WEBVTT - The Energy Future Needs Cleaner Batteries

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Karl Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>you think issue of Bloomberg Business Week magazine, showcasing technology,

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<v Speaker 1>really actionable insight into the near future, business in the

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<v Speaker 1>market forces and tech innovations that really are already transforming

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<v Speaker 1>our global economy. There is a themed him amongst some

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<v Speaker 1>of the stories about scarcity, scarcity, excuse me, and that

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<v Speaker 1>includes the domestic cover story about the Goblin in the batteries. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>scarcity of broadband, scarcity of water, and scarcity of cobal

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<v Speaker 1>that we need for batteries. We're talking cobald now. Joe

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<v Speaker 1>Weber is editor of Bloomberg Business Week. He's with us

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<v Speaker 1>an the Blue Brick Interactive Broker Studio, and Drake Bennett

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<v Speaker 1>is technology reporter at Bloomberg Business which he joins us

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<v Speaker 1>on the phone from New York City. Joel, I, I

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<v Speaker 1>was not thinking about cobalt when I plug my phone

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<v Speaker 1>in yesterday, when I plugged my phone in yesterday, But

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<v Speaker 1>I certainly and yet that phone cobalt helps make it run. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>And you know, this is our domestic cover story for

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<v Speaker 1>the Sooners. And you think issue and I think one

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<v Speaker 1>of the things that we were resting with and you know,

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<v Speaker 1>as consumers, we actually wrestle with this all the time,

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<v Speaker 1>and we're gonna wrestle with it a whole lot more

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<v Speaker 1>in the years to come. UM. But ultimately, like charging

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<v Speaker 1>right in batteries, and you think about your phone and

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<v Speaker 1>and what makes that go, it's um, you know, it's batteries. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>And as we look at this energy transition where we're

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<v Speaker 1>gonna see millions more electric vehicles on the roads around

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<v Speaker 1>the world, there's a question about how the those batteries

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<v Speaker 1>are actually gonna gonna run uh. And cobalt is really

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<v Speaker 1>the secret ingredient UM. And so Drake's done the story.

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<v Speaker 1>It is sort of magical because of these two narratives

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<v Speaker 1>that it brings together. It's really the search for a

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<v Speaker 1>better battery. On one hand, that might come from the

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<v Speaker 1>ground and we need more cobalt, but it also could

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<v Speaker 1>come from the lab and might not involve any cobalt.

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<v Speaker 1>So so Drake, why don't you break that down for us? Yeah, no, thanks,

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<v Speaker 1>Joel Um, Yeah exactly. I mean, I think we think

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<v Speaker 1>about batteries as technologies, and they are technologies. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>they're closer to being like a microchip than they are

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<v Speaker 1>to being like the commodity like oil. So it makes

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<v Speaker 1>sense that you see these dramatic drops in price and

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<v Speaker 1>these increases in energy density and things like that. But

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<v Speaker 1>they're very dependent on the particular chemical characteristics of particular elements,

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<v Speaker 1>and UM one of those is cobalt. Cobalt is particularly

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<v Speaker 1>good as a as a cathode materials, sort of making

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<v Speaker 1>the sort of foundation of one of the electrodes of

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<v Speaker 1>the battery. Uh. And there are you know, most of

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<v Speaker 1>the world. Uh. Cobalt happens to be found under UM,

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<v Speaker 1>the democratic called Congo, which is uh, you know, unstable country, UM,

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<v Speaker 1>very poor working conditions in the minds. Chinese companies own

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of the minds there, and so there's you know,

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<v Speaker 1>incentive right there to try to diversify our supply UM.

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<v Speaker 1>But on top of that, you know, if we are

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<v Speaker 1>going to meaningfully make it dent and you know, if

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<v Speaker 1>there's one point to billion internal combustion cars on the

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<v Speaker 1>road today, if we're gonna switch some meaningful proportion of

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<v Speaker 1>those to being electric vehicles, we're gonna need many times

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<v Speaker 1>more cobalt than what we currently know about UM. So, right,

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<v Speaker 1>so there's two approaches that I look at. One is

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<v Speaker 1>finding more so. There's a tech company UM based in

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<v Speaker 1>Silicon Valley. It's it's these physicists and data scientists who

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<v Speaker 1>are convinced that they can use the tools of data

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<v Speaker 1>science UM, these powerful artificial intelligence algorithms to find deposits

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<v Speaker 1>where traditional energy companies and traditional exploration geologists have failed.

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<v Speaker 1>I did. I spent a lot of time talking to

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<v Speaker 1>these guys, and then as it happened, they were just

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<v Speaker 1>beginning to go see if they're right. So they were

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<v Speaker 1>One of their exploration claim blocks is in the art

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<v Speaker 1>in the Canadian ARCT dick way up at this very

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<v Speaker 1>tip of Quebec, and I went up there and spent

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<v Speaker 1>some time flying around in a helicopter with one of

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<v Speaker 1>the geologists as he went to these spots that this

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<v Speaker 1>AI was saying looked promising and examine the rock yet

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<v Speaker 1>kind of primitive actually seeing what he did. He had

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<v Speaker 1>this sledge hammer and he just break off these rocks

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<v Speaker 1>and then get up this kind of jeweler's loop and

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<v Speaker 1>look at them. And you know, um, yeah, very I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>you did have a you did have a you know,

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<v Speaker 1>Samsung tablet that he was entering stuff into. But it

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<v Speaker 1>is this mix of this kind of very traditional geology

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<v Speaker 1>and this these these tools that rely on enormous amounts

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<v Speaker 1>of computing power and advanced data science. So after after

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<v Speaker 1>reporting out this story, Drake, are your sources optimistic that

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<v Speaker 1>there is a solution out there? Because I think about

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<v Speaker 1>something like this in the transition to electric vehicles, and

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<v Speaker 1>I don't think that consumers understand that this isn't black

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<v Speaker 1>and white, right. These batteries take serious natural resources, and

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<v Speaker 1>even to charge at this point takes fossil fuels in

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<v Speaker 1>many cases. Yeah, I mean, I think you know, the

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<v Speaker 1>other sort of the other sort of side of the

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<v Speaker 1>coin that I wrote about was was a chemist who's

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<v Speaker 1>basically trying to design batteries that don't need cobalt at all.

