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Speaker 1: What time is it? Game Time? All right? Little instant

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Speaker 1: reaction on the Cowboys twenty fifteen Way and God that

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Speaker 1: was ugly. Dallas had eleven penalties. You know, I want

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Speaker 1: to start with the New York Giants because if I

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Speaker 1: said there's a team in the state of New York,

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Speaker 1: Brian dabols on the offensive side, Singletary's one of the

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Speaker 1: running backs, good left tackle, serviceable o line, one, great weapon,

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Speaker 1: really strong defensive front. No, that's not the Buffalo Bills.

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Speaker 1: That's the Giants. And if you gave Josh Allen to

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Speaker 1: the Giants, we would talk about them in the Super

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Speaker 1: Bowl bubble. The Giants have a lot of components that

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Speaker 1: Super Bowl teams have outside of quarterback. They need to

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Speaker 1: draft a running back. They need more juice in the backfield,

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Speaker 1: which the Bills did for years until they drafted James Cook.

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Speaker 1: They had Devin Singletary, who who doesn't didn't have a

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Speaker 1: lot of breakaway speed, but for years, you know, once

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Speaker 1: they got Stefon Diggs, it was good defensive front, capable coach,

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Speaker 1: dable in the room, Singletary at back, good left tackle,

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Speaker 1: serviceable ole line, excellent defensive front, one great weapon. So

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Speaker 1: I don't think the Giants are hopeless. They just Brian

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Speaker 1: Dabole is coaching his butt off. I mean, Daniel Jones.

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Speaker 1: Tonight they dominate time of possession. With no run game

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Speaker 1: and an average quarterback below average, they literally dominate time

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Speaker 1: of possession. Daniel Jones goes twenty nine to forty until

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Speaker 1: the very end, didn't have an interception, no touchdowns, He's

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Speaker 1: not throwing interceptions anymore. And they go against Dallas and

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Speaker 1: with no deep down the field thread, they're getting the

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Speaker 1: ball to neighbors. He had twelve catches. But the Giants,

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Speaker 1: with no run game and a mediocre quarterback dominate time

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Speaker 1: of possession against Dak Prescott, pretty good quarterback, and Mike McCarthy,

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Speaker 1: a super Bowl winning coach. I think Daboll is you

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Speaker 1: know he would never win like even honorable mentioned Coach

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Speaker 1: of the Year, but because their record won't be good.

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Speaker 1: But it's not like the Giants are hopeles. They're just

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Speaker 1: hopeless quarterback. And so that's where an owner interfered and

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Speaker 1: a general manager and a coach are doing the best

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Speaker 1: they can, but they're a little bit trapped because you

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Speaker 1: know they're gonna have dead cap money if they move off.

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Speaker 1: Daniel Jones, he is serviceable now. He could certainly on

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Speaker 1: the market. Somebody would come after him. Be serviceable. He

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Speaker 1: probably wouldn't be good elsewhere because he wouldn't have neighbors

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Speaker 1: and he wouldn't have Dable. But there's pieces of the

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Speaker 1: Giants that Super Bowl teams have really good defensively up front,

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Speaker 1: above average left tackle, great weapon Dable on the offensive

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Speaker 1: side if they had the quarterback right So people look

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Speaker 1: at the Giants and think they're hopeless. If it was

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Speaker 1: a great quarterback class. This is a six win team,

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Speaker 1: five win team, you'd get one of them. It's not

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Speaker 1: there's a couple of guys. Even the Georgia quarterback now

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Speaker 1: with Georgia's O line beat up, looks pretty average. Right

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Speaker 1: like against Kentucky couldn't move the ball. Quinn Ewers maybe

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Speaker 1: at number one can Ward? I like those two shouldar standers.

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Speaker 1: Worries me a little, you know, you know, I wish

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Speaker 1: he would be a little more chill. But he can play.

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Speaker 1: So you probably have three or four quarterbacks in the

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Speaker 1: first round. They probably have to draft one. If I

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Speaker 1: was a Giants, I would draft one because I don't

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Speaker 1: think they have a ton of needs. You can get

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Speaker 1: running backs. I was just talking to a general manager

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Speaker 1: last night. History tells you, analytics tell you the running

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Speaker 1: backs You can get your running backs third, fourth, fifth,

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Speaker 1: sixth rounds. Don't draft them in the first two rounds.

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Speaker 1: Unless you get like a Saquan or an Adrian Peterson

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Speaker 1: or a Ze you know you don't need to. So

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Speaker 1: it's you. Giants will draft a quarterback. They considered it

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Speaker 1: this year, and you know if the kids, you know,

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Speaker 1: the offensive line now is more than capable. But Brian

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Speaker 1: Dables excellent. He's doing a great job to dominate time

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Speaker 1: of possession and the until the end. Again, Daniel Jones

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Speaker 1: didn't have an interception. More than capable. I mean the

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Speaker 1: guy threw for you know, two hundred and some seventy five,

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Speaker 1: two hundred eighty yards with really no deep balls and

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Speaker 1: no run game. They just got to get the quarterback right.

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Speaker 1: And again, Quinn Ewers is an NFL quarterback. Shanor Sanders

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Speaker 1: is back from Georgia, and cam Ward, so you're gonna

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Speaker 1: have four first round quarterbacks. I think Riley Leonard late

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Speaker 1: first second. He's a little wild, you know, great athlete,

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Speaker 1: big size, not great in the accuracy. Can you teach

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Speaker 1: him to do that? You know NFL people probably could.

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Speaker 1: Josh Allen was wild. People still like Anthony Richardson and

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Speaker 1: he is forty nine completion percentage. So I know you

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Speaker 1: think that the Giants. I know Jmack probably thinks all

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Speaker 1: is lost with the Giants. They just got to get

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Speaker 1: the quarterback, right, stable, left tackle, neighbors, good defensive front.

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Speaker 1: They got pieces. They got pieces the Dallas Cowboys. Meanwhile,

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Speaker 1: it was eleven penalties. Jesus, if you took Ceedee Lamb

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Speaker 1: out of this team, there is nothing there. I mean,

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Speaker 1: there's just and their fullback is like a weapon, you know.

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Speaker 1: I like their field goal kicker and missed one at

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Speaker 1: the end, damn it. But you know, neither team really

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Speaker 1: had a run game tonight. I just think, you know, again,

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Speaker 1: let's talk about this. Oh, if the New York Giants

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Speaker 1: hit on a quarterback next year, Let's say the Patriots

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Speaker 1: aren't going to draft the quarterback because they have Drake May.

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Speaker 1: Carolina probably would, right Tennessee, if they're bad, probably would.

