1 00:00:01,840 --> 00:00:04,800 Speaker 1: Hey, guys, how are you welcome into a Super Bowl 2 00:00:05,120 --> 00:00:07,840 Speaker 1: edition of the Early Bets Show. He is Pat Fitzmorris. 3 00:00:07,880 --> 00:00:10,880 Speaker 1: I am after Roltz. It is time to get into Seattle, 4 00:00:10,960 --> 00:00:14,920 Speaker 1: New England. Patriots Seahawks. It will be Super Bowl sixty 5 00:00:14,960 --> 00:00:18,120 Speaker 1: coming up on Sunday. Pat, my team's in it. It's 6 00:00:18,840 --> 00:00:22,159 Speaker 1: it's different when your team's in it, your bets in 7 00:00:22,200 --> 00:00:26,560 Speaker 1: your mind, and everything gets all skewed. Patriots Seahawks on Sunday. 8 00:00:26,560 --> 00:00:27,040 Speaker 1: How are you. 9 00:00:27,560 --> 00:00:29,880 Speaker 2: I'm doing great, Matt. It was great to see you 10 00:00:29,920 --> 00:00:33,360 Speaker 2: in New Orleans this past week and hang out. And yeah, 11 00:00:33,400 --> 00:00:35,600 Speaker 2: it's got to be a different kind of Super Bowl 12 00:00:35,680 --> 00:00:38,720 Speaker 2: feeling for you as a Patriots fan, though, because you 13 00:00:38,720 --> 00:00:40,760 Speaker 2: guys were the Kings of the Mountains for most of 14 00:00:40,800 --> 00:00:43,600 Speaker 2: those previous except for maybe that first one against the Rams, 15 00:00:43,640 --> 00:00:47,440 Speaker 2: but otherwise, you know, you guys were favored in most, 16 00:00:47,800 --> 00:00:50,959 Speaker 2: if not all of those after that Rams super Bowl, 17 00:00:51,479 --> 00:00:53,440 Speaker 2: and now you guys are kind of the upstarts and 18 00:00:53,479 --> 00:00:56,720 Speaker 2: the underdogs, and it's a different feeling, I would imagine. 19 00:00:57,000 --> 00:00:59,640 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean ninety six to Patriots play the Packers, 20 00:00:59,640 --> 00:01:02,160 Speaker 1: your team, and unfortunately that did not go the way 21 00:01:02,160 --> 00:01:04,960 Speaker 1: the Patriots wanted. It to with Bill Parcells. You had 22 00:01:04,959 --> 00:01:07,600 Speaker 1: the eighty five eighty six team against the Bears, in 23 00:01:07,640 --> 00:01:09,880 Speaker 1: which they got crushed, and everybody you know in New 24 00:01:09,920 --> 00:01:12,479 Speaker 1: England thinking, Okay, there's no way that this team's ever 25 00:01:12,520 --> 00:01:14,520 Speaker 1: going to win a Super Bowl, and then the Rams 26 00:01:14,560 --> 00:01:18,040 Speaker 1: game happens, and lo and behold, the Patriots are underdogs 27 00:01:18,080 --> 00:01:20,720 Speaker 1: by thirteen points and they've found their way to one 28 00:01:20,720 --> 00:01:23,560 Speaker 1: of the most improbable victories. You can go through the 29 00:01:23,600 --> 00:01:25,960 Speaker 1: rematches for the Patriots. I mean, they went zero to 30 00:01:25,959 --> 00:01:30,119 Speaker 1: two against the Giants, they went one in one. I mean, 31 00:01:30,160 --> 00:01:32,560 Speaker 1: we'll see what they do here against the Seahawks. This 32 00:01:32,600 --> 00:01:35,080 Speaker 1: is the fourth time the Patriots have seen a similar 33 00:01:35,080 --> 00:01:37,360 Speaker 1: opponent in the Super Bowl. I mean they've been in 34 00:01:37,400 --> 00:01:39,640 Speaker 1: one and every five of these sixty of them. The 35 00:01:39,640 --> 00:01:42,720 Speaker 1: Patriots been in twelve of these Super Bowls. But it 36 00:01:42,800 --> 00:01:45,160 Speaker 1: is a different spot because the team was so unexpectedly 37 00:01:45,280 --> 00:01:47,920 Speaker 1: to be here. Even the two thousand and one team, 38 00:01:48,280 --> 00:01:51,480 Speaker 1: you had a quarterback in Drew Bledsoe who was the 39 00:01:51,520 --> 00:01:55,000 Speaker 1: first one hundred million dollar player in the NFL, so 40 00:01:55,080 --> 00:01:59,240 Speaker 1: you had some elite level talent. Tom Brady was the 41 00:01:59,240 --> 00:02:01,440 Speaker 1: one that won that game, not Drew Bledsoe, but you 42 00:02:01,560 --> 00:02:03,960 Speaker 1: had talent on that football team that was a little 43 00:02:03,960 --> 00:02:06,560 Speaker 1: bit on the like if they put things together, this 44 00:02:06,640 --> 00:02:09,880 Speaker 1: team after back to back four win seasons in a 45 00:02:09,919 --> 00:02:13,120 Speaker 1: twenty three year old quarterback who played all year at 46 00:02:13,120 --> 00:02:16,760 Speaker 1: an MVP level. This team getting here with a first 47 00:02:16,840 --> 00:02:18,799 Speaker 1: year head coach in Mike Vrabel or at least you know, 48 00:02:18,840 --> 00:02:20,880 Speaker 1: first time with the Patriots, first year with the Patriots, 49 00:02:21,000 --> 00:02:23,639 Speaker 1: that is I think the difference. That's the area that 50 00:02:23,720 --> 00:02:27,760 Speaker 1: think Patriot fans, we really didn't see this, and you 51 00:02:27,760 --> 00:02:30,240 Speaker 1: could make a case this is the most improbable of 52 00:02:30,280 --> 00:02:32,480 Speaker 1: all the runs. Even with the Patriots going and winning 53 00:02:32,480 --> 00:02:34,919 Speaker 1: three road games in eighty five eighty six, becoming the 54 00:02:34,919 --> 00:02:37,000 Speaker 1: first team ever to do that, to win three road 55 00:02:37,000 --> 00:02:39,560 Speaker 1: games on the way to a Super Bowl. That team 56 00:02:39,680 --> 00:02:43,040 Speaker 1: was filled up with Irving Friars and John Hannah and 57 00:02:43,120 --> 00:02:45,680 Speaker 1: players that you you know even now in twenty twenty six, 58 00:02:45,880 --> 00:02:49,120 Speaker 1: these are still names of football fans remember Craig James 59 00:02:49,120 --> 00:02:52,120 Speaker 1: and most of Tatupu. So it is a unique place. 60 00:02:52,200 --> 00:02:55,560 Speaker 1: I would say definitely, this Patriot team getting to the 61 00:02:55,600 --> 00:02:58,799 Speaker 1: top of the mountain in the AFC really unexpected. 62 00:02:59,280 --> 00:03:02,440 Speaker 2: Why this team feels legitimate now and more legitimate, I 63 00:03:02,480 --> 00:03:05,680 Speaker 2: know they've were sort of dismissed and written off as 64 00:03:05,680 --> 00:03:09,440 Speaker 2: the team that faced the easiest schedule in the NFL 65 00:03:09,480 --> 00:03:13,359 Speaker 2: and I think the seventh easiest schedule since nineteen seventy eight. 66 00:03:14,360 --> 00:03:20,280 Speaker 2: Their defense has completely transformed into something that it wasn't 67 00:03:20,560 --> 00:03:24,640 Speaker 2: for most of the season. They are twenty third in 68 00:03:24,680 --> 00:03:29,080 Speaker 2: defensive DVA. This defense that we have seen in the 69 00:03:29,120 --> 00:03:32,440 Speaker 2: playoffs has given up. They've given up twenty six points 70 00:03:32,440 --> 00:03:36,160 Speaker 2: in three playoff games. They're giving up two one hundred 71 00:03:36,160 --> 00:03:39,440 Speaker 2: and ten totally yards a game in these three games. 72 00:03:39,520 --> 00:03:43,600 Speaker 2: And I know the Chargers decimated offensive line, the Texans 73 00:03:43,600 --> 00:03:46,760 Speaker 2: bad offensive line, Broncos backup quarterback. 74 00:03:47,320 --> 00:03:48,880 Speaker 3: Still, this defense. 75 00:03:48,480 --> 00:03:50,760 Speaker 2: Has been lights out and it felt like that late 76 00:03:50,800 --> 00:03:53,440 Speaker 2: in the season has kind of felt like that whenever 77 00:03:53,480 --> 00:03:57,720 Speaker 2: they've had Milton Williams and Robert Splaine healthy, Like you 78 00:03:58,200 --> 00:04:01,440 Speaker 2: can't run on this team. It's become increasingly hard to 79 00:04:01,480 --> 00:04:03,720 Speaker 2: pass on them because of the pressure they have been 80 00:04:03,760 --> 00:04:06,800 Speaker 2: getting on quarterbacks lately. I don't know if they'll be 81 00:04:06,840 --> 00:04:08,680 Speaker 2: able to keep this up against the team with a 82 00:04:08,840 --> 00:04:13,960 Speaker 2: better offense than the ones they've been facing. But Seattle's 83 00:04:14,000 --> 00:04:17,719 Speaker 2: offensive line isn't great either. I think they are a 84 00:04:17,760 --> 00:04:19,400 Speaker 2: live dog in this game, no question. 85 00:04:19,800 --> 00:04:21,919 Speaker 1: We'll make picks here in just one second. But I 86 00:04:22,000 --> 00:04:25,400 Speaker 1: will say this, and this goes. If the Seahawks win 87 00:04:25,480 --> 00:04:27,919 Speaker 1: this game by ten points or more, people are going 88 00:04:28,000 --> 00:04:30,400 Speaker 1: to break their arms patting themselves on the back for 89 00:04:30,600 --> 00:04:33,640 Speaker 1: the what that they've called it. I've been around long enough. 