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Speaker 1: You're listening to the Fantasy Sports Radio Network. Fantasy Best
Speaker 1: Friends Forever? What's Up? Everybody? Booked the inside studio of
Speaker 1: thirty four the Fantasy Best Friends Forever Friday edition, January eighteen.
Speaker 1: Getting set up for the NFL Conference Championships in the
Speaker 1: City Chiefs hosting in New England Patriots and the New
Speaker 1: Orleans Saints Hope hosting the Los Angeles Rams. Will take
Speaker 1: you up to the one pm hour when the Fantasy
Speaker 1: football frenzy will begin. As always, this week, Reg Sussman
Speaker 1: still out with the flu, still tending to that. I
Speaker 1: expect Greg to be back next week and that means
Speaker 1: Jim Day is here. Jim, how are you doing, buddy?
Speaker 1: How did you sleep? Hey? I'm doing good. Brac how
Speaker 1: are you doing. That's Friday afternoon. We only got another
Speaker 1: day and a half to wait for some football. Yeah,
Speaker 1: it feels like it feels like it's been forever since
Speaker 1: we've since we've had some games. And I think part
Speaker 1: of that reason was, I don't know if you feel
Speaker 1: this way to Jim, last weekend's games, they just weren't
Speaker 1: that great. I mean, look, if you if you were
Speaker 1: a Chiefs fan, if you were Patriots fans, so on
Speaker 1: and so fourth, yeah they were great for you, but
Speaker 1: like not really any close games the Saints and the Eagles.
Speaker 1: To be honest, was it was the most competitive game?
Speaker 1: I'd say, yeah, it was definitely the best game of
Speaker 1: the weekend. I agree, and you're right. It just didn't
Speaker 1: live up to the expectations we all seem to have
Speaker 1: for it because we all thought, you know, all the
Speaker 1: games would be competitive, and that was absolutely not what happened.
Speaker 1: Definitely not. You know, I referenced the Rams at Saints.
Speaker 1: We're gonna break down both of these games, the Chiefs
Speaker 1: and the Patriots as well. We'll break them down from
Speaker 1: betting perspective. I have a few props I want to
Speaker 1: throw at Jim. We'll talk about dfs. You know, guys
Speaker 1: that you could uh save some salary with this weekend
Speaker 1: as well. I mean, we'll get into all of it, um,
Speaker 1: So I guess you know, we'll jump right in, Jim.
Speaker 1: We we'll start off with the Rams and the Saints. Here.
Speaker 1: The Saints lane three and a half points at home
Speaker 1: right now. The over under four of this game is
Speaker 1: fifty six and a half. Last time they met, the
Speaker 1: New Orleans Saints won this one five. They combined for
Speaker 1: eighty points in that game. But something has happened from
Speaker 1: that point to now. You know, I think it was
Speaker 1: right around Thanksgiving for the Saints and then for the Rams.
Speaker 1: It was after that thrilling Monday night game against the
Speaker 1: Kansas City Chiefs. They had a bye week and they
Speaker 1: came back and ever since, to be honest, both offenses
Speaker 1: have not been great. So uh, you know, I think
Speaker 1: a lot of people are going to flock to the
Speaker 1: over because they see fifty six and a half. The
Speaker 1: game is indoors. There are a lot of betting trends
Speaker 1: that say, you know, it's like the last the last
Speaker 1: Eighth Dome games in the playoffs have gone over. The
Speaker 1: number easily gone over. The number Um, but something has
Speaker 1: happened with these teams over the you know, the final
Speaker 1: six eight weeks of the season, Jim, where the offense
Speaker 1: is just not clicking as well as it was earlier
Speaker 1: on in the season. Well, there's a couple of you know,
Speaker 1: you're talking about betting trends here, and you're right there.
Speaker 1: The offenses that have changed. Um, you know, the both
Speaker 1: teams have gone to a more grinded out, running aisle game. Uh.
Speaker 1: You know, basically at the tail end of the season.
Speaker 1: And that's what we saw last week as well. We
Speaker 1: saw them come out and grind it out on the
Speaker 1: ground and do most of their damage that way. Keep
Speaker 1: the the offense or at least try to keep them
Speaker 1: off the field for as much time as we can.
Speaker 1: And you know, we're looking at this game and looking
Speaker 1: at the betting frends like he was talking about, Um,
Speaker 1: almost all the trends point to the over. Uh. You
Speaker 1: know there's a few. The The over is seven oh
Speaker 1: in the Saints last six home playoff games. Um. The
Speaker 1: home team is a perfect seven and oh against the
Speaker 1: spread in the last seven meetings between these clubs. Uh.
Speaker 1: The over is five and one in the last six
Speaker 1: matchups in New Orleans. You know what my best better
Speaker 1: the weekend is that this game goes under. Jim, you
Speaker 1: know what's crazy enough? I was I was hoping that
Speaker 1: you would say, you know, you would just keep pumping
Speaker 1: up the over, and I was basically gonna do what
Speaker 1: you just did. I was gonna say. One of the
Speaker 1: bets that I like most this weekend is going under
Speaker 1: with this game because you just look, the Saints defense
Speaker 1: has turned a corner. I mean, like you want to
Speaker 1: talk about correlation with Alright, the offense hasn't been great,
Speaker 1: but this defense has come a long way since Week one,
Speaker 1: when you know they got you know, they gave up
Speaker 1: forty plus points to the Tampa Bay Bucks. Like there's
Speaker 1: been a complete uh switch in philosophy here for the
Speaker 1: New Orlean Saints. They're not you know, they're not airing
Speaker 1: the ball out down the field. They're not having monster players,
Speaker 1: they're not putting up a ton of points. Their defense
Speaker 1: is getting it done. I looked into this the last
Speaker 1: eight games at the Saints have played outside of Week
Speaker 1: seventeen against the Panthers, where they rested everybody. They were
Speaker 1: allowingly just fourteen and a half points per game, Jim.
Speaker 1: So the defense has certainly showed up. And this game
Speaker 1: features the number one and number two run blocking offensive
Speaker 1: lines in football. That's per football outsiders, you know the
Speaker 1: grade run blocking, pass blocking. These both offensive lines were great.
Speaker 1: We we saw that last week to uh, not not
Speaker 1: as much with the Saints against the Eagles, but with
Speaker 1: the with the Rams against the Cowboys a defense coming
Speaker 1: to that game, the Cowboys have been great against the
Speaker 1: run all year, Jim, and the Rams. The Rams offensive
Speaker 1: line was just pushing them around. You look at what
Speaker 1: what Todd Gurley and C. J. Anderson were able to
Speaker 1: do together. They combined for what somewhat two thirty two
Speaker 1: forty rushing yards in that game. So, I think we
Speaker 1: see a lot of running the football here on both sides,
Speaker 1: and you know, kind of playing keep away a little
Speaker 1: bit here. And we've seen long drives from the Saints.
Speaker 1: To remember last week they had an eleven minute drive, Jim,
Speaker 1: eleven minute drive against the Eagles. I think we can
Speaker 1: see a lot of long drives in this game as well,
Speaker 1: a lot of keep away. I think Jehan McVeigh and
Speaker 1: the Rams kind of want to I don't I don't
Speaker 1: know that he wants to have Jared Golf exposed. One
Speaker 1: might like, I don't know if that's the right term,
Speaker 1: but in this game against one, I think they just
Speaker 1: want to run the football. Is that is that part
Speaker 1: of the reason why you're leaning to the under in
Speaker 1: this game well as Frew reasons. Like I said, you know,
Speaker 1: they have definitely gone to a more grinded out, you know,
Speaker 1: running the ball offense, and both defenses are basically underrated.
Speaker 1: Both defense pretty good, pretty good, and you know, I
Speaker 1: just expect that they're gonna want to keep the ball
Speaker 1: out of the other hands. No, I don't think the
Speaker 1: Rams want to get into a shootout with Drew Brees.
Speaker 1: You don't want to get Drew Brees into that mentality
Speaker 1: where you have to pin him his ears back and
Speaker 1: he has to throw, because Drew Brees is Drew Brees.
