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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast presented by BET three

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Speaker 1: sixty five. We are part of the Action Network. Today

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Speaker 1: is our week fifteen Tuesday NFL episode. I am Chad Milman,

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Speaker 1: Chief Content Officer of the Action Network. We are coming

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Speaker 1: off of three in two a week in our contest

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Speaker 1: how about Them Cowboys. A lot of lines we've liked

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Speaker 1: have already moved since Sunday. Some have been moving this morning,

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Speaker 1: which is why you need to listen to our shows

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Speaker 1: if you want to get the best of the number.

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Speaker 1: On today's show, we will get to our as Simon says,

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Speaker 1: and our exec decision. On Thursday, we will finalize our

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Speaker 1: Big Balls bet of the Week, our foxhul our survivor,

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Speaker 1: our money Line parlay. Don't forget this episode. We'll look

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Speaker 1: at the entire board as we begin narrowing down the

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Speaker 1: five picks we'll enter me. Favorites Podcast one hundred thousand

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Speaker 1: dollars Pro Football Pick Them Contest still free, Still open

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Speaker 1: for sign up, awarding weekly season long prizes at Favorites

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Speaker 1: dot actionnetwork dot com. Let's bring in my co host,

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Speaker 1: my bff, my companion, Mike Compadre, Professional Better, Simon Hunter,

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Speaker 1: eat O simed Simon. We nailed the Cowboys, no hesitation

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Speaker 1: all week. Good for us, got us to three and two.

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Speaker 1: I like the spirit of Patrick Mahomes defending our bet,

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Speaker 1: defending our lost bet the way he did. But nice

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Speaker 1: to be back in the waiting column.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. In another week where we debated about switching games

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Speaker 2: in and out, and the other one we talked about

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Speaker 2: switching in was the Giant So in typical fashion, we

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Speaker 2: put the losers in pick the winners out, Chad. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: happy to be three and two. I'll take it.

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Speaker 1: It's actually unbelievable. I look back on last week. You know,

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Speaker 1: it's so hard on Sunday and I got I gotta admit,

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Speaker 1: like it's a long season. And like even last night,

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Speaker 1: in the first half of that game, I don't know

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Speaker 1: if you watched the Giants game, but the like even

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Speaker 1: Troy Aikman was basically saying, this product is just terrible

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Speaker 1: right now and it's almost unwatchable. And I last night,

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Speaker 1: at the end of the first half went upstairs and

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Speaker 1: if not for the fact I had forgotten to fold

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Speaker 1: a week's worth of laundry from being on the road

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Speaker 1: and had to stay up and do it, I would

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Speaker 1: have been in bed before the Giants pulled that game out,

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Speaker 1: certainly long asleep. I definitely wasn't away for the end.

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Speaker 1: But I look back and I feel good about our handicapping.

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Speaker 1: Last week. We were right on the Jets, but we

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Speaker 1: chickened out. You were right on the Bucks, but I

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Speaker 1: chickened out. I was right on the Giants, but you

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Speaker 1: chickened out. So this week, no Chickens, No chickens, And.

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Speaker 2: I feel very lucky. I watch all these games in mute,

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Speaker 2: so I didn't hear that Troy ach mcconment, but I

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Speaker 2: would love for Tyke but to go back and watch

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Speaker 2: his own film and uh, just again, one of the

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Speaker 2: luckiest guys ever to be in the Hall of Fame,

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Speaker 2: Trake when one of the most overrated bad quarterbacks ever.

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Speaker 1: Oh, do not go after Trey Aikman. I got to say.

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Speaker 1: When I covered the NFL on a regular basis back

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Speaker 1: in my younger days, I did a lot of Cowboys

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Speaker 1: coverage because when I was at Sports Illustrated in the

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Speaker 1: mid nineties, that's when they were America's team in that generation,

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Speaker 1: and Trey Akman was very available, talked openly that.

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Speaker 2: He was he wasn't watching film or working on his game.

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Speaker 2: Oh my god, again the guy had Mahomes had more

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Speaker 2: touchdown passes in a year and a half at whatever

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Speaker 2: he was twenty six and Akman had his whole career. Again,

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Speaker 2: He's a joke, different game.

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Speaker 1: As a reminder, the Favorites podscast is presented by Bet

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Speaker 1: three sixty five. Bet three sixty five doesn't do ordinary.

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Speaker 1: never ordinary at Bet three six five. Must be twenty

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Speaker 1: one and older and present in Colorado, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana,

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Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, eighteen and older in I'm sorry, eighteen

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Speaker 1: and older in Kentucky. Not twenty one in Kentucky call

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Speaker 1: one eight hundred gambler or one eight hundred bets off

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Speaker 1: in Iowa terms. Conditions restrictions apply As a reminder, you

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Speaker 1: can catch every episode of the Favorites live on YouTube,

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Speaker 1: So for those enjoying on YouTube, don't forget to give

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Speaker 1: us a like and subscribe to the Action Network YouTube page.

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Speaker 1: All right, Week fourteen winners roundup from the contest one

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Speaker 1: hundred and ninety seven entries. Wow finished five and oh.

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Speaker 1: We had a tie for first place as two entries

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Speaker 1: went five and oh and nailed the tiebreaker exactly. Congrats

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Speaker 1: to Blake Ott and PG three eight one enjoy the cash.

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Speaker 1: This week's Producer's Couple Award goes to Dolph sip Lanks

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Speaker 1: l E Nks for finishing dea fucking last and the

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Speaker 1: Week fourteen contest going on to five missing the tiebreaker

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Speaker 1: by three hundred and fifty nine yards. Dolf, please email

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Speaker 1: producer Matt Mitchell at podcast at Action network dot com

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Speaker 1: claim your prize Week fifteen in the contest now live

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Speaker 1: tiebreaker total passing yards on Monday Night football. Good luck everybody?

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Speaker 2: All right?

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Speaker 1: Tyreek Hill still leaving the league and receiving yards. We

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Speaker 1: had him at nine to one. That is our big

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Speaker 1: future still ahead. Like I said, we'll see about that

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Speaker 1: ankle injury. Jalen Carter Jalen Carter. We got him at

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Speaker 1: seven to one for defensive Rookie of the Year minus

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Speaker 1: five hundred at be threes is five. He was half

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Speaker 1: the offense for the Eagles on Sunday, return to fumble

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Speaker 1: for a touchdown against the Cowboys. All right, we got

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Speaker 1: a very full board. We got Thursday game, Saturday game,

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Speaker 1: Sunday game, Monday games. We got sixteen games. No buys

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Speaker 1: La Chargers at Oakland. Oakland is three point favorite on

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Speaker 1: Thursday night. I don't what to do with this game, man,

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Speaker 1: Like you fade the team at the backup QB that's

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Speaker 1: based in last did I say Oakland? I met Las Vegas.

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Speaker 1: Fade the team at the backup QB in Las Vegas,

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Speaker 1: faded the team that was just shut out. Play the

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Speaker 1: dead cat, bounce and take the Chargers. Screw the side,

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Speaker 1: take the over, which is what our luck ranking suggest.

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Speaker 1: Pretend it doesn't exist. What do we think you?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll probably go with Vegas for what you just said.

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Speaker 2: It's like, I don't know, they just they're not as

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Speaker 2: bad as they look the previous week. But I didn't

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Speaker 2: bet any unders last week with a prime toes, or

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Speaker 2: maybe I didn't the Thursday. I didn't bet the Sunday

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Speaker 2: Night or either Monday game. I think the Overs went

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Speaker 2: three and one last week and then the week before

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Speaker 2: they went three and oh, so it's over. It was

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Speaker 2: a great run. It is clearly dead. You said it

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Speaker 2: before we went on the show. Luck over. So I'll

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Speaker 2: follow Nick and the boys and I'll take the over here.

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Speaker 2: But yeah, I'm with chat. We'll keep it moving for

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Speaker 2: this one.

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Speaker 1: Minnesota at Sincy. By the way, teams off getting shut

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Speaker 1: out twenty nine thirteen and three, nearly seventy percent in

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Speaker 1: their next game since twenty fifteen, So yeah, a little

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Speaker 1: bit of an of a lean to the Raiders. Then Minnesota,

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Speaker 1: It's Cincinnati Cincinnati at three and a half point favorite

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Speaker 1: Saturday game Simon, another exciting backup battle of backup QBS

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Speaker 1: Jake Browning against who even knows could be Josh Jobs,

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Speaker 1: could be Nick Mullens, justin Jefferson is day to day. Look,

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Speaker 1: this is a real to me, this is an interesting

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Speaker 1: game because the Vikings pass rush is good in the

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Speaker 1: way that it blitzes. The Bengals pass rush is good

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Speaker 1: because they have Trey Hendrickson. The only thing I'm thinking

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Speaker 1: about is like could there be an advantage for Minnesota

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Speaker 1: if Nick Mullens plays in the way that, like, all right,

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Speaker 1: they feel the offense can move town differently, the players

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Speaker 1: get a little bit more enthusiastic. If Justin Jefferson plays,

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Speaker 1: you've got a little bit more of an accurate passer.

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Speaker 1: But mostly I don't want to watch this game now.

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Speaker 2: It's sadly I have to because it's my job, but

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Speaker 2: I'll take Cincy here. But I'm with you, like, what

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Speaker 2: the hell are we doing here? It's like almost a

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Speaker 2: possible to make numbers in this game. And yeah, I

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Speaker 2: have no idea how good this Cincinnati team is or

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Speaker 2: what they will be, but they're playing well right now.

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Speaker 2: They're playing better than Minnesota, So I'll back Cincinnati here.

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Speaker 1: Jake Browning's seventy nine point three completion percentage is the

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Speaker 1: highest completion percentage by a QB in his first three

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Speaker 1: starts since nineteen fifty. Take that, Troy Aikman. You're saying

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Speaker 1: the NFL stinks, Jake Browning is proving you different.

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Speaker 2: Jake Browning would also have three Super Bowls if you

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Speaker 2: played for the Dallas Cowboys, And.

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Speaker 1: That are your hatred for Troy Aikman. This is this Now,

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Speaker 1: I know what you feel like when I'm s slam

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Speaker 1: in Bill Belichick and saying he's the Zach Taylor of

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Speaker 1: the New England Patriots, only winning because he had a

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Speaker 1: good quarterback.

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Speaker 2: Not comparable. Again, they could have just put a trash

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Speaker 2: can out there that had a fake little arm on

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Speaker 2: it to hand the ball off the Emitt Smith and

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Speaker 2: they would have the exact sad results.

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Speaker 1: I will not stand for Treyikman hatred. I love Treyikman,

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Speaker 1: I do. I think he's amazing. Pittsburgh at Indianapolis. I

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Speaker 1: wanted to blow through this game like it's the third

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Speaker 1: straight game featuring backup QBS right, third of three games

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Speaker 1: that we've talked about it. Mitch Trubisky against Gardner Minshew.

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Speaker 1: Normally this is a smash Mike Tomlin spot Robert and

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Speaker 1: Mike Tomlin Right. Here's my concern. Is TJ. Watt playing.

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Speaker 1: Is Alex Heismith playing? Both were in concussion protocol Over

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Speaker 1: the last two season, Steelers fifteen and six straight up

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Speaker 1: and against the spread with TJ. Watt one in six

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Speaker 1: without him two four and one against the spread. So

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Speaker 1: like I worry without t J. Watt what this team

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Speaker 1: can be.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that would change how I bet it. Luckily, we

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Speaker 2: can't put this in the contest because it's definitely a

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Speaker 2: game where I would try to force and I know

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Speaker 2: I'd wake up Saturday and he's like, we got to

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Speaker 2: get one of these games in. Let's let's get one

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Speaker 2: of these games in. So Luckily we can't, just because

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Speaker 2: I like Pittsburgh here, you think you just nailed it's

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Speaker 2: a good spot. It's a good Tomlin spot. Two straight

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Speaker 2: losses as favorites at home against two and what with

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Speaker 2: the two and nine to and ten teams, the Arizona

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Speaker 2: and then the Patriots, Like just as low as it

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Speaker 2: can get for this Pittsburgh team, and this is like

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Speaker 2: the classic. You know, They've had extended week here to

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Speaker 2: get right and Tomlin's just been on them this whole time.

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Speaker 2: And this is why he's such a good motivator. Like

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Speaker 2: you think these teams are dead, they're not. They're gonna

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Speaker 2: make it to the playoffs and they're going to beat

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Speaker 2: the Ravens And that's how the season is going to

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Speaker 2: go for this Pittsburgh team. It's just it's already written

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Speaker 2: in stone, like they're they're not gonna make the playoffs

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Speaker 2: if I'm not going to beat the Ravens, and none

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Speaker 2: of it makes sense because it's football. So plus two

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Speaker 2: and a half, I'll take it. Chad's right though, if

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Speaker 2: Wa is out, I'm terrified of this spot. I probably

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Speaker 2: won't have as much money on it, but right now

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Speaker 2: I'm betting it, and I'm betting it kind of heavy.

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Speaker 2: So I am in on Pittsburgh this week, but not

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Speaker 2: gonna make it. Simon says, just because if Whata is out,

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Speaker 2: I could see this gid up to three three and

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Speaker 2: a half if JJ Watt or TJ Watts out.

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Speaker 1: But why are you hitting it so hard if there's

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Speaker 1: still a huge question mark about their best player.

