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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Fantasy Pros MLB. It's me JOEP

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Speaker 1: Joe pi Zapia. With me is Joe Alrico, and today

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Speaker 1: we're gonna do a little fun video for you about

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Speaker 1: some pitchers and early ADP and we think are going

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Speaker 1: to grossly outperform where they're being drafted early. Now, look

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Speaker 1: it is very early. It's best ball season here. Obviously,

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Speaker 1: as we get closer to fantasy drafts for redraft, things

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Speaker 1: are going to change a little bit. But right now,

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Speaker 1: at least for the time being, on fantasypros dot com,

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Speaker 1: you can see the consensus rankings. You can go look

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Speaker 1: at NFBC rankings too, and there's some guys that we

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Speaker 1: think aren't getting enough love, some guys that are being

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Speaker 1: a little suppressed in those picture streets. Should Joe Rico.

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Speaker 1: Let's start with a guy who was a fantasy darling

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Speaker 1: in the analyst community a couple of years ago. Injuries

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Speaker 1: kind of derailed him, but quietly got back on track

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Speaker 1: and healthy last year. Let's talk about Kyle Bradish, who

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Speaker 1: right now is a guy who is going as the

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Speaker 1: seventy second player overall and ADP SP of twenty four.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, this is a type of player I like to

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Speaker 2: buy into when they've returned from their Tommy John surgery.

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Speaker 2: They've had a little bit of time to get reacclimated

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Speaker 2: on the mound, and now you're in year two post surgery,

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Speaker 2: and usually the last thing to come back is the command.

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Speaker 2: And Kyle Bradish returned with a sub eight percent walk

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Speaker 2: rate while striking out thirty seven percent of the batters

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Speaker 2: he faced. Yes, it was six starts, it was thirty

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Speaker 2: two innings, but it's a really good sign for Kyle

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Speaker 2: Bradish that he was able to return and not be

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Speaker 2: all over the place. We saw Yery Perez struggle, we

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Speaker 2: saw Spencer Striders struggle. A lot of guys come back

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Speaker 2: and that initial return doesn't look good. The fact that

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Speaker 2: Bradish hit the ground running really gives me a lot

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Speaker 2: of encouragement. He's on a new and improved Orioles team.

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Speaker 2: He still I mean, it's still the same Orioles team,

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Speaker 2: but they have gotten better over the course of this offseason.

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Speaker 2: Of course, with Pete Alonzo coming into town. They disappointed

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Speaker 2: as a whole last year, but I think the Orioles

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Speaker 2: will bounce back. There should be a lot of wins

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Speaker 2: to go around. For Kyle Bradish, and I think honestly

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Speaker 2: he has a chance to finish as an sp one

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Speaker 2: in twenty twenty six.

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Speaker 1: I don't think that that's a far stra at all,

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Speaker 1: and I do think they'll be improving. And look, a

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Speaker 1: lot of things went wrong last year for the Baltimore Orioles.

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Speaker 1: I don't think two years in a row we get

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Speaker 1: everything going wrong. Still a lot of talent on that team.

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Speaker 1: You hope Jackson Holiday takes another step forward. You hope

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Speaker 1: Gunner Henderson as a good year Westburg and again bringing

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Speaker 1: a lonzo, a real bat in the middle of that

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Speaker 1: order that you have to account for, helps everybody. It's

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Speaker 1: gonna have the pitching staff too, so you get Rogers

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Speaker 1: and Bradish at the top of that rotation. Hopefully things

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Speaker 1: go well for them. All right, first, got on my

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Speaker 1: list and I do all the pitcher right ups for

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Speaker 1: the Fantasy Baseball Black Book, which you can get on

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Speaker 1: Amazon right now, so go pick it up there. Joe

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Speaker 1: Rico contributor, and of course I do all the pitching

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Speaker 1: profiles there. And number one on my list for up

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Speaker 1: and coming pitchers this year is Nolan McLain. And that

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Speaker 1: is despite the fact that I am a loser Met

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Speaker 1: fan because as a Met fan, you know things don't

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Speaker 1: go your way more often than not. Right now, currently

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Speaker 1: he's the twenty eighth starting pitcher off the board. His

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Speaker 1: ADP is one oh four overall, and I just don't

