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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast. I'm just about that action awesome.

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Speaker 2: All right.

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Speaker 1: Here we go bout the growing into Spec'm saying it's

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Speaker 1: a catch.

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Speaker 2: We'll see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 2: go to win.

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Speaker 1: That's incredible. Big bank, small banks. I like to make money.

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Speaker 1: All right.

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Speaker 2: It's just the ultimate kabak.

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Speaker 1: If you want to pass. And we are underway. What

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Speaker 1: is up everybody? And welcome to the Action Network Podcast

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Speaker 1: presented by FanDuel. I am your host, Chris Raybond. I'll

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Speaker 1: be joined by one of the top rankers in the

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Speaker 1: game and Sean Kerner. And this is our NFL Player

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Speaker 1: Projections Episode four, week number seven. In this episode, we'll

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Speaker 1: run through our top five at each position. We'll discuss

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Speaker 1: the players we're high and long on them throughout some

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Speaker 1: player props for each position as well. So what's going on, Sean?

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Speaker 2: What's up?

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Speaker 1: Yeah?

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Speaker 2: I had a phenomenal Week six when three and oh

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Speaker 2: and convinced me three and oh in primetime props. Let

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Speaker 2: me tell you man, the Thursday night football prop clil

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Speaker 2: here Herbert cleared his rushing prop on his first attempt.

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Speaker 2: That was fun. Then Saturday Football A J. Brown came

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Speaker 2: up a half yard short on his receiving prop, so

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Speaker 2: cash on that under. And then last night for my

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Speaker 2: football Eric Sabert, cash under fifteen and a half receiving

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Speaker 2: yards and the prop turned into us rooting for him

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Speaker 2: just to play a snap so that the prop would count.

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Speaker 2: But yeah, Greg Dulcicic showed up last night. I was

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Speaker 2: hoping we can get some stability in the Broncos you know,

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Speaker 2: tight end room, and that's looked like it happened. And

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Speaker 2: then Ramandre Stevenson maybe RB one on the week. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: so I think we did really good on our lineups

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Speaker 2: last week on our other pod. But yeah, overall, great week,

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Speaker 2: how about you.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I went to ten and five, so pre solid week.

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Speaker 1: One thing that killed me was I had two bets

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Speaker 1: on Ian Thomas unders and he caught a tight end

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Speaker 1: screen the fourth like he had no catches in no

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Speaker 1: yards going into like last play of the third quarter,

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Speaker 1: caught the last path of the third quarter, and I

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Speaker 1: think one of the first plays of the fourth quarter

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Speaker 1: they designed like a tight end screen to him down

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Speaker 1: like down two scores, which makes no sense. So but

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Speaker 1: uh can't a point. Had a good week, so uh yeah,

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Speaker 1: let's keep it going, and let's start at quarterback. Who

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Speaker 1: are your top five?

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Speaker 2: Uh so right now, I got Lamar Jackson number one,

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Speaker 2: Patrick Mahomes, Justin, Herbert, Joe Burrow, and Kyler Murray.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I got the same order. No, I got the

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Speaker 1: same five, different order, got Lamar, Herbert Burrow, Murray, Mahomes.

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Speaker 2: Nice, I got surprise firs. Second. I guess I forgot

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Speaker 2: Josh Allen's on a bye week. That would make sense

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Speaker 2: he's out in the top five. But yeah, Lamar, Lamar

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Speaker 2: gets a week at the top spot for me.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, he's uh, you know, it's just this is the

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Speaker 1: time of that that week Cleveland run defense. I mean, oh,

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Speaker 1: Masha Lamarsha Feast. Who are you high on?

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Speaker 2: So I'm high on Tua this week against the Steelers.

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Speaker 2: I A'm at QB ten. The consensus is at QB

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Speaker 2: fifteen right now. But you know, he should be right

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Speaker 2: back in that low end QB one discussion. He like

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Speaker 2: I said, he faces the Steelers this week, whose entire

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Speaker 2: secondary was out last week. Brady wasn't really able to

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Speaker 2: take advantage of it much. But I think Tua should

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Speaker 2: have a good week. I'm expecting you know, at least

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Speaker 2: one to three of the Steelers secondary players would be

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Speaker 2: out again this week, so like him, I'm also pretty

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Speaker 2: high on Jared Goff this week. It's a tougher matchup

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Speaker 2: on paper against the Cowboys, but he opens the week

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Speaker 2: as my QB sixteen. His ECR is QB twenty. But

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Speaker 2: with Dak Prescott back under center, I think that the

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Speaker 2: Cowboys should be able to run up the score a

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Speaker 2: bit against this horrible Lions defense. So Golf's going to

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Speaker 2: be forced to throw a bit more this week. I'm

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Speaker 2: expecting him to get DeAndre Swift and dj Chuk back

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Speaker 2: falling the bye week. We'll have to monitor that. Of course,

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Speaker 2: I'm on Ross Saint Brown should be culture one hundred percent,

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Speaker 2: so I'm investing back in this line's offense. And one

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Speaker 2: thing to monitor with Golf is, you know, Jamison Williams

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Speaker 2: could return. I don't know in the next couple weeks.

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Speaker 2: I haven't seen much news with him, but with Williams

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Speaker 2: possibly making his debut soon, that's going to raise Gof's

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Speaker 2: weekly ceiling even more so that's something to look out

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Speaker 2: for Goff's long term upside.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, man, I love some Jared Goff this season. I mean,

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Speaker 1: he's been imprushing for my basketball team. Oh yeah, since

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Speaker 1: we got it for free. I mean, I'm not gonna lie.

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Speaker 1: I'm a little scared him. I would be able to

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Speaker 1: scared him in this Cowboys matchup, but I get it.

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Speaker 2: It's kind of a rough week at quarterback, so I

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Speaker 2: think that's why he's up there for me at QB sixteen.

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Speaker 2: But yeah, I agree on paper, it's not not the

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Speaker 2: easiest matchup.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with too. I actually have I have

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Speaker 1: to and number seven in early rankings, so I'm even

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Speaker 1: high crazy. Yeah, I mean, you know that this Pittsburgh defense,

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Speaker 1: I know tom Brady kind of had some problems, but

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Speaker 1: that's because probably because Tom Brady went to a wedding

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Speaker 1: on Saturday. You know, I still think that they're gonna

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Speaker 1: have some issues. And I mean I just love the

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Speaker 1: weapons for Tua, and you know he's coming back to

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Speaker 1: you know, healthy Tyreek, healthy Jaymon Waddle, So I think

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Speaker 1: it's a it's a good matchup for him. And uh yeah,

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Speaker 1: who do you got? Who you got who you're low on?

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Speaker 2: I'm low on Russell Wilson. I mean I feel like

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Speaker 2: I've been low on him every week. I've taken a

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Speaker 2: couple of weeks off, but I'm back on just reminding

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Speaker 2: everybody that he should not be a treated as a

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Speaker 2: QB one right now. His ecars QB fourteen and I

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Speaker 2: have him QB seventeen. Uh. You know the Jets defense

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Speaker 2: they ranked fifteenth and DBA against passes year, but I

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Speaker 2: think their secondary is pretty strong, So this is a matchup.

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Speaker 2: I'm probably gonna be a little bit more cautious when

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Speaker 2: projecting passing game so this week, especially with Wilson, you know,

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Speaker 2: just struggling and it looks like the shoulder entry could

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Speaker 2: be a bigger concern than we originally thought. I guess

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Speaker 2: he's getting an MRI this week either way. I think

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Speaker 2: they're gonna lean on the run more this week. And yeah, again,

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Speaker 2: I don't know what to tell you, but Wilson should

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Speaker 2: not be in the QB one QB two discussion. He

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Speaker 2: is a mid range to low end QB two for

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Speaker 2: me until further notice.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean they're saying his injury might actually be

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Speaker 1: a little more serious than the thoughts, So I mean

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Speaker 1: this could be like he might not even play. All right,

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Speaker 1: I'm all on Trevor Lawrence. You know this in the

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Speaker 1: in this Giants game. I just think this Giants team

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Speaker 1: is very well coached on defense, and I think you're

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Speaker 1: gonna kind of see a sloppy game or just not

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Speaker 1: too much going on. The total is only forty two,

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Speaker 1: and this Giants defense is actually giving up the tenth

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Speaker 1: the twelve fewest points to quarterbacks. With Martindale, you know

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Speaker 1: he's gonna send the blitz and do a lot of

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Speaker 1: crazy things. So I think the Jaguars are going to

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Speaker 1: continue to win on Travis Etn, James Robinson and those guys.

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Speaker 1: And I don't think it's going to be a big

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Speaker 1: passing game for Lawrence in this game with a low total.

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Speaker 1: So he's my QB fourteen. He's inside this DCR top

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Speaker 1: ten this week.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. Like like I said last week, you know, he's

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Speaker 2: been flashing his rushing upside a bit more lately. So

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Speaker 2: that's it's back to back games now where he has

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Speaker 2: twenty or more rushing yards and he had two vulture

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Speaker 2: touchdowns last week unfortunately took away from both Robinson Eten.

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Speaker 2: But again, I think with Lawrence, I'm back into having

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Speaker 2: him in the low end QDB one discussion just based

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Speaker 2: on his recent rushing up side. But I certainly take

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Speaker 2: your point. He's definitely been struggling as a passer in

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Speaker 2: the past couple of games, so he's a little bit

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Speaker 2: more volatile than I like to met.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, he's I'm trying took up my rushing. I have

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Speaker 1: him for about point sixteen rushing touchdowns. I'm nothing crazy,

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Speaker 1: but yeah, you know this Giants, you play these just

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Speaker 1: Giants team and like it's just like nothing happens. You know,

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Speaker 1: it's just this team is It's I haven't seen this

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Speaker 1: in a while where its team is just so well

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Speaker 1: coached and not really making a ton of mistakes on

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Speaker 1: on either side of the ball. So all right, let's

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Speaker 1: go to the prop. What you got all right?

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Speaker 2: So I'm going Dak Prescott passing yards against a lone.

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Speaker 2: I've had some trouble setting this number, so I want

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Speaker 2: you to help me out a little bit. But I

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Speaker 2: have his initial projection at two hundred and fifty seven

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Speaker 2: and a half passing yards. What do you got over

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Speaker 2: under that?

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Speaker 1: I'm going over? Yeah, it's lot. I mean, you know,

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Speaker 1: I think the Cowboys pace is going to quicken if

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Speaker 1: he's back in, So you know that's something. You know,

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Speaker 1: the Cooper rush, they kind of played, you know, hide

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Speaker 1: the quarterback, they'll make them do too much. Don't turn

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Speaker 1: the ball over. But remember this team was like the

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Speaker 1: fastest paced team in the league. We dac at quarterbacks.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, I think he's I think he can get there.

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Speaker 1: So over that number.

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Speaker 2: I was hoping you'd take the under there. Yeah, what

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Speaker 2: was our record last week? We both both one on one? Yeah?

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Speaker 2: Oh damn. So I'm still just up by one.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, okay, all right, let's go to running back.

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Speaker 2: We got your top five, So this isn't as fun

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Speaker 2: as last week where I had Ramondre Stevenson number one.

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Speaker 2: I'm back with Saquon Barkley at the top spot, and

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Speaker 2: then I have Austin Eckler number two, Josh Jacobs at

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Speaker 2: number three, Alvin Kamara number four, and Leonard Fournette at

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Speaker 2: number five.

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Speaker 1: Yeah I got so yeah, So I'm doing this kind

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Speaker 1: of early in the week. I so I'm kind of

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Speaker 1: just looking at my rankings as you know, like as

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Speaker 1: we do.

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Speaker 2: Hey, that's that's the fun in this right Yeah. Obviously

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Speaker 2: these are going to change. I always say that, what

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Speaker 2: do you got? Who are you laughing at? Who's the guy?

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Speaker 1: Josh Jacobs number one. Oh, number one, that's Jacobs number one.

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Speaker 2: Damn.

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Speaker 3: I can't complain with that he's getting He's getting about

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Speaker 3: what is it, ninety eighty eight percent of the backfield carries,

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Speaker 3: and he's running around on about fifty percent of the

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Speaker 3: drop backs, which is up for him.

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Speaker 1: You know, that's usually he's usually in like the thirties.

