1 00:00:01,280 --> 00:00:06,520 Speaker 1: The volume. The eighty two game preseason is in the books, 2 00:00:06,519 --> 00:00:09,920 Speaker 1: and now it's finally time for the real season. Don't 3 00:00:09,960 --> 00:00:13,200 Speaker 1: miss out on any of the NBA playoff action at 4 00:00:13,240 --> 00:00:16,800 Speaker 1: DraftKings Sportsbook, an official sports betting partner of the NBA. 5 00:00:16,920 --> 00:00:20,200 Speaker 1: From the play in tournament through the finals, DraftKings Sportsbook 6 00:00:20,200 --> 00:00:24,160 Speaker 1: has you covered with same game parlays, live betting odds, boosts, 7 00:00:24,160 --> 00:00:26,960 Speaker 1: and so much more. The Boston Celtics are currently the 8 00:00:27,080 --> 00:00:30,600 Speaker 1: favorite at plus one sixty, but the team that's third 9 00:00:30,640 --> 00:00:33,599 Speaker 1: in my championship rankings the Dallas Mavericks. 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Today we're doing 29 00:01:54,600 --> 00:01:57,920 Speaker 1: a series preview of the two six matchup in the 30 00:01:57,920 --> 00:01:59,960 Speaker 1: second round in the Eastern Conference, the New York Name 31 00:02:00,560 --> 00:02:03,360 Speaker 1: hosting the Indiana Pacers. Going to break the series down 32 00:02:03,440 --> 00:02:06,279 Speaker 1: from every angle, and then I've got twelve video clips 33 00:02:06,320 --> 00:02:08,519 Speaker 1: for a little film session at the tail end of 34 00:02:08,520 --> 00:02:10,280 Speaker 1: the show. You guys know the drill before we get started. 35 00:02:10,280 --> 00:02:12,120 Speaker 1: Subscribe to a brand new YouTube channels. You don't miss 36 00:02:12,160 --> 00:02:14,799 Speaker 1: any more of our videos. Follow me on Twitter at 37 00:02:14,880 --> 00:02:17,320 Speaker 1: underscore jsonlt so you guys don't miss you announcements, don't 38 00:02:17,320 --> 00:02:19,200 Speaker 1: forget about a podcast feed wherever you get your podcast 39 00:02:19,240 --> 00:02:21,560 Speaker 1: under Hoops Tonight, and then keep dropping mail bag questions 40 00:02:21,560 --> 00:02:23,320 Speaker 1: and those YouTube comments so we can keep hitting them 41 00:02:23,440 --> 00:02:25,400 Speaker 1: throughout the rest of the postseason. All right, let's talk 42 00:02:25,440 --> 00:02:28,919 Speaker 1: some basketball. So the season series Pacers won two to one, 43 00:02:29,840 --> 00:02:32,520 Speaker 1: kind of like many playoff previews, not a ton of 44 00:02:32,600 --> 00:02:35,480 Speaker 1: useful information in terms of who played in the regular 45 00:02:35,480 --> 00:02:38,720 Speaker 1: season games. Julius Randall played in the first game, Neither 46 00:02:38,840 --> 00:02:41,639 Speaker 1: Julius Randall nor Ojan and Obi played in the last 47 00:02:41,639 --> 00:02:44,520 Speaker 1: two games. There was a game where both Pascal Siakam 48 00:02:44,560 --> 00:02:47,080 Speaker 1: and Buddy Heald played. There was a game where TODJ. 49 00:02:47,160 --> 00:02:50,880 Speaker 1: Gibson played nineteen minutes. So this series will obviously look 50 00:02:51,000 --> 00:02:53,200 Speaker 1: very different from the regular season. But we did get 51 00:02:53,200 --> 00:02:55,840 Speaker 1: some information about some of the coverages that we expect 52 00:02:55,880 --> 00:02:57,400 Speaker 1: both teams to use, so we'll get into that a 53 00:02:57,400 --> 00:02:59,160 Speaker 1: little bit, and some of the individual matchups that I 54 00:02:59,200 --> 00:03:02,360 Speaker 1: expect to see over the course of the series. Some 55 00:03:02,400 --> 00:03:04,600 Speaker 1: of the metrics from the regular season, the Knicks had 56 00:03:04,600 --> 00:03:07,640 Speaker 1: a one to fifteen point three offensive rating and the 57 00:03:07,680 --> 00:03:11,480 Speaker 1: Pacers had a one twenty three point seven offensive rating 58 00:03:11,880 --> 00:03:15,200 Speaker 1: in the three matchups, that's an eight point four point 59 00:03:15,280 --> 00:03:18,640 Speaker 1: per one hundred advantage for the Indiana Pacers, the Knicks 60 00:03:18,720 --> 00:03:22,079 Speaker 1: out rebounded them badly. The Knicks had a seventy six 61 00:03:22,120 --> 00:03:26,239 Speaker 1: percent defensive rebounding a defensive rebound percentage meaning seventy six 62 00:03:26,280 --> 00:03:29,000 Speaker 1: percent of opponents misses they were able to corral and 63 00:03:29,040 --> 00:03:31,720 Speaker 1: get out. Going the other way, the Pacers only grabbed 64 00:03:31,760 --> 00:03:35,280 Speaker 1: sixty six percent of their available defensive rebounds. Big matchup 65 00:03:35,280 --> 00:03:36,960 Speaker 1: in this series. We know the Knicks are the best 66 00:03:36,960 --> 00:03:38,840 Speaker 1: offensive rebounding team in the league and the Pacers are 67 00:03:38,840 --> 00:03:40,800 Speaker 1: a bad defensive rebounding team. So that's gonna be a 68 00:03:40,800 --> 00:03:43,000 Speaker 1: big piece in this series, and we're gonna talk about 69 00:03:43,000 --> 00:03:44,200 Speaker 1: it a lot today. But there's a push and pull 70 00:03:44,200 --> 