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Speaker 1: The most valuable commodity I know of is information.

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Speaker 2: Wouldn't you agree?

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Speaker 1: I've five dollars?

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Speaker 3: This is a ragulal leve hap they track. You're saying

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Speaker 3: that humans need fantasy to make life bearable. Humans need

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Speaker 3: fantasy to be human.

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Speaker 1: My goodness, that misspeak iron the best, relentless, refusing to

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Speaker 1: give up. All right, hit that horn, very bless the.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the Fantasy Flex podcast from the Action Network

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Speaker 2: and Fantasy Labs. I'm your host, Chris Raybond. This is

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Speaker 2: your NFL Week six Fantasy preview. As always, I'm joined

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Speaker 2: but one of the most accurate fantasy racers in the game.

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Speaker 2: Yadds maker Sean Kerner. Shaan, how's it going pretty good?

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Speaker 1: Once again? We had a handful of guys that we

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Speaker 1: threw out last week score a touchdown and assuming a

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Speaker 1: lot of them were you know, longer odds. But another

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Speaker 1: great week for us on dart throws.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Loo, it's like I think it was Shepherd out,

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Speaker 2: Pierce Slayton, Tucker Craft had a couple. So yeah, it

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Speaker 2: was a good week and we will try.

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Speaker 1: To keep it going.

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Speaker 2: We'll go through every game give our favorite dart throw,

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Speaker 2: starting with the Thursday Night game. Before we get into it,

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Speaker 2: just want to quickly remind everyone all of our fantasy

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Speaker 2: football content is available right now over at fantasy labs

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Speaker 2: dot com. All of our award winning rankings, projections, plus

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Speaker 2: tools and more at fantasy labs dot com. All right,

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Speaker 2: Week six, Thursday Night Football, we have the Niners at

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Speaker 2: the Seahawks. Seahawks are three and a half point underdogs

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Speaker 2: at home. Total around forty seven and a half. I'll

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Speaker 2: go with Isaac Garrendo here. He's only two K and

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Speaker 2: I think he's an interesting play in this one number

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Speaker 2: one because you're on a short week. But number two

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Speaker 2: Jordan Mason fumbled away the game essentially in that Arizona

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Speaker 2: game in Week five, so you might see Garendo mixing

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Speaker 2: a little bit more than usual. He had five carries

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Speaker 2: for twenty two yards last week. Had started to get

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Speaker 2: a few snaps behind Mason these last few weeks, but

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Speaker 2: given the fumbling issue with Mason, I think it's interesting

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Speaker 2: to kind of play Grendo in this spot and see

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Speaker 2: if maybe he gets a few more snaps because of

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Speaker 2: that or just because of the short week.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I love it was that Mason's first fumble of

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Speaker 1: the season or I mean it was just such a

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Speaker 1: critical fumble. I'm sure you know Shana was not pleased

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Speaker 1: with that, but IM just curious if that first or

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Speaker 1: his second.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, he's tumbled against the Vikings as well. All right,

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Speaker 2: got the London Another London game this week, Jacksonville and Chicago.

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Speaker 2: The Bears favored by two and a half. The total

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Speaker 2: around forty four and a half. Who do you like

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Speaker 2: in this one?

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Speaker 1: I like Romo Dune here still kind of flying under

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Speaker 1: the radar. He had that really big Week three where

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Speaker 1: he caught six balls one hundred and twelve yards in

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Speaker 1: a touchdown, but outside of that been fairly quiet. I

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Speaker 1: figure it'd be kind of tough for him to be

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Speaker 1: consistent considering you know, they have Dj Moore and Keenan Allen,

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Speaker 1: but he's getting a ton of playing time. Last week

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Speaker 1: even with Key and Allen fully healthy. You know, Dounsay

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Speaker 1: ran around on ninety seven percent of Caleb Williams dropbacks,

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Speaker 1: so the playing times there. You know, he was dealing

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Speaker 1: with a knee injury earlier in the season. Have to

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Speaker 1: figure he's closer to one hundred percent now, and uh,

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Speaker 1: what Caleb Williams is just playing better weekend week out,

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Speaker 1: So you'd have to figure you know, that's going to

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Speaker 1: help with Donsay long term. And they for whatever reason,

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Speaker 1: they haven't really been connecting on downfield throws. Dounsday has

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Speaker 1: been targeted ten times. We only cut two of those

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Speaker 1: so far, twenty plus yards downfield. I expect that to

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Speaker 1: get much better going forward. Again, Caleb Williams was kind

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Speaker 1: of like a downfield specialist at USC. You know, Dunsay

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Speaker 1: is just excellent all around, but especially downfield contested catches.

