1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:07,040 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. 2 00:00:10,160 --> 00:00:13,399 Speaker 2: Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Lisa Matteo. Here 3 00:00:13,440 --> 00:00:15,280 Speaker 2: are the top stories we're following today. 4 00:00:16,200 --> 00:00:18,920 Speaker 3: Lisa, we begin with the latest developments in President Donald 5 00:00:18,960 --> 00:00:22,200 Speaker 3: Trump's efforts to exert more control over the Federal Reserve. 6 00:00:22,480 --> 00:00:25,720 Speaker 3: Bloomberg News has learned the Trump administration is reviewing options 7 00:00:25,720 --> 00:00:29,120 Speaker 3: for exerting more influence over the fed's twelve regional banks 8 00:00:29,160 --> 00:00:33,199 Speaker 3: that would potentially extend its reach beyond personnel appointments. This 9 00:00:33,320 --> 00:00:36,000 Speaker 3: comes as the President tries to oust FED Governor Lisa 10 00:00:36,040 --> 00:00:39,040 Speaker 3: Cook on allegations of mortgage fraud. If he does, it 11 00:00:39,080 --> 00:00:41,839 Speaker 3: would give the President an opportunity to secure a majority 12 00:00:42,080 --> 00:00:45,080 Speaker 3: on the seven person FED Board of Governors. The President 13 00:00:45,159 --> 00:00:48,080 Speaker 3: has heard here on Bloomberg Radio, defended his decision to 14 00:00:48,080 --> 00:00:50,120 Speaker 3: get rid of Cook at a White House Cabinet meeting. 15 00:00:50,520 --> 00:00:53,920 Speaker 4: She seems to have had an infraction. And she can't 16 00:00:53,920 --> 00:00:57,640 Speaker 4: have an infraction, especially that infraction, because she's in charge of, 17 00:00:57,720 --> 00:01:00,800 Speaker 4: if you think about it, mortgages and people that are 18 00:01:00,880 --> 00:01:04,040 Speaker 4: one hundred percent above board, and it doesn't seem like 19 00:01:04,080 --> 00:01:04,400 Speaker 4: she was. 20 00:01:04,920 --> 00:01:07,240 Speaker 3: That was President Trump speaking at a cabinet meeting. Now 21 00:01:07,319 --> 00:01:09,720 Speaker 3: Fed Governor. Cook's lawyer is vowing to file a lawsuit 22 00:01:09,760 --> 00:01:12,160 Speaker 3: over the President's maneuver to oust her for cause from 23 00:01:12,200 --> 00:01:13,919 Speaker 3: the FED Board of Governors and Nathan. 24 00:01:13,959 --> 00:01:17,560 Speaker 2: Former FED Vice chair Lale Brainerd is suggesting there's a 25 00:01:17,640 --> 00:01:21,200 Speaker 2: real risk of multiple FED district bank presidents getting removed 26 00:01:21,240 --> 00:01:24,559 Speaker 2: from office next year as a result of politically charged 27 00:01:24,560 --> 00:01:28,319 Speaker 2: maneuvering by President Trump. Brainer tells Bloomberg she views the 28 00:01:28,319 --> 00:01:30,640 Speaker 2: president's a tax on Cook in the context of his 29 00:01:30,760 --> 00:01:32,520 Speaker 2: broader pressure on the Central Bank. 30 00:01:32,840 --> 00:01:36,319 Speaker 5: Well, I think the Federal Reserve is an incredibly difficult 31 00:01:36,360 --> 00:01:38,959 Speaker 5: position here, but you have to remember this is not 32 00:01:39,600 --> 00:01:45,160 Speaker 5: about an individual governor. This is really an unprecedented attack 33 00:01:45,440 --> 00:01:49,320 Speaker 5: on the independence of the Federal Reserve as an institution. 34 00:01:49,800 --> 00:01:53,200 Speaker 2: Former FED Vice chairl Brainerd warned that any political push 35 00:01:53,280 --> 00:01:56,320 Speaker 2: to revamp the FOMC would run the risk of stoking 36 00:01:56,360 --> 00:01:58,559 Speaker 2: inflation and longer term interest rates. 