1 00:00:01,400 --> 00:00:04,120 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney, along 2 00:00:04,120 --> 00:00:06,240 Speaker 1: with my co host of Bonnie Quinn. Every business day 3 00:00:06,240 --> 00:00:10,360 Speaker 1: we bring you interviews from CEOs, market pros, and Bloomberg experts, 4 00:00:10,400 --> 00:00:13,560 Speaker 1: along with essential market moving news. Kind the Bloomberg Markets 5 00:00:13,600 --> 00:00:17,000 Speaker 1: Podcast on Apple podcast or wherever you listen to podcasts, 6 00:00:17,000 --> 00:00:20,160 Speaker 1: and on Bloomberg dot com. Well, as we all become 7 00:00:20,200 --> 00:00:23,400 Speaker 1: a little bit more aware of our surroundings and you know, 8 00:00:23,520 --> 00:00:28,520 Speaker 1: kenniness and everything really in association with the pandemic, it 9 00:00:28,640 --> 00:00:30,600 Speaker 1: is a good time to talk to Jonathan Webb, who's 10 00:00:30,600 --> 00:00:34,600 Speaker 1: founder and CEO of app Harvest is based in Lexington, Kentucky, 11 00:00:34,680 --> 00:00:37,560 Speaker 1: but it's basically an eye tech company building the world's 12 00:00:37,640 --> 00:00:40,879 Speaker 1: largest indoor farms, which of course you know we'll have 13 00:00:40,880 --> 00:00:43,880 Speaker 1: sustainable fresh fruits and vegetables year round with no chemical 14 00:00:43,920 --> 00:00:48,680 Speaker 1: pesticides and one rainwater. So Jonathan very very excited to 15 00:00:48,680 --> 00:00:50,680 Speaker 1: speak with you today. First of all, give us a 16 00:00:50,720 --> 00:00:54,120 Speaker 1: little bit more of an idea of app harvests clientele 17 00:00:54,280 --> 00:00:56,440 Speaker 1: and also how many farms you have now up and 18 00:00:56,480 --> 00:01:00,280 Speaker 1: down Applelacha. All right, well, thank you for having me. 19 00:01:00,640 --> 00:01:03,240 Speaker 1: Uh So, app Harvest is set out to build some 20 00:01:03,320 --> 00:01:07,840 Speaker 1: of the world's largest controlled environment agriculture facilities, and we're 21 00:01:07,840 --> 00:01:10,360 Speaker 1: doing it here in central Appalachia where we can get 22 00:01:10,360 --> 00:01:13,800 Speaker 1: to about sev of the US in a one day drive. 23 00:01:14,720 --> 00:01:18,840 Speaker 1: Right now, we just launched our first flagship farm, which 24 00:01:19,000 --> 00:01:22,960 Speaker 1: which is nearly two point eight million square feet under glass. 25 00:01:23,720 --> 00:01:26,240 Speaker 1: To put that in perspective, it's nearly twice as large 26 00:01:26,280 --> 00:01:30,160 Speaker 1: as his Amazon's largest distribution center, So so very large 27 00:01:30,160 --> 00:01:34,640 Speaker 1: and scale. Uh. And we're focused on growing fruits and vegetables. Uh. 28 00:01:34,680 --> 00:01:38,360 Speaker 1: And and our first product is tomatoes, which tomatoes right 29 00:01:38,360 --> 00:01:41,679 Speaker 1: now are the number one produce import from Mexico nearly 30 00:01:41,720 --> 00:01:45,120 Speaker 1: four billion pounds last year. So we're we're happy to 31 00:01:45,120 --> 00:01:48,600 Speaker 1: be on store shelves as of last week, and we're 32 00:01:48,680 --> 00:01:51,240 Speaker 1: selling to some of the top twenty five grocers here 33 00:01:51,240 --> 00:01:53,600 Speaker 1: in the US. What had more of an impact on 34 00:01:53,640 --> 00:01:59,800 Speaker 1: your business Donald Trump being president or the pandemic? Uh? Well, 35 00:02:00,200 --> 00:02:03,720 Speaker 1: we we've had great relationships on both sides of the aisle. UH. 36 00:02:03,880 --> 00:02:07,160 Speaker 1: With the new administration coming in and obviously having a 37 00:02:07,200 --> 00:02:10,760 Speaker 1: focus on E s G. That's something that's quartered. Our 38 00:02:10,800 --> 00:02:14,400 Speaker 1: business will will be a public benefit corporation traded on 39 00:02:14,400 --> 00:02:17,840 Speaker 1: the Nasdaq or b Corp. So so obviously E. S 40 00:02:17,880 --> 00:02:20,480 Speaker 1: G is quarta to who we are. But but then 41 00:02:20,520 --> 00:02:25,040 Speaker 1: there's the conversation on food security and resiliency in the US. 42 00:02:25,160 --> 00:02:28,519 Speaker 1: And it doesn't matter what side of the aisle you're on. UH. 43 00:02:28,560 --> 00:02:31,480 Speaker 1: It doesn't make sense to truck a fruit and vegetable 44 00:02:31,919 --> 00:02:36,800 Speaker 1: two weeks, two thousand miles UH imported from another country 45 00:02:36,880 --> 00:02:39,400 Speaker 1: and get to the east coast, to midwest and southeast. 46 00:02:39,440 --> 00:02:41,320 Speaker 1: So we have a long way to go here in 47 00:02:41,360 --> 00:02:46,600 Speaker 1: the US of rebuilding agriculture UH and creating systems that 48 00:02:46,600 --> 00:02:50,520 Speaker 1: that are resilient for for our future. UH. With climate 49 00:02:50,560 --> 00:02:55,320 Speaker 1: disruption and demands for food. UH. You you look at 50 00:02:55,360 --> 00:02:58,320 Speaker 1: the U n who came and visited us recently, the 51 00:02:58,400 --> 00:03:01,160 Speaker 1: UN Security Council, and they predict it the world needs 52 00:03:01,160 --> 00:03:05,560 Speaker 1: fifty to seventy more food by we all have to 53 00:03:05,560 --> 00:03:09,000 Speaker 1: work together to to build a much stronger resilient food system. 54 00:03:09,360 --> 00:03:12,280 Speaker 1: We have to utilize technology and infrastructure to do that. 55 00:03:12,880 --> 00:03:14,880 Speaker 1: And for us, we don't really think it's the left 56 00:03:14,960 --> 00:03:17,639 Speaker 1: or right conversation. It's it's really both sides of the 57 00:03:17,639 --> 00:03:20,000 Speaker 1: aisle need to be at the table. Sure, it is 58 00:03:20,040 --> 00:03:23,360 Speaker 1: probably a price conversation, though, right, how much more does 59 00:03:23,400 --> 00:03:26,720 Speaker 1: it cost to buy, you know, produce from your farms. 60 00:03:26,760 --> 00:03:30,200 Speaker 1: I presume it has to cost more. No, that's a 61 00:03:30,240 --> 00:03:32,919 Speaker 1: great question. I mean, our job and my job here 62 00:03:33,000 --> 00:03:35,440 Speaker 1: is to make sure we're not raising prices for for 63 00:03:35,520 --> 00:03:39,200 Speaker 1: the everyday American. Uh. You know, I grew up in 64 00:03:39,400 --> 00:03:41,840 Speaker 1: Kentucky in the middle part of the country, and and 65 00:03:41,880 --> 00:03:43,800 Speaker 1: I can tell you you know, you look at most 66 00:03:43,840 --> 00:03:46,200 Speaker 1: mothers and fathers across the US that that are going 67 00:03:46,280 --> 00:03:48,880 Speaker 1: to the grocery store. They're just worried about putting food 68 00:03:48,880 --> 00:03:51,960 Speaker 1: on the table. And we definitely cannot raise their prices. 