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Speaker 1: He can do it all. So I'm still buying low

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Speaker 1: on Romo Doomsday. And this is a spot, you know

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Speaker 1: against the Jaguars that would not be shocked if he

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Speaker 1: blows up here.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, they pass.

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Speaker 2: Defense has been absolutely terrible. Just asked out Pierce and

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Speaker 2: all those guys last week. Oh yeah, all right, let's

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Speaker 2: go to the main sweet start off with the Commanders

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Speaker 2: at the Ravens. Should be an interesting game. The Ravens

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Speaker 2: are favored by six and a half. The total is

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Speaker 2: that fifty two and a half. I'm gonna roll with

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Speaker 2: zach Ertz here at thirty seven hundred. He got eight

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Speaker 2: targets last week, but only two catches. Was still has

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Speaker 2: a route rate of over eighty percent on the season,

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Speaker 2: Baltimore outside the top twenty in DVOA against tight ends.

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Speaker 2: So in a game where Washington might have to score

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Speaker 2: even more than usual in this spot because the Ravens,

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Speaker 2: you know they can score, I like Ertz to bounce

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Speaker 2: back here and catch more than two of his eight

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Speaker 2: targets this time around Houston at New England, Nico Collins

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Speaker 2: looks like he's going to be out. Looks like we're

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Speaker 2: gonna get Drake May making his first start for the Patriots,

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Speaker 2: who are seven point underdogs.

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Speaker 1: A total on.

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Speaker 2: Thirty eight and a half, thirty eight, thirty eight and

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Speaker 2: a half. Who do you like in this matchup?

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Speaker 1: I like Xavier Hutchinson at thirty three hundred. You know,

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Speaker 1: it's it's kind of unclear how the Texans plan on

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Speaker 1: replacing Nico Collins, who's expected to miss this week, but

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Speaker 1: Hutchinson was kind of his one for one replacement after

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Speaker 1: he went down last week. Caught two balls for thirty

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Speaker 1: two yards, which makes sense. You know, hutch is a

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Speaker 1: bigger wide receiver. He's six y three, so similar to Collins.

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Speaker 1: You know, I thought he was an underrated sixth round

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Speaker 1: rookie out of Iowa State. Last year, he was brock

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Speaker 1: Perty's top wide receiver in college. But I do expect

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Speaker 1: you know, Robert Woods and John Matchiw to rot rotate

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Speaker 1: in more than you know, Nico Collins would if you

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Speaker 1: were in the lineup. But again, Hutchinson should be out

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Speaker 1: there for at least you know, sixty percent of CJ.

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Speaker 1: Strouds dropbacks, which makes him you know, instantly appealing at

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Speaker 1: thirty three hundred, So like him here also worth pointing

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Speaker 1: out now that Drake May is the starting quarterback, maybe

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Speaker 1: Jalen Polk will finally have a breakout game because he's

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Speaker 1: getting a ton of playing time. You know, Kendrick Bourne

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Speaker 1: returning the lineup last week, but they kind of eased

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Speaker 1: him back in. But you know, Polk is you know,

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Speaker 1: the top receiver at least in terms of usage. So

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Speaker 1: a shake up at quarterback like May, who might be

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Speaker 1: more aggressive, could finally unlock Polk to have you know,

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Speaker 1: his first like real breakout game. So like him as

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Speaker 1: a dart throw as well.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I've been kind of waiting for him to borrow up,

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Speaker 2: but he has been seeing an uptick in usage, so

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Speaker 2: I think long term it will probably be him, Born

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Speaker 2: and Douglas as the top three in that Patriot offense.

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Speaker 2: All right, Cleveland at Philadelphia. It's always tough with the

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Speaker 2: Eagles because they don't play out their backups a ton

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Speaker 2: if guys are healthy. So we're gonna go to Elijah Morgan.