37 00:01:58,800 --> 00:02:00,960 Speaker 3: Well, it's turn of markets now, So, because it's the 38 00:02:01,000 --> 00:02:03,920 Speaker 3: report investors have been waiting for all week. After the 39 00:02:03,920 --> 00:02:07,920 Speaker 3: closing bell, Nvidia reports its latest quarterly earning, so we 40 00:02:07,960 --> 00:02:10,600 Speaker 3: get a preview from Bloomberg's Tom Busby. 41 00:02:10,720 --> 00:02:13,519 Speaker 6: And Vidia's Q two results expected to show the boom 42 00:02:13,520 --> 00:02:17,680 Speaker 6: and AI demand continues, Capex continues to grow, and Nvidia 43 00:02:17,880 --> 00:02:21,079 Speaker 6: continues to thrive with its cutting edge Blackwell chips now 44 00:02:21,080 --> 00:02:24,040 Speaker 6: with full production and selling well. One worry for the company, though, 45 00:02:24,120 --> 00:02:27,200 Speaker 6: is China, because of US restrictions on which chips it's 46 00:02:27,200 --> 00:02:31,000 Speaker 6: allowed to sell there, and Beijing urging companies there not 47 00:02:31,120 --> 00:02:34,560 Speaker 6: to use the older, less powerful chips that Nvidia does export. 48 00:02:34,800 --> 00:02:38,320 Speaker 6: Bloomberg Tech reporter Ian King speaking to Bloomberg TV on 49 00:02:38,360 --> 00:02:40,400 Speaker 6: Tuesday about this problem. 50 00:02:40,440 --> 00:02:42,280 Speaker 7: What is the US government going to do next? 51 00:02:42,720 --> 00:02:45,239 Speaker 3: What is the Chinese government going to do next? What 52 00:02:45,440 --> 00:02:48,519 Speaker 3: products will be allowed to be shipped? That the unfortunate 53 00:02:48,560 --> 00:02:49,720 Speaker 3: problem is we don't know. 54 00:02:49,840 --> 00:02:52,639 Speaker 6: Bloomberg consensus though, calls for revenue of forty six point 55 00:02:52,639 --> 00:02:55,400 Speaker 6: two three billion dollars on adjusted ernix per share of 56 00:02:55,480 --> 00:02:59,080 Speaker 6: one dollar in one cent. Tom busby Bloomberg Radio, All. 57 00:02:59,040 --> 00:03:01,720 Speaker 2: Right, thanks Tom, as we wait the Nvidio results. Some 58 00:03:01,800 --> 00:03:04,720 Speaker 2: other stocks making some news this morning, Bloomberg News has 59 00:03:04,800 --> 00:03:08,639 Speaker 2: learned the Justice Department is widening its probe of United Health. 60 00:03:09,040 --> 00:03:12,320 Speaker 2: Sources say the DOJ's criminal division is digging into the 61 00:03:12,360 --> 00:03:16,559 Speaker 2: company's prescription management services, as well as how it reimburses 62 00:03:16,560 --> 00:03:20,080 Speaker 2: its own doctors. The previously unreported areas of the probe 63 00:03:20,120 --> 00:03:23,280 Speaker 2: show the scrutiny is broader than was known and goes 64 00:03:23,320 --> 00:03:26,960 Speaker 2: beyond an inquiry into possible Medicare fraud. Shares of United 65 00:03:27,000 --> 00:03:29,400 Speaker 2: Health are down about two tens percent in early trading. 66 00:03:29,639 --> 00:03:32,120 Speaker 3: All on the flip side, Lisa shares of Cracker Barrel 67 00:03:32,200 --> 00:03:36,960 Speaker 3: are surging more than seven percent. The restaurant chains decided 68 00:03:37,000 --> 00:03:40,080 Speaker 3: to scrap plans for a new logo. Cracker Barrel faced 69 00:03:40,080 --> 00:03:43,800 Speaker 3: a backlash on social media since changing its vintage logo 70 00:03:44,000 --> 00:03:45,920 Speaker 3: by removing an image of a man leaning on a 71 00:03:45,920 --> 00:03:49,520 Speaker 3: barrel while making the lettering more modern. President Trump weighed 72 00:03:49,560 --> 00:03:52,120 Speaker 3: in yesterday. He posted on social media that the brand 73 00:03:52,200 --> 00:03:56,160 Speaker 3: should restore its old logo and apologize logo change did 74 00:03:56,240 --> 00:03:58,400 Speaker 3: lead to a big drop in the share price. Now, 75 00:03:58,440 --> 00:04:00,760 Speaker 3: Cracker Barrel says, quote, we think thank our guests for 76 00:04:00,920 --> 00:04:03,640 Speaker 3: sharing your voices and love for Cracker Barrel. We said 77 00:04:03,680 --> 00:04:05,720 Speaker 3: we would listen, and we have end quote. 