WEBVTT - Drive Time: Dolphins Patriots Week 2 Preview 0:00:00.800 --> 0:00:03.880 Drive Time with Travis Wingfield begins. 0:00:04.400 --> 0:00:06.600 Now let me check your pulse if you're not of. 0:00:08.640 --> 0:00:10.240 What is up? Dolphins? 0:00:10.320 --> 0:00:13.159 And welcome to the Draft Time Podcast, part of the 0:00:13.240 --> 0:00:18.119 Miami Dolphins podcast network, covering your team, your Miami Dolphins. 0:00:18.160 --> 0:00:21.360 How's it going everybody? I am your host, Travis Wingfield. 0:00:21.520 --> 0:00:24.239 And on today's show, as fast as Week one came 0:00:24.320 --> 0:00:27.560 and went, we are onto Foxborough. We are previewing this 0:00:27.720 --> 0:00:31.960 Sunday night football showdown against rival in New England. Key matchups, 0:00:32.040 --> 0:00:35.199 keys to victory, critical stats. These games are fun to 0:00:35.280 --> 0:00:38.280 preview when you're excited about your team. From the Baptist 0:00:38.280 --> 0:00:41.519 Health Studios inside the Baptist Health Training Complex. This is 0:00:42.080 --> 0:00:43.400 the Drive Time Podcast. 0:00:43.600 --> 0:00:46.559 Maggie Ah. 0:00:46.640 --> 0:00:49.800 The New England Patriots once again once a thorn in 0:00:49.800 --> 0:00:53.080 our collective side. The Dolphins have recently flipped the script 0:00:53.159 --> 0:00:55.440 in this series though. We are looking for a little 0:00:55.440 --> 0:00:58.120 bit of payback after a Week seventeen lost just nine 0:00:58.120 --> 0:01:01.440 months ago that almost kept us out the postseason. The 0:01:01.440 --> 0:01:04.360 Patriots are in year three, Posts Brady, and it's been 0:01:04.440 --> 0:01:07.480 an adjustment. Actually Year four twenty twenty one, twenty two, Yes, 0:01:07.600 --> 0:01:11.080 year four, that first year they qualified for the postseason. 0:01:11.319 --> 0:01:13.199 And then had a rough go in the wild card 0:01:13.240 --> 0:01:15.800 round up in Buffalo. But I think that season that 0:01:15.840 --> 0:01:18.120 mac Jones had as a rookie gets a little bit 0:01:18.160 --> 0:01:21.319 lost in the weeds. After a really tough experimental year 0:01:21.400 --> 0:01:24.080 last year under a variety of coordinators and play callers 0:01:24.319 --> 0:01:27.600 that could not be identified and had no previous offensive 0:01:27.600 --> 0:01:31.160 experience in Joe Judge and Matt Patricia as they attempted 0:01:31.200 --> 0:01:34.479 to implement a wide zone system despite no coaching history 0:01:34.600 --> 0:01:37.680 or player history in that system, and it just never took. 0:01:38.040 --> 0:01:40.320 Eventually they reverted back to more of a man gap 0:01:40.360 --> 0:01:43.360 concept in the running game, but through some injuries and 0:01:43.480 --> 0:01:46.279 up and down play, it was a challenging sophomore season 0:01:46.360 --> 0:01:49.000 four Mac Jones, and we saw lots of frustration on 0:01:49.040 --> 0:01:52.320 the sidelines after many three and out and turnover level series. 0:01:52.600 --> 0:01:54.400 The reason that he was a first round pick was 0:01:54.400 --> 0:01:56.640 the same reason he found success in that rookie year. 0:01:56.880 --> 0:01:59.160 He sees the field very well. He throws a pretty 0:01:59.160 --> 0:02:01.800 accurate football, He's a good decision maker. More on him 0:02:01.840 --> 0:02:04.400 in a moment, but he's obviously the marquee talking point 0:02:04.400 --> 0:02:07.520 when discussing the post Brady era. After a run of 0:02:07.560 --> 0:02:10.399 eight consecutive trips to the AFC Championship Game. With three 0:02:10.480 --> 0:02:13.239 rings over that span, and of course sixth total in 0:02:13.320 --> 0:02:16.000 two decades. It's hard to fill the shoes of Brady, 0:02:16.040 --> 0:02:18.960 but Belichick is still doing what he's always done. And look, 0:02:18.960 --> 0:02:20.880 it's not a secret to say their draft classes have 0:02:20.960 --> 0:02:24.959 not developed a ton of star players that constitute Pro Bowls, 0:02:25.000 --> 0:02:28.000 all Pro second contracts. But you often need to look 0:02:28.000 --> 0:02:30.800 at the entire body of a roster building concept to 0:02:30.800 --> 