1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,920 Speaker 1: Brought you by Bank of America, Mary Lynch. Investing in 2 00:00:03,000 --> 00:00:07,840 Speaker 1: local communities, economies and a sustainable future. That's the power 3 00:00:08,080 --> 00:00:12,360 Speaker 1: of global connections. Mary Lynch, Pierce Fenner and Smith Incorporated 4 00:00:12,760 --> 00:00:27,400 Speaker 1: Member s I p C. Welcome to the Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast. 5 00:00:27,800 --> 00:00:31,520 Speaker 1: I'm Tom Keene with David Gura. Daily we bring you 6 00:00:31,560 --> 00:00:36,600 Speaker 1: insight from the best in economics, finance, investment, and international relations. 7 00:00:37,000 --> 00:00:41,600 Speaker 1: Find Bloomberg Surveillance on iTunes, SoundCloud, Bloomberg dot Com, and 8 00:00:41,680 --> 00:00:50,080 Speaker 1: of course on the Bloomberg. Tom Keen in Davos, Switzerland 9 00:00:50,120 --> 00:00:52,240 Speaker 1: for the World Economic Forum's annual meeting. He just sat 10 00:00:52,280 --> 00:00:55,160 Speaker 1: down with Jacob Frankel, chairman of JP Morgan Chase International, 11 00:00:55,240 --> 00:00:57,120 Speaker 1: former Governor of the Bank of Israel, and let's take 12 00:00:57,120 --> 00:01:00,120 Speaker 1: a listen to some of their conversation. How are we doing? 13 00:01:00,160 --> 00:01:04,240 Speaker 1: Are we out of financial crisis? Yet? We are clearly 14 00:01:04,800 --> 00:01:09,319 Speaker 1: very close to it, But I would never declare victory prematurely. 15 00:01:09,720 --> 00:01:13,240 Speaker 1: The important point is that at the beginning of the crisis, 16 00:01:13,520 --> 00:01:18,360 Speaker 1: the mindset of policy makers was how to extinguish a file. 17 00:01:18,760 --> 00:01:22,680 Speaker 1: This is a mindset that has a short term perspective. 18 00:01:23,120 --> 00:01:25,280 Speaker 1: In front of you, you say, I have a file. 19 00:01:25,600 --> 00:01:27,600 Speaker 1: I have to put a lot of water on the file, 20 00:01:27,880 --> 00:01:30,840 Speaker 1: and if the carpets get spoiled, so beat. I need 21 00:01:30,880 --> 00:01:34,160 Speaker 1: to deal with the file. But over time, as the 22 00:01:34,280 --> 00:01:37,959 Speaker 1: file is being put away, we need to worry about 23 00:01:37,959 --> 00:01:41,320 Speaker 1: the resumption of growth. We need to have a medium 24 00:01:41,440 --> 00:01:44,520 Speaker 1: term approach, a long term approach, the only approach that 25 00:01:44,600 --> 00:01:49,480 Speaker 1: matters for investment and growth. And that's why the challenges 26 00:01:49,600 --> 00:01:53,320 Speaker 1: now how to move towards an economy and policy making 27 00:01:53,760 --> 00:01:56,760 Speaker 1: that is looking into the long run, that is having 28 00:01:56,840 --> 00:02:00,200 Speaker 1: a flexibility of the economy, that has structural policies, that 29 00:02:00,360 --> 00:02:04,200 Speaker 1: understands that in order to grow, you need to be 30 00:02:04,320 --> 00:02:08,680 Speaker 1: part of the global system, that understands that trade is 31 00:02:08,960 --> 00:02:14,480 Speaker 1: a privilege that everyone should be gaining from, etcetera. But 32 00:02:14,560 --> 00:02:18,160 Speaker 1: we have this year theme, my theme populism. Trump's dovo 33 00:02:18,280 --> 00:02:21,720 Speaker 1: certainly not original, many other people have picked up on this. 34 00:02:22,320 --> 00:02:27,280 Speaker 1: How do policy makers, through the prism of their economists 35 00:02:27,320 --> 00:02:31,800 Speaker 1: and advisors deal with populism? It's just simply a search 36 00:02:31,880 --> 00:02:34,400 Speaker 1: for economic growth, isn't it? Where it is sells for 37 00:02:34,520 --> 00:02:38,040 Speaker 1: economic growth. But I would add two adjectives search for 38 00:02:38,400 --> 00:02:43,280 Speaker 1: sustainable economic growth, namely medium term perspective and search for 39 00:02:43,800 --> 00:02:48,239 Speaker 1: and inclusive economic growth, namely that the benefits from growth 40 00:02:48,280 --> 00:02:51,639 Speaker 1: are shelled. If we miss on any of these two 41 00:02:51,960 --> 00:02:57,000 Speaker 1: inclusiveness and medium term approach sustainability, then we will really 42 00:02:57,320 --> 00:03:01,760 Speaker 1: miss the boat. And it is the responsibility of policy makers, 43 00:03:01,760 --> 00:03:06,480 Speaker 1: of the media, of educators alike to shift the narrative 44 00:03:06,560 --> 00:03:12,239 Speaker 1: and debate away from the protectionism and populism towards more 45 00:03:12,280 --> 00:03:14,960 Speaker 1: concrete issue. Let me give you an example. When you 46 00:03:15,000 --> 00:03:18,040 Speaker 1: talk to people who are saying I want to have protection, 47 00:03:18,160 --> 00:03:22,400 Speaker 1: is against trade, I don't want the globalization, etcetera, ask them, 48 00:03:22,680 --> 00:03:26,880 Speaker 1: are you really against the benefits from trade? They will 49 00:03:26,919 --> 00:03:30,040 Speaker 1: tell you owners, I want the benefits. So what are 50 00:03:30,040 --> 00:03:34,360 Speaker 1: you against? I am against some of the negative consequences 51 00:03:34,400 --> 00:03:40,760 Speaker 1: that trade unchecked may entail. Maybe not everyone will benefit. Okay, 52 00:03:40,920 --> 00:03:43,560 Speaker 1: then shift the debate to this, how do we make 53 00:03:43,600 --> 00:03:46,400 Speaker 1: sure that society shows and how do we do that? 54 00:03:46,880 --> 00:03:50,080 Speaker 1: How do we affect a policy that meets the president 55 00:03:50,160 --> 00:03:53,800 Speaker 1: elects demands and the people that supported him, and it 56 00:03:54,040 --> 00:03:58,680 Speaker 1: gives us a policy for those left bend. Absolutely, it 57 00:03:58,800 --> 00:04:03,480 Speaker 1: has to be at least two dimensions. Number One, you 58 00:04:03,560 --> 00:04:08,800 Speaker 1: need to ease the transition period. This means trade adjustment assistance. 59 00:04:09,120 --> 00:04:14,800 Speaker 1: This means job retraining, This means making people more capable 60 00:04:15,120 --> 00:04:23,000 Speaker 1: to accommodate the changes. Not good enough. The very fact 61 00:04:23,360 --> 00:04:26,720 Speaker 1: that now, years after an after, there are those who 62 00:04:26,800 --> 00:04:30,840 Speaker 1: say that NAFTA was a bad thing is a testimony 63 00:04:31,080 --> 00:04:33,640 Speaker 1: to the debate. So instead of saying afterwards a good 64 00:04:33,640 --> 00:04:36,159 Speaker 1: thing of a bad thing, which goes to the political debate, 65 00:04:36,320 --> 00:04:39,359 Speaker 1: we really need to say, how do we ensure inclusiveness? 66 00:04:39,880 --> 00:04:41,920 Speaker 1: Tom King, they're talking with Jacob Frankl, the chairman of 67 00:04:42,000 --> 00:04:44,359 Speaker 1: Japing Morgan Chase International, chairman of the Ward trustee in 68 00:04:44,360 --> 00:04:46,279 Speaker 1: the Group of thirty as well and former governor of 69 00:04:46,320 --> 00:04:48,840 Speaker 1: the Bank of Israel in Davos, Switzerland at Annual Meaning 70 00:04:48,880 --> 00:05:03,560 Speaker 1: of the World Economic Form. Let's do this, David, Let's 71 00:05:03,680 --> 00:05:08,520 Speaker 1: uh move forward to the quiet strength of Davos, which 72 00:05:08,560 --> 00:05:13,440 Speaker 1: is year after year after year, persistent research. No one 73 00:05:13,480 --> 00:05:16,640 Speaker 1: has done that better than Richard Edelman. Of course, this 74 00:05:16,760 --> 00:05:20,320 Speaker 1: company is dealing in public relations, usually for corporations who 75 00:05:21,000 --> 00:05:24,320 Speaker 1: blown up their relations, and they assistance in moving forward. 