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Speaker 1: The volume.

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Speaker 2: This week on Prime Cuts, Chad Millman Sharper Square. He

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Speaker 2: joins us from Europe. It's a very sophisticated Sharper Square.

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Speaker 2: John Middlikoff on Kansas City's Big Flaw and Lincoln Riley

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Speaker 2: doesn't fit in the NFL. John tells us why and

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Speaker 2: my top takes of the week. Don't miss the action

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Speaker 2: this weekend when the Indianapolis Colts and the New England

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Speaker 2: Patriots head to Frankfurt for the Frankfurt Games in Germany.

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Speaker 2: Premium and NFL Plus Premium monthly retail plan prices. The

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Speaker 2: Buffalo Bills lost to the Bengals, a game in which

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Speaker 2: I never ever felt after the first drive Buffalo would win.

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Speaker 2: When I watched Buffalo, Greg co Sell talks about this

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Speaker 2: all the time. They just call plays. There's not a

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Speaker 2: lot of rhythms to their offense. I like their first

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Speaker 2: drive in the second half for Buffalo, A lot they

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Speaker 2: mixed it up tight end, wide receiver back. It felt

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Speaker 2: like more than just calling plays. Cincinnati olways feels like

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Speaker 2: it's a rhythm offense, and it feels like they have

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Speaker 2: an offensive head coach. They get out of ruts very quickly.

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Speaker 2: But you know, my first thought about Joe Burrow is

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Speaker 2: he reminds me of a little bit of Joe Montana

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Speaker 2: and a little bit of Tony Romo. He moves like Romo.

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Speaker 2: But I can remember watching Joe Montana and this was,

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Speaker 2: you know, long before I know was a talk show

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Speaker 2: host and watching Joe Montana because I started in television.

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Speaker 2: I didn't do this talk show thing until later in

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Speaker 2: my career. Joe Montana. One of my takeaways from him

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Speaker 2: is I could never quite figure out why Joe Montana

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Speaker 2: was so great. Wasn't that big, didn't have a great arm.

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Speaker 2: I just thought he was sort of situationally and this

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Speaker 2: is very rare. He was better in crisis than he

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Speaker 2: was in week five. He was better on fourth or

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Speaker 2: third and three than he was on first and ten,

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Speaker 2: just situationally excellent. Brady often had this, Michael Jordan had this,

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Speaker 2: John Elway had this. But that's what I see with Burrow.

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Speaker 2: He's almost a better quarterback in crisis. He's more laser focused,

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Speaker 2: more intentional with his throws. You he'll sling one up occasionally,

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Speaker 2: not a wasted throw, but an experimental up the sideline.

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Speaker 2: You get him into third and four fourth down situations.

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Speaker 2: He's just as good as they get. And he's got

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Speaker 2: the romo movement with the accuracy and the situational kind

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Speaker 2: of excellence of a Joe Montana. And you know, he

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Speaker 2: doesn't move like Lamar hes not. He doesn't have the

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Speaker 2: gun of Mahomes Herbert. He doesn't I don't think have

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Speaker 2: the kind of the natural gifts at you know, fourteen

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Speaker 2: years old that Trevor Lawrence had or and has. But

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Speaker 2: Burrow just makes it look so easy all the time.

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Speaker 2: Josh Allen's great. It doesn't look easy. There's effort. He

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Speaker 2: puts on the Superman cape. He jumps over people, he's

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Speaker 2: running past people, he's throwing it over people. It doesn't

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Speaker 2: look easy for him. He's just excellent. But you know,

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Speaker 2: and you know, with Buffalo, I just I don't. I

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Speaker 2: feel like it's just they still. I've given up hope

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Speaker 2: on the Buffalo Bills developing a good run game, defensive

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Speaker 2: head coach, defensive head coach, and offensive lines don't go

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Speaker 2: that well together. You know, if you look at the

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Speaker 2: bottom of the NFL offensive line group to a lot

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Speaker 2: of defensive coaches, the tops, a lot of offensive coaches.

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Speaker 2: I've given up on running the football, so it becomes

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Speaker 2: a very Josh Allen Stefon Diggs reliant And if you

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Speaker 2: look at the Buffalo schedule coming up, this thing's gonna

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Speaker 2: get uglier after Thanksgiving at Philadelphia at Kansas City, Dallas Chargers,

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Speaker 2: New England at Miami. This was supposed to be the

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Speaker 2: part of the schedule where they stacked up w's. I

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Speaker 2: just don't think Zach Wilson has a feel for the game.

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Speaker 2: Joe Burrows got obviously a great feel for the game.

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Speaker 2: But some guys are just talented. They play the game.

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Speaker 2: They don't think it. They play the game, they don't

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Speaker 2: feel it. At quarterback, it's essential to feel the game right,

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Speaker 2: and the good quarterbacks all have that ability. A lot

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Speaker 2: of guys Johnny Manziel didn't love football. He just didn't

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Speaker 2: love football. He didn't have a good feel for it.

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Speaker 2: I don't think Zach Wilson has a feel for the game.

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Speaker 2: So in the first half, he's running, he's scrambling, and

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Speaker 2: he could have run for the first down, and instead

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Speaker 2: he shovels it off and the back gets tackled and

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Speaker 2: it was just a backyard play. You know, you do

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Speaker 2: that flag football, hey school football. If you have any

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Speaker 2: feel for the game, just keep the ball and run

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Speaker 2: for a first down. And I don't think Zach has

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Speaker 2: any feel for it. Troy Aikman, to his credit, was

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Speaker 2: highly critical all night, and most analysts don't like to

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Speaker 2: go there with athletes, especially on these big broadcasts a

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Speaker 2: Sunday Night Football, a Monday Night Football, the big window game.

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Speaker 2: You know, they know their words are listened to and

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Speaker 2: they end up back in locker rooms. But Aikman, to

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Speaker 2: his credit, has no patience for Zach Wilson, and he

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Speaker 2: called him out multiple times. The very first pass of

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Speaker 2: the game, Zach just has no feel for it, misses

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Speaker 2: a layup. And by the way, I don't think Aikman

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Speaker 2: would say that unless he's hearing that from the Jets,

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Speaker 2: like he's very comfortable hammering on him. You can watch

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Speaker 2: Saula's body language and exasperation throughout, and really the game

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Speaker 2: came down very simply to this a special team's touchdown

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Speaker 2: by the Chargers and Justin Herbert's ability on third down

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Speaker 2: to pick up a handful of crucial first downs, and

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Speaker 2: that's the game on the road. Sometimes it's just that simple.

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Speaker 2: Keenan Allen with one of the catches of the year

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Speaker 2: certainly helped to seal it. But I went back and

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Speaker 2: looked at the NFL draft rundown on Zach Wilson tonight

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Speaker 2: and as I'm just watching them scuff and struggle with everything,

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Speaker 2: and you know, there was some obvious straints. He's got

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Speaker 2: a good arms, some escapability. But if you just if

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Speaker 2: you read that, it said boomer bust, potential decision making

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Speaker 2: hero ball. I mean, it was all laid out. This

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Speaker 2: is what scouts do professionally. I've leaned on him for years.

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Speaker 2: They know what they're talking about. Now. Things didn't go perfectly.

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Speaker 2: He has a defensive coach, the offensive lines not great.

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Speaker 2: He really has one excellent receiver, Garrett Wilson, not much else.

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Speaker 2: Alan Lazard still struggles to cat. So it's not like

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Speaker 2: he's working with the components that a Mahomes would work with,

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Speaker 2: or a Stafford with Sean McVay and Cooper Cup like

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Speaker 2: I understand that, but you know, it just it really

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Speaker 2: it just goes to show you that the margin, if

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Speaker 2: you don't have a franchise quarterback, your margins are tiny.

