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Speaker 1: Yes, all right, and welcome into the Betting Pros PGA Podcast.

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Speaker 1: The PGA Tour returns to Tory Pines less than a

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Speaker 1: month after the iconic course in La Jolla, California hosted

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Speaker 1: the Farmers Insurance Open. Now it will host the Genesis Invitational,

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Speaker 1: which has been moved from Rivieria Country Club in Los

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Speaker 1: Angeles because of the recent fires. I'm your host, Seth Wilcock,

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Speaker 1: filling in for the Pat fitz Morris who currently on

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Speaker 1: his way to Las Vegas. He's asking the books for

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Speaker 1: the public's money back, who was lit all on fire

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Speaker 1: last night? If you bet any of the Chiefs overs

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Speaker 1: or the Chiefs money line in the Super Bowl.

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Speaker 2: And I am joined by a man who was recently

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Speaker 2: seen requesting a trademark for the term hashtag nor Cow.

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Speaker 2: He's the King of Spice, the regular co host of

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Speaker 2: this particular program, and the host of the nineteenth Hole,

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Speaker 2: Bo McBrayer.

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Speaker 3: Bo.

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Speaker 2: Great to be with you today, man, how are you

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Speaker 2: as we turn the page from football season to the spring,

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Speaker 2: where the PGA Tour now takes main stage each and

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Speaker 2: every week moving forward.

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Speaker 3: It's awesome, but it's also a little bittersweet because football

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Speaker 3: is so near and dear to our hearts. Yeah, but

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Speaker 3: it is officially golf season, so let's get at her.

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Speaker 2: Let's get at her Man. We got four majors still

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Speaker 2: on deck for later in the year. On today's show,

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Speaker 2: it looks like this a quick recap of the WM

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Speaker 2: Phoenix Open. Also a betting preview of the Farmer's Insurance Open.

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Speaker 2: We'll share our early betting cards with you and our

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Speaker 2: one and done picks to end the show. Before we

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Speaker 2: jump in, I just want to shout out everyone who's

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Speaker 2: tuning in, both on the Betting Pros YouTube channel and

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Speaker 2: the audio feed. Thank you so much for all the support.

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Speaker 2: While you're here. Please do us a quick favor like

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Speaker 2: this video if you enjoy this type of content. Also

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Speaker 2: subscribe to the channel if you're new, and also, I

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Speaker 2: You must be president in Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana,

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Speaker 2: North Carolina, New Arth New Jersey, Ohio, or Virginia. Gambling

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Speaker 2: problem called one eight hundred gambler or if you live

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Speaker 2: in Iowa, one eight hundred bets off. Terms and conditions

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Speaker 2: do apply. Thomas Deetree won the Waste Management Phoenix Open

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Speaker 2: in a runaway. Dtree finished twenty four under par, seven

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Speaker 2: shots clear of second place finishers Michael Kim and Daniel Berger.

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Speaker 2: Dtree shot rounds of sixty six, sixty four, sixty five,

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Speaker 2: and sixty five. Dtree kept the field at arms length

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Speaker 2: the entire weekend. We saw our guys Scottie Scheffer trying

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Speaker 2: to make a charge on Saturday and Sunday, but really

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Speaker 2: couldn't sustain any lasting momentum. He wound up shooting an

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Speaker 2: ugly forty one on the back nine. Sunday finished tied

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Speaker 2: for twenty fifth at nine under par. What were your

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Speaker 2: takeaways from the Phoenix.

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Speaker 3: Open Bow We are not worthy. The blistering Belgian Thomas Stache,

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Speaker 3: first Belgian to ever win on the PGA Tour. Wow,

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Speaker 3: he is. His country is proud and they should be

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Speaker 3: after that performance. Twenty four under par, very close to

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Speaker 3: the tournament record. I had the winning scored around twenty

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Speaker 3: one under par. But this is usually kind of a

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Speaker 3: front runner golf course, so you wouldn't expect to see

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Speaker 3: a first time winner come out of this joint, especially

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Speaker 3: someone who hadn't necessarily shown great form at Phoenix. I

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Speaker 3: was very surprised, but I was also very impressed because

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Speaker 3: six four rounds of sixty five or three rounds of

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Speaker 3: sixty five are better all round sixty six. That's a

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Speaker 3: five under par. It was his worst round. That's called

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Speaker 3: a blistering pace by the Belgian. I can't believe he

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Speaker 3: just he was completely poised the entire week. It was.

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Speaker 3: It was a flawless performance in Mortal Kombat, flawless victory.

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Speaker 3: The guy was just dialed in. He locked in, He

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Speaker 3: didn't make any mistakes. He made birdies when there we

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Speaker 3: were thinking, oh, somebody's gonna come from the back to

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Speaker 3: catch him because he's not faltering. Even that didn't work

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Speaker 3: because the guy kept making birdies. And so yeah, pats

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Speaker 3: off to Thomas Dietree. What a performance, and this will

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Speaker 3: increase his odds of success down the road, especially in

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Speaker 3: maybe more elevated events like this one.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, if you could do it at a

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Speaker 2: place like Phoenix where the crowd notoriously rowdy, always going,

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Speaker 2: you know, really all the holes, but especially you know

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Speaker 2: that that famous stadium hole there, it shows a lot

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Speaker 2: of grit, shows a lot of determination. Hopefully we can

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Speaker 2: see Scotty Chef rebound. We know he was kind of

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Speaker 2: the odds on favorite going into that event. I thought

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Speaker 2: it was great to see Jordan Speith rounding out. It

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Speaker 2: was with a great you know, he's finally coming into

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Speaker 2: form right now. The Masters aren't too far away, so

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Speaker 2: I'm starting to kind of consider those future odds in

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Speaker 2: that market as well. He finished tied for fourth, sixteen

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Speaker 2: under par. Any other notable winners or losers that you're

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Speaker 2: kind of putting in the back of your head as

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Speaker 2: we move past Phoenix here.

