WEBVTT - Bloomberg Wall Street Week: Sachs, Clayton & Panetta

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Wall Street Week. What's the state of

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<v Speaker 1>corporate governance? The deficit is a real issue. The US

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<v Speaker 1>economy continues to send mixed signals. The financial stories that

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<v Speaker 1>cheap our world, fed action to con concerns over dollar liquidity,

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<v Speaker 1>and encouraging China data. The five hundred wealthiest people in

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<v Speaker 1>the world. Through the eyes of the most influential voices

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<v Speaker 1>Larry Summers, the former Treasury Secretary, star Ward CEO, Kevin

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<v Speaker 1>Johnson sec Chairman J Clayton. Bloomberg wool Street Week with

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<v Speaker 1>David Weston from Bloomberg Radio. A nation recoils in horror

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<v Speaker 1>and the markets look the other way on hopes of

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<v Speaker 1>a brighter tomorrow. This is Bloomberg Wall Street Week. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>David Weston. Just when you thought it couldn't get any worse,

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<v Speaker 1>it did. On top of a pandemic and a cratering economy,

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<v Speaker 1>we faced a week of demonstrations and riots as people

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<v Speaker 1>took to the streets to protest the brutal killing of

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<v Speaker 1>a black man in Minneapolis, and President Trump he said

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<v Speaker 1>he would send in federal troops to quell the disturbances.

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<v Speaker 1>We asked Columbia Economy Jeffrey Sachs about the causes of

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<v Speaker 1>this chronic inequality and what could be done about it.

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<v Speaker 1>I think digitization has played a big role in both

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<v Speaker 1>raising overall output but shifting it to a smaller and

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<v Speaker 1>smaller part of society, and the COVID epidemic is probably

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<v Speaker 1>going to result in a dramatic increased concentration of wealth.

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<v Speaker 1>Think about it. Jeffrey Dizos, owner of Amazon, founder of Amazon,

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<v Speaker 1>has increased his wealth by an estimated thirty five billion

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<v Speaker 1>dollars since the start of this year, at a time

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<v Speaker 1>that we have mass unemployment. We have the greatest unemployment,

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<v Speaker 1>the largest loss of jobs since the Great Depression, rivaling

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<v Speaker 1>the Great Depression. And yet the stock market is up

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<v Speaker 1>and uh some of the big tech UH Titans are

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<v Speaker 1>booming in their wealth. So what's happening, I think, is

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<v Speaker 1>that we're seeing this dramatic wiping out of a large

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<v Speaker 1>part of our economy, the brick and mortar sector, a

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<v Speaker 1>huge amount of shifting online, and that is part of

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<v Speaker 1>this digital trend that already has been leading to the

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<v Speaker 1>concentration of income and wealth. When the dust settles, I'm

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<v Speaker 1>afraid we're gonna probably have the greatest increase of inequality

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<v Speaker 1>that we've ever had in a short period of time,

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<v Speaker 1>which is saying a good deal because going into this

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<v Speaker 1>before the pandemic, we were not in great shape, and

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<v Speaker 1>inequality it was growing to a substantial degree. There are

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<v Speaker 1>remarkable statistics. I know you've seen that. For example, back

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<v Speaker 1>in seventeen, the net worth of the media and African

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<v Speaker 1>American family was ten percent that of the median white family.

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<v Speaker 1>So we had a problem going in and then, as

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<v Speaker 1>you point out, if you look at the COVID loss

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<v Speaker 1>of jobs, it was greatly disproportionate on Hispanics and on blacks.

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<v Speaker 1>What can we do to remedy that at this point

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<v Speaker 1>because what we're seeing right now I think it is

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<v Speaker 1>certainly about police brutality, but it's about much more. It's

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<v Speaker 1>probably the case that when the calculations are made carefully,

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<v Speaker 1>that the richest twenty Americans or so all white I

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<v Speaker 1>believe to be the case, have more net worth than

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<v Speaker 1>all the financial wealth of the African American forty million

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<v Speaker 1>people in American society. Don't. I don't guarantee the number.

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<v Speaker 1>I say this has to be looked at. But these

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<v Speaker 1>are the relative orders of magnitude that we're talking about

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<v Speaker 1>the top billionaires. If you take the top twenty thirty,

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<v Speaker 1>I have well over a trillion dollars of net worth.

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<v Speaker 1>That's something like the financial wealth in the African American

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<v Speaker 1>community of forty million people. It's unning what is happening

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<v Speaker 1>in terms of the shocking, unbelievable, unprecedented wealth at the

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<v Speaker 1>very very top. He's himself with a hundred fifty billion

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<v Speaker 1>dollars of net worth, something we cannot get our heads around.

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<v Speaker 1>And then people losing jobs by the tens of millions,

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<v Speaker 1>with absolutely a disproportionate burden being felt by minority communities.

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<v Speaker 1>This is desperate. What do we have to do about it?

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<v Speaker 1>We have to become a decent society where everybody has

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<v Speaker 1>access to healthcare, everybody has access to education. Uh, you

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<v Speaker 1>don't have a generation of the students with one and

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<v Speaker 1>a half trillion dollars of debt now completely unpayable because

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<v Speaker 1>the prospects have worsened dramatically, But it was unpayable beforehand.

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<v Speaker 1>And that requires companies like Amazon to pay some taxes,

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<v Speaker 1>not to ask for tax breaks from around the country,

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<v Speaker 1>but to pay their taxes. It requires the richest people

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<v Speaker 1>to pay taxes. It requires, in my view of tax

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<v Speaker 1>on wealth, which is so concentrated right now, that we're

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<v Speaker 1>going to wake up. In fact, we're not even waking up.

