1 00:00:09,080 --> 00:00:13,000 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Action Network. 2 00:00:13,119 --> 00:00:16,480 Speaker 1: I am Chad Millman and I am going to be 3 00:00:16,600 --> 00:00:21,280 Speaker 1: joined by professional better Simon Hunter. And before we even 4 00:00:21,320 --> 00:00:27,360 Speaker 1: get into it, I'm just gonna say, Simon Hunter, we 5 00:00:27,520 --> 00:00:33,120 Speaker 1: did it, baby, We freaking did it. Congrats to us 6 00:00:33,360 --> 00:00:38,360 Speaker 1: five and oh to close out the season, my brother, 7 00:00:38,440 --> 00:00:43,200 Speaker 1: we did it exactly the way we said we would 8 00:00:43,920 --> 00:00:47,880 Speaker 1: when we recorded on Tuesday. We followed our game plan. 9 00:00:49,120 --> 00:00:57,080 Speaker 1: We did not waiver. We were not cowards. We were rewarded. 10 00:00:58,520 --> 00:01:00,360 Speaker 1: We're gonna get to the details. We're going to get 11 00:01:00,360 --> 00:01:02,200 Speaker 1: to the details and where we finished in the Draft 12 00:01:02,320 --> 00:01:05,199 Speaker 1: Kings Pro Football Pick Him contest. But let's just say 13 00:01:05,240 --> 00:01:07,360 Speaker 1: we did okay because we finished five and oh. For 14 00:01:07,400 --> 00:01:10,320 Speaker 1: the last week of the contest, what say you, brother 15 00:01:10,920 --> 00:01:19,280 Speaker 1: man Mitchell the music yet Daddy is tell him? I 16 00:01:19,360 --> 00:01:24,200 Speaker 1: just want my rag boom, buddy. That was ultimate, the 17 00:01:24,360 --> 00:01:26,760 Speaker 1: ultimate pressure. We had all the pressure in the world 18 00:01:26,800 --> 00:01:29,920 Speaker 1: on us, man, and we came through chat. That was 19 00:01:30,000 --> 00:01:32,840 Speaker 1: a That was a fun weekend. That was definitely one 20 00:01:32,880 --> 00:01:36,520 Speaker 1: to remember. You know, what's crazy and so by if, if, 21 00:01:36,520 --> 00:01:40,040 Speaker 1: by chance, if by chance, there is at this point 22 00:01:40,040 --> 00:01:44,200 Speaker 1: in the football season anyone new to our betting podcast 23 00:01:44,840 --> 00:01:49,120 Speaker 1: all season long. Simon Hunter Professional Better has joined me 24 00:01:49,160 --> 00:01:51,680 Speaker 1: on the podcast and we made five picks every week 25 00:01:51,720 --> 00:01:56,240 Speaker 1: in the Draft Kings Pro Football pick Um National Championship 26 00:01:56,280 --> 00:01:59,800 Speaker 1: to win one million dollars. And so we've gone through 27 00:01:59,840 --> 00:02:01,920 Speaker 1: the year and Simon is going to detail how we 28 00:02:02,000 --> 00:02:05,320 Speaker 1: finished and we needed a big week. We needed a 29 00:02:05,400 --> 00:02:09,359 Speaker 1: five and a week over the weekend. Scott Miller, who 30 00:02:10,040 --> 00:02:13,880 Speaker 1: is one of the fearless leaders UH at Action Network 31 00:02:14,240 --> 00:02:17,240 Speaker 1: UH texted me, he goes, have you ever been more 32 00:02:17,360 --> 00:02:22,600 Speaker 1: clutch in your entire life? Chances are no, I don't 33 00:02:22,600 --> 00:02:25,360 Speaker 1: know that I have been this clutch. Simon, what about you? 34 00:02:25,360 --> 00:02:28,800 Speaker 1: Have you ever been as clutch as we were this weekend? 35 00:02:28,800 --> 00:02:31,720 Speaker 1: You had a massive weekend. You explained to people what 36 00:02:31,760 --> 00:02:34,239 Speaker 1: happened to you this weekend? Yeah? I have been this clutch. 37 00:02:34,280 --> 00:02:36,320 Speaker 1: There's this one time I think I told you I 38 00:02:36,320 --> 00:02:38,720 Speaker 1: peaked in high school. I had two girls I was 39 00:02:38,760 --> 00:02:40,880 Speaker 1: looking up with came to the same party and I 40 00:02:40,919 --> 00:02:42,839 Speaker 1: hooked up with both of them without them you either 41 00:02:42,919 --> 00:02:45,000 Speaker 1: knowing at the party. So that was a pretty clutch 42 00:02:45,080 --> 00:02:48,799 Speaker 1: night for your boy back in the day. But yeah, man, 43 00:02:49,120 --> 00:02:51,280 Speaker 1: this is how to break it down. UH, there might 44 00:02:51,320 --> 00:02:53,280 Speaker 1: be a hundred guys in all of America that do 45 00:02:53,320 --> 00:02:55,280 Speaker 1: what I do. So say there's a hundred groups. There's 46 00:02:55,280 --> 00:02:57,840 Speaker 1: a couple of groups in New York, a couple of Chicago, 47 00:02:57,880 --> 00:02:59,760 Speaker 1: a couple in l a couple in Vegas, couple and 48 00:02:59,800 --> 00:03:02,079 Speaker 1: four are to and they each have a guy like me. 49 00:03:02,680 --> 00:03:06,160 Speaker 1: So we all text, we all talk. The majority of us, 50 00:03:06,200 --> 00:03:08,480 Speaker 1: we all know each other because we're there's there's very 51 00:03:08,520 --> 00:03:10,639 Speaker 1: few of us that do what we do, like actual 52 00:03:10,800 --> 00:03:15,200 Speaker 1: NFL professional betters. And this one group has a dude 53 00:03:15,200 --> 00:03:17,160 Speaker 1: that's around my age and I've known him for years 54 00:03:17,360 --> 00:03:22,399 Speaker 1: and uh, basically, our our Survivor contest locks on Friday, 55 00:03:22,600 --> 00:03:25,359 Speaker 1: and um, a couple of them listen to the show 56 00:03:25,400 --> 00:03:28,680 Speaker 1: and he he texted me pretty much saying, what's the 57 00:03:28,720 --> 00:03:30,959 Speaker 1: deal man, why do you Why are you taking the jets? 58 00:03:31,000 --> 00:03:33,520 Speaker 1: What you're read here? Because he had Cleveland and a 59 00:03:33,520 --> 00:03:36,680 Speaker 1: couple other groups had Cleveland, and I pretty much just 60 00:03:36,680 --> 00:03:38,800 Speaker 1: texted him, I'm going for it and you guys are 61 00:03:38,800 --> 00:03:41,360 Speaker 1: idiots were taking Cleveland and he just played like, ha ha, 62 00:03:41,560 --> 00:03:45,240 Speaker 1: we shall see. And the COVID news came out Saturday 63 00:03:45,480 --> 00:03:49,360 Speaker 1: and he was just like, I hate you and basically 64 00:03:49,800 --> 00:03:52,080 Speaker 1: the way it broke down was this one sharp group 65 00:03:52,360 --> 00:03:55,560 Speaker 1: are our contest is weird where basically play all the teams, 66 00:03:55,600 --> 00:03:57,440 Speaker 1: but if you can hold onto a team that has 67 00:03:57,480 --> 00:04:01,160 Speaker 1: the best record in football, you at an extra fift K. 68 00:04:01,480 --> 00:04:04,760 Speaker 1: So like I've been holding the Bucks really late because 69 00:04:04,800 --> 00:04:06,640 Speaker 1: I was hoping to cash them in for the K. 70 00:04:07,160 --> 00:04:09,720 Speaker 1: And this other group had the Chiefs, which obviously there 71 00:04:09,760 --> 00:04:14,680 Speaker 1: thirteen one. They're gonna win that prop. They they're sharp, man, 72 00:04:14,760 --> 00:04:18,280 Speaker 1: and they've been saving the Packers and they played the Bengals. 73 00:04:18,960 --> 00:04:21,000 Speaker 1: So that's how I end up chopping with Like it was, 74 00:04:21,040 --> 00:04:23,760 Speaker 1: I texted in before the Packers game and I was like, 75 00:04:23,839 --> 00:04:25,960 Speaker 1: you want to split this no matter what? And he 76 00:04:26,080 --> 00:04:28,039 Speaker 1: was just like two minutes later, was like yes. He 77 00:04:28,160 --> 00:04:30,800 Speaker 1: was like even if we win like next week, we 78 00:04:30,839 --> 00:04:33,240 Speaker 1: can play for an extra like K or something for 79 00:04:33,279 --> 00:04:35,320 Speaker 1: like the winner. But like he was in the same 80 00:04:35,360 --> 00:04:37,640 Speaker 1: boat as me, like we just won. We won six 81 00:04:37,720 --> 00:04:40,520 Speaker 1: figures for a survival pool, like we don't really care 82 00:04:40,560 --> 00:04:43,919 Speaker 1: about winning the whole thing. So yeah, man, I I 83 00:04:44,040 --> 00:04:45,760 Speaker 1: went big and I went with the Jets because I 84 00:04:45,800 --> 00:04:47,760 Speaker 1: knew that was gonna be a big one that like 85 00:04:48,520 --> 00:04:50,320 Speaker 1: if I could get the Jets to win and the 86 00:04:50,360 --> 00:04:53,640 Speaker 1: three other three other groups took Cleveland that right there 87 00:04:53,680 --> 00:04:55,640 Speaker 1: would knock them out and put me in like the 88 00:04:55,720 --> 00:04:58,640 Speaker 1: leader pool to win this whole thing. So yeah, basically 89 00:04:58,640 --> 00:05:00,720 Speaker 1: started the weekend with like five five of us and 90 00:05:00,600 --> 00:05:03,440 Speaker 1: it ended with two of us. So that was a 91 00:05:03,480 --> 00:05:07,080 Speaker 1: big shop for your boy. And then like with our competition, 92 00:05:07,120 --> 00:05:10,440 Speaker 1: like we were talking, we like we text Sunday morning, 93 00:05:10,720 --> 00:05:13,080 Speaker 1: and you came to me with some not terrible games, 94 00:05:13,120 --> 00:05:15,960 Speaker 1: like some smart sides, and I was just like, Chad, 95 00:05:16,000 --> 00:05:19,080 Speaker 1: We're not doing anything like this is. We're already on 96 00:05:19,080 --> 00:05:21,640 Speaker 1: the smart sides. We were smart on Tuesday. If we 97 00:05:21,760 --> 00:05:23,640 Speaker 1: just stuck to what we've done on Tuesday, I'll break 98 00:05:23,640 --> 00:05:26,200 Speaker 1: it down later on the numbers. But we were just 99 00:05:26,279 --> 00:05:28,960 Speaker 1: sharp on Tuesdays. And I didn't want to get away 100 00:05:28,960 --> 00:05:32,000 Speaker 1: from that because I just like you said, we we 101 00:05:32,000 --> 00:05:34,679 Speaker 1: we stopped trusting ourselves at certain points during the season, 102 00:05:34,720 --> 00:05:36,920 Speaker 1: which is never the right move. You gotta do it well. 103 00:05:36,920 --> 00:05:41,960 Speaker 1: We got you here. You got to dance with the run. 104 00:05:42,040 --> 00:05:50,000 Speaker 1: You don't be up big all the pressure on us, buddy, 105 00:05:50,040 --> 00:05:52,600 Speaker 1: and we did it. Man five and oh made the money. 106 00:05:52,640 --> 00:05:54,840 Speaker 1: Like we joked at sickly knowing that we're just three 107 00:05:54,839 --> 00:05:57,599 Speaker 1: back of a million dollars. But that's how it is. 108 00:05:57,680 --> 00:05:59,960 Speaker 1: It's it's really close down the stretch here, and there's 109 00:06:00,000 --> 00:06:02,440 Speaker 1: so many people bunched in here that we came to 110 00:06:02,520 --> 00:06:04,760 Speaker 1: twenty four place and we only got four k for it, 111 00:06:04,800 --> 00:06:08,400 Speaker 1: but still pretty nice little penny for a free roll man. 112 00:06:08,560 --> 00:06:11,920 Speaker 1: We had our ups, we had our downs. We got emotional, 113 00:06:12,080 --> 00:06:16,119 Speaker 1: we got vulnerable. We talked about fans being in our head. 114 00:06:16,440 --> 00:06:19,840 Speaker 1: You mentioned it. We talked about making bad decisions on 115 00:06:19,880 --> 00:06:22,240 Speaker 1: Sunday mornings. I think what we proved is that like 116 00:06:22,839 --> 00:06:27,080 Speaker 1: even a media professional who has been covering the gambling 117 00:06:27,080 --> 00:06:31,600 Speaker 1: business for twenty years, and like you mentioned, a professional better, 118 00:06:32,080 --> 00:06:35,960 Speaker 1: we are not immune to the challenges that come with 119 00:06:36,040 --> 00:06:38,960 Speaker 1: trying to make smart decisions about betting. Every single week, 120 00:06:39,200 --> 00:06:41,920 Speaker 1: one of us survived COVID, one of us fought off 121 00:06:42,000 --> 00:06:46,760 Speaker 1: being cursed, one of us survived forgetting to record an 122 00:06:46,920 --> 00:06:52,919 Speaker 1: entire podcast. This is bullsh We gave away money to 123 00:06:53,000 --> 00:06:56,000 Speaker 1: our listeners. We gave away money to their favorite causes, 124 00:06:56,040 --> 00:06:58,359 Speaker 1: which we will continue to do. By the way, we 125 00:06:58,440 --> 00:07:03,039 Speaker 1: walked into the hornet's nest. We made big balls the bets. 126 00:07:05,360 --> 00:07:07,520 Speaker 1: We grew as a podcast as the season went On, 127 00:07:07,560 --> 00:07:11,080 Speaker 1: we built a great and supportive community where we can 128 00:07:11,120 --> 00:07:15,120 Speaker 1: all be vulnerable. We can all drink green tea, we 129 00:07:15,160 --> 00:07:19,760 Speaker 1: can all drink cucumber water together. This message brought to 130 00:07:19,800 --> 00:07:24,120 Speaker 1: you by Cucumber Water, the official beverage of gambling Insiders. 