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Speaker 2: He didn't do much of any two last week, but

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Speaker 2: thirty three hundred still has an eighty one percent route

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Speaker 2: rate on the season, and he was arguing up the

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Speaker 2: third most Fantasy points two wide receivers. So as long

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Speaker 2: as more is still out there, you know, running a

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Speaker 2: route as that number three wide receiver, it'd probably be ugly,

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Speaker 2: but he's probably gonna pop again one of these days.

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Speaker 3: So like him at thirty three hundred.

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Speaker 1: No love him like long term, like sneaky and like

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Speaker 1: deeper fancy leagues because we might see Jamis Winston soon

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Speaker 1: and we might see Amari Cooper get traded, so I

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Speaker 1: think both those things happening. Might you know, unlock more

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Speaker 1: for like more consistent value weekend week out?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, definitely. Right now, he's kind of stuck as that

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Speaker 2: spot third receiver. All right, Colts at Titans. The Titans

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Speaker 2: are about one point underdogs on the road.

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Speaker 3: The toes around forty three. Who do I here.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with the rookie here, Adie Mitchell at

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Speaker 1: thirty nine hundred. Still unclear, you know who's going to

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Speaker 1: start for the Colts this week, But either way, he

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Speaker 1: offers you know, some like deep downfield catch potential here.

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Speaker 1: He's kind of like the Dantavian Wicks of this wide

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Speaker 1: receiver group, Like he's very talented, but it's gonna be

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Speaker 1: hard for him to really get playing time unless one

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Speaker 1: of the top three receivers go down. But having said that,

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Speaker 1: he is still running a rout on you know, about

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Speaker 1: a quarter of the dropbacks, and he's been so close

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Speaker 1: on a ton of big plays. Again, when he's in

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Speaker 1: the game, he typically gets those high value you know,

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Speaker 1: downfield targets, you know, potential touchdown targets, and last week

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Speaker 1: he finally cashed in with a four catch thirty eight

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Speaker 1: yard game. You know, certainly would help if Flacco's under center,

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Speaker 1: but even Anthony Richardson could give him a deep shot

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Speaker 1: or two that they could connect this week. So I

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Speaker 1: think he's still sneaky in like larger GPPs. I think

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Speaker 1: he's worth a fire. At thirty nine hundred really, whether

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Speaker 1: it's Flacco or Richardson under center this week.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Richardson was giving him some deep shots too.

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Speaker 2: It's just they were like off, but eventually he's gonna

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Speaker 2: have to come down one.

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Speaker 1: Save those accurate ones for Peerce so far right, everyone

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Speaker 1: does any time.

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Speaker 3: A man.

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Speaker 2: All right, Carr knows that Packers should be a pretty

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Speaker 2: high scoring game. The totals forty nine and a half,

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Speaker 2: Packers favored by five. I'm wanna go with Manuel Wilson here.

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Speaker 2: He's forty three hundred. I feel like Tucker Kraft would

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Speaker 2: be cheating. He's a little more expensive, but Wilson is

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Speaker 2: averaging just under ten touches a game his last three,

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Speaker 2: So in a high scoring game, you know, at green Bay,

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Speaker 2: mixing in Wilson a little bit more, I think he's

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Speaker 2: He's a good bet to pop in. Arizona's run defense

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Speaker 2: has been pretty shaky, so like Wilson here at forty

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Speaker 2: three hundred, Saints hosting the Bucks two and a half

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Speaker 2: point underdogs total forty two and a half. Probably know

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Speaker 2: Derek Carr here, Jake Haynter finished the game for him

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Speaker 2: a Monday night, like in this one.

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Speaker 1: I'll go Taysom Hill at four K. These are just

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Speaker 1: two pretty top heavy offenses. That's kind of hard to

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Speaker 1: find like a value, dark throw kind of guy, especially

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Speaker 1: with Derek Carr potentially out the Buccaneers wide receiver. Three

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Speaker 1: situations worth monitoring. Maybe Stirling Shepherd can get another start here,

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Speaker 1: but I like Taysom Hill assuming he could suit up.

