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Speaker 1: Hey, everybody, Welcome back to another episode of the Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros NFL Podcast. I'm your host, Dan Harris. You can

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Speaker 1: find me on Twitter at Dan Harris. Ady back with me,

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Speaker 1: Thank goodness, it's whatever. You want to call him. Co

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Speaker 1: host whatever. Matt Parral you can find him on Twitter

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Speaker 1: at Sports Talk Matt Matt. I hope you had a

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Speaker 1: great Thanksgiving. I apparently we made a couple of people

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Speaker 1: mad because we weren't able to get together and do

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Speaker 1: our usual show. But how's our holiday? How you doing?

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Speaker 2: It? Was great? I'm great. I'm excited for the week.

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Speaker 2: I'm glad we took the week off. We dodged a

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Speaker 2: bullet and look, I think we predicted it way back

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Speaker 2: in the beginning in September when we were kind of

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Speaker 2: mapping out what weeks we were going to take off.

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Speaker 2: I think it was always trying to take off the

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Speaker 2: Thanksgiving Day week and then week seventeen, which is obviously

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Speaker 2: the worst week to bet in in the NFL. So

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Speaker 2: I think so far, even though we haven't played as

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Speaker 2: perfectly as we would have liked, I think as to

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Speaker 2: when we took the week off, that was a good

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Speaker 2: week to pass and say no thank you.

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Speaker 1: Now, just a couple of things to clarify. Number one,

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Speaker 1: this one remember you're the other ones, you're in the circa,

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Speaker 1: you're super condent. This one only goes through week sixteen,

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Speaker 1: so we have to take another bye by week sixteen, so.

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Speaker 2: We even week sixteen, I would take off.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, well, well we'll figure it out. Well, we'll get

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Speaker 1: through everything. But yes, you are correct, we did in

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Speaker 1: fact move up in the standings by taking a bye week,

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Speaker 1: because that's what it was. And there were the weird

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Speaker 1: There were a couple of weird things, like the Saints.

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Speaker 1: Those lines are locked in, right, so the Saints laying

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Speaker 1: six and a half to the Broncos were locked in

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Speaker 1: before you realize that the Broncos are going to be

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Speaker 1: playing with a a QB. So there were you know,

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Speaker 1: a game or two that we probably could have gone.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, it was not a good week for anybody

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Speaker 1: last week. But let's get into it for this week,

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Speaker 1: because interesting you like this slate, don't you miss you do? Huh?

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Speaker 2: I have seven games that I would bet.

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Speaker 1: All right, well we'll talk about it. I've got I've

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Speaker 1: got a few, but I'm not I'm not feeling it

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Speaker 1: like crazy, but we'll get into it my usual recommendations

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Speaker 1: before we start. Join our discord channel bet Bettingpros dot

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Speaker 1: com slash Chat totally free. Just come talk about sports

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Speaker 1: gambling with other people who are also interested in Also

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Speaker 1: check out our prop bet cheat cheat over at bettingpros

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Speaker 1: dot com. Slash props compares consensus projections to available props

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Speaker 1: in the market generally, but also that are in your jurisdiction.

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Speaker 1: I'm from New Hampshire. The only place second bet is

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Speaker 1: on DraftKings, so when I go there, it shows me

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Speaker 1: the available props and the best recommendations for DraftKings props. Third,

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Speaker 1: if you want more props, you want more bets, tune

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Speaker 1: in make sure Sunday morning YouTube dot com slash betting

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Speaker 1: Pros Matt does a livestream eleven am to noon. He

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Speaker 1: talks about his best plays, we talk about props. I

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Speaker 1: always give him a couple of my props before you.

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Speaker 1: On the night before when I do my projections, and

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Speaker 1: again that's really what I do. I do projections for

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Speaker 1: every player for our fantasy purposes and that really helps

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Speaker 1: with prop bets. And on Saturday Night's late night I

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Speaker 1: do a big sweep of them. I go through and

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Speaker 1: then I take a look at the props. I try

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Speaker 1: to give Matt two or three. I think I'm on

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Speaker 1: a pretty good streak.

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Speaker 2: Can you do projections for every player?

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Speaker 1: I do projections for basically every player. I don't go

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Speaker 1: crazy with like if I was going to rank somebody

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Speaker 1: as the one hundred and fifteenth wide receiver, like, I

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Speaker 1: have a projection for them, but I'm not willing to

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Speaker 1: like go crazy. But yes, I project every player from

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Speaker 1: every game at Oh, how we roll good roll at

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Speaker 1: Fantasy Pros, baby, don't. We don't take anything for granted.

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Speaker 1: That is why I'm the seventeenth most accurate Fantasy ranker

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Speaker 1: in the nation. That's right, man, I don't know sure.

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Speaker 1: That's why I'm up till two in the morning on Saturday.

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Speaker 1: It's redoing my projections. It's all for you people.

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Speaker 2: I need to get see this is I was talking

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Speaker 2: to my producer on the on the on my radio

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Speaker 2: show today. Yep, you have not been on my radio

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Speaker 2: show yet.

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Speaker 1: I know. And it is a big problem in our relationship.

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Speaker 1: If you know why I'm salty.

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Speaker 2: I need. I need to fix that. So we're gonna

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Speaker 2: fix that next week. We're gonna rectify that because I don't.

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Speaker 2: It was weird. I was going through and so my

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Speaker 2: other two partners in the circuit in the West Gate,

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Speaker 2: they do weekly appearances. And like my producer was like,

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Speaker 2: so why isn't Dan Harris coming on the show. And

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Speaker 2: I was like, you know what, it's a really good point.

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Speaker 2: Harris on the show. Right, we'll fix that.

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Speaker 1: We will think I haven't noticed that, blah blah, all right,

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Speaker 1: you will fix that. So look, last week, like I said,

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Speaker 1: we did not play in the DraftKings contest. It was

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Speaker 1: our planned week off, but we did move up. So

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Speaker 1: we are basically at I will call it in the

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Speaker 1: top forty percent. Now, that's not enough to cash. But

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Speaker 1: here's the deal. Matt and I are twenty eight and

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Speaker 1: twenty seven on the season, so that's fifty point nine

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Speaker 1: percent that is not going to do it in terms

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Speaker 1: of actually cashing. But if you look right now, Matt

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Speaker 1: in the money right now are sixty percent. Now, if

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Speaker 1: we essentially what we need to really do, we've got

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Speaker 1: fifteen picks left because we've got four weeks. We are

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Speaker 1: mandatory one week by so we're going to make three

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Speaker 1: more weeks five picks each this will probably be one

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Speaker 1: of them. We've got to basically blow it out to

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Speaker 1: finish and to finish in the money. But it's probably

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Speaker 1: four My guess is uh not? How many? Fourteen and one?

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Speaker 1: So we basically can lose probably one game of the

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Speaker 1: next three weeks.

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Speaker 2: We we now go fourteen and one, We're gonna be

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Speaker 2: over sixty percent, aren't we?

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Speaker 1: By I don't I think that equals I think that

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Speaker 1: equals sixty percent. You out there listening, you check. But

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Speaker 1: if we're twenty eight and twenty seven, right, and we

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Speaker 1: go fourteen and one, and we're what is that forty

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Speaker 1: two and twenty eight? Forty two out of sixty, we're

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Speaker 1: gonna do this right now? This is riveting podcasting. Hold

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Speaker 1: on forty two out of sixty.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna say sixty five percent?

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Speaker 1: All right, let's well, maybe math's right. All right? Oh wait,

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Speaker 1: you're right. Maybe I'm crazy. Then you're right, maybe that's

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Speaker 1: way more.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, what is it?

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Speaker 1: This is seventy So maybe I'm just.

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Speaker 2: Crazy, way over. I mean fourteen, we close fourteen, and

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Speaker 2: we're going to be up in super content his story?

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Speaker 1: All right? All right, you know what I think I did?

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Speaker 1: I think I that's right. Okay, Well I don't know whatever. Okay,

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Speaker 1: we need to do.

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Speaker 2: You the math guy, why I have a model?

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Speaker 1: Why I have a model. I make sure my spreadsheets

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Speaker 1: do it all for me. But yeah, okay, that's my bad.

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Speaker 1: Either way, we're gonna go fifteen out of fifteen for

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Speaker 1: the next pick, so whatever, God.

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Speaker 2: I think people, I'll say this, if we were to

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Speaker 2: go fifteen and o the next three weeks, we win

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Speaker 2: the thing.

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Speaker 1: I don't know about it.

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Speaker 2: Let's tell you right now. If we close at fifteen

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Speaker 2: and oh, okay, we win the thing. We're not going

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Speaker 2: fifteen and oh we're not, just hypothetically, but we we

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Speaker 2: win the thing. If we wind up, if we're If

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Speaker 2: I'm sixteen picks over five hundred, I know.

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Speaker 1: What I did. I know what I did. I put

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Speaker 1: in the wrong number of total picks. That's why I

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Speaker 1: had it totally confused. It's completely my bad. I don't

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Speaker 1: know what we need to do, but we need to

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Speaker 1: do better than we're doing. Yes, so let's get started.

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Speaker 1: My bad, everybody. I'm better with numbers, I promise. All right, Matt,

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Speaker 1: as usual, you start us off, start us off with

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Speaker 1: the pick. Let's see what we've got what's your number

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Speaker 1: one pick of the.

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Speaker 2: Week seven games. I like, let's just start with the

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Speaker 2: one that I think. I like the number. I like

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Speaker 2: the number that we're getting. I like the team. I

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Speaker 2: like the matchup, I like the injury situation, and I

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Speaker 2: like the historical numbers against the team. The Rams own

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Speaker 2: the Cardinals. The Rams are on the road the Ms.

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Speaker 2: The Rams are laying less than a field goal, and

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Speaker 2: I know that road favorites last week and the week

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Speaker 2: before have been death. Totally understand it. Kyler Murray is

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Speaker 2: not healthy. Yeah, the Patriots showed it last week that

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Speaker 2: without Kyler Murray that team doesn't do anything. Okay, you

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Speaker 2: can have Hopkins all you want, but you've got a

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Speaker 2: great dB that can take away Hopkins on this Rams team,

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Speaker 2: and you're left with trying to score and run the

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Speaker 2: football against Aaron Donald in company. This is a bad

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Speaker 2: week for the Cardinals. They're catching the Rams at the

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Speaker 2: wrong time. Bounce back spot from the Rams under a

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Speaker 2: field goal on the road. I love the Rams last

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Speaker 2: two and a half this week.

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Speaker 1: Do you worry what if Murray is healthy? Murray was

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Speaker 1: not healthy last week. One hundred percent agree. We don't

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Speaker 1: know though, whether or not this is an injury that's

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Speaker 1: going to linger for the whole season, do we.

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Speaker 2: I mean, well, it's a shoulder injury for a dude

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Speaker 2: who's pretty frail. Yeah, and he's got a rip thing too, supposedly,

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Speaker 2: so it's a couple of things. It's mounting, he's not

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Speaker 2: that big, and he's got Aaron Donald to deal with.

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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 2: So I think it's a bad situation for the Cardinals.

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Speaker 2: And historically speaking, the last last year in Week seventeen,

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Speaker 2: in Week thirteen, it was thirty one seven and thirty

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Speaker 2: one twenty four the wins for the Rams.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it makes me a little nervous. It's not it's

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Speaker 1: not a game that I'm on one way or another,

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Speaker 1: but it's a game that I'm What makes me a

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Speaker 1: time bit nervous. I agree with you. Murray's shoulder I

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Speaker 1: think completely changes. You saw it last week. Of course,

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Speaker 1: with the way he played against the Patriots. What makes

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Speaker 1: me a little nervous. I mean the Cardinals blitz a lot.

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Speaker 1: You know what God does under pressure. This is like

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Speaker 1: a must win game for the car What are they

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Speaker 1: six and five at this point? It's a must win

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Speaker 1: game for the Cardinals. I think the Rams are a

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Speaker 1: better team, so under field goal, I completely understand it.

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Speaker 2: But it must win for the Rams too, though.

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Speaker 1: It's true. Well yeah, I mean.

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Speaker 2: If they want to win the division, they've got to

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Speaker 2: win this game. I mean, these are games they've got

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Speaker 2: to have. And Seattle's got the easiest schedule of all

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Speaker 2: the four teams left to go in the division. It's true,

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Speaker 2: So it's true they've got I mean, if they want

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Speaker 2: to win the division and they want to avoid I mean,

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Speaker 2: they're not gonna get the one seed, but if they

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Speaker 2: want to avoid, you know, not having it going on

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Speaker 2: the road, doesn't it matters this year? Or we're going

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Speaker 2: the road, but it's better to play at home than

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Speaker 2: on the road. Yeah, you got to win this game.

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Speaker 2: Just you have to win this game, all right.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna put in the maybe category. I will say

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Speaker 1: that sixty four percent of the experts on our bet

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Speaker 1: analyzer are on Arizona, and I, you know, just tossing

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Speaker 1: the game up in the air, I kind of, you know,

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Speaker 1: it was a maybe for me. I don't know, we'll

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Speaker 1: see what happens. I could go either way, but I

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Speaker 1: did lean Arizona a little bit just because again, I

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Speaker 1: thought this would be a game where you know, it's

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Speaker 1: a home dog. I know it's it's two and a

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Speaker 1: half point, it's not a big deal. But with how

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Speaker 1: much they desperately need this game, with how they blitz,

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Speaker 1: all right, we're gonna put in the maybe. It's in

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Speaker 1: the maybe, So no prom there.

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Speaker 2: Ah.

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Speaker 1: For my favorite pick, I guess my number one would

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Speaker 1: probably be the Pats getting a half a point from

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Speaker 1: the Chargers. Now number three, what's that?

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Speaker 2: It's my number three?

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Speaker 1: So we can we just basically put it in yep,

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Speaker 1: all right, So I really what this just comes down

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Speaker 1: to is coaching. I mean, I can throw out everything

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Speaker 1: else that's going on. I know Newton's a little banged up,

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Speaker 1: so on the Andrew report, that's fine. I know the

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Speaker 1: Pats kind of. I feel like we haven't gotten a

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Speaker 1: great read on the Pats this year, nobody has. Nobody has.

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Speaker 1: But what we do have a pretty good readrun probably

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Speaker 1: is the Chargers, who at this point just it's just

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Speaker 1: you know, the coaching is going to make up for

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Speaker 1: whatever happens in this game. They're so we.