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<v Speaker 1>We know it, we see it. We're awake right now

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<v Speaker 1>that the budget deficit will be some of GDP perhaps,

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<v Speaker 1>and then we're going to be told by the Conservatives

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<v Speaker 1>representing the voices of the richest people, Oh, we can't

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<v Speaker 1>do anymore. We're gonna have to cut benefits to the

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<v Speaker 1>poor because of the large budget deficits. So it's an

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<v Speaker 1>extraordinary time by any standard, David. And the concentration of

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<v Speaker 1>wealth not a deliberate part of this epidemic, but it

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<v Speaker 1>seems to be the fallout of the epidemic is extraordinary.

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<v Speaker 1>One more point I would add on this. The FED has,

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<v Speaker 1>of course issue the trillions of dollars of new credits,

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<v Speaker 1>but the way our system works, it's not credits for

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<v Speaker 1>broad society. It's credits that go through the already large

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<v Speaker 1>concentrations of wealth and allow them to buy up even

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<v Speaker 1>more of the assets on a fire sale basis so easy.

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<v Speaker 1>FED credits after two thousand and eight was part of

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<v Speaker 1>the increased concentration of wealth after two thousand eight. Now

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<v Speaker 1>we're seeing it again in two thousand twenty that what

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<v Speaker 1>the FEDS doing to keep the economy from collapsing is

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<v Speaker 1>also going to have an effect on increasing the already

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<v Speaker 1>almost unimaginable inequality of wealth. That was Professor Jeffrey Sachs

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<v Speaker 1>of Columbia. Coming up, we hear from the Chairman of

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<v Speaker 1>the SEC, J Clayton, about how the markets are working

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<v Speaker 1>despite all the bad news and the volatility. That's next

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<v Speaker 1>on Wall Street Week on bloom Board. This is Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Will Street Week with David Weston from Bloomberg Radio. The

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<v Speaker 1>markets have been put through their paces this year so far,

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<v Speaker 1>from a pandemic to an academic collapse to civil unrest,

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<v Speaker 1>but through it all, the man responsible for overseeing those markets,

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<v Speaker 1>SEC Chairman Jay Clayton says that they have held up well.

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<v Speaker 1>The bedrock of our system is good financial information UM

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<v Speaker 1>and this this asymmetry, you can call it, an on

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<v Speaker 1>level playing field with Chinese listed companies versus other companies

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<v Speaker 1>from non US jurisdictions listed, has gone on for too

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<v Speaker 1>long and first step, let's make sure investors understand it.

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<v Speaker 1>Second step, and the administration is now looking at this.

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<v Speaker 1>UH Senator Kennedy and Van hollend have a bill that

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<v Speaker 1>has a very sensible approach to this, which is give

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<v Speaker 1>people time to level that asymmetric or on level playing field. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>now we know about it. Now we gotta figure out

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<v Speaker 1>what we're gonna do about it. Well, it is disclosure

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<v Speaker 1>enough in this situation as a practical letter. I mean

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<v Speaker 1>there there are now proposals up on the hill as

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<v Speaker 1>you know, the Senate has passed it would say if

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<v Speaker 1>a company, I think it's the rules. If you don't

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<v Speaker 1>allow access to the audit papers for three concent of years,

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<v Speaker 1>you get delisted. Do you need that kind of power? Well,

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<v Speaker 1>first step disclosure. But I but I do think that

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<v Speaker 1>consider whether more to level the playing field. And I

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<v Speaker 1>think the bill you mentioned that, the Kennedy van Hollenville,

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<v Speaker 1>it's very sensible way to look at this if you're

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<v Speaker 1>going to do more, because it gives people a period

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<v Speaker 1>of time, uh to level the playing field before you

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<v Speaker 1>would take any action. Uh. You know, I'm not a

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<v Speaker 1>guy who wants to take like precipitous Uh, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>hit the nail on the head with the hammer tomorrow.

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<v Speaker 1>But you know, I like the way they've approached it

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<v Speaker 1>and that there's a period of time to come into

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<v Speaker 1>compliance and if you don't, then it's time to um

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<v Speaker 1>take take measures beyond us disclosed j from You're having

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<v Speaker 1>watched this over some period of time. Uh, And I

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<v Speaker 1>know you don't want to name any individual companies, so

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<v Speaker 1>I won't name any individual companies. But is it across

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<v Speaker 1>the board with Chinese public trading companies or is it

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<v Speaker 1>more problem with some of the smaller or maybe up

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<v Speaker 1>and coming ones as opposed to some of the really

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<v Speaker 1>big megacap companies that we all know the names of

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<v Speaker 1>that have been publicly traded for a while. Well, well, David,

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<v Speaker 1>you you you bring up a good question. Uh, but

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<v Speaker 1>a point that applies in every market. Financial controls, audit

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<v Speaker 1>procedures and the like. They're different for larger companies than

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<v Speaker 1>they are for smaller companies. And uh, there are a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of smaller companies from that have operations in China

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<v Speaker 1>that are listed on our markets, and investors might look

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<v Speaker 1>at those differently from the multi caaps or or from

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<v Speaker 1>state owned enterprises. And uh, I'm not I'm not an

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<v Speaker 1>expert on international investing, but I but I do know

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<v Speaker 1>enough to know that you shouldn't look at a particular

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<v Speaker 1>jurisdiction in a monolithic way. Uh, you shouldn't. You should

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<v Speaker 1>look at that as to whether you're looking at a

