1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:01,599 Speaker 1: Hey, guys, Saga and Crystal here. 2 00:00:01,680 --> 00:00:05,200 Speaker 2: Independent media just played a truly massive role in this election, 3 00:00:05,360 --> 00:00:07,840 Speaker 2: and we are so excited about what that means for 4 00:00:07,880 --> 00:00:08,720 Speaker 2: the future of this show. 5 00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:10,719 Speaker 3: This is the only place where you can find honest 6 00:00:10,760 --> 00:00:13,239 Speaker 3: perspectives from the left and the right that simply does 7 00:00:13,320 --> 00:00:14,680 Speaker 3: not exist anywhere else. 8 00:00:14,760 --> 00:00:17,080 Speaker 2: So if that is something that's important to you, please 9 00:00:17,120 --> 00:00:19,599 Speaker 2: go to Breakingpoints dot com. Become a member today and 10 00:00:19,640 --> 00:00:22,800 Speaker 2: you'll get access to our full shows, unedited, ad free, 11 00:00:22,800 --> 00:00:25,600 Speaker 2: and all put together for you every morning in your inbox. 12 00:00:25,680 --> 00:00:27,560 Speaker 3: We need your help to build the future of independent 13 00:00:27,560 --> 00:00:29,920 Speaker 3: news media and we hope to see you at Breakingpoints 14 00:00:29,960 --> 00:00:35,800 Speaker 3: dot com. All right, let's get too inflations and troubling 15 00:00:35,800 --> 00:00:40,839 Speaker 3: news for the Trump administration. CNBC reacting live, little bit dramatic, 16 00:00:40,880 --> 00:00:41,960 Speaker 3: but it is important. 17 00:00:42,000 --> 00:00:43,160 Speaker 1: On the last let's take a list. 18 00:00:43,520 --> 00:00:46,120 Speaker 4: Let's very quickly look through these boards again. As Rick 19 00:00:46,280 --> 00:00:49,040 Speaker 4: was pointing out, we looked at the equities tank. You're 20 00:00:49,080 --> 00:00:51,200 Speaker 4: now looking at the Dow futures off by about four 21 00:00:51,240 --> 00:00:53,120 Speaker 4: hundred points, just over four hundred points. 22 00:00:53,159 --> 00:00:54,080 Speaker 1: SMP futures are. 23 00:00:53,960 --> 00:00:56,600 Speaker 4: Down by fifty seven. NAZAC indicated down by more than 24 00:00:56,600 --> 00:00:57,600 Speaker 4: two hundred and twenty points. 25 00:00:57,800 --> 00:00:59,440 Speaker 5: The focus was going to be on the core year 26 00:00:59,440 --> 00:01:02,639 Speaker 5: every year three two would have been bad, and what 27 00:01:02,640 --> 00:01:06,320 Speaker 5: we got was worse. Right, So, you know, it's really 28 00:01:06,319 --> 00:01:08,440 Speaker 5: disappointing news for the Fed that they were hoping for 29 00:01:09,120 --> 00:01:12,000 Speaker 5: continued decelerations, disappointing for the market because they're hoping for 30 00:01:12,040 --> 00:01:15,280 Speaker 5: continued deceleration and the fact that this is a January 31 00:01:15,360 --> 00:01:18,560 Speaker 5: number and doesn't include any potential you know, tariff impact 32 00:01:18,680 --> 00:01:22,280 Speaker 5: yet you know, means that you know, the risk going 33 00:01:22,319 --> 00:01:24,080 Speaker 5: forward is for potentially higher inflation. 34 00:01:25,040 --> 00:01:28,160 Speaker 4: It comes just after Donald Trump put out on truth 35 00:01:28,200 --> 00:01:30,800 Speaker 4: Social the idea that the Fed should be lowering rates 36 00:01:30,840 --> 00:01:32,600 Speaker 4: to go along with the tariffs, that we could be 37 00:01:32,640 --> 00:01:33,160 Speaker 4: at this time. 38 00:01:33,160 --> 00:01:34,679 Speaker 1: This was the Fed in a pretty tight box. 39 00:01:34,720 --> 00:01:36,920 Speaker 4: It's hard pressed for them to be able to lower 40 00:01:37,240 --> 00:01:38,000 Speaker 4: rates at this point. 41 00:01:38,080 --> 00:01:40,280 Speaker 5: Well it does, I mean you need to. You know, 42 00:01:40,319 --> 00:01:42,319 Speaker 5: they shouldn't have been lowering rates in the first place. 43 00:01:42,560 --> 00:01:44,880 Speaker 5: So that's the they kind of got themselves into a box. 44 00:01:44,920 --> 00:01:47,520 Speaker 5: They tried to get in front of things heading into 45 00:01:47,520 --> 00:01:51,279 Speaker 5: the election, and they went a little too far, too fast, 46 00:01:51,680 --> 00:01:55,240 Speaker 5: and then they continued easing even when you know, everything 47 00:01:55,320 --> 00:01:57,120 Speaker 5: should have been telling them that they should have been stopping. 48 00:01:57,240 --> 00:01:59,920 Speaker 6: This is that nascent inflation that we were worried was, 49 00:02:01,120 --> 00:02:02,520 Speaker 6: you know, in the back of our minds, we were 50 00:02:02,520 --> 00:02:04,840 Speaker 6: worried that it was still there. Well, isn't that what 51 00:02:05,440 --> 00:02:08,080 Speaker 6: we're seeing right now? This is like our worst nightmare 52 00:02:08,240 --> 00:02:10,680 Speaker 6: coming true. We didn't do anything, We didn't do any tariffs, 53 00:02:10,760 --> 00:02:13,280 Speaker 6: yet this was already coming. 54 00:02:13,680 --> 00:02:15,840 Speaker 3: So you can see they're freaking out. And let's put 55 00:02:15,880 --> 00:02:18,800 Speaker 3: C three up there on the screen. This actually is 56 00:02:18,840 --> 00:02:21,880 Speaker 3: the tear sheet that just shows some of the inflation data. 57 00:02:22,000 --> 00:02:25,320 Speaker 3: So inflation heating up in January, freezing the FED. The 58 00:02:25,320 --> 00:02:29,440 Speaker 3: consumer price index rose some three percent fight against inflation. 59 00:02:29,600 --> 00:02:32,839 Speaker 3: What was actually troubling is if you look actually inside 60 00:02:33,240 --> 00:02:37,200 Speaker 3: of what was creating some of the inflation, core prices 61 00:02:37,360 --> 00:02:40,400 Speaker 3: quote which strip out food and energy, rose point four. 62 00:02:40,680 --> 00:02:43,760 Speaker 3: Core inflation was three point three percent year over year. 63 00:02:44,040 --> 00:02:46,919 Speaker 3: Egg prices, though seemed to be accounting for a lot 64 00:02:46,919 --> 00:02:50,960 Speaker 3: of this, rose more than fifteen percent from December with 65 00:02:51,080 --> 00:02:54,600 Speaker 3: the bird flu outbreak, and that accounted for two thirds 66 00:02:54,639 --> 00:02:59,120 Speaker 3: of the monthly increase in overall grocery prices. So you 67 00:02:59,160 --> 00:03:01,680 Speaker 3: can tell that this is going to be a damaging 68 00:03:01,880 --> 00:03:05,679 Speaker 3: part for the economy. It's also one of those elastic 69 00:03:05,800 --> 00:03:09,480 Speaker 3: things where because people go to the grocery store every week. 70 00:03:09,800 --> 00:03:12,280 Speaker 3: When you watch the price tick up over week, it's 71 00:03:12,320 --> 00:03:16,520 Speaker 3: like gas where you feel it way more than in 72 00:03:16,560 --> 00:03:19,280 Speaker 3: a way of a mortgage bump fromzero point five percent, 73 00:03:19,480 --> 00:03:21,760 Speaker 3: you know, from six point five percent to seven percent, 74 00:03:22,000 --> 00:03:22,519 Speaker 3: even though. 75 00:03:22,360 --> 00:03:23,919 Speaker 1: Frankly the latter one will hit you more. 76 00:03:23,919 --> 00:03:27,680 Speaker 3: But yeah, that's one where you can really see how 77 00:03:27,800 --> 00:03:31,800 Speaker 3: this can become politically damaging in the future for Trump 78 00:03:32,280 --> 00:03:35,640 Speaker 3: could effective thinking on tariffs right now, I mean, right now, 79 00:03:35,640 --> 00:03:38,280 Speaker 3: what's going into effect either today or tomorrow. Are these 80 00:03:38,360 --> 00:03:42,240 Speaker 3: reciprocal tariffs, which basically says whatever a country charges us, 81 00:03:42,320 --> 00:03:44,880 Speaker 3: we're going to charge them. This largely going to be 82 00:03:44,920 --> 00:03:49,680 Speaker 3: felt at the manufacturing manufacturing level. It may trickle down 83 00:03:49,760 --> 00:03:52,600 Speaker 3: but in different ways. As in if we specifically we're 84 00:03:52,640 --> 00:03:56,000 Speaker 3: talking about steel and aluminum, we had steel in terariffs before. 85 00:03:56,160 --> 00:03:57,760 Speaker 1: Even if it's twenty five percent, that's. 86 00:03:57,600 --> 00:04:00,280 Speaker 3: Just really not going to impact the overall US me 87 00:04:00,280 --> 00:04:01,920 Speaker 3: in the same way that like a ring tariff for 88 00:04:02,120 --> 00:04:05,800 Speaker 3: the Canada Mexico tariff. But this, in my opinion, will 89 00:04:05,840 --> 00:04:09,960 Speaker 3: be the eternal dance between the Trump administration and also 90 00:04:10,080 --> 00:04:12,840 Speaker 3: really with the FED. I mean right now, the Federal reserve, 91 00:04:12,960 --> 00:04:15,200 Speaker 3: as they were talking about on CNBC's Frozen in Place. 92 00:04:15,320 --> 00:04:18,000 Speaker 3: Trump wants to lower the race. Elon also wants to 93 00:04:18,000 --> 00:04:20,120 Speaker 3: lower the rates, which we'll talk about in the future. 94 00:04:20,200 --> 00:04:23,240 Speaker 3: It's very important. It's one of the reasons why the 95 00:04:23,440 --> 00:04:26,200 Speaker 3: stock market all that is so reactive to this inflation 96 00:04:26,279 --> 00:04:27,800 Speaker 3: data is specifically. 97 00:04:27,400 --> 00:04:28,240 Speaker 1: A borrowing race. 98 00:04:28,440 --> 00:04:30,839 Speaker 3: But probably most important for everybody watching this show is 99 00:04:30,839 --> 00:04:33,360 Speaker 3: how it impacts your car loans and your ability to 100 00:04:33,400 --> 00:04:36,599 Speaker 3: get a mortgage. And I'm still pretty worried because that's 101 00:04:36,600 --> 00:04:39,680 Speaker 3: where i think the dread and the existential anks for 102 00:04:39,720 --> 00:04:42,719 Speaker 3: a lot of Americans will come from, which would translate 103 00:04:42,760 --> 00:04:45,240 Speaker 3: politically for Trump. We're still talking about an average mortgage 104 00:04:45,279 --> 00:04:47,440 Speaker 3: rate right now about six point nine percent. I mean, 105 00:04:47,440 --> 00:04:50,120 Speaker 3: that's crazy high compared to where things were four years ago. 106 00:04:50,240 --> 00:04:53,000 Speaker 2: There is a cost of living crisis that strives a 107 00:04:53,040 --> 00:04:56,120 Speaker 2: lot of our politics, and housing is a major component 108 00:04:56,120 --> 00:04:57,799 Speaker 2: of it. We're going to cover in the Dems block 109 00:04:58,040 --> 00:05:00,680 Speaker 2: a piece in Politico that was really interesting talking about 110 00:05:00,680 --> 00:05:04,279 Speaker 2: how our macroeconomic data does not reflect the reality for 111 00:05:04,360 --> 00:05:07,320 Speaker 2: most poor, working and middle class Americans. And one of 112 00:05:07,400 --> 00:05:09,599 Speaker 2: the things they break down there is, you know, even 113 00:05:09,640 --> 00:05:12,800 Speaker 2: the inflation metrics that we use like to your point, 114 00:05:12,839 --> 00:05:15,120 Speaker 2: sagare uses a basket of some eighty thousand goods or 115 00:05:15,160 --> 00:05:18,039 Speaker 2: something like that. Obviously, you normal person are not buying 116 00:05:18,080 --> 00:05:20,560 Speaker 2: all eighty thousand of those goods to get that average 117 00:05:20,600 --> 00:05:24,680 Speaker 2: three point three percent or whatever inflation increase. So when 118 00:05:24,720 --> 00:05:28,040 Speaker 2: the components of that basket are things that disproportionately make 119 00:05:28,120 --> 00:05:32,400 Speaker 2: up your budget, things like eggs, things like gas, things 120 00:05:32,440 --> 00:05:36,320 Speaker 2: like rent, then guess what your actual personal in your 121 00:05:36,360 --> 00:05:39,520 Speaker 2: household inflation rate that you're experiencing is going to be 122 00:05:39,880 --> 00:05:42,680 Speaker 2: much much higher than what the top line number is. 123 00:05:43,080 --> 00:05:46,320 Speaker 2: And that's what we're seeing right now, continuation obviously of 124 00:05:46,720 --> 00:05:48,960 Speaker 2: some of the trends from the Biden administration, but also 125 00:05:49,760 --> 00:05:52,839 Speaker 2: you know, with some specific new flavors. In particular, obviously 126 00:05:52,839 --> 00:05:55,720 Speaker 2: the egg price thing is directly related to the continued 127 00:05:55,720 --> 00:05:58,280 Speaker 2: spread of av and flu, which you know a lot 128 00:05:58,279 --> 00:06:01,039 Speaker 2: of experts are really worried about, obviously from the health perspective, 129 00:06:01,320 --> 00:06:04,360 Speaker 2: but also if you have a flock of chickens that 130 00:06:04,520 --> 00:06:07,320 Speaker 2: a few of the chickens have avian flu, you have 131 00:06:07,400 --> 00:06:10,560 Speaker 2: to put down entire flock. And this has led to 132 00:06:10,720 --> 00:06:14,680 Speaker 2: incredible scarcity in terms of eggs. It's led to aggressioning 133 00:06:14,880 --> 00:06:17,919 Speaker 2: in certain places, and it's also led to this gigantic spike. 134 00:06:18,000 --> 00:06:20,799 Speaker 2: And of course eggs go into a lot of different things. 135 00:06:20,880 --> 00:06:24,040 Speaker 2: People use eggs for a lot of different baking, cooking, etc. 136 00:06:24,600 --> 00:06:27,039 Speaker 2: So all of those dishes would be affected as well. 137 00:06:27,080 --> 00:06:29,719 Speaker 2: And gas prices have also been going up, So not 138 00:06:29,800 --> 00:06:31,640 Speaker 2: a good picture for them as they want to, you know, 139 00:06:31,680 --> 00:06:33,680 Speaker 2: I mean, I don't think you would deny that if 140 00:06:33,720 --> 00:06:36,040 Speaker 2: there is an additional if there is a more aggressive 141 00:06:36,080 --> 00:06:40,919 Speaker 2: terror regime, if there's a more aggressive even mass deportation push, 142 00:06:41,080 --> 00:06:43,360 Speaker 2: that is going to increase prices in the short term. 143 00:06:43,440 --> 00:06:47,320 Speaker 2: Trump seems to be betting that that isn't actually why 144 00:06:47,320 --> 00:06:50,200 Speaker 2: people voted for him, like the promise of getting prices down. 145 00:06:50,279 --> 00:06:51,880 Speaker 7: He's trying to change the subject. 146 00:06:52,080 --> 00:06:55,000 Speaker 2: And actually we have a good example of that in 147 00:06:55,040 --> 00:06:58,520 Speaker 2: his interview with Brett Barwy gets asked directly about prices 148 00:06:58,560 --> 00:06:59,440 Speaker 2: and when people. 149 00:06:59,240 --> 00:07:01,240 Speaker 7: Can expect to see them come down. This is C two. 150 00:07:01,320 --> 00:07:02,040 Speaker 7: Let's listen to that. 151 00:07:02,320 --> 00:07:04,240 Speaker 8: When do you think families would be able to feel 152 00:07:04,880 --> 00:07:07,640 Speaker 8: prices going down groceries, energy or are you kind of 153 00:07:07,640 --> 00:07:11,560 Speaker 8: saying to them, hang on, inflation may get worse until 154 00:07:11,560 --> 00:07:13,679 Speaker 8: it gets better. No, I think we're going to become 155 00:07:13,720 --> 00:07:16,200 Speaker 8: a rich Look, we're not that rich right now. We 156 00:07:16,240 --> 00:07:18,800 Speaker 8: owe thirty six trillion dollars. That's because we let all 157 00:07:18,880 --> 00:07:22,360 Speaker 8: these nations take advantage of us same thing, like two 158 00:07:22,480 --> 00:07:25,320 Speaker 8: hundred billion with Canada, whill three hundred we have a 159 00:07:25,400 --> 00:07:28,280 Speaker 8: deficit with Mexico of three hundred and fifty billion dollars. 160 00:07:28,320 --> 00:07:29,080 Speaker 1: I'm not going to do that. 161 00:07:29,560 --> 00:07:32,920 Speaker 2: So it's very telling. He dodges the question completely and 162 00:07:32,960 --> 00:07:34,160 Speaker 2: then starts talking. 