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Speaker 2: You have to play perfect football. You cannot surrender a

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Speaker 2: special team's touchdown. You can't that seven nothing hole felt

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Speaker 2: like twenty eight nothing for Joe Burrow, you know, twenty

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Speaker 2: thirty nothing for Mahomes. It just felt like a massive

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Speaker 2: hole you're digging your way out of. If you get

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Speaker 2: a five yard delay of game penalty and it's now

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Speaker 2: third and eight not third and three, it feels insurmountable.

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Speaker 2: For Zach Wilson, the margins are so thin for air,

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Speaker 2: so you have to play some perfect football. And I

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Speaker 2: also think what happens is over the course of a

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Speaker 2: season you're seeing it now, is that when you ask

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Speaker 2: a defense to be the savior every drive, every quarter,

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Speaker 2: every half, every game, they get discouraged. You're just asking

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Speaker 2: guys to march out, make stop after stop after stop.

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Speaker 2: And you get to about week eight, Week nine, Week ten,

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Speaker 2: and even the Jets defense I think will dovetail a

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Speaker 2: little bit here. I think it's just harder to ask

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Speaker 2: guys to win every week. You know, It's like Lincoln

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Speaker 2: Riley had to fire as defensive coordinator. I was talking

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Speaker 2: to somebody in college football about that. I mean, you

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Speaker 2: can't keep asking the offense to drop forty forty five

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Speaker 2: and lose. You just divide a locker room. And so

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Speaker 2: I don't believe Aaron Rodgers is going to come back.

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Speaker 2: There's no point if you're out of the playoff race.

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Speaker 2: If the Jets lose again a couple times in the

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Speaker 2: next three weeks, what's the point of asking Aaron Rodgers

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Speaker 2: to come back. Listen, go back to Week one. Aaron

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Speaker 2: gets hurt. The fact that we're at this point in

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Speaker 2: the season and there was some optimism around the Jets.

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Speaker 2: It's kind of frankly surprising in a division where Miami

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Speaker 2: looked Buffalo looked like real teams. Now they've both regressed.

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Speaker 2: But I think you just go back to something. Really

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Speaker 2: great players, really great quarterbacks. They make it look easy.

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Speaker 1: C J.

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Speaker 2: Stroud sees the field so well, really good decision maker,

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Speaker 2: a quick thinker. CJ sees it, delivers it. He is

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Speaker 2: a quick thinker. Zach, it's laboring hard, doesn't see things quickly.

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Speaker 2: Judgment is slow, and this is what you get tonight ugly.

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Speaker 2: You know what, I bet Zach Wilson over Justin Herbert

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Speaker 2: my bad. I deserve all of it. At least I

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Speaker 2: stayed awake for it. I mean, you gotta give you

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Speaker 2: some credit. I deserve some credit. I feel like Robert

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Speaker 2: Sola right now, Jet fans just exasperating. Running the Volume

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Speaker 2: has been really interesting because when I first took my

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Speaker 2: swing at the Volume, my takeaway was I'm not going

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Speaker 2: to pay myself. I'm going to get really good management.

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Speaker 2: And so you know, I didn't. I don't take a check.

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Speaker 2: I'm glad not to because we have a really good staff.

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Speaker 2: So having been in this business for twenty five years,

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Speaker 2: one of the things I really recognized is there's a

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Speaker 2: sea of money. You can make money, but you got

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Speaker 2: to get really good people. Because I've worked for most

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Speaker 2: of my career with really good, really good management, really

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Speaker 2: good producers, and I've watched people's careers who are really

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Speaker 2: talented circle to drain because they have bad bosses. And

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Speaker 2: so I think people just don't understand it is not

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Speaker 2: an even playing field. I mean, if you go look

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Speaker 2: at the NFC West, the Paul Allen Fund, Jody and

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Speaker 2: Paul Allen fund are the second richest owners in this

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Speaker 2: league behind the Denver Broncos new owners. So you have

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Speaker 2: those owners, the York families loaded Stan Kronk's top six

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Speaker 2: to seven owner in terms of net worth, and the

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Speaker 2: Bidwells are some of the poorest owners in the NFL.

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Speaker 2: So the revenue, the ability to just go buy players.

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Speaker 2: Everybody thinks, well, everybody's got the same salary cap. Not

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Speaker 2: everybody has the same money. There's a huge gap between

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Speaker 2: what Arizona can spend and what the Rams, San Francisco

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Speaker 2: and Seattle can spend. And I just don't think people

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Speaker 2: understand is that the reason the Bears have been bad

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Speaker 2: forever is they don't have good owners. They don't have

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Speaker 2: wealthy owners. They don't have good owners. They have the

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Speaker 2: oldest owner of Virginia McCaskey. In the entire NFL. It's

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Speaker 2: not a dynamic, vibrant ownership group. And that's what holds

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Speaker 2: everything back. I mean, just when they hired Matt Eberfluf,

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Speaker 2: I mean, look around the league, look at the offensive coaches.

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Speaker 2: Look at who is flourishing. It's overwhelmingly offensive coaches right now.

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Speaker 2: Mike McDaniels in Miami looks like they have a chance

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Speaker 2: if they can write the ship, win the division. And

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Speaker 2: then there's you know, Zach Taylor and Joe Burrow surging.

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Speaker 2: If not Cleveland offensive coach, Jacksonville offensive coach, Kansas City

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Speaker 2: offensive coach. Then you go over to the NFC Dallas

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Speaker 2: and Philadelphia offensive coach, Detroit Leeds their division offensive coach,

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Speaker 2: NFC West could be Kyle Shanahan. They have the best team,

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Speaker 2: I think, best roster offensive coach, So you know, and

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Speaker 2: they what are the Bears do? I mean you're paying

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Speaker 2: attention at all.

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Speaker 1: So.

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Speaker 2: I you know, I just think sometimes we forget there's

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Speaker 2: only so much you can do. The employees always get

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Speaker 2: blamed for overwhelmingly for problems with productivity or performance at

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Speaker 2: any company in America. You can't overcome lousy ownership. You

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Speaker 2: just can't. That's why when I I built the volume,

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Speaker 2: it was like I was going to go and find

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Speaker 2: the best available people to run it. We have an

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Speaker 2: incredible staff and it's made this voyage two and a

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Speaker 2: half years much easier than I thought it would be.

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Speaker 2: I don't have to overcome incompetence. I walk in every day.

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Speaker 2: I just had a meeting today about some financials and

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Speaker 2: about you know where we're headed, and it's just an

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Speaker 2: It's so nice to work with smart people. Chicago has

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Speaker 2: never once founded in nineteen twenty. They've never once had

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Speaker 2: the best quarterback in the league, never in any decade,

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Speaker 2: any era, arguably never in a single year. Jay Cutler's

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Speaker 2: are all time passing leader. You can keep blaming all

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Speaker 2: the coaches and the general managers, but it's a really

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Speaker 2: dysfunctional organization. My wife wants us to live in Chicago,

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Speaker 2: and I really do love it. Don't love their winners,

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Speaker 2: but I love it. And I'm like, honey, I don't

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Speaker 2: know if I can live in a city with that

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Speaker 2: bad of an NFL franchise. I don't know if I

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Speaker 2: can do it. It's under consideration, but I don't know if

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Speaker 2: I can do it. In sports, the scoreboard doesn't always

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Speaker 2: tell the complete story. The dad who happens to be

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Speaker 2: a world class quarterback, untold tales of athletes you thought

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Speaker 2: you knew, the heart racing, pressure for the heart, soul

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Speaker 2: and survival of the multi billion dollar business of F one,

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Speaker 2: Stories about college kids who were given a last shot,

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Speaker 2: a last chance at redemption. David Beckham's meteoric rise, not

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Speaker 2: only as a global soccer superstar, but becoming a pop

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Speaker 2: culture icon. Upsets, injuries, come from behind victories. You're gonna

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Speaker 2: get it all, and I've seen it all. With Netflix Sports,

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Speaker 2: these are the stories that turn all of us into

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Speaker 2: feel for, to hold your breath for, and to get

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Speaker 2: or a brand new fan. Intense are casual shows like

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Speaker 2: f one, Drive, to Survive, Quarterback, Full Swing, Untold Beckham,

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Speaker 2: and more. Netflix has a story for every type of

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Speaker 2: Netflix turns us all into fans. John Middlecoff, former NFL

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Speaker 2: Scout three and Out podcast on the Volume. Okay, so

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Speaker 2: I do want to talk Kansas City Miami. I thought

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Speaker 2: Kansas City made a complete statement in the first half

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Speaker 2: and then, like Philadelphia, you feel like they're kind of

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Speaker 2: holding on. I will say this about Kansas City though,

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Speaker 2: they have a clear hole and it's never going to

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Speaker 2: be a strength. They're just not specialist wide receiver. Now

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Speaker 2: their first drive, they gave you a little bit of everything.

