1 00:00:11,720 --> 00:00:14,680 Speaker 1: Hey, guys, how are you welcome into the Wednesday morning 2 00:00:14,800 --> 00:00:17,080 Speaker 1: edition of the Deal Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Perolt. 3 00:00:17,200 --> 00:00:19,320 Speaker 1: You guys can follow me on Twitter at sports dot 4 00:00:19,400 --> 00:00:22,079 Speaker 1: Matt every morning here on Bettingpros dot com, YouTube for 5 00:00:22,200 --> 00:00:25,000 Speaker 1: video and wherever you get your audio podcast. Bet MGM 6 00:00:25,040 --> 00:00:27,080 Speaker 1: the sponsor. You guys know this ten bucks to win 7 00:00:27,120 --> 00:00:29,520 Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty bucks always art above me on YouTube. 8 00:00:29,880 --> 00:00:34,000 Speaker 1: Promo Codejuice one fifty at BETMGMORTMGM dot com. All right, 9 00:00:34,120 --> 00:00:38,720 Speaker 1: so I come on here and I'm gonna sound Sometimes 10 00:00:38,760 --> 00:00:40,960 Speaker 1: people get angry with me when I kind of start 11 00:00:41,000 --> 00:00:45,479 Speaker 1: talking this way. But I tried something new yesterday and 12 00:00:46,880 --> 00:00:52,000 Speaker 1: I said, well, I want to know if I give 13 00:00:52,000 --> 00:00:54,400 Speaker 1: you guys my full card, Like here's everything I'm betting. 14 00:00:54,400 --> 00:00:58,080 Speaker 1: If I give it to you before everything starts, is 15 00:00:58,120 --> 00:01:00,920 Speaker 1: it easier for you guys to eat, determine what you 16 00:01:00,960 --> 00:01:02,240 Speaker 1: want to bet on and what you don't want to 17 00:01:02,240 --> 00:01:06,040 Speaker 1: bet on because betting overnight has proven to be difficult. 18 00:01:06,080 --> 00:01:09,240 Speaker 1: I mean, I've done this now, this is the we're 19 00:01:09,280 --> 00:01:13,039 Speaker 1: approaching the five We had five hundred yet let's see, 20 00:01:13,520 --> 00:01:16,800 Speaker 1: we're close to five hundred consecutive days of doing the 21 00:01:16,800 --> 00:01:19,959 Speaker 1: Deally Juice and sometimes I've come on in on the 22 00:01:19,959 --> 00:01:21,679 Speaker 1: Discord channel. I'd be like, hey, I had a personal 23 00:01:21,680 --> 00:01:23,200 Speaker 1: play on that, and like, hey, why didn't you tell 24 00:01:23,280 --> 00:01:25,360 Speaker 1: us you had a personal play on that? And I 25 00:01:25,400 --> 00:01:27,360 Speaker 1: don't always like to do that because sometimes I'm jumping in, 26 00:01:27,400 --> 00:01:29,160 Speaker 1: sometimes I'm running, we're running around, and then if I 27 00:01:29,200 --> 00:01:32,559 Speaker 1: do it sometimes and don't do it other times, people 28 00:01:32,600 --> 00:01:35,840 Speaker 1: will get annoyed. But I bring this up because I 29 00:01:35,920 --> 00:01:39,920 Speaker 1: went one in one on my Mac one unit over 30 00:01:40,040 --> 00:01:43,600 Speaker 1: bets the one game I made official. I lost the 31 00:01:43,640 --> 00:01:46,680 Speaker 1: play that I gave out before the game kicked off 32 00:01:46,800 --> 00:01:49,920 Speaker 1: with Buffalo over fifty eight that got there. We missed 33 00:01:49,960 --> 00:01:52,480 Speaker 1: a two point conversion by Eastern Michigan at the end 34 00:01:52,480 --> 00:01:54,720 Speaker 1: of the game, and thus the over sixty one and 35 00:01:54,760 --> 00:01:57,160 Speaker 1: a half doesn't come in. That was frustrating, but I'd 36 00:01:57,160 --> 00:02:00,480 Speaker 1: make that bet every single time we were right there. Unfortunately, 37 00:02:00,520 --> 00:02:04,279 Speaker 1: Eastern Michigan didn't play very well and so best offense 38 00:02:04,320 --> 00:02:06,440 Speaker 1: in the back and they don't get to their even 39 00:02:06,480 --> 00:02:10,520 Speaker 1: their average unfortunately, but Ohio blood clock and Ohio ran 40 00:02:10,600 --> 00:02:13,360 