WEBVTT - Streaming Consolidation, Los Angeles Wildfires

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news.

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<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Business Week Insight from the reporters and

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<v Speaker 2>editors that bring you America's most trusted business magazine, plus

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<v Speaker 2>global business, finance and tech news. The Bloomberg Business Week

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<v Speaker 2>Podcast with Carol Masser and Tim Stenovek on Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 3>We are going to stay out WES though to a

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<v Speaker 3>lighter story, no doubt about that.

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<v Speaker 4>We're going to head back.

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<v Speaker 3>To ces in Las Vegas and to some of those

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<v Speaker 3>companies in the tech and media world's changing how we

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<v Speaker 3>consume and how we access content. And among them tim

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<v Speaker 3>is quick Play, which provides cloud solutions and platforms and

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<v Speaker 3>services for OTT content delivery and more.

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<v Speaker 5>Here to tell us what they're up to is the

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<v Speaker 5>CEO of Quickplay, Paul Paster, who has held executive positions

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<v Speaker 5>at media organizations including Disney Plus and Hulu. Paul joins

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<v Speaker 5>us live at CEES in Las Vegas. Paul, great to

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<v Speaker 5>have you with us. We're going to talk about what

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<v Speaker 5>you do with regard to the OTT space, the over

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<v Speaker 5>the top space over at quick Play in just a minute.

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<v Speaker 5>But before that, would love your news on the consolidation

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<v Speaker 5>news that we saw we'd love your views on the

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<v Speaker 5>consolidation news that we saw a little earlier this week

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<v Speaker 5>when it comes to the tie up of Hulu Live

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<v Speaker 5>and of Fubo TV. Curious about what your reaction to that.

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<v Speaker 5>As a former executive at Disney, somebody worked at Hulu

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<v Speaker 5>as well, what do you see as the strategy here?

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<v Speaker 6>Sure?

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<v Speaker 7>Well, first, thank you for so much for having me,

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<v Speaker 7>And second, I know your last story was covering the

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<v Speaker 7>fires in Los Angeles as a prior Los ANGELESO and

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<v Speaker 7>somebody in the media industry, My heart goes out.

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<v Speaker 6>To everybody in Hobery.

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<v Speaker 7>Be safe as it relates to the Fubo and Disney

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<v Speaker 7>announcement obviously this week, Listen, the one thing we need

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<v Speaker 7>to know and understand is this solved a very big

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<v Speaker 7>problem for media companies. The Fubo lawsuit obviously was trying

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<v Speaker 7>to ensure that media companies weren't able to bundle, and

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<v Speaker 7>that would have devastating effects on these bigger media companies

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<v Speaker 7>that still make a lot of money from cable. So

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<v Speaker 7>for two and twenty million dollars plus the combination of

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<v Speaker 7>this venture with both Hulu Plus and Fubu, they've really

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<v Speaker 7>solved a lot of problems both in the lawsuit and

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<v Speaker 7>in driving scale in the industry, which will hopefully let

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<v Speaker 7>them kind of build out new consumer propositions.

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<v Speaker 3>Paul, do you also think that decision by Disney to

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<v Speaker 3>merge with Fubu and also launch its ESPN streaming product

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<v Speaker 3>is kind of enough to I guess you would say

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<v Speaker 3>future proof it's revenue from accelerated cord cutting, which we

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<v Speaker 3>know continues.

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<v Speaker 6>Well.

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<v Speaker 7>Listen, there's still a long term trend where we're seeing

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<v Speaker 7>a decline in the total reach of cable, but this

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<v Speaker 7>most certainly lets them launch the new venue opportunity where

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<v Speaker 7>there is a strong value proposition behind sports and finding

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<v Speaker 7>a level of aggregation that will really solve a consumer

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<v Speaker 7>challenge of where do I find my sports and how

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<v Speaker 7>do I watch them? So this is a win for

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<v Speaker 7>consumers and that this product will begin to be launched,

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<v Speaker 7>and hopefully we'll also find a path for these media

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<v Speaker 7>companies to continue to address some of the reach concerns

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<v Speaker 7>they have over the loss of cable subscriptions.

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<v Speaker 5>Let's go there and give us an understanding of how

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<v Speaker 5>you think they navigate this tricky terrain here, I mean

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<v Speaker 5>the cord cutting that we've seen over the last fifteen

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<v Speaker 5>years or so has just absolutely devastated the traditional PAYTP

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<v Speaker 5>providers and even those cable companies that have been carrying

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<v Speaker 5>that content. These companies, apart from Netflix, are really trying

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<v Speaker 5>to figure out what to do what happens to the

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<v Speaker 5>smaller content players now the Warner Brothers discoveries, the paramounts

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<v Speaker 5>and the like in an environment such as this.

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<v Speaker 7>Yeah, listen, I think every CEO and every person in

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<v Speaker 7>a media company today is trying to figure out how

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<v Speaker 7>do they future prove their business and what we can

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<v Speaker 7>see and what we can tell right from all gen

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<v Speaker 7>Z consumption is that gen Z consumers are going to

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<v Speaker 7>YouTube and going to TikTok.

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<v Speaker 6>They're watching a ton of short form content.

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<v Speaker 7>They spend three hours a day on YouTube and TikTok

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<v Speaker 7>compared to one hour a day with broadcasts and streamers,

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<v Speaker 7>and this is a growing trend among all demographics. So personally,

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<v Speaker 7>where I believe these media companies to be focused is

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<v Speaker 7>how do I begin to own the whole conversation around

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<v Speaker 7>my IP and my content and think about developing a

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<v Speaker 7>short form content and product strategy that really addresses these

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<v Speaker 7>gen Z consumers the way that they like to interact

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<v Speaker 7>with content the way they consume it in these in

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<v Speaker 7>these moments versus lean back experiences.

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<v Speaker 6>They they like to engage.

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<v Speaker 7>I think that's the real opportunity for media companies today,

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<v Speaker 7>if they really want to think about their future and

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<v Speaker 7>not seeding into these other platforms.

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<v Speaker 5>So should Netflix be concerned because they don't necessarily have

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<v Speaker 5>that short form content that TikTok has, that YouTube shorts

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<v Speaker 5>that Instagram reels have.

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<v Speaker 6>I certainly believe so.

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<v Speaker 7>And if you follow my LinkedIn posts, so the last

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<v Speaker 7>couple of weeks, you'll actually know I was challenging Netflix

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<v Speaker 7>largely because of Beyonce Bowl. I am a huge Beyonce fan,

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<v Speaker 7>cowboy Carter fan. I was suiting too for having Netflix

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<v Speaker 7>having the Christmas NFL You too, see you love it?

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<v Speaker 6>Right?

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<v Speaker 7>Well, you will't watch the game, right. They made a

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<v Speaker 7>huge push for people to watch this NFL game on

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<v Speaker 7>on Christmas Day. I personally, all I really cared about

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<v Speaker 7>was watching the halftime show was Beyonce. Ten minutes after

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<v Speaker 7>the broadcast, it was nowhere to be found. No one

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<v Speaker 7>had thought about the fact that they needed to actually

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<v Speaker 7>clip it immediately and post it and make it available

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<v Speaker 7>for their consumers.

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<v Speaker 6>Instead, I had watched.

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<v Speaker 7>It on YouTube, right, So it created a huge opportunity

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<v Speaker 7>for YouTube demonetize a huge event when Netflix didn't own

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<v Speaker 7>the conversation, and if they had other tools and a

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<v Speaker 7>product focused on shorts, they could have really owned the

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<v Speaker 7>entire conversation.

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<v Speaker 8>Right.

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<v Speaker 7>So it's not just about Beyonce, it's the behind the

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<v Speaker 7>scenes and most importantly, all the social engagement that happens

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<v Speaker 7>around it. So I think that's a real opportunity for

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<v Speaker 7>Netflix and all the streamers out there to be thinking

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<v Speaker 7>about owning the conversation and making sure they're not just

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<v Speaker 7>focused on long form. They need to have a short

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<v Speaker 7>form content experience.

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<v Speaker 6>It's social life, all right.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, last question about the broader industry, and then we

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<v Speaker 3>want to talk about your company. We mentioned about Disney

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<v Speaker 3>and Fubo doing their deal. I just want to get

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<v Speaker 3>your thoughts because you understand space.

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<v Speaker 4>You worked at Disney.

