WEBVTT - Covid Variant Dangers, Uber Buying Drizly for $1.1B

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanobek. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>pm Eastern Time on Bloomberg Radio or watch us on

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<v Speaker 1>YouTube search Bloomberg Global News. So a lot of headlines

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<v Speaker 1>out about the virus again, Tim, Today, we've got the

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<v Speaker 1>US may recommend wearing two masks to battle more contagious

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<v Speaker 1>variants of the virus. That's according to Dr Fauci, Anthony Fauci.

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<v Speaker 1>You've got more countries in Europe reporting evidence at the

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<v Speaker 1>spread of the UK variant. Isn't creed increasing, which could

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<v Speaker 1>lead to prolonged restrictions. Uh. But we did talk about

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<v Speaker 1>some better news yesterday with death starting to drop across

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<v Speaker 1>the US. Yeah, we did. And and look, I think

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<v Speaker 1>what's exciting to see and I maybe exciting isn't really

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<v Speaker 1>the right term, but we sort of got the slew

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<v Speaker 1>of good news right more development when it comes to

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<v Speaker 1>a new vaccine and new data about vaccine. But at

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<v Speaker 1>the same time, everywhere you look in the United States,

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<v Speaker 1>we are starting to see us get over that latest tump.

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<v Speaker 1>It's something that I've been eager to talk to Dr

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<v Speaker 1>Dave Wessner about. He's a professor of biology at Davidson

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<v Speaker 1>College and joins us right now on the phone from Davidson,

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<v Speaker 1>North Carolina. Professor, it's really great to have you on

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<v Speaker 1>the show. Um, where are we right now in this pandemic? Well,

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<v Speaker 1>thanks for having me. It's like, let's be back again.

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<v Speaker 1>Um yeah, I think we're We're in in a hopeful position.

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<v Speaker 1>I think there's definitely light at the end of the

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<v Speaker 1>tunnel now. Um yeah, I don't think the tunnel is

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<v Speaker 1>necessarily as short as people might hope it would be. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>but but I think with the with the news, with

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<v Speaker 1>the Barrios vaccines are coming out, Um, I think there

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<v Speaker 1>is hope for us. Okay, having said that, let's just

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<v Speaker 1>jump right into the variant and the variants that keep

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<v Speaker 1>coming out. Right, We've got UK, We've got Brazil, We've

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<v Speaker 1>got South Africa. Uh. And I do wonder if there

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<v Speaker 1>is a tipping point in terms of how many and

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<v Speaker 1>by a certain date in terms of getting the COVID

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<v Speaker 1>vaccine out before these variants start to infect too many

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<v Speaker 1>of the global population. You know what, do we need

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<v Speaker 1>to kind of know about that and think about that,

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<v Speaker 1>especially if we're hoping to reopen our economy sooner rather

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<v Speaker 1>than later. Yeah, I think a couple of things. I

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<v Speaker 1>think the appearance of these variants is not at all

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<v Speaker 1>a surprise. This is nothing unusual. Viruses mutate a lot

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<v Speaker 1>bays throughout these variants. The real concern for researchers and

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<v Speaker 1>collisions are, Um, do these variants behave differently in some

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<v Speaker 1>troubling way? Are they more easily transmissible? Do they cause

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<v Speaker 1>worst disease? Um? Are they resistant to immunity vaccine induced

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<v Speaker 1>immunity or natural immunity? So? UM to your question, I

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<v Speaker 1>think that the UK variant B seven is pretty widespread. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't think we're you know, we're not putting the

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<v Speaker 1>genie back in the bottle with with a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>these um. It appears though that the vaccines that we

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<v Speaker 1>do have the Maderna vaccine, the Fiser vaccine are probably

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<v Speaker 1>pretty effective against these new variants as well, all of

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<v Speaker 1>them Brazil, South Africa as well. I mean, I mean

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<v Speaker 1>there's different data on different ones, but um, generally yes, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I think UM. Researchers from Fiser reported just on on

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<v Speaker 1>Friday that neutralization of the B one one seven the

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<v Speaker 1>UK variant um it was pretty much the same as

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<v Speaker 1>the quote wild type virus with their vaccine was slightly reduced,

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<v Speaker 1>but not in any meaningful way. The South African variant

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<v Speaker 1>um seems to be a little bit more resistant to

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<v Speaker 1>the vaccine, but not to a degree that it's you know,

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<v Speaker 1>we're not gonna say the vaccines are ineffective with that

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<v Speaker 1>with that variant, I mean they're less effective, but not

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<v Speaker 1>necessarily less effective in a really concerning way. David, was

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<v Speaker 1>surprising for me to hear you say that you do

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<v Speaker 1>believe the variant on in the UK is likely widespread here.

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<v Speaker 1>And the only reason it's surprising to me is because

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<v Speaker 1>what we saw happen in London about a month ago

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<v Speaker 1>and in the wider part of the United Kingdom a

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<v Speaker 1>month ago doesn't seem to be happening at least right

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<v Speaker 1>now here in the United States, and I'm talking you know,

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<v Speaker 1>hospitals overcrowded and more and more cases. You see, the

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<v Speaker 1>cases have started to be down a little bit in

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<v Speaker 1>in most places the United States, they were going up

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<v Speaker 1>pretty rapidly until recently. UM, and that may have been

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<v Speaker 1>a result of the holidays and spiking cases from family gatherings.

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<v Speaker 1>One thing that we're not doing as much United States

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<v Speaker 1>as in the UK is this genomic sequencing of the viruses.

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<v Speaker 1>So with the limited amount of sequencing we are doing,

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<v Speaker 1>we seemed this variant in various places. I wouldn't be

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<v Speaker 1>surprised if we did more sequencings. We see it. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>you see a higher problems of that variant here right see.

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<v Speaker 1>I guess question, I guess Tim and I are trying

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<v Speaker 1>to get our heads around as we talked to various

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<v Speaker 1>folks in the medical community and certainly the pharmaceutical industry,

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<v Speaker 1>is you know, should we There's I guess a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of talk about it's going to be another tough February

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<v Speaker 1>March in that way, we're going to get another third wave.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't even know. I've lost count because of these

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<v Speaker 1>because of the variants, specifically and do you anticipate that. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's a very real possibility. I think one

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<v Speaker 1>of the fears that I have is that people will say, oh,

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<v Speaker 1>we have vaccines out there, people are starting to get shot.

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<v Speaker 1>I can sort of went off the gas. I can

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<v Speaker 1>start start relaxing in my my personal mitigation efforts wearing masks,

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<v Speaker 1>especially just in avoiding crowds and so forth. Um. I

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<v Speaker 1>think if if people sort of relax on those strategies,

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<v Speaker 1>then yes, we could see a pretty big uptick pretty quickly.

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<v Speaker 1>So I think it's imperative now that people really, um

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<v Speaker 1>really are conscious about those those relatively simple medication efforts. Hey, Dave,

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<v Speaker 1>very briefly double masking. We heard Dr Anthony Fauci say

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<v Speaker 1>earlier today that the CDC might start to recommend two

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<v Speaker 1>masks because of these variants. What do you what do

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<v Speaker 1>you make of it? That's not going to hurt um? Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I think a lot of people have cloth masks on,

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<v Speaker 1>which do reasonally well job. If you have a cloth

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<v Speaker 1>mask on, though, there are gaps from side, gaps from

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<v Speaker 1>the top that are going to let different particles in out.

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<v Speaker 1>Having a second mask on, it's going to reduce those gaps.

