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Speaker 1: I told myself I wouldn't do it. I told myself

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Speaker 1: when we expanded four to twelve in the playoff, I

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Speaker 1: wanted me to get work done with this stuff. I lied.

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Speaker 1: I like to fancy myself a truthful person, a truth

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Speaker 1: teller out here, except when it comes to me talking

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Speaker 1: to myself, I lied. Unfortunately, or probably fortunately for you guys.

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Speaker 1: It makes for a very entertaining show. We're jampacked, Hi.

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Speaker 1: I tape Thankful Downtown Nashville, Tennessee, Tuesday Night, November twenty fifth,

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Speaker 1: The Are of Our Lord, twenty twenty five, our last

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Speaker 1: show of the week. Although I am sure news will

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Speaker 1: break and we'll have individual videos posted as well as

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Speaker 1: we need to. But initially, like right off the bat tonight,

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Speaker 1: I got a metric ton of stuff to say about

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Speaker 1: college football playoff rankings, which is weird because the wasn't

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Speaker 1: a ton of movement. But there's a ton of mouths

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Speaker 1: moving that don't need to be moving because they don't

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Speaker 1: know what they're talking about. Couldn't be me, couldn't be us? Right,

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Speaker 1: Rivalry week is upon us. We've got predictions. Also, since

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Speaker 1: we're not gonna have a Thursday show, we do what's

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Speaker 1: become the most popular segment that we do every week,

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Speaker 1: which is Upset Alerts. It's all in tonight show. It's

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Speaker 1: the most jam packed show of the modern era. Of

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Speaker 1: the week coaching searches. I'm not gonna do one segment

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Speaker 1: for each I'm just gonna throw everything I have at

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Speaker 1: you and then we'll see what happens. Oklahoma State has

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Speaker 1: hired Eric Morris. Today, for example, we're gonna talk a

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Speaker 1: lot about it. College football playoff predictions. I've got some

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Speaker 1: slight adjustments to make to my own. We got the

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Speaker 1: jpeep pole on the show tonight. We could go four hours,

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Speaker 1: probably won't. We could go four hours. They're watching us

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Speaker 1: in Tucson, Arizona, New Orleans, Louisiana, Atlanta, Georgia, and Biluxi, Mississippi,

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Speaker 1: where I have it on good authority, I will be

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Speaker 1: at some point tomorrow. We're over four hundred and ninety thousand.

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Speaker 1: We're right on the precipice of five hundred thousand subscribers.

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Speaker 1: So if you've been holding out, I'm not even gonna

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Speaker 1: I don't even care. What's past is passed. The future

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Speaker 1: is now. Please pause, reflect on life. Are things going

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Speaker 1: perfectly for you. If they aren't, I can give you

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Speaker 1: the answer Jesus. But then after that, subscribe to the channel.

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Speaker 1: And I want to make sure to specify in that order.

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Speaker 1: Subscribe to the channel because it helps us get to

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Speaker 1: five hundred thousand. And really it's just been an internal

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Speaker 1: goal of ours. I mean, Bradley comes in and checks

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Speaker 1: every single morning, do we make it? Not yet? Bradley?

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Speaker 1: All right? And then he goes out to the truck.

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Speaker 1: I don't want to see that long face anymore. Bradley

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Speaker 1: could be sad. I just want him to be sad

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Speaker 1: for other reasons. So get us to five hundred thousand

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Speaker 1: subs for Bradley. Okay, let's dive into the show tonight.

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Speaker 1: The college football playoff rankings were just released in the

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Speaker 1: past few minutes, and I don't like it. The rankings

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Speaker 1: themselves are okay, I'm not a huge fan of some

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Speaker 1: of the discourse that's starting to tape shape take shape.

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Speaker 1: You can you can already tell the positioning it start

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Speaker 1: to happen now before we even dive in. I want

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Speaker 1: to make sure I remind I'm not a big eyeball

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Speaker 1: test guy. That includes mine. I have said for a while,

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Speaker 1: if I was the College Football Playoff commissioner, and I

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Speaker 1: just solely ran the playoff. One of the first things

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Speaker 1: I would do is I would define parameters. Why would

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Speaker 1: I do that? Specifically to let as much of it

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Speaker 1: play out on the field as possible and to remove

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Speaker 1: my gut or my eyeball test. And I don't care

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Speaker 1: if you have or haven't coached the game. Like, here's

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Speaker 1: what I've always said about former coaches and the eyeball test.

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Speaker 1: I got supreme respect for guys who have coached this

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Speaker 1: game and played this game. Why don't any former coaches

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Speaker 1: go make a living betting football? If it's that easy

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Speaker 1: to apply the eyeball test and figure out who's better

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Speaker 1: than who. Why don't you ever hear about former coaches

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Speaker 1: making a living gambling on football? You notice you never

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Speaker 1: really hear that. Conversely, you notice how a bunch of

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Speaker 1: calculator heads could run circles around coaches when it comes

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Speaker 1: to betting football. So that's one reason, but not the

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Speaker 1: only reason, that I've always advocated for removing the eyeball

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Speaker 1: test as much as possible, Define the parameters and then

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Speaker 1: stick to them. So if you think head to head

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Speaker 1: matters a lot, good define it and stick to it.

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Speaker 1: Don't define it and then come time to stick to it,

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Speaker 1: saying ah, yeah, but my eyeballs are telling me something different. Brother.

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Speaker 1: If your eyeballs are telling you that there's that big

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Speaker 1: gap between a couple of teams that already played and

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Speaker 1: team beat Team A, Team B won't even be in

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Speaker 1: the ballpark of Team A to begin with if they are,

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Speaker 1: forget your eyeballs and use your preset parameters. So with

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Speaker 1: that in mind, the rankings have been released. There they

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Speaker 1: are on your screen right now. Welcome to the party, Arizona.

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Speaker 1: We got a ranked matchup going down this weekend Arizona

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Speaker 1: and Arizona State, which we'll talk about inn upset alerts later.

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Speaker 1: But here's what I wanted to get to. Okay, the

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Speaker 1: two loss chaos conundrum scenario, et cetera trademark registered is

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Speaker 1: still on the table, and that could include Notre Dame

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Speaker 1: and maybe like an Alabama or Utah or Brigham Young

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Speaker 1: or Miami or Brigham Young and Texas Tech Vanderbilt, all

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Speaker 1: these teams Oklahoma could just be sitting there ole miss

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Speaker 1: two losses. Who knows what the Egg Bowl could bring,

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Speaker 1: but all these two loss teams could be sitting there.

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Speaker 1: Obviously we don't have enough room for all of them.

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Speaker 1: And someone said earlier tonight, well, that puts the committee

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Speaker 1: in an impossible position. No, it doesn't use your preset criteria,

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Speaker 1: apply it to the field and pick twelve teams. That's

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Speaker 1: where I will tell you, by the way, it doesn't

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Speaker 1: mean tear it down. I want to caution everyone here's

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Speaker 1: what's about to happen. It's almost an inevitability now that

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Speaker 1: we're gonna get to the finish line. And it's different

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Speaker 1: than last year. Last year, the big story going into

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Speaker 1: that Sunday was are they gonna put SMU in or

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Speaker 1: are they gonna drop them and put one of the

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Speaker 1: SEC teams in? That was it. There will be I

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Speaker 1: think far more drama on Selection Sunday this go round

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Speaker 1: than there was last year. Now you know that there

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Speaker 1: are some jackals sneak around the barn out back that

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Speaker 1: want to expand this playoff, and mark my words, they

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Speaker 1: will use the drama on Selection Sunday as ammunition in

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Speaker 1: the barrel to expand the playoff because why well, because

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Speaker 1: we wouldn't have this mess if we expanded to sixteen.

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Speaker 1: It's not a mess it's not a mess. This was

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Speaker 1: my stance when we had a four team playoff. I

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Speaker 1: never shed any tears for the fifth and sixth and

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Speaker 1: seventh teams. I always said, I'd rather us have the

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Speaker 1: size of playoff where maybe we had five and we

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Speaker 1: couldn't quite fit the last one in, or even in

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Speaker 1: the twelve team format, I'd rather us have twelven can't

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Speaker 1: quite fit thirteen and fourteen in. I'd rather have scarcity

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Speaker 1: creating value in playoff spots than just to continue this

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Speaker 1: evergreen mentality of oh man, someone's upset, someone's mad, they

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Speaker 1: got left out of the playoff. What's the answer? Expand it.

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Speaker 1: It's not the answer. Suck it up and win your

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Speaker 1: games next year is the answer. I'm saying that generically now,

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Speaker 1: so we can play my own words back to me

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Speaker 1: when I'm upset on selection Sunday. It's my whole point,

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Speaker 1: all right, this is my amy, notre dame mess. If

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Speaker 1: Miami takes care of business against Pitt, is gonna be

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Speaker 1: a mess. And I already listened. I listened to Heather Dinisch,

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Speaker 1: and that I'm not trashing Heather Didnich. Heather Dnich is

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Speaker 1: reporting what she's being told so I actually appreciate her

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Speaker 1: articulating this on air, but she already started to set

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Speaker 1: it up. She already started to pay the runway for

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Speaker 1: the committee. And that runway sounds a little something like this.

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Speaker 1: Miami beat Notre Dame early in the year, so they

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Speaker 1: have played each other. Miami won, and then Miami lost

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Speaker 1: a couple of games, and so did Notre Dame. But

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame's got two really really good losses, which is

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Speaker 1: something I do believe in, by the way, And so

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Speaker 1: it looked for a while like once Miami lost that

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Speaker 1: second game, they're gonna fade and that head to head's

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Speaker 1: not even gonna matter. Well, now Miami has started to

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Speaker 1: win some games, They've gotten fairly hot down the stretch,

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Speaker 1: and now that gap between those two teams is shrinking.

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Speaker 1: And logic just tells you, wait a second, if they

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Speaker 1: get if they get close enough to be compared to

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Speaker 1: each other, then doesn't that head to head matter? And

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Speaker 1: there is a good reason to think that it's in

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Speaker 1: the committee's stated protocol. And Heather dentwish through thee break

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Speaker 1: on it tonight and said, hate not so fast, not

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Speaker 1: so fast. Just because Miami is rising, is like clockwork.

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Speaker 1: I knew it was coming. Just because Miami's rising doesn't

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Speaker 1: mean there's some magical threshold past which they get put

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Speaker 1: into the same comparative pool as Notre Dame. Therefore, the

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Speaker 1: head to head becomes the trump card. Don't just expect

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Speaker 1: that what she says, She said, because this committee's eyeballs

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Speaker 1: told them that Notre Dame's better. There are few things

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Speaker 1: in life I care less about than the committee's eyeball test.

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Speaker 1: And I'm going to tell you why, because half of

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Speaker 1: them are athletic directors, and even the ones in there

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Speaker 1: who are football coaches should know. Your eyeball test can

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Speaker 1: come into play when you've got compeams that comparable teams

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Speaker 1: that haven't played on a field. If they've played on

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Speaker 1: a field, then we need to value the head to

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Speaker 1: head result, you know, the spirit of competition, which is

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Speaker 1: what sports are actually about. And I was listening to

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Speaker 1: Booger MacFarlane fight the good fight on the ESPN set

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Speaker 1: earlier tonight, say, guys, it's about a resume, it's not

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Speaker 1: a beauty pageant. And then some other folks pushed back

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Speaker 1: on him, and the main pushback will be that game

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Speaker 1: happened a long time ago, and now there's a big

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Speaker 1: difference between these teams. Like there are folks out there

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Speaker 1: who think Notre Dame would just dog walk Miami if

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Speaker 1: they played today, I'd pick Notre Dame over Miami. That

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Speaker 1: is irrelevant. Even my opinion on the head to head

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Speaker 1: is irrelevant, which shows you what I think about the

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Speaker 1: committee's eyeball test opinion on it. If they're comparable enough,

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Speaker 1: what I think would happen on a neutral field is irrelevant.

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Speaker 1: If there really is that big a gap between them,

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Speaker 1: their resumes won't be comparable. But if their resumes are comparable,

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Speaker 1: stop overthinking the room on this. They played a football game,

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Speaker 1: just like we have so much time. It's like these

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Speaker 1: coaching searches. You figure out who you want to be

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Speaker 1: your head coach three weeks ago, Well, what are we

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Speaker 1: gonna do? Just sit here for three weeks. Yeah, if

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Speaker 1: you figured it out three weeks ago, just sit still.

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Speaker 1: Just like in this, if you figured out head to

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Speaker 1: head matters, then make head to head matter. You're already

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Speaker 1: starting to set the stage here. You're already starting to

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Speaker 1: set the stage because if you notice Pitt's number twenty two,

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Speaker 1: Miami gets to go play pitt this weekend. And one

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Speaker 1: of the other talking points is gonna be, oh, well,

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Speaker 1: you know what, Notre Dame played Pitt and they smoked

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Speaker 1: them in Pittsburgh. So if Miami goes up there and

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Speaker 1: beats Pitt by a bigger margin the Notre Dame, then

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Speaker 1: we'll talk. I couldn't care less about that. I don't

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Speaker 1: care if they beat him by fifty or by one.

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Speaker 1: If they go up there, that is another ranked win

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Speaker 1: on the resume of Miami. Notre Dame already had their

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Speaker 1: shot to beat them on the road. They did. That's

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Speaker 1: baked into Notre Dame's resume. That's why they're nine. Number

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Speaker 1: twelve now gets to go play number twenty two, and

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Speaker 1: if they beat them by one or they beat them

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Speaker 1: by fifty, that is another ranked win on the road

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Speaker 1: to end the year. It should vault him up above

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Speaker 1: Brigham Young at at least at number eleven. And at

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Speaker 1: that point, you're talking about a seven operation of one

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Speaker 1: spot between these teams that you're trying to convince me

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Speaker 1: are still so far apart that head to head shouldn't matter.

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Speaker 1: Are you smoking meth? In no world? Is that how

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Speaker 1: that should work? And that's including me saying my opinions,

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame's the better team. It doesn't matter if you've

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Speaker 1: ever picked one football game wrong, and we all have.

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Speaker 1: I don't care what your opinion is. I don't care

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Speaker 1: who you think's better because we watched them play already.

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Speaker 1: So that's my piece on that next. Alabama is sitting

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Speaker 1: there at number ten right now. I was listening earlier

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Speaker 1: tonight to a lot of people speculate that if Alabama

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Speaker 1: goes and beats Auburn Saturday and they go to the

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Speaker 1: SEC championship game and lose, boy, are they in danger

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Speaker 1: of dropping out? Well, if you want to burn the

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Speaker 1: entire concept to conference championship games down, then yeah, leave

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Speaker 1: the SEC's runner up out. I also think that an

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Speaker 1: all state playoff predictor, which I talked about the other night,

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Speaker 1: painting only like a fifty to fifty five percent chance

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Speaker 1: that a ten to three Alabama makes the playoff is insanity.

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Speaker 1: I want you to think this through with me. Forget

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Speaker 1: about the calculators for a second. Think it through for me.

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Speaker 1: Bama goes is a tall order now, But if Bama

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Speaker 1: goes and beats Auburn Saturday, they go to Atlanta, they

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Speaker 1: won't drop from ten. If anything, they'll be ten or higher.

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Speaker 1: So they will enter SEC Championship Saturday as an SEC team.

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Speaker 1: Mind you, which matters knowing they're in the playoff. If

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Speaker 1: they canceled the SEC Championship game that day, if it

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Speaker 1: ceased to exist, that team would be in the playoff.

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Speaker 1: You're telling me that you think there's a world where

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Speaker 1: because that game, which is a reward that the two

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Speaker 1: participants earned the right to play in, you're telling me

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Speaker 1: if that participant, being Alabama, loses, you think that committee

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Speaker 1: is going to drop them out of the playoff. I

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Speaker 1: don't see a world where that happens. I couldn't care less. Like,

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Speaker 1: I literally think Notre Dame would get bumped out of

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Speaker 1: the playoff before the SEC runner up does. Ole miss

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Speaker 1: would get bumped out of the PA. I don't care

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Speaker 1: who it is any of these two lost teams. You say, oh, well,

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Speaker 1: someone's got to fall out. I know it ain't gonna

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Speaker 1: be the SEC runner up that falls out. Now if

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Speaker 1: it's the Big twelve runner up. Like if you're trying

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Speaker 1: to sell me that a conference champ runner up gets

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Speaker 1: bumped out, I don't believe in the concept. But if

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Speaker 1: the concept's gonna happen. It's not gonna be the SEC.

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Speaker 1: It happens too. So I don't buy that idea at all. Like,

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Speaker 1: if I saw that happen, you are fundamentally turning the

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Speaker 1: entire complex on its ear. I mean, I can't even

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Speaker 1: imagine what the SEC does if they watch that happen.

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Speaker 1: I can't even imagine what the SEC does. I don't

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Speaker 1: think it's gonna matter because I think that's a mood point.

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Speaker 1: Oregon did jump Ole Miss in these rankings. That's gonna

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Speaker 1: matter for some of your projected seeding. But also one

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Speaker 1: of the questions that people started to ask today, like

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Speaker 1: it just dawned on them today, is wait, wait a second,

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Speaker 1: what happens if Ole Miss loses to Mississippi State. Well,

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Speaker 1: they may fall out of the playoff. That's what may happen.

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Speaker 1: They're the lowest ranked Jesse check me on this. They're

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Speaker 1: the lowest ranked one loss team right aside from Brigham Young.

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Speaker 1: Yeah okay, so so of the teams that are you know,

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Speaker 1: big ten SEC caliber, they're the lowest ranked one loss

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Speaker 1: team already and they're not going to get a big

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Speaker 1: boost this week. And certainly if you lose. That's a

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Speaker 1: terrible loss to Mississippi State. And then you know, a

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Speaker 1: lot of people have been talking about how the committee's

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Speaker 1: parameters and protocols which they selectively choose to enforce. By

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Speaker 1: the way, some of those bullet points include the fact

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Speaker 1: that they can dock you if your you know, key

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Speaker 1: players go down. I'll Jordan Travis two years ago, or

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Speaker 1: if coaching changes happen, if Lane leaves after they've lost

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Speaker 1: the Egg Bowl. Yeah, I think Ole miss may be

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Speaker 1: a victim there in more ways than one. So just

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Speaker 1: they need to win. They need to take care of

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Speaker 1: business this weekend, and Texas Tech is it five right now?

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Speaker 1: There was some speculation and there's still this. When I'm

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Speaker 1: looking at some of the projected brackets, a lot of

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Speaker 1: people project Texas A and M to win the SEC Championship.

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Speaker 1: So let's say that happens for argument's sake, Like let's

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Speaker 1: say Ohio State and Indiana play and whoever wins wins,

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Speaker 1: but they'll both be top four seeds no matter what.

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Speaker 1: As long as they went out, they'll both be top

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Speaker 1: four seeds. If A and M plays Alabama and A

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Speaker 1: and M wins, they're locked in as A top four seed.

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Speaker 1: But that means you've got a four spot there that's

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Speaker 1: wide open, and it's either open for an at large

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Speaker 1: team or it's open for Texas Tech if they win

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Speaker 1: the Big Twelve championship. Now I'm a believer, and I'll

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Speaker 1: talk about this later. If that fourth spot is open,

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Speaker 1: I believe Texas Tech as the Big twelve champ, will

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Speaker 1: jump up and take that four seed And I think

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Speaker 1: that goes with a first round by obviously, that's why

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Speaker 1: it's so important. And then I think it would be

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Speaker 1: like Georgia and then Oregon and then Ole Miss or

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Speaker 1: whoever after them. But I do think that there's a world. Now,

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Speaker 1: some other people disagree with that. Some other people think

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Speaker 1: the highest Texas Tech is going to go even if

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Speaker 1: they're a conference champ, is five. And if that four

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Speaker 1: spot is open, it would be taken by an SEC

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Speaker 1: at large like a Georgia or maybe even an organ

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Speaker 1: in the Big ten. I don't believe that, but we'll

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Speaker 1: see what the committee does, because, as we have already

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Speaker 1: documented tonight, I don't necessarily see eye to eye with

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Speaker 1: those guys and girls all hours of the day and night.

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Speaker 1: Oh Jesse, Jesse just popped in the earpiece right there

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Speaker 1: and said he texted me, Aha, very important information here.

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Speaker 1: Fresh from the eye Josh, Fresh from fan duel. Courtesy

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Speaker 1: of the eye Josh, we have projected first round spreads

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Speaker 1: for the first round games. Here we go Tu Lane

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Speaker 1: at Texas Tech, Texas Tech minus twenty one and a half,

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame at Oklahoma, Notre Dame minus four at Oklahoma.

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Speaker 1: This this matchup wouldn't happen, but it's still just great

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Speaker 1: to look at on a screen. Miami at Oregon minus

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Speaker 1: seven and a half, Bama at ole Miss is a

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Speaker 1: pick them. So Texas Tech minus twenty one. In a hook,

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Speaker 1: I gets too Lane at home, Notre Dame favored by

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Speaker 1: four in Norman, Oregon minus seven and a half at

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Speaker 1: home against Miami, and in Oxford, Mississippi, Alabama and Ole

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Speaker 1: Miss would be a pick them. There you go. You

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Speaker 1: can drive or fly, but especially for the purpi plural

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Speaker 1: purpose of this read, I would assume you would like

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Speaker 1: to drive in order to fuel up with Quick Trip.

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Speaker 1: Quick Trip. I uh, well, I've been in a relationship

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Speaker 1: with Quick Trip, not an open relationship because we're very

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Speaker 1: monogamous together, but I've been open about our relationship for

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Speaker 1: the better part of two years. Now. Things are going great.

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Speaker 1: Things are going great. We've advanced to the point where

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Speaker 1: we just hand out free gas cards to everyone, like

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Speaker 1: we are very very celebratory about our partnership with Quick Trip,

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Speaker 1: and I have it on pretty good authority that Qui

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Speaker 1: till have heavy involvement with our live show next Friday.

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Speaker 1: And there are only so many things that could mean.