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Speaker 2: Because I could see it if he gets cleared and

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Speaker 2: the pros came in on this, I see it going

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Speaker 2: down to like a pick minus one. It feels like

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Speaker 2: kind of like the Bucks Atlanta last week, and I

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Speaker 2: don't want to miss that number where I got lucky.

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Speaker 2: The number came back when into the week and I

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Speaker 2: was able to get to two and a half. I

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Speaker 2: want it on the Bucks, but here, I don't think

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Speaker 2: I'd get as lucky if those guys get cleared and

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Speaker 2: I know where you're coming from. I just I can't

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Speaker 2: see TJ missing this game. It just off extended rest.

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Speaker 2: I can see him being back. I mean, they push

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Speaker 2: guys to concussion protocol in like six days, let alone ten,

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Speaker 2: so I could to see him getting back for this one.

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Speaker 1: Denver Detroit. Detroit is now a five point favorite. We

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Speaker 1: talked about this one on Sunday night. It was four.

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Speaker 1: We didn't know what to do with it. Then we

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Speaker 1: were leaning Detroit. But the fundamental question we had is

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Speaker 1: Detroit broken versus is Denver getting the right teams in

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Speaker 1: the right spots and getting some turnover. Lock happened to

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Speaker 1: again in this past week. Justin Herbert breaks his finger,

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Speaker 1: they get easton stick. They end up winning again. Good

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Speaker 1: for us. We're on the Broncos eight and a half

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Speaker 1: at their season win total, so we're feeling a little

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Speaker 1: bit better about cashing that ticket. But all of a sudden,

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Speaker 1: this number is at five. What's our breaking point here?

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Speaker 1: When do we say, all right, we don't like Detroit anymore?

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Speaker 1: We probably want to bet Denver.

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Speaker 2: I don't know, don't do this one because I know

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Speaker 2: if it gets a six, I feel like that will

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Speaker 2: be my breaking point right, It's like, how do we

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Speaker 2: not take Denver once I get the six six and

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Speaker 2: a half. But yeah, just same thing with some day.

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Speaker 2: I don't know what to do with this one. It's

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Speaker 2: like I have no idea what lines team I'm getting

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Speaker 2: right now, but I do know what I'm getting from Denver,

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Speaker 2: and I think we just talked about it. It's like, yeah,

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Speaker 2: they've been lucky with the turnovers, but I mean they're

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Speaker 2: put in they're so well coached of putting these positions

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Speaker 2: every week, where like their offense can look dead and

253
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Speaker 2: nothing's working for Russell Wilson and somehow by the second

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Speaker 2: half it is working. They are pulling out these games,

255
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Speaker 2: and like they just just a very bizarre team. So

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Speaker 2: we have been very lucky here at the end where

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Speaker 2: a lot of my over bets that I thought were dead,

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Speaker 2: I mean, the Colts included, Like, I can't believe the

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Speaker 2: Colts came through once Richardson got hurt. This Broncos team

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Speaker 2: starting one to five might come through. I mean, I

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Speaker 2: know you're like me, you have a bunch of invested

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Speaker 2: in the Bears. We still might hit our Bears over

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Speaker 2: So pretty insane. All these teams we left for dead

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Speaker 2: coming back here, But nothing from me on this one yet. Chat.

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Speaker 2: I hope the number moves because it's kind of been

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Speaker 2: a weird zone at five. I'm hoping either five and

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Speaker 2: a half six. I'll probably coming on Denver.

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Speaker 1: Two trends that we should discuss, and then we're going

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Speaker 1: to get into the heart of the schedule and games

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Speaker 1: that we can really focus on for the contest, because

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Speaker 1: this is the last Saturday game and we can't put

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Speaker 1: those in the contest. Good teams who score fewer than

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Speaker 1: fourteen points the following week. The following week the past

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Speaker 1: ten years fifty seven percent against the spread Week fifteen,

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Speaker 1: that is Detroit, Houston, and Philadelphia. The flip side underdogs.

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Speaker 1: Teams that are on the road or short rest after

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Speaker 1: a straight up win in their previous game as an

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Speaker 1: underdog the past twenty years, forty three and seventy against

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Speaker 1: the spread. By the way, Denver, Broncos, New York Giants,

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Speaker 1: who we're going to talk about. So the stats are

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Speaker 1: telling you right now, Yeah, the stats are telling you

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Speaker 1: play Detroit, which is why the numbers moved up, even

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Speaker 1: though I think wise guys they're a little bit uncomfortable

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Speaker 1: about the Lions, but I think they feel like this

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Speaker 1: is the spot to play them. That's a nice spot, uh,

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Speaker 1: Chicago at Cleveland. So Tuesday night the line was two

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Speaker 1: and a half or not Tuesday night. Sunday night, the

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Speaker 1: line was two and a half. I was concerned it

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Speaker 1: was feeling trappy and the books were begging me to

290
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Speaker 1: take Cleveland. The line moved to three, then it got

291
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Speaker 1: to three and a half. It's at three and a

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Speaker 1: half at a lot of places at three and a half.

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Speaker 1: Tell me I'm wrong. I kind of like the Bears

294
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Speaker 1: at three and a half. And this is not a bias, right,

295
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Speaker 1: This is not me saying I'm in love with Justin Fields.

296
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Speaker 1: This Bear is rushedy and scoring d had been top

297
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Speaker 1: ten in advanced stats since the Montese sweat deal. The

298
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Speaker 1: brown strength is their rushing game. The Browns just had

299
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Speaker 1: a big emotional win, Joe Flacco given speeches, Joe Flacco

300
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Speaker 1: getting praised. Now we've got the Bears coming in quietly,

301
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Speaker 1: putting together a solid roster that is growing more confident,

302
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Speaker 1: and Justin Fields, whose strength as a scrambler could probably

303
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Speaker 1: counteract the Browns strength defensively is a pass rush.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know what the pros are seeing here.

305
00:16:34,440 --> 00:16:36,640
Speaker 2: I understood that two and a half, he can clean

306
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Speaker 2: the two and a half. I really don't get at three, though.

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Speaker 2: Three and a half so a little scary chat. This

308
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Speaker 2: one feels very easy. It's like Bears Bears, Bears Bears,

309
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Speaker 2: Joe Flacco minus three and a half at home against

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Speaker 2: a non injured quarterback or a backup. I mean, we

311
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Speaker 2: take the Bears here every time, especially you just said

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Speaker 2: the Bears have been playing much better than they weren't

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Speaker 2: earlier in the year, and I think min was half

314
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Speaker 2: caught up to it, and we saw last week how

315
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Speaker 2: much that number moved. Yeah, truly interesting. They're jumping off

316
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Speaker 2: the Bears here, like like you just said, at two

317
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Speaker 2: and a half, Cleveland makes sense. I agree with that,

318
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Speaker 2: But at three and a half, which it is right now,

319
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Speaker 2: I'd grabbed the Bears. You want me to make this,

320
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Speaker 2: Simon says, you make it.

321
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Speaker 1: Simon says, Simon says, we do. Say yeah, I'm glad

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Speaker 1: you did that, because I didn't want to make it

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Speaker 1: my executive decision because then it just feels like what

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Speaker 1: am I doing? Man? If I'm just a homer who's

325
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Speaker 1: betting the bearges every week and.

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Speaker 2: If the weather does impact, which maybe maybe that's something

327
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Speaker 2: going on there. I honestly feel better once again about

328
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Speaker 2: this Bears team if it is bad weather, Like, you

329
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Speaker 2: guys are really good at running and you're really good

330
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Speaker 2: stopping the run right now, So weird, weird movement on

331
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Speaker 2: this number. I mean, I might be walking right into it,

332
00:17:49,440 --> 00:17:51,879
Speaker 2: but give me the three and a half chat Like

333
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Speaker 2: that's that's way too much respect for Joe Flacco after

334
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Speaker 2: a win that felt a little gifted to them, right,

335
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Speaker 2: Like they kind of had some thing kind of bounced

336
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Speaker 2: their way last week and they got the cover that

337
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Speaker 2: they probably shouldn't have got. I wasn't for a weird

338
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Speaker 2: player from Peterson. So yeah, I'll take I'll take the

339
00:18:08,680 --> 00:18:09,760
Speaker 2: value on this Bears team.

340
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Speaker 1: The amount of conversation in my house right now between

341
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Speaker 1: me and my younger son about what the Bear should

342
00:18:18,480 --> 00:18:23,760
Speaker 1: do at quarterback. Oh, it's the best next year is insane.

343
00:18:23,840 --> 00:18:25,880
Speaker 2: I think have the best off season ever. I'm telling

344
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Speaker 2: you it's gonna be so.

345
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Speaker 1: Oh my god. Are we trading for Caleb will Are

346
00:18:29,520 --> 00:18:32,680
Speaker 1: we keeping Caleb Williams? Are we trading that pick? Are

347
00:18:32,720 --> 00:18:36,119
Speaker 1: we getting the Hall? It was such an intense conversation

348
00:18:36,200 --> 00:18:41,240
Speaker 1: between me and my kid at dinner, like it was phenomenal.

349
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Speaker 2: I can't it really does decide the next ten years

350
00:18:44,920 --> 00:18:45,880
Speaker 2: of your life, brother.

351
00:18:45,760 --> 00:18:46,960
Speaker 1: Does it really does?

352
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Speaker 2: It does?

353
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Speaker 1: And it's it's almost embarrassing how much I.

354
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Speaker 2: Enjoy it is the best part of being a fan.

355
00:18:56,080 --> 00:18:57,560
Speaker 2: This is why you can say we when you talk

356
00:18:57,560 --> 00:18:59,119
Speaker 2: about your team. It's like you've been through all the

357
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Speaker 2: ship and then they get enjoy the fund exciting parts

358
00:19:02,119 --> 00:19:02,400
Speaker 2: of it.

359
00:19:02,720 --> 00:19:05,040
Speaker 1: I mean, look, fandom is amazing. It's why sports are

360
00:19:05,119 --> 00:19:07,160
Speaker 1: so good. You just you can't get away from it.

361
00:19:07,160 --> 00:19:10,600
Speaker 1: It brings joy Atlanta unless you're Matt Mitchell and you

362
00:19:10,720 --> 00:19:13,720
Speaker 1: root for the Buffalo Bills or producer Tito and you

363
00:19:13,800 --> 00:19:16,320
Speaker 1: root for the Miami Dolphins. Boy, that was that was

364
00:19:16,359 --> 00:19:21,800
Speaker 1: something last night. Atlanta. Carolina. Carolina's the side. You know it.

365
00:19:22,280 --> 00:19:24,879
Speaker 1: I know it. Yeah, hold their nose, let's bet it.

366
00:19:25,000 --> 00:19:27,640
Speaker 2: Let's move on, yep, keep it moving. Well. I don't

367
00:19:27,640 --> 00:19:29,120
Speaker 2: want to talk about it, but we're gonna be betting

368
00:19:29,160 --> 00:19:33,360
Speaker 2: it if it's one of our five. I'm so so sorry,

369
00:19:33,400 --> 00:19:34,000
Speaker 2: but it's.

370
00:19:33,960 --> 00:19:38,399
Speaker 1: What everyone should know. We're just we're betting Carolina.

371
00:19:38,440 --> 00:19:40,480
Speaker 2: It's like the Jets last week. We can't jump off

372
00:19:40,480 --> 00:19:42,800
Speaker 2: the train. We can't jump off the train and miss

373
00:19:42,840 --> 00:19:45,440
Speaker 2: it again. So if this is three two and a

374
00:19:45,480 --> 00:19:49,359
Speaker 2: half comes Sunday, automatic play on Carolina.

375
00:19:49,480 --> 00:19:52,040
Speaker 1: Teams to lose by twenty points or more the previous

376
00:19:52,040 --> 00:19:54,840
Speaker 1: week facing a team who didn't. So the Carolina Panthers

377
00:19:54,840 --> 00:19:59,080
Speaker 1: facing the Falcons UH sixty percent against the spread since

378
00:19:59,119 --> 00:20:06,400
Speaker 1: twenty twenty. This week that includes Indianapolis, Carolina, Washington, Houston,

379
00:20:07,000 --> 00:20:14,520
Speaker 1: and Philly. We're on Carolina. That's awful, seriously, But you

380
00:20:14,560 --> 00:20:18,879
Speaker 1: know what I will say this, I feel like because

381
00:20:19,040 --> 00:20:21,479
Speaker 1: the favorites have been winning at such a weird clip

382
00:20:21,520 --> 00:20:25,560
Speaker 1: for that six week period, I do think it impacted

383
00:20:25,560 --> 00:20:29,200
Speaker 1: our thinking and it certainly drained me a little bit.

384
00:20:29,680 --> 00:20:33,080
Speaker 1: And so the fact that we can now look back

385
00:20:33,119 --> 00:20:35,320
Speaker 1: on this past week and say, hey, the handicapping we

386
00:20:35,400 --> 00:20:39,359
Speaker 1: did was pretty solid, I feel better making decisions like

387
00:20:39,400 --> 00:20:44,159
Speaker 1: this for example. For example, the narrative has been for

388
00:20:44,200 --> 00:20:46,439
Speaker 1: the Miami Dolphins, who are nine point favorites at home

389
00:20:46,480 --> 00:20:49,280
Speaker 1: against the Jets. Bet Miami against bad teams at home.

390
00:20:49,880 --> 00:20:51,600
Speaker 1: The last two home games, they struggled to beat the

391
00:20:51,680 --> 00:20:56,680
Speaker 1: Raiders and lost to the Titans. Now Tyreek is hobbled.

