WEBVTT - The Race for a COVID-19 Vaccine

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Jason Kelly. We're right here every day bringing you the

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<v Speaker 1>latest news from the world's of business and finance, plus technology, politics, economics,

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<v Speaker 1>all harnessing the power of Business Week reporters and editors,

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<v Speaker 1>and of course Carol that's part of a team of

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<v Speaker 1>twenty seven hundred journalists and analysts more than a hundred

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<v Speaker 1>and twenty countries and Jason. You can download Bloomberg Business

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<v Speaker 1>by searching Bloomberg Global News. Well, let's talk a little bit,

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<v Speaker 1>if we can, about the world of vaccines, Carol, Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>let's do it, because you know, I want to say

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<v Speaker 1>big picture and I feel like you talked about this

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<v Speaker 1>with Steve Schwartzman a black Stone earlier. We've seen Jason

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of investor intention on the drug and biotech

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<v Speaker 1>space this year because of the coronavirus pandemic, and one

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<v Speaker 1>stock in this space that is up roughly seventy this

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<v Speaker 1>year is a small publicly held biotech companies based in

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<v Speaker 1>New York City. So let's get into it with Dr

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<v Speaker 1>Jeremy Eleven, CEO at Ovid Therapeutics. He's also chairman and

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<v Speaker 1>he's chair of the Biotechnology Innovation Organization. He's on the

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<v Speaker 1>phone from New York City. Jeremy, h forgive me, he's

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<v Speaker 1>on the phone from Connecticut. Jeremy, nice to have you

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<v Speaker 1>here with us. Um. First of all, tell us a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit about specifically what your company does, because from

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<v Speaker 1>what I understand, you guys really focus on rare neuro

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<v Speaker 1>neurological diseases. Carol, so good of you to have me

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<v Speaker 1>on the on the phone. Actually, the company is developing

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<v Speaker 1>first in class medicines to treat rare disorders of the

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<v Speaker 1>breading in children who have no other medicines. Examples are

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<v Speaker 1>Angelman's disease, fragile lex. These are lifelong disorders and there

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<v Speaker 1>are absolutely no medicines for them, and we're about to

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<v Speaker 1>deliver the results for the final phase of testing rangelment,

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<v Speaker 1>the first and only meds that's actually clinical trial at

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<v Speaker 1>this stage age. So that's one thing we do, and

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<v Speaker 1>the other one is we're working with Tacata terrific partnership

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<v Speaker 1>and Tacata and ourselves are developing emits and that we

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<v Speaker 1>have will not only stop epileptic seizures, but also heal

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<v Speaker 1>the brain, a whole new concept behind epilepsy. And so

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<v Speaker 1>you know you're also the chair of the Biotechnology Innovation Organization,

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<v Speaker 1>Dr Levin, and I do wonder beyond what you guys

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<v Speaker 1>are working on, you have a view of the entire

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<v Speaker 1>landscape here. And Carol mentioned this this idea that obviously

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<v Speaker 1>all eyes are on the vaccine world. What's realistic what

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<v Speaker 1>should we be thinking about when it comes to actually

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<v Speaker 1>getting a vaccine for COVID nineteen Jason, Really good question.

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<v Speaker 1>At the beginning of the year, we have there were

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<v Speaker 1>two programs on therapeutics in the whole of the United States.

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<v Speaker 1>Right now they're close to six hundred of which a

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<v Speaker 1>hundred and fifty plus of vaccines, another nearly two hundred

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<v Speaker 1>medicines that are going to attack the virus. And then

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<v Speaker 1>there's a whole series of things where we're trying current

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<v Speaker 1>treatments to see how actually they might work current existing medicines.

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<v Speaker 1>I have to tell you there's a lot of us

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<v Speaker 1>something is going to come out of this now with

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<v Speaker 1>regard to the vaccines, they're very promising signs from the

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<v Speaker 1>company Madonna and other very promising signs out of Oxford University.

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<v Speaker 1>But these are difficult things to develop, and until you

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<v Speaker 1>see how they raise the immunity of individuals, you really

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<v Speaker 1>don't know what you've got. But I'm optimistic because there's

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of them on the on the table right now.

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<v Speaker 1>And I'm also optimistic because we've seen good early preclinical

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<v Speaker 1>that means before human data that suggests they have a

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<v Speaker 1>good shot of working. So our understanding too is that

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<v Speaker 1>it's going to be a combination of things um Dr

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<v Speaker 1>Levinette need to be done. In other words, you're going

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<v Speaker 1>to have a vaccine, right that's the holy growl, but

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<v Speaker 1>you also need as you said, there's like two medicines

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<v Speaker 1>to attack the virus for whether it's a mild case,

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<v Speaker 1>a moderate case, or severe case. That we're gonna need

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<v Speaker 1>all of this to get our head around it. But

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, ultimately is it we need a vaccine to

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<v Speaker 1>really kind of get back to normal, And then what

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<v Speaker 1>is the realistic timeline? Is it end of the year,

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<v Speaker 1>beginning of next year? Carol? There are no magic bullets

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<v Speaker 1>right now quite right. You have to have a combination,

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<v Speaker 1>and this is very similar to many other diseases. Realistically,

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<v Speaker 1>I think we should be cautious and talk about the

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<v Speaker 1>beginning of next year being reasonably practical. And that's all,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, all down to one getting good results now

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<v Speaker 1>and then too with the support which has been terrific

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<v Speaker 1>of the FDA and manufacturing. There's are three different things,

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<v Speaker 1>good results, FDA and good manufacturing. We can hopefully get

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<v Speaker 1>something next year. But but can I just I just

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<v Speaker 1>want to follow. I mean, it's not a case they're

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<v Speaker 1>just getting the vaccine. You've gotta be able to manufacture

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<v Speaker 1>right on a huge scale, exactly. You've got to be

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<v Speaker 1>able to develop millions and millions of doses and then

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<v Speaker 1>you have to distribute them. That's why we should feel

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<v Speaker 1>really good about J and J stepping in and putting

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<v Speaker 1>the power of their manufacturing on the table, Astra Zenica

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<v Speaker 1>linking up with Oxford University and putting the power of

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<v Speaker 1>their manufacturing on the table. No manufacturing, no vaccines. So

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<v Speaker 1>what do we worry about here, Dr Levin? I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>is the worry on the science or is the worry

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<v Speaker 1>on the execution. Once we have the right science, it's both.

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<v Speaker 1>Actually this is a drug discovery and drug development and

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<v Speaker 1>vaccine develop as a non trivial UH industry. It's really tough.

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<v Speaker 1>So in the science side, we have a good understanding

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<v Speaker 1>about COVID nineteen because of what we learned in in

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<v Speaker 1>FARS and previously. With a good understanding, what we don't

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<v Speaker 1>yet know is how when you give the vaccine will

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<v Speaker 1>you get the right kind of immune response. And and

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<v Speaker 1>it's important to say that there is no adverse events

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<v Speaker 1>that occur with that vaccine. That's number one. On the

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<v Speaker 1>manufacturing side, this is scale and once you've got that vaccine.