131 00:07:25,560 --> 00:07:30,400 Speaker 1: More importantly, we saved our reputation and the Action Network 132 00:07:30,880 --> 00:07:37,320 Speaker 1: reputation because we finished in the money. So sorry. Simon explained, 133 00:07:37,360 --> 00:07:38,720 Speaker 1: like you mentioned, you know, we went five to Know 134 00:07:38,880 --> 00:07:41,440 Speaker 1: this weekend and we ended up going three. You know 135 00:07:41,560 --> 00:07:45,600 Speaker 1: on Saturday, Like Saturday morning, we loved the Niners and 136 00:07:45,880 --> 00:07:49,960 Speaker 1: we um we loved oh my god, already forgot who 137 00:07:50,040 --> 00:07:53,080 Speaker 1: was the Raiders. We loved the Raiders Las Vegas on 138 00:07:54,360 --> 00:07:57,680 Speaker 1: Saturday night. You texted me Saturday morning like, we gotta 139 00:07:57,720 --> 00:07:59,440 Speaker 1: go with the Bucks. I'm like, are you freaking kidding me? 140 00:08:00,240 --> 00:08:03,520 Speaker 1: We're gonna go with a nearly ten point road favorite, Like, 141 00:08:03,920 --> 00:08:06,480 Speaker 1: and that's how we're gonna start our day. You're like, dude, 142 00:08:07,320 --> 00:08:09,560 Speaker 1: everybody on the coaching staff for the Lions is out. 143 00:08:09,880 --> 00:08:12,240 Speaker 1: We don't know what's going to happen with Stafford. Sure enough, 144 00:08:12,400 --> 00:08:14,760 Speaker 1: like we decided to go to the Bucks. That game 145 00:08:14,800 --> 00:08:17,680 Speaker 1: is so out of reach that uh me and stay 146 00:08:17,680 --> 00:08:19,680 Speaker 1: seeing the boys. We left the house in the middle 147 00:08:19,680 --> 00:08:21,520 Speaker 1: of the day, went to a friend's house and like, 148 00:08:21,560 --> 00:08:25,240 Speaker 1: we're having outdoor cocktails by the firepit, socially distanced, safely, 149 00:08:25,320 --> 00:08:27,760 Speaker 1: socially distance in the middle of the day because it 150 00:08:27,800 --> 00:08:31,400 Speaker 1: was such a gimme, right. So then Sunday, like, as 151 00:08:31,440 --> 00:08:35,439 Speaker 1: you said, we had the Jets, I guess the Browns, 152 00:08:35,440 --> 00:08:38,120 Speaker 1: and we had the Panthers against Washington. I like, I 153 00:08:38,200 --> 00:08:40,800 Speaker 1: also love the Jazz, I love the Steelers, I love 154 00:08:40,880 --> 00:08:43,360 Speaker 1: the Rams, I love the Cowboys, and you were like, 155 00:08:43,400 --> 00:08:46,000 Speaker 1: those are all great. Let's stick with what we got. 156 00:08:46,960 --> 00:08:49,240 Speaker 1: We finished five and oh with not really even a 157 00:08:49,320 --> 00:08:54,120 Speaker 1: sweat on Sunday, Like it was a remarkably easy Sunday um, 158 00:08:54,160 --> 00:08:58,080 Speaker 1: considering we had the Jets and the Panthers finalized. For people, 159 00:08:58,600 --> 00:09:00,600 Speaker 1: how do we do? Where did we fin what do 160 00:09:00,679 --> 00:09:04,319 Speaker 1: we win? What's the status? Yes, I think we were 161 00:09:04,360 --> 00:09:07,360 Speaker 1: like top fifty coming in And then I texted you 162 00:09:08,720 --> 00:09:10,480 Speaker 1: I might have been Saturday night after we went three, 163 00:09:10,480 --> 00:09:12,640 Speaker 1: and then I was like, boom, buddy, backing the money. 164 00:09:12,640 --> 00:09:16,920 Speaker 1: We're in the top forty at the time. And basically 165 00:09:16,920 --> 00:09:19,800 Speaker 1: you can't look at who other people picked until Sunday morning, 166 00:09:19,880 --> 00:09:23,120 Speaker 1: until all the all the picks lock in. So as 167 00:09:23,120 --> 00:09:25,280 Speaker 1: soon as that happened Sunday morning, I went through every 168 00:09:25,280 --> 00:09:27,560 Speaker 1: team and I was just like, all right, chump, chump, chump, 169 00:09:27,760 --> 00:09:31,640 Speaker 1: like terrible pick, terrible pick, chalk chalk, and I saw 170 00:09:31,679 --> 00:09:33,160 Speaker 1: that we had an avenue to get into the top 171 00:09:33,240 --> 00:09:36,920 Speaker 1: thirty if like these these picks worked out because for 172 00:09:37,000 --> 00:09:41,600 Speaker 1: some reason a bunch of these people played. Um. I mean, 173 00:09:41,640 --> 00:09:43,640 Speaker 1: I don't want to hate on picks because that's like 174 00:09:43,800 --> 00:09:46,120 Speaker 1: I hate people that make fun of people taking back picks, 175 00:09:46,160 --> 00:09:49,200 Speaker 1: but like, people just went when we went ugly dogs 176 00:09:49,320 --> 00:09:51,640 Speaker 1: and we went for it, people just went super conservative, 177 00:09:52,000 --> 00:09:54,080 Speaker 1: like super safe, and they all a bunch of them 178 00:09:54,080 --> 00:09:55,400 Speaker 1: went one and four and they all fell out of 179 00:09:55,400 --> 00:09:57,839 Speaker 1: the money. So thank god for them because they all 180 00:09:57,840 --> 00:09:59,400 Speaker 1: fell out and that bumped us up a couple of 181 00:09:59,440 --> 00:10:02,959 Speaker 1: more spots. So I think we ended up twenty fourth place, 182 00:10:03,000 --> 00:10:08,120 Speaker 1: tied with a bunch of people. And Yeah, it's funny 183 00:10:08,120 --> 00:10:10,520 Speaker 1: where we talk all the all year about how much 184 00:10:10,559 --> 00:10:13,520 Speaker 1: the number of matters and how sometimes it doesn't, and 185 00:10:13,720 --> 00:10:16,680 Speaker 1: this was a perfect example of it didn't matter. This week. 186 00:10:16,679 --> 00:10:18,679 Speaker 1: All the dogs we picked pretty much one out right, 187 00:10:18,760 --> 00:10:20,800 Speaker 1: and what every closing number you got the dog gat 188 00:10:20,840 --> 00:10:24,400 Speaker 1: that we took. They covered that number anyway, So exactly 189 00:10:24,440 --> 00:10:26,559 Speaker 1: like you said, it was a no sweat weekend. I 190 00:10:26,840 --> 00:10:28,480 Speaker 1: I do love to fade the public, but I also 191 00:10:28,520 --> 00:10:30,240 Speaker 1: like to ride with the public uncertain picks, and that's 192 00:10:30,240 --> 00:10:32,080 Speaker 1: what that book wasn't like. I was just like, the 193 00:10:32,080 --> 00:10:34,040 Speaker 1: public is dead that on here. This is like a 194 00:10:34,040 --> 00:10:36,880 Speaker 1: great number, especially all these coaches being out, and I 195 00:10:36,880 --> 00:10:39,080 Speaker 1: think we covered that by thirty. So it was a 196 00:10:39,080 --> 00:10:41,240 Speaker 1: great week man. We did did some chalk and we 197 00:10:41,280 --> 00:10:43,480 Speaker 1: did home dogs, and that's that's what got us into 198 00:10:43,520 --> 00:10:45,439 Speaker 1: the money and it was great that it paid off 199 00:10:45,440 --> 00:10:49,679 Speaker 1: for us in the final week. Alright. So uh we 200 00:10:49,800 --> 00:10:54,800 Speaker 1: ended up four place. We won four thousand, one hundred 201 00:10:54,920 --> 00:10:58,520 Speaker 1: sixties six dollars if I'm not mistaken, is that correct? 202 00:10:58,920 --> 00:11:02,000 Speaker 1: That is correct? Right? So I called Simon this morning. 203 00:11:02,440 --> 00:11:06,120 Speaker 1: I'm like, Simon, listen, you take the majority of the money, 204 00:11:06,360 --> 00:11:09,640 Speaker 1: and we should give Matt Mitchell a cut too. And 205 00:11:09,920 --> 00:11:14,520 Speaker 1: his response his response was, of course, but I was thinking, 206 00:11:14,960 --> 00:11:18,640 Speaker 1: should we roll it all over on the future's on 207 00:11:18,720 --> 00:11:21,240 Speaker 1: the bills to win the Super Bowl in honor of 208 00:11:21,280 --> 00:11:23,040 Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell. Matt Mitchell, by the way, I was listening 209 00:11:23,040 --> 00:11:25,000 Speaker 1: to this right now. He has not heard any of 210 00:11:25,040 --> 00:11:27,960 Speaker 1: This is the first time he's hearing this and my response, 211 00:11:28,040 --> 00:11:32,080 Speaker 1: my response was, I don't know about that, because my 212 00:11:32,120 --> 00:11:34,160 Speaker 1: wife asked me last night if we want any money 213 00:11:34,200 --> 00:11:36,880 Speaker 1: in this contest, and I told her we did, and 214 00:11:36,920 --> 00:11:38,599 Speaker 1: I said, I want to give Simon the majority of 215 00:11:38,640 --> 00:11:40,800 Speaker 1: the money, but I think we'll still clear a decent chunk, 216 00:11:41,200 --> 00:11:43,880 Speaker 1: and so I have to think about it. And she's 217 00:11:43,920 --> 00:11:45,679 Speaker 1: out right now, so I'm not going to be able 218 00:11:45,720 --> 00:11:48,280 Speaker 1: to have a conversation with her. Um. But Matt Mitchell, 219 00:11:48,679 --> 00:11:50,920 Speaker 1: you should weigh in here. Do you want to let 220 00:11:51,000 --> 00:11:53,640 Speaker 1: your cut ride. I'm not sure we should do a 221 00:11:53,679 --> 00:11:55,760 Speaker 1: bill's futures. I think we should talk about it. I 222 00:11:55,800 --> 00:11:59,880 Speaker 1: am all in favor of rolling this over into the postseason. Wow, guys, 223 00:12:00,080 --> 00:12:03,280 Speaker 1: that is an incredibly generous offer. I love you both 224 00:12:03,320 --> 00:12:08,280 Speaker 1: like a couple of rich, eccentric uncle's put as uh 225 00:12:08,600 --> 00:12:12,440 Speaker 1: even as a degenerate gambler, as someone who has endured 226 00:12:12,520 --> 00:12:16,400 Speaker 1: a number of emergency home repairs and the birth of 227 00:12:16,400 --> 00:12:19,760 Speaker 1: a child this year, and more importantly as someone whose 228 00:12:19,800 --> 00:12:23,560 Speaker 1: wife listens to this show. My on the record response 229 00:12:23,760 --> 00:12:26,120 Speaker 1: is to uh, to take door number one and just 230 00:12:26,160 --> 00:12:29,480 Speaker 1: take the money and not risk it any further, or 231 00:12:29,520 --> 00:12:32,600 Speaker 1: I can cut this entire section from the show. So 232 00:12:32,760 --> 00:12:35,200 Speaker 1: I am I'm just gonna say, I don't tell you 233 00:12:35,200 --> 00:12:37,400 Speaker 1: what to do with your money, don't tell me what 234 00:12:37,440 --> 00:12:40,800 Speaker 1: to do with mine. Okay, Instantly, I regret saying that. 235 00:12:40,800 --> 00:12:42,719 Speaker 1: That was a horrible thing to say. I love you 236 00:12:42,760 --> 00:12:45,800 Speaker 1: all very much. So Simon, here's what I think we 237 00:12:45,800 --> 00:12:50,080 Speaker 1: should do. Are you ready? I think I think we 238 00:12:50,080 --> 00:12:54,040 Speaker 1: should give Matt Mitchell his cut, put that away for him. 239 00:12:54,160 --> 00:12:57,480 Speaker 1: You and I will continue to roll over, and we 240 00:12:57,559 --> 00:13:01,840 Speaker 1: will again cut Matt Mitchell in if we continue to win, 241 00:13:02,360 --> 00:13:05,760 Speaker 1: because because he's got major renovations going on in his 242 00:13:05,800 --> 00:13:07,560 Speaker 1: house and I don't want him to get in trouble 243 00:13:07,600 --> 00:13:10,120 Speaker 1: with his wife. Yeah. The good news for me is 244 00:13:10,160 --> 00:13:12,640 Speaker 1: that my wife doesn't listen to the show and she 245 00:13:12,720 --> 00:13:16,040 Speaker 1: has no idea what's happening right now. And so it's 246 00:13:16,080 --> 00:13:17,920 Speaker 1: and it's entirely possible by the time if you gets home, 247 00:13:17,920 --> 00:13:21,600 Speaker 1: show of forgotten that we even want any money. So 248 00:13:21,920 --> 00:13:24,760 Speaker 1: here's the thing. Should we roll it over on the 249 00:13:24,800 --> 00:13:30,000 Speaker 1: futures or should we roll it over on um on A? 250 00:13:30,679 --> 00:13:32,720 Speaker 1: Should we just do like put it on the Five Games? 251 00:13:32,720 --> 00:13:35,679 Speaker 1: This weekend. Yeah, like I was. I was just mainly 252 00:13:35,720 --> 00:13:37,439 Speaker 1: doing that for Matt Mitchell. That was my love for 253 00:13:37,520 --> 00:13:40,360 Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell because like we talked about this year I've had, 254 00:13:40,800 --> 00:13:42,320 Speaker 1: this has been a crazy year for your mate, Like 255 00:13:42,400 --> 00:13:44,120 Speaker 1: it's a seven figure year and for the group I 256 00:13:44,200 --> 00:13:46,079 Speaker 1: worked for, it's an eight figure here. So it's like, 257 00:13:46,559 --> 00:13:49,400 Speaker 1: I don't I'm with you guys, like I I'm cool 258 00:13:49,400 --> 00:13:51,840 Speaker 1: with cash now because I'm indifferent, Like I'm already peaked. 259 00:13:51,840 --> 00:13:54,800 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna do much better. But I love playoffs. 260 00:13:54,880 --> 00:13:57,360 Speaker 1: I love betting playoffs and if you guys want to 261 00:13:57,400 --> 00:14:00,520 Speaker 1: pro to try to double your money up. I mean 262 00:14:00,559 --> 00:14:02,680 Speaker 1: Week seventeen is a great week for me because there's 263 00:14:02,720 --> 00:14:05,600 Speaker 1: just so much value in these different teams are resting 264 00:14:05,640 --> 00:14:08,480 Speaker 1: players and things like that where it's like people, hey, 265 00:14:08,480 --> 00:14:11,079 Speaker 1: week seventeen, we talked about last year, our own competition. 266 00:14:11,120 --> 00:14:13,360 Speaker 1: We want five and o last year and our pickpool 267 00:14:13,480 --> 00:14:16,480 Speaker 1: than the year. So I love Week seventeen. Always think 268 00:14:16,520 --> 00:14:19,960 Speaker 1: there's crazy good value just because certain teams do just 269 00:14:20,080 --> 00:14:21,960 Speaker 1: weird things where the book can't catch up to it, 270 00:14:22,080 --> 00:14:26,360 Speaker 1: Like it's Pittsburgh sitting in their whole team that's insane. 