WEBVTT - Corporations Learned The Maximum Amount They Can Charge For a Product

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News.

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<v Speaker 2>Hello and welcome to another episode of The Odd Lots Podcast.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm Joe Wisenthal and I'm Tracy Alloway.

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<v Speaker 2>Tracy, you know what I feel is become a common

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<v Speaker 2>Twitter conversation that I've seen happen a bunch of times.

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<v Speaker 3>Uh, this could be anything, but go on.

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<v Speaker 2>Someone tweets like, oh my god, I just paid, like,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, fourteen dollars for a hamburger and fries at

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<v Speaker 2>the McDonald's and then someone else goes, well, actually, you

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<v Speaker 2>can get it for three ninety nine right now if

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<v Speaker 2>you just use the app. Yes, I've seen this many times.

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<v Speaker 3>Both of them are not wrong, but it is crazy.

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<v Speaker 3>First of all, I'm so thrilled that we're finally going

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<v Speaker 3>to do price Pack Architecture episode. That's basically what this is, right,

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<v Speaker 3>all these different strategies when it comes to how companies

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<v Speaker 3>are actually pricing their goods. But I feel like McDonald's

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<v Speaker 3>has become a very very good example of this particular behavior.

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<v Speaker 3>And at this point, as you pointed out, it is

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<v Speaker 3>well known that if you just roll up to a

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<v Speaker 3>McDonald's and you know, order at the drive through or

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<v Speaker 3>in the store, you are going to be paying a

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<v Speaker 3>higher price than if you used the app and ordered

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<v Speaker 3>on there, And they have tons of discounts. The discounts

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<v Speaker 3>are almost gamified at this point, like you know, you

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<v Speaker 3>check in on different days and you can get different

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<v Speaker 3>things and they're constantly changing. Oh and also they have

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<v Speaker 3>an actual game that if you play, you get loyalty

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<v Speaker 3>points that turn into discounts. But the thing that I

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<v Speaker 3>think is so fascinating about all of this is it

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<v Speaker 3>throws up really interesting questions around fairness. So is it

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<v Speaker 3>fair that people are paying two different prices depending on

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<v Speaker 3>the way that they are actually buying the thing. I

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<v Speaker 3>think the other thing that's remarkable in all the price

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<v Speaker 3>conversations is people seem to think that one person paying

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<v Speaker 3>a higher price is really unfair. But on the other hand,

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<v Speaker 3>everyone likes discounts, y Like if the lower price comes

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<v Speaker 3>in the form of a coupon, people get really excited.

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<v Speaker 3>It also throws up interesting questions about data privacy. So

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<v Speaker 3>the reason McDonald's wants you on the app is so

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<v Speaker 3>that it can collect your data and it gives you

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<v Speaker 3>a lower price in return for that. And then thirdly,

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<v Speaker 3>it raises all sorts of interesting macroeconomic questions. Right, if

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<v Speaker 3>companies are becoming more strategic, more differentiated in the way

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<v Speaker 3>they're pricing their goods, what does that mean for things

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<v Speaker 3>like inflation? What does it mean for traditional interpretations of

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<v Speaker 3>the way inflation works? Is it just you know, unemployment,

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<v Speaker 3>supply demand, that sort of thing, Right.

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<v Speaker 2>Like companies basically just getting better at figuring out the

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<v Speaker 2>maximum price they can charge for something. Wait, I have

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<v Speaker 2>a personal question for your Tracy. I've never asked you

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<v Speaker 2>this before. Are you like a points person, like when

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<v Speaker 2>it comes to hotels and airlines and stuff like that.

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<v Speaker 3>No, I'm not, and I feel like I'm basically too

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<v Speaker 3>lazy to sign up for a lot of things. But

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<v Speaker 3>I will say McDonald's got me, I do have. I

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<v Speaker 3>do have the app, and I have, as a result

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<v Speaker 3>of the app, ended up ordering like insane amounts of

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<v Speaker 3>junk food because I'm just like, Oh, I can buy

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<v Speaker 3>two things of French fries instead of one, So why

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<v Speaker 3>don't I go ahead and do that?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I'm so lazy. I am not a points person.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm not an app person. I've never been a Miles person.

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<v Speaker 2>It seems like I probably should. I don't trouble that much,

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<v Speaker 2>but probably enough that I should like track this stuff

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<v Speaker 2>and have a favorite hotel that I go to in

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<v Speaker 2>every town, or have a favorite airline. All airlines seem

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<v Speaker 2>the same to me. They all seem sort of various

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<v Speaker 2>versions of kind of unpleasant. But I'm not like optimized

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<v Speaker 2>for that at all, But it feels like to some extent,

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<v Speaker 2>what we're talking about is this sort of widespreadness across

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<v Speaker 2>many industries of what the airlines have figured out for decades.

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<v Speaker 3>Absolutely, and also Uber is the classic example with dynamic

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<v Speaker 3>surge pricing. And you can remember earlier this year when

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<v Speaker 3>Wendy's mentioned dynamic pricing in its earnings call, the world

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<v Speaker 3>absolutely went nuts, and then they kind of backwalked on it.

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<v Speaker 3>But I mean my argument is like surge pricing in

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<v Speaker 3>fast food is kind of already there, right, you know,

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<v Speaker 3>the difference in how you're ordering at McDonald's is a

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<v Speaker 3>variable of how much value you place on your time

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<v Speaker 3>and your convenience, and so it's kind of already happening.

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<v Speaker 3>And I think this is such a fascinating topic for

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<v Speaker 3>many many reasons. But I am so so happy that

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<v Speaker 3>we are finally doing this one.

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<v Speaker 2>I am too. I'm going to just lay my cards

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<v Speaker 2>out on the table right here. It's like, I don't know.

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<v Speaker 2>I kind of get surge pricing for food. If a

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<v Speaker 2>bunch of people all jam up at the same time,

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<v Speaker 2>maybe like raise the prices so people spread it out

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<v Speaker 2>a little bit. In this conversation, I will play the

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<v Speaker 2>role of the devil's advocate, who is like, yeah, I'm

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<v Speaker 2>okay with like, you know, differentiating prices.

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<v Speaker 3>Joe, this is stupid. It's stupid. I'll tell you why.

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<v Speaker 3>Because surge pricing was supposed to invite more supply into

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<v Speaker 3>the market. So the idea is that you incentivize more

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<v Speaker 3>drivers to get out on the street if they can

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<v Speaker 3>earn more money. You're not going to get that with fastest.

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<v Speaker 3>Do you think there's going to be in a meaningul

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<v Speaker 3>supply response in Hamburgers?

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<v Speaker 2>But there could be demand destruction, which I do think

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<v Speaker 2>is part of the uber thing, which is that, yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>you can't really have enough cards if everyone all wants

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<v Speaker 2>to take a Uber at twelve oh one New Year's like,

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<v Speaker 2>you have to raise the price such that some people

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<v Speaker 2>like I'll take the subway or whatever. Anyway, enough, what.

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<v Speaker 3>I think we don't have to debate.

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<v Speaker 2>We don't have to debate this. We really do have

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<v Speaker 2>two perfect guests to talk about this topic about how

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<v Speaker 2>companies are getting better and better at personalized pricing, finding

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<v Speaker 2>the absolute most they can charge for something at any

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<v Speaker 2>given moment. We're going to be speaking with Lindsay Owen.

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<v Speaker 2>She is the executive director of the Groundwork Collaborative and

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<v Speaker 2>the author of a forthcoming book called Gouge that will

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<v Speaker 2>be some time out in the future. And we're going

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<v Speaker 2>to be speaking with David Dayan. He's the executive editor

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<v Speaker 2>of The American Prospect magazine, and The American Prospect has

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<v Speaker 2>a full edition of the magazine coming out on June

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<v Speaker 2>third that is entirely devoted to the world of pricing

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<v Speaker 2>and how companies do this in the history, and both

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<v Speaker 2>of us have read the whole edition in the magazine.

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<v Speaker 2>Is fantastic. They've worked together on this. It is a

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<v Speaker 2>really interesting body of work. I think it will be

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<v Speaker 2>important thing that a lot of people read. So excited

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<v Speaker 2>to have Lindsay and David on the show, So thank

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<v Speaker 2>you so much for coming on Outlaws, thanks for having me.

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<v Speaker 4>Thanks for having us.

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<v Speaker 2>Maybe David, I'll start with you, as the editor at

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<v Speaker 2>the American Prospect doing this whole edition of the magazine

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<v Speaker 2>on this topic. But both of you come in, why

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<v Speaker 2>is this something I mean, you know, Tracy and I

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<v Speaker 2>are both interested in this, but why is this something

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<v Speaker 2>that is worth an entire magazine.

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<v Speaker 5>Well, if you look at any poll that is talking

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<v Speaker 5>to voters coming up in this election, inflation is the

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<v Speaker 5>number one or right near the number one issue. So

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<v Speaker 5>we have looked at this for a while. Lindsay obviously

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<v Speaker 5>and her team at Groundwork has done a great job,

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<v Speaker 5>and they came to me and said, you know, we

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<v Speaker 5>really want to put something together that looks at pricing

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<v Speaker 5>kind of in a holistic way. What we know has

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<v Speaker 5>happened is that after the pandemic, there was this inflationary

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<v Speaker 5>episode and markups and margins for companies went up, and

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<v Speaker 5>they kind of stayed there even as inflation has eased.

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<v Speaker 5>So we wanted to try to interrogate why this is

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<v Speaker 5>happening and whether we've hit sort of a new era

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<v Speaker 5>where these pricing strategies for a variety of reasons have

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<v Speaker 5>become more widespread and companies have become more experimental, let's say,

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<v Speaker 5>in trying to engage in this process of maximizing williness

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<v Speaker 5>to pay among their customers, and so we think we

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<v Speaker 5>can come up with kind of a thesis for this,

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<v Speaker 5>and then the issue lays out that framing of why

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<v Speaker 5>this is happening, and then looks at all of the

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<v Speaker 5>strategies that are really being put to bear. You've mentioned

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<v Speaker 5>some of them in the intro, whether it's surge pricing

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<v Speaker 5>or dynamic pricing, or junk fees or using subscriptions to

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<v Speaker 5>kind of we call it the inattention economy, get people

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<v Speaker 5>to sign up to enough subscriptions so that they forget

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<v Speaker 5>that they have them. You know, there's credit pricing, there's

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<v Speaker 5>price fixing through algorithm that we're seeing more and more,

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<v Speaker 5>and then there's this whole kind of next frontier of

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<v Speaker 5>using digital surveillance and isolating customers enough so that you

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<v Speaker 5>can personalize prices, which is really kind of where I

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<v Speaker 5>think a lot of businesses see a lot of opportunity,

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<v Speaker 5>the idea of that my price isn't the same is

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<v Speaker 5>your price. So, you know, we lay out these strategies,

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<v Speaker 5>I think it's important to see, you know, what companies

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<v Speaker 5>are up to, and if it is deemed unfair or deceptive,

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<v Speaker 5>what government, what role they have to play in maybe

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<v Speaker 5>doing something about it.

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<v Speaker 3>So I want to get into everything that you just mentioned,

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<v Speaker 3>especially the sort of data privacy and algorithmic pricing points.

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<v Speaker 3>But before we do, I think there's a tendency on

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<v Speaker 3>this topic when you're talking about the idea of companies

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<v Speaker 3>maybe driving up their prices, maybe that feeding into inflation.

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<v Speaker 3>Lots of people use the word greed inflation here. I

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<v Speaker 3>tend not to do that because the immediate reaction you

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<v Speaker 3>will get, Joe, you mentioned well worn Twitter debates, But

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<v Speaker 3>the immediate thing that happens is, oh, companies didn't get

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<v Speaker 3>more greedy all of a sudden. They were always greedy,

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<v Speaker 3>And so people tend to waive this theory away. But

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<v Speaker 3>could you maybe talk about concrete evidence we have that

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<v Speaker 3>companies are becoming more sophisticated when it comes to pricing

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<v Speaker 3>or more willing to experiment with demand elasticity in recent years.