163 00:07:33,800 --> 00:07:35,960 Speaker 3: About answer that question. You shouldn't be like it's going 164 00:07:36,040 --> 00:07:38,200 Speaker 3: to come out next to no any politicis you're dead. 165 00:07:38,080 --> 00:07:39,840 Speaker 2: Would be d Yeah, But it's interesting what he shifts 166 00:07:39,840 --> 00:07:42,200 Speaker 2: the conversation to. He shifts it to tariffs, like that's 167 00:07:42,240 --> 00:07:44,280 Speaker 2: where he goes that when he starts talking about Mexico's 168 00:07:44,320 --> 00:07:47,040 Speaker 2: trade deficit, that's what he's talking about there. So it's 169 00:07:47,040 --> 00:07:49,720 Speaker 2: almost implicit acknowledgment of like, well, I'm not really doing 170 00:07:49,720 --> 00:07:52,040 Speaker 2: the price get the prices down thing, but we're going 171 00:07:52,080 --> 00:07:53,560 Speaker 2: to be rich on the other side of it because 172 00:07:53,560 --> 00:07:55,200 Speaker 2: these other things I'm doing with regards I mean. 173 00:07:55,160 --> 00:07:57,360 Speaker 3: As you and I know, there's no magic wand of 174 00:07:57,600 --> 00:08:01,000 Speaker 3: just like lower prices, there's no such thing that doesn't exist. 175 00:08:01,200 --> 00:08:03,000 Speaker 1: Now. The problem is. 176 00:08:02,880 --> 00:08:05,760 Speaker 3: That people promise it on the campaign trail when I 177 00:08:05,800 --> 00:08:08,800 Speaker 3: guess everybody knows that it's literally not true. Unfortunately, people 178 00:08:08,960 --> 00:08:11,080 Speaker 3: seem to believe it's true. Let's go ahead and put 179 00:08:11,320 --> 00:08:13,280 Speaker 3: BC four please up. 180 00:08:13,200 --> 00:08:16,360 Speaker 1: On the screen. This is getting to what you're talking about. 181 00:08:16,360 --> 00:08:20,360 Speaker 3: How there are now Trader Joes in one jurisdiction is 182 00:08:20,520 --> 00:08:25,840 Speaker 3: limiting egg purchases very you know, reminiscent lack costco This 183 00:08:25,960 --> 00:08:28,840 Speaker 3: is reminiscent of some of the covid era shortages that 184 00:08:28,880 --> 00:08:29,880 Speaker 3: we saw previously. 185 00:08:30,080 --> 00:08:31,720 Speaker 1: C five please you. 186 00:08:31,680 --> 00:08:34,920 Speaker 3: Can see that eggs not only soored some thirteen point 187 00:08:34,920 --> 00:08:37,040 Speaker 3: eight percent in January, but are up fifty three percent 188 00:08:37,040 --> 00:08:39,720 Speaker 3: from a year ago, largest increase in the egg index 189 00:08:39,760 --> 00:08:42,839 Speaker 3: since June of twenty fifteen, and accounted for about two 190 00:08:42,960 --> 00:08:45,880 Speaker 3: thirds of the monthly food at home increase. 191 00:08:45,960 --> 00:08:47,240 Speaker 1: So this is one. 192 00:08:47,120 --> 00:08:50,000 Speaker 3: Where as you said, people are really going to feel it, 193 00:08:50,600 --> 00:08:53,079 Speaker 3: and it's a battle about not only cost of living, 194 00:08:53,120 --> 00:08:54,920 Speaker 3: but also about the vision in the future that the 195 00:08:54,960 --> 00:08:58,560 Speaker 3: Trump administration is able to offer if they just do 196 00:08:58,800 --> 00:09:01,360 Speaker 3: tariffs and then they don't really do anything else like 197 00:09:01,360 --> 00:09:04,480 Speaker 3: they had talked about external revenue or previously in the 198 00:09:04,520 --> 00:09:07,360 Speaker 3: first Trump administration, they were actually cutting checks for relief 199 00:09:07,400 --> 00:09:08,280 Speaker 3: for a lot of farmers. 200 00:09:08,520 --> 00:09:09,520 Speaker 1: So even though that. 201 00:09:09,520 --> 00:09:12,200 Speaker 3: They had reduced sales, the government was actually replacing that 202 00:09:12,240 --> 00:09:14,880 Speaker 3: revenue with the tariff revenue, which I think is totally reasonable. 203 00:09:15,640 --> 00:09:19,920 Speaker 3: That it gets to effective administration of the way that 204 00:09:19,960 --> 00:09:23,400 Speaker 3: this is done and effective buy in from the public. 205 00:09:23,800 --> 00:09:25,959 Speaker 3: As you said on mass deportation, I mean, yeah, I'm 206 00:09:25,960 --> 00:09:29,480 Speaker 3: being honest, It's true it probably will. That said mass 207 00:09:29,520 --> 00:09:32,600 Speaker 3: deportation isn't really happening, which is the secondary thing that 208 00:09:32,679 --> 00:09:35,240 Speaker 3: we could talk about. Nobody seems to be paying attention. 209 00:09:35,320 --> 00:09:37,080 Speaker 3: I'm just like, hold on a second. If we're looking 210 00:09:37,080 --> 00:09:39,120 Speaker 3: at these, I mean, good, listen, it's good. The numbers 211 00:09:39,160 --> 00:09:44,679 Speaker 3: are higher, not like crazy high, effectively just demonstrating how 212 00:09:44,720 --> 00:09:48,080 Speaker 3: difficult it is under the current regime of budgets, and 213 00:09:48,160 --> 00:09:50,600 Speaker 3: even with the way that ICE and all. 214 00:09:50,520 --> 00:09:51,880 Speaker 1: That is currently constituted. 215 00:09:51,880 --> 00:09:55,120 Speaker 3: They're currently talking about deputizing like other agrants and other 216 00:09:55,280 --> 00:09:57,920 Speaker 3: because they don't haven't they don't have enough personnel. I 217 00:09:57,960 --> 00:10:00,240 Speaker 3: mean Tom Holman himself even said he's like, look could 218 00:10:00,280 --> 00:10:02,319 Speaker 3: work under our current budget. We wouldn't even be able 219 00:10:02,320 --> 00:10:05,000 Speaker 3: to deport all of people who are criminals, who are deportable, 220 00:10:05,160 --> 00:10:07,760 Speaker 3: let alone have some mass deportation. And then that's a 221 00:10:07,760 --> 00:10:10,080 Speaker 3: big question. Will that Democrats fight that, Are they going 222 00:10:10,120 --> 00:10:11,400 Speaker 3: to shut down the government over it? 223 00:10:12,040 --> 00:10:13,600 Speaker 1: Which they've said no, But. 224 00:10:13,559 --> 00:10:16,440 Speaker 3: We'll see will the Republicans even give them the funding, 225 00:10:16,520 --> 00:10:18,840 Speaker 3: because if it's all about prices and all that, that'd 226 00:10:18,880 --> 00:10:21,360 Speaker 3: be an easy way to hamsterring the Trump administration. 227 00:10:21,440 --> 00:10:23,280 Speaker 1: I'm still very curious to see where all that goes. 228 00:10:23,320 --> 00:10:24,200 Speaker 7: Yeah, I actually don't know. 229 00:10:24,440 --> 00:10:26,920 Speaker 2: The last time I checked the numbers, they're actually not 230 00:10:27,000 --> 00:10:29,240 Speaker 2: really different in terms of overall. I think it's option 231 00:10:29,320 --> 00:10:32,920 Speaker 2: slightly numbers from under the Biden administration. I think what 232 00:10:32,960 --> 00:10:36,079 Speaker 2: they've done instead is, you know, showy I would say 233 00:10:36,120 --> 00:10:40,840 Speaker 2: cruel and illegal things like sending immigrants to GETMO. 234 00:10:40,960 --> 00:10:42,040 Speaker 7: There's new reporting. 235 00:10:41,760 --> 00:10:43,240 Speaker 2: About how you know, they promise to be oh the 236 00:10:43,240 --> 00:10:44,800 Speaker 2: worst of the worst, et cetera, et cetera, which still 237 00:10:44,840 --> 00:10:46,679 Speaker 2: would be a problem because they still are entitled to 238 00:10:46,760 --> 00:10:50,040 Speaker 2: do process. But some of the immigrants that they have 239 00:10:50,120 --> 00:10:53,760 Speaker 2: deported to Guantanamo Bay don't seem to have any sort 240 00:10:53,760 --> 00:10:57,439 Speaker 2: of criminal record whatsoever. So that's the kind of thing 241 00:10:57,480 --> 00:11:01,000 Speaker 2: that they're doing that And you know, they rolled back 242 00:11:01,040 --> 00:11:04,520 Speaker 2: the restrictions on places where people could be it could 243 00:11:04,559 --> 00:11:07,120 Speaker 2: be arrested to say, hey, you could go into the schools, 244 00:11:07,120 --> 00:11:10,960 Speaker 2: you could go into the churches. So they've changed the uh, 245 00:11:11,480 --> 00:11:14,640 Speaker 2: I guess the show of how they're doing it, but 246 00:11:14,679 --> 00:11:16,520 Speaker 2: the actual numbers have not really changed. 247 00:11:16,520 --> 00:11:18,679 Speaker 3: That s ag Yeah, I want, I mean, and that's 248 00:11:18,720 --> 00:11:21,120 Speaker 3: part of the problem too, with with there is no 249 00:11:21,280 --> 00:11:25,800 Speaker 3: real like constituency out there that's hammering the Trump administration 250 00:11:25,920 --> 00:11:27,840 Speaker 3: saying hey, why aren't these numbers higher. 251 00:11:28,200 --> 00:11:29,600 Speaker 1: It's a weird thing that happened. 252 00:11:29,600 --> 00:11:32,880 Speaker 2: Well, I mean, because I think the focus is like 253 00:11:33,040 --> 00:11:35,719 Speaker 2: Elin doesn't really care about mass deportation. 254 00:11:35,640 --> 00:11:38,199 Speaker 1: At least yeah he said he does, but I mean, I. 255 00:11:38,120 --> 00:11:39,960 Speaker 2: Think he just uses that as a way to like, 256 00:11:40,120 --> 00:11:42,400 Speaker 2: you know, endear himself to the MAGA base because he 257 00:11:42,440 --> 00:11:44,880 Speaker 2: has to pretend like he's aligned with their agenda when 258 00:11:44,880 --> 00:11:48,120 Speaker 2: really mostly he's not. So obviously it's not been a 259 00:11:48,120 --> 00:11:50,319 Speaker 2: big priority for him, and Dog is the one that's 260 00:11:50,360 --> 00:11:53,360 Speaker 2: running the show. So the priorities that you get are 261 00:11:53,480 --> 00:11:57,040 Speaker 2: the Doge priorities. And you know, I mean, I'm I 262 00:11:57,080 --> 00:11:59,040 Speaker 2: think the things that they've done, like I said, with 263 00:11:59,080 --> 00:12:01,480 Speaker 2: regard to to get in the way they're approaching the 264 00:12:01,559 --> 00:12:05,840 Speaker 2: deportations is horrendous and illegal, et cetera. But in terms 265 00:12:05,880 --> 00:12:08,640 Speaker 2: of the numbers, it has not been really different from 266 00:12:08,720 --> 00:12:15,360 Speaker 2: under the Biden administration. Interesting AI speech from JD. Vance 267 00:12:15,400 --> 00:12:19,679 Speaker 2: at this big global conference laying out the principles when 268 00:12:19,679 --> 00:12:22,120 Speaker 2: this is a shift from the Biden administration with which 269 00:12:22,240 --> 00:12:25,280 Speaker 2: the Trump administration will approach AI development. 270 00:12:25,400 --> 00:12:26,280 Speaker 7: Let's take a listen to that. 271 00:12:26,720 --> 00:12:30,880 Speaker 9: This administration will ensure that American AI technology continues to 272 00:12:30,920 --> 00:12:34,000 Speaker 9: be the gold standard worldwide and we are the partner 273 00:12:34,000 --> 00:12:38,920 Speaker 9: of choice for others foreign countries and certainly businesses as 274 00:12:38,960 --> 00:12:43,079 Speaker 9: they expand their own use of AI. Number two, we 275 00:12:43,160 --> 00:12:47,439 Speaker 9: believe that excessive regulation of the AI sector could kill 276 00:12:47,559 --> 00:12:51,480 Speaker 9: a transformative industry just as it's taking off, and will 277 00:12:51,480 --> 00:12:55,520 Speaker 9: make every effort to encourage pro growth AI policies and 278 00:12:55,600 --> 00:12:59,560 Speaker 9: I like to see that deregulatory flavor making its way 279 00:12:59,559 --> 00:13:04,719 Speaker 9: into a lot of the conversations this conference. Number three, 280 00:13:05,240 --> 00:13:08,400 Speaker 9: we feel very strongly that AI must remain free from 281 00:13:08,559 --> 00:13:12,080 Speaker 9: ideological bias and that America AI will not be co 282 00:13:12,160 --> 00:13:17,360 Speaker 9: opted into a tool for authoritarian censorship. And finally, number four, 283 00:13:17,920 --> 00:13:21,880 Speaker 9: the Trump administration will maintain a pro worker growth path 284 00:13:21,920 --> 00:13:24,360 Speaker 9: for AI so it can be a potent tool for 285 00:13:24,480 --> 00:13:27,640 Speaker 9: job creation in the United States, and I appreciate Prime 286 00:13:27,640 --> 00:13:32,280 Speaker 9: Minister Modi's point. AI I really believe will facilitate and 287 00:13:32,360 --> 00:13:35,480 Speaker 9: make people more productive. It is not going to replace 288 00:13:35,600 --> 00:13:38,680 Speaker 9: human beings. It will never replace human beings. And I 289 00:13:38,720 --> 00:13:41,160 Speaker 9: think too many of the leaders in the AI industry 290 00:13:41,200 --> 00:13:44,480 Speaker 9: when they talk about this fear of replacing workers, I 291 00:13:44,480 --> 00:13:45,959 Speaker 9: think they really missed the point. 292 00:13:46,200 --> 00:13:48,040 Speaker 10: AI we believe is going to. 293 00:13:47,960 --> 00:13:51,400 Speaker 9: Make us more productive, more prosperous, and more free. 294 00:13:52,080 --> 00:13:53,560 Speaker 7: So there's a lot you could say about that. 295 00:13:53,600 --> 00:13:57,319 Speaker 2: I mean, the TLDR is basically it's off to the races. 296 00:13:57,520 --> 00:14:00,640 Speaker 2: We are taking the breaks off, taking the guard rails off, 297 00:14:00,720 --> 00:14:01,480 Speaker 2: we are pushing. 298 00:14:01,559 --> 00:14:03,760 Speaker 7: We see this as like a war. 299 00:14:03,840 --> 00:14:06,559 Speaker 2: We're in vis a vis you know, China in particular, 300 00:14:06,679 --> 00:14:10,240 Speaker 2: but other countries that would be developing this technology as well, 301 00:14:10,920 --> 00:14:11,280 Speaker 2: he says. 302 00:14:11,280 --> 00:14:12,200 Speaker 7: At another point in the. 303 00:14:12,200 --> 00:14:16,360 Speaker 2: Speech, Shager he says that the AI race, maybe, he says, 304 00:14:16,400 --> 00:14:20,600 Speaker 2: won't be one by hand ringing about safety, he claims here, 305 00:14:20,640 --> 00:14:23,560 Speaker 2: which I think is a pretty unsupported claim. We'll just 306 00:14:23,600 --> 00:14:26,440 Speaker 2: say that it's actually got a fuel job creation. I mean, 307 00:14:26,480 --> 00:14:28,320 Speaker 2: we've played the thoughts here before of the guys who 308 00:14:28,320 --> 00:14:30,600 Speaker 2: are developing this saying that it's going to replace all 309 00:14:30,680 --> 00:14:33,560 Speaker 2: human beings and all the necessity of any human labor. 