69 00:03:52,560 --> 00:03:55,400 Speaker 1: And we can do that through scale and through our 70 00:03:55,440 --> 00:03:59,600 Speaker 1: efficiencies of how we're operating. We run completely on recycled rainwater. 71 00:04:00,080 --> 00:04:02,120 Speaker 1: We have no water cost, and if you look at 72 00:04:02,120 --> 00:04:06,120 Speaker 1: a fruit and vegetable, nine of a fruit and vegetable 73 00:04:06,200 --> 00:04:09,000 Speaker 1: as water were in a water rich region, we're aver 74 00:04:09,160 --> 00:04:12,440 Speaker 1: collect that rain water. We also know the distribution where 75 00:04:12,440 --> 00:04:14,760 Speaker 1: we can get to major markets in a one day drive. 76 00:04:15,720 --> 00:04:18,560 Speaker 1: That reduces our trucking by a week in two weeks 77 00:04:18,600 --> 00:04:22,440 Speaker 1: also cost savings. So there's a multitude of factors as 78 00:04:22,480 --> 00:04:25,240 Speaker 1: to how we're able to back into our price. But 79 00:04:25,240 --> 00:04:27,240 Speaker 1: but at the end of the day, we we absolutely 80 00:04:27,320 --> 00:04:30,200 Speaker 1: or are are committed to selling a fruit and vegetable 81 00:04:30,240 --> 00:04:33,160 Speaker 1: adder around the same price and what consumers already see 82 00:04:33,160 --> 00:04:35,320 Speaker 1: at the grocery store. But you know, Jonathan, we hear 83 00:04:35,360 --> 00:04:38,160 Speaker 1: from farmers all the time how very, very difficult it 84 00:04:38,200 --> 00:04:40,960 Speaker 1: is to actually, you know, make some profit in this world, 85 00:04:41,080 --> 00:04:44,760 Speaker 1: and that it's it's just it's just so hard. And 86 00:04:44,839 --> 00:04:47,040 Speaker 1: you know, you have to make sure you pick your 87 00:04:47,040 --> 00:04:49,120 Speaker 1: crops right for the year, you have to make sure 88 00:04:49,120 --> 00:04:51,640 Speaker 1: that you avail yourself of all the subsidies that are 89 00:04:52,360 --> 00:04:54,839 Speaker 1: available to farmers and so on. And it's still hard 90 00:04:54,880 --> 00:04:56,960 Speaker 1: to just even make a living for a single farmer. 91 00:04:57,240 --> 00:04:59,440 Speaker 1: How are you guys managing to do it for you know, 92 00:05:01,400 --> 00:05:06,599 Speaker 1: a multitude of farms. Well, it's it's where we're we 93 00:05:06,720 --> 00:05:09,720 Speaker 1: have to use technology and we have to build farms 94 00:05:09,720 --> 00:05:11,960 Speaker 1: for the future. And you know, you look at the 95 00:05:12,040 --> 00:05:16,240 Speaker 1: last great technological revolution that hit American farming, it was 96 00:05:16,320 --> 00:05:21,120 Speaker 1: the tractor. And we really have not seen a significant 97 00:05:21,720 --> 00:05:25,119 Speaker 1: uh you know, piece of technology hit American farming since 98 00:05:25,160 --> 00:05:28,120 Speaker 1: the tractor. Uh. And and now you know the way 99 00:05:28,160 --> 00:05:32,320 Speaker 1: we operate our farm where we're using industrial sensors and 100 00:05:32,440 --> 00:05:36,080 Speaker 1: software can operate the farm on an iPhone and iPad. 101 00:05:36,440 --> 00:05:40,800 Speaker 1: We're controlling the environment to optimize for the plant. Uh 102 00:05:40,839 --> 00:05:43,719 Speaker 1: And we have to use technology and there's an upfront 103 00:05:43,760 --> 00:05:46,280 Speaker 1: cost to that, but then we're able to recoup that 104 00:05:46,360 --> 00:05:48,600 Speaker 1: cost over time. And as far as you you talk 105 00:05:48,640 --> 00:05:52,719 Speaker 1: about farmers having to fight against the climate that's changing, 106 00:05:53,040 --> 00:05:54,719 Speaker 1: you know, we don't have to worry about that. We 107 00:05:54,800 --> 00:05:59,040 Speaker 1: grow indoors. We control our climate. Uh And And what 108 00:05:59,320 --> 00:06:01,440 Speaker 1: my background was in solar, I was a part of 109 00:06:01,440 --> 00:06:03,960 Speaker 1: building some of the largest solar in the US. And 110 00:06:04,000 --> 00:06:06,039 Speaker 1: we've tried to say this is the third wave of 111 00:06:06,080 --> 00:06:09,680 Speaker 1: sustainable infrastructure. You know, account wait to go under tour 112 00:06:09,800 --> 00:06:12,120 Speaker 1: one of these farms at some point because they really 113 00:06:12,160 --> 00:06:16,320 Speaker 1: do sound fascinating and hopefully the technology will take off 114 00:06:16,760 --> 00:06:18,479 Speaker 1: and and other people who are able to take advantage 115 00:06:18,520 --> 00:06:20,560 Speaker 1: of it as well. Jonathan, thank you so much. We 116 00:06:20,600 --> 00:06:23,120 Speaker 1: will stay in touch. Jonathan Webb is founder and CEO 117 00:06:23,160 --> 00:06:26,000 Speaker 1: of agh Tech Company, A harvest some of the largest 118 00:06:26,080 --> 00:06:30,680 Speaker 1: indoor farms in the world in Appala jam Looking at 119 00:06:30,680 --> 00:06:32,919 Speaker 1: the U s dollar here, the d x Y index 120 00:06:32,920 --> 00:06:35,479 Speaker 1: sitting just above at ninety and that's the lowest level 121 00:06:35,520 --> 00:06:39,680 Speaker 1: it's been since back in two thousand eighteen. And it's 122 00:06:39,680 --> 00:06:41,560 Speaker 1: not about twelve twelve and a half percent from the 123 00:06:41,600 --> 00:06:44,799 Speaker 1: pre pandemic highs Our next guest think that the dollar 124 00:06:44,960 --> 00:06:48,680 Speaker 1: can stay lower for longer. We are pleased to welcome 125 00:06:48,720 --> 00:06:53,000 Speaker 1: Stephen Roach, senior fellow at Yale University and former chairman 126 00:06:53,360 --> 00:06:56,839 Speaker 1: of Morgan Stanley Asia. Discussed his column here. The weaker 127 00:06:56,880 --> 00:06:59,080 Speaker 1: dollar trend is only just beginning. Stephen. Thanks much for 128 00:06:59,160 --> 00:07:02,080 Speaker 1: joining us here. What is your call on the dollar 129 00:07:02,160 --> 00:07:06,160 Speaker 1: and what's driving it well? Last June I wrote an 130 00:07:06,400 --> 00:07:10,040 Speaker 1: opinion piece on Bloomberg that argued the dollar could drop 131 00:07:10,120 --> 00:07:13,720 Speaker 1: as much as thirty five percent by the end of 132 00:07:16,200 --> 00:07:20,800 Speaker 1: and I cited three factors that led me to that 133 00:07:20,880 --> 00:07:27,000 Speaker 1: seemingly outrageous conclusion. One sharp widening of the balance of 134 00:07:27,040 --> 00:07:31,440 Speaker 1: payments of the current account deficit to the there was 135 00:07:31,480 --> 00:07:35,360 Speaker 1: a myth behind the notion that there is no alternative 136 00:07:35,400 --> 00:07:39,960 Speaker 1: to the dollar or the so called Tina defense. And Thirdly, 137 00:07:40,160 --> 00:07:44,200 Speaker 1: I stress that I thought the Federal Reserve would do 138 00:07:44,280 --> 00:07:49,080 Speaker 1: nothing to defend a weaker currency, as central banks normally do, 139 00:07:49,320 --> 00:07:55,800 Speaker 1: they tighten monetary policy to stave off weaker currency, and 140 00:07:55,880 --> 00:07:58,680 Speaker 1: this FED is not going to tighten for any currency 141 00:07:58,720 --> 00:08:02,880 Speaker 1: related reasons. So you know, I uh came up with 142 00:08:02,920 --> 00:08:07,480 Speaker 1: this thirty five UH call, and you know, we're about 143 00:08:07,520 --> 00:08:11,200 Speaker 1: a third of the way there, and so there's more 144 00:08:11,240 --> 00:08:14,320 Speaker 1: to come, if I'm going to be right, Yeah, I mean, 145 00:08:14,600 --> 00:08:16,880 Speaker 1: the Fed may not do anything. Is there anything that 146 00:08:17,000 --> 00:08:20,760 Speaker 1: Janet Yellen might do directly or indirectly? As Treasury Secretary 147 00:08:20,840 --> 00:08:25,640 Speaker 1: Stephen Well, like, I have huge respect for Janet Yelling. 148 00:08:25,760 --> 00:08:29,160 Speaker 1: She's got a lot or plate Bunny, and um, I 149 00:08:29,200 --> 00:08:31,440 Speaker 1: think you know, you'll you'll start to hear echoes of 150 00:08:32,200 --> 00:08:35,720 Speaker 1: Bob Reuben in the Janet Yellen where she just simply 151 00:08:35,760 --> 00:08:40,080 Speaker 1: says that, you know, the US is always in favor 152 00:08:40,240 --> 00:08:44,800 Speaker 1: of a strong dollar. But no, there won't be anything 153 00:08:44,840 --> 00:08:49,960 Speaker 1: other than the sort of rhetorical uh statements rather than 154 00:08:50,000 --> 00:08:54,880 Speaker 1: any concrete action to stave off this weakness, because Stephen, 155 00:08:54,920 --> 00:08:56,520 Speaker 1: it appears, you know, if we do listen to Fed 156 00:08:56,600 --> 00:09:00,000 Speaker 1: Chairman pal Um some seemingly, you know, obviously some very 157 00:09:00,080 --> 00:09:03,120 Speaker 1: strong commentary since the beginning of this pandemic about the 158 00:09:03,160 --> 00:09:06,640 Speaker 1: interest rate environment and his outlook lower for longer, talking 159 00:09:06,679 --> 00:09:10,320 Speaker 1: about you know it in years not quarters. Do you 160 00:09:10,320 --> 00:09:15,040 Speaker 1: expect that stance to stay? Yeah, I do. I think, 161 00:09:15,600 --> 00:09:21,480 Speaker 1: you know, if anything, it's it's a more stronger stance 162 00:09:21,640 --> 00:09:25,520 Speaker 1: for sustained monetary accommodation than it was when I first 163 00:09:26,040 --> 00:09:28,760 Speaker 1: I thought the dollar would fall six months ago. The 164 00:09:28,840 --> 00:09:33,840 Speaker 1: feed as you know, has adopted this new framework of 165 00:09:33,960 --> 00:09:38,480 Speaker 1: average inflation targeting, which means it's going to forgive any 166 00:09:38,559 --> 00:09:45,640 Speaker 1: short term overshoots a relative to their price to stability metrics, 167 00:09:45,679 --> 00:09:48,880 Speaker 1: so you know, if anything, they're going to stay easier 168 00:09:48,960 --> 00:09:52,760 Speaker 1: for longer. And when countries have big current account deficits, 169 00:09:52,840 --> 00:09:57,440 Speaker 1: they can do one or two things or both. They 170 00:09:57,480 --> 00:10:02,840 Speaker 1: can allow the Monterrey policy, the titan or uh, you know, 171 00:10:02,960 --> 00:10:06,240 Speaker 1: let let the currency go and with with the fed 172 00:10:07,280 --> 00:10:13,000 Speaker 1: um sort of giving up on the monetary policy, and 173 00:10:13,080 --> 00:10:16,280 Speaker 1: all the currency will will absorb the bulk of the adjustment. 174 00:10:16,760 --> 00:10:20,720 Speaker 1: So Stephen, when you say weakness, it's obviously weakness versus 175 00:10:20,880 --> 00:10:24,199 Speaker 1: you know, other assets, other currencies. Will it be primarily 176 00:10:24,440 --> 00:10:27,000 Speaker 1: you know, the Chinese? You on, Will it be the euro, 177 00:10:27,280 --> 00:10:30,360 Speaker 1: British pound? Where will we see the weakness? Most obviously 178 00:10:31,800 --> 00:10:34,880 Speaker 1: I think it will be pretty broadly based. Vanny, I 179 00:10:34,920 --> 00:10:38,640 Speaker 1: think you'll see it again the reven b, which has 180 00:10:38,679 --> 00:10:42,000 Speaker 1: been strengthening steadily and looks like it's going to be 181 00:10:42,080 --> 00:10:45,240 Speaker 1: going up a good deal further this year, but you'll 182 00:10:45,280 --> 00:10:48,400 Speaker 1: also see it against the Euro that you know, the 183 00:10:48,440 --> 00:10:51,719 Speaker 1: Euro has I think right now, I would say is 184 00:10:51,760 --> 00:10:58,160 Speaker 1: probably the most undervalued major currency in the world. It's um. Uh. 185 00:10:58,160 --> 00:11:02,600 Speaker 1: You know, it's down still on a broad trade weighted 186 00:11:02,640 --> 00:11:07,960 Speaker 1: basis about four percent from its UM March two thousand 187 00:11:07,920 --> 00:11:13,720 Speaker 1: and fourteen posted UM crisis high. And uh. You know, 188 00:11:13,760 --> 00:11:18,199 Speaker 1: I've been a euroskeptic basically all my life, largely because 189 00:11:18,320 --> 00:11:21,920 Speaker 1: while while the Eurozone has a single currency in a 190 00:11:21,960 --> 00:11:26,280 Speaker 1: single central bank, it's never had a unified fiscal policy, 191 00:11:26,280 --> 00:11:29,439 Speaker 1: and that now seems to be changing. Uh. There was 192 00:11:29,480 --> 00:11:33,840 Speaker 1: a deal cut in July of last year, the so 193 00:11:33,920 --> 00:11:41,280 Speaker 1: called next generation UH EU fund UH complete with European 194 00:11:42,080 --> 00:11:45,480 Speaker 1: bond issuing authority, that I think is a you know, 195 00:11:45,720 --> 00:11:49,760 Speaker 1: a potential game changer in terms of European fiscal policy. 