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Speaker 1: Happy sun to everybody. How are you welcome into Week

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Speaker 1: six of the NFL and it is the Sunday morning

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Speaker 1: edition of the Daily Juice Podcast. I am your host,

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Speaker 1: Matt Perrault. You can follow me on Twitter at Sports

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Speaker 1: Talk Matt. We are on Bettingpros dot com and this

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Speaker 1: podcast is being brought to you by Bett mgm rlrighty,

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Speaker 1: boys and girls. So I had a really good, good, good, good,

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Speaker 1: good good night thanks to the Tampa Bay race. The

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Speaker 1: pick sucked but the Rays hit, so we got are

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Speaker 1: both college football overs wrong? Duke should have covered man,

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Speaker 1: that sucked that. That Duke game should have gone over

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Speaker 1: but didn't go over. A and M I mean Missippi

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Speaker 1: State sucks out loud boy, they bad, but we I

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Speaker 1: thought the air raid might do something and it did not.

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Speaker 1: That's my bad, bad read. But Alabama did what Alabama's

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Speaker 1: supposed to do and that's winning cover. So good on

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Speaker 1: that one and two on college football, we got the

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Speaker 1: over right for Lopez versus Lomanchenko. We'll get the Loma

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Speaker 1: conversation here in just one second. I'll give you some

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Speaker 1: reaction to what happened in that fight. But we had

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Speaker 1: the under in Korean Zombie versus Brian Ortega or kids.

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Speaker 1: I mean, my gosh, he looked tcy looked great. He

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Speaker 1: almost closed it out at the end of the second round.

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Speaker 1: If he had closed it out, there our bet cashes.

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Speaker 1: Unfortunately it did not, so we got that wrong. And

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Speaker 1: then the hedge bet on the Astros to win for

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Speaker 1: one unit and I hit. But the plus one thousand,

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Speaker 1: ten to one bet comes through, and that's wonderful. And

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Speaker 1: when you hit a big bet like that, I mean

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Speaker 1: it really it changes the week, it changes the month,

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Speaker 1: and for me, at least with this podcast, it put

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Speaker 1: us up. We're now up four units since his podcast began.

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Speaker 1: So he hit a big bet like that and all

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Speaker 1: of a sudden, boom, you come right ahead and you

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Speaker 1: go from in the red black and it's it's it's great.

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Speaker 1: So that's kind of where we are here for the podcast.

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Speaker 1: And like I mentioned, no down to units up for units.

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Speaker 1: It's gonna fluctu away from time to time, but we're

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Speaker 1: going after fifty three percent, right, having some fun sweating

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Speaker 1: games and what's fun about the podcast right now on

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Speaker 1: Twitter at daily Juice or sorry hashtag daily Juice. Maybe

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Speaker 1: we'll start a Daily Juice Twitter account. I don't know,

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Speaker 1: but hashtag Daily Juice for now. And it is fun

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Speaker 1: because a lot of you guys are are new and

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Speaker 1: a lot of you guys are watching me kind of

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Speaker 1: do this like celebration with Tampa and you're like, what

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Speaker 1: the hell? Why didn't I know about that bet? Well,

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Speaker 1: the Tampa bay Rays. I have to kind of go

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Speaker 1: back and look at this. What number bet was that

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Speaker 1: for us in the history of the Daily Juice. Let

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Speaker 1: me see here, So it was Tampa to win the

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Speaker 1: American League? Was I made it on the twenty first

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Speaker 1: of July. That's we made that bet at plus one thousand.

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Speaker 1: It was the only bet I made on that day

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Speaker 1: on July twenty first. That was the second week of

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Speaker 1: the podcast. So if you're curious about other you know

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Speaker 1: what else I've got going on here? Titans over nine

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Speaker 1: and a half wins alternative at plus one fifty five,

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Speaker 1: that's still going. The Vegas Raiders to win over seven

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Speaker 1: games at plus one oh five, that is still going.

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Speaker 1: But the big one the Dodgers to win the World Series.

