1 00:00:01,360 --> 00:00:03,640 Speaker 1: This episode is brought to you by P and C Bank. 2 00:00:04,000 --> 00:00:06,760 Speaker 1: A lot of people think podcasts about work are boring, 3 00:00:07,000 --> 00:00:10,840 Speaker 1: and sure they definitely can be, but understanding a professionals 4 00:00:10,920 --> 00:00:14,160 Speaker 1: routine shows us how they achieve their success little by little, 5 00:00:14,560 --> 00:00:18,200 Speaker 1: day after day. It's like banking with P and C Bank. 6 00:00:18,680 --> 00:00:21,480 Speaker 1: It might seem boring to safe plan and make calculated 7 00:00:21,480 --> 00:00:24,599 Speaker 1: decisions with your bank, but keeping your money boring is 8 00:00:24,640 --> 00:00:27,960 Speaker 1: what helps you live or more happily fulfilled life. P 9 00:00:28,080 --> 00:00:32,879 Speaker 1: and C Bank Brilliantly Boring since eighteen sixty five. Brilliantly 10 00:00:32,960 --> 00:00:35,600 Speaker 1: Boring since eighteen sixty five is a service mark of 11 00:00:35,600 --> 00:00:38,840 Speaker 1: the PNC Financial Service Group, Inc. P and C Bank 12 00:00:39,280 --> 00:00:45,920 Speaker 1: National Association Member FDIC erness What's Up? You ever walk 13 00:00:45,920 --> 00:00:49,000 Speaker 1: into a small business and everything just works like the 14 00:00:49,080 --> 00:00:53,200 Speaker 1: checkout is fast, the receipts are digital, tipping is a breeze, 15 00:00:53,479 --> 00:00:55,640 Speaker 1: and you're out the door before the line even builds. 16 00:00:55,960 --> 00:01:00,240 Speaker 1: Odds are they're using Square? We love supporting business that 17 00:01:00,320 --> 00:01:02,959 Speaker 1: run on Square because it just feels seamless. 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People always ask me is their market 37 00:02:06,000 --> 00:02:08,680 Speaker 3: manipulation going on? And I say yes every single day, 38 00:02:09,080 --> 00:02:11,519 Speaker 3: especially when it comes to SMPN N as that because it's 39 00:02:11,320 --> 00:02:14,360 Speaker 3: the main two index that we're putting money into. 40 00:02:15,280 --> 00:02:17,440 Speaker 2: Number two. Decide how much money you're going to put in. 41 00:02:17,400 --> 00:02:20,200 Speaker 3: Every month, whether that's to fifty five hundred one thousand, 42 00:02:20,320 --> 00:02:24,560 Speaker 3: two thousand or more per month, and then thirdly block 43 00:02:24,560 --> 00:02:28,600 Speaker 3: out a lot of the negative news around crashes the 44 00:02:28,639 --> 00:02:32,800 Speaker 3: market falling apart. Like if the market does crash, great, 45 00:02:33,520 --> 00:02:35,959 Speaker 3: it's a better buying opportunity. But I think sometimes here 46 00:02:36,120 --> 00:02:41,480 Speaker 3: like robber Kiyassak and people that are like dooming gloomers, 47 00:02:41,880 --> 00:02:44,359 Speaker 3: it will cost people not to dollar cost average in 48 00:02:44,440 --> 00:02:47,000 Speaker 3: every month, and then you look up the quarter ends 49 00:02:47,000 --> 00:02:49,040 Speaker 3: and then you're like, we had a record month, but 50 00:02:49,240 --> 00:02:50,840 Speaker 3: not enough shares were bought. 51 00:02:51,760 --> 00:02:55,120 Speaker 2: If you look we started at four to sixty six. 52 00:02:56,360 --> 00:02:59,400 Speaker 3: And now we're at fifty three oh four on a 53 00:02:59,440 --> 00:03:02,679 Speaker 3: S and P few, You're like, that's incredible growth for 54 00:03:03,639 --> 00:03:05,280 Speaker 3: the S and P five hundreds. So make sure to 55 00:03:05,320 --> 00:03:08,160 Speaker 3: buy every month, no matter what anyone else is saying, 56 00:03:08,160 --> 00:03:09,639 Speaker 3: because if nothing else, the S and P is not 57 00:03:09,680 --> 00:03:10,160 Speaker 3: gonna crash. 58 00:03:10,200 --> 00:03:11,480 Speaker 2: And then so you're going to see it all over 59 00:03:11,480 --> 00:03:12,639 Speaker 2: the news. It'll be on Steven A. 60 00:03:12,760 --> 00:03:17,720 Speaker 3: Smith, Pat mcabee, ABC, Oprah, gonna talk about like special news. 61 00:03:17,800 --> 00:03:20,840 Speaker 3: You'll see it everywhere. But I think one of the 62 00:03:20,840 --> 00:03:22,880 Speaker 3: things that we forget is that they'll tell us to 63 00:03:22,880 --> 00:03:25,880 Speaker 3: buy everything else on sale, but assets to really matter 64 00:03:27,360 --> 00:03:30,200 Speaker 3: so it can continue to buy every single month. 