04,680 --> 00:48:08,640 Speaker 3: his transition from enthalmologists to ruler. And so I contacted 843 00:48:08,680 --> 00:48:10,640 Speaker 3: one of these academics he brought in who happened to 844 00:48:10,640 --> 00:48:12,719 Speaker 3: be the good friend of mine who was in the 845 00:48:12,760 --> 00:48:15,120 Speaker 3: Minister of Higher Education, and said, hey, you know, I 846 00:48:15,280 --> 00:48:17,279 Speaker 3: like to write a book on him. Can I meet 847 00:48:17,280 --> 00:48:19,719 Speaker 3: with Mischard Alasad? And that's how it all started, and 848 00:48:19,760 --> 00:48:21,680 Speaker 3: a couple of years later, in two thousand and four, 849 00:48:21,760 --> 00:48:22,520 Speaker 3: came into being. 850 00:48:22,920 --> 00:48:26,440 Speaker 1: He's done this with a few Americans over the years, 851 00:48:26,520 --> 00:48:29,600 Speaker 1: like he seems to constantly. You know, there's there's been 852 00:48:29,640 --> 00:48:31,800 Speaker 1: a handful of Americans that I feel like I've had 853 00:48:32,440 --> 00:48:36,120 Speaker 1: that he does want to reach out to the Western side. 854 00:48:36,520 --> 00:48:40,200 Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, he did, and so timing, Yeah, when you 855 00:48:40,239 --> 00:48:43,359 Speaker 3: reached out to me in two thousand and four through 856 00:48:43,400 --> 00:48:45,920 Speaker 3: his ambassador in the United States, he was also a 857 00:48:45,960 --> 00:48:49,840 Speaker 3: friend of mine. It was not a coincidence at that 858 00:48:49,880 --> 00:48:52,200 Speaker 3: time because it was right after the US led invasion 859 00:48:52,719 --> 00:48:56,600 Speaker 3: of Iraq and Syria was slowly turning into a target, 860 00:48:56,680 --> 00:48:59,640 Speaker 3: not slowly, actually quickly turning into a target, whereas before 861 00:49:00,160 --> 00:49:03,239 Speaker 3: the invasion. Right after nine to eleven, American officials were 862 00:49:03,239 --> 00:49:06,480 Speaker 3: saying Syria was helping to save lies with intelligence cooperation 863 00:49:06,600 --> 00:49:10,440 Speaker 3: on El Kaeda. After two thousand and three, now Syria 864 00:49:10,600 --> 00:49:14,319 Speaker 3: was costing American lives because they were allowing Jahadas to 865 00:49:14,320 --> 00:49:17,480 Speaker 3: go through their country and into Iraq, which caused problems 866 00:49:17,920 --> 00:49:20,839 Speaker 3: for the US and its allies. And so you know, 867 00:49:20,960 --> 00:49:24,840 Speaker 3: I was, I was very interested in that transition, but 868 00:49:24,960 --> 00:49:27,880 Speaker 3: he was interested in portraying a more positive image just 869 00:49:27,920 --> 00:49:31,359 Speaker 3: when Syrian US relations, I think were deteriorating quite a bit. 870 00:49:32,560 --> 00:49:34,399 Speaker 1: So let's fast forward. What do you think of what's 871 00:49:34,440 --> 00:49:36,680 Speaker 1: happening in Syria right now? And what kind of faith 872 00:49:36,719 --> 00:49:38,239 Speaker 1: do you have in this new leader? You know, to 873 00:49:38,280 --> 00:49:42,600 Speaker 1: go from a you know, essentially the insurgency to the establishment, 874 00:49:42,719 --> 00:49:46,560 Speaker 1: right whether no matter your political situation, no matter your country, 875 00:49:47,160 --> 00:49:49,280 Speaker 1: insurgents usually have a tough time governing. 876 00:49:49,880 --> 00:49:52,200 Speaker 3: That is the question, isn't it? That is one hundred 877 00:49:52,239 --> 00:49:54,840 Speaker 3: thousand dollars question. I get asked it all the time. 878 00:49:55,160 --> 00:49:57,719 Speaker 3: I ask other people who know the president much more 879 00:49:57,719 --> 00:50:01,399 Speaker 3: intimately than the new president, much more intimately that I do, 880 00:50:01,440 --> 00:50:04,640 Speaker 3: and I still get different responses because we really don't know. 881 00:50:05,040 --> 00:50:07,880 Speaker 3: As you just said, going from revolutionary to ruler is 882 00:50:07,920 --> 00:50:12,200 Speaker 3: a trying process it's not always successful. The revolutionary can't really, 883 00:50:12,680 --> 00:50:16,719 Speaker 3: you know, rule in a way that is different from 884 00:50:16,719 --> 00:50:20,239 Speaker 3: the way that he handled things beforehand. Plus, and this 885 00:50:20,320 --> 00:50:25,160 Speaker 3: is throughout history. When rulers of opposition movements they come 886 00:50:25,200 --> 00:50:28,839 Speaker 3: to power, those that help them come to power want dividends. 887 00:50:29,200 --> 00:50:32,600 Speaker 3: They want you know, they want positions in the in 888 00:50:32,640 --> 00:50:35,440 Speaker 3: the government. They have a certain way of looking at things, 889 00:50:35,520 --> 00:50:36,760 Speaker 3: especially if they come from. 890 00:50:36,680 --> 00:50:40,560 Speaker 1: Certain superpowers, believe they should get a little little extra 891 00:50:40,640 --> 00:50:41,839 Speaker 1: something as well all the time. 892 00:50:41,920 --> 00:50:45,200 Speaker 3: Yeah, they want not just a little they want on 893 00:50:45,280 --> 00:50:50,319 Speaker 3: everything that so Ama Shaddah, the new president. You know, 894 00:50:51,040 --> 00:50:55,000 Speaker 3: on the one hand, the Israelis, quite frankly, they're skeptical 895 00:50:55,560 --> 00:50:58,600 Speaker 3: and after October seven, twenty twenty three, and this mcbunker 896 00:50:58,680 --> 00:51:01,360 Speaker 3: mentality that they have now, they're want to air in 897 00:51:01,400 --> 00:51:03,560 Speaker 3: the side of caution. And most of the Israelis I've 898 00:51:03,560 --> 00:51:06,160 Speaker 3: talked to in the military and politically, you know, they 899 00:51:06,200 --> 00:51:12,400 Speaker 3: see that Ahma Shada's turn toward moderation, pragmatism, wanting inclusive 900 00:51:12,440 --> 00:51:16,560 Speaker 3: government is more a tactical maneuver than something that represents 901 00:51:16,600 --> 00:51:18,560 Speaker 3: a true change. That he's going to revert to his 902 00:51:18,640 --> 00:51:21,439 Speaker 3: Jahada's roots at some point. And yet others I've talked 903 00:51:21,480 --> 00:51:24,840 Speaker 3: to that know him actually personally. One NGO in London 904 00:51:25,080 --> 00:51:28,920 Speaker 3: knew him for ten years and they are convinced he 905 00:51:29,000 --> 00:51:32,680 Speaker 3: is pragmatic. He has changed. You know, he's going to 906 00:51:32,680 --> 00:51:36,080 Speaker 3: be visiting Washington a week from today and meeting with 907 00:51:36,160 --> 00:51:39,080 Speaker 3: Trump and they'll probably serial will sign on to the 908 00:51:39,120 --> 00:51:42,080 Speaker 3: Anti ISIS coalition, which is supposed to be a big deal. 909 00:51:42,120 --> 00:51:45,520 Speaker 3: But they've been helping in terms of intelligence cooperation with 910 00:51:45,560 --> 00:51:48,440 Speaker 3: the US and tracking down Okada and isis outbart Is 911 00:51:48,680 --> 00:51:50,560 Speaker 3: when he was an IDLIB for the last decade. Now, 912 00:51:50,640 --> 00:51:53,080 Speaker 3: he did that because he wanted to clear out and 913 00:51:52,520 --> 00:51:57,960 Speaker 3: he helped clear out an any opposition or COMPETI zone. 914 00:51:58,000 --> 00:51:59,440 Speaker 1: I was just going to say, this is a classic 915 00:51:59,440 --> 00:52:02,080 Speaker 1: case the enemy of my enemy as my house exactly exactly. 916 00:52:02,520 --> 00:52:05,200 Speaker 3: But we've had this relationship with him for a while 917 00:52:05,800 --> 00:52:09,520 Speaker 3: that has been tactical and opportunistic. I mean all leaders 918 00:52:09,560 --> 00:52:13,400 Speaker 3: are opportunistic, they want power, they're egotistical. But if it 919 00:52:13,400 --> 00:52:15,360 Speaker 3: could be molded and it couldn't raise, so to speak, 920 00:52:15,360 --> 00:52:25,920 Speaker 3: in a way, the population stability than Okay, So the. 921 00:52:25,920 --> 00:52:27,520 Speaker 1: First person that popped in my head when you were 922 00:52:27,520 --> 00:52:29,560 Speaker 1: talking about this debate, you know, no he's a secret 923 00:52:29,600 --> 00:52:33,279 Speaker 1: jihadis No, he's a pragmatist. Was air to one? Yeah, right, 924 00:52:33,320 --> 00:52:35,239 Speaker 1: we've had the same debate about air to one now 925 00:52:35,320 --> 00:52:36,640 Speaker 1: for almost twenty years. 926 00:52:37,040 --> 00:52:38,239 Speaker 2: No, he can be dealt with. 927 00:52:38,440 --> 00:52:40,920 Speaker 1: No, he's you know, at the end of the day, 928 00:52:40,960 --> 00:52:44,720 Speaker 1: he's still Muslim brotherhood, right, Like, there's this and yet 929 00:52:44,880 --> 00:52:48,239 Speaker 1: you know Israel at times doesn't want to deal with him. 930 00:52:48,239 --> 00:52:49,440 Speaker 2: But he's a necessary you. 931 00:52:49,360 --> 00:52:51,440 Speaker 1: Know, he's also the head of a country that's a 932 00:52:51,440 --> 00:52:55,560 Speaker 1: member of NATO, right, Like, there's this necessity. How would 933 00:52:55,640 --> 00:52:59,560 Speaker 1: you characterize the new leader of Syria through the prism 934 00:52:59,600 --> 00:53:01,400 Speaker 1: of air to wore like is he? Is it the 935 00:53:01,400 --> 00:53:08,359 Speaker 1: same type of unsurreness about where their real biases lie? 936 00:53:08,760 --> 00:53:10,600 Speaker 3: Yeah? I think so. I mean, I think we're on 937 00:53:10,640 --> 00:53:15,280 Speaker 3: the road to a sectarian majoritarian state where his Sunni faction, 938 00:53:16,120 --> 00:53:21,120 Speaker 3: particularly a much more conservative branch of Sunni is Law, 939 00:53:22,400 --> 00:53:24,320 Speaker 3: are going to dominate things in Syria. 940 00:53:24,920 --> 00:53:27,600 Speaker 1: If the actually does this mean he's going to get 941 00:53:27,640 --> 00:53:30,080 Speaker 1: a lot of funding from MBS ANDBZ and oh yeah, 942 00:53:30,320 --> 00:53:31,280 Speaker 1: oh yeah, as. 943 00:53:31,080 --> 00:53:34,160 Speaker 3: He did as they did during the opposition times and well, 944 00:53:34,280 --> 00:53:36,080 Speaker 3: you know, this reminds me you were talking about. This 945 00:53:36,120 --> 00:53:38,920 Speaker 3: reminds me nineteen fifties, when we're talking about history in 946 00:53:38,920 --> 00:53:41,520 Speaker 3: the Middle East, there was this wonderful political science term 947 00:53:41,560 --> 00:53:45,239 Speaker 3: that the US applied to these authoritarian leaders. It was 948 00:53:45,239 --> 00:53:50,000 Speaker 3: called transitional authoritarianism, where you know, we support these guys 949 00:53:50,040 --> 00:53:53,680 Speaker 3: because they support US interests with military, political aid to police. 950 00:53:53,840 --> 00:53:55,840 Speaker 1: It's why they all hate us. In Latin America, we 951 00:53:55,840 --> 00:53:58,319 Speaker 1: always supported whoever was on our side, not whether they 952 00:53:58,360 --> 00:53:59,560 Speaker 1: were smalldy democrats. 953 00:53:59,719 --> 00:54:01,960 Speaker 3: Yeah, and we thought they would transition, right, that they 954 00:54:02,000 --> 00:54:05,320 Speaker 3: would transition to democracy. But yeah, oh wow, they live power. 955 00:54:05,360 --> 00:54:06,719 Speaker 3: They want to stay in power. And this is how 956 00:54:06,719 --> 00:54:08,799 Speaker 3: we got with the Shavaran as well, you know, all 957 00:54:08,800 --> 00:54:11,759 Speaker 3: these other guys. So you know, I see this playbook 958 00:54:11,800 --> 00:54:14,640 Speaker 3: again happening with Syria. We're going to be acting in 959 00:54:14,680 --> 00:54:17,360 Speaker 3: our strategic interests as well as Israel. We want to 960 00:54:17,400 --> 00:54:19,719 Speaker 3: keep Iran out, we want to keep the Russians at 961 00:54:19,760 --> 00:54:23,319 Speaker 3: bay in Syria and hope that it just doesn't implode 962 00:54:24,440 --> 00:54:25,839 Speaker 3: into another civil war. 963 00:54:26,239 --> 00:54:30,319 Speaker 1: So can Syria become a democracy pledgling democracy all our 964 00:54:30,400 --> 00:54:32,000 Speaker 1: rock can it? 965 00:54:33,080 --> 00:54:38,040 Speaker 3: Sure? Absolutely, they all can become democracies under certain circumstances. 966 00:54:38,040 --> 00:54:41,200 Speaker 3: It's like, well, those circumstances ever arise and not just 967 00:54:41,280 --> 00:54:43,640 Speaker 3: the you know, the larger ones, big ones, but in 968 00:54:43,719 --> 00:54:47,080 Speaker 3: terms of literacy, literacy rates, in terms of civil society, 969 00:54:47,120 --> 00:54:49,200 Speaker 3: all of these things that happen, in terms of economic 970 00:54:49,239 --> 00:54:52,000 Speaker 3: output and economic opportunity, all these things have to happen 971 00:54:52,200 --> 00:54:54,200 Speaker 3: before we get to the big questions of you know, 972 00:54:54,239 --> 00:54:56,480 Speaker 3: who can vote and how many people get to vote, 973 00:54:57,120 --> 00:55:01,760 Speaker 3: so you know it can happen. But you know, ninety 974 00:55:01,760 --> 00:55:04,200 Speaker 3: percent of the country is in the poverty rate. The 975 00:55:04,239 --> 00:55:07,600 Speaker 3: country has been dealing with fifteen years of withering international sanctions. 976 00:55:08,440 --> 00:55:13,279 Speaker 3: It's a population that's highly fragmented and militarized, with independent militias, 977 00:55:13,320 --> 00:55:17,480 Speaker 3: with drug mafias, with a rapacious warlords roaming around that 978 00:55:17,520 --> 00:55:21,120 Speaker 3: have more power than the national army. And you have 979 00:55:21,520 --> 00:55:25,160 Speaker 3: these sectarian fortresses which were created with the breakdown of 980 00:55:25,160 --> 00:55:27,160 Speaker 3: the state during the Syrians of a war. They you know, 981 00:55:27,200 --> 00:55:30,160 Speaker 3: you naturally retreat into your sectarian fortress and you look 982 00:55:30,200 --> 00:55:34,640 Speaker 3: at the other sex as a heathen scum that must 983 00:55:34,680 --> 00:55:37,680 Speaker 3: be eliminated from the world. And so how do you 984 00:55:37,800 --> 00:55:42,040 Speaker 3: piece all that together? And it's gonna take a long time. 985 00:55:43,280 --> 00:55:45,600 Speaker 3: A lot of patients. It may have to go through 986 00:55:45,840 --> 00:55:49,680 Speaker 3: various iterations of who is in power and hopefully not 987 00:55:49,840 --> 00:55:51,160 Speaker 3: another all out of civil war. 988 00:55:51,680 --> 00:55:55,520 Speaker 1: So the what is I mean, what country has a 989 00:55:55,560 --> 00:55:59,720 Speaker 1: shot at trying democracy next after a rock? And why 990 00:55:59,800 --> 00:56:03,520 Speaker 1: are you surprised that Iraq is still sort of a democracy. 991 00:56:03,280 --> 00:56:05,680 Speaker 3: Sort of being the operative. 992 00:56:05,360 --> 00:56:07,920 Speaker 1: No, I mean it's not not a democracy. You know, 993 00:56:07,960 --> 00:56:08,760 Speaker 1: it's not Egypt. 994 00:56:09,120 --> 00:56:10,120 Speaker 2: You know what is? 995 00:56:10,440 --> 00:56:12,960 Speaker 3: Are we a democracy? You know? We have electoral college? 996 00:56:13,000 --> 00:56:13,680 Speaker 3: You know something? 997 00:56:13,920 --> 00:56:17,120 Speaker 1: I mean, you know, do the people have an advanced 998 00:56:17,160 --> 00:56:19,640 Speaker 1: to change the government in this country? And I still 999 00:56:19,640 --> 00:56:20,560 Speaker 1: say the answers. 1000 00:56:20,320 --> 00:56:24,880 Speaker 3: Yes, yeah. And so in Iraq. One of the problems, 1001 00:56:24,920 --> 00:56:27,200 Speaker 3: and this may be the future of Syria is you 1002 00:56:27,280 --> 00:56:29,560 Speaker 3: have the Kurdish Autonomous Zone in the north. 1003 00:56:30,239 --> 00:56:31,759 Speaker 2: I want to bring up the Kurds in a minute 1004 00:56:31,760 --> 00:56:32,400 Speaker 2: here yet. 1005 00:56:32,440 --> 00:56:35,839 Speaker 3: Which is virtually an independent country and actually doing much 1006 00:56:35,840 --> 00:56:37,120 Speaker 3: better than the rest of them. 1007 00:56:37,400 --> 00:56:39,920 Speaker 1: I don't know why we don't support a Kurdistan. I mean, 1008 00:56:39,960 --> 00:56:42,400 Speaker 1: I know why we don't because Turkey loses. 1009 00:56:42,120 --> 00:56:44,840 Speaker 3: Turkey Walton, Iran walten, Iraq walten. 1010 00:56:45,719 --> 00:56:48,120 Speaker 2: Why you know, all those countries don't want it. 1011 00:56:48,160 --> 00:56:53,880 Speaker 1: But you know, isn't the isn't the exposure of Iran 1012 00:56:54,440 --> 00:56:57,480 Speaker 1: of being a paper tiger make the idea of a 1013 00:56:57,560 --> 00:56:58,800 Speaker 1: Kurdistan more possible. 1014 00:56:59,400 --> 00:57:01,680 Speaker 3: I think think so in the sense that they won't 1015 00:57:01,960 --> 00:57:04,479 Speaker 3: cause as much trouble in a Rock. And that goes 1016 00:57:04,480 --> 00:57:06,799 Speaker 3: for what you were saying earlier, the possibility of Rock 1017 00:57:06,840 --> 00:57:10,040 Speaker 3: becoming more of a democracy. I think Iran's being exposed 1018 00:57:10,080 --> 00:57:14,040 Speaker 3: and being severely weakened has helped or increase the possibility 1019 00:57:14,040 --> 00:57:16,880 Speaker 3: of a Rock becoming a functioning democracy, has increased the 1020 00:57:16,880 --> 00:57:22,920 Speaker 3: possibility of Lebanon becoming a functional democracy, and maybe maybe Syria, 1021 00:57:23,080 --> 00:57:26,240 Speaker 3: you know, down the road. But you know, at this point, 1022 00:57:26,400 --> 00:57:28,880 Speaker 3: you know, I have a low bar of successors. 