1 00:00:01,320 --> 00:00:04,880 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Betting pros PGA Podcast. I'm Pat Fitzmorris 2 00:00:05,000 --> 00:00:07,720 Speaker 1: here with Bau mcbrair. Are you ready for two weeks 3 00:00:07,720 --> 00:00:10,320 Speaker 1: of golf tournaments in the United Kingdom because we have 4 00:00:10,360 --> 00:00:13,680 Speaker 1: the Scottish Open this week, the British Open next week, 5 00:00:14,080 --> 00:00:17,239 Speaker 1: and today we'll preview the Scottish Open. We'll also recap 6 00:00:17,280 --> 00:00:19,279 Speaker 1: the John Deere Classic, and at the end of the 7 00:00:19,320 --> 00:00:21,319 Speaker 1: show we'll give you our one and done picks for 8 00:00:21,360 --> 00:00:24,840 Speaker 1: the week. The Betting pros PGA Podcast is sponsored by 9 00:00:25,000 --> 00:00:28,800 Speaker 1: Underdog Fantasy. Underdog is the place to go for fantasy 10 00:00:28,840 --> 00:00:32,040 Speaker 1: football bestball contests, but you might not have known that 11 00:00:32,159 --> 00:00:36,840 Speaker 1: Underdog has golf contest too. Visit Underdog Fantasy dot com 12 00:00:36,960 --> 00:00:39,480 Speaker 1: or find Underdog in the app store, and don't forget 13 00:00:39,479 --> 00:00:42,680 Speaker 1: to register with the promo code BP Golf to claim 14 00:00:42,680 --> 00:00:45,400 Speaker 1: your special pick and to get a first time deposit 15 00:00:45,479 --> 00:00:47,559 Speaker 1: offer of up to two hundred and fifty dollars in 16 00:00:47,640 --> 00:00:51,040 Speaker 1: bonus cash. More on Underdog and It's golf contest. A 17 00:00:51,040 --> 00:00:55,240 Speaker 1: little later, Davis Thompson wins the John Deere Classic bow 18 00:00:55,280 --> 00:00:57,520 Speaker 1: and he does it without a lot of drama. The 19 00:00:57,520 --> 00:01:01,240 Speaker 1: twenty five year old Thompson scorched TP deer Ron for 20 00:01:01,280 --> 00:01:05,319 Speaker 1: four days, finishing twenty eight under par. Thompson had rounds 21 00:01:05,319 --> 00:01:08,759 Speaker 1: of sixty three, sixty seven, sixty two and sixty four. 22 00:01:09,160 --> 00:01:12,160 Speaker 1: He wound up winning by a comfortable four shot margin. 23 00:01:12,520 --> 00:01:15,360 Speaker 1: Bow and I had talked about Thompson last week as 24 00:01:15,400 --> 00:01:19,840 Speaker 1: an intriguing betting option. He'd finished top twenty in four 25 00:01:19,880 --> 00:01:22,000 Speaker 1: of his previous six starts and was coming off a 26 00:01:22,080 --> 00:01:25,240 Speaker 1: tie for second at the Rock and Mortgage Classic. Thompson 27 00:01:25,240 --> 00:01:27,959 Speaker 1: had also tied for second at the Myrtle Beach Classic 28 00:01:28,040 --> 00:01:29,960 Speaker 1: in May, so he'd shown that he could be a 29 00:01:30,000 --> 00:01:34,120 Speaker 1: serious contender, at least in events with lesser fields. Unfortunately, 30 00:01:34,160 --> 00:01:36,600 Speaker 1: bo I did not add Thompson to my betting card. 31 00:01:36,720 --> 00:01:39,680 Speaker 1: Oh no, sort of kicking myself over what about you? 32 00:01:39,720 --> 00:01:41,319 Speaker 1: Did you did you bet him? 33 00:01:41,480 --> 00:01:44,240 Speaker 2: I didn't have as much as I should have had 34 00:01:44,280 --> 00:01:46,920 Speaker 2: because when we when we published the show, we were 35 00:01:46,920 --> 00:01:51,160 Speaker 2: both really on it. One of our listeners, Eric at 36 00:01:51,240 --> 00:01:56,000 Speaker 2: E twelve two, did tail us on our based on 37 00:01:56,080 --> 00:01:59,920 Speaker 2: what we gave last week, based on Davis Thompson's recent 38 00:02:00,560 --> 00:02:02,840 Speaker 2: how he fits with this golf course against this field, 39 00:02:03,400 --> 00:02:05,920 Speaker 2: and he came up with a big win. He also 40 00:02:06,000 --> 00:02:10,240 Speaker 2: had Michael Thorpyjornsen. I know you had some thor Byjornsen, 41 00:02:10,320 --> 00:02:13,200 Speaker 2: thinks to me, and I had all of thor Bjornsen, 42 00:02:13,280 --> 00:02:16,960 Speaker 2: who cast top five, top ten on top twenty tickets 43 00:02:17,000 --> 00:02:20,080 Speaker 2: for me, I think, I think Eric did the same thing. 44 00:02:20,880 --> 00:02:25,240 Speaker 2: So winners all around except for Fitz who was He 45 00:02:25,360 --> 00:02:27,680 Speaker 2: talked about it, but he wasn't all about it. We 46 00:02:27,760 --> 00:02:28,840 Speaker 2: need to get on that train. 47 00:02:30,080 --> 00:02:33,120 Speaker 1: Well, I did have a top five for thorb Bjornson, 48 00:02:33,240 --> 00:02:35,919 Speaker 1: so while I'm not as wealthy as you and Eric, 49 00:02:37,160 --> 00:02:39,000 Speaker 1: you know that paid off at sixteen to one, so 50 00:02:39,040 --> 00:02:40,600 Speaker 1: it did give me a little bit of a profit 51 00:02:40,639 --> 00:02:43,519 Speaker 1: for the week. Thor Bjornson finished in a three way 52 00:02:43,600 --> 00:02:47,880 Speaker 1: tie for second with ct Pan and Luke Clanton. Bo, 53 00:02:48,160 --> 00:02:51,520 Speaker 1: you've yeah touted the twenty two year old thor Bjornson 54 00:02:51,680 --> 00:02:54,600 Speaker 1: as a rising star and future winner of majors, and 55 00:02:54,680 --> 00:02:57,560 Speaker 1: the tie for the second his best finish of his 56 00:02:57,639 --> 00:03:01,639 Speaker 1: brief PGA Tour career. Speaking of young stars, Bo, Luke 57 00:03:01,720 --> 00:03:05,840 Speaker 1: Clanton no relation to the Clinton family of the Okay 58 00:03:05,880 --> 00:03:07,359 Speaker 1: Corral shootout as far as I. 59 00:03:07,320 --> 00:03:08,600 Speaker 3: Know, No, I don't know. 60 00:03:09,080 --> 00:03:12,600 Speaker 2: It seems pretty seems pretty coincidental at best. 61 00:03:14,000 --> 00:03:18,360 Speaker 1: So young mister Clinton three putted from five feet on 62 00:03:18,480 --> 00:03:21,080 Speaker 1: his final hole at the US Open, blowing a chance 63 00:03:21,160 --> 00:03:25,720 Speaker 1: to tie Neil Shipley for Low amateur honors at the 64 00:03:25,800 --> 00:03:28,800 Speaker 1: US Open. But since then, Clanton has finished tenth at 65 00:03:28,840 --> 00:03:31,760 Speaker 1: the Rocket Mortgage Classic and now second at the John Deere. 66 00:03:32,080 --> 00:03:34,679 Speaker 1: He's another young player we're gonna have to watch closely 67 00:03:34,720 --> 00:03:38,480 Speaker 1: because he's making some noise. Not much else to talk about, really, 68 00:03:38,880 --> 00:03:42,280 Speaker 1: John Deere Classic was indeed the birdie fest we expected 69 00:03:42,320 --> 00:03:42,640 Speaker 1: it to be. 70 00:03:42,680 --> 00:03:44,080 Speaker 3: The cut line was minus five. 71 00:03:44,600 --> 00:03:47,160 Speaker 1: Hayden Springer had an opening round fifty nine and could 72 00:03:47,200 --> 00:03:50,640 Speaker 1: only manage to finish tied for seventh. Follow any reflections 73 00:03:50,640 --> 00:03:51,600 Speaker 1: on the John Deere. 