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<v Speaker 3>Is there concrete numbers that back that up?

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<v Speaker 4>Sure? So, I think one of the most interesting places

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<v Speaker 4>to look here to answer your question is actually the

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<v Speaker 4>burgeoning industry of algorithmic pricing companies and specialists. Right. So,

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<v Speaker 4>you know, there was just this really interesting report that

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<v Speaker 4>dropped last month from the Boston consulting Group, and the

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<v Speaker 4>first sense of the report is retailers are in a

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<v Speaker 4>new age of pricing and they need a new set

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<v Speaker 4>of tools. And when you look through the report, what

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<v Speaker 4>you see is really the consulting group outlining this new

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<v Speaker 4>era of pricing and how companies need to increasingly be

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<v Speaker 4>working with algorithmic data specialists and data service providers to compete.

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<v Speaker 4>And so there's just this flourishing cottage industry of companies

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<v Speaker 4>like Ravionics and Mantec and others who are basically bundling

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<v Speaker 4>up competitors' data using sort of surveillance, targeting and geoanalytics

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<v Speaker 4>to take in competitors' data and then spitting out for

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<v Speaker 4>the retailer's advice and recommendations on you know, how to

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<v Speaker 4>keep prices higher for faster and longer. And so when

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<v Speaker 4>I get a question like this, I really just like

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<v Speaker 4>to go to the quotes from the companies themselves, right,

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<v Speaker 4>So what are they saying that they're selling, what are

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<v Speaker 4>they recommending to these companies? And you know, some of

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<v Speaker 4>the examples that we have I think are quite stark.

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<v Speaker 4>You can go through just a couple of them. You know,

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<v Speaker 4>companies recommending quote faster lasting implementation of price increases, recommending

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<v Speaker 4>that they can help companies ferret out when they inadvertently

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<v Speaker 4>keep prices quote too low for too long, help folks

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<v Speaker 4>quote more quickly react to competitors pricing, and also ensure

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<v Speaker 4>that their price hikes quote stick right. And so what

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<v Speaker 4>you're seeing is a sort of cottage industry of companies

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<v Speaker 4>who's really pushing retailers to go higher, faster, and for

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<v Speaker 4>longer on prices. And I think that really matches what

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<v Speaker 4>Dave mentioned up top, which is that you know, the

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<v Speaker 4>sort of age of cost cutting has maybe hit bone,

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<v Speaker 4>and now we're in this sort of age of recruitment

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<v Speaker 4>and where revenue maximization and pricing is really critical to

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<v Speaker 4>the game. And big data and new technologies has really

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<v Speaker 4>allowed this pricing to go high tech and these new

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<v Speaker 4>strategies to really flourish. And so I don't like to

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<v Speaker 4>make too many predictions, but you know, my instinct here

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<v Speaker 4>is that this is really the very very beginning of

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<v Speaker 4>this new era of pricing. And I think you know,

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<v Speaker 4>the amount of online shopping that folks did during COVID

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<v Speaker 4>nineteen has obviously allowed folks to collect more and more

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<v Speaker 4>data on consumers and I think we're just really at

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<v Speaker 4>the tip of the iceberg here. We're just sort of

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<v Speaker 4>starting to see these strategies unleashed across industries.

0:13:08.400 --> 0:13:11.440
<v Speaker 2>As a journalist, I really like data, and I like

0:13:11.920 --> 0:13:16.120
<v Speaker 2>companies that gather data and publish data on their corporate

0:13:16.160 --> 0:13:18.560
<v Speaker 2>blogs about what's happening with this, and it's been certainly

0:13:18.640 --> 0:13:21.120
<v Speaker 2>nice over the last several years to see more of

0:13:21.120 --> 0:13:26.000
<v Speaker 2>them talk about though, like how this data is actually used,

0:13:26.040 --> 0:13:29.079
<v Speaker 2>because one of the themes that comes up in this edition

0:13:29.160 --> 0:13:31.760
<v Speaker 2>of the magazine is that when the data is out

0:13:31.800 --> 0:13:35.640
<v Speaker 2>there in public, then companies can see more quickly, oh,

0:13:35.840 --> 0:13:39.240
<v Speaker 2>we're actually underpricing or actually everyone else is charging more,

0:13:39.280 --> 0:13:42.560
<v Speaker 2>and we can see this more easily than perhaps in

0:13:42.600 --> 0:13:45.640
<v Speaker 2>the past when companies are trying to get data. Talk

0:13:45.679 --> 0:13:49.000
<v Speaker 2>about this sort of like the role that data aggregators

0:13:49.000 --> 0:13:52.520
<v Speaker 2>have and maybe the specific industries that use this data

0:13:52.559 --> 0:13:53.959
<v Speaker 2>to get better at pushing price.

0:13:54.440 --> 0:13:56.160
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I mean, I think we can talk about it

0:13:56.240 --> 0:13:58.760
<v Speaker 5>in a couple different ways. The first is this use

0:13:58.840 --> 0:14:02.320
<v Speaker 5>of what has been called called algorithmic price fixing. So

0:14:03.120 --> 0:14:07.160
<v Speaker 5>we see these aggregators that have arisen and it's not

0:14:07.240 --> 0:14:11.040
<v Speaker 5>a very new thing. Actually, the airline industry has this

0:14:11.120 --> 0:14:15.400
<v Speaker 5>thing called atp CO, the Airline Tariff Publishing Company, and

0:14:15.440 --> 0:14:18.760
<v Speaker 5>it's been around since the I believe, the since deregulation

0:14:18.840 --> 0:14:23.600
<v Speaker 5>in the nineteen eighties. And they collect real time data

0:14:23.680 --> 0:14:27.800
<v Speaker 5>on every fare that's been published in the US and

0:14:27.840 --> 0:14:32.400
<v Speaker 5>around the world, and all the companies who subscribe to

0:14:32.440 --> 0:14:35.240
<v Speaker 5>atp CO can look at that and know when to

0:14:35.320 --> 0:14:38.040
<v Speaker 5>adjust their prices in real time. The Justice Department actually

0:14:38.040 --> 0:14:42.800
<v Speaker 5>looked at this as a collusion operation, but they allowed

0:14:42.840 --> 0:14:45.920
<v Speaker 5>it to go forward in the nineteen nineties. Some of

0:14:45.960 --> 0:14:49.880
<v Speaker 5>this data is proprietary. There's a lawsuit right now active

0:14:50.320 --> 0:14:53.840
<v Speaker 5>between the Justice Department and a company called Agristats, which

0:14:53.840 --> 0:14:56.520
<v Speaker 5>has also been around for quite a while. And this

0:14:56.600 --> 0:15:01.520
<v Speaker 5>company collects real time proprietary data from all of the

0:15:01.920 --> 0:15:05.560
<v Speaker 5>meat packing producers in a given market, whether it's pork

0:15:05.680 --> 0:15:10.560
<v Speaker 5>or poultry, or chicken or turkey, and they put all

0:15:10.600 --> 0:15:13.360
<v Speaker 5>this data in these giant books and they give them

0:15:13.440 --> 0:15:18.160
<v Speaker 5>out to these various competitors, which now have basically a

0:15:18.240 --> 0:15:22.720
<v Speaker 5>setup of everything that their competitors are doing, including their price,

0:15:22.760 --> 0:15:27.400
<v Speaker 5>including their supply, including every single thing part of their market.

0:15:27.920 --> 0:15:31.400
<v Speaker 5>And now they can know that, oh, I can probably

0:15:31.520 --> 0:15:35.880
<v Speaker 5>raise my price because I'm under price relative to my competitor,

0:15:36.160 --> 0:15:38.680
<v Speaker 5>but I won't lose market share because my competitor is

0:15:38.880 --> 0:15:42.600
<v Speaker 5>charging more for this product and it has the tendency

0:15:42.640 --> 0:15:45.760
<v Speaker 5>to ratchet prices upward. We've also seen this in rental

0:15:45.800 --> 0:15:50.080
<v Speaker 5>markets with a company like real Page, which again goes

0:15:50.120 --> 0:15:53.760
<v Speaker 5>out to landlords in a particular area, collects all of

0:15:53.800 --> 0:15:57.880
<v Speaker 5>their pricing data, all of their supply data, distributes it

0:15:58.000 --> 0:16:03.600
<v Speaker 5>broadly among these competitors, and allows them to raise their

0:16:03.640 --> 0:16:08.840
<v Speaker 5>prices in tandem throughout the market. We know that price

0:16:08.880 --> 0:16:12.200
<v Speaker 5>fixing has been kind of a bedrock of antitrust legislation.

0:16:12.320 --> 0:16:16.800
<v Speaker 5>If you have evidence that three people executives have gone

0:16:16.840 --> 0:16:19.720
<v Speaker 5>into a room and said we're going to raise our

0:16:19.760 --> 0:16:23.600
<v Speaker 5>price by X amount of dollars, then the Justice Department

0:16:23.600 --> 0:16:26.040
<v Speaker 5>will step in and they will put a lawsuit on

0:16:26.200 --> 0:16:29.480
<v Speaker 5>those various people and put them in jail. Potentially, if

0:16:29.520 --> 0:16:31.920
<v Speaker 5>you do it through an algorithm, which is the way

0:16:31.960 --> 0:16:35.760
<v Speaker 5>that real Page and some of these other organizations operate,

0:16:36.280 --> 0:16:39.280
<v Speaker 5>it's sort of more of an open question as to

0:16:39.960 --> 0:16:44.680
<v Speaker 5>what the legal system will take from that and actually

0:16:44.760 --> 0:16:48.840
<v Speaker 5>look at prosecuting it. But there's no real difference between

0:16:48.880 --> 0:16:53.000
<v Speaker 5>algorithmic price collusion and in person price collusion, and so

0:16:53.120 --> 0:16:56.480
<v Speaker 5>that is one of the ways by distributing aggregating that

0:16:56.600 --> 0:17:01.000
<v Speaker 5>data across an entire industry and allowing those companies to

0:17:01.040 --> 0:17:04.000
<v Speaker 5>have a window into that pricing. That's one way that

0:17:04.040 --> 0:17:06.400
<v Speaker 5>this gets done. We can talk about the other way,

0:17:06.400 --> 0:17:09.520
<v Speaker 5>which actually interacts with the McDonald's app, which we wrote

0:17:09.520 --> 0:17:12.040
<v Speaker 5>about pretty extensively in this series.

0:17:11.760 --> 0:17:12.360
<v Speaker 3>Go for It.

0:17:13.720 --> 0:17:16.720
<v Speaker 5>So the McDonald's app is put together by a company

0:17:16.760 --> 0:17:20.359
<v Speaker 5>called Plexure, and Plexure works with Ikea, they work with

0:17:20.400 --> 0:17:24.480
<v Speaker 5>seven to eleven, they work with White Castle. And the reason,

0:17:24.680 --> 0:17:28.720
<v Speaker 5>as you correctly said, Tracy, that McDonald's gives discounts on

0:17:28.760 --> 0:17:31.640
<v Speaker 5>the app is because they want to get on your phone.

0:17:31.680 --> 0:17:33.720
<v Speaker 5>They want to get on your phone and be able

0:17:34.240 --> 0:17:38.879
<v Speaker 5>to figure out what you're doing on that phone, where

0:17:38.920 --> 0:17:42.280
<v Speaker 5>you are at particular times of day, what your food

0:17:42.320 --> 0:17:46.840
<v Speaker 5>preferences are, what you're ordering habits are, potentially, what you're

0:17:46.920 --> 0:17:50.440
<v Speaker 5>using to pay for those things, and your financial behaviors.

0:17:50.480 --> 0:17:54.080
<v Speaker 5>Through that, they're aggregating a bunch of data about you.