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Speaker 1: So I'm just gonna kick my heels up here. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna let the Dodgers play Game seven today. And hopefully

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Speaker 1: win and come back from a three to one deficit

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Speaker 1: to take on the Rays in the World Series, and

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Speaker 1: we will have called the World Series in July. Which, look,

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Speaker 1: I'm not the only one who've done that, right, I mean,

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Speaker 1: it was a shortened season. It's not that hard. Dodgers

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Speaker 1: are the best team. The Rays were built for the

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Speaker 1: pandemic type baseball season. But it's still fun. I mean,

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Speaker 1: it's still like, that's cool that we did that. It's

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Speaker 1: on records on tape and go back and listen to it.

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Speaker 1: So if you want to go back to the July

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Speaker 1: twenty first podcast, you can go back and listen to

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Speaker 1: the logic I had as to why I was betting

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Speaker 1: on the Raids to win the American League at plus

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Speaker 1: one thousand. So it hit. It was beautiful. I loved it.

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Speaker 1: It was money, so cool. All right, before I tell

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Speaker 1: you about BETMGM reminder on the live stream, I'm going

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Speaker 1: to hold off. I'm going to get up a little

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Speaker 1: early tomorrow morning, and I'm going to get up and

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Speaker 1: I'm going to have my I'm gonna make picks for

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Speaker 1: player props with numbers that are available right before we

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Speaker 1: go live. One of the things I was talking to

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Speaker 1: a couple people about the live stream bettingpros dot com.

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Speaker 1: Go subscribe right now because you get alerted and we'll

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Speaker 1: go live tomorrow morning at eight o'clock Pacific eleven am Eastern.

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Speaker 1: That a couple of you guys were like, well, it's

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Speaker 1: great that you're making these plays, but like I'm listening

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Speaker 1: and watching because I want to be able to make

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Speaker 1: this play. And the numbers moved, So you guys have said, hey,

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Speaker 1: you like Derrick Henry's rushing totals and it's you know,

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Speaker 1: you played at ninety five map, but now it's one

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Speaker 1: hundred and one. Do you still like it? And I agree,

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Speaker 1: I mean that's kind of counterproductive. So like I got

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Speaker 1: a number that you can't get, so it's not really fair, right,

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Speaker 1: because so I'm gonna try to wait, and I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: make the bets on Sunday morning. Normally i'd make them

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Speaker 1: right now. Gonna make them on Saturday night. You get

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Speaker 1: a better number doing it Saturday night, Okay, But I'm

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Speaker 1: coming in at point twenty five units like I always

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Speaker 1: do now my props, so I'm not committing too much

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Speaker 1: money here. I'll have four to five props going, but

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Speaker 1: I want the numbers available to you guys. You can

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Speaker 1: bet them so live stream tomorrow eleven am Eastern time,

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Speaker 1: eighty am Pacific on the Betting Prosy YouTube channel. Go

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Speaker 1: and subscribe, which, by the way, Dan Harris doesn't think

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Speaker 1: we're gonna get to one thousand. Him and I have

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Speaker 1: been kind of going back and forth, and he's been

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Speaker 1: razzing me a little bit, saying, you said you're gonna

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Speaker 1: get to one thousand, and we're at like eight seventy

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Speaker 1: seven right now. Now we're in the middle of the month.

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Speaker 1: But he's kind of thinking that you guys aren't gonna

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Speaker 1: do it. So let's prove mister Harris wrong here and

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Speaker 1: let's get to one thousand, and let's get it to

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Speaker 1: it this week. Right, we're about one hundred and twenty short.

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Speaker 1: Let's get to one thousand subs on YouTube. Not hard

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Speaker 1: to do, I don't think. But Dan's been giving me

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Speaker 1: some grief on that, saying, I thought you guys were

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Speaker 1: gonna are gonna rise up. I thought this Daily Juice

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Speaker 1: audience is gonna come and get us to one thousand. Well,

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Speaker 1: come on, guys, don't make me look bad. Help me

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Speaker 1: out here. Let's get to one thousand subscribers for the

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Speaker 1: Betting Pro YouTube channel, and I will talk to you

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Speaker 1: in the morning obviously for all our player props and

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Speaker 1: have some fun for Week six in the NFL. So

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Speaker 1: before we get to the picks here for Week six

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Speaker 1: in the NFL, let's tell you about bet mgm and

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Speaker 1: Juice one hundred is the pro the promo code you're

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Speaker 1: on any game in the NFL. One dollar any game

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Speaker 1: in the NFL. You will win one hundred dollars in

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Speaker 1: free bets if the team you bet on one scores

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Speaker 1: or sorry, either team rather either team scores a touchdown.