74 00:03:51,760 --> 00:03:54,360 Speaker 2: It was everything we said. It would be another shout 75 00:03:54,360 --> 00:03:57,360 Speaker 2: out to another guy who helped cash tickets, Chan Kim 76 00:03:57,920 --> 00:04:00,920 Speaker 2: with the top twenty finish, that's a good one for 77 00:04:01,000 --> 00:04:02,520 Speaker 2: us to pick. He was one hundred and twenty to 78 00:04:02,520 --> 00:04:05,800 Speaker 2: one outright. But those placement bets on those deeper shots 79 00:04:05,840 --> 00:04:08,680 Speaker 2: have been paying all seasons. So pay close attention. And 80 00:04:08,720 --> 00:04:11,720 Speaker 2: when we're talking about long shots, it's not necessarily that 81 00:04:11,760 --> 00:04:14,080 Speaker 2: we think they're going to win. We just think that 82 00:04:14,280 --> 00:04:17,520 Speaker 2: if their odds are so long outright, you're probably getting 83 00:04:17,600 --> 00:04:21,640 Speaker 2: really good odds on them performing well in general. Top twenty, 84 00:04:21,680 --> 00:04:24,400 Speaker 2: top thirty, top forty bets, you can do made cut 85 00:04:24,520 --> 00:04:28,159 Speaker 2: parlays on most of these books. Get with some of 86 00:04:28,160 --> 00:04:30,240 Speaker 2: these long shots just to get a piece of them, 87 00:04:30,600 --> 00:04:32,960 Speaker 2: can can really turn a profit each week, so it's 88 00:04:33,000 --> 00:04:35,800 Speaker 2: a really good way to build bankroll. And every once 89 00:04:35,839 --> 00:04:38,599 Speaker 2: in a while you get one that just hits and 90 00:04:38,920 --> 00:04:41,240 Speaker 2: they win. The whole thing like we got with the 91 00:04:41,200 --> 00:04:44,640 Speaker 2: Aukshebatia earlier this season, or where we got with Jake 92 00:04:44,720 --> 00:04:47,360 Speaker 2: Knapp earlier in the season, is sometimes the long shots 93 00:04:47,360 --> 00:04:49,680 Speaker 2: do win. Most of the time. They're just there so 94 00:04:49,760 --> 00:04:52,360 Speaker 2: we don't get skunked every week because sometimes it's really 95 00:04:52,400 --> 00:04:55,360 Speaker 2: hard to pick who's going to win. We've been having 96 00:04:55,400 --> 00:04:58,960 Speaker 2: a really good season on the outright market, but it's 97 00:04:59,040 --> 00:05:02,040 Speaker 2: been those base bets at plus four fifty to plus 98 00:05:02,120 --> 00:05:04,760 Speaker 2: eight to fifty in your case, plus eleven fifty on 99 00:05:04,760 --> 00:05:08,120 Speaker 2: a top five on the rookie, those really add up, 100 00:05:08,560 --> 00:05:10,640 Speaker 2: and that you can hit those at a lot higher 101 00:05:10,640 --> 00:05:12,799 Speaker 2: clip than picking out rights in the game of golf, 102 00:05:12,800 --> 00:05:16,920 Speaker 2: where honestly we're just playing a game of probability. 103 00:05:16,800 --> 00:05:19,400 Speaker 1: Yes sir, And now we cross the Atlantic for the 104 00:05:19,440 --> 00:05:22,599 Speaker 1: Scottish Open. We'll get to the preview in just a minute, 105 00:05:22,640 --> 00:05:25,760 Speaker 1: but first our friends at Underdog Fantasy are letting you 106 00:05:25,920 --> 00:05:28,960 Speaker 1: make picks on your favorite golfers all season long. Just 107 00:05:29,000 --> 00:05:31,719 Speaker 1: pick higher or lower on selected stats for two to 108 00:05:31,800 --> 00:05:34,480 Speaker 1: five golfers and you can win up to twenty times 109 00:05:34,480 --> 00:05:36,680 Speaker 1: your money in a single day. You can also make 110 00:05:36,800 --> 00:05:39,400 Speaker 1: rivals picks, where you choose, for instance, which of two 111 00:05:39,480 --> 00:05:43,000 Speaker 1: golfers will shoot better scoring around golf. Picks can be 112 00:05:43,040 --> 00:05:47,200 Speaker 1: combined with stats player stats from other sports too. Go 113 00:05:47,320 --> 00:05:49,919 Speaker 1: sign up an Underdog Fantasy with the promo code BP 114 00:05:50,200 --> 00:05:52,400 Speaker 1: Golf to claim your special pick and to get a 115 00:05:52,440 --> 00:05:54,520 Speaker 1: first time deposit offer of up to two hundred and 116 00:05:54,560 --> 00:05:58,520 Speaker 1: fifty dollars in bonus cash. So The Scottish Open will 117 00:05:58,520 --> 00:06:01,560 Speaker 1: be played at the Renaissance Club in North Barrick for 118 00:06:01,600 --> 00:06:05,520 Speaker 1: a sixth time. Located on the east coast of Scotland 119 00:06:05,680 --> 00:06:08,880 Speaker 1: along the North Sea, this event is co sponsored by 120 00:06:08,880 --> 00:06:11,360 Speaker 1: the DP World Tour and the PGA Tour, so we're 121 00:06:11,360 --> 00:06:14,760 Speaker 1: getting a field with players from both tours. The Renaissance 122 00:06:14,760 --> 00:06:18,040 Speaker 1: Club is a par seventy that plays two seven and 123 00:06:18,040 --> 00:06:21,279 Speaker 1: thirty seven yards, was designed by Tom Doak and opened 124 00:06:21,400 --> 00:06:25,159 Speaker 1: in two thousand and eight. It's a link style course, 125 00:06:25,240 --> 00:06:29,360 Speaker 1: but the Renaissance Club isn't quite as linxy as Royal Troon, 126 00:06:30,080 --> 00:06:32,880 Speaker 1: host of the British Open in two weeks, But after 127 00:06:32,920 --> 00:06:36,280 Speaker 1: two weeks of tournaments played on Midwestern parkland courses, the 128 00:06:36,320 --> 00:06:39,680 Speaker 1: Renaissance Club will certainly offer a different style of golf. 129 00:06:40,440 --> 00:06:42,000 Speaker 3: The ground in Scotland is. 130 00:06:42,120 --> 00:06:44,640 Speaker 1: Rock hard, as I can attest from a couple of 131 00:06:44,760 --> 00:06:46,720 Speaker 1: golf trips there, so players are going to get a 132 00:06:46,720 --> 00:06:49,839 Speaker 1: lot of runout on their t shots. On links courses, 133 00:06:49,880 --> 00:06:53,359 Speaker 1: you typically won't find bunkers directly in front of the green, 134 00:06:53,480 --> 00:06:56,799 Speaker 1: so players have the option to play bump and run 135 00:06:56,839 --> 00:06:59,160 Speaker 1: approach shots. Sometimes keeping the ball on the ground is 136 00:06:59,200 --> 00:07:01,960 Speaker 1: the way to go on a links course. And we're 137 00:07:02,000 --> 00:07:04,880 Speaker 1: gonna see some creativity around the greens this week. Some 138 00:07:05,360 --> 00:07:09,120 Speaker 1: Texas wedges, you know, some bumping runs from you know. 139 00:07:09,080 --> 00:07:09,640 Speaker 3: Just off. 140 00:07:10,000 --> 00:07:13,200 Speaker 1: The fairways at the Renaissance Club aren't easy to hit, 141 00:07:13,880 --> 00:07:16,720 Speaker 1: but the fescue rough isn't all that punishing. What can 142 00:07:16,840 --> 00:07:21,320 Speaker 1: be punishing, however, the twenty two fairway bunkers scattered around 143 00:07:21,360 --> 00:07:24,600 Speaker 1: the course. A lot of the greenside bunkers are pot bunkers. 144 00:07:24,600 --> 00:07:27,720 Speaker 1: That can be steep and more difficult to navigate than 145 00:07:27,760 --> 00:07:31,400 Speaker 1: the green side bunkers and US courses. The greens at 146 00:07:31,400 --> 00:07:34,760 Speaker 1: the Renaissance Club are big, and like the greens on 147 00:07:34,840 --> 00:07:38,080 Speaker 1: many of the courses in the UK, they're on the slow. 148 00:07:37,880 --> 00:07:40,200 Speaker 3: Side, at least by PGA Tour standards. 149 00:07:40,720 --> 00:07:43,560 Speaker 1: Let's see the Renaissance Club has three par fives, all 150 00:07:43,600 --> 00:07:47,240 Speaker 1: of them reachable, and five par threes. Three of those 151 00:07:47,280 --> 00:07:49,960 Speaker 1: par threes are longer than two hundred yards, and there 152 00:07:49,960 --> 00:07:53,680 Speaker 1: are a couple of shorties, one measuring four one and 153 00:07:53,680 --> 00:07:57,520 Speaker 1: forty seven yards, one measuring one sixty one. They're four 154 00:07:57,600 --> 00:08:01,600 Speaker 1: long par fours measuring or eighty or longer than. The 155 00:08:01,640 --> 00:08:04,920 Speaker 1: fifth hole is a short driveable par four, coming in 156 00:08:04,960 --> 00:08:08,840 Speaker 1: at just three hundred and thirty eight yards. Rory McElroy 157 00:08:09,160 --> 00:08:12,239 Speaker 1: is the defending Scottish Open champion. He finished minus fifteen 158 00:08:12,320 --> 00:08:16,720 Speaker 1: last year to edge Robert McIntyre by one shot. Xanders 159 00:08:16,760 --> 00:08:19,840 Speaker 1: Schoffley won a windy Scottish Open in twenty twenty two, 160 00:08:20,040 --> 00:08:24,080 Speaker 1: finishing one stroke better than Bo McBrier favorite Kurt Kitty Yama. 161 00:08:24,960 --> 00:08:28,480 Speaker 1: Minwoe Lee was the Minwu Lee was the champ in 162 00:08:28,520 --> 00:08:32,719 Speaker 1: twenty twenty one. He finished minus eighteen and best did 163 00:08:32,920 --> 00:08:36,600 Speaker 1: Thomas Dietrie and Matthew Fitzpatrick in a playoff. Let's see 164 00:08:36,600 --> 00:08:39,079 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty it was Aaron Rye at minus eleven 165 00:08:39,160 --> 00:08:42,160 Speaker 1: he beat Tommy Fleetwood in a playoff, and in twenty 166 00:08:42,240 --> 00:08:46,120 Speaker 1: nineteen Burned Weisberger won the first Scottish Open at the 167 00:08:46,120 --> 00:08:51,079 Speaker 1: Renaissance Club, finishing twenty two under and beating Benjamin Abart 168 00:08:51,600 --> 00:08:55,880 Speaker 1: in a playoff. So the all important weather forecast for 169 00:08:56,000 --> 00:08:59,400 Speaker 1: North Barrick, where the wind off the North Sea canreek havoc, 170 00:09:00,200 --> 00:09:01,679 Speaker 1: it's not going to be that bad. 171 00:09:01,840 --> 00:09:03,120 Speaker 3: Temperatures are expected to. 172 00:09:03,040 --> 00:09:04,000 Speaker 2: Be in the upat now. 173 00:09:04,760 --> 00:09:07,920 Speaker 1: We say that now, and it is unpredictable, granted, but 174 00:09:08,000 --> 00:09:11,240 Speaker 1: as of now, the forecast calls for temps in the 175 00:09:11,320 --> 00:09:15,280 Speaker 1: upper fifties the first three days, with chances for occasional showers. 