1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:05,440 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast. All right, here 2 00:00:05,440 --> 00:00:05,880 Speaker 1: we go. 3 00:00:10,920 --> 00:00:15,440 Speaker 2: Fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five, Tony Cody five fifty. 4 00:00:15,280 --> 00:00:20,400 Speaker 3: And the chick As Block the college Football Warren Stunner, 5 00:00:23,200 --> 00:00:25,840 Speaker 3: Oh my goodness, please stumble. 6 00:00:25,520 --> 00:00:29,720 Speaker 2: And rumble the lateral to the counter of. 7 00:00:29,800 --> 00:00:32,320 Speaker 3: The ejub don't you be lad? 8 00:00:34,320 --> 00:00:35,920 Speaker 2: Came off the field to night. 9 00:00:39,520 --> 00:00:42,479 Speaker 3: It's not the side of the dog in the fighting. 10 00:00:42,760 --> 00:00:45,000 Speaker 3: It's the side of the fight in the dog. 11 00:00:47,600 --> 00:00:49,760 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast, brought to 12 00:00:49,760 --> 00:00:51,400 Speaker 1: you by bet MGM. This or a group of five 13 00:00:51,440 --> 00:00:54,680 Speaker 1: deep dive. I'm Mike Calabreys. I'm joined by Mike Ianello. 14 00:00:55,080 --> 00:00:58,440 Speaker 1: Already here in week eleven. Unbelievable. We're in the final stretch. 15 00:00:58,640 --> 00:01:01,880 Speaker 1: The conference races are eating up across the G five, 16 00:01:02,080 --> 00:01:04,360 Speaker 1: and we'll get things started with a G five Hero. 17 00:01:04,560 --> 00:01:06,840 Speaker 1: It's a good thing to get the juices flow and 18 00:01:06,880 --> 00:01:19,360 Speaker 1: get some positivity locking Hero, Babe, I'll start Byron Brown, 19 00:01:19,560 --> 00:01:23,440 Speaker 1: quarterback for USF USF football. I'm playing the flag. They're 20 00:01:23,440 --> 00:01:26,240 Speaker 1: officially fun again. Shout out to Quinn Flowers, Matt Grothey 21 00:01:26,640 --> 00:01:28,240 Speaker 1: when they used to be able to sling the ball 22 00:01:28,319 --> 00:01:30,399 Speaker 1: all over the yard or run or you know, extend 23 00:01:30,440 --> 00:01:32,960 Speaker 1: plays with their legs. I'm not asking for much from 24 00:01:33,000 --> 00:01:36,040 Speaker 1: my G five cellar dwellers. I'm just asking they play 25 00:01:36,120 --> 00:01:39,240 Speaker 1: a fun brand of football, and they lost fifty nine 26 00:01:39,280 --> 00:01:42,039 Speaker 1: to fifty to Memphis. His stat line he was thirty 27 00:01:42,080 --> 00:01:44,119 Speaker 1: one for thirty eight, three hundred and fifty seven through 28 00:01:44,120 --> 00:01:47,160 Speaker 1: the air, five touchdowns, twenty three carries, one hundred yards. 29 00:01:47,680 --> 00:01:50,280 Speaker 1: I love that there's some fun football and Tampa again, 30 00:01:50,440 --> 00:01:53,919 Speaker 1: it's not the Buccaneers, it's the Bulls. Byron Brown tipping 31 00:01:53,960 --> 00:01:54,400 Speaker 1: my hat to you. 32 00:01:54,760 --> 00:01:58,600 Speaker 4: So I cheated and I picked too because I sat 33 00:01:58,680 --> 00:02:03,600 Speaker 4: down Monday night to watch an elite quarterback battle. No, 34 00:02:03,960 --> 00:02:07,160 Speaker 4: I'm not talking about Joe Burrow versus Josh Allen. I'm 35 00:02:07,200 --> 00:02:10,280 Speaker 4: talking about Byron Brown versus Seth Henigan because I spent 36 00:02:10,360 --> 00:02:12,440 Speaker 4: my mind the night rewatching this game. So my G 37 00:02:12,639 --> 00:02:15,240 Speaker 4: five heroes of the Week, I gave it to Byron 38 00:02:15,280 --> 00:02:19,000 Speaker 4: Brown and Seth Henigan because Hennigan had three hundred and 39 00:02:19,080 --> 00:02:21,840 Speaker 4: fifty yards and four touchdowns passing and he added a 40 00:02:21,919 --> 00:02:25,320 Speaker 4: touchdown running. What a game from these two. If you 41 00:02:25,360 --> 00:02:28,040 Speaker 4: guys have some free time this week, go rewatch this 42 00:02:28,200 --> 00:02:32,240 Speaker 4: game on ESPN Plus. Because Brown was awesome, but Hannigan 43 00:02:32,400 --> 00:02:34,400 Speaker 4: was just as good. They went shot for shot. So 44 00:02:34,520 --> 00:02:37,320 Speaker 4: my G five Heroes of the Week was Byron Brown 45 00:02:37,440 --> 00:02:39,880 Speaker 4: and Seth Henigan because that was maybe the most fun 46 00:02:39,960 --> 00:02:41,639 Speaker 4: game of the weekend. And I'm so glad I went 47 00:02:41,680 --> 00:02:43,519 Speaker 4: and rewatched it and I highly recommend this. 48 00:02:43,800 --> 00:02:46,440 Speaker 5: And again pulls away from center, keeps it himself on 49 00:02:46,560 --> 00:02:49,880 Speaker 5: the fake and it's a walk in touchdown for the 50 00:02:49,960 --> 00:02:53,280 Speaker 5: Memphis quarterback. On second and goal from the seven, Brown 51 00:02:53,520 --> 00:02:57,840 Speaker 5: zip sit corner over the shoulder catch just made Sean 52 00:02:57,960 --> 00:03:04,200 Speaker 5: Atkins with the touchdown. Second and ten hand again, corner touchdown. 53 00:03:05,760 --> 00:03:11,440 Speaker 5: Brown fixed the pitch roll out all alone. 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I know I stole your thunder a 82 00:04:23,560 --> 00:04:25,400 Speaker 1: little bit with our G five hero, so let me 83 00:04:25,520 --> 00:04:27,360 Speaker 1: allow you the honors of going first. 84 00:04:27,640 --> 00:04:30,000 Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm going with unov Mins four and a half 85 00:04:30,160 --> 00:04:32,400 Speaker 4: crepped up a little bit, I still like it pretty much. 86 00:04:32,480 --> 00:04:35,320 Speaker 4: Up to sixth For me, this is a very similar 87 00:04:35,360 --> 00:04:38,400 Speaker 4: handicap to when I took Boise State over Wyoming. U 88 00:04:38,440 --> 00:04:40,160 Speaker 4: and V's honestly played better than Boise State, so I 89 00:04:40,279 --> 00:04:42,719 Speaker 4: like it even more. UNOV is a run first attack. 90 00:04:42,800 --> 00:04:44,840 Speaker 4: That's what they want to do. They average two hundred 91 00:04:44,920 --> 00:04:47,960 Speaker 4: yards per game on the ground, if twenty eight rushing touchdowns, 92 00:04:48,000 --> 00:04:51,360 Speaker 4: second most in the country, only one less to USC 93 00:04:51,480 --> 00:04:54,719 Speaker 4: who's played an extra game than them. They rotate Vincent Davis, 94 00:04:55,360 --> 00:04:58,880 Speaker 4: Donovan Lester, and Jaden Thomas. All three are averaging over 95 00:04:58,920 --> 00:05:01,719 Speaker 4: forty yards per game. They are eleventh in the country 96 00:05:01,920 --> 00:05:05,600 Speaker 4: and rushing explosiveness. And while this is a run first unit, 97 00:05:05,680 --> 00:05:08,680 Speaker 4: freshman jayde Mava he looks better and better as a 98 00:05:08,720 --> 00:05:11,240 Speaker 4: passer each week. Over his last four games, he's completing 99 00:05:11,600 --> 00:05:14,799 Speaker 4: seventy one percent of his passes, seven touchdowns, two picks 100 00:05:14,880 --> 00:05:18,080 Speaker 4: over that stretch. As I mentioned, Ifhewo Wyoming's defense just 101 00:05:18,200 --> 00:05:20,560 Speaker 4: isn't good, like they're not the Wyoming where us just sitting. 