1 00:00:00,880 --> 00:00:04,440 Speaker 1: Welcome to Sharper Square, presented by hard Rock Bat. We 2 00:00:04,519 --> 00:00:07,640 Speaker 1: are part of the Volume podcast network. This is the 3 00:00:07,680 --> 00:00:10,080 Speaker 1: show that makes the square sharper and makes the wise 4 00:00:10,119 --> 00:00:14,600 Speaker 1: guys pay attention. I am Chad moment. I am joined 5 00:00:14,880 --> 00:00:19,960 Speaker 1: on this fine Sunday morning post Thanksgiving as always by 6 00:00:20,000 --> 00:00:25,360 Speaker 1: my bff, my companion, my Campadre, my co host, professional 7 00:00:25,400 --> 00:00:27,880 Speaker 1: Better Assignment Hunter heados. 8 00:00:28,560 --> 00:00:30,720 Speaker 2: Homoymen, Chad, how are we doing? 9 00:00:31,400 --> 00:00:36,000 Speaker 1: Brother? You've met my dad. We took a classic picture 10 00:00:36,479 --> 00:00:39,600 Speaker 1: where it looks like we're just Russian nesting dolls from 11 00:00:39,600 --> 00:00:44,839 Speaker 1: my dad to you to me. And then on Friday 12 00:00:44,920 --> 00:00:47,040 Speaker 1: or Thursday, I'm sitting with my dad on the couch, 13 00:00:47,520 --> 00:00:50,600 Speaker 1: he's visiting from Chicago, and I get a text from 14 00:00:50,600 --> 00:00:55,520 Speaker 1: your dad wishing me a happy Thanksgiving, including a place 15 00:00:55,640 --> 00:00:58,800 Speaker 1: map that you made when you were three years old 16 00:00:59,320 --> 00:01:02,040 Speaker 1: that has a little pumpkin on it that is clearly 17 00:01:02,120 --> 00:01:06,640 Speaker 1: laminated and indestructible that I know you're eating off of 18 00:01:06,720 --> 00:01:09,520 Speaker 1: every Thanksgiving. Your parents are the freaking best. 19 00:01:11,680 --> 00:01:15,319 Speaker 3: Yeah, it's was that thirty two years old now doesn't 20 00:01:15,360 --> 00:01:18,920 Speaker 3: look a day older, like I mean, just classic, looks 21 00:01:18,959 --> 00:01:21,760 Speaker 3: exactly like the day I made it. And yeah, my 22 00:01:21,840 --> 00:01:23,880 Speaker 3: mom makes me eat off at every Thanksgiving and so 23 00:01:24,040 --> 00:01:25,000 Speaker 3: can't break the ritual. 24 00:01:25,319 --> 00:01:28,960 Speaker 1: The pumpkin is bright, bright orange. It's as if as 25 00:01:29,000 --> 00:01:34,280 Speaker 1: if it was drawn yesterday. Happy Thanksgiving everybody, We missed 26 00:01:34,280 --> 00:01:37,840 Speaker 1: you all on Thursday. This will be the semi stripped 27 00:01:37,840 --> 00:01:40,560 Speaker 1: down in the room eavesdropping version of Sharper Square that 28 00:01:40,600 --> 00:01:43,600 Speaker 1: we normally do on Sundays as we narrow down our 29 00:01:43,640 --> 00:01:47,520 Speaker 1: five final picks. We are also going to have our 30 00:01:47,560 --> 00:01:51,680 Speaker 1: money line parlays and the biggest bets just because we 31 00:01:51,720 --> 00:01:54,240 Speaker 1: didn't get to do those on Thursday. We're skipping sharp 32 00:01:54,280 --> 00:01:56,200 Speaker 1: calls this week just because it's so late in the game. 33 00:01:56,520 --> 00:02:00,440 Speaker 1: We want to get through the show and get it 34 00:02:00,440 --> 00:02:04,240 Speaker 1: out for people so they can activate on today's ideas. 35 00:02:04,560 --> 00:02:06,240 Speaker 1: Are you ready signon? 36 00:02:06,840 --> 00:02:08,040 Speaker 2: Let's get it all right. 37 00:02:08,960 --> 00:02:11,920 Speaker 1: We've been talking about Houston and Indy. The big news 38 00:02:11,960 --> 00:02:14,840 Speaker 1: this week was that Daniel Jones may be playing on 39 00:02:14,919 --> 00:02:18,640 Speaker 1: a fractured fibula and C. J. Stroud is back. So 40 00:02:18,760 --> 00:02:21,760 Speaker 1: this number has moved aggressively from four and a half 41 00:02:21,840 --> 00:02:24,840 Speaker 1: to four to three and a half to three in 42 00:02:24,960 --> 00:02:27,639 Speaker 1: favor of It's in the direction of the Texans. The 43 00:02:27,680 --> 00:02:31,120 Speaker 1: Texans are now three point underdogs. They are streaking, They 44 00:02:31,120 --> 00:02:34,560 Speaker 1: are coming off big wins. They are putting themselves back 45 00:02:34,560 --> 00:02:37,480 Speaker 1: in position to win this division and be in the 46 00:02:37,520 --> 00:02:41,840 Speaker 1: playoff hunt if they can win today against Indianapolis. What 47 00:02:41,840 --> 00:02:44,440 Speaker 1: are we thinking? I got thoughts, I know you got thoughts. 48 00:02:45,400 --> 00:02:45,680 Speaker 2: Yeah. 49 00:02:45,760 --> 00:02:47,600 Speaker 3: I love the Colts coming to this week. I those 50 00:02:47,600 --> 00:02:49,160 Speaker 3: this would be a great match for them. A lot 51 00:02:49,160 --> 00:02:51,320 Speaker 3: of their strengths are a lot of Houston's weaknesses. But 52 00:02:51,800 --> 00:02:53,920 Speaker 3: you're telling me, I got a back, a quarterback playing 53 00:02:53,919 --> 00:02:57,639 Speaker 3: on potentially our broken leg, and the coach said there's 54 00:02:57,639 --> 00:02:59,560 Speaker 3: stuff they can do offensively, scheme it up so that 55 00:02:59,600 --> 00:03:01,680 Speaker 3: he's not running with the ball or taking hits, And 56 00:03:01,720 --> 00:03:05,520 Speaker 3: it's like, isn't that what makes Daniel Jones a serviceable quarterback? 57 00:03:05,560 --> 00:03:07,640 Speaker 3: The guy can take big hits in the stand of 58 00:03:07,639 --> 00:03:09,639 Speaker 3: the pocket and make big time throws it when he can't, 59 00:03:10,000 --> 00:03:12,360 Speaker 3: he uses his legs. That's a big weapon of his game. 60 00:03:12,480 --> 00:03:15,560 Speaker 3: So I hate this. FEE feel so bad for this 61 00:03:15,600 --> 00:03:16,800 Speaker 3: Colts team. 62 00:03:16,960 --> 00:03:18,320 Speaker 2: They went all out. 63 00:03:18,440 --> 00:03:20,840 Speaker 3: You know, they try to address the defense, and you know, 64 00:03:20,880 --> 00:03:22,520 Speaker 3: I thought that's gonna be the strength of this game, right, 65 00:03:22,560 --> 00:03:25,799 Speaker 3: You'd have two really good corners against a Houston team 66 00:03:25,840 --> 00:03:26,639 Speaker 3: that wants to push the ball. 67 00:03:26,680 --> 00:03:28,160 Speaker 2: Downfield. That's CJ strength. 68 00:03:28,280 --> 00:03:31,560 Speaker 3: So brutal loss for this Colts team just having that 69 00:03:31,600 --> 00:03:32,760 Speaker 3: injury to Daniel Jones. 