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Speaker 1: Most of the time, it means free stuff. So cole

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Speaker 1: Brew on tap, they've got it, gasoline outside obviously, they've

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Speaker 1: got it. Yum yums, which is Memaw code for snacks.

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Speaker 1: They've got that straight up food. They've got that too.

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Speaker 1: Don't be fooled. Very few things in a Quick Trip

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Speaker 1: that you can't get to fill you up, get you

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Speaker 1: on your way, and they're fueling us obviously. Down to Auburn, Alabama,

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Speaker 1: the Faaldon't Lie Tour, making its final regular season stop

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Speaker 1: this Saturday Jurdenhair Stadium. The Auburn t shirt for the

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Speaker 1: Fauldon't Lie Tour available at Paintstatemterial dot com right now.

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Speaker 1: And we'll break that game down later. But that is

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Speaker 1: not what I hold in my hand right now. What

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Speaker 1: I hold in my hand right now makes me nervous.

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Speaker 1: Here we go, Ohio State Michigan Saturday High NEWSWN Eastern

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Speaker 1: kickoff on Fox. I cannot overstate the mental impact that

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Speaker 1: this had on me last year, that this had on

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Speaker 1: Ohio State last year, firstly for terrible reasons, and then

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Speaker 1: I'm a firm believer. It catapulted them into discovering a

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Speaker 1: whole new version of themselves, which was good enough to

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Speaker 1: win a national championship. Michigan's won four straight. I don't

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Speaker 1: know if you've heard that this week, but they've won

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Speaker 1: four straight. But last year was the most inexplicable result

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Speaker 1: out of this entire rivalry as long as I've been

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Speaker 1: a coherent adult human being watching it. Just remember, take

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Speaker 1: yourself back, Earmuffs and Columbus for a second, take yourself back. Okay,

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Speaker 1: Michigan had won two in a row and I'd been

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Speaker 1: at both of those games, and last year they had

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Speaker 1: won three in a row. I was so confident that

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Speaker 1: Ohio State had this thing in the bag. Last year

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Speaker 1: I didn't go to that game. I went to Texas

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Speaker 1: A and M Texas. So you've lost three in a

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Speaker 1: row to them, You've got them at home terrible. They

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Speaker 1: can't complete a forward pass. You're well on your way

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Speaker 1: to the playoff. You're a three touchdown favorite. Weather looked

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Speaker 1: bad early in the week. Come come Saturday, come kick

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Speaker 1: off time. It's sunny and Columbus is in the upper forties.

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Speaker 1: Everything is set, the stage is set, and you I

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Speaker 1: don't even I'm just telling you. I watched it in disbelief.

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Speaker 1: Given the circumstances, it was the most stunning outcome in

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Speaker 1: a college football game that I think I ever remember.

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Speaker 1: I'm talking about all the bigger upsets, like all the

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Speaker 1: bigger points spread upsets. This wasn't the biggest point spread

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Speaker 1: upset ever, obviously twenty twenty one something like that. Given

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Speaker 1: what was at stake, it was the most jarring result

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Speaker 1: I think I've ever seen. Okay, so this Saturday forecasting

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Speaker 1: and arbor upper twenties at kickoff, eighty percent chance of

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Speaker 1: snow as the game goes on. I also have it

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Speaker 1: on good authority. In fact, how about FanDuel hit us

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Speaker 1: up today and they said if you would have bet

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Speaker 1: one hundred dollars on Michigan money line back when they

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Speaker 1: first started this streak in twenty twenty one, bet one

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Speaker 1: hundred dollars on Michigan that afternoon, and keep doubling down

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Speaker 1: with your winnings every game thereafter. You would be up

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Speaker 1: twenty five, eight hundred and ninety eight dollars right now.

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Speaker 1: And if you laid it on the line this Saturday

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Speaker 1: and they won, you'd be up eighty one thousand dollars.

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Speaker 1: I don't know if any of you out there did that.

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Speaker 1: I'm just telling you. That's what FANDU will let me know.

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Speaker 1: So tell me one thing about the game. Who has

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Speaker 1: more rushing yards? If anyone knows, if anyone has the

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Speaker 1: crystal ball, and you can look into it, because I'm

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Speaker 1: going to tell you that's probably who wins the game.

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Speaker 1: And the reason I'm going to say that, another paper

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Speaker 1: popper of a stat here is total rush yards. The

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Speaker 1: team that wins that little mini battle within the battle

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Speaker 1: has won the game. Since two thousand and one. Every

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Speaker 1: game since two thousand and one has been won by

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Speaker 1: the team that had more rushing yards run defense in

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Speaker 1: this game, Ohio State two, Michigan eleven. It's tough to

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Speaker 1: come by rushing offenses in this game. Ohio State in

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Speaker 1: the fifties, Michigan number ten. That's a Michigan shot. I mean,

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Speaker 1: Michigan's got to be able to do it, and they

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Speaker 1: can do it with quarterback as well. Obviously, no Justice

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Speaker 1: Haynes for Michigan. Jordan Marshall. Yes, Bryce Underwood, I think's

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Speaker 1: got to get some stuff done with his legs in

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Speaker 1: this game. But I'm going to say this again, like

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Speaker 1: I said last year, Ohio State holds all the keys here.

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Speaker 1: It sounds a little disrespectful to Michigan, but I meet

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Speaker 1: it in a couple of ways. The first set of

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Speaker 1: keys that Ohio State holds is to all of college football,

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Speaker 1: because if Ohio State is as good as they've looked,

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Speaker 1: very few teams can compete with them on a neutral field,

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Speaker 1: which is what the playoff would be. So there's a

426
00:22:39,000 --> 00:22:40,960
Speaker 1: very very small handful of teams that could ever hope

427
00:22:41,000 --> 00:22:44,040
Speaker 1: to win the national championship. If Ohio State is even

428
00:22:44,200 --> 00:22:48,400
Speaker 1: just a smidge overrated, or if they're outright fraudulent, which

429
00:22:48,400 --> 00:22:51,000
Speaker 1: I doubt, but humor me here, then they're like eight

430
00:22:51,040 --> 00:22:53,280
Speaker 1: to ten teams that could win it all. So Ohio

431
00:22:53,280 --> 00:22:56,160
Speaker 1: State holds all the cards to the college football Playoff

432
00:22:56,560 --> 00:22:59,520
Speaker 1: in terms of variants, but they also hold the cards

433
00:22:59,600 --> 00:23:03,199
Speaker 1: here because their plan A has worked all season. Like,

434
00:23:03,240 --> 00:23:06,120
Speaker 1: if you've watched Ohio State games, when have they had

435
00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:09,560
Speaker 1: to deviate? When has the fastball not worked? They've been

436
00:23:09,600 --> 00:23:11,600
Speaker 1: able to throw that thing ninety eight with pretty much

437
00:23:11,680 --> 00:23:15,360
Speaker 1: pinpoint accuracy all year. And it doesn't really matter. If

438
00:23:15,400 --> 00:23:18,360
Speaker 1: you can paint in the upper nineties. You don't need

439
00:23:18,400 --> 00:23:21,120
Speaker 1: a devastating twelve to six curve ball, like you don't

440
00:23:21,119 --> 00:23:23,639
Speaker 1: need a change up that falls off a cliff lower black.

441
00:23:23,680 --> 00:23:26,639
Speaker 1: You don't need all that. But that doesn't mean they

442
00:23:26,640 --> 00:23:29,040
Speaker 1: don't have it. So they could have all that, Like

443
00:23:29,040 --> 00:23:31,879
Speaker 1: it could be the worst of both worlds for opposing

444
00:23:31,880 --> 00:23:34,199
Speaker 1: teams out there where Ohio State hasn't had to do that,

445
00:23:34,240 --> 00:23:35,560
Speaker 1: but when they have to do it, they will be

446
00:23:35,560 --> 00:23:39,119
Speaker 1: able to do it. Cat Busters are important here. Cat

447
00:23:39,119 --> 00:23:43,520
Speaker 1: Buster profile bears very close watching Ohio State's defense is

448
00:23:43,680 --> 00:23:47,720
Speaker 1: number one in the country and cat buster runs allowed

449
00:23:47,720 --> 00:23:50,680
Speaker 1: those are runs of thirty plus yards. If you've watched Michigan,

450
00:23:51,320 --> 00:23:53,119
Speaker 1: Michigan's about as good as any team in the country

451
00:23:53,200 --> 00:23:56,000
Speaker 1: at lulling you to sleep. It looks like they just

452
00:23:56,040 --> 00:23:58,280
Speaker 1: keep running into a brick wall. Gain of one, gain

453
00:23:58,320 --> 00:24:01,720
Speaker 1: of three, gain of two, boom of eighty and you

454
00:24:02,040 --> 00:24:03,960
Speaker 1: can go into a Michigan preview and you could say,

455
00:24:04,520 --> 00:24:07,160
Speaker 1: if they just stop the explosive run, man, you can

456
00:24:07,160 --> 00:24:09,200
Speaker 1: shut Michigan down. Or you'll come out of a Michigan

457
00:24:09,240 --> 00:24:12,200
Speaker 1: win and you'll say, you know, Michigan only had thirty

458
00:24:12,240 --> 00:24:15,680
Speaker 1: eight rushing yards outside of their two big explosive runs. Well,

459
00:24:15,800 --> 00:24:19,320
Speaker 1: that's the thing. Michigan does that pretty regularly. They're top

460
00:24:19,359 --> 00:24:22,400
Speaker 1: five in the country in cap buster runs. So that's

461
00:24:22,440 --> 00:24:24,320
Speaker 1: one of those big something has to give sort of

462
00:24:24,359 --> 00:24:27,560
Speaker 1: deals because it's a non negotiable. Michigan's got to break

463
00:24:27,600 --> 00:24:30,280
Speaker 1: some explosive runs and Ohio State just hasn't given them up.

464
00:24:30,480 --> 00:24:33,400
Speaker 1: But the thing about Michigan defensively is their number one

465
00:24:34,040 --> 00:24:37,760
Speaker 1: against the cap buster pass. They don't let you get them,

466
00:24:37,840 --> 00:24:40,800
Speaker 1: or at least they haven't let teams get them big

467
00:24:41,000 --> 00:24:44,520
Speaker 1: chunk style through the air. Ohio State is top ten

468
00:24:44,600 --> 00:24:48,040
Speaker 1: offensively in that category. So it's a real good two

469
00:24:48,040 --> 00:24:51,280
Speaker 1: way strength on strength there. But the thing to remember,

470
00:24:51,640 --> 00:24:53,040
Speaker 1: the one thing I can't get out of the back

471
00:24:53,040 --> 00:24:56,360
Speaker 1: of my mind about Ohio State is I said they

472
00:24:56,359 --> 00:24:59,680
Speaker 1: were top ten in cap buster plays through the air.

473
00:24:59,720 --> 00:25:05,280
Speaker 1: Off offensively, they're number nine. They've really shut it down offensively.

474
00:25:05,440 --> 00:25:08,280
Speaker 1: They really haven't had to gear up offensively a whole lot,

475
00:25:08,359 --> 00:25:11,440
Speaker 1: so they may be better than ninth. Like really their

476
00:25:11,480 --> 00:25:14,960
Speaker 1: top end maybe number one in the country. Just interesting

477
00:25:15,000 --> 00:25:18,000
Speaker 1: to keep an eye on there. Cat Busters, cat busters

478
00:25:18,040 --> 00:25:20,680
Speaker 1: on the ground from Michigan, cat busters through the air

479
00:25:20,720 --> 00:25:24,600
Speaker 1: for Ohio State. Ohio State's philosophy last year was an

480
00:25:24,600 --> 00:25:28,120
Speaker 1: abomination in this game. Now, I don't think it was randomized.

481
00:25:28,160 --> 00:25:31,520
Speaker 1: I think it was born out of this entire concept

482
00:25:31,520 --> 00:25:33,800
Speaker 1: of being tired of being bullied in this game. And

483
00:25:33,800 --> 00:25:35,960
Speaker 1: they were getting out physical by Michigan, and so Ryan

484
00:25:36,040 --> 00:25:38,359
Speaker 1: Day rightly looked around and said, there's no reason we

485
00:25:38,359 --> 00:25:41,240
Speaker 1: should ever get out physical against anyone, And so they

486
00:25:41,280 --> 00:25:44,800
Speaker 1: dedicated themselves for an entire year two. We're going to

487
00:25:44,880 --> 00:25:47,480
Speaker 1: hammer home that we will not be the second most

488
00:25:47,520 --> 00:25:50,200
Speaker 1: physical team on the field with them come late November.

489
00:25:50,880 --> 00:25:54,040
Speaker 1: But the problem is, once you got to the game,

490
00:25:54,600 --> 00:25:57,760
Speaker 1: it became pretty obvious that Ohio State's edge was throw

491
00:25:57,840 --> 00:26:00,760
Speaker 1: the ball. You recruited these guys for a reason, throw

492
00:26:00,760 --> 00:26:02,240
Speaker 1: the ball, and they didn't, And they just kept on

493
00:26:02,359 --> 00:26:05,440
Speaker 1: running into brickwall after brickwall, and it lowered the variants

494
00:26:05,440 --> 00:26:08,120
Speaker 1: and it compacted the game, and it limited possessions, which

495
00:26:08,119 --> 00:26:09,880
Speaker 1: you never want to do if you're the more talented team,

496
00:26:10,080 --> 00:26:12,600
Speaker 1: which Ohio State was, and it gave Michigan a shot.

497
00:26:12,600 --> 00:26:14,040
Speaker 1: And the thing is Michigan didn't even play a good

498
00:26:14,040 --> 00:26:16,480
Speaker 1: game and they still won. So I'd look at that

499
00:26:16,520 --> 00:26:19,360
Speaker 1: and I'd say, I got all these horses in the stable.

500
00:26:20,040 --> 00:26:23,359
Speaker 1: I'm letting the horses run this year. Jeremiah Smith looks

501
00:26:23,359 --> 00:26:25,159
Speaker 1: like he's gonna play. Carnel Tait looks like he's good

502
00:26:25,200 --> 00:26:27,560
Speaker 1: to go, at least if you listen to Caleb Down's podcast,

503
00:26:27,640 --> 00:26:30,840
Speaker 1: which of course I do. Michigan has faced one passing

504
00:26:30,840 --> 00:26:33,720
Speaker 1: offense in the top thirty this year. Now, again, that

505
00:26:33,800 --> 00:26:37,480
Speaker 1: doesn't automatically mean that your defensive stat profile is a mirage.

506
00:26:38,240 --> 00:26:40,160
Speaker 1: That just means what it means. It means you may

507
00:26:40,200 --> 00:26:42,480
Speaker 1: be every bit as legit as this paper says you are,

508
00:26:42,520 --> 00:26:45,040
Speaker 1: and you're gonna prove it Saturday, but you have to

509
00:26:45,080 --> 00:26:48,359
Speaker 1: prove it. That's all that means. But if I go down,

510
00:26:48,480 --> 00:26:51,879
Speaker 1: if I'm Ohio State, I'm going down, trusting Julian saying

511
00:26:52,320 --> 00:26:55,800
Speaker 1: to throw the rock to my playmakers. Not that I

512
00:26:55,840 --> 00:26:58,320
Speaker 1: can't run the ball, but my edge in this game,

513
00:26:58,600 --> 00:27:01,320
Speaker 1: I don't care if it's snowing on snow probably hurts

514
00:27:01,320 --> 00:27:03,320
Speaker 1: their defense more than me, as long as it did

515
00:27:03,359 --> 00:27:06,720
Speaker 1: in twenty thirty, Mine or Augusty wins the footing, especially

516
00:27:06,760 --> 00:27:08,520
Speaker 1: for the side of the ball that has to anticipate

517
00:27:08,520 --> 00:27:10,480
Speaker 1: what I'm doing, because I know which routes my guys

518
00:27:10,480 --> 00:27:12,080
Speaker 1: are running, and I can make you look like a

519
00:27:12,119 --> 00:27:13,920
Speaker 1: fool and put you in a blender. So put more

520
00:27:13,960 --> 00:27:17,080
Speaker 1: snow on the field. I don't care. Once I figure

521
00:27:17,080 --> 00:27:19,440
Speaker 1: out Julian Sand's good to go and he's handling the

522
00:27:19,560 --> 00:27:22,280
Speaker 1: rivalry well, and he's handling the cold air well. If

523
00:27:22,280 --> 00:27:26,160
Speaker 1: he's handling those things, I'm going down firing with that guy.

524
00:27:26,680 --> 00:27:28,640
Speaker 1: Because their guy is going to do the same thing.

525
00:27:28,760 --> 00:27:30,880
Speaker 1: They're gonna trust him, at least I assume they are.

526
00:27:31,160 --> 00:27:33,560
Speaker 1: I'm trusting my guy. There is no way that I'm

527
00:27:33,560 --> 00:27:37,600
Speaker 1: going conservative in this one. And I'll tell you Michigan

528
00:27:37,640 --> 00:27:41,240
Speaker 1: that one top thirty passing offense they faced was usc

529
00:27:41,840 --> 00:27:43,960
Speaker 1: usc threw it for two sixty five on them, but

530
00:27:44,000 --> 00:27:45,920
Speaker 1: they ran it for two twenty four on them. Now,

531
00:27:45,920 --> 00:27:48,320
Speaker 1: that was in Los Angeles much earlier in the year,

532
00:27:48,760 --> 00:27:50,960
Speaker 1: and it was warm, and this will be freezing cold

533
00:27:51,000 --> 00:27:52,800
Speaker 1: in ann Arbor, and this is kind of a one

534
00:27:52,800 --> 00:27:55,359
Speaker 1: game season anyway, And I get that you gotta trust

535
00:27:55,359 --> 00:27:58,720
Speaker 1: your quarterback, you gotta let your horses run. I expect

536
00:27:58,760 --> 00:28:02,920
Speaker 1: Ohio State who go total flamethrower early in this game.

537
00:28:03,680 --> 00:28:06,199
Speaker 1: I truly believe that Ohio State staff looks at this

538
00:28:06,280 --> 00:28:08,200
Speaker 1: game and says, we could be up twenty one to

539
00:28:08,200 --> 00:28:10,440
Speaker 1: nothing at the end of the first quarter, and if

540
00:28:10,440 --> 00:28:13,400
Speaker 1: they're up even half that much, it could be ballgame.

541
00:28:13,720 --> 00:28:16,480
Speaker 1: I don't like the prospects of Michigan playing catch up

542
00:28:16,520 --> 00:28:19,639
Speaker 1: in this game whatsoever. So you go for the knockout,

543
00:28:19,800 --> 00:28:22,200
Speaker 1: and you've got the athletes to land the knockout blow

544
00:28:22,240 --> 00:28:24,000
Speaker 1: and if you do, it could be a fun final

545
00:28:24,040 --> 00:28:27,520
Speaker 1: three quarters for you. The worst that happens is you

546
00:28:27,560 --> 00:28:29,760
Speaker 1: don't land it and then you settle into the game.

547
00:28:30,640 --> 00:28:32,840
Speaker 1: But there's a worse worst that could happen, and that

548
00:28:32,960 --> 00:28:34,879
Speaker 1: is in the process of going for the knockout, you

549
00:28:35,000 --> 00:28:38,440
Speaker 1: turn the ball over. Even then, though Michigan's not going

550
00:28:38,480 --> 00:28:41,120
Speaker 1: to pull away from you, like it'll be a compacted game,

551
00:28:41,280 --> 00:28:44,080
Speaker 1: you could win and blow out fashion. Their shot is

552
00:28:44,120 --> 00:28:46,000
Speaker 1: to beat you at the gun. That's probably the way

553
00:28:46,000 --> 00:28:49,440
Speaker 1: the game profiles. But There's another another, another worst case

554
00:28:49,440 --> 00:28:52,400
Speaker 1: scenario that could happen, and that is go three and

555
00:28:52,440 --> 00:28:54,560
Speaker 1: out a couple of times your first two possessions, and

556
00:28:54,640 --> 00:28:57,520
Speaker 1: they put together a couple of ten to eleven play

557
00:28:58,120 --> 00:29:00,640
Speaker 1: eight nine minute time consuming drive on you, and you

558
00:29:00,680 --> 00:29:02,400
Speaker 1: look at your watch and wow, we got eight minutes

559
00:29:02,400 --> 00:29:04,000
Speaker 1: to go into a halftime and we're just now getting

560
00:29:04,000 --> 00:29:06,920
Speaker 1: the ball for the second time. Now, that is how

561
00:29:06,920 --> 00:29:09,200
Speaker 1: the game starts to stack up, exactly how Michigan wants

562
00:29:09,200 --> 00:29:13,200
Speaker 1: it to stack up. Who plays whose game, Who forces

563
00:29:13,240 --> 00:29:16,600
Speaker 1: the other to play their game. Michigan cannot win Ohio

564
00:29:16,640 --> 00:29:21,080
Speaker 1: State's game. I don't think that Ohio State can win

565
00:29:21,160 --> 00:29:24,360
Speaker 1: Michigan's game. But Michigan obviously is in their wheelouse when

566
00:29:24,360 --> 00:29:26,560
Speaker 1: they're playing their game. That's why they call it Michigan's game.

567
00:29:27,160 --> 00:29:30,600
Speaker 1: This game has humiliated me. Let me be more frank,

568
00:29:30,640 --> 00:29:33,000
Speaker 1: Ohio State has embarrassed me. Four years in a row.

569
00:29:33,160 --> 00:29:35,200
Speaker 1: I've picked Ohio State four years in a row in

570
00:29:35,240 --> 00:29:37,840
Speaker 1: this game. They have lost four years in a row.

571
00:29:38,000 --> 00:29:41,560
Speaker 1: I've been at three of them, trust me, and I

572
00:29:41,600 --> 00:29:43,320
Speaker 1: can tell you I know. There's been a lot of

573
00:29:43,360 --> 00:29:45,680
Speaker 1: talk this week about what the biggest rivalry is in

574
00:29:45,720 --> 00:29:49,000
Speaker 1: college football, and I've been to all of them and

575
00:29:49,040 --> 00:29:51,600
Speaker 1: they're all intense. There is no more intense rivalry than

576
00:29:51,600 --> 00:29:53,680
Speaker 1: this one. To me, I grew up in the shadow

577
00:29:53,720 --> 00:29:56,080
Speaker 1: of the Iron Bowl. I'll be at the Iron Bowls Saturday.