1023 00:57:29,280 --> 00:57:32,120 Speaker 1: How any Middle East expert is it going to ever 1024 00:57:32,160 --> 00:57:32,520 Speaker 1: be too? 1025 00:57:32,560 --> 00:57:37,120 Speaker 3: Sadly, I just want stability and you know, benevolent governance 1026 00:57:38,000 --> 00:57:38,840 Speaker 3: in these countries. 1027 00:57:39,240 --> 00:57:40,240 Speaker 2: Well, it's interesting. 1028 00:57:40,240 --> 00:57:42,160 Speaker 1: I have a colleague who just came back from Iran, 1029 00:57:42,600 --> 00:57:45,680 Speaker 1: spent about two weeks here doing some reporting, touching base 1030 00:57:45,720 --> 00:57:49,800 Speaker 1: with some sources again, and he came back pretty convinced 1031 00:57:49,840 --> 00:57:51,800 Speaker 1: that the Iatolas are not going to be able to 1032 00:57:51,840 --> 00:57:54,960 Speaker 1: hold power when this one dies. That is that this 1033 00:57:55,080 --> 00:57:57,480 Speaker 1: is the next big crisis in the Middle East is 1034 00:57:57,520 --> 00:58:01,920 Speaker 1: going to be Iranian instability, and that it's sort of 1035 00:58:01,960 --> 00:58:05,520 Speaker 1: the It is, on one hand, something we've been wanting 1036 00:58:05,760 --> 00:58:08,919 Speaker 1: right as a policy outcome, and yet are we really 1037 00:58:08,960 --> 00:58:09,600 Speaker 1: ready for it? 1038 00:58:09,760 --> 00:58:12,880 Speaker 3: What say you, Yeah, be careful what you want right, right, 1039 00:58:12,960 --> 00:58:14,760 Speaker 3: and careful what you wish for. I guess that's one 1040 00:58:14,760 --> 00:58:17,880 Speaker 3: of the reasons why you know, NBS in Saudi Arabia 1041 00:58:18,000 --> 00:58:21,280 Speaker 3: wants that security pack so desperate, as well as access 1042 00:58:21,320 --> 00:58:25,720 Speaker 3: to nuclear technology because of that anticipation of instability perhaps 1043 00:58:25,720 --> 00:58:28,640 Speaker 3: in the future in Iran, and what might what might 1044 00:58:28,680 --> 00:58:31,640 Speaker 3: take over in Iran if the iatolas fall? You know, 1045 00:58:31,680 --> 00:58:34,760 Speaker 3: will it becomes Sometimes when the boogeyman falls, it's not 1046 00:58:34,800 --> 00:58:38,400 Speaker 3: necessarily what we want comes into power, something even perhaps worse. 1047 00:58:38,800 --> 00:58:39,960 Speaker 2: Well, we saw that in Egypt. 1048 00:58:40,200 --> 00:58:41,240 Speaker 3: We saw that in Egypt. 1049 00:58:41,320 --> 00:58:43,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, suddenly you're like, well, wait a minute, we'd like 1050 00:58:43,760 --> 00:58:45,440 Speaker 1: that military dictatorship back please. 1051 00:58:45,640 --> 00:58:47,720 Speaker 3: Yeah, democracy is great as long as they left the 1052 00:58:47,720 --> 00:58:51,760 Speaker 3: person we like, right, And but Iran I agree with that. 1053 00:58:51,800 --> 00:58:55,080 Speaker 3: I agree with your colleagues observation. I think Iran is 1054 00:58:55,080 --> 00:58:55,880 Speaker 3: on the precipice. 1055 00:58:56,280 --> 00:58:58,560 Speaker 1: You know that this was a really it's really the 1056 00:58:58,800 --> 00:59:03,040 Speaker 1: unpopularity of the of the aetolas are huge, the distrust 1057 00:59:03,200 --> 00:59:06,480 Speaker 1: and then the fact that they so easily folded right, 1058 00:59:06,520 --> 00:59:09,960 Speaker 1: there was just there's no longer I mean, yes, they're 1059 00:59:10,000 --> 00:59:15,400 Speaker 1: still brutalizing opposition, domestic opposition. They're still trying to be 1060 00:59:15,440 --> 00:59:19,160 Speaker 1: an authoritarian state. But they've certainly there's not a lot 1061 00:59:19,160 --> 00:59:20,680 Speaker 1: of fear anymore of the Iotolis. 1062 00:59:20,800 --> 00:59:24,640 Speaker 3: Yeah. And it's not so they folded. It's not so 1063 00:59:24,720 --> 00:59:27,640 Speaker 3: much that they were beaten, they were obliterated. 1064 00:59:28,200 --> 00:59:28,919 Speaker 2: Yeah. 1065 00:59:28,960 --> 00:59:32,640 Speaker 3: You know, despite all of this, you know, supposed deterrence 1066 00:59:32,640 --> 00:59:36,640 Speaker 3: between Israel and Iran, and then Israel goes and takes 1067 00:59:36,640 --> 00:59:39,640 Speaker 3: out his Belah in the most and most unique way, 1068 00:59:40,640 --> 00:59:44,520 Speaker 3: and then a sad falls and the only viable and 1069 00:59:44,600 --> 00:59:47,440 Speaker 3: then Hamas of course is terribly weakened. The only viable 1070 00:59:47,640 --> 00:59:50,000 Speaker 3: you know, proxy militia is the Huthis now and Yemen. 1071 00:59:50,080 --> 00:59:54,360 Speaker 3: But Iran is weakened their image. I think even more importantly, 1072 00:59:54,400 --> 00:59:58,640 Speaker 3: their image has just gone down the tubes with regional powers. Uh. 1073 00:59:58,760 --> 01:00:00,600 Speaker 3: And I think we can see a real clignment of this. 1074 01:00:00,880 --> 01:00:02,960 Speaker 3: But what will happen in Iran? Iran has always been 1075 01:00:03,200 --> 01:00:05,720 Speaker 3: reviewed as the prize, along as already being the Gulf, 1076 01:00:06,280 --> 01:00:08,560 Speaker 3: So there are gonna be a lot of eyes the prize. 1077 01:00:08,840 --> 01:00:10,439 Speaker 1: I mean, I look at it as if Iran ever 1078 01:00:10,720 --> 01:00:13,480 Speaker 1: decides to be a Western democracy, watch out. They're going 1079 01:00:13,560 --> 01:00:15,960 Speaker 1: to be an economic powerhouse. 1080 01:00:16,120 --> 01:00:18,840 Speaker 3: Oh absolutely, And I mean they've got the largest natural 1081 01:00:18,920 --> 01:00:21,520 Speaker 3: gas reserves in the world, large oil reserves, and they 1082 01:00:21,520 --> 01:00:23,600 Speaker 3: have the minerals if they can just get their act together. 1083 01:00:23,640 --> 01:00:26,240 Speaker 3: Of course, we could say it about Venezuela. We could 1084 01:00:26,240 --> 01:00:28,720 Speaker 3: say it about you know, you didn't say it about Syria, 1085 01:00:28,800 --> 01:00:31,360 Speaker 3: you know. I mean Syrians for years have always told 1086 01:00:31,400 --> 01:00:33,720 Speaker 3: me we'd be much better allies than the Israelis, would 1087 01:00:33,760 --> 01:00:35,600 Speaker 3: you know we would. We wouldn't undercut you as much 1088 01:00:35,640 --> 01:00:39,120 Speaker 3: as the Israelis have done, and I'm sure the Iranians 1089 01:00:39,320 --> 01:00:41,080 Speaker 3: would would try to do it after all. I mean 1090 01:00:41,120 --> 01:00:44,280 Speaker 3: it's a you know, far COO's Arabic script is an 1091 01:00:44,320 --> 01:00:46,760 Speaker 3: Indo European language, you know, and they have this past 1092 01:00:46,920 --> 01:00:49,200 Speaker 3: that aligns with the West in some ways. 1093 01:00:49,840 --> 01:00:53,200 Speaker 1: So what do you make of the of this, of 1094 01:00:53,240 --> 01:00:56,520 Speaker 1: this idea that the Middle East is essentially now the 1095 01:00:56,640 --> 01:00:59,360 Speaker 1: rules are being written by the Israelis and the Gulf States. 1096 01:01:00,680 --> 01:01:03,480 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think there's a lot to that. I think 1097 01:01:03,880 --> 01:01:07,400 Speaker 3: Israel is at its at its apex of power in 1098 01:01:07,600 --> 01:01:08,080 Speaker 3: the region. 1099 01:01:08,160 --> 01:01:11,640 Speaker 1: Well it's funny apex of military power, but at a 1100 01:01:11,800 --> 01:01:14,600 Speaker 1: nator in influence, right. 1101 01:01:15,560 --> 01:01:17,640 Speaker 3: I don't know. I wouldn't. I wouldn't say that because 1102 01:01:17,640 --> 01:01:20,120 Speaker 3: military power speaks a great deal on that part of 1103 01:01:20,160 --> 01:01:23,960 Speaker 3: the world. Yeah, and they are isolated international, but how 1104 01:01:24,000 --> 01:01:26,760 Speaker 3: often does diplomatic isolation last when you need them, you know, 1105 01:01:26,800 --> 01:01:29,160 Speaker 3: when they when they are on your strategic side, and 1106 01:01:29,160 --> 01:01:31,560 Speaker 3: that goes out, that was out the window. So I 1107 01:01:31,560 --> 01:01:34,080 Speaker 3: don't I don't think the Israelis ever really worry about 1108 01:01:34,120 --> 01:01:36,200 Speaker 3: that too much. They're going to do what they want 1109 01:01:36,240 --> 01:01:38,640 Speaker 3: to do. They they're going to do what they feel 1110 01:01:38,720 --> 01:01:42,040 Speaker 3: is in their strategic objectives, and and they have done that. 1111 01:01:42,120 --> 01:01:44,280 Speaker 3: I mean, look at this, Chuck, I mean that they 1112 01:01:44,360 --> 01:01:45,120 Speaker 3: bomb Cutter. 1113 01:01:45,240 --> 01:01:48,520 Speaker 1: I think it's remarkable. You know, look, it's really frustrating 1114 01:01:48,560 --> 01:01:53,080 Speaker 1: to me because you know, look, if they had the 1115 01:01:53,120 --> 01:01:54,920 Speaker 1: way they managed the way they did the war in 1116 01:01:54,960 --> 01:01:57,520 Speaker 1: Gaza versus the way they did Hesbela, it's like night 1117 01:01:57,560 --> 01:02:00,400 Speaker 1: and day. Right, it was the you know, you could tell, 1118 01:02:00,440 --> 01:02:03,480 Speaker 1: as I said, bb let IDF do its thing with 1119 01:02:03,560 --> 01:02:08,040 Speaker 1: Iran and with with Hesbelah. They micro managed all things 1120 01:02:08,080 --> 01:02:11,200 Speaker 1: Gaza through the lens of domestic politics, which is why 1121 01:02:11,240 --> 01:02:14,480 Speaker 1: that's turned into an utter nightmare. Right. 1122 01:02:14,880 --> 01:02:16,920 Speaker 3: No, I agree, I mean they strategically took out his 1123 01:02:17,000 --> 01:02:20,920 Speaker 3: blow in a very phase step way, very strategic way, 1124 01:02:20,960 --> 01:02:22,680 Speaker 3: brilliant way in the same. 1125 01:02:22,480 --> 01:02:26,120 Speaker 1: Thing the way that we had come to be exactly 1126 01:02:26,120 --> 01:02:28,760 Speaker 1: that many admire the Israelis about like they did with Munich. 1127 01:02:28,880 --> 01:02:31,360 Speaker 1: They treated Hesbelah like they did the Munich terrorists, you. 1128 01:02:31,360 --> 01:02:35,320 Speaker 3: Knoweah, exactly, and they use the bulldozer in Ghaza, and. 1129 01:02:35,560 --> 01:02:38,600 Speaker 1: Which is why they have this weird moment where they 1130 01:02:38,600 --> 01:02:44,000 Speaker 1: have maximized military power but problems with you know, but 1131 01:02:44,000 --> 01:02:45,840 Speaker 1: they're pretty isolated in the in the world. 1132 01:02:45,920 --> 01:02:49,800 Speaker 3: Yeah again, they bomb Cutter, and no Arab countries that 1133 01:02:49,840 --> 01:02:53,720 Speaker 3: are at peace with Israel break relations with it, you know, 1134 01:02:54,160 --> 01:02:54,840 Speaker 3: not even Cuting. 1135 01:02:54,880 --> 01:02:58,959 Speaker 2: You're right, it's astonishing. It was so brazenishing moment. 1136 01:02:59,000 --> 01:03:01,640 Speaker 3: It's an amazing moment. And and talks about how those 1137 01:03:01,680 --> 01:03:05,880 Speaker 3: shifts have occurred in the region UH and UH and 1138 01:03:05,920 --> 01:03:09,720 Speaker 3: the and the importance of the Gulf state's intelligence cooperation, 1139 01:03:09,880 --> 01:03:12,640 Speaker 3: economic cooperation that they've had with th REELL for for 1140 01:03:12,800 --> 01:03:16,640 Speaker 3: years prior to you know, some of them establishing relations. 1141 01:03:17,000 --> 01:03:21,120 Speaker 3: So this is this is absolutely a sea change for me. 1142 01:03:21,840 --> 01:03:24,280 Speaker 3: And I see Syria coming on board if this current 1143 01:03:24,480 --> 01:03:28,080 Speaker 3: uh UH government stays in power and follows along the 1144 01:03:28,120 --> 01:03:31,240 Speaker 3: line they're doing at least signing a security arrangement with 1145 01:03:31,440 --> 01:03:34,160 Speaker 3: Israel and then once society has crossed the line, which 1146 01:03:34,200 --> 01:03:37,840 Speaker 3: they were they were gonna do probably if October seventh 1147 01:03:37,840 --> 01:03:39,560 Speaker 3: didn't happen, which is one of the reasons, as you know, 1148 01:03:39,680 --> 01:03:41,920 Speaker 3: the Hamas did. October seventh was. 1149 01:03:42,000 --> 01:03:44,240 Speaker 1: No, it was the you know, it's interesting, it was 1150 01:03:44,480 --> 01:03:46,560 Speaker 1: you know the way Washington works, you know, in the 1151 01:03:46,960 --> 01:03:50,280 Speaker 1: sort of everything is a deal. You know, the Saudis 1152 01:03:50,280 --> 01:03:53,080 Speaker 1: were going to give Biden this, Yeah, this was going 1153 01:03:53,120 --> 01:03:55,560 Speaker 1: to be Biden's like they weren't going to hold you know, 1154 01:03:55,680 --> 01:03:58,840 Speaker 1: the Trump people were pressuring them to to basically wait 1155 01:03:58,960 --> 01:04:02,320 Speaker 1: until Trump was there to add Saudi to the Abraham Accords, 1156 01:04:02,760 --> 01:04:03,280 Speaker 1: and they were. 1157 01:04:03,120 --> 01:04:05,080 Speaker 2: Gonna because the Saudi's weren't. They're not stupid. 1158 01:04:05,080 --> 01:04:08,160 Speaker 1: They want to play bipartisan American politics here. They want 1159 01:04:08,200 --> 01:04:13,320 Speaker 1: to everybody because they frankly knew, unlike Bebe, the Saudis 1160 01:04:13,360 --> 01:04:15,280 Speaker 1: knew they had a problem in America's left and that 1161 01:04:15,480 --> 01:04:17,560 Speaker 1: they were better off trying to appease the American left 1162 01:04:17,640 --> 01:04:20,280 Speaker 1: rather than fight it. BB wants to fight it rather 1163 01:04:20,320 --> 01:04:22,680 Speaker 1: than appease. But I'll but we could set that aside. 1164 01:04:23,800 --> 01:04:28,680 Speaker 1: And October seventh, obviously made that impossible. But where talk 1165 01:04:28,720 --> 01:04:30,240 Speaker 1: to my friends that are going to be listening to 1166 01:04:30,280 --> 01:04:33,320 Speaker 1: this and say, I can't stomach MBS. Why should we 1167 01:04:33,720 --> 01:04:36,720 Speaker 1: help him? What's say, give me the give me the 1168 01:04:37,360 --> 01:04:41,960 Speaker 1: academic view of why we've Why would they're a necessary partner? 1169 01:04:42,720 --> 01:04:44,840 Speaker 3: Oh, he's the only game in town right now for 1170 01:04:45,240 --> 01:04:48,800 Speaker 3: a very important strategic country. And and uh, you know, 1171 01:04:48,840 --> 01:04:51,120 Speaker 3: I don't at all like some of the things he's on, 1172 01:04:51,200 --> 01:04:56,160 Speaker 3: especially to you know, Koshoji and uh In in assassinating 1173 01:04:56,160 --> 01:04:59,480 Speaker 3: and dismembering him, some of these things. But uh, you know, 1174 01:04:59,520 --> 01:05:03,080 Speaker 3: I'm all more of a realistic understand that. You know, 1175 01:05:03,160 --> 01:05:06,680 Speaker 3: tomorrow is a different day, and the Saudis an NBS 1176 01:05:06,720 --> 01:05:11,600 Speaker 3: may be very much needed. You know now that now 1177 01:05:11,680 --> 01:05:14,960 Speaker 3: that you know Iraan is perhaps weaken We always thought 1178 01:05:14,960 --> 01:05:17,120 Speaker 3: of them at the Saudis as a counterway to Iran, 1179 01:05:17,160 --> 01:05:19,600 Speaker 3: But we have to see what's going to happen with Iran. 1180 01:05:20,440 --> 01:05:23,480 Speaker 3: It'll be interesting in the future. This will be interesting 1181 01:05:23,560 --> 01:05:27,520 Speaker 3: if ten fifteen years from now, Iran does get rid 1182 01:05:27,560 --> 01:05:32,960 Speaker 3: of the Ietolas, does stabilize, does become this potential economic 1183 01:05:33,160 --> 01:05:37,440 Speaker 3: power is you know, much like Germany in mainland Europe. 1184 01:05:37,800 --> 01:05:41,280 Speaker 3: You know, what will happen with the Saudis relationship and 1185 01:05:41,320 --> 01:05:45,080 Speaker 3: so forth? Can the two mutually coexist with US interests? 1186 01:05:45,400 --> 01:05:45,560 Speaker 2: Right? 1187 01:05:45,600 --> 01:05:48,840 Speaker 1: You could see three economic powers in the Middle East Israel, 1188 01:05:49,960 --> 01:05:55,360 Speaker 1: a democratic Iran, and this sort of religious monarchy in 1189 01:05:55,440 --> 01:05:58,400 Speaker 1: the Gulf, right with the Saudis, and they are they 1190 01:05:58,440 --> 01:06:01,360 Speaker 1: going to be alliance? Are they going to be competitors? Right? 1191 01:06:01,800 --> 01:06:04,960 Speaker 3: Yeah, exactly, exactly, and that will be interesting to see 1192 01:06:05,040 --> 01:06:07,520 Speaker 3: and so many, so much more history will occur before. 1193 01:06:07,360 --> 01:06:10,840 Speaker 1: We can answer that question. So let's move backwards about 1194 01:06:10,840 --> 01:06:14,720 Speaker 1: your baseball career and how you you. 1195 01:06:14,640 --> 01:06:17,680 Speaker 2: Know, tell me how you fused it? You know, what 1196 01:06:17,760 --> 01:06:19,560 Speaker 2: is it? What are the lessons? You know? 1197 01:06:19,600 --> 01:06:25,240 Speaker 1: I'm a huge advocate of sports in general, youth sports. 