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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome to a Super Bowl Sunday episode

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Speaker 2: of the Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Perrelt.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all of my socials

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Speaker 2: at Sports Talk Matt, and we're back after a cool

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Speaker 2: down yesterday. Is that a good thing for the plays

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Speaker 2: on Sunday? I don't know. Oh in three, we were rolling.

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Speaker 2: We were eleven and two before this BYU Auburn, Duke

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Speaker 2: and North Carolina go way under. Auburn loses badly at

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Speaker 2: home b Why you get smoked in? Duke in North

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Speaker 2: Carolina was a dead under? Oh in three down three

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Speaker 2: point three units. So we give back a bit from

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Speaker 2: what we were doing today or this week. But we

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Speaker 2: were up big. I mean we were rolling. So a

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Speaker 2: cool down day. Maybe it's a good thing. We had

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Speaker 2: a cool dun day before the Super Bowl. The Patriots

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Speaker 2: and the Seahawks. You know, there's been a lot of

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Speaker 2: victory lap takes already on this game.

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Speaker 1: Will it wind up going the way they all think?

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Speaker 2: Let's see? You know, Sometimes yes, it is that predictable.

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Speaker 2: Sometimes it is that easy. Sometimes it is a layup

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Speaker 2: and Seattle will walk in here and outperform the Patriots

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Speaker 2: and blow their doors off, and everybody will be right

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Speaker 2: or everybody will be wrong. This is the beauty of sports.

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Speaker 2: I cannot wait to break it down. Starting at one

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Speaker 2: o'clock Pacific time, four pm Eastern time, I got the

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Speaker 2: time right now, Andrew Erickson, Pat Fitzmore's and myself for

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Speaker 2: one more time for the twenty twenty five twenty twenty

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Speaker 2: sixth season. We've got you for an hour plus to

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Speaker 2: break down all the props, to break down, all the

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Speaker 2: line movement to break down, all the time to get

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Speaker 2: to the game that will kick off at about six

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Speaker 2: thirty or so six fifteen whenever they're scheduled to kick

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Speaker 2: off in Santa Clara, when the Patriots tried to become

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Speaker 2: the most prolific offense, the most prolific defense, the most

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Speaker 2: prolific franchise in the history of the NFL, if they

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Speaker 2: are able to win their seventh championship, or we'll seattle'll

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Speaker 2: get revenge for what happened eleven years ago, and will

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Speaker 2: they beat the Patriots to win their second Super Bowl.

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Speaker 2: We're going to find out. It's going to be a

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Speaker 2: lot of fun. The time for talk is over. The

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Speaker 2: time for the play has begun, will find out how

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Speaker 2: is Drake May's shoulder, how is Robert Spulane's ankle? How

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Speaker 2: is the oblique for Sam Darnald? One of those quarterbacks,

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Speaker 2: Sam Darnold or Drake May will win their first improbable

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Speaker 2: Super Bowl. At of nowhere, super Bowl. No one thought

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Speaker 2: this was happening, No one thought it could happen, and

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Speaker 2: the Patriots are still being doubted. Blowout, blowout, blow That's

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Speaker 2: all I'm hearing from people. It's going to be a blowout. Okay,

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Speaker 2: let's go and find out. So here's the thing, as

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Speaker 2: you guys are well aware, we have two tickets. We

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Speaker 2: have Seattle at fourteen to one. If they win, if

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Speaker 2: everyone's right, we take down fourteen units. And it's going

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Speaker 2: to be really hard for me not to have a

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Speaker 2: winning day. Okay, have a winning week, have a winning day.

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Speaker 2: That will go although I will say that that money

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Speaker 2: will go into next into last year's record, so not

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Speaker 2: so much this week, but these both these will go

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Speaker 2: into last year, so it'll help last year's record.

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Speaker 1: Patriots.

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Speaker 2: When we get ten, we get eleven units off of this. Okay,

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Speaker 2: yes we've hedged, but that number is always reflective already

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Speaker 2: I have bet the over forty five and a half.