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Speaker 3: I don't think there were too many losers. We did

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Speaker 3: see a near miss of the cut by amateur Luke Clanton.

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Speaker 3: He was a lot of favorites. He was one of

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Speaker 3: my favorites on paper, just didn't make the putts a lot,

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Speaker 3: very similar to Scotty Scheffler, where you could see the

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Speaker 3: momentum building and then he went a three putt, or

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Speaker 3: he would short sight himself and wouldn't be able to

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Speaker 3: get up and down for a par. So there were

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Speaker 3: a couple surprises, but mostly it was just dominance from

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Speaker 3: an unlikely source in Thomas Jetree was I was just impressed.

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Speaker 3: I mean, even though when you don't win, you can

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Speaker 3: take little notes for later on say, okay, what comp

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Speaker 3: courses does tPCS Scott Stale have, Maybe we consider Thomas D.

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Speaker 3: Tree more for those in the future. I really do

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Speaker 3: like the Phoenix Open for that purpose because there is

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Speaker 3: a very correlative golf course, and so I think we're

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Speaker 3: going to see a lot more Thomas DA Tree in

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Speaker 3: the future going forward. Uh, it's just you have to

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Speaker 3: make the putts there, and it even though it's a

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Speaker 3: flatter golf course with not that challenging complicating greens, he

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Speaker 3: did it better than anybody.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. Absolutely, And now we are onto the Genesis Invitational

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Speaker 2: at the South Course at Tory Pines. This is an

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Speaker 2: elevated event, small but excellent field, no cut event as well.

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Speaker 2: The South Course at TP is a par seventy two

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Speaker 2: measuring just over seven seven hundred and sixty five yards,

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Speaker 2: and because of its length, this is a course that

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Speaker 2: really favors big hitters. Traditionally, the fairway also the third

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Speaker 2: and narrowest on the PGA Tours. You're gonna have to

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Speaker 2: be accurate off the tee as much as you are

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Speaker 2: long as well. Middle iron and long iron play also

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Speaker 2: important at Tory Pines because a lot of the approach

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Speaker 2: shots are coming from these longer distance. The greens at

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Speaker 2: Tory Pines they're poa and POA greens traditionally means that

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Speaker 2: we're gonna get some inconsistency at times on them. Tory

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Speaker 2: Pines South also known of you one of the hardest

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Speaker 2: courses on tour in the strokes gained putting category, and

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Speaker 2: the rough around these greens very thick, so scrambling can

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Speaker 2: be a challenge. Bo Is there anything else that you'd

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Speaker 2: add from a course standpoint or a modeling standpoint before

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Speaker 2: we talk course history and weather forecast? How much. Are

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Speaker 2: you really elevating bombers in your modeling this week?

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Speaker 3: You have to consider driving distance as a stat in

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Speaker 3: your modeling. But this field, being eighty men, no cut

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Speaker 3: signature event, you're not getting a lot of the big

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Speaker 3: bombers that don't also have great status ancillary to driving distance.

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Speaker 3: In this field, a lot of these guys are either

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Speaker 3: short hitters or above above average hitters that also have

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Speaker 3: great iron play or great short games. So while it's

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Speaker 3: in my model as maybe seven percent eight percent, driving

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Speaker 3: distance isn't the end all be all because some of

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Speaker 3: these guys have been overcoming non not bombers type of

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Speaker 3: distance for their entire careers, and so seventy seven hundred yards, Yeah,

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Speaker 3: you would think you would favor the long hitters, but

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Speaker 3: this is a course that is pretty fair. It's it's

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Speaker 3: really straightforward. If you find fairways, you're gonna be fine.

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Speaker 3: If you don't find fairways, the distance advantage isn't as

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Speaker 3: great as as a lot of people think.

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Speaker 2: Okay, The defending Genesis Open champion is Hadeki Matsuyama. He

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Speaker 2: was seventeen under par last year at Riviera. He won

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Speaker 2: by three shots over the likes of Luke Liszt will

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Speaker 2: Z Alaturus as well. But the last winners of the

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Speaker 2: Farmer Insurance Open happening at Tory Pines where Harris English English.

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Speaker 2: Just a few weeks ago he had a score of

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Speaker 2: eight under par. Some really tough conditions they were working

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Speaker 2: through that week. Also, Matthew p have On in twenty

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Speaker 2: twenty four he had a score of thirteen under par

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Speaker 2: max Homa the year before in twenty twenty three, also

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Speaker 2: thirteen under par. The early forecast for La Joya calls

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Speaker 2: for rain on Thursday and Friday with temperatures of round

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Speaker 2: sixty degrees wins around that ten to twenty miles per

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Speaker 2: hour mark, then drag conditions on Saturday and Sunday temperatures

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Speaker 2: still in those low sixties, wins five to ten miles

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Speaker 2: per hour, so better conditions on the weekends. BO, how

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Speaker 2: much are you factoring into your model the results we

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Speaker 2: just saw from a few weeks ago here at Tory

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Speaker 2: Pines in an event that was non elevated.