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Speaker 1: I mean, he is dealing with a pretty rough rib injury,

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Speaker 1: but with car potentially missing, I think they really want

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Speaker 1: him back in the lineup. So if he goes, you know,

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Speaker 1: I'd expect an a lean on Taysom even more, maybe

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Speaker 1: taking more snap center center, maybe even attempting a few passes.

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Speaker 1: We haven't seen that as much lately about with Car out.

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Speaker 1: You never know, but I think, you know, I like

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Speaker 1: tapping into his upside if he plays, and he'll probably

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Speaker 1: have you know, the injury icon next to his name

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Speaker 1: all week, so I would expect his roster ship to

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Speaker 1: be very low, which is always nice for GPPs. And

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Speaker 1: you have a guy with a high ceiling like Taysom Again,

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Speaker 1: still early in the week, no clue if he's gonna

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Speaker 1: play this week, but if he does, I like him here.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and it's always nice to get him like that

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Speaker 2: first game back before people kind of catch on to

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Speaker 2: see him. I think he had that he missed what

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Speaker 2: week three and then came back in week four and

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Speaker 2: had the two touchdowns and then got hurt again. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: it's got to catch him before everyone catches on, because

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Speaker 2: if he's healthy two weeks in a row, they usually like,

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Speaker 2: all right, we're not gonna use them that much this.

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Speaker 3: Week because they're expecting.

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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 2: Looking for weekly projections for me and Sean Kerner for

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Speaker 2: want to shout out our Action Network colleague Sean Zerrero

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Speaker 2: another great year betting MLB finishing the regular season up

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Speaker 2: out every week talking MLB playoffs on the Payoff Pitch podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's go to the Steers at the Las

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Speaker 2: Vegas Raiders. The Raiders are three point underdogs, the total

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Speaker 2: thirty six and a half piece. Another Pittsburgh favored on

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Speaker 2: the road spot. Oh man, I'm gonna go with Trey

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Speaker 2: Tucker here for the Raiders. So Pittsburgh, we know that

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Speaker 2: they can guard number one receivers. I don't think Devanta

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Speaker 2: Adams like he's probably not playing for them again period

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Speaker 2: for the for the Raiders, so I think that's gonna

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Speaker 2: be Myers. But Pittsburgh's number three and Dvoa against number

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Speaker 2: one wide receivers because they have Joey Porter Junior, but

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Speaker 2: they're outside the top twenty versus all other receivers. So

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Speaker 2: I think Tucker is in a good spot here. He's

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Speaker 2: got some speed. He's also has three rushing attempts over

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Speaker 2: the past two games so and five plus targets in

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Speaker 2: each of the past three. So he's been a pretty

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Speaker 2: solid you know, has a has a pretty solid floor

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Speaker 2: in terms of the usage. And he hit his ceiling

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Speaker 2: couple and against Carolina with ninety six yards and a touchdown.

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Speaker 2: But remember he had that two touchdown game last year

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Speaker 2: against the Chargers, so he's got some some upside here.

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Speaker 2: So I'm gonna row with Tucker here at forty two.

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Speaker 1: Hundred, especially if AOC starts. I have built in my

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Speaker 1: model if AOC starts, boost Trey Tucker by like twenty percent.

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Speaker 1: That two touchdown, that random sixty three point first on

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Speaker 1: Thursday football was a and o'connells slinging it to well,

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Speaker 1: DeVonta Adams too, But Trey Tucker, they just had the

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Speaker 1: chemistry from you know, preseason they were on this you know,

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Speaker 1: the second team unit. They just have solid chemistry. So

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Speaker 1: anytime o'carl's enter center, I give Trey Tucker a bit

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Speaker 1: of a boost.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, there you go.

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Speaker 2: I didn't even think of that, all right, Chargers at

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Speaker 2: the Broncos the another one of these low total games.

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Speaker 2: Chargers favorite on the road, short favorite. The total is

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Speaker 2: around thirty five and a half.

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Speaker 3: Who do you hiking this one?

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Speaker 1: Yeah? This is this is a gross one. I was

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Speaker 1: going to try to go with Lucas Kroll, the new

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Speaker 1: height end, but I I passed on that. I'm going

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Speaker 1: to go with the other crappy ty Hayton Hurst at

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Speaker 1: twenty six hundred. You know, this is just a brutal

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Speaker 1: matchup for the Chargers passing offense. You know, Patrick's rtan

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Speaker 1: just been ridiculously good this year. I'm not even sure

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Speaker 1: who he's gonna be shadowing. Maybe he just covers, you know,

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Speaker 1: all three receivers pretty evenly. Who knows.

