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Speaker 3: Slash NFL The Action Network Podcast, I'm just.

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Speaker 4: About that action also.

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Speaker 1: All right, here we go from throwing your job, we're

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Speaker 1: sitting it to cash.

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Speaker 2: We see most gambles when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 2: go swim.

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Speaker 3: That's in'readible being bank small banks.

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Speaker 2: I like to make money.

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Speaker 5: All right.

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Speaker 4: This is the ultimate combining and you want to be

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Speaker 4: and we are underway.

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Speaker 1: Welcome into the Action Network Podcast presented by bet MGM.

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Speaker 3: I'm your host, Brendan Glasheen.

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Speaker 1: This week We've got Week five NFL Best Bets joined

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Speaker 1: today by Brandon Anderson, Luke Swayin aka Vegas Refund, and

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Speaker 1: we have Anthony Dbundo back for another week. Du Bundo

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Speaker 1: has been keeping us hot good week for the podcast.

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Speaker 1: Last week seven and two record really solid job guys

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Speaker 1: last week again. You can follow Brandon Luke as well

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Speaker 1: as Dubundo individually and the award winning for you to download.

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Speaker 4: Action Network app.

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Speaker 1: They give out picks pretty much every day and any

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Speaker 1: NFL game they might be targeting that we don't get

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Speaker 1: to in the Best Bets pod today you can find them,

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Speaker 1: so that's your best way of finding those guys. And

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Speaker 1: also please leave a five star review on the podcast

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Speaker 1: if you are so inclined for the year, We're twenty

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Speaker 1: and nineteen when you include the Brandon Anderson look ahead

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Speaker 1: read so that's good to know, Brandon. With that all

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Speaker 1: being said, you can get us started your Week five

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Speaker 1: first best Bet.

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Speaker 4: Let's dive right in raw. Rah, Mike Tomlin, you ain't

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Speaker 4: new to this no more. Now you know what I means.

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Speaker 4: Just get it out of the way right at the top.

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Speaker 5: Gave me the Steelers plus four against the Ravens at

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Speaker 5: home in Pittsburgh. This is the spot play of all

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Speaker 5: spot plays. For me, I'm gonna talk about the matchup.

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Speaker 5: This is the exact spot you want to back Mike

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Speaker 5: Tomlin and the Steelers as an underdog at home in

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Speaker 5: a division game after a big loss, as a as

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Speaker 5: a short underdog.

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Speaker 4: Let me just hit you with some of the numbers.

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Speaker 5: I'll just do the ATS percentages because I got a

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Speaker 5: lot of numbers for this one. Mike Tomlin underdog week

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Speaker 5: five forward later in the season's better seventy one percent ATS.

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Speaker 5: That's a lot of games. That's sixty games of Mike

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Speaker 5: Tomlin seventy one percent as an underdog. Now take that

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Speaker 5: and add in these other parts. Add in at home

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Speaker 5: fourteen and three against the spread eighty two percent. Take

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Speaker 5: the underdog spot in a division game, eighty three percent

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Speaker 5: against the spread after coming off a loss by seven

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Speaker 5: or more eighty nine percent eight and one in that spot. Obviously,

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Speaker 5: they got twunts last week. So this is when we

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Speaker 5: want Pittsburgh short line seventy six percent. This is the

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Speaker 5: spot you want Pittsburgh not in that like, oh, against

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Speaker 5: the Texans, the Steelers are better, They'll just win. Like

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Speaker 5: that's the game that they've blown over the years, year

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Speaker 5: after year. That's where the Steelers go. But then they

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Speaker 5: bounce back. They respond here even if you ignore the teams.

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Speaker 5: Just a few other trends we've talked about before. Short

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Speaker 5: total thirty eight and a half. Here we're getting four points.

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Speaker 5: That's a lot of points in a short total. That's

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Speaker 5: a positive trend for US teams that win by seventeen

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Speaker 5: or more against teams that lose by seventeen or more

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Speaker 5: only thirty eight percent cover rate. And then just this rivalry,

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Speaker 5: like I always circle this rivalry game, it's all as

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Speaker 5: it's like the last six games. Here's the margin three two, three, one,

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Speaker 5: five and four. It always comes down to the wire.

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Speaker 5: Thirteen of the last sixteen games between Steelers and Ravens

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Speaker 5: are one score games. By the way, Steelers at one

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Speaker 5: to five of six two, So they might just win

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Speaker 5: this thing outright. If you look back since two thousand

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Speaker 5: and five, and the lines are very close here, so

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Speaker 5: you've heard the stat I think Stucky did this down

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Speaker 5: the six pack as well, But from my notes since

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Speaker 5: two thousand and five, in this rivalry you get underdog

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Speaker 5: of three points or more. The underdog is eighteen and

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Speaker 5: two against the spread ninety percent. If you see Steelers

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Speaker 5: Ravens and there's a line at three or higher, you

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Speaker 5: just circle the underdog and put it in as your

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Speaker 5: top pick of the week. That's what I'm doing here.

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Speaker 5: I'm not gonna talk about the matchup. Eleven straight underdogs

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Speaker 5: I've covered in the matchup.

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Speaker 4: Let's make it.

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Speaker 5: Twelve Steelers plus four. I even see a plus four

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Speaker 5: and a half out there. Even better, give me all

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Speaker 5: the half points I want, three or higher.

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Speaker 4: Give me the Steelers.

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Speaker 1: Okay, must ask you. We were recording on a Thursday.

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Speaker 1: Kenny Pickett did speak today in the Steelers' locker room

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Speaker 1: that he'll be ready to go for Sunday, not Mitchell Trubisky.

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Speaker 1: Give me the Pittsburgh side of it, with Picket at quarterback,

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Speaker 1: not Trubisky.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, look, I mean Pickett has not been great so

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Speaker 5: early in the week. I would have said, well, I

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Speaker 5: kind of like that Trubisky might play, because I thought

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Speaker 5: that might be buying us some value on the line.

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Speaker 5: It looks at this moment like Pickett thinks he's gonna play.

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Speaker 5: So at first I was like, I don't really love that,

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Speaker 5: but the line didn't move. Part of why I wouldn't

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Speaker 5: have loved is because I thought we might lose a

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Speaker 5: point or two, might fall back below the three.

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Speaker 4: Doesn't look like that's happening.

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Speaker 5: It could later. Still, I'm gonna play it now. I'm

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Speaker 5: not gonna wait around for the news. I don't think

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Speaker 5: this is gonna push enough the other way to get

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Speaker 5: to like a six where it matters enough, so especially

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Speaker 5: to get the four and a half, I'm just gonna

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Speaker 5: grab it and get ahead of the points. I don't

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Speaker 5: honestly think Trubisky is a big drop off. It does happen,

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Speaker 5: especially with a banged up Picket, but I'm pretty okay

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Speaker 5: either way. But this way, I'm not playing because of

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Speaker 5: Picket or Trubisky. We didn't talk about the matchups. We

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Speaker 5: talked about the trends. I'm playing the spot, playing the rivalry,

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Speaker 5: the Tomlin raw ras. So I'm just gonna stick with it,

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Speaker 5: and you know, hopefully not Mason Rudolph, but whoever else,

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Speaker 5: Let's do it.