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Speaker 1: I will say this about the over.

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Speaker 2: Okay, the pro money is all on the under. I

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Speaker 2: might be wrong about that, so I have a way

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Speaker 2: of hedging out of it, so the hard rock bet

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Speaker 2: of the day will focus.

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Speaker 1: In on that total.

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Speaker 2: I might be wrong about that, although I did say

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Speaker 2: twenty seven to twenty four Patriots, so I do have

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Speaker 2: a way of getting around that. If I were to

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Speaker 2: be correct with that score, I have a way of

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Speaker 2: getting the under to come in, so I have a

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Speaker 2: way to play that.

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Speaker 1: We'll get more of that here in just one second.

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Speaker 2: But as you guys know the prop bets, there has

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Speaker 2: been a ton given out. I want to give out

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Speaker 2: one more here today for the props, as you guys know,

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Speaker 2: and we'll recap it all here right now, so you

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Speaker 2: guys can take a look at all the different prop

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Speaker 2: bets that we've got. Shortage touchdown under one and a

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Speaker 2: half yards. If you want the full breakdown on all

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Speaker 2: these plays, you're going to have to go back and

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Speaker 2: watch all the old podcasts. Shortest TD under one and

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Speaker 2: a half yards, Sam Darnold to throw a pick at

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Speaker 2: mis one twenty five, The Patriots plus three in the

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Speaker 2: first half, Trebon Henderson over two and a half receiving yards,

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Speaker 2: Drake May over thirty three and a half for the

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Speaker 2: longest completion of the game for him. Milton Williams sack

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Speaker 2: yes at plus two ten. And that takes us to

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Speaker 2: the last prop for me for the Super Bowl, and

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Speaker 2: that is for there to be a score in the

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Speaker 2: first six minutes in thirty seconds. Some books have broken

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Speaker 2: this down to be like four, five and six, and

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Speaker 2: the books have seen a lot of sharp action come

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Speaker 2: in at the under six minutes.

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Speaker 1: So think about it.

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Speaker 2: Right, we would assume that we're going to get too

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Speaker 2: pretty quick drives to start the game. Like I think,

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Speaker 2: if you have a prop bet that says no points

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Speaker 2: are scored in the first drive or the first two drives,

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Speaker 2: I'm good with it. But halfway into the first quarter,

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Speaker 2: I think there's a good shot.

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Speaker 1: That someone's kicking a field goal.

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Speaker 2: There's a good shot, given these field goal kickers, given

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Speaker 2: the leg that they have, I think that we're going

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Speaker 2: to see points being scored in the first six and

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Speaker 2: a half minutes, and I do think it's worth the

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Speaker 2: plus money jump. Okay, I got that at Circus sports

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Speaker 2: in Vegas. You can search around and try to find that.

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Speaker 2: But I think it's a good play to have points

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Speaker 2: in any points, three points, whatever, just points in the

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Speaker 2: first six and a half minutes of this game.

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Speaker 1: So everyone just is assuming that this is a grinder

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Speaker 1: of a game.

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Speaker 2: Everyone thinks it's going to be a really low scoring game.

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Speaker 2: I bet the over, like I said, so, by betting

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Speaker 2: the over, I'm going to look for points in points

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Speaker 2: early and so even in the Patriots haven't been great

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Speaker 2: in the first quarter, they've been great in the second quarter.

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Speaker 2: They could give up a field goal to Seattle. The

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Speaker 2: Patriots offense has been conservative, but there are special teams.

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Speaker 2: Kickoff return has been really good, so maybe they get

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Speaker 2: a big return to start the game, or a big

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Speaker 2: return on their first punt return and that sets them

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Speaker 2: up in field goal range in the Patriots score a

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Speaker 2: field goal there. So I like, yes, points in the

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Speaker 2: first six and a half minutes of this game. Again,

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Speaker 2: this is some of a contrarian play because I do

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Speaker 2: think we're going to see more offense than people think.