0:02:33.480 get a feel for how a team is at constructing 0:02:33.560 --> 0:02:36.400 the roster. And at the bottom line, Belichick year in 0:02:36.400 --> 0:02:39.600 and year out, develops a defense that performs. Now can 0:02:39.639 --> 0:02:41.960 he develop an offense is going to perform? That's the 0:02:41.960 --> 0:02:43.920 big question here in the post Brady era. But the 0:02:43.960 --> 0:02:46.720 defense every year is good, and they did it again 0:02:46.800 --> 0:02:49.880 last week against the Philadelphia Eagles. Last year eleventh in 0:02:49.960 --> 0:02:53.919 points allowed, twenty twenty one second points allowed twenty twenty 0:02:53.960 --> 0:02:56.400 seventh in points allowed, and that was after being top 0:02:56.480 --> 0:02:59.920 ranked in twenty nineteen, which was Brady's final year, obviously, 0:03:00.280 --> 0:03:03.680 So while the offense undergoes this transformation tries to find 0:03:03.720 --> 0:03:07.040 its identity, it's the same story on defense, a secondary 0:03:07.120 --> 0:03:10.440 driven unit that employs more six seven to eight defensive 0:03:10.480 --> 0:03:13.600 back packages than anybody else and gets production from every 0:03:13.639 --> 0:03:17.680 avenue of roster acquisition. The same unheralded defensive line that 0:03:17.720 --> 0:03:20.880 deserves to get way more praise is pretty much intact 0:03:21.280 --> 0:03:23.959 Lawrence Guy Dietrich Wise, these guys have been there since 0:03:23.960 --> 0:03:25.000 the Clinton administration. 0:03:25.120 --> 0:03:25.679 That's a joke. 0:03:26.160 --> 0:03:29.160 They imported Devon Godshaw a few years ago, and Christian 0:03:29.160 --> 0:03:31.560 Barmore's arguably the best among the hit and one of 0:03:31.560 --> 0:03:34.320 their best draft hits in recent years. They pair that 0:03:34.360 --> 0:03:37.200 with the elite pass rusher in Matthew Judon, with supplementary 0:03:37.200 --> 0:03:39.839 pieces like Josh Ucea and what looks like another Hit 0:03:40.160 --> 0:03:42.680 and Keon White in the second round out of Georgia Tech. 0:03:42.800 --> 0:03:45.400 They're twenty five and twenty seven since twenty twenty, that 0:03:45.440 --> 0:03:47.800 includes the playoff loss. They're off to an zero to 0:03:47.800 --> 0:03:50.400 one star in a very difficult AFC East and AFC 0:03:50.440 --> 0:03:52.680 in general, and they're going to give the Dolphins their 0:03:52.720 --> 0:03:55.360 best shot in primetime in front of their home crowd, 0:03:55.600 --> 0:03:57.600 in a game they know they have to get to 0:03:57.640 --> 0:04:00.920 avoid falling to zero to two with a home divisional loss, 0:04:01.040 --> 0:04:03.480 and both games at home for that matter. Not quite 0:04:03.480 --> 0:04:05.600 the same number of storylines as we had last week 0:04:05.640 --> 0:04:08.200 on the podcast, but certainly not short on them either. 0:04:08.440 --> 0:04:11.000 Let's go ahead and get to those key storylines. Now. 0:04:11.080 --> 0:04:12.960 Some of these are going to give some crossover into 0:04:13.040 --> 0:04:15.520 the matchup section, so we'll avoid getting into too much 0:04:15.640 --> 0:04:17.480 numbers and tell of the tape on some of these. 0:04:17.680 --> 0:04:20.000 Let's go ahead and start here. The Dolphins are four 0:04:20.040 --> 0:04:23.800 to zero against New England in games started by QB one, 0:04:23.839 --> 0:04:26.000 and just like we saw in Week one, these wins 0:04:26.040 --> 0:04:28.320 typically occur when Tua is at his best in the 0:04:28.360 --> 0:04:30.760 fourth quarter. I can think back to the twenty twenty 0:04:30.800 --> 0:04:33.560 game when he extended a third down play in low 0:04:33.640 --> 0:04:36.719 red zone and rushed for a game clinching touchdown, and 0:04:36.760 --> 0:04:39.400 the twenty twenty one opener delivered a strike to Devonte 0:04:39.560 --> 0:04:42.000 Parker for a first down when they were backed up 0:04:42.000 --> 0:04:44.880 on a second and twelve play and the Patriots needed 0:04:44.880 --> 0:04:47.320 just a field goal to win, had all three timeouts 0:04:47.440 --> 0:04:49.400 and a three and out there pretty much puts them 0:04:49.400 --> 