176 00:09:15,280 --> 00:09:17,720 Speaker 1: You'll get pop up showers in Scotland all the time. 177 00:09:18,400 --> 00:09:21,960 Speaker 1: Sunday things should dry out and be a little warmer, 178 00:09:22,000 --> 00:09:25,040 Speaker 1: with tempts in the low sixties. The wind is expected 179 00:09:25,080 --> 00:09:28,680 Speaker 1: to be ten to fifteen miles an hour on Thursday 180 00:09:28,760 --> 00:09:31,480 Speaker 1: and then only five to ten miles per hour the 181 00:09:31,520 --> 00:09:34,480 Speaker 1: rest of the tournament. The winds are that benign bow. 182 00:09:34,600 --> 00:09:36,640 Speaker 1: I would expect to shoot out with a winning score 183 00:09:37,120 --> 00:09:42,360 Speaker 1: somewhere around minus twenty, but again, weather conditions can be 184 00:09:42,480 --> 00:09:47,199 Speaker 1: very unpredictable in Scotland. Bo your ancestry traces back to Scotland, 185 00:09:47,600 --> 00:09:51,480 Speaker 1: your thoughts on the Renaissance Club and Scottish golf in general. 186 00:09:51,880 --> 00:09:54,520 Speaker 2: Well, without whether it's a very very easy course, these 187 00:09:54,520 --> 00:09:58,280 Speaker 2: guys are going to just light it up. I've always 188 00:09:58,320 --> 00:10:02,400 Speaker 2: gone back to this old app that a Scottish meteorologist 189 00:10:02,559 --> 00:10:04,800 Speaker 2: is just a sheep with a rope tied to its tail, 190 00:10:05,280 --> 00:10:07,840 Speaker 2: and that's basically basically what the weather is going to 191 00:10:07,880 --> 00:10:11,120 Speaker 2: be like is based on what condition that rope is in, 192 00:10:11,840 --> 00:10:14,760 Speaker 2: and that's it's really you can't predict the weather like 193 00:10:14,800 --> 00:10:18,080 Speaker 2: a weather forecast, even I with ACI Weather and Doppler forecasting, 194 00:10:18,840 --> 00:10:22,240 Speaker 2: especially on the North Sea side of Scotland, it's impossible. 195 00:10:22,520 --> 00:10:24,360 Speaker 2: You have no clue. Nobody has any clue what the 196 00:10:24,360 --> 00:10:27,200 Speaker 2: weather's going to be even in three hours, and so 197 00:10:27,520 --> 00:10:31,719 Speaker 2: that's I think that's completely irrelevant. I have to expect 198 00:10:31,880 --> 00:10:34,160 Speaker 2: that there's going to be inclement weather at some point 199 00:10:34,160 --> 00:10:37,560 Speaker 2: this week, especially with wind. I really don't care about 200 00:10:37,559 --> 00:10:39,800 Speaker 2: the rain because it's just going to make the course easier. 201 00:10:40,520 --> 00:10:42,520 Speaker 2: This course is right for the picking, but if that 202 00:10:42,559 --> 00:10:44,400 Speaker 2: wind picks up like it did last year in the 203 00:10:44,440 --> 00:10:48,040 Speaker 2: year before where it was predicted to be good weather incoming, 204 00:10:48,720 --> 00:10:51,319 Speaker 2: I mean Rory hit that famous two iron from two 205 00:10:51,400 --> 00:10:54,920 Speaker 2: oh six into the teeth of that wind forty mile 206 00:10:54,960 --> 00:10:57,880 Speaker 2: an hour gus. I believe the forecast set a max 207 00:10:57,920 --> 00:11:00,160 Speaker 2: gust of fifteen miles an hour at the time, and 208 00:11:00,200 --> 00:11:03,440 Speaker 2: we did the show last year, so yeah, none of 209 00:11:03,440 --> 00:11:07,120 Speaker 2: that forecasting matters. We want to predict who's going to 210 00:11:07,120 --> 00:11:10,120 Speaker 2: be able to play, whether play and whether when it's bad, 211 00:11:10,320 --> 00:11:12,760 Speaker 2: not if it's bad. I want to prepare for the 212 00:11:12,800 --> 00:11:15,880 Speaker 2: worst and put golfers together that are artists. This is 213 00:11:15,920 --> 00:11:18,800 Speaker 2: a course that requires a lot of care, a lot 214 00:11:18,840 --> 00:11:21,880 Speaker 2: of touch, a lot of finesse, and just creativity. Like 215 00:11:21,920 --> 00:11:23,960 Speaker 2: you mentioned it the bump and run game. You can 216 00:11:24,000 --> 00:11:26,240 Speaker 2: still get around this place with flop shots that the 217 00:11:26,240 --> 00:11:28,840 Speaker 2: wind isn't blowing, but you have to be able to 218 00:11:28,880 --> 00:11:31,920 Speaker 2: adapt with the conditions. And that's why we've seen winners 219 00:11:31,920 --> 00:11:35,320 Speaker 2: like Rory and Xander and even guys that have competed 220 00:11:35,360 --> 00:11:37,880 Speaker 2: here year over year like Thomas Dietrie. All these guys 221 00:11:37,920 --> 00:11:41,240 Speaker 2: are creative ball strikers. They're good when the conditions are good. 222 00:11:41,480 --> 00:11:44,679 Speaker 2: They're even better when the conditions are not good. That's 223 00:11:44,720 --> 00:11:47,920 Speaker 2: who I'm looking for. This tournament's going to be gonna 224 00:11:47,960 --> 00:11:50,720 Speaker 2: hinge on if there's one or two days of bad weather. 225 00:11:51,600 --> 00:11:52,800 Speaker 2: Who's going to rise to the top. 226 00:11:53,360 --> 00:11:56,439 Speaker 1: The two iron into the wind that Rory hit last 227 00:11:56,520 --> 00:11:58,800 Speaker 1: year so memorable and so heroic that there is no 228 00:11:58,920 --> 00:12:02,560 Speaker 1: a plaque on the course honoring that. And I don't 229 00:12:02,559 --> 00:12:05,839 Speaker 1: think I mentioned Xander Schoffley's winning score in twenty twenty 230 00:12:05,880 --> 00:12:08,600 Speaker 1: two when the wind was up it was seven under par. 231 00:12:09,200 --> 00:12:12,040 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean this course was a east. 232 00:12:12,120 --> 00:12:16,079 Speaker 2: This course is nasty when it's bad, and it's super 233 00:12:16,120 --> 00:12:16,840 Speaker 2: easy when it's not. 234 00:12:17,679 --> 00:12:19,560 Speaker 1: If you want a chance to win a free one 235 00:12:19,640 --> 00:12:22,840 Speaker 1: year premium Betting Pro subscription, subscribe to the Betting Pros 236 00:12:22,880 --> 00:12:26,120 Speaker 1: YouTube channel right now, comment below on this video and 237 00:12:26,160 --> 00:12:28,280 Speaker 1: that's it. We'll be announcing a winner right here on 238 00:12:28,320 --> 00:12:31,200 Speaker 1: the channel. So turn on your notifications so you can 239 00:12:31,200 --> 00:12:33,480 Speaker 1: be alerted when new episodes are up and to claim 240 00:12:33,520 --> 00:12:37,080 Speaker 1: your prize. And speaking of prizes, Betting Pros is giving 241 00:12:37,120 --> 00:12:42,040 Speaker 1: away a signed Julio Rodriguez jersey for free, courtesy of 242 00:12:42,080 --> 00:12:46,160 Speaker 1: our friends at Pristineauction dot com. Entering the contest is easy. 243 00:12:46,480 --> 00:12:52,200 Speaker 1: Go to www Bettingpros dot com slash contest again Www 244 00:12:52,240 --> 00:12:56,360 Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot com slash contest and complete the entry form. 245 00:12:56,679 --> 00:12:59,640 Speaker 1: Then download the Betting Pros app, leave a review for 246 00:12:59,640 --> 00:13:03,240 Speaker 1: this podcast, or subscribe to our social media channels. More 247 00:13:03,280 --> 00:13:07,000 Speaker 1: actions you complete, the more entries you get. Every