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Speaker 2: So the prop bets for the Super Bowl on your

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Speaker 2: screen shortest TD under one and a half yards, Sam

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Speaker 2: Don to get picked off the Patriots plus three. Henderson

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Speaker 2: goes over two and a half receptions receiving yards. Excuse me,

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Speaker 2: I like his overarm receptions too. By the way, Drake

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Speaker 2: may over thirty three and a half yards for the

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Speaker 2: longest completion. Milton Williams to have a sack and a

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Speaker 2: score in the first six minutes and thirty seconds. Let's

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Speaker 2: tell you about our friends at hard Rock Bet before

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Speaker 2: we give you the hard Rock bet of the day.

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Speaker 1: It is here the big game.

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Speaker 2: Hard Rock has Seattle laying four and a half points,

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Speaker 2: as does everybody else.

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Speaker 1: Will it move before kickoff? After wait and see?

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Speaker 2: But hard Rock Bet is loaded with the props for today.

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Speaker 2: Props you cannot find any other day but today. Score

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Speaker 2: Agami's opening kickoff touchback off the wall.

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Speaker 1: Bets that can make every single snap in this game.

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Speaker 1: So what is the hard rock bet of the day.

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Speaker 2: I'm going to do a teaser and maybe you would

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Speaker 2: take Seattle and pull Seattle down. But because I have

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Speaker 2: a plus fourteen one hundred bet on Seattle. Because I

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Speaker 2: have that, I have a little extra wiggle room if

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Speaker 2: Seattle wins the game. So I can be a little

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Speaker 2: more aggressive and take the Patriots up to ten and

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Speaker 2: a half and go Pats plus ten and a half

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Speaker 2: and then take the total from forty five and a

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Speaker 2: half up to fifty one and a half in bet under.

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Speaker 2: Let's say I'm wrong the game is a dead under. Okay,

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Speaker 2: well we already have over forty five and a half.

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Speaker 2: Do I think it flies over? I don't. I said

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Speaker 2: twenty seven to twenty four Patriots. So because it's twenty

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Speaker 2: seven to twenty four Patriots, that's fifty one. We go

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Speaker 2: over to fifty one and get to fifty one and

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Speaker 2: a half, we're good.

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Speaker 1: Patriots win the game. Obviously they cover ten and a half.

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Speaker 2: But that is what I am going to head and

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Speaker 2: going fire on for the hard Rock bet of the day.

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Speaker 2: We're fourteen and eleven so far on the hard Rock

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Speaker 2: Bet of the Day Patriots plus ten and a half

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Speaker 2: under fifty one and a half at minus one p

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Speaker 2: thirty for one point three units for us for the

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Speaker 2: hard Rock Bet of the Day, same game teaser. Look,

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Speaker 2: because I have two future bets available, and regardless of

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Speaker 2: the accounting of where it goes, it's still money in

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Speaker 2: my pocket. So I am a bit more committed to this.

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Speaker 1: Game than I have been before.

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Speaker 2: Okay, I normally don't go and I don't know this

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Speaker 2: big of a card, but because of what I've got

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Speaker 2: in the futures market, it lets me be a bit

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Speaker 2: more aggressive. It could blow up in my face. I

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Speaker 2: could lose every one of these bets. It could be

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Speaker 2: a disastrous Sunday for me. It's very possible. Right, you

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Speaker 2: get really hot, right, before the game and then it

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Speaker 2: blows up in your face one hundred percent. The potential

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Speaker 2: is there. So my ask of you guys is that

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Speaker 2: you are betting responsibly. My ask is that you do

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Speaker 2: not overextend yourself, that you don't put yourself into a

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Speaker 2: dangerous position where you're going to hurt either yourself, your family,

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Speaker 2: or your future. Okay, be smart with this game. Be smart.

