1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:05,280 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast pop All right, 2 00:00:05,280 --> 00:00:13,760 Speaker 1: here we go fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five, 3 00:00:13,800 --> 00:00:18,800 Speaker 1: forty forty five fifty and the kicks blocks football are 4 00:00:19,840 --> 00:00:26,160 Speaker 1: stunned us. Oh my goodness, please stumble and bumble. 5 00:00:27,120 --> 00:00:31,600 Speaker 2: The latter turn to tatter on the exode GM. 6 00:00:31,800 --> 00:00:32,559 Speaker 1: The lad. 7 00:00:34,360 --> 00:00:35,920 Speaker 3: Table, off the fil the night. 8 00:00:36,800 --> 00:00:42,000 Speaker 1: My god, it's not the size of the dog in 9 00:00:42,080 --> 00:00:45,000 Speaker 1: the fighting, it's the size of the fight. Get all. 10 00:00:47,800 --> 00:00:51,000 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast presented by DraftKings. 11 00:00:51,080 --> 00:00:52,760 Speaker 1: This is the group five deep dive by Mike Caliber, 12 00:00:52,880 --> 00:00:55,400 Speaker 1: used to joins by my Action Network co host Duck. 13 00:00:55,600 --> 00:00:57,840 Speaker 1: We're on to week thirteen here, but before we get 14 00:00:57,840 --> 00:00:59,960 Speaker 1: into the picks, all of our best bets are money 15 00:01:00,040 --> 00:01:01,840 Speaker 1: line parlay the best of the rest. In our two 16 00:01:01,880 --> 00:01:06,560 Speaker 1: minute drill, I gotta sound off real quick, say sound 17 00:01:06,640 --> 00:01:14,840 Speaker 1: off about just a horrific week twelve for me. There 18 00:01:14,840 --> 00:01:17,000 Speaker 1: are bad reads and bad luck. I'm gonna put my 19 00:01:17,080 --> 00:01:19,759 Speaker 1: hand up for about fifty percent of those bad calls, 20 00:01:20,440 --> 00:01:22,320 Speaker 1: but some of it, I mean. Listen. We record on 21 00:01:22,400 --> 00:01:25,360 Speaker 1: Tuesday nights. The show drops on Wednesday morning. Braylon Braxton 22 00:01:25,800 --> 00:01:28,959 Speaker 1: was probable at that time Charles Soft came out later 23 00:01:29,000 --> 00:01:30,920 Speaker 1: in the week said, yeah, he's probably gonna play. You know, 24 00:01:31,080 --> 00:01:33,920 Speaker 1: we're monitoring a situation. Then all of a sudden Friday Night, 25 00:01:34,040 --> 00:01:35,960 Speaker 1: it's you know, some buzz in the air that maybe 26 00:01:35,959 --> 00:01:39,119 Speaker 1: they're going to go with their backup quarterback. Saturday rolls around, 27 00:01:39,200 --> 00:01:41,160 Speaker 1: he's a scratch, doesn't even warm up, nothing, and then 28 00:01:41,200 --> 00:01:42,920 Speaker 1: all of a sudden, they're just pulling all their starters. 29 00:01:43,200 --> 00:01:46,640 Speaker 1: They lay down against Texas State and get absolutely thumped. 30 00:01:47,200 --> 00:01:49,280 Speaker 1: Then onto my money line call. It was all about 31 00:01:49,360 --> 00:01:52,200 Speaker 1: Samari Collier, who's now following me on Twitter. I appreciate that, Samori. 32 00:01:52,360 --> 00:01:53,880 Speaker 1: I think it's because I was the only person in 33 00:01:53,920 --> 00:01:56,480 Speaker 1: the universe tweeting about this kid. He gets hip dropped 34 00:01:56,600 --> 00:01:59,600 Speaker 1: to death, his like leg explodes all of a sudden, 35 00:01:59,640 --> 00:02:02,600 Speaker 1: I'm drawing dead in that game. Then I have both 36 00:02:02,680 --> 00:02:05,120 Speaker 1: a front door and a backdoor cover loss. Memphis takes 37 00:02:05,160 --> 00:02:07,720 Speaker 1: a late lead against East Carolina, but then they allow 38 00:02:07,800 --> 00:02:10,840 Speaker 1: a six play game winning drive in the final ninety seconds. 39 00:02:10,880 --> 00:02:13,200 Speaker 1: The Pirates just walking down on him. I lose that one. 40 00:02:13,560 --> 00:02:16,200 Speaker 1: Tulane allows a backdoor cover against FAU in the final 41 00:02:16,280 --> 00:02:18,519 Speaker 1: two minutes, including a touchdown in the red zone. Fau 42 00:02:18,560 --> 00:02:20,680 Speaker 1: hasn't scored a goddamn touchdown the red zone all season. 43 00:02:21,080 --> 00:02:23,160 Speaker 1: And then, just to add insult to injury, U Dell 44 00:02:23,200 --> 00:02:26,519 Speaker 1: and Buffalo both minus three in the turnover battle in 45 00:02:26,560 --> 00:02:29,680 Speaker 1: their game, and Buffalo Pete Lembo, if I ever see, 46 00:02:29,800 --> 00:02:31,320 Speaker 1: I'm just going to start a full bar fight. It's 47 00:02:31,320 --> 00:02:32,959 Speaker 1: going to be that scene from The Departed where he 48 00:02:32,960 --> 00:02:34,480 Speaker 1: asked him if he's on his period and he just 49 00:02:34,520 --> 00:02:36,400 Speaker 1: waits a second and then he smashes a beer bottle 50 00:02:36,440 --> 00:02:38,400 Speaker 1: on his head. That is going to be me, Pete Lembo, 51 00:02:38,720 --> 00:02:40,840 Speaker 1: because not only were you minus three in the turnover 52 00:02:40,919 --> 00:02:43,800 Speaker 1: battle in your mactioning game, you fumbled it four times. 53 00:02:44,120 --> 00:02:47,280 Speaker 1: How does a non option offense fumble the ball four 54 00:02:47,360 --> 00:02:49,120 Speaker 1: times in one game? They lost three of them. Oh 55 00:02:49,160 --> 00:02:51,520 Speaker 1: and by the way, they had another fumble that got 56 00:02:51,600 --> 00:02:54,160 Speaker 1: reversed and you know, rightfully given back to them, So 57 00:02:54,240 --> 00:02:56,239 Speaker 1: they put the ball on the turf five times in 58 00:02:56,320 --> 00:02:59,320 Speaker 1: one game. I'm sick of not only Buffalo, but really 59 00:02:59,360 --> 00:03:01,639 Speaker 1: the Mack and Joe this year. Not only can I 60 00:03:01,800 --> 00:03:04,040 Speaker 1: not get a pick right in this goddamn conference, but 61 00:03:04,160 --> 00:03:06,680 Speaker 1: the football has just not been very good. To be honest, 62 00:03:06,760 --> 00:03:09,359 Speaker 1: like they haven't sniffed even being in the discussion of 63 00:03:09,360 --> 00:03:12,800 Speaker 1: the college fotball playoff since September. The brand of football 64 00:03:12,919 --> 00:03:14,880 Speaker 1: is not there. Dunk and I are watching this Ohio 65 00:03:15,000 --> 00:03:17,720 Speaker 1: game against UMass tonight, Parker and Navarro. It seems like 66 00:03:17,760 --> 00:03:20,120 Speaker 1: a perfect time from delaying on the line one last time. 67 00:03:20,120 --> 00:03:22,239 Speaker 1: We'd see three for eight for twenty eight yards. This 68 00:03:22,440 --> 00:03:27,240 Speaker 1: conference is a tough watch, and we professionally watch lower 69 00:03:27,360 --> 00:03:31,000 Speaker 1: level football. Duck is in there in the FCS trenches, 70 00:03:31,480 --> 00:03:33,480 Speaker 1: but man, the MAC is a special kind of dog 71 00:03:33,520 --> 00:03:34,960 Speaker 1: shit this year. And I just need to get that 72 00:03:35,000 --> 00:03:37,640 Speaker 1: off my chest. As I said, I got to take 73 00:03:38,480 --> 00:03:40,840 Speaker 1: credit where credits do and blame where blames do. I 74 00:03:40,920 --> 00:03:43,120 Speaker 1: had some bad picks. I also had some awful quarterback 75 00:03:43,160 --> 00:03:45,960 Speaker 1: injury luck. That makes a big difference, Duck, anything you 76 00:03:46,000 --> 00:03:47,480 Speaker 1: want to add to that. I know that the MAC 77 00:03:47,520 --> 00:03:50,120 Speaker 1: hasn't been quite as bad to you this year, but 78 00:03:50,280 --> 00:03:53,200 Speaker 1: I am just just all out on this conference. The 79 00:03:53,240 --> 00:03:54,720 Speaker 1: Mid American has just been dog shit. 80 00:03:55,760 --> 00:03:55,960 Speaker 3: Yeah. 81 00:03:56,040 --> 00:03:57,960 Speaker 2: It's hard to peg which teams are showing up and 82 00:03:58,040 --> 00:04:00,320 Speaker 2: which teams are not showing up. And you look at 83 00:04:00,360 --> 00:04:03,040 Speaker 2: you Mass tonight and they hadn't had any semblance of 84 00:04:03,200 --> 00:04:07,200 Speaker 2: defense all season, NIU ran right through them, and now 85 00:04:07,400 --> 00:04:11,040 Speaker 2: Ohio can't complete a forward pass, can't get can't get 86 00:04:11,120 --> 00:04:13,600 Speaker 2: third down conversions. I mean, it is just stunning the 87 00:04:13,720 --> 00:04:17,080 Speaker 2: variance in this conference. It's almost as bad as Conference 88 00:04:17,200 --> 00:04:19,280 Speaker 2: USA on the weekday. It's not quite as bad, but 89 00:04:19,760 --> 00:04:22,360 Speaker 2: it is just one of those situations where you know 90 00:04:22,480 --> 00:04:24,600 Speaker 2: we're in the trenches really trying to find it and 91 00:04:24,760 --> 00:04:25,920 Speaker 2: it is tough out there. 92 00:04:26,600 --> 00:04:28,599 Speaker 1: Before we get into our bets here in week thirteen, 93 00:04:28,680 --> 00:04:31,799 Speaker 1: let's toss over for Stucky for a quick word from DraftKings. 94 00:04:32,240 --> 00:04:34,200 Speaker 3: The Big Bets on Campus podcast is teamed up with 95 00:04:34,360 --> 00:04:38,400 Speaker 3: DraftKings Sportsbook, where new customers can bet five dollars and 96 00:04:38,480 --> 00:04:40,920 Speaker 3: get two hundred dollars back in bonus bets if your 97 00:04:41,000 --> 00:04:45,800 Speaker 3: bet wins plus three months of NBA League Pass. 