Speaker 1: the ball effectively and tip the cap through Ohio. But 41 00:02:13,800 --> 00:02:16,520 Speaker 1: it's frustrating because it's like, so I go four and two, 42 00:02:16,960 --> 00:02:19,080 Speaker 1: and I know by coming out here and saying I 43 00:02:19,120 --> 00:02:21,720 Speaker 1: went personally four and two. So personally I won on 44 00:02:21,800 --> 00:02:25,120 Speaker 1: the day, but officially the podcast lost on the day. 45 00:02:25,400 --> 00:02:28,840 Speaker 1: But I gave you every play before the plays happened, 46 00:02:30,160 --> 00:02:32,920 Speaker 1: so like it's it's annoying. So like college basketball, I 47 00:02:33,000 --> 00:02:37,040 Speaker 1: went two and one in college basketball, and I went 48 00:02:37,240 --> 00:02:41,240 Speaker 1: one in one in uh or no, So I went 49 00:02:41,240 --> 00:02:44,160 Speaker 1: two and one in college basketball, one in one in football, 50 00:02:44,480 --> 00:02:46,320 Speaker 1: and I went college football and I went want to zero. 51 00:02:46,320 --> 00:02:48,480 Speaker 1: In the NBA, I had the Utah Jazz minus eight 52 00:02:48,520 --> 00:02:51,080 Speaker 1: against the Atlanta Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks on this road trip, 53 00:02:51,080 --> 00:02:53,520 Speaker 1: they are a fade. We've faded in the last two nights. 54 00:02:53,800 --> 00:02:55,520 Speaker 1: They're a faith. They're in real trouble right now. They 55 00:02:55,520 --> 00:02:58,440 Speaker 1: have a horrific schedule. They're not playing well. They're getting 56 00:02:58,440 --> 00:03:00,840 Speaker 1: beat up like crazy. It's it's kind of wild. And 57 00:03:00,840 --> 00:03:05,680 Speaker 1: by the way, the Clint Capella over over a half 58 00:03:05,720 --> 00:03:13,720 Speaker 1: assist prop is bonkers. I mean, just like absolutely bonkers. 59 00:03:14,240 --> 00:03:17,079 Speaker 1: And I mean I think he's gone seven straight games 60 00:03:17,080 --> 00:03:19,600 Speaker 1: where he's had at least one assist, including last night, 61 00:03:19,639 --> 00:03:21,320 Speaker 1: so watch for that. I know the juice is getting 62 00:03:21,320 --> 00:03:23,679 Speaker 1: pretty heavy on it, but it's hitting like every time 63 00:03:23,720 --> 00:03:27,559 Speaker 1: when Capella plays, he's getting one assist. From a prop perspective, 64 00:03:27,720 --> 00:03:29,720 Speaker 1: just heads up, just watch. He's on a hot streak 65 00:03:29,760 --> 00:03:32,000 Speaker 1: right now. We're going with that. So all in all, 66 00:03:32,120 --> 00:03:33,760 Speaker 1: I mean, I'm gonna do it again today. I've got 67 00:03:33,800 --> 00:03:37,880 Speaker 1: four macchin bets for you guys here, all half unit plays, 68 00:03:38,520 --> 00:03:41,360 Speaker 1: and I'm going to probably have more and on my 69 00:03:41,400 --> 00:03:43,680 Speaker 1: personal plays, I will go ahead and give you throughout 70 00:03:43,720 --> 00:03:46,000 Speaker 1: the day. I'll give you my full card again today 71 00:03:46,640 --> 00:03:49,680 Speaker 1: on the Discord channel and on Twitter at Sports Talk 72 00:03:49,760 --> 00:03:52,040 Speaker 1: Matt before the games go off, and we'll just do this. 73 00:03:52,120 --> 00:03:54,680 Speaker 1: I've got some time this week, and it's not always 74 00:03:54,720 --> 00:03:56,320 Speaker 1: going to be like this where I have a little 75 00:03:56,360 --> 00:03:59,160 Speaker 1: bit more downtime than normal, so I can post these 76 00:03:59,160 --> 00:04:02,360 Speaker 1: things early. I'm not playing anything in college basketball as 77 00:04:02,440 --> 00:04:04,480 Speaker 1: of right now. There may be something later. I'm not 78 00:04:04,480 --> 00:04:07,000 Speaker 1: playing anything in the NBA, although I am eyeballing the 79 00:04:07,040 --> 00:04:11,840 Speaker 1: Miami Heat after what happened with the Utah Jazz and 80 00:04:11,960 --> 00:04:16,360 Speaker 1: Yoka getting suspended for a game. We will Heat Lakers 81 00:04:16,400 --> 00:04:18,440 Speaker 1: is an interesting game. I'm eyeing that game, but there 82 00:04:18,440 --> 00:04:19,839 Speaker 1: may be some other games I may jump in there, 83 00:04:19,839 --> 00:04:22,160 Speaker 1: maybe some player props I jump in at but for 84 00:04:22,200 --> 00:04:24,599 Speaker 1: the podcast purposes here. And this is why I always 85 00:04:24,600 --> 00:04:26,760 Speaker 1: say be in the Discord channel or follow me on Twitter, 86 00:04:26,760 --> 00:04:28,920 Speaker 1: because I tell you what I'm doing in both those places, 87 00:04:28,920 --> 00:04:32,200 Speaker 1: more often on the Discord channel than Twitter. But you know, 88 00:04:32,520 --> 00:04:34,800 Speaker 1: be a part of that. The links below me, right here, 89 00:04:34,920 --> 00:04:37,279 Speaker 1: underneath me here on YouTube. I said it again, underneath 90 00:04:37,279 --> 00:04:39,080 Speaker 1: me here on YouTube. You can go ahead and get 91 00:04:39,080 --> 00:04:40,640 Speaker 1: in and be a part of it and be a 92 00:04:40,640 --> 00:04:42,680 Speaker 1: part of the community. You can see the plays if 93 00:04:42,720 --> 00:04:44,680 Speaker 1: you care about what I'm doing, fading or following. If 94 00:04:44,720 --> 00:04:46,360 Speaker 1: I have, I'm making you money by fading me. I 95 00:04:46,400 --> 00:04:48,240 Speaker 1: don't mind. You can fade my place if you would like. 96 00:04:48,480 --> 00:04:51,360 Speaker 1: Duke gets home for us. Unfortunately Michigan State does not. 97 00:04:51,640 --> 00:04:54,080 Speaker 1: So those two cash Nova got home for me. As 98 00:04:54,120 --> 00:04:56,520 Speaker 1: twenty six point favorites, they blow out and get a 99 00:04:56,520 --> 00:04:59,200 Speaker 1: big win. I really like Nova, and that's why I 100 00:04:59,200 --> 00:05:01,560 Speaker 1: gave you Nova for the Biggiest Championship at two units. 101 00:05:01,600 --> 00:05:04,240 Speaker 1: I never do two unit bets, but I really like 102 00:05:04,320 --> 00:05:06,600 Speaker 1: Nova at that price. And I know the price kind 103 00:05:06,600 --> 00:05:09,400 Speaker 1: of changed for some of you. I still think if 104 00:05:09,400 --> 00:05:12,320 Speaker 1: you had any plus money on Nova, it was worth it. 105 00:05:12,640 --> 00:05:16,160 Speaker 1: Like any plus money, you know, Min's one oh five. Fine, 106 00:05:16,360 --> 00:05:19,800 Speaker 1: you know mine's one ten even fine on Villanova to 107 00:05:19,839 --> 00:05:21,600 Speaker 1: win the biggiest. I mean, just look at having to 108 00:05:21,640 --> 00:05:24,680 Speaker 1: Creighton tonight. Creighton almost lost to Arkansas Pine Bluff at home, 109 00:05:25,160 --> 00:05:27,039 Speaker 1: like it's a bye game, Like are you kidding me? 110 00:05:27,560 --> 00:05:30,920 Speaker 1: Not good? But Saint John's looked. Okay, Saint John's was 111 00:05:30,920 --> 00:05:33,440 Speaker 1: at Missisipi. Valley State got beat by fifty by Saint 112 00:05:33,520 --> 00:05:36,880 Speaker 1: John's with like a twenty nine point line. So nothing 113 00:05:37,080 --> 00:05:40,279 Speaker 1: here right now for college basketball. Nothing in the NHL today, 114 00:05:40,320 --> 00:05:44,160 Speaker 1: but two or two games four plays for college football. 115 00:05:44,320 --> 00:05:46,320 Speaker 1: Let's get into it. We're going back to Macchin, which 116 00:05:46,360 --> 00:05:48,400 Speaker 1: I told you I was waiting all season for this. 117 00:05:48,800 --> 00:05:52,480 Speaker 1: And let's start here talking about which game is first 118 00:05:53,400 --> 00:05:57,279 Speaker 1: Kent State Okay, yeah, Ball State in Northern Illinois is 119 00:05:57,360 --> 00:06:00,600 Speaker 1: first games on ESPN two. All right, so you've got 120 00:06:00,640 --> 00:06:03,360 Speaker 1: a team, like, let's talk about the rallying the where 121 00:06:03,360 --> 00:06:06,360 Speaker 1: they are ranking wise here in the Mid American Conference standings. Okay, 122 00:06:07,279 --> 00:06:10,719 Speaker 1: so Ball State is just one game behind Northern in 123 00:06:10,760 --> 00:06:13,640 Speaker 1: the division. Ball State's five and four overall, but three 124 00:06:13,680 --> 00:06:16,159 Speaker 1: and two in the MAC. Northern is four and one. 125 00:06:16,240 --> 00:06:18,960 Speaker 1: They control their own destiny for the MAC Championship game. 126 00:06:18,960 --> 00:06:21,919 Speaker 1: But they've got a home game here against Ball State. 127 00:06:22,360 --> 00:06:24,520 Speaker 1: I didn't like what we saw out of Northern last week, 128 00:06:24,760 --> 00:06:27,400 Speaker 1: all right. Northern got beat by Kent State fifty two 129 00:06:27,440 --> 00:06:29,640 Speaker 1: to forty seven. They had been very good in one 130 00:06:29,680 --> 00:06:32,520 Speaker 1: score games. They've been getting very lucky. They beat Eastern 131 00:06:32,600 --> 00:06:35,880 Speaker 1: Michigan twenty seven to twenty, Toledo twenty two to twenty, 132 00:06:36,360 --> 00:06:40,039 Speaker 1: Bowling Green thirty four to twenty six, Central Michigan thirty 133 00:06:40,120 --> 00:06:42,440 Speaker 1: nine thirty eight, and then losing to Kent State fifty 134 00:06:42,440 --> 00:06:45,039 Speaker 1: two to forty seven. They had been winning all these 135 00:06:45,080 --> 00:06:48,240 Speaker 1: one score tight games in it it Finally the dam 136 00:06:48,360 --> 00:06:52,240 Speaker 1: finally broke last week against Kent State. Here we are 137 00:06:52,279 --> 00:06:55,200 Speaker 1: with ball State coming in off their winover Akron. Didn't 138 00:06:55,200 --> 00:06:57,080 Speaker 1: look good. You could you could easily say they were 139 00:06:57,120 --> 00:07:00,640 Speaker 1: overlooking Akron looking ahead to this game with Northern. They 140 00:07:00,680 --> 00:07:03,320 Speaker 1: won the game thirty one to twenty five. Although Akron 141 00:07:03,320 --> 00:07:05,800 Speaker 1: played pretty well tonight, Akron nearly got a crazy win 142 00:07:05,880 --> 00:07:08,720 Speaker 1: over Western Michigan. So maybe there's something to that that 143 00:07:08,720 --> 00:07:10,840 Speaker 1: Akron is starting to play a little bit better. But 144 00:07:11,320 --> 00:07:13,960 Speaker 1: ball State got the victory. Okay, So here is a 145 00:07:14,000 --> 00:07:17,840 Speaker 1: ball State team Offensive League start looking at the numbers 146 00:07:17,840 --> 00:07:20,760 Speaker 1: for them. They score twenty four point five points per game, 147 00:07:20,760 --> 00:07:24,000 Speaker 1: but Northern gives up thirty six point two points per game. 148 00:07:24,440 --> 00:07:27,560 Speaker 1: They give up six point eight yards per play. They 149 00:07:27,560 --> 00:07:30,480 Speaker 1: give up five point nine yards per rush, and eight 150 00:07:30,560 --> 00:07:34,720 Speaker 1: point one yards per pass play. Northern defense is bad. Okay, 151 00:07:34,760 --> 00:07:37,800 Speaker 1: most defenses in the MAC are bad. They make up 152 00:07:37,840 --> 00:07:40,440 Speaker 1: for it with their offense. Northern's offense is pretty good. 153 00:07:40,520 --> 00:07:43,600 Speaker 1: Thirty point five points per game, that's thirty six best 154 00:07:43,600 --> 00:07:46,520 Speaker 1: in the country, five point six yards per play, four 155 00:07:46,520 --> 00:07:49,440 Speaker 1: point six yards per rush, seven point six yards per 156 00:07:49,440 --> 00:07:52,960 Speaker 1: pass play. Those are all inside the top sixty here 157 00:07:53,280 --> 00:07:55,680 Speaker 1: in the country. And they love to run the football 158 00:07:56,000 --> 00:07:59,440 Speaker 1: for forty six point five rush attempts per game. That's 159 00:07:59,520 --> 00:08:02,840 Speaker 1: six best in the country. And Ball State's defense does 160 00:08:02,880 --> 00:08:05,160 Speaker 1: not stop the run all that well. People like to 161 00:08:05,240 --> 00:08:08,040 Speaker 1: run on four yards per rush forty one point six 162 00:08:08,120 --> 00:08:10,360 Speaker 1: rushes per game, that's one hundred and fifteenth best in 163 00:08:10,400 --> 00:08:11,800 Speaker 1: the country, and they give up one hundred and sixty 164 00:08:11,800 --> 00:08:14,559 Speaker 1: five yards on the ground. Northern runs for two hundred 165 00:08:14,560 --> 00:08:18,320 Speaker 1: and twelve. Okay. Northern likes to run. Passing attacks not bad. 166 00:08:18,400 --> 00:08:20,600 Speaker 1: Although you can throw a lot on Ball States, you 167 00:08:20,600 --> 00:08:22,240 Speaker 1: know they give up two hundred and thirty one yards 168 00:08:22,240 --> 00:08:24,880 Speaker 1: per game through the air, Northern gives up one hundred 169 00:08:24,920 --> 00:08:27,640 Speaker 1: ninety six or accounts for one hundred and ninety six, 170 00:08:27,720 --> 00:08:30,080 Speaker 1: So they would prefer to run the football here, okay, 171 00:08:30,440 --> 00:08:32,920 Speaker 1: but they get big plays all over the place. Ball 172 00:08:32,960 --> 00:08:35,920 Speaker 1: State's gonna be facing a defense for Northern that's just bad, 173 00:08:36,040 --> 00:08:40,080 Speaker 1: and I mean really bad. Ball State's offense hasn't performed 174 00:08:40,120 --> 00:08:42,520 Speaker 1: as well as you would have liked to perform this season, 175 00:08:42,559 --> 00:08:45,280 Speaker 1: but I think it's coming around and they have a 176 00:08:45,400 --> 00:08:49,600 Speaker 1: chance here to get even with Northern and put themselves 177 00:08:49,679 --> 00:08:53,200 Speaker 1: right back in the conversation to win the Mac, which 178 00:08:53,400 --> 00:08:55,120 Speaker 1: a lot of people thought they were going to win 179 00:08:55,160 --> 00:08:57,760 Speaker 1: the MAC this season. So it's a huge game on 180 00:08:57,800 --> 00:09:00,800 Speaker 1: the road. The line is two and a half ball State. 181 00:09:01,520 --> 00:09:04,199 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the road favor here. I'm gonna take 182 00:09:04,240 --> 00:09:07,120 Speaker 1: ball State by under a field goal at minus two 183 00:09:07,200 --> 00:09:09,880 Speaker 1: and a half. But I'm gonna come back as well 184 00:09:10,000 --> 00:09:12,520 Speaker 1: out of half a unit for ball State. But it's 185 00:09:12,559 --> 00:09:15,360 Speaker 1: the Mac, Okay. I'm just this is just you just 186 00:09:15,400 --> 00:09:17,720 Speaker 1: don't bet unders when it comes to this, and I 187 00:09:17,720 --> 00:09:20,440 Speaker 1: don't think either defense is all that good. Ball State 188 00:09:20,480 --> 00:09:23,360 Speaker 1: gives up twenty eight point four points per game. Northern 189 00:09:23,360 --> 00:09:26,160 Speaker 1: gives up thirty six point two points per game. We 190 00:09:26,240 --> 00:09:29,440 Speaker 1: need that to just hold hold sort right there, right 191 00:09:29,520 --> 00:09:32,280 Speaker 1: If we get that final thirty six twenty eight and 192 00:09:32,400 --> 00:09:35,760 Speaker 1: ball State wins the over comes in sixty one and 193 00:09:35,800 --> 00:09:39,000 Speaker 1: a half, we get the over and we get ball 194 00:09:39,040 --> 00:09:42,120 Speaker 1: State to cover half a unit on ball State minus 195 00:09:42,200 --> 00:09:44,720 Speaker 1: two and a half, half a unit on the over, 196 00:09:44,920 --> 00:09:46,880 Speaker 1: sixty one and a half in that damn hook. You 197 00:09:46,920 --> 00:09:49,600 Speaker 1: get sixty one, great, because that hook almost burned us. 198 00:09:49,800 --> 00:09:52,679 Speaker 1: They went for two Eastern Michigan did. If they got it, 199 00:09:53,120 --> 00:09:55,000 Speaker 1: we hit the bet. If they missed it. If you 200 00:09:55,080 --> 00:09:57,840 Speaker 1: had sixty one, you missed that bet. That was a 201 00:09:58,080 --> 00:10:00,160 Speaker 1: bad loss for you. If you had sixty one, you 202 00:10:00,160 --> 00:10:01,600 Speaker 1: thought you were gonna get a push if they kicked 203 00:10:01,600 --> 00:10:04,160 Speaker 1: the extra point and they didn't, so the total hit sixty. 204 00:10:04,800 --> 00:10:06,599 Speaker 1: But I don't think ball State in Northern Illinois. I 205 00:10:06,600 --> 00:10:08,439 Speaker 1: don't think either teams gonna have much success. Stop in 206 00:10:08,480 --> 00:10:10,920 Speaker 1: the other one high scoring game, we're going ball State 207 00:10:10,960 --> 00:10:12,960 Speaker 1: minus two and a half and the over for ball 208 00:10:13,000 --> 00:10:16,920 Speaker 1: State in Northern one full unit on that game. Second 209 00:10:16,920 --> 00:10:20,440 Speaker 1: game Kent State at Central Michigan, I mean, Central Michigan's 210 00:10:20,480 --> 00:10:23,600 Speaker 1: offense is bonkers. It's really good. I mean really, it's 211 00:10:23,640 --> 00:10:27,239 Speaker 1: really really good. They can score, they can move the football. 212 00:10:27,880 --> 00:10:31,360 Speaker 1: I mean, Central Michigan's offense right now is averaging twenty 213 00:10:31,400 --> 00:10:33,720 Speaker 1: eight point six points per game, five point seven yards 214 00:10:33,760 --> 00:10:36,240 Speaker 1: per play, four point two yards per rush, seven point 215 00:10:36,320 --> 00:10:38,800 Speaker 1: five yards per pass play. All those are into the 216 00:10:38,840 --> 00:10:42,160 Speaker 1: top seventy five. Kent State's defense given up thirty eight 217 00:10:42,200 --> 00:10:44,800 Speaker 1: points per game. It's one hundred and twentieth six point 218 00:10:44,840 --> 00:10:47,520 Speaker 1: five yards per pep per play, that's one hundred and 219 00:10:47,520 --> 00:10:50,720 Speaker 1: fourteenth five point two yards per rush, that's one hundred 220 00:10:50,760 --> 00:10:53,360 Speaker 1: and eleventh seven point eight yards per pass play. That's 221 00:10:53,400 --> 00:10:56,720 Speaker 1: eighty eighth. But I mean they just look. Kent gives 222 00:10:56,760 --> 00:10:59,240 Speaker 1: up big. Kent State gives up scores, okay, I mean 223 00:10:59,280 --> 00:11:02,280 Speaker 1: they gave up fifty two, well sorry, forty seven last 224 00:11:02,280 --> 00:11:05,000 Speaker 1: week to Northern they scored fifty two, give up twenty 225 00:11:05,000 --> 00:11:08,520 Speaker 1: seven to Ohio. They gave up sixty four to Western Michigan, 226 00:11:08,679 --> 00:11:10,880 Speaker 1: they gave up thirty eight to Buffalo, and gave up 227 00:11:10,920 --> 00:11:15,400 Speaker 1: twenty to Bowling Green. Scoring wise, they scored fifty two 228 00:11:15,559 --> 00:11:18,280 Speaker 1: last week, thirty four the week before, and thirty one 229 00:11:18,640 --> 00:11:21,199 Speaker 1: and forty eight in the last four games. They scored 230 00:11:21,200 --> 00:11:24,120 Speaker 1: at least thirty one points in all four games. The 231 00:11:24,120 --> 00:11:27,240 Speaker 1: Golden Flashes are four and one in the MAC right now, 232 00:11:27,280 --> 00:11:31,600 Speaker 1: and they are sitting atop here for the division. Now, 233 00:11:31,640 --> 00:11:34,679 Speaker 1: Central's three and two, and they're equally trying to keep pace. Here, 234 00:11:34,960 --> 00:11:38,199 Speaker 1: Ball State beats Northern like we're talking about, and Central 235 00:11:38,240 --> 