1 00:00:05,600 --> 00:00:11,760 Speaker 1: This is Straight Fire with Jason McIntyre. What is up 2 00:00:11,800 --> 00:00:17,640 Speaker 1: straight Fire, FAMI? It's made Jason McIntyre straight Fire for Friday, 3 00:00:17,680 --> 00:00:21,759 Speaker 1: December thirty one. It's the end of the year, ladies 4 00:00:21,760 --> 00:00:25,720 Speaker 1: and gentlemen. What an exciting day. This usually is um 5 00:00:26,120 --> 00:00:29,320 Speaker 1: end of the year, start of another one. Nobody's got 6 00:00:29,320 --> 00:00:32,000 Speaker 1: their New Year's resolutions all cued up. I hope everybody 7 00:00:32,000 --> 00:00:34,440 Speaker 1: had a great week. I took a couple of days 8 00:00:34,440 --> 00:00:37,840 Speaker 1: off of the podcast, traveling to Parts unknown to see family. 9 00:00:37,880 --> 00:00:39,720 Speaker 1: It was a world wind trip. I won't bore you 10 00:00:39,760 --> 00:00:43,280 Speaker 1: with all the details, but essentially, I like to save time. 11 00:00:43,360 --> 00:00:45,839 Speaker 1: I think time is our most valuable resource. It's the 12 00:00:45,840 --> 00:00:48,680 Speaker 1: most important resource, and as such, I like to fly 13 00:00:48,760 --> 00:00:51,479 Speaker 1: on red eyes. So I flew a red eye east 14 00:00:51,520 --> 00:00:55,960 Speaker 1: earlier this week and a few days hanging out with relatives. 15 00:00:56,280 --> 00:00:59,840 Speaker 1: You know, since we moved west back in I have 16 00:01:00,480 --> 00:01:04,680 Speaker 1: only been back once, um to you know, we're we're 17 00:01:04,800 --> 00:01:07,920 Speaker 1: friends and family are in a lot of New Jersey Pennsylvania, um. 18 00:01:07,959 --> 00:01:11,240 Speaker 1: And that was for my wife's dad's funeral and um. 19 00:01:11,520 --> 00:01:13,480 Speaker 1: Other than that, I haven't really been back. So I 20 00:01:13,480 --> 00:01:16,520 Speaker 1: haven't seen a lot of people. And I was able 21 00:01:16,520 --> 00:01:18,760 Speaker 1: to see a lot of you know, my white side 22 00:01:18,760 --> 00:01:21,000 Speaker 1: of the family and saw my brother and his wife 23 00:01:21,000 --> 00:01:24,559 Speaker 1: and their dog, and um, just a whirlwind trip for 24 00:01:24,720 --> 00:01:26,720 Speaker 1: a lot of fun and I was able to uh 25 00:01:26,920 --> 00:01:29,960 Speaker 1: get some reading done and m R and R as 26 00:01:30,000 --> 00:01:32,319 Speaker 1: they like to say in the in the industry, well 27 00:01:32,440 --> 00:01:36,240 Speaker 1: rest and relaxation, a lot of um digital therapy, you know, 28 00:01:36,319 --> 00:01:38,559 Speaker 1: like not on my phone all the time and watch 29 00:01:38,600 --> 00:01:40,600 Speaker 1: a little bit of Bowl games. But they've largely been crappy. 30 00:01:40,720 --> 00:01:43,120 Speaker 1: But as we'll talk to with our guests shortly, Brad Powers, 31 00:01:43,120 --> 00:01:46,280 Speaker 1: it's been a lucrative run. I teased it on Twitter. 32 00:01:46,400 --> 00:01:48,960 Speaker 1: I know I should be putting pics on Instagram stories, 33 00:01:48,960 --> 00:01:50,240 Speaker 1: but again, I'm trying not to be on my phone 34 00:01:50,280 --> 00:01:53,240 Speaker 1: the whole time. Um. You watch the first like three 35 00:01:53,280 --> 00:01:55,800 Speaker 1: or four series of these Bowl games and you can 36 00:01:55,840 --> 00:01:58,040 Speaker 1: tell who wants to be there and who doesn't. It's 37 00:01:58,200 --> 00:02:02,400 Speaker 1: very evident. And this week, almost every game, it's like 38 00:02:02,480 --> 00:02:05,840 Speaker 1: one side just has no interest in playing and you 39 00:02:05,840 --> 00:02:08,760 Speaker 1: know they just don't care, and that that's when you 40 00:02:08,800 --> 00:02:11,520 Speaker 1: smash the live bedding. And I mean I'll quickly go 41 00:02:11,600 --> 00:02:13,200 Speaker 1: through a couple of the games, but it's been like 42 00:02:13,800 --> 00:02:19,000 Speaker 1: blowout City Oregon. You could tell very quickly. Um. Oregon 43 00:02:19,080 --> 00:02:23,240 Speaker 1: just had no interest in being there. Um. And Oklahoma 44 00:02:23,280 --> 00:02:26,680 Speaker 1: crossing was stoops as a blood bath. Early Maryland jumped 45 00:02:26,880 --> 00:02:30,760 Speaker 1: all over Virginia Tech, I mean just annihilated them Texas 46 00:02:30,840 --> 00:02:35,959 Speaker 1: Tech and South Carolina on Thursday with an easy one. Um. Again, 47 00:02:36,160 --> 00:02:37,840 Speaker 1: you wait for three or four series, you see where 48 00:02:37,840 --> 00:02:39,800 Speaker 1: it's headed, and then you hammer the end game bed 49 00:02:39,880 --> 00:02:42,440 Speaker 1: because I don't know pre flop who's gonna show up. 50 00:02:42,600 --> 00:02:45,160 Speaker 1: You just don't. And so I've been waiting on them 51 00:02:45,160 --> 00:02:48,280 Speaker 1: in a different strategy. Um. With these bowl games again, 52 00:02:48,320 --> 00:02:51,280 Speaker 1: with COVID, the opt outs. We'll talk with Brad Powers 53 00:02:51,280 --> 00:02:53,840 Speaker 1: about it. You can't really do this in the college 54 00:02:53,840 --> 00:02:56,400 Speaker 1: football playoff because they all want to be there. Um. 55 00:02:56,440 --> 00:02:58,240 Speaker 1: And I don't know if it applies as much to 56 00:02:58,320 --> 00:03:01,880 Speaker 1: like a Rose Bowl. Um, but we'll see. We'll play 57 00:03:01,880 --> 00:03:04,000 Speaker 1: it by year. Um. So we'll get to Brad Power shortly. 58 00:03:04,080 --> 00:03:06,080 Speaker 1: NFL picks at the end of the podcast. The only 59 00:03:06,240 --> 00:03:08,600 Speaker 1: real I didn't miss much this week not doing the 60 00:03:08,600 --> 00:03:10,960 Speaker 1: pod for a couple of days. Oh, Carson Wentz got COVID. 61 00:03:11,000 --> 00:03:14,440 Speaker 1: Then they change the COVID rules. You know, NBA still 62 00:03:14,480 --> 00:03:17,200 Speaker 1: canceling games. Ge Leae guys are getting their shine like 63 00:03:17,200 --> 00:03:20,200 Speaker 1: there's there's no great storylines and other Lakers still floundering. 64 00:03:20,600 --> 00:03:22,480 Speaker 1: Um not sorry, not going to close out the year 65 00:03:22,480 --> 00:03:26,080 Speaker 1: by dumping dirt on the Lakers. Trust me, trust me. 66 00:03:26,320 --> 00:03:30,760 Speaker 1: Once the NFL regular season is done and the playoffs 67 00:03:30,800 --> 00:03:32,560 Speaker 1: are here, there's not a ton of line movement. It's 68 00:03:32,560 --> 00:03:36,800 Speaker 1: a really tough market, and we'll be doing plenty more 69 00:03:36,800 --> 00:03:40,720 Speaker 1: on the Lakers, who are, as we record this seventh 70 00:03:40,880 --> 00:03:46,120 Speaker 1: in the West and three games out of entirely missing 71 00:03:46,120 --> 00:03:48,480 Speaker 1: the playoffs. But you don't really care about the Lakers. 72 00:03:48,480 --> 00:03:51,280 Speaker 1: I think you do. Guys do care about Ben Roethlisberger. 73 00:03:51,560 --> 00:03:55,560 Speaker 1: And he's starting to come to grips with his um retirement. 74 00:03:55,560 --> 00:03:58,560 Speaker 1: And he basically said, Hey, you know, this Monday night 75 00:03:58,560 --> 00:04:01,040 Speaker 1: football against Browns are gonna be my last game in Hinesfield. 76 00:04:01,160 --> 00:04:05,160 Speaker 1: Probably gonna be an emotional game. UM, probably gonna be 77 00:04:05,200 --> 00:04:09,440 Speaker 1: one where um Ben tries his hardest and really puts 78 00:04:09,440 --> 00:04:12,440 Speaker 1: everything forth and and guess what, the Browns probably crush him. 79 00:04:12,760 --> 00:04:15,520 Speaker 1: Cleveland is taking all sorts of money this week. Uh, 80 00:04:15,560 --> 00:04:20,000 Speaker 1: they seem like they're uh pretty much the side here 81 00:04:20,040 --> 00:04:22,880 Speaker 1: and they're healthy in their back and I don't know Guys, 82 00:04:23,240 --> 00:04:24,640 Speaker 1: it's tough for me to make a case that Ben 83 00:04:24,720 --> 00:04:28,200 Speaker 1: goes out on top. More likely he's benched Psyche. There's 84 00:04:28,200 --> 00:04:30,839 Speaker 1: no way to benching Ben in his final game in Hinsfield. Um, 85 00:04:30,960 --> 00:04:34,520 Speaker 1: but I'm more excited for, you know, the end of 86 00:04:34,520 --> 00:04:37,559 Speaker 1: Ben's career because guess what then, the Steelers, who pretty 87 00:04:37,640 --> 00:04:41,200 Speaker 1: much have a playoff team right. Offensive defense are good, 88 00:04:41,240 --> 00:04:43,760 Speaker 1: the offensive line is terrible, the play calling's gotta go. 89 00:04:44,240 --> 00:04:46,760 Speaker 1: But you get them a quarterback, and I think you 90 00:04:46,800 --> 00:04:48,600 Speaker 1: could really make a really strong case of Steelers are 91 00:04:48,680 --> 00:04:50,680 Speaker 1: right that back in the thick of things in the 92 00:04:50,720 --> 00:04:52,599 Speaker 1: a f C. I mean there're no Chiefs, probably not 93 00:04:52,640 --> 00:04:55,599 Speaker 1: the Bills, but the next tier what it tightens, I 94 00:04:55,600 --> 00:05:00,200 Speaker 1: mean Dolphins, Like really, Steelers can't hang with them. I mean, 95 00:05:00,200 --> 00:05:02,000 Speaker 1: we don't know if the Bengals are gonna keep this up, Frankly, 96 00:05:02,040 --> 00:05:05,400 Speaker 1: if anything, Um, we look at fade the Bengals next year. 97 00:05:05,520 --> 00:05:06,919 Speaker 1: Zach Taylor, we knew coming in and he's not a 98 00:05:06,920 --> 00:05:09,479 Speaker 