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Speaker 2: But Us has been good too, Raley Moss has been

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Speaker 2: really good. Yeah, well, all those corners.

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Speaker 1: I think it could unlock, you know, a three catch,

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Speaker 1: three yard game from Hayden Hurst here and god forbid

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Speaker 1: a touchdown. So I just think that especially you know,

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Speaker 1: Justin Herbert might be the closest he's been to one

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Speaker 1: hundred percent following this bye week, I think Hayden Hurst

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Speaker 1: could be sneaky here. You know, he's he's averaging a

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Speaker 1: seventy two percent routes run rate. He's clearly the lead

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Speaker 1: pass catching tight end in this offense. So at twenty

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Speaker 1: six hundred, you know, certainly in bigger GPPs, I doubt

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Speaker 1: his roster ship is going to be, you know, higher

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Speaker 1: than five percent. So I think he's a sneaky fire here.

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Speaker 1: And again we're just banking on a cheap touchdown.

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Speaker 3: Yeah and yeah, hers should be healthy too.

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Speaker 2: He was what'll banged up going into the buy Cowboys

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Speaker 2: hosting a Lion and this should be another high scoring

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Speaker 2: game total fifty two and a half in this one.

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Speaker 2: The Lions are short favorite. I'm gonna go with Jayalen

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Speaker 2: Brooks here at thirty three hundred. Now you have Turpid

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Speaker 2: in him, kind of splitting that number three row, but

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Speaker 2: Brooks did run around on forty two percent of the

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Speaker 2: dropbacks to Turpin's thirty three percent. Even though Turpin was

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Speaker 2: more productive against Pittsburgh, Brooks ran a few more routes

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Speaker 2: and I think it's only a matter of time before

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Speaker 2: he has, you know, a three four five catch game.

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Speaker 3: You know, Dak Prescott kind.

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Speaker 2: Of talked him up over the summer as another guy

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Speaker 2: that he had good chemistry with along with the Tobert.

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Speaker 2: So I think that, especially with Turpin, his usage tends

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Speaker 2: to go a little up and down because he's still

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Speaker 2: involved on special teams. So I think there's more of

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Speaker 2: a cap to his usage, like if they they had to,

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Speaker 2: you know, have a ton of plays that, you know,

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Speaker 2: a ton of pass plays. I think Brooks will get

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Speaker 2: more and more routes run. So I'm gonna roll with

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Speaker 2: Brooks here. Detroit giving up the fourth most fantasy points

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Speaker 2: to wide receivers, so it should be a good spot

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Speaker 2: for him, all right, Falcons at the Panthers. The Panthers

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Speaker 2: are six point dogs, the total forty seven and a half.

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Speaker 3: Who do you like in that one?

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with another cheap tight end, Jatavian Sanders

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Speaker 1: at twenty six hundred. You know, Tommy Trumble's in the

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Speaker 1: concussion protocol, I believe, so typically you would expect him

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Speaker 1: to miss at least one game. That seems to be

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Speaker 1: the median now and you know Sanders, whenever trembles out,

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Speaker 1: operates as the clear lead tight end. Ran A route

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Speaker 1: on seventy four percent of Dalton Slash Bryce Young dropbacks

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Speaker 1: only caught three balls for thirteen yards. But he is,

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Speaker 1: you know, a fourth round rookie. He's pretty raw, so

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Speaker 1: he's the kind of player you'd expect to just get

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Speaker 1: better weekend week out. Plus, Xavier Legette is banged up,

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Speaker 1: so if he's limited or misses, could be more targets

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Speaker 1: for him. If that is, you know, out in this game.

