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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast PODCA.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 1: Spreading the court ten seconds of eatings.

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Speaker 2: Wenn, just go show me up to the basket.

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Speaker 1: Under the basket, it's.

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Speaker 3: The truth for the wind God.

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Speaker 2: A miracle. I chuck the water. Hit that one from

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Speaker 2: the parking lot. What's up the generation? Welcome to the

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Speaker 2: Big Bets on Campus Podcast presented by bet MGM. This

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Speaker 2: is the college basketball bracket reveal and analysis show. I'm

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Speaker 2: Stucky and joining me tonight our two co hosts, BJ

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Speaker 2: Cunningham and the One and the Only, mister Jim Root. Gentlemen,

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Speaker 2: we finally have a bracket that we will obsess over

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Speaker 2: over the next three days. Watch lines. It's gonna be

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Speaker 2: a long three days, so I'm happy to bring to

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Speaker 2: people some content to fill up that time. There is

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Speaker 2: no longer morning than the Thursday morning before the first tip.

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Speaker 2: It is truly Christmas Morning for degenerates and adults. Mister,

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Speaker 2: how you feeling, I'm good.

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Speaker 1: Well, that's why you got to be in Pacific time

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Speaker 1: that day, because then you can almost roll out of

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Speaker 1: bed into into hoops. Get it at nine in the morning.

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Speaker 2: That's that you can't sleep the night before you can't

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Speaker 2: sleep the night before the if you're staring out your window,

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Speaker 2: wait and see if sands me, there's no way to sleep.

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Speaker 1: But if you sleep, it comes faster.

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Speaker 2: That's that's what it is. Yeah, I try to sleep,

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Speaker 2: I just I can't. Uh bjay, how are you feeling.

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Speaker 4: I'm feeling great now.

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Speaker 5: I was just talking with Gym beforehand. I'm like, I

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Speaker 5: don't know in terms of filling my brack. Will obviously

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Speaker 5: get to each region, but I'm like, I think I

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Speaker 5: might just have to take all the number one seats

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Speaker 5: to make the final four, because I don't think anybody

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Speaker 5: is going to take those kind of like, way, way

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Speaker 5: too many upsets here in the first round. But yeah,

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Speaker 5: I mean, you see, it was a lot of the

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Speaker 5: spreads too, are very very close, with a lot of

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Speaker 5: these you know, upset type five twelve, six to eleven

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Speaker 5: type matchups.

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Speaker 4: But it's setting up to be a very very chaotic tournament.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. Well, we said that's a wide open year, and

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Speaker 2: then we had a conference tournament week where like it

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Speaker 2: didn't I get so many one seeds one I think

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Speaker 2: it was like the most of our one seed So

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Speaker 2: maybe that's not the worst approach, but yeah, we're going

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Speaker 2: to go through every region. Here, we'll talk through who

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Speaker 2: we potentially like to come out of It is initial reactions, right,

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Speaker 2: These are subjects to change because during the week we

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Speaker 2: will have two more previews we'll go through well, one

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Speaker 2: for Thursday and one another episode for Friday. We also

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Speaker 2: had our live bracket reveal show that's already out on Twitter,

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Speaker 2: so if you missed that, make sure you check it out.

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Speaker 2: So let's go through region by region here. Let's start

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Speaker 2: with the West. Jim, you're out in Vegas, right, Oh yeah,

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Speaker 2: this is the Vegas regional. I think when this first

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Speaker 2: came out, my first reaction was the West is absolutely loaded. Right.

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Speaker 2: You have Kansas, which was known as a one seed.

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Speaker 2: I mean, you can go down. You could say Saint

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Speaker 2: Mary's is a five. Analytically their profile is a top

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Speaker 2: ten to fifteen team. TCU is a six when healthy

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Speaker 2: could argue they're a top ten team. Or you have

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Speaker 2: UCLA as a two going into Sunday or Saturday night.

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Speaker 2: If they won that game, there were probably a one.

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Speaker 2: You have Gonzaga three, they're peaking at the right time.

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Speaker 2: I mean this conference is take Arkansas as an eight

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Speaker 2: with three potential first round draft picks this region is

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Speaker 2: and then Yukon four arguably a top ten team as well.

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Speaker 2: This region is just loaded from top to bottom. High

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Speaker 2: level thoughts on this region and who you might like

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Speaker 2: to come out of the gym. I'll start with you.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I would have been all UCLA here if jillen

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Speaker 1: Clark was healthy, But I do think that's going to

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Speaker 1: limit them a little bit. Not having that kind of

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Speaker 1: athleticism defender Slasher gives them another year. So then you

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Speaker 1: look elsewhere and kind of trying to figure out as

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Speaker 1: we go here. Like Gonzaga is playing so well lately

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Speaker 1: the last month. Their offense has been just a complete volcano,

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Speaker 1: Like they just score one point three points per possession

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Speaker 1: on everybody. But they've got a potentially awesome second round

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Speaker 1: matchup with TCU. BJ and I were talking about before

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Speaker 1: we started recording, like that game could be in the

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Speaker 1: nineties for sure, going to be a track mate, both

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Speaker 1: teams love to go.

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Speaker 2: Feels like you should do any Elite eight game that

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Speaker 2: game now, Yes.

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Speaker 1: Absolutely, and it's gonna be Round two, one of those

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Speaker 1: teams not making the Sweet sixteen, and I guess they

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Speaker 1: could get upset early too. Maybe maybe one of them

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Speaker 1: goes down, But yeah, I'm probably gonna go with somebody

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Speaker 1: not in the top seating. I probably will not pick Kansas.

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Speaker 1: I think I'm going to stray away from UCLA. I

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Speaker 1: might stubbornly go with TCU because of what I think

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Speaker 1: they can be when they're fully healthy Lampkins away from

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Speaker 1: the team, they still dominate a k state, but then

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Speaker 1: couldn't handle Texas. So that's, you know, okay, kind of

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Speaker 1: not ideal not having Lampkin in there as their physical identity.

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Speaker 1: But I think I'm lean horn frogs here. BJ What

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Speaker 1: do you think?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I agree that that. I mean that got zagat

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Speaker 5: TCU game that could maybe decide who's going to go

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Speaker 5: to the Elite eight, obviously, because UCLA, like you mentioned,

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Speaker 5: lost Jalen Clark and it kind of limits what they

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Speaker 5: can do defensively and also offensively as well.

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Speaker 4: You know, I like.

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Speaker 5: Yukon to come out of this region. Like you know,

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Speaker 5: Kansas has obviously been playing very very well. They obviously

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Speaker 5: got pumped by Texas in the final. That whoever they

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Speaker 5: play Arkansas Illinois is a big time landmine game for

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Speaker 5: Kansas because both of those teams throughout the season were

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Speaker 5: you know, preseason, even early on, we're near the top

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Speaker 5: twenty five, and I have obviously the talent to compete

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Speaker 5: with Kansas, but you know, Yukon should be able to

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Speaker 5: get past Iona and then it's a very tricky match

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Speaker 5: against Saint Mary's or VCU. But I mean, this Yukon

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Speaker 5: team is really peaking at the right time. Now. They're

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Speaker 5: up to sixth and just offensive efficiency to the best

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Speaker 5: offensive rebounding team in the country.

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Speaker 4: And you know, well one of your Kai.

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Speaker 5: Tweeted this a while ago, and I think it rains

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Speaker 5: very true, is that when Yukon is hitting shots and

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Speaker 5: they're able to play physical and basically just dominate teams

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Speaker 5: on the offensive, last they're close to unbeatable. So if

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Speaker 5: we if we get that version of Yukon, you know,

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Speaker 5: I think that they're a very very dangerous team and

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Speaker 5: can make the final four. But yeah, I guess my

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Speaker 5: pick will come out of this region. We will be Yukon.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. The thing I worry about Yukon is so they

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Speaker 2: have an interesting drawl in that they start off with Iona,

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Speaker 2: a team that is going to pressure you, and they

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Speaker 2: also could face PCU in the second round. Another team

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Speaker 2: that can really pressure you. They grade out around average

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Speaker 2: and press offense, but they have turnover issues, so that's

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Speaker 2: a little scary. Then if you get Mary's elite defensive

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Speaker 2: rebounding team, elite post defense, you got to hit mid

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Speaker 2: ring shots against them. Do you trust the Yukon guards

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Speaker 2: to do that? But let's before we get to that.

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Speaker 2: I just want on the bottom half. UCLA worries me

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Speaker 2: a bit against TCU. Now we have to We don't

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Speaker 2: know if Bonus gonna be healthy either, but UCLA an

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Speaker 2: elite transition defense, and that game might turn into a grinder,

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Speaker 2: which we saw what TCU and I think they'll really

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Speaker 2: miss Lampkin in that case, So that scares me a

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Speaker 2: little bit. If that game, you know, UCLA just turns

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Speaker 2: that into a half court game, that would scare me

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Speaker 2: for TCU. But I do love the matchup against Gonzaga

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Speaker 2: because Gonzaga's rim defense is weak and they can be

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Speaker 2: exploited there and TCU is at its best right. Gonzaga

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Speaker 2: is great in transition, but arguably TCU is the best

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Speaker 2: transition offense in all of college basketball. That game will

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Speaker 2: be up and down. That is how TCU wants to play.

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Speaker 2: But let's let's start with the most intriguing matchup of

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Speaker 2: the first round. I think a lot of people and

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Speaker 2: my mentions have already you know, said this is going

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Speaker 2: to be an upset VCU Sat. This is a really

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Speaker 2: interesting matchup. To me, you have you know, Ace Baldwin,

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Speaker 2: who can get hot in the mid range, right, that's

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Speaker 2: what you need to do against Saint Mary's. They're going

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Speaker 2: to like funnel you into the mid range. And we

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Speaker 2: saw Saint Mary's, you know, they have good guards, they

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Speaker 2: don't have turner bushes, but they struggle with the press

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Speaker 2: against Gonzaga, who used it. Boisey stayed at the end.

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Speaker 2: So this is a I got the VCU wants to

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Speaker 2: make this game just wild. Saint Mary's wants to slow

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Speaker 2: it down, run their pick and roll. But do you

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Speaker 2: how do you see this playing out? To me? Are

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Speaker 2: you worried about Saint Mary's against the press because they've

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Speaker 2: shown some cracks there of late.

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Speaker 1: A little bit. Yeah, I mean, Aiden Mahiney's great, but

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Speaker 1: he is a freshman and could potentially have a little

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Speaker 1: bit of a woe factor going against the teams athletic

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Speaker 1: as VCU. There's not a ton of that in the WCC,

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Speaker 1: not a team that the pressure is quite like that,

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Speaker 1: So I think that is definitely an element that could

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Speaker 1: could be bad news for Saint Mary's. I just think

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Speaker 1: they're going to force VCU into such tough shots. And

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Speaker 1: you said like they funnel them into the mid range.

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Speaker 1: These US been better this year when they made when

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Speaker 1: they make threes, which okay, of course duh. But they're

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Speaker 1: not a great shooting team. And if they're taking tougher

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Speaker 1: mid range jumpers instead of open threes, which is what

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Speaker 1: Saint Mary's surrenders, that's really a problem. I think that

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Speaker 1: eventually Saint Mary's is going to wear them down in

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Speaker 1: that game. I would actually go with the favorite there,

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Speaker 1: and I was surprised how short to line. It's only

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Speaker 1: three three and a half on that game. I thought

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Speaker 1: it'd be, you know, something like five five and a half.

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Speaker 1: So I definitely link towards Saint Mary's.

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Speaker 2: There, DJ, I get your thoughts on an interesting matchup

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Speaker 2: in the bottom half of the region in Northwestern and

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Speaker 2: Boise State. I've seen some people say that they like

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Speaker 2: Northwestern already, but I actually really like Boise State, and

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Speaker 2: I'll state my case. I'm curious to get your thoughts. Now,

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Speaker 2: it's tough to trust Mountain West teams. I don't think

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Speaker 2: they've won a game since twenty eighteen in the actual tournament.

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Speaker 2: But Northwestern, if you look at their profile, I think

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Speaker 2: that they did really thrived in the Big Ten. Right.

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Speaker 2: Their defense was built to stop the post offenses in

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Speaker 2: the Big Ten, which is smart because there's a lot

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Speaker 2: of great post offenses in the Big Ten. Boise State's

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Speaker 2: not that they don't run their offense through the post.

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Speaker 2: And then Boise State on the other end, their weakness

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Speaker 2: is their post d right. They lack size and Northwestern

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Speaker 2: doesn't really run their offense through the post at all.

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Speaker 2: Boise State has the shooters, they have the defensive versatility,

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Speaker 2: and I think this game should be a grinder, which

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Speaker 2: I think favors Boise State. They're not great in tradition,

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Speaker 2: they're really good in the half court, they have shooters

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Speaker 2: all over, and they lack depth. You see them wear

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Speaker 2: down at a lot of games, So I don't think

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Speaker 2: that's a concern here against Northwestern. So I think Northwestern

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Speaker 2: outside of the Big Ten, this isn't the best matchup

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Speaker 2: for them. But curious to get your thoughts there or

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Speaker 2: if you want to go else, run another matchup.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, no, I agree.

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Speaker 5: I really like Boise State. You know, if you want

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Speaker 5: to read about our live reactions to about this one

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Speaker 5: the nca tournament. But you know, the Northwestern offense, they

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Speaker 5: just haven't been shooting the ball well all season long.

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Speaker 5: And like you said, yeah, they've been pretty reliant on

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Speaker 5: you know, a post heavy Big Ten. And it's funny

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Speaker 5: because you know, they get the number two seed in

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Speaker 5: the Big Ten, but what was it. You know, if

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Speaker 5: the things would have broke the wrong way, they could

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Speaker 5: end up being an eight or nine seed in the

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Speaker 5: Big Ten tournament. So it really just changes the perception

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Speaker 5: on them. But I mean, they're three hundred and twentieth

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Speaker 5: in effective field goal percentage. They can't shoot them inside

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Speaker 5: of the arc, they can't shoot mount side of the arc.

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Speaker 5: And then Boise, I mean, they're a top twenty defensive

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Speaker 5: rebounding team. They're top seventy in free throw rate allowed.

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Speaker 5: So if Northwestern gets cold from from the field, that's

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Speaker 5: a big time problem when you're playing Boise and Boise

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Speaker 5: is a very high frequency pick and roll team as well.

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Speaker 5: That's something with the Western has struggled to defend in

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Speaker 5: the Big ten.

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Speaker 4: So I agree with you.

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Speaker 5: I think this is a fantastic matchup here for Boise,

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Speaker 5: Like it's going to be a Rock five. The Ease

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Speaker 5: are two top fifteen defensive efficiency teams and Boise is

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Speaker 5: just barely inside the top one hundred offensively with Northwestern

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Speaker 5: league outside the top one hundred.

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Speaker 4: So I agree with you.

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Speaker 5: I think this is a great Boise State spot and

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Speaker 5: a great matchup for them, you know, unless Northwestern essentially

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Speaker 5: just has to get off from field, which they've shown

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Speaker 5: they have not that great of an ability to do

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Speaker 5: so this year.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, a lot of it was out. Can they slow

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Speaker 2: down the dribble penetration? BOBU? Do you want to play

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Speaker 2: Devil's advocate there, Gym or do you agree?

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Speaker 1: No? I tend to agree. And I've talked about a

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Speaker 1: little bit with our fellow Weavers about the Mountain West teams.

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Speaker 1: I think they're zero to nine against the spread last

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Speaker 1: nine that conference in the NCAA tournament, not very good.

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Speaker 1: But this this version of the Mountain West is better

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Speaker 1: offensively than in past years. Like usually it's just teams

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Speaker 1: that grind out rock fights and that's it. They get

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Speaker 1: to the Big Dance and they don't have any offensive upside,

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Speaker 1: But like Boise, Utah State, San Diego State, all of

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Speaker 1: them have like real offensive prowess. They've got more shooting

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Speaker 1: than they've had in the past. I think that Mountain

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Speaker 1: West trend is going to get debunked this year because

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Speaker 1: I like the teams better. So I also like that

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Speaker 1: that matchup for Boise.

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Speaker 2: Any other first round matchups? Jim mull starty that do

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Speaker 2: you want to call out in the first round Arkansas Illinois?

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Speaker 2: Who's gonna that's one? Who's gonna who's gonna miss more

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Speaker 2: threes in that game? Is the question.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm very curious some of these SEC teams going

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Speaker 1: into the tournament because, like I just said, at the

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Speaker 1: Mountain West, they're better offensively. Well, no one in the.

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Speaker 2: SEC can shoot.

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Speaker 1: Thirty second out of thirty two conferences this year in

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Speaker 1: three point percentage, so they've been able to defend a

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Speaker 1: certain way all through league play. Arkansas's like this, Texas

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Speaker 1: A and M is like this. They give up a

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Speaker 1: ton of threes and now you might be playing a

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Speaker 1: team that can actually shoot well. They actually got a

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Speaker 1: good match up here because Illinois not that deadly from downtown.

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Speaker 1: They love to chuck them, but they're not that efficient.

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Speaker 1: They don't really get down hill well off the bounce.

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Speaker 1: That one's more a talent level game for me. I

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Speaker 1: think Arkansas has just got slightly higher talent level with

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Speaker 1: Nick Smith Beeck in there. I will probably be on

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Speaker 1: the Muss bus in round one that eight nine game.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I was looking at Illinois today and they make

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Speaker 2: no sense because they're you know, they led the Big

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Speaker 2: ten of two point offense to two point defense. They

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Speaker 2: can't shoot from three unless like Matthew Meyers hitting like

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Speaker 2: his step backs and gets hot for a stretch, but

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Speaker 2: they just continue to chuck up threes. They also are

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Speaker 2: better in the half court. They're very inefficient in transition,

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Speaker 2: yet they continue to just try to run like they

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Speaker 2: don't have a plan. It seems like I think that

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Speaker 2: this Underwood doesn't know what to do with his team. So, yeah,

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Speaker 2: I don't I'm really unimpressed with Illinois, and you know,

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Speaker 2: Arkansas needs to get to the rim. But Illinois's two

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Speaker 2: point defense has been good. But I agree, I think

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Speaker 2: too much talent there. Did you anything else you want

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Speaker 2: to mention?

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Speaker 1: Yeah?