392
00:20:58,680 --> 00:21:01,840
Speaker 1: We don't know his status yet. The line is barely

393
00:21:01,840 --> 00:21:06,399
Speaker 1: budged since last night's game. Money is coming in on

394
00:21:06,440 --> 00:21:09,680
Speaker 1: the Jets. What do you think?

395
00:21:11,160 --> 00:21:13,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, it stinks because I wanted to take Miami, especially

396
00:21:13,920 --> 00:21:17,119
Speaker 2: after such a big Jets win. I feel like it

397
00:21:17,119 --> 00:21:19,240
Speaker 2: would have been a nice spot. But you have to

398
00:21:19,280 --> 00:21:21,479
Speaker 2: take the Jets now. It's like if Tyreek Hill is

399
00:21:21,920 --> 00:21:24,000
Speaker 2: banged up or out of this lineup. We just saw

400
00:21:24,040 --> 00:21:26,960
Speaker 2: what this team is without them, Like the safeties get

401
00:21:26,960 --> 00:21:28,600
Speaker 2: to drop in, they don't need to have the one

402
00:21:28,600 --> 00:21:31,480
Speaker 2: guy all the way back and it changes everything. I mean,

403
00:21:32,320 --> 00:21:35,199
Speaker 2: you know, lucky for them. Most Art is incredible. I

404
00:21:35,200 --> 00:21:39,320
Speaker 2: think he tied Ricky Williams rushing touchdown record yesterday, which

405
00:21:39,359 --> 00:21:43,640
Speaker 2: is just crazy to think. Might be sixteen in the season. Yeah,

406
00:21:43,960 --> 00:21:46,800
Speaker 2: that's it stinks because I loved I wanted to take

407
00:21:46,840 --> 00:21:49,760
Speaker 2: the Dolphins here. Like the Dolphins, their run scheme would

408
00:21:49,760 --> 00:21:55,320
Speaker 2: have been amazing against this Jets run defense that's just

409
00:21:55,320 --> 00:21:59,680
Speaker 2: not that good. I mean, that's their achilles heel for sure. Oh.

410
00:21:59,800 --> 00:22:02,560
Speaker 2: This amazing staff from Evan Tua that it is his

411
00:22:02,680 --> 00:22:05,600
Speaker 2: worst loss of his college or pro career. He was

412
00:22:05,680 --> 00:22:08,840
Speaker 2: thirty four and zero straight up as a favorite of

413
00:22:08,880 --> 00:22:13,920
Speaker 2: sixer points or more. So. Yeah, if you're gonna bet

414
00:22:13,960 --> 00:22:16,680
Speaker 2: onto it to bounce back and win, that's fair. But

415
00:22:16,720 --> 00:22:18,520
Speaker 2: to cover this spread, I don't know, Jet it feels

416
00:22:18,520 --> 00:22:21,480
Speaker 2: a little big. I see it at nine in a

417
00:22:21,520 --> 00:22:22,920
Speaker 2: couple books, and I'm seeing a couple eight and a

418
00:22:22,960 --> 00:22:25,640
Speaker 2: half's out there, So I guess the pros are coming

419
00:22:25,680 --> 00:22:27,800
Speaker 2: in on the Jets. I'll take the Jets, but I'm

420
00:22:27,800 --> 00:22:30,440
Speaker 2: not going crazy about it, but I definitely take the Jets,

421
00:22:30,440 --> 00:22:30,920
Speaker 2: I suppose.

422
00:22:31,320 --> 00:22:33,600
Speaker 1: Yeah. The only things and maybe this is just me

423
00:22:33,880 --> 00:22:40,240
Speaker 1: overthinking it, right, is the Dolphins had to adjust without

424
00:22:40,480 --> 00:22:44,639
Speaker 1: Tyreek in the middle of the game, and that impacts

425
00:22:44,720 --> 00:22:48,920
Speaker 1: your sort of ability to game plan. But also, don't

426
00:22:48,920 --> 00:22:52,439
Speaker 1: forget it wasn't the Dolphins offense they gave up that

427
00:22:52,520 --> 00:22:55,520
Speaker 1: game last night, right like it was the it was

428
00:22:55,520 --> 00:22:59,840
Speaker 1: the Dolphins defense that did it. So with a week

429
00:22:59,840 --> 00:23:03,679
Speaker 1: of planning, do they have the opportunity and knowing the

430
00:23:03,720 --> 00:23:06,640
Speaker 1: status of Tyreek, do they have the opportunity to get

431
00:23:06,760 --> 00:23:11,560
Speaker 1: right and position themselves against an offense that look, despite

432
00:23:11,560 --> 00:23:14,600
Speaker 1: what Zach Wilson did last week, it's still Zack Wilson

433
00:23:14,600 --> 00:23:18,320
Speaker 1: to the Jets. So that's what gives me pause.

434
00:23:20,200 --> 00:23:23,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, And as much as I do want to blame

435
00:23:23,720 --> 00:23:27,280
Speaker 2: the Dolphins defense, I mean, any Miami fan will tell

436
00:23:27,280 --> 00:23:28,640
Speaker 2: you to about the ball at end of the game

437
00:23:28,800 --> 00:23:30,480
Speaker 2: with the ball in his hands and a chance to

438
00:23:30,640 --> 00:23:33,400
Speaker 2: just get a field goal and you win that game,

439
00:23:33,440 --> 00:23:35,960
Speaker 2: and he didn't come through. For Dolphins fans, I think

440
00:23:35,960 --> 00:23:37,640
Speaker 2: that's why some of them are pissed off today, where

441
00:23:37,680 --> 00:23:40,040
Speaker 2: it's like, sure, you can throw it on the defense, right,

442
00:23:40,040 --> 00:23:43,680
Speaker 2: they're up fourteen with three minutes to go, but again

443
00:23:43,720 --> 00:23:45,399
Speaker 2: two had the ball in his hands with like a

444
00:23:45,400 --> 00:23:47,000
Speaker 2: minute to go and he just couldn't get them down

445
00:23:47,000 --> 00:23:49,600
Speaker 2: there to kick the three. So, I mean we talked earlier,

446
00:23:49,720 --> 00:23:52,840
Speaker 2: had you said it, like there's no more glaring sign

447
00:23:52,920 --> 00:23:55,399
Speaker 2: that Tyreek should have been talked about his MVP and

448
00:23:55,440 --> 00:23:58,040
Speaker 2: not to after you've seen that game. It's just the

449
00:23:58,359 --> 00:24:01,720
Speaker 2: team was completely different when he went out. Just it's

450
00:24:01,720 --> 00:24:04,439
Speaker 2: just incredible how good Tyreek Hill is.

451
00:24:05,240 --> 00:24:08,160
Speaker 1: Yeah. So Tua, who had been one of the league

452
00:24:08,240 --> 00:24:15,600
Speaker 1: leading odds shortest odds to win MVP all season long,

453
00:24:16,640 --> 00:24:20,280
Speaker 1: now twenty five to one to win MVP at bet

454
00:24:20,320 --> 00:24:25,920
Speaker 1: three sixty five. Tyreek is twenty to one. So if

455
00:24:26,000 --> 00:24:29,560
Speaker 1: you needed any more proof that people are seeing Tyreek

456
00:24:29,640 --> 00:24:33,680
Speaker 1: Hill as sort of the engine of that Dolphins offense. Remember,

457
00:24:34,359 --> 00:24:37,639
Speaker 1: before Tyreek Kill joined the Dolphins, Tua was on the

458
00:24:37,720 --> 00:24:39,520
Speaker 1: road to being considered a bus and they were trying

459
00:24:39,520 --> 00:24:42,800
Speaker 1: to figure out should they unload the guy. So credit

460
00:24:42,800 --> 00:24:45,080
Speaker 1: to Tua gets rid of the ball fast and makes

461
00:24:45,080 --> 00:24:48,840
Speaker 1: accurate passes. But Tyreek Hill takes the top off the

462
00:24:48,840 --> 00:24:51,080
Speaker 1: defense and that's one of the main reasons why they've

463
00:24:51,119 --> 00:24:55,560
Speaker 1: been improving. Speaking of the Dolphins, since we have our

464
00:24:55,600 --> 00:25:00,000
Speaker 1: own Dolphins super fan and producer, Tito Reminder, you can

465
00:25:00,200 --> 00:25:02,560
Speaker 1: every episode of The Favorites live on YouTube. For those

466
00:25:02,640 --> 00:25:05,280
Speaker 1: enjoying on YouTube, don't forget to give us a like

467
00:25:05,320 --> 00:25:10,800
Speaker 1: and subscribe to the Action Network YouTube page. Houston at Tennessee.

468
00:25:11,200 --> 00:25:15,359
Speaker 1: Oh boy, this is why you gotta be quick. This

469
00:25:15,400 --> 00:25:16,720
Speaker 1: is why you got to listen to the show on

470
00:25:16,760 --> 00:25:21,000
Speaker 1: Sunday nights. Because when we went on the air Sunday night,

471
00:25:22,600 --> 00:25:26,600
Speaker 1: this line Tennessee I think was about plus two plus

472
00:25:26,600 --> 00:25:29,560
Speaker 1: one and a half moved while we were on the show,

473
00:25:30,800 --> 00:25:35,040
Speaker 1: largely based on the CJ. Stroud concussion news. This one

474
00:25:35,080 --> 00:25:37,760
Speaker 1: feels like a past to me because we've betten on

475
00:25:37,840 --> 00:25:43,000
Speaker 1: Davis Mills has been too much of an adjustment. What

476
00:25:43,040 --> 00:25:47,040
Speaker 1: do we know about CJ. Stroud all those kinds of things.

477
00:25:47,560 --> 00:25:50,320
Speaker 1: If I wanted to bet anything, though, I would bet

478
00:25:50,359 --> 00:25:51,280
Speaker 1: the Texans.

479
00:25:52,080 --> 00:25:56,919
Speaker 2: Wow, now I'm happy to take this number Tennessee. You know,

480
00:25:57,600 --> 00:25:59,560
Speaker 2: I get it, it's a short week all that, but you're

481
00:25:59,560 --> 00:26:03,400
Speaker 2: still getting rabel at home under a field goal against

482
00:26:03,680 --> 00:26:06,200
Speaker 2: a backup quarterback in Davis Mills and just a banged

483
00:26:06,280 --> 00:26:09,879
Speaker 2: up Houston team again, no tank Dell Nico Collins is

484
00:26:09,920 --> 00:26:12,080
Speaker 2: banged up, he might miss this game as well, and

485
00:26:12,119 --> 00:26:14,680
Speaker 2: their number one tight end is out and that again,

486
00:26:14,760 --> 00:26:16,879
Speaker 2: the whole engine of that team was c J. Stroud.

487
00:26:16,920 --> 00:26:19,719
Speaker 2: Now you're bringing in the reason they got CJ. Stroud,

488
00:26:19,760 --> 00:26:22,760
Speaker 2: the guy that I mean. Is there a bigger hero

489
00:26:22,880 --> 00:26:25,679
Speaker 2: in Chicago than Davis Mills? Probably not. He's like the

490
00:26:25,760 --> 00:26:28,800
Speaker 2: biggest heroever. You know why because he won some shitty

491
00:26:28,840 --> 00:26:30,800
Speaker 2: game last year at the end of the season. I

492
00:26:30,880 --> 00:26:32,440
Speaker 2: think that was their only their second win or whatever

493
00:26:32,480 --> 00:26:34,639
Speaker 2: it was of the season. This guy just a bad quarterback.

494
00:26:34,720 --> 00:26:38,480
Speaker 2: So I would still take this Tennessee numbers like me

495
00:26:38,600 --> 00:26:41,720
Speaker 2: hating them in this spot after that emotional win, and

496
00:26:42,560 --> 00:26:45,960
Speaker 2: Chad's right, like that's this numbers move so much. Usually

497
00:26:45,960 --> 00:26:47,800
Speaker 2: I don't like the bet teams that were dogs and

498
00:26:47,840 --> 00:26:51,480
Speaker 2: they flipped the favorites. But the movement here is very warranted.

499
00:26:51,680 --> 00:26:53,920
Speaker 2: Like I don't know, it doesn't even matter if will

500
00:26:53,960 --> 00:26:56,080
Speaker 2: Levis is a bad game, like this is the type

501
00:26:56,080 --> 00:26:58,439
Speaker 2: of matchup where David Mills is gonna have a bad

502
00:26:58,480 --> 00:27:01,240
Speaker 2: game as well. Put them in spots. So totally fair

503
00:27:01,280 --> 00:27:03,080
Speaker 2: if we don't bet this or pass on it just because,

504
00:27:03,119 --> 00:27:05,120
Speaker 2: like Chad said, we don't usually bet games that move

505
00:27:05,320 --> 00:27:09,720
Speaker 2: this much. But man, talk about a bad spot for Houston.

506
00:27:09,760 --> 00:27:13,080
Speaker 2: They're like, you know this team that was everyone's darling,

507
00:27:13,320 --> 00:27:16,560
Speaker 2: like and could there could steal this division from Jacksonville.

508
00:27:16,680 --> 00:27:19,480
Speaker 2: Now a week later, they might have their quarterback, their

509
00:27:19,520 --> 00:27:21,119
Speaker 2: season might kind of be falling apart here and it

510
00:27:21,200 --> 00:27:23,600
Speaker 2: might be over, and this game now is pretty important,

511
00:27:23,640 --> 00:27:25,320
Speaker 2: Like they kind of need to win this game Houston

512
00:27:25,440 --> 00:27:29,800
Speaker 2: with a backup potentially. So yeah, it's a weird number

513
00:27:29,840 --> 00:27:33,320
Speaker 2: because they're not It's not as if they're saying CJ

514
00:27:33,440 --> 00:27:35,240
Speaker 2: is not gonna play right Like if this if CJ

515
00:27:35,400 --> 00:27:37,440
Speaker 2: was out, I feel like this would be above three.