90 00:04:33,720 --> 00:04:36,040 Speaker 1: I'm forty eight years old. I've been doing gambling full 91 00:04:36,080 --> 00:04:41,039 Speaker 1: time now for almost ten years. And watching the way 92 00:04:41,160 --> 00:04:45,680 Speaker 1: the gambling public is talking about this game versus watching 93 00:04:45,720 --> 00:04:48,520 Speaker 1: the way the general public is talking about this game. 94 00:04:49,040 --> 00:04:53,000 Speaker 1: I've seen this story before where there is a lot 95 00:04:53,000 --> 00:04:56,160 Speaker 1: of group think going into that Seattle is so much 96 00:04:56,200 --> 00:04:59,960 Speaker 1: better than the Patriots, that this number is too low. 97 00:05:00,400 --> 00:05:03,120 Speaker 1: This number should be seven, this number should be eight, 98 00:05:03,200 --> 00:05:06,720 Speaker 1: this number just Patriots offense can't do anything against this 99 00:05:06,800 --> 00:05:10,200 Speaker 1: Seahawks pass rush. That the Patriots defense has played, like 100 00:05:10,240 --> 00:05:13,320 Speaker 1: you mentioned, a bunch of cupcakes going into the super Bowl, 101 00:05:13,360 --> 00:05:15,560 Speaker 1: and that their schedule is being so easy that the 102 00:05:15,560 --> 00:05:18,800 Speaker 1: Patriots are gonna get exposed here and the Seahawks are 103 00:05:18,800 --> 00:05:21,760 Speaker 1: going to do one for America and rip the mask 104 00:05:21,839 --> 00:05:24,000 Speaker 1: off of the Scooby Doo villain and we're gonna see 105 00:05:24,000 --> 00:05:28,000 Speaker 1: what actually is going on here. For the Patriots. This 106 00:05:28,200 --> 00:05:33,880 Speaker 1: path for Seattle is easier, was easier than the Patriots path. 107 00:05:34,320 --> 00:05:36,320 Speaker 1: If you want to talk about how these teams got here, 108 00:05:37,000 --> 00:05:39,560 Speaker 1: Seattle played a joke of a team in the forty 109 00:05:39,640 --> 00:05:42,599 Speaker 1: nine ers, who, if they have their full complement of 110 00:05:42,839 --> 00:05:46,799 Speaker 1: all star roster talent, could have won that game at Seattle. 111 00:05:47,120 --> 00:05:49,279 Speaker 1: And then they played their arch rival in the Rams, 112 00:05:49,560 --> 00:05:52,160 Speaker 1: against the team with a defense that Sam Darnold has 113 00:05:52,200 --> 00:05:55,960 Speaker 1: seen a ton of, and frankly, the Rams defense stunk 114 00:05:56,279 --> 00:05:59,120 Speaker 1: this year and so yes, he was able to move 115 00:05:59,120 --> 00:06:02,440 Speaker 1: the football. The Patriots defense, all the stats you just listed, 116 00:06:02,720 --> 00:06:05,400 Speaker 1: this is the best defense the Seahawks will play here 117 00:06:05,520 --> 00:06:08,680 Speaker 1: in the postseason. And that is including the forty nine ers, 118 00:06:08,880 --> 00:06:11,400 Speaker 1: because look at all I mean, we laughed about it. 119 00:06:11,440 --> 00:06:13,720 Speaker 1: The forty nine ers with Robert Sala, they were pulling 120 00:06:13,800 --> 00:06:16,599 Speaker 1: guys off the street to go and play here. Milton 121 00:06:16,600 --> 00:06:19,960 Speaker 1: Williams and Christen Barmore are going to make life really 122 00:06:20,000 --> 00:06:24,280 Speaker 1: difficult for an offensive line that does not block defensive 123 00:06:24,320 --> 00:06:27,800 Speaker 1: tackles well at all. While the Patriots have a tough 124 00:06:27,839 --> 00:06:31,320 Speaker 1: time blocking the edges, the Seahawks have a hard time 125 00:06:31,360 --> 00:06:33,880 Speaker 1: blocking up the middle. The A and the B gap 126 00:06:33,960 --> 00:06:36,799 Speaker 1: is where they really struggle, and that is the literal 127 00:06:36,839 --> 00:06:39,560 Speaker 1: strength of this Patriot defense, where they gave one hundred 128 00:06:39,600 --> 00:06:42,640 Speaker 1: million dollars to Milton Williams. So this is going to 129 00:06:42,640 --> 00:06:45,760 Speaker 1: be a gigantic test, I think for this Seahawks team 130 00:06:46,080 --> 00:06:47,840 Speaker 1: and everybody who's saying that this is going to be 131 00:06:47,880 --> 00:06:50,919 Speaker 1: a blowout, I would be very careful with your bank rolls. 132 00:06:51,160 --> 00:06:53,479 Speaker 1: I wouldn't be betting it like that because if you are, 133 00:06:53,960 --> 00:06:56,480 Speaker 1: I have a sneaking suspicion you're going to be pacing 134 00:06:56,520 --> 00:06:59,320 Speaker 1: the house in the fourth quarter on Sunday. 135 00:06:59,680 --> 00:07:02,640 Speaker 2: Can the Patriots move the ball against the Seattle defense? 136 00:07:02,720 --> 00:07:04,960 Speaker 2: I wonder if there are any coaches in this game 137 00:07:05,000 --> 00:07:07,680 Speaker 2: who have won six championships. Oh wait, the guy who 138 00:07:07,760 --> 00:07:10,960 Speaker 2: calls plays for the New England Patriots might have six 139 00:07:11,000 --> 00:07:13,760 Speaker 2: Super Bowl rings. So I do think there's a chance 140 00:07:13,800 --> 00:07:17,760 Speaker 2: they can solve this defense. I don't expect the Patriots 141 00:07:17,760 --> 00:07:20,240 Speaker 2: to put up forty points on Seattle, but I think 142 00:07:20,240 --> 00:07:22,640 Speaker 2: they can score enough to potentially win this game. 143 00:07:22,760 --> 00:07:23,800 Speaker 3: I agree with you. 144 00:07:23,840 --> 00:07:25,960 Speaker 2: Do you get the sense that among the sharps in 145 00:07:26,040 --> 00:07:30,360 Speaker 2: Vegas that's maybe there's going to be some Patriots money 146 00:07:30,360 --> 00:07:31,400 Speaker 2: coming in late in the week. 147 00:07:32,880 --> 00:07:35,960 Speaker 1: I mean, this is the narrative. We tape this on 148 00:07:36,000 --> 00:07:39,800 Speaker 1: Tuesday morning. The narrative is, all the money is coming 149 00:07:39,840 --> 00:07:42,960 Speaker 1: in on Seattle. Everyone's hammering Seal. Why would you bet 150 00:07:42,960 --> 00:07:46,440 Speaker 1: the Patriots? Now? There is no benefit to betting New 151 00:07:46,480 --> 00:07:49,280 Speaker 1: England right now, this number is teetering between four and 152 00:07:49,320 --> 00:07:52,800 Speaker 1: a half and five. Just wait, let this thing go. 153 00:07:53,280 --> 00:07:54,920 Speaker 1: See if you can get a five or even a 154 00:07:54,960 --> 00:07:57,000 Speaker 1: five and a half at some point, to see what 155 00:07:57,040 --> 00:07:59,600 Speaker 1: the ceiling is going to be, and then we're going 156 00:07:59,640 --> 00:08:02,880 Speaker 1: to see the Patriot money show up. It will be 157 00:08:02,960 --> 00:08:05,520 Speaker 1: there Thursday, Friday, Saturday. You're going to see a lot 158 00:08:05,560 --> 00:08:08,560 Speaker 1: of Patriot money. I made the prediction that the line 159 00:08:08,600 --> 00:08:11,200 Speaker 1: will do the same thing that it did for the 160 00:08:11,240 --> 00:08:14,560 Speaker 1: Broncos and the Patriots in the AFC Championship game. That 161 00:08:14,640 --> 00:08:16,680 Speaker 1: number got as high as five and a half, it 162 00:08:16,760 --> 00:08:19,320 Speaker 1: closed at three and a half. I think it's gonna 163 00:08:19,320 --> 00:08:22,000 Speaker 1: close around three and a half or four. So if 164 00:08:22,040 --> 00:08:24,480 Speaker 1: you do like Seattle, I would take it now because 165 00:08:24,520 --> 00:08:27,800 Speaker 1: I think we're seeing five be the top of the market. 166 00:08:28,160 --> 00:08:30,600 Speaker 3: Interesting. I wonder if it will come down that. 167 00:08:30,760 --> 00:08:33,319 Speaker 2: It seems like it's been a pretty stable four and 168 00:08:33,360 --> 00:08:35,679 Speaker 2: a half peaking five in some spots. 169 00:08:35,960 --> 00:08:38,800 Speaker 1: Remember opened at three and a half though, Yeah, so 170 00:08:39,160 --> 00:08:41,440 Speaker 1: I think it goes back closer to the opener. I 171 00:08:41,440 --> 00:08:44,160 Speaker 1: think that number gets driven down and comes down to 172 00:08:44,240 --> 00:08:46,640 Speaker 1: four three and a half here before we get to 173 00:08:46,720 --> 00:08:48,760 Speaker 1: kick off, because I do think your big bets, you're 174 00:08:48,840 --> 00:08:52,000 Speaker 1: sharp if you will, your sharp accounts are going to 175 00:08:52,040 --> 00:08:54,040 Speaker 1: come in on New England because they're going to take 176 00:08:54,080 --> 00:08:56,920 Speaker 1: the points. It's too close of a matchup. This number 177 00:08:56,920 --> 00:08:59,439 Speaker 1: should be two and a half. That's the real number here. 178 00:08:59,679 --> 00:09:01,880 Speaker 1: It's Seattle minus two and a half, not four and 179 00:09:01,880 --> 00:09:04,000 Speaker 1: a half and not five. That number is wrong in 180 00:09:04,040 --> 00:09:06,120 Speaker 1: my opinion, and I think it's just praying on the 181 00:09:06,120 --> 00:09:08,520 Speaker 1: public and setting the public up for a three point 182 00:09:08,600 --> 00:09:11,439 Speaker 1: win for Seattle, and the books will clean just take 183 00:09:11,440 --> 00:09:12,160 Speaker 1: it right off the board. 