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<v Speaker 1>smaller company, Uh, an international company that derives a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of its revenues from outside of that jurisdiction, or a

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<v Speaker 1>state of enterprises which has its own risks and reward profiles. Jay,

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<v Speaker 1>do you talk with your counterparts who are security regulars

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<v Speaker 1>in Beijing? In China? I mean, there have been times

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<v Speaker 1>when the Chinese government said, we really want to try

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<v Speaker 1>to coordinate, we want to harmonize, we want to open

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<v Speaker 1>up our markets, our securities markets. Is there any prospect

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<v Speaker 1>of actually some of that harmonization coming about? Uh? Look,

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<v Speaker 1>we do talk. UM talked to my my counterparts around

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<v Speaker 1>the world. Um. There's nothing that I have said to

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<v Speaker 1>you that I that I haven't said to them, and

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<v Speaker 1>that this is a problem that I believe needs to

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<v Speaker 1>be addressed. Um, And Uh, I hope it can be.

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<v Speaker 1>Are you hopeful do you think it will be? I'm look,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm an optimistic guy, but I'm but I'm optimistic because

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<v Speaker 1>I know that at some point, Uh. You know, I

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<v Speaker 1>hope is not a strato of ge You gotta you

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<v Speaker 1>gotta do other things as well. So you said the

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<v Speaker 1>legislations pending has been passed in the Senate. Uh sense,

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<v Speaker 1>I think you said, sensible way of approaching it? Is

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<v Speaker 1>it doable? Is it's something as you look at the

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<v Speaker 1>SEC could enforce without too much difficulty? Oh? Oh yes,

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<v Speaker 1>Now it's a it's a it's a sensible piece of

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<v Speaker 1>legislation and it and it uh captures the issue in

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<v Speaker 1>a way like I I try very hard not to

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<v Speaker 1>uh to tell Congress what to do. It's the other

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<v Speaker 1>way around, they tell what to do. Um. But this

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<v Speaker 1>is a this is a very sensible way to approach

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<v Speaker 1>a parliament's been around for a while. What about some

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<v Speaker 1>of the issues you're working on before the pandemic came up,

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<v Speaker 1>talk about like reviving revisions to proxy rules. Do those

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<v Speaker 1>continue a pace or do you have to put those

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<v Speaker 1>to one side? Now? We we have not put our

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<v Speaker 1>policy making agenda to the side. Um. We are we

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<v Speaker 1>are a very when you talk about organizations um being

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<v Speaker 1>affected in different ways by the operational constraints of social

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<v Speaker 1>distancing and uh uh the health and safety uh structures

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<v Speaker 1>that we live by. We're a very lucky organization where

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<v Speaker 1>we're we can operate fairly effectively UM in a remote

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<v Speaker 1>UH capacity, and we've been doing so. And look the

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<v Speaker 1>women and men in those policy making divisions. UH, they're

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<v Speaker 1>committed to improving our markets and modernizing our markets. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>not going to put that on hold unless i have to.

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<v Speaker 1>And so, for example, the proxy rules, where do they

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<v Speaker 1>stand now? We're in there are are there are our

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<v Speaker 1>agenda to be finished in this fiscal year, and I

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<v Speaker 1>expect to haven't finished in this fiscal year. UH. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>so pleased with the rigor that our staff has applied

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<v Speaker 1>to all the comments we've received, and I think we're

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<v Speaker 1>on schedule to finish them UH during the fiscal year. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>People don't know about the SEC fifical year, so by

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<v Speaker 1>the end of this by the end of this period.

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<v Speaker 1>And how do you feel about bringing people back to

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<v Speaker 1>work at the SEC. I think you said at least

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<v Speaker 1>until July fifteen. Do you think that that's realistic? Well, David,

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<v Speaker 1>I do think it's UM. It is realistic because we

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<v Speaker 1>are able to function. Every organization is different, and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>not making choices for other organizations, but this organization functions

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<v Speaker 1>very well in a virtual environment. There are a number

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<v Speaker 1>of functions that we have that would improve UM with

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<v Speaker 1>people on site. There are some functions where you do

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<v Speaker 1>need people inside. Look, we live in a we live

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<v Speaker 1>in a country where due process is important, and we

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<v Speaker 1>have people whom we're bringing actions against, and if they

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<v Speaker 1>want the benefit of being interviewed face to face or

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<v Speaker 1>being able to in as virtual face to face environment

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<v Speaker 1>as possible, we need to provide that to him. We're

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<v Speaker 1>you know, we believe in due process. So those types

0:13:56.120 --> 0:13:59.880
<v Speaker 1>of things, UM, we have to do. But by and law,

0:14:00.280 --> 0:14:03.600
<v Speaker 1>we can operate very effectively remotely. And what I want

0:14:03.600 --> 0:14:07.720
<v Speaker 1>to do is as as things get back to normal,

0:14:07.800 --> 0:14:10.439
<v Speaker 1>I hope they do. I hope they do bring bring

0:14:10.480 --> 0:14:14.240
<v Speaker 1>people back in those areas that are most acutely affected

0:14:14.280 --> 0:14:19.200
<v Speaker 1>by remote working, and then go from there. UM, keeping

0:14:19.200 --> 0:14:23.000
<v Speaker 1>health and safety front of mind at all times. So

0:14:23.920 --> 0:14:26.520
<v Speaker 1>I have the luxury of that given the way we work.

