1 00:00:03,640 --> 00:00:06,520 Speaker 1: At least. He's the Drive with Dale Lolly and Matt 2 00:00:06,600 --> 00:00:11,760 Speaker 1: Williamson on your home of the Black and Gold, Steelers 3 00:00:11,880 --> 00:00:19,680 Speaker 1: Nation Radio. Welcome back. I'm Dale Lollly, he is Matt Williamson. 4 00:00:19,760 --> 00:00:22,920 Speaker 1: This is to drive on Steelers Nation Radio and Matt. 5 00:00:22,960 --> 00:00:26,120 Speaker 1: As we do every week in our second segment on Friday, 6 00:00:26,120 --> 00:00:30,960 Speaker 1: we'll go through this week's games better than last week. 7 00:00:31,240 --> 00:00:35,160 Speaker 1: I mean, last week's was awful, but this one kicks 8 00:00:35,200 --> 00:00:39,840 Speaker 1: off with an interesting game in Germany. Don't forget, am, 9 00:00:39,960 --> 00:00:43,320 Speaker 1: don't forget to set your lineup, Matt, right right tomorrow. 10 00:00:43,360 --> 00:00:46,600 Speaker 1: Got me that one here one week, I'll never forget it. Yeah. Uh, 11 00:00:46,640 --> 00:00:50,120 Speaker 1: this one in munich Um. It is Seattle at six 12 00:00:50,159 --> 00:00:53,400 Speaker 1: and three at Tampa Bay at four and five. The 13 00:00:53,479 --> 00:00:56,160 Speaker 1: spread is Tampa Bay by two and a half. The 14 00:00:56,240 --> 00:00:59,400 Speaker 1: over under forty four and a half. Seattle is a 15 00:00:59,480 --> 00:01:02,480 Speaker 1: much better. My big hesitation is what we talked about 16 00:01:02,480 --> 00:01:04,479 Speaker 1: earlier in the week about the travel, and I think 17 00:01:04,520 --> 00:01:07,880 Speaker 1: they went over Wednesday. They have an unbelievably long trip. 18 00:01:07,959 --> 00:01:10,120 Speaker 1: I mean not the Tampa's is easy, but the Seattle 19 00:01:10,160 --> 00:01:13,320 Speaker 1: to Germany it's an extra five hours, five hours and 20 00:01:13,360 --> 00:01:17,560 Speaker 1: their clock kickoffs at six am, like I can't possibly 21 00:01:17,600 --> 00:01:19,880 Speaker 1: pick the Seahawks. But if this was in the if 22 00:01:19,880 --> 00:01:23,320 Speaker 1: this was in America, I would pick the Seahawks. Yeah. Um, 23 00:01:23,440 --> 00:01:27,760 Speaker 1: although Tom Brady doesn't like his sleep schedule messed with either. Yeah, 24 00:01:28,600 --> 00:01:30,240 Speaker 1: he probably gets up early, so we can make it 25 00:01:30,560 --> 00:01:32,160 Speaker 1: so you can get the paper and read it at 26 00:01:32,200 --> 00:01:34,319 Speaker 1: the breakfast table and then make it to the early 27 00:01:34,360 --> 00:01:38,600 Speaker 1: bird dinner. But that could be a good game. I 28 00:01:38,640 --> 00:01:40,759 Speaker 1: think it would be interesting. I think it's it should 29 00:01:40,760 --> 00:01:43,280 Speaker 1: be uh, it should be competitive. I bet it's a 30 00:01:43,319 --> 00:01:45,440 Speaker 1: super cool environment too, Like I bet the fans in 31 00:01:45,480 --> 00:01:48,480 Speaker 1: Germany go crazy for this. Yeah, you know the FBI 32 00:01:48,600 --> 00:01:51,160 Speaker 1: prediction on this one's really interesting. You know the Football 33 00:01:51,200 --> 00:01:55,400 Speaker 1: power and has Tampa Bay by eighty three point one 34 00:01:55,440 --> 00:01:58,600 Speaker 1: percent of their of the simulations by an average of 35 00:01:58,600 --> 00:02:04,120 Speaker 1: eleven point three points, winning by eleven points on average. Wow, 36 00:02:05,560 --> 00:02:08,440 Speaker 1: are they that low on Seattle? I mean, what's Tampa done? 37 00:02:09,040 --> 00:02:13,480 Speaker 1: They don't score right? Maybe maybe this is the one 38 00:02:13,840 --> 00:02:16,400 Speaker 1: um some matchup in this game I'm missing that I 39 00:02:16,400 --> 00:02:19,880 Speaker 1: haven't dug into. That's really favorite Tampa. I know that 40 00:02:19,919 --> 00:02:22,320 Speaker 1: the Seattle gives up a lot of catches to the 41 00:02:22,400 --> 00:02:25,560 Speaker 1: running backs. They're like second worst than the league at that. 42 00:02:25,720 --> 00:02:28,280 Speaker 1: I mean there's bucks backs don't do anything, they catch 43 00:02:28,320 --> 00:02:31,360 Speaker 1: them the ball. Yeah, you know, I don't. I like 44 00:02:31,400 --> 00:02:34,000 Speaker 1: where Seattle's out of the team. I'm excited to watch 45 00:02:34,000 --> 00:02:36,200 Speaker 1: that one. Something I do think. I think Tampa Bay 46 00:02:36,200 --> 00:02:39,519 Speaker 1: wins this when I think they still win the NFC. Yeah, 47 00:02:40,040 --> 00:02:42,200 Speaker 1: this one could be the game that puts them back 48 00:02:42,240 --> 00:02:44,480 Speaker 1: online to This could be the week. I mean, especially 49 00:02:44,520 --> 00:02:48,280 Speaker 1: watching the disaster last night. If the Saints loses, many expect, 50 00:02:48,320 --> 00:02:51,919 Speaker 1: including myself, Tampa could really grab ahold given your pick 51 00:02:51,960 --> 00:02:56,239 Speaker 1: away just that much. Anyone's been listening all week probably 52 00:02:56,240 --> 00:03:01,080 Speaker 1: has a hunch. Um one o'clock, the Cleveland Browns at 53 00:03:01,080 --> 00:03:03,800 Speaker 1: three and five are at the Miami Dolphins six and three. 