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Speaker 1: Although I think they figure out a way to win

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Speaker 1: four or five six games. But a lot of the

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Speaker 1: bad teams have their quarterbacks, right, they're gonna give them

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Speaker 1: a shot. So the Giants win five games, you know

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Speaker 1: they're not going to be Dallas five or six wins.

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Speaker 1: They'll probably have the fifth, sixth pick, and a lot

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Speaker 1: of the bad teams just got their quarterback, so they're

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Speaker 1: gonna get one of these quarterbacks. I like their future.

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Speaker 1: I like Dable more than Mike McCarthy. I like the

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Speaker 1: Giants defensive line more than Dallas. I like their left

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Speaker 1: tackle more than Dallas. They both have good weapons. Owner,

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Speaker 1: I'll take the Giants. I guess the Giants just need

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Speaker 1: a quarterback and pick up a running back in the

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Speaker 1: fourth or fifth round. They've got a lot of components.

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Speaker 1: Dallas is kind of trapped. They're paying CD of fortune.

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Speaker 1: They'll pay Micah, who I like. I don't love a fortune.

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Speaker 1: They're paying dack of fortune. Owner vain more about, you know,

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Speaker 1: getting attention than and being remarkably interesting and talked about

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Speaker 1: more than I think really winning titles. Despite what he says,

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Speaker 1: their offensive line is just okay, no juice in the backfield,

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Speaker 1: average it tight end, very ced Lamb and he's great,

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Speaker 1: but very ced Lamb centric. I don't see this great future.

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Speaker 1: And they're stuck with Dak, who's good B Plus, it's

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Speaker 1: like having Kirk Cousins in his prime. It's good. Be plush.

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Speaker 1: We wouldn't get to the playoffs. But if the Giants

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Speaker 1: next year, let's say they have the fourth pick in

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Speaker 1: the draft, and you know, Travis Hunter from Colorado goes

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Speaker 1: number one, and let's say somebody likes cam Ward he

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Speaker 1: goes to and the Giants move up a spot, give

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Speaker 1: up some draft picks, and they get quinn Ewrs and

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Speaker 1: he's good. And Brian Dable is really good with quarterbacks.

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Speaker 1: He's made Daniel Jones now that he has one weapon

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Speaker 1: and a more serviceable old line capable, not special capable.

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Speaker 1: So it's like, who would have the better future if

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Speaker 1: you got quinn Ewers or back and you established pretty quickly.

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Speaker 1: Guy can play Little Bumpy for sure, guy can play

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Speaker 1: whose future? Do you like? Dabors Dable weapons? You can

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Speaker 1: get a running back every year, just draft them. They're

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Speaker 1: out there. I don't know's I know Dallas dominates this series,

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Speaker 1: and I know everybody thinks, you know, oh Dallas, Dax.

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Speaker 1: You know, the star in the hel butt is very influential.

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Speaker 1: But you know you're stuck with McCarthy at least for

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Speaker 1: the rest of this year. Eleven penalties, so he's always

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Speaker 1: been penalty plagued. I mean tonight, Mike has heard DeMarcus

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Speaker 1: Lawrence banged up. I don't know, maybe I'm being just

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Speaker 1: overly negative. Laker fans feel the same way, but this

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Speaker 1: I said this today on FS one. You know, family

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Speaker 1: owned and operated just felt better twenty years ago. I

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Speaker 1: think now as you're can have a deli like that,

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Speaker 1: But in tech I don't want a family owned and

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Speaker 1: operated tech giant.

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Speaker 2: You know.

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Speaker 1: Maybe that's what Larry Elison has with Oracle, maybe that's it.

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Speaker 1: But by and large, I like the staying kronkey of

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Speaker 1: the world. I like, you know, the Allen family in Seattle,

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Speaker 1: York family in San Francisco. I big money, something beyond

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Speaker 1: just the team. I don't think Dallas's future is bright.

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Speaker 1: I really don't. And it's not a shot at Dak.

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Speaker 1: I mean, God, if you put Daniel Jones on the

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Speaker 1: Cowboys and Dak on the Giants, Giant or playoff team,

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Speaker 1: absolutely Cowboys are bad, bad. I mean, you wouldn't even

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Speaker 1: have to get a great one quarterback With Dable and

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Speaker 1: the Giants defensive front neighbors and they're left tackle, you

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Speaker 1: wouldn't need a great quarterback. You'd need Dak. He'd be

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Speaker 1: a playoff team every year. Hell Eli Manning wasn't a

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Speaker 1: great regular season quarterback, but he was great, always arrived, Ohway,

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Speaker 1: was healthy, always playing two minute drill, and good in

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Speaker 1: the playoffs. Think about this, dak Is twenty four and

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Speaker 1: four against Washington and the New York Giants. That's not

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Speaker 1: going to continue. Davile's getting his quarterback next year. Washington

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Speaker 1: has there. It was like Big Ben for years eight

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Speaker 1: on Cincinnati and Cleveland. Then Burrow showed up, Baker showed

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Speaker 1: up and didn't feel the same. And so when you

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Speaker 1: get that eight nine year window with a big franchise

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Speaker 1: a Dallas or at Pittsburgh and you have the lesser

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Speaker 1: halves or the have nots in your division and you're

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Speaker 1: just dominating you for late nine years, you got to

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Speaker 1: get multiple playoff wins. You got to show up in

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Speaker 1: the conference championship. You got to show up in a

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Speaker 1: super Bowl. Pittsburgh did it. You know, Pittsburgh, Tomlin, they

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Speaker 1: get to a couple of Super Bowls. Okay, they be

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Speaker 1: in Arizona, they beat the Seattle, they got theirs. It

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Speaker 1: didn't end like you'd like in Pittsburgh, but they got theirs.

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Speaker 1: When Cincinnati and Cleveland were you know, not great, didn't

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Speaker 1: have star quarterbacks. Well, Washington and New York since Eli

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Speaker 1: left have been a mess. What's Dallas haveing a show

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Speaker 1: for it? Twenty four to four? It's just two and

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Speaker 1: Oho every year not in the show for it. They

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Speaker 1: beat the New York Giants last year by seventy two

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Speaker 1: combined points. The Cowboys did it tonight. They needed a

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Speaker 1: guy who can kick long field goals, so I and

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Speaker 1: and Dables getting his guy in this draft. They're going

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Speaker 1: to have a top six to seventh pick, and there's

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Speaker 1: four quarterbacks and Travis Hunter's going to be one of

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Speaker 1: the top guys taken. Will Johnson that corner for Michigan's

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Speaker 1: going to be one of the top guys taken. So

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Speaker 1: there's a tackle of Texas probably going to be one

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Speaker 1: of those guys taken. There's a defensive tackle for Kentucky's

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Speaker 1: probably going to be one of those guys taken. Giants

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Speaker 1: are getting a quarterback, maybe the second choice for Dable.

