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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Sunday

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Speaker 1: morning edition of the Deal Juice Podcast with me Matt

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Speaker 1: Parolt at sports Dog Matt on Twitter to follow me

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Speaker 1: at Betting Pros on Twitter to follow Betting Pros bet

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Speaker 1: MGM with the sponsorship of this podcast. It's an easy

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Speaker 1: free new account if you sign up for a new

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Speaker 1: account to use the promo code Juice one fifty, you

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Speaker 1: bet ten dollars, you win one hundred and fifty dollars

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Speaker 1: in new bets in free bets from BETMGM, betmgm dot

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Speaker 1: com or on the application. And yesterday was carnage, complete chaos. One, two, three, four, five,

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Speaker 1: six all go down, including number ten. So we see

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Speaker 1: seven of the top ten teams all loose. We've never

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Speaker 1: seen the ap top five one to five all lose

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Speaker 1: on this same day. That's history. Zags go down. They

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Speaker 1: all lost on the road too, So just showing you

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Speaker 1: how difficult it is to win in college basketball on

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Speaker 1: the road. Right, showed me that parlay with money line

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Speaker 1: having the whole top five losing, what's that going to

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Speaker 1: pay out? Like plus thirty thousand? It would have been nuts.

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Speaker 1: So for the most part, we avoided it for the

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Speaker 1: most part. We were okay. Now the nova bet goes down,

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Speaker 1: so we started the day down two units. We get

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Speaker 1: the win on you and I coming back with the

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Speaker 1: one unit that helped you and I plus two that

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Speaker 1: helped We get a push on Arkansas that never should

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Speaker 1: have been a push. We're lucky to get that. That

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Speaker 1: three at the buzzer again, another three at the buzzer. Ye,

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Speaker 1: those are killer, but we push on two. We get

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Speaker 1: the ad for un LV wrong unfortunately, but you know,

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Speaker 1: that's just kind of the way things go. And then

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Speaker 1: we had the other bet, which I'm blanking on. Oh,

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Speaker 1: Providence minus five. Providence gets the victory. Told you that

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Speaker 1: was going to be a coronation. I should have bet more.

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Speaker 1: I mean, that's the one thing about sports betting that

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Speaker 1: I'm still learning that I'm not fully mature yet on,

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Speaker 1: is that when I know a BET's gonna cash, I

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Speaker 1: don't fire more Like that should have been a two

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Speaker 1: unit bet. Providence minus five should have been a two

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Speaker 1: unit bet. I saw it, handicapped it, broke it down perfectly,

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Speaker 1: laid it out. Everything happened the exact same way I

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Speaker 1: thought it was going to happen. And it's a happy unit.

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Speaker 1: And I believe in flat wagering, so I'm preaching, you know,

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Speaker 1: be careful. But this is what the pros do. The

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Speaker 1: pros are able to identify a providence game and they

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Speaker 1: unload ten grand. That's what they do. So they go,

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Speaker 1: you know, five hundred a nickel, a nickel, a dime

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Speaker 1: on thousand, you know, that's what they do. And then

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Speaker 1: they see a game, they know what's going to happen,

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Speaker 1: and they bury the book. I'm still learning, you know,

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Speaker 1: we all can learn. We all can recognize our mistakes.

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Speaker 1: If you don't write down your bets, you don't write

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Speaker 1: down and keep track of your wagers, I highly recommend

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Speaker 1: you do. So go back, be self reflective. See what

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Speaker 1: you did well, See what you didn't do well? Right,

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Speaker 1: See what bets have hit, what bets haven't hit? See

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Speaker 1: what was smart what wasn't smart? Right? So the Nova

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Speaker 1: bet down two units, so we get really down three

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Speaker 1: units because they layo the bet doesn't come in as well.

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Speaker 1: So like on the futures market, that was bad. But

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Speaker 1: on the day for the for the podcast, we won money,

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Speaker 1: so overall it was down day. But from a podcast

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Speaker 1: from Perspective you didn't bet the futures. It's a good day.