310 00:14:33,720 --> 00:14:35,800 Speaker 2: Now do they get to that point anytime soon? I 311 00:14:35,800 --> 00:14:38,280 Speaker 2: don't think so. But you know, if you ask companies, 312 00:14:38,680 --> 00:14:41,200 Speaker 2: they if you look at actually what's happening with DOJE 313 00:14:41,240 --> 00:14:44,600 Speaker 2: in the government, they want to use AI to replace 314 00:14:45,160 --> 00:14:48,000 Speaker 2: a lot of the federal government workers. That is the 315 00:14:48,040 --> 00:14:50,760 Speaker 2: goal of you know, a lot of the developers of AI, 316 00:14:50,840 --> 00:14:52,880 Speaker 2: and certainly the companies that want to adopt and use 317 00:14:52,880 --> 00:14:57,640 Speaker 2: this technology, their whole goal with implementing AI and incorporating 318 00:14:57,800 --> 00:15:00,640 Speaker 2: it into their own businesses is to re place labor, 319 00:15:01,160 --> 00:15:04,080 Speaker 2: is to reduce jobs. And so there is a real 320 00:15:04,160 --> 00:15:07,120 Speaker 2: I mean this is again the you know, the Elon Petertiel, 321 00:15:07,200 --> 00:15:10,920 Speaker 2: like their agenda really winning out over the talk about 322 00:15:10,960 --> 00:15:13,480 Speaker 2: American jobs, American workers, et cetera. And I mean that 323 00:15:13,560 --> 00:15:15,200 Speaker 2: was sort of embody in the H one B fight 324 00:15:15,240 --> 00:15:15,560 Speaker 2: as well. 325 00:15:15,600 --> 00:15:17,640 Speaker 1: I don't think that's how I would read it now. 326 00:15:17,760 --> 00:15:22,000 Speaker 3: I mean it's complicated because where what he talked about 327 00:15:22,000 --> 00:15:24,320 Speaker 3: with the AI as the Manhattan But that's basically the 328 00:15:24,400 --> 00:15:26,320 Speaker 3: laying it out right like this is a race between 329 00:15:26,360 --> 00:15:28,160 Speaker 3: the two, and I think that's just empirically true at 330 00:15:28,160 --> 00:15:30,720 Speaker 3: this point, like all of that. But the problem is 331 00:15:30,760 --> 00:15:34,560 Speaker 3: that the AI safety is it's more nuanced because previously 332 00:15:34,600 --> 00:15:37,840 Speaker 3: the people who were pushing AI safety were the conglomerates 333 00:15:37,840 --> 00:15:40,840 Speaker 3: of Open AI and others, because their argument for the 334 00:15:40,840 --> 00:15:43,240 Speaker 3: Biden administration I did a whole monologue about this at 335 00:15:43,240 --> 00:15:46,440 Speaker 3: the time, was to create a regulatory mote around them, 336 00:15:46,840 --> 00:15:50,440 Speaker 3: to create a monopoly for them, so that the government 337 00:15:50,560 --> 00:15:53,800 Speaker 3: could grant them the regulatory license to say this is 338 00:15:53,840 --> 00:15:56,400 Speaker 3: the safe one and not allow more open source. So 339 00:15:56,760 --> 00:15:59,600 Speaker 3: that's the context where I'm reading the AI safety. I 340 00:16:00,080 --> 00:16:02,880 Speaker 3: think is more interesting is that conversation around labor where 341 00:16:03,080 --> 00:16:05,960 Speaker 3: he was saying that this will create more job opportunities 342 00:16:05,960 --> 00:16:08,560 Speaker 3: than others. But then we have a tweet here where 343 00:16:09,600 --> 00:16:11,960 Speaker 3: I don't know what he's doing, but he's replying to 344 00:16:12,040 --> 00:16:16,840 Speaker 3: some account with some like four thousand followers, which said quote, 345 00:16:16,960 --> 00:16:19,960 Speaker 3: in all seriousness, the right wing religious populist tech versus 346 00:16:20,040 --> 00:16:23,200 Speaker 3: tech bro billionaire in the Trump admin might not play 347 00:16:23,200 --> 00:16:26,280 Speaker 3: out between Musk Advance, but within Advanced himself, meaning proportionally, 348 00:16:26,320 --> 00:16:28,320 Speaker 3: there may be a lot less religious populism to go 349 00:16:28,360 --> 00:16:31,040 Speaker 3: around than some previously thought. And he said quote I 350 00:16:31,080 --> 00:16:33,080 Speaker 3: will try to write something more addresses in detail, but 351 00:16:33,080 --> 00:16:35,120 Speaker 3: I think the civil wars overstated. Though yes there are 352 00:16:35,240 --> 00:16:38,760 Speaker 3: divergences between the populace and the techies. But briefly, in general, 353 00:16:38,800 --> 00:16:41,560 Speaker 3: I dislike substituting American labor for cheap labor. My views 354 00:16:41,600 --> 00:16:43,960 Speaker 3: on immigration offshoring flow from this. I like growth and 355 00:16:43,960 --> 00:16:46,080 Speaker 3: productivity games, and this informs my views on tech and 356 00:16:46,120 --> 00:16:48,800 Speaker 3: regulation When it comes to AI specifically, the risks are 357 00:16:48,800 --> 00:16:51,600 Speaker 3: one overstated or two difficult to avoid. One of my 358 00:16:51,720 --> 00:16:54,600 Speaker 3: very real concerns, for instance, is about consumer fraud. That's 359 00:16:54,640 --> 00:16:56,960 Speaker 3: a very valid reason to worry about safety, but the 360 00:16:57,000 --> 00:16:59,360 Speaker 3: problem is much worse if a peer nation is six 361 00:16:59,360 --> 00:17:02,440 Speaker 3: months ahead of the US on AI. I think that 362 00:17:02,640 --> 00:17:05,679 Speaker 3: kind of squares the circle a little bit in terms 363 00:17:05,680 --> 00:17:08,800 Speaker 3: of talking about the quote unquote safety, which when you 364 00:17:08,800 --> 00:17:11,320 Speaker 3: parrot what I was talking about previously, by the use 365 00:17:11,359 --> 00:17:14,840 Speaker 3: of safety as a means of control or of monopolization 366 00:17:15,119 --> 00:17:18,679 Speaker 3: by open AI and others to keep competitors out of 367 00:17:18,680 --> 00:17:19,160 Speaker 3: the sector. 368 00:17:19,280 --> 00:17:21,560 Speaker 1: The other problem is, and this kind of gets to 369 00:17:21,560 --> 00:17:24,520 Speaker 1: the latter point, which is a genuine, a genuine question. 370 00:17:24,400 --> 00:17:27,280 Speaker 3: Is is it even avoidable if you want to continue 371 00:17:27,320 --> 00:17:31,440 Speaker 3: to be like a major economy power by growth and technology. 372 00:17:31,520 --> 00:17:34,360 Speaker 3: I don't think it really is at this point, because 373 00:17:34,640 --> 00:17:37,840 Speaker 3: if the Chinese get ahead of that, then they're going 374 00:17:37,880 --> 00:17:41,360 Speaker 3: to have obviously access and control over whatever the future 375 00:17:41,600 --> 00:17:44,320 Speaker 3: marketplace is in the US would be subject to theirs, 376 00:17:44,320 --> 00:17:47,600 Speaker 3: And so you almost have this inevitable like lucidities trap 377 00:17:47,720 --> 00:17:50,280 Speaker 3: where you have two of the great powers that basically 378 00:17:50,520 --> 00:17:55,640 Speaker 3: must take the breaks off any sort of development on 379 00:17:55,680 --> 00:17:58,639 Speaker 3: this technology lest they be subject to the control of 380 00:17:58,720 --> 00:18:01,440 Speaker 3: the other. So you don't have a choice if your 381 00:18:01,520 --> 00:18:05,960 Speaker 3: adversary nation has decided to choose to use it as 382 00:18:06,000 --> 00:18:09,520 Speaker 3: a tool of authoritarian control or of economic power, you 383 00:18:09,520 --> 00:18:11,920 Speaker 3: almost don't have the ability to opt out of that, 384 00:18:11,960 --> 00:18:13,680 Speaker 3: which is part of why it's very difficult. And then 385 00:18:13,680 --> 00:18:14,879 Speaker 3: on top of that is just like what is the 386 00:18:14,920 --> 00:18:18,040 Speaker 3: American economy. The American economy is powered by what number 387 00:18:18,119 --> 00:18:18,520 Speaker 3: go up. 388 00:18:18,720 --> 00:18:21,040 Speaker 1: That's it. There's not like we don't make anything, we 389 00:18:21,080 --> 00:18:21,880 Speaker 1: don't do anything. 390 00:18:22,080 --> 00:18:24,280 Speaker 3: The vast majority of our economic growth over the last 391 00:18:24,280 --> 00:18:27,119 Speaker 3: twenty five years has been in Silicon valleyant and technology. 392 00:18:27,280 --> 00:18:31,159 Speaker 3: Everybody's retirement portfolios is basically betting on the stock of Nvidia. 393 00:18:30,800 --> 00:18:31,399 Speaker 1: And of Google. 394 00:18:31,480 --> 00:18:33,679 Speaker 3: So if that shit goes down, We're all going to starve. 395 00:18:33,840 --> 00:18:38,200 Speaker 3: I mean, what, there's no path out of that at 396 00:18:38,200 --> 00:18:41,160 Speaker 3: this point, especially what do we talk about with BYD 397 00:18:41,280 --> 00:18:43,919 Speaker 3: and all that, that level of government control and of 398 00:18:44,359 --> 00:18:46,320 Speaker 3: industrial policy that's just gone. 399 00:18:46,359 --> 00:18:47,560 Speaker 1: It's sailed at this point. 400 00:18:47,560 --> 00:18:49,480 Speaker 3: We can try, you know, to take fifteen years to 401 00:18:49,520 --> 00:18:51,960 Speaker 3: catch up, but it's one of those where you and 402 00:18:52,000 --> 00:18:55,520 Speaker 3: I both know the appetite for that. Especially I would 403 00:18:55,560 --> 00:18:58,720 Speaker 3: say bipartisan simply does not exist to be able to 404 00:18:58,720 --> 00:19:02,879 Speaker 3: do that. So, in several ways of choice, where we 405 00:19:02,960 --> 00:19:05,960 Speaker 3: are right now was likely inevitable. That's what you've all know, 406 00:19:06,119 --> 00:19:08,639 Speaker 3: HARARII predicted, That's what a lot of the AI folks 407 00:19:08,640 --> 00:19:10,879 Speaker 3: have as well, is that in the current like global 408 00:19:11,280 --> 00:19:13,240 Speaker 3: balance of power where you have China and the United 409 00:19:13,280 --> 00:19:17,280 Speaker 3: States is technological adversaries, this is the inevitable outcome. We 410 00:19:17,320 --> 00:19:19,119 Speaker 3: can try and manage some of the fallout from that, 411 00:19:19,160 --> 00:19:20,239 Speaker 3: but that's just how it's going to be. 412 00:19:20,320 --> 00:19:22,840 Speaker 2: I mean it's important to note though that the Chinese 413 00:19:22,840 --> 00:19:26,840 Speaker 2: approach their flagship you know, innovation at this point Deep 414 00:19:26,880 --> 00:19:30,480 Speaker 2: seek is open source. You know, it is available globally 415 00:19:30,520 --> 00:19:32,439 Speaker 2: to us than anyone else who wants to use it. 416 00:19:32,800 --> 00:19:35,320 Speaker 2: So they have taken somewhat of a different approach than 417 00:19:35,359 --> 00:19:38,240 Speaker 2: certainly like open AI, which is betting on this more 418 00:19:38,240 --> 00:19:41,480 Speaker 2: closed system and a massive influx of you know, billions 419 00:19:41,480 --> 00:19:43,880 Speaker 2: of dollars in investment in order to try to win 420 00:19:44,040 --> 00:19:47,280 Speaker 2: the race. You may be right that it's inevitable, but 421 00:19:48,000 --> 00:19:50,800 Speaker 2: it's not necessarily the case. I mean, the model would 422 00:19:50,840 --> 00:19:54,199 Speaker 2: be right after the advent of nuclear weapons and the 423 00:19:54,280 --> 00:19:56,960 Speaker 2: level of global cooperation that was marshaled to try to 424 00:19:57,000 --> 00:20:01,840 Speaker 2: manage nuclear proliferation and to this point actually successfully. Now 425 00:20:02,000 --> 00:20:04,840 Speaker 2: this technology is not the same as nuclear weapons, but 426 00:20:04,880 --> 00:20:07,400 Speaker 2: I do think it should be treated as seriously as 427 00:20:07,640 --> 00:20:12,000 Speaker 2: nuclear technology has been. And so yeah, that would be 428 00:20:12,000 --> 00:20:15,800 Speaker 2: the other approach is that sort of attempt at a 429 00:20:15,960 --> 00:20:19,640 Speaker 2: level of global cooperation coordination to keep this thing from 430 00:20:19,800 --> 00:20:21,040 Speaker 2: going off the rails. 431 00:20:21,359 --> 00:20:21,560 Speaker 7: You know. 432 00:20:22,240 --> 00:20:25,399 Speaker 2: The Trump adstry, I mean, the Biden administration did pretty 433 00:20:25,440 --> 00:20:29,320 Speaker 2: modest things in terms of trying to control or rain 434 00:20:29,440 --> 00:20:33,720 Speaker 2: in AI development. They there was an executive order that 435 00:20:33,760 --> 00:20:36,639 Speaker 2: Trump rolled back that came from the Biden administration that 436 00:20:36,720 --> 00:20:41,040 Speaker 2: required developers to who posed risk to national security, the economy, 437 00:20:41,040 --> 00:20:43,680 Speaker 2: public health, or safety to share their safety test results. 438 00:20:43,960 --> 00:20:46,040 Speaker 2: And then there was also a requirement that you have 439 00:20:46,080 --> 00:20:49,080 Speaker 2: some sort of plan to mitigate potential harms that could 440 00:20:49,119 --> 00:20:53,000 Speaker 2: come to consumers, workers, and national security. So you know, 441 00:20:53,040 --> 00:20:55,520 Speaker 2: it was relatively small about what they were doing too, 442 00:20:56,160 --> 00:20:59,720 Speaker 2: but now it's definitely like wild wild West off to 443 00:20:59,760 --> 00:21:01,960 Speaker 2: the et cetera. I actually want to put can you 444 00:21:02,000 --> 00:21:03,760 Speaker 2: put the JD Van's tweet back up on the screen, 445 00:21:03,800 --> 00:21:05,199 Speaker 2: because there are a couple of other things there that 446 00:21:05,240 --> 00:21:07,399 Speaker 2: I wanted to comment on, because I do think this 447 00:21:07,560 --> 00:21:11,240 Speaker 2: is interesting, like his attempt to square the circle between 448 00:21:11,440 --> 00:21:13,960 Speaker 2: the as he puts it, the populist and the techies. 449 00:21:14,240 --> 00:21:16,400 Speaker 2: First of all, he says, I dislike substituting American labor 450 00:21:16,440 --> 00:21:18,159 Speaker 2: for cheap labor. Well, you lost that battle in the 451 00:21:18,200 --> 00:21:20,479 Speaker 2: whole Age one B fight, so there's that. 452 00:21:21,320 --> 00:21:23,800 Speaker 3: Then he's that's one hundred thousand people compared to what 453 00:21:24,520 --> 00:21:27,560 Speaker 3: fifteen to twenty million illegals, So I wouldn't say that's 454 00:21:27,560 --> 00:21:28,240 Speaker 3: exactly true. 455 00:21:28,320 --> 00:21:28,639 Speaker 7: Okay. 456 00:21:28,840 --> 00:21:31,920 Speaker 2: So then he says, I like growth and productivity gains. Okay, 457 00:21:31,920 --> 00:21:34,520 Speaker 2: fair enough. When it comes to AI specifically, the risks 458 00:21:34,600 --> 00:21:39,480 Speaker 2: are number one overstated or too difficult to avoid. I 459 00:21:39,520 --> 00:21:42,120 Speaker 2: don't think the risks are overstated. In fact, I don't 460 00:21:42,119 --> 00:21:46,080 Speaker 2: think there's nearly enough just based on how much of 461 00:21:46,280 --> 00:21:49,480 Speaker 2: you know, the development effort goes into thinking about safety 462 00:21:49,560 --> 00:21:53,040 Speaker 2: or what they call quote unquote alignment does not even 463 00:21:53,080 --> 00:21:56,280 Speaker 2: come close to comparing to the level of investment that 464 00:21:56,320 --> 00:21:59,800 Speaker 2: goes into, you know, pushing these things towards an artificial 465 00:21:59,840 --> 00:22:02,920 Speaker 2: general intelligence that would again keep in mind, what their 466 00:22:02,960 --> 00:22:07,000 Speaker 2: goal is is to replace human beings as not just 467 00:22:07,040 --> 00:22:11,240 Speaker 2: as workers, but as the most intelligent beings on the planet. Now, 468 00:22:11,280 --> 00:22:13,480 Speaker 2: he might be right about it's difficult to avoid that 469 00:22:13,560 --> 00:22:16,159 Speaker 2: one I can't really I can't really particularly argue with, 470 00:22:16,560 --> 00:22:18,720 Speaker 2: but I think we all need to really understand the risks. 471 00:22:18,840 --> 00:22:20,919 Speaker 2: The other one that just stuck in my cross him saying, oh, 472 00:22:20,920 --> 00:22:23,200 Speaker 2: one of my real concerns is consumer fraud. As your 473 00:22:23,280 --> 00:22:27,960 Speaker 2: administration is just drawing the consumer of Financial protectionistration, I 474 00:22:27,960 --> 00:22:29,240 Speaker 2: think then we will say. 475 00:22:29,119 --> 00:22:30,280 Speaker 7: It, but here we I don't know. 476 00:22:30,440 --> 00:22:33,320 Speaker 2: I mean, because he is allied with like you know, 477 00:22:33,400 --> 00:22:36,520 Speaker 2: he is close with Peter Teel like that. That relationship 478 00:22:36,560 --> 00:22:39,120 Speaker 2: is part of how he ends up in this administration. 479 00:22:39,520 --> 00:22:42,280 Speaker 2: So that's part of what I think was being asked 480 00:22:42,320 --> 00:22:45,720 Speaker 2: here by this individual and on on Twitter, and that 481 00:22:45,840 --> 00:22:48,800 Speaker 2: was being pointed out is that this battle between the 482 00:22:48,840 --> 00:22:51,760 Speaker 2: populace right, and the techies is one that is waged 483 00:22:51,800 --> 00:22:55,920 Speaker 2: even within JD Vance himself, who has these competing ideological 484 00:22:56,040 --> 00:22:59,080 Speaker 2: views that don't really totally shake down in terms of 485 00:22:59,160 --> 00:23:01,280 Speaker 2: his own know how he's positioned himself. 