Speaker 1: You you get him into that mindset and he'll just
Speaker 1: pick you apart all game long. I like Jared Goff
Speaker 1: and Goff would have a good game. I just don't
Speaker 1: think if you're the Rams, that's what you want to do. So,
Speaker 1: you know, running the ball, especially with the success they've
Speaker 1: been having, uh, you know, not only with Gurley but
Speaker 1: also with C. J. Anderson coming into town and running
Speaker 1: like crazy. Uh, there's no reason to try and get
Speaker 1: into a shootout with this Saints offense. So the best
Speaker 1: thing you can do is have success early running the
Speaker 1: ball and then you know, use it to create some
Speaker 1: other plays the jet sweep and you know those kinds
Speaker 1: of things coming off of that good running, solid start
Speaker 1: and keep the Saints offense off the field. Um. You know,
Speaker 1: as far as the Saints gope, that's the kind of
Speaker 1: thing they want to do as well. And like you said,
Speaker 1: they didn't have as much success last week as the
Speaker 1: Rams did, but you know, Philadelphia's front played a lot
Speaker 1: better than Dallas is did, which to me it was
Speaker 1: kind of amazing since, like you said, Dallas was great
Speaker 1: all year, but they just got blown up last week.
Speaker 1: How about them Cowboys? Jim Day speaking of the Cowboys
Speaker 1: and the Eagles defenses, you're right, Uh, it's just the
Speaker 1: Rams were able to just push around that defense and
Speaker 1: basically run wherever they are. Uh. So it seems like
Speaker 1: we're both in agreeants on the under here right now.
Speaker 1: Fifty six and a half over under. UM, I don't
Speaker 1: think that that has really moved up or down since
Speaker 1: it's it opened it. They both opened identical and minustry
Speaker 1: and over under fifty seven identical. That's how he started
Speaker 1: a few trends that I've seen regarding the game the
Speaker 1: side here and we'll get into that now, Jim. We
Speaker 1: can kind of break down who we like um for
Speaker 1: the game. Sean Payton and Drew Brees now six and
Speaker 1: oh in the Superdome in the playoffs in their careers
Speaker 1: together in those games, Drew Brees fourteen to two touchdown
Speaker 1: to i NT ratio. So, I mean that's pretty much
Speaker 1: been the m O four Drew Brees in his career,
Speaker 1: especially inside the Supernome, just doesn't turn the ball over
Speaker 1: all of that much. You do have some ball hawks
Speaker 1: on the other side there with a key to leave
Speaker 1: and Marcus Peters. But Marcus Peters giveth and take it.
Speaker 1: And we saw that in the first matchup against the
Speaker 1: New Orleans Saints where Michael Thomas basically just you know,
Speaker 1: he run a muck. He ran a muck all over
Speaker 1: Marcus Peters did whatever he wanted. Marcus Peters likes to
Speaker 1: take chances. He liked you. He likes to try and
Speaker 1: go for like this pick six ball. But because of
Speaker 1: that he bites on double moves and he gets beat
Speaker 1: beaten deep for these long passes. So that's something to
Speaker 1: pay attention to here. Also another trend home teams in
Speaker 1: conference championships the last five years Tennan No straight up
Speaker 1: eight and two against the spread. And I know on
Speaker 1: the morning after Corey Parson he likes to he likes
Speaker 1: to push up against Gabe when Gabe brings up betting trends.
Speaker 1: And I actually agree with Corey on this because I
Speaker 1: don't think that every trend, every betting trend is created equal.
Speaker 1: I mean, there are some crazy ones out there where
Speaker 1: you know, if you if you go to uh, if
Speaker 1: you go to covers dot com and you look at
Speaker 1: like the matchups, they have a bunch of awesome trends,
Speaker 1: but they also have crazy stuff, Jim. They have. They
Speaker 1: have like the rams are six and one against the
Speaker 1: spread when running for ninety yards the previous week. Like
Speaker 1: there's some stuff that you kind of have to like. Okay,
Speaker 1: let's let's let's pick and choose what we actually want
Speaker 1: to use here. But I think the conference championship home
Speaker 1: teams tennant Oh the last five years eight and two
Speaker 1: against the spread. I think that does hold some weight,
Speaker 1: especially when you look at the home field advantage that
Speaker 1: the Saints and Sean Payton have had inside the super
Speaker 1: Dome over the years. I just I'm gonna take the
Speaker 1: home team here. I'm gonna take Threw Breeze. And you
Speaker 1: know it hurts a little bit, um because I do
Speaker 1: have a preseason ticket with the Rams. We've spoken about that.
Speaker 1: I just I think that the Saints are the better
Speaker 1: team here. I think experience comes into play here with
Speaker 1: Sean Payton and Drew Brees. I'm laying the three and
Speaker 1: a half with with the New Orleans Saints. Yeah, I
Speaker 1: am too, And I'm sorry to say because I have
Speaker 1: that same ticket. We lost our tickets with the Charges
Speaker 1: last week, and I think we lose it with the
Speaker 1: Rams this week. But hey, you know, great season no
Speaker 1: matter what happens. But that being said, look for all
Speaker 1: the reasons that you're talking about the experience, all the numbers,
Speaker 1: especially Saints at home have been huge, uh for their
Speaker 1: entire career. Basically since Breeze has gotten there, they've been
Speaker 1: grade at home. Um. They love that fast track and
Speaker 1: they have the weapons to play on it. That's what
Speaker 1: the team is built for. So I agree with you.
Speaker 1: I think Sean McVeigh will come out with some new
Speaker 1: rakles and try to try to give this defense a
Speaker 1: little bit of fits. I just don't know if it's
Speaker 1: gonna be very successful. I think, you know, Breeze and
Speaker 1: company have more than enough to cover that three and
Speaker 1: a half spread. Jim, something interesting that I was talking
Speaker 1: to Dane Martinez last night spitting speeds. You can watch
Speaker 1: the Fantasy Freestyle here on the network. I know Dane's
Speaker 1: got some other things coming up. Has hosted the Rotal
Speaker 1: Experts in the Morning and f s T. So make
Speaker 1: sure you follow Dane and all the work that he's
Speaker 1: doing and putting out there. You brought up an interesting
Speaker 1: scenario to me. A lot of people when the Rams
Speaker 1: were riding high bought in, and we did so before
Speaker 1: the season, but a lot of people have Super Bowl
Speaker 1: tickets for the Rams. Now we're at the point already
Speaker 1: where you can hedge this. Normally, you know, you'd wait
Speaker 1: to the Super Bowl where the Rams are in the
Speaker 1: Super Bowl, and you can, you know, take the other two,
Speaker 1: you take the Chiefs and you can kind of figure
Speaker 1: out the math and you can hedge it. Well, we're
Speaker 1: already at the point where if you have a RAM
Speaker 1: super Bowl ticket you can hedge them now based on
Speaker 1: how much you know, based on the wage that you
Speaker 1: have on them to win the Super Bowl. You kind
Speaker 1: of gotta figure out the math yourself. I think it's
Speaker 1: worth throwing out there, and I thought it was brilliant
Speaker 1: for Day to bring that up to me because I
Speaker 1: hadn't even thought about it. But at this point, you
Speaker 1: can hedge if you have a RAM super Bowl winning
Speaker 1: ticket with the New Orleans Saints this week. Oh absolutely,
Speaker 1: And it's definitely something I've been thinking about myself. So yeah,
Speaker 1: that's a good point. Um. You know, if you're really
Speaker 1: like us, thinking that the Rams can't get through, then
Speaker 1: definitely taking a shot on the Saints at that point
Speaker 1: is still good business and definitely not a bad move
Speaker 1: to make. Uh. You know, it's not like I put
Speaker 1: a ton of money on the Rams or the Charges
Speaker 1: back in preseason. I'm pretty sure they were just twenty
Speaker 1: five dollar bets, so you know, it's not like I
Speaker 1: got a ton to lose, but I probably will take
Speaker 1: a little something on the side with the Saints just
Speaker 1: in case. I think if the Saints get there, they're
Speaker 1: gonna be hard to beat you. I just wanted to
Speaker 1: get into a few player props here on the way.