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Now as we get 105 00:05:11,440 --> 00:05:13,040 Speaker 1: into our best bets for this week, if you'd like 106 00:05:13,080 --> 00:05:15,600 Speaker 1: to tail something that you're hearing in today's episode, look 107 00:05:15,680 --> 00:05:18,920 Speaker 1: for the quick slip link in the podcasts and video descriptions, 108 00:05:19,200 --> 00:05:24,000 Speaker 1: or visit actionnetwork dot com slash bet now. That's Actionnetwork 109 00:05:24,040 --> 00:05:26,040 Speaker 1: dot com slash bet now to get all of our 110 00:05:26,080 --> 00:05:28,320 Speaker 1: best bets, or even better, sign up for Action Pro, 111 00:05:28,640 --> 00:05:31,080 Speaker 1: where you're going to get immediate notifications anytime at Action 112 00:05:31,120 --> 00:05:33,800 Speaker 1: Network Expert logs to bet so that means Duck Stucky, 113 00:05:33,880 --> 00:05:36,040 Speaker 1: Colin Wilson, myself. You want to get the best bets 114 00:05:36,120 --> 00:05:37,840 Speaker 1: at the best prices. 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But you are targeting a 141 00:06:47,279 --> 00:06:50,400 Speaker 1: team that absolutely ran all over my Southern miss Eagles 142 00:06:50,480 --> 00:06:52,640 Speaker 1: last week, and that was Texas State. Do you think 143 00:06:52,680 --> 00:06:54,520 Speaker 1: they can get this turned around? Keep growing in the 144 00:06:54,600 --> 00:06:57,120 Speaker 1: right direction lay in a big number in Week thirteen 145 00:06:57,160 --> 00:06:57,560 Speaker 1: in the Belt. 146 00:06:59,600 --> 00:07:01,320 Speaker 2: I do, and I think it's just a complete lay 147 00:07:01,400 --> 00:07:04,160 Speaker 2: down and die spot for Louisiana Monroe. Bowl game hopes 148 00:07:04,200 --> 00:07:06,880 Speaker 2: have been evaporated. I just do not trust this offense 149 00:07:06,960 --> 00:07:08,560 Speaker 2: to be able to go on the road and produce 150 00:07:09,200 --> 00:07:12,000 Speaker 2: at the level that's going to be required to try 151 00:07:12,040 --> 00:07:14,200 Speaker 2: to keep up with Texas State. When you look at 152 00:07:14,240 --> 00:07:17,160 Speaker 2: Louisiana Monroe one hundred and twenty eighth in offensive success 153 00:07:17,240 --> 00:07:19,640 Speaker 2: rate and one hundred and thirty second in finishing drives, 154 00:07:20,080 --> 00:07:22,320 Speaker 2: this team is so run heavy and they're just not 155 00:07:22,560 --> 00:07:26,080 Speaker 2: generating enough punch along the offensive line. I'm just not 156 00:07:26,360 --> 00:07:29,440 Speaker 2: convinced that this team is going to be able to 157 00:07:29,560 --> 00:07:31,680 Speaker 2: keep up. They're going to try to play slow, they're 158 00:07:31,680 --> 00:07:33,920 Speaker 2: going to be run heavy. They're not going to be 159 00:07:33,920 --> 00:07:36,080 Speaker 2: able to stay in the game much past the second 160 00:07:36,160 --> 00:07:39,080 Speaker 2: quarter doing that. And we look at Texas State here. 161 00:07:39,560 --> 00:07:43,000 Speaker 2: Their passing offense should shred Louisiana Monroe's defense, and the 162 00:07:43,080 --> 00:07:47,120 Speaker 2: ground game could gash as well. We saw a similar 163 00:07:47,160 --> 00:07:49,960 Speaker 2: type of setup when Southern Miss played Louisiana Monroe and 164 00:07:50,000 --> 00:07:51,600 Speaker 2: they were throwing a couple of deep shots and then 165 00:07:51,640 --> 00:07:54,840 Speaker 2: the ground game really got humming and was really able 166 00:07:54,880 --> 00:07:57,960 Speaker 2: to gash Louisiana Monroe, and so I think we'll see 167 00:07:58,000 --> 00:08:00,440 Speaker 2: Texas State put up a massive number here. I don't 168 00:08:00,440 --> 00:08:03,000 Speaker 2: think the Warhawks were able to keep up. It's a 169 00:08:03,000 --> 00:08:04,640 Speaker 2: big number, but I'm not afraid of it. Here with 170 00:08:04,720 --> 00:08:06,680 Speaker 2: the Bobs at home lay the eighteen and a half 171 00:08:06,720 --> 00:08:09,440 Speaker 2: with Texas State, I like that one. 172 00:08:09,560 --> 00:08:11,760 Speaker 1: I think there is something up with this Monro team 173 00:08:11,880 --> 00:08:13,640 Speaker 1: that had a little bit of fight in them early 174 00:08:13,680 --> 00:08:15,960 Speaker 1: in the season certainly could muck games up, but Texas 175 00:08:16,000 --> 00:08:19,440 Speaker 1: State wants to play fast. The offense didn't look better 176 00:08:19,520 --> 00:08:21,400 Speaker 1: than it's has all season long than it did in 177 00:08:21,480 --> 00:08:24,200 Speaker 1: its very last game. They had that explosive passing game 178 00:08:24,280 --> 00:08:26,160 Speaker 1: going to balance out with what they can do on 179 00:08:26,240 --> 00:08:29,240 Speaker 1: the ground. So there's really no option for the Warhawks 180 00:08:29,280 --> 00:08:30,480 Speaker 1: to be able to show him down in that one. 181 00:08:30,840 --> 00:08:33,040 Speaker 1: I'm going to go an offense that was cooking for 182 00:08:33,080 --> 00:08:35,680 Speaker 1: about six weeks throughout the season and it all centered 183 00:08:35,720 --> 00:08:38,320 Speaker 1: around Walker Egot and that's the San Jose State Spartans. 184 00:08:38,720 --> 00:08:40,440 Speaker 1: But I think the wheels are falling off this team 185 00:08:40,520 --> 00:08:42,160 Speaker 1: because I'm going to go under on their team total 186 00:08:42,200 --> 00:08:45,200 Speaker 1: here sitting at seventeen and a half, and here's your 187 00:08:45,280 --> 00:08:49,400 Speaker 1: overall update on SJASU Bowl eligibility now out the window. 188 00:08:49,840 --> 00:08:52,200 Speaker 1: As I mentioned, he was pulled from his last start 189 00:08:52,320 --> 00:08:54,719 Speaker 1: against the Nevada Wolfpack. He was eleven for twenty three 190 00:08:55,040 --> 00:08:57,200 Speaker 1: for seventy four yards and three picks in that game. 191 00:08:57,559 --> 00:09:00,640 Speaker 1: Danny Scadero is now clearly thinking about the transfer. Keep 192 00:09:00,640 --> 00:09:03,000 Speaker 1: yourself healthy. He's going to get himself a bag this 193 00:09:03,120 --> 00:09:06,280 Speaker 1: offseason to play slot receiver for either powerfour team or 194 00:09:06,320 --> 00:09:09,080 Speaker 1: a much better G five program. And the as Scs 195 00:09:09,200 --> 00:09:11,839 Speaker 1: due to a logjam of four and two teams behind them, 196 00:09:11,880 --> 00:09:13,959 Speaker 1: they need to keep winning to ensure a trip to 197 00:09:14,040 --> 00:09:15,880 Speaker 1: the Mountain West title game. So I think that's going 198 00:09:15,920 --> 00:09:18,040 Speaker 1: to be premium effort from this defense that has been 199 00:09:18,160 --> 00:09:20,160 Speaker 1: lights out this entire season. But when you look at 200 00:09:20,400 --> 00:09:24,280 Speaker 1: particularly their performance at Snapdrag and Stadium, they've been special. 201 00:09:24,480 --> 00:09:26,880 Speaker 1: This is probably the best defense they've had in the 202 00:09:26,960 --> 00:09:29,680 Speaker 1: last twenty five years. They've allowed just seven point six 203 00:09:29,800 --> 00:09:33,199 Speaker 1: points per game at home, including matchups at home against 204 00:09:33,240 --> 00:09:36,280 Speaker 1: bull bound Cal and Boise State. So it hasn't just 205 00:09:36,360 --> 00:09:39,079 Speaker 1: been a fortuitous schedule. They've beaten the crap out of 206 00:09:39,120 --> 00:09:41,000 Speaker 1: the teams that's been put on the field for him. 207 00:09:41,040 --> 00:09:43,800 Speaker 1: So I look at this San Diego State defense and 208 00:09:43,880 --> 00:09:46,079 Speaker 1: I think they're going to have an opportunity to not 209 00:09:46,240 --> 00:09:48,480 Speaker 1: only get off the field, but then also be protected 210 00:09:48,800 --> 00:09:51,719 Speaker 1: by an Aztec attack that is leaning more and more 211 00:09:51,760 --> 00:09:53,920 Speaker 1: towards the run down the stretch, and that means a 212 00:09:54,000 --> 00:09:56,480 Speaker 1: heavy dose of Lucky Sun than this one twenty three 213 00:09:56,640 --> 00:09:59,160 Speaker 1: carries per game across his last four. It's helped them 214 00:09:59,200 --> 00:10:01,200 Speaker 1: play keep away and they also play at the slowest 215 00:10:01,240 --> 00:10:03,640 Speaker 1: pace in the Mountain West one hundred and twenty fourth nationally. 