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Speaker 2: Saw it in the playoffs, right, We've seen it before

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Speaker 2: when Anthony Lynn has gone up against Belichick. It's been

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Speaker 2: a complete mismatch, and look, they're three and eight. Anthony

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Speaker 2: Lynz comments this week about the fact that they're not

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Speaker 2: making the playoffs. Have you ever heard a coach say

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Speaker 2: that in the middle of the year, Now we're done,

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Speaker 2: like not, like, well, we need some help. We got

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Speaker 2: to win out, Like they's not mathematically eliminated, Like they

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Speaker 2: won every game and they went eight and eight, like

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Speaker 2: they would have a chance to get in. Maybe not

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Speaker 2: maybe not get in, but they have in the conversation,

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Speaker 2: and Anthony lynn'z like, yeah, we suck and we're not

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Speaker 2: making the playoffs, Like yeah.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I legitimately think back to Rex Ryan's first

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Speaker 1: year with the Jets where they lost a game that

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Speaker 1: they assumed that they would win, and he originally was like, Okay,

258
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Speaker 1: I guess we've been eliminated because he thought mathematically wasn't

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Speaker 1: And I was like, oh, no, you can still go

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Speaker 1: if you went out including a game against the undefeated Colts,

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Speaker 1: and like eight other things happened, and he was like, yeah,

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Speaker 1: this is going to happen. We're going to make the playoffs.

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Speaker 1: We've got it, and they did, and it was highly

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Speaker 1: unlikely that that would happen, but still the sort of

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Speaker 1: you you're in it until you're not in it anymore.

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Speaker 1: But have you ever seen a game bungled like that

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Speaker 1: at the end of the end of the game, with

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Speaker 1: what the Chargers did last week? Matt Like, I've ever

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Speaker 1: seen that.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I've also never seen a coach down ten

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Speaker 2: with two seconds left run the kicker onto the field.

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Speaker 2: He had the kicker. Somebody had to remind him. And

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Speaker 2: this is where I think gambling came in. Somebody got

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Speaker 2: into a zer and said, hey, by the way, the

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Speaker 2: line's five and a half. Kick it a field goal.

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Speaker 2: We don't cover. Oh okay, justin get back out. They're

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Speaker 2: wunna play. He was gonna kick a field goal down ten.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean.

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Speaker 2: This guy is just yeah. I mean, get rid of

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Speaker 2: him immediately if you don't don't want to do it now,

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Speaker 2: immediately after the year is over, because that is a

282
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Speaker 2: coveted job. That is an unreal job. With Justin Herbert

283
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Speaker 2: sitting there, speaking of prop bets, if you want to

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Speaker 2: talk about passing yards for Herbert, I think he's gonna

285
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Speaker 2: pass all over the Patriots. I think he's gonna have

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Speaker 2: a huge game throwing the football. I just I think

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Speaker 2: the Patriots are gonna bend, don't break in the red

288
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Speaker 2: zone and they're gonna hold him the field goals. And

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Speaker 2: then on the other side, I think the Patriots are

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Speaker 2: going to be able to move the ball enough and

291
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Speaker 2: run the ball enough. Eckler coming back is a big

292
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Speaker 2: deal for the Chargers. It scares me. I'm not gonna

293
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Speaker 2: do that. But there are some real ticks and tells

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Speaker 2: when it comes to what Herbert does, and I think

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Speaker 2: Belichick is gonna take advantage of that. I think Keenan

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Speaker 2: Allen will just be swallowed by Stefan Gilmour.

297
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Speaker 1: And I think Gilmore is gonna take Allan though, I

298
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Speaker 1: mean he comes out of the slot. Would be my

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Speaker 1: worry about what I.

300
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Speaker 2: Mean, historically speaking, that's what's happened. I mean, I mean,

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Speaker 2: I'll give credit to I'll give credit to the NFL

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Speaker 2: network for this, but the NFL network has the status

303
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Speaker 2: are when these two guys when they play. Gilmore's been

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Speaker 2: on Keenan Allen. I think he's got three catches on

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Speaker 2: like fifteen targets.

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Speaker 1: Right, Yeah, So well, you know, I mean, look, you

307
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Speaker 1: know that what the Patriots do on defense is they

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Speaker 1: figure out where you want to go, and they manage

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Speaker 1: to take that away and they force to go to

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Speaker 1: your secondary options. Really in the end, they again, we

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Speaker 1: don't we're not we don't know what the number is

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Speaker 1: for Herbert, and I love Herbert this week. Of course.

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Speaker 1: The only thing that worries me a little bit is

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Speaker 1: the fact that you know, the Patriots are you know,

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Speaker 1: they have the fewest you know, nobody runs and he

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Speaker 1: plays against them because they run the ball so much. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: the clock keeps moving and everything like that. But we'll

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Speaker 1: get to the prop bets when numbers come out. Of course,

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Speaker 1: either way, we both like this game. That's why we

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Speaker 1: agree on. Let's go to your next one.

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Speaker 2: Number two for me, I am going to take a

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Speaker 2: number here just like the Rams miles two and a half.

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Speaker 2: That number is three for the West Gates. So you

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Speaker 2: get a better number here with the DraftKings. And I

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Speaker 2: like the hook here with the Texans against the Colts.

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Speaker 1: I can't believe this is the game that you're going to,

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Speaker 1: but go ahead. Really, you know, so you like you

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Speaker 1: like the Colts, well, I mean here's I don't like

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Speaker 1: the hook. I agree, and I saw you posted it.

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Speaker 1: I think you retweeted the number in the circle I think,

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Speaker 1: and it was three, right.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's three in the Cirkcuts, three and a half

333
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Speaker 2: in the West Gates, three and a half in the DraftKings.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. So I at three I really like And I've

335
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Speaker 1: locked it in at three for Indy actually because here's

336
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Speaker 1: here's the way I'm thinking that you take away Will Fuller.

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Speaker 1: I mean, have you seen Deshaun Watson's numbers? When you

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Speaker 1: take away Will Fuller is there.

339
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Speaker 2: It's it's big.

340
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Speaker 1: Who are they gonna throw?

341
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Speaker 2: There's a bigger problem. There's a bigger problem.

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Speaker 1: Go ahead.

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Speaker 2: The Colts defense is overrated and without COVID, with with

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Speaker 2: the COVID issues that they've got still with guys being out,

345
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Speaker 2: key guys being out due to COVID. I just these

346
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Speaker 2: games in the AFC South have been shootouts. They've been

347
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Speaker 2: up and down, back and forth. Texans are at home.

348
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Speaker 2: I think it's a three point game, and I think

349
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Speaker 2: it's a hook. I think it's the three and a

350
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Speaker 2: half and take the home dog at three and a half.

351
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Speaker 2: When everyone's gonna be on the Colts, you might by

352
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Speaker 2: the time this game kicks, I expect this to be four,

353
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Speaker 2: maybe even four and a half for him. Really yeah.

354
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Speaker 2: I think everyone's gonna be on the Colts, I think,

355
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Speaker 2: I think, and the Colt money is gonna come pouring

356
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Speaker 2: in and everyone's gonna look at because what you're saying,

357
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Speaker 2: everyone knows the will Fuller storyline. Yeah yeah, and everyone's

358
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Speaker 2: just gonna run with this will Fuller. Without Will full

359
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Speaker 2: they stink all they had problems with, you know, cheating

360
00:15:16,520 --> 00:15:18,880
Speaker 2: and you know, big shock, their strength coach got busted,

361
00:15:19,120 --> 00:15:21,240
Speaker 2: you know, and now and now everyone's getting busted. So

362
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Speaker 2: it's you know, I just I feel like the storyline's

363
00:15:23,840 --> 00:15:26,520
Speaker 2: going all against what's happening. And I just don't trust

364
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Speaker 2: this indie offense right now because of the injuries that

365
00:15:29,160 --> 00:15:31,800
Speaker 2: they've got and the fact that Rivers is banged up. So,

366
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Speaker 2: I mean, we don't know it's ever gonna play for sure.

367
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Speaker 2: We don't even know that's fair.

368
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Speaker 1: I mean, does a toe injury, Yeah, he maybe not,

369
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Speaker 1: but I assume he's gonna be out there. But I mean,

370
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Speaker 1: you can give it to any one of those three

371
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Speaker 1: backs and just let them run all day long. And

372
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Speaker 1: I get that they've got problems on the offensive line

373
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Speaker 1: a little bit. I think Kelly is going to come back.

374
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Speaker 1: He's practicing fully at least, But I mean the Texans

375
00:15:51,600 --> 00:15:54,680
Speaker 1: can't stop and run. Bradley Roby's out as well. I mean,

376
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Speaker 1: you know who's gonna stop Pittman when they do throw it.

377
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Speaker 1: I just don't know how the Texans are going to

378
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Speaker 1: be able to up Indianapolis in this game. And I

379
00:16:03,680 --> 00:16:07,560
Speaker 1: you know, Watson is fantastic. Maybe David Johnson comes back

380
00:16:07,600 --> 00:16:10,960
Speaker 1: in this game. But I mean, Kiki q t as

381
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Speaker 1: your number two wide receiver.

382
00:16:12,520 --> 00:16:14,920
Speaker 2: At Aikins has had a couple of big games. He

383
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Speaker 2: was kind of silent last week, but.

384
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Speaker 1: Two touchdowns last week. That's he said.

385
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Speaker 2: A couple of head a couple of ripped the Patriots.

386
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Speaker 2: I mean, a huge game with the Patriots, and it's

387
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Speaker 2: just Shaun Watson. I mean, maybe it's more Watson running

388
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Speaker 2: the football, him picking up first down. I thought wet him.

389
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Speaker 1: I thought that was our thing.

390
00:16:29,800 --> 00:16:31,920
Speaker 2: I thought, I do hate the Texas. I always, I

391
00:16:31,960 --> 00:16:34,600
Speaker 2: always am wrong with the Texans, except for spots like this,

392
00:16:34,720 --> 00:16:37,200
Speaker 2: because I think the Colts. Everybody thinks this Colts defense

393
00:16:37,280 --> 00:16:38,760
Speaker 2: is it's this world beater defense.

394
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Speaker 1: And I'm like you, I mean, they got there, they

395
00:16:41,040 --> 00:16:43,160
Speaker 1: got the you know, the Roof blown off last game

396
00:16:43,200 --> 00:16:45,600
Speaker 1: against Fighting, so this seems like more of a bounce

397
00:16:45,640 --> 00:16:47,960
Speaker 1: back spot for me, for the Colts and the Texans

398
00:16:47,960 --> 00:16:50,760
Speaker 1: coming off a big win against a putrid Lions team.

399
00:16:51,000 --> 00:16:52,680
Speaker 1: It almost seems like this is a spot to buy

400
00:16:52,720 --> 00:16:54,080
Speaker 1: the Colts, not the Texans.

401
00:16:54,120 --> 00:16:56,200
Speaker 2: And I think and that's why I'm gonna go against

402
00:16:56,200 --> 00:16:58,600
Speaker 2: that theory, because I think everyone's going to be on

403
00:16:58,640 --> 00:17:00,760
Speaker 2: that and everyone's going to pick at the fuller angle.

404
00:17:00,880 --> 00:17:03,360
Speaker 2: So for me, I get three and a half here,

405
00:17:03,400 --> 00:17:05,199
Speaker 2: I get the the hook is a big deal to me.

406
00:17:05,400 --> 00:17:07,160
Speaker 2: And yeah, I like the three and a half.

407
00:17:07,359 --> 00:17:08,760
Speaker 1: I like it less than three and a half. And

408
00:17:08,840 --> 00:17:10,919
Speaker 1: as you said, you think it's gonna keep moving and

409
00:17:10,920 --> 00:17:12,280
Speaker 1: go to four. And I guess I could see that.

410
00:17:12,280 --> 00:17:14,919
Speaker 1: This strikes me as something where if you're right, the

411
00:17:14,920 --> 00:17:16,760
Speaker 1: books will be fine to hold it at where it

412
00:17:16,800 --> 00:17:18,640
Speaker 1: is at three and a half. But regardless, I mean,

413
00:17:19,280 --> 00:17:21,080
Speaker 1: I can't do it, man, I'm on the either side.

414
00:17:21,160 --> 00:17:23,320
Speaker 1: So I'm not gonna push. I'm not gonna you know,

415
00:17:23,400 --> 00:17:24,919
Speaker 1: debate it, like to try to be like no, no,

416
00:17:25,000 --> 00:17:26,840
Speaker 1: let's go on the other way. But you know, I

417
00:17:27,119 --> 00:17:29,000
Speaker 1: don't think the Texans. I don't think they can roll

418
00:17:29,040 --> 00:17:32,919
Speaker 1: without Fuller. Man, I've seen it too often with what happens,

419
00:17:32,960 --> 00:17:35,320
Speaker 1: and that was with DeAndre Hopkins. Now you've got just

420
00:17:35,359 --> 00:17:39,199
Speaker 1: Brandon Cooks, who's a talented player. But man, I just

421
00:17:39,240 --> 00:17:41,720
Speaker 1: don't see how they stop the Colts on either side

422
00:17:41,720 --> 00:17:43,840
Speaker 1: without Roby. Roby was like there one guy in their

423
00:17:43,880 --> 00:17:46,440
Speaker 1: secondary they could really sort of maybe take on a

424
00:17:46,480 --> 00:17:48,600
Speaker 1: cornerback even though he hadn't played that well lately.

425
00:17:48,960 --> 00:17:51,920
Speaker 2: Without No why, I don't know, we know why? No?

426
00:17:52,760 --> 00:17:55,160
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, right, we know why? Right? Whatever Will Fuller

427
00:17:55,240 --> 00:17:57,240
Speaker 1: was having, I'll, you know, make me up a little

428
00:17:57,240 --> 00:18:00,720
Speaker 1: cocktail that I'll think doubles. But I'm gonna go to

429
00:18:00,880 --> 00:18:03,160
Speaker 1: my next game. I wonder how you feel about this one, Matt,

430
00:18:03,160 --> 00:18:06,360
Speaker 1: because it involves our two teams, and I know it's

431
00:18:06,560 --> 00:18:08,919
Speaker 1: I know it's the hook, but I don't care that

432
00:18:08,960 --> 00:18:12,560
Speaker 1: they're going across town. I don't care that Jacobs hasn't

433
00:18:12,600 --> 00:18:13,200
Speaker 1: pressed seven.

434
00:18:13,440 --> 00:18:15,560
Speaker 2: It's late seven. It's on my list.

435
00:18:15,880 --> 00:18:19,400
Speaker 1: For the Raiders. Yeah, yes, so you're okay Raiders because.