Speaker 1: But wait before you do that, though, you started mentioning
Speaker 1: about what Daton has coming up. But I do want
Speaker 1: to get this out there that he actually he has
Speaker 1: a new show starting next Monday morning with Joe Ranieri,
Speaker 1: UM called the Make It Rain Show. Um, that's gonna
Speaker 1: be on on starting Monday morning from six to nine
Speaker 1: on the f M T S Y network. So keep
Speaker 1: that in mind, Folcus. Definitely, that's what I was Ferrands.
Speaker 1: He's got some stuff coming up. I didn't know if
Speaker 1: I can officially announce it yet, so U but yes,
Speaker 1: I mean it's all right. It looked. Hey, Jim, you
Speaker 1: can't cry over spilt milk. It's out there now. So
Speaker 1: weekday morning six to nine am, you will be able
Speaker 1: to watch Spit and Speeds and hear him in the morning.
Speaker 1: Once again, nobody told me I couldn't. Hey, what's the
Speaker 1: saying it's better to uh, it's better to ask forgiveness.
Speaker 1: I don't know, sing It's something like that. It's better
Speaker 1: to ask forgiveness and to ask permission. There you go.
Speaker 1: What Jim said, Um, I gotta work on my sayings.
Speaker 1: I'll look him up during the break, Jim. The prop
Speaker 1: that stood out to me most here was Alvin Kamar
Speaker 1: over thirty seven and a half receiving ours. I think
Speaker 1: there are a few other that you can here. Whatever
Speaker 1: the Robert Woods receptions and receiving yards prop is, I
Speaker 1: think that makes sense. I don't think that the Rams
Speaker 1: throw the ball all that much in this game, but
Speaker 1: I was on Robert Woods over five and a half
Speaker 1: receptions last week that came through, and I do think
Speaker 1: the place to target the Saints defense is in the slot,
Speaker 1: specifically against p J. Williams, their slot corner. I think
Speaker 1: he is the weakest of their secondary. You look at
Speaker 1: the outsides for the Saints defense, you have Marshawn Lattimore,
Speaker 1: you have Eli Apple, And I'm not gonna say it's
Speaker 1: all on Eli Apple, but you can kind of see
Speaker 1: like when the Saints defense kind of made that shift
Speaker 1: where everything started to turn, it was kind of, uh,
Speaker 1: in conjunction with Eli Apple joining their team. So perhaps, um,
Speaker 1: you know, they were getting burned on the other side
Speaker 1: side of the field a lot earlier on the season.
Speaker 1: But I think Eli Apple has made a difference Robert
Speaker 1: Woods over his receptions and yardards makes a lot of sense,
Speaker 1: meaning Alvin Kamara over thirty seven and a half receiving yards. Jim,
Speaker 1: we know the past for rush staff, the Los Angeles
Speaker 1: Rams bring with Aaron Donald and Dominican Sue Dante Fowler,
Speaker 1: so on and so forth. We've heard this for years now.
Speaker 1: The way to beat the pass rushes a lot of
Speaker 1: dump off quick passes. Alvin Kamara, I do think that
Speaker 1: that can happen? Or were there any props that sit
Speaker 1: out to you? Do you like any of the ones
Speaker 1: I brought up? Um? Any touchdown props? Like like, who
Speaker 1: do you who do you expect to score in this game?
Speaker 1: Because I could give you the odds on those as well. Jim.
Speaker 1: Let's see, I think Sammy Watskins is gonna get a wait,
Speaker 1: wrong game. I'm we're talking to other game. Sorry, not
Speaker 1: just messing with you. Um look man, trying to pick
Speaker 1: I hate touchdown props. I mean I just hate them. There.
Speaker 1: They are so intervious it isn't funny. But if I
Speaker 1: was gonna take one in this game, boo, I'm gonna
Speaker 1: take one with C J. Anderson. I like it. That's
Speaker 1: the one. I was looking at too right now you're
Speaker 1: getting him at plus one forty to score a touchdown
Speaker 1: any time in this game. Jim plus one forty, Todd
Speaker 1: Gurley minus one thirty the favorite on the ramp side,
Speaker 1: Alvin Kamara minus one on the Saint side. Look, when
Speaker 1: we come back, we're gonna talk more about this game
Speaker 1: from a DFS perspective, and then we'll transition into that.
Speaker 1: A f C Conference championship game a lot to get
Speaker 1: into there as well. We like the under we like
Speaker 1: the Saints. We're both in agreement, so that means none
Speaker 1: of those things are gonna come through this weekend. Fantasy
Speaker 1: Best Friends Forever, Fantasy Sports Radio Network, We're right back.
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Speaker 1: Eastern f N T S Y Radio and on your
Speaker 1: popular podcast providers, Welcome back to the Fantasy best Friends
Speaker 1: Forever No great Susman Frank Sample here with Fantasy Taz
Speaker 1: Jim Day breaking down the conference championship games from a
Speaker 1: betting perspective. Got profits we already touched on the total
Speaker 1: we touched on the side like the Saints blake the under.
Speaker 1: I like Kamara to go over third you seven and
Speaker 1: a half receiving yards him also throughout the c J
Speaker 1: Anderson to score a touchdown in this game at plus
Speaker 1: one forty. Touchdowns are hard to predict, though, Jim, You're
Speaker 1: absolutely right. I remember last week every single prop imaginable
Speaker 1: hit on James White. You know you had fifteen reception
Speaker 1: names you likedown had I had? I had James White
Speaker 1: score touchdown? Prop? Jim? How stupid? Am I? Like? God?
Speaker 1: Every prop imaginable James White hit except score a touchdown? Man?
Speaker 1: Oh god, yeah, I don't. I don't want to talk
Speaker 1: about last weekend anymore. I gotta I gotta make up
Speaker 1: for it this weekend. It was it was so brutal. Oh,
Speaker 1: first signs of chronic gambler. I gotta make up for
Speaker 1: it this weekend. There you go, right, God, I've been
Speaker 1: hanging out with Gabe too much. Give me the fish.
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Speaker 1: gotta attack this game from a DFS perspective. I think
Speaker 1: it's worth mentioning. Jared Goff the cheapest quarterback on slate.
Speaker 1: I think people are gonna want to slop uh attack
Speaker 1: the quarterbacks in this game with Jared Golf and Drew Brees,
Speaker 1: just because it's a controlled environment right there inside a dome.
Speaker 1: You don't have to worry about whether I will tell
Speaker 1: you that you don't really have to worry about the
Speaker 1: weather much anymore. With the Chiefs in the Patriots game.
Speaker 1: It looks like it's gonna be over thirty degrees by
Speaker 1: the time this game kicks off. There's no acipitation expected either,
Speaker 1: so don't overvalue the dome game here. I still think
Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes obviously the best quarterback on the slate, but
Speaker 1: he is very pricey. Jared Goff again the cheapest on
Speaker 1: the slate. He hasn't thrown for over two d and
Speaker 1: twenty yards. Uh He's actually he's only thrown for two
Speaker 1: or twenty yards just once in his last six games
Speaker 1: and on the road this year. Ten touchdowns, nine interceptions.
Speaker 1: I know a lot of that came in that Chicago
Speaker 1: Bears game. Drew Brees also has not been great as
Speaker 1: of late. He's thrown for multiple touchdowns just once in
Speaker 1: his last five games. That was last week against the
Speaker 1: Philadelphia Eagles. The Rams have been much better and much
Speaker 1: better past defense with a key to leap in the lineup. Jim,
Speaker 1: do you like either of these quarterbacks for DFS? Uh? No, Again,
Speaker 1: I mean if it goes to the game script that
Speaker 1: you know we're talking about, where we think it's gonna
Speaker 1: be the under, then no, I'd rather not go with
Speaker 1: either one of these two quarterbacks. I think the high
Speaker 1: flying game is gonna be on the other side, so
Speaker 1: you know, I might, I'm gonna pay up a little
Speaker 1: bit more. Uh. You know, Brady is not that much
Speaker 1: more than Golf and and cheaper than Breeze, So I
Speaker 1: like that my homes. Like you said, you know, he's higher.