76 00:05:25,120 --> 00:05:28,440 Speaker 1: Richard Edelman very good at that. But for me, the 77 00:05:28,640 --> 00:05:32,560 Speaker 1: Edelman Trust Barometer is an important document. And no there's 78 00:05:32,600 --> 00:05:36,440 Speaker 1: no year which is like this year for the distrust 79 00:05:36,600 --> 00:05:39,440 Speaker 1: that's out there, Richard Edlman, wonderful to have you here 80 00:05:39,480 --> 00:05:41,960 Speaker 1: your annual visit. Where As she said me, you know, 81 00:05:42,040 --> 00:05:45,440 Speaker 1: two weeks ago and said, Tom, it's an extraordinary lack 82 00:05:45,480 --> 00:05:47,640 Speaker 1: of trust out there. What is the telling thing in 83 00:05:47,680 --> 00:05:51,599 Speaker 1: the sixty six pages of your analysis. Well, trust is 84 00:05:51,640 --> 00:05:56,080 Speaker 1: imploded this year, Tom, in the institutions, but particularly in media. 85 00:05:56,560 --> 00:05:59,360 Speaker 1: And it's actually seen that the media has become part 86 00:05:59,400 --> 00:06:02,200 Speaker 1: of the elite um. There's a world of self reference, 87 00:06:02,480 --> 00:06:05,440 Speaker 1: that the media is an is an echo chamber in fact, 88 00:06:05,480 --> 00:06:08,599 Speaker 1: for whether you're right or left, and that you don't 89 00:06:08,640 --> 00:06:10,719 Speaker 1: really want to read or hear anything that you don't 90 00:06:10,760 --> 00:06:15,720 Speaker 1: agree with. Is the distrust out there contained within the 91 00:06:15,800 --> 00:06:20,600 Speaker 1: United States, Or when we talk about global populism, is 92 00:06:20,839 --> 00:06:24,320 Speaker 1: there a contagion effect? Or is each nation discreet in 93 00:06:24,440 --> 00:06:29,440 Speaker 1: their barometer? So you know, this year is stunning in 94 00:06:29,640 --> 00:06:33,279 Speaker 1: the number of countries that have moved beyond just loss 95 00:06:33,279 --> 00:06:36,599 Speaker 1: of trust in their institutions to a loss of faith 96 00:06:36,640 --> 00:06:40,400 Speaker 1: in the system. More than half the countries have have 97 00:06:41,000 --> 00:06:45,320 Speaker 1: lack of confidence in fairness, in the extent to which 98 00:06:45,600 --> 00:06:47,880 Speaker 1: they can make a better life for their families in 99 00:06:47,920 --> 00:06:51,960 Speaker 1: the future, and in their leaders. They want change If 100 00:06:51,960 --> 00:06:54,520 Speaker 1: you were to show the Edelman Trust Barometer to the 101 00:06:54,560 --> 00:06:57,760 Speaker 1: President elect, what would you point out to Donald Trump? 102 00:06:58,480 --> 00:07:02,960 Speaker 1: I would say that in a way, he reflects the mood, 103 00:07:03,080 --> 00:07:08,760 Speaker 1: which is um deep socio and economic fears that people 104 00:07:08,800 --> 00:07:12,720 Speaker 1: are looking behind themselves about to being replaced by robots, 105 00:07:12,760 --> 00:07:16,360 Speaker 1: about jobs being outsourced, and that they want to have 106 00:07:16,680 --> 00:07:20,400 Speaker 1: a direct and honest conversation with their employer about their 107 00:07:20,400 --> 00:07:23,280 Speaker 1: economic future. Are they going to be better off in 108 00:07:23,320 --> 00:07:27,280 Speaker 1: the future? You know? I look, Richard Edelman, the granularity 109 00:07:27,320 --> 00:07:29,320 Speaker 1: of your report and the charm of it is. It's 110 00:07:29,400 --> 00:07:31,240 Speaker 1: year after year. I remember a couple of years ago. 111 00:07:31,680 --> 00:07:34,960 Speaker 1: I think even CEOs worsen politicians, which is hard to 112 00:07:35,440 --> 00:07:39,360 Speaker 1: fathom within the expertology that's your review. How does CEO's 113 00:07:39,400 --> 00:07:42,600 Speaker 1: lineup this year? The Trust and CEOs fell apart time 114 00:07:42,600 --> 00:07:45,400 Speaker 1: We're back to two thousand nine, and I think it's 115 00:07:45,400 --> 00:07:49,440 Speaker 1: a matter of compensation and also just disappointment in this 116 00:07:49,640 --> 00:07:53,160 Speaker 1: narrow focus on shareholder value as opposed to fix the 117 00:07:53,200 --> 00:07:55,840 Speaker 1: problems of society and tell me the truth about my job. 118 00:07:56,080 --> 00:07:58,200 Speaker 1: Let me bring in my colleague in New York, David Gura, 119 00:07:58,400 --> 00:08:01,440 Speaker 1: with Richard Edelman. Please, yeah, try you don't mince words. 120 00:08:01,440 --> 00:08:03,280 Speaker 1: So you say there's a complete loss of faith in 121 00:08:03,280 --> 00:08:06,120 Speaker 1: the system and and and that's a bold, sweeping statement. 122 00:08:06,240 --> 00:08:08,000 Speaker 1: How did we get here? And how reversible is this 123 00:08:08,080 --> 00:08:10,680 Speaker 1: do you think? I think it's a long, slow rebuild. 124 00:08:11,080 --> 00:08:14,600 Speaker 1: I think trust is lost easily UM and its confidence 125 00:08:14,680 --> 00:08:16,960 Speaker 1: is hard to bring back. And it's going to be 126 00:08:17,040 --> 00:08:21,160 Speaker 1: each company, one at a time showing that in fact 127 00:08:21,240 --> 00:08:24,360 Speaker 1: it does give good jobs, that it does reinvest, and 128 00:08:24,360 --> 00:08:28,000 Speaker 1: that it does actually make communities better. And I also 129 00:08:28,080 --> 00:08:31,600 Speaker 1: think that UM trust is going to be done by employees. 130 00:08:31,840 --> 00:08:35,520 Speaker 1: That you've got to tell the employees because the new 131 00:08:35,600 --> 00:08:39,360 Speaker 1: crazy is that it's a person like you, much much 132 00:08:39,400 --> 00:08:43,840 Speaker 1: more credible than the CEO or of the government official 133 00:08:43,960 --> 00:08:46,880 Speaker 1: twice as credible. Help us with with how this is 134 00:08:46,880 --> 00:08:50,280 Speaker 1: setting the backdrop for conversations at Davos. Of course they're 135 00:08:50,720 --> 00:08:52,800 Speaker 1: ahead of the event. There are always articles about what's 136 00:08:52,800 --> 00:08:55,520 Speaker 1: going to be discussed, how relevant the World Economic Forum 137 00:08:55,559 --> 00:08:58,240 Speaker 1: meeting is going to be, how much are people They're 138 00:08:58,240 --> 00:09:01,440 Speaker 1: talking about credibility and ways to sort of bridge this gap. 139 00:09:02,520 --> 00:09:05,360 Speaker 1: They understand that business is the last retaining wall in 140 00:09:05,559 --> 00:09:08,600 Speaker 1: a tsunami, that the first was the Great Recession. Then 141 00:09:08,679 --> 00:09:12,520 Speaker 1: you had globalization. Now you have automation, so business in 142 00:09:12,559 --> 00:09:16,040 Speaker 1: a way for that uncommitted group, half the people have 143 00:09:16,080 --> 00:09:17,959 Speaker 1: lost faith in the system, about a third or sort 144 00:09:18,000 --> 00:09:22,160 Speaker 1: of uncommitted. In fifteen half confidence. That uncommitted group thinks 145 00:09:22,200 --> 00:09:25,960 Speaker 1: that business is actually the most credible force. So now 146 00:09:26,080 --> 00:09:27,959 Speaker 1: is the time for ceo s to stand up. Don't 147 00:09:28,000 --> 00:09:30,600 Speaker 1: do what you usually do, which is duck and wait. UM, 148 00:09:30,640 --> 00:09:33,640 Speaker 1: you've got to actually lead now and show that businesses 149 00:09:33,880 --> 00:09:36,319 Speaker 1: is good. Well, you're you're. What you're so good at 150 00:09:36,600 --> 00:09:40,800 Speaker 1: is the triage of the moment for our large companies. 