1198 01:06:25,520 --> 01:06:29,800 Speaker 1: It teaches human interaction, it teaches there's so many lessons 1199 01:06:29,800 --> 01:06:34,080 Speaker 1: from team sports. In particular. I think football is ideally 1200 01:06:34,120 --> 01:06:37,520 Speaker 1: the most incredible team sport to deliver because eleven people 1201 01:06:37,560 --> 01:06:41,920 Speaker 1: have to do their job for success. In baseball, everybody 1202 01:06:41,920 --> 01:06:43,480 Speaker 1: has to do their job. There's a little bit of 1203 01:06:43,480 --> 01:06:46,880 Speaker 1: individual talent, right, you know that you can, but ultimately 1204 01:06:47,000 --> 01:06:48,760 Speaker 1: you don't win with that. You could be the greatest 1205 01:06:48,800 --> 01:06:50,280 Speaker 1: player in the world, Tad Williams, but if you don't 1206 01:06:50,280 --> 01:06:52,360 Speaker 1: have enough good baseball players around you, You're not going 1207 01:06:52,400 --> 01:06:57,040 Speaker 1: to win a World Series. So you know how when 1208 01:06:57,080 --> 01:07:00,080 Speaker 1: somebody says the lessons of baseball helped me become a 1209 01:07:00,200 --> 01:07:04,000 Speaker 1: better give me better perspective about the Middle East? You 1210 01:07:04,080 --> 01:07:05,480 Speaker 1: answer this question half. 1211 01:07:05,840 --> 01:07:08,600 Speaker 3: Because I failed so many times in baseball. I mean, 1212 01:07:08,640 --> 01:07:09,000 Speaker 3: as you and. 1213 01:07:09,000 --> 01:07:11,040 Speaker 2: Mist in the Middle East is a lot of failure, 1214 01:07:11,280 --> 01:07:12,040 Speaker 2: A lot of failure. 1215 01:07:12,560 --> 01:07:15,240 Speaker 3: I mean, failure is at the core of sports. I mean, 1216 01:07:15,240 --> 01:07:17,520 Speaker 3: you know, what do you have to hit to reach 1217 01:07:17,560 --> 01:07:19,880 Speaker 3: the Hall of Fame in Major League Baseball? 1218 01:07:19,920 --> 01:07:22,320 Speaker 1: You only have to fail seven out of ten times. 1219 01:07:22,080 --> 01:07:24,880 Speaker 3: Exactly, And so you have to keep coming back as 1220 01:07:24,880 --> 01:07:26,800 Speaker 3: a pitcher. Of course, I was a hitter as well 1221 01:07:26,840 --> 01:07:29,680 Speaker 3: early on, but in professional baseball was a pitcher. And 1222 01:07:29,720 --> 01:07:31,320 Speaker 3: you know, one inning you give up a home run. 1223 01:07:31,360 --> 01:07:32,920 Speaker 3: The next inning, you know you have a chance to 1224 01:07:33,000 --> 01:07:35,920 Speaker 3: rectify the situation or the next game, and so you 1225 01:07:36,160 --> 01:07:39,320 Speaker 3: constantly fail. And I played basketball and tennis and all 1226 01:07:39,560 --> 01:07:44,600 Speaker 3: in football when I was young, and you were constantly tested, 1227 01:07:44,840 --> 01:07:49,160 Speaker 3: and you developed this resiliency which Sanjay Gupta I read 1228 01:07:49,160 --> 01:07:52,600 Speaker 3: the other day says resiliency is like strength training for 1229 01:07:52,640 --> 01:07:55,280 Speaker 3: the brain, you know, and it helps you get through 1230 01:07:55,600 --> 01:07:58,640 Speaker 3: personal traumas it helps you get through failures later in life, 1231 01:07:58,680 --> 01:08:02,040 Speaker 3: and as I've become a conflict resolution person involved in 1232 01:08:02,400 --> 01:08:05,760 Speaker 3: high level negotiations and air BISAREELI stuff, steering, civil war. 1233 01:08:06,280 --> 01:08:08,160 Speaker 3: You fail all the time, I mean, but you have 1234 01:08:08,240 --> 01:08:10,800 Speaker 3: to learn from it, and you have to have that resiliency, 1235 01:08:10,840 --> 01:08:14,760 Speaker 3: that persistence, perseverance to get through it and try again, 1236 01:08:14,800 --> 01:08:17,680 Speaker 3: and try again and try again. Now you don't want 1237 01:08:17,720 --> 01:08:20,120 Speaker 3: to make you know, Einstein's theory of insanity correct, but 1238 01:08:21,280 --> 01:08:24,519 Speaker 3: you you, you know, learn from it and it just 1239 01:08:24,800 --> 01:08:28,280 Speaker 3: and sometimes things just out of out of your control, 1240 01:08:29,160 --> 01:08:31,680 Speaker 3: ruins everything and brings you back to ground zero. And 1241 01:08:31,680 --> 01:08:33,880 Speaker 3: that's what happens in sports as well. And you just 1242 01:08:33,960 --> 01:08:37,880 Speaker 3: have to have that resiliency. And so, you know, one 1243 01:08:37,880 --> 01:08:41,080 Speaker 3: of my mantras is keep trying, don't eliminate yourself, and 1244 01:08:41,160 --> 01:08:44,840 Speaker 3: keep trying. And that I had to think. That's what 1245 01:08:44,880 --> 01:08:46,960 Speaker 3: I got from baseball and sports in general. 1246 01:08:47,479 --> 01:08:50,479 Speaker 1: When you you know, do you look back on your 1247 01:08:50,479 --> 01:08:55,040 Speaker 1: injury and think, boy, if it happened today, you know, 1248 01:08:55,160 --> 01:08:57,519 Speaker 1: the technology would have given me another chance. 1249 01:08:57,880 --> 01:09:00,719 Speaker 3: Jock, you be interviewing the lead comment of the World 1250 01:09:00,760 --> 01:09:04,120 Speaker 3: Series right now, the lead analyst after a twenty year, 1251 01:09:04,200 --> 01:09:06,360 Speaker 3: brilliant Hall of Fame career at the injury. 1252 01:09:06,479 --> 01:09:08,360 Speaker 1: Now that's the what if in your head? 1253 01:09:08,479 --> 01:09:09,840 Speaker 2: How do you not think about that? 1254 01:09:09,840 --> 01:09:10,320 Speaker 1: What if? 1255 01:09:10,840 --> 01:09:11,040 Speaker 3: Yeah? 1256 01:09:11,040 --> 01:09:15,240 Speaker 1: I'm all the technological advancements. I mean, you know, Sandy 1257 01:09:15,320 --> 01:09:19,639 Speaker 1: Kofax's career ends. You know, show has already had two. 1258 01:09:19,479 --> 01:09:23,040 Speaker 2: Tommy Jones, Yeah, I think, right, you know. 1259 01:09:24,040 --> 01:09:28,120 Speaker 1: It's uh, it's remarkable, right, Like Sandy Kofex might have 1260 01:09:28,160 --> 01:09:29,880 Speaker 1: had another five great years. 1261 01:09:29,960 --> 01:09:31,960 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, you know, I had a rotator cuff 1262 01:09:32,000 --> 01:09:34,439 Speaker 3: injury and rotator cuff surgery by Frank Joe, but the 1263 01:09:34,479 --> 01:09:38,800 Speaker 3: Dodgers didn't really perfect itself for another five ten years. Yes, yeah, 1264 01:09:38,840 --> 01:09:41,040 Speaker 3: I mean I really don't think of that because I've 1265 01:09:41,040 --> 01:09:45,200 Speaker 3: had a fulfilling, you know, career in many ways more fulfilling, 1266 01:09:45,320 --> 01:09:48,240 Speaker 3: and I have a wonderful wife and family and so forth, 1267 01:09:48,280 --> 01:09:51,280 Speaker 3: so you know, all those If I become a major 1268 01:09:51,360 --> 01:09:53,400 Speaker 3: league player, that wouldn't have happened and wouldn't have met 1269 01:09:53,400 --> 01:09:55,840 Speaker 3: these one of the people. But I don't really think 1270 01:09:55,880 --> 01:10:00,280 Speaker 3: of that. But but you know, sometimes, you know, I 1271 01:10:00,320 --> 01:10:02,559 Speaker 3: think I would have made a lot more money. That's 1272 01:10:02,640 --> 01:10:06,719 Speaker 3: rich there being a major league pitcher. But drafting pictures 1273 01:10:06,920 --> 01:10:09,360 Speaker 3: is the worst investment in all of sports. That's why 1274 01:10:09,400 --> 01:10:11,960 Speaker 3: you got a draft about ten or fifteen of them. 1275 01:10:12,000 --> 01:10:14,960 Speaker 3: Hopefully one gets through because of all the injuries, because 1276 01:10:15,160 --> 01:10:21,000 Speaker 3: everything you do physiologically pitcher is wrong against normal you know, physiology. 1277 01:10:21,040 --> 01:10:23,240 Speaker 2: Well, it's funny you say that I got you know. 1278 01:10:23,479 --> 01:10:25,080 Speaker 2: I think I told you off camera. 1279 01:10:25,280 --> 01:10:27,559 Speaker 1: I was The Dodgers were the team of my youth, 1280 01:10:27,640 --> 01:10:30,320 Speaker 1: so I used to just I know a lot of 1281 01:10:30,360 --> 01:10:32,920 Speaker 1: the history of the Dodgers in general, and any any 1282 01:10:32,960 --> 01:10:36,000 Speaker 1: individual player that sort of had made a name for themselves. 1283 01:10:36,160 --> 01:10:39,960 Speaker 1: I always have some curiosity about and the relief pitcher 1284 01:10:40,000 --> 01:10:42,360 Speaker 1: Mike Marshall, who I believes the first ever relief pitcher 1285 01:10:42,360 --> 01:10:46,759 Speaker 1: to win this ion. He spent the last twenty years 1286 01:10:46,800 --> 01:10:51,720 Speaker 1: of his like obsessed with changing the motion of pictures 1287 01:10:52,200 --> 01:10:55,240 Speaker 1: for the very thing you just said said, like the 1288 01:10:56,080 --> 01:11:00,559 Speaker 1: way that we've taught pitching is actually asked the arm 1289 01:11:00,640 --> 01:11:04,040 Speaker 1: to do something it shouldn't be doing, and that if 1290 01:11:04,040 --> 01:11:08,040 Speaker 1: you change the motion, you could actually limit injuries. And 1291 01:11:08,080 --> 01:11:11,800 Speaker 1: I believe his method did produce one major leaguer who 1292 01:11:11,840 --> 01:11:15,080 Speaker 1: got into the majors. But given when you came up, 1293 01:11:15,120 --> 01:11:17,599 Speaker 1: it was sort of tail end of Marshall's career there. 1294 01:11:18,520 --> 01:11:19,839 Speaker 2: Did you ever follow that. 1295 01:11:21,800 --> 01:11:24,400 Speaker 1: That whole like, oh the case he had? 1296 01:11:24,640 --> 01:11:26,280 Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, it's funny. I was. I was just thinking 1297 01:11:26,320 --> 01:11:28,559 Speaker 3: about this yesterday when I was talking to someone. If 1298 01:11:28,600 --> 01:11:32,880 Speaker 3: I had to change something with my motion I was 1299 01:11:33,200 --> 01:11:35,880 Speaker 3: in college and then drafted in the pros, it would 1300 01:11:35,880 --> 01:11:39,840 Speaker 3: be throwing more side arm. I was a straight overhand pitcher, 1301 01:11:39,840 --> 01:11:42,040 Speaker 3: and the more straight overhand you throw, the more pressure. 1302 01:11:42,080 --> 01:11:44,200 Speaker 1: Oh my goodness, it's right on your shoulder. Like this 1303 01:11:44,320 --> 01:11:47,280 Speaker 1: kid at the Blue Jays. Now, I just heard, right, 1304 01:11:47,400 --> 01:11:49,720 Speaker 1: this kid with the Blue Jays, You savage. 1305 01:11:50,960 --> 01:11:52,719 Speaker 2: Don't you watch him throw and think. 1306 01:11:52,720 --> 01:11:55,519 Speaker 1: Yeah, buddy, in about two years, you're going to have soldiers. Suit. 1307 01:11:55,600 --> 01:11:57,799 Speaker 3: It's going to happen, and they're all throwing so hard 1308 01:11:57,840 --> 01:12:00,920 Speaker 3: and putting so much stress on their extra ligaments in 1309 01:12:00,960 --> 01:12:03,439 Speaker 3: their forearm that they're all getting Tommy John surgery. I mean, 1310 01:12:03,600 --> 01:12:06,360 Speaker 3: as you said, Otani had two, it's like everyone has one. 1311 01:12:06,479 --> 01:12:09,040 Speaker 3: They're having them now in high school and college. It's like, 1312 01:12:09,400 --> 01:12:12,880 Speaker 3: you know, you know something that has to happen before, well, 1313 01:12:12,920 --> 01:12:14,000 Speaker 3: isn't it you? Now? 1314 01:12:14,640 --> 01:12:18,160 Speaker 1: Rarely will an MLB team draft a high school pitcher anymore? Right? 1315 01:12:18,439 --> 01:12:23,439 Speaker 1: They almost want the college level get your Tommy John out. 1316 01:12:23,600 --> 01:12:26,920 Speaker 1: Get LSU to pay for the Tommy John, right, Get 1317 01:12:27,000 --> 01:12:29,519 Speaker 1: cal State Fullerton to pay the Tommy John, you know 1318 01:12:29,640 --> 01:12:31,479 Speaker 1: that sort of thing, and then we'll. 1319 01:12:31,479 --> 01:12:34,080 Speaker 3: Off, you know, and come back for twenty three or 1320 01:12:34,160 --> 01:12:37,240 Speaker 3: you know, something like that. And it's so much stress 1321 01:12:37,280 --> 01:12:39,800 Speaker 3: on the body in the arm. But throwing sidearm, if 1322 01:12:39,840 --> 01:12:41,640 Speaker 3: I had to go back, I do that because I 1323 01:12:41,640 --> 01:12:43,400 Speaker 3: did throw a sidearm every now and then just to 1324 01:12:43,400 --> 01:12:45,880 Speaker 3: cross up the hitter. I crossed up my catcher as well. 1325 01:12:45,920 --> 01:12:50,360 Speaker 3: But yeah, it was effective, and I threw actually even harder. 1326 01:12:50,439 --> 01:12:53,800 Speaker 3: I mean I had a low nineties, high eighties fastball, 1327 01:12:54,120 --> 01:12:56,200 Speaker 3: you know, peaked at ninety five, which in those days 1328 01:12:56,400 --> 01:12:59,479 Speaker 3: actually meant something. Can you believe change ups today are 1329 01:12:59,560 --> 01:13:02,719 Speaker 3: ninety miles hour change The whole goal. 1330 01:13:02,520 --> 01:13:04,559 Speaker 2: Of a change up is what it has to be ten. 1331 01:13:04,400 --> 01:13:06,720 Speaker 3: Miles less than your fast ball, exactly right. 1332 01:13:06,960 --> 01:13:09,240 Speaker 2: So if you're throwing a hundred, then yeah, right. 1333 01:13:10,080 --> 01:13:13,559 Speaker 3: That's just unfathomable to me. And sliders at ninety miles 1334 01:13:13,560 --> 01:13:15,519 Speaker 3: an hours, I don't know how these hitters are doing it, 1335 01:13:16,080 --> 01:13:17,360 Speaker 3: how they can hit these things, But. 1336 01:13:17,439 --> 01:13:19,519 Speaker 1: I know there's this point where you wonder, when does 1337 01:13:19,560 --> 01:13:22,920 Speaker 1: the ligament just when does the body we have reached 1338 01:13:22,960 --> 01:13:25,759 Speaker 1: the peak performance of the body. 1339 01:13:26,160 --> 01:13:29,519 Speaker 3: Yeah, and I think, you know, I think there's going 1340 01:13:29,560 --> 01:13:32,040 Speaker 3: to be a trend. This is getting so it's a 1341 01:13:32,080 --> 01:13:35,559 Speaker 3: pandemic of Tommy John surgery. I think there's going to 1342 01:13:35,560 --> 01:13:37,840 Speaker 3: be a trend to go back to the great Maddis 1343 01:13:37,880 --> 01:13:40,559 Speaker 3: Maddox type of pitching, you know, high eighties, maybe low 1344 01:13:40,640 --> 01:13:44,839 Speaker 3: nineties at best, movement on the ball, placement, pitch longer. 1345 01:13:45,280 --> 01:13:47,360 Speaker 3: I mean, you know, we were talking off camera and 1346 01:13:47,720 --> 01:13:51,200 Speaker 3: Jim Palmer and right Bob Gison's guy. They threw three 1347 01:13:51,280 --> 01:14:01,160 Speaker 3: hundred innings year after year, twenty complete games. So I. 1348 01:14:02,760 --> 01:14:03,439 Speaker 2: Love Fernando. 1349 01:14:04,000 --> 01:14:06,519 Speaker 1: Fernando was you know, I was ten when he came 1350 01:14:06,640 --> 01:14:09,200 Speaker 1: up right like that was peak, you know, and he 1351 01:14:09,360 --> 01:14:11,479 Speaker 1: was so much fun that World Series in eighty one 1352 01:14:11,720 --> 01:14:15,719 Speaker 1: and following his career and you look at his year 1353 01:14:16,360 --> 01:14:18,600 Speaker 1: stats and it was always like I always thought he was. 1354 01:14:18,920 --> 01:14:21,240 Speaker 1: I always thought he belonged to the Hall of Fame 1355 01:14:21,880 --> 01:14:25,160 Speaker 1: before everything else he did. And when you look at 1356 01:14:25,160 --> 01:14:28,040 Speaker 1: his eight year sort of his eight year peak, Nope, 1357 01:14:28,280 --> 01:14:30,000 Speaker 1: he always threw three hundred innings. 1358 01:14:30,040 --> 01:14:30,240 Speaker 3: You know. 1359 01:14:30,479 --> 01:14:33,120 Speaker 1: The joke was Tommy, you know, ruined his career by 1360 01:14:33,160 --> 01:14:35,600 Speaker 1: leaving him into always way too long, and that he 1361 01:14:36,040 --> 01:14:39,880 Speaker 1: that he basically his eight years was the equivalent of 1362 01:14:39,920 --> 01:14:43,240 Speaker 1: what would be a seventeen year career today per number 1363 01:14:43,240 --> 01:14:44,480 Speaker 1: of innings you pitch. 1364 01:14:44,880 --> 01:14:47,840 Speaker 3: Exactly, exactly. Remember the Braves, you know when they had 1365 01:14:47,880 --> 01:14:51,240 Speaker 3: Smolds and Maddocks and glad Lavin. Yeah, they all pitched, 1366 01:14:51,400 --> 01:14:54,160 Speaker 3: you know, every four days. They pitched long, you know, 1367 01:14:54,240 --> 01:14:57,519 Speaker 3: deep into the game. And analytics have, in my mind, 1368 01:14:57,560 --> 01:14:59,439 Speaker 3: screw things up with that regard. And you know, you 1369 01:14:59,479 --> 01:15:01,680 Speaker 3: can't face a batter more than two times or the 1370 01:15:01,720 --> 01:15:03,640 Speaker 3: third time they're going to catch on to you. But 1371 01:15:03,720 --> 01:15:05,680 Speaker 3: this is what pitching is all about, if you have 1372 01:15:05,800 --> 01:15:09,040 Speaker 3: enough pitches and and uh yeah, Maddox. 1373 01:15:09,439 --> 01:15:11,280 Speaker 1: I love those stories of Maddox, you know, and hear 1374 01:15:11,400 --> 01:15:13,800 Speaker 1: stories and he says, yeah, I let this guy see 1375 01:15:13,800 --> 01:15:15,280 Speaker 1: this pitch because I know I'm facing him in the 1376 01:15:15,280 --> 01:15:17,439 Speaker 1: playoffs and he's gonna think I'm gonna throw it again, 1377 01:15:17,439 --> 01:15:20,439 Speaker 1: and I'm never going to do Like Maddox was always. 