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Speaker 1: Happy Sunday, guys, what's up?

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Speaker 2: Welcome into another episode of the Daily Juice podcast will

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Speaker 2: be Matt Perolt. How are you on this Sunday? This

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Speaker 1: All right, I can't shake this U one in one,

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Speaker 1: one in one, two and two.

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Speaker 2: Now, if you bet the parlay for the UFC that hit,

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Speaker 2: the hockey bet did not hit, so basically that was

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Speaker 2: flat flat in the day, down point two. So we

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Speaker 2: were down point one, down point one, down point two.

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Speaker 2: I mean, these are paper cuts, but it's just when

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Speaker 2: we're trying to win back what has been happening this week,

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Speaker 2: it's been somewhat of a frustration. So coldstreak continues. If

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Speaker 2: you want to fade these plays, I do not blame

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Speaker 2: you whatsoever, because it's just been one of those months.

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Speaker 2: I just can't pick a I can't have a winning day.

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Speaker 2: I haven't had a winning day of the Jews for

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Speaker 2: almost a week. I think maybe it's last Monday. I

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Speaker 2: don't know, it's been a while, so, I mean, it's

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Speaker 2: been so long, I can't remember the last time we

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Speaker 2: had a winning day here.

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Speaker 1: So do what you want with the picks.

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Speaker 2: We got basketball right, we got the.

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Speaker 1: The Lions right.

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Speaker 2: Lions was easy, way off on the college football bet

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Speaker 2: and way off on the other under. I mean, my gosh,

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Speaker 2: it was trending perfectly for the first game to the under.

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Speaker 2: That would have been great, and then nope, and then

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Speaker 2: the Colts beat the Steelers, so are over eight and

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Speaker 2: a half winds total bet is now seriously in jeopardy

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Speaker 2: for Pittsburgh. It's why didn't bet that game. I was like,

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Speaker 2: you know what, let's just stay away from the Colts

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Speaker 2: game because if the Steelers lose, this is gonna get

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Speaker 2: bad here. They got to, you know, at least win

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Speaker 2: one more game and then that let us bet against

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Speaker 2: it in the final game of the regular season. We

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Speaker 2: can bet against it and get out of the bet.

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Speaker 2: So like, that's what I'll do. But they got to

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Speaker 2: win one more game to get there, and I'm not

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Speaker 2: so sure they're gonna win one more game with three

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Speaker 2: games remaining, so Steelers were yikes. So that's why I

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Speaker 2: stayed away from that. One game at home and two

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Speaker 2: on the road for Pittsburgh, by the way, that is

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Speaker 2: not good. And then oh, Ucla, just I can't believe

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Speaker 2: how much they scored on Boise.

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Speaker 1: That was stunning.

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Speaker 2: They had seven points, and all of a sudden, like

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Speaker 2: a snap of a finger, they had twenty eight. It

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Speaker 2: was like, what the heck happened to Boise's defense? And

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Speaker 2: Ucla couldn't score on anybody this year, and all of

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Speaker 2: a sudden they start scoring. This is why bowl games.

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Speaker 2: I'm not going to be heavily invested in bowl games.

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Speaker 1: I'm just not.

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Speaker 2: They're complete crapshoots. You have no idea what the motivation is.

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Speaker 2: You have no idea what the t as for a

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Speaker 2: portal is done to a locker room. You have no

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Speaker 2: idea what kids are coming in and what kids are

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Speaker 2: going out. It's just it's a complete, unpredictable, brutal, brutal

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Speaker 2: thing to bet. And I'm not going to bet heavily

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Speaker 2: on the balls. I'm just not so that wash. And

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Speaker 2: one to start in the bowl season, I don't know

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Speaker 2: if I'll bet. I mean, maybe there'd be a couple

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Speaker 2: of Bowl games I'll bet on, but not many. I'll

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Speaker 2: stick with regular season stuff and things that are more predictable,

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Speaker 2: like the NBA, which is crazy to say, but we'll

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Speaker 2: do that. Okay, So we have the live stream today.

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Speaker 2: It's going on at noon Eastern time on the Betting

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Speaker 2: Pros YouTube channel. It's myself and Pat fitz Morris. This week,

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Speaker 2: we'll give you our pixer thoughts and plays for the week.

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Speaker 2: We'll go over the plays. I'll give you the Wong

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Speaker 2: teaser which missed last week, but my personal teaser hit.

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Speaker 2: I'll give you that here in just one second. Got

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Speaker 2: a couple other plays and I'll explain to you guys

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Speaker 2: here in a second. I got a little money line

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Speaker 2: in parlay if you want to throw it together, because

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Speaker 2: I'll be betting it because it's just kind of like

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Speaker 2: a fade on some of what people are saying.

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Speaker 1: So we'll jump on that a little bit.

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Speaker 2: And then we will go into a Sunday and we

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Speaker 2: will hope to have a decent Sunday to close out

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Speaker 2: the week, and it would need a sweep. I would

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Speaker 2: need to go five and oh or win five units.

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Speaker 2: I need to win all four prop bets and all

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Speaker 2: four bets to go five and out to I think

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Speaker 2: even have Yeah, I think that would be that would

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Speaker 2: make it a winning week.

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Speaker 1: If I swept it, I have a winning week.

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Speaker 2: But the likely to me going five and oh today

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Speaker 2: given the week I've had, is quite unlikely.

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Speaker 1: But let's let's get into it. Okay.

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Speaker 2: So the first game is the Buccaneers at the Packers.

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Speaker 2: Now we have an under six and a half bet

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Speaker 2: on the Bucks. All right, this is both a bet

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Speaker 2: that I think is worth placing, but it's also a

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Speaker 2: hedge on that play, that one unit bet that we

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Speaker 2: have down on the Buccaneers to go under six and

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Speaker 2: a half wins. The best case scenario here would be

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Speaker 2: that the Buccaneers would lose three and then the six

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Speaker 2: and a half stays alive. We can get hedge off

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Speaker 2: it again next week and we cover the three and

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Speaker 2: a half. But let's say they win the game. The

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Speaker 2: three and a half then covers the one unit we're

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Speaker 2: gonna lose here on the under six and a half

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Speaker 2: wins for the Bucks. So that's the principle, that's the

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Speaker 2: reasoning for the bet. If it was three I wouldn't

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Speaker 2: make this bet three and a half. I'm making this play, Okay.

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Speaker 2: The Bucks have played well on the road, okay, Tampa

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Speaker 2: Bay Ats this season on the road, they're six and

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Speaker 2: one against the number. Now Green Bay's four and two

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Speaker 2: at home. Okay, but it looks like v to Bay

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Speaker 2: is gonna play, which is huge for that Tampa Bay defense.

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Speaker 2: Tampa is six and one on the road, they're eight

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Speaker 2: and five ats overall. This is the second game in

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Speaker 2: a row on the road for Tampa. So I don't

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Speaker 2: love this, Okay. Normally this will be a bet against,

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Speaker 2: not a bet on, but because of what's happening with

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Speaker 2: the other side, I'm gonna come in here and I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna go ahead and bet this as both sort of

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Speaker 2: a hedge opportunity, but also if you want to do

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Speaker 2: this as well, you can do this. You could put

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Speaker 2: a half unit down in bet plus one point fifty

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Speaker 2: on the money line for Tampa. You want to really

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Speaker 2: hedge off this and not commit a full unit. Okay,

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Speaker 2: But like I said, I think Tampa's going to cover

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Speaker 2: this number, and I think it's a it's both a

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Speaker 2: bet on and it's a hedge on both.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: Green Bay was on the road last week against the Giants.

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Speaker 2: They lost the game outright as five and a half

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Speaker 2: point favorites. I wasn't in love with the Packers. They

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Speaker 2: looked a little bit banged up, and look they are

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Speaker 2: banged up big time. Okay, their wide receiver corps Watson's

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Speaker 2: not going to play in this game. It's you know,

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Speaker 2: you talk about like just overall injury reports. Yes, Tampa

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Speaker 2: Bay's got a bunch, but Green Bay's got some really

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Speaker 2: big injuries. Christian Watson is doubtful. That is a huge

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Speaker 2: loss for that wide receiver corps. Jaden Reed is probable.

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Speaker 2: He's got an ankle injury here. AJ Dillon is questionable.

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Speaker 2: He's got a broken thumb. That's not good. Aaron Jones

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Speaker 2: is questionable. He's missed the last three games with an

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Speaker 2: MCL spring, so I don't know how that's gonna.

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Speaker 1: Look for him.

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Speaker 2: I mean, this is just just a you know, a

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Speaker 2: banged up Green Bay Packer team in a big, big way.

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Speaker 2: You know, he got a lot of guys on IR

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Speaker 2: and this Bucks team is relatively healthy. Videvea is questionable.

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Speaker 2: He's been upgraded from doubtful to questionable. So that's big.

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Speaker 2: Godwin is probable.

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Speaker 1: In this game.

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Speaker 2: And look, Mike Evans has played really well and Baker

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Speaker 2: Mayfield plays well in the cold. So I'm gonna take

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Speaker 2: Tampa plus three and a half one point one units

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Speaker 2: Bucks plus three and a half up against the Packers

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Speaker 2: here at lambeau Field. Let's see the Green Bay Packers

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Speaker 2: win by three. That'll be perfect. Keep our underbed alive

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Speaker 2: and cover this three and a half point number. Green

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Speaker 2: Bay wins by three hopefully here Tampa Bay plus three

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Speaker 2: and a half for one point one units the other play.

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Speaker 2: And this is not really all that scientific. This is

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Speaker 2: just the Buffalo Bills against the wall in a must

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Speaker 2: win situation up against a Cowboys team that really isn't

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Speaker 2: that good on the road. Cowboys are nine and four ATS,

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Speaker 2: but they're three and three on the road ATS. Buffalo

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Speaker 2: is three and three at home, but they beat the

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Speaker 2: Chiefs in a must win situation on the road. If

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Speaker 2: they lose this game at home, they've literally thrown the

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Speaker 2: entire chance to make the playoffs out the window. Yes, Dallas,

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Speaker 2: it's really good. I'll give you that. Dallas beat Carolina

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Speaker 2: on the road by twenty three points. But Dallas lost

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Speaker 2: to Philadelphia by five on the road. They only beat

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Speaker 2: the Chargers by three. Chargers stink like we know, lost

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Speaker 2: by thirty two on the road to San Francisco, lost

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Speaker 2: by twelve on the road to Arizona. Yes, in the

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Speaker 2: first game of the year. That did blow out the

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Speaker 2: Giants by forty in the first game of the regular season.

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Speaker 2: But this is a really big game for Buffalo. The

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Speaker 2: lines only one and a half. I totally understand that

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Speaker 2: people think that Dallas and Dak Prescott they're gonna go

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Speaker 2: in there and they're gonna make big, big waves and

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Speaker 2: end the Buffalo Bills season. You know, maybe I'm drinking

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Speaker 2: the kool aid. Maybe I'm too far down here. Micah

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Speaker 2: Parsons is probable. He's been sick last week or so,

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Speaker 2: so that's a little bit of a question mark. Brandon

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Speaker 2: Cooks is probable, also being sick. There's been something running

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Speaker 2: through this Dallas Cowboys locker room. You've got some pretty

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Speaker 2: big questionable guys. Dawson Knox is probable with a wrist injury.

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Speaker 2: He's expected to be able to play versus the Cowboys.

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Speaker 2: Dalton Kin and Kaid is also probable dealing with a

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Speaker 2: shoulder injury. He looks like he's gonna be able to go.

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Speaker 2: Micah Hyde is out already been ruled out of this game.

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Speaker 2: That's a big loss for that secondary, for the for

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Speaker 2: the Buffalo Bills. Josh Allen is gonna play. He's got

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Speaker 2: a right shoulder injury, but he's had a right shoulder

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Speaker 2: injury all year long, so that's not all that shocking.

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Speaker 2: But if they can get both tight ends in the game,

200
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Speaker 2: I think they could be big, help move the change

201
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Speaker 2: and pick up first downs. This has to be all

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Speaker 2: Josh Allen, okay, and this defense just has to be

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Speaker 2: able to not get burned with the big play, which

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Speaker 2: is what Dallas has been able to do so consistently

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Speaker 2: with such an explosive offense, in particular at home. But

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Speaker 2: the weather's not gonna be bad. I mean, I wonder

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Speaker 2: about the weather. The weather's not gonna be horrible at all.

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Speaker 2: But Dallas is averaging thirty two points per game. That's

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Speaker 2: number one in the NFL. Buffalo's defense hasn't been bad though,

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Speaker 2: eighteen points a game or so, top five in the NFL.

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Speaker 2: Buffalo's offense is scoring twenty seven points a game. That's

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Speaker 2: you know, nearly that's top six in the NFL. Gotta

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Speaker 2: gotta gotta be able to run the football, okay, gotta

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Speaker 2: be able. You can't be one dimensional. You can't just

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Speaker 2: let Dallas's pass rush get after Josh Allen and hit him.