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<v Speaker 1>So then it doesn't matter that it's all under the

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<v Speaker 1>congo and that we don't know where we're going to

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<v Speaker 1>get it um And I think, you know, there's ways

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<v Speaker 1>in which these two approaches are intention but in many

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<v Speaker 1>ways they're complementary. And so I think, and there's you know,

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<v Speaker 1>plenty of other folks who are looking at recycling or

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<v Speaker 1>you know, improving the kind of processing of these ores

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<v Speaker 1>so that you can use more marginal deposits. And so

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<v Speaker 1>there's a bunch of approaches and I think you put

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<v Speaker 1>those together and you you know, you are probably gonna

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<v Speaker 1>make a meaningful dent in this problem. I mean, having

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<v Speaker 1>seen both sides of maybe how this plays out, what's

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<v Speaker 1>what's your conclusion about what ultimately will happen in terms

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<v Speaker 1>of batteries no cobalt or well, we'll find more. I

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<v Speaker 1>think I think we will. I think both people find more,

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<v Speaker 1>and I think you know they're they're there. They're interesting.

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<v Speaker 1>You know examples from history, you know, oil and gas. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>there was this idea that we had reached peak oil

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<v Speaker 1>forty years ago, and you know that didn't happen. But

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<v Speaker 1>at the same time, you are already seeing the process

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<v Speaker 1>where the amount of cobalt being used in these batteries

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<v Speaker 1>is getting lower and lower and lower. So you know,

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<v Speaker 1>whether or not it goes to zero, it's still gone

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<v Speaker 1>from basically in the first with my own batteries to

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<v Speaker 1>you know, in in some of the things being built now,

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<v Speaker 1>and I think right to like, you know, we're talking

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<v Speaker 1>about changes that are gonna play out over years um.

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<v Speaker 1>Even even for you know, best case scenario, this place

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<v Speaker 1>that Drake visited, you know that if that became an

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<v Speaker 1>operational mind, you know, it could take a decade before

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<v Speaker 1>anything from that ground ends up actually powering a car.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, so massive infrastructure we're talking about that goes

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<v Speaker 1>into some of these projects. So it's a little bit

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<v Speaker 1>of everything. I think it's an incredible story and you really,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, get into the nitty gritty of what's going

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<v Speaker 1>on and something that I think we take for granted

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<v Speaker 1>safe to say, well, and I think there's this misconception

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<v Speaker 1>that I was alluding to earlier that it was immediately

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<v Speaker 1>a green solution for someone to go buy an electric car.

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<v Speaker 1>But when it comes to the production of it, when

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<v Speaker 1>it comes to the battery, when it comes to charging,

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<v Speaker 1>it's it's not that simple, great issue. Joll Well, there's

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<v Speaker 1>much more in there, and I think one of the

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<v Speaker 1>through lines is looking at resources and in this case

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<v Speaker 1>it's a battery. But um, you know there's this water

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<v Speaker 1>one that I think is also really interesting. And you know, look,

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of these problems are are things that humans

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<v Speaker 1>create and now we can try and solve them. And boy,

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<v Speaker 1>I hope we're good at innovation. Still fingers crossed, everything's crossed.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, you still can't believe they are hundred twenty

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<v Speaker 1>million Americans who don't have masters to broadband, which is

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<v Speaker 1>another story. We talked about that one yesterday on the

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<v Speaker 1>show All That in our weekend Bloomberg Business Week show

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<v Speaker 1>that you can catch on Bloomberg Radio at eight a m. And,

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<v Speaker 1>of course, check out the magazine. It is on newstands,

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<v Speaker 1>check out Bloomberg dot com, business Week dot com, and

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<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg terminal. Our thanks to Drake Bennett and Business

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<v Speaker 1>Week editor Joel Weber. This is Bloomberg. This is Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Business Week with Carol Masser and Bloomberg Quick takes Tim

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<v Speaker 1>Stinnovy on Bloomberg Radio. Are you are listening to Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Business Week several headlines when it comes certainly to COVID

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<v Speaker 1>and the vaccines and boosters. In fact, we are awaiting

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<v Speaker 1>some news from the CDCs Advisory Committee on Immunization Practice

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<v Speaker 1>making its own recommendations about who should receive additional doses.

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<v Speaker 1>We know FISER getting a step forward, the FDA saying

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<v Speaker 1>people over the age of sixty five and adults at

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<v Speaker 1>high risk of severe COVID nineteen who already got that

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<v Speaker 1>viser by in tech vaccine can get a booster shot.

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<v Speaker 1>But there's a lot of information that still has to happen. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>there is a lot of concern about Okay, are we

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<v Speaker 1>to a point where we need to be encouraging boosters

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<v Speaker 1>when there are so many holdouts for just getting that

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<v Speaker 1>first shot exactly. So let's see what Dr Andy Pekosh

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<v Speaker 1>has to say. He's Professor of Molecular microbiology and Immunology

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<v Speaker 1>at Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health. Of course,

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<v Speaker 1>that school is supported by Michael R. Bloomberg, founder, Bloomberg ELP,

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<v Speaker 1>and Bloomberg Philanthropies. Dr Pekosh back with us on the

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<v Speaker 1>phone from Baltimore. Dr Pekosh, how are you, Oh, I'm

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<v Speaker 1>doing great. Thanks for having me on the show. Always

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<v Speaker 1>good to check in with you. Where are you on boosters?

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<v Speaker 1>At this point, It's important to note that the boosters

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<v Speaker 1>are going to be designed just to help the very

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<v Speaker 1>susceptible parts of the population increased our immune needing, to

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<v Speaker 1>keep them out of the hospital or suffering from severe

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<v Speaker 1>disease um. We heard that from the FDA last week.

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<v Speaker 1>I've been listening in on the CDC and that's really

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<v Speaker 1>an ongoing theme. So boosters are going to be for

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<v Speaker 1>to keep people out of the hospital, and for a

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<v Speaker 1>short term, they'll be focused on individuals who got the

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<v Speaker 1>Visor vaccine initially. But don't be surprised if you hear

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<v Speaker 1>similar things coming from Maderna and for Johnson and Johnson

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<v Speaker 1>in the next coming weeks, because those companies are just

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<v Speaker 1>a few weeks behind Visor in terms of submitting their

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<v Speaker 1>paperwork to the FDA and the CDC. Dr Pekosh, where

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<v Speaker 1>do you think we are as a country when it

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<v Speaker 1>comes to the delta variant and the most recent wave

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<v Speaker 1>that we've seen, Because there is some chatter, especially in

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<v Speaker 1>recent days that that has indicated that some people who

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<v Speaker 1>are doing modeling are saying the worst could be behind us.