54 00:03:03,960 --> 00:03:07,440 Speaker 1: Miami Miami only favored by three and a half. The 55 00:03:07,480 --> 00:03:10,560 Speaker 1: over under forty eight and a half. Miami's run defense 56 00:03:10,600 --> 00:03:13,840 Speaker 1: has been good, but not last week against Justin Fields 57 00:03:13,840 --> 00:03:16,240 Speaker 1: and company. Maybe that's a big factory well, I mean 58 00:03:16,320 --> 00:03:18,160 Speaker 1: Fields Fields, So yeah, I mean, I mean that's a 59 00:03:18,280 --> 00:03:20,600 Speaker 1: different Yeah it is. I mean it's just a non 60 00:03:20,639 --> 00:03:23,799 Speaker 1: traditional guy. I like the over here. I think both. 61 00:03:24,200 --> 00:03:25,720 Speaker 1: I think it's gonna be a high scoring game. I 62 00:03:25,760 --> 00:03:30,240 Speaker 1: don't like either d particularly much. I love Miami's wide 63 00:03:30,240 --> 00:03:34,120 Speaker 1: receivers against that Cleveland secondary. I think words coming back 64 00:03:34,160 --> 00:03:36,880 Speaker 1: off a concussion, I think you're right. I mean, I 65 00:03:36,920 --> 00:03:38,440 Speaker 1: bet two. It lights these guys up. And I think 66 00:03:38,480 --> 00:03:41,960 Speaker 1: Chubb has a big game, and the Dolphins with Armstead 67 00:03:42,000 --> 00:03:44,800 Speaker 1: at left tackle, have somebody that can kind of at 68 00:03:44,840 --> 00:03:47,720 Speaker 1: least battle Garrett. Yeah, you know, it's not gonna be 69 00:03:47,760 --> 00:03:50,080 Speaker 1: like watching him against Cincinnati two weeks ago, where he's 70 00:03:50,120 --> 00:03:53,040 Speaker 1: just whipping killing everybody, right, yeah, right now. I think 71 00:03:53,040 --> 00:03:54,760 Speaker 1: this might be the best game of the weekend in 72 00:03:54,840 --> 00:03:57,720 Speaker 1: term of watchability and points and fun and a good stuff. 73 00:03:57,760 --> 00:03:59,240 Speaker 1: But I think the Dolphins winn and I think they 74 00:03:59,280 --> 00:04:02,600 Speaker 1: cover do too. I think if they if they get 75 00:04:02,680 --> 00:04:04,880 Speaker 1: up a couple of scores and force Cleveland out of 76 00:04:04,960 --> 00:04:08,200 Speaker 1: that running game, it's over. Yeah, yeah, I hear you. 77 00:04:09,000 --> 00:04:13,120 Speaker 1: Um so we'll see. The predictions are both Both writers 78 00:04:13,120 --> 00:04:16,839 Speaker 1: are here on ESPN picking the Dolphins uh, Moody picking 79 00:04:17,560 --> 00:04:22,440 Speaker 1: seventeen sinth Walter pickingty to twenty. Both think that they 80 00:04:22,440 --> 00:04:25,240 Speaker 1: don't cover. Moody is the under, Walter has the over. 81 00:04:25,640 --> 00:04:27,720 Speaker 1: This is a pretty crucial game for Cleveland, though, I mean, 82 00:04:27,720 --> 00:04:29,480 Speaker 1: if they lose this one, it's a huge game for 83 00:04:29,560 --> 00:04:32,440 Speaker 1: Miami t is too, I mean, especially with Buffalo ailing 84 00:04:32,440 --> 00:04:34,480 Speaker 1: at quarterbacks and all that good stuff. So no, that's 85 00:04:34,480 --> 00:04:36,240 Speaker 1: a big one the FC. But if it might be 86 00:04:36,320 --> 00:04:38,120 Speaker 1: done zo for the Browns if they lose this one, 87 00:04:38,160 --> 00:04:41,200 Speaker 1: even with Watson coming back. Yeah, the big game of 88 00:04:41,200 --> 00:04:44,320 Speaker 1: the day, or presumably what it would have been, Uh, 89 00:04:44,400 --> 00:04:46,440 Speaker 1: is the seven and one Vikings at the six and 90 00:04:46,440 --> 00:04:49,960 Speaker 1: two Bills. Buffalo now only favored by three and a half, 91 00:04:49,960 --> 00:04:52,039 Speaker 1: the over under forty three and a half. I don't 92 00:04:52,040 --> 00:04:54,200 Speaker 1: think Josh Allen plays. I don't either. I mean I 93 00:04:54,240 --> 00:04:56,000 Speaker 1: just got a blur by my phone saying he's a 94 00:04:56,040 --> 00:04:59,080 Speaker 1: game time decision. Did he practice today? No? I mean 95 00:04:59,120 --> 00:05:02,120 Speaker 1: I'm sure that, Uh the coaching staff isn't gonna say, oh, 96 00:05:02,480 --> 00:05:05,320 Speaker 1: you know it's gonna be keenum. Should they be favored 97 00:05:05,320 --> 00:05:10,880 Speaker 1: without Alan? The defense is still good? Yeah, um place 98 00:05:10,960 --> 00:05:12,640 Speaker 1: to play. I don't think the Vikings get a ton 99 00:05:12,640 --> 00:05:15,000 Speaker 1: of respect, right. I think that's part of it too, 100 00:05:15,279 --> 00:05:17,800 Speaker 1: And I mean, frankly, I can't. I don't look at 101 00:05:17,839 --> 00:05:19,719 Speaker 1: the Vikings even if they win this game is boy, 102 00:05:19,760 --> 00:05:22,240 Speaker 1: that's an eight and one, big time contentment type of team. 103 00:05:22,360 --> 00:05:25,520 Speaker 