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Speaker 1: And he's facing this Houston defense that is number twenty

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Speaker 1: nine and dvoa so and the Raiders are a seven

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Speaker 1: point home favorite. So yeah, Jacob's right now. He's Yeah,

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Speaker 1: he's like a almost a half a point ahead of

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Speaker 1: Henry and bark We who are tied for number two,

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Speaker 1: and then yeah, CMC four and Austin Equer fifth.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's close. I have a point three point separating

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Speaker 2: number one to number six. It looks like usually it's

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Speaker 2: not that close, but yeah, the the top six can be,

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Speaker 2: you know, going up or down two slots all week.

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Speaker 2: It's that close up top. So yeah, that Like, I

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Speaker 2: was so excited that I had Josh Jacobs in my

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Speaker 2: top three, but you out beat me there with have

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Speaker 2: him number one. I mean I cannot argue with that whatsoever.

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Speaker 2: He is the Raiders offense right now.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I have him ninety five rushing, nineteen receiving, and

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Speaker 1: about point nine touchdown. Yeah, point nine touchdowns, which is

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Speaker 1: a very high number. But home favorite coming off the

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Speaker 1: buy two should be nice arrested, all right? Who you

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Speaker 1: high on?

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Speaker 2: Well, you stole some of the thunder there, But I

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Speaker 2: was gonna say, Josh Jacobs. You know the kNs. This

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Speaker 2: is RB thirteen right now, so we're both way higher

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Speaker 2: than consensus. But he absolutely needs to be viewed as

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Speaker 2: a top five back this week and possibly going forward

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Speaker 2: based on his uh, you know, current usage. But you know,

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Speaker 2: like like you said, he's had back to back massive

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Speaker 2: games rushing for more than one hundred and forty four

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Speaker 2: yards two straight games. Plus he's also being used in

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Speaker 2: the passing game, you know, back to back games of

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Speaker 2: five receptions as well, So they're going to lean on

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Speaker 2: him heavily here against the Texans. So yeah, he is

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Speaker 2: by far top three back this week. And then I'm

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Speaker 2: going with the other running back in this game, Damian Pierce.

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Speaker 2: He's my RB eleven for some reason, the consensus is

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Speaker 2: RB twenty, but you know, he has been dominating the

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Speaker 2: Texans backfield since Week two. He's seen eighty seven percent

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Speaker 2: of the rush attempts. And I guess the Texans coaching

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Speaker 2: s have was talking about that. You know, they were

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Speaker 2: tipping off plays by having Rex Burket on the field.

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Speaker 2: Opposing defenses knew that they were throwing the ball. So

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Speaker 2: they've just let Pierce stay in on passing downs now.

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Speaker 2: So you know, before the bye he had a fifty

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Speaker 2: two percent route participation, which was a season high for him.

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Speaker 2: So if that trend continues, you know he's going to

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Speaker 2: be a rest of season RB one, especially you know,

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Speaker 2: playing for the Texans, we want a guy involved in

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Speaker 2: the passing game. So this week, you know, at seven

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Speaker 2: point underdogs, that's going to be the ultimate test for

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Speaker 2: this but I think we could start seeing him average

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Speaker 2: you know, three to four receptions a game as well.

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Speaker 2: So I'm viewing him as a low end RB one

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Speaker 2: this week and going forward.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I have I have Pierce RB eleven as well,

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Speaker 1: and that's yeah, like you said, even with him being

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Speaker 1: an underdog, he is getting more pass down work. And

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Speaker 1: so you know, even with being the underdog in this matchup,

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Speaker 1: it's not he's not really getting hurt a lot in

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Speaker 1: my model, and you know, he's what was it ninety

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Speaker 1: percent of the backfield carries two weeks ago, one hundred,

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Speaker 1: the week before eighty three and one hundred. So yeah,

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Speaker 1: Burkhead's not getting anything, but really the pass down work

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Speaker 1: these days, so I love it.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 1: I had the same two guys written down, Josh Jacobs

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Speaker 1: my RB one and Pierce my RB eleven. But I'll

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Speaker 1: throw out another name out there, a couple actually. One

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Speaker 1: is Kennith Walker. I have him as RB eight and

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Speaker 1: consensus is RB eleven. You know, he had eighty eight

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Speaker 1: percent of the backfield carries last week and I about

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Speaker 1: forty percent of the route, so excellent usage for Walker.

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Speaker 1: He looks great. I mean, he's just I don't know

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Speaker 1: if you saw some of the broken tackles, but at

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Speaker 1: one point I was talking to our colleague Samantha and

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Speaker 1: we were like, yeah, he's got a cool like twenty

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Speaker 1: five yards per carry right now going on. So love

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Speaker 1: me some Kenneth Walker this week. And one more is

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Speaker 1: with Tavius Murray. He's the consensus RB thirty seven. He's

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Speaker 1: about RB twenty eight. You know, there's a couple of

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Speaker 1: buys going on, and as I've kind of been thrown

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Speaker 1: out there, like this team is down on Melvin Gordon.

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Speaker 1: He got benched. He was not injured in that Monday

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Speaker 1: night game. Hackett confirmed it and they Murray jumped Mike

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Speaker 1: Boone as well, and so Murray you know, had most

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Speaker 1: of the carries he had. He got a decent amount

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Speaker 1: of pass game work as well, but eighty percent of

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Speaker 1: the carries, I think, you know, go going forward, that's

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Speaker 1: probably what you're gonna see. And if Russell Wilson is out,

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Speaker 1: that actually might help because you're still gonna have kind

291
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Speaker 1: of a low scoring game against the Jets, but you're

292
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Speaker 1: still gonna be at home in Mile High and you

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Speaker 1: still have that great defense. So well, Tavis marks kind

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Speaker 1: of the perfect back for that kind of game. So

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Speaker 1: I think I think he should be definitely inside the

296
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Speaker 1: top thirty this week. Like we can't project Melvin Gordon

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Speaker 1: for more than like three or four carries at this point.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I love the Walker call. I have him RB fourteen,

299
00:14:28,160 --> 00:14:31,400
Speaker 2: but yeah, based on the matchup, you know, it should

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Speaker 2: be a smash spot for him. And I was only

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Speaker 2: down on him heading into the season because I thought,

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Speaker 2: you know, he'd be you know, splitting carries with ra

303
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Speaker 2: Sean Penny and probably not being used in the passing

304
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Speaker 2: game much, but obviously as the workhorse back in this offense,

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Speaker 2: he is going to be, you know, a low end

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Speaker 2: RB one the rest of the season, and he has

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Speaker 2: been a little bit more involved in the passing game.

308
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Speaker 2: His routes run rate was thirty nine percent, but you know,

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Speaker 2: going forward, that's gonna be fine. Going forward. We could

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00:14:56,320 --> 00:14:58,440
Speaker 2: project him, you know, for two to three receptions of

311
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Speaker 2: that kind of rate. But as a runner, he is smooth.

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Speaker 2: He looks great out there. So yeah, I love that

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Speaker 2: call as Walker being a low, low end RB one

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Speaker 2: this week. Hi, who lo, I am low on Nick Chubb.

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Speaker 2: I hate to say it, but yeah, this is not

316
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Speaker 2: a Nick Chubb spot. The Browns are you know, close

317
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Speaker 2: to a touchdown underdog on the road against the Ravens,

318
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Speaker 2: so they're gonna, you know, have to lean on the

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Speaker 2: pass game a little bit more this week. This sets

320
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Speaker 2: up better for Kareem Hunt. So I'm just projecting Chubb

321
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Speaker 2: a little bit lower this week. So he's RB twelve.

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Speaker 2: Looks like the consensus is sticking him in at RB four,

323
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Speaker 2: but I think based on this matchup, you have to

324
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Speaker 2: downgrade him, saying goes for Jeff Wilson, similar situation. You know,

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Speaker 2: they're facing the Chiefs this week, so they're gonna probably

326
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Speaker 2: be trailing, and with all the injuries on defense, you know,

327
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Speaker 2: they're probably gon have to throw at a much higher

328
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Speaker 2: rate this week just to keep up with the Chiefs.

329
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Speaker 2: You know, last week they got down early. So Wilson

330
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Speaker 2: only finished with seven carries for twenty five yards, didn't

331
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Speaker 2: see a single catch. So he's not the type of

332
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Speaker 2: back where if they're in a negative game script, he's

333
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Speaker 2: gonna pretty much. So I'm low on Wilson this week.

334
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Speaker 2: I have him as my RB twenty one, and the

335
00:16:05,120 --> 00:16:06,680
Speaker 2: consensus has the RB fourteen.

336
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Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with those. I have trub RB ten

337
00:16:09,800 --> 00:16:13,240
Speaker 1: instead of RB five, so kind of same neighborhood. And

338
00:16:13,280 --> 00:16:15,520
Speaker 1: then yeah, Wilson, I have just outside the top twenty

339
00:16:16,200 --> 00:16:19,560
Speaker 1: as well. A couple more off throwout. Gotta gotta go

340
00:16:19,600 --> 00:16:22,200
Speaker 1: to Melvin Gordon. I don't know, he's still RB thirty

341
00:16:22,400 --> 00:16:25,360
Speaker 1: in consensus. Oh, but that needs to drop, like this

342
00:16:25,440 --> 00:16:28,000
Speaker 1: guy isn't not the starter like they just they because

343
00:16:28,000 --> 00:16:29,640
Speaker 1: and we should have, we should have paid more attention

344
00:16:30,120 --> 00:16:33,080
Speaker 1: I think early in the year. Remember in preseason when

345
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Speaker 1: Gordon had that quote like you know, they want Javonte

346
00:16:36,040 --> 00:16:39,480
Speaker 1: to be the guy, which, yeah, it seemed like innocent enough,

347
00:16:39,760 --> 00:16:41,960
Speaker 1: but they were always we always thought they were gonna

348
00:16:41,960 --> 00:16:44,640
Speaker 1: be a committee. So for Melvin Gordon to kind of say, okay,

349
00:16:44,720 --> 00:16:48,160
Speaker 1: like I'm kind of trending down without saying it, you know,

350
00:16:48,160 --> 00:16:51,280
Speaker 1: we probably should have listened more. And then you know,

351
00:16:51,320 --> 00:16:53,480
Speaker 1: we saw Mike Boone kind of eat into it, and

352
00:16:53,480 --> 00:16:55,800
Speaker 1: then we thought, okay, he had one game where he's

353
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Speaker 1: back up, but in reality that was just because it

354
00:16:58,760 --> 00:17:00,920
Speaker 1: was like four days after you know, they just needed

355
00:17:01,080 --> 00:17:05,080
Speaker 1: they couldn't get Murray ready, so he was inactive. But uh, yeah,

356
00:17:05,400 --> 00:17:08,840
Speaker 1: Belvin Gordon's essentially he's just unplayable right now. And uh

357
00:17:08,920 --> 00:17:11,640
Speaker 1: and JK. Dobbins is the consensus AREB thirty one even

358
00:17:11,680 --> 00:17:14,439
Speaker 1: if he plays, and he's questionable for this week, But

359
00:17:14,480 --> 00:17:15,960
Speaker 1: even if he plays, I don't think we can trust

360
00:17:16,040 --> 00:17:18,919
Speaker 1: him inside the top you know, thirty six anymore because

361
00:17:19,160 --> 00:17:21,080
Speaker 1: number one, he's on a pitch count. They've said it,

362
00:17:21,119 --> 00:17:24,560
Speaker 1: you know, Harbor said it himself. And number two, he's

363
00:17:24,680 --> 00:17:28,040
Speaker 1: just like he can't stay healthy, you know, like it's

364
00:17:28,080 --> 00:17:30,520
Speaker 1: it's already injured again. And there's another thing I think,

365
00:17:30,560 --> 00:17:32,520
Speaker 1: you know, going into the season, we talk about like

366
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Speaker 1: these guys that are hurt, like how valuable are they really,

367
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Speaker 1: And it's just it's you've gotten one good game out

368
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Speaker 1: of JK. Dobbins, one good game, and uh, you know,

369
00:17:40,320 --> 00:17:42,920
Speaker 1: it's just it's not there. And even though so even

370
00:17:42,960 --> 00:17:46,080
Speaker 1: though you know it's a great matchup against Cleveland, I

371
00:17:46,119 --> 00:17:48,280
Speaker 1: think that's you know, people are gonna kind of be

372
00:17:48,359 --> 00:17:52,000
Speaker 1: tempted even if he plays, but he's getting like, you know, forty,

373
00:17:52,240 --> 00:17:54,920
Speaker 1: like half the carries. Sometimes he's getting even less than

374
00:17:54,960 --> 00:17:57,160
Speaker 1: half the snaps, and we just don't know if he's

375
00:17:57,160 --> 00:17:59,520
Speaker 1: gonna be able to get through the game. Kenyan Drake's

376
00:17:59,520 --> 00:18:02,400
Speaker 1: out a big last week, you have Justice Hill potentially

377
00:18:02,480 --> 00:18:05,240
Speaker 1: coming back, Gus Edwards potentially coming back. I mean, there's

378
00:18:05,280 --> 00:18:08,040
Speaker 1: just no reason for them to use this guy. So

379
00:18:08,080 --> 00:18:10,080
Speaker 1: you're just kind of hoping for a touchdown, which you

380
00:18:10,080 --> 00:18:13,880
Speaker 1: could get against Cleveland, but not at RB thirty one.