516
00:27:37,520 --> 00:27:39,160
Speaker 2: This is kind of like the books heading their bets

517
00:27:39,200 --> 00:27:42,239
Speaker 2: here hanging this out of two. So yeah, if you're

518
00:27:42,280 --> 00:27:44,560
Speaker 2: if you're like me and you like Tennessee, I grab

519
00:27:44,600 --> 00:27:45,879
Speaker 2: it now. If you're like Chad and you want to

520
00:27:45,880 --> 00:27:48,359
Speaker 2: play the Houston side, there's no problem in waiting, Like

521
00:27:48,400 --> 00:27:51,080
Speaker 2: this could keep going up even if CJ is back.

522
00:27:51,160 --> 00:27:53,800
Speaker 2: Maybe this goes down to a pick or minus one.

523
00:27:53,880 --> 00:27:55,960
Speaker 2: So no issue on this one waiting.

524
00:27:56,920 --> 00:28:01,119
Speaker 1: Uh yeah, My my big feeling here is and I

525
00:28:01,160 --> 00:28:03,280
Speaker 1: don't know why I feel like this A it's the

526
00:28:03,320 --> 00:28:07,320
Speaker 1: flip of the line. Number one, number two. Rabel is

527
00:28:07,320 --> 00:28:11,080
Speaker 1: a short home favorite. I don't feel as good as

528
00:28:11,240 --> 00:28:12,920
Speaker 1: Rabele as a dog.

529
00:28:13,200 --> 00:28:14,720
Speaker 2: It's been good to us this year, though, I think

530
00:28:14,720 --> 00:28:16,840
Speaker 2: we're evan. I could be wrong. Are we not four

531
00:28:16,880 --> 00:28:19,560
Speaker 2: to one betting Rabel at home this season? Like we

532
00:28:19,640 --> 00:28:21,120
Speaker 2: kind of ride this trend where we kind of faded

533
00:28:21,160 --> 00:28:22,439
Speaker 2: him on the ruin, We took him at home, and

534
00:28:22,480 --> 00:28:25,800
Speaker 2: we f only got caught because of two blocked punts.

535
00:28:26,080 --> 00:28:27,320
Speaker 1: That's right, that's right.

536
00:28:27,400 --> 00:28:31,679
Speaker 2: One. Yeah, So it's like, I totally get where you're

537
00:28:31,680 --> 00:28:32,840
Speaker 2: coming from. I think it's more of you. We're just

538
00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:34,680
Speaker 2: drilling our head where it's like we only take Rabel

539
00:28:34,720 --> 00:28:37,000
Speaker 2: as a dog, but I would I wouldn't mind it

540
00:28:37,040 --> 00:28:38,600
Speaker 2: here m was a short favorite.

541
00:28:39,200 --> 00:28:44,200
Speaker 1: H Mills is five twenty and one in his career.

542
00:28:45,120 --> 00:28:48,480
Speaker 2: Ohly shit, So that's a good number. That's a good

543
00:28:48,520 --> 00:28:50,320
Speaker 2: number if it's Davis Mills. All right.

544
00:28:50,360 --> 00:28:53,240
Speaker 1: This other game. I have been wanting to talk about

545
00:28:53,240 --> 00:28:55,600
Speaker 1: this game since I went to bed last night, when

546
00:28:55,640 --> 00:28:59,960
Speaker 1: I went to bed with no doubt in my mind

547
00:29:01,480 --> 00:29:05,280
Speaker 1: that Tommy Cutlets was going to cover for us against

548
00:29:05,320 --> 00:29:11,360
Speaker 1: the Green Bay Packers New York Giants plus six at

549
00:29:11,360 --> 00:29:14,800
Speaker 1: the New Orleans Saints. We talked about this game Sunday night.

550
00:29:16,240 --> 00:29:19,600
Speaker 1: It was at four four and a half in the

551
00:29:19,760 --> 00:29:22,800
Speaker 1: ninety minutes before we came on the air. Today, this

552
00:29:22,920 --> 00:29:26,240
Speaker 1: line moved from four and a half to six, and

553
00:29:26,320 --> 00:29:30,000
Speaker 1: like I was ready to fade Tommy Cutletz, it seemed

554
00:29:30,000 --> 00:29:32,160
Speaker 1: like the exact spot to do it. Even though I

555
00:29:32,280 --> 00:29:36,440
Speaker 1: know we hate betting on the Saints and Tommy DeVito

556
00:29:36,560 --> 00:29:40,200
Speaker 1: is a glorious story. I feel like there should be

557
00:29:40,200 --> 00:29:43,560
Speaker 1: a Christmas movie in development right now about him and

558
00:29:43,600 --> 00:29:46,360
Speaker 1: his family and his agent. Maybe his agent should be

559
00:29:46,440 --> 00:29:49,040
Speaker 1: on the phone to Hallmark right now selling a Christmas

560
00:29:49,120 --> 00:29:53,760
Speaker 1: movie about Tommy DeVito. But if there was ever a

561
00:29:53,760 --> 00:29:55,480
Speaker 1: time to bet on it, the coach we hate the

562
00:29:55,480 --> 00:30:00,880
Speaker 1: most against the quarterback we love the most. It's now

563
00:30:01,240 --> 00:30:03,840
Speaker 1: and then it's number moved. So now I feel like

564
00:30:03,880 --> 00:30:04,920
Speaker 1: I'm in Noma's land.

565
00:30:07,720 --> 00:30:10,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, it stings because it's like now I kind of

566
00:30:10,360 --> 00:30:13,840
Speaker 2: want to bet the Giants because you know where It's like,

567
00:30:14,440 --> 00:30:16,880
Speaker 2: who the hell is the Saints and Dennis Allen to

568
00:30:16,920 --> 00:30:19,360
Speaker 2: be catching this much after such a fluky win the

569
00:30:19,400 --> 00:30:23,120
Speaker 2: week before. I mean, Carolina not only should they cover,

570
00:30:23,120 --> 00:30:25,080
Speaker 2: they probably should have won that game, Like they had

571
00:30:25,120 --> 00:30:28,320
Speaker 2: so many opportunities they couldn't, you know, capitalize on, and

572
00:30:28,360 --> 00:30:31,280
Speaker 2: they just gifted a couple of touchdowns to the Saints

573
00:30:31,320 --> 00:30:34,240
Speaker 2: team that it was fluky, Like that's just not who

574
00:30:34,280 --> 00:30:37,920
Speaker 2: the Saints are. Jimmy Graham had two touchdowns or something shit,

575
00:30:38,000 --> 00:30:40,840
Speaker 2: like some crazy shit that for the Saints last week.

576
00:30:40,880 --> 00:30:44,280
Speaker 2: It's just a very bizarre world. Don't know what to

577
00:30:44,280 --> 00:30:47,120
Speaker 2: deal with it. Like every week, that timing story, like

578
00:30:47,120 --> 00:30:48,760
Speaker 2: you said, gets better and better. Like they showed a

579
00:30:48,760 --> 00:30:51,440
Speaker 2: picture of him and his agent before the game. Yeah,

580
00:30:51,480 --> 00:30:54,480
Speaker 2: and he looks like every sleazy uncle everyone's had from

581
00:30:54,480 --> 00:30:59,120
Speaker 2: North Jersey, Like just incredible, incredible, like he's a cartoon character.

582
00:31:00,680 --> 00:31:02,280
Speaker 2: Don't know what to deal with it, Jad like, maybe

583
00:31:02,280 --> 00:31:04,080
Speaker 2: we keep waiting and let the pros keep betting it,

584
00:31:04,160 --> 00:31:06,600
Speaker 2: but either way, this won't be one of our five.

585
00:31:06,760 --> 00:31:09,280
Speaker 2: Like I wanted to be on the Saints, Chad said,

586
00:31:09,320 --> 00:31:10,920
Speaker 2: it's moved too much now. I want to be on

587
00:31:10,960 --> 00:31:13,440
Speaker 2: the Giants, but I'm scared to go against the pros

588
00:31:13,440 --> 00:31:16,360
Speaker 2: and the spot here, So for me, no real opinion

589
00:31:16,360 --> 00:31:17,120
Speaker 2: on it here Tuesday.

590
00:31:17,760 --> 00:31:21,520
Speaker 1: I love North Jersey so much. You know how much

591
00:31:21,520 --> 00:31:24,840
Speaker 1: I love Chicago. Yeah, I one hundred percent feel like

592
00:31:25,400 --> 00:31:27,960
Speaker 1: I'm a guy from Chicago. And even though I spent

593
00:31:28,480 --> 00:31:32,120
Speaker 1: twelve years living in Manhattan, we spent six years living

594
00:31:32,160 --> 00:31:35,840
Speaker 1: in Northern Jersey in a town called Montclair, I would

595
00:31:35,840 --> 00:31:40,840
Speaker 1: say after Chicago, despite all the time I've spent in

596
00:31:40,880 --> 00:31:45,560
Speaker 1: New York and now in Connecticut, Jersey by far, I

597
00:31:45,560 --> 00:31:48,400
Speaker 1: would say I'm from Jersey after Chicago, like that is

598
00:31:48,400 --> 00:31:51,400
Speaker 1: where I feel the most connected. I love the people,

599
00:31:51,840 --> 00:31:56,200
Speaker 1: love the state, love Montclair. Love seeing Tommy's agent on

600
00:31:56,240 --> 00:31:58,200
Speaker 1: the sideline last night. I dressed the way he was.

601
00:31:58,640 --> 00:32:00,160
Speaker 1: I just feel like I know that guy and I

602
00:32:00,160 --> 00:32:01,080
Speaker 1: want to hang out with that guy.

603
00:32:01,840 --> 00:32:03,720
Speaker 2: Yeah. And I tell people at the time, if you

604
00:32:03,880 --> 00:32:07,200
Speaker 2: missed it, and for some reason, if you're you know,

605
00:32:07,240 --> 00:32:10,360
Speaker 2: a millennial or just just a blow So I say

606
00:32:10,360 --> 00:32:13,840
Speaker 2: twenty five twenty six Sopranos still holds up. If you've

607
00:32:13,880 --> 00:32:16,640
Speaker 2: never seen The Sopranos, go back and watch it. Maybe

608
00:32:16,680 --> 00:32:19,320
Speaker 2: the first season is a little dated compared to other ones,

609
00:32:19,360 --> 00:32:24,320
Speaker 2: but it is such a great magnifying glass of North Jersey,

610
00:32:24,720 --> 00:32:27,360
Speaker 2: the Italian culture, like the way they talk, how they

611
00:32:27,400 --> 00:32:30,040
Speaker 2: think the women in the culture is very funny, how

612
00:32:30,080 --> 00:32:34,360
Speaker 2: loving and all of it really is. And that's that's

613
00:32:34,520 --> 00:32:36,680
Speaker 2: my fair thing about this hit thing with Tommy. It's

614
00:32:36,720 --> 00:32:38,720
Speaker 2: like it's like a flash of the pant from the

615
00:32:38,760 --> 00:32:40,640
Speaker 2: past and it's just amazing. This whole run.

616
00:32:41,040 --> 00:32:43,360
Speaker 1: It's so good. I love it. I love it so much.

617
00:32:43,440 --> 00:32:49,160
Speaker 1: I wanted to last forever. What's not going to last

618
00:32:49,160 --> 00:32:54,280
Speaker 1: forever is our ability to fade the Green Bay Packers

619
00:32:54,440 --> 00:32:58,959
Speaker 1: and Jordan love We Last night was it, and I like,

620
00:32:59,400 --> 00:33:01,240
Speaker 1: I am regrets full, honest to God. You know what

621
00:33:01,240 --> 00:33:04,200
Speaker 1: I was regretful about last night the fact that our

622
00:33:04,280 --> 00:33:08,680
Speaker 1: two producers, Matt Mitchell and Tito, would not let me

623
00:33:08,840 --> 00:33:12,160
Speaker 1: change my big Balls bet of the Week from Carolina

624
00:33:12,480 --> 00:33:15,080
Speaker 1: to the New York Giants because Tito had already thrown

625
00:33:15,080 --> 00:33:17,880
Speaker 1: the graphic up and Matt Mitchell said, Boo, you can't

626
00:33:18,080 --> 00:33:21,080
Speaker 1: change it. Just because I made a mistake and I

627
00:33:21,120 --> 00:33:23,280
Speaker 1: was in a pressure situation, I forgot. We saw the

628
00:33:23,360 --> 00:33:26,120
Speaker 1: Giants coming up. I was so excited about the Panthers.

629
00:33:26,560 --> 00:33:29,200
Speaker 1: I wanted to be the Giants because we knew it

630
00:33:29,240 --> 00:33:33,360
Speaker 1: was the right spot to fade the Packers. You have

631
00:33:33,440 --> 00:33:35,640
Speaker 1: been on the bus all year. There are three and

632
00:33:35,680 --> 00:33:40,360
Speaker 1: a half point underdogs against the Green Bay Packers. Back

633
00:33:40,440 --> 00:33:45,080
Speaker 1: in my day, you know, my heyday, this was a

634
00:33:45,120 --> 00:33:50,360
Speaker 1: good NFC Central matchup. James Wilder in the Bucks going

635
00:33:50,440 --> 00:33:53,880
Speaker 1: to Green Bay to face Lynn Dickey and the Packers.