1: But they are seven and one. They're doing something right, 104 00:05:25,600 --> 00:05:29,080 Speaker 1: you know, Um, yeah, I probably would take the points, 105 00:05:29,120 --> 00:05:32,839 Speaker 1: though I'm assuming Alan doesn't play three and a half. 106 00:05:32,880 --> 00:05:34,920 Speaker 1: That's where I saw it last. Yeah, I think I'll 107 00:05:34,960 --> 00:05:40,040 Speaker 1: take it. I'm not necessarily fading digs or anything like that, 108 00:05:40,640 --> 00:05:44,400 Speaker 1: but I can Buffalo come out and just run the ball. 109 00:05:45,040 --> 00:05:47,919 Speaker 1: Probably not, probably not. They don't do it. What's the 110 00:05:47,920 --> 00:05:50,160 Speaker 1: problem to me is, you know people talk about replacement 111 00:05:50,240 --> 00:05:54,440 Speaker 1: level players or e p A. Is this much over expected? Well, 112 00:05:54,520 --> 00:05:57,400 Speaker 1: Keenum is like the replacement level player. You know, he's 113 00:05:57,440 --> 00:05:59,359 Speaker 1: a zero, you know for a guy who is a 114 00:05:59,440 --> 00:06:02,679 Speaker 1: hundred right as opposed to the superstar, Like, what really 115 00:06:02,800 --> 00:06:05,800 Speaker 1: is the gap? I bet it's massive. Yeah, I'll bet 116 00:06:05,800 --> 00:06:09,760 Speaker 1: so as well. Moody picking the bills thirty four twenty four, 117 00:06:10,320 --> 00:06:13,040 Speaker 1: I don't know they put thirty four. No, Walter picking 118 00:06:13,080 --> 00:06:17,359 Speaker 1: the vikings seventeen. I think it's more in line with 119 00:06:17,400 --> 00:06:19,080 Speaker 1: that kind of game. I think it's an under game. 120 00:06:19,839 --> 00:06:22,039 Speaker 1: I think Hawkinson is a big addition for them too. Yeah, 121 00:06:22,080 --> 00:06:24,840 Speaker 1: I think as he's going to cost some issues for 122 00:06:24,880 --> 00:06:28,880 Speaker 1: sure about Allen not he's not as important as Alan, 123 00:06:28,960 --> 00:06:31,560 Speaker 1: but there are a different defense within without Milano, and 124 00:06:31,720 --> 00:06:33,800 Speaker 1: he's questionable for this game. Too. Yeah, he did not 125 00:06:33,839 --> 00:06:36,400 Speaker 1: play last week and he showed it's a big thing 126 00:06:36,440 --> 00:06:41,080 Speaker 1: for them. Yeah. Um. The Lions at two and six 127 00:06:41,080 --> 00:06:44,039 Speaker 1: are at the Bears three and six, Chicago favored by three. 128 00:06:44,080 --> 00:06:46,680 Speaker 1: The over UNDERWN this once is forty eight and a half. 129 00:06:47,839 --> 00:06:49,800 Speaker 1: That has tracked me written all over it, although it 130 00:06:51,000 --> 00:06:55,839 Speaker 1: was Yeah, it is road golf, right, But I don't 131 00:06:55,839 --> 00:06:58,640 Speaker 1: think either defense is good at all, especially after the 132 00:06:58,680 --> 00:07:01,800 Speaker 1: Bears selling of two of their best players. I'm sure 133 00:07:01,839 --> 00:07:06,160 Speaker 1: Fields goes crazy again on the ground. Why would you not? Um, 134 00:07:06,200 --> 00:07:09,000 Speaker 1: I don't know who I like to win though. Unders 135 00:07:09,080 --> 00:07:12,680 Speaker 1: in division games this year. It's a little stat for you. 136 00:07:13,280 --> 00:07:17,560 Speaker 1: The unders are nine thirteen and one across all divisions, 137 00:07:17,600 --> 00:07:19,720 Speaker 1: across all divisions, all divisional games. I mean, I know 138 00:07:19,840 --> 00:07:23,280 Speaker 1: scoring is down. We talked about that said, I think 139 00:07:23,320 --> 00:07:24,640 Speaker 1: I said it earlier in the week. If you just 140 00:07:24,680 --> 00:07:29,640 Speaker 1: bet unders this year, you're rolling and one you're making 141 00:07:29,680 --> 00:07:31,720 Speaker 1: a ton of money. That I mean that trend makes 142 00:07:31,720 --> 00:07:34,280 Speaker 1: sense because I mean you you know the opponents even more. 143 00:07:34,480 --> 00:07:37,800 Speaker 1: You know, unders are a determining factor. Everything's multiplied a 144 00:07:37,800 --> 00:07:40,760 Speaker 1: little more in a division game. So I bet trends 145 00:07:40,760 --> 00:07:42,920 Speaker 1: show up heavier in division games. If you could just 146 00:07:43,000 --> 00:07:45,040 Speaker 1: do that the rest of the year and just every 147 00:07:45,040 --> 00:07:48,080 Speaker 1: division game you go undert do it. If you're doing 148 00:07:48,120 --> 00:07:51,480 Speaker 1: it now, you'd be I don't think the whole betting 149 00:07:51,480 --> 00:07:54,000 Speaker 1: public knows that yet. Probably well it's on ESPN now, 150 00:07:54,080 --> 00:07:57,320 Speaker 1: so yeah, they do more do now. Movie picking the Bears. 