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Speaker 3: Very little. I do think the course matters, but again

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Speaker 3: at the Farmers the only play three rounds at the

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Speaker 3: South course, you get a little bit of reprieve at

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Speaker 3: the North course for one round. This will be four rounds.

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Speaker 3: They've had a few weeks to grow the rough up

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Speaker 3: a little longer to make it a little tougher on

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Speaker 3: these guys. Add rain to that, it increases the bomber's

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Speaker 3: advantage because the grass will be softer, it'll be longer,

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Speaker 3: and finding the fairways will be even more important. So

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Speaker 3: with a little bit of softness means the scoring is

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Speaker 3: more favorable, but it also invites the longer hitters to

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Speaker 3: really lash it down there in hopes of finding the

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Speaker 3: fairway but also getting closer to the whole with the

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Speaker 3: iron shots. This is it's going to be a bear

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Speaker 3: for all four rounds, no cut. It's just going to

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Speaker 3: be more exciting to see all of these guys kind

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Speaker 3: of vie for position in this field. It's loaded. We

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Speaker 3: even got Tiger back.

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Speaker 2: Let's go. I'm excited for that man. Tiger Woods still

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Speaker 2: even in his older age, must watch appointment television every

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Speaker 2: single time this guy takes the course. Love what they've

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Speaker 2: been doing over in the TGL this season as well,

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Speaker 2: so hoping Tiger can have a big win. We know

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Speaker 2: that the past of his mom here just in the

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Speaker 2: past week as well, so talk about a guy who's motivated,

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Speaker 2: ready to go out there. We'll get to the odds

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Speaker 2: in a moment, but first, I just wanted to remind

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Speaker 2: everyone to please download the free Betting Pros app on

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Speaker 2: BP app and activating your trial on the upgrade screen.

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Speaker 2: Now for the Genesis Invitational odds. All odds are courtesy

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Speaker 2: of DraftKings sports Book as of Sunday night, and we'll

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Speaker 2: start with the favorite Scotti Scheffler plus three forty. Rory

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Speaker 2: McElroy returns off a win plus seven hundred, Colin Moore

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Speaker 2: Kawa fourteen to one, We got Ludvig Oberg, We got

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Speaker 2: Justin Thomas Hedeki Matsuama twenty two to one, Sung eight

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Speaker 2: to one, Tom Kim, Patrick Cantley coming in at thirty

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Speaker 2: to one, and Tommy Fleetwood and Jordan Speith, who we

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Speaker 2: just talked about earlier in the show, had a great

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Speaker 2: performance last week down in Arizona. They're thirty five to one.

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Speaker 2: Who do you like among the favorites if anyone this week.

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Speaker 3: Bo this is gonna be a front runner type of event,

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Speaker 3: and right off the bat, the top three odds are

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Speaker 3: number one, two, and three in my model, starting with

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Speaker 3: of course Scotti Scheffler, extremely short odds for a tournament

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Speaker 3: of this caliber. I probably won't even live bet him

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Speaker 3: because of the strength of this field. But Rory McElroy

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Speaker 3: is very live here. He's number two in my model

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Speaker 3: at seven to one. And Colin more Kawa might even

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Speaker 3: be my total favorite this week fourteen to one. He's

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Speaker 3: not a long hitter, but he's great everywhere else. Number

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Speaker 3: three in my model, fourteen to one. Not a single

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Speaker 3: stat outside of the top half of this field. That's

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Speaker 3: impressive because you need some distance. He's thirty ninth distance,

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Speaker 3: which is still in the top half of the eighty men.

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Speaker 3: It's it's gonna be a really really strong ball striking

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Speaker 3: clinic by all of three of these guys, but I

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Speaker 3: think I favored Colin at his number.

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Speaker 2: The best Okay, Yeah, Rory at seven to one, he's

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Speaker 2: probably my favorite value on the board. He opened last night,

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Speaker 2: we saw him top ten ons for him, we're like

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Speaker 2: minus one twenty five at DraftKings. Those have been bet

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Speaker 2: all the way down to minus one fifty. You can

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Speaker 2: still get him round minus one twenty five at places

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Speaker 2: like Fandal bet three six five if you are interested.

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Speaker 2: I like Rory just you know, two top fives and

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Speaker 2: two starts this year. He just won the Pebble a

250
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Speaker 2: couple weeks ago, three for three, finishing top ten at

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Speaker 2: Tory Pines as well as of late. So any love

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Speaker 2: for Rory or do you think like the highs are

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Speaker 2: just really high for him right now and might settle

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Speaker 2: in down a little bit. Obviously still top three in

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Speaker 2: your model, so still maybe potentially some value at seven

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Speaker 2: to one.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I think the value has kind of been bought

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Speaker 3: out of the of the market because of his winn

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Speaker 3: at Pebble Bee That's yeah. I think he'd be closer

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Speaker 3: to ten to one if he didn't completely just okay,

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Speaker 3: smoke the field at Pebble Beach two weeks ago, shout

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Speaker 3: out in arcal, But yeah, really it's just it's about

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Speaker 3: the strength of this field at the top. I don't

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Speaker 3: think anybody, even Scotti Scheffler, should be shorter than five

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Speaker 3: to one in this field. It's so loaded. Even Patrick

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Speaker 3: Cantley is not getting any favor from me, even though

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Speaker 3: he's number four in my model, because thirty to one

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Speaker 3: for what he's been doing the last year and a

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Speaker 3: half is just it's nonsense. Same with Tom came at

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Speaker 3: thirty five to one doesn't make any sense. Like we

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Speaker 3: haven't seen these guys put forth consistent finishes against stronger

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Speaker 3: fields in a really long time. So I'm gonna probably

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Speaker 3: just kind of say we'll take one of those three

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Speaker 3: favorite guys, and what you can do even if the

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Speaker 3: odds have slipped a little bit to where they're too short,

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Speaker 3: is Rory McElroy. I want him at seven to one.