0:17:54.800 --> 0:17:58.080
<v Speaker 5>And we had one of the slides from this presentation

0:17:58.760 --> 0:18:01.520
<v Speaker 5>that Plexure put together the other that shows how they

0:18:01.720 --> 0:18:05.320
<v Speaker 5>are using this data. And one of the things that

0:18:05.359 --> 0:18:09.480
<v Speaker 5>they were using to make predictions about what people would

0:18:09.480 --> 0:18:13.080
<v Speaker 5>be willing to pay was their payday. So you can

0:18:13.160 --> 0:18:16.360
<v Speaker 5>imagine how you can use this. If the app knows

0:18:16.480 --> 0:18:20.200
<v Speaker 5>that you get paid every other Friday, it might give

0:18:20.280 --> 0:18:24.360
<v Speaker 5>you a three dollars McMuffin on Thursday, but when Friday

0:18:24.400 --> 0:18:26.280
<v Speaker 5>you have some money in your pocket, it might raise

0:18:26.280 --> 0:18:27.240
<v Speaker 5>it to four dollars.

0:18:27.440 --> 0:18:27.640
<v Speaker 3>Right.

0:18:28.200 --> 0:18:31.840
<v Speaker 5>If it knows that it's cold out, it might raise

0:18:31.880 --> 0:18:35.000
<v Speaker 5>the price of hot coffee. If it knows it's hot out,

0:18:35.040 --> 0:18:39.200
<v Speaker 5>it might raise the price of a mcflurry. Often, plecture

0:18:39.240 --> 0:18:44.160
<v Speaker 5>combines this data that's within the app, like what they

0:18:44.160 --> 0:18:49.080
<v Speaker 5>call first party data, with additional data about you through

0:18:49.320 --> 0:18:54.399
<v Speaker 5>what is called an identity graph that aggregates both you know,

0:18:54.480 --> 0:18:57.560
<v Speaker 5>stuff you're doing on the app, with your email, with

0:18:57.600 --> 0:19:01.119
<v Speaker 5>your social media, with your browser, with your subscriptions, with

0:19:01.160 --> 0:19:04.240
<v Speaker 5>your other app downloads, with your travel history, with your

0:19:04.320 --> 0:19:09.200
<v Speaker 5>retail history, all of these other things. And the predictive

0:19:09.440 --> 0:19:15.400
<v Speaker 5>power of that is such that you can pinpoint what

0:19:15.440 --> 0:19:18.200
<v Speaker 5>you're going to buy, maybe before you even know, and

0:19:18.359 --> 0:19:23.040
<v Speaker 5>therefore you can target prices accordingly. So I think we're

0:19:23.080 --> 0:19:25.400
<v Speaker 5>at the beginning of this where they're trying to discount

0:19:25.400 --> 0:19:28.159
<v Speaker 5>things and get people on the app and get people

0:19:28.280 --> 0:19:30.320
<v Speaker 5>used to ordering on the app. But what that has

0:19:30.359 --> 0:19:34.400
<v Speaker 5>the effect of doing is isolating the consumer. If you're

0:19:34.520 --> 0:19:37.600
<v Speaker 5>buying through an app, there is no public price, there's

0:19:37.760 --> 0:19:41.040
<v Speaker 5>just a price for you. And there are other ways

0:19:41.119 --> 0:19:44.760
<v Speaker 5>that you know, through online commerce or through deals that

0:19:44.840 --> 0:19:49.040
<v Speaker 5>are done through a smart TV, where the customer is

0:19:49.040 --> 0:19:52.800
<v Speaker 5>isolated and doesn't really know what other people are paying

0:19:52.880 --> 0:19:56.399
<v Speaker 5>for the same product. Because what personalized pricing is always

0:19:56.440 --> 0:20:01.160
<v Speaker 5>run into is this sense of unfairness. And if it's

0:20:01.520 --> 0:20:04.960
<v Speaker 5>very apparent that I paid three dollars and the guy

0:20:05.040 --> 0:20:07.760
<v Speaker 5>behind me in line paid four dollars, I'm going to

0:20:07.800 --> 0:20:10.520
<v Speaker 5>be mad about that. If I'm the guy paying four dollars,

0:20:10.520 --> 0:20:13.000
<v Speaker 5>why did I pay more than the other guy? But

0:20:13.080 --> 0:20:15.600
<v Speaker 5>if you don't know, if it's through your television, if

0:20:15.600 --> 0:20:18.320
<v Speaker 5>it's through your phone, if it's through your web browser,

0:20:18.680 --> 0:20:21.280
<v Speaker 5>and you don't have any idea what the other person paid,

0:20:21.840 --> 0:20:24.280
<v Speaker 5>you're just not going to know to be upset, right.

0:20:24.960 --> 0:20:28.920
<v Speaker 5>So I think that is the frontier that we are

0:20:29.080 --> 0:20:33.119
<v Speaker 5>in many ways moving toward. And it's a fascinating and

0:20:33.600 --> 0:20:36.840
<v Speaker 5>maybe you know, to some people, dystopian reality.

0:20:37.119 --> 0:20:39.320
<v Speaker 3>I was literally about to use that word.

0:20:39.560 --> 0:20:41.600
<v Speaker 4>Sorry, I just wanted to add I think it's just

0:20:41.640 --> 0:20:45.200
<v Speaker 4>this really interesting period in history as well, because of course,

0:20:45.200 --> 0:20:47.040
<v Speaker 4>this is sort of where we started, right. You know,

0:20:47.080 --> 0:20:49.800
<v Speaker 4>people haggled. There was no set price for a good.

0:20:50.240 --> 0:20:52.040
<v Speaker 4>You went to the bazaar, you went to the market,

0:20:52.080 --> 0:20:53.480
<v Speaker 4>and you know, they took a look at you and

0:20:53.520 --> 0:20:55.879
<v Speaker 4>maybe looked at your shoes, and depending on what they

0:20:56.000 --> 0:20:58.399
<v Speaker 4>ate for breakfast that morning, they decided what to charge you.

0:20:58.600 --> 0:21:01.120
<v Speaker 4>And in the United States context, you know, there were

0:21:01.119 --> 0:21:03.760
<v Speaker 4>a few people who didn't think that was right. You know,

0:21:03.760 --> 0:21:06.720
<v Speaker 4>the Quakers in Philadelphia felt that this type of price

0:21:06.800 --> 0:21:11.080
<v Speaker 4>discrimination violated their religious principles that sort of every man

0:21:11.320 --> 0:21:16.000
<v Speaker 4>was equal under God. And John Wannamaker, the Philadelphia department

0:21:16.040 --> 0:21:19.600
<v Speaker 4>store owner, similarly had concerns about this. And by the way,

0:21:19.600 --> 0:21:22.439
<v Speaker 4>a business case in a large department store, you know,

0:21:22.520 --> 0:21:25.000
<v Speaker 4>haggling takes a little time, right, Like you want to

0:21:25.000 --> 0:21:27.159
<v Speaker 4>move people through, like pick up your scarf, pick up

0:21:27.160 --> 0:21:29.760
<v Speaker 4>your lipstick, get in line and check out. And he

0:21:29.960 --> 0:21:32.679
<v Speaker 4>started the price tag, right. His sort of credo was

0:21:33.240 --> 0:21:36.680
<v Speaker 4>one price and goods returnable. He also sort of invented

0:21:36.720 --> 0:21:39.800
<v Speaker 4>the money back guarantee and allowed folks to start returning

0:21:39.800 --> 0:21:42.439
<v Speaker 4>goods that they weren't satisfied with. And so, you know,

0:21:42.520 --> 0:21:45.800
<v Speaker 4>for a long time, we've lived in a world throughout

0:21:45.840 --> 0:21:48.159
<v Speaker 4>all of the twentieth century where there was by and

0:21:48.280 --> 0:21:51.600
<v Speaker 4>large one price for goods. You know that was sometimes discounted,

0:21:51.640 --> 0:21:53.960
<v Speaker 4>sometimes marked up. But you know, you went into the

0:21:54.000 --> 0:21:57.480
<v Speaker 4>supermarket or the department store, and you know, unless you

0:21:57.640 --> 0:21:59.560
<v Speaker 4>got there on the wrong day before the sale, like

0:21:59.800 --> 0:22:01.879
<v Speaker 4>you the same amount as your friend did for the

0:22:01.920 --> 0:22:04.560
<v Speaker 4>same good. And we're really in some ways returning to

0:22:04.640 --> 0:22:08.040
<v Speaker 4>the bizarre the marketplace because of new technologies that are

0:22:08.119 --> 0:22:12.639
<v Speaker 4>enabling companies to more aggressively tailor price discrimination.

0:22:13.600 --> 0:22:19.440
<v Speaker 3>So this raises points about fairness and also privacy data

0:22:19.440 --> 0:22:24.359
<v Speaker 3>privacy specifically, And David, you mentioned the word dystopian there,

0:22:24.480 --> 0:22:26.800
<v Speaker 3>and I was thinking back to I used to cover

0:22:26.880 --> 0:22:29.359
<v Speaker 3>the banks at the Ft and I wrote a piece

0:22:29.400 --> 0:22:34.199
<v Speaker 3>back in twenty fifteen about exactly this theme. So the

0:22:34.280 --> 0:22:38.400
<v Speaker 3>idea of financial companies using new types of data, new

0:22:38.440 --> 0:22:43.560
<v Speaker 3>technology to basically build proxy profiles of their customers. And

0:22:43.640 --> 0:22:45.600
<v Speaker 3>I remember I was out in San Francisco. I was

0:22:45.720 --> 0:22:49.760
<v Speaker 3>talking to this new startup lender. They don't exist anymore,

0:22:49.760 --> 0:22:51.960
<v Speaker 3>so I think I can tell the story, But they

0:22:52.000 --> 0:22:55.280
<v Speaker 3>were talking about the types of data that they could

0:22:55.280 --> 0:22:58.200
<v Speaker 3>collect from their customers, and I really think people don't

0:22:58.280 --> 0:23:02.720
<v Speaker 3>understand the extent of what is available to companies. But

0:23:02.800 --> 0:23:05.359
<v Speaker 3>they were talking about how if someone was applying for

0:23:05.440 --> 0:23:09.160
<v Speaker 3>a loan on their website, they could use a sort

0:23:09.160 --> 0:23:12.760
<v Speaker 3>of slider to decide what amount of money they were

0:23:12.800 --> 0:23:15.080
<v Speaker 3>asking for, so anything from I don't know, one hundred

0:23:15.119 --> 0:23:18.000
<v Speaker 3>dollars to like ten thousand dollars something like that, and

0:23:18.040 --> 0:23:23.240
<v Speaker 3>the company could track how fast they were moving that slider,

0:23:24.119 --> 0:23:26.880
<v Speaker 3>and it was supposed to be an indication of how

0:23:27.080 --> 0:23:30.919
<v Speaker 3>sort of what's the word impulsive the customer was. So

0:23:30.960 --> 0:23:34.119
<v Speaker 3>if you move the slider really fast, you're probably not

0:23:34.400 --> 0:23:37.199
<v Speaker 3>a very good credit risk. But if you're sort of

0:23:37.240 --> 0:23:40.040
<v Speaker 3>like considerate, or you immediately move it to one point

0:23:40.080 --> 0:23:43.040
<v Speaker 3>and leave it there, maybe you're a better risk. And

0:23:43.080 --> 0:23:45.639
<v Speaker 3>then in addition to that, when it comes to finances

0:23:45.640 --> 0:23:49.600
<v Speaker 3>and extending credit, there are obviously protected classes out there,

0:23:49.720 --> 0:23:52.800
<v Speaker 3>so you know, race, gender, I think age as well,

0:23:53.240 --> 0:23:56.960
<v Speaker 3>that companies are not allowed to discriminate against. But when

0:23:57.000 --> 0:24:01.040
<v Speaker 3>you have all this data, you can basically build proxy

0:24:01.160 --> 0:24:04.680
<v Speaker 3>profiles of people, and there are certain you know, indicators

0:24:04.720 --> 0:24:07.520
<v Speaker 3>of whether or not someone is white or black, depending

0:24:07.560 --> 0:24:09.880
<v Speaker 3>on like what type of browser they're using, what type

0:24:09.880 --> 0:24:13.200
<v Speaker 3>of phone, where they are, et cetera, et cetera. How

0:24:13.240 --> 0:24:18.520
<v Speaker 3>does our current legal system view some of this personalized pricing?