78 00:04:06,040 --> 00:04:07,920 Speaker 2: They have all right, Nathan, Now let's get to the 79 00:04:07,960 --> 00:04:11,600 Speaker 2: latest on President Trump's train wars. The US has officially 80 00:04:11,600 --> 00:04:16,120 Speaker 2: slapped fifty percent on India's exports, doubling duties from twenty 81 00:04:16,160 --> 00:04:19,559 Speaker 2: five percent as punishment for buying Russian oil. The change 82 00:04:19,600 --> 00:04:23,120 Speaker 2: took effect at a minute after midnight after Wall Street time. 83 00:04:23,520 --> 00:04:27,400 Speaker 2: Bloomberg Shrewdy, Shriver Stava reports it's the highest tariff rate 84 00:04:27,440 --> 00:04:29,359 Speaker 2: of any the country in Asia. 85 00:04:29,839 --> 00:04:32,760 Speaker 8: US is the largest market export market for India. It's 86 00:04:32,760 --> 00:04:37,520 Speaker 8: the biggest trading partner with India, and Indian exporters sold 87 00:04:37,560 --> 00:04:40,599 Speaker 8: some eighty seven million dollars goods to the US market 88 00:04:40,680 --> 00:04:44,400 Speaker 8: last year. That's two percent of India's GDP. So definitely, 89 00:04:44,440 --> 00:04:47,800 Speaker 8: you know, such high tariffs of course shuts down the 90 00:04:47,839 --> 00:04:49,880 Speaker 8: market for Indian exporters. Now they will have to look 91 00:04:49,920 --> 00:04:53,200 Speaker 8: for other ways, other markets, newer markets to diversify. So 92 00:04:53,279 --> 00:04:55,400 Speaker 8: of course that is going to be a huge impact. 93 00:04:55,400 --> 00:04:59,279 Speaker 2: Bloomberg Shrewdy Shrivestava reports. The higher tariffs will hit labor 94 00:04:59,320 --> 00:05:04,039 Speaker 2: intentsive India like textiles and jewelry the hardest. Electronics and 95 00:05:04,040 --> 00:05:08,440 Speaker 2: pharmaceuticals are exempt for now. That includes Apple's massive new 96 00:05:08,520 --> 00:05:10,599 Speaker 2: factory investments in India and Lisa. 97 00:05:10,640 --> 00:05:13,800 Speaker 3: President Trump is once again warning of serious consequences if 98 00:05:13,880 --> 00:05:16,880 Speaker 3: Russia and Ukraine don't end their war. Here was the 99 00:05:16,880 --> 00:05:19,960 Speaker 3: President again at that cabinet meeting heard live on Bloomberg Radio. 100 00:05:20,160 --> 00:05:23,480 Speaker 4: I want to get it to and it. 101 00:05:23,480 --> 00:05:25,640 Speaker 7: Will not be a world war, but it'll. 102 00:05:25,440 --> 00:05:29,560 Speaker 4: Be an economic war. And an economic war is it's 103 00:05:29,600 --> 00:05:31,200 Speaker 4: going to be bad, and it's going to be bad 104 00:05:31,200 --> 00:05:32,600 Speaker 4: for Russia, and I don't want that. 105 00:05:33,040 --> 00:05:35,040 Speaker 3: The President was asked if he has a timetable for 106 00:05:35,120 --> 00:05:38,440 Speaker 3: Russian President Vladimir Putin to meet with Ukrainian President Vladimir 107 00:05:38,520 --> 00:05:41,560 Speaker 3: Zelenski before he would impose sanctions. The President raised the 108 00:05:41,600 --> 00:05:45,400 Speaker 3: possibility of bilateral talks during his Alaska summit with Putin, 109 00:05:45,640 --> 00:05:47,880 Speaker 3: but more than a week after that gathering, there is 110 00:05:48,080 --> 00:05:50,880 Speaker 3: no meeting scheduled between Putin and Zelenski. 