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Speaker 3: I want him at seven to one. I want his

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Speaker 3: top five and his top ten. I'm gonna ladder those

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Speaker 3: results so that if he does go crazy, I'm getting

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Speaker 3: closer to a ten eleven, twelve to one payout because

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Speaker 3: if he wins, he's also top five man top ten.

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Speaker 3: It's the beauty of golf betting is if you have

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Speaker 3: a really strong conviction and you feel like you're not

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Speaker 3: getting the value is you can create your own value

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Speaker 3: by maybe adding a little bit more risk baked in.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and dude, there's nothing wrong with betting favorites, like

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Speaker 2: I know a lot of times that beast, that's for sure. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: we all like to be trendy. And in these sports,

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Speaker 2: these especially these sports that are not your classic stick

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Speaker 2: in ball sports, you know, like racing, like golf, sometimes

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Speaker 2: you have to bet the favorite. You have to drink

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Speaker 2: the juice, bite on the chalk a little bit. And

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Speaker 2: that's all right. We're gonna get some morodds here down

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Speaker 2: the board a little bit. But first I wanted to

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Speaker 2: please ask our audience today to help shape the future

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Speaker 2: of the Betting Pros podcast. Take our quick survey and

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Speaker 2: go to Bettingpros dot com slash survey, share your feedback,

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Speaker 2: help us improve. Let us know where can BO improve?

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Speaker 2: Where can I improve? Where can our guy Morrison proof?

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Speaker 2: What do you want to see more or less of?

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Speaker 2: Do you want more golf content? Do you want different

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Speaker 2: style of content? We can help you, you know, provide

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Speaker 2: that for you. All you gotta do just take him

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00:16:10,160 --> 00:16:13,280
Speaker 2: minute or two. Go to Bettingpros dot com slash survey

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Speaker 2: and enter those thoughts and feedback for us, and we

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Speaker 2: greatly greatly appreciate the support. Moving on to the mid

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Speaker 2: range options, Shane Lowry, Jason Day, They're both forty to one,

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Speaker 2: Will Zlatorius, Tony Final also, Taylor Pendris, Stepstraka, Rob McIntyre

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Speaker 2: around that forty five to one, Mark Sam Burns, Keegan

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Speaker 2: Bradley fifty to one. Victor Hovelin, Maverick McNeely been on,

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Speaker 2: Russell Henley, Harris English all around that fifty five to one,

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Speaker 2: Mark Thomas deetree Zaheath Tiegla also sixty to one, Corey Connors,

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Speaker 2: Min wou Lee sixty five to one. Do any mid

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Speaker 2: range plays appeal to you? It was to me pretty

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Speaker 2: wild to see Victor Hovelin all the way down the board.

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Speaker 2: But he's another guy who just hasn't been playing super

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Speaker 2: great as of late, so that's probably why getting a

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00:17:00,480 --> 00:17:03,040
Speaker 2: fifty five to one offering on himbo. Yeah.

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Speaker 3: And the one thing about Riviera Country Club that usually

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Speaker 3: hosts this event is it puts such a premium on

321
00:17:10,840 --> 00:17:14,160
Speaker 3: scrambling like that. That course is very well designed, it's

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Speaker 3: very it's put stress on the short game tory Pines

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Speaker 3: not so much. Yes, it's important to scramble because the

324
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Speaker 3: holes are so long, the fairways are so narrow. You

325
00:17:25,119 --> 00:17:28,400
Speaker 3: have to be an amazing ball striker to hit these greens.

326
00:17:29,000 --> 00:17:33,280
Speaker 3: They're faster Poana greens. I think that Victor Hoveland is

327
00:17:33,320 --> 00:17:36,200
Speaker 3: a fine pick, especially at this number forty five to one,

328
00:17:36,520 --> 00:17:40,920
Speaker 3: for a guy who just said my game sucks right now,

329
00:17:41,200 --> 00:17:42,960
Speaker 3: and then he goes out the very next day and

330
00:17:43,000 --> 00:17:46,119
Speaker 3: shoots sixty five. Like I think you're playing us fool

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00:17:46,280 --> 00:17:48,920
Speaker 3: You're playing as as fools because this guy was number

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00:17:48,920 --> 00:17:51,680
Speaker 3: one in the world very short time ago, or very

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00:17:51,680 --> 00:17:54,280
Speaker 3: close to number one in the world, Major winner, FedEx

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00:17:54,560 --> 00:17:57,520
Speaker 3: Cup winner. This guy is going to be a big

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00:17:57,560 --> 00:18:00,480
Speaker 3: deal this season. At forty five to one, we might

336
00:18:00,520 --> 00:18:05,280
Speaker 3: never see that number again. His only bad status scrambling

337
00:18:05,359 --> 00:18:08,760
Speaker 3: because of his chipping has never been great. But he

338
00:18:08,920 --> 00:18:11,399
Speaker 3: is number one in this field off the tee and

339
00:18:11,600 --> 00:18:14,960
Speaker 3: top five in just about every other ball striking category.