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Speaker 1: Yeah and Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh home after two consecutive road

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Speaker 1: games at Vegas at Houston.

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Speaker 3: Luke, what's up?

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Speaker 4: First?

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Speaker 1: Best bet for Week five?

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Speaker 5: What do you got I'm gonna go with the Patriots

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Speaker 5: currently plus one and a half hosting the Saints.

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Speaker 4: Excuse me, where as a Patriots.

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Speaker 5: Fan, like the bar has never been lower, They've just

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Speaker 5: everything has gone wrong.

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Speaker 4: Historically, Belichick teams.

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Speaker 5: Have started off slow, like you never really backed them

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Speaker 5: in the first month of the season, and then as

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Speaker 5: the offense comes together and whatever it is, you start

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Speaker 5: to back them in October and on which September is

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Speaker 5: behind us and their schedule so far, like they've gotten

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Speaker 5: smoked by the Eagles, Dolphins, and Cowboys, which you can

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Speaker 5: make an argument that those are three of probably the

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Speaker 5: four five best teams in the league right now, and

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Speaker 5: then they went head to head with the Jets and

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Speaker 5: beat them by five.

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Speaker 4: It's a gross game. But we are out of September.

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Speaker 5: We are off probably one of the worst losses I've

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Speaker 5: ever seen as a Patriots fan, and now we're going

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Speaker 5: home against a team and the Saints that really is

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Speaker 5: exactly the type of team you want to look for

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Speaker 5: when betting on the Patriots right now.

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Speaker 4: Pats are not good against good teams.

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Speaker 5: They can't keep up with the lead offenses and their

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Speaker 5: defense really or offense can't keep up with good offenses

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Speaker 5: or defense, like they just can't keep up with the

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Speaker 5: good teams. You fade them against good teams and you

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Speaker 5: back them against bad coaching staffs and bad quarterbacks.

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Speaker 4: And Derek Carr has been great. He should not have

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Speaker 4: played last week.

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Speaker 5: He went twenty three for thirty seven for like one

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Speaker 5: hundred and twenty yards, which I don't even know how

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Speaker 5: that's possible throw for one hundred and twenty yards. It's

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Speaker 5: throwing to Kamara thirteen times, is how as possible. And

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Speaker 5: then you have the Saints' staff that the Patriots are

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Speaker 5: just better. So this is the spot you want the

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Speaker 5: Judan and Gonzo injuries hurt, but it's okay. Carr looked

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Speaker 5: back enough last week and he's definitely hurt, and the

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Speaker 5: coaching staff is just as bad that I'll take the

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Speaker 5: Patriots in the spot.

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Speaker 4: Every time I'm surprised.

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Speaker 5: Is plus one and a half now, they've been minus one,

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Speaker 5: minus one and a half up until this morning. Didn't

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Speaker 5: see anything new, but yeah, plus one and a half

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Speaker 5: Patriots all day at home.

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Speaker 1: This kind of feels Luke, if I could chime in,

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Speaker 1: This kind of feels like the last straw though for

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Speaker 1: you right to bet It's like kind of what Brandon

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Speaker 1: was the position Brandon was in a few weeks ago

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Speaker 1: with the Texans. Now they have since proved him right

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Speaker 1: and they have been the Texans are soaring for Brandon.

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Speaker 1: We won't get into his power rankings on this episode,

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Speaker 1: but this has got to be it for you, right, Like,

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Speaker 1: you'll stay away.

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Speaker 4: From the Patriots if they don't get this right this week?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean yeah, they are blacklisted and last like

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Speaker 5: but other than this, like you got You're coming off

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Speaker 5: a huge loss back at home against a mediocre quarterback

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Speaker 5: that's injured, against a bad coaching staff.

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Speaker 4: Like, if this isn't it, then we're like no, yes, no, yes,

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Speaker 4: got off all right?

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Speaker 1: Very good Patriots Saints and Luke's like likes the Patriots

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Speaker 1: as a home dog. Yep, you can get them as

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Speaker 1: a dog right now. I'm curious that that flips back

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Speaker 1: to them as a favorite. By Sunday Dubundo. Great to

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Speaker 1: have you back. What do you got for us for

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Speaker 1: a best bet Week five?

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Speaker 6: I'm gonna go with the Houston Texans plus one and

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Speaker 6: a half on the road against the Atlanta Falcons. Atlanta

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Speaker 6: coming back from London, Houston coming off really the I

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Speaker 6: think statement win that Brandon was hoping for against the

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Speaker 6: Texans getting back to two and two in a wide

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Speaker 6: open and fun AFC South. But this is all about

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Speaker 6: the Atlanta Falcons Ponzi scheme finally getting exposed. I texted

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Speaker 6: brand In this when they got to two and oho,

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Speaker 6: and I was like, you know, we're all buying into

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Speaker 6: this situation.

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Speaker 2: But they like, in.

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Speaker 6: Order to carry a quarterback as bad as Ritter is,

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Speaker 6: you have to do run the ball and be as

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Speaker 6: dominant of as an offensive line as there is in

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Speaker 6: the NFL. And the Falcons have been a good run offense,

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Speaker 6: but they have not been this like world beater unit,

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Speaker 6: this you know, twenty nineteen Titans type unit that nobody

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Speaker 6: can stop them. So they're you know, right around you know,

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Speaker 6: tenth in rushing numbers, seventh and DVA. So they've been fine,

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Speaker 6: good running game, they have good running backs, we can

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Speaker 6: acknowledge that, but Ritter is not It's not enough to

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Speaker 6: carry Ritter. And Ritter is the second worst quarterback by

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Speaker 6: EPA plus CPOE, ahead of only one leged Burrow. So

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Speaker 6: he's been essentially the worst starter in the NFL. And

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Speaker 6: that's been some pretty bad quarterback play around the league.

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Speaker 6: So I think you know, the Texans offense is underrated,

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Speaker 6: not just because CJ. Stroud has surpassed expectations, but his

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Speaker 6: two primary options at receiver have surpassed expectations and are

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Speaker 6: underrated with Tank Dell the rookie and Nico Collins and

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Speaker 6: Stroud from a clean pocket this year has been incredible

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Speaker 6: if you look at the numbers, and this was the

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Speaker 6: same thing that happened in college. He when kept clean

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Speaker 6: has a sixty seven percent completion percentage with six touchdowns,

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Speaker 6: no picks, three big time throws, a half yards per attempt,

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Speaker 6: ninety PFF grade, dominant when he's under pressure four point

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Speaker 6: seven yards per attempt, and a thirty six PFF grade.