70 00:03:32,760 --> 00:03:35,040 Speaker 2: And you know Tyler Warren popped up. 71 00:03:35,000 --> 00:03:37,280 Speaker 3: On the injury list as well, so you know their 72 00:03:37,400 --> 00:03:39,320 Speaker 3: stud tight end now is banged up as well and 73 00:03:39,440 --> 00:03:42,400 Speaker 3: potentially missed this game. So for us in the contest 74 00:03:42,480 --> 00:03:44,000 Speaker 3: is four and a half. I feel like we have 75 00:03:44,080 --> 00:03:46,280 Speaker 3: to play that, even though people can't play that line now. 76 00:03:46,880 --> 00:03:48,120 Speaker 2: You know, if you're asking me, am I going to 77 00:03:48,160 --> 00:03:50,560 Speaker 2: play Houston plus three and much. 78 00:03:50,520 --> 00:03:53,280 Speaker 3: Rather have that ticket than the Colts and minus three, 79 00:03:53,360 --> 00:03:56,400 Speaker 3: But we're obviously in the unique position where we get 80 00:03:56,400 --> 00:03:58,920 Speaker 3: a better number in our contest. So four and a half, 81 00:03:58,920 --> 00:04:00,760 Speaker 3: if you get that in your Pickbull, your contests, I 82 00:04:00,760 --> 00:04:03,600 Speaker 3: feel like you have to play that on Houston. If not, 83 00:04:03,760 --> 00:04:05,440 Speaker 3: you just want to avoid it because Houston now is 84 00:04:05,480 --> 00:04:07,640 Speaker 3: so publicly dog Everyone knows what we know, right, they 85 00:04:07,640 --> 00:04:10,520 Speaker 3: all know this injury to Daniel Jones. I totally get it, 86 00:04:10,640 --> 00:04:13,960 Speaker 3: Like the Stummers moved a ton. This usually is exact spot. Divisionally, 87 00:04:14,080 --> 00:04:16,880 Speaker 3: the Colts do bounce back and win, but I just 88 00:04:17,000 --> 00:04:19,760 Speaker 3: I can't trust backing. I banged up Dano Jones against 89 00:04:19,839 --> 00:04:21,279 Speaker 3: the best defense in all football. 90 00:04:21,839 --> 00:04:25,200 Speaker 1: Tyler Warren has an illness. He's listed as questionable. I 91 00:04:25,800 --> 00:04:28,200 Speaker 1: did take a piece of the Texans at plus three 92 00:04:29,600 --> 00:04:32,680 Speaker 1: just because why not. I love their defense. I like 93 00:04:32,760 --> 00:04:38,400 Speaker 1: them at home. I'm worried about the Daniel Jones capabilities 94 00:04:38,720 --> 00:04:41,200 Speaker 1: with the full spectrum that has made him so good. 95 00:04:41,640 --> 00:04:44,760 Speaker 1: This also gives a little bit of insight into he's 96 00:04:44,800 --> 00:04:48,920 Speaker 1: been struggling since that bye week. He hasn't been as good. 97 00:04:49,320 --> 00:04:52,320 Speaker 1: We saw him just completely crater against the Chiefs. I 98 00:04:52,360 --> 00:04:54,680 Speaker 1: wonder if this leg has something to do with it. 99 00:04:56,040 --> 00:04:59,200 Speaker 1: San Francisco at Cleveland Cleveland plus five and a half. 100 00:04:59,240 --> 00:05:02,120 Speaker 1: This was Chad's choice. It moved as low as four 101 00:05:02,120 --> 00:05:04,919 Speaker 1: and a half before bouncing back up. Dude, I'm not 102 00:05:04,920 --> 00:05:07,920 Speaker 1: gonna lie to you. I got Cleveland at six and 103 00:05:07,960 --> 00:05:10,200 Speaker 1: a half. I liked him at six. I made him 104 00:05:10,240 --> 00:05:12,640 Speaker 1: chat choice at five and a half. I have bet 105 00:05:12,680 --> 00:05:15,880 Speaker 1: into the Browns. I have bet into the Browns money line. 106 00:05:17,080 --> 00:05:20,000 Speaker 1: Miles Garrett I think has fourteen sacks in like the 107 00:05:20,080 --> 00:05:24,400 Speaker 1: last five games. Something crazy like that. I'm not even exaggerating. 108 00:05:26,080 --> 00:05:29,120 Speaker 1: Most sacks in five game period since nineteen eighty two, 109 00:05:29,120 --> 00:05:32,520 Speaker 1: when sacks started become an official stat still loving the 110 00:05:32,520 --> 00:05:34,280 Speaker 1: Browns here, love them. 111 00:05:34,720 --> 00:05:37,000 Speaker 3: Yeah, and you saw the big movement honestly based off 112 00:05:37,200 --> 00:05:38,960 Speaker 3: what we predicted of it was gonna be the weather 113 00:05:39,080 --> 00:05:42,279 Speaker 3: for today. We have gotten some word that there was 114 00:05:42,360 --> 00:05:44,040 Speaker 3: a big snowstorm coming yesterday. 115 00:05:44,160 --> 00:05:46,719 Speaker 2: I'm sure people saw that watching all the college football. 116 00:05:46,839 --> 00:05:49,560 Speaker 3: And the hope was there's any lake effects, snow and 117 00:05:49,640 --> 00:05:52,240 Speaker 3: wind for a lot of these games today and Cleveland 118 00:05:52,279 --> 00:05:54,240 Speaker 3: was one of them. Now they're kind of saying it's 119 00:05:54,279 --> 00:05:55,800 Speaker 3: not gonna be as bad chat So I feel like 120 00:05:55,839 --> 00:05:57,760 Speaker 3: that's why the numbers come back up. But I still 121 00:05:57,839 --> 00:06:01,360 Speaker 3: think this favors is Cleveland team and their defense and 122 00:06:01,400 --> 00:06:05,440 Speaker 3: everything they are. And it is unfortunate, right that it 123 00:06:05,600 --> 00:06:07,400 Speaker 3: didn't lean into the weather, because I could have seen 124 00:06:07,400 --> 00:06:08,920 Speaker 3: this getting to three to three and a half if 125 00:06:08,960 --> 00:06:11,920 Speaker 3: it was really bad, just because the Browns they're in 126 00:06:11,920 --> 00:06:13,480 Speaker 3: the Unix spot. They don't want to pass the ball. 127 00:06:13,520 --> 00:06:15,520 Speaker 3: They really don't. As much as you could say, well, 128 00:06:15,520 --> 00:06:18,480 Speaker 3: Sanders look better against the Raiders, that's in an indoor 129 00:06:18,520 --> 00:06:21,680 Speaker 3: controlled environment. This is going to be something totally different 130 00:06:21,680 --> 00:06:23,760 Speaker 3: than something he's never experienced either, Right, This is a 131 00:06:23,800 --> 00:06:26,920 Speaker 3: guy coming from Colorado, which you can say, well, he 132 00:06:26,960 --> 00:06:29,200 Speaker 3: played out in the cold. We all know there's different 133 00:06:29,200 --> 00:06:32,599 Speaker 3: types of cold and snow and that lake effect, that wind, 134 00:06:32,680 --> 00:06:35,520 Speaker 3: that feeling of being in Cleveland, it's gonna be much 135 00:06:35,600 --> 00:06:39,000 Speaker 3: different than playing in the cold in Colorado. So you 136 00:06:39,000 --> 00:06:42,080 Speaker 3: know this matchup to be favored the Browns in many ways. Defensively, 137 00:06:42,920 --> 00:06:45,719 Speaker 3: we like the matchup for them offensively against a Fortnitars 138 00:06:45,800 --> 00:06:47,880 Speaker 3: team that you know we've talked about. They've they've been 139 00:06:47,920 --> 00:06:50,000 Speaker 3: missing pieces of solads cupt to together. But the one 140 00:06:50,040 --> 00:06:52,800 Speaker 3: thing you can say is you can run against this team. 141 00:06:52,920 --> 00:06:56,240 Speaker 3: So Cleveland had opportunity here to kind of steal this game, 142 00:06:56,279 --> 00:06:58,760 Speaker 3: and like we both talked about, we're. 143 00:06:58,400 --> 00:06:59,240 Speaker 2: A little bit blind to it. 144 00:06:59,279 --> 00:07:02,120 Speaker 3: We love this team, this matchup and all the trends 145 00:07:02,160 --> 00:07:04,600 Speaker 3: about faving this foreign airs team after wins and covers. 146 00:07:05,520 --> 00:07:08,279 Speaker 3: It's just a spot we love and I am shocked 147 00:07:08,440 --> 00:07:10,320 Speaker 3: the public loves it too, I think because of the weather, 148 00:07:10,760 --> 00:07:12,560 Speaker 3: Like this isn't that big of a disrepacy, right, It's 149 00:07:12,600 --> 00:07:14,600 Speaker 3: not like all the money is on this feign Iris team. 150 00:07:14,640 --> 00:07:17,600 Speaker 3: It's pretty evenly split in most books you look at. 151 00:07:17,640 --> 00:07:20,960 Speaker 3: So still love the Browns. Like you said, it's we 152 00:07:21,000 --> 00:07:22,720 Speaker 3: wish you had gotten back to six. We always love 153 00:07:22,720 --> 00:07:24,080 Speaker 3: getting the six, but five and a half, I'm not 154 00:07:24,120 --> 00:07:24,960 Speaker 3: gonna let that scare enough. 