1378 01:15:20,400 --> 01:15:22,000 Speaker 2: Game planning on that bat. 1379 01:15:22,120 --> 01:15:24,639 Speaker 1: The next at bat when he was facing the current batter, 1380 01:15:24,920 --> 01:15:26,880 Speaker 1: I'm gonna make him pop this one up, And sure 1381 01:15:26,960 --> 01:15:30,400 Speaker 1: enough he could do that. Like that's just that's pitching. 1382 01:15:30,720 --> 01:15:31,880 Speaker 1: That's that's strac. 1383 01:15:31,760 --> 01:15:34,760 Speaker 3: Actually thinking, actually thinking on the mound, you know. And 1384 01:15:35,200 --> 01:15:37,479 Speaker 3: and maybe that's why I'm into academia, Chuck. They always 1385 01:15:37,520 --> 01:15:39,200 Speaker 3: thought think. 1386 01:15:39,120 --> 01:15:42,880 Speaker 1: Can you imagine do they having an earpiece, oh where 1387 01:15:42,920 --> 01:15:44,679 Speaker 1: somebody's telling you what pitch to throat? 1388 01:15:44,920 --> 01:15:47,439 Speaker 3: That would be insulting to me. You know, I call 1389 01:15:47,520 --> 01:15:49,759 Speaker 3: the game. I think is it shirt ser you mentioned 1390 01:15:49,800 --> 01:15:52,680 Speaker 3: him Searcher actually shirts his own game. Don't ever get 1391 01:15:52,760 --> 01:15:53,880 Speaker 3: me one of these things, you know. 1392 01:15:53,960 --> 01:15:55,200 Speaker 2: And now Max is the left. 1393 01:15:55,320 --> 01:15:58,240 Speaker 1: Max, it feels like we're about to see the end 1394 01:15:58,280 --> 01:16:02,479 Speaker 1: of the last era of sort of the twentieth century 1395 01:16:02,560 --> 01:16:06,040 Speaker 1: style of pitching. We're moving to this, right. Susier was 1396 01:16:06,080 --> 01:16:08,040 Speaker 1: always a throwback, you know. He never wanted to go 1397 01:16:08,120 --> 01:16:10,719 Speaker 1: less than seven, right, He always wanted to keep going. 1398 01:16:11,040 --> 01:16:15,519 Speaker 1: Your Verlanders, your Sugiers, your Kershaws, and here they are. 1399 01:16:15,560 --> 01:16:19,400 Speaker 1: They're all basically probably I kind of think Max, I 1400 01:16:20,120 --> 01:16:22,040 Speaker 1: want him to retire. Now he gets to say he 1401 01:16:22,080 --> 01:16:24,760 Speaker 1: pitched the last gave me pitch was a series. But 1402 01:16:24,840 --> 01:16:27,920 Speaker 1: it's hard to walk away, right, Like, how often did 1403 01:16:27,960 --> 01:16:29,280 Speaker 1: you wish you had one more year? 1404 01:16:30,240 --> 01:16:33,400 Speaker 3: I wish I wish I had I wish I had 1405 01:16:33,439 --> 01:16:35,680 Speaker 3: one year in the majors. I mean, as you know, 1406 01:16:36,040 --> 01:16:38,800 Speaker 3: I flamed out the miners. I wish I would have 1407 01:16:38,800 --> 01:16:41,040 Speaker 3: stayed healthy enough to God, because I went up against 1408 01:16:41,080 --> 01:16:45,120 Speaker 3: these guys in spring training and batting practice. 1409 01:16:44,680 --> 01:16:47,400 Speaker 2: And you knew you had your stuff. It was just 1410 01:16:47,439 --> 01:16:50,080 Speaker 2: the injury that never gave me the shot I help, So, 1411 01:16:50,240 --> 01:16:50,559 Speaker 2: you know, I. 1412 01:16:50,600 --> 01:16:53,160 Speaker 3: Mean there's lots of ifs and what ifs, and sure 1413 01:16:53,280 --> 01:16:54,920 Speaker 3: I think I had the basic stuff. That's why I 1414 01:16:54,920 --> 01:16:57,799 Speaker 3: was drafting number one, I think, and by the Dodgers, 1415 01:16:57,840 --> 01:17:01,000 Speaker 3: so I like to think, I you know, if not, they. 1416 01:17:00,880 --> 01:17:03,320 Speaker 1: Were always a little bit better at identifying young pictures. 1417 01:17:03,600 --> 01:17:05,679 Speaker 1: I mean that was their thing. That's what they did. 1418 01:17:06,000 --> 01:17:07,599 Speaker 3: That's what they did. But you still got to get 1419 01:17:07,600 --> 01:17:09,400 Speaker 3: a bunch of them because you just never know when 1420 01:17:09,400 --> 01:17:11,280 Speaker 3: the body's going to give out, and it will give 1421 01:17:11,280 --> 01:17:14,559 Speaker 3: out unless you're Clemens or Nolan Ryan has to be a. 1422 01:17:14,479 --> 01:17:17,360 Speaker 1: Bionical I read, is it Nolan Ryan that doesn't have 1423 01:17:17,960 --> 01:17:22,880 Speaker 1: the the the tendon that would snap or something like? 1424 01:17:22,960 --> 01:17:25,719 Speaker 1: He was basically literally a gift from. 1425 01:17:25,520 --> 01:17:28,120 Speaker 2: God type of I know, I know, elbow it's the key. 1426 01:17:28,200 --> 01:17:29,880 Speaker 3: You know, if you want your kid to become a pitcher, 1427 01:17:29,920 --> 01:17:33,160 Speaker 3: take out, take out the flexor tendon or something like that. 1428 01:17:33,080 --> 01:17:35,960 Speaker 1: Like, don't even have it. It turns out it's an impediment. 1429 01:17:36,080 --> 01:17:38,519 Speaker 3: Yeah, oh yeah, I mean, but look at his legs, 1430 01:17:38,680 --> 01:17:41,639 Speaker 3: you know, uh Nolan Ryan and Tom c they're huge, 1431 01:17:41,720 --> 01:17:43,679 Speaker 3: and he got a lot of his power. It got 1432 01:17:43,720 --> 01:17:46,280 Speaker 3: low and pushed off and that's what a lot of 1433 01:17:46,320 --> 01:17:47,320 Speaker 3: pictures it. 1434 01:17:47,400 --> 01:17:51,400 Speaker 1: Certainly it looks like he's built that way. Yeah, exactly, 1435 01:17:51,400 --> 01:17:54,080 Speaker 1: He's built bottom up. And if you told me, if 1436 01:17:54,120 --> 01:17:56,439 Speaker 1: I told you, he never It's interesting, by the way, 1437 01:17:56,479 --> 01:17:58,519 Speaker 1: a guy like Max Scherzer's never had a Tommy John 1438 01:17:58,600 --> 01:18:01,840 Speaker 1: and neither's Kershaw. Right, what does it tell you if 1439 01:18:01,880 --> 01:18:05,840 Speaker 1: you've never had one these days. 1440 01:18:06,120 --> 01:18:09,920 Speaker 3: That if you pitch the right way, if you don't 1441 01:18:09,920 --> 01:18:12,960 Speaker 3: worry about throwing, use your legs now, use your legs, 1442 01:18:13,120 --> 01:18:16,519 Speaker 3: use your body. And there's all sorts of mechanics now 1443 01:18:16,560 --> 01:18:19,799 Speaker 3: to align your body. There's so much more technology. Perhaps 1444 01:18:19,800 --> 01:18:21,760 Speaker 3: when I was playing, if they had that technology, they 1445 01:18:21,760 --> 01:18:24,599 Speaker 3: would have aligned my body my motion more. I put 1446 01:18:24,640 --> 01:18:28,160 Speaker 3: less stress on the elbow shoulder for me. So you 1447 01:18:28,200 --> 01:18:30,519 Speaker 3: know they can do these things. But man, if you're 1448 01:18:30,560 --> 01:18:33,000 Speaker 3: throwing one hundred miles an hour, your arm is going 1449 01:18:33,080 --> 01:18:36,519 Speaker 3: to give out. You just cannot take that type of pressure. 1450 01:18:36,880 --> 01:18:39,200 Speaker 3: And the thing is, you know, hitters are they catch up, 1451 01:18:39,240 --> 01:18:42,679 Speaker 3: they're hitting these balls. And I've leuis, how many teams 1452 01:18:42,800 --> 01:18:46,519 Speaker 3: your favorite teams? And a guy Jamie Moyer, you know, 1453 01:18:46,760 --> 01:18:50,960 Speaker 3: who's forty he pitched forever eighty two miles an hour, 1454 01:18:51,040 --> 01:18:53,000 Speaker 3: eighty five miles an hour, and he pitches a shout 1455 01:18:53,000 --> 01:18:56,080 Speaker 3: out because hitters aren't used to that type of thing. 1456 01:18:56,160 --> 01:18:58,760 Speaker 3: You know, they're not used to eighty eighty with with 1457 01:18:58,880 --> 01:19:03,040 Speaker 3: motion and with the motion in the ball and with targeting, 1458 01:19:03,439 --> 01:19:07,280 Speaker 3: you know, target to pitching. So it's I think there 1459 01:19:07,320 --> 01:19:09,760 Speaker 3: there's room for both. And I think I agree with you. 1460 01:19:09,800 --> 01:19:11,680 Speaker 3: I think we're gonna trend sort of in a in 1461 01:19:11,720 --> 01:19:13,479 Speaker 3: another direction. I hope, I hope. 1462 01:19:13,680 --> 01:19:16,160 Speaker 1: Well, it was exciting to see Amamoto throw a complete game. 1463 01:19:16,160 --> 01:19:18,720 Speaker 1: You're like, hey, that used to be a big that 1464 01:19:18,880 --> 01:19:20,720 Speaker 1: used to not be as big of a deal. A 1465 01:19:20,840 --> 01:19:22,160 Speaker 1: complete game of the World Series. 1466 01:19:22,320 --> 01:19:24,840 Speaker 3: It must be a different Yamamoto, you know at some point. 1467 01:19:24,880 --> 01:19:26,880 Speaker 3: But and then he comes back the day after and 1468 01:19:26,880 --> 01:19:29,120 Speaker 3: throws you know, three innings, you know, after he throws 1469 01:19:29,160 --> 01:19:33,360 Speaker 3: a I mean, it's unbelievable, and uh, you know, I 1470 01:19:33,680 --> 01:19:37,160 Speaker 3: hope his arm is Okay, uh, you know, I'm sure, 1471 01:19:37,280 --> 01:19:39,880 Speaker 3: having invested gazillion dollars in him, they're not going to 1472 01:19:40,400 --> 01:19:40,840 Speaker 3: ruin him. 1473 01:19:41,200 --> 01:19:43,679 Speaker 1: But I'm sorry as a as a Natch fan who 1474 01:19:44,320 --> 01:19:47,639 Speaker 1: watched the team make the decision not to use their 1475 01:19:47,680 --> 01:19:50,800 Speaker 1: young star pitcher in a run to the playoffs, and 1476 01:19:50,840 --> 01:19:54,360 Speaker 1: then they decided to over use them in their eventual 1477 01:19:54,479 --> 01:19:57,200 Speaker 1: run to the World Series. They you know, the price 1478 01:19:57,240 --> 01:20:00,320 Speaker 1: of the world. I mean, Steven Strasburg never recover from 1479 01:20:00,320 --> 01:20:01,000 Speaker 1: that overuse. 1480 01:20:01,160 --> 01:20:02,400 Speaker 3: That's true, That's true. 1481 01:20:02,439 --> 01:20:04,960 Speaker 1: I mean it ended his career. Now, the question is, 1482 01:20:04,960 --> 01:20:08,040 Speaker 1: as a franchise, if the ultimate prize is winning the 1483 01:20:08,040 --> 01:20:10,120 Speaker 1: World Championship? Is it worth it? 1484 01:20:10,400 --> 01:20:12,880 Speaker 3: Would you take that? Is that? Is that? Is that? Well? 1485 01:20:12,920 --> 01:20:15,960 Speaker 2: They did? That's the disc Basically, the Nats made that 1486 01:20:16,160 --> 01:20:16,519 Speaker 2: worth it. 1487 01:20:16,560 --> 01:20:19,880 Speaker 3: As a Gnats fan, are you is that worth it? 1488 01:20:19,880 --> 01:20:22,560 Speaker 1: It's a great question I'm glad to have had. I 1489 01:20:22,960 --> 01:20:25,440 Speaker 1: I tell this to my son because he's so depressed 1490 01:20:25,439 --> 01:20:28,439 Speaker 1: about the state of the Nats and it's an ownership 1491 01:20:28,439 --> 01:20:30,439 Speaker 1: group that doesn't look like they want to keep up 1492 01:20:30,479 --> 01:20:32,559 Speaker 1: with the Joneses or the Guggenheims, et cetera. 1493 01:20:32,680 --> 01:20:34,360 Speaker 3: Right, right, correct, But. 1494 01:20:36,640 --> 01:20:40,320 Speaker 1: I tell him, you know what's what makes fandom fantastic 1495 01:20:41,280 --> 01:20:45,400 Speaker 1: because you experience a low for so long that when 1496 01:20:45,439 --> 01:20:47,680 Speaker 1: you get the taste of the high, it's so much 1497 01:20:47,720 --> 01:20:48,679 Speaker 1: it tastes so much better. 1498 01:20:49,040 --> 01:20:51,280 Speaker 3: Well, you're talking to as I said before, I grew 1499 01:20:51,360 --> 01:20:53,880 Speaker 3: up in Baltimore, a lifelong Orioles fan. We haven't won 1500 01:20:53,920 --> 01:20:56,840 Speaker 3: the World Series since eighty three. If we had an opportunity, 1501 01:20:56,960 --> 01:20:59,120 Speaker 3: if we were in the World Series this year, throw 1502 01:20:59,240 --> 01:21:03,559 Speaker 3: cost win, throw right the top pitchers every every inning. 1503 01:21:03,680 --> 01:21:06,400 Speaker 3: I don't care. You know everything you know, and I'm 1504 01:21:06,439 --> 01:21:09,200 Speaker 3: a pitcher. I realized what could happen with overuse? 1505 01:21:09,760 --> 01:21:12,760 Speaker 1: You know? So let me ask the Otani question to you, 1506 01:21:12,880 --> 01:21:14,519 Speaker 1: because I'm sure you get a version of it, But 1507 01:21:14,680 --> 01:21:17,479 Speaker 1: let me ask it this way. Why is this so unusual? 1508 01:21:17,800 --> 01:21:21,719 Speaker 1: I why why haven't more pitchers been more successful hitters 1509 01:21:21,760 --> 01:21:22,280 Speaker 1: in the past. 1510 01:21:22,760 --> 01:21:24,479 Speaker 3: Yeah, well, I think I think you're going to see this. 1511 01:21:24,640 --> 01:21:27,000 Speaker 3: And one of the things that most people don't realize 1512 01:21:27,160 --> 01:21:31,280 Speaker 3: is that major league pitchers, almost all of them, I 1513 01:21:31,320 --> 01:21:33,679 Speaker 3: would say, were really great hitters. 1514 01:21:33,760 --> 01:21:35,640 Speaker 1: In little They were probably the best team in their 1515 01:21:35,680 --> 01:21:38,439 Speaker 1: little league. Best. They played every If they weren't pitching, 1516 01:21:38,520 --> 01:21:39,519 Speaker 1: they were playing shortstop. 1517 01:21:39,600 --> 01:21:41,880 Speaker 3: Right on my high school team, I was the best hitter. 1518 01:21:42,280 --> 01:21:44,880 Speaker 3: I was the best pitcher in college. It happens. But 1519 01:21:44,960 --> 01:21:47,519 Speaker 3: in college you start getting weeded out and you get 1520 01:21:47,560 --> 01:21:51,040 Speaker 3: into specialization. I remember, even when I was playing in 1521 01:21:51,120 --> 01:21:54,240 Speaker 3: the minor leagues, only the Cincinnati Reds, even in the 1522 01:21:54,280 --> 01:21:57,600 Speaker 3: minor low one near leagues, allow pitchers to hit. But 1523 01:21:58,280 --> 01:22:01,799 Speaker 3: otherwise you're you know, DH four, and you never practice, 1524 01:22:01,840 --> 01:22:04,040 Speaker 3: you never take hitting practice. And so just like anything, 1525 01:22:04,600 --> 01:22:09,040 Speaker 3: you do skill and so the specialization of it. But 1526 01:22:09,200 --> 01:22:11,360 Speaker 3: I did when a little league game, I did pitch 1527 01:22:11,439 --> 01:22:13,800 Speaker 3: a complete game, six inning shutout and hit a home 1528 01:22:13,880 --> 01:22:16,000 Speaker 3: run in the game. So and it was a legitimate 1529 01:22:16,080 --> 01:22:19,000 Speaker 3: home run, not a little league Yeah, you get a 1530 01:22:19,000 --> 01:22:22,200 Speaker 3: show exactly, but I do. 1531 01:22:22,560 --> 01:22:26,120 Speaker 1: It was always one of those I never understood why 1532 01:22:26,600 --> 01:22:29,200 Speaker 1: more pitchers couldn't take batting practice on their off days. 1533 01:22:29,800 --> 01:22:32,719 Speaker 3: Yeah, I know it. I don't know. Maybe the Union 1534 01:22:32,800 --> 01:22:36,160 Speaker 3: got together and this is this is conspiracy theory talk, 1535 01:22:36,280 --> 01:22:38,360 Speaker 3: and they said they want these older guys who can 1536 01:22:38,400 --> 01:22:38,960 Speaker 3: want jobs. 1537 01:22:40,200 --> 01:22:42,760 Speaker 2: A conspiracy theory. No, no, no, no. The argument the 1538 01:22:42,840 --> 01:22:44,639 Speaker 2: DH is more jobs. 1539 01:22:45,200 --> 01:22:48,360 Speaker 3: He Aaron, Tommy Davis, you know these these older guys 1540 01:22:48,400 --> 01:22:50,280 Speaker 3: that can't play in the field, and and they want 1541 01:22:50,320 --> 01:22:52,800 Speaker 3: more offense. I mean, that's the that's the key. You know, 1542 01:22:52,840 --> 01:22:54,840 Speaker 3: they want more runs, they want more offense. It was 1543 01:22:54,880 --> 01:22:58,200 Speaker 3: a business decision. And all the National League, of course 1544 01:22:58,320 --> 01:23:01,720 Speaker 3: is designated hit her and I missed the strategy of 1545 01:23:01,800 --> 01:23:03,519 Speaker 3: the picture hitting and all of that sort of thing. 1546 01:23:03,600 --> 01:23:05,680 Speaker 3: And but and there were some good there were some 1547 01:23:05,800 --> 01:23:08,880 Speaker 3: good pictures some you know who who hit as well. 1548 01:23:09,040 --> 01:23:10,120 Speaker 3: So I miss So. 1549 01:23:11,600 --> 01:23:14,760 Speaker 1: Could you know there's there's a team Israel in the 1550 01:23:15,120 --> 01:23:19,640 Speaker 1: World Baseball Classic, but baseball's never really taken in the 1551 01:23:19,680 --> 01:23:23,959 Speaker 1: Middle East. There is some cricket. Could you ever imagine 1552 01:23:24,040 --> 01:23:27,000 Speaker 1: being able to get more people interested in baseball in 1553 01:23:27,040 --> 01:23:27,599 Speaker 1: the Middle East? 1554 01:23:29,000 --> 01:23:30,840 Speaker 3: I think I'd like to get more people interested in 1555 01:23:30,920 --> 01:23:32,320 Speaker 3: baseball in the United States. 1556 01:23:32,479 --> 01:23:34,000 Speaker 1: With first, well, I. 1557 01:23:34,040 --> 01:23:36,080 Speaker 2: Know my son is My son tells me this all 1558 01:23:36,120 --> 01:23:36,679 Speaker 2: the time. He goes. 1559 01:23:36,680 --> 01:23:38,640 Speaker 1: You know, I'm the only one of my friends that 1560 01:23:38,760 --> 01:23:42,320 Speaker 1: actually follows baseball like they're Nats fans, but they weren't 1561 01:23:42,439 --> 01:23:45,720 Speaker 1: really Like he's now at school in Dallas, and the 1562 01:23:45,840 --> 01:23:47,639 Speaker 1: first thing he did was he wanted to go check 1563 01:23:47,640 --> 01:23:50,439 Speaker 1: out a Rangers game. He'd never been. And he had 1564 01:23:50,479 --> 01:23:53,000 Speaker 1: the hardest time convincing somebody to go with them to 1565 01:23:53,080 --> 01:23:54,040 Speaker 1: a baseball. 