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Speaker 2: I do think this receiving group will get better. It's young,

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Speaker 2: there's no number one. I'm not sure there's a number two,

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Speaker 2: but I'll tell you that first half defense against Miami

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Speaker 2: that was one of the more impressive first halfs. I

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Speaker 2: mean Miami was just the speed. This is without Bolton,

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Speaker 2: the speed of Kansas City's defense. So I as I

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Speaker 2: sat and watched that first half, I thought, oh, does

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Speaker 2: it This is Baltimore, Kansas City, Cincinnati, that's the conference.

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Speaker 2: And then in the second half they didn't really have

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Speaker 2: a second third gear. What did you make of Kansas City?

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Speaker 2: I came away and pressed because they flew in very

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Speaker 2: late for this thing. Totally sees control early. But they

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Speaker 2: can't put people away this year. John, they're not putting

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Speaker 2: people away.

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Speaker 3: Well, they're gonna struggle to score twenty five points. I

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Speaker 3: mean they just are the underrated part about them because

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Speaker 3: Mahomes Kelsey now especially this Kelsey over the last month,

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Speaker 3: and Andy Reid take up so much oxygen. They're kind of

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Speaker 3: a defensive team. I mean, Hill and Waddle had one

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Speaker 3: hundred yards one hundred and four yards total. Like, if

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Speaker 3: you're holding those guys to around one hundred yards, you're

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Speaker 3: gonna beat them. They're twenty one nothing in half. Like

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Speaker 3: I'm sorry the game's over. I thought there was a

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Speaker 3: lot more pressure. Kansas City's now proven exactly who they

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Speaker 3: are over a five year stretch. Like, I'm pretty confident

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Speaker 3: when the dust pedtles, they're gonna be in the mix

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Speaker 3: in the divisional round and more than likely the championship

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Speaker 3: game in the AFC. This was kind of a proven

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Speaker 3: game for Miami, right, you lose to Philly in Buffalo. Granted,

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Speaker 3: now both on the road. You get a neutral site game,

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Speaker 3: you fly out there on Monday, and you're down twenty

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Speaker 3: one nothing at half, twenty one nothing in half. And

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Speaker 3: like you said, this ain't the Chiefs first rodeo check

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Speaker 3: out a little bit. They're not explosive enough on offense

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Speaker 3: to just take off, but they make enough plays when

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Speaker 3: they have to. Miami kind of gets a freak fumble

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Speaker 3: there in the second half for Mahomes, right, But to me,

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Speaker 3: this was the Chiefs established in the first half, Like

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Speaker 3: you're not on our level, just like Buffalo and Philly

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Speaker 3: said that earlier. And listen, Miami's a fun story their

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Speaker 3: coaches and needs to get to root for when they're rolling.

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Speaker 3: They're a fun team to watch. But I think it's

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Speaker 3: pretty clear whatever the upper rechelant tier in the AFC

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Speaker 3: is obviously. Baltimore's in it, Kansas City's in it. I

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Speaker 3: think Cincinnati's in it. Buffalo they are not. You know, yeah,

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Speaker 3: and that was We don't even need to argue that anymore.

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Speaker 3: I think the only question now is could they win

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Speaker 3: a playoff game. I wouldn't bet on them because it's

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Speaker 3: going to be more likely a road playoff game, but

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Speaker 3: they're going to get back to back playoffs. Obviously the

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Speaker 3: franchise is head in the right direction, but in terms

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Speaker 3: of like AFC contenders, it is not the Miami Dolphins.

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Speaker 2: I don't know if USC will go out and spend

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Speaker 2: a lot of money on the defensive coordinator. But how

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Speaker 2: do you view this season and Lincoln Riley's sort of legacy.

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Speaker 2: I know it's early in his career to talk about that,

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Speaker 2: but I always viewed him as potentially an NFL guy,

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Speaker 2: and my takeaway now is he's not. He just has

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Speaker 2: no McVeigh chest out. Alpha loves defense, Shanahan loves physicality.

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Speaker 2: Shanahan don't care about special teams, but he loves defense.

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Speaker 2: Right Andy Reid spags Andy accept realizes what defense is.

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Speaker 2: Lincoln doesn't even he didn't have a special teams coach.

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Speaker 2: He's lobsided as a coach. What do you think is

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Speaker 2: legacy right now?

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Speaker 3: Is well, I think and listen, I it's easy to

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Speaker 3: crush him right now. Like probably most people, when they

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Speaker 3: hired him, it was a no brainer hire.

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Speaker 2: You had to do it.

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Speaker 3: But I think when you look back, the Big twelve

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Speaker 3: is not very good and no one plays defense, and

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Speaker 3: he was able to take advantage of it. He ran

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Speaker 3: into clearly the best year of the Pac twelve has

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Speaker 3: had in a long time. He's of getting worked right.

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Speaker 3: He loses to Utah, he loses this game, He's gonna

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Speaker 3: be a huge underdog this upcoming week. You know, to Oregon.

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Speaker 3: UCLA's leaking oil a little bit, but I think it's

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Speaker 3: a disaster Colin simply put, I think it's one of

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Speaker 3: the biggest underachievements given the quarterback playing offense. Because when

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Speaker 3: you're at a program like this, you have unlimited resources

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Speaker 3: to hire the best and the brightest. You know, when

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Speaker 3: you look at some of these other college coaches, they

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Speaker 3: go to like the Baltimore Ravens and get their secondary

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Speaker 3: coach and make them, you know, their defensive coordinator just hell,

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Speaker 3: Chip Kelly's defensive coordinators, Anthony Lynch's Sun who if you

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Speaker 3: look at his resume, had been in the NFL for

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Speaker 3: the last decade, came from the Ravens, and what is

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Speaker 3: UCLA a lot better on defense. So it's like, I

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Speaker 3: don't know, if you tell me who Lincoln's next defensive coordinator,

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Speaker 3: I would not be very confident that you're gonna go.