111 00:05:51,080 --> 00:05:54,920 Speaker 2: In other news, Nathan SpaceX is celebrating a successful test 112 00:05:54,920 --> 00:05:57,160 Speaker 2: flight of Starship five. 113 00:05:58,680 --> 00:06:01,080 Speaker 4: Three two one. 114 00:06:03,960 --> 00:06:06,880 Speaker 2: Has heard here live on Bloomberg. The vehicle lifted off 115 00:06:06,880 --> 00:06:11,240 Speaker 2: from SpaceX's South Texas launch facility called Starbase. It's super 116 00:06:11,279 --> 00:06:15,520 Speaker 2: heavy booster, successfully separated from the Starship spacecraft as planned, 117 00:06:15,800 --> 00:06:19,039 Speaker 2: and then splashed down in the Gulf of Mexico. Advertised 118 00:06:19,040 --> 00:06:22,440 Speaker 2: as the largest and most powerful rocket ever built, Starship 119 00:06:22,520 --> 00:06:25,080 Speaker 2: is a centerpiece of the company's plans to send huge 120 00:06:25,120 --> 00:06:28,359 Speaker 2: batches of its Starlink Internet satellites into the Earth's orbit 121 00:06:28,600 --> 00:06:31,360 Speaker 2: and carry humans to the Moon and eventually to Mars. 122 00:06:31,480 --> 00:06:32,920 Speaker 3: Well, I don't know if we could call this out 123 00:06:32,960 --> 00:06:36,760 Speaker 3: of this world news, Lisa, Maybe we could. Taylor Swift 124 00:06:36,920 --> 00:06:40,320 Speaker 3: and her football boyfriend Travis Kelcey had a big announcement. 125 00:06:41,040 --> 00:06:42,120 Speaker 9: Are you ready for it? 126 00:06:43,680 --> 00:06:46,000 Speaker 3: Well, fans were certainly ready for it. They announced in 127 00:06:46,040 --> 00:06:50,599 Speaker 3: a five part Instagram post They're engaged now. The news 128 00:06:50,680 --> 00:06:55,720 Speaker 3: has online betting markets soaring. Prediction market website cal She 129 00:06:56,040 --> 00:06:58,640 Speaker 3: says Gambler has made about eighty thousand dollars worth of 130 00:06:58,640 --> 00:07:01,679 Speaker 3: bets on when the wedding will be In the hours 131 00:07:01,760 --> 00:07:05,560 Speaker 3: after Taylor Swift's post on polymarket betters are gambling on 132 00:07:05,839 --> 00:07:08,360 Speaker 3: when the couple might have a baby, if the singer's 133 00:07:08,400 --> 00:07:11,400 Speaker 3: going to headline the twenty twenty six Super Bowl halftime show. 134 00:07:11,880 --> 00:07:14,760 Speaker 3: Travis kelce is making some news of his own. He's 135 00:07:14,760 --> 00:07:17,480 Speaker 3: teaming up with American Eagle on a co branded collection. 136 00:07:21,400 --> 00:07:22,880 Speaker 2: All Right, Time Now for a look at some of 137 00:07:22,880 --> 00:07:25,119 Speaker 2: the other stories making news in New York and around 138 00:07:25,200 --> 00:07:27,360 Speaker 2: the world. For that were joined by Bloomberg's Michael bar 139 00:07:27,440 --> 00:07:28,520 Speaker 2: Good Morning, Michael. 140 00:07:28,320 --> 00:07:30,800 Speaker 10: Good Morning, Lee said. New York City and New York 141 00:07:30,840 --> 00:07:34,600 Speaker 10: State officials are bristling at President Trump's thoughts of deploying 142 00:07:34,680 --> 00:07:37,600 Speaker 10: National Guard troops to the city to take on crime. 143 00:07:38,080 --> 00:07:41,600 Speaker 10: Governor Kathy Okle says she spoke with President Trump. Local 144 00:07:41,640 --> 00:07:45,680 Speaker 10: said she told the President the additional troops are not necessary. 