Speaker 1: He's eight hundred dollars higher than Brady, nine hundred dollars
Speaker 1: higher than Breed. You know, not not huge numbers, but
Speaker 1: enough that some people may not want to pay there.
Speaker 1: So you know, again, if you're going with a golf
Speaker 1: it's more you're trying to be contrarian, and I get that,
Speaker 1: but I just don't see a lot of big numbers
Speaker 1: coming out of the passing game on in that game
Speaker 1: at all. It's worth mentioning on draft kings of salaries
Speaker 1: for the quarterbacks are as followed, Patrick Mahomes sixty six
Speaker 1: hundred dollars, Tom Brady fifty eight hundred, Drew Brees hundred,
Speaker 1: Jared goff Is fifty four hundred dollars on fan duel,
Speaker 1: that is nine thousand for Mahomes, followed by eight hundred
Speaker 1: for Drew Brees, four hundred for Tom Brady, and Jared
Speaker 1: goff at eight thousand dollars. Now you did, you did
Speaker 1: forget to mention one on on DraftKings you you also
Speaker 1: have Taysom Hill Taste the Hill at five dollars. Okay,
Speaker 1: I've gotta get this off my chest once and through
Speaker 1: it the gym day monologue. I am so tired of
Speaker 1: this team taking one of the best passers in the
Speaker 1: freaking game out of the game to put this trick
Speaker 1: kid in there. I hate it. I hate it. I've
Speaker 1: always hated it. I think it's stupid as hell when
Speaker 1: you got somebody behind the line of scrimmage like Drew
Speaker 1: Brees to take them all out for some kid by
Speaker 1: the name of Taysom Hill that couldn't even land a
Speaker 1: job anywhere else. You know what, I'm sorry, folks, I
Speaker 1: hate this trickery. I understand innovation is innovation, but when
Speaker 1: you take the ball out of your best player's hands
Speaker 1: to make it a trick play, that is the stupidest
Speaker 1: thing you can do. Asom Hill, Sean Payton get off
Speaker 1: Jim Day's lawn. There you go. That was Jim Day's
Speaker 1: get off the lawn moment of the day here on
Speaker 1: the Fantasy Best Friends Forever. Um, I can't. I can't
Speaker 1: really make an argument for Taysom Hill. I understand exactly
Speaker 1: what you're trying, what you're saying here, and I think
Speaker 1: it's Sean Payton just trying to like do something creative.
Speaker 1: But yeah, seriously, like anytime you see him back there,
Speaker 1: and it's kind of hard to figure out, right, Like
Speaker 1: you gotta look at the jersey numbers because at first
Speaker 1: you might think, well, is that Drew Brees taking the
Speaker 1: snap under center? He threw a nice ball to Alvin
Speaker 1: Kamara last week that was a touchdown but it got
Speaker 1: called back. But I'm with you, it's very first two
Speaker 1: weeks ago he threw an interception when you didn't have to. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I just I hate that kind of stuff. You got
Speaker 1: one of the best. Look if it's to me if
Speaker 1: you have a mediocre quarterback back there, I'm all for it.
Speaker 1: I love the innovation, but not when you have one
Speaker 1: of the best guys to ever play the game behind
Speaker 1: the line of scrammed. You don't take him off the
Speaker 1: field for anything. Like maybe if you have Mark Sanchez
Speaker 1: back there, you know you're try and do something fun.
Speaker 1: You do a little wildcats something. Drew Brees a little
Speaker 1: bit better than Mark Sanchez, Jim, C J Anderson, we
Speaker 1: talked about him a little bit when we were talking
Speaker 1: about the prop bets. He's had at least a hundred
Speaker 1: and twenty three rushing yards any touchdown in three straight games.
Speaker 1: I think what's worth mentioning about him most is the
Speaker 1: fact that a Sheldon Rankings is now out for the
Speaker 1: Saints defense. The Saints, you know, their defensive line has
Speaker 1: been awesome all year in terms of limiting yards per
Speaker 1: carry and rushing yards to running backs this year, and
Speaker 1: a big part of that was Sheldon Rankins. He is
Speaker 1: now out. But C. J. Anderson, I think part of
Speaker 1: why he's running so effectively is, Yes, the Rams offensive
Speaker 1: line has been great. He has frefresh legs, Jim. He
Speaker 1: has fresh legs when everybody else. You know, we hear
Speaker 1: it all the time. It's the game of attrition, right
Speaker 1: with with the with the NFL. To get to this point,
Speaker 1: you know, like you've battled for the last three four months,
Speaker 1: going back even further longer than that. When you think
Speaker 1: about training camp, like guys are tired. C J. Anderson
Speaker 1: does not have a lot of wear on his body,
Speaker 1: so he's coming in here and he's fresh when everyone
Speaker 1: else has kind of worn down. I think you're still
Speaker 1: getting some some value here with c J. Anderson. Nobody
Speaker 1: knows exactly how much he's going to be used. Last
Speaker 1: week of the snaps for him, fifty seven percent for Girly,
Speaker 1: but he did outtouch Girly three to eighteen. I think
Speaker 1: they're gonna keep writing this kind of two headed approach
Speaker 1: here with CJ. Anderson and Todd Gurley. I do like
Speaker 1: him a little bit more on FanDuel, where it's only
Speaker 1: half point ppr, so the touchdown matters a little bit more.
Speaker 1: I know on Draft Kings it's full PPR. C J.
Speaker 1: Anderson not really going to catch passes. But I still
Speaker 1: do think there's some value here with him. Oh, I agree.
Speaker 1: Look like all the reasons you said he's got. You know,
Speaker 1: he's fresh, he hasn't played much this year, doesn't have
Speaker 1: a lot of wear and tear, hasn't take a lot
Speaker 1: of big hits, and maybe a few extra pieces of
Speaker 1: Sicilian pizza while he was off, but didn't really seem
Speaker 1: to affect him. Hasn't affected him the last three weeks anyway. Um,
Speaker 1: so I'm not really worried about that that the kid
Speaker 1: is running. I've always liked c. J. Anderson, don't going
Speaker 1: back to his Broncos days, I always thought he was
Speaker 1: a good running back. Everybody said it was a system.
Speaker 1: Uh you know, but he's still put up a thousand
Speaker 1: yards and you know, I like seeing that, and I'm
Speaker 1: glad he's got to a point now where he's has
Speaker 1: every chance in the world to go to a Super Bowl.
Speaker 1: So good for him. But yeah, I agree with you,
Speaker 1: they're gonna use him both because, first of all, because
Speaker 1: you know, why really keep beating on Girley when C. J.
Speaker 1: Anderson is going out ripping off rounds like that, you know,
Speaker 1: no real reason whatsoever to keep pounding Girly and keep
Speaker 1: you know, having the shot of bringing back that injury
Speaker 1: that much quicker. So you know it really. I think
Speaker 1: last week it really got to a point where, you know,
Speaker 1: they put him in for a couple of steps and
Speaker 1: he just went off, and they said, Okay, well we'll
Speaker 1: keep running him because he's doing such a well right now,
Speaker 1: you know, we'll save Girley for later on in the game.
Speaker 1: And that's exactly what they did this week. If he
Speaker 1: gets off to that kind of fast start, I see
Speaker 1: the same thing. My only concern is if he doesn't
Speaker 1: get off to that fast start, do we see Girley
Speaker 1: come back uh that much quicker and get that many
Speaker 1: more carries? So there is a little bit of concern
Speaker 1: for me. They're just not a huge one. Jim. I
Speaker 1: wanted to get your opinion on two wide receivers. Two
Speaker 1: more wide receivers here. Michael Thomas is the highest salary
Speaker 1: wide receiver on old sites speak Fandel and DraftKings, and
Speaker 1: I personally feel like the game plan, the defensive game
Speaker 1: plan for the Rams here and Wade Phillips, who had
Speaker 1: a phenomenal game plan last week against the Cowboys, which
Speaker 1: was basically, we're gonna we're gonna sell out to stop
Speaker 1: the run and we're gonna make Dak Prescott beat us
Speaker 1: that ultimately ended up working out well for the Rams defense.