271 00:14:26,480 --> 00:14:28,240 Speaker 1: We can get crazy good value if we just take 272 00:14:28,280 --> 00:14:31,240 Speaker 1: the Browns money line. So I'm with Matt Matt Scott 273 00:14:31,320 --> 00:14:33,720 Speaker 1: bills Man. So we'll send Mattie cut and me and 274 00:14:33,800 --> 00:14:35,720 Speaker 1: Chad will be a couple of non cowards and we're 275 00:14:35,720 --> 00:14:38,040 Speaker 1: just gonna let a ride. Baby. Well, if I'm such 276 00:14:38,040 --> 00:14:45,480 Speaker 1: a coward, why does this exist? Simon Simon Hunter professional coward? Oh, 277 00:14:45,600 --> 00:14:48,160 Speaker 1: don't call him the coward. Here's what I think. Here's 278 00:14:48,160 --> 00:14:49,760 Speaker 1: what I think. Here's what I think, here's what we 279 00:14:49,800 --> 00:14:53,760 Speaker 1: should do. Matt Mitchell was guaranteed his cut at the 280 00:14:53,840 --> 00:14:57,280 Speaker 1: end of the postseason. It can be even more, or 281 00:14:57,320 --> 00:15:00,560 Speaker 1: it'll be it's like guaranteed to be what it is 282 00:15:00,640 --> 00:15:04,120 Speaker 1: right now. That's fair, yeah, but it's gonna be more. 283 00:15:04,200 --> 00:15:07,200 Speaker 1: I mean like this, like I I clearly I love playoffs, 284 00:15:07,240 --> 00:15:09,640 Speaker 1: Like yeah, like I just had back to back week 285 00:15:09,720 --> 00:15:12,160 Speaker 1: of betting the Jets and I should just fade off 286 00:15:12,160 --> 00:15:14,280 Speaker 1: into the sunset and be like I won money on 287 00:15:14,320 --> 00:15:16,480 Speaker 1: the Jets money line this year and the Jags money line. 288 00:15:16,520 --> 00:15:19,160 Speaker 1: Who else can really say that this year? But this 289 00:15:19,200 --> 00:15:21,720 Speaker 1: is where I ramped things up. I just love playoff football. 290 00:15:21,720 --> 00:15:24,600 Speaker 1: It's just great games, great matchups, and there's just always 291 00:15:24,640 --> 00:15:27,720 Speaker 1: tons of value. On certain teams. So Matt Mitchell, I 292 00:15:28,200 --> 00:15:30,120 Speaker 1: like that we're giving him this cut, but I hope 293 00:15:30,120 --> 00:15:32,400 Speaker 1: we can double up the whatever we leave in because 294 00:15:32,400 --> 00:15:33,680 Speaker 1: I'd be cool if I can give them more and 295 00:15:33,680 --> 00:15:35,520 Speaker 1: give you more. It's like we talked about, it's sick 296 00:15:35,600 --> 00:15:37,280 Speaker 1: you knowing that we're one game away. If we had 297 00:15:37,320 --> 00:15:40,200 Speaker 1: just won one more game, it had been fifteen thousand dollars. 298 00:15:40,240 --> 00:15:44,040 Speaker 1: It's just like, God, these competitions are just sickening like that, 299 00:15:44,360 --> 00:15:47,520 Speaker 1: and think about all the games that like we're so 300 00:15:47,520 --> 00:15:50,360 Speaker 1: so close. It actually is sickly. But now I'm excited. 301 00:15:50,400 --> 00:15:53,480 Speaker 1: Now we got like a real sweat for Week seventeen, 302 00:15:53,520 --> 00:15:55,200 Speaker 1: and then we'll have to figure out what we're doing 303 00:15:55,440 --> 00:15:57,480 Speaker 1: through the playoffs. We're just gonna keep rolling this over 304 00:15:57,560 --> 00:15:58,840 Speaker 1: week to week. I don't think we should do a 305 00:15:58,880 --> 00:16:00,760 Speaker 1: future thing. I think we should keep rolling it over 306 00:16:00,800 --> 00:16:02,480 Speaker 1: a week to week to the playoffs. I'm gonna do 307 00:16:02,480 --> 00:16:04,840 Speaker 1: a baby future, but I'll do with my own money 308 00:16:04,880 --> 00:16:06,840 Speaker 1: that I'll split with you guys on because I already did. Ah. 309 00:16:07,240 --> 00:16:08,920 Speaker 1: We talked like three or four weeks ago about the 310 00:16:09,240 --> 00:16:11,680 Speaker 1: Bills win the a f C. So I did a 311 00:16:11,720 --> 00:16:14,480 Speaker 1: couple of those bets and like I'll put one of 312 00:16:14,480 --> 00:16:16,560 Speaker 1: those tickets to our show. The bills come through in 313 00:16:16,600 --> 00:16:18,560 Speaker 1: the f C. Of course, I'm gonna give Matt Mitchell 314 00:16:18,520 --> 00:16:20,400 Speaker 1: a piece of that because the reason I bet that 315 00:16:20,440 --> 00:16:22,760 Speaker 1: was because of his fandom. I was just like, how 316 00:16:22,880 --> 00:16:26,080 Speaker 1: hilarious would it be if the bills actually come through? 317 00:16:26,160 --> 00:16:30,360 Speaker 1: Because man, are they humming that. It's it's scary how 318 00:16:30,360 --> 00:16:36,240 Speaker 1: good they're playing right now? Yea of those happening now, 319 00:16:36,920 --> 00:16:41,640 Speaker 1: happen now, I'm making it happy now a lot of 320 00:16:41,680 --> 00:16:47,680 Speaker 1: screwing up now, Oh my god, are the bills good 321 00:16:47,760 --> 00:16:50,480 Speaker 1: right now? And by the way, by luck and love, 322 00:16:50,920 --> 00:16:53,120 Speaker 1: we cash our our Steelers to win the af C 323 00:16:53,280 --> 00:16:56,400 Speaker 1: North ticket that paid out big, and we had the 324 00:16:56,400 --> 00:16:58,600 Speaker 1: Buffalo bills when the a f C East that paid 325 00:16:58,600 --> 00:17:01,600 Speaker 1: out big. So my last real sweat years is going 326 00:17:01,640 --> 00:17:03,760 Speaker 1: to be this NFC East. I have tons of different 327 00:17:03,800 --> 00:17:06,760 Speaker 1: features and all these teams on different value. It's looking 328 00:17:06,800 --> 00:17:08,439 Speaker 1: like it's going to be the Cowboys that win it. 329 00:17:08,760 --> 00:17:10,960 Speaker 1: And if they do, I'm gonna take a little loss 330 00:17:11,000 --> 00:17:13,359 Speaker 1: in the NFC East. But if Washington can pull it out, 331 00:17:13,600 --> 00:17:16,680 Speaker 1: that it's like another like ten dollar winner. So hopefully 332 00:17:16,680 --> 00:17:19,160 Speaker 1: Washington can beat my egos. This we can pay me out, 333 00:17:21,400 --> 00:17:24,480 Speaker 1: all right. One more thing. One more thing. We are 334 00:17:24,560 --> 00:17:30,440 Speaker 1: of course bringing back the cash fueled phrase that pays contest. 335 00:17:30,480 --> 00:17:32,040 Speaker 1: We're going to run it through the end of the 336 00:17:32,040 --> 00:17:36,159 Speaker 1: football season. We are giving a lucky listener one dollars 337 00:17:36,240 --> 00:17:38,639 Speaker 1: for every game we win each week, which means this 338 00:17:38,680 --> 00:17:42,200 Speaker 1: week's listener gets a hundred dollars and it gets five dollars, 339 00:17:42,320 --> 00:17:44,920 Speaker 1: and we are giving an equal amount to the charity 340 00:17:44,920 --> 00:17:48,639 Speaker 1: of the winner's choice to be eligible. Go refew, go 341 00:17:48,760 --> 00:17:53,919 Speaker 1: review the podcast using the phrase Simon says winning and 342 00:17:53,960 --> 00:17:56,879 Speaker 1: if we like it and Matt Mitchell randomly chooses it, 343 00:17:56,960 --> 00:17:59,680 Speaker 1: you will win the money. One more reminder, everything we discuss, 344 00:18:00,119 --> 00:18:02,600 Speaker 1: every pick we make, it's all available in the Action 345 00:18:02,640 --> 00:18:05,040 Speaker 1: Network cap It's free, It's award winning, go downloaded. If 346 00:18:05,040 --> 00:18:08,760 Speaker 1: you had followed me and Simon Hunter uh this year 347 00:18:09,240 --> 00:18:11,520 Speaker 1: in the Action Network app, I who had followed Simon 348 00:18:11,600 --> 00:18:13,960 Speaker 1: Hunter in the Action Network app at Simon Hunter in 349 00:18:14,000 --> 00:18:16,960 Speaker 1: the Action Network ap you would have won a significant 350 00:18:17,000 --> 00:18:20,600 Speaker 1: amount of money because we were picking at a six clip, 351 00:18:21,520 --> 00:18:25,560 Speaker 1: which is just ridiculous. This week we will still have 352 00:18:25,600 --> 00:18:28,480 Speaker 1: the big balls better the week the hornets Nest, which 353 00:18:28,520 --> 00:18:31,679 Speaker 1: we've defined as being just an unattractive bet and the 354 00:18:31,720 --> 00:18:34,680 Speaker 1: foxhold bet it's new because Simon is great in a 355 00:18:34,760 --> 00:18:38,320 Speaker 1: foxhole and we're defining that as an unpopular bet. Here 356 00:18:38,320 --> 00:18:42,399 Speaker 1: we go, brother, are you ready? Sunday Slate, Huge Sunday Slate. 357 00:18:44,119 --> 00:18:46,280 Speaker 1: Not bad for a couple of frauds, lunch at not 358 00:18:46,680 --> 00:18:50,400 Speaker 1: bad at all, a couple of know nothing has our 359 00:18:50,480 --> 00:18:54,080 Speaker 1: poor haters, Man, what a sad day for them. So sad. 360 00:18:54,920 --> 00:18:59,120 Speaker 1: It's about fair. It's not fair. And the best part 361 00:18:59,200 --> 00:19:01,119 Speaker 1: is it's like I had people on that, like I 362 00:19:01,160 --> 00:19:02,480 Speaker 1: went through all my d m s and like people 363 00:19:02,480 --> 00:19:04,840 Speaker 1: are like, you guys are such frauds for saying like 364 00:19:04,920 --> 00:19:07,600 Speaker 1: the fade the public, like as if tickets and money 365 00:19:07,600 --> 00:19:10,640 Speaker 1: percentage matter for these different games and things like that. 366 00:19:10,800 --> 00:19:13,639 Speaker 1: It's like, oh my god, people are so dumb on Twitter. 367 00:19:13,960 --> 00:19:16,399 Speaker 1: It's like, okay that with the public every week and 368 00:19:16,440 --> 00:19:18,760 Speaker 1: then message being chatlia let's know how you do season long. 369 00:19:19,160 --> 00:19:22,400 Speaker 1: Oh my god. It was just great all right early games, 370 00:19:22,440 --> 00:19:27,399 Speaker 1: first game vikings on the road at the Lions. It 371 00:19:27,440 --> 00:19:29,919 Speaker 1: opened it three and a half, it's now up to 372 00:19:30,200 --> 00:19:33,679 Speaker 1: five and a half. Speaking of bets, all of the 373 00:19:33,720 --> 00:19:36,720 Speaker 1: bets coming in on the vikings, I don't know, man, 374 00:19:36,800 --> 00:19:38,639 Speaker 1: Like this still feels way up in the air to me, 375 00:19:38,800 --> 00:19:41,000 Speaker 1: Like if we if we do normally talk about like 376 00:19:41,520 --> 00:19:43,399 Speaker 1: fading the public and all that kind of stuff and 377 00:19:43,440 --> 00:19:47,280 Speaker 1: going with road, going against road favorites, this one two 378 00:19:47,320 --> 00:19:49,720 Speaker 1: bad teams facing off and a lot of questions Brooks 379 00:19:49,720 --> 00:19:53,360 Speaker 1: for the lines. Yeah, week seventh seen throw all that out, 380 00:19:53,600 --> 00:19:57,320 Speaker 1: Like who cares for the Public's on? Like it's just 381 00:19:57,480 --> 00:20:00,240 Speaker 1: all madness, Like there's certain teams who are just gonna 382 00:20:00,240 --> 00:20:01,760 Speaker 1: be resting guys, and there's gonna be a certain teams 383 00:20:01,760 --> 00:20:04,280 Speaker 1: who have already punched their vacation tickets, like this is 384 00:20:04,320 --> 00:20:08,320 Speaker 1: literally a paycheck game. They do not care. So I'm 385 00:20:08,400 --> 00:20:10,080 Speaker 1: right there with you. In normal week, I would not 386 00:20:10,160 --> 00:20:13,440 Speaker 1: take Vikings. I would happily take the line, especially in 387 00:20:13,440 --> 00:20:17,679 Speaker 1: a divisional game. But Matthew Stafford's not right. Vikings offense 388 00:20:17,760 --> 00:20:20,240 Speaker 1: is fully healthy, Like they've been beat by good teams 389 00:20:20,240 --> 00:20:24,400 Speaker 1: of Vikings and they played tough but awful defense. It's 390 00:20:24,520 --> 00:20:26,840 Speaker 1: terrifying that they could be backdoor at any time. But 391 00:20:27,080 --> 00:20:30,560 Speaker 1: if this is the backup quarterback for the Lions, we're 392 00:20:30,600 --> 00:20:32,800 Speaker 1: take We take the Vikings in our pickful because it's 393 00:20:32,840 --> 00:20:35,960 Speaker 1: like that that guy is just collecting the paycheck. He's 394 00:20:36,000 --> 00:20:38,640 Speaker 1: not a starting quarterback. He was horrible when he came 395 00:20:38,680 --> 00:20:40,720 Speaker 1: in for Stafford. He was not existent against a buck 396 00:20:40,800 --> 00:20:44,520 Speaker 1: defense that they're not that great. So for me, I 397 00:20:44,520 --> 00:20:47,439 Speaker 1: would take the Vikings here. But if people have hesitation 398 00:20:47,480 --> 00:20:52,240 Speaker 1: about putting the competition, I completely understand. Uh it's Vikings 399 00:20:52,320 --> 00:20:53,800 Speaker 1: minus six and a half, not five and a half. 400 00:20:53,800 --> 00:20:57,280 Speaker 1: I've read that wrong. Um, all right, I don't know 401 00:20:57,320 --> 00:20:59,359 Speaker 1: that it's gonna be like for me, a top five pick, 402 00:20:59,600 --> 00:21:01,920 Speaker 1: but it on the list I wrote on the list, 403 00:21:02,000 --> 00:21:04,800 Speaker 1: it could be one of our five. Again, we're gonna 404 00:21:04,800 --> 00:21:07,399 Speaker 1: make five picks. Contest is over, We're still gonna make 405 00:21:07,440 --> 00:21:12,359 Speaker 1: five picks. Um, Steelers, this is a tricky one, right, Steelers. 406 00:21:12,359 --> 00:21:15,320 Speaker 1: It opened it four, Uh, Steelers plus four, it's now 407 00:21:15,400 --> 00:21:19,800 Speaker 1: plus seven on the road at the Browns. What's interesting 408 00:21:20,000 --> 00:21:23,879 Speaker 1: is still early not a ton of volumes the bets 409 00:21:23,920 --> 00:21:26,439 Speaker 1: coming in on the Steelers, but seventy two of the 410 00:21:26,480 --> 00:21:31,160 Speaker 1: money coming in on the Browns. You said Brown's money 411 00:21:31,160 --> 00:21:33,080 Speaker 1: line before, but there's not gonna be a ton amount 412 00:21:33,160 --> 00:21:36,880 Speaker 1: value in the Browns money line here. Then again, like 413 00:21:37,240 --> 00:21:39,639 Speaker 1: you make money, you make money, right, and so what 414 00:21:39,840 --> 00:21:43,200 Speaker 1: you're thinking here you mentioned this game specifically before. Yeah, 415 00:21:43,240 --> 00:21:45,280 Speaker 1: like the Browns money lines, a parlay money line, like 416 00:21:45,320 --> 00:21:47,320 Speaker 1: you throw that in with another one of these favorites 417 00:21:47,359 --> 00:21:49,800 Speaker 1: that are just like playing against a team of all backups. 