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<v Speaker 1>I think we've we've seen Delta make its first sweep

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<v Speaker 1>through the population did in the summer, and at times

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<v Speaker 1>when you know the virus isn't supposed to be spreading

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<v Speaker 1>as easily. So the only caveat that I have to

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<v Speaker 1>this is, you know, we really have to see how

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<v Speaker 1>things are going to work out now as kids are

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<v Speaker 1>back in school, as more people are back in the workplace,

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<v Speaker 1>as we're moving indoors into environments that's easier for the

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<v Speaker 1>virus to spread. My one pushback, I would have to

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<v Speaker 1>that and correct me if I'm wrong. But didn't it

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<v Speaker 1>spread in places that we're really warm, where people would

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<v Speaker 1>be gathering inside anyway? Absolutely, and that's why I worry

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<v Speaker 1>that when we get into even better conditions for the

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<v Speaker 1>virus that the spread may kick up a little bit.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm certainly optimistic right now. I do think the worst

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<v Speaker 1>is behind us with Delta. I think we're seeing the

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<v Speaker 1>vaccines are holding their own against Delta, and so I'm

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<v Speaker 1>confident that we'll have um not as bad a fall

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<v Speaker 1>as we have seen in the summer, so worse behind us,

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<v Speaker 1>But it doesn't mean that it doesn't continue to remind

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<v Speaker 1>us that we're still in a pandemic, that we still

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<v Speaker 1>have to be careful. And this is where the boosters

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<v Speaker 1>shouldn't distract us from the real goal of reducing cases

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<v Speaker 1>by vaccinating the unvaccinated, because that's where we're going to

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<v Speaker 1>really be be able to turn the corner on this pandemic.

0:12:15.520 --> 0:12:19.480
<v Speaker 1>We need to get more people vaccinated because that's going

0:12:19.520 --> 0:12:22.400
<v Speaker 1>to reduce virus spread, that's going to reduce case numbers.

0:12:22.400 --> 0:12:24.920
<v Speaker 1>It's gonna let us get rid of some of these

0:12:24.920 --> 0:12:27.160
<v Speaker 1>public health and adventures that we have to have right now,

0:12:27.200 --> 0:12:30.439
<v Speaker 1>because even though we've got vaccinated people, the virus is

0:12:30.480 --> 0:12:34.440
<v Speaker 1>spreading so broadly and so strongly in the population that

0:12:34.480 --> 0:12:36.760
<v Speaker 1>we need more than just the vaccines to protect us.

0:12:37.400 --> 0:12:40.480
<v Speaker 1>What what is the best way to get those people

0:12:40.520 --> 0:12:44.120
<v Speaker 1>who even up to now, when vaccines have been available

0:12:44.240 --> 0:12:46.280
<v Speaker 1>for months and the incentives have been there and now

0:12:46.280 --> 0:12:48.679
<v Speaker 1>we're seeing mandates, how do you get those holdouts to

0:12:48.679 --> 0:12:53.320
<v Speaker 1>get vaccinated? Yeah, I really feel that, Um, there's a

0:12:53.360 --> 0:12:57.160
<v Speaker 1>good portion of the population that just here's all the

0:12:57.240 --> 0:13:00.640
<v Speaker 1>rhetoric and really is just a little confused and a

0:13:00.720 --> 0:13:03.200
<v Speaker 1>little bit taken aback and is not sure which way

0:13:03.200 --> 0:13:07.600
<v Speaker 1>to go because, UM, the misinformation can be just as

0:13:07.640 --> 0:13:12.200
<v Speaker 1>loud as the positive information. So it really comes down

0:13:12.200 --> 0:13:16.559
<v Speaker 1>to communication and redoubling our efforts and the efforts of

0:13:17.120 --> 0:13:20.960
<v Speaker 1>public health officials to make those more personal connections, those

0:13:21.000 --> 0:13:25.679
<v Speaker 1>small group connections. UM. I've had a lot of success

0:13:26.240 --> 0:13:29.000
<v Speaker 1>talking to people in groups of two or three here

0:13:29.000 --> 0:13:33.360
<v Speaker 1>at Johns Hopkins University, UH, talking to small groups in

0:13:33.960 --> 0:13:38.600
<v Speaker 1>webinars UM that we advertise over Twitter. UM, making those

0:13:38.720 --> 0:13:42.560
<v Speaker 1>kind of conversations so that individuals can really have that

0:13:42.679 --> 0:13:45.360
<v Speaker 1>one on one with you and understand the sincerity in

0:13:45.400 --> 0:13:48.880
<v Speaker 1>which you're passing along this really fantastic information about how

0:13:48.920 --> 0:13:52.760
<v Speaker 1>safe and efficacious these vaccines are. It's hard work and

0:13:52.800 --> 0:13:55.200
<v Speaker 1>getting the right information is so crucial to getting us

0:13:55.200 --> 0:13:58.320
<v Speaker 1>through this, uh in the right way. Hey, having said that,

0:13:59.080 --> 0:14:01.080
<v Speaker 1>I've got a little bit of a were left arm, Tim,

0:14:01.120 --> 0:14:03.439
<v Speaker 1>I think maybe had a sore arm a couple of

0:14:03.440 --> 0:14:05.679
<v Speaker 1>weeks ago we got our flu shots. What do we

0:14:05.720 --> 0:14:09.560
<v Speaker 1>need to keep uh in mind when it comes to,

0:14:10.000 --> 0:14:12.640
<v Speaker 1>you know, the normal flu season, which kind of didn't

0:14:12.679 --> 0:14:15.760
<v Speaker 1>really happen during the pandemic because we were all sheltering

0:14:15.760 --> 0:14:19.680
<v Speaker 1>in place. Yeah, I think this year we're really keeping

0:14:19.680 --> 0:14:25.000
<v Speaker 1>our eye on influenza UM. The public health interventions really

0:14:25.000 --> 0:14:30.200
<v Speaker 1>did a great job of limiting viruses like influenza, even

0:14:30.440 --> 0:14:34.200
<v Speaker 1>common cold viruses UM for kids, of virus called RSV

0:14:34.400 --> 0:14:37.880
<v Speaker 1>or respiratory and cecial virus. They all those viruses were

0:14:37.960 --> 0:14:41.880
<v Speaker 1>really reduced during the pandemic UM. Now we're seeing some

0:14:42.120 --> 0:14:45.880
<v Speaker 1>these public health interventions relaxed, and we've already seen a

0:14:46.000 --> 0:14:50.800
<v Speaker 1>really big increase in rhinovirus is the common cold virus.