340
00:18:15,400 --> 00:18:18,280
Speaker 3: This course is going to demand great iron play, and

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00:18:18,480 --> 00:18:21,080
Speaker 3: I would love to have Victor Hovlin show us that

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00:18:21,160 --> 00:18:24,119
Speaker 3: his form isn't as bad as he's leading us onto it.

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00:18:24,560 --> 00:18:28,360
Speaker 3: There's also Tory Pines specialist Tony fee Now is number

344
00:18:28,440 --> 00:18:32,320
Speaker 3: seven in my model, and Willie Z he is always

345
00:18:32,359 --> 00:18:37,400
Speaker 3: in contention. Will's Alaturus born in northern California, so he's

346
00:18:37,440 --> 00:18:39,919
Speaker 3: not foreign to it. Obviously grew up in Texas, but

347
00:18:40,359 --> 00:18:44,840
Speaker 3: born in northern California, has it in his blood. He's

348
00:18:45,040 --> 00:18:47,520
Speaker 3: just as perfect a fit for Tory Pine's as it gets.

349
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Speaker 3: So I will be throwing in my hat in the

350
00:18:50,160 --> 00:18:54,440
Speaker 3: Will's alatauris ring again. Maybe I'm ready to get hurt again,

351
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Speaker 3: But Willie Z and I are homeboys in spirit, and

352
00:18:59,520 --> 00:19:02,119
Speaker 3: I'll be I'll keep betting on him, especially at Tory Pines.

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00:19:02,119 --> 00:19:03,959
Speaker 3: So this guy owns Tory Pines.

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Speaker 2: Okay, what about Harris English? Fifty to one is also

355
00:19:08,040 --> 00:19:10,680
Speaker 2: top twenty number over at fandle was plus one fifty.

356
00:19:10,880 --> 00:19:13,120
Speaker 2: He won here last time just a few weeks ago,

357
00:19:13,160 --> 00:19:16,200
Speaker 2: as we noted earlier in the program, also three top tens,

358
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Speaker 2: four top twenties in his nine trips to Tory Pines.

359
00:19:19,520 --> 00:19:21,359
Speaker 2: Was that anomaly? Or do you think we can at

360
00:19:21,440 --> 00:19:23,840
Speaker 2: least find some value in English, maybe even a plus

361
00:19:23,840 --> 00:19:24,520
Speaker 2: money top twenty?

362
00:19:24,600 --> 00:19:28,920
Speaker 3: Bet? I think it was pretty fluky. The weather three

363
00:19:28,960 --> 00:19:34,920
Speaker 3: weeks ago was atrocious and Thomas D. Harris English's really

364
00:19:35,000 --> 00:19:39,080
Speaker 3: his main strength is scrambling, and when the weather gets tough,

365
00:19:39,240 --> 00:19:42,160
Speaker 3: he's a grinder. The weather this week is too good,

366
00:19:42,400 --> 00:19:44,400
Speaker 3: like the scoring conditions are going to be really good,

367
00:19:44,880 --> 00:19:48,919
Speaker 3: and the field here is much stronger. So we're getting

368
00:19:48,920 --> 00:19:51,840
Speaker 3: a lot of sucker bet lines in here, including last

369
00:19:51,880 --> 00:19:56,080
Speaker 3: week's winner Thomas Dietree Harris English Is. We're getting loss

370
00:19:56,119 --> 00:19:58,600
Speaker 3: of value baked into their lines because of what they

371
00:19:58,640 --> 00:20:01,320
Speaker 3: did in a different on a different course, or in

372
00:20:01,359 --> 00:20:04,639
Speaker 3: different conditions on the same course. So I think that

373
00:20:04,760 --> 00:20:06,240
Speaker 3: a lot of people are going to be suckered into

374
00:20:06,240 --> 00:20:10,720
Speaker 3: Harris English, not knowing that he basically scrambled his ass

375
00:20:10,760 --> 00:20:14,879
Speaker 3: off three weeks ago. This dude made everything. He missed

376
00:20:14,920 --> 00:20:17,000
Speaker 3: a bunch of fairways, he missed a bunch of greens.

377
00:20:17,280 --> 00:20:19,720
Speaker 3: This dude got up and down for par every single

378
00:20:19,760 --> 00:20:24,040
Speaker 3: time and it was a miracle, wonderful win for him.

379
00:20:24,160 --> 00:20:27,400
Speaker 3: Mad props, But I'm not banking on him doing it again,

380
00:20:27,560 --> 00:20:31,600
Speaker 3: especially on a line that's barely better than guys who

381
00:20:31,640 --> 00:20:34,879
Speaker 3: have won here or have been top five every single

382
00:20:34,920 --> 00:20:38,600
Speaker 3: time they've been here. So I'm going to stick with consistency.

383
00:20:39,080 --> 00:20:42,040
Speaker 3: I'd much rather in that same range. Look at mav McNeely,

384
00:20:42,119 --> 00:20:44,960
Speaker 3: who's red hot and it seems to be course proof.