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Speaker 6: So Atlanta does not get any pressure at all. They're

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Speaker 6: a below average pressure unit twenty sixth PFF, seventeenth pass

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Speaker 6: rush win rate.

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Speaker 2: They were dead last last year. So it's a pretty mediocre.

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Speaker 6: Atlanta front, and I think it's going to give me

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Speaker 6: the better quarterback, the better passing offense, catching points against

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Speaker 6: the ridder scam that is getting exposed here.

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Speaker 2: So they might still win the South just because the

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Speaker 2: South is that bad.

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Speaker 6: But this Atlanta team is flawed, and I want to

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Speaker 6: fade them, you know, going forward. So I'm going to

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Speaker 6: take the Houston Texans at any dog price on Sunday to.

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Speaker 1: Come down from two and a half, which you could

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Speaker 1: have got earlier in the week, down.

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Speaker 2: To two or threes too.

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Speaker 1: Actually really wow, Yeah, I missed the three the Ritterer

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Speaker 1: scam in Brandon.

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Speaker 3: I set you up for this when I said to

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Speaker 3: Luke about the Patriots.

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Speaker 1: But the Texans have come back. They have rewarded you

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Speaker 1: and your wisdom, and you're backing them in a capacity

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Speaker 1: and some you're backing them in some fashion this week

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Speaker 1: as well against Atlanta.

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Speaker 5: I am I'm gonna take the Texans as well, but

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Speaker 5: I'm gonna play it slightly different but pretty similar. I'm

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Speaker 5: gonna just take the Texans offense and I'm gonna play

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Speaker 5: the team total over twenty and a half, and even

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Speaker 5: that's a plus money at a couple of books too,

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Speaker 5: So it really I'm just echoing almost everything Dbundo said.

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Speaker 5: The offense has played great. Honestly, if I'm being totally

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Speaker 5: fourth right, this literally wasn't what I was expecting from

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Speaker 5: the Texans when I was on them before the season.

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Speaker 5: Like my Dubundo called me out on These were my

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Speaker 5: two teams, Texans and Falcons, and both times I'd bring

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Speaker 5: them up. I do the entire case and say all

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Speaker 5: these great things about both teams and never mention either quarterback.

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Speaker 4: So C J.

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Speaker 5: Stroud not the reason why I was on here, But

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Speaker 5: you know what, it's one of the outs that we had,

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Speaker 5: and I like the receivers they're showing up. Passing game

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Speaker 5: has been great, Bobby Slowick calling the play has been

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Speaker 5: really good.

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Speaker 4: Good.

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Speaker 5: This team just put up thirty on Pittsburgh, who we

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Speaker 5: all know is a pretty good defense. They just put

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Speaker 5: thirty seven on Jacksonville, which doesn't seem like much. Jacksonville's

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Speaker 5: allowed fifteen points a game outside of that matchup, including

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Speaker 5: seventeen to Mahomes and the Chiefs, so their defense actually

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Speaker 5: played pretty well this year. So here's why I'm doing

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Speaker 5: just the team total here. It's a couple of reasons.

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Speaker 5: Number One, Texans run defense has been really bad. Their

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Speaker 5: bottom five run d That's the one thing Atlanta is

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Speaker 5: still doing well. So I can't victory alat my Texans

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Speaker 5: here because I was on the Falcons and I think

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Speaker 5: I'm out on them. But the one thing they do

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Speaker 5: well is run the ball. Not amazing, like Debando said,

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Speaker 5: but I do think this could be a Bijon breakout game.

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Speaker 5: I still like him Rooky the year plus four fifty.

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Speaker 5: I think it's a good spot for him to kind

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Speaker 5: of flip the race if they do well. I don't

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Speaker 5: want to worry too much about will Atlanta move the ball?

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Speaker 5: Will Atlanta score? I think they can not because of

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Speaker 5: a Ridder, never again because of Ridder, but maybe Bijon

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Speaker 5: and the running game. So I'm gonna play just the

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Speaker 5: team total because I do think that the Texans scoring. Honestly,

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Speaker 5: I think the Falcons offense has been so bad that

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Speaker 5: it deflated this Texans number because they had to bring

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Speaker 5: the overall total down to like forty one because the

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Speaker 5: Falcons aren't scoring and they're playing so slow. But the

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Speaker 5: Texans are underdogs, so here we are twenty and a half,

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Speaker 5: Like that's a really low team total.

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Speaker 4: And then this is a trend.

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Speaker 5: We talked about Brandon last year on this podcast a

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Speaker 5: few times, and Dubundle kindly left it for me to

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Speaker 5: go to. He mentioned Falcons coming home from London, so

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Speaker 5: we're gonna have this. I got it again later in

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Speaker 5: the Pod teams that come home from London and do

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Speaker 5: not take a.

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Speaker 4: Bye week, which they have the option to do. They

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Speaker 4: turned down the option.

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Speaker 5: The Falcons wanted to play again here in that spot,

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Speaker 5: I did a deep dive last You've only had ten

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Speaker 5: times ever, so it's a small sample, not a lot

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Speaker 5: of great side trends or total trends. But the thing

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Speaker 5: I found is that the team coming home, so you're like,

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Speaker 5: you're jet lagged, you're missing some rest, you're going back.

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Speaker 4: We on the time.

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Speaker 5: They typically are going under on their team total. But

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Speaker 5: the main thing is the opponent's going over on their

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Speaker 5: team total. So that's Houston here, that's the team total over.

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Speaker 5: I think it's like the jet lag travel thing. You

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Speaker 5: got the tired defense, and it's just a good spot

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Speaker 5: here for for the for the Texans because the offense

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Speaker 5: is already how I like the side anyway, So I'll

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Speaker 5: take the Texans over twenty and a half again plus

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Speaker 5: money on I see a plus one oh five, So

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Speaker 5: I don't want to worry about Atlanta scoring. But I'm

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Speaker 5: with Dabundo on the Texans, and I think Houston's really

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Speaker 5: doing this thing interesting.

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Speaker 1: That was Brandon's second pick, Luke, what's your second pick

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Speaker 1: for Week five best bets?

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Speaker 5: I'm gonna go with Eagles laying four four and a

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Speaker 5: half depending on the book right now at the Rams.

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Speaker 5: So two weeks ago the Niners were laying seven and

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Speaker 5: a half at LA, which the difference is probably Cooper

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Speaker 5: Cup right now, which still doesn't get me to like seven,

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Speaker 5: like four and a half.

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Speaker 4: It's just it would be.

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Speaker 5: Too low currently give in this scenario where we have Stafford,

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Speaker 5: who is expected to play with I think it's a hip.

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Speaker 5: But if you watch the end of that Cults game

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Speaker 5: against the Rams last week, like he could barely walk,

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Speaker 5: Like he balled out in ot. Stafford's one of the

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Speaker 5: toughest guys in the entire league, but you could see

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Speaker 5: he could barely walk. And then we have Cup who's

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Speaker 5: coming off the hamstring. I expect him probably to play

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Speaker 5: more than I do Stafford, honestly, but hamstrings are tricky.