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<v Speaker 3>What skill set do you think that the Disney board

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<v Speaker 3>is likely to prioritize in searching for its next leader?

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<v Speaker 7>Oh my goodness, Well, if I had that level of insight,

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<v Speaker 7>well what is the years I could have been.

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<v Speaker 6>So what do you think of different butts?

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<v Speaker 3>What do you think it's like this iconic media company.

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<v Speaker 3>It's got great properties, and yet it's trying to figure out,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, what its world is for the rest of

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<v Speaker 3>the twenty first century and maybe beyond.

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<v Speaker 7>Most certainly, well, I think at the end of the day, listen,

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<v Speaker 7>I think you need somebody who has a vision of

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<v Speaker 7>what twenty thirty looks like, twenty thirty five looks like

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<v Speaker 7>from a consumer standpoint, and how technology is going to

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<v Speaker 7>fundamentally change both the creative side of the industry and

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<v Speaker 7>the distribution side of the industry. It is incredible when

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<v Speaker 7>we look at the tools that are becoming available.

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<v Speaker 6>To everyday users.

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<v Speaker 7>When you look at the AI technology that can take

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<v Speaker 7>texts into a video format and more in version one,

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<v Speaker 7>in version two of that, imagine what that looks like

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<v Speaker 7>in five years. That blending and that differentiation between premium

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<v Speaker 7>content and UGC driven content is eroding very rapid and

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<v Speaker 7>so you need to figure out ways to harness it,

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<v Speaker 7>and you need a CEO that embraces that type of vision.

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<v Speaker 3>All right, So let's talk about your world. Tell us

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<v Speaker 3>about you know, your company. We did a little introduction.

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<v Speaker 3>It sounds like you guys are at this great cross

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<v Speaker 3>section when it comes to content and not just traditional providers.

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<v Speaker 3>But you know, it's health, it's security, it's a lot

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<v Speaker 3>of stuff going on. Tell us about your world. What

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<v Speaker 3>is it that moves the financial need needle?

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<v Speaker 4>Where's the growth?

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<v Speaker 7>Certainly, so listen, this has been a We started the

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<v Speaker 7>company five years ago, back in the early days of

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<v Speaker 7>the of COVID, but we recognized that this was a

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<v Speaker 7>moment where media companies were beginning to focus on consumers

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<v Speaker 7>and streamers right and they built out their version one

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<v Speaker 7>other platform. We're a media company, We're a technology company

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<v Speaker 7>focus on chier one Media who's looking to build out

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<v Speaker 7>streaming solutions that also can advance the overall consumer experience.

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<v Speaker 7>So what we what you've seen is we support the

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<v Speaker 7>likes of Yankee Sports Network, Madison Square Garden and their

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<v Speaker 7>joint venture. We support ah Media on and Media Group

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<v Speaker 7>and delivering that overall consumer experience. What we're advancing in

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<v Speaker 7>our conversation here at CEES is how do we begin

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<v Speaker 7>to really think about leveraging first AI tools to help

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<v Speaker 7>companies develop shorts content, To leverage AI tools that can

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<v Speaker 7>take live and VOD content, convert it into shorts and

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<v Speaker 7>then verticalize that to publish that into a syndicated or

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<v Speaker 7>owned app experience, and second to help them advance that.

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<v Speaker 6>Social like experience. We were just talking about that.

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<v Speaker 7>How do you build a destination where you can have

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<v Speaker 7>an infinite scroll, interact with the content with legs, commons,

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<v Speaker 7>emojis to be able to share that into other platforms,

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<v Speaker 7>So the basis of the conversation starts on owned platform.

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<v Speaker 6>Those are the types of experiences we're hoping to.

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<v Speaker 7>Advance within the media industry and really help shape the

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<v Speaker 7>opportunity for these streamers around new ad units, around driving promotion,

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<v Speaker 7>around their long form engagement, driving promotion around their subscriptions,

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<v Speaker 7>and fundamentally creating this virtual cycle of consumers leveraging and

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<v Speaker 7>using their app on a daily basis, which really becomes

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<v Speaker 7>the foundation for gaining mind share and time spent with consumers.

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<v Speaker 5>So it sounds like you're making a bet that these

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<v Speaker 5>companies that are your clients can actually build the audience

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<v Speaker 5>within apps and then get consumers and get viewers and

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<v Speaker 5>audience to engage there and not just on the tiktoks,

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<v Speaker 5>the instagrams and the youtubes. Is that correct, because that

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<v Speaker 5>seems like a really tall task.

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<v Speaker 7>That's that's right, Well, if you think about the IP

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<v Speaker 7>that they have. So I'm saying, why don't you start

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<v Speaker 7>with the destination that's built around your IP right and

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<v Speaker 7>own the conversation. This is a very traditional way of

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<v Speaker 7>looking at media in some respects. We've always had windowing

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<v Speaker 7>strategies where content would start on one platform, then migrate

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<v Speaker 7>to another, then migrate to another. Today you could take

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<v Speaker 7>content from live premieres from a VOD where you can

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<v Speaker 7>say this is exclusive to our platform. We're going to

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<v Speaker 7>hold it for a window, maybe it's fifteen minutes. Start

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<v Speaker 7>the conversation on my platform. Then I'll allow for it

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<v Speaker 7>to be shared onto other platforms. But its foundation starts

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<v Speaker 7>with yours. And if you can find a way to

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<v Speaker 7>get the consumer to open up your app on a

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<v Speaker 7>more frequent basis right and reach a new audience like

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<v Speaker 7>a gen Z audience, then you can win the attention game.

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<v Speaker 4>Paul, how do you support it financially?

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<v Speaker 3>Because that sounds like a lot of people competing for

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<v Speaker 3>eyeballs and hits and so on and so forth, but

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<v Speaker 3>also the traditional advertising model also competing for all of that,

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<v Speaker 3>So how do you support it?

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<v Speaker 7>Certainly, so one is I should say the quick play

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<v Speaker 7>does release research working with gen Z Insights that showcase

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<v Speaker 7>that gen Z consumer said they would go and visit

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<v Speaker 7>their streamer more frequently seventy nine percent they would visit

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<v Speaker 7>it more frequently if they offered a compelling shorts offering.

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<v Speaker 7>And what they told us is what they're looking to

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<v Speaker 7>see is reality programming, original content, highlights and clips from

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<v Speaker 7>their favorite shows and their sports events. So there's a

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<v Speaker 7>really clear defined opportunity for the media companies themselves. Then

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<v Speaker 7>in terms of monetization, right now, you're thinking about adding

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<v Speaker 7>ad units into your short form experience and then promoting

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<v Speaker 7>to that long form content experience where you can similarly

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<v Speaker 7>monetize through ads. If you look at the subscription ads

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<v Speaker 7>over the last last quarter coming off of the latest

0:11:07.880 --> 0:11:11.320
<v Speaker 7>Antenna research, the majority of subscription ads are coming through

0:11:11.480 --> 0:11:14.920
<v Speaker 7>AD defined subscription plans. So this tells you there's a

0:11:15.000 --> 0:11:17.880
<v Speaker 7>huge opportunity sitting in the monetization space of relative to ads.

0:11:18.440 --> 0:11:20.240
<v Speaker 3>So tiered right, so you're can be able to pay

0:11:20.280 --> 0:11:21.959
<v Speaker 3>for something so you don't maybe get those ads or

0:11:22.000 --> 0:11:22.720
<v Speaker 3>something right.

0:11:23.520 --> 0:11:26.440
<v Speaker 7>Well, everybody always wants the excuse of the ability to

0:11:26.480 --> 0:11:28.800
<v Speaker 7>opt out. I would say that I look at shorts

0:11:28.800 --> 0:11:30.080
<v Speaker 7>though as a way to think about it as a

0:11:30.120 --> 0:11:33.400
<v Speaker 7>front porch. You make that available to all consumers, and

0:11:33.440 --> 0:11:37.040
<v Speaker 7>then behind that experience, in your long form traditional streaming experience,

0:11:37.200 --> 0:11:39.320
<v Speaker 7>you offer the opportunity to have no ads.