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Speaker 2: He's gonna throw a pick, all right, you want to

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Speaker 2: Josh Allen throw a pick. It's just rinse and repeat

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Speaker 2: here with this guy when it comes to interceptions. But

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Speaker 2: I think Buffalo will be able to overcome it. Just

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Speaker 2: win the game, all right, one and a half. You

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Speaker 2: can bet money line if you want, if you you know,

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Speaker 2: don't trust them.

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Speaker 1: One and a half.

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Speaker 2: They Matt, you're so cold. Buffalo is gonna win by one. Yep,

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Speaker 2: that's not crazy. I'll lay the one and a half

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Speaker 2: one point one units down. Bills miss one and a

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Speaker 2: half up against the Dallas Cowboys at home here late

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Speaker 2: window four to twenty five East Coast times, start time

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Speaker 2: for Dallas in Buffalo and my own personal teaser. Okay,

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Speaker 2: I think the Jacksonville Jaguars are in a very similar

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Speaker 2: spot here to what the Buffalo Bills are in. They've

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Speaker 2: got a very good team coming in and their backs

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Speaker 2: are against the wall, and they are the Bills are

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Speaker 2: home favorites. Jacksonville is a home dog plus three and

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Speaker 2: a half totals forty one and a half. Jacksonville has

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Speaker 2: to have this. I mean, they've just they've looked so bad.

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Speaker 2: They've been so horrible. They're two and four ats on

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Speaker 2: the two and four ATS this year at home, Ravens

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Speaker 2: are four and two. Ravens are six and three ats

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Speaker 2: against the AFC. Jacksonville six and four. They've lost two

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Speaker 2: games in a row at home to Sincy and at Cleveland.

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Speaker 2: It's been ugly this team for the Ravens have won

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Speaker 2: three games in a row. They lost to Cleveland and

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Speaker 2: then they at home and they beat Cincinnati, they beat

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Speaker 2: the Chargers, they beat the Rams at home. Didn't cover

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Speaker 2: last week as seven a half point favorites. But the

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Speaker 2: injury to starting to mount for the Ravens, Like a

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Speaker 2: lot of injuries are starting to amount for the Ravens,

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Speaker 2: and everyone's banged up at this point. But you got

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Speaker 2: I mean, Kyle Hamilton is probable, he's a Grade one

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Speaker 2: mcl sprain. That's not good for a safety. You got

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Speaker 2: Roclan Smith, the linebacker is probable. He's got a back injury.

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Speaker 2: You don't like that at all. Mark Andrews out of

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Speaker 2: this offense has really changed things a lot, and I

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Speaker 2: stink something going on the road. It's gonna be difficult,

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Speaker 2: but I'm gonna give the Jags nine and a half points. Okay,

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Speaker 2: you want to bet the under in this game, by

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Speaker 2: the way, Sunday et under at forty one and a half.

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Speaker 2: I don't mind it. But if like the under, you

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Speaker 2: shouldn't mind giving the Jaguars nine and a half points.

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Speaker 2: Jags plus nine and a half. And the other side

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Speaker 2: is I'm gonna go to Washington and the La Rams.

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Speaker 2: Washington on the road. What's Washington playing for nothing? Washington

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Speaker 2: on the road, even though they've been pretty good five

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Speaker 2: and two ats on the road. Here, you got a

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Speaker 2: Rams team that, amazingly enough, you know, has been playing

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Speaker 2: solid football. They've covered three straight games for them here Arizona, Cleveland, Baltimore,

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Speaker 2: two on the road, one at home. They're three and three.

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Speaker 2: They've covered the last three, and the Washington Commanders have

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Speaker 2: not covered over their last three, losing by twelve, thirty,

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Speaker 2: five and thirty.

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Speaker 1: They've been getting killed. And this is on the road

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Speaker 1: or at home.

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Speaker 2: Rams six and a half point favorites, we're gonna tease

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Speaker 2: it down to a half a point. Basically Rams money line,

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Speaker 2: Rams win Jaguars plus nine and a half. That is

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Speaker 2: a minus one twenty teaser. That right there, there are

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Speaker 2: the three plays for me officially here today up until

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Speaker 2: our livestream, which I'll give you the wrong teaser in

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Speaker 2: the four player props so again, Bucks plus three and

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Speaker 2: a half in the early window, Bills minus one and

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Speaker 2: a half in the late window. My teaser as Rams

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Speaker 2: minus a half a point combined with the Jags plus

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Speaker 2: nine and a half up against the Ravens at home

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Speaker 2: too home teams teasing it down, teasing it up. Now,

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Speaker 2: there is a bet that I'm gonna make personally that's

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Speaker 2: more or less just like, uh, I'm gonna go against everybody,

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Speaker 2: and everyone's claiming that it's you know, foregone conclusion. It's

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Speaker 2: plus one forty for the Browns and the Saints, a

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Speaker 2: money line, two leg money line parlay. Everyone's on the Giants. Everyone,

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Speaker 2: it's on the Giants. Tommy Cutlet said, yeah, it's for

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Speaker 2: gazy to me, Okay, I ain't seeing it.