151 00:09:41,120 --> 00:09:45,079 Speaker 1: When you say to CEOs you've got to re establish 152 00:09:45,320 --> 00:09:48,800 Speaker 1: a communication with a public, what does that actually entel? 153 00:09:49,360 --> 00:09:54,800 Speaker 1: It means tom actually going to the employees first, UM 154 00:09:54,920 --> 00:09:59,079 Speaker 1: then also having a channel that allows customers and UM 155 00:09:59,240 --> 00:10:03,240 Speaker 1: and consumers to speak directly to the company. So for instance, 156 00:10:03,320 --> 00:10:06,439 Speaker 1: United Airlines has a thing called Airtime where people can 157 00:10:06,480 --> 00:10:11,679 Speaker 1: complain about service or UM employees can complain about working conditions, 158 00:10:11,920 --> 00:10:14,200 Speaker 1: and all of this has made public. The level of 159 00:10:14,240 --> 00:10:18,400 Speaker 1: transparency and the response over time is something that's learned 160 00:10:18,400 --> 00:10:21,680 Speaker 1: from the sharing economy, from Uber Airbnb. That's a huge 161 00:10:21,760 --> 00:10:25,640 Speaker 1: positive and it's been really critical to United's recovery of 162 00:10:25,679 --> 00:10:29,319 Speaker 1: trust Richard Elemen, do people hunger for good dialogue? Do 163 00:10:29,600 --> 00:10:32,240 Speaker 1: they recognize there's a deficit here? Do they want something better? 164 00:10:32,400 --> 00:10:35,800 Speaker 1: Or have they gotten beyond that? Have they just given up? No? 165 00:10:35,960 --> 00:10:39,920 Speaker 1: I think that the business leaders here definitely have processed 166 00:10:40,080 --> 00:10:44,319 Speaker 1: UM that this populist movement is really scary for business, 167 00:10:44,320 --> 00:10:50,079 Speaker 1: that anti globalization and anti innovation, that people are nervous 168 00:10:50,120 --> 00:10:53,520 Speaker 1: in fact about new services, new products because it might 169 00:10:53,559 --> 00:10:56,240 Speaker 1: mean that they don't have good jobs or jobs at all. 170 00:10:56,559 --> 00:10:59,880 Speaker 1: So they want leadership and and the business leaders are 171 00:11:00,000 --> 00:11:04,800 Speaker 1: now talking about it. I look, and again, folks, I go, 172 00:11:04,960 --> 00:11:06,840 Speaker 1: I really urge you to go to the website of 173 00:11:06,960 --> 00:11:11,040 Speaker 1: Edelman and look at the Edelman Trust Barometer. Over to 174 00:11:11,120 --> 00:11:15,520 Speaker 1: our politicians, I can't fathom your account with the Trump 175 00:11:15,600 --> 00:11:20,160 Speaker 1: administration how Edelman helps the Trump administration forward. Do you 176 00:11:20,320 --> 00:11:24,440 Speaker 1: have a recommendation to our presidential tweeter? Do you what 177 00:11:24,520 --> 00:11:28,680 Speaker 1: would be the Edelman Council to our newly minted president 178 00:11:28,760 --> 00:11:32,960 Speaker 1: this Friday. I think that President Trump has to establish 179 00:11:33,080 --> 00:11:36,280 Speaker 1: a game plan and then show progress for it. UM 180 00:11:36,360 --> 00:11:40,760 Speaker 1: that he can't as a candidate UM just tweet his 181 00:11:40,840 --> 00:11:44,240 Speaker 1: way to UM satisfaction that people are gonna be holding 182 00:11:44,320 --> 00:11:46,720 Speaker 1: him to account, and it's not going to be just 183 00:11:46,760 --> 00:11:50,520 Speaker 1: getting forward to relocate its jobs back to Ohio. It 184 00:11:50,600 --> 00:11:56,920 Speaker 1: has to be a real plan of infrastructure and um 185 00:11:57,040 --> 00:12:01,720 Speaker 1: education and economic development and decent means by which to 186 00:12:01,760 --> 00:12:04,120 Speaker 1: renegotiate an AFTA or with the child. Set you up 187 00:12:04,120 --> 00:12:06,240 Speaker 1: because I knew what the answer would be. Now let 188 00:12:06,240 --> 00:12:08,280 Speaker 1: me let me get to what matters here, Richards, and 189 00:12:08,360 --> 00:12:11,120 Speaker 1: will come back. The core idea then is you have 190 00:12:11,160 --> 00:12:13,319 Speaker 1: to affect the policy. Can you do that with a 191 00:12:13,440 --> 00:12:18,160 Speaker 1: distrust that's seen within the barometer the Edeleman Trust Barometer. Look, 192 00:12:18,200 --> 00:12:21,320 Speaker 1: government is the least trusted institution in our study, and 193 00:12:21,640 --> 00:12:24,800 Speaker 1: it has to actually be done between business and government, 194 00:12:25,120 --> 00:12:28,840 Speaker 1: and it has to be seen as something that has 195 00:12:28,880 --> 00:12:32,040 Speaker 1: been um done by listening to the people. We have 196 00:12:32,120 --> 00:12:34,520 Speaker 1: to move from telling the people what's good for them 197 00:12:34,760 --> 00:12:37,840 Speaker 1: to doing things with the people and let them judge 198 00:12:38,160 --> 00:12:41,760 Speaker 1: a result. Richard Edelman with us with the accept I've 199 00:12:41,760 --> 00:12:44,520 Speaker 1: never I say this every year, but now I really 200 00:12:44,720 --> 00:12:48,480 Speaker 1: mean the idea of the Edelman Trust Barometer. I'll put 201 00:12:48,520 --> 00:12:51,320 Speaker 1: that out on social and as I have uh the 202 00:12:51,440 --> 00:12:55,520 Speaker 1: last few days, uh, and we'll go from there. David 203 00:12:55,600 --> 00:12:59,719 Speaker 1: just An extraordinary document and a pleasure to read every 204 00:12:59,800 --> 00:13:03,040 Speaker 1: year when it has launched the first day of Davos, 205 00:13:11,200 --> 00:13:14,720 Speaker 1: brought you by Bank of America Mary Lynch, dedicated to 206 00:13:14,800 --> 00:13:18,679 Speaker 1: bringing our clients insights and solutions to meet the challenges 207 00:13:18,840 --> 00:13:22,560 Speaker 1: of a transforming world. That's the power of global connections. 208 00:13:22,960 --> 00:13:27,880 Speaker 1: Mary Lynch, Pierce Federin Smith Incorporated Member s I p C. 209 00:13:30,920 --> 00:13:33,920 Speaker 1: A most wonderful panel this morning talking about the future 210 00:13:33,920 --> 00:13:40,360 Speaker 1: of finance and giving terrific perspective on the potential transactions 211 00:13:40,360 --> 00:13:44,400 Speaker 1: and combinations, and also on uh the Nation of America. 212 00:13:44,480 --> 00:13:48,080 Speaker 1: David Rubinstein the Carlisle Group, purely one of our great philanthropists. 213 00:13:48,240 --> 00:13:51,200 Speaker 1: I think the most wonderful thing you do is the 214 00:13:51,280 --> 00:13:56,400 Speaker 1: Redond Ford's Theater across the street from Ford's Theater. You 215 00:13:56,400 --> 00:14:01,160 Speaker 1: guys left extent the tragic room where the sixteenth President died, 216 00:14:01,200 --> 00:14:04,200 Speaker 1: but you placed a museum right next to it without 217 00:14:04,280 --> 00:14:07,960 Speaker 1: destroying the feel of it. Yes, Um, I was a contributor, 218 00:14:08,000 --> 00:14:11,480 Speaker 1: but I was not the principal person behind it. I 219 00:14:11,520 --> 00:14:13,679 Speaker 1: was on the board of it for a while. And interestingly, 220 00:14:13,679 --> 00:14:15,800 Speaker 1: the person who was the chairman of the capital campaign 221 00:14:15,800 --> 00:14:18,319 Speaker 1: that raised the money was a man named Rex Tillerson. 