65 00:03:30,240 --> 00:03:30,960 Speaker 2: Amazing quarter. 66 00:03:31,000 --> 00:03:33,079 Speaker 3: For those of you who've been traded it and holding 67 00:03:33,120 --> 00:03:36,440 Speaker 3: the long term, congrats, But we've had a record run up. 68 00:03:36,520 --> 00:03:39,640 Speaker 3: I mean even if if you go back to twenty 69 00:03:39,840 --> 00:03:42,160 Speaker 3: back to October, I mean, there's a thirty six oh 70 00:03:42,200 --> 00:03:44,520 Speaker 3: four in October of twenty two. 71 00:03:45,200 --> 00:03:48,080 Speaker 2: Now we're fifty three oh four for an index fund 72 00:03:49,920 --> 00:03:51,120 Speaker 2: hope for the long term. 73 00:03:51,320 --> 00:03:53,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm gonna add more color to this because this 74 00:03:53,520 --> 00:03:56,000 Speaker 1: is interesting if we want to like peel back a 75 00:03:56,040 --> 00:03:59,760 Speaker 1: little bit. There have been seven times in the past 76 00:04:00,160 --> 00:04:03,040 Speaker 1: since nineteen seventy five that the S and P has 77 00:04:03,120 --> 00:04:05,440 Speaker 1: gone on a five month win streak. So we just 78 00:04:05,560 --> 00:04:08,480 Speaker 1: ended March the first quarter obviously, but this has happened 79 00:04:08,520 --> 00:04:11,240 Speaker 1: seven times where it's going on a five month win 80 00:04:11,320 --> 00:04:15,120 Speaker 1: streak over twenty five percent, right, so it's increased by 81 00:04:15,200 --> 00:04:18,080 Speaker 1: twenty five percent. First time was in seventy five. What 82 00:04:18,160 --> 00:04:20,920 Speaker 1: happened twice in seventy five, happened in eighty two, happened 83 00:04:20,920 --> 00:04:24,479 Speaker 1: in eighty six, what happened in January of ninety nine, 84 00:04:25,440 --> 00:04:28,520 Speaker 1: August of two thousand and nine, April of twenty twenty, 85 00:04:28,800 --> 00:04:30,960 Speaker 1: and now March of twenty twenty four. It ended at 86 00:04:31,000 --> 00:04:33,400 Speaker 1: twenty four point six, So I guess we can count 87 00:04:33,400 --> 00:04:35,560 Speaker 1: that a seven. Now, in those seven times that that 88 00:04:35,560 --> 00:04:38,320 Speaker 1: has happened, I know people are saying missed out. I'll 89 00:04:38,400 --> 00:04:40,719 Speaker 1: use different language. I'll say that they didn't participate in 90 00:04:40,760 --> 00:04:43,240 Speaker 1: this first quarter and the seven times that it has 91 00:04:43,279 --> 00:04:45,760 Speaker 1: done that, that five month win streak, and it has 92 00:04:45,920 --> 00:04:49,640 Speaker 1: appreciated over twenty five percent in the six months following. 93 00:04:49,760 --> 00:04:53,040 Speaker 1: It's only gone down once, and so a lot of 94 00:04:53,080 --> 00:04:55,640 Speaker 1: people are, hey, it's going to pull back. Is just 95 00:04:55,800 --> 00:04:58,599 Speaker 1: time to get It's only one time and it was 96 00:04:58,640 --> 00:05:01,200 Speaker 1: like byzero point one percent. That was in nineteen eighty six. 97 00:05:01,240 --> 00:05:06,280 Speaker 1: Obviously we know what happened in nineteen eighty seven. So historically, 98 00:05:06,279 --> 00:05:09,360 Speaker 1: when we see a win streak like this and we 99 00:05:09,400 --> 00:05:11,960 Speaker 1: look at the momentum, and I'm glad we had JC 100 00:05:12,160 --> 00:05:15,400 Speaker 1: on to talk about the charge. Yeah, follow momentum, follow 101 00:05:15,440 --> 00:05:18,120 Speaker 1: the trend, block out the noise, block out the news, right, 102 00:05:18,120 --> 00:05:20,480 Speaker 1: because's now that we've hit. When we hit four months, 103 00:05:20,480 --> 00:05:22,640 Speaker 1: it was like, all right, well there's a pullback coming. 