151 00:07:59,240 --> 00:08:02,320 Speaker 1: He likes to igh scoring affair Walter Picking the Bears 152 00:08:02,440 --> 00:08:05,880 Speaker 1: nineteen fourteen. I still like a high scoring affair. But 153 00:08:06,120 --> 00:08:09,520 Speaker 1: that under trend is kind of if it's like the weather, 154 00:08:09,800 --> 00:08:12,400 Speaker 1: you know, if it's sloppy. Yeah, I mean we saw 155 00:08:12,440 --> 00:08:14,400 Speaker 1: that earlier this year with a couple of games in 156 00:08:14,480 --> 00:08:17,880 Speaker 1: Chicago where it just and if golf playing crappy and 157 00:08:18,000 --> 00:08:22,920 Speaker 1: swift isn't involved, Hopkinson's already gone. You know, it could 158 00:08:22,960 --> 00:08:26,440 Speaker 1: go bad for Detroit. The Broncos are three and five 159 00:08:26,520 --> 00:08:29,360 Speaker 1: there at the five and three Titans, Tennessee favored by 160 00:08:29,400 --> 00:08:32,000 Speaker 1: three the overrun, and this one I'm still going under. 161 00:08:32,120 --> 00:08:40,320 Speaker 1: I don't care if it's ten um two really good defenses, 162 00:08:41,280 --> 00:08:44,800 Speaker 1: any chance Denver kind of figures it out. They've coming 163 00:08:44,800 --> 00:08:47,679 Speaker 1: off the bye and they're coming off the bye. Tennessee's 164 00:08:47,760 --> 00:08:51,360 Speaker 1: past defenses, that's where you attack, That's where you attack 165 00:08:51,360 --> 00:08:53,559 Speaker 1: their corners. Are a problem. You know, they brushed the 166 00:08:53,559 --> 00:08:57,240 Speaker 1: pastor well, though Denversity is really good. I mean, if 167 00:08:57,240 --> 00:08:58,800 Speaker 1: we're gonna say, hey, the second half of the year 168 00:08:58,840 --> 00:09:02,520 Speaker 1: can look better for the Steelers they I mean, could 169 00:09:02,559 --> 00:09:06,600 Speaker 1: Wilson in the first time court coach, get to respectability. 170 00:09:06,720 --> 00:09:10,560 Speaker 1: Although they just traded Chubb, it doesn't help. But still, 171 00:09:10,600 --> 00:09:13,080 Speaker 1: I don't think there's much in the way offense here. 172 00:09:13,160 --> 00:09:15,920 Speaker 1: And who knows that Tannehill plays. It looks like he's 173 00:09:15,920 --> 00:09:19,120 Speaker 1: trending towards playing. He was a full participant today, so yeah, 174 00:09:19,400 --> 00:09:22,520 Speaker 1: it looks like he will play. The Titans. Are Moody 175 00:09:22,559 --> 00:09:28,160 Speaker 1: picking the Titans seventeen, Walter picking the Broncos three to 176 00:09:28,360 --> 00:09:32,400 Speaker 1: nine nine. I mean I could see the Titans putting 177 00:09:32,400 --> 00:09:37,560 Speaker 1: on nine points. Yeah, this part wouldn't shock me. Yeah. Uh, 178 00:09:37,800 --> 00:09:40,280 Speaker 1: this is an interesting game. You get the three and 179 00:09:40,320 --> 00:09:43,400 Speaker 1: six Jaguars. I'm really intrigued by this. At the six 180 00:09:43,400 --> 00:09:46,040 Speaker 1: and two Chiefs Kansas City favored by nine and a 181 00:09:46,040 --> 00:09:48,559 Speaker 1: half with an over under a fifty and a half. 182 00:09:48,600 --> 00:09:51,199 Speaker 1: I want the points in this one. I mean, you're 183 00:09:51,200 --> 00:09:55,360 Speaker 1: taking all these points under under the unders. I just 184 00:09:55,400 --> 00:09:58,160 Speaker 1: think that the Jags will move the football. I'm a 185 00:09:58,160 --> 00:10:01,440 Speaker 1: little encouraged by Lawrence's Reese and play. Um, you know 186 00:10:01,600 --> 00:10:05,040 Speaker 1: that case, he's gonna put up points. But I think 187 00:10:05,040 --> 00:10:07,760 Speaker 1: it's a high scoring game, a fun game. But I'll 188 00:10:07,760 --> 00:10:11,839 Speaker 1: take nine and a half. Kansas City is oh and 189 00:10:11,920 --> 00:10:14,480 Speaker 1: four against the spread at home this year. I'm sure 190 00:10:14,480 --> 00:10:16,600 Speaker 1: they're big spread like this. Yeah, I mean you would 191 00:10:16,640 --> 00:10:21,760 Speaker 1: imagine my homes in his career is fifteen and nineteen 192 00:10:21,760 --> 00:10:25,040 Speaker 1: against the spread at home, probably massive spreads. Yeah, that 193 00:10:25,679 --> 00:10:28,000 Speaker 1: includes three and eight against the spread in his last 194 00:10:28,000 --> 00:10:33,160 Speaker 1: eleven home games. Give the points convinced me? There you go? 195 00:10:34,520 --> 00:10:42,200 Speaker 1: Uh Moody picking the Chiefs, Walter picking the Chiefs. Okay, 196 00:10:42,360 --> 00:10:44,719 Speaker 1: So I think there's more points than that, Well, that 197 00:10:44,760 --> 00:10:46,680 Speaker 1: would be over. It would still be over. Yeah, but 198 00:10:46,679 --> 00:10:48,040 Speaker 1: I think this could be a barn burner and a 199 00:10:48,040 --> 00:10:49,800 Speaker 1: fun one. This one is the one that doesn't make 200 00:10:49,840 --> 00:10:52,320 Speaker 1: any sense to me. So you got the one in 201 00:10:52,559 --> 00:10:58,040 Speaker 1: six Texans at the six and two Giants. It's in 202 00:10:58,080 --> 00:11:01,600 Speaker 1: New York. Yeah, in New York spread Giants favored by 203 00:11:01,640 --> 00:11:04,199 Speaker 1: four and a half, the Overrunders forty one coming off 204 00:11:04,200 --> 00:11:06,560 Speaker 1: a bye. They're one of the best running games in 205 00:11:06,600 --> 00:11:09,520 Speaker 1: the league. I think Barkley and Jones combined for two 206 00:11:09,679 --> 00:11:13,120 Speaker 1: or seventy five yards against the worst run exactly awful 207 00:11:13,200 --> 00:11:15,800 Speaker 1: run defense and wing Martindale is gonna throw everything in 208 00:11:15,800 --> 00:11:18,480 Speaker 1: the world at Mills and that young offense. I think 209 00:11:18,520 --> 00:11:21,040 Speaker 1: this is a dominant performance by the Giants. Yeah, the 210 00:11:21,080 --> 00:11:23,480 Speaker 1: Giants are six and two against the spread this year. 211 00:11:23,760 --> 00:11:25,480 Speaker 1: I don't think they're very good. They've been Yeah, I 212 00:11:25,480 --> 00:11:28,040 Speaker 1: don't think they are either. Damian Pierce has been banged 213 00:11:28,080 --> 00:11:29,840 Speaker 1: up all week. Point like, where did the where did 214 00:11:29,840 --> 00:11:32,400 Speaker 1: the where's Houston find his points at? Brandon Cook's happy 215 00:11:32,440 --> 00:11:34,000 Speaker 1: and playing again? Or I don't know what's going on, 216 00:11:34,400 --> 00:11:36,640 Speaker 1: you know, right, No, I think Houston's in for a long, 217 00:11:36,679 --> 00:11:40,400 Speaker 1: long day. Barkley goes off. Uh, Moody picking the Giants, 218 00:11:41,520 --> 00:11:44,480 Speaker 1: Walter picking the Giants twenty seven sixteen, So both have 219 00:11:44,600 --> 00:11:47,440 Speaker 1: that as a cover. Oh number, Yeah, it really is. 220 00:11:47,440 --> 00:11:51,400 Speaker 1: I'm shocked you got the game. Nobody wants to watch 221 00:11:51,480 --> 00:11:54,199 Speaker 1: the three and five Colts and one. It could be 222 00:11:54,320 --> 00:11:57,080 Speaker 1: entertaining though from like a court Chester standpoint, I mean, 223 00:11:57,160 --> 00:11:59,719 Speaker 1: both these teams are a disaster, right. Uh, They're at 224 00:11:59,720 --> 00:12:03,360 Speaker 1: the two in six Las Vegas favored by four and 225 00:12:03,360 --> 00:12:06,360 Speaker 1: a half. The over under forty one just a couple 226 00:12:06,360 --> 00:12:11,880 Speaker 1: of minutes ago they put Shaq Leonard on Hiarch earlier. Again, 227 00:12:13,720 --> 00:12:16,200 Speaker 1: I mean, I thought, maybe Indies d you'll keep this 228 00:12:16,240 --> 00:12:21,480 Speaker 1: thing close. These are two of the most dysfunctional teams 229 00:12:21,480 --> 00:12:24,760 Speaker 1: in the league right now. You know, I guess I'll 230 00:12:24,760 --> 00:12:27,079 Speaker 1: take the Raiders, but I wouldn't bet on them against 231 00:12:27,120 --> 00:12:29,520 Speaker 1: anybody right now. I just think that, I mean, the 232 00:12:29,559 --> 00:12:32,520 Speaker 1: coaching in Indianapolis has to be a problem. The Cults 233 00:12:32,679 --> 00:12:35,280 Speaker 1: are the only team to rank in the bottom five 234 00:12:35,960 --> 00:12:40,560 Speaker 1: in pass rush win rate thirty six, which is twenty nine, 235 00:12:40,960 --> 00:12:46,560 Speaker 1: and past block win rate forty nine point seven. Yeah, 236 00:12:47,760 --> 00:12:50,600 Speaker 1: I mean Crosby and those guys should do fine. If 237 00:12:50,640 --> 00:12:53,800 Speaker 1: even I mean I handed the Taylor over and over 238 00:12:53,800 --> 00:12:55,840 Speaker 1: and over, I assume is what I would. You know, 239 00:12:55,840 --> 00:12:59,559 Speaker 1: you got a new an offensive line, former offensive lineman Jineu, 240 00:12:59,600 --> 00:13:03,040 Speaker 1: head coach. You're gonna run the football. We're just gonna 241 00:13:03,080 --> 00:13:04,520 Speaker 1: hand it to the might be the best back in 242 00:13:04,559 --> 00:13:06,320 Speaker 1: the league. Why aren't you done that yet? You know, 243 00:13:06,360 --> 00:13:09,680 Speaker 1: if it's third nine, we're still handing the Maybe he'll 244 00:13:09,679 --> 00:13:13,080 Speaker 1: bust it. Uh Moody picking the Raiders twenty seven twenty. 245 00:13:13,160 --> 00:13:16,920 Speaker 1: I don't know how this game gets high water picking 246 00:13:16,920 --> 00:13:19,480 Speaker 1: the Raiders thirty four to twelve. Wow, there's a lot 247 00:13:19,520 --> 00:13:21,480 Speaker 1: of points from these guys. Yeah, I don't see that. 248 00:13:21,520 --> 00:13:24,480 Speaker 1: The one thing that coach can do is stopped the run. Yeah, 249 00:13:25,000 --> 00:13:27,160 Speaker 1: they're They're not bad at that. So I mean they 250 00:13:27,160 --> 00:13:29,400 Speaker 1: just lost Waller for the year though. Two and yeah, 251 00:13:29,480 --> 00:13:34,840 Speaker 1: I mean there's renfro money, renfrozen one. Uh. This would 252 00:13:34,840 --> 00:13:36,680 Speaker 1: have been the Markey matchup, which I'm sure is why 253 00:13:36,679 --> 00:13:39,360 Speaker 1: it's a four five game. You get the six and 254 00:13:39,360 --> 00:13:42,920 Speaker 1: two Cowboys at the three