385
00:20:45,400 --> 00:20:49,240
Speaker 3: His improvement in his ball striking to match his amazing

386
00:20:49,320 --> 00:20:53,399
Speaker 3: putting skills is noteworthy. Mav McNeely has been showing up

387
00:20:53,400 --> 00:20:57,000
Speaker 3: with results every course, and I'm more likely to bet

388
00:20:57,040 --> 00:20:59,840
Speaker 3: on him in this range than somebody who's the flavor

389
00:20:59,840 --> 00:21:00,439
Speaker 3: of week.

390
00:21:01,440 --> 00:21:03,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, mag McNeely, Dude, he's a I feel like he's

391
00:21:03,840 --> 00:21:05,800
Speaker 2: someone you and Connor over on the nineteenth hole kind

392
00:21:05,800 --> 00:21:07,919
Speaker 2: of dogged on for a few years and has slowly

393
00:21:07,960 --> 00:21:08,640
Speaker 2: been getting better.

394
00:21:08,760 --> 00:21:12,919
Speaker 3: So guess where he's from, seth, I'm gonna get.

395
00:21:12,920 --> 00:21:16,199
Speaker 2: I'm gonna guess Northern Vermont, Northern Vermont.

396
00:21:16,320 --> 00:21:17,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, Green Mountain State.

397
00:21:17,720 --> 00:21:22,040
Speaker 2: Not quite. What about long shots here, bo, anyone with

398
00:21:22,119 --> 00:21:24,680
Speaker 2: seventy to one odds or longer than you find compelling

399
00:21:24,720 --> 00:21:27,399
Speaker 2: this week as we head back to the Tory.

400
00:21:27,119 --> 00:21:31,919
Speaker 3: Pines, Yeah, Wyndham Clark showing me things this last this

401
00:21:32,080 --> 00:21:35,600
Speaker 3: last events. Eighty to one for him is weird. Top

402
00:21:35,640 --> 00:21:38,320
Speaker 3: ten in this field in my model, top ten in

403
00:21:38,400 --> 00:21:41,879
Speaker 3: a multiple strategies. He's a long hitter, he's a great putter.

404
00:21:42,320 --> 00:21:45,560
Speaker 3: He crushes par fours and that's very important. This golf

405
00:21:45,560 --> 00:21:49,680
Speaker 3: course has some of the toughest par fours. Long par fours,

406
00:21:49,720 --> 00:21:52,480
Speaker 3: short par fours are all really difficult at Tory Pines

407
00:21:52,560 --> 00:21:55,240
Speaker 3: South and Wyndham Clark is number four in this entire

408
00:21:55,400 --> 00:21:58,680
Speaker 3: strong field in stroke skiing on par fours, he's number

409
00:21:58,680 --> 00:22:03,320
Speaker 3: two in driving distance in birdie's are better gained, which

410
00:22:03,359 --> 00:22:05,760
Speaker 3: is going to matter here. You have to make birdies

411
00:22:05,800 --> 00:22:09,320
Speaker 3: to win, especially when the conditions are right. Harris English

412
00:22:09,359 --> 00:22:11,200
Speaker 3: didn't have to make very many berties because everybody else

413
00:22:11,240 --> 00:22:15,119
Speaker 3: was struggling in the wind. Wyndham Clark is a really

414
00:22:15,200 --> 00:22:18,399
Speaker 3: dark horse at eighty to one. That's insane, that's crazy.

415
00:22:18,440 --> 00:22:20,960
Speaker 3: He's got all the firepower, major winner in the last

416
00:22:21,000 --> 00:22:25,359
Speaker 3: couple of years and then going down. Tom Hogy is

417
00:22:26,119 --> 00:22:29,320
Speaker 3: a West Coast swing type of specialist. He looked awful

418
00:22:29,440 --> 00:22:32,480
Speaker 3: last week, but I was kind of too expected because

419
00:22:32,680 --> 00:22:36,080
Speaker 3: he's more of a short course guy and so maybe

420
00:22:36,119 --> 00:22:38,119
Speaker 3: we get a little bit more magic out of his

421
00:22:38,200 --> 00:22:40,480
Speaker 3: irons play. He's number one in this field on approach

422
00:22:40,880 --> 00:22:43,120
Speaker 3: and top ten and birdies are better gained. That one

423
00:22:43,160 --> 00:22:46,120
Speaker 3: popped up for me, although that's more of a top

424
00:22:46,160 --> 00:22:50,400
Speaker 3: twenty bet. The last one down here is the previous

425
00:22:50,440 --> 00:22:53,680
Speaker 3: winner many times won here. Tiger Woods. Have you heard

426
00:22:53,680 --> 00:22:56,200
Speaker 3: of him two hundred to one never. I don't think

427
00:22:56,200 --> 00:22:58,320
Speaker 3: he's live to win here. But a top twenty bet

428
00:22:58,320 --> 00:23:02,320
Speaker 3: on Tiger or even Matt tupupon the Frenchman. Those are

429
00:23:02,440 --> 00:23:04,639
Speaker 3: top twenty bets that I will have on my card.

430
00:23:05,640 --> 00:23:08,119
Speaker 3: And why not if we're getting if we're getting a

431
00:23:08,200 --> 00:23:12,240
Speaker 3: little crazy here. Nick Dunlap is down here and he

432
00:23:13,400 --> 00:23:15,959
Speaker 3: hasn't been playing well this year, but I think he's

433
00:23:16,040 --> 00:23:18,359
Speaker 3: live to just snap out of it. With his youth

434
00:23:18,760 --> 00:23:22,560
Speaker 3: becomes a short memory. He's not gonna dwell on bad results.