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Speaker 4: I was just gonna stick with that Illinois Arkansas game.

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Speaker 5: The thing about Illinois and it's, yeah, it's very very

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Speaker 5: weird because like they finish at the rim at.

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Speaker 4: An incredibly high rate as well.

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Speaker 5: You know, Arkansas is very used to defending at the rim,

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Speaker 5: playing in the SEC with not a lot of teams

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Speaker 5: shooting very many three pointers. So yeah, it's a you know,

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Speaker 5: totals at one forty four. Obviously, both these teams like

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Speaker 5: to run, so the pace is gonna get up there.

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Speaker 5: But yeah, I wish we could get like a field

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Speaker 5: goal percentage over under. Bet that'd be a fun one

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Speaker 5: to bet in this type of game to see what

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Speaker 5: would be.

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Speaker 4: But yeah, no, I that's gonna be.

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Speaker 5: I think whoever wins that game is going to give

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Speaker 5: Kansas quite a bit of problems in the second round.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think Arkansas in particular, Yeah, would give Kansas

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Speaker 2: a lot of issues.

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Speaker 1: You grew with a Jim, Yeah, for sure. Just a

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Speaker 1: team that can play up in talent level. We've seen

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Speaker 1: Musclemen do really well in this format, game planning quickly,

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Speaker 1: with the turnarounds made too straight, Elite eights, and they're

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Speaker 1: just kind of a malleable team. They have the bigger

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Speaker 1: wings that can guard Jalen, Wilson, Dick and McCuller. And

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Speaker 1: that's kind of been Kansas advantage all years. You don't

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Speaker 1: have three guys big enough and fast enough to guard them,

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Speaker 1: but Arkansas actually has the bodies to match up there.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, ILLINOI might get to the line a bunch.

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Speaker 2: They even struggle from the free throw line or outside

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Speaker 2: the top three hundred. Yeah. So I'm gonna call the

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Speaker 2: the West is the best region. That's the best regional.

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Speaker 2: And then let's go on the other side of the

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Speaker 2: bracket to the East, which I'm calling the least regional,

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Speaker 2: which is your New York region. Polar opposites. I mean

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Speaker 2: when I look at the East, so I look at

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Speaker 2: the West and I just went through, Oh my god,

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Speaker 2: look a look at the five and the six seeds

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Speaker 2: and the four. I think that they're all under seated,

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Speaker 2: and I think in the East it's the opposite. I

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Speaker 2: think everyone is overseeded. Right. You could even argue Marquette

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Speaker 2: they had a great run last weekend. They probably should

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Speaker 2: be like a three. Your four seats Tennessee, who lost

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Speaker 2: arguably their most important guard, and they're very limited offensively,

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Speaker 2: you know, Duke is hot at the right time. Kentucky,

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Speaker 2: who knows what you're gonna get with them, and you

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Speaker 2: have Memphis and FAU are both intriguing teams that can

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Speaker 2: make deeprots if you match them up against each other

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Speaker 2: in the first round, which makes I think makes the

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Speaker 2: region even easier than Purdue is. I think a vulnerable one.

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Speaker 2: Zach Ed is incredible, but they're you know, their guards

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Speaker 2: are young and raw, and if they get Memphis. Everyone

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Speaker 2: was talking about this before the bracket came out and

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Speaker 2: ended up coming to fruition. Memphis is athleticism and FAU

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Speaker 2: and certain extent too. That'll be an incredible game to watch,

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Speaker 2: very entertaining Memphis FAU. But Memphis that depress their athleticism,

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Speaker 2: physicality and then their ability to defend the post and

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Speaker 2: the way that they're playing right now is going to

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Speaker 2: give Purdue a lot of issues. I'm petrified there's gonna

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Speaker 2: be no value Memphis because everyone is talking about that.

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Speaker 2: So let's start at the top and maybe Painter has

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Speaker 2: to go to that like athletic veteran lineup right that

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Speaker 2: he'd had to do against Rutgers when Rutgers physicality was

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Speaker 2: giving their young guards issues might have to do that here,

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Speaker 2: But Jim, let's start at the top. Number one, Does

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Speaker 2: Memphis get by Fau and then do either one of

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Speaker 2: those teams upset Purdue? Does one have a better shot,

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Speaker 2: So let's let's focus on that very top of the region.

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Speaker 1: I think both of them have a chance against Purdue.

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Speaker 1: For sure, Memphis for the reasons you said, and then

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Speaker 1: Fau has an actual seven foot big man who can

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Speaker 1: kind of compete a little bit with Edie. And then offensively,

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Speaker 1: Fau is gonna spread them out big time. They're going

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Speaker 1: to force ey garden space, a lot of four out

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Speaker 1: stuff with ball screen action. Everybody on their roster can

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Speaker 1: shoot other than their center, so like they have four

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Speaker 1: shooters creators on the floor at all times. Between Memphis

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Speaker 1: and Fau, though, that's that's the tough one. I'd like,

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Speaker 1: I want to pick whoever that is to beat Purdue,

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Speaker 1: but having to choose between them is where I'm having

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Speaker 1: a real conundrum. I'll probably there's always.

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Speaker 2: One of these, one or two of these in the bracket.

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Speaker 2: Every year. It's like, all right, I don't know who's

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Speaker 2: gonna win this eight nine, but whoever does I think

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Speaker 2: they're going to beat the one, So what do you do?

387
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Speaker 2: Do you advance the one? Do you? Yeah, exact chance

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Speaker 2: on the eight like it's it's got a lot of

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Speaker 2: game theory there.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I will probably land on the owls just because

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Speaker 1: I do think that offense is kind of what can

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Speaker 1: unlock a super athletic defense like Memphis is. But I

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Speaker 1: don't feel great about it at all. It does help

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Speaker 1: that the FAU has a bunch of ball handlers, like

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Speaker 1: I said, against Memphis athleticism, but that is a tricky one.

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Speaker 1: It is a tricky one, indeed, BJ Yeah, No, it

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Speaker 1: is definitely is.

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Speaker 5: Like you mentioned, like FAO has got three shooters that

399
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Speaker 5: are shooting over thirty eight percent from three point range,

400
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Speaker 5: which is crazy. Memphis has been a decent three point defense,

401
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Speaker 5: so it's going to be very.

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Speaker 4: Very back and forth.

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Speaker 5: The one area, you know, Memphis has been a very

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Speaker 5: poor defensive rebounding team this season, So if FAU can.

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Speaker 2: Give that'll be their main advantage to get by them.

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Speaker 5: But yeah, I think either of these teams can give

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Speaker 5: Purdue a ton of problems. And you know, even going

408
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Speaker 5: down the bracket a little bit, like Duke is very

409
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Speaker 5: it's very interesting, like if Duke gets past Oral Roberts.

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Speaker 5: I almost feel like good about their chances of making

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Speaker 5: the final four, but I feel horrible about their first

412
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Speaker 5: round matchup against or Roberts, if that makes any sense.

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Speaker 5: So yeah, I mean there's just land mines all over

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Speaker 5: for Purdue. It looks easy on paper being in the

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Speaker 5: easiest region, but I mean we've said it all season long,

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Speaker 5: but this is a completely vulnerable team that is just

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Speaker 5: right for an upset. So yeah, I'll probably be you know, yeah,

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Speaker 5: like you said, I hope that we can get a

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Speaker 5: good number on whether it be Memphis or FAU against Purdue.

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Speaker 5: But yeah, I'm definitely picking Purdue to probably not even

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Speaker 5: make the lead date in this region.

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Speaker 2: FAU, by the way, ninety first percentile perc energy and

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Speaker 2: post up defense, Memphis ninety third percentile. So both of

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Speaker 2: those teams can defend the post. Both of those teams

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Speaker 2: have a lot of bodies too that you can throw

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Speaker 2: out there for for fouls. I think they're both a

427
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Speaker 2: top fifty in bench min It's now it gets a

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Speaker 2: little dicey for FAU. I would imagine if because they

429
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Speaker 2: just come at you in waves. I mean, they're top

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Speaker 2: scorers that I think doesn't even start. But if Golden

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Speaker 2: gets in foul trouble, and that's always going to be

432
00:20:23,640 --> 00:20:27,120
Speaker 2: a big It's so hard to officiate eighty games, right,

433
00:20:27,200 --> 00:20:30,440
Speaker 2: So does Golden pick up a couple of fouls early on?

434
00:20:30,480 --> 00:20:33,960
Speaker 2: Does he not? Or even vice versa. But yeah, the

435
00:20:34,280 --> 00:20:38,200
Speaker 2: Duke Oral Roberts game will probably be the most talked

436
00:20:38,240 --> 00:20:44,119
Speaker 2: about game of the first round. Duke is peaking right now.

437
00:20:44,680 --> 00:20:48,400
Speaker 2: Their defense looks incredible. Now you could play Devil's Advocate

438
00:20:48,440 --> 00:20:51,320
Speaker 2: and say, well, it's the ACC and it's very down.

439
00:20:51,359 --> 00:20:54,000
Speaker 2: You look at who they beat. You know, even Miami

440
00:20:54,040 --> 00:20:57,400
Speaker 2: lost their interior player in that game. You know, Mirror

441
00:20:58,280 --> 00:21:01,480
Speaker 2: and Oral Roberts is as the nation's longest winning streak.

442
00:21:01,480 --> 00:21:04,240
Speaker 2: I think it's seventeen games. Max Asmis has been here before.

443
00:21:04,280 --> 00:21:07,920
Speaker 2: Their defense is even better than it was when they

444
00:21:07,960 --> 00:21:11,280
Speaker 2: had that run Connor vanover pick and pop guy. With

445
00:21:11,400 --> 00:21:13,480
Speaker 2: all their ball screens, they're not relying on the boards,

446
00:21:13,520 --> 00:21:16,120
Speaker 2: which is big against Duke because Duke will dominate there.

447
00:21:16,880 --> 00:21:21,119
Speaker 2: Does Acemis have enough here? I took the seven for

448
00:21:21,240 --> 00:21:23,359
Speaker 2: some that I could get down earlier. I feel like

449
00:21:23,359 --> 00:21:25,520
Speaker 2: it's an American not to take over robertson this matchup

450
00:21:25,520 --> 00:21:27,600
Speaker 2: against Duke, but I do think that they can give

451
00:21:27,720 --> 00:21:29,920
Speaker 2: Duke some issues. It's a matter of like how much

452
00:21:29,960 --> 00:21:31,760
Speaker 2: do you believe in Duke and I think that they're

453
00:21:31,800 --> 00:21:34,880
Speaker 2: improved significantly. How much of it is just look, they're

454
00:21:34,920 --> 00:21:36,679
Speaker 2: great and they obviously have a lot of talent. But

455
00:21:36,920 --> 00:21:39,520
Speaker 2: was some of it just the down nature of the

456
00:21:39,560 --> 00:21:42,240
Speaker 2: ACC Jim, how do you think that matchup plays out?

457
00:21:42,280 --> 00:21:44,359
Speaker 2: Really fascinating game. Can't wait to watch that one.

458
00:21:44,680 --> 00:21:46,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that's a big part of it, the

459
00:21:46,640 --> 00:21:49,160
Speaker 1: fact that they're going through an ACC that was it's

460
00:21:49,200 --> 00:21:51,560
Speaker 1: not that strong, and then you get two short handed

461
00:21:51,560 --> 00:21:54,199
Speaker 1: teams in the semis in the finals. So as much

462
00:21:54,240 --> 00:21:57,600
Speaker 1: as it looks like Colely Cow Duke is really taking

463
00:21:57,640 --> 00:22:00,800
Speaker 1: off at the right time, it's all so something of

464
00:22:00,840 --> 00:22:03,920
Speaker 1: the opposite, where you know, it's it's vulnerable competition that

465
00:22:03,960 --> 00:22:06,879
Speaker 1: they've done a great job of taking advantage of. I

466
00:22:07,160 --> 00:22:09,760
Speaker 1: kind of think Oil Roberts fights that that game too.

467
00:22:09,880 --> 00:22:12,440
Speaker 1: I will be taking the dog there. I don't love

468
00:22:12,480 --> 00:22:15,160
Speaker 1: the number. I thought maybe it'd be a little bit higher.

469
00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:16,159
Speaker 1: I'm thinking that a lot with.

470
00:22:16,320 --> 00:22:19,360
Speaker 2: With some of the dogs, let's say twenty fifteen anymore.

471
00:22:20,000 --> 00:22:22,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, Unfortunately, I wish. I wish we were getting better

472
00:22:22,359 --> 00:22:25,679
Speaker 1: numbers on the Dogs, but definitely in that way, I

473
00:22:25,680 --> 00:22:28,520
Speaker 1: think that they're kind of like FAU where they just

474
00:22:28,600 --> 00:22:30,800
Speaker 1: everybody on the floor can shoot at all times. They

475
00:22:30,800 --> 00:22:34,080
Speaker 1: have five guys on the court constantly that can shoot.

476
00:22:34,640 --> 00:22:36,119
Speaker 1: That's going to give Duke a little bit of problems.

477
00:22:36,119 --> 00:22:37,879
Speaker 1: I don't think Lively is used to playing on the

478
00:22:37,920 --> 00:22:40,439
Speaker 1: perimeter that much. He's been a great shot locker, especially

479
00:22:40,480 --> 00:22:43,280
Speaker 1: down the stretch, but not sure how comfortable he is

480
00:22:43,359 --> 00:22:47,440
Speaker 1: moving around on a perimeter against guys like Vanover. It's trendy,

481
00:22:47,680 --> 00:22:50,280
Speaker 1: but I'm I'm going to ride with Oil Roberts there too.

482
00:22:50,880 --> 00:22:54,680
Speaker 2: Yes, at the bottom half of that region in the East,

483
00:22:55,560 --> 00:23:00,760
Speaker 2: you have Kentucky against Providence in the Bryce Hopkins revenge game,

484
00:23:01,320 --> 00:23:05,600
Speaker 2: and then Kansas State Montana State. I personally, I don't

485
00:23:05,640 --> 00:23:07,040
Speaker 2: know what to expect from Kentucky. You can tell me

486
00:23:07,080 --> 00:23:08,399
Speaker 2: they're going to the Final four or they're going to

487
00:23:08,440 --> 00:23:11,800
Speaker 2: lose to Providence. I believe either. No, I can't figure

488
00:23:11,800 --> 00:23:13,480
Speaker 2: out that team, and I'm very close to them, and

489
00:23:13,880 --> 00:23:16,400
Speaker 2: nobody I know can figure them out. But I think

490
00:23:16,440 --> 00:23:19,520
Speaker 2: Montana State can give Kansas State a lot of issues.

491
00:23:20,160 --> 00:23:23,159
Speaker 2: I really like them against the number. Here's why I

492
00:23:23,200 --> 00:23:25,200
Speaker 2: mean Kansas State thrived at home, they just weren't the

493
00:23:25,200 --> 00:23:29,520
Speaker 2: same team away from home. Montana State has excellent individual

494
00:23:29,520 --> 00:23:31,680
Speaker 2: defenders who can match up with that Kansas State backward

495
00:23:31,760 --> 00:23:34,680
Speaker 2: Darius brownpig Sky defensive player of the Year. Montanna State

496
00:23:34,680 --> 00:23:36,840
Speaker 2: can't shoot the three. That doesn't hurt them here because

497
00:23:36,960 --> 00:23:39,960
Speaker 2: you know, and it takes away a strength of Kansas State.

498
00:23:40,480 --> 00:23:43,439
Speaker 2: They're three point defense. Montana State can't shoot the three.

499
00:23:43,480 --> 00:23:46,440
Speaker 2: That's their weakness on offense. They need to get into

500
00:23:46,480 --> 00:23:47,760
Speaker 2: the lane, they need to get to the line, they

501
00:23:47,800 --> 00:23:49,240
Speaker 2: need to get to the rim, and you can do

502
00:23:49,320 --> 00:23:53,680
Speaker 2: that against Kansas State, who I think is a vulnerable

503
00:23:53,680 --> 00:23:55,840
Speaker 2: three and just not the same team away from home.

504
00:23:56,359 --> 00:23:58,240
Speaker 2: I think Montana State might be a live dog that

505
00:23:58,440 --> 00:24:00,560
Speaker 2: not a lot of people are talking about compared to

506
00:24:00,760 --> 00:24:02,520
Speaker 2: some of the other ones we'll get to, including Oral

507
00:24:02,600 --> 00:24:07,040
Speaker 2: Roberts and then bottom half of the bottom half. Michigan

508
00:24:07,119 --> 00:24:11,840
Speaker 2: State takes on USC and then Marquette against Vermont. Jim,

509
00:24:11,960 --> 00:24:13,919
Speaker 2: what sticks out to you in the bottom half of

510
00:24:13,920 --> 00:24:14,679
Speaker 2: the East region.

511
00:24:15,760 --> 00:24:18,760
Speaker 1: I'm not big on USC, so I like Michigan State

512
00:24:18,840 --> 00:24:21,240
Speaker 1: quite a bit. There, you've got the time Izzo angle that,

513
00:24:21,280 --> 00:24:23,240
Speaker 1: I'm sure we'll get beaten to death, but it's more

514
00:24:23,280 --> 00:24:26,720
Speaker 1: that they have a rock solid backcourt. Tyson Walker a

515
00:24:26,840 --> 00:24:29,160
Speaker 1: j Hoguard, the hole guard had the weird little spat

516
00:24:29,160 --> 00:24:31,280
Speaker 1: with Izzo in the Big Ten tournament. I'm not sure

517
00:24:31,280 --> 00:24:33,800
Speaker 1: if he saw that, but he basically was like rolling

518
00:24:33,800 --> 00:24:35,879
Speaker 1: his eyes as Iso lectured him. It was really weird.

519
00:24:36,400 --> 00:24:39,080
Speaker 1: But it's still a very veteran team with good guards.

520
00:24:39,160 --> 00:24:42,520
Speaker 1: Joey Houser is a real matchup problem. I don't know

521
00:24:42,680 --> 00:24:45,760
Speaker 1: if USC has the versatility upfront to deal with him

522
00:24:45,760 --> 00:24:48,280
Speaker 1: being able to go inside out. But I like Michigan

523
00:24:48,280 --> 00:24:50,760
Speaker 1: State there. If it's going to be right around, I

524
00:24:50,760 --> 00:24:53,560
Speaker 1: think I saw minus one minus two, very very short

525
00:24:53,600 --> 00:24:55,600
Speaker 1: spread there. I like the Spartans. I think they match

526
00:24:55,640 --> 00:24:56,440
Speaker 1: up well against USC.