381
00:18:14,720 --> 00:18:17,399
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's it's a shame the Ravens backfields such a

382
00:18:17,440 --> 00:18:19,280
Speaker 2: disaster right now, because, like you said, this is a

383
00:18:19,320 --> 00:18:21,560
Speaker 2: great matchup, but I mean early in the week, we

384
00:18:21,600 --> 00:18:23,320
Speaker 2: have no idea what's gonna happen. I hope by the

385
00:18:23,359 --> 00:18:26,040
Speaker 2: end of the week, we have some clarity. I think

386
00:18:26,080 --> 00:18:28,200
Speaker 2: maybe giving Dobbins just a couple of games off to

387
00:18:28,240 --> 00:18:30,920
Speaker 2: get his knee right would make sense because Kenadan Drake

388
00:18:30,960 --> 00:18:34,120
Speaker 2: he looked really good last week, So if he needs

389
00:18:34,119 --> 00:18:35,679
Speaker 2: to carry the load this week, I think he should.

390
00:18:35,720 --> 00:18:37,200
Speaker 2: He should be able to do it. But I think

391
00:18:37,400 --> 00:18:39,320
Speaker 2: they have to get Dobbins right, and like you said,

392
00:18:39,359 --> 00:18:42,520
Speaker 2: they might be getting Justice Hill possibly Gus Edwards back

393
00:18:42,520 --> 00:18:45,200
Speaker 2: this week, so I think it makes sense for them

394
00:18:45,200 --> 00:18:47,600
Speaker 2: to give Dobbins some rest. But yeah, I'm right there

395
00:18:47,600 --> 00:18:49,520
Speaker 2: with you. I don't know why his EASTAR is that high.

396
00:18:49,840 --> 00:18:53,119
Speaker 2: Has to be people just like just recycling rankings from

397
00:18:53,200 --> 00:18:55,480
Speaker 2: last week. But I have him RB forty three to

398
00:18:55,520 --> 00:18:56,760
Speaker 2: start the week, so I'm right there with you.

399
00:18:58,080 --> 00:18:59,959
Speaker 1: All right, imagine things he didn't think we were going

400
00:18:59,960 --> 00:19:02,000
Speaker 1: to say, Like I think Kenyan Drake can carry the

401
00:19:02,040 --> 00:19:03,200
Speaker 1: load this week.

402
00:19:02,720 --> 00:19:08,399
Speaker 2: Yeah, but it was kind of like James Connor last year,

403
00:19:08,440 --> 00:19:11,399
Speaker 2: remember when he stepped up like he looks legit right now,

404
00:19:11,480 --> 00:19:15,280
Speaker 2: that's Drake looked good. I mean, they've read a lot

405
00:19:15,320 --> 00:19:18,280
Speaker 2: of you know, RPOs and stuff, so it's a complicated

406
00:19:18,280 --> 00:19:20,800
Speaker 2: scheme to learn. But you know, Drake looked really good

407
00:19:20,880 --> 00:19:24,639
Speaker 2: last week. So yeah, he's definitely something to keep an

408
00:19:24,640 --> 00:19:27,080
Speaker 2: eye on. If if Dobbins were to get ruled out

409
00:19:27,440 --> 00:19:29,920
Speaker 2: and possibly you know, like Hill and Edwards are able

410
00:19:29,920 --> 00:19:32,120
Speaker 2: to play, Drake could be like a high end RB

411
00:19:32,160 --> 00:19:39,080
Speaker 2: two this week based on the matchup nuts Mann, Well, like,

412
00:19:39,160 --> 00:19:41,199
Speaker 2: did you think Eno Benjamin would be a high end

413
00:19:41,280 --> 00:19:42,160
Speaker 2: r B two he didn't play?

414
00:19:42,240 --> 00:19:46,479
Speaker 1: Like, I mean actually yes, because like like that's the thing.

415
00:19:46,520 --> 00:19:50,040
Speaker 1: It's like not like not like if Connor got hurt, yes,

416
00:19:50,080 --> 00:19:52,280
Speaker 1: because I always thought he was like he always looked

417
00:19:52,280 --> 00:19:54,240
Speaker 1: good to me. Is in the backup role too, So actually,

418
00:19:54,400 --> 00:19:56,040
Speaker 1: like Kenny and Drake was like dead, like he was

419
00:19:56,119 --> 00:19:58,879
Speaker 1: left for dead, like we didn't even know who was

420
00:19:58,880 --> 00:19:59,760
Speaker 1: gonna play this year.

421
00:19:59,680 --> 00:20:01,439
Speaker 2: So right right, I agree?

422
00:20:01,760 --> 00:20:04,400
Speaker 1: All right, So for the prop, let's go with let's

423
00:20:04,400 --> 00:20:07,399
Speaker 1: ay Vius Murray Becuz, oh, there we go. He's fresh

424
00:20:07,440 --> 00:20:10,480
Speaker 1: off this Monday night game and uh, you know, we

425
00:20:10,520 --> 00:20:13,040
Speaker 1: saw him get about all the work in the second half,

426
00:20:13,080 --> 00:20:14,840
Speaker 1: like I kept tweeting us, he started the first series

427
00:20:14,880 --> 00:20:17,720
Speaker 1: of the second half, started the second one, just kept going.

428
00:20:18,200 --> 00:20:23,000
Speaker 1: So let's do his rushing yardage this week against the

429
00:20:23,080 --> 00:20:24,760
Speaker 1: Jets at home. We don't know if Russ is going

430
00:20:24,800 --> 00:20:28,720
Speaker 1: to play or not. But uh, I am setting the

431
00:20:28,720 --> 00:20:31,600
Speaker 1: line at fifty two and a half.

432
00:20:34,119 --> 00:20:36,919
Speaker 2: I have Okay, So I mean I'm writing down like

433
00:20:37,840 --> 00:20:40,680
Speaker 2: my line and it was fifty two and a half.

434
00:20:41,680 --> 00:20:44,679
Speaker 2: But this this is a fun exercise and just trying

435
00:20:44,680 --> 00:20:48,679
Speaker 2: to project such a volatile situation. Yeah, and I know

436
00:20:48,760 --> 00:20:51,680
Speaker 2: we we project out you know, percent of rush attempts differently,

437
00:20:51,720 --> 00:20:55,399
Speaker 2: you do among running backs among the team. Yeah, and

438
00:20:55,440 --> 00:20:57,320
Speaker 2: he's coming off a game where he had sixty five

439
00:20:57,400 --> 00:21:01,240
Speaker 2: percent of the team attempt so I'm projecting him for forty

440
00:21:01,200 --> 00:21:05,120
Speaker 2: seven this week and the Broncos having twenty seven rush

441
00:21:05,160 --> 00:21:08,480
Speaker 2: steps for a team. Okay, So yeah, I have fifty

442
00:21:08,480 --> 00:21:10,760
Speaker 2: two and I'm gonna go with the under. Just whenever

443
00:21:10,840 --> 00:21:13,399
Speaker 2: you have a vall little situation, I always feel like

444
00:21:13,520 --> 00:21:16,639
Speaker 2: the median's a little bit lower. But that is a

445
00:21:16,720 --> 00:21:19,440
Speaker 2: damn good line. And I've got nothing to say other

446
00:21:19,520 --> 00:21:21,960
Speaker 2: than I'm below you by a half, So let's just

447
00:21:22,000 --> 00:21:24,359
Speaker 2: put it that way. It's it's close follow up question.

448
00:21:24,400 --> 00:21:26,399
Speaker 1: Not it doesn't cott for the prop, but what are

449
00:21:26,440 --> 00:21:27,840
Speaker 1: your carries for Melvin Gordon?

450
00:21:28,040 --> 00:21:30,439
Speaker 2: Just curious, Oh, Melvin Gordon. Yeah, I would have been

451
00:21:30,480 --> 00:21:33,680
Speaker 2: the prop right there. Scratches in his range.

452
00:21:33,960 --> 00:21:37,399
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, seven and a half to eight right now, Okay,

453
00:21:37,480 --> 00:21:39,879
Speaker 1: that's yeah, you're higher than me. I am at I

454
00:21:39,920 --> 00:21:45,880
Speaker 1: have thirteen for Boone. No, I mean thirteen for Murray. Okay, yeah,

455
00:21:45,920 --> 00:21:50,359
Speaker 1: four for Boone and I think three for Gordon. Yeah,

456
00:21:50,960 --> 00:21:54,360
Speaker 1: so it's it's uh yeah, essentially he got three last week.

457
00:21:54,880 --> 00:21:58,120
Speaker 1: That's what I'm giving him. I think he's gonna regress

458
00:21:58,280 --> 00:22:00,560
Speaker 1: poor all right, No I got sorry sorry.

459
00:22:00,640 --> 00:22:05,920
Speaker 2: Oh okay, yeah I would, I mean five and a half.

460
00:22:06,000 --> 00:22:08,479
Speaker 2: Oh no, I agree. I mean I don't know fifty.

461
00:22:09,160 --> 00:22:12,439
Speaker 1: I don't know, dude, because like number one, it was

462
00:22:12,480 --> 00:22:15,840
Speaker 1: like for it to happen at halftime, it was just

463
00:22:15,880 --> 00:22:17,720
Speaker 1: almost like we're going to give him the nominal start,

464
00:22:17,800 --> 00:22:20,480
Speaker 1: and it's like now he looked pretty upset, like I

465
00:22:20,480 --> 00:22:23,480
Speaker 1: don't know, Like it's like it's like this if he

466
00:22:23,600 --> 00:22:28,159
Speaker 1: can't get carries when Davante is hurt and he's not

467
00:22:28,160 --> 00:22:30,159
Speaker 1: playing over Mike Boone, Like I think they kind of

468
00:22:30,160 --> 00:22:32,280
Speaker 1: made like this almost feels like a can't maker situation

469
00:22:32,359 --> 00:22:34,240
Speaker 1: at this point. It's like it's kind of like they

470
00:22:34,240 --> 00:22:37,920
Speaker 1: made it clear how they feel about Melvin Gordon, Like no.

471
00:22:38,160 --> 00:22:40,600
Speaker 2: It's got to be embarrassing especially. I mean it was

472
00:22:40,640 --> 00:22:43,080
Speaker 2: a revenge game for him. Yeah, he was playing as

473
00:22:43,119 --> 00:22:46,159
Speaker 2: the Chargers, so that's that's got a sting for him.

474
00:22:46,320 --> 00:22:47,879
Speaker 2: But at the end of the day, let's back up.

475
00:22:47,880 --> 00:22:54,480
Speaker 2: We are talking about Latavious Boone here. Hey, So I'm

476
00:22:54,520 --> 00:22:58,680
Speaker 2: not disagreeing with your assessment. I'm just saying it's very volatile.

477
00:22:59,440 --> 00:23:02,280
Speaker 2: I agree. I think Murray like thirteen carry sounds about right.