Speaker 1: I think that they just throw the house at Michael Thomas.
Speaker 1: I think, and typically a keep to leave does not
Speaker 1: travel around and follow wide receivers. He sticks to his side.
Speaker 1: I think they saw what happened last time against Marcus
Speaker 1: Peters with Michael Thomas, and they're gonna they're gonna send
Speaker 1: a lot of a keep to leave at Michael Thomas.
Speaker 1: They're gonna send a lot of double teams, maybe triple teams.
Speaker 1: They're gonna ask other play other wide receivers on the
Speaker 1: Saints to go out there, uh and and and beat
Speaker 1: this secondary. So I'm kind of I'm kind of off
Speaker 1: Michael Thomas here, to be honest, because of the salary
Speaker 1: where he's at, and I think the game plan will
Speaker 1: be to try and limit him most and then the
Speaker 1: other wide receiver is Brandon Cooks. I think it's just
Speaker 1: worth mentioning again the revenge game going back to the
Speaker 1: Super for Doome when he played them earlier this year.
Speaker 1: He went six for one, four tea and scored a
Speaker 1: touchdown in that game. Again, we don't really like the
Speaker 1: past games much here, but I it wouldn't surprise me.
Speaker 1: If Brandon Cooks scored another touchdown. So, Michael Thomas and
Speaker 1: Brandon Cooks, how do you feel about these guys? Well,
Speaker 1: look here, here's a great start about Brandon Cooks. Um,
Speaker 1: he's had a thousand yards. There's four teams playing this weekend.
Speaker 1: He's had a thousand yards seasons for three of them
Speaker 1: and in the last three years. Interesting, I just don't
Speaker 1: realize it, but he's he's got a thousand yards seasons
Speaker 1: for three of these four teams. So you know, it's amazing. Uh,
Speaker 1: how well he's done moving around and he just continues
Speaker 1: to get it done. So, UM, I like, uh, you know,
Speaker 1: I like Cooks in this one to have a decent game.
Speaker 1: I get what you're saying about Michael Thomas, and I
Speaker 1: do think they're gonna try and stop him, but I
Speaker 1: still see him as getting you know, a load of
Speaker 1: targets in this just because you know, let's face it,
Speaker 1: Ted Gain is what he is, Drake Quan Smith is
Speaker 1: what he is. They're they're guys that you know, are
Speaker 1: good for a few shots here and there, and if
Speaker 1: they hit, then you're good. If they don't hit, then
Speaker 1: oh well you're looking at a nothing stat line. So
Speaker 1: you know Thomas, well, I do agree that they're gonna
Speaker 1: try and throw everything at him. You're still looking at
Speaker 1: a guy who's probably gonna see, you know, more than
Speaker 1: ten targets easily in this game. And I think just
Speaker 1: that alone, they're gonna find ways to mismatch them, even
Speaker 1: with the Rams king on him, because you can't really
Speaker 1: totally key on him when you have somebody like Camara
Speaker 1: coming out of that backfield. That's a great point, Jim.
Speaker 1: I I want to move on to the Chiefs and
Speaker 1: Patriots here, just so we give ourselves ample time to
Speaker 1: talk about this game as well, both from a betting
Speaker 1: perspective and from a DFS perspective. We do know that
Speaker 1: last time these two teams met, uh, they combined for
Speaker 1: eighty three points. So you know, one side on the
Speaker 1: NFC Championship. The last time they met earlier in the season,
Speaker 1: it was they combined for eight. The last time the
Speaker 1: Chiefs and Patriots played earlier this year, where the Patriots
Speaker 1: were victorious forty three to forty. The New England Patriots
Speaker 1: won that game combined for eighty three points in that game. Jim,
Speaker 1: I'll just throw this off right at the top here,
Speaker 1: talking about this game. I think the total is a
Speaker 1: little bit harder to figure out with this one, because
Speaker 1: I could kind of see I could see both sides
Speaker 1: playing out here. I could see again both teams wanted
Speaker 1: to kind of play keep away, maybe run the ball
Speaker 1: a little bit more. Sony Michelle ran the ball extremely
Speaker 1: effectively last week. We know what Damian Williams has been
Speaker 1: able to do, and I have some pretty cool stats
Speaker 1: about how the Patriots defense on the road this season
Speaker 1: specifically has struggled to stop the run. So I do
Speaker 1: think again that we could see some run. But again,
Speaker 1: it's like Patrick Mahomes didn't even throw a touchdown last week, Jim,
Speaker 1: and they scored thirty one points. So I can also
Speaker 1: see a scenario where this game goes over. I don't
Speaker 1: really feel stronger strongly either way. If I had to choose,
Speaker 1: I would go with the over. But I feel much
Speaker 1: stronger about the Saints under than I do. The game
Speaker 1: total here between the Chiefs and the Patriots don't agree
Speaker 1: with that um, and it's definitely a lot tighter um
Speaker 1: in this side. You know, if I wouldn't make this
Speaker 1: bet just for the reasons you said, Uh, you know,
Speaker 1: I was definitely wrong on the Patriots last week. And
Speaker 1: while I could be wrong again, you know, this could
Speaker 1: be a game where the defenses step up a little
Speaker 1: bit more than either one of us expect, then most
Speaker 1: people expect. Kansas City's defense has shown they're much better
Speaker 1: at home. They played an outstanding game last week and
Speaker 1: and just shut down Indy right from the start. I'm
Speaker 1: not sure they're not gonna be able to do that
Speaker 1: to Brady, but you know, again, if if they can
Speaker 1: get into Brady's face the way they got into Luck's face,
Speaker 1: then maybe they can. Because that's the way to be Brady.
Speaker 1: Get him uncomfortable in that pocket, get him having to
Speaker 1: move outside of that pocket, and he can make mistakes,
Speaker 1: you can force him to do things. So you know,
Speaker 1: that's that's one of the things they have to do.
Speaker 1: So if they can do that again, then I like that.
Speaker 1: But I mean, if I were to bet this game,
Speaker 1: I think the over is the bet. But here here's
Speaker 1: another you know, thrown stats out there at you, but
Speaker 1: in his seventh away playoff games, Tom Brady is three
Speaker 1: and war with eight touchdowns and eights and I have
Speaker 1: more to touch on that as well. You mentioned the
Speaker 1: Chief's defense at home, it's absolutely right, nine point six
Speaker 1: percent sacreate at home this year, Jim five point seven
Speaker 1: percent sacreate on the road. Also at home this year,
Speaker 1: the Chiefs have allowed seventeen point four points per game
Speaker 1: at home. The defense has played much better UH at
Speaker 1: Arrowhead this year. But regarding Tom Brady, um, and specifically
Speaker 1: you know, against the Chiefs, I found I found this
Speaker 1: one interesting. It was specifically an Arrowhead rights three career
Speaker 1: games at Arrowhead. Jim is a three touchdown six interception
Speaker 1: ratio at Arrowhead in his career. Small sample size, again,
Speaker 1: only three games, but that's one of only two stadiums
Speaker 1: that Tom Brady has played in his career where he
Speaker 1: has more interceptions thrown than touchdowns. So I think you're
Speaker 1: onto something here. Brady and Belichick together have been under
Speaker 1: six times in the playoffs in their careers, three and
Speaker 1: three straight up, both trade up and against the spread.
Speaker 1: So look, they're going into unfamiliar territory. Mean, you know,
Speaker 1: typically the road to the Super Bowl goes through Foxborough,
Speaker 1: and you know we've seen that for a long time now.
Speaker 1: Um Andy Reid also, you know, he's given the Patriots
Speaker 1: some fits over the years. I mean, obviously that game
Speaker 1: earlier in the year, it was a very close game,
Speaker 1: forty three to forty. But how about last year Week one,
Speaker 1: two thousand seventeen, when Alex Smith was the quarterback. They
Speaker 1: went into Foxborough and they destroyed the Patriots. I remember
Speaker 1: there was a couple of a couple of years back.