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Speaker 5: We don't know what percentage he's at. So we got

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Speaker 5: both of them at a fraction of one hundred percent.

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Speaker 5: And then we're going against a Eagles offense that every

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Speaker 5: single week.

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Speaker 4: Jalen Hurts is progressing.

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Speaker 5: His EPA and success rates have gotten better every single

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Speaker 5: week last two weeks, Hurts has had a success rate

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Speaker 5: of over fifty percent. So the Eagles are definitely trending

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Speaker 5: in the right way. And they haven't been the unstoppable

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Speaker 5: force that they have in that we saw last year,

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Speaker 5: and there hasn't been a superle hangover, of course, but

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Speaker 5: this Rams dy has looked. I think this entire RAMS

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Speaker 5: team has like been than everyone expected. But when we're

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Speaker 5: talking about out this Ramsey against the run against the Seahawks, Bengals,

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Speaker 5: and Colts, which all three of those games, all three

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Speaker 5: of those offensive lines were banged up.

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Speaker 4: The Seahawks both.

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Speaker 5: Their tackles got hurt in the first quarter, the Bengals,

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Speaker 5: we know, Colts were just ravaged last week and they

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Speaker 5: averaged four and a half, barely four and a half

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Speaker 5: yards per carry against the Rams defense. Then the one

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Speaker 5: healthy offensive line which would probably be a relative comparison

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Speaker 5: is the Niners, who ran for almost six yards of

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Speaker 5: carry and just gassed them. So if we're comparing the two,

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Speaker 5: I would probably lean the Niners. After we saw what

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Speaker 5: this Eagles run did to the Vikings on Thursday night

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Speaker 5: two weeks ago, Like that's what I'm envisioning and it's

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Speaker 5: just too low for me. And if Stafford is reported

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Speaker 5: not one is it's out like this is gonna balloon

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Speaker 5: Cup doesn't play, We'll probably probably go like five and

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Speaker 5: a half six, But at four, like, I don't see

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Speaker 5: this getting to three, even if, like if Stafford and

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Speaker 5: Cupp arenounced active, there's no way this goes to three. Mike,

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Speaker 5: go to three and a half, that's fine, But at four, like,

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Speaker 5: there's a lot more scenarios I see coming into play

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Speaker 5: that sends this into the five and a half six,

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Speaker 5: six and a half range. So Eagles minus four and

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Speaker 5: a half for a record, but there are a lot

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Speaker 5: of fours out there right now.

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Speaker 1: Dubundo second pick for week number five Best Bets.

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Speaker 6: Dallas Cowboys plus three and a half against the San

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Speaker 6: Francisco forty nine ers. Are we finally going to get

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Speaker 6: a primetime game worthy of watching? I think we might

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Speaker 6: with this one. We have the two best teams, two

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Speaker 6: of the three best teams in the NFC. You could

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Speaker 6: argue two of the best four teams in the NFL

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Speaker 6: and I'd agree with you.

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Speaker 2: You know, I know.

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Speaker 6: Michael Parsons did pop up on the injury report with

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Speaker 6: an injury. But the difference in this game is that

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Speaker 6: I don't think we've seen San Francisco get truly tested yet,

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Speaker 6: and I think that they're going to run into an

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Speaker 6: elite defensive front here that can get to brock Perty

408
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Speaker 6: and move him off his spot and make things a

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Speaker 6: little bit more difficult for the forty nine ers offense. Look,

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Speaker 6: I bet this same spread in the same spot with

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Speaker 6: Dallas going to San Francisco in the playoffs last year

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Speaker 6: and lost. But I would bet that again given how

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Speaker 6: that game played out. Dallas was able to move the

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Speaker 6: ball a decent amount, but they had some costly turnovers.

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Speaker 6: And you know, we've talked about Dak Prescott a good

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Speaker 6: amount too. They were able to really sit on the

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Speaker 6: isolation routes that Dallas loved to run last year and

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Speaker 6: you know, forced Jack to throw into a ton of

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Speaker 6: tight windows under pressure. But this year, Prescott has the

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Speaker 6: lowest average depth of target in the entire league, even

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Speaker 6: lower than one legged Burrow. So I think there's been

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Speaker 6: a clear shift with Dallas. And on one hand, I

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Speaker 6: would prefer, you know, them trying to push the ball

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Speaker 6: down the field more because I think that's where the

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Speaker 6: Niners are more vulnerable. But if they are going to

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Speaker 6: you know, take advantage of Yak and how aggressive this

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Speaker 6: forty nine Ers defense is, they may be able to

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Speaker 6: break off a couple of big you know Yak plays

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Speaker 6: from that as well. So I've been impressed with the

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Speaker 6: Dallas offense. They have been you know, top five and

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Speaker 6: serious success rate. They have been bad in the red zone.

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Speaker 6: That is something that is generally noisy and small samples.

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Speaker 6: So I think they're gonna move the ball in this game.

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Speaker 6: I think they're gonna get you know, points up on

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Speaker 6: the board. And look, you know the last two times

436
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Speaker 6: these gate this game was played, it was essentially Kellen

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Speaker 6: Moore versus Demico Ryans. Well, we're gonna wipe the slate

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Speaker 6: clean because both are gone. And now it's gonna be

439
00:20:21,520 --> 00:20:24,520
Speaker 6: you know, Schottenheimer and McCarthy up against uh, you know,

440
00:20:24,520 --> 00:20:26,119
Speaker 6: this forty nine Ers defense, which like I said, has

441
00:20:26,160 --> 00:20:28,960
Speaker 6: not been tested really like if you look at their schedule,

442
00:20:29,040 --> 00:20:31,120
Speaker 6: like the Rams moved the ball really well on them,

443
00:20:31,400 --> 00:20:34,359
Speaker 6: and that's Matt Stafford. And you know the other games

444
00:20:34,359 --> 00:20:38,600
Speaker 6: were Kenny Pickett, we've established how bad he is, Daniel

445
00:20:38,640 --> 00:20:40,840
Speaker 6: Jones and this Giants disaster and then you know, even

446
00:20:40,920 --> 00:20:43,600
Speaker 6: Josh Jobs. I mean, the Cardinals moved the ball decently

447
00:20:43,600 --> 00:20:46,080
Speaker 6: well on this defense too, so they have not played

448
00:20:46,080 --> 00:20:48,760
Speaker 6: a murderer's row and they're about to face what I

449
00:20:48,760 --> 00:20:50,199
Speaker 6: think is an elite Dallas offense.

450
00:20:50,240 --> 00:20:52,280
Speaker 2: So three and a half is too high. I think

451
00:20:52,280 --> 00:20:52,960
Speaker 2: it should be three.

452
00:20:53,400 --> 00:20:55,840
Speaker 6: And that extra half point is is the half point

453
00:20:55,920 --> 00:20:58,000
Speaker 6: that that is the key. So there's even an off

454
00:20:58,000 --> 00:20:59,760
Speaker 6: market four out there too if you shot round.