1: good coach. Broken only bailed him out so much. And 99 00:05:09,480 --> 00:05:11,560 Speaker 1: with the first place schedule, remember they were last place 100 00:05:11,640 --> 00:05:13,840 Speaker 1: last year. First place schedule is gonna be a tough one. 101 00:05:14,480 --> 00:05:17,560 Speaker 1: And I still don't trust Zach Taylor at all. Um. 102 00:05:17,680 --> 00:05:20,159 Speaker 1: We will actually get to a little Chiefs Bengals later 103 00:05:20,240 --> 00:05:22,360 Speaker 1: in the pod, but yeah, I don't think the Steelers 104 00:05:22,400 --> 00:05:24,800 Speaker 1: are totally done. A buddy of mine who has been 105 00:05:24,800 --> 00:05:27,919 Speaker 1: a longtime Steelers fan listen to the pod Gambles. You know, 106 00:05:28,120 --> 00:05:31,360 Speaker 1: I was gonna ask him, like, dude, big, the big 107 00:05:31,400 --> 00:05:33,960 Speaker 1: Big Ben had a great run, and it's like, oddly, 108 00:05:34,839 --> 00:05:37,680 Speaker 1: we don't feel that much of a connection to these stars, 109 00:05:38,160 --> 00:05:40,960 Speaker 1: you know, Um, yeah, then won a super Bowl. He's 110 00:05:40,960 --> 00:05:43,520 Speaker 1: had a great I think eighteen seasons in Pittsburgh, awesome run. 111 00:05:43,920 --> 00:05:47,039 Speaker 1: But again for me, it's like, Okay, who's next? You know? 112 00:05:47,080 --> 00:05:49,080 Speaker 1: And I felt that way about the Jets for the 113 00:05:49,120 --> 00:05:52,159 Speaker 1: longest time, Like Mark Sanchez had two good years game 114 00:05:52,200 --> 00:05:54,800 Speaker 1: managing them to the a f C Playoffs ANC Championship. 115 00:05:55,480 --> 00:05:57,680 Speaker 1: It's like Sanche stinks, he's gone. All Right, Who's next? 116 00:05:57,839 --> 00:06:00,000 Speaker 1: And I know Ben eighteen years Hall of Fame, Yeah, 117 00:06:00,000 --> 00:06:03,520 Speaker 1: I get it, But try Paulamalu's amazing safety retires. Okay. 118 00:06:03,600 --> 00:06:07,720 Speaker 1: You know that's the one weirdness about my sports fandom. 119 00:06:07,720 --> 00:06:10,640 Speaker 1: In the NFL. I don't get massive attachment to players, 120 00:06:11,000 --> 00:06:13,800 Speaker 1: and I don't know that many do the way they 121 00:06:13,839 --> 00:06:16,320 Speaker 1: do in the NBA, like because one guy in the 122 00:06:16,400 --> 00:06:19,279 Speaker 1: NBA can impact things so much with in the NFL, 123 00:06:19,320 --> 00:06:22,080 Speaker 1: like most of these guys. Honestly, how much are they 124 00:06:22,080 --> 00:06:26,040 Speaker 1: all worth? The line? You know, you leave the NBA, 125 00:06:26,160 --> 00:06:27,600 Speaker 1: like Steph Curry has to miss a month and the 126 00:06:27,600 --> 00:06:29,320 Speaker 1: Warriors go from the best team in the league to like, 127 00:06:29,360 --> 00:06:33,960 Speaker 1: I don't know what, Like come on, um, so I 128 00:06:33,960 --> 00:06:37,800 Speaker 1: don't know Ben Roethlisberger a great run. I'm not denigrating anything, um, 129 00:06:37,839 --> 00:06:41,360 Speaker 1: just saying like, hey, you know, congratulations, Uh, enjoy life 130 00:06:41,400 --> 00:06:44,599 Speaker 1: after the NFL. And without further ado, let's get to 131 00:06:44,600 --> 00:06:50,159 Speaker 1: our guest, Brad Powers, college football handicapper extraordinaire. Fox Sports 132 00:06:50,240 --> 00:06:52,880 Speaker 1: Radio has the best sports talk lineup in the nation. 133 00:06:53,200 --> 00:06:56,120 Speaker 1: Catch all of our shows at Fox sports Radio dot 134 00:06:56,160 --> 00:06:59,159 Speaker 1: com and within the I Heart Radio app. Search f 135 00:06:59,480 --> 00:07:05,599 Speaker 1: s R to listen live. Jason likes to think he 136 00:07:05,640 --> 00:07:08,800 Speaker 1: knows everything when it comes to sports. I know what 137 00:07:08,880 --> 00:07:12,239 Speaker 1: sports stance want, But for everything he doesn't, he knows 138 00:07:12,240 --> 00:07:15,120 Speaker 1: a guy who does. Let's just say I know a 139 00:07:15,160 --> 00:07:18,960 Speaker 1: guy who knows a guy who knows another guy. All right, 140 00:07:19,000 --> 00:07:23,320 Speaker 1: let's welcome back into straight fire college football guru. I 141 00:07:23,360 --> 00:07:24,760 Speaker 1: don't know what we want to call him. I mean 142 00:07:24,800 --> 00:07:27,320 Speaker 1: he's all over the betting scene and the last time 143 00:07:27,320 --> 00:07:30,880 Speaker 1: he was here with tremendous information and bets. Brad Powers, 144 00:07:30,880 --> 00:07:33,680 Speaker 1: how are you man? Excellent? Thanks for having me on. Yeah, 145 00:07:33,720 --> 00:07:36,120 Speaker 1: you say excellent. But this Bull season sucked. I mean 146 00:07:36,440 --> 00:07:38,640 Speaker 1: financially it's been pretty good, but the games have been 147 00:07:38,680 --> 00:07:40,760 Speaker 1: awful and a lot of cancelations. How's it going for 148 00:07:40,800 --> 00:07:44,000 Speaker 1: you so far? H It was a slow start as 149 00:07:44,040 --> 00:07:46,600 Speaker 1: far as you know the betting scene, at least for me. 150 00:07:46,680 --> 00:07:48,880 Speaker 1: But I mean last three or four days, I mean 151 00:07:48,920 --> 00:07:50,840 Speaker 1: it hasn't been It couldn't get any better. I mean 152 00:07:50,880 --> 00:07:53,520 Speaker 1: all the information, I mean, if you've been following the 153 00:07:53,520 --> 00:07:55,920 Speaker 1: line moves with a lot of these games, I mean 154 00:07:56,000 --> 00:07:59,320 Speaker 1: it's just been you talk about straight fire. I mean 155 00:07:59,320 --> 00:08:02,720 Speaker 1: it's been straight cash money on a lot of this. 156 00:08:02,840 --> 00:08:05,800 Speaker 1: I mean you look at like a Western Michigan Nevada game, 157 00:08:05,920 --> 00:08:07,880 Speaker 1: a line that moves to touchdown. It doesn't matter what 158 00:08:08,000 --> 00:08:10,280 Speaker 1: line you get in that game. All the bets on 159 00:08:10,360 --> 00:08:14,920 Speaker 1: Western Michigan one. Uh. It's just with Bull season, it 160 00:08:14,960 --> 00:08:18,000 Speaker 1: can be. You know, you could have some of your 161 00:08:18,040 --> 00:08:19,840 Speaker 1: worst losses of the season, but you can also have 162 00:08:19,880 --> 00:08:22,239 Speaker 1: some of your easiest winners. It's just a very high 163 00:08:22,320 --> 00:08:25,840 Speaker 1: variance type of situation right now that you know. The 164 00:08:25,880 --> 00:08:27,880 Speaker 1: one thing I noticed, Brad is a lot of these 165 00:08:27,920 --> 00:08:29,760 Speaker 1: games you can tell in the first three or four 166 00:08:29,880 --> 00:08:32,040 Speaker 1: drives which team wants to be there and the other 167 00:08:32,080 --> 00:08:36,720 Speaker 1: team just doesn't care. Uh And like for instant Oklahoma Oregon, um, 168 00:08:36,760 --> 00:08:38,760 Speaker 1: you know, basically that's one of these like, oh, Oregon, 169 00:08:38,800 --> 00:08:41,400 Speaker 1: they don't seem that interested in Oklahoma, big plays, galore 170 00:08:41,760 --> 00:08:44,080 Speaker 1: stoops and it's just blowout city. Are you doing a 171 00:08:44,080 --> 00:08:47,600 Speaker 1: lot of in game betting at all? Oh? Absolutely? I 172 00:08:47,640 --> 00:08:52,040 Speaker 1: mean certainly if my pre flop, my pregame betting is wrong, 173 00:08:52,080 --> 00:08:54,400 Speaker 1: I want to get off that position. I mean, thankfully 174 00:08:54,520 --> 00:08:56,720 Speaker 1: there is a thing called in game live betting where 175 00:08:56,720 --> 00:08:58,559 Speaker 1: I can get off some of those positions that were 176 00:08:58,559 --> 00:09:00,599 Speaker 1: just incorrect. So I think you hit the nail on 177 00:09:00,640 --> 00:09:03,760 Speaker 1: the head there. I think this Bowl season is showing 178 00:09:03,800 --> 00:09:08,319 Speaker 1: you that the future of betting football is not necessarily 179 00:09:08,360 --> 00:09:11,040 Speaker 1: waking up on game day and an hour before kick betting. 180 00:09:11,160 --> 00:09:13,319 Speaker 1: Wait till the game starts and you can bet live 181 00:09:13,400 --> 00:09:15,400 Speaker 1: and actually see a couple of drives and see if 182 00:09:15,400 --> 00:09:17,720 Speaker 1: a teams you know, really wanting to be there, especially 183 00:09:17,800 --> 00:09:20,040 Speaker 1: during bowl season. Yeah. Now, I will say for the 184 00:09:20,080 --> 00:09:23,040 Speaker 1: college football playoff games, I don't know if that strategy 185 00:09:23,080 --> 00:09:25,959 Speaker 1: will apply as much because they obviously care, they want 186 00:09:25,960 --> 00:09:27,600 Speaker 1: to be there. You know, hopefully this changes in the 187 00:09:27,640 --> 00:09:30,240 Speaker 1: future we have like sixteen or twelve or whatever, uh 188 00:09:30,360 --> 00:09:33,400 Speaker 1: playoff you want. But I'm curious how you're handicapping the 189 00:09:33,520 --> 00:09:36,760 Speaker 1: Cincinnati Alabama game because you know, Brad, I really want 190 00:09:36,760 --> 00:09:38,720 Speaker 1: to make a case for Cincinnati. But I've been down 191 00:09:38,760 --> 00:09:41,319 Speaker 1: this well before. Hey man, I think Michigan State could 192 00:09:41,360 --> 00:09:45,600 Speaker 1: probably hang with with Alabama, you know, I think maybe 193 00:09:45,640 --> 00:09:48,320 Speaker 1: Notre Dame can can hang around and and then you're like, okay, 194 00:09:48,360 --> 00:09:50,800 Speaker 1: saving a month to prepare, it's game over? Are you 195 00:09:50,840 --> 00:09:53,120 Speaker 1: making any case for the Bearcats? And I will end 196 00:09:53,120 --> 00:09:55,640 Speaker 1: by saying, I think the secs owing for and bull 197 00:09:55,679 --> 00:09:58,240 Speaker 1: games so far this year. Yeah. So you hit a 198 00:09:58,240 --> 00:10:02,160 Speaker 1: ton of a student officer stations there, number one. Uh. 199 00:10:02,240 --> 00:10:05,000 Speaker 1: You know we've seen almost every bowl game. You're seeing 200 00:10:05,080 --> 00:10:07,400 Speaker 1: huge line moves. I mean, whether it's three points, seven 201 00:10:07,400 --> 00:10:09,880 Speaker 1: points or even more than that. You're not seeing that 202 00:10:09,920 --> 00:10:12,200 Speaker 1: with a semifinals. So why is that the case? It's 203 00:10:12,240 --> 00:10:15,079 Speaker 1: just not that the numbers are sharper there are no 204 00:10:15,160 --> 00:10:18,600 Speaker 1: disparities as far as motivation. All four teams obviously want 205 00:10:18,600 --> 00:10:20,520 Speaker 1: to be there. All four teams want to win in 206 00:10:20,600 --> 00:10:23,360 Speaker 1: advance the national championship games. So we haven't seen hardly 207 00:10:23,400 --> 00:10:26,040 Speaker 1: any line movement other than maybe a point or two 208 00:10:26,360 --> 00:10:29,520 Speaker 1: on a couple of totals. Uh. With as far as Alabama, 209 00:10:29,679 --> 00:10:32,200 Speaker 1: I'm with you. It started probably with that Michigan State 210 00:10:32,240 --> 00:10:35,160 Speaker 1: game five six years ago. I bet Michigan State pretty heavy. 211 00:10:35,360 --> 00:10:37,160 Speaker 1: I lost. I can tell you that was the last 212 00:10:37,200 --> 00:10:41,600 Speaker 1: time I faded Nick Saban in a semifinal. Last five semifinals, 213 00:10:41,960 --> 00:10:44,360 Speaker 1: he's won of by twenty points per game. And you 214 00:10:44,400 --> 00:10:47,120 Speaker 1: could say, oh, this point spread looks a lot. Well, 215 00:10:47,160 --> 00:10:49,520 Speaker 1: I mean, he laid more points against Washington, laid more 216 00:10:49,559 --> 00:10:52,440 Speaker 1: points against Oklahoma, laid a bunch of points against Notre Dame. 217 00:10:52,559 --> 00:10:54,600 Speaker 1: He's winning them, and he's winning them with margin. He 218 00:10:54,640 --> 00:10:56,920 Speaker 1: didn't cover last year, but they could have easily covered 219 00:10:56,920 --> 00:10:59,440 Speaker 1: if not for that late touchdown by the Irish. I 220 00:10:59,440 --> 00:11:01,960 Speaker 1: mean it might sound square, but I bet Alabama. I 221 00:11:02,000 --> 00:11:05,080 Speaker 1: just I can't talk myself in the Cincinnati I mean 222 00:11:05,200 --> 00:11:09,000 Speaker 1: to make that with that army of analysts that Alabama has, 223 00:11:09,280 --> 00:11:12,160 Speaker 1: and they have three weeks that I sex Cincinnati. Cincinnati 224 00:11:12,200 --> 00:11:15,400 Speaker 1: doesn't have an army of analysts breaking down tape. For Alabama, 225 00:11:15,520 --> 00:11:17,800 Speaker 1: I can only go with the crimson time. I did 226 00:11:17,880 --> 00:11:20,880 Speaker 1: go with a little nibble on the under because I wonder, 227 00:11:20,960 --> 00:11:22,920 Speaker 1: you know, Alabama is that they're up thirty to seven 228 00:11:22,920 --> 00:11:25,640 Speaker 1: in the late third quarter and it's a blowout? Does 229 00:11:25,760 --> 00:11:28,160 Speaker 1: does say? But they're not pouring it on in the semifinal. 230 00:11:28,200 --> 00:11:30,240 Speaker 1: They've still got another game to go. Do they just 231 00:11:30,320 --> 00:11:32,960 Speaker 1: grind it out? You know? And they have a huge 232 00:11:33,040 --> 00:11:34,760 Speaker 1: edge in the trenches. I looked on the two deep 233 00:11:34,800 --> 00:11:37,160 Speaker 1: for the Bearcats. They don't have a three pounder on 234 00:11:37,200 --> 00:11:39,920 Speaker 1: the line, and I just is Alabama gonna do some 235 00:11:39,960 --> 00:11:41,959 Speaker 1: bully ball here? A lot of ground game? Any thoughts 236 00:11:42,000 --> 00:11:44,800 Speaker 1: on the total? I bet the under if I had 237 00:11:44,840 --> 00:11:46,400 Speaker 1: to go with my favorite bets and I made in 238 00:11:46,440 --> 00:11:49,080 Speaker 1: the semifinals, probably under fifty nine was my favorite bet, 239 00:11:49,080 --> 00:11:51,120 Speaker 1: and I bet that, you know, immediately didn't move too 240 00:11:51,160 --> 00:11:53,280 Speaker 1: much of We're starting to see some under money trickle in, 241 00:11:53,640 --> 00:11:56,319 Speaker 1: and to me, just you know, look at the projected 242 00:11:56,360 --> 00:11:58,680 Speaker 1: score of this game. It's you know, right around Albama 243 00:11:58,760 --> 00:12:01,880 Speaker 1: thirty six two, Alabama thirty six points sounds good to me. 244 00:12:02,120 --> 00:12:05,559 Speaker 1: Consistent nay put twenty two on Alabama, I'm not sure, 245 00:12:05,840 --> 00:12:08,199 Speaker 1: and again you're right. I think Alabama gets out to 246 00:12:08,240 --> 00:12:11,760 Speaker 1: an early ly. They probably play conservatively, run the football, 247 00:12:11,840 --> 00:12:14,280 Speaker 1: get some first ounds and look at you know, last 248 00:12:14,320 --> 00:12:17,319 Speaker 1: year semifinal, but the offense away against Notre Dame in 249 00:12:17,360 --> 00:12:19,920 Speaker 1: the second half. I think that's the case again here, 250 00:12:20,200 --> 00:12:22,480 Speaker 1: I mean, get up to enough margin where you feel 251 00:12:22,520 --> 00:12:25,120 Speaker 1: comfortable and then you know it's the focus goes towards 252 00:12:25,160 --> 00:12:27,200 Speaker 1: the national championship game in the second half. I think 253 00:12:27,200 --> 00:12:29,920 Speaker 1: that's the case in this one. This is more narrative base, 254 00:12:30,040 --> 00:12:32,480 Speaker 1: but I think everybody's probably gonna be rooting, you know, 255 00:12:32,600 --> 00:12:35,839 Speaker 1: for the little guy against Obama. Here, Alabama does have 256 00:12:35,880 --> 00:12:38,599 Speaker 1: a freshman quarterback. Obviously he's great and online to be 257 00:12:38,640 --> 00:12:41,280 Speaker 1: a number one picked down the road. But is there 258 00:12:41,280 --> 00:12:43,240 Speaker 1: a case where Cincinnati comes out and has like a 259 00:12:43,280 --> 00:12:45,480 Speaker 1: boisy state field to it, where they try a bunch 260 00:12:45,520 --> 00:12:48,880 Speaker 1: of give at plays catch Alabama napping? Maybe? Um, do 261 00:12:48,920 --> 00:12:52,199 Speaker 1: you think there's an element of surprise from from the Bearcats? Yeah, 262 00:12:52,240 --> 00:12:54,719 Speaker 1: there certainly could be. And I think another question you 263 00:12:54,760 --> 00:12:57,280 Speaker 1: gotta ask yourselves on you know which way you're gonna 264 00:12:57,280 --> 00:12:59,440 Speaker 1: bet in this game. Are we gonna get the Alabama 265 00:12:59,520 --> 00:13:05,560 Speaker 1: of the ball game regular season where they struggled against Auburn, LSU, Arkansas, Florida, Texas, 266 00:13:05,600 --> 00:13:07,720 Speaker 1: A and M or we get in the Alabama that 267 00:13:07,760 --> 00:13:10,400 Speaker 1: we saw in the final three quarters against Georgia. I mean, 268 00:13:10,640 --> 00:13:13,000 Speaker 1: you answer whatever way you answer that question is where 269 00:13:13,000 --> 00:13:15,480 Speaker 1: you're which side you're taking in this game. So look, 270 00:13:15,720 --> 00:13:17,719 Speaker 1: I'll say this about Cincinnati. I know a lot of 271 00:13:17,760 --> 00:13:19,679 Speaker 1: people are rooting for a little guy. I actually think 272 00:13:19,679 --> 00:13:23,400 Speaker 1: they deserve to be there. Yeah, it's I don't think 273 00:13:23,400 --> 00:13:25,640 Speaker 1: it's a charity case in this instance. I mean, I 274 00:13:25,640 --> 00:13:29,040 Speaker 1: thought Cincinnati proved themselves against an SEC team last year. 275 00:13:29,080 --> 00:13:31,640 Speaker 1: They should have beaten Georgia outright in that Peach Ball 276 00:13:31,640 --> 00:13:34,200 Speaker 1: game last year. So I mean, sure they'll dial up 277 00:13:34,240 --> 00:13:37,559 Speaker 1: a few things. But uh, the thing with the Alabama 278 00:13:37,559 --> 00:13:39,400 Speaker 1: that's made them the best dynasty in the history of 279 00:13:39,440 --> 00:13:42,200 Speaker 1: college football, it's just not they're the most talented. They're 280 00:13:42,240 --> 00:13:44,480 Speaker 1: the best coach. So I mean, I I just don't 281 00:13:44,600 --> 00:13:46,199 Speaker 1: They're not a type of team that you can fool 282 00:13:46,240 --> 00:13:50,280 Speaker 1: a lot and out. You're not out scheming Alabama. It's 283 00:13:50,360 --> 00:13:52,880 Speaker 1: it's it's a tall order for Cincinnati. Um, I think 284 00:13:52,880 --> 00:13:56,920 Speaker 1: Georgia Michigan probably is the easier bet. Now from the 285 00:13:56,960 --> 00:13:59,320 Speaker 1: looks of it, everybody's gonna be on Michigan. The public 286 00:13:59,360 --> 00:14:03,560 Speaker 1: better casual guy fifty twenty dollar bets. Hey, Michigan killed 287 00:14:03,600 --> 00:14:06,640 Speaker 1: Ohio State, they bludge in Iowa and Georgia got smoked 288 00:14:06,679 --> 00:14:08,600 Speaker 1: by out. Georgia is a fraud, come on, And I 289 00:14:08,640 --> 00:14:11,880 Speaker 1: think that's probably the reason. If Michigan's a public dog here, 290 00:14:11,960 --> 00:14:14,440 Speaker 1: isn't that kind of the bat signal to to load 291 00:14:14,520 --> 00:14:17,920 Speaker 1: up on Georgia. I would say, weight then if you're 292 00:14:17,920 --> 00:14:20,000 Speaker 1: looking to bet Georgia, because the public is gonna bet 293 00:14:20,040 --> 00:14:22,600 Speaker 1: on game day and they're gonna see that enticing hook 294 00:14:22,800 --> 00:14:25,000 Speaker 1: on that on a key number of seven, so seven 295 00:14:25,040 --> 00:14:26,720 Speaker 1: a half, they're gonna want to take that half point 296 00:14:26,960 --> 00:14:29,600 Speaker 1: on Michigan. So I would say, if you didn't bet 297 00:14:29,600 --> 00:14:32,440 Speaker 1: Georgia already, I wait, I think you might see some sevens. 