578
00:29:56,320 --> 00:29:58,400
Speaker 1: That thing doesn't take much of a backseat to anyone.

579
00:29:58,800 --> 00:30:01,840
Speaker 1: Ohio State and Michigan's just incredible, though. And I'm telling you,

580
00:30:01,920 --> 00:30:06,600
Speaker 1: I've been, you know, in Ohio Stadium most recently, watching

581
00:30:06,640 --> 00:30:10,160
Speaker 1: them lose and watching some of those seniors after the

582
00:30:10,240 --> 00:30:12,920
Speaker 1: game's over and you've gone up the tunnel and you've

583
00:30:12,920 --> 00:30:14,560
Speaker 1: done all your press, and a lot of those guys

584
00:30:14,600 --> 00:30:16,840
Speaker 1: are playing for their last time in their home building.

585
00:30:17,400 --> 00:30:18,880
Speaker 1: And this was a couple of years ago. To watch

586
00:30:18,960 --> 00:30:21,280
Speaker 1: them come back out when the stadium's empty and you're

587
00:30:21,280 --> 00:30:23,280
Speaker 1: out there doing your post game live hits and stuff,

588
00:30:23,320 --> 00:30:25,840
Speaker 1: and I mean, it's so quiet in there, the wind

589
00:30:25,920 --> 00:30:28,280
Speaker 1: blowing through the stadium. You can hear the cups blown

590
00:30:28,320 --> 00:30:30,520
Speaker 1: around in the stands, and you just look in they're

591
00:30:30,520 --> 00:30:33,880
Speaker 1: about five or six seniors sitting with their back against

592
00:30:33,880 --> 00:30:36,480
Speaker 1: the wall on the ground, just bawling their eyes out.

593
00:30:37,000 --> 00:30:39,240
Speaker 1: It means a lot. Man game means a whole lot.

594
00:30:39,440 --> 00:30:41,160
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna show you what the model thinks about it.

595
00:30:41,280 --> 00:30:43,760
Speaker 1: Fandel's got Ohio State minus ten and a half right now,

596
00:30:44,760 --> 00:30:49,040
Speaker 1: our models got Ohio State minus ten. I picked this

597
00:30:49,160 --> 00:30:51,840
Speaker 1: game the moment last year's game ended. I am not

598
00:30:52,400 --> 00:30:56,400
Speaker 1: going to be proven wrong in this game by Ohio

599
00:30:56,440 --> 00:31:00,640
Speaker 1: State losing again. So I think Ohio State's better team.

600
00:31:01,040 --> 00:31:04,840
Speaker 1: Model thinks Ohio State wins and wins comfortably. Everything about

601
00:31:04,880 --> 00:31:07,800
Speaker 1: my breakdown of the game leans me towards Ohio State.

602
00:31:08,120 --> 00:31:11,600
Speaker 1: I couldn't care less until further notice. Michigan will win

603
00:31:11,640 --> 00:31:16,720
Speaker 1: this game. Michigan covers Michigan money line. And look, if

604
00:31:16,720 --> 00:31:19,240
Speaker 1: that's what it takes for Ryan Day and company to

605
00:31:19,280 --> 00:31:21,800
Speaker 1: win this game, is for me to pick against them,

606
00:31:22,200 --> 00:31:24,520
Speaker 1: then I'll be happy to take the fall for you.

607
00:31:24,880 --> 00:31:26,960
Speaker 1: I'm just saying I've tried to ride with you the

608
00:31:26,960 --> 00:31:29,320
Speaker 1: past four years. You guys have done this to me.

609
00:31:29,920 --> 00:31:32,840
Speaker 1: Michigan has done this to me as well, So don't

610
00:31:32,960 --> 00:31:35,840
Speaker 1: it's inexplicable. I don't. Look, you heard the breakdown. I

611
00:31:35,880 --> 00:31:38,280
Speaker 1: don't have a ton of ammunition for Michigan right now.

612
00:31:38,440 --> 00:31:40,640
Speaker 1: You think I had reasons to pick them last year? No,

613
00:31:41,120 --> 00:31:44,400
Speaker 1: they won anyway, So I expect an outcome that is

614
00:31:44,480 --> 00:31:50,520
Speaker 1: void of reason until further notice. There, let's move on

615
00:31:50,680 --> 00:31:54,080
Speaker 1: the game. I'll be at Iron Bowl Saturday night, seven

616
00:31:54,200 --> 00:31:58,680
Speaker 1: thirty Eastern kick ABC Alabama at Auburn will be there

617
00:31:59,240 --> 00:32:01,640
Speaker 1: on the sideline Jorden Harris Stadium hadn't been there in

618
00:32:01,640 --> 00:32:04,040
Speaker 1: a couple of years. We are fueled by quick Trip.

619
00:32:04,080 --> 00:32:07,880
Speaker 1: The game is presented by quick Trip. Alabama's won five straight.

620
00:32:08,040 --> 00:32:10,280
Speaker 1: They say this place is haunted, they say it's cursed.

621
00:32:10,280 --> 00:32:11,880
Speaker 1: They say Bama can't go in there and win, And

622
00:32:11,920 --> 00:32:14,080
Speaker 1: yet last two times I've watched them down there, they've

623
00:32:14,120 --> 00:32:16,840
Speaker 1: ripped Auburn's heart out. Like it's one thing to get

624
00:32:16,840 --> 00:32:19,440
Speaker 1: blown out. The way Bamas beat you in there twice

625
00:32:19,640 --> 00:32:22,800
Speaker 1: is almost worse. And I'm asking for everyone who's talking

626
00:32:22,840 --> 00:32:27,480
Speaker 1: about that place being cursed against Alabama. Could the entire

627
00:32:27,560 --> 00:32:30,000
Speaker 1: dynamic not be reversed there? If I was an Auburn

628
00:32:30,080 --> 00:32:32,360
Speaker 1: fan and I watched the way I've lost to those

629
00:32:32,360 --> 00:32:34,920
Speaker 1: fools in my backyard the last two times they were here,

630
00:32:35,240 --> 00:32:38,600
Speaker 1: I'd be asking about the C word curse for my

631
00:32:38,680 --> 00:32:41,680
Speaker 1: own self. Or maybe it's just not real at all.

632
00:32:41,720 --> 00:32:43,760
Speaker 1: And the team that executes the most wins the game.

633
00:32:44,480 --> 00:32:45,959
Speaker 1: Ah No, it can't be that. That can't be how

634
00:32:45,960 --> 00:32:49,280
Speaker 1: football works anyway, Alabama's college football playoff hopes are on

635
00:32:49,320 --> 00:32:52,880
Speaker 1: the line. DJ Diurkin interim head coach for Auburn. His

636
00:32:52,960 --> 00:32:56,719
Speaker 1: name is in the mix. There is absolutely a world

637
00:32:57,000 --> 00:33:00,400
Speaker 1: where Auburn wins this game in dramatic fashion, set Saturday,

638
00:33:00,760 --> 00:33:03,800
Speaker 1: and it is just a DJ Dirkin love fest, and

639
00:33:03,840 --> 00:33:06,480
Speaker 1: he rides that wave right into an announcement twenty four

640
00:33:06,480 --> 00:33:10,200
Speaker 1: hours later that that's our head coach. Could absolutely see

641
00:33:10,200 --> 00:33:14,280
Speaker 1: that happening. Auburn's gonna start Ashton Daniels at quarterback. So

642
00:33:14,320 --> 00:33:20,320
Speaker 1: anyone who got drunk on the Deuce Night show against Mercer, good,

643
00:33:20,400 --> 00:33:24,560
Speaker 1: good showing. But this is Ashton Daniels game. So I've

644
00:33:24,560 --> 00:33:26,560
Speaker 1: got a piece of paper front of me. Here's what

645
00:33:26,560 --> 00:33:30,440
Speaker 1: we need to figure out. How many lies can Auburn

646
00:33:30,880 --> 00:33:34,680
Speaker 1: make this sheet of paper? Tell cause the sheet of

647
00:33:34,720 --> 00:33:38,240
Speaker 1: paper makes it look like I should solidly lean Alabama

648
00:33:38,280 --> 00:33:42,360
Speaker 1: in this game. Alabama's offensive strength matches up really well

649
00:33:42,720 --> 00:33:46,080
Speaker 1: with Auburn's defensive weakness. And by that I mean Bamas

650
00:33:46,160 --> 00:33:48,880
Speaker 1: got about the ninth or tenth best passing offense in

651
00:33:48,920 --> 00:33:53,120
Speaker 1: the country and Auburn's pass defense is right around one hundred. Okay,

652
00:33:53,160 --> 00:33:57,000
Speaker 1: that's what the paper says. Paper doesn't always matter, though.

653
00:33:57,720 --> 00:34:00,800
Speaker 1: Auburn's got the eleventh run defense in the country, Bama

654
00:34:00,840 --> 00:34:02,240
Speaker 1: not running the ball much anyway. You know what that

655
00:34:02,240 --> 00:34:04,840
Speaker 1: sounds like. Sounds like the Oklahoma game a couple of

656
00:34:04,880 --> 00:34:08,200
Speaker 1: weeks ago. Now, Oklahoma's got a better pass rush than Auburn.

657
00:34:08,480 --> 00:34:11,840
Speaker 1: Auburn's pass rush not bad, though, And when you combine

658
00:34:11,840 --> 00:34:14,000
Speaker 1: that with the fact that Bama played Oklahoma and Tuscaloosa,

659
00:34:14,080 --> 00:34:16,040
Speaker 1: crowd NOI is not an issue. You're on the road.

660
00:34:16,560 --> 00:34:18,600
Speaker 1: This will be the most hostile place Alabama plays in

661
00:34:18,640 --> 00:34:21,560
Speaker 1: all year. You've got to deal with a pass rush

662
00:34:21,640 --> 00:34:25,440
Speaker 1: and crowd noise. So look, I would view the challenge

663
00:34:25,480 --> 00:34:28,239
Speaker 1: you're gonna deal with upfront Saturday as every bit as

664
00:34:28,280 --> 00:34:30,200
Speaker 1: tough as what Oklahoma gave you in tuscal loose. I

665
00:34:30,239 --> 00:34:32,439
Speaker 1: would just plan on that. Not to mention, those dudes

666
00:34:32,440 --> 00:34:34,399
Speaker 1: are gonna play outside their minds with their hair on fire.

667
00:34:34,600 --> 00:34:37,160
Speaker 1: So I would assume that can they make the piece

668
00:34:37,160 --> 00:34:40,400
Speaker 1: of paper lie? Cause in the Oklahoma game, Ty Simpson

669
00:34:40,440 --> 00:34:42,920
Speaker 1: got his Jesse. He threw for over three hundred, right,

670
00:34:42,920 --> 00:34:45,319
Speaker 1: he got his, but it came at the expense of

671
00:34:45,320 --> 00:34:49,200
Speaker 1: turning the ball over and that teach tape. Like if

672
00:34:49,200 --> 00:34:51,440
Speaker 1: you sent in a team meeting room Friday before a game,

673
00:34:51,520 --> 00:34:53,799
Speaker 1: honestly all week, but if you're in there Friday before

674
00:34:53,800 --> 00:34:56,440
Speaker 1: a game, one of the last things any staff does

675
00:34:56,800 --> 00:34:59,200
Speaker 1: is they get that entire team in that theater and

676
00:34:59,239 --> 00:35:01,960
Speaker 1: they show them each tape from other teams. They show

677
00:35:02,000 --> 00:35:04,880
Speaker 1: him situational stuff, usually on Friday, and then if you

678
00:35:04,920 --> 00:35:07,560
Speaker 1: think turnover is gonna be key here, I mean for Auburn,

679
00:35:07,600 --> 00:35:11,000
Speaker 1: it's really simple just showing the Oklahoma tape and show

680
00:35:11,080 --> 00:35:13,880
Speaker 1: him how much Oklahoma attacked the football when Alabama had it.

681
00:35:14,080 --> 00:35:16,600
Speaker 1: That's what could turn this game. That's what could make

682
00:35:16,680 --> 00:35:21,680
Speaker 1: the paper live. Secondly, is Alabama's offense regressing? Does it

683
00:35:21,719 --> 00:35:24,120
Speaker 1: feel like it's cooling off a little bit? I think

684
00:35:24,160 --> 00:35:28,200
Speaker 1: it is. Josh Quavis for Alabama is I think their

685
00:35:28,239 --> 00:35:32,720
Speaker 1: fourth most important offensive player. Ty Simpson's up there, Jeremy

686
00:35:32,719 --> 00:35:36,080
Speaker 1: Bernard's up there, Parker Brailsford to me, is very important.

687
00:35:36,120 --> 00:35:39,279
Speaker 1: The center Josh Quavis, outside of those guys, is right

688
00:35:39,360 --> 00:35:41,880
Speaker 1: up there with one of the most important players on

689
00:35:41,920 --> 00:35:44,200
Speaker 1: that team. He's kind of a do all guy. I mean,

690
00:35:44,239 --> 00:35:46,080
Speaker 1: I had to bore tell me the story about when

691
00:35:46,080 --> 00:35:49,239
Speaker 1: they first found him, Like it just he's no star

692
00:35:49,400 --> 00:35:51,719
Speaker 1: guy in California and they brought him into camp and

693
00:35:51,760 --> 00:35:53,880
Speaker 1: he can cust a couple of guys in camp, and

694
00:35:53,920 --> 00:35:55,759
Speaker 1: they're like, yea, we probably need to find a spot

695
00:35:55,800 --> 00:35:57,080
Speaker 1: for this guy. And that's way back when he was

696
00:35:57,120 --> 00:35:59,680
Speaker 1: at Washington and now he's here. He just kind of

697
00:35:59,680 --> 00:36:02,600
Speaker 1: does everything. He's always around the ball. He's a very

698
00:36:02,640 --> 00:36:05,680
Speaker 1: dependable safety valve for them on third down, of which

699
00:36:05,719 --> 00:36:08,680
Speaker 1: there will be several critical downs of that nature in

700
00:36:08,680 --> 00:36:11,759
Speaker 1: this game. And if he's not on the field, just

701
00:36:11,800 --> 00:36:14,239
Speaker 1: means other folks got to step up. Man. You know,

702
00:36:14,320 --> 00:36:16,720
Speaker 1: one's one hundred percent this time of year. But Bama

703
00:36:16,800 --> 00:36:19,799
Speaker 1: was thirteen of nineteen on third down against Georgia. That's

704
00:36:19,840 --> 00:36:22,200
Speaker 1: the most comparable game this one probably has in terms

705
00:36:22,239 --> 00:36:25,160
Speaker 1: of road environment. Bama went into Athens on a Saturday

706
00:36:25,200 --> 00:36:28,400
Speaker 1: night and they went thirteen of nineteen. Remember the precision,

707
00:36:28,920 --> 00:36:31,120
Speaker 1: Remember how incredible that show was in the first half,

708
00:36:31,239 --> 00:36:35,080
Speaker 1: especially how do you recreate that. You don't need that

709
00:36:35,160 --> 00:36:37,920
Speaker 1: good a game to beat Auburn, but you need to

710
00:36:37,960 --> 00:36:41,480
Speaker 1: be successful on third down here, like especially early on,

711
00:36:42,000 --> 00:36:44,560
Speaker 1: you can't be stalling out a couple of early three

712
00:36:44,640 --> 00:36:46,080
Speaker 1: and outs of your own. You give them the ball,

713
00:36:46,120 --> 00:36:48,720
Speaker 1: they start bleeding clock on you. There's a whole mental

714
00:36:48,800 --> 00:36:51,120
Speaker 1: side of this thing, by the way, that is just

715
00:36:51,239 --> 00:36:54,560
Speaker 1: constantly knocking on Alabama's door anytime they're playing down there,

716
00:36:55,040 --> 00:36:59,040
Speaker 1: try as you might to block it out. So you know,

717
00:36:59,320 --> 00:37:02,160
Speaker 1: do they click like they did Agast Georgia or is

718
00:37:02,200 --> 00:37:04,600
Speaker 1: it more in line with the Oklahoma game. Maybe they

719
00:37:04,600 --> 00:37:06,120
Speaker 1: do click, but then they turn the ball over. It

720
00:37:06,200 --> 00:37:08,640
Speaker 1: does not matter that they were clicking. There was a

721
00:37:08,719 --> 00:37:12,799
Speaker 1: quote I saw earlier today, Auburn can't win throwing the ball.

722
00:37:13,440 --> 00:37:15,799
Speaker 1: It's very simplistic. Does that mean they don't have a

723
00:37:15,840 --> 00:37:18,600
Speaker 1: forward pass en route to a win? Of course not.

724
00:37:19,760 --> 00:37:22,799
Speaker 1: I wonder how true that is. I wonder how true

725
00:37:22,840 --> 00:37:26,000
Speaker 1: that is now. The Bama pass rush, I think is

726
00:37:26,120 --> 00:37:28,480
Speaker 1: very much improved. Auburn is one hundred and thirty fourth

727
00:37:28,480 --> 00:37:31,680
Speaker 1: in sacks allowed. So I do understand the sentiment that

728
00:37:31,760 --> 00:37:34,080
Speaker 1: I mean, you can't let Ashton Daniels just sit back

729
00:37:34,120 --> 00:37:36,239
Speaker 1: there like a statue and get killed. Well good, He's

730
00:37:36,280 --> 00:37:38,719
Speaker 1: not a statue, so I don't expect him to sit

731
00:37:38,800 --> 00:37:40,480
Speaker 1: back there. But I would just like you to look

732
00:37:40,480 --> 00:37:42,920
Speaker 1: at the screen right quick for anyone who thinks they

733
00:37:43,000 --> 00:37:46,160
Speaker 1: can't throw the ball, was this dude not thirty one

734
00:37:46,200 --> 00:37:49,000
Speaker 1: of forty four for three hundred and fifty three through

735
00:37:49,000 --> 00:37:53,240
Speaker 1: the air against Vanderbilt. Fairly decent team, not a great secondary,

736
00:37:53,440 --> 00:37:56,840
Speaker 1: but fairly decent team. Those aren't Mercer numbers at least,

737
00:37:56,960 --> 00:37:59,680
Speaker 1: all due respect to the Bears, all due respect, I

738
00:37:59,760 --> 00:38:01,920
Speaker 1: was on campus of Mercer not too long ago. We

739
00:38:01,920 --> 00:38:04,160
Speaker 1: didn't announce it though not a fall. Don't lie to

740
00:38:04,160 --> 00:38:06,960
Speaker 1: her stop. My point is, when you add the element

741
00:38:07,000 --> 00:38:10,680
Speaker 1: of mobility here, I do think there could be some

742
00:38:10,719 --> 00:38:13,239
Speaker 1: explosive plays through the air. Probably not gonna throw thebaull

743
00:38:13,280 --> 00:38:16,080
Speaker 1: forty four times unless you're playing catch up. But I

744
00:38:16,080 --> 00:38:19,759
Speaker 1: think about the mobility factor, I think about consistent five

745
00:38:19,880 --> 00:38:23,200
Speaker 1: yard gains. I think about the effort and whether Auburn

746
00:38:23,239 --> 00:38:26,239
Speaker 1: can give themselves an edge in the effort department. I

747
00:38:26,320 --> 00:38:28,919
Speaker 1: just wonder how much Alabama's gonna need offensively. I don't

748
00:38:28,920 --> 00:38:31,239
Speaker 1: expect them to need thirty five or forty to win

749
00:38:31,280 --> 00:38:36,960
Speaker 1: this game. But Robbie Ashford did plenty enough against Vandy

750
00:38:37,360 --> 00:38:40,040
Speaker 1: on the road to get Auburn in position to maybe

751
00:38:40,040 --> 00:38:43,399
Speaker 1: win a game. Expect an inspired effort here. Just can

752
00:38:43,440 --> 00:38:45,759
Speaker 1: they stun them early. It almost feels that's the way

753
00:38:45,800 --> 00:38:47,880
Speaker 1: the game script always plays out. It's Bama gets on

754
00:38:47,880 --> 00:38:49,440
Speaker 1: the ropes early and then they're fighting, and then they

755
00:38:49,440 --> 00:38:50,879
Speaker 1: got to come from behind at the gun to win

756
00:38:51,200 --> 00:38:53,200
Speaker 1: in Jorden Hair Stadium. I'll tell you I see this

757
00:38:53,280 --> 00:38:55,080
Speaker 1: game a little different way. I'll show you what the

758
00:38:55,120 --> 00:38:57,879
Speaker 1: model thinks. The FanDuel number right now is Alabama minus

759
00:38:57,920 --> 00:39:00,719
Speaker 1: five and a half. So I said this profiles like

760
00:39:00,760 --> 00:39:04,680
Speaker 1: the Oklahoma game, and everyone, especially the Oklahoma video department,

761
00:39:04,800 --> 00:39:06,880
Speaker 1: who I am back on good terms with now, by

762
00:39:06,920 --> 00:39:10,920
Speaker 1: the way, I'm happy to report everyone remembers me emphatically

763
00:39:11,000 --> 00:39:13,680
Speaker 1: picking Alabama to win that game and cover because I

764
00:39:13,719 --> 00:39:15,879
Speaker 1: was very confident that they would do exactly what they

765
00:39:15,880 --> 00:39:18,680
Speaker 1: did from a statistical profile. The only thing I didn't

766
00:39:18,680 --> 00:39:21,120
Speaker 1: anticipate was they would lose the turnover battle three to zero.

767
00:39:21,160 --> 00:39:25,680
Speaker 1: And it wasn't random. Oklahoma took the ball away three times.

768
00:39:26,320 --> 00:39:29,800
Speaker 1: But I still believe that in terms of a predictive nature,

769
00:39:30,040 --> 00:39:33,040
Speaker 1: that stat is randomized, like Bama could be plus three

770
00:39:33,040 --> 00:39:36,520
Speaker 1: turnovers themselves Saturday every bit as likely as their minus

771
00:39:36,520 --> 00:39:41,680
Speaker 1: three turnovers. I think because of the Oklahoma outcome, combined

772
00:39:41,719 --> 00:39:44,440
Speaker 1: with the entire notion that there is black magic in play.