1566 01:23:53,680 --> 01:23:56,360 Speaker 3: Game because it's it's long, it's you know, to some 1567 01:23:56,640 --> 01:23:59,479 Speaker 3: that it's boring. There's not as much action. There's a 1568 01:23:59,520 --> 01:24:01,240 Speaker 3: lot more lot into it. I mean, you know, I 1569 01:24:01,360 --> 01:24:06,000 Speaker 3: take the George Will you know view toward yeah, base 1570 01:24:06,120 --> 01:24:08,479 Speaker 3: I think about every pitch where the fielders are, and 1571 01:24:08,600 --> 01:24:10,840 Speaker 3: so it's it's a lot of fun in my mind. 1572 01:24:10,880 --> 01:24:13,919 Speaker 3: But we're baseball aholics, you know. But for this generation 1573 01:24:14,120 --> 01:24:17,960 Speaker 3: and the recent generations, uh, you know, they want more action, 1574 01:24:19,080 --> 01:24:22,080 Speaker 3: more scoring, which is why baseball, you know, went to 1575 01:24:22,200 --> 01:24:24,280 Speaker 3: the home run and steroids and looked the other way 1576 01:24:24,320 --> 01:24:26,240 Speaker 3: and all this stuff to get more runs on the board. 1577 01:24:26,320 --> 01:24:29,240 Speaker 3: But we'll take in the Middle East, I don't know. 1578 01:24:29,360 --> 01:24:31,000 Speaker 3: I mean, the Saudi's play it. But that's a bunch 1579 01:24:31,040 --> 01:24:33,599 Speaker 3: of a Ramco kids, you know that that's all right. 1580 01:24:34,240 --> 01:24:36,760 Speaker 1: It is cricket close enough that you could use it 1581 01:24:36,880 --> 01:24:38,040 Speaker 1: as a gateway or not. 1582 01:24:38,560 --> 01:24:42,439 Speaker 3: No, I don't think it's a very different game. And 1583 01:24:42,920 --> 01:24:45,280 Speaker 3: people look at the history of baseball and they think 1584 01:24:45,320 --> 01:24:47,759 Speaker 3: it comes from cricket. It really doesn't. It comes from rounders, 1585 01:24:48,560 --> 01:24:50,680 Speaker 3: which is much more like baseball. But I don't think 1586 01:24:50,720 --> 01:24:54,200 Speaker 3: I can't even understand cricket, and cricketers can't understand baseball either. 1587 01:24:54,120 --> 01:24:54,920 Speaker 2: But I've tried to. 1588 01:24:55,200 --> 01:24:57,840 Speaker 1: I've like, you know, uh, you know, sometimes you're just 1589 01:24:57,920 --> 01:25:01,040 Speaker 1: traveling overseas and you're stuck a hotel and there's nothing 1590 01:25:01,080 --> 01:25:03,120 Speaker 1: to watch other than either a rugby match or a 1591 01:25:03,200 --> 01:25:06,280 Speaker 1: cricket match. So you know, I would sit there and 1592 01:25:06,439 --> 01:25:09,320 Speaker 1: try to figure it out, and you're just like, well, 1593 01:25:09,439 --> 01:25:09,880 Speaker 1: you know, you know. 1594 01:25:09,960 --> 01:25:12,000 Speaker 3: While you make an interesting point, show maybe in the 1595 01:25:12,000 --> 01:25:14,960 Speaker 3: Middle East and elsewhere, and maybe baseball has more of 1596 01:25:15,040 --> 01:25:18,560 Speaker 3: a chance because their favorite sports, you know, soccer or 1597 01:25:18,640 --> 01:25:22,680 Speaker 3: football and cricket. You know, they're they're long soccer and 1598 01:25:22,720 --> 01:25:23,519 Speaker 3: they're low scoring. 1599 01:25:23,760 --> 01:25:27,160 Speaker 1: So maybe, right, and it is about strategy that you know, 1600 01:25:27,240 --> 01:25:31,040 Speaker 1: in some ways the mentality of sports, especially in sort 1601 01:25:31,080 --> 01:25:34,040 Speaker 1: of Southeast Asia with cricket and soccer, and at least 1602 01:25:34,080 --> 01:25:36,400 Speaker 1: with cricket and soccer. I mean you're right, I mean, 1603 01:25:36,840 --> 01:25:40,160 Speaker 1: maybe we're stumbling onto something and that they enjoy the 1604 01:25:40,280 --> 01:25:42,320 Speaker 1: patience of the success. Yeah. 1605 01:25:42,479 --> 01:25:45,000 Speaker 3: We just we just need baseball. I mean obviously it's 1606 01:25:45,040 --> 01:25:47,320 Speaker 3: it's very popular in Latin America and in East Asia. 1607 01:25:47,920 --> 01:25:50,640 Speaker 3: We just need baseball to enter into Europe and the 1608 01:25:51,160 --> 01:25:53,400 Speaker 3: and the Middle East and do what the NFL I 1609 01:25:53,439 --> 01:25:55,200 Speaker 3: think has been doing. You know, we of course we 1610 01:25:55,360 --> 01:25:59,680 Speaker 3: hold games in Mexico and and uh and have exhibitions 1611 01:25:59,720 --> 01:26:02,240 Speaker 3: and Stasi and so forth, or actually had some regular 1612 01:26:02,280 --> 01:26:05,400 Speaker 3: season games in Japan this this past year. So you know, 1613 01:26:05,479 --> 01:26:07,679 Speaker 3: I think one of the things, one of the things 1614 01:26:07,720 --> 01:26:11,680 Speaker 3: which changes everyone's perception in the particular region world out 1615 01:26:11,720 --> 01:26:14,479 Speaker 3: of sport, United States, if someone from that region becomes 1616 01:26:14,520 --> 01:26:17,280 Speaker 3: a star and it becomes a guiding light like a 1617 01:26:17,360 --> 01:26:20,960 Speaker 3: show Atani or you know earlier Japanese players and Korean players. 1618 01:26:21,320 --> 01:26:23,519 Speaker 3: We just need some some Middle East. 1619 01:26:23,800 --> 01:26:28,320 Speaker 1: You know, we almost had it in you Darvish, Yeah, Japanese, Iranian. 1620 01:26:28,200 --> 01:26:32,240 Speaker 3: Yeah, exactly exactly. So you know, if we get one 1621 01:26:32,280 --> 01:26:35,280 Speaker 3: of those these these you know, lightning rods that can 1622 01:26:35,800 --> 01:26:39,240 Speaker 3: that can act as a uh, you know, a form 1623 01:26:39,320 --> 01:26:43,040 Speaker 3: of attraction to your day, and and then you start 1624 01:26:43,080 --> 01:26:46,000 Speaker 3: to get youth baseball and stuff like that. May take 1625 01:26:46,040 --> 01:26:47,840 Speaker 3: a generation, but that's what it'll take. 1626 01:26:48,120 --> 01:26:49,479 Speaker 1: Let me get let me get you out of here. 1627 01:26:49,560 --> 01:26:54,800 Speaker 1: On the issue of Islamophobia, okay, because as somebody who 1628 01:26:54,840 --> 01:26:58,120 Speaker 1: spent so much time in in Middle East, in the 1629 01:26:58,160 --> 01:27:02,600 Speaker 1: Arab world in general, and obviously there's you know, not 1630 01:27:02,760 --> 01:27:05,240 Speaker 1: all Arabs are Muslim, and not all Muslims or Arabs 1631 01:27:05,320 --> 01:27:10,160 Speaker 1: and so forth. But Islam a phobia is one of 1632 01:27:10,200 --> 01:27:14,360 Speaker 1: those phobias that is like anti Semitism. 1633 01:27:14,560 --> 01:27:17,160 Speaker 2: It has it's on the left and the right. It 1634 01:27:17,240 --> 01:27:19,800 Speaker 2: can be a type of unifier. 1635 01:27:19,439 --> 01:27:21,760 Speaker 1: That's not a healthy thing for a democracy. 1636 01:27:24,080 --> 01:27:24,240 Speaker 2: You know. 1637 01:27:25,240 --> 01:27:28,519 Speaker 1: Just tell me about your experience of sort of learning 1638 01:27:28,600 --> 01:27:33,240 Speaker 1: the culture that sort of got rid of or didn't 1639 01:27:33,240 --> 01:27:35,680 Speaker 1: allow a phobia to take to take in you. 1640 01:27:36,600 --> 01:27:39,000 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think it's because of travel. And this is 1641 01:27:39,000 --> 01:27:42,200 Speaker 3: why I'm such a big advocate of travel abroad in college. 1642 01:27:42,800 --> 01:27:45,759 Speaker 3: Just to go places and not to an English language place, 1643 01:27:45,840 --> 01:27:48,200 Speaker 3: you know, were unit a language. Go someplace that makes 1644 01:27:48,240 --> 01:27:50,519 Speaker 3: you feel uncomfortable, Go someplace where you don't know the 1645 01:27:50,560 --> 01:27:54,320 Speaker 3: culture or learn the language, immerse yourself, and that's when 1646 01:27:54,360 --> 01:27:57,479 Speaker 3: you really start to understand that these people, even though 1647 01:27:57,680 --> 01:28:00,599 Speaker 3: they follow in all the religion and have many different 1648 01:28:00,640 --> 01:28:03,960 Speaker 3: habits and customs, they're like you in many different ways. 1649 01:28:04,000 --> 01:28:06,000 Speaker 3: They want many of the same things. And I bring 1650 01:28:06,120 --> 01:28:09,000 Speaker 3: students and I brought groups over to the Middle East, 1651 01:28:09,040 --> 01:28:11,160 Speaker 3: and that's what they find out when they really interact 1652 01:28:11,200 --> 01:28:13,080 Speaker 3: with people and not just stay in the five star 1653 01:28:13,640 --> 01:28:16,400 Speaker 3: resort hotel. They go around to the rural areas, They 1654 01:28:16,439 --> 01:28:19,439 Speaker 3: need people. They spend you know, an evening or even 1655 01:28:19,520 --> 01:28:23,200 Speaker 3: overnight at some house and they learn about their lives 1656 01:28:23,360 --> 01:28:26,720 Speaker 3: and that is the best way to get rid of 1657 01:28:26,800 --> 01:28:32,120 Speaker 3: these phobias and all of this misinformation that exists regarding Islam. 1658 01:28:33,240 --> 01:28:36,000 Speaker 1: I mean, look, there's we're seeing more Muslim Americans run 1659 01:28:36,080 --> 01:28:38,600 Speaker 1: for office over the next ten years, and you're going 1660 01:28:38,680 --> 01:28:41,280 Speaker 1: to see it. It is the tension that shows up 1661 01:28:41,439 --> 01:28:44,080 Speaker 1: in these communities, and it ends up being it could 1662 01:28:44,080 --> 01:28:46,080 Speaker 1: be New York City, it could be Minneapolis, it could 1663 01:28:46,120 --> 01:28:52,280 Speaker 1: be La like it's you do in it. It's definitely 1664 01:28:52,360 --> 01:28:55,120 Speaker 1: a tougher barrier to break than I think I fully appreciate. 1665 01:28:55,560 --> 01:28:58,559 Speaker 3: Yeah, you know, Jimmy Carter said something that was very 1666 01:28:58,600 --> 01:29:02,439 Speaker 3: interesting when a bot Warack Obama became president and a 1667 01:29:02,479 --> 01:29:04,880 Speaker 3: lot of this latent racism came out because he was 1668 01:29:04,920 --> 01:29:08,000 Speaker 3: the first African American president, and Jimmy Carter said, you know, 1669 01:29:08,120 --> 01:29:10,160 Speaker 3: this is a good thing. People were afraid. He said, no, 1670 01:29:10,320 --> 01:29:12,600 Speaker 3: this is a good We needed to come out and 1671 01:29:12,720 --> 01:29:14,720 Speaker 3: only then can we address it. So maybe all of 1672 01:29:14,800 --> 01:29:18,000 Speaker 3: these things, more Muslims becoming involved in the community. Yes, 1673 01:29:18,160 --> 01:29:22,479 Speaker 3: it's causing some distress intentions and people are afraid of this, that, 1674 01:29:22,560 --> 01:29:24,439 Speaker 3: and the other thing in sharia law coming in, which 1675 01:29:24,520 --> 01:29:27,640 Speaker 3: is ridiculous. Maybe all of this has to happen. We 1676 01:29:27,760 --> 01:29:31,120 Speaker 3: need to get through this and have these discussions and 1677 01:29:31,280 --> 01:29:35,400 Speaker 3: hopefully through education and reasonable people making reasonable decisions that 1678 01:29:35,479 --> 01:29:36,240 Speaker 3: we can get past it. 1679 01:29:36,640 --> 01:29:36,840 Speaker 2: Yeah. 1680 01:29:36,840 --> 01:29:39,280 Speaker 1: I remember Collin Powell when he endorsed Obama the first time, 1681 01:29:39,360 --> 01:29:42,800 Speaker 1: and he said, but his answer to that is lucky 1682 01:29:42,800 --> 01:29:44,400 Speaker 1: he's not Muslim, But so what if he was? 1683 01:29:44,960 --> 01:29:46,599 Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, exactly right. 1684 01:29:46,680 --> 01:29:47,000 Speaker 1: He tried. 1685 01:29:47,000 --> 01:29:50,080 Speaker 2: It was like, why it doesn't if he was, it 1686 01:29:50,080 --> 01:29:51,760 Speaker 2: wouldn't matter, right, this is it. 1687 01:29:52,040 --> 01:29:54,680 Speaker 3: And there are many Muslims that are as Muslim as 1688 01:29:54,720 --> 01:29:58,360 Speaker 3: I am Roman Catholic, which is not very much anymore, right, 1689 01:29:58,479 --> 01:29:59,240 Speaker 3: called it's. 1690 01:29:59,120 --> 01:30:01,200 Speaker 2: More of a how you. It was more about your upbringing, 1691 01:30:01,280 --> 01:30:03,280 Speaker 2: that your prep you now, how you live. 1692 01:30:03,200 --> 01:30:05,439 Speaker 3: What type of person you are, these type of values 1693 01:30:05,520 --> 01:30:10,920 Speaker 3: and and you know, it just takes understanding, it takes listening, 1694 01:30:11,240 --> 01:30:14,000 Speaker 3: it takes empathy, and we're in short supply of all 1695 01:30:14,080 --> 01:30:16,040 Speaker 3: these things these days. But hopefully that'll change. 1696 01:30:16,280 --> 01:30:17,879 Speaker 2: So you still hang your hat in San Antonio. 1697 01:30:18,520 --> 01:30:21,479 Speaker 3: I do, I do, and probably we'll it'll be on 1698 01:30:21,600 --> 01:30:24,360 Speaker 3: my grave, my grave site as well, because I love 1699 01:30:24,400 --> 01:30:27,320 Speaker 3: it here it's a you know, big city with a 1700 01:30:27,360 --> 01:30:28,360 Speaker 3: small town atmosphere. 1701 01:30:28,479 --> 01:30:31,360 Speaker 2: I have to say San Antonio, this San Antonio. 1702 01:30:31,040 --> 01:30:35,519 Speaker 1: Austin megaopolis that's developing, right, I mean, you know, it 1703 01:30:35,560 --> 01:30:38,960 Speaker 1: feels like it's feels very similar to d C Baltimore 1704 01:30:39,400 --> 01:30:41,080 Speaker 1: or Dallas Fort Worth. 1705 01:30:41,120 --> 01:30:45,200 Speaker 3: You know. Yeah, it's coming together, much more dominated by 1706 01:30:45,320 --> 01:30:47,479 Speaker 3: Austin in the last decade than. 1707 01:30:47,439 --> 01:30:50,160 Speaker 2: But I feel like, you know, maybe Wemby will change things, right. 1708 01:30:50,320 --> 01:30:52,599 Speaker 3: I think so hopefully the team stays here long enough. 1709 01:30:53,280 --> 01:30:56,040 Speaker 1: Well, I know, I mean, you know, the Austin desperately 1710 01:30:56,040 --> 01:30:57,960 Speaker 1: wants a basketball team. I think they have a better 1711 01:30:58,000 --> 01:31:00,280 Speaker 1: shot at getting a baseball team. Like I love the 1712 01:31:00,320 --> 01:31:03,200 Speaker 1: idea of San Antonio getting having football and basketball and 1713 01:31:03,280 --> 01:31:05,000 Speaker 1: let Austin have the baseball. 1714 01:31:05,200 --> 01:31:07,439 Speaker 3: I would have loved San Antonio instead of building their 1715 01:31:07,800 --> 01:31:10,360 Speaker 3: recent basketball arena where it is in the East Side, 1716 01:31:10,960 --> 01:31:13,360 Speaker 3: to build it like about not maybe not halfway, but 1717 01:31:13,400 --> 01:31:15,599 Speaker 3: a little bit more closer on I thirty five North. 1718 01:31:15,800 --> 01:31:19,519 Speaker 2: Well, is it that halfway between Austin and San Antonio 1719 01:31:19,600 --> 01:31:20,559 Speaker 2: becoming its own city? 1720 01:31:20,920 --> 01:31:23,400 Speaker 3: Yeah, San Marcos and le bron Fels. It's it's as 1721 01:31:23,479 --> 01:31:26,479 Speaker 3: you said, it's a megalopolis, and that would have drawn 1722 01:31:26,520 --> 01:31:29,600 Speaker 3: from both cities, and therefore, you know each team. I 1723 01:31:29,640 --> 01:31:31,519 Speaker 3: don't even care if they call it the San Antonio 1724 01:31:31,560 --> 01:31:34,639 Speaker 3: Austin Spurs or something. Just right, keep them here, draw 1725 01:31:34,800 --> 01:31:36,640 Speaker 3: from both cities, and that would have been great. But 1726 01:31:37,080 --> 01:31:40,240 Speaker 3: now we have a proposition going out to being elected 1727 01:31:40,320 --> 01:31:43,000 Speaker 3: on tomorrow that will decide whether or not the Spurs 1728 01:31:43,040 --> 01:31:46,920 Speaker 3: build a downtown arena. And if it doesn't pass, who knows, 1729 01:31:47,000 --> 01:31:48,280 Speaker 3: they may become the Austin Yeah. 1730 01:31:48,360 --> 01:31:50,599 Speaker 1: Boy, the timing of that with Wemby on the rise, 1731 01:31:50,720 --> 01:31:52,760 Speaker 1: my guess is that probably helps it a couple of 1732 01:31:52,800 --> 01:31:55,559 Speaker 1: points I would. I mean, cities usually reject this stuff 1733 01:31:55,600 --> 01:31:56,960 Speaker 1: though they don't like taxpayer dotas. 1734 01:31:57,000 --> 01:31:59,560 Speaker 3: We don't like it's, especially San Antonio. But you know 1735 01:32:00,040 --> 01:32:01,240 Speaker 3: there's in town. 1736 01:32:01,560 --> 01:32:03,400 Speaker 2: I'm going to put this on my list of races 1737 01:32:03,439 --> 01:32:04,040 Speaker 2: to watch. 1738 01:32:05,280 --> 01:32:07,280 Speaker 3: Prop on the proposition A and B. 1739 01:32:07,400 --> 01:32:09,280 Speaker 1: They're both key fantastic. 1740 01:32:10,000 --> 01:32:12,400 Speaker 2: Hey, Dave, this was great. I appreciate it getting. 