145 00:07:45,920 --> 00:07:47,960 Speaker 9: I was very gracious to say, I'll tell you what, 146 00:07:48,160 --> 00:07:52,200 Speaker 9: mister President, if I think i need help from the 147 00:07:52,320 --> 00:07:55,800 Speaker 9: National Guard beyond what I'm already doing, I knew where 148 00:07:55,840 --> 00:07:56,280 Speaker 9: to find you. 149 00:07:56,880 --> 00:07:59,560 Speaker 10: New York Mayor Eric Adams says he does not see 150 00:07:59,560 --> 00:08:02,320 Speaker 10: a need placed federal troops in the city, saying they 151 00:08:02,360 --> 00:08:05,800 Speaker 10: are doing an amazing job. Meanwhile, Mayor Adams offered an 152 00:08:05,800 --> 00:08:09,160 Speaker 10: apology to New Yorkers for the corruption scandals connected to 153 00:08:09,240 --> 00:08:13,040 Speaker 10: his administration. Adam, speaking to Bloomberg, was asked about a 154 00:08:13,040 --> 00:08:16,240 Speaker 10: former aid Winnie Greco, giving more than one hundred dollars 155 00:08:16,240 --> 00:08:19,160 Speaker 10: in a potato chip bag to a reporter for the 156 00:08:19,200 --> 00:08:22,240 Speaker 10: city at a campaign rally in Harlem. I'm not going 157 00:08:22,320 --> 00:08:22,480 Speaker 10: to be. 158 00:08:22,600 --> 00:08:25,120 Speaker 2: Judged by a red envelope in a paper bag. 159 00:08:25,200 --> 00:08:26,280 Speaker 10: I'm gonna be judged by. 160 00:08:26,120 --> 00:08:29,480 Speaker 5: How Phil Punch of how to improve the lives of 161 00:08:29,560 --> 00:08:30,240 Speaker 5: New Yorkers. 162 00:08:30,280 --> 00:08:31,560 Speaker 9: It was a stupid thing to do. 163 00:08:31,880 --> 00:08:34,280 Speaker 5: I don't understand the conversation you had with the reporter. 164 00:08:34,559 --> 00:08:37,000 Speaker 10: I don't have the history of it. It's not something 165 00:08:37,040 --> 00:08:38,600 Speaker 10: that we would do in our campaign. 166 00:08:38,679 --> 00:08:39,640 Speaker 11: I made that clear. 167 00:08:40,000 --> 00:08:42,120 Speaker 5: I don't know what that was about. 168 00:08:42,280 --> 00:08:45,920 Speaker 10: The damaging news story came as seven people, including Adam's 169 00:08:45,920 --> 00:08:49,920 Speaker 10: former top aid ingrid Lewis Martin, were indicted on bribery 170 00:08:49,960 --> 00:08:53,400 Speaker 10: and corruption charges. Adams said he has no plans to 171 00:08:53,520 --> 00:08:56,720 Speaker 10: drop out of the November election. Polls show he is 172 00:08:56,720 --> 00:08:59,440 Speaker 10: in fourth place in a five person field, behind Democratic 173 00:08:59,520 --> 00:09:03,760 Speaker 10: nominee z Around Memdani, former Governor Andrew Cuomo, and Republican 174 00:09:03,880 --> 00:09:07,920 Speaker 10: Curtis Sleewab. The Israeli military says it's double strike on 175 00:09:07,960 --> 00:09:10,960 Speaker 10: a guy as a hospital that killed twenty people targeted 176 00:09:11,040 --> 00:09:14,680 Speaker 10: what it believed was a Hammas surveillance camera. The dead 177 00:09:14,720 --> 00:09:18,000 Speaker 10: included five journalists. Global News twenty four hours a day 178 00:09:18,160 --> 00:09:20,920 Speaker 10: and whenever you wanted with the Bloomberg News. Now Michael 179 00:09:21,000 --> 00:09:24,480 Speaker 10: Barr and this is Bloomberg. Thanks Michael. 180 00:09:24,600 --> 00:09:27,000 Speaker 3: Time now for our Bloomberg Sports update, and for that 181 00:09:27,160 --> 00:09:28,559 Speaker 3: we bring in Dan Schwartzman. 