0:04:52.200 into field goal range, but he converts, the Dolphins, run 0:04:52.200 --> 0:04:54.400 the clock out and win the football game last year 0:04:54.640 --> 0:04:57.240 wasn't quite the same game script, but he did hit 0:04:57.279 --> 0:05:00.279 a critical pass for Yachtse on fourth and eight to 0:05:00.440 --> 0:05:03.360 Jalen Waddell right before half to give Miami a commanding 0:05:03.400 --> 0:05:07.560 seventeen to zip lead. Next storyline, minimal possessions every time 0:05:07.640 --> 0:05:10.400 these two teams meet. Will that change with a new 0:05:10.400 --> 0:05:14.200 defensive coordinator in Miami and a new offensive coordinator in 0:05:14.200 --> 0:05:16.680 New England. A kin to the first storyline, these game 0:05:16.720 --> 0:05:20.119 scripts tend to follow the same well script every time. 0:05:20.560 --> 0:05:23.640 Both teams have these methodical drives that shorten the number 0:05:23.640 --> 0:05:26.080 of drives that each team gets in throughout the course 0:05:26.120 --> 0:05:29.440 of a game. Both teams play really strong on third 0:05:29.520 --> 0:05:32.920 down offensively, but even better in the red zone defensively, 0:05:33.240 --> 0:05:36.200 and you wind up with these seventeen to sixteen finals 0:05:36.320 --> 0:05:38.359 for the opener. Last year, I did a study and 0:05:38.400 --> 0:05:40.919 found that Dolphins and Patriots games going back to twenty 0:05:40.960 --> 0:05:44.479 twenty when Brian Flores really arrived with his new defense here, 0:05:44.480 --> 0:05:46.599 but not twenty nineteen because that was kind of a 0:05:46.760 --> 0:05:49.520 wash of a year, But these games average two point 0:05:49.520 --> 0:05:52.560 two possessions fewer per team than league average going back 0:05:52.560 --> 0:05:55.760 to that season. Last year's opener was similar, two possessions 0:05:55.800 --> 0:05:58.440 fewer for each and the Week seventeen game did not 0:05:58.520 --> 0:06:00.279 have the same track. But we're also down a couple 0:06:00.320 --> 0:06:02.840 of quarterbacks in that game with an in game injury, 0:06:02.839 --> 0:06:06.000 throwing a wrench into the entire thing. Now, what happened 0:06:06.040 --> 0:06:09.000 in twenty twenty the second year of Brian Flores implementing 0:06:09.000 --> 0:06:11.800 his defense and the eventual Josh Boyer promotion in twenty 0:06:11.839 --> 0:06:14.839 twenty one, who stayed on in twenty twenty two when 0:06:14.880 --> 0:06:17.880 Flores was let go, and we saw that game plan 0:06:17.960 --> 0:06:21.479 have some success allile the first Buffalo game last year 0:06:21.520 --> 0:06:24.360 where they dared Josh Allen to stay patient and take 0:06:24.400 --> 0:06:26.719 a profit in the short game, which led to a 0:06:26.720 --> 0:06:29.880 lot of defensive snaps, but just nineteen points and frankly, 0:06:30.279 --> 0:06:32.839 multiple balls within our player's hands that could have turned 0:06:32.839 --> 0:06:35.400 into sacks and fumbles and picks just didn't secure and 0:06:35.480 --> 0:06:37.960 make the big plays. It did hold the Patriots to 0:06:38.080 --> 0:06:41.440 seven and sixteen points, and seven of those points offensively 0:06:41.480 --> 0:06:43.960 came on a pick six for the Patriots a year ago. 0:06:44.160 --> 0:06:47.000 But now with Fangio in the fold, will that change. 0:06:47.040 --> 0:06:49.159 I'm pretty curious to see if it does or does not. 0:06:49.520 --> 0:06:52.240 Another element of that is the addition of Bill O'Brien, 0:06:52.880 --> 0:06:55.200 an offensive minded coach who has seen a ton of 0:06:55.279 --> 0:06:58.960 different systems in his time with Houston, Alabama and now 0:06:59.040 --> 0:07:02.120 creating the twenty twenty SETH three Patriots offense. He's operated 0:07:02.160 --> 0:07:05.560 that deep dropback, slow developing type of system where Deshaun 0:07:05.600 --> 0:07:09.279 Watson would big play hunt in Houston Gross. He's run 0:07:09.320 --> 0:07:11.560 the quick RPO game at Bama. A little bit of 0:07:11.600 --> 0:07:14.160 everything here for Bill O'Brien. We'll get to their tape 0:07:14.160 --> 0:07:16.200 in the next segment, but real quick, some