216 00:10:03,960 --> 00:10:05,719 Speaker 1: So seventeen and a half. If I told you this 217 00:10:05,840 --> 00:10:07,599 Speaker 1: even three weeks ago, you would have said this is 218 00:10:07,679 --> 00:10:10,679 Speaker 1: a must overplay on SJSU. But I think at this 219 00:10:10,800 --> 00:10:14,280 Speaker 1: point there's a lot of buzz within the program where 220 00:10:14,400 --> 00:10:16,719 Speaker 1: players leaving, where are they eyeing in terms of the 221 00:10:16,760 --> 00:10:19,160 Speaker 1: portal as soon as you hit that point beyond your 222 00:10:19,200 --> 00:10:21,599 Speaker 1: sixth loss, and there's nothing really to play for. This 223 00:10:21,720 --> 00:10:24,880 Speaker 1: isn't necessarily a natural rivalry by any stretch. They're not 224 00:10:25,160 --> 00:10:28,160 Speaker 1: close in terms of California, in terms of the areas 225 00:10:28,200 --> 00:10:32,000 Speaker 1: that they recruit into Northern California, Southern California, So it's 226 00:10:32,040 --> 00:10:34,160 Speaker 1: just difficult to get up for a game like this 227 00:10:34,320 --> 00:10:36,280 Speaker 1: and to say, all of a sudden after laying an 228 00:10:36,320 --> 00:10:38,440 Speaker 1: egg against Nevada, one of the worst teams in the conference, 229 00:10:38,640 --> 00:10:41,280 Speaker 1: They're going to bring their a game final stat dump 230 00:10:41,360 --> 00:10:43,160 Speaker 1: here before I kick it to you for your thoughts 231 00:10:43,240 --> 00:10:46,000 Speaker 1: on this one, Duck. San Diego State pass coverage this 232 00:10:46,120 --> 00:10:49,760 Speaker 1: year ninth and coverage second and passing success rate defense 233 00:10:49,920 --> 00:10:51,480 Speaker 1: and fortieth and havoc. I think they're going to be 234 00:10:51,520 --> 00:10:53,880 Speaker 1: all over the Spartans in this one. Do you agree 235 00:10:53,960 --> 00:10:55,880 Speaker 1: with this team total? I actually have two for my 236 00:10:55,960 --> 00:10:58,439 Speaker 1: best bets this week, let's start here. What do you 237 00:10:58,520 --> 00:11:00,840 Speaker 1: think about SGSU in the Spartans? 238 00:11:01,840 --> 00:11:04,120 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, we've seen San Diego State lights out 239 00:11:04,160 --> 00:11:07,040 Speaker 2: at home on defense this season. They just play really 240 00:11:07,080 --> 00:11:09,520 Speaker 2: well in that stadium. They were completely able to shut 241 00:11:09,559 --> 00:11:14,480 Speaker 2: down Boise State. They've also shut down Wyoming, California Stony Brook, 242 00:11:14,520 --> 00:11:16,760 Speaker 2: and they really shut down Colorado State at home as well. 243 00:11:16,800 --> 00:11:19,400 Speaker 2: They allowed two cheap scores when the game was much decided. 244 00:11:19,480 --> 00:11:22,440 Speaker 2: But yeah, San Jose State is it just in free fall? 245 00:11:22,520 --> 00:11:24,920 Speaker 2: Losers a four out of five and just really looks 246 00:11:25,040 --> 00:11:29,079 Speaker 2: so choppy on offense. I just don't understand the falloff 247 00:11:29,559 --> 00:11:32,040 Speaker 2: but it has not looked good for weeks, and I 248 00:11:32,120 --> 00:11:34,679 Speaker 2: don't think it's going to be particularly close on Saturday night. 249 00:11:35,360 --> 00:11:37,120 Speaker 1: All right, let's stay in the Mountain West here. You're 250 00:11:37,120 --> 00:11:39,400 Speaker 1: targeting an under between New Mexico and Air Force, and 251 00:11:39,720 --> 00:11:42,520 Speaker 1: the big headline is no Liam Zarka. How much of 252 00:11:42,559 --> 00:11:45,000 Speaker 1: an impact does his absence have on this matchup in 253 00:11:45,040 --> 00:11:46,600 Speaker 1: your opinion, Well. 254 00:11:46,480 --> 00:11:48,080 Speaker 2: It's a huge impact. I mean, we saw it at 255 00:11:48,080 --> 00:11:50,280 Speaker 2: the beginning of the season when they were rotating quarterbacks. 256 00:11:50,320 --> 00:11:52,000 Speaker 2: If they couldn't throw the ball, they didn't have a 257 00:11:52,080 --> 00:11:54,000 Speaker 2: lot of offensive zess, they didn't have a lot of 258 00:11:54,080 --> 00:11:57,160 Speaker 2: explosivity in the run game, and once they inserted Zarka 259 00:11:57,280 --> 00:11:59,600 Speaker 2: that was just so huge. He was really the key 260 00:11:59,679 --> 00:12:03,320 Speaker 2: that on locked everything for that Air Force Falcons offense. 261 00:12:03,360 --> 00:12:07,560 Speaker 2: This season, we've seen now four straight solid defensive performances 262 00:12:07,600 --> 00:12:10,040 Speaker 2: from Air Forces Defense. After getting shredded for much of 263 00:12:10,080 --> 00:12:12,360 Speaker 2: the way this year, they've held each of their last 264 00:12:12,360 --> 00:12:15,840 Speaker 2: four opponents under twenty six points. The Flyboys contained Yukon 265 00:12:15,920 --> 00:12:17,800 Speaker 2: for much of that game and also did really well 266 00:12:17,840 --> 00:12:21,120 Speaker 2: to limit San Jose State's passing attack. Again, the big 267 00:12:21,240 --> 00:12:23,440 Speaker 2: driver here is that Zarka is out for the season. 268 00:12:23,600 --> 00:12:26,040 Speaker 2: And they're going to be using a converted full back 269 00:12:26,080 --> 00:12:29,360 Speaker 2: to play quarterback. We saw that formula play out last 270 00:12:29,400 --> 00:12:31,679 Speaker 2: week without Zarka in the second half, it's going to 271 00:12:31,720 --> 00:12:33,640 Speaker 2: be a lot of fullback dive. It's going to be 272 00:12:33,720 --> 00:12:36,200 Speaker 2: a lot of QB power. There's going to be zero passing. 273 00:12:37,040 --> 00:12:40,080 Speaker 2: New Mexico has been quite content to run the ball, 274 00:12:40,240 --> 00:12:42,280 Speaker 2: salt the second halfs away, and lean in on their 275 00:12:42,360 --> 00:12:45,240 Speaker 2: defense in three of their last four games. Really, Jason 276 00:12:45,440 --> 00:12:48,040 Speaker 2: X been comfortable in these low scoring games week to week. 277 00:12:49,080 --> 00:12:53,000 Speaker 2: We saw their offense really struggle against Colorado State last week. 278 00:12:53,400 --> 00:12:56,360 Speaker 2: They've played some lower scoring games of late. I just 279 00:12:56,559 --> 00:12:59,199 Speaker 2: feel like we're going to see these two teams operate 280 00:12:59,360 --> 00:13:01,760 Speaker 2: at a very slow tempo. Both of them are bottom 281 00:13:01,800 --> 00:13:04,640 Speaker 2: five and FBS and tempo. It's gonna be run heavy 282 00:13:04,720 --> 00:13:09,199 Speaker 2: both ways. Should be a quick moving clock, but Air 283 00:13:09,280 --> 00:13:11,920 Speaker 2: Force is going to have zero explosiveness without their quarterback. 284 00:13:12,000 --> 00:13:13,760 Speaker 2: I like the Air Force team total under, but the 285 00:13:13,800 --> 00:13:15,600 Speaker 2: best bet is on the full game under fifty five 286 00:13:15,640 --> 00:13:15,960 Speaker 2: and a half. 287 00:13:16,920 --> 00:13:19,599 Speaker 1: All right, I'm gonna fly over to Conference USA for 288 00:13:19,640 --> 00:13:22,839 Speaker 1: another team total here, and it's Western Kentucky team total 289 00:13:22,920 --> 00:13:24,959 Speaker 1: over thirteen and a half. I sense we're gonna have 290 00:13:25,000 --> 00:13:27,079 Speaker 1: some disagreement on this one duck, which I think the 291 00:13:27,120 --> 00:13:29,640 Speaker 1: audience has been clamoring for in their best bet segment. 292 00:13:29,960 --> 00:13:31,319 Speaker 1: But I want to take a bite out of this 293 00:13:31,520 --> 00:13:33,480 Speaker 1: for who for what Apple, because that's the time of 294 00:13:33,559 --> 00:13:36,200 Speaker 1: year right now, and for LSU right now, for who 295 00:13:36,280 --> 00:13:38,199 Speaker 1: for what? They got an interim head coach who already 296 00:13:38,200 --> 00:13:40,480 Speaker 1: got a win in Frank Wilson, they already got to 297 00:13:40,520 --> 00:13:43,360 Speaker 1: Bowl eligibility, they can't compete for an SEC title, and 298 00:13:43,440 --> 00:13:45,760 Speaker 1: they got multiple backup quarterbacks who are seeing in the field. 299 00:13:46,240 --> 00:13:50,199 Speaker 1: And this late season G five FCS game has was 300 00:13:50,240 --> 00:13:52,520 Speaker 1: once a staple for LSU. They moved away from it 301 00:13:52,559 --> 00:13:55,120 Speaker 1: in recent years, but they still give up points. And 302 00:13:55,240 --> 00:13:57,840 Speaker 1: some of it just mentality. There's some coaches that are maniacal, 303 00:13:58,080 --> 00:14:00,760 Speaker 1: They're psychotic. They want to shut these teams out. You 304 00:14:00,840 --> 00:14:03,720 Speaker 1: saw Nick Saban for years, anytime any of these teams 305 00:14:03,800 --> 00:14:06,160 Speaker 1: had success, he used that as a way to just 306 00:14:06,240 --> 00:14:08,640 Speaker 1: whip his team in film study for you know, the 307 00:14:08,679 --> 00:14:11,880 Speaker 1: whole following week. But if you look at LSU, really, 308 00:14:11,960 --> 00:14:15,360 Speaker 1: the last five times, Georgia State scored fourteen, UAB scored ten, 309 00:14:15,520 --> 00:14:18,960 Speaker 1: ul Monroe fourteen, Rice ten, Western Kentucky in twenty fifteen 310 00:14:19,040 --> 00:14:22,560 Speaker 1: twenty points. Some of these are obviously ancient history, but 311 00:14:22,680 --> 00:14:24,840 Speaker 1: I think what it illustrates are a few things. One, 312 00:14:25,200 --> 00:14:27,240 Speaker 1: there's not as much of a home field advantage. LSU 313 00:14:27,320 --> 00:14:30,040 Speaker 1: doesn't pack out these games, and certainly in the second half, 314 00:14:30,160 --> 00:14:32,160 Speaker 1: people are looking to party. They're not looking to stay 315 00:14:32,400 --> 00:14:34,560 Speaker 1: and watch the Bayou Bengals beat the cream cheese out 316 00:14:34,600 --> 00:14:37,000 Speaker 1: of these teams. And when I also look at it, 317 00:14:37,080 --> 00:14:40,680 Speaker 1: Western has been a bit reborn offensively since Rodney Tisdale 318 00:14:40,760 --> 00:14:43,920 Speaker 1: Junior has taken over. I know we were so disgusted with, 319 00:14:44,280 --> 00:14:48,360 Speaker 1: you know, the offensive mediocrity from Maverick McIvor. He was 320 00:14:48,440 --> 00:14:50,400 Speaker 1: banged up. They didn't know, you know how they wanted 321 00:14:50,440 --> 00:14:53,600 Speaker 1: to essentially hit that mix between run and pass and 322 00:14:53,680 --> 00:14:57,160 Speaker 1: Rick Bowie their offensive coordinator wasn't delivering on his promise. 