773
00:39:44,560 --> 00:39:47,399
Speaker 1: Anytime Alabama goes to Auburn, this line has been suck

774
00:39:47,440 --> 00:39:49,600
Speaker 1: down to five and a half. We think it should

775
00:39:49,600 --> 00:39:52,040
Speaker 1: be over a touchdown. We think Bama should be favored

776
00:39:52,080 --> 00:39:55,239
Speaker 1: by eight, So I'll take that value. I don't think

777
00:39:55,280 --> 00:39:57,880
Speaker 1: Bama's getting punched out here. I think They're going to

778
00:39:57,920 --> 00:39:59,839
Speaker 1: go in there and win. And I will actually take

779
00:39:59,840 --> 00:40:01,319
Speaker 1: them to cover the five and a half and I

780
00:40:01,320 --> 00:40:04,080
Speaker 1: will take them to go to Atlanta. It's gonna be

781
00:40:04,080 --> 00:40:08,400
Speaker 1: a very entertaining game though. And then we look towards

782
00:40:08,440 --> 00:40:10,640
Speaker 1: the next week and the next week. If I'm right,

783
00:40:11,680 --> 00:40:15,120
Speaker 1: the next week would be Alabama goes to Atlanta. Who

784
00:40:15,120 --> 00:40:17,279
Speaker 1: are they playing? Could be playing A and M could

785
00:40:17,280 --> 00:40:20,160
Speaker 1: be playing Georgia. Either way, a ton of those folks

786
00:40:20,239 --> 00:40:22,760
Speaker 1: watch our show. A ton of them would be in Atlanta.

787
00:40:23,360 --> 00:40:25,400
Speaker 1: Did you know that we'll be in Atlanta that Friday

788
00:40:25,480 --> 00:40:28,319
Speaker 1: night before the game? Did you know that we're having

789
00:40:28,360 --> 00:40:31,320
Speaker 1: a live show that Friday night before the game. Yes,

790
00:40:31,600 --> 00:40:35,080
Speaker 1: this is not rumor, this is not baseless speculations. Sources

791
00:40:35,120 --> 00:40:37,839
Speaker 1: are confirming that we will have a show live at

792
00:40:37,840 --> 00:40:40,680
Speaker 1: the Bucket Theater. They're in Buckhead. Tickets are on sale now.

793
00:40:41,360 --> 00:40:45,560
Speaker 1: We look. I am being very careful with how we

794
00:40:45,600 --> 00:40:49,480
Speaker 1: promote this, okay, because we're gonna we're gonna sell this

795
00:40:49,520 --> 00:40:52,960
Speaker 1: thing out pretty quick. It's pretty big theater, but we're

796
00:40:53,320 --> 00:40:55,319
Speaker 1: on the verge of selling the thing out already, and

797
00:40:55,320 --> 00:40:57,200
Speaker 1: I haven't really I haven't said a word about this

798
00:40:57,239 --> 00:40:59,440
Speaker 1: on socials yet because I know we'll get a flood

799
00:40:59,440 --> 00:41:01,759
Speaker 1: when I say something about it on social. So I'm

800
00:41:01,760 --> 00:41:05,200
Speaker 1: given our cores, our day ones, our p ones, the

801
00:41:05,239 --> 00:41:07,600
Speaker 1: first shot at buying tickets, and most of you have.

802
00:41:08,120 --> 00:41:10,840
Speaker 1: You can go to paistatemterial dot com if you haven't

803
00:41:10,840 --> 00:41:15,239
Speaker 1: purchased already, still got some seats left. They're not gonna

804
00:41:15,239 --> 00:41:17,200
Speaker 1: be there much longer, is all I can tell you.

805
00:41:17,600 --> 00:41:21,600
Speaker 1: So I will end up promoting this on social and

806
00:41:21,920 --> 00:41:24,000
Speaker 1: I hope everyone who wanted to get in, who is

807
00:41:24,040 --> 00:41:27,280
Speaker 1: a dedicated loyal viewer of the live show, it gets

808
00:41:27,440 --> 00:41:30,000
Speaker 1: priority because you deserve it, and that's why we're only

809
00:41:30,000 --> 00:41:33,200
Speaker 1: promoting it on the show right now. But it's gonna

810
00:41:33,239 --> 00:41:36,440
Speaker 1: be fun. We're gonna have some special guests, probably announce

811
00:41:36,520 --> 00:41:39,080
Speaker 1: those next week, and we are going to have a

812
00:41:39,120 --> 00:41:41,320
Speaker 1: ton of fun. It's not gonna be like doing this show.

813
00:41:41,800 --> 00:41:44,560
Speaker 1: It'll be a live show, but it'll be like us

814
00:41:44,600 --> 00:41:48,279
Speaker 1: on stage, fully interactive. Anyone who was in Lincoln, Nebraska

815
00:41:48,600 --> 00:41:50,360
Speaker 1: when we went up there with Busting with the Boys,

816
00:41:50,400 --> 00:41:52,359
Speaker 1: that kind of show, That's the kind of show we're

817
00:41:52,400 --> 00:41:54,839
Speaker 1: gonna do. It won't be broadcast anywhere. The only way

818
00:41:54,880 --> 00:41:58,359
Speaker 1: to see it will be there. Let's dive back in

819
00:41:58,400 --> 00:42:08,480
Speaker 1: to the show that we're doing right now. Boyd's coaching

820
00:42:08,520 --> 00:42:11,960
Speaker 1: searches are about to be insane. It's Tuesday night right now,

821
00:42:12,280 --> 00:42:15,200
Speaker 1: and we know that Eric Morris has taken the Oklahoma

822
00:42:15,239 --> 00:42:17,080
Speaker 1: state job. I'll talk about that in a little while,

823
00:42:17,320 --> 00:42:19,759
Speaker 1: but everyone is still talking about Lane Kiffin. And I've

824
00:42:19,800 --> 00:42:24,279
Speaker 1: been accused of taking like eight minutes per show to

825
00:42:24,440 --> 00:42:27,839
Speaker 1: say nothing about Kiffin. No. No, what I've been doing

826
00:42:27,920 --> 00:42:31,440
Speaker 1: is giving you accurate updates. There have been no updates.

827
00:42:31,920 --> 00:42:34,560
Speaker 1: There have been rumors on message boards. When I've been

828
00:42:34,600 --> 00:42:38,080
Speaker 1: telling you, hey, nothing's decided yet. I could just sit

829
00:42:38,120 --> 00:42:40,279
Speaker 1: here and say, hey, he's going to LSU. Oh, I'm

830
00:42:40,280 --> 00:42:41,960
Speaker 1: predicting him to go to Florida. Well, I don't really

831
00:42:41,960 --> 00:42:43,719
Speaker 1: care where I predict him to go. I mean, I've

832
00:42:43,719 --> 00:42:47,240
Speaker 1: got pretty good guided intel or good knowledge, good firsthand

833
00:42:47,320 --> 00:42:50,880
Speaker 1: knowledge of the situation. It's just been undecided. Now I

834
00:42:50,920 --> 00:42:54,240
Speaker 1: am ready to tell you tonight on Tuesday, November twenty fifth.

835
00:42:54,320 --> 00:42:55,880
Speaker 1: If I had to guess where he's gonna end up,

836
00:42:55,880 --> 00:42:58,520
Speaker 1: I think he's the next head coach at LSU. That's

837
00:42:58,640 --> 00:43:02,200
Speaker 1: my guess. I don't know that that's nailed down. I

838
00:43:02,239 --> 00:43:06,680
Speaker 1: am just telling you I have worked with people like Lane.

839
00:43:06,920 --> 00:43:08,960
Speaker 1: I know where Lane's head has been, at least as

840
00:43:09,000 --> 00:43:11,759
Speaker 1: much as any outsider can know where Lane's head has been.

841
00:43:12,480 --> 00:43:16,960
Speaker 1: It is not decided until he looks Jimmy Sexton in

842
00:43:17,000 --> 00:43:21,400
Speaker 1: the eye and says sign it, do it, pull the trigger.

843
00:43:21,800 --> 00:43:25,000
Speaker 1: Until then, it doesn't matter who's looked at real estate,

844
00:43:25,440 --> 00:43:29,120
Speaker 1: who is tentatively purchased real estate, which plane's gone where.

845
00:43:29,440 --> 00:43:32,800
Speaker 1: That dude could call LSU tonight and say I'm coming

846
00:43:33,120 --> 00:43:35,920
Speaker 1: and change his mind tomorrow morning. That's the nature of

847
00:43:35,960 --> 00:43:39,000
Speaker 1: this it has been. I believe LSU's in the best position.

848
00:43:39,400 --> 00:43:42,480
Speaker 1: I do believe that. I don't think anything's fully decided.

849
00:43:42,520 --> 00:43:45,040
Speaker 1: I don't think anyone's fully out of this. That includes

850
00:43:45,040 --> 00:43:47,120
Speaker 1: Ole miss even though a lot of people would tell

851
00:43:47,120 --> 00:43:49,279
Speaker 1: you they are out of it. I don't believe that

852
00:43:49,320 --> 00:43:53,560
Speaker 1: until it's over. But what's got my interest here is

853
00:43:53,800 --> 00:43:56,719
Speaker 1: not so much Lane. Everyone's paying attention to him. What

854
00:43:56,960 --> 00:44:00,160
Speaker 1: happens to the school slash schools that don't have have

855
00:44:00,200 --> 00:44:03,520
Speaker 1: his services? If he stays at Old Miss, it's especially

856
00:44:03,560 --> 00:44:06,800
Speaker 1: crazy because that means the Florida and LSU jobs remain open.

857
00:44:07,040 --> 00:44:09,759
Speaker 1: But let's say it goes the most likely scenario. Let's

858
00:44:09,800 --> 00:44:12,800
Speaker 1: say he goes to LSU, the Florida job is still open.

859
00:44:13,160 --> 00:44:15,200
Speaker 1: Where do they turn? I do think they've tried to

860
00:44:15,200 --> 00:44:18,120
Speaker 1: get their ducks in a row. I think John Sumrall

861
00:44:18,200 --> 00:44:21,680
Speaker 1: still in the mix for that job. Eli Drinkwitz's name

862
00:44:21,680 --> 00:44:23,960
Speaker 1: has been mentioned, but the fan base seems to be

863
00:44:23,960 --> 00:44:26,640
Speaker 1: pushing back on that a lot. I've seen Jedfish's name

864
00:44:26,680 --> 00:44:29,600
Speaker 1: thrown around. You know, Jed would love that job, man,

865
00:44:30,239 --> 00:44:32,640
Speaker 1: and he has gotten hot as of late. And I

866
00:44:32,640 --> 00:44:35,120
Speaker 1: want you to picture this world, Okay, you got to

867
00:44:35,160 --> 00:44:39,120
Speaker 1: forward think on this. Picture a world where Lane, after

868
00:44:39,120 --> 00:44:42,160
Speaker 1: the egg Bowl, decides he's either going to LSU or

869
00:44:42,160 --> 00:44:45,959
Speaker 1: he's going to stay at Old Miss, and Jedfish upsets organ.

870
00:44:47,480 --> 00:44:50,080
Speaker 1: This is in no way how coaching searches should operate,

871
00:44:50,480 --> 00:44:53,960
Speaker 1: but they do operate this way. Picture that late wave

872
00:44:54,000 --> 00:44:56,880
Speaker 1: of momentum that Jedfish has. And here's what you do.

873
00:44:57,840 --> 00:45:01,319
Speaker 1: If you're Scott Strickland. You pull the A and M move.

874
00:45:01,840 --> 00:45:03,319
Speaker 1: But it's not the way A and M did it.

875
00:45:03,520 --> 00:45:05,759
Speaker 1: But you still pull the A and M move. You

876
00:45:05,880 --> 00:45:09,319
Speaker 1: float a name. Maybe it's drink and by the way,

877
00:45:09,400 --> 00:45:11,520
Speaker 1: I think Eli Drinkowitz would do grade at either one

878
00:45:11,520 --> 00:45:13,879
Speaker 1: of these places. People are so backwards with the way

879
00:45:13,880 --> 00:45:16,319
Speaker 1: they judge that guy. But if the fan base doesn't

880
00:45:16,320 --> 00:45:18,279
Speaker 1: want him, the fan base doesn't want him. So you

881
00:45:18,360 --> 00:45:21,720
Speaker 1: float the name that you know people will revolt against,

882
00:45:22,760 --> 00:45:25,239
Speaker 1: kind of like Mark Stoop's name got floated at A

883
00:45:25,320 --> 00:45:28,240
Speaker 1: and M. Only they were about to hire Mark Stoops

884
00:45:28,600 --> 00:45:31,000
Speaker 1: and the Billy Lucci crew out there ended up tearing

885
00:45:31,000 --> 00:45:32,640
Speaker 1: that down. Then they got Mike Elko, who I'm told

886
00:45:32,719 --> 00:45:34,719
Speaker 1: is doing all right. You float the name the folks

887
00:45:34,760 --> 00:45:38,160
Speaker 1: wouldn't want, and then you circle back around, you go

888
00:45:38,239 --> 00:45:42,320
Speaker 1: hire Jetfish. Because what you don't want is if you

889
00:45:42,400 --> 00:45:44,400
Speaker 1: hire Jetfish. I'm just saying, if you hire Jetfish in

890
00:45:44,400 --> 00:45:47,279
Speaker 1: the scenario, what you don't want is people saying we

891
00:45:47,320 --> 00:45:49,640
Speaker 1: didn't get Kiffin, we got Jetfish. What you want him

892
00:45:49,640 --> 00:45:52,560
Speaker 1: saying is we got Jetfish instead of Eli drink Woitz.

893
00:45:53,040 --> 00:45:55,680
Speaker 1: If they prefer him over Eli, that's how you operate that,

894
00:45:55,680 --> 00:45:57,840
Speaker 1: That's how I think that would go down. Still a

895
00:45:57,880 --> 00:46:02,160
Speaker 1: lot of stones unturned. Eric Moore did sign with Oklahoma

896
00:46:02,160 --> 00:46:04,839
Speaker 1: State today. So Eric Morris was the North Texas head coach,

897
00:46:05,840 --> 00:46:08,239
Speaker 1: and I thought he was going to Arkansas guys, and

898
00:46:08,360 --> 00:46:10,840
Speaker 1: I think he had an offer from Arkansas, and this

899
00:46:11,000 --> 00:46:13,400
Speaker 1: is just what I've heard. I think he chose Oklahoma

900
00:46:13,440 --> 00:46:18,839
Speaker 1: State over Arkansas, and that's kind of indicative of where

901
00:46:18,840 --> 00:46:21,719
Speaker 1: the Arkansas coaching search is right now. I think at

902
00:46:21,719 --> 00:46:24,799
Speaker 1: Oklahoma State they probably sold him that we can do

903
00:46:24,840 --> 00:46:27,640
Speaker 1: what Texas Tech is doing. We got big money here too.

904
00:46:28,400 --> 00:46:30,480
Speaker 1: We can be the next Texas Tech. That's going to

905
00:46:30,560 --> 00:46:33,560
Speaker 1: be about half a dozen different Big twelve schools pitches

906
00:46:33,600 --> 00:46:35,759
Speaker 1: over the next twelve to twenty four months. By the way,

907
00:46:36,160 --> 00:46:40,279
Speaker 1: so Good Hire the Tom Fournelly line, I just we're

908
00:46:40,320 --> 00:46:42,799
Speaker 1: going to license it from for Nelly Great Hire. I

909
00:46:42,880 --> 00:46:46,320
Speaker 1: have no idea whether it'll work out. It's the safest

910
00:46:46,360 --> 00:46:49,279
Speaker 1: you could possibly play it. Where's Arkansas going to go?

911
00:46:50,200 --> 00:46:52,880
Speaker 1: I have said for quite a while I would love

912
00:46:53,200 --> 00:46:56,200
Speaker 1: to go get Alex Goldish if I were Arkansas. The

913
00:46:56,239 --> 00:46:59,840
Speaker 1: thing of it is, I don't know how available he

914
00:46:59,960 --> 00:47:03,680
Speaker 1: is is to Arkansas. He has listened. I know he

915
00:47:03,719 --> 00:47:10,279
Speaker 1: would listen. I know there's probably some trepidation about, you know,

916
00:47:10,320 --> 00:47:12,920
Speaker 1: getting questions answered the way you want them. And this

917
00:47:13,040 --> 00:47:15,000
Speaker 1: is not just a golish thing. Anyone who takes that

918
00:47:15,120 --> 00:47:19,040
Speaker 1: Arkansas job is asking the same set of questions. And

919
00:47:19,120 --> 00:47:21,480
Speaker 1: I know Hunter Yrcheck's taking a lot of heat up there,

920
00:47:22,480 --> 00:47:25,759
Speaker 1: maybe rightfully so. But if you don't get those questions

921
00:47:25,840 --> 00:47:28,839
Speaker 1: answered perfectly, you don't take the Arkansas job because you're

922
00:47:28,880 --> 00:47:31,439
Speaker 1: already behind the eight ball. If you take the Arkansas job,

923
00:47:31,640 --> 00:47:33,120
Speaker 1: because they're going to pay you a ton of money,

924
00:47:33,280 --> 00:47:36,240
Speaker 1: which means they're going to have outsized expectations there relative

925
00:47:36,239 --> 00:47:38,719
Speaker 1: to what you're probably capable of in the SEC. I

926
00:47:38,719 --> 00:47:40,479
Speaker 1: got a lot of respect for that program, but until

927
00:47:40,520 --> 00:47:43,160
Speaker 1: further notice, that's the state of affairs. So it's got

928
00:47:43,200 --> 00:47:45,160
Speaker 1: to be a perfect situation or else you don't land

929
00:47:45,200 --> 00:47:48,560
Speaker 1: the plane at Arkansas. I don't know where they're gonna go.

930
00:47:48,680 --> 00:47:50,879
Speaker 1: Caine Walmack, I think is a candidate for that job.

931
00:47:52,120 --> 00:47:55,160
Speaker 1: And I you know, the other thing I wonder and

932
00:47:55,200 --> 00:47:57,440
Speaker 1: I haven't heard anything on this, you know, what nevermind

933
00:47:58,280 --> 00:47:59,520
Speaker 1: of couse, what I was gonna do is just throw

934
00:47:59,520 --> 00:48:00,960
Speaker 1: a random name out there, and I'm not doing that.

935
00:48:01,960 --> 00:48:05,359
Speaker 1: Penn State. Speaking of random names, does anyone know what

936
00:48:05,360 --> 00:48:08,799
Speaker 1: Adam Brenneman is talking about? Does anyone know? Should we

937
00:48:08,880 --> 00:48:12,600
Speaker 1: text Adam? No? No, It's much more fun to baselessly speculate.

938
00:48:13,080 --> 00:48:15,840
Speaker 1: I know the Penn State community has noticed that you

939
00:48:15,880 --> 00:48:20,080
Speaker 1: still haven't hired a coach. I got some very mixed

940
00:48:20,200 --> 00:48:22,759
Speaker 1: reviews on the state of the Penn State search, but

941
00:48:22,800 --> 00:48:25,360
Speaker 1: I also think it's become really closed off. So I

942
00:48:25,360 --> 00:48:29,720
Speaker 1: think Pat Kraft is really flying almost solo, not quite solo,

943
00:48:29,920 --> 00:48:32,279
Speaker 1: but I mean, I really think he's pushed a lot

944
00:48:32,280 --> 00:48:34,960
Speaker 1: of voices out of the room, and truthfully, I don't

945
00:48:34,960 --> 00:48:36,759
Speaker 1: know how qualified he is to pull this thing off.

946
00:48:37,680 --> 00:48:39,279
Speaker 1: I do not think they're going to get any of

947
00:48:39,320 --> 00:48:41,319
Speaker 1: the Grand Slam candidates. I don't think they're getting any

948
00:48:41,320 --> 00:48:44,080
Speaker 1: of the home run candidates. I still think Bob Chesney

949
00:48:44,080 --> 00:48:45,879
Speaker 1: could very well get this job. Who is the head

950
00:48:45,880 --> 00:48:50,120
Speaker 1: coach at JMU. That's just what I think a lot

951
00:48:50,120 --> 00:48:52,560
Speaker 1: of people are asking about. A tweet from Adam Brenneman

952
00:48:52,960 --> 00:48:55,040
Speaker 1: that talks about a big name out there, that is

953
00:48:55,120 --> 00:48:58,359
Speaker 1: kind of off everyone's radar, and that's the one that

954
00:48:58,400 --> 00:49:01,000
Speaker 1: they're sort of honing in on. And there was some

955
00:49:01,040 --> 00:49:03,840
Speaker 1: reporting from our Penn State on three side earlier today

956
00:49:03,880 --> 00:49:07,640
Speaker 1: that there's some traction with that name, and they think

957
00:49:07,680 --> 00:49:09,600
Speaker 1: that name is going to be receptive, and they don't

958
00:49:09,600 --> 00:49:12,520
Speaker 1: think that name is gonna, you know, drop out at

959
00:49:12,520 --> 00:49:15,280
Speaker 1: the last minute, like maybe an Eric Morris at Arkansas.

960
00:49:16,480 --> 00:49:18,919
Speaker 1: Do I know the name? Yeah, I know the name.

961
00:49:20,280 --> 00:49:24,040
Speaker 1: I will tell you this. It's not my intel to report, Okay,

962
00:49:24,760 --> 00:49:28,239
Speaker 1: I assume that name will leak. I will also tell

963
00:49:28,280 --> 00:49:31,840
Speaker 1: you I have not personally heard that name any other place.

964
00:49:32,360 --> 00:49:34,720
Speaker 1: I haven't heard that name for any other coaching opening.