0:11:39.559 --> 0:11:41.800
<v Speaker 5>Well, where does AI come into this. Does it come

0:11:41.840 --> 0:11:43.800
<v Speaker 5>into this in the sense of it makes it very

0:11:43.840 --> 0:11:46.560
<v Speaker 5>easy to actually clip and share something or does it

0:11:46.600 --> 0:11:49.120
<v Speaker 5>go beyond that? And is there a way for AI

0:11:49.200 --> 0:11:54.199
<v Speaker 5>to identify that moment that will go viral because editorially

0:11:54.559 --> 0:11:57.439
<v Speaker 5>people do that. People have to understand what really resonates

0:11:57.559 --> 0:11:58.320
<v Speaker 5>with the audience.

0:12:00.160 --> 0:12:01.120
<v Speaker 6>This is a great question.

0:12:01.240 --> 0:12:03.040
<v Speaker 7>So if you think if we break apart at the

0:12:03.040 --> 0:12:05.600
<v Speaker 7>shorts opportunity and two component parts, I'll tell.

0:12:05.440 --> 0:12:06.600
<v Speaker 6>You about the application of AI.

0:12:06.960 --> 0:12:08.560
<v Speaker 7>The first part is how do you take a piece

0:12:08.600 --> 0:12:12.040
<v Speaker 7>of long form content or a live experience and say

0:12:12.080 --> 0:12:13.520
<v Speaker 7>what are the viral moments?

0:12:13.559 --> 0:12:13.719
<v Speaker 6>Right?

0:12:13.720 --> 0:12:15.600
<v Speaker 7>And you can actually marry that with what's going on

0:12:15.640 --> 0:12:18.920
<v Speaker 7>with Google trends to actually take the piece of asset

0:12:19.120 --> 0:12:23.439
<v Speaker 7>leverage AI, pend the metadata to it, and then say, actually.

0:12:23.320 --> 0:12:25.640
<v Speaker 6>This matches a trending moment on Google.

0:12:25.880 --> 0:12:28.640
<v Speaker 7>Let's publish in the short form vertical format into an

0:12:28.679 --> 0:12:30.040
<v Speaker 7>owned or syndicated experience.

0:12:30.280 --> 0:12:31.800
<v Speaker 6>So that's all AI driven.

0:12:32.280 --> 0:12:35.559
<v Speaker 7>The second piece within that consumer experience that you may

0:12:35.559 --> 0:12:39.000
<v Speaker 7>have as a destination sitting with within your app. We're

0:12:39.080 --> 0:12:42.320
<v Speaker 7>leveraging personalization, right, that's all AI driven, right, which is

0:12:42.320 --> 0:12:45.720
<v Speaker 7>to understand what are your consumer likes and dislikes, what

0:12:45.760 --> 0:12:47.559
<v Speaker 7>do you engage with, how much time do you spend

0:12:47.559 --> 0:12:49.600
<v Speaker 7>with it, and leveraging that to make it a more

0:12:49.600 --> 0:12:52.200
<v Speaker 7>compelling experience for you every single team time you log in,

0:12:52.679 --> 0:12:56.360
<v Speaker 7>and of course then apply to that as all the

0:12:56.400 --> 0:12:58.600
<v Speaker 7>AD opportunity that sits within that, right, because now we

0:12:58.640 --> 0:13:01.160
<v Speaker 7>can also do contextual advertising because when you know what

0:13:01.240 --> 0:13:04.160
<v Speaker 7>the content is along with the personalization, so you're getting

0:13:04.160 --> 0:13:08.280
<v Speaker 7>a double hit on AI within the ad delivery component.

0:13:08.400 --> 0:13:11.840
<v Speaker 7>So really AI can be applied applied across the entire spectrum.

0:13:11.840 --> 0:13:14.240
<v Speaker 3>Cool stuff, Cool stuff, Come back soon. Love to get

0:13:14.280 --> 0:13:16.920
<v Speaker 3>an update as things move along through twenty twenty five.

0:13:16.920 --> 0:13:19.840
<v Speaker 3>Paul Pastor, here's CEO of quick Play joining us there

0:13:19.880 --> 0:13:21.559
<v Speaker 3>from cees in Las Vegas.

0:13:23.080 --> 0:13:26.760
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us

0:13:26.840 --> 0:13:29.840
<v Speaker 1>live weekday afternoons from two to five eas during Listen

0:13:29.880 --> 0:13:33.440
<v Speaker 1>on Applecarplay and Android Atto with the Bloomberg Business app,

0:13:33.640 --> 0:13:35.959
<v Speaker 1>or watch us live on YouTube.

0:13:36.679 --> 0:13:38.880
<v Speaker 5>Our Live blogout with the latest too dead a high

0:13:38.920 --> 0:13:42.199
<v Speaker 5>number of significant injuries from the fires as they firefighters

0:13:42.200 --> 0:13:46.120
<v Speaker 5>struggle to contain blazes in Pacific Palace Stades in Pasadena, Carol.

0:13:46.160 --> 0:13:48.439
<v Speaker 5>More than twenty three thousand acres have burned in twenty

0:13:48.440 --> 0:13:51.880
<v Speaker 5>four hours. Utilities have cut power to thousands of homes

0:13:51.880 --> 0:13:54.839
<v Speaker 5>and businesses. My brother's out there in South Pasadena.

0:13:54.880 --> 0:13:55.440
<v Speaker 4>How's he doing.

0:13:55.640 --> 0:13:57.599
<v Speaker 5>He's getting out of there, waiting for his girlfriend to

0:13:57.600 --> 0:13:59.000
<v Speaker 5>get off of work. I think they're going to head

0:13:59.040 --> 0:14:01.040
<v Speaker 5>up to the Central Coast to see my parents. But

0:14:01.120 --> 0:14:02.800
<v Speaker 5>he's been without power since yesterday.

0:14:04.080 --> 0:14:06.000
<v Speaker 3>You know, I feel like we're all kind of messaging

0:14:06.040 --> 0:14:07.760
<v Speaker 3>everybody out on the West Coast. I mean, it's real,

0:14:07.760 --> 0:14:09.840
<v Speaker 3>and like you just have a matter of time to

0:14:09.960 --> 0:14:11.640
<v Speaker 3>like kind of leave your homes and so on and

0:14:11.640 --> 0:14:13.880
<v Speaker 3>so forth. In something that we're continuing to track because

0:14:13.880 --> 0:14:17.599
<v Speaker 3>this fire is expected to continue for at least a

0:14:17.640 --> 0:14:19.520
<v Speaker 3>couple of days for the latest, and we've been trying

0:14:19.560 --> 0:14:21.480
<v Speaker 3>to track it in real time and to really help

0:14:21.560 --> 0:14:24.160
<v Speaker 3>us understand the connection between whether and climate and the

0:14:24.240 --> 0:14:27.280
<v Speaker 3>insurance story, which is yep, we're a business organization and

0:14:27.320 --> 0:14:29.400
<v Speaker 3>that is an aspect of it. No doubt about it.

0:14:29.800 --> 0:14:32.280
<v Speaker 3>We're joined by a great roundtable. Mark Onngloff is editor

0:14:32.320 --> 0:14:35.120
<v Speaker 3>of Bloomberg Opinion. He covers climate change for US and

0:14:35.200 --> 0:14:37.560
<v Speaker 3>also back with us as David Baker. He's Bloomberg News

0:14:37.720 --> 0:14:40.600
<v Speaker 3>Energy and Climate reporter Marcus in New York. David is

0:14:40.600 --> 0:14:42.480
<v Speaker 3>in San Francisco. David, let's go back out to the

0:14:42.480 --> 0:14:45.080
<v Speaker 3>West coast. You've been keeping us up to speed on

0:14:45.120 --> 0:14:47.280
<v Speaker 3>what's been going on. What's the latest at this hour

0:14:47.360 --> 0:14:48.240
<v Speaker 3>that you are hearing?

0:14:49.520 --> 0:14:52.520
<v Speaker 8>Well, none of it is good. The fires are still

0:14:52.680 --> 0:14:56.120
<v Speaker 8>utterly out of control most of them. The two biggest

0:14:56.120 --> 0:14:59.440
<v Speaker 8>ones keep growing. We keep getting updates from cal Fire.