323 00:14:57,520 --> 00:15:01,840 Speaker 1: But it keeps you know, it's worth mentioning that at 324 00:15:01,880 --> 00:15:04,440 Speaker 1: this point it's still a year one process. It's still 325 00:15:04,440 --> 00:15:06,880 Speaker 1: a play caller trying to figure out the pieces he has. 326 00:15:07,240 --> 00:15:09,880 Speaker 1: And since Tisdale Junior has been inserted as the starting 327 00:15:09,920 --> 00:15:14,360 Speaker 1: quarterback for the Hilltoppers, three starts, three wins, nine touchdowns, 328 00:15:14,400 --> 00:15:17,200 Speaker 1: three picks, three hundred and thirty seven total yards per game, 329 00:15:17,440 --> 00:15:19,840 Speaker 1: and the run game. A big part of it coming 330 00:15:19,880 --> 00:15:21,960 Speaker 1: alive is what he's been able to do with his legs. 331 00:15:22,160 --> 00:15:24,480 Speaker 1: So they have some read options in there. They're keeping 332 00:15:24,520 --> 00:15:26,600 Speaker 1: the defense on us from being able to crash down 333 00:15:26,840 --> 00:15:29,760 Speaker 1: on some of those interior zone reads and that just 334 00:15:29,920 --> 00:15:32,280 Speaker 1: led to them being able to move football, putting together 335 00:15:32,400 --> 00:15:35,320 Speaker 1: some more methodical drives, and honestly, when I look at this, 336 00:15:36,360 --> 00:15:39,720 Speaker 1: LSU has been good, but not great, you know, in 337 00:15:39,800 --> 00:15:41,400 Speaker 1: a lot of ways. And one of the key ones 338 00:15:41,440 --> 00:15:43,560 Speaker 1: that I keep coming back to is they struggle to 339 00:15:43,600 --> 00:15:46,160 Speaker 1: rush the passer. They're ninety third there. If you want 340 00:15:46,160 --> 00:15:47,800 Speaker 1: to look at some comps earlier in the year, they 341 00:15:47,880 --> 00:15:50,840 Speaker 1: played Southeast Louisiana. They give up ten points in that game, 342 00:15:50,960 --> 00:15:53,160 Speaker 1: most of it in the second half with second stringers 343 00:15:53,200 --> 00:15:54,760 Speaker 1: on the field. There's going to be a lot of 344 00:15:54,800 --> 00:15:57,120 Speaker 1: second and third stringers on the field in this LSU game. 345 00:15:57,280 --> 00:15:59,120 Speaker 1: I don't think that Western is going to threaten a 346 00:15:59,120 --> 00:16:01,160 Speaker 1: win because I don't see that getting many stops with 347 00:16:01,400 --> 00:16:04,920 Speaker 1: LSU going to a more run heavy attack and the 348 00:16:05,000 --> 00:16:06,920 Speaker 1: dynamic speed that they're going to have at the quarterback 349 00:16:06,920 --> 00:16:09,360 Speaker 1: position with Nuts on the shelf. But in terms of 350 00:16:09,480 --> 00:16:12,000 Speaker 1: them absolutely choking the life out of Western, I don't 351 00:16:12,040 --> 00:16:14,800 Speaker 1: necessarily see it, and I need to reevaluate some of 352 00:16:14,880 --> 00:16:18,600 Speaker 1: this season at this point comes into chopping up the film, 353 00:16:18,920 --> 00:16:21,320 Speaker 1: chopping up the stats to say who are the actual 354 00:16:21,400 --> 00:16:22,960 Speaker 1: twenty two guys that are going to see the field. 355 00:16:22,960 --> 00:16:25,880 Speaker 1: There's lots of different reasons that teams make changes. Some 356 00:16:26,080 --> 00:16:28,200 Speaker 1: of it is they're selling on the season, some of 357 00:16:28,240 --> 00:16:30,680 Speaker 1: it is they're saving starters. There's a bunch of reasons 358 00:16:30,880 --> 00:16:34,080 Speaker 1: to consider a different personnel for Western. They're ascending at 359 00:16:34,120 --> 00:16:36,360 Speaker 1: this point. They're eight and two. They don't need this game. 360 00:16:36,480 --> 00:16:38,200 Speaker 1: There's going to be no pressure on them. It's clearly 361 00:16:38,240 --> 00:16:40,240 Speaker 1: a paycheck game. But I think they're at least going 362 00:16:40,320 --> 00:16:41,960 Speaker 1: to give this the old college. Try to put up 363 00:16:42,000 --> 00:16:44,560 Speaker 1: some points and they're not get embarrassed and really use 364 00:16:44,640 --> 00:16:46,960 Speaker 1: this as a way, honestly to be able to sell 365 00:16:47,040 --> 00:16:49,360 Speaker 1: the program in the Deep South, to say, hey, we 366 00:16:49,400 --> 00:16:51,600 Speaker 1: went into ban Us and scored seventeen points or scored 367 00:16:51,640 --> 00:16:54,320 Speaker 1: twenty one points. Those would both be a green check 368 00:16:54,360 --> 00:16:56,080 Speaker 1: mark for me on a bet like this. I was 369 00:16:56,160 --> 00:16:58,800 Speaker 1: surprised to see it below the key number of two touchdowns, 370 00:16:59,080 --> 00:17:01,640 Speaker 1: and like I said this U defense. They can be 371 00:17:01,760 --> 00:17:04,440 Speaker 1: fire breathers in terms of the athletes they put on 372 00:17:04,480 --> 00:17:06,600 Speaker 1: the field. But I figure for about thirty minutes, I'm 373 00:17:06,600 --> 00:17:08,720 Speaker 1: going to get their second and third stringers. Talk me 374 00:17:08,800 --> 00:17:11,879 Speaker 1: through if you disagree, if this is just a money 375 00:17:12,160 --> 00:17:13,920 Speaker 1: stays on the sideline kind of play. I know that 376 00:17:14,000 --> 00:17:16,000 Speaker 1: you're not a big believer in Western You think that 377 00:17:16,160 --> 00:17:18,720 Speaker 1: LSU is going to lay the hammer. I'm like halfway 378 00:17:18,720 --> 00:17:20,119 Speaker 1: there with you. I do think they're going to lay 379 00:17:20,119 --> 00:17:22,360 Speaker 1: the hammer offensively, but I think that leaves this door 380 00:17:22,400 --> 00:17:23,720 Speaker 1: open for points in the fourth quarter. 381 00:17:24,040 --> 00:17:25,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, I could agree with that. I mean, I think 382 00:17:25,760 --> 00:17:29,440 Speaker 2: we're going to see a couple of things here. If 383 00:17:29,480 --> 00:17:33,040 Speaker 2: I'm Western Kentucky, I don't necessarily know why I'm showing 384 00:17:33,160 --> 00:17:35,520 Speaker 2: up for this one. Because the game they really need 385 00:17:36,119 --> 00:17:38,720 Speaker 2: to be able to move forward with all the preseason 386 00:17:38,760 --> 00:17:41,280 Speaker 2: goals set forth is next week when they play Jacksonville 387 00:17:41,320 --> 00:17:43,320 Speaker 2: State for a chance to go to the conference title game. 388 00:17:43,800 --> 00:17:46,600 Speaker 2: So at the first sign of adversity or if you 389 00:17:46,680 --> 00:17:48,600 Speaker 2: get a guy injured, maybe you start to kind of 390 00:17:48,600 --> 00:17:50,639 Speaker 2: fold up the tent a little bit early. But I 391 00:17:50,680 --> 00:17:52,640 Speaker 2: think LSU will score a ton of points. I think 392 00:17:52,680 --> 00:17:55,399 Speaker 2: this game will be one that's decided with wide margin, 393 00:17:55,640 --> 00:17:58,239 Speaker 2: but that doesn't necessarily mean Western Kentucky can't go over 394 00:17:58,320 --> 00:18:02,320 Speaker 2: the team total. If LSU is winning a game forty 395 00:18:02,400 --> 00:18:04,280 Speaker 2: nine to ten in the fourth quarter and the game 396 00:18:04,320 --> 00:18:07,360 Speaker 2: outcome has long been decided and everyone's got their backups, 397 00:18:07,400 --> 00:18:10,440 Speaker 2: and there's a very realistic chance that Western Kentucky is 398 00:18:10,480 --> 00:18:13,520 Speaker 2: still throwing it around with their second platoon and working 399 00:18:13,600 --> 00:18:15,720 Speaker 2: on reps, working on some things. Yeah, they could punch 400 00:18:15,760 --> 00:18:18,520 Speaker 2: a cheap one in here, for sure. So the total 401 00:18:18,640 --> 00:18:20,960 Speaker 2: is very low. It's low for a reason, but I 402 00:18:21,040 --> 00:18:23,359 Speaker 2: think there's a pretty decent chance that we get a 403 00:18:23,400 --> 00:18:25,760 Speaker 2: lot of garbage time in this one. I don't think 404 00:18:25,800 --> 00:18:28,560 Speaker 2: the players are necessarily anti correlated either. You know, if 405 00:18:28,960 --> 00:18:31,359 Speaker 2: if LSU, which I have a play on LSU minus 406 00:18:31,400 --> 00:18:33,880 Speaker 2: twenty two and a half, they could score a ton 407 00:18:33,960 --> 00:18:35,840 Speaker 2: of points, as you had mentioned, running the ball all 408 00:18:35,880 --> 00:18:39,399 Speaker 2: over Western Kentucky's poor run defense. But there's going to 409 00:18:39,440 --> 00:18:41,640 Speaker 2: be so many snaps in this game, and there's gonna 410 00:18:41,640 --> 00:18:44,360 Speaker 2: be a lot of opportunities for Western Kentucky to throw 411 00:18:44,359 --> 00:18:46,560 Speaker 2: it around on that second string. So yeah, I could 412 00:18:46,600 --> 00:18:46,879 Speaker 2: see that. 413 00:18:49,000 --> 00:19:03,360 Speaker 1: I got four minute offense time. We talked a lot 414 00:19:03,400 --> 00:19:05,720 Speaker 1: already about the Mountain West Conference, so let's stick there 415 00:19:06,080 --> 00:19:09,040 Speaker 1: for this matchup between a Hawaii team that has exceeded 416 00:19:09,080 --> 00:19:12,680 Speaker 1: expectations at every turn and a UNLV team that I 417 00:19:12,760 --> 00:19:16,600 Speaker 1: think rightfully so avid gamblers they've been saying along the way, 418 00:19:16,640 --> 00:19:19,199 Speaker 1: this team is fraudulent. This team has been so fortunate 419 00:19:19,280 --> 00:19:21,119 Speaker 1: to have the record that they do, but at this 420 00:19:21,240 --> 00:19:23,840 Speaker 1: point they are a short favorite at home on the 421 00:19:23,920 --> 00:19:26,920 Speaker 1: fast track at Allegiant. Walk me through this matchup between 422 00:19:26,960 --> 00:19:28,760 Speaker 1: the Bows and the ReBs and what you're seeing. 