222 00:14:18,600 --> 00:14:21,800 Speaker 1: I don't know what's happened to him. I don't, but 223 00:14:22,440 --> 00:14:24,920 Speaker 1: I think he'll He'll do okay. How will he do okay? 224 00:14:24,960 --> 00:14:27,560 Speaker 1: A secretary of state? He has a different president than 225 00:14:27,600 --> 00:14:31,120 Speaker 1: the previous president. Well, Rex is a very smart person 226 00:14:31,280 --> 00:14:34,200 Speaker 1: and he's got a wealth of experience in dealing with 227 00:14:34,640 --> 00:14:37,600 Speaker 1: leaders around the world. So I think he will be 228 00:14:37,720 --> 00:14:40,280 Speaker 1: assuming he's confirmed, as I believe he will be. I 229 00:14:40,280 --> 00:14:42,360 Speaker 1: think he'll be a very strong secretary of State. Remember 230 00:14:42,400 --> 00:14:45,240 Speaker 1: he was recommended by one of my former partners, Jim Baker, 231 00:14:45,520 --> 00:14:47,760 Speaker 1: and Jim Baker has pretty good judgment about these things. 232 00:14:48,400 --> 00:14:51,360 Speaker 1: If I look at the so called Trump reflation and 233 00:14:51,400 --> 00:14:54,440 Speaker 1: the idea of a boost and optimism, does that mean 234 00:14:54,440 --> 00:14:57,160 Speaker 1: a boost and internal rates a return for those that 235 00:14:57,760 --> 00:15:01,960 Speaker 1: invest privately, whether it's private equ venture capital, or good 236 00:15:01,960 --> 00:15:05,720 Speaker 1: old all American mergers and acquisitions. I hope always springs eternal, 237 00:15:05,880 --> 00:15:09,840 Speaker 1: of course, but there's no doubt that if you have inflation, 238 00:15:10,160 --> 00:15:13,360 Speaker 1: inflation which we haven't had much of, that will probably 239 00:15:13,440 --> 00:15:16,920 Speaker 1: produce higher rates of return. Whether they're higher in real 240 00:15:17,040 --> 00:15:20,400 Speaker 1: terms or not, obviously uh to be determined. But I 241 00:15:20,400 --> 00:15:23,920 Speaker 1: think when you have higher growth rates generally produce greater 242 00:15:24,000 --> 00:15:26,960 Speaker 1: economic activity and that generally produces higher rates of return. 243 00:15:27,280 --> 00:15:29,760 Speaker 1: So hopefully if this all can come about, it's not 244 00:15:29,840 --> 00:15:32,840 Speaker 1: easy to do. Remember, we have a twenty trillion dollar 245 00:15:32,880 --> 00:15:36,720 Speaker 1: economy and there's no history of twenty trillion dollar economies 246 00:15:36,720 --> 00:15:39,200 Speaker 1: growing at five percent a year. So if we can 247 00:15:39,240 --> 00:15:41,520 Speaker 1: get it slightly better than where it is, it's it's good. 248 00:15:41,640 --> 00:15:43,680 Speaker 1: But a twenty trillion dollar economy is harder to move 249 00:15:43,680 --> 00:15:46,560 Speaker 1: than a ten trillion dollar economy. Dave Rubinstein, there were 250 00:15:46,560 --> 00:15:48,360 Speaker 1: two big speeches this morning. I don't need to tell 251 00:15:48,400 --> 00:15:50,720 Speaker 1: you that, but the UK Prime Minister to reason they spoke, 252 00:15:50,760 --> 00:15:53,360 Speaker 1: as well as the Chinese president jumping there in Davos. 253 00:15:53,720 --> 00:15:56,320 Speaker 1: When you when you think about the global economy, which 254 00:15:56,320 --> 00:15:58,440 Speaker 1: of those two was was most important? What were you 255 00:15:58,520 --> 00:16:02,240 Speaker 1: listening for today? They're both important figures, of course, Uh 256 00:16:02,400 --> 00:16:04,840 Speaker 1: president of China. A president of China had never come 257 00:16:04,880 --> 00:16:08,200 Speaker 1: to Davas before, and President She therefore got a great 258 00:16:08,560 --> 00:16:11,080 Speaker 1: deal of attention for coming. And what he was really 259 00:16:11,080 --> 00:16:14,400 Speaker 1: saying is something that would not have been UH expected 260 00:16:14,400 --> 00:16:16,880 Speaker 1: of a Chinese leader to say ten or twenty years ago, 261 00:16:16,920 --> 00:16:19,760 Speaker 1: which is that globalization is very important and that China 262 00:16:19,800 --> 00:16:22,280 Speaker 1: thinks that the world order should be respected in some 263 00:16:22,360 --> 00:16:25,560 Speaker 1: respects UM. I think that Theresa May was saying that 264 00:16:25,920 --> 00:16:28,320 Speaker 1: Brexit is going to occur at some point and that 265 00:16:28,400 --> 00:16:31,840 Speaker 1: she's prepared to implement that. UM. Time will tell whether 266 00:16:32,000 --> 00:16:34,120 Speaker 1: how how easy it will be to do that. It's 267 00:16:34,160 --> 00:16:37,120 Speaker 1: a complicated negotiation, as we know, and and the courts 268 00:16:37,160 --> 00:16:39,440 Speaker 1: have ruled in England that the Parliament has to vote 269 00:16:39,480 --> 00:16:41,560 Speaker 1: on it before it can actually occur, and so I 270 00:16:41,600 --> 00:16:44,480 Speaker 1: don't know you know when that will occur. Tom mentions 271 00:16:44,480 --> 00:16:47,280 Speaker 1: your your philanthropic giving. I think of your reverence for 272 00:16:47,360 --> 00:16:51,240 Speaker 1: history and American institutions, and I wonder what you're looking 273 00:16:51,280 --> 00:16:53,360 Speaker 1: at his in terms of US history. At this point. 274 00:16:53,720 --> 00:16:55,920 Speaker 1: This is such a pivotal moment. There's no no need 275 00:16:55,960 --> 00:16:58,680 Speaker 1: to underestimate that. What are you reading, what are you 276 00:16:58,760 --> 00:17:01,440 Speaker 1: thinking about at this point? Well, let me just mention 277 00:17:01,560 --> 00:17:04,120 Speaker 1: one thing that I'd like all the Americans and anybody 278 00:17:04,119 --> 00:17:08,159 Speaker 1: listening with to pay attention to. UM. The African American 279 00:17:08,240 --> 00:17:10,440 Speaker 1: History and Culture Museum was opened a few months ago 280 00:17:10,600 --> 00:17:14,520 Speaker 1: in washing d C. It is the museum that was 281 00:17:14,560 --> 00:17:16,960 Speaker 1: conceived by John Lewis, or at least that he was 282 00:17:17,040 --> 00:17:19,840 Speaker 1: the person who introduced legislation was signed by George W. Bush. 283 00:17:20,200 --> 00:17:23,320 Speaker 1: Five hundred and forty million dollars was the price tag. 284 00:17:23,440 --> 00:17:26,479 Speaker 1: Two d seventy million came from taxpayers, two hundred seventy 285 00:17:26,480 --> 00:17:28,960 Speaker 1: from philanthropic gifts them throughout the United States, and many 286 00:17:28,960 --> 00:17:32,080 Speaker 1: many of Americans contributed to that, and many Americans gave 287 00:17:32,320 --> 00:17:35,520 Speaker 1: artifacts and other things. We now have people going to 288 00:17:35,600 --> 00:17:38,520 Speaker 1: that museum, and it was expected that the average person 289 00:17:38,600 --> 00:17:40,159 Speaker 1: going to that museum would spend an hour and a 290 00:17:40,200 --> 00:17:42,679 Speaker 1: half touring the museum. The average person is now spending 291 00:17:42,720 --> 00:17:44,960 Speaker 1: six and a half hours, six and a half hours 292 00:17:45,000 --> 00:17:48,320 Speaker 1: because it's such a life changing experience to see the 293 00:17:48,440 --> 00:17:51,520 Speaker 1: history of African Americans in this country, from four hundred 294 00:17:51,600 --> 00:17:56,200 Speaker 1: years of history, through slavery, through Jim Crow Laws, through 295 00:17:56,200 --> 00:17:58,720 Speaker 1: the great accomplishments of African Americans. And I recommend to 296 00:17:58,840 --> 00:18:01,840 Speaker 1: all Americans, white, black, or any color to spend some 297 00:18:01,920 --> 00:18:04,399 Speaker 1: time touring that museum. I regarded as the best museum 298 00:18:04,520 --> 00:18:07,520 Speaker 1: right now uh of its type in in the United States. 