0:24:19.040 --> 0:24:21.080
<v Speaker 3>What's that discussion like at the moment?

0:24:21.760 --> 0:24:25.840
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I mean I talked to Lena Khan for this issue.

0:24:25.920 --> 0:24:30.400
<v Speaker 5>She's the chair of the Federal Trade Commission, and you know,

0:24:30.560 --> 0:24:34.399
<v Speaker 5>she said that there was one point in which this

0:24:34.680 --> 0:24:37.880
<v Speaker 5>idea of personalized pricing or what you know some people

0:24:38.119 --> 0:24:41.399
<v Speaker 5>that I talked to called surveillance pricing, that it was

0:24:41.640 --> 0:24:45.359
<v Speaker 5>just sort of a theoretical exercise. It was something that

0:24:45.480 --> 0:24:48.560
<v Speaker 5>economists liked to take a look at to see whether

0:24:48.600 --> 0:24:53.600
<v Speaker 5>it created surplus value or not. And now we're reaching

0:24:53.640 --> 0:24:57.160
<v Speaker 5>this kind of terrifying reality where actually you collect enough

0:24:57.280 --> 0:24:59.680
<v Speaker 5>data that you can do it. One of the more

0:25:00.080 --> 0:25:03.280
<v Speaker 5>disturbing things that we saw in this in going through

0:25:03.280 --> 0:25:06.119
<v Speaker 5>the research for this issue, was to study out in

0:25:06.240 --> 0:25:12.520
<v Speaker 5>Belgium where they looked at uber prices and they took

0:25:12.680 --> 0:25:16.639
<v Speaker 5>two people in the same place going to the same destination,

0:25:17.480 --> 0:25:21.840
<v Speaker 5>and it noticed that it charged more if the individual's

0:25:21.920 --> 0:25:27.399
<v Speaker 5>phone battery was low. And what the surmise is is

0:25:27.440 --> 0:25:31.639
<v Speaker 5>that that's a proxy for you're desperate, you need a

0:25:31.720 --> 0:25:34.240
<v Speaker 5>ride pretty much right now because your battery is going

0:25:34.280 --> 0:25:37.639
<v Speaker 5>to run out, and so we can charge you more

0:25:37.840 --> 0:25:40.000
<v Speaker 5>on that point. And you know, I've talked to a

0:25:40.200 --> 0:25:42.520
<v Speaker 5>University of Chicago economists that said, well, that might be

0:25:42.520 --> 0:25:45.080
<v Speaker 5>a proxy for it's late in the night, but that's

0:25:45.119 --> 0:25:47.560
<v Speaker 5>not the way that they designed the experiment. It was

0:25:47.640 --> 0:25:50.520
<v Speaker 5>two people at the very same time. One had eighty

0:25:50.560 --> 0:25:53.040
<v Speaker 5>four percent on their battery and one had twelve percent,

0:25:53.320 --> 0:25:56.040
<v Speaker 5>and the twelve percent person was charged more from the

0:25:56.080 --> 0:25:59.600
<v Speaker 5>same location going to the same place. So this kind

0:25:59.640 --> 0:26:03.040
<v Speaker 5>of stuff just wasn't available a while ago. And one

0:26:03.160 --> 0:26:06.159
<v Speaker 5>question is what the legal system is going to do

0:26:06.280 --> 0:26:09.560
<v Speaker 5>about this In terms of court cases. Talking about the

0:26:09.640 --> 0:26:12.360
<v Speaker 5>algorithmic surge pricing that I mentioned, there was a quirk

0:26:12.440 --> 0:26:17.320
<v Speaker 5>case over a company called rain Maker, which was working

0:26:17.600 --> 0:26:22.240
<v Speaker 5>with Las Vegas hotels and once again aggregating prices, showing

0:26:22.440 --> 0:26:25.800
<v Speaker 5>these particular casino hotels a picture of the market so

0:26:25.840 --> 0:26:28.560
<v Speaker 5>that they could raise their prices, and the judge throw

0:26:28.600 --> 0:26:31.880
<v Speaker 5>out the case because he said, well, they were only

0:26:31.960 --> 0:26:36.080
<v Speaker 5>recommending certain prices, they weren't mandating it. Even though the

0:26:36.160 --> 0:26:41.119
<v Speaker 5>statistics that rain Maker even submitted say that ninety percent

0:26:41.160 --> 0:26:43.760
<v Speaker 5>of the time the recommendation has taken and that they

0:26:44.200 --> 0:26:48.480
<v Speaker 5>strongly encourage people to take the recommendation otherwise they cut

0:26:48.480 --> 0:26:51.439
<v Speaker 5>them off the service. So how the legal system is

0:26:51.440 --> 0:26:54.840
<v Speaker 5>going to react here as an open question. But lawmakers

0:26:54.920 --> 0:26:59.800
<v Speaker 5>and policymakers do have tools here. There are tools against

0:27:00.119 --> 0:27:04.480
<v Speaker 5>unfair and deceptive practices that the FTC has and also

0:27:04.760 --> 0:27:08.359
<v Speaker 5>you know agencies like the Department of Transportation has with

0:27:08.400 --> 0:27:13.159
<v Speaker 5>respect to the airlines. There are other various anti price

0:27:13.200 --> 0:27:16.040
<v Speaker 5>gouging tools and things of that nature, and there are

0:27:16.080 --> 0:27:19.400
<v Speaker 5>also anti trust tools. Because the one secret sauce here

0:27:19.520 --> 0:27:24.040
<v Speaker 5>is market power. The idea that you can just sort

0:27:24.080 --> 0:27:27.720
<v Speaker 5>of willy nearly raise your prices in a competitive market.

0:27:27.760 --> 0:27:30.480
<v Speaker 5>That's going to create a situation where a competitor is

0:27:30.520 --> 0:27:33.679
<v Speaker 5>going to undercut you because they know that you're charging

0:27:33.680 --> 0:27:36.600
<v Speaker 5>too much. In the market will sort of rebalance itself.

0:27:37.000 --> 0:27:39.359
<v Speaker 5>If you have a tremendous amount of market power and

0:27:39.400 --> 0:27:42.919
<v Speaker 5>therefore pricing power, you have the ability to continue this

0:27:43.119 --> 0:27:47.399
<v Speaker 5>without kind of worrying about whether your customers will go away.

0:27:47.440 --> 0:27:51.280
<v Speaker 5>You've created a moat around your business. So that's a

0:27:51.359 --> 0:27:54.000
<v Speaker 5>key facet of this as well. If you know, competition

0:27:54.119 --> 0:27:57.760
<v Speaker 5>policy moves towards a place where these markets suddenly have

0:27:58.160 --> 0:28:02.199
<v Speaker 5>more choices for customers, then these pricing strategies lose a

0:28:02.240 --> 0:28:03.200
<v Speaker 5>little bit of their power.

0:28:03.640 --> 0:28:05.440
<v Speaker 4>One thing I would just add is, I think we're

0:28:05.520 --> 0:28:09.560
<v Speaker 4>really in a new legal frontier when it comes to

0:28:09.800 --> 0:28:15.560
<v Speaker 4>personalized pricing and price discrimination and protection of protected classes.

0:28:15.800 --> 0:28:19.240
<v Speaker 4>You know, as you point out, any set of pricing

0:28:19.400 --> 0:28:24.000
<v Speaker 4>that relies in whole or in part on geography in

0:28:24.040 --> 0:28:28.760
<v Speaker 4>the United States, given the extraordinary segregation in the United

0:28:28.760 --> 0:28:33.000
<v Speaker 4>States by geography, is ultimately going to have a racial bias,

0:28:33.200 --> 0:28:36.159
<v Speaker 4>intended or unintended, right, And so you know, there have

0:28:36.160 --> 0:28:39.080
<v Speaker 4>been some really interesting studies. There was a study of

0:28:39.240 --> 0:28:42.720
<v Speaker 4>uber and lyft rides in Chicago and they looked at

0:28:42.720 --> 0:28:45.520
<v Speaker 4>like over one hundred million rides, I believe, and what

0:28:45.560 --> 0:28:49.360
<v Speaker 4>they showed is that, you know, if either the destination

0:28:49.520 --> 0:28:52.040
<v Speaker 4>or the pickup point had a higher percentage of non

0:28:52.080 --> 0:28:56.360
<v Speaker 4>white residents, low income residents, or low income residents, you

0:28:56.480 --> 0:29:00.280
<v Speaker 4>saw higher fares. Now, of course, supply and demand can

0:29:00.280 --> 0:29:03.680
<v Speaker 4>play a large role in that, but these overlays around

0:29:03.840 --> 0:29:07.000
<v Speaker 4>geography are going to be interesting to consider. And the

0:29:07.040 --> 0:29:08.720
<v Speaker 4>next thing I would just say on this point is,

0:29:09.200 --> 0:29:11.520
<v Speaker 4>you know, when you think about surge pricing, right and

0:29:11.560 --> 0:29:14.440
<v Speaker 4>you think, okay, well, in an area, you know where

0:29:14.480 --> 0:29:17.320
<v Speaker 4>there's sort of less supply, you might want to ration

0:29:17.480 --> 0:29:20.360
<v Speaker 4>by price. If you're in a low income area where

0:29:20.360 --> 0:29:23.800
<v Speaker 4>there's only one store and there's not a lot of competition,

0:29:24.280 --> 0:29:27.120
<v Speaker 4>surge pricing is going to hit that space harder because

0:29:27.120 --> 0:29:30.160
<v Speaker 4>there's just going to be low supply and that's likely

0:29:30.200 --> 0:29:33.080
<v Speaker 4>to be a low income area, a minority or a

0:29:33.120 --> 0:29:35.280
<v Speaker 4>black or brown area as well. And so I think

0:29:35.440 --> 0:29:38.800
<v Speaker 4>the overlay of sort of the geography of concentration in

0:29:38.800 --> 0:29:41.840
<v Speaker 4>the United States, the geography of segregation in the United States,

0:29:41.920 --> 0:29:45.600
<v Speaker 4>and personalized pricing is absolutely going to create some winners

0:29:45.600 --> 0:29:47.920
<v Speaker 4>and losers. And I think the question is whether or

0:29:47.960 --> 0:29:50.400
<v Speaker 4>not existing law is up to the task, or whether

0:29:50.480 --> 0:29:53.240
<v Speaker 4>or not new laws will be required to protect consumers

0:29:53.320 --> 0:29:55.240
<v Speaker 4>from discriminatory practices in tracing.

0:30:10.840 --> 0:30:12.880
<v Speaker 2>You know, I mentioned by the way that I'll play

0:30:12.920 --> 0:30:15.880
<v Speaker 2>Devil's advocate here and I'll just say, if my battery

0:30:16.000 --> 0:30:18.320
<v Speaker 2>on my phone was about to die, I'm fine with

0:30:18.360 --> 0:30:20.680
<v Speaker 2>paying a few extra dollars to get the car over

0:30:20.840 --> 0:30:23.000
<v Speaker 2>the other guy. I'm I'm just gonna throw that out there.

0:30:23.160 --> 0:30:25.360
<v Speaker 2>But actually, lindsay, I want to follow up on this

0:30:25.520 --> 0:30:28.520
<v Speaker 2>point because you're leading to something that I was going

0:30:28.520 --> 0:30:31.080
<v Speaker 2>to ask about, which is that you know, one of

0:30:31.120 --> 0:30:35.280
<v Speaker 2>the things we're sort of talking about is a time tax, right,

0:30:35.360 --> 0:30:37.040
<v Speaker 2>Like some people are going to just roll up to

0:30:37.040 --> 0:30:39.400
<v Speaker 2>the McDonald's, and some people are going to take the

0:30:39.440 --> 0:30:42.480
<v Speaker 2>time to download an app and put in their data.