298 00:14:32,480 --> 00:14:35,160 Speaker 1: I did like seven with Georgia early on in the process, 299 00:14:35,440 --> 00:14:39,360 Speaker 1: and I for exactly what you said. Everybody's overreacting what 300 00:14:39,400 --> 00:14:42,280 Speaker 1: they just saw last what they see, you know, Michigan crush, 301 00:14:42,320 --> 00:14:45,200 Speaker 1: Ohio State crush Iowa. Georgia had their worst performance of 302 00:14:45,240 --> 00:14:47,880 Speaker 1: the season. I like Georgia in this matchup. Obviously there 303 00:14:47,920 --> 00:14:50,400 Speaker 1: are more talented roster. I think that was a reality 304 00:14:50,520 --> 00:14:54,200 Speaker 1: check for them against Alabama where that will get them refocused. 305 00:14:54,320 --> 00:14:56,160 Speaker 1: And I think Michigan is probably a little over priced 306 00:14:56,200 --> 00:14:58,360 Speaker 1: at this point, considering the fact that, I mean, they're 307 00:14:58,360 --> 00:15:00,280 Speaker 1: the best team in the country. Ah ts Why so 308 00:15:00,280 --> 00:15:02,360 Speaker 1: if you've been that in Michigan, you've been cashing tickets 309 00:15:02,400 --> 00:15:04,440 Speaker 1: all year, why wouldn't you go right back to him? 310 00:15:04,520 --> 00:15:08,080 Speaker 1: So I think George is a sharper side or I'm 311 00:15:08,120 --> 00:15:11,320 Speaker 1: curious used to your thoughts on hardball. Who I mean again, 312 00:15:11,640 --> 00:15:15,440 Speaker 1: before two months ago, your marble was was fire this guy. 313 00:15:15,440 --> 00:15:17,440 Speaker 1: He's a clown. He can't be Michigan stayed. I mean 314 00:15:17,480 --> 00:15:20,560 Speaker 1: he can't. I think he was Owen twelve as an 315 00:15:20,600 --> 00:15:23,560 Speaker 1: underdog before this season, and now all of a sudden, 316 00:15:23,560 --> 00:15:25,960 Speaker 1: it's well, Harbor's back. I mean, Jim Harbo knows football, 317 00:15:26,000 --> 00:15:28,040 Speaker 1: He's got he's he's got his guys lined up. Where 318 00:15:28,040 --> 00:15:30,400 Speaker 1: are you on harball? Well, I think he did a 319 00:15:30,400 --> 00:15:33,320 Speaker 1: really smart thing. I mean, you look at the average 320 00:15:33,360 --> 00:15:36,000 Speaker 1: age of your assistant coaching staff, and Michigan's in the 321 00:15:36,040 --> 00:15:37,920 Speaker 1: top five as far as youth movement, So he went 322 00:15:37,960 --> 00:15:40,760 Speaker 1: a total youth movement this season, and I looked, Look, 323 00:15:40,840 --> 00:15:43,840 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna say, you know, I don't lose bets. 324 00:15:43,840 --> 00:15:45,840 Speaker 1: I'll tell you that I lost. I've been Michigan under 325 00:15:45,840 --> 00:15:47,360 Speaker 1: their season win tol you want to talk about a 326 00:15:47,440 --> 00:15:50,240 Speaker 1: dumpster fire of a bet. And I always, you know, 327 00:15:50,320 --> 00:15:53,400 Speaker 1: self scout after the regular season, and what did I 328 00:15:53,480 --> 00:15:55,360 Speaker 1: miss on Michigan? And what did I miss on a 329 00:15:55,400 --> 00:15:57,440 Speaker 1: bunch of these other teams, And a lot of it 330 00:15:57,480 --> 00:16:00,520 Speaker 1: came down to young staff. I don't know who these 331 00:16:00,560 --> 00:16:02,920 Speaker 1: thirty some year old kids are. They don't have much experience. 332 00:16:02,960 --> 00:16:06,160 Speaker 1: So I wasn't buying necessarily on the by train with 333 00:16:06,200 --> 00:16:09,000 Speaker 1: Michigan being one of those teams. And I gotta tell you, 334 00:16:09,040 --> 00:16:10,760 Speaker 1: I mean, that's something that I'm gonna look at towards 335 00:16:10,840 --> 00:16:13,440 Speaker 1: next year. I look for the youth movement. Because all 336 00:16:13,560 --> 00:16:15,800 Speaker 1: five or six of those teams that went youth movement 337 00:16:15,840 --> 00:16:17,520 Speaker 1: this year, they were some of the best teams in 338 00:16:17,520 --> 00:16:20,160 Speaker 1: the country against the spread, including Michigan. So the fact 339 00:16:20,160 --> 00:16:23,160 Speaker 1: that an old school guy like Hardball would do that 340 00:16:23,240 --> 00:16:25,160 Speaker 1: at this point in his career, I mean, I tak 341 00:16:25,200 --> 00:16:27,160 Speaker 1: my cap to him. Is that kind of what Saban 342 00:16:27,200 --> 00:16:29,040 Speaker 1: has done. Wow, I hadn't thought of that, because Saban 343 00:16:29,080 --> 00:16:31,720 Speaker 1: has a million coaches and a lot of young guys. Usually, um, 344 00:16:32,200 --> 00:16:35,240 Speaker 1: who's this guy Bill O'Brien offensive coordinator. He's not exactly 345 00:16:36,040 --> 00:16:38,480 Speaker 1: Saban's like, uh, you know you can put him off 346 00:16:38,520 --> 00:16:42,480 Speaker 1: with Belichick is there's always exceptions to the rule. Saban 347 00:16:42,520 --> 00:16:45,640 Speaker 1: would be one of them. I am curious again, it's 348 00:16:45,680 --> 00:16:48,920 Speaker 1: it's projecting, But how do you you know, look ahead 349 00:16:48,960 --> 00:16:51,800 Speaker 1: to the Alabama Georgia rematch. I know the whole tough 350 00:16:51,840 --> 00:16:53,760 Speaker 1: to beat a team twice thing that that's gonna be 351 00:16:53,840 --> 00:16:56,320 Speaker 1: trotted out a million times, But I just is there 352 00:16:56,360 --> 00:16:59,960 Speaker 1: a mental hurdle for Georgia? And Kirby Smart would say, 353 00:17:00,040 --> 00:17:03,239 Speaker 1: and because I'm gonna go ahead and guess that Alabama's 354 00:17:03,240 --> 00:17:05,320 Speaker 1: gonna be favored by not much in this one, right, 355 00:17:05,359 --> 00:17:07,880 Speaker 1: would you would you agree? Or no? Yeah, it's gonna 356 00:17:07,880 --> 00:17:11,960 Speaker 1: be very interesting number. I don't see it three either way. 357 00:17:12,760 --> 00:17:14,560 Speaker 1: I think a lot of people will be surprised. I mean, 358 00:17:14,640 --> 00:17:16,760 Speaker 1: I actually still have Georgia ahead in my power ratings 359 00:17:16,800 --> 00:17:18,720 Speaker 1: and think we're just a six, six and a half 360 00:17:18,760 --> 00:17:21,920 Speaker 1: point favorite over Alabama. You don't adjust teams power ratings 361 00:17:22,040 --> 00:17:24,280 Speaker 1: at this point in the year several points off of 362 00:17:24,359 --> 00:17:28,280 Speaker 1: one performance. But like you mentioned there, I think there 363 00:17:28,320 --> 00:17:32,119 Speaker 1: is a mental hurdle and until they overcome it. I 364 00:17:32,160 --> 00:17:35,200 Speaker 1: mean sure, I could see Alabama being a slight favorite. 365 00:17:35,080 --> 00:17:36,920 Speaker 1: I don't even tell you this. So if Alabama is 366 00:17:36,920 --> 00:17:39,000 Speaker 1: a three point favorite, I would bet Georgia if that 367 00:17:39,000 --> 00:17:41,040 Speaker 1: that would be my number. Yeah, that would be what 368 00:17:41,080 --> 00:17:45,680 Speaker 1: a nine point swing from the game. I don't see 369 00:17:45,720 --> 00:17:48,080 Speaker 1: that happening. I mean, I'll be honest with you, if 370 00:17:48,080 --> 00:17:49,959 Speaker 1: you're ask me right now, what's that line gonna be 371 00:17:50,000 --> 00:17:51,480 Speaker 1: open up? I think it's gonna be picked. I think 372 00:17:51,480 --> 00:17:53,520 Speaker 1: some people are gonna have Georgia one to other people 373 00:17:53,560 --> 00:17:55,080 Speaker 1: are gonna have Alabama one too. I think it will 374 00:17:55,119 --> 00:17:57,720 Speaker 1: settle right around pick them. So then where's all the 375 00:17:57,720 --> 00:18:00,480 Speaker 1: money kind of like who's betting against a Obama on 376 00:18:00,520 --> 00:18:02,840 Speaker 1: a pick up? Like I think everybody's back in Bama, right. 377 00:18:03,359 --> 00:18:06,080 Speaker 1: You know, obviously a lot will depend on the semi finals, 378 00:18:06,119 --> 00:18:08,320 Speaker 1: so you hate to overreact to just one performance, but 379 00:18:08,400 --> 00:18:11,160 Speaker 1: I mean, it is the semifinals. It is too highly 380 00:18:11,200 --> 00:18:14,080 Speaker 1: motivated games where I mean, you're you'll take a lot 381 00:18:14,119 --> 00:18:17,760 Speaker 1: from that. Uh. I would say the public will be 382 00:18:17,840 --> 00:18:21,119 Speaker 1: on Alabama, no question about it, that they're gonna bet Alabama. 