182 00:09:28,800 --> 00:09:31,120 Speaker 11: Thanks Nathan. In Major League Baseball, the Mets beat the 183 00:09:31,120 --> 00:09:33,760 Speaker 11: Phillies on a Brandon Nimmo walk off Single six to five. 184 00:09:34,080 --> 00:09:36,840 Speaker 11: The Yankees knock off the Nationals five to one. Elsewhere, 185 00:09:36,840 --> 00:09:38,840 Speaker 11: the Red Sox shout out the Oriols five nothing. Blue 186 00:09:38,880 --> 00:09:41,560 Speaker 11: Jay's fault to the Twins seven to five. Brewers slip 187 00:09:41,559 --> 00:09:43,880 Speaker 11: past the Diamondbacks ninety eight. The Tigers loose to the 188 00:09:43,880 --> 00:09:46,440 Speaker 11: a seven to six. The Dodgers double up the Red 189 00:09:46,480 --> 00:09:49,319 Speaker 11: six to three. The Texas Rangers getting some bad news 190 00:09:49,360 --> 00:09:51,360 Speaker 11: as Nathan eval Duell missed the rest of the regular 191 00:09:51,400 --> 00:09:54,360 Speaker 11: season due to a rotator cuff strain. On the season, 192 00:09:54,400 --> 00:09:56,160 Speaker 11: the righty is eleven and three with a one point 193 00:09:56,200 --> 00:09:58,880 Speaker 11: seven to three ERA. At the US Open, two time 194 00:09:58,880 --> 00:10:01,360 Speaker 11: Grand Slam winner Cocoa Off struggles to get past Alight 195 00:10:01,440 --> 00:10:04,480 Speaker 11: tol Mianovich in three sets in the first round. Meanwhile, 196 00:10:04,480 --> 00:10:07,640 Speaker 11: both Egash Fiantek and Amanda Nisimova advance and trade sets 197 00:10:07,960 --> 00:10:11,680 Speaker 11: in the Mendroup. Top seed Yonik Center, Alexander Zverev, Alex Demnar, 198 00:10:11,720 --> 00:10:13,960 Speaker 11: and Tommy Paul all move on to the second round. 199 00:10:14,280 --> 00:10:15,800 Speaker 11: That's your Bloomberg Sports update. 200 00:10:17,720 --> 00:10:21,079 Speaker 3: Stay with us more from Bloomberg Daybreak coming up after this. 201 00:10:24,360 --> 00:10:28,400 Speaker 1: Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio nationwide on Sirius Exam 202 00:10:28,679 --> 00:10:31,520 Speaker 1: and around the world on Bloomberg dot Com and the 203 00:10:31,559 --> 00:10:34,640 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Business app. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. 204 00:10:34,880 --> 00:10:37,520 Speaker 3: Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. President Donald Trump says he 205 00:10:37,600 --> 00:10:39,720 Speaker 3: is ready for a legal fight over his effort to 206 00:10:39,960 --> 00:10:43,000 Speaker 3: fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, and he's already talking 207 00:10:43,040 --> 00:10:46,560 Speaker 3: about the influence he hopes to wield over Central Bank policy. 208 00:10:46,720 --> 00:10:49,200 Speaker 4: We'll have a majority very shortly, So that'll be great 209 00:10:49,240 --> 00:10:52,439 Speaker 4: once we have a majority, and housing is going to swing, 210 00:10:52,559 --> 00:10:55,920 Speaker 4: and it's going to be great. People are paying too 211 00:10:56,000 --> 00:10:56,920 Speaker 4: high an interest rate. 212 00:10:57,200 --> 00:10:59,560 Speaker 3: That was President Trump speaking at a cabinet meeting. Herd 213 00:10:59,600 --> 00:11:02,480 Speaker 3: live on Bloomberg Radio and for more. We're joined by 214 00:11:02,559 --> 00:11:05,839 Speaker 3: Bloomberg's Critty Gupta. So Critty, the President is making it 215 00:11:05,920 --> 00:11:08,400 Speaker 3: plain he really has that this is about trying to 216 00:11:08,400 --> 00:11:11,760 Speaker 3: secure a majority on the Fed Board of Governors. But 217 00:11:11,800 --> 00:11:14,959 Speaker 3: now we're hearing that he's looking for ways to extend 218 00:11:15,000 --> 00:11:17,439 Speaker 3: his influence beyond the board. What are we hearing. 