Speaker 1: I think it was Monday Night Football. Remember that game
Speaker 1: that that kind of that was one of many, Jim,
Speaker 1: where we started talking about is the Patriots dynasty over?
Speaker 1: Why were we talking about that? Because the Chiefs one
Speaker 1: that game and believe it was like seventeen they destroyed them.
Speaker 1: That game was at Arrowheads, So I think, you know,
Speaker 1: there are a couple of things playing against the Patriots
Speaker 1: and Tom Brady here where you know, Arrowhead tough place
Speaker 1: to play. Andy Reid has played the Patriots very tough
Speaker 1: over the years. This game is closer than usual, and
Speaker 1: uh and you know for the Patriots playing up like
Speaker 1: the underdog role. Here, give me a break, Jim, come on,
Speaker 1: I'll tell you the Patriots and two and five against
Speaker 1: the spread in the last seven games against case Um.
Speaker 1: They the under is eleven three in the Chief's last
Speaker 1: fourteen home games. So you know, definitely some trends involved
Speaker 1: here that could help help sway your thought process if
Speaker 1: you're you know, on the fence one way or the other.
Speaker 1: But as we all know, you know there's there's lies,
Speaker 1: damn lies and statistics. Because you know, one way, you
Speaker 1: got the under eleven and three for the Chiefs, the
Speaker 1: over has cashed in six out of the last seven
Speaker 1: for the playoffs, and for the Patriots in the playoffs,
Speaker 1: and the over is four and oh in the last
Speaker 1: six matchups between the teams. So you know, it's when
Speaker 1: you look at these trands, it's one thing to you know,
Speaker 1: take it as a part of what you do. And
Speaker 1: I know a lot of guys who you know, look
Speaker 1: at these trends hit lock in a bet just based
Speaker 1: on these trends, and you just can't do it because
Speaker 1: you can have trends that go both ways. As I
Speaker 1: just discussed. That's absolutely right, Jim. I think it's a
Speaker 1: good point. I don't think it's right to make bets
Speaker 1: just based on trends, but you kind of gotta take
Speaker 1: trends from all over and kind of it's like a
Speaker 1: culmination of things as we've seen. But we get back,
Speaker 1: we'll give you our pick on the side for this game,
Speaker 1: the Chiefs and Patriots DFS as well Fantasy Best Friends
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Speaker 1: the morning after. The people that go to see Brooklyn
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Speaker 1: through about the luck Pie. Well, well, well, well and
Speaker 1: it's the best Friends Forever. On the Fantasy Sports Radio Network,
Speaker 1: I am Frank Stample, joined by Fantasy tas Jim Day. Jim.
Speaker 1: I was wondering if you were gonna jump in there
Speaker 1: with a little way. Oh, I know, I heard one
Speaker 1: of them. I felt left. I knew one way or another,
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Speaker 1: promo code f n T S Y. I didn't want
Speaker 1: to touch on this underdog thing just one more time here,
Speaker 1: I know Julian Edelman has got a hashtag against us.
Speaker 1: They're really trying to play this up. It's not working,
Speaker 1: like Patriots, it's not working. They've interviewed Chiefs players throughout
Speaker 1: the week, and everyone knows how good you are, They
Speaker 1: asked Travis Travis Kelsey like he's like, nobody's buying, Like, yes,
Speaker 1: we know how good the Patriots are. We we are
Speaker 1: taking them seriously. They're not an underdog. Technically, they're a
Speaker 1: betting underdog. They're getting three points, but the Chiefs are
Speaker 1: getting the home three here. So basically, when the oddsmakers
Speaker 1: look at this game and they give the Chiefs, you know,
Speaker 1: the three points, laying three points here, they're just getting
Speaker 1: the home three, which basically means that they think that
Speaker 1: these teams are even. Are they even? Well, we're about
Speaker 1: to find out. But the Chiefs went twelve and four
Speaker 1: this year. The Patriots went eleven and five. Meanwhile, the
Speaker 1: Chiefs faced a way tougher schedules. So I don't I
Speaker 1: don't know. I don't know how they're playing up the
Speaker 1: underdog thing here, Like you can argue that maybe the
Speaker 1: spread should be even a little bit bigger based on
Speaker 1: what I just said with the records and the fact
Speaker 1: that the Chiefs face a tougher schedule this year. I digress, Jim, Um,
Speaker 1: I'm taking a look. The reason it's not higher, it
Speaker 1: is because the Patriots, simple fact. Um. That's when it
Speaker 1: comes down to any other team going into Casey for
Speaker 1: this game, the spread would have been much higher. But
Speaker 1: it's the Patriots, and you're hard to give the Patriots
Speaker 1: too much leeway. No matter how you think what they're
Speaker 1: gonna do, it doesn't matter. So you know, like you said,
Speaker 1: Jeeves are just getting the home three. That's what they're getting. Um.
Speaker 1: So you know, basically, it's not really something that's huge
Speaker 1: in this game that we have to worry about a lot. Um.
Speaker 1: I purposely I like Kansas City, And again, you know
Speaker 1: it's not because I hate the Patriots. I don't hate
Speaker 1: the Patriots. You know, as a Giants fan, I kind
Speaker 1: of like the Patriots because I know, you know, I
Speaker 1: know we could beat them. Um. So it's really nothing there.
Speaker 1: And you've got to give respect to, you know, one
Speaker 1: of the greatest teams that we'll probably ever see in
Speaker 1: our lifetimes with the kind of domination they've had. So
Speaker 1: you know, I don't hate them. I just I really
Speaker 1: I want to see Pat Mahomes you know, captive season
Speaker 1: with a cherry on top with that super Bowl win,
Speaker 1: because I mean, I think this kid deserves it. We
Speaker 1: we all knew he was gonna be a gun slinger,
Speaker 1: but nobody ever could have seen this coming. The kind
Speaker 1: of season he's had, the plays he continues to make,
Speaker 1: the way he sees the field, uh, you know, the
Speaker 1: no look passes, the underhand passes, bat cave in the
Speaker 1: left hand, it passes. This kid is playing such an
Speaker 1: exciting brand of football and he is absolutely the NFL's
Speaker 1: future that I would love to see him top off
Speaker 1: this great season with the Super Bowl win. So I'm
Speaker 1: betting on that kid's magic carrying them past the Patriots
Speaker 1: this week. And you know what's crazy, Jim, is you know,
Speaker 1: for a long time people were saying, you know, give
Speaker 1: Andy Reid a legit quarterback on the Chiefs and imagine
Speaker 1: what they would have done. And you can kind of
Speaker 1: you can make the case that they've had better defenses
Speaker 1: and years past than this Chief's defense. Right Like, for
Speaker 1: most of the season, we were talking about how the
Speaker 1: Chiefs have you know, uh, that was an area to
Speaker 1: attack for fantasy. So they've had better. Yeah, and well
Speaker 1: they didn't look that way last week against the Colt
Speaker 1: They did absolutely not. The playoffs, bringing different brando men
Speaker 1: to the field absolutely do. And you know, Bob Sutton
Speaker 1: had a great strategy last week going up against the Colts.
Speaker 1: You know, he brought a lot of pressure, uh and
Speaker 1: it ended up working out. I think they'll bring a
Speaker 1: lot of pressure once again against Tom Brady and the Patriots.
Speaker 1: But this is potentially what could happen if you gave
Speaker 1: Andy Reid, you know, a kind of gun slinger quarterback.
Speaker 1: Mind you, Patrick Mahomes is probably gonna win the MVP.
Speaker 1: So it's not like, all right, give Andy Reid just
Speaker 1: any quarterback besides Alex Smith. Like, yeah, he needed a
Speaker 1: pretty damn good quarterback in Patrick Mahomes. But this is
Speaker 1: kind of what we were talking about, Like the sky
Speaker 1: is the limit for this Chief's team with a quarterback
Speaker 1: of the caliber of a Patrick Mahomes. Just gotta touch
Speaker 1: on like the home road splits once again, because I
Speaker 1: think that does play a huge factor here. Jim Chiefs
Speaker 1: eight and one at home this season, Patriots three and five.