196 00:11:49,840 --> 00:11:52,640 Speaker 1: So I think, you know, Europe will get through this 197 00:11:52,679 --> 00:11:57,200 Speaker 1: pandemic which they're suffering mightily from again right now, and 198 00:11:57,240 --> 00:12:00,680 Speaker 1: I think there's a a compelling case of the upside 199 00:12:00,679 --> 00:12:04,080 Speaker 1: for what is probably the most undervalued major currency in 200 00:12:04,080 --> 00:12:07,480 Speaker 1: the world. Stephen, I'd love to call on your experience 201 00:12:07,559 --> 00:12:09,959 Speaker 1: as chair of Morgan Stanley Asia. We now have a 202 00:12:10,000 --> 00:12:12,679 Speaker 1: new administration in the White House, how do you think 203 00:12:12,679 --> 00:12:16,679 Speaker 1: our policy should evolve with China over the coming years 204 00:12:16,679 --> 00:12:20,240 Speaker 1: given what we've experienced over the last four Well, look, 205 00:12:20,880 --> 00:12:24,080 Speaker 1: you know, anything that's better than what we've been through 206 00:12:24,200 --> 00:12:27,360 Speaker 1: over the past four years. I'm hopeful that there will 207 00:12:27,400 --> 00:12:32,080 Speaker 1: be a measured, careful reassessment of all of the actions 208 00:12:32,120 --> 00:12:36,360 Speaker 1: that were taken during the Trump administration. I think, UM, 209 00:12:36,400 --> 00:12:41,200 Speaker 1: I look for the Biden administration to do that. Nothing immediate, 210 00:12:41,360 --> 00:12:45,920 Speaker 1: no major breakthrough, but I'm hopeful that UH we can 211 00:12:46,200 --> 00:12:52,240 Speaker 1: once again initiate a more constructive exchange on big issues 212 00:12:52,280 --> 00:12:56,160 Speaker 1: we have in common like UM, global health policy and 213 00:12:56,280 --> 00:13:00,240 Speaker 1: climate change UH, and then began to develop a more 214 00:13:01,840 --> 00:13:05,720 Speaker 1: I think sustainable framework of engagement on some of these 215 00:13:05,720 --> 00:13:11,080 Speaker 1: tough structural issues that were put on the table by 216 00:13:11,080 --> 00:13:15,560 Speaker 1: the Trump administration UH several years ago, in terms of 217 00:13:15,840 --> 00:13:22,720 Speaker 1: innovation policy, intellectual property rights protection, force technology transfer, UH, 218 00:13:23,040 --> 00:13:28,120 Speaker 1: cybersecurity subsidies to stay on enterprises. These are really important issues, 219 00:13:28,320 --> 00:13:31,840 Speaker 1: and I give the Trump administration credit for raising them, 220 00:13:31,840 --> 00:13:35,160 Speaker 1: but they provided nothing in the way of resolving them. 221 00:13:35,200 --> 00:13:38,600 Speaker 1: The so called Phase one trade deal did nothing on 222 00:13:38,640 --> 00:13:42,160 Speaker 1: these issues that should be immediately I would I would 223 00:13:42,200 --> 00:13:47,040 Speaker 1: hope abandoned, and I think there's a much better framework 224 00:13:47,120 --> 00:13:50,640 Speaker 1: to engage on the structural issues that I would hope 225 00:13:50,679 --> 00:13:55,240 Speaker 1: that Biden administration could begin to roll out. Stephen would 226 00:13:55,280 --> 00:13:57,240 Speaker 1: love to talk about China for a lot longer, but 227 00:13:57,320 --> 00:14:00,840 Speaker 1: unfortunately your time is up. But Duke and back again soon. 228 00:14:01,640 --> 00:14:03,920 Speaker 1: We really need to sort of focus on China and 229 00:14:04,000 --> 00:14:05,840 Speaker 1: exactly what's been going on over there. You know, I 230 00:14:05,840 --> 00:14:08,760 Speaker 1: think the pandemic is as much as we've talked about 231 00:14:08,840 --> 00:14:10,760 Speaker 1: China over the last year, I think the pandemic has 232 00:14:10,800 --> 00:14:12,720 Speaker 1: has made us focus a little bit more on the 233 00:14:12,760 --> 00:14:15,000 Speaker 1: United States in the last little while. So thank you 234 00:14:15,040 --> 00:14:18,320 Speaker 1: to Stephen Roach, of course, who was a huge, huge 235 00:14:18,360 --> 00:14:21,520 Speaker 1: history with China and Asia. More broadly, he's senior fellow 236 00:14:21,560 --> 00:14:24,640 Speaker 1: at Yale University, former chairman of Morgan Stanley Asia, and 237 00:14:24,680 --> 00:14:26,600 Speaker 1: do have a read of his column. The weaker dollar 238 00:14:26,640 --> 00:14:32,920 Speaker 1: trend is only just beginning. The British pound is just 239 00:14:33,000 --> 00:14:35,080 Speaker 1: a little bit stronger today. We're keeping an eye, of course, 240 00:14:35,120 --> 00:14:37,480 Speaker 1: on earnings. About two thirds of the SMB five hundred 241 00:14:37,520 --> 00:14:42,920 Speaker 1: companies are reporting this week. And I also want to 242 00:14:42,960 --> 00:14:47,360 Speaker 1: point out that Leon black out at Apollo this after 243 00:14:47,440 --> 00:14:50,360 Speaker 1: he got caught paying for Jeffrey Epstein to the tune 244 00:14:50,360 --> 00:14:54,040 Speaker 1: of one fifty eight million dollars. The private equity Titan 245 00:14:54,240 --> 00:14:57,400 Speaker 1: was willing to overlook, apparently that Epstein had served thirteen 246 00:14:57,400 --> 00:14:59,400 Speaker 1: months in a Florida jail. But it all came to 247 00:14:59,440 --> 00:15:01,800 Speaker 1: a head over the weekend and after meetings between the 248 00:15:01,800 --> 00:15:05,160 Speaker 1: three owners, Black is out and there is a new 249 00:15:05,760 --> 00:15:09,080 Speaker 1: person in his place. And that is your latest Spoomberg 250 00:15:09,240 --> 00:15:12,280 Speaker 1: business flash. Let's get now to some of those earnings 251 00:15:12,280 --> 00:15:14,520 Speaker 1: this week. Karen nub Hard to senior industrial as analysts 252 00:15:14,560 --> 00:15:18,000 Speaker 1: for Bloomberg Intelligence, obviously covering the likes of GE and 253 00:15:18,200 --> 00:15:22,800 Speaker 1: three M Karen, what are we looking for this week? Uh? 254 00:15:22,840 --> 00:15:25,960 Speaker 1: You know, um, we're gonna certainly see sequential improvement, but 255 00:15:25,960 --> 00:15:30,160 Speaker 1: everybody's going to really be looking to companies have