184 00:09:12,520 --> 00:09:14,880 Speaker 3: I'm with you on that, So we'll see guy. 185 00:09:14,920 --> 00:09:16,480 Speaker 1: Before we give you our picks. 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Play terms and conditions apply. 214 00:10:36,800 --> 00:10:39,360 Speaker 4: Concerned about gambling in Florida, call one eight three three 215 00:10:39,360 --> 00:10:41,760 Speaker 4: play wise. In Indiana, if you are someone you know 216 00:10:41,800 --> 00:10:44,120 Speaker 4: as a gambling problem, lants help called one eight hundred 217 00:10:44,120 --> 00:10:46,760 Speaker 4: and nine with it. Gambling problem called one hundred gambler 218 00:10:46,760 --> 00:10:50,319 Speaker 4: in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. 219 00:10:50,360 --> 00:10:53,720 Speaker 1: All right, let's get into picks here. Where are we going? 220 00:10:53,840 --> 00:10:56,520 Speaker 1: Pat what is the play for Super Bowl sixty on 221 00:10:56,559 --> 00:10:58,880 Speaker 1: the side, I don't. 222 00:10:58,720 --> 00:11:02,320 Speaker 2: Think I have looked at the hundreds and hundreds of 223 00:11:02,360 --> 00:11:04,560 Speaker 2: bets available in. 224 00:11:05,080 --> 00:11:06,640 Speaker 3: Props, sides totals. 225 00:11:06,679 --> 00:11:10,000 Speaker 2: I don't think there's any better value, and I know 226 00:11:10,040 --> 00:11:13,720 Speaker 2: we might disagree on this. Then the under than under 227 00:11:13,720 --> 00:11:16,160 Speaker 2: forty five and a half points. And this kind of 228 00:11:16,160 --> 00:11:18,800 Speaker 2: goes to what we were talking about about the Patriots 229 00:11:18,840 --> 00:11:22,439 Speaker 2: being the best defense the Seattle Seahawks have faced in 230 00:11:22,520 --> 00:11:25,800 Speaker 2: the playoffs. I completely agree the Rams defense was lights 231 00:11:25,800 --> 00:11:28,400 Speaker 2: out early in the season, but it was waning down 232 00:11:28,440 --> 00:11:30,360 Speaker 2: the stretch and we saw them give up yards and 233 00:11:30,400 --> 00:11:35,080 Speaker 2: points to the Carolina Panthers, to the Chicago Bears. I 234 00:11:35,120 --> 00:11:37,080 Speaker 2: definitely think this is going to be a tough challenge 235 00:11:37,080 --> 00:11:40,199 Speaker 2: for Seattle's offense. And Sam Darnold has been playing great 236 00:11:40,200 --> 00:11:43,400 Speaker 2: in the first two games. But yes, the San Francisco 237 00:11:43,559 --> 00:11:47,040 Speaker 2: defense is very compromised by injuries, and then did it 238 00:11:47,120 --> 00:11:50,360 Speaker 2: against the Rams at home in a pretty friendly environment. 239 00:11:50,480 --> 00:11:55,839 Speaker 2: So look, the Patriots defense has gotten fifty seven pressures 240 00:11:56,040 --> 00:11:58,559 Speaker 2: in its first three playoff games. That's the most by 241 00:11:58,600 --> 00:12:00,719 Speaker 2: any team in its first three playoff game since two 242 00:12:00,800 --> 00:12:05,400 Speaker 2: thousand and nine. Kalevon Jason has turned into Bruce Smith 243 00:12:05,960 --> 00:12:10,160 Speaker 2: in this playoffs eighteen pressures he has in three games. 244 00:12:10,679 --> 00:12:14,360 Speaker 2: And not only are the Patriots putting heat on quarterbacks, 245 00:12:14,360 --> 00:12:16,199 Speaker 2: and not only do they have guys who can cover 246 00:12:16,240 --> 00:12:20,160 Speaker 2: in the back end Christian Gonzalez, Marcus Jones. They're only 247 00:12:20,160 --> 00:12:23,080 Speaker 2: giving up three point one yards per carry in the playoffs, 248 00:12:23,120 --> 00:12:27,280 Speaker 2: so they are stopping run and pass. And on the 249 00:12:27,280 --> 00:12:29,280 Speaker 2: other side, you know, you've got the Seahawks who are 250 00:12:29,280 --> 00:12:31,880 Speaker 2: top five in pressure rate despite blitzing at the eighth 251 00:12:32,000 --> 00:12:35,560 Speaker 2: lowest rate in the league. The Patriots have allowed the 252 00:12:35,640 --> 00:12:37,920 Speaker 2: tenth highest pressure rate in the league. That was during 253 00:12:37,920 --> 00:12:42,560 Speaker 2: the regular season against the pretty easy schedule, and they've 254 00:12:42,559 --> 00:12:44,960 Speaker 2: been giving up even more pressure in the playoffs. 255 00:12:44,559 --> 00:12:45,800 Speaker 3: To these good defenses. 256 00:12:46,280 --> 00:12:49,920 Speaker 2: The Seattle secondary is loaded with the Von Witherspoon, Julian Love, 257 00:12:50,040 --> 00:12:54,760 Speaker 2: Nicki Minwari, Kobe Bryant. I think we're going to see 258 00:12:54,760 --> 00:12:57,600 Speaker 2: two teams really struggle to move the ball, Matt, And 259 00:12:57,640 --> 00:13:00,920 Speaker 2: of course there are things that can short circuit under bets, 260 00:13:01,559 --> 00:13:07,200 Speaker 2: defensive touchdowns, short fields, turnovers that create those short fields. Yeah, 261 00:13:07,240 --> 00:13:09,959 Speaker 2: there's absolutely a chance it could go over this, but 262 00:13:10,000 --> 00:13:14,320 Speaker 2: no one likes betting the under, So I think the 263 00:13:14,360 --> 00:13:16,679 Speaker 2: over has said about two and a half points higher 264 00:13:16,679 --> 00:13:19,160 Speaker 2: than it really should be, if not more, maybe closer 265 00:13:19,200 --> 00:13:21,280 Speaker 2: to three. I think it should be like forty two 266 00:13:21,360 --> 00:13:24,080 Speaker 2: and a half, and we're getting it at forty five 267 00:13:24,120 --> 00:13:27,280 Speaker 2: and a half. I think there's gonna be a real 268 00:13:27,360 --> 00:13:30,040 Speaker 2: struggle to get to forty points in this game. And 269 00:13:30,160 --> 00:13:33,640 Speaker 2: I just I think there's amazing value in the under. 270 00:13:34,080 --> 00:13:37,080 Speaker 1: If I'm gonna play it, I think a teasing up 271 00:13:37,080 --> 00:13:39,559 Speaker 1: to fifty one and a half and taking the under 272 00:13:39,720 --> 00:13:41,640 Speaker 1: is where I would go because I think it's a 273 00:13:41,679 --> 00:13:45,120 Speaker 1: twenty seven to twenty four final for the Patriots, and 274 00:13:45,160 --> 00:13:46,520 Speaker 1: I know that kind of gives away my play, but 275 00:13:46,600 --> 00:13:49,640 Speaker 1: I am on two futures. I have a Seal ticket 276 00:13:49,640 --> 00:13:52,880 Speaker 1: at fourteen to one and a Patriot future at eleven 277 00:13:52,920 --> 00:13:55,040 Speaker 1: to one. So who wins the game doesn't really matter 278 00:13:55,120 --> 00:13:56,839 Speaker 1: to me. I'll make a pick on it. But who 279 00:13:56,840 --> 00:13:58,520 Speaker 1: wins the game doesn't really matter to me. But I 280 00:13:58,559 --> 00:14:01,280 Speaker 1: am betting the over like you meant at forty five 281 00:14:01,320 --> 00:14:03,480 Speaker 1: and a half. The reason is because I do think 282 00:14:03,559 --> 00:14:07,520 Speaker 1: the special team's portion of this game is going to 283 00:14:07,600 --> 00:14:10,280 Speaker 1: be significant. The Patriots have one of the best kick 284 00:14:10,320 --> 00:14:12,880 Speaker 1: returners in punt returners in the game, and Marcus Jones 285 00:14:13,240 --> 00:14:14,800 Speaker 1: I think he is going to make a big play 286 00:14:14,800 --> 00:14:17,960 Speaker 1: in this game. The Patriots have been known to turn 287 00:14:18,000 --> 00:14:21,960 Speaker 1: the football over, but so have Sam Darnold in the Seahawks. 288 00:14:22,240 --> 00:14:24,239 Speaker 1: I do think this game is going to have turnovers 289 00:14:24,280 --> 00:14:26,320 Speaker 1: on both sides. I do think there's a good shot 290 00:14:26,360 --> 00:14:29,000 Speaker 1: that Drake may gets hit any fumbles. I do think 291 00:14:29,040 --> 00:14:30,920 Speaker 1: there's a good shot that we get some type of 292 00:14:30,960 --> 00:14:34,040 Speaker 1: special teams play in this game that leads to points. 293 00:14:34,320 --> 00:14:36,480 Speaker 1: So to me, I think it's a game in the 294 00:14:36,520 --> 00:14:38,840 Speaker 1: twenties I don't think it's a repeat of the Rams 295 00:14:38,880 --> 00:14:41,920 Speaker 1: Patriots thirteen to three Super Bowl. I think we're going 296 00:14:42,000 --> 00:14:43,760 Speaker 1: to see and it is contrrion. I know a lot 297 00:14:43,800 --> 00:14:45,440 Speaker 1: of people that are on your side, a lot of 298 00:14:45,480 --> 00:14:48,040 Speaker 1: people that I trust in, people whose opinions I respect, 299 00:14:48,120 --> 00:14:51,160 Speaker 1: yours included, that are on the under, and I can 300 00:14:51,200 --> 00:14:54,240 Speaker 1: one hundred percent see it because both quarterbacks may have 301 00:14:54,320 --> 00:14:57,920 Speaker 1: a bear of a time against these defenses. I just 302 00:14:57,960 --> 00:14:59,560 Speaker 1: think the Patriots are going to find a way to 303 00:14:59,600 --> 00:15:02,400 Speaker 1: score and then that's going to open up Sam Donald. 