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Speaker 1: I should know this and those every day either team

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Speaker 1: scores a touchdown valid in New Jersey, Indiana, in West

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Speaker 1: Virginia plus Colorado. One dollar bet either team to win.

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Speaker 1: If either team scores a touchdown, you win one hundred

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Speaker 1: dollars in free bets from betmgm. With the promo code

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Speaker 1: Juice one hundred. You're gonna go to betmgm dot com

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Speaker 1: for terms and conditions. You must be twenty one years

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Speaker 1: or older, and you must be physically located in Colorado, Indiana,

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Speaker 1: New Jersey, in West Virginia. Please gamble responsibly if you

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Speaker 1: have a gambling problem called one eight hundred five two

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Speaker 1: two forty seven hundred in Colorado, one hundred gambler in

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Speaker 1: New Jersey in West Virginia, or one hundred and nine

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Speaker 1: with it in Indiana. All right, let's get to the picks.

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Speaker 1: So here is an interesting week in the NFL. I

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Speaker 1: have got three plays for you. I have got two totals,

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Speaker 1: and I've got the teaser. Here comes the teaser. All right,

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Speaker 1: we are four and one on the teaser. The Patriots.

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Speaker 1: You can get a better number than I got, all right.

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Speaker 1: I had the Patriots at nine at last Look, the

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Speaker 1: Patriots were favored by eight against the Denver Broncos. Some

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Speaker 1: Denver money coming in. People think Denver's gonna hang. I

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Speaker 1: don't really see it personally, but they do. And so

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Speaker 1: I have teased it down from nine to three Patriots

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Speaker 1: minus three. You now can get the Patriots under three,

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Speaker 1: which is a key number. So I like this teaser

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Speaker 1: even more right now than what I got it at.

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Speaker 1: Patriots minus two slash three is the first leg of

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Speaker 1: the teaser. Cam Newton's back Damien Harris is gonna be

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Speaker 1: a workhorse. This defense gets Stepan Gilmer back. No Melvin

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Speaker 1: Gordon drun the football, no, no offense the tight end

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Speaker 1: for this Broncos team. And I'm not a big fan

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Speaker 1: of Drew lock. I haven't been a big fan of

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Speaker 1: Drew Louck for a while. So banged up Broncos tea

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Speaker 1: with COVID nineteen problems running all over the place. Not

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Speaker 1: good at all. Now the other number I got, I

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Speaker 1: took the Ravens nine and a half and I teased

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Speaker 1: it down to three and a half. That at the

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Speaker 1: time of taping. Right now, that's the number Ravens minus

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Speaker 1: nine and a half. This is going to be. I

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Speaker 1: had Ariel Epstein on my show from Sports Grid, and

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Speaker 1: you guys may follow her on Twitter. She's tremendous and

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Speaker 1: she and I were laughing because I gave her this

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Speaker 1: teaser and she was like, yep, that's my teaser too,

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Speaker 1: And I'm wondering how many other people in the world

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Speaker 1: are gonna have that teaser. That may be the most

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Speaker 1: popular teaser of the entire weekend. But whatever, Patriots minus three, Okay?

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Speaker 1: I got it Pats minus three, you can get Pats

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Speaker 1: minus two. And then the Ravens minus three and a

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Speaker 1: half against the Eagles is our teaser. We're four and

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Speaker 1: one on that teaser, taking good teams, not bad teams.