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Speaker 1: We won. We won money, so not bad. I am

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Speaker 1: going to take it easy today. Okay, I'm not going

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Speaker 1: to go too heavy today. I am going to bet

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Speaker 1: player props today, though I do I am missing on

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Speaker 1: the player props. Sunday is a good day to do it.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go all MBA today because I don't really

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Speaker 1: think the college slate. Maybe I'll come in late, but

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Speaker 1: the college slate is kind of boring me. Nothing really

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Speaker 1: all that exciting. After all those great games on Saturday

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Speaker 1: and then the hockey, I'm just gonna take a break

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Speaker 1: on a Sunday from a hockey perspective. There are two

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Speaker 1: really good games in the NBA that I want to

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Speaker 1: put money down on, and then we'll come in with

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Speaker 1: player props on the Discord channel. So we'll have at

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Speaker 1: least one, sorry, at least two, maybe more, but a

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Speaker 1: hot player props coming at us coming up for a Sunday,

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Speaker 1: So betting pros dot Com, slash chat or a link

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Speaker 1: underneath me here on YouTube for those before the games

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Speaker 1: tip off today on a Sunday. But let's start here

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Speaker 1: talking both games. Western Conference Utah at Phoenix. This number

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Speaker 1: is currently a pick. This number is gonna ping pong okay,

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Speaker 1: open at one and a half. First move was on

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Speaker 1: Utah Utah on the road at the Phoenix Suns. Phoenix

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Speaker 1: coming off of a really bad loss on a back

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Speaker 1: to back against the New Orleans Pelicans, and Utah has

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Speaker 1: been playing you know pretty well. I mean, Utah wins

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Speaker 1: by five against Dallas. We took the six points there,

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Speaker 1: so we covered on that, but they still won their

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Speaker 1: last game on to start this road trip. But I

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Speaker 1: have even money, okay, just to pick them. You may

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Speaker 1: get plus money if you get Phoenix as a home dog.

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Speaker 1: I love that even more. But right now, the best

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Speaker 1: number I can find the time of taping is a

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Speaker 1: pick between Utah and Phoenix at home this year, Phoenix

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Speaker 1: is fifteen and seventeen ats on the road this year,

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Speaker 1: Utah is thirteen, thirteen and one. But they are starting

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Speaker 1: to play much better because they are healthy. That is

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Speaker 1: not the case for the Phoenix Suns, who are one

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Speaker 1: in one straight up since the injury to Chris Paul.

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Speaker 1: But they beat Oklahoma City by twenty, looked really good

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Speaker 1: in the fourth quarter, did not look good against New Orleans.

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Speaker 1: The very next night on a back to back late

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Speaker 1: six and a half, lost by fifteen points coming back

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Speaker 1: home here. I think this is a significant deal because

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Speaker 1: they lost at home to New Orleans and it's embarrassing

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Speaker 1: to lose to a bad basket team like that. So

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Speaker 1: I think we're catching Phoenix at a good time off

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Speaker 1: of a loss. And you've got like the Utah Jazz

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Speaker 1: lost to the Lakers on the road. They lost to

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Speaker 1: the Lakers in their last home in their last road game,

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Speaker 1: they came back and beat Dallas at home, and now

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Speaker 1: they're going back on the road to take on the

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Speaker 1: Phoenix Suns. I think Phoenix is still the better basketball team.

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Speaker 1: I think they have more weapons. I think that the

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Speaker 1: totalist game is two twenty seven and a half high props. Right,

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Speaker 1: this is a good game to bet over on the

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Speaker 1: props here for these for these teams. But this could

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Speaker 1: be a Booker takeover game. I just think this is

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Speaker 1: a big performance out of Phoenix. I got as a pick.

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Speaker 1: I got a home team, I got the better team.

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Speaker 1: I'm taking Phoenix half a unit. Phoenix basically a money

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Speaker 1: line bet here Phoenix to beat the Utah Jazz today

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Speaker 1: for a half a unit and the other side is

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Speaker 1: a night game Golden State at home against Dallas. So,

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Speaker 1: like I mentioned, Dallas last game out loses to Utah.

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Speaker 1: Now they're on the road here, continuing this road trip

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Speaker 1: on the road at the Golden State Warriors last came

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Speaker 1: out for Golden States, they were a pound Portland one

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Speaker 1: thirty two ninety five. They hammered Denver. Oh yeah, I

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Speaker 1: guess they lost to Denver one seventeen one sixteen. They're

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Speaker 1: playing well and Draymond Green is going to come back

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Speaker 1: at some point in the very near future. But I'm

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Speaker 1: eyeball in the total here in this game. Two nineteen

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Speaker 1: is the total. Now the last five games have all

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Speaker 1: gone over for the Golden State Warriors. The last two

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Speaker 1: for the Dallas Mavericks have gone over. However, at home

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Speaker 1: this year, Golden State is thirteene seventeen thirteen and two

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Speaker 1: to the under, and on the road, Dallas is fourteen

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Speaker 1: to fourteen and one to the under. They're an under

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Speaker 1: team at home. Like crazy, Dallas is twenty three seven

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Speaker 1: and one to the under at home, but seven and

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Speaker 1: three are the over for Golden State over the last ten.

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Speaker 1: Like I mentioned, last five in a row, However, when

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Speaker 1: these teams have played, Okay, the last time they played

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Speaker 1: it was a to twelve total, it went over by

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Speaker 1: ten points, a one to thirty ninety two win for

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Speaker 1: Golden State. Okay, the time before that, when they played

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Speaker 1: at Dallas, it went under by thirty two points. To

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Speaker 1: thirteen was the total in that game. Ninety nine to

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Speaker 1: eighty two was the final in that game. Now this

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Speaker 1: game is being back being played here at Golden State.

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Speaker 1: I just think when these two teams are playing, I

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Speaker 1: think you're going to see unders come in. I think

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Speaker 1: these guys are going to grind it. Two nineteen it's high,

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Speaker 1: not that high, but I think we're gonna go with

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Speaker 1: kind of a sweaty, gross Sunday evening game where teams

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Speaker 1: play defense, and you may get a better number than this,

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Speaker 1: because the public's gonna bet the over on this. I

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Speaker 1: can tell you right now, the public's gonna look at

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Speaker 1: the five straight games for Golden State games for Dallas,

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Speaker 1: and they're gonna come in. They're gonna a hundred percent,

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Speaker 1: They're gona bet the over. Okay, up here we go,

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Speaker 1: we're betting the over. But two nineteen is a pretty

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Speaker 1: good total, Okay for Dallas. All right, Dallas this season.

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Speaker 1: The last time they had a total of two nineteen

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Speaker 1: was back on the sixth of February. It was two thirty.

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Speaker 1: It was two twenty three and a half against Atlanta.

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Speaker 1: It went under by twenty six and a half points.

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Speaker 1: Time before that was against Memphis at two nineteen. It

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Speaker 1: went under by twenty four points. Both those games were

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Speaker 1: at home, by the way, so that's significant. So I said,

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Speaker 1: they're much better, much more of an under team at

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Speaker 1: home than they are on the road. But you get

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Speaker 1: my gist here. You know, the last time they had

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Speaker 1: a road game with a total this high, boy, you

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Speaker 1: really got to look. You gotta go way way back.

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Speaker 1: I don't know if they had a road total. Memphis

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Speaker 1: was two eighteen and a half on the road. It

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Speaker 1: went under by twenty one and a half points back

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Speaker 1: on the fourteenth of January. Let's see other road games

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Speaker 1: with a total of this high. Okay, Sacramento it was

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Speaker 1: two twenty one. It went under by thirty two points.

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Speaker 1: You get my point here, Okay, this is a pretty

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Speaker 1: high total for a Dallas Mavericks game with the way

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Speaker 1: they played defense. And the Warriors still really want to

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Speaker 1: do they still want to play defense. Okay, I think

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Speaker 1: this is a defensive game, I really do. I don't

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Speaker 1: think this is an up to up and down game.

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Speaker 1: You know, the last time that they played at Golden State,

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Speaker 1: the one thirty that was scored by Golden State, and

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Speaker 1: they still only went over by ten points with a

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Speaker 1: two twelve, So tow twenty two was the total the

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Speaker 1: last time these teams played with a one thirty out

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Speaker 1: of the Warriors, ninety two out of the Mavericks, bro

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Speaker 1: one to thirty out of the Warriors, we got to nineteen. Here,

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Speaker 1: I'm taking the under half the unit under Dallas Golden

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Speaker 1: State at two nineteen. All right, so again light day

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Speaker 1: here on a Sunday. Don't love this late. We're taking

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Speaker 1: Phoenix at home on a pick money line against the

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Speaker 1: Utah Jazz. We're going under Warriors and the Mavericks at

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Speaker 1: two nineteen. Both those bets for a half a unit

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Speaker 1: at least two player props coming in the Discord channel,

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Speaker 1: maybe more depending on how things roll, maybe more, but

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Speaker 1: two player props for sure coming up before the games

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Speaker 1: tip off here for us with some player props coreter

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Speaker 1: unit bets as always coming up in the Discord Channel

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Speaker 1: a little bit later on today min as Matt Parolt.

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Speaker 1: You can follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: Each and every morning it's the Aljuice Podcast. I was

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Speaker 1: being brought to you by BETMGM