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Speaker 3: That's a no brainer choice, right, because you look at

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Speaker 3: the guys that his We talked about it last week

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Speaker 3: when they were, you know, lose to Utah. Where'd he

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Speaker 3: find this guy? Well, he was a Mike Leech guy. Right,

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Speaker 3: it's a thing and he's not to me. Part of

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Speaker 3: going to the NFL too. Think of some of the

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Speaker 3: coaches that went to the NFL from college, most recently

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Speaker 3: beside Harbaugh, who was an NFL guy, Urban Meyer never

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Speaker 3: coached today. Didn't know what to do and he was

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Speaker 3: completely over said. Chip is a good example of a

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Speaker 3: guy that had some success, but his problem is he

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Speaker 3: didn't know any defensive coaches, so he couldn't hire very

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Speaker 3: good defensive coordinators and that was always his downfall. And

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Speaker 3: now Lincoln is kind of going through this in college

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Speaker 3: and I go back to Pete Carroll era. Pete Carroll's

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Speaker 3: staff was really, really good. It had a perfect blend

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Speaker 3: of like young up and coming guys like the Sarks

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Speaker 3: and the Lanes, and then the older Norm Chow's, Ken Norton's,

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Speaker 3: the recruiters, the NFL experience, the young, offensive, innovative guys,

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Speaker 3: and I just look, I go, I don't know. I mean,

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Speaker 3: because when he took over at Oklahoma, it was Bob

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Speaker 3: Stoop's brother he inherited. They ultimately fired him for this guy,

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Speaker 3: and it's just kind of unraveled and he brings them

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Speaker 3: with him. I don't have much confidence that he's going

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Speaker 3: to hire a guy that people are going to feel very,

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Speaker 3: very good about. Because I also think it's a culture

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Speaker 3: in the way you practice. When you practice like he

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Speaker 3: does with his offensive style, you don't really create a

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Speaker 3: tough physicality. That's always what people have said defensive coaches

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Speaker 3: whenever you met him at these spread offense schools, and

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Speaker 3: specifically the air raid type schools. I know he's not

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Speaker 3: true air raid anymore. It's like hard to improve the

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Speaker 3: toughness on a daily basis on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday

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Speaker 3: in practice.

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Speaker 2: No I mean it's I don't think it's a coincidence. Tomlin,

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Speaker 2: Dan Campbell, Mike Vrabel. I think the essence of their physicality,

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Speaker 2: the essence of their personality, the way they structure practice

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Speaker 2: is more physical. I mean every Vrabel team, every Tomlin team.

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Speaker 2: I mean, even though they're an offensive team more than defense,

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Speaker 2: Dan Campbell, it's a physical offense. They can run the ball,

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Speaker 2: is I think. I think sometimes with Mike McDaniel and

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Speaker 2: Lincoln Riley, I think they're really clever offensively and really smart,

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Speaker 2: and I think they structure their culture and their program

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Speaker 2: and their practice like that, and it's really smart and clever.

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Speaker 2: But do they build the toughness? Is that part of

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Speaker 2: the personality, And I just I don't think it's a

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Speaker 2: coincidence sometimes that the same kind of physical, kind of big,

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Speaker 2: physical men. Don't you think they structure practice differently.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, for sure, I'm not blaming Caleb because you gotta

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Speaker 3: sign Caleb. You had to pay Caleb to get him.

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Speaker 3: Every team in the country would have done that. But

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Speaker 3: I do think when the way they've built it, it

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Speaker 3: was all so Caleb heavy that it almost sucked the

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Speaker 3: oxygen out of everything else. And you watch it this

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Speaker 3: year and the last couple of weeks haven't been his fault.

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Speaker 3: The Notre Dame game, he wasn't very good, But it

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Speaker 3: just feels like if he is not, because even you

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Speaker 3: go back to some of the heyday Pete Carroll teams

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Speaker 3: or some of those good Harball teams or Chip Kelly teams,

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Speaker 3: it was never all about Mariota or Luck or Matt

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Speaker 3: Lion or they were more complete team. And this thing

426
00:23:43,400 --> 00:23:45,120
Speaker 3: just felt like a basketball team. It was like Caleb

427
00:23:45,160 --> 00:23:47,960
Speaker 3: Williams and then everyone else. And that is not the

428
00:23:48,000 --> 00:23:50,080
Speaker 3: way you win in football. It's just not. And they've

429
00:23:50,119 --> 00:23:53,080
Speaker 3: been clearly exploited. Even Washington is a good example. They're

430
00:23:53,119 --> 00:23:56,280
Speaker 3: best players are quarterback, but they don't. He wasn't, I

431
00:23:56,280 --> 00:24:00,000
Speaker 3: would say otherworldly against USC running back came through defense.

432
00:24:00,000 --> 00:24:03,080
Speaker 3: It's got some big stops. You watch Oregon their complete team.

433
00:24:03,160 --> 00:24:05,400
Speaker 3: Look at what Nick Saban's doing. You talk to any

434
00:24:05,480 --> 00:24:07,480
Speaker 3: NFL scout, they're like, this is the least talented team

435
00:24:07,480 --> 00:24:09,480
Speaker 3: in like fifteen years. All of a sudden, he's gonna

436
00:24:09,480 --> 00:24:10,920
Speaker 3: be back in the SEC championship game.

437
00:24:11,840 --> 00:24:15,000
Speaker 2: All right. We are trying at the volume to be

438
00:24:15,040 --> 00:24:19,359
Speaker 2: a global company, and today is the first step in

439
00:24:19,400 --> 00:24:22,640
Speaker 2: being a global company. Because Chad Millman in our Sharper

440
00:24:22,680 --> 00:24:26,200
Speaker 2: Square segment CCO Action Network all on provided by DraftKings,

441
00:24:26,280 --> 00:24:30,080
Speaker 2: is joining us from I think Copenhagen.

442
00:24:31,960 --> 00:24:33,560
Speaker 4: It's pronounced Copenhagen.

443
00:24:33,880 --> 00:24:36,560
Speaker 2: Sorry, yeah, yeah.

444
00:24:35,800 --> 00:24:40,119
Speaker 4: Yes, I am in Copenhagen. This is your kind of town, brother,

445
00:24:40,359 --> 00:24:46,000
Speaker 4: Like why why? It is a classy like it is

446
00:24:46,240 --> 00:24:51,119
Speaker 4: full on first class operation. It is gorgeous. You can't

447
00:24:51,119 --> 00:24:54,520
Speaker 4: find the streets, there can be no cars coming. If

448
00:24:54,520 --> 00:24:57,919
Speaker 4: there is a don't walk sign, nobody's moving. It is

449
00:24:58,040 --> 00:25:03,919
Speaker 4: like full of proper etiquette. The best restaurant town in

450
00:25:03,960 --> 00:25:06,000
Speaker 4: the world, no joke. The best restaurant in the world,

451
00:25:06,320 --> 00:25:10,920
Speaker 4: legendary called Noma, has been in Copenhagen for a generation.

452
00:25:11,560 --> 00:25:14,240
Speaker 4: All the chefs who end up working at Noma stay

453
00:25:14,240 --> 00:25:18,480
Speaker 4: in Copenhagen. Open restaurants, like a bad restaurant is one

454
00:25:18,520 --> 00:25:22,240
Speaker 4: Michelin star Kylent. Tonight, I went to a hole in

455
00:25:22,280 --> 00:25:26,560
Speaker 4: the wall Italian place that was a ten course tasting

456
00:25:26,600 --> 00:25:33,080
Speaker 4: menu that they were bad mouthing nutella because they're like

457
00:25:33,520 --> 00:25:37,560
Speaker 4: hazel nut chocolate spread that they make was so good

458
00:25:38,080 --> 00:25:45,000
Speaker 4: it should be illegal. Gorgeous, gorgeous town architecture, is amazing,

459
00:25:45,119 --> 00:25:48,960
Speaker 4: a great mix of classic, you know, medieval type of

460
00:25:48,960 --> 00:25:54,440
Speaker 4: stuff with this beautiful modern architecture. It's just it's enchanted.

461
00:25:54,520 --> 00:25:56,760
Speaker 4: I've been I've been overwhelmed, like just wonderful.