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Speaker 1: We lost it last week, that was our first loss

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Speaker 1: with it, but four and one on the teaser pick

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Speaker 1: number two. And so look at there are two plays

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Speaker 1: on Monday Night that I'll tell you right now. I

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Speaker 1: told you about the Casey Chiefs on what two days ago?

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Speaker 1: I said take Kansas City because the number is gonna move,

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Speaker 1: and Casey was three and a half and now Casey

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Speaker 1: is five. So sorry if you didn't jump on it.

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Speaker 1: But I got Casey mins three and a half on Monday.

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Speaker 1: And I think the Dallas and Arizona game, the over

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Speaker 1: fifty five, I think is a really good bet. So

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Speaker 1: I would make that now. So on Monday night, take

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Speaker 1: the over Cardinals, Cowboys Monday nights. So I'm really giving

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Speaker 1: you the plays on Monday already, and so basically Monday's

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Speaker 1: podcast probably would be like a props podcast. But those

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Speaker 1: two plays Chiefs mins three and a half. It sucks

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Speaker 1: that it's five, but if it gets to six, you

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Speaker 1: may look to tease this game. But you know I

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Speaker 1: don't tease through zero. But Chiefs Mins three and a half, Cardinals,

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Speaker 1: Cowboys over right, let's talk Packers and the Bucks. It's

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Speaker 1: a pick them. This is the game. I've got this

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Speaker 1: game circled. I cannot wait to watch this game. I

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Speaker 1: think this is gonna be an absolute joy to watch.

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Speaker 1: So it's Aaron Rodgers against Tom Brady, but in reality,

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Speaker 1: it's not. It's these defenses against each other. And so

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Speaker 1: I'm looking for Rogers to be able to throw the football.

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Speaker 1: And I think Aaron Jones, I think they're gonna gonna

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Speaker 1: key in on him. I think they're gonna try to

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Speaker 1: take him away as much as possible. And I know

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Speaker 1: there's a lot of people who think Aaron Jones is

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Speaker 1: gonna have a big day. I don't know. To be honest,

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Speaker 1: I could see him having a bigger day catching the

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Speaker 1: football that I could see him having the big day

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Speaker 1: running the football. But Matt Lafleur and Aaron Rodgers, with

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Speaker 1: Devantae Adams coming back, I know that this receiving corps

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Speaker 1: is getting healthy for the Bucks. I get it. You're

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Speaker 1: gonna have Mike Evans, You're gonna have Scooter Miller, You're

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Speaker 1: gonna have Chris Godwin back, but you don't have O. J. Howard.

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Speaker 1: And I'm not sure they can really run the football either.

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Speaker 1: There's just something up right now. I'm just not in love.

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Speaker 1: And I've got a bet on Tampa to win a

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Speaker 1: bunch of games. Okay, I got them to win over

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Speaker 1: nine games. I just think when you look at Tampa

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Speaker 1: Bay against this red hot team, the defense is a

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Speaker 1: touch underrated for Green Bay. And I know they're on

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Speaker 1: the road. I just think you can't fade right now.

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Speaker 1: I mean the six point eight yards per play for

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Speaker 1: Green Bay. I mean they're just they're completing seventy percent

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Speaker 1: of their passes. I mean he was serious, like it's

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Speaker 1: just it's incredible right now. But green Bay's offenses, I mean,

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Speaker 1: green Bay's defense is okay. They can give up some

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Speaker 1: yards here, and there's some you know, real interesting power

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Speaker 1: matchups between these two. But green Bay's got the number

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Speaker 1: one scoring offense in the NFL and NFL right now,

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Speaker 1: and they're four hundred and forty five yards of offense

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Speaker 1: per game, they're number one in yards per play, the

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Speaker 1: number one points per play. I mean, this is an

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Speaker 1: insane offense right now, and I just don't see Tampa

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Speaker 1: stopping them. It's a pick, just got to win the game.