455
00:20:59,760 --> 00:21:01,080
Speaker 2: But Dallas plus three and a.

456
00:21:01,040 --> 00:21:02,679
Speaker 4: Half, I think I just saw that.

457
00:21:02,840 --> 00:21:06,640
Speaker 5: Uh, this is the first practice that the Cowboys entire

458
00:21:06,680 --> 00:21:09,720
Speaker 5: offensive line is that back.

459
00:21:10,160 --> 00:21:14,480
Speaker 6: Yeah, they're expecting Smith back, and I know Martin Mbia

460
00:21:14,560 --> 00:21:16,520
Speaker 6: is played last week, so I got too worried about them.

461
00:21:16,560 --> 00:21:19,359
Speaker 2: But yeah, they finally are getting healthier as well.

462
00:21:19,760 --> 00:21:23,120
Speaker 1: We've got the first two rounds of picks in. Each

463
00:21:23,119 --> 00:21:25,040
Speaker 1: of these guys have one more best bet, so Brandon,

464
00:21:25,080 --> 00:21:25,840
Speaker 1: give you a third one.

465
00:21:26,000 --> 00:21:29,680
Speaker 5: I'm gonna go with Chiefs team total second team total

466
00:21:29,760 --> 00:21:32,200
Speaker 5: for me. Give me the Chiefs over twenty seven and

467
00:21:32,200 --> 00:21:36,160
Speaker 5: a half against the Vikings. So this I said before

468
00:21:36,240 --> 00:21:39,040
Speaker 5: Steelers was not at all about the matchup is one

469
00:21:39,080 --> 00:21:41,560
Speaker 5: hundred percent about the matchup for me. This is Patrick

470
00:21:41,600 --> 00:21:45,800
Speaker 5: Mahomes against Brian Flores and my man, Brian Flores, my vikings,

471
00:21:46,280 --> 00:21:49,520
Speaker 5: he cannot stop blitzing. His blitz rate for the season

472
00:21:49,640 --> 00:21:53,320
Speaker 5: is about sixty percent, which is an absurd, absurd rate.

473
00:21:53,800 --> 00:21:56,200
Speaker 5: Like we've had to watch the Giants a few times

474
00:21:56,240 --> 00:21:58,080
Speaker 5: on a prime time right this year, so we know

475
00:21:58,119 --> 00:22:01,720
Speaker 5: what they look like. Wink Martindale blitz is like it's breathing.

476
00:22:02,000 --> 00:22:04,960
Speaker 5: Brian Flores blitz is higher, his more blitz rate on

477
00:22:05,000 --> 00:22:07,920
Speaker 5: the season. And also they're not even really getting home,

478
00:22:08,080 --> 00:22:10,920
Speaker 5: like they're not getting the pressure on the quarterback, which

479
00:22:11,040 --> 00:22:14,920
Speaker 5: is the absolute worst case scenario. Mahomes, You don't blitz

480
00:22:15,000 --> 00:22:18,320
Speaker 5: Mahomes like maybe Brian Flores will surprise me and like

481
00:22:18,440 --> 00:22:20,760
Speaker 5: fall back into the Fangio scheme for the week. But

482
00:22:20,840 --> 00:22:22,640
Speaker 5: this is not a thing that Brian Floor has done

483
00:22:22,680 --> 00:22:26,080
Speaker 5: over the years. So I just think you get pat

484
00:22:26,119 --> 00:22:28,800
Speaker 5: against the blitz. This is the game reminds me of

485
00:22:28,920 --> 00:22:32,000
Speaker 5: last year to start the season out the Chiefs played

486
00:22:32,000 --> 00:22:35,520
Speaker 5: against the Cardinals Week one. Patrick Mahomes, who is blitzed

487
00:22:35,520 --> 00:22:38,400
Speaker 5: all game by my guy Vance Joseph still out here

488
00:22:38,440 --> 00:22:40,879
Speaker 5: making a living, by the way, gave up seventy to

489
00:22:41,000 --> 00:22:43,040
Speaker 5: the Dolphins a couple of weeks ago, my guy just

490
00:22:43,040 --> 00:22:46,240
Speaker 5: gets lit up Pat Mahomes thirty of thirty nine, three

491
00:22:46,320 --> 00:22:48,600
Speaker 5: hundred and sixty yards and five touchdowns and I was

492
00:22:48,640 --> 00:22:51,520
Speaker 5: basically in three quarters too, because I just ran the clock.

493
00:22:51,320 --> 00:22:52,760
Speaker 4: Out after that.

494
00:22:52,760 --> 00:22:54,320
Speaker 5: That's the sort of game I think might be coming

495
00:22:54,359 --> 00:22:57,320
Speaker 5: against the Vikings here. I know the Chiefs un scored

496
00:22:57,320 --> 00:22:58,960
Speaker 5: a lot so far the season. They've only gone over

497
00:22:59,000 --> 00:23:02,280
Speaker 5: this one out of four times. Last three years they've

498
00:23:02,280 --> 00:23:04,320
Speaker 5: gone over the sixty two percent of the time. So

499
00:23:04,760 --> 00:23:07,800
Speaker 5: normally you can count on thirty from Mahomes or that's

500
00:23:07,840 --> 00:23:10,280
Speaker 5: twenty seven or higher. So we're right at the number there.

501
00:23:10,440 --> 00:23:12,879
Speaker 5: But I think it's the right spot. I just like

502
00:23:12,960 --> 00:23:16,480
Speaker 5: Mahomes against the Blitz here, I will probably be looking

503
00:23:16,520 --> 00:23:20,880
Speaker 5: at Mahomes alternate overs for like four touchdowns or heavy yards.

504
00:23:21,119 --> 00:23:25,080
Speaker 5: Maybe a team total alternate over the Vikings might score.

505
00:23:25,359 --> 00:23:27,720
Speaker 5: That's why again I'm on the team total here. I

506
00:23:27,760 --> 00:23:30,000
Speaker 5: think that the back door could be in play. But

507
00:23:30,080 --> 00:23:32,040
Speaker 5: I just think Mahomes is gonna do anything he needs

508
00:23:32,040 --> 00:23:32,760
Speaker 5: to do in this game.

509
00:23:33,280 --> 00:23:36,440
Speaker 1: Okay, Luke, your pick your last ones related to this.

510
00:23:36,640 --> 00:23:39,520
Speaker 1: I mean both of these could hit. These both could

511
00:23:39,560 --> 00:23:42,679
Speaker 1: work well together. Vikings are home in this spot. You

512
00:23:42,720 --> 00:23:44,000
Speaker 1: like Minnesota as a home dog.

513
00:23:44,480 --> 00:23:48,120
Speaker 5: Yeah, so as we were recording, like popped to three

514
00:23:48,119 --> 00:23:52,040
Speaker 5: and a half, which it's going to just wait for four.