304 00:15:02,680 --> 00:15:04,960 Speaker 1: It will lead to points, but it also will lead 305 00:15:05,000 --> 00:15:07,880 Speaker 1: to mistakes by Sam Darnald, and I do expect him 306 00:15:07,880 --> 00:15:10,120 Speaker 1: to make some pretty big ones in this game. I 307 00:15:10,160 --> 00:15:13,240 Speaker 1: think the Patriots. Sam Donald's zero to four in his 308 00:15:13,320 --> 00:15:15,680 Speaker 1: career against the Patriots, and he scored a grand total 309 00:15:15,720 --> 00:15:18,400 Speaker 1: of twenty three points against New England. You can tell 310 00:15:18,400 --> 00:15:20,080 Speaker 1: me all you want about the Jets and everything else 311 00:15:20,160 --> 00:15:22,880 Speaker 1: going on, but this guy has not played well against 312 00:15:22,920 --> 00:15:25,800 Speaker 1: the Patriots. So to me, I think we're gonna see 313 00:15:25,800 --> 00:15:28,240 Speaker 1: a little more offense than people think in this game. 314 00:15:28,600 --> 00:15:31,280 Speaker 1: But I understand the under for sure, because on paper, 315 00:15:31,320 --> 00:15:33,280 Speaker 1: I think that's the correct read. I'm just gonna go 316 00:15:33,320 --> 00:15:36,480 Speaker 1: contrarian because it's the Super Bowl, and I feel like 317 00:15:36,560 --> 00:15:39,320 Speaker 1: everyone is on the under. It was forty six two 318 00:15:39,360 --> 00:15:41,440 Speaker 1: days ago, we're down to forty five and a half. 319 00:15:41,720 --> 00:15:44,080 Speaker 1: So when the limits start to be opened up, you're 320 00:15:44,120 --> 00:15:45,560 Speaker 1: seeing people come in and at the under. 321 00:15:46,200 --> 00:15:49,680 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll buy that. And then for the side, yep. 322 00:15:50,800 --> 00:15:54,760 Speaker 2: I like the Patriots on the money line, and right 323 00:15:54,760 --> 00:15:58,680 Speaker 2: now it's plus one p ninety eight in most spots, 324 00:15:58,760 --> 00:16:01,160 Speaker 2: that's the number I'm seeing. I think you can find 325 00:16:01,200 --> 00:16:03,680 Speaker 2: it at plus one ninety five in some spots, and 326 00:16:03,720 --> 00:16:06,480 Speaker 2: maybe if you're right about this spread getting as high 327 00:16:06,480 --> 00:16:08,000 Speaker 2: as five or five and a half, you might be 328 00:16:08,000 --> 00:16:09,720 Speaker 2: able to get it a plus two hundred or even 329 00:16:09,720 --> 00:16:10,440 Speaker 2: a little higher. 330 00:16:11,320 --> 00:16:12,120 Speaker 3: I like getting that. 331 00:16:12,200 --> 00:16:15,359 Speaker 2: I mean, I do think it's justified that the Seahawks 332 00:16:15,400 --> 00:16:18,120 Speaker 2: are favorites, and I do think they probably have a 333 00:16:18,160 --> 00:16:21,000 Speaker 2: better than fifty to fifty chance to win, although maybe 334 00:16:21,040 --> 00:16:25,160 Speaker 2: not that much better than fifty percent. At plus one 335 00:16:25,280 --> 00:16:28,880 Speaker 2: ninety you're basically saying the Patriots have a thirty five 336 00:16:28,920 --> 00:16:31,600 Speaker 2: percent chance to win, and I think their odds are 337 00:16:31,600 --> 00:16:34,200 Speaker 2: better than that, So I think there's value there. And 338 00:16:34,320 --> 00:16:38,760 Speaker 2: rather than take the points and bet that it's a 339 00:16:38,800 --> 00:16:41,960 Speaker 2: close game. I would rather just take the chance to, 340 00:16:42,240 --> 00:16:44,720 Speaker 2: you know, make three to one on my bet. 341 00:16:45,160 --> 00:16:48,120 Speaker 1: I like it. I mean, I do think there's other 342 00:16:48,160 --> 00:16:49,920 Speaker 1: ways of approaching it. If you don't want to take 343 00:16:49,960 --> 00:16:52,440 Speaker 1: the plus on that you want some insurance, and you 344 00:16:52,480 --> 00:16:55,600 Speaker 1: could take Patriot moneyline at plus one ninety and then 345 00:16:55,640 --> 00:16:58,560 Speaker 1: t is the Patriots from plus five up to plus eleven, 346 00:16:58,640 --> 00:17:00,680 Speaker 1: take the total from forty six up to fifty two 347 00:17:00,720 --> 00:17:02,360 Speaker 1: and take under, or fifty one and a half and 348 00:17:02,400 --> 00:17:05,040 Speaker 1: take under. So I do think there's a same game 349 00:17:05,080 --> 00:17:08,639 Speaker 1: parlay opportunity here. I do not believe this is a blowout. Okay, 350 00:17:08,880 --> 00:17:11,000 Speaker 1: I don't think the Patriots blow out the Seahawks. I 351 00:17:11,000 --> 00:17:14,000 Speaker 1: don't think the Seahawks blow out the Patriots. So I 352 00:17:14,000 --> 00:17:16,399 Speaker 1: think this game is ripe for a teaser like that. 353 00:17:16,600 --> 00:17:18,640 Speaker 1: If you want to, and people like betting the under, 354 00:17:18,680 --> 00:17:20,280 Speaker 1: if you want to pull it down from forty five 355 00:17:20,320 --> 00:17:21,920 Speaker 1: and a half down to thirty nine and a half 356 00:17:21,920 --> 00:17:24,479 Speaker 1: and take the over, you can do that. But you 357 00:17:24,560 --> 00:17:27,119 Speaker 1: are running the risk that these defenses do what everyone 358 00:17:27,119 --> 00:17:29,280 Speaker 1: thinks they're going to do. And this game is like 359 00:17:29,320 --> 00:17:31,680 Speaker 1: the Patriots in the Rams and it's thirteen to three. 360 00:17:31,800 --> 00:17:35,560 Speaker 1: But I think the Patriots have some advantages here that 361 00:17:35,640 --> 00:17:39,439 Speaker 1: people aren't putting enough respect on. And I think it 362 00:17:39,480 --> 00:17:41,879 Speaker 1: comes down to the running game for New England. I 363 00:17:41,920 --> 00:17:44,399 Speaker 1: think Traveon Henderson is going to have a big game 364 00:17:44,760 --> 00:17:47,439 Speaker 1: in the Super Bowl. I think Ramandra Stevenson is going 365 00:17:47,480 --> 00:17:49,719 Speaker 1: to have a big game in the Super Bowl. And 366 00:17:49,760 --> 00:17:52,040 Speaker 1: there's a lot of confidence. I think when you're in 367 00:17:52,119 --> 00:17:56,159 Speaker 1: this game, you see it from just the mistakes that 368 00:17:56,240 --> 00:17:59,960 Speaker 1: get made. Pete Carroll, for instance. Obviously coaches just doing 369 00:18:00,240 --> 00:18:02,760 Speaker 1: differently because it's the Super Bowl. They don't think the 370 00:18:02,800 --> 00:18:06,720 Speaker 1: same way. I know Mike McDonald has dominated quarterbacks under 371 00:18:06,720 --> 00:18:09,719 Speaker 1: the age of twenty five. I don't care Josh McDaniels 372 00:18:09,720 --> 00:18:12,240 Speaker 1: has been, like you mentioned, in a couple of these games. 373 00:18:12,400 --> 00:18:15,280 Speaker 1: The Patriots head coach has won three of them himself. Like, 374 00:18:15,320 --> 00:18:18,360 Speaker 1: this is an organization that is used to being in 375 00:18:18,400 --> 00:18:21,520 Speaker 1: this game. They know the prep, they know the game, 376 00:18:21,720 --> 00:18:23,920 Speaker 1: they know how to get ready for a Super Bowl 377 00:18:23,960 --> 00:18:26,840 Speaker 1: more than any other franchise. And I think that plays 378 00:18:26,880 --> 00:18:30,440 Speaker 1: out here against Seattle with a quarterback in Sam Darnold 379 00:18:30,520 --> 00:18:34,240 Speaker 1: who's trying to prove himself and trying to justify his existence, 380 00:18:34,560 --> 00:18:36,800 Speaker 1: and an offensive coordinator who now is looking at the 381 00:18:36,880 --> 00:18:40,080 Speaker 1: Raiders saying that's my team. Don't tell me Clint Kubiak 382 00:18:40,160 --> 00:18:42,520 Speaker 1: is not just a little bit distracted. Okay, he's just 383 00:18:42,560 --> 00:18:44,240 Speaker 1: a little bit distracted. He's going to be a head 384 00:18:44,280 --> 00:18:46,480 Speaker 1: coach for the first time, and he's coming here to Vegas. 385 00:18:46,560 --> 00:18:50,399 Speaker 1: Like the Monday morning press conference after the Super Bowl 386 00:18:50,520 --> 00:18:53,160 Speaker 1: is going to be Clint Kubiak coming here to Vegas 387 00:18:53,320 --> 00:18:56,000 Speaker 1: to be introduced. So there's a lot of things go 388 00:18:56,119 --> 00:18:59,040 Speaker 1: running around this Seattle franchise that if I'm a Seahawk fan, 389 00:18:59,200 --> 00:19:00,320 Speaker 1: I'm a little bit certain. 