0:14:26.720 --> 0:14:31.040
<v Speaker 1>I know others others don't, UM, but That's how I'm

0:14:31.040 --> 0:14:34.680
<v Speaker 1>looking at it. Here that was SEC Chairman Jay Clayton

0:14:35.280 --> 0:14:38.920
<v Speaker 1>coming up. We ask Washington veteran former Defense Secretary Leon

0:14:39.000 --> 0:14:42.239
<v Speaker 1>Panetta what the government needs to do to address a pandemic,

0:14:42.680 --> 0:14:46.200
<v Speaker 1>a steep economic downturn and still unrest coming all at

0:14:46.240 --> 0:14:49.000
<v Speaker 1>the same time. That's next on Wall Street Weekend on

0:14:49.200 --> 0:15:02.280
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberger This is Bloomberg Willis week with David Weston from

0:15:02.400 --> 0:15:05.280
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio. For the first time in history, the United

0:15:05.280 --> 0:15:09.040
<v Speaker 1>States faces a pandemic, an economic downturn, and civil unrest

0:15:09.080 --> 0:15:12.320
<v Speaker 1>all at the same time. Leon Panetta faced his share

0:15:12.320 --> 0:15:14.720
<v Speaker 1>of crisis when he served in government, including as chief

0:15:14.720 --> 0:15:17.760
<v Speaker 1>of Staff to President Clinton when Jesse Jackson was giving

0:15:17.760 --> 0:15:20.560
<v Speaker 1>those remarks on the Mall. He went on to serve

0:15:20.600 --> 0:15:23.360
<v Speaker 1>as the Director of the CIA and the Secretary of Defense,

0:15:23.600 --> 0:15:26.680
<v Speaker 1>and his experience taught him how an administration deals with

0:15:26.720 --> 0:15:30.400
<v Speaker 1>a series of crises that come all at the same time. Well,

0:15:30.440 --> 0:15:34.440
<v Speaker 1>I I always found, uh, chief of Staff and then

0:15:34.520 --> 0:15:39.000
<v Speaker 1>later at CIA Director and Secretary of Defense, that when

0:15:39.040 --> 0:15:43.080
<v Speaker 1>facing a crisis, and when facing a series of crisis

0:15:43.120 --> 0:15:47.560
<v Speaker 1>as we are now, the best approaches to gather the

0:15:47.640 --> 0:15:51.840
<v Speaker 1>National Security Council together UH and determine what the best

0:15:51.880 --> 0:15:56.160
<v Speaker 1>strategy is to deal with each of these crises UH,

0:15:56.240 --> 0:16:00.000
<v Speaker 1>and to develop auctions obviously to present to the President,

0:16:00.520 --> 0:16:04.160
<v Speaker 1>but to try to develop at least a common strategy

0:16:04.720 --> 0:16:07.840
<v Speaker 1>that everybody can support and and that is in the

0:16:07.920 --> 0:16:11.480
<v Speaker 1>best interests of the country in terms of dealing with

0:16:11.520 --> 0:16:14.480
<v Speaker 1>that crisis. So I think this is a moment when

0:16:14.480 --> 0:16:18.160
<v Speaker 1>the president needs to listen to the advice of his

0:16:18.240 --> 0:16:23.280
<v Speaker 1>most experienced advisers. That's critically important at a time when

0:16:23.280 --> 0:16:27.560
<v Speaker 1>you're facing this kind of serious threat to the country. Well,

0:16:27.640 --> 0:16:29.720
<v Speaker 1>we heard from one senior advisor to day in a

0:16:29.800 --> 0:16:32.840
<v Speaker 1>Secretary Defense, but it was public, it wasn't behind closed doors.

0:16:33.480 --> 0:16:35.640
<v Speaker 1>Is there any doubt that the president has the authority

0:16:35.640 --> 0:16:37.800
<v Speaker 1>of the authority to send in photo troops if he

0:16:37.840 --> 0:16:41.120
<v Speaker 1>so chooses. There is this Insurrection Act, Well, look, I

0:16:41.200 --> 0:16:44.640
<v Speaker 1>think it's it's clear that the president could assert the

0:16:44.680 --> 0:16:51.200
<v Speaker 1>Insurrection Act. But again, uh, this country has recognized that

0:16:51.480 --> 0:16:54.960
<v Speaker 1>the purpose of our military is to be trained to

0:16:55.080 --> 0:16:59.760
<v Speaker 1>confront foreign adversaries in combat, not to be used for

0:17:00.080 --> 0:17:04.560
<v Speaker 1>a control or law enforcement. A posse Commentatis Act was

0:17:04.640 --> 0:17:07.760
<v Speaker 1>passed in the eighteen hundreds for the purpose of making

0:17:07.840 --> 0:17:10.800
<v Speaker 1>clear that the US military ought not to take the

0:17:10.840 --> 0:17:14.880
<v Speaker 1>place of of law enforcement. And so for that reason,

0:17:15.200 --> 0:17:19.159
<v Speaker 1>I commend Secretary of the Secretary of Defense esper Or

0:17:19.240 --> 0:17:24.080
<v Speaker 1>taking the position that he took, because military leaders almost

0:17:24.119 --> 0:17:28.360
<v Speaker 1>in unison, UH, do not believe that our military ought

0:17:28.400 --> 0:17:32.080
<v Speaker 1>to be used, uh to to fight our own people.