418 00:21:49,840 --> 00:21:54,120 Speaker 1: But seven points is a lot of points. And we'll 419 00:21:54,119 --> 00:21:56,480 Speaker 1: have to wait and see who's who's gonna play for 420 00:21:56,520 --> 00:21:59,520 Speaker 1: the Steelers because if they're playing all their starters on defense, 421 00:21:59,840 --> 00:22:02,119 Speaker 1: I actually don't hate that number because this is a 422 00:22:02,160 --> 00:22:05,040 Speaker 1: divisional game. I think the Steelers love to spoil the 423 00:22:05,040 --> 00:22:08,440 Speaker 1: Browns chances of getting the playoffs. But there rest in 424 00:22:08,560 --> 00:22:11,640 Speaker 1: JJ Watt, the rest in Big Ben and all these 425 00:22:11,640 --> 00:22:13,399 Speaker 1: other players in the Steelers, and the Browns get all 426 00:22:13,400 --> 00:22:16,000 Speaker 1: their wide receivers back. Of course I would take the 427 00:22:16,040 --> 00:22:18,160 Speaker 1: Browns here. They're they're gonna be playing for way more 428 00:22:18,160 --> 00:22:20,359 Speaker 1: than the Steelers. So this is one of those you 429 00:22:20,640 --> 00:22:22,040 Speaker 1: have to wait to them the week and watch and 430 00:22:22,040 --> 00:22:23,879 Speaker 1: see what players are playing for the Steelers before you 431 00:22:23,920 --> 00:22:27,240 Speaker 1: bet this game. And I'm just making a note, wait 432 00:22:27,320 --> 00:22:30,639 Speaker 1: until end of week. I'm putting it in my my 433 00:22:30,720 --> 00:22:33,600 Speaker 1: special red book, and then when we text on Sunday morning, 434 00:22:33,600 --> 00:22:35,280 Speaker 1: I have it in front of me. That was also 435 00:22:35,320 --> 00:22:38,200 Speaker 1: part of the problem, as we discussed, like Sunday mornings, 436 00:22:38,680 --> 00:22:41,600 Speaker 1: you would you would text me, and it's like the 437 00:22:41,640 --> 00:22:45,600 Speaker 1: middle of a crazy, hectic morning where I'm trying to 438 00:22:45,680 --> 00:22:48,200 Speaker 1: keep track of what our traffic is, Like I'm trading 439 00:22:48,240 --> 00:22:51,440 Speaker 1: notes with other folks on the edit team. I'm prepping 440 00:22:51,520 --> 00:22:54,679 Speaker 1: for our Sunday show. Convinced me eleven am at Action 441 00:22:54,680 --> 00:22:57,480 Speaker 1: Network HQ, we will have another one this weekend, and 442 00:22:57,560 --> 00:22:59,320 Speaker 1: like then you'll text me with our picks. And sometimes 443 00:22:59,359 --> 00:23:00,800 Speaker 1: I didn't have my new book, I wouldn't be able 444 00:23:00,800 --> 00:23:02,760 Speaker 1: to see what we liked on Tuesdays and I would 445 00:23:02,800 --> 00:23:05,679 Speaker 1: get flustered. So I carry the notebook with me at 446 00:23:05,680 --> 00:23:08,800 Speaker 1: all times. Now what a nerd? What a nerd comment? 447 00:23:08,880 --> 00:23:12,400 Speaker 1: That was? I need my notebook? Where's my notebook? Yeah, 448 00:23:12,600 --> 00:23:15,160 Speaker 1: by the way, we don't have the notebook and we're 449 00:23:15,200 --> 00:23:20,640 Speaker 1: not going to five And oh, motherfucker, that's true. Hi Cowboys, 450 00:23:21,000 --> 00:23:24,080 Speaker 1: Cowboys at Giants. This is your game, buddy, this is 451 00:23:24,119 --> 00:23:26,560 Speaker 1: your game. It's it's the Giants plus two and a half, 452 00:23:26,640 --> 00:23:30,239 Speaker 1: maybe maybe plus three depending on the book. Uh, this 453 00:23:30,320 --> 00:23:33,160 Speaker 1: is an NFC East title game. The Cowboys need this game, 454 00:23:34,640 --> 00:23:37,120 Speaker 1: and this is the time they'll let you down. I've 455 00:23:37,160 --> 00:23:39,400 Speaker 1: been waiting for this moment to fade the Cowboys. This 456 00:23:39,440 --> 00:23:44,040 Speaker 1: is so Cowboys. They get their fans back, everyone's back on. 457 00:23:44,200 --> 00:23:47,159 Speaker 1: Everyone's gonna be bet in the Cowboys. The Giants are awful, 458 00:23:47,240 --> 00:23:50,760 Speaker 1: they played awful. Giants are gonna win this game. This 459 00:23:50,760 --> 00:23:52,880 Speaker 1: This is definitely our big balls better the week, because 460 00:23:52,920 --> 00:23:57,680 Speaker 1: no one wants to bet big ball better the week. 461 00:24:00,320 --> 00:24:01,600 Speaker 1: You want to bet the Giants, you want to bet 462 00:24:01,680 --> 00:24:02,879 Speaker 1: him on the money line, or do you want to 463 00:24:02,880 --> 00:24:04,480 Speaker 1: bet in the plus three. I'm gonna wait for the 464 00:24:04,480 --> 00:24:06,639 Speaker 1: plus three plus three and a half because the public 465 00:24:06,760 --> 00:24:08,879 Speaker 1: is gonna come in so heavy on the Cowboys. They're in. 466 00:24:09,119 --> 00:24:12,160 Speaker 1: They're they're so in. And we talked last week, that's 467 00:24:12,160 --> 00:24:14,200 Speaker 1: why I love the Cowboys. No one was betting them. 468 00:24:14,240 --> 00:24:17,240 Speaker 1: They were a home team that everyone hated, and people 469 00:24:17,240 --> 00:24:19,879 Speaker 1: were betting big money on a rookie quarterback making his 470 00:24:19,960 --> 00:24:23,240 Speaker 1: second road start. So this is just the same exact thing, 471 00:24:23,280 --> 00:24:25,560 Speaker 1: but you flip it where the Giants have just been terrible. 472 00:24:26,720 --> 00:24:29,520 Speaker 1: Dannie Daniel Jones is bad. He is not played well 473 00:24:29,520 --> 00:24:32,280 Speaker 1: since coming back from this injury. But this is just 474 00:24:32,320 --> 00:24:34,879 Speaker 1: a great matchup. For all the pressure in the world's 475 00:24:34,880 --> 00:24:38,280 Speaker 1: on the Cowboys and Andy Dalton the red rifle on 476 00:24:38,359 --> 00:24:40,720 Speaker 1: the road. I feel like he's just gonna You're just 477 00:24:40,760 --> 00:24:43,199 Speaker 1: gonna blow this game. So I like the Giants. I 478 00:24:43,240 --> 00:24:45,600 Speaker 1: like their defense, and I like that plus three, well, 479 00:24:45,640 --> 00:24:47,840 Speaker 1: you're not wrong. Like the bets and the money, it's 480 00:24:47,960 --> 00:24:51,639 Speaker 1: all coming in on the Cowboys right now. This is 481 00:24:51,680 --> 00:24:54,200 Speaker 1: and it's a similar situation to the Steelers and the Browns, 482 00:24:54,280 --> 00:24:59,119 Speaker 1: like this has like divisional rival screw up your season 483 00:24:59,160 --> 00:25:01,720 Speaker 1: written all over. And to be honest, the Cowboys don't 484 00:25:01,720 --> 00:25:03,640 Speaker 1: deserve to be in the playoffs. They have made horrible 485 00:25:03,680 --> 00:25:06,840 Speaker 1: decisions coaching decisions all season long. I don't know how 486 00:25:06,840 --> 00:25:09,239 Speaker 1: Mike McCarthy like ends up with that job and then 487 00:25:09,480 --> 00:25:11,760 Speaker 1: ends up keeping that job. There are so many good candidates, 488 00:25:11,800 --> 00:25:13,720 Speaker 1: like over the years, the Cowboys are gonna see some 489 00:25:13,800 --> 00:25:16,680 Speaker 1: of these Canada get job and be like, really, we 490 00:25:16,760 --> 00:25:19,920 Speaker 1: could have had that guy instead. So I'm with you, 491 00:25:20,240 --> 00:25:21,880 Speaker 1: and I think Joe Judge is a really good coach, 492 00:25:22,000 --> 00:25:24,800 Speaker 1: like I just I think he's had this team sort 493 00:25:24,840 --> 00:25:29,080 Speaker 1: of playing better in certain spots. Um, I agree with 494 00:25:29,080 --> 00:25:31,880 Speaker 1: you about Daniel Jones not that great, But I'm willing 495 00:25:31,920 --> 00:25:33,600 Speaker 1: to do it even though it goes against all of 496 00:25:33,600 --> 00:25:36,240 Speaker 1: our principles. Of betting on the Giants and Daniel Jones, 497 00:25:36,359 --> 00:25:40,000 Speaker 1: I'm willing to take a flyer there, all right, it's in. 498 00:25:40,200 --> 00:25:44,399 Speaker 1: I wrote it down. Dolphins. They're getting weird lines on 499 00:25:44,440 --> 00:25:47,359 Speaker 1: the Dolphins. Like some some places the Dolphins visit eating 500 00:25:47,400 --> 00:25:52,440 Speaker 1: the Bills, it's generally plus four and a half Dolphins 501 00:25:52,520 --> 00:25:56,679 Speaker 1: four and a half point dogs. Uh, interesting one. What 502 00:25:56,760 --> 00:25:58,720 Speaker 1: are the Bills playing for and the Dolphins have a 503 00:25:58,720 --> 00:26:02,040 Speaker 1: lot to play for. I think the builds are still 504 00:26:02,080 --> 00:26:04,199 Speaker 1: fighting for this top seed. I'm pretty sure I have 505 00:26:04,280 --> 00:26:07,640 Speaker 1: to look for the two seeds, right, so I think 506 00:26:07,640 --> 00:26:12,040 Speaker 1: they are going to play their players. And what we've 507 00:26:12,080 --> 00:26:14,399 Speaker 1: seen from the Dolphins is why we've been trying to 508 00:26:14,480 --> 00:26:16,199 Speaker 1: bet against him a lot lately, is that we just 509 00:26:16,240 --> 00:26:18,560 Speaker 1: don't trust to U. We don't believe in too. I 510 00:26:18,600 --> 00:26:20,800 Speaker 1: think he's a good kid. I think he maybe I'll 511 00:26:20,800 --> 00:26:24,119 Speaker 1: have a great future, But just this season they rushed 512 00:26:24,160 --> 00:26:26,280 Speaker 1: him a little bit coming back from the hip surgery, 513 00:26:26,600 --> 00:26:30,680 Speaker 1: and he's scary to take hits. He doesn't doesn't make 514 00:26:30,720 --> 00:26:32,679 Speaker 1: smart reads, he doesn't run out of the pocket when 515 00:26:32,720 --> 00:26:36,399 Speaker 1: he should. And if this was Fits, I'd love the 516 00:26:36,400 --> 00:26:40,360 Speaker 1: Dolphins here like Fits playing against the Bills Like that's 517 00:26:40,400 --> 00:26:42,520 Speaker 1: He's always played well against the Bills. On any team 518 00:26:42,560 --> 00:26:44,880 Speaker 1: he's left and he plays against, he usually plays well 519 00:26:44,920 --> 00:26:49,760 Speaker 1: against him. But I can't back. I can't do it. 520 00:26:49,840 --> 00:26:51,600 Speaker 1: I'm like looking at the number right now. I cannot. 521 00:26:51,600 --> 00:26:54,800 Speaker 1: I just can't back to him. I I really don't 522 00:26:54,800 --> 00:26:58,000 Speaker 1: trust the kids. So the rare, rare time, I'm gonna 523 00:26:58,080 --> 00:27:00,399 Speaker 1: ride a team that's crazy over value done on a 524 00:27:00,440 --> 00:27:03,600 Speaker 1: crazy winning streak. But I'll take the Bills here. So 525 00:27:03,760 --> 00:27:09,080 Speaker 1: right now, the money is coming in. It's interesting. The 526 00:27:09,119 --> 00:27:11,240 Speaker 1: bets are coming in on the Dolphins, and the money 527 00:27:11,359 --> 00:27:13,560 Speaker 1: is coming in on the bills. So what we're seeing 528 00:27:13,720 --> 00:27:18,040 Speaker 1: is a Joe's pros split. So your instinct is right here. 529 00:27:18,080 --> 00:27:21,040 Speaker 1: As a professional, the money, which is where we usually 530 00:27:21,040 --> 00:27:24,960 Speaker 1: see sort of professional tendencies, is coming in on the bill. 531 00:27:25,119 --> 00:27:28,000 Speaker 1: So you and your brethren are all coming in on 532 00:27:28,040 --> 00:27:30,080 Speaker 1: the bills, all right. So I'm putting the bills into 533 00:27:30,119 --> 00:27:31,520 Speaker 1: four and a half. We'll see how it goes. We'll 534 00:27:31,520 --> 00:27:34,200 Speaker 1: see what happens on Sunday morning. This this here's something 535 00:27:34,240 --> 00:27:37,159 Speaker 1: else that's interesting. We've got to think about. Normally for 536 00:27:37,200 --> 00:27:40,560 Speaker 1: the contest, those lines are locking on Thursdays. Now, we've 537 00:27:40,600 --> 00:27:42,240 Speaker 1: gotta we're gonna be able to play any line we 538 00:27:42,280 --> 00:27:44,119 Speaker 1: want whenever we think it's sort of the best of 539 00:27:44,200 --> 00:27:48,159 Speaker 1: the number. So we might lock in something today on 540 00:27:48,200 --> 00:27:50,880 Speaker 1: the feeling that it might sort of get worse over 541 00:27:50,920 --> 00:27:52,760 Speaker 1: the course of the weekend, or like you mentioned for 542 00:27:52,760 --> 00:27:54,520 Speaker 1: the Giants, we're gonna hold off because we think it 543 00:27:54,600 --> 00:27:58,560 Speaker 1: might get better. Yeah. Honestly, though, because it's last week, 544 00:27:58,560 --> 00:28:01,360 Speaker 1: I'll just post the worst whatever the number is on 545 00:28:01,359 --> 00:28:03,600 Speaker 1: Sunday and we play. I'll just post the worst of 546 00:28:03,600 --> 00:28:06,399 Speaker 1: the number. Just get back to the people. But I 547 00:28:06,480 --> 00:28:10,280 Speaker 1: talked all year about how when we post these lines, 548 00:28:10,320 --> 00:28:13,840 Speaker 1: like you said, they lock in early. If you're that scared, 549 00:28:13,920 --> 00:28:16,320 Speaker 1: just tease the game as we play, because usually we 550 00:28:16,359 --> 00:28:18,200 Speaker 1: when we do get games wrong, it's probably a half 551 00:28:18,240 --> 00:28:21,280 Speaker 1: point or a point. It's rare that we're off by 552 00:28:21,280 --> 00:28:24,080 Speaker 1: a ton of points. So just the same this week, 553 00:28:24,520 --> 00:28:26,760 Speaker 1: I'll post the worst of the lines, whatever the lines are. 554 00:28:26,800 --> 00:28:29,439 Speaker 1: On Sunday, we'll just play that. But if you're unsure 555 00:28:29,440 --> 00:28:31,800 Speaker 1: about whatever games were picking, just put them in teasers. Man, 556 00:28:32,200 --> 00:28:34,960 Speaker 1: if you're scared of these numbers and you want the comfort, 557 00:28:35,160 --> 00:28:38,080 Speaker 1: play the teaser. But I just don't because I love 558 00:28:38,120 --> 00:28:39,880 Speaker 1: the value of playing our numbers straight. That's why I 559 00:28:39,960 --> 00:28:43,880 Speaker 1: usually when I post these numbers, I just say, listen, 560 00:28:43,920 --> 00:28:45,240 Speaker 1: I know we don't have great numbers here, but I 561 00:28:45,240 --> 00:28:47,960 Speaker 1: still like the numbers they're at. So hopefully this week 562 00:28:48,000 --> 00:28:50,320 Speaker 1: that holds true, we post the worst of the number 563 00:28:50,360 --> 00:28:52,120 Speaker 1: and it won't matter like it has in most weeks. 