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Speaker 1: think it's high enough. This is another guy that I

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Speaker 1: think is easily a top twenty guy, if not potentially

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Speaker 1: top fifteen of everything breaks right. You saw that walk

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Speaker 1: great go from about four walks per nine to three

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Speaker 1: walks per nine when he got called up to the

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Speaker 1: big leagues. You've seen a guy with six pitches who

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Speaker 1: went out there and absolutely dominated at the end of

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Speaker 1: last season. Now, I know it's a small sample, it's

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Speaker 1: forty eight innings. He was five and one over those

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Speaker 1: eight starts that he made, though he had fifty seven

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Speaker 1: strikeouts and forty eight innings. The movement on his pitches,

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Speaker 1: Joe is insane. It looks like we're playing whiffle ball

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Speaker 1: in the backyard in Boston or something, and one of

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Speaker 1: those guys build those waffle ball fields everywhere. It's nuts

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Speaker 1: to see how much movement he's got. Hitters taken uncomfortable

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Speaker 1: at that, after uncomfortable at that and for a kid

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Speaker 1: who was just twenty four years old going on twenty five.

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Speaker 1: There's an opportunity for him to be catapulted into that

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Speaker 1: special tier system. And I think the Mets offseason has

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Speaker 1: been quiet because I think they've viewed Noel McLain as

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Speaker 1: an ace of this staff. They just haven't told anybody,

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Speaker 1: but they're showing you that's what they believe. I have

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Speaker 1: hard pressed to think he's not going to be at

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Speaker 1: the top of the board when the Rookie of the

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Speaker 1: Year nominations come out here for all the sports books,

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Speaker 1: and that also tells you something too. So Noel McClain

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Speaker 1: to me, is a guy that has just magnificent talent.

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Speaker 1: He's flashit. He's come on strong here at the end

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Speaker 1: of last year. A one h four whip, a two

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Speaker 1: oh six era. Are those numbers going to hold No,

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Speaker 1: but the strikeout potential is off the chart. The Mets

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Speaker 1: will still do enough to have a very good team

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Speaker 1: on the field because of the ownership. So to me,

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Speaker 1: Noel McLain is the guy that is not being drafted

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Speaker 1: highly enough, despite the fact that he's right around that

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Speaker 1: top one hundred. Next guy on your list, we got

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Speaker 1: to go cross town talk to me a Yankee pitcher

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Speaker 1: Joe Rico that he got on your list.

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Speaker 2: It kills me to talk up a Yankee, but you

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Speaker 2: know what, we got to leave the Blue Jay bias

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Speaker 2: at the door on these shows. In Cam Schlitler is

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Speaker 2: somebody that I am really interested in. His fourteen starts

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Speaker 2: were excellent. In twenty twenty five, he had a two

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Speaker 2: nine six era, a one to twenty two whip. He

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Speaker 2: had that amazing start against the Red Sox and the playoffs.

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Speaker 2: There's a lot to like here. The stuff is really good,

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Speaker 2: the team behind him is really good. Some of the

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Speaker 2: supporting metrics, like if you look at the x fips

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Speaker 2: and the expected eras, they were a little bit higher

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Speaker 2: than you would have hoped. I think a lot of

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Speaker 2: that comes down to the walk rate being a little

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Speaker 2: bit high at ten point two percent. He's always been

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Speaker 2: a guy who will live in that eight to ten

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Speaker 2: percent walk range, but he's striking out thirty percent of

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Speaker 2: batters at most levels. Into debut with a nearly twenty

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Speaker 2: eight percent strikeout rate, leads me to believe that he

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Speaker 2: can build off of that. The swinging strike rates in

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Speaker 2: the minors where routinely thirteen fourteen percent, gets a lot

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Speaker 2: of chases. There's a lot to like about Cam Schlitler

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Speaker 2: and being drafted not as high as I honestly would

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Speaker 2: have thought. Is the sp thirty seven forty type of

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Speaker 2: range in early drafts. He's somebody that I've landed on

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Speaker 2: a couple times, which does hurt me as a blue Jay,

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Speaker 2: But you know what, you got to take the value

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Speaker 2: where they come.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I think he's easily a top forty guy, but

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Speaker 1: he I think he has the potential to be a

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Speaker 1: top thirty guy as well. And you are getting a

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Speaker 1: little bit of a discount on him. And it is

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Speaker 1: weird because he's a Yankee, so you would think that

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Speaker 1: there will be more of a premium because he's a Yankee.