00:03:47,680 Speaker 1: there because the Pacers are also an excellent transition pushing team, 71 00:03:47,760 --> 00:03:50,200 Speaker 1: so that'll be an interesting matchup. The Knicks one the 72 00:03:50,200 --> 00:03:52,760 Speaker 1: points in the paint fifty four point seven to fifty 73 00:03:52,760 --> 00:03:55,280 Speaker 1: three point three in the three game series, the Knicks 74 00:03:55,280 --> 00:03:58,440 Speaker 1: one second chance points seventeen to eleven point three, and 75 00:03:58,480 --> 00:04:01,160 Speaker 1: the Knicks one points off of turnvers eighteen to twelve 76 00:04:01,200 --> 00:04:05,000 Speaker 1: point three. The Pacers did win fast break points scored 77 00:04:05,480 --> 00:04:09,400 Speaker 1: per game thirteen point seven to twelve point three, So 78 00:04:09,640 --> 00:04:12,680 Speaker 1: let's start with the Knicks on offense, the Pacers are 79 00:04:12,680 --> 00:04:15,920 Speaker 1: almost certainly going to put Aaron Nesmith on Jalen Brunson 80 00:04:16,040 --> 00:04:19,200 Speaker 1: from the start of the series. I expect physical ball pressure, 81 00:04:19,680 --> 00:04:22,720 Speaker 1: as much full court pressure as Nie Smith can manage, 82 00:04:22,720 --> 00:04:26,000 Speaker 1: given where he ends up in any transition situation might 83 00:04:26,000 --> 00:04:28,719 Speaker 1: be worth having Dante DiVincenzo or Deduce McBride bring the 84 00:04:28,760 --> 00:04:31,800 Speaker 1: ball up some even Josh Hart potentially if he ends 85 00:04:31,839 --> 00:04:33,600 Speaker 1: up with Tyres Haliburton on which we'll talk about in 86 00:04:33,600 --> 00:04:35,719 Speaker 1: a minute, just to try to save Jalen's legs as 87 00:04:35,800 --> 00:04:38,599 Speaker 1: much as possible. In ball screens where they try to 88 00:04:38,600 --> 00:04:42,719 Speaker 1: bring Miles Turner up into the action, I expect, based 89 00:04:42,720 --> 00:04:46,680 Speaker 1: on the film, for the Pacers to primarily run a 90 00:04:46,760 --> 00:04:49,200 Speaker 1: high drop. But one of the things that Rick Carlisle 91 00:04:49,279 --> 00:04:51,560 Speaker 1: does is he loves to mix up coverages. It was 92 00:04:51,560 --> 00:04:53,640 Speaker 1: a big thing I noticed on tape, Like they don't 93 00:04:53,640 --> 00:04:55,840 Speaker 1: go down the floor and just run a deep drop 94 00:04:55,839 --> 00:04:57,839 Speaker 1: every possession or a high drop every possession, or a 95 00:04:57,839 --> 00:05:00,240 Speaker 1: hedge every possession, or a blitz every possession. They have 96 00:05:00,320 --> 00:05:02,800 Speaker 1: kind of a baseline coverage, but then they'll just mix 97 00:05:02,839 --> 00:05:07,000 Speaker 1: things up, so like random Turner ball screens they'll blitz 98 00:05:07,279 --> 00:05:10,800 Speaker 1: random Halliburton ball screens. They'll blitz, but then they'll drop back. 99 00:05:10,800 --> 00:05:13,719 Speaker 1: On the next possession, they'll have Halliburton hedge and recover 100 00:05:13,839 --> 00:05:16,000 Speaker 1: on a guard guard screen. Then all of a sudden 101 00:05:16,040 --> 00:05:19,240 Speaker 1: they'll have him switch. Then they'll double team out of 102 00:05:19,240 --> 00:05:23,960 Speaker 1: the switch. Sometimes I've literally seen Brunson call Halliburton into 103 00:05:23,960 --> 00:05:25,440 Speaker 1: a screen to try to get him switched, and then 104 00:05:25,480 --> 00:05:28,560 Speaker 1: Brunson then Haliburton randomly blitzed. So like a lot of 105 00:05:28,600 --> 00:05:31,760 Speaker 1: mixed up coverages. But I do think the base coverages 106 00:05:31,800 --> 00:05:34,359 Speaker 1: will be Turner ball screens, a high drop, and the 107 00:05:34,400 --> 00:05:37,320 Speaker 1: base coverage that I think we'll see with Halliburton is 108 00:05:37,400 --> 00:05:39,479 Speaker 1: a hedge and recover. But we'll see over the course 109 00:05:39,480 --> 00:05:41,920 Speaker 1: of the series how much they're willing to switch Haliburton. Again, 110 00:05:41,960 --> 00:05:44,120 Speaker 1: we did see and you guys will see on tape. 111 00:05:44,200 --> 00:05:46,520 Speaker 1: There are examples where Halliburton will switch on to Brunson 112 00:05:46,760 --> 00:05:48,960 Speaker 1: and then they'll just quickly double team and then be 113 00:05:49,040 --> 00:05:53,000 Speaker 1: able to rotate out of it relatively quickly. The Knicks 114 00:05:53,040 --> 00:05:55,599 Speaker 1: did run a lot of guard guard screens to attack Indy. 115 00:05:55,680 --> 00:05:57,920 Speaker 1: They did in a lot of cases try to avoid 116 00:05:57,920 --> 00:06:01,320 Speaker 1: bringing Miles Turner into the action. Imarily focus on attacking 117 00:06:01,320 --> 00:06:04,520 Speaker 1: Indiana's guards. They do have some weak guard defenders in 118 00:06:04,560 --> 00:06:06,200 Speaker 1: their rotation, but they also have a lot of speed 119 00:06:06,240 --> 00:06:09,560 Speaker 1: at that position, so it's not going to be as 120 00:06:09,640 --> 00:06:12,120 Speaker 1: easy as it might have appeared in the regular season 121 00:06:12,440 --> 00:06:16,080 Speaker 1: when Jalen Brunston could attack you know, Ben Mathern or 122 00:06:16,560 --> 00:06:19,080 Speaker 1: or Buddy Healed, like, those guys are obviously just not 123 00:06:19,160 --> 00:06:24,040 Speaker 1: around anymore. Ben's hurt and Heal plays for the Sixers, 124 00:06:24,120 --> 00:06:26,880 Speaker 1: so a lot of harder matchups in those guard guard screens. 