564 00:28:52,680 --> 00:28:55,920 Speaker 1: All right, Jets plus four and a half on the 565 00:28:56,040 --> 00:29:02,760 Speaker 1: road at the Patriots. Boy, this is a headful Patriots team. 566 00:29:02,840 --> 00:29:07,400 Speaker 1: Yeah that. I was honestly shocked last night how bad 567 00:29:07,440 --> 00:29:09,800 Speaker 1: they were with I know Gilmore is out and that 568 00:29:09,840 --> 00:29:12,080 Speaker 1: literally should have to feel for them, and that really 569 00:29:12,120 --> 00:29:15,160 Speaker 1: showed last night where Diggs did whatever he wanted against 570 00:29:15,160 --> 00:29:18,520 Speaker 1: that Newland secondary. Scary to back the Jets to win 571 00:29:18,560 --> 00:29:21,880 Speaker 1: three in a row here, But I am the biggest 572 00:29:21,920 --> 00:29:25,000 Speaker 1: Jets fan man. They've They've won me so much money 573 00:29:25,000 --> 00:29:27,280 Speaker 1: in the last couple of weeks here, and I still 574 00:29:27,320 --> 00:29:29,800 Speaker 1: think they're being undervalued, even though I know the public's 575 00:29:29,800 --> 00:29:31,880 Speaker 1: gonna finally come in on them because they've been playing 576 00:29:31,920 --> 00:29:34,960 Speaker 1: better than the Patriots. But this number should be three. 577 00:29:35,040 --> 00:29:37,200 Speaker 1: I think we're getting good value of the Jets, and 578 00:29:37,760 --> 00:29:40,040 Speaker 1: I know that the Patriots are going through right now, 579 00:29:40,120 --> 00:29:42,280 Speaker 1: and none of us feel bad for you Patriots fans 580 00:29:42,320 --> 00:29:44,240 Speaker 1: like you literally just had the greatest twenty year run 581 00:29:44,240 --> 00:29:48,360 Speaker 1: in NFL history. But it is heartbreaking just seeing how 582 00:29:48,400 --> 00:29:52,560 Speaker 1: horrible they are. Oh wow, you gotta be shipping me 583 00:29:53,880 --> 00:29:57,800 Speaker 1: like Stenham He's terrible and Camps terrible. So I don't 584 00:29:57,800 --> 00:30:00,360 Speaker 1: care which one of them starting. I like number you 585 00:30:00,400 --> 00:30:02,680 Speaker 1: are the Jets. Are you freaking kidding me that we 586 00:30:02,720 --> 00:30:04,720 Speaker 1: would ride the Jets for the third week in a row? 587 00:30:05,360 --> 00:30:09,440 Speaker 1: You love the Jets? Jet they got you four thousand dollars, well, 588 00:30:10,040 --> 00:30:11,960 Speaker 1: in theory, that got me a lot less than that, 589 00:30:12,360 --> 00:30:17,080 Speaker 1: and and they can and now the guy who actually 590 00:30:17,080 --> 00:30:20,320 Speaker 1: helped me win that is convincing me that we should 591 00:30:20,320 --> 00:30:22,680 Speaker 1: just keep rolling it over. So I don't know that 592 00:30:22,720 --> 00:30:24,880 Speaker 1: the Jets have gotten me anything other than false hope 593 00:30:24,920 --> 00:30:31,280 Speaker 1: and maybe losing out on a fourth figure page. Come on, buddy, 594 00:30:31,320 --> 00:30:33,720 Speaker 1: I got faith. I'm with you, though. It is scary 595 00:30:33,760 --> 00:30:35,800 Speaker 1: because it would be three straight weeks of taking the Jets, 596 00:30:35,840 --> 00:30:38,360 Speaker 1: but I just think they're still undervalued in the market. 597 00:30:38,440 --> 00:30:42,000 Speaker 1: I like the number, as Billy Joel says, I'm keeping 598 00:30:42,000 --> 00:30:50,280 Speaker 1: the faith, keeping the Alkins. Gotta hit this team Falcons 599 00:30:50,320 --> 00:30:52,280 Speaker 1: plus what is that six and a half on the 600 00:30:52,360 --> 00:30:54,640 Speaker 1: road at the Bucks. What do we think here? Like 601 00:30:55,480 --> 00:30:57,360 Speaker 1: that number moved a little bit and opened its seven 602 00:30:57,360 --> 00:31:00,040 Speaker 1: and a half, it's come down. I don't have I 603 00:31:00,560 --> 00:31:02,560 Speaker 1: have no opinion on this game. I have no theory 604 00:31:02,560 --> 00:31:04,600 Speaker 1: on this game. And I know that it's a team 605 00:31:04,640 --> 00:31:08,240 Speaker 1: in the Falcons that has let me down every single 606 00:31:08,280 --> 00:31:10,680 Speaker 1: week except for last week where they were one of 607 00:31:10,680 --> 00:31:12,280 Speaker 1: the teams that we thought we should have been on 608 00:31:12,360 --> 00:31:16,320 Speaker 1: and it didn't matter. But uh, I don't like them, 609 00:31:16,360 --> 00:31:19,800 Speaker 1: don't like this game, don't like anything about it. Yeah, 610 00:31:20,040 --> 00:31:22,800 Speaker 1: it's a true coin flip game. I don't know how 611 00:31:22,800 --> 00:31:26,280 Speaker 1: Atlantic players keep showing up after these brutal losses, like 612 00:31:26,720 --> 00:31:29,640 Speaker 1: just back to back weeks of just disgusting losses of 613 00:31:29,680 --> 00:31:32,640 Speaker 1: games they should have won. But the Buccaneers coming out 614 00:31:32,640 --> 00:31:36,000 Speaker 1: of coming off a huge road win, coming home, getting 615 00:31:36,000 --> 00:31:38,840 Speaker 1: ready for the playoffs, I'm thinking maybe they're gonna overlook 616 00:31:38,840 --> 00:31:40,880 Speaker 1: Atlanta here, and I don't think Matt Ryan's gonna take 617 00:31:40,880 --> 00:31:43,680 Speaker 1: a game off. So as long as this number stays 618 00:31:43,720 --> 00:31:46,320 Speaker 1: above five five and a half, I'd be cool with 619 00:31:46,400 --> 00:31:48,240 Speaker 1: taking Atlanta. But I'm with you, I wouldn't put in 620 00:31:48,280 --> 00:31:51,200 Speaker 1: the competition. We're not we're not we're not why do 621 00:31:51,200 --> 00:31:53,120 Speaker 1: you keep saying put it in the competition. There is 622 00:31:53,160 --> 00:31:57,480 Speaker 1: no competition now, we're just choosing the five best bets. Well, 623 00:31:58,760 --> 00:32:00,400 Speaker 1: I'm actually in a couple other one. I don't want 624 00:32:00,400 --> 00:32:01,880 Speaker 1: to break your heart and tell you I'm cheating on you. 625 00:32:01,960 --> 00:32:05,000 Speaker 1: But um, I still have a chance to play top 626 00:32:05,080 --> 00:32:07,720 Speaker 1: five in Circle, which is a competition now in Vegas, 627 00:32:08,600 --> 00:32:11,800 Speaker 1: and in the Gold in the super Contest, my group 628 00:32:11,840 --> 00:32:14,680 Speaker 1: has a chance to finish first. But we need like 629 00:32:14,920 --> 00:32:16,440 Speaker 1: the luck of all luck, we need to pretty much 630 00:32:16,480 --> 00:32:17,800 Speaker 1: go five and now on the top guy to go 631 00:32:17,880 --> 00:32:21,080 Speaker 1: one and four. Um, but so pretty much I'm talking 632 00:32:21,120 --> 00:32:23,120 Speaker 1: for myself and what I'll be playing in these different 633 00:32:23,120 --> 00:32:31,160 Speaker 1: pick pools. But yeah, this is I gotta tell you, like, 634 00:32:32,720 --> 00:32:36,680 Speaker 1: this is the first I've heard of this, and I 635 00:32:36,840 --> 00:32:40,720 Speaker 1: kind of can't believe you're another competition without me, without you. 636 00:32:42,760 --> 00:32:45,360 Speaker 1: I mean, I work for a group, of course, and 637 00:32:45,480 --> 00:32:48,840 Speaker 1: another competition is like we're we're nut jobs, man, Like 638 00:32:48,920 --> 00:32:51,239 Speaker 1: these guys they want to have action on everything they 639 00:32:51,240 --> 00:32:52,840 Speaker 1: want to be and everything. That's why like we do 640 00:32:52,880 --> 00:32:56,280 Speaker 1: all these different Survivor contests and pickpools. But with you, 641 00:32:56,360 --> 00:32:58,480 Speaker 1: I have a little bit more control of surprisingly like 642 00:32:58,560 --> 00:33:01,040 Speaker 1: you for the most part, even though I know you 643 00:33:01,040 --> 00:33:03,080 Speaker 1: took over the reins of Survivor Contest and we saw 644 00:33:03,120 --> 00:33:05,240 Speaker 1: how that worked out for us. But for the most part, 645 00:33:06,480 --> 00:33:09,440 Speaker 1: you've let me pretty much run the show. Where these 646 00:33:09,440 --> 00:33:12,200 Speaker 1: other guys there their pros like me, so they're a 647 00:33:12,200 --> 00:33:14,360 Speaker 1: little more like, oh, I gotta read on this one, 648 00:33:14,400 --> 00:33:18,120 Speaker 1: like you're you're overthinking blah blah blah. So it's worked 649 00:33:18,160 --> 00:33:20,720 Speaker 1: and it hasn't worked, but the one the circuit has worked, 650 00:33:20,720 --> 00:33:22,720 Speaker 1: like where we did really well on that one. But yeah, 651 00:33:22,760 --> 00:33:24,440 Speaker 1: I just didn't bring it up because it's like, who cares, 652 00:33:24,520 --> 00:33:26,480 Speaker 1: Like we're we had our own competition. That's all I 653 00:33:26,520 --> 00:33:28,440 Speaker 1: was focused on when I was with you. So I'm 654 00:33:28,480 --> 00:33:31,320 Speaker 1: one of those people. Here's everything I just heard, and 655 00:33:31,440 --> 00:33:35,080 Speaker 1: whatever you just said, all I heard was, hey, you're 656 00:33:35,120 --> 00:33:39,520 Speaker 1: cheating on me. B You just completely diminished everything I 657 00:33:39,560 --> 00:33:42,680 Speaker 1: brought to the table for the entire season. Chad Milman 658 00:33:43,160 --> 00:33:46,720 Speaker 1: wrote a book, not at all you're the you wear 659 00:33:46,840 --> 00:33:50,480 Speaker 1: my anchor. You held me down, now I'm kidding. Uh no, man, 660 00:33:50,520 --> 00:33:52,760 Speaker 1: you were good, Like your bye weeks were the clutchest 661 00:33:52,760 --> 00:33:55,560 Speaker 1: thing of the season. You had as skip, like two 662 00:33:55,600 --> 00:33:57,320 Speaker 1: bye weeks come by, and we were three and seven. 663 00:33:57,360 --> 00:34:00,040 Speaker 1: So that's that's where you you saved us. Chat it. 664 00:34:01,200 --> 00:34:03,000 Speaker 1: I thought I had some really good picks over the 665 00:34:03,000 --> 00:34:06,400 Speaker 1: course of the year, really good picks. Many times on 666 00:34:06,440 --> 00:34:09,880 Speaker 1: Sunday mornings. I walked us away from making bad picks 667 00:34:10,000 --> 00:34:14,360 Speaker 1: and provided ballast. I put us back on the path 668 00:34:14,760 --> 00:34:18,080 Speaker 1: to winning. I reminded us, reminded us that we could 669 00:34:18,120 --> 00:34:20,680 Speaker 1: not get emotional, that we could not be cowards on 670 00:34:20,719 --> 00:34:24,400 Speaker 1: Sunday morning, because otherwise you're out there like being you know, 671 00:34:24,600 --> 00:34:28,600 Speaker 1: crazy bearded, you know, simon and thinking all these crazy thoughts. 672 00:34:28,760 --> 00:34:31,239 Speaker 1: I'm the one who's saying, dude, get back to the 673 00:34:31,239 --> 00:34:35,200 Speaker 1: fucking basics. Yeah, it's true, it's true. But at the 674 00:34:35,239 --> 00:34:38,400 Speaker 1: same time, I don't know, we don't have to get it. 675 00:34:38,520 --> 00:34:41,640 Speaker 1: But yeah, it's like it is. It is a given take. 676 00:34:41,760 --> 00:34:43,920 Speaker 1: So it was one of those most Sunday mornings if 677 00:34:43,920 --> 00:34:46,160 Speaker 1: you were super passionate, I would just give it to you. 678 00:34:46,200 --> 00:34:48,960 Speaker 1: I'd be like, all right, Chad's Chad thinks he's gotta read. 679 00:34:48,960 --> 00:34:51,160 Speaker 1: I'm gonna let it ride here. So it's definitely it 680 00:34:51,239 --> 00:34:53,400 Speaker 1: was definitely fun Sunday mornings arguing with you about the 681 00:34:53,400 --> 00:34:56,319 Speaker 1: picks and then but but the the intimation here is 682 00:34:56,360 --> 00:35:00,319 Speaker 1: that I give it to you and then we lose, right, 683 00:35:00,719 --> 00:35:03,000 Speaker 1: but not all the time, not all the time, all right. 684 00:35:03,120 --> 00:35:09,640 Speaker 1: Ravens at Bengals. Ravens eleven and a half Bengals. I mean, 685 00:35:10,400 --> 00:35:12,640 Speaker 1: that's a big number on the road, but obviously they 686 00:35:12,640 --> 00:35:15,440 Speaker 1: need to win an in situation here. Yeah, this is 687 00:35:15,480 --> 00:35:17,719 Speaker 1: one of those I'll be throwing the Ravens money line 688 00:35:17,760 --> 00:35:21,640 Speaker 1: in some place, but it's terrifying. I just can keep 689 00:35:21,680 --> 00:35:25,920 Speaker 1: getting this memory years ago of the Ravens needed to 690 00:35:25,960 --> 00:35:28,279 Speaker 1: win a game against the terribles Bengals team and Andy 691 00:35:28,360 --> 00:35:30,600 Speaker 1: Dalton on like fourth and twenty put the ball in 692 00:35:30,640 --> 00:35:32,759 Speaker 1: the end zone. The Bengals beat the Ravens out right, 693 00:35:32,800 --> 00:35:34,640 Speaker 1: and it was like one of the most shocking upsets 694 00:35:34,680 --> 00:35:37,719 Speaker 1: I can remember. But that was the only Dalan versus 695 00:35:37,760 --> 00:35:40,560 Speaker 1: Joe Flacco. Ain't no Joe Flacco on the field today. 