965
00:49:35,160 --> 00:49:38,360
Speaker 1: And outside of you know, being told who Adam was

966
00:49:38,360 --> 00:49:43,360
Speaker 1: talking about, I haven't heard that name mentioned by anyone else, agents,

967
00:49:43,520 --> 00:49:46,200
Speaker 1: other coaches up for the job, anybody at Penn State

968
00:49:46,360 --> 00:49:49,240
Speaker 1: involved with the coaching search. That means what it means.

969
00:49:49,360 --> 00:49:51,239
Speaker 1: That just means I haven't heard it. That doesn't mean

970
00:49:51,239 --> 00:49:53,399
Speaker 1: it's not true. It could be totally accurate. I got

971
00:49:53,400 --> 00:49:55,279
Speaker 1: no reason to doubt it, got no reason to doubt it.

972
00:49:58,080 --> 00:50:00,440
Speaker 1: If if what Adam Brennan is talking about, if that

973
00:50:00,600 --> 00:50:03,120
Speaker 1: name is the one to pan out if that's the

974
00:50:03,160 --> 00:50:06,200
Speaker 1: guy that Penn State signs. He is absolutely right, that

975
00:50:06,239 --> 00:50:08,960
Speaker 1: would turn heads. He is absolutely right that name would

976
00:50:09,000 --> 00:50:12,479
Speaker 1: come like sting from the rafters. I would give you

977
00:50:13,239 --> 00:50:16,040
Speaker 1: fifteen guesses, and I don't think even people who have

978
00:50:16,120 --> 00:50:18,279
Speaker 1: been following this coaching search, I really don't think that

979
00:50:18,360 --> 00:50:20,360
Speaker 1: name would come up in the top fifteen. Now I

980
00:50:20,400 --> 00:50:22,640
Speaker 1: will be called irresponsible for doing this and not sharing

981
00:50:22,680 --> 00:50:25,680
Speaker 1: a name. It's not my intel to share. I just

982
00:50:25,719 --> 00:50:27,759
Speaker 1: happen to know who he's talking about. It would be

983
00:50:27,760 --> 00:50:31,880
Speaker 1: interesting personally. I don't think it's a fit. And I

984
00:50:31,920 --> 00:50:34,239
Speaker 1: will absolutely tell you if the dude who gets hired

985
00:50:34,360 --> 00:50:36,200
Speaker 1: is the one he was talking about, I will absolutely

986
00:50:36,280 --> 00:50:39,080
Speaker 1: tell you. I assume he will, though I don't have

987
00:50:39,120 --> 00:50:40,719
Speaker 1: to worry about me doing that. I assume he will.

988
00:50:40,800 --> 00:50:43,120
Speaker 1: At Auburn, I am still going to stand by my

989
00:50:43,200 --> 00:50:45,919
Speaker 1: guns here. This has been a very very high level

990
00:50:45,920 --> 00:50:50,520
Speaker 1: coaching search. It has been the most relatively speaking, seamless operation.

991
00:50:50,719 --> 00:50:54,440
Speaker 1: Seamless Yeah, seamless operation in a coaching search format that

992
00:50:54,480 --> 00:50:56,759
Speaker 1: I've seen Auburn conduct, and we've seen him conduct several

993
00:50:56,800 --> 00:50:59,040
Speaker 1: of them. I still bet my money on John Summer

994
00:50:59,080 --> 00:51:02,200
Speaker 1: all there. I don't think that's a done deal. It's

995
00:51:02,239 --> 00:51:04,719
Speaker 1: not done deal until he's at the press conference. Because

996
00:51:04,800 --> 00:51:08,799
Speaker 1: John's in pretty high demand. So Auburn's got their ducks

997
00:51:08,840 --> 00:51:11,440
Speaker 1: in a row. This is not a wobbly search. If

998
00:51:11,480 --> 00:51:13,960
Speaker 1: they don't land their guy, it's just because their guy

999
00:51:14,000 --> 00:51:17,239
Speaker 1: wanted to go somewhere else. More So, it's not gonna

1000
00:51:17,280 --> 00:51:19,600
Speaker 1: because they fumbled the bag at the eleventh hour. I

1001
00:51:19,600 --> 00:51:21,920
Speaker 1: don't think. I think Dj Dirkin still has a really

1002
00:51:21,960 --> 00:51:24,560
Speaker 1: good shot to get this job. Obviously when the Iron

1003
00:51:24,600 --> 00:51:27,640
Speaker 1: Bowl and that really gets turned up. A long timeline

1004
00:51:27,640 --> 00:51:31,440
Speaker 1: does funny things. So if the Auburn job came open today,

1005
00:51:31,480 --> 00:51:34,359
Speaker 1: if they fired Hugh Freeze today, we would have a

1006
00:51:34,400 --> 00:51:38,279
Speaker 1: week and the coaching search would just go like one

1007
00:51:38,360 --> 00:51:40,319
Speaker 1: or two days, and there'd be a big list of names.

1008
00:51:40,320 --> 00:51:42,000
Speaker 1: Then it would narrow down. Then there would be a

1009
00:51:42,000 --> 00:51:44,160
Speaker 1: guy that was the front runner over the weekend, and

1010
00:51:44,200 --> 00:51:46,239
Speaker 1: then there would be a report their finalizing terms, and

1011
00:51:46,280 --> 00:51:47,719
Speaker 1: then you got him and you didn't even have time

1012
00:51:47,760 --> 00:51:50,879
Speaker 1: to speculate. But because they fire Hugh free so long ago,

1013
00:51:50,960 --> 00:51:54,680
Speaker 1: you've had multiple weeks to speculate. So it gets old

1014
00:51:54,760 --> 00:51:57,319
Speaker 1: just saying the same thing. So let's say one guy

1015
00:51:57,800 --> 00:51:59,719
Speaker 1: has really been the guy the whole time. Let's say

1016
00:51:59,719 --> 00:52:02,360
Speaker 1: it's Clark Lee has been involved in the Auburn coaching search.

1017
00:52:02,520 --> 00:52:05,799
Speaker 1: Let's say Clark was the guy the whole time. It

1018
00:52:05,840 --> 00:52:08,560
Speaker 1: gets boring just continuing to say it's going to be Clark,

1019
00:52:08,800 --> 00:52:11,080
Speaker 1: it's Clark's job. So you just out of boredom, you

1020
00:52:11,120 --> 00:52:15,239
Speaker 1: start inserting new names where you start manufacturing drama. And

1021
00:52:15,920 --> 00:52:18,279
Speaker 1: I really think sometimes that's the way this works. And

1022
00:52:18,320 --> 00:52:20,280
Speaker 1: I really think the Auburn coaching search has been pretty

1023
00:52:20,280 --> 00:52:22,920
Speaker 1: buttoned up, and the lack of drama almost has some

1024
00:52:22,960 --> 00:52:27,960
Speaker 1: of my Auburn constituency concerned. No, no, no, the opposite

1025
00:52:27,960 --> 00:52:30,800
Speaker 1: of that should have you concerned. They're watching us in Trenton,

1026
00:52:30,840 --> 00:52:34,480
Speaker 1: New Jersey. They're watching in Charlotte, North Carolina, Cordeal, Georgia.

1027
00:52:34,520 --> 00:52:38,480
Speaker 1: We appreciate you guys so much. Back to the Rivalry

1028
00:52:38,520 --> 00:52:43,359
Speaker 1: Week predictions. Texas A and M at Texas Friday, seven

1029
00:52:43,480 --> 00:52:46,160
Speaker 1: thirty Eastern kickoff, ABC. They're not even making us wait

1030
00:52:46,200 --> 00:52:50,160
Speaker 1: until Saturday. That's why Rivalry Week, much like hope, is

1031
00:52:50,160 --> 00:52:53,799
Speaker 1: a good thing. Maybe the best of things. SEC Championship

1032
00:52:53,840 --> 00:52:56,000
Speaker 1: game trip was on the line last year. We were

1033
00:52:56,000 --> 00:52:59,319
Speaker 1: at this game last year in college station winner goes

1034
00:52:59,360 --> 00:53:03,600
Speaker 1: to Atlanta and it was a seventeen to seven game.

1035
00:53:03,880 --> 00:53:06,920
Speaker 1: It wasn't particularly aesthetically pleasing. I think it got two

1036
00:53:07,000 --> 00:53:09,840
Speaker 1: Chali Max and it was a ten point game. But

1037
00:53:09,880 --> 00:53:11,319
Speaker 1: A and M just never really felt like they were

1038
00:53:11,320 --> 00:53:13,520
Speaker 1: in it. So I got a question for you, who

1039
00:53:13,560 --> 00:53:17,640
Speaker 1: has the quarterback edge in this game? You could ask, well,

1040
00:53:17,760 --> 00:53:20,280
Speaker 1: you mean, who's been the better quarterback all season? Who's

1041
00:53:20,280 --> 00:53:22,239
Speaker 1: been the better quarterback the last few weeks? Like what

1042
00:53:22,280 --> 00:53:23,680
Speaker 1: do you want to know? Well, I want to know

1043
00:53:23,680 --> 00:53:26,319
Speaker 1: how you would answer that. Is it a season thing?

1044
00:53:26,400 --> 00:53:28,200
Speaker 1: Is it a November thing? I'm just telling you. Arch

1045
00:53:28,280 --> 00:53:30,960
Speaker 1: has thrown for three hundred plus and three plus touchdowns

1046
00:53:31,120 --> 00:53:34,919
Speaker 1: in three of his last four games. And Marcel Reid

1047
00:53:35,000 --> 00:53:39,799
Speaker 1: you probably remember him digging himself a hole against South Carolina,

1048
00:53:40,040 --> 00:53:42,920
Speaker 1: pulling himself out of the hole. I'm still holding on

1049
00:53:42,960 --> 00:53:46,200
Speaker 1: to my Marcel Reid Heisman ticket. If it's gonna cash,

1050
00:53:46,280 --> 00:53:49,399
Speaker 1: he's got to make his move this weekend. So do

1051
00:53:49,440 --> 00:53:52,360
Speaker 1: I have a favorite in this game? Yes, I'm pulling

1052
00:53:52,360 --> 00:53:54,719
Speaker 1: for Marcel Reid. I would love for him to throw

1053
00:53:54,760 --> 00:53:57,360
Speaker 1: for six hundo. Now, maybe Arch matches him and we

1054
00:53:57,400 --> 00:54:00,719
Speaker 1: go to overtime, in which case. You know, started over

1055
00:54:00,840 --> 00:54:03,720
Speaker 1: and all's well, that ends well, and you know, Texas

1056
00:54:03,800 --> 00:54:07,080
Speaker 1: doesn't suffer because my Heisman pick wins. But every November

1057
00:54:07,160 --> 00:54:09,719
Speaker 1: there is a performance that gets remembered and becomes the

1058
00:54:09,719 --> 00:54:12,480
Speaker 1: focus of the next year's hype, which would be ironic

1059
00:54:12,480 --> 00:54:14,680
Speaker 1: if it were Arch, because Arch was really hyped up.

1060
00:54:14,719 --> 00:54:16,919
Speaker 1: He was the favorite to win the Heisman Trophy this year.

1061
00:54:17,760 --> 00:54:22,200
Speaker 1: You'll remember famously in July, and it would be so

1062
00:54:22,320 --> 00:54:24,880
Speaker 1: crazy if he kind of fell short of expectations. But

1063
00:54:24,960 --> 00:54:27,560
Speaker 1: then he had a game against A and M late

1064
00:54:28,760 --> 00:54:31,080
Speaker 1: that made people say, you know, his season was kind

1065
00:54:31,080 --> 00:54:33,200
Speaker 1: of up and down, but man, did you see he

1066
00:54:33,200 --> 00:54:35,080
Speaker 1: played his best ball late. You know, they say it

1067
00:54:35,080 --> 00:54:37,439
Speaker 1: about someone every year, and he peaked at the right

1068
00:54:37,440 --> 00:54:40,200
Speaker 1: time and they lit up Texas A and M and boy,

1069
00:54:40,239 --> 00:54:43,680
Speaker 1: that really builds momentum into winter conditioning and spring ball.

1070
00:54:43,719 --> 00:54:46,279
Speaker 1: And this time next year, Arch may really, he may

1071
00:54:46,360 --> 00:54:48,759
Speaker 1: very well be the best quarterback in the country. That

1072
00:54:48,800 --> 00:54:53,480
Speaker 1: could happen Saturday. It could happened Saturday. One area Texas

1073
00:54:53,520 --> 00:54:57,360
Speaker 1: has to answer for though, sort of a pre paper

1074
00:54:57,400 --> 00:55:00,000
Speaker 1: popper here. A and M is fourteenth in the county

1075
00:55:00,200 --> 00:55:03,600
Speaker 1: and explosive passes and Texas's defense is ninety eighth in

1076
00:55:03,640 --> 00:55:07,600
Speaker 1: that category. Texas's defense is just one oh seven overall

1077
00:55:07,800 --> 00:55:12,160
Speaker 1: against the pass. And now we saw Marcel redo it

1078
00:55:12,160 --> 00:55:14,000
Speaker 1: because he had to to come from behind, but we've

1079
00:55:14,040 --> 00:55:16,359
Speaker 1: just seen them do it this year period, and they've

1080
00:55:16,360 --> 00:55:18,960
Speaker 1: got really good receiving talent, and when some of that

1081
00:55:19,040 --> 00:55:21,800
Speaker 1: talent has been hurt, there's been new talent that's emerged.

1082
00:55:21,840 --> 00:55:24,839
Speaker 1: And the thing about it is, sometimes when you say

1083
00:55:24,840 --> 00:55:26,960
Speaker 1: that about a team, you can afford to play a

1084
00:55:26,960 --> 00:55:30,200
Speaker 1: little bit lighter in the box to help slow down

1085
00:55:30,200 --> 00:55:33,160
Speaker 1: that passing game or to help fill some alleys and

1086
00:55:33,280 --> 00:55:36,400
Speaker 1: that passing game maybe force a tipball in completion or

1087
00:55:36,600 --> 00:55:39,200
Speaker 1: better yet, an interception. You can't do that against A

1088
00:55:39,280 --> 00:55:42,160
Speaker 1: and M. Because against Auburn they had forty seven carries

1089
00:55:42,160 --> 00:55:44,920
Speaker 1: for two hundred and seven and a score. I mentioned

1090
00:55:44,960 --> 00:55:51,279
Speaker 1: Auburn because Auburn's Rundy probably most readily profiles like Texas's

1091
00:55:51,280 --> 00:55:54,920
Speaker 1: does like Texas pretty good against the run, not so

1092
00:55:54,960 --> 00:55:57,600
Speaker 1: good against the pass. That's kind of Auburn's profile. It's

1093
00:55:57,640 --> 00:55:59,400
Speaker 1: not shot for shot, but it's kind of the same way.

1094
00:55:59,440 --> 00:56:02,560
Speaker 1: And A and M ran it on them, not at will,

1095
00:56:02,920 --> 00:56:05,440
Speaker 1: but they ran it plenty good enough and CJ. Vogel

1096
00:56:05,480 --> 00:56:08,760
Speaker 1: has been providing stat gems all year and he provided

1097
00:56:08,760 --> 00:56:10,600
Speaker 1: another one. Here's why that running game is so important,

1098
00:56:10,640 --> 00:56:14,359
Speaker 1: aside from the obvious. Marcel Read on play action this year,

1099
00:56:14,480 --> 00:56:19,440
Speaker 1: seventy three point eight percent completion percentage, sixteen touchdowns, one pick.

1100
00:56:21,239 --> 00:56:23,000
Speaker 1: You suck at running the ball, No one falls for

1101
00:56:23,040 --> 00:56:25,640
Speaker 1: play action. You're running the ball effectively. Play actions there.

1102
00:56:26,120 --> 00:56:30,160
Speaker 1: Marcel Read without play action fifty five point four percent

1103
00:56:30,200 --> 00:56:35,560
Speaker 1: completion guy, nine touchdowns, seven interceptions. My prediction, a lot

1104
00:56:35,560 --> 00:56:38,960
Speaker 1: of play action. Colin Klein dialing it up in this game.

1105
00:56:39,400 --> 00:56:44,480
Speaker 1: But what does play action require? Time? Where does Texas

1106
00:56:44,520 --> 00:56:47,560
Speaker 1: specialize getting after the quarterback? They're number three in the

1107
00:56:47,560 --> 00:56:50,560
Speaker 1: country in sack rate, So that's the balance you have

1108
00:56:50,600 --> 00:56:54,440
Speaker 1: to strike there. Texas is tenth and turnover margin A

1109
00:56:54,520 --> 00:56:57,920
Speaker 1: and M's one hundred and ninth. Sometimes that matters, Sometimes

1110
00:56:57,920 --> 00:56:59,920
Speaker 1: it doesn't. I'm just telling you, if it plays out

1111
00:57:00,040 --> 00:57:02,960
Speaker 1: according to the stat sheet, Texas has a big edge

1112
00:57:03,000 --> 00:57:07,920
Speaker 1: here enforcing turnovers. It didn't matter in Oklahoma, Alabama most recently,

1113
00:57:08,080 --> 00:57:12,240
Speaker 1: maybe it won't matter here. Steve Sarkesian needs something to sell.

1114
00:57:12,440 --> 00:57:14,719
Speaker 1: He needs a big win to hang his hat on.

1115
00:57:14,920 --> 00:57:18,160
Speaker 1: He has not gotten it. He badly needs it. Texas

1116
00:57:18,240 --> 00:57:20,520
Speaker 1: A and M has won games in all sorts of

1117
00:57:20,560 --> 00:57:24,360
Speaker 1: ways this year. They beat Notre Dame in a shootout.

1118
00:57:24,760 --> 00:57:28,320
Speaker 1: They beat Auburn in that slugfest. They got down thirty

1119
00:57:28,360 --> 00:57:30,480
Speaker 1: to three to South Carolina and had to come from

1120
00:57:30,520 --> 00:57:33,320
Speaker 1: behind to win. They went on the road to Missouri

1121
00:57:33,320 --> 00:57:36,240
Speaker 1: the week before and just totally handled business. So they

1122
00:57:36,280 --> 00:57:38,560
Speaker 1: are well versed and win in any kind of game

1123
00:57:38,920 --> 00:57:41,240
Speaker 1: that Texas presents them. Let's take a look at what

1124
00:57:41,280 --> 00:57:43,520
Speaker 1: the model thinks. The FanDuel number is A and M

1125
00:57:43,560 --> 00:57:45,880
Speaker 1: minus two and a half. The model agrees, we got

1126
00:57:45,880 --> 00:57:49,920
Speaker 1: A and M minus three. I think A and M

1127
00:57:49,960 --> 00:57:51,440
Speaker 1: is going to go in there and get the job done.

1128
00:57:51,880 --> 00:57:54,360
Speaker 1: This is a really important game for those folks. Not

1129
00:57:54,480 --> 00:57:57,040
Speaker 1: to mention just the whole rivalry dynamic. I got through

1130
00:57:57,040 --> 00:57:59,720
Speaker 1: this whole thing, and I didn't even mention the pure

1131
00:57:59,720 --> 00:58:03,680
Speaker 1: on the adulterated hatred of Texas A and M and Texas.

1132
00:58:03,760 --> 00:58:05,960
Speaker 1: I mean, Texas is a home dog on this game,

1133
00:58:06,280 --> 00:58:08,040
Speaker 1: still with the audacity to kind of pat A and

1134
00:58:08,160 --> 00:58:11,040
Speaker 1: M on the head welcome in, little bro. Nope, can't

1135
00:58:11,120 --> 00:58:12,960
Speaker 1: let it be that way. And I don't think it

1136
00:58:13,000 --> 00:58:14,960
Speaker 1: will be that way. I think A and M will

1137
00:58:14,960 --> 00:58:16,760
Speaker 1: get the job done. They'll win, they'll cover, and they

1138
00:58:16,800 --> 00:58:19,080
Speaker 1: will go to Atlanta to play for an SEC championship.

1139
00:58:20,320 --> 00:58:23,440
Speaker 1: We move on nice brisk pace here because I've got

1140
00:58:23,480 --> 00:58:26,240
Speaker 1: so much to get to tonight. If you're watching just

1141
00:58:26,280 --> 00:58:28,800
Speaker 1: an FYI, we do this show free year round. We

1142
00:58:28,800 --> 00:58:30,640
Speaker 1: would never ask you to pay for the show. But

1143
00:58:30,720 --> 00:58:33,400
Speaker 1: the way we do it for free is by you

1144
00:58:33,520 --> 00:58:36,520
Speaker 1: subscribing to the channel. Now, mind you, it doesn't cost

1145
00:58:36,560 --> 00:58:39,480
Speaker 1: you anything to subscribe, and it doesn't sign you up

1146
00:58:39,480 --> 00:58:42,200
Speaker 1: for anything. All it does is help us, so we

1147
00:58:42,240 --> 00:58:44,360
Speaker 1: don't have to go have a big corporate umbrella over

1148
00:58:44,400 --> 00:58:46,040
Speaker 1: the show. You know a lot of you rail against

1149
00:58:46,080 --> 00:58:49,440
Speaker 1: corporate sports media. Okay, well, the way that you create

1150
00:58:49,480 --> 00:58:52,240
Speaker 1: alternatives is to help us do a show like we

1151
00:58:52,280 --> 00:58:54,480
Speaker 1: do here. Hopefully you like it enough to subscribe to

1152
00:58:54,520 --> 00:58:58,160
Speaker 1: the channel, and then those numbers, in turn get seen

1153
00:58:58,200 --> 00:59:01,800
Speaker 1: by advertisers and they investor money here instead of there,

1154
00:59:02,200 --> 00:59:04,880
Speaker 1: and then we get to grow this show with no oversight,

1155
00:59:04,920 --> 00:59:06,440
Speaker 1: and we get to do it however we want to.