390 00:19:01,240 --> 00:19:03,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, that makes a lot of sense. Let me throw 391 00:19:03,720 --> 00:19:07,360 Speaker 2: a few other pluses at you. From the Patriots point 392 00:19:07,359 --> 00:19:12,000 Speaker 2: of view. Super Bowl experience. Mentioned that Patriots offensive coordinator 393 00:19:12,040 --> 00:19:15,440 Speaker 2: Josh McDaniels has been a part of six New England championships. 394 00:19:16,000 --> 00:19:19,600 Speaker 2: Patriots head coach Mike Vrabel has three championship rings from 395 00:19:19,600 --> 00:19:22,919 Speaker 2: his playing days with the Pats. Milton Williams, who you 396 00:19:22,960 --> 00:19:26,040 Speaker 2: talked about earlier, won a championship with the Eagles last year. 397 00:19:26,280 --> 00:19:29,520 Speaker 2: Carlton Davis has won one with the Buccaneers. Mac Collins 398 00:19:29,600 --> 00:19:32,600 Speaker 2: is one one with the Eagles. Like, there's some Super 399 00:19:32,600 --> 00:19:34,680 Speaker 2: Bowl experience on that side of the ball, even though 400 00:19:34,720 --> 00:19:38,480 Speaker 2: the Patriots are viewed as this young, upstar team and 401 00:19:38,600 --> 00:19:42,480 Speaker 2: then you were talking about Darnold a second ago, Matt, like, 402 00:19:43,160 --> 00:19:45,720 Speaker 2: I think Drake May is the better quarterback in this game. 403 00:19:46,359 --> 00:19:47,520 Speaker 3: Experience be damned. 404 00:19:47,560 --> 00:19:50,639 Speaker 2: I mean, so, if you're going to give me either 405 00:19:51,200 --> 00:19:53,760 Speaker 2: more than a field goal as far as points or 406 00:19:53,840 --> 00:19:56,960 Speaker 2: give me a plus one ninety plus two hundred on 407 00:19:57,000 --> 00:20:00,560 Speaker 2: the money line, yeah, I always feel good about taking 408 00:20:00,600 --> 00:20:03,120 Speaker 2: the team that has the better quarterback when I'm getting 409 00:20:03,160 --> 00:20:04,120 Speaker 2: those types of odds. 410 00:20:04,280 --> 00:20:06,680 Speaker 1: Well, let's talk about prop bets because Donald is one 411 00:20:06,720 --> 00:20:08,440 Speaker 1: of my prop bets that I like, and I will 412 00:20:08,440 --> 00:20:10,720 Speaker 1: make more prop bets throughout the week on the Daily 413 00:20:10,800 --> 00:20:12,920 Speaker 1: Juice podcast. You guys can find it here on the 414 00:20:12,960 --> 00:20:14,880 Speaker 1: Betting Pros YouTube channel. So if you want more than 415 00:20:15,000 --> 00:20:16,760 Speaker 1: just these props, I'm gonna give you guys. I'll have 416 00:20:16,800 --> 00:20:19,240 Speaker 1: one every single day leading up to the game on Sunday. 417 00:20:19,520 --> 00:20:22,199 Speaker 1: But I like Sam Darlan to throw a pick. I 418 00:20:22,240 --> 00:20:24,639 Speaker 1: think it comes down to the pressure the Patriots are 419 00:20:24,640 --> 00:20:26,880 Speaker 1: gonna face are gonna put on him, and he's gonna 420 00:20:26,880 --> 00:20:29,679 Speaker 1: face up the middle. I think Donald will make a 421 00:20:29,720 --> 00:20:31,920 Speaker 1: mistake in this game because we've seen it in the past. 422 00:20:31,960 --> 00:20:34,760 Speaker 1: He did it against the Rams. He gets pressured, guys 423 00:20:34,760 --> 00:20:37,000 Speaker 1: are in his face, and he'll throw the ball up 424 00:20:37,040 --> 00:20:40,000 Speaker 1: for grabs at times, trying to make a play. Kind 425 00:20:40,240 --> 00:20:42,480 Speaker 1: not on the same level as to what happens in 426 00:20:42,520 --> 00:20:45,760 Speaker 1: the AFC Championship game, but similarly, I do think he 427 00:20:45,800 --> 00:20:48,080 Speaker 1: will make a mistake. I like him to throw a pick. 428 00:20:48,400 --> 00:20:50,879 Speaker 1: It's not expensive. It should be somewhere around mys one 429 00:20:50,960 --> 00:20:53,800 Speaker 1: thirty one thirty five on Darlom to throw a pick. 430 00:20:54,000 --> 00:20:56,960 Speaker 1: How to feel about Darnald get intercepted by the Patriots defense. 431 00:20:57,040 --> 00:20:59,800 Speaker 3: I feel pretty good about that. It was last night. 432 00:21:00,320 --> 00:21:03,119 Speaker 2: It was minus one thirty one, Okay, And are you 433 00:21:03,240 --> 00:21:07,040 Speaker 2: surprised at all that Drake May had Drake May's minus 434 00:21:07,080 --> 00:21:09,960 Speaker 2: won forty one to throw an interception? Does that surprise 435 00:21:10,040 --> 00:21:12,520 Speaker 2: you that the odds of Drake May throwing one are 436 00:21:12,560 --> 00:21:14,320 Speaker 2: shorter than the odds of Donald throwing one. 437 00:21:14,440 --> 00:21:17,359 Speaker 1: No, it's public perception. I think the public perception is 438 00:21:17,359 --> 00:21:19,160 Speaker 1: that Drake May is going to turn the football over 439 00:21:19,200 --> 00:21:21,960 Speaker 1: as much as he had all postseason, which I disagree 440 00:21:22,000 --> 00:21:24,119 Speaker 1: with because, as I said, I think the Patriots are 441 00:21:24,119 --> 00:21:25,439 Speaker 1: going to run the football, and I think they're going 442 00:21:25,440 --> 00:21:28,480 Speaker 1: to be effective running the football With a young quarterback, 443 00:21:28,520 --> 00:21:30,360 Speaker 1: they're going to protect him and Josh I don't think 444 00:21:30,400 --> 00:21:32,320 Speaker 1: it's going to be looking to throw the ball deep 445 00:21:32,359 --> 00:21:35,600 Speaker 1: all that often, but I'm not surprised, no. I think 446 00:21:35,600 --> 00:21:38,920 Speaker 1: the general thought is that Drake May is going to 447 00:21:38,960 --> 00:21:42,200 Speaker 1: be outplayed by Sam Donald, and that's why Donald's number 448 00:21:42,240 --> 00:21:44,840 Speaker 1: is shorter. From a pick perspective, yeah, I. 449 00:21:44,800 --> 00:21:47,240 Speaker 2: Get that, and maybe also that the Seahawks were pretty 450 00:21:47,280 --> 00:21:49,600 Speaker 2: run heavy during the regular season, maybe a little more 451 00:21:49,640 --> 00:21:52,879 Speaker 2: so than the Patriots. And I think ideally, in a 452 00:21:52,960 --> 00:21:56,199 Speaker 2: perfect world for Clint Kubiak, Sam Donald does have to 453 00:21:56,240 --> 00:21:58,560 Speaker 2: throw twenty five or few or passes in this game. 454 00:21:58,680 --> 00:22:00,639 Speaker 2: I just don't know if the Patriots defense is going 455 00:22:00,720 --> 00:22:02,560 Speaker 2: to allow that with the way they've stopped the run. 456 00:22:02,720 --> 00:22:04,960 Speaker 1: Look, it's the Super bowlright, so it'd be the first 457 00:22:05,000 --> 00:22:07,200 Speaker 1: time all year they get gashed in the run game. 458 00:22:07,280 --> 00:22:09,480 Speaker 1: And Kenneth Walker the third is tremendous. I just think 459 00:22:09,480 --> 00:22:11,960 Speaker 1: the Zach Scharbonay injury is much bigger than people think. 460 00:22:12,280 --> 00:22:15,160 Speaker 1: And I've been talking about the whole postseason that at 461 00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:17,000 Speaker 1: some point they were going to hit a defense. It's 462 00:22:17,000 --> 00:22:19,280 Speaker 1: gonna make them pay for not having more than one 463 00:22:19,359 --> 00:22:21,399 Speaker 1: option on the running back side and in the red 464 00:22:21,480 --> 00:22:24,520 Speaker 1: zone where Zach Sharbonay was a complete vulture for touchdowns. 465 00:22:24,760 --> 00:22:27,240 Speaker 1: If the Patriots can hold this offense to field goals 466 00:22:27,400 --> 00:22:29,600 Speaker 1: and then they go and score touchdowns, that's how they 467 00:22:29,600 --> 00:22:32,040 Speaker 1: win the Super Bowls by leaning on their defense. So 468 00:22:32,560 --> 00:22:35,680 Speaker 1: I'd be careful with the Kenneth Walker props. I'm seeing 469 00:22:35,680 --> 00:22:37,359 Speaker 1: people say that Walker is gonna have a big game. 470 00:22:37,680 --> 00:22:40,240 Speaker 1: I'd be very careful. Yes, it's the Super Bowl and 471 00:22:40,280 --> 00:22:43,840 Speaker 1: weird wonky things happen, but all year long, the Patriots 472 00:22:43,920 --> 00:22:46,720 Speaker 1: defense has not been impacted by running backs all that much. 473 00:22:47,119 --> 00:22:47,480 Speaker 3: I agree. 474 00:22:47,480 --> 00:22:49,560 Speaker 2: And if Walker doesn't have a run of more than 475 00:22:49,560 --> 00:22:53,639 Speaker 2: twenty yards, I don't not think whatever his rushing total 476 00:22:53,680 --> 00:22:55,160 Speaker 2: is right now, and I can't remember. 