155 00:07:24,960 --> 00:07:26,040 Speaker 2: I'd still take the Browns of that. 156 00:07:26,040 --> 00:07:33,440 Speaker 1: Number Atlanta at the New York Jets. Surprisingly, this was 157 00:07:33,480 --> 00:07:35,360 Speaker 1: our brass balls. When it was two and a half, 158 00:07:35,880 --> 00:07:37,200 Speaker 1: we said it was two and a half. It was 159 00:07:37,240 --> 00:07:40,680 Speaker 1: on Tuesday. All week we said, this is getting to three, 160 00:07:40,720 --> 00:07:42,640 Speaker 1: this is getting a three, this is getting a three. 161 00:07:43,080 --> 00:07:47,680 Speaker 1: It finally popped a three yesterday on Saturday. I've betted 162 00:07:47,720 --> 00:07:51,000 Speaker 1: at two and a half. I've betted at three. I've 163 00:07:51,120 --> 00:07:57,800 Speaker 1: bet the Jets money line maybe on two. Over ambitious 164 00:07:58,360 --> 00:08:03,080 Speaker 1: in my beliefs because I'm not backing Kirk Cousins on 165 00:08:03,160 --> 00:08:08,480 Speaker 1: the road after a so so performance without Drake London again, 166 00:08:09,160 --> 00:08:13,120 Speaker 1: and the Jets defense is effective at stopping the run 167 00:08:13,200 --> 00:08:16,400 Speaker 1: and that's gonna be the Falcon strength here. So give 168 00:08:16,440 --> 00:08:22,080 Speaker 1: me the Jets plus three raw Ra j Ets, Jets, Jets, Jets. 169 00:08:22,200 --> 00:08:27,560 Speaker 1: I can't believe that our confidence levels are so high 170 00:08:28,000 --> 00:08:31,920 Speaker 1: on the Browns, and are you with me on the Jets. 171 00:08:32,559 --> 00:08:32,880 Speaker 2: I'm with you. 172 00:08:33,000 --> 00:08:35,080 Speaker 3: I'm definitely not ask confidence. There's other dogs I like 173 00:08:35,120 --> 00:08:37,559 Speaker 3: more this week. Honestly, now that we're here on Sunday, 174 00:08:38,280 --> 00:08:41,400 Speaker 3: I still like the Jets, still bet them, but it's 175 00:08:41,679 --> 00:08:43,199 Speaker 3: gonna be a tough choice to make jack because they're 176 00:08:43,200 --> 00:08:44,600 Speaker 3: two and a half. They're three and a half for 177 00:08:44,640 --> 00:08:47,280 Speaker 3: our contest, I would have happily put them in, but 178 00:08:47,320 --> 00:08:50,040 Speaker 3: at two and a half, I don't know how much 179 00:08:50,080 --> 00:08:52,240 Speaker 3: I love it because I really, honestly always say with 180 00:08:52,280 --> 00:08:55,680 Speaker 3: this Jets team, I need every point, and yes it's 181 00:08:55,679 --> 00:08:58,400 Speaker 3: really been true. Like last week, I think they were 182 00:08:58,440 --> 00:09:00,880 Speaker 3: thirteen and a half or fourteen. That's spread litering laded 183 00:09:00,920 --> 00:09:03,040 Speaker 3: on three. So they're that type of team. They play 184 00:09:03,120 --> 00:09:05,439 Speaker 3: up to that number. You do need the best number 185 00:09:05,440 --> 00:09:08,080 Speaker 3: you can possibly get this Jets team, and a two 186 00:09:08,080 --> 00:09:10,560 Speaker 3: and a half for our contest, I'm still I bet 187 00:09:10,600 --> 00:09:11,720 Speaker 3: it at two and a half. So it's like I 188 00:09:11,720 --> 00:09:13,440 Speaker 3: do believe in it, but I don't know if it's 189 00:09:13,480 --> 00:09:15,240 Speaker 3: one of my five favorite bets of this week, I'll 190 00:09:15,280 --> 00:09:15,839 Speaker 3: be honest with. 191 00:09:15,800 --> 00:09:19,760 Speaker 1: You, all right. Well, then let's transition to I'm going 192 00:09:19,840 --> 00:09:22,520 Speaker 1: to throw a curveball at Matt Mitchell here so hopefully 193 00:09:22,520 --> 00:09:27,160 Speaker 1: he can throw the graphic up Jeff right exactly from 194 00:09:27,200 --> 00:09:30,520 Speaker 1: his current location inside of a hotel lobby, trying to 195 00:09:30,520 --> 00:09:36,800 Speaker 1: beat a snowstorm. Jacksonville Jaguars visiting the Tennessee Titans. The 196 00:09:36,840 --> 00:09:39,080 Speaker 1: Titans are six point dogs. I throw it up because 197 00:09:39,120 --> 00:09:41,720 Speaker 1: you brought it up right before we came on the air. 198 00:09:42,760 --> 00:09:44,920 Speaker 1: We know that the Titans are the side here. The 199 00:09:45,040 --> 00:09:47,600 Speaker 1: number has come down from six to six and a half, 200 00:09:48,960 --> 00:09:51,959 Speaker 1: or from six and a half to six. Everyone is 201 00:09:52,000 --> 00:09:54,400 Speaker 1: talking about cam Ward is progressing, He's starting to play 202 00:09:54,400 --> 00:09:57,560 Speaker 1: a little bit better. I don't know that I'm seeing that. 203 00:09:57,600 --> 00:10:00,880 Speaker 1: What I'm seeing is that cam Ward is back door 204 00:10:01,000 --> 00:10:05,680 Speaker 1: covering the past three weeks because other teams are giving 205 00:10:05,760 --> 00:10:08,720 Speaker 1: up the points because they're up by so many scores. 206 00:10:08,800 --> 00:10:12,400 Speaker 1: They're not worried about losing the game. But you at 207 00:10:12,520 --> 00:10:14,800 Speaker 1: least intimated you don't mind the Titans here. 208 00:10:16,160 --> 00:10:19,120 Speaker 3: No, again, this is following really respected money and talking 209 00:10:19,120 --> 00:10:21,040 Speaker 3: to guys. This would have been definitely been on sharp calls. 210 00:10:21,080 --> 00:10:23,760 Speaker 3: It is a very sharp side, this Titans team, especially 211 00:10:24,120 --> 00:10:26,000 Speaker 3: if you can get the six and a half. Now 212 00:10:26,880 --> 00:10:29,600 Speaker 3: I'm looking now, I'm assuming most people won't be able 213 00:10:29,679 --> 00:10:34,080 Speaker 3: to The best time seeing is six and yeah, like 214 00:10:34,120 --> 00:10:36,640 Speaker 3: hard rock, they're down in six now. So it just 215 00:10:36,640 --> 00:10:39,160 Speaker 3: seems like the professionals have hit it. It's the best 216 00:10:39,160 --> 00:10:42,319 Speaker 3: you might be able to get is six. This really 217 00:10:42,400 --> 00:10:44,319 Speaker 3: is a little bit what you talked about. Right, they've 218 00:10:44,360 --> 00:10:47,040 Speaker 3: been back dooring teams, but we talk of the time 219 00:10:47,120 --> 00:10:50,520 Speaker 3: when teams backdoor consistently. It's yeah, it's a lot of luck, 220 00:10:50,559 --> 00:10:53,160 Speaker 3: but also just shows how the market continues to undervalue them. 221 00:10:53,240 --> 00:10:53,440 Speaker 2: Right. 222 00:10:53,760 --> 00:10:56,280 Speaker 3: They keep hitting that certain number, and it's not like 223 00:10:56,280 --> 00:10:58,120 Speaker 3: they're covering by a ton, right, Like you just had 224 00:10:58,120 --> 00:11:00,360 Speaker 3: their back dooring by either half a point or a point. 