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Speaker 2: This game feels like a try. I'm just gonna tell you.

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Speaker 2: The line feels like a trap. The money is all

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Speaker 2: one way, every single talking head, former player, current player.

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Speaker 2: I mean, everyone is on Seattle. And maybe the Patriots

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Speaker 2: do get exposed, and maybe this is the eighty five

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Speaker 2: Bears all over again and the Patriots loses the game

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Speaker 2: forty five to ten.

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Speaker 1: Could it happen? Absolutely? Do I think it's going to happen.

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Speaker 2: I don't, and I don't because I've been betting long

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Speaker 2: enough to know that this group think normally doesn't go

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Speaker 2: the way people think. And the fact that the number

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Speaker 2: has not moved from four and a half, even though

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Speaker 2: all of this money is coming in here on Seattle,

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Speaker 2: even though everyone is just so damn sure that this

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Speaker 2: game's a blowout, that this game is not going to

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Speaker 2: be close again. Maybe it won't be, Okay, don't I

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Speaker 2: don't see it being a blowout. I think it's close.

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Speaker 2: I think it's a good game. I think we're I

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Speaker 2: think the good weather is huge for the Patriots. I

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Speaker 2: think it's huge for Drake May because Drake May up

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Speaker 2: until Week eight was dynamic. Afterwards, when the weather turned,

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Speaker 2: things kind of went a little bit sideways for Drake May.

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Speaker 2: In the playoffs has been very cold. He has not

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Speaker 2: been comfortable, but the defense has been great. Roberts Pulane's

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Speaker 2: ankle is definitely concern. But Milton Williams won the championship

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Speaker 2: last year with the Eagles, and he is right back

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Speaker 2: in it, and he could wind up potentially doing something

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Speaker 2: that only Von Miller has done and reaching memory, which

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Speaker 2: is be the MVP of the Super Bowl. Okay, you're

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Speaker 2: gonna ask me for a long shot MVP pick. There's

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Speaker 2: your long shot MVP pick. The A gap in the

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Speaker 2: B gap. Just remember that I talked about it. When

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Speaker 2: you're watching the game either side of the center, watch

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Speaker 2: how the Patriots go after that.

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Speaker 1: Okay, I don't think Kenneth Walker will run the ball

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Speaker 1: very well today.

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Speaker 2: I think Sam Darnald will have a difficult afternoon. If

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Speaker 2: you're picking the Patriots to win, you have to pick

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Speaker 2: Sam Darnald to be the weak link. He is the

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Speaker 2: entire lynch pin to a Patriots victory. Sam Darnald has

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Speaker 2: to be picked off. And the Patriots realistically need to

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Speaker 2: win the turnover battle to to oh they can't turn

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Speaker 2: the ball over. They got to have two, Seattle has

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Speaker 2: to have none. Are the Seahawks the better team on paper? Yes,

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Speaker 2: I do think that they are, but this game's not

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Speaker 2: played on paper. And I think because of the coaching

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Speaker 2: and because of the leadership top to bottom for the Patriots,

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Speaker 2: I just think people are a little bit, you know,

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Speaker 2: being disrespectful for a team that has been very good.

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Speaker 2: And I'll say it again, the path for Seattle to

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Speaker 2: this game versus the path for the Patriots to this

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Speaker 2: game are night and day. And it really comes down

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Speaker 2: to how you feel about the Rams. And I don't

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Speaker 2: think the Rams defense is any good, So I'm not

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Speaker 2: really all that impressed with what happened against a banged

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Speaker 2: up shell of a defense in the forty nine ers

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Speaker 2: and not a very good defense in the La Rams.