478
00:23:02,320 --> 00:23:05,439
Speaker 2: But between Gordon and Boone, how they split, you know,

479
00:23:05,480 --> 00:23:08,400
Speaker 2: those remaining ten carries. It's up in the air. So yeah,

480
00:23:08,840 --> 00:23:10,800
Speaker 2: at the end of the day, Gordon's between three and

481
00:23:10,840 --> 00:23:13,520
Speaker 2: seven rush attempts. Let's just go with that. But I'm

482
00:23:13,560 --> 00:23:15,200
Speaker 2: closer to the high end of that. You're closer to

483
00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:17,040
Speaker 2: the low line. But it's close. All right.

484
00:23:17,119 --> 00:23:19,000
Speaker 1: Let's go to wide receiver. Who got in the top five?

485
00:23:19,800 --> 00:23:22,040
Speaker 2: So I have a Tyreek Hill number one. Then I

486
00:23:22,080 --> 00:23:26,280
Speaker 2: have Jamar Chase Deebo, Samuel C. D Lamb at number four,

487
00:23:26,440 --> 00:23:27,920
Speaker 2: and Davante Adams at five.

488
00:23:28,640 --> 00:23:31,680
Speaker 1: Okay, okay, I'm right there with you almost. I got

489
00:23:31,920 --> 00:23:35,119
Speaker 1: Tyreek number one. I mean, how impressive is he? Just

490
00:23:35,800 --> 00:23:39,800
Speaker 1: all the different quarterbacks, every quarterback, how unlucky is Miami

491
00:23:40,080 --> 00:23:41,159
Speaker 1: second of all right.

492
00:23:41,480 --> 00:23:44,600
Speaker 2: But he's QB proof, Like I said, unconvinced me. You

493
00:23:44,640 --> 00:23:47,560
Speaker 2: know Matt Moore, he was a top ten wide receiver

494
00:23:47,560 --> 00:23:50,160
Speaker 2: with Matt Moore on her center. So I mean he's

495
00:23:50,240 --> 00:23:53,119
Speaker 2: QB proof. And this week he gets two back, you know,

496
00:23:53,440 --> 00:23:56,800
Speaker 2: probably has a good matchup with Steelers secondary banged up.

497
00:23:56,840 --> 00:23:59,960
Speaker 2: So yeah, I mean wide receiver one all the way.

498
00:24:00,520 --> 00:24:04,639
Speaker 1: Yes, there got Jamar Chase at number two. So right

499
00:24:04,680 --> 00:24:08,199
Speaker 1: there with you, DeVante is my number three. Uh, you know,

500
00:24:08,400 --> 00:24:11,720
Speaker 1: still kind of I just you know, against Houston. I mean,

501
00:24:11,760 --> 00:24:15,800
Speaker 1: this is not there's nothing prohibitive about the Houston Texans.

502
00:24:16,320 --> 00:24:18,480
Speaker 1: Uh So, like I'm still gonna.

503
00:24:18,560 --> 00:24:20,160
Speaker 2: They would just lean on the run a bit more.

504
00:24:20,200 --> 00:24:21,280
Speaker 2: But it's still.

505
00:24:23,080 --> 00:24:27,160
Speaker 1: But if he suspended, then obviously you know, it looks

506
00:24:27,160 --> 00:24:29,240
Speaker 1: like he's not gonna be suspended though, right like he No,

507
00:24:29,359 --> 00:24:29,760
Speaker 1: it looks like.

508
00:24:29,760 --> 00:24:34,600
Speaker 2: They're just gonna let the criminal charge play itself out,

509
00:24:34,680 --> 00:24:36,680
Speaker 2: so it doesn't look like she's getting suspended. I don't

510
00:24:36,680 --> 00:24:39,440
Speaker 2: know what's going on there, but he is not getting suspended.

511
00:24:39,640 --> 00:24:43,920
Speaker 1: Apparently other things you didn't think we were gonna say, Ah, well,

512
00:24:43,920 --> 00:24:46,240
Speaker 1: he's letting the criminal charge play out from after the

513
00:24:46,280 --> 00:24:49,320
Speaker 1: Monday night how do you catch a charge in uniform?

514
00:24:49,400 --> 00:24:51,400
Speaker 2: Like that's yeah, that was pretty nuts.

515
00:24:52,840 --> 00:24:55,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, ce Lamb my number four as well, So I'm

516
00:24:55,359 --> 00:24:57,679
Speaker 1: right there, which I mean, you know, the only thing

517
00:24:57,680 --> 00:24:59,080
Speaker 1: I worry about is, you know if they do that

518
00:24:59,160 --> 00:25:01,800
Speaker 1: little you know, they put like the safety over the

519
00:25:01,800 --> 00:25:05,240
Speaker 1: top and okuda, So maybe I'll switch and get Debo.

520
00:25:05,880 --> 00:25:06,200
Speaker 2: Uh.

521
00:25:06,240 --> 00:25:08,680
Speaker 1: You know, Lamba probably won't drop past like five or six.

522
00:25:08,800 --> 00:25:11,600
Speaker 1: He's running around on every snap. Yeah, you know, he's

523
00:25:11,640 --> 00:25:14,400
Speaker 1: getting like a Harry some games as well. And then

524
00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:16,520
Speaker 1: Debot's number five, so we got the same top five

525
00:25:16,560 --> 00:25:17,280
Speaker 1: just a little bit more.

526
00:25:17,680 --> 00:25:19,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, and then there's a pretty big drop off after

527
00:25:19,840 --> 00:25:21,120
Speaker 2: that the top five.

528
00:25:21,359 --> 00:25:23,119
Speaker 1: Who's just six just security.

529
00:25:24,359 --> 00:25:27,960
Speaker 2: It's a tie between DK Metcalf and Tyre Lockett. So

530
00:25:28,040 --> 00:25:28,960
Speaker 2: I got that going on.

531
00:25:29,320 --> 00:25:31,240
Speaker 1: I got I got t Higgins Jave and a Wattle

532
00:25:31,280 --> 00:25:33,760
Speaker 1: six seven. Oh nice, I might And then I got

533
00:25:33,800 --> 00:25:36,480
Speaker 1: a Monra eight. But just because I have him for

534
00:25:36,600 --> 00:25:39,239
Speaker 1: ninety percent routes run, if I bumped him up like

535
00:25:39,359 --> 00:25:41,439
Speaker 1: even like two and a half percent, he'd probably be

536
00:25:41,480 --> 00:25:45,800
Speaker 1: my number, my number six. So you know, I love

537
00:25:45,840 --> 00:25:47,359
Speaker 1: me some of Monro, so he might have to he

538
00:25:47,440 --> 00:25:48,159
Speaker 1: might have to jump.

539
00:25:48,119 --> 00:25:50,080
Speaker 2: Up, right and I love me some T Higgins. Yeah,

540
00:25:50,280 --> 00:25:52,360
Speaker 2: my top ten as well. I love that call.

541
00:25:53,480 --> 00:25:56,000
Speaker 1: All right, Uh, who are you high on?

542
00:25:56,840 --> 00:25:59,600
Speaker 2: So obviously I'm high on CD Lamb. He's my wide

543
00:25:59,600 --> 00:26:02,640
Speaker 2: receiver this week. But I'm also high on Michael Gallup.

544
00:26:03,440 --> 00:26:07,119
Speaker 2: He's my wide receiver twenty seven, the ECerS wide receiver

545
00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:09,960
Speaker 2: thirty five right now for some reason, but really good

546
00:26:10,080 --> 00:26:13,440
Speaker 2: underlying usage in his first three games back the past

547
00:26:13,480 --> 00:26:16,879
Speaker 2: two weeks. He's had an eighty six percent route participation

548
00:26:17,240 --> 00:26:20,240
Speaker 2: and a twenty six percent target rate over the past

549
00:26:20,240 --> 00:26:23,560
Speaker 2: two weeks. So getting Dak back under center, having an

550
00:26:23,600 --> 00:26:26,520
Speaker 2: easy matchup against lines this week puts him on the

551
00:26:26,560 --> 00:26:29,520
Speaker 2: you know, wide receiver two to three fringe this week,

552
00:26:29,600 --> 00:26:31,480
Speaker 2: So it's it's a good time to invest in Michael

553
00:26:31,520 --> 00:26:35,040
Speaker 2: Gallup in season long and DFS so love him this week.

554
00:26:35,359 --> 00:26:37,840
Speaker 2: And then it seems like you're alwayshighding this guy and

555
00:26:37,920 --> 00:26:41,840
Speaker 2: I'm like, whatever, but Robert Woods, let's go. I have

556
00:26:41,960 --> 00:26:44,920
Speaker 2: him wide receiver twenty eight. I was shocked shocked to

557
00:26:44,920 --> 00:26:47,879
Speaker 2: see him that high, but his consensus is wide receiver

558
00:26:48,000 --> 00:26:50,880
Speaker 2: forty seven right now. But he's really a high floor

559
00:26:50,920 --> 00:26:53,959
Speaker 2: wide receiver three this week, and I guess as long

560
00:26:54,000 --> 00:26:57,159
Speaker 2: as Trail and Burks is out. But he's seen a

561
00:26:57,200 --> 00:26:59,639
Speaker 2: twenty four percent or better target rate in three of

562
00:26:59,640 --> 00:27:03,400
Speaker 2: the past four games. You know he's going to dominate targets,

563
00:27:03,560 --> 00:27:06,920
Speaker 2: and you know his underlying usage suggests, you know, he's

564
00:27:06,920 --> 00:27:09,399
Speaker 2: a good bet for four or five receptions each game.

565
00:27:09,520 --> 00:27:12,399
Speaker 2: But you know, right Tannehill, he's only been averaging one

566
00:27:12,480 --> 00:27:15,359
Speaker 2: hundred and seventy four passing yards of past four games.

567
00:27:15,359 --> 00:27:17,520
Speaker 2: So if we see any sort of you know, boost

568
00:27:17,600 --> 00:27:20,520
Speaker 2: and passing yards to go around, you know, Woods could

569
00:27:20,600 --> 00:27:22,679
Speaker 2: end up with a six or seven catch game. So

570
00:27:23,440 --> 00:27:25,320
Speaker 2: I like him as a sneaky you know, wide receiver

571
00:27:25,400 --> 00:27:28,399
Speaker 2: three option, very high floor and obviously much better in

572
00:27:28,440 --> 00:27:30,800
Speaker 2: like PPR formats. But I think it was a good

573
00:27:30,800 --> 00:27:32,200
Speaker 2: spot for Robert Robert Woods.

574
00:27:32,359 --> 00:27:34,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, I have a wide receiver twenty eight as well,

575
00:27:34,640 --> 00:27:37,600
Speaker 1: and I'm looking at the Colts and it's it's surprising

576
00:27:37,680 --> 00:27:41,439
Speaker 1: to me because they have Stefan Gilmour, but they are

577
00:27:41,440 --> 00:27:44,960
Speaker 1: they're number thirty in DVOA against number one wide receivers,

578
00:27:45,280 --> 00:27:46,960
Speaker 1: which I have to go back and look, if you know,

579
00:27:47,040 --> 00:27:50,560
Speaker 1: maybe football outside is counting somebody that they shouldn't as

580
00:27:50,560 --> 00:27:52,399
Speaker 1: the number one, But that just kind of strikes me

581
00:27:52,440 --> 00:27:55,639
Speaker 1: as odd, you know, so, but you know, take that

582
00:27:55,640 --> 00:27:56,320
Speaker 1: for what it's worth.

583
00:27:57,040 --> 00:27:57,359
Speaker 2: All right.

584
00:27:57,440 --> 00:27:59,720
Speaker 1: So I got a couple of guys and they both

585
00:27:59,720 --> 00:28:02,800
Speaker 1: play on Thursday night, so uh, you know, make sure

586
00:28:02,840 --> 00:28:05,280
Speaker 1: you get him in your lineups. But first is Chris o'lave.