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Speaker 1: But they're getting somebody. So is that too negative? I

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Speaker 1: don't know. I you know, Dak has over forty percent

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Speaker 1: of his wins on the Giants and Washington. But now

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Speaker 1: that Jadeen Daniels is cooking, and he looks like he

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Speaker 1: can't really play now that Jade Daniels is cooking, and

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Speaker 1: the Eagles role is gonna have players With Harry Roseman,

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Speaker 1: I think, I think the days of getting fat on

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Speaker 1: Washington and the Giants are over, and the Giants are

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Speaker 1: gonna get into our quarterback next year. And Dable's really

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Speaker 1: good with quarterbacks. This was not Davie's quarterback. He wouldn't

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Speaker 1: have drafted him. He's not his guy. They didn't want

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Speaker 1: to give him the extension. Don't don't blame Dabel for this.

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Speaker 1: That's that's upstairs, that's Mara. He'll get the quarterback he

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Speaker 1: wants next year. Dabel and those quarterbacks, he'll have the influence,

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Speaker 1: he'll have the call with Joe Shane the GM they'll

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Speaker 1: get somebody. Cam Ward can play in the NFL. Quin

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Speaker 1: yours can play. Schador can play a little bit too

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Speaker 1: much personality for me, but he can play and back

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Speaker 1: at Georgia. So that's that's four. That's four guys, and

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Speaker 1: somebody will emerge over the next six to seven weeks.

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Speaker 1: And I know it. It's easy to beat up on

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Speaker 1: teams like the New York Giants right now. But I

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Speaker 1: see a lot of good pieces with Dallas. I see

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Speaker 1: a lot of big contracts and one great player in

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Speaker 1: CD lab. That's all I see. Blazing five tomorrow on

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Speaker 1: All Right Time for an utter edition of Sharper Square

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Speaker 1: Chadmilman CCO Action Network. All of our odds provided by DraftKings.

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Speaker 1: I don't have referendums or declarations very often, but officially

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Speaker 1: I will never bet Trevor Lawrence again for the rest

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Speaker 1: of my adult life, and I'm going to stick with

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Speaker 1: that one.

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Speaker 2: The number of times I have made those kinds of

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Speaker 2: declarations and then the very next week gone on to

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Speaker 2: bet the exact team or player I said I would

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Speaker 2: never bet again, including by the way, last week when

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Speaker 2: I bet the Carolina Panthers because Andy Dollin was the

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Speaker 2: quarterback after I had sworn off the Carolina Panthers. So

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Speaker 2: be careful what you say, because you might have to

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Speaker 2: walk it back.

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Speaker 1: All right, this is an interesting week, so I usually

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Speaker 1: feel first couple of weeks I'm kind of feeling it out.

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Speaker 1: I never used to feel that way, but because nobody

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Speaker 1: plays anybody in preseason, fewer padded practices, I kind of

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Speaker 1: feel like the Jets in Week one offensively or awful.

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Speaker 1: Then all of a sudden you watch them and you're like, wow,

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Speaker 1: they lead the NFL in third down percentage. Like stuff

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Speaker 1: happens fast because either Sean McVay, fewer padded practices, I'm

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Speaker 1: not going to play any starters, but I do feel

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Speaker 1: like I have. I kind of feel like I have.

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Speaker 1: I got my feet beneath me on the league. But

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Speaker 1: this is an instructive moment, and I'll tell you I

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Speaker 1: want to start with this because I part of why

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Speaker 1: I like doing Sharper Square. I liked teaching myself stuff

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Speaker 1: and the audience. So I really liked the Jets early

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Speaker 1: in the week at minus six and a half. I

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Speaker 1: think it's a bad spot for a rookie quarterback traveling

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Speaker 1: going back, I get a veteran extra rest. This is

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Speaker 1: a bad spot for bow Nicks. I thought Tampa I

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Speaker 1: picked them in that week it was a good spot.

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Speaker 1: And with rookie quarterbacks it's a lot of where you

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Speaker 1: land and how the schedule looks. Same with rookie coaches.

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Speaker 1: New England on a Thursday night, bad spot off an

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Speaker 1: overtime game. So I liked the Jets a lot. And

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Speaker 1: now it's seven and a half and I don't bet teams.

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Speaker 1: I bet numbers in this league. So now I like

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Speaker 1: Denver and just because of a point swing. So just

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Speaker 1: as a point of instruction, how do the wise guys

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Speaker 1: view that game?

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Speaker 2: Well, they're going to bet Denver at seven and a half,

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Speaker 2: and that's sort of what they've been waiting for. What

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Speaker 2: you're doing, naturally, because you've been watching football and thinking

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Speaker 2: about this for a long time, is looking at the

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Speaker 2: number seven. It's a key number, right, and the key

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Speaker 2: numbers mean that's the number that's the delta of between

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Speaker 2: the two scores that a lot of games land on

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Speaker 2: in the NFL seven four three two. With the extra

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Speaker 2: point changes the past couple of years, those are now

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Speaker 2: the key numbers, and those are the ones that wise

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Speaker 2: guys want to get on the right side of. So

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Speaker 2: you liked New York at six and a half because

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Speaker 2: it was on the right side of that key number

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Speaker 2: of seven. You like Denver on the seven and a

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Speaker 2: half because now you're on the right side of seven

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Speaker 2: for Denver. So that is the delta, by the and

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Speaker 2: that is the very very thin line between success and failure.

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Speaker 2: We're talking about half a point in your logic, but

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Speaker 2: that is the difference between winning and losing in so

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Speaker 2: many of these games.

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Speaker 1: So another point. I'm going to reflect on this because

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Speaker 1: this week I don't have as strong as a conviction

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Speaker 1: on games. But I'm fascinated by why a number is

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Speaker 1: so about. Once a week there is a number I

337
00:18:28,760 --> 00:18:31,440
Speaker 1: don't understand. Last week it was Seattle in Miami. I

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Speaker 1: had a winning week. I didn't get the number. Skyler

339
00:18:33,640 --> 00:18:36,479
Speaker 1: Thompson against Mike McDonald's defense. That felt like a blowout

340
00:18:36,480 --> 00:18:38,640
Speaker 1: to me. It's a hard place to play for TUA.