696 00:35:40,680 --> 00:35:43,719 Speaker 1: So I'll take the Ravens big number. I played him 697 00:35:43,800 --> 00:35:45,720 Speaker 1: last week against the Giants, even though I felt gross, 698 00:35:45,760 --> 00:35:48,719 Speaker 1: and it worked out and we talked about the time. 699 00:35:48,719 --> 00:35:51,560 Speaker 1: The Ravens just beat up these bad teams. So I 700 00:35:51,600 --> 00:35:53,600 Speaker 1: don't hate taking the Ravens here, but it's such a 701 00:35:53,600 --> 00:35:56,120 Speaker 1: big number. I'm with you. I probably wouldn't put this 702 00:35:56,160 --> 00:35:59,120 Speaker 1: in my competition. All Right, we gotta go to the 703 00:35:59,160 --> 00:36:01,480 Speaker 1: Lake games. Let's get into the late games. And the 704 00:36:01,560 --> 00:36:05,239 Speaker 1: first late game we're talking about is so freaking Marquis. 705 00:36:06,000 --> 00:36:07,960 Speaker 1: You may notice you may see this on the zoom 706 00:36:08,480 --> 00:36:12,960 Speaker 1: We video together. I'm wearing my Bears had because I 707 00:36:13,000 --> 00:36:16,560 Speaker 1: am all in. Like there's already reports out there that 708 00:36:16,600 --> 00:36:20,239 Speaker 1: the Bears are gonna are thinking about bringing back Mitch 709 00:36:20,320 --> 00:36:23,640 Speaker 1: True Whisky. I hate the idea, you know. I have 710 00:36:23,680 --> 00:36:25,800 Speaker 1: felt like the Bears just should have gone in the tank, 711 00:36:26,239 --> 00:36:32,960 Speaker 1: started over, fired, everybody rebuilt, get like foundationally strong, and like, 712 00:36:33,160 --> 00:36:35,960 Speaker 1: let's start over. But they got a chance to go 713 00:36:36,000 --> 00:36:38,319 Speaker 1: to the playoffs. The other day, my my kids said 714 00:36:38,320 --> 00:36:40,279 Speaker 1: to me, my fourteen year old, He's like, you can 715 00:36:40,320 --> 00:36:42,480 Speaker 1: have a super Bowl this year, but you gotta keep 716 00:36:42,520 --> 00:36:45,120 Speaker 1: Mitch True Whisky for the next five years. My answer was, 717 00:36:45,480 --> 00:36:48,239 Speaker 1: I take the super Bowl because nothing replaces winning a 718 00:36:48,280 --> 00:36:50,360 Speaker 1: super Bowl, and you can like live with pain and 719 00:36:50,400 --> 00:36:53,440 Speaker 1: agony after that. So I'm gonna go all in on 720 00:36:53,480 --> 00:36:56,240 Speaker 1: the Bears plus five and a half. It's a pros 721 00:36:56,400 --> 00:37:04,920 Speaker 1: Joe's game, Rock Roll, all the bets coming in and 722 00:37:04,960 --> 00:37:06,920 Speaker 1: the Packers, all the money coming in on the Bears. 723 00:37:07,760 --> 00:37:09,960 Speaker 1: Talk to the office, tell me I'm wrong. That's like 724 00:37:10,040 --> 00:37:12,560 Speaker 1: the perfect mentality about the Super Bowl. Like, as an 725 00:37:12,560 --> 00:37:15,759 Speaker 1: Eagles fan, if that Dallas loss would have happened to 726 00:37:15,760 --> 00:37:18,239 Speaker 1: just say four years ago, I'd still be in my 727 00:37:18,320 --> 00:37:21,120 Speaker 1: bed like crying, just being like, we're we're the worst. 728 00:37:21,280 --> 00:37:24,400 Speaker 1: We always do this, we're just failures. But having a 729 00:37:24,400 --> 00:37:26,560 Speaker 1: Super Bowl ring it just makes you breathe. These easy 730 00:37:26,560 --> 00:37:30,000 Speaker 1: where you're just like, yeah, that wasn't our year. We 731 00:37:30,120 --> 00:37:32,160 Speaker 1: already it was our it was our year three years ago. 732 00:37:32,200 --> 00:37:34,800 Speaker 1: Now this year is that a year? But with the Bears, 733 00:37:35,080 --> 00:37:37,640 Speaker 1: I'm with you if if they can just get in. 734 00:37:37,840 --> 00:37:40,480 Speaker 1: I love this team, I love this defense so much. 735 00:37:40,719 --> 00:37:43,560 Speaker 1: And the fact that green Bay could be the one seed. 736 00:37:43,560 --> 00:37:45,560 Speaker 1: I know this game decides if they'll be the one seed. 737 00:37:45,600 --> 00:37:48,160 Speaker 1: But back to the Bears, this will if they can 738 00:37:48,200 --> 00:37:49,600 Speaker 1: make the playoffs and then they have to play the 739 00:37:49,600 --> 00:37:52,000 Speaker 1: Packers for a third time. That's such a huge advantage 740 00:37:52,160 --> 00:37:55,080 Speaker 1: with these different teams. But like you just said, the 741 00:37:55,120 --> 00:37:57,520 Speaker 1: Bears are a home dog. All the money's coming in 742 00:37:57,520 --> 00:38:00,000 Speaker 1: on the Packers. This is just an easy play. Where 743 00:38:00,320 --> 00:38:02,080 Speaker 1: as long as it stays above three and a half 744 00:38:02,239 --> 00:38:04,759 Speaker 1: we take the Bears, I know, to Risky. This is 745 00:38:04,800 --> 00:38:07,800 Speaker 1: where he lets us down. But it's it's one of 746 00:38:07,880 --> 00:38:10,000 Speaker 1: these things where the Bears that are running the ball great, 747 00:38:10,400 --> 00:38:12,320 Speaker 1: they're not asking him to do too much for Risky, 748 00:38:12,480 --> 00:38:14,560 Speaker 1: Like literally, all he's doing is one or two reads 749 00:38:14,600 --> 00:38:16,279 Speaker 1: and he'll just get it to Alan or he'll just 750 00:38:16,360 --> 00:38:19,600 Speaker 1: dump it off like short. So the way the Bears 751 00:38:19,600 --> 00:38:22,000 Speaker 1: are playing right now, I love this number. I think 752 00:38:22,000 --> 00:38:25,359 Speaker 1: we're getting great value. Five and a half. We haven't 753 00:38:25,400 --> 00:38:29,239 Speaker 1: chosen a hornets Nest game or a Foxhole game. You 754 00:38:29,280 --> 00:38:32,680 Speaker 1: want this to be Foxhole. This feels like a Foxhole 755 00:38:32,719 --> 00:38:35,399 Speaker 1: game to me, You and I. It's an unattractive pick. 756 00:38:36,080 --> 00:38:38,920 Speaker 1: Everybody is coming in on the Packers. You and I 757 00:38:39,200 --> 00:38:43,640 Speaker 1: are aligned, we are together. We are campadres. We're not 758 00:38:43,680 --> 00:38:47,560 Speaker 1: companions on this that's the hornlessness. We are campadres. We 759 00:38:47,600 --> 00:38:50,160 Speaker 1: are Foxhole in this ship. Oh yeah, this is this 760 00:38:50,200 --> 00:38:52,000 Speaker 1: is d Day. We're storming in the beaches. Here. We're 761 00:38:52,040 --> 00:38:53,960 Speaker 1: running up the hill to take down the Germans that 762 00:38:54,000 --> 00:39:01,120 Speaker 1: we call Aaron Rodgers. Let's clide down to the Foxhole. 763 00:39:03,200 --> 00:39:06,080 Speaker 1: We are saving Private Ryan this game. We are Tom 764 00:39:06,160 --> 00:39:10,120 Speaker 1: Hanks and Edward Burns and we are in the fox 765 00:39:10,160 --> 00:39:13,840 Speaker 1: hole and we are firing our guns, going on the Bears. 766 00:39:14,680 --> 00:39:18,160 Speaker 1: Let's do it all right. Titans visiting the Texans. Titans 767 00:39:18,160 --> 00:39:23,319 Speaker 1: minus seven and a half. Mm hmmmm. Another money line 768 00:39:23,400 --> 00:39:28,440 Speaker 1: spot where I hate this number because Houston they're bad. 769 00:39:28,680 --> 00:39:30,879 Speaker 1: I get it, their defense is terrible, but they still 770 00:39:30,880 --> 00:39:33,839 Speaker 1: have the Shaun Watson who he won't care if they're 771 00:39:33,880 --> 00:39:36,560 Speaker 1: down thirty seven to seven in the first half. The 772 00:39:36,600 --> 00:39:39,240 Speaker 1: Shawn Watson is gonna keep fighting, keep trying to score. 773 00:39:39,320 --> 00:39:42,399 Speaker 1: So for me, I hate this number. Seven a half 774 00:39:42,480 --> 00:39:46,640 Speaker 1: is terrifying to me. Where Houston they're playing for nothing. 775 00:39:46,680 --> 00:39:48,719 Speaker 1: They only have their own first round draft, like they 776 00:39:48,719 --> 00:39:52,720 Speaker 1: don't care about losing. And after J. J. Watt's speech 777 00:39:52,760 --> 00:39:55,839 Speaker 1: last week, he got me so fired up about just 778 00:39:55,880 --> 00:39:58,000 Speaker 1: the whole mindset of a football player and like what 779 00:39:58,120 --> 00:40:02,799 Speaker 1: gets him going, um, oh god, I want to take 780 00:40:02,840 --> 00:40:06,080 Speaker 1: the Texans. But like I had this, I had this 781 00:40:06,160 --> 00:40:07,680 Speaker 1: number at seven and a half. And this is one 782 00:40:07,680 --> 00:40:09,319 Speaker 1: of a few games where both teams are playing all 783 00:40:09,360 --> 00:40:13,239 Speaker 1: their players, but with all the injuries to the Texas defense, 784 00:40:13,760 --> 00:40:15,640 Speaker 1: I can't put this in the competition. So for the 785 00:40:15,640 --> 00:40:17,160 Speaker 1: people listen out there, this is one of those where 786 00:40:17,160 --> 00:40:19,239 Speaker 1: if you're doing these mooney line parlays. I put the 787 00:40:19,280 --> 00:40:20,719 Speaker 1: Titans in one of them. I like the Titans of 788 00:40:20,760 --> 00:40:25,920 Speaker 1: money a line here. The better bet is whatever the 789 00:40:25,960 --> 00:40:29,640 Speaker 1: total rushing yards prop is for Derrick Henry. Bet the 790 00:40:29,760 --> 00:40:32,879 Speaker 1: over because he's like two hundred yards away from two 791 00:40:32,880 --> 00:40:36,680 Speaker 1: thousand yards and they're gonna fucking pound the ball against 792 00:40:36,680 --> 00:40:39,719 Speaker 1: a shitty Texans defense and watch him get to that 793 00:40:39,760 --> 00:40:43,760 Speaker 1: two thousand yard mark. I love that, but it's smart. Well, 794 00:40:44,000 --> 00:40:46,640 Speaker 1: every once in a while, I might have been your anchor. 795 00:40:47,000 --> 00:40:49,520 Speaker 1: I might have been dragging you down all season long 796 00:40:49,520 --> 00:40:52,000 Speaker 1: in the contest. But every once in a while, a 797 00:40:52,080 --> 00:40:56,120 Speaker 1: blind squirrel finds in that Seahawks minus five on the 798 00:40:56,200 --> 00:41:00,400 Speaker 1: road at the Niners, I've already got the end of west. 799 00:41:02,719 --> 00:41:07,520 Speaker 1: Niners are a good team. They're they're the ugly, ugly 800 00:41:07,560 --> 00:41:09,920 Speaker 1: girlfriend no one. No one wants to show that they 801 00:41:10,000 --> 00:41:12,080 Speaker 1: bet the Niners. Are talking about how they bet the Niners. 802 00:41:12,680 --> 00:41:15,279 Speaker 1: But we love the Niners, we love their dogs, we 803 00:41:15,360 --> 00:41:18,200 Speaker 1: love the big value here. I wish it was still 804 00:41:18,239 --> 00:41:20,120 Speaker 1: plus six, but the sharps already came in and hit 805 00:41:20,160 --> 00:41:24,840 Speaker 1: this down. Um, I still take this number. It's like 806 00:41:24,960 --> 00:41:27,200 Speaker 1: you just said, the Seahawks have already wrapped everything up. 807 00:41:27,400 --> 00:41:29,440 Speaker 1: This is like, I know they're playing for the top seed, 808 00:41:29,520 --> 00:41:32,400 Speaker 1: but I just see, like this guy, I feel like 809 00:41:32,400 --> 00:41:34,560 Speaker 1: this game is gonna mean more for the forty Niners. 810 00:41:34,760 --> 00:41:38,160 Speaker 1: And I just like this number a lot. I think 811 00:41:38,160 --> 00:41:39,919 Speaker 1: as long as it stays above three and a half, 812 00:41:39,960 --> 00:41:42,000 Speaker 1: four just stays a four and a half. This is 813 00:41:42,000 --> 00:41:44,040 Speaker 1: a good value here. So I'd be cool with putting 814 00:41:44,040 --> 00:41:46,719 Speaker 1: the four Niners. And I like the forty Niners a lot. Here, 815 00:41:47,000 --> 00:41:51,080 Speaker 1: I don't like, uh, the Chargers Chiefs game. Chargers are 816 00:41:51,760 --> 00:41:53,719 Speaker 1: you know, Chargers right now are three and a half 817 00:41:53,719 --> 00:41:56,520 Speaker 1: point favorites because obviously the Chiefs have everything wrapped up. 818 00:41:56,560 --> 00:41:59,040 Speaker 1: Blah blah blah blah blah blah. I'm not a fan 819 00:41:59,080 --> 00:42:00,680 Speaker 1: of team sitting all the players at the end of 820 00:42:00,719 --> 00:42:03,480 Speaker 1: the year. I think it's bad for rhythm. I think 821 00:42:03,520 --> 00:42:05,160 Speaker 1: you need to get these guys in there. It's just 822 00:42:05,239 --> 00:42:10,640 Speaker 1: not a it's not a theory. I subscribe to UM, 823 00:42:10,680 --> 00:42:13,960 Speaker 1: but I'm still not getting better the Chargers. Really, I 824 00:42:14,000 --> 00:42:16,920 Speaker 1: actually like them here. It's you've seen the Chiefs. The 825 00:42:17,000 --> 00:42:20,200 Speaker 1: Chiefs are just incredible on all offense, and they have 826 00:42:20,280 --> 00:42:23,399 Speaker 1: some good players on defense for sure, But the reason 827 00:42:23,440 --> 00:42:25,239 Speaker 1: they win, and they have been covering, which has been 828 00:42:25,239 --> 00:42:27,640 Speaker 1: pretty pretty fun betting against them because they just have 829 00:42:27,719 --> 00:42:30,480 Speaker 1: not been covering the Chiefs. But this is one of 830 00:42:30,480 --> 00:42:32,360 Speaker 1: those where if it's all the backups on the Chiefs 831 00:42:32,400 --> 00:42:34,920 Speaker 1: playing against the Chargers team that's playing all their starters, 832 00:42:35,560 --> 00:42:38,320 Speaker 1: I like the Chargers here, but I'm with you. I 833 00:42:38,680 --> 00:42:41,960 Speaker 1: I wouldn't put this in the competition simply because that's 834 00:42:41,960 --> 00:42:44,080 Speaker 1: a weird number three and a half, so we can 835 00:42:44,120 --> 00:42:46,200 Speaker 1: stay away. But I do like the Chargers at the spot. 836 00:42:47,719 --> 00:42:49,960 Speaker 1: I already forgot what our big balls better the week was, 837 00:42:49,960 --> 00:42:56,279 Speaker 1: was it Giants? Yeah? All right, Uh, Raiders two point 838 00:42:56,320 --> 00:42:59,200 Speaker 1: favorites on the road at the Broncos. Look, the Drew 839 00:42:59,280 --> 00:43:02,520 Speaker 1: Locks have let us down all year and and we've 840 00:43:02,600 --> 00:43:04,359 Speaker 1: chosen him in a couple of spots that we thought 841 00:43:04,360 --> 00:43:09,040 Speaker 1: were smashed spots for the Broncos and it hasn't worked out. 842 00:43:09,920 --> 00:43:12,239 Speaker 1: I just don't think like he's a kind of guy 843 00:43:12,280 --> 00:43:14,560 Speaker 1: who when they're down by a lot, he can put 844 00:43:14,600 --> 00:43:17,000 Speaker 1: them in a spot to back door. He is not 845 00:43:17,080 --> 00:43:19,240 Speaker 1: a guy who's going to keep them in any games 846 00:43:19,280 --> 00:43:22,320 Speaker 1: that are close. Uh, it's two and a half or 847 00:43:22,320 --> 00:43:24,759 Speaker 1: two and a half point dogs at home It's kind 848 00:43:24,800 --> 00:43:28,480 Speaker 1: of a meaningless game all the way around, all the money, 849 00:43:28,560 --> 00:43:30,560 Speaker 1: all the bets, both sides of it coming in on 850 00:43:30,600 --> 00:43:34,719 Speaker 1: the Raiders. What say you love Denver? This is like 851 00:43:34,760 --> 00:43:37,919 Speaker 1: the I know, such a great time to take them, 852 00:43:38,200 --> 00:43:43,680 Speaker 1: gross bets, gross profits. The Raiders defense is trash. The 853 00:43:43,920 --> 00:43:46,600 Speaker 1: city of Las Vegas doesn't even care about the Raiders anymore. 