436
00:18:19,200 --> 00:18:22,159
Speaker 2: It's eight and a half in uh, it's eight and

437
00:18:22,160 --> 00:18:23,040
Speaker 2: half in the west Gate.

438
00:18:23,160 --> 00:18:24,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, Raiders point.

439
00:18:24,480 --> 00:18:27,440
Speaker 2: It's a full point. The line's nine already. Yeah, it's

440
00:18:27,440 --> 00:18:29,040
Speaker 2: gonna it's gonna go to ten, and when it gets

441
00:18:29,080 --> 00:18:30,439
Speaker 2: to ten, I'll bet the Jets.

442
00:18:30,480 --> 00:18:32,879
Speaker 1: Sure, Sure, I'm totally fine with that. But right now,

443
00:18:32,960 --> 00:18:35,320
Speaker 1: Raiders lank seven and a half points to the Jets. Now,

444
00:18:35,480 --> 00:18:37,919
Speaker 1: what is that Agalore has a practice with an ankle injury?

445
00:18:37,960 --> 00:18:38,760
Speaker 1: Do we know anything about?

446
00:18:38,800 --> 00:18:40,560
Speaker 2: I mean, when I don't know what, it doesn't matter to me.

447
00:18:40,600 --> 00:18:42,439
Speaker 2: I mean, I mean, the only thing that scares me

448
00:18:42,520 --> 00:18:45,760
Speaker 2: is this three all three starting wide altar back to

449
00:18:45,800 --> 00:18:48,400
Speaker 2: the Jets and Sam Darnold.

450
00:18:49,520 --> 00:18:52,680
Speaker 1: They scored three points last week with that exact scenario

451
00:18:52,720 --> 00:18:55,119
Speaker 1: though against the Dolphins. They were all back last week.

452
00:18:55,400 --> 00:18:57,560
Speaker 2: Oh I thought I thought one of them missed last week.

453
00:18:57,600 --> 00:19:00,919
Speaker 1: Now all three were back last week they scored the points.

454
00:19:01,240 --> 00:19:03,119
Speaker 2: Huh okay, y, yeah, I was. I was on the

455
00:19:03,119 --> 00:19:07,240
Speaker 2: Dolphins last week in the circa in my seven look.

456
00:19:07,359 --> 00:19:09,320
Speaker 2: I think at seven and a half, it's it's a

457
00:19:09,400 --> 00:19:11,760
Speaker 2: value play for me. It's the right side, I believe,

458
00:19:11,880 --> 00:19:13,840
Speaker 2: And I think the line's just gonna climb. I think

459
00:19:13,840 --> 00:19:16,640
Speaker 2: they for whatever reason, it's you know, everyone's gonna remember

460
00:19:16,640 --> 00:19:20,520
Speaker 2: what happened last week. The Jets were the team last

461
00:19:20,640 --> 00:19:23,320
Speaker 2: year that the Raiders went across the Country and got

462
00:19:23,359 --> 00:19:26,399
Speaker 2: destroyed in Week twelve, so they've already gotten that out

463
00:19:26,440 --> 00:19:29,480
Speaker 2: of their system, right, And with how angry John Gruden

464
00:19:29,680 --> 00:19:33,080
Speaker 2: was after the loss to the Falcons, I'd be surprised

465
00:19:33,119 --> 00:19:35,439
Speaker 2: if Derek Carr is not coming out and playing really

466
00:19:35,440 --> 00:19:36,200
Speaker 2: well this week.

467
00:19:36,320 --> 00:19:39,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, that was really That's that's the spot where they

468
00:19:40,200 --> 00:19:44,200
Speaker 1: that that's last year's that's this year's version of last

469
00:19:44,240 --> 00:19:46,159
Speaker 1: year's game against the Jets, So that sort of that

470
00:19:46,280 --> 00:19:48,560
Speaker 1: this is a perfect spot for them to be angry

471
00:19:48,560 --> 00:19:50,359
Speaker 1: and bounce back. I don't care if Jacob plays. I

472
00:19:50,359 --> 00:19:52,760
Speaker 1: think DeVante Booker will be more than fine. I think

473
00:19:52,800 --> 00:19:55,399
Speaker 1: the leeble Darren Waller is going to go nuts that

474
00:19:55,600 --> 00:19:57,520
Speaker 1: you know, whether or not aguil or plays. Give me

475
00:19:57,720 --> 00:20:00,400
Speaker 1: Henry Ruggs, give me Hunter Rentro. It's it's not matter.

476
00:20:00,400 --> 00:20:02,800
Speaker 1: And the Jets are abysmal. They're just a terrible football team.

477
00:20:02,840 --> 00:20:04,680
Speaker 1: If you're telling me, I can get them at close

478
00:20:04,760 --> 00:20:06,600
Speaker 1: to a touchdown even with the hook, I don't care.

479
00:20:06,640 --> 00:20:08,480
Speaker 2: So great yea, And the full point of value I

480
00:20:08,520 --> 00:20:10,240
Speaker 2: think matters too. That the West skates at eight and

481
00:20:10,280 --> 00:20:11,600
Speaker 2: a half and we're about seven and a half, so

482
00:20:11,640 --> 00:20:13,560
Speaker 2: we're getting a full point there. So I like that

483
00:20:13,640 --> 00:20:17,119
Speaker 2: a lot. From a value standpoint and an evaluation standpoint,

484
00:20:17,400 --> 00:20:20,159
Speaker 2: Vegas is telling you that this number should be higher.

485
00:20:20,240 --> 00:20:23,080
Speaker 1: Yep, absolutely. Okay, so we've got two two so far.

486
00:20:23,200 --> 00:20:25,200
Speaker 1: That's good. Let's go to your next one.

487
00:20:25,240 --> 00:20:27,359
Speaker 2: All right. I'm going with a play that I've gone

488
00:20:27,400 --> 00:20:30,960
Speaker 2: back and forth with. But our number is different than

489
00:20:31,000 --> 00:20:34,399
Speaker 2: the number in the Westgate here, Kansas City's minus thirteen

490
00:20:34,440 --> 00:20:37,879
Speaker 2: and a half under fourteen. Given what's going on with

491
00:20:37,920 --> 00:20:40,440
Speaker 2: the Denver Broncos, and given the fact that there are

492
00:20:40,440 --> 00:20:42,960
Speaker 2: some real questions right now going on with what the

493
00:20:43,040 --> 00:20:46,320
Speaker 2: Chiefs are looking like. I like the Chiefs miss thirteen

494
00:20:46,359 --> 00:20:48,320
Speaker 2: and a half here to just go and put up

495
00:20:48,359 --> 00:20:50,560
Speaker 2: a big number and kind of quiet down some people

496
00:20:50,640 --> 00:20:53,520
Speaker 2: because they had a chance to just annihilate the Tampa

497
00:20:53,520 --> 00:20:55,080
Speaker 2: Bay Bucks and they took their foot off the gas

498
00:20:55,160 --> 00:20:59,119
Speaker 2: for whatever reason. They've looked bored and uninterested. But I

499
00:20:59,119 --> 00:21:01,400
Speaker 2: don't think Drew Locke it's got much. I don't think

500
00:21:01,440 --> 00:21:03,320
Speaker 2: this defense is going to be able to stop. And

501
00:21:03,400 --> 00:21:05,640
Speaker 2: this is a big rivalry game for the Chiefs at home,

502
00:21:05,920 --> 00:21:09,680
Speaker 2: there'll be some fans there. I just think Kensity destroyed.

503
00:21:09,320 --> 00:21:13,680
Speaker 1: Denver Sunday Nights football, right is it Sunday Night football. Yeah,

504
00:21:14,040 --> 00:21:14,520
Speaker 1: it is right.

505
00:21:14,600 --> 00:21:16,000
Speaker 2: I'm gonna lay the thirteen and a half.

506
00:21:16,359 --> 00:21:18,240
Speaker 1: Okay, I don't hate it, and my guess is we're

507
00:21:18,240 --> 00:21:20,800
Speaker 1: gonna put it in. I worry a little bit about

508
00:21:20,800 --> 00:21:22,879
Speaker 1: the back door cover because they do have a you know,

509
00:21:23,040 --> 00:21:25,120
Speaker 1: Kensady does have a little bit of a history here

510
00:21:25,240 --> 00:21:29,439
Speaker 1: of not not you know, not going full out once.

511
00:21:29,320 --> 00:21:31,080
Speaker 2: Again, it was ever covered in three straight games.

512
00:21:31,200 --> 00:21:32,720
Speaker 1: That what I'm saying.

513
00:21:32,840 --> 00:21:34,920
Speaker 2: So, but I think they're gonna hear that. I think

514
00:21:34,960 --> 00:21:38,280
Speaker 2: that chatter is getting loud and people are saying, can

515
00:21:38,359 --> 00:21:41,119
Speaker 2: you play for you know, four quarters? Can you keep it?

516
00:21:41,160 --> 00:21:43,359
Speaker 2: Can you keep your foot down for all four quarters

517
00:21:43,520 --> 00:21:47,080
Speaker 2: without being bored and disinterested? And look that they only

518
00:21:47,080 --> 00:21:48,800
Speaker 2: had one hundred and one yards in the second half

519
00:21:48,840 --> 00:21:52,159
Speaker 2: of total offense against Tampa. That that shouldn't happened. They

520
00:21:52,200 --> 00:21:54,240
Speaker 2: should have been up by forty in that game.

521
00:21:54,359 --> 00:21:56,960
Speaker 1: As somebody who had the Bucks plus three and a half,

522
00:21:57,040 --> 00:21:59,000
Speaker 1: I was totally fine with it. But yes, I.

523
00:21:58,960 --> 00:22:04,359
Speaker 2: Got it as totally fine. I'd rather be lucky, that's fine, Yeah, fine,

524
00:22:04,400 --> 00:22:06,360
Speaker 2: But a gift from the referees, like.

525
00:22:06,440 --> 00:22:08,399
Speaker 1: I heard, Hey, you know what, by the way, this

526
00:22:08,520 --> 00:22:10,960
Speaker 1: is a good plug Matt for The Daily Jews because

527
00:22:11,000 --> 00:22:13,800
Speaker 1: one of my favorite episodes was this past week where

528
00:22:13,800 --> 00:22:15,720
Speaker 1: you were talking about that game and the Chargers and

529
00:22:15,840 --> 00:22:17,680
Speaker 1: you were breaking that part of it down as well,

530
00:22:17,680 --> 00:22:19,520
Speaker 1: even though I think you won because you had the

531
00:22:19,560 --> 00:22:20,200
Speaker 1: teaser on the train.

532
00:22:20,280 --> 00:22:21,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, I won that bet, But both those bets were

533
00:22:21,960 --> 00:22:24,280
Speaker 2: done because I think that there's some real concerns with

534
00:22:24,400 --> 00:22:27,080
Speaker 2: referees not wanting to be the story. Yeah, and so

535
00:22:27,119 --> 00:22:29,720
Speaker 2: they're they're they're petrified. I'm not saying they're fixing games.

536
00:22:29,720 --> 00:22:32,000
Speaker 2: I'm saying they're scared to be the story, right, And

537
00:22:32,040 --> 00:22:34,320
Speaker 2: so they were afraid that they had just done that

538
00:22:34,359 --> 00:22:37,520
Speaker 2: Patrick Mahomes pass interference call and that they were going

539
00:22:37,560 --> 00:22:39,199
Speaker 2: to be the story because it was going to be

540
00:22:39,200 --> 00:22:42,120
Speaker 2: a field goal by the Chiefs. And then the game

541
00:22:42,200 --> 00:22:45,200
Speaker 2: is over and the primetime afternoon slot no one's watching

542
00:22:45,200 --> 00:22:47,840
Speaker 2: anymore because the game's over. So they want the drama.

543
00:22:48,080 --> 00:22:49,680
Speaker 2: And the way you get the drama is to keep

544
00:22:49,720 --> 00:22:52,600
Speaker 2: that game within ten points until they threw flag flag flag,

545
00:22:52,960 --> 00:22:55,080
Speaker 2: and they weren't the story anymore. It was the near

546
00:22:55,119 --> 00:22:56,639
Speaker 2: comeback and the Chiefs began the story.

547
00:22:56,840 --> 00:22:59,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, So I'm gonna put that one in pencil my

548
00:22:59,080 --> 00:23:01,920
Speaker 1: guess is that's going. But I'm totally fine with that night.

549
00:23:02,280 --> 00:23:04,960
Speaker 1: You know, from a purely personal standpoint, there are a

550
00:23:04,960 --> 00:23:08,240
Speaker 1: few things I enjoy more generally speaking than betting on Mahomes.

551
00:23:08,280 --> 00:23:09,720
Speaker 1: I haven't done it in a few weeks, so that's

552
00:23:09,720 --> 00:23:12,200
Speaker 1: probably why I feel that way, considering they haven't covered.

553
00:23:12,240 --> 00:23:14,000
Speaker 1: But yeah, I think that's going to be one that

554
00:23:14,040 --> 00:23:16,960
Speaker 1: we'll put in. I'm fine with that. How do you feel,

555
00:23:17,040 --> 00:23:19,480
Speaker 1: Matt about one of the next ones out. I actually

556
00:23:19,800 --> 00:23:21,679
Speaker 1: kind of went back and forth a little bit on this.

557
00:23:22,000 --> 00:23:24,679
Speaker 1: The spread though it's under a field goal. I realized

558
00:23:24,920 --> 00:23:27,159
Speaker 1: it's a home dog, so you know, you think about that.

559
00:23:27,200 --> 00:23:31,480
Speaker 1: But the Saints minus two and a half against the Falcons,

560
00:23:31,960 --> 00:23:34,160
Speaker 1: I've kind of analyzed this both ways. I don't think

561
00:23:34,200 --> 00:23:35,840
Speaker 1: that Julio Jones is going to play in this one,

562
00:23:35,880 --> 00:23:38,720
Speaker 1: because he practiced on Wednesday limited, then he was out

563
00:23:39,000 --> 00:23:42,240
Speaker 1: today from practice on Thursday, which isn't usually a good sign.