299 00:18:07,600 --> 00:18:10,520 Speaker 1: I want to talk about populism, and we only have 300 00:18:10,560 --> 00:18:13,760 Speaker 1: a minute left. People just assume you grew up with 301 00:18:13,800 --> 00:18:16,720 Speaker 1: a silver spoon in your mouth. I don't know why 302 00:18:16,760 --> 00:18:20,199 Speaker 1: that happened, but they just assumed David Rubinstein couldn't be 303 00:18:20,240 --> 00:18:23,639 Speaker 1: that successful with with with without if you didn't you 304 00:18:23,640 --> 00:18:26,560 Speaker 1: grew up a real basic life. Well, my parents were 305 00:18:26,600 --> 00:18:29,520 Speaker 1: not college or high school graduates. My father worked in 306 00:18:29,520 --> 00:18:32,520 Speaker 1: the post office. Uh. I got very lucky in life 307 00:18:32,600 --> 00:18:35,639 Speaker 1: and um now giving back like the anger that you 308 00:18:35,720 --> 00:18:38,879 Speaker 1: see right now, David, within Americas, well, when I was 309 00:18:38,920 --> 00:18:40,840 Speaker 1: growing up, I did believe in the American dream that 310 00:18:40,880 --> 00:18:43,600 Speaker 1: you could work hard and rise to the top. Now 311 00:18:43,640 --> 00:18:45,959 Speaker 1: many people don't believe in that. They believe that they 312 00:18:46,000 --> 00:18:48,520 Speaker 1: are captain there for the Therefore, the social mobility that 313 00:18:48,560 --> 00:18:51,080 Speaker 1: I benefited from is not present. And clearly I had 314 00:18:51,119 --> 00:18:55,160 Speaker 1: some advantages. But uh I, uh, you know, I don't 315 00:18:55,160 --> 00:18:56,800 Speaker 1: know that everybody feels that they can rise to the 316 00:18:56,880 --> 00:18:59,159 Speaker 1: top as they as they as I did. Thank you 317 00:18:59,200 --> 00:19:01,720 Speaker 1: for visiting us with today and again thank you for 318 00:19:01,800 --> 00:19:06,239 Speaker 1: my David Rumstein is where the Carlisle crew from New 319 00:19:06,280 --> 00:19:22,000 Speaker 1: York from Davos, this is Bloomberg back to Davos to 320 00:19:22,119 --> 00:19:24,159 Speaker 1: Tom Keane where we can hear the steam coming out 321 00:19:24,200 --> 00:19:26,600 Speaker 1: of your mouth. A Tom, it's cold there. It is 322 00:19:26,600 --> 00:19:28,480 Speaker 1: cold here. It's ten degrees colder last year, and a 323 00:19:28,520 --> 00:19:30,520 Speaker 1: little bit of snow not record snow that we've seen 324 00:19:30,560 --> 00:19:34,159 Speaker 1: in my thirteen years here. But it is a winter wonderland. 325 00:19:34,160 --> 00:19:37,840 Speaker 1: And I would say, David, the key early theme is 326 00:19:37,880 --> 00:19:42,240 Speaker 1: what we knew uncertainty. But I can't begin to tell 327 00:19:42,320 --> 00:19:46,120 Speaker 1: you the level of uncertainty to confront it last night 328 00:19:46,160 --> 00:19:49,879 Speaker 1: on the trip through Zurich was just remarkable. We have 329 00:19:49,920 --> 00:19:54,880 Speaker 1: a special guest. There are very few sons that pull 330 00:19:55,000 --> 00:19:59,240 Speaker 1: this off. Paul Jacobs did it. His father, to full disclosure, 331 00:19:59,320 --> 00:20:03,000 Speaker 1: was one of my o There's heroes and engineering out 332 00:20:03,040 --> 00:20:07,879 Speaker 1: of New Bedford, Massachusetts and Cornell to San Diego. And 333 00:20:07,920 --> 00:20:11,320 Speaker 1: then there was this company two decades ago that started 334 00:20:11,680 --> 00:20:14,680 Speaker 1: It has something to do with technology, and the Sun 335 00:20:14,840 --> 00:20:17,920 Speaker 1: actually said hey, I'll do this too. He's a double 336 00:20:17,960 --> 00:20:20,960 Speaker 1: E out of Berkeley. Paul Jacobs joined us down. What 337 00:20:21,000 --> 00:20:22,760 Speaker 1: was that like? Was there a point where your father 338 00:20:22,840 --> 00:20:25,000 Speaker 1: sat you down in your seventeen and said you don't 339 00:20:25,000 --> 00:20:28,200 Speaker 1: want to do this now? He was actually always interested 340 00:20:28,240 --> 00:20:31,760 Speaker 1: in me being in engineering, and so you know, he 341 00:20:31,840 --> 00:20:34,000 Speaker 1: just did things to make sure I got interested in 342 00:20:34,040 --> 00:20:37,200 Speaker 1: and I worked there every summer. Uh. You know, when 343 00:20:37,200 --> 00:20:40,240 Speaker 1: I was in grade school, high school and I learned 344 00:20:40,240 --> 00:20:42,320 Speaker 1: how to program early on. Did you use a slide 345 00:20:42,400 --> 00:20:44,840 Speaker 1: rule or were you after that in early days? Yeah? 346 00:20:45,320 --> 00:20:47,119 Speaker 1: Old enough, Yeah, I had to use the slide rule 347 00:20:47,160 --> 00:20:50,200 Speaker 1: in the old things. Tell me about the people here, 348 00:20:50,440 --> 00:20:53,040 Speaker 1: toss around the phrases. You and your father have lived 349 00:20:53,440 --> 00:20:58,760 Speaker 1: technology innovation, and I find engineers the hair curls when 350 00:20:58,800 --> 00:21:02,240 Speaker 1: they see the usage of today. What does technology mean 351 00:21:02,280 --> 00:21:05,360 Speaker 1: for Paul Jacobs? Oh, technology is the way that we 352 00:21:05,440 --> 00:21:07,720 Speaker 1: take an idea out of our head, something that we 353 00:21:08,000 --> 00:21:11,240 Speaker 1: think about, and we turn it into reality and affect 354 00:21:11,240 --> 00:21:14,399 Speaker 1: people's lives. And the coolest thing about Qualcom is that, 355 00:21:14,880 --> 00:21:16,760 Speaker 1: you know, we thought we were going to affect everybody 356 00:21:16,760 --> 00:21:19,600 Speaker 1: in the world's lives with this new technology, and we're 357 00:21:19,640 --> 00:21:22,000 Speaker 1: actually able to execute and make that happen. Let me 358 00:21:22,040 --> 00:21:24,000 Speaker 1: bring in my colleague in New York, David Gurrow, happened 359 00:21:24,040 --> 00:21:28,600 Speaker 1: to go to Cornell, Thanks, sir, Iwin Jacobs. David Gurra, Yeah, 360 00:21:28,720 --> 00:21:31,000 Speaker 1: very proudly. Here, Paul Jacobs, let me ask you about 361 00:21:31,040 --> 00:21:32,800 Speaker 1: so where chip making is headed. I know that you 362 00:21:32,880 --> 00:21:36,280 Speaker 1: unveiled your plans for five G recently at c e S. 363 00:21:36,880 --> 00:21:39,920 Speaker 1: Talk about adoption. Uh, A lot of the world still 364 00:21:39,920 --> 00:21:42,760 Speaker 1: has not yet adopted four G technology. You're talking about 365 00:21:42,760 --> 00:21:45,399 Speaker 1: five G. How quickly can you move along with something 366 00:21:45,440 --> 00:21:47,439 Speaker 1: like that? Well, so five G is going to be 367 00:21:47,520 --> 00:21:50,920 Speaker 1: driven by the end markets. So you got the Koreans 368 00:21:50,960 --> 00:21:53,399 Speaker 1: who want a version of five G in time for 369 00:21:53,440 --> 00:21:56,320 Speaker 1: the Winter Olympics, and then you kind of got the 370 00:21:56,359 --> 00:22:00,280 Speaker 1: standards process. It's going for the Tokyo Olympics in twenty twenty. 