423 00:19:29,520 --> 00:19:31,680 Speaker 2: Well, it's a really important game as far as the 424 00:19:31,760 --> 00:19:34,560 Speaker 2: actual Mountain West standings are concerned. Both these teams are 425 00:19:34,600 --> 00:19:36,240 Speaker 2: still right in the thick of the race here. This 426 00:19:36,280 --> 00:19:38,320 Speaker 2: should be a really fun game. We've started to really 427 00:19:38,359 --> 00:19:42,119 Speaker 2: see the Hawaii offense take really good form in the 428 00:19:42,200 --> 00:19:44,480 Speaker 2: run and shoot variety under Timmy Chang, really for the 429 00:19:44,560 --> 00:19:47,119 Speaker 2: first time during his tenure. We really didn't see it 430 00:19:47,200 --> 00:19:49,880 Speaker 2: with Braden Shager, and we really never got to see 431 00:19:49,920 --> 00:19:52,760 Speaker 2: it the first couple of years with him. But what's 432 00:19:52,840 --> 00:19:56,480 Speaker 2: really unlocked it for Hawaii has been pofele Ashlock and 433 00:19:56,640 --> 00:20:00,200 Speaker 2: Carson Pupunu that have come back healthy at at the 434 00:20:00,240 --> 00:20:04,120 Speaker 2: receiver position to compliment Jackson Harris. Since coming back from 435 00:20:04,160 --> 00:20:08,000 Speaker 2: injury himself, Micah Alohado has thrown sixteen touchdown passes with 436 00:20:08,200 --> 00:20:12,119 Speaker 2: three touchdown passes each in the last five games. And 437 00:20:12,200 --> 00:20:14,359 Speaker 2: you look at the Bows, They're scoring a bunch of points. 438 00:20:15,359 --> 00:20:19,439 Speaker 2: UNLV comes in one thirty second nationally and yards per 439 00:20:19,560 --> 00:20:23,119 Speaker 2: play allowed on defense. They could really be up against 440 00:20:23,160 --> 00:20:27,159 Speaker 2: it here trying to defend this Hawaii pass attack. The 441 00:20:27,320 --> 00:20:30,480 Speaker 2: UNLV secondary has been torched all season, and now you 442 00:20:30,640 --> 00:20:33,280 Speaker 2: get Hawaii on that fast track with the run and 443 00:20:33,359 --> 00:20:37,320 Speaker 2: shoot concepts, which will be unfamiliar to UNLV. I think 444 00:20:37,359 --> 00:20:40,320 Speaker 2: the Bows will feast offensively now. I think UNLV will 445 00:20:40,320 --> 00:20:43,040 Speaker 2: also counter here, and their explosive rush offense could be 446 00:20:43,119 --> 00:20:47,760 Speaker 2: a problem for Hawaii's defensive front. UNLV is eleventh and 447 00:20:47,840 --> 00:20:52,840 Speaker 2: rushing yards per carree nationally, ninth in explosive plays on offense. Well, 448 00:20:52,880 --> 00:20:56,720 Speaker 2: Hawaii struggles with allowing big plays, and in recent weeks 449 00:20:56,760 --> 00:20:59,000 Speaker 2: they've given up six hundred and thirty yards against San 450 00:20:59,080 --> 00:21:01,600 Speaker 2: Jose State, five hundred to Air Force, and four to 451 00:21:01,680 --> 00:21:04,560 Speaker 2: thirty five to Utah State. UNLV is going to move 452 00:21:04,600 --> 00:21:07,640 Speaker 2: the football here. I really want to bet the over 453 00:21:07,720 --> 00:21:10,160 Speaker 2: in this game, but I think you know. Really, what's 454 00:21:10,240 --> 00:21:13,240 Speaker 2: keeping me off of this is both red zone offenses 455 00:21:13,320 --> 00:21:17,240 Speaker 2: have struggled Hawaii just twenty of thirty five trips have 456 00:21:17,359 --> 00:21:21,480 Speaker 2: resulted in touchdowns. For UNLV, twenty nine out of forty 457 00:21:21,520 --> 00:21:23,479 Speaker 2: six trips have resulted in touchdowns. We've got a lot 458 00:21:23,480 --> 00:21:25,440 Speaker 2: of empty possessions and a lot of field goals kicked 459 00:21:25,480 --> 00:21:27,760 Speaker 2: in the red zone. So I'm not quite there yet. 460 00:21:28,560 --> 00:21:31,040 Speaker 2: I really think Hawaii can win this football game, but 461 00:21:31,160 --> 00:21:34,280 Speaker 2: it's for me. I'm waiting pre snap. I'm going to 462 00:21:34,520 --> 00:21:37,280 Speaker 2: just wait and see because on the road Hawaii has 463 00:21:37,400 --> 00:21:40,000 Speaker 2: shown that they have gotten down in some of these games. 464 00:21:40,400 --> 00:21:42,240 Speaker 2: I think will get a better number than plus three. 465 00:21:42,280 --> 00:21:43,800 Speaker 2: I'm gonna wait for a seven or seven and a 466 00:21:43,840 --> 00:21:46,240 Speaker 2: half live, and so that's what I'm looking at here. 467 00:21:46,960 --> 00:21:48,400 Speaker 2: But this is going to be such a fun game. 468 00:21:48,440 --> 00:21:50,239 Speaker 2: We're going to see a lot of explosive plays. It's 469 00:21:50,280 --> 00:21:53,119 Speaker 2: going to be back and forth. Both teams will throw haymakers. 470 00:21:53,840 --> 00:21:55,560 Speaker 2: But I'm going to look for Hawaii at at least 471 00:21:55,560 --> 00:21:58,320 Speaker 2: plus seven live. What do you like here, Breezy Oh? 472 00:21:58,400 --> 00:22:00,399 Speaker 1: I like the money line, which brings us to our 473 00:22:00,480 --> 00:22:03,280 Speaker 1: G five Underdog money Line Parlay presented by. 474 00:22:03,280 --> 00:22:11,119 Speaker 3: DraftKings turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for 475 00:22:11,320 --> 00:22:12,800 Speaker 3: the money line parlay. 476 00:22:13,520 --> 00:22:16,960 Speaker 1: Let's talk Rainbow Warriors plus one twenty. On that money 477 00:22:17,040 --> 00:22:18,960 Speaker 1: line you brought up some of the stats. U and 478 00:22:19,040 --> 00:22:21,840 Speaker 1: lv's defense is dogwater one of the leakiest teams in 479 00:22:21,920 --> 00:22:24,480 Speaker 1: America in terms of letting up big plays. The good 480 00:22:24,520 --> 00:22:26,560 Speaker 1: offenses in this league have just had their way with 481 00:22:26,640 --> 00:22:29,480 Speaker 1: the Revs defense. And when we get Ali Hado, what 482 00:22:29,600 --> 00:22:31,560 Speaker 1: we get is someone who is hot as a pistol, 483 00:22:32,040 --> 00:22:34,920 Speaker 1: three passing touchdowns in five straight games. They just put 484 00:22:35,000 --> 00:22:37,480 Speaker 1: up thirty eight points on San Diego State, who we 485 00:22:37,560 --> 00:22:41,400 Speaker 1: just mentioned is having historically good season defensively, and they're 486 00:22:41,440 --> 00:22:43,400 Speaker 1: the best defense in this conference by a country mile. 487 00:22:43,680 --> 00:22:46,359 Speaker 1: They've been healthier than they've been really since pre season, 488 00:22:46,440 --> 00:22:49,399 Speaker 1: particularly at the wide receiver group as you mentioned. And 489 00:22:49,520 --> 00:22:52,159 Speaker 1: that bye week I think was perfectly timed because they 490 00:22:52,200 --> 00:22:55,240 Speaker 1: had a chance to perfectly set up their travel, their prep, 491 00:22:55,359 --> 00:22:58,399 Speaker 1: and their particular game prep for UNLV and it's more 492 00:22:58,440 --> 00:23:00,000 Speaker 1: of a I mean, when you really want to get 493 00:23:00,200 --> 00:23:02,720 Speaker 1: the Weeds. It's a simpler road trip than most for 494 00:23:02,840 --> 00:23:05,320 Speaker 1: Hawaii because they get six hours in the air. They 495 00:23:05,440 --> 00:23:07,760 Speaker 1: land in Vegas and then they're there. There's no long 496 00:23:07,840 --> 00:23:11,440 Speaker 1: bus trip. There's multiple spots in the Mountain West where 497 00:23:11,480 --> 00:23:13,159 Speaker 1: you have to fly somewhere. Sometimes you have to have 498 00:23:13,200 --> 00:23:15,440 Speaker 1: a connecting flight. Certainly you have to take a bus ride. 499 00:23:15,680 --> 00:23:17,840 Speaker 1: In this case, you're already there and Timmy has figured 500 00:23:17,840 --> 00:23:20,359 Speaker 1: out this trip to the mainland thing because he's already 501 00:23:20,359 --> 00:23:22,840 Speaker 1: got two outright wins this season. That was kind of 502 00:23:23,119 --> 00:23:24,960 Speaker 1: hanging over his head. It was clearly going to be 503 00:23:25,280 --> 00:23:27,480 Speaker 1: the difference between him going to Bowl this game or not. 504 00:23:27,760 --> 00:23:30,240 Speaker 1: Could he get it figured out a winning away from 505 00:23:30,240 --> 00:23:32,439 Speaker 1: the Islands, and they've been able to do that. Now. 506 00:23:32,520 --> 00:23:34,920 Speaker 1: The key in this game, I think really comes down 507 00:23:34,960 --> 00:23:38,600 Speaker 1: to containing Calandra. He's capable of run for one hundred yards, 508 00:23:38,680 --> 00:23:40,800 Speaker 1: going for multiple tds, but he's also a stick of 509 00:23:40,840 --> 00:23:44,160 Speaker 1: dynamite as soon as he is improvising outside of the pocket, 510 00:23:44,440 --> 00:23:47,760 Speaker 1: uncorking those deep passes. Hawaii has a comp in terms 511 00:23:47,800 --> 00:23:49,920 Speaker 1: of their success this year, and in my opinion that 512 00:23:50,000 --> 00:23:52,200 Speaker 1: was Utah States, Bryce and Barnes. They held him to 513 00:23:52,240 --> 00:23:54,320 Speaker 1: a QPR of twenty seven point seven out of one 514 00:23:54,359 --> 00:23:57,160 Speaker 1: hundred and sixty four yards on the ground. He still 515 00:23:57,200 --> 00:24:01,159 Speaker 1: did some damage in those short yards situations, but he 516 00:24:01,400 --> 00:24:03,639 Speaker 1: wasn't hurting them outside the pack pocket with his arm. 517 00:24:03,640 --> 00:24:05,119 Speaker 1: And you have to keep in mind as well, when 518 00:24:05,160 --> 00:24:06,879 Speaker 1: he was coming into that game, he was one of 519 00:24:06,880 --> 00:24:09,320 Speaker 1: the hottest quarterbacks in the whole country coming out of September. 