225 00:11:00,960 --> 00:11:03,120 Speaker 3: So the books have been really sharp on it. The 226 00:11:03,160 --> 00:11:04,720 Speaker 3: professional has been all over and like we said, we 227 00:11:04,840 --> 00:11:07,719 Speaker 3: keep missing it. This is we talked earing the week. 228 00:11:07,760 --> 00:11:09,880 Speaker 3: This is Tennessee or nothing at all for either of us. 229 00:11:10,440 --> 00:11:13,040 Speaker 3: I still like Tennessee, still like the number. If it's 230 00:11:13,080 --> 00:11:14,520 Speaker 3: six and a half, chat, I feel like we have 231 00:11:14,600 --> 00:11:17,760 Speaker 3: to put in the contest just over certain other games 232 00:11:17,800 --> 00:11:21,040 Speaker 3: where we're playing a good number against the Jaguars team 233 00:11:21,080 --> 00:11:24,800 Speaker 3: that you know we keep talking about Trevor Lawrence. I 234 00:11:24,840 --> 00:11:26,640 Speaker 3: mean they stole one last week for sure, Right, he 235 00:11:26,720 --> 00:11:28,480 Speaker 3: had four turners and they were able us not only 236 00:11:28,480 --> 00:11:31,520 Speaker 3: win that game but cover as well. So we're getting 237 00:11:31,520 --> 00:11:34,440 Speaker 3: a big key number here in a divisional matchup. I mean, 238 00:11:35,280 --> 00:11:37,400 Speaker 3: maybe I can help us avoid because there's other dogs 239 00:11:37,400 --> 00:11:39,400 Speaker 3: I like more, and we just we know it's just 240 00:11:39,480 --> 00:11:41,120 Speaker 3: kind of eventually going to catch up with Tennessee. They 241 00:11:41,160 --> 00:11:44,600 Speaker 3: just can't keep covering. He's insane back doors. But in 242 00:11:44,679 --> 00:11:48,680 Speaker 3: this matchup here, with the run defense they have with 243 00:11:48,760 --> 00:11:51,920 Speaker 3: Jeffrey Simmons back and they're making Trevor Lawrence one dimensional, 244 00:11:52,520 --> 00:11:54,320 Speaker 3: I feel like this is the exact type of team 245 00:11:54,360 --> 00:11:56,920 Speaker 3: we like to back against the Jaguars. So yeah, it's 246 00:11:57,080 --> 00:11:59,120 Speaker 3: it's a hard one to get away from where I 247 00:11:59,200 --> 00:12:01,280 Speaker 3: didn't love it early in the week, simply a bet 248 00:12:01,280 --> 00:12:03,160 Speaker 3: it because it was a good number. And the more 249 00:12:03,160 --> 00:12:04,800 Speaker 3: pros I talked to them, why they tell me they 250 00:12:04,840 --> 00:12:06,520 Speaker 3: love it and they love this matchup. It kind of 251 00:12:06,520 --> 00:12:09,200 Speaker 3: makes more sense why Tennessee is the sharp side here. 252 00:12:09,600 --> 00:12:11,600 Speaker 1: The one thing that worries me is Tennessee has been 253 00:12:11,600 --> 00:12:16,240 Speaker 1: getting backdoors when they've been much bigger favorites. We're talking 254 00:12:16,240 --> 00:12:20,320 Speaker 1: about double digit favorites this week. You know it's it's 255 00:12:20,440 --> 00:12:23,360 Speaker 1: under a touchdown. I think it shows how little respect 256 00:12:23,400 --> 00:12:26,520 Speaker 1: the professional community has for the Jags, which we've been 257 00:12:26,520 --> 00:12:29,000 Speaker 1: talking about all year. Trevor Lawrence is just not an 258 00:12:29,000 --> 00:12:33,160 Speaker 1: effective quarterback. They're winning in spite of him, not because 259 00:12:33,200 --> 00:12:33,680 Speaker 1: of him. 260 00:12:34,000 --> 00:12:35,960 Speaker 2: Wow, I feel better. The public is the opposite. 261 00:12:36,000 --> 00:12:38,400 Speaker 3: They are all in on this Jacks team, like between 262 00:12:38,440 --> 00:12:40,920 Speaker 3: the money line, parlays the teasers due. 263 00:12:42,200 --> 00:12:43,400 Speaker 2: For biggest bets. 264 00:12:43,760 --> 00:12:46,480 Speaker 1: By the way, then we're all in on Tennessee and 265 00:12:46,520 --> 00:12:48,319 Speaker 1: we're all in on Tennessee money line. 266 00:12:48,760 --> 00:12:51,839 Speaker 2: Yeah, might have to be minues. 267 00:12:51,960 --> 00:12:54,160 Speaker 1: I want to bring up Minnesota is now a twelve 268 00:12:54,200 --> 00:12:57,480 Speaker 1: point underdog at Seattle. It's been announced they're starting Max Brosmer. 269 00:12:58,000 --> 00:13:02,400 Speaker 1: Max Brosmer, the undrafted free agent. It's not a must 270 00:13:02,440 --> 00:13:05,280 Speaker 1: half for me. You didn't like it on Tuesday. I 271 00:13:05,360 --> 00:13:08,920 Speaker 1: just want to reiterate it's a huge number against a 272 00:13:08,960 --> 00:13:13,280 Speaker 1: Brian Flores defense that does exactly what Sam Donald hates 273 00:13:13,320 --> 00:13:19,200 Speaker 1: to face constant pressure. So whatever Max Brosmer does, I 274 00:13:19,240 --> 00:13:22,560 Speaker 1: don't know that the Seahawks are ever going to be 275 00:13:22,640 --> 00:13:26,320 Speaker 1: so far ahead that the back door isn't in play here. 276 00:13:28,480 --> 00:13:31,559 Speaker 3: Yeah, a funny line where some really sharp books have 277 00:13:31,679 --> 00:13:34,760 Speaker 3: already moved Seattle to thirteen, so that means there is 278 00:13:34,840 --> 00:13:37,640 Speaker 3: professional money coming in on the Seahawks team. But you 279 00:13:37,800 --> 00:13:40,080 Speaker 3: Nata Chad like I really had a blind spot to this. 280 00:13:40,240 --> 00:13:42,120 Speaker 3: I was just gonna avoid it. Probably take Seattle a 281 00:13:42,160 --> 00:13:44,959 Speaker 3: couple of teasers or some just bet their number down 282 00:13:45,000 --> 00:13:48,160 Speaker 3: a five and a half. And you're right, Like Minnesota, 283 00:13:48,200 --> 00:13:50,559 Speaker 3: they should know Donald's weaknesses. This should be the exact 284 00:13:50,559 --> 00:13:53,600 Speaker 3: game they can capitalize on. Just I have a hard 285 00:13:53,600 --> 00:13:55,959 Speaker 3: time Bendo quarterback I know zero about and even going 286 00:13:56,000 --> 00:13:57,120 Speaker 3: to watch one of his tape. 287 00:13:57,559 --> 00:13:59,000 Speaker 2: I remember I was watching for ten minutes. Agoo, what 288 00:13:59,000 --> 00:13:59,600 Speaker 2: am I even doing? 289 00:13:59,640 --> 00:14:01,880 Speaker 3: I can't take anything away from this kid's tape in college. 290 00:14:01,920 --> 00:14:06,040 Speaker 3: So it's it's a crazy spot right now for this 291 00:14:06,080 --> 00:14:08,400 Speaker 3: Minnesota team. Like you said, if you're making this bet, 292 00:14:09,080 --> 00:14:11,240 Speaker 3: as much as respect the Efforcasey, this is a Brian 293 00:14:11,280 --> 00:14:13,480 Speaker 3: Flores bet. You you're betting on this defensive show up 294 00:14:13,520 --> 00:14:15,920 Speaker 3: here and steal this game and keep it close so 295 00:14:16,360 --> 00:14:18,120 Speaker 3: I get rid of the covering from I. Just I'm 296 00:14:18,120 --> 00:14:19,720 Speaker 3: not bet this one. I don't really have any confidence. 297 00:14:19,760 --> 00:14:21,440 Speaker 3: That's like you said, all right. 298 00:14:21,560 --> 00:14:25,320 Speaker 1: Buffalo at Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh has come down from three and 299 00:14:25,320 --> 00:14:29,160 Speaker 1: a half to three. Aaron Rodgers is playing with the 300 00:14:29,200 --> 00:14:34,080 Speaker 1: fractured wrist. Buffalo is missing both of its starting tackles. 