0:15:00.360 --> 0:15:03.840
<v Speaker 8>The Palisades fire is now above eleven thousand acres. The

0:15:04.000 --> 0:15:06.920
<v Speaker 8>Eden fire above Pasadena is now above ten thousand. And

0:15:06.960 --> 0:15:10.880
<v Speaker 8>they're not just burning through woodlands or grassy hillsides. They're

0:15:10.880 --> 0:15:14.440
<v Speaker 8>burning through actual neighborhoods, both of them. We have more

0:15:14.600 --> 0:15:18.280
<v Speaker 8>than one hundred and twenty thousand people evacuated. They are

0:15:18.360 --> 0:15:21.880
<v Speaker 8>filling into hotels, they're calling up friends and family trying

0:15:21.880 --> 0:15:24.960
<v Speaker 8>to find a place to stay, and it is starting

0:15:24.960 --> 0:15:28.160
<v Speaker 8>to really paralyze life in our second largest city.

0:15:28.600 --> 0:15:30.320
<v Speaker 3>We just want to mention for those who are watching

0:15:30.400 --> 0:15:32.560
<v Speaker 3>right now on YouTube and of course on our Bloomberg

0:15:32.720 --> 0:15:35.240
<v Speaker 3>Original streaming channel that what you are seeing right now

0:15:35.320 --> 0:15:38.480
<v Speaker 3>is a live shot of the fire. So we're not

0:15:38.560 --> 0:15:42.640
<v Speaker 3>quite exactly sure of the location here, but obviously within

0:15:42.680 --> 0:15:46.200
<v Speaker 3>the area that we've been talking the Pacific Palisades, Pasadena,

0:15:46.360 --> 0:15:48.600
<v Speaker 3>those general areas, but that's what we're seeing right now.

0:15:48.680 --> 0:15:50.680
<v Speaker 5>David. I'm racking my brain here trying to come up

0:15:50.680 --> 0:15:55.240
<v Speaker 5>with a recent historical corollary to this historical precedent to

0:15:55.440 --> 0:15:58.800
<v Speaker 5>the scale of this evacuation and how many people in

0:15:58.920 --> 0:16:01.640
<v Speaker 5>structures and homes are at risk here, and I can't

0:16:01.640 --> 0:16:04.680
<v Speaker 5>do it. Is this unprecedented or do we have historical

0:16:04.720 --> 0:16:08.280
<v Speaker 5>examples of when fires have threatened and in the devastated

0:16:08.280 --> 0:16:09.600
<v Speaker 5>areas such as this in the past.

0:16:10.400 --> 0:16:12.400
<v Speaker 8>It's funny you say that, because I was having this

0:16:12.480 --> 0:16:15.880
<v Speaker 8>conversation with a net or a few minutes ago, and honestly,

0:16:15.960 --> 0:16:18.000
<v Speaker 8>I think the closest thing that you can compare this

0:16:18.080 --> 0:16:21.200
<v Speaker 8>to is the nineteen ninety four north Ridge earthquake in

0:16:21.320 --> 0:16:23.920
<v Speaker 8>La I thought, I mean, in terms of a natural

0:16:23.960 --> 0:16:29.040
<v Speaker 8>disaster of this scope affecting so many people, that's probably it. California.

0:16:29.120 --> 0:16:33.600
<v Speaker 8>We've endured so many bad wildfires in the last decade,

0:16:34.280 --> 0:16:38.160
<v Speaker 8>but most of them have been in rural areas, not

0:16:38.560 --> 0:16:41.280
<v Speaker 8>in a major city like this, And yeah, this is

0:16:41.280 --> 0:16:41.960
<v Speaker 8>something different.

0:16:42.440 --> 0:16:43.760
<v Speaker 4>Mark Gong Gleff, I want to bring you in.

0:16:43.920 --> 0:16:45.880
<v Speaker 3>I've been watching your face on the monitor and you're

0:16:45.880 --> 0:16:46.880
<v Speaker 3>shaking your head here.

0:16:47.600 --> 0:16:49.720
<v Speaker 4>You know, I feel like you and you meet Tim.

0:16:49.760 --> 0:16:52.360
<v Speaker 3>We have these conversations of just when we think it

0:16:52.360 --> 0:16:54.760
<v Speaker 3>can't get any worse, it certainly feels like it can.

0:16:56.120 --> 0:16:59.280
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, it's really grim. And when we were talking about

0:16:59.320 --> 0:17:00.960
<v Speaker 9>things that are in present, you know, one of the

0:17:01.000 --> 0:17:04.160
<v Speaker 9>things you made. One of the scary things about these

0:17:04.240 --> 0:17:07.840
<v Speaker 9>fires is that they didn't exist Tuesday morning, like thirty

0:17:07.880 --> 0:17:10.040
<v Speaker 9>six hours ago. They didn't exist. All we had was

0:17:11.119 --> 0:17:13.399
<v Speaker 9>a warning from the Weather Service that there were going

0:17:13.440 --> 0:17:17.400
<v Speaker 9>to be strong Santa Anna wins maybe the strongest ever,

0:17:17.640 --> 0:17:19.760
<v Speaker 9>the strongest since at least twenty eleven when there were

0:17:19.800 --> 0:17:23.520
<v Speaker 9>some really devastating ones, and they warned that there was

0:17:23.560 --> 0:17:25.680
<v Speaker 9>an extreme risk of wildfire. And this is the first

0:17:25.720 --> 0:17:27.720
<v Speaker 9>time that the National Weather Service has ever warned of

0:17:27.720 --> 0:17:31.240
<v Speaker 9>an extreme wildfire risk in the lower forty eight states

0:17:31.280 --> 0:17:34.560
<v Speaker 9>in January ever, And so right away you got this sense, well,

0:17:34.640 --> 0:17:36.720
<v Speaker 9>this could be really bad. And you know, we hoped

0:17:36.760 --> 0:17:38.919
<v Speaker 9>that it wouldn't be, but it has turned out to

0:17:38.960 --> 0:17:41.480
<v Speaker 9>be as bad, if not worse, than we expected.

0:17:42.800 --> 0:17:45.280
<v Speaker 5>Santa Ana Wins mark nothing new, as you write in

0:17:45.320 --> 0:17:48.000
<v Speaker 5>your piece, what's unique about this moment in history, the

0:17:48.040 --> 0:17:50.960
<v Speaker 5>development of this area and what's been happening in the

0:17:50.960 --> 0:17:53.880
<v Speaker 5>broader climate over the last three decades or so that

0:17:54.000 --> 0:17:55.600
<v Speaker 5>create this really combustible mix.

0:17:56.560 --> 0:17:59.240
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, it's a toxic mix, as you say, Santa Ana

0:17:59.320 --> 0:18:03.399
<v Speaker 9>wins wildfires, those have been part of California life forever.

0:18:04.359 --> 0:18:08.480
<v Speaker 9>The difference now is that climate change has made a

0:18:08.520 --> 0:18:11.200
<v Speaker 9>lot of factors much worse. So you get a lot

0:18:11.200 --> 0:18:16.200
<v Speaker 9>of rain and snow and during those seasons, and that

0:18:16.560 --> 0:18:18.520
<v Speaker 9>is great. It produces a lot of you get a

0:18:18.520 --> 0:18:20.440
<v Speaker 9>lot of water, but it produces a lot of plants.

0:18:20.680 --> 0:18:22.919
<v Speaker 9>And then during the summer and fall seasons when you

0:18:22.920 --> 0:18:26.600
<v Speaker 9>don't you're not having any rain, the air is hotter,

0:18:26.800 --> 0:18:29.480
<v Speaker 9>the air is drier. All these plants that grew during

0:18:29.520 --> 0:18:33.160
<v Speaker 9>the spring are drying out and providing kindling for these fires.

0:18:33.560 --> 0:18:38.159
<v Speaker 9>The air is drier, which makes it more combustible. The

0:18:38.240 --> 0:18:41.160
<v Speaker 9>other big problem here is that we have built millions

0:18:41.160 --> 0:18:45.119
<v Speaker 9>of homes in the wild and urban interface where maybe

0:18:45.359 --> 0:18:48.240
<v Speaker 9>you know, wildfires used to just burn and only affect

0:18:48.240 --> 0:18:52.720
<v Speaker 9>plants and trees. Now the houses themselves are serving as

0:18:52.800 --> 0:18:55.760
<v Speaker 9>kindling for these fires. And so you have these fires

0:18:55.760 --> 0:18:59.040
<v Speaker 9>that are that are hotter than usual, moving faster than usual,

0:18:59.320 --> 0:19:02.280
<v Speaker 9>and they're jumping to houses which are burning and then

0:19:02.800 --> 0:19:05.560
<v Speaker 9>creating their own kindling to spread the fires even faster.