371 00:22:00,280 --> 00:22:03,879 Speaker 1: I'm not sure why Olympics are the catalysts how happened 372 00:22:03,880 --> 00:22:07,560 Speaker 1: to be, but anyways, so really cool stuff though, because 373 00:22:07,560 --> 00:22:09,280 Speaker 1: now you're gonna be able to do, you know, things 374 00:22:09,320 --> 00:22:13,320 Speaker 1: like virtual reality and fly drones around and get you know, uh, 375 00:22:13,640 --> 00:22:16,959 Speaker 1: telemetry off of people's bodies to you know, see how 376 00:22:16,960 --> 00:22:22,359 Speaker 1: they're We tried that last night, I want to ask. 377 00:22:23,320 --> 00:22:26,240 Speaker 1: But anyways, so but the interesting thing about five G though, 378 00:22:26,280 --> 00:22:28,439 Speaker 1: is that it's going to go not just into the 379 00:22:28,440 --> 00:22:30,960 Speaker 1: phones and the tablets that we carry around, but into 380 00:22:31,119 --> 00:22:34,440 Speaker 1: all other kinds of devices, whether it's sensors in the 381 00:22:34,480 --> 00:22:37,280 Speaker 1: world around us, whether it's cars or as I said, 382 00:22:37,400 --> 00:22:41,040 Speaker 1: drones and robots and uh, you know, all sorts of things. 383 00:22:41,080 --> 00:22:44,560 Speaker 1: And so we just did a study that said but 384 00:22:44,720 --> 00:22:49,040 Speaker 1: by the time comes around, you know, it'll have been 385 00:22:49,119 --> 00:22:53,120 Speaker 1: integrated wireless connectivity will be integrated to all these different devices, 386 00:22:53,400 --> 00:22:55,960 Speaker 1: and it's gonna create an excess of twelve point three 387 00:22:56,080 --> 00:23:01,359 Speaker 1: trillion dollars of incremental benefit to all these other industries 388 00:23:01,480 --> 00:23:03,960 Speaker 1: that that will make use of it. Paul, And we 389 00:23:04,080 --> 00:23:06,199 Speaker 1: know about Moore's Law, and I wonder what the biggest 390 00:23:06,240 --> 00:23:08,399 Speaker 1: challenge right now is to to chip making, to getting 391 00:23:08,400 --> 00:23:12,680 Speaker 1: more advanced chips. I mean, look, Moore's Law, we still 392 00:23:12,760 --> 00:23:15,480 Speaker 1: have it progressing, but it's slowing down a little bit 393 00:23:15,520 --> 00:23:18,359 Speaker 1: from an economic standpoint, and we are getting close to 394 00:23:18,359 --> 00:23:21,800 Speaker 1: the physical limits of More's law. And I was just 395 00:23:21,960 --> 00:23:25,639 Speaker 1: on a panel for the White House the previous administration, 396 00:23:26,200 --> 00:23:29,200 Speaker 1: uh talking about you know, what are the implications of 397 00:23:29,240 --> 00:23:33,120 Speaker 1: that and and how do we do moonshots to sort 398 00:23:33,160 --> 00:23:37,240 Speaker 1: of uh incentivize the industry to come up with the 399 00:23:37,280 --> 00:23:39,520 Speaker 1: next new thing. How do we go from where we 400 00:23:39,560 --> 00:23:42,440 Speaker 1: are and how do we keep it going? And there's 401 00:23:42,440 --> 00:23:44,639 Speaker 1: an analogy with what happened in wireless. We got to 402 00:23:44,640 --> 00:23:46,960 Speaker 1: a point where we sort of made every radio link 403 00:23:47,000 --> 00:23:49,280 Speaker 1: as good as it could and we had to then 404 00:23:49,359 --> 00:23:51,920 Speaker 1: change the network. We had to make the network denser 405 00:23:52,240 --> 00:23:54,840 Speaker 1: to get more data down to your device. So we'll 406 00:23:54,880 --> 00:23:57,160 Speaker 1: have to do something different for chips. Whenever the lads 407 00:23:57,200 --> 00:23:59,159 Speaker 1: to Apple Toy comes out. I'm always amazed how the 408 00:23:59,160 --> 00:24:02,879 Speaker 1: media doesn't about the Qualcom world of technology around it. 409 00:24:02,920 --> 00:24:05,439 Speaker 1: In all, one of the things we do talk about 410 00:24:05,440 --> 00:24:08,240 Speaker 1: what you've got in your cool new not time folks 411 00:24:08,280 --> 00:24:11,840 Speaker 1: for Qualcom shameless play the snap Dragon eight, three, five 412 00:24:11,920 --> 00:24:16,080 Speaker 1: and next gen processor made for power users. But there's 413 00:24:16,080 --> 00:24:19,919 Speaker 1: still batteries. Tell me about what you're doing about what 414 00:24:20,000 --> 00:24:22,560 Speaker 1: every parent knows, which is we can take a room 415 00:24:22,600 --> 00:24:24,840 Speaker 1: in the house and make it a battery dumping ground 416 00:24:25,240 --> 00:24:27,600 Speaker 1: for our kids and everything. What are you doing about 417 00:24:27,720 --> 00:24:31,080 Speaker 1: lithium batteries and that? Yeah, I mean there hasn't been 418 00:24:31,119 --> 00:24:34,120 Speaker 1: as much progress, for sure in the battery technology as 419 00:24:34,160 --> 00:24:37,360 Speaker 1: we would like. We hadn't done some investments in battery 420 00:24:37,440 --> 00:24:42,080 Speaker 1: companies to try and improve that situation, but it's slow. 421 00:24:42,400 --> 00:24:45,399 Speaker 1: And Uh. The other thing is we try the other side, 422 00:24:45,720 --> 00:24:48,080 Speaker 1: which is to continue to make the chips more and 423 00:24:48,119 --> 00:24:51,320 Speaker 1: more power efficient. We moved to the latest generation of 424 00:24:51,320 --> 00:24:55,160 Speaker 1: integrated circuit technology to to do that, but of course 425 00:24:55,200 --> 00:24:57,719 Speaker 1: people also want more processing. When you want to do 426 00:24:57,920 --> 00:25:01,239 Speaker 1: virtual reality or more graphics, ben you're gonna use up 427 00:25:01,280 --> 00:25:05,200 Speaker 1: more battery life. So there's always this balance between what 428 00:25:05,240 --> 00:25:08,080 Speaker 1: we can do in terms of lowering power consumption and 429 00:25:08,119 --> 00:25:11,680 Speaker 1: what the consumer demands in terms of increased performance. Uh. 430 00:25:11,760 --> 00:25:13,959 Speaker 1: One other thing we've been trying is why I was charging. 431 00:25:14,600 --> 00:25:16,440 Speaker 1: I want to get this in if I could in 432 00:25:16,480 --> 00:25:19,080 Speaker 1: the time that we've got a very quickly here. Stem 433 00:25:19,160 --> 00:25:21,639 Speaker 1: is all the rage? Did you have to take liberal 434 00:25:21,720 --> 00:25:24,199 Speaker 1: arts as you wandered through Berkeley? I actually wanted to. 435 00:25:25,080 --> 00:25:27,080 Speaker 1: One thing that was kind of funny at Berkeley was 436 00:25:27,440 --> 00:25:29,320 Speaker 1: I actually was a good writer. When I went in 437 00:25:29,359 --> 00:25:31,000 Speaker 1: and I tried to get into an English class. They 438 00:25:31,000 --> 00:25:32,960 Speaker 1: didn't want an engineer in the English class. But I 439 00:25:33,040 --> 00:25:36,520 Speaker 1: took some arts classes and I'm doing I'll have to 440 00:25:36,600 --> 00:25:38,920 Speaker 1: leave it there, Paul Jacobs, thank you so much. With 441 00:25:39,200 --> 00:25:57,120 Speaker 1: qualcom from Davos. He has been, without question, the most 442 00:25:57,240 --> 00:26:02,359 Speaker 1: interesting person on Wall Street, UH, for any number of months. 443 00:26:02,440 --> 00:26:05,119 Speaker 1: It is one thing to find a candidate in politics, 444 00:26:05,200 --> 00:26:09,760 Speaker 1: as another one to get way out front of everybody else, 445 00:26:09,880 --> 00:26:13,920 Speaker 1: and Anthony Skermuchi did that with one Donald Trump long 446 00:26:13,960 --> 00:26:18,199 Speaker 1: ago and far away. It is simplistic to say that 447 00:26:18,280 --> 00:26:21,240 Speaker 1: he has taken the position that Valerie Jarrett held in 448 00:26:21,320 --> 00:26:26,000 Speaker 1: the Obama administration. Nobody believes for a minute that Anthony 449 00:26:26,040 --> 00:26:30,440 Speaker 1: Skermucchi will only be director the Office of Publicly aison 450 00:26:30,480 --> 00:26:32,960 Speaker 1: he can't even pronounce it publicly is on an inter 451 00:26:33,080 --> 00:26:36,720 Speaker 1: governmental affairs as well. Anthony skermuch he joins us this morning. 