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00:18:38,720 --> 00:18:41,399
Speaker 1: Miami doesn't play well West or North usually they're just

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00:18:41,440 --> 00:18:44,560
Speaker 1: a different team. So the Steelers minus one and a

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00:18:44,600 --> 00:18:47,359
Speaker 1: half going to be four to zero, best defense arguably

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Speaker 1: in the league against a quarterback who is in a

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Speaker 1: t bow level forty nine percent completion percentage. I talked

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Speaker 1: to one executive this week. He said his tapes as

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00:18:56,640 --> 00:19:00,600
Speaker 1: bad as a thrower as anybody he remembers. So I

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Speaker 1: look at it and I think that number doesn't make sense.

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Speaker 1: It should be Steelers minus two to two and a

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00:19:04,160 --> 00:19:08,200
Speaker 1: half to three. I would take Pittsburgh, but the market's

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Speaker 1: confusing me. Explain the line.

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Speaker 2: The market is confusing you because the Steelers are undefeated.

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00:19:15,560 --> 00:19:19,360
Speaker 2: They opened as two point favorites, and the line has

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00:19:19,440 --> 00:19:24,280
Speaker 2: moved in the direction of the Indianapolis Colts. And what's more,

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Speaker 2: what you can see in a lot of places, and

356
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Speaker 2: most operators offer those DraftKings does as well. You can

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Speaker 2: usually see the betting tickets and the betting money. Tickets

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00:19:36,560 --> 00:19:40,520
Speaker 2: means that the squares are coming in on a side.

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00:19:40,960 --> 00:19:44,480
Speaker 2: Money means that the professionals are coming in on a side.

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00:19:45,320 --> 00:19:47,879
Speaker 2: The delta on this game is squares on the Steelers,

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00:19:48,320 --> 00:19:51,919
Speaker 2: money on the professionals. The line usually moves, I mean

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Speaker 2: money on the Colts. Professionals on the Colts, the line

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00:19:54,640 --> 00:19:57,639
Speaker 2: usually moves in the direction of the money. That tells

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Speaker 2: you that what the professionals are doing. The reason that's

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00:20:00,880 --> 00:20:05,800
Speaker 2: happening in this game is because a Mike Tomlin is

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Speaker 2: historically great as a road underdog and historically bad as

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00:20:11,880 --> 00:20:16,960
Speaker 2: a road favorite. They are also not believing in Justin

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00:20:17,400 --> 00:20:20,919
Speaker 2: Fields right now. They love the Steelers defense. They know

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Speaker 2: if the Steelers get up that TJ. Watt is going

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Speaker 2: to slam the door closed, and that's when he's amazing.

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Speaker 2: But it's not like they're dominating teams. And if you

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Speaker 2: even look at that Chargers game, it's ten to ten

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Speaker 2: with a one legged Justin Herbert and it doesn't become

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Speaker 2: a Steelers win until Justin Herbert is out of the game.

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Speaker 2: Now they're going on the road in a game that

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00:20:44,000 --> 00:20:48,040
Speaker 2: should probably be pick based on the talent levels, and

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00:20:48,119 --> 00:20:51,159
Speaker 2: the strength of the Colts is not going to be

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Speaker 2: Anthony Richardson throwing or trying to evade TJ. Watt. It's

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Speaker 2: going to be what this offensive line, which is one

380
00:20:58,560 --> 00:21:01,200
Speaker 2: of the top rated run blocking and top rated pass

381
00:21:01,240 --> 00:21:04,840
Speaker 2: blocking lines in the league, can do to get Jonathan

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00:21:04,880 --> 00:21:07,720
Speaker 2: Taylor free in the open field. So that's why the

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00:21:07,720 --> 00:21:10,680
Speaker 2: Wise guys like this matchup. They're getting a home underdog

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Speaker 2: and an overvalued favorite.

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Speaker 1: Okay, let's get into my picks this line. Initially I

386
00:21:17,440 --> 00:21:19,679
Speaker 1: felt like Chicago was to play. It's now up to

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00:21:19,760 --> 00:21:24,919
Speaker 1: plus three. It's a coach quarterback league. It wasn't. The

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00:21:25,000 --> 00:21:28,360
Speaker 1: Rams won this game basically on special teams, but now

389
00:21:28,400 --> 00:21:31,640
Speaker 1: they have both their tackles back. The interior offensive line

390
00:21:31,640 --> 00:21:36,600
Speaker 1: has now played together for three games, so have these receivers.

391
00:21:36,920 --> 00:21:41,080
Speaker 1: So the Niners were missing elements. But I don't trust

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00:21:41,080 --> 00:21:45,000
Speaker 1: eber Flus or Shane Waldron. I'm not giving up a

393
00:21:45,119 --> 00:21:47,720
Speaker 1: field goal to just a winning culture to one that's

394
00:21:47,720 --> 00:21:50,960
Speaker 1: trying to find their way. Bears are getting better. But

395
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Speaker 1: I'll play the number Rams plus three Sharper square.

396
00:21:54,760 --> 00:21:58,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, at three, it's sort of in the middle. We

397
00:21:58,680 --> 00:22:01,679
Speaker 2: just talked about key numbers. If this game gets up

398
00:22:01,760 --> 00:22:04,399
Speaker 2: to three and a half, the Wise guys will play

399
00:22:04,880 --> 00:22:08,200
Speaker 2: the Rams. But it opened at one and the Wise

400
00:22:08,200 --> 00:22:10,840
Speaker 2: guys played the one. The one and a half, the two,

401
00:22:11,040 --> 00:22:13,200
Speaker 2: the two and a half, and now it's at three.

402
00:22:13,359 --> 00:22:17,360
Speaker 2: And their logic here is very much by low Sell high. Right,

403
00:22:18,119 --> 00:22:20,960
Speaker 2: you just talked about last week. With four minutes and

404
00:22:21,000 --> 00:22:24,480
Speaker 2: fifty seven seconds left in that game against the Niners,

405
00:22:24,920 --> 00:22:28,440
Speaker 2: the Rams had a five percent chance to win that game.

406
00:22:28,640 --> 00:22:32,960
Speaker 2: They needed every single thing to go right in that game,

407
00:22:33,359 --> 00:22:36,119
Speaker 2: and it did. The Niners could not advance the ball

408
00:22:36,560 --> 00:22:38,880
Speaker 2: deeper into the Rams side of the field. They missed

409
00:22:38,880 --> 00:22:41,679
Speaker 2: a fifty five yard field goal. The Rams scored in

410
00:22:41,720 --> 00:22:45,560
Speaker 2: three straight plays. Play the next series, the forty nine

411
00:22:45,640 --> 00:22:48,800
Speaker 2: Ers can't advance the ball, they punt, The Rams get

412
00:22:48,800 --> 00:22:52,080
Speaker 2: a great punt return, They get three penalties on one play,

413
00:22:52,119 --> 00:22:55,960
Speaker 2: including a twenty eight yard pass interference. They win the game.