125 00:06:26,880 --> 00:06:29,760 Speaker 1: Outside of Halliburton, Brunson has looked really good in this 126 00:06:29,800 --> 00:06:32,200 Speaker 1: matchup in the regular season. He's averaging thirty six points 127 00:06:32,200 --> 00:06:35,240 Speaker 1: per game in the regular season matchup forty nine percent 128 00:06:35,240 --> 00:06:37,160 Speaker 1: from the field, thirty two percent from threes, getting to 129 00:06:37,160 --> 00:06:39,680 Speaker 1: the foul line ten times per game. I think we'll 130 00:06:39,680 --> 00:06:42,760 Speaker 1: see Andrew Nemhart on Dante DiVincenzo. Dante is just a 131 00:06:42,760 --> 00:06:45,279 Speaker 1: total green light shooter. He's flying off of screens and 132 00:06:45,320 --> 00:06:48,800 Speaker 1: pulling up. He's shooting spot up situations. He'll occasionally take 133 00:06:48,800 --> 00:06:50,680 Speaker 1: a pull up three in a ball screen. He had 134 00:06:50,680 --> 00:06:52,960 Speaker 1: a really up and down series against Philly. He was 135 00:06:53,120 --> 00:06:55,680 Speaker 1: just three for seventeen from three in games three, four, 136 00:06:55,680 --> 00:06:58,000 Speaker 1: and five. But he was eleven for twenty two from 137 00:06:58,000 --> 00:07:00,359 Speaker 1: three in games one, two, and six, and he was 138 00:07:00,680 --> 00:07:02,760 Speaker 1: unbelievably good in game six. It was his best game 139 00:07:02,800 --> 00:07:05,520 Speaker 1: of the series. Is big part why Deuce McBride didn't 140 00:07:05,560 --> 00:07:08,000 Speaker 1: play as much. Dante played incredible on both ends of 141 00:07:08,040 --> 00:07:11,200 Speaker 1: the floor. But Andrew Nemhart is gonna get that assignment again. 142 00:07:11,400 --> 00:07:14,200 Speaker 1: Big thing with him is just staying attached, pushing him 143 00:07:14,200 --> 00:07:17,440 Speaker 1: into rushed shots further away from the basket. That's gonna 144 00:07:17,440 --> 00:07:20,640 Speaker 1: be the key for Nemhard in that matchup. Tyres Haliburton 145 00:07:20,680 --> 00:07:23,600 Speaker 1: on Josh Hart again, doing his job in the scheme. 146 00:07:23,680 --> 00:07:26,320 Speaker 1: So if Brunson's calling Josh Hart into screens to try 147 00:07:26,320 --> 00:07:28,920 Speaker 1: to target Halliburton and his job is to hedge and recover, 148 00:07:29,080 --> 00:07:31,320 Speaker 1: he needs to hedge and recover properly. If it's to 149 00:07:31,360 --> 00:07:34,040 Speaker 1: switch and then to wait, wait for the double team 150 00:07:34,080 --> 00:07:35,840 Speaker 1: and then rotate out of it, that's what he's got 151 00:07:35,880 --> 00:07:38,400 Speaker 1: to do. If it's a blitz, it's all about gameplay 152 00:07:38,440 --> 00:07:40,680 Speaker 1: and discipline for Tyres Haliburton. You're not expecting him to 153 00:07:40,680 --> 00:07:43,040 Speaker 1: hold up on an island against Jalen Brunson. You're just 154 00:07:43,080 --> 00:07:46,000 Speaker 1: expecting him to do whatever Rick Carlisle asks him to do, 155 00:07:46,520 --> 00:07:49,440 Speaker 1: and then primarily whenever he's on Josh Hart, but not 156 00:07:49,760 --> 00:07:52,560 Speaker 1: into getting pulled into an action. He's got to be 157 00:07:52,640 --> 00:07:55,560 Speaker 1: careful about Josh Hart crashing the offensive glass. Josh has 158 00:07:55,560 --> 00:07:58,080 Speaker 1: been an absolute wrecking ball in this postseason run. He's 159 00:07:58,080 --> 00:08:01,560 Speaker 1: averaging four offensive rebounds per game. He had six in 160 00:08:01,640 --> 00:08:04,440 Speaker 1: Game six in Philly, So that's definitely gonna be something 161 00:08:04,480 --> 00:08:06,000 Speaker 1: Tyreez is gonna have to keep an eye out on, 162 00:08:06,840 --> 00:08:08,960 Speaker 1: just making sure that he tries to throw a token 163 00:08:09,080 --> 00:08:11,480 Speaker 1: box out at Josh Hart every time a shot goes up. 164 00:08:11,760 --> 00:08:15,320 Speaker 1: Pascal Siakam on Ojan Andobi so again, when the Knicks 165 00:08:15,320 --> 00:08:17,520 Speaker 1: are on offense, o Jannobi does the majority of his 166 00:08:17,560 --> 00:08:20,400 Speaker 1: work in transition and in spot up situations. That's the 167 00:08:20,480 --> 00:08:22,480 Speaker 1: vast majority of his play types that you'll see as 168 00:08:22,560 --> 00:08:25,600 Speaker 1: him running his lane in transition and him spotting up 169 00:08:25,600 --> 00:08:28,160 Speaker 1: in attacking closeouts. He's shooting thirty nine percent so far 170 00:08:28,160 --> 00:08:31,440 Speaker 1: in the postseason on unguarded catch and shoot jumpers, and 171 00:08:31,600 --> 00:08:34,280 Speaker 1: sixty three percent when he shoots that pull up mid 172 00:08:34,400 --> 00:08:36,360 Speaker 1: range jumper where like he'll pump fake and kind of 173 00:08:36,440 --> 00:08:39,120 Speaker 1: rip through to that foul line area and he'll raise up. 174 00:08:39,160 --> 00:08:41,320 Speaker 1: He's knocking down that shot at a really high clip, 175 00:08:41,559 --> 00:08:45,280 Speaker 1: but he's only three for eleven unguarded catch and shoot jumpers. 