1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:14,360 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news, single best idea. 2 00:00:14,400 --> 00:00:17,960 Speaker 2: And to give you a reality into how we do this, 3 00:00:18,160 --> 00:00:22,120 Speaker 2: How Emily House, Gonzol and Rachel Worspan and I invented 4 00:00:22,120 --> 00:00:26,480 Speaker 2: this over the years with wonderful, wonderful people helping out, 5 00:00:26,560 --> 00:00:30,600 Speaker 2: Ken Pruitt, David Gerrol, Michael McKee, John Pharaoh and all. 6 00:00:31,800 --> 00:00:36,239 Speaker 2: The way we invent it is to go find voices. 7 00:00:36,920 --> 00:00:41,200 Speaker 2: And last night Sunday evening in New York, a concerted 8 00:00:41,280 --> 00:00:44,960 Speaker 2: effort was just put in and it's just text messages 9 00:00:45,040 --> 00:00:49,040 Speaker 2: back and forth people watching the football game and all that. 10 00:00:49,640 --> 00:00:51,800 Speaker 2: But it's just named. There's not a lot of discussion, 11 00:00:51,840 --> 00:00:54,320 Speaker 2: there's not a lot of meetings and all that. It's 12 00:00:54,440 --> 00:00:58,960 Speaker 2: just go get Joe Wisenthal. We did. Joe was brilliant 13 00:00:59,320 --> 00:01:03,880 Speaker 2: at odd LA on using deep seek. We said, go 14 00:01:03,960 --> 00:01:10,520 Speaker 2: get Stacy Raskin at Bernstein. He's in Los Angeles Chemical 15 00:01:10,560 --> 00:01:15,880 Speaker 2: Engineering MIT. He's definitive on this AI stuff. He was 16 00:01:15,959 --> 00:01:19,319 Speaker 2: spellbinding from Bernstein getting up in his case at I 17 00:01:19,319 --> 00:01:24,000 Speaker 2: think the five thirty six am hour in LA. But 18 00:01:24,120 --> 00:01:27,720 Speaker 2: really the first email I sent yesterday and it wasn't 19 00:01:27,760 --> 00:01:29,920 Speaker 2: just me, it was a whole team. We all agreed. 20 00:01:30,000 --> 00:01:33,959 Speaker 2: Man Deep Sing and Inner Ragrana at Bloomberg Intelligence have 21 00:01:34,080 --> 00:01:38,440 Speaker 2: a holistic view of this uproar in technology from this 22 00:01:38,560 --> 00:01:43,280 Speaker 2: Chinese company, Deep Seek like nobody first. Man Deep Sing 23 00:01:43,800 --> 00:01:46,000 Speaker 2: on the impact of this AI shock. 24 00:01:46,560 --> 00:01:50,880 Speaker 3: Clearly, I think the investor expectations were different, which is 25 00:01:50,880 --> 00:01:53,960 Speaker 3: why you see this sort of stock reaction. So, yes, 26 00:01:54,080 --> 00:01:56,600 Speaker 3: we have Moore's law and we have other laws in 27 00:01:56,680 --> 00:01:59,840 Speaker 3: terms of figuring out how the cost curve may look 28 00:01:59,880 --> 00:02:03,000 Speaker 3: like over time. But clearly this is a step change 29 00:02:03,040 --> 00:02:05,520 Speaker 3: in terms of you know, what you can do with 30 00:02:05,680 --> 00:02:08,919 Speaker 3: the existing chips that are out there, as well as 31 00:02:09,000 --> 00:02:12,480 Speaker 3: what you will need going forward. So I think this 32 00:02:12,760 --> 00:02:16,400 Speaker 3: is a big moment in terms of just the efficiency 33 00:02:16,440 --> 00:02:18,480 Speaker 3: that we can see with these chips and the kind 34 00:02:18,520 --> 00:02:22,160 Speaker 3: of scale that is required for the next versions of 35 00:02:22,520 --> 00:02:25,399 Speaker 3: these foundational models. But there is no doubt that this 36 00:02:25,639 --> 00:02:29,799 Speaker 3: makes generative AI more accessible to software companies as well 37 00:02:29,800 --> 00:02:31,160 Speaker 3: as you know, overall users. 38 00:02:31,400 --> 00:02:33,880 Speaker 2: Men Deep saying there, one thing came up today. I 39 00:02:33,880 --> 00:02:36,120 Speaker 2: didn't even have time on the show to talk about it. 40 00:02:36,840 --> 00:02:43,480 Speaker 2: Multiple times today people spouted about Jevins paradox. William Stanley 41 00:02:43,560 --> 00:02:46,240 Speaker 2: Jevons is one of my heroes. He in the middle 42 00:02:46,240 --> 00:02:49,120 Speaker 2: of the nineteenth century, and he has a claim for 43 00:02:49,240 --> 00:02:53,360 Speaker 2: like sun spot theory, figuring out what sunspots mean. He 44 00:02:53,440 --> 00:02:57,320 Speaker 2: did things in the coal industry, very colectic, very applied 45 00:02:57,360 --> 00:03:01,760 Speaker 2: economics in the nineteenth century. William Stanley Jevons is the 46 00:03:01,840 --> 00:03:06,880 Speaker 2: person who dragged ancient economics into the modern age. There's 47 00:03:06,880 --> 00:03:11,840 Speaker 2: another guy named Walrus as well, but William Stanley Jevons 48 00:03:11,960 --> 00:03:18,760 Speaker 2: is the one who brought the calculus into static economics. 49 00:03:18,880 --> 00:03:24,080 Speaker 2: In a generalization, Jevins took the static economic analysis of 50 00:03:24,120 --> 00:03:28,760 Speaker 2: before over to a more dynamic economic analysis that was 51 00:03:28,800 --> 00:03:31,480 Speaker 2: picked up by Marshall and others at the turn of 52 00:03:31,480 --> 00:03:34,800 Speaker 2: the century. There's Jevons paradox, which I'm not going to 53 00:03:34,840 --> 00:03:37,080 Speaker 2: go into, but to make a long story short, you're 54 00:03:37,080 --> 00:03:39,120 Speaker 2: going to hear a lot about it, and it's just 55 00:03:39,160 --> 00:03:44,960 Speaker 2: about the system of technology's impact on the entire macroeconomic structure. 56 00:03:45,640 --> 00:03:47,880 Speaker 2: Andro Rana knows that he doesn't need to be lectured 57 00:03:47,880 --> 00:03:51,360 Speaker 2: by me on Jevins paradox. Aner Rana expert on the 58 00:03:51,440 --> 00:03:54,400 Speaker 2: cloud here on this uproar in tech. 59 00:03:55,120 --> 00:03:56,800 Speaker 4: So one of the things, if you would say, is 60 00:03:56,840 --> 00:04:01,880 Speaker 4: if this AI adoption could which is absolutely in infancy 61 00:04:01,960 --> 00:04:03,760 Speaker 4: right now, The only thing we have seen is in 62 00:04:03,800 --> 00:04:07,240 Speaker 4: the consumer world. If enterprises start to put this in 63 00:04:07,280 --> 00:04:11,080 Speaker 4: their core applications, then they would need a lot more 64 00:04:11,480 --> 00:04:14,120 Speaker 4: you could say, firepower to run it. Most of the 65 00:04:14,120 --> 00:04:16,680 Speaker 4: things that we have discussed is people would not want 66 00:04:16,720 --> 00:04:19,760 Speaker 4: to do this on their own premise. They're bigger companies well, 67 00:04:19,960 --> 00:04:22,240 Speaker 4: but most of them will go to a handful of 68 00:04:22,279 --> 00:04:26,039 Speaker 4: cloud providers and that would be Microsoft, Aws, Google and 69 00:04:26,080 --> 00:04:29,760 Speaker 4: then Oracle. So for all these companies to increase their 70 00:04:29,800 --> 00:04:33,200 Speaker 4: capacity now they are only seeing the orders and based 71 00:04:33,200 --> 00:04:36,400 Speaker 4: on that they are expanding their data center footwork. 72 00:04:36,800 --> 00:04:39,400 Speaker 2: Enter Agrana we had time with both enter Agrana and 73 00:04:40,200 --> 00:04:42,600 Speaker 2: man Deep saying to try to get forward to the 74 00:04:42,640 --> 00:04:46,599 Speaker 2: earning season upon us. That'll be our focus, I think 75 00:04:47,240 --> 00:04:50,560 Speaker 2: in the later this week, maybe tune into Bells of 76 00:04:50,640 --> 00:04:53,839 Speaker 2: Power with Joe Matthew and Kaylee Lyons because we hardly 77 00:04:53,880 --> 00:04:59,320 Speaker 2: talked about politics today. In international relations, thank you Damian Sasaur, 78 00:05:00,000 --> 00:05:04,120 Speaker 2: some currency chat, but all in all, just an extraordinary 79 00:05:04,200 --> 00:05:07,360 Speaker 2: day into the earning season, which we'll cover this week. 80 00:05:07,839 --> 00:05:10,880 Speaker 2: On your commute across the nation, Apple CarPlay, Android Auto 81 00:05:11,600 --> 00:05:14,520 Speaker 2: on Sirius and XM, and of course good morning on 82 00:05:14,600 --> 00:05:18,279 Speaker 2: a warmer Boston, down to Washington and New York City. 83 00:05:18,320 --> 00:05:21,480 Speaker 2: Bloomberg eleventh th toe to Oho. We're out on YouTube. 84 00:05:21,680 --> 00:05:26,560 Speaker 2: Subscribe to Bloomberg podcasts. This is a single best idea.