527
00:24:57,040 --> 00:24:58,640
Speaker 2: And then if you had to take a team like, yeah,

528
00:24:58,640 --> 00:25:03,600
Speaker 2: I mean Markquette, maybe Vermont can be I mean they

529
00:25:03,600 --> 00:25:05,479
Speaker 2: can shoot the three. They can shoot, which is what

530
00:25:05,520 --> 00:25:08,680
Speaker 2: you want from an underdog. They're not going to turn

531
00:25:08,720 --> 00:25:12,080
Speaker 2: it over. Maybe they can at least stay within the

532
00:25:12,160 --> 00:25:14,919
Speaker 2: number against Marquette. You know, Kentucky has a ton of talent.

533
00:25:15,800 --> 00:25:18,840
Speaker 2: Providence has just been plummeting and going in the wrong direction.

534
00:25:19,880 --> 00:25:21,560
Speaker 2: You know, Kansas State I think is over. I mean,

535
00:25:21,600 --> 00:25:24,879
Speaker 2: who comes out of this region, Bjay, I'll start with

536
00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:26,560
Speaker 2: you of just the bottom at first.

537
00:25:26,800 --> 00:25:29,560
Speaker 5: Yeah, I guess by default that has to be Marquette,

538
00:25:29,600 --> 00:25:30,920
Speaker 5: even though I don't really love it that much.

539
00:25:31,000 --> 00:25:31,359
Speaker 2: I agree.

540
00:25:31,520 --> 00:25:33,400
Speaker 5: I love Montana State against Kansas State.

541
00:25:33,560 --> 00:25:35,280
Speaker 4: Like Montana State is top ten in the.

542
00:25:35,280 --> 00:25:37,840
Speaker 5: Nation in points for possession allowed at the rim, which

543
00:25:37,920 --> 00:25:40,840
Speaker 5: Kansastate's the third highest frequency team shooting at the rim.

544
00:25:40,920 --> 00:25:42,880
Speaker 5: So all the other things you mention, it's just a

545
00:25:42,880 --> 00:25:43,760
Speaker 5: tremendous matchup for the.

546
00:25:43,760 --> 00:25:45,000
Speaker 1: Bobcasna s turns it over.

547
00:25:45,040 --> 00:25:47,080
Speaker 2: Cannasate State over too.

548
00:25:47,200 --> 00:25:48,880
Speaker 5: In Kansas State's like three hundred and then three throw

549
00:25:48,920 --> 00:25:51,000
Speaker 5: it all out in Montana State just fit in the country.

550
00:25:51,080 --> 00:25:53,639
Speaker 5: So it's a really really good matchup for the Bobcats.

551
00:25:53,680 --> 00:25:56,240
Speaker 5: And yeah, I guess. Like the question is is, like,

552
00:25:56,359 --> 00:25:58,560
Speaker 5: is Marquette have the easiest path of any two seed

553
00:25:58,640 --> 00:26:01,120
Speaker 5: in this tournament? Because I default I think they do.

554
00:26:01,200 --> 00:26:03,960
Speaker 5: Like I'm not big on Michigan State or USC Kentucky

555
00:26:04,040 --> 00:26:06,160
Speaker 5: or Providence, both two teams I can't really figure out.

556
00:26:06,160 --> 00:26:08,600
Speaker 5: And then Kansas State being vulnerable, I guess by default

557
00:26:09,200 --> 00:26:11,080
Speaker 5: it is Marquette, even if I think they're a little

558
00:26:11,080 --> 00:26:13,800
Speaker 5: bit overseen and I don't love them, so I'd say

559
00:26:13,840 --> 00:26:16,399
Speaker 5: this bottom half of this. You know, this region is

560
00:26:16,480 --> 00:26:19,840
Speaker 5: probably probably the worst of you know, a region of

561
00:26:19,880 --> 00:26:21,960
Speaker 5: four matchups.

562
00:26:21,480 --> 00:26:22,520
Speaker 4: Of anything in the tournament.

563
00:26:22,880 --> 00:26:25,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, big, I'm trying to say, very experienced. Teama a

564
00:26:25,080 --> 00:26:27,320
Speaker 2: big fan of Danny Sprinkle and one of their best

565
00:26:27,320 --> 00:26:31,280
Speaker 2: players grew Brobello. This is the second highest post offense

566
00:26:31,680 --> 00:26:35,200
Speaker 2: as far as frequency, only behind Purdue in the country.

567
00:26:35,680 --> 00:26:37,280
Speaker 2: They run a lot of their stuff in the post.

568
00:26:37,320 --> 00:26:38,679
Speaker 2: They need to get to the rim, they need to

569
00:26:38,680 --> 00:26:40,879
Speaker 2: get to the line. You can do those things against

570
00:26:40,960 --> 00:26:44,760
Speaker 2: Kansas State, Jim Montana State's live. And who do you

571
00:26:44,800 --> 00:26:48,199
Speaker 2: see coming out of this region? Is it you just

572
00:26:48,720 --> 00:26:52,359
Speaker 2: mar Marquet's the most reliable team here. Kentucky probably has

573
00:26:52,400 --> 00:26:55,160
Speaker 2: the highest upside. What do you see here?

574
00:26:55,840 --> 00:26:58,439
Speaker 1: I'm taking Marquette. I think they're really good. They're so

575
00:26:58,480 --> 00:27:01,000
Speaker 1: fun to watch, So maybe I'm being influenced by their

576
00:27:01,040 --> 00:27:04,399
Speaker 1: ball movement and how aesthetically pleasing their brand of basketball is.

577
00:27:04,480 --> 00:27:07,919
Speaker 1: But Kai calls them the most connected team in the country.

578
00:27:08,000 --> 00:27:11,280
Speaker 1: My cohort and I think that is a fair assessment.

579
00:27:11,359 --> 00:27:13,919
Speaker 1: They play really well together, and the defense actually trended up.

580
00:27:14,040 --> 00:27:16,720
Speaker 1: It was top fifty in February. That was always kind

581
00:27:16,720 --> 00:27:18,840
Speaker 1: of the the Achilles Heel for them, but they're starting

582
00:27:18,880 --> 00:27:21,400
Speaker 1: to actually really defend. That's how you win three games

583
00:27:21,400 --> 00:27:23,920
Speaker 1: in three days at Madison Square Garden. I fully trust

584
00:27:23,960 --> 00:27:26,359
Speaker 1: the offense, so I'll be on Marquette to win there.

585
00:27:27,000 --> 00:27:30,159
Speaker 1: Regarding Montana State, yeah, I like them last year, but

586
00:27:30,200 --> 00:27:33,040
Speaker 1: they got like the worst possible matchup against Texas Tech's

587
00:27:33,480 --> 00:27:35,919
Speaker 1: interior defense. It was like a total problem for our

588
00:27:35,920 --> 00:27:40,120
Speaker 1: team that likes to play through the post. This year either, right, yea, yep, yep.

589
00:27:40,160 --> 00:27:43,000
Speaker 1: This year it's actually a much better matchup. So I'm

590
00:27:43,119 --> 00:27:45,720
Speaker 1: definitely liking the Bobcats. And both of you put it,

591
00:27:45,760 --> 00:27:47,560
Speaker 1: put it very well and pretty much talk me into

592
00:27:47,840 --> 00:27:48,280
Speaker 1: betting it.

593
00:27:49,040 --> 00:27:51,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, the top half, if you can get by or

594
00:27:52,000 --> 00:27:54,280
Speaker 2: I think they're going to get by. I think a

595
00:27:54,320 --> 00:27:56,560
Speaker 2: lot of people are gonna have Louisiana upsetting Tennessee. I

596
00:27:56,560 --> 00:27:59,919
Speaker 2: don't see it that Louisiana has to run their You know,

597
00:28:00,000 --> 00:28:01,840
Speaker 2: we have a high three point shooting percentage. It's not

598
00:28:01,840 --> 00:28:04,600
Speaker 2: a great jump shooting team. They want to run everything

599
00:28:04,640 --> 00:28:06,400
Speaker 2: through Brown in the post. I don't think that's really

600
00:28:06,440 --> 00:28:08,920
Speaker 2: going to work against Tennessee. I don't see that as

601
00:28:08,680 --> 00:28:11,240
Speaker 2: an upset. A bite be trendy though, just because people

602
00:28:11,320 --> 00:28:13,520
Speaker 2: want to fade Tennessee. But I do think that if

603
00:28:13,600 --> 00:28:18,119
Speaker 2: Duke gets by Oral, then Duke would get by that winner.

604
00:28:18,119 --> 00:28:22,119
Speaker 2: But that's another conundument. Oral can certainly upset Duke. Jim,

605
00:28:22,119 --> 00:28:24,280
Speaker 2: do you know who you're gonna have coming out of

606
00:28:24,280 --> 00:28:27,000
Speaker 2: this region in the final four yet, Marquette.

607
00:28:28,040 --> 00:28:30,600
Speaker 1: I want to pick the winner of Memphis or Fau

608
00:28:30,680 --> 00:28:34,160
Speaker 1: because I really believe in both those teams, But Marquette's

609
00:28:34,160 --> 00:28:36,119
Speaker 1: a little simpler, less risk involved. I don't have to

610
00:28:36,160 --> 00:28:37,880
Speaker 1: have two of them going head to head in the beginning.

611
00:28:38,200 --> 00:28:41,360
Speaker 1: So I'll be flying with the Golden Eagles, and they're

612
00:28:41,520 --> 00:28:44,320
Speaker 1: obviously quite familiar intimately with playing in New York and

613
00:28:44,360 --> 00:28:48,200
Speaker 1: that's where that bracket is, so that's another slight little

614
00:28:48,240 --> 00:28:49,680
Speaker 1: advantage for the Golden Eagles.

615
00:28:50,200 --> 00:28:56,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, you'll have some good Michigan State fans travel Kentucky

616
00:28:56,080 --> 00:29:00,560
Speaker 2: fans obviously travel better than anybody of Providence there, so

617
00:29:00,640 --> 00:29:02,479
Speaker 2: you have some good, good fan bases here, and then

618
00:29:02,480 --> 00:29:05,520
Speaker 2: obviously Duke. Yeah, I don't I want to take Memphis

619
00:29:05,520 --> 00:29:07,120
Speaker 2: to go to the final four. But I don't know

620
00:29:07,160 --> 00:29:10,000
Speaker 2: if I'm ready to take a team that's laying two

621
00:29:10,040 --> 00:29:13,200
Speaker 2: in the first round to go to the final four. Yeah, BJ,

622
00:29:13,360 --> 00:29:14,800
Speaker 2: and you know you're gonna take out of this to

623
00:29:14,840 --> 00:29:16,280
Speaker 2: go to the final four. Yeah, I'm gonna go.

624
00:29:16,280 --> 00:29:17,120
Speaker 4: With Marquette as well.

625
00:29:17,160 --> 00:29:19,680
Speaker 5: I think just by process of elimination, you know, obviously

626
00:29:19,680 --> 00:29:22,880
Speaker 5: produce very vulnerable. I love Montana State against Kansas State.

627
00:29:22,920 --> 00:29:25,160
Speaker 5: I like h Roberts kains Duke. I think Tennessee is

628
00:29:25,640 --> 00:29:28,120
Speaker 5: very vulnerable as well. So by process of elimination, obviously,

629
00:29:28,160 --> 00:29:29,640
Speaker 5: Marquet is still a very very good team, and I

630
00:29:29,640 --> 00:29:31,080
Speaker 5: think they are the best team in this region. But

631
00:29:31,600 --> 00:29:33,479
Speaker 5: the other team I trust the most in this region.

632
00:29:33,680 --> 00:29:35,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, I will say that if you're going to be

633
00:29:35,680 --> 00:29:37,120
Speaker 2: if you're in a bigger pool and you want to

634
00:29:37,160 --> 00:29:39,160
Speaker 2: win it, you want to go against the grain to

635
00:29:39,200 --> 00:29:41,239
Speaker 2: stand out in at least a region. And I think

636
00:29:41,280 --> 00:29:42,840
Speaker 2: a lot of people are gonna have Marquette. A lot

637
00:29:42,840 --> 00:29:45,000
Speaker 2: of people are gonna Purdue going down, but a lot

638
00:29:45,000 --> 00:29:48,840
Speaker 2: of people are probably gonna go either Duke or Marquette

639
00:29:48,880 --> 00:29:51,600
Speaker 2: in the final four. Maybe you'll get some Kentucky. But

640
00:29:51,800 --> 00:29:53,960
Speaker 2: if I think if you want to be. If you

641
00:29:53,960 --> 00:29:55,600
Speaker 2: want to stand out and take a shot on a

642
00:29:55,800 --> 00:29:58,520
Speaker 2: surprise Final four team, this might be the region to

643
00:29:58,600 --> 00:30:01,000
Speaker 2: do it. I just think that there could be a

644
00:30:01,000 --> 00:30:05,960
Speaker 2: ton of chaos, especially in the top half. Then, before

645
00:30:06,040 --> 00:30:08,280
Speaker 2: we go any further, as a reminder, Big Bets on

646
00:30:08,360 --> 00:30:11,760
Speaker 2: Campus is presented by bet MGM, So get it on

647
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654
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664
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667
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668
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669
00:31:20,960 --> 00:31:23,280
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670
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671
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674
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675
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676
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677
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678
00:31:41,200 --> 00:31:44,360
Speaker 2: All right, let's stay on this side of the bracket

679
00:31:44,360 --> 00:31:48,680
Speaker 2: and go to the South Regional in Louisville, Kentucky. Alabama

680
00:31:48,840 --> 00:31:53,080
Speaker 2: is the one seed. The two seed on the bottom

681
00:31:53,080 --> 00:31:58,520
Speaker 2: half is Arizona. But let's start on the top half.

682
00:31:58,760 --> 00:32:01,640
Speaker 2: Alabama will move on and get the winner of Maryland

683
00:32:01,680 --> 00:32:04,400
Speaker 2: West Virginia. If they get to the Sweet sixteen, they

684
00:32:04,440 --> 00:32:08,240
Speaker 2: would either take on San Diego State College Charleston Virginia Furman.

685
00:32:08,680 --> 00:32:13,520
Speaker 2: Let's start with that the bottom half there College with

686
00:32:13,600 --> 00:32:19,280
Speaker 2: Charleston San Diego State is a fascinating tempo clash matchup,

687
00:32:19,760 --> 00:32:24,840
Speaker 2: and Virginia Furman is also a tempo clash matchup. Ferman

688
00:32:24,880 --> 00:32:26,720
Speaker 2: wants to run, but they're They have a really good

689
00:32:26,760 --> 00:32:29,200
Speaker 2: half court offense, run five out, they could shoot, which

690
00:32:29,200 --> 00:32:30,680
Speaker 2: I think is good against the back line. I think

691
00:32:30,760 --> 00:32:34,800
Speaker 2: Virginia's defense meanxcuse me. Their offense also is was already questionable.

692
00:32:34,800 --> 00:32:36,800
Speaker 2: And then without vander Plas and I have Schedrick and

693
00:32:36,800 --> 00:32:39,760
Speaker 2: there they're more defensive minded, but their offense isn't as good,

694
00:32:40,280 --> 00:32:42,560
Speaker 2: and that's the concern with Furman, and their defense isn't great.

695
00:32:42,640 --> 00:32:44,920
Speaker 2: But this is probably a good matchup for them. I

696
00:32:45,000 --> 00:32:46,680
Speaker 2: think it's gonna be a low possession game. They won't

697
00:32:46,680 --> 00:32:48,560
Speaker 2: get out in transition because the Digi won't let them.

698
00:32:49,000 --> 00:32:52,040
Speaker 2: But their half court offense is also great, very experienced team,

699
00:32:52,080 --> 00:32:55,880
Speaker 2: lots of shooters. So I like Furman plus the points.

700
00:32:55,920 --> 00:32:58,920
Speaker 2: Maybe it's trendy, but I don't mind faint in the

701
00:32:58,920 --> 00:33:01,760
Speaker 2: ACC and I'm having a lot of trouble breaking down

702
00:33:01,840 --> 00:33:05,720
Speaker 2: San Diego State College of Charleston, just that complete clash. Jim,

703
00:33:05,720 --> 00:33:08,080
Speaker 2: what do you think about those two matchups? Really?

704
00:33:08,120 --> 00:33:12,520
Speaker 1: Like Furman, I was fearful of a super athletic, powerful

705
00:33:12,560 --> 00:33:15,600
Speaker 1: front court facing off against that. That's not Virginia at all.

706
00:33:16,400 --> 00:33:18,040
Speaker 1: I remember watching kind of soft.

707
00:33:18,080 --> 00:33:19,440
Speaker 2: They're like, they're very finesse.

708
00:33:19,880 --> 00:33:23,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, they're not big, like Jalen Slawson is arguably their

709
00:33:23,200 --> 00:33:25,200
Speaker 1: center and he's like a six to seven, two hundred

710
00:33:25,200 --> 00:33:29,000
Speaker 1: and ten pound versatile forward. So they can't get taken

711
00:33:29,000 --> 00:33:30,800
Speaker 1: the task on the glass at times. But I just

712
00:33:30,880 --> 00:33:33,200
Speaker 1: that Virginia is not interested in that. They're way more

713
00:33:33,240 --> 00:33:36,280
Speaker 1: concerned about getting back in transition, setting up their defense.