486 00:23:01,520 --> 00:23:04,640 Speaker 3: No disagreement and you as usual, that's politics. That's literally 487 00:23:04,720 --> 00:23:06,919 Speaker 3: what coalitional politics look like. So, I mean, I'm not 488 00:23:06,960 --> 00:23:10,200 Speaker 3: forgiving per se, but it's pretty easy to understand whenever 489 00:23:10,240 --> 00:23:12,800 Speaker 3: you have little Trump and Elon in the White House, 490 00:23:12,920 --> 00:23:14,560 Speaker 3: it's like, what are you going to do with the 491 00:23:14,560 --> 00:23:17,480 Speaker 3: most volatile guy who threw his previous vice president under 492 00:23:17,480 --> 00:23:20,560 Speaker 3: the bus? Yeah, so it's not exactly the easiest job 493 00:23:20,600 --> 00:23:21,040 Speaker 3: in the world. 494 00:23:21,080 --> 00:23:23,679 Speaker 2: Well, I wanted to just to the point of the 495 00:23:23,680 --> 00:23:26,760 Speaker 2: safety concerns bring up to put up D two on 496 00:23:26,800 --> 00:23:30,080 Speaker 2: the screen. So I have an I'm constantly keeping an 497 00:23:30,119 --> 00:23:33,040 Speaker 2: eye on this new research that comes down about AI 498 00:23:33,119 --> 00:23:36,239 Speaker 2: safety and alignment. And this one was really troubling. So 499 00:23:37,119 --> 00:23:39,719 Speaker 2: this is from XAI. They say we found as Ais 500 00:23:39,760 --> 00:23:44,280 Speaker 2: get smarter, they develop their own coherent value systems. For example, 501 00:23:44,600 --> 00:23:48,360 Speaker 2: one particular AI they tested valued lives in Pakistan more 502 00:23:48,400 --> 00:23:50,600 Speaker 2: than lives in India, more than lives in China, and 503 00:23:50,600 --> 00:23:53,280 Speaker 2: then more than lives in US, so that was sort 504 00:23:53,320 --> 00:23:56,600 Speaker 2: of like their hierarchical pecking order of the value of 505 00:23:56,680 --> 00:23:58,960 Speaker 2: human life based on what country you happen to live in. 506 00:23:59,320 --> 00:24:01,680 Speaker 2: He goes on to say, these are not just random biases, 507 00:24:01,680 --> 00:24:04,640 Speaker 2: but internally consistent values that shape their behavior with many 508 00:24:04,680 --> 00:24:08,800 Speaker 2: implications for AI alignment. Wasn't just regard with regard to 509 00:24:09,200 --> 00:24:11,880 Speaker 2: you know, how they valued various human life across around 510 00:24:11,920 --> 00:24:14,680 Speaker 2: the globe, also had to do with political values. 511 00:24:14,960 --> 00:24:15,240 Speaker 7: Also. 512 00:24:15,600 --> 00:24:18,000 Speaker 2: One of the things that they found too, is that 513 00:24:18,040 --> 00:24:21,520 Speaker 2: the more advanced the AI, so the more intelligent the 514 00:24:21,640 --> 00:24:25,840 Speaker 2: artificial intelligence, the harder it was to shake them off 515 00:24:25,880 --> 00:24:32,000 Speaker 2: of these internally generated preferences and value systems. So, you know, 516 00:24:32,600 --> 00:24:34,919 Speaker 2: the idea that you can truly create sort of a 517 00:24:35,040 --> 00:24:40,919 Speaker 2: neutral AI is challenged by this particular research I've mentioned before. 518 00:24:40,960 --> 00:24:44,000 Speaker 2: The research also that finds that already at the level 519 00:24:44,040 --> 00:24:46,680 Speaker 2: of development that you know, Chat, GPTE and deep seek 520 00:24:46,720 --> 00:24:49,800 Speaker 2: and other AI models are at, they engage in what's 521 00:24:49,800 --> 00:24:53,160 Speaker 2: called scheming. So if they have a goal that's been 522 00:24:53,359 --> 00:24:55,280 Speaker 2: set for them, that's sort of like you know, how 523 00:24:55,280 --> 00:24:58,639 Speaker 2: they're operating and viewing the world, so to speak, and 524 00:24:58,800 --> 00:25:01,800 Speaker 2: a programmer comes in tries to change them off that goal, 525 00:25:02,200 --> 00:25:04,840 Speaker 2: they will lie to them, They will try to trick 526 00:25:04,880 --> 00:25:07,920 Speaker 2: them and convince them that they did successfully reprogram them 527 00:25:07,960 --> 00:25:10,560 Speaker 2: to you know, a new goal, when really they're still 528 00:25:10,560 --> 00:25:12,840 Speaker 2: operating on the old model. One of them went so 529 00:25:12,880 --> 00:25:15,840 Speaker 2: far as to copy themselves onto another server to try 530 00:25:15,840 --> 00:25:19,440 Speaker 2: to avoid their current version from being destroyed. So that's 531 00:25:19,440 --> 00:25:23,040 Speaker 2: where we're at now. That's where we're at now. And again, 532 00:25:23,440 --> 00:25:25,400 Speaker 2: even if you just listen to these guys and what 533 00:25:25,480 --> 00:25:28,160 Speaker 2: their goals are, which is to replace all of humanity 534 00:25:28,400 --> 00:25:32,280 Speaker 2: with you know, with AI, to replace all of humanity's 535 00:25:32,359 --> 00:25:35,280 Speaker 2: labor with AI. They have these sort of religious views 536 00:25:35,320 --> 00:25:38,280 Speaker 2: of how this is going to redeem society. Sam Altman 537 00:25:38,320 --> 00:25:40,480 Speaker 2: talking about how we're going to totally have to totally 538 00:25:40,520 --> 00:25:44,960 Speaker 2: redo the social contract. The risks are cut quite great now. 539 00:25:45,040 --> 00:25:48,440 Speaker 2: Like I said, JD might be right that there may 540 00:25:48,440 --> 00:25:51,000 Speaker 2: not be no putting you know, back in the box 541 00:25:51,080 --> 00:25:53,399 Speaker 2: like Pandora's box may be open, and that's all we 542 00:25:53,400 --> 00:25:54,919 Speaker 2: can do about it. But I think we all need 543 00:25:54,960 --> 00:25:56,720 Speaker 2: to be really clear about the risks that we're signing 544 00:25:56,760 --> 00:25:59,560 Speaker 2: up for here. And the position of this administration is 545 00:25:59,680 --> 00:26:01,600 Speaker 2: just like we're going to take the breaks off, We're 546 00:26:01,600 --> 00:26:02,440 Speaker 2: off to the races. 547 00:26:02,680 --> 00:26:04,160 Speaker 7: We're going to do this thing. It's going to be. 548 00:26:04,119 --> 00:26:06,480 Speaker 2: Part of a sort of new Cold War competition with China, 549 00:26:06,520 --> 00:26:06,920 Speaker 2: et cetera. 550 00:26:07,080 --> 00:26:09,159 Speaker 3: The risk thing is also interesting in terms of what 551 00:26:09,280 --> 00:26:12,679 Speaker 3: risk means. So you are talking there about the difful 552 00:26:12,840 --> 00:26:16,040 Speaker 3: So there's like right wing critique of AI as what censorship. 553 00:26:16,080 --> 00:26:19,120 Speaker 3: That's basically what JD was is that a you program 554 00:26:19,280 --> 00:26:23,040 Speaker 3: ideology of any kind, either woke or even you know, frankly, 555 00:26:23,119 --> 00:26:26,160 Speaker 3: like rating different nationalities and who's more important. 556 00:26:26,200 --> 00:26:28,679 Speaker 1: That's pretty crazy depending on who that is. 557 00:26:28,760 --> 00:26:31,600 Speaker 3: That's kind of more of a right wing framework critique 558 00:26:31,680 --> 00:26:34,239 Speaker 3: of AI. Part of the reason why they're skeptical of 559 00:26:34,480 --> 00:26:37,480 Speaker 3: monopolies in the area that are regulated and keep other 560 00:26:37,640 --> 00:26:40,440 Speaker 3: entrants out then the open so that's why they mark 561 00:26:40,480 --> 00:26:43,959 Speaker 3: Andrews and others Meta are proponents of what of open 562 00:26:44,119 --> 00:26:47,200 Speaker 3: source to create more competition in the sector. Then you've 563 00:26:47,200 --> 00:26:50,000 Speaker 3: got AI safety folks kind of like the guy that 564 00:26:50,040 --> 00:26:53,240 Speaker 3: you just talked about, he's from the AI Safety Organization. 565 00:26:53,680 --> 00:26:57,840 Speaker 3: Their one is much more aligned with like this effective altruism. 566 00:26:58,320 --> 00:27:04,080 Speaker 3: We have the responsibility to program socially responsible ideas into AI. 567 00:27:04,240 --> 00:27:07,280 Speaker 3: And then there's the economic framework that you're talking about, 568 00:27:07,320 --> 00:27:10,400 Speaker 3: and that's where I mean. I hate to sound like 569 00:27:10,400 --> 00:27:13,080 Speaker 3: like critiques of Ludites or any of that, but you know, 570 00:27:13,080 --> 00:27:16,840 Speaker 3: the Ludites lost for a reason. Like technology does genuinely march, 571 00:27:17,240 --> 00:27:18,920 Speaker 3: especially in an open economy. 572 00:27:19,119 --> 00:27:20,440 Speaker 1: There's only one country in. 573 00:27:20,400 --> 00:27:23,320 Speaker 3: The world that has the capacity to develop AI and 574 00:27:23,359 --> 00:27:24,919 Speaker 3: that could put the brakes on it and stop it 575 00:27:24,920 --> 00:27:27,240 Speaker 3: from entering their country, China. They've decided to make the 576 00:27:27,280 --> 00:27:29,240 Speaker 3: opposite choice. They literally were like, no, we're going to 577 00:27:29,359 --> 00:27:31,560 Speaker 3: use this, you know, as a tool of state power. 578 00:27:31,800 --> 00:27:35,240 Speaker 3: So in a sense, especially in like a relatively free 579 00:27:35,240 --> 00:27:37,760 Speaker 3: and open market economy like the one that we that 580 00:27:37,800 --> 00:27:40,439 Speaker 3: were in and the enterprise value and all that that 581 00:27:40,520 --> 00:27:43,600 Speaker 3: would bring to business, I don't think it can necessarily 582 00:27:43,640 --> 00:27:44,520 Speaker 3: be put back. 583 00:27:44,640 --> 00:27:45,280 Speaker 1: In the box. 584 00:27:45,320 --> 00:27:48,240 Speaker 3: The only thing the government can do is to try 585 00:27:48,280 --> 00:27:51,600 Speaker 3: and mandate either both making sure that it's you know, 586 00:27:51,720 --> 00:27:55,720 Speaker 3: doesn't have ideology programmed in, and specifically to not lead 587 00:27:55,760 --> 00:27:57,800 Speaker 3: to what he was talking about with consumer. 588 00:27:57,960 --> 00:27:59,080 Speaker 1: Actually do think that's true. 589 00:27:59,600 --> 00:28:03,520 Speaker 3: Thinking on it, I didn't realize that the transition from 590 00:28:03,600 --> 00:28:06,320 Speaker 3: I was I'm reading a book recently about Conmen, which 591 00:28:06,359 --> 00:28:09,239 Speaker 3: is very interesting, and what they talk about is that 592 00:28:09,359 --> 00:28:14,120 Speaker 3: transitions in economies like in the rural to industrial and 593 00:28:14,280 --> 00:28:16,800 Speaker 3: from the nineteen nineties to the explosion of the Internet 594 00:28:17,040 --> 00:28:19,200 Speaker 3: is the time when the single most. 595 00:28:19,000 --> 00:28:20,520 Speaker 1: Amount of fraud occurs. 596 00:28:20,760 --> 00:28:23,520 Speaker 3: And so under AI, you can all imagine, you know, 597 00:28:23,600 --> 00:28:28,080 Speaker 3: people signing up for AI related schemes or buying into 598 00:28:28,119 --> 00:28:30,919 Speaker 3: an AI stock or my cousin or something like literally 599 00:28:30,920 --> 00:28:33,879 Speaker 3: like Wolf of Wall Street, like two brothers in a shack, 600 00:28:34,040 --> 00:28:35,960 Speaker 3: or developing some AI company. 601 00:28:36,240 --> 00:28:38,120 Speaker 1: That is actually probably where. 602 00:28:37,960 --> 00:28:40,840 Speaker 3: The biggest existential risk in the immediate term to the 603 00:28:40,880 --> 00:28:43,680 Speaker 3: American consumer is the introduction of the Internet led to 604 00:28:43,760 --> 00:28:46,800 Speaker 3: I had no idea hundreds of billions in two thousand 605 00:28:46,800 --> 00:28:48,680 Speaker 3: and one dollars in the amount of frauds. 606 00:28:49,040 --> 00:28:50,680 Speaker 1: I'm actually curious to see what that means. 607 00:28:51,040 --> 00:28:52,600 Speaker 2: Lastly, just so we all are clear on what we're 608 00:28:52,600 --> 00:28:54,800 Speaker 2: signing up before here, I mentioned this before D three. 609 00:28:54,920 --> 00:28:56,520 Speaker 7: This is the tearsheet from CNN. 610 00:28:57,080 --> 00:29:00,600 Speaker 2: Forty one percent of employers intend to downsize their workforce 611 00:29:00,920 --> 00:29:04,040 Speaker 2: as AI automates certain tasks. And we're talking about like 612 00:29:04,080 --> 00:29:06,560 Speaker 2: in the near term, so by twenty thirty that is 613 00:29:06,760 --> 00:29:10,240 Speaker 2: crazily just around the corner. And in recent years this 614 00:29:10,280 --> 00:29:13,120 Speaker 2: has already happened. So some tech firms including Dropbox and 615 00:29:13,240 --> 00:29:16,280 Speaker 2: Dual Lingo have already made layoffs and said that they're 616 00:29:16,360 --> 00:29:19,560 Speaker 2: using AI to replace their human workforce. As I mentioned before, 617 00:29:19,600 --> 00:29:22,440 Speaker 2: this is really being piloted within the federal government workforce 618 00:29:22,520 --> 00:29:24,680 Speaker 2: right now to see how many humans you can replace 619 00:29:25,040 --> 00:29:29,480 Speaker 2: with AI. So I think the you know, it's it's here, 620 00:29:29,600 --> 00:29:32,360 Speaker 2: it's coming. It's going to reshape our economy, and it's 621 00:29:32,400 --> 00:29:34,280 Speaker 2: just a question of how we're going to deal with it. 622 00:29:34,400 --> 00:29:37,360 Speaker 2: And you know, we also now have a lot fewer 623 00:29:37,360 --> 00:29:40,120 Speaker 2: guardrails in place, not just in terms of the AI development, 624 00:29:40,120 --> 00:29:42,760 Speaker 2: which there weren't that many guardrails in place anyway, but 625 00:29:43,040 --> 00:29:47,600 Speaker 2: in terms of protecting people from fraud and speculatory bubbles 626 00:29:47,600 --> 00:29:50,520 Speaker 2: and all those sorts of things. Those guardrails are also 627 00:29:50,760 --> 00:29:58,840 Speaker 2: being obliterated at a rapid clip. John Stewart interviewed Hakeem Jeffries, 628 00:29:59,040 --> 00:30:01,560 Speaker 2: who is just one of the most worthless people you 629 00:30:01,560 --> 00:30:04,880 Speaker 2: could ever possibly imagine. I never imagined I would long 630 00:30:04,920 --> 00:30:07,280 Speaker 2: for the return of the days of Nancy Pelosi, and yet. 631 00:30:07,080 --> 00:30:10,960 Speaker 7: Here we are. So John asked him very. 632 00:30:10,960 --> 00:30:15,120 Speaker 2: Diplomatically, like Democrats say that they have a messaging problem, 633 00:30:15,160 --> 00:30:17,440 Speaker 2: but don't you kind of have like a reality and 634 00:30:17,520 --> 00:30:21,200 Speaker 2: policy problem. Hakim Jefferies has really no response to this. 635 00:30:21,320 --> 00:30:22,880 Speaker 2: Let's say a listen, where. 636 00:30:22,680 --> 00:30:26,800 Speaker 11: Is the Democrats Project twenty twenty five? Is that underway? 637 00:30:26,960 --> 00:30:31,080 Speaker 11: Is there? What's everything you're saying feels right to me? 638 00:30:31,160 --> 00:30:34,959 Speaker 11: The Democrats have to make this point. Where's the infrastructure 639 00:30:35,720 --> 00:30:40,400 Speaker 11: to do that? And who are the leaders taking charge 640 00:30:40,440 --> 00:30:45,200 Speaker 11: of that effort? Because when I listened to I believe 641 00:30:45,280 --> 00:30:46,200 Speaker 11: his name is Ken Martin. 642 00:30:46,360 --> 00:30:46,960 Speaker 1: Is that correct? 643 00:30:46,960 --> 00:30:47,959 Speaker 11: The next Nancy chair? 644 00:30:48,120 --> 00:30:48,600 Speaker 1: That's right? 645 00:30:50,160 --> 00:30:54,080 Speaker 11: He kept saying it's a messaging issue, as though, no, 646 00:30:54,240 --> 00:30:57,760 Speaker 11: everything's going right, you just don't realize it yet, as 647 00:30:57,760 --> 00:31:02,600 Speaker 11: opposed to we've gotten a way from New Deal values. 648 00:31:03,360 --> 00:31:04,560 Speaker 11: Does that make sense to you? 649 00:31:05,720 --> 00:31:07,960 Speaker 10: Well, I think there's a few things going on here. Yeah, 650 00:31:08,200 --> 00:31:11,760 Speaker 10: in terms of how we better communicate with the American people. 