Speaker 1: Strade up. I know, you know, two of their two
Speaker 1: of their wins on the road this year, we're against
Speaker 1: like Josh McCown. One of them was against the Bears
Speaker 1: and that was, you know, a very impressive win for
Speaker 1: the Patriots, no doubt about it. But three and five
Speaker 1: strade up and against the spread on the road this year,
Speaker 1: they'll be ready to play. It's not gonna you know,
Speaker 1: I don't expect there wanted to be a blot either way,
Speaker 1: but you can't argue, you know, the difference between the
Speaker 1: home and road for the Patriots and how well the
Speaker 1: Chiefs have played at home this year. Well, what wasn't
Speaker 1: one of the Tom Brady wins on the road against
Speaker 1: the Bills and Nathan Peterman. I think you're correct, Yeah,
Speaker 1: I think it was. Does that really qualify? Yeah, that's
Speaker 1: almost like a below the line type of win. So,
Speaker 1: you know, good for you guys at the Bills to six.
Speaker 1: I think that that was the Monday night game right
Speaker 1: where it was either I don't know it was either Navy.
Speaker 1: It was Derek Anderson, That's who was him. It was
Speaker 1: Derek and to two of their three wins on the
Speaker 1: road this year, we're against Josh McCown and Derrick Anderson
Speaker 1: and the other one was against the Bears, so they
Speaker 1: showed up and that was a great win for them.
Speaker 1: But this this team hasn't been the same on the
Speaker 1: road this year, and I think it starts with their
Speaker 1: run defense. Is the stat I wanted to talk about, Jim,
Speaker 1: where the Patriots have allowed a hundred and twenty six
Speaker 1: point eight rushing yards per game on the road this
Speaker 1: year compared to nine point six rushing yards at home.
Speaker 1: And I think that just kind of plays into Damian Williams.
Speaker 1: We've heard you talk about Damian Williams the past couple
Speaker 1: of weeks, how much you love Damian Williams, and rightfully so. Um.
Speaker 1: On the year as a whole, the Patriots allowed four
Speaker 1: point six nine yards per carry two running backs, that
Speaker 1: was eighth most. Over the last five games, Damian Williams
Speaker 1: has scored seven total touchdowns. It's twenty three receptions during
Speaker 1: that time. He's averaging over five receptions per game. Jim,
Speaker 1: I love Damian Williams both for DFS UH and I
Speaker 1: like his props as well. You know, give me over
Speaker 1: sixty one and a half rushing yards. I just don't
Speaker 1: think he's getting enough respect. Um, and the touchdown prop
Speaker 1: that I know. There's also a prop for his total
Speaker 1: rushing and receiving. I believe it's somewhere like ninety eight
Speaker 1: and a half. So I like the rushing a little
Speaker 1: bit more here. But I'm kind of he's one of
Speaker 1: the building box from my team this week in terms
Speaker 1: of DFS, Jim, I'm kind of putting Damian Williams in
Speaker 1: and building the rest after that. No, well, I'm with
Speaker 1: you know, I think, uh again, I'm killing myself and
Speaker 1: next year's draft with the way I'll talk about Damian
Speaker 1: Williams because most people are still undervaluing him. But you know,
Speaker 1: people just get a life and grow up and see
Speaker 1: what this kid is gonna do. And he is going
Speaker 1: to be the starter for case next year. I have
Speaker 1: like no doubt in my mind. Um. And the one
Speaker 1: thing though you you talk about him still you know,
Speaker 1: being a value, is that his prices come up dramatically
Speaker 1: this week, especially on draftickings. I'll be honest, I haven't
Speaker 1: looked on Vanduel yet, probably do that tomorrow morning, but
Speaker 1: on DraftKings, he's only a hundred dollars left now, less
Speaker 1: now than Alvin Kamara. Um. So obviously you know they're
Speaker 1: starting to take it into account what this kid has
Speaker 1: done and how well he's done it. So he's not
Speaker 1: so much of the value this week. But I agree
Speaker 1: with frank Is that he's still going to be in
Speaker 1: a lot of my DFS lineups just because, yeah, he's
Speaker 1: an integral part of this offense right now. So on
Speaker 1: fan Duel, there are four running backs that are priced
Speaker 1: higher than Damian Williams this week. Remember Fandal half point PPR.
Speaker 1: Jim spoke about how the price has has how it's
Speaker 1: been on the rise for Damian Williams on DraftKings because
Speaker 1: it's full PPR based on what Damian Williams has done.
Speaker 1: But Williams is seventy two dollars. He's three hundred dollars
Speaker 1: less than Sony Michelle. He's five hundred dollars less than
Speaker 1: James White. James White another prop I like in this game.
Speaker 1: Not gonna take him to score touchdown this week. Jim
Speaker 1: fool me once over fifty three and a half receiving yards.
Speaker 1: I like that for James White. Um, the Patriots are
Speaker 1: obviously a smart team. Again. The Chiefs are gonna bring
Speaker 1: a lot of pressure. The pass rush the way to
Speaker 1: beat that, uh, throw it to James White. And this
Speaker 1: is just the time of year where you know, we've
Speaker 1: seen it the past two three seasons. When it comes
Speaker 1: January time, it's it's James White time. It's fifteen receptions
Speaker 1: last week, so you're not gonna project that, but you know,
Speaker 1: I'd say he's safe for at you know, anywhere from five, six,
Speaker 1: seven receptions. I like the over for fifty three and
Speaker 1: a half receiving yards. Jim, this is really um this
Speaker 1: game is DFS clore. So I guess I'll just kind
Speaker 1: of like open it up to you, like, who do
Speaker 1: you like? We know that the Patriots are going to
Speaker 1: try and take away um the top option for the Chiefs.
Speaker 1: The problem is who is the top option for the Chiefs.
Speaker 1: Are they gonna try and stop Tyreek Hill? He scored
Speaker 1: three touchdowns last time they faced the Patriots, so maybe
Speaker 1: that's something they try to do. Travis Kelsey really the
Speaker 1: only legitimate tight end on the slate, and legitimate no,
Speaker 1: I don't consider Rob Gronkowsky legitimate tight end anymore. But
Speaker 1: it's really either pay up for Travis Kelsey or kind
Speaker 1: of I don't know, use like a Josh Hill or
Speaker 1: a Rams tight end. You know, good luck, God bless
Speaker 1: your soul. I don't I don't know who you're gonna
Speaker 1: use if you don't use Travis Kelsey. Yeah, I'm pretty
Speaker 1: much with you. I mean, you almost have to pay
Speaker 1: up for Kelsey this week if you want to shot.
Speaker 1: I mean, he is the chalk of the chalk this week. Uh,
Speaker 1: as far as I can look see on this DFS slate. Um,
Speaker 1: no matter where you play, he is uh. Because I
Speaker 1: he said, Gronk is not Cronk. He's definitely not healthy.
Speaker 1: He's definitely not you know, able to run the same
Speaker 1: way we've seen him run in the past. So I
Speaker 1: get you know, Kelsey is the guy, And you're right,
Speaker 1: who are they going to take away? They're gonna take
Speaker 1: away Tie Hill, They're gonna take away Kelsey, take away
Speaker 1: Damian Williams. Well, you know, if I'm nam Damian Williams
Speaker 1: is the last one I'm worried about because the other
Speaker 1: two can take it down the field and beat you,
Speaker 1: and that's what they don't want to happen. Now. The
Speaker 1: one thing I will say about this game is that
Speaker 1: in the game that they had previous in the season,
Speaker 1: they got roasted. Every time the Patriots went into his
Speaker 1: own defense, they got roasted. That's where they gave up.
Speaker 1: The big place is seventy five yard touchdown the hill.
Speaker 1: The big play to Kelsey down the sideline was all
Speaker 1: in in when they played the zone. Um. When they
Speaker 1: decided to get away from that zone and went to
Speaker 1: cover and man cover, they played much better defense. They
Speaker 1: made it much harder for Mahomes to find that open
Speaker 1: spot too, you know, to really be able to get
Speaker 1: the ball down the field, really her tailed his big plays.