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<v Speaker 1>It's going to reduce the spread of the virus from

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<v Speaker 1>you to someone else. If you're infected, it's going to

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<v Speaker 1>reduce your chance of inhaling the virus. Um, you mean

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<v Speaker 1>that that's not gonna hurt me. If that's what it

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<v Speaker 1>takes to to really camp things down, Yeah, I think

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<v Speaker 1>it's that's a reasonable approach. I'm curious about your thoughts

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<v Speaker 1>when it comes to the news that we learned today

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<v Speaker 1>from our Bloomberg colleagues that President Joe Biden's administration is

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<v Speaker 1>going to pilot a program to provide coronavirus vaccines directly

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<v Speaker 1>to pharmacies in an attempt to ratchet up the pace

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<v Speaker 1>of a not culations in the US. It's going to

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<v Speaker 1>be a small pilot to begin with, But is this

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<v Speaker 1>the right way to get to her community? Yeah, I

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<v Speaker 1>think it's worth trying. Yeah. I think we've seen already

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<v Speaker 1>that distribution getting shots in the arm is a logistical challenge. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>So I think it's certainly worth exploring if waltring TBS,

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<v Speaker 1>other farms, single farm seats like that can can help

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<v Speaker 1>in that in that process. Is that is I'm wondering

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<v Speaker 1>if we think about the administration here of of vaccines

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<v Speaker 1>actually giving them. Where are you seeing the bottleneck? Where

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<v Speaker 1>where is the bottleneck company? Because we have to understand,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, this is what as we've learned and Carol,

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<v Speaker 1>Carol mentioned this, like we never thought we'd become such

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<v Speaker 1>a sort of like armchair experts, right and thinking about

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<v Speaker 1>in thinking about vaccines and actually giving vaccines. But we

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<v Speaker 1>have the production of them, and of course before that

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<v Speaker 1>the approval um and we also have to make sure

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<v Speaker 1>there are enough supplies, right, syringes, needles, people to make

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<v Speaker 1>sure that you know you're being observed for fifteen minutes,

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<v Speaker 1>people who are trained to give the shots. Where do

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<v Speaker 1>you see the bottleneck? Yeah, I think what I've seen

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<v Speaker 1>it's it's distribution. It's getting the vaccine doses to the

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<v Speaker 1>vaccination site to the place we're actually administering them. I

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<v Speaker 1>mean that seems to be things I've heard places around

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<v Speaker 1>here that've gotten vaccines are are using them. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>they're not wasting the vaccine doses themselves, they're getting them

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<v Speaker 1>in arms. It's just waiting for more vaccines to get there.

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<v Speaker 1>Um and type about vaccine a little bit is a

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<v Speaker 1>vacumment to getting back to the variants A few months ago,

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<v Speaker 1>people were saying, if we get a vaccine that's setting

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<v Speaker 1>percent effective, that's really good. We got to their effective,

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<v Speaker 1>which is amazing. So even if these variants are even

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<v Speaker 1>vaccines are not quite at effective against these variants, they're

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<v Speaker 1>still pretty good vaccines. I think we shouldn't we shouldn't

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<v Speaker 1>lose sight of that we're talking about these variants. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>and it was, you know, there was an interesting column.

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<v Speaker 1>It was a Bloomberg opinion piece um by our Andurias Cluth,

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<v Speaker 1>and it said, stop wanting about vaccines. It's only February.

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<v Speaker 1>And the point being that, listen, folks, it's pretty remarkable

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<v Speaker 1>that we have a vaccine and it's what we were

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<v Speaker 1>working for and Shaman whoever whatever in terms of not

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<v Speaker 1>being ready in terms of the rollout, but you know,

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<v Speaker 1>we've never had to do this, to be quite honest,

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<v Speaker 1>or or it's been a long time. Um. And so

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<v Speaker 1>when you hear something like that, do you agree that

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<v Speaker 1>we need to just kind of understand what we've done

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<v Speaker 1>so far and it is going to just take a

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<v Speaker 1>while to get all these vaccines into the arms of individuals,

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<v Speaker 1>especially when you're talking about two doses. Me. Absolutely, if

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<v Speaker 1>you look at the timeline. The first report came out

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<v Speaker 1>in December, this new virus in in uhan um. So

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<v Speaker 1>in eleven months times twelve months time, we have vaccines

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<v Speaker 1>with the virus identified sequence, we have vaccines on market.

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<v Speaker 1>That's really porkable. So yes, I think the rollout has

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<v Speaker 1>been a bumpy road so far. Um. It can never

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<v Speaker 1>be done fast enough, obviously, but yes, I think we're

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<v Speaker 1>a really good place considering where we were just the

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<v Speaker 1>year ago. And so no, I bet we're going to

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<v Speaker 1>go the same place so so So, Dave, what's your

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<v Speaker 1>best guests in terms of there's enough shots in in

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<v Speaker 1>in people's arms that we can actually start to kind

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<v Speaker 1>of reopen and get back to a more normal way

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<v Speaker 1>of life. Is it and the spring is its summer?

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<v Speaker 1>How do you see it? Just quickly and got thirty seconds. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I think in the summer. I think next fall we

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<v Speaker 1>start looking at Labor Day this coming year, I think

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<v Speaker 1>things will look a lot to do now. Alright, fingers

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<v Speaker 1>cross man um, Dave, thank you so much, really appreciated. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>Dr Dave Westerner, professor a biology of at Davidson College,

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<v Speaker 1>on the phone from david'son North Carolina. I mean listen.

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<v Speaker 1>It's been an unbelievable undertaking, right, Tim, and we have

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<v Speaker 1>come a long way. I think it just feels like, well,

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<v Speaker 1>wait a minute, we knew we're gonna have to get

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<v Speaker 1>these into the arms of individual we were and I

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<v Speaker 1>think January was a really hard month for a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of people. We had a tremendous loss of life in

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<v Speaker 1>the United States, more than people. And I think just

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<v Speaker 1>the fact that it's winter and we've been doing this

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<v Speaker 1>for so long, we were so ready to see the

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<v Speaker 1>sun again. Yeah, and um, yeah, I think it's starting

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<v Speaker 1>to feel very long for people. This is Bloomberg Business

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<v Speaker 1>Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stinovich

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<v Speaker 1>from Bloomberg Radio. All right, now, we want to get

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<v Speaker 1>to a story that's going to be featured in the

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<v Speaker 1>upcoming issue of Bloomberg Business Week magazine. We know actions

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<v Speaker 1>have consequences. We say that a lot. Tim. It applies

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<v Speaker 1>to story by Bloomberg News energy reporter Robert Tittle, who

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<v Speaker 1>writes about it and writes specifically that President Biden's recent

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<v Speaker 1>Keystone XL cut off has really hurt and shocked a

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<v Speaker 1>tiny town up in Canada. Let's get more Robert joins

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<v Speaker 1>us on the phone from Calgary, along with Bloomberg business

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<v Speaker 1>Week editor Joe Webber on the access line in Brooklyn.

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<v Speaker 1>And I feel like Joel the Keystone Pipeline man, on again,

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<v Speaker 1>off again, on again, off again. Yeah, it's right, and

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<v Speaker 1>and this story is one of those ones that I

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<v Speaker 1>do and kind of just speaks to um sort of

0:12:02.440 --> 0:12:05.480
<v Speaker 1>the the West. I think of it in terms of

0:12:05.480 --> 0:12:08.680
<v Speaker 1>American West a lot, but certainly applies to Canada. There's

0:12:08.760 --> 0:12:12.120
<v Speaker 1>been you know, just hundreds of towns through the history

0:12:12.120 --> 0:12:16.440
<v Speaker 1>of of the countries that um that have boom and

0:12:16.440 --> 0:12:18.400
<v Speaker 1>bus cycles, and this is sort of one of them.

