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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into the Sunday morning edition of

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Speaker 2: the Deal Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Parot. You

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Speaker 2: can follow me on Twitter at sports Doc Matt. You

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Speaker 2: can follow Betting Pros on Twitter at Betting Pros NFL.

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Speaker 2: We're here every single morning here on Bettingpros dot com,

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Speaker 2: on YouTube, and also on wherever you get your podcasts

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Speaker 2: on a podcast platform.

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Speaker 1: So here's where we are for.

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Speaker 2: Today on a Sunday. I have got two hockey plays

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Speaker 2: and one NBA played to give you guys. Coming up today,

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna have NBA player props. There are two games

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Speaker 2: being played, so with two games and four teams I

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Speaker 2: feel comfortable doing NBA player props today, So looking forward

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Speaker 2: to doing that. But let's quickly recap yesterday. It was

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Speaker 2: a one to two and one day. First the push, Okay,

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Speaker 2: So Dave Shearapai and his great family came over to

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Speaker 2: my daughter had an end of COVID beginning of the summer,

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Speaker 2: end of her fresh her freshman year, end of her

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Speaker 2: first grade year party at my house and it was

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Speaker 2: incredible and if you guys had it could be a

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Speaker 2: fly on the wall to hear the conversations that Dave

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Speaker 2: and I were having. I mean, it was it was

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Speaker 2: really really fun. It was great to have our families together.

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Speaker 2: But it was also super fun to watch games with

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Speaker 2: Dave and just look at the line movements and watching

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Speaker 2: what was happening live and you know where the games are.

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Speaker 2: So Dave, I'm kind of off doing something else and

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Speaker 2: Dave's like yelling at me, going, Matt, Matt, Matt, you

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Speaker 2: got to come back. A'm like, what, Like, they're leaving

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Speaker 2: the open net, Like, what do you mean the Bruins.

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Speaker 2: It's currently three to one, you have five, right, I'm

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Speaker 2: like yeah, He's like, they're leaving the open net again.

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Speaker 1: It's like, this is crazy.

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Speaker 2: With all of four seconds left, the New York Islanders

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Speaker 2: score their second open net goal and we get five

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Speaker 2: and we push. That was incredible. That was from the

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Speaker 2: heavens now. The Bucks are in deep trouble. They lose

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Speaker 2: game one, they get blown out. In game one, the

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Speaker 2: over does not hit because they got blown out, so

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Speaker 2: that stunk, and then the White Sox do not win

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Speaker 2: against the lefty. They lost to the Tigers four to three,

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Speaker 2: so that run line bet does not hit, so that

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Speaker 2: right there would be an o two in one day.

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Speaker 2: But we did get a bet, right. But it's a

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Speaker 2: little bit complicated.

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Speaker 1: Okay. So this is horse racing.

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Speaker 2: And I know a bunch of you were angry about

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Speaker 2: this and you're like, Matt, what the hell is this

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Speaker 2: and blah blah blah. Okay, So my bet was a

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Speaker 2: four horse trifecta, twenty four dollars twenty four one dollar bets.

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Speaker 1: We never know the odds until the.

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Speaker 2: Horses go off, and unfortunately a lot of the horses

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Speaker 2: that we bet on became chalk.

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Speaker 1: The lower the odds, the lower the payout.

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Speaker 2: The lower the payout, we don't really get a chance

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Speaker 2: to take home a lot of money.

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Speaker 1: So that twenty four dollar bet.

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Speaker 2: For the two horse, the four and the three to

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Speaker 2: come in one, two, three, Okay, we hit that. Okay,

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Speaker 2: that's the box. Okay, that's why you have twenty four

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Speaker 2: one dollar bets. It only paid out like twenty two

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Speaker 2: to twenty three dollars, so we were down plus the

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Speaker 2: one dollar you get back. Right, So twenty four bets,

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Speaker 2: twenty three of them were wrong. One gets the here

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Speaker 2: you go, get it back, and then you get twenty

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Speaker 2: two dollars on top of that. So you win twenty

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Speaker 2: three dollars. You take home twenty three dollars on a

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Speaker 2: twenty four dollar bet, So what happens? We're down a dollar? So, yeah,

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Speaker 2: we lost a buck. We won a bet and we

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Speaker 2: lost a bet a buck. Why horse racing? This is

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Speaker 2: why I don't bet horses, and this is why a

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Speaker 2: lot of people hate betting horses. Okay, we don't know

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Speaker 2: what the odds were going to be, but we had.