102 00:05:20,600 --> 00:05:22,960 Speaker 4: They're one hundred and sixth in success right, can't stop 103 00:05:23,000 --> 00:05:25,440 Speaker 4: the run, can't stop the pass. I'm most scared of 104 00:05:25,520 --> 00:05:29,400 Speaker 4: this Cowboys running game. Harrison Whaley's back, but that's kind 105 00:05:29,440 --> 00:05:31,680 Speaker 4: of what Unov's run defense has been really good, so 106 00:05:31,760 --> 00:05:33,480 Speaker 4: I think that kind of plays well for them. And 107 00:05:33,720 --> 00:05:35,599 Speaker 4: we've talked about a couple of times on this pot. 108 00:05:35,720 --> 00:05:38,159 Speaker 4: We both cashed in on it. We've seen the voodoo 109 00:05:38,640 --> 00:05:43,599 Speaker 4: of Laramie for years, especially this season. Wyoming is six 110 00:05:43,720 --> 00:05:46,440 Speaker 4: and zero in Laradice and they are zero and three 111 00:05:46,520 --> 00:05:50,599 Speaker 4: on the road, so going to Vegas. This is also 112 00:05:50,720 --> 00:05:52,520 Speaker 4: just a big game for the Mountain West. Fresno State 113 00:05:52,560 --> 00:05:54,920 Speaker 4: and UNOV are tied four and one in conference play 114 00:05:55,400 --> 00:05:57,480 Speaker 4: and likely the second spot in the Mountain West title 115 00:05:57,560 --> 00:06:00,480 Speaker 4: game will go to one of those two teams. Fresno 116 00:06:00,560 --> 00:06:03,280 Speaker 4: has the tiebreaker, and you look at Fresno's schedule San 117 00:06:03,360 --> 00:06:06,760 Speaker 4: Jose State, New Mexico, San Diego State left, they'll be 118 00:06:06,800 --> 00:06:09,280 Speaker 4: favored in all three And we may talk about this 119 00:06:09,360 --> 00:06:12,160 Speaker 4: week's game later, but you and O V has to 120 00:06:12,240 --> 00:06:14,720 Speaker 4: have the mindset of Fresno's gonna win out. We have 121 00:06:14,880 --> 00:06:17,240 Speaker 4: to win out to have a shot. You and V's 122 00:06:17,279 --> 00:06:19,080 Speaker 4: eight to one against the spread this year. They are 123 00:06:19,160 --> 00:06:22,520 Speaker 4: the single most profitable team to bet on in the 124 00:06:22,720 --> 00:06:25,479 Speaker 4: entire country. I looked it up in our Action Labs database. 125 00:06:27,440 --> 00:06:41,760 Speaker 4: Than my big question for you, how much regret do 126 00:06:41,839 --> 00:06:45,680 Speaker 4: you think is going on that Bobby Petrino downgraded when 127 00:06:45,720 --> 00:06:48,760 Speaker 4: he left UNOV after a week for Texas A and M. 128 00:06:49,400 --> 00:06:51,919 Speaker 4: You could have been coaching at a winning program. Bobby 129 00:06:51,960 --> 00:06:53,919 Speaker 4: boy boy? Did he mess up? 130 00:06:54,080 --> 00:06:56,320 Speaker 6: Yeah? I think the bag that he got probably makes 131 00:06:56,360 --> 00:06:58,440 Speaker 6: him feel a little bit better. But a lot of 132 00:06:58,520 --> 00:07:00,719 Speaker 6: motor cycles in Vegas motorcyclist. 133 00:07:00,760 --> 00:07:01,640 Speaker 2: His loss is. 134 00:07:01,680 --> 00:07:02,720 Speaker 6: Brendan Marion's game. 135 00:07:03,160 --> 00:07:06,280 Speaker 1: I wrote up an article for Action the top six 136 00:07:06,400 --> 00:07:09,360 Speaker 1: or seven candidates to be the new OC in Iowa City, 137 00:07:09,760 --> 00:07:11,520 Speaker 1: and I think Brennan Marion should be one of their 138 00:07:11,600 --> 00:07:13,320 Speaker 1: very first calls. You need to get him in his 139 00:07:13,440 --> 00:07:15,640 Speaker 1: go go offense on a plane. I don't know if 140 00:07:15,680 --> 00:07:18,160 Speaker 1: there's any direct flights from Since City to Iowa City. 141 00:07:18,280 --> 00:07:22,000 Speaker 1: Probably not, so maybe a connection or two land in Chicago. 142 00:07:21,720 --> 00:07:22,200 Speaker 6: Rent a card. 143 00:07:22,320 --> 00:07:23,800 Speaker 4: I think the planes go the other way there. 144 00:07:24,040 --> 00:07:27,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree, But yeah, his offense is phenomenal. It's 145 00:07:27,840 --> 00:07:29,800 Speaker 1: exactly what it was supposed to be, a nice balance 146 00:07:29,800 --> 00:07:32,840 Speaker 1: of running pass he was supposed to have, you know, 147 00:07:33,200 --> 00:07:35,960 Speaker 1: a great dual threat quarterback in brumfield, and he ends 148 00:07:36,000 --> 00:07:38,680 Speaker 1: up getting hurt and he's you know, made lemonade out 149 00:07:38,680 --> 00:07:41,480 Speaker 1: of lemons in this situation, So all credit to him. 150 00:07:41,560 --> 00:07:43,640 Speaker 1: I think he's going to get a huge payday, if 151 00:07:43,720 --> 00:07:46,040 Speaker 1: not maybe a head coaching opportunity. I know he's still 152 00:07:46,080 --> 00:07:48,600 Speaker 1: really young, he'd be one of the youngest head coaches 153 00:07:48,760 --> 00:07:51,360 Speaker 1: in FBS or FCS, but I don't think it would 154 00:07:51,360 --> 00:07:53,480 Speaker 1: be outside of the realm possibility for an AD to 155 00:07:53,520 --> 00:07:55,680 Speaker 1: take a swing on him, because everywhere he's been he's 156 00:07:55,720 --> 00:07:58,720 Speaker 1: been impactful. He was a pit he helped Jordan Addison 157 00:07:58,800 --> 00:08:01,160 Speaker 1: when you know the Blennikoff he was at Texas. Like, 158 00:08:01,240 --> 00:08:04,400 Speaker 1: in terms of his resume and the elbows, you know, 159 00:08:04,720 --> 00:08:07,160 Speaker 1: he's been rubbing elbows with a lot of great offensive 160 00:08:07,200 --> 00:08:09,880 Speaker 1: minds at many different stops. So I think at this 161 00:08:10,000 --> 00:08:12,040 Speaker 1: point he's one of the rising stars in the coaching game. 162 00:08:12,080 --> 00:08:14,480 Speaker 1: So I like that play a lot to get things started. 163 00:08:14,640 --> 00:08:16,640 Speaker 1: I think you're gonna like this one because I'm. 164 00:08:16,480 --> 00:08:17,280 Speaker 6: Going to tease it here. 165 00:08:17,840 --> 00:08:20,760 Speaker 1: This game features a quarterback that I am going to 166 00:08:20,920 --> 00:08:23,720 Speaker 1: from now on refer to as the King of garbage time. 167 00:08:23,960 --> 00:08:28,000 Speaker 1: I'm going North Texas plus seventeen at SMU on Friday. 168 00:08:28,160 --> 00:08:30,720 Speaker 1: If you want to talk about the Action Network Lab database. 169 00:08:30,840 --> 00:08:32,920 Speaker 1: The mean Green are five and zero against the spread 170 00:08:33,160 --> 00:08:37,240 Speaker 1: in AAC play and referring to Chandler Rogers in conference play, 171 00:08:37,600 --> 00:08:41,000 Speaker 1: eighteen total touchdowns against just two turnovers. The mean Green 172 00:08:41,000 --> 00:08:43,640 Speaker 1: are up to twenty first in scoring, ninth in total offense, 173 00:08:43,960 --> 00:08:46,520 Speaker 1: tied tenth nationally in plays of twenty yards or more 174 00:08:46,559 --> 00:08:48,400 Speaker 1: from scrimmage, and the reason why I call him the 175 00:08:48,480 --> 00:08:51,400 Speaker 1: King of garbage time. In the fourth quarter in AAC play, 176 00:08:51,640 --> 00:08:53,800 Speaker 1: they're averaging over fourteen points per game. 177 00:08:54,160 --> 00:08:55,079 Speaker 6: That is incredible. 178 00:08:55,400 --> 00:08:58,679 Speaker 1: If you would put that, you know, those numbers across 179 00:08:58,720 --> 00:09:00,880 Speaker 1: the entire season, they'd be eating the country in fourth 180 00:09:00,960 --> 00:09:04,360 Speaker 1: quarter scoring. They just fall behind and then catch up 181 00:09:04,440 --> 00:09:07,040 Speaker 1: enough to cover. So I really like what they're doing 182 00:09:07,120 --> 00:09:09,599 Speaker 1: up against an SMU team that's been playing great. But 183 00:09:09,720 --> 00:09:12,319 Speaker 1: Preston Stone is in the concussion protocol, and I do 184 00:09:12,520 --> 00:09:14,760 Speaker 1: not think that this line is adjusted. It's a short week, 185 00:09:14,920 --> 00:09:17,679 Speaker 1: they're playing on Friday. Does Stone get out of the 186 00:09:17,720 --> 00:09:18,520 Speaker 1: protocol on time? 187 00:09:18,720 --> 00:09:19,400 Speaker 4: I'm not sure. 188 00:09:19,960 --> 00:09:22,400 Speaker 1: And also a potential look at spot for SMU. They 189 00:09:22,600 --> 00:09:25,959 Speaker 1: they're undefeated in AAC play. They have to keep pace 190 00:09:26,200 --> 00:09:27,520 Speaker 1: to try to get to the title game, but they 191 00:09:27,600 --> 00:09:29,640 Speaker 1: got a road trip to Memphis next week, and this 192 00:09:29,760 --> 00:09:31,559 Speaker 1: North Texas team they're going to beat them, so I 193 00:09:31,600 --> 00:09:33,720 Speaker 1: think that's that seeps into their mind a little bit. 194 00:09:33,880 --> 00:09:35,679 Speaker 1: So I'll take the seventeen here. I think this is 195 00:09:35,840 --> 00:09:38,120 Speaker 1: way too many. I think they're gonna lose by between 196 00:09:38,160 --> 00:09:40,360 Speaker 1: you know, ten to fourteen points and another big game 197 00:09:40,400 --> 00:09:41,240 Speaker 1: for Chandler Rogers. 