301 00:14:34,360 --> 00:14:38,280 Speaker 1: The Steelers are missing they're starting left tackle, so and 302 00:14:38,320 --> 00:14:41,480 Speaker 1: they're also missing one of their key defensive tackles across 303 00:14:41,520 --> 00:14:45,400 Speaker 1: their front four. It feels like this number is being 304 00:14:45,440 --> 00:14:48,880 Speaker 1: dictated by injuries and who's on the field and who's 305 00:14:48,920 --> 00:14:51,320 Speaker 1: not on the field. I think the best of the 306 00:14:51,440 --> 00:14:54,160 Speaker 1: number at three has passed. You could have gotten it 307 00:14:54,200 --> 00:14:56,000 Speaker 1: at three and a half all week on the Steelers 308 00:14:56,640 --> 00:14:59,200 Speaker 1: at the three. It's for me, it ends up not 309 00:14:59,320 --> 00:15:00,120 Speaker 1: having any value. 310 00:15:01,400 --> 00:15:04,360 Speaker 2: Okay, I'm shocked by that. This is another pro side. 311 00:15:04,440 --> 00:15:06,320 Speaker 3: Tons of pros I talk who love the Steers team 312 00:15:06,360 --> 00:15:10,880 Speaker 3: even at three, and I think the reason is very telling. 313 00:15:11,080 --> 00:15:14,360 Speaker 3: Like if you're just Joe Public walking off the street, 314 00:15:14,680 --> 00:15:17,680 Speaker 3: you might you are seeing minus three on Josh Allen 315 00:15:17,720 --> 00:15:20,600 Speaker 3: against either Mason Rudolf or Aaron Rodgers. This is gonna 316 00:15:20,600 --> 00:15:22,520 Speaker 3: be one of the more public sides bet right, this 317 00:15:22,600 --> 00:15:25,600 Speaker 3: Bills team for sure. And you know, even yesterday I 318 00:15:25,680 --> 00:15:28,840 Speaker 3: was in the books, you know that. I say Michigan 319 00:15:29,040 --> 00:15:32,560 Speaker 3: was a huge game. Talking to different bookmakers running around 320 00:15:32,600 --> 00:15:34,880 Speaker 3: and it's like they're all telling me how it's just 321 00:15:34,960 --> 00:15:37,000 Speaker 3: all Buffalo money, and I go, watch you give me 322 00:15:37,000 --> 00:15:38,240 Speaker 3: a three and a half, then don't you need And 323 00:15:38,280 --> 00:15:40,240 Speaker 3: they just give me a look of like we know 324 00:15:40,280 --> 00:15:40,960 Speaker 3: what we're doing here. 325 00:15:41,000 --> 00:15:43,680 Speaker 2: So I think the books really trust Pittsburgh here. 326 00:15:43,680 --> 00:15:47,120 Speaker 3: They like this number, and I know it's hard to believe, 327 00:15:47,400 --> 00:15:49,080 Speaker 3: just like it was hard to believe betting against the 328 00:15:49,120 --> 00:15:51,400 Speaker 3: Chiefs on Thanksgiving on that Cowboys team. 329 00:15:51,400 --> 00:15:53,960 Speaker 2: But like I feel like we've seen the page turn 330 00:15:54,040 --> 00:15:54,680 Speaker 2: this year, Chad. 331 00:15:54,760 --> 00:15:58,560 Speaker 3: Like these teams of last year that we keep giving 332 00:15:58,640 --> 00:16:02,080 Speaker 3: this respect and credit to, they're just not hitting like 333 00:16:02,120 --> 00:16:04,320 Speaker 3: they were last year, right, like we kept we keep 334 00:16:04,360 --> 00:16:05,800 Speaker 3: thinking the Chiefs are going to turn it around. 335 00:16:05,880 --> 00:16:07,560 Speaker 2: Right, the Chiefs kne lose this one. That's week. 336 00:16:07,640 --> 00:16:10,320 Speaker 3: Every week we say that the Chiefs can lose this one, right, 337 00:16:10,360 --> 00:16:11,840 Speaker 3: they need to win this one to make the playoffs, 338 00:16:12,120 --> 00:16:15,200 Speaker 3: and they keep losing. And it feels the same for 339 00:16:15,240 --> 00:16:17,080 Speaker 3: this Bills team. Like this Bills team are going to 340 00:16:17,160 --> 00:16:19,040 Speaker 3: be very desperate. I know that, Like they need this 341 00:16:19,120 --> 00:16:22,360 Speaker 3: game obviously, but Pittsburgh is just as desperate. They were 342 00:16:22,400 --> 00:16:25,600 Speaker 3: watching that Ravens game as well. They know this is 343 00:16:25,600 --> 00:16:27,160 Speaker 3: all on their own hands as well. This is that 344 00:16:27,280 --> 00:16:30,640 Speaker 3: game they tend to win with Tomlin. And you know, 345 00:16:30,760 --> 00:16:32,920 Speaker 3: the only hesitation I have here is what I'm mixed. 346 00:16:32,960 --> 00:16:36,840 Speaker 3: I'm sure your experience as well. We're missing the best 347 00:16:36,880 --> 00:16:39,480 Speaker 3: of the number and we're going against Josh Allen at 348 00:16:39,640 --> 00:16:40,520 Speaker 3: not a great number. 349 00:16:40,680 --> 00:16:43,600 Speaker 2: So you know, I'm happy it's moved so much. I 350 00:16:43,720 --> 00:16:44,400 Speaker 2: talked to earlier week. 351 00:16:44,640 --> 00:16:46,480 Speaker 3: I thought Pittsburgh at three and a half for four 352 00:16:46,640 --> 00:16:49,480 Speaker 3: was a great number. Our contest is three and a half. 353 00:16:49,560 --> 00:16:51,320 Speaker 3: I'm really tempted to make us put it in just 354 00:16:51,320 --> 00:16:52,120 Speaker 3: because it is such. 355 00:16:51,960 --> 00:16:52,520 Speaker 2: A good number. 356 00:16:52,520 --> 00:16:56,560 Speaker 3: But really really telling here, if you look at the splits, 357 00:16:56,720 --> 00:16:59,720 Speaker 3: it's like percent of the tickets are on the Bills, 358 00:17:00,120 --> 00:17:03,120 Speaker 3: seventy eighty percent of the money is on the Pittsburgh Steelers. 359 00:17:03,160 --> 00:17:06,440 Speaker 3: So this is the definition of pros verse shows. 360 00:17:06,480 --> 00:17:09,080 Speaker 2: And I get why. 361 00:17:08,920 --> 00:17:11,000 Speaker 3: People want to be on the bills here, but it 362 00:17:11,000 --> 00:17:15,000 Speaker 3: feels like if either team can lose either tackles, Yes, 363 00:17:15,040 --> 00:17:17,000 Speaker 3: it's a negative that the Pittsburgh has lost a guy 364 00:17:17,040 --> 00:17:17,920 Speaker 3: on their offensive line. 365 00:17:18,760 --> 00:17:20,159 Speaker 2: You know TJ. 366 00:17:20,280 --> 00:17:23,479 Speaker 3: Watt isn't lining up against that that that line, Like, 367 00:17:23,520 --> 00:17:26,440 Speaker 3: that's the issue of the Bills is they lost two 368 00:17:26,480 --> 00:17:30,000 Speaker 3: tackles and now TJ can pick either side whatever guy 369 00:17:30,040 --> 00:17:32,200 Speaker 3: he thinks he has the best advantage of. And sure 370 00:17:32,240 --> 00:17:33,840 Speaker 3: you can scheme against that, and you have Josh Allen 371 00:17:33,880 --> 00:17:35,600 Speaker 3: who's a freak athlete and get out of it. But 372 00:17:36,760 --> 00:17:39,080 Speaker 3: of all the guys got matchup and give them problems. 373 00:17:39,600 --> 00:17:41,960 Speaker 3: This is the perfect matchup for us with Pittsburgh defense 374 00:17:42,000 --> 00:17:44,960 Speaker 3: against the guy like him. So I think there's a 375 00:17:44,960 --> 00:17:48,320 Speaker 3: lot of ways Pittsburgh con neuter Josh Allen's athletic ability. 