564
00:23:42,480 --> 00:23:46,080
Speaker 1: And if Jones doesn't play, the team just doesn't play well. Now,

565
00:23:46,240 --> 00:23:48,080
Speaker 1: I think you can throw out kind of what happened

566
00:23:48,080 --> 00:23:50,720
Speaker 1: in that first game two weeks ago, because they didn't

567
00:23:50,720 --> 00:23:52,960
Speaker 1: even know whether or not Taysom Hill was going to play,

568
00:23:53,119 --> 00:23:54,840
Speaker 1: and so they didn't know how to prepare necessarily. And

569
00:23:54,880 --> 00:23:57,440
Speaker 1: Atlanta is playing better, their defense is playing better. But

570
00:23:57,640 --> 00:23:59,639
Speaker 1: to take away Julio Jones, you might take away Todd Gurley.

571
00:24:00,000 --> 00:24:01,879
Speaker 1: I don't really know if that matters. I just feel

572
00:24:01,880 --> 00:24:05,440
Speaker 1: like it's going to be tough for them to hang

573
00:24:05,480 --> 00:24:07,840
Speaker 1: with them when when Sean Payton's kind of got the buy,

574
00:24:08,240 --> 00:24:10,520
Speaker 1: you know, in his sights at this point. So I

575
00:24:10,560 --> 00:24:12,159
Speaker 1: would take the Saints laying two and a half on

576
00:24:12,160 --> 00:24:13,240
Speaker 1: the road against Falcons.

577
00:24:13,320 --> 00:24:16,200
Speaker 2: It's on my list, and I was talked into it

578
00:24:16,280 --> 00:24:19,040
Speaker 2: by Eric Eager from Pro Football Focus because I was

579
00:24:19,080 --> 00:24:21,159
Speaker 2: gonna I was on the Falcons till you know.

580
00:24:21,240 --> 00:24:23,440
Speaker 1: I was so funny, man, I was on the Falcons

581
00:24:23,440 --> 00:24:25,280
Speaker 1: originally too. Yea, that's so funny that you got I.

582
00:24:25,240 --> 00:24:26,680
Speaker 2: Was on the Falcons. And then I had a long

583
00:24:26,720 --> 00:24:28,480
Speaker 2: talk with Eric Giger on my radio show about it,

584
00:24:28,480 --> 00:24:29,919
Speaker 2: and he basically broke it down like this, And I

585
00:24:29,920 --> 00:24:31,720
Speaker 2: think it's a fair way of saying it if you

586
00:24:31,800 --> 00:24:33,960
Speaker 2: go and watch the first half of the game, because

587
00:24:34,000 --> 00:24:36,800
Speaker 2: I was on the over for that game, and it's

588
00:24:36,800 --> 00:24:39,240
Speaker 2: only the second time in the last twenty years where

589
00:24:39,240 --> 00:24:42,400
Speaker 2: one team scored forty three points and the under actually hit.

590
00:24:42,960 --> 00:24:45,560
Speaker 2: So I had forty three points from the Falcons in

591
00:24:45,600 --> 00:24:47,320
Speaker 2: a total of fifty four and a half and I

592
00:24:47,480 --> 00:24:50,240
Speaker 2: missed that bet. That's how bad I have been gambling

593
00:24:50,240 --> 00:24:53,399
Speaker 2: over the last seven days. That type of once in

594
00:24:53,440 --> 00:24:56,840
Speaker 2: a blue moon twice in twenty years type of freak

595
00:24:57,000 --> 00:24:59,840
Speaker 2: show game happens when I'm on the over in forty

596
00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:02,800
Speaker 2: three points on one side scores and the Raiders do nothing.

597
00:25:03,119 --> 00:25:04,800
Speaker 2: If you look at the four to three points, it

598
00:25:04,840 --> 00:25:07,399
Speaker 2: was all done basically in the last third of the

599
00:25:07,440 --> 00:25:11,359
Speaker 2: game through turnovers and mistakes by the Raiders. So three

600
00:25:11,359 --> 00:25:13,639
Speaker 2: and outs and four turnovers for the Raiders and a

601
00:25:13,680 --> 00:25:16,639
Speaker 2: pick six and whatnot. You have to get that again

602
00:25:16,680 --> 00:25:19,040
Speaker 2: if you're gonna back the Falcons because their offense did

603
00:25:19,080 --> 00:25:20,040
Speaker 2: not do very much.

604
00:25:20,280 --> 00:25:20,480
Speaker 1: Yep.

605
00:25:20,560 --> 00:25:23,440
Speaker 2: So going into this game against the Saints, it's like, Okay,

606
00:25:23,440 --> 00:25:25,679
Speaker 2: how big of a drop off is Taysom Hill to

607
00:25:25,880 --> 00:25:29,520
Speaker 2: this year's version of Drew Brees, not the historic Drew Brees,

608
00:25:29,760 --> 00:25:32,679
Speaker 2: this year's version of Drew Brees, And up to this point,

609
00:25:33,040 --> 00:25:34,840
Speaker 2: I haven't seen that big of a drop off with

610
00:25:34,880 --> 00:25:37,800
Speaker 2: their offense. Different guys are getting the football, but their

611
00:25:37,840 --> 00:25:40,400
Speaker 2: offense as a productive as being able to produce, has

612
00:25:40,440 --> 00:25:42,560
Speaker 2: not had that mediocre you know'll fall off the table.

613
00:25:42,680 --> 00:25:45,159
Speaker 2: Taysom Hill can't play the position that people thought was

614
00:25:45,200 --> 00:25:47,479
Speaker 2: gonna happen. Here, I'm laying less than a field goal

615
00:25:47,480 --> 00:25:49,440
Speaker 2: and I got the Saints defense and Matt Ryan without

616
00:25:49,520 --> 00:25:51,280
Speaker 2: Julio Jones. Yeah, Sat.

617
00:25:51,960 --> 00:25:53,359
Speaker 1: I mean, I think it's a little weird because I

618
00:25:53,400 --> 00:25:54,679
Speaker 1: don't feel like I have a good sense of how

619
00:25:54,720 --> 00:25:57,400
Speaker 1: to analyze Hill yet this last game against the Broncos

620
00:25:57,480 --> 00:26:00,520
Speaker 1: was you can throw that entirely, Yeah right there, touchdown,

621
00:26:00,560 --> 00:26:02,600
Speaker 1: and it was this game is over, so that that's

622
00:26:02,640 --> 00:26:05,439
Speaker 1: really all it was. I'd like to see camarrogant more involved.

623
00:26:05,440 --> 00:26:07,320
Speaker 1: I mean, he had barely involved in the past game,

624
00:26:07,359 --> 00:26:08,960
Speaker 1: in all the past couple of games. But I think

625
00:26:09,000 --> 00:26:11,360
Speaker 1: when he needs to, when he needs to go beyond

626
00:26:11,600 --> 00:26:14,760
Speaker 1: just the you know, running quarterback that he's been doing

627
00:26:14,760 --> 00:26:17,320
Speaker 1: so effectively. I think he completed eighteen of twenty three

628
00:26:17,359 --> 00:26:18,840
Speaker 1: in that first game against the Lane. Anyway, he can

629
00:26:18,880 --> 00:26:20,840
Speaker 1: throw the ball, he can throw the ball to Michael Thomas.

630
00:26:21,080 --> 00:26:23,320
Speaker 1: So it just, you know, it's funny because oriusually I

631
00:26:23,359 --> 00:26:25,200
Speaker 1: was also on Atlanta, but the more I kind of

632
00:26:25,240 --> 00:26:28,000
Speaker 1: dug into it, especially again with the pessimistic reports here

633
00:26:28,040 --> 00:26:30,720
Speaker 1: about Jones and maybe Girly. I would rather just take

634
00:26:30,800 --> 00:26:33,000
Speaker 1: you know, a team the same if anything like, I'm

635
00:26:33,040 --> 00:26:35,040
Speaker 1: happy to rely on the Saints defense. It's been playing

636
00:26:35,200 --> 00:26:37,159
Speaker 1: well and I think they're gonna have a good game here,

637
00:26:37,200 --> 00:26:38,880
Speaker 1: So okay, I'll put that one in. Then that's good.

638
00:26:38,880 --> 00:26:40,359
Speaker 1: We're on the same side. Go ahead, you got any

639
00:26:40,400 --> 00:26:40,919
Speaker 1: more that you like?

640
00:26:41,160 --> 00:26:46,840
Speaker 2: One more and it's I'm fading myself because I want

641
00:26:46,880 --> 00:26:49,919
Speaker 2: to take this team because I have been profitable with

642
00:26:49,960 --> 00:26:51,720
Speaker 2: this team. I led this team a lot. It was

643
00:26:51,760 --> 00:26:55,159
Speaker 2: my team of the year coming into the season. But

644
00:26:55,200 --> 00:26:56,720
Speaker 2: I'm gonna take the five and a half with the

645
00:26:56,720 --> 00:26:57,960
Speaker 2: Browns against the Titans.

646
00:26:58,320 --> 00:26:58,960
Speaker 1: Wow.

647
00:26:59,080 --> 00:27:01,840
Speaker 2: And I think this is a low scoring I think

648
00:27:01,840 --> 00:27:05,040
Speaker 2: this is a fast moving game. You're talking about both

649
00:27:05,080 --> 00:27:07,560
Speaker 2: teams that are just gonna line up and run the football,

650
00:27:07,640 --> 00:27:12,920
Speaker 2: and it's Chubb versus h Henry. And I think it's

651
00:27:12,960 --> 00:27:15,520
Speaker 2: a three point win for the Titans. It opened up

652
00:27:15,520 --> 00:27:17,320
Speaker 2: a three and a half. It's been bet up to

653
00:27:17,400 --> 00:27:20,080
Speaker 2: five and a half now to six at some books,

654
00:27:20,320 --> 00:27:22,840
Speaker 2: and it's climbing. I just think at five and a

655
00:27:22,840 --> 00:27:24,959
Speaker 2: half and six, I just think you take the points

656
00:27:24,960 --> 00:27:27,280
Speaker 2: here and take the dog and look for a twenty

657
00:27:27,280 --> 00:27:29,520
Speaker 2: four to twenty win for the Titans.

658
00:27:30,200 --> 00:27:33,080
Speaker 1: Interesting. So I actually this is I don't have a

659
00:27:33,160 --> 00:27:36,600
Speaker 1: lean whatsoever on this game, Like I really don't. I

660
00:27:36,640 --> 00:27:38,159
Speaker 1: don't know how to feel. I knew we weren't going

661
00:27:38,240 --> 00:27:40,840
Speaker 1: to be talking. I frankly, I thought we just weren't

662
00:27:40,840 --> 00:27:42,520
Speaker 1: going to be talking much about this game because it

663
00:27:42,560 --> 00:27:44,040
Speaker 1: was a five and a half. So I knew you

664
00:27:44,040 --> 00:27:46,040
Speaker 1: couldn't take the Titans, because I know you hate doing

665
00:27:46,040 --> 00:27:48,000
Speaker 1: that with any favorite laying five and a half. But

666
00:27:48,040 --> 00:27:50,880
Speaker 1: I didn't think that you'd go against the Titans, especially

667
00:27:50,880 --> 00:27:53,080
Speaker 1: not how they live there. I mean, I don't know.

668
00:27:53,200 --> 00:27:54,919
Speaker 1: I don't know how good the Browns are. This is

669
00:27:55,000 --> 00:27:57,960
Speaker 1: really free, right, don't they They don't.

670
00:27:57,680 --> 00:28:00,280
Speaker 2: They don't need to be good here. They just keep

671
00:28:00,320 --> 00:28:02,639
Speaker 2: the game close. I don't even win the game. But

672
00:28:02,840 --> 00:28:05,560
Speaker 2: I think if it's three, I'm all over the Titans

673
00:28:05,720 --> 00:28:07,800
Speaker 2: three and a half, I might even take the Titans.

674
00:28:08,080 --> 00:28:10,840
Speaker 2: But at five and a half, I just think it's

675
00:28:10,840 --> 00:28:13,320
Speaker 2: a numbers play for me more than anything, because everything

676
00:28:13,359 --> 00:28:15,119
Speaker 2: is screaming the Titans at five and a half, and

677
00:28:15,160 --> 00:28:16,640
Speaker 2: I think it's gonna be one of the more popular

678
00:28:16,640 --> 00:28:18,680
Speaker 2: plays of the week. Is gonna be on the Titans.

679
00:28:19,119 --> 00:28:22,080
Speaker 2: So I'm just I'm fading that feeling. I'm fading that

680
00:28:22,160 --> 00:28:24,879
Speaker 2: momentum because I think the Browns have the ability to

681
00:28:24,960 --> 00:28:27,440
Speaker 2: run the football and keep it close and keep the

682
00:28:27,480 --> 00:28:29,880
Speaker 2: football away. And yeah, the Browns do have a negative

683
00:28:29,920 --> 00:28:32,720
Speaker 2: point differential of twenty one points. Yeah, and the Titans

684
00:28:32,760 --> 00:28:34,520
Speaker 2: on the other side, the Titans are plus thirty nine.

685
00:28:35,040 --> 00:28:37,760
Speaker 2: But I just think that the Browns are giving up

686
00:28:37,760 --> 00:28:41,360
Speaker 2: two hundred and eighty six points a game. That's not horrific. Great,

687
00:28:41,360 --> 00:28:44,479
Speaker 2: but it's not horrific. They're scoring two sixty five, But

688
00:28:44,720 --> 00:28:46,480
Speaker 2: I mean they're five and one in home, that three

689
00:28:46,480 --> 00:28:49,200
Speaker 2: and two on the road. Are they overrated at eight

690
00:28:49,200 --> 00:28:51,520
Speaker 2: and three? Of course they're overrated at eight eight and three.

691
00:28:51,560 --> 00:28:53,520
Speaker 2: They're not gonna win this game, but I think they

692
00:28:53,560 --> 00:28:55,840
Speaker 2: can make enough plays given the fact that I think

693
00:28:55,880 --> 00:28:57,920
Speaker 2: both teams are gonna run the ball a lot, that

694
00:28:58,000 --> 00:28:59,800
Speaker 2: I think there's a chance the game is close.

695
00:29:00,120 --> 00:29:02,080
Speaker 1: Okay, Well, I don't hate it. I want to put

696
00:29:02,080 --> 00:29:04,960
Speaker 1: it on the potential list for sure, because you kind

697
00:29:04,960 --> 00:29:06,480
Speaker 1: of talking me into it. You're kind of talking me

698
00:29:06,520 --> 00:29:08,120
Speaker 1: into it. I like where your head is at, and

699
00:29:08,320 --> 00:29:10,160
Speaker 1: I think it does make a lot of sense. There's

700
00:29:10,160 --> 00:29:12,440
Speaker 1: going to be so much running in this game, yeah,

701
00:29:12,520 --> 00:29:15,479
Speaker 1: that it's just going to be ridiculous. I don't you know.