00:11:41,960 Speaker 1: wins this game, Northern Ball State and Central Michigan will 236 00:11:41,960 --> 00:11:44,360 Speaker 1: all be four and two on that side of the 237 00:11:44,440 --> 00:11:47,480 Speaker 1: bracket in the division in the MAC. Huge game for 238 00:11:47,600 --> 00:11:49,800 Speaker 1: the Chippewas. Here, and this is where I think this 239 00:11:49,920 --> 00:11:52,760 Speaker 1: offense gets rolling. This line also is minus two and 240 00:11:52,800 --> 00:11:56,880 Speaker 1: a half and the total is seventy five seventy five. 241 00:11:57,280 --> 00:12:01,120 Speaker 1: Why well, it's because these defenses are really bad. Central 242 00:12:01,160 --> 00:12:03,880 Speaker 1: gives up thirty two points a game. Kent gives up 243 00:12:04,000 --> 00:12:07,920 Speaker 1: thirty eight points per game, thirty eight points on defense. 244 00:12:07,960 --> 00:12:11,720 Speaker 1: I mean, my goodness you on average. Yikes. They give 245 00:12:11,800 --> 00:12:15,440 Speaker 1: up five hundred and twenty two yards per game. Kent 246 00:12:15,480 --> 00:12:19,640 Speaker 1: State's defense does they can't tackle you for four hundred 247 00:12:19,640 --> 00:12:22,240 Speaker 1: and fifty one yards overall given up by Central Michigan. 248 00:12:22,280 --> 00:12:24,640 Speaker 1: They're not much better six yards per play three point 249 00:12:24,720 --> 00:12:28,440 Speaker 1: eight yards per rush nine point three yards per pass play. 250 00:12:28,559 --> 00:12:31,440 Speaker 1: Kent can throw all over this Chipawa defense. They don't 251 00:12:31,440 --> 00:12:33,360 Speaker 1: tackle very well either, but you can throw all over 252 00:12:33,400 --> 00:12:36,280 Speaker 1: these dudes. Eight yards per pass play for Kent, nine 253 00:12:36,320 --> 00:12:38,720 Speaker 1: point three yards per play. It's one hundred and twenty 254 00:12:38,760 --> 00:12:44,000 Speaker 1: in the country. Oh my goodness, gracious, Kent does cause 255 00:12:44,080 --> 00:12:47,800 Speaker 1: turnovers two turnovers takeaways a game that's eleventh best in 256 00:12:47,840 --> 00:12:50,000 Speaker 1: the country, and they don't give the ball away just 257 00:12:50,080 --> 00:12:52,719 Speaker 1: point six that's second best in the country. So they 258 00:12:52,720 --> 00:12:55,080 Speaker 1: turn the ball over and they don't turn the ball 259 00:12:55,080 --> 00:12:58,360 Speaker 1: over themselves. Big key to this game. Central can't turn 260 00:12:58,360 --> 00:13:01,880 Speaker 1: the football over. Central's not bad, though. They have one 261 00:13:01,880 --> 00:13:04,679 Speaker 1: point one giveaways a game, not great, that's thirty ninth 262 00:13:04,720 --> 00:13:07,200 Speaker 1: best in the country though, and then they have one 263 00:13:07,360 --> 00:13:09,800 Speaker 1: takeaway a game that's ninety ninth best in the country. 264 00:13:09,840 --> 00:13:12,719 Speaker 1: So they got to be very careful of that opportunistic 265 00:13:12,800 --> 00:13:14,679 Speaker 1: Kent defense to turn the football over. But I don't 266 00:13:14,679 --> 00:13:16,679 Speaker 1: think the Chippewa is gonna do that. I think the 267 00:13:16,760 --> 00:13:20,200 Speaker 1: Chippewas at home here understand the opportunity that's in front 268 00:13:20,240 --> 00:13:21,920 Speaker 1: of them, and I think there could be some scoreboard 269 00:13:21,960 --> 00:13:23,920 Speaker 1: watching going on. And if ball State gets out big 270 00:13:23,920 --> 00:13:26,680 Speaker 1: on Northern. I think Kent State could be in trouble here, 271 00:13:26,720 --> 00:13:29,760 Speaker 1: but this is a game where neither team's gonna stop 272 00:13:29,800 --> 00:13:32,200 Speaker 1: the other. Really, just like the other game Ball State 273 00:13:32,200 --> 00:13:36,240 Speaker 1: in Northern. The number seventy five, I don't care, I'm 274 00:13:36,280 --> 00:13:39,760 Speaker 1: going over. We're laying the over seventy five. It's gonna 275 00:13:39,760 --> 00:13:42,320 Speaker 1: be like a fifty five to fifty type football game. 276 00:13:42,360 --> 00:13:45,880 Speaker 1: It's gonna be really typical mac football. It's on ESPN. 277 00:13:46,000 --> 00:13:49,280 Speaker 1: You kick your heels up and watch offense, offense, offense. 278 00:13:49,320 --> 00:13:51,719 Speaker 1: But I am going to take the home favored here 279 00:13:51,760 --> 00:13:53,320 Speaker 1: and I'm gonna lay the two and a half points 280 00:13:53,600 --> 00:13:57,400 Speaker 1: with Central against Kent because I don't think Ken State's 281 00:13:57,400 --> 00:14:00,720 Speaker 1: defense on the road will travel well enough. And I 282 00:14:00,720 --> 00:14:03,400 Speaker 1: think you're gonna see just a ton of offense being 283 00:14:03,480 --> 00:14:07,040 Speaker 1: given up here between these two teams. Five hundred five 284 00:14:07,160 --> 00:14:10,040 Speaker 1: hundred yards of total offense per game given up for Kent, 285 00:14:10,080 --> 00:14:12,559 Speaker 1: but nearly over four hundred and twenty yards of offense 286 00:14:12,600 --> 00:14:16,160 Speaker 1: given up by the Chippewas. I think Kent throws, I 287 00:14:16,200 --> 00:14:19,680 Speaker 1: think crumb their quarterback eleven touchdowns to two interceptions. This 288 00:14:19,760 --> 00:14:21,920 Speaker 1: kid's gonna sling it all over the place. But I 289 00:14:21,920 --> 00:14:26,480 Speaker 1: mean Central Michigan's quarterback has played very very well this year. 290 00:14:26,600 --> 00:14:30,440 Speaker 1: Dana Richardson's got fifteen touchdowns to two interceptions. Both these 291 00:14:30,480 --> 00:14:33,120 Speaker 1: offenses moved the football seventy five. You can't put a 292 00:14:33,160 --> 00:14:36,520 Speaker 1: number high enough for this total over half a unit 293 00:14:36,640 --> 00:14:38,920 Speaker 1: seventy five, laying the two and a half with the 294 00:14:38,960 --> 00:14:41,880 Speaker 1: Chippewas at home as well for a half a unit. Right, 295 00:14:41,960 --> 00:14:46,040 Speaker 1: So four plays on maction, all half a unit plays 296 00:14:46,920 --> 00:14:50,160 Speaker 1: and probably add on with basketball and hockey later on 297 00:14:50,200 --> 00:14:52,240 Speaker 1: in the program later on the day coming up here. 298 00:14:52,240 --> 00:14:54,480 Speaker 1: There may be something I'm an eyeball, something will get 299 00:14:54,520 --> 00:14:58,000 Speaker 1: involved with later on. But we got a big day Thursday. 300 00:14:58,040 --> 00:15:00,680 Speaker 1: We got that North Carolina pit game on Thursday. We 301 00:15:00,800 --> 00:15:02,800 Speaker 1: got Thursday night football as well, So we've got a 302 00:15:02,800 --> 00:15:06,000 Speaker 1: lot of things going on. But I will have either 303 00:15:06,120 --> 00:15:08,320 Speaker 1: player props or something else to give you guys during 304 00:15:08,360 --> 00:15:10,640 Speaker 1: the discord channel later on today. But right now, we're 305 00:15:10,680 --> 00:15:14,480 Speaker 1: going the two favorites Ball State minus two and a half, 306 00:15:15,200 --> 00:15:19,760 Speaker 1: chipwas minus two and a half over in both these games. 307 00:15:19,840 --> 00:15:22,960 Speaker 1: We're jumping on here over sixty one and a half 308 00:15:23,000 --> 00:15:26,760 Speaker 1: in over seventy five for Mactionin talk to leader on 309 00:15:26,720 --> 00:15:28,440 Speaker 1: the Discord channel manas Matt Paroltz to follow me on 310 00:15:28,440 --> 00:15:30,600 Speaker 1: Twitter at Sports Talking Matt. Each and every morning it 311 00:15:30,640 --> 00:15:44,040 Speaker 1: is Diligence Podcast right here on bettingpros dot com