714
00:33:36,280 --> 00:33:38,840
Speaker 1: They're not going to be all over the glass against Furman,

715
00:33:38,880 --> 00:33:40,640
Speaker 1: and like you said, they can shoot over the top

716
00:33:40,680 --> 00:33:42,360
Speaker 1: of the pack line. I wrote this up in our

717
00:33:42,840 --> 00:33:46,440
Speaker 1: Instant Reaction file. I like Furman quite a bit. Again,

718
00:33:46,520 --> 00:33:48,960
Speaker 1: I thought it would be more like six seven, but

719
00:33:49,800 --> 00:33:52,200
Speaker 1: five it is. I'll take that. I'll be sprinkling the

720
00:33:52,240 --> 00:33:55,280
Speaker 1: money line there as well. Charleston San Diego State. Again,

721
00:33:55,520 --> 00:33:57,920
Speaker 1: I feel a little short, and I think people are

722
00:33:57,920 --> 00:34:00,800
Speaker 1: in love with Charleston because of the fun style they

723
00:34:00,800 --> 00:34:02,920
Speaker 1: play and how deep they are. I will probably be

724
00:34:02,960 --> 00:34:06,160
Speaker 1: going Aztecs in that one. I think they're more of

725
00:34:06,160 --> 00:34:10,280
Speaker 1: the physical team that can dominate the paint, unlike Virginia,

726
00:34:10,520 --> 00:34:12,799
Speaker 1: the favorite that actually has that kind of athleticism, and

727
00:34:12,840 --> 00:34:15,879
Speaker 1: their offense actually has juice this year with Ladie and

728
00:34:15,920 --> 00:34:18,200
Speaker 1: with Trummel coming in via the transfer portal, they've gotten

729
00:34:18,200 --> 00:34:20,640
Speaker 1: a lot better on the offensive end. So I like

730
00:34:20,680 --> 00:34:24,120
Speaker 1: San Diego State there against Furman. In the next round,

731
00:34:24,160 --> 00:34:25,920
Speaker 1: I'll probably keep rolling with the estexs. I think it's

732
00:34:25,920 --> 00:34:27,000
Speaker 1: a bad matchup for Furman.

733
00:34:27,560 --> 00:34:30,239
Speaker 2: Yeah, for the San Diego State is the team, the

734
00:34:30,320 --> 00:34:34,120
Speaker 2: exact team that Furman doesn't want to play physical, just

735
00:34:34,480 --> 00:34:37,319
Speaker 2: grind you down and they can you know, get after

736
00:34:37,360 --> 00:34:40,440
Speaker 2: the on the glass. And yeah, I agree with you

737
00:34:40,480 --> 00:34:43,440
Speaker 2: there with San Diego State. Yeah, I mean the one

738
00:34:43,440 --> 00:34:45,319
Speaker 2: thing that worries me is Charleston has. Look, I mean,

739
00:34:45,360 --> 00:34:48,040
Speaker 2: they're gonna come at you. They're very deep, and they're

740
00:34:48,080 --> 00:34:50,960
Speaker 2: not a great three point shooting team, but they shoot

741
00:34:50,960 --> 00:34:53,040
Speaker 2: a ton of threes, and they have just a couple

742
00:34:53,040 --> 00:34:54,880
Speaker 2: of guys who can just get red hot all of

743
00:34:54,880 --> 00:34:59,520
Speaker 2: a sudden, right like if Rain Smith or Larson, but

744
00:34:59,719 --> 00:35:01,239
Speaker 2: like they a couple of guys that just go on

745
00:35:01,280 --> 00:35:04,680
Speaker 2: these streaks from three and then, so it's very high variants.

746
00:35:04,680 --> 00:35:07,400
Speaker 2: They're gonna shoot a ton of threes and you're gonna

747
00:35:07,440 --> 00:35:09,480
Speaker 2: have to shoot a ton of threes against San Diego State.

748
00:35:09,920 --> 00:35:12,759
Speaker 2: Those perimeter d is really good too. And then you

749
00:35:12,800 --> 00:35:15,120
Speaker 2: have Matt Bradley factor, is he on or off? Because

750
00:35:15,160 --> 00:35:18,120
Speaker 2: sometimes if he's just off shooting a ton. So that's

751
00:35:18,160 --> 00:35:21,080
Speaker 2: what kind of concerns me, Like, very high variance in nature.

752
00:35:21,560 --> 00:35:23,560
Speaker 2: DJ any thoughts on the top half.

753
00:35:23,960 --> 00:35:26,160
Speaker 5: Yeah, the San Diego State Charleston and then you guys

754
00:35:26,280 --> 00:35:28,960
Speaker 5: hit the nail on the head, Sandy. I mean, it's

755
00:35:29,000 --> 00:35:32,200
Speaker 5: that the clash is so fascinating because not only do

756
00:35:32,239 --> 00:35:34,400
Speaker 5: you have a clash of tempos, but obviously San Diego

757
00:35:34,400 --> 00:35:36,440
Speaker 5: State is allowing under thirty percent from beyond the arc.

758
00:35:36,800 --> 00:35:39,239
Speaker 5: Also eighth in the country and open three point right

759
00:35:39,440 --> 00:35:41,720
Speaker 5: right allowed. So really Charleston's gonna get have to get

760
00:35:42,120 --> 00:35:44,200
Speaker 5: so hot from three point range with just hands in

761
00:35:44,239 --> 00:35:46,680
Speaker 5: their face all game long. And the flip side of

762
00:35:46,719 --> 00:35:48,160
Speaker 5: that with San Diego State, it's a lot of min

763
00:35:48,239 --> 00:35:51,240
Speaker 5: range jumpers obviously a lot of post upsets. Can Charleston

764
00:35:51,239 --> 00:35:53,080
Speaker 5: defend that, I'm not so sure. So I'm with Jim

765
00:35:53,440 --> 00:35:56,279
Speaker 5: that I really do like San Diego State in that

766
00:35:56,320 --> 00:35:58,480
Speaker 5: first matchup. They might shoot themselves out of the game,

767
00:35:59,160 --> 00:36:00,920
Speaker 5: but their defense is is so so good, and I

768
00:36:00,920 --> 00:36:02,600
Speaker 5: think that it'll be able to match up really really

769
00:36:02,640 --> 00:36:06,000
Speaker 5: well with Charleston. That Furman game, yeah, it's it's very

770
00:36:06,080 --> 00:36:08,360
Speaker 5: very interesting. Obviously Furman takes a ton of three point shots,

771
00:36:08,360 --> 00:36:10,040
Speaker 5: but they're the number one team in the country in

772
00:36:10,080 --> 00:36:13,040
Speaker 5: two point field goal percentage. Virginia doesn't have Vanner Place,

773
00:36:13,120 --> 00:36:14,719
Speaker 5: so I think you get the nail on the head

774
00:36:14,719 --> 00:36:16,480
Speaker 5: stuck that I think they'll be able to shoot against

775
00:36:16,520 --> 00:36:19,239
Speaker 5: that pack line defense, and yeah, Furman's gonna be very,

776
00:36:19,320 --> 00:36:22,680
Speaker 5: very trendy, but I think they're absolutely live against Virginia.

777
00:36:22,840 --> 00:36:25,239
Speaker 2: Yeah, low possessions. Virginia plays low posession games too, which

778
00:36:25,239 --> 00:36:29,439
Speaker 2: obviously makes the underdog more intriguing with two.

779
00:36:29,400 --> 00:36:33,560
Speaker 1: Years ago, Ohio was super trendy against Virginia and they won.

780
00:36:33,760 --> 00:36:35,879
Speaker 1: Like it. Just because it's trendy doesn't mean it's it's wrong,

781
00:36:36,080 --> 00:36:36,239
Speaker 1: you know.

782
00:36:36,520 --> 00:36:38,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, that was my favorite pick of the that

783
00:36:38,640 --> 00:36:40,960
Speaker 2: first round. I think it was a thirteen to four too.

784
00:36:41,320 --> 00:36:45,799
Speaker 2: Jim West Virginia Maryland, I mean West Virginia interesting intriguing

785
00:36:46,080 --> 00:36:49,160
Speaker 2: regional matchup. Maryland hasn't done much away from home. By

786
00:36:49,239 --> 00:36:50,920
Speaker 2: West Virginia, they really need they need to score by

787
00:36:50,920 --> 00:36:54,319
Speaker 2: getting to the line, getting on the offensive glass, and

788
00:36:54,680 --> 00:36:56,400
Speaker 2: still in a way they don't really press as much

789
00:36:56,440 --> 00:36:59,640
Speaker 2: of pressure as much, but turning teams over. Maryland paper

790
00:37:00,120 --> 00:37:04,080
Speaker 2: pretty good rebounding team, don't really foul and don't turn

791
00:37:04,120 --> 00:37:07,080
Speaker 2: the ball over. Do you trust Maryland here? Do you

792
00:37:07,080 --> 00:37:10,040
Speaker 2: trust West Virginia? What do you see in that matchup?

793
00:37:10,080 --> 00:37:13,880
Speaker 2: And then most importantly, can either one of those teams

794
00:37:14,160 --> 00:37:17,440
Speaker 2: give Alabama problems or anybody in the top half of

795
00:37:17,480 --> 00:37:19,080
Speaker 2: the region or is this Obama walk through?

796
00:37:20,040 --> 00:37:23,080
Speaker 1: I think it's probably an Alabama walk through, at least

797
00:37:23,120 --> 00:37:26,120
Speaker 1: to the elite eate. I'm not very scared of Virginia.

798
00:37:26,200 --> 00:37:29,839
Speaker 1: Maybe San Diego State can bug Alabama with their athleticism

799
00:37:29,920 --> 00:37:32,719
Speaker 1: and defensive size. But in that eight nine game, I

800
00:37:32,719 --> 00:37:35,279
Speaker 1: already bet West Virginia. I laid it with them. I'm

801
00:37:35,920 --> 00:37:38,000
Speaker 1: not a fan of Maryland if they're not in College Park.

802
00:37:38,200 --> 00:37:41,520
Speaker 1: It's been a consistent trendall season. I know they've had

803
00:37:41,560 --> 00:37:45,279
Speaker 1: some competitive efforts, like the at Purdue Road effort was good.

804
00:37:45,280 --> 00:37:48,080
Speaker 1: But if you're going to sit there and cite the

805
00:37:48,160 --> 00:37:51,040
Speaker 1: November neutral site game against Miami as evidence that they're

806
00:37:51,160 --> 00:37:53,480
Speaker 1: this like good team away from home, I don't buy that.

807
00:37:53,520 --> 00:37:55,960
Speaker 1: We didn't see it all through the Big Ten, and

808
00:37:56,040 --> 00:37:58,680
Speaker 1: I'm overall kind of skeptical of a lot of the

809
00:37:58,680 --> 00:38:01,560
Speaker 1: Big Ten teams entering this tournament. It's been another couple

810
00:38:01,560 --> 00:38:03,680
Speaker 1: of years trend where the teams that come out of

811
00:38:03,680 --> 00:38:07,279
Speaker 1: that league aren't really ready for the big dance and

812
00:38:07,640 --> 00:38:10,640
Speaker 1: end up crashing out early. So, yeah, I took West Virginia.

813
00:38:10,840 --> 00:38:13,160
Speaker 1: I hope Eric Stevenson makes threes. Seems like whenever I've

814
00:38:13,160 --> 00:38:16,080
Speaker 1: been in them, he's over ten. But I'm riding with

815
00:38:16,080 --> 00:38:17,319
Speaker 1: the Mountaineers there all right.

816
00:38:17,360 --> 00:38:19,960
Speaker 2: Then moving on to the bottom half of the region,

817
00:38:20,400 --> 00:38:22,759
Speaker 2: Creighton is the sixth seed against NC State. You have

818
00:38:22,840 --> 00:38:26,719
Speaker 2: Baylor against UC Santa Barbara, Missouri against Utah State, and

819
00:38:26,840 --> 00:38:31,560
Speaker 2: Arizona against Princeton. I'll start with my thoughts here. I

820
00:38:31,560 --> 00:38:35,320
Speaker 2: think Creighton should score at will against NC State, whose

821
00:38:35,360 --> 00:38:37,920
Speaker 2: defense has issues in the half court and they want

822
00:38:37,920 --> 00:38:39,359
Speaker 2: to press. They press about a third of the time,

823
00:38:39,400 --> 00:38:41,520
Speaker 2: one of the highest rates in the country. Creighton ninety

824
00:38:41,600 --> 00:38:44,920
Speaker 2: nine percentile press offense. You can't press Creyton, so I

825
00:38:44,960 --> 00:38:47,920
Speaker 2: don't know how NC State's going to get many stops

826
00:38:47,960 --> 00:38:52,279
Speaker 2: there elsewhere. I'm very curious to get your thoughts, Jim

827
00:38:52,320 --> 00:38:56,720
Speaker 2: on Missouri or Missouri Tigers against Utah State. Two schools

828
00:38:56,719 --> 00:38:58,600
Speaker 2: of thought for me here, I think I'm siding with

829
00:38:58,719 --> 00:39:01,280
Speaker 2: Utah State, but I could see the case for Missouri

830
00:39:01,360 --> 00:39:04,520
Speaker 2: just like their athleticism and they could over out physical

831
00:39:04,600 --> 00:39:09,480
Speaker 2: Utah State in their guards. But on paper it's okay.

832
00:39:09,560 --> 00:39:11,560
Speaker 2: Both teams want to shoot a lot of threes. Uta

833
00:39:11,600 --> 00:39:13,800
Speaker 2: State does a better job of taking away the three

834
00:39:14,120 --> 00:39:17,160
Speaker 2: than Missouri. Missouri will throw in a lot of different

835
00:39:17,160 --> 00:39:20,759
Speaker 2: defensive blocks, the press, the zone. Uta State grades out

836
00:39:20,800 --> 00:39:24,040
Speaker 2: elite against the press, elite against zone. Does it come

837
00:39:24,080 --> 00:39:27,239
Speaker 2: down to I think Utah State will have better opportunities

838
00:39:27,239 --> 00:39:29,719
Speaker 2: to make threes. Any thoughts first on Creighton NC State,

839
00:39:29,760 --> 00:39:31,560
Speaker 2: and then curiously your thoughts on Missouri.

840
00:39:32,239 --> 00:39:35,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think Creighton's similar enough to Clemson that it's

841
00:39:35,239 --> 00:39:39,000
Speaker 1: a nightmare matchup for ency State. Clemson absolutely pounded NC

842
00:39:39,120 --> 00:39:41,640
Speaker 1: State three times. I think Creighton can do the same

843
00:39:41,680 --> 00:39:44,919
Speaker 1: thing there. A lot of the drives that Turquavin Smith

844
00:39:44,960 --> 00:39:47,000
Speaker 1: and Jarkel Joyner go for are going to run into

845
00:39:47,080 --> 00:39:49,719
Speaker 1: Kalkbrenner at the rim. That's a real problem for them,

846
00:39:49,960 --> 00:39:51,840
Speaker 1: and NC State can't move him around the way like

847
00:39:51,960 --> 00:39:54,960
Speaker 1: Villanova did. Eric Dixon step out and stretch the floor

848
00:39:55,000 --> 00:39:57,360
Speaker 1: pull Clockbrener away from the rim. Yeah, it's not something

849
00:39:57,520 --> 00:39:59,600
Speaker 1: DJ Burns is kind of do. So I don't love

850
00:39:59,600 --> 00:40:04,720
Speaker 1: that match for NC State. As for Miszoo Utah State, Yeah,

851
00:40:04,840 --> 00:40:07,680
Speaker 1: the concern is that Miszoo gives up a ton of threes,

852
00:40:07,880 --> 00:40:10,840
Speaker 1: like a lot, and because they gamble, they're going for

853
00:40:10,880 --> 00:40:14,239
Speaker 1: steels and Utah State is like mega elite at making threes,

854
00:40:14,280 --> 00:40:16,279
Speaker 1: top fifteen nationally and three point percentage. I think in

855
00:40:16,320 --> 00:40:18,760
Speaker 1: the non conference they were number one for a while.

856
00:40:18,800 --> 00:40:21,680
Speaker 1: That came down a little bit, but that's that's the

857
00:40:21,760 --> 00:40:23,760
Speaker 1: real concern, is that they're just going to get boiling.

858
00:40:23,760 --> 00:40:25,239
Speaker 1: A lot of hot from deep because a lot of

859
00:40:25,239 --> 00:40:27,399
Speaker 1: those shots don't end up contested because of how much

860
00:40:27,400 --> 00:40:31,319
Speaker 1: Missoo gambles. The matchup maybe does lean towards UTA State there,

861
00:40:31,320 --> 00:40:33,440
Speaker 1: but I also think Kobe Brown's going to bully away

862
00:40:33,719 --> 00:40:36,719
Speaker 1: and have a monster game against that interior defense that's

863
00:40:36,880 --> 00:40:39,640
Speaker 1: kind of softish. So I think there's a lot of

864
00:40:39,680 --> 00:40:42,680
Speaker 1: points BG I feel strongest about over in that game

865
00:40:42,680 --> 00:40:43,720
Speaker 1: that I do either side.

866
00:40:43,920 --> 00:40:46,360
Speaker 5: It's a very very intriguing matchup. Like you mentioned, you know,

867
00:40:46,360 --> 00:40:49,319
Speaker 5: Missouri obviously gives up a ton of three pointers. You know,

868
00:40:49,400 --> 00:40:51,319
Speaker 5: they're not obviously one of throw one of the worst

869
00:40:51,320 --> 00:40:53,600
Speaker 5: defensive rebounding teams in the country of Utah State isn't

870
00:40:53,600 --> 00:40:55,279
Speaker 5: really they a would say up the size down there,

871
00:40:55,280 --> 00:40:58,880
Speaker 5: but their metrics do normally great out how well against.

872
00:40:58,520 --> 00:40:59,680
Speaker 4: You know, defensive rebounding.

873
00:40:59,680 --> 00:41:02,120
Speaker 5: But yeah, it's all it's gonna come down to, is

874
00:41:02,440 --> 00:41:04,360
Speaker 5: U toss TA going to make their shots? Mean Missouri's

875
00:41:04,960 --> 00:41:06,520
Speaker 5: you know, you toss date. If you look at their metrics,

876
00:41:06,520 --> 00:41:08,640
Speaker 5: they're they're two hundred and forty eighth and open three

877
00:41:08,680 --> 00:41:11,400
Speaker 5: point rates. So that's a positive spin I guess for

878
00:41:11,520 --> 00:41:13,680
Speaker 5: Missouri because I guess they maybe but Missouri on the

879
00:41:13,719 --> 00:41:15,680
Speaker 5: other end, the obviousy you know, near the bottom and

880
00:41:15,719 --> 00:41:18,080
Speaker 5: open three point rate allowed. So it's really gonna come

881
00:41:18,080 --> 00:41:19,799
Speaker 5: down to who's making the three point shots, I think

882
00:41:19,800 --> 00:41:21,879
Speaker 5: in that matchup. But yeah, it's gonna be fascinating to watch.

