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Speaker 1: Hey guys, So are you welcome into a Saturday morning

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Speaker 1: edition of the Daily Juice Podcast with me Matt Perrault

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Speaker 1: here every single morning Bettingpros dot Com at Sports Talk

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Speaker 1: Mat on Twitter. To follow me at Betting Pros on

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Speaker 1: Twitter to follow them. Bet MGM's or title sponsor ten

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Speaker 1: dollars bet to win one hundred and fifty dollars. Yes,

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Speaker 1: it's fallad in Illinois used promo code juice one fifty

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Speaker 1: at bet MGM to jump in here with that new

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Speaker 1: account new users juice one fifty for one hundred and

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Speaker 1: fifty bucks on a ten dollars bet. Okay, so it's Saturday.

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Speaker 1: It is a championship Saturday, we will do the discord bet,

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Speaker 1: which has hit the last two weeks. We will do

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Speaker 1: that on Saturday. It didn't work great on Sunday. But

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Speaker 1: I'm doing a Twitter spaces on Sunday with Dave Sheerapan

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Speaker 1: if you guys are interest in that. But that's coming later.

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Speaker 1: So I'm going to be doing a discord chat Saturday.

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Speaker 1: A Twitter space is on Sunday. So busy week, a

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Speaker 1: lot of things to get to, but we'll do a

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Speaker 1: discord bet conversation today this morning. Eight in the I'll

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Speaker 1: probably do it at eight am because I think the

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Speaker 1: first games are pretty early here on Saturday, so I

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Speaker 1: want to make sure we get the full slate. So

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Speaker 1: eight am Pacific time, eleven thirty sorry, eleven am Eastern time.

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Speaker 1: For the Discord bet, we will do that on the

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Speaker 1: Discord channel, bettingpros dot com, slash chat or the link

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Speaker 1: which is underneath me. Okay, so we added the over

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Speaker 1: for the Raptors and the Suns that was on the

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Speaker 1: Discord channel, so at two and two day. But the

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Speaker 1: real story is the parlay that don't bet parlays. Parlay

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Speaker 1: is now two and six up, a metaphorical six units.

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Speaker 1: If you were betting one units, which you should never

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Speaker 1: bet one units on. Everyone's wondering, like, what do I bet?

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Speaker 1: I bet twenty bucks on it? Okay, I don't bet

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Speaker 1: a lot twenty bucks on that, but it's a free

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Speaker 1: one hundred and twenty bucks, right, it's I'll take it

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Speaker 1: on the bank roll. So we cash that last night.

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Speaker 1: So for anyone who bet the parlay, you were up.

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Speaker 1: Officially it's a loser because we're down the juice on

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Speaker 1: the day, so tiny lose, tiny loss, But we all

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Speaker 1: know because we don't track the parlay. We are all

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Speaker 1: up and we're all in the blue in the black

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Speaker 1: for the day thanks to that plus six hundred hit

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Speaker 1: with Michigan State money line, the under for Kansas and

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Speaker 1: TCU we got plus eight wrong, but the under right,

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Speaker 1: and then the win for Boise Thing of beauty. A

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Speaker 1: lot of fun two and six. Now since we brought back,

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Speaker 1: they don't bet a parlay parlay. And that's the thing. Look,

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Speaker 1: if you hit this once every five or six times,

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Speaker 1: we're good. We're going to be profitable in making money

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Speaker 1: on it. I don't recommend betting parlays, but you guys

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Speaker 1: love them. And for three legs, never bit more than

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Speaker 1: a three leg parlay, two leg, three leg, that's it.

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Speaker 1: Once you get to four and five leg and six

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Speaker 1: leg parlays, you're losing so much value on the actual odds.

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Speaker 1: You're paying such worse odds. You're playing into the book's

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Speaker 1: hands by doing that. They don't give you the actual

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Speaker 1: odds on a four team parlay. Three team is still

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Speaker 1: not the actual odds. And I'm not going to go

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Speaker 1: through the whole math thing here, but go google that

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Speaker 1: what the actual odds should be on a three team

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Speaker 1: parlay and a four team parlay and it will shock

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Speaker 1: you and you probably will never bet a four team

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Speaker 1: or ever again. You should never bet fourteen parlays. Three

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Speaker 1: is the max two or three and that's it. Okay,

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Speaker 1: give any advice to don't play them anyway. Don't bet parlays,

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Speaker 1: but do not bet the five, six, seven leg parlays.

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Speaker 1: It's just you should get much better odds. If you

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Speaker 1: ever hit one. You actually are losing the amount of money.