follow 248 00:13:07,040 --> 00:13:10,560 Speaker 1: and review helps and boosts your chances of winning just 249 00:13:10,640 --> 00:13:13,920 Speaker 1: by sharing your feedback on our podcast. The entry deadline 250 00:13:13,960 --> 00:13:19,439 Speaker 1: is July thirty first, so go visit www dot bettingpros 251 00:13:19,559 --> 00:13:22,480 Speaker 1: dot com slash contest for your chance to win a 252 00:13:22,600 --> 00:13:28,559 Speaker 1: signed Julio Rodriguez Mariners Jersey okay bo. So let's get 253 00:13:28,559 --> 00:13:31,240 Speaker 1: to the odds for the Scottish Open. All odds courtesy 254 00:13:31,240 --> 00:13:35,240 Speaker 1: of DraftKings. As of Monday afternoon, Rory McElroy opens as 255 00:13:35,240 --> 00:13:40,120 Speaker 1: the betting favorite at plus eighty plus eight hundred Xanderschoffley 256 00:13:40,160 --> 00:13:44,960 Speaker 1: plus eight fifty Colin Morrikawa plus fourteen hundred, Ludwig Oberg 257 00:13:45,240 --> 00:13:49,640 Speaker 1: plus sixteen hundred, Tommy Fleetwood plus two thousand, Victor Hovlin 258 00:13:49,679 --> 00:13:53,040 Speaker 1: plus twenty two hundred Tom Kim plus twenty eight hundred 259 00:13:53,480 --> 00:13:57,880 Speaker 1: Minwu Le plus three thousand, Padeki Matsiama plus thirty five hundred, 260 00:13:58,400 --> 00:14:02,240 Speaker 1: Justin Thomas and Matt Fitzpatrick plus four thousand, and at 261 00:14:02,440 --> 00:14:07,640 Speaker 1: plus forty five hundred, Sung JM, Robert McIntyre, Aaron Raye, 262 00:14:08,240 --> 00:14:11,720 Speaker 1: and we've got Brian Harmon at plus five thousand. Who 263 00:14:11,720 --> 00:14:12,839 Speaker 1: do you like from this group? 264 00:14:13,720 --> 00:14:16,680 Speaker 2: Right off the top our defending champion Rory McClory's coming 265 00:14:16,720 --> 00:14:19,120 Speaker 2: in with excellent form. I think the odds are a 266 00:14:19,120 --> 00:14:21,760 Speaker 2: little short. They've shrunk to plus seven to fifty on 267 00:14:22,360 --> 00:14:25,960 Speaker 2: by my look right now on Monday afternoon. However, that's 268 00:14:25,960 --> 00:14:28,800 Speaker 2: still fine for a favorite. It's a non Scotty favorite. 269 00:14:28,960 --> 00:14:31,480 Speaker 2: No Scotti Scheffler in this field either. We'll see him 270 00:14:31,520 --> 00:14:34,960 Speaker 2: next week for the Open Championship. But Rory coming into 271 00:14:34,960 --> 00:14:38,120 Speaker 2: this field is still going to be top five in 272 00:14:38,240 --> 00:14:41,520 Speaker 2: most stat models. He's just on a really good run 273 00:14:41,800 --> 00:14:45,840 Speaker 2: of form right now. This course does kind of ben 274 00:14:45,920 --> 00:14:49,440 Speaker 2: the need to power players. Distance does have an advantage here, 275 00:14:49,840 --> 00:14:53,040 Speaker 2: and Rory McClory showed that last year where even when 276 00:14:53,040 --> 00:14:56,200 Speaker 2: the wind picked up, it even gained his another advantage 277 00:14:56,240 --> 00:14:58,680 Speaker 2: because he could cut it through the wind and hit 278 00:14:58,720 --> 00:15:01,960 Speaker 2: it into places where nobody else could get This is 279 00:15:01,960 --> 00:15:05,440 Speaker 2: a big advantage for long hitters who also have good 280 00:15:05,480 --> 00:15:09,280 Speaker 2: short games. Rory McElroy obviously a great short game, and 281 00:15:09,400 --> 00:15:12,360 Speaker 2: that's why he's been on such a run this past 282 00:15:12,360 --> 00:15:15,720 Speaker 2: two months. He's especially he's just on fire. So Rory 283 00:15:15,800 --> 00:15:18,080 Speaker 2: mclroy's a great bat. At plus seven fifty or plus 284 00:15:18,080 --> 00:15:20,240 Speaker 2: eight hundred, anywhere in that range is fined with me. 285 00:15:20,800 --> 00:15:23,800 Speaker 2: And I'm going right to Victor Hovelin because when things 286 00:15:23,840 --> 00:15:27,720 Speaker 2: get tough, when things are a little bit inclement, that's 287 00:15:27,800 --> 00:15:31,040 Speaker 2: when he vaults to the top of the rankings. One 288 00:15:31,080 --> 00:15:34,400 Speaker 2: of the best ball strikers on planet Earth, especially in wind, 289 00:15:34,600 --> 00:15:37,280 Speaker 2: especially when you have to move the ball around. And 290 00:15:37,480 --> 00:15:41,320 Speaker 2: as mediocre as his short game has been, it's better 291 00:15:41,400 --> 00:15:45,720 Speaker 2: when the course demands creativity. It's just the straightforward chips. 292 00:15:45,760 --> 00:15:48,800 Speaker 2: It doesn't seem like he gets too much detailed down. 293 00:15:48,880 --> 00:15:51,760 Speaker 2: But I think his best form around the greens is 294 00:15:51,840 --> 00:15:54,720 Speaker 2: when he's forced to be creative, and he gets to 295 00:15:54,760 --> 00:15:55,840 Speaker 2: do that this week. 296 00:15:56,640 --> 00:15:59,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, so I will tease my betting card. I took 297 00:15:59,720 --> 00:16:03,560 Speaker 1: ror early well, it was late Monday afternoon at plus 298 00:16:03,600 --> 00:16:07,040 Speaker 1: eight hundred. Earlier in the afternoon he had been plus 299 00:16:07,080 --> 00:16:09,640 Speaker 1: six hundred, a price I didn't like nearly as much, 300 00:16:10,400 --> 00:16:13,720 Speaker 1: so plus seven fifty plus seven to fifty not a 301 00:16:13,720 --> 00:16:15,720 Speaker 1: bad price. Still, I think I would have locked that 302 00:16:15,840 --> 00:16:17,640 Speaker 1: in as well, but I feel lucky to have gotten 303 00:16:17,680 --> 00:16:21,600 Speaker 1: him at plus eight hundred. Yeah, you just wonder like 304 00:16:22,440 --> 00:16:25,880 Speaker 1: he's been dialed in for months. He knows golf in 305 00:16:25,920 --> 00:16:29,880 Speaker 1: the UK quite well, the Northern irishman does. We haven't 306 00:16:29,960 --> 00:16:33,920 Speaker 1: seen him since the US Open, and you know the 307 00:16:34,080 --> 00:16:37,800 Speaker 1: tournament he let slip away in painful fashion. How scarred 308 00:16:37,840 --> 00:16:41,000 Speaker 1: will he be by that experience? Probably not very. 309 00:16:41,320 --> 00:16:43,360 Speaker 2: I think he's going to be, if anything, hungry and 310 00:16:43,400 --> 00:16:47,720 Speaker 2: pissed off. Yes, if it's me, I'm betting on Rory 311 00:16:47,760 --> 00:16:51,360 Speaker 2: to come back with guns of blazing, going off and 312 00:16:51,600 --> 00:16:55,080 Speaker 2: trying to just destroy that golf course, defend his title. 313 00:16:55,600 --> 00:16:58,520 Speaker 2: He's got everything to gain. We've seen him at his 314 00:16:58,600 --> 00:17:01,440 Speaker 2: lowest point right now, where he was so close to 315 00:17:01,480 --> 00:17:06,600 Speaker 2: winning that major and breaking that long, long drought. He's 316 00:17:06,640 --> 00:17:09,240 Speaker 2: got a chip on his shoulder this year, especially with 317 00:17:09,800 --> 00:17:12,560 Speaker 2: defending the Scottish Open and getting a shot at Royal 318 00:17:12,600 --> 00:17:15,440 Speaker 2: truon the next week. I think Rory's gonna go scorch 319 00:17:15,520 --> 00:17:18,160 Speaker 2: Dearth this week and next to he's gonna be really 320 00:17:18,200 --> 00:17:21,840 Speaker 2: tough to beat at both places, especially with there's a 321 00:17:21,920 --> 00:17:26,600 Speaker 2: distinct European advantage to these next two courses. I mean, 322 00:17:26,600 --> 00:17:31,400 Speaker 2: we are on sacred, hollowed grounds for golf, and this 323 00:17:31,440 --> 00:17:35,440 Speaker 2: field in particular has seventy five DP World Tour players 324 00:17:35,440 --> 00:17:38,480 Speaker 2: and seventy five PGA Tour players. That's the unique mix, 325 00:17:39,080 --> 00:17:42,800 Speaker 2: is the conjunction of this two tours building this Scottish 326 00:17:42,840 --> 00:17:46,000 Speaker 2: Open field for the first time, it's gonna be unique 327 00:17:46,000 --> 00:17:49,120 Speaker 2: to see the best of both tours. I think there's 328 00:17:49,160 --> 00:17:51,560 Speaker 