0:30:42.600 --> 0:30:44.240
<v Speaker 2>I am not one of those people. I'm not very

0:30:44.280 --> 0:30:47.240
<v Speaker 2>well organized, et cetera. But I probably in theory if

0:30:47.240 --> 0:30:49.520
<v Speaker 2>I really cared, like, would have you know, the time

0:30:49.560 --> 0:30:51.120
<v Speaker 2>to like set all these things up and do the

0:30:51.160 --> 0:30:53.800
<v Speaker 2>miles and everything. Talk to us about like the disparate

0:30:53.920 --> 0:30:57.760
<v Speaker 2>impact of basically, yes, there are better prices out there

0:30:58.280 --> 0:31:01.160
<v Speaker 2>if you're willing to jump over these hurdles and take

0:31:01.200 --> 0:31:03.760
<v Speaker 2>that time and be fully just like aware of all

0:31:03.760 --> 0:31:06.360
<v Speaker 2>of the different availability. It seems like difficult to me

0:31:06.400 --> 0:31:10.320
<v Speaker 2>because I'm disorganized, but basically like targeting different sets of

0:31:10.360 --> 0:31:14.240
<v Speaker 2>populations based on how informed they are and the capacity

0:31:14.520 --> 0:31:16.600
<v Speaker 2>that they have to deal with all of these different

0:31:16.640 --> 0:31:18.480
<v Speaker 2>rewards programs and things like that.

0:31:19.080 --> 0:31:22.440
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I don't even have airline points because I'm too

0:31:22.440 --> 0:31:25.840
<v Speaker 4>disorganized to keep up with accounts for Delta and America

0:31:25.920 --> 0:31:28.640
<v Speaker 4>and things like that. So I hear you one hundred

0:31:28.680 --> 0:31:31.520
<v Speaker 4>percent on that point. Look, I think it's a really

0:31:31.520 --> 0:31:34.560
<v Speaker 4>interesting question, right. There is this temptation to sort of

0:31:34.560 --> 0:31:37.719
<v Speaker 4>figure out how you can hack personalized pricing, or use

0:31:37.760 --> 0:31:41.040
<v Speaker 4>a VPN to get around dark patterns, or how can

0:31:41.080 --> 0:31:44.120
<v Speaker 4>I beat AI and get a good discount. But I

0:31:44.160 --> 0:31:46.680
<v Speaker 4>think really what the issue that we put out of

0:31:46.720 --> 0:31:51.160
<v Speaker 4>the prospect shows is that increasingly in almost every area

0:31:51.240 --> 0:31:53.040
<v Speaker 4>of your life, right, if you look at your household

0:31:53.040 --> 0:31:55.920
<v Speaker 4>budget and the rental market, where Real Page is helping

0:31:55.960 --> 0:31:59.880
<v Speaker 4>landlords fixed prices, in the grocery store for your family vacation,

0:32:00.160 --> 0:32:03.280
<v Speaker 4>where you're having to deal with algorithmic price fixing in

0:32:03.400 --> 0:32:07.880
<v Speaker 4>both airline class as well as hotels, you're up against

0:32:07.920 --> 0:32:11.320
<v Speaker 4>the machine here, right, And I honestly don't know that

0:32:11.400 --> 0:32:14.960
<v Speaker 4>even consumers with considerable time are able to coop on

0:32:15.000 --> 0:32:16.920
<v Speaker 4>clip their way out of this one, right. I mean,

0:32:17.000 --> 0:32:19.720
<v Speaker 4>imagine a world in which you hear from your friend

0:32:19.800 --> 0:32:23.040
<v Speaker 4>that there's a discount on I don't know, cheerios. I'm

0:32:23.040 --> 0:32:25.200
<v Speaker 4>buying a lot of those from my toddler right now

0:32:25.680 --> 0:32:28.200
<v Speaker 4>at the Kroger down the street. But you know they've

0:32:28.240 --> 0:32:31.200
<v Speaker 4>installed electronic price tags on the shelves. You know, by

0:32:31.200 --> 0:32:32.959
<v Speaker 4>the time you get in your car and drive up

0:32:32.960 --> 0:32:36.280
<v Speaker 4>to the Kroger, like, the price of ceios has already changed, right,

0:32:36.680 --> 0:32:39.200
<v Speaker 4>And so I think this is not a space where

0:32:39.640 --> 0:32:41.520
<v Speaker 4>even folks with sort of like a lot of time,

0:32:41.840 --> 0:32:43.360
<v Speaker 4>you know, who used to sit down and get the

0:32:43.440 --> 0:32:46.440
<v Speaker 4>Sunday papers and pull together three sets of coupons and

0:32:46.680 --> 0:32:49.000
<v Speaker 4>organize them in a book and go to three stores

0:32:49.040 --> 0:32:51.720
<v Speaker 4>to get three different deals. You know, even that is

0:32:52.000 --> 0:32:54.840
<v Speaker 4>starting to look a little quaint and antiquated in a

0:32:54.920 --> 0:32:58.280
<v Speaker 4>space with real time pricing, and in a space where

0:32:58.320 --> 0:33:02.520
<v Speaker 4>there are companies using you know, predictive AI to move

0:33:02.640 --> 0:33:06.880
<v Speaker 4>prices you know, instantaneously, right, I just don't know that

0:33:06.960 --> 0:33:09.160
<v Speaker 4>the consumer is going to win this one. I think

0:33:09.160 --> 0:33:12.160
<v Speaker 4>we ultimately have to decide which pieces of this we're

0:33:12.160 --> 0:33:14.160
<v Speaker 4>not happy to deal with but we think they're legal,

0:33:14.680 --> 0:33:16.480
<v Speaker 4>which pieces of this are illegal and we should go

0:33:16.480 --> 0:33:19.280
<v Speaker 4>ahead and enforce the law, And then honestly, which pieces

0:33:19.320 --> 0:33:23.160
<v Speaker 4>of these items are unfair and we just don't like it.

0:33:23.240 --> 0:33:26.200
<v Speaker 4>And maybe if enough of us are focused on how

0:33:26.280 --> 0:33:29.240
<v Speaker 4>unfair they are, we'll see the next Wanta maker coming

0:33:29.280 --> 0:33:32.240
<v Speaker 4>back in and saying, hey, guys like I have the

0:33:32.280 --> 0:33:36.160
<v Speaker 4>ability to use dynamic pricing, but like you know, what

0:33:36.200 --> 0:33:38.480
<v Speaker 4>you get when you come to Lindsay's store is like

0:33:38.600 --> 0:33:41.880
<v Speaker 4>one frickin' price. It may not be the lowest price,

0:33:42.040 --> 0:33:44.200
<v Speaker 4>but like I promised you, you and your neighbor will

0:33:44.240 --> 0:33:46.400
<v Speaker 4>pay the same price. Right. So I think there are

0:33:46.440 --> 0:33:50.040
<v Speaker 4>a number of ways that this unfolds. But you know,

0:33:50.080 --> 0:33:52.360
<v Speaker 4>I think that some of it is absolutely already illegal,

0:33:52.680 --> 0:33:55.320
<v Speaker 4>some of it probably should be illegal, and some of

0:33:55.360 --> 0:33:58.400
<v Speaker 4>it is just maybe unfair and uncomfortable. And I think

0:33:58.400 --> 0:34:01.440
<v Speaker 4>it's okay for consumers to to think things are unfair

0:34:01.480 --> 0:34:04.440
<v Speaker 4>that are legal. That's an opinion and a belief and

0:34:04.480 --> 0:34:06.720
<v Speaker 4>a value we can all hold, and we can try

0:34:06.720 --> 0:34:08.320
<v Speaker 4>to push for shopping to look different.

0:34:08.719 --> 0:34:11.960
<v Speaker 3>Right. And also, I mean it's pretty obvious to me

0:34:12.280 --> 0:34:16.640
<v Speaker 3>that if you are a poor single mother working two jobs,

0:34:16.840 --> 0:34:19.480
<v Speaker 3>you are going to have less time to try to

0:34:19.760 --> 0:34:22.040
<v Speaker 3>game the system, and so you're not going to be

0:34:22.080 --> 0:34:24.560
<v Speaker 3>able to find the types of deals that maybe other

0:34:24.600 --> 0:34:28.080
<v Speaker 3>people with oodles of spare time can find. But there's

0:34:28.080 --> 0:34:33.080
<v Speaker 3>another aspect of unfairness here which we haven't really discussed

0:34:33.200 --> 0:34:36.600
<v Speaker 3>just yet, which is in addition to seeing different prices.

0:34:37.080 --> 0:34:39.360
<v Speaker 3>And actually I would love to know why. It seems

0:34:39.440 --> 0:34:43.239
<v Speaker 3>that like people that are coded as poor by algorithms

0:34:43.280 --> 0:34:46.239
<v Speaker 3>often end up being charged higher prices. So I'd love

0:34:46.280 --> 0:34:48.600
<v Speaker 3>to ask you that, first of all. But then secondly,

0:34:49.000 --> 0:34:53.080
<v Speaker 3>it feels like all these proxy profiles of customers where

0:34:53.120 --> 0:34:56.120
<v Speaker 3>you can see their past behavior, you can see certain

0:34:56.160 --> 0:35:00.799
<v Speaker 3>demographic info that also feeds into advertising. Right, So the

0:35:00.880 --> 0:35:04.560
<v Speaker 3>world that a poor person might live in, based on

0:35:04.640 --> 0:35:07.359
<v Speaker 3>the ads that they are seeing around them, is very

0:35:07.400 --> 0:35:10.680
<v Speaker 3>different to the world that a wealthier person is seeing.

0:35:10.719 --> 0:35:12.680
<v Speaker 3>So the poor person is probably going to see things

0:35:12.680 --> 0:35:16.200
<v Speaker 3>for payday lenders or you know, buy now, pay later

0:35:16.320 --> 0:35:18.399
<v Speaker 3>type stuff, and the wealthy person is going to see

0:35:18.440 --> 0:35:22.920
<v Speaker 3>ads for I don't know, brokerage accounts or luxury waterfront property,

0:35:23.320 --> 0:35:26.520
<v Speaker 3>and that ends up feeling very unfair to me as

0:35:26.600 --> 0:35:30.960
<v Speaker 3>well and perhaps exacerbating inequality problem that we currently have.

0:35:31.719 --> 0:35:36.600
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I mean, the first really comprehensive study on why

0:35:37.160 --> 0:35:42.480
<v Speaker 5>this phenomenon of poorer Americans paying more happens was published

0:35:42.480 --> 0:35:47.200
<v Speaker 5>in nineteen sixty three. This is nothing really new, and

0:35:47.280 --> 0:35:50.000
<v Speaker 5>we see it in some of these personalized attitudes. There

0:35:50.040 --> 0:35:54.080
<v Speaker 5>was a story several years ago about staples on their

0:35:54.160 --> 0:35:59.360
<v Speaker 5>online products offering different prices in different geolocations based on

0:35:59.400 --> 0:36:03.239
<v Speaker 5>the IP address and the areas that saw that discount

0:36:03.239 --> 0:36:07.200
<v Speaker 5>prices had higher average income. And you know, ability to

0:36:07.280 --> 0:36:11.560
<v Speaker 5>pay and willingness to pay are two different things, and

0:36:11.640 --> 0:36:14.600
<v Speaker 5>I think that's an important concept to know here because

0:36:14.600 --> 0:36:20.000
<v Speaker 5>sometimes they get conflated. Sometimes economists say, well, actually, personalized

0:36:20.040 --> 0:36:23.160
<v Speaker 5>pricing is a great thing because poor people will be

0:36:23.200 --> 0:36:26.359
<v Speaker 5>able to access goods that if there was one fixed price,

0:36:26.400 --> 0:36:28.960
<v Speaker 5>they wouldn't be able to access. And they're making an

0:36:28.960 --> 0:36:32.839
<v Speaker 5>assumption that it's all based on ability to pay. That

0:36:33.320 --> 0:36:36.439
<v Speaker 5>the way that a personalized price will go is that

0:36:36.520 --> 0:36:39.520
<v Speaker 5>you'll be charged more as you go up the income ladder.