383 00:18:21,400 --> 00:18:23,480 Speaker 1: I think some of the professionals will be on George 384 00:18:23,480 --> 00:18:26,879 Speaker 1: just because we're taught you don't overreact to one of 385 00:18:26,960 --> 00:18:29,920 Speaker 1: single game performance. You're not adjusting teams three, four or 386 00:18:30,000 --> 00:18:33,000 Speaker 1: five points late in the season. So the big element 387 00:18:33,040 --> 00:18:35,639 Speaker 1: that I'm looking to see from Georgia is will he 388 00:18:35,760 --> 00:18:38,080 Speaker 1: have a quick hook on Stetson Bennett because we know 389 00:18:38,160 --> 00:18:40,320 Speaker 1: j T. Daniels. I mean, Brat. I sat in the 390 00:18:40,400 --> 00:18:44,480 Speaker 1: room prior to the NFL Draft with uh this quarterback coach, 391 00:18:44,880 --> 00:18:48,439 Speaker 1: Jordan Palmer, and he could not stop hyping JT. Daniels 392 00:18:48,440 --> 00:18:50,119 Speaker 1: to me, I work with JT den telling you this 393 00:18:50,160 --> 00:18:53,280 Speaker 1: guy is gonna be big time and JT. Daniels can't 394 00:18:53,280 --> 00:18:55,720 Speaker 1: stay healthy. But I mean, I don't know where you 395 00:18:55,800 --> 00:18:58,080 Speaker 1: on Stetson Bennett. You know, like he could do your taxes, 396 00:18:58,080 --> 00:19:00,159 Speaker 1: he could be your accountant. But is he gonna win 397 00:19:00,240 --> 00:19:03,960 Speaker 1: you a college football playoff game? Brad Stetson Bedded, I 398 00:19:04,000 --> 00:19:06,160 Speaker 1: don't think he will. I mean, he could obviously win 399 00:19:06,200 --> 00:19:08,119 Speaker 1: you a bunch of games, but as far as you 400 00:19:08,160 --> 00:19:10,840 Speaker 1: know that next level, I mean, you look at the 401 00:19:10,880 --> 00:19:13,520 Speaker 1: quarterbacks and one national champions You can't win with a 402 00:19:13,600 --> 00:19:16,320 Speaker 1: game manager. Nick Saban's telling you that he had you know, 403 00:19:16,720 --> 00:19:19,880 Speaker 1: Greg McElroy a J. McCarran ten plus years ago. Now 404 00:19:19,920 --> 00:19:23,520 Speaker 1: he has Heisman Trophy winners at quarterback. So I don't 405 00:19:23,560 --> 00:19:26,320 Speaker 1: think Georgia Ken unless that's in Benett plays the game 406 00:19:26,359 --> 00:19:29,920 Speaker 1: of his life. I and we might actually see, forget 407 00:19:29,960 --> 00:19:31,879 Speaker 1: the National championship game. Might have to see G. T. 408 00:19:32,040 --> 00:19:34,480 Speaker 1: Daniels against Michigan. To be perfectly frankly, I would not 409 00:19:34,520 --> 00:19:36,080 Speaker 1: be so. I mean it's been a month, but it's 410 00:19:36,119 --> 00:19:38,280 Speaker 1: what's weird is and you know, we don't get injury 411 00:19:38,320 --> 00:19:40,760 Speaker 1: reports in college football, which is annoying. But I don't 412 00:19:40,760 --> 00:19:43,080 Speaker 1: know what's going on with Daniels, Like good luck finding 413 00:19:43,080 --> 00:19:46,160 Speaker 1: out anything, Like the reporters have zero access. If anybody 414 00:19:46,160 --> 00:19:48,600 Speaker 1: has access, it's the big money gamblers. But I'm still 415 00:19:48,600 --> 00:19:50,800 Speaker 1: not seeing anything. If it's I mean, these Daniels gonna 416 00:19:50,800 --> 00:19:54,560 Speaker 1: play at all, Like shouldn't he I'm here in whispers 417 00:19:54,560 --> 00:19:58,160 Speaker 1: that uh he rubbed some of the coaches the wrong way. 418 00:19:58,240 --> 00:20:00,439 Speaker 1: I'm not sure if it was the injury, uh the 419 00:20:00,560 --> 00:20:03,000 Speaker 1: situation where I mean you can't count on a guy, 420 00:20:03,040 --> 00:20:04,920 Speaker 1: I mean, the best ability to have in a lot 421 00:20:04,920 --> 00:20:07,800 Speaker 1: of people's eyes is availability and if you're not available 422 00:20:07,840 --> 00:20:09,880 Speaker 1: to play, I mean, I'm sure. I mean some people 423 00:20:09,880 --> 00:20:11,240 Speaker 1: are reporting that the unit is kind of in the 424 00:20:11,280 --> 00:20:15,160 Speaker 1: dog house with the coaching staff. Wow, that's interesting stuff. Um, 425 00:20:15,200 --> 00:20:17,720 Speaker 1: all right, so that's great stuff. On the college football playoff, Brad, 426 00:20:17,720 --> 00:20:19,879 Speaker 1: I don't know, uh, if you would mind going just 427 00:20:19,960 --> 00:20:21,680 Speaker 1: a couple of games on the NFL. Have you looked 428 00:20:21,760 --> 00:20:24,240 Speaker 1: much into Week seventeen. I know you're huge on college football, 429 00:20:24,320 --> 00:20:27,760 Speaker 1: but have you done Let's do it? Okay, all right? Um, 430 00:20:27,800 --> 00:20:30,959 Speaker 1: one of the games that jumps out is Dolphins Titans. Um, 431 00:20:31,119 --> 00:20:33,280 Speaker 1: Titans are I think three three and a half. It's 432 00:20:33,280 --> 00:20:35,840 Speaker 1: a juice three at best. I think these Dolphins are 433 00:20:35,880 --> 00:20:38,600 Speaker 1: totally fraudulent, and um, I kind of like the Titans 434 00:20:38,600 --> 00:20:41,760 Speaker 1: a lot here. But again it's you know, Ryan Tannehill 435 00:20:41,840 --> 00:20:43,960 Speaker 1: and A J. Brown and then they don't really have 436 00:20:44,080 --> 00:20:46,160 Speaker 1: much else. But I just I'm not a huge Dolphins 437 00:20:46,240 --> 00:20:49,000 Speaker 1: guy here, So we don't go over anything prior to 438 00:20:49,160 --> 00:20:50,800 Speaker 1: you know, when we flip on the record, but and 439 00:20:50,800 --> 00:20:53,200 Speaker 1: then we just talked here the Titans are my favorite 440 00:20:53,200 --> 00:20:57,159 Speaker 1: player the way al right, I mean, and it's basically 441 00:20:57,200 --> 00:20:59,760 Speaker 1: a fade against Miami. Not only you know Miami, and 442 00:20:59,760 --> 00:21:02,120 Speaker 1: there's having game wins. Who are they beating? The best 443 00:21:02,119 --> 00:21:04,600 Speaker 1: team is probably Baldmore And in that case, Baltimore is 444 00:21:04,600 --> 00:21:06,240 Speaker 1: don a short week, there's a Thursday night game. They're 445 00:21:06,240 --> 00:21:08,120 Speaker 1: a little bit banged up, so I mean, I think 446 00:21:08,119 --> 00:21:10,800 Speaker 1: they're overrated in that regard. Also, it's a horrible spot 447 00:21:10,880 --> 00:21:13,800 Speaker 1: back to back road trips, short week off Monday night football. 448 00:21:14,040 --> 00:21:16,120 Speaker 1: I mean, the whole world watching beat up Ian book, 449 00:21:16,119 --> 00:21:19,040 Speaker 1: a four string quarterback and a and a very shorthanded 450 00:21:19,040 --> 00:21:22,080 Speaker 1: Saints team. Meanwhile, the Titans are getting healthier with a J. Brown. 451 00:21:22,200 --> 00:21:24,600 Speaker 1: They have extra time to prep this time year after 452 00:21:24,640 --> 00:21:27,200 Speaker 1: a Thursday night game, playing back to back home again, 453 00:21:27,440 --> 00:21:29,200 Speaker 1: it lines up for me as a top play the weekend. 454 00:21:29,480 --> 00:21:32,480 Speaker 1: That's good to hear. Um, I am curious that's Philadelphia. 455 00:21:32,520 --> 00:21:36,720 Speaker 1: Washington is puzzling because Philly is playing well on the ground. 456 00:21:36,800 --> 00:21:39,399 Speaker 1: But um, it's a big number to lay on the 457 00:21:39,480 --> 00:21:41,720 Speaker 1: road with the Eagles. It's probably a stay away from me. 458 00:21:41,760 --> 00:21:43,280 Speaker 1: I don't know if it's gonna be a contest. Player. 459 00:21:43,280 --> 00:21:45,960 Speaker 1: Are you do you like Washington at all? I like 460 00:21:46,040 --> 00:21:48,720 Speaker 1: Washington quite a bit. Another one of my favorite places 461 00:21:48,760 --> 00:21:50,399 Speaker 1: of the week. I mean to me, it just seems 462 00:21:50,560 --> 00:21:53,520 Speaker 1: it screams kind of a Proser's Joe's type of game 463 00:21:53,600 --> 00:21:56,320 Speaker 1: that you know, the Joe's just saw Washington get crushed 464 00:21:56,320 --> 00:21:59,000 Speaker 1: by forty two points on Sunday Night Football. You know, 465 00:21:59,040 --> 00:22:01,600 Speaker 1: I trust Rivera as a guy that can get his 466 00:22:01,640 --> 00:22:03,679 Speaker 1: team motivated. He's not gonna lose his team down the 467 00:22:03,680 --> 00:22:06,320 Speaker 1: stretch game might I mean Washington, you know, had one 468 00:22:06,359 --> 00:22:08,119 Speaker 1: four straight and then what happened in there tea, Well, 469 00:22:08,200 --> 00:22:10,520 Speaker 1: COVID happened and they were missing a bunch of guys. 470 00:22:10,840 --> 00:22:13,640 Speaker 1: I just think the Eagles another team like the Dolphins 471 00:22:13,680 --> 00:22:16,680 Speaker 1: that have really benefited from a soft schedule the last 472 00:22:16,720 --> 00:22:20,320 Speaker 1: five six weeks. I think playing with pressure here. I 473 00:22:20,440 --> 00:22:22,920 Speaker 1: certainly don't want to lay three three and a half 474 00:22:23,000 --> 00:22:26,199 Speaker 1: of with the Eagles on the road. Uh, Baltimore and 475 00:22:26,240 --> 00:22:28,480 Speaker 1: the Rams Rams are three and a half. Baltimore has 476 00:22:28,520 --> 00:22:30,360 Speaker 1: killed me a couple of times with this hardball going 477 00:22:30,400 --> 00:22:33,520 Speaker 1: for two at the end of games business. I mean, 478 00:22:33,560 --> 00:22:36,240 Speaker 1: it looks like Lamar practiced a little bit. He had 479 00:22:36,280 --> 00:22:38,600 Speaker 1: a pretty pronounced limp. I like the Rams here. I 480 00:22:38,680 --> 00:22:41,439 Speaker 1: remember the Packers were nine point favorites. I think they 481 00:22:41,480 --> 00:22:44,359 Speaker 1: closed again. Tyler Huntley, won't