Speaker 1: I think we see a lot of that this time.
Speaker 1: Let's face it. I mean, with Mahomes behind the line
Speaker 1: of scrimmage scrambling the way he does, trying to play
Speaker 1: zone for that long is incredibly hard, very hard to
Speaker 1: keep track of where the different players are moving to
Speaker 1: and so easily get lost behind you is a player
Speaker 1: coming from all the way on the other side of
Speaker 1: the field, but he's got the time because Mahomes got
Speaker 1: plenty of time running behind the line of scrimmage. So
Speaker 1: because of all of this, I think we see a
Speaker 1: lot of man the man by the Patriots this week.
Speaker 1: And you know, that may hurt a little bit, but
Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure that they're looking at that as well.
Speaker 1: Kansas City is, and they're gonna come up with a
Speaker 1: game plan where I think we're gonna be seeing a
Speaker 1: lot more of the shorter middle type passes as opposed
Speaker 1: to try and go down the field ball game. With that,
Speaker 1: I do want to sign off YouTube now. Thank you
Speaker 1: everybody for watching and listening on the Fantasy Sports Radio network. Side.
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Speaker 1: We really really do appreciate it. Thank you very much.
Speaker 1: And Jim, you know you mentioned, uh, you know, playing
Speaker 1: zone against the Chiefs probably not the smartest thing. Um,
Speaker 1: it's crazy that everyone knew that except for Matt Eiberflus,
Speaker 1: the defensive coordinator gains last week, which you know, they
Speaker 1: were just getting picked apart in that game. So again,
Speaker 1: that's exactly what the Patriots did against the Charters. If
Speaker 1: you watch that game, they they brought a lot of pressure,
Speaker 1: They went man to man. They have two strong corners
Speaker 1: on the outside, with Gilmore and with Jason mccordy, and
Speaker 1: you know, Trey Flowers had a big game last week.
Speaker 1: So if there's one, you know, part of the game
Speaker 1: where Patrick Mahomes has struggled and pretty much all quarterbacks struggle,
Speaker 1: and I saw really awesome. Um there was like a
Speaker 1: chart graphic on the Pro Football Focus Fantasy Twitter. They
Speaker 1: have a graphic where when Patrick Mahomes is seeing pressure,
Speaker 1: he's quarterback reading drops tremendously. We see that with a
Speaker 1: lot of quarterbacks, but um, I do expect a lot
Speaker 1: of that this week as well. Yeah, no, and you
Speaker 1: see that with most quarterbacks. Let's face it, you get
Speaker 1: pressure on him, you know, the greatest of all time.
Speaker 1: That's the way to beat him. Get pressure on him, Brady.
Speaker 1: So you know, absolutely there's a few that seem to
Speaker 1: play better with that pressure on uh And you know
Speaker 1: I saw that chart as well. I get that. But yeah,
Speaker 1: I mean this, and you know everybody's forgetting that this
Speaker 1: is really his first season. You know, this is his
Speaker 1: first season in the league. Um, so yeah, he's gonna
Speaker 1: have some rough points. He's not a dent, you know,
Speaker 1: be all end all. But you're still talking about a
Speaker 1: guy in his first season had done that did what
Speaker 1: only two other quarterbacks in the history of the NFL
Speaker 1: have ever done, and they're both in the Hall of Fame.
Speaker 1: Um So this guy did it in his first season.
Speaker 1: Imagine what he could do when he gets a little
Speaker 1: bit more experience. Yeah, it is a little bit scary
Speaker 1: to think about. I know some people who might be
Speaker 1: listening and who were watching might say, well, you didn't
Speaker 1: talk about you know the big names here, you know
Speaker 1: Julian Edelman and all these other guys, Well, those are
Speaker 1: the safe options, you know, those are the players who
Speaker 1: you know, we at least I do, uh, I feel
Speaker 1: you know, I feel strong about those guys. Like, yes,
Speaker 1: you can put guys like Julian Edelman in your lineup.
Speaker 1: It'll be interesting to see if the if the Patriots
Speaker 1: try and take away Tyreek Hill or Kelsey. I still
Speaker 1: do like those guys. I like Tyree Hill personally more
Speaker 1: than Michael Thomas. Thomas probably safer, no doubt about it,
Speaker 1: but I think Tyreek Hill has higher upside, especially based
Speaker 1: on what he did earlier on in the season. Jim,
Speaker 1: I just wanted to throw a few names, some salary
Speaker 1: savers right, like everyone wants to pay up and get
Speaker 1: you know, the Mahomes and Kelsey and Tyreek Hill in
Speaker 1: their lineus. But you gotta save salaries somewhere. Sammy Watkins. Look,
Speaker 1: I think he needs this blood wolf moon to come through,
Speaker 1: like all the stars are gonna need to align for
Speaker 1: you know, Sammy Watkins to stay healthy and performed. But
Speaker 1: he is cheap. He played of the snaps last week.
Speaker 1: He saw eight of the targets. He saw of the
Speaker 1: targ sharing in games he played this year. Sammy Watkins
Speaker 1: is a name that sticks out to me as well
Speaker 1: as Ted Ginn, Josh Reynolds, Chris Hogan. Um, you need
Speaker 1: to save salary somewhere, Jim, do you like any of
Speaker 1: those names? Is there anyone else that's cheaper that you're
Speaker 1: trying to get in your line up this week? Well?
Speaker 1: This is you know, not really. I'm in two games slate,
Speaker 1: so it's not a ton of people you got to
Speaker 1: play with. Um, you know, when when it comes to
Speaker 1: salary saving, I mean, James White is probably one of
Speaker 1: the bigger, bigger choices. But I do like mark Ingram
Speaker 1: as well. At I think he is on draft Kings. Um,
Speaker 1: I'm a little further off of c J. Anderson at
Speaker 1: five thousand. Then I was last week. I really liked
Speaker 1: him last week. Not so sure this week again. If
Speaker 1: he doesn't get off to the blazing start, I have
Speaker 1: to think that Girley gets starts getting more playing time
Speaker 1: and we don't see as much of him, um, I know,
Speaker 1: spitting speeds. I'm pretty sure he thinks that James Devlin
Speaker 1: is a play this week to score two touchdowns. Doesn't
Speaker 1: like it, but he likes the prop because it's like
Speaker 1: plus ten thousand something crazy like that. Jim So Yeah,
Speaker 1: he kind of teased it on Twitter. Twitter to me
Speaker 1: that you know, Mike is gonna ask me about this
Speaker 1: crazy prop. So um. But you know, there's a lot
Speaker 1: of guys that you know are gonna be value this week.
Speaker 1: It's just hard trying to figure out who they are.
Speaker 1: Sammy Watkins is when I like a four thousand dollars
Speaker 1: on DraftKings. He looked good last week. He looked like
Speaker 1: he was running well, didn't look like the ankle was
Speaker 1: bothering him at all. And with that, they're uh with
Speaker 1: New England probably shadowing Tyreek Hill all game. I think
Speaker 1: I liked Sammy Watkins a lot. Is one of my
Speaker 1: best bets. Um. Josh Reynolds is another guy that could
Speaker 1: easily come into play. Uh. I just again because of
Speaker 1: the game script I'm envisioning in my head where it's
Speaker 1: a lower scoring game. You know, you're taking a little
Speaker 1: bit more of a chance with Reynolds, and I think
Speaker 1: you are with Watkins. Um, I like game last week
Speaker 1: didn't really come to fruition, you know. And Chris Hogan
Speaker 1: is another one at thirty seven hunderbucks. Why not take
Speaker 1: the shot out of him. He's been getting like four
Speaker 1: so targets a week. He could come into play in
Speaker 1: this one. Jim, I want to thank you so much
Speaker 1: for joining me this week. With Greg Sussman out stick,
Speaker 1: We'll see if we could do this again in the
Speaker 1: future with Greg Sussman back. But for Jim Day Fantasy Taz,
Speaker 1: Frank Stanford, thank you so much for watching and listening.
Speaker 1: Stay Classic Fantasy Owners.