0:17:32.160 --> 0:17:34.719
<v Speaker 1>It ought to be used to fight foreign enemies. Our

0:17:34.800 --> 0:17:37.200
<v Speaker 1>federal troops even trained to do this. I mean to

0:17:37.200 --> 0:17:40.200
<v Speaker 1>pick up on your point. Are they trained to deal

0:17:40.240 --> 0:17:42.159
<v Speaker 1>with crowd control and things like that? Because we have,

0:17:42.280 --> 0:17:45.640
<v Speaker 1>sadly in our history seen instances where some military brunn

0:17:45.640 --> 0:17:47.520
<v Speaker 1>and who are not properly trained and we had some

0:17:47.720 --> 0:17:50.800
<v Speaker 1>tragic results such as can't stay You know the military, well,

0:17:51.320 --> 0:17:53.400
<v Speaker 1>the federal troops. Are some of the federal troops trained

0:17:53.440 --> 0:17:55.720
<v Speaker 1>to really be effective in this situation? Is this the

0:17:55.760 --> 0:17:58.320
<v Speaker 1>best tool in the tool kit? I don't believe it is,

0:17:58.400 --> 0:18:04.119
<v Speaker 1>because what why we train our military is to engage

0:18:04.119 --> 0:18:07.159
<v Speaker 1>in combat with a foreign adversary. That's what they're trained

0:18:07.200 --> 0:18:10.679
<v Speaker 1>to do. They're not trained on riot control, They're not

0:18:10.760 --> 0:18:14.920
<v Speaker 1>trained on crowd control, they're not trained on law enforcement.

0:18:15.080 --> 0:18:17.160
<v Speaker 1>At the same time, we have a difficult problem here

0:18:17.160 --> 0:18:19.359
<v Speaker 1>that I'm know I'm sure you appreciate, which is we

0:18:19.480 --> 0:18:22.240
<v Speaker 1>have I think the vast majority of protesters who are

0:18:22.320 --> 0:18:25.480
<v Speaker 1>peaceful are exercising their first Amment rights to petition for

0:18:25.520 --> 0:18:28.760
<v Speaker 1>redressing agreevances. But there are clearly some bad actors in

0:18:28.800 --> 0:18:31.080
<v Speaker 1>some of these demonstrations who are prone to violence and

0:18:31.160 --> 0:18:35.000
<v Speaker 1>trying to instigate something. But put aside the federal military

0:18:35.080 --> 0:18:37.440
<v Speaker 1>as a tool, what is the best way for the government,

0:18:37.440 --> 0:18:40.160
<v Speaker 1>the federal government, state governed to sort those two things out,

0:18:40.240 --> 0:18:43.840
<v Speaker 1>so we maintain law and order, we protect people and property,

0:18:44.080 --> 0:18:46.400
<v Speaker 1>but we also preserve the rights of those who want

0:18:46.400 --> 0:18:50.800
<v Speaker 1>to peacefully protest that horrific instance out in Minneapolis. Well,

0:18:51.160 --> 0:18:54.000
<v Speaker 1>I think it would be preferable rather than the president

0:18:54.359 --> 0:18:58.000
<v Speaker 1>asserting that somehow he'll take control of the situation if

0:18:58.000 --> 0:19:00.680
<v Speaker 1>others don't, I think the president ought to be offering

0:19:01.160 --> 0:19:06.160
<v Speaker 1>law enforcement assistance to states and local communities so that

0:19:06.240 --> 0:19:08.840
<v Speaker 1>they can in fact determine whether or not there are

0:19:08.960 --> 0:19:13.439
<v Speaker 1>criminal elements that are trying to take advantage of these protests.

0:19:13.480 --> 0:19:17.440
<v Speaker 1>That's a law enforcement issue, that's an FBI issue, that's

0:19:17.440 --> 0:19:21.680
<v Speaker 1>an intelligence issue. Frankly, Uh, the federal government gets good

0:19:21.680 --> 0:19:25.879
<v Speaker 1>intelligence on those that are trying to conduct those kinds

0:19:25.920 --> 0:19:28.959
<v Speaker 1>of criminal activities, and so that ought to be shared

0:19:29.040 --> 0:19:33.240
<v Speaker 1>with with state and local law enforcement so that they

0:19:33.280 --> 0:19:37.280
<v Speaker 1>can play the primary role in trying to maintain order

0:19:37.600 --> 0:19:40.679
<v Speaker 1>in their communities and in their states. Mrs Secretary, what

0:19:40.720 --> 0:19:43.320
<v Speaker 1>could we as a country learn from the military on

0:19:43.359 --> 0:19:46.280
<v Speaker 1>the subject of race, put aside their active involvement in

0:19:46.320 --> 0:19:49.119
<v Speaker 1>any peace commum missions. But but the the U. S.

0:19:49.160 --> 0:19:52.440
<v Speaker 1>Military was there ahead of allow of the rest of

0:19:51.800 --> 0:19:54.320
<v Speaker 1>the of the society, going back to the days of

0:19:54.359 --> 0:19:57.280
<v Speaker 1>Harry S. Truman when he was president, in integrating the military,

0:19:57.359 --> 0:19:59.560
<v Speaker 1>you have a much more integrated, I think military than

0:19:59.640 --> 0:20:02.560
<v Speaker 1>most companies do across the country. What have you learned

0:20:02.560 --> 0:20:05.160
<v Speaker 1>from that? What could you teach society? Because goodness knows,

0:20:05.480 --> 0:20:08.040
<v Speaker 1>pas we need to learn some things fast. I think

0:20:08.040 --> 0:20:10.800
<v Speaker 1>the military is a is a good example for the

0:20:10.840 --> 0:20:17.520
<v Speaker 1>rest of the country in terms of allowing allowing minorities,

0:20:17.720 --> 0:20:21.720
<v Speaker 1>allowing others to be able to serve their country. Uh,

