1 00:00:01,480 --> 00:00:05,120 Speaker 1: From Mahart where Innovation of Money and Power Collie in 2 00:00:05,240 --> 00:00:06,720 Speaker 1: Silicon Valley NBN. 3 00:00:07,080 --> 00:00:11,600 Speaker 2: This is Bloomberg Technology with Caroline Hyde and Ed Ludlow. 4 00:00:25,440 --> 00:00:26,239 Speaker 3: Live from New York. 5 00:00:26,400 --> 00:00:29,840 Speaker 4: This is Blomberg Technology coming up. Intel's secures an eight 6 00:00:29,920 --> 00:00:32,880 Speaker 4: billion dollar grant for its US chip factory expansion of 7 00:00:32,960 --> 00:00:35,640 Speaker 4: the months of trying to convince Washington and Wall Street 8 00:00:35,840 --> 00:00:37,360 Speaker 4: that it can execute on its vision. 9 00:00:37,720 --> 00:00:39,880 Speaker 3: Plus California, it proposes. 10 00:00:39,440 --> 00:00:44,120 Speaker 4: State in centers for EV buyers, which could exclude Tesla's models, 11 00:00:44,720 --> 00:00:48,199 Speaker 4: and social media companies push back against new legislation in 12 00:00:48,280 --> 00:00:51,960 Speaker 4: Australia that's going through the courts that could limit team usage. 13 00:00:52,000 --> 00:00:54,480 Speaker 3: But first that's checking on these markets. 14 00:00:54,600 --> 00:00:56,760 Speaker 4: Because we're currently hired to the tune of four tenths 15 00:00:56,760 --> 00:00:58,920 Speaker 4: of a percent, we're managing to shrug off some of 16 00:00:58,920 --> 00:01:01,400 Speaker 4: that anxiety once again being built in around geopolitics and 17 00:01:01,480 --> 00:01:03,840 Speaker 4: remid tariffs that we're going to break it down for 18 00:01:03,920 --> 00:01:04,920 Speaker 4: you a little bit later. 19 00:01:05,000 --> 00:01:07,640 Speaker 3: But still big tech managing to lead us higher. 20 00:01:07,680 --> 00:01:09,200 Speaker 4: And in fact, the S and P five hundred on 21 00:01:09,280 --> 00:01:11,600 Speaker 4: track for yet another set of records, and the NASUC 22 00:01:11,720 --> 00:01:12,800 Speaker 4: is up for four straight days. 23 00:01:12,800 --> 00:01:14,600 Speaker 3: Move on and look at some of the individual movers. 24 00:01:14,400 --> 00:01:17,640 Speaker 4: Because we have still got some drip feed around earnings 25 00:01:17,680 --> 00:01:19,400 Speaker 4: that have come after the bell. I want to look 26 00:01:19,400 --> 00:01:21,000 Speaker 4: at what's of course been happening in the world of 27 00:01:21,080 --> 00:01:24,040 Speaker 4: Zoom and another key chip maker. Zoom down some seven 28 00:01:24,080 --> 00:01:27,039 Speaker 4: point nine percent, didn't live up to expectations in terms 29 00:01:27,040 --> 00:01:28,720 Speaker 4: of its growth for its fiscal third quarter, and I 30 00:01:28,760 --> 00:01:31,280 Speaker 4: think most notably is because this stock has run up 31 00:01:31,319 --> 00:01:34,479 Speaker 4: hard since it's bottoming out in August some sixty percent higher. 32 00:01:34,560 --> 00:01:36,000 Speaker 3: Many alis saying like it went. 33 00:01:36,920 --> 00:01:39,520 Speaker 4: It showed solid numbers, but not as good as a 34 00:01:39,560 --> 00:01:42,880 Speaker 4: market been pricing in analog devices down a percentage point, 35 00:01:42,920 --> 00:01:45,640 Speaker 4: had been rallying earlier in the trade after they showed 36 00:01:45,640 --> 00:01:48,320 Speaker 4: some strength in terms of auto sales and chips, but 37 00:01:48,400 --> 00:01:50,120 Speaker 4: now just taking a turn into the red. 38 00:01:50,120 --> 00:01:51,440 Speaker 3: But let's stick with chips now. 39 00:01:51,520 --> 00:01:55,080 Speaker 4: Because Intel securing seven point nine billion dollars in federal 40 00:01:55,120 --> 00:01:58,080 Speaker 4: grants from the Biden administration. The deal is actually marking 41 00:01:58,120 --> 00:02:01,320 Speaker 4: the largest ever direct subsidy from a program, and this 42 00:02:01,360 --> 00:02:04,040 Speaker 4: is a course to boost US chip production, sources telling 43 00:02:04,080 --> 00:02:06,680 Speaker 4: Bloomberg Intel will get the money for projects in Arizona, 44 00:02:06,720 --> 00:02:10,360 Speaker 4: in Oregon, in New Mexico. Bloomberg's Mackenzie Hawkins joins US 45 00:02:10,400 --> 00:02:14,480 Speaker 4: now in Mackenzie, Ohio. Not on tap for this particular 46 00:02:14,560 --> 00:02:17,720 Speaker 4: area of money because it's not far down the road 47 00:02:17,800 --> 00:02:21,120 Speaker 4: enough in terms of well digging in and breaking ground. 48 00:02:21,200 --> 00:02:23,080 Speaker 3: Where do we stand in terms of actually building. 49 00:02:24,639 --> 00:02:27,239 Speaker 5: So Intel seven point nine billion dollar ward from the 50 00:02:27,320 --> 00:02:30,720 Speaker 5: hips AP supports projects across four US states through between 51 00:02:30,760 --> 00:02:33,600 Speaker 5: now and twenty thirty, by which time Intel plans to 52 00:02:33,639 --> 00:02:37,680 Speaker 5: send ninety billion of a total one hundred billion CAPEX. 53 00:02:37,240 --> 00:02:38,320 Speaker 2: On US projects. 54 00:02:38,720 --> 00:02:39,920 Speaker 6: But projects have. 55 00:02:39,840 --> 00:02:42,680 Speaker 5: To meet certain benchmarks and milestones to qualify for a 56 00:02:42,720 --> 00:02:45,240 Speaker 5: funding dispersement, so it'll take a while for the money 57 00:02:45,240 --> 00:02:47,400 Speaker 5: to actually go out the door and make it into 58 00:02:47,440 --> 00:02:50,920 Speaker 5: Intel's hands. The first roughly one billion of that will 59 00:02:50,919 --> 00:02:53,960 Speaker 5: happen this year because Intel has already made progress on 60 00:02:54,080 --> 00:02:58,400 Speaker 5: projects in Arizona, New Mexico, and Oregon, Ohio. Construction was 61 00:02:58,400 --> 00:03:00,919 Speaker 5: supposed to finish by late twenty twenty six. Now one 62 00:03:00,960 --> 00:03:03,480 Speaker 5: of the facilities won't be online until the next decade. 63 00:03:03,840 --> 00:03:07,720 Speaker 4: Paq Helsinger has joined Bloomberg Technology and sort of vented 64 00:03:07,720 --> 00:03:10,200 Speaker 4: some frustration at how slow it's been to get the 65 00:03:10,240 --> 00:03:11,720 Speaker 4: money from the US government. 66 00:03:11,960 --> 00:03:13,079 Speaker 3: And also you note. 67 00:03:12,840 --> 00:03:15,760 Speaker 4: That this is a little bit less than previously estimated. 68 00:03:16,840 --> 00:03:19,799 Speaker 5: So it's been a very long process for Intel and 69 00:03:19,880 --> 00:03:23,320 Speaker 5: for all of the other companies. Intel's award was announced 70 00:03:23,320 --> 00:03:25,920 Speaker 5: at a preliminary stage in March for eight point five 71 00:03:25,960 --> 00:03:27,919 Speaker 5: billion dollars, and since then the company has. 72 00:03:27,880 --> 00:03:29,240 Speaker 2: Been going through due diligence. 73 00:03:29,280 --> 00:03:32,639 Speaker 5: There have been disagreements about how much information Intel has 74 00:03:32,680 --> 00:03:36,320 Speaker 5: to disclose to the government, and also about terms specifying 75 00:03:36,360 --> 00:03:39,800 Speaker 5: what happens if Intel stands off at manufacturing business. 76 00:03:39,560 --> 00:03:41,640 Speaker 6: Or is acquired in part or in whole. 77 00:03:42,000 --> 00:03:44,480 Speaker 5: That's obviously a pretty tense discussion with Intel when they're 78 00:03:44,480 --> 00:03:47,120 Speaker 5: going through some serious financial problems, and there have been 79 00:03:47,200 --> 00:03:50,960 Speaker 5: conversations with other players in industry about potential m and a. 80 00:03:51,960 --> 00:03:54,720 Speaker 5: The haircut that Intel took on its award is actually 81 00:03:54,760 --> 00:03:57,840 Speaker 5: not because of those business problems. It's because the company 82 00:03:57,880 --> 00:04:00,560 Speaker 5: is separately getting three billion dollars to make chips for 83 00:04:00,560 --> 00:04:03,600 Speaker 5: the Pentagon. That program was originally supposed to be mostly 84 00:04:03,600 --> 00:04:06,640 Speaker 5: funded by the Defense Department, but after a big funding 85 00:04:06,680 --> 00:04:10,000 Speaker 5: stat involving various departments in the Biden administration and lawmakers 86 00:04:10,000 --> 00:04:12,880 Speaker 5: on Capitol Hill, the Commerce Department had to use its 87 00:04:12,880 --> 00:04:15,440 Speaker 5: own ship sacked money to support that program, and some 88 00:04:15,480 --> 00:04:17,880 Speaker 5: of that came from the money already set aside for Intel. 89 00:04:19,080 --> 00:04:21,040 Speaker 4: Breaking down the numbers and some of the M and 90 00:04:21,080 --> 00:04:23,760 Speaker 4: A rumors. Mackenzie Hawkins really appreciate it, thank you. Look 91 00:04:23,800 --> 00:04:27,880 Speaker 4: sticking with those M and A reports previously, Colcom's takeover 92 00:04:27,920 --> 00:04:31,400 Speaker 4: interest in the company is actually cooling now, sources are 93 00:04:31,400 --> 00:04:35,600 Speaker 4: telling Bloomberg the complexities associated with acquiring Intel have made 94 00:04:35,640 --> 00:04:37,839 Speaker 4: it less attractive to Coalcom. A deal would likely have 95 00:04:37,920 --> 00:04:43,400 Speaker 4: been one of the largest ever in technology. Meanwhile, more 96 00:04:43,400 --> 00:04:46,400 Speaker 4: on chips and tech more broadly, as bringing in Nancy Curtain, 97 00:04:46,520 --> 00:04:49,560 Speaker 4: chief investment Officer and ULTI team and global Nazi. It's 98 00:04:49,560 --> 00:04:51,679 Speaker 4: always so important to have your voice on the show 99 00:04:51,720 --> 00:04:55,000 Speaker 4: talking about the global context here, just dig in on 100 00:04:55,240 --> 00:04:58,520 Speaker 4: for example, M and A hopes around this new administration 101 00:04:58,600 --> 00:05:01,960 Speaker 4: coming in twenty twenty five and deals getting done, chips 102 00:05:02,040 --> 00:05:04,719 Speaker 4: being supported or not supported as a sector. 103 00:05:04,800 --> 00:05:05,520 Speaker 3: What do you make of it? 104 00:05:06,880 --> 00:05:09,440 Speaker 7: Well, let's start with M and A first, and we 105 00:05:09,520 --> 00:05:12,320 Speaker 7: do think that M and A will increase. You know, 106 00:05:12,360 --> 00:05:17,440 Speaker 7: you have pretty rigorous merger guidelines passed by President Biden 107 00:05:17,480 --> 00:05:21,200 Speaker 7: in twenty twenty three. We reckon those will be undone 108 00:05:21,680 --> 00:05:25,840 Speaker 7: under President elect Trump. And remember they had lowered the 109 00:05:25,880 --> 00:05:30,480 Speaker 7: guidance threshold at a company being seen as anti competitive. 