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Speaker 2: I mean, if the two horse came in second place,

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Speaker 2: it would have been even better. I got the superfector right,

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Speaker 2: and it's not going to pay me out much at all.

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Speaker 1: Like I bet a total of.

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Speaker 2: One hundred dollars on the Belmont Steak, and I think

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Speaker 2: I won something like seventy five or yeah, somewhere in

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Speaker 2: that range. I haven't seen it exactly yet, but I

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Speaker 2: lost twenty five bucks winning two bets. Okay, that's horse racing.

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Speaker 2: That's pair of mutual You don't know what the odds

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Speaker 2: are until the horses go off, and that's why horse

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Speaker 2: racing stinks.

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Speaker 1: In a lot of ways. It can be great.

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Speaker 2: It can be a big payout you can get if

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Speaker 2: a crazy horse wins. It's not supposed to be there

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Speaker 2: and make sure superfecta or trifecta or whatever it might be,

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Speaker 2: and you get that, then you win and it looks

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Speaker 2: great and you're jumping up and down.

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Speaker 1: You're like, this is incredible.

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Speaker 2: I can't believe that I won this, you know, on

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Speaker 2: a one dollar bet, I won you know, two hundred

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Speaker 2: and sixty bucks whatever it was. But that's what happened

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Speaker 2: in the Preakness, and similarly with the Derby. And when

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Speaker 2: horses come off, you know, out of nowhere and they

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Speaker 2: win the race, that's really big. Those give out good paydays.

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Speaker 2: Chalk does not. And we bet chalk for the most part.

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Speaker 2: I wasn't trying to bet chalk.

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Speaker 1: But you know, I.

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Speaker 2: Said yesterday the and four and the seven horse. Okay,

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Speaker 2: those are the horses, I said, with a trifecta. And

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Speaker 2: the seven horse got off to a really really bad

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Speaker 2: run early on, faded after leading for a while, and faded,

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Speaker 2: and then it became a race between the two and

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Speaker 2: the four, and it came down to the three coming

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Speaker 2: in third place, so we were able to cash.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: I also had the six horse in fourth place. I

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Speaker 2: had another bet going. If you guys were looking at

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Speaker 2: the Discord channel. I told you I was gonna post

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Speaker 2: my tickets, and I did. I posted two trifecta bets

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Speaker 2: and I posted two. I posted one super effective bet

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Speaker 2: and the superfecta and the trifecta for the podcast hit. Fortunately,

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Speaker 2: I will lose money just like you guys lost a

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Speaker 2: little money.

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Speaker 1: So really it's.

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Speaker 2: An two and two day on the money, but really

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Speaker 2: it's a one to two and one day officially on

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Speaker 2: the podcast. So bet right, not great for the money,

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Speaker 2: essentially flat for us here for that bet.

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Speaker 1: But it was fun to get to get to get

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Speaker 1: a win. It was fun to cash that and you

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Speaker 1: have the dinner.

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Speaker 2: But that's why horse racing is so complicated and convoluted

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Speaker 2: and imagining having to work behind the counter and explain

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Speaker 2: all that not easy. Right.

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Speaker 1: You walk to the counter and you're like, I want

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Speaker 1: to bet.

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Speaker 2: I want to bet you like, you hand one hundred

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Speaker 2: dollars down and they hand you back you know whatever,

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Speaker 2: it might be.

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Speaker 1: Get the ticket.

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Speaker 2: You're like, oh, here we go, and they give you

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Speaker 2: back very little, and you're mad about that. You're like,

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Speaker 2: wait what that's why? Okay, So horse racing's funky. It's

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Speaker 2: why we don't do it all that often, but I'll

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Speaker 2: take the hit.

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Speaker 1: So that was nice.

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Speaker 2: So one two in one day for yesterday. Okay, let's start.

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Speaker 2: I'm not gonna get long winded here. Okay, this is

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Speaker 2: gonna be a little bit of a shorter podcast because

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Speaker 2: they don't need to get into a whole lot here.