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<v Speaker 1>The FDA has been fantastic. The fd has really gone

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<v Speaker 1>overboard to try and make sure that they've streamlined all

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<v Speaker 1>the processes to get it to the manufacturing plant. But

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<v Speaker 1>these plants are very sophisticated. They are often need to

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<v Speaker 1>be revamped, rebuilt, and both reps of both sides of

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<v Speaker 1>both the science and the manufacturing have to come to

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<v Speaker 1>bear at the same time. So it's a very important

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<v Speaker 1>set of steps that have to occur. Yeah, I mean

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<v Speaker 1>that's I mean, that's what's so tricky and and any

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<v Speaker 1>you know, the human testing, I mean, this is it's

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<v Speaker 1>essentially a completely new vaccine. I know, I've I've heard

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<v Speaker 1>folks talk about, you know, we're going to build on

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<v Speaker 1>something that's already there. So I just do wonder in

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<v Speaker 1>terms of the extensive testings. Certainly when it comes to

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<v Speaker 1>you know, people trials, we've just got to make sure

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<v Speaker 1>it's it's safe. So I do wonder. You know, it's

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<v Speaker 1>not something you can rush through. Correct, that's correct, Carol.

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<v Speaker 1>But you know this is like any medicine. You don't

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<v Speaker 1>rush it through. The whole principle about medicine is do

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<v Speaker 1>no harm principle number one. Number two, you have to

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<v Speaker 1>there are sorry. You do actually have opportunity to use

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<v Speaker 1>learning from things we have from the past. So for example,

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<v Speaker 1>we did polio vaccines, we've done we have multiple different

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<v Speaker 1>vaccines which we've developed. You have terrific vaccines that came

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<v Speaker 1>out of work for for shingles, and terrific vaccines also

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<v Speaker 1>for herpies. Really, so we know we have lots of

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<v Speaker 1>building blocks. It's getting the right building blocks put together

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<v Speaker 1>and then making sure that when you put them into

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<v Speaker 1>a human being they give you the right reaction of

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<v Speaker 1>the wrong reaction. So understanding all of this as well

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<v Speaker 1>as you do, Dr Levin, what do we do in

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<v Speaker 1>the meantime. I mean, we're all, you know, sort of

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<v Speaker 1>in this phase of reopening in some form or another.

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<v Speaker 1>But what's realistic and sensible behavior here? Jason, I've taken

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<v Speaker 1>on the role of coordinating opening it up in my

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<v Speaker 1>region of Connecticut, and so I really, firstfully, it's terribly

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<v Speaker 1>important we get back to some form of economic life

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<v Speaker 1>that people can feed their families. Very important. In my region.

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<v Speaker 1>Twenty five percent of families are out of work. They

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<v Speaker 1>need to get back, they need to earn their living.

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<v Speaker 1>Number One, testing is critical. Everybody should be tested. Number two,

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<v Speaker 1>social distancing should be maintained. Number three, we should be

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<v Speaker 1>wearing masks. These are these ABC's. This is not something

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<v Speaker 1>that's difficult to understand. The medicines will come, the vaccines

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<v Speaker 1>will come. But in the meantime, being responsible is about

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<v Speaker 1>the most important thing one can do here. But starting

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<v Speaker 1>with testing, distancing, and in addition to that, making sure

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<v Speaker 1>that you've got your mask and when you will And

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<v Speaker 1>this is the one that I find baffling is because

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<v Speaker 1>Jason and I've had a lot of folks like yourself

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<v Speaker 1>from the pharmaceutical, biotech and certainly the medical community that

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<v Speaker 1>it's all about testing and tracing and that everyone should

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<v Speaker 1>be tested, and that we're still not moving forward on that,

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<v Speaker 1>and is it just a case we don't have the tests? Um,

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<v Speaker 1>I know. We talked with Bill Hazelstein, Um hazel Hazeltine,

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<v Speaker 1>excuse me, and he talked about the importance of really

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<v Speaker 1>almost having an organization on the scale of like a

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<v Speaker 1>military so that you could you have, you know, uniform procedures.

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<v Speaker 1>Is that what's holding us back? Bill, Bill is correct,

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<v Speaker 1>you need to have an organized approach. But just imagine, Carol,

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<v Speaker 1>if you had a kid and that child is in

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<v Speaker 1>preschool and one of the kids tested positive let's say,

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<v Speaker 1>for example, strep throat, you'd want everybody in that class

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<v Speaker 1>tested everyone. There's no this is not a strange thing

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<v Speaker 1>to do. This is normal. If you had kids with measles,

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<v Speaker 1>you'd want everybody isolated. This is not unusual. So those right,

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<v Speaker 1>this needs a national organization. The virus doesn't know borders you.

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<v Speaker 1>It can hop on a plane and fly from A

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<v Speaker 1>to B as fast as you can imagine. But if

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<v Speaker 1>you test people, if you do the right thing and

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<v Speaker 1>have an organized approach, we can definitely do this all right, Well,

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<v Speaker 1>we really appreciate your time and look forward to catching

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<v Speaker 1>up with you as this story develops, because we know

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<v Speaker 1>it will. Dr Jeremy Levin is the CEO and chairman

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<v Speaker 1>of of the Therapeutics. He's also the chair of the

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<v Speaker 1>Biotechnology Innovation Organization. He's the editor of the newly released

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<v Speaker 1>Biotechnology in the Time of COVID nineteen Commentaries from the

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<v Speaker 1>front Line that takes a look at forty seven biotech

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<v Speaker 1>stars who have moved to fighting this disease, Carol. And

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<v Speaker 1>we have seen that this is a concerted effort, certainly

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<v Speaker 1>across the world. I mean, even the idea of you

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<v Speaker 1>know what Steve Schwartzmann said, we're not going to go

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<v Speaker 1>oh for one thirty here. Yeah, I think it makes

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of sense. And as he said, it's a

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<v Speaker 1>hundred and fifty plus efforts going just for a vaccine,

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<v Speaker 1>and you've got two hundred medicines that are being pursued

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<v Speaker 1>just to attack the virus at different levels. So you know,

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<v Speaker 1>it's this kind of multi tiered level, uh, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>a multi tiered plan that needs to get us ahead

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<v Speaker 1>of the virus. I think what's interesting as though, as

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<v Speaker 1>he said, it comes down to everyone needs to be tested,

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<v Speaker 1>you've got to wear masks, and you have to do

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<v Speaker 1>social distancing. It's really so simple. Yet I find it

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<v Speaker 1>baffling that. I mean, it doesn't seem to be it

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<v Speaker 1>is to you and me. But I will tell you

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<v Speaker 1>um that you know, just the conversations I've been having

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<v Speaker 1>of late, even around my neighborhood, I think run your neighborhood.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, we saw it this weekend. There's conflict of

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<v Speaker 1>people like like do I really have to work? Like

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<v Speaker 1>you know, it's like fighting fighting over the mask stuff,

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<v Speaker 1>and it's just really tough, right yeah, And and I

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<v Speaker 1>think one of the issues is that, you know, and

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<v Speaker 1>and Steve Schwartz been alluded to this in our conversation.

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<v Speaker 1>He said, this is harder in democracies, you know, I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>which which is actually a very precise and correct point

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<v Speaker 1>in this sense that the places where this has been

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<v Speaker 1>in many ways just locked down or maybe not so democratic.