0:12:18.400 --> 0:12:21.360
<v Speaker 1>This is this is a town um that we'll talk

0:12:21.360 --> 0:12:23.280
<v Speaker 1>a little bit about that you know, really kind of

0:12:23.280 --> 0:12:26.960
<v Speaker 1>tethered its fortune to the Keystone Pipeline. And then obviously

0:12:27.040 --> 0:12:30.640
<v Speaker 1>when when President Biden came out um and sort of

0:12:30.720 --> 0:12:34.640
<v Speaker 1>changed policy there, it has repercussions UM down that pipeline.

0:12:35.000 --> 0:12:36.920
<v Speaker 1>So so Robert talked to us about the town that

0:12:37.000 --> 0:12:40.600
<v Speaker 1>you decided to set all of this in. Yeah, So

0:12:40.720 --> 0:12:43.400
<v Speaker 1>I I uh one morning got up real early and

0:12:43.480 --> 0:12:47.520
<v Speaker 1>drove the east out of Calgary three hours. It's uh

0:12:47.800 --> 0:12:50.920
<v Speaker 1>the town of o um. Uh. It's close to the

0:12:50.960 --> 0:12:56.560
<v Speaker 1>Saskatchewan borders. Um. It's a rural, very rural. It's a

0:12:56.600 --> 0:13:01.160
<v Speaker 1>farming town of some ranches around there. Um, branches around there.

0:13:01.559 --> 0:13:05.000
<v Speaker 1>But this town was kind of ground zero for the

0:13:05.160 --> 0:13:09.760
<v Speaker 1>Keystone Xcel construction work which had kicked off last year,

0:13:10.520 --> 0:13:14.200
<v Speaker 1>and that had that had been uh caused the town

0:13:14.320 --> 0:13:18.360
<v Speaker 1>population to just about double uh for a period there

0:13:18.440 --> 0:13:21.640
<v Speaker 1>and especially during the summer and the fall. As the

0:13:21.720 --> 0:13:24.480
<v Speaker 1>workers were coming in to build the pipeline, they set

0:13:24.559 --> 0:13:28.400
<v Speaker 1>up some camps. Businesses were raking in a lot of money,

0:13:28.480 --> 0:13:32.839
<v Speaker 1>up to four million Canadian dollars a month extra. That's

0:13:32.840 --> 0:13:36.400
<v Speaker 1>what the mayor told me. Um. And that kind of

0:13:36.440 --> 0:13:40.400
<v Speaker 1>just came to a halt when the project was canceled

0:13:40.400 --> 0:13:44.239
<v Speaker 1>by Joe Biden on his first day in office. Um.

0:13:44.520 --> 0:13:49.960
<v Speaker 1>So it was how yeah, how quickly has the town

0:13:50.080 --> 0:13:53.760
<v Speaker 1>sort of reeled from from that decision? What what was

0:13:53.800 --> 0:14:00.240
<v Speaker 1>the before and what does the after start to look like? Well? Um,

0:14:00.280 --> 0:14:02.160
<v Speaker 1>I mean when I got the area, it was a

0:14:02.200 --> 0:14:07.360
<v Speaker 1>few days after, and uh, the things were still they

0:14:07.400 --> 0:14:10.760
<v Speaker 1>were still kind of up in the air a little bit. Um.

0:14:10.800 --> 0:14:14.640
<v Speaker 1>It didn't seem like that they had yet adjusted, but

0:14:14.800 --> 0:14:18.680
<v Speaker 1>people were had but workers were leaving. Um. You know,

0:14:18.720 --> 0:14:21.200
<v Speaker 1>before that you had about a thousand extra people. This

0:14:21.320 --> 0:14:23.920
<v Speaker 1>is a town of just under a thousand people. You

0:14:24.000 --> 0:14:27.680
<v Speaker 1>had about a thousand extra people living there, uh and

0:14:27.760 --> 0:14:32.280
<v Speaker 1>doing business there. Workers. Uh. You know, after that, they

0:14:32.280 --> 0:14:34.560
<v Speaker 1>were it was clear some people were starting to leave,

0:14:34.640 --> 0:14:37.200
<v Speaker 1>but things were still kind of up in the air. Um.

0:14:37.720 --> 0:14:40.040
<v Speaker 1>There was a lot of construction along the route which

0:14:40.040 --> 0:14:43.600
<v Speaker 1>went passed through the area. Uh. There was a lot

0:14:43.640 --> 0:14:48.880
<v Speaker 1>of type pipeline pipeline left in some storage yards along

0:14:48.920 --> 0:14:51.760
<v Speaker 1>those areas. Uh. And when I was there, there weren't

0:14:52.080 --> 0:14:55.000
<v Speaker 1>You didn't see a lot of workers, um, workers in

0:14:55.040 --> 0:14:57.960
<v Speaker 1>these sites. Uh there, but there were still workers there.

0:14:58.000 --> 0:15:00.520
<v Speaker 1>There were still there's still some work to do in

0:15:00.600 --> 0:15:06.040
<v Speaker 1>terms of just cleaning up what was left. Sorry, I

0:15:06.120 --> 0:15:08.760
<v Speaker 1>started to jump in. I do wonder Carol made the

0:15:09.680 --> 0:15:12.720
<v Speaker 1>made the reference to this on again, off again, you

0:15:12.760 --> 0:15:17.000
<v Speaker 1>know comment with the keystone xcel. I do wonder if

0:15:17.000 --> 0:15:22.680
<v Speaker 1>this cancelation is final? I mean, is this the final blow? Yeah,

0:15:22.800 --> 0:15:25.120
<v Speaker 1>I mean it's it's I mean, this has been around

0:15:25.200 --> 0:15:29.440
<v Speaker 1>for twelve years, more than twelve years. The project was

0:15:29.520 --> 0:15:33.360
<v Speaker 1>canceled once before by President Obama. It was brought back

0:15:33.400 --> 0:15:37.720
<v Speaker 1>by UM. Uh, the President Trump now this looks a

0:15:37.720 --> 0:15:41.640
<v Speaker 1>lot more final, simply because the sort of UM. There's

0:15:41.640 --> 0:15:44.760
<v Speaker 1>sort of a strong turn against the oil sands. So

0:15:45.240 --> 0:15:48.960
<v Speaker 1>the oil fans themselves are are not expanding the oil

0:15:49.000 --> 0:15:52.920
<v Speaker 1>fans producers are not expanding it very much anymore UM,

0:15:52.960 --> 0:15:55.760
<v Speaker 1>and it doesn't look like that will happen for for

0:15:55.800 --> 0:16:00.680
<v Speaker 1>a while still. At the same time, so that there

0:16:00.760 --> 0:16:03.280
<v Speaker 1>isn't as much need for this pipeline, there's also a

0:16:03.280 --> 0:16:06.800
<v Speaker 1>couple other pipelines that are being built and that are

0:16:06.880 --> 0:16:10.640
<v Speaker 1>going to be enough for the oil stands industry at

0:16:10.680 --> 0:16:13.400
<v Speaker 1>least into this decade, so it doesn't seem like there's

0:16:13.440 --> 0:16:15.840
<v Speaker 1>as much of a need for it. UM. I think

0:16:15.880 --> 0:16:19.040
<v Speaker 1>the industry did want to get this pipeline built. There

0:16:19.040 --> 0:16:23.720
<v Speaker 1>are people I've spoken to, including a former executive of

0:16:24.720 --> 0:16:27.600
<v Speaker 1>of TC Energy, who said he thinks it could still

0:16:27.680 --> 0:16:31.440
<v Speaker 1>come back to life and about in another administration, but

0:16:31.440 --> 0:16:33.600
<v Speaker 1>but there is a turn against this at the moment.