2: a lot of talent in the European field, even if 329 00:17:51,560 --> 00:17:54,520 Speaker 2: they're PGA Tour players. The Europeans have a distinct advantage 330 00:17:54,560 --> 00:17:57,520 Speaker 2: on these types of golf courses because they're not anything 331 00:17:57,600 --> 00:17:59,560 Speaker 2: like what we see over here. We don't have link 332 00:17:59,640 --> 00:18:02,359 Speaker 2: style golf courses in the United States. They might be 333 00:18:02,480 --> 00:18:10,359 Speaker 2: link style asterisk parentheses, seek immunity notes. Even even Royal 334 00:18:10,400 --> 00:18:13,399 Speaker 2: Barrick or North Barrick is a link style course, but 335 00:18:13,440 --> 00:18:17,200 Speaker 2: it's on the ocean, in on the North Sea. It's 336 00:18:17,400 --> 00:18:20,080 Speaker 2: it's definitely as close to links as you're gonna get 337 00:18:20,200 --> 00:18:23,040 Speaker 2: anywhere in the United States, and I just there there's 338 00:18:23,080 --> 00:18:25,399 Speaker 2: nothing like it. So a lot of what I'm going 339 00:18:25,440 --> 00:18:27,240 Speaker 2: to be going over in my slip is going to 340 00:18:27,280 --> 00:18:31,000 Speaker 2: be European style players or just guys from Europe who 341 00:18:31,040 --> 00:18:32,280 Speaker 2: are used to this kind of golf. 342 00:18:32,800 --> 00:18:35,560 Speaker 1: To your point, I mean the courses in the US 343 00:18:35,600 --> 00:18:39,240 Speaker 1: that we call link style course. It's Whistling Straits in Wisconsin, 344 00:18:39,280 --> 00:18:40,560 Speaker 1: which I've had the privilege of playing. 345 00:18:40,600 --> 00:18:41,359 Speaker 3: It's a great course. 346 00:18:41,960 --> 00:18:44,720 Speaker 1: It's nothing like Scotland. It just doesn't play like a 347 00:18:44,800 --> 00:18:45,800 Speaker 1: Lynx course. 348 00:18:45,880 --> 00:18:48,400 Speaker 2: That's that's on a great lakes. I mean, it's it's 349 00:18:48,560 --> 00:18:51,520 Speaker 2: cool they built the course on the lake in a 350 00:18:51,560 --> 00:18:53,920 Speaker 2: similar fashion. But I think the closest you can get 351 00:18:53,920 --> 00:18:56,000 Speaker 2: in the United States would be like Pebble Beach because 352 00:18:56,200 --> 00:18:58,320 Speaker 2: it's on the northern part of the ocean, cold water. 353 00:18:58,680 --> 00:19:01,200 Speaker 2: You get some really nasty way other every once in 354 00:19:01,240 --> 00:19:05,320 Speaker 2: a while, but it's not anywhere close to at that latitude. 355 00:19:05,359 --> 00:19:08,159 Speaker 2: Right now, in Scotland you can play golf at ten pm. 356 00:19:08,800 --> 00:19:12,960 Speaker 2: It's it's north enough to where in the summertime it's 357 00:19:12,960 --> 00:19:14,560 Speaker 2: not gonna get dark. These guys are not going to 358 00:19:14,560 --> 00:19:17,879 Speaker 2: get suspended due to darkness in the next two weeks, 359 00:19:17,920 --> 00:19:21,399 Speaker 2: just because golf is everything in Scotland in the summertime 360 00:19:22,720 --> 00:19:25,440 Speaker 2: in the squalls. The squalls are always on the horizon. 361 00:19:26,200 --> 00:19:29,120 Speaker 1: Yes, sir, let's go over some of the other favorites. 362 00:19:29,160 --> 00:19:32,280 Speaker 1: So Xander Schaffley the other player with odds shorter than 363 00:19:32,400 --> 00:19:35,680 Speaker 1: ten to one. Xander's finished inside the top fifteen in 364 00:19:35,720 --> 00:19:38,600 Speaker 1: each of his last five events, and he won here 365 00:19:38,680 --> 00:19:42,720 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty two under those harsh conditions, so understandable why. 366 00:19:42,560 --> 00:19:43,679 Speaker 3: His odds are so short. 367 00:19:44,200 --> 00:19:48,240 Speaker 1: Colin Marikawa He's also finished top fifteen and five straight events, 368 00:19:48,280 --> 00:19:52,000 Speaker 1: but in two previous appearances at the Scottish Open, he's 369 00:19:52,000 --> 00:19:55,480 Speaker 1: finished seventy first and missed the cots. It's hard to 370 00:19:55,520 --> 00:19:59,480 Speaker 1: tell whether links golf suits Morikawa or not. B poor 371 00:19:59,480 --> 00:20:02,439 Speaker 1: Scottish Open track record, He's missed the cut in his 372 00:20:02,520 --> 00:20:05,560 Speaker 1: last two British Opens. He also won the British Open 373 00:20:05,720 --> 00:20:10,200 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty one at Royal Saint George's, So he's 374 00:20:10,359 --> 00:20:13,960 Speaker 1: an interesting case. Do either Xander or Morikawa appeal to 375 00:20:14,000 --> 00:20:14,400 Speaker 1: you at all? 376 00:20:15,160 --> 00:20:18,280 Speaker 2: Xander if it gets nasty, Morikawa if it stays calm. 377 00:20:18,920 --> 00:20:20,760 Speaker 2: He won the Open and Rose Saint George is in 378 00:20:20,880 --> 00:20:23,920 Speaker 2: pretty nice conditions. He's a high ball hitter. He hits 379 00:20:23,920 --> 00:20:27,040 Speaker 2: the ball very high trajectory wise, are's the reason why 380 00:20:27,080 --> 00:20:31,080 Speaker 2: Scotti Scheffler hasn't even come close to winning the Open Championship. 381 00:20:31,320 --> 00:20:33,399 Speaker 2: It's because he's a high ball hitter. He doesn't flight 382 00:20:33,440 --> 00:20:35,640 Speaker 2: the ball down very well. When the wind is up. 383 00:20:35,880 --> 00:20:38,280 Speaker 2: It's gonna be a very important part of that kind 384 00:20:38,280 --> 00:20:40,760 Speaker 2: of gulf, and I'm looking for guys that are better 385 00:20:40,760 --> 00:20:43,399 Speaker 2: at flying the ball down, better at getting creative on approach, 386 00:20:43,880 --> 00:20:47,439 Speaker 2: better at getting up and down from weird, really weird 387 00:20:47,480 --> 00:20:50,040 Speaker 2: places where it's not there's nothing in front of you, 388 00:20:50,440 --> 00:20:52,760 Speaker 2: but maybe you're in a gorse bush or nearby or 389 00:20:52,800 --> 00:20:54,400 Speaker 2: in a pot bunker, and you have to be able 390 00:20:54,400 --> 00:20:56,399 Speaker 2: to get the ball up and down on a green 391 00:20:56,480 --> 00:20:59,600 Speaker 2: that's gigantic. You might be ninety feet away from the 392 00:20:59,640 --> 00:21:01,720 Speaker 2: pin in a pop bunker, and you got to find 393 00:21:01,760 --> 00:21:03,119 Speaker 2: a way to get up and down. And some of 394 00:21:03,160 --> 00:21:05,399 Speaker 2: these guys just aren't equipped for that. Their game is 395 00:21:05,440 --> 00:21:09,600 Speaker 2: built for over here, and it's it's just so different. 396 00:21:10,400 --> 00:21:14,240 Speaker 2: So I think I'll go more towards guys who we've 397 00:21:14,280 --> 00:21:17,040 Speaker 2: seen do that, like Hideki Matsuyam at thirty five to one. 398 00:21:17,960 --> 00:21:20,560 Speaker 2: He's played out of his mind well this year, especially 399 00:21:20,560 --> 00:21:23,600 Speaker 2: in tough conditions, and this course is a lot tougher 400 00:21:23,640 --> 00:21:25,200 Speaker 2: than the last three weeks so we've seen on the 401 00:21:25,240 --> 00:21:28,119 Speaker 2: PGA Tour. Even if the conditions are benign, you're not 402 00:21:28,160 --> 00:21:31,520 Speaker 2: gonna see a birdie fest, even if the weather's temperate. 