numbers on 0:07:16.240 --> 0:07:19.080 their approach. In Week one, they pushed the ball downfield 0:07:19.120 --> 0:07:21.760 more than league average, at fourteen point eight percent on 0:07:21.800 --> 0:07:24.440 twenty plus yard throws, the same percentage of throws in 0:07:24.480 --> 0:07:28.160 the intermediate fourteen point eight percent. Comparatively, Miami threw eighteen 0:07:28.200 --> 0:07:30.880 percent on twenty plus yard throws and a whopping thirty 0:07:30.920 --> 0:07:33.840 one point one percent to the intermediate. Miami's a little 0:07:33.840 --> 0:07:36.080 bit different than most teams as far as their success. 0:07:36.160 --> 0:07:38.480 Jones was three for eight on deep shots with fifty 0:07:38.480 --> 0:07:41.520 two yards, but both were touchdowns or both touchdowns came 0:07:41.560 --> 0:07:44.520 on that the ten to nineteen yard throws, he was 0:07:44.560 --> 0:07:47.920 four for eight with fifty one yards and the third touchdown. Ironically, 0:07:47.960 --> 0:07:50.400 his interception was in the short passing game zero to 0:07:50.480 --> 0:07:53.960 nine yards. Last year, Jones threw fifteen point two percent 0:07:54.040 --> 0:07:56.720 of the time twenty plus yards downfield and fifteen point 0:07:56.800 --> 0:07:59.640 six so not much of a change, and their success 0:07:59.720 --> 0:08:02.880 was some both years as well. And for posterity, Jones's 0:08:02.880 --> 0:08:05.520 average depth of target and time to throw in twenty 0:08:05.560 --> 0:08:08.120 twenty three has been eight point three yards and two 0:08:08.200 --> 0:08:11.200 point three to eight seconds compared to eight point two yards, 0:08:11.200 --> 0:08:14.000 which is obviously almost the exact same but two point 0:08:14.120 --> 0:08:16.560 six ' nine three tenths of a second higher in 0:08:16.600 --> 0:08:19.360 twenty twenty two. Again one game sample size, but I 0:08:19.360 --> 0:08:22.200 think it's worth mentioning in terms of differences we could 0:08:22.200 --> 0:08:25.320 potentially see change the common game script these two teams 0:08:25.360 --> 0:08:27.640 tend to follow when they meet. Will it be another 0:08:27.640 --> 0:08:30.080 twenty to sixteen game? I hope not, but it's possible. 0:08:30.240 --> 0:08:32.679 Can the Dolphins build on their Week one success in 0:08:32.720 --> 0:08:35.680 pass protection against a front that typically generates issues for 0:08:35.720 --> 0:08:38.000 their opponents? I could not have been more impressed by 0:08:38.000 --> 0:08:40.640 how the Dolphins processed on the offensive line Sunday in 0:08:40.640 --> 0:08:42.679 Los Angeles, and a big part of that is Mike 0:08:42.760 --> 0:08:45.360 McDaniel's system. And what I said all year last year 0:08:45.640 --> 0:08:49.280 and really all offseason this season, and why Chris Greer 0:08:49.320 --> 0:08:51.360 tells you you guys are more worried about the offensive 0:08:51.360 --> 0:08:54.360 line than we are because Mike McDaniel built this roster 0:08:54.559 --> 0:08:57.280 around his vision for two A strengths and getting the 0:08:57.280 --> 0:09:00.800 ball out quick and his system that keeps rushers at 0:09:00.840 --> 0:09:03.320 bay with so much eye candy and false keys. Do 0:09:03.400 --> 0:09:05.840 we understand that yet? Can we possibly get that through 0:09:05.840 --> 0:09:08.760 our skulls collectively? I'm not saying you guys don't, but 0:09:08.800 --> 0:09:11.200 there's a cognizantee out there that does not get that 0:09:11.200 --> 0:09:13.800 through their minds. Yeah, it's important to have good offensive 0:09:13.800 --> 0:09:16.559 line play and getting good solid one on one protection 0:09:16.960 --> 0:09:20.440 and true drop back situations on third and lungs. It's important, 0:09:20.600 --> 0:09:22.880 But for the majority of the game, a reason why 0:09:22.960 --> 0:09:25.680 this offensive line keeps to a clean is because of 0:09:25.679 --> 0:09:28.559 what McDaniel doesn't schematically and how quick two it gets 0:09:28.600 --> 0:09:29.079 the ball. 0:09:28.920 --> 0:09:29.480 Of his hands. 