110 00:05:30,600 --> 00:05:32,960 Speaker 7: So we do think it's going to be a friendlier 111 00:05:33,040 --> 00:05:36,520 Speaker 7: environment for regulation, a friendlier environment for M and A, 112 00:05:37,200 --> 00:05:40,720 Speaker 7: and expect that animal spirits M and A and IPOs 113 00:05:40,760 --> 00:05:43,479 Speaker 7: will pick up in twenty twenty five. So we think 114 00:05:43,520 --> 00:05:47,039 Speaker 7: this is one of the positives coming from Trump. Just 115 00:05:47,120 --> 00:05:51,240 Speaker 7: quickly on the Chips Act and Intel, are we back 116 00:05:51,279 --> 00:05:54,719 Speaker 7: in their own horse there? I mean, this is supposed 117 00:05:54,720 --> 00:05:57,840 Speaker 7: to create jobs. They just laid off fifteen percent of 118 00:05:57,880 --> 00:06:00,479 Speaker 7: the workforce, and I kind of look at and think 119 00:06:00,600 --> 00:06:03,720 Speaker 7: in Video didn't get any money from the CHIPSAC and 120 00:06:03,760 --> 00:06:07,440 Speaker 7: it's actually doing a pretty dark good job of actually 121 00:06:07,520 --> 00:06:11,440 Speaker 7: supplying the chips industry. So I think this is a program. 122 00:06:11,560 --> 00:06:16,080 Speaker 7: It's hard to change and remove these legislative programs. It's 123 00:06:16,160 --> 00:06:20,000 Speaker 7: not a program the president Electron favors very much. I 124 00:06:20,040 --> 00:06:22,480 Speaker 7: think he called it a really bad program. 125 00:06:22,560 --> 00:06:25,360 Speaker 3: Yeah, so stay tuned on in Video. 126 00:06:25,440 --> 00:06:29,480 Speaker 4: Though they basically get TSMC and other chip makers to 127 00:06:29,760 --> 00:06:33,520 Speaker 4: produce this is all about on shoring and making sure 128 00:06:33,560 --> 00:06:35,559 Speaker 4: that chips can be made in the United States. 129 00:06:35,600 --> 00:06:36,920 Speaker 3: When you're looking at in Video, and. 130 00:06:36,920 --> 00:06:40,560 Speaker 4: Indeed, it's exposure, whether it be selling into China or 131 00:06:40,600 --> 00:06:42,960 Speaker 4: indeed depending on a supply chain that is in many 132 00:06:42,960 --> 00:06:44,200 Speaker 4: ways related to Taiwan. 133 00:06:44,640 --> 00:06:46,719 Speaker 3: How does that factor into an investment thesis. 134 00:06:48,440 --> 00:06:51,120 Speaker 7: Well, as you know, Trump has said Tara's the most 135 00:06:51,120 --> 00:06:54,960 Speaker 7: beautiful word in the English language. So you know, maybe 136 00:06:55,040 --> 00:06:59,360 Speaker 7: Trump just used some tariffs here on TSMC because that 137 00:06:59,400 --> 00:07:02,640 Speaker 7: would incur coourage them to think about And by the way, 138 00:07:02,680 --> 00:07:04,479 Speaker 7: they were part of the Chips Act as well, so 139 00:07:05,080 --> 00:07:07,640 Speaker 7: they did receive some subsidies there. But you know that 140 00:07:07,720 --> 00:07:12,120 Speaker 7: might encourage them to accelerate production in the United States. Now, 141 00:07:12,160 --> 00:07:15,120 Speaker 7: how will in Vidia respond, I don't know. With seventy 142 00:07:15,160 --> 00:07:20,040 Speaker 7: four percent gross margins and it seems like insane demand 143 00:07:20,440 --> 00:07:23,680 Speaker 7: in Jensen Wayne's words, it seems like they're just going 144 00:07:23,720 --> 00:07:27,200 Speaker 7: to raise prices. So you know, if we get some 145 00:07:27,840 --> 00:07:32,360 Speaker 7: tariffs on TSMC, which I wouldn't be surprised, I just 146 00:07:32,400 --> 00:07:35,080 Speaker 7: think in Video will end up passing that on to 147 00:07:35,160 --> 00:07:37,600 Speaker 7: its demand hungry customers. 148 00:07:38,040 --> 00:07:41,239 Speaker 4: It feels like you've got some nues about which horses 149 00:07:41,280 --> 00:07:44,240 Speaker 4: you should back. But more broadly, the winners I likely 150 00:07:44,360 --> 00:07:47,200 Speaker 4: to continue winning into the next administration is that we 151 00:07:47,240 --> 00:07:49,880 Speaker 4: are articulating. Is it's still good to be longing tech here? 152 00:07:51,280 --> 00:07:53,480 Speaker 7: I mean, let's just talk about a little bit of 153 00:07:53,480 --> 00:07:56,120 Speaker 7: the winners and semiconductor. You know, at the end of 154 00:07:56,160 --> 00:08:00,480 Speaker 7: the day, Nvidia is clearly in poll position monopoly position, 155 00:08:00,600 --> 00:08:03,840 Speaker 7: I mean, more demand than supply. But competition is coming. 156 00:08:03,920 --> 00:08:07,760 Speaker 7: Remember forty percent of their data center customers are also 157 00:08:07,800 --> 00:08:11,480 Speaker 7: trying to compete with them. Amazon's coming pretty close here 158 00:08:11,800 --> 00:08:15,160 Speaker 7: in developing a chip. Now I understand it's forty percent cheaper. 159 00:08:15,520 --> 00:08:19,400 Speaker 7: Not really sure the performance benchmarks with respect to training 160 00:08:19,400 --> 00:08:23,000 Speaker 7: an inference, they haven't been published and it's not clear 161 00:08:23,040 --> 00:08:24,480 Speaker 7: it's in production. 162 00:08:24,120 --> 00:08:26,720 Speaker 3: Mode, so to speak. So let's see what happens. 163 00:08:26,720 --> 00:08:29,760 Speaker 7: And of course, to a certain extent, AMD and Intel 164 00:08:30,240 --> 00:08:33,239 Speaker 7: are fast trying to be competitors as well. So competition 165 00:08:33,480 --> 00:08:36,400 Speaker 7: is on the way and we should expect to see 166 00:08:36,480 --> 00:08:40,000 Speaker 7: more of that. You know, people are looking at the 167 00:08:40,120 --> 00:08:42,800 Speaker 7: price of Nvidia chips, the fact that they can't get 168 00:08:42,840 --> 00:08:47,200 Speaker 7: access and are trying to diversify their supply sources, and 169 00:08:47,280 --> 00:08:51,080 Speaker 7: that makes sense, right, So we do expect competition to 170 00:08:51,120 --> 00:08:53,280 Speaker 7: come as we look forward. Now, I don't say this 171 00:08:53,360 --> 00:08:56,400 Speaker 7: is a Q one. I think Nvidia should have another 172 00:08:56,480 --> 00:08:59,640 Speaker 7: blockbuster quarter. Certainly they were pretty clear about it. They 173 00:08:59,679 --> 00:09:02,680 Speaker 7: expect revenues to be up seventy percent in the next quarter, 174 00:09:02,880 --> 00:09:05,040 Speaker 7: and they normally beat that number. So let's see where 175 00:09:05,040 --> 00:09:05,600 Speaker 7: that comes out. 176 00:09:06,040 --> 00:09:08,679 Speaker 4: Customers look at the price of the chips, Investors look 177 00:09:08,720 --> 00:09:11,400 Speaker 4: at the price of the stock. With an Nvidia trading 178 00:09:11,440 --> 00:09:15,280 Speaker 4: at forty six times future earnings, many have been perhaps 179 00:09:15,320 --> 00:09:17,360 Speaker 4: taking a bit of profit. When you're looking at Tesla 180 00:09:17,400 --> 00:09:19,440 Speaker 4: that's trading at one hundred and forty. 181 00:09:19,160 --> 00:09:20,680 Speaker 3: One times future earnings. 182 00:09:20,880 --> 00:09:23,080 Speaker 4: What do you make about the optimism beaked into that 183 00:09:23,160 --> 00:09:24,040 Speaker 4: stock post election? 184 00:09:25,880 --> 00:09:28,840 Speaker 1: WILLD Tesler is clearly a special child at the moment 185 00:09:29,400 --> 00:09:33,240 Speaker 1: given the relationship between Eli Musk, you know, and Trump, 186 00:09:33,280 --> 00:09:36,680 Speaker 1: and you know, in these stocks, these magnificent. 187 00:09:36,160 --> 00:09:38,760 Speaker 7: Seven you know, on average there at about thirty five 188 00:09:38,840 --> 00:09:41,640 Speaker 7: times forward earnings at the moment, and that means makes 189 00:09:41,679 --> 00:09:44,319 Speaker 7: them very vulnerable to disappointment. 190 00:09:44,440 --> 00:09:44,560 Speaker 8: Right. 191 00:09:44,640 --> 00:09:46,680 Speaker 7: So one of the themes that we've had on this 192 00:09:46,840 --> 00:09:49,960 Speaker 7: year is, you know, tech is fine. We believe in 193 00:09:50,040 --> 00:09:53,400 Speaker 7: jen Ai, but you need to diversify beyond just those 194 00:09:53,480 --> 00:09:58,360 Speaker 7: magnificent seven technology shares that have fueled the market's advanced 195 00:09:58,480 --> 00:10:01,840 Speaker 7: and we think MidCap and particular trading at about thirteen 196 00:10:01,880 --> 00:10:05,760 Speaker 7: fourteen times earnings up close to ten percent already this 197 00:10:05,840 --> 00:10:11,840 Speaker 7: month is an excellent beneficiary OMAGA, potentially corporate tax rate cuts, 198 00:10:12,320 --> 00:10:16,079 Speaker 7: manufacturer renaissance, and a better outlook for growth in the 199 00:10:16,160 --> 00:10:18,600 Speaker 7: United States. So there are other things you can do 200 00:10:18,880 --> 00:10:22,000 Speaker 7: and diversify away from tech. By the way, where earnings 201 00:10:22,000 --> 00:10:25,959 Speaker 7: are expected to decelerate in the so called Magnificent seven 202 00:10:25,960 --> 00:10:28,400 Speaker 7: as we head into twenty twenty five, where they're supposed 203 00:10:28,400 --> 00:10:31,000 Speaker 7: to accelerate in the rest of the market, and so 204 00:10:31,040 --> 00:10:34,600 Speaker 7: I think that's a really way nice way to still 205 00:10:34,640 --> 00:10:39,520 Speaker 7: learn a return, participate, but protect some of that valuation potential, 206 00:10:39,600 --> 00:10:41,119 Speaker 7: downside risk and tech. 207 00:10:41,240 --> 00:10:44,320 Speaker 4: Massacatain always great to catch up. Thank you, Chief Investment 208 00:10:44,320 --> 00:10:47,679 Speaker 4: Officer for an ltteam and Global I. Meanwhile, let's just 209 00:10:47,720 --> 00:10:51,000 Speaker 4: talk about globally. China's shaw Me preparing a self design 210 00:10:51,040 --> 00:10:54,000 Speaker 4: mobile processor for its upcoming smartphones. This comes as an 211 00:10:54,000 --> 00:10:57,320 Speaker 4: effort to actually reduce its reliance on foreign suppliers Qualcom 212 00:10:57,400 --> 00:11:00,880 Speaker 4: Media Tech. According to sources, massuction of the chip is 213 00:11:00,880 --> 00:11:05,120 Speaker 4: expected to begin in twenty twenty five. Coming up, well, 214 00:11:05,679 --> 00:11:08,959 Speaker 4: deja vu, President elect Donald Trump rattling markets across the 215 00:11:09,000 --> 00:11:11,880 Speaker 4: world with more tariff threats. We discussed the potential impact 216 00:11:11,920 --> 00:11:15,240 Speaker 4: on the tech sector next and we were just looking 217 00:11:15,360 --> 00:11:18,520 Speaker 4: at Tesla with Nancy Nestwell on it a little bit 218 00:11:18,520 --> 00:11:20,679 Speaker 4: more upper percentage point. We will recover from some of 219 00:11:20,760 --> 00:11:22,840 Speaker 4: yesterday's sell off. Will going to dig in on what 220 00:11:23,000 --> 00:11:26,480 Speaker 4: California is currently threatening, how they could be excluding them 221 00:11:26,800 --> 00:11:30,240 Speaker 4: from any future support for EVS if indeed federal support 222 00:11:30,320 --> 00:11:30,880 Speaker 4: is taken away. 223 00:11:31,080 --> 00:11:32,199 Speaker 3: This is BlueBag technology. 224 00:11:43,559 --> 00:11:46,880 Speaker 4: President's elect Donald Trump took to truth Social to vow 225 00:11:46,920 --> 00:11:50,160 Speaker 4: additional tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China, and the comment 226 00:11:50,240 --> 00:11:53,200 Speaker 4: marks his first specific threat to the top trading partners 227 00:11:53,240 --> 00:11:55,800 Speaker 4: of the United States since his election win just three 228 00:11:55,840 --> 00:11:56,240 Speaker 4: weeks ago. 229 00:11:56,280 --> 00:11:58,960 Speaker 3: Now, Bloomberg's Michael Shepherd joins us or for more. 230 00:11:59,240 --> 00:12:02,200 Speaker 4: He promised it on campaign trail, and now he's once 231 00:12:02,240 --> 00:12:03,640 Speaker 4: again reconfirming. 232 00:12:04,400 --> 00:12:07,640 Speaker 9: He's taking a step closer. Caroline, this is what the 233 00:12:08,080 --> 00:12:11,920 Speaker 9: president elect have been telling his voters all along, that 234 00:12:12,080 --> 00:12:15,160 Speaker 9: he would try to bring manufacturing back to the US 235 00:12:15,400 --> 00:12:19,840 Speaker 9: using tariffs as his primary weapon. Now he is threatening 236 00:12:19,840 --> 00:12:22,960 Speaker 9: to use tariffs for something else, and this is to 237 00:12:23,000 --> 00:12:28,240 Speaker 9: extract policy concessions from America's key trading partners. With Canada 238 00:12:28,240 --> 00:12:31,480 Speaker 9: and Mexico. It's his concern about the border and with China. 239 00:12:31,559 --> 00:12:34,319 Speaker 9: He is really trying to get Beijing to cooperate more 240 00:12:34,360 --> 00:12:37,120 Speaker 9: in his view to stem the flow of fentanyl in 241 00:12:37,160 --> 00:12:40,160 Speaker 9: the US, which has been blamed for a surge in 242 00:12:40,320 --> 00:12:45,000 Speaker 9: overdose deaths in recent years. So we're seeing tariffs being 243 00:12:45,040 --> 00:12:48,480 Speaker 9: applied in a different since, not purely economically, but to 244 00:12:49,160 --> 00:12:53,120 Speaker 9: actually get a policy goal out of a key US counterpart. 245 00:12:53,240 --> 00:12:55,800 Speaker 4: Yeah, and some of those policy goals the ones we 246 00:12:55,880 --> 00:12:59,160 Speaker 4: heard in the previous administration too. The market more broadly 247 00:12:59,240 --> 00:13:02,120 Speaker 4: is sort of it in its stride, and I'm wondering 248 00:13:02,120 --> 00:13:04,559 Speaker 4: whether people feel that they'll be carve outs, whether or 249 00:13:04,640 --> 00:13:06,960 Speaker 4: not this will specifically hit certain industries. 250 00:13:07,040 --> 00:13:12,080 Speaker 9: Mike, Well, there's so many unanswered questions around this, Caroline 251 00:13:12,120 --> 00:13:15,000 Speaker 9: right now, because he really just kind of dropped it 252 00:13:15,040 --> 00:13:18,600 Speaker 9: on truth Social less than twenty four hours ago and 253 00:13:18,679 --> 00:13:22,600 Speaker 9: walked away, and his transition team has not answered any 254 00:13:22,679 --> 00:13:25,959 Speaker 9: further questions about just as you say, will there be carveouts? 255 00:13:26,280 --> 00:13:28,839 Speaker 9: Is this in addition to the Tarasi had already been 256 00:13:28,880 --> 00:13:32,920 Speaker 9: threatening a sixty percent level against goods coming in from China? 257 00:13:33,280 --> 00:13:37,479 Speaker 9: And likewise, what does this mean for the USMCA agreement 258 00:13:37,559 --> 00:13:40,840 Speaker 9: that he forged to replace NAFTA during his first term 259 00:13:40,920 --> 00:13:43,840 Speaker 9: in office? In any case, this will have a major 260 00:13:43,960 --> 00:13:48,520 Speaker 9: ripple effect on the economy and on supply chains. If enacted, 261 00:13:49,040 --> 00:13:52,800 Speaker 9: it would affect autos, It would affect very significantly the 262 00:13:53,280 --> 00:13:55,960 Speaker 9: tech trade with China. We do a huge amount of 263 00:13:55,960 --> 00:14:01,280 Speaker 9: business with Chinese companies, sending them legacy semiconduct, getting finished 264 00:14:01,280 --> 00:14:04,720 Speaker 9: computers back, and all of that would be royal by this, 265 00:14:04,880 --> 00:14:07,200 Speaker 9: and we would have to watch for these trading partners 266 00:14:07,400 --> 00:14:11,480 Speaker 9: to assess, as Mexico warned it might do today, whether 267 00:14:11,559 --> 00:14:13,040 Speaker 9: they would retaliate in kind. 268 00:14:13,920 --> 00:14:16,920 Speaker 4: Michael Sheppard always such a thorough setup. We really appreciate 269 00:14:17,040 --> 00:14:19,320 Speaker 4: taking us through what is at the moment just a 270 00:14:19,320 --> 00:14:22,240 Speaker 4: statement on truth social but let's try and extrapolate it out. 271 00:14:22,240 --> 00:14:24,920 Speaker 4: With Mary Lovely, senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for 272 00:14:24,960 --> 00:14:28,720 Speaker 4: International Economics and Mike there was discussing how this will 273 00:14:28,760 --> 00:14:31,920 Speaker 4: affect auto's immediately In the tech industry, we think evs. 274 00:14:32,000 --> 00:14:34,200 Speaker 4: But Mary, what are the ramifications on the auto sector 275 00:14:34,240 --> 00:14:34,680 Speaker 4: do you think? 276 00:14:36,240 --> 00:14:36,520 Speaker 3: Yeah? 277 00:14:36,840 --> 00:14:37,760 Speaker 6: It's great to be with you. 278 00:14:39,200 --> 00:14:43,240 Speaker 10: Well, first of all, when we're talking trade with Canada 279 00:14:43,280 --> 00:14:45,960 Speaker 10: and Mexico, the first job has to be the auto sector. 280 00:14:46,040 --> 00:14:52,240 Speaker 10: It's the most important export other than fuel from Canada 281 00:14:52,800 --> 00:14:53,800 Speaker 10: that comes. 282 00:14:53,480 --> 00:14:56,000 Speaker 6: From our two USMCA partners. 283 00:14:56,880 --> 00:15:01,360 Speaker 10: Production is fully integrated between the United States, Canada, and Mexico. 284 00:15:01,760 --> 00:15:03,120 Speaker 6: Cars go back and forth. 285 00:15:03,200 --> 00:15:06,440 Speaker 10: By some accounts, certain vehicles can go back and forth 286 00:15:06,560 --> 00:15:09,840 Speaker 10: across the border seven or more times before they're sent 287 00:15:09,920 --> 00:15:14,080 Speaker 10: to an auto dealer. So this would be extremely disruptive. 288 00:15:14,360 --> 00:15:18,760 Speaker 10: We would imagine that auto companies would be lining up 289 00:15:18,920 --> 00:15:22,800 Speaker 10: to tell the new administration how harmful this would be 290 00:15:23,080 --> 00:15:26,800 Speaker 10: not only to the two countries involved in this, Canada Mexico, 291 00:15:27,080 --> 00:15:29,280 Speaker 10: but to the United States and to the plants that 292 00:15:29,360 --> 00:15:31,960 Speaker 10: are in the United States waiting for those parts. So 293 00:15:32,360 --> 00:15:36,440 Speaker 10: undoubtedly it would lead to disruptions of US production and. 294 00:15:36,960 --> 00:15:40,080 Speaker 4: Increase costs, as many would anticipate from a consumer perspective. 295 00:15:40,160 --> 00:15:42,920 Speaker 4: What about the supply chain when it affects China and 296 00:15:43,400 --> 00:15:44,760 Speaker 4: US technology companies? 297 00:15:44,800 --> 00:15:46,000 Speaker 3: Here how intertwined? 298 00:15:46,040 --> 00:15:49,480 Speaker 4: How dependent does the US remain on Chinese pots and goods? 299 00:15:50,760 --> 00:15:55,200 Speaker 10: Yeah, since the First Trade War, US has depended less 300 00:15:55,240 --> 00:15:58,560 Speaker 10: strongly on China. But we have to remember that many 301 00:15:58,600 --> 00:16:02,760 Speaker 10: of the electronic devices that we know and love were 302 00:16:02,800 --> 00:16:07,520 Speaker 10: not actually tax under the First Trade War. So final 303 00:16:08,760 --> 00:16:14,680 Speaker 10: items like laptops, nip notebooks, smart watches, cell phones, none 304 00:16:14,680 --> 00:16:16,840 Speaker 10: of those were actually hit with the first trade war, 305 00:16:16,960 --> 00:16:22,080 Speaker 10: tariffs peripherals were things that we may use with these devices. 306 00:16:22,520 --> 00:16:27,640 Speaker 10: So that's you know, he has already proposed or promised 307 00:16:27,680 --> 00:16:30,960 Speaker 10: a flat sixty on China. We don't know if this 308 00:16:31,800 --> 00:16:36,840 Speaker 10: extra ten percent that he sent out last night is 309 00:16:37,000 --> 00:16:38,960 Speaker 10: by a social media post, is on top of that 310 00:16:39,280 --> 00:16:41,840 Speaker 10: or part of that. Either way, it's going to be 311 00:16:41,880 --> 00:16:45,720 Speaker 10: extremely disruptive because our companies have not had time to 312 00:16:45,880 --> 00:16:48,520 Speaker 10: move these vast supply chains out of China. 313 00:16:48,960 --> 00:16:51,000 Speaker 3: Take Apple for a case study. 314 00:16:51,240 --> 00:16:53,680 Speaker 4: They have been trying to depend more on India, for example, 315 00:16:53,840 --> 00:16:56,920 Speaker 4: of the Southeast Asian countries, and we've seen him just 316 00:16:56,960 --> 00:17:00,280 Speaker 4: in China over the weekend, trying to ensure the relationships 317 00:17:00,280 --> 00:17:03,600 Speaker 4: remain strong with the government there. But also many understand 318 00:17:03,640 --> 00:17:07,800 Speaker 4: that Tim Cook has a decent relationship with the incoming administration. 319 00:17:08,359 --> 00:17:11,879 Speaker 4: Do you think CEOs are anticipating CoV outs? Do you 320 00:17:11,920 --> 00:17:15,199 Speaker 4: think CEOs are able to manage this without passing it 321 00:17:15,200 --> 00:17:16,040 Speaker 4: on to a consumer. 322 00:17:17,760 --> 00:17:22,120 Speaker 10: I think they understand how disruptive this would be, and 323 00:17:22,119 --> 00:17:26,239 Speaker 10: that if we know that there are constitutional limits on 324 00:17:26,320 --> 00:17:29,600 Speaker 10: what the president can do, he's shown a pension for 325 00:17:29,880 --> 00:17:31,800 Speaker 10: trying to blow past a lot of the limits that 326 00:17:31,840 --> 00:17:34,640 Speaker 10: people have tried to place on him, but he can't 327 00:17:34,680 --> 00:17:38,240 Speaker 10: revoke the law of economics, and there's economics limits to 328 00:17:38,320 --> 00:17:41,240 Speaker 10: what he can do, or at least economic constraints. They're 329 00:17:41,240 --> 00:17:43,640 Speaker 10: going to cause him a lot of trouble, not only 330 00:17:43,680 --> 00:17:47,440 Speaker 10: in individual sectors, but on the macro front. Inflation will 331 00:17:47,520 --> 00:17:50,600 Speaker 10: kick up again, for example, something which voters have shown 332 00:17:50,600 --> 00:17:54,240 Speaker 10: that they dislike intensely. So I think it would be 333 00:17:54,359 --> 00:17:58,320 Speaker 10: wise that C suites are anticipating. 334 00:17:57,880 --> 00:18:03,000 Speaker 6: That this will be either set up with carve outs. 335 00:18:03,000 --> 00:18:05,520 Speaker 10: Or it will be rolled back in terms of the 336 00:18:05,760 --> 00:18:07,880 Speaker 10: absolute tex amount. 337 00:18:08,200 --> 00:18:09,600 Speaker 6: That he is going to levy. 338 00:18:10,840 --> 00:18:12,560 Speaker 10: So I think we have a long way to go 339 00:18:12,680 --> 00:18:18,080 Speaker 10: before this social media quote becomes new taxes on US trade? 340 00:18:18,880 --> 00:18:24,919 Speaker 4: How effective in the first iteration were tariffs on changing 341 00:18:25,200 --> 00:18:27,879 Speaker 4: the flow of goods out of China in the US, 342 00:18:28,119 --> 00:18:34,000 Speaker 4: reducing perhaps dependence or indeed the overall trade excess or 343 00:18:34,119 --> 00:18:34,639 Speaker 4: lack thereof. 344 00:18:36,640 --> 00:18:38,679 Speaker 10: I think we saw the value of trade dropped by 345 00:18:38,720 --> 00:18:43,320 Speaker 10: about thirty percent between well US and China. Remember, China 346 00:18:43,359 --> 00:18:46,919 Speaker 10: also retaliated against the US. We would certainly expect to 347 00:18:46,960 --> 00:18:51,160 Speaker 10: see some retaliation again, not just from China but also 348 00:18:51,200 --> 00:18:55,520 Speaker 10: from our other partners. So it had a significant effect 349 00:18:55,560 --> 00:18:57,040 Speaker 10: on trade flows. 350 00:18:57,560 --> 00:19:00,800 Speaker 6: That said, a lot of that trade was diverted to countries. 351 00:19:01,080 --> 00:19:04,160 Speaker 10: There's very little evidence that any of that activity came 352 00:19:04,200 --> 00:19:07,440 Speaker 10: back to the United States. Some of it flowed to Vietnam, 353 00:19:07,600 --> 00:19:09,720 Speaker 10: some of it flowed to other parts of East and 354 00:19:09,800 --> 00:19:12,880 Speaker 10: Southeast Asia, and of course some of it went into Mexico, 355 00:19:13,000 --> 00:19:17,160 Speaker 10: which is why we've seen our trade, particularly in electronics 356 00:19:17,160 --> 00:19:22,040 Speaker 10: and electrical devices increase with Mexico. 357 00:19:22,160 --> 00:19:24,640 Speaker 4: Very lovely and the vets and Institute breaking it all down. 358 00:19:25,119 --> 00:19:36,119 Speaker 4: Thank you, Meta TikTok Google. They're taking aim in Australia's 359 00:19:36,160 --> 00:19:40,120 Speaker 4: legislation to ban children under sixteen from accessing such social 360 00:19:40,200 --> 00:19:43,320 Speaker 4: media platforms. The government in Australia is pushing to pass 361 00:19:43,359 --> 00:19:44,720 Speaker 4: the bill through parliament this week. 362 00:19:45,200 --> 00:19:46,480 Speaker 3: Under the proposed bill, the. 363 00:19:46,480 --> 00:19:49,200 Speaker 4: Social Media Chance would be responsible for policing that ban 364 00:19:49,520 --> 00:19:51,640 Speaker 4: under threats of fines of up to thirty two point 365 00:19:51,840 --> 00:19:55,000 Speaker 4: five million dollars. Let's bring in bring those, Kurt Wagner 366 00:19:55,040 --> 00:19:57,480 Speaker 4: and look, thirty two and a half million dollars is 367 00:19:57,520 --> 00:20:00,000 Speaker 4: but a drop in the ocean for any of these companies. 368 00:20:00,600 --> 00:20:03,400 Speaker 3: But what is to fear here for them? 369 00:20:04,000 --> 00:20:04,200 Speaker 8: Yeah? 370 00:20:04,200 --> 00:20:07,000 Speaker 11: I think the bigger concern here is that this serves 371 00:20:07,040 --> 00:20:10,280 Speaker 11: as some kind of a blueprint or template that other 372 00:20:10,359 --> 00:20:13,320 Speaker 11: countries are going to adopt. Right, I mean, the last 373 00:20:13,359 --> 00:20:17,879 Speaker 11: thing these companies want, these services want is for teenagers 374 00:20:18,560 --> 00:20:21,320 Speaker 11: young people to not be able to use their services 375 00:20:21,440 --> 00:20:23,320 Speaker 11: because that's how they get that next. 376 00:20:23,080 --> 00:20:24,320 Speaker 6: Generation and users. 377 00:20:24,359 --> 00:20:27,000 Speaker 11: And so if this ends up working in Australia, or 378 00:20:27,000 --> 00:20:31,480 Speaker 11: it ends up getting passed and sort of effectively ending 379 00:20:31,560 --> 00:20:35,680 Speaker 11: that connection, there would be real concern that other countries, 380 00:20:35,760 --> 00:20:39,080 Speaker 11: especially those in Europe where regulation around these big tech 381 00:20:39,080 --> 00:20:41,560 Speaker 11: companies has been much tighter, that other countries would try 382 00:20:41,560 --> 00:20:43,280 Speaker 11: to maybe follow in their footsteps. 383 00:20:43,600 --> 00:20:46,479 Speaker 4: It's interesting that we've had a spate of activity around 384 00:20:46,520 --> 00:20:49,879 Speaker 4: protecting young people, whether it's in gaming with roadblocks, but 385 00:20:49,920 --> 00:20:53,120 Speaker 4: also Instagram for example, they have their teen accounts rolled out. 386 00:20:53,680 --> 00:20:56,840 Speaker 4: What is it then when instagram parent company Metro is 387 00:20:56,840 --> 00:20:58,480 Speaker 4: coming out and saying that this is going to be 388 00:20:58,560 --> 00:21:00,680 Speaker 4: really hard to enforce. We had a statement from Meta 389 00:21:00,760 --> 00:21:03,119 Speaker 4: saying that the approach will require each app provider to 390 00:21:03,160 --> 00:21:08,560 Speaker 4: collect personal identification or biometric data from all Australians. Are 391 00:21:08,560 --> 00:21:10,439 Speaker 4: they trying to make out that this is you know, 392 00:21:10,480 --> 00:21:14,040 Speaker 4: this is an issue of free speech and identity here? 393 00:21:15,359 --> 00:21:18,160 Speaker 11: Yeah, I mean this is kind of an old playbook 394 00:21:18,160 --> 00:21:20,400 Speaker 11: from them, right, which is to really push back and say, hey, 395 00:21:20,400 --> 00:21:22,960 Speaker 11: this is impossible technologically, we can't do this, right and 396 00:21:23,000 --> 00:21:25,240 Speaker 11: Meta is not the only company to say those kinds 397 00:21:25,280 --> 00:21:28,679 Speaker 11: of things. At the same time, those team accounts you mentioned, 398 00:21:28,680 --> 00:21:31,480 Speaker 11: Caroline are exactly the type of thing that you would 399 00:21:31,480 --> 00:21:33,679 Speaker 11: think they could roll out in Australia, right, which is 400 00:21:33,720 --> 00:21:37,880 Speaker 11: they automatically put teens into two more strict settings. They 401 00:21:37,920 --> 00:21:41,600 Speaker 11: require you know, ID or some other type of verification 402 00:21:41,680 --> 00:21:44,520 Speaker 11: before those teens can age up into an account for 403 00:21:45,040 --> 00:21:48,840 Speaker 11: eighteen plus. And so while I do agree that it 404 00:21:48,880 --> 00:21:52,560 Speaker 11: probably is a very tough technical challenge, I don't think 405 00:21:52,560 --> 00:21:55,800 Speaker 11: it's necessarily impossible, and I think it's in Meta's best 406 00:21:55,800 --> 00:21:58,680 Speaker 11: interests and all these companies' best interest to get across 407 00:21:58,760 --> 00:22:00,800 Speaker 11: the fact that this is a tough chain Andre that's 408 00:22:00,840 --> 00:22:03,159 Speaker 11: their argument is that hey, we can't do this. 409 00:22:04,040 --> 00:22:07,200 Speaker 4: All eyes on how it goes through the Parliament this week. 410 00:22:07,359 --> 00:22:09,840 Speaker 4: Wagner being asked to work hard up until holidays. 411 00:22:09,880 --> 00:22:10,320 Speaker 3: We thank you. 412 00:22:17,520 --> 00:22:19,639 Speaker 4: Welcome back to lum Meg Technology. I'm Caroline Hide in 413 00:22:19,640 --> 00:22:21,840 Speaker 4: New York. A quick check in on these markets and 414 00:22:21,880 --> 00:22:25,480 Speaker 4: more specifically crypto, because look, the ecosystem added about a 415 00:22:25,520 --> 00:22:28,440 Speaker 4: trillion dollars. Since the election of Donald Trump for the 416 00:22:28,440 --> 00:22:31,320 Speaker 4: administration in twenty twenty five, we had seen a bit 417 00:22:31,359 --> 00:22:33,639 Speaker 4: of a pullback from close to one hundred thousand dollars. 418 00:22:33,680 --> 00:22:36,320 Speaker 4: We've called down slightly maybe sort of about a four 419 00:22:36,400 --> 00:22:38,719 Speaker 4: day sell off. Eight percent wiped off. We're now recovering 420 00:22:38,720 --> 00:22:40,679 Speaker 4: a little bit up sixt tens percent. Ninety four two 421 00:22:40,720 --> 00:22:43,280 Speaker 4: undred and sixty three is where we trade as people 422 00:22:43,320 --> 00:22:46,119 Speaker 4: lock in profits, maybe question some of the geopolitical risks 423 00:22:46,119 --> 00:22:48,960 Speaker 4: once again, and some risk aversion. But more broadly, let's 424 00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:53,199 Speaker 4: talk about politics post the election of Trump, and in 425 00:22:53,240 --> 00:22:58,439 Speaker 4: particular California Governor Gavin Newsom proposing a state incentive for 426 00:22:58,520 --> 00:23:02,320 Speaker 4: EV buyers if federal support is taken away, but it 427 00:23:02,320 --> 00:23:06,720 Speaker 4: would exclude Tesla's models from a market share limitation perspective 428 00:23:06,960 --> 00:23:10,000 Speaker 4: that this move is aiming to create market editions for 429 00:23:10,320 --> 00:23:12,960 Speaker 4: more car makers to enter the EV market, but confurther 430 00:23:13,080 --> 00:23:17,159 Speaker 4: escalate tensions between these two characters, Elon Musk and Gavin Newsom. 431 00:23:17,760 --> 00:23:21,000 Speaker 4: Let's talk about it all webnomgs Ilia, Yahoo, Keemische who 432 00:23:21,080 --> 00:23:23,840 Speaker 4: joins us for more? And look, this is Gavin Newsom 433 00:23:24,240 --> 00:23:27,000 Speaker 4: trying to front run any change from the new administration. 434 00:23:27,160 --> 00:23:29,160 Speaker 4: If they take away that seven and a half thousand 435 00:23:29,240 --> 00:23:33,200 Speaker 4: dollars tax credit for EV purchases, California will be there 436 00:23:33,440 --> 00:23:34,680 Speaker 4: to step in and support. 437 00:23:34,920 --> 00:23:36,960 Speaker 3: But why limit Tesla's. 438 00:23:37,960 --> 00:23:40,920 Speaker 12: Yeah, that's exactly right. This is part of Newsom coming 439 00:23:40,960 --> 00:23:44,320 Speaker 12: out from and saying Trump does take this away, we're 440 00:23:44,359 --> 00:23:46,920 Speaker 12: going to Californians are still going to be eligible for 441 00:23:47,680 --> 00:23:52,560 Speaker 12: electric vehicle tax credits. But the proposal that he gave 442 00:23:52,760 --> 00:23:56,679 Speaker 12: yesterday says that there's a market share limitation which would 443 00:23:57,240 --> 00:24:01,119 Speaker 12: prevent Tesla from qualifying from these credit. It's their reasoning 444 00:24:01,200 --> 00:24:05,040 Speaker 12: for that is that they want to spur competition of 445 00:24:06,800 --> 00:24:10,320 Speaker 12: smaller electric vehicle manufacturers in the state, and they said 446 00:24:10,359 --> 00:24:12,240 Speaker 12: they want them to take root in the state. So 447 00:24:12,640 --> 00:24:16,359 Speaker 12: essentially they're saying, you know, Tesla already has a huge 448 00:24:16,359 --> 00:24:19,119 Speaker 12: market share in the state, and they want some of 449 00:24:19,119 --> 00:24:21,600 Speaker 12: the smaller guys to be able to compete. A lot 450 00:24:21,640 --> 00:24:25,679 Speaker 12: of these other electric vehicle manufacturers are losing money, some 451 00:24:25,720 --> 00:24:29,320 Speaker 12: of the traditional OEM manufacturers are losing money when they 452 00:24:29,400 --> 00:24:33,960 Speaker 12: sell an electric vehicle, so this is kind of an 453 00:24:34,040 --> 00:24:36,840 Speaker 12: incentive for those smaller guys, while Tesla is making money 454 00:24:36,840 --> 00:24:37,800 Speaker 12: every time they sell a car. 455 00:24:39,320 --> 00:24:42,560 Speaker 4: I can imagine that Ilia who that this is going 456 00:24:42,600 --> 00:24:46,000 Speaker 4: to be seen as therefore punishment for success, for punishment 457 00:24:46,040 --> 00:24:49,040 Speaker 4: for being profitable. Already, I mean, what do we anticipate 458 00:24:49,080 --> 00:24:52,200 Speaker 4: in terms of the reaction coming from Elon Musk because 459 00:24:52,200 --> 00:24:54,960 Speaker 4: he's not been afraid to have pretty tough words for 460 00:24:55,000 --> 00:24:56,119 Speaker 4: Gavin Newsom in the past. 461 00:24:57,720 --> 00:25:00,800 Speaker 12: Yeah, I mean Elon Musk has already come out swinging 462 00:25:00,840 --> 00:25:03,760 Speaker 12: and he called this proposal insane, and he cited that 463 00:25:05,040 --> 00:25:08,240 Speaker 12: Tesla is the only car manufacturer that is actually producing 464 00:25:08,280 --> 00:25:11,040 Speaker 12: cars in California, and they have a lot of employees 465 00:25:11,080 --> 00:25:13,920 Speaker 12: based in California, even though they did move their headquarters 466 00:25:14,160 --> 00:25:18,120 Speaker 12: to Texas. So I think it really does raise the 467 00:25:18,119 --> 00:25:24,080 Speaker 12: tensions between these two characters. California is becoming this oil 468 00:25:24,280 --> 00:25:28,320 Speaker 12: to the Trump administration, and Elon Musk has taken a 469 00:25:28,680 --> 00:25:32,639 Speaker 12: newfound prominence in Republican politics. So you're seeing kind of 470 00:25:32,800 --> 00:25:38,000 Speaker 12: Elon Musk and Newsome becoming these emerging characters that are 471 00:25:38,040 --> 00:25:42,119 Speaker 12: representing kind of the new state of politics in the 472 00:25:42,119 --> 00:25:42,800 Speaker 12: country right. 473 00:25:42,720 --> 00:25:47,600 Speaker 4: Now, California and some massive economy. Elijah who commissa thank 474 00:25:47,640 --> 00:25:49,720 Speaker 4: you for breaking it down. Let's just keep this discussion 475 00:25:49,720 --> 00:25:53,080 Speaker 4: going with Jessica Caldwell, head of Insights at Edmonds, and 476 00:25:53,400 --> 00:25:56,120 Speaker 4: your focus that you can bring us is the underlying 477 00:25:56,200 --> 00:25:59,680 Speaker 4: data of EV sales, the actual success story that Tesla 478 00:25:59,760 --> 00:26:03,160 Speaker 4: has compared to other competitors. Jessica, what will this mean 479 00:26:03,160 --> 00:26:05,639 Speaker 4: for competition? Could it spur competition? 480 00:26:07,040 --> 00:26:08,840 Speaker 2: I mean it's definitely going to spur competition. 481 00:26:08,920 --> 00:26:10,480 Speaker 13: I mean, if you're out there at your shopping for 482 00:26:10,520 --> 00:26:13,399 Speaker 13: a vehicle one adiligible for seventy five hundred dollars rebate, 483 00:26:13,440 --> 00:26:16,200 Speaker 13: when is not I mean you're going to shop both vehicles. 484 00:26:16,280 --> 00:26:19,080 Speaker 13: Of course, everyone knows what Tesla is. They have a 485 00:26:19,160 --> 00:26:22,360 Speaker 13: lot of brand recognition, but something like this is going 486 00:26:22,400 --> 00:26:25,080 Speaker 13: to get shoppers to look and consider other things, and 487 00:26:25,119 --> 00:26:27,960 Speaker 13: a lot of times that does ultimately end in a purchase. So, 488 00:26:28,600 --> 00:26:31,080 Speaker 13: without a doubt, Tesla will be at a disadvantage if 489 00:26:31,200 --> 00:26:31,960 Speaker 13: this goes through. 490 00:26:32,440 --> 00:26:34,720 Speaker 4: Jessica, just set the context here though, seven and a 491 00:26:34,760 --> 00:26:37,080 Speaker 4: half thousand, what does that mean for the ultimate price 492 00:26:37,119 --> 00:26:39,520 Speaker 4: point of an easy right now? Because well, they're not 493 00:26:39,640 --> 00:26:41,600 Speaker 4: cheap and seven and a half thousand doesn't seem that 494 00:26:41,680 --> 00:26:43,080 Speaker 4: much in comparison. 495 00:26:42,520 --> 00:26:44,120 Speaker 3: To the cost of a Rivian for example. 496 00:26:45,320 --> 00:26:47,280 Speaker 13: Yeah, I mean that is true, but I think as 497 00:26:47,320 --> 00:26:50,000 Speaker 13: we go towards the mass market consumer, they're looking for 498 00:26:50,119 --> 00:26:53,200 Speaker 13: cheaper evs, and in that case, seventy five hundred dollars 499 00:26:53,440 --> 00:26:56,399 Speaker 13: does become probably more attractive because someone that's buying one 500 00:26:56,480 --> 00:26:58,919 Speaker 13: hundred thousand dollars EV they're probably not bothered by these 501 00:26:58,960 --> 00:27:01,560 Speaker 13: rebeates anyhow. And at the end of the day, people 502 00:27:01,600 --> 00:27:03,719 Speaker 13: are buying a lot of times even though they shouldn't 503 00:27:03,760 --> 00:27:06,440 Speaker 13: be on monthly payment, and so when it's calculated out, 504 00:27:06,640 --> 00:27:08,720 Speaker 13: you're looking at the monthly payment, the seventy five hundred 505 00:27:08,720 --> 00:27:10,639 Speaker 13: dollars apply, especially for lease customers. 506 00:27:10,760 --> 00:27:11,919 Speaker 2: That can make a really. 507 00:27:11,640 --> 00:27:13,840 Speaker 13: Big difference and make that a lot more attractive and 508 00:27:13,840 --> 00:27:15,240 Speaker 13: get consumers to buy. 509 00:27:15,400 --> 00:27:19,400 Speaker 4: California, though I'm assuming has been a first adopt early 510 00:27:19,480 --> 00:27:22,520 Speaker 4: adopter of evs. More broadly, when you compare state to state, 511 00:27:22,640 --> 00:27:25,560 Speaker 4: so who is how much of the mass market is 512 00:27:25,560 --> 00:27:28,240 Speaker 4: still left to penetrate in California? 513 00:27:28,320 --> 00:27:29,919 Speaker 13: Well, I think that's the whole thing, is that in 514 00:27:29,960 --> 00:27:32,879 Speaker 13: California the EV market share over twenty percent, So you 515 00:27:33,080 --> 00:27:35,480 Speaker 13: have a lot of masks or a lot of early 516 00:27:35,520 --> 00:27:38,760 Speaker 13: adopters have already purchased. So getting the mass market is 517 00:27:38,760 --> 00:27:41,160 Speaker 13: probably the bigger challenge here because these people need convincing. 518 00:27:41,240 --> 00:27:44,000 Speaker 13: They probably don't have highs income. They're kind of questioning 519 00:27:44,040 --> 00:27:45,920 Speaker 13: whether they even want an EV So now. 520 00:27:45,840 --> 00:27:47,360 Speaker 2: It's a time. If there was ever a time. 521 00:27:47,200 --> 00:27:49,320 Speaker 13: To have an incentive on EV's, it is for the 522 00:27:49,359 --> 00:27:51,600 Speaker 13: mass market, not for the people that were early adopters 523 00:27:51,640 --> 00:27:53,720 Speaker 13: that were excited about EV's to start with and probably 524 00:27:53,720 --> 00:27:55,480 Speaker 13: didn't need much incentive to even purchase. 525 00:27:55,800 --> 00:27:57,440 Speaker 3: Just compare States to state. 526 00:27:57,560 --> 00:28:00,240 Speaker 4: We know that Newsom has not been afraid to push 527 00:28:00,320 --> 00:28:02,720 Speaker 4: back at a LA musk and indeed perhaps be a 528 00:28:02,800 --> 00:28:06,040 Speaker 4: key supporter of the EC sector. Wouldn't this be replicated elsewhere? 529 00:28:06,119 --> 00:28:08,240 Speaker 4: Do you think if federal support did come away? 530 00:28:09,520 --> 00:28:11,439 Speaker 2: I mean, it's likely we have things like CARB states. 531 00:28:11,560 --> 00:28:14,200 Speaker 13: Other people are following some of the California a Resource Board, 532 00:28:14,320 --> 00:28:16,399 Speaker 13: some of the edicts that they have put out, So 533 00:28:16,480 --> 00:28:18,480 Speaker 13: there is a president here of other states kind of 534 00:28:18,480 --> 00:28:19,920 Speaker 13: following California's lead. 535 00:28:20,280 --> 00:28:21,640 Speaker 2: But at the end of the day, this program does 536 00:28:21,680 --> 00:28:25,320 Speaker 2: sound quite costly, especially if you're to sell a lot 537 00:28:25,400 --> 00:28:26,000 Speaker 2: of vehicles. 538 00:28:26,000 --> 00:28:28,480 Speaker 13: So state's going to have to find funding for this program, 539 00:28:28,720 --> 00:28:31,040 Speaker 13: which may be complicated. I mean, California has a clear 540 00:28:31,160 --> 00:28:33,440 Speaker 13: order zero missions vehicle by twenty thirty five. 541 00:28:33,960 --> 00:28:36,520 Speaker 2: And you know, if that's the case, then programs like. 542 00:28:36,440 --> 00:28:38,680 Speaker 13: This will have to exist to spur that mass market 543 00:28:38,720 --> 00:28:39,400 Speaker 13: to start to buy. 544 00:28:39,960 --> 00:28:41,680 Speaker 3: They really want to spur the mass market. 545 00:28:42,160 --> 00:28:45,360 Speaker 4: You'd anticipate that you let Chinese EV's in, which are 546 00:28:45,440 --> 00:28:49,080 Speaker 4: much cheaper than US competitors. Who therefore, given that that 547 00:28:49,120 --> 00:28:51,880 Speaker 4: won't be the case, where are the cheaper vehicles, who 548 00:28:51,920 --> 00:28:53,120 Speaker 4: will this end up supporting? 549 00:28:54,560 --> 00:28:55,080 Speaker 6: Well, I mean, I. 550 00:28:55,080 --> 00:28:57,360 Speaker 2: Think any automakers. I mean they're all kind of scrambling. 551 00:28:57,360 --> 00:28:59,360 Speaker 13: I mean, in this era of affordability, it costs all 552 00:28:59,360 --> 00:29:02,520 Speaker 13: living increase of inflation, people just feeling a lot less 553 00:29:02,520 --> 00:29:03,440 Speaker 13: wealthy than they have in. 554 00:29:03,400 --> 00:29:06,480 Speaker 2: The past has been a big issue for car buyers. 555 00:29:06,640 --> 00:29:08,360 Speaker 13: So I think a lot of automakers are trying to 556 00:29:08,440 --> 00:29:11,400 Speaker 13: focus on the lower end. To anyone that is delivering 557 00:29:11,720 --> 00:29:14,160 Speaker 13: good value that kind of has maybe like you know, 558 00:29:14,160 --> 00:29:16,560 Speaker 13: a forty thousand dollars price tag, they're probably going to 559 00:29:16,640 --> 00:29:18,320 Speaker 13: get a lot more eyeballs than some of these other 560 00:29:18,320 --> 00:29:20,160 Speaker 13: things that we have seen, you know, like the Jaguar 561 00:29:20,240 --> 00:29:22,360 Speaker 13: coming out in a few years or any of these 562 00:29:22,400 --> 00:29:24,360 Speaker 13: you know, six figure EV type of vehicles. 563 00:29:25,280 --> 00:29:27,040 Speaker 4: All eyes on the neis sounds of this world, Jessica 564 00:29:27,040 --> 00:29:29,880 Speaker 4: Cool well, we thank you. Kind of insights over at Edmund's. 565 00:29:30,080 --> 00:29:33,440 Speaker 4: I meanwhile coming up Klana getting ready for that IPO. 566 00:29:33,640 --> 00:29:34,520 Speaker 3: We'll discuss with. 567 00:29:34,560 --> 00:29:38,280 Speaker 4: Headlines Cameron and Sorry, and what it means for other 568 00:29:38,320 --> 00:29:40,600 Speaker 4: fintech companies that may also be mone and going public. 569 00:29:41,160 --> 00:29:49,360 Speaker 3: This is what we make Technology. 570 00:29:54,640 --> 00:29:58,320 Speaker 4: A group of former Google and Stripe executives who helped 571 00:29:58,360 --> 00:30:01,600 Speaker 4: build the Android platform and raising fifty six million dollars 572 00:30:01,640 --> 00:30:04,040 Speaker 4: for a new company. This one focused on developing an 573 00:30:04,080 --> 00:30:08,040 Speaker 4: operating system for AI agents. Showing KAfari joins us now 574 00:30:08,080 --> 00:30:10,520 Speaker 4: showing every other moment I seem to reading about the 575 00:30:10,600 --> 00:30:14,040 Speaker 4: latest AI agent company, and this one's actually to foster 576 00:30:14,120 --> 00:30:15,680 Speaker 4: an operating system for its adoption. 577 00:30:17,560 --> 00:30:18,040 Speaker 3: That's right. 578 00:30:18,120 --> 00:30:21,240 Speaker 14: So the idea is they're not actually building the agents themselves, 579 00:30:21,480 --> 00:30:25,080 Speaker 14: but because they believe that the future of computing will 580 00:30:25,080 --> 00:30:27,920 Speaker 14: not be necessarily about apps, that the next evolution of 581 00:30:27,960 --> 00:30:31,120 Speaker 14: these AI agents, that they want to build something that 582 00:30:31,160 --> 00:30:33,320 Speaker 14: will connect all these agents to be able to talk 583 00:30:33,360 --> 00:30:36,280 Speaker 14: to each other and for developers to all build on 584 00:30:36,280 --> 00:30:39,440 Speaker 14: one platform, kind of like how we have Android for OS. 585 00:30:40,080 --> 00:30:41,920 Speaker 4: It's called well, I don't know how it would say 586 00:30:41,920 --> 00:30:45,280 Speaker 4: it slash dev, slash agents or just dev agents as 587 00:30:45,280 --> 00:30:46,840 Speaker 4: they're coming out of stealth. 588 00:30:46,880 --> 00:30:47,680 Speaker 3: This is the new name. 589 00:30:47,720 --> 00:30:51,400 Speaker 4: They've got some really interesting characters on their cap table now, 590 00:30:51,400 --> 00:30:57,000 Speaker 4: so Alexander Wang of SCALEAI. They've also got Nikesh Aurora, 591 00:30:57,040 --> 00:30:58,880 Speaker 4: who we've been speaking to on the show recently of 592 00:30:58,960 --> 00:31:01,600 Speaker 4: Palo Alto Networks. But who are the vcs behind this 593 00:31:01,720 --> 00:31:02,720 Speaker 4: and how do they find them? 594 00:31:04,160 --> 00:31:08,840 Speaker 14: That's right, so Index is leading the round and Alphabet's 595 00:31:09,200 --> 00:31:12,080 Speaker 14: independent growth arm Capital G is co leading it. 596 00:31:12,480 --> 00:31:14,320 Speaker 3: And what's interesting is that you know, these. 597 00:31:14,120 --> 00:31:16,360 Speaker 14: Guys have been known for a long time in Silicon 598 00:31:16,440 --> 00:31:20,440 Speaker 14: Valley helping build the Android platform, and the CEO is 599 00:31:20,440 --> 00:31:23,920 Speaker 14: also a former Stripe executive. You a CTO there, so 600 00:31:24,080 --> 00:31:26,800 Speaker 14: you know these people. These investors have known these these 601 00:31:27,520 --> 00:31:30,120 Speaker 14: leaders for a while. And actually the lead partner at 602 00:31:30,120 --> 00:31:33,280 Speaker 14: Index knew the founder back at Google. They both worked 603 00:31:33,320 --> 00:31:38,240 Speaker 14: together briefly at Google. So yeah, it's a really interesting, 604 00:31:38,680 --> 00:31:41,200 Speaker 14: I think case study of where you see this sort 605 00:31:41,200 --> 00:31:44,719 Speaker 14: of founder market fit. The lead investor told me right 606 00:31:44,760 --> 00:31:47,120 Speaker 14: where people have a lot of confidence in this group 607 00:31:47,160 --> 00:31:50,200 Speaker 14: to be able to execute on this kind of ambitious 608 00:31:50,200 --> 00:31:53,280 Speaker 14: plan to build a new network that can connect this 609 00:31:53,400 --> 00:31:56,120 Speaker 14: future wave of technology we're seeing with AI agents. 610 00:31:56,480 --> 00:31:59,720 Speaker 4: David Singleton, who is over Stripe as CTO quoting it 611 00:31:59,760 --> 00:32:02,640 Speaker 4: we need an Android like moment for Ai Shoreen KAfari, 612 00:32:02,880 --> 00:32:05,360 Speaker 4: thank you so much for bring us the latest funding round. Meanwhile, 613 00:32:05,520 --> 00:32:10,200 Speaker 4: let's dig into funding rounds to future IPOs and exits. Karana, 614 00:32:10,280 --> 00:32:12,560 Speaker 4: for example, another key fintech that we're all getting on 615 00:32:12,600 --> 00:32:15,480 Speaker 4: our mind for its IPO. We understand it almost broke 616 00:32:15,520 --> 00:32:18,200 Speaker 4: even in the first nine months of the year, companies 617 00:32:18,240 --> 00:32:21,280 Speaker 4: stating that as at eyes the markets in today's VC Spotlight, 618 00:32:21,320 --> 00:32:24,080 Speaker 4: let's dig in with Cameron and Sary his partner at Headline, 619 00:32:24,080 --> 00:32:28,600 Speaker 4: who understands by now pay later deeply and I'm. 620 00:32:28,440 --> 00:32:29,760 Speaker 3: Interested in Kharana. 621 00:32:29,920 --> 00:32:32,440 Speaker 4: How important, how integral to the market opening? 622 00:32:32,480 --> 00:32:33,480 Speaker 3: Will it's IPO be? 623 00:32:34,120 --> 00:32:35,920 Speaker 15: Well, it's going to be huge because we really haven't 624 00:32:35,960 --> 00:32:39,640 Speaker 15: had a major tech IPO in months. We had read 625 00:32:39,640 --> 00:32:41,840 Speaker 15: it and I bought it came out back in the spring, 626 00:32:42,200 --> 00:32:44,160 Speaker 15: but it's been quite since then. I think been waiting 627 00:32:44,200 --> 00:32:46,680 Speaker 15: for the election outcome and also to see what's happening 628 00:32:46,760 --> 00:32:49,120 Speaker 15: with interest rates. But now that we're past that, I 629 00:32:49,120 --> 00:32:50,720 Speaker 15: think Clara is going to be the first real test 630 00:32:50,760 --> 00:32:51,760 Speaker 15: of the market. 631 00:32:51,800 --> 00:32:55,600 Speaker 4: And in terms of valuation, like they've been on a 632 00:32:55,680 --> 00:32:56,440 Speaker 4: volatile ride. 633 00:32:56,480 --> 00:32:58,320 Speaker 3: Ro's so too a stripe. 634 00:32:58,400 --> 00:33:00,200 Speaker 4: Look, both of these companies will call up and the 635 00:33:00,200 --> 00:33:03,000 Speaker 4: twenty twenty one year Fouria or around fintech I both 636 00:33:03,040 --> 00:33:05,880 Speaker 4: had a sharp realization of what valuations really are. Klan 637 00:33:05,960 --> 00:33:07,640 Speaker 4: has been bringing its way back as that's strong. 638 00:33:07,680 --> 00:33:09,840 Speaker 8: Absolutely. Look, I think Clarna did a very smart thing. 639 00:33:10,080 --> 00:33:13,080 Speaker 15: They got over what I call valuation nostalgia, where you 640 00:33:13,120 --> 00:33:14,760 Speaker 15: feel like I was worth X before I should be 641 00:33:14,760 --> 00:33:15,920 Speaker 15: worth X now it's not true. 642 00:33:16,000 --> 00:33:17,080 Speaker 8: Right, the markets adjusted. 643 00:33:17,840 --> 00:33:19,479 Speaker 15: Everyone's kind of worth a different price than they were 644 00:33:19,520 --> 00:33:22,040 Speaker 15: in twenty twenty in a zero interest rate environment. So 645 00:33:22,120 --> 00:33:24,720 Speaker 15: Clarnet was valued at forty six billion and they came 646 00:33:24,760 --> 00:33:26,959 Speaker 15: down and did around the next year at seven billion. 647 00:33:27,240 --> 00:33:29,640 Speaker 15: That's a tough pill to swallow, but they did it. 648 00:33:29,680 --> 00:33:31,920 Speaker 15: They did the reset. It was a sober, great decision. 649 00:33:32,280 --> 00:33:34,280 Speaker 15: And now they've built their way back up, and this IPO, 650 00:33:34,320 --> 00:33:36,840 Speaker 15: by all indicasions, will price probably somewhere in fifteen twenty 651 00:33:36,840 --> 00:33:39,360 Speaker 15: billion dollars sort of range, maybe a little higher. 652 00:33:39,520 --> 00:33:41,520 Speaker 8: Their main comp affirm in the US. 653 00:33:41,560 --> 00:33:43,240 Speaker 15: The stock US up like five hundred percent in the 654 00:33:43,320 --> 00:33:45,320 Speaker 15: last couple of years, So I think they're coming out 655 00:33:45,360 --> 00:33:47,280 Speaker 15: at a great time and they're going to get the 656 00:33:47,480 --> 00:33:48,880 Speaker 15: you know, hopefully approach back. 657 00:33:48,720 --> 00:33:51,000 Speaker 8: To where they were. But they did that reset and 658 00:33:51,000 --> 00:33:51,920 Speaker 8: that was very smart them. 659 00:33:52,240 --> 00:33:55,200 Speaker 4: What's interesting is that the secondary market has been so 660 00:33:55,280 --> 00:33:58,200 Speaker 4: active and so many companies have a decent chunk of 661 00:33:58,320 --> 00:33:59,400 Speaker 4: change they don't. 662 00:33:59,200 --> 00:33:59,920 Speaker 3: Need to exit. 663 00:34:00,040 --> 00:34:02,800 Speaker 4: So, for example, Stripe has been buying back its own 664 00:34:02,920 --> 00:34:06,240 Speaker 4: stock from previous employees. They so little need to go 665 00:34:06,280 --> 00:34:08,680 Speaker 4: and tap the markets. Why then should a Klan or 666 00:34:08,719 --> 00:34:10,680 Speaker 4: a Stripe eventually come an IPO. 667 00:34:10,600 --> 00:34:13,719 Speaker 15: Look and ipl Really, there's three things. It's a marketing event. 668 00:34:13,719 --> 00:34:15,400 Speaker 15: It's an opportunity to come out and say here's what 669 00:34:15,440 --> 00:34:17,200 Speaker 15: we do, here's what we are. You know, my parents 670 00:34:17,200 --> 00:34:19,000 Speaker 15: may have not heard of Clara before, but now they will. 671 00:34:19,560 --> 00:34:21,480 Speaker 15: You know, Klarana is telling a big AI story that 672 00:34:21,560 --> 00:34:24,080 Speaker 15: I call themselves the AI powered Global Payments Network. 673 00:34:24,440 --> 00:34:26,880 Speaker 8: So that's the first thing. The second is it is liquidity, right. 674 00:34:26,960 --> 00:34:29,920 Speaker 15: Dot's provide liquidity in a deeper way than any private 675 00:34:29,920 --> 00:34:31,040 Speaker 15: funding round can. 676 00:34:31,200 --> 00:34:32,880 Speaker 8: To employees to investors. 677 00:34:33,320 --> 00:34:35,200 Speaker 15: And the third thing that's really important is it sets 678 00:34:35,239 --> 00:34:38,279 Speaker 15: a really clear public equity price for your stock, so 679 00:34:38,280 --> 00:34:40,640 Speaker 15: you can use that to then compensate employees to hire 680 00:34:41,000 --> 00:34:42,719 Speaker 15: and to do m and A to buy companies because 681 00:34:42,719 --> 00:34:44,879 Speaker 15: before that it's always this parlor game of well, what's 682 00:34:44,880 --> 00:34:46,920 Speaker 15: the stock really worth? We don't really know, and now 683 00:34:46,960 --> 00:34:48,759 Speaker 15: you'll know every second of every day how much it's worth. 684 00:34:48,920 --> 00:34:51,080 Speaker 4: What are you thinking about MNA, because I believe that 685 00:34:51,160 --> 00:34:54,480 Speaker 4: you backed sort of a Klana similar so got bought 686 00:34:54,520 --> 00:34:55,440 Speaker 4: by a bigger tech company. 687 00:34:55,440 --> 00:34:56,640 Speaker 3: Aren't we going to see more I'm and A in 688 00:34:56,680 --> 00:34:57,359 Speaker 3: the space. 689 00:34:57,760 --> 00:34:58,440 Speaker 8: I really think so. 690 00:34:58,960 --> 00:35:00,960 Speaker 15: I beck to company called Bread Finances, which is bought 691 00:35:00,960 --> 00:35:02,120 Speaker 15: by aline Stata Systems. 692 00:35:02,360 --> 00:35:03,960 Speaker 8: The whole companies now called Bread. 693 00:35:04,320 --> 00:35:06,360 Speaker 15: It's a very similar company to our firmand Clarna, And 694 00:35:06,480 --> 00:35:08,560 Speaker 15: in fact, you know, in the fintech space and tech. 695 00:35:08,440 --> 00:35:10,520 Speaker 8: Overall, we've seen very little M and A. 696 00:35:10,560 --> 00:35:12,800 Speaker 15: Part of it's been the regime and the regulatory process 697 00:35:12,800 --> 00:35:15,400 Speaker 15: where people are afraid that deals will get blocked. I 698 00:35:15,400 --> 00:35:17,440 Speaker 15: think by all indications, in twenty twenty five, with the 699 00:35:17,480 --> 00:35:20,200 Speaker 15: new Trump era, we'll see a more friendly environment for 700 00:35:20,320 --> 00:35:21,960 Speaker 15: M and A and I think folks are kind of 701 00:35:22,280 --> 00:35:24,439 Speaker 15: leaning into that now. And you saw some rumored stuff. 702 00:35:24,440 --> 00:35:26,239 Speaker 15: There was like a Qualcom deal that was going to happen. 703 00:35:26,280 --> 00:35:29,640 Speaker 15: We've heard about HubSpot, Google, Whiz Google. Those didn't turn 704 00:35:29,680 --> 00:35:32,000 Speaker 15: out to actually happen. But I think in the new 705 00:35:32,040 --> 00:35:34,160 Speaker 15: year you will see M and A pickup as well. Absolutely, 706 00:35:35,239 --> 00:35:35,600 Speaker 15: How do. 707 00:35:35,600 --> 00:35:38,719 Speaker 4: You prep your own portfolio companies then for that new 708 00:35:38,760 --> 00:35:40,480 Speaker 4: era of twenty twenty five, I. 709 00:35:40,440 --> 00:35:42,640 Speaker 15: Think, you know, the thing has always been, you know, 710 00:35:42,800 --> 00:35:45,000 Speaker 15: cash is oxygen and auxygen is life, So you have 711 00:35:45,000 --> 00:35:46,600 Speaker 15: to have enough cash on hand to make it through 712 00:35:46,640 --> 00:35:48,839 Speaker 15: whatever period of time. And these last couple of years 713 00:35:48,880 --> 00:35:50,480 Speaker 15: have been tricking in that regard. So companies have been 714 00:35:50,560 --> 00:35:53,680 Speaker 15: raising you know, debt rounds, bank equity, you know, loans 715 00:35:53,680 --> 00:35:56,880 Speaker 15: from banks, convertible notes, things like that to bridge and 716 00:35:56,920 --> 00:35:59,080 Speaker 15: get through to a period where hopefully there's going to 717 00:35:59,120 --> 00:36:01,400 Speaker 15: be more liquidity and better environment for exits. 718 00:36:02,120 --> 00:36:06,400 Speaker 4: What about you and your thoughts on building up holdings 719 00:36:06,400 --> 00:36:09,600 Speaker 4: in companies via the secondary market or going direct to 720 00:36:09,680 --> 00:36:10,920 Speaker 4: when they're doing fresh sales. 721 00:36:10,960 --> 00:36:14,200 Speaker 3: What's the environment been like? How how pure is it. 722 00:36:14,200 --> 00:36:15,919 Speaker 4: At the moment or is it kind of it's who 723 00:36:15,960 --> 00:36:17,960 Speaker 4: you know in the back door and therefore you. 724 00:36:17,920 --> 00:36:19,719 Speaker 15: Will access It used to be that way, you know, 725 00:36:19,800 --> 00:36:21,719 Speaker 15: ten tho ten years ago, secondaries was always kind of 726 00:36:21,719 --> 00:36:24,680 Speaker 15: whispered and so forth. And there's famously a massive secondary 727 00:36:24,680 --> 00:36:25,759 Speaker 15: market for Facebook soccer. 728 00:36:25,840 --> 00:36:27,040 Speaker 8: You know before it was public. 729 00:36:26,800 --> 00:36:29,200 Speaker 15: For many years, but a lot of companies put limits 730 00:36:29,239 --> 00:36:31,600 Speaker 15: on secondary sales and you can only sell a certain portion, 731 00:36:31,760 --> 00:36:34,520 Speaker 15: or some companies don't allow sales at all. They have 732 00:36:34,600 --> 00:36:38,640 Speaker 15: rights of first refusal to stop sales or purchases stocks themselves. 733 00:36:38,840 --> 00:36:39,760 Speaker 8: But now you have all these. 734 00:36:39,600 --> 00:36:44,680 Speaker 15: Other markets like Forge and Hive, and while Carter was 735 00:36:44,680 --> 00:36:46,040 Speaker 15: trying to do this where you have a kind of 736 00:36:46,160 --> 00:36:48,640 Speaker 15: more liquid quote unquote secondary market where you can see 737 00:36:48,840 --> 00:36:52,920 Speaker 15: the most up to date pricing, but it's still very episodic, 738 00:36:52,920 --> 00:36:54,560 Speaker 15: where you know, some deal happens and then maybe six 739 00:36:54,600 --> 00:36:56,920 Speaker 15: months goes by, so you're not really sure exactly how 740 00:36:57,000 --> 00:36:59,080 Speaker 15: what the pricing is of these shares in any given 741 00:36:59,120 --> 00:36:59,520 Speaker 15: moment in. 742 00:36:59,480 --> 00:37:03,080 Speaker 4: Time, and how difficult is it to understand some of 743 00:37:03,120 --> 00:37:07,399 Speaker 4: the nuances in the deals. The contracts are very individual, 744 00:37:07,880 --> 00:37:11,440 Speaker 4: and some of these very hot companies are able to 745 00:37:11,480 --> 00:37:14,400 Speaker 4: have pretty tough rules on how you speak about. 746 00:37:14,160 --> 00:37:16,600 Speaker 3: Them and how you invest in rivals. What's that looking like? 747 00:37:16,840 --> 00:37:19,000 Speaker 15: Well, you know, the biggest thing is information right, and 748 00:37:19,080 --> 00:37:21,719 Speaker 15: information rights are very limited for investors who come into 749 00:37:21,719 --> 00:37:24,880 Speaker 15: say a secondary in a company like a Klarna or 750 00:37:24,880 --> 00:37:27,319 Speaker 15: whatever before their public you don't get all the rights 751 00:37:27,360 --> 00:37:29,080 Speaker 15: you don't get all the financials, you don't get all 752 00:37:29,080 --> 00:37:31,040 Speaker 15: the documents. You're just told, okay, look this is the 753 00:37:31,120 --> 00:37:32,960 Speaker 15: information you get. There's the price of the stock and 754 00:37:32,960 --> 00:37:34,160 Speaker 15: that's Sydney. You have to kind of live with that. 755 00:37:34,560 --> 00:37:36,560 Speaker 15: Once a company is public, then obviously you get all 756 00:37:36,560 --> 00:37:38,759 Speaker 15: the full information and it's a level playing field for 757 00:37:38,760 --> 00:37:41,879 Speaker 15: everybody and it's a much adding more rich environment. 758 00:37:41,560 --> 00:37:43,000 Speaker 8: For folks people to invest with full info. 759 00:37:43,480 --> 00:37:45,920 Speaker 4: We'll see how that full info comes to beir next 760 00:37:45,960 --> 00:37:47,400 Speaker 4: day at camera And I'm sorry, it's so great to 761 00:37:47,440 --> 00:37:56,000 Speaker 4: have you partner at headline Eon. 762 00:37:56,320 --> 00:37:59,360 Speaker 3: It's a cloud backup startup and in fact it was 763 00:37:59,360 --> 00:38:00,080 Speaker 3: founded in just. 764 00:38:00,120 --> 00:38:02,520 Speaker 4: January of this year by a group of Amazon Web 765 00:38:02,560 --> 00:38:05,480 Speaker 4: Services alumni and it's just closed a new funding round, 766 00:38:05,560 --> 00:38:07,600 Speaker 4: value in the company at one point four billion dollars. 767 00:38:08,040 --> 00:38:10,560 Speaker 4: That's less than a year after founding. So I'm going 768 00:38:10,600 --> 00:38:12,239 Speaker 4: to talk about it with a fair like he's the 769 00:38:12,320 --> 00:38:16,440 Speaker 4: CEO joining us. Now, you've done three funding rounds in 770 00:38:16,520 --> 00:38:19,960 Speaker 4: one year of your first existence. How are we doing 771 00:38:19,960 --> 00:38:22,040 Speaker 4: this and talk to us about what problem you're solving. 772 00:38:23,040 --> 00:38:25,880 Speaker 16: Well, it actually four rounds of funding. A first round 773 00:38:25,920 --> 00:38:28,680 Speaker 16: was led by Secoya, second round a light Speed, then 774 00:38:28,760 --> 00:38:32,840 Speaker 16: Green Oaks and lastly Bond And what we're doing we're 775 00:38:32,840 --> 00:38:38,400 Speaker 16: making cloud backup useful because now they're not. And to 776 00:38:38,520 --> 00:38:41,560 Speaker 16: think why should we care about cloud backups? Mean, my 777 00:38:41,719 --> 00:38:44,520 Speaker 16: grandmother have backup on her iPhone for all of her 778 00:38:44,600 --> 00:38:48,120 Speaker 16: kids over only grab kids, So it's not that easy 779 00:38:48,120 --> 00:38:51,160 Speaker 16: in the cloud. You see on premise everyone have everything. 780 00:38:51,280 --> 00:38:54,359 Speaker 16: And in the cloud companies just moved in the last 781 00:38:54,400 --> 00:38:58,280 Speaker 16: few years. They're spending hundreds of billions of dollars annually 782 00:38:58,520 --> 00:39:02,319 Speaker 16: on the cloud, out of which twenty percent is cloud spent, 783 00:39:02,800 --> 00:39:06,120 Speaker 16: is backup spent. And this is a huge spent and 784 00:39:06,200 --> 00:39:10,960 Speaker 16: today it doesn't work. It's very cumbersome, it's a mess, 785 00:39:11,600 --> 00:39:14,000 Speaker 16: and it's not useful. You can't even use it when 786 00:39:14,000 --> 00:39:16,640 Speaker 16: you need it. So it's a very big problem and 787 00:39:16,680 --> 00:39:18,200 Speaker 16: we're happy to solve that. 788 00:39:18,600 --> 00:39:21,120 Speaker 3: I mean aws Or it is a problem. And they 789 00:39:21,400 --> 00:39:22,000 Speaker 3: bought your. 790 00:39:21,880 --> 00:39:24,280 Speaker 4: Previous company, cloud Endure. 791 00:39:24,400 --> 00:39:26,240 Speaker 3: So how long have you been fixing this problem? 792 00:39:26,280 --> 00:39:28,799 Speaker 4: How are the ways that the technology is changing to 793 00:39:28,920 --> 00:39:30,880 Speaker 4: ensure that it is less cumbersome going forward? 794 00:39:32,160 --> 00:39:35,200 Speaker 16: So we've seen it. We had a front row seat 795 00:39:35,920 --> 00:39:37,799 Speaker 16: when we're in a previous company in cloud on Door 796 00:39:37,880 --> 00:39:41,600 Speaker 16: and then after being acquired by AWS. In AWS, we 797 00:39:42,040 --> 00:39:46,640 Speaker 16: built the disaster recovery service for enterprises, so we had 798 00:39:46,640 --> 00:39:50,359 Speaker 16: a front row seat seeing very large companies either moving 799 00:39:50,400 --> 00:39:54,279 Speaker 16: to the cloud and starting using that for resilience, and 800 00:39:54,360 --> 00:39:58,480 Speaker 16: apparently they encountered many problems related to how you manage 801 00:39:58,480 --> 00:40:01,279 Speaker 16: your data, how you govern that, and then how you 802 00:40:01,560 --> 00:40:05,320 Speaker 16: make sure that it's it's safe and that you can access. 803 00:40:04,920 --> 00:40:05,799 Speaker 8: It when you need it. 804 00:40:06,560 --> 00:40:08,600 Speaker 16: So we've seen it for the last I'm doing it 805 00:40:08,880 --> 00:40:12,200 Speaker 16: for the last eleven years and my partner's doing it 806 00:40:12,200 --> 00:40:16,120 Speaker 16: for even more time than that. And when we left AWS, 807 00:40:16,160 --> 00:40:19,480 Speaker 16: it was very vivid that the time is now because 808 00:40:19,960 --> 00:40:22,520 Speaker 16: when enterperse move to the cloud, they form these new 809 00:40:22,600 --> 00:40:27,759 Speaker 16: organizations cloud cloud infrastructure, cloud operations. These are organizations responsible 810 00:40:27,880 --> 00:40:32,680 Speaker 16: for all cloud resilience across the organization, twenty percent of 811 00:40:32,760 --> 00:40:35,960 Speaker 16: cloud spend, which is tens of billions of dollars annually. 812 00:40:36,719 --> 00:40:41,600 Speaker 16: But simply it doesn't work. The same technology and the 813 00:40:41,640 --> 00:40:45,560 Speaker 16: same architecture which worked on premise, it simply doesn't work 814 00:40:45,560 --> 00:40:47,440 Speaker 16: in the cloud. It's like trying to take a square 815 00:40:47,440 --> 00:40:50,480 Speaker 16: peg and fit it into a round hole. And we 816 00:40:50,640 --> 00:40:54,560 Speaker 16: are here to fix it in two ways. One, we 817 00:40:54,640 --> 00:40:57,160 Speaker 16: want to make sure we are able to manage all 818 00:40:57,200 --> 00:41:01,920 Speaker 16: the data for the entire organization, help classify everything, understand 819 00:41:02,160 --> 00:41:05,560 Speaker 16: what's important to back up, what's not to witch retention policy, 820 00:41:06,120 --> 00:41:09,440 Speaker 16: and then we're making it very easy to actually access 821 00:41:09,440 --> 00:41:12,680 Speaker 16: it when you need it. For example, compliance audits, both 822 00:41:12,760 --> 00:41:14,880 Speaker 16: internal and external compliance audits. 823 00:41:15,440 --> 00:41:16,560 Speaker 8: Let's say that you're. 824 00:41:16,400 --> 00:41:19,239 Speaker 16: An insurance company and you want to access your data 825 00:41:19,239 --> 00:41:22,640 Speaker 16: from three years back. Who knows if you have backup? 826 00:41:22,760 --> 00:41:24,719 Speaker 16: And if you do, how long will it take you 827 00:41:24,920 --> 00:41:27,960 Speaker 16: to get the data today? It could take days or 828 00:41:28,040 --> 00:41:33,120 Speaker 16: even weeks. Companies are missing compliance audits really bad. 829 00:41:33,320 --> 00:41:35,839 Speaker 3: So you're the fix for the It sounds like you've 830 00:41:35,840 --> 00:41:37,160 Speaker 3: built the offering. 831 00:41:37,400 --> 00:41:39,880 Speaker 4: So when you're going through your fourth round of funding, 832 00:41:39,920 --> 00:41:41,040 Speaker 4: why do you need the funds? 833 00:41:41,040 --> 00:41:42,520 Speaker 3: What is it you're going to be spending it on. 834 00:41:43,760 --> 00:41:47,920 Speaker 16: So we found out that as this category category emerges 835 00:41:48,200 --> 00:41:53,160 Speaker 16: and there are very big problems that customers are having, 836 00:41:53,719 --> 00:41:56,080 Speaker 16: we want to make sure that we have everything we 837 00:41:56,120 --> 00:41:59,000 Speaker 16: need in order to support it and solve that quickly, 838 00:41:59,600 --> 00:42:03,160 Speaker 16: and in the enterprise level, because the budget that huge, 839 00:42:03,320 --> 00:42:07,239 Speaker 16: The pain is enormous, and frankly, today what's going on 840 00:42:07,320 --> 00:42:10,399 Speaker 16: is a mess, and we need enough funding to make 841 00:42:10,440 --> 00:42:14,360 Speaker 16: sure that We're building a comprehensive solution fit for the enterprise, 842 00:42:14,920 --> 00:42:18,239 Speaker 16: so that we are well positioned to solve that for 843 00:42:18,280 --> 00:42:20,880 Speaker 16: every company, big or small. 844 00:42:21,440 --> 00:42:22,840 Speaker 3: Engineers marketing sales. 845 00:42:22,840 --> 00:42:25,320 Speaker 4: I'm sure you'll be bringing on a fair few e 846 00:42:25,440 --> 00:42:27,919 Speaker 4: on CEO, A fair Alex. Thank you for your time 847 00:42:28,200 --> 00:42:30,800 Speaker 4: over in Israel today. Meanwhile, that does it the sedition 848 00:42:30,840 --> 00:42:31,880 Speaker 4: of Bloomberg Technology. 849 00:42:32,280 --> 00:42:33,760 Speaker 3: Don't forget to check out the podcast. 850 00:42:34,080 --> 00:42:36,400 Speaker 4: You'll find it on the terminal as well as online 851 00:42:36,440 --> 00:42:37,440 Speaker 4: on Apple and Spotify. 852 00:42:37,520 --> 00:42:39,160 Speaker 3: On iHeart from New 853 00:42:39,200 --> 00:42:48,320 Speaker 4: York, this is Bloomberg Technology.