0:36:39.920 --> 0:36:42.040
<v Speaker 5>But that's not really how it works.

0:36:42.239 --> 0:36:42.480
<v Speaker 3>You know.

0:36:42.600 --> 0:36:46.560
<v Speaker 5>It could be desperation, as Joe just assented to, that

0:36:46.760 --> 0:36:50.520
<v Speaker 5>causes your higher price. It could be other factors like

0:36:50.800 --> 0:36:54.680
<v Speaker 5>this being a basic necessity that determines the higher price,

0:36:54.760 --> 0:36:59.400
<v Speaker 5>and so the willingness to pay is calculated under a

0:36:59.480 --> 0:37:03.000
<v Speaker 5>number of different factors. It could be that the algorithm

0:37:03.120 --> 0:37:07.680
<v Speaker 5>knows that you only have an hour between jobs or

0:37:07.719 --> 0:37:11.520
<v Speaker 5>while you're going to school to grab some lunch, and

0:37:11.640 --> 0:37:14.440
<v Speaker 5>so they're going to send you or serve you and

0:37:14.600 --> 0:37:18.000
<v Speaker 5>offer that is more in that time of day when

0:37:18.040 --> 0:37:20.919
<v Speaker 5>they know that you have to eat and you're out

0:37:20.920 --> 0:37:24.640
<v Speaker 5>and about and that's where you're going to spend your dollars.

0:37:24.840 --> 0:37:28.560
<v Speaker 5>So there are a whole number of ways where this

0:37:28.680 --> 0:37:32.160
<v Speaker 5>does not look like you just pay more if you

0:37:32.320 --> 0:37:37.520
<v Speaker 5>have more resources. Willingness to pay is a very different concept.

0:37:37.760 --> 0:37:40.640
<v Speaker 4>One interesting thing about the Staple study that Dave mentioned

0:37:40.640 --> 0:37:44.160
<v Speaker 4>that I think raises an important sort of macro point

0:37:44.200 --> 0:37:48.239
<v Speaker 4>about this entire world of pricing strategies and tactics is that,

0:37:48.560 --> 0:37:53.080
<v Speaker 4>you know, corporate concentration and consolidation undergirds at all and

0:37:53.239 --> 0:37:56.400
<v Speaker 4>facilitates and accelerates it all. And so the reason that

0:37:56.560 --> 0:38:00.760
<v Speaker 4>rich people who could afford to pay more for things

0:38:00.800 --> 0:38:03.399
<v Speaker 4>at Staples right, I mean, as a percentage of your

0:38:03.440 --> 0:38:07.319
<v Speaker 4>budget office supplies is not large if you're wealthy, the

0:38:07.360 --> 0:38:10.279
<v Speaker 4>reason they were getting better deals is because there were

0:38:10.320 --> 0:38:15.760
<v Speaker 4>more competitors to Staples in wealthier geographies, right, Whereas lower

0:38:15.800 --> 0:38:19.080
<v Speaker 4>income folks, we're paying more at Staples because Staples knew

0:38:19.080 --> 0:38:21.560
<v Speaker 4>they had them over a barrel, right. And so the

0:38:21.640 --> 0:38:25.439
<v Speaker 4>corporate concentration overlay is key here, and it is key

0:38:25.480 --> 0:38:28.880
<v Speaker 4>in one other way as well, which is really featured

0:38:29.040 --> 0:38:33.440
<v Speaker 4>prominently in the issue, which is that increasingly the business

0:38:33.440 --> 0:38:38.640
<v Speaker 4>case for mergers is data. So, you know, we highlight

0:38:38.719 --> 0:38:42.040
<v Speaker 4>the example of Walmart buying Visio. Why is Walmart buying

0:38:42.080 --> 0:38:44.800
<v Speaker 4>a TV company? Well, they're not buying a TV company,

0:38:44.840 --> 0:38:48.480
<v Speaker 4>it's a smart TV manufacturer masquerading as a media company. Right.

0:38:48.840 --> 0:38:53.000
<v Speaker 4>They're buying streaming data so that they can type Walmart

0:38:53.000 --> 0:38:56.160
<v Speaker 4>advertisements into your home, and so they also can collect

0:38:56.560 --> 0:38:58.680
<v Speaker 4>data on sort of what you're watching and what you're

0:38:58.719 --> 0:39:03.160
<v Speaker 4>clicking on. Smilarly in the piece, you know, there's considerable

0:39:03.160 --> 0:39:06.240
<v Speaker 4>speculation that one of the major motivations for the Kroger

0:39:06.280 --> 0:39:10.200
<v Speaker 4>Albertson's merger is the consumer data. And you know, the

0:39:10.360 --> 0:39:13.919
<v Speaker 4>grocers are making just as much money selling your data

0:39:13.920 --> 0:39:16.799
<v Speaker 4>at the highest bidder as they are on selling you cerios, right,

0:39:16.920 --> 0:39:19.360
<v Speaker 4>And so I think the data, the value of the

0:39:19.440 --> 0:39:23.799
<v Speaker 4>data for companies, and the interlay with consolidation, both as

0:39:23.880 --> 0:39:27.520
<v Speaker 4>a motivator for consolidation but also as something that you

0:39:27.560 --> 0:39:31.360
<v Speaker 4>can just do more aggressively if you aren't worried about competition,

0:39:31.840 --> 0:39:34.560
<v Speaker 4>is a key piece of why pricing looks different today.

0:39:35.160 --> 0:39:37.839
<v Speaker 2>That's really interesting about the Kroger Albertsons. It's come up

0:39:37.880 --> 0:39:41.200
<v Speaker 2>a few times because now, of course with AI, like

0:39:41.239 --> 0:39:44.640
<v Speaker 2>all these companies are just desperate to get any fresh data,

0:39:44.719 --> 0:39:48.279
<v Speaker 2>and people have legitimately made the case actually Kroger's is

0:39:48.320 --> 0:39:51.280
<v Speaker 2>an AI play because it just has so much unique

0:39:51.360 --> 0:39:53.839
<v Speaker 2>data that no one else has, so that that makes

0:39:53.840 --> 0:39:56.320
<v Speaker 2>a lot of sense. I have one more big question,

0:39:56.520 --> 0:39:58.640
<v Speaker 2>which is you know, I started we mentioned in the

0:39:58.640 --> 0:40:01.360
<v Speaker 2>intro the one industry it has been doing this forever,

0:40:01.560 --> 0:40:04.359
<v Speaker 2>or it seems like, is the airline industry. And both

0:40:04.360 --> 0:40:07.279
<v Speaker 2>of you mentioned some of these third party consultants that

0:40:07.320 --> 0:40:10.320
<v Speaker 2>are sort of bringing some of those practices to other industries.

0:40:10.480 --> 0:40:13.319
<v Speaker 2>Can you talk a little bit about that further? How

0:40:13.480 --> 0:40:16.560
<v Speaker 2>direct or how bright is the line between what the

0:40:16.600 --> 0:40:20.320
<v Speaker 2>airlines have been doing with frequent fire miles for decades

0:40:20.800 --> 0:40:24.680
<v Speaker 2>and then that sort of migrating over through consultants, etc.

0:40:25.080 --> 0:40:28.479
<v Speaker 2>Into other industries realizing that they can more or less

0:40:28.640 --> 0:40:29.319
<v Speaker 2>do the same thing.

0:40:29.800 --> 0:40:33.160
<v Speaker 5>Well, it's really interesting because we had you know, a

0:40:33.239 --> 0:40:37.560
<v Speaker 5>number of different authors right these different pieces, and you know,

0:40:37.640 --> 0:40:40.600
<v Speaker 5>I was the editor, and they all came in and

0:40:40.920 --> 0:40:43.480
<v Speaker 5>it seemed like every single piece went back to the

0:40:43.520 --> 0:40:47.200
<v Speaker 5>airlines initially as kind of the originator of a lot

0:40:47.239 --> 0:40:51.000
<v Speaker 5>of these strategies. There is a consultant called Idea Works

0:40:51.120 --> 0:40:54.200
<v Speaker 5>Company and they've been around for a while. The guy

0:40:54.280 --> 0:40:57.759
<v Speaker 5>who runs it is named Jay Sorenson, and for one

0:40:57.760 --> 0:41:00.959
<v Speaker 5>of these articles we actually talked to them. And it's

0:41:01.000 --> 0:41:04.840
<v Speaker 5>not only that Idea Works Company presents these reports and

0:41:04.960 --> 0:41:09.480
<v Speaker 5>research mostly about junk fees or about ancillary revenue is

0:41:09.520 --> 0:41:13.000
<v Speaker 5>what they call it. They even pulled this thing called

0:41:13.040 --> 0:41:18.520
<v Speaker 5>an ancillary Revenue Masterclass, which literally is a junk fee

0:41:18.600 --> 0:41:23.600
<v Speaker 5>boot camp that explains they bring in executives and they

0:41:23.680 --> 0:41:27.160
<v Speaker 5>tell them, here is how you can raise money by

0:41:27.360 --> 0:41:31.840
<v Speaker 5>adding different various fees onto things that used to be

0:41:31.920 --> 0:41:34.719
<v Speaker 5>bundled with the ticket fare. And so now we have

0:41:34.800 --> 0:41:37.879
<v Speaker 5>baggage fees, and we have change fees, and we have

0:41:38.320 --> 0:41:41.439
<v Speaker 5>fees if you want a better seat with more leg room.

0:41:41.960 --> 0:41:44.960
<v Speaker 5>And all of this comes from sort of the brainchild

0:41:45.080 --> 0:41:49.560
<v Speaker 5>of Idea Works Company, which sends these reports that cheerlead.

0:41:50.000 --> 0:41:54.680
<v Speaker 5>When ancillary revenue numbers go up, it's become a huge

0:41:54.719 --> 0:41:58.000
<v Speaker 5>business for the airlines to unbundle their tickets and add

0:41:58.040 --> 0:42:01.799
<v Speaker 5>all of these extra fees, basically making your situation in

0:42:01.880 --> 0:42:04.880
<v Speaker 5>air travel miserable unless you pay your way out of it.