198 00:09:48,840 --> 00:09:51,920 Speaker 4: Yeah, I wasn't gonna pick against their boys, but I 199 00:09:52,000 --> 00:09:53,839 Speaker 4: definitely the numbers two. I agree with you, And I 200 00:09:53,920 --> 00:09:55,599 Speaker 4: also think this is one of those ones where with 201 00:09:55,640 --> 00:09:57,760 Speaker 4: the Friday night game we've seen so many times in 202 00:09:57,840 --> 00:09:59,880 Speaker 4: college football, I feel like every time I've tried to 203 00:10:00,360 --> 00:10:02,360 Speaker 4: and like hope a guy gets ruled in, he's ruled out. 204 00:10:02,679 --> 00:10:04,840 Speaker 4: Seems like teams are so careful. It happened last year 205 00:10:04,840 --> 00:10:07,240 Speaker 4: I got screwed bet in South Alabama, Carter Brawley's out. 206 00:10:07,600 --> 00:10:10,400 Speaker 4: It feels like teams are being more cautious with players, 207 00:10:10,600 --> 00:10:13,400 Speaker 4: especially concussions. So this is one where as soon as 208 00:10:13,440 --> 00:10:17,000 Speaker 4: you're listening to this, I'd grab the seventeen plus with 209 00:10:17,360 --> 00:10:20,680 Speaker 4: North Texas because I think if Stone is ruled out, 210 00:10:20,800 --> 00:10:24,400 Speaker 4: this probably crashes to what fourteen you know, give or take. 211 00:10:24,880 --> 00:10:27,080 Speaker 4: So I don't I agree with you, I'll be shocked 212 00:10:27,080 --> 00:10:30,240 Speaker 4: if Stone plays, and seventeen is not unfathomable even if 213 00:10:30,240 --> 00:10:32,200 Speaker 4: Stone does play, So I would just take the chance 214 00:10:32,280 --> 00:10:33,800 Speaker 4: and take the number. Why you get it? Like I said, 215 00:10:33,840 --> 00:10:35,880 Speaker 4: I don't really love it, just because I like Sebu, 216 00:10:35,960 --> 00:10:37,840 Speaker 4: I have sm futures. I don't really want to bet 217 00:10:37,960 --> 00:10:40,400 Speaker 4: against them, but I definitely the numbers too big. 218 00:10:40,840 --> 00:10:43,520 Speaker 1: A reminder to our audience, BBOC is presented by Bett 219 00:10:43,640 --> 00:10:46,480 Speaker 1: MGM use bonus code action when signing up to get 220 00:10:46,520 --> 00:10:49,520 Speaker 1: a fifteen hundred dollars paid back in bonus bet situation 221 00:10:50,040 --> 00:10:56,520 Speaker 1: if your first bet loses. For new users in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, 222 00:10:56,600 --> 00:11:00,440 Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia, and Wyoming. 223 00:11:00,800 --> 00:11:03,760 Speaker 1: Terms and conditions apply. Must be twenty one or older. 224 00:11:04,080 --> 00:11:07,199 Speaker 1: Gambling problem Call one eight hundred gambler. All right, we 225 00:11:07,320 --> 00:11:09,679 Speaker 1: are tearing through this episode here. We're now onto the 226 00:11:09,760 --> 00:11:11,240 Speaker 1: G five High five round. 227 00:11:11,160 --> 00:11:15,839 Speaker 4: Robin, the G five high fived High five High five. 228 00:11:16,960 --> 00:11:18,640 Speaker 1: As you know, we're going to give out five picks, 229 00:11:18,880 --> 00:11:21,320 Speaker 1: put them together into a five team or parlay put 230 00:11:21,400 --> 00:11:23,800 Speaker 1: them into some round Robbins by twos, by threes. However 231 00:11:23,840 --> 00:11:26,199 Speaker 1: you want to slice and dice these hoping to get 232 00:11:26,240 --> 00:11:27,679 Speaker 1: back to our winning ways. I think we hit what 233 00:11:27,800 --> 00:11:30,400 Speaker 1: two weeks ago with a clean sweep. I kin get 234 00:11:30,480 --> 00:11:33,880 Speaker 1: started here with an over in the sunbelt Texas State 235 00:11:34,040 --> 00:11:37,079 Speaker 1: against Coastal. This number I had at Peggs in my 236 00:11:37,160 --> 00:11:39,800 Speaker 1: projections at sixty three sit at fifty eight and a half, 237 00:11:40,120 --> 00:11:41,599 Speaker 1: and I think it's sitting at fifty eight and a 238 00:11:41,640 --> 00:11:44,959 Speaker 1: half because of the quarterback question, will Grace McCall come 239 00:11:45,000 --> 00:11:48,440 Speaker 1: back from concussion or do we get dual threat Ethan Vasco, 240 00:11:48,760 --> 00:11:50,280 Speaker 1: who I'm fine with because he just went for one 241 00:11:50,320 --> 00:11:52,600 Speaker 1: hundred and eighty passing one hundred and seventy rushing against 242 00:11:52,640 --> 00:11:54,720 Speaker 1: an old Dominion team that has a lot feist year 243 00:11:54,720 --> 00:11:56,280 Speaker 1: and than we thought they were going to be. Coastal 244 00:11:56,480 --> 00:11:57,800 Speaker 1: is going to be able to move the ball if 245 00:11:57,840 --> 00:12:00,880 Speaker 1: it's Vasco or McCall in this game. Texas State one 246 00:12:00,960 --> 00:12:03,839 Speaker 1: hundred and twenty fifth and explosives allowed, especially bad on 247 00:12:03,920 --> 00:12:06,640 Speaker 1: the ground, and then Coastal. You know every year since 248 00:12:06,679 --> 00:12:09,120 Speaker 1: their breakout season during COVID, they've gotten a little worse 249 00:12:09,160 --> 00:12:11,720 Speaker 1: on defense. They're seventy eighth in defensive success rate. They 250 00:12:11,720 --> 00:12:13,720 Speaker 1: gave up thirty eight to Georgia Southern. I think that's 251 00:12:13,760 --> 00:12:16,240 Speaker 1: a comp to this Texas State team that just absolutely 252 00:12:16,240 --> 00:12:18,480 Speaker 1: beat the doors off of Georgia Southern. The Bobs are 253 00:12:18,559 --> 00:12:22,240 Speaker 1: ninth in offensive success rate. I love Finlay, I love Maudi, 254 00:12:22,400 --> 00:12:23,400 Speaker 1: I love Joey Hobert. 255 00:12:23,640 --> 00:12:24,320 Speaker 6: This offense. 256 00:12:24,400 --> 00:12:26,360 Speaker 1: I think can Cook can go for forty on their 257 00:12:26,400 --> 00:12:29,080 Speaker 1: own in a game like this because Texas State still 258 00:12:29,160 --> 00:12:31,480 Speaker 1: is an opportunity to crash the party and play for 259 00:12:31,559 --> 00:12:33,960 Speaker 1: the Sun Belt Championship if they went out and things 260 00:12:34,040 --> 00:12:35,719 Speaker 1: break their way. So they think you're going to see 261 00:12:35,760 --> 00:12:38,240 Speaker 1: a focused effort from GJ. Kenny and the boys. They 262 00:12:38,320 --> 00:12:40,400 Speaker 1: just got to bowl eligibility. They were jumping in the 263 00:12:40,520 --> 00:12:43,320 Speaker 1: river or lake or whatever something through the whole team, 264 00:12:43,720 --> 00:12:44,880 Speaker 1: the managers, all their stuff. 265 00:12:45,120 --> 00:12:45,760 Speaker 6: It was amazing. 266 00:12:46,000 --> 00:12:48,120 Speaker 1: It was one of the coolest scenes in college football. 267 00:12:48,800 --> 00:12:50,800 Speaker 1: You know, shout out to the Bedlam game. They got 268 00:12:50,880 --> 00:12:53,880 Speaker 1: the publicity for the goalpost going in the lake, but 269 00:12:54,000 --> 00:12:55,480 Speaker 1: I think in this case, Texas State and. 270 00:12:55,520 --> 00:12:59,160 Speaker 4: GI School president went in the lake. That's the state. 271 00:12:59,280 --> 00:13:01,240 Speaker 6: That's a way cool. It's phenomenal. 