and six Packers, Dallas favored 255 00:13:42,920 --> 00:13:44,959 Speaker 1: by four and a half. The over runder forty three 256 00:13:45,880 --> 00:13:49,040 Speaker 1: Packers are in a world of hurt, world hurt, and 257 00:13:49,280 --> 00:13:52,440 Speaker 1: Mike McCarthy thinks gonna be gentle and nice to his 258 00:13:52,480 --> 00:13:55,280 Speaker 1: old team. I think they win, and then they cruised 259 00:13:55,320 --> 00:13:58,440 Speaker 1: down Mike McCarthy Boulevard or whatever, tooting their horns, and 260 00:13:58,480 --> 00:14:00,080 Speaker 1: I think they destroy them. How do you get do 261 00:14:00,120 --> 00:14:04,640 Speaker 1: you block Michael Parsons coming off by out of the 262 00:14:04,640 --> 00:14:07,400 Speaker 1: out of the Packers score. Aaron Jones is banged up? 263 00:14:07,440 --> 00:14:09,560 Speaker 1: All right, I think this is a blowout. I mean 264 00:14:10,520 --> 00:14:13,400 Speaker 1: Rogers could turn things around, absolutely, I mean kind of 265 00:14:13,400 --> 00:14:15,720 Speaker 1: like we talked about Denver, but in a different, different light. 266 00:14:16,280 --> 00:14:19,000 Speaker 1: I just think Dallas is two or three tiers ahead 267 00:14:19,040 --> 00:14:22,320 Speaker 1: of these guys. Aaron Rodgers is thrown seven interceptions this season. 268 00:14:23,840 --> 00:14:26,600 Speaker 1: That's his most since two thousand and sixteen. That's unbelievable 269 00:14:26,640 --> 00:14:30,600 Speaker 1: in itself. Seven interceptions this season isn't crazy, but to 270 00:14:30,640 --> 00:14:33,560 Speaker 1: say that that's the most he's had that long is unbelievable. 271 00:14:34,360 --> 00:14:36,760 Speaker 1: Dallas is six and two against the spread this season, 272 00:14:37,400 --> 00:14:42,960 Speaker 1: much like the Giants. Um Moody picking the Cowboys twenty 273 00:14:43,520 --> 00:14:49,120 Speaker 1: Walter picking the Cowboys. I don't think it's that close both. 274 00:14:49,480 --> 00:14:52,120 Speaker 1: You know, that's almost a cover for Walter on there. Yeah, No, 275 00:14:52,160 --> 00:14:54,920 Speaker 1: I don't think it's a close. This is a young game. 276 00:14:55,400 --> 00:14:58,120 Speaker 1: You had the three and six Cardinals at the three 277 00:14:58,160 --> 00:15:01,480 Speaker 1: and five Rams. Nobody's gonna block anybody. The Rams favored 278 00:15:01,480 --> 00:15:05,240 Speaker 1: by one and a half. Uh staffords very questionable. Yeah, 279 00:15:05,280 --> 00:15:07,440 Speaker 1: the over under forty three and a half in this game. 280 00:15:08,240 --> 00:15:11,880 Speaker 1: I believe the Rams have beaten the Cardinals like six 281 00:15:11,920 --> 00:15:17,520 Speaker 1: of the last seven times. The um Tyler Murray's banged 282 00:15:17,560 --> 00:15:20,280 Speaker 1: up as well. He's been dealing with the hamstring. Yeah. 283 00:15:20,520 --> 00:15:23,320 Speaker 1: You can see both backup quarterbacks in this game, and yuck, 284 00:15:24,600 --> 00:15:27,160 Speaker 1: there's not much of a home field advantage, Arizona fans 285 00:15:27,200 --> 00:15:32,280 Speaker 1: won't travel nobody. There's nothing exciting. I took the Rams 286 00:15:32,320 --> 00:15:36,000 Speaker 1: just because I like their coaching staff better, but I 287 00:15:36,000 --> 00:15:40,400 Speaker 1: wouldn't touch this game. I think it's going to be ugly. Yeah. Uh, 288 00:15:40,480 --> 00:15:43,760 Speaker 1: the Rams have gone under in five of their last 289 00:15:43,760 --> 00:15:46,000 Speaker 1: six games. Their offense is like the worst in the league, 290 00:15:46,680 --> 00:15:48,680 Speaker 1: and this one. The over under this one is forty 291 00:15:48,680 --> 00:15:51,040 Speaker 1: three and a half. Should the over under in this 292 00:15:51,160 --> 00:15:57,400 Speaker 1: game be where that Titans Broncos games at. I think so, 293 00:15:57,560 --> 00:16:00,440 Speaker 1: excepting the defense is great, but I mean are bad 294 00:16:00,720 --> 00:16:04,400 Speaker 1: the Cardinals are. They're averaging like eight point two yards 295 00:16:04,440 --> 00:16:07,560 Speaker 1: per reception. I mean they don't throw the ball downfield 296 00:16:07,560 --> 00:16:10,520 Speaker 1: at all down I mean they have some weapons. Hopkins 297 00:16:10,520 --> 00:16:14,280 Speaker 1: and cop have NICs games, I guess, But yeah, I 298 00:16:14,320 --> 00:16:16,000 Speaker 1: think this is not going to be I don't. I mean, 299 00:16:16,040 --> 00:16:20,440 Speaker 1: I guess in in year long, season long leagues in fantasy, 300 00:16:20,480 --> 00:16:23,720 Speaker 1: you're playing Cup because you know you have to, of course, 301 00:16:24,160 --> 00:16:27,440 Speaker 1: but I'm not paying up for him and DFS five 302 00:16:27,520 --> 00:16:29,880 Speaker 1: receivers or whatever he usually is. He's no Super Cup 303 00:16:29,960 --> 00:16:34,680 Speaker 1: this week, and you're really gonna force Stafford and Cooper, right, Yeah, 