587
00:28:06,080 --> 00:28:08,960
Speaker 1: I have him wide receiver sixteen. He's the consensus wide

588
00:28:08,960 --> 00:28:10,760
Speaker 1: receiver thirty nine. I'm guessay that's because he's coming off

589
00:28:10,760 --> 00:28:13,080
Speaker 1: an injury. But remember it was a concussion, so you

590
00:28:13,080 --> 00:28:15,359
Speaker 1: shouldn't really see a kind of a hit and playing

591
00:28:15,400 --> 00:28:18,840
Speaker 1: time or performance either. And he's gonna be their number

592
00:28:18,840 --> 00:28:22,640
Speaker 1: one wide receiver. Michael Thomas isn't practicing, Jarvis Landry isn't practicing,

593
00:28:22,880 --> 00:28:25,440
Speaker 1: so it's gonna be Olave, Cowaway and Trey Quon in

594
00:28:25,480 --> 00:28:29,760
Speaker 1: the slot. And Olave has been excellent this year and

595
00:28:29,840 --> 00:28:33,120
Speaker 1: he's going against this Arizona defense that you know, their

596
00:28:33,200 --> 00:28:36,159
Speaker 1: cornerbacks aren't really great. You know, they're twenty fourth in

597
00:28:36,200 --> 00:28:39,640
Speaker 1: past d VOA overall, So I think it's gonna be

598
00:28:39,680 --> 00:28:43,720
Speaker 1: a good spot for Olave. And then in this game,

599
00:28:44,080 --> 00:28:47,200
Speaker 1: I think the Cardinals are going to use DeAndre Hopkins

600
00:28:47,280 --> 00:28:49,440
Speaker 1: a time, their first in his first game, because they

601
00:28:49,480 --> 00:28:52,240
Speaker 1: need him. I mean, yeah, you just traded for Robbie Anderson.

602
00:28:52,320 --> 00:28:54,920
Speaker 1: Is he gonna be active? I don't know. And then

603
00:28:55,040 --> 00:28:58,320
Speaker 1: you have you lost mar Keith Brown and Rondale Moore.

604
00:28:58,360 --> 00:29:00,920
Speaker 1: You know, in the offseason, Quiff Ingsbury was like, you know,

605
00:29:01,000 --> 00:29:03,400
Speaker 1: we might use him as more of a downfield threat.

606
00:29:03,560 --> 00:29:06,040
Speaker 1: Has to happen. Average up the target four and a half.

607
00:29:06,400 --> 00:29:08,560
Speaker 1: So you know, Rondell will catch his five balls, but

608
00:29:08,600 --> 00:29:12,600
Speaker 1: he's not really gonna put a major dent into you know,

609
00:29:12,880 --> 00:29:16,400
Speaker 1: hopkins projected yardage. So I think Hopkins kind of steps

610
00:29:16,440 --> 00:29:18,840
Speaker 1: back in here as that number one target. You know

611
00:29:18,880 --> 00:29:21,560
Speaker 1: it's gonna be It's gonna be him Ertz and Rondeo Moore.

612
00:29:21,640 --> 00:29:24,760
Speaker 1: But you know, in this matchup, I think we finally

613
00:29:24,760 --> 00:29:27,120
Speaker 1: see a decent amount of points on Thursday Night football.

614
00:29:27,160 --> 00:29:30,200
Speaker 1: So those are my two guys, Alave and Hopkins. Hopkins

615
00:29:30,240 --> 00:29:32,360
Speaker 1: is the wide receiver twenty eight. I have from wide

616
00:29:32,360 --> 00:29:32,920
Speaker 1: receiver ten.

617
00:29:33,720 --> 00:29:37,120
Speaker 2: Wow, wide receiver twenty ten. Okay, So he's gonna be

618
00:29:37,600 --> 00:29:40,280
Speaker 2: our prop later. So I'm writing down that you're super

619
00:29:40,360 --> 00:29:43,080
Speaker 2: high on him, and then you have him wide receiver ten. Okay, noted,

620
00:29:43,800 --> 00:29:45,400
Speaker 2: I'll sid at into the line.

621
00:29:45,920 --> 00:29:48,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I'm probably gonna be over regardless, but

622
00:29:48,520 --> 00:29:52,080
Speaker 1: we'll see. We'll see, all right, who are you long?

623
00:29:52,720 --> 00:29:56,200
Speaker 2: I am a low on Terry McLaurin. I have been

624
00:29:56,240 --> 00:30:00,200
Speaker 2: wide receiver forty four the east for him as wide

625
00:30:00,200 --> 00:30:03,120
Speaker 2: receiver twenty one right now. I think a lot of

626
00:30:03,160 --> 00:30:06,680
Speaker 2: that has to do with I'm projecting both Dotson and

627
00:30:06,760 --> 00:30:09,480
Speaker 2: Logan Thomas to return this week, so that's going to

628
00:30:09,560 --> 00:30:13,680
Speaker 2: cut into mclaurin's target share. It's really not a downgrade.

629
00:30:13,720 --> 00:30:17,120
Speaker 2: You know that Carson Wentz is out. McLaurin already has

630
00:30:17,480 --> 00:30:21,239
Speaker 2: chemistry with Tyler Heineke, so I'm not expecting that to

631
00:30:21,240 --> 00:30:24,720
Speaker 2: be an issue here. But the Packers or they're more

632
00:30:24,760 --> 00:30:26,760
Speaker 2: of a run funnel defense, so I could, you know,

633
00:30:26,800 --> 00:30:29,920
Speaker 2: see the commanders leaning on the run this game. And

634
00:30:30,040 --> 00:30:31,880
Speaker 2: like I said, there's just way too many miles to

635
00:30:31,920 --> 00:30:35,120
Speaker 2: feet in this offense when everyone's healthy. So McLarney usually

636
00:30:35,120 --> 00:30:37,760
Speaker 2: gets a ding when you know everybody's healthy. So if

637
00:30:37,760 --> 00:30:41,040
Speaker 2: Dotson and Thomas return this week, you know mclaurin's off

638
00:30:41,320 --> 00:30:44,200
Speaker 2: the wide receiver three map for me, even so he's

639
00:30:44,240 --> 00:30:47,200
Speaker 2: outside of my top forty. And then speaking outside of

640
00:30:47,200 --> 00:30:48,840
Speaker 2: my top forty, I hate to say it. But DJ

641
00:30:48,960 --> 00:30:53,120
Speaker 2: Moore again, he's my wide receiver forty three. VCR is

642
00:30:53,160 --> 00:30:56,040
Speaker 2: wide receiver twenty nine. And this isn't DJ Moore's fault

643
00:30:56,280 --> 00:30:59,360
Speaker 2: at all. This offense is a complete disaster. Whether it's

644
00:30:59,400 --> 00:31:03,440
Speaker 2: Baker may Field or p J Walker under center, you know,

645
00:31:03,880 --> 00:31:06,880
Speaker 2: it really doesn't matter. And DJ Moore led the team.

646
00:31:07,000 --> 00:31:09,240
Speaker 2: His a dot of six point two yards last week

647
00:31:09,480 --> 00:31:12,880
Speaker 2: were the highest of all the Panthers. That just goes

648
00:31:12,880 --> 00:31:15,880
Speaker 2: to show what the offense look like this week. But

649
00:31:16,160 --> 00:31:18,000
Speaker 2: I think it might be easier to double him with

650
00:31:18,120 --> 00:31:22,200
Speaker 2: Robbie Anderson gun and just the state of this Panthers

651
00:31:22,240 --> 00:31:24,480
Speaker 2: offense is not good, and so that's not good for

652
00:31:24,600 --> 00:31:26,160
Speaker 2: DJ Moore. Yeah.

653
00:31:26,200 --> 00:31:28,280
Speaker 1: Man, it's it's been a tough year for the more

654
00:31:28,840 --> 00:31:32,240
Speaker 1: for you know, Elijah DJ. Like, it's just it just

655
00:31:32,280 --> 00:31:33,160
Speaker 1: hasn't been there. Man.

656
00:31:33,600 --> 00:31:37,040
Speaker 2: I think is there a chance that Jacob Eason will

657
00:31:37,080 --> 00:31:38,000
Speaker 2: be starting this game?

658
00:31:38,720 --> 00:31:38,960
Speaker 1: Yeah?

659
00:31:39,080 --> 00:31:44,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, remember our action summer or in that game, and

660
00:31:44,320 --> 00:31:47,800
Speaker 2: Jacob Eason was just rifling it or like he would

661
00:31:47,840 --> 00:31:50,720
Speaker 2: either like make an amazing throat or throw ten feet above.

662
00:31:51,000 --> 00:31:52,720
Speaker 2: I hope he starts. That would be exciting.

663
00:31:53,160 --> 00:31:55,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, man, he's I mean, he actually might be better for

664
00:31:55,880 --> 00:31:58,840
Speaker 1: DJ more than anyone that's the quarterback thus far for

665
00:31:58,920 --> 00:32:02,080
Speaker 1: the Kyawina Panthers, which is sad. All right, Yeah, so

666
00:32:02,600 --> 00:32:05,360
Speaker 1: I'm going on Terry mclauren as well. You know, he

667
00:32:05,560 --> 00:32:08,479
Speaker 1: is definitely outside my top thirty. He's not he's not

668
00:32:08,600 --> 00:32:11,640
Speaker 1: outside my top forty like you so, but still I

669
00:32:11,640 --> 00:32:14,680
Speaker 1: think he's way too high in the twenties and consensus,

670
00:32:15,000 --> 00:32:17,840
Speaker 1: and same thing for Curtis Samuel actually, uh, and maybe

671
00:32:17,840 --> 00:32:20,280
Speaker 1: it is to do with you know, kind of expecting

672
00:32:20,320 --> 00:32:23,520
Speaker 1: Dotson to return and Logan Thomas. But uh, you know

673
00:32:23,600 --> 00:32:26,040
Speaker 1: this is also Tarror Heinick. You know, Samuel has kind

674
00:32:26,040 --> 00:32:27,880
Speaker 1: of put his numbers up with Wentz, so we don't

675
00:32:27,880 --> 00:32:30,520
Speaker 1: really know. Uh, you know, this is change in quarterback.

676
00:32:30,520 --> 00:32:32,680
Speaker 1: I always think you have to be a little conservative.

677
00:32:32,760 --> 00:32:34,760
Speaker 1: Actually this might it might help Terry mcluaren a little

678
00:32:34,800 --> 00:32:37,640
Speaker 1: more now that I think about it, you know, and

679
00:32:38,120 --> 00:32:40,320
Speaker 1: because I know Heinik's having more time with him. But

680
00:32:40,320 --> 00:32:43,120
Speaker 1: either way, expecting to be a low scoring game, uh,

681
00:32:43,360 --> 00:32:46,360
Speaker 1: you know, with Washington and Green Bay so uh, you know,

682
00:32:46,480 --> 00:32:51,280
Speaker 1: Samuel and Samuel just had a really bad game on Thursday.

683
00:32:51,320 --> 00:32:53,520
Speaker 1: So I wonder if you know, if Dotson comes back,

684
00:32:53,560 --> 00:32:57,800
Speaker 1: you know, they use him a little more, and then

685
00:32:58,680 --> 00:33:02,840
Speaker 1: the Jets receivers, it's just all of them. Man. So

686
00:33:03,560 --> 00:33:06,280
Speaker 1: you have Garrett Wilson, he's a consensus thirty five. So

687
00:33:06,320 --> 00:33:07,880
Speaker 1: these people are still kind of starting him as a

688
00:33:07,880 --> 00:33:11,120
Speaker 1: wide receiver three. I would be conservative this week. You

689
00:33:11,120 --> 00:33:14,760
Speaker 1: know he might get the Patrick certain treatment and you

690
00:33:14,760 --> 00:33:16,520
Speaker 1: know that would obviously not be idea. One of them

691
00:33:16,560 --> 00:33:18,200
Speaker 1: is going to get it, you know, either that or

692
00:33:18,400 --> 00:33:20,880
Speaker 1: they're just all going to struggle against this defense anyway,

693
00:33:20,920 --> 00:33:25,200
Speaker 1: because Denver's defense is right number one in DVOA against

694
00:33:25,200 --> 00:33:28,160
Speaker 1: the past. So like this Denver defense is not something

695
00:33:28,160 --> 00:33:30,960
Speaker 1: you want to fool with. For for Zach Wilson, you

696
00:33:30,960 --> 00:33:32,640
Speaker 1: know they're going to try to read on the running

697
00:33:32,640 --> 00:33:35,240
Speaker 1: game and Breis Hall, and you know Denver is more

698
00:33:35,280 --> 00:33:38,240
Speaker 1: of a run funnel defense if anything. So I think

699
00:33:38,360 --> 00:33:41,080
Speaker 1: all these yes receivers, but I have eight spots lower

700
00:33:41,200 --> 00:33:45,120
Speaker 1: on Wilson. He's the forty three for me. Elijah Moore

701
00:33:45,480 --> 00:33:50,320
Speaker 1: is my wide receiver sixty three, sixty three, and he's

702
00:33:50,320 --> 00:33:53,280
Speaker 1: a consensus forty. I've been saying this every week though,

703
00:33:53,320 --> 00:33:56,080
Speaker 1: Like Elijah war is just too high, Like he just

704
00:33:56,120 --> 00:33:58,800
Speaker 1: doesn't have good chemistry with Wilson, and the Jets aren't

705
00:33:58,840 --> 00:34:02,320
Speaker 1: like this massive, you know, high volume passing offense. I

706
00:34:02,360 --> 00:34:04,880
Speaker 1: think Corey Davis is a wide receiver forty three in consensus,

707
00:34:04,880 --> 00:34:09,799
Speaker 1: I have have him wide receiver fifty five. So I

708
00:34:09,840 --> 00:34:12,040
Speaker 1: am very low in all of these Jets receivers a

709
00:34:12,920 --> 00:34:16,960
Speaker 1: lot of respect for the Denver Denver defense, so I

710
00:34:16,960 --> 00:34:19,000
Speaker 1: wouldn't even think about it, you know, in a flex

711
00:34:19,160 --> 00:34:21,600
Speaker 1: type of situation. Maybe Garrett if you're in a super

712
00:34:21,600 --> 00:34:25,279
Speaker 1: deep league, but Corey Davis, Elijah Moore, Nope, not doing it,

713
00:34:25,400 --> 00:34:25,960
Speaker 1: not going there.