636
00:33:54,440 --> 00:33:55,680
Speaker 1: I know you want to take the bucks here.

637
00:33:57,560 --> 00:34:01,440
Speaker 2: I do, and that sucks where it's like, you know.

638
00:34:01,440 --> 00:34:04,600
Speaker 1: I don't mind it. What I don't mind taking the Bucks?

639
00:34:05,760 --> 00:34:07,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, but it just feels like it's a classic thing

640
00:34:07,760 --> 00:34:09,360
Speaker 2: where me and you we have to take it. It

641
00:34:09,360 --> 00:34:12,319
Speaker 2: feels like Carolina last week and come Sunday it would

642
00:34:12,320 --> 00:34:14,480
Speaker 2: be like fuck, Like we have other games we like

643
00:34:14,480 --> 00:34:16,040
Speaker 2: more than this. But we're already kind of talking to

644
00:34:16,080 --> 00:34:17,560
Speaker 2: and we're kind of set here on the Bucks. So

645
00:34:18,800 --> 00:34:20,839
Speaker 2: I'm not gonna make this our bigs balls or give

646
00:34:20,840 --> 00:34:22,360
Speaker 2: it any name, because I don't know. I want to

647
00:34:22,360 --> 00:34:23,560
Speaker 2: be able to get out of this position if I

648
00:34:23,600 --> 00:34:26,440
Speaker 2: need to on Sunday. But yeah, Bucks plus three and

649
00:34:26,480 --> 00:34:29,040
Speaker 2: a half this summer felt way too big. I'm already

650
00:34:29,080 --> 00:34:31,920
Speaker 2: seeing a couple sharper books here in Jersey move it

651
00:34:31,920 --> 00:34:35,879
Speaker 2: down to three. So not surprising. The pros are gonna

652
00:34:35,880 --> 00:34:39,400
Speaker 2: come in on the Buccaneers. The public they don't respect

653
00:34:39,400 --> 00:34:41,720
Speaker 2: the Bucks. Well I should they they haven't all season

654
00:34:41,760 --> 00:34:43,799
Speaker 2: for the most part. They're going to back Green Bay

655
00:34:43,840 --> 00:34:46,320
Speaker 2: to bounce back here. So I don't know if you

656
00:34:46,360 --> 00:34:47,480
Speaker 2: have to rush to get to three and a half

657
00:34:47,480 --> 00:34:49,239
Speaker 2: because I don't see it going away. I feel like

658
00:34:49,280 --> 00:34:52,200
Speaker 2: the books are gonna need the Bucks come Sunday. But

659
00:34:52,680 --> 00:34:54,160
Speaker 2: I'd grab a three and a half now just in

660
00:34:54,200 --> 00:34:57,359
Speaker 2: case it does disappear to the three. So again, it's

661
00:34:57,400 --> 00:35:00,040
Speaker 2: a game where on Tuesday here like, I really we

662
00:35:00,120 --> 00:35:02,239
Speaker 2: want this to be one of our five. Don't kill

663
00:35:02,320 --> 00:35:03,560
Speaker 2: me if I talk to some pros and I get

664
00:35:03,600 --> 00:35:05,239
Speaker 2: more info and I'm like our a little scared off

665
00:35:05,280 --> 00:35:05,840
Speaker 2: comes someday.

666
00:35:06,719 --> 00:35:08,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't. I feel like we're going to find

667
00:35:08,680 --> 00:35:13,280
Speaker 1: other games. I right now, we know we love Chicago

668
00:35:13,760 --> 00:35:15,839
Speaker 1: and we got to run of games coming up that

669
00:35:16,040 --> 00:35:22,800
Speaker 1: might fill our bucket a little bit, including Kansas City

670
00:35:23,280 --> 00:35:26,120
Speaker 1: at New England New England plus nine and a half.

671
00:35:27,840 --> 00:35:29,799
Speaker 1: The right thing to do is take the Patriots. I

672
00:35:29,840 --> 00:35:32,799
Speaker 1: know you know, and like I know Matt Mitchell when

673
00:35:32,800 --> 00:35:35,200
Speaker 1: we did the live show, he came up to us

674
00:35:35,280 --> 00:35:37,000
Speaker 1: during the show and said he would cut off our

675
00:35:37,040 --> 00:35:40,960
Speaker 1: mics if we told people to take the Patriots. There

676
00:35:41,000 --> 00:35:43,720
Speaker 1: is a very small part of me, a very small

677
00:35:43,760 --> 00:35:47,160
Speaker 1: part of me that worries about my homes and read

678
00:35:47,560 --> 00:35:50,640
Speaker 1: just being so pissed and sick of the idea that

679
00:35:50,680 --> 00:35:52,680
Speaker 1: their receivers and their offense can't do anything in the

680
00:35:52,680 --> 00:35:55,560
Speaker 1: second half. They will take out all their frustration by

681
00:35:55,600 --> 00:36:02,640
Speaker 1: throwing non stop on Sunday. But home dogs seven or

682
00:36:02,680 --> 00:36:06,760
Speaker 1: more fifty nine thirty seven and one gets the spread

683
00:36:07,040 --> 00:36:12,200
Speaker 1: since twenty twenty twenty one, ten and one against the

684
00:36:12,239 --> 00:36:17,640
Speaker 1: spread since the start of last year, mahomes of a

685
00:36:17,719 --> 00:36:23,319
Speaker 1: favorite of more than seven or more nineteen to two

686
00:36:22,880 --> 00:36:30,759
Speaker 1: twenty nineteen, twenty two in one. So the spot the teams.

687
00:36:31,880 --> 00:36:35,440
Speaker 1: It's begging us take the New England Patriots.

688
00:36:36,920 --> 00:36:39,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, and it's a long term winner. It's it sucks,

689
00:36:39,640 --> 00:36:42,279
Speaker 2: it's it's not enjoyable, but it's fun to win money

690
00:36:42,400 --> 00:36:44,719
Speaker 2: long term, and this is a long term winner. I

691
00:36:44,719 --> 00:36:46,879
Speaker 2: know people get sick of that and they're just like, well,

692
00:36:46,920 --> 00:36:48,160
Speaker 2: you got to take a week by a week. We

693
00:36:48,200 --> 00:36:50,040
Speaker 2: do take a week by a week, but there's certain

694
00:36:50,080 --> 00:36:52,319
Speaker 2: spots where it's just like, I mean, we both saw

695
00:36:52,320 --> 00:36:53,960
Speaker 2: this number Sunday night. We knew we're gonna have to

696
00:36:53,960 --> 00:36:55,799
Speaker 2: take it. Like it's just a number we know we're

697
00:36:55,800 --> 00:36:57,520
Speaker 2: gonna have to take and a spot we have to take.

698
00:36:57,560 --> 00:37:01,400
Speaker 2: And it's a really good Belichick defense at home against

699
00:37:01,440 --> 00:37:05,480
Speaker 2: an offense that deserves a zero respect. They they're not

700
00:37:05,600 --> 00:37:07,960
Speaker 2: the team that we thought they were coming into this season,

701
00:37:08,400 --> 00:37:11,080
Speaker 2: and every week we're waiting for them to get right,

702
00:37:11,680 --> 00:37:14,200
Speaker 2: and it's so hard for them. There's just to be

703
00:37:14,360 --> 00:37:18,400
Speaker 2: good offensively, like it really is. You need Mahomes to

704
00:37:18,440 --> 00:37:21,560
Speaker 2: make incredible plays just to be good, like just to

705
00:37:21,600 --> 00:37:26,400
Speaker 2: be top fifteen, top twenty offense, and that is a struggle.

706
00:37:26,480 --> 00:37:29,360
Speaker 2: You have a top two, top three quarterback and on

707
00:37:29,719 --> 00:37:32,720
Speaker 2: top two tight end in football. It's like, it really

708
00:37:32,800 --> 00:37:34,600
Speaker 2: is crazy what's going on with this team right now?

709
00:37:34,640 --> 00:37:38,759
Speaker 2: The Chiefs, And yeah, if this was a year or

710
00:37:38,800 --> 00:37:42,480
Speaker 2: two ago, Samsonnario with these two teams. Chad's right. I

711
00:37:42,520 --> 00:37:44,319
Speaker 2: would love to back the Chiefs here after that kind

712
00:37:44,320 --> 00:37:47,640
Speaker 2: of loss. Likes that's such a good spot. But this

713
00:37:47,800 --> 00:37:51,279
Speaker 2: Chiefs team, no way, like, no way should they be

714
00:37:51,320 --> 00:37:53,879
Speaker 2: getting this many points. I'm shocked to looking her app

715
00:37:53,960 --> 00:37:56,200
Speaker 2: right now and see the money and the bets are

716
00:37:56,280 --> 00:38:00,040
Speaker 2: coming in on the Chiefs. So they hate for the

717
00:38:00,080 --> 00:38:03,680
Speaker 2: Patriots is real. It's just a weird thing. I mean,

718
00:38:03,680 --> 00:38:06,560
Speaker 2: they're on extended rest too here in December. It just

719
00:38:06,600 --> 00:38:10,000
Speaker 2: feels like, yeah, me and Chat don't believe in Zappi

720
00:38:10,160 --> 00:38:12,600
Speaker 2: or we have no faith in the Patriots offense. But

721
00:38:12,640 --> 00:38:14,520
Speaker 2: it feels like we're just back in their defense here,

722
00:38:14,640 --> 00:38:17,600
Speaker 2: like if they're a team that's really been playing well

723
00:38:17,719 --> 00:38:21,000
Speaker 2: defensively these last couple of weeks, and just against the

724
00:38:21,080 --> 00:38:24,520
Speaker 2: Chiefs team catching this many points at home, you know,

725
00:38:25,680 --> 00:38:27,319
Speaker 2: how do we not do it? I mean, another great

726
00:38:27,360 --> 00:38:31,040
Speaker 2: stat from Evan New England again nine and a half.

727
00:38:31,080 --> 00:38:33,920
Speaker 2: That's the second biggest home dog in Belichick's career. So

728
00:38:36,120 --> 00:38:38,440
Speaker 2: it's an opportunity like, that's how we view this stuff.

729
00:38:38,480 --> 00:38:40,560
Speaker 2: So I don't know if this will make our money

730
00:38:40,600 --> 00:38:43,279
Speaker 2: line around Robin just because we expect mahomes not to

731
00:38:43,360 --> 00:38:46,840
Speaker 2: lose three straight games, but man, nine and a half,

732
00:38:47,840 --> 00:38:50,280
Speaker 2: we can't avoid a chat. We gotta bet it.

733
00:38:50,440 --> 00:38:52,040
Speaker 1: Simon, you know what to just keep saying to myself,

734
00:38:53,280 --> 00:38:55,400
Speaker 1: don't be a chicken. Don't be a chicken.

735
00:38:56,600 --> 00:38:59,200
Speaker 2: Easier said than done. Putting real money on this is hard.

736
00:38:59,280 --> 00:39:02,800
Speaker 1: No, it is, it really really is. It's also hard.

737
00:39:03,160 --> 00:39:06,960
Speaker 1: You know. People always ask me like about betting, and

738
00:39:07,040 --> 00:39:11,840
Speaker 1: I always say, it's as hard to do this publicly

739
00:39:12,000 --> 00:39:15,239
Speaker 1: and put these out there and be vulnerable on a

740
00:39:15,280 --> 00:39:20,719
Speaker 1: Sunday with these decisions as it is to bet real

741
00:39:20,760 --> 00:39:24,800
Speaker 1: money on them, because you don't want to be wrong,

742
00:39:25,120 --> 00:39:27,200
Speaker 1: And like, we're going out here and we're saying, yeah,

743
00:39:27,480 --> 00:39:30,560
Speaker 1: makes sense. Bet the Patriots, who are in line for

744
00:39:30,600 --> 00:39:33,360
Speaker 1: the second overall pick at plus nine and a half

745
00:39:33,640 --> 00:39:37,480
Speaker 1: against one of the greatest quarterbacks who's ever lived. Totally

746
00:39:37,480 --> 00:39:40,280
Speaker 1: makes sense. You want to put your money on Bailey Zappy.

747
00:39:40,600 --> 00:39:42,840
Speaker 2: Yet the funniest thing is people think me and you

748
00:39:42,840 --> 00:39:45,239
Speaker 2: have an angle where it's like you will never have

749
00:39:45,320 --> 00:39:48,320
Speaker 2: a podcast more above board, more open and honest and

750
00:39:48,440 --> 00:39:51,600
Speaker 2: showing what we do week the week, and they'll be like, well,

751
00:39:51,960 --> 00:39:54,120
Speaker 2: what's the reason you guys post your pic sol late

752
00:39:54,200 --> 00:39:55,799
Speaker 2: on Sunday morning, like you guys, don't put it out

753
00:39:55,840 --> 00:39:58,080
Speaker 2: till eleven is if me and Chad aren't working all

754
00:39:58,120 --> 00:40:00,319
Speaker 2: Sunday morning then doing a live show, and when we

755
00:40:00,320 --> 00:40:02,319
Speaker 2: get off that live call, we get on a phone

756
00:40:02,320 --> 00:40:04,319
Speaker 2: call together and make our five picks. And then I

757
00:40:04,400 --> 00:40:06,440
Speaker 2: literally go right from that call and put it to

758
00:40:06,480 --> 00:40:08,600
Speaker 2: Twitter and chat puts in the app. It's like nothing

759
00:40:08,640 --> 00:40:10,960
Speaker 2: the fairis is happening. We're not waiting to get a

760
00:40:10,960 --> 00:40:13,319
Speaker 2: better number, whatever you think we're doing. It's like we're

761
00:40:13,320 --> 00:40:15,719
Speaker 2: working all Sunday morning and we get together make our five.