520 00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:11,919 Speaker 1: So I think it's going to require a few upsets 521 00:24:11,960 --> 00:24:13,800 Speaker 1: for Hawaii to get to the Mountain West title game. 522 00:24:13,960 --> 00:24:16,040 Speaker 1: But the fact that they're still alive, this team still 523 00:24:16,080 --> 00:24:18,280 Speaker 1: has juice. I think they You know, when you look 524 00:24:18,280 --> 00:24:20,679 Speaker 1: around the country, there's so many teams that are basically 525 00:24:20,720 --> 00:24:23,200 Speaker 1: either throwing up the white flag or considering a little 526 00:24:23,200 --> 00:24:25,800 Speaker 1: bit of gamesmanship save a player here. You know, if 527 00:24:25,840 --> 00:24:28,399 Speaker 1: someone's you know, probable or questionable, do we keep him 528 00:24:28,400 --> 00:24:30,960 Speaker 1: on the shelf? Hawaii can continue to go ball to 529 00:24:31,040 --> 00:24:32,960 Speaker 1: the wall for the rest of the season, and a 530 00:24:33,040 --> 00:24:34,960 Speaker 1: win here would keep put in the line for this 531 00:24:35,119 --> 00:24:39,080 Speaker 1: program their second ten win season since twenty nineteen. I 532 00:24:39,119 --> 00:24:41,159 Speaker 1: think that's an opportunity for them to go out and 533 00:24:41,240 --> 00:24:43,840 Speaker 1: get that to at least offensively, just to let it 534 00:24:43,960 --> 00:24:46,679 Speaker 1: rip against a UNLV defense that's been nothing more than 535 00:24:46,880 --> 00:24:49,320 Speaker 1: you know, folding chairs out there in the secondary. I 536 00:24:49,359 --> 00:24:51,359 Speaker 1: think Hawaii gets it done. What are we pairing that 537 00:24:51,480 --> 00:24:54,200 Speaker 1: up with for the money line underdog parlay here, Duck. 538 00:24:54,440 --> 00:24:56,560 Speaker 2: I like Temple this week at home against Tulane. You 539 00:24:56,600 --> 00:24:59,440 Speaker 2: look at Evan Simon. He's been such a pleasant surprise 540 00:24:59,560 --> 00:25:02,760 Speaker 2: for Temple this season. Twenty two touchdown passes, one interception. 541 00:25:03,440 --> 00:25:05,920 Speaker 2: Temple's played a really, really good football most of the 542 00:25:06,000 --> 00:25:08,320 Speaker 2: way this season, and at five and five, you can 543 00:25:08,440 --> 00:25:10,879 Speaker 2: just tell that this team is really thirsty for a win. 544 00:25:11,040 --> 00:25:11,200 Speaker 1: Here. 545 00:25:11,680 --> 00:25:15,240 Speaker 2: Temple's been really feisty at home this season. Beat Utsa outright, 546 00:25:15,359 --> 00:25:18,080 Speaker 2: they took Navy to the wire. You look at TWU lane. 547 00:25:18,119 --> 00:25:20,480 Speaker 2: The operation has just looked a little bit jerky on 548 00:25:20,520 --> 00:25:24,000 Speaker 2: the road this season. They've had several games against inferior 549 00:25:24,080 --> 00:25:27,479 Speaker 2: foes that they've struggled in the green wave pass defense 550 00:25:27,520 --> 00:25:30,280 Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty first in defensive success rate and 551 00:25:30,359 --> 00:25:34,159 Speaker 2: one twentieth against the pass. This team has gotten shredded 552 00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:37,800 Speaker 2: at times, allowing explosive plays through the air. Temple's going 553 00:25:37,840 --> 00:25:40,520 Speaker 2: to move the football here. I really like also how 554 00:25:40,600 --> 00:25:43,920 Speaker 2: they competed against a physical team and Army just a 555 00:25:43,960 --> 00:25:45,920 Speaker 2: couple of weeks back. Now they get the bye week 556 00:25:45,960 --> 00:25:48,120 Speaker 2: to prep, so they've got a little bit extra rest 557 00:25:48,240 --> 00:25:52,119 Speaker 2: in prep time for two lane this Temple defense has 558 00:25:52,200 --> 00:25:55,399 Speaker 2: been so much more formidable under Casey Keeler in year 559 00:25:55,480 --> 00:25:58,200 Speaker 2: one than they ever were. Understand Dray and I really 560 00:25:58,320 --> 00:26:00,600 Speaker 2: like what I've seen from the Owls this season. I 561 00:26:00,640 --> 00:26:03,040 Speaker 2: think they're going to compete. Well, give me the plus 562 00:26:03,080 --> 00:26:04,800 Speaker 2: seven and a half as an official play, but for 563 00:26:04,840 --> 00:26:07,600 Speaker 2: the moneyline parlay, I think Temple can win this game 564 00:26:07,680 --> 00:26:08,959 Speaker 2: on the field. All right. 565 00:26:09,000 --> 00:26:11,760 Speaker 1: That was our moneyline parlay presented by DraftKings. Check out 566 00:26:11,760 --> 00:26:14,400 Speaker 1: the parlay Express account and the free award winning Action 567 00:26:14,520 --> 00:26:17,160 Speaker 1: Network app where we will be posting this G five 568 00:26:17,200 --> 00:26:19,440 Speaker 1: money line parlay. You'll find a bunch of other long 569 00:26:19,480 --> 00:26:21,959 Speaker 1: shot bets and parlays in there as well. You can 570 00:26:22,000 --> 00:26:24,080 Speaker 1: also find a quick slip link in the podcast and 571 00:26:24,160 --> 00:26:26,959 Speaker 1: video description, or visit Action network dot com slash bet 572 00:26:27,119 --> 00:26:29,480 Speaker 1: now to find and tail some of the bets we've discussed, 573 00:26:29,720 --> 00:26:32,640 Speaker 1: including that G five money line parlay. All Right, Douck, 574 00:26:32,760 --> 00:26:35,280 Speaker 1: it's two minute drill time. That means you're dusting off 575 00:26:35,359 --> 00:26:39,240 Speaker 1: your FCS plays. Walk me through the Stephen F. Austin, 576 00:26:39,880 --> 00:26:42,480 Speaker 1: remind me their nickname. I know that Jeremiah True Jacks. 577 00:26:43,040 --> 00:26:46,040 Speaker 1: He always had that cutting down the tree celebration for 578 00:26:46,119 --> 00:26:49,320 Speaker 1: those Philadelphia Eagle fans out there, his son also making 579 00:26:49,359 --> 00:26:49,960 Speaker 1: into the Eagles. 580 00:26:50,000 --> 00:26:50,440 Speaker 2: Steven F. 581 00:26:50,480 --> 00:26:52,800 Speaker 1: Austin a team near and dear to my heart. They're 582 00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:54,400 Speaker 1: laying a huge number this week. 583 00:26:54,640 --> 00:26:57,800 Speaker 2: Explain why while they're playing an absolute bottom five team 584 00:26:57,840 --> 00:27:02,480 Speaker 2: in FCS in Northwestern State, You've got a top ranked defense, 585 00:27:02,800 --> 00:27:05,520 Speaker 2: certainly in the Southland Conference, and Steven F. Austin sports 586 00:27:05,560 --> 00:27:07,800 Speaker 2: one of the best in the FCS, allowing just twelve 587 00:27:07,840 --> 00:27:10,200 Speaker 2: points per game in league play and two hundred and 588 00:27:10,280 --> 00:27:13,200 Speaker 2: fifty five yards per game this season. SFA is going 589 00:27:13,240 --> 00:27:17,399 Speaker 2: to completely shut down this pedestrian Northwestern State attack. They 590 00:27:17,440 --> 00:27:19,520 Speaker 2: average less than one hundred yards per game on the ground, 591 00:27:19,600 --> 00:27:23,159 Speaker 2: and now we're going to task quarterback Abraham Johnston with 592 00:27:23,320 --> 00:27:25,800 Speaker 2: throwing this team out of trouble and will likely be 593 00:27:26,040 --> 00:27:28,920 Speaker 2: what will likely be third long a ton. It's not 594 00:27:29,080 --> 00:27:30,560 Speaker 2: going to go well here. This is going to be 595 00:27:30,680 --> 00:27:34,639 Speaker 2: absolute trouble for the Northwestern State offensive line, which has 596 00:27:34,680 --> 00:27:37,400 Speaker 2: allowed eighty one tackles for loss in twenty five sacks 597 00:27:37,480 --> 00:27:40,639 Speaker 2: this season. They cannot pass prep protect against this SFA 598 00:27:40,760 --> 00:27:44,159 Speaker 2: front seven, who is going to absolutely live in the 599 00:27:44,240 --> 00:27:47,800 Speaker 2: offensive backfield here. The Demons defensively giving up four hundred 600 00:27:47,800 --> 00:27:50,000 Speaker 2: and fifty yards and forty points per game. I don't 601 00:27:50,000 --> 00:27:52,840 Speaker 2: see them slowing down the Lumberjacks here. This is a 602 00:27:52,920 --> 00:27:55,320 Speaker 2: complete mismatch. This game's on Thursday Night. 