702
00:29:15,640 --> 00:29:18,960
Speaker 1: I hate relying on Mayfield just because I watching him

703
00:29:18,960 --> 00:29:21,080
Speaker 1: miss some of those throws in the end zone just

704
00:29:21,400 --> 00:29:24,400
Speaker 1: pisses me off. But I will say that I think

705
00:29:24,480 --> 00:29:26,640
Speaker 1: the it's probably going to be a field goal game

706
00:29:27,200 --> 00:29:30,160
Speaker 1: does make sense, especially you know. I also kind of

707
00:29:30,280 --> 00:29:34,280
Speaker 1: like a little bit selling the Titans after that ginormous

708
00:29:34,320 --> 00:29:36,680
Speaker 1: win last week. I feel like they could come down there,

709
00:29:36,800 --> 00:29:38,720
Speaker 1: So I'll put it on the maybe list. I like it,

710
00:29:38,760 --> 00:29:40,280
Speaker 1: all right? Do you have any that was it? Right?

711
00:29:40,280 --> 00:29:41,840
Speaker 2: That was your last seven? Yep?

712
00:29:42,240 --> 00:29:44,440
Speaker 1: All right, So now I don't have any others really

713
00:29:44,440 --> 00:29:46,080
Speaker 1: that I was. I was leaning towards one way or

714
00:29:46,120 --> 00:29:47,880
Speaker 1: the other. So let's talk through a couple of other games.

715
00:29:47,920 --> 00:29:50,680
Speaker 1: Let's see maybe if by talking it through we like

716
00:29:50,720 --> 00:29:53,120
Speaker 1: any of them. Let's start, and this is I'm surprised, Matt.

717
00:29:53,240 --> 00:29:55,560
Speaker 1: I'm surprised that one of the games that you are

718
00:29:55,600 --> 00:29:59,640
Speaker 1: not taking is the forty nine ers getting one and

719
00:29:59,680 --> 00:30:01,680
Speaker 1: a half against the Bills. I thought you would love

720
00:30:01,720 --> 00:30:03,000
Speaker 1: to fade the Bills in this spot.

721
00:30:03,480 --> 00:30:06,560
Speaker 2: I can't hear I can't touch the forty nine ers.

722
00:30:06,600 --> 00:30:08,600
Speaker 2: I just I what are they?

723
00:30:08,880 --> 00:30:12,560
Speaker 1: I don't know, why, don't know, I don't.

724
00:30:14,160 --> 00:30:17,080
Speaker 2: Certain weeks they rise up and it's like, oh my gosh,

725
00:30:17,160 --> 00:30:19,240
Speaker 2: they actually can run the football, and in other weeks

726
00:30:19,280 --> 00:30:20,440
Speaker 2: they can't tie their shoes.

727
00:30:20,600 --> 00:30:23,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, so like I I have those start back now,

728
00:30:24,000 --> 00:30:27,120
Speaker 1: so you know which is big? Yep, that defense. Obviously

729
00:30:27,160 --> 00:30:29,200
Speaker 1: they got Sherman back, so they got a little healthier

730
00:30:29,440 --> 00:30:31,440
Speaker 1: at the defense. Now. I don't really I don't want

731
00:30:31,440 --> 00:30:33,520
Speaker 1: this game, Matt, but if there were a side, I

732
00:30:33,520 --> 00:30:36,040
Speaker 1: would take the forty nine ers. It's on Monday night

733
00:30:36,040 --> 00:30:37,920
Speaker 1: football and now they're not home. I don't really know

734
00:30:37,960 --> 00:30:40,440
Speaker 1: when they're not. That matters, right, they're playing in Arizona.

735
00:30:41,080 --> 00:30:43,400
Speaker 2: I have no idea what that means. I mean, how

736
00:30:43,400 --> 00:30:45,200
Speaker 2: do you? I mean, I think that actually is a

737
00:30:45,200 --> 00:30:47,320
Speaker 2: good thing for San Francisco to kind of get out

738
00:30:47,360 --> 00:30:49,120
Speaker 2: of there and just be you know, it's it's just

739
00:30:49,640 --> 00:30:52,000
Speaker 2: play the game, that's it. And I think the first

740
00:30:52,040 --> 00:30:54,440
Speaker 2: game of the two is probably better than the second

741
00:30:54,480 --> 00:30:57,920
Speaker 2: game because just reading the reports that you know, the

742
00:30:57,960 --> 00:31:00,400
Speaker 2: players aren't allowed to be around each other except for

743
00:31:00,520 --> 00:31:03,960
Speaker 2: they can't communicate except for zoom. Yeah, so like I

744
00:31:04,360 --> 00:31:07,920
Speaker 2: guess Kyle Shanahan said to the team that please let

745
00:31:08,000 --> 00:31:10,240
Speaker 2: him know if any players are having mental problems and

746
00:31:10,280 --> 00:31:12,600
Speaker 2: they're breaking down, which I don't think happens in the

747
00:31:12,640 --> 00:31:14,960
Speaker 2: first week, but could happen in the second week. So

748
00:31:15,400 --> 00:31:17,560
Speaker 2: I may be more concerned about next home game than

749
00:31:17,560 --> 00:31:20,240
Speaker 2: this home game. But I mean, it's the Bills on

750
00:31:20,280 --> 00:31:23,640
Speaker 2: the road. It's the Bills with Josh Allen, who throws

751
00:31:23,720 --> 00:31:27,720
Speaker 2: picks the number. To me, you would think this number

752
00:31:27,760 --> 00:31:30,040
Speaker 2: is higher, Okay, you would think so. I think the

753
00:31:30,080 --> 00:31:32,640
Speaker 2: books right there are laying the groundwork for a bit

754
00:31:32,680 --> 00:31:35,640
Speaker 2: of a trap, and I think everyone comes in on

755
00:31:35,680 --> 00:31:38,480
Speaker 2: Buffalo heavy and then watch San Francis go win the

756
00:31:38,480 --> 00:31:38,880
Speaker 2: game out.

757
00:31:38,840 --> 00:31:41,000
Speaker 1: Right, right, That's kind of how I thought. I thought,

758
00:31:41,040 --> 00:31:43,720
Speaker 1: that's possible to be a game where this is this

759
00:31:44,000 --> 00:31:46,720
Speaker 1: the number of the number set at begging people to

760
00:31:46,760 --> 00:31:47,360
Speaker 1: bet Buffalo.

761
00:31:47,520 --> 00:31:49,360
Speaker 2: In my mind, I mean, maybe it is, but I

762
00:31:49,400 --> 00:31:52,000
Speaker 2: mean I just to go ahead and take Nick Mullens

763
00:31:52,080 --> 00:31:55,320
Speaker 2: and say Nick Mollins is gonna I mean what I

764
00:31:55,360 --> 00:31:55,760
Speaker 2: am not.

765
00:31:56,240 --> 00:31:58,560
Speaker 1: I'm not pounding the table for this game. I will

766
00:31:58,560 --> 00:32:01,040
Speaker 1: say though, that I be on the forty nine ers

767
00:32:01,040 --> 00:32:02,320
Speaker 1: if we want to go on away like if you

768
00:32:02,360 --> 00:32:04,120
Speaker 1: came in and said the Bills, which of course I

769
00:32:04,200 --> 00:32:06,520
Speaker 1: knew you wouldn't, I would be like, whoa, whoa, whoa.

770
00:32:06,640 --> 00:32:08,880
Speaker 1: Not I don't. I don't feel good about that, but

771
00:32:09,440 --> 00:32:11,720
Speaker 1: I do lean the forty nine ers for basically the

772
00:32:11,760 --> 00:32:15,360
Speaker 1: reasons we're discussing. But yeah, too many variables. Okay, how

773
00:32:15,400 --> 00:32:18,880
Speaker 1: about the Bears who are laying three and a half

774
00:32:18,960 --> 00:32:20,840
Speaker 1: against the Lions in Chicago.

775
00:32:21,360 --> 00:32:23,920
Speaker 2: I can't even like, like, what do you do with

776
00:32:23,960 --> 00:32:24,440
Speaker 2: this game?

777
00:32:24,640 --> 00:32:24,920
Speaker 1: Yeah?

778
00:32:24,920 --> 00:32:29,800
Speaker 2: So the Lions fire Matt Patricia. I mean, sometimes teams

779
00:32:29,880 --> 00:32:32,280
Speaker 2: rebound and playing, Sometimes teams rally right when they.

780
00:32:32,520 --> 00:32:36,000
Speaker 1: I think that usually generally speaking, their support for the

781
00:32:36,040 --> 00:32:39,640
Speaker 1: notion that teams play better the first game.

782
00:32:39,520 --> 00:32:43,160
Speaker 2: Yeah than after a coach. Yeah, so maybe it's you know,

783
00:32:43,800 --> 00:32:47,040
Speaker 2: hooray ding dong the Wicked, which is dead. Okay, maybe

784
00:32:47,120 --> 00:32:48,880
Speaker 2: that works right, And maybe there's this like win one

785
00:32:48,920 --> 00:32:51,760
Speaker 2: for the Gipper thing. But I mean the Lions are

786
00:32:51,840 --> 00:32:57,080
Speaker 2: trash yeah, okay, there, their roster is trash aside from

787
00:32:57,120 --> 00:33:01,120
Speaker 2: just the team being coached, like trash, their rosters. Yeah,

788
00:33:01,160 --> 00:33:03,200
Speaker 2: and the Bears. You want me to pick the baar?

789
00:33:03,280 --> 00:33:07,880
Speaker 2: I mean, like I'm gonna back the Bears to do anything. Yeah,

790
00:33:07,920 --> 00:33:08,960
Speaker 2: I can't even.

791
00:33:08,880 --> 00:33:12,760
Speaker 1: Like, no, I would, I will be honest that I

792
00:33:12,800 --> 00:33:15,920
Speaker 1: would probably be okay to back the Bears if it

793
00:33:15,960 --> 00:33:18,960
Speaker 1: were three or less. Not when you're over three. Because

794
00:33:19,320 --> 00:33:21,840
Speaker 1: the Bears, I think are going to be able to

795
00:33:22,080 --> 00:33:26,040
Speaker 1: do really to whatever they you know, whatever the high

796
00:33:26,120 --> 00:33:28,880
Speaker 1: end of their limitations are on offense, I think they're

797
00:33:28,920 --> 00:33:30,680
Speaker 1: going to be hit. They're going to be able to

798
00:33:30,760 --> 00:33:32,560
Speaker 1: hit the high end. I think Montgomery is gonna be

799
00:33:32,560 --> 00:33:34,760
Speaker 1: able to run all day long. I think Alan Robinson

800
00:33:34,840 --> 00:33:36,400
Speaker 1: is going to be in for a big day. And

801
00:33:36,520 --> 00:33:39,080
Speaker 1: for Matthew Stafford. There's not gonna be any Kenny Galladay

802
00:33:39,120 --> 00:33:41,840
Speaker 1: in this game. I guess DeAndre Swift is gonna play.

803
00:33:41,840 --> 00:33:44,320
Speaker 1: There was all the weird stuff this morning about how

804
00:33:44,320 --> 00:33:46,560
Speaker 1: it sounded like maybe it's not out of the concussion protocol.

805
00:33:46,600 --> 00:33:48,320
Speaker 1: Now it says he is, but he didn't practice with

806
00:33:48,360 --> 00:33:51,480
Speaker 1: an illness. Who knows. They don't have the playmakers. I

807
00:33:51,480 --> 00:33:53,520
Speaker 1: think Chicago wins this game. So if I could get

808
00:33:53,560 --> 00:33:56,760
Speaker 1: it at a field goal or less, I probably would

809
00:33:56,800 --> 00:33:59,400
Speaker 1: like that. I don't like it though, overfield goal at

810
00:33:59,440 --> 00:34:00,000
Speaker 1: three and a half.

811
00:34:00,080 --> 00:34:02,880
Speaker 2: The line is three right now, but not for us.

812
00:34:02,440 --> 00:34:05,400
Speaker 1: Correct the line is three right now the consensus line.

813
00:34:05,520 --> 00:34:06,920
Speaker 1: If you go to betting pros dot com you can

814
00:34:06,960 --> 00:34:09,040
Speaker 1: see it. And I do have I do have it

815
00:34:09,080 --> 00:34:11,759
Speaker 1: at three. I have placed a wager, not not the

816
00:34:11,840 --> 00:34:14,279
Speaker 1: larg winder, but I placed the wager at the Bears three.

817
00:34:14,320 --> 00:34:15,400
Speaker 1: I don't like it a three and a half. That

818
00:34:15,480 --> 00:34:17,560
Speaker 1: gets me a little nervous, and I'm certainly not back

819
00:34:17,560 --> 00:34:21,360
Speaker 1: in the lines under any circumstances. Eagles getting eight and

820
00:34:21,400 --> 00:34:23,680
Speaker 1: a half against the Packers in Green Bay.

821
00:34:24,280 --> 00:34:28,759
Speaker 2: So I have Dave Sheapin, who's a longtime book maker

822
00:34:28,800 --> 00:34:30,759
Speaker 2: who's been on The Daily Juice a couple of times.

823
00:34:30,840 --> 00:34:32,640
Speaker 2: He's great, and he's on my show all the time.

824
00:34:32,840 --> 00:34:34,920
Speaker 2: So him and I went back and forth this morning

825
00:34:34,920 --> 00:34:39,200
Speaker 2: on this game. Because this is given the last two weeks,

826
00:34:39,280 --> 00:34:41,760
Speaker 2: I would not I wouldn't take one of our valuable

827
00:34:41,760 --> 00:34:46,239
Speaker 2: five picks and use this. But this might be worth

828
00:34:46,239 --> 00:34:49,759
Speaker 2: the money play for me because everyone is going to

829
00:34:49,800 --> 00:34:52,839
Speaker 2: be on Green Bay yep. The world will be on

830
00:34:52,880 --> 00:34:55,120
Speaker 2: Green Bay, yep. The number is going to go to

831
00:34:55,200 --> 00:34:58,600
Speaker 2: ten yep. And I'm gonna take the Eagles yep. I

832
00:34:59,640 --> 00:35:01,799
Speaker 2: mean it's eight and a half for us, right, it's

833
00:35:01,800 --> 00:35:03,840
Speaker 2: eight and a half for us. So I thought about it.

834
00:35:03,880 --> 00:35:04,680
Speaker 2: I mean, I really did.