414
00:22:56,240 --> 00:22:59,960
Speaker 2: The Bearers, meanwhile, couldn't have played worse. Caleb Williams was

415
00:23:00,080 --> 00:23:04,160
Speaker 2: confusing Colts defenders for Bears receivers. They were truly terrible.

416
00:23:04,200 --> 00:23:09,080
Speaker 2: They had no running game right twenty five seconds left

417
00:23:09,080 --> 00:23:12,359
Speaker 2: in the third quarter, they're still down seven to three.

418
00:23:12,880 --> 00:23:15,240
Speaker 2: When the Colts score a touchdown to go fourteen to three.

419
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Speaker 2: Five minutes left in that game, they're still down fourteen

420
00:23:18,160 --> 00:23:20,800
Speaker 2: to nine. They had a chance to keep winning that game.

421
00:23:21,119 --> 00:23:26,080
Speaker 2: Their pass rush is elite. Their defense is getting better

422
00:23:26,280 --> 00:23:30,359
Speaker 2: and better. You have to assume in this game that

423
00:23:30,359 --> 00:23:32,480
Speaker 2: the Bears are not as bad as they were, which

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00:23:32,480 --> 00:23:34,679
Speaker 2: is what the wise guys think, and the Rams cannot

425
00:23:34,720 --> 00:23:37,000
Speaker 2: replicate that kind of luck no matter who's back on

426
00:23:37,040 --> 00:23:43,159
Speaker 2: the field. All that said, your statement about Sean McVay

427
00:23:43,720 --> 00:23:47,840
Speaker 2: and Matthew Stafford versus ebra Flus and Caleb Williams is

428
00:23:47,880 --> 00:23:50,240
Speaker 2: the one reason I've talked about this game all week.

429
00:23:50,440 --> 00:23:53,080
Speaker 2: It is the one reason why I have heard wise

430
00:23:53,119 --> 00:23:56,800
Speaker 2: guys saying I'm kind of hesitating. Those who are in

431
00:23:56,920 --> 00:23:59,359
Speaker 2: are in, but those who are hesitating orre hesitating because

432
00:23:59,359 --> 00:24:01,360
Speaker 2: of that exactly way, all.

433
00:24:01,359 --> 00:24:03,520
Speaker 1: Right, I'm going to take the Packers minus two and

434
00:24:03,560 --> 00:24:06,600
Speaker 1: a half at home against the Vikings. The Vikings are

435
00:24:06,640 --> 00:24:09,800
Speaker 1: playing really well, but they've always been a little better

436
00:24:09,840 --> 00:24:14,200
Speaker 1: at home than on the road. Also, Green Bay is

437
00:24:14,280 --> 00:24:17,720
Speaker 1: winning without Jordan Love. The team is gaining confidence. Jordan

438
00:24:17,800 --> 00:24:20,600
Speaker 1: Love is a massive step up. I also think Green

439
00:24:20,640 --> 00:24:22,800
Speaker 1: Bay this year, for the first time in recent memory,

440
00:24:23,400 --> 00:24:26,879
Speaker 1: is kind of a ball hawking defense that's creating turnovers.

441
00:24:27,160 --> 00:24:31,240
Speaker 1: Sam Darnold historically will give you opportunities. So at minus

442
00:24:31,280 --> 00:24:33,000
Speaker 1: two and a half, Green Bay at home. I don't

443
00:24:33,000 --> 00:24:37,000
Speaker 1: think people quite understand the coaching job. Winning with Malik

444
00:24:37,000 --> 00:24:41,600
Speaker 1: Willis and looking good with Malik Willis, these aren't fluke Wins.

445
00:24:41,720 --> 00:24:43,600
Speaker 1: I would swallow the two and a half take Green

446
00:24:43,640 --> 00:24:44,600
Speaker 1: Bay sharper square.

447
00:24:44,760 --> 00:24:48,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, this is a really tricky one because there is

448
00:24:49,119 --> 00:24:53,960
Speaker 2: just universal split on this one. Wow, it went to two,

449
00:24:54,119 --> 00:24:55,760
Speaker 2: it was at two, it got at the two and

450
00:24:55,840 --> 00:24:57,960
Speaker 2: a half, it got up the three. The wise guys

451
00:24:57,960 --> 00:24:59,880
Speaker 2: took the three. Bet it down to two and a half.

452
00:25:00,240 --> 00:25:03,320
Speaker 2: You'll see it bouncing around back and forth. Everybody has

453
00:25:03,320 --> 00:25:05,760
Speaker 2: an opinion on this game, and they are very strongly

454
00:25:05,800 --> 00:25:09,080
Speaker 2: on Minnesota, very strongly on Green Bay. I can't give

455
00:25:09,119 --> 00:25:12,160
Speaker 2: you a definitive answer. You could be right. Whyse guys

456
00:25:12,200 --> 00:25:15,040
Speaker 2: could be right? What's interesting in this game? I agree

457
00:25:15,080 --> 00:25:19,960
Speaker 2: with you. Matt Lafleur has been a genius in this scenario,

458
00:25:20,359 --> 00:25:22,800
Speaker 2: and you have to credit what he has done with

459
00:25:22,920 --> 00:25:25,879
Speaker 2: Malik Willis. You also have to credit Kevin O'Connell what

460
00:25:25,920 --> 00:25:27,840
Speaker 2: he has done with Sam Darnold to make him look

461
00:25:28,200 --> 00:25:32,080
Speaker 2: like an MVP worthy quarterback to get his team undefeated.

462
00:25:32,119 --> 00:25:35,159
Speaker 2: You have to credit Brian Flores, whose team is number

463
00:25:35,200 --> 00:25:39,080
Speaker 2: one defensively in Dboa and make Brock Perdy and CJ.

464
00:25:39,200 --> 00:25:43,240
Speaker 2: Shroud look mediocre to bad in two upsets for this

465
00:25:43,320 --> 00:25:45,760
Speaker 2: team against quarterbacks who are really good against the Blitz.

466
00:25:46,440 --> 00:25:50,400
Speaker 2: Then there's one stat that keeps sticking in my craw

467
00:25:52,400 --> 00:25:59,359
Speaker 2: teams that are short home favorites in divisional games against

468
00:25:59,359 --> 00:26:04,119
Speaker 2: the spread since twenty sixteen. So I am completely torn

469
00:26:04,119 --> 00:26:08,800
Speaker 2: on this game. I lean Minnesota. I'm hoping it gets

470
00:26:08,840 --> 00:26:09,359
Speaker 2: back to three.

471
00:26:11,080 --> 00:26:13,320
Speaker 1: I like Seattle plus three and a half at the Lions.