515
00:23:52,160 --> 00:23:54,120
Speaker 5: So Vikings plus four three and a half.

516
00:23:54,240 --> 00:23:54,800
Speaker 4: I don't care.

517
00:23:55,680 --> 00:23:58,520
Speaker 5: This is just one that you do not want the

518
00:23:58,560 --> 00:24:00,920
Speaker 5: Vikings when they're a favorite. Want them handing off to

519
00:24:00,960 --> 00:24:05,240
Speaker 5: Alexander Madison. You want this team coming from behind, airing

520
00:24:05,240 --> 00:24:07,680
Speaker 5: it out and having to score. Yes, the defense is bad,

521
00:24:07,720 --> 00:24:12,800
Speaker 5: like I see a thirty six to thirty three type game.

522
00:24:13,880 --> 00:24:16,400
Speaker 1: Use the Philadelphia game as an example Thursday night.

523
00:24:17,040 --> 00:24:20,400
Speaker 5: We're like the Vikings they have been since last year,

524
00:24:20,880 --> 00:24:24,320
Speaker 5: like a close game profile, like they were very lucky

525
00:24:24,440 --> 00:24:26,120
Speaker 5: last year and everyone was fading them.

526
00:24:26,160 --> 00:24:28,000
Speaker 4: This year they have been very unlucky.

527
00:24:28,000 --> 00:24:30,960
Speaker 5: And I think the microw cosmm at all is justin

528
00:24:31,000 --> 00:24:33,840
Speaker 5: Jefferson fumbling out of the end zone against the Eagles right.

529
00:24:33,760 --> 00:24:37,280
Speaker 4: Before half like that. It is totally opposite.

530
00:24:36,800 --> 00:24:39,560
Speaker 5: In terms of luck profiles right now, and Kirk Cousin

531
00:24:39,640 --> 00:24:42,960
Speaker 5: has looked great. I will say that the Vikings list

532
00:24:43,080 --> 00:24:46,200
Speaker 5: at half of the rate that last week against Bryce Young,

533
00:24:46,280 --> 00:24:48,680
Speaker 5: which Bryce Young is in the comparable to Mahomes. I

534
00:24:48,680 --> 00:24:51,280
Speaker 5: think they only blitched thirty percent, which was like sixty

535
00:24:51,680 --> 00:24:54,200
Speaker 5: on the year prior to that, which was like they

536
00:24:54,240 --> 00:24:57,200
Speaker 5: finally got to win. Now they're at home. The Chiefs

537
00:24:57,280 --> 00:25:00,600
Speaker 5: offense like it just hasn't like I have nothing really

538
00:25:00,640 --> 00:25:02,439
Speaker 5: to back it up other than the eye test, but

539
00:25:02,480 --> 00:25:04,840
Speaker 5: they just it's just been off, like I don't know

540
00:25:04,840 --> 00:25:07,479
Speaker 5: if it's Kelsey or what, and they just this is

541
00:25:07,520 --> 00:25:11,119
Speaker 5: the get right game probably for that offense. But up

542
00:25:11,200 --> 00:25:15,080
Speaker 5: until now, like it just hasn't been the well oiled

543
00:25:15,080 --> 00:25:17,439
Speaker 5: machine that we've been used to. And the Vikings a

544
00:25:17,440 --> 00:25:20,280
Speaker 5: a dog at home. In any scenario I'm probably gonna

545
00:25:20,280 --> 00:25:22,399
Speaker 5: have a lot of interest in, and this is just

546
00:25:22,480 --> 00:25:25,959
Speaker 5: one that is against the defending champs. I even had

547
00:25:26,000 --> 00:25:27,840
Speaker 5: like a friend text me a couple of days ago

548
00:25:27,920 --> 00:25:31,000
Speaker 5: asking me, like, this Viking line seems fishy. Is there

549
00:25:31,080 --> 00:25:33,560
Speaker 5: something I don't know? Like why isn't it higher? I

550
00:25:33,640 --> 00:25:35,120
Speaker 5: don't even know what I said though, like I said,

551
00:25:35,160 --> 00:25:38,720
Speaker 5: I think I said I like the Vikings, and yeah,

552
00:25:39,119 --> 00:25:42,040
Speaker 5: Vikings plus three and a half plus four whatever it is,

553
00:25:42,119 --> 00:25:44,880
Speaker 5: like take it. You don't have to blitz Bryce Young,

554
00:25:44,920 --> 00:25:47,240
Speaker 5: you just put your hands up. You can't throw over anyways, so.

555
00:25:47,600 --> 00:25:49,439
Speaker 4: You have to save the blitz right, you're a.

556
00:25:49,720 --> 00:25:52,120
Speaker 3: Small small man, Anthony Dubundo.

557
00:25:52,280 --> 00:25:54,520
Speaker 1: Last pick before we go to the hot read for

558
00:25:54,600 --> 00:25:56,560
Speaker 1: or the look ahet it pardon me for Week six

559
00:25:56,600 --> 00:25:58,320
Speaker 1: from Brandon What do you got for your last one?

560
00:25:58,560 --> 00:26:04,200
Speaker 6: Tennessee Indianapolis over forty two and a half AFC South overs,

561
00:26:04,320 --> 00:26:06,960
Speaker 6: You know, just the beautiful bet. But I think that

562
00:26:07,000 --> 00:26:09,080
Speaker 6: there's been a change, or at least in the second half.

563
00:26:09,160 --> 00:26:10,959
Speaker 6: There was a noticeable change in how the Colts were

564
00:26:10,960 --> 00:26:13,760
Speaker 6: handling Anthony Richardson in the first five quarters of his

565
00:26:13,840 --> 00:26:15,720
Speaker 6: NFL career. So the first game, in the first quarter

566
00:26:15,760 --> 00:26:19,960
Speaker 6: of Week two, the Colts attempted almost no downfield passes

567
00:26:20,760 --> 00:26:23,000
Speaker 6: and that changed once they went down in the game

568
00:26:23,040 --> 00:26:24,639
Speaker 6: against the Rams and had to throw more. And I

569
00:26:24,680 --> 00:26:27,120
Speaker 6: think it was a little bit of like baby gloves

570
00:26:27,119 --> 00:26:29,320
Speaker 6: from Stichen in the play calling and kind of developing

571
00:26:29,359 --> 00:26:32,720
Speaker 6: that relationship and the sequencing of play calling to the

572
00:26:32,720 --> 00:26:34,439
Speaker 6: point now where they're going to open up the offense

573
00:26:34,480 --> 00:26:37,679
Speaker 6: more and they're going to be welcomed back by Jonathan Taylor.