435
00:23:22,560 --> 00:23:25,440
Speaker 3: He's just gonna fire away and keep coming. The fact

436
00:23:25,480 --> 00:23:29,080
Speaker 3: that he's even in this field is impressive and eighty

437
00:23:29,119 --> 00:23:31,840
Speaker 3: man no cut. You get an aggressive young player like that,

438
00:23:32,280 --> 00:23:33,760
Speaker 3: he's got the firepower to do it.

439
00:23:34,960 --> 00:23:37,040
Speaker 2: What about Justin Rose one hundred and twenty to one

440
00:23:37,440 --> 00:23:40,360
Speaker 2: also plus three point fifty for a top twenty, finished

441
00:23:40,400 --> 00:23:44,000
Speaker 2: third at the Pebble just a couple weeks ago. Also,

442
00:23:44,480 --> 00:23:47,080
Speaker 2: he did miss the caught at the Farmers here earlier

443
00:23:47,160 --> 00:23:50,479
Speaker 2: this year. However, he did win the Farmers in twenty nineteen,

444
00:23:50,560 --> 00:23:54,280
Speaker 2: also finished top ten in seventeen and eighteen, and finished

445
00:23:54,320 --> 00:23:56,760
Speaker 2: six back in twenty twenty two. Just a few seasons ago.

446
00:23:56,800 --> 00:23:59,720
Speaker 2: So any love for Justin Rose, another veteran of the tour.

447
00:24:00,640 --> 00:24:03,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, he just hasn't shown me enough on this type

448
00:24:03,520 --> 00:24:06,080
Speaker 3: of course off the tee to really make the rest

449
00:24:06,080 --> 00:24:09,000
Speaker 3: of his game sing. He's a really good long iron player,

450
00:24:09,200 --> 00:24:11,199
Speaker 3: but that's the caveat is. You have to be in

451
00:24:11,200 --> 00:24:13,639
Speaker 3: the fair way to make those long iron stick to

452
00:24:13,720 --> 00:24:16,280
Speaker 3: these poanta greens, and off the tee he's been a

453
00:24:16,280 --> 00:24:18,520
Speaker 3: little squirrely. He's in the back half of off the

454
00:24:18,520 --> 00:24:22,199
Speaker 3: tee stats even tee to green stats overall, or outside

455
00:24:22,240 --> 00:24:24,880
Speaker 3: the top fifty in this field, and number sixty two

456
00:24:24,920 --> 00:24:27,840
Speaker 3: in scrambling. It means that if he does miss off,

457
00:24:28,080 --> 00:24:30,639
Speaker 3: if he's off, if he's wayward at all, he's not

458
00:24:30,720 --> 00:24:33,520
Speaker 3: getting up and down like he used to. So Justin Rose,

459
00:24:33,560 --> 00:24:36,920
Speaker 3: if the conditions stayed pretty mild, don't I still don't

460
00:24:36,920 --> 00:24:39,159
Speaker 3: even know he can score with these guys, And then

461
00:24:39,200 --> 00:24:43,280
Speaker 3: if they get nasty, he's still not quite there when

462
00:24:43,280 --> 00:24:46,760
Speaker 3: it comes to form to overcome it. But I would

463
00:24:46,800 --> 00:24:49,800
Speaker 3: wouldn't be surprised because it's Justin Rose and he's done

464
00:24:49,840 --> 00:24:53,000
Speaker 3: it so many years. But I just think it's a

465
00:24:53,040 --> 00:24:53,960
Speaker 3: lower likelihood.

466
00:24:54,720 --> 00:24:57,600
Speaker 2: Okay, let's get to the early betting cards, bo, who

467
00:24:57,640 --> 00:24:59,560
Speaker 2: are you officially betting as of now?

468
00:25:00,440 --> 00:25:03,440
Speaker 3: Officially betting as of right now. I'm gonna start right

469
00:25:03,480 --> 00:25:08,200
Speaker 3: at the top with man Colin Morikawa. Fourteen to one.

470
00:25:08,240 --> 00:25:12,520
Speaker 3: That's so nice, that's so nice, fourteen to one. Of course,

471
00:25:12,560 --> 00:25:15,879
Speaker 3: I'm gonna ladder top five and top ten results separately.

472
00:25:16,280 --> 00:25:19,200
Speaker 3: I like to do my outright bed nice heavy one

473
00:25:19,320 --> 00:25:21,320
Speaker 3: for the guys I really like. But then for these

474
00:25:21,359 --> 00:25:25,000
Speaker 3: guys that I extra like, I'll actually parlay their results

475
00:25:25,040 --> 00:25:28,920
Speaker 3: and ladder them like really aggressively, because sometimes when you

476
00:25:29,040 --> 00:25:31,960
Speaker 3: hit those itches, it makes your whole season. It makes

477
00:25:32,000 --> 00:25:35,600
Speaker 3: your whole season, and I think Marikawa's entire bag is rolling.

478
00:25:36,480 --> 00:25:42,080
Speaker 3: I'm also gonna throw some money on Will's Alatorus forty

479
00:25:42,080 --> 00:25:44,800
Speaker 3: five to one's too good to pass up. And then

480
00:25:44,880 --> 00:25:48,520
Speaker 3: I'm gonna officially go down all the way to Tiger Woods.