the Rams be at least 482 00:22:44,359 --> 00:22:47,960 Speaker 1: a touchdown against Huntley if if Lamar can't go, well, 483 00:22:48,080 --> 00:22:50,240 Speaker 1: I think this line is telling you that Lamar is 484 00:22:50,520 --> 00:22:54,840 Speaker 1: closer to playing. I have really get I've really gotten 485 00:22:54,960 --> 00:22:58,800 Speaker 1: crushed by the Ravens here. UH lost two or three 486 00:22:58,800 --> 00:23:01,240 Speaker 1: big bets on them last five six weeks. I'm not 487 00:23:01,400 --> 00:23:03,959 Speaker 1: involved in the game. I'm guessing the week that I 488 00:23:04,040 --> 00:23:06,280 Speaker 1: don't play the Ravens will be the week that they're 489 00:23:06,280 --> 00:23:09,960 Speaker 1: pulling out right upset. UH just one one game, well, 490 00:23:10,000 --> 00:23:12,040 Speaker 1: two games with huge favorites, you know, I try to 491 00:23:12,080 --> 00:23:14,280 Speaker 1: avoid the double digit favorites. I don't know that that 492 00:23:14,400 --> 00:23:18,000 Speaker 1: narrative matters, though, when you have such highly rated power 493 00:23:18,040 --> 00:23:20,840 Speaker 1: teams like Tampa Bay and Buffalo going against garbage teams 494 00:23:20,880 --> 00:23:24,200 Speaker 1: like my jets, UH and Atlanta and Atlanta is garbage 495 00:23:24,359 --> 00:23:27,520 Speaker 1: despite being close to five, Are you still avoiding double 496 00:23:27,520 --> 00:23:30,000 Speaker 1: digit favorites or listen, if there's a situation you'll you'll 497 00:23:30,040 --> 00:23:33,159 Speaker 1: lay it. I shouldn't be And in fact, there's actually 498 00:23:33,240 --> 00:23:35,800 Speaker 1: value that you look last like six, seven, eight years 499 00:23:35,800 --> 00:23:38,280 Speaker 1: in the NFL. I mean, there's actually value on the 500 00:23:38,320 --> 00:23:41,240 Speaker 1: double digit favorite. And the reason being is, you know, 501 00:23:41,280 --> 00:23:43,479 Speaker 1: guys like myself. They're a long been in the business 502 00:23:43,560 --> 00:23:45,560 Speaker 1: a long time. We're kind of afraid of laying it. 503 00:23:45,640 --> 00:23:48,200 Speaker 1: So it's either dog or pass. Uh. And a lot 504 00:23:48,240 --> 00:23:51,199 Speaker 1: of times you're not getting that sharp money on the 505 00:23:51,240 --> 00:23:53,720 Speaker 1: favorite that like where it should be, So there's some 506 00:23:53,760 --> 00:23:56,800 Speaker 1: mispricing there. You know, the NFL is totally changed. Number 507 00:23:56,800 --> 00:23:58,639 Speaker 1: one is higher scoring and what it was obviously fifteen 508 00:23:58,680 --> 00:24:01,280 Speaker 1: twenty years ago, so you know that that should favor 509 00:24:01,280 --> 00:24:03,520 Speaker 1: the double digit favorites. And we're also seeing you know, 510 00:24:03,520 --> 00:24:05,640 Speaker 1: we're seeing the college football. We're seeing the NFL downald 511 00:24:05,640 --> 00:24:07,600 Speaker 1: stretch this season. I'm not I'm not gonna use the 512 00:24:07,640 --> 00:24:10,000 Speaker 1: word quit because it's a little too strong, but there 513 00:24:10,000 --> 00:24:14,200 Speaker 1: are significant motivational disparities and you see it in preparations. 514 00:24:14,280 --> 00:24:16,840 Speaker 1: So yeah, I am more inclined now than ever before 515 00:24:16,920 --> 00:24:20,040 Speaker 1: late you know, two touchdowns, Yeah, I like it all right, 516 00:24:20,040 --> 00:24:21,960 Speaker 1: Brad Powers, where can we see your stuff? I know 517 00:24:22,000 --> 00:24:24,240 Speaker 1: you've got a powerful newsletter than a couple of my 518 00:24:24,240 --> 00:24:26,399 Speaker 1: buddies subscribed to. And then what else you got coming up, 519 00:24:26,400 --> 00:24:29,680 Speaker 1: Brad for the new year? Yeah, so you can follow 520 00:24:29,680 --> 00:24:31,280 Speaker 1: me on Twitter at Brad Power seven if you just 521 00:24:31,320 --> 00:24:33,359 Speaker 1: want little nuggets, and you can check out my website 522 00:24:33,359 --> 00:24:35,440 Speaker 1: at Brad Power sports dot com and you can check 523 00:24:35,440 --> 00:24:37,720 Speaker 1: out my weekly news letter cover every single college football 524 00:24:37,720 --> 00:24:40,640 Speaker 1: game every single NFL again. Yeah alright, Brad, Hey, thanks 525 00:24:40,640 --> 00:24:42,679 Speaker 1: for taking the time, and happy New Year to you 526 00:24:42,720 --> 00:24:45,280 Speaker 1: and yours. Hey, Happy New Year to uh to you, 527 00:24:45,359 --> 00:24:48,520 Speaker 1: and thanks for having me on. Fox Sports Radio has 528 00:24:48,560 --> 00:24:51,480 Speaker 1: the best sports talk lineup in the nation. Catch all 529 00:24:51,520 --> 00:24:54,760 Speaker 1: of our shows at Fox Sports Radio dot com and 530 00:24:54,920 --> 00:24:57,480 Speaker 1: within the I Heart Radio app search f s R 531 00:24:57,600 --> 00:25:02,359 Speaker 1: to listen live. The only thing better than sitting on 532 00:25:02,440 --> 00:25:06,920 Speaker 1: your couch watching the game. He's making money while he's doing. 533 00:25:07,320 --> 00:25:14,120 Speaker 1: Here's your best beat, great great stuff for Brad Powers. Uh. 534 00:25:14,160 --> 00:25:17,199 Speaker 1: He's backed by popular demand. Guys had a lot of 535 00:25:17,200 --> 00:25:19,359 Speaker 1: requests for him because we do put out you know, 536 00:25:19,440 --> 00:25:23,040 Speaker 1: mostly to friends uh text message. Even in the d 537 00:25:23,200 --> 00:25:25,159 Speaker 1: M s. People like Brad Powers and stuff and we 538 00:25:25,200 --> 00:25:27,040 Speaker 1: agree a lot. So hopefully this will be a great 539 00:25:27,080 --> 00:25:30,120 Speaker 1: college football playoff for me and Brad as well. Let's 540 00:25:30,160 --> 00:25:33,760 Speaker 1: get too quickly some NFL Week seventeen picks. I did 541 00:25:33,800 --> 00:25:37,360 Speaker 1: the show with Jeff Schwartz and Sammy p on Thursday, 542 00:25:37,760 --> 00:25:39,280 Speaker 1: and the more I look at the board, I don't 543 00:25:39,320 --> 00:25:41,679 Speaker 1: love this weekend. I think some of it is that 544 00:25:41,720 --> 00:25:44,639 Speaker 1: I'm still disappointed the Chargers lost and killed me and survivor, 545 00:25:44,720 --> 00:25:48,359 Speaker 1: so I'm a little still salty about that. But as 546 00:25:48,359 --> 00:25:51,119 Speaker 1: I look at the board, uh, you guys know, on Monday, 547 00:25:51,119 --> 00:25:53,320 Speaker 1: I came out and said, um, the first bet I 548 00:25:53,400 --> 00:25:54,879 Speaker 1: made was the Chiefs at four and a half. It's 549 00:25:54,920 --> 00:25:57,280 Speaker 1: up to five, looking good. But the world seems to 550 00:25:57,320 --> 00:25:59,520 Speaker 1: be on Kansas City now, which has me a little nervous. 551 00:26:00,080 --> 00:26:02,320 Speaker 1: And you want, you know, betting on Kansas City now 552 00:26:02,359 --> 00:26:04,399 Speaker 1: is at the height of the market right there. They 553 00:26:04,400 --> 00:26:06,320 Speaker 1: were as high as they could be there, the favorites 554 00:26:06,320 --> 00:26:07,919 Speaker 1: to win the Super Bowl. Everybody loves them and they 555 00:26:07,960 --> 00:26:09,760 Speaker 1: have won. They haven't lost since they were three and four. 556 00:26:10,080 --> 00:26:12,560 Speaker 1: So it's be a little cautious there. And that m 557 00:26:12,880 --> 00:26:15,320 Speaker 1: Bengals injury report is looking better. They get the middle 558 00:26:15,320 --> 00:26:19,280 Speaker 1: linebacker back um who should help out on Kelsey. And 559 00:26:19,359 --> 00:26:22,040 Speaker 1: one note, and I talked about this telling the Thursday 560 00:26:22,080 --> 00:26:26,040 Speaker 1: gambling show for Fox Sports, Tyree Kill was quoted after 561 00:26:26,080 --> 00:26:27,879 Speaker 1: the game last week. You know, we caught two passes 562 00:26:27,880 --> 00:26:29,640 Speaker 1: on the opening driving nothing the rest of the way. 563 00:26:29,800 --> 00:26:32,399 Speaker 1: He was exhausted and he blamed COVID. You know, he 564 00:26:32,480 --> 00:26:34,919 Speaker 1: was coming off COVID. So Travis Kelsey, now coming off COVID, 565 00:26:35,640 --> 00:26:38,040 Speaker 1: was vaccinated but stayed on the list longer, could not 566 00:26:38,080 --> 00:26:40,320 Speaker 1: play last weekend. He's back. I know it's like a 567 00:26:40,320 --> 00:26:42,480 Speaker 1: big homecoming for him, going back to Ohio. He's gonna 568 00:26:42,520 --> 00:26:46,560 Speaker 1: want to absolutely dominate. But Bengals best cover linebackers back Wilson, 569 00:26:47,080 --> 00:26:50,320 Speaker 1: and you wonder how he's gonna respond. Kelsey, that is 570 00:26:50,359 --> 00:26:52,520 Speaker 1: to to COVID, We really don't know. We've seen some 571 00:26:52,560 --> 00:26:55,720 Speaker 1: guys come back no problem. Uh t J. Watt memorably 572 00:26:55,720 --> 00:26:57,960 Speaker 1: he was one of them, but otherwise other guys have 573 00:26:57,960 --> 00:27:00,280 Speaker 1: have been impacted by it. So I would be a 574 00:27:00,320 --> 00:27:02,880 Speaker 1: little careful laying Kansas City. This seems like it's gonna 575 00:27:02,920 --> 00:27:05,040 Speaker 1: keep going up up in a way. Um, but that 576 00:27:05,160 --> 00:27:06,399 Speaker 1: is That was the first bet that I made. I've 577 00:27:06,400 --> 00:27:08,240 Speaker 1: already talked about it on the pod dating back to 578 00:27:08,320 --> 00:27:10,560 Speaker 1: Monday and again the guys who tune in just Friday 579 00:27:10,560 --> 00:27:13,000 Speaker 1: waiting for the picks. That's done, How it's done. You, honestly, 580 00:27:13,040 --> 00:27:14,800 Speaker 1: this has to be a thing you do every day. 581 00:27:15,240 --> 00:27:16,920 Speaker 1: You really gotta look if I mean, if you want 582 00:27:16,920 --> 00:27:18,919 Speaker 1: to be successful and good, you gotta do it every day. 583 00:27:18,920 --> 00:27:20,520 Speaker 1: You gotta look at the lines. You gotta look at 584 00:27:20,520 --> 00:27:24,200 Speaker 1: the injury reports. You guys see which way things are going. Um, 585 00:27:24,480 --> 00:27:26,560 Speaker 1: I'll tell you right now. Two big favorites that I 586 00:27:26,600 --> 00:27:31,000 Speaker 1: do like. And again I'm not advocating long term strategy 587 00:27:31,080 --> 00:27:33,320 Speaker 1: is betting double digit favorites. But Tampa Bay twelve and 588 00:27:33,359 --> 00:27:34,840 Speaker 1: a half at the Jets. I don't care about the 589 00:27:34,880 --> 00:27:37,960 Speaker 1: Arians Covid Listen, Brady gets it. Obviously, all bets are off, 590 00:27:38,600 --> 00:27:40,960 Speaker 1: but I did lay at twelve and a half Tampa 591 00:27:41,040 --> 00:27:44,960 Speaker 1: at the Jets. Um, listen, the Jets can't do anything offensively. 