176 00:08:45,320 --> 00:08:47,720 Speaker 1: So for Siakam, it's just gonna be about making smart 177 00:08:47,720 --> 00:08:50,440 Speaker 1: help and recover decisions. He's gonna be as one of 178 00:08:50,440 --> 00:08:52,960 Speaker 1: the lengthier athletes on the floor, a guy that Indiana's 179 00:08:53,000 --> 00:08:56,400 Speaker 1: gonna lean on to dig down into disrupt driving lanes 180 00:08:56,440 --> 00:08:58,000 Speaker 1: and to help at the rim. And so he's just 181 00:08:58,000 --> 00:09:00,280 Speaker 1: gonna have to kind of toe that line because if 182 00:09:00,320 --> 00:09:02,800 Speaker 1: he can get a solid contest on Nie Smith, Nesmith 183 00:09:02,840 --> 00:09:05,600 Speaker 1: will probably miss. Nesmith needs to be open, and so 184 00:09:05,920 --> 00:09:07,839 Speaker 1: again just kind of staying in that range where he 185 00:09:07,880 --> 00:09:10,000 Speaker 1: can dig down and help but also recover out and 186 00:09:10,000 --> 00:09:11,920 Speaker 1: throw a good clothes out. And also one of the 187 00:09:11,920 --> 00:09:14,600 Speaker 1: things we got to remember, Oh Gina, No, he does 188 00:09:14,640 --> 00:09:16,360 Speaker 1: have some slashing ability. That was how we dunked on 189 00:09:16,440 --> 00:09:18,360 Speaker 1: Joel Embiid at the end of the game. Same kind 190 00:09:18,360 --> 00:09:20,200 Speaker 1: of thing when we go to the other side of 191 00:09:20,200 --> 00:09:22,360 Speaker 1: the floor with aeron Nie Smith, like Aaroni Smith, same 192 00:09:22,679 --> 00:09:25,240 Speaker 1: type of player, wide open catch and shoot player, can 193 00:09:25,320 --> 00:09:28,960 Speaker 1: knock it down, but when it comes to like chasing 194 00:09:29,000 --> 00:09:31,360 Speaker 1: him off the line, he can really slash downhill. And 195 00:09:31,400 --> 00:09:34,320 Speaker 1: even though Og is more of a forward and Nemhar 196 00:09:34,440 --> 00:09:36,040 Speaker 1: or excuse me, nies Smith is more of a guard, 197 00:09:36,800 --> 00:09:38,720 Speaker 1: they're both kind of similar kind of catch and shoot 198 00:09:38,800 --> 00:09:43,640 Speaker 1: slashers on the wing. And so for specifically for Pascal Yakam, 199 00:09:43,640 --> 00:09:44,800 Speaker 1: he's just gonna have to make sure he kind of 200 00:09:44,840 --> 00:09:48,240 Speaker 1: stays attached in those help and recover situations with OG. 201 00:09:48,800 --> 00:09:52,120 Speaker 1: Miles Turner on Isaiah Hartenstein, my main concern is just 202 00:09:52,160 --> 00:09:54,440 Speaker 1: keeping him off the glass. He had ten offensive rebounds 203 00:09:54,440 --> 00:09:57,400 Speaker 1: in two games against the Pacers this year, twenty one 204 00:09:57,480 --> 00:10:01,439 Speaker 1: offensive rebounds in six games against the Sixers. And then 205 00:10:01,559 --> 00:10:04,280 Speaker 1: similar kind of thing in terms of like helping and recovering. 206 00:10:04,559 --> 00:10:06,839 Speaker 1: Isaiah Hartenstein's is really good at that little left handed 207 00:10:06,880 --> 00:10:10,240 Speaker 1: pop shot in the lane. He's fourteen for twenty on 208 00:10:10,440 --> 00:10:13,960 Speaker 1: floaters in the Sixers series. So once again, same kind 209 00:10:14,000 --> 00:10:17,480 Speaker 1: of thing with Siakam on OG. With turn Around, Hart 210 00:10:17,480 --> 00:10:19,480 Speaker 1: and Seign, it's all going to be about making sure 211 00:10:19,520 --> 00:10:21,640 Speaker 1: they don't get punished for helping too much, and that 212 00:10:21,720 --> 00:10:25,120 Speaker 1: means quick recoveries to Heart and Sign after he contains 213 00:10:25,160 --> 00:10:29,120 Speaker 1: whatever actions he's helping on. Quick recoveries for Siakam two 214 00:10:29,160 --> 00:10:32,880 Speaker 1: OG whenever he is helping on any sort of action 215 00:10:33,000 --> 00:10:35,959 Speaker 1: in the lane. Keys for both teams. When the Knicks 216 00:10:36,000 --> 00:10:38,720 Speaker 1: have the ball, for the Knicks, be ready to adjust quickly. Again, 217 00:10:38,840 --> 00:10:41,120 Speaker 1: Rick Carlisle loves to mix up coverages. You're going to 218 00:10:41,160 --> 00:10:44,040 Speaker 1: see random blitzes, random doubles. Just have to be able 219 00:10:44,040 --> 00:10:46,120 Speaker 1: to adjust quickly on the fly to be able to 220 00:10:46,160 --> 00:10:50,560 Speaker 1: make sure those possessions don't turn into lost possessions. Alleviate 221 00:10:50,600 --> 00:10:53,040 Speaker 1: Brunson's workload again, having Josh Hart bring the ball to 222 00:10:53,080 --> 00:10:55,280 Speaker 1: the floor when he has Aliburton on him, because Haliburton's 223 00:10:55,280 --> 00:10:56,600 Speaker 1: probably not going to want to pick him up full 224 00:10:56,600 --> 00:11:00,000 Speaker 1: court with all of his offensive responsibilities. Early guard screen 225 00:11:00,160 --> 00:11:02,920 Speaker 1: to get more favorable matchups again, especially in early offense. 226 00:11:03,000 --> 00:11:04,960 Speaker 1: Closer out to half court, teams are more well likely 227 00:11:04,960 --> 00:11:07,720 Speaker 1: to throw a token switch in situations like that. So 228 00:11:08,000 --> 00:11:10,680 Speaker 1: stuff like that can help Brunson get easier matchups than 229 00:11:10,720 --> 00:11:12,840 Speaker 1: Nene Smith because need Smith is just a big, strong 230 00:11:12,880 --> 00:11:15,800 Speaker 1: guard that can you know, we talked to after the 231 00:11:15,800 --> 00:11:19,439 Speaker 1: Sixers series about that lower center of gravity screen navigating 232 00:11:19,440 --> 00:11:22,199 Speaker 1: guy that kind of flatten out Brunston's drives. Nie Smith 233 00:11:22,240 --> 00:11:25,559 Speaker 1: is very much that type of player. Lastly, for the 234 00:11:25,600 --> 00:11:28,080 Speaker 1: Knicks attack the offensive glass relentlessly. It's one of your 235 00:11:28,080 --> 00:11:30,959 Speaker 1: biggest matchup advantages in this series. They need to capitalize 236 00:11:31,000 --> 00:11:34,120 Speaker 1: on it. On the Pacers front. Most teams don't look 237 00:11:34,160 --> 00:11:36,760 Speaker 1: to run against the Knicks. They were the seventh best 238 00:11:36,760 --> 00:11:41,480 Speaker 1: transition frequency defense in the regular season. They just, you know, 239 00:11:41,760 --> 00:11:43,640 Speaker 1: part of the problem with the way that the Knicks 240 00:11:43,640 --> 00:11:46,040 Speaker 1: crash the offensive glass, teams have to be prepared for 241 00:11:46,200 --> 00:11:48,520 Speaker 1: and so teams don't leak out as much. They're more 242 00:11:48,559 --> 00:11:50,720 Speaker 1: willing to kind of stay back to try to clean 243 00:11:50,800 --> 00:11:53,719 Speaker 1: up the defensive glass. But I wonder if the Pacers, 244 00:11:54,120 --> 00:11:57,000 Speaker 1: and again this is going to be risky, and I 245 00:11:57,000 --> 00:12:00,440 Speaker 1: wouldn't start the series thinking this way, but if they 246 00:12:00,440 --> 00:12:02,040 Speaker 1: need to get into a tough spot and they need 247 00:12:02,080 --> 00:12:03,839 Speaker 1: to kind of mix things up, I wonder if the 248 00:12:03,880 --> 00:12:06,280 Speaker 1: Pacers can look more to leak out as a counter 249 00:12:06,400 --> 00:12:09,280 Speaker 1: to their offensive rebound attack, meaning like, yeah, you're gonna 250 00:12:09,280 --> 00:12:11,720 Speaker 1: give it, give up some offensive rebound putbacks, but every 251 00:12:11,720 --> 00:12:14,240 Speaker 1: time the ball does bounce into your hands those kick 252 00:12:14,280 --> 00:12:16,600 Speaker 1: ahead passes, you can get easy baskets and avoid New 253 00:12:16,720 --> 00:12:19,320 Speaker 1: York's half court defense. I'm curious to see if the 254 00:12:19,360 --> 00:12:22,040 Speaker 1: Pacers try that for stretches during the series, and then 255 00:12:22,080 --> 00:12:24,400 Speaker 1: lastly protecting Tyris Haliburton. The Knicks are going to go 256 00:12:24,400 --> 00:12:26,080 Speaker 1: at him on most possessions. That was a big thing 257 00:12:26,120 --> 00:12:28,319 Speaker 1: I noticed in the regular season. It's all about game 258 00:12:28,360 --> 00:12:33,120 Speaker 1: plan discipline for Tyres, hedging and recovering, switching and doubling, blitzing, whatever, 259 00:12:33,440 --> 00:12:35,800 Speaker 1: just has to be sharp within the game plan. Moving 260 00:12:35,840 --> 00:12:38,440 Speaker 1: to the Pacers on offense, I think we'll see Dante 261 00:12:38,480 --> 00:12:42,000 Speaker 1: DiVincenzo on Tyres Haliburton to start the series when he 262 00:12:42,040 --> 00:12:44,839 Speaker 1: brings Isaiah Hartenstein into ball screen. So in this case, 263 00:12:44,880 --> 00:12:47,480 Speaker 1: Miles Turner, I think we'll see Hartenstein at the level. 264 00:12:47,800 --> 00:12:50,079 Speaker 1: I think what that means is he'll be up waiting 265 00:12:50,120 --> 00:12:52,240 Speaker 1: for Tyrese as he comes off the screen. The pick 266 00:12:52,240 --> 00:12:53,920 Speaker 1: and pot for Miles Turner is going to be open 267 00:12:53,960 --> 00:12:55,680 Speaker 1: and they're gonna have to close out to that. But 268 00:12:56,320 --> 00:12:58,040 Speaker 1: they had a lot of practice with that in the 269 00:12:58,040 --> 00:13:04,000 Speaker 1: embied series, right like the Isaiah Hartenstein and Mitchell Robinson 270 00:13:04,040 --> 00:13:07,840 Speaker 1: spent a lot of time containing Tyrese Maxey on a 271 00:13:08,040 --> 00:13:10,439 Speaker 1: coming off of a ball screen and then sprinting back 272 00:13:10,480 --> 00:13:12,559 Speaker 1: to close out to Joel Embiid. That's going to be 273 00:13:12,600 --> 00:13:13,840 Speaker 1: a big thing that they're going to have to do 274 00:13:13,920 --> 00:13:16,120 Speaker 1: with Miles Turner, and then I also think we'll see 275 00:13:16,120 --> 00:13:18,840 Speaker 1: a lot of Duce McBride in this matchup. Douce spent 276 00:13:19,000 --> 00:13:21,360 Speaker 1: almost no time on Tyres Haliburton in the regular season 277 00:13:21,360 --> 00:13:24,360 Speaker 1: for whatever reason, just something I noticed on tape, but 278 00:13:24,400 --> 00:13:27,000 Speaker 1: he had a lot of good reps on MAXI, and 279 00:13:27,120 --> 00:13:29,679 Speaker 1: I think I think he'll have more opportunities like that 280 00:13:29,800 --> 00:13:32,280 Speaker 1: in this series, especially on nights where Dante Divincenzo's not 281 00:13:32,320 --> 00:13:36,080 Speaker 1: shooting the ball particularly well. But Halliburton's a master at 282 00:13:36,080 --> 00:13:38,560 Speaker 1: getting the defense in rotation. He's the ultimate make the 283 00:13:38,600 --> 00:13:41,480 Speaker 1: easy read every single time kind of guy. Right. He 284 00:13:41,559 --> 00:13:44,280 Speaker 1: hasn't been an elite shot maker since his hamstring injuries. 285 00:13:44,320 --> 00:13:46,120 Speaker 1: Matter of fact, he's shooting just twenty seven percent on 286 00:13:46,160 --> 00:13:48,920 Speaker 1: pull up jumpers in the playoffs so far, but he's 287 00:13:48,960 --> 00:13:50,800 Speaker 1: been great close to the rim. He's six for eight 288 00:13:50,840 --> 00:13:53,880 Speaker 1: on floaters and he's eighty one percent on overall shot 289 00:13:53,880 --> 00:13:56,559 Speaker 1: attempts at the rim. So big thing for the Nickson 290 00:13:56,600 --> 00:13:58,040 Speaker 1: this series I think is going to be focusing on 291 00:13:58,120 --> 00:14:02,920 Speaker 1: containing Halliburton and make him shoot longer range pull up jumpers. Right, 292 00:14:02,960 --> 00:14:05,160 Speaker 1: It's almost like think of it more as like catching 293 00:14:05,280 --> 00:14:07,800 Speaker 1: the ball handler as he comes off. We've talked about 294 00:14:07,800 --> 00:14:11,559 Speaker 1: this in other high drop coverages, but when Hartenstein and 295 00:14:11,640 --> 00:14:13,320 Speaker 1: Robinson come up to the level, they just kind of 296 00:14:13,320 --> 00:14:15,360 Speaker 1: have to keep ty Reese in front. If they can 297 00:14:15,400 --> 00:14:18,160 Speaker 1: do that, even if they have to come less far out, 298 00:14:18,360 --> 00:14:20,200 Speaker 1: if they can keep tyres in front and keep him 299 00:14:20,200 --> 00:14:21,920 Speaker 1: out of that float range, keep him out of that 300 00:14:22,040 --> 00:14:24,200 Speaker 1: layup range, I think that you have a chance to 301 00:14:24,200 --> 00:14:27,840 Speaker 1: play him into less efficiency, but watch out for him 302 00:14:27,840 --> 00:14:29,600 Speaker 1: off the ball though. Tyree is shooting really well on 303 00:14:29,800 --> 00:14:32,440 Speaker 1: jumpers off the catch, shooting forty percent, and he's shooting 304 00:14:32,480 --> 00:14:35,480 Speaker 1: forty four percent overall in spot up situations. It's actually 305 00:14:35,480 --> 00:14:37,880 Speaker 1: been his second most common play type after pick and roll. 306 00:14:38,000 --> 00:14:40,560 Speaker 1: So ty Resee is getting a lot of close out opportunities. 307 00:14:40,560 --> 00:14:42,000 Speaker 1: So you just got to stay attached to him off 308 00:14:42,000 --> 00:14:44,560 Speaker 1: the ball. I think we'll see Jalen Brunson on Andrew 309 00:14:44,560 --> 00:14:48,480 Speaker 1: Nemhart and again Nemhard runs some second side action. He's 310 00:14:48,520 --> 00:14:50,600 Speaker 1: shooting pretty well on pull up jumpers so far in 311 00:14:50,640 --> 00:14:53,560 Speaker 1: the postseason, but he's below a point per possession in 312 00:14:53,600 --> 00:14:55,760 Speaker 1: ball screen, so he hasn't been the most efficient guy 313 00:14:55,920 --> 00:14:58,320 Speaker 1: in the world in terms of generating offense there, but 314 00:14:58,640 --> 00:15:01,760 Speaker 1: he's been completely dead catch and shoot situations. He killed 315 00:15:01,760 --> 00:15:04,200 Speaker 1: the bucks and catch and shoot situations, So Brunson just 316 00:15:04,240 --> 00:15:06,160 Speaker 1: has to watch out for him off the ball one 317 00:15:06,200 --> 00:15:07,760 Speaker 1: of the things for the thing for the Knicks to 318 00:15:07,760 --> 00:15:11,080 Speaker 1: watch out for. Usually the Pacers will use TJ McConnell 319 00:15:11,560 --> 00:15:14,040 Speaker 1: like kind of is like the backup guard when Haliburton's 320 00:15:14,040 --> 00:15:16,000 Speaker 1: off the floor, But they also have stretches where they 321 00:15:16,040 --> 00:15:18,360 Speaker 1: play both of them, especially when TJ has it going. 322 00:15:18,440 --> 00:15:21,840 Speaker 1: And so in those situations, I think I'd slide Brunson 323 00:15:21,880 --> 00:15:25,920 Speaker 1: to Nie Smith and then I'd move and then I'd 324 00:15:25,920 --> 00:15:28,800 Speaker 1: move Josh Hart over to TJ McConnell if that was 325 00:15:28,840 --> 00:15:32,560 Speaker 1: the case. Like again, whenever Halli Burton and TJ McConnell 326 00:15:32,600 --> 00:15:34,520 Speaker 1: are both on the floor together, I think you got 327 00:15:34,520 --> 00:15:36,200 Speaker 1: to keep your two best perimeter defenders on there because 328 00:15:36,240 --> 00:15:39,280 Speaker 1: TJ McConnell would have a lot of success on Jalen Brunson. 329 00:15:39,280 --> 00:15:42,000 Speaker 1: TJ is just a monster dribble drive guy who can 330 00:15:42,040 --> 00:15:44,480 Speaker 1: cause all sorts of issues if he gets a favorable matchup. 331 00:15:44,520 --> 00:15:47,200 Speaker 1: So again I'd put TJ on nemhard, but I would 332 00:15:47,240 --> 00:15:49,320 Speaker 1: not excuse me, I'd put I've been mixing up names 333 00:15:49,360 --> 00:15:53,080 Speaker 1: this whole damn show. I apologize it's been a grind. 334 00:15:53,920 --> 00:15:57,960 Speaker 1: I would keep Brunson on Nemhard when he's on the floor, 335 00:15:58,080 --> 00:15:59,720 Speaker 1: but I would not put him on TJ McConnell if 336 00:15:59,720 --> 00:16:03,160 Speaker 1: I could have that. So when but when nem Hard 337 00:16:03,200 --> 00:16:04,680 Speaker 1: and Smith are on the floor together, I think he 338 00:16:04,720 --> 00:16:08,120 Speaker 1: put Josh Hart on AARONI Smith. He is a classic 339 00:16:08,160 --> 00:16:11,240 Speaker 1: spot up shooter and transition athlete right The vast majority 340 00:16:11,280 --> 00:16:13,280 Speaker 1: of his play types are attacking closeouts and running his 341 00:16:13,320 --> 00:16:15,960 Speaker 1: lane in transition, similar to what we were talking about 342 00:16:15,960 --> 00:16:18,720 Speaker 1: with og Anobi. He's shooting really well when he's open 343 00:16:18,840 --> 00:16:21,080 Speaker 1: and pretty poorly when you get a good contest and 344 00:16:21,160 --> 00:16:25,120 Speaker 1: so and similar to Ojannobi, he's got real downhill slashing force. So, 345 00:16:25,200 --> 00:16:28,760 Speaker 1: like again Josh Hart, I think matches that force best, 346 00:16:28,880 --> 00:16:30,320 Speaker 1: and I think he can kind of be the guy 347 00:16:30,360 --> 00:16:33,600 Speaker 1: that towes that line between helping and recovering and throwing 348 00:16:33,600 --> 00:16:36,360 Speaker 1: out solid closeouts. And again, he might have to spend 349 00:16:36,400 --> 00:16:39,160 Speaker 1: some time on TJ McConnell depending on how the rotation 350 00:16:39,280 --> 00:16:42,240 Speaker 1: works out. This is a matchup I think is going 351 00:16:42,280 --> 00:16:45,320 Speaker 1: to work favorably for the Knicks. Ogn Andobi on Pascal 352 00:16:45,360 --> 00:16:48,000 Speaker 1: Siakam just a much tougher matchup than all of these 353 00:16:48,040 --> 00:16:51,680 Speaker 1: slow footed forwards and centers that Milwaukee put on him, 354 00:16:51,720 --> 00:16:54,360 Speaker 1: and Siakam was cooking those guys off the dribble. OG 355 00:16:54,920 --> 00:16:56,880 Speaker 1: would be able to beat him to spots better and 356 00:16:56,880 --> 00:16:58,720 Speaker 1: actually force him to shoot over the top. And he's 357 00:16:58,760 --> 00:17:01,560 Speaker 1: got the strength, fact to not be bullied off of 358 00:17:01,600 --> 00:17:03,960 Speaker 1: his spots, and so I think Og just kind of 359 00:17:04,040 --> 00:17:07,360 Speaker 1: keeping Siakam in front will go a long way. Siakim 360 00:17:07,359 --> 00:17:09,480 Speaker 1: shot just thirty six percent on pull up jumpers in 361 00:17:09,520 --> 00:17:11,400 Speaker 1: the Bucks series and did not make a pull up three, 362 00:17:11,440 --> 00:17:14,399 Speaker 1: just zero point seven to two points per shot attempt. 363 00:17:14,480 --> 00:17:16,720 Speaker 1: So if Og can contain and make him shoot over 364 00:17:16,720 --> 00:17:18,359 Speaker 1: the top, I think he can play him into some 365 00:17:18,400 --> 00:17:22,880 Speaker 1: lower efficiency Hart and sign on Turner. Turner is shooting 366 00:17:22,920 --> 00:17:25,680 Speaker 1: super well in the postseason, right, forty four percent from 367 00:17:25,720 --> 00:17:29,800 Speaker 1: three on seven attempts, fifty four percent on unguarded catch 368 00:17:29,800 --> 00:17:32,840 Speaker 1: and shoot jumpers. So now, again, like I mentioned earlier, 369 00:17:32,880 --> 00:17:36,119 Speaker 1: the Knicks just dealt with a much better version of this, 370 00:17:36,240 --> 00:17:38,680 Speaker 1: kind of like pick and pop threat with Joel Embiid, 371 00:17:39,000 --> 00:17:41,040 Speaker 1: so hard and Signed and Robinson know exactly what they 372 00:17:41,040 --> 00:17:44,119 Speaker 1: need to do, just containing the ball handler and then recovering, 373 00:17:44,200 --> 00:17:47,320 Speaker 1: sprinting and closing out to Miles Turner. Now, Miles Turner 374 00:17:47,359 --> 00:17:49,239 Speaker 1: did not shoot that well in the regular season, and 375 00:17:49,280 --> 00:17:50,879 Speaker 1: so a big thing that would help the Knicks is 376 00:17:50,880 --> 00:17:53,560 Speaker 1: if Miles Turner had some regression back to the mean 377 00:17:54,400 --> 00:17:56,320 Speaker 1: keys for both teams. For the Pacers, they need to 378 00:17:56,359 --> 00:17:58,840 Speaker 1: look to run, especially when the Knicks have bad floor balance. 