1156
00:59:07,240 --> 00:59:11,000
Speaker 1: So our balls are in your court. I got the

1157
00:59:11,040 --> 00:59:13,920
Speaker 1: JP pole right here. The JP Pole, not a ranking

1158
00:59:14,160 --> 00:59:17,640
Speaker 1: JP pole, Power ratings. Now, the JP pole sees things

1159
00:59:17,680 --> 00:59:19,760
Speaker 1: a little bit different than the Playoff Committee, but that's okay,

1160
00:59:19,960 --> 00:59:21,720
Speaker 1: because we're not trying to do on this piece of

1161
00:59:21,720 --> 00:59:24,000
Speaker 1: paper here. What the Playoff Committee does know. What we're

1162
00:59:24,000 --> 00:59:25,440
Speaker 1: trying to do is tell you just who would be

1163
00:59:25,480 --> 00:59:27,720
Speaker 1: favored on the neutral field. Now, if you don't care

1164
00:59:27,760 --> 00:59:30,920
Speaker 1: about that, you should skip past this right now, because

1165
00:59:30,960 --> 00:59:33,040
Speaker 1: what I don't like is people who watch this video

1166
00:59:33,120 --> 00:59:34,640
Speaker 1: and then go to the comment section and say, who

1167
00:59:34,640 --> 00:59:38,880
Speaker 1: cares you? You're watching? Now? What's forcing you? I just

1168
00:59:38,920 --> 00:59:41,200
Speaker 1: find this to be a little helpful, just a little

1169
00:59:41,200 --> 00:59:44,440
Speaker 1: added bullet point, just some information for you to do

1170
00:59:44,520 --> 00:59:48,760
Speaker 1: with whatever you will. We've got some movement this week,

1171
00:59:49,120 --> 00:59:51,000
Speaker 1: so let me just go twenty to one rent quick,

1172
00:59:51,040 --> 00:59:54,040
Speaker 1: and I've got some real tightening at the top. Now,

1173
00:59:54,480 --> 00:59:56,880
Speaker 1: Ohio State's had a big gap on everyone this year.

1174
00:59:57,040 --> 00:59:59,240
Speaker 1: They don't have a huge gap anymore, at least over

1175
00:59:59,360 --> 01:00:05,320
Speaker 1: number two. Michigan's number twenty, Iowa is nineteen, Penn State

1176
01:00:05,680 --> 01:00:09,800
Speaker 1: is at number eighteen. Penn State has been playing good football.

1177
01:00:10,160 --> 01:00:12,760
Speaker 1: You know. Penn State never dropped out of our top twenty.

1178
01:00:12,880 --> 01:00:16,680
Speaker 1: I manually removed them out of embarrassment, but I was wrong.

1179
01:00:17,000 --> 01:00:19,280
Speaker 1: The model got to give it credit. It was right.

1180
01:00:19,400 --> 01:00:22,360
Speaker 1: It never dropped Penn State out of the top twenty,

1181
01:00:23,120 --> 01:00:26,840
Speaker 1: and now Penn State's play into form. That's why the model,

1182
01:00:26,880 --> 01:00:29,960
Speaker 1: that's why it does not give up on talented rosters.

1183
01:00:30,520 --> 01:00:32,800
Speaker 1: And that's why sometimes you'll see, like Texas is a

1184
01:00:32,800 --> 01:00:36,040
Speaker 1: three loss team right now, they would be solidly favored

1185
01:00:36,080 --> 01:00:38,800
Speaker 1: over one loss BYU on a neutral field. That doesn't

1186
01:00:38,800 --> 01:00:41,640
Speaker 1: mean that beat them, it's just how odds making works.

1187
01:00:41,760 --> 01:00:44,600
Speaker 1: So Penn State sitting at eighteen, got three big ten

1188
01:00:44,640 --> 01:00:48,120
Speaker 1: teams right there, Vandy's at seventeen, Brigham Young is at sixteen.

1189
01:00:48,160 --> 01:00:50,840
Speaker 1: That is the highest Brigham Young's been all year. Back

1190
01:00:50,880 --> 01:00:53,320
Speaker 1: to back very impressive wins. I think Brigham Young's two

1191
01:00:53,320 --> 01:00:56,480
Speaker 1: best games have happened in back to back weeks TCU

1192
01:00:56,560 --> 01:01:01,120
Speaker 1: at home at Cincinnati. Nothing flucish about them. The games

1193
01:01:01,160 --> 01:01:03,160
Speaker 1: count even if you do win in flucish manner, but

1194
01:01:03,200 --> 01:01:06,400
Speaker 1: in terms of predictability and in terms of odds making

1195
01:01:06,440 --> 01:01:09,479
Speaker 1: and power rating, bring them Young. That profile is getting

1196
01:01:09,520 --> 01:01:12,520
Speaker 1: more and more legit, or as they would argue, it's

1197
01:01:12,600 --> 01:01:15,480
Speaker 1: always been legit. The model's just now catching up. And

1198
01:01:15,520 --> 01:01:20,400
Speaker 1: you know what, you guys, may be right, fifteen. Usc

1199
01:01:20,960 --> 01:01:23,360
Speaker 1: didn't really drop all that much, kind of got the

1200
01:01:23,360 --> 01:01:27,080
Speaker 1: outcome we expected. Therefore, we don't drop you. Tennessee's at fourteen,

1201
01:01:27,280 --> 01:01:31,600
Speaker 1: all right. Miami is at thirteen. They are down two

1202
01:01:31,680 --> 01:01:36,560
Speaker 1: points from their preseason power rating, but they're down seven

1203
01:01:36,640 --> 01:01:38,960
Speaker 1: points from where we had them in week seven. Now

1204
01:01:38,960 --> 01:01:42,080
Speaker 1: they are ticking up a little bit. But Miami man

1205
01:01:42,120 --> 01:01:44,800
Speaker 1: at one point. Remember we had them top five and

1206
01:01:44,880 --> 01:01:47,280
Speaker 1: we weren't alone, and they dropped the ball a little bit.

1207
01:01:47,360 --> 01:01:50,640
Speaker 1: Now can they get themselves in the playoff? Oklahoma's at twelve,

1208
01:01:50,720 --> 01:01:53,040
Speaker 1: Utah is at eleven. I think the Model is way

1209
01:01:53,080 --> 01:01:57,160
Speaker 1: overrated on Utah. That's my personal opinion. I never believed

1210
01:01:57,280 --> 01:02:00,160
Speaker 1: that Utah should be power rated above Texas Tech. The

1211
01:02:00,200 --> 01:02:03,640
Speaker 1: Model did so drugs when it comes to Utah top ten.

1212
01:02:04,800 --> 01:02:08,760
Speaker 1: Texas is at number ten. Texas just to give you

1213
01:02:08,800 --> 01:02:11,320
Speaker 1: an idea. So they play Texas A and M at

1214
01:02:11,320 --> 01:02:14,760
Speaker 1: home this weekend. Preseason, we would have had or the Model,

1215
01:02:14,960 --> 01:02:18,440
Speaker 1: excuse me not, the Model would have had Texas minus

1216
01:02:18,480 --> 01:02:21,800
Speaker 1: ten against A and M in Week one if they

1217
01:02:21,800 --> 01:02:25,480
Speaker 1: played in Austin. As it stands today, A and M

1218
01:02:25,640 --> 01:02:28,680
Speaker 1: is a short favorite in Austin. Huge line move over

1219
01:02:28,720 --> 01:02:31,040
Speaker 1: the course of a year. Texas Tech is at nine.

1220
01:02:31,440 --> 01:02:34,440
Speaker 1: They have ascended to their rightful place as the highest

1221
01:02:34,480 --> 01:02:38,320
Speaker 1: power rated Big twelve team Ole messes eight, Notre Dame seven,

1222
01:02:39,520 --> 01:02:43,479
Speaker 1: Oregon is six. Notre Dame has been so steady all year.

1223
01:02:43,520 --> 01:02:49,240
Speaker 1: I'm looking hundred two. The model has not deviated more

1224
01:02:49,240 --> 01:02:52,480
Speaker 1: than two points up or down on Notre Dame all year.

1225
01:02:53,040 --> 01:02:57,080
Speaker 1: It's important to note remember Jesse, they lost their first

1226
01:02:57,080 --> 01:03:00,880
Speaker 1: two games. We dropped Notre Dame less than half a

1227
01:03:00,880 --> 01:03:06,800
Speaker 1: point for losing to Miami and then losing to Texas

1228
01:03:06,800 --> 01:03:09,440
Speaker 1: A and M because there were good teams that they

1229
01:03:09,480 --> 01:03:11,920
Speaker 1: lost to. Now there's a big difference in a playoff

1230
01:03:11,920 --> 01:03:15,840
Speaker 1: committee ballot versus power ratings. Like we didn't drop Notre Dame.

1231
01:03:16,040 --> 01:03:17,800
Speaker 1: I don't know, I mean the lowest. We kept them

1232
01:03:17,800 --> 01:03:19,840
Speaker 1: in the top ten all year and we got ridiculed

1233
01:03:19,880 --> 01:03:22,560
Speaker 1: for it. Well again, now where are they? Like? Where

1234
01:03:22,600 --> 01:03:25,080
Speaker 1: were the trolls that were hating on Notre Dame when

1235
01:03:25,080 --> 01:03:26,600
Speaker 1: we had them where we were supposed to do? Now,

1236
01:03:26,640 --> 01:03:29,000
Speaker 1: mark my words, we'll have people come for us and

1237
01:03:29,000 --> 01:03:31,800
Speaker 1: say we hate Notre Dame because I dared to mention

1238
01:03:31,840 --> 01:03:34,600
Speaker 1: the head to head result in our playoff portion of

1239
01:03:34,640 --> 01:03:38,040
Speaker 1: the show against Miami. There's no winning around here, no winning.

1240
01:03:38,080 --> 01:03:40,400
Speaker 1: You know what, We're winners. We're very blessed. We appreciate

1241
01:03:40,400 --> 01:03:44,800
Speaker 1: you guys. Five to one Bama's five, Indiana is four

1242
01:03:45,560 --> 01:03:49,160
Speaker 1: A and m is three. Georgia is to Ohio State's one. Now,

1243
01:03:49,160 --> 01:03:51,000
Speaker 1: Ohiga State has been number one for quite a while.

1244
01:03:51,480 --> 01:03:53,240
Speaker 1: There have been times this year where there were four

1245
01:03:53,240 --> 01:03:56,120
Speaker 1: point gaps between Ohio State and the rest of the field.

1246
01:03:56,440 --> 01:04:00,320
Speaker 1: There is a one point gap between Georgia and Ohio State.

1247
01:04:00,400 --> 01:04:03,640
Speaker 1: Right now, there's a four point gap according to the

1248
01:04:03,680 --> 01:04:07,439
Speaker 1: model between Ohio State and Indiana. I think FanDuel has

1249
01:04:07,480 --> 01:04:10,360
Speaker 1: the hypothetical Big Ten Championship game line up right now,

1250
01:04:10,600 --> 01:04:12,640
Speaker 1: and I think I saw it was Ohio State minus

1251
01:04:12,680 --> 01:04:15,880
Speaker 1: five and a half, so the model would slightly lean

1252
01:04:15,920 --> 01:04:19,600
Speaker 1: Indiana there. Anyway, that is the JP pole for tonight.

1253
01:04:20,200 --> 01:04:22,720
Speaker 1: Academy Sports and Outdoors does not sell the JP Pole

1254
01:04:22,720 --> 01:04:24,720
Speaker 1: because the JP Pole is not a commodity that you

1255
01:04:24,720 --> 01:04:27,920
Speaker 1: can purchase, but they pretty much sell everything else and

1256
01:04:27,960 --> 01:04:31,000
Speaker 1: you can get you can get hunting gear, you can

1257
01:04:31,040 --> 01:04:34,640
Speaker 1: get a basketball Big lead chwo is available year round.

1258
01:04:34,880 --> 01:04:36,760
Speaker 1: Do they have seasonal Big Lead chew? I don't think

1259
01:04:36,800 --> 01:04:38,720
Speaker 1: they do, we can check on that. Academy Sports and

1260
01:04:38,720 --> 01:04:40,520
Speaker 1: Outdoors has been a long time partner of ours, and

1261
01:04:40,520 --> 01:04:42,160
Speaker 1: this is the way I look at it. A lot

1262
01:04:42,240 --> 01:04:45,080
Speaker 1: of you go to college football games, but even if

1263
01:04:45,080 --> 01:04:46,920
Speaker 1: you don't go to games regularly, all of you do

1264
01:04:46,960 --> 01:04:52,680
Speaker 1: stuff outdoors, which means outdoor essentials are a must, which

1265
01:04:52,720 --> 01:04:55,960
Speaker 1: means you're gonna purchase them somewhere. I just ask, if

1266
01:04:55,960 --> 01:04:58,320
Speaker 1: you're a friend of the program, why not shop with

1267
01:04:58,360 --> 01:05:01,440
Speaker 1: friends of the program, and you don't have to skimp

1268
01:05:01,480 --> 01:05:04,080
Speaker 1: on quality. They got great stuff. They got what you need.

1269
01:05:04,080 --> 01:05:07,120
Speaker 1: They got grills, they got canopies, they got baseball gloves.

1270
01:05:08,000 --> 01:05:09,840
Speaker 1: We're heading to winter but maybe you're going to play

1271
01:05:09,840 --> 01:05:11,800
Speaker 1: Puerto Rico. Maybe you're going to play winter ball down there.

1272
01:05:11,840 --> 01:05:14,080
Speaker 1: I don't know what you're doing. I encourage it's very

1273
01:05:14,120 --> 01:05:17,600
Speaker 1: warm down there. Academy dot Com has your hookup if

1274
01:05:17,600 --> 01:05:19,560
Speaker 1: you can't get there in person, but I strongly encourage

1275
01:05:19,560 --> 01:05:21,640
Speaker 1: you guys to go there in person. Good people at Academy.

1276
01:05:23,200 --> 01:05:28,360
Speaker 1: We continue boy jam pack show, very jam packed. Vandy

1277
01:05:28,400 --> 01:05:31,520
Speaker 1: at Tennessee has the state of Tennessee in shambles. Right now,

1278
01:05:31,880 --> 01:05:34,720
Speaker 1: I am coming to you from Nashville Tennessee, and I

1279
01:05:34,720 --> 01:05:37,360
Speaker 1: can tell you this entire state is shook. You got

1280
01:05:37,440 --> 01:05:41,600
Speaker 1: Thanksgiving Thursday, and then you've got and say this slowly,

1281
01:05:42,560 --> 01:05:48,120
Speaker 1: the University of Tennessee hosting Vanderbilt in Knoxville playing Spoiler's

1282
01:05:48,200 --> 01:05:49,120
Speaker 1: am I reading that right?

1283
01:05:49,200 --> 01:05:49,400
Speaker 2: Yes?

1284
01:05:50,040 --> 01:05:54,800
Speaker 1: Yes, that's the case. We got. We got a potential

1285
01:05:55,240 --> 01:05:58,320
Speaker 1: playoff implication on this game. There's no guarantee Vandy makes it.

1286
01:05:58,320 --> 01:06:01,200
Speaker 1: Then if they win, if they lose, there's a guarantee

1287
01:06:01,200 --> 01:06:03,200
Speaker 1: they're not going to be in. We got Diego Pavia

1288
01:06:03,320 --> 01:06:06,800
Speaker 1: resurrecting the Heisman campaign he threw for like half a

1289
01:06:06,840 --> 01:06:10,800
Speaker 1: mile last week, and it's all going to take place

1290
01:06:10,800 --> 01:06:13,560
Speaker 1: in Niland stadiums unbelievable. Tennessee is a short two and

1291
01:06:13,560 --> 01:06:16,720
Speaker 1: a half point favorite. Here the total in this game

1292
01:06:16,800 --> 01:06:19,640
Speaker 1: sixty five and a half? Is thirty five going to

1293
01:06:19,680 --> 01:06:22,200
Speaker 1: be enough to win for either team? What do you

1294
01:06:22,240 --> 01:06:24,800
Speaker 1: think the winning team's gonna have? What do you so?

1295
01:06:24,880 --> 01:06:27,320
Speaker 1: I should ask it this way? What point total will

1296
01:06:27,320 --> 01:06:31,120
Speaker 1: the losing team have? Add one to that and that's

1297
01:06:31,160 --> 01:06:33,600
Speaker 1: how many points the winning team will need? Good math.

1298
01:06:33,680 --> 01:06:36,000
Speaker 1: We checked it with Statson Info. So what's the number?

1299
01:06:36,080 --> 01:06:39,480
Speaker 1: Is it thirty six? Is it thirty one. Is it

1300
01:06:39,680 --> 01:06:43,480
Speaker 1: forty six? What number do you think is necessary to

1301
01:06:43,520 --> 01:06:46,560
Speaker 1: win this game? I think it's like thirty eight or

1302
01:06:46,560 --> 01:06:50,800
Speaker 1: something like that. Diego Pavia is facing the number one

1303
01:06:50,840 --> 01:06:53,760
Speaker 1: hundred and eleven pass defense. Joey Aguilar is facing the

1304
01:06:53,840 --> 01:06:58,200
Speaker 1: number one hundred and thirteen pass defense. Pavia against Texas, Auburn,

1305
01:06:58,280 --> 01:07:03,320
Speaker 1: and Kentucky average four hundred and eight passing yards, seventy

1306
01:07:03,400 --> 01:07:06,560
Speaker 1: rushing yards, put up a fifteen to one touchdown to

1307
01:07:06,600 --> 01:07:12,200
Speaker 1: I int ratio Joey Agilar five games of three plus

1308
01:07:12,240 --> 01:07:15,320
Speaker 1: passing touchdowns. Problem, he has got four games of two

1309
01:07:15,320 --> 01:07:19,439
Speaker 1: plus interceptions, which means Joey Agilar's profile is about what

1310
01:07:19,520 --> 01:07:23,040
Speaker 1: you would have expected if you watched his career to

1311
01:07:23,200 --> 01:07:25,480
Speaker 1: this point. That's what he's been this year for Tennessee.

1312
01:07:26,040 --> 01:07:30,880
Speaker 1: The Tennessee defense versus running quarterbacks is what I'm really

1313
01:07:30,920 --> 01:07:33,960
Speaker 1: focused on here. I watched him against Taylor Green in Arkansas.

1314
01:07:34,000 --> 01:07:37,480
Speaker 1: Taylor Green gave him some trouble. Not he didn't rip them,

1315
01:07:37,720 --> 01:07:40,480
Speaker 1: but seventeen carries for sixty three yards and a touchdown.

1316
01:07:40,720 --> 01:07:43,520
Speaker 1: John Mattier carried it sixteen times for eighty yards and

1317
01:07:43,560 --> 01:07:47,880
Speaker 1: a touchdown. And just consider this spot, consider this moment,

1318
01:07:48,560 --> 01:07:53,280
Speaker 1: This is one of the biggest games in Vanderbilt history.

1319
01:07:53,440 --> 01:07:56,280
Speaker 1: Diego Paviy is not going on to play fifteen years

1320
01:07:56,280 --> 01:07:59,840
Speaker 1: in the league. Okay, Diego Paviy is a college football

1321
01:08:00,320 --> 01:08:02,600
Speaker 1: iconic name, and you will talk about him for a

1322
01:08:02,600 --> 01:08:04,480
Speaker 1: long time. But you're going to be talking about him

1323
01:08:04,680 --> 01:08:06,640
Speaker 1: because of what he did in college. Now. I think

1324
01:08:06,680 --> 01:08:09,320
Speaker 1: we all understand that, which means you need to appreciate

1325
01:08:09,360 --> 01:08:11,440
Speaker 1: games like this. You don't have him much longer, at

1326
01:08:11,520 --> 01:08:13,880
Speaker 1: least we don't think this could be a legacy game.

1327
01:08:14,240 --> 01:08:20,439
Speaker 1: Loading for Diego Pavia. What is needed to win and

1328
01:08:21,280 --> 01:08:25,439
Speaker 1: if he caps this season by going to Kneeland and winning,

1329
01:08:26,160 --> 01:08:30,000
Speaker 1: I think there's a world where if Vandy wins and

1330
01:08:30,040 --> 01:08:32,599
Speaker 1: they don't make the playoff. But like Diego Pavia has

1331
01:08:32,600 --> 01:08:35,840
Speaker 1: a big game, there are sympathy Heisman votes that go

1332
01:08:35,960 --> 01:08:39,479
Speaker 1: his way. Not that he will require sympathy, but could

1333
01:08:39,479 --> 01:08:41,559
Speaker 1: you not see that? Could you not see a lot

1334
01:08:41,600 --> 01:08:44,880
Speaker 1: of these Heisman voters watching him go off? And maybe

1335
01:08:44,920 --> 01:08:48,080
Speaker 1: there's no clear cut Heisman favorite. Vandy gets locked out

1336
01:08:48,080 --> 01:08:50,000
Speaker 1: of the playoffs even though they're ten and two. Maybe

1337
01:08:50,000 --> 01:08:52,200
Speaker 1: the only shot that program will ever have at the playoff.

1338
01:08:52,560 --> 01:08:53,960
Speaker 1: I could see a lot of voters saying, well, you

1339
01:08:53,960 --> 01:08:55,360
Speaker 1: know what, if they can't make the playoff, I'm at

1340
01:08:55,439 --> 01:08:58,439
Speaker 1: least voting for Diego Pavia for Heisman could easily happen.

1341
01:08:59,120 --> 01:09:01,519
Speaker 1: Give me third down as the padlock stat in this game.

1342
01:09:01,560 --> 01:09:05,000
Speaker 1: Both of them are top twelve offensively in third down.

1343
01:09:05,640 --> 01:09:08,840
Speaker 1: Both defenses are bottom half of the country in third down.