0:19:05.720 --> 0:19:07.160
<v Speaker 9>And it's a scary situation.

0:19:08.119 --> 0:19:09.960
<v Speaker 3>It makes me think of the conversations we had over

0:19:09.960 --> 0:19:12.240
<v Speaker 3>the summer or was it fall really I got to

0:19:12.280 --> 0:19:14.879
<v Speaker 3>kind of remember my timing here, but just in Upper

0:19:14.920 --> 0:19:18.399
<v Speaker 3>Manhattan or across the Hudson along the Palisades, something that

0:19:18.400 --> 0:19:20.840
<v Speaker 3>we've never seen. And what's unusual is that once again

0:19:20.880 --> 0:19:24.480
<v Speaker 3>you're having these wildfires because of dry conditions, and they're

0:19:24.480 --> 0:19:28.040
<v Speaker 3>happening in places that are very, very heavily populated, are

0:19:28.080 --> 0:19:29.960
<v Speaker 3>near major cities. You're talking about a lot of people

0:19:30.000 --> 0:19:32.040
<v Speaker 3>and there's a lot there that can quickly catch fire.

0:19:32.359 --> 0:19:33.679
<v Speaker 4>David, I want to go back to you.

0:19:33.760 --> 0:19:37.000
<v Speaker 3>We know President Biden was in the region, he was

0:19:37.040 --> 0:19:39.800
<v Speaker 3>there with California Governor Newsom. What are we knowing about

0:19:39.840 --> 0:19:43.119
<v Speaker 3>resources that are coming in and making sure that everything

0:19:43.119 --> 0:19:46.280
<v Speaker 3>that can go to fight these wildfires are there.

0:19:47.560 --> 0:19:51.720
<v Speaker 8>Biden has pledged federal support for fighting these fires and

0:19:51.760 --> 0:19:55.159
<v Speaker 8>for helping recover afterward. Newsom has done the same at

0:19:55.160 --> 0:19:58.480
<v Speaker 8>the state level. And Newsom has quite a lot of

0:19:58.520 --> 0:20:03.359
<v Speaker 8>experience with this tenure as our governor has coincided with

0:20:03.520 --> 0:20:06.439
<v Speaker 8>many of these the worst of the fires we've experienced.

0:20:07.040 --> 0:20:11.119
<v Speaker 8>That said, in terms of actually getting these fires stopped,

0:20:11.880 --> 0:20:15.040
<v Speaker 8>there's going to be not much either man can do

0:20:16.000 --> 0:20:19.840
<v Speaker 8>until these winds start abating. I mean, the main thing

0:20:19.960 --> 0:20:22.240
<v Speaker 8>driving this right now really is the weather, and it's

0:20:22.240 --> 0:20:24.119
<v Speaker 8>going to be the case for the next couple of days.

0:20:24.680 --> 0:20:27.840
<v Speaker 8>As dreadful as all these images are that we're seeing here,

0:20:28.359 --> 0:20:30.959
<v Speaker 8>and as many people as we throw at the firefight,

0:20:32.080 --> 0:20:34.680
<v Speaker 8>we're still going to be stuck with these fires growing

0:20:34.960 --> 0:20:37.320
<v Speaker 8>for several days before we see the full extent of

0:20:37.359 --> 0:20:40.480
<v Speaker 8>the damage. And bear in mind there's the possibility of

0:20:40.520 --> 0:20:43.560
<v Speaker 8>another windstorm bearing down on us early next week.

0:20:43.960 --> 0:20:45.320
<v Speaker 4>Hey, David, one last question.

0:20:45.320 --> 0:20:47.000
<v Speaker 3>Then we want to let you get back to your reporting,

0:20:47.040 --> 0:20:49.480
<v Speaker 3>because we've been leaning on you heavily and understanding day

0:20:49.480 --> 0:20:52.280
<v Speaker 3>by day or hour by hour, I should say, what's happening.

0:20:52.359 --> 0:20:54.920
<v Speaker 3>I am looking at the live blog on the LA

0:20:55.000 --> 0:20:59.400
<v Speaker 3>wildfires and the leader of the California State Senate, Mike Maguire,

0:20:59.440 --> 0:21:03.080
<v Speaker 3>saying hoods didn't have proper water flow during the blaze.

0:21:03.200 --> 0:21:05.679
<v Speaker 3>I mean, is there the concerns, the threats already, the

0:21:05.680 --> 0:21:08.879
<v Speaker 3>reality that there's not water where it's needed.

0:21:10.080 --> 0:21:13.560
<v Speaker 8>This is what President Electrump was referring to in some

0:21:13.960 --> 0:21:18.000
<v Speaker 8>social media posts earlier today, at least obliquely. There was

0:21:18.080 --> 0:21:21.760
<v Speaker 8>last night in Pacific Palisades. They were taking so much

0:21:21.800 --> 0:21:25.040
<v Speaker 8>water out of the hydrants to fight this fire that

0:21:25.240 --> 0:21:28.720
<v Speaker 8>it tapped out the system's capability to deliver more water.

0:21:29.160 --> 0:21:32.159
<v Speaker 8>And they're in the Palisades. They have these water tanks

0:21:32.200 --> 0:21:35.560
<v Speaker 8>that are able to feed extra water into the hydrants

0:21:35.880 --> 0:21:38.920
<v Speaker 8>in emergency situations. They even tapped out those as of

0:21:38.920 --> 0:21:42.439
<v Speaker 8>about I think three am this morning. Now the city

0:21:42.520 --> 0:21:45.119
<v Speaker 8>which runs the water system there has been bringing in

0:21:45.280 --> 0:21:50.120
<v Speaker 8>portable tankers to make sure that doesn't happen again. But yeah, yeah,

0:21:50.200 --> 0:21:52.320
<v Speaker 8>essentially they're using every bit of water they can get

0:21:52.320 --> 0:21:52.840
<v Speaker 8>their hands on.

0:21:52.960 --> 0:21:55.240
<v Speaker 3>All right, So appreciate the updates, and I'm sure we'll

0:21:55.280 --> 0:21:57.960
<v Speaker 3>be leaning on you later today as well as into

0:21:58.000 --> 0:22:01.199
<v Speaker 3>the next couple of days, but hopefully less because that

0:22:01.240 --> 0:22:02.760
<v Speaker 3>means we're getting these fires under control.

0:22:02.840 --> 0:22:03.200
<v Speaker 4>David R.

0:22:03.240 --> 0:22:06.280
<v Speaker 3>Baker, Bloomberg News Energy and Climate reporter, joining us from

0:22:06.280 --> 0:22:08.199
<v Speaker 3>our bureau in San Francisco. We're going to let you go,

0:22:08.240 --> 0:22:09.960
<v Speaker 3>but we're going to continue with Mark onlof Hey.

0:22:09.960 --> 0:22:12.880
<v Speaker 5>Mark, your most recent column is about a fires exposing

0:22:12.880 --> 0:22:15.880
<v Speaker 5>a one trillion dollar hole in home insurance. You write

0:22:15.880 --> 0:22:18.800
<v Speaker 5>about homeowners in increasingly risky areas not being able to

0:22:18.840 --> 0:22:22.800
<v Speaker 5>obtain adequate coverage as insurers flee the state to avoid losses.

0:22:22.840 --> 0:22:27.520
<v Speaker 5>We're talking about places including Pacific Palisades. What's happening with

0:22:27.600 --> 0:22:30.880
<v Speaker 5>the insurance market and what are these in these areas

0:22:30.920 --> 0:22:33.159
<v Speaker 5>of California. What are these homeowners doing, What is the

0:22:33.200 --> 0:22:36.040
<v Speaker 5>system and what is the program that they're tapping into.