376 00:17:48,359 --> 00:17:50,399 Speaker 3: And yeah, I'm gonna trust the proceram back to that 377 00:17:50,480 --> 00:17:52,160 Speaker 3: number of three with the Steelers team. 378 00:17:52,520 --> 00:17:55,160 Speaker 1: All right, last game, we've been talking about that. We 379 00:17:55,280 --> 00:17:58,680 Speaker 1: intimated on Tuesday and hinted that we would like it's 380 00:17:58,720 --> 00:18:01,880 Speaker 1: going to be our rock in a hard place, hard 381 00:18:02,000 --> 00:18:06,320 Speaker 1: rock better the week the New York Football Giants. They 382 00:18:06,359 --> 00:18:10,440 Speaker 1: are seven point underdogs at hard Rock. At the New 383 00:18:10,440 --> 00:18:13,639 Speaker 1: England Patriots on Monday night, they are seven and a 384 00:18:13,680 --> 00:18:17,119 Speaker 1: half in a lot of places. I believe Simon and 385 00:18:17,160 --> 00:18:19,520 Speaker 1: I have both bet into the seven and a half. 386 00:18:19,840 --> 00:18:22,199 Speaker 1: I'm speaking for you, but we did like it a 387 00:18:22,200 --> 00:18:24,159 Speaker 1: lot on Tuesday. I did bet at at seven and 388 00:18:24,160 --> 00:18:27,240 Speaker 1: a half Jackson Darta's back. I think the bigger issue 389 00:18:27,240 --> 00:18:29,919 Speaker 1: for us is that the entire left side of the 390 00:18:29,920 --> 00:18:35,080 Speaker 1: Patriots offensive line is injured, including Will Campbell, and the 391 00:18:35,240 --> 00:18:41,840 Speaker 1: Giants defensive line is able between Thibodeau, Burns Carter to 392 00:18:42,040 --> 00:18:44,800 Speaker 1: get some kind of pass rush and scheme something up. 393 00:18:45,000 --> 00:18:48,280 Speaker 1: New defensive coordinator for the Giants. This week. I think 394 00:18:48,320 --> 00:18:51,400 Speaker 1: they'll be more aggressive. Rock in a hard place, hard 395 00:18:51,480 --> 00:18:54,879 Speaker 1: rock better the week New York Giants plus seven and 396 00:18:54,920 --> 00:18:58,200 Speaker 1: a half Monday Night at New England. 397 00:18:58,560 --> 00:18:59,440 Speaker 2: Oh what a lot. 398 00:19:03,720 --> 00:19:05,919 Speaker 3: Yeah, another game. We're gonna talk sharp calls. This is 399 00:19:05,920 --> 00:19:07,919 Speaker 3: a huge one. Tons of calls about it, tons of 400 00:19:07,920 --> 00:19:09,720 Speaker 3: love for this Giants team, which we knew, right the 401 00:19:09,720 --> 00:19:11,960 Speaker 3: pros have went over the Giants. Feels like all season, 402 00:19:12,560 --> 00:19:14,440 Speaker 3: even though they're not winning right two and ten, they've 403 00:19:14,440 --> 00:19:18,439 Speaker 3: been a covering machine. And I like again, I always 404 00:19:18,440 --> 00:19:21,320 Speaker 3: love different aspects of games and thinking. 405 00:19:21,080 --> 00:19:22,560 Speaker 2: About storylines people aren't thinking about. 406 00:19:22,600 --> 00:19:24,640 Speaker 3: And the biggest one for me here is this This 407 00:19:24,720 --> 00:19:27,240 Speaker 3: week feels like it's gonna decide the coach of the year. 408 00:19:27,560 --> 00:19:30,600 Speaker 3: And I know it sounds stupid, but like Ben Johnson, 409 00:19:31,720 --> 00:19:34,040 Speaker 3: to me, just took a huge step I had of 410 00:19:34,600 --> 00:19:37,399 Speaker 3: Rabel at this point and crazy Rabel has done right. 411 00:19:37,440 --> 00:19:39,000 Speaker 3: This is a team that I think they have the 412 00:19:39,040 --> 00:19:41,879 Speaker 3: third worst record in all football last season, they've had 413 00:19:41,920 --> 00:19:44,360 Speaker 3: a really easy schedule and we all know that where 414 00:19:44,400 --> 00:19:46,520 Speaker 3: the Bears, their schedule is only gonna get harder. 415 00:19:46,560 --> 00:19:46,639 Speaker 2: Right. 416 00:19:46,720 --> 00:19:48,240 Speaker 3: That Eagles one was huge because they know they have 417 00:19:48,240 --> 00:19:51,359 Speaker 3: such a hard divisional schedule coming up. This is that 418 00:19:51,359 --> 00:19:52,919 Speaker 3: type of game where like we've talked about, like we 419 00:19:53,000 --> 00:19:54,720 Speaker 3: put a little on the Giants money line because this 420 00:19:54,760 --> 00:19:56,240 Speaker 3: is the act type of game that could get stolen 421 00:19:56,240 --> 00:19:57,160 Speaker 3: from this Patriots team. 422 00:19:57,240 --> 00:19:57,400 Speaker 2: Right. 423 00:19:57,440 --> 00:20:02,680 Speaker 3: They are very banged up on offensive line, and we've 424 00:20:02,720 --> 00:20:05,040 Speaker 3: seen this. This Giants team just does not quit. They 425 00:20:05,040 --> 00:20:08,240 Speaker 3: play hard in every game. So, yeah, it's seven and 426 00:20:08,280 --> 00:20:10,560 Speaker 3: hard rock. Chad just said it. You can shop around people, 427 00:20:10,560 --> 00:20:13,160 Speaker 3: there's only seven and a halfs out there. I could 428 00:20:13,160 --> 00:20:15,080 Speaker 3: see this getting down the six and a half and 429 00:20:15,840 --> 00:20:17,800 Speaker 3: you know, give out a shout out to my guy 430 00:20:18,000 --> 00:20:21,639 Speaker 3: doctor Nick from Action. He gave me an amazing stat about 431 00:20:21,640 --> 00:20:24,720 Speaker 3: this Giants team. And basically in his luck rankings, Chad 432 00:20:25,760 --> 00:20:26,200 Speaker 3: in is. 433 00:20:26,119 --> 00:20:28,080 Speaker 2: Week thirteen, So he's been doing it. 434 00:20:28,119 --> 00:20:30,080 Speaker 3: I think that for three years he's never lost on 435 00:20:30,119 --> 00:20:31,920 Speaker 3: a side, which is kind of shocking. 436 00:20:32,440 --> 00:20:34,520 Speaker 2: It just usually works out where the luck. 437 00:20:34,359 --> 00:20:37,119 Speaker 3: Catches up the teams in this this week, this is 438 00:20:37,160 --> 00:20:39,520 Speaker 3: his biggest one, his favorite one this week is this 439 00:20:39,560 --> 00:20:42,800 Speaker 3: discrepancy of this Giants team versus doing the team, where 440 00:20:43,320 --> 00:20:45,280 Speaker 3: we've talked about this doing the team has been incredibly 441 00:20:45,359 --> 00:20:47,080 Speaker 3: lucky that a lot of things are brooking their way. 442 00:20:47,800 --> 00:20:49,399 Speaker 3: And the flip side this Giants team, think of all 443 00:20:49,440 --> 00:20:50,720 Speaker 3: the games they blown the end of the games right, 444 00:20:50,760 --> 00:20:52,560 Speaker 3: they've had so much bad luck if things not break 445 00:20:52,560 --> 00:20:54,639 Speaker 3: their way. I mean even that Lions game, like they 446 00:20:54,680 --> 00:20:56,679 Speaker 3: felt like they should have won out a thousand different ways. 447 00:20:56,720 --> 00:21:00,240 Speaker 3: So you know the fact that darts back, I feel 448 00:21:00,280 --> 00:21:02,520 Speaker 3: more confident because we don't have to worry about the 449 00:21:02,560 --> 00:21:05,960 Speaker 3: ups and downs of Winston where we know this rookie 450 00:21:06,000 --> 00:21:08,320 Speaker 3: he might have one or two termers with us, that's 451 00:21:08,320 --> 00:21:09,960 Speaker 3: always a negative with them, But the fact that we 452 00:21:09,960 --> 00:21:12,199 Speaker 3: can use his legs, which they want to do offensively. 453 00:21:12,240 --> 00:21:14,239 Speaker 3: You've seen that how they draw a place for him 454 00:21:14,240 --> 00:21:16,000 Speaker 3: offensively using his legs. I think that's going to be 455 00:21:16,000 --> 00:21:18,040 Speaker 3: a huge advantage against I know we're on a team 456 00:21:18,080 --> 00:21:20,080 Speaker 3: that you know. Honestly, their only real weakness in my 457 00:21:20,119 --> 00:21:23,080 Speaker 3: opinion is the linebackers. I just think they have really 458 00:21:23,119 --> 00:21:25,480 Speaker 3: really slow linebackers. And you've seen that timetime again with 459 00:21:25,560 --> 00:21:30,000 Speaker 3: teams rush outside or different usage of their tight ends 460 00:21:30,040 --> 00:21:33,360 Speaker 3: or the quarterback running, their tight ends usually beat the linebackers. 