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Speaker 1: I think it's a back and forth battle, but Brady

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Speaker 1: makes mistakes, Brady throws picks, and I look, I'm just

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Speaker 1: taking Green Bay. I think battle of coaches and battle

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Speaker 1: of quarterbacks, slight edge to Aaron Rodgers, in a slight

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Speaker 1: edge here to Matt Lafleur over Bruce Arians. I'm going

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Speaker 1: Green Bay on a pick. Okay, next play, and this

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Speaker 1: one is I've got a couple of friends of mine

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Speaker 1: who are telling me this is a bad play, like

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Speaker 1: this is not where I should be going, but I'm

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Speaker 1: doing it anyway. And personally, I like the Steelers laying

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Speaker 1: three and a half at home against the Cleveland Browns.

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Speaker 1: I'm a Patriot fan, all right. So as a Patriot fan,

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Speaker 1: there are some historical numbers. There are some times where

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna look and say, you know what, historically speaking,

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Speaker 1: green Bay, I'm sorry the Cleveland never wins at hinz Field.

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Speaker 1: This is a Steelers team that is really good defensively,

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Speaker 1: and I don't think Baker Mayfield throws all that well

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Speaker 1: on the run when he's being pressured. He looks okay

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Speaker 1: when he's rolling out when they have design rollouts, when

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Speaker 1: chemis Fancy's got him on the edge, that's where he

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Speaker 1: throws the ball really well. But when he is being pressured,

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Speaker 1: when it's not supposed to be a design rollout, and

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Speaker 1: he is pressured. And right now, nobody is pressuring the

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Speaker 1: quarterback better than the Pittsburgh Steelers. I think they run

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Speaker 1: the ball. I know Kareem Hunt. Is everyone saying, look,

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Speaker 1: Kareem Hunt, big game. Maybe okay, maybe Kareem Hunt has

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Speaker 1: a big game. But in Obj's playing because of the

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Speaker 1: COVID concerns, he's clean, he's just got an illness. I

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Speaker 1: think this could be a high scoring game. But I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna take history here, and history tells me that the

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Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Steelers win these games because of their defense, and

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Speaker 1: Cleveland makes mistakes late, turnovers late, Pittsburgh wins, Pittsburgh covers

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Speaker 1: at three and a half. All right, got two games

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Speaker 1: that I'm taking for the over. Let's talk about Chicago

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Speaker 1: in Carolina. I want to bet Carolina here, but Carolina

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Speaker 1: is quickly becoming my Houston Texans, where I'm doing just

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Speaker 1: a horrible job. When it comes to picking their games.

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Speaker 1: But forty four is one of those numbers that is

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Speaker 1: just low in today's NFL. So Carolina offensively twenty four

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Speaker 1: points a game, six point two yards per game, Teddy

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Speaker 1: Bridgewater has been pretty darn good. And it is remarkable

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Speaker 1: to look at this Carolina team. They have covered their

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Speaker 1: last three games. They are three to zero against the

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Speaker 1: spread against the Chargers, the Cardinals, and the Falcons. And

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Speaker 1: you might say, Matt, those teams aren't good. But you

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Speaker 1: know what, the Chicago Bears are the most overrated four

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Speaker 1: to one football team in the NFL, maybe ever, and

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Speaker 1: they're three and two against the spread. All right, so

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Speaker 1: they covered against Tampa. They've got kind of the extra

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Speaker 1: layoff time, if you will. But I do I think

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Speaker 1: Nick Foles is gonna put up a bunch of numbers.

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Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean, I don't think Carolina's defense

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Speaker 1: is all that good, so they'll probably moved the football

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Speaker 1: here a little bit. And I think from a total perspective,

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Speaker 1: I just think this is a team and the Bears

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Speaker 1: that will score enough. The under is hit in the

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Speaker 1: last two games against Indianapolis and against Tampa. But this

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Speaker 1: game now is on the road. It's at Carolina, and

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Speaker 1: the under has come in here, but fifty two and

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Speaker 1: a half in the game against Arizona, fifty three and

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Speaker 1: a half in the game against Atlanta here, and I

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Speaker 1: mean mostly these games for them are coming in, you know, Carolina,

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Speaker 1: I just think they're gonna score I do. I think

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Speaker 1: They're gonna score twenty twenty four points in Chicago's gonna

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Speaker 1: be right there with them. I think forty four is