219 00:11:18,280 --> 00:11:20,880 Speaker 7: We're hearing that there's a lot of concern about how 220 00:11:20,920 --> 00:11:24,680 Speaker 7: he can actually do that. Remember, there are seven members 221 00:11:24,760 --> 00:11:27,480 Speaker 7: of the Federal Reserve Board, but there are other voting 222 00:11:27,559 --> 00:11:29,840 Speaker 7: members as well, and there's a clear question here of 223 00:11:30,080 --> 00:11:32,240 Speaker 7: just how much authority he actually has in terms of 224 00:11:32,280 --> 00:11:35,760 Speaker 7: firing as opposed to replacing, as opposed to influencing policy. 225 00:11:35,800 --> 00:11:38,920 Speaker 7: And we've had kind of touch points of this throughout 226 00:11:38,960 --> 00:11:42,320 Speaker 7: history with various presidents, but never to this extent, and 227 00:11:42,360 --> 00:11:45,920 Speaker 7: never an outright question of to what extent some of 228 00:11:45,960 --> 00:11:49,400 Speaker 7: the replacements of the Federal Reserve come at the discretion 229 00:11:49,559 --> 00:11:51,720 Speaker 7: of the president. And the question is they're basically looking 230 00:11:51,720 --> 00:11:54,000 Speaker 7: at the legality of how they can do that, not 231 00:11:54,160 --> 00:11:56,480 Speaker 7: just with Lisa Cook, but with others as well. One 232 00:11:56,520 --> 00:11:58,920 Speaker 7: of the key things that they've named in terms of 233 00:11:58,960 --> 00:12:02,640 Speaker 7: a potential Cook replacement, if that does indeed go through 234 00:12:02,640 --> 00:12:05,320 Speaker 7: and is deemed appropriate by the Supreme Court, is the 235 00:12:05,400 --> 00:12:09,520 Speaker 7: idea of moving around temporary seat. So, for example, Stephen 236 00:12:09,600 --> 00:12:13,160 Speaker 7: Amia and who is the current nominee to replace Adriana 237 00:12:13,240 --> 00:12:16,880 Speaker 7: Kugler after her resignation, a thought that Donald Trump had 238 00:12:16,920 --> 00:12:19,480 Speaker 7: proposed in the last twenty four hours is moving him 239 00:12:19,840 --> 00:12:22,400 Speaker 7: into Lisa Cook's seat for a longer her longer term 240 00:12:22,480 --> 00:12:25,640 Speaker 7: until twenty thirty eight. Again, the legality of that given 241 00:12:26,000 --> 00:12:29,520 Speaker 7: Adriana Cougler's term ends in January, and that temporary position 242 00:12:30,040 --> 00:12:32,840 Speaker 7: will be there until January is also up for debate, 243 00:12:32,920 --> 00:12:35,839 Speaker 7: so his team is reported to be looking into these 244 00:12:35,880 --> 00:12:39,240 Speaker 7: matters and is looking into ways that they can get 245 00:12:39,240 --> 00:12:41,480 Speaker 7: around what tradition suggests. Yah. 246 00:12:41,520 --> 00:12:45,240 Speaker 3: We've heard some concern raised by a former FED Vice chair, 247 00:12:45,360 --> 00:12:47,840 Speaker 3: Lyle Brainerd in an interview on Bloomberg Radio and Television, 248 00:12:47,880 --> 00:12:51,200 Speaker 3: saying that even regional bank presidents could be worrying about 249 00:12:51,240 --> 00:12:54,360 Speaker 3: their jobs as well. Could the president go after the 250 00:12:54,400 --> 00:12:58,320 Speaker 3: regional banks when those positions are decided on by the 251 00:12:58,320 --> 00:12:59,199 Speaker 3: banks themselves. 