592 00:27:45,080 --> 00:27:46,560 Speaker 1: We know all they can do. All they want to 593 00:27:46,560 --> 00:27:49,480 Speaker 1: do is run the football. What does Tampa do as 594 00:27:49,480 --> 00:27:51,439 Speaker 1: good as anybody in the league stop the run. And 595 00:27:51,480 --> 00:27:53,240 Speaker 1: if you can't run, you gotta pass. And Zach Wilson 596 00:27:53,280 --> 00:27:56,320 Speaker 1: against that Tampa secondary, it looks like Winfield is back. 597 00:27:57,000 --> 00:27:59,680 Speaker 1: And I'm sorry, Elijah Moore actually may play, which is 598 00:27:59,680 --> 00:28:01,120 Speaker 1: the stuff her. I thought he was done for the year, 599 00:28:01,119 --> 00:28:02,560 Speaker 1: but it looks like he may give it a go. 600 00:28:02,720 --> 00:28:04,359 Speaker 1: I just I don't like the Jets here, and again 601 00:28:04,359 --> 00:28:06,000 Speaker 1: I don't really mind the loss for the Jets that 602 00:28:06,240 --> 00:28:08,320 Speaker 1: as long as they get a top three pick, that'd 603 00:28:08,320 --> 00:28:10,199 Speaker 1: be awesome, and they have Seattle's pick. I'll get to 604 00:28:10,200 --> 00:28:12,800 Speaker 1: Seattle in a second. The other big favorite is Buffalo. 605 00:28:13,400 --> 00:28:15,600 Speaker 1: I did lay it, and you look at the numbers 606 00:28:16,040 --> 00:28:19,920 Speaker 1: Buffalo against bad teams, and yes, I'm sorry, folks, Atlanta 607 00:28:20,040 --> 00:28:24,320 Speaker 1: is a bad team. Okay, Atlanta. When they faced anybody 608 00:28:24,359 --> 00:28:27,440 Speaker 1: over five, they've lost. The only win against a team 609 00:28:27,480 --> 00:28:29,920 Speaker 1: that is currently over five was Miami and that was 610 00:28:29,960 --> 00:28:32,800 Speaker 1: early in the season. Um. You know that was when 611 00:28:32,800 --> 00:28:35,680 Speaker 1: like tw of was his second game back and Calvin 612 00:28:35,760 --> 00:28:37,840 Speaker 1: Ridley was still on Atlanta. So, like, the Falcons were 613 00:28:37,920 --> 00:28:40,800 Speaker 1: much better than they are now offensively. Now they're so challenged. 614 00:28:41,120 --> 00:28:43,080 Speaker 1: They're just not a good offensive team. There's no way 615 00:28:43,080 --> 00:28:45,240 Speaker 1: they keep up with Buffalo. And I think the Bills 616 00:28:45,280 --> 00:28:47,880 Speaker 1: really want that to seed badly. I mean, who wouldn't. 617 00:28:48,160 --> 00:28:51,720 Speaker 1: And um, I like Buffalo. I'm almost certainly gonna be 618 00:28:51,760 --> 00:28:54,160 Speaker 1: taking them in the contest. Um. So that's those are 619 00:28:54,200 --> 00:28:56,720 Speaker 1: two favorites that I like big um. Oh and the 620 00:28:56,760 --> 00:28:58,320 Speaker 1: stat that I read about Tampa Bay to go back 621 00:28:58,360 --> 00:29:00,760 Speaker 1: to the Tampa against teams that have six or fewer 622 00:29:00,840 --> 00:29:04,160 Speaker 1: victories five and oh straight up five and oh against 623 00:29:04,200 --> 00:29:06,440 Speaker 1: the spread, Tom just puts a hurt and on the 624 00:29:06,480 --> 00:29:10,640 Speaker 1: bad teams. Um, we talked briefly about Philly and Washington 625 00:29:11,960 --> 00:29:14,880 Speaker 1: and with Brad powers as I'm not gonna revisit that. 626 00:29:15,040 --> 00:29:17,200 Speaker 1: I am sorry, guys, I cannot pull the trigger on Washington. 627 00:29:17,240 --> 00:29:19,320 Speaker 1: There just can't do it. Can't do it, not gonna 628 00:29:19,360 --> 00:29:22,920 Speaker 1: do it. Um. Teaser legs, you guys know, Um, that's 629 00:29:22,920 --> 00:29:25,240 Speaker 1: been the most profitable thing for me this season in 630 00:29:25,280 --> 00:29:28,080 Speaker 1: the contest, by the way, which is no teasers. I 631 00:29:28,120 --> 00:29:32,840 Speaker 1: am where's the record? Forty three thirty six and listen, 632 00:29:32,880 --> 00:29:36,120 Speaker 1: not my best year, not my worst, but disappointing because 633 00:29:36,120 --> 00:29:38,280 Speaker 1: you obviously you can't do teasers in this the teaser 634 00:29:38,400 --> 00:29:42,000 Speaker 1: legs that make the most sense, I like teasing Dallas down. Um, 635 00:29:42,320 --> 00:29:44,800 Speaker 1: I can't see a scenario where Arizona wins this game. 636 00:29:45,080 --> 00:29:49,000 Speaker 1: I will add though, Arizona remember last week without Rondale Moore, 637 00:29:49,560 --> 00:29:52,600 Speaker 1: without Hopkins obviously he's done for the regular season, but 638 00:29:52,640 --> 00:29:55,720 Speaker 1: also new James Conner. Like inside the twenty, they were struggling. 639 00:29:55,720 --> 00:29:58,840 Speaker 1: Inside the thirty, they could do nothing, settle for two 640 00:29:58,840 --> 00:30:02,600 Speaker 1: miss field goals. Like the offensively they struggle to keep 641 00:30:02,680 --> 00:30:06,040 Speaker 1: up with the Colts. So if those guys aren't back 642 00:30:06,040 --> 00:30:10,040 Speaker 1: now more and Connor were practicing. I believe Thursday in 643 00:30:10,160 --> 00:30:13,040 Speaker 1: limited fashion. If they're back, they'll that changes the equation. 644 00:30:13,160 --> 00:30:16,080 Speaker 1: But if they're out, how on earth is Arizonaly gonna 645 00:30:16,120 --> 00:30:17,960 Speaker 1: keep up with Dallas. I just I don't see it. 646 00:30:18,080 --> 00:30:19,680 Speaker 1: I don't see it. Also, Dallas is and all my 647 00:30:19,680 --> 00:30:22,240 Speaker 1: teaser legs. I like New Orleans as a teaser for sure. 648 00:30:22,600 --> 00:30:25,040 Speaker 1: Seems like it's gonna be Taysom Hill against Sam Donald, 649 00:30:25,040 --> 00:30:29,480 Speaker 1: who feel the excitement and the third teaser. I probably 650 00:30:29,480 --> 00:30:31,120 Speaker 1: should go back to the Chargers, but I'm not going 651 00:30:31,200 --> 00:30:34,160 Speaker 1: to for now. Let's see what comes up with the 652 00:30:34,240 --> 00:30:37,320 Speaker 1: Chargers Sunday. Player wise, Remember they were down a ton 653 00:30:37,360 --> 00:30:39,640 Speaker 1: of guys against the Texas. I knew they were down 654 00:30:39,640 --> 00:30:41,480 Speaker 1: a bunch of guys. I don't know they were gonna 655 00:30:41,520 --> 00:30:44,360 Speaker 1: be down like nineteen dudes, um, and they just couldn't 656 00:30:44,360 --> 00:30:46,920 Speaker 1: stop anybody on Texas. Still, I don't trust Drew Lock 657 00:30:47,320 --> 00:30:49,640 Speaker 1: at all, so I don't think it will matter if 658 00:30:49,680 --> 00:30:51,040 Speaker 1: they're down a bunch of guys. But still I need 659 00:30:51,080 --> 00:30:53,000 Speaker 1: to see it. And when you get burned as badly 660 00:30:53,040 --> 00:30:55,920 Speaker 1: as the Chargers did for me last week, you gotta 661 00:30:55,960 --> 00:31:00,000 Speaker 1: tread cautiously. Um. And the other one is I I'm 662 00:31:00,040 --> 00:31:01,760 Speaker 1: take a green Bay down in a teaser. For sure, 663 00:31:02,080 --> 00:31:06,200 Speaker 1: green Bay absolutely has to come down. Um, I don't 664 00:31:06,280 --> 00:31:09,960 Speaker 1: really see them losing this game, and the way they've 665 00:31:09,960 --> 00:31:12,160 Speaker 1: closed games the last two weeks has concerned me. Okay, 666 00:31:12,440 --> 00:31:14,760 Speaker 1: against Ravens in the fourth quarter, they wouldn't do an 667 00:31:14,800 --> 00:31:17,360 Speaker 1: offensive shell and what blew a fourteen point lead and 668 00:31:17,400 --> 00:31:20,120 Speaker 1: nearly lost the game. And then against the Browns against 669 00:31:20,160 --> 00:31:23,280 Speaker 1: same deal offense lacking punch of playing conservative. All this 670 00:31:23,360 --> 00:31:26,080 Speaker 1: hype about Lafleur being a great coach, just if you want, 671 00:31:26,200 --> 00:31:28,720 Speaker 1: go on YouTube and look up the fourth quarters of 672 00:31:28,760 --> 00:31:31,840 Speaker 1: Packers Browns and Packers Ravens and you can just see 673 00:31:31,880 --> 00:31:34,520 Speaker 1: an offense that's like disinterested, afraid to push the ball 674 00:31:34,520 --> 00:31:36,680 Speaker 1: down the field and lo and behold, here comes the 675 00:31:36,720 --> 00:31:39,560 Speaker 1: underdog storming in the back door for the backdoor covers. 