0:20:21.760 --> 0:20:27.320
<v Speaker 1>and to be part of a unit working together to

0:20:27.440 --> 0:20:33.480
<v Speaker 1>accomplish a common mission. UH. My experiences that you know,

0:20:33.560 --> 0:20:37.159
<v Speaker 1>whether you're whether you're black, or whether you're brown, or

0:20:37.160 --> 0:20:40.960
<v Speaker 1>whether you're a woman. Uh, that you should have the

0:20:41.040 --> 0:20:44.840
<v Speaker 1>opportunity to serve this country. That was former Secretary of

0:20:44.840 --> 0:20:48.280
<v Speaker 1>Defense Leon Poeta. Coming up, We wrap up the week

0:20:48.320 --> 0:20:52.080
<v Speaker 1>with our special contributor Larry Summers. This is Wall Street

0:20:52.119 --> 0:21:01.359
<v Speaker 1>Read on Bloomberg. This is Bloomberg Wall Street Week with

0:21:01.480 --> 0:21:05.080
<v Speaker 1>David Weston from Bloomberg Radio. We wrap up our week

0:21:05.160 --> 0:21:07.840
<v Speaker 1>with Harvard's Larry Summers, who, of course was Second of

0:21:07.880 --> 0:21:10.879
<v Speaker 1>the Treasury and our is our very own special contributor

0:21:10.920 --> 0:21:12.800
<v Speaker 1>here on Wall Street Week. So, Larry, this has been

0:21:12.800 --> 0:21:15.399
<v Speaker 1>a tumultuous week. I think it's very to say. Every

0:21:15.480 --> 0:21:18.439
<v Speaker 1>day we've seen the video of demonstrations and yes riots

0:21:18.440 --> 0:21:21.600
<v Speaker 1>and yes looting across the country in response that tragic

0:21:21.600 --> 0:21:24.040
<v Speaker 1>instance in Minneapolis. At the same time, the equity mark

0:21:24.040 --> 0:21:26.560
<v Speaker 1>has just kept climbing higher and higher and higher. Why

0:21:26.600 --> 0:21:32.119
<v Speaker 1>don't the markets pay any attention to the evening news? Look,

0:21:33.359 --> 0:21:38.760
<v Speaker 1>it's as extraordinary a week as I've ever uh seen.

0:21:39.560 --> 0:21:45.920
<v Speaker 1>Someone said that we're living through the pandemic, the nine

0:21:46.000 --> 0:21:51.919
<v Speaker 1>economic collapse, the nineteen sixty eight civil unrest across America,

0:21:52.680 --> 0:21:57.760
<v Speaker 1>and the Andrew Jackson presidency all at once. I haven't

0:21:57.800 --> 0:22:03.679
<v Speaker 1>seen anything, lie kid. And before we talk about markets,

0:22:04.080 --> 0:22:10.920
<v Speaker 1>I think we have to acknowledge that the racial injustice

0:22:11.040 --> 0:22:16.600
<v Speaker 1>that has been pointed up uh by the dramatic events

0:22:16.800 --> 0:22:22.840
<v Speaker 1>now almost two weeks uh old, is something that our

0:22:22.840 --> 0:22:25.320
<v Speaker 1>country has been wrestling with for a long time and

0:22:25.440 --> 0:22:28.520
<v Speaker 1>is going to be wrestling with for a very long

0:22:28.960 --> 0:22:34.520
<v Speaker 1>uh time, uh to come. What happened on the streets

0:22:34.560 --> 0:22:41.360
<v Speaker 1>of Minneapolis just can't keep happening, and there's just been

0:22:41.440 --> 0:22:49.639
<v Speaker 1>a huge outpouring of anger and upset. And the critical

0:22:49.760 --> 0:22:55.480
<v Speaker 1>question for our democracy is going to be whether all

0:22:55.520 --> 0:23:02.080
<v Speaker 1>of that anguish and anger is channeled to instructively UH

0:23:02.280 --> 0:23:10.080
<v Speaker 1>into positive change or doesn't bring about that kind of progress,

0:23:10.200 --> 0:23:13.879
<v Speaker 1>in which case the cleavages in our society are only

0:23:13.960 --> 0:23:19.399
<v Speaker 1>going UH to get worse. The market really doesn't seem

0:23:19.440 --> 0:23:24.120
<v Speaker 1>like a very big thing relative to all of that.

0:23:24.400 --> 0:23:27.959
<v Speaker 1>The market's job is to make a judgment about the

0:23:28.000 --> 0:23:33.760
<v Speaker 1>profits that companies UH will learn, and in approximate sense

0:23:34.000 --> 0:23:38.000
<v Speaker 1>is cosmically important. As these events are, they probably don't

0:23:38.080 --> 0:23:41.840
<v Speaker 1>change UM what those earnings are going to be over

0:23:41.960 --> 0:23:46.960
<v Speaker 1>some interval. But I would caution that over long time

0:23:47.000 --> 0:23:51.680
<v Speaker 1>periods this kind of thing makes a very big difference.