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Speaker 1: You should be getting more money than they're paying you,

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Speaker 1: if you can believe that. So all right, let's start

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Speaker 1: here with Creighton and Nova. All right, I've got three bets.

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Speaker 1: I'm not making Creighton official, you know when I'm betting. Okay,

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Speaker 1: Literally it was wild so An offshore almost to the

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Speaker 1: name of it, and Offshore opened up the Nova line

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Speaker 1: at seven and a half. Circus Sports in Vegas opened

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Speaker 1: at six, and immediately it's spiked to seven, like I

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Speaker 1: watched it literally go six and a half seven trying

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Speaker 1: to get to that Chris number because I just said

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Speaker 1: the name of the book. Sorry, but we're trying to

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Speaker 1: get to the number that was opened offshore, and so

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Speaker 1: I think you guys are gonna get seven eight. I'm

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Speaker 1: just watching. It's eleven. It's ten o'clock on the Pacific

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Speaker 1: coast right now on the West Coast. I am watching this.

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Speaker 1: If I get seven and a half, if I get eight,

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Speaker 1: I'm on the Blue Jays to a personal play. But

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Speaker 1: I'm on the Creighton Blue Jays. Okay, this is gonna

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Speaker 1: be a tight game. The Jays were in this game

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Speaker 1: last year they lost. I think this team is on

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Speaker 1: a mission. I think this team everyone's just like Ryan

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Speaker 1: Nemhart is out. They're gonna lose. Did you see what

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Speaker 1: they just did to Providence. They're not gonna do that. Nova.

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Speaker 1: But Greg McDermott won a job. Oh my goodness, gracious,

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Speaker 1: what a job. Karl Brenner is going to have a

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Speaker 1: big game. The kids, the defensive player of the year

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Speaker 1: in the Valley Valley, in the in the Big East.

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Speaker 1: He's been playing so well. I don't know, man, I'll

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Speaker 1: be on money line for the Creighton Blue Jays to

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Speaker 1: beat Nova. This is where Nova's depth could come into play.

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Speaker 1: You know, they don't have a lot of guys. Three

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Speaker 1: games in three days, a lot of basketball, and the

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Speaker 1: whole building's going to cheer for the Blue Jays. So

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Speaker 1: I mean, let's go not an official play, but you

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Speaker 1: know where I'm going here, right with the Jays. I mean,

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Speaker 1: let's go Creighton. All right, Let's talk a couple different

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Speaker 1: games here. Let's start a couple different finals. I've got two,

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Speaker 1: I've got one final, I've got a semi final, and

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Speaker 1: then I'm going to add throughout the entire day, I'll

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Speaker 1: figure out what I'm going to make official, whatnot. See

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Speaker 1: what games you guys bet for the Discord bet coming

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Speaker 1: up later today. But let's just talk about the final

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Speaker 1: in the America East. Vermont at home against Maryland BC

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Speaker 1: number is fifteen Maryland. University of Maryland Baltimore County UNBC

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Speaker 1: fifteen and fifteen ATS eleven and nine ATS in conference.

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Speaker 1: But Vermont eighteen and thirteen ATS thirteen and seven. They're

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Speaker 1: at home, thirteen and seven against the conference. They're at home.

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Speaker 1: They're ten and four ATS at home. Last two games

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Speaker 1: have covered. Last five games for UNBC they've covered and

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Speaker 1: they've won their last five games as well. So they're

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Speaker 1: playing well. But here's the problem. First matchup against Vermont,

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Speaker 1: Baltimore County up against Vermont, they're at home, catching eight

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Speaker 1: and a half points, they lost by seventeen, lost by seventeen.

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Speaker 1: Then on the road at Vermont, where this game will

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Speaker 1: be played, they were catching fifteen and a half points

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Speaker 1: and they lost by twenty seven. Okay, so far in

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Speaker 1: this tournament, a twenty one and a half point long

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Speaker 1: in a twenty four point line were both covered by

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Speaker 1: Vermont thirty two thirty nine. They've won their last three

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Speaker 1: games by nineteen thirty nine In thirty two. This team

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Speaker 1: covers big spreads like it's nothing. Fifteen and a half

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Speaker 1: against Bighampton on the road, they won by seventeen. Fifteen

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Speaker 1: and a half against Maryland Baltimore County they won by

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Speaker 1: twenty seven, eleven and a half on the road to Albany,

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Speaker 1: won by thirteen, nineteen and a half against Biggington, won

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Speaker 1: by thirty one, nineteen and a half at home against

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Speaker 1: NJ IT one by twenty three. Sure, there's been some

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Speaker 1: games where like a twenty five point line tom to

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Speaker 1: Maine that didn't cover that at home, or a sixteen

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Speaker 1: point line to Albany back at the end of January

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Speaker 1: they won by twelve. But this team lost one game

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Speaker 1: to Hartford on the road, laying ten and a half

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Speaker 1: points and they've just run through their conference. This team

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Speaker 1: lost to Providence on the road by ten. It's a

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Speaker 1: better number than what the Creighton Blue Jays did at Providence.