883
00:41:21,960 --> 00:41:24,240
Speaker 5: I've already bet UTAs State. I think that they should

884
00:41:24,239 --> 00:41:26,520
Speaker 5: be fair by about two or or three points. But

885
00:41:27,320 --> 00:41:29,680
Speaker 5: you could you, Jim, you could convince me either way

886
00:41:29,719 --> 00:41:30,360
Speaker 5: for your tigers.

887
00:41:31,719 --> 00:41:32,200
Speaker 1: Good.

888
00:41:32,840 --> 00:41:35,760
Speaker 2: Well, if Missouri does get by order, you toss State.

889
00:41:36,160 --> 00:41:39,560
Speaker 2: Do you have Arizona against Princeton at Princeton I think

890
00:41:39,600 --> 00:41:44,760
Speaker 2: will just sound like a trendy upset because they're Princeton,

891
00:41:44,840 --> 00:41:47,120
Speaker 2: but they want to run their offense through TOAs Hunt.

892
00:41:47,160 --> 00:41:49,600
Speaker 2: I don't know how you do that against Arizona, and

893
00:41:49,640 --> 00:41:52,279
Speaker 2: they're bigs and they can just they don't have to

894
00:41:52,440 --> 00:41:54,280
Speaker 2: double or anything. They could stay on all the shooters.

895
00:41:54,360 --> 00:41:57,319
Speaker 2: So and it's gonna be a high possession game. I mean,

896
00:41:57,320 --> 00:41:59,560
Speaker 2: Arizona wants to make that opposition game, which might not

897
00:41:59,560 --> 00:42:02,480
Speaker 2: be good for the But when I look at all

898
00:42:02,600 --> 00:42:04,560
Speaker 2: the teams in the bottom half, I mean, you Baylor

899
00:42:04,600 --> 00:42:08,960
Speaker 2: against Santa Barbara. Baylor's defense is so concerning to me.

900
00:42:09,480 --> 00:42:11,560
Speaker 2: Jumps off the pages like a red flag. I have

901
00:42:11,719 --> 00:42:15,120
Speaker 2: my I make a sharp for all the teams, and

902
00:42:15,160 --> 00:42:18,239
Speaker 2: then you know, I highlight and read the teams that

903
00:42:18,400 --> 00:42:23,200
Speaker 2: just have a glaring issue on one side of the ball,

904
00:42:23,200 --> 00:42:24,880
Speaker 2: either on offense or defense, and those are teams I

905
00:42:24,920 --> 00:42:28,160
Speaker 2: just don't take to go far in the tournament. So like,

906
00:42:28,200 --> 00:42:32,960
Speaker 2: for example, Virginia's offense, Miami's defense, you know, the Iowa

907
00:42:33,000 --> 00:42:38,640
Speaker 2: State offense. And when I look at Baylor, their defense

908
00:42:38,760 --> 00:42:42,400
Speaker 2: is just very very concerning from a high level perspective.

909
00:42:43,280 --> 00:42:51,080
Speaker 2: Who could give Arizona issues before they potentially get to Creighton.

910
00:42:51,719 --> 00:42:53,480
Speaker 2: It's just I mean, because to me, this just looks

911
00:42:53,480 --> 00:42:56,839
Speaker 2: like it's going to be Arizona Creighton. But maybe I'm

912
00:42:56,960 --> 00:43:02,040
Speaker 2: under estimating the Baylor guards, which always play in March. Jim,

913
00:43:02,080 --> 00:43:04,480
Speaker 2: who do you have, assuming you have Maryland, I mean,

914
00:43:04,480 --> 00:43:07,759
Speaker 2: excuse me, assuming you have Alabama coming out of the

915
00:43:07,840 --> 00:43:10,239
Speaker 2: top half to the Elite eight, who are you going

916
00:43:10,280 --> 00:43:13,360
Speaker 2: to go with to match up with the Tide.

917
00:43:13,760 --> 00:43:17,040
Speaker 1: I'm gonna have Arizona. They've been better in half court

918
00:43:17,040 --> 00:43:19,439
Speaker 1: games than I thought, or than they were last year.

919
00:43:19,520 --> 00:43:21,359
Speaker 1: Last year, if you slowed them down like they really

920
00:43:21,400 --> 00:43:23,960
Speaker 1: got frustrated, Houston did it to him. TCU kind of

921
00:43:23,960 --> 00:43:26,160
Speaker 1: did it to them in the round to thirty two

922
00:43:26,480 --> 00:43:30,359
Speaker 1: and it just derailed their offensive trajectory. This year, they

923
00:43:30,360 --> 00:43:31,680
Speaker 1: can kind of play in the half court. They're beating

924
00:43:31,760 --> 00:43:35,200
Speaker 1: UCLA twice and really grinding games. They've got arguably the

925
00:43:35,239 --> 00:43:38,160
Speaker 1: best front court in the country. To beat them, I

926
00:43:38,160 --> 00:43:39,799
Speaker 1: think you're going to have to make a lot of

927
00:43:39,840 --> 00:43:43,040
Speaker 1: shots over the top. Obviously Utah State and Mazoo can

928
00:43:43,120 --> 00:43:46,680
Speaker 1: both do that or are willing to do that, but

929
00:43:46,719 --> 00:43:48,200
Speaker 1: I just think the paint dominance is going to be

930
00:43:48,200 --> 00:43:50,839
Speaker 1: too much for any of them to handle. And yeah,

931
00:43:50,880 --> 00:43:54,959
Speaker 1: Craton I think is the big threat there. But I'm

932
00:43:55,040 --> 00:43:57,560
Speaker 1: not a huge buyer on the Blue Jays. I think

933
00:43:57,600 --> 00:44:00,680
Speaker 1: the late season surge kind of came up. We thought

934
00:44:00,680 --> 00:44:02,600
Speaker 1: they were going to maybe roll into the biggiest tournament

935
00:44:02,760 --> 00:44:04,799
Speaker 1: and put on a big run there. Weren't able to

936
00:44:04,800 --> 00:44:07,080
Speaker 1: do that. So yeah, I'll be I'll be having Arizona

937
00:44:07,120 --> 00:44:09,640
Speaker 1: through there to face Alabama, probably going with the Tide

938
00:44:09,800 --> 00:44:10,560
Speaker 1: to the final four.

939
00:44:11,440 --> 00:44:13,120
Speaker 2: And you just think, you know, Baylor has the guard

940
00:44:13,160 --> 00:44:14,600
Speaker 2: the guards that have been here of won a title.

941
00:44:15,120 --> 00:44:17,719
Speaker 2: Then you throw in George is gonna be an NBA

942
00:44:17,840 --> 00:44:20,520
Speaker 2: draft pick. You just don't trust their defense this year.

943
00:44:20,719 --> 00:44:21,080
Speaker 2: Is that it.

944
00:44:21,160 --> 00:44:23,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, they switch everything with small guards, so they get

945
00:44:23,440 --> 00:44:26,239
Speaker 1: in terrible matchups constantly, they have big guys on on

946
00:44:26,360 --> 00:44:28,759
Speaker 1: driving guards and then there's no one protecting the rim

947
00:44:28,800 --> 00:44:32,080
Speaker 1: behind them. I don't love what their defensive game plan

948
00:44:32,080 --> 00:44:33,800
Speaker 1: has been to go with the fact that the personnel

949
00:44:33,840 --> 00:44:36,719
Speaker 1: really isn't that stout either, So their defense is just

950
00:44:37,160 --> 00:44:38,520
Speaker 1: too much of a limitation for me.

951
00:44:38,800 --> 00:44:41,600
Speaker 2: Peage, any thoughts on who you're gonna inevitably have come

952
00:44:41,640 --> 00:44:42,839
Speaker 2: out of this region.

953
00:44:43,040 --> 00:44:45,160
Speaker 5: Yeah, it's I feel like this is going to be

954
00:44:45,160 --> 00:44:47,360
Speaker 5: the chalkiest one where I'm just gonna have Alabama and

955
00:44:47,440 --> 00:44:50,040
Speaker 5: Arizona State or Arizona qu and Arizona. Say excuse me,

956
00:44:50,080 --> 00:44:52,799
Speaker 5: Arizona come out of this region. I just don't see

957
00:44:52,800 --> 00:44:54,879
Speaker 5: any teams getting problems. Like, yeah, if you toss Ara

958
00:44:54,880 --> 00:44:57,759
Speaker 5: Missouri gets hot from three point range, then you know

959
00:44:57,760 --> 00:44:59,600
Speaker 5: you can make a case that they can beat Arizona.

960
00:44:59,680 --> 00:45:02,160
Speaker 5: But yeah, I mean, this is a really really stout

961
00:45:02,160 --> 00:45:04,080
Speaker 5: offense that is really running really good half.

962
00:45:03,880 --> 00:45:04,919
Speaker 4: Court offense right now.

963
00:45:06,120 --> 00:45:06,319
Speaker 2: You know.

964
00:45:06,360 --> 00:45:07,440
Speaker 4: The Baylor thing.

965
00:45:08,160 --> 00:45:11,640
Speaker 5: What's fascinating about them is that they cannot like they're

966
00:45:11,719 --> 00:45:13,520
Speaker 5: very good at preventing teams from.

967
00:45:13,440 --> 00:45:13,920
Speaker 4: Getting the RIM.

968
00:45:14,160 --> 00:45:16,680
Speaker 5: I think they allow one of the lowest percentage of

969
00:45:16,680 --> 00:45:19,200
Speaker 5: shots at the rim, but once teams get there, they're

970
00:45:19,239 --> 00:45:22,480
Speaker 5: allowing seventy two percent on field goal attempts at the RIM.

971
00:45:22,560 --> 00:45:24,879
Speaker 5: So facing a team like UC Santa Barbara, where that's

972
00:45:24,920 --> 00:45:26,600
Speaker 5: where they want to run their offense, think their top

973
00:45:26,640 --> 00:45:31,879
Speaker 5: forty in RIM frequency, like, that's a terrible matchup for them.

974
00:45:31,960 --> 00:45:34,600
Speaker 5: So they could definitely be on upset alert in the

975
00:45:34,640 --> 00:45:36,960
Speaker 5: first round as well. But yeah, I think this is

976
00:45:36,960 --> 00:45:40,160
Speaker 5: gonna end up Chalky. I agree Jim, like San Diego

977
00:45:40,160 --> 00:45:43,759
Speaker 5: State probably presents the biggest matchup problem for Alabama, But

978
00:45:44,000 --> 00:45:45,800
Speaker 5: I mean, the Tide just have such an elite defense

979
00:45:45,840 --> 00:45:48,600
Speaker 5: that I struggle finding a case for San Diego State's

980
00:45:48,600 --> 00:45:49,839
Speaker 5: offense to thrive against them.

981
00:45:49,880 --> 00:45:51,719
Speaker 4: So it's probably gonna end up shocky for me.

982
00:45:51,800 --> 00:45:53,719
Speaker 5: I'll probably end up taking Alabama to make the Final

983
00:45:53,760 --> 00:45:55,040
Speaker 5: four over Arizona.

984
00:45:55,040 --> 00:45:58,320
Speaker 2: It's interesting Creighton is they're great a great transition defense.

985
00:45:58,360 --> 00:46:01,800
Speaker 2: They're a ninth percentile in the country and post d

986
00:46:02,040 --> 00:46:08,680
Speaker 2: which could end up being their downfall against Arizona ninth

987
00:46:09,360 --> 00:46:15,640
Speaker 2: percentile and they're seventy ninth percentile as far as frequency,

988
00:46:15,760 --> 00:46:19,120
Speaker 2: it's a big sample size. I was shocked to see

989
00:46:19,120 --> 00:46:20,920
Speaker 2: that because I always think, like Colkbrenner, the way to

990
00:46:20,920 --> 00:46:23,279
Speaker 2: get him is to draw him out. But they have,

991
00:46:24,200 --> 00:46:27,360
Speaker 2: they have struggled defending the post. There's just something about

992
00:46:27,440 --> 00:46:30,560
Speaker 2: Arizona where I trust, like this crease are going to

993
00:46:30,600 --> 00:46:32,840
Speaker 2: shoot them out of a game. Their guards just somehow

994
00:46:32,960 --> 00:46:39,200
Speaker 2: sometimes just disappear. And I also worry about to me,

995
00:46:39,280 --> 00:46:42,120
Speaker 2: when they were playing UCLA and US say had no

996
00:46:42,239 --> 00:46:45,959
Speaker 2: bigs left, and like they couldn't they just couldn't figure

997
00:46:46,000 --> 00:46:47,920
Speaker 2: it out. It was very bizarre to me. But I

998
00:46:47,960 --> 00:46:52,279
Speaker 2: also really worry about, you know, just if it's a

999
00:46:52,320 --> 00:46:56,359
Speaker 2: tight game and you're fouling Ballow and he's just going

1000
00:46:56,400 --> 00:46:59,640
Speaker 2: to the line and bricking free throws, that is a

1001
00:46:59,640 --> 00:47:02,520
Speaker 2: bit can certing to me as well. But this does

1002
00:47:02,640 --> 00:47:07,279
Speaker 2: look to me like the chalkiest bracket or region. I

1003
00:47:07,320 --> 00:47:11,719
Speaker 2: should say, all right, let's move on to the Midwest,

1004
00:47:12,200 --> 00:47:18,919
Speaker 2: where Houston is the top seed. Will start in the

1005
00:47:18,960 --> 00:47:22,759
Speaker 2: top half of the Midwest, the Kansas City Regional. They'll

1006
00:47:22,800 --> 00:47:25,960
Speaker 2: start with northern Kentucky. And that line has come down

1007
00:47:26,000 --> 00:47:28,479
Speaker 2: since open I think minus twenty one down to minus

1008
00:47:28,719 --> 00:47:32,399
Speaker 2: I mean, I think Houston profiles as a team that

1009
00:47:33,680 --> 00:47:35,560
Speaker 2: they just they just blow out these these teams that

1010
00:47:35,560 --> 00:47:38,680
Speaker 2: they're superior to. And they're playing a zone here, they're

1011
00:47:38,719 --> 00:47:42,400
Speaker 2: gonna get a trillion. My first tweet was when the spattering,

1012
00:47:42,560 --> 00:47:44,680
Speaker 2: they're gonna get a trillion offensive rebounds playing a zone

1013
00:47:45,239 --> 00:47:48,759
Speaker 2: and Northern Kentucky's gotta make threes on their their off

1014
00:47:48,800 --> 00:47:52,840
Speaker 2: their man their man offense is pathetic. So like, I

1015
00:47:52,840 --> 00:47:55,759
Speaker 2: don't know how they score. There's the Sasser question, which

1016
00:47:55,800 --> 00:47:59,279
Speaker 2: is certainly worth talking about it. Houston looks like a

1017
00:47:59,280 --> 00:48:01,480
Speaker 2: team that I would lay up to twenty with and

1018
00:48:01,520 --> 00:48:04,960
Speaker 2: then they're gonna get the winner of Iowa Auburn gamet.

1019
00:48:05,040 --> 00:48:07,000
Speaker 2: Any thought, will you lay it with Houston? I feel

1020
00:48:07,000 --> 00:48:09,640
Speaker 2: like there's just such a good you know, in the

1021
00:48:10,080 --> 00:48:12,600
Speaker 2: first round. I think they've done well on the spot.

1022
00:48:13,040 --> 00:48:15,920
Speaker 1: Yes, and like you said, they're gonna get a million

1023
00:48:15,920 --> 00:48:19,279
Speaker 1: offense rebounds. Cleveland State got like sixty offensive rebounds in

1024
00:48:19,360 --> 00:48:24,080
Speaker 1: three games against this Northern Kentucky zone. It's a serious issue.

1025
00:48:24,600 --> 00:48:27,440
Speaker 1: And like whether Sasser goes or not, it isn't that

1026
00:48:27,600 --> 00:48:29,400
Speaker 1: big of a deal to me in this one, because

1027
00:48:30,360 --> 00:48:32,960
Speaker 1: I think they have plenty of perimeter defenders to handle

1028
00:48:33,000 --> 00:48:35,080
Speaker 1: the NKAU guards. They're kind of just like a shot

1029
00:48:35,120 --> 00:48:38,840
Speaker 1: making offense. They take really tough shots and expect the

1030
00:48:38,920 --> 00:48:40,680
Speaker 1: zone to hold up. On the other end, I don't

1031
00:48:40,719 --> 00:48:44,360
Speaker 1: think it will against Houston's physicality. And the Horizon team

1032
00:48:44,400 --> 00:48:47,839
Speaker 1: gets pummeled every single season, like Wright State going back

1033
00:48:47,840 --> 00:48:50,640
Speaker 1: when they got smashed by Tennessee. Last year, Wright State

1034
00:48:50,680 --> 00:48:53,759
Speaker 1: got obliterated by Arizona in the round of sixty four.

1035
00:48:54,560 --> 00:48:56,520
Speaker 1: It's just not that strong of a league, and I

1036
00:48:56,600 --> 00:48:58,399
Speaker 1: think Houston will blow them out there.

1037
00:48:58,600 --> 00:49:03,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, Northern Kentucky can. If you look at their offensive splits,

1038
00:49:03,840 --> 00:49:07,400
Speaker 2: they are decent against zone. Right, They're gonna shoot a

1039
00:49:07,440 --> 00:49:09,440
Speaker 2: lot of threes. They have some shooters. They're in like

1040
00:49:09,440 --> 00:49:11,440
Speaker 2: the seventieth percent tile zone offense, and you see some

1041
00:49:11,520 --> 00:49:14,680
Speaker 2: zones in that league. They're in the sixteenth percent tile

1042
00:49:15,600 --> 00:49:18,440
Speaker 2: in offense against Manda Man. Well, you're not gonna see

1043
00:49:18,480 --> 00:49:22,600
Speaker 2: any zone against Houston. And they are three hundred and

1044
00:49:22,719 --> 00:49:26,800
Speaker 2: thirty third in defensive rebounding rate. That is a recipe

1045
00:49:26,840 --> 00:49:30,320
Speaker 2: for disaster against Houston. Threes are either going to go

1046
00:49:30,400 --> 00:49:34,360
Speaker 2: in or they're gonna get the offensive rebound and dunk

1047
00:49:34,400 --> 00:49:37,839
Speaker 2: it like that's gonna be every single possession of that game.