0:23:52.440 --> 0:23:58.480
<v Speaker 1>If you think back, the country almost unraveled in UH

0:23:58.840 --> 0:24:03.800
<v Speaker 1>the late nineteen sixties behind the because of cleavage is

0:24:03.880 --> 0:24:10.240
<v Speaker 1>associated with the Vietnam War, because of strife over issues

0:24:10.440 --> 0:24:15.240
<v Speaker 1>of racial justice, and not immediately you know, if you

0:24:15.320 --> 0:24:17.800
<v Speaker 1>look at what happened to the level of stock prices

0:24:17.920 --> 0:24:23.160
<v Speaker 1>relative to other prices, the real sn p UH five hundred,

0:24:23.560 --> 0:24:28.320
<v Speaker 1>it had its worst long decade UM in the last

0:24:28.359 --> 0:24:33.000
<v Speaker 1>six or seven decades. In the decade that followed what

0:24:33.119 --> 0:24:37.240
<v Speaker 1>happened in nineteen sixty eight, you saw a huge drop

0:24:37.760 --> 0:24:44.120
<v Speaker 1>into seventy four or five with the Walster Watergate episode,

0:24:44.359 --> 0:24:47.960
<v Speaker 1>the oil shocks, all that, and then you saw further,

0:24:49.119 --> 0:24:56.920
<v Speaker 1>very steep UH decline UH into UH two. And so

0:24:57.880 --> 0:25:01.960
<v Speaker 1>how America deals with all this is going to be

0:25:02.480 --> 0:25:08.320
<v Speaker 1>profoundly important, I believe for America's health, and I don't

0:25:08.359 --> 0:25:12.200
<v Speaker 1>think America's corporations can be healthy if America is not

0:25:12.880 --> 0:25:17.280
<v Speaker 1>UM healthy. And I think enlightened business leaders have recognized that.

0:25:17.480 --> 0:25:23.199
<v Speaker 1>You've seen many many CEOs UH making that point UH

0:25:23.359 --> 0:25:29.000
<v Speaker 1>this week. UH. So the markets are optimistic, and I

0:25:29.040 --> 0:25:32.600
<v Speaker 1>hope the markets are right in their optimism about COVID.

0:25:32.720 --> 0:25:37.320
<v Speaker 1>I hope the markets are right in their optimism about

0:25:37.359 --> 0:25:43.360
<v Speaker 1>the society UH coming together. UM. I'm not sure they

0:25:43.359 --> 0:25:47.120
<v Speaker 1>are UH right. It seems to me there's a lot

0:25:47.240 --> 0:25:52.399
<v Speaker 1>of optimism right now, and I worry that people who

0:25:52.480 --> 0:25:58.200
<v Speaker 1>were very nervous two months ago are fearful of missing out.

0:25:58.920 --> 0:26:02.119
<v Speaker 1>And it's that kind into fomo that may be driving

0:26:02.640 --> 0:26:08.520
<v Speaker 1>a fair amount of uh this UH market strength. You know,

0:26:08.560 --> 0:26:12.159
<v Speaker 1>if you think about almost all financial error, David. It

0:26:12.560 --> 0:26:16.280
<v Speaker 1>comes from people doing today what they wish they had

0:26:16.280 --> 0:26:22.080
<v Speaker 1>done yesterday. And everybody who was too scared to buy

0:26:22.240 --> 0:26:25.720
<v Speaker 1>at the end of March regrets it. And there are

0:26:25.760 --> 0:26:28.480
<v Speaker 1>a lot of people who think they're rectifying that error

0:26:28.520 --> 0:26:31.800
<v Speaker 1>by buying now, and maybe they'll turn out to be right.

0:26:32.480 --> 0:26:36.760
<v Speaker 1>But I'm not sure that's something, uh that we can

0:26:37.080 --> 0:26:41.960
<v Speaker 1>entirely uh count on. I think we've got a long

0:26:42.160 --> 0:26:46.680
<v Speaker 1>way to go with respect COVID, and an even longer

0:26:46.760 --> 0:26:52.800
<v Speaker 1>way to go with respect to having a unified and

0:26:52.920 --> 0:27:00.200
<v Speaker 1>in a profound sense, uh functional society living to its potential. So, Larry,

0:27:00.200 --> 0:27:01.920
<v Speaker 1>if we want to talk about people being right and wrong,

0:27:02.040 --> 0:27:03.840
<v Speaker 1>to take a look at the people who were estimating

0:27:03.880 --> 0:27:06.800
<v Speaker 1>the jobs numbers this week. They were wildly wrong by

0:27:06.840 --> 0:27:09.120
<v Speaker 1>ten million jobs, and they thought they were gonna lose

0:27:09.160 --> 0:27:11.280
<v Speaker 1>seven point five million in the United States. We actually

0:27:11.280 --> 0:27:13.560
<v Speaker 1>gained two point five Man, what do you make of that?

0:27:13.640 --> 0:27:15.480
<v Speaker 1>How could that have happened? What does that tell us

0:27:15.600 --> 0:27:19.560
<v Speaker 1>about where we're headed? Look, it should give us, all

0:27:19.600 --> 0:27:25.400
<v Speaker 1>of us who were involved in economic forecasting, a very

0:27:25.440 --> 0:27:32.480
<v Speaker 1>great sense of uh humility, And obviously it's a welcome

0:27:32.560 --> 0:27:38.400
<v Speaker 1>development for ten million American families and for America more generally.

0:27:39.160 --> 0:27:43.119
<v Speaker 1>But I think it would be a mistake two over interpret.

0:27:44.160 --> 0:27:49.119
<v Speaker 1>We knew that the whole country was locked down in

0:27:49.880 --> 0:27:54.159
<v Speaker 1>mid April, late April, or even early May in a

0:27:54.200 --> 0:27:57.919
<v Speaker 1>way that was not going to be sustained, and so

0:27:58.119 --> 0:28:02.320
<v Speaker 1>we knew that there was going to be a bounce back.