762
00:40:15,840 --> 00:40:19,239
Speaker 2: So it is tough where it's like, I mean, we

763
00:40:19,280 --> 00:40:21,279
Speaker 2: debated all morning. It's like which pick is? Then they guess,

764
00:40:21,719 --> 00:40:23,920
Speaker 2: look less like an idiot if this doesn't work out,

765
00:40:24,120 --> 00:40:26,920
Speaker 2: And so next year we get rid of that thinking process,

766
00:40:26,960 --> 00:40:28,840
Speaker 2: like what being idiots is what's got us to that

767
00:40:28,880 --> 00:40:29,520
Speaker 2: winning circle?

768
00:40:29,600 --> 00:40:34,839
Speaker 1: So not next year. This week, if it's Carolina, if

769
00:40:34,880 --> 00:40:39,279
Speaker 1: it's New England, if it's the Bears, the Twitter is yeah,

770
00:40:39,360 --> 00:40:40,839
Speaker 1: I can tell you right now. I don't think it's

771
00:40:40,880 --> 00:40:43,000
Speaker 1: going to be the Arizona Cardinals, who are fourteen point

772
00:40:43,080 --> 00:40:48,000
Speaker 1: hundred dogs at home again San Francisco. I really want,

773
00:40:48,200 --> 00:40:49,719
Speaker 1: I really wanted this to be one of them, and

774
00:40:49,760 --> 00:40:53,719
Speaker 1: then Evan sent me some stats like ats dogs, this

775
00:40:53,880 --> 00:40:59,160
Speaker 1: big in the division, not a good outcome, So I'm

776
00:40:59,280 --> 00:41:05,520
Speaker 1: less inclined on this number to play the home dog.

777
00:41:05,719 --> 00:41:08,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, I passed on it, Okay, like I might end up,

778
00:41:08,800 --> 00:41:10,960
Speaker 2: you know, some type of bed on Cardinals first half,

779
00:41:11,000 --> 00:41:14,480
Speaker 2: but yeah, I'm right there with you, like it's it's

780
00:41:14,520 --> 00:41:17,080
Speaker 2: too big of a number where it's like kind of

781
00:41:17,120 --> 00:41:20,400
Speaker 2: sucking me in where last week, you know, the books

782
00:41:20,400 --> 00:41:23,239
Speaker 2: got killed, Like I know so many professionals who got

783
00:41:23,280 --> 00:41:25,040
Speaker 2: heavy on the forty nine ers at ten and a

784
00:41:25,080 --> 00:41:28,440
Speaker 2: half eleven and then they came back on a fourteen

785
00:41:28,520 --> 00:41:31,480
Speaker 2: fourteen and a half on the Seahawks and did it

786
00:41:31,600 --> 00:41:34,080
Speaker 2: end up lanning twelve? It might end up lanning on twelve, yeah,

787
00:41:34,760 --> 00:41:38,759
Speaker 2: eight sixteen, Yeah, so the books are I'm making that

788
00:41:38,840 --> 00:41:41,239
Speaker 2: mistake this week. Like I can't see the number moving

789
00:41:41,280 --> 00:41:43,160
Speaker 2: as much as it did last week with that Seahawks

790
00:41:43,160 --> 00:41:47,279
Speaker 2: forty nine ers number. So yeah, I just my gut

791
00:41:47,440 --> 00:41:49,359
Speaker 2: wants me to take the Cardinals, but I just can't

792
00:41:49,400 --> 00:41:50,040
Speaker 2: get there. Check.

793
00:41:50,920 --> 00:41:54,480
Speaker 1: We loved talking about Washington and the Rams. Rams are

794
00:41:54,480 --> 00:41:57,560
Speaker 1: six and a half point favorites right now, We've been

795
00:41:57,640 --> 00:42:01,319
Speaker 1: Sam Howell fans, and we've leaned command a lot this year.

796
00:42:01,440 --> 00:42:06,200
Speaker 1: They've burned us hit like crazy. But having a really

797
00:42:06,200 --> 00:42:08,440
Speaker 1: good offensive year Eric b Enemy has put him in

798
00:42:08,480 --> 00:42:10,920
Speaker 1: a really good spot the offensive coordinator for the Commanders.

799
00:42:11,160 --> 00:42:13,759
Speaker 2: Next Bears head coach could be.

800
00:42:14,080 --> 00:42:17,640
Speaker 1: We were really impressed with them. By the way. Wow,

801
00:42:18,880 --> 00:42:19,760
Speaker 1: that's a great idea.

802
00:42:20,080 --> 00:42:23,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, well, I'm here from Chicago, brothers, so it's swirling

803
00:42:23,440 --> 00:42:25,200
Speaker 2: in your own stadium right now.

804
00:42:26,120 --> 00:42:29,560
Speaker 1: Wow. Yeah, Now, I got to get on the phone

805
00:42:29,600 --> 00:42:31,480
Speaker 1: to my guys at Chicago and see what's going on.

806
00:42:32,560 --> 00:42:34,000
Speaker 2: You should all right?

807
00:42:34,320 --> 00:42:38,080
Speaker 1: Uh, I love that idea, Jo, Dude, you just threw me.

808
00:42:38,239 --> 00:42:41,839
Speaker 1: I fucking love the Bears. We were We've been really

809
00:42:41,880 --> 00:42:45,319
Speaker 1: impressed with how the Commanders played that first week, got

810
00:42:45,360 --> 00:42:48,640
Speaker 1: the deadcat bounds against the Patriots beat him in New England.

811
00:42:48,960 --> 00:42:51,680
Speaker 1: After they traded Montese Sweat and Chase Young, basically gave

812
00:42:51,760 --> 00:42:53,920
Speaker 1: up on the season and the defense. Since then, I

813
00:42:53,960 --> 00:42:57,200
Speaker 1: want to give some perspective, right because this happens. You

814
00:42:57,200 --> 00:42:59,520
Speaker 1: can have bias. You can think, oh, I love this quarterback,

815
00:42:59,560 --> 00:43:01,680
Speaker 1: he's a game. I like the way this team plays,

816
00:43:01,680 --> 00:43:06,360
Speaker 1: they have heart. Then you forget after that win against Washington.

817
00:43:06,400 --> 00:43:09,759
Speaker 1: They lost to buy three to Seattle, twelve to the

818
00:43:09,800 --> 00:43:14,000
Speaker 1: Giants at home, thirty five to the Cowboys, thirty to

819
00:43:14,080 --> 00:43:19,399
Speaker 1: the Dolphins at home. The dead cat bounce, That dead

820
00:43:19,400 --> 00:43:23,480
Speaker 1: cat is splat, Like this rush defense is terrible. The

821
00:43:23,600 --> 00:43:27,960
Speaker 1: Rams rush offense with Kieren Williams has been amazing, unreal. Yeah,

822
00:43:28,520 --> 00:43:30,439
Speaker 1: am I wrong to say that I love the Rams here?

823
00:43:31,680 --> 00:43:33,680
Speaker 2: No? And I've taken the six and a half. It's

824
00:43:33,680 --> 00:43:35,480
Speaker 2: gonna be the most public play for us this week

825
00:43:35,560 --> 00:43:37,200
Speaker 2: if you're on it too, like I bet it too.

826
00:43:38,440 --> 00:43:41,279
Speaker 2: Seen a couple books now up to seven. Still not

827
00:43:41,360 --> 00:43:42,919
Speaker 2: terrified if I have to take the Rams at seven.

828
00:43:43,120 --> 00:43:45,000
Speaker 2: The biggest thing to me is if you break down,

829
00:43:45,719 --> 00:43:49,200
Speaker 2: if you really go into the numbers. The secondary of

830
00:43:49,440 --> 00:43:53,600
Speaker 2: Washington is horrible on balls that travel over twenty yards,

831
00:43:53,640 --> 00:43:57,040
Speaker 2: like they are terrible at balls that go downfield. We

832
00:43:57,080 --> 00:43:59,919
Speaker 2: have pooke on Cooper Cup. So like Chad, you said,

833
00:44:00,160 --> 00:44:02,239
Speaker 2: only are you able to run the ball now and

834
00:44:02,360 --> 00:44:05,759
Speaker 2: have zero pass rush? With Washington on your quarterbacks, you

835
00:44:05,760 --> 00:44:07,839
Speaker 2: can push the ball downfield against a really bad set

836
00:44:07,920 --> 00:44:12,759
Speaker 2: cover secondary. So I wanted to be there on the

837
00:44:12,880 --> 00:44:16,719
Speaker 2: Washington just because the Rams, their own defense is fraudulent, right,

838
00:44:16,760 --> 00:44:19,200
Speaker 2: They have guys the secondary that our first second year

839
00:44:19,239 --> 00:44:22,600
Speaker 2: players are terrible cover corners, and you expect Sam held

840
00:44:22,640 --> 00:44:24,960
Speaker 2: Been to move the ball downfield. But at least they

841
00:44:25,000 --> 00:44:26,920
Speaker 2: still got Aaron Donald, and they got a rookie up

842
00:44:26,960 --> 00:44:28,960
Speaker 2: front that's playing really well. Like they still have pieces

843
00:44:29,000 --> 00:44:31,759
Speaker 2: there for the Rams that can get stops. You know,

844
00:44:31,880 --> 00:44:34,040
Speaker 2: they are, to me a better team. They deserve to

845
00:44:34,080 --> 00:44:36,400
Speaker 2: be this high of a favorite. So yeah, if you're

846
00:44:36,400 --> 00:44:38,160
Speaker 2: gonna grab anything, I'd grab it now. At the six

847
00:44:38,200 --> 00:44:40,480
Speaker 2: and a half, could easily see this being seven, seven

848
00:44:40,520 --> 00:44:41,400
Speaker 2: and a half by kickoff.

849
00:44:42,080 --> 00:44:43,920
Speaker 1: It's so funny you say you want to be another commander,

850
00:44:43,920 --> 00:44:45,720
Speaker 1: because that's the first thing I wrote in our script.

851
00:44:45,760 --> 00:44:48,400
Speaker 1: I wanted to lean commanders here, and then when I

852
00:44:48,040 --> 00:44:50,600
Speaker 1: was I was doing the research, it made no sense

853
00:44:50,880 --> 00:44:54,799
Speaker 1: at all. I'd still take the Rams at seven. Let's

854
00:44:54,800 --> 00:44:57,000
Speaker 1: say the Rams are at seven at a lot of places,

855
00:44:57,160 --> 00:45:01,520
Speaker 1: I would still take them at seven. Dallas at Buffalo.

856
00:45:02,160 --> 00:45:06,400
Speaker 1: We don't need stats, we don't need trends. It's about

857
00:45:06,440 --> 00:45:08,840
Speaker 1: what we're seeing in front of us right now, my friend,

858
00:45:09,360 --> 00:45:13,080
Speaker 1: And what we're seeing right now is a team at

859
00:45:13,080 --> 00:45:16,279
Speaker 1: the top of the market versus a team that's been

860
00:45:16,320 --> 00:45:20,799
Speaker 1: a little bit deflated. That's just feeling like they got

861
00:45:20,800 --> 00:45:25,320
Speaker 1: a shot. They got one, tiny, tiny little shot. This

862
00:45:25,440 --> 00:45:30,120
Speaker 1: is the shot right here, exact decision, Buffalo Bill. Sorry

863
00:45:30,160 --> 00:45:34,239
Speaker 1: to do it to you, Matt Mitchell. The Bills make

864
00:45:34,280 --> 00:45:40,600
Speaker 1: me want something. Throw your hands something, throw your hand

865
00:45:39,360 --> 00:45:41,600
Speaker 1: back now the Bills.

866
00:45:41,640 --> 00:45:42,560
Speaker 2: I'm making it happen.

867
00:45:43,400 --> 00:45:45,120
Speaker 1: It is what it is. We're taking the Bills at

868
00:45:45,160 --> 00:45:45,960
Speaker 1: minus two and a half.

869
00:45:46,560 --> 00:45:48,960
Speaker 2: Just a classic betting the spot. And not only is

870
00:45:49,000 --> 00:45:51,600
Speaker 2: it a good spot for the Bills, but it's such

871
00:45:51,800 --> 00:45:54,480
Speaker 2: a bad spot for Dallas. Dallas is about to go

872
00:45:54,520 --> 00:45:56,439
Speaker 2: through it. That's why, like I said, as an Eagles fan,

873
00:45:56,880 --> 00:45:59,880
Speaker 2: I expect them to lose last week the Eagles to Dallas.

874
00:46:00,080 --> 00:46:02,520
Speaker 2: That was such a bad spot for that Eagles team.

875
00:46:02,920 --> 00:46:06,080
Speaker 2: They had played multiple really tough teams, competitive teams in

876
00:46:06,120 --> 00:46:09,120
Speaker 2: a row. It's about to begin that for Dallas here,

877
00:46:09,239 --> 00:46:11,879
Speaker 2: Like Dallas has a really hard stretch where it's quite

878
00:46:11,880 --> 00:46:14,520
Speaker 2: the opposite for the Bills. Like me and Chatt talked

879
00:46:14,520 --> 00:46:17,000
Speaker 2: about today on Green Dot Daily. If you want to

880
00:46:17,000 --> 00:46:18,239
Speaker 2: be with me and Chatt and you just want to

881
00:46:18,239 --> 00:46:21,480
Speaker 2: be all in on this Bills team, you can make

882
00:46:21,520 --> 00:46:24,400
Speaker 2: three bets today that basical will set you up for

883
00:46:24,440 --> 00:46:27,440
Speaker 2: the next month, and you're you're just gonna be Matt Mitchell.