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Speaker 1: I'm sorry. I would lay the points, but I don't

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Speaker 1: want it. It's five.

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Speaker 2: It was six. I think the Saints win the game.

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Speaker 2: Giants going down there and winning the game, I don't

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Speaker 2: think so. I don't see it. Saints defense keeps him

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Speaker 2: in the game, Saints money line. And then Cleveland in Chicago.

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Speaker 2: I don't know what I'm missing here. I mean, everyone's

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Speaker 2: on Chicago. Everyone's on Chicago. I'm so cold that I'm like, okay,

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Speaker 2: I'm clearly dead wrong because everyone likes justin fields here.

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Speaker 1: Brown's at home. They don't lose at home. Brown's defense

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Speaker 1: at home. Uh, they don't give up a point, they

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Speaker 1: don't give up points at home.

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Speaker 2: Like it just it doesn't happen Cleveland this year at

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Speaker 2: home they are five and two to the under. This

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Speaker 2: year on the road six and oh to the over.

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Speaker 2: But at home, you don't score on Cleveland. Joe Flacco

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Speaker 2: is playing again. But I mean, it's kind of crazy.

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Speaker 2: Jacksonville last week went over the home team. The home

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Speaker 2: game went over against the Jackevil Jaguarsh thirty one to

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Speaker 2: twenty seven, the win for Cleveland. Two previous games for

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Speaker 2: on the road, both games did go over. Last two

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Speaker 2: for Chicago have gone under on the road against the Vikings,

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Speaker 2: at home against Detroit and under by three and a

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Speaker 2: half in twenty one points. But so like, you know

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Speaker 2: what's scoring in this game? I guess dogging under I guess.

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Speaker 2: But you know, Chicago's four and three ats on the road.

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Speaker 2: Cleveland is six and one ats at home. Now those

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Speaker 2: are just trends. I'll give you that. They beat Jacksonville

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Speaker 2: last week by four lay in two and a half.

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Speaker 2: Now they're laying three. Bears have won two games in

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Speaker 2: a row. They're scoring. I get it, and the Bears

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Speaker 2: are trying to make this miracle run. But so are

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Speaker 2: the Cleveland Browns. I don't get it. I mean, I don't.

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Speaker 2: I just thought. I don't get it. Personally, I don't

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Speaker 2: get it. In the Saints, I mean again, Tommy cutlet's

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Speaker 2: okay going on the road. Saints at home. Their offense

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Speaker 2: has been horrible. They're one in five ats at home.

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Speaker 2: That's awful. But the Giants are two and five on

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Speaker 2: the road. Giants beat the patrin beat Green Bay, beat

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Speaker 2: Washington on the road. But before that, they got killed

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Speaker 2: by Dallas, they got killed by Vegas. They lost to Buffalo,

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Speaker 2: they got killed by Miami, they got killed by San Francisco,

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Speaker 2: they lost to the Arizonazory. They beat the Arizona Cardinals

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Speaker 2: in their first road game. Why are people backing the Giants?

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Speaker 2: I don't understand it. If he wants up an extra

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Speaker 2: Cleveland Saints moneyline parlay, it's plus one forty. I'll be

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Speaker 2: on that because I again, this is just one of

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Speaker 2: those like I don't agree with everybody else, but that's

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Speaker 2: just where I'm doing. Okay, So I will talk to

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Speaker 2: you in a livestream coming up at noon Eastern time

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Speaker 2: on the Betting Pros YouTube channel. Again, Bill's mine one

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Speaker 2: and a half bucks plus three and a half. My

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Speaker 2: teasers rams to half a point in Jaguars up to

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Speaker 2: nine and a half plus nine and a half, fade

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Speaker 2: or follow. Do what you want with those plays. Those

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Speaker 2: are my bets here for Sunday. Mine is Matt PEARLTZ.

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Speaker 2: I'll talk to you guys at noon Eastern on the

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Speaker 2: Betting Pros YouTube channel for more. Every morning, the Dilijuice

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Speaker 2: Podcast was being brought to you by Omaha Steaks dot

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Speaker 2: com