574
00:26:37,760 --> 00:26:40,760
Speaker 6: The dumbest offensive offseason saga of all time. He was

575
00:26:40,800 --> 00:26:43,159
Speaker 6: always going to play for the Colts this year, and

576
00:26:43,200 --> 00:26:45,399
Speaker 6: he's back healthy, he's been healthy for a few weeks,

577
00:26:45,800 --> 00:26:48,359
Speaker 6: you know, healthy enough to practice this week, and you

578
00:26:48,359 --> 00:26:50,560
Speaker 6: know he's going to play on Sunday. So I'm excited

579
00:26:50,560 --> 00:26:52,040
Speaker 6: to see what that looks like in this offense. It

580
00:26:52,080 --> 00:26:54,439
Speaker 6: should open up more of the RPO game for the

581
00:26:54,440 --> 00:26:57,800
Speaker 6: Colts because they've been kind of struggling. The offensive line

582
00:26:58,080 --> 00:27:00,320
Speaker 6: is getting healthier. They were down three starters in the

583
00:27:00,320 --> 00:27:02,199
Speaker 6: game against the Rams, and I think that was a

584
00:27:02,200 --> 00:27:03,760
Speaker 6: big key. But it looks like all three are going

585
00:27:03,800 --> 00:27:06,320
Speaker 6: to be back this week as well. So offensive line

586
00:27:06,359 --> 00:27:09,040
Speaker 6: getting healthier, running back coming back, opening up the offense

587
00:27:09,080 --> 00:27:12,360
Speaker 6: more throwing vertically, which is where Tennessee's defense does struggle

588
00:27:12,359 --> 00:27:14,800
Speaker 6: a little bit. Even though I do like their defense,

589
00:27:15,000 --> 00:27:18,639
Speaker 6: and look on the other side, Colts still very average

590
00:27:18,680 --> 00:27:21,920
Speaker 6: in pass rush, and that's where the Titans and Tannehill

591
00:27:21,920 --> 00:27:24,560
Speaker 6: can can exploit this team. I thought that their performance

592
00:27:24,560 --> 00:27:27,440
Speaker 6: deserve more points. They really carved up the Bengals defensively

593
00:27:27,880 --> 00:27:30,080
Speaker 6: last week, and I think that the Colts are starting

594
00:27:30,080 --> 00:27:32,680
Speaker 6: to deal with some corner injuries as well, you know,

595
00:27:32,760 --> 00:27:34,920
Speaker 6: so there's going to be some holes for this Titan

596
00:27:34,960 --> 00:27:38,200
Speaker 6: offense to exploit. The Colts defense has allowed the fourth

597
00:27:38,200 --> 00:27:41,600
Speaker 6: most yards per game this year, they've been quietly bad

598
00:27:41,760 --> 00:27:43,720
Speaker 6: outside of that Ravens game, and so you know, you

599
00:27:43,720 --> 00:27:45,840
Speaker 6: can score on this team, and I expect it to

600
00:27:45,880 --> 00:27:47,240
Speaker 6: be closer to forty four to forty five.

601
00:27:47,320 --> 00:27:49,160
Speaker 2: So at forty two and a half over.

602
00:27:49,240 --> 00:27:51,359
Speaker 1: And he's playing right, He sounded like he was going

603
00:27:51,440 --> 00:27:54,320
Speaker 1: to play in his press conference today, Jonathan Taylor.

604
00:27:54,520 --> 00:27:56,240
Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean it's more about like is he in

605
00:27:56,240 --> 00:27:58,439
Speaker 6: game shape, So like I wouldn't expect him to be

606
00:27:58,960 --> 00:28:01,960
Speaker 6: a big factor where he's like playing a ton every

607
00:28:02,000 --> 00:28:05,280
Speaker 6: snap three downs. But you know, based on the commentary,

608
00:28:05,280 --> 00:28:07,639
Speaker 6: in the fact that he practiced fully and you know,

609
00:28:08,000 --> 00:28:10,919
Speaker 6: has put the water under the bridge, I think they're

610
00:28:10,960 --> 00:28:12,080
Speaker 6: trending toward that situation.

611
00:28:12,160 --> 00:28:12,639
Speaker 2: On Sunday.

612
00:28:12,960 --> 00:28:15,840
Speaker 4: I'm pretty surprised this, Like what's good of this?

613
00:28:16,040 --> 00:28:18,680
Speaker 5: Like Cults opening as minus one and now they're plus

614
00:28:18,760 --> 00:28:20,480
Speaker 5: two and a half. Like that is one move that

615
00:28:20,520 --> 00:28:21,520
Speaker 5: I did not see coming.

616
00:28:21,920 --> 00:28:24,399
Speaker 2: Great teaser spot for the Colts, great teacher spot.

617
00:28:24,640 --> 00:28:26,880
Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm with you. I'm confused by it as well.

618
00:28:26,880 --> 00:28:28,920
Speaker 5: It's another one I looked, looked hard at.

619
00:28:29,040 --> 00:28:32,479
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620
00:28:32,560 --> 00:28:34,639
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621
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623
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625
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00:28:59,120 --> 00:29:01,800
Speaker 1: When you need to tickets, need tickets, our friends at

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638
00:29:32,400 --> 00:29:35,320
Speaker 1: We leave with this on the subject of the Cults,

639
00:29:35,840 --> 00:29:39,160
Speaker 1: they are featured in Brandon Anderson's Week six look Ahead.

640
00:29:39,200 --> 00:29:41,520
Speaker 5: What do you got, Yeah, let's do the Colts next week.

641
00:29:41,560 --> 00:29:43,880
Speaker 5: Week six look Ahead, give me the Colts plus five

642
00:29:43,920 --> 00:29:47,360
Speaker 5: and a half in Jacksonville. So I'm already starting to move.

643
00:29:47,360 --> 00:29:49,040
Speaker 5: I haven't seeing some fives and even four and a

644
00:29:49,040 --> 00:29:52,320
Speaker 5: half's out there. The lines are moving so early. Guys

645
00:29:52,320 --> 00:29:53,960
Speaker 5: like look aheads and how reads. You got to get

646
00:29:53,960 --> 00:29:56,880
Speaker 5: picks in in a heartbeat when these lines start to post.

647
00:29:56,920 --> 00:29:59,000
Speaker 5: So I don't really understand this line. I think the

648
00:29:59,000 --> 00:30:02,040
Speaker 5: Colts honestly might just be better than the Jaguars. Like

649
00:30:02,120 --> 00:30:05,040
Speaker 5: the offense is stuck in the mud press Taylor, I

650
00:30:05,040 --> 00:30:07,560
Speaker 5: don't like it. The play calls are not doing a well.

651
00:30:07,840 --> 00:30:10,440
Speaker 5: Gus Bradley's Colts defense. We're talking about that just before

652
00:30:10,480 --> 00:30:13,000
Speaker 5: we started recording. Like they're holding up just fine. They

653
00:30:13,080 --> 00:30:16,400
Speaker 5: usually kind of managed to hang in there right around

654
00:30:16,440 --> 00:30:19,880
Speaker 5: league average. I agree with the bundle. I love Shane Steikin,

655
00:30:19,920 --> 00:30:23,240
Speaker 5: I love Anthony Richardson. I've loved that marriage from the beginning.