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Speaker 1: Can believe that. Look, I hate laying big numbers, but

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Speaker 1: this is a big number. I'm comfortable laying it's fifteen.

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Speaker 1: I think Vermont's gonna kill him. I'm just gonna I've

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Speaker 1: been in that barn. It's tiny in Burlington. They're just

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Speaker 1: gonna come out and I think they just blow the

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Speaker 1: doors off Maryland Baltimore County here. I don't think this

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Speaker 1: is a close game at all. In the final, Vermont

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Speaker 1: minus fifteen half a unit. Let's lay it. It's a

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Speaker 1: big number. I hate laying big numbers, but I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: do it here. With a home game for Vermont, for

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Speaker 1: Vermont with a ten to four ATS record at home,

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Speaker 1: seventy nine on the road for Maryland Baltimore County, and

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Speaker 1: the first two games were not close between these two teams,

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Speaker 1: Catamounts go big laying fifteen points Vermont minus fifteen half

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Speaker 1: a unit. Second play, let's talk about Kentucky and Tennessee.

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Speaker 1: This is gonna be fun, man, This is gonna be

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Speaker 1: such a great game. I can't wait to watch this,

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Speaker 1: really looking forward to seeing how this game goes down.

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Speaker 1: I think Kentucky's gonna have just a little bit too much,

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Speaker 1: and I think Kentucky's gonna have a chance here to

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Speaker 1: win the SEC. I am going to be one hundred

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Speaker 1: percent watching Arkansas and Texas A and M. But six

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Speaker 1: and a half points feels a little heavy. I mean,

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Speaker 1: maybe I'm just way off here. Just feels a little

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Speaker 1: heavy to me that we're gonna wind up watching. I

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Speaker 1: think Arkansas wins that game. I hope they win this game.

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Speaker 1: I may sprinkle a little bit. I got a seven

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Speaker 1: to one ticket on Arkansas to win the SEC. I

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Speaker 1: may you know, I may come in and sprinkle a

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Speaker 1: little bit on some on A and M, just because

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Speaker 1: I'll get some pretty big plus money on this. But

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Speaker 1: this is a noon Pacific time, three pm Eastern time tip.

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Speaker 1: And look, Kentucky beats Florida in their last game, beat

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Speaker 1: them seventy one sixty three. At the to end of

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Speaker 1: the year, they won against Ole Miss eighty three seventy two.

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Speaker 1: Tennessee is a team I have not had a great

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Speaker 1: feel for. I'll be completely honest here Okay, not a

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Speaker 1: great feel. Vanderbilt covered again last night. I should have

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Speaker 1: bet van Dy plus eleven. I thought I was way

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Speaker 1: too heavy, and Vandy did what I thought they were

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Speaker 1: gonna do, and they played it tight. So you have

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Speaker 1: a win over over Florida and win over Vanderbilt, and

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Speaker 1: now they're here into the semi finals of the SEC

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Speaker 1: Tournament and they're laying two. They lost to Tennessee at

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Speaker 1: Tennessee seventy six to sixty three. They beat Tennessee one

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Speaker 1: oh seven seventy nine at RUP. This game is not

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Speaker 1: at RP, but I think the home court for Tennessee

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Speaker 1: was pretty significant. And you look at you know, when

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Speaker 1: did Kentucky lose? They lost on the road, They lost

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Speaker 1: at Arkansas, they lost at Tennessee, they lost at Auburn,

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Speaker 1: they lost at LSU, they lost at Notre Dame. I mean,

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Speaker 1: that's just this team. When it comes to neutral court

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Speaker 1: or home games, they're winning when they go on the road.

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Speaker 1: Not that great. I'm laying two points here. I think

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Speaker 1: I've got the better team. I think it's gonna be

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Speaker 1: a lot of fun to watch. I think they know

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Speaker 1: because Auburn's out, they've got a clear path potentially to

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Speaker 1: win this thing, to win the SEC championship. I'm laying

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Speaker 1: the two points Kentucky minus two half a unit up

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Speaker 1: against Tennessee and then one total to talk about in

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Speaker 1: the NHL, and it's Calgary Calgary against the Detroit Red Wings.

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Speaker 1: So Detroit on the year and we've been doing pretty

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Speaker 1: well with this, but Detroit on the year thirty two,

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Speaker 1: twenty four and one to the over. That's top ten.