0:16:33.640 --> 0:16:38.040
<v Speaker 1>It does seem to be a change. And how has

0:16:38.080 --> 0:16:43.040
<v Speaker 1>that played out just in Canadian politics. Yeah, so that's

0:16:43.080 --> 0:16:46.400
<v Speaker 1>been very That was really interesting here in Alberta. The

0:16:46.440 --> 0:16:50.920
<v Speaker 1>government itself wanted to get this project going UM and

0:16:51.000 --> 0:16:55.360
<v Speaker 1>the company UM was holding back um to see what

0:16:55.400 --> 0:16:57.280
<v Speaker 1>would happen. I think at the end of the election,

0:16:57.360 --> 0:17:00.960
<v Speaker 1>that's what the premier here said for us and Kenny.

0:17:01.000 --> 0:17:06.240
<v Speaker 1>So they actually invested one point five billion Canadian tax

0:17:06.320 --> 0:17:09.760
<v Speaker 1>player dollars I mean Alberta tax payer dollars in the project.

0:17:10.760 --> 0:17:13.880
<v Speaker 1>The UM that was just to get a jumpstart, jump

0:17:13.960 --> 0:17:17.320
<v Speaker 1>start construction. That was and that started the past spring.

0:17:18.400 --> 0:17:21.960
<v Speaker 1>At the time, the premier said that he wanted to

0:17:22.000 --> 0:17:24.240
<v Speaker 1>create facts on the ground that would make it hard

0:17:24.320 --> 0:17:28.440
<v Speaker 1>to you know, hard to for any administration to come

0:17:28.440 --> 0:17:32.399
<v Speaker 1>in to cancel this this project. The company also signed

0:17:32.400 --> 0:17:35.920
<v Speaker 1>a bunch of labor agreements with unions of the United States.

0:17:35.960 --> 0:17:38.960
<v Speaker 1>They agreed they also agreed to sell a stake to

0:17:39.359 --> 0:17:44.159
<v Speaker 1>some um indigenous communities along the route, which many of

0:17:44.200 --> 0:17:48.800
<v Speaker 1>these communities are. Many indigenous communities have have spearheaded opposition, right,

0:17:49.720 --> 0:17:52.879
<v Speaker 1>so they did everything possible I think to sell this

0:17:53.040 --> 0:17:58.960
<v Speaker 1>to a future bid administration. That wasn't enough. UM and

0:17:59.240 --> 0:18:03.080
<v Speaker 1>uh certainly yeah, no, no, no, no, We've got to

0:18:03.160 --> 0:18:05.200
<v Speaker 1>unfortunately wrap it up. But um, we'll put it out

0:18:05.240 --> 0:18:07.040
<v Speaker 1>on Twitter, Robert, because it's a it's a great story

0:18:07.040 --> 0:18:08.960
<v Speaker 1>and as you know, include in it. There's the other

0:18:09.040 --> 0:18:10.560
<v Speaker 1>argument that says, if we don't do it this way,

0:18:10.600 --> 0:18:12.160
<v Speaker 1>we're gonna have to do it on rail cars, which

0:18:12.200 --> 0:18:15.479
<v Speaker 1>can be um, have their own economic impact and climate

0:18:15.520 --> 0:18:18.040
<v Speaker 1>impact and be dangerous. So there's a lot of moving

0:18:18.240 --> 0:18:21.280
<v Speaker 1>sides to this story. Um, thank you so much, Robert Tuttle.

0:18:22.000 --> 0:18:24.399
<v Speaker 1>Check it out and of course our thanks to Joe Webber.

0:18:24.800 --> 0:18:28.399
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Messer and

0:18:28.480 --> 0:18:33.720
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stenovic on Bloomberg Radio. All right, yes, indeed,

0:18:33.720 --> 0:18:36.480
<v Speaker 1>you're listening to Bloomberg Business Week Karl Masser along with

0:18:36.520 --> 0:18:39.320
<v Speaker 1>Tim Stenovich. And Um, I keep hearing Mr Planters or

0:18:39.359 --> 0:18:42.600
<v Speaker 1>plant and I'm thinking, right, Mr Peanut, Yeah, I can

0:18:42.680 --> 0:18:46.480
<v Speaker 1>think of every time I hear that story. Um what

0:18:46.760 --> 0:18:49.240
<v Speaker 1>I'm just thinking he's going to get on a tangent here.

0:18:49.240 --> 0:18:51.919
<v Speaker 1>But remember the Super Bowl ad last year? Is that

0:18:51.920 --> 0:18:55.640
<v Speaker 1>what you're talking about? Okay, It's just like, right, that's

0:18:55.640 --> 0:18:58.040
<v Speaker 1>all I keep thinking about. Yeah, okay, Um, yeah, that's

0:18:58.040 --> 0:19:01.080
<v Speaker 1>what I was thinking too. Hey, But holder sound pretty happy.

0:19:01.240 --> 0:19:04.400
<v Speaker 1>I know. Right. It's like we're seeing companies do deals

0:19:04.480 --> 0:19:07.800
<v Speaker 1>and kind of you know, lean more into certain you know,

0:19:07.840 --> 0:19:11.400
<v Speaker 1>business lines and strategies and speaking of that. We saw

0:19:11.480 --> 0:19:15.000
<v Speaker 1>that certainly play out today one of our top business

0:19:15.000 --> 0:19:18.560
<v Speaker 1>stories M and A stories Uber doing another deal, buying

0:19:18.600 --> 0:19:21.840
<v Speaker 1>up the alcohol delivery startup. It's drizzly. They spent one

0:19:21.880 --> 0:19:25.440
<v Speaker 1>point one billion. You mentioned earlier. It was a stock deal. Uh,

0:19:25.480 --> 0:19:27.160
<v Speaker 1>so they're taking advantage of the run up that they've

0:19:27.200 --> 0:19:29.080
<v Speaker 1>seen and share. So what does it mean? What does

0:19:29.080 --> 0:19:31.200
<v Speaker 1>it mean for the bottom line the overall strategy. Let's

0:19:31.200 --> 0:19:34.440
<v Speaker 1>bring in Bloomberg News Venture capital reporter Lazette Chapman. Tim.

0:19:34.440 --> 0:19:37.159
<v Speaker 1>You actually caught up with her earlier on Quicktake, and

0:19:37.200 --> 0:19:39.719
<v Speaker 1>she's back with us on the phone in San Francisco. Lizette,

0:19:39.760 --> 0:19:42.560
<v Speaker 1>good to have you. We're still I think we're still

0:19:42.560 --> 0:19:47.320
<v Speaker 1>waiting together. Is that right now? In the meantime, fantastic.

0:19:47.400 --> 0:19:50.720
<v Speaker 1>I knew you were there wait and wait to talk

0:19:50.720 --> 0:19:55.600
<v Speaker 1>about this big acquisition from over So let's let's talk

0:19:55.640 --> 0:19:58.200
<v Speaker 1>about it. Did you say doozy? Did you say doozy?

0:19:58.240 --> 0:20:02.960
<v Speaker 1>If an acquisition, well, I said boozing These two at

0:20:03.040 --> 0:20:06.600
<v Speaker 1>one point one billion, that does not pump change. Um.