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Speaker 2: Let's start in hockey, all right, Vegas against Colorado. You

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Speaker 2: know where I'm going here, right, all right? This this

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Speaker 2: could go under. I'm gonna have a personal play on

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Speaker 2: the under. Okay, I think the under is a decent

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Speaker 2: bet here given the goaltenders. But the Golden Knights have

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Speaker 2: led the Avalanche in expected goals. Okay, they have out

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Speaker 2: shot get this, they have out shot Colorado eighty four

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Speaker 2: to forty five in this series. They have created way

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Speaker 2: more high danger opportunities, goals that should have happened. They

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Speaker 2: are in games two, in game at three, they are

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Speaker 2: out playing the Colorado Avalanche period. Philip Grubauer is the

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Speaker 2: reason why this is a two to one series. Vegas

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Speaker 2: has a sold out house. They know they can skate

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Speaker 2: with these guys. They've got to stay out of the

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Speaker 2: penalty box. If Vegas can avoid taking penalties, Vegas is

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Speaker 2: going to win this game minus one twelve the Vegas

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Speaker 2: Golden Knights on the money line, Homer pick, don't care.

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Speaker 2: It's what I bet. On Friday. We bet Red Sox

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Speaker 2: and Vegas and Vegas and the Red Sox won. All right,

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Speaker 2: going back to Vegas. I can't bet on the Red

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Speaker 2: Sox today because the Red Sox have won two games

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Speaker 2: in a row. They're due to lose to the Yankees.

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Speaker 2: I can't see Boston, although if they do lose, I

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Speaker 2: will bet Boston tomorrow on a Sunday. I kind of

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Speaker 2: want them to but it would be better. But I mean,

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Speaker 2: they're three to ozer going into a Sunday. I can't

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Speaker 2: touch it either. But I am playing Vegas, laying the

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Speaker 2: mines one twelve on the money line. Vegas to beat

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Speaker 2: Colorado to tie this series up at two games apiece.

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Speaker 1: You can call it luck.

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Speaker 2: You can say that the Jonathan marsh so bank shot

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Speaker 2: off the backside of Philip Grubauer was a lucky shot.

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Speaker 2: I don't care. In it worked, good to go. Okay,

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Speaker 2: that's where we're going. Bet number two. Okay, heavy juice

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Speaker 2: on this bet.

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Speaker 1: You look at the.

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Speaker 2: Vicious, horrible nature of the Mark Shechefley hit on Jake

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Speaker 2: Evans and it still holds over this series because Winnipeg

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Speaker 2: cannot score against Kerry Price. They just can't beat him.

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Speaker 2: One nothing. The win for Montreal in Game two on

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Speaker 2: a short handed goal that was the only goal. Hella

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Speaker 2: Buck is a hell of a goaltender, he really is.

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Speaker 2: He's ads good as Carry Price. How do we not

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Speaker 2: bet under under five and a half. It's just the bet, Okay,

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Speaker 2: I don't want to get too all crazy into this.

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Speaker 1: It's just the bet.

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Speaker 2: The under is four and oh now in the last

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Speaker 2: four road games for the Jets, the under is coming

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Speaker 2: in just consistently. You're gonna pay miss one thirty five

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Speaker 2: mass one forty Jews of this. I paid miss one

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Speaker 2: thirty five, all right. If the books were to put

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Speaker 2: this at five, I probably would bet over. But it's

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Speaker 2: five and a half, and I mean Montreal is three

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Speaker 2: and six to the over in the playoffs. Montreal does

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Speaker 2: not score Winnipeg. They're banged up, they don't have any offense.

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Speaker 2: These two teams can't score, and they're taking on two

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Speaker 2: very good goaltenders. Under five and a half. You're gonna

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Speaker 2: lay mister one thirty five juice. It's expensive, but it's

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Speaker 2: worth it. Under five and a half for Winnipeg and

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Speaker 2: Montreal is play number. And for our third and final bet,

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Speaker 2: we're going to the NBA today and we're talking about

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Speaker 2: the Atlanta Hawks. We already bet Atlanta to win this

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Speaker 2: series at plus one fifty five. A big step forward

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Speaker 2: would be winning Game one and taking home court advantage

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Speaker 2: away from the seventy six ers. I don't know when

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Speaker 2: Joel Embiid will play, but most likely he's not playing

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Speaker 2: in this game. He may try to give it a go,

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Speaker 2: but my guess is they're going to hold him out

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Speaker 2: and they're not going to want to risk it because

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Speaker 2: they need him one for the whole series. But why

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Speaker 2: make the knee more complicated and maybe be out for

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Speaker 2: a long period of time. If you have a compromise

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Speaker 2: knee and it gives out and something really bad happens

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Speaker 2: to Joel Embiid.