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Speaker 1: And you've got a Calgary team that's won two, three, four, five,

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Speaker 1: six seven. Hold on, let me see one, two, three, four, five, six, seven,

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Speaker 1: eight nine, ten, eleven, twelve, thirteen, fourteen, fifteen, sixteen, top fifteen,

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Speaker 1: twenty nine, twenty four and three for Calgary to the over.

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Speaker 1: But you look at some of these numbers here for

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Speaker 1: the Detroit Red Wings and it's absolutely it's stunning, to

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Speaker 1: be quite honest, in terms of what their games have

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Speaker 1: looked like. So this is the first oh, the first

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Speaker 1: meeting was a three to nothing win for the Flames,

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Speaker 1: but since then, goals in games involving the Detroit Red

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Speaker 1: Wings eleven eleven, eight, four seven for Calgary five nine

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Speaker 1: for seven nine, okay, three and two to the over

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Speaker 1: six and a half four and one to the over

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Speaker 1: six and a half. Calgary's at home, they're seventeen to

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Speaker 1: five and five. I'll personally be on the Calgary's callary

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Speaker 1: Flames puck line. I like the over more. I think

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Speaker 1: Detroit scores a little. I think Calgary scores a lot.

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Speaker 1: We're going over six and a half goals at even

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Speaker 1: money for Detroit in Calgary here, let's see we can

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Speaker 1: keep the run here going for us when it comes

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Speaker 1: to overs and what we've done, which has been fairly impressive.

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Speaker 1: I mean for hockey wise, I've been pretty proud of

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Speaker 1: what we've done hockey wise and what we've done just

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Speaker 1: in general for picks for the juice for the last

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Speaker 1: couple of weeks, I mean, it's been it's been really good.

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Speaker 1: I want to see what my record is in the

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Speaker 1: NHL tracking wise, I'm gonna pull that up real quick here,

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Speaker 1: because we had to. We have to turn the corner

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Speaker 1: in the NHL. So yeah, so we're fifteen and ten

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Speaker 1: in twenty twenty two in the NHL. We're up a

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Speaker 1: unit in the NHL, so that's not about sixty percent

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Speaker 1: clip though. We're hitting here for and a lot of

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Speaker 1: that's been overs, a lot of it just going ahead

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Speaker 1: and coming in and betting over and being very successful,

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Speaker 1: you know in hitting over. So it's it's been good.

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Speaker 1: It's it's been really really good. And we've been you know,

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Speaker 1: hitting some good some good times, some good shit, good throps.

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Speaker 1: We've come in and you know, tolls have been good

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Speaker 1: to us. So personal plays gonna have a ton going today.

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Speaker 1: I'll add and see discord bet will be the other

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Speaker 1: half of unit. Do you guys are going to bet

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Speaker 1: Vermont minus fifteen, Kentucky minus two over six and a half,

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Speaker 1: somewhat chalky, don't care creating Blue Jays plus seven, seven

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Speaker 1: and a half, eight, whatever it's going to be. I'll

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Speaker 1: be on the Jay's money line. I'll be on Calgary

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Speaker 1: puck line. I will be on other bets throughout the

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Speaker 1: entire day. I'll be looking at Arkansas. I'll throw some

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Speaker 1: two two leg money line parlays together here like I

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Speaker 1: would come in and do even like a three legger

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Speaker 1: where you jump in and bet Vermont. You could bet

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Speaker 1: Arkansas Vermont Houston to see what that comes out as

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Speaker 1: I like, you know, things like that. There's all sorts

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Speaker 1: of different ways of being creative today. And getting, you know,

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Speaker 1: having action going on. I'll be betting all day to day.

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Speaker 1: I mean, it's gonna be Sundays. This is Saturday's gonna

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Speaker 1: be a lot of fun. Sunday's gonna be a lot

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Speaker 1: of fun. But I'll talk to you guys at eight

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Speaker 1: o'clock in the morning Pacific eleven a m. Eastern time

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Speaker 1: for the Discord Channel conversation for the Discord Bet of

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Speaker 1: the week. In the meantime, though officially, Vermont minus fifteen,

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Speaker 1: Kentucky minus two, and the over six and a half

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Speaker 1: even money for Calgary in Detroit are our three bets

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Speaker 1: here officially more to come, more bets, more plays, and

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Speaker 1: more fun to come. I'm here later on today on

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Speaker 1: a Saturday. My name is Matt Parotz. Follow me on

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Speaker 1: Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Each every morning it's Dale

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Speaker 1: News podcast. I was being brought to you by Benham

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Speaker 1: GM