481
00:25:48,560 --> 00:25:50,239
Speaker 3: I know I'm gonna have him on my card at

482
00:25:50,240 --> 00:25:54,960
Speaker 3: Tory Pine Fomo and results. The dude has one on

483
00:25:55,000 --> 00:26:01,480
Speaker 3: this golf course eight times. He's not that old, guys.

484
00:26:02,200 --> 00:26:03,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know how old is he now?

485
00:26:03,960 --> 00:26:07,640
Speaker 3: It's forty eight, okay, I'll he's not even old enough

486
00:26:07,640 --> 00:26:11,600
Speaker 3: for the Senior Tour. So it's just the injuries we

487
00:26:12,119 --> 00:26:15,200
Speaker 3: worry about. How he can walk the course. He's walked

488
00:26:15,240 --> 00:26:18,560
Speaker 3: this course a million times. I'm not worried about even

489
00:26:18,600 --> 00:26:22,520
Speaker 3: though it's long, it's not really that much elevation change,

490
00:26:22,560 --> 00:26:25,080
Speaker 3: so I'm not worried about him walking the course for

491
00:26:25,119 --> 00:26:25,680
Speaker 3: four days.

492
00:26:26,240 --> 00:26:26,359
Speaker 1: Uh.

493
00:26:26,680 --> 00:26:29,080
Speaker 3: And he's he's just got too much, too many good

494
00:26:29,160 --> 00:26:30,560
Speaker 3: vibes here to pass up.

495
00:26:31,840 --> 00:26:33,960
Speaker 2: Love it, Love it. I've got Rory seven to one

496
00:26:34,000 --> 00:26:36,119
Speaker 2: out right on my card, also the top ten for

497
00:26:36,240 --> 00:26:38,920
Speaker 2: Mius one twenty five at fandel. I am also taking

498
00:26:38,960 --> 00:26:41,600
Speaker 2: that nibble that flyer on Justin Rose one hundred and

499
00:26:41,640 --> 00:26:44,640
Speaker 2: twenty to one and the plus three fifty top twenty

500
00:26:44,720 --> 00:26:48,119
Speaker 2: nibble as well. Give me some rose this week. Now

501
00:26:48,160 --> 00:26:51,520
Speaker 2: for the one and done competition, Bo, last week you

502
00:26:51,600 --> 00:26:54,119
Speaker 2: had Kurt Kidiyama. I know that's another one of your

503
00:26:54,119 --> 00:26:58,320
Speaker 2: favorite local players. He finished forty ninth for twenty two

504
00:26:58,600 --> 00:27:01,280
Speaker 2: five hundred and eighty six dollars. Pat I had had

505
00:27:01,359 --> 00:27:05,359
Speaker 2: Decki Matsuyama, who got a top twenty five finish good

506
00:27:05,400 --> 00:27:10,040
Speaker 2: for just nearly seventy thousand dollars as well. So Bo

507
00:27:10,680 --> 00:27:13,880
Speaker 2: Pat picked first last week, so you're picking first this week?

508
00:27:13,880 --> 00:27:14,560
Speaker 2: Who are you taking?

509
00:27:17,000 --> 00:27:23,280
Speaker 3: I am going to take? I still haven't like solidified

510
00:27:23,359 --> 00:27:26,359
Speaker 3: who I'm taking this week, so I'm going to take.

511
00:27:28,400 --> 00:27:32,359
Speaker 3: Have I taken Will's Alatoris yet? That's uh? Willy z Is?

512
00:27:33,440 --> 00:27:36,280
Speaker 3: Willie Z is my pick, So if I've already taken him,

513
00:27:36,280 --> 00:27:39,520
Speaker 3: I'll amend it. But Will's Alataurus is my pick for

514
00:27:39,560 --> 00:27:39,960
Speaker 3: this week.

515
00:27:40,680 --> 00:27:44,280
Speaker 2: Okay, Pat, his first choice this week was Sep Straka.

516
00:27:44,640 --> 00:27:46,719
Speaker 2: That is a trendy pick. I've been seeing a lot

517
00:27:46,720 --> 00:27:49,560
Speaker 2: of people talking about him on the internet, So Straka

518
00:27:49,640 --> 00:27:52,719
Speaker 2: will be Pat, and then Bo is going with Willie

519
00:27:52,920 --> 00:27:56,360
Speaker 2: Z for his one and done pick. All right, that's

520
00:27:56,400 --> 00:27:59,000
Speaker 2: it for us on this week's edition of the Betting

521
00:27:59,040 --> 00:28:02,320
Speaker 2: Pros PGA Pop Podcast. We'll be back next week. Bo

522
00:28:02,440 --> 00:28:05,160
Speaker 2: and Pat will be with a preview of the Mexico

523
00:28:05,320 --> 00:28:09,800
Speaker 2: Open from Ba McBrayer. I'm Seth Wilcock. Take care of y'all.

524
00:28:09,800 --> 00:28:12,399
Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros Podcast. If you

525
00:28:12,480 --> 00:28:14,840
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526
00:28:14,880 --> 00:28:18,280
Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

527
00:28:18,560 --> 00:28:21,199
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528
00:28:21,280 --> 00:28:24,919
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529
00:28:25,000 --> 00:28:38,840
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