1344
01:09:09,160 --> 01:09:11,639
Speaker 1: Both of them are very comparable in turnover margin. Both

1345
01:09:11,680 --> 01:09:14,840
Speaker 1: of them are very comparable in penalties. And that's why

1346
01:09:14,840 --> 01:09:17,679
Speaker 1: the number is what it is. Tennessee is essentially favored

1347
01:09:17,680 --> 01:09:21,120
Speaker 1: by home field. I mean maybe a half point additional

1348
01:09:21,120 --> 01:09:22,720
Speaker 1: here and there, but it's basically a pick them on

1349
01:09:22,720 --> 01:09:24,920
Speaker 1: a neutral field. And here we go. We tee it

1350
01:09:25,000 --> 01:09:28,519
Speaker 1: up Saturday, three point thirty Eastern on ESPN. The model

1351
01:09:28,680 --> 01:09:31,040
Speaker 1: what is it think? Vanduel's got Tennessee minus two and

1352
01:09:31,080 --> 01:09:34,799
Speaker 1: a half. The model agrees, very tight line. Here models

1353
01:09:34,800 --> 01:09:40,280
Speaker 1: got Tennessee minus three. I feel magic this week. I

1354
01:09:40,320 --> 01:09:42,720
Speaker 1: think Vandy's going to go in there and get the win,

1355
01:09:43,120 --> 01:09:45,040
Speaker 1: and I think they're going to make it very hard

1356
01:09:45,200 --> 01:09:47,439
Speaker 1: on the playoff committee. And I don't feel sorry for

1357
01:09:47,479 --> 01:09:51,240
Speaker 1: those people, but Vandy. If look, maybe they get locked out.

1358
01:09:51,400 --> 01:09:53,920
Speaker 1: And I was looking at the playoff predictor. It was

1359
01:09:53,960 --> 01:09:56,720
Speaker 1: like a fifty percent shot. I think if they win

1360
01:09:56,800 --> 01:09:59,880
Speaker 1: that they make the playoff. But here's what you do.

1361
01:10:00,400 --> 01:10:05,120
Speaker 1: You make them tell you no. You go until they say, sorry,

1362
01:10:05,200 --> 01:10:07,479
Speaker 1: we don't have room for you, and then you let

1363
01:10:07,520 --> 01:10:10,640
Speaker 1: your league commissioner fight for you. And you know, you

1364
01:10:10,720 --> 01:10:14,240
Speaker 1: let Clark Lee be devastated and have the press conference.

1365
01:10:14,280 --> 01:10:15,960
Speaker 1: But make them tell you no, because you know what,

1366
01:10:16,000 --> 01:10:19,280
Speaker 1: maybe they'll tell you yes. Maybe it'll be emphatic. You know,

1367
01:10:19,360 --> 01:10:21,559
Speaker 1: you don't have to win a close game. You guys

1368
01:10:21,600 --> 01:10:25,000
Speaker 1: can go in there and run it up. Hard to do,

1369
01:10:25,080 --> 01:10:28,040
Speaker 1: I know, but you're trying to accomplish something that's hard

1370
01:10:28,120 --> 01:10:31,360
Speaker 1: right now. So I'm taking Vandy to win there. I'll

1371
01:10:31,439 --> 01:10:35,360
Speaker 1: roll with my hometown team. We got more games here.

1372
01:10:35,439 --> 01:10:38,240
Speaker 1: I'm gonna rush through something, not rush through. We're gonna go.

1373
01:10:38,280 --> 01:10:41,800
Speaker 1: We're gonna go hurry up here though. Upset alerts for

1374
01:10:41,920 --> 01:10:45,599
Speaker 1: Week fourteen, also known as rivalry Week. We're gonna start

1375
01:10:45,600 --> 01:10:47,519
Speaker 1: with one that's not a rivalry, but it is a

1376
01:10:47,600 --> 01:10:50,400
Speaker 1: huge game. Miami is favored by six and a half

1377
01:10:50,400 --> 01:10:52,240
Speaker 1: in a game where the kickoff temperature is gonna be

1378
01:10:52,240 --> 01:10:56,200
Speaker 1: in the low thirties against a ranked team what could

1379
01:10:56,240 --> 01:10:59,760
Speaker 1: possibly go wrong? Miami again minus six and a half

1380
01:10:59,760 --> 01:11:04,040
Speaker 1: at pit college football playoff hopes on the line from Miami.

1381
01:11:04,160 --> 01:11:05,720
Speaker 1: Notre Dame just went in there and pitted a couple

1382
01:11:05,760 --> 01:11:07,479
Speaker 1: of weeks ago and beat them pretty good. A lot

1383
01:11:07,520 --> 01:11:09,160
Speaker 1: of folks are going to pay attention to how good

1384
01:11:09,160 --> 01:11:12,400
Speaker 1: Miami does, and then if Miami beats him worse than

1385
01:11:12,400 --> 01:11:14,240
Speaker 1: Notre Dame did, they'll just pivot to a new reason

1386
01:11:14,240 --> 01:11:16,240
Speaker 1: to keep Miami out of the playoffs, because there's this

1387
01:11:16,320 --> 01:11:18,479
Speaker 1: cabal out there. If you've ever watched Blacklist, you know

1388
01:11:18,520 --> 01:11:21,559
Speaker 1: exactly what I mean. There's this anti Miami cabal that

1389
01:11:21,600 --> 01:11:23,320
Speaker 1: has hell been on keeping them out. No matter what

1390
01:11:24,280 --> 01:11:25,920
Speaker 1: I mean, the last thing we want is for the

1391
01:11:25,960 --> 01:11:28,280
Speaker 1: head to head result to work its way into the equation.

1392
01:11:28,479 --> 01:11:31,599
Speaker 1: We cannot let people remember that those two teams played

1393
01:11:31,720 --> 01:11:33,640
Speaker 1: on the same field early in the season, because you know,

1394
01:11:33,680 --> 01:11:37,360
Speaker 1: it was early in the season. So I am concerned here.

1395
01:11:37,640 --> 01:11:40,080
Speaker 1: I don't like Miami in cold weather. I don't like

1396
01:11:40,120 --> 01:11:42,240
Speaker 1: Miami on the road all that much. If this is

1397
01:11:42,280 --> 01:11:45,960
Speaker 1: a pressure spot, Pit is top twenty, pass Miami defense

1398
01:11:46,240 --> 01:11:49,920
Speaker 1: top thirty. But Miami's defense is gettable through the air,

1399
01:11:50,120 --> 01:11:52,639
Speaker 1: and this is not your grandfather's pit. So they got

1400
01:11:52,640 --> 01:11:55,720
Speaker 1: to throw the ball to whin. This has got to

1401
01:11:55,760 --> 01:11:59,120
Speaker 1: be a Carson Beck game. Carson Beck can carve them up.

1402
01:11:59,600 --> 01:12:02,080
Speaker 1: They can absolutely do it. Miami can absolutely go in

1403
01:12:02,080 --> 01:12:05,360
Speaker 1: there and hang forty. Will Miami score more than the

1404
01:12:05,400 --> 01:12:10,439
Speaker 1: temperature on the thermometer? Will they I got an eight

1405
01:12:10,560 --> 01:12:12,960
Speaker 1: on the upset alert concern meter. The last time I

1406
01:12:13,000 --> 01:12:15,599
Speaker 1: saw Miami in person, they were getting beat at SMU.

1407
01:12:16,040 --> 01:12:19,280
Speaker 1: So yes, I have concern, but I think Miami's gonna

1408
01:12:19,280 --> 01:12:21,519
Speaker 1: win the game. But I've got an eight on the

1409
01:12:21,600 --> 01:12:25,240
Speaker 1: upset alert concern meter. Oregon. Yes, they played this week,

1410
01:12:25,240 --> 01:12:27,759
Speaker 1: guys seasoned and end last week. Look at that setting

1411
01:12:28,240 --> 01:12:34,000
Speaker 1: oh Man Husky Stadium, Oregon minus six and a half

1412
01:12:34,000 --> 01:12:37,960
Speaker 1: at Washington. It's way too off the radar game to

1413
01:12:38,080 --> 01:12:41,200
Speaker 1: be a line under a touchdown and to be a

1414
01:12:41,320 --> 01:12:44,719
Speaker 1: rivalry game. It just doesn't feel like a letdown spot

1415
01:12:44,760 --> 01:12:47,200
Speaker 1: to me for Oregon. This is a big game. I mean,

1416
01:12:47,200 --> 01:12:49,679
Speaker 1: they played USC last week. They beat USC. No one's

1417
01:12:49,720 --> 01:12:53,160
Speaker 1: overlooking this game. So if that's the quote unquote narrative

1418
01:12:53,320 --> 01:12:56,200
Speaker 1: that anyone's trying to push out there, find a new narrative.

1419
01:12:57,040 --> 01:13:01,040
Speaker 1: Washington could just beat Oregon. What are they special? What

1420
01:13:01,200 --> 01:13:04,040
Speaker 1: is the thing that Washington could do I'm short of

1421
01:13:04,080 --> 01:13:07,200
Speaker 1: winning the turnover battle. What is the thing that Washington

1422
01:13:07,200 --> 01:13:09,439
Speaker 1: could do that just gives Oregon fits? I had trouble

1423
01:13:09,439 --> 01:13:14,640
Speaker 1: finding that thing today, but it could be the cumulative

1424
01:13:14,640 --> 01:13:18,160
Speaker 1: effect of small margins here or there. Washington's good enough

1425
01:13:18,160 --> 01:13:20,639
Speaker 1: where they can compete in this game. Home field up there, man,

1426
01:13:20,760 --> 01:13:23,439
Speaker 1: I was up there the last time Oregon went in there.

1427
01:13:23,840 --> 01:13:26,640
Speaker 1: It's place is insane. Now Debor was the coach up

1428
01:13:26,680 --> 01:13:29,280
Speaker 1: there at that time. Well, now it's Jed Fish and

1429
01:13:29,360 --> 01:13:31,479
Speaker 1: they're looking to put an emphatic cap on the end

1430
01:13:31,520 --> 01:13:35,439
Speaker 1: of their season. I'm putting a seven and a half

1431
01:13:35,520 --> 01:13:38,280
Speaker 1: on this in terms of upset alert concern. I think

1432
01:13:38,280 --> 01:13:40,240
Speaker 1: it could be a competitive game Oregon. I mean we've

1433
01:13:40,240 --> 01:13:41,920
Speaker 1: seen them on the road. At Penn State they needed

1434
01:13:41,920 --> 01:13:45,479
Speaker 1: overtime to win. There was a last second win at Iowa,

1435
01:13:45,880 --> 01:13:47,639
Speaker 1: so I mean they haven't gone on the road. Even

1436
01:13:47,640 --> 01:13:51,200
Speaker 1: against Northwestern they won, they didn't cover. You know, good

1437
01:13:51,200 --> 01:13:55,360
Speaker 1: teams win, great teams cover. Let's see at Rutgers they

1438
01:13:55,360 --> 01:13:57,960
Speaker 1: body bagged Rutgers. But then again, Hoops to amongst us hasn't.

1439
01:13:58,000 --> 01:13:59,280
Speaker 1: So I think it could be a close game. I'm

1440
01:13:59,280 --> 01:14:01,360
Speaker 1: gonna put a seven in night on it. Next up,

1441
01:14:01,800 --> 01:14:04,000
Speaker 1: I don't think this is going to be a close game.

1442
01:14:06,280 --> 01:14:10,080
Speaker 1: LSU is going to Oklahoma because legally they have to.

1443
01:14:10,600 --> 01:14:13,519
Speaker 1: The schedule says so Oklahoma's favored by ten and a half.

1444
01:14:13,680 --> 01:14:16,240
Speaker 1: I hate the spot for LSU. I think the season

1445
01:14:16,320 --> 01:14:19,400
Speaker 1: is mailed in. It will be low scoring. Oklahoma didn't

1446
01:14:19,439 --> 01:14:22,840
Speaker 1: really run it up offensively. Turnovers could happen, like, yeah,

1447
01:14:23,040 --> 01:14:25,120
Speaker 1: there's a path where LSU can win this. They're like

1448
01:14:25,160 --> 01:14:28,160
Speaker 1: thirty seven paths where Oklahoma could win it. Oklahoma's not

1449
01:14:28,160 --> 01:14:31,240
Speaker 1: getting God here, They're too close. They can smell it now.

1450
01:14:31,400 --> 01:14:36,840
Speaker 1: Unbelievable synergy with that team right now, unbelievable chemistry. So look,

1451
01:14:36,920 --> 01:14:39,559
Speaker 1: they may not even cover. But I am told in

1452
01:14:39,640 --> 01:14:41,240
Speaker 1: order to win this game, LSU's got to have more

1453
01:14:41,240 --> 01:14:43,439
Speaker 1: points on the board than Oklahoma, and that's just simply

1454
01:14:43,479 --> 01:14:45,439
Speaker 1: not gonna happen. Put me in any hype video you

1455
01:14:45,479 --> 01:14:48,120
Speaker 1: want to. I'm putting a three on this out of

1456
01:14:48,160 --> 01:14:51,080
Speaker 1: respect for the legacy of LSU. But this team I

1457
01:14:51,120 --> 01:14:53,760
Speaker 1: don't think is doing much against Oklahoma. They got a

1458
01:14:53,800 --> 01:14:56,599
Speaker 1: score now. Smaier's not even playing, by the way, Okay,

1459
01:14:56,880 --> 01:15:01,200
Speaker 1: Virginia Tech at Virginia. Virginia's a nine and a half

1460
01:15:01,200 --> 01:15:03,120
Speaker 1: point favorite. Both of them want to run the ball.

1461
01:15:03,240 --> 01:15:06,800
Speaker 1: Virginia top twenty five run d Virginia Tech seventy third

1462
01:15:06,840 --> 01:15:09,400
Speaker 1: ranked run defense. I think that's the most important stat

1463
01:15:09,439 --> 01:15:12,400
Speaker 1: in this game. I think the will to win will

1464
01:15:12,400 --> 01:15:15,639
Speaker 1: be decidedly more on the side of Virginia than Virginia Tech.

1465
01:15:16,320 --> 01:15:19,160
Speaker 1: Virginia wins and they're in the ACC Championship game. Guys,

1466
01:15:19,200 --> 01:15:22,920
Speaker 1: there are no more hypotheticals. There are no more do

1467
01:15:23,040 --> 01:15:26,120
Speaker 1: this and count on that to happen. Virginia wins and

1468
01:15:26,160 --> 01:15:28,880
Speaker 1: they're in it. Chandler Morris is back, and I think

1469
01:15:28,920 --> 01:15:30,840
Speaker 1: that they were going to win this game. I would

1470
01:15:30,920 --> 01:15:33,559
Speaker 1: probably pick them to cover if I had to. I'm

1471
01:15:33,560 --> 01:15:35,679
Speaker 1: gonna put a four on the upset Alert concern Meter.

1472
01:15:36,080 --> 01:15:39,160
Speaker 1: It is a rivalry game, but contrary to popular belief,

1473
01:15:39,240 --> 01:15:41,639
Speaker 1: the better game the better teams normally win rivalry games too.

1474
01:15:41,720 --> 01:15:46,640
Speaker 1: Virginia is the better team. Next up in Atlanta, but

1475
01:15:46,760 --> 01:15:49,080
Speaker 1: not at Grant Field, even though it technically is a

1476
01:15:49,120 --> 01:15:52,759
Speaker 1: Georgia Tech home game. They are playing in Mercedes Benz Stadium.

1477
01:15:52,800 --> 01:15:55,920
Speaker 1: Georgia thirteen and a half point favorite against Georgia Tech.

1478
01:15:56,280 --> 01:15:58,880
Speaker 1: Last year, this game went to nineteen overtimes. It was

1479
01:15:58,920 --> 01:16:03,000
Speaker 1: a Haines King legas. I have never seen a quarterback

1480
01:16:03,080 --> 01:16:06,360
Speaker 1: more valiant in defeat than Haines King was against Georgia

1481
01:16:06,479 --> 01:16:11,040
Speaker 1: last year. I'm shocked he's still alive after what he endured,

1482
01:16:11,400 --> 01:16:13,800
Speaker 1: but it was a legacy game. He needs two point

1483
01:16:13,920 --> 01:16:17,080
Speaker 1: zero this week. And frankly, even if Haines King has

1484
01:16:17,120 --> 01:16:20,080
Speaker 1: really good numbers, I don't know how Tech keeps Georgia

1485
01:16:20,160 --> 01:16:24,040
Speaker 1: under forty. So it's just profiling as that kind of

1486
01:16:24,080 --> 01:16:26,000
Speaker 1: game for me. Georgia very well could play in the

1487
01:16:26,000 --> 01:16:28,599
Speaker 1: same building again eight days later. I think they played

1488
01:16:28,600 --> 01:16:30,479
Speaker 1: this game on a Friday, so it's a two and

1489
01:16:30,560 --> 01:16:34,160
Speaker 1: a half for me. I think Georgia Tech probably had

1490
01:16:34,200 --> 01:16:36,720
Speaker 1: about eleven weeks worth of gas in the tank, and

1491
01:16:36,760 --> 01:16:38,920
Speaker 1: the tank is a little bit close to empty right now.

1492
01:16:40,439 --> 01:16:43,160
Speaker 1: They're not getting Georgia. I'll give it. I'll give it

1493
01:16:43,200 --> 01:16:44,640
Speaker 1: a solid two and a half out of respect for

1494
01:16:44,680 --> 01:16:47,519
Speaker 1: the rivalry. I don't think that's happening. Last year's wake

1495
01:16:47,600 --> 01:16:50,160
Speaker 1: up call with standing, I don't think it's happening. Ole

1496
01:16:50,280 --> 01:16:53,120
Speaker 1: Mess egg Bowl Friday, Ole Miss minus seven and a

1497
01:16:53,160 --> 01:16:56,479
Speaker 1: half against Mississippi State. Has anyone talked about the game

1498
01:16:56,520 --> 01:17:00,559
Speaker 1: this week? It's everything but the game. You remember that

1499
01:17:00,600 --> 01:17:02,640
Speaker 1: song missing everything but the Girl I think was the

1500
01:17:02,720 --> 01:17:04,920
Speaker 1: name of that band. The acoustic version is really good.

1501
01:17:05,439 --> 01:17:08,920
Speaker 1: You normally hear the techno version anyway. Bradley used to

1502
01:17:08,960 --> 01:17:11,760
Speaker 1: work at hot topic. He knows what I mean. Both

1503
01:17:11,760 --> 01:17:14,040
Speaker 1: of these teams were off of bye this late in

1504
01:17:14,080 --> 01:17:16,360
Speaker 1: the season. We got two teams off of bye. Number

1505
01:17:16,400 --> 01:17:19,799
Speaker 1: thirty two rushing offense versus number one hundred and twenty

1506
01:17:19,840 --> 01:17:24,080
Speaker 1: one rushing defense. That's the score here. Don't overthink it.

1507
01:17:24,160 --> 01:17:25,840
Speaker 1: Lane likes to throw the ball. You know what he

1508
01:17:25,880 --> 01:17:28,360
Speaker 1: really likes to do is win, and Ole Miss can

1509
01:17:28,439 --> 01:17:31,080
Speaker 1: run the ball for probably about a quarter mile in

1510
01:17:31,160 --> 01:17:34,880
Speaker 1: this game. They should it should become academic. I will

1511
01:17:34,920 --> 01:17:37,519
Speaker 1: put a six on it in terms of upset alert

1512
01:17:37,560 --> 01:17:41,000
Speaker 1: concern because there are all kinds of distractions that could

1513
01:17:41,000 --> 01:17:43,800
Speaker 1: crop up. Lane's done really good at keeping that team

1514
01:17:43,800 --> 01:17:45,920
Speaker 1: focused throughout this whole thing. This is not the first

1515
01:17:45,920 --> 01:17:48,200
Speaker 1: week we're talking about Lane Kiff and maybe leaving Old Miss,

1516
01:17:48,320 --> 01:17:51,040
Speaker 1: so that team's been pretty dialed in down the stretch here.

1517
01:17:52,280 --> 01:17:54,479
Speaker 1: It's a rivalry game. Yeah, technically anything can happen blah

1518
01:17:54,479 --> 01:17:56,840
Speaker 1: blah blah, copy paste. I will put a six on

1519
01:17:56,920 --> 01:18:01,200
Speaker 1: this one Friday. I will be tuned in. I want

1520
01:18:01,200 --> 01:18:05,080
Speaker 1: to tell you we are very proud of what's been

1521
01:18:05,120 --> 01:18:09,720
Speaker 1: happening over at the pet State store. I can confidently

1522
01:18:09,760 --> 01:18:13,439
Speaker 1: tell you that the Christmas merch that tis the season collection.

1523
01:18:13,960 --> 01:18:16,479
Speaker 1: I had high expectations for how much that stuff would move.

1524
01:18:16,920 --> 01:18:21,000
Speaker 1: It has safely surpassed my expectations. And it is late November,

1525
01:18:21,360 --> 01:18:23,320
Speaker 1: so there's still a ton of time. We got the

1526
01:18:23,360 --> 01:18:27,320
Speaker 1: Merry Christmas you filthy casual pull over there, it's flying.

1527
01:18:27,800 --> 01:18:31,479
Speaker 1: That tis the season to be Chuggy Sweater, which is

1528
01:18:31,520 --> 01:18:34,040
Speaker 1: my personal favorite, only because Jesse came up with the

1529
01:18:34,080 --> 01:18:38,040
Speaker 1: other one unconfirmed report there. Even though I said it,

1530
01:18:38,040 --> 01:18:41,439
Speaker 1: I'm not confirming it because I truthfully want credit for

1531
01:18:41,479 --> 01:18:45,479
Speaker 1: most of the good ideas. Paytstatematerial dot com. Like a

1532
01:18:45,479 --> 01:18:47,800
Speaker 1: lot of you, you have loved ones and you know

1533
01:18:47,840 --> 01:18:49,960
Speaker 1: they watched the show and you have no idea what

1534
01:18:50,000 --> 01:18:52,439
Speaker 1: to get him for Christmas. I do go to the store.

1535
01:18:52,560 --> 01:18:54,000
Speaker 1: It's that easy. Look, let me get out of the way.

1536
01:18:54,000 --> 01:18:56,719
Speaker 1: There's the QR code. I don't think it's a virus.