0:22:37.440 --> 0:22:39.440
<v Speaker 9>So these houses that we were talking about have become

0:22:39.520 --> 0:22:43.040
<v Speaker 9>kindling during these wildfires, and insurers noticed that years ago

0:22:43.119 --> 0:22:45.960
<v Speaker 9>and started pulling out of the state. When they did that,

0:22:46.760 --> 0:22:48.880
<v Speaker 9>they started raising prices and pulling out of the state

0:22:49.160 --> 0:22:51.640
<v Speaker 9>or pulling out of these risky areas. When they did that,

0:22:51.800 --> 0:22:56.000
<v Speaker 9>some homeowners, who you need to have insurance in order

0:22:56.040 --> 0:22:59.560
<v Speaker 9>to get a mortgage, they turned to less regulated insurers,

0:22:59.600 --> 0:23:03.520
<v Speaker 9>which are more costly and more risky. A lot of people,

0:23:03.520 --> 0:23:07.000
<v Speaker 9>though have turned to California's state run plan, the Fair Plan,

0:23:07.320 --> 0:23:11.080
<v Speaker 9>which has tripled in size, tripled in its obligations over

0:23:11.119 --> 0:23:14.480
<v Speaker 9>the past five years, almost four hundred and almost five

0:23:14.560 --> 0:23:19.639
<v Speaker 9>hundred billion worth of potential losses there. If all of

0:23:19.680 --> 0:23:21.479
<v Speaker 9>the homes in California went up, there would be five

0:23:21.560 --> 0:23:25.000
<v Speaker 9>hundred billion dollars six billion dollars alone in the neighborhood

0:23:25.000 --> 0:23:28.119
<v Speaker 9>of Pacific Palisades. It's one of the heaviest users of

0:23:28.160 --> 0:23:30.600
<v Speaker 9>the Fair Plan because State Farm and a lot of

0:23:30.600 --> 0:23:34.119
<v Speaker 9>big insurers pulled out of Palisade Pacific Palisades a while

0:23:34.160 --> 0:23:36.480
<v Speaker 9>back last year and said we don't want to ensure

0:23:36.480 --> 0:23:38.800
<v Speaker 9>you anymore. So a lot of these people with very

0:23:38.800 --> 0:23:41.080
<v Speaker 9>wealthy homes. I mean, the average house in that neighborhood

0:23:41.119 --> 0:23:43.720
<v Speaker 9>is three and a half million dollars, which for California

0:23:43.800 --> 0:23:46.080
<v Speaker 9>is maybe not that high, but it's still pretty high.

0:23:46.440 --> 0:23:48.680
<v Speaker 9>A lot of these people are using the California Fair Plan.

0:23:48.960 --> 0:23:52.240
<v Speaker 9>California Fair Plan last count only had seven hundred million

0:23:52.280 --> 0:23:55.120
<v Speaker 9>dollars in the bank. And so if just a percentage

0:23:55.480 --> 0:23:59.840
<v Speaker 9>of the damages in Pacific Palisades and some of these

0:23:59.840 --> 0:24:04.480
<v Speaker 9>other neighborhoods close by and Pasadena are going to fall

0:24:04.560 --> 0:24:07.480
<v Speaker 9>on the fair plan, then fair Plans can have enough money,

0:24:07.480 --> 0:24:10.040
<v Speaker 9>and then it's going to turn to other insurers in

0:24:10.080 --> 0:24:12.399
<v Speaker 9>the state. And when I talk about California, you know,

0:24:12.440 --> 0:24:17.720
<v Speaker 9>this is just one part of a national insurance crisis.

0:24:17.920 --> 0:24:19.520
<v Speaker 9>This is this is a problem that we're seeing in

0:24:19.600 --> 0:24:20.920
<v Speaker 9>states all over the country.

0:24:21.160 --> 0:24:23.440
<v Speaker 3>Mark are redoomed. Just got about forty seconds. I say

0:24:23.440 --> 0:24:25.080
<v Speaker 3>this because one of the stories Tim and I talked

0:24:25.119 --> 0:24:28.520
<v Speaker 3>about yesterday JP Morgan quitting the Net zero Banking Alliance

0:24:28.640 --> 0:24:29.680
<v Speaker 3>following city in ba A.

0:24:30.800 --> 0:24:32.600
<v Speaker 4>And this has to do with you know work.

0:24:33.080 --> 0:24:34.960
<v Speaker 3>They say they're going to work independently to advance low

0:24:34.960 --> 0:24:39.359
<v Speaker 3>carbon technologies and support you know, clients engage in any transition,

0:24:39.600 --> 0:24:41.160
<v Speaker 3>energy transition and decarbonization.

0:24:41.240 --> 0:24:42.480
<v Speaker 4>Forgive me, I'm rushing through.

0:24:42.320 --> 0:24:44.480
<v Speaker 3>But I mean I feel like, man, this feels like

0:24:44.560 --> 0:24:46.920
<v Speaker 3>everybody's turning their back on climate change.

0:24:46.920 --> 0:24:49.760
<v Speaker 4>Well, we're watching these fires. Got about twenty five seconds.

0:24:49.400 --> 0:24:51.520
<v Speaker 9>Here, crazy cognitive dissonance.

0:24:51.560 --> 0:24:51.840
<v Speaker 10>Here.

0:24:52.040 --> 0:24:54.480
<v Speaker 9>We are not doomed. We are only doomed if we

0:24:54.520 --> 0:24:57.600
<v Speaker 9>don't do anything about it. New York State could regulate

0:24:57.760 --> 0:24:59.679
<v Speaker 9>the banks and try to make them stick to some

0:24:59.720 --> 0:25:03.160
<v Speaker 9>of their I'm promises. We can all put political pressure

0:25:03.280 --> 0:25:06.080
<v Speaker 9>on our elected officials to say, hey, look at what's happening.

0:25:06.240 --> 0:25:09.160
<v Speaker 9>We're losing money in a chart on home insurance. There's

0:25:09.160 --> 0:25:12.040
<v Speaker 9>a potential financial risk here. Please do something and just

0:25:12.280 --> 0:25:15.399
<v Speaker 9>health risk and lifestylerist, please do something about this. We

0:25:15.440 --> 0:25:15.960
<v Speaker 9>can do that.

0:25:16.040 --> 0:25:18.800
<v Speaker 3>Well, and everybody read Mark on Gloff's columns, because that'll

0:25:18.920 --> 0:25:19.800
<v Speaker 3>that'll make you do it.

0:25:19.840 --> 0:25:20.560
<v Speaker 4>This is Bloomberg.

0:25:22.560 --> 0:25:26.200
<v Speaker 1>This is the Bloomberg Business Week Podcast. Listen live each

0:25:26.200 --> 0:25:29.600
<v Speaker 1>weekday starting at two pm Eastern on Applecarflay and Android

0:25:29.640 --> 0:25:32.680
<v Speaker 1>Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. You can also listen

0:25:32.800 --> 0:25:36.040
<v Speaker 1>live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station.

0:25:36.600 --> 0:25:39.440
<v Speaker 1>Just say Alexa, play Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:25:41.480 --> 0:25:43.600
<v Speaker 7>Mac beout you let me drive you.

0:25:43.760 --> 0:25:49.040
<v Speaker 4>Oh no, no, no no, this is not a toy. Please, honey, please,

0:25:49.160 --> 0:25:52.440
<v Speaker 4>I'll do the ravels. Let's wait, I want to drive.

0:25:52.440 --> 0:25:55.560
<v Speaker 2>It's a good question.

0:25:56.040 --> 0:26:02.040
<v Speaker 1>God. This is the Drive to the Clothes Quan sum

0:26:02.240 --> 0:26:05.520
<v Speaker 1>thing well run on Bloomberg Radio.

0:26:05.920 --> 0:26:08.120
<v Speaker 3>All right, everybody, just under twenty minutes to go until

0:26:08.119 --> 0:26:10.760
<v Speaker 3>we wrap up the trade on this Wednesday, January eighth. Yep,

0:26:10.800 --> 0:26:12.800
<v Speaker 3>we are focused on the mark. It's got to say.

0:26:12.920 --> 0:26:15.400
<v Speaker 3>It's as you heard from Charlie Pellett and Bill Maloney

0:26:16.119 --> 0:26:18.320
<v Speaker 3>really kind of a quiet trade or little changes.

0:26:18.320 --> 0:26:20.760
<v Speaker 5>I should say, less you're a quantum computing company.

0:26:20.840 --> 0:26:23.359
<v Speaker 3>Unless you're a quantum computing company, right you are really

0:26:23.720 --> 0:26:25.400
<v Speaker 3>taking it still trying to figure.

0:26:25.160 --> 0:26:27.480
<v Speaker 5>Out what to do when those companies do well.

0:26:27.560 --> 0:26:30.399
<v Speaker 3>It's you know, I am too like it's it sounds

0:26:30.400 --> 0:26:32.840
<v Speaker 3>like there's going to be some collaboration with AI. I mean,

0:26:32.880 --> 0:26:36.679
<v Speaker 3>AI is apparently going to be an application of quantum computing.