0:20:06.640 --> 0:20:09.480
<v Speaker 1>It's uh. You know the first acquisition Uber done to

0:20:09.640 --> 0:20:13.359
<v Speaker 1>his Postmates for two point six billion last year, and

0:20:13.400 --> 0:20:16.720
<v Speaker 1>it really shoes up what Uber has been driving out

0:20:16.760 --> 0:20:19.080
<v Speaker 1>for the past year, which is that, hey guys, we're

0:20:19.080 --> 0:20:21.800
<v Speaker 1>going to offload all these other best in flying cars

0:20:21.880 --> 0:20:25.840
<v Speaker 1>and the self you know, driving technologies, and we're just

0:20:25.880 --> 0:20:27.840
<v Speaker 1>going to focus on two things that can help us

0:20:27.880 --> 0:20:32.840
<v Speaker 1>be profitable, remember they're not yet, which are delivery and rides.

0:20:33.000 --> 0:20:35.960
<v Speaker 1>And people really like their Booze and this allows them

0:20:36.040 --> 0:20:39.600
<v Speaker 1>to really increase um all the different markets they serve

0:20:40.040 --> 0:20:42.720
<v Speaker 1>through a bunch of partnerships and the software that deals

0:20:42.720 --> 0:20:45.919
<v Speaker 1>with all those nasty uh you know, back office issues

0:20:45.960 --> 0:20:48.919
<v Speaker 1>like what counties or dry counties and you know across

0:20:48.920 --> 0:20:50.960
<v Speaker 1>the nation, which it gets kind of complicated once you

0:20:51.000 --> 0:20:53.960
<v Speaker 1>dig in. Well, that that was you know, we talked

0:20:54.000 --> 0:20:56.440
<v Speaker 1>about this earlier on Quick Take Lizette because I asked

0:20:56.440 --> 0:20:59.440
<v Speaker 1>you the question, why does an uber just develop it themselves?

0:20:59.480 --> 0:21:03.840
<v Speaker 1>It turns out it's actually pretty difficult to you know,

0:21:03.880 --> 0:21:08.080
<v Speaker 1>make sure you're following all the rules when you're delivering booze, right, Yeah,

0:21:08.160 --> 0:21:10.000
<v Speaker 1>it is. You know, it's complex, and this is a

0:21:10.040 --> 0:21:12.560
<v Speaker 1>Boston they start up. Um, you know, they've been doing

0:21:12.600 --> 0:21:16.760
<v Speaker 1>this for eight years and they um really focused on

0:21:17.119 --> 0:21:19.879
<v Speaker 1>meeting the legal requirements first, um, which is you know,

0:21:19.920 --> 0:21:22.160
<v Speaker 1>different than the way Uber and some other companies have

0:21:22.160 --> 0:21:26.920
<v Speaker 1>have approached a new category UM. So it'll be interesting

0:21:26.960 --> 0:21:29.600
<v Speaker 1>to see how this plays out and whether the big

0:21:29.640 --> 0:21:35.680
<v Speaker 1>surgeon and drinking continues after the pandemic. Well, that's that's

0:21:35.680 --> 0:21:38.080
<v Speaker 1>the huge question. I mean, we've had a fair amount

0:21:38.080 --> 0:21:40.960
<v Speaker 1>of pitches and we've had guests on where are tapping

0:21:41.000 --> 0:21:43.440
<v Speaker 1>into this lazette, this whole idea. We've been home, people

0:21:43.440 --> 0:21:47.000
<v Speaker 1>have been drinking more UM and so we've definitely seen

0:21:47.520 --> 0:21:49.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, that happened. But I do wonder when we

0:21:49.960 --> 0:21:52.040
<v Speaker 1>get on the other side, aren't we going to be

0:21:52.040 --> 0:21:55.240
<v Speaker 1>maybe hopefully in a restaurant after you're drinking in a

0:21:55.280 --> 0:21:57.320
<v Speaker 1>restaurant you used the Uber app to call an uber

0:21:57.359 --> 0:22:00.200
<v Speaker 1>to get you home safely? Right? Is that the next

0:22:00.200 --> 0:22:04.320
<v Speaker 1>you're just going to tie it all together that maybe maybe?

0:22:04.359 --> 0:22:06.840
<v Speaker 1>I mean, that's definitely what Uber is hoping. And you know,

0:22:06.880 --> 0:22:09.000
<v Speaker 1>you look at all of these delivery companies. You look

0:22:09.000 --> 0:22:11.119
<v Speaker 1>at door, DAP, you look at Insta Cards, both of

0:22:11.119 --> 0:22:13.400
<v Speaker 1>those companies on the precipes of I POS. They've seen

0:22:13.520 --> 0:22:17.440
<v Speaker 1>huge valuation surges and their recent fundings UM and they've

0:22:17.520 --> 0:22:21.520
<v Speaker 1>raised a ton from venture capital and other um. You know,

0:22:21.680 --> 0:22:24.840
<v Speaker 1>financiers who are betting on the fact that this just

0:22:25.000 --> 0:22:28.119
<v Speaker 1>convenience and it's almost like a necessity. Now will become

0:22:28.160 --> 0:22:31.840
<v Speaker 1>a habit, right, this thing of everyone being shut in, Well,

0:22:31.880 --> 0:22:34.200
<v Speaker 1>now it's just convenient, it becomes a habit. And Uber

0:22:34.240 --> 0:22:37.000
<v Speaker 1>has long wanted to be your everything, you're operating system

0:22:37.040 --> 0:22:38.840
<v Speaker 1>for your life. I think is the way that it

0:22:38.920 --> 0:22:42.119
<v Speaker 1>was described over a year ago, pre pandemic. And they

0:22:42.160 --> 0:22:44.800
<v Speaker 1>we're going to link everything altogether. But you know again,

0:22:44.880 --> 0:22:48.680
<v Speaker 1>I mean the focus is really squarely on turning a

0:22:48.760 --> 0:22:51.080
<v Speaker 1>profit for this company. They are going to be reporting

0:22:51.119 --> 0:22:54.480
<v Speaker 1>your earnings. Um uh you know a little bit later

0:22:54.480 --> 0:22:57.240
<v Speaker 1>this month, and um, you know the margins on alcohol

0:22:57.280 --> 0:23:00.359
<v Speaker 1>you can't beat those. So this has been um you know,

0:23:00.400 --> 0:23:02.359
<v Speaker 1>this has been something that a number of their competitors

0:23:02.400 --> 0:23:04.280
<v Speaker 1>also took a look at. We just have we just

0:23:04.359 --> 0:23:07.280
<v Speaker 1>updated our story. We got some new reporting in that

0:23:07.480 --> 0:23:10.080
<v Speaker 1>um you know, tips to the fact that door Dash

0:23:10.200 --> 0:23:13.399
<v Speaker 1>and also go Puff, Um you know, took a look

0:23:13.560 --> 0:23:17.040
<v Speaker 1>at at this company. Um they wound up not you know,

0:23:17.119 --> 0:23:20.879
<v Speaker 1>reaching reaching a deal. And interestingly enough, um, there was

0:23:21.080 --> 0:23:25.160
<v Speaker 1>there's a piece of Drizzly, which is cannabis delivery. It's

0:23:25.160 --> 0:23:27.520
<v Speaker 1>a standalone piece called lance or that they operate and

0:23:27.520 --> 0:23:31.359
<v Speaker 1>it's not coming with the deal. Ubert has not commented

0:23:31.400 --> 0:23:33.960
<v Speaker 1>on on why wouldn't wouldn't elaborate on that. We're still

0:23:33.960 --> 0:23:36.359
<v Speaker 1>trying to get some details that you when when we do,

0:23:36.760 --> 0:23:39.800
<v Speaker 1>but um, that's where it stands. Yes on booze, no

0:23:40.000 --> 0:23:43.520
<v Speaker 1>on no. I mean, if you think restrictions around delivering

0:23:43.840 --> 0:23:46.879
<v Speaker 1>alcohol are are challenging, I can't imagine what they are around,

0:23:46.920 --> 0:23:50.359
<v Speaker 1>you know, a nationwide delivery program for cannabis in states

0:23:50.400 --> 0:23:53.879
<v Speaker 1>where it is legal. Um. I do wonder about investors

0:23:53.880 --> 0:23:56.359
<v Speaker 1>in Drizzly. You have a note in your story that

0:23:56.400 --> 0:23:58.800
<v Speaker 1>the last valuation was seventy three million dollars for the

0:23:58.800 --> 0:24:03.000
<v Speaker 1>company back into when seen, uh correct over a billion

0:24:03.040 --> 0:24:06.920
<v Speaker 1>dollar purchase. Yeah, that was according to pitch Book, which

0:24:06.960 --> 0:24:09.679
<v Speaker 1>is a research firm. Um and they listed that as

0:24:09.720 --> 0:24:12.840
<v Speaker 1>the last valuation, which you know if they you know,

0:24:13.000 --> 0:24:15.720
<v Speaker 1>did not adjusted after that. And again it's been a

0:24:15.800 --> 0:24:19.000
<v Speaker 1>company that's been pretty pretty quiet. It started with a

0:24:19.040 --> 0:24:21.080
<v Speaker 1>burst of a bunch of similar companies. I think there

0:24:21.160 --> 0:24:22.919
<v Speaker 1>was like there was more than a half dozen in

0:24:22.960 --> 0:24:25.760
<v Speaker 1>this area. There was Mini Bar and Saucy and all

0:24:25.800 --> 0:24:28.439
<v Speaker 1>of these other ones. And they all emerged with this

0:24:28.560 --> 0:24:32.480
<v Speaker 1>idea of on demand booz delivery, um, you know, and uh,

0:24:32.520 --> 0:24:35.159
<v Speaker 1>they all reached a certain amount and then you know,

0:24:35.240 --> 0:24:36.719
<v Speaker 1>some of them just kind of you didn't really hear

0:24:36.760 --> 0:24:39.560
<v Speaker 1>from anymore. And that happens in startup land because vcs,

0:24:39.600 --> 0:24:41.879
<v Speaker 1>you know, really only talk about companies, really only talk

0:24:41.960 --> 0:24:45.040
<v Speaker 1>about when they're when they're expanding and when they're growing,

0:24:45.119 --> 0:24:47.280
<v Speaker 1>and then they just kind of quietly die away, you know,

0:24:47.359 --> 0:24:49.040
<v Speaker 1>they don't they don't really go out and say, hey,

0:24:49.119 --> 0:24:51.199
<v Speaker 1>we're really not doing well right now and we're going

0:24:51.240 --> 0:24:53.639
<v Speaker 1>to close shops. So you know, this is one, This

0:24:53.880 --> 0:24:55.960
<v Speaker 1>was the leading one, it was the largest one. It

0:24:55.960 --> 0:24:59.240
<v Speaker 1>had out raised all their competitors, so it's not a

0:24:59.280 --> 0:25:01.679
<v Speaker 1>huge surprise, but this was the one that was left standing.

0:25:03.040 --> 0:25:08.280
<v Speaker 1>Uber just quickly still unprofitable, correct, Yep, you got that right.

0:25:08.760 --> 0:25:10.640
<v Speaker 1>I mean I was just looking at revenues. I mean

0:25:10.720 --> 0:25:14.359
<v Speaker 1>we're talking about what eleven billion dollars in revenues maybe

0:25:14.400 --> 0:25:16.760
<v Speaker 1>for this year or fiscally year, and it's a hundred

0:25:16.760 --> 0:25:19.000
<v Speaker 1>and five billion dollar market cap company just got twenty

0:25:19.040 --> 0:25:22.840
<v Speaker 1>seconds here. I mean, hard to get your head around that. Right.

0:25:22.960 --> 0:25:27.720
<v Speaker 1>It is not profitable. It's never been profitable. But uh

0:25:27.880 --> 0:25:32.119
<v Speaker 1>CEO Dara Shock. He has pledged and then reiterated that

0:25:32.160 --> 0:25:36.040
<v Speaker 1>pledge multiple times as recently as you know, uh you know,

0:25:36.560 --> 0:25:39.720
<v Speaker 1>months ago, maybe even less, saying we will hit a

0:25:39.760 --> 0:25:42.920
<v Speaker 1>profit this year regardless of what happens with COVID. That's

0:25:42.920 --> 0:25:45.320
<v Speaker 1>a hell of a bart across, considering their rides are

0:25:45.480 --> 0:25:47.680
<v Speaker 1>have been deathmated. But it's one that he has said

0:25:47.680 --> 0:25:49.479
<v Speaker 1>that they're going to commit to and hopefully delivery can

0:25:49.520 --> 0:25:51.480
<v Speaker 1>help them. Alright, So glad we got to check in

0:25:51.520 --> 0:25:54.320
<v Speaker 1>with you. Bloomberg News vetra Capital reporter Lizette Chapman. Check

0:25:54.359 --> 0:26:01.920
<v Speaker 1>her out on Twitter. D Yeah, but you let me

0:26:02.040 --> 0:26:08.679
<v Speaker 1>drive nor home, honey, please, I'll do the riding revels.

0:26:08.800 --> 0:26:22.760
<v Speaker 1>Met I want to drive, Just drive baby, question. Trying job.

0:26:24.560 --> 0:26:28.080
<v Speaker 1>This is the drive to the Globe Commune. Thanks, we'll

0:26:28.160 --> 0:26:31.879
<v Speaker 1>drying us down on Bloomberg Radio. All right, folks, just

0:26:31.880 --> 0:26:35.240
<v Speaker 1>about eleven minutes left in today's trading session. Let's get

0:26:35.240 --> 0:26:37.280
<v Speaker 1>to the drawing to the clothes. John Trainer is back

0:26:37.320 --> 0:26:39.879
<v Speaker 1>with US Chief Investment Officer. He's over at People's United

0:26:39.920 --> 0:26:43.959
<v Speaker 1>Wealth Management, our People's United Advisors. Forgive me. They've got

0:26:44.040 --> 0:26:47.840
<v Speaker 1>nine billion in assets under management. And he is in Bridgeport,

0:26:47.840 --> 0:26:50.600
<v Speaker 1>Connecticut on this Tuesday. John, how are you? How are

0:26:50.640 --> 0:26:53.199
<v Speaker 1>you doing? I'm doing very very well. Thank you for

0:26:53.240 --> 0:26:56.320
<v Speaker 1>having me back. What a wacky couple of weeks. What

0:26:56.440 --> 0:27:01.199
<v Speaker 1>a wacky first start to the year. Um, what are

0:27:01.200 --> 0:27:03.840
<v Speaker 1>your clients asking about? What are you thinking about when

0:27:03.880 --> 0:27:06.440
<v Speaker 1>it comes to the market here as we started off

0:27:06.800 --> 0:27:11.280
<v Speaker 1>our second trading month of the year. Well you characterize it, well,

0:27:11.359 --> 0:27:13.960
<v Speaker 1>what a what a crazy start to the year? Technical

0:27:14.640 --> 0:27:18.919
<v Speaker 1>term active, that's right, very technical term. And and really

0:27:19.040 --> 0:27:21.360
<v Speaker 1>you know, the the you know, the the big question

0:27:21.480 --> 0:27:24.359
<v Speaker 1>is you know, g am I involved in in the

0:27:24.400 --> 0:27:26.520
<v Speaker 1>game stock and we tell them no, that that's not

0:27:26.640 --> 0:27:29.560
<v Speaker 1>something that that we do. But you know, our big

0:27:29.600 --> 0:27:33.679
<v Speaker 1>concern is that a lot of clients they look at

0:27:33.720 --> 0:27:35.080
<v Speaker 1>this and they say, boy, you know, I've got my

0:27:35.160 --> 0:27:37.960
<v Speaker 1>whole I RA or my four oh one k invested.

0:27:38.000 --> 0:27:41.320
<v Speaker 1>Here is Wall Street at casino. And that would be

0:27:41.359 --> 0:27:44.719
<v Speaker 1>the real disaster if if the average investor looked at

0:27:44.760 --> 0:27:47.000
<v Speaker 1>this and just said to heck with this, I'm I'm

0:27:47.040 --> 0:27:50.160
<v Speaker 1>getting out, and uh, you know it's it's it's a mess.

0:27:50.560 --> 0:27:53.840
<v Speaker 1>So we've been doing a lot of triage, basically telling people, look,

0:27:53.880 --> 0:27:56.240
<v Speaker 1>this is a small corner of the market. You know,

0:27:56.280 --> 0:27:59.920
<v Speaker 1>there's nothing intrinsically wrong with with short selling and doing

0:28:00.040 --> 0:28:03.080
<v Speaker 1>things like that. It's just you had a confluence of

0:28:03.119 --> 0:28:06.600
<v Speaker 1>events here that what got a sector of the market crazy.

0:28:06.920 --> 0:28:09.920
<v Speaker 1>But overall things are still good and you still want

0:28:09.920 --> 0:28:12.240
<v Speaker 1>to stay invested. So what specifically have they've been have

0:28:12.320 --> 0:28:14.680
<v Speaker 1>they been asking you about what happened last week? When

0:28:14.680 --> 0:28:18.680
<v Speaker 1>you use the word like triage, I want to know more. Yeah. Well,

0:28:18.720 --> 0:28:20.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, whenever I get a call from my mother

0:28:21.000 --> 0:28:23.480
<v Speaker 1>asking me if she's involved, I know, oh, things have

0:28:23.560 --> 0:28:26.960
<v Speaker 1>gone too far. So you know, triage to me is

0:28:27.000 --> 0:28:30.679
<v Speaker 1>basically calming down people and just you know, walking them

0:28:30.720 --> 0:28:34.679
<v Speaker 1>through it, explaining you know, what happens uh with with

0:28:34.760 --> 0:28:37.680
<v Speaker 1>the shorting of the market and short squeezes and things

0:28:37.720 --> 0:28:41.400
<v Speaker 1>like that, and basically telling them, look, unfortunately, you know,

0:28:41.440 --> 0:28:44.440
<v Speaker 1>the people that tend to get into these types of

0:28:44.440 --> 0:28:46.960
<v Speaker 1>trades late are the ones that get burned. I mean

0:28:46.960 --> 0:28:49.479
<v Speaker 1>you you know, you you started all this segment with

0:28:49.600 --> 0:28:51.520
<v Speaker 1>you know a lot of those stocks being down quite

0:28:51.520 --> 0:28:54.520
<v Speaker 1>a bit today, So I hope people aren't. You know,

0:28:54.560 --> 0:28:56.520
<v Speaker 1>we aren't seeing a lot of people lose money, But

0:28:56.800 --> 0:28:59.680
<v Speaker 1>you know, it's it's basically calming people down and telling

0:28:59.720 --> 0:29:03.760
<v Speaker 1>them focus on the long term. Were they're really investors worried?

0:29:03.800 --> 0:29:06.640
<v Speaker 1>I mean, none of this is really new. I feel like,

0:29:06.680 --> 0:29:09.800
<v Speaker 1>you know what I mean, we've seen, you know, certain

0:29:09.840 --> 0:29:13.800
<v Speaker 1>hedge funds get squeezed before. Um, I just I'm curious,

0:29:14.000 --> 0:29:15.640
<v Speaker 1>you know, were they really nervous that all of a

0:29:15.680 --> 0:29:19.160
<v Speaker 1>sudden they're like, wait, this is a casino. Yeah, it

0:29:19.280 --> 0:29:21.800
<v Speaker 1>came up. And then again, you know, we we hear

0:29:21.840 --> 0:29:25.200
<v Speaker 1>that the hedge funds investors are such sophisticated investors. I

0:29:25.240 --> 0:29:28.640
<v Speaker 1>frankly am very surprised. I mean you could read Marin's

0:29:28.680 --> 0:29:31.720
<v Speaker 1>and see that game stock had a very very big

0:29:31.760 --> 0:29:35.040
<v Speaker 1>short position. This this was known. Uh, that a lot

0:29:35.080 --> 0:29:37.000
<v Speaker 1>of the hedge funds were caught like this is really

0:29:37.000 --> 0:29:40.160
<v Speaker 1>a surprise to me. So I know, I think that's

0:29:40.280 --> 0:29:42.640
<v Speaker 1>that's it. How the heck could something like this happen?

0:29:42.880 --> 0:29:45.080
<v Speaker 1>That tends to be the tone of the question. Do

0:29:45.200 --> 0:29:46.920
<v Speaker 1>we have to ask you though? Do you think we

0:29:46.960 --> 0:29:49.040
<v Speaker 1>need to change all of a sudden the system or

0:29:49.080 --> 0:29:53.400
<v Speaker 1>bring in a bunch of regulatory oversight or I mean personally,

0:29:53.400 --> 0:29:56.640
<v Speaker 1>it's like, as you said, game stops short position was

0:29:56.840 --> 0:30:00.720
<v Speaker 1>fairly well known that in some ways. You know, it

0:30:00.840 --> 0:30:03.480
<v Speaker 1>was an easy trade to go in the other direction

0:30:03.520 --> 0:30:07.240
<v Speaker 1>and do that short squeeze. Yeah. You know, I was watching, uh,

0:30:07.320 --> 0:30:10.560
<v Speaker 1>some of the politicians on the Sunday talk shows, and

0:30:10.720 --> 0:30:14.040
<v Speaker 1>naturally I think there's a knee jerk reaction. Oh, you know,

0:30:14.080 --> 0:30:16.400
<v Speaker 1>we've got to crack down on those bad Wall Street people.

0:30:16.800 --> 0:30:19.840
<v Speaker 1>You know again, you know, shorts dollar shallows actually serve

0:30:19.920 --> 0:30:22.840
<v Speaker 1>a very useful function in the market. Being able to

0:30:23.040 --> 0:30:25.920
<v Speaker 1>buy call options on stocks are very useful. I think,

0:30:26.280 --> 0:30:27.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, you need to put this in a box

0:30:27.800 --> 0:30:30.480
<v Speaker 1>and say, this was a very unique uh you know,

0:30:30.520 --> 0:30:32.000
<v Speaker 1>a lot of people made money, a lot of people

0:30:32.000 --> 0:30:34.520
<v Speaker 1>lost money, but it was a very unique situation. And

0:30:34.600 --> 0:30:39.080
<v Speaker 1>let's not just rush and implement some regulations that there

0:30:39.080 --> 0:30:41.680
<v Speaker 1>really could hurt us in the long run. And some

0:30:41.800 --> 0:30:44.960
<v Speaker 1>of the proposals I heard over the weekend were just nonsensical.