not 256 00:15:30,280 --> 00:15:33,520 Speaker 1: been giving guidance for most of twenty Um. I think 257 00:15:33,560 --> 00:15:36,040 Speaker 1: a lot of them will give us some guidance on 258 00:15:36,160 --> 00:15:38,400 Speaker 1: because things have stabilized and are going up in the 259 00:15:38,480 --> 00:15:41,480 Speaker 1: right direction. And today's story was GE on the cash 260 00:15:41,480 --> 00:15:43,840 Speaker 1: flow side. That's that's really why that's up so much. 261 00:15:43,920 --> 00:15:47,240 Speaker 1: But you know, it looks like things are stabilizing and 262 00:15:47,400 --> 00:15:51,760 Speaker 1: we're gonna see um, you know, um improvement ahead better 263 00:15:51,800 --> 00:15:54,440 Speaker 1: in the second half, but people really want to get 264 00:15:54,480 --> 00:15:57,720 Speaker 1: comfortable that twenty one is going to be a decent year. Now, 265 00:15:57,720 --> 00:16:00,640 Speaker 1: where is the demand coming from, Karen, Because you know, 266 00:16:00,680 --> 00:16:03,440 Speaker 1: we're seeing some data really holding up in terms of 267 00:16:03,440 --> 00:16:05,720 Speaker 1: the consumer today with consumer confidence and so on, and 268 00:16:05,760 --> 00:16:08,240 Speaker 1: now it looks like some of these big industrials are 269 00:16:08,280 --> 00:16:13,680 Speaker 1: also seeing demand. Is a domestic demand, Uh, it's well 270 00:16:13,840 --> 00:16:17,440 Speaker 1: not China's China's up a lot. Um you know, US 271 00:16:17,600 --> 00:16:19,960 Speaker 1: is coming back. I mean it's mixed, it's really by 272 00:16:20,040 --> 00:16:22,520 Speaker 1: it's really by end market. Like the UM three m 273 00:16:22,600 --> 00:16:25,440 Speaker 1: was talking about home improvement and personal safety. You know, 274 00:16:25,480 --> 00:16:28,400 Speaker 1: they make the respirators, data centers, things like that, but 275 00:16:28,440 --> 00:16:30,960 Speaker 1: they're in a big pop and auto production just because 276 00:16:31,160 --> 00:16:33,560 Speaker 1: you know, it had been much slower earlier in the year, 277 00:16:34,000 --> 00:16:38,200 Speaker 1: and um g E really it was healthcare and stabilization 278 00:16:38,280 --> 00:16:40,640 Speaker 1: some of their other businesses, but like power, but that's 279 00:16:40,640 --> 00:16:43,600 Speaker 1: really an internal story. Aviation was bad, but not as 280 00:16:43,640 --> 00:16:46,800 Speaker 1: bad as expected, you know, so so you know, um 281 00:16:46,840 --> 00:16:52,200 Speaker 1: it's it's really you know, um home improvement, some spots 282 00:16:52,200 --> 00:16:55,920 Speaker 1: and healthcare, anything related to safety. You know, Honeywell is 283 00:16:55,920 --> 00:16:57,720 Speaker 1: going to talk about personal safety too. That's going to 284 00:16:57,800 --> 00:17:00,720 Speaker 1: be better than expected. Um, you know because of COVID. 285 00:17:01,200 --> 00:17:03,600 Speaker 1: So you know, I wouldn't say we're back home, but 286 00:17:03,600 --> 00:17:06,320 Speaker 1: we're certainly directionally, we're going on the right way. Yeah, 287 00:17:06,359 --> 00:17:09,520 Speaker 1: these companies pivoting just a little bit, now, will they? 288 00:17:09,560 --> 00:17:12,280 Speaker 1: And have they spoken about supply chains and how they 289 00:17:12,320 --> 00:17:15,560 Speaker 1: have forceful supply chains to to get a little bit 290 00:17:15,560 --> 00:17:19,200 Speaker 1: more um, you know, lubricated in some ways so that 291 00:17:19,520 --> 00:17:21,720 Speaker 1: you know, the likes of Ppe and some of this 292 00:17:21,840 --> 00:17:25,560 Speaker 1: healthcare equipment can get produced faster and get to the 293 00:17:25,560 --> 00:17:29,680 Speaker 1: places necessary. Yeah, that's gotten much much better. I mean 294 00:17:29,760 --> 00:17:33,840 Speaker 1: three Mum had a uh you know how the squadrupled 295 00:17:33,880 --> 00:17:36,800 Speaker 1: production and they got to their two billion in in 296 00:17:36,800 --> 00:17:41,199 Speaker 1: in respirators um for twenty and they were you know, 297 00:17:41,240 --> 00:17:43,200 Speaker 1: a quarter of that earlier in the year, and there 298 00:17:43,240 --> 00:17:46,240 Speaker 1: wasn't really supply issues. Um, I'd say the same thing, 299 00:17:46,480 --> 00:17:48,480 Speaker 1: um in honeywell and some of the other so that 300 00:17:48,480 --> 00:17:52,399 Speaker 1: that supply chain really isn't coming up that much anymore. Interesting, 301 00:17:52,400 --> 00:17:55,400 Speaker 1: So animalst aren't even asking about it. It's just solved. 302 00:17:56,240 --> 00:17:57,800 Speaker 1: A lot of people, a lot of around the world, 303 00:17:57,840 --> 00:17:59,520 Speaker 1: a lot of places are back to work. They've learned 304 00:17:59,520 --> 00:18:02,720 Speaker 1: how to manage a round of the virus. Now we 305 00:18:02,720 --> 00:18:05,320 Speaker 1: always have a new administration, wouldn't have been for the 306 00:18:05,400 --> 00:18:07,240 Speaker 1: last quarter, but it would be for the next quarter. 307 00:18:07,560 --> 00:18:10,960 Speaker 1: So are any of these companies making decisions based on 308 00:18:11,040 --> 00:18:13,159 Speaker 1: the fact that we now have a Biden administration in 309 00:18:13,240 --> 00:18:16,840 Speaker 1: terms of you know, foreign policy and how their international 310 00:18:17,359 --> 00:18:21,399 Speaker 1: outlook might be. Well, it's certainly um with you know, 311 00:18:21,720 --> 00:18:25,320 Speaker 1: trade barriers probably getting a little bit better. Um, you know, 312 00:18:25,400 --> 00:18:29,240 Speaker 1: working on our global relationships. I think that's in you know, 313 00:18:29,280 --> 00:18:31,359 Speaker 1: incrementally will be better. I don't think anybody's going to 314 00:18:31,400 --> 00:18:36,680 Speaker 1: make major strategic changes, um. I would say, um, there is. 315 00:18:36,880 --> 00:18:41,359 Speaker 1: There may be some internal opportunities life like infrastructure, you know, 316 00:18:41,400 --> 00:18:43,320 Speaker 1: because we have some big spending plans and it's quite 317 00:18:43,320 --> 00:18:46,680 Speaker 1: broad based. It's not just let's let's fix the roads. Um. So, 318 00:18:46,720 --> 00:18:50,480 Speaker 1: they'll they'll probably be um some domestic opportunity. UM So 319 00:18:50,920 --> 00:18:54,040 Speaker 1: I think people are hopeful, but not making major shifts yet, 320 00:18:54,080 --> 00:18:56,720 Speaker 1: but certainly hopeful. You know when you say you know 321 00:18:56,760 --> 00:19:00,840 Speaker 1: domestic opportunity. We're obviously gonna build America back. I mean, 322 00:19:00,960 --> 00:19:04,199 Speaker 1: how how much are these companies lobbying to get a 323 00:19:04,240 --> 00:19:07,280 Speaker 1: place in that choir and how much are they sort 324 00:19:07,280 --> 00:19:11,640 Speaker 1: of looking to divert some of their resources to projects 325 00:19:11,680 --> 00:19:14,159 Speaker 1: that might come down the pike. Well, you know, I 326 00:19:14,680 --> 00:19:17,399 Speaker 1: think I think it's going to be a very broad 327 00:19:17,400 --> 00:19:20,000 Speaker 1: based program as you know, like there will be a 328 00:19:20,119 --> 00:19:23,560 Speaker 1: traditional infrastructure, but there's also talk of a big focus 329 00:19:23,600 --> 00:19:27,680 Speaker 1: on climate UM, you know, which will be a big thing, energy, 330 00:19:27,760 --> 00:19:31,080 Speaker 1: energy savings, etcetera. There's UM their talk of investment in 331 00:19:31,240 --> 00:19:35,880 Speaker 1: data infrastructure for UM, rural areas, etcetera. So UM, there's 332 00:19:35,920 --> 00:19:38,840 Speaker 1: a lot of opportunity for these companies if we get 333 00:19:38,880 --> 00:19:42,200 Speaker 1: the spending and with UM the Democrats having the majority 334 00:19:42,280 --> 00:19:44,840 Speaker 1: and the White House, some things might be able to 335 00:19:44,880 --> 00:19:48,399 Speaker 1: happen on on that front. So you know, g E 336 00:19:48,560 --> 00:19:52,240 Speaker 1: obviously is soaring today, but if you take a look 337 00:19:52,280 --> 00:19:54,520 Speaker 1: at your over year, we're still down one percent, so 338 00:19:54,560 --> 00:19:56,600 Speaker 1: it has a ways to go. How much more can 339 00:19:56,640 --> 00:19:59,879 Speaker 1: Larry cult do to revive the giant UM? You know, 340 00:20:00,160 --> 00:20:02,840 Speaker 1: I think there's UM a lot of room to go 341 00:20:03,000 --> 00:20:05,880 Speaker 1: still on the power side, which was where their big 342 00:20:05,920 --> 00:20:08,760 Speaker 1: problems were. But you're starting to see stabilization and now 343 00:20:08,760 --> 00:20:11,080 Speaker 1: they've had a couple of quarters where they've made money, 344 00:20:11,400 --> 00:20:13,320 Speaker 1: so there's still a lot of room to go on 345 00:20:13,359 --> 00:20:16,120 Speaker 1: that front. UM, there's a room to go and renewables 346 00:20:16,160 --> 00:20:18,640 Speaker 1: and now and then the other thing, the biggest thing 347 00:20:18,680 --> 00:20:20,199 Speaker 1: that the biggest swing that they can do on the 348 00:20:20,359 --> 00:20:23,000 Speaker 1: on the business side is you know, get a little 349 00:20:23,000 --> 00:20:25,879 Speaker 1: help from aviation and they're expecting some improvement in the 350 00:20:25,920 --> 00:20:27,880 Speaker 1: second half. That's where they made two thirds of their 351 00:20:27,880 --> 00:20:31,479 Speaker 1: money and then COVID it just collapsed. But that's going 352 00:20:31,520 --> 00:20:34,120 Speaker 1: to be better in twenty one. But you know, if 353 00:20:34,160 --> 00:20:37,480 Speaker 1: they got lucky on that side, they could really beat 354 00:20:37,560 --> 00:20:40,280 Speaker 1: But right now it's you know, they say, and they're right. 355 00:20:40,320 --> 00:20:42,679 Speaker 1: They're fixing the things they can fix, and they've been 356 00:20:42,680 --> 00:20:44,960 Speaker 1: in a two year program to turn power around and 357 00:20:45,040 --> 00:20:47,240 Speaker 1: renewables around, and you're starting to see that some of 358 00:20:47,240 --> 00:20:50,480 Speaker 1: the benefits able that cloth cutting and then aviation. Did 359 00:20:50,840 --> 00:20:53,320 Speaker 1: you know, it's terrible, but they did, you know, as 360 00:20:53,320 --> 00:20:55,360 Speaker 1: well as they could do, given that demand is down 361 00:20:55,359 --> 00:20:58,679 Speaker 1: thirty this year. Yeah, exactly. I mean, what will they 362 00:20:58,720 --> 00:21:01,399 Speaker 1: do with aviation? Is everything on polls right now? And 363 00:21:01,680 --> 00:21:06,480 Speaker 1: can it be free of cost if you like, you know, 364 00:21:06,640 --> 00:21:10,320 Speaker 1: while while all of these aviation units are waiting to 365 00:21:10,320 --> 00:21:13,399 Speaker 1: move back into regular gear. Yeah, they've taken a billion, 366 00:21:13,720 --> 00:21:16,600 Speaker 1: a little million more than a billion out of costs 367 00:21:16,600 --> 00:21:19,520 Speaker 1: in the aviation business though they've they've been able to 368 00:21:19,880 --> 00:21:23,640 Speaker 1: sort of stabilize um, the collapse and then you know, 369 00:21:24,040 --> 00:21:27,480 Speaker 1: as people get back to back to travel even incrementally, 370 00:21:27,520 --> 00:21:29,560 Speaker 1: that might help the parts business and frankly that's where 371 00:21:29,600 --> 00:21:32,480 Speaker 1: they make their money. And then um, the Max seven 372 00:21:32,520 --> 00:21:35,960 Speaker 1: three seven is is being produced again, not nearly at 373 00:21:35,960 --> 00:21:39,159 Speaker 1: the levels that they had hoped, but certainly UP is 374 00:21:39,200 --> 00:21:41,520 Speaker 1: better than down, right, So um, that's going to help 375 00:21:41,560 --> 00:21:45,400 Speaker 1: them as well on the aviation O east side. Um, 376 00:21:45,440 --> 00:21:48,440 Speaker 1: but they really need people to travel again, and uh, 377 00:21:48,600 --> 00:21:52,560 Speaker 1: that should get better as the year goes on. All right, Karen, 378 00:21:52,760 --> 00:21:56,240 Speaker 1: thank you. Up is definitely better than down for most stakeholders, 379 00:21:56,240 --> 00:22:00,800 Speaker 1: from employees to management to shareholders and the general public 380 00:22:00,840 --> 00:22:03,119 Speaker 1: as well. So thank you so much for all of 381 00:22:03,160 --> 00:22:07,440 Speaker 1: your intelligence. Karen Atlhardt is senior Industrial analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence, 382 00:22:07,640 --> 00:22:10,159 Speaker 1: and keep an eye out for more intelligence from her 383 00:22:10,200 --> 00:22:16,359 Speaker 1: on other industrials that haven't reported just yet. All right, 384 00:22:16,480 --> 00:22:19,359 Speaker 1: it's time bringing our cross Asset reporter is Sarah Ponzac, 385 00:22:19,400 --> 00:22:22,000 Speaker 1: who's keeping an eye on everything that's going on across 386 00:22:22,040 --> 00:22:24,240 Speaker 1: the markets. And it doesn't seem that there's all that 387 00:22:24,320 --> 00:22:27,760 Speaker 1: much going on, at least overall in the equity markets today, Sarah, 388 00:22:27,760 --> 00:22:31,119 Speaker 1: where is the action right? Everything that's going on today, 389 00:22:31,720 --> 00:22:34,480 Speaker 1: It's a pretty quiet day as of this morning. If 390 00:22:34,480 --> 00:22:36,439 Speaker 1: you do break it down, though, you do see some 391 00:22:36,920 --> 00:22:39,879 Speaker 1: larger moves at the more micro single stock level, and 392 00:22:39,920 --> 00:22:43,240 Speaker 1: Microsoft will point out Microsoft reporting earnings after the bell today. 393 00:22:43,320 --> 00:22:45,920 Speaker 1: If you look at Microsoft today higher by one point 394 00:22:46,000 --> 00:22:48,080 Speaker 1: three percent at the moment, that's higher for a sick 395 00:22:48,240 --> 00:22:50,320 Speaker 1: straight yea. So we have a bit of a winning 396 00:22:50,320 --> 00:22:52,760 Speaker 1: street going on. And Microsoft deposited at a record high 397 00:22:52,760 --> 00:22:55,359 Speaker 1: the last time I checked on my screen, just ahead 398 00:22:55,359 --> 00:22:59,400 Speaker 1: of earning season. So we're seeing this phenomenon where ahead 399 00:22:59,440 --> 00:23:01,800 Speaker 1: of big act reports, this is the busiest week for 400 00:23:01,800 --> 00:23:04,560 Speaker 1: earnings in According to Bluebird Intelligence, we have about one 401 00:23:05,240 --> 00:23:07,359 Speaker 1: companies that are going to come out and report. That 402 00:23:07,400 --> 00:23:12,280 Speaker 1: amounts to about thirty six percent of SMP five market. Granted, 403 00:23:12,320 --> 00:23:15,480 Speaker 1: that's because many of these large companies are reporting Microsoft today. 404 00:23:15,840 --> 00:23:18,760 Speaker 1: Tomorrow we'll hear from the likes of Apples, Test Left, Facebook, 405 00:23:18,760 --> 00:23:21,119 Speaker 1: for example, and those three companies alone represent over a 406 00:23:21,200 --> 00:23:24,720 Speaker 1: tenth of the SMP five hundred. But into this we 407 00:23:24,840 --> 00:23:27,240 Speaker 1: have seen Big Text all of a sudden start to 408 00:23:27,240 --> 00:23:29,919 Speaker 1: take the lead once again. And to give you a sense, 409 00:23:30,080 --> 00:23:33,159 Speaker 1: you look at last week. For example, last week we 410 00:23:33,240 --> 00:23:36,160 Speaker 1: thought SMP five hundred growth beat value by the most 411 00:23:36,400 --> 00:23:39,920 Speaker 1: two thousand and eight. So we had seen this rotation 412 00:23:40,040 --> 00:23:42,479 Speaker 1: away from big tech for quite a while really ever 413 00:23:42,520 --> 00:23:45,439 Speaker 1: since we've got their rotation in late summer and the 414 00:23:45,480 --> 00:23:49,760 Speaker 1: months of August September, for example. But now we are 415 00:23:49,840 --> 00:23:52,800 Speaker 1: seeing these companies really come back and start to hit recordized. 416 00:23:52,840 --> 00:23:55,400 Speaker 1: Just the head of earning repoard alright, sir, so you're 417 00:23:55,400 --> 00:23:58,840 Speaker 1: talking about big tech companies, blue chip companies, but you 418 00:23:58,840 --> 00:24:03,920 Speaker 1: wrote an article recently at about blue Sphere Corporation. What's 419 00:24:03,920 --> 00:24:07,439 Speaker 1: blue Sphere? Why should we care? Right? So, blue Sphere 420 00:24:07,480 --> 00:24:12,080 Speaker 1: Corporation is representative of what's been going on really for 421 00:24:12,320 --> 00:24:14,080 Speaker 1: the past months, month and a half or so. In 422 00:24:14,119 --> 00:24:17,600 Speaker 1: a blue Sphere is a penny stock company. Uh, just 423 00:24:17,960 --> 00:24:20,479 Speaker 1: last week before last week, it didn't even trade for 424 00:24:20,520 --> 00:24:24,080 Speaker 1: a penny, traded for a fraction of a penny. And 425 00:24:24,440 --> 00:24:27,119 Speaker 1: lately we have seen a boom in penny stock trading. 426 00:24:27,160 --> 00:24:29,680 Speaker 1: In the month of December. If you look at over 427 00:24:29,720 --> 00:24:32,480 Speaker 1: the counter stocks, the volume that we saw, we saw 428 00:24:32,520 --> 00:24:35,200 Speaker 1: more than one trillion shares trade. That was the first 429 00:24:35,240 --> 00:24:37,840 Speaker 1: time in a decade or so, all of a sudden, 430 00:24:38,200 --> 00:24:41,240 Speaker 1: we see massive volume in these penny stocks and just 431 00:24:41,359 --> 00:24:44,399 Speaker 1: pops here and there. Some say it's just another frost marker, 432 00:24:44,480 --> 00:24:46,520 Speaker 1: for example, just added onto the list of what we've 433 00:24:46,520 --> 00:24:50,399 Speaker 1: been seen seeing with game Stop lately. But Blue Sphere 434 00:24:50,560 --> 00:24:53,000 Speaker 1: last week, it was the start of the week we 435 00:24:53,080 --> 00:24:56,680 Speaker 1: saw it just popped more than four hundred, almost out 436 00:24:56,680 --> 00:24:58,439 Speaker 1: of the blue. It came out of nowhere. But what 437 00:24:58,480 --> 00:25:00,720 Speaker 1: I did was I went back and I really dug 438 00:25:00,760 --> 00:25:04,359 Speaker 1: into some of the chat rooms where you see folks 439 00:25:04,600 --> 00:25:07,639 Speaker 1: talking about this stuff, for example on stock twits, on Reddit, 440 00:25:08,320 --> 00:25:12,520 Speaker 1: on discords that are really dedicated to Reddit users, for example. 441 00:25:13,080 --> 00:25:15,679 Speaker 1: And what was really fascinating to watch was just that 442 00:25:15,760 --> 00:25:18,639 Speaker 1: over the weekend, before we saw that four percent pop, 443 00:25:18,680 --> 00:25:22,600 Speaker 1: you just saw conversation really really start to heat up 444 00:25:22,600 --> 00:25:25,680 Speaker 1: about the stock seemingly out of nowhere. Now those on 445 00:25:25,680 --> 00:25:28,480 Speaker 1: on the sites will say it's a green energy stock, 446 00:25:28,600 --> 00:25:31,880 Speaker 1: they turn waste into energy. It's because of the Biden 447 00:25:31,960 --> 00:25:34,800 Speaker 1: policies that we're going to see the stock going to 448 00:25:34,840 --> 00:25:40,040 Speaker 1: the moon in their terms. But it's just fascinating because 449 00:25:40,119 --> 00:25:42,840 Speaker 1: as an example of one of many, these are typically 450 00:25:42,880 --> 00:25:45,639 Speaker 1: the types of conversations and the bills that you see 451 00:25:45,960 --> 00:25:49,200 Speaker 1: ahead of the time. A penny stock really just goes viral. 