477 00:22:55,000 --> 00:22:56,920 Speaker 1: Think it's like sixty five to seventy somewhere that runs. 478 00:22:57,040 --> 00:22:59,359 Speaker 2: Yeah, he's not going over if he doesn't have a 479 00:22:59,440 --> 00:23:01,800 Speaker 2: run of longer than twenty yards. So I think I'd 480 00:23:01,920 --> 00:23:04,360 Speaker 2: rather bet on the long run than I would on 481 00:23:04,440 --> 00:23:07,440 Speaker 2: the just total over for rushing yardage. 482 00:23:07,520 --> 00:23:08,440 Speaker 1: What's a prop you like that? 483 00:23:09,280 --> 00:23:13,840 Speaker 2: So we've talked about the pass rushes and how the 484 00:23:13,880 --> 00:23:17,919 Speaker 2: Patriots have had trouble blocking things up in the playoffs 485 00:23:18,040 --> 00:23:20,639 Speaker 2: and how much heat the Patriots have been putting on 486 00:23:21,280 --> 00:23:25,720 Speaker 2: in the playoffs. So I like a sack bet in 487 00:23:25,800 --> 00:23:28,040 Speaker 2: this game. And I've seen five and a half and 488 00:23:28,119 --> 00:23:30,560 Speaker 2: six and a half in different spots. As the total, 489 00:23:31,000 --> 00:23:33,960 Speaker 2: I'm taking it up to eight sacks or more. Matt 490 00:23:34,000 --> 00:23:36,240 Speaker 2: at plus three point thirty, I think we're going to 491 00:23:36,320 --> 00:23:38,919 Speaker 2: see eight or more total sacks in the game. I 492 00:23:38,960 --> 00:23:41,560 Speaker 2: want the bigger number, and I want to boost those 493 00:23:41,600 --> 00:23:44,520 Speaker 2: odds and give myself a tidy little payout when that hits. 494 00:23:46,040 --> 00:23:47,679 Speaker 1: Have you done the math yet if you looked and 495 00:23:47,720 --> 00:23:50,639 Speaker 1: see have there has there been a game involving the 496 00:23:50,640 --> 00:23:52,879 Speaker 1: Patriots and the Sales where we've seen a sack total 497 00:23:52,880 --> 00:23:53,440 Speaker 1: that high? 498 00:23:53,480 --> 00:23:55,600 Speaker 2: I haven't checked that, but I mean, how many times 499 00:23:55,600 --> 00:23:58,560 Speaker 2: has Drake may been sacked in the playoffs? Hasn't he 500 00:23:58,600 --> 00:24:00,920 Speaker 2: been sacked at least four four times every game? 501 00:24:00,960 --> 00:24:02,760 Speaker 1: I want to say, Yeah, that's why I think they're 502 00:24:02,760 --> 00:24:04,720 Speaker 1: gonna run the ball, because I don't think they're gonna 503 00:24:04,760 --> 00:24:07,400 Speaker 1: let him sit back there and let Seattle's defensive line 504 00:24:07,400 --> 00:24:09,560 Speaker 1: get after him the same way that they did with 505 00:24:09,840 --> 00:24:11,840 Speaker 1: the you know, I mean, I guess the Broncos go 506 00:24:11,920 --> 00:24:14,400 Speaker 1: after him a little bit. The weather obviously really hampered 507 00:24:14,400 --> 00:24:17,800 Speaker 1: the ability to throw the ball for New England. But yeah, 508 00:24:17,840 --> 00:24:20,679 Speaker 1: against the Texans he got lit up. I mean the Texans. 509 00:24:21,119 --> 00:24:24,160 Speaker 1: Will Anderson was in the backfield the entire game hitting 510 00:24:24,240 --> 00:24:27,680 Speaker 1: Drake May. So I love the odds though, I mean 511 00:24:27,840 --> 00:24:31,199 Speaker 1: there's a real big potential because I would say individually, like, 512 00:24:31,240 --> 00:24:34,800 Speaker 1: if you can find a book that's offering a Milton 513 00:24:34,800 --> 00:24:38,399 Speaker 1: Williams sack, prop I would take that. I think if 514 00:24:38,440 --> 00:24:41,360 Speaker 1: you find a Christian Barmore sack, prop, I would take that. 515 00:24:41,880 --> 00:24:45,119 Speaker 1: I think you're onto something. In terms of the sacks 516 00:24:45,160 --> 00:24:48,000 Speaker 1: for both teams, I think both offensive and defensive lines 517 00:24:48,080 --> 00:24:50,000 Speaker 1: are gonna be talked about quite a bit in this game. 518 00:24:50,960 --> 00:24:53,280 Speaker 3: Yeah. And for the record, May has been sacked five 519 00:24:53,359 --> 00:24:55,560 Speaker 3: times in each of his three playoff games. 520 00:24:55,920 --> 00:24:59,920 Speaker 1: Fuck off five times. Interesting case. Remember if he run 521 00:25:00,119 --> 00:25:02,159 Speaker 1: it gets tackled behind the line of scrimmage, that is 522 00:25:02,160 --> 00:25:04,760 Speaker 1: still a sack. So that's how he does So that's 523 00:25:04,760 --> 00:25:06,320 Speaker 1: that's that works. 524 00:25:06,480 --> 00:25:08,640 Speaker 2: And that is what May has been doing a lot 525 00:25:08,640 --> 00:25:10,840 Speaker 2: of this season. He's been taking a lot of sacks, 526 00:25:10,880 --> 00:25:13,080 Speaker 2: but for not a lot of yardage because he tries 527 00:25:13,119 --> 00:25:15,199 Speaker 2: to escape the pocket and move forward and a lot 528 00:25:15,200 --> 00:25:16,919 Speaker 2: of times he gets tripped up like a yard or 529 00:25:16,920 --> 00:25:20,919 Speaker 2: two behind the line of scrimmage. So I do think 530 00:25:20,960 --> 00:25:22,560 Speaker 2: we're going to see a lot of sacks there. And 531 00:25:23,000 --> 00:25:26,880 Speaker 2: maybe the only point at which we differ in how 532 00:25:26,920 --> 00:25:30,439 Speaker 2: we see this game going, maybe you might think the 533 00:25:30,440 --> 00:25:32,680 Speaker 2: Patriots have a little more success in the running game 534 00:25:32,720 --> 00:25:33,159 Speaker 2: than I do. 535 00:25:33,680 --> 00:25:34,879 Speaker 3: That Seattle run defense. 536 00:25:34,920 --> 00:25:37,119 Speaker 2: I mean, they are number one in DVOA against the 537 00:25:37,200 --> 00:25:39,720 Speaker 2: run and just a phenomenal rundee. 538 00:25:40,280 --> 00:25:42,040 Speaker 3: I think both teams are going to struggle. 539 00:25:41,720 --> 00:25:43,920 Speaker 2: To run the ball, quite honestly, and I think they're 540 00:25:43,920 --> 00:25:45,880 Speaker 2: gonna have no choice but to try to throw. 541 00:25:46,440 --> 00:25:49,440 Speaker 1: So if they're gonna run zone coverage in the back, 542 00:25:49,680 --> 00:25:53,040 Speaker 1: Travon Henderson's gonna kill him. So I can't wait to 543 00:25:53,080 --> 00:25:55,080 Speaker 1: see what the defensive game plan is going to be 544 00:25:55,119 --> 00:25:59,160 Speaker 1: for Mike McDonald because he's he has really disguised defense 545 00:25:59,200 --> 00:26:03,000 Speaker 1: as well, and that's why young quarterbacks struggle mightily, because 546 00:26:03,040 --> 00:26:05,960 Speaker 1: he'll flash one thing and then it'll be in something else. 547 00:26:06,400 --> 00:26:09,639 Speaker 1: But generally speaking, when the Patriots have seen zone coverage 548 00:26:09,640 --> 00:26:11,760 Speaker 1: in the back, their offensive line is really good up 549 00:26:11,760 --> 00:26:13,760 Speaker 1: the middle, and so they've run the ball with Trevion 550 00:26:13,800 --> 00:26:17,400 Speaker 1: Henderson and they've popped big runs this season with Treveon Henderson. 551 00:26:17,680 --> 00:26:20,160 Speaker 1: So I'll be very curious to see what the defensive 552 00:26:20,160 --> 00:26:22,479 Speaker 1: game plan is going to be for Seattle, and if 553 00:26:22,480 --> 00:26:24,920 Speaker 1: they run their typical base, the Patriots should be able 554 00:26:24,960 --> 00:26:27,280 Speaker 1: to run the football against this team, just given their 555 00:26:27,400 --> 00:26:30,440 Speaker 1: run scheme up against the run scheme the run stopping 556 00:26:30,480 --> 00:26:33,920 Speaker 1: steam for Seattle. But I get your point. I mean, 557 00:26:34,440 --> 00:26:36,280 Speaker 1: on paper, Seattle has done a very good job of 558 00:26:36,320 --> 00:26:39,280 Speaker 1: taking away the run. It also, I think that number 559 00:26:39,320 --> 00:26:42,359 Speaker 1: is skewed by how often Seattle had the lead. Teams 560 00:26:42,359 --> 00:26:45,440 Speaker 1: weren't able to run all that much on Seattle. They 561 00:26:45,520 --> 00:26:47,800 Speaker 1: had to throw to get back into the game, so 562 00:26:47,840 --> 00:26:51,240 Speaker 1: that limited the number of times. The Patriots playing with 563 00:26:51,240 --> 00:26:53,120 Speaker 1: a lead in this game is going to be very important. 564 00:26:53,400 --> 00:26:56,040 Speaker 1: That they need to be the one dictating tempo. They 565 00:26:56,080 --> 00:26:58,400 Speaker 1: need to be the one that puts pressure on Sam Darnold. 