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Speaker 1: Jalen Cocher could be a sneaky flyer. He was operating

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Speaker 1: as a top three receiver. He might even push Jonathan

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Speaker 1: Mingo down the depth chart at this point. He looked

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Speaker 1: pretty solid all things considered, so I think he would

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Speaker 1: be sneaky in this game if we got word to

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Speaker 1: miss as well.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, top three receiver, top three name it all, kind

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Speaker 2: of ads Javen Coker all right, Sunday Night Football, Bengals

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Speaker 2: out the Giants forty nine as a total. Bengals favored

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Speaker 2: by three and a half on the road. I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: go with Andre Josevash here. He's pretty cheap and still

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Speaker 2: running a round on eighty percent of the drop back

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Speaker 2: since T Higgins returned, so I know he had a

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Speaker 2: couple of one catch games back to back, but.

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Speaker 3: The underlying usage is still there.

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Speaker 2: The Giants are twenty seventh in DVOA against number three

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Speaker 2: wide receivers, and even in those one catch games, they

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Speaker 2: were for twenty nine and thirty nine yards.

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Speaker 3: So Josebash getting some you know, longer catches.

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Speaker 2: He's got three touchdowns on the season, and he's out

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Speaker 2: there eighty percent of burrows dropbacks and against a shaky

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Speaker 2: pass defense still. So, like Josevash, I think the tight

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Speaker 2: ends are a lot tougher because there's kind of splitting

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Speaker 2: snaps where Yosobash is still getting the majority of those

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Speaker 2: wide receiver three snaps yep.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, those deep targets and those end zone targets. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: definitely like a red zone threat.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's close it out with Monday night football

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Speaker 2: bills that the Jeff Ulbrick coached Jets UH totals forty one.

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Speaker 2: Here the Jets of two and a half point underdogs.

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Speaker 2: Who do you like in this matchup?

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Speaker 3: Jets?

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Speaker 2: Of course, first game without Robert Salaz.

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Speaker 1: The Yeah, I think that's important here. That's why I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna go Braylan Allen. You know, it's it's kind of

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Speaker 1: bizarre to see, you know how much brief Hall has

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Speaker 1: been struggling this year, but it's clear that, you know,

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Speaker 1: Allen deserves more snaps, and I think, you know, Sola

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Speaker 1: was kind of stubborn about that, and I can't fault

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Speaker 1: him for wanting to, you know, give Breese all touches.

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Speaker 1: But I think that's one thing we could see change

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Speaker 1: a little bit with the coaching changes. Maybe we see

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Speaker 1: them unleash railing down a little bit more here. So

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Speaker 1: he's always sneaky no matter what. You know, he has

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Speaker 1: touchdown upside. They could lean on the run here if

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Speaker 1: Rogers is banged up, so he already has upside. But

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Speaker 1: I think this is a sneaky spot where the coaching

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Speaker 1: change could see someone like Brillan Allen operate as a

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Speaker 1: clear lead back, so you know, his roster ship should

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00:20:26,640 --> 00:20:28,240
Speaker 1: be pretty high here. But again, I think this is

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Speaker 1: a spot I want to be overweight on a player

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Speaker 1: like Allen on a showdown slite.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean Reshaw struggles.

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Speaker 2: I mean a lot of it's just the offensive line,

395
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Speaker 2: but we have seen Restall kind of have those ugly

396
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Speaker 2: games when he doesn't you know, complete, like when he

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Speaker 2: doesn't have a long run kind of like Saquon Barkley

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Speaker 2: back in the day, or you're have like thirteen carries

399
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Speaker 2: for fifteen sometimes. So but yeah, I think I think

400
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Speaker 2: the Jets they I mean, Aaron Rodgers threw the ball

401
00:20:52,000 --> 00:20:54,480
Speaker 2: what fifty four times against Minnesota or something like that,

402
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Speaker 2: So I'm I'm guessing that they're going to try to

403
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Speaker 2: be more run heavy regardless, just to protect the you know,

404
00:21:00,160 --> 00:21:02,240
Speaker 2: forty plus year old Aaron Rodgers.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, I like that one.

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Speaker 2: All right, that is gonna do it For Week six.

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Speaker 2: For our Fantasy DFS preview episode, make sure to subscribe

408
00:21:09,960 --> 00:21:12,520
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Speaker 2: our fantasy football content, and don't forget you could use

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Speaker 2: forty dollars off. Right now, Sean is on at the

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Speaker 2: Underscore Osmaker. I'm at Chris Raybond. We're at those same

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