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<v Speaker 1>On the other hand, you've seen it in Germany, You've

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<v Speaker 1>seen it in the UK where people just get on

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<v Speaker 1>with it. They say, Okay, I gotta wear masks. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>going to do that. But that's not what we've seen

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<v Speaker 1>across the US. This is no judgment. This is just

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<v Speaker 1>an observation that you have people essentially making a political

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<v Speaker 1>statement or somehow deciding that wearing a mask symbolizes something,

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<v Speaker 1>and in reality, what wear a mask symbolizes is that

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<v Speaker 1>you give a hoot about other people and you want

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<v Speaker 1>the world to be healthy, right exactly. Meantime, you've got

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<v Speaker 1>the number of new cases around the globe reaching a record,

0:12:59.240 --> 0:13:01.080
<v Speaker 1>and we're seeing a lot of new cases in Latin

0:13:01.120 --> 0:13:04.080
<v Speaker 1>America that's called According to the World Health Organization, US

0:13:04.080 --> 0:13:06.640
<v Speaker 1>Florida's new infections rose to another high, so we're seeing

0:13:06.840 --> 0:13:10.400
<v Speaker 1>those cases go up. You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week

0:13:10.600 --> 0:13:16.440
<v Speaker 1>with Carol Masser and Jason Kelly on Bloomberg Radio. All right,

0:13:16.520 --> 0:13:19.200
<v Speaker 1>you are listening to Bloomberg Business Week and Carol Masser.

0:13:19.800 --> 0:13:23.079
<v Speaker 1>What a weekend in the political world. I mean it

0:13:23.240 --> 0:13:27.320
<v Speaker 1>started Friday night basically within an hour of us getting

0:13:27.360 --> 0:13:29.679
<v Speaker 1>off of air, maybe a little bit later. Actually it's

0:13:29.720 --> 0:13:32.000
<v Speaker 1>like nine o'clock. You know. I just happened to be

0:13:32.040 --> 0:13:35.160
<v Speaker 1>like reading or doing whatever, catching up on stuff, and

0:13:35.280 --> 0:13:40.040
<v Speaker 1>all these news alerts start coming out about the U S.

0:13:40.080 --> 0:13:43.040
<v Speaker 1>Attorney in the Southern District of New York getting fired.

0:13:43.400 --> 0:13:45.920
<v Speaker 1>Then we go into the weekend. Wait, he resigned. No,

0:13:46.040 --> 0:13:48.760
<v Speaker 1>I didn't resign, Gait, Now we got fired, No, I didn't.

0:13:49.120 --> 0:13:50.880
<v Speaker 1>You know, I don't want to leave. I don't want

0:13:50.880 --> 0:13:53.760
<v Speaker 1>another job at Justice. It's really sort of amazing. Then

0:13:53.760 --> 0:13:57.640
<v Speaker 1>obviously a weekend Chuck Field of the President in Tulsa,

0:13:58.400 --> 0:14:02.600
<v Speaker 1>the big interview that John Bolton gave to ABC about

0:14:02.760 --> 0:14:05.120
<v Speaker 1>his new book, Let's Make Sense of all of It

0:14:05.160 --> 0:14:07.640
<v Speaker 1>with Josh winn Grove, he is White House correspondent for Bloomberg,

0:14:08.040 --> 0:14:10.480
<v Speaker 1>joining us on the phone. All right, Josh, we look

0:14:10.559 --> 0:14:13.080
<v Speaker 1>to you to help us separate the signal from the

0:14:13.160 --> 0:14:16.520
<v Speaker 1>noise here. What do we need to be thinking about

0:14:16.559 --> 0:14:19.120
<v Speaker 1>as this work week begins when it comes to the

0:14:19.160 --> 0:14:22.840
<v Speaker 1>political world. Well, I mean the president is looking for

0:14:22.920 --> 0:14:26.440
<v Speaker 1>ways to turn it around. I think that's what we're

0:14:26.480 --> 0:14:30.720
<v Speaker 1>sort of informing everything, and so he wants loyalists as

0:14:30.760 --> 0:14:32.880
<v Speaker 1>part of that. I think that's what we saw with

0:14:33.000 --> 0:14:37.520
<v Speaker 1>the sort of Friday night moves and really remarkable to

0:14:37.680 --> 0:14:40.400
<v Speaker 1>and pro you know, the guy initially refusing to go

0:14:40.520 --> 0:14:42.880
<v Speaker 1>and then saying you would go, and bar changing who

0:14:42.920 --> 0:14:46.400
<v Speaker 1>we wanted to a point in the interim, and now

0:14:46.400 --> 0:14:50.320
<v Speaker 1>there's some reporting from Bloomberg that the SEC chairman may

0:14:50.320 --> 0:14:52.520
<v Speaker 1>not even want this thing, given you know, all the

0:14:52.520 --> 0:14:55.240
<v Speaker 1>pends of the last seventy two hours. So you know

0:14:55.320 --> 0:14:57.760
<v Speaker 1>that one is bubbling, uh, you know, on its own.

0:14:58.280 --> 0:15:01.840
<v Speaker 1>The President is also wanting to get out about more

0:15:01.840 --> 0:15:03.880
<v Speaker 1>in contrast himself with Joe Biden. So we're seeing a

0:15:03.880 --> 0:15:06.840
<v Speaker 1>lot of interviews today he's doing with regional media. But

0:15:06.880 --> 0:15:09.600
<v Speaker 1>he also in the in these situations doubles down on

0:15:09.640 --> 0:15:13.600
<v Speaker 1>stuff that he's done before. For instance, we are seeing

0:15:13.600 --> 0:15:16.760
<v Speaker 1>some headlines move on the terminal right now about restrictions

0:15:16.840 --> 0:15:20.640
<v Speaker 1>on desa issuance sort of America first extension. That would

0:15:20.640 --> 0:15:22.560
<v Speaker 1>be bad news for people who are trying to immigrate

0:15:22.680 --> 0:15:24.520
<v Speaker 1>to the US, or I should say, at least work

0:15:24.560 --> 0:15:26.000
<v Speaker 1>in the US. Do you think the book was non

0:15:26.000 --> 0:15:29.640
<v Speaker 1>immigrant visas? Anyway, He, like I said, back to the

0:15:29.640 --> 0:15:33.560
<v Speaker 1>playbook all over again, you know, doubling down on all

0:15:33.560 --> 0:15:35.720
<v Speaker 1>that media. So that's that's where we're at. The band

0:15:35.760 --> 0:15:38.240
<v Speaker 1>is back together. This the band is back together, and

0:15:38.240 --> 0:15:41.280
<v Speaker 1>this is no doubt about it. An individual who likes campaigning,

0:15:41.320 --> 0:15:44.560
<v Speaker 1>we know that he's doing it. Though this year Um

0:15:44.640 --> 0:15:49.040
<v Speaker 1>Josh with the backdrop of Um John Bolton's new book.

0:15:49.280 --> 0:15:51.720
<v Speaker 1>It's um you know, and we just want to play

0:15:51.760 --> 0:15:53.680
<v Speaker 1>a little snip because we knew John Bolton spoke with

0:15:54.080 --> 0:15:57.440
<v Speaker 1>ABC over the weekend and he talked about many things,

0:15:57.440 --> 0:16:00.520
<v Speaker 1>but he also talked about President Trump's pattern looking an

0:16:00.560 --> 0:16:03.360
<v Speaker 1>obstruction of justice as a way of life. Let's get

0:16:03.400 --> 0:16:05.400
<v Speaker 1>into that. To use the phrase in the book, that

0:16:05.440 --> 0:16:09.160
<v Speaker 1>Trump's pattern looked like obstruction of justice as a way

0:16:09.200 --> 0:16:12.680
<v Speaker 1>of life, which we couldn't accept obstruction of justice as

0:16:12.680 --> 0:16:15.080
<v Speaker 1>a way of life. Look, these were things that I

0:16:15.120 --> 0:16:18.000
<v Speaker 1>could see some evidence of, and they bothered me greatly.