0:26:36.880 --> 0:26:37.480
<v Speaker 4>I've been doing some.

0:26:37.440 --> 0:26:41.960
<v Speaker 3>Searching around, but it basically is quantum mechanics, and it

0:26:42.280 --> 0:26:44.879
<v Speaker 3>leverages or harnesses the laws of quantum mechanics.

0:26:45.160 --> 0:26:47.880
<v Speaker 4>If you use to solve really complex problems.

0:26:47.960 --> 0:26:50.080
<v Speaker 5>If you ask AI this question, does it eat itself?

0:26:50.840 --> 0:26:52.080
<v Speaker 4>That's a really come to meta.

0:26:52.320 --> 0:26:53.080
<v Speaker 5>Is that what happens?

0:26:53.280 --> 0:26:53.440
<v Speaker 1>Well?

0:26:53.480 --> 0:26:56.080
<v Speaker 5>The reason I say that is because doing this why

0:26:56.920 --> 0:27:00.119
<v Speaker 5>just kidding, I don't know Getty computing. Carol's one of

0:27:00.160 --> 0:27:02.240
<v Speaker 5>my decliners, down forty five percent right now.

0:27:02.400 --> 0:27:05.679
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, yeah, So it's kind of interesting, and I guess

0:27:05.720 --> 0:27:09.200
<v Speaker 3>you know, it's going to use specific.

0:27:08.760 --> 0:27:12.200
<v Speaker 4>Hardware, there's going to be algorithms. It's still in development.

0:27:12.320 --> 0:27:14.040
<v Speaker 3>It's kind of all of our new world order, but

0:27:14.080 --> 0:27:16.879
<v Speaker 3>it is interesting to see this group move in a

0:27:16.920 --> 0:27:18.520
<v Speaker 3>big way, and some of it has to do with

0:27:18.600 --> 0:27:20.480
<v Speaker 3>right what Jensen Wang had to say.

0:27:20.680 --> 0:27:25.000
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, Jensen said that quote, very useful quantum computers are

0:27:25.119 --> 0:27:27.880
<v Speaker 5>likely decades away. Here's what he said. If you kind

0:27:27.880 --> 0:27:31.160
<v Speaker 5>of said fifteen years for very useful quantum computers, that

0:27:31.320 --> 0:27:33.639
<v Speaker 5>would probably be on the early side. If you said thirty,

0:27:33.680 --> 0:27:36.199
<v Speaker 5>it's probably on the late side. He said this in

0:27:36.200 --> 0:27:38.639
<v Speaker 5>a Q and A session during Video's analyst day. If

0:27:38.680 --> 0:27:40.080
<v Speaker 5>you pick twenty, I think a whole bunch of us

0:27:40.119 --> 0:27:40.719
<v Speaker 5>would believe it.

0:27:41.080 --> 0:27:43.159
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, all I know is AI, you know, which has

0:27:43.200 --> 0:27:44.840
<v Speaker 3>been around for decades and then all of a sudden

0:27:44.880 --> 0:27:47.760
<v Speaker 3>two years ago, bam. You know, you get a major development,

0:27:47.920 --> 0:27:50.480
<v Speaker 3>or you get a major technological development or breakthrough, and

0:27:50.520 --> 0:27:52.919
<v Speaker 3>then all of a sudden, you know, these things that

0:27:52.960 --> 0:27:55.520
<v Speaker 3>maybe are going to be five, ten, twenty, or you know,

0:27:55.640 --> 0:27:58.119
<v Speaker 3>years away all of a sudden, maybe are not so

0:27:58.240 --> 0:28:01.000
<v Speaker 3>long away. So anyway, that group, though, it is taking

0:28:01.040 --> 0:28:04.160
<v Speaker 3>a hit on those comments from Jensen, who obviously knows

0:28:04.160 --> 0:28:06.720
<v Speaker 3>this space and very involved. But it's something that we're

0:28:06.720 --> 0:28:08.880
<v Speaker 3>going to watch play out. Having said that, I look

0:28:08.880 --> 0:28:10.560
<v Speaker 3>at the S and P five hundred folks kind of

0:28:10.600 --> 0:28:12.240
<v Speaker 3>an even split in the trade. So you've got about

0:28:12.240 --> 0:28:14.399
<v Speaker 3>two hundred and sixty five names that are actually gaining

0:28:14.400 --> 0:28:17.080
<v Speaker 3>ground in today's session, and you've got about two hundred

0:28:17.080 --> 0:28:19.919
<v Speaker 3>and thirty seven to the downside. I will say one

0:28:19.920 --> 0:28:22.159
<v Speaker 3>of the most read stories though on the Bloomberg today,

0:28:22.480 --> 0:28:25.000
<v Speaker 3>it's about Bank of America creating a group of specialists

0:28:25.040 --> 0:28:27.720
<v Speaker 3>that cater to the ultra wealth. They are talking ten

0:28:27.760 --> 0:28:30.679
<v Speaker 3>million dollars in above in assets, the bank looking to

0:28:30.720 --> 0:28:33.720
<v Speaker 3>capitalize on the growing ranks of super rich clients needing

0:28:33.760 --> 0:28:36.879
<v Speaker 3>complex financial products and advice. Our drive to the closed.

0:28:36.880 --> 0:28:39.200
<v Speaker 3>Guest works in the wealth management space with us as

0:28:39.240 --> 0:28:42.320
<v Speaker 3>Brook Bay. She's managing partner at Evans May Wealth. They've

0:28:42.320 --> 0:28:44.840
<v Speaker 3>got about one point three billion in assets under management,

0:28:44.880 --> 0:28:46.280
<v Speaker 3>and she joins us from Indiana.

0:28:47.040 --> 0:28:48.960
<v Speaker 4>Brook great to have you here with us.

0:28:49.480 --> 0:28:54.040
<v Speaker 3>Tell us about kind of the wealth management business, because

0:28:54.080 --> 0:28:57.720
<v Speaker 3>it just feels like everybody and anybody has a specific

0:28:57.800 --> 0:29:01.600
<v Speaker 3>division that's wealth management, the big bank, smaller firms. What

0:29:01.720 --> 0:29:05.000
<v Speaker 3>are you seeing in terms of who actually is kind

0:29:05.040 --> 0:29:07.480
<v Speaker 3>of your higher NETWT worth individual?

0:29:09.560 --> 0:29:10.760
<v Speaker 4>You know, it spreads the gamut.

0:29:11.280 --> 0:29:14.560
<v Speaker 10>High net worth individuals can come from all walks, all professions.

0:29:15.280 --> 0:29:17.880
<v Speaker 10>We have a lot of tech entrepreneurs in addition to

0:29:18.160 --> 0:29:22.360
<v Speaker 10>CEOs of publicly traded companies, doctors and lawyers who've been

0:29:22.400 --> 0:29:25.360
<v Speaker 10>good stewards of their money. So really, you know, there

0:29:25.360 --> 0:29:28.480
<v Speaker 10>are there are all kinds of all types of high

0:29:28.520 --> 0:29:30.320
<v Speaker 10>net worth individuals who are clients.

0:29:30.520 --> 0:29:32.920
<v Speaker 5>What are they what are what are they telling you

0:29:33.040 --> 0:29:35.840
<v Speaker 5>right now about how they're looking to grow their money,

0:29:35.840 --> 0:29:38.920
<v Speaker 5>their asset allocation, what they're thinking about when it comes

0:29:39.000 --> 0:29:43.000
<v Speaker 5>to where they want to put their money, because or

0:29:43.000 --> 0:29:44.800
<v Speaker 5>do you even have these conversations with them or do

0:29:44.800 --> 0:29:46.680
<v Speaker 5>do they just say to you, Hey, you do your thing,

0:29:46.760 --> 0:29:48.880
<v Speaker 5>you're the professional. We're just going to give you the power.

0:29:49.880 --> 0:29:50.920
<v Speaker 4>A lot of it's the latter.

0:29:51.600 --> 0:29:55.800
<v Speaker 10>That said, everyone's everyone's interests are different. Some want to

0:29:55.840 --> 0:29:57.440
<v Speaker 10>grow their wealth and they want to grow it to

0:29:58.080 --> 0:30:01.080
<v Speaker 10>the maximum or willing to take the risks. Say you know,

0:30:01.120 --> 0:30:02.920
<v Speaker 10>I worked hard for this money, I want to protect

0:30:02.920 --> 0:30:03.800
<v Speaker 10>it and.