854 00:43:46,680 --> 00:43:49,319 Speaker 1: They they're that bad after that loss against the Dolphins, 855 00:43:49,360 --> 00:43:53,960 Speaker 1: that was just there. That was embarrassing. So Gruden he's reeling. 856 00:43:54,120 --> 00:43:57,120 Speaker 1: He's the worst winning percentage of any Raiders coach. I 857 00:43:57,160 --> 00:43:59,480 Speaker 1: think they posted that in like the history of the Raiders. 858 00:43:59,520 --> 00:44:02,600 Speaker 1: So for me, this seems like a team that's given up. 859 00:44:02,760 --> 00:44:04,839 Speaker 1: Where the Broncos they played tough last week. I think 860 00:44:04,920 --> 00:44:08,160 Speaker 1: they lost by a field goal. I'll keep taking the Broncos. 861 00:44:08,200 --> 00:44:10,360 Speaker 1: It's it's a hard life. It's not a fun life. 862 00:44:10,360 --> 00:44:12,440 Speaker 1: But they've been covering most of these weeks for me 863 00:44:12,520 --> 00:44:15,080 Speaker 1: down the stretch here, So I'll take the Broncos here 864 00:44:15,080 --> 00:44:18,480 Speaker 1: and hopefully this gets the plus three. This is going 865 00:44:18,520 --> 00:44:21,680 Speaker 1: to be awful, are you are? The Broncos? Like a 866 00:44:21,840 --> 00:44:26,480 Speaker 1: hornets nest game? It's an ugly, unattractive bet. The Broncos 867 00:44:26,520 --> 00:44:30,520 Speaker 1: could be the perpetual Hornets nest. They could. I was 868 00:44:30,560 --> 00:44:33,200 Speaker 1: saving it for the last game, all right, all right, 869 00:44:33,200 --> 00:44:34,880 Speaker 1: that's a good idea. Let's save it. Let's save it. 870 00:44:34,880 --> 00:44:36,799 Speaker 1: I'll put the Broncos on our list, but let's save it. 871 00:44:37,080 --> 00:44:40,080 Speaker 1: I don't want to make the people bet on the Broncos. Yeah, seriously, 872 00:44:41,160 --> 00:44:45,720 Speaker 1: the Cardinals are. It's a weird number, like some places 873 00:44:45,719 --> 00:44:49,160 Speaker 1: showing big numbers some places, some places showing the Cardinals 874 00:44:49,200 --> 00:44:53,400 Speaker 1: is four point dogs. Other places like DraftKings says the 875 00:44:53,480 --> 00:44:56,200 Speaker 1: Rams is one and a half point favorites. I don't 876 00:44:56,200 --> 00:44:58,720 Speaker 1: know what to do here because like Jared Goff isn't playing. 877 00:44:59,040 --> 00:45:02,120 Speaker 1: He's broken his thump. Jerk Goff broke his thumb. They 878 00:45:02,160 --> 00:45:03,840 Speaker 1: say that he might be able to return for the 879 00:45:03,840 --> 00:45:06,719 Speaker 1: playoffs if they make it. For the record, I broke 880 00:45:06,760 --> 00:45:12,200 Speaker 1: my thumb in August, had surgery two weeks later. I 881 00:45:12,239 --> 00:45:13,879 Speaker 1: still can't bend it all the way. So I don't 882 00:45:13,880 --> 00:45:15,160 Speaker 1: know how a guy is going to come back from 883 00:45:15,160 --> 00:45:17,520 Speaker 1: a broken tomb and like be able to grip a 884 00:45:17,520 --> 00:45:20,640 Speaker 1: football in two weeks. Well, hopefully a guy that's twenty 885 00:45:20,640 --> 00:45:22,719 Speaker 1: four heels quicker than a guy in his late seventies, 886 00:45:22,760 --> 00:45:27,040 Speaker 1: So right, I did say that. I didn't say that 887 00:45:27,080 --> 00:45:29,640 Speaker 1: to my orthopedes, Like, how the funk are these guys 888 00:45:29,920 --> 00:45:32,600 Speaker 1: getting on the field and playing football seven days after 889 00:45:32,640 --> 00:45:36,640 Speaker 1: breaking their fingers? And he's like they're years old? Yeah right, 890 00:45:37,200 --> 00:45:41,360 Speaker 1: uh yeah. This is like one of these sick games 891 00:45:41,400 --> 00:45:43,880 Speaker 1: where I would love to take the Rams here because, 892 00:45:44,320 --> 00:45:47,160 Speaker 1: like we said, we love fading Cliff Cliffs the worst coach, 893 00:45:47,719 --> 00:45:53,000 Speaker 1: Cliff Kingsbury. McVeigh is going to coach circles around him. 894 00:45:53,080 --> 00:45:56,320 Speaker 1: But I'm scared to tell people to do it because 895 00:45:56,360 --> 00:45:58,680 Speaker 1: it's like it's one of those where I personally will 896 00:45:58,680 --> 00:46:00,840 Speaker 1: be betting heavy on the Rams just because all the 897 00:46:00,840 --> 00:46:03,399 Speaker 1: money has been coming on the Cardinals and I don't 898 00:46:03,440 --> 00:46:05,479 Speaker 1: think they're I don't think Golf is worth that much 899 00:46:05,480 --> 00:46:08,320 Speaker 1: to the Rams team. Like, tell me how many points 900 00:46:08,560 --> 00:46:10,600 Speaker 1: Jared Golf is worth and I'll tell you how much 901 00:46:10,640 --> 00:46:14,040 Speaker 1: you're wrong, because I just don't think he's this great quarterback. 902 00:46:14,080 --> 00:46:16,480 Speaker 1: He's a below average quarterback. It's in a great system. 903 00:46:16,640 --> 00:46:20,760 Speaker 1: So everything I read about this backup is this kid quick, 904 00:46:21,280 --> 00:46:24,920 Speaker 1: he's he's a really good athlete that he's been a 905 00:46:25,000 --> 00:46:28,200 Speaker 1: mcveig's system for a couple of years now, So I 906 00:46:28,200 --> 00:46:30,759 Speaker 1: don't hate the Rams play. I I really don't. I 907 00:46:30,800 --> 00:46:32,560 Speaker 1: think that as long as this number keeps getting beat 908 00:46:32,600 --> 00:46:34,800 Speaker 1: up because people are gonna come and so heavy the Cardinals. 909 00:46:35,280 --> 00:46:37,759 Speaker 1: If this ever gets the plus seven or seven and 910 00:46:37,760 --> 00:46:40,880 Speaker 1: a half, I'm I'm definitely gonna put the Rams in 911 00:46:40,920 --> 00:46:43,840 Speaker 1: my competition. But for all the people out there, I 912 00:46:43,880 --> 00:46:46,000 Speaker 1: completely understand you don't like putting a ton of money 913 00:46:46,040 --> 00:46:50,160 Speaker 1: on a backup quarterback. But Fading Cliff, it's fun, it's easy. 914 00:46:50,320 --> 00:46:54,319 Speaker 1: So McVay verus Cliff, don't think about it too much. Yeah. 915 00:46:54,400 --> 00:46:57,040 Speaker 1: By the way, we're in a week seventeen and we're 916 00:46:57,040 --> 00:46:59,839 Speaker 1: gonna have more games that we are choosing as from 917 00:46:59,840 --> 00:47:02,360 Speaker 1: our We are choosing five from than we had throughout 918 00:47:02,360 --> 00:47:04,880 Speaker 1: the entire year. We've already got I think seven or 919 00:47:04,920 --> 00:47:06,920 Speaker 1: eight games that we have decided we liked because I 920 00:47:06,960 --> 00:47:09,680 Speaker 1: just wrote the Rams down is underdogs. Uh. Two more. 921 00:47:11,080 --> 00:47:13,680 Speaker 1: I love Week seventeen. I love you love Week seventeen. 922 00:47:13,840 --> 00:47:17,640 Speaker 1: We've got three more games. We got the Jags Colts, Uh, 923 00:47:17,719 --> 00:47:21,480 Speaker 1: I mean like keep it moving. Yeah, okay, cults are 924 00:47:21,520 --> 00:47:26,520 Speaker 1: too touchdown favorites, forget this. Saints Panthers. Saints are six 925 00:47:26,560 --> 00:47:30,000 Speaker 1: and a half point favorites on the road at the 926 00:47:30,040 --> 00:47:35,799 Speaker 1: Teddy Covers Dude, it's like they are fucking begging us 927 00:47:35,840 --> 00:47:41,040 Speaker 1: to take the Panthers. Hornets nest. We got a hornets nest. 928 00:47:41,520 --> 00:47:44,719 Speaker 1: Be my companion. I'm walking to a fucking hornets nest. 929 00:47:44,719 --> 00:47:47,480 Speaker 1: All right, now, be my companion. We have to Teddy 930 00:47:47,600 --> 00:47:51,120 Speaker 1: Cover's baby. We love We talk every time. He's a dog. 931 00:47:51,360 --> 00:47:54,720 Speaker 1: Who cares? Who cares? Who cares? You just take the number. 932 00:47:54,760 --> 00:47:56,760 Speaker 1: I don't care what your numbers say about the Saints. 933 00:47:57,239 --> 00:48:00,319 Speaker 1: How much better the Saints are all that noise? Teddy 934 00:48:00,400 --> 00:48:03,279 Speaker 1: is a dog. We love it. Yeah, Like, how do 935 00:48:03,320 --> 00:48:06,799 Speaker 1: we not We have to honor him, if for no 936 00:48:06,880 --> 00:48:09,000 Speaker 1: other reason we have to choose the Panthers to honor 937 00:48:09,120 --> 00:48:13,919 Speaker 1: Teddy Covers. Yeah, I love it. Also, like at this point, 938 00:48:14,040 --> 00:48:17,840 Speaker 1: still very low volume, but like the bets coming in 939 00:48:17,920 --> 00:48:19,520 Speaker 1: on the Saints. Of course we're going to take the 940 00:48:19,520 --> 00:48:21,440 Speaker 1: Panthers and this number is gonna go up and we're 941 00:48:21,440 --> 00:48:26,040 Speaker 1: gonna love it all right. Washington football team, playing for 942 00:48:26,239 --> 00:48:31,839 Speaker 1: its lungs, dropped Dwayne Haskins this week. Uh as soon 943 00:48:31,880 --> 00:48:35,319 Speaker 1: as he was dropped, my kid, Uh, he was like, man, 944 00:48:35,360 --> 00:48:39,080 Speaker 1: he's gonna have a great career in the xfl UM, 945 00:48:39,200 --> 00:48:42,120 Speaker 1: the Washington football team one on a half point favorites 946 00:48:42,280 --> 00:48:48,080 Speaker 1: against the Philadelphia Eagles. Professional football quarterback Alex Smith will 947 00:48:48,120 --> 00:48:54,719 Speaker 1: be playing. I would take Washington here. Yeah, I don't 948 00:48:54,760 --> 00:48:59,560 Speaker 1: hate the number. UM. It's scary because we're seeing ourselves. 949 00:49:00,080 --> 00:49:02,880 Speaker 1: Alex Smith is coming off a pretty serious injury, if 950 00:49:02,880 --> 00:49:04,879 Speaker 1: it's telled him out the last couple of weeks, and 951 00:49:05,600 --> 00:49:08,200 Speaker 1: everything we've seen from Washington is their defense is still 952 00:49:08,200 --> 00:49:11,200 Speaker 1: playing at the highest levels. Like Chase Young is playing 953 00:49:11,320 --> 00:49:13,720 Speaker 1: out of his mind. He had two strip sack fumbles 954 00:49:13,800 --> 00:49:18,200 Speaker 1: last week for Washington. So, like you just said, this, 955 00:49:18,200 --> 00:49:20,440 Speaker 1: this Washington team, they're really playing for something. Here. We're 956 00:49:20,480 --> 00:49:22,239 Speaker 1: the only guy in the Eagles who's gonna playing or something. 957 00:49:22,360 --> 00:49:25,560 Speaker 1: His hurts and I don't really like that situation where 958 00:49:26,080 --> 00:49:27,880 Speaker 1: the rest of the team is already thinking about their 959 00:49:27,920 --> 00:49:33,720 Speaker 1: vacation and you got a rookie QB who he played 960 00:49:33,840 --> 00:49:36,200 Speaker 1: terrible last week. He really did. He just made really 961 00:49:36,200 --> 00:49:39,560 Speaker 1: bad mistakes. And like we talked all years, this Washington 962 00:49:39,600 --> 00:49:41,480 Speaker 1: front four has been very profitable for us. As long 963 00:49:41,520 --> 00:49:43,799 Speaker 1: as Alex Smith is the quarterback, Washington has been really 964 00:49:43,840 --> 00:49:46,600 Speaker 1: good to us. So we'll keep playing with guys here, buddy, 965 00:49:46,640 --> 00:49:50,760 Speaker 1: I'll take Washington with you. We will honor Alex Smith. 