0:16:18.040 --> 0:16:21.160
<v Speaker 1>I talked to the Attorney General about them. I talked

0:16:21.160 --> 0:16:23.400
<v Speaker 1>to the Council to the President about them. I've talked

0:16:23.440 --> 0:16:27.040
<v Speaker 1>to other members of the cabinet about them, um and

0:16:27.480 --> 0:16:30.800
<v Speaker 1>relayed my concerns, and they were very much on my mind.

0:16:31.160 --> 0:16:34.560
<v Speaker 1>There really isn't any guiding principle that I was able

0:16:34.600 --> 0:16:39.800
<v Speaker 1>to discern other than what's good for Donald Trump's reelection. Okay,

0:16:39.840 --> 0:16:42.800
<v Speaker 1>so focus of course, that's John Bolton, Trump's former national

0:16:42.840 --> 0:16:47.120
<v Speaker 1>security advisor. President Trump's former national security advisor, Josh. You know,

0:16:47.880 --> 0:16:50.360
<v Speaker 1>so much has already been reported about what's in that book.

0:16:50.560 --> 0:16:54.040
<v Speaker 1>I do wonder is there something of substance that, as

0:16:54.080 --> 0:16:56.840
<v Speaker 1>an American citizen, as an American voter who's going to

0:16:56.880 --> 0:16:59.040
<v Speaker 1>go to the polls in November, that we really should

0:16:59.040 --> 0:17:02.960
<v Speaker 1>be paying a lot of attend into Well. I think

0:17:02.960 --> 0:17:06.040
<v Speaker 1>that his line on everything being through a reelected should

0:17:06.240 --> 0:17:08.760
<v Speaker 1>lands is a big one. But I think the thing

0:17:08.800 --> 0:17:10.919
<v Speaker 1>that strikes me about it is Bolton is not the

0:17:10.960 --> 0:17:12.760
<v Speaker 1>first to write a book, and he's certainly not the

0:17:12.800 --> 0:17:15.880
<v Speaker 1>first Trump administration to write some sort of tell hell

0:17:15.920 --> 0:17:19.600
<v Speaker 1>all memoir. He is the highest ranking one, though, uh.

0:17:19.640 --> 0:17:21.760
<v Speaker 1>And you now got a fairly high profile group of

0:17:21.800 --> 0:17:25.960
<v Speaker 1>folks who are former senior figures in the president's own

0:17:26.000 --> 0:17:29.560
<v Speaker 1>administration who've been critical about him in the last you know,

0:17:29.680 --> 0:17:33.119
<v Speaker 1>weeks or months. That includes Mr Bolton, of course, but

0:17:33.200 --> 0:17:37.680
<v Speaker 1>also Jimattics and others. And so I think that is

0:17:37.720 --> 0:17:40.360
<v Speaker 1>going to cause some consternation among Republicans. A little bit

0:17:40.640 --> 0:17:43.639
<v Speaker 1>that said, we've talked about this stuff before tends to

0:17:43.680 --> 0:17:47.280
<v Speaker 1>blow over. The Senate doesn't look particularly you know a

0:17:47.400 --> 0:17:50.679
<v Speaker 1>gast or the president lately, and you know a lot

0:17:50.680 --> 0:17:52.959
<v Speaker 1>of them just want to keep the majority. So you know,

0:17:53.680 --> 0:17:56.720
<v Speaker 1>we'll see, we'll see. I will say, though, the enthusiasm

0:17:56.840 --> 0:17:58.920
<v Speaker 1>Right now, the path forward is a little unclear because

0:17:58.920 --> 0:18:01.400
<v Speaker 1>we know the president, how did they huge rally on Saturday.

0:18:01.760 --> 0:18:05.440
<v Speaker 1>The attendance was way less than he expected. He's reportedly

0:18:05.480 --> 0:18:08.359
<v Speaker 1>upset about that. The White House is insisting that he

0:18:08.520 --> 0:18:10.240
<v Speaker 1>was not upset about that, And so we don't really

0:18:10.240 --> 0:18:12.040
<v Speaker 1>know what they're going to do going forward on this

0:18:12.200 --> 0:18:14.440
<v Speaker 1>to try to change the channel. Is it a sign

0:18:14.440 --> 0:18:17.960
<v Speaker 1>of waiting support though among his supporters or is it

0:18:18.000 --> 0:18:21.639
<v Speaker 1>just poles would indicate that for sure? For sure, I

0:18:21.640 --> 0:18:24.119
<v Speaker 1>mean there's there's there's not been a lot of good polls.

0:18:24.119 --> 0:18:26.680
<v Speaker 1>What they're saying. That's the positive stands they're putting on it.

0:18:26.720 --> 0:18:29.480
<v Speaker 1>Is it in swing states? And not naturally in swing states?

0:18:29.760 --> 0:18:33.439
<v Speaker 1>The president is still competitive against the defined Joe Biden,

0:18:33.440 --> 0:18:35.119
<v Speaker 1>and that means that they're going to throw everything at

0:18:35.119 --> 0:18:36.800
<v Speaker 1>the wall to try to make voters think that Joe

0:18:36.840 --> 0:18:39.600
<v Speaker 1>Biden is the worst choice. Most people in the president's

0:18:39.640 --> 0:18:42.119
<v Speaker 1>orbit believe that if the president the election is about

0:18:42.480 --> 0:18:45.320
<v Speaker 1>Biden versus Trump, Trump can pull it off. But if

0:18:45.320 --> 0:18:48.000
<v Speaker 1>they think it's a referendum on Trump and his performance,

0:18:48.080 --> 0:18:51.840
<v Speaker 1>that is a lot more problematic for the president. And

0:18:51.920 --> 0:18:55.119
<v Speaker 1>so what do we look for now is sort of

0:18:55.160 --> 0:18:59.000
<v Speaker 1>the next milestones for the president. He's got another rally

0:18:59.040 --> 0:19:02.560
<v Speaker 1>I believe coming up been in Arizona. Is that tomorrow, Josh?

0:19:02.600 --> 0:19:04.399
<v Speaker 1>I mean, is that another? Is that sort of a

0:19:04.400 --> 0:19:07.960
<v Speaker 1>reset to the reset? It's not a rally per se,

0:19:08.000 --> 0:19:10.399
<v Speaker 1>but he is traveling to Arizona. I think we're going

0:19:10.400 --> 0:19:13.960
<v Speaker 1>to continue to see him go out and about. Arizona

0:19:13.960 --> 0:19:16.280
<v Speaker 1>presents an interest in one because as you know, it

0:19:16.359 --> 0:19:18.760
<v Speaker 1>is arguably the biggest hot spot right now in terms

0:19:18.800 --> 0:19:21.920
<v Speaker 1>of virus cases that they have a huge outbreak going

0:19:21.920 --> 0:19:23.960
<v Speaker 1>on right there, and the President is trying to press

0:19:24.000 --> 0:19:26.800
<v Speaker 1>ahead and kind of pretend that the virus is gone.

0:19:27.000 --> 0:19:28.879
<v Speaker 1>You know that the death rates is what is the

0:19:28.920 --> 0:19:31.639
<v Speaker 1>new goalposts that they go by or lower. But the

0:19:31.760 --> 0:19:35.760
<v Speaker 1>America on Saturday recorded like thirty four thousand new cases.

0:19:35.800 --> 0:19:37.800
<v Speaker 1>That's the highest total in seven weeks. So you know,

0:19:37.800 --> 0:19:39.840
<v Speaker 1>we're not out of this. The President might have to

0:19:39.840 --> 0:19:41.840
<v Speaker 1>switch gears and kind of acknowledge we're not out of this.