0:30:03.960 --> 0:30:05.360
<v Speaker 4>I want downside protection.

0:30:05.960 --> 0:30:08.680
<v Speaker 10>So you know, really, we try to customize portfolios to

0:30:08.720 --> 0:30:12.080
<v Speaker 10>individuals and make sure that it meets their needs. One theme,

0:30:12.120 --> 0:30:15.680
<v Speaker 10>though we see consistently across the board is that family

0:30:15.760 --> 0:30:18.560
<v Speaker 10>is very important to these high net worth individuals and

0:30:18.760 --> 0:30:21.480
<v Speaker 10>they want us to treat their kids and their grandchildren

0:30:21.560 --> 0:30:25.440
<v Speaker 10>as if their ultra high net worth and help them

0:30:25.480 --> 0:30:28.800
<v Speaker 10>with charitable gifting in addition to educating them on being

0:30:28.800 --> 0:30:32.320
<v Speaker 10>an investor and really all the things that come with that. Hey,

0:30:32.440 --> 0:30:34.400
<v Speaker 10>I would say that's really the number one priority.

0:30:34.520 --> 0:30:36.240
<v Speaker 3>Playing to the b of a story, though, what's the

0:30:36.280 --> 0:30:38.200
<v Speaker 3>kiddie worth? Like, what do we I mean, I'm curious

0:30:38.200 --> 0:30:42.440
<v Speaker 3>about what is your typical ultra high net worth individual.

0:30:42.480 --> 0:30:43.680
<v Speaker 4>Are we talking about.

0:30:43.400 --> 0:30:45.240
<v Speaker 3>Two million, five million, ten million?

0:30:45.360 --> 0:30:47.280
<v Speaker 4>Is it you know, you said doctors? Is it former

0:30:47.320 --> 0:30:47.960
<v Speaker 4>business owners?

0:30:48.200 --> 0:30:51.840
<v Speaker 3>What's typically the type of their portfolio or the amount

0:30:52.040 --> 0:30:55.840
<v Speaker 3>the value of their portfolio that you're managing for them.

0:30:56.080 --> 0:30:58.720
<v Speaker 10>Our ultra high networth client is around twenty to one

0:30:58.760 --> 0:31:02.160
<v Speaker 10>hundred million, and we have clients that are below those

0:31:02.240 --> 0:31:04.160
<v Speaker 10>levels that are still high net worth, but we would

0:31:04.160 --> 0:31:07.480
<v Speaker 10>consider the ultra high net worth and the more specific

0:31:07.600 --> 0:31:10.720
<v Speaker 10>unique needs to be in the space of twenty million plus.

0:31:10.760 --> 0:31:14.920
<v Speaker 3>Are they all looking for outperformance? In other words, yeah, okay, stocks, bonds,

0:31:14.960 --> 0:31:16.400
<v Speaker 3>all that good stuff, but they really want to be

0:31:16.480 --> 0:31:19.600
<v Speaker 3>in the private markets. They want to be investing in startups,

0:31:19.640 --> 0:31:21.400
<v Speaker 3>Like where is it going and where are you guys

0:31:21.400 --> 0:31:22.640
<v Speaker 3>putting it for them?

0:31:23.240 --> 0:31:27.480
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, we're broadly diversifying. We have balanced portfolios for our

0:31:27.520 --> 0:31:30.600
<v Speaker 10>high networth clients. We're equity biased, so we do have

0:31:30.640 --> 0:31:33.160
<v Speaker 10>more inequities than a lot of other shops, but we

0:31:33.280 --> 0:31:36.160
<v Speaker 10>balance that with fixed income. And then we've been incorporating

0:31:36.200 --> 0:31:41.360
<v Speaker 10>alternatives the last few years just to diversify. And as

0:31:41.480 --> 0:31:44.800
<v Speaker 10>these individuals are at cocktail parties, their friends and associates

0:31:44.800 --> 0:31:47.840
<v Speaker 10>are talking about these unique investments, and so it's something

0:31:47.880 --> 0:31:51.680
<v Speaker 10>that we've spent a lot of time learning about and

0:31:52.520 --> 0:31:55.520
<v Speaker 10>investigating and then offering that to our clients as well well.

0:31:55.680 --> 0:31:59.640
<v Speaker 5>In terms of alternatives, what's sort of top of mind

0:31:59.680 --> 0:32:02.920
<v Speaker 5>for you in twenty twenty five when you know alternatives

0:32:02.920 --> 0:32:05.600
<v Speaker 5>and compasses a lot. It could be real estate, it

0:32:05.640 --> 0:32:08.680
<v Speaker 5>could be private equity, it could be venture capital, it

0:32:08.680 --> 0:32:11.440
<v Speaker 5>could be private credit, it could be you know, many

0:32:11.480 --> 0:32:13.920
<v Speaker 5>more things. What's alternatives to you?

0:32:15.480 --> 0:32:16.240
<v Speaker 10>We really like.

0:32:16.200 --> 0:32:17.360
<v Speaker 8>The private credit space.

0:32:17.440 --> 0:32:20.640
<v Speaker 10>It's been the buzzword for the last few years. And

0:32:21.000 --> 0:32:23.200
<v Speaker 10>you know, private credit space to us, though, isn't your

0:32:23.240 --> 0:32:25.680
<v Speaker 10>safe money. And I think a lot of investors don't

0:32:25.760 --> 0:32:29.880
<v Speaker 10>understand the private credit space. Oftentimes in private credit, you know,

0:32:29.880 --> 0:32:33.720
<v Speaker 10>they're investing in companies that aren't necessarily considered investment grade,

0:32:33.960 --> 0:32:37.160
<v Speaker 10>and oftentimes these products can have some leverage associated with

0:32:37.240 --> 0:32:40.040
<v Speaker 10>them and there's recency bias. You know, we haven't been

0:32:40.160 --> 0:32:44.240
<v Speaker 10>in an environment with a lot of defaults. I've done

0:32:44.240 --> 0:32:46.120
<v Speaker 10>this for twenty five years, and if I look back

0:32:46.120 --> 0:32:50.160
<v Speaker 10>to seven eight nine, where there were a lot of defaults,

0:32:50.400 --> 0:32:54.520
<v Speaker 10>you know, a product that's scott lower quality companies and

0:32:54.600 --> 0:32:57.040
<v Speaker 10>some leverage can really have a lot of downside. So

0:32:57.080 --> 0:33:00.160
<v Speaker 10>we are incorporating private credit into the portfolios, but doing

0:33:00.240 --> 0:33:03.600
<v Speaker 10>it for the client. That's a little bit more accepting

0:33:03.600 --> 0:33:08.720
<v Speaker 10>of risk. In addition to that, we like senior retirement communities.

0:33:09.200 --> 0:33:11.480
<v Speaker 10>That's an area where we've been investing for clients and

0:33:11.520 --> 0:33:13.760
<v Speaker 10>think that there's tremendous growth and upside there.

0:33:14.000 --> 0:33:16.920
<v Speaker 3>We just had guests on that represents the reed industry

0:33:17.080 --> 0:33:19.880
<v Speaker 3>and he specifically, unfortunately at off air, we were asking

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<v Speaker 3>kind of one of the hot areas and one of

0:33:21.600 --> 0:33:23.200
<v Speaker 3>the areas you talked about in terms of real estate

0:33:23.240 --> 0:33:27.600
<v Speaker 3>was specifically this senior housing area we're talking about. John Worreth,

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<v Speaker 3>Executive VP of Research and Investor Outreach at AYREACH.

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<v Speaker 4>National Association of Reach. But that is certainly something he

0:33:33.040 --> 0:33:35.800
<v Speaker 4>highlighted as well. Hey, Brook, Thank you so much. Happy

0:33:35.800 --> 0:33:36.200
<v Speaker 4>New Year.

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<v Speaker 3>Brook May, managing partner at Evans Maywealthy've got about one

0:33:38.920 --> 0:33:42.480
<v Speaker 3>point three billion in assets under management. Joining us from

0:33:42.840 --> 0:33:44.640
<v Speaker 3>Indiana on this Wednesday.

0:33:45.960 --> 0:33:50.800
<v Speaker 2>This is the Bloomberg Business Week podcast, available on Apple, Spotify,

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<v Speaker 2>and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live weekday

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