403 00:21:31,960 --> 00:21:37,040 Speaker 2: I do also like Matt Fitzpatrick. It's thirty five one, yeah, 404 00:21:37,080 --> 00:21:39,119 Speaker 2: but if things get a little tougher, like if the 405 00:21:39,119 --> 00:21:42,560 Speaker 2: weather changes, then I'm gonna expect guys like him to 406 00:21:42,800 --> 00:21:45,239 Speaker 2: rise to the occasion grind it out. He comes in 407 00:21:45,280 --> 00:21:48,040 Speaker 2: third in my model when I filter for wind. That 408 00:21:48,359 --> 00:21:51,080 Speaker 2: that really raised my eyebrows on him. Thirty five to 409 00:21:51,080 --> 00:21:53,920 Speaker 2: one on a guy that good at those odds, I'll 410 00:21:53,960 --> 00:21:54,280 Speaker 2: take it. 411 00:21:54,600 --> 00:21:58,320 Speaker 1: I've got a weird vibe about the big oberg Oh, 412 00:21:58,359 --> 00:22:00,480 Speaker 1: like this could be a good week for you missed 413 00:22:00,480 --> 00:22:03,840 Speaker 1: the Cot last year in his debut at the Renaissance Club. 414 00:22:04,480 --> 00:22:09,000 Speaker 1: You know, does he have the experience to give him 415 00:22:09,000 --> 00:22:11,240 Speaker 1: the sort of creativity he might need this week? 416 00:22:11,320 --> 00:22:12,960 Speaker 3: Is that your concern, I am. 417 00:22:13,080 --> 00:22:15,880 Speaker 2: My concern is his style is he's a high ball hitter, 418 00:22:16,560 --> 00:22:19,000 Speaker 2: likes he hits the ball really high, and that's it. 419 00:22:19,000 --> 00:22:21,840 Speaker 2: It plays a big part when greens are fast and 420 00:22:22,119 --> 00:22:24,320 Speaker 2: you need to be able to tuck it into certain spots. 421 00:22:24,760 --> 00:22:26,600 Speaker 2: Like here, you just have to hit it close. You 422 00:22:26,680 --> 00:22:28,200 Speaker 2: have to be able to hit it close whether the 423 00:22:28,240 --> 00:22:31,000 Speaker 2: wind is up or not. And I don't know that 424 00:22:31,080 --> 00:22:33,560 Speaker 2: he can do that. I don't. I don't like his 425 00:22:33,640 --> 00:22:36,399 Speaker 2: style with this type of golf understood. 426 00:22:37,000 --> 00:22:40,800 Speaker 1: Yet it was the weather forecast that's sort of emboldened 427 00:22:40,880 --> 00:22:45,240 Speaker 1: me to take him. But as you said, the weather forecast, 428 00:22:45,440 --> 00:22:47,840 Speaker 1: how much stake should we be putting in that? Maybe 429 00:22:47,920 --> 00:22:51,560 Speaker 1: I'm putting a little too much into it by taking Olberg. 430 00:22:52,640 --> 00:22:55,639 Speaker 1: Tommy Fleetwood has finished top twenty six in six straight 431 00:22:55,680 --> 00:22:57,600 Speaker 1: events over the last two months, but he has no 432 00:22:57,720 --> 00:23:00,359 Speaker 1: top tens in that time. But he does have a 433 00:23:00,359 --> 00:23:03,480 Speaker 1: strong record at the Renaissance Club. His finishes in his 434 00:23:03,560 --> 00:23:09,640 Speaker 1: last four appearance here second, twenty sixth, fourth, sixth, Minwu 435 00:23:09,720 --> 00:23:12,320 Speaker 1: Lee tied for second at the Rocket Mortgage Classic two 436 00:23:12,359 --> 00:23:15,400 Speaker 1: weeks ago. One here in twenty twenty one, when conditions 437 00:23:15,400 --> 00:23:16,280 Speaker 1: were pretty benign. 438 00:23:17,080 --> 00:23:17,480 Speaker 3: Let's see. 439 00:23:17,480 --> 00:23:20,440 Speaker 1: Tom Kim has finished third and sixth in his two 440 00:23:20,520 --> 00:23:24,840 Speaker 1: prior Scottish Open appearances. Lost a playoff to Scottie Scheffler 441 00:23:24,880 --> 00:23:27,760 Speaker 1: at the Travelers three weeks ago, although he then missed 442 00:23:27,800 --> 00:23:31,640 Speaker 1: the cut at the Rocket Mortgage Classic. Aaron Raye something 443 00:23:31,720 --> 00:23:34,840 Speaker 1: you liked enough to take in our one and done 444 00:23:34,840 --> 00:23:37,920 Speaker 1: bow last week one here in twenty twenty, and has 445 00:23:37,960 --> 00:23:40,520 Speaker 1: been in fine form lately. Second at the Rock and Mortgage, 446 00:23:40,520 --> 00:23:43,240 Speaker 1: seventh at the John Deere. Let's see he sung j 447 00:23:43,520 --> 00:23:46,160 Speaker 1: M four top tens in his last seven events, plus 448 00:23:46,160 --> 00:23:48,959 Speaker 1: a twelfth last week at the John Deere. However, he 449 00:23:49,040 --> 00:23:51,760 Speaker 1: has missed the cut at the Scottish Open in each 450 00:23:51,800 --> 00:23:53,640 Speaker 1: of the last two years. And one more guy I'll 451 00:23:53,680 --> 00:23:57,720 Speaker 1: mention Robert McIntyre finished second here last year in his 452 00:23:57,880 --> 00:24:00,920 Speaker 1: two other top twenties at the Renaissance Club, and he's 453 00:24:00,960 --> 00:24:05,160 Speaker 1: a scott obviously, but he's had a wild season. Man 454 00:24:05,359 --> 00:24:08,639 Speaker 1: won the Canadian Open, finished top ten at the PGA 455 00:24:09,200 --> 00:24:11,840 Speaker 1: bod McIntyre has also missed the cut in six of 456 00:24:11,880 --> 00:24:15,440 Speaker 1: his last twelve tour events. So do any of those 457 00:24:15,480 --> 00:24:16,919 Speaker 1: guys appeal to you or not? 458 00:24:17,080 --> 00:24:17,359 Speaker 3: Really? 459 00:24:17,920 --> 00:24:21,679 Speaker 2: Not really? Maybe minwe Lee at fifty five or thirty 460 00:24:21,720 --> 00:24:24,480 Speaker 2: to one right now, I think that's too short for him. 461 00:24:24,720 --> 00:24:28,199 Speaker 2: He's had such a terrible season on approach that his 462 00:24:28,680 --> 00:24:31,159 Speaker 2: win and top five finished the last couple of years 463 00:24:31,200 --> 00:24:33,520 Speaker 2: at this golf course. I don't really put stock in 464 00:24:33,560 --> 00:24:36,320 Speaker 2: it because he was playing better golf at those times. 465 00:24:36,560 --> 00:24:38,919 Speaker 2: This is very much what have you done for me 466 00:24:39,000 --> 00:24:41,639 Speaker 2: lately type of golf course where if you come in 467 00:24:41,680 --> 00:24:44,520 Speaker 2: and you have the right mindset and you're also playing 468 00:24:44,560 --> 00:24:47,720 Speaker 2: good golf, you can take this thing down. Minw Lee 469 00:24:47,760 --> 00:24:50,000 Speaker 2: played well last week, but he kind of fizzled out 470 00:24:50,040 --> 00:24:52,760 Speaker 2: at the end. His approach game has been so bad 471 00:24:52,760 --> 00:24:55,520 Speaker 2: that I really don't feel great about it. He's going 472 00:24:55,600 --> 00:24:57,919 Speaker 2: to have to score a lot better on par four's, 473 00:24:58,040 --> 00:24:59,920 Speaker 2: and he's gonna have to avoid Bowie's a lot better 474 00:25:00,040 --> 00:25:02,840 Speaker 2: than he has been. He's way down in my model, 475 00:25:02,880 --> 00:25:06,680 Speaker 2: so is Tom Kim. Tommy Fleetwood always rates out well. 476 00:25:07,000 --> 00:25:10,520 Speaker 2: He should do well, but if you're if you keeping 477 00:25:10,560 --> 00:25:14,600 Speaker 2: score at home. He has never won a PGA Tour event. 478 00:25:14,920 --> 00:25:17,680 Speaker 2: He has never won anything. He hasn't won anything in 479 00:25:17,680 --> 00:25:20,480 Speaker 2: the last three years, other than being part of the 480 00:25:20,560 --> 00:25:24,480 Speaker 2: Ryder Cup for Europe, which was a landslide. But yeah, 481 00:25:24,800 --> 00:25:27,640 Speaker 2: unfortunately for Tommy Fleetwood, unless you're betting him to make 482 00:25:27,680 --> 00:25:29,680 Speaker 2: the top ten, you're not going to make any money 483 00:25:29,720 --> 00:25:31,200 Speaker 2: because Tommy Fleetwood doesn't win. 484 00:25:31,840 --> 00:25:32,560 Speaker 3: That's true. 485 00:25:33,320 --> 00:25:36,440 Speaker 1: Let's look at mid range plays at plus fifty five 486 00:25:36,520 --> 00:25:40,359 Speaker 1: hundred are Wyndham Clark Davis, Thompson, Corey Connors and ben On. 487 00:25:41,359 --> 00:25:45,440 Speaker 1: And let's see at plus six thousand, we've got Sepstraka, 488 00:25:45,520 --> 00:25:50,800 Speaker 1: Christian Bazudin, Howes, sahiit Degala and Max Homa. Jordan Speith 489 00:25:50,840 --> 00:25:54,479 Speaker 1: is plus sixty five hundred. Thomas Detree and Adam Scott 490 00:25:54,480 --> 00:25:57,840 Speaker 1: are plus seven thousand, Ryan Fox and Eric van Royan 491 00:25:57,880 --> 00:26:01,159 Speaker 1: are plus seventy five hundred, and at plus eight thousand 492 00:26:01,200 --> 00:26:05,600 Speaker 1: are Tom mckibbon, Tom Hogue, Seewu Kim and Alex Norin. 493 00:26:06,000 --> 00:26:07,640 Speaker 1: How about the mid range options ball. 494 00:26:08,320 --> 00:26:11,920 Speaker 2: This is more my speed. Ben On has the distance advantage. 