0:28:03.200 --> 0:28:09.280
<v Speaker 1>We knew that um businesses that employ millions of people

0:28:09.840 --> 0:28:15.680
<v Speaker 1>had received grants basically, but in order for those grants

0:28:15.720 --> 0:28:19.520
<v Speaker 1>to be grants without an obligation to pay back, they

0:28:19.560 --> 0:28:24.920
<v Speaker 1>had to rehire a large number of employees. So when

0:28:24.960 --> 0:28:29.600
<v Speaker 1>I thought about these numbers, as I did through the day,

0:28:30.359 --> 0:28:35.560
<v Speaker 1>I asked myself how much of this changed my view

0:28:35.680 --> 0:28:38.560
<v Speaker 1>about where the economy would be at the end of

0:28:38.560 --> 0:28:44.200
<v Speaker 1>the year, and how much of this what represented an

0:28:44.440 --> 0:28:51.880
<v Speaker 1>earlier bounced back from the floor then most people had expected.

0:28:52.680 --> 0:28:57.160
<v Speaker 1>And I think it's more earlier bounds than it is

0:28:57.880 --> 0:29:05.440
<v Speaker 1>stronger and bigger bounce. So it's certainly good news. But

0:29:05.600 --> 0:29:08.760
<v Speaker 1>when the President starts talking about how it's gonna be

0:29:08.840 --> 0:29:10.960
<v Speaker 1>faster than a v and the economy is going to

0:29:11.040 --> 0:29:15.680
<v Speaker 1>be a rocket ship and all of that, maybe no one.

0:29:15.960 --> 0:29:22.320
<v Speaker 1>No one can know h for sure, but the fundamental

0:29:22.440 --> 0:29:27.600
<v Speaker 1>constraints on the economy. Uh, some sectors aren't going to

0:29:27.640 --> 0:29:30.840
<v Speaker 1>be able to come back as long as COVID is pervasive.

0:29:31.520 --> 0:29:36.040
<v Speaker 1>There's a risk of a second wave of COVID. There's

0:29:36.560 --> 0:29:43.280
<v Speaker 1>substantial financial overexposure and leverage, and especially in the real

0:29:43.400 --> 0:29:47.680
<v Speaker 1>estate sector where tenants aren't paying and landlords aren't positions

0:29:47.720 --> 0:29:52.040
<v Speaker 1>to pay mortgages, and that's putting strain on the financial system.

0:29:52.080 --> 0:29:57.320
<v Speaker 1>Those problems aren't resolved, and they're not really closer to

0:29:57.440 --> 0:30:02.000
<v Speaker 1>being resolved because we've got a good employment report. So yes,

0:30:02.840 --> 0:30:07.680
<v Speaker 1>faster bounce, but I'm not sure the ultimate uh place

0:30:07.800 --> 0:30:12.640
<v Speaker 1>we get is going to be very different. Finally, Larry,

0:30:12.840 --> 0:30:14.640
<v Speaker 1>we need to spend one minute here at the end

0:30:14.680 --> 0:30:17.440
<v Speaker 1>to connect those two points out. Which is the striking

0:30:17.440 --> 0:30:20.120
<v Speaker 1>thing to me of these numbers was the unemployment for

0:30:20.240 --> 0:30:23.520
<v Speaker 1>black Americans did actually went up as it went down

0:30:23.560 --> 0:30:28.440
<v Speaker 1>for both whites and Hispanics. What causes that? It's the

0:30:28.520 --> 0:30:34.760
<v Speaker 1>old adage, David, I suspect, uh, last hired, first fired,

0:30:35.480 --> 0:30:39.280
<v Speaker 1>and in this case it's first fired, last hired, And

0:30:40.080 --> 0:30:44.440
<v Speaker 1>that's what we're and uh, that's what we're seeing. I

0:30:44.480 --> 0:30:47.480
<v Speaker 1>don't know whether we can reach a firm interpretation on

0:30:47.520 --> 0:30:54.160
<v Speaker 1>the basis of one month's numbers. But God knows, UM,

0:30:54.320 --> 0:30:59.520
<v Speaker 1>it's not right, um that African Americans are doing as

0:30:59.640 --> 0:31:04.160
<v Speaker 1>much delivering as they're doing and as little being delivered

0:31:04.200 --> 0:31:10.280
<v Speaker 1>too as is taking place. And that's got something to

0:31:10.320 --> 0:31:16.680
<v Speaker 1>do with uh, the patterns uh that we are that

0:31:16.720 --> 0:31:20.320
<v Speaker 1>we are, that we are seeing, and we're gonna need

0:31:20.360 --> 0:31:23.520
<v Speaker 1>to do something about that. And we're gonna need to

0:31:23.600 --> 0:31:28.520
<v Speaker 1>address uh, these questions of inclusion if we're going to

0:31:28.640 --> 0:31:33.440
<v Speaker 1>have a kind of economy that we all want. Yeah,

0:31:33.520 --> 0:31:35.200
<v Speaker 1>and all the weeks for that to happen, this was

0:31:35.280 --> 0:31:37.880
<v Speaker 1>not the one to have it happen. But so true, Larry,

0:31:37.880 --> 0:31:39.640
<v Speaker 1>they are larger issues here that we're gonna have to

0:31:39.640 --> 0:31:42.360
<v Speaker 1>come back and address again and again. Many thanks to

0:31:42.360 --> 0:31:47.040
<v Speaker 1>our special contresor Larry Summers Harbored, former Secretary of the Treasury.

0:31:47.240 --> 0:31:49.600
<v Speaker 1>This has been another edition of Wall Street Week. See

0:31:49.680 --> 0:31:51.920
<v Speaker 1>you next week.