884
00:46:27,480 --> 00:46:29,799
Speaker 2: You will be Bill's mafia. You're going to be all in.

885
00:46:31,080 --> 00:46:33,560
Speaker 2: You know, this could cover your Christmas presence, could cover

886
00:46:33,640 --> 00:46:36,359
Speaker 2: your going out in New Year's with your special friend

887
00:46:36,400 --> 00:46:41,000
Speaker 2: or your special lady. How do we not take it here? Dallas,

888
00:46:41,360 --> 00:46:43,960
Speaker 2: they played them, They played Dallas here, then they have

889
00:46:44,040 --> 00:46:48,440
Speaker 2: the Chargers New England, and then they finish at Miami

890
00:46:48,680 --> 00:46:50,960
Speaker 2: and you can get Josh Allen right now twenty to

891
00:46:51,000 --> 00:46:54,160
Speaker 2: one b MVP fantasy people know, if you go look

892
00:46:54,160 --> 00:46:56,320
Speaker 2: at fantasy football wise, he's the number ONLD quarterback in

893
00:46:56,320 --> 00:46:59,200
Speaker 2: all football for fantasy. But if you're looking at just MVP,

894
00:47:00,120 --> 00:47:03,320
Speaker 2: I think he's top three. Like yes, tons of turnovers.

895
00:47:03,320 --> 00:47:05,919
Speaker 2: I think he's up to fourteen interceptions, but he's leading

896
00:47:05,920 --> 00:47:08,640
Speaker 2: the league in touchdowns if you include rushing and passing

897
00:47:08,760 --> 00:47:11,560
Speaker 2: like he's doing it all. And the reason he has

898
00:47:11,560 --> 00:47:14,560
Speaker 2: so many turnovers is he's being put in pad positions

899
00:47:14,560 --> 00:47:16,520
Speaker 2: all season because his defense and his coaching has just

900
00:47:16,560 --> 00:47:20,000
Speaker 2: been atrocious. So there's just a story there where if

901
00:47:20,000 --> 00:47:22,680
Speaker 2: this guy gets this team from six and six to

902
00:47:22,719 --> 00:47:25,719
Speaker 2: eleven and six, give me the MVP, like that's real

903
00:47:25,880 --> 00:47:28,799
Speaker 2: in a year where there is no real MVP, Like, yeah,

904
00:47:28,880 --> 00:47:32,520
Speaker 2: Dak is favorite. Right now, I can go through their schedule.

905
00:47:33,160 --> 00:47:36,799
Speaker 2: They play Buffalo, then Miami, then then they're at home

906
00:47:36,800 --> 00:47:39,960
Speaker 2: against Detroit. So at Buffalo at Miami, that at home

907
00:47:39,960 --> 00:47:43,480
Speaker 2: against Detroit. That's a tough sleigh for Dallas, where I

908
00:47:43,600 --> 00:47:45,719
Speaker 2: just I could see them dropping maybe two games here

909
00:47:45,760 --> 00:47:47,920
Speaker 2: with Buffalo wins out. It's just all their Chad, So

910
00:47:49,040 --> 00:47:50,960
Speaker 2: they win all these bets them to win the division

911
00:47:51,000 --> 00:47:52,759
Speaker 2: win is a plus three to ten. They need to

912
00:47:52,800 --> 00:47:54,719
Speaker 2: win this game, which is what Chad's talking about. I

913
00:47:55,000 --> 00:47:58,640
Speaker 2: love them in this spot, so anything under three, give

914
00:47:58,680 --> 00:48:00,360
Speaker 2: it to me. So I was hoping that the public

915
00:48:00,360 --> 00:48:03,000
Speaker 2: would be on Dallas right now. It's like you're looking

916
00:48:03,040 --> 00:48:04,360
Speaker 2: at the app, but it looks like it's the pros

917
00:48:04,400 --> 00:48:07,120
Speaker 2: and the public are here on the Buffalo. But I

918
00:48:07,120 --> 00:48:08,920
Speaker 2: could see it's shifting by midweek. I think if this

919
00:48:08,960 --> 00:48:11,759
Speaker 2: does get the three, the books will get that Cowboys money,

920
00:48:11,760 --> 00:48:13,480
Speaker 2: which will make me feel better about me and Chad

921
00:48:13,520 --> 00:48:16,480
Speaker 2: being so heavy here on Buffalo. But yeah, I said

922
00:48:16,480 --> 00:48:19,840
Speaker 2: it Sunday night. I love this number and I've just

923
00:48:19,840 --> 00:48:21,799
Speaker 2: been benet like even when it dropped down to one

924
00:48:21,840 --> 00:48:23,719
Speaker 2: and a half after the Cowboys had the big win,

925
00:48:25,160 --> 00:48:26,759
Speaker 2: it didn't scare me. It was just like, all right,

926
00:48:26,760 --> 00:48:28,560
Speaker 2: the public's coming on the Cowboys. Now you see it's

927
00:48:28,600 --> 00:48:30,400
Speaker 2: up a two and a half. So the pros have

928
00:48:30,440 --> 00:48:32,359
Speaker 2: come back in on this Buffalo team. So I'm right

929
00:48:32,360 --> 00:48:33,840
Speaker 2: there with you. Try. I love this bet.

930
00:48:34,480 --> 00:48:36,279
Speaker 1: To be clear, the three bets that you love that

931
00:48:36,360 --> 00:48:37,880
Speaker 1: are going to allow us to take out of our

932
00:48:37,960 --> 00:48:43,080
Speaker 1: special friends over the holidays. Bill's minus two and a

933
00:48:43,120 --> 00:48:46,720
Speaker 1: half Bills to win the division plus three ten Josh

934
00:48:46,719 --> 00:48:48,279
Speaker 1: Allen MVP twenty to one.

935
00:48:49,040 --> 00:48:53,080
Speaker 2: Love it boom.

936
00:48:53,360 --> 00:48:55,160
Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell's going to make a promise to everybody. I

937
00:48:55,160 --> 00:48:56,400
Speaker 1: don't know what it's going to be, but if the

938
00:48:56,400 --> 00:48:59,600
Speaker 1: Bills went out win the division and Josh Allen wins MVP,

939
00:49:00,480 --> 00:49:02,600
Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell's going to promise to do something. I don't

940
00:49:02,640 --> 00:49:03,359
Speaker 1: know what it is yet.

941
00:49:03,680 --> 00:49:06,480
Speaker 2: And as my witness, Matt Mitchell's my witness. I said,

942
00:49:07,200 --> 00:49:08,920
Speaker 2: it literally might have been six weeks ago when everyone

943
00:49:08,920 --> 00:49:10,840
Speaker 2: had left the Bills for dead, and I said, this

944
00:49:10,960 --> 00:49:12,719
Speaker 2: is your dream scenario. This is the year you guys

945
00:49:12,760 --> 00:49:15,200
Speaker 2: won a Super Bowl when everyone's counted you guys out,

946
00:49:15,520 --> 00:49:17,840
Speaker 2: you were left for dead. He was so sick. I

947
00:49:17,840 --> 00:49:19,720
Speaker 2: think in his own mind he's just like, please shut

948
00:49:19,800 --> 00:49:22,760
Speaker 2: the fuck. I can't confirm that, and I was. Yeah,

949
00:49:22,880 --> 00:49:24,240
Speaker 2: I wasn't ready to hear that message.

950
00:49:24,239 --> 00:49:27,759
Speaker 1: But here we are, Simon. I want you to concentrate

951
00:49:27,760 --> 00:49:30,200
Speaker 1: for a second and think very hard on what I'm

952
00:49:30,239 --> 00:49:32,840
Speaker 1: about to ask to ask you. Are you ready?

953
00:49:34,040 --> 00:49:34,600
Speaker 2: Yeah?

954
00:49:34,680 --> 00:49:37,120
Speaker 1: Can you name the fast growing ticketing app in the

955
00:49:37,239 --> 00:49:37,960
Speaker 1: United States?

956
00:49:38,760 --> 00:49:39,560
Speaker 2: Game Time?

957
00:49:39,880 --> 00:49:42,959
Speaker 1: That's right, it's our sponsor, game Time. I love game

958
00:49:42,960 --> 00:49:45,439
Speaker 1: Time for two reasons. One they sponsored this show. Number two,

959
00:49:45,440 --> 00:49:48,399
Speaker 1: I actually used game Time to buy tickets. They've got

960
00:49:48,400 --> 00:49:52,440
Speaker 1: amazing last minute deals on all sorts of tickets, including

961
00:49:52,480 --> 00:49:55,440
Speaker 1: pro and college football games. Speaking of which, I'm actually

962
00:49:55,480 --> 00:49:58,880
Speaker 1: opening game Time right now from my house here in

963
00:49:59,120 --> 00:50:01,880
Speaker 1: Connecticut and g yes, what I can get into a

964
00:50:02,440 --> 00:50:04,719
Speaker 1: New York Rangers hockey game for less than one hundred

965
00:50:04,719 --> 00:50:07,160
Speaker 1: and fifty bucks. And if you haven't gone to a

966
00:50:07,239 --> 00:50:11,080
Speaker 1: Rangers home game at the Garden, you have not experienced

967
00:50:11,320 --> 00:50:16,160
Speaker 1: hockey fandom at its finest. It's amazing. No matter where

968
00:50:16,200 --> 00:50:18,600
Speaker 1: you live, download the game Time app, get out, have

969
00:50:18,719 --> 00:50:20,520
Speaker 1: some fun this week. Go sweat your bets, live and

970
00:50:20,560 --> 00:50:23,360
Speaker 1: in person and you can redeem code favorites for twenty

971
00:50:23,400 --> 00:50:26,360
Speaker 1: dollars off for his purchase terms apply again. Just download

972
00:50:26,400 --> 00:50:28,959
Speaker 1: the app and innercode favorites for twenty dollars off. Last

973
00:50:28,960 --> 00:50:34,040
Speaker 1: minute ticket's lowest price guaranteed. All right, we got Baltimore Ravens,

974
00:50:34,840 --> 00:50:37,160
Speaker 1: consider one of the best teams in the AFC, visiting

975
00:50:37,200 --> 00:50:39,520
Speaker 1: the Jacksonville Jaguars, who were on a nice little run there.

976
00:50:39,960 --> 00:50:43,280
Speaker 1: Now they've been losing a little bit. We talked Baltimore

977
00:50:43,320 --> 00:50:45,440
Speaker 1: on Sunday, you were taking a small taste of the

978
00:50:45,560 --> 00:50:48,600
Speaker 1: Ravens at minus three. We still don't know what's happening

979
00:50:48,640 --> 00:50:53,080
Speaker 1: with Trevor Lawrence historically, and we saw this a game

980
00:50:53,160 --> 00:50:57,200
Speaker 1: last week. Lamar terrible as a favorite of more than three,

981
00:50:57,680 --> 00:51:01,840
Speaker 1: twelve to nineteen as a favorite five and sixteen against

982
00:51:01,840 --> 00:51:03,560
Speaker 1: this twelve to nineteen to gets to spread as a

983
00:51:03,560 --> 00:51:07,239
Speaker 1: favorite five and sixteen against the spread when favored by

984
00:51:07,320 --> 00:51:11,000
Speaker 1: more than three points. You still like Baltimore at minus

985
00:51:11,000 --> 00:51:11,480
Speaker 1: three and a half.

986
00:51:12,280 --> 00:51:14,319
Speaker 2: I don't know what to deal with it. It's I liked

987
00:51:14,360 --> 00:51:15,799
Speaker 2: it three. I knew it was gonna go up. That's

988
00:51:15,800 --> 00:51:17,560
Speaker 2: why I bet it. But I also knew the back

989
00:51:17,560 --> 00:51:19,200
Speaker 2: of mind this is going to be the most public

990
00:51:19,239 --> 00:51:22,279
Speaker 2: side of any debt this week, Like the public is

991
00:51:22,320 --> 00:51:25,680
Speaker 2: going to hammer the Ravens ans the Jaguars here, and

992
00:51:26,560 --> 00:51:30,799
Speaker 2: you know the fact that it's you know, it hasn't moved.