462
00:25:57,080 --> 00:25:59,119
Speaker 2: Well, I was going to go there anyway, but now

463
00:25:59,160 --> 00:26:01,960
Speaker 2: you talk me into it. The company that bought you

464
00:26:02,040 --> 00:26:07,200
Speaker 2: knows sports gambling. Yeah, last week was a terrible, audaciously

465
00:26:07,280 --> 00:26:09,200
Speaker 2: bad week. I went two and three. My bad. I

466
00:26:09,200 --> 00:26:12,399
Speaker 2: should have taken Herbert overs Act. Nonetheless, I think this

467
00:26:12,480 --> 00:26:16,159
Speaker 2: week there are more definitive there's more clarity in some

468
00:26:16,240 --> 00:26:18,000
Speaker 2: of the sides I like. So let me start with

469
00:26:18,040 --> 00:26:22,639
Speaker 2: this Dbo's back. I could see the Niners being great,

470
00:26:22,960 --> 00:26:26,159
Speaker 2: but if I get Trevor Lawrence at home and a

471
00:26:26,200 --> 00:26:30,000
Speaker 2: field goal, I'm going to take it. I like Brock pretty,

472
00:26:30,520 --> 00:26:33,760
Speaker 2: but we got film. Now they're limitations. I'm taking the

473
00:26:33,800 --> 00:26:37,760
Speaker 2: better quarterback at home. Increasingly, the better quarterback is winning

474
00:26:37,800 --> 00:26:41,520
Speaker 2: a lot of these games. I'm taking the Jag sharper square.

475
00:26:42,119 --> 00:26:43,760
Speaker 4: So here's what's interesting, and we're going to get to

476
00:26:43,760 --> 00:26:46,640
Speaker 4: this about good quarterbacks bad quarterbacks. It's the sharp side.

477
00:26:46,880 --> 00:26:49,000
Speaker 4: The wise guys are on the Jags. The Jags have

478
00:26:49,080 --> 00:26:54,080
Speaker 4: been very sneaky under the radar good. Right, they went

479
00:26:54,119 --> 00:26:56,320
Speaker 4: to London, they won a couple of games, they came

480
00:26:56,359 --> 00:26:58,520
Speaker 4: back home, they won again. They're on a buy. They're

481
00:26:58,560 --> 00:27:01,520
Speaker 4: six and two, they're leading the A's South. They're right

482
00:27:01,680 --> 00:27:04,560
Speaker 4: under that tier right right now, everyone's saying, look at

483
00:27:04,560 --> 00:27:08,040
Speaker 4: the Ravens, look at the Bengals, watch out for the Jags.

484
00:27:08,040 --> 00:27:11,359
Speaker 4: And when you get the Niners on the road, historically

485
00:27:11,480 --> 00:27:14,439
Speaker 4: as a favorite, they're not as good. And what you

486
00:27:14,480 --> 00:27:16,080
Speaker 4: just said about brock Purty is what a lot of

487
00:27:16,080 --> 00:27:19,520
Speaker 4: wise guys are thinking. There's film out on brock Purty. Now.

488
00:27:19,960 --> 00:27:24,280
Speaker 4: The one thing that has been aligned with his bad

489
00:27:24,400 --> 00:27:28,240
Speaker 4: streak has been the loss of Deebo Samuel and was

490
00:27:28,280 --> 00:27:31,240
Speaker 4: he or was he not concussed in the last couple

491
00:27:31,200 --> 00:27:34,000
Speaker 4: of games, and that sort of had an impact on

492
00:27:34,040 --> 00:27:36,320
Speaker 4: how it was playing. So if you are betting on

493
00:27:36,359 --> 00:27:40,040
Speaker 4: the Jags, you're buying Doug Peterson, You're buying Trevor Lawrence,

494
00:27:40,080 --> 00:27:43,639
Speaker 4: You're buying the fact that Doug Peterson historically also a

495
00:27:43,800 --> 00:27:47,760
Speaker 4: much better coach against the spread in the second half

496
00:27:47,800 --> 00:27:50,760
Speaker 4: of the year. Trevor Lawrence last year eighteen of his

497
00:27:50,760 --> 00:27:53,800
Speaker 4: twenty eight touchdown passes. Second half of the year, we

498
00:27:53,840 --> 00:27:56,360
Speaker 4: saw what he did in the playoffs against the Chargers.

499
00:27:56,720 --> 00:28:01,240
Speaker 4: He has been a much better quarterback. Doug Peterson is

500
00:28:01,280 --> 00:28:03,439
Speaker 4: a better coach because all of a sudden he's figuring

501
00:28:03,480 --> 00:28:05,560
Speaker 4: out It's a little bit like Sean Payton in this way,

502
00:28:06,000 --> 00:28:08,120
Speaker 4: he's figuring out what his team can do, and he's

503
00:28:08,200 --> 00:28:10,040
Speaker 4: much more focused on how do I make this team

504
00:28:10,080 --> 00:28:12,719
Speaker 4: improve quarter by quarter over the course of the season.

505
00:28:13,080 --> 00:28:15,240
Speaker 4: And so this team has been getting better. Exactly the

506
00:28:15,280 --> 00:28:17,160
Speaker 4: four week mark, the team started to get better.

507
00:28:17,920 --> 00:28:19,760
Speaker 2: All right. This is an interesting one because I do

508
00:28:19,880 --> 00:28:22,360
Speaker 2: like Cincinnati a lot, but they go from the Bills

509
00:28:22,520 --> 00:28:24,800
Speaker 2: and then they have the Ravens the following week. It's

510
00:28:24,800 --> 00:28:28,800
Speaker 2: a sandwich game. Jamar Chase probably doesn't play. T Higgins

511
00:28:28,840 --> 00:28:32,480
Speaker 2: is not practicing. Again, I think they're better than the Texans,

512
00:28:32,520 --> 00:28:34,880
Speaker 2: but the Texans are getting a touchdown. It's a more

513
00:28:34,920 --> 00:28:39,160
Speaker 2: than capable offense sandwich game for the Bengals. I would

514
00:28:39,200 --> 00:28:40,560
Speaker 2: go Houston sharper square.

515
00:28:41,120 --> 00:28:43,960
Speaker 4: So the wise guys like Houston when the numbers at seven,

516
00:28:44,000 --> 00:28:46,280
Speaker 4: and we've talked about this before, right like the value

517
00:28:46,360 --> 00:28:49,760
Speaker 4: of that numbers. So at seven, the wise guys were

518
00:28:49,760 --> 00:28:53,880
Speaker 4: betting Houston. They continue to be amazed at CJ. Stroud

519
00:28:54,320 --> 00:28:56,560
Speaker 4: and his ability to move the ball down the field.

520
00:28:56,600 --> 00:29:00,120
Speaker 4: Look what he did against Tampa in forty seconds, going

521
00:29:00,120 --> 00:29:04,840
Speaker 4: seventy five yards for that game winning touchdown was really remarkable.

522
00:29:04,920 --> 00:29:08,200
Speaker 4: The guy clearly understands what's happening at the NFL level

523
00:29:08,200 --> 00:29:10,720
Speaker 4: and is the right guy for the Texans, which is

524
00:29:10,760 --> 00:29:14,800
Speaker 4: why they bet the Texans at plus seven. But it

525
00:29:14,840 --> 00:29:17,040
Speaker 4: got to six and a half and the wise guys

526
00:29:17,080 --> 00:29:20,080
Speaker 4: took the Bengals again, So this is clearly about a number.

527
00:29:20,080 --> 00:29:23,320
Speaker 4: They've decided seven is the line of demarcation, and if

528
00:29:23,320 --> 00:29:26,080
Speaker 4: they're going to get under seven, they're taking the Bengals.

529
00:29:26,080 --> 00:29:28,600
Speaker 4: If they can get the touchdown, they're taking the Texans.

530
00:29:28,800 --> 00:29:31,720
Speaker 2: Oh finally, I never do this, but I think Tommy

531
00:29:31,760 --> 00:29:36,560
Speaker 2: DeVito is incapable of a touchdown drive if the Cowboys

532
00:29:36,640 --> 00:29:41,400
Speaker 2: kick it up. Fumble interceptions certainly capable. I think Dallas

533
00:29:41,400 --> 00:29:45,000
Speaker 2: wins forty four to nine. I would take Dallas minus sixteen.