835
00:35:04,760 --> 00:35:06,560
Speaker 1: And if you had come in here, if you would

836
00:35:06,560 --> 00:35:08,560
Speaker 1: come in here and said I want the Eagles eight

837
00:35:08,560 --> 00:35:10,560
Speaker 1: and a half, that would be in the contest match.

838
00:35:10,920 --> 00:35:11,840
Speaker 1: That's where I'm at it.

839
00:35:11,880 --> 00:35:13,799
Speaker 2: I'm we eat a fourth, So I'm not a poster.

840
00:35:13,880 --> 00:35:15,440
Speaker 2: I mean, I'm telling you, I'm gonna bet this game,

841
00:35:15,440 --> 00:35:17,840
Speaker 2: and I'm going to bet the Eagles. And and Dave's

842
00:35:17,960 --> 00:35:19,919
Speaker 2: Dave thinks something saying He's like, this.

843
00:35:19,840 --> 00:35:22,200
Speaker 1: Is really this strikes me as a game that he

844
00:35:22,239 --> 00:35:22,960
Speaker 1: thinks that nuts.

845
00:35:23,000 --> 00:35:25,280
Speaker 2: He thinks I'm crazy to go ahead to go against

846
00:35:25,360 --> 00:35:26,520
Speaker 2: Rogers in green.

847
00:35:26,360 --> 00:35:27,799
Speaker 1: Bay like that that's fair.

848
00:35:28,160 --> 00:35:30,239
Speaker 2: And he thinks, like, what are you doing going up

849
00:35:30,239 --> 00:35:32,440
Speaker 2: against the Green Bay Packers? And you know, given the

850
00:35:32,480 --> 00:35:35,200
Speaker 2: fact that Philly can't stop anybody. But I just think

851
00:35:35,200 --> 00:35:36,919
Speaker 2: that this is an Eagles team. I don't like Doug

852
00:35:36,920 --> 00:35:39,080
Speaker 2: Peterson at all. I don't like Carson Wentz at all.

853
00:35:39,560 --> 00:35:41,640
Speaker 2: But you're going to a part of the country where

854
00:35:41,640 --> 00:35:45,120
Speaker 2: Carson Wentz played football college football, and you're going into

855
00:35:45,160 --> 00:35:47,800
Speaker 2: an environment where he needs to go and do something

856
00:35:47,800 --> 00:35:51,319
Speaker 2: to justify his job. And if he takes Green Bay

857
00:35:51,360 --> 00:35:53,480
Speaker 2: to the wire and they lose by a field goal.

858
00:35:53,680 --> 00:35:57,080
Speaker 2: So what I just I think Philly's in the game

859
00:35:57,560 --> 00:36:00,960
Speaker 2: and eight and a half, it is prime for a beat, right,

860
00:36:01,320 --> 00:36:02,440
Speaker 2: prime for a backdoor.

861
00:36:02,520 --> 00:36:05,480
Speaker 1: And you know that, you know the Eagles, you know

862
00:36:05,600 --> 00:36:11,000
Speaker 1: Wentz right exact. Now, that's that's pretty extenuating circumstances. But yes,

863
00:36:11,080 --> 00:36:13,120
Speaker 1: I agree with that. And really, the way I look

864
00:36:13,160 --> 00:36:17,200
Speaker 1: at this game is that the Eagles defense is not terrible.

865
00:36:17,280 --> 00:36:20,000
Speaker 1: I mean, they can stop the run at the very least,

866
00:36:20,239 --> 00:36:23,719
Speaker 1: and the Packers can't stop the run. And why I

867
00:36:23,840 --> 00:36:26,280
Speaker 1: realized that Seattle has a better run defense in pass defense,

868
00:36:26,320 --> 00:36:28,399
Speaker 1: although they did, I mean, their defense as a whole

869
00:36:28,480 --> 00:36:30,719
Speaker 1: is getting better right now. But the idea that Peterson

870
00:36:30,800 --> 00:36:33,200
Speaker 1: came out and it was first and five to start

871
00:36:33,239 --> 00:36:36,600
Speaker 1: that game after the penalty, and he threw three straight

872
00:36:36,680 --> 00:36:40,279
Speaker 1: times absolutely mind boggling. I think there's got to be

873
00:36:40,360 --> 00:36:43,719
Speaker 1: a realization that, like, look, I get that, you know,

874
00:36:43,800 --> 00:36:46,200
Speaker 1: we want to fix Carson Wentz, but maybe the way

875
00:36:46,200 --> 00:36:48,399
Speaker 1: you fix Carson Wentz is to establish a running game

876
00:36:48,400 --> 00:36:50,680
Speaker 1: a little bit with Miles Sanders and everything like that.

877
00:36:50,719 --> 00:36:53,719
Speaker 1: So I do think they're gonna run run the ball

878
00:36:53,840 --> 00:36:56,799
Speaker 1: a ton here against you saw what Montgomery did last week.

879
00:36:56,880 --> 00:36:58,880
Speaker 1: I think They're gonna run the ball a ton in

880
00:36:58,920 --> 00:37:01,040
Speaker 1: this game. It's going to rain the clock, it's gonna

881
00:37:01,040 --> 00:37:02,960
Speaker 1: be able to keep it close, keep Rogers off the field.

882
00:37:03,000 --> 00:37:06,040
Speaker 1: And yeah, I don't mind Philadelphia here. I mean again,

883
00:37:06,080 --> 00:37:07,400
Speaker 1: this is sort of the same thing. And be like,

884
00:37:07,680 --> 00:37:10,279
Speaker 1: am I really ready to back a team like the

885
00:37:10,320 --> 00:37:14,160
Speaker 1: Bears or the Lions or you like? But if you

886
00:37:14,160 --> 00:37:15,799
Speaker 1: would come and been like, yeah, I'm gonna put on

887
00:37:15,800 --> 00:37:17,439
Speaker 1: the maybe list and when we get to the final ones,

888
00:37:17,440 --> 00:37:20,960
Speaker 1: we'll talk about it, I guess. But gross Bengals getting

889
00:37:21,000 --> 00:37:23,279
Speaker 1: eleven and a half from the Dolphins in Miami.

890
00:37:23,280 --> 00:37:25,160
Speaker 2: Can't do it with a backup quarterback on the road.

891
00:37:25,400 --> 00:37:27,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, just kidding. What if it was to it, by

892
00:37:27,000 --> 00:37:30,560
Speaker 1: the way, would it matter? Uh, because it might be

893
00:37:30,600 --> 00:37:32,360
Speaker 1: too you know, he's gonna tell us Sunday morning.

894
00:37:32,880 --> 00:37:37,120
Speaker 2: Yeah that's the report right now. No, I just I'm

895
00:37:37,160 --> 00:37:39,200
Speaker 2: looking at Cincy more than I am Miami.

896
00:37:39,560 --> 00:37:40,200
Speaker 1: That's what you're saying.

897
00:37:40,280 --> 00:37:44,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, that concerned about Cincinnati scoring, Like everybody's loving this

898
00:37:44,280 --> 00:37:46,600
Speaker 2: Miami Dolphins defense, and I just I just don't know

899
00:37:46,640 --> 00:37:49,640
Speaker 2: what the since the offense does. Yeah, it concerns me

900
00:37:49,719 --> 00:37:51,360
Speaker 2: that all of a sudden that they may get you know,

901
00:37:51,400 --> 00:37:52,759
Speaker 2: they may actually be able to put up a number

902
00:37:52,840 --> 00:37:55,279
Speaker 2: or two. So what do we do if they do that?

903
00:37:56,600 --> 00:37:58,400
Speaker 2: If since he's scoring and they keep it and then

904
00:37:58,520 --> 00:38:02,000
Speaker 2: they lose by ten, lose. So it's just it's too

905
00:38:02,000 --> 00:38:03,680
Speaker 2: big of a number for this Dolphins team.

906
00:38:03,719 --> 00:38:06,279
Speaker 1: And oh, I'm not taking the Dolphins, Matt, That's not.

907
00:38:06,239 --> 00:38:08,080
Speaker 2: What I'm saying. The Bengals.

908
00:38:08,280 --> 00:38:11,080
Speaker 1: I'm not taking either side just there. I'm not fanning

909
00:38:11,080 --> 00:38:13,600
Speaker 1: this game or going anywhere near it. But I do

910
00:38:13,600 --> 00:38:15,839
Speaker 1: think if there were a side to take, certainly, if

911
00:38:15,840 --> 00:38:18,520
Speaker 1: TU have played, I'd prefer the Bengals at eleven and

912
00:38:18,560 --> 00:38:21,000
Speaker 1: a half. But I don't know. Eleven and a half.

913
00:38:21,000 --> 00:38:24,439
Speaker 1: It's so many points, Matt. I realized that they looked

914
00:38:24,480 --> 00:38:27,480
Speaker 1: abysmal last week, and they got a special team's touchdown,

915
00:38:27,480 --> 00:38:29,160
Speaker 1: so that was one of the reasons why they kept

916
00:38:29,200 --> 00:38:31,760
Speaker 1: to close, but still eleven and a half points against

917
00:38:31,760 --> 00:38:34,640
Speaker 1: the team that really you know, you know, if the

918
00:38:34,719 --> 00:38:37,520
Speaker 1: Jets could have scored a touchdown last week, they cover

919
00:38:37,880 --> 00:38:40,279
Speaker 1: that ripe a spread, right, So, but I don't want

920
00:38:40,280 --> 00:38:42,040
Speaker 1: to go near it. But that's just where I'm If

921
00:38:42,080 --> 00:38:43,600
Speaker 1: I had to pick a side, I'd go with the Bengals,

922
00:38:43,760 --> 00:38:46,919
Speaker 1: particularly if to a starts. How about the Jaguars plus

923
00:38:47,000 --> 00:38:50,200
Speaker 1: nine and a half against the Vikings in Minnesota.

924
00:38:50,280 --> 00:38:51,960
Speaker 2: So who's playing quarterback for the Jets?

925
00:38:52,640 --> 00:38:55,120
Speaker 1: For the Jaguars, yeah, do we know? Yeah, it's Glennon

926
00:38:55,440 --> 00:38:57,359
Speaker 1: for sure. For sure, he's been named the starter.

927
00:38:57,640 --> 00:39:00,359
Speaker 2: What is going on with Minshew? Oh?

928
00:39:00,760 --> 00:39:02,680
Speaker 1: Nothing. The coach is just the worst coach in the world.

929
00:39:02,719 --> 00:39:05,200
Speaker 1: He's back being healthy, he's clear to start right here starting.

930
00:39:05,360 --> 00:39:07,200
Speaker 2: Why isn't Minshew playing in this game.

931
00:39:07,160 --> 00:39:09,040
Speaker 1: Because the coach is terrible? I don't I don't have

932
00:39:09,080 --> 00:39:11,319
Speaker 1: an answer for you. Because they they they wound up

933
00:39:11,360 --> 00:39:14,040
Speaker 1: losing by two to Cleveland, and maybe he thinks he

934
00:39:14,080 --> 00:39:17,359
Speaker 1: wants to save his job by he thinks that gives

935
00:39:17,440 --> 00:39:18,759
Speaker 1: him a better chance to win. I don't know.

936
00:39:19,080 --> 00:39:22,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, there's just it's terrible that uncertainty is large to

937
00:39:22,239 --> 00:39:24,080
Speaker 2: me because what if what if Minshew gets put in

938
00:39:24,080 --> 00:39:26,880
Speaker 2: like the in the first quarter, things don't go well,

939
00:39:26,880 --> 00:39:28,640
Speaker 2: and all of a sudden he comes off the bench

940
00:39:28,880 --> 00:39:30,400
Speaker 2: and he starts slinging it, and then all of a

941
00:39:30,400 --> 00:39:33,560
Speaker 2: sudden Jacksonville was live again, And it's like, uh, oh, So,

942
00:39:34,160 --> 00:39:36,960
Speaker 2: I mean I would I would lean to the Jags

943
00:39:37,280 --> 00:39:39,120
Speaker 2: if I had to take a side. I would take Jacksonville.

944
00:39:39,560 --> 00:39:42,120
Speaker 2: But I mean I don't like Kirk Cousins.

945
00:39:42,120 --> 00:39:44,040
Speaker 1: You know this, I do, and I know we like

946
00:39:44,080 --> 00:39:46,239
Speaker 1: to fade Kirk. This is exactly what now, I don't

947
00:39:46,239 --> 00:39:48,080
Speaker 1: want this game. Just to be clear, I do have

948
00:39:48,160 --> 00:39:50,200
Speaker 1: them at ten and a half. They's spreading our contests

949
00:39:50,239 --> 00:39:52,319
Speaker 1: nine and a half. I have the Jaguars at ten

950
00:39:52,320 --> 00:39:55,600
Speaker 1: and a half because this is the fade Kirk Cousin spot. Yes,

951
00:39:55,719 --> 00:40:00,439
Speaker 1: this is the like quintessential fade Kirk Cousin spot. Now

952
00:40:00,480 --> 00:40:04,120
Speaker 1: it's the Jaguars like an historically bad team that I'm

953
00:40:04,120 --> 00:40:06,399
Speaker 1: not like, Yeah, let's go get him nine and a half.

954
00:40:06,440 --> 00:40:09,359
Speaker 1: That's great, right, But if you're giving me, especially over ten,

955
00:40:09,440 --> 00:40:11,880
Speaker 1: I am taking that. So my advice if you're listening,

956
00:40:12,000 --> 00:40:13,799
Speaker 1: if you can get it over ten and a half. Yeah,

957
00:40:13,840 --> 00:40:15,759
Speaker 1: I do think the Jaguars are gonna hang here because

958
00:40:15,760 --> 00:40:19,439
Speaker 1: the Vikings secondary is terrible. So the Jaguars, they still

959
00:40:19,440 --> 00:40:21,959
Speaker 1: put up points last week. Hopefully they get Chark back.

960
00:40:22,480 --> 00:40:25,120
Speaker 1: James Robinson is a stud. He's gonna get his so

961
00:40:25,680 --> 00:40:27,360
Speaker 1: I think they'll be able to keep it close a

962
00:40:27,400 --> 00:40:29,279
Speaker 1: little bit here. So yeah, I like him in ten

963
00:40:29,280 --> 00:40:31,840
Speaker 1: and a half. But below ten single digits. I'm just no,

964
00:40:32,480 --> 00:40:34,480
Speaker 1: there are other games I'd rather go with. How about

965
00:40:34,520 --> 00:40:37,560
Speaker 1: the Giants plus ten and a half against the Seahawks.