252 00:13:00,200 --> 00:13:02,280 Speaker 7: That's the key question here, and that's the speculation. I 253 00:13:02,320 --> 00:13:04,920 Speaker 7: love what Ail Brainerd also had said about the way 254 00:13:05,160 --> 00:13:07,520 Speaker 7: that you can interpret this in the markets, which is 255 00:13:07,520 --> 00:13:11,040 Speaker 7: that this idea of FED independence's idea of FED credibility 256 00:13:11,240 --> 00:13:14,440 Speaker 7: even on the regional level, is a crucial one because 257 00:13:14,480 --> 00:13:17,079 Speaker 7: that's where the market is freaking out on the bond 258 00:13:17,120 --> 00:13:19,720 Speaker 7: perspective from the long end. And she made the very 259 00:13:19,760 --> 00:13:22,760 Speaker 7: clear connection that if you undermine that independence, that is 260 00:13:22,760 --> 00:13:25,640 Speaker 7: going to show up in the very part of the 261 00:13:25,679 --> 00:13:29,160 Speaker 7: bond market curve that influences housing, which, as we also know, 262 00:13:29,200 --> 00:13:31,000 Speaker 7: in the last twenty four hours, Donald Trump made it 263 00:13:31,120 --> 00:13:34,080 Speaker 7: very clear that he is trying to bring down housing prices. 264 00:13:34,320 --> 00:13:36,200 Speaker 7: So this is a big debate now in the market 265 00:13:36,200 --> 00:13:39,280 Speaker 7: community of whether or not these moves are actually as 266 00:13:39,320 --> 00:13:40,600 Speaker 7: effective as he hopes them to be. 267 00:13:40,880 --> 00:13:42,720 Speaker 3: You mentioned the freak out in the bond market, but 268 00:13:42,760 --> 00:13:45,320 Speaker 3: you look at the futures contracts this morning, not a 269 00:13:45,320 --> 00:13:48,359 Speaker 3: whole lot going on. You have to wonder whether investors 270 00:13:48,400 --> 00:13:51,080 Speaker 3: on that side of the market are just bracing for 271 00:13:51,160 --> 00:13:53,080 Speaker 3: what we hear from Nvidia later today. 272 00:13:53,520 --> 00:13:57,320 Speaker 7: Absolutely, it feels like the debate about whether the tech 273 00:13:57,440 --> 00:14:01,480 Speaker 7: story or the bond market fed story Trump's pun not 274 00:14:01,600 --> 00:14:04,240 Speaker 7: intended is the bigger story for this week, because not 275 00:14:04,280 --> 00:14:06,719 Speaker 7: only do we have video, we have PCE data on 276 00:14:06,760 --> 00:14:08,800 Speaker 7: Friday as well, but and video is really crucial. Look, 277 00:14:08,840 --> 00:14:11,960 Speaker 7: this is the A plus plus student trying to impress 278 00:14:12,400 --> 00:14:15,680 Speaker 7: a market that is expecting the world from it. Some 279 00:14:15,679 --> 00:14:17,560 Speaker 7: some key pieces here are not only going to be 280 00:14:17,880 --> 00:14:20,239 Speaker 7: where it's getting its revenue from is it the hyperscalers, 281 00:14:20,280 --> 00:14:22,640 Speaker 7: but also what it's going to say about the development 282 00:14:22,680 --> 00:14:25,800 Speaker 7: of its Blackwell chip and the development of its H 283 00:14:25,920 --> 00:14:29,240 Speaker 7: twenty business, specifically to China. Since we had kind of 284 00:14:29,240 --> 00:14:31,400 Speaker 7: that start and stop over the summer about whether or 285 00:14:31,440 --> 00:14:34,120 Speaker 7: not they could ultimately export those tips to China with 286 00:14:34,200 --> 00:14:36,640 Speaker 7: the US government and also making it clear that China, 287 00:14:36,800 --> 00:14:40,120 Speaker 7: at least from a regulatory authority perspective, has discouraged some 288 00:14:40,200 --> 00:14:42,600 Speaker 7: of its local use of that chip as well. What 289 00:14:42,640 --> 00:14:46,240 Speaker 7: that read through is into Nvidia's bottom line that's of 290 00:14:46,640 --> 00:14:47,800 Speaker 7: key importance. 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