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Speaker 1: But I don't know. Maybe the Yankees are starting to

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Speaker 1: feel a little bit more self loathing like me lately.

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Speaker 1: That's that's kind of nice, kind kind of enjoy that

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Speaker 1: a little bit. I'm not gonna lie all right. Next

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Speaker 1: guy on my list is the forty third a starting

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Speaker 1: pitcher off the board and adp right now of one

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Speaker 1: forty nine overall. It's Nick Lidolo of the City Cincinnati Reds.

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Speaker 1: I've taken this guy in mock drafts. You could watch

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Speaker 1: here on the channel on the YouTube channel. Subscribe to

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Speaker 1: the YouTube channel, check it out. I go into length

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Speaker 1: there about him, but as I said in the Black Book,

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Speaker 1: I feel like we are on the precipice of something

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Speaker 1: special here. Sometimes those lefties take a little bit longer

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Speaker 1: than the pressure cooker. And Nick Lodola last year had

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Speaker 1: his best statistical season. He has most endings, he had

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Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty six. A lot of us was

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Speaker 1: about health for him too, and consistency. And you know,

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Speaker 1: he is still just twenty seven years old, right, he's

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Speaker 1: reaching his prime years. Prime yeers are going to be

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Speaker 1: twenty eight to thirty one for him, maybe even thirty

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Speaker 1: two with the way some pictures have gone recently. And

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Speaker 1: last year, you go, I understand he had a five

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Speaker 1: hundred record basically, but over one hundred and fifty six innings.

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Speaker 1: He limited the hits, only one hundred and thirty eight hits,

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Speaker 1: So he was tough to square up. In terms of

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Speaker 1: strikeout to walk ratio about as good as it gets,

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Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty six strikeouts, just thirty one walks.

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Speaker 1: And that's the special sauce for me. When you're a

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Speaker 1: lefty who's tough, doesn't walk anybody. You're not giving up hits,

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Speaker 1: you're not putting guys on base, and you still have

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Speaker 1: a nine k per nine. That is good now. I

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Speaker 1: know he stumbled a little bit in September at the

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Speaker 1: of the year, that's okay. I think it's a little

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Speaker 1: bit of fatigue at the end of the season kind

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Speaker 1: of sent him down. I love this Reds team. I

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Speaker 1: love what they're capable of doing. Tito Francona one of

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Speaker 1: the best to ever do it. He had a one

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Speaker 1: zero eight whip of three point three to three ERA

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Speaker 1: and a lot of the x ERA and PIP numbers

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Speaker 1: and all those other pieces of the puzzle all look

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Speaker 1: really good for Lodolo too, So no flukes here for him.

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Speaker 1: It's not like something's gonna all of a sudden catch

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Speaker 1: up with the next year with regression. If anything, I

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Speaker 1: think there might even be a step forward. And if

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Speaker 1: you could just cross that thirty start threshold, I think

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Speaker 1: we're in for something really special because Lodolo right now

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Speaker 1: to me as the forty third starting pitcher as nuts,

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Speaker 1: I think he's more like a top twenty five guy,

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Speaker 1: potentially at least top thirty, so a huge discount on him.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's get to the last guy on your list,

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Speaker 1: and you got to go to Pittsburgh for this one, Joe.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's not typically what you would initially associate with

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Speaker 2: sp value is Pittsburgh. But Brax and Ashcraft is going

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Speaker 2: off the board outside of the top one hundred starting

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Speaker 2: pitchers is adp. If you're looking at recent NFBC drafts two,

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Speaker 2: he's pushing three hundred and I love it. I love

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Speaker 2: everything about him, but that price is just so appealing.