1048
00:49:37,840 --> 00:49:39,640
Speaker 2: It's just a matter of are they getting three or

1049
00:49:39,640 --> 00:49:42,160
Speaker 2: two seah. I think he and then Houston coming off

1050
00:49:42,160 --> 00:49:44,879
Speaker 2: that loss against Memphis, right, I think that that's still

1051
00:49:44,920 --> 00:49:48,160
Speaker 2: be focused, refocused after that, a little angry, and there

1052
00:49:48,160 --> 00:49:50,719
Speaker 2: was reports that Sassa was gonna play and he was

1053
00:49:51,080 --> 00:49:53,080
Speaker 2: so and it just makes no sense to playing you

1054
00:49:53,160 --> 00:49:54,640
Speaker 2: knew you were gonna be a one seed. It's a groin.

1055
00:49:55,239 --> 00:49:58,319
Speaker 2: But I think that there's probably better than maybe they

1056
00:49:58,360 --> 00:50:00,760
Speaker 2: hold them out again just saying like, hey, it's a matchup,

1057
00:50:00,760 --> 00:50:03,920
Speaker 2: we're gonna win regardless. But yeah, I like Houston.

1058
00:50:03,920 --> 00:50:06,640
Speaker 1: There one other point on that is two years ago,

1059
00:50:06,800 --> 00:50:09,640
Speaker 1: Houston was a two seeded played Horizon team Cleveland State

1060
00:50:09,680 --> 00:50:12,719
Speaker 1: that couldn't rebound in the first round. Dejean Jerreau got hurt,

1061
00:50:12,719 --> 00:50:15,120
Speaker 1: played only one minute. Houston still won by thirty one.

1062
00:50:15,120 --> 00:50:17,879
Speaker 1: They grabbed almost fifty percent of their misses in that game.

1063
00:50:18,040 --> 00:50:19,880
Speaker 1: I think it's going to be a very similar script

1064
00:50:20,040 --> 00:50:20,480
Speaker 1: in this one.

1065
00:50:20,920 --> 00:50:23,960
Speaker 2: Agreed. One of my favorite favorites of the first round

1066
00:50:24,200 --> 00:50:30,600
Speaker 2: BJA Iowa Auburn meeting up in the first round two

1067
00:50:30,640 --> 00:50:35,560
Speaker 2: teams you can't trust, especially away from home, and Stuckey

1068
00:50:36,200 --> 00:50:40,720
Speaker 2: it's a home game for Auburn. Yeah, games in Birmingham. Yeah,

1069
00:50:40,760 --> 00:50:44,000
Speaker 2: well it's still not in the jungle. So do you

1070
00:50:44,160 --> 00:50:46,960
Speaker 2: like First of all, what were your thoughts? And I

1071
00:50:47,080 --> 00:50:50,560
Speaker 2: was draw. You couldn't have been too happy to get

1072
00:50:50,560 --> 00:50:53,160
Speaker 2: in the eight with Houston playing Auburn and Birmingham.

1073
00:50:53,480 --> 00:50:55,239
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean it's not it's not you were going

1074
00:50:55,320 --> 00:50:56,719
Speaker 5: to be an eight or nine seeds, So it's not

1075
00:50:56,800 --> 00:51:01,759
Speaker 5: a great draw. You know, I always been underrated team

1076
00:51:01,920 --> 00:51:04,000
Speaker 5: throughout the a lot of the year. Obviously, the defense

1077
00:51:04,040 --> 00:51:05,880
Speaker 5: has been really really bad, and that showed against Ohio

1078
00:51:05,960 --> 00:51:07,520
Speaker 5: State in the Big Ten championship game.

1079
00:51:07,560 --> 00:51:10,560
Speaker 4: But you know, the thing about it.

1080
00:51:10,440 --> 00:51:14,160
Speaker 5: Is is I think iowent profiles pretty well against Auburn,

1081
00:51:14,200 --> 00:51:16,560
Speaker 5: who are very reliant on Wendell Green. You know, Tony

1082
00:51:16,560 --> 00:51:18,680
Speaker 5: Perkins is a fantastic guard who can match up well

1083
00:51:18,680 --> 00:51:21,640
Speaker 5: against him. So I like the first round match up

1084
00:51:21,680 --> 00:51:23,759
Speaker 5: here for Ihiowa, you know, it's sitting around to pick them,

1085
00:51:23,800 --> 00:51:26,600
Speaker 5: so I'll probably be on my Hawkeyes here.

1086
00:51:26,680 --> 00:51:27,040
Speaker 2: And but.

1087
00:51:28,480 --> 00:51:30,920
Speaker 5: For Houston, I mean, by the way, they put all

1088
00:51:30,920 --> 00:51:32,640
Speaker 5: three Iowa teams in the same region, which I thought

1089
00:51:32,640 --> 00:51:34,320
Speaker 5: was interesting. So maybe I will play Drake and the

1090
00:51:35,120 --> 00:51:39,000
Speaker 5: sweet sixteen. But no, I think this. I think Houston,

1091
00:51:39,320 --> 00:51:41,879
Speaker 5: you know, depending on the status of Sassur, I guess

1092
00:51:41,880 --> 00:51:43,959
Speaker 5: he's probably gonna plays. I think Houston has a good,

1093
00:51:44,239 --> 00:51:47,360
Speaker 5: pretty easy draw here to the to the.

1094
00:51:46,960 --> 00:51:47,640
Speaker 2: To the Elite eight.

1095
00:51:47,640 --> 00:51:48,279
Speaker 4: I mean, we'll see.

1096
00:51:48,280 --> 00:51:51,040
Speaker 5: Obviously, Iowa and Auburn have can present problems for them.

1097
00:51:51,160 --> 00:51:53,800
Speaker 5: And you know, Houston has been going through the American

1098
00:51:53,840 --> 00:51:56,000
Speaker 5: Conference for a long time now with not a lot

1099
00:51:56,000 --> 00:51:58,280
Speaker 5: of great offenses. I mean, Memphis is the only offense

1100
00:51:58,320 --> 00:52:01,759
Speaker 5: above the top fifty and adjusted offensive efficiencies. So you know,

1101
00:52:01,760 --> 00:52:04,520
Speaker 5: a team like Iowa who can really really score, can

1102
00:52:04,800 --> 00:52:07,440
Speaker 5: present some problems here for Houston. But I hope the

1103
00:52:07,440 --> 00:52:09,160
Speaker 5: Hawks can get at least to get to the second round.

1104
00:52:09,880 --> 00:52:12,239
Speaker 5: I don't think we've made it to the the second

1105
00:52:12,360 --> 00:52:15,040
Speaker 5: round past the second round since I've been alive, So.

1106
00:52:15,520 --> 00:52:18,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I just I don't trust. I mean,

1107
00:52:18,200 --> 00:52:20,799
Speaker 2: I was defense is one of those red flag right,

1108
00:52:20,800 --> 00:52:24,279
Speaker 2: they're one hundred and sixty seventh and adjusted efficiency, and

1109
00:52:24,360 --> 00:52:26,920
Speaker 2: I think I was way too soft for Houston. Like,

1110
00:52:26,960 --> 00:52:29,000
Speaker 2: Houston just bully them.

1111
00:52:29,080 --> 00:52:33,200
Speaker 5: It isn't twenty two offensive rebounds against Memphis today, and yeah.

1112
00:52:33,000 --> 00:52:37,880
Speaker 2: Houston would just bully them into oblivion. Now Auburn, So

1113
00:52:37,880 --> 00:52:40,560
Speaker 2: I don't trust the Iowa defense, But I also don't

1114
00:52:40,560 --> 00:52:46,560
Speaker 2: trust the erratic guards of Auburn away from home, and

1115
00:52:46,640 --> 00:52:49,719
Speaker 2: Auburn can't shoot well enough to beat Houston. I don't

1116
00:52:49,760 --> 00:52:51,560
Speaker 2: think so JA many thoughts in that matchup. And you

1117
00:52:51,560 --> 00:52:53,799
Speaker 2: don't see any of these teams posing a threat to Houston.

1118
00:52:53,560 --> 00:52:56,480
Speaker 1: To you, No, no, I don't Auburn. I think it's

1119
00:52:56,480 --> 00:52:59,080
Speaker 1: gonna have the rude awakening of playing going from the

1120
00:52:59,120 --> 00:53:02,760
Speaker 1: sec renowl can to Iowa, who is like super lethal

1121
00:53:02,800 --> 00:53:05,680
Speaker 1: offensively and can actually hit perimeter jumpers. That could be

1122
00:53:06,120 --> 00:53:09,960
Speaker 1: a problem for them. But yeah, Houston Sweet sixteen for

1123
00:53:10,080 --> 00:53:12,640
Speaker 1: me for sure, I'm not that worried about either one

1124
00:53:12,640 --> 00:53:13,319
Speaker 1: of them.

1125
00:53:13,640 --> 00:53:16,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, and I legit don't know who's gonna win that game.

1126
00:53:16,280 --> 00:53:18,920
Speaker 2: All right. Now, let's go to the bottom part of

1127
00:53:18,960 --> 00:53:21,360
Speaker 2: the top half of the Midwest region. This is the

1128
00:53:21,360 --> 00:53:25,520
Speaker 2: most fascinating little pot I think of the entire bracket.

1129
00:53:25,800 --> 00:53:30,040
Speaker 2: Miami takes on Drake, Miami the five seed against Drake

1130
00:53:30,080 --> 00:53:33,080
Speaker 2: the twelve seed. We don't know emir status, but we

1131
00:53:33,600 --> 00:53:36,640
Speaker 2: were texting about this, Jim and I was tweeting about

1132
00:53:36,640 --> 00:53:39,600
Speaker 2: it a couple of weeks ago. About Drake. They were

1133
00:53:39,719 --> 00:53:41,440
Speaker 2: gonna be my Cindrell coming in the twelve seed. I

1134
00:53:41,480 --> 00:53:43,200
Speaker 2: was saying, who's the five seed and I was like,

1135
00:53:43,239 --> 00:53:44,880
Speaker 2: please don't let it be TCU, and we were like,

1136
00:53:44,960 --> 00:53:47,680
Speaker 2: just give them to one of the ACC teams. Well,

1137
00:53:47,800 --> 00:53:51,160
Speaker 2: we got it, and I mentioned Miami's defense jumps off

1138
00:53:51,160 --> 00:53:54,479
Speaker 2: the page as one of those major red flags. Drake

1139
00:53:54,560 --> 00:53:56,960
Speaker 2: one of the most experienced, the oldest, I think the

1140
00:53:57,000 --> 00:53:59,840
Speaker 2: oldest team as far as raw age. Penn was starting

1141
00:53:59,880 --> 00:54:05,520
Speaker 2: for Sienna in twenty seventeen. Twenty seventeen, he was starting games.

1142
00:54:06,320 --> 00:54:08,719
Speaker 2: I love this Drake team, and they're finally healthy in March,

1143
00:54:08,760 --> 00:54:11,840
Speaker 2: peaking at the right time. Miami has guards, but I

1144
00:54:11,920 --> 00:54:14,759
Speaker 2: just think I have too many defensive issues. And then

1145
00:54:14,800 --> 00:54:17,720
Speaker 2: you have Indiana Kent State. This is a bad matchup

1146
00:54:17,760 --> 00:54:20,919
Speaker 2: for Indiana because Kent State can defend. Look since here

1147
00:54:21,000 --> 00:54:23,839
Speaker 2: Carry too can get really hot. He can give that

1148
00:54:24,239 --> 00:54:29,279
Speaker 2: perimeter defense of Indiana some trouble. This is two bad

1149
00:54:29,400 --> 00:54:32,240
Speaker 2: draws for the four and the five seed. I wouldn't

1150
00:54:32,239 --> 00:54:35,400
Speaker 2: be shocked if you ended up. There's always the one

1151
00:54:35,920 --> 00:54:38,040
Speaker 2: section where you get like a twelve versus a thirteen.

1152
00:54:38,840 --> 00:54:42,480
Speaker 2: I wouldn't be shocked if you see that here. I'm

1153
00:54:42,520 --> 00:54:44,960
Speaker 2: more confident in Drake and I think I might have

1154
00:54:45,040 --> 00:54:47,520
Speaker 2: Drake going to the Sweet sixteen. Jim, what do you

1155
00:54:47,560 --> 00:54:50,120
Speaker 2: see in this? I think this is a fascinating little

1156
00:54:50,120 --> 00:54:53,560
Speaker 2: pod where it could be chaosic. I don't know how

1157
00:54:53,600 --> 00:54:54,080
Speaker 2: to crack it.

1158
00:54:54,400 --> 00:54:57,800
Speaker 1: Yep, agreed again. I thought the Indiana line would be

1159
00:54:57,840 --> 00:54:59,879
Speaker 1: a little higher, but they're like, come down to four

1160
00:55:00,520 --> 00:55:03,680
Speaker 1: four point favorite over Kent State. That is no bargain

1161
00:55:03,719 --> 00:55:06,319
Speaker 1: for the Golden Flashes, but I still still need that way.

1162
00:55:07,520 --> 00:55:10,399
Speaker 1: They can do some similar things to what Kennesaw State

1163
00:55:10,440 --> 00:55:13,520
Speaker 1: did to IU before Christmas. A lot of slash and

1164
00:55:13,640 --> 00:55:16,440
Speaker 1: kick hit perimeter jumpers just go over the top. They

1165
00:55:16,480 --> 00:55:18,520
Speaker 1: can do that, and they're also really stout in the paint.

1166
00:55:18,840 --> 00:55:21,920
Speaker 1: They have different options to throw at TJD, so you

1167
00:55:22,040 --> 00:55:24,399
Speaker 1: got some fouls to use in there. Chris Payton's become

1168
00:55:24,440 --> 00:55:27,600
Speaker 1: a total monster. I think he's gonna get most of

1169
00:55:27,600 --> 00:55:30,920
Speaker 1: the TJD assignment. But yeah, Kent State, look what they

1170
00:55:30,920 --> 00:55:33,960
Speaker 1: did at Gonzaga at Houston, played really really close with

1171
00:55:34,000 --> 00:55:36,839
Speaker 1: both those teams almost pulled off the upset outright in

1172
00:55:36,880 --> 00:55:40,200
Speaker 1: both instances. I think they're going to hang around with

1173
00:55:40,239 --> 00:55:42,040
Speaker 1: Indiana the whole way and have a chance to win

1174
00:55:42,360 --> 00:55:43,040
Speaker 1: down the stretch.

1175
00:55:43,360 --> 00:55:45,520
Speaker 2: And do you agree with Drake over Miami.

1176
00:55:45,800 --> 00:55:48,319
Speaker 1: Yep, especially if folm Mer's out. Jim laer Naga was

1177
00:55:48,320 --> 00:55:51,680
Speaker 1: on CBS earlier kind of bemoaning their lack of toughness

1178
00:55:51,680 --> 00:55:54,160
Speaker 1: without him. They got killed on the boards by Duke

1179
00:55:54,760 --> 00:55:57,000
Speaker 1: without him if he's not able to go, and it

1180
00:55:57,040 --> 00:55:59,600
Speaker 1: sounds like he's day to day per Larnaga, I don't know.

1181
00:55:59,760 --> 00:56:02,799
Speaker 1: It was a bad looking injury. Drake is just like

1182
00:56:02,840 --> 00:56:05,160
Speaker 1: a fantastic giant killer too. You got a star, plus

1183
00:56:05,239 --> 00:56:09,560
Speaker 1: you've got multiple playmakers and actual true size with Brody.

1184
00:56:10,080 --> 00:56:12,400
Speaker 1: I think Drake is one of the best underdogs in

1185
00:56:12,800 --> 00:56:13,560
Speaker 1: the tournament.

1186
00:56:14,440 --> 00:56:17,560
Speaker 2: I completely agree with that anyone on this top half

1187
00:56:17,560 --> 00:56:19,120
Speaker 2: of the bracket. I do kind of. I mean, Ken

1188
00:56:19,160 --> 00:56:21,399
Speaker 2: State went to Houston lost forty nine to forty four.

1189
00:56:22,440 --> 00:56:24,320
Speaker 2: They scored two points the final ten minutes of the

1190
00:56:24,360 --> 00:56:26,479
Speaker 2: half in the first half, and they lost by five

1191
00:56:26,520 --> 00:56:30,279
Speaker 2: at Houston and gronded that team can defend. I kind

1192
00:56:30,280 --> 00:56:32,600
Speaker 2: of do wish they still had Santiago just as another

1193
00:56:32,960 --> 00:56:37,880
Speaker 2: shooter who can get hot. Although he did absolutely nothing

1194
00:56:37,920 --> 00:56:40,560
Speaker 2: he had he played thirty three minutes against Houston and

1195
00:56:40,600 --> 00:56:44,520
Speaker 2: scored zero points and had four fouls. But are you

1196
00:56:44,560 --> 00:56:47,839
Speaker 2: having Houston come through here to the Elite eight, because

1197
00:56:47,840 --> 00:56:49,880
Speaker 2: it's I think you have. If you're filling out a bracket,

1198
00:56:49,960 --> 00:56:53,320
Speaker 2: you have to do that. Just because I don't Indianaca

1199
00:56:53,400 --> 00:56:55,680
Speaker 2: lose to Kent State, mind me, Drake go either way.

1200
00:56:55,719 --> 00:56:57,440
Speaker 2: I mean, I'm gonna have Drake going of the Sweet sixteen.

1201
00:56:57,440 --> 00:56:59,400
Speaker 2: I don't know if they have enough to beat Houston,

1202
00:57:00,080 --> 00:57:03,040
Speaker 2: but from a bracket perspective, you go in Houston chalk

1203
00:57:03,080 --> 00:57:03,799
Speaker 2: here to the Elite eight.

1204
00:57:04,200 --> 00:57:04,399
Speaker 4: Yeah.

1205
00:57:04,400 --> 00:57:06,560
Speaker 1: I don't know if I shouldn't spoil it, but Houston's

1206
00:57:06,600 --> 00:57:09,400
Speaker 1: my champ. I'm going to stubbornly stick to the this

1207
00:57:09,400 --> 00:57:11,920
Speaker 1: this is the best team in the country narrative, and

1208
00:57:12,760 --> 00:57:14,960
Speaker 1: I think Sasser will be good to go. It sounds

1209
00:57:15,000 --> 00:57:17,440
Speaker 1: seems like he was close enough to playing today and

1210
00:57:17,560 --> 00:57:20,680
Speaker 1: is more preventative, So I'm comfortable with Houston getting through there.