495 00:26:12,080 --> 00:26:14,639 Speaker 2: His putting has been a lot better this season. I 496 00:26:14,680 --> 00:26:17,000 Speaker 2: think ben On's got a really nice number at fifty 497 00:26:17,040 --> 00:26:19,040 Speaker 2: five to one. His power is going to be an 498 00:26:19,040 --> 00:26:23,560 Speaker 2: advantage here. Same goes for Ryan Fox. Ryan Fox is 499 00:26:23,640 --> 00:26:26,720 Speaker 2: a bomber and a half. He annihilates par four's that's 500 00:26:26,760 --> 00:26:28,840 Speaker 2: going to come into play a lot on this golf 501 00:26:28,880 --> 00:26:32,200 Speaker 2: course where the par fours are tricky. You have a 502 00:26:32,320 --> 00:26:35,240 Speaker 2: vast array of them. And so I did take a 503 00:26:35,280 --> 00:26:37,960 Speaker 2: really broad stroke on strokes gain par four and he 504 00:26:38,080 --> 00:26:41,040 Speaker 2: rated thirteenth in this entire field. So Ryan Fox is 505 00:26:41,440 --> 00:26:45,080 Speaker 2: very high on my list. Deetree has a great track record. 506 00:26:45,119 --> 00:26:47,240 Speaker 2: He's a horse for this course if I've ever seen one. 507 00:26:47,880 --> 00:26:52,520 Speaker 2: The Belgian obviously European. He's played well in tough conditions. 508 00:26:52,520 --> 00:26:56,240 Speaker 2: He's played well in European golf course conditions. I think 509 00:26:56,280 --> 00:26:59,280 Speaker 2: that's he's in really good form right now to pay 510 00:26:59,320 --> 00:27:01,959 Speaker 2: off at seven to one. So those two guys are 511 00:27:02,040 --> 00:27:03,760 Speaker 2: kind of my favorites in that range. 512 00:27:04,119 --> 00:27:08,280 Speaker 1: So On was third here last year, and the last 513 00:27:08,320 --> 00:27:10,320 Speaker 1: time we saw mister On he was missing the cut 514 00:27:10,320 --> 00:27:12,639 Speaker 1: at the US Open and then withdrawing from the Travelers. 515 00:27:13,000 --> 00:27:15,239 Speaker 1: But he did record back to back top fives at 516 00:27:15,280 --> 00:27:17,800 Speaker 1: the Byron Nelson and the Wells Fargo two months ago. 517 00:27:18,480 --> 00:27:21,720 Speaker 1: Dtree second here in twenty twenty one, tenth in twenty 518 00:27:21,760 --> 00:27:24,879 Speaker 1: twenty two, five for five, making the cut at the 519 00:27:24,920 --> 00:27:25,879 Speaker 1: Renaissance Club. 520 00:27:26,000 --> 00:27:28,320 Speaker 3: And you know, the Belgian hasn't really. 521 00:27:28,119 --> 00:27:30,720 Speaker 1: Made much noise lately, but he does have three top 522 00:27:30,840 --> 00:27:32,440 Speaker 1: fives this season. 523 00:27:32,920 --> 00:27:34,040 Speaker 3: Let's see Max Homa. 524 00:27:34,440 --> 00:27:35,960 Speaker 1: It's had kind of an up and down year, but 525 00:27:35,960 --> 00:27:39,760 Speaker 1: he's shown some aptitude at the Renaissance Club, finishing sixteenth 526 00:27:39,800 --> 00:27:45,119 Speaker 1: and twelfth in two previous appearances. And Tom mckibbon is 527 00:27:45,160 --> 00:27:47,760 Speaker 1: someone American fans might not be familiar with. He is 528 00:27:47,800 --> 00:27:50,400 Speaker 1: a twenty one year old rising star from Northern Ireland 529 00:27:50,440 --> 00:27:53,320 Speaker 1: who has finished top ten and four of his last 530 00:27:53,359 --> 00:27:56,280 Speaker 1: six DP World Tour events. He was second at the 531 00:27:56,320 --> 00:28:00,000 Speaker 1: Italian Open a couple of weeks ago. What about long 532 00:28:00,560 --> 00:28:04,080 Speaker 1: anyone with odds of ninety to one or longer who interested? 533 00:28:04,800 --> 00:28:07,760 Speaker 2: Number two in my entire model is Danny McCarthy. It 534 00:28:07,760 --> 00:28:10,960 Speaker 2: comes in handy that he's a great approach player, he's 535 00:28:11,000 --> 00:28:14,280 Speaker 2: a great putter, He avoids bogies like crazy. He plays 536 00:28:14,400 --> 00:28:17,880 Speaker 2: very well in wind. That's that's right at the very 537 00:28:17,920 --> 00:28:21,200 Speaker 2: top of my of my whole board, and going back 538 00:28:21,240 --> 00:28:24,280 Speaker 2: to Dorcal Kurt Kittyama, he's played well here over the years. 539 00:28:24,320 --> 00:28:27,200 Speaker 2: You know why, because it's dry and windy here all 540 00:28:27,240 --> 00:28:31,679 Speaker 2: the damn time. So yeah, I think that he just 541 00:28:31,680 --> 00:28:34,159 Speaker 2: feels at home, especially when the wind picks up. He's 542 00:28:34,200 --> 00:28:37,000 Speaker 2: he's well equipped to his stingers all day. I'm pretty 543 00:28:37,000 --> 00:28:38,840 Speaker 2: sure we kind of as soon as we learn to 544 00:28:38,880 --> 00:28:41,240 Speaker 2: swing a club, we're hitting stingers off the tee just 545 00:28:41,280 --> 00:28:44,680 Speaker 2: to get it under the wind. So I think that if, 546 00:28:44,920 --> 00:28:48,320 Speaker 2: especially if the conditions worsen, you're going to see players 547 00:28:48,360 --> 00:28:51,520 Speaker 2: like Kurt Kittyama rise because they are so adept at 548 00:28:51,560 --> 00:28:55,520 Speaker 2: grinding out pars and making making birdies on holes where 549 00:28:55,560 --> 00:28:58,280 Speaker 2: nobody else is. He's he's that kind of player where 550 00:28:58,280 --> 00:29:01,200 Speaker 2: he buckles down and get and makes makes u and 551 00:29:01,280 --> 00:29:04,520 Speaker 2: holes out when it's tough. I really like that, especially 552 00:29:04,520 --> 00:29:07,120 Speaker 2: at his odds. I think he's at one hundred and 553 00:29:07,160 --> 00:29:09,520 Speaker 2: ten to one right now. That's a that's a really 554 00:29:09,640 --> 00:29:13,560 Speaker 2: nice number for a guy of his caliber. That's that's 555 00:29:13,800 --> 00:29:17,280 Speaker 2: pretty much in that range where I go. Justin Rose 556 00:29:17,600 --> 00:29:20,920 Speaker 2: is another guy that when the conditions get tougher, another 557 00:29:21,080 --> 00:29:24,080 Speaker 2: English golfer who's played these kinds of golf courses his 558 00:29:24,240 --> 00:29:27,600 Speaker 2: entire life. He's ninth in my model, and I'm gonna 559 00:29:27,640 --> 00:29:32,520 Speaker 2: go all the way down, all the way down, and 560 00:29:33,000 --> 00:29:35,880 Speaker 2: we're gonna you're gonna laugh this. This is a good one. 561 00:29:36,840 --> 00:29:43,840 Speaker 2: We're gonna go to Antoine Rosner. Antoine Rosner is four 562 00:29:43,920 --> 00:29:47,800 Speaker 2: hundred to one, and he's very high on my list. 563 00:29:47,880 --> 00:29:51,520 Speaker 2: The Frenchman. I believe he's a he's that kind of guy. 564 00:29:51,800 --> 00:29:54,000 Speaker 2: It's just this this kind of golf course brings out 565 00:29:54,040 --> 00:29:57,160 Speaker 2: some wild ones. I have a couple of other deep 566 00:29:57,200 --> 00:29:59,480 Speaker 2: shots and I'm kind of hesitant to throughout there because 567 00:30:00,440 --> 00:30:02,840 Speaker 2: my model is a little bit shaky at the moment. 568 00:30:02,920 --> 00:30:06,120 Speaker 2: But one of them is Vincent Norman. I believe he's 569 00:30:06,120 --> 00:30:09,520 Speaker 2: a Swede two ours. He's a bomb and gouge type 570 00:30:09,520 --> 00:30:11,840 Speaker 2: of guy. So if the conditions are good, I can 571 00:30:11,880 --> 00:30:14,479 Speaker 2: see guys like Vincent Norman rise to the top. If 572 00:30:14,560 --> 00:30:17,200 Speaker 2: they're not good, you're gonna see guys like a Rosner, 573 00:30:17,240 --> 00:30:23,200 Speaker 2: the crafty, bump and run guys. They're just ball strikers, 574 00:30:23,240 --> 00:30:25,320 Speaker 2: they're creative, they're the artists. 575 00:30:25,720 --> 00:30:29,760 Speaker 3: I was considering a different Frenchman, Bo, Matthew Pavan. It 576 00:30:29,880 --> 00:30:33,640 Speaker 3: seems like ninety to one, just seems like a value there. 577 00:30:34,240 --> 00:30:37,960 Speaker 3: Finished twelfth here in twenty twenty one and was in 578 00:30:37,960 --> 00:30:41,440 Speaker 3: the Hunted the US Open obviously last month, finishing fifth. 