566 00:26:58,640 --> 00:27:01,120 Speaker 1: And when this game gets late and late and late, 567 00:27:01,480 --> 00:27:04,920 Speaker 1: I think all of those headlines about Sam Darnald start 568 00:27:04,960 --> 00:27:09,160 Speaker 1: to come into play. In the quote Icee ghosts that 569 00:27:09,200 --> 00:27:12,919 Speaker 1: could be coming back again here for Sam Darnald and 570 00:27:12,960 --> 00:27:16,800 Speaker 1: this career that has been remarkably rejuvenated both last year 571 00:27:16,840 --> 00:27:20,280 Speaker 1: in Minnesota and now this year. Here in Seattle for 572 00:27:20,400 --> 00:27:23,200 Speaker 1: my second prop bet. It's when I make every single year, 573 00:27:23,480 --> 00:27:25,560 Speaker 1: and it's kind of it's the first bet I make 574 00:27:25,600 --> 00:27:28,680 Speaker 1: every year. It's that the shortest touchdown will be under 575 00:27:29,040 --> 00:27:32,000 Speaker 1: one and a half yards. It comes down to goal line, 576 00:27:32,160 --> 00:27:34,560 Speaker 1: it comes down to tush pushes, it comes down to 577 00:27:35,240 --> 00:27:37,440 Speaker 1: if there's a foul in the end zone the ball 578 00:27:37,480 --> 00:27:40,119 Speaker 1: comes to the one yard line. Under one and a 579 00:27:40,160 --> 00:27:43,119 Speaker 1: half yards for a touchdown has been just a staple 580 00:27:43,160 --> 00:27:45,840 Speaker 1: bet I make every single year. It's hit I think 581 00:27:45,880 --> 00:27:48,119 Speaker 1: eight of the last ten years. So I'm going to 582 00:27:48,200 --> 00:27:49,720 Speaker 1: come in here under one and a half for the 583 00:27:49,760 --> 00:27:51,280 Speaker 1: shortest touchdown in the game. Pap. 584 00:27:51,680 --> 00:27:54,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, you have told me that it's an auto bet 585 00:27:54,400 --> 00:27:58,000 Speaker 2: for you in the Super Bowl every year and explained 586 00:27:58,200 --> 00:27:59,440 Speaker 2: the rationale to me. 587 00:27:59,480 --> 00:28:01,840 Speaker 3: And I I like it. I think it makes a 588 00:28:01,880 --> 00:28:02,400 Speaker 3: lot of sense. 589 00:28:02,600 --> 00:28:04,440 Speaker 2: The only thing is I just I don't think there's 590 00:28:04,440 --> 00:28:06,800 Speaker 2: gonna be a lot of touchdowns in this game, so 591 00:28:07,560 --> 00:28:10,119 Speaker 2: to me, I feel like the true odds of it 592 00:28:10,160 --> 00:28:12,639 Speaker 2: happening are probably a little shorter than you might, but 593 00:28:12,840 --> 00:28:13,360 Speaker 2: I still. 594 00:28:13,160 --> 00:28:14,879 Speaker 3: Think it's a pretty sound bet. 595 00:28:15,160 --> 00:28:16,840 Speaker 1: Yeah. I like the over, so you like the Undersie, 596 00:28:17,040 --> 00:28:20,199 Speaker 1: I'm betting narrative essentially. And yes, if it's thirteen to 597 00:28:20,280 --> 00:28:23,240 Speaker 1: three and we get one touchdown, yeah, that's a problem 598 00:28:23,640 --> 00:28:25,960 Speaker 1: this bet would have will be problematic for sure. 599 00:28:26,920 --> 00:28:27,120 Speaker 3: Yeah. 600 00:28:27,160 --> 00:28:31,120 Speaker 2: And I think we're trying to make correlated props here, 601 00:28:31,560 --> 00:28:34,720 Speaker 2: and that's kind of the case with my second bet too. 602 00:28:34,880 --> 00:28:37,760 Speaker 2: And they say, Matt, that imitation is the sincerest form 603 00:28:37,760 --> 00:28:41,000 Speaker 2: of flattery, and I'm trying to imitate something you did 604 00:28:41,800 --> 00:28:44,280 Speaker 2: in last year's Super Bowl and one with and I 605 00:28:44,280 --> 00:28:46,480 Speaker 2: believe your bet was that there would be a punt 606 00:28:46,560 --> 00:28:49,480 Speaker 2: down inside either the five or the ten yard line. 607 00:28:49,520 --> 00:28:51,520 Speaker 1: You're stealing my bets, Pat, This is great. 608 00:28:51,600 --> 00:28:56,760 Speaker 2: Yes, well, yeah, I remember texting you the bag of 609 00:28:56,760 --> 00:29:00,120 Speaker 2: money emoji at. 610 00:28:59,000 --> 00:28:59,760 Speaker 3: When that one hit. 611 00:29:00,080 --> 00:29:03,600 Speaker 2: Yep, So I couldn't find that one. But I still 612 00:29:03,720 --> 00:29:06,200 Speaker 2: like bets because I do think there are gonna be 613 00:29:06,200 --> 00:29:08,240 Speaker 2: a lot of punts in this game. So if I 614 00:29:08,280 --> 00:29:11,480 Speaker 2: can get a prop with something happening on a punt 615 00:29:12,080 --> 00:29:14,600 Speaker 2: at good odds, I like that because I think there're 616 00:29:14,600 --> 00:29:16,760 Speaker 2: gonna be a lot of punts. And I couldn't get 617 00:29:16,800 --> 00:29:19,320 Speaker 2: one for being down inside the five or ten yard line, 618 00:29:19,440 --> 00:29:21,720 Speaker 2: but I could get a bet for at least one 619 00:29:21,880 --> 00:29:25,040 Speaker 2: touchback on a punt in this game at plus one 620 00:29:25,160 --> 00:29:28,560 Speaker 2: twenty five, and I like that just because I do think. 621 00:29:28,760 --> 00:29:30,920 Speaker 2: I also like the over on total punts, which I 622 00:29:30,960 --> 00:29:33,560 Speaker 2: think is like seven and a half for this, but 623 00:29:34,560 --> 00:29:36,600 Speaker 2: I think you get a little bit better priced rather 624 00:29:36,640 --> 00:29:39,320 Speaker 2: than bet minus ten on over seven and a half punts, 625 00:29:40,040 --> 00:29:41,760 Speaker 2: I'll take plus money on a touchback. 626 00:29:42,880 --> 00:29:46,320 Speaker 1: The other angle two and this is the old Pat 627 00:29:46,400 --> 00:29:49,440 Speaker 1: McAfee k ball kicking conversation about the ball is a 628 00:29:49,440 --> 00:29:52,760 Speaker 1: commemorative ball, and the ball and they tend to bring 629 00:29:53,080 --> 00:29:56,120 Speaker 1: the gate, the ball tends to be brought out and returned. 630 00:29:56,880 --> 00:30:00,240 Speaker 1: The new kickoff rules has sort of altered that bet, 631 00:30:00,680 --> 00:30:02,920 Speaker 1: but I do think you can look around on kickoffs 632 00:30:03,000 --> 00:30:05,440 Speaker 1: as to how many yards the kickoff gets returned, or 633 00:30:05,600 --> 00:30:08,040 Speaker 1: does it be a touchback or not. I mean those 634 00:30:08,080 --> 00:30:11,320 Speaker 1: are if you're looking for fun ways. What my advice is, 635 00:30:11,440 --> 00:30:14,000 Speaker 1: as we'll wrap here as when my advice will be 636 00:30:14,120 --> 00:30:15,640 Speaker 1: to people when it comes to how to bet the 637 00:30:15,640 --> 00:30:19,760 Speaker 1: Super Bowl, give yourself a bunch of options, like don't 638 00:30:19,800 --> 00:30:22,680 Speaker 1: just go crazy on the coin toss, don't go crazy 639 00:30:22,680 --> 00:30:24,800 Speaker 1: on things at the top at the beginning, because if 640 00:30:24,840 --> 00:30:27,760 Speaker 1: you lose, you're gonna be sour for the entire four quarters. 641 00:30:27,920 --> 00:30:30,200 Speaker 1: So try to give yourself bets that you can hit 642 00:30:30,280 --> 00:30:34,040 Speaker 1: throughout the entire game that every time that something happens, 643 00:30:34,080 --> 00:30:37,240 Speaker 1: like your punt bet is perfect. Every time they punt, 644 00:30:37,440 --> 00:30:39,760 Speaker 1: you're now watching. You're like, Oh, here we go. You're 645 00:30:39,840 --> 00:30:43,120 Speaker 1: engaged and you're watching what's gonna happen? So same thing 646 00:30:43,160 --> 00:30:45,640 Speaker 1: with runs you know of you know you mentioned longest 647 00:30:45,680 --> 00:30:48,120 Speaker 1: run for Kenneth Walker. I like that every time Kennth 648 00:30:48,160 --> 00:30:49,920 Speaker 1: Walker gets to the football, you're like, oh, can he 649 00:30:49,960 --> 00:30:51,560 Speaker 1: bust it? And so you're watching and see if your 650 00:30:51,600 --> 00:30:54,360 Speaker 1: BET's gonna cash. So that's my advice in terms of 651 00:30:54,400 --> 00:30:57,240 Speaker 1: how to bet this thing. Give yourself enough bets where 652 00:30:57,240 --> 00:31:00,560 Speaker 1: you're locked in through all four quarters vers us like 653 00:31:00,800 --> 00:31:03,960 Speaker 1: the national anthem, the color of the gator raid, like 654 00:31:04,040 --> 00:31:06,080 Speaker 1: things that are just sort of like one and done 655 00:31:06,360 --> 00:31:08,880 Speaker 1: that either it happens or it doesn't. Do you have 656 00:31:08,920 --> 00:31:09,920 Speaker 1: any advice? 657 00:31:10,080 --> 00:31:13,520 Speaker 2: Great point, like for maximum enjoyments in addition to the 658 00:31:13,640 --> 00:31:15,160 Speaker 2: chance to make money. I mean, we want to have 659 00:31:15,200 --> 00:31:17,960 Speaker 2: fun throughout this and I agree if you make kind 660 00:31:17,960 --> 00:31:19,880 Speaker 2: of wise bets that you have a chance to hit 661 00:31:20,120 --> 00:31:22,400 Speaker 2: at any point in the game, that's a good way 662 00:31:22,400 --> 00:31:22,800 Speaker 2: to do it. 663 00:31:23,200 --> 00:31:25,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't know what I'm gonna do in the 664 00:31:25,760 --> 00:31:28,000 Speaker 1: Super Bowl because a couple of years ago, I couldn't 665 00:31:28,000 --> 00:31:31,480 Speaker 1: get a bet right. I got everything wrong all playoff long, 666 00:31:31,520 --> 00:31:33,040 Speaker 1: and then I swept the board and went eight to 667 00:31:33,120 --> 00:31:35,280 Speaker 1: zero and all my bets in the Super Bowl. I've 668 00:31:35,280 --> 00:31:37,440 Speaker 1: had a very good year in the NFL, so I 669 00:31:37,560 --> 00:31:39,200 Speaker 1: don't know if that means I'm gonna have an awful 670 00:31:39,240 --> 00:31:42,480 Speaker 1: Super Bowl. It could happen where everything just falls apart 671 00:31:42,520 --> 00:31:45,600 Speaker 1: from me, but I'm hoping it doesn't. I don't care 672 00:31:45,640 --> 00:31:48,040 Speaker 1: if I lose every bet. If the Patriots win, I 673 00:31:48,080 --> 00:31:52,360 Speaker 1: don't care. How like, get the Patriots the seventh championship. 