272 00:13:01,320 --> 00:13:02,960 Speaker 1: So I'm going over here fifteen and a half, I'd 273 00:13:03,000 --> 00:13:04,080 Speaker 1: played up to sixty one. 274 00:13:04,800 --> 00:13:06,679 Speaker 4: I have a question for you. You like the over here. 275 00:13:06,760 --> 00:13:09,000 Speaker 4: Who do you think does the majority of the scoring 276 00:13:09,760 --> 00:13:12,640 Speaker 4: Texas State give me the bobs minus one. That's one 277 00:13:12,679 --> 00:13:15,320 Speaker 4: of my picks. You mentioned it. Ninth in the country 278 00:13:15,360 --> 00:13:19,080 Speaker 4: in passing success eleventh and rushing Finley Maddi both fantastic 279 00:13:19,720 --> 00:13:23,120 Speaker 4: coastal defense taking step backs. They're below average across the board, 280 00:13:23,640 --> 00:13:26,520 Speaker 4: especially against the run, and the offense does not run 281 00:13:26,559 --> 00:13:27,800 Speaker 4: the ball like the used two. This is not the 282 00:13:27,880 --> 00:13:30,199 Speaker 4: Jamie Chadwell offense. I hate Tim Back. I think Tim 283 00:13:30,280 --> 00:13:32,320 Speaker 4: Beck is a horrific play caller. I don't know why 284 00:13:32,400 --> 00:13:34,280 Speaker 4: they hired him. It wasn't good at n NC State 285 00:13:34,360 --> 00:13:36,200 Speaker 4: was thrilled he left, which is never a good sign. 286 00:13:36,679 --> 00:13:39,319 Speaker 4: I don't think McCall plays. That said, he's unlikely, so 287 00:13:39,480 --> 00:13:42,079 Speaker 4: I'm not expecting him. Jerk guest didn't play last week. 288 00:13:42,200 --> 00:13:45,040 Speaker 4: He stinks Pasco. You like him, I don't know. Seventeen 289 00:13:45,080 --> 00:13:47,520 Speaker 4: for thirty one hundred eighty yards. Pick touched that like. 290 00:13:47,760 --> 00:13:52,160 Speaker 4: He's nothing for me. He's a red shirt freshman, and yeah, 291 00:13:52,320 --> 00:13:53,960 Speaker 4: you know, I don't. I don't. I'm not gonna play 292 00:13:53,960 --> 00:13:56,080 Speaker 4: the over. But yeah, the Texas State defense isn't anything 293 00:13:56,160 --> 00:13:58,600 Speaker 4: right home about. But they're eighteenth at creating havoc. They're 294 00:13:58,640 --> 00:14:01,120 Speaker 4: thirty third at preventing finishing drive. So I think you 295 00:14:01,160 --> 00:14:03,600 Speaker 4: they ca've forced vasco and turnovers. If it comes down 296 00:14:03,679 --> 00:14:05,760 Speaker 4: to it and you think this game is high scoring, 297 00:14:06,000 --> 00:14:07,960 Speaker 4: I think the Bobcats do the most of it. Lane 298 00:14:08,040 --> 00:14:09,959 Speaker 4: one I took them. They opened a one and a 299 00:14:09,960 --> 00:14:12,600 Speaker 4: half point dog. It's still you know, I would take 300 00:14:12,600 --> 00:14:15,000 Speaker 4: this up to like three, So give me the Bobs 301 00:14:15,120 --> 00:14:15,640 Speaker 4: minus one. 302 00:14:15,880 --> 00:14:17,319 Speaker 1: I'm going to go with the dog here for my 303 00:14:17,400 --> 00:14:19,960 Speaker 1: next one, Navy plus three. 304 00:14:20,440 --> 00:14:23,080 Speaker 6: Now you may be wondering who's Navy playing. 305 00:14:23,120 --> 00:14:26,120 Speaker 1: Well, they're playing Trent Dilfer and the UAB run defense, 306 00:14:26,200 --> 00:14:29,840 Speaker 1: which is the worst in America. And now they're incredibly 307 00:14:29,880 --> 00:14:32,760 Speaker 1: inexperienced staff. We talked about it in the summer. Seven 308 00:14:32,800 --> 00:14:35,040 Speaker 1: of their ten position coaches are coaching a position for 309 00:14:35,120 --> 00:14:37,560 Speaker 1: the very first time. Are dealing with a week to 310 00:14:37,640 --> 00:14:40,160 Speaker 1: prepare for the triple option or some variation of it. 311 00:14:41,000 --> 00:14:43,520 Speaker 1: Navy's defense has been a huge surprise against the run. 312 00:14:43,560 --> 00:14:45,840 Speaker 1: They're twenty six in success rate. So I think it's 313 00:14:45,880 --> 00:14:50,080 Speaker 1: going to come down to UAB maintaining drives, stringing things together. 314 00:14:50,320 --> 00:14:52,720 Speaker 1: And here's the thing watching them when things are going good. 315 00:14:52,760 --> 00:14:56,360 Speaker 1: This year, they've hit exposive plays as they did against FAU, 316 00:14:56,680 --> 00:14:59,680 Speaker 1: but they let Fau erase a huge second half deficit 317 00:15:00,000 --> 00:15:01,640 Speaker 1: because they went in the tank and they didn't have 318 00:15:02,080 --> 00:15:04,200 Speaker 1: the kind of continuity and momentum that they won in 319 00:15:04,200 --> 00:15:06,320 Speaker 1: the second half. They almost gave the game away. What 320 00:15:06,480 --> 00:15:10,640 Speaker 1: is Navy going to specialize in taking those rare stops, 321 00:15:10,680 --> 00:15:12,920 Speaker 1: those rare opportunities where you get a turnover, you get 322 00:15:12,960 --> 00:15:14,920 Speaker 1: a punt, you got a turnover on downs, and turning 323 00:15:14,960 --> 00:15:16,680 Speaker 1: it into a seven or eight minute drive going the 324 00:15:16,720 --> 00:15:19,440 Speaker 1: other way. That's why I like Navy in this spot 325 00:15:19,560 --> 00:15:21,760 Speaker 1: is when you look at what they've done against quality offenses. 326 00:15:22,080 --> 00:15:24,040 Speaker 1: And I'm going to say it through gritted teeth, the 327 00:15:24,120 --> 00:15:27,200 Speaker 1: Blazers are a quality offense here in the AAC hat 328 00:15:27,280 --> 00:15:28,280 Speaker 1: tip to Trent Dilford. 329 00:15:28,280 --> 00:15:28,760 Speaker 2: Don't like it. 330 00:15:28,960 --> 00:15:31,720 Speaker 1: I'm just going to face reality. But the other reality 331 00:15:31,800 --> 00:15:34,640 Speaker 1: is Navy had held North Texas. But I just talked about, 332 00:15:34,720 --> 00:15:36,800 Speaker 1: you know, all their accolades this year on that side 333 00:15:36,800 --> 00:15:39,160 Speaker 1: of the ball to twenty four points. Memphis, who we 334 00:15:39,240 --> 00:15:40,720 Speaker 1: mentioned at the top of the show, that just scored 335 00:15:40,800 --> 00:15:43,120 Speaker 1: fifty nine in a game Navy held them to twenty 336 00:15:43,160 --> 00:15:43,880 Speaker 1: eight in a game. 337 00:15:43,800 --> 00:15:46,800 Speaker 6: That they were in it all four quarters. And there 338 00:15:46,920 --> 00:15:48,160 Speaker 6: is a path for. 339 00:15:48,320 --> 00:15:50,720 Speaker 1: Navy to get to Bowl eligibility, to get to six wins. 340 00:15:51,000 --> 00:15:53,680 Speaker 1: They got UAB, they got ACU, and they get Army. 341 00:15:53,880 --> 00:15:54,520 Speaker 6: Those are three. 342 00:15:54,440 --> 00:15:57,600 Speaker 1: Winnable games, two at home, the third one against Army 343 00:15:57,680 --> 00:15:59,960 Speaker 1: in Foxborough at a neutral site. You're going to see 344 00:16:00,080 --> 00:16:02,880 Speaker 1: a great effort at home from the mids here. I'm 345 00:16:02,920 --> 00:16:03,880 Speaker 1: gonna take him plus three. 346 00:16:20,120 --> 00:16:22,680 Speaker 4: I have no real feeling, you know, my thoughts on Service. 347 00:16:22,840 --> 00:16:24,720 Speaker 4: I mean, they just got trucked by Temple, so I'm 348 00:16:24,800 --> 00:16:26,600 Speaker 4: not I don't I don't know they could win this 349 00:16:26,640 --> 00:16:28,440 Speaker 4: game by thirty or lose by twenty five. I really 350 00:16:28,480 --> 00:16:30,400 Speaker 4: don't have any feeling on Service academies. I hate that, 351 00:16:30,480 --> 00:16:32,440 Speaker 4: and I'm God bless you. I mean, I'm never gonna 352 00:16:32,480 --> 00:16:34,360 Speaker 4: argue with fading drink over. So I hope you win. 353 00:16:34,760 --> 00:16:37,800 Speaker 4: Uh did you pick the gross, horrific, terrible game? You 354 00:16:37,960 --> 00:16:41,400 Speaker 4: said at the top of the show. You want fun? Right, 355 00:16:41,600 --> 00:16:42,280 Speaker 4: you just want fun? 356 00:16:42,600 --> 00:16:43,040 Speaker 6: I sure do. 357 00:16:43,440 --> 00:16:45,680 Speaker 4: Who's who's playing? Who's playing fun? Right? 358 00:16:45,720 --> 00:16:45,840 Speaker 6: Now? 359 00:16:46,080 --> 00:16:48,800 Speaker 4: Give me South Florida minus seven against Temple. 360 00:16:49,280 --> 00:16:51,600 Speaker 6: They're giving a full touchdowns to E. J. 361 00:16:51,760 --> 00:16:52,080 Speaker 4: Warner. 