534
00:29:45,040 --> 00:29:48,160
Speaker 2: I think the Giants are the worst offense in years

535
00:29:48,280 --> 00:29:51,040
Speaker 2: with the Vito quarterbacking. You know, I don't lay these numbers.

536
00:29:51,480 --> 00:29:53,520
Speaker 2: If I told you this game was twenty four to

537
00:29:53,600 --> 00:29:56,520
Speaker 2: nothing in the first quarter, would you be shocked? I

538
00:29:56,560 --> 00:29:58,560
Speaker 2: know it's not the sharp side. I'm taking Dallas.

539
00:30:00,120 --> 00:30:05,280
Speaker 4: Surprised the amount of chatter I've heard about wise guys

540
00:30:05,560 --> 00:30:09,120
Speaker 4: betting Dallas this week because they feel like this game

541
00:30:09,720 --> 00:30:13,120
Speaker 4: could be fifty four to nothing, Like there's actually not

542
00:30:13,200 --> 00:30:15,640
Speaker 4: a number that could be big enough. And sometimes you

543
00:30:15,720 --> 00:30:19,000
Speaker 4: do you lay the points when it's that clear. And

544
00:30:19,080 --> 00:30:22,520
Speaker 4: don't forget dak as An as a favorite now again,

545
00:30:22,960 --> 00:30:26,640
Speaker 4: normally he's in like a say, three to ten points final.

546
00:30:26,480 --> 00:30:29,160
Speaker 2: But a home favorite. He's pretty good home favorite.

547
00:30:29,280 --> 00:30:31,480
Speaker 4: We've said this, We've said this on the show, and

548
00:30:31,520 --> 00:30:34,840
Speaker 4: it's why we liked the Eagles last week. I think

549
00:30:34,920 --> 00:30:37,840
Speaker 4: the Cowboys are front runners. I think they when they

550
00:30:37,840 --> 00:30:42,320
Speaker 4: are comfortable, they act like champions, they play like champions.

551
00:30:42,480 --> 00:30:46,000
Speaker 4: When they face adversity, they cannot execute. This is a

552
00:30:46,080 --> 00:30:50,280
Speaker 4: time where the Cowboys will convince themselves they are champions

553
00:30:50,480 --> 00:30:53,320
Speaker 4: and can contend in the NFC, and it's their chance

554
00:30:53,400 --> 00:30:55,239
Speaker 4: to show it all.

555
00:30:55,320 --> 00:31:01,520
Speaker 2: Right now, we play the game where I'm going to

556
00:31:01,560 --> 00:31:03,120
Speaker 2: give you a game I want you to talk me

557
00:31:03,200 --> 00:31:07,719
Speaker 2: into because I want to watch it, and then what

558
00:31:07,760 --> 00:31:12,600
Speaker 2: did I miss? Let's start with the Steelers. Packers. All

559
00:31:12,600 --> 00:31:16,040
Speaker 2: of our odds provided by DraftKings what's the current number?

560
00:31:16,520 --> 00:31:18,640
Speaker 2: Talk me into a side here.

561
00:31:19,600 --> 00:31:24,520
Speaker 4: All right, this is tough. The number is three, potentially

562
00:31:24,520 --> 00:31:27,640
Speaker 4: going to be three and a half. The wise guys

563
00:31:27,800 --> 00:31:32,800
Speaker 4: love the Packers in this spot. Look, Tomlin as a

564
00:31:32,800 --> 00:31:36,480
Speaker 4: favorite is not the same as Tomlin as a dog.

565
00:31:37,120 --> 00:31:42,720
Speaker 4: And this is a spot where the Steelers continue to win.

566
00:31:43,680 --> 00:31:46,320
Speaker 4: They're a bit fraudulent. You look at their metrics. They

567
00:31:46,320 --> 00:31:50,360
Speaker 4: shouldn't have the record they have. Right. Meanwhile, we do

568
00:31:50,400 --> 00:31:54,040
Speaker 4: this thing called the luck Rankings at Action Network that

569
00:31:54,120 --> 00:31:57,160
Speaker 4: basically takes a lot of stats and a lot of

570
00:31:57,640 --> 00:32:01,440
Speaker 4: unpredictability in the games and even them out and gives

571
00:32:01,440 --> 00:32:04,920
Speaker 4: you a metric that says these are things that do

572
00:32:04,960 --> 00:32:08,640
Speaker 4: not normally happen, but they skew people's perception of a team.

573
00:32:09,320 --> 00:32:13,440
Speaker 4: Right now, the Steelers are the luckiest team in the NFL.

574
00:32:13,480 --> 00:32:15,600
Speaker 4: And by the way, Steelers have been the luckiest team

575
00:32:15,600 --> 00:32:18,080
Speaker 4: in the NFL three in the past five years. Packer's

576
00:32:18,440 --> 00:32:21,479
Speaker 4: one of the unluckiest teams in the NFL. The difference

577
00:32:21,520 --> 00:32:25,600
Speaker 4: between these two teams is twenty nine spots. So there's

578
00:32:25,680 --> 00:32:31,120
Speaker 4: a lot of data there to tell you. I got

579
00:32:31,120 --> 00:32:33,480
Speaker 4: to take the Packers here, and I don't like it,

580
00:32:33,680 --> 00:32:35,200
Speaker 4: and I don't think you like it, but I do

581
00:32:35,280 --> 00:32:37,560
Speaker 4: have some games that I think you might like it.

582
00:32:38,160 --> 00:32:40,280
Speaker 2: I guess. Okay, So now it's time for what did

583
00:32:40,360 --> 00:32:40,800
Speaker 2: I miss?

584
00:32:40,880 --> 00:32:41,040
Speaker 4: Now?

585
00:32:41,040 --> 00:32:43,360
Speaker 2: I don't like this dumpster diving stuff. I'm a man

586
00:32:43,400 --> 00:32:46,680
Speaker 2: that likes Copenhagen and elegance, so I don't stick my

587
00:32:46,720 --> 00:32:49,240
Speaker 2: head in a dumpster very often. I did last week

588
00:32:49,280 --> 00:32:51,680
Speaker 2: with the Jets and a close clamped on my head.

589
00:32:53,120 --> 00:32:55,760
Speaker 2: I know this is this is the ugly portion. I

590
00:32:55,800 --> 00:32:59,560
Speaker 2: think Josh Dobbs's story is a great story. I wonder

591
00:32:59,640 --> 00:33:02,440
Speaker 2: if that was a close. I loved the story. So

592
00:33:02,680 --> 00:33:05,240
Speaker 2: what did I miss? Chad Melman, give me the game

593
00:33:05,280 --> 00:33:05,720
Speaker 2: I missed?

594
00:33:06,320 --> 00:33:10,760
Speaker 4: These are games that Colin, the King and Queen of

595
00:33:10,800 --> 00:33:13,920
Speaker 4: Denmark would love to bet these games. They are so

596
00:33:14,520 --> 00:33:20,240
Speaker 4: their choice, they are so classy, They're just the best.

597
00:33:20,440 --> 00:33:22,080
Speaker 4: How did we not you don't want a dumpster dive?

598
00:33:22,320 --> 00:33:25,200
Speaker 4: How are we not talking about the Browns like? This

599
00:33:25,320 --> 00:33:28,640
Speaker 4: makes no sense to me? Because don't give me that look.

600
00:33:28,760 --> 00:33:32,080
Speaker 4: Let me let me let me say, okay, okay, I

601
00:33:32,160 --> 00:33:36,880
Speaker 4: know you. You're afraid of betting against Lamar Jackson because

602
00:33:36,960 --> 00:33:39,920
Speaker 4: Lamar Jackson has been so good and Lamar Jackson is

603
00:33:40,040 --> 00:33:42,200
Speaker 4: finally on a path to win the MVP, and the

604
00:33:42,320 --> 00:33:45,080
Speaker 4: Ravens look like they could be the most complete team

605
00:33:45,600 --> 00:33:50,080
Speaker 4: in the NFL. The Browns had a much much better defense.

606
00:33:50,360 --> 00:33:53,080
Speaker 4: The Browns have someone in Miles Garrett who is one

607
00:33:53,120 --> 00:33:55,960
Speaker 4: of the most dominant players in the NFL. Not most

608
00:33:56,000 --> 00:34:01,400
Speaker 4: dominant defensive player, literally most dominant player. You talk about

609
00:34:01,400 --> 00:34:04,160
Speaker 4: a stat that ESPN does that is really cool called

610
00:34:04,440 --> 00:34:07,680
Speaker 4: pass rush win rate. It basically says how often when

611
00:34:07,680 --> 00:34:10,560
Speaker 4: he's on the field is he making an impact as

612
00:34:10,600 --> 00:34:14,160
Speaker 4: a pass rusher on plays right leads the league in

613
00:34:14,320 --> 00:34:17,640
Speaker 4: pass rush win rate. Same thing when you talk about

614
00:34:17,719 --> 00:34:21,160
Speaker 4: him against the run. If you talk about the Browns

615
00:34:21,320 --> 00:34:24,640
Speaker 4: on defense overall, they are better in the Ravens at

616
00:34:24,760 --> 00:34:30,200
Speaker 4: every metric. This is a dominant defense. And if you're

617
00:34:30,239 --> 00:34:36,800
Speaker 4: talking about a divisional game, home teams in divisional games

618
00:34:37,400 --> 00:34:42,040
Speaker 4: the past five years covering forty seven percent CLIP home

619
00:34:42,200 --> 00:34:48,840
Speaker 4: favorites divisional games covering forty six percent CLIP. Lamar Jackson

620
00:34:49,080 --> 00:34:51,040
Speaker 4: as a favorite of more than three and a half

621
00:34:51,560 --> 00:34:55,000
Speaker 4: under five hundred for his career. John Harbaugh as a

622
00:34:55,040 --> 00:35:00,200
Speaker 4: favorite of just as a favorite period under five hundred

623
00:35:00,440 --> 00:35:04,640
Speaker 4: in his career. I am actually shocked that this line

624
00:35:05,080 --> 00:35:07,359
Speaker 4: is where it's at. That it's gone from five to

625
00:35:07,440 --> 00:35:10,120
Speaker 4: six in someplace to six and a half. If you're

626
00:35:10,160 --> 00:35:12,800
Speaker 4: not taking the Browns. This is a game you can watch.

627
00:35:13,440 --> 00:35:15,880
Speaker 4: You're gonna enjoy it, That's right, it's gonna be fun.

628
00:35:16,320 --> 00:35:20,600
Speaker 2: Well, my natural instinct is to take Cleveland. I'm just

629
00:35:20,640 --> 00:35:23,680
Speaker 2: not sure. I trust Deshan Watson and the Ravens defense.

630
00:35:23,960 --> 00:35:26,880
Speaker 2: I just don't. But we've said this before. It's one

631
00:35:26,920 --> 00:35:30,320
Speaker 2: of the more simple plays. If you have a capable

632
00:35:30,400 --> 00:35:33,880
Speaker 2: quarterback and you're getting points as a divisional rival. I mean,

633
00:35:34,120 --> 00:35:36,480
Speaker 2: we took we should have won it. We pushed, We

634
00:35:36,560 --> 00:35:39,799
Speaker 2: took Sam Howell against Jalen Hurts and the game was

635
00:35:39,800 --> 00:35:43,000
Speaker 2: in I think, Philly, you just do it. Just you

636
00:35:43,160 --> 00:35:45,880
Speaker 2: just do it. As long as you're underdog. Sam Hall

637
00:35:46,040 --> 00:35:48,480
Speaker 2: is more than capable at quarterback. We've seen New England

638
00:35:48,480 --> 00:35:51,520
Speaker 2: beat Buffalo this year. You just do it. We've seen

639
00:35:51,560 --> 00:35:54,360
Speaker 2: the Jets beat Buffalo. You just do it. So I

640
00:35:54,480 --> 00:35:57,120
Speaker 2: believe me, I have less trouble doing it. You talk,

641
00:35:57,200 --> 00:35:58,960
Speaker 2: that's a good side. That's a good side. All right,

642
00:35:59,000 --> 00:35:59,560
Speaker 2: Give me one more.

643
00:36:00,840 --> 00:36:04,360
Speaker 4: How about the Denver Broncos.

644
00:36:04,560 --> 00:36:06,880
Speaker 2: I thought about that. It's seven and a half. It's tasty.

645
00:36:07,840 --> 00:36:10,800
Speaker 4: It's tasty. I'm meeting that whole meal that is the

646
00:36:10,920 --> 00:36:14,960
Speaker 4: Copenhagen restaurant of bets on Monday.

647
00:36:15,000 --> 00:36:20,240
Speaker 2: I'm all offensive coach a capable quarterback on a bye week.

648
00:36:20,800 --> 00:36:22,919
Speaker 2: I thought about that the other thing. Greg Cosell said

649
00:36:22,920 --> 00:36:26,120
Speaker 2: something this week that I'd thought, but the film showed it.

650
00:36:27,080 --> 00:36:30,000
Speaker 2: Buffalo is not nearly as talented now that they lost

651
00:36:30,000 --> 00:36:33,560
Speaker 2: our top corner, top linebacker, and a defensive lineman. They're

652
00:36:33,600 --> 00:36:35,280
Speaker 2: just not that talented a roster.

653
00:36:36,520 --> 00:36:40,239
Speaker 4: They lost playmakers at every level of their defense. Josh

654
00:36:40,320 --> 00:36:43,960
Speaker 4: Allen has to be perfect for them to win games,

655
00:36:44,040 --> 00:36:47,840
Speaker 4: and even when he is. Meanwhile, the development of the

656
00:36:47,880 --> 00:36:50,799
Speaker 4: Broncos defense, they've just been getting better. And this is

657
00:36:50,800 --> 00:36:53,160
Speaker 4: another one of those things. Right we talk about Doug Peterson,

658
00:36:53,560 --> 00:36:58,799
Speaker 4: Sean Payton is on that level of Mike Tomlin, Bill Belichick,

659
00:36:59,200 --> 00:37:02,200
Speaker 4: Mike Vrabel, coaches who you want to be betting on

660
00:37:02,280 --> 00:37:04,719
Speaker 4: because over the past generation they're some of the most

661
00:37:04,719 --> 00:37:07,560
Speaker 4: profitable coaches against the spread in the NFL. And I

662
00:37:07,560 --> 00:37:09,920
Speaker 4: think there's some inflation here because people continue to think

663
00:37:09,960 --> 00:37:12,239
Speaker 4: about the Broncos as being what the Broncos were the

664
00:37:12,280 --> 00:37:14,680
Speaker 4: first three games when their defense was so bad. But look,

665
00:37:14,680 --> 00:37:17,640
Speaker 4: if you look at DVOA, you know, a very fancy

666
00:37:17,719 --> 00:37:20,239
Speaker 4: advanced stat that takes it into account a lot of

667
00:37:20,280 --> 00:37:24,800
Speaker 4: different strength of schedule elements. DVOA for the Broncos defense

668
00:37:25,280 --> 00:37:30,040
Speaker 4: the past three games thirteenth, DVOA for the Bills offense

669
00:37:30,160 --> 00:37:34,239
Speaker 4: thirty first. So we're talking about a team here that

670
00:37:34,360 --> 00:37:39,560
Speaker 4: is just improving incrementally. Like people thought, Patrick Mahomes had

671
00:37:39,560 --> 00:37:41,919
Speaker 4: the flu and so that's why he didn't perform well

672
00:37:42,160 --> 00:37:44,640
Speaker 4: in that game the Broncos won. But it turns out

673
00:37:45,239 --> 00:37:47,960
Speaker 4: maybe the Broncos defense was just really good because Patrick

674
00:37:48,040 --> 00:37:50,719
Speaker 4: Mahomes has been having his issues and they made him

675
00:37:50,760 --> 00:37:53,839
Speaker 4: look even worse. So I think there's a lot of

676
00:37:54,000 --> 00:37:57,200
Speaker 4: upside here. This is one of those classic pros Joe's games.