674 00:31:53,280 --> 00:31:55,200 Speaker 1: I think the best play on the board, you like 675 00:31:55,280 --> 00:31:57,520 Speaker 1: the under. My best play on the board is Patriots 676 00:31:57,560 --> 00:32:01,120 Speaker 1: plus five. I think that it is a too heavy 677 00:32:01,200 --> 00:32:03,040 Speaker 1: of a number. I think you go ahead and take 678 00:32:03,040 --> 00:32:05,840 Speaker 1: the Patriots plus five, sprinkle on the money line. You 679 00:32:05,840 --> 00:32:07,680 Speaker 1: can do the teaser like I mentioned, with the same 680 00:32:07,680 --> 00:32:09,880 Speaker 1: game teaser and taking the total down I are up, 681 00:32:09,880 --> 00:32:11,680 Speaker 1: and then bedding the under. I think those are the 682 00:32:11,680 --> 00:32:14,240 Speaker 1: best ways of approaching this. I can't wait to watch 683 00:32:14,280 --> 00:32:16,080 Speaker 1: this game, PAP, because I think this is really gonna 684 00:32:16,080 --> 00:32:18,000 Speaker 1: be a wild game. Do you have a score prediction. 685 00:32:19,320 --> 00:32:21,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's weird because I'm picking the Patriots on the 686 00:32:21,560 --> 00:32:24,040 Speaker 2: money line, But ultimately, like, I think it is less 687 00:32:24,040 --> 00:32:25,840 Speaker 2: than a fifty to fifty chance to finish. So I'll 688 00:32:25,880 --> 00:32:28,240 Speaker 2: say twenty to twenty to seventeen Seattle. 689 00:32:28,520 --> 00:32:31,040 Speaker 1: Don't hate it. Twenty seventeen your better the Pitt's money line, 690 00:32:31,040 --> 00:32:33,280 Speaker 1: and your prediction is twenty seventeen Seattle. 691 00:32:34,000 --> 00:32:34,840 Speaker 3: I do think. 692 00:32:34,880 --> 00:32:38,440 Speaker 2: Look, I think I think the Patriots chances of winning 693 00:32:38,480 --> 00:32:41,440 Speaker 2: are better than thirty five percent, okay, But playing the 694 00:32:41,440 --> 00:32:43,880 Speaker 2: other I think it's Seattle's chances of winning are better 695 00:32:43,880 --> 00:32:44,760 Speaker 2: than fifty percent. 696 00:32:45,360 --> 00:32:45,640 Speaker 1: Okay. 697 00:32:45,960 --> 00:32:47,640 Speaker 2: That's why I think the money line is just a 698 00:32:47,640 --> 00:32:50,880 Speaker 2: good like it's a sensible percentage play. 699 00:32:51,280 --> 00:32:53,360 Speaker 1: If you're right, I cash a fourteen to one ticket 700 00:32:53,360 --> 00:32:57,040 Speaker 1: and I'm good. So it's it's it's I make more 701 00:32:57,080 --> 00:32:59,440 Speaker 1: money if Seattle wins, I make more money. But my 702 00:32:59,480 --> 00:33:02,480 Speaker 1: prediction is twenty seven to twenty four Patriots. On a 703 00:33:02,560 --> 00:33:05,160 Speaker 1: last second kick, I think New England wins it. At 704 00:33:05,160 --> 00:33:07,640 Speaker 1: the buzzer, I think this is almost a repeat of 705 00:33:07,680 --> 00:33:09,560 Speaker 1: the Rams game. I think it's going to be a 706 00:33:10,840 --> 00:33:15,479 Speaker 1: fantastic performance by the Patriot defense. I just think that 707 00:33:15,560 --> 00:33:17,440 Speaker 1: Seattle is going to score. I think there could be 708 00:33:17,480 --> 00:33:20,640 Speaker 1: special teams. There could be turnovers because of fumbles or 709 00:33:20,680 --> 00:33:23,400 Speaker 1: interceptions that lead to quick points for Seattle. There could 710 00:33:23,400 --> 00:33:25,360 Speaker 1: be a punt return for a touchdown, a kick return 711 00:33:25,400 --> 00:33:28,680 Speaker 1: for the touchdown special teams touchdown, I think is a 712 00:33:28,680 --> 00:33:30,840 Speaker 1: good bet. I think that there's a decent shot that 713 00:33:30,880 --> 00:33:34,320 Speaker 1: happens in this game, given both skill players, the speed 714 00:33:34,360 --> 00:33:36,360 Speaker 1: of Seattle and the speed of New England. I think 715 00:33:36,400 --> 00:33:38,120 Speaker 1: both will come into play here. And I think we're 716 00:33:38,160 --> 00:33:41,000 Speaker 1: going to see points or at least set up points 717 00:33:41,000 --> 00:33:42,960 Speaker 1: by the special teams, which will lead to the game 718 00:33:43,040 --> 00:33:45,600 Speaker 1: going over twenty seven to twenty four in New England. 719 00:33:45,840 --> 00:33:48,520 Speaker 1: Let's see what happens. Pat, this has been an unbelievable season, man, 720 00:33:48,560 --> 00:33:50,120 Speaker 1: thank you for all the time. This was awesome. I 721 00:33:50,120 --> 00:33:51,880 Speaker 1: can't wait to do this again coming up next year. 722 00:33:52,560 --> 00:33:54,440 Speaker 2: Likewise, Matt, and by the way, for the record, if 723 00:33:54,480 --> 00:33:56,000 Speaker 2: you believe it's going to be a last second field 724 00:33:56,080 --> 00:33:58,520 Speaker 2: goal eight to one on a scoring play on the 725 00:33:58,560 --> 00:33:59,640 Speaker 2: last play of the game. 726 00:34:00,120 --> 00:34:03,120 Speaker 1: It absolutely love it. Eight to one. Love it. That's 727 00:34:03,120 --> 00:34:04,760 Speaker 1: a sprinkle bet. You should make that bet just for 728 00:34:04,800 --> 00:34:06,840 Speaker 1: the hell of it. A sprinkle play for that could 729 00:34:06,880 --> 00:34:09,239 Speaker 1: go to overtime. Bet the yes to the overtime too. 730 00:34:09,360 --> 00:34:11,600 Speaker 1: The books will cry if bet the overtime. I do 731 00:34:11,640 --> 00:34:13,360 Speaker 1: think this is going to be a four quarter battle. 732 00:34:13,560 --> 00:34:15,319 Speaker 1: I do think this is going to be fun, and 733 00:34:15,360 --> 00:34:17,400 Speaker 1: I do think that favors the Patriots to have that 734 00:34:17,440 --> 00:34:19,640 Speaker 1: game come down to one last play because they've been 735 00:34:19,800 --> 00:34:21,920 Speaker 1: very clutch. Seattle has two, but I think the Patriots 736 00:34:21,920 --> 00:34:23,920 Speaker 1: have had kind of a rabbit's foot this year that 737 00:34:23,960 --> 00:34:26,240 Speaker 1: will come into play and then everyone come Monday morning. 738 00:34:26,920 --> 00:34:28,800 Speaker 1: All I can say is just don't have the referees 739 00:34:28,800 --> 00:34:29,360 Speaker 1: be involved. 740 00:34:29,600 --> 00:34:29,960 Speaker 3: That's it. 741 00:34:30,680 --> 00:34:33,399 Speaker 1: Just don't have the referees be involved. He is bad 742 00:34:33,440 --> 00:34:35,680 Speaker 1: fits Morris. I am at Paroltz. Make sure you subscribe 743 00:34:35,680 --> 00:34:37,759 Speaker 1: to the Betting Pros YouTube channel because we've got a 744 00:34:37,840 --> 00:34:41,000 Speaker 1: ton of great content coming all week for the big Game. 745 00:34:41,440 --> 00:34:43,279 Speaker 1: I will be there for a couple of days, going 746 00:34:43,280 --> 00:34:44,920 Speaker 1: to San Francisco, so it's gonna be a lot of fun. 747 00:34:45,000 --> 00:34:48,760 Speaker 1: Daily Juice will be taping from Media Row the Media 748 00:34:48,800 --> 00:34:51,439 Speaker 1: Center coming up in San Francisco a couple of days 749 00:34:51,520 --> 00:34:53,920 Speaker 1: coming up for this week. Enjoy the game, guys, be safe, 750 00:34:54,040 --> 00:34:55,839 Speaker 1: don't do anything stupid. We want to see you all 751 00:34:55,880 --> 00:34:58,680 Speaker 1: back here next year for another early bet show for 752 00:34:58,920 --> 00:34:59,640 Speaker 1: the NFL. 753 00:35:00,600 --> 00:35:03,200 Speaker 5: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 754 00:35:03,280 --> 00:35:05,640 Speaker 5: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 755 00:35:05,640 --> 00:35:09,040 Speaker 5: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 756 00:35:09,320 --> 00:35:11,960 Speaker 5: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 757 00:35:12,080 --> 00:35:15,720 Speaker 5: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 758 00:35:15,800 --> 00:35:18,400 Speaker 5: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.