579 00:30:42,120 --> 00:30:46,840 Speaker 3: And I'll mention one more European Ewan Ferguson is a 580 00:30:46,960 --> 00:30:50,200 Speaker 3: twenty eight year old scott who obviously has some experience 581 00:30:50,240 --> 00:30:52,960 Speaker 3: with Scottish golf. He was twelfth here a year ago 582 00:30:53,080 --> 00:30:56,959 Speaker 3: and coming off a win at the BMW Invitational Open 583 00:30:57,480 --> 00:30:59,560 Speaker 3: last week. All right, Bo, what do you have on 584 00:30:59,560 --> 00:31:01,720 Speaker 3: your betting card as of this moment? 585 00:31:02,520 --> 00:31:05,000 Speaker 2: All right, so I do have some Rory McIlroy at 586 00:31:05,080 --> 00:31:08,640 Speaker 2: plus seven fifty, Victor Hovelin at twenty two to one, 587 00:31:08,800 --> 00:31:12,720 Speaker 2: Hideki Matsuyama at thirty five, and we're going all the 588 00:31:12,760 --> 00:31:19,280 Speaker 2: way down to I did throw in some Jordan Speith. 589 00:31:19,640 --> 00:31:22,040 Speaker 2: I'm kind of shaky on it because he's played so badly, 590 00:31:22,120 --> 00:31:24,840 Speaker 2: but I think that Jordan Speed, for some reason in 591 00:31:24,880 --> 00:31:28,239 Speaker 2: my head, is gonna pull it around. Danny McCarthy at 592 00:31:28,280 --> 00:31:32,720 Speaker 2: ninety to one, Kirk Kittayama on ten to one, Justin 593 00:31:32,840 --> 00:31:34,840 Speaker 2: Rose at one hundred and fifty to one, and then 594 00:31:34,880 --> 00:31:37,520 Speaker 2: we're gonna we're just gonna throw it out over while 595 00:31:37,960 --> 00:31:40,080 Speaker 2: five dollars with Antoine Rosner. 596 00:31:41,480 --> 00:31:45,120 Speaker 1: Well, we're both going hard this week. I've got Rory 597 00:31:45,280 --> 00:31:49,120 Speaker 1: at plus eight hundred. I did go with Olberg at 598 00:31:49,240 --> 00:31:51,760 Speaker 1: plus sixteen hundred, and I went with Tom Kim here 599 00:31:51,840 --> 00:31:53,000 Speaker 1: kind of making me regret it. 600 00:31:53,040 --> 00:31:54,040 Speaker 3: I feel like I. 601 00:31:54,000 --> 00:31:55,880 Speaker 1: Should have put that money I've been on instead. But 602 00:31:55,920 --> 00:32:00,120 Speaker 1: I've got Tom Kim at plus twenty eight hundred. I 603 00:32:00,120 --> 00:32:05,720 Speaker 1: do have Thomas Deetree at plus seven thousand and top 604 00:32:05,840 --> 00:32:09,480 Speaker 1: five at plus fourteen hundred. I bet Tom mckibbon a 605 00:32:09,480 --> 00:32:13,520 Speaker 1: little something at eighty to one and a top five 606 00:32:13,560 --> 00:32:18,360 Speaker 1: at fourteen to one. I've got Pavon to win outright 607 00:32:18,600 --> 00:32:21,400 Speaker 1: ninety to one, and I've got you and Ferguson at 608 00:32:21,400 --> 00:32:23,360 Speaker 1: one hundred and ten to one with a top five 609 00:32:23,480 --> 00:32:26,720 Speaker 1: kicker at twenty to one. Now, before we get to 610 00:32:26,760 --> 00:32:28,720 Speaker 1: our one and done picks, if you're playing in a 611 00:32:28,720 --> 00:32:30,680 Speaker 1: one and done golf pool, or if you're playing in 612 00:32:30,720 --> 00:32:33,160 Speaker 1: any sort of tears based majors pool, this year, our 613 00:32:33,160 --> 00:32:35,800 Speaker 1: friends at pool Genius a new product that gives you 614 00:32:35,840 --> 00:32:39,400 Speaker 1: an edge using objective data like betting odds, course performance, 615 00:32:39,400 --> 00:32:40,680 Speaker 1: and national pick trends. 616 00:32:40,920 --> 00:32:42,360 Speaker 3: The tool highlights the top. 617 00:32:42,240 --> 00:32:44,440 Speaker 1: Value picks that give you an edge, and it can 618 00:32:44,480 --> 00:32:47,960 Speaker 1: all be customized specifically for your pool. If you're doing 619 00:32:48,000 --> 00:32:50,160 Speaker 1: a one and done pool or major's pool, let pool 620 00:32:50,200 --> 00:32:52,760 Speaker 1: Genius be your secret weapon. And by the way, pool 621 00:32:52,800 --> 00:32:55,680 Speaker 1: Genius is not just for golf pools. You can use 622 00:32:55,680 --> 00:32:59,440 Speaker 1: it for March Madness pools, NFL Survivor pools, and more. 623 00:32:59,600 --> 00:33:02,120 Speaker 1: For ten percent off on the Majors tool, and for 624 00:33:02,200 --> 00:33:05,600 Speaker 1: fifty five percent off on yearly packages that include all golf, 625 00:33:05,840 --> 00:33:09,800 Speaker 1: football and March Madness tools, visit poolgenius dot com slash 626 00:33:09,920 --> 00:33:14,720 Speaker 1: Fantasy Pros. Again, that's poolgenius dot Com slash Fantasy pros 627 00:33:14,880 --> 00:33:17,239 Speaker 1: Now for the one and done picks. Last week, Bo 628 00:33:17,360 --> 00:33:19,960 Speaker 1: took Aaron Raye, who finished tied for seventh, good for 629 00:33:20,560 --> 00:33:24,239 Speaker 1: two hundred and fifty two thousand, four hundred dollars. I 630 00:33:24,360 --> 00:33:28,000 Speaker 1: took Sepstraca, who tied for sixty first, good for seventeen 631 00:33:28,080 --> 00:33:30,200 Speaker 1: thy two hundred. I'm not sure I could buy a 632 00:33:30,240 --> 00:33:33,360 Speaker 1: decent used car for that. The money Scepstraca earned me 633 00:33:33,480 --> 00:33:33,920 Speaker 1: last week. 634 00:33:34,000 --> 00:33:35,960 Speaker 3: Now much so Bo. 635 00:33:35,960 --> 00:33:38,959 Speaker 1: Extends his lead. He's at about eleven point seven million 636 00:33:39,000 --> 00:33:41,600 Speaker 1: for the season. I'm about four million back at seven 637 00:33:41,640 --> 00:33:44,840 Speaker 1: point seven million. You are up first this week, Bo, 638 00:33:44,960 --> 00:33:45,560 Speaker 1: Who you got? 639 00:33:46,000 --> 00:33:48,240 Speaker 2: I feel like I'm in cruise control at this point, 640 00:33:48,320 --> 00:33:51,600 Speaker 2: because I mean, the Tour Championship could throw me off 641 00:33:51,640 --> 00:33:54,920 Speaker 2: at the end of the season. But I do feel 642 00:33:54,960 --> 00:33:57,040 Speaker 2: confident that I got this thing. As long as I 643 00:33:57,040 --> 00:33:59,520 Speaker 2: can keep my head on my shoulders, I'm going to 644 00:33:59,600 --> 00:34:02,840 Speaker 2: play it relatively safe with Matt Fitzpatrick this week. 645 00:34:03,800 --> 00:34:06,840 Speaker 1: Matt Fitzpatrick, Oh, and what am I gonna do here? 646 00:34:08,000 --> 00:34:09,439 Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with Oberg. 647 00:34:10,880 --> 00:34:13,960 Speaker 1: Him I have, and I'm not sure if this is 648 00:34:14,000 --> 00:34:16,080 Speaker 1: the right spot to pull him out. I guess I'm 649 00:34:16,080 --> 00:34:19,799 Speaker 1: counting on that He's mild weather forecast. 650 00:34:20,080 --> 00:34:22,359 Speaker 2: Yeah, he's talented enough for sure. I just don't know 651 00:34:22,520 --> 00:34:23,160 Speaker 2: about the fit. 652 00:34:24,280 --> 00:34:25,120 Speaker 3: And that's gonna do it. 653 00:34:25,160 --> 00:34:28,560 Speaker 1: For this week's show, thanks again to our sponsor, Underdog Fantasy. 654 00:34:28,760 --> 00:34:32,160 Speaker 1: Sign up for Underdog with the promo code BP Golf 655 00:34:32,440 --> 00:34:34,399 Speaker 1: to claim your special pick and to get a first 656 00:34:34,440 --> 00:34:36,680 Speaker 1: time to posit offer of up to two hundred and 657 00:34:36,719 --> 00:34:40,239 Speaker 1: fifty dollars in bonus cash, and please come join Bo 658 00:34:40,440 --> 00:34:43,400 Speaker 1: and I again next week when we'll be previewing the 659 00:34:43,400 --> 00:34:47,160 Speaker 1: final major of the season, the British Open at Royal Troon. 660 00:34:47,600 --> 00:34:49,800 Speaker 3: Until then, so long everyone. 661 00:34:50,120 --> 00:34:52,719 Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 662 00:34:52,800 --> 00:34:55,160 Speaker 4: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 663 00:34:55,200 --> 00:34:58,560 Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 664 00:34:58,880 --> 00:35:01,480 Speaker 4: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 665 00:35:01,600 --> 00:35:05,240 Speaker 4: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 666 00:35:05,320 --> 00:35:19,240 Speaker 4: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros