1
00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:04,440
Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast.

2
00:00:04,160 --> 00:00:05,960
Speaker 2: PA all right, here we go.

3
00:00:10,960 --> 00:00:14,720
Speaker 3: Fifteen, twenty, twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five,

4
00:00:14,800 --> 00:00:23,439
Speaker 3: fifty and the kicks Black Cobic Football World Stunners. Oh

5
00:00:23,520 --> 00:00:27,560
Speaker 3: my goodness, please stop over a football. It's the latter

6
00:00:27,680 --> 00:00:32,320
Speaker 3: of turn a tatter on the exode, j the lad

7
00:00:34,200 --> 00:00:35,920
Speaker 3: a table off the fil the night.

8
00:00:39,520 --> 00:00:42,400
Speaker 4: It's not the size of the dog in the fight,

9
00:00:42,760 --> 00:00:48,919
Speaker 4: it's the size of the fight. Get all, what's up

10
00:00:48,920 --> 00:00:51,360
Speaker 4: the generation? Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast

11
00:00:51,400 --> 00:00:54,640
Speaker 4: presented by DraftKings. This is the College Football Bowl Betting

12
00:00:54,720 --> 00:00:58,160
Speaker 4: Preview Park five. I'm stucky and joining me as always

13
00:00:58,200 --> 00:01:01,200
Speaker 4: my fellow BBOC co host Colin will Said, Mike Calabrese,

14
00:01:01,880 --> 00:01:05,760
Speaker 4: and the one and only joshn Aka Duck. Today we

15
00:01:05,840 --> 00:01:09,399
Speaker 4: are going to go through eight bowl games. We have

16
00:01:09,520 --> 00:01:12,920
Speaker 4: the three other College Wall playoff quarter final games Oregon,

17
00:01:12,959 --> 00:01:16,160
Speaker 4: Texas Tech, Alabama, Indiana, Ole, Miss Georgia. We'll start with

18
00:01:16,200 --> 00:01:19,720
Speaker 4: those three. If you missed Part four, we break down

19
00:01:19,760 --> 00:01:22,080
Speaker 4: all the bowl games on December thirtieth and December thirty first,

20
00:01:22,080 --> 00:01:28,160
Speaker 4: including the first College Wall quarterfinal game between Ohio State

21
00:01:28,200 --> 00:01:30,240
Speaker 4: and Miami. So make sure you check that out if

22
00:01:30,280 --> 00:01:32,600
Speaker 4: you haven't, and then we have five other bowl games

23
00:01:32,600 --> 00:01:35,120
Speaker 4: that we'll touch on at the end of the episode. Bryce,

24
00:01:35,200 --> 00:01:41,280
Speaker 4: Texas State, Navy, Cincy, Arizona, SMU, Wake Forest, Mississippi State.

25
00:01:41,319 --> 00:01:43,400
Speaker 4: Maybe there's only there's only seven games we're covering today.

26
00:01:43,840 --> 00:01:45,360
Speaker 4: I thought we had eight, but I might not be

27
00:01:45,400 --> 00:01:47,240
Speaker 4: able to count. Let me double check. So this will

28
00:01:47,280 --> 00:01:51,240
Speaker 4: be all the bowl games from January first, So we

29
00:01:51,240 --> 00:01:54,720
Speaker 4: have the three college football games playoff games and yeah,

30
00:01:54,720 --> 00:01:56,520
Speaker 4: I guess the four on January second, So we only

31
00:01:56,560 --> 00:01:58,680
Speaker 4: have seven. We only have seven bowl games left to cover,

32
00:01:59,240 --> 00:02:04,280
Speaker 4: but it's not the end of our bowl betting preview series.

33
00:02:04,320 --> 00:02:08,280
Speaker 4: We will have Part six, which is we'll break down

34
00:02:08,320 --> 00:02:12,440
Speaker 4: the college football playoffs semi final games in depth, and

35
00:02:12,480 --> 00:02:17,400
Speaker 4: then we will have our final episode, sadly of the season,

36
00:02:18,480 --> 00:02:21,480
Speaker 4: in the not only of bowl previews, but of the

37
00:02:21,639 --> 00:02:24,520
Speaker 4: entire season. We will cover the National Championship, look at

38
00:02:24,520 --> 00:02:26,799
Speaker 4: some player props, right down the game side total, etc.

39
00:02:27,720 --> 00:02:30,480
Speaker 4: And then we will do what we always do at

40
00:02:30,480 --> 00:02:32,960
Speaker 4: the end of the year voicemail Caller of the Year,

41
00:02:33,520 --> 00:02:37,440
Speaker 4: gambling Heisman, and just put a bow on the season.

42
00:02:37,639 --> 00:02:42,320
Speaker 4: Appreciate everyone sticking with us throughout the entire year. Love

43
00:02:42,320 --> 00:02:45,080
Speaker 4: all you guys, if you have a second le a

44
00:02:45,120 --> 00:02:46,920
Speaker 4: five star review, if we won you any money this year.

45
00:02:47,520 --> 00:02:49,720
Speaker 4: Before we do get started, I'll throw to myself for

46
00:02:49,840 --> 00:02:52,480
Speaker 4: a quick word from our sponsored DraftKings. The Big Bets

47
00:02:52,480 --> 00:02:55,920
Speaker 4: on Campus podcast has teamed up with DraftKings sportsbook, where

48
00:02:55,960 --> 00:02:58,960
Speaker 4: new customers can bet five dollars and get two hundred

49
00:02:59,000 --> 00:03:02,360
Speaker 4: dollars back in bonus. That's if your bet wins. Staying

50
00:03:02,400 --> 00:03:04,720
Speaker 4: on the action and use your bonus bets on DraftKings

51
00:03:04,720 --> 00:03:07,359
Speaker 4: sing game parlays for a shot at an even bigger

52
00:03:07,400 --> 00:03:11,600
Speaker 4: payoff to get started. Use promo code BBOC when signing

53
00:03:11,680 --> 00:03:16,760
Speaker 4: up with DraftKings Again, that's promo code BBOC when signing up,

54
00:03:16,880 --> 00:03:19,200
Speaker 4: and that five bucks to get two hundred back in

55
00:03:19,280 --> 00:03:22,640
Speaker 4: bonus bets. If your bet wins, the crown is yours.

56
00:03:23,240 --> 00:03:25,680
Speaker 4: All right, gentlemen, Before we get into these games, we

57
00:03:25,840 --> 00:03:31,400
Speaker 4: had some bowl games this weekend. Man, there's been some

58
00:03:31,440 --> 00:03:36,920
Speaker 4: bad bowl games. I mean Georgia, Southern app State that

59
00:03:37,040 --> 00:03:38,920
Speaker 4: was ugly. I mean napp State probably. I don't know

60
00:03:38,920 --> 00:03:40,760
Speaker 4: how they didn't cover they did. They attended over inside

61
00:03:40,760 --> 00:03:43,920
Speaker 4: of twenty like ten times. Doc, I know you had

62
00:03:43,920 --> 00:03:47,800
Speaker 4: some live that lost on a pick at the goal

63
00:03:47,880 --> 00:03:52,280
Speaker 4: line after a running into the kicker gave them a

64
00:03:52,320 --> 00:03:53,360
Speaker 4: redo on a field goal.

65
00:03:54,720 --> 00:03:58,360
Speaker 5: Yeah, brutal, Just disgusting how that one ended in Honestly,

66
00:03:58,400 --> 00:04:02,280
Speaker 5: a lot of opportunities for app stage to convert drives

67
00:04:02,280 --> 00:04:05,080
Speaker 5: into points. They continued throwing the ball even though they

68
00:04:05,080 --> 00:04:07,840
Speaker 5: were gashing Georgia Southern for nearly seven yards carry and

69
00:04:08,720 --> 00:04:10,680
Speaker 5: you throw four interceptions, you're not going to win a

70
00:04:10,680 --> 00:04:13,840
Speaker 5: game more most oftentimes not even going to cover. So

71
00:04:14,280 --> 00:04:16,240
Speaker 5: was not meant to be. But that one was brutal

72
00:04:16,279 --> 00:04:18,240
Speaker 5: with the running into the kicker, the second retry on

73
00:04:18,279 --> 00:04:19,880
Speaker 5: the field goal, and then they get all the way

74
00:04:19,880 --> 00:04:21,719
Speaker 5: down to the three yard line, can't get it punched in.

75
00:04:22,560 --> 00:04:24,280
Speaker 4: Yeah, I had no idea they were going to play

76
00:04:24,320 --> 00:04:25,800
Speaker 4: that kid a quarterback. He was like a d back

77
00:04:25,880 --> 00:04:29,239
Speaker 4: all year, but he could run. He actually looked decent

78
00:04:29,279 --> 00:04:32,640
Speaker 4: at times. Maybe he's their QB next year. Saturday that

79
00:04:32,680 --> 00:04:36,640
Speaker 4: we had oooh Missouri. Ugly Missouri got Missouri by Virginia

80
00:04:36,680 --> 00:04:38,520
Speaker 4: who held the ball for nearly forty minutes and one

81
00:04:38,640 --> 00:04:42,640
Speaker 4: thirteen to seven. Exciting finish there, but ugly game. Houston

82
00:04:42,839 --> 00:04:47,919
Speaker 4: comes back from down fourteen nothing to get it done Byue.

83
00:04:49,080 --> 00:04:52,160
Speaker 4: Good for you calling you had BYU on now. But man,

84
00:04:52,240 --> 00:04:56,159
Speaker 4: that team runs like gods. I had plus four there

85
00:04:56,200 --> 00:04:59,159
Speaker 4: they needed like two touchdowns, a two point conversion, a

86
00:04:59,200 --> 00:05:02,800
Speaker 4: blocked field goal pick in the end zone. Man, that

87
00:05:02,839 --> 00:05:03,440
Speaker 4: team is lucky.

88
00:05:03,480 --> 00:05:04,960
Speaker 6: You know, let this be a lesson to you for

89
00:05:05,000 --> 00:05:05,520
Speaker 6: next year.

90
00:05:05,640 --> 00:05:08,120
Speaker 2: Just step on the dark side with these fraudulent teams

91
00:05:08,120 --> 00:05:10,760
Speaker 2: like BYU and Virginia. Let it roll and see how

92
00:05:10,800 --> 00:05:12,560
Speaker 2: it feels. It's kind of like taking a hit on

93
00:05:12,680 --> 00:05:14,840
Speaker 2: seventeen at the Black. You know you're not supposed to

94
00:05:14,839 --> 00:05:16,320
Speaker 2: do it as as a book, It's kind of felt

95
00:05:16,320 --> 00:05:17,080
Speaker 2: pretty good this year.

96
00:05:17,200 --> 00:05:20,960
Speaker 4: There's also that kick that kick fumble, like with the

97
00:05:21,400 --> 00:05:23,560
Speaker 4: guy in his foot came in the air and kicked

98
00:05:23,560 --> 00:05:26,280
Speaker 4: the fumble. I mean, give me a break, I will

99
00:05:26,320 --> 00:05:30,800
Speaker 4: say San Diego State, although I would have won all

100
00:05:30,839 --> 00:05:34,200
Speaker 4: of the money if that landed six or seven? And

101
00:05:34,440 --> 00:05:36,520
Speaker 4: how why did Sean Lewis not kick a fuel goal

102
00:05:36,520 --> 00:05:38,080
Speaker 4: with like thirty? I know it wouldn't have helped everyone,

103
00:05:38,080 --> 00:05:41,000
Speaker 4: so I'm happy that it helped everyone, But like, what

104
00:05:41,040 --> 00:05:42,919
Speaker 4: are you gonna do if you scored with no time left?

105
00:05:43,120 --> 00:05:45,679
Speaker 4: So the clock manage was awful, but what a thrilling

106
00:05:45,760 --> 00:05:51,599
Speaker 4: cover stuff that the one twice and then sneak it

107
00:05:51,640 --> 00:05:55,360
Speaker 4: in as basically as time expires to lose by two.

108
00:05:56,080 --> 00:05:58,640
Speaker 4: That was an unbelievable game. Bird a man you out

109
00:05:58,640 --> 00:06:00,400
Speaker 4: by the way, was gonna run for four hundred yards

110
00:06:00,400 --> 00:06:02,719
Speaker 4: if he didn't get hurt. Yeah, he had like sevent

111
00:06:02,839 --> 00:06:05,000
Speaker 4: He had one hundred and seventy carries midway through one

112
00:06:05,040 --> 00:06:08,520
Speaker 4: hundred and seventy yards midway through the second quarter. But

113
00:06:08,640 --> 00:06:12,160
Speaker 4: shout out to San Diego State who never stopped fighting

114
00:06:12,560 --> 00:06:14,960
Speaker 4: in that game, even with a third string quarterback Crumb

115
00:06:15,320 --> 00:06:17,040
Speaker 4: who had to come in. I thought we were toast.

116
00:06:17,080 --> 00:06:20,280
Speaker 2: But people shout out of the four people that were

117
00:06:20,279 --> 00:06:22,039
Speaker 2: tweeting us in the first quarter saying it was the

118
00:06:22,040 --> 00:06:22,800
Speaker 2: worst bet of the year.

119
00:06:22,839 --> 00:06:24,800
Speaker 6: Boy, those tweets got deleted real fast.

120
00:06:25,600 --> 00:06:29,800
Speaker 4: Yeah uh Nardoozi flops again in a bowl. Took a

121
00:06:29,800 --> 00:06:30,400
Speaker 4: ton of money.

122
00:06:30,600 --> 00:06:30,880
Speaker 6: Easy.

123
00:06:30,960 --> 00:06:36,320
Speaker 4: Who wins outright, Penn State Clemson. I never want to

124
00:06:36,520 --> 00:06:38,280
Speaker 4: mention that game again. That was one of the goodest

125
00:06:38,320 --> 00:06:41,200
Speaker 4: games I've ever watched, and an army gets it done

126
00:06:41,200 --> 00:06:45,280
Speaker 4: against the yukon fourth string. Skyler Bell says, I'm playing.

127
00:06:45,279 --> 00:06:46,840
Speaker 4: I'm going to convince everyone to play. He plays one

128
00:06:46,880 --> 00:06:49,320
Speaker 4: series and says peace. Kim Parry did the same for

129
00:06:49,440 --> 00:06:51,920
Speaker 4: miam Ohio, who was They lost their tackle, They were

130
00:06:51,920 --> 00:06:54,359
Speaker 4: without a tackle, they had kicked their guards out to tackles.

131
00:06:54,360 --> 00:06:57,640
Speaker 4: It was disaster. I felt bad for Snoop Snoop Dogg

132
00:06:57,640 --> 00:06:59,760
Speaker 4: on the CW broadcast kept wanting things to happen in

133
00:06:59,760 --> 00:07:02,839
Speaker 4: that game. A very fitting end of the CW broadcast

134
00:07:02,839 --> 00:07:05,120
Speaker 4: schedule with an eighteen to three game.

135
00:07:05,839 --> 00:07:08,159
Speaker 2: How many NIL contracts are being rewritten where you have

136
00:07:08,200 --> 00:07:08,760
Speaker 2: to play more.

137
00:07:08,600 --> 00:07:09,159
Speaker 6: Than a series?

138
00:07:10,120 --> 00:07:12,480
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean that's that frustrates me, Like, if you're

139
00:07:12,480 --> 00:07:16,520
Speaker 4: gonna play play like we I'm just gonna show. I'm

140
00:07:16,520 --> 00:07:18,360
Speaker 4: gonna say I'm gonna play and you just play one

141
00:07:18,440 --> 00:07:22,440
Speaker 4: series and get out of here with that stuff. Shout

142
00:07:22,440 --> 00:07:24,720
Speaker 4: to BYU and Georgia Tech. Most of those guys played.

143
00:07:26,320 --> 00:07:28,800
Speaker 4: Looking at these, I mean we have Coastal LA Tech

144
00:07:29,480 --> 00:07:33,440
Speaker 4: a lot of opt outs there. USC TCU littered with

145
00:07:33,480 --> 00:07:36,000
Speaker 4: opt outs. We broke these games down on part four. Tennessee,

146
00:07:36,040 --> 00:07:40,760
Speaker 4: Illinois littered with opt outs. Iowa Andy Bowl Game of

147
00:07:40,800 --> 00:07:44,600
Speaker 4: the Year. Looks like everyone's gonna play except Stours the

148
00:07:44,640 --> 00:07:48,400
Speaker 4: stud tight end Matthew Ward winner. I love that. Iowa there, Colin,

149
00:07:48,480 --> 00:07:51,040
Speaker 4: I know you agree with me. There, Arizona State duke

150
00:07:51,160 --> 00:07:55,080
Speaker 4: littered with opt outs, Michigan Texas love Michigan seven or above.

151
00:07:55,120 --> 00:07:57,320
Speaker 4: I talked about this last podcast. My favorite that of

152
00:07:57,920 --> 00:08:00,760
Speaker 4: part four that we's gonna keep Michigan. Their base of

153
00:08:00,800 --> 00:08:02,920
Speaker 4: the whole team is going to play. Texas is has

154
00:08:03,000 --> 00:08:06,120
Speaker 4: like a JV defense Nebraska Utah. I mean you have

155
00:08:06,160 --> 00:08:11,640
Speaker 4: a coaching littered with opt outs. So then we broke

156
00:08:11,680 --> 00:08:13,200
Speaker 4: down my house in a part four. Let's get a

157
00:08:13,200 --> 00:08:15,800
Speaker 4: part five. We'll start with the college football playoff quarter

158
00:08:15,800 --> 00:08:20,760
Speaker 4: finals on Thursday, January first, starting with the Orange Bowl,

159
00:08:20,800 --> 00:08:24,640
Speaker 4: which we'll kick at noon Eastern on ESPN between Oregon

160
00:08:25,080 --> 00:08:29,560
Speaker 4: and Texas Tech. Oregon is a two and a half

161
00:08:29,600 --> 00:08:35,440
Speaker 4: point favorite. Here total is at draftings down to fifty

162
00:08:35,520 --> 00:08:37,800
Speaker 4: one and a half. You can still find fifty two

163
00:08:37,800 --> 00:08:39,319
Speaker 4: to fifty two and a half out there if you search.

164
00:08:40,880 --> 00:08:43,480
Speaker 4: I'll make Doc. I know that you're on the same

165
00:08:43,559 --> 00:08:46,640
Speaker 4: page with me. What do you want to do? You

166
00:08:46,640 --> 00:08:48,320
Speaker 4: want to take the first half under the game under

167
00:08:48,360 --> 00:08:49,040
Speaker 4: what do you? What can you?

168
00:08:49,280 --> 00:08:49,319
Speaker 1: What?

169
00:08:49,360 --> 00:08:50,640
Speaker 4: Do you want to build a case where I'll build

170
00:08:50,679 --> 00:08:52,600
Speaker 4: a case for the other and build off of you.

171
00:08:53,960 --> 00:08:55,640
Speaker 5: Well, I mean, I think we can really trust this

172
00:08:55,720 --> 00:08:59,000
Speaker 5: Texas Tech defense, which has shown up nasty week after

173
00:08:59,080 --> 00:09:02,400
Speaker 5: week after week, to just be present and do the

174
00:09:02,440 --> 00:09:04,600
Speaker 5: right things like they have all year. Thirty nine sacks,

175
00:09:04,720 --> 00:09:08,120
Speaker 5: ninety six tackles from behind the line of scrimmage first nationally,

176
00:09:08,160 --> 00:09:11,400
Speaker 5: and yards per rush given up third and overall defensive

177
00:09:11,440 --> 00:09:14,240
Speaker 5: success rate. These guys do not allow methodical drives. They

178
00:09:14,240 --> 00:09:17,480
Speaker 5: don't allow a ton of explosivity. Nothing easy in the

179
00:09:17,520 --> 00:09:20,600
Speaker 5: red zone either. Eighteen red zone scores but only thirteen

180
00:09:20,800 --> 00:09:23,440
Speaker 5: touchdowns given up all season in the red zone. I

181
00:09:23,440 --> 00:09:25,920
Speaker 5: would also expect Oregon's defense to show up on this

182
00:09:25,920 --> 00:09:28,559
Speaker 5: one as well. These guys have been feisty all season,

183
00:09:28,640 --> 00:09:31,440
Speaker 5: and they've played really well in big games. Think of

184
00:09:31,440 --> 00:09:34,160
Speaker 5: the Penn State game, which was a major under trend

185
00:09:34,200 --> 00:09:38,240
Speaker 5: before hitting them multiple overtimes, Iowa, Washington. You know, honestly,

186
00:09:38,280 --> 00:09:42,960
Speaker 5: even Indiana just had three explosive plays on these guys.

187
00:09:43,000 --> 00:09:46,360
Speaker 5: So I would anticipate both defenses can handle the speed well.

188
00:09:46,840 --> 00:09:49,560
Speaker 5: From the imposing offenses, I think we'll see sound assignment

189
00:09:49,559 --> 00:09:52,559
Speaker 5: football played here. Both these two teams should be really

190
00:09:52,559 --> 00:09:53,640
Speaker 5: well prepared.

191
00:09:53,240 --> 00:09:53,800
Speaker 4: For this one.

192
00:09:54,600 --> 00:09:56,599
Speaker 5: If you look at Oregon in the red zone offensively

193
00:09:56,679 --> 00:09:59,079
Speaker 5: a little bit left to be desired here forty six

194
00:09:59,160 --> 00:10:01,440
Speaker 5: scores out of fifty three red zone trips, but only

195
00:10:01,480 --> 00:10:05,200
Speaker 5: thirty six touchdowns. It's far from elite. They've been very good,

196
00:10:05,200 --> 00:10:07,360
Speaker 5: but not necessarily elite. And now you got a line

197
00:10:07,400 --> 00:10:09,800
Speaker 5: up against this Texas Tech defense to try to get

198
00:10:09,800 --> 00:10:11,360
Speaker 5: into the red zone, and then once you do, they

199
00:10:11,360 --> 00:10:13,760
Speaker 5: make it just absolute hell on you. So could see

200
00:10:13,760 --> 00:10:15,560
Speaker 5: some field goals kicked in this one, which you keep

201
00:10:15,559 --> 00:10:17,959
Speaker 5: the scoring a little bit low. I think I think

202
00:10:18,000 --> 00:10:19,720
Speaker 5: we're good either way. I like the first half under.

203
00:10:19,760 --> 00:10:21,199
Speaker 5: I like the full game under fifty two and a

204
00:10:21,240 --> 00:10:23,839
Speaker 5: half key number fifty one and a half still okay.

205
00:10:24,080 --> 00:10:26,719
Speaker 4: Above twenty four. In the first half obviously it was

206
00:10:26,720 --> 00:10:28,560
Speaker 4: what you want to hunt there, which is out there. Now,

207
00:10:29,320 --> 00:10:33,000
Speaker 4: I agree with you. I will be on both. I've

208
00:10:33,000 --> 00:10:35,040
Speaker 4: already hit the full game under. We'll be adding first

209
00:10:35,080 --> 00:10:38,679
Speaker 4: half under here. I mean, I do trust the Texas

210
00:10:38,720 --> 00:10:40,640
Speaker 4: Tech even the one question I was like their corners.

211
00:10:40,760 --> 00:10:43,880
Speaker 4: They haven't really faced any like many elite elite receivers

212
00:10:44,360 --> 00:10:46,520
Speaker 4: in Big twelve play like they faced Jordan Tyson who

213
00:10:46,720 --> 00:10:48,320
Speaker 4: had like he went off. I think he had ten

214
00:10:48,360 --> 00:10:51,960
Speaker 4: catches for one hundred yards. But I mean, you I

215
00:10:52,040 --> 00:10:54,600
Speaker 4: trust this defense. They can get pressure. Their third down

216
00:10:54,640 --> 00:10:58,720
Speaker 4: defense is excellent, their linebackers, their defensive line is like

217
00:10:58,720 --> 00:11:01,520
Speaker 4: a top three team in the country defensive line. I mean,

218
00:11:01,559 --> 00:11:03,720
Speaker 4: this is not your typical Big twelve defense.

219
00:11:04,200 --> 00:11:06,640
Speaker 6: The best money can buy, yes, the.

220
00:11:06,960 --> 00:11:10,480
Speaker 4: Best the money can buy. And I mean the one

221
00:11:10,520 --> 00:11:12,480
Speaker 4: thing that I don't like about it is that, you know,

222
00:11:13,000 --> 00:11:17,720
Speaker 4: Texas Tech does play with tempo. However, I'm not sure

223
00:11:17,760 --> 00:11:19,480
Speaker 4: that they're going to play you know, maybe they'd slow

224
00:11:19,480 --> 00:11:22,000
Speaker 4: it down a bit here right, especially early on trying

225
00:11:22,000 --> 00:11:24,120
Speaker 4: to fill out this game, so I could see them

226
00:11:24,120 --> 00:11:27,800
Speaker 4: playing a little bit slower you want to run on Oregon.

227
00:11:27,800 --> 00:11:31,560
Speaker 4: But the Texas Tech rushing offense isn't great on a

228
00:11:31,600 --> 00:11:36,160
Speaker 4: down to down basis, especially And Morten's not one hundred percent.

229
00:11:37,440 --> 00:11:39,400
Speaker 4: I mean, he said he was at seventy percent for

230
00:11:39,440 --> 00:11:42,400
Speaker 4: the BYU game. He said he's at like eighty eighty

231
00:11:42,440 --> 00:11:45,520
Speaker 4: five percent now, so he's a not at one hundred percent.

232
00:11:45,679 --> 00:11:48,440
Speaker 4: And this is not a true air raid offense, but

233
00:11:48,480 --> 00:11:51,280
Speaker 4: it has air raid principles which are based on timing.

234
00:11:51,720 --> 00:11:54,520
Speaker 4: And we've seen these leech offenses in the past whenever

235
00:11:54,559 --> 00:11:58,680
Speaker 4: there's a long break. They usually have a rough start,

236
00:11:58,760 --> 00:12:00,920
Speaker 4: right and it's out of rhythm, are out of timing,

237
00:12:01,440 --> 00:12:04,360
Speaker 4: and this is the first I mean, Texas Tech hasn't

238
00:12:04,360 --> 00:12:08,920
Speaker 4: faced the top ten offense, excuse me, a top ten

239
00:12:08,960 --> 00:12:12,440
Speaker 4: defense all year. You could order, you could argue that

240
00:12:12,520 --> 00:12:18,199
Speaker 4: BYU in Utah or Borderline. But even in those games,

241
00:12:18,679 --> 00:12:21,480
Speaker 4: let's see the score at the half against you. They

242
00:12:21,480 --> 00:12:25,360
Speaker 4: played ut Yu three times combined ten three, thirteen to nothing,

243
00:12:25,720 --> 00:12:28,960
Speaker 4: thirteen to seven. Those are also the best offenses they faced,

244
00:12:29,240 --> 00:12:33,680
Speaker 4: and they completely shut down BYU both times and Utah.

245
00:12:34,040 --> 00:12:40,199
Speaker 4: So yeah, I think and this Oregon offense, look, everyone's

246
00:12:40,240 --> 00:12:41,880
Speaker 4: going to be like, oh, look at they did the JMU,

247
00:12:42,480 --> 00:12:48,319
Speaker 4: but when they played like real p for elite defenses,

248
00:12:48,760 --> 00:12:51,920
Speaker 4: it looked pretty pedestrian. I mean, look at what Penn

249
00:12:51,960 --> 00:12:55,760
Speaker 4: State did to them, what Indiana did to them, Iowa.

250
00:12:56,880 --> 00:12:59,120
Speaker 4: So they didn't score more than ten points in any

251
00:12:59,160 --> 00:13:01,800
Speaker 4: of those first tests, even against Wisconsin, who had a

252
00:13:01,840 --> 00:13:04,240
Speaker 4: really good defense. I know there was some weather mixed

253
00:13:04,240 --> 00:13:08,680
Speaker 4: in there, but yeah, I think this is an under

254
00:13:08,720 --> 00:13:12,000
Speaker 4: type of game. So I'm going low as well. Calbres,

255
00:13:12,040 --> 00:13:12,680
Speaker 4: you're on board.

256
00:13:13,400 --> 00:13:15,800
Speaker 1: I'm one hundred percent on board, and I mean you

257
00:13:15,840 --> 00:13:17,160
Speaker 1: guys basically covered every step.

258
00:13:17,200 --> 00:13:18,640
Speaker 4: But I'd like to also throw in.

259
00:13:18,720 --> 00:13:21,760
Speaker 1: When it comes to the Texas Tech offense, finishing drives

260
00:13:21,840 --> 00:13:24,720
Speaker 1: ninety seventh in touchdown rate in the red zone, and

261
00:13:24,720 --> 00:13:28,120
Speaker 1: that's really the only big mark against this Oregon defense.

262
00:13:28,240 --> 00:13:30,840
Speaker 1: They haven't been great at preventing touchdowns once teams get

263
00:13:30,840 --> 00:13:33,000
Speaker 1: inside of their twenty. But I think that's the difference

264
00:13:33,080 --> 00:13:35,720
Speaker 1: year between this game, even flirting with the over, it's

265
00:13:35,720 --> 00:13:38,120
Speaker 1: the fact that they've really struggled, and when you have

266
00:13:38,160 --> 00:13:40,200
Speaker 1: a sample size as big as an entire year, they

267
00:13:40,280 --> 00:13:42,240
Speaker 1: never truly got it figured out. And in a lot

268
00:13:42,280 --> 00:13:44,640
Speaker 1: of cases they weren't playing against great defenses in the

269
00:13:44,640 --> 00:13:45,240
Speaker 1: Big twelve.

270
00:13:45,360 --> 00:13:47,480
Speaker 4: The other pea is not great, and then it's like

271
00:13:47,520 --> 00:13:49,880
Speaker 4: an air raid type offense, which those they tend to

272
00:13:49,920 --> 00:13:51,880
Speaker 4: struggle in red and red zone.

273
00:13:52,160 --> 00:13:52,400
Speaker 6: Yeah.

274
00:13:52,440 --> 00:13:54,440
Speaker 1: No, absolutely, And if you want to get in on

275
00:13:54,480 --> 00:13:57,080
Speaker 1: a live under as well, consider this Texas tex defensive

276
00:13:57,120 --> 00:14:01,120
Speaker 1: coordinator shield Wood has made countless as at halftime and

277
00:14:01,120 --> 00:14:03,439
Speaker 1: the Red Raiders have shut teams down in the second half,

278
00:14:03,559 --> 00:14:05,720
Speaker 1: just allowing six points six points per game in the

279
00:14:05,720 --> 00:14:09,360
Speaker 1: final thirty minutes, which was six best in FBS.

280
00:14:09,080 --> 00:14:09,880
Speaker 4: Football this year.

281
00:14:10,400 --> 00:14:12,240
Speaker 1: Red Raiders I mean, I understand that it was a

282
00:14:12,280 --> 00:14:14,520
Speaker 1: limited sample size. You mentioned those games against the teams

283
00:14:14,559 --> 00:14:16,680
Speaker 1: from the state of Utah. Those were the three mashups

284
00:14:16,720 --> 00:14:19,680
Speaker 1: against top twenty five offenses. They held those opponents to

285
00:14:19,680 --> 00:14:22,320
Speaker 1: eight points per game. So really, I think this is

286
00:14:22,440 --> 00:14:25,400
Speaker 1: kind of the recency bias of Oregon getting whatever they

287
00:14:25,440 --> 00:14:29,160
Speaker 1: wanted against James Madison. People are higher on Dante Moore.

288
00:14:29,200 --> 00:14:31,120
Speaker 1: I think a lot of casual money comes in during

289
00:14:31,120 --> 00:14:32,120
Speaker 1: the college football playoff.

290
00:14:32,120 --> 00:14:33,240
Speaker 4: They look at mock.

291
00:14:33,080 --> 00:14:35,080
Speaker 1: Draft, So Dante Moore is going in the top ten

292
00:14:35,480 --> 00:14:37,720
Speaker 1: against good defenses. I thought he was just a jag,

293
00:14:37,880 --> 00:14:39,560
Speaker 1: just another guy. So I think that's going to be

294
00:14:39,600 --> 00:14:41,960
Speaker 1: the situation here against Texas Tech. I think that's going

295
00:14:42,000 --> 00:14:43,360
Speaker 1: to be a rock fight. I think there's going to

296
00:14:43,400 --> 00:14:45,520
Speaker 1: be some nerves as well on the Texas Tech side

297
00:14:45,600 --> 00:14:48,080
Speaker 1: early in the first quarter. So any kind of way

298
00:14:48,080 --> 00:14:50,040
Speaker 1: that you want to build some unders first quarter, first half,

299
00:14:50,040 --> 00:14:51,280
Speaker 1: full game, I think that's the way to go.

300
00:14:51,600 --> 00:14:53,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, Colin, you like a side here you're rolling with.

301
00:14:54,360 --> 00:14:57,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna roll with Oregon. I think if you

302
00:14:57,280 --> 00:14:59,520
Speaker 2: can get a money line minus one thirty one, thirty

303
00:14:59,520 --> 00:15:01,600
Speaker 2: five high as I would go, You're not gonna see

304
00:15:01,600 --> 00:15:03,120
Speaker 2: me put it into the app because I already have

305
00:15:03,120 --> 00:15:04,960
Speaker 2: an eighteen to one future on Oregon and I'm just

306
00:15:04,960 --> 00:15:06,920
Speaker 2: gonna let it roll through this game without any kind

307
00:15:06,920 --> 00:15:07,800
Speaker 2: of hedge whatsoever.

308
00:15:08,480 --> 00:15:09,720
Speaker 6: You're going to get a more.

309
00:15:09,760 --> 00:15:11,560
Speaker 2: And to back you guys up with what you're saying,

310
00:15:11,560 --> 00:15:13,760
Speaker 2: You're gonna get a more spirited effort out of the

311
00:15:13,800 --> 00:15:17,200
Speaker 2: Oregon defense. And the reasons because tosh Lapoy came out

312
00:15:17,240 --> 00:15:19,560
Speaker 2: and changed the structure of the defense and wanted it

313
00:15:19,600 --> 00:15:22,240
Speaker 2: to resemble what Ohio State did last year in the playoff.

314
00:15:22,520 --> 00:15:25,600
Speaker 2: Presumably they needed a roamer like Caleb Downs was last year,

315
00:15:25,640 --> 00:15:28,800
Speaker 2: and they picked Dylandiana in to be that last Well,

316
00:15:29,040 --> 00:15:31,440
Speaker 2: it was terrible against James Madison. Twenty eight points were

317
00:15:31,480 --> 00:15:34,440
Speaker 2: allowed in the second half. Tosh Lapoy comes out and says,

318
00:15:34,560 --> 00:15:36,560
Speaker 2: I'm kind of happy with those results because it should

319
00:15:36,560 --> 00:15:36,840
Speaker 2: have us.

320
00:15:36,800 --> 00:15:37,960
Speaker 6: Fired up for the quarterfinal.

321
00:15:38,000 --> 00:15:40,960
Speaker 2: I expect much better against the Texas Tech offense when

322
00:15:41,000 --> 00:15:43,360
Speaker 2: we get to the quarterfinals. He had no problems with

323
00:15:43,400 --> 00:15:46,840
Speaker 2: how sloppy the defense was against James Madison. Terrible in

324
00:15:46,880 --> 00:15:50,080
Speaker 2: red zone D. I mean, I think the big narrative

325
00:15:50,120 --> 00:15:51,640
Speaker 2: around Oregon is that they're not good in.

326
00:15:51,600 --> 00:15:53,880
Speaker 6: Red zone d and they're not good in defensive finishing drives.

327
00:15:53,920 --> 00:15:56,600
Speaker 2: But there's only been thirty attempts this year against that

328
00:15:56,720 --> 00:15:58,800
Speaker 2: defense in the red zone and that is the ninth

329
00:15:58,840 --> 00:16:01,720
Speaker 2: lowest rate. It's really hard to say that Organ's terrible

330
00:16:01,720 --> 00:16:03,280
Speaker 2: in the red zone. There just really hasn't been a

331
00:16:03,320 --> 00:16:04,920
Speaker 2: lot of data points. They have allowed twenty one to

332
00:16:04,960 --> 00:16:08,480
Speaker 2: thirty scores, so we'll see how that works out. But

333
00:16:08,520 --> 00:16:10,800
Speaker 2: there's just a lot of little things that point to

334
00:16:10,920 --> 00:16:14,920
Speaker 2: Organ winning this game. There's special teams, there's penalties, there's

335
00:16:14,960 --> 00:16:17,400
Speaker 2: all kinds of things that fall in favor of Orgon here.

336
00:16:17,440 --> 00:16:19,360
Speaker 2: But more importantly, I just don't like the Texas Tech

337
00:16:19,400 --> 00:16:23,440
Speaker 2: offensive line that's required Cameron Dicky and Jacoby Williams to

338
00:16:23,440 --> 00:16:25,640
Speaker 2: create all the highlight yards this year. They are terrible

339
00:16:25,640 --> 00:16:27,920
Speaker 2: in line yards ninety six, which means they're running backs

340
00:16:28,320 --> 00:16:29,480
Speaker 2: have to do all of the work.

341
00:16:29,680 --> 00:16:31,640
Speaker 4: And that's how you kind of want to attack Oregon.

342
00:16:31,720 --> 00:16:33,200
Speaker 4: I think like the best way is you want to

343
00:16:33,200 --> 00:16:35,400
Speaker 4: have a good offensive line that can get a push

344
00:16:35,440 --> 00:16:36,280
Speaker 4: and run on them.

345
00:16:36,480 --> 00:16:37,040
Speaker 6: Yeah. Yeah.

346
00:16:37,160 --> 00:16:38,960
Speaker 2: And the other problem with them is not just the

347
00:16:38,960 --> 00:16:40,680
Speaker 2: fact that the offensive line has not been able to

348
00:16:40,720 --> 00:16:43,360
Speaker 2: control trenches at all this year. But it's also the

349
00:16:43,400 --> 00:16:45,840
Speaker 2: fact that they have Texas Tech has stunk in the

350
00:16:45,880 --> 00:16:47,920
Speaker 2: red zone and Joey McGuire called for it at the

351
00:16:48,000 --> 00:16:49,840
Speaker 2: end of the season the Big Twelve play and all

352
00:16:49,880 --> 00:16:51,560
Speaker 2: of a sudden, they scored in like every red zone

353
00:16:51,560 --> 00:16:53,880
Speaker 2: attempt through their final two games. But what happening against

354
00:16:53,920 --> 00:16:56,760
Speaker 2: BYU in the Big Twelve championship game. Five trips to

355
00:16:56,800 --> 00:16:59,480
Speaker 2: the red zone and one touchdown, Like if they play

356
00:17:00,240 --> 00:17:03,080
Speaker 2: decent enough competition, I mean, BYU add a decent defense,

357
00:17:03,160 --> 00:17:05,440
Speaker 2: not like Oregon, they just haven't been able to score

358
00:17:05,440 --> 00:17:07,640
Speaker 2: in the red zone whatsoever. So you know Orgon only

359
00:17:07,640 --> 00:17:11,639
Speaker 2: allows two point three red zone trips per game. Texas

360
00:17:11,680 --> 00:17:14,320
Speaker 2: Tech's outside the top twenty five and creating methodical drives.

361
00:17:14,359 --> 00:17:16,760
Speaker 2: You're not gonna have explosives, You're not gonna create methodicals.

362
00:17:16,800 --> 00:17:19,840
Speaker 2: I just I don't see a way the Texas Tech

363
00:17:19,880 --> 00:17:21,480
Speaker 2: is gonna put up a whole lot of points here

364
00:17:21,520 --> 00:17:24,520
Speaker 2: and then, like I said, you get to what Oregon

365
00:17:24,840 --> 00:17:27,439
Speaker 2: wants to do best, which is get to their guys.

366
00:17:27,480 --> 00:17:29,800
Speaker 2: And as we're recording this, we're thirty minutes away from

367
00:17:29,800 --> 00:17:31,760
Speaker 2: the availability report coming out, so we'll see what Decorig

368
00:17:31,840 --> 00:17:34,920
Speaker 2: Moore is. But you know, I think what they want,

369
00:17:34,920 --> 00:17:36,960
Speaker 2: what Oregan wants to do on offense is just go short,

370
00:17:37,040 --> 00:17:39,760
Speaker 2: get away from that defensive line, go to the flats,

371
00:17:39,920 --> 00:17:42,600
Speaker 2: hit him in the flair slants, avoid the defensive line

372
00:17:42,640 --> 00:17:44,920
Speaker 2: at all costs, and kind of dance out in space

373
00:17:44,960 --> 00:17:46,720
Speaker 2: because that's where you can take advantage of. A Texas

374
00:17:46,760 --> 00:17:50,639
Speaker 2: Tech defense is thirty second in broken tackles and broken

375
00:17:50,640 --> 00:17:53,880
Speaker 2: tackles allowed. That number is different for Organ They're top

376
00:17:53,920 --> 00:17:56,320
Speaker 2: five in the nation. So I don't expect these highlight

377
00:17:56,440 --> 00:17:59,080
Speaker 2: yards that we're getting out of Williams and Dickey to

378
00:17:59,119 --> 00:18:01,600
Speaker 2: happen against Organ as to where I think some Organs

379
00:18:01,600 --> 00:18:05,160
Speaker 2: playmakers are gonna be able to create space, create space

380
00:18:05,359 --> 00:18:08,240
Speaker 2: in space. What am I trying to say? Create explosives

381
00:18:08,240 --> 00:18:11,200
Speaker 2: of space and added to me is the biggest thing.

382
00:18:11,200 --> 00:18:14,720
Speaker 2: But anyways, Yeah, tackling middle eight penalties special teams. From

383
00:18:14,720 --> 00:18:17,040
Speaker 2: a data standpoint, they all fall on the Organ side.

384
00:18:17,040 --> 00:18:19,639
Speaker 2: It's kind of like death by a thousand little paper

385
00:18:19,640 --> 00:18:21,440
Speaker 2: cuts here that I think Oregon beats Texas Tech.

386
00:18:22,560 --> 00:18:24,280
Speaker 4: Yeah, And then going back to the under I do

387
00:18:24,359 --> 00:18:28,399
Speaker 4: think that the Texas Tech defense, like the pace of

388
00:18:28,480 --> 00:18:31,080
Speaker 4: Tech Tech, is usually fast, but big games, you could

389
00:18:31,080 --> 00:18:33,639
Speaker 4: see that decrease a little bit. But Oregon's not fast,

390
00:18:34,280 --> 00:18:37,520
Speaker 4: uh so that when they have the ball and they're

391
00:18:37,560 --> 00:18:40,720
Speaker 4: like more methodical slower, that'll help. But if you haven't

392
00:18:40,720 --> 00:18:43,680
Speaker 4: watched Texas Tech play and you're not familiar with you know,

393
00:18:44,119 --> 00:18:48,840
Speaker 4: Lee Hunter and Bailey, these guys can get after the quarterback.

394
00:18:48,840 --> 00:18:51,240
Speaker 4: I think they'll have some negative plays on their downs

395
00:18:51,240 --> 00:18:53,120
Speaker 4: to kill drives, which will help the under.

396
00:18:53,000 --> 00:18:56,159
Speaker 2: If that doesn't whet your appetite, you watch them the

397
00:18:56,280 --> 00:18:57,080
Speaker 2: wrong channel.

398
00:18:57,560 --> 00:18:59,680
Speaker 4: All right, let's move on to the second College wall

399
00:18:59,680 --> 00:19:04,720
Speaker 4: cloff order final game between Alabama and Indiana. Indiana out

400
00:19:04,760 --> 00:19:10,120
Speaker 4: to seven ish point favorite, been moving around a bit

401
00:19:10,200 --> 00:19:13,240
Speaker 4: over the past week, total forty eight and a half.

402
00:19:13,920 --> 00:19:17,560
Speaker 4: This is the Rose Bowl in Pasadena. Game will kick

403
00:19:17,560 --> 00:19:21,000
Speaker 4: at four pm Eastern on ESPN Big News Here. Rain

404
00:19:21,960 --> 00:19:23,919
Speaker 4: could be lots of vrain. We could even see some

405
00:19:24,040 --> 00:19:27,920
Speaker 4: like lightning and thunder. We could have delays the Rose Ball.

406
00:19:27,960 --> 00:19:29,960
Speaker 4: That's very rare, especially for this time of the year.

407
00:19:31,119 --> 00:19:33,679
Speaker 4: My numbers say this is Indiana all the way. I mean,

408
00:19:33,680 --> 00:19:37,080
Speaker 4: I think that this line should be similar to where

409
00:19:37,119 --> 00:19:40,760
Speaker 4: Ohio State Miami is. But I think the name recognition

410
00:19:40,800 --> 00:19:43,639
Speaker 4: of Alabama, I mean Alabama I I think Alabama is

411
00:19:43,720 --> 00:19:45,719
Speaker 4: maybe a fringe top ten team. I mean, look at

412
00:19:45,720 --> 00:19:48,760
Speaker 4: their body of work. They get lucky again against Oklahoma,

413
00:19:48,920 --> 00:19:51,679
Speaker 4: they are lucky against Auburn, lucky against South Carolina. I mean,

414
00:19:51,680 --> 00:19:53,720
Speaker 4: I gonna go on and on. This team can't run

415
00:19:53,760 --> 00:19:56,840
Speaker 4: the ball. I think their defense is a tad overrated.

416
00:19:58,280 --> 00:20:01,440
Speaker 4: There's just there's many holes in this team. Indiana, it's

417
00:20:01,480 --> 00:20:04,639
Speaker 4: been the number two power aided team for most of

418
00:20:04,680 --> 00:20:08,440
Speaker 4: the year. Them or Notre Dame behind Ohio State. This

419
00:20:08,480 --> 00:20:12,320
Speaker 4: is a complete team with an elite staff that I

420
00:20:12,400 --> 00:20:16,040
Speaker 4: think will have a elite game plan here. The loss

421
00:20:16,040 --> 00:20:18,400
Speaker 4: of Daily is like the Indiana that what you really

422
00:20:18,440 --> 00:20:20,280
Speaker 4: worry about. It is like the depth that they're high

423
00:20:20,280 --> 00:20:22,640
Speaker 4: in positions. What is that worth? But Evans it looks

424
00:20:22,640 --> 00:20:25,720
Speaker 4: like he's a full go a receiver. That's big. So

425
00:20:25,880 --> 00:20:28,359
Speaker 4: my number is call for Indiana here. I will be

426
00:20:28,359 --> 00:20:32,439
Speaker 4: on the Hoosiers in some fashion. And don't forget Albama

427
00:20:32,480 --> 00:20:34,840
Speaker 4: got extremely lucky against Oklahoma even though they were a

428
00:20:34,920 --> 00:20:37,640
Speaker 4: huge mismatch on special teams. Alabama special teams are bad

429
00:20:37,680 --> 00:20:41,120
Speaker 4: as well. You just can't be this one dimensional team.

430
00:20:41,160 --> 00:20:43,840
Speaker 4: I think against Indiana, who has extra time prepared and

431
00:20:43,920 --> 00:20:46,760
Speaker 4: expect to have success. So yeah, I mean, I mean,

432
00:20:46,800 --> 00:20:48,760
Speaker 4: I'll have a look. They have a lot of talent.

433
00:20:48,920 --> 00:20:52,560
Speaker 4: Maybe you can hit some past explosives. And Indiana is

434
00:20:52,600 --> 00:20:54,720
Speaker 4: not used to being in this role, like a big

435
00:20:54,760 --> 00:20:56,840
Speaker 4: favor in the College Wall playoff. But I think this

436
00:20:56,840 --> 00:21:01,000
Speaker 4: team is different. I think the Hoosiers get it done. Colin,

437
00:21:01,080 --> 00:21:02,720
Speaker 4: you agree you liked Indiana as well.

438
00:21:03,040 --> 00:21:05,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, probably my most comfortable bet. I think I've made

439
00:21:05,880 --> 00:21:08,159
Speaker 2: so far as Indiana to cover the number here. I

440
00:21:08,160 --> 00:21:10,360
Speaker 2: don't think the number is outrageous. It's just that Alabama

441
00:21:10,440 --> 00:21:12,440
Speaker 2: is one dimensional. You're gonna take a one dimensional team

442
00:21:12,480 --> 00:21:13,800
Speaker 2: and go in and try to face Signetti.

443
00:21:13,880 --> 00:21:15,480
Speaker 6: I mean, he can shut you down.

444
00:21:15,320 --> 00:21:18,760
Speaker 2: In multiple different ways, and you're taking one certain area

445
00:21:18,760 --> 00:21:21,240
Speaker 2: in your offense to try and go and beat Kurt Signetty.

446
00:21:21,240 --> 00:21:21,640
Speaker 6: Good luck.

447
00:21:21,840 --> 00:21:25,760
Speaker 2: Oklahoma stuffed seventeen of twenty one Alabama rushing attempts. That's

448
00:21:26,080 --> 00:21:28,359
Speaker 2: not gonna get it done against Indiana. And then you

449
00:21:28,400 --> 00:21:31,480
Speaker 2: look at who they're going to, like Ryan Williams just phantom,

450
00:21:31,520 --> 00:21:34,439
Speaker 2: he's gone right. Jeremy Bernard can't get anything behind the

451
00:21:34,440 --> 00:21:36,720
Speaker 2: line of scribbage. Don't expecting to get it here. Lots

452
00:21:36,760 --> 00:21:39,800
Speaker 2: here Brooks steps up in the absence of these two guys,

453
00:21:39,800 --> 00:21:42,520
Speaker 2: doesn't have a touchdown reception the entire season, gets two

454
00:21:42,960 --> 00:21:45,000
Speaker 2: against Oklahoma, and then all of a sudden, the Alabama

455
00:21:45,000 --> 00:21:47,720
Speaker 2: pass rush is shown up against Oklahoma one hundred and

456
00:21:47,760 --> 00:21:50,479
Speaker 2: twenty seventh on the season per PFF. And then they're

457
00:21:50,520 --> 00:21:52,800
Speaker 2: showing up for fifteen pressures and seven sacks on John

458
00:21:52,840 --> 00:21:54,000
Speaker 2: mattiir But.

459
00:21:54,000 --> 00:21:58,760
Speaker 4: Oklahoma as a pitiful offensive line, Indiana as an elite

460
00:21:58,800 --> 00:22:01,360
Speaker 4: offensive line, So I don't to see much pressure here.

461
00:22:01,400 --> 00:22:03,520
Speaker 2: And I would expect people showing up to the window.

462
00:22:04,000 --> 00:22:07,160
Speaker 2: Are you know, just browsing that game and thinking Alabama's

463
00:22:07,160 --> 00:22:07,880
Speaker 2: defense is back?

464
00:22:07,920 --> 00:22:08,800
Speaker 6: I don't think so.

465
00:22:09,359 --> 00:22:11,440
Speaker 2: And then when you get to the run concepts like Indiana,

466
00:22:11,520 --> 00:22:14,200
Speaker 2: like we've talked about this before, right, it's Roman Hemby

467
00:22:14,200 --> 00:22:17,080
Speaker 2: do an inside zone, it's Kaylin Black doing man gap

468
00:22:17,119 --> 00:22:20,000
Speaker 2: blocking schemes up on the offensive line. What can Alabama

469
00:22:20,040 --> 00:22:22,520
Speaker 2: not defend? They can't defend the zone read at all.

470
00:22:22,600 --> 00:22:23,320
Speaker 6: And then they and.

471
00:22:23,280 --> 00:22:26,360
Speaker 4: Then Doz's underrated mobility don't sit here.

472
00:22:26,640 --> 00:22:29,040
Speaker 2: But the problem with that is is that Indiana is

473
00:22:29,119 --> 00:22:31,000
Speaker 2: number one in the nation and standard downs like you

474
00:22:31,160 --> 00:22:33,240
Speaker 2: just can't knock them off schedule and I don't see

475
00:22:33,280 --> 00:22:35,240
Speaker 2: Alabama knocking them off schedule. I'm not even sure if

476
00:22:35,240 --> 00:22:36,639
Speaker 2: Mendoz is going to be a big part of this

477
00:22:36,720 --> 00:22:38,960
Speaker 2: game because of all this weather that's coming in, this

478
00:22:39,280 --> 00:22:41,560
Speaker 2: massive rain that's coming in that's got me buying like

479
00:22:41,560 --> 00:22:44,040
Speaker 2: a whole bunch of track suits and wet suits for

480
00:22:44,119 --> 00:22:49,200
Speaker 2: California trip. I don't see any way that Alabama is

481
00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:51,800
Speaker 2: able to keep up with with Roman Hemby and Kayln

482
00:22:51,840 --> 00:22:54,880
Speaker 2: Black getting to the second level. More importantly, because Alabama

483
00:22:54,920 --> 00:22:57,359
Speaker 2: is one hundred and thirteenth than broken tackles allowed. So

484
00:22:57,600 --> 00:23:00,520
Speaker 2: it was a good performance against Oklahoma. They should commended

485
00:23:00,560 --> 00:23:03,320
Speaker 2: to that passing offense through ty Simpson arms was I mean,

486
00:23:03,480 --> 00:23:05,359
Speaker 2: despite all the pressures that he had, he was still

487
00:23:05,359 --> 00:23:07,560
Speaker 2: able to complete passes and get enough points up on

488
00:23:07,560 --> 00:23:08,520
Speaker 2: the board to win that game.

489
00:23:09,000 --> 00:23:10,800
Speaker 6: But I mean there's just no way.

490
00:23:10,840 --> 00:23:13,199
Speaker 2: I mean, by the way, Mendoza dominates cover three and

491
00:23:13,240 --> 00:23:16,400
Speaker 2: Cover two, which is what Womack ran primarily against Oklahoma.

492
00:23:16,520 --> 00:23:19,560
Speaker 2: So I mean, this is number one havoc minded defense

493
00:23:19,560 --> 00:23:21,240
Speaker 2: in the nation with the Hoosiers, and you're gonna give

494
00:23:21,280 --> 00:23:24,480
Speaker 2: him a slop fest of a field and rain with

495
00:23:24,560 --> 00:23:27,359
Speaker 2: a rushing attack against Alabama team, they can't run the ball.

496
00:23:27,840 --> 00:23:29,719
Speaker 2: This is probably our most comfortable bet that I've got

497
00:23:29,760 --> 00:23:30,399
Speaker 2: the all the quarterback.

498
00:23:30,440 --> 00:23:32,320
Speaker 4: Yeah, I know when I look at this, I have,

499
00:23:32,560 --> 00:23:34,800
Speaker 4: you know, an elite staff, an extra time to prepare.

500
00:23:34,920 --> 00:23:37,400
Speaker 4: But just on the field, you have two really good

501
00:23:37,400 --> 00:23:41,560
Speaker 4: passing offenses, right, two really good quarterbacks with really good receivers.

502
00:23:42,960 --> 00:23:47,760
Speaker 4: But one of these teams has a rushing attack, one doesn't.

503
00:23:47,960 --> 00:23:49,359
Speaker 4: On the other side of the ball, one of these

504
00:23:49,359 --> 00:23:53,320
Speaker 4: teams has a pass rush, one doesn't. One has a

505
00:23:53,320 --> 00:23:57,000
Speaker 4: great place. Both is Alabam one does. Yeah, special teams

506
00:23:57,160 --> 00:24:00,600
Speaker 4: advantage Indiana. So uh yeah, I think you add up

507
00:24:00,600 --> 00:24:03,760
Speaker 4: all that up, and I think Indiana's the play. Especially

508
00:24:05,400 --> 00:24:07,600
Speaker 4: I wouldn't play over seven, but at seven or below,

509
00:24:07,920 --> 00:24:12,040
Speaker 4: I think the Hoochers are the play. In Calabrese, you agree,

510
00:24:12,800 --> 00:24:13,199
Speaker 4: yam on of.

511
00:24:13,160 --> 00:24:15,000
Speaker 1: The Hoosters here, for much of the week they were

512
00:24:15,080 --> 00:24:17,240
Speaker 1: laying six and a half. And the last time the

513
00:24:17,280 --> 00:24:19,480
Speaker 1: number one team in the country played a team ranked

514
00:24:19,560 --> 00:24:21,879
Speaker 1: ninth or lower or if you know, further back in

515
00:24:21,920 --> 00:24:24,040
Speaker 1: the AP rankings in a bowl game, and they were

516
00:24:24,080 --> 00:24:26,440
Speaker 1: favored by less than the touchdowns and the Sugar Bowl.

517
00:24:26,359 --> 00:24:27,480
Speaker 4: In nineteen sixty two.

518
00:24:27,680 --> 00:24:29,919
Speaker 1: That's how long it's been and I really think that

519
00:24:29,920 --> 00:24:32,400
Speaker 1: it's just a laundry game. I think if you flipped

520
00:24:32,680 --> 00:24:34,959
Speaker 1: you know who was wearing the Alabama you know numbers

521
00:24:34,960 --> 00:24:38,600
Speaker 1: on their helmet and the crimson and flipping it over,

522
00:24:39,040 --> 00:24:41,240
Speaker 1: this would be closer to ten. I think this is

523
00:24:41,320 --> 00:24:44,520
Speaker 1: just the public refusing to budge on Indiana and giving

524
00:24:44,520 --> 00:24:45,199
Speaker 1: them their flowers.

525
00:24:45,240 --> 00:24:47,600
Speaker 4: And by the way, who played in nineteen sixty.

526
00:24:47,320 --> 00:24:51,280
Speaker 1: Two spoiler alert for you Colin. It was Alabama against Arkansas.

527
00:24:51,400 --> 00:24:53,760
Speaker 1: Alabama did cover that game. They won ten to three

528
00:24:54,000 --> 00:24:57,480
Speaker 1: over Frank Royal's. It was Bear Bryant's first national championship.

529
00:24:57,680 --> 00:25:00,600
Speaker 1: I think Signetti's the next superstar coach in this sport.

530
00:25:00,720 --> 00:25:02,640
Speaker 1: I think people are just slow to adapt to it.

531
00:25:02,800 --> 00:25:05,120
Speaker 1: And when you dig into this matchup, all the stats,

532
00:25:05,280 --> 00:25:08,440
Speaker 1: everything just points to the consistency of being elite being on.

533
00:25:08,400 --> 00:25:10,359
Speaker 4: The Indiana side and Alabama.

534
00:25:10,800 --> 00:25:13,439
Speaker 1: Listen, I get to admit this because I had Bama

535
00:25:13,440 --> 00:25:16,120
Speaker 1: against Oklahoma. There's no way they should have won that game.

536
00:25:16,119 --> 00:25:18,639
Speaker 1: They're down seventeen to nothing. Everything that could go wrong

537
00:25:18,840 --> 00:25:21,080
Speaker 1: anyway for Oklahoma to give that game away they did.

538
00:25:21,480 --> 00:25:23,560
Speaker 1: And when you dig into some of the pass rush

539
00:25:23,560 --> 00:25:25,840
Speaker 1: stats as well, Ty Simpson has been under fire, and

540
00:25:25,880 --> 00:25:28,080
Speaker 1: it wasn't just that game. His last three games, he's

541
00:25:28,119 --> 00:25:30,960
Speaker 1: taken ten sacks. He's been pressured on forty one percent

542
00:25:31,000 --> 00:25:33,520
Speaker 1: of his dropbacks. I think that'll be the difference here.

543
00:25:33,760 --> 00:25:36,920
Speaker 1: On a saggy field where maybe scrambling isn't quite as

544
00:25:36,920 --> 00:25:39,720
Speaker 1: easy and people are just coming after this guy. It's

545
00:25:39,760 --> 00:25:41,800
Speaker 1: going to put so much pressure on him to play

546
00:25:41,800 --> 00:25:44,560
Speaker 1: hero ball and to be making these incredible throws in

547
00:25:44,680 --> 00:25:48,120
Speaker 1: rough conditions. Where Indiana can be multiple, they can be balanced.

548
00:25:48,400 --> 00:25:51,080
Speaker 1: I just don't quite understand why this number hasn't moved.

549
00:25:51,119 --> 00:25:53,000
Speaker 1: I know it's inching up at seven seven and a

550
00:25:53,000 --> 00:25:54,720
Speaker 1: half somewhere in the market. I think it's going to

551
00:25:54,800 --> 00:25:56,560
Speaker 1: close closer to eight and a half. I think it

552
00:25:56,560 --> 00:25:58,359
Speaker 1: should have been closer to ten this entire week. I

553
00:25:58,359 --> 00:26:03,200
Speaker 1: think Indiana this is purely a brand mismatch in terms

554
00:26:03,280 --> 00:26:05,159
Speaker 1: of what the public is used to going to the

555
00:26:05,160 --> 00:26:07,520
Speaker 1: window betting on this Alabama team. If they had been

556
00:26:07,600 --> 00:26:09,600
Speaker 1: left out of the playoff altogether, I don't think that

557
00:26:09,640 --> 00:26:11,840
Speaker 1: would have been some shame because the fact of the

558
00:26:11,880 --> 00:26:14,680
Speaker 1: matter is they are not elite in so many ways.

559
00:26:14,680 --> 00:26:16,960
Speaker 1: I really even look at the running game, getting Jan

560
00:26:17,040 --> 00:26:18,639
Speaker 1: miller back. I thought that was going to be a

561
00:26:18,680 --> 00:26:19,920
Speaker 1: bigger deal against Okoma.

562
00:26:20,000 --> 00:26:20,480
Speaker 4: It wasn't.

563
00:26:21,000 --> 00:26:24,600
Speaker 1: I mean, for fifteen straight years from mark Ingram Derrick Henry,

564
00:26:24,760 --> 00:26:27,720
Speaker 1: they'd game breakers all over the place. Josh Jacobs, they're

565
00:26:27,720 --> 00:26:29,800
Speaker 1: one hundred and tenth in terms of being able to

566
00:26:29,800 --> 00:26:32,880
Speaker 1: get rushing explosives going. So I just look at this

567
00:26:33,000 --> 00:26:36,080
Speaker 1: as Alabama. Once they get down by a possession or

568
00:26:36,080 --> 00:26:38,280
Speaker 1: two in this game, and it's all Ty Simpson. I

569
00:26:38,280 --> 00:26:40,000
Speaker 1: think the roof is going to cave in on Bama.

570
00:26:40,080 --> 00:26:42,760
Speaker 1: So I may even flirt with an alternate line or two.

571
00:26:42,800 --> 00:26:45,159
Speaker 1: I think Indiana this is a showcase game for them.

572
00:26:45,600 --> 00:26:49,399
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's twenty twenty five. This game will be in

573
00:26:49,400 --> 00:26:52,440
Speaker 4: twenty twenty six, twenty twenty six. You bet Alabama against

574
00:26:52,440 --> 00:26:56,159
Speaker 4: Indiana and basketball not football nowadays. Duck, you're passing here?

575
00:26:56,200 --> 00:26:57,240
Speaker 4: Do you have anything you want to add?

576
00:26:58,359 --> 00:26:59,960
Speaker 5: I mean, it will be a fun game. And try

577
00:27:00,160 --> 00:27:03,000
Speaker 5: to figure out Alabama has been a season long puzzle.

578
00:27:03,040 --> 00:27:06,560
Speaker 5: You've got so many disparaging losses and poor performances. Florida State,

579
00:27:06,920 --> 00:27:09,240
Speaker 5: they were embarrassed by Georgia and the SEC title game,

580
00:27:09,280 --> 00:27:13,760
Speaker 5: could have lost Auburn, and then they've got several very

581
00:27:13,760 --> 00:27:17,000
Speaker 5: easily could have. Yeah, you know, the problem for Alabama

582
00:27:17,040 --> 00:27:18,840
Speaker 5: is they can't run the football one hundred and twenty

583
00:27:18,840 --> 00:27:21,160
Speaker 5: fifth nationally in yards per rush. Ten times this year

584
00:27:21,160 --> 00:27:23,080
Speaker 5: the rushing output has been one hundred and twenty yards

585
00:27:23,160 --> 00:27:26,560
Speaker 5: or less. And now you're going to task a lot

586
00:27:26,680 --> 00:27:29,560
Speaker 5: of Ty Simpson squaring up against a secondary that's only

587
00:27:29,600 --> 00:27:34,240
Speaker 5: allowed seven touchdown passes this entire season against seventeen interceptions

588
00:27:34,280 --> 00:27:36,640
Speaker 5: for the Hoosiers. But you look at IU and they've

589
00:27:36,640 --> 00:27:39,120
Speaker 5: done it the trenches defensively as well. Thirty nine sacks,

590
00:27:39,160 --> 00:27:42,040
Speaker 5: one hundred and fourteen tackles for loss, just eleven points

591
00:27:42,040 --> 00:27:46,040
Speaker 5: per game given up, just an incredibly buttoned up defensive unit.

592
00:27:46,720 --> 00:27:49,520
Speaker 5: I look at Indiana offensively, they don't make mistakes. Seven

593
00:27:49,600 --> 00:27:51,840
Speaker 5: yards per play over the course of an entire season,

594
00:27:52,200 --> 00:27:55,440
Speaker 5: third in yards per pass, second and overall offensive success rate.

595
00:27:56,040 --> 00:27:59,600
Speaker 5: These guys do protect well. They are as Colin said it,

596
00:27:59,640 --> 00:28:01,920
Speaker 5: they're not behind the sticks hardly at all, and they're

597
00:28:02,000 --> 00:28:04,560
Speaker 5: on schedule. And it's just going to be tricky when

598
00:28:04,560 --> 00:28:07,560
Speaker 5: Alabama is going to be unable to run the ball

599
00:28:07,600 --> 00:28:09,520
Speaker 5: in the second half and you're just going to task

600
00:28:10,200 --> 00:28:13,639
Speaker 5: Simpson with having to do it. The rain is going

601
00:28:13,720 --> 00:28:15,480
Speaker 5: to play a big factor here. So yeah, I have

602
00:28:15,520 --> 00:28:18,080
Speaker 5: no interest in fading Signetti. I'll likely get to the

603
00:28:18,080 --> 00:28:19,920
Speaker 5: window here with Indiana.

604
00:28:19,320 --> 00:28:21,560
Speaker 4: And Douck just India too.

605
00:28:21,960 --> 00:28:25,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, it is the final piece here, you know, Stuck,

606
00:28:25,320 --> 00:28:27,439
Speaker 1: you brought up the receiving core for Alabama. You know,

607
00:28:27,440 --> 00:28:30,600
Speaker 1: if everything's going right, that's obviously a strength with Simpson

608
00:28:30,600 --> 00:28:31,200
Speaker 1: throwing to them.

609
00:28:31,359 --> 00:28:32,400
Speaker 4: You look at the Organ game.

610
00:28:32,480 --> 00:28:34,439
Speaker 1: They held him below two hundred yards and that's what

611
00:28:34,520 --> 00:28:37,159
Speaker 1: to Corey and Moore in the lineup, and then Ohio

612
00:28:37,200 --> 00:28:39,600
Speaker 1: State they held him what twenty seven points below their

613
00:28:39,600 --> 00:28:42,720
Speaker 1: season scoring average, and that receiving corps is absolutely elite

614
00:28:42,800 --> 00:28:43,280
Speaker 1: with one.

615
00:28:43,200 --> 00:28:47,280
Speaker 4: Value everyone playing. Yes, so I'm just looking at.

616
00:28:47,200 --> 00:28:50,000
Speaker 2: This as on a fast track, on a fast track.

617
00:28:50,160 --> 00:28:52,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, so I don't have any concerns with you know,

618
00:28:53,200 --> 00:28:55,600
Speaker 1: this being a situation where they're outclassed in any way,

619
00:28:55,600 --> 00:28:58,400
Speaker 1: shape or form on the perimeter. I think really it's

620
00:28:58,440 --> 00:29:00,160
Speaker 1: just going to be Ty Simpson and his brains in

621
00:29:00,600 --> 00:29:01,680
Speaker 1: the pocket in this one.

622
00:29:02,200 --> 00:29:07,880
Speaker 4: All right, So pretty much consensus on the who who's yours?

623
00:29:08,360 --> 00:29:11,280
Speaker 4: Enjoy that game, Colin, when you head it out there tomorrow,

624
00:29:11,360 --> 00:29:12,120
Speaker 4: fly it out tomorrow.

625
00:29:12,360 --> 00:29:14,480
Speaker 2: I'm gonna get that, gonna do a cosm for those

626
00:29:14,520 --> 00:29:16,560
Speaker 2: of you that have ever heard of that Cosms in Dallas.

627
00:29:16,560 --> 00:29:19,680
Speaker 2: In LA, it's like this full dome experience, and I'm

628
00:29:19,680 --> 00:29:21,840
Speaker 2: gonna go there for Miami of Ohio State, of course

629
00:29:21,960 --> 00:29:25,880
Speaker 2: rooting for Miami against Ohio State, but it's like the

630
00:29:25,920 --> 00:29:27,960
Speaker 2: sphere in Vegas. So if you guys haven't seen Cosm before,

631
00:29:27,960 --> 00:29:29,920
Speaker 2: I'm going to spend the playoff game out there in La.

632
00:29:30,480 --> 00:29:34,040
Speaker 4: Well enjoy. Let's move on to the final College twelve

633
00:29:34,040 --> 00:29:37,040
Speaker 4: cloff quarterfinal game on Thursday, January first. By the way,

634
00:29:37,080 --> 00:29:39,320
Speaker 4: Happy early New Year to everyone listening and to you

635
00:29:39,320 --> 00:29:42,400
Speaker 4: guys as well. Between it's a rematch Ole Miss and

636
00:29:42,480 --> 00:29:48,280
Speaker 4: Georgia in the Sugar Bowl. Georgia is a there's some

637
00:29:48,360 --> 00:29:51,040
Speaker 4: old Miss money that showed up. What are we Let's

638
00:29:51,040 --> 00:29:54,080
Speaker 4: see where we're at right now, just to really a half,

639
00:29:54,440 --> 00:29:57,200
Speaker 4: let's touch Okay, we're at six and a half. Still

640
00:29:57,440 --> 00:30:02,360
Speaker 4: total fifty five and a half. Yeah, rematch from a

641
00:30:02,400 --> 00:30:04,880
Speaker 4: game where Ole Miss jumped out to an early lead,

642
00:30:05,080 --> 00:30:10,200
Speaker 4: Georgia storm back dominated the fourth quarter. Pretty much the

643
00:30:10,240 --> 00:30:15,480
Speaker 4: story of Georgia this year. For large stretches, I don't

644
00:30:15,480 --> 00:30:16,880
Speaker 4: need to spend much time in this game. You guys

645
00:30:16,920 --> 00:30:21,000
Speaker 4: know what I'm doing. I'm waiting for Georgia Live. So

646
00:30:21,640 --> 00:30:24,840
Speaker 4: I think that Ole Miss potentially, you know, this is

647
00:30:24,920 --> 00:30:30,520
Speaker 4: like hey, house money. They're gonna have some new wrinkles early, right,

648
00:30:30,560 --> 00:30:33,440
Speaker 4: They're gonna maybe see some trick plays. I think that

649
00:30:33,480 --> 00:30:35,160
Speaker 4: they could have the Edgura lely On in this game

650
00:30:35,200 --> 00:30:38,680
Speaker 4: in the scripted portion. Don't generally love Georgia in that aspect.

651
00:30:38,720 --> 00:30:42,160
Speaker 4: By the way, Georgia might get coolby jungback here at

652
00:30:42,200 --> 00:30:45,640
Speaker 4: wide receiver who got hurt in the Old Miss game

653
00:30:45,800 --> 00:30:49,800
Speaker 4: the first time they met. So Georgia Live they go down.

654
00:30:50,320 --> 00:30:52,880
Speaker 4: You know, I'll be jumping in there. I've talked about

655
00:30:52,920 --> 00:30:54,560
Speaker 4: it all year now, I had nauseam. I don't need

656
00:30:54,640 --> 00:30:58,760
Speaker 4: to go into much more than that. I'm gonna start here.

657
00:30:58,760 --> 00:31:04,200
Speaker 4: We have I kind of consensus with Breeze and con Breeze.

658
00:31:04,200 --> 00:31:06,960
Speaker 4: I'll let you start. You like the full game over

659
00:31:06,960 --> 00:31:09,400
Speaker 4: fifty five and a half. I do the first meeting

660
00:31:09,480 --> 00:31:10,520
Speaker 4: seventy eight points.

661
00:31:10,600 --> 00:31:13,960
Speaker 1: You know, Ole Miss was on fire offensively, Georgia figured

662
00:31:14,000 --> 00:31:15,640
Speaker 1: them out in the fourth quarter. But this is more

663
00:31:15,760 --> 00:31:17,960
Speaker 1: a Stockton play to me, because I think this can

664
00:31:17,960 --> 00:31:20,600
Speaker 1: be a showcase game for him three thousand total yards,

665
00:31:20,600 --> 00:31:23,960
Speaker 1: thirty one total touchdowns. He clearly showed against the top

666
00:31:24,000 --> 00:31:25,440
Speaker 1: teams that he played this year that he was more

667
00:31:25,440 --> 00:31:27,440
Speaker 1: than a game manager. I think that was kind of

668
00:31:27,440 --> 00:31:30,400
Speaker 1: misguided from the get go in terms of profiling him

669
00:31:30,520 --> 00:31:34,400
Speaker 1: against Old Miss Texas Alabama. Eleven passing touchdowns, two more

670
00:31:34,480 --> 00:31:37,080
Speaker 1: rushing scores. And I bring this up because I just

671
00:31:37,080 --> 00:31:38,880
Speaker 1: think this is such a bad matchup for the ole

672
00:31:38,960 --> 00:31:41,680
Speaker 1: Miss defense because if you can run on the ReBs,

673
00:31:41,920 --> 00:31:44,760
Speaker 1: which Georgia kent with their offensive line, then you can

674
00:31:44,840 --> 00:31:46,640
Speaker 1: be balanced and you can send the pocket all day

675
00:31:46,680 --> 00:31:49,000
Speaker 1: against a non existent pass rush and pick them apart.

676
00:31:49,320 --> 00:31:52,120
Speaker 1: And it's extra important in this game because if you

677
00:31:52,160 --> 00:31:54,480
Speaker 1: can't get to him with four, you have no choice

678
00:31:54,480 --> 00:31:56,560
Speaker 1: but to blitz stocked. And the problem is he is

679
00:31:56,600 --> 00:32:00,400
Speaker 1: the highest adjusted completion percentage in the entire country six

680
00:32:00,440 --> 00:32:04,000
Speaker 1: percent when facing five blitzers or more, seventeen passing touchdowns

681
00:32:04,040 --> 00:32:06,320
Speaker 1: just one interception. On the other side of things, like

682
00:32:06,360 --> 00:32:08,960
Speaker 1: I said, the ole Miss offense had everything rolling for them,

683
00:32:09,000 --> 00:32:11,480
Speaker 1: and I'm a big believer in Trinida and Chambliss. They

684
00:32:11,560 --> 00:32:13,560
Speaker 1: get scored thirty five points and forty minutes on the

685
00:32:13,560 --> 00:32:14,200
Speaker 1: Steorgie defense.

686
00:32:14,200 --> 00:32:15,120
Speaker 4: I've already seen.

687
00:32:14,960 --> 00:32:17,440
Speaker 1: It, and that was all without Lacey even having a game.

688
00:32:17,440 --> 00:32:19,760
Speaker 1: He had what twelve carries for about thirty yards in

689
00:32:19,760 --> 00:32:22,160
Speaker 1: that one. I expect more of him in this one.

690
00:32:22,240 --> 00:32:24,800
Speaker 1: A lot of RPO stuff, maybe some you know, trick

691
00:32:24,840 --> 00:32:28,040
Speaker 1: plays and stuck rightly. So you brought up without laying

692
00:32:28,080 --> 00:32:30,160
Speaker 1: Kiffin on the headset, how aggressive were they going to

693
00:32:30,240 --> 00:32:31,120
Speaker 1: be now, too Lane.

694
00:32:31,120 --> 00:32:32,760
Speaker 4: Obviously they were playing with house money.

695
00:32:32,800 --> 00:32:34,280
Speaker 1: They knew they're gonna win that game. They still went

696
00:32:34,320 --> 00:32:36,400
Speaker 1: four twice on fourth down. They went for a fourth

697
00:32:36,440 --> 00:32:38,720
Speaker 1: down in midfield earlier in that game. So I think

698
00:32:38,720 --> 00:32:40,600
Speaker 1: they're going to continue to be aggressive. It's a part

699
00:32:40,600 --> 00:32:41,360
Speaker 1: of their identity.

700
00:32:41,480 --> 00:32:43,120
Speaker 4: I think that. Voting again some quotes like, yeah, I'm

701
00:32:43,120 --> 00:32:45,680
Speaker 4: a defensive guy, but I'm actually aggressive. I think that.

702
00:32:45,840 --> 00:32:47,400
Speaker 4: And then now in the underdog role, I think that

703
00:32:47,400 --> 00:32:48,720
Speaker 4: they'll be aggressive on fourth downs.

704
00:32:48,760 --> 00:32:52,440
Speaker 1: Here it's probably gonna take twenty four to twenty eight

705
00:32:52,440 --> 00:32:55,000
Speaker 1: points from mole Miss at minimum. I think with Shambliss

706
00:32:55,160 --> 00:32:58,680
Speaker 1: that's always a possibility to get there, particularly if they're

707
00:32:58,680 --> 00:33:01,360
Speaker 1: playing far from behind in the fourth quarter and Georgia

708
00:33:01,560 --> 00:33:03,800
Speaker 1: doesn't want to put anything exotic on tape just kind

709
00:33:03,840 --> 00:33:04,920
Speaker 1: of place Manilla coverage.

710
00:33:05,040 --> 00:33:06,680
Speaker 4: Fifty five and a half is fine. I'd plays up

711
00:33:06,680 --> 00:33:10,440
Speaker 4: to fifty eight. Yeah, I would say with a big

712
00:33:10,520 --> 00:33:14,840
Speaker 4: game rematch, maybe some more under money show, well I

713
00:33:14,840 --> 00:33:16,960
Speaker 4: would watch them. It's fifty five such a key, like

714
00:33:18,080 --> 00:33:19,920
Speaker 4: just wondor to see where that's going to see if

715
00:33:19,920 --> 00:33:21,520
Speaker 4: you can never get a fifty five O We shop

716
00:33:21,520 --> 00:33:23,840
Speaker 4: around as always, Calm, you're kind of on the same page,

717
00:33:23,840 --> 00:33:26,240
Speaker 4: but you're looking just on the Georgia side of things.

718
00:33:26,320 --> 00:33:27,480
Speaker 4: You like their team total over.

719
00:33:28,040 --> 00:33:31,000
Speaker 2: At some point ole Miss is going to run out

720
00:33:31,040 --> 00:33:33,840
Speaker 2: of gas and at some point Georgia is gonna find

721
00:33:34,080 --> 00:33:36,680
Speaker 2: their next gear. And when you look at that game

722
00:33:36,680 --> 00:33:39,600
Speaker 2: script from week eight, it was five straight possessions to

723
00:33:39,600 --> 00:33:42,200
Speaker 2: start the game for ole Miss with a touchdown. Then

724
00:33:42,240 --> 00:33:45,120
Speaker 2: they got beaten to a pulp in the fourth quarter,

725
00:33:45,240 --> 00:33:47,240
Speaker 2: lost seventeen to zero and didn't do anything at the

726
00:33:47,320 --> 00:33:50,680
Speaker 2: end of the game. That was with Lane Kiffin making adjustments. Well,

727
00:33:50,680 --> 00:33:52,280
Speaker 2: he's not there to make adjustments. And I'm not sure

728
00:33:52,360 --> 00:33:55,640
Speaker 2: Charlie Wise Junior could get him to five possessions in

729
00:33:55,680 --> 00:33:57,920
Speaker 2: five touchdowns, maybe two or three in a row to

730
00:33:57,920 --> 00:34:01,600
Speaker 2: start the game. And I have a lot of faith

731
00:34:01,600 --> 00:34:04,400
Speaker 2: in Pee Goulding being this defensive mastermind to be able

732
00:34:04,440 --> 00:34:07,240
Speaker 2: to stop Georgia a second time around. So at some

733
00:34:07,320 --> 00:34:10,040
Speaker 2: point I think Georgia just starts piling on and piling

734
00:34:10,040 --> 00:34:13,319
Speaker 2: on and piling on, and I don't think.

735
00:34:13,360 --> 00:34:14,560
Speaker 6: I think this is going to be a different story

736
00:34:14,600 --> 00:34:14,880
Speaker 6: than what it was.

737
00:34:14,920 --> 00:34:16,680
Speaker 2: But I'm gonna stick on the offensive side just because

738
00:34:16,719 --> 00:34:19,520
Speaker 2: the numbers have been so bad for defensively versus what

739
00:34:19,600 --> 00:34:22,920
Speaker 2: Georgia does on the ground. Like Calibery said, this season,

740
00:34:23,120 --> 00:34:26,000
Speaker 2: you know, Ole Miss has just completely struggled in so

741
00:34:26,080 --> 00:34:29,560
Speaker 2: many ways of defending certain types of run concepts.

742
00:34:29,239 --> 00:34:30,640
Speaker 6: Specifically what George does.

743
00:34:31,000 --> 00:34:35,000
Speaker 2: But more importantly, like Georgia is insanely good in the

744
00:34:35,040 --> 00:34:38,359
Speaker 2: red zone specifically on the ground. You know, they're gunner

745
00:34:38,400 --> 00:34:40,879
Speaker 2: stocked in Nate Frasier combination. The inside zone. They run

746
00:34:40,880 --> 00:34:43,200
Speaker 2: with eleven and twelve personnel. This is not going to

747
00:34:43,239 --> 00:34:45,680
Speaker 2: get shut down against atle Miss fifty eight percent success

748
00:34:45,760 --> 00:34:48,280
Speaker 2: rate no matter how you slice it. You know, light box,

749
00:34:48,320 --> 00:34:53,120
Speaker 2: heavy box, George has been unstoppable. Of forty red zone attempts,

750
00:34:53,120 --> 00:34:54,520
Speaker 2: thirty five of them have been touchdowns.

751
00:34:54,920 --> 00:34:57,839
Speaker 6: Five of binfield goals. That ole Miss defense is going

752
00:34:57,880 --> 00:34:58,680
Speaker 6: to struggle.

753
00:34:58,760 --> 00:35:00,719
Speaker 2: And you know what, if Trinidad and Keywan want to

754
00:35:00,760 --> 00:35:03,600
Speaker 2: put quick scores up on the board, didn't want to

755
00:35:03,600 --> 00:35:05,680
Speaker 2: come out and run trick plays, that's fine. Give the

756
00:35:05,680 --> 00:35:07,200
Speaker 2: ball back to Georgia because I'm gonna take a team

757
00:35:07,239 --> 00:35:10,359
Speaker 2: total over. I don't think Kirby stops here. And I'm

758
00:35:10,360 --> 00:35:12,879
Speaker 2: really kind of sitting back watching this Georgia defense. I mean,

759
00:35:12,920 --> 00:35:14,920
Speaker 2: has anybody scored over ten points on them in like

760
00:35:14,960 --> 00:35:17,279
Speaker 2: six weeks? By the way, all of a sudden, now

761
00:35:17,280 --> 00:35:19,200
Speaker 2: they're sacking better than anybody in the nation.

762
00:35:19,520 --> 00:35:22,319
Speaker 6: Like I will need a thermometer here.

763
00:35:22,560 --> 00:35:25,000
Speaker 2: How do I need to wipe away all these Georgia

764
00:35:25,080 --> 00:35:26,080
Speaker 2: year long stats?

765
00:35:26,400 --> 00:35:27,000
Speaker 6: Put it down.

766
00:35:27,120 --> 00:35:28,839
Speaker 2: Say they don't have a pass is what we've said

767
00:35:28,880 --> 00:35:30,600
Speaker 2: all year, But all of a sudden they do. I

768
00:35:30,640 --> 00:35:33,960
Speaker 2: think Alabama's was an anomaly because Oklahoma's offensive line was terrible.

769
00:35:34,000 --> 00:35:38,160
Speaker 2: I think Georgia might actually legitimately be completely changed, which

770
00:35:38,200 --> 00:35:39,680
Speaker 2: is why I think they should be the national title

771
00:35:39,680 --> 00:35:42,240
Speaker 2: favorites right now. But I want to take the temperature

772
00:35:42,239 --> 00:35:43,759
Speaker 2: of the defense. At the same time, I think this

773
00:35:44,000 --> 00:35:46,319
Speaker 2: rush offense is not going to be stopped. I think

774
00:35:46,400 --> 00:35:49,000
Speaker 2: Kirby piles it on offensively, so over thirty and a

775
00:35:49,000 --> 00:35:49,680
Speaker 2: half team total.

776
00:35:50,440 --> 00:35:52,640
Speaker 4: I will say also because I kind of wanted to

777
00:35:52,640 --> 00:35:54,920
Speaker 4: bet Georgia here, but I'm pretty close to the number

778
00:35:56,320 --> 00:35:59,160
Speaker 4: Georgia does for my money. It's the best special teams

779
00:35:59,160 --> 00:36:03,520
Speaker 4: overall special teams the country too. It's worth noting I

780
00:36:03,680 --> 00:36:07,080
Speaker 4: just can't get the Georgia Tech game out of my

781
00:36:07,160 --> 00:36:11,960
Speaker 4: head because I don't know what happened. How did they

782
00:36:12,040 --> 00:36:14,320
Speaker 4: just not score and they weren't able to do anything.

783
00:36:14,760 --> 00:36:17,720
Speaker 4: I've seen some theories like Georgia Tech knew the plays

784
00:36:17,800 --> 00:36:20,160
Speaker 4: and like knew what was coming, which makes sense when

785
00:36:20,200 --> 00:36:24,239
Speaker 4: I was watching it, But I like, everyone scores on

786
00:36:24,239 --> 00:36:26,000
Speaker 4: Georgia Tech and moves the ball and they couldn't. This

787
00:36:26,160 --> 00:36:28,280
Speaker 4: was just like a couple of weeks ago, they couldn't

788
00:36:29,480 --> 00:36:33,439
Speaker 4: that game. I think about that at night, like what

789
00:36:33,200 --> 00:36:35,280
Speaker 4: what what happened there? I didn't think there was any

790
00:36:35,320 --> 00:36:39,760
Speaker 4: possibility where the Georgia Tech defense shut down Georgia's offense

791
00:36:39,800 --> 00:36:40,680
Speaker 4: on a fast track.

792
00:36:41,600 --> 00:36:45,040
Speaker 6: So it's always a bad spot though it's awfully but.

793
00:36:45,000 --> 00:36:47,640
Speaker 4: They still score. They don't like it wasn't that game.

794
00:36:47,719 --> 00:36:55,239
Speaker 4: Georgia Tech's defense is awful anyway, duck not no play here,

795
00:36:55,280 --> 00:36:58,400
Speaker 4: but you wouldn't be shocked if America's team will Miss

796
00:36:58,719 --> 00:36:59,680
Speaker 4: hangs around.

797
00:37:00,520 --> 00:37:01,640
Speaker 6: Well, we'll see.

798
00:37:01,680 --> 00:37:03,879
Speaker 5: I mean nothing really would surprise me here. It's hard

799
00:37:03,880 --> 00:37:05,759
Speaker 5: to beat a team twice and now we'll Miss did

800
00:37:05,800 --> 00:37:08,120
Speaker 5: have him on the ropes in the first meeting, but

801
00:37:08,280 --> 00:37:10,040
Speaker 5: you know what, you got the Dogs that have the

802
00:37:10,040 --> 00:37:12,879
Speaker 5: rest advantage. I'm sure Kirby and his defensive bunch will

803
00:37:12,880 --> 00:37:14,799
Speaker 5: be prepared and locked in for what these guys are

804
00:37:14,800 --> 00:37:16,760
Speaker 5: going to see, having seen it once before.

805
00:37:17,280 --> 00:37:19,279
Speaker 4: And Colin see what this new some of the step

806
00:37:19,320 --> 00:37:23,160
Speaker 4: what this new staff did against Tulane right, a lot.

807
00:37:22,920 --> 00:37:25,279
Speaker 5: Of that with the film advantage, Ole Miss had to

808
00:37:25,280 --> 00:37:29,280
Speaker 5: play a game with that, and Georgia has that to prepare.

809
00:37:30,080 --> 00:37:32,200
Speaker 5: And I mean George is peaking at the right time.

810
00:37:32,239 --> 00:37:34,480
Speaker 5: Their last four opponents have been held to ten points

811
00:37:34,520 --> 00:37:37,840
Speaker 5: or less, and I the question would be the season

812
00:37:37,880 --> 00:37:40,040
Speaker 5: long question is will the Dogs be able to rattle

813
00:37:40,080 --> 00:37:42,960
Speaker 5: Trinidad Chamberliss and get him off of his mark, get.

814
00:37:42,800 --> 00:37:43,600
Speaker 6: Pressure on him.

815
00:37:44,280 --> 00:37:46,520
Speaker 5: The season long stats are not great, but the last

816
00:37:46,600 --> 00:37:49,120
Speaker 5: four or five weeks it has really ramped up for

817
00:37:49,160 --> 00:37:52,520
Speaker 5: Georgia defensively, third down, red zone. Over the last month,

818
00:37:52,600 --> 00:37:56,680
Speaker 5: it has been nasty for Georgia defensively, So I think about,

819
00:37:56,920 --> 00:37:58,560
Speaker 5: where is this game going to be in the middle

820
00:37:58,600 --> 00:38:00,600
Speaker 5: of the third quarter when the rubber eats the road

821
00:38:00,640 --> 00:38:04,400
Speaker 5: and George's leaning on Old Missus defensive line, can Old

822
00:38:04,440 --> 00:38:07,040
Speaker 5: Miss match them score for score because I don't know

823
00:38:07,239 --> 00:38:09,480
Speaker 5: necessarily that Old miss is going to secure a ton

824
00:38:09,520 --> 00:38:11,880
Speaker 5: of stops in the second half. So the real question

825
00:38:11,960 --> 00:38:13,719
Speaker 5: is are they going to have built a first half

826
00:38:13,800 --> 00:38:16,040
Speaker 5: lead in order to sustain the and weather the storm,

827
00:38:16,520 --> 00:38:20,279
Speaker 5: because if not, this could be he might be looking

828
00:38:20,320 --> 00:38:22,319
Speaker 5: at a fourth quarter similar to what we saw in

829
00:38:22,360 --> 00:38:25,160
Speaker 5: the last matchup, where Georgia pulls away and wins and

830
00:38:25,320 --> 00:38:27,959
Speaker 5: ends up covering the number. And that's all she wrote

831
00:38:27,960 --> 00:38:28,760
Speaker 5: for Old Miss.

832
00:38:29,920 --> 00:38:33,480
Speaker 1: If Alwin Simmons comes in, by the way, immediately bet

833
00:38:33,520 --> 00:38:35,960
Speaker 1: an alternate number if Shambliss is out.

834
00:38:35,960 --> 00:38:38,240
Speaker 4: And also if you can bet turnover on a drive.

835
00:38:38,719 --> 00:38:41,200
Speaker 1: Jesus Christ, that guy is a walking turnover and he's

836
00:38:41,360 --> 00:38:44,200
Speaker 1: with a real pass rusher. Tulane was able to turn

837
00:38:44,239 --> 00:38:46,640
Speaker 1: him over immediately, like George is gonna eat him for lunch.

838
00:38:46,719 --> 00:38:49,880
Speaker 1: So just sometimes trouble back pocket. If Shambliss goes out

839
00:38:49,920 --> 00:38:52,080
Speaker 1: with the head injury or something like that, you gotta

840
00:38:52,440 --> 00:38:55,480
Speaker 1: hammer a number against the ReBs Georgia.

841
00:38:55,600 --> 00:38:56,799
Speaker 4: Yeah, she'll be able to run the ball. I mean

842
00:38:56,840 --> 00:38:58,640
Speaker 4: Tulane was having some success moving the ball on the

843
00:38:58,640 --> 00:39:02,880
Speaker 4: ground with McClure that all miss defense on the ground

844
00:39:02,880 --> 00:39:05,239
Speaker 4: can be had, and I think that ultimately might be

845
00:39:05,280 --> 00:39:08,080
Speaker 4: the difference by the herby adjustments.

846
00:39:08,160 --> 00:39:10,840
Speaker 2: And by the way, the two best defenses and broken

847
00:39:10,880 --> 00:39:13,879
Speaker 2: tackles allowed are Georgia and Indiana. Both are top five

848
00:39:13,880 --> 00:39:15,480
Speaker 2: of the nation that are left in the playoff. I mean,

849
00:39:15,520 --> 00:39:17,759
Speaker 2: a big reason why we did our brackets. I said,

850
00:39:17,760 --> 00:39:20,719
Speaker 2: these are the two teams because Ole Miss could not

851
00:39:20,880 --> 00:39:25,400
Speaker 2: create in space, creative made adjustments. It was a chess match.

852
00:39:25,800 --> 00:39:27,920
Speaker 2: Finally gave up and Georgia didn't miss attack. They only

853
00:39:27,920 --> 00:39:32,080
Speaker 2: missed eight. Eight tackles like that is fantastic against Old Miss.

854
00:39:32,200 --> 00:39:33,839
Speaker 2: That's what happened in the week eight. I expect that

855
00:39:33,880 --> 00:39:37,560
Speaker 2: to happen again. A sub ten mistackle rate.

856
00:39:38,239 --> 00:39:40,680
Speaker 4: Yeah, looking forward to this one, looking forward to all

857
00:39:40,719 --> 00:39:45,160
Speaker 4: three games on New Year's Day. By the way, before

858
00:39:45,160 --> 00:39:47,920
Speaker 4: we move on, we all have that friend or family

859
00:39:47,920 --> 00:39:50,560
Speaker 4: member doesn't bother with college football into the playoffs. Maybe

860
00:39:50,560 --> 00:39:53,399
Speaker 4: they aren't as big of fans as we and all

861
00:39:53,400 --> 00:39:56,040
Speaker 4: of you are and that's okay, But now that these

862
00:39:56,040 --> 00:39:58,400
Speaker 4: big matchups are coming, they might be wondering how they

863
00:39:58,400 --> 00:40:01,279
Speaker 4: can enjoy all the action. If you've tuned in to

864
00:40:01,400 --> 00:40:03,560
Speaker 4: any of our bowl preview episodes, you know the best

865
00:40:03,560 --> 00:40:05,640
Speaker 4: way to not miss a single moment of the college

866
00:40:05,680 --> 00:40:09,840
Speaker 4: football Playoffs is with Sling TV. So tell those folks

867
00:40:09,880 --> 00:40:13,239
Speaker 4: that Sling TV has them covered. With Sling TV, you

868
00:40:13,280 --> 00:40:17,400
Speaker 4: can make you can take full control with flexible package

869
00:40:17,520 --> 00:40:20,239
Speaker 4: options of one to three and seven day passes for

870
00:40:20,360 --> 00:40:26,280
Speaker 4: access to thirty plus live channels, which includes ESPN and TNT.

871
00:40:27,200 --> 00:40:30,320
Speaker 4: So you're covered for the Orange Bowl, the Rose Bowl,

872
00:40:30,600 --> 00:40:33,920
Speaker 4: the Cotton Bowl, and more. So tell that friend or

873
00:40:33,920 --> 00:40:37,279
Speaker 4: family member about Sling TV, and let's put together an

874
00:40:37,360 --> 00:40:41,600
Speaker 4: all day parlay from these upcoming three college football playoff

875
00:40:41,719 --> 00:40:47,719
Speaker 4: quarterfinal games on Thursday. I will start doc, I'll let

876
00:40:47,760 --> 00:40:50,840
Speaker 4: you take full game. I'm gonna go with the Oregon

877
00:40:50,920 --> 00:40:56,200
Speaker 4: Texas Tech first half under you're gonna throw in the

878
00:40:56,200 --> 00:40:56,640
Speaker 4: full game?

879
00:40:57,960 --> 00:41:02,080
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean, let's talk about Texas Tech. We talked

880
00:41:02,120 --> 00:41:04,040
Speaker 5: a little bit about it during the preview, but their

881
00:41:04,080 --> 00:41:06,799
Speaker 5: red zone offense has left a lot to be desired.

882
00:41:07,040 --> 00:41:11,160
Speaker 5: Twenty three red zone field goals settled for and thirty

883
00:41:11,200 --> 00:41:14,000
Speaker 5: two times this season, Texas Tech has entered the red

884
00:41:14,040 --> 00:41:16,680
Speaker 5: zone and did not score a touchdown, so they could

885
00:41:16,800 --> 00:41:19,000
Speaker 5: have to settle for field goals here against this Oregon

886
00:41:19,040 --> 00:41:22,880
Speaker 5: red zone defense. I definitely think that Texas Tech's defense

887
00:41:23,000 --> 00:41:25,000
Speaker 5: is showing up for this one. They'll be ready to go.

888
00:41:25,000 --> 00:41:27,080
Speaker 5: They're not going to give up a ton of explosive plays.

889
00:41:27,360 --> 00:41:29,799
Speaker 5: They're gonna be able to create some pressure. I think

890
00:41:29,880 --> 00:41:32,239
Speaker 5: third down and half to get off the field situations

891
00:41:32,280 --> 00:41:35,000
Speaker 5: will see them force punts. I just think this ends

892
00:41:35,040 --> 00:41:38,480
Speaker 5: up being a slow burning grinder and won't.

893
00:41:38,320 --> 00:41:39,320
Speaker 4: See it approach the total.

894
00:41:39,400 --> 00:41:42,319
Speaker 5: So yeah, I'll take full game under breeze.

895
00:41:42,480 --> 00:41:44,759
Speaker 1: You're gonna roll with the Hoosiers, smoke them if you

896
00:41:44,800 --> 00:41:46,879
Speaker 1: got them team signetti on this one.

897
00:41:46,920 --> 00:41:49,399
Speaker 4: I'm going to back them. Lay in six and a half, seven,

898
00:41:49,520 --> 00:41:51,720
Speaker 4: seven and a half. All those numbers are good, Colin.

899
00:41:52,280 --> 00:41:54,359
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean we're definitely on Georgia team total over

900
00:41:54,400 --> 00:41:56,279
Speaker 2: When you have forty red zone trips and only five

901
00:41:56,280 --> 00:41:57,760
Speaker 2: field goals, that gives me confidence.

902
00:41:57,760 --> 00:41:59,000
Speaker 6: I'm gonna get the points I need to get a

903
00:41:59,040 --> 00:41:59,840
Speaker 6: team total over.

904
00:42:00,360 --> 00:42:03,359
Speaker 4: All, right, that pays somewhere around plus seven thirty plus

905
00:42:03,440 --> 00:42:07,840
Speaker 4: seven to forty at DraftKings Oregon, Texas Tech first half

906
00:42:07,880 --> 00:42:12,720
Speaker 4: and full game under Georgia team total over and lay

907
00:42:12,840 --> 00:42:17,239
Speaker 4: the seven with Indiana. With so many great games in

908
00:42:17,239 --> 00:42:20,040
Speaker 4: the coming day's, Sling TV is your solution to instant

909
00:42:20,120 --> 00:42:24,680
Speaker 4: access to live TV starting as low as four ninety nine.

910
00:42:25,080 --> 00:42:28,120
Speaker 4: There isn't a better time to acquaint yourself with one

911
00:42:28,080 --> 00:42:31,840
Speaker 4: to three and seven day passes from Sling TV. Offer

912
00:42:31,880 --> 00:42:36,279
Speaker 4: applies to Orange. One day pass restrictions apply. Make sure

913
00:42:36,280 --> 00:42:39,080
Speaker 4: you check out sling TV. All right, let's get to

914
00:42:39,080 --> 00:42:43,080
Speaker 4: the four other Bowl games on January second. If you

915
00:42:43,160 --> 00:42:48,400
Speaker 4: hate Bowl games, go listen to NPR Rice Texas State

916
00:42:48,560 --> 00:42:52,720
Speaker 4: in the Armed Forces Bowl Friday, January second, one pm

917
00:42:52,719 --> 00:42:57,560
Speaker 4: Eastern on ESPN. Texas States out till fourteen and a

918
00:42:57,600 --> 00:43:02,879
Speaker 4: half point favorite total fifty seven and a half. I mean,

919
00:43:03,320 --> 00:43:06,839
Speaker 4: you know it's it's getting bad when the Rice quarterback

920
00:43:07,239 --> 00:43:12,920
Speaker 4: is opting out, So Jenkins is not gonna play.

921
00:43:13,080 --> 00:43:16,000
Speaker 2: This is a game that Rice was like tapped, asked

922
00:43:16,040 --> 00:43:19,120
Speaker 2: if they want to play, and then their quarterback opts out.

923
00:43:19,719 --> 00:43:25,279
Speaker 4: Unbelievable. So, uh, the problem for Rice is so I

924
00:43:25,360 --> 00:43:28,799
Speaker 4: think Patrick Creighton will probably start a quarterback They run

925
00:43:28,840 --> 00:43:33,319
Speaker 4: like an option esque type of offense. One of their

926
00:43:33,440 --> 00:43:37,760
Speaker 4: leading receivers is in the transfer portal. One of their backs.

927
00:43:39,640 --> 00:43:41,919
Speaker 4: They had a corner kicked off, kicked off the team.

928
00:43:42,360 --> 00:43:44,239
Speaker 4: The same guy for Michigan State who hit someone with

929
00:43:44,239 --> 00:43:46,600
Speaker 4: the helmet in the Michigan game. He transferred to Rice.

930
00:43:46,640 --> 00:43:51,520
Speaker 4: Now he's kicked off the team. Texas State pretty clean.

931
00:43:52,520 --> 00:43:56,080
Speaker 4: What I the biggest I concerned If Rice is up

932
00:43:56,120 --> 00:43:58,480
Speaker 4: a ton of explosives and Texas State's offense is a

933
00:43:58,480 --> 00:44:01,719
Speaker 4: walking explosives, this could get ugly quick. With Rice having

934
00:44:01,719 --> 00:44:05,400
Speaker 4: their backup quarterback. And I mean, the Texas State defense

935
00:44:05,480 --> 00:44:07,000
Speaker 4: is so bad, so like, do I really want to

936
00:44:07,080 --> 00:44:10,799
Speaker 4: run to lay fourteen and a half? Maybe that's but

937
00:44:12,800 --> 00:44:14,960
Speaker 4: if Texas State cares here and is locked in, they

938
00:44:14,960 --> 00:44:17,040
Speaker 4: could put up a big number. I mean, Texas State

939
00:44:17,120 --> 00:44:19,360
Speaker 4: was one of the most unlucky teams in the country

940
00:44:19,800 --> 00:44:22,440
Speaker 4: this year. I mean they lost countless games in overtime

941
00:44:22,560 --> 00:44:25,799
Speaker 4: by three blown leads. They were really one of the

942
00:44:25,840 --> 00:44:30,440
Speaker 4: better sunboat teams. Douck, you're gonna lay it here with

943
00:44:30,480 --> 00:44:32,480
Speaker 4: the bobs, Yeah, I am.

944
00:44:32,560 --> 00:44:34,360
Speaker 5: And you look at Rice down to a third string

945
00:44:34,400 --> 00:44:37,160
Speaker 5: quarterback Chase Jenkins, and also Drew devly not going to

946
00:44:37,239 --> 00:44:39,959
Speaker 5: go after entering the portal. I look at Texas State.

947
00:44:40,040 --> 00:44:42,480
Speaker 5: They were really able to rally the troops and win

948
00:44:42,520 --> 00:44:45,200
Speaker 5: their last three to get into a bowl game. Bryce

949
00:44:45,360 --> 00:44:48,200
Speaker 5: backs their way in after several teams choose to opt out,

950
00:44:48,280 --> 00:44:50,120
Speaker 5: So you got a five and seven team that didn't

951
00:44:50,160 --> 00:44:51,759
Speaker 5: really expect to be there. I think this is a

952
00:44:51,760 --> 00:44:54,640
Speaker 5: bad matchup for Rice outside of the fact that these

953
00:44:54,680 --> 00:44:57,239
Speaker 5: guys surrendered fifty points back to back in their last

954
00:44:57,239 --> 00:44:59,560
Speaker 5: two games of the season. They were not good away

955
00:44:59,560 --> 00:45:03,200
Speaker 5: from home, and they give up so much explosiveness. Texas

956
00:45:03,239 --> 00:45:05,960
Speaker 5: State can score two to three play drives. Should be

957
00:45:06,280 --> 00:45:08,440
Speaker 5: a lot of firepower from the Bobs here, and it's

958
00:45:08,480 --> 00:45:11,640
Speaker 5: really hard to imagine Rice being able to play keep

959
00:45:11,680 --> 00:45:12,640
Speaker 5: away for too long.

960
00:45:12,680 --> 00:45:13,000
Speaker 4: Here.

961
00:45:14,080 --> 00:45:16,680
Speaker 5: You see the game plan play out for Rice week

962
00:45:16,800 --> 00:45:20,080
Speaker 5: after week after week, where they want to outpossess, they

963
00:45:20,120 --> 00:45:21,799
Speaker 5: want to run the ball three and a half four

964
00:45:21,880 --> 00:45:24,120
Speaker 5: yards per carry at a time, they don't want to

965
00:45:24,120 --> 00:45:26,160
Speaker 5: throw it. And then they get down a couple scores

966
00:45:26,160 --> 00:45:28,360
Speaker 5: and that game plan kind of gets scrapped. Yeah, and

967
00:45:28,400 --> 00:45:30,920
Speaker 5: then you see quick three and outs, and we saw

968
00:45:30,920 --> 00:45:33,160
Speaker 5: it against Memphis, we saw it against USF. We just

969
00:45:33,160 --> 00:45:35,560
Speaker 5: saw time and time and time again, even North Texas

970
00:45:35,560 --> 00:45:37,840
Speaker 5: when they got out to that big lead and they

971
00:45:37,880 --> 00:45:41,279
Speaker 5: couldn't sustain drives. You're doing three four play drives and

972
00:45:41,280 --> 00:45:43,960
Speaker 5: you're punting right back to them on short fields. I

973
00:45:44,000 --> 00:45:46,160
Speaker 5: don't think Rice in the secondary will be able to

974
00:45:46,200 --> 00:45:48,319
Speaker 5: cover these receivers. Here are the owls where one hundred

975
00:45:48,320 --> 00:45:51,960
Speaker 5: and thirty fifth nationally and allowing explosive plays and really

976
00:45:52,000 --> 00:45:55,480
Speaker 5: really bad against the pass. Here, Rice the only team

977
00:45:55,480 --> 00:45:57,600
Speaker 5: in the country that did not force a red zone

978
00:45:57,640 --> 00:46:01,080
Speaker 5: stop this season. Thirty seven attempts, thirty seven scores against them,

979
00:46:01,080 --> 00:46:03,160
Speaker 5: with twenty eight of those being touchdowns. It doesn't even

980
00:46:03,160 --> 00:46:06,040
Speaker 5: factor the explosive drives where they never had to snap

981
00:46:06,080 --> 00:46:08,200
Speaker 5: the ball in the red zone. I look at the

982
00:46:08,280 --> 00:46:10,160
Speaker 5: Rice This is the last thing I'll say. I look

983
00:46:10,160 --> 00:46:12,560
Speaker 5: at the Rice defensive front. They had twenty two sacks

984
00:46:12,600 --> 00:46:14,600
Speaker 5: this season, but fourteen of those sacks came in the

985
00:46:14,680 --> 00:46:17,560
Speaker 5: first three weeks, and then they had five more against Eab.

986
00:46:17,840 --> 00:46:20,799
Speaker 5: These guys went long stretches of the season where they

987
00:46:20,880 --> 00:46:22,960
Speaker 5: could not get pressure. They're not going to get pressure

988
00:46:23,000 --> 00:46:27,680
Speaker 5: here against Brad Jackson, a very underrated dual threat quarterback

989
00:46:27,760 --> 00:46:31,680
Speaker 5: eighteen passing touchdowns sixteen rushing touchdowns. We saw this Bowl

990
00:46:31,760 --> 00:46:34,640
Speaker 5: game play out in twenty twenty three, forty five, twenty one.

991
00:46:34,680 --> 00:46:36,400
Speaker 5: I think it'll be a similar song in dance here.

992
00:46:36,440 --> 00:46:37,080
Speaker 5: I'm laying it with.

993
00:46:37,080 --> 00:46:40,040
Speaker 4: The Bobs Breeze. You're on board and anything you want out. Yeah.

994
00:46:40,080 --> 00:46:44,120
Speaker 1: This quarterback Patrick Craydon Junior, he played thirty four plays

995
00:46:44,160 --> 00:46:47,160
Speaker 1: this year for Rice. He accounted for three passing yards

996
00:46:47,200 --> 00:46:50,120
Speaker 1: and negative twenty two rushing yards. Maybe he'll have himself

997
00:46:50,120 --> 00:46:53,000
Speaker 1: a college career, get some seasoning, be put in the

998
00:46:53,120 --> 00:46:55,600
Speaker 1: right position. But that's impressive to be on the field

999
00:46:55,600 --> 00:46:58,000
Speaker 1: and have negative yard is with that many plays. And

1000
00:46:58,200 --> 00:47:00,800
Speaker 1: Texas State, you know they're calling card in past seasons

1001
00:47:00,840 --> 00:47:02,839
Speaker 1: where they give up exposed to plays, but they create

1002
00:47:02,920 --> 00:47:05,160
Speaker 1: negative plays, and for much of the season they couldn't.

1003
00:47:05,360 --> 00:47:07,439
Speaker 1: But they finally got that figured out in that late

1004
00:47:08,080 --> 00:47:11,000
Speaker 1: winning streak to get to Bowl eligibility. Twenty one tackles

1005
00:47:11,000 --> 00:47:13,440
Speaker 1: for loss in their final three games, and you mentioned it,

1006
00:47:13,480 --> 00:47:15,600
Speaker 1: the bad luck, you know, going six and six, but

1007
00:47:15,800 --> 00:47:18,799
Speaker 1: three losses by three points or less and another one

1008
00:47:18,800 --> 00:47:21,319
Speaker 1: in overtime, and they had some of the worst fumble luck.

1009
00:47:21,320 --> 00:47:23,000
Speaker 4: They only recovered one fumble the.

1010
00:47:23,040 --> 00:47:25,520
Speaker 1: Entire season against this Rice team that I just I

1011
00:47:25,520 --> 00:47:26,719
Speaker 1: don't think they're going to be able to move the

1012
00:47:26,760 --> 00:47:28,759
Speaker 1: football in this one. I think if they get any

1013
00:47:28,760 --> 00:47:31,920
Speaker 1: good fortune either plus one in the turnover game or

1014
00:47:31,920 --> 00:47:34,279
Speaker 1: even better, Texas State's going to win this one by

1015
00:47:34,400 --> 00:47:36,440
Speaker 1: twenty four to twenty eight points. I think this is

1016
00:47:36,480 --> 00:47:38,560
Speaker 1: going to be a runaway against a Rice defense that

1017
00:47:38,640 --> 00:47:39,400
Speaker 1: is just horrific.

1018
00:47:40,520 --> 00:47:42,480
Speaker 4: Colin, you also like Texas State to put up a

1019
00:47:42,520 --> 00:47:44,239
Speaker 4: big number area like the team total over.

1020
00:47:44,560 --> 00:47:46,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, it hasn't been released yet. I expect thirty four

1021
00:47:46,440 --> 00:47:47,480
Speaker 2: and a half, thirty five and a half.

1022
00:47:47,480 --> 00:47:48,520
Speaker 6: I don't I don't care.

1023
00:47:48,760 --> 00:47:50,799
Speaker 2: I mean, Rice is coming off two losses where North

1024
00:47:50,840 --> 00:47:53,720
Speaker 2: Texas and South Florida combined for one hundred and eight points,

1025
00:47:54,080 --> 00:47:55,880
Speaker 2: and then you elected to go to a bowl game.

1026
00:47:55,719 --> 00:47:56,960
Speaker 6: Against the Texas State offense.

1027
00:47:57,000 --> 00:48:01,040
Speaker 2: It's twelfth in rush EPA Lincoln para hundred eleven tds

1028
00:48:01,080 --> 00:48:03,800
Speaker 2: and then Brad Jackson quarterbacks sixteen tds on the ground

1029
00:48:03,920 --> 00:48:05,320
Speaker 2: thirty fourth and pass EPA.

1030
00:48:06,160 --> 00:48:07,000
Speaker 6: Rice is near.

1031
00:48:06,960 --> 00:48:11,799
Speaker 2: Dead last defensively against the rush explosives. They're one hundred

1032
00:48:11,800 --> 00:48:16,640
Speaker 2: and thirteenth and past the defending pass explosives, Like what

1033
00:48:16,680 --> 00:48:19,000
Speaker 2: are we what are we doing here? Owls like why

1034
00:48:19,000 --> 00:48:21,080
Speaker 2: are we in a bowl? I mean you are next

1035
00:48:21,120 --> 00:48:24,560
Speaker 2: to last and passing down Zpa loud this this is gross.

1036
00:48:24,800 --> 00:48:25,960
Speaker 6: I mean this is a fifty burger.

1037
00:48:26,600 --> 00:48:28,200
Speaker 2: I don't know. There's all kinds of ways to play this,

1038
00:48:28,239 --> 00:48:29,680
Speaker 2: but I'm looking for a team total over on the

1039
00:48:29,680 --> 00:48:30,880
Speaker 2: Bobs and Colin.

1040
00:48:30,920 --> 00:48:32,840
Speaker 1: I think it's worth noting for the audience too, Like,

1041
00:48:33,000 --> 00:48:34,960
Speaker 1: if you have a really bad pass rush, at least

1042
00:48:34,960 --> 00:48:37,120
Speaker 1: you have the option to blitz a little bit and

1043
00:48:37,239 --> 00:48:39,520
Speaker 1: you know, to get burned potentially, but also create negative

1044
00:48:39,520 --> 00:48:41,640
Speaker 1: plays if you can't stop the run, if your run

1045
00:48:41,640 --> 00:48:44,400
Speaker 1: fits are a mess, there's no like run blitz just

1046
00:48:44,400 --> 00:48:46,719
Speaker 1: like send ten guys. It's like they're just gonna make

1047
00:48:46,719 --> 00:48:48,799
Speaker 1: one guy miss and take into the house. So there's

1048
00:48:48,800 --> 00:48:51,880
Speaker 1: no easy fix other than spending the off season in

1049
00:48:51,920 --> 00:48:54,680
Speaker 1: the portal working on fundamentals, maybe getting a new DC.

1050
00:48:54,920 --> 00:48:57,000
Speaker 1: Like it's a long term problem when you can't stop

1051
00:48:57,080 --> 00:48:58,479
Speaker 1: the run very much.

1052
00:48:59,160 --> 00:49:01,720
Speaker 4: All right, let's be one of the Liberty Bowl Friday,

1053
00:49:01,800 --> 00:49:05,359
Speaker 4: January second, three thirty Eastern on ESPN between Navy and Cincinnati.

1054
00:49:05,840 --> 00:49:08,560
Speaker 4: Maybe seven point favorite total fifty four and a half.

1055
00:49:08,640 --> 00:49:11,520
Speaker 4: The news here, it's all. I mean Navy Service Academy,

1056
00:49:11,600 --> 00:49:14,000
Speaker 4: Death Taxes Service Academy. You know they're gonna show up.

1057
00:49:14,000 --> 00:49:15,799
Speaker 4: There's not gonna be any opt outs. I mean, maybe

1058
00:49:15,840 --> 00:49:18,160
Speaker 4: Landon Robinson doesn't play their stud defense tackle, but I

1059
00:49:18,200 --> 00:49:21,560
Speaker 4: would expect him to go since he Meanwhile, their entire

1060
00:49:21,760 --> 00:49:26,640
Speaker 4: secondary besides McDoom is pretty much out and their secondary

1061
00:49:26,680 --> 00:49:28,960
Speaker 4: was terrible this year. But like they have nobody, and

1062
00:49:28,960 --> 00:49:33,200
Speaker 4: that's because their cornerback coach has gone to Arkansas. Arkansas says,

1063
00:49:33,239 --> 00:49:35,840
Speaker 4: whoa look at this bad's since the second earlier, we

1064
00:49:35,920 --> 00:49:39,120
Speaker 4: might as well get their cornerback coach, I guess, And

1065
00:49:40,440 --> 00:49:44,319
Speaker 4: so they're gonna be extremely short ended. Dante Corleone, their

1066
00:49:44,360 --> 00:49:47,719
Speaker 4: best defense would tackle stud in the middle, he's not

1067
00:49:47,800 --> 00:49:51,080
Speaker 4: gonna play. He's gone to the NFL. Jake Golde, their

1068
00:49:51,239 --> 00:49:53,320
Speaker 4: stud linebacker, he's gonna go to the NFL. He's on

1069
00:49:53,360 --> 00:49:54,799
Speaker 4: the depth chart, but I wouldn't be shocked if he

1070
00:49:54,840 --> 00:49:58,919
Speaker 4: also opts out. The main news is Soresby's out there

1071
00:49:59,560 --> 00:50:02,680
Speaker 4: stud quarterback. So it's going to be I think a

1072
00:50:02,760 --> 00:50:05,839
Speaker 4: combination of Brady Lichtenberg, who has a senior who has

1073
00:50:05,840 --> 00:50:08,280
Speaker 4: three hundred and thirty three career passing yards and freshman

1074
00:50:08,480 --> 00:50:11,920
Speaker 4: Samajs Jones, who has two pass attempts this year. The

1075
00:50:11,960 --> 00:50:13,480
Speaker 4: rest of the offense, it does look like, is going

1076
00:50:13,520 --> 00:50:17,080
Speaker 4: to suit up, including tight end Joe Royer, their offensive line,

1077
00:50:17,120 --> 00:50:19,600
Speaker 4: which I think most of which will return next year.

1078
00:50:19,800 --> 00:50:25,760
Speaker 4: But without Sowersby and this bad defense and the Service academy,

1079
00:50:25,800 --> 00:50:27,839
Speaker 4: these are much more to say. I'm Service Condanis are

1080
00:50:27,840 --> 00:50:30,560
Speaker 4: a nineteen and three against the spread, run in seventy

1081
00:50:30,600 --> 00:50:33,040
Speaker 4: three percent against the spread since two thousand and three

1082
00:50:33,239 --> 00:50:36,360
Speaker 4: in bowl games. Yep, incredible, seventy two and a half.

1083
00:50:36,560 --> 00:50:39,560
Speaker 4: I think seventy two percent is nineteen ninety. So I

1084
00:50:39,600 --> 00:50:41,880
Speaker 4: mean we say it every year. We don't have to

1085
00:50:41,920 --> 00:50:43,960
Speaker 4: go break it down too far. I mean Service got

1086
00:50:43,960 --> 00:50:48,239
Speaker 4: me in a bowl Ilke Navy uh burries, you agree, Yep,

1087
00:50:48,320 --> 00:50:48,800
Speaker 4: I agree.

1088
00:50:49,040 --> 00:50:50,920
Speaker 1: I mean the only time they were outclassed was against

1089
00:50:51,000 --> 00:50:53,879
Speaker 1: Notre Dame consensusly top you know, power rated top five

1090
00:50:53,920 --> 00:50:55,959
Speaker 1: in the whole country. And then their loss against North

1091
00:50:55,960 --> 00:50:58,719
Speaker 1: Texas negative three in the turnover battle. You know, they

1092
00:50:58,760 --> 00:51:01,319
Speaker 1: also had a pick in the end zone, a turnover on.

1093
00:51:01,320 --> 00:51:02,919
Speaker 4: Downs and won that game.

1094
00:51:03,280 --> 00:51:05,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, so every other game, I mean, they beat Memphis,

1095
00:51:05,960 --> 00:51:08,239
Speaker 1: they beat South Florida, they beat Army like these are

1096
00:51:08,280 --> 00:51:10,520
Speaker 1: all good wins down the stretch. They're playing great football,

1097
00:51:10,760 --> 00:51:13,160
Speaker 1: and Cincinnati, I mean they're not. I don't think they're

1098
00:51:13,160 --> 00:51:15,719
Speaker 1: going to get off the bus without probably their five

1099
00:51:15,880 --> 00:51:18,719
Speaker 1: best players at this point for a team that absolutely

1100
00:51:18,719 --> 00:51:20,319
Speaker 1: faded at one point they were what five to zero

1101
00:51:20,320 --> 00:51:22,480
Speaker 1: and big twelve play. They were certainly dreaming of the

1102
00:51:22,480 --> 00:51:24,800
Speaker 1: conference championship game and then to just pee.

1103
00:51:24,640 --> 00:51:26,280
Speaker 4: Down their leg in the month of November.

1104
00:51:26,400 --> 00:51:28,480
Speaker 1: I don't think they're going to be all that motivated

1105
00:51:28,640 --> 00:51:30,880
Speaker 1: to have to play their most disciplined game of the

1106
00:51:31,000 --> 00:51:34,320
Speaker 1: entire season defensively against this millennial wing tea.

1107
00:51:34,400 --> 00:51:36,360
Speaker 4: I think it's a disaster for the Bearcats. This has

1108
00:51:36,400 --> 00:51:38,600
Speaker 4: when you could have really used Corleone too, like he

1109
00:51:38,600 --> 00:51:40,600
Speaker 4: would have been a game in the middle.

1110
00:51:40,719 --> 00:51:40,919
Speaker 6: Yeah.

1111
00:51:40,960 --> 00:51:43,440
Speaker 4: Yeah. Also their starting defensive end Coleman, he also at

1112
00:51:43,440 --> 00:51:47,560
Speaker 4: the portal, so they're going to be very depleted. DOC

1113
00:51:47,880 --> 00:51:49,720
Speaker 4: isn't as simple as service gaming a ble.

1114
00:51:50,719 --> 00:51:52,400
Speaker 5: Well, I mean there's a little bit more to it,

1115
00:51:52,480 --> 00:51:55,960
Speaker 5: and your Great Bowl Participation Tracker highlights at least six

1116
00:51:56,000 --> 00:51:58,080
Speaker 5: players in the secondary who would normally be in the

1117
00:51:58,080 --> 00:52:01,600
Speaker 5: two deep for Cincinnati that may not participate. There's plenty

1118
00:52:01,600 --> 00:52:03,560
Speaker 5: of players in the defensive front seven that may not

1119
00:52:03,680 --> 00:52:04,160
Speaker 5: show up.

1120
00:52:04,480 --> 00:52:06,480
Speaker 4: You look at six, they're none of them are on

1121
00:52:06,480 --> 00:52:07,839
Speaker 4: the depth chart like they're all out.

1122
00:52:09,000 --> 00:52:10,480
Speaker 6: I mean, that's going to be a huge issue.

1123
00:52:10,480 --> 00:52:12,960
Speaker 5: And you look at the defense all season, they struggled

1124
00:52:12,960 --> 00:52:16,200
Speaker 5: with allowing explosive plays. We saw it rearts ugly hehead

1125
00:52:16,200 --> 00:52:18,360
Speaker 5: against Kansas and Iowa State early in the schedule, and

1126
00:52:18,400 --> 00:52:20,359
Speaker 5: it was such a problem during the four game losing

1127
00:52:20,360 --> 00:52:23,200
Speaker 5: streak to close out the regular season. One fifteenth and

1128
00:52:23,280 --> 00:52:26,400
Speaker 5: explosive pass plays allowed one to twenty second and have it created.

1129
00:52:26,719 --> 00:52:29,440
Speaker 5: I would imagine Navy gets whatever they want here running

1130
00:52:29,440 --> 00:52:32,840
Speaker 5: the triple option using tesca in between the tackles and

1131
00:52:32,880 --> 00:52:35,080
Speaker 5: the dive hide and Reich and Horvath will get theirs.

1132
00:52:35,320 --> 00:52:37,600
Speaker 5: But where Navy will really gouge these guys is in

1133
00:52:37,640 --> 00:52:40,040
Speaker 5: the play action pass. They'll lull these guys to sleep.

1134
00:52:40,640 --> 00:52:43,040
Speaker 5: I would expect at least three or four times where

1135
00:52:43,040 --> 00:52:45,880
Speaker 5: we see them take deep shots down the seam. They

1136
00:52:45,920 --> 00:52:49,160
Speaker 5: get their slot backs out into space better than about anybody,

1137
00:52:49,719 --> 00:52:51,239
Speaker 5: and Cincinnati is not.

1138
00:52:51,239 --> 00:52:52,239
Speaker 6: Going to be able to defend that.

1139
00:52:52,320 --> 00:52:54,239
Speaker 5: So you're going to see a ton of explosives from

1140
00:52:54,320 --> 00:52:56,239
Speaker 5: Navy and when you look at the third and fourth

1141
00:52:56,320 --> 00:52:59,640
Speaker 5: quarter of this game, if Cincinnati's getting their ass kicked,

1142
00:52:59,680 --> 00:53:01,879
Speaker 5: who wants to really step in and fill the run

1143
00:53:01,960 --> 00:53:04,480
Speaker 5: lanes and tackle these guys for the Cincinnati is not

1144
00:53:04,520 --> 00:53:05,919
Speaker 5: going to want to do it here, So I think

1145
00:53:06,960 --> 00:53:09,560
Speaker 5: pretty well consensus. So I think Cincinnati's in big time

1146
00:53:09,560 --> 00:53:10,320
Speaker 5: trouble here.

1147
00:53:10,360 --> 00:53:13,960
Speaker 4: And then without their star star quarterback. And on top

1148
00:53:14,000 --> 00:53:16,400
Speaker 4: of all that, Colin, do you like a derivative here

1149
00:53:16,480 --> 00:53:18,040
Speaker 4: Navy team total over? Yeah.

1150
00:53:18,080 --> 00:53:19,879
Speaker 2: I think it's because of the unknown what's gonna happen

1151
00:53:19,920 --> 00:53:22,000
Speaker 2: with the Cincinnati offense here. But what I do know

1152
00:53:22,040 --> 00:53:24,279
Speaker 2: is that the Cincinnati defense has been horrible all year

1153
00:53:24,320 --> 00:53:27,320
Speaker 2: outside the top one fifteen and lineyard stuff right past

1154
00:53:27,680 --> 00:53:30,840
Speaker 2: Havoc right and then that's with a healthy Godfather, and

1155
00:53:30,880 --> 00:53:33,040
Speaker 2: now he's not playing. Now they're missing all these pieces.

1156
00:53:33,040 --> 00:53:34,680
Speaker 2: So I know Navy is going to produce, and I

1157
00:53:34,680 --> 00:53:35,880
Speaker 2: know they're going to push, and I know they're going

1158
00:53:35,920 --> 00:53:39,080
Speaker 2: to score points. But here's my question. Are they going

1159
00:53:39,120 --> 00:53:41,319
Speaker 2: to score a little bit extra points with a little

1160
00:53:41,320 --> 00:53:44,399
Speaker 2: bit extra possessions? Because Cincinnati's offense is pretty fast. They're

1161
00:53:44,440 --> 00:53:47,000
Speaker 2: tempo is twenty four seconds per play. Now you're going

1162
00:53:47,080 --> 00:53:50,040
Speaker 2: to have not Soresby back there taking snaps?

1163
00:53:50,080 --> 00:53:50,359
Speaker 6: How many?

1164
00:53:50,440 --> 00:53:52,000
Speaker 2: How quick is this three and out going to be?

1165
00:53:52,480 --> 00:53:54,880
Speaker 2: So Navy team total over for me because I see

1166
00:53:54,920 --> 00:53:58,080
Speaker 2: no resistance on that Cincinnati defensive side. Plus, if you're

1167
00:53:58,080 --> 00:54:01,120
Speaker 2: throwing garbage out there on the offensive side without Soresby,

1168
00:54:01,160 --> 00:54:03,000
Speaker 2: how quickly is Naving going to get the ball back?

1169
00:54:03,360 --> 00:54:22,960
Speaker 4: This Caul Snowball, Texas Service Academies and balls. Let's move

1170
00:54:23,040 --> 00:54:26,080
Speaker 4: on to the Holiday Bowl Friday, January second, eight pm

1171
00:54:26,080 --> 00:54:29,920
Speaker 4: Eastern on Fox between Arizona and SMU. Arizona two and

1172
00:54:29,960 --> 00:54:32,080
Speaker 4: a half point favorite, total fifty two and a half.

1173
00:54:32,719 --> 00:54:34,640
Speaker 4: This is the top five bowl for me, you know,

1174
00:54:34,680 --> 00:54:37,319
Speaker 4: excuding college toal playoffs. We got a chance that both

1175
00:54:37,360 --> 00:54:38,640
Speaker 4: teams are gonna care and there's not a lot of

1176
00:54:38,680 --> 00:54:42,080
Speaker 4: opt outs. Now. Brett Brennan, head coach of Arizona, did

1177
00:54:42,080 --> 00:54:44,000
Speaker 4: come out and said there might be some opt outs,

1178
00:54:44,040 --> 00:54:46,840
Speaker 4: and I was like, and then he said he said,

1179
00:54:46,920 --> 00:54:50,760
Speaker 4: I will not announce opt outs before the bowl game.

1180
00:54:51,160 --> 00:54:53,239
Speaker 4: It's a personal decision for the players, and I don't

1181
00:54:53,239 --> 00:54:55,160
Speaker 4: want to give SMU an indication of who may be

1182
00:54:55,239 --> 00:54:58,239
Speaker 4: sitting out, so we're not gonna know. I just hope

1183
00:54:58,239 --> 00:55:01,120
Speaker 4: that I think that most are gonna play. I really

1184
00:55:01,120 --> 00:55:05,000
Speaker 4: hope that Stukes and Smith. Arizona's pass defense is elite.

1185
00:55:05,080 --> 00:55:07,680
Speaker 4: Stukes is an elite NFL future corner. I hope that

1186
00:55:07,719 --> 00:55:10,480
Speaker 4: he plays and Smith their safety plays, because if they do,

1187
00:55:10,560 --> 00:55:13,000
Speaker 4: this is a great matchup for Arizona because SMU can't

1188
00:55:13,040 --> 00:55:16,560
Speaker 4: run the ball. Arizona's an elite pass defense. And I

1189
00:55:16,560 --> 00:55:18,399
Speaker 4: think this hour, if you're to tell me right now,

1190
00:55:18,400 --> 00:55:21,279
Speaker 4: who's the most underrated team in the country, I think

1191
00:55:21,280 --> 00:55:24,480
Speaker 4: it might be Arizona. And this team's gonna be excited

1192
00:55:24,520 --> 00:55:26,960
Speaker 4: to be here, motivation, excited to be here after what

1193
00:55:27,040 --> 00:55:29,239
Speaker 4: they went through last year. They peaked at the end

1194
00:55:29,280 --> 00:55:32,080
Speaker 4: of the season. This team seems like they're excited to

1195
00:55:32,080 --> 00:55:35,360
Speaker 4: be here, assuming there's not a lot of opt outs. Meanwhile,

1196
00:55:35,520 --> 00:55:39,359
Speaker 4: SMU was on the doorstep of going to the much

1197
00:55:39,360 --> 00:55:42,680
Speaker 4: of distagranted Colin of going to the ACC Championship game

1198
00:55:42,680 --> 00:55:44,480
Speaker 4: and then going back to the College wall Pluff where

1199
00:55:44,480 --> 00:55:47,160
Speaker 4: they were last year and then lost to Cal. Now

1200
00:55:47,160 --> 00:55:49,040
Speaker 4: they're going to play in the Holiday Bowl. Are they

1201
00:55:49,080 --> 00:55:54,439
Speaker 4: fully locked in here for Bowl practices? Not sure? Gimme

1202
00:55:54,560 --> 00:55:58,880
Speaker 4: Arizona love the Wildcats, Colin, You agree?

1203
00:55:58,960 --> 00:56:02,279
Speaker 6: Yeah? Agree? Five wins. I mean to end the season there.

1204
00:56:02,320 --> 00:56:04,120
Speaker 2: I mean, they were on fire in the month of November,

1205
00:56:04,120 --> 00:56:05,799
Speaker 2: and I think it's kind of funny, though. This is

1206
00:56:05,840 --> 00:56:08,080
Speaker 2: actually your favorite team from two years ago and your

1207
00:56:08,120 --> 00:56:11,120
Speaker 2: most hated team from last year. So I think that's

1208
00:56:11,160 --> 00:56:13,080
Speaker 2: why you're kind of excited about this ball just from

1209
00:56:13,120 --> 00:56:16,000
Speaker 2: name recognition alone. I think Kevin Jennings is in big

1210
00:56:16,000 --> 00:56:18,680
Speaker 2: trouble here. I mean, SMU can't create a methodical drive

1211
00:56:18,719 --> 00:56:21,440
Speaker 2: with him. They're one hundred and eleventh then creating quality drives.

1212
00:56:22,480 --> 00:56:25,480
Speaker 2: You know, SMU relied on explosives to get into scoring territory,

1213
00:56:25,520 --> 00:56:27,760
Speaker 2: and it's just not gonna happen against Arizona. They're fifteenth

1214
00:56:27,800 --> 00:56:32,600
Speaker 2: and defending pass explosives, SMU is seventy third and havoc allowed.

1215
00:56:32,719 --> 00:56:35,360
Speaker 2: I just see I just picture Kevin Jennings handshaking at

1216
00:56:35,400 --> 00:56:37,919
Speaker 2: Penn State in the playoff last year. I don't see

1217
00:56:37,920 --> 00:56:39,719
Speaker 2: a lot of good things happening for SMU on the

1218
00:56:39,719 --> 00:56:43,000
Speaker 2: offensive side of the ball because Arizona has been so

1219
00:56:43,160 --> 00:56:45,200
Speaker 2: good on defense. I hope their opt outs don't come

1220
00:56:45,239 --> 00:56:46,560
Speaker 2: on that side of the ball. But it's one of

1221
00:56:46,600 --> 00:56:48,359
Speaker 2: those things where I'm gonna have to wait until about

1222
00:56:48,440 --> 00:56:50,920
Speaker 2: ninety minutes before I see who's on the field, plus

1223
00:56:51,239 --> 00:56:53,680
Speaker 2: not to mention their secondary and their linebacker group. I mean,

1224
00:56:53,719 --> 00:56:56,120
Speaker 2: this is a Wildcat defense that was top thirty and

1225
00:56:56,120 --> 00:56:57,279
Speaker 2: creating a contested catch.

1226
00:56:57,520 --> 00:56:58,440
Speaker 6: I need to have that.

1227
00:56:58,520 --> 00:57:01,440
Speaker 2: I need The Arizona defense raided nineteen interceptions, which was

1228
00:57:01,520 --> 00:57:04,240
Speaker 2: fifth best in the nation. So if I have that defense,

1229
00:57:04,280 --> 00:57:05,439
Speaker 2: this is Arizona all the way.

1230
00:57:06,440 --> 00:57:11,000
Speaker 4: Stukes and Smith through listening play, I want to watch you.

1231
00:57:11,239 --> 00:57:12,960
Speaker 4: The nation wants to watch you. Probably didn't get to

1232
00:57:12,960 --> 00:57:14,799
Speaker 4: see a lot of you. I mean, yeah, this Arizona team,

1233
00:57:14,800 --> 00:57:17,160
Speaker 4: I mean they got so unlucky against BYU.

1234
00:57:17,800 --> 00:57:21,680
Speaker 5: Of course, double overtime loss, brutal.

1235
00:57:22,000 --> 00:57:24,080
Speaker 4: There was that like fluke fumble that would have ended

1236
00:57:24,120 --> 00:57:26,680
Speaker 4: the game, and they lost in double overtime. They're up

1237
00:57:26,720 --> 00:57:27,880
Speaker 4: double digits.

1238
00:57:28,360 --> 00:57:30,880
Speaker 2: An I nt called back that would have ended it.

1239
00:57:31,520 --> 00:57:35,600
Speaker 2: Unbelievable that fifty seven post game fifty seven percent postgame

1240
00:57:35,640 --> 00:57:37,640
Speaker 2: win expects against Houston lost that game too.

1241
00:57:37,880 --> 00:57:40,440
Speaker 4: Yeah, should easily could win that game at Houston. So

1242
00:57:40,480 --> 00:57:42,040
Speaker 4: I mean this team could have been an eleven wind

1243
00:57:42,480 --> 00:57:44,800
Speaker 4: pretty easily, and they were peeking down the stretch.

1244
00:57:45,680 --> 00:57:45,880
Speaker 6: Duck.

1245
00:57:45,920 --> 00:57:48,320
Speaker 4: You're looking at total here. You have a I for

1246
00:57:48,400 --> 00:57:50,200
Speaker 4: the under possibly I do.

1247
00:57:50,400 --> 00:57:52,800
Speaker 5: Yeah, And this is a tricky one because we've got

1248
00:57:52,840 --> 00:57:55,120
Speaker 5: the We've got Brennan saying he's not going to announce

1249
00:57:55,160 --> 00:57:57,280
Speaker 5: who's going to participate in who's not going to and

1250
00:57:57,360 --> 00:57:59,640
Speaker 5: this game is taking place on the day that the

1251
00:57:59,640 --> 00:58:02,400
Speaker 5: transfer opens up, So it could be a little bit

1252
00:58:02,400 --> 00:58:04,200
Speaker 5: of goofy stuff that goes on here and sol you.

1253
00:58:04,240 --> 00:58:05,920
Speaker 4: Could have opt outs too. There are guys that are

1254
00:58:06,040 --> 00:58:10,200
Speaker 4: potentially going pro that are big names. But so if I.

1255
00:58:10,280 --> 00:58:12,480
Speaker 5: Were to beout on SMU here, I would want to

1256
00:58:12,520 --> 00:58:15,280
Speaker 5: know if the skill guys are playing RJ. Maryland Hibner

1257
00:58:15,320 --> 00:58:18,200
Speaker 5: at tight end, Romelo Brinson at receiver, I'd want to

1258
00:58:18,200 --> 00:58:20,480
Speaker 5: know if those guys are in here. SMU has been

1259
00:58:20,480 --> 00:58:22,720
Speaker 5: a bad Bowl team over the last several years. These

1260
00:58:22,760 --> 00:58:25,160
Speaker 5: guys just haven't really found a way to show up

1261
00:58:25,160 --> 00:58:29,000
Speaker 5: in the postseason. They do have some guys that can

1262
00:58:29,040 --> 00:58:33,400
Speaker 5: play defensively, and I would assume that I know, once

1263
00:58:33,480 --> 00:58:35,400
Speaker 5: Arizona moves the ball into the red zone, there's a

1264
00:58:35,520 --> 00:58:37,959
Speaker 5: chance they could struggle at punching it in for six.

1265
00:58:38,320 --> 00:58:41,160
Speaker 5: SMU's red zone defense was exquisite this year, thirty one

1266
00:58:41,280 --> 00:58:45,160
Speaker 5: scores in forty four attempts against them, but only seventeen

1267
00:58:45,200 --> 00:58:48,720
Speaker 5: of those were touchdowns. They did really well at creating

1268
00:58:48,720 --> 00:58:52,200
Speaker 5: red zone takeaways, getting stopped on downs, forcing you into

1269
00:58:52,200 --> 00:58:55,000
Speaker 5: mistakes or field goal attempts. So you know, the only

1270
00:58:55,080 --> 00:58:58,240
Speaker 5: other knock on Arizona is they did allow thirty sacks

1271
00:58:58,240 --> 00:59:00,800
Speaker 5: this season and SMU has some dude that can get

1272
00:59:00,840 --> 00:59:04,600
Speaker 5: after the quarterback. So if the sacks happen at the

1273
00:59:04,640 --> 00:59:07,800
Speaker 5: wrong time, maybe that creates punting situations and you could

1274
00:59:07,800 --> 00:59:09,720
Speaker 5: call for a lower scoring game. That's what I would

1275
00:59:09,920 --> 00:59:11,560
Speaker 5: be more inclined to see here in this one.

1276
00:59:13,080 --> 00:59:15,200
Speaker 4: Preeze nothing for you in this game. Anything you want

1277
00:59:15,240 --> 00:59:15,520
Speaker 4: to add.

1278
00:59:16,560 --> 00:59:19,120
Speaker 1: Brett Brennan, I loved you at San Jose State. You're

1279
00:59:19,120 --> 00:59:20,840
Speaker 1: doing a great job in the desert. You didn't come

1280
00:59:20,840 --> 00:59:23,760
Speaker 1: into an easy situation with fish leaving for Washington.

1281
00:59:23,800 --> 00:59:25,080
Speaker 4: A lot of players transferring.

1282
00:59:25,640 --> 00:59:29,480
Speaker 1: Really, just give us the goddamn player availability report. You're

1283
00:59:29,480 --> 00:59:31,160
Speaker 1: not bigger than a minor bowl game.

1284
00:59:31,200 --> 00:59:31,600
Speaker 4: Okay.

1285
00:59:31,800 --> 00:59:35,240
Speaker 1: These are exhibitions that are being basically floated by the

1286
00:59:35,280 --> 00:59:36,160
Speaker 1: gambling community.

1287
00:59:36,200 --> 00:59:38,840
Speaker 4: That's why anyone's watching these each shit.

1288
00:59:39,240 --> 00:59:42,480
Speaker 1: Just give us the goddamn list of who's gonna play like.

1289
00:59:42,680 --> 00:59:45,840
Speaker 1: This isn't a national championship. This isn't gamesmanship, it's not

1290
00:59:45,880 --> 00:59:48,040
Speaker 1: a personal decision. Just let us know what's gonna play,

1291
00:59:48,040 --> 00:59:50,480
Speaker 1: even if it's twelve hours before the game. Just let

1292
00:59:50,600 --> 00:59:54,240
Speaker 1: us know so we have some idea of what the product's.

1293
00:59:53,920 --> 00:59:54,840
Speaker 4: Going to look like on the field.

1294
00:59:56,040 --> 00:59:56,320
Speaker 2: All right.

1295
00:59:56,320 --> 01:00:01,480
Speaker 4: And then finally, the final non playoff bowl game Friday,

1296
01:00:01,560 --> 01:00:04,160
Speaker 4: January second, a pm Eastern ESPN, the Duke's Mayo Bowl

1297
01:00:04,200 --> 01:00:07,000
Speaker 4: between wake Forest and Mississippi State. Mississippi State three point favorite,

1298
01:00:07,040 --> 01:00:10,600
Speaker 4: total fifty three and a half. Wake Forest has some

1299
01:00:10,680 --> 01:00:15,480
Speaker 4: real absences here. Misssippi State, I assume wants to be here.

1300
01:00:15,480 --> 01:00:18,120
Speaker 4: They accepted that after all these other teams said no.

1301
01:00:20,680 --> 01:00:23,280
Speaker 4: There's a lot of question marks still. I mean, go

1302
01:00:23,440 --> 01:00:27,640
Speaker 4: check out the the Bowl opt out tracker. I'll be

1303
01:00:27,720 --> 01:00:33,000
Speaker 4: updating it. But like Claiborne, wake Forest stud running back,

1304
01:00:33,280 --> 01:00:36,280
Speaker 4: their stud defensive tackle really under rated. Was gonna get

1305
01:00:36,320 --> 01:00:38,720
Speaker 4: a lot of money from a power for a team

1306
01:00:39,080 --> 01:00:42,960
Speaker 4: he's not going to play. There's a couple other potential absences.

1307
01:00:44,320 --> 01:00:49,760
Speaker 4: So as of right now, I don't have anything. I

1308
01:00:49,800 --> 01:00:52,760
Speaker 4: know that duck too many questions for you. Calbaryes' is

1309
01:00:52,800 --> 01:00:56,600
Speaker 4: the past. Colin loves wake Forest, so the floor is

1310
01:00:56,600 --> 01:00:57,280
Speaker 4: yours my friend.

1311
01:00:57,520 --> 01:00:59,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, as long as Nick Anderson, Aiden Hall,

1312
01:00:59,360 --> 01:01:01,360
Speaker 2: as long as he's other defensive names are still there,

1313
01:01:01,440 --> 01:01:03,400
Speaker 2: I think this is a complete.

1314
01:01:04,560 --> 01:01:05,000
Speaker 6: Mismap.

1315
01:01:05,040 --> 01:01:07,120
Speaker 2: I mean, Missippi State gets in as a five win team,

1316
01:01:07,160 --> 01:01:09,080
Speaker 2: I'm happy for them and everything, But Wake Forest has

1317
01:01:09,240 --> 01:01:12,680
Speaker 2: legitimately played great defense the entire year. So if we

1318
01:01:12,720 --> 01:01:15,200
Speaker 2: have everybody except for their stud defensive tackle in there,

1319
01:01:15,880 --> 01:01:17,520
Speaker 2: it should be good. Because the staple of wake has

1320
01:01:17,520 --> 01:01:19,439
Speaker 2: been the defense a top ten stuff right, a top

1321
01:01:19,480 --> 01:01:22,000
Speaker 2: fifteen coverage unit per PFF. They're doing it in the

1322
01:01:22,040 --> 01:01:23,800
Speaker 2: front and they're doing it in the back of the defense.

1323
01:01:24,240 --> 01:01:26,479
Speaker 2: The pass EPA has been the calling card for Blake

1324
01:01:26,520 --> 01:01:27,960
Speaker 2: Shape And don't know if he's going to play a

1325
01:01:28,000 --> 01:01:32,360
Speaker 2: commands now it'll be Mario Yeah. Yeah, got to see

1326
01:01:32,440 --> 01:01:34,960
Speaker 2: him start his career. He had a big part of

1327
01:01:34,960 --> 01:01:36,720
Speaker 2: the Arkansas game. But I mean he could add an

1328
01:01:36,760 --> 01:01:40,560
Speaker 2: element into the ground. But this is an extremely inefficient offense.

1329
01:01:40,600 --> 01:01:43,080
Speaker 2: Even when Camrio Taylor is playing, Misssippi State is one

1330
01:01:43,160 --> 01:01:45,800
Speaker 2: hundred and eleventh and havoc allowed. That's just not going

1331
01:01:45,840 --> 01:01:49,000
Speaker 2: to work against this Wake Force defense, especially in tackles

1332
01:01:49,040 --> 01:01:51,680
Speaker 2: for loss. Mississippi State is dead last in the nation.

1333
01:01:51,800 --> 01:01:56,120
Speaker 2: I'm sorry, second to last. It's close and tackles for

1334
01:01:56,240 --> 01:01:57,920
Speaker 2: loss allowed. Wake Forest is going to be in the

1335
01:01:57,960 --> 01:02:00,960
Speaker 2: backfield all day, just suffocating them. I'd keep an eye

1336
01:02:01,120 --> 01:02:04,360
Speaker 2: on the secondary. I am worried about Patterson and Anderson

1337
01:02:04,440 --> 01:02:05,400
Speaker 2: playing and if.

1338
01:02:05,280 --> 01:02:07,800
Speaker 6: They don't miss tackles, they have been the backstop.

1339
01:02:07,840 --> 01:02:10,080
Speaker 2: The reason the EPA numbers are so high for this

1340
01:02:10,120 --> 01:02:12,760
Speaker 2: wake Forest defense is because of those two safeties. So

1341
01:02:12,800 --> 01:02:15,720
Speaker 2: as long as they're playing, Missisippi State's offensive attack should

1342
01:02:15,720 --> 01:02:19,160
Speaker 2: go nowhere. You know the Deeks will find out figured

1343
01:02:19,160 --> 01:02:19,800
Speaker 2: it out on offense.

1344
01:02:19,840 --> 01:02:22,560
Speaker 6: They usually do. But I do like Wake Forest.

1345
01:02:22,560 --> 01:02:24,880
Speaker 2: I've already got down on them and plan to keep

1346
01:02:25,080 --> 01:02:26,760
Speaker 2: planning to keep hitting it until I find out who's

1347
01:02:26,800 --> 01:02:27,360
Speaker 2: opting out for.

1348
01:02:27,320 --> 01:02:31,120
Speaker 1: Wake Camaro Taylor two rushing touchdowns. You can get North

1349
01:02:31,120 --> 01:02:32,800
Speaker 1: to five to one. You want to have some fun

1350
01:02:32,840 --> 01:02:34,960
Speaker 1: with this game. If their offense is going to be functional,

1351
01:02:35,000 --> 01:02:35,960
Speaker 1: it's going to run through that kid.

1352
01:02:36,040 --> 01:02:37,400
Speaker 2: It's hard to be through the air. Yeah, I mean,

1353
01:02:37,560 --> 01:02:39,000
Speaker 2: that's probably what the offense is going to be.

1354
01:02:39,080 --> 01:02:39,760
Speaker 6: Is just scramble.

1355
01:02:40,080 --> 01:02:42,120
Speaker 4: A lot of scrambling all around in this game from

1356
01:02:42,120 --> 01:02:44,160
Speaker 4: both teams. Before we get out of here. As we

1357
01:02:44,200 --> 01:02:45,920
Speaker 4: doing all our goal season previous. It's time for our

1358
01:02:46,000 --> 01:02:49,160
Speaker 4: DraftKings parlay. We'll each pick our favorite play from this

1359
01:02:49,240 --> 01:02:51,400
Speaker 4: episode for many of the seven Bowl games, throwing a

1360
01:02:51,440 --> 01:02:55,680
Speaker 4: parlay over on DraftKings, Colin, I don't need you to

1361
01:02:55,680 --> 01:02:58,160
Speaker 4: say it again. They just talked about it. You're starting

1362
01:02:58,200 --> 01:03:02,120
Speaker 4: with wake sweetly talk about I'm gonna throw Arizona money

1363
01:03:02,120 --> 01:03:05,480
Speaker 4: line in there. Duck, you're gonna go with the Arizona total.

1364
01:03:05,960 --> 01:03:07,040
Speaker 6: Yeah, we'll go with the total.

1365
01:03:07,080 --> 01:03:08,960
Speaker 5: We just recapped it here, but I think we'll see

1366
01:03:09,040 --> 01:03:11,400
Speaker 5: red zone defense step up here. I think we'll see

1367
01:03:11,840 --> 01:03:15,680
Speaker 5: some havoc which will thwart drives, and we'll go twenty

1368
01:03:15,720 --> 01:03:17,920
Speaker 5: seven to seventeen under the total.

1369
01:03:17,840 --> 01:03:22,400
Speaker 4: And Calbriy's you're going with deck taxes and Navy maybe

1370
01:03:22,680 --> 01:03:23,400
Speaker 4: minus seven.

1371
01:03:23,640 --> 01:03:26,560
Speaker 1: Similar situation Last year, Oklahoma faded late in the season

1372
01:03:26,640 --> 01:03:28,720
Speaker 1: the power for team. They end up losing outright as

1373
01:03:28,760 --> 01:03:31,880
Speaker 1: a favorite to this Navy squad. This Cincinnati team just horrific.

1374
01:03:31,960 --> 01:03:34,280
Speaker 1: In November, all the star players are out. I think

1375
01:03:34,320 --> 01:03:36,000
Speaker 1: Navy wins this one by double digits.

1376
01:03:36,160 --> 01:03:37,760
Speaker 4: All right, So wait plus three, have some of you

1377
01:03:37,800 --> 01:03:40,080
Speaker 4: Arizona under fifty one and a half above that key

1378
01:03:40,200 --> 01:03:44,240
Speaker 4: fifty one Navy minus seven Arizona money Line plus ten

1379
01:03:44,360 --> 01:03:46,840
Speaker 4: seventy three at DraftKings. We'll drop a link in the

1380
01:03:46,840 --> 01:03:50,040
Speaker 4: podcast and YouTube description. We'll also tweet it out. Go

1381
01:03:50,160 --> 01:03:52,120
Speaker 4: use that link to instantly add that bet to your

1382
01:03:52,120 --> 01:03:55,400
Speaker 4: betslip at DraftKings and let's get it home. The crown

1383
01:03:55,960 --> 01:04:00,000
Speaker 4: is yours. So, as I said before, we're not done.

1384
01:04:00,440 --> 01:04:02,760
Speaker 4: We'll be back with another BBOC Live show by the

1385
01:04:02,760 --> 01:04:06,440
Speaker 4: way on Wednesday morning, talking about these games, some updated thoughts,

1386
01:04:06,800 --> 01:04:09,360
Speaker 4: and then we'll Part six for the College Wall semi

1387
01:04:09,360 --> 01:04:14,040
Speaker 4: Finals on Tuesday night, January sixth, and then Part seven

1388
01:04:14,080 --> 01:04:16,840
Speaker 4: for the Natty on Thursday night, the fifteenth. We'll also

1389
01:04:16,880 --> 01:04:19,320
Speaker 4: go live on Championship Monday. And if you want to

1390
01:04:19,360 --> 01:04:21,400
Speaker 4: tail any of the bets we discussed today, I look

1391
01:04:21,400 --> 01:04:23,080
Speaker 4: for the quick slip link in the video and podcast

1392
01:04:23,080 --> 01:04:25,520
Speaker 4: description or visit Action Nework dot com slash bet now

1393
01:04:25,920 --> 01:04:27,960
Speaker 4: if you have a moment you want to leave us

1394
01:04:27,960 --> 01:04:29,560
Speaker 4: a five star review. If we've won you any money

1395
01:04:29,680 --> 01:04:32,080
Speaker 4: all year, we would really appreciate that. Actually, make sure

1396
01:04:32,120 --> 01:04:35,560
Speaker 4: you subscribe on subscribe subscribe to Tel Frintale. Enemy not

1397
01:04:35,600 --> 01:04:38,200
Speaker 4: fully done yet. I just want to express my gratitude

1398
01:04:38,640 --> 01:04:41,240
Speaker 4: to you, all of you guys, our producers, and then

1399
01:04:41,280 --> 01:04:46,560
Speaker 4: most importantly, all of the listeners for another very enjoyable

1400
01:04:46,840 --> 01:04:51,840
Speaker 4: college football season. Let's close it out strong, enjoy the games.

1401
01:04:52,120 --> 01:04:54,320
Speaker 4: Happy New Year. We'll catch you all later. Cheers.

1402
01:04:54,560 --> 01:04:55,000
Speaker 6: Peace Out.

1403
01:05:12,320 --> 01:05:15,800
Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1404
01:05:16,200 --> 01:05:19,040
Speaker 4: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1405
01:05:19,320 --> 01:05:21,960
Speaker 4: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1406
01:05:22,040 --> 01:05:22,840
Speaker 4: hundred Gambler