452 00:26:36,720 --> 00:26:39,800 Speaker 1: Good morning, we picked the French name for an American job. Well, 453 00:26:39,840 --> 00:26:43,880 Speaker 1: I think so. But what will you do? What will 454 00:26:43,880 --> 00:26:47,520 Speaker 1: you do January? Well, I'd like to start January twenty, 455 00:26:47,680 --> 00:26:50,760 Speaker 1: So I'm hoping right after the inaugural of many of 456 00:26:50,800 --> 00:26:53,159 Speaker 1: us will be in the West wing. Uh, starting to 457 00:26:53,200 --> 00:26:56,880 Speaker 1: put the apparatus of government together. But I think the 458 00:26:56,960 --> 00:26:59,639 Speaker 1: number one objective for me, Tom and I said this 459 00:27:00,200 --> 00:27:02,600 Speaker 1: last week, is to try to help people see the 460 00:27:02,640 --> 00:27:05,600 Speaker 1: president elect the way we see him. Uh, members of 461 00:27:05,640 --> 00:27:09,320 Speaker 1: his staff, members of his family. Uh. He's a very caring, 462 00:27:09,440 --> 00:27:13,720 Speaker 1: generous guy, very thoughtful. UM. He's got a great vision 463 00:27:13,840 --> 00:27:16,240 Speaker 1: and great direction of where he wants to take things. 464 00:27:16,800 --> 00:27:20,280 Speaker 1: We had a fantastic meeting yesterday. Unfortunately I wasn't there 465 00:27:20,280 --> 00:27:22,200 Speaker 1: because I was in route to Davos, but we had 466 00:27:22,200 --> 00:27:26,200 Speaker 1: a great meeting with Martin Luther King the third. Uh. 467 00:27:26,400 --> 00:27:29,399 Speaker 1: Jim Brown said recently that he sees him as the 468 00:27:29,760 --> 00:27:33,520 Speaker 1: quarterback of the inner city redevelopment. I think it's a 469 00:27:33,560 --> 00:27:36,320 Speaker 1: lot of fun things that Caden still plays against that 470 00:27:36,920 --> 00:27:39,679 Speaker 1: just in the last X number of hours a thirty 471 00:27:39,720 --> 00:27:43,240 Speaker 1: five pc terrifying BMW. The things that Donald Trump says 472 00:27:43,840 --> 00:27:48,679 Speaker 1: help our our listeners worldwide with the process. After he 473 00:27:48,880 --> 00:27:53,080 Speaker 1: says something to do, the advisors get together and say, 474 00:27:53,119 --> 00:27:56,479 Speaker 1: excuse me, sir, go in this direction, how is that 475 00:27:56,560 --> 00:27:59,280 Speaker 1: process working out? I don't. I don't think so specifically 476 00:27:59,359 --> 00:28:02,600 Speaker 1: the BMW. You just so that Americans understand what happens 477 00:28:02,600 --> 00:28:05,439 Speaker 1: is they're under a V A T tax system and 478 00:28:05,480 --> 00:28:10,320 Speaker 1: so they're they're effectively getting a rebate back on the 479 00:28:10,400 --> 00:28:12,480 Speaker 1: V A T to ship a car over to the 480 00:28:12,600 --> 00:28:15,760 Speaker 1: United States. In our system, because we have an income 481 00:28:15,800 --> 00:28:18,800 Speaker 1: tax and corporate income tax structure, we fix it day one. 482 00:28:19,560 --> 00:28:22,920 Speaker 1: I don't know if he can necessarily be fixed day one, 483 00:28:23,480 --> 00:28:26,160 Speaker 1: but there are border adjustment taxes that can be put 484 00:28:26,200 --> 00:28:29,280 Speaker 1: in place to level the playing field. We have an 485 00:28:29,320 --> 00:28:32,400 Speaker 1: eight hundred billion dollar trade deficit. Uh, there's no reason 486 00:28:32,480 --> 00:28:34,160 Speaker 1: why the United States needs to have an eight under 487 00:28:34,160 --> 00:28:37,720 Speaker 1: billion dollar trade deficit if we just equalize and create 488 00:28:37,800 --> 00:28:41,120 Speaker 1: symmetry in our trading relationship. So the President is saying 489 00:28:41,200 --> 00:28:44,800 Speaker 1: one thing, I think it's very specific let's make the 490 00:28:44,800 --> 00:28:47,240 Speaker 1: trade deals fair. Let me bringing my colleague in New York, 491 00:28:47,320 --> 00:28:51,720 Speaker 1: David Girl, with the Trump administration. David, it's great to 492 00:28:51,720 --> 00:28:53,720 Speaker 1: speak with you, and uh, you know, I I take 493 00:28:53,720 --> 00:28:55,280 Speaker 1: what you're saying that you want the American people to 494 00:28:55,320 --> 00:28:57,600 Speaker 1: see President Trump the way that that you see him, 495 00:28:57,720 --> 00:29:00,000 Speaker 1: help us understand where the humility is. I look at 496 00:29:00,000 --> 00:29:01,840 Speaker 1: the Wall Street Journal this morning, and I see the 497 00:29:01,880 --> 00:29:04,840 Speaker 1: outgoing director of the CIA really taking the President elect 498 00:29:04,840 --> 00:29:08,200 Speaker 1: to task here for imputing the integrity of of folks 499 00:29:08,200 --> 00:29:10,400 Speaker 1: in the intelligence community. I look at what the president 500 00:29:10,400 --> 00:29:14,120 Speaker 1: elect tweeted about John Lewis, virtual punches on Twitter towards him, 501 00:29:14,160 --> 00:29:16,720 Speaker 1: a guy who's taken real punches in the South during 502 00:29:16,720 --> 00:29:19,800 Speaker 1: the civil rights movement. Where's the humility? Would you like 503 00:29:19,840 --> 00:29:21,840 Speaker 1: to see more humility? There? We are we miss reading 504 00:29:21,880 --> 00:29:24,520 Speaker 1: what he's doing. Should should he be demonstrating more of 505 00:29:24,520 --> 00:29:27,280 Speaker 1: it on Twitter and and just publicly generally. So let's 506 00:29:27,360 --> 00:29:30,040 Speaker 1: let's let it's interesting the way you're characterizing all that, 507 00:29:30,080 --> 00:29:33,440 Speaker 1: So let me recharacterize it for the listener. For whatever reason, 508 00:29:33,480 --> 00:29:36,320 Speaker 1: Congressman Lewis decided that he wanted to say that the 509 00:29:36,360 --> 00:29:42,000 Speaker 1: election of President Donald J. Trump was illegitimate. So I 510 00:29:42,040 --> 00:29:44,320 Speaker 1: guess it's you're you're saying that he should not have 511 00:29:44,400 --> 00:29:47,120 Speaker 1: responded to that and the way they responded to it. 512 00:29:47,160 --> 00:29:51,280 Speaker 1: But what do we know about the president elect is 513 00:29:51,320 --> 00:29:54,200 Speaker 1: that he doesn't really like taking that sort of stuff. 