966
00:40:38,320 --> 00:40:40,759
Speaker 2: Until we know about Danny Dimes and what he's doing,

967
00:40:41,040 --> 00:40:42,720
Speaker 2: I mean, do we know about him yet?

968
00:40:43,000 --> 00:40:45,479
Speaker 1: So I think the expectation is he's going to miss

969
00:40:45,480 --> 00:40:48,399
Speaker 1: the game, but he is upping in practice and he's

970
00:40:48,400 --> 00:40:50,960
Speaker 1: going to travel with the team, so it's possible. But

971
00:40:51,040 --> 00:40:52,960
Speaker 1: I think the expectation is Cole McCoy.

972
00:40:53,480 --> 00:40:55,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, if he was playing, I take the ten and

973
00:40:55,239 --> 00:40:58,359
Speaker 2: a half, But without knowing what's going on with Dan,

974
00:40:58,440 --> 00:41:01,399
Speaker 2: I can't. I can't back either thought of here because yeah,

975
00:41:01,640 --> 00:41:04,680
Speaker 2: Sales at home and I like Seattle, but I think

976
00:41:04,719 --> 00:41:07,920
Speaker 2: their defense is still not that great and I know

977
00:41:07,960 --> 00:41:10,320
Speaker 2: that New York defense might get victimized me and everyone's

978
00:41:10,320 --> 00:41:12,360
Speaker 2: getting victimized right now by the passing attack for the

979
00:41:12,360 --> 00:41:15,239
Speaker 2: Sales Seattles. So I would like to take the ten

980
00:41:15,239 --> 00:41:17,239
Speaker 2: and a half points if we had Daniel Jones, but

981
00:41:17,320 --> 00:41:19,320
Speaker 2: since we don't know about it, it's a no play.

982
00:41:19,440 --> 00:41:21,600
Speaker 1: And even if he plays, I'm not going to feel

983
00:41:21,600 --> 00:41:23,080
Speaker 1: comfortable that he's going to make it through that game

984
00:41:23,160 --> 00:41:25,279
Speaker 1: right now because he's it would be dicey for him

985
00:41:25,280 --> 00:41:27,279
Speaker 1: to play, So I agree with you. I would rather

986
00:41:27,400 --> 00:41:29,120
Speaker 1: just stay away if we If he was coming in

987
00:41:29,120 --> 00:41:30,759
Speaker 1: and fully healthy and this was the line, I'd take

988
00:41:30,760 --> 00:41:32,880
Speaker 1: it and not worry about it. I mean, Seattle always

989
00:41:32,880 --> 00:41:35,520
Speaker 1: plays one score games. That's just kind of what they

990
00:41:35,560 --> 00:41:37,520
Speaker 1: do with Colt McCoy and the rest of the night.

991
00:41:37,840 --> 00:41:40,280
Speaker 1: I don't really feel comfortable about that. Yeah, how about

992
00:41:40,360 --> 00:41:43,279
Speaker 1: Washington last two games here Washington plus eight and a

993
00:41:43,320 --> 00:41:46,239
Speaker 1: half against Pittsburgh in Pittsburgh.

994
00:41:46,400 --> 00:41:48,799
Speaker 2: If I was going to bet this and take this game, Okay,

995
00:41:48,840 --> 00:41:50,400
Speaker 2: if you were to stay on a table and tell

996
00:41:50,440 --> 00:41:52,799
Speaker 2: me you wanted Washington, I'd go along with it. Yep,

997
00:41:53,480 --> 00:41:56,760
Speaker 2: that's how I would take Washington. I think Washington's defense

998
00:41:56,840 --> 00:42:01,640
Speaker 2: is really underrated. People aren't and I think, look, the

999
00:42:01,640 --> 00:42:04,800
Speaker 2: the Ravens gave a blueprint for Washington to go ahead

1000
00:42:04,800 --> 00:42:08,239
Speaker 2: and copy. And sure you can't script drop passes. I

1001
00:42:08,320 --> 00:42:12,239
Speaker 2: understand that, kid, but but I mean, I I think

1002
00:42:12,239 --> 00:42:14,440
Speaker 2: there's something to be said there about having having this

1003
00:42:14,520 --> 00:42:17,319
Speaker 2: quick turnaround and having your whole world be thrown up

1004
00:42:17,360 --> 00:42:20,560
Speaker 2: in the air. Playing now, you know, five o'clock Eastern

1005
00:42:20,640 --> 00:42:24,799
Speaker 2: time start on Monday, after playing on Wednesday, and you know,

1006
00:42:24,840 --> 00:42:27,640
Speaker 2: Tomlin's really angry, but like, you know, there's not much

1007
00:42:27,680 --> 00:42:29,160
Speaker 2: he can do because you can't meet the guys go

1008
00:42:29,239 --> 00:42:31,520
Speaker 2: run hills or something. I mean, like, you know, he

1009
00:42:31,920 --> 00:42:33,799
Speaker 2: can't do much in the middle of the year with

1010
00:42:33,880 --> 00:42:36,480
Speaker 2: all this, all the pandemic problems. Pouncy, we got to

1011
00:42:36,520 --> 00:42:40,760
Speaker 2: see if Pouncy's if he has if Pouncy has COVID,

1012
00:42:40,800 --> 00:42:42,880
Speaker 2: he's out for this game. He's not playing correct. So

1013
00:42:43,520 --> 00:42:46,040
Speaker 2: I mean, you're without your your your your signa caller,

1014
00:42:46,160 --> 00:42:48,320
Speaker 2: and you got you know, Chase Young in that defensive

1015
00:42:48,360 --> 00:42:52,279
Speaker 2: line and without your center. Oh, big Ben has not

1016
00:42:52,320 --> 00:42:54,759
Speaker 2: been moving around all that. Well, you're talking about one

1017
00:42:54,800 --> 00:42:56,920
Speaker 2: of the better defensive lines in the entire NFL getting

1018
00:42:56,920 --> 00:42:58,960
Speaker 2: after a statue back there at quarterback.

1019
00:42:59,040 --> 00:42:59,239
Speaker 1: Yeah.

1020
00:42:59,320 --> 00:43:01,600
Speaker 2: So if if I was gonna play, if you told

1021
00:43:01,640 --> 00:43:04,279
Speaker 2: me you wanted Washington, I would not fight you on this.

1022
00:43:04,560 --> 00:43:07,120
Speaker 1: That's actually exactly how I feel. This was one of

1023
00:43:07,160 --> 00:43:09,000
Speaker 1: the games where I was like, all right, if Matt

1024
00:43:09,120 --> 00:43:11,640
Speaker 1: comes in and says, you know, Dan like this game

1025
00:43:11,760 --> 00:43:13,799
Speaker 1: feeling it, I'd be like, all right, yeah, I'll put

1026
00:43:13,800 --> 00:43:16,080
Speaker 1: it in. That's fine. And again they lost Bud Dupree.

1027
00:43:16,120 --> 00:43:19,360
Speaker 1: That that's you know, huge. Yeah, it's big, so I

1028
00:43:19,400 --> 00:43:22,759
Speaker 1: don't mind it necessarily. I do feel like the Steelers.

1029
00:43:22,239 --> 00:43:27,120
Speaker 2: Are I like I like Washington more than Philly. Okay, Okay,

1030
00:43:27,120 --> 00:43:28,800
Speaker 2: we'll talk about teams getting eight and a half points

1031
00:43:28,840 --> 00:43:31,480
Speaker 2: on the road. I like Washington more than I like Philly.

1032
00:43:31,480 --> 00:43:34,200
Speaker 1: All right, so I'm gonna cross off the Philly regardless

1033
00:43:34,200 --> 00:43:35,520
Speaker 1: when we go through our finals and we and we

1034
00:43:35,560 --> 00:43:37,800
Speaker 1: talk about what we want. But that's fine. I'm okay

1035
00:43:37,800 --> 00:43:40,600
Speaker 1: with that last one. Ravens laying eight and a half

1036
00:43:40,640 --> 00:43:42,480
Speaker 1: to the Cowboys in Baltimore.

1037
00:43:42,760 --> 00:43:46,319
Speaker 2: This is another one, Okay, So you're gonna get Lamar

1038
00:43:46,400 --> 00:43:50,120
Speaker 2: Jackson back in this game. It's a Tuesday, Tuesday night game.

1039
00:43:50,400 --> 00:43:52,640
Speaker 2: Like what Tuesday night?

1040
00:43:52,880 --> 00:43:53,400
Speaker 1: You say this?

1041
00:43:53,960 --> 00:43:56,800
Speaker 2: So we have Tuesday night football. We have a Ravens

1042
00:43:56,840 --> 00:44:01,480
Speaker 2: team that couldn't do anything offensively, But I don't know

1043
00:44:01,520 --> 00:44:05,799
Speaker 2: what Dallas does. Put it this way, I think I

1044
00:44:05,800 --> 00:44:08,280
Speaker 2: think Jackson comes back and has a huge game, running

1045
00:44:08,280 --> 00:44:12,600
Speaker 2: the ball all over Dallas. I just don't know. I

1046
00:44:12,680 --> 00:44:15,920
Speaker 2: don't know what Dallas looks like like. The reason I

1047
00:44:15,960 --> 00:44:19,800
Speaker 2: want to take Baltimore here, but I'm scared to listen

1048
00:44:19,800 --> 00:44:24,120
Speaker 2: to you to delay this type of number here. Just

1049
00:44:24,160 --> 00:44:26,560
Speaker 2: because I don't. I mean, it's what seven and a half?

1050
00:44:27,680 --> 00:44:29,560
Speaker 1: It is eight and a half in the cons Oh gosh,

1051
00:44:29,640 --> 00:44:31,840
Speaker 1: it's seven and a half right now. If you go

1052
00:44:31,880 --> 00:44:33,239
Speaker 1: out there and you're trying to bet it, it's at

1053
00:44:33,320 --> 00:44:34,400
Speaker 1: seven and a half right now, it's at eight and

1054
00:44:34,440 --> 00:44:35,240
Speaker 1: a half in the contest.

1055
00:44:35,440 --> 00:44:37,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's just too many points right now for me.

1056
00:44:37,680 --> 00:44:40,600
Speaker 2: I mean it was seven seven, okay, but eight and

1057
00:44:40,680 --> 00:44:44,720
Speaker 2: a half screams back door or something screwy happening. Raven's

1058
00:44:44,719 --> 00:44:47,880
Speaker 2: making a mistake. Yeah, they're six and five. That was

1059
00:44:47,920 --> 00:44:51,080
Speaker 2: their season yesterday, So I mean, losing that was brutal

1060
00:44:51,280 --> 00:44:51,600
Speaker 2: they have.

1061
00:44:52,000 --> 00:44:54,280
Speaker 1: I mean, you know, you throw out that they couldn't

1062
00:44:54,320 --> 00:44:58,239
Speaker 1: do anything offensively. They didn't have Dobbins, like obviously the

1063
00:44:58,239 --> 00:45:00,239
Speaker 1: biggest one is they didn't have Jackson. Then they they

1064
00:45:00,280 --> 00:45:02,400
Speaker 1: lost RG three, you know, in the other game, not

1065
00:45:02,480 --> 00:45:04,359
Speaker 1: that he could really do anything anyway.

1066
00:45:04,120 --> 00:45:05,160
Speaker 2: Didn't mcsorly start.

1067
00:45:05,560 --> 00:45:08,359
Speaker 1: I you know, I don't know with the way he

1068
00:45:08,400 --> 00:45:10,399
Speaker 1: looked in that game, I know, I mean I think

1069
00:45:10,400 --> 00:45:12,959
Speaker 1: what they basically thought is, look, it's gonna be RG

1070
00:45:13,040 --> 00:45:17,839
Speaker 1: three running the exact same offense that Lamar Jackson can run.

1071
00:45:17,880 --> 00:45:20,600
Speaker 1: Not as well, but he runs the exact style of

1072
00:45:20,600 --> 00:45:22,200
Speaker 1: offense that we run, and so that's what you want

1073
00:45:22,239 --> 00:45:23,440
Speaker 1: to you don't want to, you know, say, like.

1074
00:45:24,120 --> 00:45:26,880
Speaker 2: My point was, isn't that what Pittsburgh prepped for? Yeah,

1075
00:45:26,920 --> 00:45:28,960
Speaker 2: and they prepared for that offense. So why throw a

1076
00:45:29,000 --> 00:45:30,960
Speaker 2: curve ball at him and throw out and throw mcsorly

1077
00:45:31,040 --> 00:45:32,800
Speaker 2: or at least like throw a package or two together

1078
00:45:33,160 --> 00:45:35,239
Speaker 2: and have McSorley out there throwing the football because he

1079
00:45:35,280 --> 00:45:40,120
Speaker 2: looked way better, yeah, throwing the football than RG three did.

1080
00:45:40,200 --> 00:45:43,040
Speaker 1: It's pretty crazy what RG three is now, right, Like

1081
00:45:43,120 --> 00:45:44,960
Speaker 1: how amazing he was when he came out of college

1082
00:45:44,960 --> 00:45:46,560
Speaker 1: and that I was explaining it to my son, my

1083
00:45:46,600 --> 00:45:48,279
Speaker 1: second year old, and just trying to He was like

1084
00:45:48,320 --> 00:45:50,160
Speaker 1: that guy's not very good, dad, And I'm like, yeah,

1085
00:45:50,160 --> 00:45:52,560
Speaker 1: I know, but there was a time where he was

1086
00:45:52,640 --> 00:45:55,839
Speaker 1: like amazing, could totally take over. Yeah for me. Look,

1087
00:45:56,280 --> 00:45:58,840
Speaker 1: they've got so many question marks, especially as we're looking

1088
00:45:58,840 --> 00:46:02,080
Speaker 1: at it now, and we probably won't know by Tuesday even.

1089
00:46:02,120 --> 00:46:04,080
Speaker 1: I mean, they've got injuries all up, you know, the

1090
00:46:04,120 --> 00:46:08,399
Speaker 1: offensive problems, but also injury. I mean I think I

1091
00:46:08,480 --> 00:46:10,399
Speaker 1: didn't I wasn't paying that close attention to that game

1092
00:46:10,440 --> 00:46:14,239
Speaker 1: by the end, because good it was unwatchable almost, but yeah,

1093
00:46:14,800 --> 00:46:18,360
Speaker 1: you know, I think, uh, maybe it wasn't a Humphrey

1094
00:46:18,400 --> 00:46:19,560
Speaker 1: but Jimmy Smith left.