714
00:34:26,239 --> 00:34:28,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, the Jets were way more fun when they were

715
00:34:28,760 --> 00:34:31,759
Speaker 2: losing and Joe Flacco is under center, remember those days.

716
00:34:31,800 --> 00:34:34,960
Speaker 2: Now they now they're winning and Zach Wilson's a game manager.

717
00:34:35,840 --> 00:34:39,000
Speaker 2: They even have like Brax and Barrios is back in play. Now.

718
00:34:39,520 --> 00:34:42,640
Speaker 2: The tight end rotation is like a true fifty to

719
00:34:42,680 --> 00:34:45,440
Speaker 2: fifty split. So really, the only player that you can

720
00:34:45,480 --> 00:34:48,080
Speaker 2: even consider in fancy right now is pret sall right.

721
00:34:48,360 --> 00:34:51,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean probably Michael Carter over any of the receiver.

722
00:34:51,880 --> 00:34:55,759
Speaker 2: Seriously, Carter is like a like a frint, Like he's

723
00:34:55,960 --> 00:34:59,680
Speaker 2: kind of like a discount Tony Pollard. Right, He's like

724
00:34:59,680 --> 00:35:02,759
Speaker 2: an RB flex who has you know, high end RB

725
00:35:02,800 --> 00:35:05,560
Speaker 2: two upside if Breece Hall were ever must time. So yeah,

726
00:35:05,600 --> 00:35:08,120
Speaker 2: you're right, like there's such a run heavy scheme right now.

727
00:35:08,120 --> 00:35:10,319
Speaker 2: That Yeah, Carter's kind of sneaky as well.

728
00:35:10,800 --> 00:35:14,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, I have Carter for as RB thirty five this

729
00:35:14,560 --> 00:35:17,520
Speaker 1: week eight eight and a half touches for about forty yards,

730
00:35:17,520 --> 00:35:20,000
Speaker 1: so not not even that great point three touchdowns, but yeah,

731
00:35:20,040 --> 00:35:23,080
Speaker 1: my Jets receiver projections just so people can hear them.

732
00:35:23,440 --> 00:35:25,799
Speaker 1: Garrett Wilson three and a half catches for forty five,

733
00:35:26,640 --> 00:35:29,480
Speaker 1: Corey Davis three catches for forty three, and Elijah More

734
00:35:29,480 --> 00:35:30,960
Speaker 1: two and a half catches for thirty one.

735
00:35:31,120 --> 00:35:34,200
Speaker 2: So I think the weeks of me getting Garrett Wilson

736
00:35:34,280 --> 00:35:37,239
Speaker 2: under four and a half receptions props are over.

737
00:35:37,800 --> 00:35:40,879
Speaker 1: That's over. Yeah, it's probably three and a half this week,

738
00:35:40,920 --> 00:35:42,160
Speaker 1: which is which is a good line.

739
00:35:42,280 --> 00:35:43,279
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah for sure.

740
00:35:43,440 --> 00:35:45,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, there's some weird lines last week. So I was

741
00:35:45,440 --> 00:35:48,840
Speaker 1: actually on a ton of reception props that would just

742
00:35:48,920 --> 00:35:51,319
Speaker 1: kind of I felt like off. So you know, follow

743
00:35:51,400 --> 00:35:53,200
Speaker 1: us an app if you're into that kind of thing.

744
00:35:53,280 --> 00:35:56,080
Speaker 1: But let's get to the prop what you got from

745
00:35:56,080 --> 00:35:56,680
Speaker 1: me with DeAndre?

746
00:35:57,239 --> 00:36:00,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, so DeAndre Hopkins Okay, so I'll just go with

747
00:36:00,640 --> 00:36:04,000
Speaker 2: my original line. Okay, Okay, I'm gonna go with my

748
00:36:04,040 --> 00:36:07,400
Speaker 2: original number. It's sixty and a half receiving yards, and

749
00:36:07,440 --> 00:36:08,560
Speaker 2: I'm guessing you're over that.

750
00:36:09,320 --> 00:36:12,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's a good line though, but I am sixty

751
00:36:12,920 --> 00:36:14,560
Speaker 1: eight for the average, so that would still be about

752
00:36:14,600 --> 00:36:17,239
Speaker 1: sixty two ish for the post. Okay, so not not

753
00:36:17,400 --> 00:36:21,120
Speaker 1: terribly high over it. But I listen, I just think

754
00:36:21,160 --> 00:36:23,520
Speaker 1: he's gonna come right back in pay about eighty five

755
00:36:23,640 --> 00:36:26,080
Speaker 1: ninety percent of the snaps because they need it. You know,

756
00:36:26,120 --> 00:36:29,080
Speaker 1: there's their floundering. This is not even their usual like

757
00:36:29,760 --> 00:36:32,360
Speaker 1: end of season flounder. This is like an early season

758
00:36:32,640 --> 00:36:34,480
Speaker 1: stumble out of the gate flounder.

759
00:36:34,600 --> 00:36:39,000
Speaker 2: So you know, I think he comes out this week too.

760
00:36:39,480 --> 00:36:40,960
Speaker 1: Was just about to make a college.

761
00:36:43,840 --> 00:36:46,560
Speaker 2: Are you projecting Robbie and Anderson at all?

762
00:36:47,120 --> 00:36:50,160
Speaker 1: In yes, but he I'm projecting him as the wide

763
00:36:50,160 --> 00:36:54,440
Speaker 1: receiver four, so he's not like affecting much. But I

764
00:36:54,480 --> 00:36:57,560
Speaker 1: have him right now for about one catch, just because

765
00:36:57,560 --> 00:37:01,200
Speaker 1: I don't Okay, it's Tuesday, similar Yeah, no, I'm not judging.

766
00:37:01,239 --> 00:37:02,680
Speaker 2: I'm not judging. I was just making sure.

767
00:37:03,360 --> 00:37:08,680
Speaker 1: I mean, even if, like even if everyone's healthy wouldn't

768
00:37:08,680 --> 00:37:10,560
Speaker 1: he still be the wide receiver fork, I mean unless

769
00:37:10,600 --> 00:37:12,560
Speaker 1: they just Aj gets demoted.

770
00:37:12,600 --> 00:37:15,120
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, I could see that just yeah is going

771
00:37:15,160 --> 00:37:15,400
Speaker 2: to be the.

772
00:37:15,400 --> 00:37:18,480
Speaker 1: Aud Honestly, if you asked me, who would I rather have?

773
00:37:18,760 --> 00:37:22,400
Speaker 1: Fafie Anderson A J. Greed right now. It's a tough call,

774
00:37:22,520 --> 00:37:25,759
Speaker 1: especially when you consider the like the chemistry that, like

775
00:37:25,800 --> 00:37:29,000
Speaker 1: even before this, Robin's body language like just never looked

776
00:37:29,000 --> 00:37:32,520
Speaker 1: good since he got that contract. Man, yeah, I don't

777
00:37:32,560 --> 00:37:33,400
Speaker 1: know that was our dude.

778
00:37:33,440 --> 00:37:36,960
Speaker 2: Man, Just fall underestimate him though he could get a

779
00:37:37,000 --> 00:37:39,200
Speaker 2: deep ball this week. I mean, that's that's the thing.

780
00:37:39,320 --> 00:37:41,879
Speaker 2: Like just send him out there for five plays every play,

781
00:37:42,040 --> 00:37:43,960
Speaker 2: just be like, okay, you're going deep, like you know

782
00:37:44,000 --> 00:37:44,520
Speaker 2: what you're doing.

783
00:37:45,000 --> 00:37:48,279
Speaker 1: So hey, and we got Deshaun Jackson on the Ravens too,

784
00:37:48,320 --> 00:37:52,120
Speaker 1: speaking of yeah, speaking of deep balls. All right, let's

785
00:37:52,560 --> 00:37:55,160
Speaker 1: go to tight end top five.

786
00:37:55,719 --> 00:37:59,319
Speaker 2: So I got Travis Kelcey, Mark Andrews obviously, and then

787
00:37:59,320 --> 00:38:02,080
Speaker 2: George Kettle's back to top three option. Then I got

788
00:38:02,200 --> 00:38:04,280
Speaker 2: zach Ertz and t J. Hawkinson.

789
00:38:05,040 --> 00:38:07,279
Speaker 1: I like it. I like it. I got uh, I

790
00:38:07,280 --> 00:38:11,120
Speaker 1: got Andrews first this week, so oh yeah, I got

791
00:38:11,120 --> 00:38:14,680
Speaker 1: Andrews first six point two catches for seventy seven yards,

792
00:38:14,719 --> 00:38:16,360
Speaker 1: and then I got Kelsey at six point three for

793
00:38:16,400 --> 00:38:19,040
Speaker 1: seventy three, so they're right there. They're like a tenth

794
00:38:19,080 --> 00:38:21,279
Speaker 1: of a point, so that could change. But uh, yeah,

795
00:38:21,280 --> 00:38:23,560
Speaker 1: I got those guys number one and two and kiddo

796
00:38:23,640 --> 00:38:26,120
Speaker 1: number three as you mentioned Ertz Hockinson, So yeah, we

797
00:38:26,160 --> 00:38:29,839
Speaker 1: got the same top five. I think. Yeah, Coppage number six.

798
00:38:30,239 --> 00:38:32,320
Speaker 2: Oh, I don't have not high. I haven't eighth though

799
00:38:32,640 --> 00:38:34,759
Speaker 2: I have Djoku number six.

800
00:38:35,760 --> 00:38:37,879
Speaker 1: Oh okay, I have the Joku number ten.

801
00:38:38,560 --> 00:38:45,279
Speaker 2: All right, who exactly prop I am high on Greg

802
00:38:45,360 --> 00:38:49,719
Speaker 2: Dulcic Again this week I pointed out, uh, he had

803
00:38:49,760 --> 00:38:52,200
Speaker 2: a path to becoming the Broncos lead tight end. We

804
00:38:52,600 --> 00:38:55,040
Speaker 2: both kind of predicted Alberto would be the odd man out.

805
00:38:55,440 --> 00:38:56,640
Speaker 2: He was an actual Robert zero.

806
00:38:56,760 --> 00:39:00,560
Speaker 1: It's not even Alberto Albert zero Albert zero zero.

807
00:39:01,360 --> 00:39:03,800
Speaker 2: But yeah, Dulsic, like I thought it might take a

808
00:39:03,880 --> 00:39:08,319
Speaker 2: couple of games. Just right away, eighty one percent route participation.

809
00:39:09,120 --> 00:39:11,400
Speaker 2: He got two balls for forty four yards in the touchdown.

810
00:39:11,400 --> 00:39:14,920
Speaker 2: Obviously Wilson didn't see him wide open over the middle.