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Speaker 1: just a really low number in today's NFL. So I'm

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Speaker 1: playing over forty four and a half for Chicago and Carolina,

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Speaker 1: and the same thing comes down to the Patriots here

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Speaker 1: in the Broncos. Forty four and a half is just

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Speaker 1: too low. Oh. I think the Patriots are gonna score

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Speaker 1: a lot against Denver. I think they're gonna run the

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Speaker 1: ball a lot. But I think they're gonna really do

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Speaker 1: a good job. With Cam Newton coming back. I think

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Speaker 1: their offense is gonna put up some numbers. And I

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Speaker 1: think they're gonna run the ball a ton here against

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Speaker 1: Denver and Denver's banged up. Man. I mean, the Patriots

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Speaker 1: took on the Casey Chiefs, the under hit last week,

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Speaker 1: the last game that they played they've been offered two weeks,

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Speaker 1: so they're rested before that. The over against Seattle and

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Speaker 1: the over against Vegas both hit. The over against the

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Speaker 1: Jets last week, I get for Denver two weeks ago.

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Speaker 1: For Denver hit against the Jets. They didn't. The over

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Speaker 1: didn't hit against Tampa, but it hit against the Pittsburgh Steelers.

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Speaker 1: I think Patriots defense is good, but I mean, Philip Lindsay,

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Speaker 1: I think it's gonna have a really big day. I mean,

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Speaker 1: I'll kind of tip my cap a little bit on

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Speaker 1: some of the prop bets that like, I think Philip

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Speaker 1: Lindsay's gonna have a big day running the football for

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Speaker 1: the Denver Broncos. Patriots rush defense is not that great.

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Speaker 1: They're very good at pass the defense, but they're not

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Speaker 1: that great at rush defense. So to me, I think

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Speaker 1: that's a possibility that they'll run the ball a bunch

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Speaker 1: and you can pick up some big yardage, and you know,

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Speaker 1: that's a potential. The Patriots are, you know, giving up

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Speaker 1: right now four point four yards per rush. That's you know,

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Speaker 1: middle of the pack, towards the bottom of the league.

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Speaker 1: That's not that very not that great. Denver's not running

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Speaker 1: the ball excuse me as well as they have in

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Speaker 1: the past, but I think against the Patriots will have

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Speaker 1: some chances to do that. In particular, you don't want

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Speaker 1: to get Drew Lock hurt, so he's coming back off

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Speaker 1: of an injury. So we're going over with the Patriots

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Speaker 1: and the Broncos. Okay, so my plays, I got five

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Speaker 1: plays going here for Sunday. Two plays I gave you

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Speaker 1: for Monday. But the Sunday plays are Packers pick them

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Speaker 1: Steelers minus three and a half, Chicago Carolina over forty

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Speaker 1: four and a half, Pats Broncos over forty four and

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Speaker 1: a half. And the teaser is Patriots minus three give

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Speaker 1: me minus two as well. And the Ravens minus three

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Speaker 1: and a half is our two leg teaser at minus

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Speaker 1: one forty that we do each and every week here

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Speaker 1: on the Daily Juice for four and one, So on

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Speaker 1: those teasers. Okay. Reminder live stream begins at eleven am

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Speaker 1: Eastern eight am Pacific time off of the Betting Pros

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Speaker 1: YouTube channel. Go subscribe be there. We'll talk props. We

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Speaker 1: will talk a ton of information, line movements, injury reports

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Speaker 1: and whatnot. I'll answer as many questions as they can

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Speaker 1: as we go live as we do each and every

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Speaker 1: week every Sunday morning eleven am to eight am, or

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Speaker 1: eleven am in the morning eight am Pacific time for

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Speaker 1: one hour off the Betting Pros YouTube channel. My name

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Speaker 1: is Matt Perrault. Best of luck, appreciate you guys listening.

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Speaker 1: Follow me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matts. I'll talk

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Speaker 1: to you for the live stream and for the Monday

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Speaker 1: edition the Daily News Podcasts presenting by BETMGM Betting Pros

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Speaker 1: dot com