603 00:27:55,440 --> 00:27:56,280 Speaker 1: I like Steven F. 604 00:27:56,320 --> 00:27:59,280 Speaker 2: Austin. Anything thirty four and a half or less. Next one, 605 00:27:59,320 --> 00:28:02,760 Speaker 2: we're going to Stonehill and Saint Francis a PA under 606 00:28:02,960 --> 00:28:07,880 Speaker 2: forty one and a half. Sfpa's offensive ineptitude continues here. 607 00:28:08,000 --> 00:28:10,920 Speaker 2: This team has scored just eleven points per game or 608 00:28:11,240 --> 00:28:14,520 Speaker 2: be eleven touchdowns all season and as averaging just two 609 00:28:14,720 --> 00:28:17,639 Speaker 2: hundred and sixty yards per game. The Flashes are just 610 00:28:17,720 --> 00:28:19,640 Speaker 2: not equipped to move the ball at this level. They're 611 00:28:19,680 --> 00:28:21,800 Speaker 2: moving down to the Division III level. A lot of 612 00:28:21,840 --> 00:28:24,639 Speaker 2: their talent had left in the offseason. I see this 613 00:28:24,720 --> 00:28:27,200 Speaker 2: team being held to ten points or less than this one. 614 00:28:27,560 --> 00:28:30,120 Speaker 2: We're gonna get slow pace here. Both of these teams 615 00:28:30,320 --> 00:28:34,399 Speaker 2: are running less than sixty offensive plays per game. They 616 00:28:34,480 --> 00:28:37,280 Speaker 2: both struggle to convert third down, and both stone Hill 617 00:28:37,320 --> 00:28:40,600 Speaker 2: and SFPA are horrific in the red zone. Field goals 618 00:28:40,640 --> 00:28:42,840 Speaker 2: and fourth down stops are what we're going to see here, 619 00:28:43,040 --> 00:28:45,520 Speaker 2: and that'll lead to long fields the other way. Anything 620 00:28:46,040 --> 00:28:47,880 Speaker 2: thirty eight and a half or higher We're going to 621 00:28:47,960 --> 00:28:50,360 Speaker 2: dive into the under last one. We're going to the 622 00:28:50,440 --> 00:28:53,000 Speaker 2: game Yale versus Harvard. This is going to be a 623 00:28:53,040 --> 00:28:55,240 Speaker 2: really fun one in the IVY League. Top the top 624 00:28:55,320 --> 00:28:58,520 Speaker 2: two teams in the IVY League square off at the 625 00:28:58,600 --> 00:29:01,360 Speaker 2: Yale Bowl. We saw Harvard play a little tight in 626 00:29:01,440 --> 00:29:04,120 Speaker 2: their last game against Penn. The pressure's really mounting on 627 00:29:04,240 --> 00:29:06,960 Speaker 2: the Crimson to sweep through the IVY League and for 628 00:29:07,040 --> 00:29:10,680 Speaker 2: the first time ever, secure the auto bid for the 629 00:29:10,720 --> 00:29:13,600 Speaker 2: IVY League in the FCS playoffs. You look at Yale's 630 00:29:14,040 --> 00:29:16,560 Speaker 2: run defense very very stout three yards per carry on 631 00:29:16,600 --> 00:29:18,520 Speaker 2: the ground this season. They do not give up a 632 00:29:18,560 --> 00:29:22,120 Speaker 2: ton of explosives. Harvard has a really talented quarterback in 633 00:29:22,200 --> 00:29:24,040 Speaker 2: Jade and Craig, who will make plays in this game. 634 00:29:24,120 --> 00:29:26,760 Speaker 2: But I've been really disappointed with the Harvard receiver group 635 00:29:27,200 --> 00:29:30,440 Speaker 2: all season as they just struggle to make the contested catches. 636 00:29:31,320 --> 00:29:34,600 Speaker 2: They've struggled to do that against inferior competition. Yale is 637 00:29:34,640 --> 00:29:36,440 Speaker 2: going to be on them light glue and they're going 638 00:29:36,480 --> 00:29:38,760 Speaker 2: to be really formidable in this one. This game is 639 00:29:38,800 --> 00:29:41,200 Speaker 2: going to come down to the wire. Yale's front seven 640 00:29:41,240 --> 00:29:43,880 Speaker 2: has been electric this year. Fifty five tackles for loss 641 00:29:43,920 --> 00:29:46,200 Speaker 2: in thirty three sacks. Harvard is going to have to 642 00:29:46,280 --> 00:29:48,800 Speaker 2: work for everything in this game. Projected spreads about eight 643 00:29:48,840 --> 00:29:50,600 Speaker 2: and a half. I would take Yale. 644 00:29:50,400 --> 00:29:53,600 Speaker 1: Here, well, Ivy action, I love you, Doc all right, 645 00:29:53,680 --> 00:29:56,400 Speaker 1: two minute drill for me, shit all over the mac 646 00:29:56,440 --> 00:29:58,400 Speaker 1: at the top of this episode. I guess I just 647 00:29:58,400 --> 00:30:00,320 Speaker 1: can't quit the mac. I'm going to take twenty seven 648 00:30:00,360 --> 00:30:03,840 Speaker 1: and a half with Ball State at Toledo. Mike Yuremovich 649 00:30:04,120 --> 00:30:06,280 Speaker 1: has a recipe and we've seen it, you know, work 650 00:30:06,720 --> 00:30:09,480 Speaker 1: in his favor them being a pest throughout this entire season. 651 00:30:09,520 --> 00:30:11,680 Speaker 1: You saw earlier in the year against a Yukon team 652 00:30:11,720 --> 00:30:14,480 Speaker 1: that's having a dream season. They nearly stole a game outright, 653 00:30:14,520 --> 00:30:17,080 Speaker 1: They only lose by six there. And the Cardinals are 654 00:30:17,120 --> 00:30:19,240 Speaker 1: ranked outside of the top one hundred plays per game 655 00:30:19,360 --> 00:30:22,960 Speaker 1: and seconds between plays twenty fourth most run heavy team 656 00:30:23,080 --> 00:30:26,680 Speaker 1: in America. And they critically are getting Quay Ashley back. 657 00:30:26,720 --> 00:30:30,480 Speaker 1: According to Uremovich's pressure yesterday, that's a big addition to 658 00:30:30,480 --> 00:30:32,480 Speaker 1: the running game. They absolutely need him. He's had some 659 00:30:32,520 --> 00:30:35,160 Speaker 1: breakout games this season against New Hampshire against Akering, going 660 00:30:35,160 --> 00:30:37,200 Speaker 1: for almost one hundred and fifty yards he's the key 661 00:30:37,600 --> 00:30:39,960 Speaker 1: because you can't throw on this Toledo team. They you know, 662 00:30:40,480 --> 00:30:43,080 Speaker 1: just throw out that part of the game plan. Wazoo 663 00:30:43,280 --> 00:30:45,600 Speaker 1: used a similar formula, by the way, including the quarterback 664 00:30:45,680 --> 00:30:48,040 Speaker 1: run game in a you know, an easy win over 665 00:30:48,120 --> 00:30:49,840 Speaker 1: this Rocket team not that long ago. They got one 666 00:30:49,920 --> 00:30:52,800 Speaker 1: hundred and sixty two on the ground, seventy four coming 667 00:30:52,840 --> 00:30:55,360 Speaker 1: from zev Ekhouse. So when I look at this in 668 00:30:55,520 --> 00:30:58,080 Speaker 1: terms of Kelly, in terms of Ashley in the backfield, 669 00:30:58,160 --> 00:31:00,440 Speaker 1: I feel like they're going to have an opportunity to 670 00:31:00,560 --> 00:31:02,720 Speaker 1: muck this game up a little bit. And let's not 671 00:31:02,800 --> 00:31:05,360 Speaker 1: forget this is Kandle as a favorite, and his last 672 00:31:05,400 --> 00:31:08,440 Speaker 1: twenty at home as a favorite in this conference, he's 673 00:31:08,440 --> 00:31:11,400 Speaker 1: eleven to nine against the spread despite having a huge 674 00:31:11,440 --> 00:31:14,760 Speaker 1: talent advantage every single time that his Rockets take the field. 675 00:31:15,040 --> 00:31:16,680 Speaker 1: So I look at this, I look at the look 676 00:31:16,680 --> 00:31:19,720 Speaker 1: ahead spot for Central coming up next with a chance 677 00:31:19,920 --> 00:31:22,560 Speaker 1: to potentially get your way back into the MAC title game. 678 00:31:22,720 --> 00:31:24,920 Speaker 1: All that's on the table for Toledo. He can't tell 679 00:31:25,000 --> 00:31:26,680 Speaker 1: me that they're not looking ahead in the spot like this. 680 00:31:27,480 --> 00:31:29,040 Speaker 1: All right, I'm going to go off the board here. 681 00:31:29,560 --> 00:31:32,520 Speaker 1: I'm gonna go Clemson Land forty two and a half 682 00:31:32,840 --> 00:31:36,880 Speaker 1: against an fcsfo in Furman. Dabo has never missed a 683 00:31:36,920 --> 00:31:39,120 Speaker 1: bowl game as a head coach of Clemson, and his 684 00:31:39,240 --> 00:31:42,520 Speaker 1: magic number obviously is six. He's won away. Listen to 685 00:31:42,640 --> 00:31:44,760 Speaker 1: him in the postgame the last couple of games he's 686 00:31:44,840 --> 00:31:47,719 Speaker 1: playing that US against the world. Everyone quit on us, 687 00:31:48,080 --> 00:31:49,959 Speaker 1: they wrote us off, but we didn't right back all 688 00:31:50,000 --> 00:31:52,600 Speaker 1: that bullshit that Dabo loves. He's getting it to work 689 00:31:52,640 --> 00:31:54,280 Speaker 1: a little bit because you look at how well his 690 00:31:54,400 --> 00:31:58,280 Speaker 1: defense has played recently, held FSU to ten, held Louisville 691 00:31:58,320 --> 00:32:01,160 Speaker 1: in nineteen in an upset Furman's defense. By the way, 692 00:32:01,200 --> 00:32:03,280 Speaker 1: on the other side of this, if they can't score 693 00:32:03,320 --> 00:32:05,760 Speaker 1: that many points, I think their defense is just going 694 00:32:05,800 --> 00:32:07,560 Speaker 1: to get absolutely rolled in this one. There are three 695 00:32:07,640 --> 00:32:10,560 Speaker 1: top opponents in the SOACON this year put up monster 696 00:32:10,720 --> 00:32:14,320 Speaker 1: numbers on the Paladins Western Carolina one fifty two to seven, 697 00:32:14,480 --> 00:32:17,360 Speaker 1: Mercer fifty two twenty eight, Chattanooga forty five to twenty eight. 