104 00:05:22,680 --> 00:05:24,680 Speaker 1: It can't happen five. Now we're at five and it's 105 00:05:24,720 --> 00:05:27,359 Speaker 1: like eyes five, it can't be six. Will it be 106 00:05:27,400 --> 00:05:31,839 Speaker 1: a pullback at some point. Sure, sure, sure, but the 107 00:05:31,880 --> 00:05:34,760 Speaker 1: fact if you didn't participate in the first three months 108 00:05:34,839 --> 00:05:37,440 Speaker 1: doesn't mean you should not participate in the second and 109 00:05:37,480 --> 00:05:40,000 Speaker 1: definitely by the end of the year. Historically, from what 110 00:05:40,760 --> 00:05:44,120 Speaker 1: the market has done six almost one hundred percent of 111 00:05:44,160 --> 00:05:45,880 Speaker 1: the time, if it's going up twenty five percent in 112 00:05:46,000 --> 00:05:47,960 Speaker 1: five month streak by the end of the year and 113 00:05:48,000 --> 00:05:48,839 Speaker 1: it's also gone. 114 00:05:48,680 --> 00:05:52,880 Speaker 3: Up absolutely Also, you can look at the inflows, which 115 00:05:52,920 --> 00:05:54,839 Speaker 3: means how much money hedge funds are putting into the 116 00:05:54,880 --> 00:05:57,760 Speaker 3: S and P five hundred. When they get to record 117 00:05:57,800 --> 00:06:00,000 Speaker 3: low outflows, that's a good time to buys for the sugget. 118 00:06:00,080 --> 00:06:01,760 Speaker 3: You can write down and buy when the outflows are 119 00:06:01,800 --> 00:06:03,960 Speaker 3: at record lows. But I mean this has been on 120 00:06:04,000 --> 00:06:05,440 Speaker 3: a tear for my traders. You can look at the 121 00:06:05,480 --> 00:06:08,920 Speaker 3: day chart, or if you aren't finding a good entry, 122 00:06:08,960 --> 00:06:10,919 Speaker 3: you can look at the hourly chart to place a 123 00:06:11,040 --> 00:06:14,960 Speaker 3: long term investment. So if the market drops tremendously on 124 00:06:15,000 --> 00:06:17,320 Speaker 3: a one hour chart, you can then get in and 125 00:06:17,360 --> 00:06:19,520 Speaker 3: then buy it for a long term. But I think 126 00:06:19,520 --> 00:06:21,720 Speaker 3: it's a huge mistake to think that the S and 127 00:06:21,760 --> 00:06:24,760 Speaker 3: P five hundred is going to fall apart, and even 128 00:06:24,800 --> 00:06:27,279 Speaker 3: when it has fallen twenty twenty five percent. The returns 129 00:06:27,279 --> 00:06:30,240 Speaker 3: over the next four or five years have been absolutely tremendous, 130 00:06:31,320 --> 00:06:32,080 Speaker 3: even since. 131 00:06:31,920 --> 00:06:32,799 Speaker 2: We started the show. 132 00:06:33,040 --> 00:06:35,240 Speaker 3: Like if we look where we were at in twenty twenty, 133 00:06:35,920 --> 00:06:38,040 Speaker 3: it was a spy was at two twenty. 134 00:06:38,320 --> 00:06:44,840 Speaker 2: It's now a five to twenty three for an index. Fine, yeah, yeah, And. 135 00:06:46,400 --> 00:06:48,440 Speaker 1: Just by sector, I'll read off the year of the date, right, 136 00:06:48,480 --> 00:06:52,080 Speaker 1: communication services it leads aways up fifteen percent, Technologies up 137 00:06:52,120 --> 00:06:56,080 Speaker 1: twelve percent, Energy is up eleven percent, Financials up eleven percent, 138 00:06:56,160 --> 00:06:57,560 Speaker 1: even with interest rates where they are. 139 00:06:57,720 --> 00:07:00,920 Speaker 2: Financials is up eleven percent. Industrials are up ten percent. 140 00:07:01,200 --> 00:07:03,159 Speaker 1: But the sector we talk about, and we spoke about 141 00:07:03,160 --> 00:07:05,200 Speaker 1: it over the past month maybe two months, and I 142 00:07:05,279 --> 00:07:07,240 Speaker 1: know you talk about all the time, and is healthcare, 143 00:07:07,600 --> 00:07:09,520 Speaker 1: and that's single bit is that's up eight percent. 144 00:07:10,040 --> 00:07:11,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, But there is a sector. 145 00:07:11,800 --> 00:07:16,880 Speaker 1: Which I think definitely with interest rates coming down over 146 00:07:16,920 --> 00:07:19,440 Speaker 1: the next six to eight months, right the Feds saying 147 00:07:19,440 --> 00:07:23,160 Speaker 1: that they're going to bring rights down, real estate. That 148 00:07:23,320 --> 00:07:26,440 Speaker 1: sector is off by three percent in the first three 149 00:07:26,480 --> 00:07:28,600 Speaker 1: months of this year, the first quarter. So if you're 150 00:07:28,600 --> 00:07:32,760 Speaker 1: looking at conditions lower interest rates. We've talked about a 151 00:07:32,760 --> 00:07:37,480 Speaker 1: home buying crisis with a home building crisis with Don Peebles. 