0:09:29.600 --> 0:09:31.720 So why not put your resources towards guys that can 0:09:31.760 --> 0:09:34.240 maximize that in the back end When you minimize your 0:09:34.280 --> 0:09:36.520 offensive line play, can does that make sense? It makes 0:09:36.559 --> 0:09:39.200 perfect sense to me. Maybe I'm taking crazy peals, but 0:09:39.280 --> 0:09:41.760 I was impressed by how they processed on the O 0:09:41.920 --> 0:09:44.839 line on those true dropback spots and third long guys 0:09:44.840 --> 0:09:47.480 were finding work they were passing off, they were chipping 0:09:47.520 --> 0:09:49.840 and attaching to blocks to help out guys when they 0:09:49.840 --> 0:09:52.920 didn't have work getting games picked up. The stunt slants 0:09:52.960 --> 0:09:56.480 and twists just really good work all around. Nobody has 0:09:56.520 --> 0:09:59.160 a more expansive game package in terms of stunt, slants 0:09:59.160 --> 0:10:02.640 and twists than Bill Belichick. That's designed to create confusion 0:10:02.679 --> 0:10:05.120 in your pass protection scheme. And for the quarterback, he's 0:10:05.160 --> 0:10:08.040 liable to blitz a lot or he might not. Either way, 0:10:08.280 --> 0:10:11.560 there will be simulated pressure looks. So how this team 0:10:11.640 --> 0:10:15.040 processes a lot of creativity upfront from Belichick and company 0:10:15.080 --> 0:10:18.959 really fascinates me. Next storyline, former Fins and Pats meeting 0:10:19.000 --> 0:10:22.640 back up again. Parker, Gasiki and Godshaw, Barrios, Bailey, Win 0:10:22.760 --> 0:10:26.719 and Bethel some more recent than others. Gasiki, Bailey, and Win. 0:10:27.080 --> 0:10:29.360 We're on the field for that Week seventeen game last 0:10:29.400 --> 0:10:31.000 year in opposite uniforms. 0:10:31.200 --> 0:10:33.280 Parker in year two in New England. 0:10:33.440 --> 0:10:35.959 Godshaw has been there since twenty twenty, similar timelines for 0:10:36.080 --> 0:10:39.560 Barrios and Bethel. Lots of familiarity here in division. Not 0:10:39.679 --> 0:10:42.280 as much coaching staff carryover as there once was, but 0:10:42.280 --> 0:10:44.000 it's always fun to me to watch who can have 0:10:44.040 --> 0:10:46.640 a good day against their former team, and then the 0:10:46.679 --> 0:10:50.760 Dolphins run defense gets a second straight test. The Patriots 0:10:50.800 --> 0:10:53.040 didn't find a ton of footing on the ground in 0:10:53.080 --> 0:10:56.679 their first game, but falling behind sixteen to nothing pretty quickly, 0:10:56.720 --> 0:10:58.640 we'll do that to you. They have big bodies up 0:10:58.679 --> 0:11:01.560 front on their line, particular clearly and tackles Trent Brown 0:11:01.920 --> 0:11:05.080 and Calvin Anderson. Can they seal off lanes like the 0:11:05.160 --> 0:11:07.440 Chargers did, or will the Dolphins bounce back and fit 0:11:07.480 --> 0:11:10.680 more hats into gaps and stop the running game. Tyreek 0:11:10.720 --> 0:11:13.120 and Jonathan Jones is our last storyline here. Going to 0:11:13.160 --> 0:11:16.120 save the meat of this point for the matchups. But 0:11:16.200 --> 0:11:18.960 Jonathan Jones has had as much success against Tyreek as 0:11:19.000 --> 0:11:22.000 any corner he's gone against. They've doubled Tyreek, whether it's 0:11:22.000 --> 0:11:25.000 the Patriots against the Dolphins or Patriots against the Chiefs. 0:11:25.080 --> 0:11:27.600 Going back to those days, really fascinated to see how 0:11:27.640 --> 0:11:30.000 Tyreek does after a two hundred and fifteen yard day 0:11:30.000 --> 0:11:32.520 against a cornerback who isn't one of the top corners 0:11:32.520 --> 0:11:34.880 in the league, probably top fifteen or twenty, but for 0:11:34.920 --> 0:11:37.640 some reason he manages to handle Tyreek. And a lot 0:11:37.640 --> 0:11:39.120 of that has to do with how they help him there. 