1741 01:32:12,160 --> 01:32:14,280 Speaker 3: To know you well. I really enjoyed it too, Chuck, 1742 01:32:14,400 --> 01:32:14,640 Speaker 3: thank you. 1743 01:32:14,720 --> 01:32:17,200 Speaker 1: All right, Well, people should check out the book Dodgers 1744 01:32:17,280 --> 01:32:18,840 Speaker 1: to Damascus. Uh. 1745 01:32:19,400 --> 01:32:20,920 Speaker 2: It's more of a Middle East book than it is 1746 01:32:20,960 --> 01:32:21,679 Speaker 2: a baseball book. 1747 01:32:22,040 --> 01:32:24,240 Speaker 3: It is it is I spent a few years in 1748 01:32:24,280 --> 01:32:26,000 Speaker 3: baseball and the rest of my life in Middle East. 1749 01:32:26,040 --> 01:32:27,959 Speaker 3: So yeah, proportionally appropriate. 1750 01:32:28,400 --> 01:32:30,640 Speaker 1: But you know, it's a it's a reminder that that 1751 01:32:30,800 --> 01:32:34,920 Speaker 1: sports is part of your education. It's you can't have 1752 01:32:35,040 --> 01:32:38,280 Speaker 1: a complete life in some ways, a complete education without 1753 01:32:39,439 --> 01:32:40,479 Speaker 1: without sports. 1754 01:32:40,800 --> 01:32:43,439 Speaker 3: About sports, I'm having other life experiences. You know, there's 1755 01:32:43,479 --> 01:32:45,679 Speaker 3: competition and discomfort and failure. 1756 01:32:46,200 --> 01:32:50,040 Speaker 1: So no, it's terrific. Lesson. Congratulations And like I said, 1757 01:32:50,479 --> 01:32:53,240 Speaker 1: I I appreciate you exposing yourself because that's what that 1758 01:32:53,439 --> 01:32:55,800 Speaker 1: is when you let somebody else write about you while 1759 01:32:55,800 --> 01:32:56,519 Speaker 1: you're still alive. 1760 01:32:56,880 --> 01:32:59,680 Speaker 3: Yeah, thanks, thanks, Jock. I'm a rep in the end. 1761 01:32:59,720 --> 01:33:02,000 Speaker 2: But anyway, David, great to know you. 1762 01:33:02,240 --> 01:33:10,639 Speaker 3: Okay, take care of them about well. 1763 01:33:10,640 --> 01:33:13,280 Speaker 1: I hope you enjoyed that conversation. I think understanding the 1764 01:33:13,360 --> 01:33:17,120 Speaker 1: modern Middle East is going to be almost an every 1765 01:33:17,320 --> 01:33:24,200 Speaker 1: day exercise. To be frank, it's let's just say, nothing 1766 01:33:24,320 --> 01:33:27,880 Speaker 1: feels permanent still, and I don't think anything will feel 1767 01:33:27,920 --> 01:33:31,919 Speaker 1: permanent for some time. But let's go into the podcast 1768 01:33:31,960 --> 01:33:41,080 Speaker 1: time machine. So it's the week of November seventeenth through 1769 01:33:41,120 --> 01:33:43,080 Speaker 1: the twenty third, and you know what I like to do, 1770 01:33:43,240 --> 01:33:45,680 Speaker 1: go back in history and we're just looking at this 1771 01:33:46,320 --> 01:33:49,080 Speaker 1: these seven days, and believe it or not, this is 1772 01:33:49,160 --> 01:33:53,160 Speaker 1: quite I stumbled onto what is conspiracy theory Week? In 1773 01:33:53,240 --> 01:34:00,160 Speaker 1: American history? Three moments in particular have anniversaries this week. 1774 01:34:01,120 --> 01:34:05,760 Speaker 1: The Jonestown massacre, the kool Aid drinking November. 1775 01:34:05,439 --> 01:34:06,720 Speaker 2: Eighteenth, nineteen seventy eight. 1776 01:34:07,479 --> 01:34:10,759 Speaker 1: There's, of course, the jfk assassination November twenty second, nineteen 1777 01:34:10,800 --> 01:34:14,479 Speaker 1: sixty three, and the eighteen and a half minute gap 1778 01:34:14,600 --> 01:34:18,000 Speaker 1: in the Nixon tapes was revealed on November twenty first, 1779 01:34:18,120 --> 01:34:23,679 Speaker 1: nineteen seventy three, three events that on their own would 1780 01:34:23,680 --> 01:34:27,879 Speaker 1: be enough to bend the country's imagination, but together, stacked 1781 01:34:27,920 --> 01:34:30,519 Speaker 1: on the same week of the calendar, I think they 1782 01:34:30,600 --> 01:34:33,160 Speaker 1: tell us something a bit more profound about why Americans 1783 01:34:33,240 --> 01:34:38,240 Speaker 1: believe conspiracies and why those beliefs are so durable. And 1784 01:34:38,360 --> 01:34:40,640 Speaker 1: by the way, this is also the same energy right 1785 01:34:40,680 --> 01:34:44,120 Speaker 1: now fueling our current national fixation on the Epstein files, 1786 01:34:45,120 --> 01:34:49,880 Speaker 1: where the fantastical spreads faster than any known fact. But 1787 01:34:49,960 --> 01:34:53,640 Speaker 1: we only have one type of person to blame, the 1788 01:34:53,760 --> 01:34:56,880 Speaker 1: elected American elected official, right, So let's get to the 1789 01:34:56,920 --> 01:35:00,120 Speaker 1: time machine. So we're going to start with Jonestown. That's 1790 01:35:00,120 --> 01:35:04,519 Speaker 1: when conspiracy thinking became catastrophic. It's November. We're going to 1791 01:35:04,600 --> 01:35:08,200 Speaker 1: go back to November eighteenth, nineteen seventy eight in Jonestown. Now, 1792 01:35:08,200 --> 01:35:10,639 Speaker 1: a lot of people think of Jonestown as a cult tragedy, 1793 01:35:10,680 --> 01:35:12,920 Speaker 1: and it is, but it's also the story of how 1794 01:35:12,960 --> 01:35:18,719 Speaker 1: a closed information system can destroy a human judgment. Jim Jones, 1795 01:35:19,080 --> 01:35:22,960 Speaker 1: the cult leader, didn't just isolate his followers physically. He 1796 01:35:23,120 --> 01:35:28,120 Speaker 1: isolated them psychologically, emotionally, and informationally. He convinced them that 1797 01:35:28,200 --> 01:35:30,880 Speaker 1: outsiders were coming to kill them. He convinced them that 1798 01:35:30,960 --> 01:35:34,360 Speaker 1: only he understood the truth. He convinced them that everyone else, 1799 01:35:34,439 --> 01:35:37,840 Speaker 1: from the media to the US government was lying. Perhaps 1800 01:35:37,880 --> 01:35:41,439 Speaker 1: he alone could fix it. But I digress. But here's 1801 01:35:41,479 --> 01:35:44,960 Speaker 1: the terrifying part. The more erratic Jones became, the more 1802 01:35:45,040 --> 01:35:49,840 Speaker 1: his followers trusted him. Because once you buy into total 1803 01:35:50,800 --> 01:35:54,439 Speaker 1: this sort of total narrative, once you build your identity 1804 01:35:54,560 --> 01:36:01,519 Speaker 1: around a conspiratorial worldview, facts are no longer persued. Facts 1805 01:36:01,600 --> 01:36:07,519 Speaker 1: become evidence of the conspiracy against you. Jonestown is not 1806 01:36:07,600 --> 01:36:12,120 Speaker 1: a government conspiracy. It's the consequence of conspiratorial thinking, and 1807 01:36:12,240 --> 01:36:16,000 Speaker 1: it becomes a template, decades before social media for how 1808 01:36:16,040 --> 01:36:20,439 Speaker 1: a charismatic figure can sever followers from reality and create 1809 01:36:20,479 --> 01:36:24,920 Speaker 1: a world where the fantastical is accepted without question. It's 1810 01:36:24,960 --> 01:36:28,760 Speaker 1: why QAnon didn't surprise psychologists. It's why people fall for 1811 01:36:28,920 --> 01:36:33,800 Speaker 1: online calls. Jonestown is a modern cautionary tale of what 1812 01:36:33,920 --> 01:36:39,440 Speaker 1: happens when people choose narrative over truth. My god, imagine 1813 01:36:39,720 --> 01:36:45,120 Speaker 1: how big jonestown might have gotten with social media. All right, 1814 01:36:45,200 --> 01:36:51,640 Speaker 1: let's to the second, the second big conspiratorial event in 1815 01:36:51,840 --> 01:36:55,559 Speaker 1: our timeline this week, the conspiracy the public never accepted 1816 01:36:55,680 --> 01:36:58,320 Speaker 1: fourteen years earlier, the same week, November twenty second, nineteen 1817 01:36:58,360 --> 01:37:03,000 Speaker 1: sixty three, John is assassinated in Dallas. If Jonestown shows 1818 01:37:03,040 --> 01:37:05,880 Speaker 1: what happens when people buy into a false conspiracy, the 1819 01:37:06,000 --> 01:37:09,639 Speaker 1: JFK assassination shows what happens when the official story fails 1820 01:37:09,720 --> 01:37:15,759 Speaker 1: to convince the public. The Warren Report was assembled very quickly. 1821 01:37:17,720 --> 01:37:21,000 Speaker 1: The evidence was confusing. The single bullet theory sounded well, 1822 01:37:21,200 --> 01:37:25,040 Speaker 1: pretty implausible to the average American, and the result was 1823 01:37:25,080 --> 01:37:28,080 Speaker 1: a permanent fracture in public trust. In fact, I always 1824 01:37:28,120 --> 01:37:30,120 Speaker 1: go back. I mean, if you look at the original 1825 01:37:30,360 --> 01:37:33,640 Speaker 1: sin of when did you know? If you look at 1826 01:37:33,680 --> 01:37:36,439 Speaker 1: baby boomers today, right, they grew up with this, This 1827 01:37:36,720 --> 01:37:40,559 Speaker 1: was their coming of age. Moment was government they believed 1828 01:37:40,720 --> 01:37:43,920 Speaker 1: lying to them about what happened to their president, right, 1829 01:37:44,240 --> 01:37:47,439 Speaker 1: And then just about every subsequent generation would have a 1830 01:37:47,560 --> 01:37:50,439 Speaker 1: little bit more of the government lion to them, and 1831 01:37:50,560 --> 01:37:54,200 Speaker 1: we'd chip away, chip away, chip away. But this was 1832 01:37:54,240 --> 01:37:58,320 Speaker 1: a big one because the generation before the Baby Boomers 1833 01:37:58,640 --> 01:38:02,559 Speaker 1: trusted their government. But for millions of Americans, JFK's death 1834 01:38:02,640 --> 01:38:05,880 Speaker 1: marks the moment when they stopped believing the government reflexively 1835 01:38:06,400 --> 01:38:10,280 Speaker 1: and started believing the government selectively, not because they wanted 1836 01:38:10,320 --> 01:38:13,080 Speaker 1: a conspiracy, but because the government couldn't explain the tragedy 1837 01:38:13,120 --> 01:38:17,040 Speaker 1: in a way that felt complete, transparent, or sufficiently humble. 1838 01:38:18,240 --> 01:38:22,320 Speaker 1: This is where CIA theory is, mafia theories, castro theories, 1839 01:38:22,560 --> 01:38:27,519 Speaker 1: LBJ theories, deep state theories. They all began here. But 1840 01:38:27,640 --> 01:38:33,320 Speaker 1: the more important important point is this after JFK, Americans 1841 01:38:33,360 --> 01:38:35,840 Speaker 1: no longer needed evidence for conspiracy. 1842 01:38:36,520 --> 01:38:37,479 Speaker 2: They only needed doubt. 1843 01:38:39,080 --> 01:38:42,920 Speaker 1: JFK didn't create the conspiracy culture, but it created the 1844 01:38:43,000 --> 01:38:47,920 Speaker 1: psychological conditions for the next event that did. And that 1845 01:38:48,040 --> 01:38:50,960 Speaker 1: brings us to a year that still feels like a wound. 1846 01:38:51,000 --> 01:38:55,040 Speaker 1: It's nineteen seventy three, the Nixon tape gap. The conspiracy 1847 01:38:55,160 --> 01:38:57,320 Speaker 1: that was well was a conspiracy. 1848 01:38:57,320 --> 01:38:57,760 Speaker 2: It was true. 1849 01:38:58,120 --> 01:39:02,639 Speaker 1: Two weeks before Thanksgiving, No First, nineteen seventy three, America 1850 01:39:02,760 --> 01:39:04,719 Speaker 1: learns that there is an eighteen and a half minute 1851 01:39:04,840 --> 01:39:07,920 Speaker 1: gap in one of Nixon's Oval office tapes, the very 1852 01:39:08,000 --> 01:39:10,040 Speaker 1: tape that might have shown what he knew about Watergate. 1853 01:39:11,240 --> 01:39:14,880 Speaker 1: This is the moment that permanently rewires the American brain. 1854 01:39:15,400 --> 01:39:18,320 Speaker 1: After years of being told trust us, after years of 1855 01:39:18,360 --> 01:39:22,080 Speaker 1: dismissing accusations as partisan, and after years of insisting that 1856 01:39:22,280 --> 01:39:26,280 Speaker 1: critics of Nixon were hysterical, here it was a missing tape, 1857 01:39:27,080 --> 01:39:32,639 Speaker 1: not metaphorically literally an erased tape, Thank you, Rosemary Woods. 1858 01:39:33,680 --> 01:39:37,240 Speaker 1: And the White House explanation was so implausible secretaries accidentally 1859 01:39:37,360 --> 01:39:42,120 Speaker 1: leaning on pedals fingers slipping, that it practically invited conspiracy. 1860 01:39:43,120 --> 01:39:45,280 Speaker 1: The lesson for the American public was brutal and simple. 1861 01:39:45,400 --> 01:39:48,840 Speaker 1: Sometimes the conspiracy theory is true, and sometimes the cover 1862 01:39:49,000 --> 01:39:52,479 Speaker 1: up is even dumber than the crime. And once that happens, 1863 01:39:52,520 --> 01:39:56,200 Speaker 1: once government credibility is broken in this specific way, you 1864 01:39:56,240 --> 01:39:58,439 Speaker 1: don't get it back through press releases, you don't get 1865 01:39:58,439 --> 01:40:00,840 Speaker 1: it back through official investigation, and you don't even get 1866 01:40:00,840 --> 01:40:04,040 Speaker 1: it back through prosecutions. And of course we never did 1867 01:40:04,160 --> 01:40:08,479 Speaker 1: prosecute you know, I think when I first started my 1868 01:40:08,560 --> 01:40:12,439 Speaker 1: time cast time machine, one of the I started with 1869 01:40:12,600 --> 01:40:17,880 Speaker 1: the pardon, with Ford's pardon and a mistake. I think 1870 01:40:18,000 --> 01:40:21,240 Speaker 1: now we see that was clearly I don't think it's 1871 01:40:21,439 --> 01:40:23,559 Speaker 1: it's even a close call anymore, that that was clearly 1872 01:40:23,600 --> 01:40:29,120 Speaker 1: a mistake, because we never did get justice for what 1873 01:40:29,360 --> 01:40:33,800 Speaker 1: was done. But Watergate taught Americans that powerful people sometimes lie, 1874 01:40:34,280 --> 01:40:38,000 Speaker 1: and institutions sometimes protect those lies. And once you know that, 1875 01:40:38,560 --> 01:40:42,000 Speaker 1: you never unknow it. And then it just sort of 1876 01:40:42,080 --> 01:40:45,600 Speaker 1: sits there, and it chips away and chips away, and 1877 01:40:45,680 --> 01:40:48,120 Speaker 1: we wonder why we have a government we don't trust today. 1878 01:40:48,640 --> 01:40:49,720 Speaker 2: So let's look at sort of the. 1879 01:40:49,760 --> 01:40:56,320 Speaker 1: Modern parallel, right the Epstein files, fast forward to the present, 1880 01:40:56,479 --> 01:41:00,120 Speaker 1: and conspiracy is the default. It's not the exception. Look 1881 01:41:00,120 --> 01:41:02,479 Speaker 1: at this Epstein moment. We're all living through. People assume 1882 01:41:02,520 --> 01:41:06,719 Speaker 1: elites lie, people assume institutions are hiding things. People assume 1883 01:41:06,800 --> 01:41:09,120 Speaker 1: the truth is always worse, and people assume if there 1884 01:41:09,240 --> 01:41:11,439 Speaker 1: is a conspiracy, it's probably bigger and darker than anything 1885 01:41:11,479 --> 01:41:15,960 Speaker 1: the government admits. Now, I'm an Ockham's razor person. I 1886 01:41:16,040 --> 01:41:18,719 Speaker 1: think if there was something even darker, deeper, we there'd 1887 01:41:18,760 --> 01:41:20,920 Speaker 1: at least be a leak about it somewhere, but we 1888 01:41:21,000 --> 01:41:21,640 Speaker 1: haven't gotten that. 1889 01:41:21,800 --> 01:41:22,479 Speaker 2: But still. 1890 01:41:24,560 --> 01:41:28,920 Speaker 1: Conspiracies persist. But it's because of Johnstown, because of JFK, 1891 01:41:29,160 --> 01:41:31,760 Speaker 1: because of Nixon, because of IRAQ WMDs, because of the 1892 01:41:31,920 --> 01:41:36,160 Speaker 1: NSA surveillance revelations, because of January six. Americans now process 1893 01:41:36,320 --> 01:41:38,920 Speaker 1: every new event through a lens shaped by generations of 1894 01:41:39,040 --> 01:41:47,560 Speaker 1: government betrayal, government confusion, and partial truths at best. So 1895 01:41:47,760 --> 01:41:49,160 Speaker 1: just look at what we did with Epstein. 1896 01:41:49,920 --> 01:41:52,800 Speaker 2: Right, the conspiracy theory arrived. 1897 01:41:52,560 --> 01:41:57,519 Speaker 1: First, the facts are We still don't have all the facts, 1898 01:41:57,600 --> 01:42:00,479 Speaker 1: do we They're arriving later. The public decides what it 1899 01:42:00,520 --> 01:42:04,080 Speaker 1: believes before the evidence even begins to land. It's not 1900 01:42:04,200 --> 01:42:06,240 Speaker 1: that people want to believe in sane things. It's that 1901 01:42:06,360 --> 01:42:09,479 Speaker 1: the factual world is moving slower than the fantastical one. 1902 01:42:11,000 --> 01:42:13,280 Speaker 1: We have more information than ever, but we have less 1903 01:42:13,280 --> 01:42:17,000 Speaker 1: trust than ever, and in that environment, speculation fills every 1904 01:42:17,160 --> 01:42:20,280 Speaker 1: gap instantly. And then you look look at our ridiculous 1905 01:42:20,360 --> 01:42:23,720 Speaker 1: algorithms that sort of reward those that have a new 1906 01:42:23,880 --> 01:42:28,439 Speaker 1: theory rather than those that have factual information. Right, if 1907 01:42:28,520 --> 01:42:31,439 Speaker 1: I were to say, right now, boy, it's got to 1908 01:42:31,520 --> 01:42:36,559 Speaker 1: be that Gallaine Maxwell knows the origin story of Malania 1909 01:42:36,680 --> 01:42:41,640 Speaker 1: Trump and how Malania and Donald met boy the algorithms 1910 01:42:41,680 --> 01:42:44,320 Speaker 1: would go crazy, and this video could go viral because 1911 01:42:44,360 --> 01:42:46,640 Speaker 1: I'd say it, because I'd say that I have no 1912 01:42:46,760 --> 01:42:51,519 Speaker 1: evidence of this. Okay, I certainly am trying to figure 1913 01:42:51,520 --> 01:42:53,880 Speaker 1: out why the president is hiding so much of this 1914 01:42:54,040 --> 01:42:58,760 Speaker 1: and why he seems to be so scared of Gallaine Maxwell. 