811
00:39:14,960 --> 00:39:17,640
Speaker 2: That seems to be a theme for Russell Wilson, So

812
00:39:17,680 --> 00:39:21,000
Speaker 2: I think Dulsic could have had even bigger game, but

813
00:39:21,480 --> 00:39:23,799
Speaker 2: I like him going forward. So right now he's my

814
00:39:23,920 --> 00:39:27,439
Speaker 2: tight end eighteen. The consensus is tight end twenty six.

815
00:39:27,480 --> 00:39:29,400
Speaker 2: I think, you know, his range of out comes, He'll

816
00:39:29,440 --> 00:39:31,279
Speaker 2: probably be a mid range tight end to the rest

817
00:39:31,280 --> 00:39:35,520
Speaker 2: of the season, but you know, his range comes is

818
00:39:35,520 --> 00:39:37,799
Speaker 2: definitely you know, mid range, a low end tight end

819
00:39:37,840 --> 00:39:41,400
Speaker 2: when if everything goes his way. He's talented enough, he

820
00:39:41,719 --> 00:39:45,360
Speaker 2: should see enough underlying usage. I've always thought, you know,

821
00:39:45,440 --> 00:39:47,560
Speaker 2: he reminds me a bit of TJ. Hawkins, and so

822
00:39:47,600 --> 00:39:50,960
Speaker 2: I like his upside. But yeah, like it's gonna it's

823
00:39:51,000 --> 00:39:53,400
Speaker 2: gonna involve Russell Wilson, you know, seeing him when he's

824
00:39:53,440 --> 00:39:55,040
Speaker 2: wide open, so that that might be one of the

825
00:39:55,040 --> 00:39:57,279
Speaker 2: things that prevents this from happening. But either way, I

826
00:39:57,320 --> 00:39:58,560
Speaker 2: love his upside in this offense.

827
00:39:59,360 --> 00:40:00,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, man, think that, you know, that's the only thing.

828
00:40:00,960 --> 00:40:04,400
Speaker 1: If Russ doesn't play, it might be a different story.

829
00:40:04,400 --> 00:40:06,200
Speaker 1: But yeah, he's my tight end ten right now. So

830
00:40:06,520 --> 00:40:08,160
Speaker 1: and that's just based on the route. I mean, that's

831
00:40:08,160 --> 00:40:10,040
Speaker 1: just with Russ playing, just based on.

832
00:40:10,000 --> 00:40:10,600
Speaker 2: The routes run.

833
00:40:10,640 --> 00:40:12,719
Speaker 1: I mean, again, like we talk about this every week,

834
00:40:12,960 --> 00:40:15,000
Speaker 1: tight ends are going to be super unpredictable. You're just

835
00:40:15,000 --> 00:40:17,799
Speaker 1: looking for routes and eighty one percent is in. That's

836
00:40:17,840 --> 00:40:20,160
Speaker 1: like top five kind of percentage wise.

837
00:40:20,440 --> 00:40:22,080
Speaker 2: Probably getting eased in too.

838
00:40:22,200 --> 00:40:25,400
Speaker 1: Right, Yeah, although maybe I should lower it just because

839
00:40:25,480 --> 00:40:27,400
Speaker 1: Denver's one of those teams that you can't really pet

840
00:40:27,480 --> 00:40:29,640
Speaker 1: week to week. It's like the Giants wide receivers.

841
00:40:29,680 --> 00:40:31,880
Speaker 2: I think that was just the symptom of it was

842
00:40:32,040 --> 00:40:36,240
Speaker 2: Eric Saber and Eric I mean, we love Saber because

843
00:40:36,239 --> 00:40:37,960
Speaker 2: of that seven and a half a half prop, but

844
00:40:38,160 --> 00:40:40,239
Speaker 2: either way, he wasn't a long term option. I think

845
00:40:40,239 --> 00:40:43,640
Speaker 2: that was clear. He only played one snap, so I

846
00:40:43,640 --> 00:40:45,879
Speaker 2: think it is going to be stable going forward now

847
00:40:45,960 --> 00:40:47,120
Speaker 2: that Dulcich is back.

848
00:40:47,880 --> 00:40:50,560
Speaker 1: So I'm high on Darren Waller this week, which I

849
00:40:50,600 --> 00:40:53,279
Speaker 1: haven't been high in him for a minute, but he is.

850
00:40:53,880 --> 00:40:57,080
Speaker 1: He's my tight end eight this week, and that's what's

851
00:40:57,120 --> 00:40:59,800
Speaker 1: projecting him for, you know, not a full compliment of snaps.

852
00:41:00,080 --> 00:41:04,279
Speaker 1: Still don't know exactly what's what's going on with him injury.

853
00:41:04,320 --> 00:41:06,839
Speaker 1: With I'm guess he's gonna be listed as questionable, but uh,

854
00:41:07,040 --> 00:41:08,520
Speaker 1: you know, we had the long ye had the bye week,

855
00:41:08,520 --> 00:41:10,480
Speaker 1: so I'm guessing he's going to be back to full strength.

856
00:41:10,560 --> 00:41:15,280
Speaker 1: So like Darren Wall this week against that Houston zone defense,

857
00:41:15,280 --> 00:41:17,840
Speaker 1: he's a tight end twelve in consensus. He's already my

858
00:41:17,920 --> 00:41:20,239
Speaker 1: tighten eight and if if he's good to go off

859
00:41:20,280 --> 00:41:22,279
Speaker 1: the injury report, he would probably jump into you know,

860
00:41:22,840 --> 00:41:25,759
Speaker 1: top four or five for me. So like him, And

861
00:41:25,800 --> 00:41:28,840
Speaker 1: then one other guy I'll mentioned is Cade Aughton. We

862
00:41:28,880 --> 00:41:31,480
Speaker 1: don't know exactly what's gonna happen with Cameron Braid this

863
00:41:31,520 --> 00:41:33,160
Speaker 1: early in the week, but I mean, he did have

864
00:41:33,200 --> 00:41:35,919
Speaker 1: a scary injury and turns out he has a spray neck,

865
00:41:36,040 --> 00:41:38,400
Speaker 1: So I don't know, you know, for a normal human

866
00:41:38,400 --> 00:41:40,879
Speaker 1: being that I would not play football with the spray neck.

867
00:41:41,200 --> 00:41:45,759
Speaker 1: But these are warriors here, So if Brake goes, obviously

868
00:41:46,000 --> 00:41:48,799
Speaker 1: scratch it with Aughton. But if he does it, we're

869
00:41:48,800 --> 00:41:50,799
Speaker 1: looking at a player who in the one game break

870
00:41:50,880 --> 00:41:53,680
Speaker 1: missed ran a route on ninety two percent of the

871
00:41:53,760 --> 00:41:57,439
Speaker 1: dropbacks and that is highly elite. And I mean every

872
00:41:57,480 --> 00:41:59,040
Speaker 1: week we think this, he's like, all right, this Bucks

873
00:41:59,080 --> 00:42:02,160
Speaker 1: teams got to read sometime like it just hasn't looked good.

874
00:42:02,160 --> 00:42:05,239
Speaker 1: But you know, like one of these days we're gonna

875
00:42:05,239 --> 00:42:09,680
Speaker 1: get a good performance out of the Bucks offense. So, uh, Kate,

876
00:42:09,719 --> 00:42:13,000
Speaker 1: you know, ninety two routes that would put him you know,

877
00:42:13,160 --> 00:42:15,879
Speaker 1: I would project I would be projecting him around tight

878
00:42:16,000 --> 00:42:18,680
Speaker 1: end nine or ten with that kind of usage. So

879
00:42:19,280 --> 00:42:22,160
Speaker 1: he's somebody if Braid has ruled out, looked for Kate

880
00:42:22,200 --> 00:42:25,200
Speaker 1: att and pick him off off waiver wires because I

881
00:42:25,200 --> 00:42:26,600
Speaker 1: think he'd be startable this week.

882
00:42:27,080 --> 00:42:29,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, I love the on call, especially since we already

883
00:42:29,640 --> 00:42:32,200
Speaker 2: saw what they're gonna do when Bray is out. Like

884
00:42:32,200 --> 00:42:34,839
Speaker 2: you said, Oughton had over ninety percent. They are going

885
00:42:34,840 --> 00:42:36,800
Speaker 2: out of their way to make sure that Kyle Rudolph

886
00:42:36,800 --> 00:42:38,160
Speaker 2: does not see the field so we don't have to

887
00:42:38,200 --> 00:42:41,400
Speaker 2: worry about him. But yeah, like it looks like Brake's

888
00:42:41,440 --> 00:42:43,560
Speaker 2: shaping up to be a game time decision. But either way,

889
00:42:43,680 --> 00:42:46,480
Speaker 2: like Kate Oughton should be a you know, high end

890
00:42:46,600 --> 00:42:49,239
Speaker 2: tight end two if Break's out. I'm not sure about

891
00:42:49,280 --> 00:42:51,560
Speaker 2: Waller though. That was scary how he you know, he

892
00:42:51,640 --> 00:42:54,920
Speaker 2: started the game and they yanked him last time. No,

893
00:42:55,000 --> 00:42:58,319
Speaker 2: I know, I know, I'm just saying last season, you know,

894
00:42:58,440 --> 00:43:00,440
Speaker 2: he was looking ify one week and any of us

895
00:43:00,440 --> 00:43:02,800
Speaker 2: five games. So true, true, we just have to remember

896
00:43:02,840 --> 00:43:05,120
Speaker 2: that he was a late bloomer. He's already in his thirties.

897
00:43:06,000 --> 00:43:07,680
Speaker 2: So he has, he's had a point in his career.

898
00:43:07,680 --> 00:43:09,760
Speaker 2: We definitely have to take injuries a little bit more seriously,

899
00:43:09,840 --> 00:43:13,080
Speaker 2: especially it's a hammy, right, So I would just be

900
00:43:13,200 --> 00:43:16,240
Speaker 2: nervous that he won't play the full game, especially since

901
00:43:16,640 --> 00:43:18,960
Speaker 2: you know they're playing the Texans, they probably won't need

902
00:43:18,960 --> 00:43:21,919
Speaker 2: Waller to put them away. But yeah, either way, like

903
00:43:21,920 --> 00:43:23,920
Speaker 2: like you said, he should be a top ten option

904
00:43:24,400 --> 00:43:27,960
Speaker 2: if he does return. It just I just scared after

905
00:43:28,120 --> 00:43:31,560
Speaker 2: what happened last game and just based on his recent

906
00:43:32,080 --> 00:43:36,640
Speaker 2: you know, just his inability to play through injuries last season.

907
00:43:37,080 --> 00:43:38,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, no, he's having a season from hell.

908
00:43:38,680 --> 00:43:41,560
Speaker 1: It's yeah, it's purely a biloll, but it's it's an

909
00:43:41,640 --> 00:43:43,719
Speaker 1: ugly week. It's bye weeks, you know. I mean, like

910
00:43:43,760 --> 00:43:45,560
Speaker 1: you can't really turn down a tight end get like

911
00:43:45,760 --> 00:43:48,120
Speaker 1: getting like eighty percent and at least projected to get

912
00:43:48,160 --> 00:43:51,759
Speaker 1: like eighty percent this this week. So again, yeah, just

913
00:43:51,800 --> 00:43:55,560
Speaker 1: monitor the uh, the injury reports with him. But if

914
00:43:55,760 --> 00:43:57,200
Speaker 1: if he's practicing, you know, if he gets in like

915
00:43:57,239 --> 00:44:00,960
Speaker 1: a limited session Wednesday or Thursday and practice is Friday,

916
00:44:01,200 --> 00:44:02,719
Speaker 1: I think I feel good about him.

917
00:44:03,200 --> 00:44:05,359
Speaker 2: Yeah, the tight ends one by this week are you know,

918
00:44:05,760 --> 00:44:09,239
Speaker 2: Dustin Knox Tyler Higbee, Irv Smith and Dallas Goddard. So

919
00:44:09,280 --> 00:44:11,040
Speaker 2: that's a huge chunk of like, you know, the low

920
00:44:11,200 --> 00:44:13,480
Speaker 2: end tight end one tier. So yeah, well are by

921
00:44:13,560 --> 00:44:16,080
Speaker 2: default should be in your top ten. But either way,

922
00:44:16,080 --> 00:44:17,800
Speaker 2: he's he's pretty dicey.