152 00:07:38,240 --> 00:07:42,040 Speaker 1: They're starting to see some indicators that this might be 153 00:07:42,040 --> 00:07:44,600 Speaker 1: an area that, hey, if we're not looking at it, 154 00:07:44,720 --> 00:07:46,560 Speaker 1: and especially if we looked at all these other sectors, 155 00:07:46,600 --> 00:07:48,080 Speaker 1: that there might be some growth ahead. 156 00:07:48,640 --> 00:07:52,120 Speaker 3: I would keep it out on real estate. Yeah, agree, 157 00:07:52,120 --> 00:07:55,040 Speaker 3: one thousand percent. Hope for the long term. I don't 158 00:07:55,040 --> 00:07:58,280 Speaker 3: know how to say it any simpler. If we keep 159 00:07:58,280 --> 00:08:02,600 Speaker 3: at this pace, the we should end around we want. 160 00:08:02,680 --> 00:08:05,440 Speaker 2: Second, you're about to raise a price target for the 161 00:08:05,520 --> 00:08:05,760 Speaker 2: sm B. 162 00:08:06,360 --> 00:08:12,360 Speaker 3: Yeah, I gotta go on to five fifty three. I mean, 163 00:08:12,440 --> 00:08:15,440 Speaker 3: and listen an election that's coming up. You need every 164 00:08:15,440 --> 00:08:19,200 Speaker 3: advantage to be able to win. We'll talk about Trumping 165 00:08:19,240 --> 00:08:22,160 Speaker 3: a little bit and his financial thing that he's doing 166 00:08:22,320 --> 00:08:22,880 Speaker 3: with the stock. 167 00:08:22,920 --> 00:08:25,239 Speaker 2: But you need everything going in your favor. 168 00:08:25,360 --> 00:08:28,720 Speaker 3: So if the overall economy is slowing down for the 169 00:08:28,880 --> 00:08:31,160 Speaker 3: regular person, you at least need the stock market to 170 00:08:31,160 --> 00:08:33,600 Speaker 3: be going up so people can look at their retirement 171 00:08:33,640 --> 00:08:35,400 Speaker 3: and have like a semblance of safety. 172 00:08:37,120 --> 00:08:40,040 Speaker 2: So you continue to hold for the long term because in. 173 00:08:39,960 --> 00:08:41,640 Speaker 3: Four years we may be talking about S and P 174 00:08:41,760 --> 00:08:43,720 Speaker 3: being that a thousand, which is crazy. 175 00:08:43,800 --> 00:08:47,480 Speaker 4: An illegal alien from Guatemala charged with raping a child 176 00:08:47,480 --> 00:08:51,280 Speaker 4: in Massachusetts. An MS thirteen gang member from El Salvador 177 00:08:51,559 --> 00:08:55,680 Speaker 4: accused of murdering a Texas man of Venezuelan charged with 178 00:08:55,720 --> 00:08:59,600 Speaker 4: filming and selling child pornography in Michigan. These are just 179 00:08:59,720 --> 00:09:03,440 Speaker 4: some of the heinous migrant criminals caught because of President 180 00:09:03,520 --> 00:09:07,120 Speaker 4: Donald J. Trump's leadership. I'm Christy nom the United States 181 00:09:07,120 --> 00:09:11,920 Speaker 4: Secretary of Homeland Security. Under President Trump, attempted illegal border 182 00:09:11,960 --> 00:09:15,520 Speaker 4: crossings are at the lowest levels ever recorded, and over 183 00:09:15,559 --> 00:09:18,800 Speaker 4: one hundred thousand illegal aliens have been arrested. If you 184 00:09:18,840 --> 00:09:22,720 Speaker 4: are here illegally, your next you will be fine nearly 185 00:09:22,800 --> 00:09:26,800 Speaker 4: one thousand dollars a day, imprisoned, and deported. You will 186 00:09:26,840 --> 00:09:30,480 Speaker 4: never return. But if you register using our CBP home 187 00:09:30,520 --> 00:09:33,920 Speaker 4: app and leave now, you could be allowed to return legally. 188 00:09:34,280 --> 00:09:39,040 Speaker 4: Do what's right. Leave now. Under President Trump, America's laws, 189 00:09:39,200 --> 00:09:41,640 Speaker 4: border and families will be protected. 190 00:09:41,720 --> 00:09:43,880 Speaker 2: Sponsored by the United States Department of Homeland Security,