472
00:26:13,400 --> 00:26:16,600
Speaker 1: Lions are missing their top center, Byron Murphy, the really,

473
00:26:16,640 --> 00:26:19,640
Speaker 1: really good defensive tackle number one pick for the Seahawks,

474
00:26:20,040 --> 00:26:23,520
Speaker 1: has elevated a defensive front. I think one of the

475
00:26:23,520 --> 00:26:25,440
Speaker 1: things about Seattle, I think they're one of the best

476
00:26:25,520 --> 00:26:28,800
Speaker 1: coach teams in the league right now. On the defensive side,

477
00:26:29,600 --> 00:26:33,920
Speaker 1: I don't quite feel like they finally figured out their

478
00:26:33,960 --> 00:26:37,520
Speaker 1: offense last week with Detroit. Thirty five carries Montgomery and Gibbs,

479
00:26:38,160 --> 00:26:40,560
Speaker 1: but you're not going to run like that on Seattle.

480
00:26:40,760 --> 00:26:44,400
Speaker 1: Seattle has been playmakers. Detroit's ohwas susceptible if you can

481
00:26:44,440 --> 00:26:48,240
Speaker 1: block Hudgson. Detroit's ohways susceptible. The big plays. Three and

482
00:26:48,280 --> 00:26:50,119
Speaker 1: a half is too big of a number. Gino complete

483
00:26:50,160 --> 00:26:52,439
Speaker 1: seventy four percent of his throws. This is a highly

484
00:26:52,560 --> 00:26:57,680
Speaker 1: competent offense. Efficient, competent, and occasionally explosive. I don't trust

485
00:26:57,680 --> 00:27:00,280
Speaker 1: the Lions here, Sharper square.

486
00:27:00,080 --> 00:27:02,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, whyse guys still like the Seahawks here. If you

487
00:27:02,480 --> 00:27:04,960
Speaker 2: can get the hook, that's what they're planning. The line

488
00:27:05,000 --> 00:27:08,399
Speaker 2: has moved in their direction, even though it's Detroit at

489
00:27:08,440 --> 00:27:12,040
Speaker 2: home inside when they are historically great against the spread.

490
00:27:12,280 --> 00:27:13,880
Speaker 2: It went from four and a half down to four.

491
00:27:13,960 --> 00:27:15,920
Speaker 2: Now it's at three and a half. All the things

492
00:27:15,960 --> 00:27:22,200
Speaker 2: you said, there is some sort of hesitation because who

493
00:27:22,200 --> 00:27:26,560
Speaker 2: of the Seahawks really beaten? Right, Like, they beat up

494
00:27:26,840 --> 00:27:31,200
Speaker 2: Skyler Thompson and Tim Boyle, they beat up Jacoby Brissett,

495
00:27:31,240 --> 00:27:33,960
Speaker 2: and by the way, the pass played tough in that game,

496
00:27:34,040 --> 00:27:35,920
Speaker 2: and if you look at the spread, it was a push.

497
00:27:36,520 --> 00:27:39,119
Speaker 2: They beat up bo Nicks in his first game, and

498
00:27:39,160 --> 00:27:41,520
Speaker 2: by the way, the Broncos came back at the end

499
00:27:41,560 --> 00:27:44,640
Speaker 2: of that game, and it was a push. So I'm

500
00:27:44,640 --> 00:27:47,439
Speaker 2: not fully bought in on the Seahawks. They have been

501
00:27:47,480 --> 00:27:50,160
Speaker 2: one of those teams professional betters have liked since before

502
00:27:50,200 --> 00:27:56,040
Speaker 2: the season began. The number play is the Seahawks. But

503
00:27:56,119 --> 00:27:57,760
Speaker 2: it's not like a slam dump for me.

504
00:28:01,160 --> 00:28:05,199
Speaker 1: There are games sometimes I just like to watch Bills

505
00:28:05,200 --> 00:28:08,159
Speaker 1: getting two and a half the Ravens Bills in a

506
00:28:08,200 --> 00:28:14,560
Speaker 1: short week. I said this, the Ravens are a toe

507
00:28:16,000 --> 00:28:19,760
Speaker 1: away from just having one really bad loss and crushing

508
00:28:19,840 --> 00:28:26,520
Speaker 1: Dallas and beating the Chiefs. I like Baltimore. They had

509
00:28:26,520 --> 00:28:30,040
Speaker 1: to replace coordinator and some offensive linemen. I think that stuff,

510
00:28:30,119 --> 00:28:34,560
Speaker 1: especially on the O line, takes time. I think the

511
00:28:34,640 --> 00:28:36,440
Speaker 1: Ravens cover here sharper.

512
00:28:36,119 --> 00:28:40,120
Speaker 2: Square totally sharp wise. Guys are on the Ravens. That's

513
00:28:40,160 --> 00:28:43,880
Speaker 2: the play. It's scary, right, you're going to be betting

514
00:28:43,920 --> 00:28:47,120
Speaker 2: against Josh Allen, who is wicked right now and is

515
00:28:47,160 --> 00:28:50,200
Speaker 2: now the odds on favorite to win the MVP after

516
00:28:50,280 --> 00:28:53,120
Speaker 2: what he did to the Jags on Monday Night. I mean,

517
00:28:53,160 --> 00:28:58,120
Speaker 2: he was fierce right, his passes were pinpoint. He was

518
00:28:58,240 --> 00:29:03,080
Speaker 2: running through the of that Jaguars line. But I do

519
00:29:03,160 --> 00:29:08,400
Speaker 2: think that the value is on Lamar Jackson, who's twenty

520
00:29:08,440 --> 00:29:12,960
Speaker 2: one and seven, as a short favorite or an underdog.

521
00:29:13,400 --> 00:29:16,600
Speaker 2: It's a really good spot for the Ravens. Their defensive

522
00:29:16,880 --> 00:29:19,560
Speaker 2: backline against the rush, they're getting a little bit better.

523
00:29:20,000 --> 00:29:21,600
Speaker 2: I think the big fear is like, what are they

524
00:29:21,600 --> 00:29:24,800
Speaker 2: going to do when Josh Allen is scrambling and improvising.

525
00:29:25,080 --> 00:29:27,719
Speaker 2: They haven't proven to be able to really defend against that.

526
00:29:28,320 --> 00:29:31,600
Speaker 2: Right now, we saw the Cowboys come back. But Ravens

527
00:29:31,640 --> 00:29:39,680
Speaker 2: are definitely the right side.

528
00:29:40,640 --> 00:29:43,080
Speaker 1: Okay, we do this every week. I have a game.