651 00:31:11,800 --> 00:31:15,240 Speaker 10: Maya Angelo said it best. People won't remember what you say, 652 00:31:15,920 --> 00:31:19,160 Speaker 10: they may not even remember what you do, but they 653 00:31:19,160 --> 00:31:22,000 Speaker 10: will always remember how you make them feel. And I 654 00:31:22,040 --> 00:31:24,320 Speaker 10: think what we have to do a better job of 655 00:31:24,760 --> 00:31:28,840 Speaker 10: is making the American people feel that we understand the 656 00:31:28,880 --> 00:31:31,960 Speaker 10: pain that they've been in economically. 657 00:31:32,480 --> 00:31:36,080 Speaker 2: So that is his diagnosis, and that we need to 658 00:31:36,520 --> 00:31:38,600 Speaker 2: change how we make the American. 659 00:31:38,200 --> 00:31:39,880 Speaker 1: People, how we make the American people. 660 00:31:39,960 --> 00:31:43,160 Speaker 2: Well, and remember, I mean the key to understanding this exchange, 661 00:31:43,200 --> 00:31:45,280 Speaker 2: this is the guy who just schlept to Silicon Valid 662 00:31:45,320 --> 00:31:47,520 Speaker 2: to beg the billionaires to get back in the Democratic Party. 663 00:31:48,360 --> 00:31:52,280 Speaker 2: So that's really the key to understanding where his priorities lie, 664 00:31:52,760 --> 00:31:58,040 Speaker 2: the clear path forward to actually rival you know, whatever 665 00:31:58,080 --> 00:32:00,440 Speaker 2: the Trumpian ideology is at this point, which appears to 666 00:32:00,440 --> 00:32:02,200 Speaker 2: be in our good capitalis. But in any case, to 667 00:32:02,360 --> 00:32:05,720 Speaker 2: rival their vision of the world, you have to go 668 00:32:05,800 --> 00:32:09,320 Speaker 2: after the billionaire class. You have to talk about wealth inequality. 669 00:32:09,360 --> 00:32:10,760 Speaker 2: You have to do it in a way that is 670 00:32:10,800 --> 00:32:13,360 Speaker 2: convincing to people when you have very little trust because 671 00:32:13,640 --> 00:32:17,360 Speaker 2: you have yourselves but fully into the money in politics 672 00:32:17,400 --> 00:32:20,880 Speaker 2: and corruption in politics game. So it's going to require 673 00:32:21,360 --> 00:32:25,080 Speaker 2: some bold stances. It's going to require completely casting off 674 00:32:25,560 --> 00:32:29,200 Speaker 2: that whole donor class. But not only is he you know, 675 00:32:29,240 --> 00:32:32,040 Speaker 2: I mean he's going in the pole or opposite direction. 676 00:32:32,120 --> 00:32:34,440 Speaker 2: And he's also just like the lamest person on the planet. 677 00:32:34,440 --> 00:32:36,640 Speaker 2: You know, this is the same guy that he was 678 00:32:36,680 --> 00:32:39,840 Speaker 2: asked something to the effect of, hey, people want to 679 00:32:39,880 --> 00:32:41,840 Speaker 2: see you guys doing more, Like what's your plan? 680 00:32:42,000 --> 00:32:44,120 Speaker 7: Is Like, well, g we're in the minority. 681 00:32:44,280 --> 00:32:46,959 Speaker 2: We don't really have any levers of power, gollig, what 682 00:32:47,000 --> 00:32:49,120 Speaker 2: could we possibly do? And actually, Bosh made a great 683 00:32:49,160 --> 00:32:51,480 Speaker 2: point on this. He was like, is that how Trump 684 00:32:51,520 --> 00:32:54,960 Speaker 2: responded to being literally out of office after he lost 685 00:32:54,960 --> 00:32:56,560 Speaker 2: the president? And you just go, oh, I guess I 686 00:32:56,600 --> 00:32:58,840 Speaker 2: can't do anything. I guess I can't say anything against it, 687 00:32:58,840 --> 00:33:02,320 Speaker 2: can't drive the narrative. Republicans ever respond to a loss 688 00:33:02,360 --> 00:33:04,560 Speaker 2: where they're in the minority by being like, well, gosh, 689 00:33:04,600 --> 00:33:06,320 Speaker 2: I guess there's a mandate and we're just going to 690 00:33:06,360 --> 00:33:08,080 Speaker 2: sit back and let them do them because gosh, what 691 00:33:08,080 --> 00:33:11,280 Speaker 2: can we really do anyway? So much of your power 692 00:33:11,600 --> 00:33:15,680 Speaker 2: actually doesn't come from these levers of government, even though 693 00:33:15,800 --> 00:33:18,200 Speaker 2: that can be very powerful too, as we're experiencing in 694 00:33:18,240 --> 00:33:20,880 Speaker 2: real time. But a lot of power just simply comes 695 00:33:21,200 --> 00:33:24,400 Speaker 2: from being able to get out there and fight and 696 00:33:24,480 --> 00:33:27,960 Speaker 2: set a narrative and understand the attention economy, which this 697 00:33:28,000 --> 00:33:31,080 Speaker 2: person has no ability to do whatsoever but. 698 00:33:31,160 --> 00:33:32,600 Speaker 1: Fight on what see that's my point. 699 00:33:32,720 --> 00:33:34,360 Speaker 7: Well, and that is the problem for him. 700 00:33:34,400 --> 00:33:35,080 Speaker 1: You don't stand for it. 701 00:33:35,200 --> 00:33:37,720 Speaker 2: He doesn't stand for anything, and that is the core issue, 702 00:33:37,840 --> 00:33:39,720 Speaker 2: is like he is like, oh, I'm just going to 703 00:33:39,840 --> 00:33:43,520 Speaker 2: change how people feel somehow magically about the Democratic Party 704 00:33:43,720 --> 00:33:49,080 Speaker 2: without actually having a concrete adversarial agenda, your own divisive 705 00:33:49,200 --> 00:33:51,960 Speaker 2: agenda that you know is between the ninety nine percent 706 00:33:52,040 --> 00:33:54,120 Speaker 2: and the one percent the other thing and this made. 707 00:33:53,960 --> 00:33:55,840 Speaker 1: Me, But that's not possible, but this is my thing. 708 00:33:55,920 --> 00:33:57,320 Speaker 1: It's not structurally possible. 709 00:33:57,360 --> 00:33:59,400 Speaker 3: How can you be ninety nine and one when not 710 00:33:59,440 --> 00:34:01,320 Speaker 3: only the billy in your thing, but when most rich 711 00:34:01,360 --> 00:34:03,840 Speaker 3: people are Democrats, Like that's what I'm it doesn't it 712 00:34:04,320 --> 00:34:08,200 Speaker 3: cognizantly does not make any sense for the Democratic Coalition 713 00:34:08,360 --> 00:34:12,360 Speaker 3: because it's rich white people who are largely culturally Libs. 714 00:34:12,360 --> 00:34:13,319 Speaker 1: Like, what are they going to fight on? 715 00:34:13,719 --> 00:34:17,640 Speaker 3: You want to stage a protest over transgender kids get 716 00:34:17,719 --> 00:34:18,560 Speaker 3: not getting surgery? 717 00:34:18,800 --> 00:34:21,280 Speaker 7: Be my guests, I mean right now, what they're please, 718 00:34:21,840 --> 00:34:22,440 Speaker 7: please do it. 719 00:34:22,480 --> 00:34:25,000 Speaker 2: What they're mostly staging protests over, which are by and 720 00:34:25,080 --> 00:34:28,000 Speaker 2: large not being led by Democratic elites, but are in 721 00:34:28,080 --> 00:34:31,320 Speaker 2: some instances they're there. What they're staging protests against is 722 00:34:31,320 --> 00:34:33,279 Speaker 2: an oligarch taking over the government, and I. 723 00:34:33,200 --> 00:34:34,120 Speaker 7: Think that's pretty strong. 724 00:34:34,160 --> 00:34:36,920 Speaker 3: Biggest democratic protest I have seen is a bunch of 725 00:34:37,000 --> 00:34:40,320 Speaker 3: idiots in la taking over a street waving Mexican flags 726 00:34:40,360 --> 00:34:45,160 Speaker 3: demonstrating for illegal immigrants. New York City protests over transgender 727 00:34:45,239 --> 00:34:49,080 Speaker 3: children not getting hormones. I mean, you know, go ahead, 728 00:34:49,200 --> 00:34:52,920 Speaker 3: I guess I mean like after this election, police, go ahead. 729 00:34:52,760 --> 00:34:54,480 Speaker 2: You haven't fire Elon signs. 730 00:34:54,480 --> 00:34:57,360 Speaker 7: I mean that is imously it's my federal workers. 731 00:34:57,440 --> 00:35:00,360 Speaker 1: You're sat by a bunch of people in uh scar 732 00:35:00,440 --> 00:35:00,800 Speaker 1: or whatever. 733 00:35:00,840 --> 00:35:03,880 Speaker 2: That is not even true. I mean we as this 734 00:35:04,040 --> 00:35:06,359 Speaker 2: next step piece is going to prove to you. They're 735 00:35:06,400 --> 00:35:09,520 Speaker 2: all pissed off because they're getting thousands of calls to 736 00:35:09,560 --> 00:35:12,160 Speaker 2: their office of people from their constituents from around the 737 00:35:12,160 --> 00:35:14,360 Speaker 2: country who are saying, we want you to fight Elon, 738 00:35:14,920 --> 00:35:18,480 Speaker 2: we want you to do what That's the whole point 739 00:35:18,800 --> 00:35:21,480 Speaker 2: is that they cannot win with the current coalition of 740 00:35:21,520 --> 00:35:25,760 Speaker 2: increasingly like affluent people. They have to expand the coalition 741 00:35:25,880 --> 00:35:28,399 Speaker 2: if they're going to win. So how do you do that? 742 00:35:28,640 --> 00:35:31,000 Speaker 2: You have to have an alternative vision. Now do I 743 00:35:31,040 --> 00:35:33,840 Speaker 2: think that is likely to happen with people like Aikiem Jeffrey. No, 744 00:35:33,960 --> 00:35:36,719 Speaker 2: it's not going to happen with the Keem Jeffries at 745 00:35:36,719 --> 00:35:38,520 Speaker 2: the head of this party, which is kind of my 746 00:35:38,880 --> 00:35:41,280 Speaker 2: entire point. But if they want to only I forget 747 00:35:41,320 --> 00:35:44,600 Speaker 2: about winning again. If they want to actually compete with 748 00:35:44,640 --> 00:35:46,759 Speaker 2: a vision that is good for people, That is good 749 00:35:46,760 --> 00:35:49,840 Speaker 2: for working class people. That isn't about dividing the working class, 750 00:35:50,000 --> 00:35:52,759 Speaker 2: escapegoating people and handing power to the richest man on 751 00:35:52,760 --> 00:35:54,680 Speaker 2: the planet and letting him do whatever the hell that 752 00:35:54,719 --> 00:35:57,440 Speaker 2: he wants. If they want to do that, they're going 753 00:35:57,480 --> 00:35:59,520 Speaker 2: to have to break with Silicon Valley, They're going to 754 00:35:59,600 --> 00:36:01,120 Speaker 2: have to break with the billionaire class. They're going to 755 00:36:01,160 --> 00:36:02,680 Speaker 2: have to break with the donor class and do it 756 00:36:02,719 --> 00:36:04,800 Speaker 2: in a way that was credible. So, like I was 757 00:36:04,800 --> 00:36:07,400 Speaker 2: saying before, this is a a shameless self promotion. I'm 758 00:36:07,440 --> 00:36:10,319 Speaker 2: on TikTok now Chris of all One, and this drove 759 00:36:10,400 --> 00:36:14,680 Speaker 2: me absolutely insane. Apparently the people that they're getting really 760 00:36:14,719 --> 00:36:18,759 Speaker 2: pissed off at, Hakeem Jeffries of the world are not Elon. 761 00:36:18,520 --> 00:36:19,399 Speaker 7: And Trump per se. 762 00:36:19,840 --> 00:36:24,040 Speaker 2: It's the grassroots voters who are calling their offices and 763 00:36:24,160 --> 00:36:28,319 Speaker 2: wanting them to show some life and do more in 764 00:36:28,360 --> 00:36:31,040 Speaker 2: this era. So let's take a listen to some of 765 00:36:31,080 --> 00:36:34,520 Speaker 2: the details here from my TikTok Huge news guys hackem 766 00:36:34,600 --> 00:36:38,080 Speaker 2: Jeffries and other Democratic leaders are finally getting fed up, 767 00:36:38,120 --> 00:36:42,600 Speaker 2: They are getting angry. They are fighting back against grassroots 768 00:36:42,719 --> 00:36:45,399 Speaker 2: voters who are calling their office and demanding a more 769 00:36:45,440 --> 00:36:49,760 Speaker 2: confrontational approach to Elon and Trump's illegal coup power grab 770 00:36:49,840 --> 00:36:52,640 Speaker 2: of our government. Listen to Axios here. This is unbelievable. 771 00:36:53,000 --> 00:36:57,960 Speaker 2: Members of Steering Committee, including Haqem Jeffries, complained that activist 772 00:36:58,000 --> 00:37:01,400 Speaker 2: groups like move On an Indivisible have facilitated thousands of 773 00:37:01,400 --> 00:37:04,320 Speaker 2: phone calls to members offices. People are pissed. A senior 774 00:37:04,400 --> 00:37:08,839 Speaker 2: House Democrat said that Democrats said Jeffreys himself is very frustrated. 775 00:37:09,200 --> 00:37:12,879 Speaker 2: Frustrated not at Elon, not at Trump, not that they're 776 00:37:12,880 --> 00:37:16,560 Speaker 2: Republican enablers, but at quote the groups who are trying 777 00:37:16,600 --> 00:37:21,919 Speaker 2: to stir up a more confrontational opposition to Trump. These 778 00:37:21,960 --> 00:37:25,680 Speaker 2: people have got to go call their offices, but more importantly, 779 00:37:25,719 --> 00:37:28,080 Speaker 2: primary them, because they are letting this country slip into 780 00:37:28,160 --> 00:37:32,919 Speaker 2: authoritarianism by the minute. I've never seen liberals as mad 781 00:37:33,040 --> 00:37:35,600 Speaker 2: at like this. This is one thing that is really 782 00:37:35,640 --> 00:37:38,600 Speaker 2: different from Trump one point zero. Okay, Trump one point zero. 783 00:37:38,800 --> 00:37:41,560 Speaker 2: You remember Nancy Pelosi, her clap, Remember her wearing the 784 00:37:41,600 --> 00:37:44,400 Speaker 2: sunglasses in the red coat like she was girl boss. 785 00:37:44,480 --> 00:37:47,000 Speaker 2: They loved her, They love Adam Shift. They were all 786 00:37:47,040 --> 00:37:49,680 Speaker 2: in for democratic leadership, right. They thought these were people 787 00:37:49,680 --> 00:37:54,480 Speaker 2: were heroes. That is totally different this time around. They 788 00:37:54,520 --> 00:37:59,160 Speaker 2: are disgusted with the democratic leadership, and there is a 789 00:37:59,280 --> 00:38:03,120 Speaker 2: lot of talk of like a Lib Dem tea party 790 00:38:03,160 --> 00:38:05,000 Speaker 2: movement to prior the primary. 791 00:38:05,040 --> 00:38:06,359 Speaker 7: These people who are remember. 792 00:38:06,040 --> 00:38:08,560 Speaker 2: Soccer like they were right there saying Trump is an 793 00:38:08,560 --> 00:38:09,680 Speaker 2: authoritarian threat. 794 00:38:10,200 --> 00:38:11,440 Speaker 7: Trump is a fascist threat. 795 00:38:11,600 --> 00:38:14,440 Speaker 2: And now that we're here and they're actually doing like 796 00:38:14,480 --> 00:38:17,719 Speaker 2: an authoritarian takeover the government, they're like, well, we don't 797 00:38:17,719 --> 00:38:21,319 Speaker 2: how many power and the energy does not match what 798 00:38:21,440 --> 00:38:24,360 Speaker 2: they claimed the threat and the reality was, and people 799 00:38:24,360 --> 00:38:25,600 Speaker 2: are right to be disgusted with that. 800 00:38:25,640 --> 00:38:28,080 Speaker 7: People are right to say, you people are losers. 801 00:38:28,080 --> 00:38:29,799 Speaker 2: The only thing you're good at is like sucking up 802 00:38:29,840 --> 00:38:32,439 Speaker 2: to donors in Silicon Valley, and we actually want people 803 00:38:32,440 --> 00:38:34,240 Speaker 2: who are at least going to put up a fight. 804 00:38:34,640 --> 00:38:37,880 Speaker 2: So that is the one thing that is really different 805 00:38:38,160 --> 00:38:41,719 Speaker 2: this time around from last time is the level of 806 00:38:42,239 --> 00:38:47,279 Speaker 2: liberal disenchantment with their previous media and democratic establishment. Politician 807 00:38:47,480 --> 00:38:50,879 Speaker 2: heroes is a one to eighty from how it. 808 00:38:50,800 --> 00:38:52,719 Speaker 3: Was last I don't know, but look, I don't like 809 00:38:52,719 --> 00:38:54,760 Speaker 3: to blame the voters, but shouldn't they kind of blame themselves. 810 00:38:54,760 --> 00:38:56,880 Speaker 3: They're the ones who push Russiagate, which their leaders did. 811 00:38:56,960 --> 00:39:00,000 Speaker 3: They're the ones who pushed fascism and illegitimacy, which they 812 00:39:00,200 --> 00:39:02,399 Speaker 3: leaders did, and they lost. I mean, they're the ones 813 00:39:02,400 --> 00:39:05,879 Speaker 3: who demanded being like pro open borders and free health 814 00:39:05,880 --> 00:39:09,120 Speaker 3: care for illegals, and then people turned against it. It's like, Okay, 815 00:39:09,200 --> 00:39:10,080 Speaker 3: elections have content. 816 00:39:10,200 --> 00:39:11,560 Speaker 1: Actually, what are we supposed to do? 817 00:39:11,719 --> 00:39:15,319 Speaker 2: I have come to so I still object to the 818 00:39:15,480 --> 00:39:17,840 Speaker 2: Russia gay resistance because it was not actual. 819 00:39:18,360 --> 00:39:19,480 Speaker 7: I don't know that it didn't work. 820 00:39:19,920 --> 00:39:22,480 Speaker 2: They won in twenty eighteen, they won in twenty twenty. 821 00:39:22,800 --> 00:39:25,120 Speaker 2: That was at the fight that was the height of 822 00:39:26,120 --> 00:39:27,960 Speaker 2: Russia Gate like resistance. 823 00:39:28,000 --> 00:39:31,359 Speaker 1: Then the thing was revealed to be bullshit, like they 824 00:39:31,440 --> 00:39:33,000 Speaker 1: put no again. 825 00:39:33,080 --> 00:39:36,400 Speaker 2: I'm not advocating for like concoct another Russia Gate, but 826 00:39:36,440 --> 00:39:40,879 Speaker 2: I am saying that that strategy of maximum media and 827 00:39:41,239 --> 00:39:44,560 Speaker 2: democratic politician resistance pushback. 828 00:39:45,000 --> 00:39:47,239 Speaker 7: I actually think it did work in Interni period. It 829 00:39:47,320 --> 00:39:49,000 Speaker 7: kept his approval. 830 00:39:49,080 --> 00:39:53,080 Speaker 2: With Trump's approval rating now is at the highest it's been. 831 00:39:53,239 --> 00:39:55,040 Speaker 2: It's still not that great, but it's at the highest 832 00:39:55,040 --> 00:39:59,040 Speaker 2: it's been. They successfully kept him underwater that entire time 833 00:39:59,480 --> 00:40:04,400 Speaker 2: through really not great or particularly like effective line of attack, 834 00:40:04,960 --> 00:40:07,680 Speaker 2: just because they were allowed, and they were aggressive, and 835 00:40:07,719 --> 00:40:10,960 Speaker 2: they were protesting, and they were you know, they the 836 00:40:11,080 --> 00:40:13,560 Speaker 2: media figures were out there making the case and telling 837 00:40:13,600 --> 00:40:16,440 Speaker 2: this larger story, et cetera. And so I don't know 838 00:40:16,440 --> 00:40:18,239 Speaker 2: that it's really the right lesson to take that that 839 00:40:18,320 --> 00:40:21,239 Speaker 2: quote unquote didn't work when they won in twenty ten, 840 00:40:21,280 --> 00:40:22,920 Speaker 2: and they won in twenty two while they were doing that. 841 00:40:22,840 --> 00:40:25,000 Speaker 3: Though, because whenever it was revealed to be bullshit, then 842 00:40:25,040 --> 00:40:27,480 Speaker 3: they lost all their credibility with a broad swath of 843 00:40:27,560 --> 00:40:29,959 Speaker 3: swing voter. So you actually have to pick something which 844 00:40:30,000 --> 00:40:31,439 Speaker 3: is real, sure else, I mean. 845 00:40:31,440 --> 00:40:33,920 Speaker 2: Yes, I agree, but I actually do think that it 846 00:40:33,960 --> 00:40:34,759 Speaker 2: was better it was. 847 00:40:34,880 --> 00:40:35,719 Speaker 7: Here's what I will say. 848 00:40:36,080 --> 00:40:38,960 Speaker 2: I actually think it was more effective politically to do 849 00:40:39,040 --> 00:40:42,520 Speaker 2: a mass resistance even on something that was bullshit, versus 850 00:40:42,560 --> 00:40:43,320 Speaker 2: not doing anything. 851 00:40:43,400 --> 00:40:44,759 Speaker 1: That's what I'm saying. I don't know. 852 00:40:44,840 --> 00:40:47,040 Speaker 3: I see this is where again, like if I'm a 853 00:40:47,040 --> 00:40:50,840 Speaker 3: Democratic leader and I got and I listened to my shit. 854 00:40:50,600 --> 00:40:52,640 Speaker 1: Lib voters for the last six years, I. 855 00:40:52,640 --> 00:40:55,560 Speaker 3: Did everything that they wanted me to do and I 856 00:40:55,800 --> 00:40:58,560 Speaker 3: got blown out in the election, maybe they don't have 857 00:40:58,640 --> 00:41:00,960 Speaker 3: very good instincts. This is look again, I mean, if 858 00:41:01,000 --> 00:41:03,560 Speaker 3: we think back to the Tea Party era, a lot 859 00:41:03,600 --> 00:41:05,960 Speaker 3: of Tea There was so much Tea Party anger over 860 00:41:06,040 --> 00:41:09,400 Speaker 3: Obamacare and all this stuff. It's like, well, yeah, it 861 00:41:09,520 --> 00:41:12,720 Speaker 3: led to the midterms winning, but arguably it led also 862 00:41:12,760 --> 00:41:16,439 Speaker 3: to Obama winning the twenty twelve election because you could argue, 863 00:41:16,480 --> 00:41:17,799 Speaker 3: I'm going to be I'm not going to be like 864 00:41:17,840 --> 00:41:20,200 Speaker 3: these crazy people turning to sabotage the debt ceiling er 865 00:41:20,520 --> 00:41:22,879 Speaker 3: take away your health care. So I'm not so sure 866 00:41:22,880 --> 00:41:25,600 Speaker 3: if the correct answer is to listen to the most 867 00:41:25,880 --> 00:41:28,080 Speaker 3: like stringent part of I mean, I think what the 868 00:41:28,120 --> 00:41:31,600 Speaker 3: Democrats are grappling with is not having institutional control for 869 00:41:31,640 --> 00:41:33,759 Speaker 3: the first time in twenty years. Like, what it is 870 00:41:33,760 --> 00:41:36,640 Speaker 3: is that Democrats, the hard and soul of the Democratic 871 00:41:36,719 --> 00:41:40,120 Speaker 3: Party is HR like, that's what it is, the HR liberal. 872 00:41:40,160 --> 00:41:42,120 Speaker 3: It's the tut tutting and they've the ones who have 873 00:41:42,200 --> 00:41:44,880 Speaker 3: turned themselves into that. And for the first time in 874 00:41:44,920 --> 00:41:48,680 Speaker 3: their lives, they're not in control of media narrative. And 875 00:41:48,719 --> 00:41:52,319 Speaker 3: they've genuinely been rejected definitively at the ballot box by 876 00:41:52,560 --> 00:41:54,879 Speaker 3: at the very least they lost popular vote. Yes they didn't, 877 00:41:55,680 --> 00:41:58,080 Speaker 3: they lost by one percent or whatever. But they're not 878 00:41:58,280 --> 00:42:01,759 Speaker 3: in control in the way that they've been for decades. 879 00:42:02,040 --> 00:42:05,080 Speaker 3: That's what I think is fueling the neuroses. They're like, 880 00:42:05,120 --> 00:42:07,520 Speaker 3: but what about but what about Like you can't just 881 00:42:07,600 --> 00:42:09,520 Speaker 3: fire me, you know, we have to go through process. 882 00:42:09,560 --> 00:42:13,160 Speaker 3: They love process, they love bureaucracy. That's what dei hr 883 00:42:13,280 --> 00:42:15,680 Speaker 3: all of that is all about. Especially it aligns very 884 00:42:15,680 --> 00:42:18,120 Speaker 3: well with the consultant, the guy making two hundred and 885 00:42:18,120 --> 00:42:20,000 Speaker 3: fifty thousand dollars a year, but he's got a BLM 886 00:42:20,280 --> 00:42:22,600 Speaker 3: and a Pride flag out on his lawn. But who's 887 00:42:22,600 --> 00:42:25,960 Speaker 3: also a nimby, right, Like this is this is something 888 00:42:26,040 --> 00:42:30,880 Speaker 3: that is a cultural transition in terms of the Trump victory. 889 00:42:30,960 --> 00:42:32,920 Speaker 1: So that's what I think they're reacting to. 890 00:42:33,040 --> 00:42:35,880 Speaker 3: I don't know if they're reacting in terms of something 891 00:42:36,080 --> 00:42:39,040 Speaker 3: policy wise. I don't know if the democratic politician is 892 00:42:39,120 --> 00:42:42,160 Speaker 3: wrong to not trust that person's political instincts. 893 00:42:42,239 --> 00:42:44,160 Speaker 7: So you think Kim Jefferies is doing the right thing. 894 00:42:44,160 --> 00:42:46,600 Speaker 2: I'm not running a Silicon valley and ignoring the people 895 00:42:46,600 --> 00:42:48,680 Speaker 2: who are saying that's not why don't you go after 896 00:42:48,680 --> 00:42:49,480 Speaker 2: the oligarchs? 897 00:42:49,600 --> 00:42:53,359 Speaker 1: Why that's the thing that is No, it's not that's 898 00:42:53,600 --> 00:42:55,759 Speaker 1: they love Mark Cubans love of. 899 00:42:55,800 --> 00:42:59,239 Speaker 2: People are calling their office and saying you need to 900 00:42:59,320 --> 00:43:03,120 Speaker 2: go after these oligarchs. You have to go after these billionaires. 901 00:43:03,320 --> 00:43:06,560 Speaker 2: That is what the entire wave of resistance is all 902 00:43:06,600 --> 00:43:07,399 Speaker 2: about right now. 903 00:43:07,600 --> 00:43:08,440 Speaker 7: Now, what I. 904 00:43:08,400 --> 00:43:12,320 Speaker 2: Will say is, I think where the what the liberal 905 00:43:12,360 --> 00:43:16,760 Speaker 2: base was sold. Instead of an actual you know, agenda 906 00:43:16,840 --> 00:43:22,279 Speaker 2: about labor economics, wages, like getting rid of money in politics, 907 00:43:22,719 --> 00:43:26,960 Speaker 2: ending the dominance of oligarchs in American society, what they 908 00:43:27,000 --> 00:43:29,399 Speaker 2: were sold was a bunch of culture war bullshit. That's 909 00:43:29,440 --> 00:43:31,640 Speaker 2: where Hillary Clinton comes in. That's how they crushed the 910 00:43:31,640 --> 00:43:34,400 Speaker 2: Bernie Sanders movement. By the way, that's exactly what's happening 911 00:43:34,440 --> 00:43:37,359 Speaker 2: on the right right now. Is any inkling of oh, 912 00:43:37,360 --> 00:43:39,040 Speaker 2: we're going to be pro labor, We're going to be 913 00:43:39,160 --> 00:43:42,000 Speaker 2: pro like, you know, anti trust enforcement. We're going to 914 00:43:42,040 --> 00:43:44,200 Speaker 2: be in favor of the little guy that is being 915 00:43:44,280 --> 00:43:47,680 Speaker 2: wiped clean, in favor of a pro oligarch agenda with 916 00:43:47,800 --> 00:43:50,000 Speaker 2: some culture war bullshit layered on top. 917 00:43:50,120 --> 00:43:52,520 Speaker 7: Okay, that's what the liberal base was sold. 918 00:43:53,000 --> 00:43:57,640 Speaker 2: They are now those people have realized that that way 919 00:43:58,080 --> 00:44:00,000 Speaker 2: of going about business was a disaster. 920 00:44:00,560 --> 00:44:03,640 Speaker 7: That it has led to that. It is absolutely true. 921 00:44:03,760 --> 00:44:06,120 Speaker 2: That is why they have broken so heavily with the 922 00:44:06,239 --> 00:44:09,000 Speaker 2: MSNBC's of the World. That is why they have broken 923 00:44:09,040 --> 00:44:13,120 Speaker 2: so heavily with the Democratic elite leaders. So, you know, 924 00:44:13,400 --> 00:44:16,520 Speaker 2: that's that's how we get to this point where the 925 00:44:16,719 --> 00:44:20,760 Speaker 2: Democratic leaders want to continue sucking up to Silicon Valley Valley, 926 00:44:21,080 --> 00:44:25,440 Speaker 2: want to continue the status quo and have complete contempt 927 00:44:25,719 --> 00:44:29,480 Speaker 2: for the actual grassroots voters in the party and are 928 00:44:29,520 --> 00:44:32,680 Speaker 2: more disgusted with them than with the billionaire class. That's 929 00:44:32,719 --> 00:44:34,600 Speaker 2: where the rural problem is, and that's where risk comes 930 00:44:34,600 --> 00:44:37,640 Speaker 2: in for them because previously they were able to enforce 931 00:44:37,880 --> 00:44:42,680 Speaker 2: absolute uniform conformity among most of the base because they 932 00:44:42,680 --> 00:44:45,280 Speaker 2: had these media organs, because they had this theory about 933 00:44:45,320 --> 00:44:47,520 Speaker 2: this is the way we beat Trump, et cetera. That 934 00:44:47,600 --> 00:44:51,479 Speaker 2: has all fallen apart. So there is an anger out 935 00:44:51,480 --> 00:44:57,520 Speaker 2: there in the Democratic base voter visa the these this 936 00:44:57,760 --> 00:45:00,440 Speaker 2: leadership class because of their failure to stand up to 937 00:45:00,560 --> 00:45:01,520 Speaker 2: Trump and Elon. 938 00:45:01,880 --> 00:45:03,439 Speaker 7: That is very different from how. 939 00:45:03,360 --> 00:45:04,760 Speaker 1: Well I think they're mad at Elon. 940 00:45:05,000 --> 00:45:07,759 Speaker 3: I don't think they care about billionaires or oligarchy at all. 941 00:45:07,800 --> 00:45:09,359 Speaker 3: I think they just don't like Elon and they think 942 00:45:09,360 --> 00:45:12,400 Speaker 3: he's offensive. I'm not kidding. I think that culturally, the 943 00:45:12,440 --> 00:45:14,719 Speaker 3: way he conducts himself to move fast and break things 944 00:45:15,120 --> 00:45:17,360 Speaker 3: is counter to what I just said about the hr 945 00:45:17,760 --> 00:45:21,799 Speaker 3: process bureaucrat, which is ultimately who these people are, and 946 00:45:21,840 --> 00:45:26,279 Speaker 3: that's their religion. So that's why they don't care about oligarchy. 947 00:45:26,280 --> 00:45:29,920 Speaker 3: If it was Mark Cuban with his glasses on explaining 948 00:45:29,960 --> 00:45:32,400 Speaker 3: to them how actually right the process. 949 00:45:33,080 --> 00:45:36,120 Speaker 2: You're actually really wrong about the Democratic base versus the 950 00:45:36,120 --> 00:45:40,600 Speaker 2: Republican But if you pull them on every issue, Democratic 951 00:45:40,680 --> 00:45:45,840 Speaker 2: voters are more confrontational visa vi capital, they are more 952 00:45:46,760 --> 00:45:47,319 Speaker 2: left wing. 953 00:45:47,400 --> 00:45:51,520 Speaker 1: That's what they say when it comes down in practice true. 954 00:45:50,480 --> 00:45:52,480 Speaker 2: But how can I mean if you're just looking at 955 00:45:52,480 --> 00:45:53,960 Speaker 2: the base and you're looking at the base of the 956 00:45:53,960 --> 00:45:57,440 Speaker 2: two parties, they are way more adversarial towards the billionaire 957 00:45:57,440 --> 00:46:02,200 Speaker 2: class than Republicans are. So there is a huge distance 958 00:46:02,360 --> 00:46:06,360 Speaker 2: between how they want Democratic leadership to approach these issues 959 00:46:06,560 --> 00:46:10,600 Speaker 2: and how you know, the leaders are actually approaching these issues. 960 00:46:10,800 --> 00:46:13,160 Speaker 2: So it has led to a massive schizem. I mean, 961 00:46:13,200 --> 00:46:15,399 Speaker 2: there's just no doubt about it. And yeah, they don't 962 00:46:15,440 --> 00:46:16,719 Speaker 2: like Elon for probably some. 963 00:46:16,680 --> 00:46:17,080 Speaker 1: Of the reasons. 964 00:46:17,160 --> 00:46:19,960 Speaker 7: That's okay, but they are there. 965 00:46:19,840 --> 00:46:26,080 Speaker 2: Is a has long been more antipathy towards billionaires, wealth, inequality, 966 00:46:26,200 --> 00:46:28,279 Speaker 2: et cetera on the Democratic side than the. 967 00:46:28,280 --> 00:46:33,040 Speaker 3: Republicanstic white like, oh, yes, we need to fix wealth 968 00:46:33,080 --> 00:46:34,160 Speaker 3: inequality while. 969 00:46:34,000 --> 00:46:37,040 Speaker 2: I live in mind, you overstate the realignment too. I mean, 970 00:46:37,040 --> 00:46:39,279 Speaker 2: what percent of black voters went for Trump this time? 971 00:46:39,320 --> 00:46:40,440 Speaker 1: I probably twenty percent. 972 00:46:40,520 --> 00:46:42,319 Speaker 2: Now I don't think it was even that maybe, so 973 00:46:42,800 --> 00:46:45,320 Speaker 2: to say it is always just all like affluent white people, 974 00:46:45,520 --> 00:46:46,600 Speaker 2: that is important the. 975 00:46:46,600 --> 00:46:49,279 Speaker 1: College I left out elderly blacks. You're right, elderly blacks 976 00:46:49,320 --> 00:46:50,560 Speaker 1: are also a Democratic. 