0:11:39.280 --> 0:11:40.719 I do think they're going to help him big time 0:11:40.760 --> 0:11:43.000 and have a good chance for Jalen Waddle to get 0:11:43.040 --> 0:11:45.120 a whole bunch of one on one coverage in this game. 0:11:45.280 --> 0:11:47.120 Let's go ahead and take our first break right there 0:11:47.120 --> 0:11:48.800 and come back on the other side and talk about 0:11:48.800 --> 0:11:51.760 the offensive production, the matchups, all the key stats, and 0:11:51.840 --> 0:11:55.400 much more. That's next Draft Time Podcast, your host, Travis Wingfield, 0:11:55.480 --> 0:12:01.480 brought to you by Auto Nation. Dolphins Patriot Sunday Night, 0:12:01.679 --> 0:12:05.400 NBC eight point fifteen kickoff. Check that eight twenty kickoff 0:12:05.800 --> 0:12:07.920 up in Fox Burroughs supposed to be a fifty five 0:12:08.000 --> 0:12:11.800 degree night, a nice cool, crisp fall evening in Fox Burl. 0:12:11.880 --> 0:12:13.920 Let's go ahead and talk about the Dolphins offense versus 0:12:14.000 --> 0:12:16.400 the Patriots defense. And now we can actually do snap 0:12:16.440 --> 0:12:19.080 counts and workloads since we have a game worth of 0:12:19.120 --> 0:12:22.280 sample size, just one, but still a sample size nonetheless, 0:12:22.320 --> 0:12:24.840 So the Dolphins offense, you guys know, Toungueo I Loa 0:12:25.000 --> 0:12:28.360 versus Kyle Dugger and Jabiro Peppers who played eighty eight 0:12:28.360 --> 0:12:31.079 percent of the snaps at safety no more Devin mccordy 0:12:31.160 --> 0:12:33.800 this year, and then Adrian Phillips their third safety played 0:12:33.840 --> 0:12:37.840 a quarter of their snaps. Defensively, our receivers going up 0:12:37.840 --> 0:12:40.560 against Christian Gonzalez, who played every single snap in his 0:12:40.640 --> 0:12:42.600 first game as a pro. The rookie out of Oregon, 0:12:42.840 --> 0:12:45.560 Jonathan Jones mentioned him talking about going up against Tyreek 0:12:45.640 --> 0:12:48.520 played eighty percent of their snaps, and then Marcus Jones 0:12:48.520 --> 0:12:51.320 played thirty six percent of the snaps while inside in 0:12:51.360 --> 0:12:53.800 the slot. Miles Bryant was on the field for sixty 0:12:53.800 --> 0:12:57.440 seven percent, which matches up perfectly with the nickel package. 0:12:57.480 --> 0:12:59.839 You typically run about three quarters or two thirds of 0:13:00.160 --> 0:13:02.760 the time on the interior offensive line. You guys know 0:13:02.800 --> 0:13:05.960 when Williams and Hunt versus Godshaw and Wise, who both 0:13:06.000 --> 0:13:09.160 played sixty two percent of the snaps on Sunday, Barmore 0:13:09.200 --> 0:13:11.559 played just over half at fifty six and Lawrence Guy 0:13:11.679 --> 0:13:14.600 played forty seven. Same cast and crew there it's been 0:13:14.679 --> 0:13:17.240 for a long long time, the tackles versus the edge? 0:13:17.240 --> 0:13:19.120 Will it be Armstead? I tend to think it'll be 0:13:19.200 --> 0:13:21.920 Kendall Lamb. We'll find out, though. And Austin Jackson versus 0:13:21.920 --> 0:13:24.360 Matt Judon who played three quarters of the snaps. And 0:13:24.440 --> 0:13:27.000 how about this, Josh Ucha played thirty six percent and 0:13:27.080 --> 0:13:29.400 Keyon White played thirty five percent, So not a lot 0:13:29.400 --> 0:13:32.040 of edge rushers on the field in this game. Those 0:13:32.080 --> 0:13:34.920 guys collectively playing about three corps of the snaps together, 0:13:35.200 --> 0:13:38.200 while Judah plays that by himself. So plenty of packages 0:13:38.240 --> 0:13:41.240 where there's just you know where whys or guy plays 0:13:41.280 --> 0:13:44.040 the essential edge position. And then running backs versus linebackers 0:13:44.040 --> 0:13:46.439 most certain Auchmed and we'll see who else is active 0:13:46.440 --> 0:13:49.040 for the game. But Bentley played every single snap. Juwan Bentley, 0:13:49.080 --> 0:13:51.680 the middle linebacker, July Tavia plays a lot of snaps 0:13:51.679 --> 0:13:54.040 this year fifty six percent, and then Mack Wilson down 0:13:54.080 --> 0:13:54.680 to fifteen. 0:13:54.760 --> 0:13:56.360 So those are the key players. 