1537
01:18:57,000 --> 01:19:01,400
Speaker 1: If you're not sure paytstatematerial dot com. I need to

1538
01:19:01,479 --> 01:19:03,920
Speaker 1: update my playoff predictions, if that's okay with everyone. And

1539
01:19:03,960 --> 01:19:06,240
Speaker 1: we were right before Thanksgiving we just got the new

1540
01:19:06,280 --> 01:19:10,080
Speaker 1: committee rankings dropped in our lap. I feel that it

1541
01:19:10,160 --> 01:19:12,800
Speaker 1: is my duty now that we have new playoff rankings

1542
01:19:12,840 --> 01:19:16,160
Speaker 1: to update my playoff prediction. And what I want to

1543
01:19:16,200 --> 01:19:18,320
Speaker 1: do is I want to remind you. This is kind

1544
01:19:18,320 --> 01:19:19,640
Speaker 1: of the format I like to do. I like to

1545
01:19:19,640 --> 01:19:22,519
Speaker 1: remind you what I'm thinking in each conference, kind of

1546
01:19:22,560 --> 01:19:25,920
Speaker 1: hurry up here really quick. In the SEC I'm not

1547
01:19:25,960 --> 01:19:28,160
Speaker 1: going to come off my prediction. It's Alabama over A

1548
01:19:28,240 --> 01:19:31,759
Speaker 1: and M. Until otherwise stated, this could blow up. Saturday

1549
01:19:32,200 --> 01:19:34,120
Speaker 1: could blow up either way. Saturday Georgia could be in

1550
01:19:34,160 --> 01:19:36,519
Speaker 1: this game. There's a world where old misses in this game.

1551
01:19:36,760 --> 01:19:39,559
Speaker 1: Right now, I'm sticking with Bama, A and M. That

1552
01:19:39,600 --> 01:19:41,439
Speaker 1: line would be A and M minus one and a

1553
01:19:41,479 --> 01:19:44,360
Speaker 1: half according to FanDuel. By the way, I would take

1554
01:19:44,400 --> 01:19:47,639
Speaker 1: Bama over A and M. Still give me Ohio State

1555
01:19:47,680 --> 01:19:49,880
Speaker 1: over Indiana. Now, some of you who were watching the

1556
01:19:50,000 --> 01:19:52,439
Speaker 1: entire live show, you noticed I picked Michigan to beat

1557
01:19:52,439 --> 01:19:56,200
Speaker 1: Ohio State. That is a principled stance. I'm taking the

1558
01:19:56,320 --> 01:19:58,840
Speaker 1: model overwhelmingly thinks Ohio State is going to be in

1559
01:19:58,880 --> 01:20:01,400
Speaker 1: the Big Ten title game and that they would win

1560
01:20:01,600 --> 01:20:04,280
Speaker 1: over Indiana. So I'll stick with that for now. When

1561
01:20:04,280 --> 01:20:07,640
Speaker 1: it comes to my prediction, I'm either guaranteed to be

1562
01:20:07,720 --> 01:20:09,919
Speaker 1: right or guaranteed to be wrong, depending on your perspective

1563
01:20:09,920 --> 01:20:12,760
Speaker 1: on that approach. Texas Tech against Brigham Young in the

1564
01:20:12,760 --> 01:20:15,559
Speaker 1: Big twelve Championship game is what I'm going to stick with.

1565
01:20:15,840 --> 01:20:18,920
Speaker 1: I will take Texas Tech over Brigham Young. I'm sticking

1566
01:20:18,960 --> 01:20:24,120
Speaker 1: with that. ACC Championship game has changed every week. I

1567
01:20:24,479 --> 01:20:29,480
Speaker 1: challenge anyone who picked SMU over Virginia in the preseason

1568
01:20:29,800 --> 01:20:33,599
Speaker 1: or even three weeks ago to step forward, because that's

1569
01:20:33,600 --> 01:20:36,479
Speaker 1: what I have now. I have SMU over Virginia, And

1570
01:20:36,680 --> 01:20:42,120
Speaker 1: out of just curiosity, I asked FanDuel who would be

1571
01:20:42,280 --> 01:20:47,880
Speaker 1: favored against those teams? And Penn State, one of those

1572
01:20:47,920 --> 01:20:50,720
Speaker 1: teams is probably gonna win the ACC Championship. It's either

1573
01:20:50,800 --> 01:20:53,519
Speaker 1: SMU or Virginia. Do you understand Penn State would be

1574
01:20:53,600 --> 01:20:56,200
Speaker 1: over a field goal favored against either one of them.

1575
01:20:56,720 --> 01:21:00,320
Speaker 1: That's the current state of the ACC. I digress out

1576
01:21:00,360 --> 01:21:02,800
Speaker 1: of those results and the way that I think the

1577
01:21:02,840 --> 01:21:06,280
Speaker 1: at larges would fall here is my current seating for

1578
01:21:06,320 --> 01:21:09,000
Speaker 1: the playoff. I'd have Ohio State the Big ten champ

1579
01:21:09,080 --> 01:21:11,960
Speaker 1: at number one, Indiana Big Ten runner up number two.

1580
01:21:13,520 --> 01:21:17,080
Speaker 1: If Alabama wins the SEC championship, there's no question about this,

1581
01:21:17,080 --> 01:21:18,920
Speaker 1: they're vaulting into the top four. I'd put them at

1582
01:21:19,000 --> 01:21:21,120
Speaker 1: number three. And I don't think Texas A and M's

1583
01:21:21,160 --> 01:21:23,479
Speaker 1: falling out of it, so I'd put them at number four.

1584
01:21:24,000 --> 01:21:26,559
Speaker 1: So we got the Big ten couple and the SEC

1585
01:21:26,600 --> 01:21:28,320
Speaker 1: couple in there. Those are the teams that get the

1586
01:21:28,320 --> 01:21:32,000
Speaker 1: first round bys. Important to note, even though I don't

1587
01:21:32,040 --> 01:21:33,800
Speaker 1: have it listed here. If A and M were to

1588
01:21:33,800 --> 01:21:36,559
Speaker 1: beat Alabama, I think Texas text getting the four spot

1589
01:21:37,000 --> 01:21:38,479
Speaker 1: and they'd get a first round by if they win

1590
01:21:38,520 --> 01:21:40,719
Speaker 1: the Big twelve. So I got Big twelve CHANMP Texas

1591
01:21:40,720 --> 01:21:44,080
Speaker 1: Tech at five right now. That's very important for seeding

1592
01:21:44,400 --> 01:21:47,400
Speaker 1: and for matchups in the first round. Rather Georgia at six,

1593
01:21:47,960 --> 01:21:52,719
Speaker 1: Oregon at seven, Ole Miss at eight, Oklahoma at nine,

1594
01:21:53,120 --> 01:21:56,519
Speaker 1: and Notre Dame at ten, I think the strength of

1595
01:21:56,520 --> 01:21:59,280
Speaker 1: schedule would bump Notre Dame down there to ten. This

1596
01:21:59,360 --> 01:22:02,680
Speaker 1: is with minimal chaos, by the way, any kind of

1597
01:22:02,720 --> 01:22:04,840
Speaker 1: added chaos could throw this all in a blender. I

1598
01:22:04,840 --> 01:22:08,200
Speaker 1: got SMU winn the ACC they're the eleven seed, and

1599
01:22:08,240 --> 01:22:12,559
Speaker 1: I've got John Sumrawl in Tulane winning the American and

1600
01:22:12,640 --> 01:22:15,320
Speaker 1: being the highest rinked G five Conference champ and I've

1601
01:22:15,360 --> 01:22:17,479
Speaker 1: got TWU Lane at twelve. Here's what that would do

1602
01:22:17,920 --> 01:22:22,559
Speaker 1: to the bracket. That would give us paper pop hand

1603
01:22:22,680 --> 01:22:25,400
Speaker 1: drawn bracket here in my hand. That would give us

1604
01:22:25,439 --> 01:22:28,439
Speaker 1: Oklahoma at ole Miss in the first round. That would

1605
01:22:28,439 --> 01:22:31,880
Speaker 1: give us Tulane at Texas Tech in the first round.

1606
01:22:32,160 --> 01:22:35,519
Speaker 1: That would give us Notre Dame at Oregon in the

1607
01:22:35,520 --> 01:22:38,639
Speaker 1: first round, and that would give us SMU at Georgia

1608
01:22:38,920 --> 01:22:41,519
Speaker 1: in the first round. I would take Ole Miss to

1609
01:22:41,520 --> 01:22:44,360
Speaker 1: beat Oklahoma again because they already beat him in Norman,

1610
01:22:45,000 --> 01:22:47,679
Speaker 1: and so we're trying to find out, first off, who's

1611
01:22:47,720 --> 01:22:50,439
Speaker 1: coaching ole Miss. Secondly, how deep in the playoffs can

1612
01:22:50,439 --> 01:22:52,080
Speaker 1: Old Miss go well? I at least have him going

1613
01:22:52,080 --> 01:22:55,040
Speaker 1: to the second round against Ohio State. I would take

1614
01:22:55,080 --> 01:22:58,599
Speaker 1: Texas Tech over Tulane in the first round. They're in Lubbock,

1615
01:22:59,200 --> 01:23:00,760
Speaker 1: they go on to face time Texas A and M.

1616
01:23:01,320 --> 01:23:06,560
Speaker 1: Give me Oregon over Notre Dame. That game's in Eugene.

1617
01:23:06,560 --> 01:23:10,000
Speaker 1: That's tough, man, that's a peaking Oregon team. By the way,

1618
01:23:10,000 --> 01:23:12,559
Speaker 1: I'm counting on Oregon to be playing their best ball

1619
01:23:12,760 --> 01:23:15,040
Speaker 1: and to be the healthiest they've been and getting the

1620
01:23:15,040 --> 01:23:17,040
Speaker 1: whole playoff game there, I think matters a whole lot.

1621
01:23:17,280 --> 01:23:20,160
Speaker 1: So I would take Oregon over Notre Dame, and I

1622
01:23:20,200 --> 01:23:24,639
Speaker 1: would take Georgia over SMU second round games, Ohio State

1623
01:23:25,040 --> 01:23:27,800
Speaker 1: over Ole Miss. I would take A and M over

1624
01:23:27,840 --> 01:23:34,519
Speaker 1: Texas Tech. Give me Oregon over Indiana again, this requires

1625
01:23:34,520 --> 01:23:36,840
Speaker 1: Oregon getting healthy and hot at the right time. And

1626
01:23:36,920 --> 01:23:42,000
Speaker 1: I would take Alabama over Georgia. I would take Alabama

1627
01:23:42,080 --> 01:23:45,800
Speaker 1: over Oregon. That mainly is because, like I've told you,

1628
01:23:46,000 --> 01:23:48,480
Speaker 1: I predicted Alabama to win the national title in the preseason.

1629
01:23:48,920 --> 01:23:51,679
Speaker 1: I have to like definitively be convinced that I'm wrong

1630
01:23:51,760 --> 01:23:54,840
Speaker 1: to come off of that. So if I had to

1631
01:23:54,840 --> 01:23:57,599
Speaker 1: pick this thing from scratch, probably wouldn't have Bama over

1632
01:23:57,640 --> 01:23:59,960
Speaker 1: Georgia right now. Probably wouldn't have Bama over Oregon right now.

1633
01:24:00,160 --> 01:24:03,400
Speaker 1: But I'm not picking it from scratch. People remember sound

1634
01:24:03,400 --> 01:24:07,599
Speaker 1: bites and snapshots, and just in the semi unlikely event

1635
01:24:07,640 --> 01:24:10,000
Speaker 1: that I'm right, I just want the snapshot to be remembered.

1636
01:24:10,280 --> 01:24:12,760
Speaker 1: Give me Ohio State over Texas A and M, and

1637
01:24:12,880 --> 01:24:15,880
Speaker 1: I'll keep Alabama over Ohio State National title although, like

1638
01:24:15,920 --> 01:24:18,080
Speaker 1: I will fully admit, if Ohio State's good enough to

1639
01:24:18,080 --> 01:24:20,720
Speaker 1: get to the national title game, it's going to be

1640
01:24:20,720 --> 01:24:23,040
Speaker 1: really tough to see anyone beating them, because if they

1641
01:24:23,080 --> 01:24:24,920
Speaker 1: get to the national title game, that means everything we

1642
01:24:24,960 --> 01:24:27,160
Speaker 1: thought about them, everything we saw from them this year

1643
01:24:27,200 --> 01:24:28,960
Speaker 1: was right. And I don't really care if it's Bama

1644
01:24:29,040 --> 01:24:31,320
Speaker 1: or whoever standing in their way. I would actually like

1645
01:24:31,360 --> 01:24:34,519
Speaker 1: Georgia matching up with them the best right now. But

1646
01:24:34,560 --> 01:24:37,880
Speaker 1: that's the way the bracket is falling. A couple of

1647
01:24:37,920 --> 01:24:41,400
Speaker 1: more things here and we will be on our way. Jesse,

1648
01:24:41,600 --> 01:24:43,960
Speaker 1: we could have gone two hours tonight. We are well,

1649
01:24:44,000 --> 01:24:46,760
Speaker 1: we're not lucky. You guys are lucky. I've got really

1650
01:24:46,760 --> 01:24:49,519
Speaker 1: good news. I'm about to give away a ton of money. Yeah,

1651
01:24:49,560 --> 01:24:52,000
Speaker 1: I got your attention. Well, FanDuel is going to give

1652
01:24:52,000 --> 01:24:55,519
Speaker 1: it away for me. So we do this occasionally. It's

1653
01:24:55,560 --> 01:24:58,120
Speaker 1: a reward for people who are watching the entire show.

1654
01:24:59,160 --> 01:25:00,840
Speaker 1: I'm gonna give you twenty f four hours, So even

1655
01:25:00,840 --> 01:25:03,280
Speaker 1: if you're watching the replay, don't freak out. Look in

1656
01:25:03,280 --> 01:25:05,280
Speaker 1: the live chat right now, or look in the show

1657
01:25:05,320 --> 01:25:08,240
Speaker 1: description whenever you're watching the show in the next twenty

1658
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1659
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1668
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Speaker 2: slash RG call one eight eight eight seven eight nine

1683
01:26:18,640 --> 01:26:21,840
Speaker 2: seventy seven seventy seven, or visit CCPG dot org slash

1684
01:26:21,920 --> 01:26:25,759
Speaker 2: chat in Connecticut, or visit nd gamblinghelp dot org in Maryland.

1685
01:26:25,920 --> 01:26:29,639
Speaker 2: Hope is here, visit gambling Helplinema dot org or call

1686
01:26:29,680 --> 01:26:32,200
Speaker 2: eight hundred three two seven fifty fifty for twenty four

1687
01:26:32,240 --> 01:26:35,080
Speaker 2: seven support in Massachusetts. Or call one eight seven seven

1688
01:26:35,120 --> 01:26:37,320
Speaker 2: eight Hope, n Y. Or text Hope n Y. In

1689
01:26:37,400 --> 01:26:37,840
Speaker 2: New York.

1690
01:26:38,240 --> 01:26:39,800
Speaker 1: I am going to give you three more best bets

1691
01:26:39,840 --> 01:26:42,799
Speaker 1: on the Ramanoudle Express here. One of them has already

1692
01:26:42,960 --> 01:26:46,400
Speaker 1: been posted Missouri minus two and a half. Okay, the

1693
01:26:46,439 --> 01:26:49,559
Speaker 1: next three that we're gonna add tonight Coastal Carolina plus

1694
01:26:49,640 --> 01:26:55,000
Speaker 1: twenty two and a half against James Madison Love Illinois

1695
01:26:55,040 --> 01:26:58,719
Speaker 1: minus six and a half this week, and I'm gonna

1696
01:26:58,720 --> 01:27:02,679
Speaker 1: take Arizona State. Kenny Dillingham or is anyone listening Kenny

1697
01:27:02,680 --> 01:27:05,280
Speaker 1: watches the show, I'm gonna take Arizona State all of

1698
01:27:05,320 --> 01:27:09,840
Speaker 1: a sudden, A ranked matchup against Arizona so in conclusion

1699
01:27:09,920 --> 01:27:12,280
Speaker 1: because the graphic didn't work there Missouri minus two and

1700
01:27:12,320 --> 01:27:15,360
Speaker 1: a half, Coastal Carolina plus twenty two and a half,

1701
01:27:15,760 --> 01:27:18,320
Speaker 1: Illinois minus six and a half, Arizona State plus one

1702
01:27:18,320 --> 01:27:22,120
Speaker 1: and a half. We will probably do Friday Night Lines

1703
01:27:22,160 --> 01:27:24,880
Speaker 1: on Thursday night. I'll probably do it on Thanksgiving Night,

1704
01:27:25,800 --> 01:27:27,360
Speaker 1: and I will do that because a lot of games

1705
01:27:27,360 --> 01:27:30,640
Speaker 1: are on Friday. So pay attention to the socials. And

1706
01:27:30,680 --> 01:27:33,840
Speaker 1: if you're unfamiliar with what that is, it is something

1707
01:27:33,880 --> 01:27:36,680
Speaker 1: I do exclusively on Instagram Live. It's where I pull

1708
01:27:36,680 --> 01:27:39,320
Speaker 1: out the model. The live chats really lit up. We

1709
01:27:39,320 --> 01:27:41,880
Speaker 1: have a couple thousand people watching, and I just I

1710
01:27:41,920 --> 01:27:45,160
Speaker 1: basically like riff on what the model says about games

1711
01:27:45,160 --> 01:27:47,120
Speaker 1: that we're not betting, or maybe games that we are betting.

1712
01:27:47,120 --> 01:27:50,679
Speaker 1: I always add best bets during Friday Night Lines every week.

1713
01:27:50,720 --> 01:27:52,800
Speaker 1: This year we've added something, so you gotta be watching

1714
01:27:52,800 --> 01:27:55,160
Speaker 1: that to get the full card. I will tell you

1715
01:27:55,240 --> 01:27:57,320
Speaker 1: when we're going to do it sometime Wednesday or Thursday,

1716
01:27:57,360 --> 01:27:59,840
Speaker 1: so be following on the socials at Josh pate C

1717
01:28:00,960 --> 01:28:03,639
Speaker 1: and I'll let you know. And then you'll see us

1718
01:28:03,960 --> 01:28:06,559
Speaker 1: on the sideline at Jordan Hare Stadium Saturday, and I'll

1719
01:28:06,560 --> 01:28:09,200
Speaker 1: get you a lot of good behind the scenes exclusive

1720
01:28:09,320 --> 01:28:13,000
Speaker 1: content there and then we'll be back up here Sunday

1721
01:28:13,040 --> 01:28:15,559
Speaker 1: to talk about it all. Sunday's going to be an

1722
01:28:15,600 --> 01:28:18,240
Speaker 1: explosive show. I'm just telling you go ahead and get

1723
01:28:18,280 --> 01:28:21,360
Speaker 1: ready for it. We are going to be reacting to

1724
01:28:21,479 --> 01:28:25,880
Speaker 1: rivalry game outcomes. We'll have conference championship matchups set, Coaches

1725
01:28:25,960 --> 01:28:29,599
Speaker 1: will have been fired, coaches are going to be hired.

1726
01:28:29,800 --> 01:28:32,040
Speaker 1: I think announcements are coming. Some announcements are going to

1727
01:28:32,080 --> 01:28:35,920
Speaker 1: come before Sunday, so check the channel. Cause like if

1728
01:28:36,479 --> 01:28:39,439
Speaker 1: if LSU were to make an announcement before Sunday, I'll

1729
01:28:39,479 --> 01:28:42,040
Speaker 1: probably put a reaction video up on the channel. Just

1730
01:28:42,360 --> 01:28:45,160
Speaker 1: there's no predicting what's about to happen. It has never

1731
01:28:45,200 --> 01:28:46,760
Speaker 1: been more important for you to be subscribed to the

1732
01:28:46,800 --> 01:28:49,040
Speaker 1: channel and get ten of your friends, not even five,

1733
01:28:49,240 --> 01:28:51,679
Speaker 1: get ten of your friends to subscribe as well. We're

1734
01:28:51,760 --> 01:28:54,200
Speaker 1: right on the doorstep of five hundred K. Appreciate you guys,

1735
01:28:54,280 --> 01:28:57,280
Speaker 1: so much from all of us to you have a

1736
01:28:57,320 --> 01:29:03,000
Speaker 1: happy and safe Thanksgiving. Remember remember we don't have to

1737
01:29:03,000 --> 01:29:06,120
Speaker 1: stuff ourselves until we're in a food coma. You can

1738
01:29:06,200 --> 01:29:10,480
Speaker 1: back away. I've got some very interesting literature slash Instagram

1739
01:29:10,520 --> 01:29:12,280
Speaker 1: reels that I can send some of you. If you

1740
01:29:12,360 --> 01:29:14,880
Speaker 1: need to be fat shamed at the right time on Thanksgiving,

1741
01:29:14,920 --> 01:29:16,800
Speaker 1: I can take care of it for you, but we

1742
01:29:16,840 --> 01:29:20,120
Speaker 1: need to do that privately. For producer Jesse, for director Bradley,

1743
01:29:20,160 --> 01:29:24,080
Speaker 1: I'm Josh Fate. We'll see you back here Sunday, but

1744
01:29:24,200 --> 01:29:26,639
Speaker 1: keep it locked because something could happen at any moment.

1745
01:29:26,760 --> 01:29:39,000
Speaker 1: Until then, take care and God bless.

1746
01:29:43,640 --> 01:29:45,960
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1747
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1752
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Speaker 2: Call one eight hundred gambler or visit FanDuel dot com

1753
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Speaker 2: slash RG call one eight eight eight seven eight nine

1754
01:30:08,320 --> 01:30:11,479
Speaker 2: seventy seven seventy seven, or visit CCPG dot org slash

1755
01:30:11,600 --> 01:30:15,400
Speaker 2: chat in Connecticut, or visit nd Gamblinghelp dot org. In Maryland.

1756
01:30:15,600 --> 01:30:19,280
Speaker 2: Hope is here, visit gambling heelplinema dot org, or call

1757
01:30:19,360 --> 01:30:21,880
Speaker 2: eight hundred three two seven fifty fifty for twenty four

1758
01:30:21,920 --> 01:30:24,760
Speaker 2: seven support in Massachusetts. Or call one eight seven seven

1759
01:30:24,800 --> 01:30:27,200
Speaker 2: eight Hope n Y. Or text Hope NY in New

1760
01:30:27,280 --> 01:30:27,479
Speaker 2: York