362 00:16:52,320 --> 00:16:54,840 Speaker 6: I'm a little surprised by that. You're gonna go over 363 00:16:54,960 --> 00:16:55,400 Speaker 6: for the fun. 364 00:16:55,680 --> 00:16:56,200 Speaker 4: I could do that. 365 00:16:56,560 --> 00:16:59,680 Speaker 6: I don't audible look at the arm bands. 366 00:17:02,680 --> 00:17:06,040 Speaker 4: Alex Gullish has his offense humming former Tennessee offensive coordinator, 367 00:17:06,040 --> 00:17:08,840 Speaker 4: so no surprise there. Averaging thirty points per game. They've 368 00:17:08,840 --> 00:17:11,600 Speaker 4: had over thirty five for the last six. Our Hero, 369 00:17:11,880 --> 00:17:16,000 Speaker 4: Our collective hero Byron Brown. He was awesome. Seventeen touchdowns, 370 00:17:16,080 --> 00:17:19,520 Speaker 4: seventh picks. He's got over six hundred yards and eight touchdowns. Rushing. 371 00:17:20,040 --> 00:17:22,480 Speaker 4: Nay Kwan Wright has been their main running back. He's great. 372 00:17:22,760 --> 00:17:25,000 Speaker 4: But Kelly Joyner returned last week. He's been injured for 373 00:17:25,080 --> 00:17:26,720 Speaker 4: most of the year, so I think that he's a veteran. 374 00:17:27,119 --> 00:17:30,320 Speaker 4: He's good there. This receiver room, Sean Atkins is kind 375 00:17:30,320 --> 00:17:33,199 Speaker 4: of their leading receiver. He's the possession guy. Nam Simmons 376 00:17:33,280 --> 00:17:35,840 Speaker 4: is the big play threat deep. But this Michael Brown 377 00:17:35,920 --> 00:17:38,560 Speaker 4: Stevens cat has can't come out of nowhere for them. 378 00:17:38,920 --> 00:17:42,040 Speaker 4: He had six total receiving yards to the first four games. 379 00:17:42,040 --> 00:17:43,240 Speaker 4: I don't know if he was like hurt. I didn't 380 00:17:43,280 --> 00:17:44,680 Speaker 4: do enough research. I probably should have if he was 381 00:17:44,760 --> 00:17:47,040 Speaker 4: hurt or what he had six yards through four games. 382 00:17:47,280 --> 00:17:49,879 Speaker 4: He has two hundred and fifty three yards in the 383 00:17:50,000 --> 00:17:53,240 Speaker 4: last three games, so I don't know what happened to 384 00:17:53,320 --> 00:17:56,040 Speaker 4: him Week five or six, but he has exploded. He's 385 00:17:56,040 --> 00:17:59,240 Speaker 4: been their leading receiver the last four weeks. Temple's defense 386 00:17:59,320 --> 00:18:01,639 Speaker 4: is terrible one hundred and first and success rate one 387 00:18:01,720 --> 00:18:05,360 Speaker 4: hundred and thirtieth at preventing finishing drives. Yeah, EJ. 388 00:18:05,480 --> 00:18:05,720 Speaker 2: Warner. 389 00:18:05,800 --> 00:18:08,040 Speaker 4: They have a good passing attack, but South Florida has 390 00:18:08,040 --> 00:18:10,240 Speaker 4: actually been decent against the pass. They're forty seventh in 391 00:18:10,280 --> 00:18:13,639 Speaker 4: the nation in success rate against the pass. Quarterback Braxton 392 00:18:13,680 --> 00:18:16,480 Speaker 4: Clark is awesome. He's terrific for the Bulls in the secondary. 393 00:18:16,960 --> 00:18:19,800 Speaker 4: So I think South Florida scores and I just don't 394 00:18:19,880 --> 00:18:21,200 Speaker 4: think Temple will be able. 395 00:18:21,040 --> 00:18:21,480 Speaker 2: To keep up. 396 00:18:21,840 --> 00:18:24,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's hard for me to talk you out of 397 00:18:24,119 --> 00:18:27,400 Speaker 1: it with the Temple defense on the field, So yeah, 398 00:18:27,400 --> 00:18:29,960 Speaker 1: I would I would play over, But if I were. 399 00:18:29,880 --> 00:18:31,159 Speaker 6: Forced to pick a side, I probably with you. 400 00:18:31,240 --> 00:18:34,520 Speaker 4: On the balls. I'm totally on board with doing a 401 00:18:34,600 --> 00:18:36,480 Speaker 4: G five high six and doing a little two for 402 00:18:36,600 --> 00:18:40,360 Speaker 4: one special with South Florida. Sixty sevens a lot South 403 00:18:40,359 --> 00:18:43,560 Speaker 4: Florida Temple over sixty seven and lay the seven with 404 00:18:43,840 --> 00:18:44,480 Speaker 4: South of the Bulls. 405 00:18:44,720 --> 00:18:46,840 Speaker 1: Just a reminder, their last game was one hundred and 406 00:18:46,960 --> 00:18:51,240 Speaker 1: nine points, forty more points than that. Like, holy moly, 407 00:18:51,240 --> 00:18:53,080 Speaker 1: all right, I'm gonna wrap up the G five five 408 00:18:53,160 --> 00:18:56,000 Speaker 1: five here with a team that's we're still pulling four, 409 00:18:56,040 --> 00:18:59,200 Speaker 1: We're still rooting for you. Colorado State laying four against 410 00:18:59,240 --> 00:19:02,560 Speaker 1: San Diego State. To borrow a phrase from Stuck. San 411 00:19:02,600 --> 00:19:06,720 Speaker 1: Diego State, they're a corpse. They they're bad, They're dead. 412 00:19:07,080 --> 00:19:08,879 Speaker 1: Colorado State, on the other hand, I just made this 413 00:19:09,000 --> 00:19:11,119 Speaker 1: argument with Navy, they can make a Bowl game by 414 00:19:11,160 --> 00:19:13,760 Speaker 1: winning out. They get San Diego State, then they get 415 00:19:13,840 --> 00:19:15,840 Speaker 1: Nevada at home and a rode at Hawaii to. 416 00:19:15,840 --> 00:19:16,480 Speaker 6: Finish the season. 417 00:19:16,680 --> 00:19:19,879 Speaker 1: It is possible to pull Bowl eligibility out of the 418 00:19:19,920 --> 00:19:22,359 Speaker 1: fire here. And they've played three straight bowl teams. They 419 00:19:22,400 --> 00:19:25,240 Speaker 1: played UNOV, they played Air Force, they played Wyoming walk 420 00:19:25,280 --> 00:19:28,200 Speaker 1: off loss to UNLV, which is a quality loss because 421 00:19:28,280 --> 00:19:31,000 Speaker 1: UNLV is a good team. This year, they're probably gonna 422 00:19:31,000 --> 00:19:33,440 Speaker 1: win eight or nine games. They were tied with Air 423 00:19:33,480 --> 00:19:36,320 Speaker 1: Force at half thirteen thirteen and kind of a snow game. 424 00:19:36,400 --> 00:19:37,959 Speaker 1: It was a little bit weird, but kudos to their 425 00:19:38,040 --> 00:19:40,720 Speaker 1: defense are playing better, and then a nine point loss Toyoming. 426 00:19:41,040 --> 00:19:44,000 Speaker 1: The defense is slowly improving, and now they catch an 427 00:19:44,119 --> 00:19:47,359 Speaker 1: SDSU offense that's truly awful. One hundred and thirty second 428 00:19:47,359 --> 00:19:48,560 Speaker 1: in offensive explosiveness. 429 00:19:48,640 --> 00:19:49,280 Speaker 6: They can't pass. 430 00:19:49,800 --> 00:19:52,720 Speaker 1: They're one hundred and twenty eighth in defensive success rate. Though, 431 00:19:52,800 --> 00:19:55,000 Speaker 1: that's the part about the Aztecs that is just like 432 00:19:55,240 --> 00:19:57,479 Speaker 1: so out of character for them, and you can kill 433 00:19:57,520 --> 00:19:59,000 Speaker 1: them on the ground there one hundred and thirty second 434 00:19:59,040 --> 00:20:02,920 Speaker 1: in that regard, Breden Fowler Nicolosi is boom or bust. 435 00:20:03,240 --> 00:20:05,080 Speaker 1: So I'm banking on boom here. I'm gonna lay the 436 00:20:05,160 --> 00:20:07,439 Speaker 1: four points. I'm gonna avoid the money line. I think 437 00:20:07,480 --> 00:20:09,320 Speaker 1: if they win this game, they win it by double digits, 438 00:20:09,680 --> 00:20:11,439 Speaker 1: or he turns the ball over three times and they 439 00:20:11,480 --> 00:20:13,840 Speaker 1: find another way to lose another close game. But I 440 00:20:13,920 --> 00:20:17,080 Speaker 1: think the Rams still have a shot to go bowling 441 00:20:17,119 --> 00:20:18,320 Speaker 1: this year. It's got to start with a win on 442 00:20:18,400 --> 00:20:20,640 Speaker 1: Saturday obviously, and go ahead and lay the four. I'd 443 00:20:20,640 --> 00:20:22,800 Speaker 1: probably play it up to five and a half. 444 00:20:22,920 --> 00:20:23,160 Speaker 6: Six. 445 00:20:23,920 --> 00:20:26,240 Speaker 4: Yeah, I love it. I add it on my short list. 446 00:20:27,080 --> 00:20:30,480 Speaker 4: Cairo States bags weakness is their secondary and Sanio State 447 00:20:30,640 --> 00:20:32,600 Speaker 4: has a safety bland quarterback and he can't throw the 448 00:20:32,680 --> 00:20:35,280 Speaker 4: ball at all. You mentioned it. This defense is terrible, 449 00:20:35,359 --> 00:20:38,320 Speaker 4: especially in the secondary. So I think this Carra State 450 00:20:38,400 --> 00:20:41,440 Speaker 4: offense should tread down. I mean, Sanyo State lost Nevada, 451 00:20:41,840 --> 00:20:44,320 Speaker 4: So yeah, I like this a lot. I almost played 452 00:20:44,359 --> 00:20:44,520 Speaker 4: it too. 453 00:20:45,200 --> 00:20:49,800 Speaker 2: We're talking Minor Nation out in the West Dixon town 454 00:20:49,920 --> 00:20:51,120 Speaker 2: of Last. 455 00:20:52,280 --> 00:20:52,879 Speaker 4: Picks up. 456 00:20:53,280 --> 00:20:53,560 Speaker 2: All right. 