529
00:29:43,080 --> 00:29:46,440
Speaker 1: I just want your opinion. So the Commander's plus three

530
00:29:46,480 --> 00:29:49,680
Speaker 1: and a half at Arizona, Commander's probably the side. But

531
00:29:50,000 --> 00:29:53,040
Speaker 1: I will say this, I don't think and I've had

532
00:29:53,080 --> 00:29:56,400
Speaker 1: this sourced, I don't think Kyler Murray watches a ton

533
00:29:56,440 --> 00:29:58,880
Speaker 1: of film. I think he's just sort of an instinctive

534
00:29:58,880 --> 00:30:01,040
Speaker 1: player that's really good. I think he can be beaten

535
00:30:01,120 --> 00:30:06,640
Speaker 1: by very good defensive coordinators or secondaries that manipulate him.

536
00:30:06,960 --> 00:30:10,440
Speaker 1: But against bad secondaries that you can coach up to

537
00:30:10,480 --> 00:30:16,160
Speaker 1: certain levels, he can embarrass them. Commanders are not good

538
00:30:16,160 --> 00:30:19,080
Speaker 1: in the back end. They're really really bad on the

539
00:30:19,120 --> 00:30:21,880
Speaker 1: back end. Back end, they're coming off a short week.

540
00:30:22,280 --> 00:30:25,920
Speaker 1: Arizona is one of the It's a little tougher to

541
00:30:25,960 --> 00:30:28,040
Speaker 1: play there than people give it credit for. Niners and

542
00:30:28,120 --> 00:30:29,840
Speaker 1: Rams will tell you Seahawks, it can be a tough

543
00:30:29,840 --> 00:30:32,479
Speaker 1: place to play. Kyler plays very well at home. I

544
00:30:32,520 --> 00:30:35,800
Speaker 1: know it's telling me to take the Commanders short week.

545
00:30:36,000 --> 00:30:38,920
Speaker 1: Rookie quarterback tend to be high and low in spots.

546
00:30:39,600 --> 00:30:41,720
Speaker 1: I think i'd like Arizona, But I know it's not

547
00:30:41,760 --> 00:30:43,080
Speaker 1: the play. What are they telling you?

548
00:30:43,320 --> 00:30:46,320
Speaker 2: It actually is the play. Your instincts are right. It's

549
00:30:46,400 --> 00:30:50,160
Speaker 2: totally the sharp play. You said something really smart off

550
00:30:50,200 --> 00:30:55,200
Speaker 2: the top, which was because of the preseason and people

551
00:30:55,280 --> 00:30:57,560
Speaker 2: not playing, players not playing as often as they have

552
00:30:58,200 --> 00:31:00,840
Speaker 2: what used to be sort of the week three get

553
00:31:00,920 --> 00:31:04,680
Speaker 2: right spot for a lot of professional betters. Like that's

554
00:31:04,720 --> 00:31:07,440
Speaker 2: when you've got two games to see what teams are like.

555
00:31:07,520 --> 00:31:10,000
Speaker 2: You've got a pretty good read on what their system

556
00:31:10,080 --> 00:31:12,400
Speaker 2: is and their style. More importantly, you've got to read

557
00:31:12,480 --> 00:31:15,320
Speaker 2: on the psychological makeup of betters, so you know what

558
00:31:15,760 --> 00:31:18,920
Speaker 2: the bookmakers are trying to lure the betters into doing.

559
00:31:20,320 --> 00:31:23,040
Speaker 2: That's happening now after Week three and into week four,

560
00:31:23,400 --> 00:31:27,000
Speaker 2: and you have some key by low sell high spots.

561
00:31:27,200 --> 00:31:30,720
Speaker 2: This week we talked about the Rams and the Bears,

562
00:31:31,160 --> 00:31:34,760
Speaker 2: we're also talking about the Cardinals and the Commanders. This

563
00:31:34,920 --> 00:31:39,480
Speaker 2: is exactly This line was five and a half before

564
00:31:39,520 --> 00:31:43,840
Speaker 2: the Commander's game against the Bengals, twelve hours later it

565
00:31:44,000 --> 00:31:46,280
Speaker 2: was three and a half. That is because of what

566
00:31:46,320 --> 00:31:49,080
Speaker 2: they did in prime time. You of course want to

567
00:31:49,160 --> 00:31:53,560
Speaker 2: fade a rookie quarterback who goes bananas in prime time

568
00:31:53,960 --> 00:31:56,480
Speaker 2: and then is on a short week going on the

569
00:31:56,600 --> 00:31:59,960
Speaker 2: road against a team that actually, while their defense is no,

570
00:32:00,080 --> 00:32:02,800
Speaker 2: not very good, has been playing a lot better than

571
00:32:02,800 --> 00:32:04,680
Speaker 2: people are giving them credit for. They are a tough

572
00:32:04,720 --> 00:32:07,280
Speaker 2: out and this is a really good chance for them

573
00:32:07,280 --> 00:32:11,239
Speaker 2: to get a win and to put themselves, you know,

574
00:32:11,800 --> 00:32:14,840
Speaker 2: to have some momentum behind what they're doing as a

575
00:32:15,040 --> 00:32:19,000
Speaker 2: relatively short home favorite. So yeah, the right side here

576
00:32:19,040 --> 00:32:19,840
Speaker 2: is Arizona.

577
00:32:19,960 --> 00:32:22,880
Speaker 1: Okay, so I instincts for right Okay. Now there's a game,

578
00:32:23,040 --> 00:32:25,320
Speaker 1: often an ugly one that I have missed completely that

579
00:32:25,400 --> 00:32:28,440
Speaker 1: you think is a strong play. It's usually involving Carolina

580
00:32:28,560 --> 00:32:31,440
Speaker 1: or some dreg hole that I have to watch some

581
00:32:32,000 --> 00:32:37,000
Speaker 1: just egregiously gross. Oh it's just awful, it's terrible.

582
00:32:37,080 --> 00:32:40,080
Speaker 2: It's so it's I don't even like to talk about them,

583
00:32:40,440 --> 00:32:43,200
Speaker 2: Like what asking you to do these things? I could

584
00:32:43,240 --> 00:32:46,760
Speaker 2: say to you, Yes, you want to play the Jags

585
00:32:47,160 --> 00:32:48,520
Speaker 2: against the Houston Texans.

586
00:32:48,600 --> 00:32:51,440
Speaker 1: Okay, so tell the audience the line. It's Houston favored

587
00:32:51,440 --> 00:32:53,080
Speaker 1: by six and a half, right instead is.