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Speaker 2: He had sixty nine and two thirds innings in the

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Speaker 2: majors last year, was a two to seven to one era,

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Speaker 2: a one to twenty five whip. The stuff is off

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Speaker 2: the charts, though specifically with his curve ball it's a

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Speaker 2: one thirty five stuff. The two other offerings great out

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Speaker 2: at least as one oh two or better. And you know,

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Speaker 2: sometimes the fastball being what it is at eighty six

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Speaker 2: stuff plus that will lead to some concern. But he's

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Speaker 2: improved the pitch and he's improved his entire arsenal over

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Speaker 2: the last year. The fastball went from ninety five and

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Speaker 2: a half to ninety seven. The slider went from ninety

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Speaker 2: five to ninety six. The change up went from ninety

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Speaker 2: to ninety one and the curve ball eighty two to

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Speaker 2: eighty four, so he had an increase in velocity across

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Speaker 2: all of his pitches. He had some relief appearances in

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Speaker 2: twenty twenty five. I'd imagine that the Pirates will use

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Speaker 2: him as a full time starter this season. And if

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Speaker 2: you look at some of the projections, the worst of

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Speaker 2: them projected about a four ERA and getting him outside

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Speaker 2: of the top of one hundred starting pitchers. There is

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Speaker 2: nothing but upside with Braxton Ashcraft.

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Speaker 1: All right, good one too, all right, last one for

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Speaker 1: me is a guy that just signed yesterday. He's the

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Speaker 1: newest member of the Boston Red Sox now. And maybe

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Speaker 1: that's why the ADP was falling behind. People wanted to

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Speaker 1: wait and see where he landed. But right now today

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Speaker 1: he is ADP one point eighty SP fifty six. His

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Speaker 1: name is Ranger Suarez, and Ranger Suarez has been really

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Speaker 1: steady the last couple of years, and in a world

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Speaker 1: dominated by throwers now in Major League Baseball, he's a pitcher.

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Speaker 1: He knowes that a pitch and it's becoming a lost

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Speaker 1: art for him. If you look at the last two years,

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Speaker 1: his strikeout rate, his walk right, his ground ball rate,

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Speaker 1: all of those things were above average where you wanted

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Speaker 1: them to be. Is he a guy that's gonna dazzle

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Speaker 1: you with velocity. No, He's a crafty lefty. He's a

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Speaker 1: throwback kind of guy. Now he finds himself on another

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Speaker 1: good team in Boston that I think the Red Sox

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Speaker 1: are still going to be close to a ninety win

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Speaker 1: team this year, somewhere around that range. Obviously Vegas agrees

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Speaker 1: to sure they got to shore up the offense with

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Speaker 1: Bregman leaving a little bit, but I think Roman Anthony

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Speaker 1: is stepping into that role too full time next year

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Speaker 1: as a player from wire to wire is going to

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Speaker 1: be huge for this offense. But he led all pitchers

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Speaker 1: to throw at least one hundred and twenty innings last year.

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Speaker 1: In terms of command, his location, everything is right there.

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Speaker 1: And again a guy. Is he gonna dazzle you and

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Speaker 1: blow you away with the stuff. No, But what he's

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Speaker 1: gonna do is gonna find you path to wins. He's

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Speaker 1: gonna get you double did you wins? I know? Last

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Speaker 1: year again started the season all late because of a

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Speaker 1: back issue. Twenty six starts he did end up making

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Speaker 1: there again, the strikeout to walk ratio impact up a

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Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty one strikeouts of thirty eight walks.

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Speaker 1: I love pitchers who don't walk guys because they're not

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Speaker 1: gonna beat themselves. I expect a Zra to be somewhere

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Speaker 1: in the mid to low threes. I expect that whip

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Speaker 1: to be around one point two two one point two

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Speaker 1: five this year. And I'll tell you what, there's no

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Speaker 1: way he is not gonna be a top fifty, if

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Speaker 1: not top forty pitcher if he stays healthy, he makes

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Speaker 1: all his starts because Ranger Suarez, despite the fact that

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Speaker 1: now he's in the American League East, He's gonna find

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Speaker 1: a way to miss bats. He's gonna find a way

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Speaker 1: to get out. He's gonna find a way to get

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Speaker 1: through the lineups and get through the ballparks that he

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Speaker 1: has to, just like he did the National League East

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Speaker 1: because he had to face the Braves and the Mets,

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Speaker 1: and guess what, the Marlins were pretty good last year too.