0:19:42.560 --> 0:19:44.000
<v Speaker 1>And one way to do that is to get people

0:19:44.000 --> 0:19:45.919
<v Speaker 1>to act like we still have a pandemic and you know,

0:19:46.200 --> 0:19:48.240
<v Speaker 1>wear masks and stuff. But this white hasn't shown no

0:19:48.640 --> 0:19:50.920
<v Speaker 1>interest in doing that. In fact, today they pulled down

0:19:50.920 --> 0:19:53.040
<v Speaker 1>a tent the screen media at the White Hos you

0:19:53.040 --> 0:19:54.840
<v Speaker 1>no longer have your temperature checked when you walk into

0:19:54.840 --> 0:20:01.160
<v Speaker 1>the White Kidding. Wow, that's a very interesting inside dish.

0:20:01.200 --> 0:20:03.320
<v Speaker 1>All right, Josh wynd Grove, thank you so much, White

0:20:03.320 --> 0:20:06.520
<v Speaker 1>House correspondent for Bloomberg joining us on the phone. So

0:20:06.600 --> 0:20:08.560
<v Speaker 1>much to keep an eye on. And we will continue

0:20:08.600 --> 0:20:11.280
<v Speaker 1>to carol. When it comes to the world of policy

0:20:11.359 --> 0:20:13.679
<v Speaker 1>and politics. We didn't even get to talk about, you know,

0:20:13.720 --> 0:20:16.920
<v Speaker 1>what may happen with the police reform bills that are

0:20:16.960 --> 0:20:20.399
<v Speaker 1>sort of making their way through the Congress as well.

0:20:20.520 --> 0:20:22.879
<v Speaker 1>It's such a conflict though right about you know, we

0:20:23.000 --> 0:20:25.080
<v Speaker 1>keep talking about this kind of the tensions of you know,

0:20:25.200 --> 0:20:28.399
<v Speaker 1>reopening versus spikes of cases and and how do we

0:20:28.440 --> 0:20:30.840
<v Speaker 1>figure this one out? All right, we'll continue to follow,

0:20:30.840 --> 0:20:34.280
<v Speaker 1>of course we will. You are listening to Bloomberg Business Week. Well,

0:20:34.560 --> 0:20:38.760
<v Speaker 1>let's continue our conversation about economics China, things we've touched

0:20:38.800 --> 0:20:43.280
<v Speaker 1>on already. Andy Brown, editorial director for Bloomberg New Economy,

0:20:43.359 --> 0:20:46.359
<v Speaker 1>joining us on the phone from New Hampshire. This was

0:20:46.920 --> 0:20:49.720
<v Speaker 1>a topic that came up, not surprisingly Andy, in my

0:20:49.760 --> 0:20:52.399
<v Speaker 1>conversation with Steve Schwartzman earlier. We're going to hear a

0:20:52.400 --> 0:20:56.680
<v Speaker 1>bit of about that later on. The US China relationship

0:20:57.240 --> 0:21:01.800
<v Speaker 1>is complicated. The relationship, but when President Trump and President

0:21:01.920 --> 0:21:06.880
<v Speaker 1>She complicated or not depending on your perspective. And certainly

0:21:07.560 --> 0:21:10.640
<v Speaker 1>John Bolton has a hot take related to that, and

0:21:11.040 --> 0:21:13.680
<v Speaker 1>I would say broke some news, it feels like in

0:21:14.040 --> 0:21:17.399
<v Speaker 1>his book and in his subsequent interview. You take that

0:21:17.480 --> 0:21:21.280
<v Speaker 1>on in your latest column talking about Beijing wanting another

0:21:21.400 --> 0:21:25.119
<v Speaker 1>Trump term. Tell us about what you heard and read

0:21:25.200 --> 0:21:28.720
<v Speaker 1>and what it may mean. Yeah, So, I mean this

0:21:28.760 --> 0:21:33.240
<v Speaker 1>book by b John Bolton is pretty damning. Um. A

0:21:33.280 --> 0:21:37.920
<v Speaker 1>big pot of of Trump's re election strategy has been

0:21:38.200 --> 0:21:41.280
<v Speaker 1>tough on It was going to be tough on China. Um.

0:21:41.400 --> 0:21:44.480
<v Speaker 1>He and and Joe Biden, We're going to compete to

0:21:44.520 --> 0:21:48.119
<v Speaker 1>see who could be toughest. And it turns out if

0:21:48.240 --> 0:21:53.159
<v Speaker 1>the allegations and John Bolton's book book true, Um, Trump

0:21:53.280 --> 0:21:58.640
<v Speaker 1>was an absolute pushover for Shi Jim Pak. It's just fascinating.

0:21:58.720 --> 0:22:03.040
<v Speaker 1>So so okay, so what does China want at this point?

0:22:03.080 --> 0:22:05.080
<v Speaker 1>Because part of me seems to think and I think

0:22:05.080 --> 0:22:07.000
<v Speaker 1>you read about this, Andy, is that you know some

0:22:07.119 --> 0:22:10.760
<v Speaker 1>of this turmoil that President Trump is creating in the

0:22:10.800 --> 0:22:16.000
<v Speaker 1>world and alienating of former US allies or US allies

0:22:16.400 --> 0:22:20.600
<v Speaker 1>to some extent, China like some of that, right, so

0:22:21.040 --> 0:22:25.240
<v Speaker 1>you know, so when when when China looks outwards um

0:22:25.280 --> 0:22:29.040
<v Speaker 1>across the Western Pacific, what they see is a string

0:22:29.280 --> 0:22:34.160
<v Speaker 1>of US alliances stretching from South Korea, through Japan all

0:22:34.200 --> 0:22:38.080
<v Speaker 1>the way down to Australia and through the Chinese leadership.

0:22:38.600 --> 0:22:42.879
<v Speaker 1>This is containment. It's there to hem China in to

0:22:43.040 --> 0:22:49.080
<v Speaker 1>frustrate its ambitions to hold back its military um outreach UM,

0:22:49.520 --> 0:22:53.119
<v Speaker 1>to to bottle up its bluewater navy and its submarine fleet.

0:22:53.160 --> 0:22:56.480
<v Speaker 1>They want to weaken the alliance structure and in that

0:22:56.680 --> 0:22:59.480
<v Speaker 1>this is their job number one. Uh and from the

0:22:59.520 --> 0:23:03.560
<v Speaker 1>epispey diverything and and uh uh you know, reporting from

0:23:03.560 --> 0:23:07.200
<v Speaker 1>Beijing bureau bears this out um. The Chinese leadership think

0:23:07.280 --> 0:23:10.879
<v Speaker 1>that Trump has done so much to weaken uh, this

0:23:11.000 --> 0:23:16.840
<v Speaker 1>alliance system by offending US allies, by engaging in trade

0:23:16.880 --> 0:23:20.439
<v Speaker 1>disputes with them, by nicol and diming them on you know,

0:23:20.440 --> 0:23:22.840
<v Speaker 1>who's going to pay for US forces based in South

0:23:22.920 --> 0:23:26.320
<v Speaker 1>Korea and Japan, that he's weaking, that he's undermining the

0:23:26.440 --> 0:23:30.359
<v Speaker 1>US alliance system. And to them that overrides all the

0:23:30.400 --> 0:23:32.960
<v Speaker 1>concerns that they may have about how they're being treated

0:23:33.040 --> 0:23:36.639
<v Speaker 1>on trade and investment and technology. So they want to

0:23:36.640 --> 0:23:41.280
<v Speaker 1>see another four years of Trump. So was this how

0:23:41.320 --> 0:23:44.440
<v Speaker 1>it was going to be all along Andy, that this

0:23:44.560 --> 0:23:47.320
<v Speaker 1>was going to be sort of the alliance. How have

0:23:47.400 --> 0:23:52.119
<v Speaker 1>you seen this evolve and develop over the Trump presidency? Well,

0:23:52.200 --> 0:23:56.320
<v Speaker 1>you know, the the the the approach to China that

0:23:56.440 --> 0:24:01.360
<v Speaker 1>previous administrations had had taken was to assume that taking

0:24:01.480 --> 0:24:06.520
<v Speaker 1>on unfair Chinese trade practices and investment practices doing something

0:24:06.560 --> 0:24:11.200
<v Speaker 1>to roll back the um, you know, state capitalism in China.