966 00:49:51,200 --> 00:49:58,080 Speaker 1: Alex Smith, professional quarterback, professional football quarterback. I feel like 967 00:49:58,120 --> 00:49:59,960 Speaker 1: we should get him a badge and like, instead of 968 00:50:00,000 --> 00:50:03,320 Speaker 1: of having the little Walter Payton patch on his jersey, 969 00:50:03,680 --> 00:50:08,680 Speaker 1: he should get like a professional football quarterback patch that 970 00:50:09,280 --> 00:50:11,400 Speaker 1: we sent him from the Favorites. I wonderful. You just 971 00:50:11,400 --> 00:50:13,279 Speaker 1: gotta you got a d M mom and say, Hi, 972 00:50:13,440 --> 00:50:17,160 Speaker 1: this is Chad Nolman, New York Times bestseller and I 973 00:50:17,320 --> 00:50:19,239 Speaker 1: run a company called the Action Network. I'd love to 974 00:50:19,280 --> 00:50:21,399 Speaker 1: have you on because I've been championing you all year 975 00:50:21,719 --> 00:50:24,400 Speaker 1: unlike most people. So I think he'll get back to 976 00:50:24,400 --> 00:50:26,480 Speaker 1: because you're the only person who's spent in his corner 977 00:50:26,480 --> 00:50:29,239 Speaker 1: in the betting world all year. It's true, It's totally true. 978 00:50:29,280 --> 00:50:30,759 Speaker 1: I will say you, don't you know why I love him? 979 00:50:30,800 --> 00:50:32,640 Speaker 1: And I think I mentioned this when I was hetter 980 00:50:32,680 --> 00:50:35,759 Speaker 1: in chief of the magazine of ESPN. The magazine Seth Wickersham, 981 00:50:35,800 --> 00:50:38,640 Speaker 1: who you know, was one of the best NFL writers 982 00:50:38,840 --> 00:50:42,280 Speaker 1: in the country. Uh, did a phenomenal story about Alex 983 00:50:42,360 --> 00:50:47,440 Speaker 1: Smith after he had broken his collar bone with the Niners, 984 00:50:47,880 --> 00:50:50,239 Speaker 1: and like just the agony of having to come back 985 00:50:50,280 --> 00:50:53,600 Speaker 1: from that, and like Alex Smith's dedication to coming back 986 00:50:53,640 --> 00:50:56,560 Speaker 1: from it, Like I remember this scene about Smith sleeping 987 00:50:56,680 --> 00:50:59,080 Speaker 1: upright in a chair because it was so painful to 988 00:50:59,120 --> 00:51:04,080 Speaker 1: do anything else, and just the rigor and effort and 989 00:51:04,120 --> 00:51:06,200 Speaker 1: depression that comes on from having to come back from 990 00:51:06,200 --> 00:51:08,239 Speaker 1: an injury. You know, if a guy like that comes 991 00:51:08,239 --> 00:51:10,120 Speaker 1: back from what he came back from with the leg like, 992 00:51:11,400 --> 00:51:14,160 Speaker 1: he's a fucking pro, And you know, I like nothing more. 993 00:51:14,400 --> 00:51:21,160 Speaker 1: I value nothing more than professionals in any level. Pros Bros. 994 00:51:21,200 --> 00:51:25,320 Speaker 1: Pro Alright, we got like ten games. We're thinking about it. 995 00:51:25,440 --> 00:51:29,120 Speaker 1: We will again put these into the app on Sunday morning, 996 00:51:29,400 --> 00:51:32,760 Speaker 1: Simon Hunter Action Network app follow him. We are rolling 997 00:51:32,760 --> 00:51:35,360 Speaker 1: over our money, folks. We are like, we're playing with 998 00:51:35,400 --> 00:51:37,799 Speaker 1: a much bigger bankroll than we have all year. So 999 00:51:37,800 --> 00:51:39,879 Speaker 1: we're gonna make five picks. We're gonna put real money 1000 00:51:39,960 --> 00:51:43,040 Speaker 1: on these picks. It's gonna be tense, it's gonna be sweaty, 1001 00:51:43,239 --> 00:51:46,240 Speaker 1: it's gonna be ugly. I can't believe I've already agreed 1002 00:51:46,400 --> 00:51:48,279 Speaker 1: to take my kids to being in the state of 1003 00:51:48,280 --> 00:51:50,319 Speaker 1: Connecticut because it's vacation and we got to get him 1004 00:51:50,320 --> 00:51:53,200 Speaker 1: out of the house like on Sunday. So there's gonna 1005 00:51:53,200 --> 00:51:54,600 Speaker 1: be a part of the afternoon where I can't even 1006 00:51:54,640 --> 00:51:57,839 Speaker 1: watch the games. But whatever, we love the bike. You're 1007 00:51:57,840 --> 00:52:03,040 Speaker 1: going to being in late December. Well listen, like, hey, 1008 00:52:03,080 --> 00:52:04,839 Speaker 1: I'm not going to leave the car. My kids are 1009 00:52:04,840 --> 00:52:08,080 Speaker 1: gonna go and be like I gotta get him out 1010 00:52:08,120 --> 00:52:10,279 Speaker 1: of the house. It's like all they do is sit 1011 00:52:10,320 --> 00:52:12,919 Speaker 1: on their screens. I'm taking two days off this week 1012 00:52:13,000 --> 00:52:16,399 Speaker 1: just to like help manage them. So let me help 1013 00:52:16,440 --> 00:52:18,200 Speaker 1: you out here. Back in the day, when I was 1014 00:52:18,239 --> 00:52:20,120 Speaker 1: a kid in the nineteen fifties and sixties, we uhould 1015 00:52:20,120 --> 00:52:22,840 Speaker 1: do a thing called war. So you get a beer bottle, 1016 00:52:22,880 --> 00:52:25,560 Speaker 1: you fill full of gasoline, you put a T shirt 1017 00:52:25,600 --> 00:52:27,799 Speaker 1: in the top, you let it on fire and make 1018 00:52:27,840 --> 00:52:29,759 Speaker 1: a mouth off cocktail and you let your kids just 1019 00:52:29,800 --> 00:52:32,280 Speaker 1: have a war in the backyard. It's fun, it's safe. 1020 00:52:32,600 --> 00:52:35,680 Speaker 1: It kills a debt. Well listen, I did uh Listen, 1021 00:52:36,440 --> 00:52:39,960 Speaker 1: I'm not afraid of them playing with fire. Hey, b uh. 1022 00:52:40,120 --> 00:52:41,880 Speaker 1: When I was a kid, we used to do bottle 1023 00:52:41,960 --> 00:52:44,839 Speaker 1: rocket wars and we take out the ski poles and 1024 00:52:44,880 --> 00:52:47,160 Speaker 1: we'd get the bottle rockets and like we shoot at 1025 00:52:47,160 --> 00:52:49,160 Speaker 1: each other at night, we'd go to the playground of 1026 00:52:49,200 --> 00:52:51,719 Speaker 1: like the grammar school, and one year the cops came 1027 00:52:52,120 --> 00:52:54,680 Speaker 1: and a buddy of mine dropped his ski pole and 1028 00:52:54,719 --> 00:52:56,719 Speaker 1: it had a lip bottle rocket in it and it 1029 00:52:56,840 --> 00:53:00,719 Speaker 1: hit the cop in the chest, and the cop like 1030 00:53:00,920 --> 00:53:05,000 Speaker 1: was so fucking piste. He motored tackled this guy. He 1031 00:53:05,160 --> 00:53:08,080 Speaker 1: got hauled in the rest of us like scattered, and 1032 00:53:08,120 --> 00:53:12,200 Speaker 1: we were all like at that guy's house with his dad, 1033 00:53:12,560 --> 00:53:14,400 Speaker 1: and his dad had to go get him at the 1034 00:53:14,480 --> 00:53:17,160 Speaker 1: police station, and we didn't know, like, is he gonna 1035 00:53:17,360 --> 00:53:20,840 Speaker 1: is he gonna flip? What's gonna happen, And like, of course, 1036 00:53:21,280 --> 00:53:23,840 Speaker 1: nothing happened. They let him go, Like that was that, 1037 00:53:24,280 --> 00:53:26,080 Speaker 1: But we were convinced we were all going to jail. 1038 00:53:26,560 --> 00:53:31,240 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, alright. Vikings plus six and a half, Brown's 1039 00:53:31,280 --> 00:53:34,040 Speaker 1: minus seven, Giants plus three That is our big Balls 1040 00:53:34,080 --> 00:53:36,160 Speaker 1: bet of the week. Bills minus four and a half, 1041 00:53:36,239 --> 00:53:39,359 Speaker 1: Jets plus four and a half, Bears, Foxhold plus five 1042 00:53:39,400 --> 00:53:42,560 Speaker 1: and a half, Niners plus five and a half, Broncos 1043 00:53:42,560 --> 00:53:46,240 Speaker 1: plus two and a half. Rams whatever they are is underdogs. 1044 00:53:46,360 --> 00:53:48,840 Speaker 1: Uh Panthers plus six and a half. That is our Hornets. 1045 00:53:48,840 --> 00:53:51,640 Speaker 1: Nest Washington minus five and a half. We gotta choose 1046 00:53:51,680 --> 00:53:54,720 Speaker 1: five of these games. Come Sunday, check out the app. 1047 00:53:54,840 --> 00:53:57,359 Speaker 1: You will know which games we are choosing. Real money 1048 00:53:57,360 --> 00:54:01,640 Speaker 1: at stake. Here we are rolling this over. This is exciting. Yeah, 1049 00:54:01,680 --> 00:54:04,239 Speaker 1: I'm probably I'll probably do. Um. What I've been doing 1050 00:54:04,280 --> 00:54:06,200 Speaker 1: personally with our picks is like I'll just do round 1051 00:54:06,280 --> 00:54:09,320 Speaker 1: robins with them because it's just quick, easy and lazy, 1052 00:54:09,400 --> 00:54:13,279 Speaker 1: just getting all our picks in. And I'll do that 1053 00:54:13,360 --> 00:54:15,280 Speaker 1: and then I'll just do like one or two straight 1054 00:54:15,360 --> 00:54:18,600 Speaker 1: up bets for us. But um, I'm still I'm still 1055 00:54:18,640 --> 00:54:20,760 Speaker 1: so tempted to put a little bit our cut on 1056 00:54:21,120 --> 00:54:23,480 Speaker 1: the Bills to win the Super Bowl. But well, that 1057 00:54:23,640 --> 00:54:26,839 Speaker 1: man Mitchell take his time think things over his two 1058 00:54:26,880 --> 00:54:30,000 Speaker 1: weeks until the playoffs, so there's no rush. But I 1059 00:54:30,080 --> 00:54:32,000 Speaker 1: do I do with love and fault. We just as 1060 00:54:32,000 --> 00:54:34,680 Speaker 1: a podcast put the features on the a f C 1061 00:54:35,040 --> 00:54:37,200 Speaker 1: with the Bills that we did with the Bears to 1062 00:54:37,200 --> 00:54:38,960 Speaker 1: win the Super Bowl and NFC. It would just be 1063 00:54:38,960 --> 00:54:41,480 Speaker 1: fun as a show. I think we have to. You're in, 1064 00:54:42,000 --> 00:54:44,000 Speaker 1: I'm in, all right, we'll see, we'll see how we 1065 00:54:44,040 --> 00:54:46,160 Speaker 1: do this week and we'll talk next week about it. 1066 00:54:46,280 --> 00:54:49,120 Speaker 1: All right, all right, let's give away some money speak 1067 00:54:49,239 --> 00:54:52,120 Speaker 1: speaking of giving away some money, Let's give away some money. 1068 00:54:52,640 --> 00:54:55,040 Speaker 1: Last week, we as fans to rate and review the podcast. 1069 00:54:55,120 --> 00:54:57,160 Speaker 1: Those who did and use the winning phrase in their 1070 00:54:57,200 --> 00:55:00,360 Speaker 1: review were eligible to win up to five dollars, and 1071 00:55:00,480 --> 00:55:06,120 Speaker 1: somebody won. All five people get in their review the podcast. 1072 00:55:06,120 --> 00:55:09,000 Speaker 1: You're giving your you're leaving money on the table. Don't 1073 00:55:09,040 --> 00:55:11,720 Speaker 1: be that person. We are going to do another phrase. 1074 00:55:11,760 --> 00:55:14,279 Speaker 1: The pay is the winner earns one hundred dollars for 1075 00:55:14,360 --> 00:55:17,560 Speaker 1: every win Simon and I have this week, and then 1076 00:55:17,600 --> 00:55:20,400 Speaker 1: the Action Network will match that number with a donation 1077 00:55:20,440 --> 00:55:22,759 Speaker 1: to the winner's favorite charity. Go rate and review the 1078 00:55:22,760 --> 00:55:28,759 Speaker 1: podcast using the phrase Simon says, winning, and we will 1079 00:55:28,840 --> 00:55:31,600 Speaker 1: randomly choose the winner to get that cash. Meeting Matt 1080 00:55:31,640 --> 00:55:35,200 Speaker 1: Mitchell will choose. The winner of this week's contest is 1081 00:55:36,280 --> 00:55:41,520 Speaker 1: Joey from Boston. Joey, if you're listening, reach out to 1082 00:55:41,640 --> 00:55:44,520 Speaker 1: Matt dot Mitchell at Action network dot com for your prize. 1083 00:55:44,880 --> 00:55:47,719 Speaker 1: This is the best sporting This is hands down the 1084 00:55:47,800 --> 00:55:52,360 Speaker 1: best sports betting podcast in the world. The roller Coaster 1085 00:55:52,400 --> 00:55:54,800 Speaker 1: of Emotions Simon and Chad put us on this season 1086 00:55:54,880 --> 00:55:57,160 Speaker 1: have been incredible. Simon says, we need to own our 1087 00:55:57,160 --> 00:55:59,800 Speaker 1: decisions and my decision to download this podcast, like my 1088 00:56:00,000 --> 00:56:03,080 Speaker 1: decision to brew my own cucumber water, has been been 1089 00:56:03,080 --> 00:56:09,600 Speaker 1: paying dividends all season long. Joey from Boston, what a wicked, 1090 00:56:09,680 --> 00:56:14,879 Speaker 1: awesome review. Get it. That's a nice review, man. It 1091 00:56:14,920 --> 00:56:17,680 Speaker 1: has been fun. It was like, coming in, I just 1092 00:56:17,719 --> 00:56:20,480 Speaker 1: wanted to show people, like how pros make a profit, 1093 00:56:20,680 --> 00:56:24,080 Speaker 1: and they saw it's not pretty. Man. We bet ugly 1094 00:56:24,440 --> 00:56:26,400 Speaker 1: to win big money, and that's how you have to 1095 00:56:26,400 --> 00:56:28,440 Speaker 1: do the NFL. You can't play it safe, like we 1096 00:56:28,520 --> 00:56:31,000 Speaker 1: talked all year. So that was a cool review. Man. 1097 00:56:31,040 --> 00:56:33,760 Speaker 1: It's it's fun knowing that we help people just improve 1098 00:56:33,840 --> 00:56:36,400 Speaker 1: a little bit this season. You know, I thought you 1099 00:56:36,440 --> 00:56:39,120 Speaker 1: were saying coming in, uh, you just want to show 1100 00:56:39,160 --> 00:56:43,120 Speaker 1: people how pros make a profit. And what you learned 1101 00:56:43,480 --> 00:56:48,080 Speaker 1: was that you found a new best friend. It's true, 1102 00:56:48,080 --> 00:56:52,520 Speaker 1: a lifelong friend. Lifelong friend. All right. This has been 1103 00:56:52,840 --> 00:56:55,560 Speaker 1: the favorites from the Action Network. Guy. I'm Chad Melman 1104 00:56:55,600 --> 00:56:59,280 Speaker 1: for Simon Hunter at Simon Hunter Tan on Twitter. Download 1105 00:56:59,280 --> 00:57:03,000 Speaker 1: the podcast from Apple podcasts, from Spotify wherever you get 1106 00:57:03,040 --> 00:57:09,640 Speaker 1: your podcasts Until next week. I love you, h