0:14:51.320 --> 0:14:55.240
<v Speaker 1>We're seeing a large increase in respiratories and cecial virus

0:14:55.320 --> 0:14:59.360
<v Speaker 1>and kids, and those two things usually mean that we'll

0:14:59.400 --> 0:15:04.080
<v Speaker 1>see influenza over the next couple of weeks. So the

0:15:04.160 --> 0:15:07.080
<v Speaker 1>vaccine is important to get this year more than ever

0:15:07.160 --> 0:15:10.120
<v Speaker 1>because we've gone some period of time without seeing a

0:15:10.120 --> 0:15:13.240
<v Speaker 1>lot of influenzas. There's a lot of susceptibility in the

0:15:13.320 --> 0:15:18.680
<v Speaker 1>population because we haven't had infections UM coming through the population.

0:15:18.960 --> 0:15:22.520
<v Speaker 1>And in particular this is important for younger populations because

0:15:22.520 --> 0:15:26.320
<v Speaker 1>they're the most vulnerable. They haven't seen influenza, many of

0:15:26.360 --> 0:15:29.720
<v Speaker 1>them haven't gotten a lot of influenza vaccines, and it's

0:15:29.800 --> 0:15:32.120
<v Speaker 1>that population that we really want to pay attention to

0:15:32.240 --> 0:15:37.760
<v Speaker 1>during the next couple of weeks. Get your flu shots exactly. No, no,

0:15:37.840 --> 0:15:40.920
<v Speaker 1>not at all. Dr Anye Andy Pekos, thank you so much,

0:15:40.920 --> 0:15:44.720
<v Speaker 1>Professor of Molecular Microbiology and Immunology at Johns Hopkins University,

0:15:44.720 --> 0:15:47.880
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg School of Public Health. Supported by Michael R. Bloomberg,

0:15:47.920 --> 0:15:52.320
<v Speaker 1>Founder of Bloomberg Alp and Bloomberg Philanthropies. This is Bloomberg

0:15:52.360 --> 0:15:56.040
<v Speaker 1>Business Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes. Tim

0:15:56.080 --> 0:15:59.720
<v Speaker 1>Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. We're gonna zero in on a

0:15:59.760 --> 0:16:02.720
<v Speaker 1>Walt Disney company. It's been Tim actually in the news

0:16:02.840 --> 0:16:04.840
<v Speaker 1>a lot this week, the stock moving as a results,

0:16:04.840 --> 0:16:07.360
<v Speaker 1>and times down sometimes up, writing about the company in

0:16:07.360 --> 0:16:10.240
<v Speaker 1>a Bloomberg Opinion pieces, our own Tim O'Brien's senior columnist

0:16:10.240 --> 0:16:12.880
<v Speaker 1>of Bloomberg Opinion, right next to us in our interactive brokers.

0:16:12.880 --> 0:16:14.040
<v Speaker 1>So it is so good to be with you, so

0:16:14.040 --> 0:16:16.040
<v Speaker 1>good to be here. So tell us about Disney, because

0:16:16.040 --> 0:16:18.280
<v Speaker 1>they've been in the news a lot, bofeck talking a

0:16:18.280 --> 0:16:20.280
<v Speaker 1>bunch this week. Well, Disney is wrestling with a lot

0:16:20.280 --> 0:16:23.200
<v Speaker 1>of stuff at theme parks and the entertainment industry. But

0:16:23.280 --> 0:16:26.960
<v Speaker 1>what I zoomed in on was it's it's increasingly close

0:16:27.040 --> 0:16:30.400
<v Speaker 1>embrace with sports betting. Uh, you know Disney is the

0:16:30.480 --> 0:16:33.360
<v Speaker 1>most wit what sports betting? That's right? And this is

0:16:33.400 --> 0:16:36.360
<v Speaker 1>a family centric company. Um, you know, sports betting has

0:16:36.400 --> 0:16:41.440
<v Speaker 1>been booming. The Supreme Court in eighteen basically broke up

0:16:41.560 --> 0:16:45.800
<v Speaker 1>Nevada's monopoly on sports betting. They've knocked down federal laws

0:16:45.840 --> 0:16:48.920
<v Speaker 1>that prevented other states from adopting it. And you wed

0:16:48.960 --> 0:16:51.520
<v Speaker 1>that to the Internet era where everyone can gamble on

0:16:51.560 --> 0:16:55.080
<v Speaker 1>their phones or through their televisions and their living rooms,

0:16:55.240 --> 0:16:58.120
<v Speaker 1>and it is ubiquitous. It's growing. A lot of the

0:16:58.160 --> 0:17:01.600
<v Speaker 1>pure play sports betting companies have seen their market caps

0:17:01.640 --> 0:17:05.199
<v Speaker 1>explode from two billion to twenty four billion over a

0:17:05.200 --> 0:17:09.200
<v Speaker 1>two year period. And younger men do it, and Disney

0:17:09.200 --> 0:17:11.880
<v Speaker 1>wants to connect to those people. And what other property

0:17:11.880 --> 0:17:15.600
<v Speaker 1>does Disney have that younger men and younger women too?

0:17:15.600 --> 0:17:19.359
<v Speaker 1>But it's still it tilts towards mail. It's ESPN, the

0:17:19.720 --> 0:17:24.919
<v Speaker 1>powerhouse sports network, and now ESPN is forming. It already

0:17:24.920 --> 0:17:27.359
<v Speaker 1>has partnerships with companies that provide the odds. If you

0:17:27.400 --> 0:17:31.040
<v Speaker 1>turn into any ESPN broadcast, you now see what once

0:17:31.160 --> 0:17:34.240
<v Speaker 1>was a nomalous sports betting lines on your TV screen.