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Speaker 2: The Patriots faced off three against three defense is way

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Speaker 2: more difficult than the two faced by Seattle. They played

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Speaker 2: in the wild card round. They went on the road,

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Speaker 2: all things that Seattle did not do here. I think

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Speaker 2: it's a big factor. I think the belief factor is

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Speaker 2: pretty important. The coaching factor is pretty important, and I

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Speaker 2: like Mike McDonald a lot. I do Clint Kubiak going

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Speaker 2: to the Raiders. How much of a distraction is that

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Speaker 2: going to be? We'll see. I am taking the Patriots

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Speaker 2: twenty seven to twenty four. I am going full of

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Speaker 2: blown Homer. But again, if Seattle wins, I win more

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Speaker 2: money and we're good. So I'm perfectly comfortable being wrong here.

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Speaker 2: But when your team is playing in it, there's this

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Speaker 2: something really special. If your team's never played in this game. Look,

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Speaker 2: this is my twelfth time of watching the Patriots in

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Speaker 2: the super Bowl. That's a crazy comment. Okay, twelve different times.

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Speaker 2: I am forty eight years old. There there have been

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Speaker 2: sixty Super Bowls in existence, and my team has played

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Speaker 2: in twelve of them. Now, if they lose, they will

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Speaker 2: go to six and six in those games, so tough.

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Speaker 2: I will have seen six losses in the Super Bowl.

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Speaker 2: That's not good. Okay, Patriots in an eighty five got

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Speaker 2: killed by the Bears. Patriots in ninety six got beat

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Speaker 2: by the Packers. The Giants beat the Patriots twice in

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Speaker 2: the Eagles beat the Patriots as well. Those are your championships,

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Speaker 2: those your five losses for the Patriots. And then it

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Speaker 2: would be Seattle that would beat the Patriots for number

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Speaker 2: six and the patch will be six and six getting

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Speaker 2: to the games in incredible, right. But it's way more

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Speaker 2: fun to win this game than it is to lose

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Speaker 2: this game. And for the six times that the Patriots

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Speaker 2: have won this game, I have been way happier than

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Speaker 2: the five times when they lost. It's going to be

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Speaker 2: a tough, tough mountain to climb, but they shouldn't be

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Speaker 2: here anyway, according to the pundits. I mean, my god,

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Speaker 2: did Micah Parsons really say that the Patriots this is

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Speaker 2: not what a super Bowl looks like. A Super Bowl

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Speaker 2: doesn't look like with the Patriots in the in the Seahawks. Micah, Okay,

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Speaker 2: just go rehab, dude, like, go rehab. I'll talk to

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Speaker 2: you at one o'clock Pacific time, four pm Eastern time

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Speaker 2: on the Betting Pros YouTube channel. Andrew Erickson Pat Fitzmorris

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Speaker 2: and myself. Super Bowl sixty. Let's break it down coming

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Speaker 2: up later on today. My name is Matt Perrault. In

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Speaker 2: closing again the full card for the Super Bowl. Either

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Speaker 2: team wins, I'm good win the futures market over forty

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Speaker 2: five and a half, shortest TV under one and a

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Speaker 2: half yards, Sam Darling to be picked off Patriots plus

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Speaker 2: three in the first half, trey On Henderson over two

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Speaker 2: and a half yards receiving Drake May over thirty three

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Speaker 2: and a half for his longest completion, Milton Williams sack

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Speaker 2: yes to a score in the first six minutes and

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Speaker 2: thirty seconds, and the hard rock by of the day

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Speaker 2: Patriots plus ten and a half and the under fifty

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Speaker 2: one and a half. If it's like a thirty to

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Speaker 2: zhering blanking of the Patriots by Seattle, I will lose

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Speaker 2: almost all those bets. So I've gone eight and OHO

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Speaker 2: in previous Super bowls? Am I due for anh to eight? Maybe? Maybe,

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Speaker 2: but let's see what happens. I can't wait. Talk to

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Speaker 2: you at four o'clock Eastern time. My name is Matt Peroltz.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all my socials at

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Speaker 2: sports doc Matt every morning wherever you guys get your podcasts,

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Speaker 2: it is the daily juice.

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Speaker 1: I death remain, will