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Speaker 1: So I'm not worried about him going to the American

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Speaker 1: League East. All I know is a Ranger Suarez in

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Speaker 1: an era Joe. Where everybody's looking at the radar gun,

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Speaker 1: I'm looking at the productivity as a pitcher, and if

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Speaker 1: you're in quality start leagues too, I think Ranger Swarz

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Speaker 1: is an underrated guy. What did you make of that

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Speaker 1: signing too? Since we're talking about Suarez and is kind

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Speaker 1: of new news here as we're recording this a little early,

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Speaker 1: but what did you think of the Suarez signing for

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Speaker 1: the Red Sox?

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Speaker 3: So?

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Speaker 2: I think it's fine. I think that the money will

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Speaker 2: end up looking a little bit expensive in a couple

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Speaker 2: of years, twenty six million. I think he's got a

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Speaker 2: couple of good years left in him. But I worry.

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Speaker 2: I know we're talking about, you know, pitchers versus throwers,

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Speaker 2: but the fastball velocity being ninety one, he's in very

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Speaker 2: fine margins there. So I think he's got a couple

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Speaker 2: of years left where he can still be productive, like

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Speaker 2: we've seen the last couple of years. By the time

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Speaker 2: we're into year four of this deal and we're looking

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Speaker 2: at thirty four year old Ranger Suarez throwing eighty eight

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Speaker 2: miles an hour, don't I think it's gonna look that great.

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Speaker 2: But the Red Sox for the next couple of years.

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Speaker 2: I think they have a solid SP two SP three.

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Speaker 1: Well, it's a good thing for both of us. This

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Speaker 1: isn't a dynasty show because we're talking about redraft and

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Speaker 1: we're talking about this season alone, so I'm not worried

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Speaker 1: about it. I like the top of this rotation with

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Speaker 1: him and Crochet, two tough lefties. Sunny Gray now out

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Speaker 1: there too, so we'll see what the makeup of the

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Speaker 1: Phillies rotation is without Ranger Swarez too. That'll be interesting.

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Speaker 1: Who's fighting for that fifth spot? Will it be Andrew Painter?

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Speaker 1: Who knows? But again, great stuff from Joe Rico. Those

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Speaker 1: are six names right now that we think are undervalue,

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Speaker 1: that we think are going to outperform there ADP currently.

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Speaker 1: I'm sure some of these ADPs will rise. But if

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Speaker 1: you're playing best Ball or doing any kind of early

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Speaker 1: drafts in January or February, jump on the early values,

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Speaker 1: jump on some of these names, because again, what you

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Speaker 1: want to do is not just draft off to ADP.

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Speaker 1: Draft off what you think ADP in twenty twenty seven

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Speaker 1: is going to be, and that is how you win championships. Also,

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Speaker 1: you win championships by subscribing to the feed here and

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Speaker 1: subscribing to our YouTube channel Fantasy Pros MLB wherever you

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Speaker 1: get your podcast to, so drop your comments below. We

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Speaker 1: love hearing from you. Who is your biggest value at

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Speaker 1: sp right now that you think is gonna outperform. We

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Speaker 1: love our community here at Fantasy Pros, and of course

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Speaker 1: don't forget about our twitch too, where Leading Off is

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Speaker 1: gonna be live in just a couple of months. If

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Speaker 1: you can believe it, unbelievable time sure does fly. We're

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Speaker 1: gonna be back every day Monday through Friday talking baseball.

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Speaker 1: So go to twitch dot tv slash Fantasy Pros, subscribe there,

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Speaker 1: subscribe to the YouTube feed, and of course send Joe A.

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Speaker 1: Rico a heater because he's in like three feet of

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Speaker 1: snow right now in his Canadian Iglu is iglo a

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Speaker 1: better word.

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Speaker 2: Than for what we're going for what's going on around

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Speaker 2: me right now? It might as well be an iglu.

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Speaker 2: Might have a penguin walk by, It could be Kelly,

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Speaker 2: could be an actual penguin.

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Speaker 1: All right, go check out our latest episode two The

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Speaker 1: Mock Draft Show just dropped two recently. That'll do it

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Speaker 1: for us. But the story of the game goes off

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Speaker 1: for Joe Rico. I'm Joe Pisapia, all the Joes. We'll

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Speaker 1: see you next time. Kids, Happy draft season, Welcome Fantasy

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Speaker 1: Baseball's back.

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Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Fantasy Baseball podcast.

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