457 00:20:53,600 --> 00:20:57,119 Speaker 1: A quick note, our beloved BBOC caller Jason from El 458 00:20:57,200 --> 00:21:01,240 Speaker 1: Paso aka Minor fing Nation call into voicemails this weekend 459 00:21:01,560 --> 00:21:03,520 Speaker 1: and the intern missed it for the second time the season. 460 00:21:03,560 --> 00:21:06,439 Speaker 1: Don't worry that person's been fired. Our apologies to everyone 461 00:21:06,560 --> 00:21:09,960 Speaker 1: there in Minor Nation. A great cover by UTEP. Let's 462 00:21:10,040 --> 00:21:11,840 Speaker 1: let's just play the footage. Take it away, Jason. 463 00:21:12,200 --> 00:21:15,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, hey, guys, this is minor mother f and Nason 464 00:21:16,359 --> 00:21:19,360 Speaker 2: And you know what this is not Tyler from Sparnsburg 465 00:21:19,520 --> 00:21:24,800 Speaker 2: because Demo should be making eight years cover because we 466 00:21:25,480 --> 00:21:29,240 Speaker 2: kicked field goals with under a minute left to cover cover. 467 00:21:29,480 --> 00:21:33,560 Speaker 2: That's what we do, so Timo, Yeah, it's worth every 468 00:21:33,960 --> 00:21:37,920 Speaker 2: penny because guess what we loaded house in the miners cover. 469 00:21:38,359 --> 00:21:41,119 Speaker 2: Let's go, hey, Colin, wait to be a sharp and 470 00:21:41,359 --> 00:21:44,240 Speaker 2: batle on us as well. Miners. Boom. 471 00:21:44,560 --> 00:21:46,720 Speaker 1: All right, we are back now to wrap up our 472 00:21:46,800 --> 00:21:49,600 Speaker 1: show with the money line underdog parlay. 473 00:21:51,520 --> 00:21:51,960 Speaker 2: Here we do. 474 00:22:00,560 --> 00:22:01,560 Speaker 6: I'll kick it to you first. 475 00:22:01,600 --> 00:22:02,040 Speaker 2: You do you have? 476 00:22:02,320 --> 00:22:02,440 Speaker 6: Is it? 477 00:22:02,600 --> 00:22:05,800 Speaker 1: A beloved member of the Group of five family? 478 00:22:06,280 --> 00:22:09,520 Speaker 4: Speaking of voicemails, the recap show got some good ones 479 00:22:09,600 --> 00:22:12,120 Speaker 4: at the end here, So what else needs to be said? 480 00:22:12,600 --> 00:22:19,240 Speaker 4: Hit the music? That's right, diego, diego. Look stock. He 481 00:22:19,320 --> 00:22:22,639 Speaker 4: can call New Mexico State a Ponzi scheme all he wants, 482 00:22:23,280 --> 00:22:27,639 Speaker 4: but call me Bernie made off baby, because Ronda, who 483 00:22:27,720 --> 00:22:30,360 Speaker 4: makes money in Ponzi schemes, calbarys the people who get 484 00:22:30,440 --> 00:22:34,359 Speaker 4: in first. And we have been a pavia podcast since 485 00:22:34,520 --> 00:22:37,720 Speaker 4: week one and we are swimming in cash like Scrooge 486 00:22:37,800 --> 00:22:40,360 Speaker 4: mcdac because the New Mexico State is seven and three 487 00:22:40,400 --> 00:22:43,160 Speaker 4: straight up. They're eight and two against the spread this season. 488 00:22:43,520 --> 00:22:45,280 Speaker 4: We bet them every week, so do the mat there. 489 00:22:45,880 --> 00:22:48,159 Speaker 4: They are the sixth most profitable team in the country 490 00:22:48,200 --> 00:22:52,280 Speaker 4: against the spread. So this Ponzi scheme is working pretty well. 491 00:22:52,440 --> 00:22:55,480 Speaker 4: Flim Flam Ponzi scheme, Paramid straw Man's made and switch, 492 00:22:55,480 --> 00:22:58,040 Speaker 4: smash and grab, tickling, take jerk and jet blowing out 493 00:22:58,119 --> 00:23:00,679 Speaker 4: Pave is just he's just a baller. He's a gamer. 494 00:23:00,800 --> 00:23:03,280 Speaker 4: He's dominant with his arms and his legs. He's the 495 00:23:03,359 --> 00:23:06,320 Speaker 4: perfect college quarterback. We're like, and I mean this in 496 00:23:06,440 --> 00:23:09,280 Speaker 4: all sincerity and love. I'm not sure he's even good, 497 00:23:09,400 --> 00:23:12,080 Speaker 4: but he just like makes plays every single time you 498 00:23:12,160 --> 00:23:14,440 Speaker 4: need him to. I'm not sure how he does it, 499 00:23:14,840 --> 00:23:17,000 Speaker 4: but he just always finds a way to get a 500 00:23:17,040 --> 00:23:19,800 Speaker 4: first down, keep drive going. He's just awesome. I love 501 00:23:19,920 --> 00:23:23,399 Speaker 4: him so much. They have three good running backs. Although 502 00:23:23,800 --> 00:23:25,640 Speaker 4: I do need to send one quick note to Jerry 503 00:23:25,680 --> 00:23:27,360 Speaker 4: Kill because I know he listens to the pod friend 504 00:23:27,400 --> 00:23:31,240 Speaker 4: of the show. Manti Watkins is averaging eleven and a 505 00:23:31,280 --> 00:23:33,680 Speaker 4: half yards per carry. I said this like two weeks ago. 506 00:23:33,920 --> 00:23:38,639 Speaker 4: Last week he had sixty eight yards on five carries. 507 00:23:39,520 --> 00:23:42,400 Speaker 4: How the hell does he only get five carries. Give 508 00:23:42,480 --> 00:23:45,200 Speaker 4: him the ball every freaking play, Jerry, Give him the 509 00:23:45,240 --> 00:23:48,320 Speaker 4: ball every play. First down, ball, second down. You'll have 510 00:23:48,359 --> 00:23:50,240 Speaker 4: another first down, so give them the ball again. It's 511 00:23:50,560 --> 00:23:52,800 Speaker 4: mind boggling to me when I watch these games. The 512 00:23:52,880 --> 00:23:55,920 Speaker 4: Western Kentucky's defense is horrific. They're one hundred and twenty 513 00:23:55,960 --> 00:23:58,480 Speaker 4: eighth in the country at the thag. The run give 514 00:23:58,520 --> 00:24:01,080 Speaker 4: the ball to Watkins are gonna run down the road 515 00:24:01,240 --> 00:24:04,000 Speaker 4: and this offense is broken. Austin Reed got his fancy 516 00:24:04,040 --> 00:24:07,040 Speaker 4: red Corvette and just stopped trying. He had one hundred 517 00:24:07,040 --> 00:24:09,640 Speaker 4: and two yards last week against that UTEP team. They're 518 00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:12,560 Speaker 4: ninety third in the country in success rate. That's like 519 00:24:12,920 --> 00:24:16,160 Speaker 4: they're calling card and you're still explosive. But Mexico State's 520 00:24:16,240 --> 00:24:18,560 Speaker 4: terrific at preventing big plays. That's what they're really good at, 521 00:24:18,640 --> 00:24:22,280 Speaker 4: especially on the event, especially through the air. So folks, 522 00:24:23,320 --> 00:24:28,040 Speaker 4: join me and the investment opportunity of a lifetime. Everybody listening, 523 00:24:28,520 --> 00:24:31,320 Speaker 4: tell four friends to listen to the podcast and invest 524 00:24:31,400 --> 00:24:33,960 Speaker 4: in New Mexico State. And if your four friends tell 525 00:24:34,000 --> 00:24:36,440 Speaker 4: four more friends, the podcast will blow up and we 526 00:24:36,480 --> 00:24:39,400 Speaker 4: will all continue to make money. On Diego Diego. 527 00:24:41,880 --> 00:24:44,760 Speaker 1: One of performance from you there on the money Line, Underdog, 528 00:24:45,160 --> 00:24:48,520 Speaker 1: first first leg of its Yeah, I want to add 529 00:24:48,560 --> 00:24:50,920 Speaker 1: on to that. When you talk about what makes Diego 530 00:24:51,600 --> 00:24:55,000 Speaker 1: so powerful as a player, He's like remember that Super 531 00:24:55,040 --> 00:24:57,560 Speaker 1: Bowl where Cam Newton fumbled and he's just like looking 532 00:24:57,600 --> 00:24:58,840 Speaker 1: at the ball on the ground and he just like 533 00:24:58,960 --> 00:25:00,760 Speaker 1: walked away. He was just like whatever, I don't care. 534 00:25:01,080 --> 00:25:03,440 Speaker 1: Diego is on the opposite end of the spectrum. He 535 00:25:03,480 --> 00:25:06,840 Speaker 1: would bulldoze his grandma to get a fourth and three conversion. 536 00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:09,720 Speaker 1: Like the guy I mentioned it in August. He was 537 00:25:09,760 --> 00:25:11,800 Speaker 1: an all state wrestler. He could have gone so I 538 00:25:11,880 --> 00:25:15,280 Speaker 1: believe Nebraska on a wrestling scholarship. He just has that 539 00:25:15,600 --> 00:25:18,760 Speaker 1: insane tenacity where it's like, no matter what's happening on 540 00:25:18,800 --> 00:25:20,639 Speaker 1: the play, it's never dead for him to get a 541 00:25:20,640 --> 00:25:22,639 Speaker 1: play earlier in the year where he got his helmet 542 00:25:22,720 --> 00:25:25,120 Speaker 1: ripped off and he keeps running around. That's the kind 543 00:25:25,160 --> 00:25:27,360 Speaker 1: of energy you usually get out of like a week 544 00:25:27,440 --> 00:25:30,240 Speaker 1: side linebacker, but you get it in a quarterback in Diego. 545 00:25:30,359 --> 00:25:33,959 Speaker 4: So look, I'm not saying it, but many people are 546 00:25:34,040 --> 00:25:37,639 Speaker 4: saying it. By many people, I mean one CBS Sports 547 00:25:37,680 --> 00:25:40,480 Speaker 4: Network crew. Do you remember that gaming It's utap. The 548 00:25:40,680 --> 00:25:44,280 Speaker 4: broadcaster said that Diego has a little Johnny Football in him, 549 00:25:44,840 --> 00:25:47,440 Speaker 4: and I don't hate it at all. Little Diego Football 550 00:25:47,720 --> 00:25:52,080 Speaker 4: just a gamer, makes plays. I love him. I'm gonna 551 00:25:52,080 --> 00:25:55,120 Speaker 4: continue to invest in this Ponzi scheme until it comes 552 00:25:55,160 --> 00:25:58,760 Speaker 4: crashing down because sometimes Poni's teams just make money calibary 553 00:25:58,800 --> 00:26:01,800 Speaker 4: sometimes they do. So it's scheme within a sme. 554 00:26:02,000 --> 00:26:04,560 Speaker 1: So I think this is like the money line parlay, 555 00:26:04,600 --> 00:26:06,280 Speaker 1: where we're two in our own horn about being right. 556 00:26:06,359 --> 00:26:08,760 Speaker 1: You got New Mexico State, and I said it three 557 00:26:08,800 --> 00:26:11,440 Speaker 1: weeks ago when San Jose State started one to five, 558 00:26:11,440 --> 00:26:13,200 Speaker 1: I said they were going to win out. Why back 559 00:26:13,280 --> 00:26:15,840 Speaker 1: off now, because they've won three in a row. They 560 00:26:15,920 --> 00:26:19,119 Speaker 1: got a great running game, they're tenth and rushing explosives. 561 00:26:19,480 --> 00:26:22,600 Speaker 1: The defense that was horrible has at least rounded into 562 00:26:22,640 --> 00:26:24,720 Speaker 1: shape against the past their fortieth and success right, you 563 00:26:24,720 --> 00:26:27,360 Speaker 1: can run on them all day. I know that that's 564 00:26:27,400 --> 00:26:29,320 Speaker 1: why they need to get a lead against Fresno to 565 00:26:29,400 --> 00:26:31,760 Speaker 1: win this game, because if they make Fresno throw the ball. 566 00:26:31,880 --> 00:26:34,080 Speaker 1: I know what you think of Mikey Keane, He's fine, 567 00:26:34,440 --> 00:26:36,160 Speaker 1: but I think there's an opportunity for him to turn 568 00:26:36,200 --> 00:26:38,600 Speaker 1: the ball over two or three times and the Spartans 569 00:26:38,640 --> 00:26:41,119 Speaker 1: to be on the right side of this. Also, Fresno 570 00:26:41,200 --> 00:26:43,280 Speaker 1: on the road in Mountain West play not great. They 571 00:26:43,359 --> 00:26:46,240 Speaker 1: lost outright to Wyoming. They won at Utah State by five. 572 00:26:46,560 --> 00:26:49,200 Speaker 1: They played down to their competition on the road, and 573 00:26:49,359 --> 00:26:51,280 Speaker 1: last week against Boise, this was my big call. 574 00:26:51,600 --> 00:26:52,360 Speaker 6: The Fresno won. 575 00:26:52,440 --> 00:26:55,000 Speaker 1: A lot of the luminaries of the Action Network were 576 00:26:55,040 --> 00:26:56,240 Speaker 1: on the other side of this one. So I was 577 00:26:56,320 --> 00:26:59,720 Speaker 1: nervous at kickoff, but there was no genet for Boise. 578 00:27:00,400 --> 00:27:02,800 Speaker 1: But boys, he's still out gained Fresno four eighty eight 579 00:27:02,880 --> 00:27:06,240 Speaker 1: to four one, and they won because they got an 580 00:27:06,240 --> 00:27:09,080 Speaker 1: extra turnover in you know, the turnover margin, and they 581 00:27:09,119 --> 00:27:10,000 Speaker 1: had to kick off return. 582 00:27:09,800 --> 00:27:10,120 Speaker 6: For a touch. 583 00:27:10,320 --> 00:27:12,520 Speaker 4: They were to kick off like ninety eight yard. 584 00:27:12,560 --> 00:27:14,360 Speaker 6: Yeah, Charad, you know, takes it to the house. 585 00:27:14,520 --> 00:27:16,359 Speaker 1: If not, they don't win that game, and then what 586 00:27:16,480 --> 00:27:18,879 Speaker 1: does this game look like in terms of you know, spread. 587 00:27:18,920 --> 00:27:20,719 Speaker 6: So I'm gonna go ahead and take the home dog here. 588 00:27:20,840 --> 00:27:23,199 Speaker 1: I like San Jose State. I think you can get 589 00:27:23,320 --> 00:27:24,479 Speaker 1: this is kind of an I and l O from 590 00:27:24,600 --> 00:27:26,360 Speaker 1: last week. You can get like plus one oh five. 591 00:27:26,640 --> 00:27:29,680 Speaker 1: Like we're really stretching what makes a money line underdog 592 00:27:29,760 --> 00:27:32,640 Speaker 1: play here. But I'm on them, you know, as I've said, 593 00:27:32,760 --> 00:27:35,840 Speaker 1: during this run, they're basically taking the ball out of 594 00:27:35,960 --> 00:27:38,920 Speaker 1: Cordero's hands at the right time. They're not allowing him 595 00:27:39,200 --> 00:27:40,760 Speaker 1: to turn the ball over and have too much on 596 00:27:40,840 --> 00:27:43,320 Speaker 1: his plate. And I think he's responded incredibly well. He's 597 00:27:43,320 --> 00:27:46,040 Speaker 1: playing efficiently, he's not turning the ball over. They've been 598 00:27:46,160 --> 00:27:49,800 Speaker 1: really good on you know, third and manageables, keeping you know, 599 00:27:49,920 --> 00:27:52,320 Speaker 1: keeping it going, keeping the drives going, everything. 600 00:27:52,359 --> 00:27:55,119 Speaker 6: Ahead of the sticks. So yeah, I like this. I 601 00:27:55,200 --> 00:27:56,560 Speaker 6: love this one. Kyrie Robinson. 602 00:27:56,680 --> 00:27:58,159 Speaker 1: I think I'm gonna ride them one more time and 603 00:27:58,200 --> 00:28:00,200 Speaker 1: they're gonna win out and they're gonna go Bowl and 604 00:28:00,280 --> 00:28:01,840 Speaker 1: I think they're gonna be one of the best stories 605 00:28:01,880 --> 00:28:03,960 Speaker 1: going into bowlseason, winning six in a row to finish 606 00:28:04,000 --> 00:28:04,480 Speaker 1: their season. 