379 00:17:58,880 --> 00:18:01,760 Speaker 1: When they're kind of attacked the offensive glass super aggressively, 380 00:18:02,400 --> 00:18:04,040 Speaker 1: Halliburton is gonna have to hit shots. I think the 381 00:18:04,080 --> 00:18:05,440 Speaker 1: Knicks are going to try to dare him to shoot 382 00:18:05,440 --> 00:18:08,040 Speaker 1: pull up jumper. He's gonna have to hit him. Inverted 383 00:18:08,080 --> 00:18:10,320 Speaker 1: ball screens with Siakam. This is a big thing that 384 00:18:11,280 --> 00:18:13,879 Speaker 1: I talked about in a video breakdown earlier in the season, 385 00:18:14,320 --> 00:18:17,240 Speaker 1: But the one of the big actions that the Pacers 386 00:18:17,240 --> 00:18:18,960 Speaker 1: had a lot of success with in the regular season 387 00:18:19,440 --> 00:18:21,439 Speaker 1: was Siakam is the ball handler and then come have 388 00:18:21,560 --> 00:18:25,000 Speaker 1: like nemhard set of screen and then slip and when 389 00:18:25,040 --> 00:18:27,040 Speaker 1: that hedge comes from the guard because they don't want 390 00:18:27,040 --> 00:18:29,000 Speaker 1: to put a guard on Siakam, he can kind of 391 00:18:29,000 --> 00:18:31,359 Speaker 1: slip into the back line. I think that'd be useful 392 00:18:31,400 --> 00:18:33,800 Speaker 1: because I think I'm looking to attack one on one 393 00:18:33,880 --> 00:18:36,119 Speaker 1: on og Anobi is not going to work out in 394 00:18:36,119 --> 00:18:39,200 Speaker 1: his favor, and so using those guard guard screens to 395 00:18:39,280 --> 00:18:41,679 Speaker 1: kind of generate better openings I think will make the 396 00:18:41,680 --> 00:18:44,600 Speaker 1: game easier for Siakam. On the Knicks front, got to 397 00:18:44,600 --> 00:18:47,680 Speaker 1: get back and transition defense, Like if they're going to 398 00:18:47,760 --> 00:18:49,639 Speaker 1: attack the offensive glass like crazy, they just got to 399 00:18:49,640 --> 00:18:52,600 Speaker 1: make sure they have somebody back. Make Caliburton shot maker, 400 00:18:52,640 --> 00:18:55,240 Speaker 1: like we talked about earlier, containing in ball screens, hard 401 00:18:55,280 --> 00:18:58,080 Speaker 1: closeouts on guys like Miles Turner, Andrew Nemhard and their 402 00:18:58,160 --> 00:19:00,200 Speaker 1: Nie Smith, guys that can beat him in spot up situation, 403 00:19:00,680 --> 00:19:03,080 Speaker 1: and then continue to punish the pacers on the offensive 404 00:19:03,119 --> 00:19:06,639 Speaker 1: glass to dissuade them to push in transition, because we 405 00:19:06,720 --> 00:19:08,879 Speaker 1: know that that's going to be a big aspect in 406 00:19:08,920 --> 00:19:12,399 Speaker 1: this series. In terms of a pick, I think the 407 00:19:12,440 --> 00:19:15,320 Speaker 1: Knicks matchup really well with Indiana. They can hang with 408 00:19:15,359 --> 00:19:17,600 Speaker 1: their foot speed in a way that Milwaukee could not, 409 00:19:18,080 --> 00:19:20,200 Speaker 1: but at the same time, they're also a much more 410 00:19:20,240 --> 00:19:23,520 Speaker 1: physically imposing team. They're much stronger physically, which I think 411 00:19:23,560 --> 00:19:27,120 Speaker 1: bodes well for the physical playoff environment. Their offensive rebounding 412 00:19:27,160 --> 00:19:30,119 Speaker 1: is also a really nice counter to Indiana's transition attack. 413 00:19:30,160 --> 00:19:32,439 Speaker 1: If they do enough damage on the offensive glass they 414 00:19:32,520 --> 00:19:35,080 Speaker 1: might dissuade them from running. And then I really like 415 00:19:35,160 --> 00:19:38,240 Speaker 1: the og An Andobi matchup on Pascalciakam. I think that 416 00:19:38,280 --> 00:19:41,680 Speaker 1: can go a long way towards towards slowing him down. 417 00:19:41,720 --> 00:19:44,840 Speaker 1: So I'm gonna pick the Knicks to win this series 418 00:19:45,359 --> 00:19:48,639 Speaker 1: in six games, all right, So yeah, Pacers certainly have 419 00:19:48,680 --> 00:19:50,399 Speaker 1: a chance. I just think that the Knicks are a 420 00:19:50,440 --> 00:19:53,720 Speaker 1: bad matchup for them with their speed combination of speed 421 00:19:53,760 --> 00:19:55,520 Speaker 1: and strength, and then they they've got a really good 422 00:19:55,520 --> 00:19:57,919 Speaker 1: defender to guard Pascalciakam, which I think is gonna make 423 00:19:57,920 --> 00:19:59,880 Speaker 1: things a little bit tougher on them. Gonna be fun 424 00:20:00,000 --> 00:20:02,080 Speaker 1: series though. Now we're in the second round, all all 425 00:20:02,119 --> 00:20:04,800 Speaker 1: really good teams left with exception of whoever Boston ends 426 00:20:04,880 --> 00:20:06,840 Speaker 1: up playing. So it's gonna be a fun one. That's 427 00:20:06,840 --> 00:20:08,880 Speaker 1: all I have for today is always a sincerely appreciate 428 00:20:08,880 --> 00:20:10,880 Speaker 1: you guys for supporting the show. We'll be back after 429 00:20:10,880 --> 00:20:13,840 Speaker 1: the final buzzer of Magic Calvs live on YouTube. I 430 00:20:13,880 --> 00:20:39,480 Speaker 1: will see you guys. Then the volume