677
00:37:57,520 --> 00:38:02,040
Speaker 4: The betting tickets meaning the bet public, the non professional

678
00:38:02,080 --> 00:38:05,880
Speaker 4: betters predominantly on the Bills. The money. That's what the

679
00:38:05,920 --> 00:38:08,960
Speaker 4: wise guys are, that's on the Broncos.

680
00:38:09,719 --> 00:38:13,759
Speaker 2: Yeah, finally, what airline are you flying? Did you fly

681
00:38:13,960 --> 00:38:18,040
Speaker 2: from Hartford to Copenhagen or Amsterdam? Or did you fly

682
00:38:18,120 --> 00:38:20,000
Speaker 2: but I fly Logan a lot? Where did you fly?

683
00:38:20,040 --> 00:38:20,600
Speaker 2: What are you flying?

684
00:38:20,680 --> 00:38:20,919
Speaker 1: Back?

685
00:38:21,520 --> 00:38:23,520
Speaker 4: I flew out of JFK. But Colin, if I tell

686
00:38:23,560 --> 00:38:25,320
Speaker 4: you what I'm flying, I got to deal with the

687
00:38:25,320 --> 00:38:27,200
Speaker 4: proper razzi when I get back. I can't.

688
00:38:27,840 --> 00:38:28,680
Speaker 2: I can't do that.

689
00:38:29,440 --> 00:38:36,960
Speaker 1: I'm flying on SAS, which is Scandinavian Airlines and obviously

690
00:38:37,080 --> 00:38:41,440
Speaker 1: serves you know, Copenhagen and other Scandinavian countries.

691
00:38:41,880 --> 00:38:44,080
Speaker 2: May I suggest at some point in your life you

692
00:38:44,200 --> 00:38:45,239
Speaker 2: fly Swiss Air.

693
00:38:46,680 --> 00:38:47,960
Speaker 4: I've heard it's lovely.

694
00:38:48,239 --> 00:38:50,600
Speaker 2: It's lovely, Yes, that's what I Is this the part.

695
00:38:50,440 --> 00:38:55,040
Speaker 4: Of the podcast where a lead media people turn off

696
00:38:55,120 --> 00:38:56,000
Speaker 4: all of the listeners.

697
00:38:56,320 --> 00:39:00,919
Speaker 2: No, because you don't have aspiration first, Yeah, aspirational. We're

698
00:39:00,920 --> 00:39:06,319
Speaker 2: like Joel Ostein with Football's right, We're Tony Robbins without

699
00:39:06,360 --> 00:39:09,719
Speaker 2: the real estate. We're just saying exactly, you can fly

700
00:39:09,840 --> 00:39:14,879
Speaker 2: economy economy Swiss Air. It's still Swiss Air. So I fly.

701
00:39:15,080 --> 00:39:17,520
Speaker 2: I try to do business so I can watch documentaries.

702
00:39:17,920 --> 00:39:21,680
Speaker 2: Swiss Air is my favorite airline, even more than British

703
00:39:21,680 --> 00:39:26,840
Speaker 2: Airline in Delta, Cathay Pacific. I love Swiss Air. I

704
00:39:26,920 --> 00:39:30,239
Speaker 2: have everything about it. It's elegant without being bougie.

705
00:39:30,800 --> 00:39:34,680
Speaker 4: Do they give you a complimentary toberon candy bar?

706
00:39:35,800 --> 00:39:40,960
Speaker 2: They give you champagne they do give you chocolate. Yes,

707
00:39:41,000 --> 00:39:44,760
Speaker 2: they do. They give you chocolate. I just I found

708
00:39:44,760 --> 00:39:48,040
Speaker 2: it and I flew icelandic air which doesn't have a

709
00:39:48,040 --> 00:39:52,440
Speaker 2: great international reputation to Raikovic. I gotta tell you though,

710
00:39:52,840 --> 00:39:54,879
Speaker 2: my son and I loved it. It was fun. I

711
00:39:54,960 --> 00:39:57,440
Speaker 2: like new airlines. I like new stuff. I'm for new

712
00:39:57,480 --> 00:39:59,080
Speaker 2: stuff and so I.

713
00:39:59,360 --> 00:40:03,680
Speaker 4: Too, especially for new places. Those are the best.

714
00:40:03,920 --> 00:40:06,560
Speaker 2: No, hey, listen, it's you know, and I've said this

715
00:40:06,719 --> 00:40:08,759
Speaker 2: the you know, the lax is a zoo. But the

716
00:40:08,760 --> 00:40:11,880
Speaker 2: international part of it's great, and I wish more Americans

717
00:40:11,880 --> 00:40:14,879
Speaker 2: myself included, did more international travel. You know, I've done

718
00:40:14,920 --> 00:40:17,759
Speaker 2: so much Mexico, so much Canada. Uh so, I've done

719
00:40:17,760 --> 00:40:21,520
Speaker 2: London three or four times. But it's I can't wait

720
00:40:21,960 --> 00:40:23,960
Speaker 2: for the part of my life where I can do

721
00:40:25,120 --> 00:40:27,600
Speaker 2: you know, a ten week, ten day, two week trip

722
00:40:27,680 --> 00:40:30,120
Speaker 2: every May in August. It's not that far off to

723
00:40:30,160 --> 00:40:32,360
Speaker 2: go to Europe. It's just fun. It's a different pace.

724
00:40:32,600 --> 00:40:34,200
Speaker 2: I like the pace of Europe.

725
00:40:34,920 --> 00:40:36,560
Speaker 4: Oh, I love it. And you know what I hope

726
00:40:36,560 --> 00:40:40,479
Speaker 4: for you? Listen, kid, you keep working hard. You're gonna

727
00:40:40,520 --> 00:40:43,520
Speaker 4: be able soon enough to scratch together enough Nichols you

728
00:40:43,520 --> 00:40:46,320
Speaker 4: can get over to you can get over to Europe

729
00:40:46,360 --> 00:40:47,040
Speaker 4: if you want to.

730
00:40:47,520 --> 00:40:49,360
Speaker 2: I Will'm gonna make a point of it, all right, buddy,

731
00:40:49,400 --> 00:40:50,640
Speaker 2: you enjoy Copenhagen.

732
00:40:50,760 --> 00:40:53,200
Speaker 4: Great to hear from you, all right, brother, I thought

733
00:40:53,280 --> 00:40:53,600
Speaker 4: you are.

734
00:40:58,600 --> 00:41:02,240
Speaker 2: Don't miss the action this weekend when the Indianapolis Colts

735
00:41:02,280 --> 00:41:05,600
Speaker 2: and the New England Patriots head to Frankfurt for the

736
00:41:05,680 --> 00:41:08,640
Speaker 2: Frankfurt Games in Germany, all right. These games air on

737
00:41:08,719 --> 00:41:13,120
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738
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739
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740
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742
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743
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744
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745
00:41:40,360 --> 00:41:43,920
Speaker 2: the Colts and the Patriots in Germany at the Frankfurt Games.

746
00:41:44,200 --> 00:41:48,719
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747
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748
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749
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750
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756
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