698 00:32:17,800 --> 00:32:20,800 Speaker 1: The Dins are ninety six in total defense, ninety third 699 00:32:20,920 --> 00:32:23,200 Speaker 1: against the pass. The only reason they're not at the 700 00:32:23,280 --> 00:32:25,920 Speaker 1: very bottom of the FCS in scoring d is because 701 00:32:25,920 --> 00:32:28,240 Speaker 1: the red zone defense has been pretty good this whole 702 00:32:28,280 --> 00:32:31,840 Speaker 1: play is predicated on how Dabo treats lousy FBS and 703 00:32:32,080 --> 00:32:35,040 Speaker 1: FCS teams in November, when you look at those last 704 00:32:35,120 --> 00:32:37,800 Speaker 1: six games that he's played against teams either from the 705 00:32:37,920 --> 00:32:41,200 Speaker 1: FCS or just paycheck games in general, fifty one to 706 00:32:41,240 --> 00:32:43,680 Speaker 1: fourteen over the Citadel, forty four to seven against Yukon 707 00:32:43,760 --> 00:32:46,720 Speaker 1: with Randy Hetzel, fifty nine to fourteen against Wofford, sixty 708 00:32:46,800 --> 00:32:49,440 Speaker 1: one to three against the Citadel, twenty eight nothing against 709 00:32:49,480 --> 00:32:51,880 Speaker 1: Georgia State, fifty two to six over the Citadel. The 710 00:32:51,920 --> 00:32:54,360 Speaker 1: reason I'm bringing all these up, as I mentioned earlier, 711 00:32:54,680 --> 00:32:58,640 Speaker 1: in terms of LSU not caring about absolutely stomping on 712 00:32:58,800 --> 00:33:03,520 Speaker 1: somebody Clemson. Clemson uses this as kind of that springboard 713 00:33:03,640 --> 00:33:07,120 Speaker 1: often into the Palmetto Bowl. They're playing well. He wants 714 00:33:07,160 --> 00:33:09,200 Speaker 1: to see his offense play four quarters of good football. 715 00:33:09,320 --> 00:33:11,080 Speaker 1: He really hasn't seen it all season long. I think 716 00:33:11,120 --> 00:33:13,680 Speaker 1: he's gonna take an opportunity here. In those games, those 717 00:33:13,680 --> 00:33:16,960 Speaker 1: paycheck and FCS games, they average just seven points allowed, 718 00:33:17,200 --> 00:33:19,440 Speaker 1: dropped north of fifty four times. So I'm gonna go 719 00:33:19,440 --> 00:33:20,960 Speaker 1: ahead with the Tigers. I'm gonna close this out with 720 00:33:21,040 --> 00:33:24,000 Speaker 1: Jacksonville State. There's just no respect for this team. They're 721 00:33:24,080 --> 00:33:25,920 Speaker 1: laying one and a half. Only five teams in the 722 00:33:25,960 --> 00:33:28,800 Speaker 1: country run more than the Cocks, and Cam Cook is 723 00:33:28,880 --> 00:33:31,720 Speaker 1: a god among men. He continues to lead the nation 724 00:33:31,840 --> 00:33:34,720 Speaker 1: in rushing yards, broken tackles, and yards after contact in 725 00:33:34,760 --> 00:33:37,520 Speaker 1: the G five level. He's top three nationally in all 726 00:33:37,560 --> 00:33:39,760 Speaker 1: of those stats. Can FIU stop him? 727 00:33:39,840 --> 00:33:40,280 Speaker 2: Is the question? 728 00:33:40,720 --> 00:33:42,720 Speaker 1: No, they can't. They absolutely can't. You can't look at 729 00:33:42,720 --> 00:33:45,320 Speaker 1: their resume and say, all of a sudden, they're gonna 730 00:33:45,320 --> 00:33:47,400 Speaker 1: become fire breathers in the box. They're one hundred and 731 00:33:47,440 --> 00:33:49,640 Speaker 1: seventeenth in line yards, They're one hundred and twenty first 732 00:33:49,800 --> 00:33:51,720 Speaker 1: in stuff rate. He's gonna get to the second and 733 00:33:51,800 --> 00:33:54,800 Speaker 1: third level and just rip massive runs in this game. 734 00:33:54,960 --> 00:33:57,920 Speaker 1: I'm gonna lay the points with the Cocks, all right, Duck? 735 00:33:57,960 --> 00:34:00,400 Speaker 1: Any final thoughts here as we close the book on 736 00:34:00,520 --> 00:34:02,240 Speaker 1: our predictions in week thirteen. 737 00:34:02,960 --> 00:34:05,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, the G five specifically has some really 738 00:34:05,640 --> 00:34:08,480 Speaker 2: exquisite conference races that are starting to take shape. Conference 739 00:34:08,640 --> 00:34:10,839 Speaker 2: USA still has three teams alive, but then you look 740 00:34:10,840 --> 00:34:12,719 Speaker 2: at the American there's a ton of teams that are 741 00:34:12,840 --> 00:34:15,439 Speaker 2: log jammed at the top there. The Mountain West still 742 00:34:15,480 --> 00:34:18,040 Speaker 2: has six teams that are mathematically alive. We've got the 743 00:34:18,160 --> 00:34:21,440 Speaker 2: MAC that has a ton of teams really jumbled at 744 00:34:21,440 --> 00:34:24,040 Speaker 2: the top there. The Sun Belt's kind of done it 745 00:34:24,120 --> 00:34:25,920 Speaker 2: the right way because they've got the divisions, so we 746 00:34:26,040 --> 00:34:28,759 Speaker 2: kind of know what's going to happen there. Interestingly, for 747 00:34:28,880 --> 00:34:30,920 Speaker 2: Southern miss, really the game that matters for them is 748 00:34:31,040 --> 00:34:33,000 Speaker 2: next week as well, so it'll be interesting to see 749 00:34:33,000 --> 00:34:35,960 Speaker 2: how they approach that one this week against South Alabama. 750 00:34:36,080 --> 00:34:38,240 Speaker 2: But a lot of fun football left to be played. 751 00:34:38,239 --> 00:34:40,000 Speaker 2: We're really coming down to the home stretch here with 752 00:34:40,080 --> 00:34:41,960 Speaker 2: this week and next week. I'm really excited to see 753 00:34:41,960 --> 00:34:43,480 Speaker 2: how it all shakes out, and we're going to keep 754 00:34:43,520 --> 00:34:45,239 Speaker 2: working hard to try to get you to the window. 755 00:34:46,520 --> 00:34:48,720 Speaker 1: For duck on my caliberies. That'll do it for today's 756 00:34:48,719 --> 00:34:50,560 Speaker 1: episode of the Group of Five Deep Dive under the 757 00:34:50,600 --> 00:34:53,640 Speaker 1: Big Bets on Campus Banner, presented by DraftKings. As always, 758 00:34:53,680 --> 00:34:56,920 Speaker 1: thanks for tuning. In a programming note on Monday, we 759 00:34:57,040 --> 00:34:59,440 Speaker 1: are going to have a special episode over on YouTube. 760 00:34:59,520 --> 00:35:00,960 Speaker 1: I think it's all so going to hit your podcast 761 00:35:01,040 --> 00:35:03,800 Speaker 1: feed Feast Week, a full preview of all the tournaments 762 00:35:03,840 --> 00:35:05,960 Speaker 1: for Feast Week on the college Hardwood. We're going to 763 00:35:06,000 --> 00:35:08,000 Speaker 1: get into the teams that we like to win them. 764 00:35:08,480 --> 00:35:10,640 Speaker 1: Some of the set matchups as well that have spreads 765 00:35:10,680 --> 00:35:12,759 Speaker 1: out on them. We even get into some projections for 766 00:35:12,920 --> 00:35:15,200 Speaker 1: Bart Torvik and Evan Mia to be able to give 767 00:35:15,280 --> 00:35:17,839 Speaker 1: something a little bit forward looking that's actionable so when 768 00:35:17,880 --> 00:35:19,759 Speaker 1: you listen to it, you don't immediately have to put 769 00:35:19,800 --> 00:35:22,200 Speaker 1: in a play. Don't forget to download the free award 770 00:35:22,239 --> 00:35:23,879 Speaker 1: winning Action Network app and leave us a five star 771 00:35:24,000 --> 00:35:26,320 Speaker 1: rating and review, and also throw in comments. If you 772 00:35:26,400 --> 00:35:29,160 Speaker 1: want to have more college basketball coverage earlier in the season, 773 00:35:29,360 --> 00:35:31,920 Speaker 1: We'd love to listen to our fans and deliver for 774 00:35:32,080 --> 00:35:34,200 Speaker 1: you guys. I'm also going to pick out the new 775 00:35:34,320 --> 00:35:37,200 Speaker 1: five star review and give out another ten dollars future 776 00:35:37,280 --> 00:35:39,680 Speaker 1: for the twenty twenty five season for football, or if 777 00:35:39,680 --> 00:35:41,640 Speaker 1: you want to look into the spring for college hoops, 778 00:35:41,840 --> 00:35:44,560 Speaker 1: I'm happy to fund that one as well. You can 779 00:35:44,640 --> 00:35:47,000 Speaker 1: hit me up on x once I read off your 780 00:35:47,080 --> 00:35:49,680 Speaker 1: review here on the show. Also remember, if you want 781 00:35:49,719 --> 00:35:51,040 Speaker 1: to tell some of the picks that you heard in 782 00:35:51,120 --> 00:35:53,320 Speaker 1: today's episode, look for the quick slip link in the 783 00:35:53,360 --> 00:35:55,640 Speaker 1: episode description. You can also go to actionetwork dot com 784 00:35:56,000 --> 00:35:58,600 Speaker 1: slash bet now to have access to all the games 785 00:35:58,640 --> 00:36:01,760 Speaker 1: that we just discussed. The Angles. If you haven't already, 786 00:36:01,840 --> 00:36:04,400 Speaker 1: please please please subscribe to our YouTube channel search for 787 00:36:04,480 --> 00:36:06,359 Speaker 1: BBOC and you're gonna have access to all of our 788 00:36:06,360 --> 00:36:09,160 Speaker 1: college football and soon to be college basketball content moving 789 00:36:09,239 --> 00:36:11,560 Speaker 1: forward for the rest of the year. Thanks for listening 790 00:36:11,560 --> 00:36:14,239 Speaker 1: to Big Bets on Campus podcast and as always, best 791 00:36:14,280 --> 00:36:15,560 Speaker 1: of luck all your bets. 792 00:36:32,920 --> 00:36:36,359 Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. 793 00:36:36,800 --> 00:36:39,560 Speaker 1: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem, 794 00:36:39,920 --> 00:36:42,520 Speaker 1: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight 795 00:36:42,640 --> 00:36:43,360 Speaker 1: hundred Gambler