0:17:35.000 --> 0:17:39.880
<v Speaker 1>But now Disney's pondering possibly licensing deals where there would

0:17:39.880 --> 0:17:44.080
<v Speaker 1>actually be bookmaking shops that have the ESPN brand. It

0:17:44.119 --> 0:17:46.520
<v Speaker 1>feels so like und right, I mean, how does the

0:17:46.520 --> 0:17:48.680
<v Speaker 1>company wrestle with this? This is a called the family

0:17:48.760 --> 0:17:51.240
<v Speaker 1>values focused company. We talked about casinos. These are you know,

0:17:51.359 --> 0:17:53.600
<v Speaker 1>sin stocks that are in the same bucket as tobacco

0:17:53.680 --> 0:17:56.760
<v Speaker 1>companies in some cases well track betting right, and the

0:17:56.800 --> 0:17:59.800
<v Speaker 1>image of that conjurus right, you know, historically Bob Iger

0:18:00.040 --> 0:18:02.679
<v Speaker 1>sold with this. Now, Bob Jpeck is what they have

0:18:02.760 --> 0:18:08.359
<v Speaker 1>said is we would never fully bring sports gambling inside

0:18:08.400 --> 0:18:11.800
<v Speaker 1>the ESPN model, meaning I guess uh that you you

0:18:11.840 --> 0:18:16.200
<v Speaker 1>couldn't you know, pull, you couldn't gamble directly through any

0:18:16.480 --> 0:18:20.639
<v Speaker 1>ESPN properties. But they're offering then to sort of have

0:18:20.880 --> 0:18:24.120
<v Speaker 1>outside companies handle the gambling and having and the bet

0:18:24.160 --> 0:18:27.160
<v Speaker 1>and they'll just take a licensing fee and both of them.

0:18:27.200 --> 0:18:30.200
<v Speaker 1>You know. Bob set a version of that a couple

0:18:30.240 --> 0:18:33.000
<v Speaker 1>of years ago. Bob Jpek, who succeeded him, just this

0:18:33.040 --> 0:18:36.880
<v Speaker 1>week at a Goldman conference, said we would never embed

0:18:36.920 --> 0:18:40.600
<v Speaker 1>gambling in our products, but our audience likes it, our

0:18:40.760 --> 0:18:44.880
<v Speaker 1>users like it and frankly, you know, cable TV, it's

0:18:44.960 --> 0:18:48.840
<v Speaker 1>praying around the edges. Streaming is where it's at, and

0:18:48.840 --> 0:18:51.480
<v Speaker 1>and sports gambling is a hook and do a younger audience.

0:18:51.520 --> 0:18:53.720
<v Speaker 1>You could so see it though, because of ESPN and

0:18:53.720 --> 0:18:55.600
<v Speaker 1>all their coverage, that it would be so easy to

0:18:55.760 --> 0:18:58.520
<v Speaker 1>embed it in right if you think about it. UM,

0:18:58.600 --> 0:19:02.879
<v Speaker 1>tell us about Adam Schefter. Adam Scheckter, I'm sorry, Adam

0:19:03.160 --> 0:19:06.040
<v Speaker 1>Schefter is an ax. You know he is. He is

0:19:06.040 --> 0:19:10.000
<v Speaker 1>one of the He is the senior NFL insider on ESPN.

0:19:10.080 --> 0:19:13.320
<v Speaker 1>His stock and trade is breaking all sorts of news

0:19:13.320 --> 0:19:16.879
<v Speaker 1>and minutia and and gossipy news you can use about

0:19:17.240 --> 0:19:20.119
<v Speaker 1>trades and injuries and starting lineups, the kind of stuff

0:19:20.119 --> 0:19:24.000
<v Speaker 1>that sportsman fanatics really feast upon. He's got a massive

0:19:24.040 --> 0:19:29.040
<v Speaker 1>Twitter following eight point two million followers. Um. He also

0:19:29.160 --> 0:19:32.240
<v Speaker 1>is now investing alongside Bob Kraft, the owner of the

0:19:32.280 --> 0:19:38.560
<v Speaker 1>New England Patriot, in a little gambling startup. And well,

0:19:38.600 --> 0:19:40.520
<v Speaker 1>you know, I called up ESPN and I said, do

0:19:40.600 --> 0:19:43.800
<v Speaker 1>you folks have an ethics policy or guidelines about how

0:19:43.880 --> 0:19:46.879
<v Speaker 1>your employees invest outside the company? And they said, we

0:19:46.920 --> 0:19:50.320
<v Speaker 1>won't comment on that. Uh as to whether they had

0:19:50.359 --> 0:19:53.920
<v Speaker 1>a policy or whether Schefter violated because the issue hears

0:19:53.960 --> 0:19:56.840
<v Speaker 1>if you see him speaking on screen going forward, is

0:19:56.880 --> 0:19:59.680
<v Speaker 1>he talking his book so to speak, if he's got

0:19:59.680 --> 0:20:02.480
<v Speaker 1>an invent spend in a gambling company. Is he offering

0:20:02.680 --> 0:20:07.880
<v Speaker 1>unfiltered and objective information when he's a broadcast on ESPN.

0:20:08.200 --> 0:20:09.840
<v Speaker 1>So we don't know if they're going to be putting

0:20:09.880 --> 0:20:12.200
<v Speaker 1>up a disclosure, if he's going to talk about a disclosure.

0:20:12.240 --> 0:20:15.080
<v Speaker 1>We don't know if he got a special exemption too.

0:20:15.200 --> 0:20:17.160
<v Speaker 1>I would imagine it's you know, this is ABC we're

0:20:17.160 --> 0:20:20.000
<v Speaker 1>talking about. They probably have rules in place. They ain't

0:20:20.040 --> 0:20:26.560
<v Speaker 1>saying tim and saying maybe with maybe you know, million

0:20:26.560 --> 0:20:29.199
<v Speaker 1>Twitter followers, then you know, you can kind of do

0:20:29.200 --> 0:20:31.280
<v Speaker 1>what you want. I also sort of wonder if they

0:20:31.280 --> 0:20:34.120
<v Speaker 1>were you know, maybe they didn't know he had this investment.