0:13:56.559 --> 0:14:00.720 A fifth defensive tackle, Daniel Ukeley played nineteen snaps. That 0:14:00.760 --> 0:14:03.280 was thirty percent of the workload. And this is kind 0:14:03.320 --> 0:14:05.760 of part of their Cover one structure. They will fit 0:14:05.880 --> 0:14:09.080 every gap in the run game and you must execute 0:14:09.120 --> 0:14:11.760 hat on a hat and your back has to make 0:14:12.360 --> 0:14:15.520 those guys miss one hundred and nineteen snaps. For the 0:14:15.559 --> 0:14:17.720 top three guys that they play, that's basically the same 0:14:17.760 --> 0:14:20.120 workload as Wilkins, Seiler and Rake one Davis. Then the 0:14:20.200 --> 0:14:22.880 nineteen for Ukla makes one hundred and thirty eight snaps 0:14:22.880 --> 0:14:25.760 for the defensive tackle, so plenty of defensive tackles, plenty 0:14:25.800 --> 0:14:28.440 of dbs because they had three hundred and thirty seven 0:14:28.520 --> 0:14:31.480 reps for dbs in that first game they played sixty 0:14:31.520 --> 0:14:34.360 six totals. That's five point one dbs on the field 0:14:34.440 --> 0:14:36.840 on average per snap. That was the most in the 0:14:36.960 --> 0:14:39.960 NFL in Week one. What does that tell you Maybe 0:14:40.040 --> 0:14:42.400 the outside running game against all those bigger bodies that 0:14:42.440 --> 0:14:46.040 you can seal inside and get corners and safeties having 0:14:46.080 --> 0:14:48.360 to tackle out on the edge against Raheem most are 0:14:48.360 --> 0:14:50.520 having to go around blocks of one of the best 0:14:50.520 --> 0:14:53.240 wide receiver blocking team in the NFL in the Miami Dolphins. 0:14:53.360 --> 0:14:55.600 That's going to be a key matchup there. Speaking of 0:14:55.600 --> 0:14:59.640 that cover one, the Patriots use a variety of personnels 0:15:00.080 --> 0:15:03.320 in their defense thirty four defense eleven point five percent 0:15:03.400 --> 0:15:05.000 of the time, but they also have a forty three 0:15:05.040 --> 0:15:07.400 package they run five percent of the time, so in 0:15:07.480 --> 0:15:10.160 base for sixteen point five percent of the time. They 0:15:10.280 --> 0:15:12.680 run their nickel lower than most teams at fifty six 0:15:12.720 --> 0:15:16.440 percent because their dime defense is ran twenty eight percent 0:15:16.440 --> 0:15:19.240 of the time. That's where that high variance of defensive 0:15:19.280 --> 0:15:21.760 back snap counts comes from. And I was curious to 0:15:21.760 --> 0:15:24.960 see what the Eagles did. If this was matching what 0:15:25.000 --> 0:15:26.960 the Eagles did, or if the Patriots set the tone 0:15:26.960 --> 0:15:28.480 said this is what we're going to run. You guys 0:15:28.480 --> 0:15:30.240 do what you want to do, and they were able 0:15:30.280 --> 0:15:32.240 to defend. The Eagles run a lot from that twelve 0:15:32.320 --> 0:15:35.240 personnel package against nickel and dime, but the Eagles were 0:15:35.240 --> 0:15:37.760 in eleven personnel for eighty four percent of their plays, 0:15:37.760 --> 0:15:41.680 which means the Patriots would match some eleven with dime personnel, 0:15:42.000 --> 0:15:43.680 and the fact that the Eagles couldn't run on that 0:15:43.760 --> 0:15:45.960 is a good sign for the Patriots defense. Can Miami 0:15:45.960 --> 0:15:48.280 find their success in the running game a lot on 0:15:48.400 --> 0:15:50.640 third and long of that dime defense? But they also 0:15:50.680 --> 0:15:54.160 played dime thirty seven percent of their second down plays, 0:15:54.160 --> 0:15:56.960 which means they're not just playing it in obvious passing downs, 0:15:57.280 --> 0:15:59.720 because if you're ever doing that in non third and 0:15:59.720 --> 0:16:02.720 long situations, you invite the offense to run the football. 0:16:02.920 --> 0:16:04.880 And you have to wonder if we see more of that. 0:16:04.920 --> 0:16:07.440 Given our weapons and the ability to stretch the field. 