1211
00:57:20,880 --> 00:57:23,360
Speaker 1: You mentioned that Kent State game, if I'm remembering right,

1212
00:57:23,440 --> 00:57:26,240
Speaker 1: Houston had the flu big time and that was part

1213
00:57:26,240 --> 00:57:29,320
Speaker 1: of why that game was super close and Kent State

1214
00:57:29,400 --> 00:57:31,760
Speaker 1: hung around. So yeah, I'll have the Cougar's going all

1215
00:57:31,760 --> 00:57:34,040
Speaker 1: the way to Houston, where the final four.

1216
00:57:33,960 --> 00:57:36,440
Speaker 2: Is eight for forty six from three. Come on in

1217
00:57:36,480 --> 00:57:40,560
Speaker 2: that game, DJ. Any thoughts on are your Drake's kind

1218
00:57:40,560 --> 00:57:42,880
Speaker 2: of kind of local? Are you right with Drake here?

1219
00:57:43,000 --> 00:57:45,200
Speaker 2: Any thoughts on Indiana ken st I live.

1220
00:57:45,080 --> 00:57:46,920
Speaker 5: In the beautiful city of Des Moines, Iowa was stuck,

1221
00:57:47,000 --> 00:57:48,520
Speaker 5: so they are very very local for me.

1222
00:57:49,120 --> 00:57:50,880
Speaker 4: Yeah, there, I mean, I mean the line has obviously

1223
00:57:50,920 --> 00:57:51,200
Speaker 4: come down.

1224
00:57:51,240 --> 00:57:52,440
Speaker 5: There were three and a half now they're down to

1225
00:57:52,480 --> 00:57:52,880
Speaker 5: two and a half.

1226
00:57:52,920 --> 00:57:54,959
Speaker 4: A lot of books, but it's keep going.

1227
00:57:55,480 --> 00:57:55,760
Speaker 2: Yep.

1228
00:57:56,080 --> 00:57:58,040
Speaker 5: It's a fantastic match for them. Like if you know

1229
00:57:58,120 --> 00:58:00,680
Speaker 5: Mer's out, then Brody is just going to dominate down low.

1230
00:58:01,080 --> 00:58:04,480
Speaker 5: They're a tremendous defensive rebounding team, which takes away advantage

1231
00:58:04,480 --> 00:58:07,080
Speaker 5: from Miami, and they can defend down low, which is

1232
00:58:07,080 --> 00:58:09,480
Speaker 5: where Miami gets most of their points, so they have

1233
00:58:09,520 --> 00:58:11,920
Speaker 5: the guards to match up against them. Just a really

1234
00:58:12,240 --> 00:58:15,800
Speaker 5: really well drilled sound team, you know, really just I

1235
00:58:15,840 --> 00:58:19,720
Speaker 5: mean that NVC CHAMPIONI game against Bradley, they just demolished

1236
00:58:19,760 --> 00:58:23,240
Speaker 5: them in every area. So yeah, I agree with you

1237
00:58:23,320 --> 00:58:24,960
Speaker 5: guys that this could be one of those you know,

1238
00:58:25,080 --> 00:58:28,280
Speaker 5: Drake versus Kent State in the second round to see

1239
00:58:29,120 --> 00:58:32,400
Speaker 5: who goes to play Houston in the round of sixteen.

1240
00:58:33,000 --> 00:58:38,760
Speaker 2: Yes, since if you look on Torvik since February first,

1241
00:58:39,120 --> 00:58:40,600
Speaker 2: which gives you a good gauge of how these teams

1242
00:58:40,640 --> 00:58:45,280
Speaker 2: are playing on the stretch, Drake is an overall just

1243
00:58:45,440 --> 00:58:52,439
Speaker 2: efficiency twenty third and Miami is thirty ninth. So over

1244
00:58:52,480 --> 00:58:55,720
Speaker 2: the past two months, Drake overall as or post month

1245
00:58:55,720 --> 00:58:57,080
Speaker 2: and a half, I should say, yeah, I really like

1246
00:58:57,840 --> 00:59:01,080
Speaker 2: Drake there. All right, let's move on to the bottom

1247
00:59:01,160 --> 00:59:04,880
Speaker 2: part of the Midwest Regional. If Iowa State takes on

1248
00:59:04,920 --> 00:59:08,560
Speaker 2: the winner in Mississippi State Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh can't defend, Mississippi

1249
00:59:08,560 --> 00:59:11,200
Speaker 2: State can't score. I don't know what's gonna happen in

1250
00:59:11,280 --> 00:59:15,800
Speaker 2: that game, but I Mississippi State advances and plays Iowa State.

1251
00:59:16,080 --> 00:59:21,800
Speaker 2: What's the total ninety seven? And then you have Xavier

1252
00:59:21,840 --> 00:59:26,400
Speaker 2: Kansas State kennessas State, really interesting team, very experienced of

1253
00:59:26,480 --> 00:59:29,160
Speaker 2: door raheem amazing what he's done they have. You know,

1254
00:59:29,160 --> 00:59:31,280
Speaker 2: they'll throw out a lot of different defenses out there.

1255
00:59:31,320 --> 00:59:34,400
Speaker 2: They pressure you their guards. They need to get into

1256
00:59:34,400 --> 00:59:36,200
Speaker 2: the lane, and they need to get to the line.

1257
00:59:36,200 --> 00:59:37,680
Speaker 2: They need to get to the rim. And I think

1258
00:59:37,680 --> 00:59:40,800
Speaker 2: that they can potentially do that against Xavier. They don't

1259
00:59:40,800 --> 00:59:42,160
Speaker 2: make a lot of free throws once they get the line,

1260
00:59:42,160 --> 00:59:43,600
Speaker 2: which is a concerned but it's more of an issue

1261
00:59:43,600 --> 00:59:45,760
Speaker 2: when they're a favorite more so than a dog. So

1262
00:59:45,840 --> 00:59:48,920
Speaker 2: Kennisall State might be a little live here. I mean

1263
00:59:49,400 --> 00:59:53,080
Speaker 2: it's but it's hard to trust Iowa State, Mississippi State,

1264
00:59:53,120 --> 00:59:54,920
Speaker 2: or Pittsburgh to come out here and get to the

1265
00:59:54,960 --> 00:59:57,240
Speaker 2: Sweet sixteen. How are you seeing this little pod, Jim.

1266
00:59:57,680 --> 01:00:01,480
Speaker 1: Confusion, That's what I'm seeing. I don't trust really any

1267
01:00:01,520 --> 01:00:03,960
Speaker 1: of the four teams there. Like you said, Kennison might

1268
01:00:04,000 --> 01:00:06,240
Speaker 1: be the one I trust most, but it's just there's

1269
01:00:06,240 --> 01:00:09,080
Speaker 1: still a little bit of a talent gap. I wrote

1270
01:00:09,080 --> 01:00:11,960
Speaker 1: this up in our quick reaction too. Where they can

1271
01:00:12,000 --> 01:00:14,040
Speaker 1: actually score with Savior, you have to be able to

1272
01:00:14,080 --> 01:00:16,720
Speaker 1: score because their offense. Xavi's offense is always going to

1273
01:00:16,800 --> 01:00:19,840
Speaker 1: be capable of putting up points in a hurry. But

1274
01:00:19,920 --> 01:00:24,640
Speaker 1: Kennessaw has a lot of different weapons and impressively played

1275
01:00:24,720 --> 01:00:27,200
Speaker 1: up like I said against Indiana back in December, hung

1276
01:00:27,200 --> 01:00:29,640
Speaker 1: around like that entire game. The final margin I think

1277
01:00:29,680 --> 01:00:31,680
Speaker 1: is not indicative, and there were a bunch of IU

1278
01:00:31,720 --> 01:00:35,480
Speaker 1: free throws there at Assembly Hall, but I think Cannisaw

1279
01:00:35,560 --> 01:00:39,360
Speaker 1: is going to at least give Xavier a scare, and

1280
01:00:39,400 --> 01:00:42,200
Speaker 1: then then I might end up going with IOA State.

1281
01:00:42,240 --> 01:00:44,280
Speaker 1: I was hoping they'd be one of the teams matched

1282
01:00:44,320 --> 01:00:46,480
Speaker 1: up with an awesome twelve seed, and I picked the upset.

1283
01:00:46,880 --> 01:00:50,960
Speaker 1: But their draws ideal for them. I think they can

1284
01:00:51,280 --> 01:00:53,760
Speaker 1: they can compete with Xavior, and even if Xavier goes down,

1285
01:00:54,280 --> 01:00:56,560
Speaker 1: then I would State might be in the Sweet sixteen again,

1286
01:00:56,600 --> 01:00:57,240
Speaker 1: just like last year.

1287
01:00:57,360 --> 01:00:59,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, you don't want to like Cannasall is capable of

1288
01:00:59,720 --> 01:01:01,200
Speaker 2: throwing a lot of different defenses. You don't want a

1289
01:01:01,200 --> 01:01:04,280
Speaker 2: press Savior, but you can zone them their zone offense.

1290
01:01:05,280 --> 01:01:07,560
Speaker 2: It's one hundred fifty two posessions, but their zone offense

1291
01:01:08,080 --> 01:01:11,840
Speaker 2: thirty eighth percentile, whereas their man is just elite. So

1292
01:01:11,880 --> 01:01:15,800
Speaker 2: you might see kind of all throwout some zone here. BJ,

1293
01:01:15,840 --> 01:01:18,640
Speaker 2: I assume you're face. Are you fading Iowa State as

1294
01:01:18,640 --> 01:01:21,320
Speaker 2: I expect you to do? Yeah, pretty much. Just give

1295
01:01:21,400 --> 01:01:22,640
Speaker 2: give me whoever the team.

1296
01:01:22,440 --> 01:01:26,120
Speaker 4: Is playing every single game. No, I mean their offense.

1297
01:01:26,160 --> 01:01:28,120
Speaker 5: They obviously have turnover issues, so if they have face

1298
01:01:28,200 --> 01:01:31,240
Speaker 5: team that gives them some pressure like that presents a problem.

1299
01:01:31,240 --> 01:01:34,280
Speaker 5: But I'm most interested in and this is probably going

1300
01:01:34,320 --> 01:01:36,560
Speaker 5: to be the worst viewing game of the entire tournament.

1301
01:01:36,600 --> 01:01:38,880
Speaker 5: But this TEXTA A and M Penn State game is

1302
01:01:38,920 --> 01:01:41,920
Speaker 5: just absolutely fascinating to me because on one hand, you

1303
01:01:41,920 --> 01:01:44,040
Speaker 5: have a Penn State team who's just completely reliant on

1304
01:01:44,120 --> 01:01:44,640
Speaker 5: jump shooting.

1305
01:01:44,640 --> 01:01:46,680
Speaker 4: I they they've gotten out of the basement.

1306
01:01:46,680 --> 01:01:49,320
Speaker 5: I think they're third to last in both offensive rebounding

1307
01:01:49,320 --> 01:01:51,640
Speaker 5: percentage and free throw rate. They obviously hit, but they're

1308
01:01:51,640 --> 01:01:54,320
Speaker 5: a very good, you know, jump shooting team. But though

1309
01:01:54,440 --> 01:01:56,960
Speaker 5: you know, Texas A and M, they struggle on the

1310
01:01:57,000 --> 01:01:59,720
Speaker 5: offensive glass, and they struggle allowing teams for the free

1311
01:01:59,760 --> 01:02:02,440
Speaker 5: throw line, and they're halfway decent depending on the floor.

1312
01:02:02,480 --> 01:02:04,080
Speaker 5: But again, it's the thing is like, all right, when

1313
01:02:04,080 --> 01:02:05,640
Speaker 5: you come out of the SEC where teams can't make

1314
01:02:05,680 --> 01:02:08,120
Speaker 5: a jump shot, does does Penn State just run away

1315
01:02:08,120 --> 01:02:09,920
Speaker 5: with that? And then the flip side is that Texas

1316
01:02:09,920 --> 01:02:12,040
Speaker 5: A and M, well, they're a terrible jump shooting team

1317
01:02:12,040 --> 01:02:14,320
Speaker 5: and they completely rely on offensive rebounds againting the free

1318
01:02:14,320 --> 01:02:16,800
Speaker 5: throw in which Penn State does a very good job defending.

1319
01:02:16,840 --> 01:02:21,080
Speaker 5: So it's a very weird type of matchup between both

1320
01:02:21,120 --> 01:02:24,960
Speaker 5: these teams who just play very very unique styles on offense.

1321
01:02:25,040 --> 01:02:27,520
Speaker 5: But yeah, for me, I mean out of this region.

1322
01:02:27,560 --> 01:02:29,400
Speaker 5: I guess I'll take Texas. I guess that the team I

1323
01:02:29,440 --> 01:02:31,560
Speaker 5: trust the most. They're peaking at the right time. I

1324
01:02:31,560 --> 01:02:35,560
Speaker 5: mean Colgate obviously presents some problems if Colgate can get hot,

1325
01:02:36,480 --> 01:02:37,960
Speaker 5: but we'll see. But yeah, if I had to pick

1326
01:02:37,960 --> 01:02:40,440
Speaker 5: it out of here, I guess I guess it's Texas.

1327
01:02:40,600 --> 01:02:43,360
Speaker 2: I'll mean Kolgate can't defend. That's they're gonna be just

1328
01:02:43,400 --> 01:02:45,600
Speaker 2: can't athletic disadvantage here. I don't think they have any

1329
01:02:45,600 --> 01:02:49,360
Speaker 2: shot against Texas. Yeah, I mean Colgate, they could shoot threes.

1330
01:02:49,400 --> 01:02:51,880
Speaker 2: They have a kid who's shooting at over fifty percent

1331
01:02:51,960 --> 01:02:54,360
Speaker 2: on one hundred and fifty attempts, So they have a

1332
01:02:54,360 --> 01:02:56,560
Speaker 2: lot of guys who can shoot the three. They've run

1333
01:02:56,680 --> 01:02:59,640
Speaker 2: really good motion offense. But they can't defend, and they

1334
01:02:59,640 --> 01:03:02,400
Speaker 2: have no athletes. It's like once they step up in class,

1335
01:03:02,400 --> 01:03:05,200
Speaker 2: there's a different story. This isn't the Patriot League. Texas

1336
01:03:05,200 --> 01:03:08,160
Speaker 2: should just swarm them on defense and they could score

1337
01:03:08,160 --> 01:03:10,600
Speaker 2: it will Texas A and Penn State is a really

1338
01:03:11,040 --> 01:03:15,360
Speaker 2: interesting handicap. I love Penn State here, but another more

1339
01:03:15,440 --> 01:03:17,840
Speaker 2: magic of Penn State is a ten seed. Another They're

1340
01:03:17,840 --> 01:03:20,080
Speaker 2: gonna be the ten seed again, but you mentioned it

1341
01:03:20,120 --> 01:03:22,680
Speaker 2: Texas A and M and Jim you alluded to it too,

1342
01:03:23,240 --> 01:03:26,480
Speaker 2: SEC team that benefited from being in a league of

1343
01:03:26,480 --> 01:03:28,600
Speaker 2: teams that can't shoot, and the way that Texas A

1344
01:03:28,600 --> 01:03:31,680
Speaker 2: and M plays aggressively helping underscreening. They give up a

1345
01:03:31,720 --> 01:03:34,240
Speaker 2: ton of three point looks. A lot of teams can't

1346
01:03:34,280 --> 01:03:36,840
Speaker 2: make them. Well, Penn State's top ten in the nation

1347
01:03:37,520 --> 01:03:40,680
Speaker 2: in three point a tenth rate and three point make rate.

1348
01:03:40,760 --> 01:03:44,640
Speaker 2: Right they have are they're five man is a guy

1349
01:03:44,640 --> 01:03:47,280
Speaker 2: who can six to six and step out and shoot

1350
01:03:47,280 --> 01:03:51,640
Speaker 2: the three. What is text enemy to do to score?

1351
01:03:52,080 --> 01:03:54,760
Speaker 2: They need to get fouled and get to the line.

1352
01:03:54,800 --> 01:03:57,120
Speaker 2: You have games with like a forty. Penn State doesn't

1353
01:03:57,160 --> 01:03:59,760
Speaker 2: foul and then they need to get to on the

1354
01:03:59,800 --> 01:04:03,600
Speaker 2: off defensive glass. Well, Penn State really good defensive rebounding

1355
01:04:03,640 --> 01:04:06,040
Speaker 2: team and got pen State doesn't get any offensive rebounds,

1356
01:04:06,040 --> 01:04:08,160
Speaker 2: they don't get to the line. They want to slow

1357
01:04:08,200 --> 01:04:11,320
Speaker 2: the game down and Texan and M wants to turning over.

1358
01:04:11,360 --> 01:04:14,520
Speaker 2: Penn State doesn't turn it over. I think on paper,

1359
01:04:14,560 --> 01:04:17,400
Speaker 2: this is a perfect matchup for Penn State. It's going

1360
01:04:17,440 --> 01:04:18,840
Speaker 2: to kind of be like a shock to the system

1361
01:04:18,840 --> 01:04:20,959
Speaker 2: of Texas A and M. When you saw with Bama.

1362
01:04:21,000 --> 01:04:24,320
Speaker 2: Obama's making three he's a get run out of the gym.

1363
01:04:24,520 --> 01:04:29,280
Speaker 2: So I really liked this matchup for Penn State. Two

1364
01:04:29,320 --> 01:04:33,080
Speaker 2: really good coaches, but Penn State that'll have really good

1365
01:04:33,080 --> 01:04:34,680
Speaker 2: game plans here. But I just think the shooting of

1366
01:04:34,680 --> 01:04:36,640
Speaker 2: Penn State is a bad matchup. They don't turn it

1367
01:04:36,680 --> 01:04:39,240
Speaker 2: over good on the defensive glass. Jim, do you agree

1368
01:04:39,280 --> 01:04:39,919
Speaker 2: here a Penn State.