461 00:21:33,359 --> 00:21:36,560 Speaker 3: So again, the Patrios teams just so well coached. The 462 00:21:36,560 --> 00:21:38,919 Speaker 3: only real weakness I can take away from them, is 463 00:21:38,960 --> 00:21:42,119 Speaker 3: there the linebackers, and I think the Johnson would attack that. 464 00:21:42,240 --> 00:21:44,480 Speaker 3: So yeah, this key number, like we always talk about, 465 00:21:45,000 --> 00:21:47,080 Speaker 3: you can get seven hard rock shop around, go get 466 00:21:47,080 --> 00:21:48,600 Speaker 3: that hook, get that seven and a half. 467 00:21:49,119 --> 00:21:51,160 Speaker 1: Let's take a quick break from our friends at hard Rock. 468 00:21:51,200 --> 00:21:53,520 Speaker 1: On the other side, we'll do our final five some 469 00:21:53,640 --> 00:21:57,000 Speaker 1: money line parlays for the dogs and the faves. Today's 470 00:21:57,000 --> 00:21:59,440 Speaker 1: show is brought to you by our presenting sponsor, hard 471 00:21:59,600 --> 00:22:04,439 Speaker 1: Rock Bet. 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Download the hard Rock at 489 00:23:08,920 --> 00:23:12,879 Speaker 1: Bat app and make your first deposit payable in bonus bets, 490 00:23:12,920 --> 00:23:15,560 Speaker 1: not a cash offer offered by the Seminole Travel of Florida. 491 00:23:15,600 --> 00:23:19,760 Speaker 1: In Florida offered by the Seminole hard Rock Digital LLC 492 00:23:19,920 --> 00:23:23,000 Speaker 1: and all other states, must be twenty one and over 493 00:23:23,080 --> 00:23:27,600 Speaker 1: in physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, 494 00:23:27,680 --> 00:23:31,000 Speaker 1: or Virginia to play. Terms and conditions imply concerned about 495 00:23:31,200 --> 00:23:35,280 Speaker 1: gambling in Florida called one eight three three play wise 496 00:23:35,400 --> 00:23:38,280 Speaker 1: in Indiana, if you or some of you know has 497 00:23:38,320 --> 00:23:40,760 Speaker 1: a gambling problem that wants help, call one eight hundred 498 00:23:40,800 --> 00:23:43,800 Speaker 1: and nine with it gambling problem called one eight hundred 499 00:23:43,800 --> 00:23:47,440 Speaker 1: gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. 500 00:23:47,720 --> 00:23:50,440 Speaker 1: All right, we'll do this part quickly simon biggest bats 501 00:23:50,520 --> 00:23:50,920 Speaker 1: right now. 502 00:23:51,240 --> 00:23:54,400 Speaker 3: It's tough to say, Like I took a large position 503 00:23:54,440 --> 00:23:56,720 Speaker 3: on the two and a half on Tampa hoping it 504 00:23:56,800 --> 00:23:58,800 Speaker 3: was going to be baker. It is baker now and 505 00:23:58,840 --> 00:24:00,879 Speaker 3: now they're minus three and a half. I wish you 506 00:24:00,880 --> 00:24:03,399 Speaker 3: could have a ton of confidence on this one. I 507 00:24:03,440 --> 00:24:06,159 Speaker 3: can't believet numbers not five or six. So I'm a 508 00:24:06,200 --> 00:24:08,119 Speaker 3: little scared off it because it hasn't moved enough. In 509 00:24:08,160 --> 00:24:10,879 Speaker 3: my opinion, that is one of my bigger bets. I 510 00:24:10,880 --> 00:24:13,119 Speaker 3: still like it in Maaster and a half, but it 511 00:24:13,240 --> 00:24:17,840 Speaker 3: is very, very public at this point. Pittsburgh plus three, 512 00:24:18,520 --> 00:24:21,520 Speaker 3: Giants seven and a half, Commanders plus six and a half. 513 00:24:21,560 --> 00:24:23,679 Speaker 3: Like I've really I've lit it up on all these 514 00:24:23,760 --> 00:24:28,280 Speaker 3: late primetime games today. Again, it's a weird thing where 515 00:24:28,400 --> 00:24:29,800 Speaker 3: like I know it shouldn't scare me, but the fact 516 00:24:29,840 --> 00:24:32,720 Speaker 3: that four dogs I've covered this week, it's making me 517 00:24:32,760 --> 00:24:35,080 Speaker 3: a little weary because I just mean chat talk before 518 00:24:35,080 --> 00:24:37,520 Speaker 3: the show. I love all the dogs. I love Cleveland, 519 00:24:37,680 --> 00:24:41,919 Speaker 3: I really do. I really love this Jets team that 520 00:24:41,920 --> 00:24:44,680 Speaker 3: we're talking. I really love this Tennessee team. So I'm 521 00:24:44,720 --> 00:24:46,600 Speaker 3: just trying to be careful and not go too big, 522 00:24:46,960 --> 00:24:49,520 Speaker 3: and you know, I'm sure like most people, it's just 523 00:24:49,560 --> 00:24:51,560 Speaker 3: been a long week of football. Like I woke up 524 00:24:51,600 --> 00:24:53,600 Speaker 3: today and I was like, oh my god, it's still Sunday, 525 00:24:53,720 --> 00:24:57,760 Speaker 3: Like we haven't it's still week thirteen. So I'm trying 526 00:24:57,760 --> 00:24:59,879 Speaker 3: to be a little patient here because I just so 527 00:25:00,080 --> 00:25:02,959 Speaker 3: these lines feel very off and it's all heavily skewed 528 00:25:02,960 --> 00:25:05,280 Speaker 3: to the dogs for me this week. So yeah, my 529 00:25:05,480 --> 00:25:07,760 Speaker 3: my biggest bets for sure gonna be O those dogs 530 00:25:07,760 --> 00:25:08,280 Speaker 3: I mentioned. 531 00:25:08,680 --> 00:25:11,480 Speaker 1: Well, speaking of dogs, I made a list of the 532 00:25:11,600 --> 00:25:15,919 Speaker 1: money line underdog parlay and I was finding more games 533 00:25:15,960 --> 00:25:19,600 Speaker 1: where I feel I can see victory for the dogs 534 00:25:19,640 --> 00:25:23,080 Speaker 1: than I can for the favorites. On my list, I 535 00:25:23,119 --> 00:25:28,800 Speaker 1: have Pittsburgh, I have Cleveland, I have the Jets, I 536 00:25:28,840 --> 00:25:33,879 Speaker 1: have Houston, and then I put Tennessee just because I 537 00:25:33,880 --> 00:25:37,359 Speaker 1: have such a bias against the Jags. Now, anyone you 538 00:25:37,359 --> 00:25:39,439 Speaker 1: think I should exclude anyone we should add? 539 00:25:40,080 --> 00:25:43,960 Speaker 3: No, And like I've already I bet that I got lucky. 540 00:25:44,000 --> 00:25:48,159 Speaker 3: I made the bet we gave out on Cincy. I 541 00:25:48,160 --> 00:25:50,080 Speaker 3: had them thrown in with a couple of their teams, 542 00:25:50,119 --> 00:25:52,440 Speaker 3: just you know, long shot odds a couple of nineteen 543 00:25:52,560 --> 00:25:55,800 Speaker 3: one bets. I have a couple of Cincy, a couple 544 00:25:55,800 --> 00:25:57,159 Speaker 3: of Cleveland money lines together. 545 00:25:58,520 --> 00:25:59,919 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's just I. 546 00:26:00,080 --> 00:26:01,560 Speaker 3: Think we're both on the same page. We think it's 547 00:26:01,560 --> 00:26:03,080 Speaker 3: gonna be a little bit of a wonky week. We 548 00:26:03,200 --> 00:26:06,040 Speaker 3: just see there being some upsets this week. And obviously, 549 00:26:06,080 --> 00:26:08,879 Speaker 3: if we had known there's gonna be three three dogs 550 00:26:08,880 --> 00:26:11,520 Speaker 3: win an out right on Thanksgiving, would have been a 551 00:26:11,520 --> 00:26:12,040 Speaker 3: happy man. 552 00:26:12,080 --> 00:26:13,880 Speaker 2: And I had one contest. 