923
00:44:18,239 --> 00:44:20,719
Speaker 1: Yep, all right, who are you long?

924
00:44:21,320 --> 00:44:24,359
Speaker 2: I am low on Gerald Everett. I have him tight

925
00:44:24,480 --> 00:44:27,279
Speaker 2: end twelve right now versus the ECR is tight end seven.

926
00:44:27,320 --> 00:44:29,520
Speaker 2: It looks like, now this is a great matchup against

927
00:44:29,520 --> 00:44:32,319
Speaker 2: the Seahawks. It's a revenge game for him. But with

928
00:44:32,520 --> 00:44:36,640
Speaker 2: Donald Parham roll his roles expanding after returning two weeks ago,

929
00:44:37,040 --> 00:44:40,240
Speaker 2: that's gonna start eating into Everett's you know, playing time

930
00:44:40,280 --> 00:44:43,960
Speaker 2: and target share. And Keithan Allen I guess he's expected

931
00:44:44,000 --> 00:44:47,160
Speaker 2: to return this week. I'm projecting him to return this week.

932
00:44:47,200 --> 00:44:51,560
Speaker 2: So again that's eating into Everett's target share. So while

933
00:44:51,600 --> 00:44:54,120
Speaker 2: I loved Everett like earlier in the season, I was

934
00:44:54,160 --> 00:44:56,759
Speaker 2: treating him as a mid range tight end one, I

935
00:44:56,760 --> 00:44:59,359
Speaker 2: think we have to start downgrading him to the tight

936
00:44:59,440 --> 00:45:03,600
Speaker 2: end one and too fringe just based on both Parham

937
00:45:03,640 --> 00:45:05,279
Speaker 2: and Kean Ellen returning to action.

938
00:45:05,800 --> 00:45:08,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, he he had with a season low

939
00:45:08,600 --> 00:45:13,839
Speaker 1: sixty one routes run on Monday night football, so people

940
00:45:13,880 --> 00:45:16,200
Speaker 1: probably haven't everyone hasn't probably looked at that, and I

941
00:45:16,200 --> 00:45:18,239
Speaker 1: think his consensus will drop a little bit. Yeah, he's

942
00:45:18,280 --> 00:45:22,839
Speaker 1: that's kind of seven. That's pretty high for him. I

943
00:45:22,880 --> 00:45:26,440
Speaker 1: am low on Hayden Hurst. Uh, he is a tight end.

944
00:45:28,239 --> 00:45:30,719
Speaker 1: He's a tight end eight. I will tight end fifteen

945
00:45:31,400 --> 00:45:33,719
Speaker 1: like his You know, he had a couple of good

946
00:45:33,719 --> 00:45:36,479
Speaker 1: games in there, but a lot of his production came

947
00:45:36,520 --> 00:45:38,920
Speaker 1: with you know, T Higgins still banged up. Higgins is

948
00:45:39,000 --> 00:45:41,479
Speaker 1: kind of back healthy, and they've also talked about making

949
00:45:41,520 --> 00:45:43,600
Speaker 1: a more concerted effort to get Tyler Boyd the ball,

950
00:45:43,640 --> 00:45:46,359
Speaker 1: and we saw that come to fruitional last week. So

951
00:45:47,520 --> 00:45:51,080
Speaker 1: with everyone healthy, Hurst is still like the fifth option

952
00:45:51,120 --> 00:45:52,799
Speaker 1: because you're still going to use mixing in the past

953
00:45:52,840 --> 00:45:56,840
Speaker 1: game as well. Uh and and p Ryan, So you know,

954
00:45:57,160 --> 00:45:58,719
Speaker 1: just not too high on him. And the Falcons are

955
00:45:58,800 --> 00:46:02,120
Speaker 1: up to tenth in against tight end, so not as

956
00:46:02,160 --> 00:46:05,359
Speaker 1: super easy matchup as maybe it looks when you just say, oh,

957
00:46:05,360 --> 00:46:08,000
Speaker 1: it's the Falcons defense. So yeah, he's a fringe guy

958
00:46:08,040 --> 00:46:10,080
Speaker 1: for me. There's a lot of guys I'd rather start

959
00:46:10,440 --> 00:46:11,400
Speaker 1: Overhearst this week.

960
00:46:11,840 --> 00:46:15,759
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I'm a Hayden Hurst Stan obviously, but

961
00:46:15,960 --> 00:46:17,880
Speaker 2: I'm right there with you. He's tight end fourteen. And

962
00:46:17,920 --> 00:46:20,320
Speaker 2: one of the appeals with him you kind of alluded

963
00:46:20,320 --> 00:46:22,880
Speaker 2: to that is whenever you know, like a Chase A

964
00:46:22,960 --> 00:46:26,279
Speaker 2: Higgins or even Boyd miss time, I think that's when

965
00:46:26,320 --> 00:46:28,560
Speaker 2: Hurst is going to be a tight end one. And

966
00:46:28,640 --> 00:46:30,400
Speaker 2: like you said, with Higgins kind of banged up the

967
00:46:30,440 --> 00:46:33,279
Speaker 2: past couple of games, Hursts stepped up. But I'm back

968
00:46:33,320 --> 00:46:35,279
Speaker 2: on Higgins this week as a top ten receiver. I

969
00:46:35,320 --> 00:46:37,479
Speaker 2: think he's gonna be much closer to one hundred percent.

970
00:46:37,560 --> 00:46:39,600
Speaker 2: He led the team in targets, I believe last week.

971
00:46:39,640 --> 00:46:43,319
Speaker 2: So yeah, as a result, I'm downgrading Hurst in the

972
00:46:43,520 --> 00:46:46,480
Speaker 2: tight end two range this week as well.

973
00:46:46,640 --> 00:46:50,399
Speaker 1: All right, let's go with a prop. Robert Tunyan came

974
00:46:50,440 --> 00:46:54,480
Speaker 1: alive for ten catches in ninety yards last week, so

975
00:46:55,160 --> 00:47:00,239
Speaker 1: this week he faces a Washington defense that is Nomber

976
00:47:00,960 --> 00:47:04,239
Speaker 1: three in DVOA against tight ends, so they've been very

977
00:47:04,239 --> 00:47:07,600
Speaker 1: good against tight ends. But Randall Cobb is out, so

978
00:47:08,400 --> 00:47:10,440
Speaker 1: we could see kind of a bump for Tenny. He

979
00:47:10,480 --> 00:47:13,680
Speaker 1: saw his highest routes run of the year at seventy

980
00:47:13,719 --> 00:47:19,600
Speaker 1: six percent, so I am setting his receiving yard age

981
00:47:19,760 --> 00:47:21,680
Speaker 1: at thirty seven and a half.

982
00:47:22,320 --> 00:47:24,160
Speaker 2: I was ready to say over, I'm gonna go under,

983
00:47:24,200 --> 00:47:27,040
Speaker 2: though a little bit lower I was. I was thinking,

984
00:47:27,120 --> 00:47:31,200
Speaker 2: like thirty four and a half. Love the usage, right,

985
00:47:31,239 --> 00:47:33,239
Speaker 2: Like you said, his routes run were around seventy five

986
00:47:33,280 --> 00:47:37,560
Speaker 2: percent last week. Randal Khaba being out definitely helps him.

987
00:47:37,600 --> 00:47:40,480
Speaker 2: I don't know what's up with Christian Watson, but I'm

988
00:47:40,480 --> 00:47:43,799
Speaker 2: projecting him to play, but he's kind of banged up,

989
00:47:43,840 --> 00:47:47,640
Speaker 2: so I think, yeah, again, I'm just gonna have to

990
00:47:47,719 --> 00:47:49,880
Speaker 2: barely lean under. But that that's a great line. And

991
00:47:49,920 --> 00:47:52,440
Speaker 2: what's up with Sammy Watkins is he? I think he's

992
00:47:52,480 --> 00:47:54,719
Speaker 2: eligible to return? Have you heard anything about him?

993
00:47:54,760 --> 00:47:57,759
Speaker 1: We heard anything yet? Yeah? I mean I'm assuming they'd

994
00:47:57,800 --> 00:48:01,239
Speaker 1: get we probably Watson or Watch maybe one of them,

995
00:48:01,320 --> 00:48:04,680
Speaker 1: But yeah, I haven't heard anything. So but I just

996
00:48:04,840 --> 00:48:07,439
Speaker 1: it was interesting to me that Tonyan's route spiked so much,

997
00:48:07,920 --> 00:48:09,759
Speaker 1: So you know, maybe he's going to be the kind

998
00:48:09,760 --> 00:48:11,520
Speaker 1: of more of that guy we saw a couple of

999
00:48:11,600 --> 00:48:13,919
Speaker 1: years ago when he was putting up numbers. Then maybe

1000
00:48:13,960 --> 00:48:16,360
Speaker 1: that's what they think the fix is, you know for this?

1001
00:48:17,200 --> 00:48:19,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, no, I think so too, because you know, like

1002
00:48:19,239 --> 00:48:21,200
Speaker 2: I was saying, earlier in the season when he started out,

1003
00:48:21,239 --> 00:48:24,880
Speaker 2: you know, averaging like forty five percent rob participation. I

1004
00:48:24,960 --> 00:48:28,080
Speaker 2: was expecting that to eventually climb up to sixty five

1005
00:48:28,719 --> 00:48:32,800
Speaker 2: seventy percent, especially you know, that's one of Aaron Rodgers' favorite,

1006
00:48:32,800 --> 00:48:35,600
Speaker 2: you know, most crossed targets. So I think with just

1007
00:48:35,640 --> 00:48:39,720
Speaker 2: all the you know, the wide receiver situation being in flux,

1008
00:48:40,080 --> 00:48:41,880
Speaker 2: I think they are going to start lanning on Tanya.

1009
00:48:41,880 --> 00:48:43,799
Speaker 2: And that's why I was like ready to take the

1010
00:48:43,880 --> 00:48:46,719
Speaker 2: over here. But you said it just a little bit

1011
00:48:46,760 --> 00:48:49,640
Speaker 2: above where I was where I was thinking. So yeah,

1012
00:48:49,640 --> 00:48:51,879
Speaker 2: again just leaning on the under there. But again, that's

1013
00:48:51,880 --> 00:48:53,959
Speaker 2: a great line, all.

1014
00:48:53,920 --> 00:48:55,839
Speaker 1: Right, That is going to do it. For our Week

1015
00:48:55,960 --> 00:48:59,880
Speaker 1: seven NFL Player Projections episode of the Action Network podcast,

1016
00:49:00,000 --> 00:49:03,520
Speaker 1: he's ented by FanDuel. More great fantasy content from Sean

1017
00:49:03,600 --> 00:49:06,240
Speaker 1: and I. Be sure to check out our full fantasy

1018
00:49:06,239 --> 00:49:09,880
Speaker 1: preview episode out now over on the Fantasy Flex podcast channel.

1019
00:49:10,120 --> 00:49:11,960
Speaker 1: And if you're into betting, we should to check out

1020
00:49:12,000 --> 00:49:15,239
Speaker 1: my weekly betting preview episode every Thursday with Stucky right

1021
00:49:15,280 --> 00:49:18,319
Speaker 1: here on this channel. Go to actionnetwork dot com for

1022
00:49:18,320 --> 00:49:20,759
Speaker 1: all of our NFL betting and fantasy content, as well

1023
00:49:20,760 --> 00:49:24,920
Speaker 1: as Fantasy Labs dot com for our DFS tools and models.

1024
00:49:25,120 --> 00:49:26,080
Speaker 2: We can follow.

1025
00:49:25,920 --> 00:49:29,000
Speaker 1: Sean on Twitter at the Underscore Odds Maker, and you

1026
00:49:29,000 --> 00:49:31,680
Speaker 1: can follow me at Chris Raybond and rat those same

1027
00:49:31,680 --> 00:49:34,879
Speaker 1: handles on the free, award winning Action Network app, where

1028
00:49:34,880 --> 00:49:37,680
Speaker 1: you can follow our bets and track yours as well.

1029
00:49:37,880 --> 00:49:51,800
Speaker 1: Until next time, we've got this money.