514 00:29:54,200 --> 00:29:57,080 Speaker 1: You know, when when Meryl Streep is saying the nonsense 515 00:29:57,120 --> 00:30:00,640 Speaker 1: that she said ten or twelve days ago, he responding 516 00:30:00,680 --> 00:30:06,080 Speaker 1: to it. That's something that he's doesn't change. Janus, Let's 517 00:30:06,080 --> 00:30:08,440 Speaker 1: see if it does. You know, before I say if 518 00:30:08,480 --> 00:30:10,560 Speaker 1: it is or it is, it's his. It's up to 519 00:30:10,640 --> 00:30:12,880 Speaker 1: him to make the decision whether it's going to But 520 00:30:12,880 --> 00:30:16,920 Speaker 1: but when you talk about humility, I think humility is 521 00:30:16,960 --> 00:30:19,920 Speaker 1: often expressed in your children. I think humility is often 522 00:30:19,960 --> 00:30:23,480 Speaker 1: expressed in your family and in your grandchildren. This guy 523 00:30:23,560 --> 00:30:26,600 Speaker 1: is a very emotional guy. I knew he was moved 524 00:30:26,600 --> 00:30:28,880 Speaker 1: to tears on election night. I watched it. I was 525 00:30:28,920 --> 00:30:32,000 Speaker 1: there firsthand. Uh, this guy has an intense love for 526 00:30:32,040 --> 00:30:36,000 Speaker 1: the country. Whether people saw this or didn't see this. 527 00:30:36,040 --> 00:30:38,160 Speaker 1: And you were very nice in your opening remarks tom 528 00:30:38,360 --> 00:30:39,960 Speaker 1: to say that I saw it, but I didn't get 529 00:30:40,000 --> 00:30:42,600 Speaker 1: there as early as you suggested. But I got there 530 00:30:43,120 --> 00:30:48,480 Speaker 1: because he was identifying something in the population through his empathy. Uh. 531 00:30:48,520 --> 00:30:50,800 Speaker 1: There he is as a billionaire living in a very 532 00:30:50,920 --> 00:30:54,840 Speaker 1: large tower and probably the best location in midtown Manhattan. 533 00:30:55,240 --> 00:31:00,360 Speaker 1: But he understood the struggle. I don't but the good 534 00:31:00,360 --> 00:31:01,920 Speaker 1: news I get to hang out with him in the 535 00:31:01,960 --> 00:31:05,040 Speaker 1: best location free. But but my my point is is that, 536 00:31:05,120 --> 00:31:08,240 Speaker 1: like you say, humility, I see a lot of humility there, 537 00:31:08,280 --> 00:31:12,040 Speaker 1: but I also see em lency. He really understood what 538 00:31:12,080 --> 00:31:15,760 Speaker 1: was going on in working class communities and working class 539 00:31:15,800 --> 00:31:18,920 Speaker 1: families and and whether people want to hear this or not, 540 00:31:19,440 --> 00:31:23,440 Speaker 1: the democratic establishment that was their typical base. Uh, they 541 00:31:23,560 --> 00:31:26,640 Speaker 1: left them there for him to go in there. Well, 542 00:31:26,640 --> 00:31:28,719 Speaker 1: there's a lot of there's a lot of good evidence 543 00:31:28,720 --> 00:31:36,160 Speaker 1: of that, David continued, Please before I fry, Mr Scarmo repries, 544 00:31:36,200 --> 00:31:40,360 Speaker 1: because my feet are so. It was a long weekend, 545 00:31:40,360 --> 00:31:43,520 Speaker 1: of three day weekend, a lot of conversation about about Russia. 546 00:31:43,800 --> 00:31:45,520 Speaker 1: I'm sure that the president elect would like to move 547 00:31:45,520 --> 00:31:48,080 Speaker 1: on from this. You have Congress taking a renewed interest 548 00:31:48,120 --> 00:31:51,840 Speaker 1: here in what maybe a relationship between the campaign and Russia, 549 00:31:52,120 --> 00:31:56,000 Speaker 1: calls for committee hearings related to this. What's the president's 550 00:31:56,120 --> 00:31:58,120 Speaker 1: president elect approach going to be here? Why not just 551 00:31:58,120 --> 00:32:00,160 Speaker 1: go ahead with the hearings. Why not to deliver more 552 00:32:00,200 --> 00:32:05,080 Speaker 1: formal explanation. Well, I think there's a lot on the agenda. 553 00:32:05,400 --> 00:32:07,520 Speaker 1: I don't want to I don't want to speak necessarily 554 00:32:07,560 --> 00:32:10,560 Speaker 1: specifically about that. But if you look at the one 555 00:32:10,640 --> 00:32:14,080 Speaker 1: hundred day plan that the administration is putting together that 556 00:32:14,120 --> 00:32:18,080 Speaker 1: they want to project and execute over say the next 557 00:32:18,120 --> 00:32:20,920 Speaker 1: three months, um, I think they're just trying to measure 558 00:32:20,960 --> 00:32:24,240 Speaker 1: what is important, what's important to the American people, uh, 559 00:32:24,280 --> 00:32:26,760 Speaker 1: and doing a cost benefit analysis of that. I think, 560 00:32:27,240 --> 00:32:30,080 Speaker 1: you know, talking specifically about that, since I don't really 561 00:32:30,120 --> 00:32:33,920 Speaker 1: know the answer, I'd rather focus on the one day agenda. 562 00:32:34,160 --> 00:32:36,000 Speaker 1: Let me ask you about the news that's out on 563 00:32:36,200 --> 00:32:38,560 Speaker 1: social media now, which is your comments here at the 564 00:32:38,560 --> 00:32:43,640 Speaker 1: World Economic Form meetings about selling your business. Unlike Mr Trump, 565 00:32:43,640 --> 00:32:46,560 Speaker 1: who wants to somehow keep it going in different primitations, 566 00:32:47,080 --> 00:32:50,920 Speaker 1: you want to be free and clear of your Skybridge capital. Yeah, 567 00:32:50,960 --> 00:32:53,720 Speaker 1: well that's been public. It's been public on Bloomberg, Bloomberg Radio, 568 00:32:53,760 --> 00:32:57,239 Speaker 1: Bloomberg TV. H. I have Greg Fleming working on that 569 00:32:57,320 --> 00:33:00,960 Speaker 1: auction process for us. I think it's calm manating very soon. 570 00:33:01,600 --> 00:33:05,719 Speaker 1: The good news possibly possibly yeah, and so we have 571 00:33:08,400 --> 00:33:11,320 Speaker 1: I'm actually not being flipped about it. We're we're in 572 00:33:11,600 --> 00:33:15,920 Speaker 1: uh the last strokes of a few pens of a deal, 573 00:33:16,400 --> 00:33:17,960 Speaker 1: uh And I'll be very happy to announce it to 574 00:33:17,960 --> 00:33:20,640 Speaker 1: you Tom once it once it actually comes together. But 575 00:33:20,760 --> 00:33:23,280 Speaker 1: I don't want to do is because I'm a superstitious 576 00:33:23,320 --> 00:33:26,080 Speaker 1: person tell you something that has actually formulate. But we're 577 00:33:26,080 --> 00:33:29,560 Speaker 1: getting close. But the good news is for the company 578 00:33:29,600 --> 00:33:32,200 Speaker 1: and for the clients, once the release is out of 579 00:33:32,200 --> 00:33:35,120 Speaker 1: peoples seat directionly we're going. It's a very safe pair 580 00:33:35,120 --> 00:33:37,120 Speaker 1: of hands. You're bringing up an issue that which I 581 00:33:37,160 --> 00:33:40,520 Speaker 1: think people need to really understand. There's one person in 582 00:33:40,560 --> 00:33:45,560 Speaker 1: the American government that is un encumbered by those restrictions 583 00:33:45,600 --> 00:33:48,520 Speaker 1: and by those conflicts, and that is the American President. 584 00:33:48,520 --> 00:33:51,040 Speaker 1: And so I don't know why that is. I don't 585 00:33:51,080 --> 00:33:53,680 Speaker 1: know how that came into be, but he technically could 586 00:33:53,760 --> 00:33:56,720 Speaker 1: run his business and and and work in the old 587 00:33:57,720 --> 00:34:09,040 Speaker 1: Anthony Sam, thank you. Thanks for listening to the Bloomberg 588 00:34:09,040 --> 00:34:14,520 Speaker 1: Surveillance Podcast. Subscribe and listen to interviews on iTunes, SoundCloud, 589 00:34:14,960 --> 00:34:19,200 Speaker 1: or whichever podcast platform you prefer. I'm out on Twitter 590 00:34:19,280 --> 00:34:23,080 Speaker 1: at Tom Keene. David Gura is at David Gura. Before 591 00:34:23,120 --> 00:34:27,480 Speaker 1: the podcast, you can always catch us worldwide I'm Bloomberg Radio, 592 00:34:39,960 --> 00:34:43,480 Speaker 1: brought you by Bank of America. Mary Lynch. Dedicated to 593 00:34:43,560 --> 00:34:47,440 Speaker 1: bringing our clients insights and solutions to meet the challenges 594 00:34:47,600 --> 00:34:51,319 Speaker 1: of a transforming world. That's the power of global connections. 595 00:34:51,680 --> 00:34:56,400 Speaker 1: Mary Lynch, Pierce Feerin Smith Incorporated, Member s I p 596 00:34:56,600 --> 00:34:56,640 Speaker 1: C