656
00:30:23,240 --> 00:30:25,240
Speaker 5: I just thought it might take some time, but it's

657
00:30:25,280 --> 00:30:28,640
Speaker 5: looking good already. I will say this is the one

658
00:30:28,680 --> 00:30:31,160
Speaker 5: thing I don't love about my Texans Island positions. I

659
00:30:31,240 --> 00:30:33,800
Speaker 5: think the Colts might be like infringing onto the island

660
00:30:33,840 --> 00:30:36,520
Speaker 5: a little bit long term here, but I think it's

661
00:30:36,560 --> 00:30:40,160
Speaker 5: a great spot against Jacksonville. I do like them home

662
00:30:40,160 --> 00:30:43,760
Speaker 5: against the Titans. Jacksonville's playing Buffalo. I think Buffalo could

663
00:30:43,800 --> 00:30:48,320
Speaker 5: run up the score on Jacksonville. And then don't forget Jacksonville.

664
00:30:48,400 --> 00:30:50,920
Speaker 5: Is another one that fits my trend from earlier. They're

665
00:30:50,920 --> 00:30:54,000
Speaker 5: coming home from London, but not just London, two weeks

666
00:30:54,000 --> 00:30:55,800
Speaker 5: in London, they've been hanging.

667
00:30:55,520 --> 00:30:57,200
Speaker 4: Out overseas for two weeks.

668
00:30:57,600 --> 00:31:00,680
Speaker 5: And this is the weirdest schedule stretch I've seen where

669
00:31:00,800 --> 00:31:03,760
Speaker 5: they come home after two weeks there and you like

670
00:31:03,840 --> 00:31:08,280
Speaker 5: totally acclimate your body time the whole thing. No bye week,

671
00:31:08,320 --> 00:31:10,520
Speaker 5: they didn't want to buy a week. In fact, they

672
00:31:10,560 --> 00:31:12,960
Speaker 5: go here to get they play the Colts at home,

673
00:31:13,520 --> 00:31:16,360
Speaker 5: then they have a Thursday night game three days later

674
00:31:16,920 --> 00:31:19,160
Speaker 5: against New Orleans in New Orleans, which I think is

675
00:31:19,200 --> 00:31:21,640
Speaker 5: gonna be a terrible spot for Jacksonville. And then they

676
00:31:21,680 --> 00:31:24,520
Speaker 5: play at Pittsburgh and then they get a bye week. Finally, Like,

677
00:31:24,840 --> 00:31:26,400
Speaker 5: I don't know what they're doing. Why did they do

678
00:31:26,520 --> 00:31:30,280
Speaker 5: the schedule this way. Look, Jacksonville wins at home against Indy.

679
00:31:30,440 --> 00:31:32,200
Speaker 5: That's the thing, and I think that must be what's

680
00:31:32,200 --> 00:31:35,400
Speaker 5: buying the line points here, because I believe Jacksonville's won

681
00:31:35,480 --> 00:31:37,360
Speaker 5: eight in a row at home, Like that's the one

682
00:31:37,360 --> 00:31:39,000
Speaker 5: that knocked the Colts out of the playoffs a couple

683
00:31:39,000 --> 00:31:41,440
Speaker 5: of years ago. That's a spot that we know to play.

684
00:31:42,600 --> 00:31:45,239
Speaker 5: I don't care I'm playing the Colts. I think if

685
00:31:45,280 --> 00:31:47,160
Speaker 5: you look at what the home field advantage should be

686
00:31:47,200 --> 00:31:49,720
Speaker 5: for Jacksonville, they're giving it all back with a post

687
00:31:49,800 --> 00:31:50,400
Speaker 5: London thing.

688
00:31:50,800 --> 00:31:52,880
Speaker 4: Again, I don't think I said this earlier.

689
00:31:52,960 --> 00:31:56,200
Speaker 5: Teams that are coming off of the London spot and

690
00:31:56,360 --> 00:31:58,760
Speaker 5: don't have a bye week ten teams we've had to

691
00:31:58,760 --> 00:32:02,480
Speaker 5: do that. All ten of those teams have either been

692
00:32:02,520 --> 00:32:05,520
Speaker 5: tied or trailing in the fourth quarter that following game.

693
00:32:06,040 --> 00:32:08,240
Speaker 5: So I think we get the Colts in this game

694
00:32:08,280 --> 00:32:10,880
Speaker 5: all the way. I like the plus five and a half.

695
00:32:11,280 --> 00:32:13,320
Speaker 5: I see a plus two to ten on the money line.

696
00:32:13,400 --> 00:32:16,280
Speaker 5: I think that's the wrong price as well. So I

697
00:32:16,320 --> 00:32:18,320
Speaker 5: think the Colts might actually get the job done here

698
00:32:18,520 --> 00:32:21,400
Speaker 5: and finally end the voodoo in Jacksonville and get the win.

699
00:32:21,560 --> 00:32:23,960
Speaker 5: But I'll take the official pick ass plus five and

700
00:32:24,000 --> 00:32:25,280
Speaker 5: a half, Okay.

701
00:32:24,960 --> 00:32:26,920
Speaker 1: Plus one ninety on the money line right now the

702
00:32:27,000 --> 00:32:30,000
Speaker 1: Colts at the Jags October fifteenth, all right, that is

703
00:32:30,040 --> 00:32:32,640
Speaker 1: going to do it on the Action Network podcast for

704
00:32:32,680 --> 00:32:35,240
Speaker 1: our NFL Week five Best Bets episode, we are presented

705
00:32:35,240 --> 00:32:36,160
Speaker 1: by Bett MGM.

706
00:32:36,240 --> 00:32:37,320
Speaker 3: Thanks to our friends there.

707
00:32:37,640 --> 00:32:41,360
Speaker 1: If you missed our other content on the Action Network podcast,

708
00:32:41,440 --> 00:32:43,760
Speaker 1: we have the full betting preview the Sunday six Pack

709
00:32:43,840 --> 00:32:45,320
Speaker 1: with Chris Raybond and Stuckey.

710
00:32:45,720 --> 00:32:47,800
Speaker 3: That's out now, and also.

711
00:32:47,880 --> 00:32:51,160
Speaker 1: Stay tuned for our recap episode which we do.

712
00:32:51,440 --> 00:32:52,680
Speaker 3: It comes out every Monday morning.

713
00:32:52,760 --> 00:32:55,960
Speaker 1: Joe Gillant Evan Abrams Brandon's featured there with his hot

714
00:32:56,000 --> 00:32:58,760
Speaker 1: red so be sure to check that out on Monday.

715
00:32:59,120 --> 00:33:01,840
Speaker 1: And again, don't forget to download the free award winning

716
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Speaker 1: Action Network out to see these guys picks and track

717
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Speaker 1: your own as well.

718
00:33:06,120 --> 00:33:21,920
Speaker 3: Best to fuck everybody.

719
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Speaker 5: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

720
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721
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722
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