607 00:28:04,760 --> 00:28:08,160 Speaker 4: Yeah, I mentioned it ahead. You know, people always look 608 00:28:08,240 --> 00:28:10,719 Speaker 4: in the look ahead or you know, letdown spots. They 609 00:28:10,960 --> 00:28:13,480 Speaker 4: look for the Power five, you know Bedvom and you 610 00:28:13,560 --> 00:28:17,000 Speaker 4: know Alabama coming off LSU. It's like this is the 611 00:28:17,080 --> 00:28:19,600 Speaker 4: letdown spot. Fresnel Boise is a big game. They've met 612 00:28:19,640 --> 00:28:22,280 Speaker 4: in the conference championship game like four times in the 613 00:28:22,359 --> 00:28:25,600 Speaker 4: last like six years, so I think and I mentioned 614 00:28:25,640 --> 00:28:28,560 Speaker 4: it with UNLV is Fresnel has the tiebreaker. They play 615 00:28:28,600 --> 00:28:31,000 Speaker 4: in New Mexico and San Diego State left, they're gonna 616 00:28:31,000 --> 00:28:33,080 Speaker 4: win those two games, so they can kind of they 617 00:28:33,119 --> 00:28:35,080 Speaker 4: have the tiebreaker with UNLV so they can kind of 618 00:28:35,119 --> 00:28:36,840 Speaker 4: afford a slip up here. I think they kind of 619 00:28:37,760 --> 00:28:40,280 Speaker 4: This isn't as much of a must win game coming 620 00:28:40,360 --> 00:28:42,160 Speaker 4: off the Boys, you win. I think this is a 621 00:28:42,200 --> 00:28:45,840 Speaker 4: potential letdown spot as well. I actually was gonna take this. 622 00:28:46,160 --> 00:28:49,640 Speaker 4: This was my second choice behind Diego Diego, so I 623 00:28:49,920 --> 00:28:52,760 Speaker 4: fully co sign this. I'll betting it with you for sure. 624 00:28:52,880 --> 00:28:55,120 Speaker 1: All Right, that's it for us this week. A reminder 625 00:28:55,280 --> 00:28:58,040 Speaker 1: on the programming fronts as always, Colin and Stuck on 626 00:28:58,160 --> 00:29:01,680 Speaker 1: Thursdays dropping their full FB Yes card. On Saturday, BBOC 627 00:29:01,920 --> 00:29:06,600 Speaker 1: Live returns with Brett McMurphy, now fully relaxed after his 628 00:29:06,840 --> 00:29:10,320 Speaker 1: bedlam experience. I feel like he's he had an opportunity 629 00:29:10,400 --> 00:29:12,480 Speaker 1: to really explore the space. There are lots of cool 630 00:29:12,480 --> 00:29:14,800 Speaker 1: pictures of him on the field with the goalpost and 631 00:29:14,800 --> 00:29:17,360 Speaker 1: everything else. He's back, so you're gonna get to hear him. 632 00:29:17,480 --> 00:29:20,920 Speaker 1: Colin and Stuck and Darren Revel universally love Darren Revel 633 00:29:21,240 --> 00:29:25,240 Speaker 1: on Saturday, and then the new BCS the following Monday 634 00:29:25,280 --> 00:29:31,160 Speaker 1: Tuesday will drop with McMurphy, Kalanowski, Stucky and Colin, so 635 00:29:31,320 --> 00:29:33,600 Speaker 1: make sure to tune in for that. And we are 636 00:29:33,680 --> 00:29:36,840 Speaker 1: going to have some special Bowl coverage during Bowl season. 637 00:29:37,000 --> 00:29:39,840 Speaker 1: That's not that far away at this point, so keep 638 00:29:40,000 --> 00:29:41,840 Speaker 1: keep an ear and an eye out for that. A 639 00:29:41,920 --> 00:29:44,760 Speaker 1: reminder everything you do in terms of reviews is incredibly 640 00:29:44,800 --> 00:29:47,920 Speaker 1: helpful for us. We're looking for you to subscribe on YouTube, 641 00:29:47,960 --> 00:29:50,960 Speaker 1: to comment, to put in those reviews, on Spotify, on 642 00:29:51,040 --> 00:29:54,640 Speaker 1: Apple iTunes, everywhere that you can five stars only subscribe 643 00:29:54,640 --> 00:29:56,440 Speaker 1: on Subscribe, tell friend, telling enemy, you know how you 644 00:29:56,520 --> 00:30:00,479 Speaker 1: do here at BBOC. Any closing thoughts for we eleven. 645 00:30:00,520 --> 00:30:02,960 Speaker 4: I l now the two I had on my cutting 646 00:30:03,000 --> 00:30:06,160 Speaker 4: and floor you had, but I just you mentioned it. 647 00:30:06,680 --> 00:30:09,680 Speaker 4: Ball season. If, by the grace of God, here's an 648 00:30:09,680 --> 00:30:12,160 Speaker 4: early pick. By the grace of God, James Madison makes 649 00:30:12,200 --> 00:30:16,760 Speaker 4: a ball Absolutely unload the bank account on the Dukes 650 00:30:17,000 --> 00:30:19,840 Speaker 4: in their bowl game, because whoever they play is going 651 00:30:19,880 --> 00:30:22,520 Speaker 4: to run into an angry motivated buzzaw. 652 00:30:23,120 --> 00:30:26,520 Speaker 1: They put another formal request into the ncublea which the 653 00:30:26,640 --> 00:30:27,920 Speaker 1: NCUBA is gonna wipe. 654 00:30:27,760 --> 00:30:28,360 Speaker 6: Their heinee with. 655 00:30:28,520 --> 00:30:31,240 Speaker 1: But if they get that approved, it'd be amazing. They 656 00:30:31,360 --> 00:30:32,840 Speaker 1: got in year six bowl game, they could be in 657 00:30:32,840 --> 00:30:36,200 Speaker 1: the college football playoff rankings. That's my number one wish. 658 00:30:36,800 --> 00:30:39,920 Speaker 1: Number two, how about a Liberty versus James Madison bowl game? 659 00:30:40,040 --> 00:30:42,640 Speaker 1: Figure it out bowl system like I would love to 660 00:30:42,720 --> 00:30:45,480 Speaker 1: see a top twenty five matchup between those two teams 661 00:30:45,800 --> 00:30:48,520 Speaker 1: because lost in this James Madison love of which we 662 00:30:48,680 --> 00:30:52,080 Speaker 1: have an unbridled amount of love for the Dukes. Liberty 663 00:30:52,160 --> 00:30:55,720 Speaker 1: is getting hosed, Like where are they in these rankings? 664 00:30:55,800 --> 00:30:58,040 Speaker 1: Like I get it that they're not playing anybody, but 665 00:30:58,040 --> 00:31:00,560 Speaker 1: they're beating the doors off people. Their offense isn't incredible. 666 00:31:00,800 --> 00:31:03,440 Speaker 1: Chadwell has already done this with Coastal, and you rewarded 667 00:31:03,520 --> 00:31:05,320 Speaker 1: him when he was coaching up the Shots, So, like, 668 00:31:05,760 --> 00:31:08,040 Speaker 1: what is going on? I know that, like Liberty is 669 00:31:08,080 --> 00:31:11,080 Speaker 1: no fan favorite of anybody around the country in terms 670 00:31:11,080 --> 00:31:13,400 Speaker 1: of their university, but like, I feel like that is 671 00:31:13,520 --> 00:31:16,440 Speaker 1: kind of a simplistic explanation for why they're getting hosed 672 00:31:16,440 --> 00:31:17,520 Speaker 1: by the polster so hard. 673 00:31:17,960 --> 00:31:20,880 Speaker 4: I'll give you one. Give me, give me James Madison 674 00:31:21,160 --> 00:31:24,920 Speaker 4: money line against USC and whatever bowl they play, that 675 00:31:24,960 --> 00:31:25,760 Speaker 4: would be incredible. 676 00:31:25,840 --> 00:31:27,560 Speaker 1: I just throw them in the Sun Bowl, figure out 677 00:31:27,640 --> 00:31:29,240 Speaker 1: a way for USC to quit, and. 678 00:31:29,400 --> 00:31:32,160 Speaker 4: You know, jmu money line in the Holiday Bowl against 679 00:31:32,200 --> 00:31:32,720 Speaker 4: the Trojans. 680 00:31:33,360 --> 00:31:35,320 Speaker 6: All right, that's it for us. Enjoy the weekend. 681 00:31:35,360 --> 00:31:37,160 Speaker 1: Hopefully we get you in the black and get you 682 00:31:37,160 --> 00:31:38,600 Speaker 1: a little bit of money that you can throw it on. 683 00:31:38,840 --> 00:31:42,040 Speaker 1: You know, these bowl hypotheticals were thrown around. Final reminder, 684 00:31:42,480 --> 00:31:45,560 Speaker 1: as long as they're plugging stuff. Brett McMurphy's Bowl projections 685 00:31:45,600 --> 00:31:47,480 Speaker 1: come out every single week. Check those out so you 686 00:31:47,480 --> 00:31:49,200 Speaker 1: can see where your favorite teams will be playing this 687 00:31:49,360 --> 00:31:50,040 Speaker 1: holiday season. 688 00:31:50,160 --> 00:31:51,000 Speaker 6: All right, how a go On. 689 00:32:03,560 --> 00:32:06,960 Speaker 3: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. 690 00:32:07,400 --> 00:32:10,200 Speaker 1: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem, 691 00:32:10,520 --> 00:32:13,520 Speaker 1: help is available twenty four seven at one eight hundred 692 00:32:13,560 --> 00:32:13,960 Speaker 1: gambler