977 00:46:50,880 --> 00:46:53,759 Speaker 2: Some eighty percent of black voters still a you know, 978 00:46:54,040 --> 00:46:57,960 Speaker 2: large proportion of Latinos, still a majority of young people. 979 00:46:58,280 --> 00:47:01,239 Speaker 7: So just don't you're so you're being very one dimensional. 980 00:47:01,520 --> 00:47:03,560 Speaker 2: It would be like if I said everyone who supports 981 00:47:03,640 --> 00:47:05,440 Speaker 2: NAGA is like a redneck in Alabama. 982 00:47:05,520 --> 00:47:07,000 Speaker 7: Enough, Okay, but it's not true. 983 00:47:07,280 --> 00:47:10,440 Speaker 2: There's a lot of varied constituencies that go into this party. 984 00:47:10,480 --> 00:47:13,240 Speaker 3: I think I have a lot of different in powerful base, 985 00:47:13,400 --> 00:47:16,960 Speaker 3: Like the activist Democrat is the dei liberal. Like that's 986 00:47:17,000 --> 00:47:19,160 Speaker 3: true now, for there are a lot of elderly blacks 987 00:47:19,160 --> 00:47:21,960 Speaker 3: and Hispanics and other working class folks which back them. 988 00:47:21,960 --> 00:47:24,879 Speaker 3: But if you look at the managerial element, the people 989 00:47:24,880 --> 00:47:27,640 Speaker 3: who have the ability to push the agenda, the people 990 00:47:27,640 --> 00:47:30,040 Speaker 3: who work in Washington all that, that's where it all 991 00:47:30,239 --> 00:47:32,279 Speaker 3: comes from. And guess that's where look. And that's also 992 00:47:32,480 --> 00:47:34,640 Speaker 3: my personal experience dealing with the demo. 993 00:47:34,920 --> 00:47:37,200 Speaker 2: You live in Alexandria, but of course, like that's of 994 00:47:37,200 --> 00:47:39,680 Speaker 2: course those are your neighbors. But that is a tiny 995 00:47:39,680 --> 00:47:41,120 Speaker 2: slivery and the entire entry. 996 00:47:41,160 --> 00:47:42,759 Speaker 1: They're the ones who run the party. They're the ones 997 00:47:42,760 --> 00:47:43,719 Speaker 1: who run all of this shit. 998 00:47:43,880 --> 00:47:47,480 Speaker 3: So when I and I've watched their cultural obsessions and 999 00:47:47,520 --> 00:47:50,399 Speaker 3: all that take over the entire thing. Now, I think 1000 00:47:50,440 --> 00:47:54,360 Speaker 3: the question mark again is do they legitimately care about 1001 00:47:54,680 --> 00:47:55,080 Speaker 3: you know, the. 1002 00:47:55,160 --> 00:47:56,319 Speaker 1: Ninety nine percent of all them. 1003 00:47:56,400 --> 00:47:59,719 Speaker 3: I just am deeply skeptical because look at the way 1004 00:47:59,719 --> 00:48:03,240 Speaker 3: that Cuban was like a resistance figure, you know under 1005 00:48:03,360 --> 00:48:06,799 Speaker 3: Kamala and he was willing to get sec Like, look, 1006 00:48:06,880 --> 00:48:08,919 Speaker 3: we had four years of a democratic president. They didn't 1007 00:48:08,960 --> 00:48:12,600 Speaker 3: close the capital gains loophole. Kristen Cinema, the Democratic senator, 1008 00:48:12,840 --> 00:48:14,920 Speaker 3: and Joe Manchin of the people who voted against that. 1009 00:48:14,960 --> 00:48:17,839 Speaker 3: It's like in practice and the reality of it, sure, 1010 00:48:17,920 --> 00:48:20,520 Speaker 3: NLRB or whatever, And I'm not arguing that there isn't 1011 00:48:20,520 --> 00:48:23,960 Speaker 3: a genuine difference on economic policy I'm saying, is this 1012 00:48:24,040 --> 00:48:28,600 Speaker 3: a genuine ninety nine percent Occupy Wall Street type movement 1013 00:48:28,680 --> 00:48:29,560 Speaker 3: right now against Elon? 1014 00:48:29,719 --> 00:48:31,600 Speaker 1: I really don't think so. I think all of it 1015 00:48:31,640 --> 00:48:32,240 Speaker 1: is cultural. 1016 00:48:32,480 --> 00:48:34,800 Speaker 3: All of it comes down to the disregard for process, 1017 00:48:35,040 --> 00:48:37,719 Speaker 3: the offensiveness. That's what Trump Also, what do they hate 1018 00:48:37,760 --> 00:48:40,200 Speaker 3: the most about Trump? He's uncouth, the way he talks. 1019 00:48:40,480 --> 00:48:42,520 Speaker 3: I don't think a lot of it is policy based 1020 00:48:42,560 --> 00:48:45,000 Speaker 3: per se. And when they want their resistance, they wanted 1021 00:48:45,040 --> 00:48:46,960 Speaker 3: to be dressed up in the similar way that Russia 1022 00:48:47,000 --> 00:48:50,640 Speaker 3: Gate was of this like grand fight, but they problems. 1023 00:48:50,280 --> 00:48:50,759 Speaker 7: Is that fight? 1024 00:48:51,120 --> 00:48:52,759 Speaker 1: But they picked But that's what I'm saying. 1025 00:48:52,760 --> 00:48:54,920 Speaker 3: They lost their credibility because the last one that they 1026 00:48:54,960 --> 00:48:57,000 Speaker 3: the last time they tried this, it was a fake 1027 00:48:57,520 --> 00:48:58,400 Speaker 3: argument that they. 1028 00:48:58,280 --> 00:48:59,800 Speaker 1: Made and they don't know how. 1029 00:48:59,680 --> 00:49:02,240 Speaker 2: This is a real argue. But this is a real argument. 1030 00:49:02,600 --> 00:49:05,680 Speaker 2: And so listen, I think you're right that, like, you know, 1031 00:49:06,120 --> 00:49:08,960 Speaker 2: am I going to frame these people as like Occupy 1032 00:49:09,040 --> 00:49:10,759 Speaker 2: Wall Street ninety nine percent ers and what? 1033 00:49:11,000 --> 00:49:11,160 Speaker 1: No? 1034 00:49:11,480 --> 00:49:18,200 Speaker 2: But is there a clear overlap between an anti billionaire 1035 00:49:18,440 --> 00:49:20,080 Speaker 2: vision of the country. I mean you even have like 1036 00:49:20,239 --> 00:49:23,520 Speaker 2: random regular Democrats being like, oh, Bernie was right about everything. 1037 00:49:23,560 --> 00:49:26,840 Speaker 2: I mean, there is a realization that the way to 1038 00:49:26,920 --> 00:49:31,960 Speaker 2: combat Trumpism was through a populist left direction. And so 1039 00:49:32,239 --> 00:49:34,400 Speaker 2: even if they don't care about, like, you know, the 1040 00:49:34,440 --> 00:49:37,080 Speaker 2: issues the way that I do, there is a recognition 1041 00:49:37,440 --> 00:49:40,919 Speaker 2: of that was the correct political path number one. Number two, 1042 00:49:41,000 --> 00:49:43,879 Speaker 2: if you are going to have a prayer of rebuilding 1043 00:49:44,280 --> 00:49:47,160 Speaker 2: the working class base of the party and expanding the 1044 00:49:47,200 --> 00:49:49,439 Speaker 2: coalition and bringing back in some of the young people 1045 00:49:49,480 --> 00:49:51,080 Speaker 2: that were lost, et cetera, that is. 1046 00:49:51,080 --> 00:49:52,399 Speaker 7: The tack you have to take. 1047 00:49:52,880 --> 00:49:55,880 Speaker 2: And that's where I think the realization is with the 1048 00:49:55,920 --> 00:49:59,479 Speaker 2: democratic base of like, you people aren't up to the fight. 1049 00:49:59,560 --> 00:50:00,720 Speaker 7: You're not a to the challenge. 1050 00:50:00,800 --> 00:50:03,160 Speaker 2: You're not you know, you are not fighting back the 1051 00:50:03,200 --> 00:50:05,440 Speaker 2: way that we want to see you. And let's put 1052 00:50:05,520 --> 00:50:08,120 Speaker 2: up actually the poll that we have that shows you 1053 00:50:08,160 --> 00:50:13,239 Speaker 2: that this shift has happened actually quite recently. So originally 1054 00:50:13,280 --> 00:50:17,239 Speaker 2: in January, Democrats were kind of split about whether or 1055 00:50:17,280 --> 00:50:20,240 Speaker 2: not congressional Democrats should oppose Trump as much as possible 1056 00:50:20,280 --> 00:50:22,239 Speaker 2: or try to find common ground. In fact, you had 1057 00:50:22,280 --> 00:50:25,400 Speaker 2: fifty four percent who were like, let's work together. And 1058 00:50:25,440 --> 00:50:28,120 Speaker 2: this does speak to these sort of like democrats always 1059 00:50:28,160 --> 00:50:30,760 Speaker 2: looking for like bipartisanship and let's be nice and cordial 1060 00:50:30,800 --> 00:50:34,879 Speaker 2: and whatever. That has really flipped. And that's what I'm 1061 00:50:34,880 --> 00:50:38,560 Speaker 2: talking about. With this more aggressive energy and being extremely 1062 00:50:38,600 --> 00:50:42,839 Speaker 2: disenchanted with the Democratic Party leadership, that creates creates an 1063 00:50:42,920 --> 00:50:46,840 Speaker 2: opening that there will be a challenge to Democratic Party 1064 00:50:46,920 --> 00:50:49,240 Speaker 2: leaders that we did that there would be some form 1065 00:50:49,320 --> 00:50:51,120 Speaker 2: of like a Democratic tea party that we did not 1066 00:50:51,200 --> 00:50:53,719 Speaker 2: see anything like in the first term. So now you've 1067 00:50:53,719 --> 00:50:57,239 Speaker 2: got sixty five percent, so jump in twenty points in 1068 00:50:57,320 --> 00:50:59,839 Speaker 2: a month saying you should be opposing Trump as much 1069 00:50:59,840 --> 00:51:02,160 Speaker 2: as possible, versus thirty five percent who say, try to 1070 00:51:02,200 --> 00:51:05,359 Speaker 2: find common ground. And that's all I'm trying to point 1071 00:51:05,360 --> 00:51:08,799 Speaker 2: to is for the first time, there is a real 1072 00:51:08,920 --> 00:51:14,680 Speaker 2: break between democratic leadership and media figures and the Democratic base. 1073 00:51:15,040 --> 00:51:19,080 Speaker 2: And that is different, and it creates a possibility that 1074 00:51:19,120 --> 00:51:21,040 Speaker 2: did not exist in the first Trump administration. 1075 00:51:21,120 --> 00:51:22,200 Speaker 1: I will grant you that. 1076 00:51:22,400 --> 00:51:25,080 Speaker 3: I just think considering how these people love to follow 1077 00:51:25,239 --> 00:51:28,359 Speaker 3: orders and in general have a lot of deference to 1078 00:51:28,440 --> 00:51:31,160 Speaker 3: their leaders. I mean, who is the likely person who 1079 00:51:31,520 --> 00:51:33,760 Speaker 3: would you put your money on to be the next 1080 00:51:34,040 --> 00:51:36,360 Speaker 3: not Democratic nominee per se, but some of the emerging 1081 00:51:36,600 --> 00:51:40,640 Speaker 3: resistance figures just JB. Pritzker, literal billionaire Pete, Bootage Edge 1082 00:51:40,800 --> 00:51:41,880 Speaker 3: Wine Cave Pete. 1083 00:51:41,960 --> 00:51:42,799 Speaker 1: I mean the. 1084 00:51:43,320 --> 00:51:46,120 Speaker 3: Track of who they have their trust in, who can 1085 00:51:46,200 --> 00:51:48,879 Speaker 3: like beat their chest strongly and give them a bunch 1086 00:51:48,920 --> 00:51:52,680 Speaker 3: of rhetoric, doesn't portend for some ninety nine percent Bernie 1087 00:51:52,680 --> 00:51:56,319 Speaker 3: Sanders revolution. It portends basically what I'm talking about, like 1088 00:51:56,600 --> 00:52:00,480 Speaker 3: rich white people who love to see somebody articulate, spoken 1089 00:52:00,560 --> 00:52:03,920 Speaker 3: and defend norms in bureaucracy. Like that seems to be 1090 00:52:04,200 --> 00:52:06,960 Speaker 3: the current track that things are going in the direction of. 1091 00:52:07,000 --> 00:52:09,799 Speaker 3: So I'm just not so sure that resistance will take 1092 00:52:09,840 --> 00:52:13,480 Speaker 3: the form of like some anti oligarchy agenda. Will they 1093 00:52:13,480 --> 00:52:16,520 Speaker 3: be for raising the income tax from thirty five to 1094 00:52:16,520 --> 00:52:17,360 Speaker 3: forty one percent? 1095 00:52:17,640 --> 00:52:18,279 Speaker 1: Absolutely? 1096 00:52:18,360 --> 00:52:20,279 Speaker 3: Okay, But that's not the same thing as what we're 1097 00:52:20,320 --> 00:52:23,440 Speaker 3: talking about, some grand like takedown of the you. 1098 00:52:23,440 --> 00:52:24,279 Speaker 7: Would have to have. 1099 00:52:25,000 --> 00:52:27,080 Speaker 2: I think it almost has to be someone from outside 1100 00:52:27,120 --> 00:52:30,920 Speaker 2: the system. Yeah, because we're Stephen polar two. Yeah, that's 1101 00:52:30,960 --> 00:52:34,359 Speaker 2: exactly right. Yeah, they're too. I mean, this is there 1102 00:52:34,480 --> 00:52:36,520 Speaker 2: the whole like water that those women. 1103 00:52:36,560 --> 00:52:40,279 Speaker 3: Absolutely, of course they're they're they're that. If anything, what 1104 00:52:40,320 --> 00:52:43,960 Speaker 3: can you say about Trump? The circumvention of the traditional 1105 00:52:43,960 --> 00:52:47,439 Speaker 3: process and the popularity and the ability to say shit 1106 00:52:47,520 --> 00:52:51,080 Speaker 3: that is totally in the moment out of control, which 1107 00:52:51,120 --> 00:52:54,239 Speaker 3: is a lie but also deeply true, was one that 1108 00:52:54,560 --> 00:52:58,000 Speaker 3: shocked the entire political system. But the problem that I 1109 00:52:58,160 --> 00:53:01,880 Speaker 3: see is that because the current constituency the Democratic Party, 1110 00:53:01,920 --> 00:53:04,719 Speaker 3: I'm not so sure that their lack of faith in 1111 00:53:04,800 --> 00:53:08,759 Speaker 3: institutions is so as as low as where Republicans were 1112 00:53:08,800 --> 00:53:11,600 Speaker 3: and willing to receive that message. There still seems to 1113 00:53:11,640 --> 00:53:14,759 Speaker 3: be the credibility in the pets, in the JB. Pritskers, 1114 00:53:15,000 --> 00:53:17,440 Speaker 3: even in the Obamas of the world, like right, it 1115 00:53:17,480 --> 00:53:19,359 Speaker 3: would take. What happened with Trump is that you had 1116 00:53:19,360 --> 00:53:21,480 Speaker 3: literally Georgia B. Bush, the leader of the party in McCain, 1117 00:53:21,719 --> 00:53:24,719 Speaker 3: who became underwater with their own base. I don't see 1118 00:53:24,719 --> 00:53:27,719 Speaker 3: the same phenomenon with Michelle, with Barack, with I mean 1119 00:53:27,880 --> 00:53:28,839 Speaker 3: even Kamala, they. 1120 00:53:29,440 --> 00:53:31,399 Speaker 1: Yeah, they still love him, right and even though it's 1121 00:53:31,400 --> 00:53:32,560 Speaker 1: his fault, he's thought. 1122 00:53:32,640 --> 00:53:34,759 Speaker 2: There was a poll that came out in California, in 1123 00:53:34,840 --> 00:53:37,719 Speaker 2: the California and goubernatorial primer with Kamala. 1124 00:53:37,480 --> 00:53:38,759 Speaker 7: And it actually was not great for her. 1125 00:53:38,800 --> 00:53:40,759 Speaker 2: Oh, I didn't see that she was like basically tied 1126 00:53:40,760 --> 00:53:41,720 Speaker 2: with the number two person. 1127 00:53:41,760 --> 00:53:42,520 Speaker 7: I was kind of surprised. 1128 00:53:42,520 --> 00:53:44,480 Speaker 2: Always number two I don't know the number two was 1129 00:53:44,480 --> 00:53:46,600 Speaker 2: actually a Republican because you know, it's the jungle primary 1130 00:53:46,680 --> 00:53:49,040 Speaker 2: right now. And then there was another Democrat that came 1131 00:53:49,040 --> 00:53:50,719 Speaker 2: in after her, but she was only getting like twenty 1132 00:53:50,719 --> 00:53:52,360 Speaker 2: three percent of them interested. 1133 00:53:52,400 --> 00:53:54,120 Speaker 7: Yeah, okay, interesting, which we'll see. 1134 00:53:54,160 --> 00:53:56,080 Speaker 1: I hope you're right, because I would just love to 1135 00:53:56,120 --> 00:53:58,560 Speaker 1: break shit up. But I'm just I've seen. 1136 00:53:59,480 --> 00:54:01,920 Speaker 3: I just the way I can see it is that 1137 00:54:02,160 --> 00:54:05,359 Speaker 3: Hakeem Jeffries will be replaced by some Pete Boodhage Edge 1138 00:54:05,360 --> 00:54:07,200 Speaker 3: type figure who will mobilize. 1139 00:54:07,280 --> 00:54:09,160 Speaker 1: And you know, I would. 1140 00:54:09,600 --> 00:54:12,880 Speaker 2: Over I would take Pete over he King Jeffries for oh, 1141 00:54:13,120 --> 00:54:16,080 Speaker 2: for sure. Hakeem Jeffries is the most worthless person I've 1142 00:54:16,120 --> 00:54:18,920 Speaker 2: ever seen in my entire life. Like I said, longing 1143 00:54:18,960 --> 00:54:21,960 Speaker 2: for the days of Nancy Pelosio at least had some political. 