0:24:11.320 --> 0:24:15.119
<v Speaker 1>Leveling the playing field required a multilateral approach that no

0:24:15.359 --> 0:24:19.880
<v Speaker 1>single country could do it on its own. Hence, this approach,

0:24:19.920 --> 0:24:22.760
<v Speaker 1>which is embodied in the Trans Specific Partnership, which was

0:24:22.840 --> 0:24:25.879
<v Speaker 1>for you know, a bunch of like minded countries to

0:24:25.960 --> 0:24:29.760
<v Speaker 1>get together and to set high level trade standards. UM.

0:24:29.800 --> 0:24:32.680
<v Speaker 1>You know, enforced China in a sense to to live

0:24:32.800 --> 0:24:36.080
<v Speaker 1>up to these higher standards. UM. And the first thing

0:24:36.119 --> 0:24:38.200
<v Speaker 1>he did when he came to office, of course, he

0:24:38.320 --> 0:24:43.080
<v Speaker 1>he hates multilateral trading relationships. He thinks that that you know,

0:24:43.160 --> 0:24:46.800
<v Speaker 1>they have they have they exist, Uh, in order to

0:24:46.920 --> 0:24:49.600
<v Speaker 1>disadvantage the United States as he pulled he pulled out

0:24:49.600 --> 0:24:51.240
<v Speaker 1>of that, and he's been pulling out, of course of

0:24:51.640 --> 0:24:55.800
<v Speaker 1>international arrangements ever since, from you know, climate change to

0:24:56.040 --> 0:24:58.720
<v Speaker 1>human rights and so on, and and and lastly of

0:24:58.720 --> 0:25:00.840
<v Speaker 1>course defunding the Double h O in the middle of

0:25:00.840 --> 0:25:03.800
<v Speaker 1>that pandemic. You know what I find interesting we just

0:25:03.800 --> 0:25:06.359
<v Speaker 1>have about a minute left, Andy, is that, you know,

0:25:06.400 --> 0:25:09.879
<v Speaker 1>if you believe everything that John Bolton puts in his book,

0:25:10.000 --> 0:25:13.120
<v Speaker 1>I guess the biggest thing, certainly with President Trump when

0:25:13.160 --> 0:25:15.440
<v Speaker 1>it comes to a lot of issues, but China in particular,

0:25:15.480 --> 0:25:18.360
<v Speaker 1>it sounds like what he says, maybe perhaps behind closed

0:25:18.359 --> 0:25:21.720
<v Speaker 1>doors with President Jim Paying, versus what he says publicly

0:25:21.840 --> 0:25:27.360
<v Speaker 1>are often two different things. Yeah, I mean that's uh

0:25:27.400 --> 0:25:29.639
<v Speaker 1>that that that's right. And and you know, one of

0:25:29.640 --> 0:25:33.040
<v Speaker 1>the most damning revelations of this book was with him

0:25:33.119 --> 0:25:38.080
<v Speaker 1>huddled with she Jim Paying, with nobody listening except the interpreters,

0:25:38.600 --> 0:25:42.320
<v Speaker 1>and telling She Jim Paying that building the internment camps

0:25:42.359 --> 0:25:45.359
<v Speaker 1>in in St. John which holds up to a million

0:25:45.480 --> 0:25:50.280
<v Speaker 1>or more we a Muslims, was quote exactly the right

0:25:50.560 --> 0:25:54.600
<v Speaker 1>thing to do. Um. You know, and and and you

0:25:54.640 --> 0:25:56.919
<v Speaker 1>know what the Bolton's points throughout all this is that

0:25:57.080 --> 0:26:00.200
<v Speaker 1>essentially Trump was was ready to give away all in

0:26:00.359 --> 0:26:04.600
<v Speaker 1>all American interests around national security, around human rights in

0:26:04.680 --> 0:26:09.359
<v Speaker 1>order to secure this trading agreement with China. In other woods,

0:26:09.440 --> 0:26:12.360
<v Speaker 1>everything for him was transactional, right, And I think it's

0:26:12.359 --> 0:26:14.760
<v Speaker 1>something important. You know, we were talking with josh Um

0:26:14.760 --> 0:26:16.720
<v Speaker 1>wind Grove earlier at Bloomberg News about you know, what

0:26:16.720 --> 0:26:19.600
<v Speaker 1>do we need to know about Bolton's book as voters

0:26:19.600 --> 0:26:21.600
<v Speaker 1>and as Americans? And that I think what Andy just

0:26:21.640 --> 0:26:24.119
<v Speaker 1>pointed out is certainly a big point to take away

0:26:24.119 --> 0:26:26.639
<v Speaker 1>from all of this. Andy Brown always loved checking in

0:26:26.680 --> 0:26:29.120
<v Speaker 1>with you. Andy is of course, editorial director of Bloomberg

0:26:29.160 --> 0:26:33.240
<v Speaker 1>New Economy on the phone in New Hampshire. Brother mac

0:26:35.320 --> 0:26:42.240
<v Speaker 1>a journal but you let me drive. Oh no, no, no, no, honey, please,

0:26:42.320 --> 0:26:45.720
<v Speaker 1>I'll do the right gravels me. I want to drive,

0:26:48.480 --> 0:27:02.240
<v Speaker 1>just drive the questions trying the drive to the globe.

0:27:03.440 --> 0:27:08.159
<v Speaker 1>Thanks well drying us radio. It is time for the

0:27:08.240 --> 0:27:10.280
<v Speaker 1>drive to the close. Jim Lowell is back with us,

0:27:10.280 --> 0:27:14.200
<v Speaker 1>his chief investment officer at Advisor Investments are based in Newton,

0:27:14.880 --> 0:27:19.040
<v Speaker 1>Massachuset sits and we find him on the phone on

0:27:19.080 --> 0:27:21.760
<v Speaker 1>this mounton day and they've got over five billion dollars

0:27:21.760 --> 0:27:24.240
<v Speaker 1>in assets under management. Hey Jim, nice to have you

0:27:24.280 --> 0:27:27.640
<v Speaker 1>back with us. How are you. I am doing fine.

0:27:27.680 --> 0:27:30.360
<v Speaker 1>Thank you for asking. And I know you're doing well

0:27:30.440 --> 0:27:33.280
<v Speaker 1>because I listened to your show in regular basis. Well,

0:27:33.320 --> 0:27:35.879
<v Speaker 1>that's nice to hear. We get a little crazy sometimes

0:27:36.359 --> 0:27:40.439
<v Speaker 1>working from home can do that. So which camp do

0:27:40.520 --> 0:27:43.359
<v Speaker 1>you think makes more sense? I mean, it's just I

0:27:43.359 --> 0:27:45.480
<v Speaker 1>feel like there's such a struggle in the markets right now.