0:42:05.400 --> 0:42:07.840
<v Speaker 5>And so we've seen that there. We see it an

0:42:07.880 --> 0:42:12.239
<v Speaker 5>algorithmic price fixing. And all of these strategies started with

0:42:12.280 --> 0:42:15.080
<v Speaker 5>the airlines, or at least some of them, but they've migrated,

0:42:15.120 --> 0:42:17.759
<v Speaker 5>they've moved on, like in the junk fee example. One

0:42:17.800 --> 0:42:20.720
<v Speaker 5>of my favorite things in the issue, there's this company

0:42:20.719 --> 0:42:24.440
<v Speaker 5>called Suburban pro Pain obviously, as they sell propaine to

0:42:24.560 --> 0:42:27.720
<v Speaker 5>various people, whether they use it in camping or whatever

0:42:27.760 --> 0:42:30.600
<v Speaker 5>they use it in, and they have a fee schedule

0:42:30.680 --> 0:42:33.239
<v Speaker 5>on their website, and I'm just going to read what

0:42:33.320 --> 0:42:37.280
<v Speaker 5>the fees are. They have a safety practices and training fee,

0:42:37.600 --> 0:42:42.360
<v Speaker 5>a tank rental fee, a transportation fuel fee, a restocking fee,

0:42:42.440 --> 0:42:46.160
<v Speaker 5>a tank pickup fee, a minimum monthly purchase fee, a

0:42:46.239 --> 0:42:50.400
<v Speaker 5>system leak test fee, a reconnect fee, a wheel call fee,

0:42:50.760 --> 0:42:56.360
<v Speaker 5>a forklift minimum delivery fee, a diagnostic fee, an installation fee,

0:42:56.560 --> 0:43:01.239
<v Speaker 5>an early termination fee, an emergency special livery fee, a

0:43:01.320 --> 0:43:05.120
<v Speaker 5>late fee, a return check fee, and a meter account

0:43:05.280 --> 0:43:09.560
<v Speaker 5>maintenance fee. And I'd like to say that was an outlier,

0:43:09.960 --> 0:43:12.680
<v Speaker 5>but I'm not sure it is. Like we are seeing

0:43:12.760 --> 0:43:17.920
<v Speaker 5>these add on fees in all sorts of industries. It

0:43:18.000 --> 0:43:22.440
<v Speaker 5>originated in the airlines and now it's gone everywhere. And

0:43:23.000 --> 0:43:26.040
<v Speaker 5>you see the Biden administration actually taking this up as

0:43:26.080 --> 0:43:30.440
<v Speaker 5>a cause. The term junk fee was kind of invented

0:43:30.560 --> 0:43:33.960
<v Speaker 5>or coined by ro Hit Chopra, who's the director of

0:43:34.000 --> 0:43:37.640
<v Speaker 5>the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, and they're trying to attack

0:43:37.760 --> 0:43:40.359
<v Speaker 5>this issue. The Federal Trade Commission has put out a

0:43:40.480 --> 0:43:42.360
<v Speaker 5>kind of ban on junk fees, which is more of

0:43:42.400 --> 0:43:46.560
<v Speaker 5>a disclosure rule saying you have to do all upfront pricing,

0:43:47.200 --> 0:43:51.200
<v Speaker 5>and the CFPB has tried to ban or cap credit

0:43:51.200 --> 0:43:55.319
<v Speaker 5>card late fees, for example. We're seeing now kind of

0:43:55.320 --> 0:43:59.520
<v Speaker 5>a politics being created out of these different pricing strategies

0:43:59.560 --> 0:44:01.960
<v Speaker 5>and attempted pushback on them.

0:44:02.560 --> 0:44:04.800
<v Speaker 3>I have just one more question, which is going back

0:44:05.000 --> 0:44:09.240
<v Speaker 3>to the introduction and the conversation between myself and Joe

0:44:09.400 --> 0:44:14.640
<v Speaker 3>and the implications that this has for macro economics. If

0:44:14.680 --> 0:44:18.920
<v Speaker 3>we think that companies are becoming more sophisticated in their pricing,

0:44:19.080 --> 0:44:22.080
<v Speaker 3>if we think that we're seeing I guess late stage

0:44:22.120 --> 0:44:27.759
<v Speaker 3>capitalism meet a technological revolution that creates the ability to

0:44:27.880 --> 0:44:32.320
<v Speaker 3>have more sophisticated pricing. What does that mean for inflation?

0:44:32.719 --> 0:44:38.359
<v Speaker 3>If maybe prices become more about data and algorithms rather

0:44:38.440 --> 0:44:42.439
<v Speaker 3>than a function of supply demand or the Phillips curve.

0:44:42.520 --> 0:44:47.280
<v Speaker 3>How do economists and central bankers actually handle that particular problem.

0:44:47.560 --> 0:44:50.160
<v Speaker 5>I think it's a terrific question, and I'm not sure

0:44:50.200 --> 0:44:53.680
<v Speaker 5>it's one that the central Bank really is willing to

0:44:53.760 --> 0:44:56.239
<v Speaker 5>handle just yet. You know, one of the things we

0:44:56.320 --> 0:45:02.000
<v Speaker 5>put in our introduction is this colic between Sharet Brown,

0:45:02.080 --> 0:45:06.600
<v Speaker 5>who's the chair of the Senate Banking Committee, and j

0:45:06.800 --> 0:45:10.160
<v Speaker 5>Powell when he was doing a semi annual report and

0:45:10.960 --> 0:45:15.640
<v Speaker 5>Sharet Brown was asking Powell about these pricing strategies, and

0:45:16.160 --> 0:45:19.799
<v Speaker 5>Howell seemed very very uncomfortable. He didn't really want to

0:45:19.840 --> 0:45:23.000
<v Speaker 5>talk about it. He said, well, you know, search pricing,

0:45:23.040 --> 0:45:25.720
<v Speaker 5>maybe it works out even for the consumer. It doesn't

0:45:25.719 --> 0:45:29.399
<v Speaker 5>have an inflation impact because if they're not that many

0:45:29.400 --> 0:45:31.680
<v Speaker 5>people in the story, you get lower priced, and if

0:45:31.680 --> 0:45:33.520
<v Speaker 5>there are people in the story, you get a higher price.

0:45:33.960 --> 0:45:38.600
<v Speaker 5>But what he ended up on was saying that pricing

0:45:38.800 --> 0:45:42.440
<v Speaker 5>is incredibly important and we have to give companies the

0:45:42.480 --> 0:45:46.600
<v Speaker 5>freedom to do it. So he really sort of disassociated

0:45:46.680 --> 0:45:49.839
<v Speaker 5>himself from this issue. And I think it's a fascinating

0:45:49.920 --> 0:45:54.920
<v Speaker 5>question that you raised, Tracy, that if we see supply

0:45:55.000 --> 0:45:58.840
<v Speaker 5>and demand and the usual kind of reasons for pricing

0:45:59.320 --> 0:46:01.640
<v Speaker 5>become a little bit less. I'm not saying it's going

0:46:01.680 --> 0:46:04.759
<v Speaker 5>to be completely less, but a little bit less of

0:46:04.800 --> 0:46:08.840
<v Speaker 5>a factor. And we see sort of pricing get a

0:46:08.880 --> 0:46:14.760
<v Speaker 5>little bit unmoored from those traditional factors, Then what does

0:46:14.800 --> 0:46:17.960
<v Speaker 5>that mean for how the central bank operates? And I

0:46:18.000 --> 0:46:20.960
<v Speaker 5>think our answer, and Lindsey can speak to this more,

0:46:21.480 --> 0:46:25.000
<v Speaker 5>is that it has to mean that we need more

0:46:25.000 --> 0:46:28.680
<v Speaker 5>of a whole of government approach to these particular issues.

0:46:28.920 --> 0:46:33.440
<v Speaker 5>And for many years we've kind of outsourced any question

0:46:33.520 --> 0:46:36.719
<v Speaker 5>about inflation to the central bank and to monetary policy,

0:46:37.040 --> 0:46:39.719
<v Speaker 5>and I think policymakers have to understand that that might

0:46:39.760 --> 0:46:42.680
<v Speaker 5>not do the whole job anymore, and that there are

0:46:42.760 --> 0:46:45.839
<v Speaker 5>other factors and there are other agencies that can be

0:46:45.840 --> 0:46:46.759
<v Speaker 5>brought to bear here.

0:46:47.200 --> 0:46:50.520
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, policymakers are going to have to actually study individual

0:46:50.600 --> 0:46:55.480
<v Speaker 4>firm behavior, industry level behavior, really start to get up

0:46:55.480 --> 0:46:58.600
<v Speaker 4>to speed on new pricing strategies and tactics if they

0:46:58.680 --> 0:47:01.480
<v Speaker 4>really want to understand what's going on in the economy.

0:47:01.719 --> 0:47:04.360
<v Speaker 4>I think for many Americans, part of the reason why

0:47:04.800 --> 0:47:08.960
<v Speaker 4>you know, we haven't seen folk supplotting inflation headed back

0:47:09.000 --> 0:47:11.959
<v Speaker 4>to two percent is because the word inflation doesn't really

0:47:12.000 --> 0:47:16.200
<v Speaker 4>capture everything. People are experiencing in this economy. Right, Sure,

0:47:16.239 --> 0:47:18.759
<v Speaker 4>inflation is a piece of it, but there's also just

0:47:19.120 --> 0:47:22.080
<v Speaker 4>like plain old price gouging, there's also junk fees, there's

0:47:22.120 --> 0:47:26.080
<v Speaker 4>also dynamic pricing. All of these different ways people are

0:47:26.120 --> 0:47:29.120
<v Speaker 4>experiencing the economy when it comes to pricing sort of

0:47:29.200 --> 0:47:32.120
<v Speaker 4>isn't captured, I think fully with the word inflation. I

0:47:32.120 --> 0:47:35.399
<v Speaker 4>think it's why people are so unhappy with the economy today.

0:47:35.440 --> 0:47:38.720
<v Speaker 4>There's a lot underlying this shift. You know, of course

0:47:38.760 --> 0:47:42.440
<v Speaker 4>these techniques proceeded inflation, but they do seem to have

0:47:42.520 --> 0:47:46.080
<v Speaker 4>been unleashed and hypercharged during this period of high inflation.

0:47:46.280 --> 0:47:48.720
<v Speaker 4>And it'll be interesting to see sort of what happens

0:47:48.760 --> 0:47:51.000
<v Speaker 4>in the future. But it sure seems like the genies

0:47:51.000 --> 0:47:52.880
<v Speaker 4>out of the bottle here. And I think we're just

0:47:52.920 --> 0:47:55.479
<v Speaker 4>going to see more of this type of activity rather

0:47:55.520 --> 0:47:57.520
<v Speaker 4>than less. And I think that's why you're seeing this

0:47:57.600 --> 0:48:01.239
<v Speaker 4>burgeoning sort of cottage industry of racing data firms, right.

0:48:01.320 --> 0:48:04.120
<v Speaker 4>I mean, the handful of CEOs who thought they were

0:48:04.440 --> 0:48:07.080
<v Speaker 4>just selling groceries, you know, need a firm to help

0:48:07.120 --> 0:48:09.400
<v Speaker 4>them realize they're actually supposed to be selling data, and

0:48:09.440 --> 0:48:12.560
<v Speaker 4>they need a firm to help them think through how

0:48:12.560 --> 0:48:15.520
<v Speaker 4>to maximize pricing in a world where cost cutting is

0:48:15.600 --> 0:48:19.400
<v Speaker 4>hit bone and shareholders expect more and more returns. Like,

0:48:19.440 --> 0:48:21.680
<v Speaker 4>there's got to be a revenue play too, right, And

0:48:22.120 --> 0:48:24.160
<v Speaker 4>a revenue play is going to be in part a

0:48:24.160 --> 0:48:26.600
<v Speaker 4>pricing play. So I think we're in a new world

0:48:26.640 --> 0:48:29.960
<v Speaker 4>here when it comes to pricing. And the Federal Reserve

0:48:30.040 --> 0:48:32.960
<v Speaker 4>is not known for being numble or fast moving or

0:48:33.000 --> 0:48:37.160
<v Speaker 4>particularly innovative when it comes to thinking about the economy.

0:48:37.200 --> 0:48:39.239
<v Speaker 4>They've been sort of running a same playbook for a

0:48:39.280 --> 0:48:42.040
<v Speaker 4>long time here, right, So I think only time will

0:48:42.040 --> 0:48:43.279
<v Speaker 4>tell whether or not they catch up.

0:48:43.760 --> 0:48:46.439
<v Speaker 2>By the way, I checked out the sample two day

0:48:46.440 --> 0:48:51.200
<v Speaker 2>agenda of the Idea Works Company and Cellary Revenue Masterclass,

0:48:51.200 --> 0:48:54.359
<v Speaker 2>and it really is a boot camp on charging more

0:48:54.800 --> 0:48:58.520
<v Speaker 2>ten fifteen Coffee Break ten thirty, Top ten things you

0:48:58.560 --> 0:49:01.720
<v Speaker 2>need to know about ancillary revenue in airlines eleven, Antilia

0:49:01.800 --> 0:49:04.280
<v Speaker 2>revenue boost the bottom line twelve Like it's really amazing.

0:49:04.600 --> 0:49:08.120
<v Speaker 2>David and lindsay, that was so fantastic. Really appreciate you

0:49:08.360 --> 0:49:10.759
<v Speaker 2>both coming on odd lots. Everyone should check out the

0:49:10.840 --> 0:49:15.120
<v Speaker 2>June third edition of The American Prospect. Really fascinating stuff

0:49:15.160 --> 0:49:17.200
<v Speaker 2>on a range of topics. Great chatting with both of you.