0:20:34.119 --> 0:20:36.119
<v Speaker 1>It was just disclosed this week. Who knows what he

0:20:36.160 --> 0:20:39.440
<v Speaker 1>told his bosses. But but he has an individual if

0:20:39.520 --> 0:20:42.680
<v Speaker 1>you know, if his relationship to viewers is I'm giving

0:20:42.720 --> 0:20:45.520
<v Speaker 1>you pure information that helps you enjoy the game more,

0:20:45.800 --> 0:20:47.399
<v Speaker 1>and then there's a group of gambles are like, well,

0:20:47.440 --> 0:20:50.040
<v Speaker 1>that also helps us make money more. And that's what

0:20:50.080 --> 0:20:52.359
<v Speaker 1>it's ultimately about, right, I mean, Disney trying to figure

0:20:52.400 --> 0:20:54.080
<v Speaker 1>out what is the Disney of the future and how

0:20:54.119 --> 0:20:57.080
<v Speaker 1>do you create new revenue streams? Correct? So this coming

0:20:57.080 --> 0:20:59.280
<v Speaker 1>out of time when investors are a little concerned about

0:20:59.280 --> 0:21:00.960
<v Speaker 1>the growth of Disney US. We saw that play out

0:21:01.000 --> 0:21:04.680
<v Speaker 1>in recent days. Would this be happening, Tim, this investment

0:21:04.680 --> 0:21:06.119
<v Speaker 1>be happening? Do you think if we wouldn't see the

0:21:06.119 --> 0:21:09.320
<v Speaker 1>decline of traditional pay TV, traditional cable TV just in

0:21:09.359 --> 0:21:12.000
<v Speaker 1>thirty seconds, sports betting is booming. So it might have

0:21:12.040 --> 0:21:14.080
<v Speaker 1>happened anyway, but they get the added two for one

0:21:14.119 --> 0:21:17.199
<v Speaker 1>benefit of also addressing some of their audience concerns. Do

0:21:17.200 --> 0:21:18.639
<v Speaker 1>you think it would have happened if Bob Iger were

0:21:18.640 --> 0:21:22.800
<v Speaker 1>still there? Possibly? Okay, so that they were certainly considering it.

0:21:23.119 --> 0:21:25.000
<v Speaker 1>Um good stuff, So great to have you come back.

0:21:25.760 --> 0:21:28.480
<v Speaker 1>Love it, Love it. Tim O'Brien, senior columniste, Bloomberg Opinion.

0:21:28.520 --> 0:21:31.240
<v Speaker 1>I wonder if m Adam Schefter got called to the office.

0:21:31.280 --> 0:21:35.240
<v Speaker 1>Adam Schefter, could you come to the ESPN? Did you

0:21:35.280 --> 0:21:41.000
<v Speaker 1>tell us about this company? Exactly? Check out Tim on

0:21:41.000 --> 0:21:43.840
<v Speaker 1>Twitter at Tim O'Brien of course, Bloomberg Opinion. Seen him

0:21:43.840 --> 0:21:53.200
<v Speaker 1>your columnist in our Interactor Broker Studio. I'm oh journal, Yeah,

0:21:53.240 --> 0:21:57.880
<v Speaker 1>but you let me drive. Oh no, no, no, all right,

0:21:57.960 --> 0:22:09.240
<v Speaker 1>please revel I want to drive. Drive by the questions,

0:22:09.680 --> 0:22:20.200
<v Speaker 1>trying the drive to the globe community. Thanks, we'll drying

0:22:20.320 --> 0:22:24.000
<v Speaker 1>us Dawn on Bloomberg Radio. Isn't he just about ten

0:22:24.000 --> 0:22:26.840
<v Speaker 1>minutes left in today's trading session, So just a few

0:22:26.840 --> 0:22:29.359
<v Speaker 1>minutes to wrap up that Thursday trade. We are hovering

0:22:29.400 --> 0:22:32.560
<v Speaker 1>near our best levels of the session. So, as Charlie mentioned,

0:22:33.200 --> 0:22:35.920
<v Speaker 1>really seeing some decent gains one point three percent higher

0:22:35.920 --> 0:22:37.720
<v Speaker 1>on the SMP one and a half percent higher on

0:22:37.760 --> 0:22:42.000
<v Speaker 1>the Dow. And I want to more than it's not

0:22:42.080 --> 0:22:43.840
<v Speaker 1>decent if you're shorting the market, because you'd be like

0:22:43.920 --> 0:22:45.840
<v Speaker 1>I'd love to see a little bit of selling. Well,

0:22:45.840 --> 0:22:48.840
<v Speaker 1>you saw some one Monday. We did, but we've made

0:22:48.880 --> 0:22:51.720
<v Speaker 1>back that ground in a big way. Tuxioca is CEO

0:22:51.760 --> 0:22:54.960
<v Speaker 1>and partner at Cavar Capital Partners. One billion in assets

0:22:55.000 --> 0:22:58.199
<v Speaker 1>under management back with us from Leewood, Kansas. Do how

0:22:58.240 --> 0:23:01.880
<v Speaker 1>are you? I am right? How about you guys doing well?

0:23:01.920 --> 0:23:05.439
<v Speaker 1>Doing well? It's been another I hate to use the

0:23:05.440 --> 0:23:08.040
<v Speaker 1>word interesting, we overuse it, but you know there was

0:23:08.119 --> 0:23:12.040
<v Speaker 1>fear in the markets on Monday. I was reading something

0:23:12.040 --> 0:23:16.119
<v Speaker 1>about JP Morgan who was talking about fun flows. E

0:23:16.280 --> 0:23:19.320
<v Speaker 1>t F flows out on Monday about eleven billion, which

0:23:19.400 --> 0:23:21.359
<v Speaker 1>was I think the biggest on a down day this

0:23:21.440 --> 0:23:25.520
<v Speaker 1>year outside of quality options and futures expirations. And then

0:23:25.600 --> 0:23:28.880
<v Speaker 1>here we are a rally and we've bounced back significantly.

0:23:30.240 --> 0:23:34.320
<v Speaker 1>How do you see the internals of the market? Is it?

0:23:34.400 --> 0:23:38.600
<v Speaker 1>Is it fragile? Is it confident? Is it strong? What

0:23:38.640 --> 0:23:41.439
<v Speaker 1>are you see? I think it's more confident than it

0:23:41.520 --> 0:23:43.679
<v Speaker 1>is fragile. It may be a little tired, right, I

0:23:43.680 --> 0:23:46.439
<v Speaker 1>think it might be calm, but not complacent. And to

0:23:46.480 --> 0:23:48.480
<v Speaker 1>your point, Carol, I mean you're coming into this week

0:23:49.000 --> 0:23:51.080
<v Speaker 1>off of a down week and a really bad Friday,

0:23:51.080 --> 0:23:54.119
<v Speaker 1>which was a quadruple witching Friday, and you kind of

0:23:54.240 --> 0:23:57.080
<v Speaker 1>this trifecta of fear that was percolating over the weekend.