304 00:16:35,240 --> 00:16:39,280 Speaker 1: even if Stafford plays. I don't do a lot of fireworks. Yeah, 305 00:16:40,840 --> 00:16:43,880 Speaker 1: this one again, at the beginning of the season, looked 306 00:16:43,880 --> 00:16:45,760 Speaker 1: like a Marquee matchup. You got the five and three 307 00:16:45,800 --> 00:16:50,400 Speaker 1: Chargers at the four and four forty Niners. Uh. San 308 00:16:50,440 --> 00:16:53,720 Speaker 1: Francisco favor favored by seven, the over under forty five 309 00:16:53,760 --> 00:16:56,440 Speaker 1: and a half. I could see a backdoor cover. That's 310 00:16:56,440 --> 00:16:58,640 Speaker 1: what I was just thinking to just on Herbert's arm, 311 00:16:58,720 --> 00:17:01,520 Speaker 1: and you know, he's really really good. The Niners are 312 00:17:01,560 --> 00:17:03,680 Speaker 1: blow you out kind of team. They're gonna run for 313 00:17:03,720 --> 00:17:06,720 Speaker 1: a millionaire, they will run forever. Yeah, I'll just hand 314 00:17:06,760 --> 00:17:08,199 Speaker 1: it over and over that that might not be a 315 00:17:08,240 --> 00:17:10,719 Speaker 1: seven point win, but I think they're gonna have a 316 00:17:10,840 --> 00:17:14,040 Speaker 1: very good second half of the season starting here. I 317 00:17:14,080 --> 00:17:16,440 Speaker 1: would not bet this game, but I guess I'll take 318 00:17:16,480 --> 00:17:19,080 Speaker 1: the points. I don't think it's gonna be super competitive though. 319 00:17:19,960 --> 00:17:25,880 Speaker 1: Um yeah, seven Sunday Night Football unders this year our 320 00:17:25,920 --> 00:17:32,080 Speaker 1: seven to seven and two. Yeah, okay, uh, thirty six 321 00:17:32,640 --> 00:17:34,760 Speaker 1: three and two over the last four seasons. So that's 322 00:17:34,800 --> 00:17:38,240 Speaker 1: not just this year that the Enders have gone prime 323 00:17:38,280 --> 00:17:42,280 Speaker 1: time unders because they get bet more and people people 324 00:17:42,320 --> 00:17:44,560 Speaker 1: like today, I'll watch, you know, I bet the Sunday 325 00:17:44,640 --> 00:17:48,080 Speaker 1: Nighter prime Time overs are unders. I should say this 326 00:17:48,160 --> 00:17:52,040 Speaker 1: year our seventeen ten and one that pretty distinct trends. Yeah, 327 00:17:52,400 --> 00:17:56,000 Speaker 1: and st five and two over the last four seasons. 328 00:17:57,040 --> 00:17:59,160 Speaker 1: That makes sense. I mean, I think you just again people. 329 00:17:59,400 --> 00:18:00,960 Speaker 1: I'm gonna watch a game. I want to see points. 330 00:18:01,040 --> 00:18:03,680 Speaker 1: Joe blow that doesn't really pay much tension. I'm gonna 331 00:18:03,720 --> 00:18:06,000 Speaker 1: bet he's an over better all day long and he 332 00:18:06,080 --> 00:18:09,479 Speaker 1: watches that game and once points and the lines too 333 00:18:09,560 --> 00:18:11,760 Speaker 1: high again, this one is forty five and a half, 334 00:18:12,440 --> 00:18:22,480 Speaker 1: so I'd probably go over. Moody picking uh, the forty 335 00:18:22,560 --> 00:18:32,240 Speaker 1: Niners seven seven seventeen, Walter picking three, Okay, a lot. 336 00:18:32,320 --> 00:18:35,040 Speaker 1: He's gonna get hit, but I think Austin Ekeler might 337 00:18:35,080 --> 00:18:39,760 Speaker 1: catch teen passes. Just keep dumping it off Everett and 338 00:18:39,760 --> 00:18:42,600 Speaker 1: Palmer and the type of dudes you know. Uh. Then 339 00:18:42,640 --> 00:18:47,360 Speaker 1: the big Monday night game, you got the Commanders at 340 00:18:47,359 --> 00:18:51,840 Speaker 1: four and five at the Eagles eight No, Philadelphia favored 341 00:18:51,840 --> 00:18:54,760 Speaker 1: by eleven and the over unders only forty four. This 342 00:18:54,960 --> 00:18:58,040 Speaker 1: begs take the under, especially with all the statues said 343 00:18:58,040 --> 00:19:01,840 Speaker 1: about the prime time game. I think Washington gets destroyed though, 344 00:19:01,880 --> 00:19:04,040 Speaker 1: I mean, that's an awful place to play on Monday night. 345 00:19:04,080 --> 00:19:05,760 Speaker 1: I don't know how Washington scores. That's the thing. I 346 00:19:05,800 --> 00:19:08,119 Speaker 1: don't know where the points come from with Washington. Yeah, 347 00:19:08,160 --> 00:19:10,480 Speaker 1: it's it's gonna be I mean that's a big line. 348 00:19:10,560 --> 00:19:14,560 Speaker 1: I probably wouldn't. I probably take the points logical, but 349 00:19:14,800 --> 00:19:17,000 Speaker 1: I don't think it's gonna be close. Earlier this season 350 00:19:17,000 --> 00:19:24,040 Speaker 1: they played in Washington Philadelphia. So I mean again, I 351 00:19:24,920 --> 00:19:27,720 Speaker 1: Eagles are healthy and they're playing really well. I mean, 352 00:19:27,760 --> 00:19:30,000 Speaker 1: Heineke is probably gonna throw on the other team at least, 353 00:19:30,119 --> 00:19:34,920 Speaker 1: you know, Yeah, this this one could be really ugly. Um. Yeah, 354 00:19:35,960 --> 00:19:38,280 Speaker 1: the Eagles haven't trailed in the second half of a 355 00:19:38,320 --> 00:19:41,800 Speaker 1: game this season. Uh, They're the first team to win 356 00:19:41,920 --> 00:19:44,880 Speaker 1: the turnover battle in each of their first eight games. 