1915 01:42:59,680 --> 01:43:04,120 Speaker 1: So your mind wanders, and unfortunately, because of how poor 1916 01:43:04,280 --> 01:43:09,439 Speaker 1: government's been about being transparent about things including the jfk 1917 01:43:10,479 --> 01:43:17,800 Speaker 1: assassination being frankly exhibit A, how do you tell an 1918 01:43:17,840 --> 01:43:21,479 Speaker 1: American not to go down that conspiratorial rabbit hole? This 1919 01:43:21,680 --> 01:43:24,400 Speaker 1: is where we are. So what do we take away 1920 01:43:24,400 --> 01:43:27,439 Speaker 1: from this in this week in American history? Here's the 1921 01:43:27,479 --> 01:43:30,599 Speaker 1: common threat. We are conspiracy prone, not because we're gullible, 1922 01:43:31,000 --> 01:43:34,040 Speaker 1: but because our institutions have repeatedly given us enough reason, 1923 01:43:35,360 --> 01:43:37,760 Speaker 1: just enough reason to suspect that we're not being told 1924 01:43:37,840 --> 01:43:42,360 Speaker 1: the full story. When leaders lie, even tiny lies, they 1925 01:43:42,439 --> 01:43:45,800 Speaker 1: leave behind just enough ambiguity for our collective imagination to 1926 01:43:45,840 --> 01:43:50,080 Speaker 1: go to work. And when institutions are slow, opaque, or 1927 01:43:50,120 --> 01:43:54,559 Speaker 1: even arrogant, doubt becomes a form of self defense. When 1928 01:43:54,600 --> 01:43:57,759 Speaker 1: information drips out instead, of flows out. The vacuum fills 1929 01:43:57,840 --> 01:44:01,280 Speaker 1: the narrative, and when the officials story doesn't feel complete, 1930 01:44:02,600 --> 01:44:05,600 Speaker 1: the unofficial ones become irresistible. So I'll leave you this. 1931 01:44:06,800 --> 01:44:10,439 Speaker 1: We Americans can handle plenty of bad news. What we 1932 01:44:10,520 --> 01:44:15,360 Speaker 1: cannot handle is missing news. You got to tell us everything. 1933 01:44:16,320 --> 01:44:19,439 Speaker 1: Don't hold back, because if you do, if we find 1934 01:44:19,520 --> 01:44:24,000 Speaker 1: out and you held back, it is so much worse. 1935 01:44:24,880 --> 01:44:28,200 Speaker 1: The more than institutions give us half truths, delayed truths, 1936 01:44:28,280 --> 01:44:34,000 Speaker 1: redacted truths, or contradictory truths or alternative facts, the more 1937 01:44:34,040 --> 01:44:38,000 Speaker 1: this week in history becomes every week in our political system. 1938 01:44:40,080 --> 01:44:40,600 Speaker 2: So there you go. 1939 01:44:40,840 --> 01:44:45,160 Speaker 1: Enjoy conspiracy Week in the Todd Cash a time machine. 1940 01:44:45,280 --> 01:44:50,080 Speaker 1: By the way, if you're looking for some good jonestown documentaries, 1941 01:44:50,160 --> 01:44:53,360 Speaker 1: there are a ton of them out there. They're all fascinating. 1942 01:44:53,400 --> 01:44:55,640 Speaker 1: There was a couple recently, I think on Netflix that 1943 01:44:55,720 --> 01:45:01,400 Speaker 1: definitely is worth your time. My friend Jeff Morley JFK. 1944 01:45:01,600 --> 01:45:04,880 Speaker 1: Fax is a terrific substack. He goes through, He goes 1945 01:45:04,920 --> 01:45:08,880 Speaker 1: through all the government releases the way you would want 1946 01:45:08,880 --> 01:45:11,519 Speaker 1: a reported to do it. You know, yes, he has 1947 01:45:11,560 --> 01:45:15,439 Speaker 1: his theories, but he separates the facts from the theories. 1948 01:45:16,520 --> 01:45:18,120 Speaker 1: I wish I had a really good place for you 1949 01:45:18,240 --> 01:45:20,040 Speaker 1: to go for all things having to do with filling 1950 01:45:20,080 --> 01:45:22,880 Speaker 1: the gaps and Watergate. But in some ways, I think 1951 01:45:25,080 --> 01:45:27,840 Speaker 1: I think we've filled we have between Garrett Graft's most 1952 01:45:27,920 --> 01:45:32,040 Speaker 1: recent book about Watergate, plus everything Woodward and Bernstein has done, 1953 01:45:33,160 --> 01:45:36,000 Speaker 1: we have a pretty decent handle on them. So you 1954 01:45:36,040 --> 01:45:45,400 Speaker 1: know what this means. It's college football time. Okay, So 1955 01:45:46,600 --> 01:45:49,080 Speaker 1: Miami kept up its end of the bargain, had a 1956 01:45:49,200 --> 01:45:52,559 Speaker 1: nice I will say I was pleasantly surprised. There's there's 1957 01:45:52,720 --> 01:45:57,280 Speaker 1: nothing like a Hurricane's game when the defense sort of 1958 01:45:57,600 --> 01:46:01,360 Speaker 1: sparks things and the pick six early set the tone. 1959 01:46:01,960 --> 01:46:05,240 Speaker 1: The offense started to hum. Yes, NC State didn't have 1960 01:46:05,280 --> 01:46:08,720 Speaker 1: the best of defenses, but the fact is Miami won 1961 01:46:08,880 --> 01:46:11,759 Speaker 1: by a margin that they should win by. They covered 1962 01:46:11,840 --> 01:46:15,719 Speaker 1: the spread. I think they doubled actually the actual spread. 1963 01:46:15,800 --> 01:46:19,760 Speaker 1: So it was a it was a decisive victory. And 1964 01:46:20,080 --> 01:46:24,000 Speaker 1: you know, some things went Miami's way as far as 1965 01:46:24,200 --> 01:46:26,920 Speaker 1: you know, teams that needed to lose ahead of them, 1966 01:46:27,320 --> 01:46:31,080 Speaker 1: A few teams did. Texas lost, that's a big one. 1967 01:46:31,120 --> 01:46:34,120 Speaker 1: They're not you know, they're they're not going to get 1968 01:46:34,160 --> 01:46:36,679 Speaker 1: in even a victory over Texas. A and m they're 1969 01:46:36,760 --> 01:46:39,960 Speaker 1: not a three loss team, is not yet going to 1970 01:46:40,080 --> 01:46:44,240 Speaker 1: make the playoff. A couple other things, Boston College had 1971 01:46:44,240 --> 01:46:48,280 Speaker 1: Georgia Tech on the ropes. You know, I certainly would 1972 01:46:48,400 --> 01:46:50,400 Speaker 1: like to see Miami be able to play itself into 1973 01:46:50,439 --> 01:46:53,280 Speaker 1: the playoff, not having to wait to see if their 1974 01:46:53,360 --> 01:46:56,120 Speaker 1: body of work will be considered better or worse than 1975 01:46:56,160 --> 01:46:57,880 Speaker 1: the body of work of other two loss teams. But 1976 01:46:57,920 --> 01:46:59,840 Speaker 1: I want to get to that here in a minute. 1977 01:47:02,080 --> 01:47:04,160 Speaker 1: But for the look in fairness, I think it was 1978 01:47:04,240 --> 01:47:07,800 Speaker 1: the best game mim he's played since Notre Dame and 1979 01:47:08,040 --> 01:47:10,680 Speaker 1: in South Florida, where two which were probably the two 1980 01:47:10,720 --> 01:47:14,400 Speaker 1: most complete games they've played all year. Even the Florida game, 1981 01:47:14,439 --> 01:47:15,960 Speaker 1: they didn't play a great first half. It was the 1982 01:47:16,000 --> 01:47:18,559 Speaker 1: second half that they sort of put that game away. 1983 01:47:18,920 --> 01:47:21,920 Speaker 1: But but Notre Dame, they played three great quarters. They 1984 01:47:22,040 --> 01:47:24,800 Speaker 1: let they let Notre Dame sort of make the game 1985 01:47:24,880 --> 01:47:26,479 Speaker 1: look like it was a close game. And I think 1986 01:47:26,560 --> 01:47:30,880 Speaker 1: this this. You know, they basically were ahead by double 1987 01:47:30,960 --> 01:47:33,200 Speaker 1: digits most of the game. Notre Dame gets a lay 1988 01:47:33,280 --> 01:47:36,840 Speaker 1: touchdown and so the game looked closer than it actually was. 1989 01:47:38,479 --> 01:47:40,920 Speaker 1: But this was a pretty complete game they got. This 1990 01:47:41,080 --> 01:47:43,680 Speaker 1: was the last home game senior Day, they got two 1991 01:47:43,720 --> 01:47:47,120 Speaker 1: more road games, Virginia Tech and then Pit. And let's 1992 01:47:47,120 --> 01:47:50,240 Speaker 1: talk about Pitt because Notre Dame now got to face 1993 01:47:50,280 --> 01:47:53,240 Speaker 1: a PIT team that did not chose to play an 1994 01:47:53,280 --> 01:47:56,839 Speaker 1: exhibition game. Now, I'm not saying the players that actually 1995 01:47:56,920 --> 01:48:00,600 Speaker 1: played in the game didn't play hard. They did, but 1996 01:48:00,760 --> 01:48:03,200 Speaker 1: the coaching staff made a decision that they were not 1997 01:48:03,360 --> 01:48:06,360 Speaker 1: going to play to win this game. Anybody that was 1998 01:48:06,400 --> 01:48:09,679 Speaker 1: fifty to fifty you could play, but you know, they'd 1999 01:48:09,760 --> 01:48:13,519 Speaker 1: rather have him rest for the conference their last two 2000 01:48:13,520 --> 01:48:16,280 Speaker 1: conference games, which are Georgia Tech and Miami. They chose 2001 01:48:16,360 --> 01:48:19,080 Speaker 1: to do that. The coach went public earlier in the 2002 01:48:19,160 --> 01:48:22,479 Speaker 1: week and said, it doesn't this game was meaningless to them. 2003 01:48:22,800 --> 01:48:25,639 Speaker 1: This was akin to a preseason game, an exhibition game. 2004 01:48:25,680 --> 01:48:27,840 Speaker 1: They could lose by one hundred, it didn't matter. Their 2005 01:48:27,920 --> 01:48:30,400 Speaker 1: path to a playoff did not go through Notre Dame. 2006 01:48:30,640 --> 01:48:32,880 Speaker 1: Their path to the playoff went through making it to 2007 01:48:32,920 --> 01:48:35,720 Speaker 1: the ACC Conference title game. And if they went out, 2008 01:48:35,880 --> 01:48:39,280 Speaker 1: they will have a place in the title game, which 2009 01:48:39,360 --> 01:48:42,160 Speaker 1: brings me to and then, by the way, same thing 2010 01:48:42,400 --> 01:48:44,920 Speaker 1: just happened a week earlier with Notre Dame when they 2011 01:48:44,920 --> 01:48:47,560 Speaker 1: played Navy. When Navy decided not to play one of 2012 01:48:47,600 --> 01:48:51,720 Speaker 1: their quarterbacks in that game, Horvat saving him because he 2013 01:48:51,760 --> 01:48:54,120 Speaker 1: had been somewhat he'd been dinged up a little bit. 2014 01:48:54,560 --> 01:48:57,000 Speaker 1: They wanted to basically give him a week off before 2015 01:48:57,080 --> 01:49:00,479 Speaker 1: their conference game against South Florida. By the way, that 2016 01:49:00,800 --> 01:49:03,200 Speaker 1: was a terrific game. I watched a lot of that 2017 01:49:03,320 --> 01:49:07,080 Speaker 1: game that was in my multibox. That was a fun 2018 01:49:07,160 --> 01:49:09,759 Speaker 1: game to watch, and it was a shootout and somehow 2019 01:49:09,840 --> 01:49:15,760 Speaker 1: South Florida couldn't stop Navy very often. And Navy won 2020 01:49:15,840 --> 01:49:17,600 Speaker 1: that game, and they still have a path to the 2021 01:49:17,640 --> 01:49:22,599 Speaker 1: college football playoff again through the Group of five playoff slot. Again, 2022 01:49:22,680 --> 01:49:26,040 Speaker 1: the Notre Dame game was meaningless to them in their 2023 01:49:26,080 --> 01:49:27,040 Speaker 1: attempt to get. 2024 01:49:26,960 --> 01:49:27,679 Speaker 2: To the playoff. 2025 01:49:29,439 --> 01:49:32,080 Speaker 1: So now Notre Dame and this, you know, I saw 2026 01:49:32,160 --> 01:49:35,800 Speaker 1: that ESPN was promoting this win on Pitt as if 2027 01:49:35,840 --> 01:49:38,640 Speaker 1: it was an impressive win that hey, they they had. 2028 01:49:38,880 --> 01:49:41,519 Speaker 1: They made it part of their ticker lead, and they 2029 01:49:41,600 --> 01:49:44,000 Speaker 1: made it seem as if that this they played an 2030 01:49:44,040 --> 01:49:47,800 Speaker 1: exhibition game. Pitt did not take this game seriously. And 2031 01:49:47,960 --> 01:49:50,360 Speaker 1: I do think the College Football Committee, if there, if 2032 01:49:50,439 --> 01:49:52,920 Speaker 1: this committee is serious, and I am I am a 2033 01:49:53,000 --> 01:49:56,439 Speaker 1: huge skeptic. Given that three years in a row, they 2034 01:49:56,520 --> 01:49:59,080 Speaker 1: have made decisions that were not about football teams that 2035 01:49:59,120 --> 01:50:02,320 Speaker 1: were instead about what ESPN wanted or what the SEC wanted, 2036 01:50:02,560 --> 01:50:06,320 Speaker 1: which maybe one and the same. Right, we go back 2037 01:50:06,360 --> 01:50:08,160 Speaker 1: to the decision not to put Florida State in the 2038 01:50:08,439 --> 01:50:11,400 Speaker 1: end of the playoff when they were undefeated after winning 2039 01:50:11,400 --> 01:50:14,080 Speaker 1: their conference title game, and they just chose not to 2040 01:50:14,120 --> 01:50:19,160 Speaker 1: put Florida State in. Right. So, if you're wondering why 2041 01:50:19,720 --> 01:50:24,080 Speaker 1: I have have been so hard on ESPN and the 2042 01:50:24,200 --> 01:50:27,000 Speaker 1: SEC about this, is because not that they might do this, 2043 01:50:27,160 --> 01:50:30,719 Speaker 1: because they've already done it once and then they arguably 2044 01:50:30,800 --> 01:50:34,000 Speaker 1: did it last year. Miami absolutely belonged in that playoff 2045 01:50:34,040 --> 01:50:35,479 Speaker 1: and they chose not to put Miami in because they 2046 01:50:35,479 --> 01:50:37,000 Speaker 1: didn't want to put in a third ACC team. 2047 01:50:37,479 --> 01:50:39,439 Speaker 2: They have decided the ACC isn't. 2048 01:50:39,240 --> 01:50:42,200 Speaker 1: Worthy of having two or three teams on any given year. 2049 01:50:43,960 --> 01:50:47,400 Speaker 1: That's just a decision they make, period. There is not 2050 01:50:47,720 --> 01:50:50,439 Speaker 1: I would argue, not as many metrics that would actually 2051 01:50:50,560 --> 01:50:55,519 Speaker 1: argue for that than others want to say. But this 2052 01:50:55,760 --> 01:50:57,519 Speaker 1: is the decision, yes, or they're not going to put 2053 01:50:57,560 --> 01:51:01,439 Speaker 1: in two Big twelve teams, and they're gonna try really 2054 01:51:01,479 --> 01:51:04,360 Speaker 1: hard not to put in two ACC teams. We'll see 2055 01:51:04,520 --> 01:51:09,080 Speaker 1: if Miami can sort of force the envelope. But explain 2056 01:51:09,120 --> 01:51:10,840 Speaker 1: to me, I mean to me, if you were to 2057 01:51:11,000 --> 01:51:13,760 Speaker 1: treat Notre Dame as sort of instead of knowing that 2058 01:51:13,840 --> 01:51:15,720 Speaker 1: it was Notre Dame. And I just gave you the 2059 01:51:15,800 --> 01:51:19,400 Speaker 1: profile of team A, Team B, Team C, Team D. Right, 2060 01:51:20,200 --> 01:51:22,439 Speaker 1: there is no way Notre Dame is a playoff team. 2061 01:51:22,840 --> 01:51:25,080 Speaker 1: They don't have a good Their best win is USC, 2062 01:51:25,640 --> 01:51:27,640 Speaker 1: who may or may not be a competitor for a 2063 01:51:27,640 --> 01:51:31,639 Speaker 1: playoff spot. And then two of their victories are against 2064 01:51:31,680 --> 01:51:35,160 Speaker 1: teams that chose essentially to pull some of their starters 2065 01:51:36,200 --> 01:51:39,599 Speaker 1: so that they didn't face the toughest version of PITT. 2066 01:51:39,720 --> 01:51:42,960 Speaker 1: Miami's going to face the toughest version of PITT. They 2067 01:51:43,000 --> 01:51:45,759 Speaker 1: didn't face the toughest version of Navy. South Florida faced 2068 01:51:45,760 --> 01:51:50,400 Speaker 1: the toughest version of Navy. So you know, I I 2069 01:51:51,560 --> 01:51:54,880 Speaker 1: that that should matter if the head to head isn't 2070 01:51:54,920 --> 01:51:57,880 Speaker 1: going to matter. Now, obviously the most important thing ought 2071 01:51:57,920 --> 01:52:00,160 Speaker 1: to be the head to head. Notre Dame loses to 2072 01:52:00,200 --> 01:52:02,240 Speaker 1: Miami and they're both ten and two, it's obvious what 2073 01:52:02,760 --> 01:52:06,400 Speaker 1: any actual tie breaking scenario in any other league, the 2074 01:52:06,560 --> 01:52:08,160 Speaker 1: first tiebreaker is head to head. 2075 01:52:09,400 --> 01:52:10,280 Speaker 2: Now they don't. 2076 01:52:10,560 --> 01:52:13,759 Speaker 1: There is no there are no rules, right, this committee 2077 01:52:13,800 --> 01:52:16,960 Speaker 1: has never said what the metrics are to get into 2078 01:52:17,000 --> 01:52:20,960 Speaker 1: the playoff. They don't release a criteria. You know what 2079 01:52:21,040 --> 01:52:24,040 Speaker 1: that means, because they make up the criteria when they 2080 01:52:24,240 --> 01:52:28,040 Speaker 1: when it suits them. Right, If if it's easier to 2081 01:52:28,320 --> 01:52:30,120 Speaker 1: make a case for a team to get in because 2082 01:52:30,160 --> 01:52:32,240 Speaker 1: of their losses, they'll say, hey, they have great losses. 2083 01:52:32,479 --> 01:52:35,840 Speaker 1: And if it's easier to make a case for a 2084 01:52:35,880 --> 01:52:37,439 Speaker 1: team to get in because they have great wins, and 2085 01:52:37,439 --> 01:52:41,320 Speaker 1: they'll say, hey, they have great wins. Right, But they 2086 01:52:41,400 --> 01:52:44,960 Speaker 1: don't seem to have a standardized metric on what matters 2087 01:52:45,080 --> 01:52:50,320 Speaker 1: more wins or losses when you're trying to differentiate between 2088 01:52:50,760 --> 01:52:52,960 Speaker 1: a ten and two team or three ten and two teams. 