676 00:31:39,920 --> 00:31:43,000 Speaker 1: Could Minister to Minnesota do that? Certainly with Dalvin Cook. 677 00:31:43,520 --> 00:31:46,200 Speaker 1: Now it looks like JayR Alexander will be back for 678 00:31:46,240 --> 00:31:48,640 Speaker 1: the Packers to go up against Justin Jefferson. That's going 679 00:31:48,720 --> 00:31:50,600 Speaker 1: to be exciting, although that's a tough first game back 680 00:31:50,600 --> 00:31:53,720 Speaker 1: for Alexander. Um and maybe they put them on the 681 00:31:53,720 --> 00:31:55,760 Speaker 1: other side of the field because there's no feeling. So 682 00:31:55,800 --> 00:31:58,080 Speaker 1: you just locked down one half the field with Alexander 683 00:31:58,240 --> 00:32:01,440 Speaker 1: double team Jefferson and say go ahead, Kirk Cousins in 684 00:32:01,480 --> 00:32:04,880 Speaker 1: primetime beat us. That's the Sunday night game. Uh you know, 685 00:32:05,200 --> 00:32:07,600 Speaker 1: come on, I've joked about I wouldn't trust Kirk Cousins 686 00:32:07,600 --> 00:32:10,080 Speaker 1: to walk my dog if I was on vacation. I 687 00:32:10,120 --> 00:32:12,040 Speaker 1: wouldn't trust him to win a primetime game against the 688 00:32:12,040 --> 00:32:16,000 Speaker 1: Packers on the road. So green Bay teas down. That's automatic. Now. 689 00:32:16,040 --> 00:32:18,239 Speaker 1: The one game that I um that I bet that 690 00:32:18,280 --> 00:32:20,280 Speaker 1: this number is gonna be moving, it's I'm on the 691 00:32:20,360 --> 00:32:23,480 Speaker 1: Rams against Baltimore on the road, and a lot of 692 00:32:23,520 --> 00:32:25,120 Speaker 1: people are gonna be scared off the back to back 693 00:32:25,200 --> 00:32:27,560 Speaker 1: road games. But you know, the closer you look at 694 00:32:27,560 --> 00:32:30,760 Speaker 1: this Lamar Jackson, I don't think he has a chance 695 00:32:30,800 --> 00:32:32,920 Speaker 1: of playing, and the market's telling you he's probably not 696 00:32:32,920 --> 00:32:35,000 Speaker 1: gonna play. I want to remind you guys, when the 697 00:32:35,200 --> 00:32:40,080 Speaker 1: Rams visited Green Bay, the Rams were favored. Okay, think 698 00:32:40,080 --> 00:32:41,959 Speaker 1: about this. Rams were favorite at green Bay by one 699 00:32:42,000 --> 00:32:45,800 Speaker 1: and a half. Green Bay goes to Baltimore against Tyler Huntley, 700 00:32:45,840 --> 00:32:50,080 Speaker 1: their favored by nine. So what should the Rams be 701 00:32:50,680 --> 00:32:53,640 Speaker 1: against Tyler Huntley. Well, certainly not three and a half 702 00:32:53,720 --> 00:32:55,280 Speaker 1: or four or four and a half or even five. 703 00:32:56,000 --> 00:32:58,000 Speaker 1: It's got to be closer to seven to nine, right, 704 00:32:58,640 --> 00:33:00,520 Speaker 1: So I think this number is gonna continue to tick up. 705 00:33:00,560 --> 00:33:02,200 Speaker 1: It is back to back road games for the Ransom 706 00:33:02,240 --> 00:33:05,520 Speaker 1: and Fade. That can be a troublesome spot. But I'm 707 00:33:05,600 --> 00:33:08,080 Speaker 1: riding with the Rams. I got them early in the week. Um, 708 00:33:08,120 --> 00:33:10,080 Speaker 1: I don't really know what they are on the contest line, 709 00:33:10,120 --> 00:33:11,960 Speaker 1: but I'm almost certainly going to be on the Rams 710 00:33:11,960 --> 00:33:14,920 Speaker 1: and the contest the other ones. I noticed that if 711 00:33:14,920 --> 00:33:16,880 Speaker 1: you were looking for the grossest pick on the board 712 00:33:16,920 --> 00:33:19,600 Speaker 1: that absolutely nobody is going to talk about, then none 713 00:33:19,640 --> 00:33:21,680 Speaker 1: of your friends are gonna want it's the New York 714 00:33:21,720 --> 00:33:25,840 Speaker 1: Giants in Chicago. Trust me, I know the Giants are bad. 715 00:33:26,040 --> 00:33:30,960 Speaker 1: I mean, listen, I've faded them plenty. Um Mike Glennan 716 00:33:31,160 --> 00:33:35,760 Speaker 1: Jake from like it's a joke that being said. Just 717 00:33:36,000 --> 00:33:39,760 Speaker 1: humor me, okay, the four and eleven Giants, Um, humor 718 00:33:39,840 --> 00:33:42,680 Speaker 1: me and go look at their dis losing street who 719 00:33:42,680 --> 00:33:44,800 Speaker 1: they've lost it they lost to the Eagles or a 720 00:33:44,800 --> 00:33:47,560 Speaker 1: playoff team. They lost to the Cowboys, who are a 721 00:33:47,560 --> 00:33:50,520 Speaker 1: playoff team. They lost to the Chargers, who are a 722 00:33:50,520 --> 00:33:53,280 Speaker 1: playoff team. Probably right, Chargers are good, They're gonna be 723 00:33:53,280 --> 00:33:57,360 Speaker 1: a playoff team. Miami Dolphins nine did not cover my 724 00:33:57,400 --> 00:33:59,000 Speaker 1: and he's in the playoff mix. I can dig and 725 00:33:59,040 --> 00:34:01,080 Speaker 1: dig dumps on him all I want. They're in the playoffs. 726 00:34:01,440 --> 00:34:05,840 Speaker 1: They beat the Eagles, they lost to the Buccaneers. The 727 00:34:05,960 --> 00:34:09,040 Speaker 1: other teams they played in this stretch, this is a 728 00:34:09,080 --> 00:34:10,680 Speaker 1: brutal stretch if you look at it. The Raiders, who 729 00:34:10,760 --> 00:34:13,440 Speaker 1: they beat, uh, and that was right after I think 730 00:34:13,440 --> 00:34:15,480 Speaker 1: the rug situation. So they got a lot fortunate there. 731 00:34:15,480 --> 00:34:17,040 Speaker 1: And then the Chiefs when the Chiefs are struggling. They 732 00:34:17,160 --> 00:34:20,880 Speaker 1: lost by three before that. The last time they played 733 00:34:20,880 --> 00:34:27,160 Speaker 1: a bad team, they smashed Caroline. Is Chicago a good team? No? 734 00:34:28,360 --> 00:34:32,360 Speaker 1: Can the Giants witness Certainly, should Nick Foles and Naggie 735 00:34:32,520 --> 00:34:37,000 Speaker 1: be six point favorites against anybody? No. I think we're 736 00:34:37,040 --> 00:34:39,480 Speaker 1: gonna see Giants money here. And I would not be 737 00:34:39,560 --> 00:34:42,080 Speaker 1: surprised at all if the New York Giants stunned the 738 00:34:42,120 --> 00:34:44,279 Speaker 1: Bears and won this. It would be very Chicago and 739 00:34:44,400 --> 00:34:47,120 Speaker 1: Nagy to go into Seattle win on a two pointer 740 00:34:47,200 --> 00:34:49,040 Speaker 1: with the bat with the third string quarterback and Foles 741 00:34:49,560 --> 00:34:52,560 Speaker 1: come home and lose to the Giants, wouldn't it. I mean, 742 00:34:52,600 --> 00:34:54,359 Speaker 1: that's what this is lining up as. So I would 743 00:34:54,400 --> 00:34:57,160 Speaker 1: look long and hard at the New York Giants if 744 00:34:57,200 --> 00:34:59,360 Speaker 1: you want to gross underdog. That's the one that I 745 00:34:59,400 --> 00:35:01,600 Speaker 1: like on the board. I can't really make a case 746 00:35:01,640 --> 00:35:04,120 Speaker 1: for um. Some people like watching him. It's not a 747 00:35:04,200 --> 00:35:06,920 Speaker 1: huge one, and we talked about that game. Absolutely no 748 00:35:07,040 --> 00:35:11,080 Speaker 1: chance I'm touching Trevor Lawrence and Jacksonville against Bill Belichick 749 00:35:11,800 --> 00:35:14,200 Speaker 1: and um, you know. The other intriguing game, of course 750 00:35:14,239 --> 00:35:16,560 Speaker 1: Miami Tennessee, which we kind of talked about with Brad Power. 751 00:35:16,680 --> 00:35:20,080 Speaker 1: So those are the games, you know. Maybe next week 752 00:35:20,120 --> 00:35:22,279 Speaker 1: in the playoffs, will obviously break down every single game 753 00:35:22,320 --> 00:35:25,640 Speaker 1: in granular detail. But it's been a good gambling season 754 00:35:25,680 --> 00:35:28,640 Speaker 1: obviously for the pot um. I don't want to tease 755 00:35:28,680 --> 00:35:31,040 Speaker 1: too much, but next week we may have a certain 756 00:35:31,200 --> 00:35:35,640 Speaker 1: sponsors stepping into the room that has to do with money. 757 00:35:36,080 --> 00:35:42,520 Speaker 1: I'll leave it there. Um happen to have a happy 758 00:35:42,560 --> 00:35:44,560 Speaker 1: New Year. Everybody be safe out there. You know New 759 00:35:44,640 --> 00:35:47,080 Speaker 1: Year's Eve. My dad always likes to say it's amateur hour, 760 00:35:47,320 --> 00:35:49,719 Speaker 1: So when the amateurs go out and party hard, I 761 00:35:49,719 --> 00:35:52,920 Speaker 1: remember my twenties in New York City. Um, New Year's Eve, 762 00:35:53,160 --> 00:35:56,000 Speaker 1: it's kind of fun, but it's never amazing. And even 763 00:35:56,080 --> 00:35:58,680 Speaker 1: outside of your twenties when you're hangling New Year's leave, 764 00:35:58,800 --> 00:36:01,440 Speaker 1: was never like off the hook incredible, at least that 765 00:36:01,520 --> 00:36:04,400 Speaker 1: I remember it, because it was always like, there's just 766 00:36:04,440 --> 00:36:06,800 Speaker 1: so many people. The crowds are a massive everywhere, and 767 00:36:06,800 --> 00:36:10,239 Speaker 1: it's like, is this that fun? You know? So you 768 00:36:10,239 --> 00:36:13,640 Speaker 1: guys have a safe when I will be back on Monday, 769 00:36:14,000 --> 00:36:17,520 Speaker 1: very excited to start. Let's crush it. We'll talk to 770 00:36:17,520 --> 00:36:17,759 Speaker 1: you then