0:27:45.520 --> 0:27:48.480
<v Speaker 1>There's a focus on the reopening and maybe some of

0:27:48.520 --> 0:27:52.159
<v Speaker 1>the you know, green shoots, dare I say, of things

0:27:52.160 --> 0:27:55.720
<v Speaker 1>that start to sound like we're moving to reopen and

0:27:55.760 --> 0:27:59.040
<v Speaker 1>are reopening, and then there's those spike in cases, and

0:27:59.119 --> 0:28:03.160
<v Speaker 1>I do wonder how that slows down any economic momentum

0:28:03.200 --> 0:28:07.119
<v Speaker 1>that we ultimately have right now. Well, it clearly hasn't

0:28:07.160 --> 0:28:10.680
<v Speaker 1>done so yet, but it absolutely has greater than sort

0:28:10.720 --> 0:28:14.000
<v Speaker 1>of a moderate probability to do so. If we see

0:28:14.359 --> 0:28:18.679
<v Speaker 1>reopenings trigger enough of a second wave to then spike

0:28:18.800 --> 0:28:21.439
<v Speaker 1>up the number of reclosing, not just in terms of

0:28:21.600 --> 0:28:24.919
<v Speaker 1>ones e two the restaurants, but in terms of stage

0:28:25.000 --> 0:28:28.760
<v Speaker 1>taking necessary action that could that could unsettle the market

0:28:29.280 --> 0:28:31.600
<v Speaker 1>for a little bit, But overall, the market learned a

0:28:31.880 --> 0:28:36.439
<v Speaker 1>very difficult, but very swift lesson which wound up by

0:28:36.480 --> 0:28:40.040
<v Speaker 1>March twenty three. Feeling is if the world really had

0:28:40.200 --> 0:28:42.600
<v Speaker 1>had come to a standfill in the world head, but

0:28:42.680 --> 0:28:44.640
<v Speaker 1>the market got up and ran, and really it's been

0:28:44.720 --> 0:28:48.200
<v Speaker 1>running ever since. So we think this is a perfect

0:28:48.200 --> 0:28:52.880
<v Speaker 1>time to stay diversified, certainly disciplined. Um, we definitely think

0:28:52.920 --> 0:28:56.440
<v Speaker 1>that the medical data will trump any sort of economic

0:28:56.600 --> 0:28:59.560
<v Speaker 1>data earning data in the in the very near term.

0:28:59.680 --> 0:29:03.400
<v Speaker 1>But there again, we've already seen some good made data,

0:29:03.720 --> 0:29:06.560
<v Speaker 1>some tentative June data that suggests that we've made moving

0:29:06.640 --> 0:29:10.400
<v Speaker 1>from the worst of times too at least less worse ones,

0:29:10.640 --> 0:29:14.440
<v Speaker 1>and so long of the second wave isn't dramatically bigger

0:29:14.480 --> 0:29:19.360
<v Speaker 1>than the first. I think investors will do well to

0:29:19.640 --> 0:29:22.440
<v Speaker 1>hold on to their best ideas through through thickens an

0:29:22.480 --> 0:29:26.120
<v Speaker 1>emotional headlines and Jim, I mean, we are starting to

0:29:26.160 --> 0:29:28.680
<v Speaker 1>see this pattern emerge, it feels like, and we're starting

0:29:28.680 --> 0:29:31.120
<v Speaker 1>to see it here in the Tristate area, and I

0:29:31.240 --> 0:29:33.400
<v Speaker 1>dare so you're starting to see it up in Boston

0:29:33.640 --> 0:29:37.000
<v Speaker 1>and the Boston area as well. Of people are just

0:29:37.320 --> 0:29:40.320
<v Speaker 1>candidly tired of being cooped up. They want to get

0:29:40.360 --> 0:29:45.960
<v Speaker 1>out and there's a whole theory of just calculated risk

0:29:46.080 --> 0:29:49.000
<v Speaker 1>in many ways that people are able to are willing,

0:29:49.080 --> 0:29:52.880
<v Speaker 1>I guess to embrace in order to get on with it.

0:29:52.920 --> 0:29:55.000
<v Speaker 1>And it feels like that's one of the things that

0:29:55.000 --> 0:30:00.600
<v Speaker 1>are investors are ultimately betting on. Well, that's a excellent

0:30:00.640 --> 0:30:03.840
<v Speaker 1>points and the behavioral aspects to the ways of which

0:30:03.920 --> 0:30:07.720
<v Speaker 1>investors and traders moved in the markets and moved the

0:30:07.760 --> 0:30:11.800
<v Speaker 1>markets is certainly always a fascinating topic clearly playing out here.

0:30:11.840 --> 0:30:15.080
<v Speaker 1>I think absolutely right. Uh, you know, as human beings,

0:30:15.080 --> 0:30:17.520
<v Speaker 1>we're not designed to stay in panic mode for all

0:30:17.600 --> 0:30:20.200
<v Speaker 1>that long. And I would say that what has happened

0:30:20.480 --> 0:30:22.080
<v Speaker 1>for the last two and a half months is that

0:30:22.520 --> 0:30:24.120
<v Speaker 1>we did a very good job in the in the

0:30:24.360 --> 0:30:27.840
<v Speaker 1>in the front weeks, in the front months. But now

0:30:27.880 --> 0:30:30.960
<v Speaker 1>I think people are willing to risk maybe even getting sick.

0:30:31.320 --> 0:30:34.960
<v Speaker 1>They are focused on I think the need to uh

0:30:35.960 --> 0:30:39.120
<v Speaker 1>to fight for their freedom more than perhaps a flight

0:30:39.240 --> 0:30:41.680
<v Speaker 1>from the virus. The problem is the virus hasn't gone

0:30:41.680 --> 0:30:44.200
<v Speaker 1>anywhere and is of course going to come back, likely

0:30:44.240 --> 0:30:47.320
<v Speaker 1>with a vengeance and flue season. So this is this

0:30:47.400 --> 0:30:49.640
<v Speaker 1>is not an issue that's going to go away anytime soon.

0:30:49.720 --> 0:30:53.040
<v Speaker 1>But man it's awfully hard to stay indoors when the

0:30:53.120 --> 0:30:56.000
<v Speaker 1>sun is shining and the beaches beckoning. Well, and it's

0:30:56.040 --> 0:30:58.360
<v Speaker 1>interesting because we had a story on the on the

0:30:58.480 --> 0:31:00.840
<v Speaker 1>terminal today, Jim that just talk about how the stay

0:31:00.880 --> 0:31:03.240
<v Speaker 1>at home trades have come roaring back. I mean, I'm

0:31:03.240 --> 0:31:05.600
<v Speaker 1>looking at a name since you listen to us, you know,

0:31:05.640 --> 0:31:08.240
<v Speaker 1>we talked about it a lot, Peloton. I mean, I

0:31:08.280 --> 0:31:12.000
<v Speaker 1>think this stock is trading at its highest level. I mean,

0:31:12.080 --> 0:31:14.640
<v Speaker 1>and it's had quite a bump, you know, And this

0:31:14.800 --> 0:31:16.840
<v Speaker 1>is certainly one of those names that has benefited from

0:31:16.840 --> 0:31:20.000
<v Speaker 1>everybody being at home. And not everybody can afford a Peloton,

0:31:20.160 --> 0:31:21.880
<v Speaker 1>but a lot of folks who are working from home

0:31:21.960 --> 0:31:25.440
<v Speaker 1>can and as they want to work out, they're embracing that.