0:49:17.440 --> 0:49:29.279
<v Speaker 4>Thanks thanks for having us.

0:49:31.280 --> 0:49:33.239
<v Speaker 2>Tracy. I thought that was fantastic and there us a

0:49:33.239 --> 0:49:36.319
<v Speaker 2>lot there, actually, I thought Lindsay's point at the very

0:49:36.400 --> 0:49:39.200
<v Speaker 2>end I thought was a really great one, because obviously

0:49:39.640 --> 0:49:43.080
<v Speaker 2>people don't like higher prices, and the inflation data, probably

0:49:43.080 --> 0:49:46.080
<v Speaker 2>for better or worse, captures the general rise in prices

0:49:46.120 --> 0:49:48.920
<v Speaker 2>over the last several years and the disinflation over the

0:49:48.960 --> 0:49:51.680
<v Speaker 2>last couple of years. But then this idea that there's

0:49:51.719 --> 0:49:55.279
<v Speaker 2>something else out there that's really annoying. Maybe it is

0:49:55.440 --> 0:49:57.120
<v Speaker 2>a sort of polite way to put it, or like

0:49:57.200 --> 0:50:00.400
<v Speaker 2>aggravating about this economy and this sort of psychological and

0:50:00.440 --> 0:50:02.920
<v Speaker 2>feeling that to get the optimal price you have to

0:50:02.960 --> 0:50:05.200
<v Speaker 2>like download an app and all of this stuff that

0:50:05.239 --> 0:50:09.400
<v Speaker 2>I think sort of compound the aggravation of higher prices themselves.

0:50:09.480 --> 0:50:12.640
<v Speaker 3>No, absolutely, and also just the point about, well, the

0:50:12.719 --> 0:50:15.520
<v Speaker 3>genies kind of out of the bottle, and maybe we

0:50:15.640 --> 0:50:18.600
<v Speaker 3>are moving from an age in which it was all

0:50:18.640 --> 0:50:23.680
<v Speaker 3>about driving costs lower and building factories in places like

0:50:23.800 --> 0:50:27.200
<v Speaker 3>China or Vietnam or wherever in order to lower your

0:50:27.239 --> 0:50:30.080
<v Speaker 3>cost of production. But the thing that we saw from

0:50:30.120 --> 0:50:34.080
<v Speaker 3>the pandemic was that a you have supply chain issues

0:50:34.120 --> 0:50:37.719
<v Speaker 3>and so that production facility can close, and then b

0:50:38.320 --> 0:50:41.239
<v Speaker 3>you can also make money by raising your prices and

0:50:41.320 --> 0:50:43.560
<v Speaker 3>selling less of your stuff. And this has been an

0:50:43.560 --> 0:50:47.520
<v Speaker 3>ongoing theme on all blots, and we spoke with Samuel

0:50:47.600 --> 0:50:50.360
<v Speaker 3>Rans about this, of course, and you can see the

0:50:50.520 --> 0:50:54.040
<v Speaker 3>strategy going back to Lindsay's point at the beginning of

0:50:54.080 --> 0:50:57.160
<v Speaker 3>the conversation on the earnings calls. This is something that

0:50:57.280 --> 0:51:01.920
<v Speaker 3>CEOs very openly discuss and talk about totally.

0:51:02.040 --> 0:51:04.480
<v Speaker 2>By the way, our producer Kale came through the reference

0:51:04.560 --> 0:51:07.279
<v Speaker 2>the nineteen sixty seven book The Poor Pay More by

0:51:07.360 --> 0:51:11.120
<v Speaker 2>David Keplovitz looks really interesting and it hadn't really clicked

0:51:11.120 --> 0:51:13.640
<v Speaker 2>to me. David's point, which is that there is sort

0:51:13.680 --> 0:51:16.000
<v Speaker 2>of ability to pay. And yes, you know, the rich

0:51:16.160 --> 0:51:19.040
<v Speaker 2>in theory in practice have the ability to pay more,

0:51:19.480 --> 0:51:21.719
<v Speaker 2>but then the sort of willingness to pay about like, Okay,

0:51:21.760 --> 0:51:25.000
<v Speaker 2>you're in a desperate situation you need this, or as

0:51:25.040 --> 0:51:28.080
<v Speaker 2>Lindsay's point, like you may only have in your area

0:51:28.160 --> 0:51:30.840
<v Speaker 2>one competitor or wherever it is. And so the idea

0:51:30.880 --> 0:51:34.000
<v Speaker 2>that ability to pay is the only measure by which

0:51:34.080 --> 0:51:36.799
<v Speaker 2>a company would set a price is clearly wrong. For

0:51:36.880 --> 0:51:38.919
<v Speaker 2>some reasons that are obvious once you hear them.

0:51:39.200 --> 0:51:41.960
<v Speaker 3>I think that's such an important distinction. And then the

0:51:42.040 --> 0:51:43.799
<v Speaker 3>other thing I would just tack on to that is

0:51:44.040 --> 0:51:47.200
<v Speaker 3>going back to the advertising point. So you know, depending

0:51:47.280 --> 0:51:51.680
<v Speaker 3>on whatever proxy profile the algo is building about you,

0:51:52.239 --> 0:51:55.480
<v Speaker 3>all the prices that you're seeing, all the offerings might

0:51:55.520 --> 0:51:58.640
<v Speaker 3>be very different to someone who is better well off,

0:51:58.680 --> 0:52:01.120
<v Speaker 3>And so you never even maybe if you're living in

0:52:01.160 --> 0:52:04.880
<v Speaker 3>a certain zip code and you have certain demographics attached

0:52:04.880 --> 0:52:08.320
<v Speaker 3>to you, or certain buying patterns, or certain credit scores

0:52:08.400 --> 0:52:13.479
<v Speaker 3>or whatever, maybe you never even get ads for brokerage services, right,

0:52:13.560 --> 0:52:16.440
<v Speaker 3>And so the idea of building wealth through the stock

0:52:16.480 --> 0:52:18.840
<v Speaker 3>market is just something that you never encounter, and so

0:52:19.760 --> 0:52:22.759
<v Speaker 3>all of that inequality becomes sort of codified. God, I'm

0:52:22.800 --> 0:52:25.960
<v Speaker 3>depressing myself as I talk Joe. This is depressing. Wait

0:52:26.000 --> 0:52:28.920
<v Speaker 3>are you a little bit less relaxed about some of this?

0:52:29.080 --> 0:52:29.319
<v Speaker 1>Now?

0:52:29.440 --> 0:52:30.400
<v Speaker 3>Please tell me you are.

0:52:31.440 --> 0:52:34.680
<v Speaker 2>I still kind of think. I still think I would

0:52:34.680 --> 0:52:36.160
<v Speaker 2>be happy to pay more for an uber if my

0:52:36.160 --> 0:52:37.959
<v Speaker 2>phone were going to run out. But there are many

0:52:38.080 --> 0:52:42.399
<v Speaker 2>aspects of this that I find uncomfortable. Surge pricing does

0:52:42.440 --> 0:52:45.000
<v Speaker 2>not bother me the same way other things do. I

0:52:45.040 --> 0:52:48.720
<v Speaker 2>do want to attend an Ideal works Company ancillary revenue

0:52:48.760 --> 0:52:50.600
<v Speaker 2>master class. Maybe we could do that one day.

0:52:51.080 --> 0:52:53.960
<v Speaker 3>I do not let me just throw that out there, No,

0:52:54.120 --> 0:52:58.640
<v Speaker 3>I mean that list of junkxies that David was reading

0:52:58.719 --> 0:53:02.440
<v Speaker 3>where like a hair away from them basically charging for

0:53:02.520 --> 0:53:06.120
<v Speaker 3>oxygen in order to breathe. Right, Like, we're almost there.

0:53:06.640 --> 0:53:09.560
<v Speaker 2>That seems successive on the plane. It's like, does that

0:53:09.640 --> 0:53:10.480
<v Speaker 2>thing fall out?

0:53:10.719 --> 0:53:11.160
<v Speaker 5>Yeah?

0:53:11.239 --> 0:53:13.680
<v Speaker 2>Do you pay extra, pay extra to make sure that

0:53:14.280 --> 0:53:16.640
<v Speaker 2>the thing fall will fall out?

0:53:16.960 --> 0:53:17.240
<v Speaker 3>Yeah?

0:53:17.320 --> 0:53:17.520
<v Speaker 2>Well.

0:53:17.600 --> 0:53:19.200
<v Speaker 3>The one other thing I was going to throw in

0:53:19.360 --> 0:53:21.680
<v Speaker 3>is I know they talked about the Federal Reserve being

0:53:21.960 --> 0:53:25.440
<v Speaker 3>slow to approach this and to some extent, you know,

0:53:25.480 --> 0:53:27.960
<v Speaker 3>it's such a thorny issue. As soon as the word

0:53:28.040 --> 0:53:32.040
<v Speaker 3>greedflation comes up, people immediately start arguing about it. Maybe

0:53:32.040 --> 0:53:35.080
<v Speaker 3>you could couch it in different terms, you know, price,

0:53:35.160 --> 0:53:39.080
<v Speaker 3>pack architecture, more sophisticated pricing, personalized pricing, and all of that.

0:53:39.320 --> 0:53:42.439
<v Speaker 3>But I will say this is something that has come

0:53:42.520 --> 0:53:46.080
<v Speaker 3>up in our conversations with Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin,

0:53:46.200 --> 0:53:48.600
<v Speaker 3>where he talked I think he might have even used

0:53:48.600 --> 0:53:51.360
<v Speaker 3>the idea of genie out of the bottle, which is

0:53:51.400 --> 0:53:53.560
<v Speaker 3>one thing that companies have learned from the past couple

0:53:53.600 --> 0:53:57.200
<v Speaker 3>of years is that they can push price and experiment

0:53:57.520 --> 0:53:58.759
<v Speaker 3>with demand ealisticity.

0:53:59.160 --> 0:54:03.120
<v Speaker 2>That's true, I think to David's point, what it says

0:54:03.320 --> 0:54:05.640
<v Speaker 2>is that some of these things are like a whole

0:54:05.680 --> 0:54:08.280
<v Speaker 2>of government approach, and so the idea is like also,

0:54:08.320 --> 0:54:10.799
<v Speaker 2>it's like the FED does not have like tools to

0:54:10.800 --> 0:54:13.560
<v Speaker 2>go after like junk fees or whatever. But yeah, I

0:54:13.560 --> 0:54:14.480
<v Speaker 2>thought that was fascinating.

0:54:14.520 --> 0:54:15.239
<v Speaker 3>Shall we leave it there.

0:54:15.280 --> 0:54:16.319
<v Speaker 5>Let's leave it there, all right?

0:54:16.400 --> 0:54:19.000
<v Speaker 3>This has been another episode of the Odd Thoughts podcast.

0:54:19.080 --> 0:54:22.160
<v Speaker 3>I'm Tracy Alloway. You can follow me at Tracy Alloway.

0:54:22.360 --> 0:54:25.400
<v Speaker 2>And I'm Joe Wisenthal. You can follow me at The Stalwart.

0:54:25.719 --> 0:54:28.960
<v Speaker 2>Follow our guest David Dayan, He's at d Dayan. And

0:54:29.200 --> 0:54:33.200
<v Speaker 2>Lindsey Owens She's at Owens Lindsey One. And definitely check

0:54:33.239 --> 0:54:36.680
<v Speaker 2>out that new edition of the American Prospect magazine. Follow

0:54:36.719 --> 0:54:40.000
<v Speaker 2>our producers Carman Rodriguez at Carman armand dash Ol Bennett

0:54:40.000 --> 0:54:43.120
<v Speaker 2>at Dashbot and kel Brooks at Kelbrooks. Thank you to

0:54:43.160 --> 0:54:46.200
<v Speaker 2>our producer Moses Ondam. For more odd Lots content, go

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<v Speaker 2>to Bloomberg dot com slash odd Lots. We have transcripts

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