452 00:25:50,119 --> 00:25:52,240 Speaker 1: He's a possible to tell an advance which ones will 453 00:25:52,240 --> 00:25:54,560 Speaker 1: and which ones won't. I imagine that there were other 454 00:25:54,560 --> 00:25:57,879 Speaker 1: conversations taking place as well where the stock didn't pop 455 00:25:57,920 --> 00:26:02,760 Speaker 1: for afterwards. Yeah, certainly, And conversation on Blue Speer, for example, 456 00:26:02,800 --> 00:26:05,200 Speaker 1: had been heating up for a while. It really started 457 00:26:05,520 --> 00:26:08,160 Speaker 1: the week before. There were a few comments here and there, 458 00:26:08,200 --> 00:26:11,080 Speaker 1: but then over the weekend you just hit critical maps 459 00:26:11,160 --> 00:26:13,359 Speaker 1: and you saw on stock to was for example, you 460 00:26:13,359 --> 00:26:15,280 Speaker 1: can see the amount of people who follow a stock 461 00:26:15,400 --> 00:26:18,119 Speaker 1: that kept going up by the thousands of thousands and 462 00:26:18,119 --> 00:26:20,040 Speaker 1: and by the night of even and some of the 463 00:26:20,080 --> 00:26:23,600 Speaker 1: members who are more so vocal were joking around the 464 00:26:23,720 --> 00:26:25,720 Speaker 1: night of saying that they couldn't sleep, asking others that 465 00:26:25,800 --> 00:26:27,720 Speaker 1: they were still awake because they were anxious of what 466 00:26:27,800 --> 00:26:31,880 Speaker 1: was going to happen. When financial marketcempting is pretty pretty remarkable. Um. 467 00:26:31,920 --> 00:26:34,800 Speaker 1: But yeah, certainly there are those who really try to 468 00:26:34,840 --> 00:26:36,560 Speaker 1: hype up a stock, up a stock and it might 469 00:26:36,560 --> 00:26:38,159 Speaker 1: not work. And the way I went about doing this 470 00:26:38,240 --> 00:26:40,880 Speaker 1: was I actually I found Blue Spear on the day 471 00:26:40,880 --> 00:26:44,520 Speaker 1: that a popform by by looking up and ranking stocks 472 00:26:44,520 --> 00:26:47,400 Speaker 1: by volume, and volume on this company was over two 473 00:26:47,400 --> 00:26:50,520 Speaker 1: billion shares, which was a record, and really that had 474 00:26:50,600 --> 00:26:53,320 Speaker 1: never happened before for this company. It came out of nowhere. 475 00:26:53,400 --> 00:26:57,360 Speaker 1: This says an off exchange stock hasn't reported financial disclosures 476 00:26:57,359 --> 00:27:00,280 Speaker 1: and years um. So that's where I got star to them. 477 00:27:00,280 --> 00:27:03,200 Speaker 1: Then I walked backwards from there, and what you uncover 478 00:27:03,400 --> 00:27:07,400 Speaker 1: is is quite amazing. Blue Sphere trading a little bit 479 00:27:07,400 --> 00:27:12,040 Speaker 1: over two cents per share, up about two today million 480 00:27:12,080 --> 00:27:15,199 Speaker 1: shares traded. Year to date, the stock is up almost 481 00:27:15,280 --> 00:27:19,639 Speaker 1: thirty nine hundred percent. So so as she talks to 482 00:27:19,840 --> 00:27:22,400 Speaker 1: strategies and so on, I mean, should we be concerned 483 00:27:22,440 --> 00:27:24,679 Speaker 1: about some of these types of speculative moves in the marketing, 484 00:27:24,760 --> 00:27:28,399 Speaker 1: including like a game stop right. So, so, typically what 485 00:27:28,440 --> 00:27:32,680 Speaker 1: we hear from professional investors that this is another signal 486 00:27:32,840 --> 00:27:35,840 Speaker 1: that there is exuberance in the market, and it asserts 487 00:27:35,880 --> 00:27:38,480 Speaker 1: itself in different ways. You see it in the penny 488 00:27:38,520 --> 00:27:41,080 Speaker 1: stock boom, You see it in the likes of game 489 00:27:41,119 --> 00:27:45,080 Speaker 1: stock and BlackBerry and AMC these days. You see it 490 00:27:45,119 --> 00:27:48,400 Speaker 1: in in the back boom and I t o pop 491 00:27:48,600 --> 00:27:52,320 Speaker 1: that there's many ways that this exuberance really asserts itself 492 00:27:52,400 --> 00:27:55,280 Speaker 1: in market. But we've now been hearing for months that 493 00:27:55,359 --> 00:27:57,879 Speaker 1: this is something people need to worry about, this is 494 00:27:57,920 --> 00:28:00,479 Speaker 1: something people should be concerned about, and yet the broader 495 00:28:00,520 --> 00:28:05,000 Speaker 1: market has continued to move higher and act just fine. Um. 496 00:28:05,080 --> 00:28:06,720 Speaker 1: So it just goes to show that even if you 497 00:28:06,760 --> 00:28:08,640 Speaker 1: do believe that we're in a bubble, it's really really 498 00:28:08,680 --> 00:28:10,880 Speaker 1: hard to time when these things might come to an edge. 499 00:28:10,920 --> 00:28:16,200 Speaker 1: Eleven employees, it has extraordinary story. Sarah Panzac, thank you 500 00:28:16,240 --> 00:28:18,800 Speaker 1: so much for joining us cross set reporter looking at BlackBerry. 501 00:28:18,800 --> 00:28:21,040 Speaker 1: Here a name from my past stocks trading at eighteen 502 00:28:21,119 --> 00:28:24,240 Speaker 1: just under nineteen dollars to share. Vonnie was trading as 503 00:28:24,280 --> 00:28:27,320 Speaker 1: low as four or five dollars just recently, so go figure. 504 00:28:28,680 --> 00:28:31,320 Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to the Boomberg Markets podcast. You can 505 00:28:31,359 --> 00:28:35,080 Speaker 1: subscribe and listen to interviews at Apple Podcasts or whatever 506 00:28:35,240 --> 00:28:38,600 Speaker 1: podcast platform you prefer. I'm Bonnie Quinn. I'm on Twitter 507 00:28:38,800 --> 00:28:41,120 Speaker 1: at Bonnie Quinn and I'm Paul Sweeney. I'm on Twitter 508 00:28:41,200 --> 00:28:44,000 Speaker 1: at pt Sweeney. Before the podcast, you can always catch 509 00:28:44,120 --> 00:28:45,680 Speaker 1: us worldwide at Bloomberg Radio