0:16:07.440 --> 0:16:10.240 With the best downfield passer in the National Football League, 0:16:10.320 --> 0:16:12.400 I think you sort of can dictate the terms with 0:16:12.480 --> 0:16:16.400 our second highest frequency forty eight percent to operate in 0:16:16.440 --> 0:16:19.400 two back personnel. Just think alec Ingold with him in 0:16:19.440 --> 0:16:21.680 the game. They either have to bring their base package 0:16:21.720 --> 0:16:24.040 on the field and then you get some interior matchup 0:16:24.200 --> 0:16:27.080 against guys like you know that aren't coverage specialists like 0:16:27.160 --> 0:16:31.160 Juwan Bentley, Mac Wilson, Julyny Tevai. And that's what we 0:16:31.160 --> 0:16:33.160 did against Los Angeles and we're able to give Kenneth 0:16:33.200 --> 0:16:35.560 Murray Fitz he had a horrible game, Alohi Gilman had 0:16:35.560 --> 0:16:37.760 a rough game, Eric Kendricks. All three of those guys 0:16:37.840 --> 0:16:40.680 combined for eleven completions allowed and one hundred and seventy 0:16:40.720 --> 0:16:43.360 one yards. We did get big numbers on the perimeter 0:16:43.440 --> 0:16:46.600 for really a perfectly productive day. But in this particular 0:16:46.600 --> 0:16:49.560 instance against that Patriots Cover one defense, you might not 0:16:49.600 --> 0:16:51.920 get those opportunities. So if they don't adjust and they 0:16:52.000 --> 0:16:54.720 keep those sub packages on the field, now they're lighter 0:16:54.720 --> 0:16:56.760 against the run. This is why I think I love 0:16:56.760 --> 0:17:00.360 Miami's flexibility against anybody on their offense, with the ability 0:17:00.400 --> 0:17:02.920 to dictate their own terms. From those twelve and twenty 0:17:02.920 --> 0:17:07.280 one personnel groupings, you still feature ridiculous speed with explosiveness 0:17:07.280 --> 0:17:10.119 from ten to seventeen. That allows you to run and pass. 0:17:10.400 --> 0:17:12.560 Then you start thinking about your eleven personnel groupings with 0:17:12.600 --> 0:17:15.440 Azukama and what he can do from the backfield. It's 0:17:15.480 --> 0:17:17.879 a lot to prepare for. And the Patriots ran a 0:17:17.880 --> 0:17:20.320 lot of Cover zero against the Eagles with tons of 0:17:20.320 --> 0:17:23.080 split safety, you know, two high safety structures with lighter 0:17:23.119 --> 0:17:26.119 box counts, which again encourages the run. I think it 0:17:26.160 --> 0:17:28.800 will be the case again with split safety, but probably 0:17:28.800 --> 0:17:31.560 not Cover zero. What about on the front end, how 0:17:31.560 --> 0:17:34.679 will they find ways to pressure Tua? Well, they blitzed 0:17:34.800 --> 0:17:37.879 Jalen Hurts and the Eagles at twenty five percent. That 0:17:38.000 --> 0:17:41.400 was seventeenth most in the NFL. NFL average last week 0:17:41.560 --> 0:17:44.040 was twenty eight percent, so just below the average. The 0:17:44.160 --> 0:17:47.719 Chargers blitzed Tua on eighteen dropbacks, that was forty percent 0:17:47.800 --> 0:17:50.359 of his workload, and he paid it off with twelve 0:17:50.359 --> 0:17:54.720 completions at sixty seven percent one hundred and sixty six yards. 0:17:54.760 --> 0:17:57.800 That's a nine point two per play average and a 0:17:57.840 --> 0:18:00.600 touchdown pass. He also got the football out in two 0:18:00.680 --> 0:18:03.119 point three seconds on these plays, so he saw it, 0:18:03.400 --> 0:18:07.840 he dissected it. He dominated last year. The Patriots blitzed 0:18:07.880 --> 0:18:11.200 him in that week one game at a nearly identical 0:18:11.280 --> 0:18:14.280 rate forty three percent, and it was much more effective 0:18:14.359 --> 0:18:17.680 just nine for fifteen eighty seven yards and no touchdowns 0:18:17.720 --> 0:18:19.639 or picked so five point eight yards per pass at 0:18:19.720 --> 0:18:22.080 sixty percent clip. Now, that was the first game for 0:18:22.119 --> 0:18:24.600 TUA and the entire offense in the new system, and 0:18:24.680 --> 0:18:27.359 quite frankly, I thought that game ranked like eleventh in 0:18:27.440 --> 0:18:31.120 terms of tua's thirteen total games last year. And for posterity, 0:18:31.359 --> 0:18:34.960 they blitzed Teddy twenty two percent and Skyler just eight percent. 0:18:35.760 --> 0:18:37.679 You don't have to blitz to confuse a rookie that 0:18:37.880 --> 0:18:40.480 doesn't see it very well in that Week seventeen game. 0:18:40.720 --> 0:18:42.840 Going back to twenty twenty one, though, they blitzed to 0:18:42.880 --> 0:18:44.919 a forty five percent in the Week one game and 0:18:45.040 --> 0:18:48.159 just twenty seven percent in the Week eighteen game. I 0:18:48.200 --> 0:18:51.680 think the conclusion here is that the blitz probably it's 0:18:51.680 --> 0:18:54.080