0:23:57.200 --> 0:24:00.399
<v Speaker 1>Obviously the evergrand news and the pros because of it

0:24:00.480 --> 0:24:04.440
<v Speaker 1>having the capability to catalyze a global credit event given

0:24:04.520 --> 0:24:07.760
<v Speaker 1>kind of its precarious lending position. You've had the FED meeting,

0:24:07.880 --> 0:24:10.840
<v Speaker 1>right timing and intensity of whatever tapering or tightening communication

0:24:10.880 --> 0:24:14.600
<v Speaker 1>they were going to provide um all the nausea is

0:24:14.680 --> 0:24:17.520
<v Speaker 1>was just mentioned in that Lumber opinion piece preceding our

0:24:17.560 --> 0:24:21.439
<v Speaker 1>segment of these political debates that domestically debt ceiling concerns,

0:24:21.520 --> 0:24:25.000
<v Speaker 1>all the bureaucratic bundling and continuing resolutions and throwing a

0:24:25.080 --> 0:24:27.720
<v Speaker 1>fourth deal. Right is is seasonality which seems to be

0:24:27.720 --> 0:24:29.760
<v Speaker 1>getting a lot of time and attention and was even

0:24:29.760 --> 0:24:31.440
<v Speaker 1>tipified in some of the fund flows that I read

0:24:31.480 --> 0:24:34.440
<v Speaker 1>that you mentioned about JP Morgan earlier this week. So

0:24:34.480 --> 0:24:36.359
<v Speaker 1>if you, if you have all of those things right,

0:24:36.400 --> 0:24:39.760
<v Speaker 1>you you you go into a market that becomes incredibly

0:24:39.840 --> 0:24:43.560
<v Speaker 1>oversold right after the Monday down down day, and it

0:24:43.600 --> 0:24:45.480
<v Speaker 1>was down a thousand points about forty minutes to go,

0:24:45.520 --> 0:24:47.680
<v Speaker 1>and massive futures buying came in, and then everyone hoped

0:24:47.720 --> 0:24:51.040
<v Speaker 1>for this turnaround Tuesday, and that fell flat. But then

0:24:51.119 --> 0:24:53.320
<v Speaker 1>ultimately the Fed comes out and I think threads the

0:24:53.359 --> 0:24:56.240
<v Speaker 1>needle yesterday and injects more optimism back into the market

0:24:56.240 --> 0:24:58.400
<v Speaker 1>that carried through yesterday afternoon and all of today. Okay,

0:24:58.520 --> 0:25:01.040
<v Speaker 1>I just want to go back to Evergrand because it

0:25:01.119 --> 0:25:04.800
<v Speaker 1>is the market telling us that this is not going

0:25:04.840 --> 0:25:09.199
<v Speaker 1>to be a global credit event. Um. I think the

0:25:09.280 --> 0:25:10.960
<v Speaker 1>market is telling us set to him, and I think

0:25:11.240 --> 0:25:15.400
<v Speaker 1>a few things, right, Why why would we fear ever

0:25:15.520 --> 0:25:17.840
<v Speaker 1>Grand and I think it's not so much from a

0:25:17.920 --> 0:25:23.360
<v Speaker 1>Lehman like credit catastrophe, but more from a consumer demand

0:25:23.640 --> 0:25:27.280
<v Speaker 1>destruction in the US and Europe and a business demand

0:25:27.320 --> 0:25:30.959
<v Speaker 1>destruction Prospects and other parts of the world. Right, China's

0:25:31.000 --> 0:25:35.000
<v Speaker 1>financial stunt is still in any respects closed, but as

0:25:35.040 --> 0:25:39.199
<v Speaker 1>the impact of of the purchasing power of those that

0:25:39.240 --> 0:25:42.520
<v Speaker 1>are most adversely impacted over in China that could ripple

0:25:42.520 --> 0:25:46.120
<v Speaker 1>through the global global economy. I actually read an awesome articles.

0:25:46.160 --> 0:25:48.120
<v Speaker 1>I think it's gonna be the cover story for next

0:25:48.119 --> 0:25:52.640
<v Speaker 1>week's Blueberg Business Week. Um addition, it takes a really

0:25:52.720 --> 0:25:55.480
<v Speaker 1>deep dive and the evolution of evergrand It's prospects for

0:25:55.520 --> 0:26:00.919
<v Speaker 1>recovery cover actually this week. Okay, so it's in the

0:26:00.960 --> 0:26:03.919
<v Speaker 1>best line I thought of the whole article was Chinese

0:26:04.000 --> 0:26:07.680
<v Speaker 1>leaders speak of the goals of moderate prosperity and common prosperity,

0:26:07.840 --> 0:26:11.160
<v Speaker 1>and household acculating more debt to buy multiple or luxurious

0:26:11.160 --> 0:26:15.600
<v Speaker 1>homes doesn't sync with that vision. I thought that was fascinating. Right. Ultimately,

0:26:15.600 --> 0:26:17.960
<v Speaker 1>it's hard to square communism and capitalism, and I think

0:26:18.000 --> 0:26:20.719
<v Speaker 1>the market created a lot of ability volatility trying to

0:26:20.800 --> 0:26:25.840
<v Speaker 1>piece those together. So dips when are dips buying opportunities

0:26:26.040 --> 0:26:29.520
<v Speaker 1>and when are dips a sign of the beginning of

0:26:29.520 --> 0:26:33.159
<v Speaker 1>a correction? Yeah? You know, I I think and I

0:26:33.200 --> 0:26:35.439
<v Speaker 1>actually keep taped on my one of my screens at

0:26:35.440 --> 0:26:38.040
<v Speaker 1>work when my main man of all time, Peter Lynch

0:26:38.160 --> 0:26:41.320
<v Speaker 1>and and it said more people have lost money anticipating

0:26:41.359 --> 0:26:44.000
<v Speaker 1>corrections than in the actual correction. And I think we

0:26:44.080 --> 0:26:47.120
<v Speaker 1>need to adhere to that, considering time in the market,

0:26:47.160 --> 0:26:54.320
<v Speaker 1>timing in the market, however, But you know what, right,

0:26:54.359 --> 0:26:56.000
<v Speaker 1>I mean that that the right now is just so

0:26:56.080 --> 0:26:58.480
<v Speaker 1>much cash and we've actually done a deeper die. But

0:26:58.520 --> 0:27:00.920
<v Speaker 1>what does that mean? Everyone talks about ash on the sidelines,

0:27:00.920 --> 0:27:03.520
<v Speaker 1>so where is this cash and where are these sidelines?