0:30:45.080 --> 0:30:48.720
<v Speaker 1>So that is a risk we get some some regulations

0:30:48.720 --> 0:30:51.000
<v Speaker 1>that just don't make sense. So here we are in

0:30:51.040 --> 0:30:53.040
<v Speaker 1>the midst of earning season, sort of the tail. And

0:30:53.080 --> 0:30:55.560
<v Speaker 1>when it comes to big tech, Alphabet and Amazon reporting

0:30:55.560 --> 0:30:57.880
<v Speaker 1>after the bell today, what are the questions that you'd

0:30:57.880 --> 0:31:02.080
<v Speaker 1>ask management. We'll start with Amazon first. You know, well,

0:31:02.120 --> 0:31:03.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, that's one of one of the stocks that

0:31:03.600 --> 0:31:06.400
<v Speaker 1>we have in our model portfolio. And again, you know,

0:31:06.440 --> 0:31:08.840
<v Speaker 1>Amazon has done very very well. They've been to go

0:31:09.000 --> 0:31:12.960
<v Speaker 1>to retailer. What we're looking for is to try and

0:31:13.000 --> 0:31:17.239
<v Speaker 1>determine how much of this extraordinary growth is sort of

0:31:17.400 --> 0:31:19.680
<v Speaker 1>a blip and as we get as we sort of

0:31:19.720 --> 0:31:22.080
<v Speaker 1>return to normal, let's say we returned to the new

0:31:22.480 --> 0:31:27.200
<v Speaker 1>new normal, what is a good estimate for earnings on

0:31:27.240 --> 0:31:30.200
<v Speaker 1>their core business. We think it's we think it's very solid.

0:31:30.240 --> 0:31:32.120
<v Speaker 1>We think that they've they've picked up a lot of

0:31:32.160 --> 0:31:34.600
<v Speaker 1>new business that they're going to keep, but we know

0:31:34.760 --> 0:31:37.360
<v Speaker 1>we saw blip last year, so how much of that

0:31:37.400 --> 0:31:39.920
<v Speaker 1>should we be factoring in going forward? So it's it's

0:31:39.960 --> 0:31:44.240
<v Speaker 1>really the sustainability of their their new customers basically when

0:31:44.280 --> 0:31:46.240
<v Speaker 1>when it comes to Amazon, and we think it will

0:31:46.280 --> 0:31:49.040
<v Speaker 1>be a very good earnings report. Yeah, I mean, listen,

0:31:49.080 --> 0:31:52.120
<v Speaker 1>I think you know what happened in the pandemic. It

0:31:52.200 --> 0:31:53.760
<v Speaker 1>was a game changer for a lot of folks saying

0:31:53.760 --> 0:31:56.200
<v Speaker 1>I've never bought grossories before. Man, this is pretty easy.

0:31:56.240 --> 0:31:59.920
<v Speaker 1>I'm going to continue doing that exactly, and the sticking

0:32:00.040 --> 0:32:02.479
<v Speaker 1>us of it will be something that we certainly have

0:32:02.600 --> 0:32:05.200
<v Speaker 1>to to watch. Having said that, you know that is

0:32:05.240 --> 0:32:06.960
<v Speaker 1>a name. I'm just taking a look at what we

0:32:07.000 --> 0:32:09.560
<v Speaker 1>saw in the last year. I mean that had a

0:32:09.600 --> 0:32:14.520
<v Speaker 1>really decent bump up what seventy Um, I'm just looking

0:32:14.600 --> 0:32:16.720
<v Speaker 1>year of a year here right now. Yeah, in a

0:32:18.360 --> 0:32:22.000
<v Speaker 1>is it a little price e do you at this point? Well?

0:32:22.280 --> 0:32:24.640
<v Speaker 1>It is, yeah. And you know I've got a great

0:32:24.760 --> 0:32:27.680
<v Speaker 1>chart and the presentations that I make to uh, you know,

0:32:27.960 --> 0:32:31.240
<v Speaker 1>I'm all all over New England, all over the northeast.

0:32:31.280 --> 0:32:34.480
<v Speaker 1>I'm making presentations to different groups, and I've got a chart.

0:32:34.560 --> 0:32:36.520
<v Speaker 1>You know, it's one that we've all seen, you know,

0:32:36.600 --> 0:32:38.920
<v Speaker 1>sort of the how did the big five stocks do

0:32:39.200 --> 0:32:43.520
<v Speaker 1>versus the other four nine stocks in the SP and

0:32:43.600 --> 0:32:45.920
<v Speaker 1>you know, we we saw a huge gap last year.

0:32:46.520 --> 0:32:49.160
<v Speaker 1>Our estimate this year is that we see a little

0:32:49.160 --> 0:32:51.960
<v Speaker 1>bit of a reversal that those four hundred and nine

0:32:52.200 --> 0:32:56.080
<v Speaker 1>five stocks that that's underperformed last year, that they actually

0:32:56.120 --> 0:32:58.680
<v Speaker 1>do better than the five. We still think that tech stocks,

0:32:59.320 --> 0:33:01.800
<v Speaker 1>you know, they're great companies and they'll do well, but

0:33:01.960 --> 0:33:05.800
<v Speaker 1>we actually would rather see the four beat the beat

0:33:05.880 --> 0:33:08.720
<v Speaker 1>the five this year and that would be a healthier market.

0:33:08.880 --> 0:33:10.840
<v Speaker 1>So a couple of favorites from that group of four

0:33:10.880 --> 0:33:14.120
<v Speaker 1>hundred and we only have about twenty seconds. Well, you know,

0:33:14.280 --> 0:33:16.880
<v Speaker 1>what were the three areas that were most interested in

0:33:16.920 --> 0:33:22.040
<v Speaker 1>our industrials, uh, financials and consumer discretionary. Those are the

0:33:22.040 --> 0:33:25.120
<v Speaker 1>three areas. That's that's the reflation trade. You're seeing that

0:33:25.160 --> 0:33:27.760
<v Speaker 1>in the market today. So you know, in the in

0:33:27.800 --> 0:33:31.880
<v Speaker 1>the industrial area, you know, we we we like Commons Uh,

0:33:32.040 --> 0:33:34.360
<v Speaker 1>Commons Engine. I mean it's a it's a good company.

0:33:34.400 --> 0:33:38.000
<v Speaker 1>It should do well, especially if we get some infrastructure spending.

0:33:38.280 --> 0:33:41.080
<v Speaker 1>You know. In the in the financial area, we like

0:33:41.680 --> 0:33:44.680
<v Speaker 1>the you know, not so much the money center banks

0:33:44.720 --> 0:33:47.560
<v Speaker 1>with some of the the smaller banks. So we own

0:33:47.680 --> 0:33:50.320
<v Speaker 1>zion Um. You know, we're we're going for those types

0:33:50.360 --> 0:33:52.880
<v Speaker 1>of types of names. Yeah, Commins. I was just looking

0:33:52.880 --> 0:33:56.600
<v Speaker 1>at twenty seven higher in last year's trade. Listen. Thank

0:33:56.600 --> 0:33:59.640
<v Speaker 1>you so much, John really appreciated. John Trainer, chief investment

0:33:59.640 --> 0:34:03.160
<v Speaker 1>officer at People's United Advisors, joining us on the phone

0:34:03.240 --> 0:34:10.759
<v Speaker 1>from Bridgeport, Connecticut. Thanks for listening to Bloomberg Business Week.

0:34:10.840 --> 0:34:14.480
<v Speaker 1>Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud, or Bloomberg dot com,

0:34:14.480 --> 0:34:16.160
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0:34:16.160 --> 0:34:18.719
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0:34:18.760 --> 0:34:23.400
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