2089 01:52:53,000 --> 01:52:54,559 Speaker 1: In fact, we're gonna have a lot of this, right, 2090 01:52:54,600 --> 01:52:56,640 Speaker 1: You're gonna have You may have ten and two Oklahoma, 2091 01:52:57,080 --> 01:53:00,280 Speaker 1: ten and two Notre Dame, ten and two, Alabama, uh 2092 01:53:00,479 --> 01:53:02,280 Speaker 1: and ten into in Miami. And let's just take a 2093 01:53:02,320 --> 01:53:06,439 Speaker 1: look at this. Okay, Alabama, one of their losses is 2094 01:53:06,479 --> 01:53:08,280 Speaker 1: a team Miami beat. Do you think that's going to 2095 01:53:08,360 --> 01:53:10,760 Speaker 1: matter to the committee. I'm not naive. I know it's 2096 01:53:10,760 --> 01:53:12,640 Speaker 1: not going to matter. I'll give Alabama this. They have 2097 01:53:12,720 --> 01:53:15,559 Speaker 1: the best win of the four because Alabama beat Georgia, 2098 01:53:16,479 --> 01:53:23,840 Speaker 1: so they will get credit for that. Oklahoma has now 2099 01:53:23,960 --> 01:53:28,320 Speaker 1: Alabama is their best win, right They lost to Texas, 2100 01:53:28,720 --> 01:53:31,679 Speaker 1: a team that Florida beat, a team that Miami whipped 2101 01:53:32,960 --> 01:53:37,519 Speaker 1: before Florida was giving up okay, before the whole firing 2102 01:53:37,600 --> 01:53:40,479 Speaker 1: and all that business. And then of course when you 2103 01:53:40,560 --> 01:53:46,240 Speaker 1: compare Miami Notre Dame, Miami beat Notre Dame. Obviously I'm 2104 01:53:46,280 --> 01:53:49,280 Speaker 1: singling those four teams out because I am that if 2105 01:53:49,320 --> 01:53:51,439 Speaker 1: they all four ten and two and there's three slots 2106 01:53:51,439 --> 01:53:54,880 Speaker 1: for those four teams, I know this committee is going 2107 01:53:54,920 --> 01:53:58,120 Speaker 1: to try to keep Miami out. And if you looked 2108 01:53:58,120 --> 01:54:00,479 Speaker 1: at him in a blind survey, Miami argue at believest 2109 01:54:01,040 --> 01:54:02,880 Speaker 1: the second best of those four. If you're going to 2110 01:54:02,960 --> 01:54:06,360 Speaker 1: do that, let alone third or fourth. 2111 01:54:08,000 --> 01:54:10,880 Speaker 2: So I all I am. 2112 01:54:11,439 --> 01:54:14,120 Speaker 1: I want to try to give the assume that some 2113 01:54:14,200 --> 01:54:17,000 Speaker 1: people on this committee take their job seriously and are 2114 01:54:17,160 --> 01:54:19,960 Speaker 1: simply trying to get the best teams. The fact is 2115 01:54:20,080 --> 01:54:24,320 Speaker 1: Miami's probably got one of the three best rosters in 2116 01:54:24,400 --> 01:54:29,639 Speaker 1: the nation, easily, the combination best offensive and defensive lines 2117 01:54:29,680 --> 01:54:34,720 Speaker 1: going for whatever reason, the committee decided to overly punish 2118 01:54:34,800 --> 01:54:39,440 Speaker 1: Miami for losing a gamed SMU on the road. They 2119 01:54:39,480 --> 01:54:42,040 Speaker 1: didn't punish him as much for the first loss to Louisville, 2120 01:54:42,040 --> 01:54:44,080 Speaker 1: but they punished him a lot for that SMU loss. 2121 01:54:44,280 --> 01:54:49,320 Speaker 1: It was a way over punishments in this idea that 2122 01:54:49,480 --> 01:54:55,520 Speaker 1: when you lose somehow should should matter. And I know 2123 01:54:55,600 --> 01:54:57,800 Speaker 1: this has always sort of been out there because of 2124 01:54:57,920 --> 01:55:01,280 Speaker 1: the of the screwyway college football work. But again, in 2125 01:55:01,360 --> 01:55:05,320 Speaker 1: the NFL, your record's your record, and if there's a tiebreaker, 2126 01:55:05,360 --> 01:55:10,720 Speaker 1: it doesn't matter when that game happened. Right. The head 2127 01:55:10,760 --> 01:55:11,720 Speaker 1: to head is the head to head. 2128 01:55:14,000 --> 01:55:16,720 Speaker 2: So look, Mimi's got to do its part. 2129 01:55:17,680 --> 01:55:20,800 Speaker 1: Yes, I'm still you know, you know, the irony is 2130 01:55:20,840 --> 01:55:25,000 Speaker 1: that Miami should be undefeated, shouldn't have lost either one 2131 01:55:25,000 --> 01:55:30,120 Speaker 1: of those games. Sort of coach farted those games away, arguably, 2132 01:55:32,760 --> 01:55:35,040 Speaker 1: and they were both winnable even at the very end, 2133 01:55:35,760 --> 01:55:38,480 Speaker 1: but they got coach farted away. I think I'm gonna 2134 01:55:38,480 --> 01:55:43,000 Speaker 1: try to use that term going forward, coach farting. But 2135 01:55:43,080 --> 01:55:45,640 Speaker 1: we'll see what the committee does. But the thing that 2136 01:55:45,760 --> 01:55:48,680 Speaker 1: I that I want to see whether this committee is 2137 01:55:48,760 --> 01:55:51,720 Speaker 1: taking itself seriously at all, is the fact that Notre 2138 01:55:51,800 --> 01:55:56,680 Speaker 1: Dame has two teams on their schedule that decided not 2139 01:55:56,960 --> 01:56:01,400 Speaker 1: to play to one, and this is the look Notre 2140 01:56:01,480 --> 01:56:03,760 Speaker 1: Dame should be ding for not being in a conference 2141 01:56:04,680 --> 01:56:09,160 Speaker 1: playing conference games. The stakes are higher when you don't 2142 01:56:09,240 --> 01:56:12,680 Speaker 1: have a conference game, there's no stakes. Yes, the stakes 2143 01:56:12,680 --> 01:56:17,200 Speaker 1: are higher, they have to keep winning, but the conference 2144 01:56:17,280 --> 01:56:22,000 Speaker 1: game is so much more high pressure. And whether your 2145 01:56:22,080 --> 01:56:25,960 Speaker 1: conference road game or hosting a team that just you 2146 01:56:26,040 --> 01:56:28,320 Speaker 1: would make their season if they beat you, which is 2147 01:56:28,560 --> 01:56:31,560 Speaker 1: just about every team Miami plays in the ACC. Okay, 2148 01:56:32,000 --> 01:56:34,280 Speaker 1: you know what Miami doesn't do. They don't storm fields 2149 01:56:34,320 --> 01:56:37,240 Speaker 1: because when you win national titles, you don't worry about 2150 01:56:37,320 --> 01:56:40,800 Speaker 1: storming a field because because it isn't a big deal 2151 01:56:40,840 --> 01:56:42,960 Speaker 1: to you until you actually win the whole thing. But 2152 01:56:43,080 --> 01:56:45,080 Speaker 1: I tell you, I've been to plenty of Miami games 2153 01:56:45,080 --> 01:56:47,240 Speaker 1: where the other team storms the field because it's a 2154 01:56:47,240 --> 01:56:49,280 Speaker 1: big deal of them to beat Miami in a regular season. 2155 01:56:49,480 --> 01:56:52,040 Speaker 1: Notre Dame knows this feeling. Plenty of teams when they've 2156 01:56:52,080 --> 01:56:54,520 Speaker 1: upset Notre Dame on the road, they storm the field. 2157 01:56:56,320 --> 01:56:59,280 Speaker 1: But the fact is Miami is playing more high pressure games. Shoot, 2158 01:56:59,280 --> 01:57:02,440 Speaker 1: Oklahomas playing more high pressure games. Us every one of 2159 01:57:02,480 --> 01:57:05,480 Speaker 1: the power for because of how important this path to 2160 01:57:05,600 --> 01:57:09,480 Speaker 1: the playoff is. These conference games are much more high 2161 01:57:09,520 --> 01:57:10,960 Speaker 1: stakes and Notre Dame. 2162 01:57:10,880 --> 01:57:11,720 Speaker 2: Doesn't have any of them. 2163 01:57:13,040 --> 01:57:16,720 Speaker 1: And so I actually think that Notre Dame not the 2164 01:57:16,840 --> 01:57:18,840 Speaker 1: arrogance of Notre Dame not being in a conference and 2165 01:57:18,960 --> 01:57:22,680 Speaker 1: still wanting to be treated equally compared to what everybody 2166 01:57:22,720 --> 01:57:25,920 Speaker 1: else has to go through with these conference schedules. I 2167 01:57:26,000 --> 01:57:31,839 Speaker 1: actually think that these athletic directors that are on this committee, 2168 01:57:32,560 --> 01:57:35,840 Speaker 1: as much as they want to, you know, do whatever 2169 01:57:35,880 --> 01:57:40,160 Speaker 1: they have to do for ESPN for the ESPN Invitational here, 2170 01:57:40,800 --> 01:57:44,880 Speaker 1: at the same time, are irritated that Notre Dame doesn't 2171 01:57:44,920 --> 01:57:51,200 Speaker 1: have to go through this conference business. So at a minimum, 2172 01:57:51,400 --> 01:57:54,600 Speaker 1: Rhys Davis, please ask whoever's going to be that I 2173 01:57:54,640 --> 01:57:56,960 Speaker 1: think it's now the Arkansas ad who is going to 2174 01:57:56,960 --> 01:58:00,800 Speaker 1: be the spokesperson for the committee. Please ask them whether 2175 01:58:02,000 --> 01:58:05,839 Speaker 1: the committee is going to essentially downgrade the two victories 2176 01:58:06,400 --> 01:58:09,200 Speaker 1: that Notre Dame had over Navy and pit They should 2177 01:58:09,240 --> 01:58:12,720 Speaker 1: be downgraded. They did not face they faced an exhibition. 2178 01:58:13,240 --> 01:58:16,360 Speaker 1: They faced two teams that treated the game as an exhibition. 2179 01:58:17,240 --> 01:58:19,680 Speaker 1: I'm not saying the players themselves did, but the coaching 2180 01:58:19,720 --> 01:58:22,240 Speaker 1: staff did. And when you say you don't care if 2181 01:58:22,280 --> 01:58:25,320 Speaker 1: you win the game, you know your players hear it. 2182 01:58:29,720 --> 01:58:32,080 Speaker 1: So when you're comparing not every ten and two record 2183 01:58:33,000 --> 01:58:36,240 Speaker 1: should be treated the same. And I think clearly here 2184 01:58:37,680 --> 01:58:41,160 Speaker 1: Notre Dame should be the one that's in much bigger 2185 01:58:41,240 --> 01:58:43,880 Speaker 1: trouble in their playoff path right now because they have 2186 01:58:44,040 --> 01:58:46,680 Speaker 1: teams that are not taking the Notre Dame game that 2187 01:58:46,800 --> 01:58:50,720 Speaker 1: seriously anymore because of how important now the conference pathway is. 2188 01:58:54,560 --> 01:58:57,280 Speaker 1: I have to say a few other notes on what 2189 01:58:57,400 --> 01:59:00,560 Speaker 1: I saw over the weekend. I get more impressed at 2190 01:59:00,560 --> 01:59:02,640 Speaker 1: Texas Tech all the time. I have no idea why 2191 01:59:02,640 --> 01:59:05,800 Speaker 1: anybody's ranking Oregon as high as they are. I think 2192 01:59:05,960 --> 01:59:09,440 Speaker 1: Oregon I have some questions about Oregon here. You know, yes, 2193 01:59:09,480 --> 01:59:13,960 Speaker 1: they have one loss. I'll be this Oregon USC game 2194 01:59:14,000 --> 01:59:16,920 Speaker 1: coming up. It's a huge game to see if the 2195 01:59:16,960 --> 01:59:20,600 Speaker 1: Big ten can get three teams into the playoffs. But 2196 01:59:20,760 --> 01:59:23,240 Speaker 1: Oregon's best win is now Penn State. How good of 2197 01:59:23,280 --> 01:59:28,800 Speaker 1: a win is that Oregon needs to blow out USC? 2198 01:59:29,680 --> 01:59:36,200 Speaker 1: I think to justify they're certainly to justify how to 2199 01:59:36,320 --> 01:59:39,520 Speaker 1: see them at ranked as high high as they are. 2200 01:59:39,960 --> 01:59:41,320 Speaker 1: I got to give Texas A and M a ton 2201 01:59:41,360 --> 01:59:43,960 Speaker 1: of credit both A and M this week in Indiana. 2202 01:59:44,040 --> 01:59:46,520 Speaker 1: Last week, when you should lose a game and you 2203 01:59:46,560 --> 01:59:48,000 Speaker 1: figure out a way to win and you're one of 2204 01:59:48,040 --> 01:59:52,240 Speaker 1: these undefeated teams, I am in some ways more impressed. 2205 01:59:52,280 --> 01:59:54,160 Speaker 1: They didn't play their best game in the first half. 2206 01:59:54,760 --> 01:59:56,960 Speaker 1: You know, I gave you that tip last week. I said, hey, 2207 01:59:57,040 --> 02:00:01,160 Speaker 1: I had heard that with the new offensive coordinator, they're 2208 02:00:01,200 --> 02:00:03,920 Speaker 1: worried about losing Lenora Sellers in the portal. There's even 2209 02:00:04,000 --> 02:00:07,240 Speaker 1: rumors at Miami he may end up at Miami that 2210 02:00:07,280 --> 02:00:09,040 Speaker 1: they were going to open things up a little bit. 2211 02:00:09,160 --> 02:00:11,320 Speaker 1: And boy did they and he looked terrific in that 2212 02:00:11,440 --> 02:00:14,960 Speaker 1: first half, and A and M shut him down and 2213 02:00:15,200 --> 02:00:17,240 Speaker 1: shut everything down in the second half. So I have 2214 02:00:17,320 --> 02:00:19,640 Speaker 1: to say A and M impressed me, and impressed me 2215 02:00:19,720 --> 02:00:21,480 Speaker 1: quite a bit. They don't have to win another game. 2216 02:00:22,560 --> 02:00:24,760 Speaker 1: They will, but they don't have to win another game. 2217 02:00:24,880 --> 02:00:27,120 Speaker 1: I'm very curious, and here's going to be something to see. 2218 02:00:27,560 --> 02:00:28,840 Speaker 1: Texas got its third loss. 2219 02:00:29,920 --> 02:00:30,280 Speaker 3: What is that? 2220 02:00:30,560 --> 02:00:34,360 Speaker 1: You know, what's their intensity going to be like for 2221 02:00:34,400 --> 02:00:36,480 Speaker 1: the rest of the season, particularly for the A and 2222 02:00:36,600 --> 02:00:38,600 Speaker 1: M game at the end of the year. It's exciting 2223 02:00:38,680 --> 02:00:41,000 Speaker 1: to see Texas, Texas, A and M play I think 2224 02:00:41,000 --> 02:00:42,800 Speaker 1: they're gonna be playing on Thanksgiving weekend, which will be 2225 02:00:42,880 --> 02:00:49,560 Speaker 1: kind of nice that And then there's Vanderbilt. You know, 2226 02:00:49,640 --> 02:00:52,320 Speaker 1: there's still They're still sitting there at eight and two, 2227 02:00:52,480 --> 02:00:54,760 Speaker 1: and you have Utah sitting there and eighty two, both 2228 02:00:54,760 --> 02:00:58,000 Speaker 1: ahead of Miami. So don't don't think I haven't. I 2229 02:00:58,080 --> 02:01:01,640 Speaker 1: don't have my eyes on them on that front. I 2230 02:01:01,760 --> 02:01:04,920 Speaker 1: have a feeling if Miami takes care of business and 2231 02:01:05,080 --> 02:01:07,720 Speaker 1: wins by margin in their last two games, that they 2232 02:01:08,040 --> 02:01:12,800 Speaker 1: likely leapfrog, because again, Miami does have better wins I 2233 02:01:12,920 --> 02:01:15,920 Speaker 1: think than either of those other two teams. But we 2234 02:01:16,000 --> 02:01:23,320 Speaker 1: shall see. All in all, I am obviously nervous, I'm willing, 2235 02:01:23,400 --> 02:01:26,800 Speaker 1: I'm trying to will every everything I have and making 2236 02:01:26,840 --> 02:01:29,080 Speaker 1: sure Miami is treated fairly in this. That's all I'm 2237 02:01:29,120 --> 02:01:31,680 Speaker 1: asking is that Miami is treated fairly, because I don't 2238 02:01:31,720 --> 02:01:34,400 Speaker 1: think the a c C in general gets treated fairly 2239 02:01:34,440 --> 02:01:37,120 Speaker 1: in this, and frankly, until we have a year where 2240 02:01:37,160 --> 02:01:40,440 Speaker 1: they are treated fairly, you're going to have a hard 2241 02:01:40,480 --> 02:01:43,400 Speaker 1: time convincing any fan of any team in the a 2242 02:01:43,520 --> 02:01:47,440 Speaker 1: c C that the that ESPN or the College Football 2243 02:01:47,440 --> 02:01:50,160 Speaker 1: Playoff Committee or the ESPN Invitational Committee, whatever you want 2244 02:01:50,160 --> 02:01:52,960 Speaker 1: to call it is going to give an ACC team 2245 02:01:53,320 --> 02:01:59,320 Speaker 1: a fair shot. But like I said, I will I 2246 02:01:59,360 --> 02:02:04,040 Speaker 1: will pull back some of my critique of the media 2247 02:02:04,120 --> 02:02:08,040 Speaker 1: company's influence on this committee if I see some hard 2248 02:02:08,200 --> 02:02:11,720 Speaker 1: questioning of the committee chair on this issue of whether 2249 02:02:11,880 --> 02:02:14,920 Speaker 1: Notre Dame's two victories over Navy and Pitt ought to 2250 02:02:15,000 --> 02:02:18,320 Speaker 1: be downgraded. So with that, I do enjoy trolling my 2251 02:02:18,400 --> 02:02:20,640 Speaker 1: friends that are Notre Dame fans on this one. But 2252 02:02:20,800 --> 02:02:25,200 Speaker 1: in all seriousness, if I know if somehow this could 2253 02:02:25,240 --> 02:02:27,840 Speaker 1: be used as a demerit against an ACC team, this 2254 02:02:27,960 --> 02:02:31,600 Speaker 1: committee would be all over it. It's a big name, 2255 02:02:31,960 --> 02:02:34,720 Speaker 1: Notre Dame that's doing it. Will they have the guts 2256 02:02:36,120 --> 02:02:39,880 Speaker 1: to publicly call out Notre Dame's victories on this one? 2257 02:02:40,360 --> 02:02:42,080 Speaker 3: We shall all right with that. 2258 02:02:43,120 --> 02:02:45,960 Speaker 1: I hope you even had a good weekend. Hope you 2259 02:02:46,080 --> 02:02:49,080 Speaker 1: enjoyed your weekend. I'm glad, since I'm traveling a lot 2260 02:02:49,200 --> 02:02:52,640 Speaker 1: this week that all of the airports are up and running. 2261 02:02:53,120 --> 02:02:55,880 Speaker 1: I thank those TSA agents and those air traffic controllers 2262 02:02:56,240 --> 02:02:59,080 Speaker 1: who have been working without pay. Thank you for doing that. 2263 02:02:59,240 --> 02:03:01,000 Speaker 1: Thank you for your surch of us. Thank you for 2264 02:03:01,560 --> 02:03:05,480 Speaker 1: at least doing what you can to keep a government 2265 02:03:05,600 --> 02:03:09,440 Speaker 1: that behaves so dysfunctionally, a bit more functional and with 2266 02:03:09,560 --> 02:03:10,840 Speaker 1: that until I upload again. 2267 02:03:11,240 --> 02:03:13,840 Speaker 3: M m hmmm.