1369
01:04:40,280 --> 01:04:42,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, I love Penn State there for all the reasons

1370
01:04:42,360 --> 01:04:45,440
Speaker 1: you guys both listed. My one worry with it is

1371
01:04:45,480 --> 01:04:48,160
Speaker 1: that Dexter Dennis might be like the perfect defender for

1372
01:04:48,240 --> 01:04:50,880
Speaker 1: Jalen Pickett, Like he can kind of handle the physicality

1373
01:04:50,920 --> 01:04:53,240
Speaker 1: the bully ball that he does in the post. He's

1374
01:04:53,240 --> 01:04:56,120
Speaker 1: a fantastic defenders, I think American Defensive Player of the

1375
01:04:56,200 --> 01:04:58,880
Speaker 1: Year last season, and he's just a wrecking ball in

1376
01:04:58,920 --> 01:05:01,320
Speaker 1: that end. If he's able to limit pickt one v

1377
01:05:01,520 --> 01:05:04,800
Speaker 1: one and maybe maybe the open looks aren't there quite

1378
01:05:04,800 --> 01:05:06,479
Speaker 1: as much from him spraying the ball around, that would

1379
01:05:06,480 --> 01:05:09,520
Speaker 1: be a concern. But overall, I just think it's going

1380
01:05:09,600 --> 01:05:11,800
Speaker 1: to be such a shock to the system for TEXTA, A,

1381
01:05:11,800 --> 01:05:13,320
Speaker 1: and M to go against a team that can shoot

1382
01:05:13,360 --> 01:05:14,959
Speaker 1: like Penn State can Yeah.

1383
01:05:15,000 --> 01:05:17,080
Speaker 2: And you don't think Coka can give Texas a game, right?

1384
01:05:17,560 --> 01:05:20,400
Speaker 1: No? I do not. They played up once this season.

1385
01:05:20,480 --> 01:05:22,920
Speaker 1: It was against Auburn. They lost by twenty seven. I

1386
01:05:22,960 --> 01:05:24,360
Speaker 1: don't think they can handle athletes.

1387
01:05:24,560 --> 01:05:26,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, are we sleeping on Texas? Overall? It is like

1388
01:05:27,000 --> 01:05:32,160
Speaker 2: a team that just dominated Kansas. Their analytical profile looks good, right,

1389
01:05:32,160 --> 01:05:35,720
Speaker 2: you talk about teams adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency, They're

1390
01:05:35,720 --> 01:05:39,640
Speaker 2: an eighteen offense eleven defense won the Big twelve? Are

1391
01:05:39,640 --> 01:05:40,720
Speaker 2: we sleeping on them?

1392
01:05:40,880 --> 01:05:43,640
Speaker 1: We might be the version without Timmy Allen looked really,

1393
01:05:43,680 --> 01:05:46,320
Speaker 1: really good in the tournament. They went a little bit bigger,

1394
01:05:46,480 --> 01:05:49,000
Speaker 1: playing a lot more of DCU. He was a wrecking

1395
01:05:49,040 --> 01:05:52,600
Speaker 1: ball in that event. I kind of think that I'm

1396
01:05:52,840 --> 01:05:56,160
Speaker 1: under selling them as well. It's just a team that

1397
01:05:56,200 --> 01:05:58,919
Speaker 1: I thought would tail off after the Beard news broke

1398
01:05:59,000 --> 01:06:01,200
Speaker 1: and he wasn't on silent more. I didn't don't fully

1399
01:06:01,240 --> 01:06:05,520
Speaker 1: trust Rodney Terry, but they've been nothing short of fantastic,

1400
01:06:05,560 --> 01:06:07,560
Speaker 1: and it seems like a little bit of maybe addition

1401
01:06:07,640 --> 01:06:09,800
Speaker 1: by subtraction. Without Allen, they were so so good in

1402
01:06:09,880 --> 01:06:13,560
Speaker 1: Kansas City. But he's gonna play, right, He's I think so.

1403
01:06:13,680 --> 01:06:15,400
Speaker 2: I think he's supposed they said he was gonna play

1404
01:06:15,440 --> 01:06:18,720
Speaker 2: if it was attorney game. So I have I have Texas.

1405
01:06:18,920 --> 01:06:20,240
Speaker 2: They just said like they're not going to risk it.

1406
01:06:20,320 --> 01:06:23,200
Speaker 2: They wanted to be procautionary. I have Texas coming out

1407
01:06:23,240 --> 01:06:25,280
Speaker 2: of the bottom half. Yeah, I think I'm gonna go

1408
01:06:25,400 --> 01:06:29,560
Speaker 2: a little more upset based in the West, in the East,

1409
01:06:29,720 --> 01:06:33,520
Speaker 2: and in the South and the Midwest. I'm going chalky.

1410
01:06:34,320 --> 01:06:38,560
Speaker 2: So I'm gonna have Houston against Texas in the Elite

1411
01:06:38,560 --> 01:06:43,360
Speaker 2: eight if we get to that matchup. I mean, texass

1412
01:06:43,400 --> 01:06:46,520
Speaker 2: tough shot makers in the mid range. Could they give

1413
01:06:46,560 --> 01:06:49,000
Speaker 2: Houston a game of be a hell of a game, Jim,

1414
01:06:49,000 --> 01:06:53,080
Speaker 2: I know you have Houston coming out of there. I

1415
01:06:53,200 --> 01:06:56,840
Speaker 2: might go Texas, but I think it'll be a really

1416
01:06:56,840 --> 01:07:00,360
Speaker 2: good game regardless BJ who you're gonna come out of

1417
01:07:00,360 --> 01:07:00,920
Speaker 2: the Midwest.

1418
01:07:01,760 --> 01:07:06,000
Speaker 5: I'm gonna have Houston narrowly edging Texas in the West,

1419
01:07:06,000 --> 01:07:07,560
Speaker 5: which is gonna be very chalky as well.

1420
01:07:07,600 --> 01:07:09,959
Speaker 4: But yeah, I just don't see those either.

1421
01:07:10,080 --> 01:07:13,000
Speaker 5: Any teams presenting problems for either of those two before

1422
01:07:13,040 --> 01:07:13,960
Speaker 5: we reach the early day.

1423
01:07:14,520 --> 01:07:19,840
Speaker 2: All right, let's go one favorite bet and then we'll

1424
01:07:19,880 --> 01:07:25,480
Speaker 2: give out our preliminary way, subject to change. We're gonna

1425
01:07:25,520 --> 01:07:28,080
Speaker 2: be staring at this bracket and matchups the next couple

1426
01:07:28,080 --> 01:07:29,320
Speaker 2: of days, And like I said, we're gonna have a

1427
01:07:29,520 --> 01:07:32,960
Speaker 2: preview podcast for all Thursday's games, another one for Friday

1428
01:07:33,000 --> 01:07:35,640
Speaker 2: games to make sure you check those out. But let's

1429
01:07:35,680 --> 01:07:39,000
Speaker 2: go favorite bet. I'm gonna go with Drake talked about it.

1430
01:07:39,120 --> 01:07:41,200
Speaker 2: Give me the points here. I wouldn't be shocked if

1431
01:07:41,240 --> 01:07:44,080
Speaker 2: Drake closed as a favorite, depending on them. Your news

1432
01:07:44,080 --> 01:07:46,400
Speaker 2: to like Drake minus one's what that game closes at.

1433
01:07:46,800 --> 01:07:49,360
Speaker 2: So I'll take the points with Drake Bija.

1434
01:07:50,160 --> 01:07:53,240
Speaker 5: I'll go Montana State against Kansas State. I just think

1435
01:07:53,240 --> 01:07:55,560
Speaker 5: their ability to get to the rim and defend at

1436
01:07:55,560 --> 01:07:58,000
Speaker 5: the rim as well against Kansastate team, that's basically where

1437
01:07:58,000 --> 01:08:00,320
Speaker 5: all other points come from. It's a fantastic match up

1438
01:08:00,640 --> 01:08:02,320
Speaker 5: for them, and I think this Kansas State team is

1439
01:08:02,600 --> 01:08:05,040
Speaker 5: is pretty vulnerable when they have to rely on jump shooting.

1440
01:08:05,440 --> 01:08:07,560
Speaker 2: Another really good coaching matchup. We have a lot of

1441
01:08:07,600 --> 01:08:10,360
Speaker 2: good matchups of like two really good coaches.

1442
01:08:10,480 --> 01:08:14,120
Speaker 1: Jim Houston for me, first half in full game, I'll

1443
01:08:14,120 --> 01:08:17,000
Speaker 1: be on both. They're an awesome first half team and

1444
01:08:17,040 --> 01:08:19,280
Speaker 1: we went through all the matchup advantages they have over

1445
01:08:19,320 --> 01:08:22,760
Speaker 1: that Northern Kentucky team. The one shortcoming there is it's

1446
01:08:22,760 --> 01:08:24,360
Speaker 1: not going to be a high possession game, should be

1447
01:08:24,360 --> 01:08:26,760
Speaker 1: pretty slow. With the win, Northern Kentucky plays, but I

1448
01:08:26,800 --> 01:08:30,120
Speaker 1: think there's going to be a gulf in efficiency gap

1449
01:08:30,240 --> 01:08:34,040
Speaker 1: between the two. Houston will just mercilessly kind of pummel.

1450
01:08:34,120 --> 01:08:35,559
Speaker 1: That might be kind of a crock potting where they

1451
01:08:35,640 --> 01:08:36,519
Speaker 1: end up winning by thirty.

1452
01:08:37,040 --> 01:08:41,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's a good game to get some half halftime too,

1453
01:08:41,400 --> 01:08:44,519
Speaker 2: because Northern Kentucky's three hundred and fifty eighth in adjusted

1454
01:08:44,520 --> 01:08:47,719
Speaker 2: pace Houston's three forty three, so it like they dominate.

1455
01:08:47,720 --> 01:08:50,960
Speaker 2: But they're up like twenty three with a minute a

1456
01:08:50,960 --> 01:08:53,559
Speaker 2: half to go, and then you're sweating like the reserves

1457
01:08:53,560 --> 01:08:55,200
Speaker 2: and then a couple three pointers. It could be a

1458
01:08:55,240 --> 01:08:57,479
Speaker 2: frustrating loss. But I think a good way to go

1459
01:08:57,520 --> 01:09:00,320
Speaker 2: about it is to have some halftime as well. All right,

1460
01:09:00,400 --> 01:09:04,200
Speaker 2: let's go this a bracket show, So let's take one

1461
01:09:04,560 --> 01:09:09,679
Speaker 2: thirteen seed or lower with the best chance of getting

1462
01:09:10,080 --> 01:09:14,599
Speaker 2: to the sweet sixteen. I'll start while you guys, look,

1463
01:09:15,240 --> 01:09:18,960
Speaker 2: I'm not in love with any of the thirteens outside

1464
01:09:19,000 --> 01:09:22,640
Speaker 2: of Verman. I would like Furman against Charleston, but not

1465
01:09:22,680 --> 01:09:27,120
Speaker 2: against San Diego State. I don't like Louisiana's matchup against Tennessee.

1466
01:09:29,120 --> 01:09:32,719
Speaker 1: I'll say Kansas State because I think Xavier is beatable

1467
01:09:32,760 --> 01:09:35,120
Speaker 1: and I don't like the six to eleven matchup. I'm

1468
01:09:35,160 --> 01:09:37,599
Speaker 1: not big on Iowa State or either those playing teams,

1469
01:09:37,600 --> 01:09:39,240
Speaker 1: so I'm gonna go Kannessas State. I think the Awlas

1470
01:09:39,280 --> 01:09:40,840
Speaker 1: have a chance to make a run.

1471
01:09:41,560 --> 01:09:44,160
Speaker 2: I'll go Montanna State. I think they could beat Kansas State,

1472
01:09:44,200 --> 01:09:45,599
Speaker 2: and then you just never know what you're gonna get

1473
01:09:45,600 --> 01:09:49,559
Speaker 2: with Kentucky or Providence, so why not becha.

1474
01:09:50,320 --> 01:09:53,280
Speaker 5: I'll take kent State just the matchup problems they present

1475
01:09:53,320 --> 01:09:57,639
Speaker 5: against Indiana and the potential maybe matchup against Anna, mirrorless

1476
01:09:57,680 --> 01:09:58,600
Speaker 5: Miami or Drake in the.

1477
01:09:58,600 --> 01:10:00,800
Speaker 4: Second round would be good for them like that.

1478
01:10:01,760 --> 01:10:06,719
Speaker 2: Finally, to wrap things up, preliminary subject to change, final four,

1479
01:10:07,439 --> 01:10:09,160
Speaker 2: and sometimes I do this, I'm like, well, I already

1480
01:10:09,160 --> 01:10:15,920
Speaker 2: have a team in this conference, so I'm gonna go TCU.

1481
01:10:17,520 --> 01:10:19,720
Speaker 2: I always stick to my guns with my preseason, my

1482
01:10:19,760 --> 01:10:22,559
Speaker 2: only pre season future. I'm gonna go TCU coming out

1483
01:10:22,760 --> 01:10:25,800
Speaker 2: of the West. I actually like their path, and even

1484
01:10:25,840 --> 01:10:27,760
Speaker 2: though it's I think the UCLA game will be tough,

1485
01:10:28,280 --> 01:10:31,080
Speaker 2: but they're gonna miss Clark and I'm gonna trust him,

1486
01:10:31,120 --> 01:10:33,960
Speaker 2: mister Miles. So I'm gonna have TCU coming out of

1487
01:10:34,000 --> 01:10:36,679
Speaker 2: the West for now. I'm gonna say Houston coming out

1488
01:10:37,000 --> 01:10:40,120
Speaker 2: of the Midwest, and then I'm gonna get crazy. I'm

1489
01:10:40,120 --> 01:10:44,759
Speaker 2: gonna go Memphis in the East, and then in the South,

1490
01:10:45,680 --> 01:10:49,240
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go. For now, I'm gonna go Craighton. They're

1491
01:10:49,240 --> 01:10:54,200
Speaker 2: gonna Creighton, TCU, Memphis. This is a wild final four.

1492
01:10:56,160 --> 01:10:58,280
Speaker 2: I might change. I might end up changing the crighton

1493
01:10:58,280 --> 01:11:02,720
Speaker 2: to Arizona just because, Yeah, the post is concerning to me. Yeah,

1494
01:11:03,240 --> 01:11:10,040
Speaker 2: I'll go Arizona, Arizona, Memphis, TCU, and Houston, subject to change, Jim.

1495
01:11:10,600 --> 01:11:14,360
Speaker 1: Houston, Alabama. So two to one Seeds and Marquette and

1496
01:11:14,520 --> 01:11:17,519
Speaker 1: joining you on TCU. Let's go horn Frogs. I'm just

1497
01:11:17,600 --> 01:11:20,200
Speaker 1: gonna believe until I can't believe anymore, until the train

1498
01:11:20,280 --> 01:11:21,320
Speaker 1: fully goes off the tracks.

1499
01:11:21,880 --> 01:11:22,920
Speaker 2: Beija Final four.

1500
01:11:23,000 --> 01:11:24,400
Speaker 4: Yeah, my final four.

1501
01:11:24,560 --> 01:11:27,719
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go Iowa, not Iowa State.

1502
01:11:28,560 --> 01:11:32,160
Speaker 5: You know, I'm actually gonna go Texas out of I'm

1503
01:11:32,160 --> 01:11:33,800
Speaker 5: gonna change my mind. I'm gonna go Texas out of

1504
01:11:33,800 --> 01:11:38,679
Speaker 5: the Midwest. I'm gonna go Yukon out of the West,

1505
01:11:39,760 --> 01:11:44,240
Speaker 5: out of the East, I'll go Marquette, and then out

1506
01:11:44,320 --> 01:11:47,040
Speaker 5: of the South, I'll go Arizona.

1507
01:11:47,439 --> 01:11:49,680
Speaker 2: All right, there you have it. Yeah, you're going all

1508
01:11:49,720 --> 01:11:53,200
Speaker 2: two seeds, all but all but UCLA. Keep in mind,

1509
01:11:53,240 --> 01:11:57,280
Speaker 2: by the way, no national champion has ever lost their

1510
01:11:57,360 --> 01:12:01,720
Speaker 2: first conference championshipgain before Baylor won every single conference championship

1511
01:12:01,880 --> 01:12:05,840
Speaker 2: champion since the bracket expanded to the nineteen eighty five

1512
01:12:06,040 --> 01:12:09,760
Speaker 2: got to the semis of their conference tournament, then there

1513
01:12:09,800 --> 01:12:10,920
Speaker 2: was like a bunch of tweets about it, and then

1514
01:12:10,920 --> 01:12:13,720
Speaker 2: Bailor lost and then won it all. So just a

1515
01:12:13,720 --> 01:12:17,080
Speaker 2: little nugget to keep in mind. But there you have it.

1516
01:12:17,479 --> 01:12:19,320
Speaker 2: Thanks to Jim and bj for joining me. Thanks to

1517
01:12:19,320 --> 01:12:20,960
Speaker 2: all of you for tuning in. We'll have much more

1518
01:12:21,040 --> 01:12:23,080
Speaker 2: content throughout the week. Make sure you subscribe on subscribe,

1519
01:12:23,080 --> 01:12:26,160
Speaker 2: subscribe to review, Tell a Friend, Telling Enemy. Five star

1520
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Speaker 2: reviews really help us out who give aways later in

1521
01:12:27,840 --> 01:12:29,800
Speaker 2: the week. Thanks to our sponsor, Bet'm Jim. Thanks to

1522
01:12:29,880 --> 01:12:32,440
Speaker 2: audio and video teams on the back end. Very underappreciated,

1523
01:12:32,520 --> 01:12:34,760
Speaker 2: but we appreciate you and all of your work. Enjoy

1524
01:12:34,800 --> 01:12:38,200
Speaker 2: the madness, enjoy agonizing over the bracket. Over the next

1525
01:12:38,240 --> 01:12:40,240
Speaker 2: couple of days. We're gonna go, get to work, break

1526
01:12:40,280 --> 01:12:42,120
Speaker 2: it down some more. We'll see you throughout the week

1527
01:12:42,160 --> 01:12:44,400
Speaker 2: with tons of content. Thanks for tuning. We catch on

1528
01:12:44,520 --> 01:12:44,960
Speaker 2: with the cheers.

1529
01:12:57,680 --> 01:13:02,200
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1530
01:13:02,240 --> 01:13:05,040
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1531
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