553 00:26:13,920 --> 00:26:15,720 Speaker 3: I was left and everyone knows it's a really big 554 00:26:15,760 --> 00:26:19,119 Speaker 3: survivor pool. You have to make a Thanksgiving pick, and 555 00:26:19,320 --> 00:26:21,399 Speaker 3: just like every other idiot in the world, we have 556 00:26:21,480 --> 00:26:23,600 Speaker 3: been saving the Ravens for that game. 557 00:26:23,920 --> 00:26:25,359 Speaker 2: And it looks like. 558 00:26:25,359 --> 00:26:27,359 Speaker 3: The smartest guys where the people don't pay attention just 559 00:26:27,400 --> 00:26:29,480 Speaker 3: pick every week and the people that just had to 560 00:26:29,560 --> 00:26:32,119 Speaker 3: roll with the you know, the dogs on the Thanksgiving 561 00:26:32,119 --> 00:26:35,000 Speaker 3: game since the Cowboys, and yeah, I got knocked out 562 00:26:35,000 --> 00:26:37,520 Speaker 3: on the Ravens, so I people can tell. I'm just 563 00:26:38,160 --> 00:26:39,880 Speaker 3: I just think this is a dog's week. I'm really 564 00:26:39,920 --> 00:26:41,680 Speaker 3: heavy to the dogs this week. So I love this 565 00:26:41,800 --> 00:26:42,680 Speaker 3: round robin. 566 00:26:43,000 --> 00:26:45,600 Speaker 1: For the favorites. I put in favorites. Probably I put 567 00:26:45,640 --> 00:26:51,040 Speaker 1: in Seattle the charge five and a half, Seattle at 568 00:26:51,040 --> 00:26:54,879 Speaker 1: five and a half. I put the Chargers against the Raiders. 569 00:26:55,359 --> 00:26:58,520 Speaker 2: I did Miami's money line. 570 00:26:58,760 --> 00:27:00,160 Speaker 1: Oh, Miami, for sure. 571 00:27:00,320 --> 00:27:03,359 Speaker 3: You gotta do Tampa's money line. Like I said, Tampa's 572 00:27:03,400 --> 00:27:06,280 Speaker 3: super Republic. But I'm really bit heavy into it. I 573 00:27:06,320 --> 00:27:07,040 Speaker 3: can't say that enough. 574 00:27:07,160 --> 00:27:10,800 Speaker 1: On three to two and a half, Seattle, LA Chargers, 575 00:27:11,280 --> 00:27:15,879 Speaker 1: Miami Tampa. Do you want to add anybody else there? 576 00:27:16,200 --> 00:27:16,440 Speaker 2: Yeah? 577 00:27:16,440 --> 00:27:19,080 Speaker 3: Like again, if we're taking all these big favorites, are 578 00:27:19,119 --> 00:27:20,960 Speaker 3: we gonna throw the Rams five and a half in 579 00:27:21,000 --> 00:27:21,560 Speaker 3: there as well? 580 00:27:21,760 --> 00:27:23,679 Speaker 1: Like I mean I would do five and a half. 581 00:27:23,880 --> 00:27:26,439 Speaker 3: Yeah, I wouldn't take the spread. I'm I'm on the 582 00:27:26,440 --> 00:27:30,720 Speaker 3: Carolina there, But I just I could see Carolina find 583 00:27:30,800 --> 00:27:32,640 Speaker 3: a way to backdoor that Rams. 584 00:27:32,359 --> 00:27:33,520 Speaker 2: Team and Chad. 585 00:27:33,600 --> 00:27:35,280 Speaker 3: Chad saved me a lot of money because I knew 586 00:27:35,320 --> 00:27:37,560 Speaker 3: Carolina injuries. I didn't realize how many banged up guys 587 00:27:37,560 --> 00:27:40,040 Speaker 3: they had on their defensive side. So that's the only 588 00:27:40,080 --> 00:27:41,760 Speaker 3: reason I we haven't really talked about that game and 589 00:27:41,800 --> 00:27:44,280 Speaker 3: we're putting in our contest. It's just Carolina has so 590 00:27:44,280 --> 00:27:46,600 Speaker 3: many injuries to overcome. We do love the spot for them, 591 00:27:46,640 --> 00:27:49,439 Speaker 3: but you know, you're going against the MVP and a 592 00:27:49,480 --> 00:27:53,040 Speaker 3: high powered offense. You're gonna need allow your second secondary pieces. 593 00:27:53,040 --> 00:27:55,240 Speaker 3: And it's just I don't I don't love that for Carolina. 594 00:27:55,640 --> 00:27:59,720 Speaker 1: All right, Final five, New York Giants plus seven and 595 00:27:59,760 --> 00:28:06,080 Speaker 1: a half, go get it, Pittsburgh Steelers, there's no three 596 00:28:06,119 --> 00:28:09,359 Speaker 1: and a half's available. We're still on it at three, 597 00:28:09,560 --> 00:28:12,080 Speaker 1: but it will be three and a half in our contest. Yep, 598 00:28:13,240 --> 00:28:16,720 Speaker 1: Cleveland Browns plus five and a half across the board, 599 00:28:17,400 --> 00:28:21,959 Speaker 1: still love it. Houston, we're getting a little lucky. I 600 00:28:22,040 --> 00:28:24,880 Speaker 1: bet Houston at plus three, it's four and a half 601 00:28:24,920 --> 00:28:27,000 Speaker 1: in the contest. We're going to play it. You got 602 00:28:27,119 --> 00:28:29,960 Speaker 1: to take advantage of those lines. I think it's coming 603 00:28:30,040 --> 00:28:35,680 Speaker 1: down Simon to the Jets and the Titans. I love 604 00:28:35,720 --> 00:28:39,920 Speaker 1: the Jets, love it. I will own it. I will 605 00:28:39,960 --> 00:28:43,840 Speaker 1: be uncomfortable. I will sit in my misery. It will 606 00:28:43,880 --> 00:28:46,560 Speaker 1: be no problem for me all day. I will be 607 00:28:46,680 --> 00:28:50,000 Speaker 1: the only one watching the corner TV game of the 608 00:28:50,080 --> 00:28:52,200 Speaker 1: Jets and the Falcons. 609 00:28:52,960 --> 00:28:58,640 Speaker 3: So you want to put the Jets in over Tennessee, Yes, 610 00:28:59,120 --> 00:29:01,200 Speaker 3: all right, let's have a look. Make sure we get 611 00:29:01,240 --> 00:29:04,320 Speaker 3: the right number. So the Jets are two and a half, 612 00:29:04,720 --> 00:29:09,880 Speaker 3: Tennessee is six and a half. Man, I know Son 613 00:29:10,000 --> 00:29:11,600 Speaker 3: can do it. If you're gonna chat's gonna be the 614 00:29:11,680 --> 00:29:13,520 Speaker 3: one and be like this is I'm taking my staying here. 615 00:29:13,520 --> 00:29:14,960 Speaker 2: This is the game this week. 616 00:29:17,600 --> 00:29:21,160 Speaker 3: Because right now we have Cleveland, Houston, Pittsburgh Giants in. 617 00:29:23,360 --> 00:29:25,120 Speaker 2: And we'll put the Jets is the fifth one. 618 00:29:25,240 --> 00:29:31,960 Speaker 1: Let's do the Jets. Okay, all right, it's gonna be exciting. 619 00:29:32,120 --> 00:29:34,600 Speaker 1: Oh my god, it's gonna be a miserable Sunday evening. 620 00:29:35,040 --> 00:29:37,600 Speaker 1: All right. This has been Sharper Square, part of the 621 00:29:37,680 --> 00:29:41,560 Speaker 1: Volume podcast network. We will be back on Sharper Square 622 00:29:41,600 --> 00:29:45,520 Speaker 1: YouTube tonight seven point thirty ish after the latest of 623 00:29:45,560 --> 00:29:49,280 Speaker 1: the late afternoon games. To recap all the misery and 624 00:29:49,480 --> 00:29:51,840 Speaker 1: glory of the day, watch or listen on YouTube a 625 00:29:51,880 --> 00:29:55,600 Speaker 1: Sharper Square like this video. Subscribe to the channel, download 626 00:29:55,640 --> 00:29:57,640 Speaker 1: us some Spotify, Apple Pods wherever you get your pods, 627 00:29:57,720 --> 00:30:00,880 Speaker 1: rate review, subscribe, leave us five stars, say whatever you want. 628 00:30:00,880 --> 00:30:04,920 Speaker 1: Feedback is a gift untill next time. I Love you. 629 00:30:04,920 --> 00:30:08,120 Speaker 1: Want plenty at a time for a slag to table