0:31:25.560 --> 0:31:28.120
<v Speaker 1>And of course, you know, Peloton increasingly also speaking of

0:31:28.120 --> 0:31:31.720
<v Speaker 1>embracing embracing kind of an online platform at the same

0:31:31.760 --> 0:31:34.840
<v Speaker 1>time and expanding their audience. And I do wonder whether

0:31:34.960 --> 0:31:39.400
<v Speaker 1>it's you know, Netflix or Zoom or Peloton Um, you know,

0:31:39.520 --> 0:31:41.880
<v Speaker 1>or Spotify or dropped like, I don't know, is there

0:31:42.040 --> 0:31:46.080
<v Speaker 1>some that you're seeing that makes sense to you know,

0:31:46.240 --> 0:31:50.520
<v Speaker 1>kind of trend into absolutely and you hit the nail

0:31:50.520 --> 0:31:53.840
<v Speaker 1>on the head. It is technology and technology that's adaptive

0:31:54.120 --> 0:31:58.480
<v Speaker 1>and capable of being adopted by a greater cadre of

0:31:58.480 --> 0:32:00.680
<v Speaker 1>the workforce, which is going to be staying at home,

0:32:01.160 --> 0:32:03.800
<v Speaker 1>if not full time, at least part time. I think

0:32:03.920 --> 0:32:06.600
<v Speaker 1>for years to come in certain segments of the workforce

0:32:06.640 --> 0:32:10.160
<v Speaker 1>are likely to stay back at home more than others,

0:32:10.280 --> 0:32:13.640
<v Speaker 1>especially as you go up to the age chain. By

0:32:13.680 --> 0:32:16.400
<v Speaker 1>myself from sixty, I'm very happy to be here at

0:32:16.440 --> 0:32:19.400
<v Speaker 1>home with all of my screens, all of my Zoom meetings.

0:32:19.520 --> 0:32:23.120
<v Speaker 1>I don't think we've ever worked harget Advisor investments, uh.

0:32:23.120 --> 0:32:26.000
<v Speaker 1>In part thanks to Zoom, we are really looking at

0:32:26.040 --> 0:32:29.720
<v Speaker 1>the market, analyzing research and engaging with our clients all

0:32:29.960 --> 0:32:33.920
<v Speaker 1>most seven days a week. So I think it has

0:32:34.080 --> 0:32:38.360
<v Speaker 1>unleashed this virus has unleashed almost an exponential growth in

0:32:38.440 --> 0:32:42.640
<v Speaker 1>terms of productivity for those whose businesses can in fact

0:32:42.640 --> 0:32:46.240
<v Speaker 1>be enhanced by by technology. And so what do you

0:32:46.240 --> 0:32:49.160
<v Speaker 1>worry about the most here, Jim, as we go through

0:32:49.160 --> 0:32:52.360
<v Speaker 1>the summer. Is it the second wave or a continuing

0:32:52.800 --> 0:32:55.440
<v Speaker 1>first wave? Is it the medical side? What? What are

0:32:55.480 --> 0:32:59.240
<v Speaker 1>the things that you think could disrupt what seems to

0:32:59.280 --> 0:33:03.640
<v Speaker 1>be a fairly consistent trend here. So what I would

0:33:03.640 --> 0:33:07.280
<v Speaker 1>say to that is, I'm almost always worried about a

0:33:07.320 --> 0:33:12.000
<v Speaker 1>whole range of things. The coronavirus, second wave blue season

0:33:12.280 --> 0:33:15.200
<v Speaker 1>clearly part and parts all of our concerns. We also

0:33:15.240 --> 0:33:17.600
<v Speaker 1>know that this is going to be a very contentious

0:33:17.640 --> 0:33:20.920
<v Speaker 1>election year uh and as we get closer to November,

0:33:21.560 --> 0:33:24.000
<v Speaker 1>the fear factor of those headlines will clearly have a

0:33:24.120 --> 0:33:26.840
<v Speaker 1>say on daily momentum and on the flip side of

0:33:26.840 --> 0:33:29.320
<v Speaker 1>the elections. No matter who wins, you could see some

0:33:29.680 --> 0:33:32.760
<v Speaker 1>fairly significant trading to the to the upward, down side,

0:33:32.760 --> 0:33:35.640
<v Speaker 1>depending upon how things play out. Overall, we think the

0:33:35.680 --> 0:33:37.840
<v Speaker 1>things that have been strong so far this year are

0:33:37.880 --> 0:33:41.680
<v Speaker 1>likely to remain relatively strong, even though on the technology side,

0:33:41.760 --> 0:33:45.560
<v Speaker 1>valuation concerns maybe beginning to pepper that pot that. Nevertheless,

0:33:45.880 --> 0:33:49.480
<v Speaker 1>we think technology, we think healthcare. We think if we

0:33:49.560 --> 0:33:52.960
<v Speaker 1>look in terms of the bond market and cash, we

0:33:53.040 --> 0:33:58.400
<v Speaker 1>like total bonds, especially total bond ETFs that are actively managed.

0:33:58.440 --> 0:34:00.680
<v Speaker 1>There are a few out there that are quite good. Um.

0:34:00.680 --> 0:34:03.080
<v Speaker 1>But we also think cash reserves continues to play a

0:34:03.160 --> 0:34:05.640
<v Speaker 1>beautiful role. We we always say there are three lives

0:34:05.720 --> 0:34:08.760
<v Speaker 1>to the investment school stock funds cash, but it always

0:34:08.760 --> 0:34:11.480
<v Speaker 1>takes the crisis to remind us about cash. Is that

0:34:11.640 --> 0:34:13.799
<v Speaker 1>third legs. It's interesting you talked about the elections. Are

0:34:13.880 --> 0:34:17.200
<v Speaker 1>Vince Sagnarella, who you know, is often a frequent voice

0:34:17.200 --> 0:34:18.840
<v Speaker 1>on our show, and he said he put out a

0:34:18.880 --> 0:34:22.840
<v Speaker 1>story there with the Macro Squawk and and just said

0:34:22.880 --> 0:34:25.440
<v Speaker 1>that the Biden fear their markets were a little concerned

0:34:25.440 --> 0:34:28.120
<v Speaker 1>about Joe Biden being president. But it seems like UH

0:34:28.200 --> 0:34:30.520
<v Speaker 1>investors are getting over that, and that they're also knowing

0:34:30.560 --> 0:34:34.440
<v Speaker 1>that Trump's tweets are having less influence on the trade.

0:34:34.520 --> 0:34:36.719
<v Speaker 1>So it's kind of interesting. So they're looking at it,

0:34:37.040 --> 0:34:39.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, in terms of politically what's influencing the markets.

0:34:39.880 --> 0:34:42.440
<v Speaker 1>Jim Lowell, thank you so much. I'm really a pleasure.

0:34:42.520 --> 0:34:45.640
<v Speaker 1>Chief investment officer at Advisor Investments five billion over five

0:34:45.640 --> 0:34:49.880
<v Speaker 1>billion in assets under management, on the phone from Newton, Massachusetts.

0:34:50.040 --> 0:34:52.520
<v Speaker 1>Thanks so much for listening to Blueberg Business Week. Download

0:34:52.520 --> 0:34:54.960
<v Speaker 1>the podcast on iTunes, south Cloud, Blueberg dot com, but

0:34:55.080 --> 0:34:57.399
<v Speaker 1>wherever you get your podcasts, And of course you can

0:34:57.400 --> 0:34:59.760
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0:34:59.880 --> 0:35:02.480
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0:35:02.560 --> 0:35:03.800
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