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Speaker 1: I don't know.

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Speaker 2: I see them saying, no, we're not going to do

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Speaker 2: to Joel Embiid what the Lakers did to Anthony Davis.

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Speaker 2: Sit down, big guy, we'll get it. We'll take you

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Speaker 2: later on. In this series. The Hawks are six and

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Speaker 2: one ats over the last seven games, and they're playing

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Speaker 2: incredible basketball.

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Speaker 1: Incredible basketball.

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Speaker 2: I don't think you're gonna see an all worldly game

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Speaker 2: by Debias Harris. I don't think you're gonna see Ben

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Speaker 2: Simmons suddenly become like a knockdown three point shooter. And

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Speaker 2: I think Trey Young has got so much swagger going

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Speaker 2: on right now, him and Bogdanovich.

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Speaker 1: That backcourt is just so good.

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Speaker 2: I'm not saying that Philly is gonna punt on this game,

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Speaker 2: but I do think Philadelphia has a chance to say, yeah,

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Speaker 2: we understand what's going on.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna you know, we're gonna let this happen. Go ahead.

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Speaker 2: You can have Game one without duel embiid. We're getting

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Speaker 2: back and we'll try to be there. I just think

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Speaker 2: this is a big, big game for Atlanta's confidence, and

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Speaker 2: I think Clink Cappella and John Collins could be really big.

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Speaker 2: I may be on John Collins's player props today. That's

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Speaker 2: been pretty nice for us this season. I like John

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Speaker 2: Collins a lot with scoring opportunities and beid out if

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Speaker 2: he is out, but I think he's gonna be out.

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Speaker 1: I don't see him playing. I'm taking Atlanta at plus

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Speaker 1: two and a half.

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Speaker 2: I don't hate a money line play, but I'll take

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Speaker 2: the two and a half points here Atlanta plus two

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Speaker 2: and a half to potentially steal game one or maybe

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Speaker 2: lose it by a last second bucket or something if

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Speaker 2: Philly's gonna win. But we're taking Atlanta at plus two

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Speaker 2: and a half at minus one ten for the one

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Speaker 2: NBA play coming up here today. So to recap Vegas

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Speaker 2: money line minus one twelve under Winnipeg, Winnipeg and Montreal

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Speaker 2: five and a half at minus one thirty five, and

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Speaker 2: we're going Hawks plus two and a half at minus

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Speaker 2: one ten for the one basketball play going on here

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Speaker 2: today for the podcast. Remember the bet MGM up above

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Speaker 2: Interesting thing that happened in golf that I want to

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Speaker 2: run by you guys real fast. If you had bet

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Speaker 2: John Rahm and on East Coast book to win the

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Speaker 2: golf tournament yesterday, you won.

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Speaker 1: Here in Vegas, you lost. Okay.

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Speaker 2: That's the big difference between Vegas and the East Coast.

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Speaker 2: The East Coast books recognized a bad beat. Karma committee

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Speaker 2: comes in and they give everyone's wager back. East Coast

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Speaker 2: books are looking for customers. Vegas books are looking to

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Speaker 2: stay in business. That's kind of the difference there. Vegas said, Nope,

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Speaker 2: John Ram tested positive for COVID nineteen. John Ram's out,

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Speaker 2: John Rom loss. East Coast books are like, well, he

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Speaker 2: had a six stroke lead, he would have won the event. Yep,

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Speaker 2: let's pay it out. You win, or we're going to

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Speaker 2: refund it. One of the two. Refund the wager or

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Speaker 2: pay the wager out. If you had John Rom on

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Speaker 2: the East Coast, congratulations, you had John Rahm in Vegas.

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Speaker 1: Sorry, that's part.

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Speaker 2: Of the first kind of the problem when it comes

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Speaker 2: to where you're betting, and the different philosophy is behind

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Speaker 2: East Coast books in Vegas books. Just the way things are.

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Speaker 2: My name is Matt Parot. You can follow me on

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Speaker 2: Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Every single morning, it's the

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Speaker 2: Daily Juice podcast right here on bettingpros dot Com, brought

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Speaker 2: you by bet On GM