0:27:03.760 --> 0:27:06.639
<v Speaker 1>But there is a lot of money that is looking

0:27:06.720 --> 0:27:09.560
<v Speaker 1>to find an entry point. And you know, this is

0:27:09.600 --> 0:27:12.040
<v Speaker 1>the first five percent pullback we've had an ear and

0:27:12.040 --> 0:27:14.480
<v Speaker 1>maybe that speak to the seasonality impact. It was not

0:27:14.520 --> 0:27:16.439
<v Speaker 1>on a closing low, but an enter day low. We

0:27:16.480 --> 0:27:19.919
<v Speaker 1>saw five point two pullbacks sne sect one last one

0:27:19.960 --> 0:27:22.680
<v Speaker 1>of the nine and a half percent in September. So

0:27:22.840 --> 0:27:24.880
<v Speaker 1>you have low you have you have a lot of cash,

0:27:25.000 --> 0:27:27.560
<v Speaker 1>you have low interest rates. And jpology said yesterday they're

0:27:27.560 --> 0:27:29.480
<v Speaker 1>gonna stay low for a while, that's in a heart

0:27:29.560 --> 0:27:32.240
<v Speaker 1>that's hardening for risk gassets. And then you have market

0:27:32.400 --> 0:27:35.720
<v Speaker 1>multiples that are improving. Right see an S and P

0:27:35.840 --> 0:27:39.080
<v Speaker 1>that's up for the year and it's selling at all

0:27:39.119 --> 0:27:41.360
<v Speaker 1>lower a cheaper multiple than the first of the year.

0:27:41.640 --> 0:27:43.520
<v Speaker 1>So where people that are concerned about a dip turning

0:27:43.520 --> 0:27:46.280
<v Speaker 1>in a correction, you need to typically have you need

0:27:46.359 --> 0:27:49.639
<v Speaker 1>typically have earnings rolling over and a FED policy mistake.

0:27:49.720 --> 0:27:51.200
<v Speaker 1>And I don't know how we have a mistake because

0:27:51.200 --> 0:27:54.200
<v Speaker 1>we have the most telegraphed and transparent FED move in history.

0:27:54.280 --> 0:27:58.800
<v Speaker 1>The next time they fed, I mean they basically I

0:27:58.920 --> 0:28:01.280
<v Speaker 1>keep saying this, but they are spoon feeding us. And

0:28:02.520 --> 0:28:04.760
<v Speaker 1>to be fair, Mike McKee said, j Pal did a

0:28:04.800 --> 0:28:07.680
<v Speaker 1>great job yesterday. I mean the markets kind of got it,

0:28:07.840 --> 0:28:12.600
<v Speaker 1>understood it, and are off and running. I agree. I mean,

0:28:12.640 --> 0:28:14.960
<v Speaker 1>I think they's done a good job for quite a while, Carol.

0:28:15.040 --> 0:28:17.679
<v Speaker 1>But yeah, it seems that like ahead of every meeting,

0:28:18.160 --> 0:28:20.600
<v Speaker 1>there emerges this deep seated fear that Paul is going

0:28:20.640 --> 0:28:23.720
<v Speaker 1>to disclose some like alternate agenda or suggested this open

0:28:23.760 --> 0:28:26.439
<v Speaker 1>Marketmitte has overtaken his influence and the market is going

0:28:26.480 --> 0:28:28.399
<v Speaker 1>to left to be the left to ascertain what that

0:28:28.480 --> 0:28:31.520
<v Speaker 1>all means. But he's doing everything he can, in my opinion,

0:28:31.960 --> 0:28:34.320
<v Speaker 1>to spread that needle between stimulating the economy and not

0:28:34.440 --> 0:28:39.000
<v Speaker 1>provoking hyperinflation. And it's a real time experiment or exercise.

0:28:39.080 --> 0:28:41.440
<v Speaker 1>But again, the transparency is is I think it's a

0:28:41.480 --> 0:28:45.440
<v Speaker 1>big asset for him. All right, any nervousness out there

0:28:45.640 --> 0:28:49.320
<v Speaker 1>just got about Oh gosh, of course, I mean, and

0:28:49.400 --> 0:28:51.160
<v Speaker 1>we talked about this a couple months ago. Are our

0:28:51.640 --> 0:28:54.600
<v Speaker 1>challenge right now and in sourcing client or investing client

0:28:54.720 --> 0:28:57.880
<v Speaker 1>capital is in fixed income? Yeah, I mean, he didn't

0:28:58.000 --> 0:29:01.120
<v Speaker 1>know that it's impossible to predict returns in the in

0:29:01.240 --> 0:29:03.040
<v Speaker 1>the credit markets over the next twenty years that we

0:29:03.080 --> 0:29:04.959
<v Speaker 1>saw in the last twenty. So we're spending a lot

0:29:05.000 --> 0:29:06.680
<v Speaker 1>of time there and of course that makes us nervous.

0:29:06.720 --> 0:29:09.080
<v Speaker 1>Absolutely all right, we're gonna leave it. They're always good

0:29:09.120 --> 0:29:11.320
<v Speaker 1>to check in with you. Be well, Doug Sioca. He

0:29:11.440 --> 0:29:13.840
<v Speaker 1>is CEO and partner of our Capital Partners one billion

0:29:13.880 --> 0:29:16.520
<v Speaker 1>in assets under management, joining us once again on the

0:29:16.560 --> 0:29:21.040
<v Speaker 1>phone from Leewood, Kansas. Thanks for listening to Bloomberg Business Week.

0:29:21.200 --> 0:29:24.640
<v Speaker 1>Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud, or Bloomberg dot com,

0:29:24.800 --> 0:29:26.479
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0:29:26.480 --> 0:29:29.000
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0:29:29.120 --> 0:29:31.120
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