1095
00:46:19,480 --> 00:46:23,160
Speaker 2: Yes, yes, and I thought something too all like every

1096
00:46:23,160 --> 00:46:25,319
Speaker 2: big name player with the name.

1097
00:46:25,440 --> 00:46:27,360
Speaker 1: So it's just a game where I look, do I

1098
00:46:27,400 --> 00:46:29,480
Speaker 1: think if you were like you have to choose a side,

1099
00:46:29,520 --> 00:46:31,120
Speaker 1: I would take the Ravens at eight and a half

1100
00:46:31,160 --> 00:46:33,000
Speaker 1: because I think they're they're gonna have a bounce back

1101
00:46:33,000 --> 00:46:35,759
Speaker 1: spot eventually, and I just don't think Dallas is very good,

1102
00:46:35,800 --> 00:46:38,680
Speaker 1: but not for this contest. Okay, So that's every game.

1103
00:46:38,719 --> 00:46:41,320
Speaker 1: So let's talk about the three that we have definitely

1104
00:46:41,440 --> 00:46:44,759
Speaker 1: agreed on. And there's a four four the Chiefs Is

1105
00:46:44,760 --> 00:46:46,879
Speaker 1: that the fourth? Yeah, yeah, that's fine. Okay, I'll put

1106
00:46:46,880 --> 00:46:49,600
Speaker 1: the Chiefs in. That's fine. The Chiefs were sort of like,

1107
00:46:49,680 --> 00:46:52,400
Speaker 1: I'm penciling it in, but I'm not petting it in. Pats,

1108
00:46:52,880 --> 00:46:55,719
Speaker 1: I guess it's getting a half point from the Chargers.

1109
00:46:56,000 --> 00:46:58,200
Speaker 2: They're really they're getting a half a point?

1110
00:46:58,280 --> 00:47:00,239
Speaker 1: Did I You know, I always mix it up half

1111
00:47:00,280 --> 00:47:00,480
Speaker 1: the time.

1112
00:47:00,480 --> 00:47:01,600
Speaker 2: I think they're laying half a point?

1113
00:47:01,640 --> 00:47:03,879
Speaker 1: Are they laying half a point? I think check check

1114
00:47:03,920 --> 00:47:06,960
Speaker 1: our check my messages to you. While I while I

1115
00:47:07,040 --> 00:47:08,759
Speaker 1: did this. Hold on, I'll look at it right here.

1116
00:47:09,080 --> 00:47:12,560
Speaker 1: The Pats are getting half a point. I'm right, Whatts

1117
00:47:12,640 --> 00:47:14,160
Speaker 1: are getting half a point in our contest?

1118
00:47:14,239 --> 00:47:14,600
Speaker 2: They are?

1119
00:47:14,840 --> 00:47:17,239
Speaker 1: Yes, I am infallible. I make mistakes on well.

1120
00:47:17,120 --> 00:47:19,120
Speaker 2: The Patters are now minus one and a half, so yeah,

1121
00:47:19,120 --> 00:47:20,560
Speaker 2: getting two points of that.

1122
00:47:21,239 --> 00:47:24,640
Speaker 1: This was a This was a everybody's gonna take the

1123
00:47:24,640 --> 00:47:26,040
Speaker 1: patris and they should. I don't care if it's going

1124
00:47:26,080 --> 00:47:28,160
Speaker 1: to be a public play because I'm just to give

1125
00:47:28,160 --> 00:47:30,120
Speaker 1: me the coaching edge. I'll take the coaching edge, and

1126
00:47:30,160 --> 00:47:32,960
Speaker 1: I'll go home with my winnings. Pats getting half a

1127
00:47:33,000 --> 00:47:36,040
Speaker 1: point from the Chargers, the Raiders laying seven and a

1128
00:47:36,080 --> 00:47:39,200
Speaker 1: half points to the Jets, the Saints minus two and

1129
00:47:39,239 --> 00:47:42,400
Speaker 1: a half points the Falcons, the Chiefs laying thirteen and

1130
00:47:42,440 --> 00:47:45,840
Speaker 1: a half to the Broncos. So we've got one more.

1131
00:47:46,239 --> 00:47:48,200
Speaker 2: We need a dog, Yeah, we need a dog.

1132
00:47:48,239 --> 00:47:51,000
Speaker 1: You need a dog, Okay, So the dogs that we

1133
00:47:51,040 --> 00:47:53,600
Speaker 1: are considering are well, the other guys we're considering were

1134
00:47:53,600 --> 00:47:55,520
Speaker 1: the Rams laying two and a half against the Cardinals,

1135
00:47:55,520 --> 00:47:58,319
Speaker 1: which I I don't love completely. So we've got we've

1136
00:47:58,320 --> 00:48:00,960
Speaker 1: got two dogs. Then to choose from the brown and

1137
00:48:01,000 --> 00:48:02,440
Speaker 1: I'm okay to do this one because I think you

1138
00:48:02,560 --> 00:48:04,279
Speaker 1: like this one a little bit. The Brown's getting five

1139
00:48:04,320 --> 00:48:06,960
Speaker 1: and a half from the Titans, or it looks like

1140
00:48:07,440 --> 00:48:09,719
Speaker 1: Washington getting eight and a half from the Steelers.

1141
00:48:10,239 --> 00:48:11,799
Speaker 2: You're gonna have to break that tight because I like

1142
00:48:11,840 --> 00:48:15,879
Speaker 2: them both the same. I like them both the same.

1143
00:48:15,920 --> 00:48:17,319
Speaker 1: Do you really like the both of the same, because

1144
00:48:17,320 --> 00:48:20,040
Speaker 1: it sounded like you liked the Browns a little more.

1145
00:48:20,080 --> 00:48:22,000
Speaker 2: They are. They're on my list of number five. But

1146
00:48:22,000 --> 00:48:25,600
Speaker 2: remember why I'm picking. I'm picking because I'm fading myself

1147
00:48:25,640 --> 00:48:27,880
Speaker 2: on that right because i want to take the Titans.

1148
00:48:28,960 --> 00:48:30,920
Speaker 2: Like I've had to, like slap my hand because it's

1149
00:48:30,920 --> 00:48:32,920
Speaker 2: five and a half and I hate that number in contests.

1150
00:48:33,040 --> 00:48:37,080
Speaker 2: I want to take the Titans, but everything is screaming Titans,

1151
00:48:37,080 --> 00:48:38,600
Speaker 2: and that means we have to take the Browns, or

1152
00:48:38,600 --> 00:48:40,880
Speaker 2: at least I do, because I've been This is just

1153
00:48:41,000 --> 00:48:44,120
Speaker 2: the public's going to be riding this saying Baker stinks,

1154
00:48:44,160 --> 00:48:48,000
Speaker 2: the Cleveland Browns are overrated. Titans just annihilated the Colts,

1155
00:48:48,560 --> 00:48:50,960
Speaker 2: so it's gonna be a big public play. So I'm

1156
00:48:50,960 --> 00:48:53,480
Speaker 2: going the other way and I'm taking the Browns. The

1157
00:48:53,600 --> 00:48:56,640
Speaker 2: under the radar play will be Washington against Pittsburgh because

1158
00:48:56,719 --> 00:48:59,360
Speaker 2: I think it's either Pittsburgh or no play for most people.

1159
00:48:59,640 --> 00:49:04,239
Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah, And it's it's interesting because this is unfortunate.

1160
00:49:04,320 --> 00:49:06,480
Speaker 1: Part of it's like it's like buying high on Washington

1161
00:49:06,520 --> 00:49:09,560
Speaker 1: because the big Thanksgiving performance, and I really don't want

1162
00:49:09,560 --> 00:49:13,360
Speaker 1: to do that. But their defense is legitimate, absolutely legitimate.

1163
00:49:13,440 --> 00:49:15,440
Speaker 1: And given the fact that the Steelers are having troubles

1164
00:49:15,440 --> 00:49:18,960
Speaker 1: stopping the run after they've lost Devin Bush, oh man,

1165
00:49:19,040 --> 00:49:21,279
Speaker 1: this is close. Okay, So this is one and I

1166
00:49:21,280 --> 00:49:23,400
Speaker 1: know we don't like to do the mat but we

1167
00:49:23,400 --> 00:49:25,879
Speaker 1: we gotta let these marinate a little bit.

1168
00:49:26,000 --> 00:49:28,560
Speaker 2: So well, sure, I'm with I'm with swapping out this week.

1169
00:49:28,600 --> 00:49:29,960
Speaker 2: It's getting late in the year. I mean that there

1170
00:49:29,960 --> 00:49:33,040
Speaker 2: are things, especially on a Monday night COVID situation, if

1171
00:49:33,040 --> 00:49:35,720
Speaker 2: there are big issues with Cleveland or Tennessee for COVID,

1172
00:49:36,000 --> 00:49:38,360
Speaker 2: we can swept to a Monday night Washington. We have

1173
00:49:38,440 --> 00:49:39,120
Speaker 2: the extra day.

1174
00:49:39,320 --> 00:49:43,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, Okay, So for now, for right now, our unofficial pick,

1175
00:49:43,880 --> 00:49:46,400
Speaker 1: it's gonna be Washington. And the reason really is the

1176
00:49:46,480 --> 00:49:50,400
Speaker 1: fact that I could see a scenario where the Titans

1177
00:49:50,800 --> 00:49:55,680
Speaker 1: just completely blow the roof off, you know, Henry runs

1178
00:49:55,880 --> 00:49:59,520
Speaker 1: for two giant, you know, monster runs aj Brown breaks

1179
00:49:59,520 --> 00:50:01,960
Speaker 1: a seventy our touchdown early on, and the Browns are

1180
00:50:01,960 --> 00:50:04,440
Speaker 1: down fourteen to nothing, and suddenly they're like, oh no,

1181
00:50:04,520 --> 00:50:05,120
Speaker 1: we can't run this.

1182
00:50:05,520 --> 00:50:08,600
Speaker 2: My brain is saying that. I'm telling you no, my

1183
00:50:08,680 --> 00:50:12,280
Speaker 2: brain is saying Titan's big. And I'm fighting myself because

1184
00:50:12,280 --> 00:50:15,200
Speaker 2: this feels too easy. And when whenever that happens, I

1185
00:50:15,239 --> 00:50:17,480
Speaker 2: always want to check myself and take the other side.

1186
00:50:17,640 --> 00:50:20,400
Speaker 1: Right, yeah, I think, uh, well, let's let's put in

1187
00:50:20,520 --> 00:50:22,680
Speaker 1: Washington for now as our fifth pick and and a half.

1188
00:50:22,719 --> 00:50:24,640
Speaker 1: And this is a good mix, a good mix of

1189
00:50:25,080 --> 00:50:28,200
Speaker 1: you know, we're we're mostly favorites, but it's it's a

1190
00:50:28,200 --> 00:50:30,239
Speaker 1: pretty good mix. And I don't think we're going to

1191
00:50:30,320 --> 00:50:33,839
Speaker 1: be too public in all these plays, but we'll see, we'll.

1192
00:50:33,760 --> 00:50:35,440
Speaker 2: See we're going to be public. Dude.

1193
00:50:35,560 --> 00:50:37,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, you're right. As I was looking at it, I

1194
00:50:37,200 --> 00:50:39,120
Speaker 1: was like.

1195
00:50:38,680 --> 00:50:41,520
Speaker 2: Chief like the Chiefs, We're going you want to go real?

1196
00:50:42,040 --> 00:50:45,840
Speaker 2: We did just go take Philadelphia, take Washington, take the

1197
00:50:46,120 --> 00:50:47,520
Speaker 2: take the chance. And the books.

1198
00:50:47,640 --> 00:50:49,600
Speaker 1: The books had a huge week last week, right, last

1199
00:50:49,600 --> 00:50:53,280
Speaker 1: two weeks. Yeah, so they're due for correct a mini correction,

1200
00:50:53,440 --> 00:50:56,279
Speaker 1: right is correct correction? Okay, anyway, look, you guys know

1201
00:50:56,400 --> 00:50:58,399
Speaker 1: what we do. We I will I will put them

1202
00:50:58,480 --> 00:51:01,160
Speaker 1: on Twitter what our final picks are when we make them,

1203
00:51:01,160 --> 00:51:03,400
Speaker 1: which is usually Saturday night. I don't worry about anybody

1204
00:51:03,440 --> 00:51:05,760
Speaker 1: following us or whatever for the if they're in the contest.

1205
00:51:05,840 --> 00:51:08,000
Speaker 1: So I'll put that up. Then we'll talk about you know, Matt,

1206
00:51:08,000 --> 00:51:09,919
Speaker 1: we'll talk about our picks on YouTube dot com slash

1207
00:51:09,960 --> 00:51:12,640
Speaker 1: Betting Pros on the live stream Sunday morning eleven am

1208
00:51:12,920 --> 00:51:15,080
Speaker 1: to noon. But this is good, and we've got some

1209
00:51:15,160 --> 00:51:17,520
Speaker 1: options here if we decide that we don't like. But again,

1210
00:51:17,719 --> 00:51:19,160
Speaker 1: this is the time of the year. You're right, Matt,

1211
00:51:19,200 --> 00:51:22,120
Speaker 1: Like nobody could have predicted what happened that the Broncos

1212
00:51:22,120 --> 00:51:24,399
Speaker 1: we're gonna be playing without a quarterback. Like there can

1213
00:51:24,440 --> 00:51:26,399
Speaker 1: be developments of course at this time of the year

1214
00:51:26,640 --> 00:51:29,600
Speaker 1: with COVID, But for now, you feel okay with this, Matt? Yes,

1215
00:51:29,680 --> 00:51:31,520
Speaker 1: all right, very good, So do I all right, So

1216
00:51:31,560 --> 00:51:33,840
Speaker 1: that's gonna do it for today's Betting Pros. NFL podcast

1217
00:51:33,880 --> 00:51:35,400
Speaker 1: will be back next week. Of course, check out The

1218
00:51:35,480 --> 00:51:39,080
Speaker 1: Daily Juice, Matt's great podcast, and again Betting Pros dot Com,

1219
00:51:39,280 --> 00:51:41,319
Speaker 1: YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros, where you can check

1220
00:51:41,320 --> 00:51:44,160
Speaker 1: out Matt's live stream on Sunday morning from eleven am

1221
00:51:44,200 --> 00:51:47,080
Speaker 1: to noon. Until then, we will talk to you next week,

1222
00:51:47,440 --> 00:51:48,799
Speaker 1: same time, same time,