357 00:19:45,280 --> 00:19:48,080 Speaker 1: It's really hard to do. Since the nineteen seventy two Steelers, 358 00:19:48,960 --> 00:19:52,400 Speaker 1: it's really hard to do. Yeah, not fifty years ago. 359 00:19:52,560 --> 00:19:54,919 Speaker 1: You were minus one even zero. You said win. It 360 00:19:56,160 --> 00:20:00,600 Speaker 1: can't even that's hard to do. Yeah, I mean that's 361 00:20:00,000 --> 00:20:03,960 Speaker 1: a remarkable it is. Yeah, it probably won't keep up. 362 00:20:04,040 --> 00:20:07,159 Speaker 1: But you think about the seventy two Steelers too, I 363 00:20:07,160 --> 00:20:11,240 Speaker 1: mean that was you know, they're starting multiple quarterbacks. Bradshaw 364 00:20:11,359 --> 00:20:15,760 Speaker 1: was throwing interceptions pretty consistently, like Steelers. Yeah, what I 365 00:20:15,760 --> 00:20:18,440 Speaker 1: mean something like that, But that was Yeah, you said, 366 00:20:18,480 --> 00:20:20,960 Speaker 1: Bradshaws for a lot of picks at that point. Yeah, 367 00:20:21,480 --> 00:20:24,360 Speaker 1: defense was growing, I guess. But they must have taken 368 00:20:24,400 --> 00:20:26,240 Speaker 1: the ball away for he It must have done a 369 00:20:26,240 --> 00:20:29,720 Speaker 1: pretty good job there. Yeah, um, not a great game. 370 00:20:31,480 --> 00:20:35,160 Speaker 1: Three straight Philadelphia games have gone over the total. Six 371 00:20:35,200 --> 00:20:39,119 Speaker 1: of Washington's past seven games have gone under the total. 372 00:20:40,320 --> 00:20:42,879 Speaker 1: So unders our four and oh in Washington place teams 373 00:20:43,200 --> 00:20:46,720 Speaker 1: with winning records this season, They've only played four teams 374 00:20:46,720 --> 00:20:50,719 Speaker 1: with the winning record. That's how That's how they're four 375 00:20:50,800 --> 00:20:53,560 Speaker 1: and five. That's exactly beat the good teams to lose, 376 00:20:53,800 --> 00:20:55,840 Speaker 1: like everybody the Steelers have played as a winning record. 377 00:20:57,080 --> 00:21:00,639 Speaker 1: Would you give up eleven points? Though? I don't know. 378 00:21:00,920 --> 00:21:04,879 Speaker 1: I wouldn't take Washington. I mean Eagles at home. I 379 00:21:04,920 --> 00:21:07,560 Speaker 1: think I give up I give the eleven. I think 380 00:21:07,560 --> 00:21:09,199 Speaker 1: I would. I'm leaning that way to the more I 381 00:21:09,200 --> 00:21:12,119 Speaker 1: think through. Yeah, I mean I can't think Washington's and 382 00:21:12,280 --> 00:21:16,080 Speaker 1: keep this close. Moody picking the Eagles thirty five to twenty. 383 00:21:16,280 --> 00:21:20,280 Speaker 1: Walter picking the Eagles four to ten might be about 384 00:21:20,680 --> 00:21:22,200 Speaker 1: ten might be about as high as it can get. 385 00:21:22,520 --> 00:21:24,760 Speaker 1: That's about where I'm at. Yeah, maybe something they get 386 00:21:24,760 --> 00:21:26,520 Speaker 1: a blown coverage or something, but I don't know how 387 00:21:26,520 --> 00:21:28,960 Speaker 1: they score. And so even like mclaurin's look well, looked 388 00:21:29,000 --> 00:21:32,080 Speaker 1: good lately, Slate destroyed him the first match. What I 389 00:21:32,080 --> 00:21:34,480 Speaker 1: mean like it's and that's there's not much to go 390 00:21:34,600 --> 00:21:38,400 Speaker 1: off of there. There really isn't. It's it's not pretty, 391 00:21:37,920 --> 00:21:41,960 Speaker 1: not pretty at all. We're gonna take another break, Matt. 392 00:21:44,200 --> 00:21:46,320 Speaker 1: When we come back, it'll be time for the Fantasy 393 00:21:46,320 --> 00:21:49,840 Speaker 1: Football Focus and we do we gotta do that. We 394 00:21:49,840 --> 00:21:52,320 Speaker 1: gotta do our DFS lineup. You can check out the 395 00:21:52,359 --> 00:21:54,639 Speaker 1: Steelers Weekend Review. It's hosted by Wesley Euler. It's a 396 00:21:54,720 --> 00:21:56,680 Speaker 1: recap of the previous game as well as a look 397 00:21:56,760 --> 00:22:00,200 Speaker 1: at the Steelers next opponents. New episodes drop every Tuesday day. 398 00:22:00,200 --> 00:22:01,840 Speaker 1: You want to check that out out this Tuesday because 399 00:22:01,840 --> 00:22:05,240 Speaker 1: you'll be previewing, talking about the Saints game, and previewing 400 00:22:05,240 --> 00:22:08,919 Speaker 1: another Bengals matchup. Uh that. They're available on the Steelers 401 00:22:08,960 --> 00:22:11,280 Speaker 1: mobile app, the I Heart Radio app, and wherever you 402 00:22:11,400 --> 00:22:14,000 Speaker 1: get your podcasts. We'll be back with more right after 403 00:22:14,000 --> 00:22:14,080 Speaker 1: this