588
00:32:53,120 --> 00:32:55,040
Speaker 2: Six and a half. The reason I'm not going to

589
00:32:55,040 --> 00:32:57,280
Speaker 2: tell you is because I do think this line could

590
00:32:57,320 --> 00:33:01,680
Speaker 2: get to seven. The Jags were so bad on Monday Night,

591
00:33:02,080 --> 00:33:04,560
Speaker 2: And because the Texans are becoming such a public team,

592
00:33:04,640 --> 00:33:08,040
Speaker 2: and again education for people. Public teams are the ones

593
00:33:08,080 --> 00:33:11,240
Speaker 2: that are so popular they get an outsized number of bets,

594
00:33:11,400 --> 00:33:14,479
Speaker 2: and bookmakers know they can make them bigger favorites because

595
00:33:14,480 --> 00:33:16,680
Speaker 2: people are going to bet them no matter what right

596
00:33:16,720 --> 00:33:21,200
Speaker 2: You're talking about teams today, it's the Texans, It's always

597
00:33:21,240 --> 00:33:24,680
Speaker 2: the Cowboys, it's always the Steelers. It's going to be

598
00:33:24,720 --> 00:33:27,120
Speaker 2: the Eagles, it's going to be the Chiefs right now.

599
00:33:27,120 --> 00:33:29,560
Speaker 2: It's going to be the Bills too. So you know,

600
00:33:29,560 --> 00:33:30,960
Speaker 2: the number on the Texans is going to be a

601
00:33:31,000 --> 00:33:34,000
Speaker 2: little bit higher. I think it might get to seven

602
00:33:34,360 --> 00:33:36,640
Speaker 2: by Sunday. If it gets there, you're going to see

603
00:33:36,640 --> 00:33:39,240
Speaker 2: a lot of wise guys coming in. The truth is, Colin,

604
00:33:39,840 --> 00:33:43,080
Speaker 2: you hit the games that I'm most excited about. The

605
00:33:43,080 --> 00:33:46,040
Speaker 2: game that I'm most excited about is the Colts and

606
00:33:46,080 --> 00:33:49,560
Speaker 2: the Steelers that just to me feels like the right

607
00:33:49,680 --> 00:33:52,440
Speaker 2: play on the right team, the culture.

608
00:33:52,120 --> 00:33:54,160
Speaker 1: At home, and they're getting a point and a half.

609
00:33:54,400 --> 00:33:59,120
Speaker 2: Yes, I want to play the home underdog in that spot.

610
00:33:59,160 --> 00:34:02,040
Speaker 2: I actually I don't want to play the Panthers this

611
00:34:02,080 --> 00:34:05,840
Speaker 2: week at all. Like to me, it feels a little trappy.

612
00:34:06,520 --> 00:34:08,320
Speaker 2: People do want to play the Panthers, they want to

613
00:34:08,320 --> 00:34:11,160
Speaker 2: play Andy Dalton, they want to fade the Bengals. That

614
00:34:11,200 --> 00:34:13,759
Speaker 2: one feels a little bit scary to me. I'm looking

615
00:34:13,800 --> 00:34:17,680
Speaker 2: at my notes right now, but like we basically hit

616
00:34:17,719 --> 00:34:23,360
Speaker 2: them all like Arizona Chicago. The one I will say,

617
00:34:25,360 --> 00:34:31,160
Speaker 2: and it's terrible. Los Angeles Chargers. Okay, seven people line,

618
00:34:31,880 --> 00:34:36,800
Speaker 2: seven and a half point underdogs at home against the Chiefs.

619
00:34:37,120 --> 00:34:40,120
Speaker 1: So the Chargers getting with a limpy Justin Herbert and

620
00:34:40,160 --> 00:34:42,840
Speaker 1: no offensive tackles seven and a half against case.

621
00:34:43,120 --> 00:34:47,040
Speaker 2: Maybe wimpy Justin Herbert or maybe Taylor Heineke. Like we

622
00:34:47,040 --> 00:34:49,319
Speaker 2: don't even know, right, it could, We don't know what

623
00:34:49,360 --> 00:34:55,520
Speaker 2: it's going to be. But matchup wise, what the Chargers

624
00:34:55,560 --> 00:34:58,040
Speaker 2: really want to do is run the ball. We've seen

625
00:34:58,080 --> 00:35:01,760
Speaker 2: this with Jim Harball, Like this is his right Jim Harball.

626
00:35:01,880 --> 00:35:04,200
Speaker 2: The reason he can come in and turn teams around

627
00:35:04,719 --> 00:35:08,160
Speaker 2: so quickly is because he speaks to the primal nature

628
00:35:08,200 --> 00:35:10,799
Speaker 2: of all football players, which is we're going to go

629
00:35:10,840 --> 00:35:13,600
Speaker 2: beat the crap out of the opponent. And that is

630
00:35:13,640 --> 00:35:16,000
Speaker 2: what he gets these guys to be good at, really

631
00:35:16,040 --> 00:35:20,520
Speaker 2: really quickly, and he's got a preternatural gift for identifying

632
00:35:20,640 --> 00:35:25,799
Speaker 2: offensive line talent. So obviously there's challenges here because Joe

633
00:35:25,840 --> 00:35:29,440
Speaker 2: All is out, Rashaun Slater is out. But I do

634
00:35:29,480 --> 00:35:30,920
Speaker 2: think this team is going to be able to run

635
00:35:30,920 --> 00:35:33,319
Speaker 2: the ball against the Chiefs defense that just hasn't been

636
00:35:33,320 --> 00:35:35,880
Speaker 2: good against the run. And look, we saw that against

637
00:35:35,920 --> 00:35:38,080
Speaker 2: the Falcons right when the Falcons had all of their

638
00:35:38,120 --> 00:35:41,040
Speaker 2: alignment on the field, they were going to win that

639
00:35:41,160 --> 00:35:44,640
Speaker 2: game going away by running Bjon Robinson and then they

640
00:35:44,640 --> 00:35:46,440
Speaker 2: had to completely change their game plan. So I do

641
00:35:46,480 --> 00:35:48,600
Speaker 2: think the Chiefs are going to the Chargers going to

642
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Speaker 2: lean into the Chiefs running game, treats running defense and

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Speaker 2: try to keep this game the clock running and keep

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00:35:56,480 --> 00:35:59,120
Speaker 2: it low scoring. And you do get an advantage when

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Speaker 2: you were playing a very large division underdog. And Patrick

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Speaker 2: Mahons because he's always a big favorite, Yeah, has a

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Speaker 2: hard time covering the spread when he's a big favorite.

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Speaker 1: Chad Millman, all of our lines, draft kings, fingers crossed,

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Speaker 1: good to see anybody.

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Speaker 2: Good to see you two. Always fingers crossed.

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Speaker 1: Always the volume. Thanks so much for listening. If you've

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Speaker 1: enjoyed the podcast, take a moment rate and review