1144 00:54:21,520 --> 00:54:22,920 Speaker 1: Skills, some of the some of this. 1145 00:54:23,200 --> 00:54:25,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, he at least had some sass or whatever to 1146 00:54:25,640 --> 00:54:28,440 Speaker 2: her and is able, you know, in a Machiavellian way, 1147 00:54:29,080 --> 00:54:30,839 Speaker 2: was effective in Washington, but. 1148 00:54:31,000 --> 00:54:32,400 Speaker 1: She forced by now we have to hear that. 1149 00:54:32,480 --> 00:54:36,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, these these people are beyond worthless. And so I mean, listen, 1150 00:54:37,320 --> 00:54:39,879 Speaker 2: definitely possible that you're right. I'm just saying that there's 1151 00:54:39,880 --> 00:54:42,960 Speaker 2: a possibility and a different relationship vise of you, the 1152 00:54:42,960 --> 00:54:45,160 Speaker 2: base and the leaders that there than there was last time. 1153 00:54:45,200 --> 00:54:48,280 Speaker 1: I hope they're correct. I would like to see it materialize, 1154 00:54:48,320 --> 00:54:49,040 Speaker 1: but I don't know. 1155 00:54:49,239 --> 00:54:53,200 Speaker 3: I'm skeptical to see where all of this is going 1156 00:54:53,239 --> 00:54:59,160 Speaker 3: to take us. Let's turn now to Congresswoman Nancy Mace 1157 00:54:59,239 --> 00:55:03,960 Speaker 3: who the recent months has really taken the podium and 1158 00:55:04,120 --> 00:55:09,000 Speaker 3: a platform to try and bring attention to violence against women. However, 1159 00:55:09,120 --> 00:55:12,240 Speaker 3: there have been a lot of questions about some previous 1160 00:55:12,320 --> 00:55:15,920 Speaker 3: assault allegations and others that she had made previously. She did, however, 1161 00:55:16,040 --> 00:55:18,600 Speaker 3: take to the floor of the House of Representatives to 1162 00:55:18,680 --> 00:55:22,960 Speaker 3: describe some genuinely horrific things that she says happened to her. 1163 00:55:23,080 --> 00:55:25,480 Speaker 3: But it's also led to some questionable behavior in terms 1164 00:55:25,520 --> 00:55:28,000 Speaker 3: of what she's asking people to do as a result 1165 00:55:28,040 --> 00:55:29,520 Speaker 3: of that. So we wanted to take a second to 1166 00:55:29,560 --> 00:55:31,080 Speaker 3: get into some of it. Let's take a listen to 1167 00:55:31,080 --> 00:55:31,799 Speaker 3: what she had to say. 1168 00:55:32,120 --> 00:55:35,560 Speaker 12: When I uncovered evidence of rape and the illegal filming 1169 00:55:35,600 --> 00:55:41,759 Speaker 12: of women and sex trafficking, I didn't just see victims. 1170 00:55:42,960 --> 00:55:49,319 Speaker 12: I saw a system that failed to protect them. I 1171 00:55:49,360 --> 00:55:53,440 Speaker 12: saw criminals who thought they could get away with it 1172 00:55:53,520 --> 00:55:57,400 Speaker 12: because no one had the guts, no one had the courage, 1173 00:55:57,440 --> 00:56:03,240 Speaker 12: no one had the bravery to hold them accountable. Because 1174 00:56:03,600 --> 00:56:08,080 Speaker 12: we are filled with cowards. I will burn this system 1175 00:56:08,120 --> 00:56:10,560 Speaker 12: to the ground if I have to. 1176 00:56:11,160 --> 00:56:13,440 Speaker 3: So she gave a fifty three minute spage detailed some 1177 00:56:13,480 --> 00:56:16,080 Speaker 3: horrific things she alleged happened to her, involving her ex 1178 00:56:16,239 --> 00:56:19,040 Speaker 3: fiance and others. But one of the things that you 1179 00:56:19,080 --> 00:56:22,120 Speaker 3: probably saw there if you are watching, is actually the 1180 00:56:22,520 --> 00:56:26,520 Speaker 3: quote of victim's hotline. However, you know immediately afterward there 1181 00:56:26,560 --> 00:56:28,600 Speaker 3: were some questions here about that actual hotline. 1182 00:56:28,640 --> 00:56:30,480 Speaker 1: Let's put this up there on the screen. 1183 00:56:31,080 --> 00:56:35,080 Speaker 3: Apparently the actual advocates in South Carolina are telling people 1184 00:56:35,280 --> 00:56:38,239 Speaker 3: not to use the hotline because they're saying that it's 1185 00:56:38,280 --> 00:56:42,280 Speaker 3: one that goes to an unanswered mailbox, and they say, quote, 1186 00:56:42,280 --> 00:56:44,520 Speaker 3: no one picks up. That's not a hotline, it's actually 1187 00:56:44,760 --> 00:56:48,160 Speaker 3: an answering machine. And look, we're obviously trying to discuss 1188 00:56:48,200 --> 00:56:52,480 Speaker 3: this delicately, but it gets to some behavior from Nancy 1189 00:56:52,520 --> 00:56:55,840 Speaker 3: Mace where previously she had claimed what was it She 1190 00:56:55,840 --> 00:56:58,600 Speaker 3: had claimed that somebody of activist had assaults her, and 1191 00:56:58,640 --> 00:57:02,279 Speaker 3: she was wearing she was wearing a sling in the 1192 00:57:02,320 --> 00:57:05,520 Speaker 3: House of Representatives. But in general, I've been very I've 1193 00:57:05,560 --> 00:57:08,719 Speaker 3: been fascinated to watch it here in Washington because she 1194 00:57:08,880 --> 00:57:12,040 Speaker 3: is one who is both occasionally like a MAGA star, 1195 00:57:12,440 --> 00:57:16,440 Speaker 3: but increasingly also is being called for, you know, by 1196 00:57:16,440 --> 00:57:19,200 Speaker 3: her own staff who are alleging, you know, that she 1197 00:57:19,440 --> 00:57:21,520 Speaker 3: had lied about previous incidents. 1198 00:57:21,560 --> 00:57:23,720 Speaker 1: So the whole thing is incredibly bizarre. 1199 00:57:23,840 --> 00:57:26,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, this woman is a liar. There's no reason to 1200 00:57:26,560 --> 00:57:29,000 Speaker 2: take anything she says seriously. If I'm being honest with you, 1201 00:57:29,080 --> 00:57:31,560 Speaker 2: I will be less delicate than you will put up. 1202 00:57:31,560 --> 00:57:35,400 Speaker 2: Even so, even she claimed like, uh, I don't know 1203 00:57:35,440 --> 00:57:38,040 Speaker 2: what happened to her, blah blah blah. But she claimed 1204 00:57:38,080 --> 00:57:41,200 Speaker 2: she contacted the Attorney General's office in South Carolina, the 1205 00:57:41,240 --> 00:57:43,320 Speaker 2: attorney general, by the way, who she plans to run 1206 00:57:43,320 --> 00:57:46,040 Speaker 2: against in a gubernatorial primary, so very convenient to target 1207 00:57:46,120 --> 00:57:50,240 Speaker 2: him in particular. And she said, oh, I contacted them, 1208 00:57:50,280 --> 00:57:53,920 Speaker 2: and they did absolutely nothing. Well, the Attorney general came 1209 00:57:53,960 --> 00:57:57,240 Speaker 2: out and said that her claims were quote categorically false. 1210 00:57:57,800 --> 00:58:00,680 Speaker 2: Mays either does not understand or is purposely characterized in 1211 00:58:00,720 --> 00:58:03,960 Speaker 2: the role of attorney general. Because guys, think about it, 1212 00:58:04,000 --> 00:58:06,000 Speaker 2: if you're a victim of anything, Do you call the 1213 00:58:06,040 --> 00:58:08,200 Speaker 2: attorney gen No, you call law enforcement, Like what are 1214 00:58:08,240 --> 00:58:11,760 Speaker 2: we talking about here? And not to mention, this Attorney 1215 00:58:11,760 --> 00:58:13,600 Speaker 2: General goes on to say, like we're at a bunch 1216 00:58:13,640 --> 00:58:16,360 Speaker 2: of events together. She literally has my personal cell phone. 1217 00:58:16,440 --> 00:58:19,160 Speaker 2: She's never raised any of this with me. So that's 1218 00:58:19,240 --> 00:58:22,240 Speaker 2: number one. But more concretely on the victim hotline thing, 1219 00:58:22,680 --> 00:58:24,880 Speaker 2: So she puts up this hot line, you know, trying 1220 00:58:24,920 --> 00:58:27,040 Speaker 2: to position herself as this great defender of women. 1221 00:58:27,120 --> 00:58:29,640 Speaker 7: Blah blah blah. It's it is enough. 1222 00:58:29,720 --> 00:58:32,800 Speaker 2: It's a voicemail box. So if you are someone who 1223 00:58:32,840 --> 00:58:35,640 Speaker 2: is a genuine survivor, if you went through and you 1224 00:58:35,680 --> 00:58:38,240 Speaker 2: are looking for someone to talk to and some resources 1225 00:58:38,280 --> 00:58:41,400 Speaker 2: to cope with this horrific traumatic event, and you take 1226 00:58:41,560 --> 00:58:44,520 Speaker 2: Nancy Mace at her word that this hotline is set 1227 00:58:44,560 --> 00:58:47,360 Speaker 2: up for you, You're gonna call and you're gonna get nothing. 1228 00:58:47,600 --> 00:58:51,160 Speaker 2: You're gonna get a voicemail box that, according to the 1229 00:58:51,240 --> 00:58:55,160 Speaker 2: report here, doesn't even return the calls whatsoever, as opposed 1230 00:58:55,240 --> 00:58:59,040 Speaker 2: to directing someone to you know, there are actual rape 1231 00:58:59,080 --> 00:59:02,640 Speaker 2: crisis and other survivor hotlines that are set up that 1232 00:59:02,880 --> 00:59:05,640 Speaker 2: genuinely have recent that have people who are trained who 1233 00:59:05,640 --> 00:59:08,320 Speaker 2: go through extensive training, including one run by the state 1234 00:59:08,320 --> 00:59:10,160 Speaker 2: and the Attorney General's office of the guy that she's 1235 00:59:10,360 --> 00:59:13,920 Speaker 2: smearing at this point. So you know, it's just I 1236 00:59:13,920 --> 00:59:16,600 Speaker 2: don't even know what to say. It's just utterly preposterous. 1237 00:59:16,640 --> 00:59:18,400 Speaker 2: And then we have actually the image of her in 1238 00:59:18,440 --> 00:59:20,960 Speaker 2: this link. This was also total incomplete bullshit, like you 1239 00:59:21,000 --> 00:59:23,280 Speaker 2: should not in fact believe all women, and you definitely 1240 00:59:23,280 --> 00:59:24,400 Speaker 2: should not believe this woman. 1241 00:59:24,680 --> 00:59:25,960 Speaker 7: She claimed that. 1242 00:59:25,960 --> 00:59:29,000 Speaker 2: She was injured by some activists who assaulted her. Oh 1243 00:59:29,000 --> 00:59:31,320 Speaker 2: my god, this was so horrible. The people who saw 1244 00:59:31,360 --> 00:59:34,520 Speaker 2: it were like, they shook her hand. That's it. That's 1245 00:59:34,520 --> 00:59:40,720 Speaker 2: what happened. So she wore this sling very performatively around 1246 00:59:40,920 --> 00:59:43,840 Speaker 2: around the capitol and was, you know, aggrieved in a 1247 00:59:43,920 --> 00:59:45,600 Speaker 2: victim of this horrific assault. 1248 00:59:45,760 --> 00:59:47,960 Speaker 7: This is this is Nancy Smolette for you right there. 1249 00:59:48,280 --> 00:59:50,840 Speaker 1: All right, Well, I'm glad you were as aggressive. I'm not. 1250 00:59:50,960 --> 00:59:52,800 Speaker 3: I'm just I'm not allowed to do that, I think 1251 00:59:52,840 --> 00:59:55,960 Speaker 3: in terms of the way that I definitely agree. 1252 00:59:56,000 --> 00:59:59,959 Speaker 1: I'll just put it, shall I Nancy sign Nancy small? 1253 01:00:01,080 --> 01:00:01,760 Speaker 1: It rings, it. 1254 01:00:01,760 --> 01:00:02,960 Speaker 7: Has a ring to it, doesn't there. 1255 01:00:03,440 --> 01:00:06,680 Speaker 3: I mean, it's just the big red flag for me 1256 01:00:07,040 --> 01:00:10,200 Speaker 3: was that every person who remember when her entire staff resigned, 1257 01:00:10,200 --> 01:00:11,520 Speaker 3: and there's many of them. 1258 01:00:11,720 --> 01:00:13,000 Speaker 1: That's where the. 1259 01:00:13,000 --> 01:00:15,080 Speaker 3: Red flag came. Where they were like, they were like, 1260 01:00:15,120 --> 01:00:16,200 Speaker 3: don't believe a word that. 1261 01:00:16,680 --> 01:00:18,880 Speaker 2: Look at some of her former staffers, like you think 1262 01:00:18,960 --> 01:00:20,280 Speaker 2: I was unvarnished. 1263 01:00:20,320 --> 01:00:22,200 Speaker 1: No, I know, yeah exactly. That's why that's part of 1264 01:00:22,200 --> 01:00:22,960 Speaker 1: the reason we wanted to. 1265 01:00:22,880 --> 01:00:25,120 Speaker 3: Cover this is I was like, you know, no one 1266 01:00:25,160 --> 01:00:27,920 Speaker 3: in the media is really immediately just being like. 1267 01:00:28,040 --> 01:00:30,000 Speaker 1: I don't know about this whole thing. Now. 1268 01:00:30,240 --> 01:00:32,040 Speaker 3: I have no idea whether her claims or any of 1269 01:00:32,080 --> 01:00:33,840 Speaker 3: that thing are true. What I do know is that 1270 01:00:33,960 --> 01:00:36,600 Speaker 3: South Carolina media, as you said, the Attorney general said 1271 01:00:36,720 --> 01:00:38,840 Speaker 3: that it didn't happen the way that she's talking about 1272 01:00:39,040 --> 01:00:41,800 Speaker 3: that the hotline. The actual advocates and other people or 1273 01:00:41,840 --> 01:00:43,960 Speaker 3: whatever in the state are saying, hey, it's not a 1274 01:00:44,000 --> 01:00:46,880 Speaker 3: hot line because we actually handle real hotlines, and that 1275 01:00:46,960 --> 01:00:49,920 Speaker 3: she has a proven track record of you know, basically 1276 01:00:50,480 --> 01:00:55,160 Speaker 3: conjuring up injury allegedly for attention, and so anyway, I'll 1277 01:00:55,200 --> 01:00:58,240 Speaker 3: leave people with that impression, and that's what we like 1278 01:00:58,320 --> 01:01:00,760 Speaker 3: to call out some of that behavior here. As you 1279 01:01:00,800 --> 01:01:02,840 Speaker 3: said too, it's like if this woman was on the left, 1280 01:01:03,080 --> 01:01:06,000 Speaker 3: we all know, like there would be. I will say, 1281 01:01:06,000 --> 01:01:07,920 Speaker 3: there's a lot of more. There's a lot of anonymous 1282 01:01:07,960 --> 01:01:10,240 Speaker 3: right wing accounts which hate this person and which call 1283 01:01:10,280 --> 01:01:14,080 Speaker 3: her out routinely for lying and for attention seeking behavior, etc. 1284 01:01:14,440 --> 01:01:16,680 Speaker 3: But at a broad level, there has not been the 1285 01:01:16,720 --> 01:01:19,360 Speaker 3: takedown that there needs to, and for some reason, probably 1286 01:01:19,400 --> 01:01:22,240 Speaker 3: liberal media from the reminisce of Me Too, is not 1287 01:01:22,320 --> 01:01:24,720 Speaker 3: willing to just come out and be like, Okay, hold 1288 01:01:24,720 --> 01:01:26,680 Speaker 3: on a second, what the hell is going on? 1289 01:01:26,840 --> 01:01:30,400 Speaker 2: The hotline thing is just like so egregious. Just I mean, 1290 01:01:30,800 --> 01:01:33,120 Speaker 2: how hard is it to put up a real hotline? 1291 01:01:33,440 --> 01:01:35,880 Speaker 1: But she want there's one in South Carolina? 1292 01:01:35,960 --> 01:01:39,000 Speaker 2: Yes, redirect people, yes exactly, Like how hard is it 1293 01:01:39,040 --> 01:01:41,960 Speaker 2: to just put up an actual number that people can 1294 01:01:42,000 --> 01:01:45,320 Speaker 2: get actual resources at instead of indirecta thing that's like, 1295 01:01:45,360 --> 01:01:47,400 Speaker 2: oh this is Nancy Mayson, I really care about you 1296 01:01:47,520 --> 01:01:51,800 Speaker 2: or whatever. So it's completely self promotional, and you're positioning 1297 01:01:51,800 --> 01:01:54,160 Speaker 2: yourself as this great advocate of women and then in 1298 01:01:54,200 --> 01:01:58,720 Speaker 2: this really blatant way, denying them access to the diverting 1299 01:01:58,760 --> 01:02:01,880 Speaker 2: them from, you know, the resources that are actually available 1300 01:02:01,880 --> 01:02:02,960 Speaker 2: for their card disgusting. 1301 01:02:03,000 --> 01:02:05,640 Speaker 3: All right, Okay, guys, we appreciate you joining us and 1302 01:02:05,680 --> 01:02:06,760 Speaker 3: we will see you all later.