993
00:51:30,840 --> 00:51:33,040
Speaker 2: I thought it would be like four by now, and

994
00:51:33,360 --> 00:51:37,880
Speaker 2: every book is sitting at three and a half. Yeah,

995
00:51:38,040 --> 00:51:41,520
Speaker 2: not ideal. Not ideal with it being the Sunday night game,

996
00:51:41,600 --> 00:51:44,440
Speaker 2: because you know, we talk all the time like that's

997
00:51:44,480 --> 00:51:46,920
Speaker 2: that's the money maker for the books, Like they want

998
00:51:47,400 --> 00:51:49,520
Speaker 2: the public to be heavy on one side and they

999
00:51:49,520 --> 00:51:52,080
Speaker 2: take a position on the other side. Like last week

1000
00:51:52,160 --> 00:51:53,879
Speaker 2: was a dream scenario for them in the sense that

1001
00:51:54,640 --> 00:51:56,680
Speaker 2: you know, we talked about we thought it was going

1002
00:51:56,680 --> 00:51:58,560
Speaker 2: a lot of public money on the Cowboys and ended

1003
00:51:58,640 --> 00:52:00,320
Speaker 2: up being a ton of money. Late came on the

1004
00:52:00,360 --> 00:52:02,439
Speaker 2: Eagles at plus three and a half and it worked

1005
00:52:02,440 --> 00:52:04,000
Speaker 2: out for him. The same thing here where it's like

1006
00:52:04,320 --> 00:52:06,239
Speaker 2: they're making you make a choice. There's no push here,

1007
00:52:06,280 --> 00:52:08,640
Speaker 2: there's not gonna be a three. They're gonna make something

1008
00:52:08,680 --> 00:52:11,960
Speaker 2: happen here, and I don't I want to say I'm

1009
00:52:12,000 --> 00:52:14,520
Speaker 2: not scared off by taking the Ravens, like I still

1010
00:52:14,560 --> 00:52:16,360
Speaker 2: like them, because I could still them being one of

1011
00:52:16,360 --> 00:52:17,879
Speaker 2: our picks, but the fact we already have the Bills

1012
00:52:17,920 --> 00:52:20,640
Speaker 2: in as our favorite. You know, I'm I'd rather have

1013
00:52:20,719 --> 00:52:22,680
Speaker 2: the Bills in at a better number than I with

1014
00:52:22,840 --> 00:52:26,160
Speaker 2: the Ravens. But yeah, I don't don't hate the Ravens still.

1015
00:52:26,200 --> 00:52:30,439
Speaker 2: It's just it's such a public side and I don't

1016
00:52:30,480 --> 00:52:34,759
Speaker 2: really get the movement. Like I'm almost positive Lawrence will

1017
00:52:34,800 --> 00:52:37,520
Speaker 2: be playing just because it hasn't moved that much. It

1018
00:52:37,560 --> 00:52:39,080
Speaker 2: kind of feels like the books are saying he is

1019
00:52:39,120 --> 00:52:39,760
Speaker 2: going to play.

1020
00:52:39,800 --> 00:52:42,960
Speaker 1: So yeah, look, he played last week. He played last

1021
00:52:43,000 --> 00:52:45,480
Speaker 1: week and came out of the game. I did some research,

1022
00:52:45,600 --> 00:52:49,000
Speaker 1: said he wasn't injured, felt fine, like he played last week.

1023
00:52:49,000 --> 00:52:49,719
Speaker 1: He played this week.

1024
00:52:51,239 --> 00:52:53,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, well again the furi is he had he had

1025
00:52:53,680 --> 00:52:55,320
Speaker 2: two plays where he got tackled and they did the

1026
00:52:55,400 --> 00:52:57,279
Speaker 2: role on him where they wrapped his ankle and they

1027
00:52:57,360 --> 00:52:59,480
Speaker 2: rolled it like they put their chest weight into it,

1028
00:53:00,080 --> 00:53:02,040
Speaker 2: and he is the adrenaline. So it's like, Okay, he

1029
00:53:02,120 --> 00:53:04,400
Speaker 2: might be fine to finish that game. But then you

1030
00:53:04,400 --> 00:53:07,080
Speaker 2: know a couple of hours later, when the adrenaline's gone

1031
00:53:07,160 --> 00:53:09,839
Speaker 2: and the swelling starts coming up, what's really going on there?

1032
00:53:09,840 --> 00:53:12,959
Speaker 2: But yeah, clearly he is crazy tough Trevor Lawrence playing

1033
00:53:12,960 --> 00:53:16,040
Speaker 2: on that injury. But yeah, I want to take Baltimore,

1034
00:53:16,080 --> 00:53:17,880
Speaker 2: but Chad's right like this is usually is not a

1035
00:53:17,880 --> 00:53:20,640
Speaker 2: good spot to take Lamar. So don't know if this

1036
00:53:20,680 --> 00:53:21,960
Speaker 2: will be one of our five. But I am on

1037
00:53:22,000 --> 00:53:22,879
Speaker 2: Baltimore right now.

1038
00:53:24,680 --> 00:53:27,720
Speaker 1: Last game on the board, the last of the sixteen games,

1039
00:53:27,760 --> 00:53:32,120
Speaker 1: Philadelphia at Seattle. Was it three and a half. Now

1040
00:53:32,160 --> 00:53:36,719
Speaker 1: it's for Monday Night Football. All of a sudden, the

1041
00:53:36,719 --> 00:53:39,759
Speaker 1: Philadelphia Eagles find themselves in a must win situation. They

1042
00:53:39,760 --> 00:53:42,439
Speaker 1: are the number one wild card team. They went out,

1043
00:53:42,480 --> 00:53:45,560
Speaker 1: they'll still win the division and look they can. They

1044
00:53:45,640 --> 00:53:48,520
Speaker 1: can do themselves as service this weekend if they win

1045
00:53:48,600 --> 00:53:50,600
Speaker 1: and the Cowboys lose against the Bills, which is what

1046
00:53:50,680 --> 00:53:54,640
Speaker 1: we're predicting. I don't really have a ton of thoughts

1047
00:53:54,640 --> 00:53:56,560
Speaker 1: on this game right now. I think that I do

1048
00:53:56,600 --> 00:53:58,799
Speaker 1: think that the Eagles defense is in trouble. I don't

1049
00:53:58,840 --> 00:54:03,280
Speaker 1: I don't think like they're just struggling. They seem bad.

1050
00:54:06,600 --> 00:54:10,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, they just played Dallas, had a bye week,

1051
00:54:10,120 --> 00:54:12,759
Speaker 2: then the Chiefs, then Buffalo, than the forty nine ers

1052
00:54:12,800 --> 00:54:16,239
Speaker 2: and then Dallas. I mean, I get the questions about

1053
00:54:16,239 --> 00:54:19,279
Speaker 2: their defense. It's just what are you gonna do. There's

1054
00:54:19,360 --> 00:54:22,120
Speaker 2: like seven good teams in football. They played three of

1055
00:54:22,160 --> 00:54:24,160
Speaker 2: them or four of them in the last five weeks.

1056
00:54:25,000 --> 00:54:27,560
Speaker 2: It's just that's life. We have a first place schedule,

1057
00:54:27,640 --> 00:54:33,440
Speaker 2: so yeah, on paper, compared to their last couple of games,

1058
00:54:33,719 --> 00:54:36,320
Speaker 2: this should be a cake walk. Like they're much better

1059
00:54:36,600 --> 00:54:38,799
Speaker 2: than the Seahawks, and you have a banged up Geno

1060
00:54:38,920 --> 00:54:42,279
Speaker 2: Smith or Drew Locke playing. But Jad just said it.

1061
00:54:42,280 --> 00:54:44,360
Speaker 2: This number was five, it went down to three and

1062
00:54:44,360 --> 00:54:45,719
Speaker 2: a half and a lot of books now it's up

1063
00:54:45,760 --> 00:54:48,480
Speaker 2: to four. So I think even the professionals are like

1064
00:54:49,000 --> 00:54:50,840
Speaker 2: a little weary of back in this Eagles team on

1065
00:54:50,880 --> 00:54:53,719
Speaker 2: the road here. But I think it's priced right, like

1066
00:54:53,760 --> 00:54:54,759
Speaker 2: I have it a four and a half, So I'm

1067
00:54:54,760 --> 00:54:56,239
Speaker 2: showing a little bit of value on the Eagles, but

1068
00:54:56,400 --> 00:54:58,000
Speaker 2: not enough to make me be like, oh, you gotta

1069
00:54:58,040 --> 00:54:59,600
Speaker 2: take it here. And it's not even that good of

1070
00:54:59,640 --> 00:55:04,760
Speaker 2: a spot. I mean, back to back road games not ideal.

1071
00:55:05,000 --> 00:55:07,479
Speaker 2: But at least they get a little bit of extended rest.

1072
00:55:07,560 --> 00:55:10,319
Speaker 2: They get that extra day, which is nice for them.

1073
00:55:10,800 --> 00:55:12,880
Speaker 2: And this is kind of it right, Like they play

1074
00:55:13,480 --> 00:55:18,080
Speaker 2: this game. They have giants, Arizona giants, Like I think

1075
00:55:18,120 --> 00:55:21,359
Speaker 2: the Eagles know that this really is the decider if

1076
00:55:21,360 --> 00:55:23,200
Speaker 2: they win their division in the one seed, like they

1077
00:55:23,200 --> 00:55:25,560
Speaker 2: have to win this one, the forty nine ers still

1078
00:55:25,600 --> 00:55:27,520
Speaker 2: have to play the Ravens, which is what you know.

1079
00:55:27,560 --> 00:55:29,080
Speaker 2: They could trip up the forty nine ers and make

1080
00:55:29,120 --> 00:55:33,840
Speaker 2: it so they don't get the one seed. But bad, bad, bad,

1081
00:55:34,080 --> 00:55:36,200
Speaker 2: bad spot for Seattle. With a sense of the Eagles

1082
00:55:36,200 --> 00:55:39,759
Speaker 2: team veteran team, they're going to be pissed off. I

1083
00:55:39,760 --> 00:55:41,680
Speaker 2: mean they're going to be shitt on like you wouldn't

1084
00:55:41,719 --> 00:55:43,799
Speaker 2: believe it all week. That was an embarrassing loss. Right

1085
00:55:44,080 --> 00:55:46,800
Speaker 2: three turnovers by they had to turner by Herts, turnover

1086
00:55:46,840 --> 00:55:49,479
Speaker 2: by AJ Brown, a turn over by Dante Smith. That's

1087
00:55:49,480 --> 00:55:52,680
Speaker 2: not very characteristic that Eagles team. So they're not as

1088
00:55:52,719 --> 00:55:55,359
Speaker 2: bad as they looked this year. Is the public knows

1089
00:55:55,400 --> 00:55:58,759
Speaker 2: that they're They're right right behind the Ravens as the

1090
00:55:58,800 --> 00:56:01,920
Speaker 2: most publicly bet team right now this week. So another one.

1091
00:56:01,960 --> 00:56:03,640
Speaker 2: I don't know if it's gonna make me and Chat's five,

1092
00:56:03,719 --> 00:56:06,120
Speaker 2: but I do show value right now in this Eagles

1093
00:56:06,160 --> 00:56:06,719
Speaker 2: team of four.

1094
00:56:07,400 --> 00:56:09,480
Speaker 1: Look right now, if you ask me what the five were,

1095
00:56:10,080 --> 00:56:17,160
Speaker 1: I'd say Bears, Bills, Carolina, New England, and then I

1096
00:56:17,200 --> 00:56:20,399
Speaker 1: think it would come down to the Rams and the Bucks.

1097
00:56:20,080 --> 00:56:23,120
Speaker 2: Yep, and maybe Titans. Maybe I'll get you on the Titans.

1098
00:56:24,080 --> 00:56:28,520
Speaker 1: I'm supper like, this is what scares me. We've been

1099
00:56:28,520 --> 00:56:30,960
Speaker 1: doing this long enough for me to know when you like,

1100
00:56:31,239 --> 00:56:37,240
Speaker 1: you mentioned a team, but it's not like it's not forceful.

1101
00:56:37,520 --> 00:56:39,800
Speaker 1: But then you keep coming back to it, and now

1102
00:56:39,880 --> 00:56:41,560
Speaker 1: the fact you're mentioning the Titans again.

1103
00:56:42,280 --> 00:56:46,399
Speaker 2: Just keep your eye on it, okay, But it's like, do.

1104
00:56:46,400 --> 00:56:47,760
Speaker 1: You know something right now?

1105
00:56:47,960 --> 00:56:50,200
Speaker 2: Or I do, but I need more info on it.

1106
00:56:50,239 --> 00:56:53,000
Speaker 2: But yeah, I know that I really respected group are

1107
00:56:53,000 --> 00:56:55,000
Speaker 2: heavy on the Titans. At this point. It's all about

1108
00:56:55,040 --> 00:56:57,200
Speaker 2: they got info I don't, And they might know CJ's

1109
00:56:57,280 --> 00:56:59,480
Speaker 2: not playing. Where I wish I could come and be like, yo,

1110
00:56:59,520 --> 00:57:02,520
Speaker 2: I got he's not playing. I don't and I'm working

1111
00:57:02,600 --> 00:57:04,720
Speaker 2: on it. But nine in the morning here in Hawaii,

1112
00:57:04,719 --> 00:57:06,640
Speaker 2: I just I just don't have an info in it yet.

1113
00:57:06,680 --> 00:57:08,680
Speaker 1: All right, So here are the rumors we're tracking down.

1114
00:57:09,000 --> 00:57:10,799
Speaker 1: We're both going to work the phone lines to find

1115
00:57:10,800 --> 00:57:12,719
Speaker 1: out when Eric Bienemy is going to be named as

1116
00:57:12,719 --> 00:57:15,759
Speaker 1: the coach at the Chicago Bears. We're working the phone

1117
00:57:15,760 --> 00:57:17,960
Speaker 1: lines to see when CJ. Shroud is going to be

1118
00:57:18,000 --> 00:57:21,560
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Speaker 1: our next episode of The Favorites live on the Action

1133
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Speaker 1: Network You two page this Thursday at eleven am Eastern.

1134
00:58:04,920 --> 00:58:08,680
Speaker 1: Download us from Spotify, Apple Podcasts, wherever you get your pods,

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Speaker 1: Feedback is a gift until Thursday eleven am Eastern. Love

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